The success of the industrialized countries provokes a tendency to mimesis that is not justifiable due to the continuous environmental changes that characterize production. In the fifties, considering that the country should be industrialized so that the people could have a better quality of life, President Juscelino Kubistcheck launched a program of goals based on an ambitious electrical energy generation. The JK years still bring nostalgia in a large sector of society and several Presidents tried to rekindle the development mystique through the industrial way. In order to resume the model it would be necessary to reevaluate the world economic environment. Therefore, to discuss the viability of the industrial model is a central issue for our society.
Economic models have tradition ally used indicators of the production volume.
The electrical energy demand is an interesting indicator because it represents both a quantitative and qualitative measurement of demand since the modern production processes, that demand strict control, are more and more dependent on electricity. As the electrical generation in Brazil is based on hydraulic power, what imposes restrictions on energy trade, we can consider the generation system and electricity use as being isolated in terms of the restrictions established in the probabilistic deduction of the logistic law. Repeating the algorithm already applied to other studies, the average demands are calculated in regular time intervals that are long enough to smooth the data and short enough to have samples that are statistically representative. The parabolic fitting of the table data are shown the graphic above. The industrial production will grow in the same pace, if the correlation production - energy consumption, found out by several authors, is maintained.