Europe seems to be establishing an independent military force, but has no vision for that force that differs from the neo-imperialist role which the Pentagon and NATO have been pursuing already. The main effect of such a force will be to transfer more of the costs of empire from American to European taxpayers. There is, for better or worse, no real split in the Atlantic Alliance. We are in the final global shakeout phase of capitalism, and Western elites have no intention of being shaken out from their position of control. It only took a few transactions on the global financial markets to start the avalanche that brought down South Korea and the other Tigers.
Japan is a bigger fish to fry.
Underneath the globalization overlay, we still have the West screwing the rest, and in some ways we are regressing to a previous century's version of imperialism. Instead it will find itself under threat by China, bait in a larger geopolitical game. One of their points appears to be different from your approach - namely, they include Third World governments as potential allies. At the level of generality you identify, there is indeed a similarity. Third-world governments are yet to be discussed in the Guidebook.