226's possible impact on the political landscape, other conservatives readily agree that the measure would dim labor's clout. Glenn Ellmers, director of research at the conservative Claremont Institute, said labor's traditional support of Democrats and opposition to privatizing health care and schools isn't acceptable to all union workers. For that reason, he said, the measure will shrink labor's political war chests as union leaders face the prospect of building consensus on endorsements and contributions. I don't think union members elect their officials on the basis of their political stances. They elect them based on workplace issues.
Recent polls show union leadership has an uphill battle in defeating the measure.
But their efforts are succeeding, according to recent Field Polls. In late April, the poll showed that 55 percent of voters supported the measure, down from 60 percent in March and 71 percent in February. Measures similar to Prop. 226 have already passed in four states, including Washington. At least two other states will have such measures on the ballot this year. It can really hurt the Democratic Party and Democratic candidates.