Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin , Vol. Validation of large-scale precipitation fields in general circulation models. Global Precipitation and Climate Change , M. Desbois and F. Desalmand, Eds., NATO ASI Series, Vol. Correlations for hindcasts over March to May 1979-93 between ensemble mean rainfall and the Hulme gridded rainfall set over 10 x 15 degree blocks. Results for the other indices are similar.
Bars indicate inflated range of ensembles and the median.
Correlation between observed and persisted SST hindcasts is 0.78. Results for the other regions and the Nordeste indices are similar.