There are also women running in Colorado, Ohio and perhaps a couple other states, but so far all are trailing their male opponents. It's an interesting battle between the son of Hubert Humphrey, his former employee turned Republican, and a former professional wrestler. I think his dad would be amused by this. I think it will be an interesting race with Humphrey holding the advantage in what is still essentially a Democratic state. And that's exactly what most Americans do.
Incumbents are always a huge favorite to be returned.
At least 88 percent of the House has been re-elected in every election since 1978. It usually isn't their individual member of Congress who may have helped them with a problem in the past. The majority gets to set the agenda and run the hearings. Still, I think this is a pretty narrow argument to make in a general appeal to voters. He's been out in the country campaigning for Democrats and, most important, helping them to raise money.