August and September are the more active months. I am particularly interested in what's predicted. However, when doing the percentages for an area hit in Florida, Sarasota is usually listed as being one of the lowest rated as to getting a direct hit. I realize this does not guarantee escaping nature's wrath, but I am interested in knowing why Sarasota IS rated so low. Sarasota is located on the west coast of Florida.
Most hurricanes form east or south of Florida and track from east to west or south to north.
The odds of a hurricane coming in from the west or southwest are much lower than if a hurricane were to approach from the east. Keep in mind those percentages are stating that the center of the hurricane will come within 60 miles of Sarasota. You might still be affected by a hurricane or storm even if the eye is more than 60 miles away. So, indirect affects such as flooding rains and tornadoes are much greater than direct affects such as winds and storm surge.