Just as in 1994 to 1996, the rebels are no fools. Yes, they use villages as bases from which to attack Russian positions. But they are highly mobile and make sure they get out as soon as it looks like an attack is imminent. During the last war they survived for two years in this way and were finally able to mount a counterattack on Grozny which pushed the Russians out. The signs are Moscow is believing its own propaganda.
Officials talk about gradually expanding the pro-Russian area.
They say ordinary peace-loving citizens will throw the terrorists out and Chechnya will slide back into Moscow's orbit. Somehow, I don't think it is going to be like that. Thursday's slaughter of civilians at Grozny's market and maternity hospital is probably just a taste of worse to come. The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites Links to other From Our Own Correspondent stories are at the foot of the page.