Certain pitchers dominate at home. Steve Trachsel is 16-8 at Wrigley over the last three years. Getting away from home can also make a difference. Almost all the Rockies pitchers do fine away from the thin air at Coors. Go with hot teams.
Baseball is a game of streaks.
Hot teams win, no matter who s throwing. When a hot team s at home, their pitching gets better. If a team s had a good road trip, their first game back home usually means pitching trouble. Conversely, good teams on a losing streak often wake up once they hit the road. Fourth starters on teams with good staffs win a lot.