But while white men have consistently put the Texas governor first in their hearts, white women have been somewhat less constant. That's what we'll be watching closely tonight. But this didn't last. But this didn't last either. Bush went on to lead until a few nights ago when the race settled into .
Independent women are a related subgroup worth watching.
Currently, he leads Bush among independent women 46 percent to 40 percent. Gore will benefit the most from changed minds. A recent Post analysis found that about four in 10 Nader voters would eschew a Green vote today if the race in their state remained tight, and the majority of these were planning to swing to the vice president. In any case, we're watching how this ebb and flow will affect the estimated 3 to 5 percentage points Nader has been drawing in the national polls. Currently this diverse group narrowly splits their vote between the two leading candidates.