Avoiding further violent conflict is a real possibility in Central Asia. Resolving economic and social problems, aiding the development of civic institutions, encouraging stability-promoting measures and promoting the integration of refugees and displaced persons will all work to prevent deadly conflict. None of the approaches will completely eliminate ethnic tensions, but it is possible to reduce the threat of destabilization and ethnic violence, and save the lives of potential victims. Given the economic situation, it is necessary to implement a large-scale program for reducing unemployment and developing the economy and production capacity in the region. Pursuing common goals and activities could help develop ties as well as skills for resolving problems jointly.
Cooperation is needed to develop human rights standards in the region.
Western powers should use their influence to encourage local governments to improve human rights legislation. Democratic forces and institutions in Central Asia should be developed and encouraged. Although the policy of Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Tajikistan is to isolate citizens from the outside world, there are many possibilities to help civic institutions and opposition politicians. This period of instability in Central Asia may prove to be long and result in severe conflict. The prospects for peaceful cooperation are real, however, and cooperation would help pave the way for further democratization.