Document decadal variability in aspects of North Atlantic circulation.
Attention is focused on the extreme events, the upper and lower deciles, of the anomaly time series.
A 45-year sequence of January maps shows the already familiar phenomena of generally cold conditions prior to 1951, a long warm interval from 1951 through 1967, and again a cold period from 1968 through 1977. The years 1978 through 1982 were largely devoid of persistent strong anomalies, but moderate cold conditions returned during 1983-1986. Warm conditions dominated the North Atlantic from 1987 onward. Within these thermal epochs, however, a total of five cold anomaly features and nine warm anomaly features have been identified. These features have individual lifetimes of three to ten years.