The number of major hurricanes was only slightly off the mark. Sub-basin activity was also somewhat different than predicted, though we correctly anticipated that neither the Gulf of Mexico nor the U.S. coast would get hit by a major hurricane during the 2000 season. No Table lists the hurricanes of the 2000 North Atlantic hurricane season. In addition, there were 5 tropical-only hurricanes, of which 3 were major. This is the first year since 1994 that no storm reached the coast at hurricane intensity.
Dates refer to begin and end dates of the tropical storm.
U.S. hurricane indicates whether or not the eyewall of the hurricane made landfall in the United States. Although our group at FSU has been issuing seasonal hurricane forecasts since 1993, the earlier forecasts were issued only for the number of intense hurricanes. Table shows the December forecast probabilities from the Poisson model over the past 8 years. The bold numbers indicate the verification. Performance record of FSU's December major hurricane model.