Conversion of Long Lead Climate Predictions from Continuous to Probabilistic Form. Proceedings of the Twenty-first Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop. Figure 1 . Contours are estimated probability anomalies of the specified tercile. Shaded areas delineate the area of sufficient skill to depart from climatology by at least 3 percent.
Plotted numbers are station values of the standardized anomaly.
Figure 2 . Distribution of skill for the 1-mo lead regression forecast for JFM 1998 temperatures. Figure 3 . Same as Fig. 1 except for precipitation forecasts.