In general, test forecasts are made for all model cycles, all projections, all seasonal stratifications, and for a reasonable sample of the stations for which the guidance is to be developed. Comparisons of the test forecasts are made with other MOS guidance packages, direct numerical model output, or a forecast based on climatic means or relative frequencies. A variety of verification measures are used to evaluate the test forecasts. Global Spectral Model is underway. The links to test results for specific elements are listed below.
Dates indicate when test results became available for each element.
The MRF MOS is being revised and updated. The new product will contain forecasts for an increased number of stations , as well as additional and modified weather elements . The links to test results for specific elements are listed below. Dates indicate when test results became available for each element. During the development process we often need to look carefully at the statistical characteristics of certain model fields.