There is great consistency from run to run. Three hour forecast amounts generally remain consistent and in light precip areas of around 0.01 inch, if the 3 previous model runs tend to reduce the spatial extend from run to run, I've noticed that the 4th and most current run generally continues that trend. Consistency with no wild swings. It looks very promising. I've not been able to evaluate the ice pellet cases, plus the routine has been changed within the model.
More work needs to be done on that evaluation.
The cross sections show on the 9 hour forecast that by 12 UTC, the model was predicting greater than 70 percent relative humidity with a well developed area of vertical motion over central Iowa. They received 3 to 5 inches of snow. The surface plots from 02 and 03 UTC show snow across northeastern Kansas and freezing rain in south-central Kansas and rain in southeast Kansas. The remainder of the cross-sections shows the well developed circulation and the temperature stratification forecast over the area of mixed precipitation. A small scale band of precipitation oriented from west to east across north-central and northeast Kansas set up on the morning of the 9th as shown in the radar images.