I urge CARB to do an analysis of this situation. We've heard plenty on this already. I'll just note that extrapolating the figures for a few hundred test vehicles of limited availability to the larger numbers needed to meet the mandate is simply not valid, especially given the obtuse marketing to date. Despite the fact that this is cited again and again as the sole remaining problem with EVs, this is the one place where true progress has been made in the last 10 years, and continues to be made. Large strides have been made in NiMH batteries and Li-ion batteries, though cost figures remain somewhat elusive.
Costs continue to come down, and capacities continue to go up.
What we need now is real, comprehensive vehicle design and marketing programs by all the auto makers. As some others have suggested, I believe the mandate needs to be strengthened in order for it to be effective. The car companies' strategy is now clear. Fight the mandate and get it repealed. If that doesn't work, take it to court.