Document ID: EPA-HQ-OAR-2004-0008-0472
Agency: epa
Document Type: Supporting & Related Material
Title: 
Posted Date: 2006-12-13T05:00Z

Table A5.  Annual U.S. Petroleum Supply and Demand: Base Case 

                   (Million Barrels per Day, Except Closing Stocks)

(Energy Information Administration\Short-Term Energy Outlook -- November
2006)

Year

1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006
2007

Supply

	  Crude Oil Supply

	    Domestic Production a 	6.85 	6.66 	6.56 	6.46 	6.45 	6.25 	5.88 
5.82 	5.80 	5.75 	5.68 	5.42 	5.18 	5.18 	5.43 

      Alaska	1.58 	1.56 	1.48 	1.39 	1.30 	1.17 	1.05 	0.97 	0.96 	0.98 
0.97 	0.91 	0.86 	0.76 	0.79 

      Federal GOM b 	0.83 	0.86 	0.95 	1.01 	1.13 	1.22 	1.36 	1.43 
1.53 	1.55 	1.54 	1.46 	1.26 	1.38 	1.56 

      Other Lower 48	4.43 	4.24 	4.13 	4.06 	4.03 	3.86 	3.47 	3.42 
3.31 	3.21 	3.17 	3.05 	3.06 	3.05 	3.09 

    Net Commercial Imports c   	6.69 	6.96 	7.14 	7.40 	8.12 	8.60 	8.61
	9.02 	9.31 	9.13 	9.65 	10.06 	10.09 	10.06 	9.95 

    Net SPR Withdrawals	-0.08 	-0.01 	0.00 	0.07 	0.01 	-0.02 	0.01 
0.07 	-0.03 	-0.13 	-0.11 	-0.10 	-0.02 	-0.02 	-0.01 

    Net Commercial Withdrawals	0.00 	-0.01 	0.09 	0.05 	-0.06 	-0.05 
0.11 	0.00 	-0.07 	0.09 	0.02 	-0.05 	-0.10 	0.01 	0.05 

    Product Supplied and Losses	-0.01 	-0.01 	-0.01 	-0.01 	0.00 	0.00 
0.00 	0.00 	0.00 	0.00 	0.00 	0.00 	0.00 	0.00 	0.00 

    Unaccounted-for Crude Oil	0.17 	0.27 	0.19 	0.22 	0.14 	0.11 	0.19 
0.15 	0.12 	0.11 	0.05 	0.14 	0.08 	0.04 	0.10 

	    Total Crude Oil Supply	13.61 	13.87 	13.97 	14.19 	14.66 	14.89 
14.80 	15.07 	15.13 	14.95 	15.30 	15.48 	15.22 	15.28 	15.52 

	  Other Supply

	    NGL Production	1.74 	1.73 	1.76 	1.83 	1.82 	1.76 	1.85 	1.91 	1.87
	1.88 	1.72 	1.81 	1.72 	1.74 	1.76 

    Other Hydrocarbon and Alcohol Inputs	0.25 	0.26 	0.30 	0.31 	0.34 
0.38 	0.38 	0.38 	0.38 	0.42 	0.42 	0.42 	0.44 	0.48 	0.47 

    Crude Oil Product Supplied	0.01 	0.01 	0.01 	0.01 	0.00 	0.00 	0.00 
0.00 	0.00 	0.00 	0.00 	0.00 	0.00 	0.00 	0.00 

    Processing Gain	0.77 	0.77 	0.77 	0.84 	0.85 	0.89 	0.89 	0.95 	0.90
	0.96 	0.97 	1.05 	0.99 	1.00 	1.03 

    Net Product Imports d 	0.93 	1.09 	0.75 	1.10 	1.04 	1.17 	1.30 
1.40 	1.59 	1.42 	1.54 	2.04 	2.45 	2.24 	2.20 

    Product Stock Withdrawn  	-0.05 	0.00 	0.15 	0.03 	-0.09 	-0.17 
0.30 	0.00 	-0.23 	0.15 	0.03 	-0.06 	-0.02 	-0.05 	0.01 

	  Total Supply	17.26 	17.72 	17.72 	18.31 	18.62 	18.92 	19.52 	19.70 
19.65 	19.76 	19.99 	20.73 	20.80 	20.68 	20.99 

	Demand

	  Motor Gasoline e 	7.48 	7.60 	7.79 	7.89 	8.02 	8.25 	8.43 	8.47 
8.61 	8.85 	8.93 	9.11 	9.16 	9.25 	9.36 

  Jet Fuel	1.47 	1.53 	1.51 	1.58 	1.60 	1.62 	1.67 	1.73 	1.66 	1.61 
1.58 	1.63 	1.68 	1.64 	1.66 

  Distillate Fuel Oil	3.04 	3.16 	3.21 	3.37 	3.44 	3.46 	3.57 	3.72 
3.85 	3.78 	3.93 	4.06 	4.12 	4.20 	4.28 

  Residual Fuel Oil	1.08 	1.02 	0.85 	0.85 	0.80 	0.89 	0.83 	0.91 	0.81
	0.70 	0.77 	0.86 	0.92 	0.71 	0.73 

  Other Oils f 	4.17 	4.41 	4.36 	4.63 	4.77 	4.69 	5.01 	4.87 	4.73 
4.82 	4.82 	5.07 	4.93 	4.88 	4.95 

	  Total Demand	17.24 	17.72 	17.72 	18.31 	18.62 	18.92 	19.52 	19.70 
19.65 	19.76 	20.03 	20.73 	20.80 	20.68 	20.99 

	Total Petroleum Net Imports	7.63 	8.07 	7.89 	8.50 	9.16 	9.76 	9.92 
10.43 	10.91 	10.56 	11.19 	12.10 	12.55 	12.30 	12.15 

	Closing Stocks (million barrels)  

	  Crude Oil (excluding SPR) 	335 	337 	303 	284 	305 	324 	284 	286 
312 	278 	269 	286 	324 	318 	301 

    Total Motor Gasoline	226 	215 	202 	195 	210 	216 	193 	196 	210 
209 	207 	218 	208 	209 	213 

    Jet Fuel	40 	47 	40 	40 	44 	45 	41 	45 	42 	39 	39 	40 	42 	42 	42 

    Distillate Fuel Oil	141 	145 	130 	127 	138 	156 	125 	118 	145 	134
	137 	126 	136 	146 	141 

    Residual Fuel Oil	44 	42 	37 	46 	40 	45 	36 	36 	41 	31 	38 	42 	37
	43 	41 

    Other Oils g 	273 	275 	258 	250 	259 	291 	246 	247 	287 	257 	241 
257 	266 	267 	267 

 PRIVATE  a Includes lease condensate.

b Crude oil production from U.S. Federal leases in the Gulf of Mexico

 b Net imports equals gross imports plus SPR imports minus exports.

 c Includes finished petroleum products, unfinished oils, gasoline
blending components, and natural gas plant liquids for processing.

 d For years prior to 1993, motor gasoline includes an estimate of fuel
ethanol blended into gasoline and certain product reclassifications, not
reported elsewhere in EIA.  See Appendix B in EIA, Short-Term Energy
Outlook, EIA/DOE-0202(93/3Q), for details on this adjustment.  

 e Includes crude oil product supplied, natural gas liquids, liquefied
refinery gas, other liquids, and all finished petroleum products except
motor gasoline, jet fuel, distillate, and residual fuel oil.

 f Includes stocks of all other oils, such as aviation gasoline,
kerosene, natural gas liquids (including ethane), aviation gasoline
blending components, naphtha and other oils for petrochemical feedstock
use, special naphthas, lube oils, wax, coke, asphalt, road oil, and
miscellaneous oils.

SPR:  Strategic Petroleum Reserve.  NGL:  Natural Gas Liquids

Notes:  Minor discrepancies with other EIA published historical data are
due to rounding, with the following exception: recent petroleum demand
and supply data displayed here reflect the incorporation of
resubmissions of the data as reported in EIA’s Petroleum Supply
Monthly, TableC1.  Historical data are printed in bold; forecasts are in
italics.  The forecasts were generated by simulation of the Regional
Short-Term Energy Model.

Sources: Historical data: EIA: latest data available from EIA databases
supporting the following reports: Petroleum Supply Monthly,
DOE/EIA-0109, and Weekly Petroleum Status Report, DOE/EIA-0208.