Mental accounting and consumer choice. The ultimatum game. The role of personal tendencies in the selection of decision-making strategies. I will read drafts submitted a week in advance, and I will try to read drafts after that but make no promises. The paper should summarize the aspect of the paper that your comment is about.
Comments can be criticisms, potential applications, or research ideas.
This is an exercise in using probability theory to estimate personal probabilities. One way is a direct judgment. The other way is a calculation from other judgments. The idea here is to judge a probability directly and then derive it from other judgments as a way of getting a second opinion. Draw a tree diagram.