Spend the most time providing evidence for your argument. Think hard about what kind of evidence will best support your argument. Spend some time discussing the most prominent contending explanations and explain why yours is the most persuasive. Argue clearly, but do not be over-simplistic. You will need to do some independent research as none of our readings provide enough data to make a convincing argument that answers the above questions.
Hints Read the handouts on writing and research.
When the people grading you give you the playbook, it pays to read it and find out what they are looking for. You will be well served if you follow the writing advice from me and Professor Van Evera, especially the latter's explicit recipe for writing an efficient and engaging first paragraph, ordering sections of the paper, and making yourself clear throughout. If you have any questions, ask. Do not regurgitate the readings. Be creative and original.