The scenarios thus depict plausible future worlds dependent on the extent to which certain key uncertainties unfold. Constructing the CSIR Environmentek Scenarios First the team identifies a focal issue. This determines the scope of the scenarios. Of course, it is possible to simply generate stories of what may happen in a widely generalised future, but for an organisation it is more relevant to narrow the scenarios down to a specific issue that encapsulates the organisation's own business or a generic equivalent. The four narratives that were then developed to describe the plausible worlds represented by the extreme corners of the scenario matrix depict the CSIR Environmentek's four scenarios namely, Green Commune, Spaceship Earth, The Official Future, and Virtual Firefighting.
People are concerned about their local environment and strong civil society institutions dominate.
A small-scale entrepreneurial culture prevails, SMMEs blossom and privatisation accelerates, with a spin off of numerous local service providers. The public service is streamlined and focused, playing a facilitation role for local service providers rather than service provision per se . Inclusion of environmental costs drives price increases and in turn, drives efficiencies everywhere. Sustainable management of natural resources locally is optimised. The organisations which supply environmental management information in this world are dominated by local, almost cottage industries, consisting of a few professionals with rich local knowledge and long-term service contracts to local authorities.