However the same polls suggest that the BJP will fail to win a sufficient number of seats to form a majority government. Neither India or Pakistan, which have fought three wars since 1947, have signed the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty. India conducted a nuclear test in 1974. The US Central Intelligence Agency was also reported by the Washington Times in 1996 to have ascribed a nuclear capability of 10 weapons to Pakistan. A number of Indian reports have stated that the Ghauri would be 'launched' on that date, but in all likelihood the missile will simply be displayed in a public parade.
Current reports provide fresh details regarding the system's range and payload.
The Rawalpindi Jang newspaper stated in its 3 January edition that Ghauri is nuclear and chemical capable. The Rawalpindi Jang report added that the Ghauri is also air-launchable from fighter aircraft, although this claim is highly implausible. Although Pakistani reports claim that the Ghauri was developed indigenously, Pakistan lacks the technical infrastructure and defence industrial base to design or produce such a missile indigenously. It is highly likely, then, that the Ghauri is in fact a Chinese system whose 'production' in Pakistan would amount to little more than assembling complete imported subsystems. That Ghauri is a Chinese missile is further suggested by the fact that no tests have been carried out.