Through a series of events, they will see probability in a variety of situations. The motivation for this lesson is that food is involved. They can eat the cereal when the lesson is over. The kids will need to guess how many fruit loops are in each bag. Students will write down all of their estimates.
Kids can now put all of their cereal on the desk and divide it into colors.
Once you have done this for all of them, make a ratio using color and total number of pieces of cereal. Write ratios on board and figure out which color there will most likely be the most of using class averages. Guess how many fruit loops are in the bag. Write down your answer. Write down your answer.