Bjork serves as proof to actors that all those years of studying acting, auditioning and taking themselves so seriously were a waste. Either you have it or you don't. No actor wants to admit that. Julia Roberts gets the award that Bjork and Ellen Burstyn should be sharing because she has hype. I hope your mother never told you that life was fair.
Actor is a tough category to call.
No one has ever heard of Javier Bardem, so he's out. Geoffrey Rush and Ed Harris are probably in a tie, based on their performances, but Rush already has his Oscar, so Harris takes a slight edge. First, there is hype. And, second, there is Academy guilt. Crowe is a brilliant actor who has turned in some brilliant performances.