Morning soundings at DDC and AMA show moisture already sufficient to produce significant CAPE and attainable convective temperatures during late afternoon. At this time, we are on standby for another hour to better assess the jet position and evaluate the possibility of overnight stay, depending on today's target to be chosen and the future outlook. Morning soundings at DDC and AMA show moisture already sufficient to produce significant CAPE and attainable convective temperatures during late afternoon.
Big question is initiation.
Any storm that is initiated will have a high probability of becoming a supercell. Forecast problem is western edge of moisture. Therefore we will remain on standby until 12 pm. If the dryline is on low terrain at that time, we will not depart. If the dryline is on the elevated terrain, departure will be at 1245 pm.