Dependence on primary commodity exports. The risk increases 46 fold when a country relies on a primary commodity export. A rebel organization must first ensure a finaincial source. In the post-Cold War world, successful rebel organizations get resources from taxes on primary commodities. Economic growth .
Faster growth reduces risk.
A one percent growth rate lessens risk by one percent. Secondary education . A 10 percent enrollment rate reduced risk of conflict by 4 percent. Other potential risk factors were shown to have less importance. Compared to the importance of primary commodities, ethnic dominance is trivial as a risk factor.