The trick is to empty the bag of experience before you empty the bag of luck. Sailing isn t dangerous. Running into something is. Try to learn from others mistakes, you may not live long enough to make them all yourself. It is a good idea to keep the pointy end moving forward most of the time.
Good judgment comes from experience.
Unfortunately the experience usually comes from bad judgment. You can never have too much fuel on board except when you are on fire. It is good to have fans on board. You will sweat a lot in an emergency. Good judgment comes from experience.