Document ID: EPA-HQ-OW-2004-0002-1641
Agency: epa
Document Type: Supporting & Related Material
Title: 
Posted Date: 2006-06-22T04:00Z

Record
for
the
Proposed
Section
316(
b)
Rule
for
Phase
III
Facilities
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
A
B
Date
Modified:
5/
25/
2006
By:
Abt
Associates
Inc.

Data
Sources:
SAS
Analysis
Output
file:
Work.
linear4
Description:
This
file
calculates
the
industry­
specific
factors
used
to
adjust
facility
cash
flow,
as
calculated
from
facility
survey
responses,
for
the
change
in
industry­
specific
conditions
from
the
time
of
the
316(
b)
survey
to
mid­
year
2003.
This
file
receives
output
data
from
a
SAS
analysis
of
firm
financial
performance
over
the
period
1992­
2003
and
calculates
adjustment
factors
under
alternative
adjustment
concepts,
as
outlined
in
Appendix
4
to
Chapter
C3
of
the
316(
b)
Phase
III
Economic
Analysis
Report.

°
"
Adj
Fctr
Matrix"
summarizes
the
adjustment
factors
used
in
the
analysis,
as
well
as
the
indicated
adjustment
factor
values
for
alternative
adjustment
concepts
considered
in
the
analysis.
°
"
Appendix
Tables
1,
2,
and
3"
generate
tables
included
in
the
Appendix.
°
"
Adjustment
Calculations"
contains
the
calculations
of
the
adjustment
factors
using
information
from
the
SAS
Output
file:
Work.
linear4.
°
"
Linear4"
contains
the
output
data
from
the
SAS
file.
°
"
Linear
Trend
vs
Index"
reorganizes
data
from
the
SAS
output
file
as
needed
for
calculating
the
adjustment
factors.
°
The
file
also
contains
a
series
of
charts
of
the
actual
and
trend­
predicted
industry­
specific
cash
flow
values
over
the
1992­
2003
analysis
period.
These
charts
appear
in
the
Economic
Analysis
report
appendix.

Purpose:
Calculation
of
industry­
specific
factors
for
adjusting
facility
cash
flow
for
the
change
in
industry­
specific
conditions
from
the
time
of
the
316(
b)
survey
to
mid­
year
2003.

11/
01/
04
1
of
14
DCTM_
ARP.
xls,
File
Information
Record
for
the
Proposed
Section
316(
b)
Rule
for
Phase
III
Facilities
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
Adjustments
to
3­
Year
Average
of
Constant
Dollar
Pre­
Interest
After­
Tax
Cash
Flow
Multiply
Constant
Dollar
Pre­
Interest
After­
Tax
Cash
Flow
by
Indicated
Values
Adjusting
to
ATCF
Trend
Adjust
to
Adjust
to
Long­
Term
Trend
by
Compliance
Year
Industry
2003
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Iron
and
Steel
0.8056
0.7821
0.7788
0.7754
0.7721
0.7687
Industrial
Chemicals
0.9228
0.9306
0.9317
0.9328
0.9339
0.9350
Aluminum
Analysis
not
undertaken
for
the
Aluminum
industry
Petroleum
Refining
1.2480
1.4224
1.4473
1.4723
1.4972
1.5221
Pharmaceuticals
1.3171
1.6761
1.7274
1.7786
1.8299
1.8812
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
1.1398
1.3538
1.3843
1.4149
1.4455
1.4761
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
1.0397
1.0372
1.0368
1.0365
1.0361
1.0357
Adjusting
to
ATCF
Index
Adjust
to
Adjust
to
Long­
Term
Trend
by
Compliance
Year
Industry
2003
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Iron
and
Steel
0.4786
0.4551
0.4518
0.4484
0.4451
0.4417
Industrial
Chemicals
0.9726
0.9804
0.9815
0.9826
0.9837
0.9848
Aluminum
Analysis
not
undertaken
for
the
Aluminum
industry
Petroleum
Refining
1.3937
1.5681
1.5930
1.6179
1.6428
1.6678
Pharmaceuticals
1.0596
1.4186
1.4699
1.5212
1.5725
1.6237
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
1.0926
1.3066
1.3372
1.3677
1.3983
1.4289
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
0.9280
0.9255
0.9251
0.9248
0.9244
0.9240
11/
01/
04
2
of
14
DCTM_
ARP.
xls,
Adj
Fctr
Matrix
Record
for
the
Proposed
Section
316(
b)
Rule
for
Phase
III
Facilities
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
A
B
C
D
E
F
Key
Results
from
Analysis
of
After­
Tax
Cash
Flow
Trends
by
316(
b)
Industry
for
1992­
2003
316(
b)
Phase
III
Industry
Group
Estimated
Trend
Average
of
ATCF
Index
Values
at
1996­
1998
Average
of
Predicted
Trend
Values
at
1996­
1998
Predicted
Trend
Value
at
2003
Aluminum
Analysis
not
undertaken
for
the
Aluminum
industry
Pulp
and
Paper
Mills
­
0.0004
0.98953
1.03058
1.02880
Industrial
Chemicals
0.0012
1.10059
1.00837
1.01567
Plastics
Material
and
Resins
0.0318
1.03865
0.99332
1.18383
Pharmaceuticals
0.0507
0.98775
0.99703
1.30096
Petroleum
Refining
0.0230
0.92346
1.01441
1.15248
Steel
­
0.0042
1.25879
1.03948
1.01414
11/
01/
04
3
of
14
DCTM_
ARP.
xls,
Appendix
Tables
1
Record
for
the
Proposed
Section
316(
b)
Rule
for
Phase
III
Facilities
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
A
B
C
Percentage
Difference
in
Actual
and
Predicted
ATCF
Index
Values
at
1996­
1998
Percentage
Difference
in
Actual
ATCF
Index
Values
at
1996­
1998
and
Trend
Predicted
Value
at
2003
Aluminum
Analysis
not
undertaken
for
the
Aluminum
industry
Pulp
and
Paper
Mills
­
4.0%
­
3.8%
Industrial
Chemicals
9.1%
8.4%
Plastics
Material
and
Resins
4.6%
­
12.3%
Pharmaceuticals
­
0.9%
­
24.1%
Petroleum
Refining
­
9.0%
­
19.9%
Steel
21.1%
24.1%
Estimated
Relationship
Between
Actual
ATCF
at
Survey
Period
and
Trend
Predicted
Values
at
Survey
Period
and
End
of
Analysis
Period
11/
01/
04
4
of
14
DCTM_
ARP.
xls,
Appendix
Tables
2
Record
for
the
Proposed
Section
316(
b)
Rule
for
Phase
III
Facilities
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
Using
After­
Tax
Cash
Flow
Adjustment
Factors
in
the
Facility
Closure
Analysis
Summary
Results
from
Facility
Impact
Analysis
Number
of
Using
Adjustment
Factors
Not
Using
Factors
Adjustment
Factor
Facilities
Analyzed
Baseline
Closures
Regulatory
Closures
Baseline
Closures
Regulatory
Closures
Aluminum
1.0000
21
7
0
7
0
Pulp
and
Paper
Mills
1.0397
230
32
0
32
0
Chemicals
Industry
Industrial
Chemicals
0.9228
138
4
0
4
0
Plastics
Material
and
Resins
1.1398
34
0
0
0
0
Pharmaceuticals
1.3171
6
0
0
0
0
Petroleum
Refining
1.2480
36
5
0
5
1
Steel
0.8056
68
29
0
25
0
Total
532
76
0
73
1
Adjustment
factor
not
developed
for
Aluminum
industry
Baseline
and
regulatory
closure
data
are
from:
'
H:\
ENVR\
316b\
Phase
III\_
Proposal\_
Manufacturers\
Analysis\
P3P
MN
Facility
Impact.
xls
11/
01/
04
5
of
14
DCTM_
ARP.
xls,
Appendix
Tables
3
Record
for
the
Proposed
Section
316(
b)
Rule
for
Phase
III
Facilities
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
N
O
P
Q
R
S
T
U
V
W
X
Y
Z
Calculation
of
ATCF
Adjustment
Factors
Year
Index
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
from
analysis
of
cash
flow
and
trends
by
industry
Rule
Yr
Potential
Compliance
Years
Year
Slope
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Iron
and
Steel
Time
Trend
­
0.0042
1.0606
1.0564
1.0522
1.0479
1.0437
1.0395
1.0353
1.0310
1.0268
1.0226
1.0184
1.0141
1.0099
1.0057
1.0015
0.9972
0.9930
0.9888
0.9846
0.9803
0.9761
0.9719
0.9677
Index
ATCF
0.5625
0.8492
1.0610
1.2793
1.1622
1.3516
1.2626
1.0825
1.1304
0.6684
0.9020
0.6025
0.5983
0.5941
0.5898
0.5856
0.5814
0.5772
0.5729
0.5687
0.5645
0.5603
0.5560
Average,
1996­
1998
Index
ATCF
1.2588
Ratio
to
1996­
1998
ATCF
Average
adjusting
to
final
value
in
analysis
period
Time
Trend
0.8426
0.8392
0.8358
0.8325
0.8291
0.8258
0.8224
0.8191
0.8157
0.8124
0.8090
0.8056
0.8023
0.7989
0.7956
0.7922
0.7889
0.7855
0.7821
0.7788
0.7754
0.7721
0.7687
Index
ATCF
0.4469
0.6746
0.8429
1.0163
0.9233
1.0737
1.0030
0.8599
0.8980
0.5310
0.7166
0.4786
0.4753
0.4719
0.4686
0.4652
0.4619
0.4585
0.4551
0.4518
0.4484
0.4451
0.4417
Industrial
Chemicals
Time
Trend
0.0012
1.0023
1.0035
1.0047
1.0059
1.0072
1.0084
1.0096
1.0108
1.0120
1.0132
1.0145
1.0157
1.0169
1.0181
1.0193
1.0205
1.0218
1.0230
1.0242
1.0254
1.0266
1.0278
1.0291
Index
ATCF
0.8689
0.8713
0.9672
1.1654
1.1154
1.1085
1.0779
1.0604
1.1043
0.8813
0.8174
1.0705
1.0717
1.0729
1.0741
1.0754
1.0766
1.0778
1.0790
1.0802
1.0814
1.0827
1.0839
Average,
1996­
1998
Index
ATCF
1.1006
Ratio
to
1996­
1998
ATCF
Average
Time
Trend
0.9107
0.9118
0.9129
0.9140
0.9151
0.9162
0.9173
0.9184
0.9195
0.9206
0.9217
0.9228
0.9239
0.9251
0.9262
0.9273
0.9284
0.9295
0.9306
0.9317
0.9328
0.9339
0.9350
Index
ATCF
0.7894
0.7916
0.8788
1.0589
1.0135
1.0071
0.9794
0.9635
1.0034
0.8008
0.7427
0.9726
0.9738
0.9749
0.9760
0.9771
0.9782
0.9793
0.9804
0.9815
0.9826
0.9837
0.9848
Petroleum
Refining
Time
Trend
0.0230
0.8994
0.9224
0.9454
0.9684
0.9914
1.0144
1.0374
1.0604
1.0834
1.1065
1.1295
1.1525
1.1755
1.1985
1.2215
1.2445
1.2675
1.2905
1.3136
1.3366
1.3596
1.3826
1.4056
Index
ATCF
0.9073
1.0889
0.9155
0.9719
0.7650
1.1196
0.8857
0.7273
1.3472
1.3324
0.7477
1.2870
1.3100
1.3330
1.3560
1.3790
1.4020
1.4251
1.4481
1.4711
1.4941
1.5171
1.5401
Average,
1996­
1998
Index
ATCF
0.9235
Ratio
to
1996­
1998
ATCF
Average
Time
Trend
0.9739
0.9988
1.0237
1.0487
1.0736
1.0985
1.1234
1.1483
1.1732
1.1982
1.2231
1.2480
1.2729
1.2978
1.3228
1.3477
1.3726
1.3975
1.4224
1.4473
1.4723
1.4972
1.5221
Index
ATCF
0.9825
1.1791
0.9914
1.0524
0.8285
1.2124
0.9592
0.7876
1.4588
1.4428
0.8097
1.3937
1.4186
1.4435
1.4684
1.4933
1.5183
1.5432
1.5681
1.5930
1.6179
1.6428
1.6678
Pharmaceuticals
Time
Trend
0.0507
0.7438
0.7944
0.8451
0.8957
0.9464
0.9970
1.0477
1.0983
1.1490
1.1997
1.2503
1.3010
1.3516
1.4023
1.4529
1.5036
1.5542
1.6049
1.6555
1.7062
1.7569
1.8075
1.8582
Index
ATCF
0.7124
0.7348
0.7466
0.8263
0.8920
0.9955
1.0757
1.2929
1.3625
1.4279
1.0540
1.0467
1.0973
1.1480
1.1986
1.2493
1.2999
1.3506
1.4012
1.4519
1.5025
1.5532
1.6039
Average,
1996­
1998
Index
ATCF
0.9878
Ratio
to
1996­
1998
ATCF
Average
Time
Trend
0.7530
0.8043
0.8555
0.9068
0.9581
1.0094
1.0607
1.1120
1.1632
1.2145
1.2658
1.3171
1.3684
1.4197
1.4709
1.5222
1.5735
1.6248
1.6761
1.7274
1.7786
1.8299
1.8812
Index
ATCF
0.7212
0.7439
0.7558
0.8365
0.9031
1.0079
1.0890
1.3090
1.3794
1.4456
1.0670
1.0596
1.1109
1.1622
1.2135
1.2648
1.3160
1.3673
1.4186
1.4699
1.5212
1.5725
1.6237
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
Time
Trend
0.0318
0.8346
0.8663
0.8981
0.9298
0.9616
0.9933
1.0251
1.0568
1.0886
1.1203
1.1521
1.1838
1.2156
1.2473
1.2791
1.3108
1.3426
1.3743
1.4061
1.4379
1.4696
1.5014
1.5331
Index
ATCF
0.7915
0.7585
0.8487
0.9855
0.9698
1.0350
1.1111
1.1838
1.1332
1.0638
1.0658
1.1348
1.1666
1.1983
1.2301
1.2618
1.2936
1.3253
1.3571
1.3888
1.4206
1.4524
1.4841
Average,
1996­
1998
Index
ATCF
1.0387
Ratio
to
1996­
1998
ATCF
Average
Time
Trend
0.8035
0.8341
0.8646
0.8952
0.9258
0.9564
0.9869
1.0175
1.0481
1.0786
1.1092
1.1398
1.1703
1.2009
1.2315
1.2621
1.2926
1.3232
1.3538
1.3843
1.4149
1.4455
1.4761
Index
ATCF
0.7620
0.7303
0.8171
0.9488
0.9337
0.9965
1.0698
1.1397
1.0911
1.0242
1.0261
1.0926
1.1232
1.1537
1.1843
1.2149
1.2455
1.2760
1.3066
1.3372
1.3677
1.3983
1.4289
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
Time
Trend
­
0.0004
1.0324
1.0320
1.0316
1.0313
1.0309
1.0306
1.0302
1.0299
1.0295
1.0292
1.0288
1.0288
1.0284
1.0281
1.0277
1.0274
1.0270
1.0267
1.0263
1.0260
1.0256
1.0252
1.0249
Index
ATCF
0.7793
0.9117
0.9837
1.4782
1.0399
0.9008
1.0279
1.3557
1.2849
0.9278
0.8614
0.9183
0.9179
0.9176
0.9172
0.9169
0.9165
0.9161
0.9158
0.9154
0.9151
0.9147
0.9144
Average,
1996­
1998
Index
ATCF
0.9895
Ratio
to
1996­
1998
ATCF
Average
Time
Trend
1.0433
1.0429
1.0426
1.0422
1.0418
1.0415
1.0411
1.0408
1.0404
1.0400
1.0397
1.0397
1.0393
1.0390
1.0386
1.0382
1.0379
1.0375
1.0372
1.0368
1.0365
1.0361
1.0357
Index
ATCF
0.7876
0.9214
0.9941
1.4938
1.0509
0.9103
1.0388
1.3700
1.2985
0.9376
0.8705
0.9280
0.9276
0.9273
0.9269
0.9266
0.9262
0.9258
0.9255
0.9251
0.9248
0.9244
0.9240
11/
01/
04
6
of
14
DCTM_
ARP.
xls,
Adjustment
Calculations
Record
for
the
Proposed
Section
316(
b)
Rule
for
Phase
III
Facilities
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
From
work.
linear4
in
Industry_
Analysis_
GDP_
adjusted_
Average_
Indexed_
052804
(
H:\
ENVR\
316b\
Phase
III\_
Proposal\_
Manufacturers\
Mfgrs
Bsns
Conditions
Adj\
SAS
work)

Industry
Year
trend
weigh_
avg_
indexATCF_
adj
N
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
1992
1.0606
0.5625
14
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
1993
1.0564
0.8492
14
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
1994
1.0522
1.0610
14
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
1995
1.0479
1.2793
14
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
1996
1.0437
1.1622
14
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
1997
1.0395
1.3516
14
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
1998
1.0353
1.2626
14
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
1999
1.0310
1.0825
14
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
2000
1.0268
1.1304
14
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
2001
1.0226
0.6684
14
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
2002
1.0184
0.9020
14
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
2003
1.0141
0.6025
9
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
1992
1.0023
0.8689
15
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
1993
1.0035
0.8713
15
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
1994
1.0047
0.9672
15
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
1995
1.0059
1.1654
15
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
1996
1.0072
1.1154
15
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
1997
1.0084
1.1085
15
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
1998
1.0096
1.0779
15
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
1999
1.0108
1.0604
15
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
2000
1.0120
1.1043
15
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
2001
1.0132
0.8813
15
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
2002
1.0145
0.8174
15
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
2003
1.0157
1.0705
13
Petroleum
Refining
1992
0.8994
0.9073
6
Petroleum
Refining
1993
0.9224
1.0889
6
Petroleum
Refining
1994
0.9454
0.9155
6
Petroleum
Refining
1995
0.9684
0.9719
6
Petroleum
Refining
1996
0.9914
0.7650
6
Petroleum
Refining
1997
1.0144
1.1196
6
Petroleum
Refining
1998
1.0374
0.8857
6
Petroleum
Refining
1999
1.0604
0.7273
6
Petroleum
Refining
2000
1.0834
1.3472
6
Petroleum
Refining
2001
1.1065
1.3324
6
Petroleum
Refining
2002
1.1295
0.7477
6
Petroleum
Refining
2003
1.1525
1.2870
5
Pharmaceuticals
1992
0.7438
0.7124
4
Pharmaceuticals
1993
0.7944
0.7348
4
Pharmaceuticals
1994
0.8451
0.7466
4
Pharmaceuticals
1995
0.8957
0.8263
4
Pharmaceuticals
1996
0.9464
0.8920
4
Pharmaceuticals
1997
0.9970
0.9955
4
Pharmaceuticals
1998
1.0477
1.0757
4
Pharmaceuticals
1999
1.0983
1.2929
4
Pharmaceuticals
2000
1.1490
1.3625
4
Pharmaceuticals
2001
1.1997
1.4279
4
Pharmaceuticals
2002
1.2503
1.0540
4
Pharmaceuticals
2003
1.3010
1.0467
4
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
1992
0.8346
0.7915
15
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
1993
0.8663
0.7585
15
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
1994
0.8981
0.8487
15
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
1995
0.9298
0.9855
15
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
1996
0.9616
0.9698
15
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
1997
0.9933
1.0350
15
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
1998
1.0251
1.1111
15
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
1999
1.0568
1.1838
15
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
2000
1.0886
1.1332
15
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
2001
1.1203
1.0638
15
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
2002
1.1521
1.0658
15
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
2003
1.1838
1.1348
15
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
1992
1.0794
0.7620
6
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
1993
1.0697
0.8823
6
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
1994
1.0600
0.9540
6
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
1995
1.0503
1.7058
6
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
1996
1.0406
1.0024
6
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
1997
1.0309
0.8645
6
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
1998
1.0212
0.9754
6
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
1999
1.0115
1.2807
6
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
2000
1.0017
1.2149
6
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
2001
0.9920
0.8739
6
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
2002
0.9823
0.8107
6
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
2003
0.9726
0.8629
5
11/
01/
04
7
of
14
DCTM_
ARP.
xls,
Linear4
Record
for
the
Proposed
Section
316(
b)
Rule
for
Phase
III
Facilities
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
A
B
C
D
Industry
Year
Time
Trend
Index
ATCF
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
1992
1.06061
0.56255
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
1993
1.05638
0.84923
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
1994
1.05216
1.06104
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
1995
1.04793
1.27931
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
1996
1.04371
1.16220
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
1997
1.03948
1.35163
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
1998
1.03526
1.26256
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
1999
1.03103
1.08249
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
2000
1.02681
1.13037
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
2001
1.02259
0.66842
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
2002
1.01836
0.90203
Ferrous
Metals
­­
Iron
and
Steel
­­
Processing
2003
1.01414
0.60250
Industry
Year
Time
Trend
Index
ATCF
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
1992
1.00228
0.86885
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
1993
1.00350
0.87126
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
1994
1.00472
0.96723
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
1995
1.00593
1.16542
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
1996
1.00715
1.11540
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
1997
1.00837
1.10846
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
1998
1.00958
1.07792
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
1999
1.01080
1.06044
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
2000
1.01202
1.10434
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
2001
1.01324
0.88134
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
2002
1.01445
0.81739
Industrial
Inorganic
Chemicals
2003
1.01567
1.07049
Industry
Year
Time
Trend
Index
ATCF
Petroleum
Refining
1992
0.89936
0.90729
Petroleum
Refining
1993
0.92237
1.08888
Petroleum
Refining
1994
0.94538
0.91551
Petroleum
Refining
1995
0.96839
0.97186
Petroleum
Refining
1996
0.99140
0.76504
Petroleum
Refining
1997
1.01441
1.11959
Petroleum
Refining
1998
1.03743
0.88575
Petroleum
Refining
1999
1.06044
0.72730
Petroleum
Refining
2000
1.08345
1.34718
Petroleum
Refining
2001
1.10646
1.33240
Petroleum
Refining
2002
1.12947
0.74771
Petroleum
Refining
2003
1.15248
1.28699
Industry
Year
Time
Trend
Index
ATCF
Pharmaceuticals
1992
0.74376
0.71241
Pharmaceuticals
1993
0.79441
0.73480
Pharmaceuticals
1994
0.84507
0.74655
Pharmaceuticals
1995
0.89572
0.82627
Pharmaceuticals
1996
0.94638
0.89201
Pharmaceuticals
1997
0.99703
0.99554
Pharmaceuticals
1998
1.04769
1.07570
Pharmaceuticals
1999
1.09834
1.29293
Pharmaceuticals
2000
1.14900
1.36248
Pharmaceuticals
2001
1.19965
1.42794
Pharmaceuticals
2002
1.25031
1.05397
Pharmaceuticals
2003
1.30096
1.04665
Industry
Year
Time
Trend
Index
ATCF
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
1992
0.83456
0.79149
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
1993
0.86631
0.75853
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
1994
0.89806
0.84871
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
1995
0.92981
0.98547
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
1996
0.96157
0.96983
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
1997
0.99332
1.03500
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
1998
1.02507
1.11113
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
1999
1.05682
1.18377
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
2000
1.08858
1.13324
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
2001
1.12033
1.06382
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
2002
1.15208
1.06576
Plastics
and
Synthetic
Fibers
2003
1.18383
1.13483
Industry
Year
Time
Trend
Index
ATCF
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
1992
1.03235
0.77931
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
1993
1.03200
0.91171
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
1994
1.03164
0.98369
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
1995
1.03129
1.47820
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
1996
1.03093
1.03993
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
1997
1.03058
0.90078
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
1998
1.03022
1.02787
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
1999
1.02986
1.35567
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
2000
1.02951
1.28495
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
2001
1.02915
0.92781
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
2002
1.02880
0.86135
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
2003
1.02880
0.91827
11/
01/
04
8
of
14
DCTM_
ARP.
xls,
Linear
Trend
vs
Index
ATCF
Index
vs
Trend
Iron
and
Steel
0.00000
0.20000
0.40000
0.60000
0.80000
1.00000
1.20000
1.40000
1.60000
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
Year
ATCF
Index
Time
Trend
Index
ATCF
ATCF
Index
vs
Trend
Industrial
Chemicals
0.00000
0.20000
0.40000
0.60000
0.80000
1.00000
1.20000
1.40000
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
Year
ATCF
Index
Time
Trend
Index
ATCF
ATCF
Index
vs
Trend
Petroleum
Refining
0.00000
0.20000
0.40000
0.60000
0.80000
1.00000
1.20000
1.40000
1.60000
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
Year
ATCF
Index
Time
Trend
Index
ATCF
ATCF
Index
vs
Trend
Pharmaceuticals
0.00000
0.20000
0.40000
0.60000
0.80000
1.00000
1.20000
1.40000
1.60000
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
Year
ATCF
Index
Time
Trend
Index
ATCF
ATCF
Index
vs
Trend
Plastic
Material
and
Resins
0.00000
0.20000
0.40000
0.60000
0.80000
1.00000
1.20000
1.40000
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
Year
ATCF
Index
Time
Trend
Index
ATCF
ATCF
Index
vs
Trend
Pulp
&
Paper
Mills
0.00000
0.20000
0.40000
0.60000
0.80000
1.00000
1.20000
1.40000
1.60000
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
Year
ACTF
Index
Time
Trend
Index
ATCF