Those predictions are based on the existing past and present records regarding planned action. Lotteries are won against the odds every day, world wide. Many business deals are closed against the odds. Odds are often merged with undisclosed and unrelated circumstances. These factors are influences that are not reflected in the odds summary.
Courage is fight against the odds.
Many personal experiences in our lives also reflect that point. I am sure all of us have a story or two to tell on that subject. Just a week ago, I took my wife to a Medical Clinic. Clinic is located in the center of Calgary. Calgary is a large city, with many skyscrapers and office buildings.