This forecasting methodology has its flaws and will not be successful in the future. It is essential to have a central repository for data gathering of requests for service, specific cohort demographics that will enable programs to be developed according to actual instead of perceived needs. We have never experienced more cohesive yet diverse groups. Generally, we are healthier than our predecessors due to medical miracles and technology, more educated due to access to formal and informal learning systems, more aware of our environment and how we effect its balance. Yet we are more cynical about the future, distrusting of outside influences and have social ills which many choose to ignore.
Individualism is paramount in our behaviors.
Many elders whom I have worked with do not acknowledge their chronological ages as a defining indicator. This makes an approach to our retirement and aged years very complex. Many will fight to retain their individuality no matter what the consequences, many will not ever accept the premise that they are as old as their peer. They see ageism in every experience with formal providers of care and strive to resist the stereotyping which is so prevalent. Others desire the security of support systems and ease of access to services they choose to accept.