Declines in world food prices could reverse, and the number of malnourished children would grow to more than 200 million in 2020. The authors show that if governments and the international community maintain recent levels of commitment to agricultural research, extension, irrigation and water development, human capital, and rural infrastructure, there will not be overwhelming pressure on aggregate world food supplies from rising populations and incomes. Nonetheless, many developing countries, particularly in South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa, will experience virtually no improvement in food security.
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