16th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting . Mesoscale Model Validation in the Intermountain West. University of Utah M.S. Thesis. In regions of complex terrain, models should be verified on their native grids with minimal postprocessing Objective skill measures should be consistent with subjective, visual evaluations. The ETS may be misleading in some instances, since overforecasting precipitation is rewarded while slight underforecasting is penalized.
Less skill is evident during spring.