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The plight of PC manufacturers may not be so grim, but given their swift change in fortune, some computer companies may feel little better than bankrupt dot-coms. After starting 2000 with strong sales, computer makers were blindsided by soft demand in the second quarter and the collapse of growth during the Christmas holidays. Far worse, sales projections for 2001 are, at best, grim. The slowing economy, decreases in technology spending, and cautious adoption of Windows 2000 have conspired against sales, analysts say. For an industry used to double-digit growth, hard times have fallen on computer manufacturers.