Most meteorologists believe this will be an active year in the Atlantic basin. We had Charley and Frances affecting the region last year which was above normal for Corpus Christi. Whether the strength of La Nina or the on-set up La Nina was responsible for this is something we are suspecting. Since we are still in a La Nina pattern I would not be surprised if a storm or hurricane threatens south Texas this year. I think they seem to come up the Coast and then at the Point after Hatteras seem to veer out to sea or north.
Land mass does affect the short term movement of some storms.
This is an area that is being studied. We have not seen any big storms plow into the upper Virginia coast and Delaware coast in recent years. The upper air pattern and steering patterns normally cause tropical cyclones to move more north then northeast once the storm tracks north of 35 north. That's why statistically most storms do veer away from the coast once they pass Hatteras. We just don't have the ability to pinpoint where storms are going to hit.