I believe that the circumstances of the birth should match those of the conception. A lot of people are hoping that Newt Gingrich will run for president. Really, do not visit countries that are in the middle of civil wars. Newspapers are written to be read. Academic papers are written to be written.
Diplomacy is a vital tool of statecraft.
With minor variations this system has endured to this day, particularly in the Balkans and the Middle East. The means by which A does this is diplomacy. When life gives you lemons, throw them at the serene bastards who tell you to make lemonade.