The number of offers extended, N S , was 191. Between 1 and 2 offers should have gone to blacks and Hispanics, and 189 or 190 to Asians and whites. Table 2 shows how the two groups fared in reality and how they would have fared without the use of preferences. UCLA Medical School admissions in 1997, the first class under Prop 209. Shown are numbers of offers with and without the use of preferences.
Admissions is a zero-sum game.
Because of quotas for underrepresented minorities, approximately 50 Asians and whites were denied admission to the UCLA Medical School. Their places were taken by 50 less-qualified blacks and Hispanics. In the previous section, we found the most probable number of black and Hispanic admits if admitted in rank order of ability. The number of applicants actually admitted was 51. We will now estimate the probability of admitting 51 or more blacks and Hispanics.