Document ID: EPA-HQ-OW-2002-0043-0211
Agency: epa
Document Type: Supporting & Related Material
Title: 
Posted Date: 2003-08-11T04:00Z

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
July
2003
Volume
I
Contents
Appendix
A:
Surface
Water
Compliance
Forecasts
Using
SWAT
Appendix
B:
Ground
Water
Plant
Compliance
Forecasts
Appendix
C:
Supplemental
Compliance
Forecasts
Appendix
D:
Rule
Activity
Schedule
Appendix
E:
Annual
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
as
a
Result
of
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Appendix
F:
Valuation
of
Stage
2
DBPR
Benefits
Appendix
G:
Illustrative
Calculation
for
Quantifying
Reproductive
and
Developmental
Benefits
of
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
1
July
2003
Appendix
A
Surface
Water
Compliance
Forecast
Using
SWAT
The
surface
water
analytical
tool
(
SWAT)
is
the
primary
tool
used
by
EPA
to
predict
treatment
technology
changes
in
surface
water
systems
to
achieve
compliance
with
the
Stage
2
Disinfection
and
Disinfectants
Byproducts
Rule
(
DBPR).
Changes
in
treatment
technology
are
the
basis
for
calculating
national
cost
estimates
in
this
Economic
Analysis
(
EA).
SWAT
is
also
the
primary
tool
used
to
predict
changes
in
national
DBP
occurrence
levels
as
a
result
of
the
technology
changes.
Changes
in
average
DBP
occurrence
levels
are
used
to
quantify
benefits
(
specifically,
reduced
bladder
cancer)
of
the
Stage
2
DBPR.

Because
of
the
uncertainties
in
SWAT
as
described
in
this
appendix,
only
national­
level
data,
not
plant­
specific
results,
are
considered
when
developing
costs
and
benefits
estimates.
Moreover,
EPA
minimized
potential
biases
and
uncertainties
in
SWAT
by
selecting
a
4­
step
approach
to
estimate
changes
in
technologies
and
DBP
occurrence.
First,
SWAT
is
used
to
model
the
pre­
Stage
1
baseline.
Then
SWAT
models
changes
in
technology
and
DBP
occurrence
for
the
Stage
1
rule
from
the
Pre­
Stage
1
baseline
and
for
the
Stage
2
rule
from
the
Pre­
Sage
1
baseline.
Results
for
Stage
1
are
subtracted
from
results
for
Stage
2
to
estimate
the
incremental
change
from
Stage
1
to
Stage
2.
This
procedure
is
described
in
more
detail
in
Section
6.4.2.

The
purpose
of
this
appendix
is
to
review
the
major
components
in
the
Surface
Water
Analytical
Tool
(
SWAT),
summarize
SWAT
operations,
and
discuss
the
validity
of
SWAT
predictions.
It
is
organized
as
follows:

Part
I:
SWAT
Operations
A.
1
SWAT:
An
Introduction
A.
2
Model
Configuration
A.
3
User
Inputs
for
Stage
2
DBPR
Model
Runs
A.
4
Model
Operation
A.
5
Description
of
WTP
Calibration
Process
and
Results
Part
II:
Evaluation
of
SWAT
Predictions
A.
6
Summary
of
Uncertainties
A.
7
Validation
of
SWAT
Predictions
Part
III:
Compliance
Forecasts
A.
8
SWAT­
based
Compliance
Forecasts
for
Large
Surface
Water
Systems
A.
9
SWAT
based
Compliance
Forecasts
for
Medium
Surface
Water
Systems
A.
10
SWAT
based
Compliance
Forecasts
for
Small
Surface
Water
Systems
Part
I:
SWAT
Operations
A.
1
SWAT:
An
Introduction
One
of
the
major
tools
developed
in
conjunction
with
the
Microbial­
Disinfectants/
Disinfection
Byproducts
Federal
Advisory
Committees
Act
(
M­
DBP
FACA)
process
is
the
SWAT.
SWAT
is
a
decision
support
computational
model
designed
to
predict
technology
choices
and
resulting
changes
in
water
quality
for
different
rule
alternatives
and
input
conditions
based
on
the
Information
Collection
Rule
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
2
July
2003
(
ICR)
data.
SWAT
model
outputs
are
used
to
generate
compliance
forecasts
and
disinfection
byproduct
(
DBP)
exposure
estimates.
The
Environmental
Protection
Agency
(
EPA)
used
SWAT
outputs
to
estimate
costs
and
benefits
of
the
Stage
2
Disinfectants
and
Disinfection
Byproducts
Rule
(
DBPR)
regulatory
alternatives.

For
details
on
SWAT
components
or
operation
beyond
the
descriptions
in
this
appendix,
refer
to
Surface
Water
Analytical
Tool
(
SWAT)
Version
1.1
 
Program
Descriptions
and
Assumptions
(
USEPA
2000a).

A.
2
Model
Configuration
This
section
provides
an
overview
of
SWAT
configuration.
Exhibit
A.
1
shows
the
four
main
components
of
SWAT
and
how
they
interact
with
one
another.
These
components
can
be
grouped
into
two
categories:

°
The
input/
output
components,
i.
e.,
the
user
interface
and
AUX8
database
°
The
computational/
analytical
components,
i.
e.,
the
decision
tree
program,
and
the
Water
Treatment
Plant
(
WTP)
Model
Sections
A.
2.1
through
A.
2.4
describe
these
components
in
more
detail.
1
UV­
254
absorbance
is
a
water
quality
parameter
that
measures
the
extent
of
absorbance
of
UV
light
(
having
a
wavelength
of
254
nanometers)
by
the
natural
organic
matter
(
NOM)
present/
remaining
in
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
3
July
2003
Inputs
(
e.
g.,
MCL
Criteria)

Treatment
Plants
and
Water
Quality
(
ICR
Data)

Modified
Plants
and
Selected
Outputs
(
e.
g.,
DBP
Levels)
User
Interface
ICR
Auxiliary
Database
8
Water
Treatment
Plant
Model
Decision
Tree
Program
Exhibit
A.
1
SWAT
Components
A.
2.1
User
Interface
A
Microsoft
Windows
 
interface
enables
the
user
to
specify
the
disinfection
and
disinfection
byproduct
(
DBP)
regulatory
criteria,
as
well
as
numerous
other
assumptions
for
a
SWAT
run
(
e.
g.,
use
of
disinfection
benchmarking,
use
of
ultraviolet
light[
UV]).
It
also
allows
the
user
to
run
the
WTP
Model,
which
predicts
DBP
occurrence,
and
the
Decision
Tree
Program,
which
selects
technologies
to
meet
specified
compliance
options.
The
SWAT
Version
1.1
program
description
document
(
USEPA
2000a)
shows
all
input
screens
for
the
SWAT
user
interface.
Section
A.
4
describes
the
user
inputs
and
SWAT
assumptions
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
model
runs.

A.
2.2
Auxiliary
Database
8
AUX8
is
a
Microsoft
Access
 
database
that
holds
inputs
and
outputs
for
SWAT
analyses.
Unlike
user
inputs
described
in
Section
A.
2.1,
ICR
data
in
AUX8
is
not
intended
to
be
modified
by
the
user
or
varied
from
run
to
run.
AUX8
was
populated
from
data
in
AUX1
(
AUX1
is
the
primary
ICR
database
 
see
Chapter
3
of
this
Economic
Analysis
for
a
description
of
AUX
1).
SWAT
inputs
from
AUX8
are
grouped
into
five
categories
 
source
water
quality,
treatment
plant
characteristics,
unit
processes,
chemical
additions,
and
distribution
system
characteristics
 
and
are
summarized
below.

(
1)
Source
Water
Quality
°
pH
°
Temperature
(
average
and
annual
minimum)
°
Total
Organic
Carbon
(
TOC)
°
UV­
254
absorbance
(
UVA)
1
untreated/
treated
waters.
It
is
sometimes
referred
to
as
UV254,
and
it's
units
are
cm­
1.
In
conjunction
with
TOC,
it
yields
important
insights
into
the
characteristics
of
the
NOM.

2
All
of
the
12­
month
series
(
months
1
to
12,
2
to
13,
etc.)
were
examined
during
the
M­
DBP
FACA
process
and
determined
to
be
similar.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
4
July
2003
°
Bromide
°
Alkalinity
°
Hardness
(
total
and
calcium)
°
Ammonia
°
Turbidity
(
2)
Treatment
Plant
Characteristics
°
Flow
(
average
and
design)
°
Sequence
of
unit
processes
and
parameters
influencing
their
performance
such
as
volumes,
flow,
detention
times,
baffling
characteristics
and
other
process
specific
parameters.

(
3)
Unit
Processes
°
Conventional
processes
such
as
rapid
mix,
flocculation,
sedimentation,
and
rapid
sand
filtration
°
Granular
activated
carbon
°
Microfiltration
°
Nanofiltration
°
Ozonation
(
4)
Chemical
Additions
°
Coagulation/
Softening
related
chemicals:
alum,
carbon
dioxide,
sodium
hydroxide,
ferric
chloride,
lime,
soda
ash,
and
sulfuric
acid.
°
Oxidation/
Disinfection
related
chemicals:
chlorine
(
gas),
sodium
hypochlorite,
chloramines,
chlorine
dioxide,
ozone,
ammonia,
ammonium
sulfate,
potassium
permanganate,
and
sulfur
dioxide.

(
5)
Distribution
System
Characteristics
°
Average
and
maximum
distribution
system
residence
times
In
some
cases,
plants
reported
changes
in
their
unit
processes
or
chemical
addition
inputs
during
the
ICR
period.
For
example
some
plants
installed
ozone
during
the
ICR
collection
period.
Also,
many
plants
change
disinfectant
type
from
chlorine
to
chloramines
during
the
year.
The
initial
technology
level
determination
and
disinfectant
type
for
a
plant
was
always
based
on
the
technology
or
disinfectant
that
was
reported
most
often.

Only
the
last
12
months
of
the
18­
month
ICR
collection
period
were
used
in
SWAT
to
avoid
seasonal
bias.
2
Ground
water
plants
generally
did
not
have
as
much
information
as
surface
water
plants
and
thus,
were
not
modeled
in
SWAT.
The
ICR
surface
plants
in
AUX1
were
screened
to
extract
only
those
with
at
least
one
month
of
all
required
SWAT
input
data
into
the
AUX8
database.
To
increase
the
number
of
plant­
months
that
could
be
processed
by
SWAT,
some
missing
raw
water
quality
data
were
estimated.
For
example,
missing
monthly
values
for
influent
pH,
hardness,
alkalinity,
and
ammonia
were
estimated
based
on
the
average
of
values
that
were
reported
in
AUX1
for
the
other
months.
Missing
monthly
raw
water
temperature
data
were
estimated
based
on
reported
temperature
data
from
other
points
in
the
plant
or
distribution
system
for
the
same
month.
TOC
and
UVA
were
determined
to
be
too
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
5
July
2003
No.
of
Months
No.
of
ICR
Plants
With
Corresponding
Months
of
Data
in
AUX8
Percent
of
Plants
with
at
Least
That
Many
Months
of
Data
in
Aux8
1
3
100%
2
3
99%
3
1
98%
4
3
97%
5
5
96%
6
2
95%
7
8
94%
8
15
91%
9
38
85%
10
35
71%
11
65
59%
12
95
35%
TOTAL
273
critical
to
estimate
if
neither
value
was
provided
for
a
given
month.
If
either
TOC
or
UVA
data
existed
for
a
plant
month,
the
missing
value
was
estimated
using
the
ratio
of
UVA
to
TOC
for
the
rest
of
the
plant­
months.

Of
the
350
surface
water
plants
in
the
ICR,
273,
or
approximately
78
percent,
had
at
least
one
month
with
all
required
data
for
SWAT
analyses.
There
is
a
potential
bias
resulting
from
the
exclusion
of
ICR
plants
from
the
analysis.
The
M­
DBP
TWG
determined,
however,
that
the
273
plants
evaluated
in
SWAT
adequately
capture
treatment
configuration
and
water
quality
conditions
of
all
ICR
surface
water
plants.

Plants
only
needed
one
valid
month
(
i.
e.,
one
month
with
all
required
parameters)
to
be
used
in
SWAT,
so
many
of
the
273
plants
used
do
not
have
complete
records
for
all
months.
Exhibit
A.
2
shows
the
extent
to
which
there
are
complete
plant­
month
records
in
SWAT.
Note
that
over
70
percent
of
plants
have
at
least
10
months
of
data,
and
more
than
90
percent
have
at
least
eight
months
of
data.

Exhibit
A.
2
Extent
of
Plant­
Month
Data
in
SWAT
Source:
SWAT
Run
Summaries
(
USEPA
2001e).
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
6
July
2003
Outputs
from
the
computational
components
in
SWAT
(
the
WTP
model
and
Decision
Tree
Program)
are
also
stored
in
AUX8
and
consist
of
the
following:

°
Technology
level
at
compliance
°
Modified
process
train
at
compliance
(
e.
g.,
modified
chemical
doses)

°
Water
quality
at
compliance
for
finished
water,
average
distribution
system
residence
time,
maximum
distribution
system
residence
time
locations
(
see
Section
A.
3
for
a
complete
description
of
these
locations
in
SWAT):

Disinfection
Byproduct:
­
Chloroform
(
CHCl
3)
­
Bromodichloromethane
(
BDCM)
­
Dibromochloromethane
(
DBCM)
­
Bromoform
(
CHBr
3)
­
Total
trihalomethanes
(
TTHM)
­
Monochloracetic
acid
(
MCAA)
­
Dichloroacetic
acid
(
DCAA)
­
Trichloroacetic
acid
(
TCAA)
­
Monobromoacetic
acid
(
MBAA)
­
Dibromoacetic
acid
(
DBAA)
­
Bromochloroacetic
acid
(
BCAA)
­
Haloacetic
Acid
(
HAA5)
(
sum
of
MCAA,
DCAA,
TCAA,
MBAA,
and
DBAA)
­
HAA6
(
sum
of
HAA5
and
BCAA)
­
HAA9
(
sum
of
HAA6
and
BDCAA,
CDBAA,
and
TBAA)
where:
BDCAA
=
Bromodichloroacetic
acid
CDBAA
=
Chlorodibromoacetic
acid
TBAA
=
Tribromoacetic
acid
Other
Water
Quality
Parameters
­
Bromate
­
Chlorite
­
Temperature
­
pH
­
Alkalinity
­
TOC
­
UV254
­
Bromide
­
Calcium
­
Magnesium
­
Ammonia
­
Disinfectant
Residuals
­
Pathogen
Inactivation
Outputs
are
discussed
further
in
the
next
two
sections.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
7
July
2003
A.
2.3
Water
Treatment
Plant
Model
The
WTP
Model
predicts
the
formation
of
DBPs
given
source
water
quality
conditions
and
water
treatment
plant
configuration.
It
consists
of
several
empirical
equations
that
predict
DBP
precursor
and
disinfection
behavior,
the
impact
of
water
treatment
plant
processes
on
water
quality,
and
concentrations
of
DBPs
in
the
distribution
system.
The
original
version
of
the
WTP
Model
was
developed
in
1992
(
Water
Treatment
Plant
Simulation
Program
Version
1.21
User's
Manual,
Malcolm
Pirnie
Inc.
June
1992).
In
2000,
the
WTP
Model
was
thoroughly
revised
by
Malcolm
Pirnie
Inc.,
under
EPA
funding
to
the
Center
for
Drinking
Water
Optimization
at
the
University
of
Colorado.
This
revision
included
incorporation
of
new
research
in
the
areas
of
DBP
precursor
removal
and
DBP
formation
during
chlorination,
ozonation,
and
chlorine
dioxide
addition.
The
extensions
and
modifications
to
the
original
model
have
been
documented
in
Solarik
et
al.
(
2000).

The
purpose
of
this
section
is
to
describe
how
DBP
precursors
and
other
related
parameters
were
modeled
through
a
treatment
plant
and
to
present
the
final
equations
used
by
the
WTP
Model
to
predict
DBP
concentrations.
The
last
subsection
includes
a
description
of
how
the
final
DBP
equations
are
used
for
different
treatment
plant
scenarios.
Section
A.
5
builds
on
this
section
by
explaining
how
the
DBP
equations
were
calibrated
using
ICR
data.

A.
2.3.1
Predicting
Changes
in
pH
The
WTP
Model
predicts
pH
changes
as
a
result
of
chemical
addition
during
coagulation
and
softening
using
thermodynamic
equilibrium
assumptions
in
a
closed
system
(
with
respect
to
carbon
dioxide
equilibrium).
This
may
not
be
an
entirely
accurate
assumption
since
a
water
treatment
plant
is
neither
a
perfectly
closed
system
because
it
is
open
to
the
atmosphere,
nor
a
perfectly
open
system
because
of
the
depths
of
the
basins.
The
WTP
Model
equations
to
predict
pH
changes
due
to
softening
do
not
account
for
the
kinetics
of
processes
such
as
calcium
carbonate
precipitation
or
carbon
dioxide
dissolution.
Consequently,
predictions
are
not
always
completely
accurate.
In
general,
the
WTP
Model
is
believed
to
slightly
over­
predict
the
depression
of
pH
due
to
coagulant
addition
(
Solarik
et
al.
2000).

Coagulation
pH
is
an
input
parameter
for
the
algorithms
that
calculate
settled
water
TOC
and
UVA.
The
over­
prediction
of
the
depression
in
pH
could
result
in
the
propagation
of
error
in
the
settled
water
quality.
However,
based
on
observed
data
from
several
water
treatment
plants,
these
errors
are
not
large
(
see
section
A.
5,
Model
Calibration).

A.
2.3.2
Predicting
TOC
Removal
In
the
earlier
(
1992)
version
of
the
Model,
TOC
removal
by
coagulation
was
predicted
using
an
empirically­
derived
equation
based
on
the
raw
water
TOC,
coagulant
dose,
and
the
coagulation
pH.
In
the
current
version
of
the
Model,
TOC
removal
is
predicted
using
a
semi­
empirical
sorption
model,
published
by
Edwards
(
1997).
Though
the
semi­
empirical
sorption
model
is
applicable
specifically
for
dissolved
organic
carbon
(
DOC)
removal,
it
has
been
shown
to
predict
TOC
removal
nearly
as
well
(
Edwards
1997).
The
major
differences
in
the
1992
model
equations
and
the
current
semi­
empirical
sorption
model
are:

°
The
current
model
divides
the
TOC
into
fractions
that
are
sorbable
and
non­
sorbable
by
the
coagulant,
and
attributes
TOC
removal
to
the
sorbable
fraction
alone.
Economic
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July
2003
°
In
addition
to
TOC,
coagulant
dose,
and
the
coagulation
pH,
the
current
model
uses
certain
calculated
model
coefficients
and
the
Specific
UVA
(
SUVA),
which
is
the
ratio
of
UVA
to
the
DOC
concentration,
of
the
raw
water
as
inputs.
A.
2.3.3
Predicting
UVA
Reduction
In
the
1992
version
of
the
WTP
Model,
the
equations
to
predict
UVA
removal
were
limited
by
small
data
sets.
The
new
equations
are
based
on
data
analysis
performed
on
the
AWWA/
WITAF
database
(
Tseng
et
al.
1996),
thereby
extending
the
data
sets
used
for
equation
development.

An
analysis
of
predictive
errors
for
the
UVA
removal
equations
was
performed
using
raw
water
data
from
the
AWWA/
WITAF
database
as
inputs
to
the
equations
and
comparing
the
WTP
Model
results
to
those
from
the
database.
The
analysis
concluded
that
the
equations
tend
to
over­
predict
UVA
removal.
Further,
the
errors
in
settled
water
UVA
predictions
are
greater
for
softening
than
for
coagulation.
However,
it
must
be
noted
that
the
data
set
used
for
verification
of
UVA
removal
by
softening
(
i.
e.,
from
the
AWWA/
WITAF
database)
is
very
limited.

A.
2.3.4
Predicting
Chlorine
Decay
In
the
current
version
of
the
WTP
model,
chlorine
decay
is
predicted
using
a
single
equation
based
on
bench
scale
data
and
work
published
by
Koechling
et
al.
(
1998).
The
general
form
of
the
equation
is:

C
t
=
[
"
1
×
ln(
C
0/
C
t)]
­
[
k
2
×
SUVA
0
×
t]
+
C
0
where:

C
t
=
chlorine
residual
concentration
at
any
reaction
time
t
C
0
=
initial
chlorine
dose
"
1
=
a
kinetic
rate
parameter
related
to
the
initial
dissolved
organic
carbon
(
i.
e.,
DOC
0)
and
the
initial
UVA
(
i.
e.,
UVA
0),
for
a
given
chlorine­
to­
TOC
ratio.
k
2
=
­[
a
×
(
UVA
0^
b)],
where
a
and
b
are
fitted
parameters
that
depend
on
the
treatment
and
the
chlorine
dose
SUVA
0
=
Initial
Specific
UVA
=
(
UVA
0/
TOC
0),
where
TOC
0
=
initial
TOC
t
=
reaction
time
The
derivation
of
"
1
was
oringally
performed
at
a
chlorine­
to­
TOC
ratio
of
2:

"
1@
2
=
4.98*
UVA
0
­
1.91*
DOC
A
correction
factor
was
developed
for
"
1
,
making
it
applicable
for
other
chlorine­
to­
TOC
ratios
(
Solarik
et
al.
2000):

"
1
/
"
1@
2
=
0.503
(
CL
2/
TOC)

A.
2.3.5
WTP
Model
Equations
for
DBP
Formation
During
the
development
of
the
WTP
simulation
model
in
1992,
a
limited
number
of
research
reports
were
available
to
derive
predictive
equations
for
THM
formation
during
chlorination.
As
a
result,
the
1992
version
used
an
empirical
THM
formation
equation
that
was
based
on
chlorination
experiments
Economic
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Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
9
July
2003
of
raw
(
i.
e.,
no
coagulation
or
filtration)
waters
only.
The
equation
was
originally
used
in
the
model
irrespective
of
chlorine
application
locations
throughout
the
water
treatment
plant.
Chlorination
conditions
on
which
this
original
THM
predictive
equation
was
based
included
conditions
that
are
experienced
in
water
plants
as
well
as
some
more
severe
chlorination
conditions
beyond
normal
practices
at
water
plants.

At
the
time
of
developing
the
revised
WTP
simulation
model
in
2000,
THM
predictive
equations
were
available
from
the
literature
that
represented
more
realistic
chlorination
conditions
at
various
stages
of
treatment.
Consequently,
different
THM
predictive
equations
were
used
for
predicting
THM
formation
in
raw
water
and
in
waters
after
various
levels
of
treatment.
This
section
discusses
the
different
sets
of
equations
used
by
the
WTP
Model
to
predict
DBP
formation.
It
includes
two
sets
of
equations
used
to
model
DBP
formation
as
a
result
of
(
1)
raw
water
chlorination
(
i.
e.,
water
not
subjected
to
any
treatment
other
than
chlorination),
and
(
2)
chlorination
of
treated
water
(
i.
e.,
water
subjected
to
full­
scale
treatment
process(
es)
besides
chlorination).

DBP
Formation
as
a
Result
of
Raw
Water
Chlorination
"
Raw
water"
model
equations
were
empirically
derived
from
studies
documenting
the
chlorination
of
untreated/
raw
waters
under
laboratory
controlled
conditions.

TTHM
raw
=
0.0412(
TOC
raw)
1.098(
Cl
2)
0.152(
Br
raw)
0.068(
T)
0.609(
pH
raw)
1.601(
t)
0.263
HAA5
raw
=
30.0(
TOC
raw)
0.997(
Cl
2)
0.278(
Br
raw)­
0.138(
T)
0.341(
pH
raw)­
0.799(
t)
0.1.69
where:

TTHM
raw
=
raw
water
TTHM
(
µ
g/
L)
HAA5
raw
=
raw
water
HAA5
(
µ
g/
L)
TOC
raw
=
raw
water
TOC
(
mg/
L):
1.2
#
TOC
raw
#
10.6)
Cl
2
=
applied
chlorine
dose
(
mg/
L):
1.51
#
Cl
2
#
33.55
Br
raw
=
raw
water
bromide
concentration
(
µ
g/
L):
7
#
Br
raw
#
600
T
=
temperature
in
degrees
centigrade:
15
#
T
#
25
pH
raw
=
raw
water
pH:
6.5
#
pH
#
8.5
t
=
reaction
time
(
hour):
2
#
t
#
168
DBP
Formation
as
a
Result
of
Chlorination
of
Treated
Water
"
Treated
water"
equations
were
based
on
work
performed
by
Amy
et
al.
(
1998)
using
coagulated
waters.
The
major
difference
between
these
equations
and
those
applicable
to
chlorinated
raw
waters
is
the
that
the
TOC
×
UVA
term
(
and
not
TOC)
accounts
for
the
impact
of
treatment
on
Natural
Organic
Matter
(
NOM)
removal
and
NOM
reactivity.

TTHM
=
23.9(
TOC
×
UVA)
0.403(
Cl
2)
0.225(
Br)
0.141(
1.027)(
T­
20)(
1.156)(
pH­
7.5)(
t)
0.264
HAA5
=
41.6(
TOC
×
UVA)
0.328(
Cl
2)
0.585(
Br)­
0.12(
1.021)(
T­
20)(
0.932)(
pH­
7.5)(
t)
0.150
where:

TTHM
=
treated
water
TTHM
(
µ
g/
L):
13
#
TTHM
#
690
HAA5
=
treated
water
HAA5
(
µ
g/
L):
12
#
HAA6
#
643
TOC
=
treated
water
TOC
(
mg/
L):
1.00
#
TOC
#
7.77
UVA
=
treated
water
UVA
(
cm­
1):
0.016
#
UVA
#
0.215
3Sufficient
pH
and
temperature­
dependent
data
were
not
available
to
model
their
effect
on
DBP
formationfor
treated
waters.
Therefore,
pH
and
temperature
factors
from
the
raw
water
equations
were
applied
to
treated
water
conditions.
These
factors
are
valid
in
the
temperature
range
of
15­
25
°
C
and
a
pH
range
of
6.5­
8.5.
Economic
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DBPR
Proposal
A­
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July
2003
Cl
2
=
applied
chlorine
dose
(
mg/
L):
1.11
#
Cl
2
#
24.75
Br
=
treated
water
bromide
concentration
(
µ
g/
L):
23
#
Br
#
308
T
=
temperature
in
degrees
centigrade:
15
#
T
#
25
3
pH
=
treated
water
pH:
6.5
#
pH
#
8.5
3
t
=
reaction
time
(
hour):
2
#
t
#
168
The
treated
water
TTHM
and
HAA5
equations
were
verified
by
plotting
modeled
results
against
observed
values
from
47
coagulated
waters
and
4
softened
waters
and
analyzing
the
residuals
(
i.
e.,
the
predicted
value
minus
the
observed
value)
and
average
errors.
In
general,
results
indicated
that
the
WTP
Model
slightly
under­
predicted
the
formation
of
TTHMs
and
slightly
over­
predicted
the
formation
of
HAA5s
for
coagulated
waters.
For
TTHMs,
ninety
percent
of
the
residuals
were
within
±
24
µ
g/
L
of
the
measured
values.
For
HAA5s,
ninety
percent
of
the
residuals
were
within
±
18
µ
g/
L
of
the
measured
values.
Due
to
the
limited
number
of
data
points,
the
results
from
the
analysis
of
the
softened
waters
were
not
as
conclusive
as
those
from
the
coagulated
waters.

A.
2.3.6
Using
the
DBP
Formation
Equations
for
Different
Chlorinating
Scenarios
DBP
formation
is
modeled
as
the
cumulative
formation
through
the
treatment
plant.
This
section
describes
how
the
two
sets
of
equations
presented
above
can
be
applied
to
different
treatment
plant
chlorination
scenarios.
Specifically,
the
following
are
discussed:

°
Pre­
chlorination
only
(
i.
e.,
chlorine
added
just
prior
to
coagulation)

°
Post­
chlorination
only
(
i.
e.,
a
single
point
of
chlorination
just
prior
to
filtration,
after
the
combined
treatment
of
coagulation,
flocculation,
and
sedimentation)

°
Pre­
and
Post­
chlorination
(
i.
e.,
two
points
of
chlorination
­
just
prior
to
coagulation
and
just
prior
to
filtration)

Exhibit
A.
3
(
presented
at
the
end
of
this
subsection)
shows
where
the
chlorine
is
assumed
to
be
applied
within
the
treatment
plant
for
the
pre­
and
post­
chlorination
scenarios
and
summarizes
how
DBP
formation
is
modeled.
Note
that
separate
equations
for
DBP
formation
in
distribution
systems
were
not
developed
 
the
distribution
system
is
considered
as
an
extension
of
the
treatment
plant,
and
formation
is
assumed
to
follow
the
same
kinetics
and
rates.

Pre­
Chlorination
Only
The
raw
water
model
equations
were
originally
used
to
predict
DBP
formation
for
plants
that
prechlorinated
only.
However,
research
by
Summers
et
al.
(
1998)
indicates
that
pre­
chlorination
just
before
or
after
rapid
mixing
results
in
less
DBP
formation
than
chlorination
of
raw
water
as
shown
in
the
original
studies.
To
better
predict
DBP
formation
post­
coagulation/
flocculation,
an
empirical
pre­
chlorination
factor
was
developed
to
account
for
the
decrease
in
DBP
formation
that
occurs
as
a
result
of
adding
chlorine
just
prior
to
the
rapid
mixers
relative
to
the
DBP
formation
that
occurs
as
a
result
of
adding
chlorine
to
the
raw
water:
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
11
July
2003
Decrease
in
TTHM
Formation
=
85.3
%
of
raw
water
model
results
Decrease
in
HAA5
Formation
=
79.4
%
of
raw
water
model
results
As
shown
by
Exhibit
A.
3,
the
raw
water
equations,
adjusted
using
the
pre­
chlorination
factors,
are
used
to
model
DBP
formation
through
the
sedimentation
process
(
prior
to
the
filters).
The
treated
water
model
is
used
to
predict
DBP
formation
through
the
filtration
process
and
into
the
distribution
system,
using
settled
water
quality
(
including
settled
water
chlorine
residual)
as
input
parameters.

Post­
Chlorination
Only
For
post­
chlorination
(
prior
to
filtration),
the
treated
water
model
was
applied,
with
the
settled
water
quality
and
chlorine
residual
after
sedimentation
being
the
inputs
to
the
model
equations.

Pre­
and
Post­
Chlorination
As
shown
in
Exhibit
A.
3,
the
raw
water
equations,
adjusted
using
the
pre­
chlorination
factors,
are
used
to
model
DBP
formation
from
the
raw
water
through
the
sedimentation
process
(
prior
to
the
filters).
The
treated
water
model
is
used
to
predict
DBP
formation
starting
after
sedimentation.
The
treated
water
model
is
adjusted
because
pre­
chlorination
will
result
in
lowering
the
UVA
of
the
settled
water
due
to
the
oxidation
of
the
UVA
by
the
chlorine.
The
settled
UVA
after
prechlorination
(
i.
e.,
UVA
Pre­
Cl2
)
was
estimated
from
the
settled
UVA
without
prechlorination
(
i.
e.,
UVA
no
Cl2)
using
the
following
equation:

UVA
Pre­
Cl2
=
0.7437
(
UVA
no
Cl2)
+
0.0042
Economic
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Distribution
System
Raw
RM
Floc/
Sed
Filter
Cl2
Alum
Raw
Water
Model
adjusted
with
Prechlorination
Factor
Treated
Water
Model
(
using
settled
water
quality
and
Cl2
residual)
DBPs
Time
(
or
Location
in
Plant)
1)
PRECHLORINATION
ONLY
RM
Floc/
Sed
Alum
Raw
Distribution
System
Filter
Cl2
Treated
Water
Model
for
settled
water
quality
and
CL2
dose
DBPs
Time
(
or
Location
in
Plant)
2)
POST
CHLORINATION
ONLY
Exhibit
A.
3
Application
of
DBP
Formation
Equations
for
Three
Chlorinating
Scenarios
Economic
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Proposal
A­
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July
2003
RM
Floc/
Sed
Alum
Raw
Distribution
System
Filter
Cl2
Cl2
Raw
Water
Model
adjusted
with
Prechlorination
Factor
Treated
Water
Model
(
with
time
=
0
at
2nd
and
Cl2
addition
point
and
UVA
decreased
Time
(
or
Location
in
Plant)
DBPs
3)
PRE­
AND
POST­
CHLORINATION
Exhibit
A.
3
Application
of
DBP
Formation
Equations
for
Three
Chlorinating
Scenarios
(
Continued)

A.
2.4
Decision
Tree
Program
This
part
of
SWAT
determines
how
a
treatment
plant
is
modified
to
comply
with
defined
regulatory
alternatives.
First,
the
program
determines
if
an
individual
plant
can
be
modified
using
the
least
expensive
(
and
typically
least
effective)
technology
to
comply
with
the
regulatory
alternative.
If
not,
the
program
moves
to
the
next
least­
cost
technology.
This
process
continues
until
the
plant
achieves
compliance.
The
technology
selection
algorithm
can
therefore
be
described
as
a
"
least
cost"
based
approach.
The
program
receives
inputs
from
the
database
(
AUX8),
and
uses
the
WTP
Model
to
estimate
treated
water
quality
before
and
after
predicted
treatment
changes,
and
sends
results
back
to
the
database.

The
steps
involved
with
using
the
Decision
Tree
Program
are
presented
in
Exhibits
A.
4
and
A.
5
in
flow
chart
and
table
format.
The
starting
point
is
at
the
top
of
the
tree,
and
the
process
improvement
order
is
from
the
top
row
to
the
bottom
row
and
from
left
to
right
in
any
row.

For
each
technology
starting
with
Enhanced
Coagulation/
Enhanced
Softening
(
EC/
ES),
there
is
an
additional
option
of
chloramine
secondary
disinfection
with
that
technology.
For
example,
if
the
tree
starts
at
EC/
ES
technology
and
it
does
not
yield
compliance,
then
the
next
option
is
EC/
ES
with
chloramines.
One
important
aspect
of
the
decision
tree
is
how
it
accounts
for
existing
disinfection
credit.
To
implement
an
advanced
disinfectant
in
a
process
train,
SWAT
credits
the
train
with
the
levels
of
inactivation
specified
by
the
user
(
see
section
A.
4
for
user
inputs)
and
adjusts
the
existing
primary
disinfectant
to
achieve
the
necessary
CT
credit.
Any
other
chlorine
additions
contributing
to
CT
are
decreased,
if
necessary.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
14
July
2003
Initial
Plant
MF
+
NF50
2Move
Cl2
EC/
ES
3GAC10
3GAC20
3GAC10
+
ClO2
GAC10
1,3GAC10
+
UV
2MF/
UF
2ClO2
2Ozone
(
raw)
2Ozone
(
sed.)
Adjust
Disinfection
3GAC10
+
O3(
raw)
1TC
MF
+
NF100
MF
+
NF75
1,2UV
Optional
With
and
without
chloramines
as
a
secondary
disinfectant
3GAC20
+
ClO2
GAC20
1,
3
GAC20
+
UV
3GAC20
+
O3(
raw)
3GAC10
+
O3(
sed)

3GAC20
+
O3(
sed)
Exhibit
A.
4
SWAT
Decision
Tree
(
Compliance
Selection
Sequence)

1Optional
steps
that
the
user
determines
whether
to
include
in
the
tree.
For
Stage
1
and
Stage
2
runs,
turbo
coagulation
was
an
available
technology.
UV
was
"
turned
off"
for
Stage
1
but
"
turned
on"
for
Stage
2
runs.
See
Section
A.
3
User
Inputs
for
Stage
2
DBPR
Model
Runs
for
more
information.
2With
Enhanced
Coagulation/
Enhanced
Softening
(
EC/
ES).
3Not
applicable
for
initial
plants
softening
via
precipitation.

Notes:
Order
is
top
to
bottom,
and
left
to
right.
The
GAC10/
20
+
O
3(
raw/
sed)
technologies
can
be
implemented
with
or
without
pH
adjustment.
Chloramines
can
be
used
at
any
point
in
the
decision
tree
(
including
initial
plant).
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
15
July
2003
Exhibit
A.
5
Abbreviations
Used
and
Description
of
Decision
Tree
Steps
Abbreviation
Description
Abbreviation
Description
Initial
Plant
Unmodified
Plant
GAC10
+
ClO2
GAC10
with
Chlorine
Dioxide
EC/
ES
Enhanced
Coagulation
/
Enhanced
Softening
GAC10
+
UV
GAC10
with
UV
Disinfection
TC
Turbo
Coagulation
GAC10
+
O3(
raw)
GAC10
with
Ozonation
of
raw
water
Move
Cl2
Move
Chlorination
Point
GAC10
+
O3(
sed.)
GAC10
with
Ozonation
of
settled
water
ClO2
Chlorine
Dioxide
GAC20
+
ClO2
GAC20
with
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
UV
Disinfection
GAC20
+
UV
GAC20
with
UV
Disinfection
Ozone
(
raw)
Ozonation
(
raw
water)
GAC20
+
O3(
raw)
GAC20
with
Ozonation
of
raw
water
Ozone
(
sed.)
Ozonation
(
settled
water)
GAC20
+
O3(
sed.)
GAC20
with
Ozonation
of
settled
water
MF/
UF
Microfiltration/
Ultrafiltration
MF
+
NF50
MF/
UF
with
50%
of
flow
treated
by
Nanofiltration
GAC10
GAC
(
10­
min.
EBCT)
MF
+
NF75
MF/
UF
with
75%
of
flow
treated
by
Nanofiltration
GAC20
GAC
(
10­
min.
EBCT)
MF
+
NF100
MF/
UF
with
100%
of
flow
treated
by
Nanofiltration
The
least
cost
decision
approach,
as
used
in
SWAT,
has
two
inherent
limitations
that
contribute
to
uncertainty
in
national
cost
and
benefit
estimates:

°
The
decision
tree
does
not
include
distribution
system
operational
or
design
modifications
that
could
reduce
DBPs
and
allow
the
plant
to
achieve
compliance
without
a
treatment
change.

°
The
model
cannot
take
into
account
site
specific
factors
(
e.
g.,
taste
and
odor
concerns)
that
could
result
in
a
system
choosing
a
more
expensive
technology
than
needed
based
on
SWAT
least
cost
algorithms.

Uncertainties
are
summarized
in
section
A.
6.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
16
July
2003
A.
3
User
Inputs
for
Stage
2
DBPR
Model
Runs
This
section
summarizes
the
inputs
and
settings
(
as
entered
into
the
SWAT
user
interface)
used
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
regulatory
alternatives.
SWAT
was
also
used
to
support
the
development
of
the
Long
Term
2
Enhanced
Surface
Water
Treatment
Rule
(
LT2ESWTR).
Conditions
presented
here,
however,
are
specific
the
Stage
2
DBPR
development
process.
Those
specific
to
the
LT2ESWTR
are
described
in
the
Economic
Analysis
for
the
LT2ESWTR
(
USEPA
2003m)

Average
and
Maximum
Residence
Times
SWAT
computes
DBP
concentrations
at
theoretical
locations
representing
average
and
maximum
residence
times.
The
inputs
for
the
average
residence
time
location
(
DS
Average)
and
maximum
residence
time
(
DS
Maximum)
are
based
on
ICR
data
from
four
distribution
system
residence
times
reported
by
the
system
are
as
follows.

°
Distribution
System
Equivalent
(
DSE)
 
a
sample
point
in
the
distribution
system
that
has
a
residence
time
equivalent
to
a
laboratory
sample.

°
Average
1
and
Average
2
(
AVG1
and
AVG2)
 
two
locations
having
average
residence
times
in
the
distribution
system,
as
designated
by
the
system.

°
Distribution
System
Maximum
(
MAX)
 
location
having
the
longest
residence
time
in
the
distribution
system,
as
designated
by
the
system.

The
input
for
the
DS
Average
is
the
average
of
those
four
residence
times.
The
input
for
DS
Maximum
is
the
highest
residence
time
reported
for
those
four
locations.

Flowrate
Conditions
Used
Three
flowrate
conditions
are
available
for
SWAT
execution:
1)
flow
at
time
of
ICR
sampling;
2)
average
monthly
flow
for
a
given
ICR
period;
and
3)
plant
design
flow.
All
calculations
of
DBP
concentrations
were
completed
using
the
average
monthly
flow.
All
new
unit
processes
"
built"
by
SWAT
were
sized
using
the
design
flow
condition.

Inclusion
of
Biofiltration
All
Stage
2
DBPR
regulatory
evaluations
included
biofiltration
processes
for
ozone
technologies.
This
assumed
that
the
filters
downstream
of
ozonation
would
achieve
enhanced
DBP
precursor
removal.

Surface
Water
Treatment
Rule
Disinfection
Requirements
For
all
regulatory
alternatives,
the
plants
must
meet,
at
a
minimum,
the
Surface
Water
Treatment
Rule
(
SWTR)
Giardia
and
virus
log
removal
requirements
of
3
and
4
logs,
respectively.
The
"
Initial
Plant
Run"
did
not
have
this
requirement
since
it
represents
pre­
Stage
1
or
existing
conditions.
In
other
words,
if
SWAT
predicted
a
plant
to
achieve
lower
Giardia
or
virus
log
removals,
the
plant
was
not
modified
for
this
run.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
17
July
2003
Log
Removal
Credits
for
Pathogens
Log
removal
credits
for
pathogens
were
based
on
(
1)
the
recommended
credits
contained
in
the
Guidance
Manual
for
Compliance
with
the
Filtration
and
Disinfection
Requirements
for
Public
Water
Systems
Using
Surface
Water
Sources
(
USEPA
1990),
and
(
2)
as
recommended
by
the
Microbial
Treatment
subcommittee
of
the
TWG
(
Exhibit
A.
6).
Cryptosporidium
inactivation/
removal
requirements
were
not
included
(
they
are
considered
under
the
LT2ESWTR.
If
the
removal
credits
used
in
SWAT
are
overstated
(
i.
e.,
the
credits
are
greater
than
the
treatment
provides),
then
the
estimates
provided
would
understate
treatment
selection
and
consequently
under­
predict
national
compliance
costs
and
benefits.
Likewise,
if
the
removal
credits
used
in
SWAT
are
understated,
then
the
technology
selection
could
be
overstated
and
both
the
national
compliance
costs
and
benefits
over­
predicted.

Exhibit
A.
6
Log
Removal
Credits
Used
as
Default
Values
in
SWAT
Unit
Process
Log
Removal
Credits
(
logs)
Giardia
Virus
Microfiltration/
Ultrafiltration
3.0
2.0
Nanofiltration
3.0
2.0
Sedimentation
0.5
1.0
Filtration
2.0
1.0
Use
of
Disinfection
Benchmarking
Disinfection
benchmarking
is
the
SWAT
input
that
determines
the
disinfection
requirements
for
a
given
plant.
If
"
Benchmarking
OFF"
is
selected,
then
SWAT
selects
disinfectant
doses
to
meet
the
most
stringent
of
the
log
removal
and/
or
inactivation
requirements
set
for
the
regulatory
option.
If
"
Benchmarking
ON"
is
selected,
SWAT
determines
the
minimum
monthly
level
of
log
removal
plus
inactivation
for
each
plant
under
existing
conditions
and
sets
these
as
the
log
removal
plus
inactivation
requirements
for
that
plant
for
all
process
modifications.
If
the
benchmark
is
less
stringent
than
the
disinfection
requirements
set
for
that
SWAT
run,
SWAT
will
default
to
the
most
stringent
requirements.

All
Stage
2
DBPR
regulatory
evaluations
were
conducted
with
"
Benchmarking
ON."
Maximum
benchmark
levels
for
Giardia
and
viruses
were
set
at
8.0
and
9.0
logs,
respectively.
Cryptosporidium
disinfection
was
not
benchmarked
because
most
systems
currently
don't
achieve
any
Cryptosporidium
inactivation.
Using
the
"
Benchmarking
ON"
option
most
likely
causes
an
overall
higher
technology
selection
estimate.
Some
systems
may
use
a
high
dose
of
oxidant
for
other
reasons
(
e.
g.,
taste
and
odor
control);
the
high
level
of
disinfection
is
a
secondary
benefit.
In
the
SWAT
model,
if
a
plant
currently
has
a
high
oxidant
dose
and
DBP
estimates
that
are
over
the
user­
defined
MCLs,
then
the
next
technology
in
decision
tree
is
selected
and
the
same
high
level
of
inactivation
corresponding
to
the
annual
high
oxidant
dose
must
be
maintained.
However,
in
implementation
of
the
DBPR
the
State
may
allow
lower
disinfection
for
improved
DBP
control,
as
long
as
the
level
of
disinfection
is
higher
than
the
existing
standards.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
18
July
2003
Chloramine
Conversion
Rate
SWAT
can
evaluate
three
settings
for
the
conversion
of
free
chlorine
to
chloramines
for
secondary
or
residual
disinfection.

°
All
free
chlorine
plants
can
convert
°
No
free
chlorine
plants
can
convert
°
A
specified
percentage
of
free
chlorine
plants
can
convert,
and
are
assigned
randomly
through
a
Monte
Carlo
probability
function
For
regulatory
evaluation,
77
percent
of
free
chlorine
plants
were
randomly
allowed
to
convert
to
chloramines.
This
was
set
as
the
maximum
possible
conversion
rate
expected
for
all
free
chlorine
plants
in
the
United
States.
This
maximum
national
chloramine
usage
level
is
intended
to
reflect
site­
specific
circumstances
and
other
local
factors
that
would
preclude
chloramine
usage
at
some
plants
for
reasons
other
than
technical
suitability.
The
maximum
chloramine
conversion
rate
was
approached
only
when
more
stringent
regulatory
alternatives
(
i.
e.,
40/
30
RAA)
were
evaluated.

Use
of
UV
Adding
UV
disinfection
to
a
treatment
process
is
an
optional
step
in
the
SWAT
decision
tree.
Because
UV
is
an
emerging
technology
for
drinking
water
treatment
it
was
not
considered
a
viable
option
for
Stage
1
compliance.
However,
EPA
believes
the
technology
and
necessary
regulations
will
be
available
for
systems
to
use
UV
to
achieve
compliance
with
the
Stage
2
DBPR.
Therefore,
the
UV
option
was
"
turned
off"
for
the
Stage
1
DBPR
run
and
"
turned
on"
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
runs.
(
See
Chapter
6
for
further
discussion
on
the
inclusion
of
UV
for
the
Stage
2
runs.)

Clearwell
Baffling
Improvement
Rate
For
regulatory
evaluation,
90
percent
of
plants
were
assumed
able
to
make
improvements
to
clearwell
baffling.
The
TWG
assumed
that
a
0.70
value
for
the
clearwell
baffling
factor
(
the
ratio
of
the
time
required
for
10
percent
of
a
system's
flow
to
pass
through
the
clearwell
to
the
theoretical
detention
time
in
the
clearwell)
was
a
reasonable
upper
limit
for
improvements
to
hydraulic
retention
through
such
basins.
An
analysis
of
the
ICR
data
on
clearwell
baffling
factors
showed
that
10
percent
of
ICR
plants
had
baffling
factors
at
or
above
0.70.
Therefore,
the
remaining
90
percent
of
the
plants
could
improve
their
clearwell
hydraulic
regime
to
attain
such
a
baffling
factor.
While
SWAT
allowed
90
percent
of
the
plants
to
increase
the
hydraulic
retention
time
performance
of
clearwells,
it
did
not
require
plants
to
do
so
in
evaluating
regulatory
alternatives.
The
clearwell
baffling
factor
was
considered
only
when
increased
disinfection
performance
was
necessary
and
could
be
achieved
by
such
measures.

Nanofiltration
Performance
for
Precursors
Nanofiltration
performance
for
precursors
was
assigned
based
on
ICR
Treatment
Studies
data,
representing
the
median
performance
of
nanofilters
for
precursor
control.
The
performance
and
operating
parameters
were
assigned
as
follows.

°
TOC
removal
=
92
percent
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
19
July
2003
°
UVA
removal
=
87
percent
°
Bromide
removal
=
78
percent
°
Molecular
weight
cut­
off
=
200
daltons
°
Water
recovery
=
85
percent
GAC10
and
GAC20
Regeneration
Frequency
When
the
decision
tree
program
chooses
GAC10
or
GAC20
as
the
next
feasible
technology
to
achieve
compliance,
it
adopts
the
following
sequence
of
reactivation
frequencies
to
check
for
compliance:
An
initial
evaluation
with
a
reactivation
frequency
of
360
days,
followed
by
reactivation
frequencies
of
300,
240,
180,
120,
and
90
days
in
that
specific
order,
until
the
plant
is
in
compliance.
The
TWG
verified
that
the
cost
hierarchy
of
the
compliance
decision
tree
was
maintained
under
this
sequence.

Turbo
Coagulation
Turbo
coagulation
is
a
technology
that
achieves
increased
TOC
removal
with
coagulant
doses
higher
than
those
required
by
enhanced
coagulation.
A
(
4x3)
matrix
of
raw
water
TOC
and
alkalinity
defines
the
percent
TOC
removal
in
SWAT.
The
default
turbo
coagulation
setting
used
in
SWAT
represents
the
75th
percentile
ICR
values
for
a
given
raw
water
TOC­
alkalinity
category
(
25
percent
of
ICR
water
treatment
plants
in
a
given
raw
water
TOC­
alkalinity
category
achieved
TOC
removal
greater
than
or
equal
to
the
specified
level).
Exhibit
A.
7
shows
the
additional
TOC
removal
achieved
with
turbo
coagulation
at
these
settings.

To
determine
if
turbo
coagulation
was
a
viable
treatment
alternative,
the
ICR
data
were
analyzed
to
see
if
additional
TOC
removal
was
possible.
For
surface
water
plants
with
conventional
treatment
(
non­
softening
plants),
the
TOC
removal
was
found
for
each
month
where
available
data
existed.
Each
plant
was
characterized
within
the
Stage
1
DBPR
enhanced
coagulation
matrix
for
TOC
removal,
based
on
the
annual
average
source
water
alkalinity
and
TOC.
The
distribution
of
annual
average
TOC
removal
for
ICR
plants
was
determined
for
each
alkalinity
and
TOC
category
in
the
matrix.
The
median
performance
of
the
plants
within
each
of
the
categories
was
found
to
be
very
close
to
the
TOC
removal
requirements
in
the
Stage
1
DBPR.
Therefore,
the
ability
of
such
plants
to
achieve
even
more
TOC
reduction
by
further
enhancing
their
treatment
performance
was
considered
a
viable
treatment
alternative.

SWAT
did
not
require
any
plants
to
meet
the
TOC
removal
performance
criteria
contained
in
the
turbo
coagulation
step,
but
allowed
conventional
plants
to
further
optimize
TOC
removal
as
a
means
of
meeting
DBP
requirements.
The
inclusion
of
the
turbo
coagulation
treatment
step
contributes
to
more
realistic
national
compliance
costs
by
reducing
the
number
of
plants
requiring
more
advanced,
but
possibly
unnecessary,
technologies
to
meet
DBP
standards.

A.
4
Model
Operation
This
section
provides
an
overview
of
SWAT
model
operation,
explains
how
compliance
is
determined,
and
lists
several
uncertainties
associated
with
SWAT's
compliance
determination
methodology.
4The
SWAT
program
can
also
be
run
in
a
mode
to
evaluate
all
possible
technology
choices
for
each
plant
and
the
resulting
DBP
concentrations
(
called
"
Monster"
SWAT
runs).
This
section,
however,
focuses
on
regulatory
compliance
analyses
Economic
Analysis
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2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
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July
2003
Numbers
above
bars
indicate
additional
TOC
percent
removal
with
Turbo
Coagulation
34
5
9
12
15
10
8
34
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
TOC<
2
TOC2­
4,
Alk<
60
TOC
2­
4,
Alk
60­
120
TOC
2­
4,
Alk>
120
TOC
4­
8,
Alk<
60
TOC
4­
8,
Alk
60­
120
TOC
4­
8,
Alk>
120
TOC>
8,
Alk<
60
TOC
Removal,
%

Required
Removal
ICR
75%
ile
Annual
Avg
Exhibit
A.
7
Additional
Increase
in
TOC
Removal
for
the
Turbo
Coagulation
Treatment
Step
A.
4.1
Overview
This
section
presents
an
overview
of
how
SWAT
predicts
DBPs
and
technology
selections
for
a
given
rule
alternative4.
The
steps
of
a
SWAT
model
run
that
predict
DBPs
and
technology
selections
for
regulatory
alternatives
include
the
following
(
also
shown
in
Exhibit
A.
8).

°
DBP
occurrence
estimates
are
a
function
of
TOC,
UVA,
bromide,
pH,
temperature,
residence
time,
and
primary
and
secondary
disinfectants.
These
data,
from
each
valid
month
used
in
the
SWAT
analysis,
are
input
from
AUX8
into
the
WTP
Model.

°
The
WTP
Model
calculates
THMs,
HAAs,
bromate,
and
chlorite
concentrations
with
empirical
equations
at
three
different
residence
times
 
one
representing
finished
water,
one
representing
distribution
system
average,
and
one
representing
distribution
system
maximum.
Economic
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°
Based
on
an
input
compliance
scheme
(
usually
involving
Maximum
Contaminant
Levels
[
MCLs]
and
a
compliance
aggregation
method,
such
as
running
annual
average),
the
Decision
Tree
Program
assesses
whether
the
plant
meets
the
compliance
criteria.

°
If
the
plant
meets
the
criteria,
the
WTP
Model
results
are
stored
and
no
further
change
is
made
to
the
treatment
process
of
the
plant.

°
If
the
plant
fails
to
meet
the
criteria,
the
Decision
Tree
Program
selects
the
next
least
cost
technology
feasible
for
that
plant
(
see
Exhibits
A.
4
and
A.
5).

°
The
WTP
Model
is
then
run
with
the
same
influent
water
characteristics,
but
with
the
new
technology
reflected
in
the
plant
record.

°
The
resulting
DBP
predictions
are
then
compared
with
the
compliance
scheme.

°
The
process
is
repeated
until
either
compliance
is
achieved
or
the
end
of
the
technology
tree
is
reached.
Economic
Analysis
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2
DBPR
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2003
Loads
raw
water
quality
and
processes
train
data
for
all
monthly
records
of
the
WTP
Model
from
AUX8
database
Runs
WTP
Model
for
each
initial
plant­
month
to
generate
treated
water
predictions
Implements
next
level
of
process
improvement,
per
Decision
Tree
order
Runs
WTP
Model
for
each
modified
plant­
month
to
generate
treated
water
predictions
Checks
compliance
Sends
output
to
AUX8
database
Stores
Data
in
AUX8
and
Moves
to
Next
Plant
Yes
No
Exhibit
A.
8
Diagram
of
SWAT
Process
A.
4.2
Compliance
Determination
Regulatory
compliance
was
determined
based
on
spatial
and
temporal
aggregation
of
the
SWATpredicted
DBP
concentrations
for
each
plant.
SWAT
predicts
DBP
concentrations
at
the
finished
water
location
and
at
two
points
in
the
distribution
system,
where
the
residence
time
of
treated
water
is
of
average
and
maximum
duration.

Three
main
MCL
compliance
alternatives
were
used
for
regulatory
evaluation
of
TTHM
and
HAA5:
the
running
annual
average
(
RAA),
locational
running
annual
average
(
LRAA),
and
single
highest
as
defined
below:

°
RAA
compliance
was
calculated
by
averaging
the
SWAT­
predicted
monthly
concentrations
at
the
distribution
system
average
location
over
the
1­
year
period.

°
LRAA
compliance
was
calculated
by
averaging
the
SWAT­
predicted
monthly
concentration
at
the
distribution
system
maximum
location
over
the
1­
year
period.

°
Single
high
compliance
was
determined
by
selecting
the
maximum
of
the
SWAT­
predicted
monthly
concentrations
at
the
distribution
system
maximum
location.
Economic
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2
DBPR
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For
regulatory
evaluation,
the
bromate
MCL
was
determined
using
an
annual
average
of
predicted
bromate
at
the
finished
water
sample
point.
The
chlorite
MCL
was
determined
as
a
single
high
concentration
of
chlorite
predicted
in
the
finished
water.

The
MDBP
TWG
recommended
that
a
20
percent
operational
safety
factor
be
used
for
DBP
MCLs
(
TTHM,
HAA5,
bromate,
and
chlorite)
when
evaluating
all
regulatory
alternatives.
This
safety
factor
is
consistent
with
practices
in
prior
DBP
regulatory
development
efforts
and
is
intended
to
represent
the
level
at
which
systems
would
be
compelled
to
take
some
action
to
ensure
compliance
with
a
new
drinking
water
standard.
In
addition
to
reflecting
industry
practices,
the
safety
factor
also
is
intended
to
account
for
year­
to­
year
fluctuations
in
DBP
data
(
ICR
data
is
limited
to
one
year
and
must
not
reflect
the
highest
DBP
concentrations
that
occur
in
a
system).

A.
4.3
Uncertainties
in
Compliance
Determination
This
section
details
the
areas
of
uncertainty
with
respect
to
SWAT
compliance
determination.
See
section
A.
6
for
a
summary
of
all
uncertainties
associated
with
using
SWAT
predictions
for
Stage
2
DBPR
benefit
and
cost
calculations.

Use
of
an
Operational
Safety
Factor
in
Setting
DBP
MCLs
The
use
of
a
safety
factor
increases
the
number
of
plants
affected
by
a
regulatory
alternative,
shifts
the
technology
selection
to
more
advanced
technologies,
and
increases
the
average
reduction
in
DBPs
due
to
the
Stage
2
DBPR.
As
noted
in
the
previous
section,
EPA
believes
that
use
of
a
safety
factor
generally
reflects
industry
practices
based
on
recommendations
from
the
MDBP
TWG.
There
is
uncertainty,
however,
in
the
concentration
below
the
MCL
value
at
which
systems
are
confident
operating
(
e.
g.,
the
safety
factor
may
be
more
or
less
in
some
cases).

To
assess
the
potential
impact
of
uncertainties
in
the
operational
safety
factor,
an
analysis
was
performed
to
compare
post­
Stage
1
technology
predictions
generated
with
a
safety
factor
to
predictions
based
on
no
safety
factor.
Results
displayed
in
Exhibit
A.
9
show
that
12
percent
more
surface
water
plants
are
predicted
to
install
some
form
of
treatment
to
comply
with
the
Stage
1
DBPR
MCLs
when
a
20­
percent
safety
factor
was
used
compared
to
no
safety
factor
being
applied.
Further,
granular
activated
carbon
 
20­
minute
contact
time
(
GAC20)
and
integrated
membrane
technologies
were
selected
only
when
the
safety
factor
was
applied.
Using
a
safety
factor
larger
than
20
percent
would
cause
even
more
systems
to
select
advanced
technologies.

While
there
is
still
uncertainty
related
to
using
an
operational
safety
factor
of
20
percent,
EPA
believes
that
this
recommended
value
is
a
reasonable
representation
of
true
operating
conditions
at
a
utility
and
that
the
error
introduced
by
different
safety
factors
being
used
by
systems
is
small.
Economic
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53
78
16
2
3
46
87
11
1
1
0
0
0.4
0.4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
CLM
Application
Conventional
Advanced
Oxidants
Microfiltration
GAC10
GAC20
Integrated
Membranes
Fraction
of
Surface
Water
Plants,
%

With
Safety
Factor
Without
Safety
Factor
Technology
Selection
by
SWAT
Total
CLM
Usage
for
All
Plants
Exhibit
A.
9
Predicted
Post­
Stage
1
(
Pre­
Stage
2)
DBPR
Technologies
in
Place
Generated
With
and
Without
a
20
percent
Safety
Factor
Plant­
Level
Analysis
of
Compliance
Determination
and
Treatment
Requirements
The
Stage
1
and
2
DBPRs
require
that
systems
sample
from
a
certain
number
of
distribution
system
monitoring
locations
for
each
plant
in
their
distribution
system.
The
required
number
of
monitoring
locations
varies
by
system
source
water
type
and
size
(
e.
g.,
4
monitoring
locations
are
required
for
large
surface
water
systems).
Although
monitoring
requirements
are
on
a
per­
plant
basis,
compliance
with
Stage
1
and
2
MCLs
are
based
on
system­
wide
TTHM
and
HAA5
monitoring
results.
Because
not
all
plants
in
a
given
system
were
available
for
SWAT
modeling,
SWAT­
predicted
DBP
results
for
each
plant
are
evaluated
separately
to
determine
regulatory
compliance.

The
effect
of
using
a
plant­
level
analyses
in
SWAT
to
predict
system­
level
compliance
is
discussed
below
for
three
alternative
compliance
calculations
(
RAA,
LRAA,
and
single
highest).
Results
show
that
uncertainties
introduced
by
plant­
level
compliance
exist
only
for
the
RAA
compliance
calculation.

°
RAA
 
In
systems
with
multiple
plants,
high
DBP
results
from
one
plant
could
be
averaged
with
low
DBP
results
from
other
plants
to
produce
a
system­
level
RAA
that
is
below
the
MCL,
even
if
the
one
plant
would
exceed
the
MCL
if
evaluated
alone.
For
example,
say
that
plant
A
is
a
surface
water
plant
with
a
TTHM
RAA
of
85
:
g/
L.
Plants
B
and
C
are
ground
water
plants
with
much
lower
TTHM
RAA's
of
40
and
45
:
g/
L
respectively.
Assuming
that
each
plant
had
an
equal
number
of
DBP
monitoring
sites
and
samples,
the
system­
wide
RAA
would
be
(
85+
40+
45)
/
3
=
56.6
:
g/
L.
Since
SWAT
evaluates
compliance
for
each
plant
Economic
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A­
25
July
2003
separately,
SWAT
could
potentially
predict
that
a
plant
needed
to
make
a
technology
change
when
in
fact,
it
is
within
a
system
that
is
in
compliance.

°
LRAA
 
Unlike
the
RAA,
the
LRAA
measure
evaluates
compliance
for
each
individual
monitoring
location.
If
a
plant
has
an
LRAA
over
the
MCL,
then
both
the
plant­
level
and
system­
level
analysis
will
show
the
system
out
of
compliance.

°
Single
highest
 
Similar
to
the
LRAA,
compliance
with
a
single
highest
value
will
target
each
individual
monitoring
location.
If
a
plant
has
a
single
highest
value
over
the
MCL,
then
both
the
plant­
level
and
system­
level
analysis
will
show
the
system
out
of
compliance.

The
Effect
of
Switching
From
Surface
Water
to
Ground
Water
on
Compliance
Determination
Some
ICR
plants
reportedly
switched
from
surface
to
ground
water
sources
during
different
times
of
the
year.
DBP
results
for
the
ground
water
use
periods
were
not
included
in
SWAT.
Switching
from
a
surface
to
a
ground
water
source
would
most
likely
decrease
TTHM
and
HAA5
formation
and
would
impact
RAA
and
LRAA
compliance
calculations.
Not
accounting
for
ground
water
use
periods
could
result
in
an
over­
prediction
in
the
compliance
forecast
predicted
by
SWAT.

A.
5
Description
of
WTP
Calibration
Process
and
Results
The
WTP
Model
was
calibrated
to
improve
its
ability
to
predict
the
central
tendency
of
the
ICR
data.
There
are
several
reasons
why
the
SWAT­
predicted
DBP
concentrations
do
not
necessarily
concur
with
the
ICR­
observed
data.
These
are
summarized
below
(
a
summary
discussion
of
these
uncertainties
in
SWAT
and
their
effects
on
the
Stage
2
DBPR
cost
and
benefits
estimates
are
presented
in
sections
A.
6
and
A.
7):

1)
The
WTP
Model
uses
generic
treatment
process
configurations
to
represent
real
ICR
plants.
For
example,
the
Model
represents
a
conventional
treatment
process
train
using
a
specific
configuration
of
the
pertinent
unit
processes.
However,
ICR
plants
employing
conventional
treatment
could
have
a
slightly
different
configuration
from
the
generic
conventional
treatment
plant
used
by
the
WTP
Model.

2)
The
WTP
Model
uses
empirical
equations
(
based
mainly
on
bench­
scale
tests)
to
predict
DBP
concentrations.
However,
it
does
not
take
into
account
site­
specific
factors
such
as
non­
uniform
flow
within
a
plant,
actions
of
microbes,
etc.
As
a
result,
the
predicted
finished
water
DBP
concentration
is
likely
to
be
different
from
the
ICR
observed
data.

3)
The
accuracy
of
residence
time
estimates
for
ICR
distribution
system
sample
locations
depends
on
operator
experience
with
the
system
and
the
extent
to
which
distribution
system
modeling
or
tracer
studies
have
been
conducted.
Furthermore,
residence
fluctuates
at
any
given
location
in
the
distribution
system,
and
the
ICR
sample
may
not
reflect
the
typical,
or
average
residence
time
at
that
location.
Because
DBP
formation
(
particularly
TTHM
formation)
is
highly
dependent
on
the
residence
time,
uncertainty
in
residence
time
inputs
would
result
in
inaccurate
estimates
of
DBP
concentration
by
the
WTP
Model.

4)
ICR
quarterly
samples
were
not
necessarily
collected
at
evenly
spaced
intervals
(
a
minimum
of
two
months
was
required
between
quarterly
samples;
however,
samples
were
not
required
Economic
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DBPR
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2003
to
be
taken
approximately
90
days
apart,
as
required
in
the
Stage
2
DBPR).
Thus,
a
single
sample
may
not
be
wholly
representative
of
that
quarter,
especially
if
the
seasonal
influence
is
strong.

5)
The
WTP
Model
predicts
the
quality
of
a
particular
slug
of
water
from
the
source
through
the
treatment
plant
and
distribution
system.
It
is
unlikely
that
ICR
monthly
samples
reflect
the
same
slug
of
water
at
these
locations.

6)
Although
rigorous
quality
assurance
procedures
were
followed
during
the
ICR
data
collection,
there
still
may
be
reporting
errors
in
the
ICR
data
set
as
well
as
errors
that
could
have
occurred
during
the
upload
of
data
into
the
Model.

7)
Missing
records
in
the
ICR
resulted
in
fewer
plant­
months
being
selected
for
calibration
(
see
Section
A.
2.1
for
a
description
of
how
plants
were
screened
and
how
some
missing
data
were
"
filled
in"
in
AUX8).

In
spite
of
these
differences
in
the
data
sets,
the
TWG
believed
that
calibrating
the
Model
outputs
to
the
central
tendency
of
the
ICR
data
was
appropriate
for
generating
national­
level
predictions
of
treated
water
quality.

Detailed
methodology
and
results
of
the
calibration
process
can
be
found
in
Chapter
8
of
the
report,
Information
Collection
Request
Data
Analysis
(
McGuire
et
al.
2002).
EPA
believes
that
it
is
important
to
summarize
results
of
the
calibration
in
this
economic
analysis
to
help
characterize
uncertainties
in
SWAT.
The
remainder
of
this
section
summarizes
the
WTP
Model
calibration
process
and
present
the
results.

A.
5.1
Calibration
Methodology
Water
Quality
Parameters
that
were
calibrated:
The
calibration
process
focused
on
the
following
parameters:

°
pH
adjustment
(
in
softening
and
non­
softening
plants)

°
TOC
removal
(
in
softening
and
non­
softening
plants)

°
Free
chlorine
decay
°
Chloramine
decay
°
THM
and
HAA
formation
with
free
chlorine
(
in
treatment
plant
and
distribution
systems)

°
THM
and
HAA
formation
with
chloramines
The
Model
algorithms
were
calibrated
starting
with
pH
and
ending
with
DBPs
since
the
algorithms
in
some
of
the
processes
in
the
above
list
use
inputs
from
algorithms
for
processes
preceding
them.

Note
that
calibration
was
not
performed
for
DBP
formation
for
plants
using
chlorine
dioxide
or
ozone
due
to
the
lack
of
sufficient
number
of
data
sets.
This
introduces
uncertainty
in
compliance
Economic
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forecasts
for
systems
using
these
technologies
(
see
Section
A.
6
for
a
summary
of
uncertainties
associated
with
the
SWAT).

Data
Set
Used
for
Calibration:
Although
the
ICR
database
contains
data
from
350
large
surface
water
treatment
plants
across
the
US,
only
a
subset
of
those
records
were
used
for
calibrating
the
WTP
Model.
The
following
rules
were
applied
to
this
subset
of
ICR
plants,
which
further
reduced
the
number
of
plants/
plant­
month
records
used
for
the
calibration
analysis:

1)
To
avoid
seasonal
bias,
the
calibration
analysis
used
the
last
12
months
of
ICR
data
(
i.
e.,
from
January
to
December
1998),
instead
of
all
18
months.

2)
Plants
using
unit
processes
such
as
air
stripping
or
process
configurations
such
as
mid­
stream
blending
were
excluded,
since
the
WTP
Model
was
unable
to
handle
those.

3)
Plant­
month
records
with
missing
water
quality
or
treatment
train
parameters
were
excluded
from
the
analysis.

4)
Plant­
months
with
predicted
finished
water
alkalinities
less
than
zero
were
excluded
from
further
consideration
(
see
step
1
of
the
calibration
approach
discussed
below).
A
finished
water
alkalinity
of
less
than
zero
indicated
erroneous
chemical
dosages
(
most
likely
errors
with
the
units).
Hence,
these
plant­
months
were
excluded.

Calibration
Approach:
The
calibration
approach
is
summarized
by
the
following
steps:

1)
Generate
uncalibrated
model
predictions,
which
are
stored
in
AUX
8
along
with
the
observed
data.
Plant­
months
with
predicted
finished
water
alkalinity
less
than
zero
were
eliminated
from
further
consideration.

2)
Queried
predicted
and
observed
data
were
from
appropriate
plant­
months
in
AUX8.

3)
Calculated
absolute
residuals,
i.
e.,
the
absolute
value
of
the
difference
between
observed
and
predicted
data
for
a
particular
parameter.

4)
Exclude
observed
and
predicted
data
pairs
with
the
highest
10
percent
of
absolute
residuals
for
the
parameter
being
calibrated
from
further
consideration.
This
was
done
to
ensure
that
the
extreme
outliers
in
the
ICR
data
didn't
skew
the
calibration
of
the
WTP
Model.

5)
Generate
scatter
plots
of
predicted
verus
observed
data
for
a
given
parameter
to
identify
if
calibration
adjustments
were
required.
To
determine
whether
a
calibration
factor
was
required,
a
line
of
best
fit
forced
through
the
origin
was
applied
to
the
scatter
plot.
If
the
slope
of
that
line
was
within
5
percent
of
unity,
no
calibration
factor
was
applied.
If
the
above
were
not
true,
one
of
the
following
two
calibration
adjustments
was
applied:

(
a)
Slope­
based
adjustment:
This
was
applied
when
the
best­
fit
line
not
forced
through
the
origin
had
an
intercept
close
to
zero.
Calibration
was
then
performed
using
the
best­
fit
line
forced
through
the
origin.
If
the
slope
of
this
line
was
beyond
5
percent
of
unity,
a
multiplicative
calibration
factor
equal
to
the
inverse
of
this
slope
was
applied
to
the
appropriate
WTP
algorithm.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
28
July
2003
(
b)
Slope
and
intercept­
based
adjustment:
This
was
applied
when
a
clear
linear
relationship
existed
between
the
observed
and
predicted
values
and
the
best­
fit
line
not
forced
through
the
origin
did
not
have
an
intercept
close
to
zero.
In
such
cases,
there
was
a
clear
trend
of
under­
prediction
at
one
end
and
over­
prediction
at
the
other
end.
The
slope
and
intercept
of
the
best­
fit
line
were
then
used
to
calibrate
the
appropriate
WTP
algorithm.

Model
Performance
Evaluation:
After
the
Model
was
calibrated,
its
performance
was
evaluated
as
follows:

1)
The
WTP
Model
was
re­
run
to
generate
a
set
of
calibrated
predictions.

2)
Observed
and
predicted
(
new)
data
were
queried
from
AUX8
for
the
same
plant
subsets,
and
scatter
plots
were
constructed.
The
square
of
the
correlation
coefficient
(
i.
e.,
r2)
was
calculated
for
the
scatter
plots
to
assess
the
predictive
performance
of
the
Model.
An
r2
value
of
close
to
unity
indicates
a
strong
correlation
between
the
observed
and
predicted
data,
and
thus
a
better
predictive
performance
of
the
Model.

3)
Cumulative
distributions
of
all
data
observed
(
without
the
exclusion
of
any
data
pairs
as
described
in
step
5
above)
were
compared
to
cumulative
distributions
of
predicted
data
to
assess
the
ability
of
the
Model
to
predict
full­
scale
treatment
performance
on
a
national
level.

4)
Paired
data
were
analyzed
to
investigate
the
Model's
correlation
with
site­
specific
ICR
observations.
This
was
achieved
by
calculating
residuals
(
i.
e.,
SWAT
predicted
minus
ICR
observed
value)
for
paired
data
for
each
water
quality
parameter.

A.
5.2
Calibration
Results
The
summary
of
the
calibration
results
for
all
the
parameters
are
presented
in
Exhibit
A.
10.
The
exhibit
summarizes:

°
The
calibration
adjustment
factor
for
each
parameter
(
refer
to
step
5
of
"
Calibration
Approach")

°
The
r2
value
of
the
scatter
plots
after
calibration
(
refer
to
step
2
of
"
Model
Performance
Evaluation")

°
The
5th,
50th,
and
95th
percentile
of
the
actual
residuals
for
each
parameter
after
calibration
(
refer
to
step
4
of
"
Model
Performance
Evaluation").
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
29
July
2003
Exhibit
A.
10
Summary
of
Calibration
Results
Parameter
Sampling
Locations
Included
in
Analysis
Treatment
Conditions
Calibration
Adjustment
Result
with
Calibration
Cumulative
Distribution
of
Residuals
(
Calibrated
Results)

5th
%
ile
50th
%
ile
95th
%
ile
pH
Any
in­
plant
site
but
mainly
settled,
filtered,
and
finished
water
Softening
pH
cal
=
(
pH
orig­
1.86)
÷
0.71
Slope
=
0.97,
r2
=
0.37
­
1.8
­
0.2
1.6
Non
softening
None
Slope
=
0.98,
r2
=
0.69
Not
reported
TOC
Any
in­
plant
site
but
mainly
settled,
filtered,
and
finished
water
Softening
TOC
cal
=
TOC
orig
÷
0.87
Slope
=
0.95,
r2
=
0.58
­
1.0
0.2
1.2
Non
softening
None
Slope
=
1.05,
r2
=
0.84
Not
reported
Free
Chlorine
Any
in­
plant
site
but
mainly
settled,
filtered,
and
finished
water
Plants
using
free
chlorine
as
primary
disinfectant
None
Slope
=
0.95,
r2
=
0.49
­
1.4
0.0
1.8
Chloramine
Any
in­
plant
site
but
mainly
settled,
filtered,
and
finished
water
Plants
using
chloramines
within
the
plant
None
Slope
=
0.87,
r2
=
0.21
­
2.9
0.1
3.0
TTHM:
Finished
Finished
water
Free
chlorine
only
in
plant
and
distribution
system
TTHM
cal
=
TTHM
orig
÷
0.77
Slope
=
0.96,
r2
=
0.50
Not
reported
TTHM:
DS_
AVG
Location
in
distribution
system
corresponding
to
average
res.
time
Free
chlorine
only
in
plant
and
distribution
system
TTHM
cal
=
TTHM
orig
÷
0.77
Slope
=
1.04,
r2
=
0.52
­
43
1.7
69
TTHM:
DS_
AVG
Location
in
distribution
system
corresponding
to
average
res.
time
Chloramine
in
distribution
system
TTHM
Clm
=
0.3
×
TTHM
cal,
free
Cl
Slope
=
0.99,
r2
=
0.27
Not
reported
HAA5:
Finished
Finished
water
Free
chlorine
only
in
plant
and
distribution
system
None
Slope
=
0.98,
r2
=
0.47
Not
reported
HAA5:
DS_
AVG
Location
in
distribution
system
corresponding
to
average
res.
time
Free
chlorine
only
in
plant
and
distribution
system
None
Slope
=
1.00,
r2
=
0.37
­
30
1.7
55
HAA5:
DS_
AVG
Location
in
distribution
system
corresponding
to
average
res.
time
Chloramine
in
distribution
system
HAA5
Clm
=
0.35
×
HAA5
cal,
free
Cl
Slope
=
1.02,
r2
=
0.27
Not
reported
Notes:
"
cal"
=
calibrated
predicted
value
of
a
parameter;
"
orig"
=
uncalibrated
predicted
value
of
a
parameter;
TTHM
Clm
=
calibrated
value
of
predicted
TTHM
concentration
with
chloramines;
HAA5
Clm
=
calibrated
value
of
predicted
HAA5
concentration
with
chloramines;
TTHM
cal,
free
Cl
=
calibrated
value
of
predicted
TTHM
with
free
chlorine;
HAA5
cal,
free
Cl
=
calibrated
value
of
predicted
HAA5
with
free
chlorine
Source:
McGuire
2002,
Chapter
8
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
30
July
2003
Box
plots
showing
distributions
of
observed
and
predicted
data
after
calibration
(
refer
to
step
3
of
"
Model
Performance
Evaluation")
are
not
presented
here
but
are
included
in
chapter
8
of
the
ICR
data
analysis
book
(
McGuire
et
al.
2002).

A.
5.3
Discussion
of
the
Calibration
Results
for
each
Parameter
1.
pH:

Softening
plants:
An
adjustment
in
the
slope
and
the
intercept
was
required
in
this
case
(
i.
e.,
pH
cal
=
(
pH
orig
­
1.86)
÷
0.71).
After
calibration,
the
r2
of
the
scatter
plot
increased
from
0.33
to
0.37.
The
slope
of
the
best­
fit
line,
forced
through
the
origin,
was
within
5
percent
of
unity.
This
indicated
that
the
observed
and
predicted
data
pairs
were
more
symmetrically
distributed
around
the
line
with
a
slope
of
unity,
after
calibration.

Non­
softening
plants:
No
calibration
was
required
since
the
slope
of
the
best­
fit
line,
forced
through
the
origin,
was
very
close
to
unity
(
i.
e.,
0.98).
The
r2
of
the
scatter
plot
was
substantially
higher
than
that
of
the
softening
plants
(
i.
e.,
0.69),
indicating
a
strong
correlation
between
the
data
pairs.

2.
TOC:

Softening
plants:
A
slope
adjustment
was
required
in
this
case
(
i.
e.,
TOC
cal
=
TOC
orig
÷
0.87).
After
the
calibration,
the
r2
of
the
scatter
plot
was
0.58,
thus
indicating
a
fairly
strong
correlation
between
the
data
pairs.

Non­
softening
plants:
No
calibration
was
required
since
the
slope
of
the
best­
fit
line,
forced
through
the
origin,
for
the
uncorrected
predicted
data,
was
very
close
to
unity.
The
r2
of
the
scatter
plot
was
the
highest
among
all
the
parameters
investigated
(
i.
e.,
0.84),
indicating
a
very
strong
correlation
between
the
data
pairs.

A
comparison
of
the
distributions
of
the
observed
and
predicted
(
after
calibration)
data
(
including
data
from
both
softening
and
non­
softening
plants)
indicated
that:

°
Predicted
values
at
the
75th
percentile
or
below
exceeded
observed
values
by
only
0.1­
0.2
mg/
L.

°
The
Model
predictions
were
generally
slightly
higher
than
the
observed
values.

3.
Free
Chlorine:

No
calibration
was
required
since
the
slope
of
the
best­
fit
line,
forced
through
the
origin,
for
the
uncorrected
predicted
data,
was
within
5
percent
of
unity.
The
r2
of
the
scatter
plot
was
0.49,
indicating
a
reasonable
correlation
between
the
data
pairs.

4.
Chloramine:

No
calibration
adjustment
was
made
in
this
case
even
though
the
slope
of
the
best­
fit
line
forced
through
the
origin
(
for
the
uncorrected
predicted
data)
was
not
within
5
percent
of
unity.
The
reasons
for
this
are:
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
31
July
2003
°
The
predicted
and
observed
data
were
weakly
correlated
to
start
with
(
since
r2
=
0.21).
Consequently,
multiple
attempts
at
calibration
failed
to
produce
a
desirable
improvement.

°
The
combined
effects
of
the
errors
in
reported
dosages
of
chlorine
and
ammonia
(
required
for
chloramine
formation)
compounded
the
errors
in
the
predicted
chloramine
residual.

°
Chloramine
residual
is
not
a
critical
parameter
and
is
rarely
used
to
achieve
disinfection
credit.

Paired
data
analysis
indicated
that
a
substantial
spread
in
the
distribution
of
the
residuals
(
see
Exhibit
A.
10),
although
an
evaluation
of
the
observed
and
predicted
distributions
indicated
that
the
median
values
matched
reasonably.

5.
TTHM:

For
plants
using
chlorine
in
the
distribution
system,
modeled
TTHM
formation
was
calibrated
using
observed
ICR
data
from
the
finished
water
location
and
calculated
distribution
system
average
(
or
RAA).
For
plants
using
chloramines,
the
DBP
formation
is
estimated
as
a
percent
of
the
predicted
TTHM
in
plants
using
free
chlorine.
Results
from
the
calibration
of
TTHM
formation
under
different
disinfection
scenarios
is
summarized
below:

°
TTHM
formation
at
the
finished
water
location
when
disinfecting
with
chlorine
in
the
treatment
plant
and
the
distribution
system:
A
slope
adjustment
was
required
in
this
case
(
i.
e.,
TTHM
cal
=
TTHM
orig
÷
0.77).
After
the
calibration,
the
r2
of
the
scatter
plot
was
0.50,
thus
indicating
a
reasonable
correlation
between
the
data
pairs.

°
TTHM
formation
at
the
DS
Average
location
when
disinfecting
with
chlorine
in
the
treatment
plant
and
the
distribution
system:
The
slope
adjustment
factor
of
0.77
(
from
the
TTHM
in
finished
water
case
described
above)
was
applied
to
the
data
set
for
the
DS_
AVG
location
(
i.
e.,
TTHM
cal
=
TTHM
orig
÷
0.77).
After
the
calibration
adjustment,
the
r2
and
the
slope
of
the
scatter
plot
were
found
to
be
0.52
and
1.04
respectively,
indicating
a
reasonable
correlation
between
the
data
pairs.

°
TTHM
formation
at
the
DS
Average
location
when
disinfecting
with
chloramine
in
the
distribution
system:
The
calibration
analysis
for
the
chloramine
condition
indicated
that
TTHM
formation
with
chloramine
=
0.30
×
TTHM
formation
with
free
chlorine.

6.
HAA5:

Similar
to
TTHM,
HAA5
was
calibrated
based
on
finished
water
and
RAA
results
for
chlorine
plants,
and
RAA
results
for
chloramine
plants.
Results
from
the
calibration
of
HAA5
formation
under
the
following
disinfection
scenarios
is
summarized
below:

°
Chlorine
in
treatment
plant
and
distribution
system
(
finished
water
location):
The
r2
of
the
scatter
plot
for
the
uncorrected
predicted
data
was
marginally
lower
than
that
in
the
case
of
TTHMs
(
i.
e.,
0.47).
However,
no
calibration
was
required
since
the
slope
of
the
best­
fit
line
forced
through
the
origin
(
for
the
uncorrected
predicted
data),
was
within
2
percent
of
unity.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
32
July
2003
°
Chlorine
in
treatment
plant
and
distribution
system
(
DS_
AVG
location):
The
r2
of
the
scatter
plot
for
the
uncorrected
predicted
data
was
marginally
lower
than
that
in
the
case
of
TTHMs
(
i.
e.,
0.37).
However,
no
calibration
was
required
since
the
slope
of
the
best­
fit
line,
forced
through
the
origin,
for
the
uncorrected
predicted
data,
was
nearly
unity.

°
Chloramine
in
distribution
system
(
DS_
AVG
location):
The
calibration
analysis
for
the
chloramine
condition
indicated
that
HAA5
formation
with
chloramine
=
0.35
×
HAA5
formation
with
free
chlorine.

The
middle
50
percent
of
the
observed
and
predicted
distributions
of
both
TTHM
and
HAA5
show
a
very
good
match.
However,
the
predicted
values
beyond
the
90th
percentile
are
significantly
higher
than
those
of
the
observed
values
(
approximately
25­
30
µ
g/
L
higher).
There
is
a
progressive
increase
in
disparity
at
the
tails
of
the
two
distributions
as
one
moves
from
pH,
to
TOC,
to
chlorine
residual,
and
finally
to
TTHM
or
HAA5.
Since
the
parameters
at
the
beginning
of
this
list
serve
as
inputs
to
the
algorithms
for
TTHM
and
HAA5
formation,
the
predictive
errors
propagate
from
the
pH
algorithm
to
the
DBP
algorithms.
Thus
the
probability
of
generating
outlier
predictions
increases
accordingly.
This
coupled
with
the
fact
that
there
are
large
uncertainties
in
the
distribution
system
residence
time
estimates,
results
in
the
DBP
predictions
exhibiting
the
maximum
spread
in
residuals
relative
to
the
other
parameters.

Part
II:
Evaluation
of
SWAT
Predictions
A.
6
Summary
of
Uncertainties
Exhibit
A.
11
summarizes
the
uncertainties
in
SWAT
and
their
impact
on
costs
and
benefits.
The
uncertainties
are
grouped
into
four
areas:

°
Model
inputs
from
ICR
°
Model
algorithms
°
Decision
tree
°
Compliance
determinations
Note
that
the
direction
of
the
potential
bias
resulting
from
each
uncertainty
(
i.
e.,
whether
it
results
in
an
over­
or
under­
estimate)
is
the
same
for
both
costs
and
benefits
in
every
case.
None
of
the
uncertainties
creates
a
known
downward
bias
in
cost
and
benefit
estimates;
however,
some
are
expected
to
bias
both
cost
and
benefit
estimates
upward.
The
direction
of
the
impact
of
the
uncertainty
is
unknown
for
a
majority.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
33
July
2003
Exhibit
A.
11
Summary
of
Uncertainties
and
Their
Impact
On
Costs
and
Benefits
Uncertainty
Section
Where
Uncertainty
is
Discussed
Effect
on
Benefit
Estimate
Effect
on
Cost
Estimates
Underestimate
Overestimate
Unknown
Impact
Underestimate
Overestimate
Unknown
Impact
Model
Inputs
from
the
ICR
Water
quality
records
for
certain
plant­
months
in
AUX8
were
not
complete
and
were
filled
in
based
on
best
professional
judgement
A.
2.2
X
X
Potential
reporting
errors
in
the
ICR
data
and
potential
errors
while
uploading
data
from
the
ICR
to
SWAT
A.
5
X
X
Uncertainty
in
residence
time
estimates
from
the
ICR;
quarterly
distribution
system
sample
results
may
not
be
evenly
spaced
A.
5
X
X
User
Inputs
The
maximum
chloramine
conversion
rate
was
set
at
77
percent
based
on
best
professional
judgement.
Actual
limitations
on
chloramine
use
could
be
lower
or
higher
A.
3
X
X
Benchmarking
was
turned
"
on"
for
all
Stage
1
and
Stage
2
runs,
meaning
that
plants
had
to
maintain
their
initial
level
of
inactivation
when
switching
disinfectants.
A.
3
X
X
WTP
Algorithms
Empirical
model
equations
are
based
on
bench
scale
test
and
may
not
reflect
site
specific
plant
conditions.
A.
5
X
X
WTP
algorithms
based
on
generic
treatment
process
configurations
were
used
to
represent
real
ICR
plants.
A.
5
X
X
WTP
algorithms
for
predicting
DBP
occurrence
for
CLO2
and
Ozone
plants
were
not
calibrated
using
ICR
observed
data
A.
5
X
X
Decision
Tree
Decision
tree
does
not
consider
distribution
system
modifications
1
A.
2.4
X
X
Decision
tree
does
not
consider
other
factors
that
may
influence
systems
to
select
something
other
than
the
least
­
cost
A.
2.4
X
X
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
34
July
2003
Exhibit
A.
11
Summary
of
Uncertainties
and
Their
Impact
On
Costs
and
Benefits
(
Continued)

Uncertainty
Section
Where
Uncertainty
is
Discussed
Effect
on
Benefit
Estimate
Effect
on
Cost
Estimates
Underestimate
Overestimate
Unknown
Impact
Underestimate
Overestimate
Unknown
Impact
Compliance
Determination
Compliance
determinations
are
based
on
plant­
level,
rather
than
systemlevel
analyses
(
affects
RAA
only)
A.
4.3
X
X
Compliance
determinations
are
based
on
plant­
level,
rather
than
systemlevel
analyses
(
affects
RAA
only)
A.
4.3
X
X
Use
of
an
operational
safety
factor
of
20%
to
the
MCL
while
determining
compliance.
A.
4.3
X
X
Uncertainty
due
to
some
plants
switching
from
surface
water
to
ground
water
during
certain
times
of
the
year
(
affects
RAA
and
LRAA
only)
A.
4.3
X
X
1
This
uncertainty
is
also
presented
in
Chapter
6.
5Different
technologies
have
different
unit
costs
and
different
impacts
on
DBP
formation.

6Although
validation
of
Post­
Stage
2
results
would
have
been
preferable,
the
validation
was
done
for
post­
Stage
1
because,
at
this
time
of
this
analysis,
there
were
many
potential
Stage
2
DBPR
regulatory
alternatives
still
being
evaluated.
Performing
the
independent
analyses
for
several
compliance
alternatives
was
considered
by
the
TWG
to
be
too
time
intensive.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
35
July
2003
A.
7
Verification
of
SWAT
Model
Results
This
section
provides
data
analyses
and
rationale
to
support
EPA's
conclusion
that
SWAT
is
an
adequate
tool
for
Stage
2
DBPR
benefit
and
cost
projections.
Validation
of
SWAT
is
limited
by
(
1)
the
absence
of
comparable
models
to
predict
DBP
formation
and
resulting
changes
in
DBP
formation
as
a
function
of
technology
changes,
and
(
2)
known
differences
between
the
specific
types
of
ICR
data
(
observed)
and
SWAT
data
(
predicted)
available
for
comparison.

There
are
two
main
analyses
in
this
section
that
are
used
to
support
the
use
of
SWAT
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR:

(
1)
Use
of
several
expert
polls
to
develop
technology
selection
predictions
for
the
Stage
1
DBPR
to
be
compared
to
SWAT­
predicted
technology
selections,
discussed
in
Section
A.
7.1
(
2)
Comparison
of
SWAT
predicted
pre­
Stage
1
DBP
data
to
ICR
observed
DBP
data,
discussed
in
Section
A.
7.2.

Section
A.
7.3
follows
with
conclusions.
It
is
important
to
note
that
ICR
observed
data
and
SWAT
predicted
data
are
expected
to
be
different,
as
explained
in
Section
A.
5.
Any
validation
of
SWAT
based
on
ICR
data
should
be
done
with
this
in
mind.

A.
7.1
Validation
of
SWAT
Technology
Selection
Results
The
type
of
technologies
that
are
selected
by
non­
compliant
plants
influences
both
Stage
2
DBPR
benefits
and
cost
estimates5.
To
validate
the
reasonableness
of
the
SWAT
technology
decision
tree
and
selection
methodology,
the
TWG
compared
two
independent
analyses
of
technology
forecasts
to
the
results
with
SWAT's
pre­
Stage
2
(
post­
Stage
1)
DBPR
predictions.
6
The
two
independent
analyses
are
referred
to
as
the
"
Delphi
Poll"
and
the
"
Utility
Poll"
and
are
described
below.
A
discussion
of
results
follows.

ICR
Surface
Water
Expert
Poll
(
Delphi
Poll)

The
TWG
conducted
an
expert,
or
"
delphi"
poll
to
obtain
Stage
1
DBPR
impact
estimates,
based
on
technical
expertise.
Experts
were
provided
detailed
water
quality
and
treatment
process
characteristics
from
the
AUX1
database
for
all
ICR
plants
that
appeared
not
to
meet
the
MCLs
for
the
Stage
1
DBPR
(
based
on
the
ICR
data,
assuming
a
20
percent
safety
factor
for
compliance).
The
experts
then
reviewed
each
plant
to
determine
the
most
likely
technology
choice
to
meet
the
Stage
1
DBPR.
The
experts
were
also
asked
to
choose
the
least­
cost
technology
option.
If
an
expert
had
knowledge
about
a
specific
plant
that
would
lead
him
or
her
to
choose
a
technology
other
than
the
leastcost
the
expert
was
asked
to
identify
that
technology
and
the
reasons
for
the
choice.
The
results
were
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
36
July
2003
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%

Conv.
+
Cl2
Conv.
+
Clm
EC+
Cl2
EC+
Clm
O3+
Clm
EC+
O3+
Clm
EC+
GAC10
EC+
GAC20
Membranes
ClO2
Technology
Percentage
of
Plants
Utility
Poll
Delphi
Poll
(
Best
Professional
Judgement)

Delphi
Poll
(
Least
Cost)

SWAT
collected
from
the
experts,
summarized,
and
presented
to
the
M­
DBP
FACA
(
USEPA
2000p,
TWG
Presentation
to
FACA
Committee,
March
29,
2000).

ICR
Surface
Water
Industry
Poll
(
Utility
Poll)

The
industry
poll
was
developed
by
the
AWWA
and
served
a
similar
role
as
the
expert
poll.
It
compared
SWAT
results
to
the
Stage
1
DBPR
impacts
anticipated
by
industry
representatives.
In
this
process,
AWWA
surveyed
ICR
systems
and
asked
them
to
identify
the
technology
they
were
planning
to
implement
in
response
to
the
Stage
1
DBPR.
The
summarized
results
were
presented
to
the
M­
DBP
FACA
and
compared
with
the
other
predictions
(
USEPA
2000p)

Results
Exhibit
A.
12
compares
the
technology
selection
forecasts
predicted
by
SWAT,
the
Delphi
Poll
(
both
expected
and
least­
cost
results),
and
the
Utility
Poll.
In
general,
the
distributions
of
Post­
Stage
1
technologies­
in­
place
predicted
by
the
polls
and
SWAT
are
in
good
agreement
with
each
other.
Relative
to
the
two
polls,
SWAT
does
not
significantly
over­
predict
or
under­
predict
the
expected
prevalence
of
any
technology
following
the
implementation
of
the
Stage
1
rule.
Based
on
these
comparisons,
the
FACA
determined
that
SWAT
was
sufficiently
reliable
to
also
serve
as
the
basis
for
making
Stage
2
technology
selection
forecasts
and
relied
upon
SWAT
outputs
to
compare
and
evaluate
regulatory
options
during
it's
deliberations.

Exhibit
A.
12
Comparison
of
Predicted
Post­
Stage
1
Technologies­
in­
Place
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
37
July
2003
A.
7.2
Comparison
of
ICR
Observed
and
SWAT
Predicted
Data
This
section
describes
the
ICR
and
SWAT
data
used
for
the
comparison,
presents
results
of
the
comparison,
and
discusses
implications
of
the
results
on
the
Stage
2
DBPR
cost
and
benefits
estimate.
All
graphs
and
tables
are
provided
at
the
end
of
this
subsection.

Data
Evaluated
ICR
observed
data
is
compared
to
SWAT
predicted
"
initial
plant"
(
which
reflects
Pre­
Stage
1)
DBP
data
for
each
of
the
273
surface
water
plants
modeled
in
SWAT.
ICR
distribution
system
data
consist
of
quarterly
measurements
at
four
locations:
DSE,
AVG1,
AVG2,
and
DS
Maximum.
The
SWAT­
predicted
DBP
data
are
predicted
monthly
values
for
the
average
residence
time
location
and
the
maximum
residence
time
location.
Note
that
the
average
residence
time
in
SWAT
is
calculated
as
the
mean
of
the
residence
times
for
DSE,
AVG1,
AVG2,
and
DS
Maximum
as
reported
in
the
ICR.
The
residence
time
for
SWAT's
maximum
location
is
based
on
the
ICR­
reported
residence
time
for
the
DS
Maximum
location.

For
the
purposes
of
this
section,
distribution
system
data
are
evaluated
in
three
groups
consistent
with
the
regualtory
alternatives
considered
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
(
see
Exhibit
A.
13).

Exhibit
A.
13
Description
of
Data
Types
Data
Type
ICR
SWAT
Corresponding
Exhibits
RAA
The
average
of
the
data
for
the
last
four
quarters
of
the
ICR
collection
period
for
each
of
the
four
distribution
system
locations
(
i.
e.,
a
potential
of
16
data
points).
The
average
of
12
monthly
predictions
of
DBP
values
for
the
single
average
residence
time
location
(
i.
e.,
a
potential
of
12
data
points).
A.
15
for
TTHM
A.
16
for
HAA5
Highest
LRAA
The
highest
of
the
four
annual
average
DBP
values
(
based
on
the
last
four
quarters
of
the
ICR
collection
period),
each
corresponding
to
one
of
the
four
distribution
system
locations.
The
average
of
12
monthly
predictions
of
DBP
values
for
the
DS
Maximum
residence
time
location.
A.
17
for
TTHM
A.
18
for
HAA5
Single
Highest
The
highest
DBP
concentration
of
any
sample
collected
during
the
last
four
quarters
of
the
ICR
collection
period
at
any
of
the
four
distribution
system
locations.
The
highest
monthly
predicted
DBP
level
for
the
DS
Maximum
residence
time
location.
A.
19
for
TTHM
A.
20
for
HAA5
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
38
July
2003
Results
There
are
two
types
of
graphs
used
to
compare
SWAT
and
ICR
plant­
level
results
(
note
that
all
graphs
are
presented
at
the
end
of
this
subsection).
A
description
of
each
type
is
summarized
below.

°
Residual
Plots
(
A.
15a,
A.
16a,
A.
17a,
A.
18a,
A.
19a,
A.
20a),
where
ICR
RAA
(
or
highest
LRAA
or
single
highest)
is
on
the
x­
axis,
and
the
corresponding
SWAT
predicted
DBP
data
minus
the
ICR
data
(
referred
to
as
the
"
residual")
is
on
the
y­
axis.
Each
point
on
the
graph
represents
results
for
an
individual
plant.
A
residual
value
of
zero
indicates
that
the
SWAT
predicted
data
and
the
ICR
data
are
in
perfect
agreement.
A
positive
residual
indicates
that
SWAT
over­
predicts
relative
to
the
ICR
data,
and
a
negative
residual
indicates
that
SWAT
under­
predicts
relative
to
the
ICR
data.

°
SWAT
vs.
ICR
plots
(
A.
15b,
A.
16b,
A.
17b,
A.
18b,
A.
19b,
and
A.
20b),
where
ICR
RAA
(
or
highest
LRAA
or
single
highest)
is
on
the
x­
axis,
and
the
corresponding
SWAT
predicted
data
is
on
the
y­
axis.
Each
data
point
on
the
graph
represents
results
for
an
individual
plant.
The
dark,
diagonal
line
(
or
"
zero
residual
line")
is
where
SWAT­
predicted
data
equals
the
ICR
observed
data.
The
vertical
and
horizontal
dashed
lines
depict
the
MCL
constraints
(
64
m
g/
L
for
TTHM
and
48
m
g/
L
for
HAA5,
i.
e.,
with
a
safety
factor
of
20
percent)
SWAT
used
to
evaluate
plants
for
compliance
with
the
Stage
1
and
Stage
2
DBPRs.
The
plants
above
the
dashed
horizontal
line
were
predicted
to
change
technologies
based
on
SWAT
data.
The
plants
to
the
right
of
the
dashed
vertical
line
are
above
64/
48
m
g/
L
based
on
ICR
observed
data
and
would
require
technology
changes
to
achieve
compliance.
From
these
three
lines,
six
regions
are
formed,
as
summarized
in
Exhibit
A.
14.

Exhibit
A.
14
Description
of
Regions
in
SWAT
vs.
ICR
Plots
Region
in
Plot
Description
Which
One
Has
Higher
TTHM/
HAA5
Results?
Which
One
Indicates
that
the
Plant
Will
Need
to
Change
Technology?

SWAT
ICR
SWAT
ICR
V
Neither
SWAT
nor
ICR
predict
a
technology
change
/
VI
/
II
Both
SWAT
and
ICR
predict
a
technology
change
/
/
/
III
/
/
/
I
SWAT
predicts
a
technology
change,
but
ICR
does
not
/
/
IV
ICR
predicts
a
technology
change,
but
SWAT
does
not
/
/
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
39
July
2003
In
addition
to
the
graphical
representation,
Exhibit
A.
21
provides
data
calculated
from
the
plots
that
can
be
used
to
assess
the
predictive
capability
of
SWAT
as
compared
to
ICR
observed
data.
Three
parameters
were
determined
to
be
of
interest
for
this
purpose:

1)
The
percent
of
plants
that
have
residuals
(
i.
e.,
SWAT
predicted
value
minus
the
ICR
observed
value)
that
are
within
±
20
:
g/
L.

2)
The
average
of
the
residuals
(
i.
e.,
SWAT
predicted
value
minus
the
ICR
observed
value)
for
all
plants.

3)
The
number
of
plants
in
Region
1
(
SWAT
predicts
compliance
change
but
ICR
does
not)
compared
to
the
number
of
plants
in
Region
IV
(
ICR
predicts
compliance
change
but
SWAT
does
not)

Observations
Results
for
the
RAA
calculation
show
that
nearly
60
percent
of
TTHM
residuals
(
residual
=
SWAT
minus
ICR
value)
and
approximately
65
percent
of
HAA5
residuals
are
within
±
20
:
g/
L.
Results
are
similar
for
the
single
highest
analyses.
Results
for
the
LRAA
calculation
show
that
a
smaller
percentage
of
residuals
(
41
and
47
percent
for
TTHM
and
HAA5,
respectively)
are
within
±
20
:
g/
L.
This
lower
percentage
could
be
due
to
the
fact
that
SWAT
LRAA
is
based
on
the
yearly
average
at
the
DS
Maximum
location,
whereas
the
ICR
LRAA
is
based
on
the
maximum
of
the
LRAA's
taken
at
leach
distribution
system
location
(
DSE,
AVG1,
AVG2,
and
DSMaximum).
Chapter
3
of
this
EA
explains
how
the
maximum
LRAA
from
the
ICR
occurs
at
the
DS
Maximum
only
about
50
percent
of
the
time.

The
residual
plots
and
the
calculated
average
of
all
residuals
(
shown
in
Exhibit
A.
21)
demonstrate
that
the
sum
of
all
positive
residuals
(
where
SWAT
predicts
higher
values
than
ICR)
and
the
sum
of
all
negative
residuals
(
where
SWAT
predicts
lower
values
than
the
ICR)
are
within
5
:
g/
L
of
each
other.
In
other
words:

Sum
of
All
Positive
Residuals
+
Sum
of
Negative
Residuals
-
0
­
5
:
g/
L
For
the
LRAA
and
single
highest
calculations,
the
total
positive
and
negative
residuals
are
even
closer
 
within
2
:
g/
L
in
most
cases.
This
indicates
that
the
national
average
TTHM
and
HAA5
concentrations
predicted
by
SWAT
for
all
large
surface
water
plants
is
very
similar
to
the
national
average
TTHM
and
HAA5
concentrations
measured
for
all
large
surface
water
plants
during
the
ICR.

The
SWAT
vs.
ICR
plots
illustrate
differences
in
compliance
forecasts
using
the
predicted
and
observed
data
sets.
As
described
in
Exhibit
A.
14,
the
plants
in
Regions
I
and
IV
are
where
SWAT
and
ICR
data
produce
different
compliance
results.
For
the
TTHM
64/
48
RAA
analysis
(
i.
e.,
Stage
1
MCLs
with
a
20
percent
safety
factor):

°
46
of
the
273
plants
evaluated
are
predicted
by
SWAT
but
not
by
ICR
to
change
technology
based
on
the
TTHM
MCL
(
Region
I)

°
20
of
the
273
plants
are
predicted
by
ICR
but
not
SWAT
to
change
technology
based
on
the
TTHM
MCL
(
Region
IV)
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
40
July
2003
It
can
be
deduced
from
these
results
that
SWAT
predicts
Stage
1
DBPR
compliance
changes
for
10
percent
more
plants
([
46­
20]/
273)
than
ICR
based
on
the
TTHM
MCL.
HAA5
results
are
similar
 
37
plants
are
predicted
by
SWAT
but
not
by
ICR
to
change
technology
(
Region
I);
however
17
plants
are
predicted
by
ICR
but
not
SWAT
to
change
technology
(
Region
IV).
Results
show
that
SWAT
predicts
compliance
changes
for
approximately
7
percent
more
plants
([
37­
17]/
273)
than
ICR
based
on
the
HAA5
MCL
It
is
important
to
keep
in
mind
that
comparisons
of
ICR­
observed
and
SWAT­
predicted
data
represent
Pre­
Stage
1
conditions.
Cost
and
benefit
estimates
in
this
EA
are
based
on
the
incremental
impact
of
the
Stage
2
DBPR
after
systems
are
in
compliance
with
the
Stage
1
DBPR.

A.
7.3
Conclusions
Potential
errors
in
SWAT
DBP
predictions
can
affect
both
(
1)
the
estimated
reduction
in
DBP
concentration
due
to
the
Stage
2
DBPR
(
benefits),
and
(
2)
the
number
of
plants
changing
technology
and
which
technologies
these
plants
select
to
meet
Stage
2
DBPR
requirements
(
costs).
The
impact
of
potential
errors
in
SWAT
on
the
Stage
2
DBPR
cost
and
benefit
estimates
are
difficult
to
assess
because
of
the
nature
of
the
compliance
forecast
methodology.
The
four
general
steps
in
the
compliance
forecast
methodology
are
provided
below
(
see
section
6.4.2
for
a
full
discussion
of
the
compliance
forecast
generation).

°
Step
1:
Model
a
pre­
Stage
1
baseline
scenario
(
SWAT
"
initial
plant"
run)

°
Step
2:
Model
technology
selection
to
meet
Stage
1
DBPR
requirements
from
pre­
Stage
1
baseline
conditions.
Estimate
post­
Stage
1
average
TTHM
and
HAA5
concentrations
°
Step
3:
Model
technology
selection
to
meet
Stage
2
DBPR
requirements
from
pre­
Stage
1
baseline
conditions.
Estimate
Post­
Stage
2
average
TTHM
and
HAA5
concentrations.

°
Step
4:
Subtract
technology
selection
results
and
average
TTHM/
HAA5
concentrations
in
Step
2
from
Step
3
results
to
obtain
the
incremental
impacts
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Potential
error
in
DBP
predictions
can
be
evaluated
by
looking
at
plants
in
different
regions
of
the
SWAT
vs.
ICR
plots.
For
plants
that
do
not
make
treatment
changes
for
Stage
1
or
Stage
2
(
Regions
V
and
VI),
errors
in
the
predicted
DBP
concentrations
will
subtract
out
during
Step
4
of
the
compliance
forecast
methodology.
For
plants
that
are
predicted
to
make
changes
for
Stage
1
or
Stage
2
(
Regions
II
and
III),
errors
in
the
magnitude
of
DBP
predictions
will
also
cancel
out
during
Step
4.
For
these
plants,
the
errors
in
DBP
prediction
for
post­
Stage
2
conditions
represent
the
error
in
the
change
in
DBP
concentrations
caused
by
changes
in
technology.

The
largest
area
for
error
is
for
those
plants
predicted
to
make
a
technology
change
for
Stage
1
or
Stage
2
where
the
observed
data
shows
they
do
not
need
to
change,
or
vice
versa
(
Regions
I
and
IV).
For
the
TTHM
RAA
compliance
calculation
(
Stage
1),
approximately
17
percent
of
plants
fall
in
Region
I,
which
7
percent
of
plants
fall
in
Region
IV.
For
the
HAA5
RAA
compliance
calculation,
the
results
are
similar
 
approximately
14
percent
of
plants
fall
in
Region
I,
while
6
percent
of
plants
fall
in
Region
IV.
These
results
indicate
that
there
could
be
an
over­
prediction
in
the
SWAT
compliance
forecast
for
the
Stage
1
DBPR
compared
to
ICR
observed
data.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
41
July
2003
The
results
for
Stage
1
indicate
that
there
may
be
a
similar
"
over­
prediction"
in
the
compliance
forecast
(
and
resulting
decrease
in
TTHM/
HAA5
occurrence)
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR.
Because
of
the
nature
of
the
ICR
data
set
(
which
is
limited
to
pre­
Stage
1
conditions),
it
is
not
possible
to
use
it
directly
to
estimate
changes
between
Stage
1
and
Stage
2
and,
therefore,
comparisons
with
SWAT
predictions
for
Stage
1
to
Stage
2
are
not
possible.
However,
it
would
be
reasonable
to
expect
that
such
a
comparison
would
show
that
SWAT
would
predict
more
technology
changes
than
ICR
between
Stage
1
and
Stage
2.
Because
the
changes
in
regulatory
requirements
from
the
Stage
1
DBPR
to
the
Stage
2
DBPR
are
smaller
in
scope
than
the
changes
in
regulatory
requirements
from
the
1979
TTHM
Rule
and
the
Stage
1
DBPR,
it
is
mostly
likely
that
the
magnitude
of
the
SWAT
over­
prediction
from
Stage
1
to
Stage
2
would
be
lower
than
the
magnitude
of
the
SWAT
over­
prediction
from
pre­
Stage
1
to
Stage
1.

As
shown
in
the
"
observations"
in
section
A.
7.2,
there
is
good
agreement
in
national
average
TTHM
and
HAA5
data
for
all
large
surface
water
plants
as
predicted
by
SWAT
and
as
reported
during
the
ICR.
Also,
the
SWAT
Stage
1
DBPR
technology
selection
was
validated
by
two
independent
groups
during
the
M­
DBP
FACA
process
(
see
section
A.
7.1).
While
there
is
a
potential
over­
prediction
in
compliance
changes
(
resulting
in
both
increased
costs
and
benefits)
based
on
comparison
of
pre­
Stage
1
SWAT­
predicted
and
ICR
observed
data,
any
over­
prediction
between
Stage
1
and
Stage
2
is
expected
to
be
comparatively
small.
For
these
reasons,
EPA
has
concluded
that
SWAT
is
sufficiently
reliable
to
predict
the
likely
changes
in
technology
use
and
in
byproduct
formation
to
serve
as
the
basis
for
comparing
the
Stage
2
DBPR
options
in
this
EA.
This
conclusion
is
consistent
with
recommendations
from
the
M­
DBP
FACA.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
42
July
2003
­
140
­
120
­
100
­
80
­
60
­
40
­
20
0
2
0
4
0
6
0
8
0
100
120
140
160
180
200
0
20
40
60
8
0
100
120
140
160
ICR­
Observed
TTHM
(
ug/
L)
TTHM
Residual
(
i.
e.,
SWAT
minus
ICR)
(
ug/
L)

0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
ICR­
Observed
TTHM
(
ug/
L)
SWAT
Predicted
TTHM
(
ug/
L)

I
II
III
IV
V
VI
I.
SWAT
over­
predicted
and
incorrectly
predicted
technology
changes
II.
SWAT
over­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
III.
SWAT
under­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
IV.
SWAT
under­
predicted
and
incorrectly
predicted
technology
changes
V.
SWAT
under­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
VI.
SWAT
over­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
SWAT
constraint
for
Stage
1
MCL
at
64
SWAT
constraint
for
Stage
1
MCL
at
64
SWAT
value
=
ICR
observed
value
Exhibit
A.
15a
Residual
Plots
for
TTHM,
RAA
Exhibit
A.
15b
SWAT
versus
ICR
for
TTHM
RAA
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
43
July
2003
­
140
­
120
­
100
­
80
­
60
­
40
­
20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0
20
40
60
80
1
0
0
120
140
160
ICR­
Observed
HAA5
(
ug/
L)
HAA5
Residual
(
i.
e.,
SWAT
minus
ICR)
(
ug/
L)

0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
ICR­
Observed
HAA5
(
ug/
L)
SWAT
Predicted
HAA5
(
ug/
L)

VI
I
II
III
IV
V
I.
SWAT
over­
predicted
and
incorrectly
predicted
technology
changes
II.
SWAT
over­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
III.
SWAT
under­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
IV.
SWAT
under­
predicted
and
incorrectly
predicted
technology
changes
V.
SWAT
under­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
VI.
SWAT
over­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
SWAT
constraint
for
Stage
1
MCL
at
48
SWAT
value
=
ICR
observed
value
SWAT
constraint
for
Stage
1
MCL
at
48
Exhibit
A.
16a
Residual
Plot
for
HAA5
RAA
Exhibit
A.
16b
SWAT
vs.
ICR
for
HAA5
RAA
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
44
July
2003
­
160
­
140
­
120
­
100
­
80
­
60
­
40
­
20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
ICR­
Observed
TTHM
(
ug/
L)
TTHM
Residual
(
i.
e.,
SWAT
minus
ICR)

(
ug/
L)

0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
ICR­
Observed
TTHM
(
ug/
L)
SWAT
Predicted
TTHM
(
ug/
L)
I
II
III
IV
V
VI
I.
SWAT
over­
predicted
and
incorrectly
predicted
technology
changes
II.
SWAT
over­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
III.
SWAT
under­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
IV.
SWAT
under­
predicted
and
incorrectly
predicted
technology
changes
V.
SWAT
under­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
VI.
SWAT
over­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
SWAT
constraint
for
Stage
1
MCL
at
64
SWAT
constraint
for
Stage
1
MCL
at
64
SWAT
value
=
ICR
observed
value
Exhibit
A.
17a
Residual
Plot
for
TTHM
Highest
LRAA
Exhibit
A.
17b
SWAT
vs.
ICR
for
TTHM
Highest
LRAA
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
45
July
2003
­
280
­
260
­
240
­
220
­
200
­
180
­
160
­
140
­
120
­
100
­
80
­
60
­
40
­
20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
280
300
ICR­
Observed
HAA5
(
ug/
L)
HAA5
Residual
(
i.
e.,
SWAT
minus
ICR)
(
ug/
L)

0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
280
300
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
280
300
ICR­
Observed
HAA5
(
ug/
L)
SWAT
Predicted
HAA5
(
ug/
L)

I
II
III
IV
V
VI
I.
SWAT
over­
predicted
and
incorrectly
predicted
technology
changes
II.
SWAT
over­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
III.
SWAT
under­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
IV.
SWAT
under­
predicted
and
incorrectly
predicted
technology
changes
V.
SWAT
under­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
VI.
SWAT
over­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
SWAT
constraint
for
Stage
1
MCL
at
48
SWAT
constraint
for
Stage
1
MCL
at
48
SWAT
value
=
ICR
observed
value
Exhibit
A.
18a
Residual
Plot
for
HAA5
Highest
LRAA
Exhibit
A.
18b
SWAT
vs.
ICR
for
HAA5
Highest
LRAA
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
46
July
2003
­
180
­
160
­
140
­
120
­
100
­
80
­
60
­
40
­
20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
0
20
4
0
6
0
80
100
120
140
160
180
ICR­
Observed
TTHM
(
ug/
L)
TTHM
Residual
(
i.
e.,
SWAT
minus
ICR)
(
ug/
L)

0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
ICR­
Observed
TTHM
(
ug/
L)
SWAT
Predicted
TTHM
(
ug/
L)

I
II
III
IV
V
VI
I.
SWAT
over­
predicted
and
incorrectly
predicted
technology
changes
II.
SWAT
over­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
III.
SWAT
under­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
IV.
SWAT
under­
predicted
and
incorrectly
predicted
technology
changes
V.
SWAT
under­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
VI.
SWAT
over­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
SWAT
constraint
for
Stage
1
MCL
at
64
SWAT
value
=
ICR
observed
value
SWAT
constraint
for
Stage
1
MCL
at
64
Exhibit
A.
19a
Residual
Plot
for
TTHM,
Single
Highest
Exhibit
A.
19b
SWAT
versus
ICR
for
TTHM,
Single
Highest
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
47
July
2003
­
180
­
160
­
140
­
120
­
100
­
80
­
60
­
40
­
20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
ICR­
Observed
HAA5
(
ug/
L)
HAA5
Residual
(
i.
e.,
SWAT
minus
ICR)
(
ug/
L)

0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
ICR­
Observed
HAA5
(
ug/
L)
SWAT
Predicted
HAA5
(
ug/
L)

I
II
III
I
V
V
I.
SWAT
over­
predicted
and
incorrectly
predicted
technology
changes
II.
SWAT
over­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
III.
SWAT
under­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
IV.
SWAT
under­
predicted
and
incorrectly
predicted
technology
changes
V.
SWAT
under­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
VI.
SWAT
over­
predicted
but
correctly
predicted
technology
changes
SWAT
value
=
ICR
observed
value
SWAT
constraint
for
Stage
1
MCL
at
48
SWAT
constraint
for
Stage
1
MCL
at
48
Exhibit
A.
20a
Residual
Plot
for
HAA5
Single
Highest
Exhibit
A.
20b
SWAT
versus
ICR
for
HAA5
Single
Highest
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
48
July
2003
Exhibit
A.
21
Results
of
ICR
and
SWAT
Comparisons
Exhibit
No.
1
Description
Total
No.
of
Plants
Plants
with
Residuals
that
are
within
a
range
of
±
20
µ
g/
L
Average
Residual
of
All
Plants
(
µ
g/
L)
No.
of
Plants
in
Plot
Region
I
IV
No.
%

A.
15
TTHM
for
RAA
273
159
58%
4.2
46
20
A.
16
HAA5
for
RAA
273
178
65%
5.0
37
17
A.
17
TTHM
for
Highest
LRAA
273
111
41%
3.0
33
21
A.
18
HAA5
for
Highest
LRAA
273
128
47%
1.8
24
21
A.
19
TTHM
for
Single
Highest
273
147
52%
2.1
43
30
A.
20
HAA5
for
Single
Highest
273
166
61%
1.2
35
29
1
refers
to
both
a
and
b
exhibits
Part
III:
Compliance
Forecasts
To
estimate
the
rule's
total
benefits
and
costs,
accurate
forecasting
of
the
compliance
of
surface
water
systems
with
the
Stage
2
DBPR
is
critical.
The
compliance
forecasts
for
large
surface
water
systems
were
derived
from
Information
Collection
Rule
(
ICR)
data
using
SWAT.
Comprehensive
data
on
operational
parameters
and
water
quality,
similar
to
those
gathered
for
large
systems
under
the
ICR,
were
not
available
for
medium
and
small
systems.
Because
water
quality
and
operational
capabilities
of
medium
and
small
systems
were
anticipated
to
differ
from
those
of
large
systems,
a
detailed
evaluation
was
performed
to
accurately
estimate
impacts
of
the
Stage
2
DBPR
on
medium
and
small
systems.
A
Non­
ICR
Subgroup
of
the
TWG
for
the
Microbial­
Disinfection
Byproducts
Advisory
Committee
(
the
Subgroup)
was
charged
with
understanding
the
nature
of
medium
and
small
systems
and
developing
methodologies
for
further
analysis.
Detailed
descriptions
of
the
methodologies
used
in
developing
compliance
forecasts
for
each
system
size
category
are
provided
in
the
latter
sections
of
this
appendix.

A.
8
SWAT­
based
Compliance
Forecasts
for
Large
Surface
Water
Systems
The
compliance
forecasts
for
large
surface
water
systems
were
derived
primarily
using
SWAT.
The
SWAT
program
can
also
be
run
in
a
mode
that
evaluates
all
possible
technology
choices
for
each
plant
and
the
resulting
DBP
predictions,
called
the
SWAT
Screen
Series.
The
SWAT
Screen
Series
provides
three
primary
outputs:
DBP
Exposures,
Ending
Technologies,
and
Technology
Selection,
consolidated
together
by
the
Screening
Database.
DBP
Exposures
provides
the
predicted
values
of
TTHM,
HAA5,
chlorite,
and
bromate
for
each
rule
option
being
examined.
Ending
Technologies
predicts
the
percentages
of
all
plants
using
each
type
of
treatment
after
the
rule
option
is
implemented.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
49
July
2003
Technology
Selection
predicts
the
distribution
of
treatment
only
for
those
plants
predicted
to
change
to
chloramine
or
an
advanced
technology.

SWAT
cannot
take
compliance
with
Stage
1
DBPR
into
account
when
predicting
compliance
forecasts
for
Stage
2.
Hence,
technology
shifts
from
Stage
1
to
Stage
2
are
estimated
by
subtracting
the
technology
shift
from
pre­
Stage
1
to
Stage
1
from
the
technology
shift
from
pre­
Stage
1
to
Stage
2.

Adjustments
for
the
Stage
1
DBPR
As
summarized
in
chapter
6,
the
compliance
forecasts
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
regulatory
alternatives
were
developed
by
estimating
the
Stage
1
and
the
Stage
2
DBPR
compliance
forecasts
from
the
pre­
Stage
1
baseline,
and
subtracting
the
two
to
produce
the
incremental
treatment
changes
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR.
Different
technologies,
however,
were
assumed
to
be
available
to
meet
the
regulatory
requirements
of
the
Stage
1
and
Stage
2
DBPRs.
UV
was
not
a
proven
disinfectant
for
Cryptosporidium,
Giardia,
or
viruses
at
the
time
of
the
ICR
or
when
plants
were
expected
to
make
treatment
decisions
to
meet
Stage
1
DBPR
requirements.
EPA
now
considers
UV
a
viable
alternative
disinfectant
to
chlorine
to
meet
Stage
2
DBPR
regulatory
alternatives.

Because
UV
is
considered
an
available
technology
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR,
some
plants
are
predicted
to
use
UV
instead
of
more
expensive
technologies
such
as
ozone,
MF/
UF,
or
granular
activated
carbon
(
GAC).
If
the
compliance
forecasts
for
the
Stage
1
and
Stage
2
DBPRs
were
used
independently,
more
expensive
technologies
installed
to
meet
Stage
1
would
effectively
be
removed
from
the
plant
to
install
less
expensive
technologies
UV
under
Stage
2.
In
reality,
systems
that
added
technology
for
Stage
1
may
not
need
to
add
another
technology
for
Stage
2.

SWAT
is
not
able
to
take
compliance
with
the
Stage
1
DBPR
into
account
when
predicting
compliance
forecasts
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR.
To
account
for
the
effect
of
less
expensive
technologies
becoming
available
to
meet
the
Stage
2
DBPR,
SWAT
modeled
the
Stage
2
DBPR
regulatory
alternatives
with
and
without
UV
as
an
available
technology
and
made
the
following
adjustments.

°
Start
with
SWAT
predictions
for
treatment
technology
changes
for
both
the
Stage
1
DBPR
and
Stage
2
DBPR
options
first
assuming
that
UV
is
an
available
technology
for
both
rules,
and
then
assuming
that
it
is
not
available
for
either
rule.

°
Use
the
Stage
1
DBPR
estimates
of
ozone,
MF/
UF,
and
GAC10
usage
if
they
are
higher
than
the
Stage
2
estimates
that
include
UV
as
a
technology,
since
such
systems
are
predicted
to
use
these
technologies
for
Stage
1
and
will
not
remove
them
to
install
UV.

°
Decrease
the
percentage
of
plants
using
UV
accordingly.

°
Use
the
percentage
of
plants
predicted
to
add
chloramine
from
the
Stage
2
DBPR
without
UV
option.
This
percentage
decreases
when
UV
is
an
available
technology.
Because
not
as
many
plants
are
believed
to
use
UV,
the
estimate
from
the
Stage
2
DBPR
without
UV
option
is
taken
for
the
adjusted
option.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
50
July
2003
St.
2
tech.
selection
w/
UV
St.
2
GAC10
w/
UV
>
St.
1
GAC10?
Yes
St.
2
MF/
UF
w/
UV
>
St.
1
MF/
UF?
A
=
0
B
=
0
St.
2
Ozone
w/
UV
>
St.
1
Ozone?
Yes
Yes
C
=
0
Adjusted
St.
2/
UV
=
Predicted
St.
2/
UV
+
A
+
B
+
C
No
No
No
·
Adjust
St.
2
GAC10
(
w/
UV)
to
the
St.
1
#
Change
St.
2
UV
by
A
=
(
St.
2
GAC10
w/
UV
 
St.
1
GAC10)

·
Adjust
St.
2
MF/
UF
(
w/
UV)
to
the
St.
1
#
·
Change
St.
2
UV
by
B
=
(
St.
2
MF/
UF
w/
UV
 
St.
1
MF/
UF)

·
Adjust
St.
2
Ozone
(
w/
UV)
to
the
St.
1
#
Change
St.
2
UV
by
C
=
(
St.
2
Ozone
w/
UV
 
St.
1
Ozone)
These
steps
are
displayed
in
Exhibit
A.
22a,
and
an
example
calculation
for
the
Preferred
Alternative
is
presented
in
Exhibit
A.
22b.
Final
adjusted
compliance
forecasts
for
large
surface
water
systems
are
presented
in
Exhibit
A.
22c.

Exhibit
A.
22a
Adjustments
to
Stage
2
Technology
Selection
Forecasts
for
the
Stage
1
Baseline
(
Applies
to
Surface
Water
Systems
Serving
>
10,000
People)

Note:
St.
1=
Stage
1
DBPR;
St.
2=
Stage
2
DBPR.
A
=
Adjustment
to
Stage
2/
UV
percentage
for
GAC10.
B
=
Adjustment
to
Stage
2/
UV
percentage
for
MF/
UF.
C
=
Adjustment
to
Stage
2/
UV
percentage
for
Ozone.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
51
July
2003
Exhibit
A.
22b
Illustration
of
the
Adjustment
Steps
to
Stage
2
Compliance
Forecasts
for
the
Stage
1
Baseline
for
the
Preferred
Regulatory
Alternative
1.
Step
1:
GAC10
Adjustment
Switch
to
CLM
Switch
to
CLM
only
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Ad.
Dis.
GAC20
GAC20
+
Ad.
Dis.
Membranes
Stage
1
DBPR
13.92
78.39
5.13
0.00
10.99
1.83
1.83
1.10
0.37
0.00
0.37
Stage
2
Option
w/
o
UV
19.05
76.19
5.49
0.00
11.72
1.83
1.83
1.83
0.73
0.00
0.37
Stage
2
Option
w/
UV
18.68
76.19
5.49
7.33
0.37
1.83
0.73
0.00
0.37
Stage
2
Option
adj.
final
value
for
St.
1
GAC10
19.05
76.19
5.49
6.97
0.37
1.83
0.73
0.00
0.37
Note:
UV
adjusted
=
UV
predicted
in
Option
w/
UV
+
A;
numbers
indicate
percent
of
systems
making
a
particular
technology
choice.

2.
Step
2:
MF/
UF
Adjustment
Switch
to
CLM
Switch
to
CLM
only
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Ad.
Dis.
GAC20
GAC20
+
Ad.
Dis.
Membranes
Stage
1
DBPR
13.92
78.39
5.13
0.00
10.99
1.83
1.83
1.10
0.37
0.00
0.37
Stage
2
Option
w/
o
UV
19.05
76.19
5.49
0.00
11.72
1.83
1.83
1.83
0.73
0.00
0.37
Stage
2
Option
w/
UV
18.68
76.19
5.49
7.33
6.23
0.37
1.47
1.83
0.73
0.00
0.37
Stage
2
Option
adj.
final
value
for
St.
1
MF/
UF
19.05
76.19
5.49
5.51
6.23
1.83
1.83
1.83
0.73
0.00
0.37
Note:
UV
adjusted
=
UV
predicted
in
step
1
+
B;
numbers
indicate
percent
of
systems
making
a
particular
technology
choice.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
52
July
2003
3.
Step
3:
Ozone
Adjustment
Switch
to
CLM
Switch
to
CLM
only
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Ad.
Dis.
GAC20
GAC20
+
Ad.
Dis.
Membrane
s
Stage
1
DBPR
13.92
78.39
5.13
0.00
10.99
1.83
1.83
1.10
0.37
0.00
0.37
Stage
2
Option
w/
o
UV
19.05
76.19
5.49
0.00
11.72
1.83
1.83
1.83
0.73
0.00
0.37
Stage
2
Option
w/
UV
18.68
76.19
5.49
7.33
6.23
0.37
1.47
1.83
0.73
0.00
0.37
Stage
2
Option
adj.
final
value
for
St.
1
Ozone
19.05
76.19
5.49
0.73
10.99
1.83
1.83
1.83
0.73
0.00
0.37
Note:
UV
adjusted
=
UV
predicted
in
step
2
+
C;
numbers
indicate
percent
of
systems
making
a
particular
technology
choice.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
53
July
2003
Exhibit
A.
22c
Final
Adjusted
Compliance
Forecasts
for
Surface
Water
Systems
Serving
>
10,000
(
Percent
of
Systems
Changing
Technologies
from
the
Pre­
Stage
1
Baseline
to
Stage
2)

Preferred
Rule
Alternative:
80
µ
g/
L
TTHM
as
LRAA,
60
µ
g/
L
HAA5
as
LRAA,
Bromate
10
µ
g/
L
Switch
to
CLM
Switch
to
CLM
only
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Ad.
Dis.
GAC20
GAC20
+
Ad.
Dis.
Membranes
Stage
1
DBPR
13.92
78.39
5.13
0.00
10.99
1.83
1.83
1.10
0.37
0.00
0.37
Stage
2
Option
w/
o
UV
19.05
76.19
5.49
0.00
11.72
1.83
1.83
1.83
0.73
0.00
0.37
Stage
2
Option
w/
UV
18.68
76.19
5.49
7.33
6.23
0.37
1.47
1.83
0.73
0.00
0.37
Stage
2
Option
adjusted
19.05
76.19
5.49
0.73
10.99
1.83
1.83
1.83
0.73
0.00
0.37
Note:
UV
adjusted
=
UV
predicted
+
A
+
B
+
C;
numbers
indicate
percent
of
systems
making
a
particular
technology
choice.

Stage
2
Rule
Alternative
1:
80
µ
g/
L
TTHM
as
LRAA,
60
µ
g/
L
HAA5
as
LRAA,
Bromate
5
µ
g/
L
Switch
to
CLM
Switch
to
CLM
only
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Ad.
Dis.
GAC20
GAC20
+
Ad.
Dis.
Membranes
Stage
1
DBPR
13.92
78.39
5.13
0.00
10.99
1.83
1.83
1.10
0.37
0.00
0.37
Stage
2
Option
w/
o
UV
19.05
75.82
5.49
0.00
10.99
2.20
1.83
1.47
0.73
0.00
1.47
Stage
2
Option
w/
UV
18.68
75.82
5.49
6.96
6.23
0.37
1.47
1.47
0.73
0.00
1.47
Stage
2
Option
adjusted
19.05
75.82
5.49
0.37
10.99
1.83
1.83
1.47
0.73
0.00
1.47
Note:
UV
adjusted
=
UV
predicted
+
A
+
B
+
C;
numbers
indicate
percent
of
systems
making
a
particular
technology
choice.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
54
July
2003
Stage
2
Rule
Alternative
2:
80
µ
g/
L
TTHM
as
Single
Highest,
60
µ
g/
L
HAA5
as
Single
Highest,
Bromate
10
µ
g/
L
Switch
to
CLM
Switch
to
CLM
only
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Ad.
Dis.
GAC20
GAC20
+
Ad.
Dis.
Membranes
Stage
1
DBPR
13.92
78.39
5.13
0.00
10.99
1.83
1.83
1.10
0.37
0.00
0.37
Stage
2
Option
w/
o
UV
28.94
54.58
10.62
0.00
12.45
2.56
10.62
6.59
1.10
0.37
1.10
Stage
2
Option
w/
UV
29.30
54.58
10.62
5.49
8.79
1.47
10.26
6.23
1.10
0.37
1.10
Stage
2
Option
adjusted
28.94
54.58
10.62
2.93
10.99
1.83
10.26
6.23
1.10
0.37
1.10
Note:
UV
adjusted
=
UV
predicted
+
A
+
B
+
C;
numbers
indicate
percent
of
systems
making
a
particular
technology
choice.

Stage
2
Rule
Alternative
3:
40
µ
g/
L
TTHM
as
RAA,
30
µ
g/
L
HAA5
as
RAA,
Bromate
10
µ
g/
L
Switch
to
CLM
Switch
to
CLM
only
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Ad.
Dis.
GAC20
GAC20
+
Ad.
Dis.
Membranes
Stage
1
DBPR
13.92
78.39
5.13
0.00
10.99
1.83
1.83
1.10
0.37
0.00
0.37
Stage
2
Option
w/
o
UV
29.67
42.12
13.19
0.00
12.45
4.03
17.58
7.69
1.47
0.37
1.10
Stage
2
Option
w/
UV
30.77
42.12
13.19
7.33
6.96
2.93
17.22
7.33
1.47
0.37
1.10
Stage
2
Option
adjusted
29.67
42.12
13.19
3.30
10.99
2.93
17.22
7.33
1.47
0.37
1.10
Note:
UV
adjusted
=
UV
predicted
+
A
+
B
+
C;
numbers
indicate
percent
of
systems
making
a
particular
technology
choice.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
55
July
2003
IDSE
(­
5)
Sensitivity:
75
µ
g/
L
TTHM
as
LRAA,
55
µ
g/
L
HAA5
as
LRAA,
Bromate
10
µ
G/
L
Switch
to
CLM
Switch
to
CLM
only
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Ad.
Dis.
GAC20
GAC20
+
Ad.
Dis.
Membranes
Stage
1
DBPR
13.92
78.39
5.13
0.00
10.99
1.83
1.83
1.10
0.37
0.00
0.37
Stage
2
Option
w/
UV
20.15
72.16
5.86
4.03
10.99
1.83
1.83
2.56
0.37
0.00
0.37
Stage
2
Option
adjusted
20.15
72.16
5.86
4.03
10.99
1.83
1.83
2.56
0.37
0.00
0.37
Note:
UV
adjusted
=
UV
predicted
+
A
+
B
+
C;
numbers
indicate
percent
of
systems
making
a
particular
technology
choice.

IDSE
(­
10)
Sensitivity:
70
µ
g/
L
TTHM
as
LRAA,
50
µ
g/
L
HAA5
as
LRAA,
Bromate
10
µ
g/
L
Switch
to
CLM
Switch
to
CLM
only
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Ad.
Dis.
GAC20
GAC20
+
Ad.
Dis.
Membranes
Stage
1
DBPR
13.92
78.39
5.13
0.00
10.99
1.83
1.83
1.10
0.37
0.00
0.37
Stage
2
Option
w/
UV
22.71
67.76
6.59
6.23
10.99
1.83
3.30
2.56
0.37
0.00
0.37
Stage
2
Option
adjusted
22.71
67.76
6.59
6.23
10.99
1.83
3.30
2.56
0.37
0.00
0.37
Note:
UV
adjusted
=
UV
predicted
+
A
+
B
+
C;
numbers
indicate
percent
of
systems
making
a
particular
technology
choice.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
56
July
2003
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%

Reservoir/
Lake
Flowing
Stream
Mix
Percent
of
Systems
Medium
Large
A.
9
SWAT
based
Compliance
Forecasts
for
Medium
Surface
Water
Systems
After
a
detailed
review
of
available
data,
TWG
Small/
Medium
Systems
Subgroup
concluded
that
the
influent
water
quality,
treatment
characterization,
and
DBP
occurrence
of
medium
surface
water
plants
are
similar
to
large
surface
water
plants.
This
section
describes
and
examines
the
data
that
support
this
conclusion.

The
Water
Utility
Database
(
WATER:\
STATS
[
AWWA
2000]),
developed
by
the
American
Water
Works
Association
(
AWWA),
was
used
in
this
analysis.
The
most
recent
WATER:\
STATS
data
are
from
a
1996
survey
of
approximately
900
utilities.
This
database
includes
information
on
influent
water
quality,
treatment,
and
the
occurrence
of
DBPs
in
finished
water
for
all
system
sizes.
The
Subgroup
assumed
that
large
systems
in
WATER:\
STATS
were
equivalent
to
ICR
systems
and
plants.
To
maintain
consistency,
therefore,
only
WATER:\
STATS
data
were
used
to
compare
large
and
medium
surface
water
systems.

Exhibit
A.
23
compares
source
water
types
for
medium
and
large
surface
water
systems.
Further
information
is
provided
in
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Occurrence
Document
(
USEPA
2003l).
Given
the
similarities
in
the
distribution
of
large
and
medium
systems
using
each
type
of
surface
water,
the
Subgroup
expected
to
find
only
minor
differences
in
source
water
quality.
Exhibits
A.
24
through
A.
26
compare
source
water
TOC,
turbidity,
and
alkalinity,
respectively,
and
confirm
this
hypothesis.

Exhibit
A.
27
shows
that
the
disinfectant
usage
of
medium
and
large
systems
is
similar.
Exhibits
A.
28
and
A.
29
show
that
the
distribution
of
TTHM
values
was
similar
between
large
and
medium
systems
for
measurements
at
finished
water
and
distribution
system
sampling
points.

Exhibit
A.
23
Percentages
of
Medium
and
Large
Surface
Water
Systems
Using
Different
Source
Water
Types
Source:
WATER:\
STATS
(
AWWA
2000).
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
57
July
2003
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%

0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Plant­
Mean
TOC
(
mg/
L
as
C)
Cumulative
Percentile
Medium
Surface
Water
Systems
(
N=
102)
Large
Surface
Water
Systems
(
N=
196)

0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%

0
5
0
100
150
200
250
300
Plant­
Mean
Turbidity
(
NTU)
Cumulative
Percentile
Medium
Surface
Water
Systems
(
N
=
243)

Large
Surface
Water
Systems
(
N
=
240)
Exhibit
A.
24
Comparison
of
Source
Water
TOC
for
Medium
and
Large
Surface
Water
Systems
Source:
WATER:\
STATS
(
AWWA
2000).

Exhibit
A.
25
Comparison
of
Source
Water
Turbidity
For
Medium
and
Large
Surface
Water
Systems
Source:
WATER:\
STATS
(
AWWA
2000).
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
58
July
2003
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%

0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Plant­
Mean
Alkalinity
(
mg
CaCO3/
L)
Cumulative
Percentile
Medium
Surface
Water
Systems
(
N=
224)

Large
Surface
Water
Systems
(
N=
234)

0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%

PreCl2/
PostCl2
Post
Cl2
Only
PreCl2/
PostNH2Cl
w/
O3
w/
ClO2
Other
Percent
of
Systems
Medium
Surface
Water
Systems
(
N
=
266)

Large
Surface
Water
Systems
(
N
=
249)
Exhibit
A.
26
Comparison
of
Source
Water
Alkalinity
for
Medium
and
Large
Surface
Water
Systems
Source:
WATER:\
STATS
(
AWWA
2000).

Exhibit
A.
27
Comparison
of
Disinfectant
Type
for
Medium
and
Large
Surface
Water
Systems
Using
Conventional
Filtration
Source:
WATER:\
STATS
(
AWWA
2000).
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
59
July
2003
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%

0
20
40
60
80
100
120
TTHM
(
ug/
L)
Cumulative
Percentile
Medium
Surface
Water
Systems
(
N=
211)

Large
Surface
Water
Systems
(
N=
210)

0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%

0
20
40
60
80
100
120
TTHM
(
ug/
L)
Cumulative
Percentile
Medium
Surface
Water
Systems
(
N=
207)

Large
Surface
Water
Systems
(
N=
131)
Exhibit
A.
28
Comparison
of
Finished
Water
Annual
Average
TTHM
for
Medium
and
Large
Surface
Water
Systems
Source:
WATER:\
STATS
(
AWWA
2000).

Exhibit
A.
29
Comparison
of
Distribution
System
Annual
Average
TTHM
for
Medium
and
Large
Surface
Water
Systems
Source:
WATER:\
STATS
(
AWWA
2000).
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
60
July
2003
Because
of
the
similarities
between
large
and
medium
surface
water
systems,
the
Subgroup
assumed
that
ICR
data
on
DBP
occurrence
and
the
results
of
the
SWAT
analysis
were
also
applicable
to
medium
surface
water
systems.
Thus,
the
Subgroup
assumed
that
medium
surface
water
systems
used
technologies
in
the
same
proportion
as
large
surface
water
systems.

For
this
proportional
allocation
to
be
valid,
some
similarity
must
exist
between
the
national
geographical
distribution
of
ICR
surface
water
systems
and
that
of
medium
surface
water
systems.
The
Subgroup
compared
the
distribution
of
ICR
surface
water
systems
by
State
to
the
distribution
of
medium
surface
water
systems
by
State
(
based
on
the
Baseline
Handbook
[
USEPA
2001h]).
This
effort
established
that
there
is
not
a
significant
difference
in
overall
geographic
distribution
(
as
shown
in
Exhibit
A.
30),
although
there
is
some
variation
in
the
distribution
of
systems
at
different
size
categories.

To
ensure
that
the
distribution
assumptions
did
not
mask
differences
that
may
affect
DBP
formation,
additional
analyses
were
performed.
In
particular,
the
distribution
of
systems
with
high
levels
of
DBP
precursors
(
TOC
in
Florida,
bromide
in
Texas;
based
on
State
data
and
ICR
data
analysis)
within
certain
States
was
examined.
No
significant
difference
was
found
between
the
percentages
of
medium
and
large
systems
with
high
precursor
levels.
The
Subgroup
concluded
that
SWAT
predictions
of
occurrence
for
large
systems
could
be
directly
applied
to
the
universe
of
medium
surface
water
plants.

Exhibit
A.
30
Percent
of
Large
and
Medium
Surface
Water
Plants
by
EPA
Region
EPA
Region
Percent
of
Large
Systems
Percent
of
Medium
Systems
1
5.83%
9.00%

2
12.55
6.35
3
11.22
12.60
4
16.60
25.20
5
13.46
14.22
6
11.67
12.51
7
5.38
4.14
8
4.93
6.06
9
14.80
7.48
10
3.60
3.22
Total
100%
100%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Baseline
Handbook
(
USEPA
2001h).
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
61
July
2003
A.
10
SWAT
based
Compliance
Forecasts
for
Small
Surface
Water
Systems
Small
surface
water
systems
differ
in
many
ways
from
medium
and
large
surface
water
systems.
Small
systems
are
exempt
from
the
1979
Total
Trihalomethane
Rule,
which
set
the
TTHM
MCL
at
100
µ
g/
L.
Source
water
quality
is
somewhat
better
in
small
systems
than
in
larger
systems,
as
demonstrated
by
the
ICR
Supplemental
and
National
Rural
Water
Association
(
NRWA)
Survey
data,
discussed
below,
and
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Occurrence
and
Exposure
Assessment
(
USEPA
2003l).
Unit
cost
estimates
for
new
technologies
are
higher
in
small
systems
than
larger
systems,
which
may
drive
small
systems
to
take
different
treatment
approaches.
In
addition,
some
technologies
predicted
for
use
in
large
and
medium
systems
may
not
be
feasible
in
small
systems.
Due
to
these
considerations,
the
Technical
Workgroup
used
an
expert
review
process
to
estimate
the
impact
of
the
proposed
Stage
2
DBPR
options
on
small
systems.
The
method,
or
the
Delphi
Poll
process,
consisted
of
a
group
of
identified
experts
who
provided
their
best
professional
judgement
to
identify
likely
technologies
for
affected
plants.
The
expert
opinions
were
consolidated
for
a
best
estimate
of
the
technology
selection
response
of
compliance
affected
systems.
This
provided
a
compliance
forecast
for
a
given
regulatory
option.

The
participating
experts
included
members
of
the
NRWA
(
a
federation
of
45
State
rural
water
associations,
representing
over
19,000
water
and
wastewater
utilities),
EPA
staff,
and
consulting
engineers
with
many
years
of
experience
in
small
surface
water
systems.
The
review
process
for
small
surface
water
systems
integrated
technical
analyses
of
source
water
characteristics
and
experts'
predictions
of
anticipated
changes
in
technologies
and
DBP
formation.
The
experts'
responses
were
then
aggregated
for
further
analysis.

A.
10.1
Methodology
For
the
expert
review
process,
small
surface
water
systems
were
subdivided
into
three
size
categories:
systems
serving
100
or
fewer
people,
systems
serving
101
to
1,000
people,
and
systems
serving
between
1,001
and
10,000
people.
The
Subgroup
expected
systems
in
each
category
to
make
different
treatment
choices.

The
following
sections
detail
the
results
of
the
Subgroup's
deliberation
of
specific
technologies.
The
flowchart
describing
the
analytical
process
is
shown
in
Exhibit
A.
32.

Systems
Serving
1,001
to
10,000
People
A
review
of
ICR
Supplemental
Survey
and
NRWA
Survey
data
indicated
that
source
water
quality
at
small
systems
was
better
than
that
at
large
systems.
NRWA
Survey
results
showed
slightly
higher
TOC
concentrations;
however,
NRWA
results
may
be
biased,
as
discussed
in
the
Occurrence
document
(
USEPA
2003l).
Based
on
Supplemental
Survey
data
shown
in
Exhibit
A.
31,
the
Subgroup
predicted
that
a
smaller
proportion
of
small
systems
would
change
to
advanced
technologies
as
a
result
of
the
Stage
1
and
Stage
2
DBPRs
than
the
proportion
of
large
systems
predicted
by
SWAT.

The
Subgroup
adjusted
the
percentage
of
small
systems
using
conventional
or
nonconventional
treatment
(
i.
e.,
not
switching
to
advanced
treatment)
in
the
following
manner:
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
62
July
2003
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Average
TOC
Concentration
(
mg/
L
as
C)
Cumulative
Percent
of
Systems
Large
(
N=
47)

Medium
(
N=
40)

Small
(
N=
40)
°
If
the
percentage
of
large
systems
employing
conventional
and
nonconventional
technologies,
as
predicted
by
SWAT,
exceeded
or
equaled
65
percent,
then
the
corresponding
percentage
for
small
systems
would
be
adjusted
upward
to
75
percent.
°
If
the
percentage
of
systems
employing
conventional
and
nonconventional
technologies
was
predicted
to
be
less
than
65
percent,
then
the
corresponding
percentage
for
small
systems
would
be
adjusted
by
adding
10
percent
to
the
SWAT
output.

Exhibit
A.
31
Average
TOC
Levels
in
Surface
Water
Systems
Source:
12
months
from
the
ICR
Supplemental
Survey
Data
(
USEPA
2000b).

SWAT
predicted
that
the
percentage
of
large
systems
using
conventional
or
nonconventional
treatment
would
exceed
65
percent,
so
the
percentage
for
small
systems
was
increased
to
75.
To
accomplish
this,
the
Subgroup
removed
systems
from
other
treatment
categories,
including
chlorine
dioxide,
UV,
and
ozone.
The
Subgroup
assumed
that
the
conventional
treatment
category
included
some
systems
modifying
treatment
by
increasing
coagulant
dose,
installing
a
pre­
sedimentation
basin,
or
moving
the
point
of
chlorination.
While
these
activities
pose
a
smaller
impact
to
large
systems
than
implementing
an
advanced
technology
does,
some
of
these
modifications
(
e.
g.,
installing
a
pre­
sedimentation
basin)
could
constitute
a
substantial
burden
for
a
few
small
systems.
However,
the
Subgroup
was
of
the
opinion
that
on
a
national
scale
the
effects
would
not
be
significant,
and
hence
did
not
account
for
it.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
63
July
2003
The
Subgroup
then
imposed
some
additional
constraints
that
further
affected
the
Stage
1
and
2
DBPR
analyses
and
increased
the
number
of
systems
predicted
to
change
to
advanced
technologies.

Because
SWAT
predictions
are
based
on
large
systems,
they
do
not
account
for
small
systems
known
to
be
using
microfiltration
or
ultrafiltration
before
the
Stage
1
DBPR
was
implemented
(
no
large
systems
were
using
these
technologies
during
the
ICR
period).
According
to
the
NRWA
Survey,
microfiltration
and
ultrafiltration
were
used
by
3.6
percent
of
small
systems
before
the
Stage
1
DBPR
went
into
effect.
As
a
result,
the
experts
added
3.6
percent
to
the
percentage
of
small
systems
predicted
to
be
using
microfiltration
and
ultrafiltration
after
the
Stage
1
and
Stage
2
DBPRs.
These
extra
systems
were
subtracted
from
the
systems
predicted
to
use
chlorine
dioxide,
ozone,
and
UV,
as
predicted
by
SWAT.

The
SWAT
model
includes
four
options
for
systems
using
GAC:

°
GAC10
(
10­
minute
empty
bed
contact
time)

°
GAC10
plus
advanced
disinfectants
°
GAC20
(
20­
minute
empty
bed
contact
time)

°
GAC20
plus
advanced
disinfectants
Costs
for
GAC
systems
include
frequent
replacement
or
regeneration
of
the
carbon
media.
The
Subgroup
believed
that
surface
water
systems
serving
more
than
1,000
people
would
choose
to
replace
rather
than
regenerate
their
GAC
media.
Because
unit
costs
for
GAC20
with
replacement
are
lower
than
unit
costs
for
GAC10
with
regeneration
of
the
media
(
for
small
systems),
the
Subgroup
assumed
that
the
systems
using
GAC10
or
GAC10
plus
advanced
oxidants,
based
on
the
large
system
prediction,
would
instead
use
GAC20
or
GAC20
plus
advanced
disinfectants,
respectively.

Systems
Serving
101
to
1,000
People
For
systems
serving
101
to
1,000
people,
the
starting
point
for
technology
selection
was
the
technology
distribution
predicted
for
systems
serving
1,001
to
10,000
people.
These
predictions
were
further
modified
to
account
for
the
difficulties
systems
of
this
size
might
have
with
disinfectants
such
as
ozone,
chlorine
dioxide,
and
chloramines.
Predictions
for
systems
using
GAC20
were
adjusted
as
well.

In
general,
the
Subgroup
established
that
many
small
systems
would
probably
not
use
chlorine
dioxide,
because
it
is
difficult
to
handle
and
must
be
generated
on­
site.
The
application
of
chlorine
dioxide
also
requires
daily
testing
for
chlorite,
a
regulated
DBP.
The
effort
or
expertise
required
for
this
testing
may
be
beyond
the
capacity
of
many
small
systems.
Therefore,
the
Subgroup
constrained
chlorine
dioxide
use
in
the
101­
1,000
size
category
to
half
that
of
the
1,001
to
10,000
category,
allocating
the
rest
to
UV,
ozone,
and
MF/
UF
in
proportion
to
the
existing
numbers
for
these
technologies.

The
preceding
constraints
on
the
technologies
available
to
small
systems
necessitated
predicting
the
technology
to
which
each
small
system
will
switch.
The
only
difference
between
the
SWAT
Decision
Tree
and
the
one
used
for
small
surface
water
systems
is
that
GAC10
is
not
an
option
for
the
small
surface
water
systems.
The
Subgroup
also
assumed
that
systems
predicted
to
modify
their
primary
treatment
would
continue
to
use
the
same
residual
disinfectant.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
64
July
2003
The
Subgroup
next
adjusted
the
compliance
forecast
to
account
for
a
small
portion
of
smaller
systems
that
may
not
be
able
to
apply
GAC20
technologies.
The
Subgroup
subtracted
10
percent
from
the
percentage
of
systems
predicted
to
use
GAC20.
The
systems
removed
from
GAC20
were
then
added
to
NF,
the
next
available
technology
on
the
decision
tree.
NF
is
defined
as
microfiltration
followed
by
nanofiltration.

Chloramine
use
may
be
difficult
for
some
small
systems,
especially
if
an
operator
is
not
always
present.
Chloramine
use
was
adjusted
in
a
two­
step
process.
First,
the
percentage
of
systems
predicted
to
use
chloramine
as
a
residual
disinfectant
was
reduced
to
90
percent
of
the
value
predicted
for
systems
serving
1,001
to
10,000
people.
These
systems
instead
were
predicted
to
use
chlorine
as
a
residual
disinfectant.
Second,
the
Subgroup
predicted
that
systems
using
chlorine
would
switch
to
different
primary
technologies.
This
reallocation
was
necessary
because
chlorine
contributes
more
to
DBP
formation
than
chloramine
does,
thereby
forcing
systems
to
use
a
higher
cost
technology
in
order
to
meet
the
DBP
standards
of
the
Stage
2
DBPR.

Systems
Serving
100
or
Fewer
People
For
systems
serving
100
or
fewer
people,
the
starting
point
for
technology
selection
was
the
technology
distribution
predicted
for
systems
serving
101
to
1,000
people.
These
predictions
were
modified
to
account
for
the
additional
difficulties
systems
of
this
size
might
have
with
disinfectants
such
as
ozone,
chlorine
dioxide,
and
chloramine.
Predictions
for
systems
using
GAC20
were
adjusted
as
well.

The
Subgroup
assumed
no
systems
in
this
size
category
would
use
chlorine
dioxide
or
ozone.
Consequently,
the
Subgroup
allocated
to
conventional
treatment
two­
thirds
of
the
systems
that
were
predicted
to
use
chlorine
dioxide
and
ozone.
The
remaining
one­
third
of
chlorine
dioxide
systems
were
allocated
to
UV,
MF/
UF,
GAC20,
GAC20
with
UV,
and
NF,
and
the
remaining
one­
third
of
ozone
systems
were
allocated
to
MF/
UF,
GAC20,
GAC20
with
UV,
and
NF,
all
in
proportion
to
existing
numbers
for
these
technologies.

As
with
systems
serving
101
to
1,000
people,
the
percentage
of
systems
predicted
to
use
GAC20
was
decreased
by
10.
The
systems
removed
from
GAC20
were
then
added
to
NF,
the
next
available
technology
on
the
decision
tree.

The
Subgroup
adjusted
chloramine
usage
using
the
same
process
as
it
did
for
systems
serving
101
to
1,000
people,
except
that
the
percentage
of
systems
predicted
to
use
chloramine
as
a
residual
disinfectant
was
reduced
to
75
percent,
rather
than
90
percent.

The
most
significant
effect
of
the
chloramine
constraint
was
that
systems
using
less
expensive
technologies
were
predicted
to
move
towards
more
expensive
technologies.
This
effectively
neutralizes
the
cost
savings
small
systems
might
have
achieved
through
better
source
water
quality.
A
review
of
the
compliance
forecasts
shows
that
when
the
Stage
1
DBPR
predictions
for
both
large
and
small
surface
water
systems
are
compared,
there
is
no
significant
difference
in
the
percentage
of
systems
using
advanced
technologies
to
comply
with
the
Stage
1
DBPR.
Small
systems
have
better
source
water
quality
than
large
systems
do,
but
this
is
outweighed
by
the
fact
that
they
must
install
more
expensive
technologies
to
comply
with
DBP
regulations
and
by
the
fact
that
large
systems
are
already
complying
with
the
1979
TTHM
Rule.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
65
July
2003
Adjustments
for
the
Stage
1
DBPR
To
account
for
the
effect
of
less
expensive
technologies
becoming
available
to
meet
the
Stage
2
DBPR
requirements
for
small
surface
water
systems,
the
following
adjustments
were
made
to
the
Stage
2
ending
technology
predictions
made
by
the
Delphi
subgroup:

°
Start
with
SWAT/
Delphi
subgroup
ending
technology
predictions
for
the
Stage
1
DBPR
and
Stage
2
DBPR
options
(
with
and
without
UV),
for
the
small
surface
water
systems.

°
First
check
the
Stage
2
small
surface
water
predictions
for
NF
(
i.
e.,
the
most
expensive
technology).
Use
the
Stage
1
DBPR
estimates
for
NF
usage
if
they
are
higher
than
the
Stage
2
NF
usage
estimates.
This
is
because
systems
predicted
to
use
NF
for
Stage
1
will
not
remove
them
to
shift
to
a
lower
technologies
based
on
the
actual
Stage
2
predictions.

°
Repeat
the
above
step
with
the
next
most
expensive
technology
(
i.
e.,
GAC20
&
UV
or
AO).
Continue
this
procedure
for
each
succeeding
technology,
moving
all
the
way
down
to
chlorine
dioxide.

These
steps
are
outlined
in
Exhibit
A.
32
(
see
"
Adjusting
for
Stage
1
Baseline"),
and
an
example
calculation
for
a
Stage
2
option
(
with
UV
on)
is
presented
in
Exhibit
A.
33.

In
addition
to
the
technology
abbreviations
commonly
used
in
this
EA,
the
following
acronyms
are
also
used
in
Exhibit
A.
32:

°
C/
S
­
Conventional
filtration
with
softening
°
NC
­
Nonconventional
filtration
A.
10.2
Results
Exhibits
A.
34a,
A.
34b,
and
A.
34c
summarize
the
technology
selection
results
for
small
surface
water
systems,
for
all
Stage
2
DBPR
regulatory
alternatives
and
sensitivity
options.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
66
July
2003
Initial
Adjustments
Y
SWAT
output
1,001­
10K:
Copy
SWAT
output
If
C/
S
+
NC
=
0
1,001­
10K:
No
adjustment
to
C/
S
and
NC
If
C/
S
+
NC
>
0
but
<=
65
1,001­
10K:
Add
a
total
of
10%
to
C/
S
(
CL2
&
CLM
combined)
and
remove
in
prop.
from
ClO2,
UV
and
O3.

1,001­
10K:
Adjust
sum
of
NC
and
C/
S
to
75%
taking
in
proportion
from
ClO2,
UV
and
O3
and
adding
to
C/
S
1,001­
10K:
Add
3.6%
to
MF/
UF
in
prop.
to
CL2
and
CLM;
remove
in
prop.
ClO2,
UV
and
O3.

1,001­
10K:
Move
all
GAC10
and
GAC10
+
UV/
AO
to
GAC20
101­
1K:
Copy
1,001­
10K
101­
1K:
Reduce
ClO2
to
50%
of
its
value
and
move
balance
to
UV,
O3
and
MF/
UF
in
prop.

<
100:
Copy
101­
1K
·
Move
2/
3
of
ClO2
and
O3
to
C/
S
·
Move
1/
3
of
ClO2
to
UV,
MF/
UF,
GAC20,
GAC20
+
UV/
AO
and
NF
·
Move
1/
3
of
O3
to
MF/
UF,
GAC20,
GAC20
+
UV/
AO
and
NF
C
B
A
START
Y
Exhibit
A.
32
Small
Surface
Water
Forecast
Flowchart
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
67
July
2003
B
C
101­
1K:
Move
10%
of
GAC20
&
GAC20
<
100:
Move
10%
of
GAC20
&
GAC20
101­
1K:
·
Reduce
NC
+
CLM
&
C/
S
+
CLM
to
90%;
move
to
UV,
O3
&
MF/
UF
w
CL2
·
Reduce
ClO2
+
CLM
to
90%;
move
to
UV,
O3,
&
MF/
UF
w
CL2
·
Reduce
UV
+
CLM
to
90%;
move
to
O3
&
MF/
UF
w
CL2
·
Reduce
O3
+
CLM
to
90%;
move
to
MF/
UF
+
CL2
·
Reduce
MF/
UF
+
CLM
to
90%;
move
to
GAC20
+
CL2
if
GAC20
+
CL2
<>
0,
else
move
to
GAC20
+
UV
+
CL2
·
Reduce
GAC20
+
CLM
to
90%;
move
to
GAC20
+
UV
+
CL2
<
100:
·
Reduce
NC
&
C/
S
CLM
to
75%;
move
to
UV
&
MF/
UF
w
CL2
·
Reduce
MF
+
CLM
to
75%;
move
to
GAC20
+
CL2
if
GAC20
+
CL2
<>
0,
else
move
to
GAC20
+
UV
+
CL2
·
Reduce
GAC20
+
CLM
to
75%;
move
to
GAC20
+
UV
+
CL2
·
Reduce
GAC20
+
UV+
CLM
to
A
GAC
Adjustments
CLM
Adjustments
STOP
Adjusting
for
"
Negatives"
·
Start
with
NF
and
move
all
the
way
up
to
ClO2,
adjusting
for
"
Negatives"

·
If
stage
2
#
<
stage
1
#
Then
Adjust
stage
2
#
upwards
to
stage
1
Remove
balance
from
the
next
less
expensive
tech.
(
i.
e.,
from
GAC20
+
UV)
Else
No
adjustment
to
stage
2
#
required
(
1
)
I
n
i
t
i
a
l
A
d
j
u
s
t
m
e
n
t
s
S
e
r
v
i
n
g
<
1
0
0
S
e
r
v
i
n
g
1
0
1
­
1
,
0
0
0
S
e
r
v
i
n
g
1
,
0
0
0
­
1
0
,
0
0
0
O
r
i
g
i
n
a
l
S
W
A
T
o
u
t
p
u
t
C
L
2
C
L
M
C
L
2
C
L
M
C
L
2
C
L
M
C
L
2
C
L
M
N
o
n
C
o
n
v
4
.
4
0
%
4
.
4
0
%
4
.
4
0
%
4
.
4
0
%
4
.
4
0
%
4
.
4
0
%
4
.
4
0
%
4
.
4
0
%
C
o
n
v
/
S
o
f
t
3
1
.
2
3
%
4
0
.
9
1
%
3
0
.
6
1
%
3
5
.
5
9
%
3
0
.
6
1
%
3
5
.
5
9
%
2
9
.
3
0
%
3
4
.
0
7
%
L
O
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
1
9
8
0
6
5
3
9
5
2
5
6
U
V
5
5
9
7
5
5
5
7
7
6
1
1
8
3
5
1
3
O
z
o
n
e
6
6
5
6
3
2
9
M
F
/
U
F
1
2
0
0
3
9
0
0
0
3
7
0
0
G
A
C
1
0
0
0
3
7
A
C
1
0
&
U
V
7
7
2
1
3
1
8
4
1
7
1
1
1
1
0
2
7
6
2
2
7
7
3
7
3
7
e
m
b
r
a
n
e
s
(
N
F
)
3
9
2
5
3
7
1
o
n
C
o
m
p
l
i
a
n
c
e
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
68
July
2003
Regulatory
Alternative
1:
80/
60
LRAA,
0
log,
Bromate
=
5
m
g/
L
(
1)
Initial
Adjustments
Serving
<
100
Serving
101
­
1,000
Serving
1,001
­
10,000
Original
SWAT
output
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
NonConv
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
Conv/
Soft
31.23%
40.91%
30.61%
35.59%
30.61%
35.59%
29.30%
34.07%
CLO2
0.00%
0.00%
0.33%
1.98%
0.65%
3.95%
2.56%
4.40%
UV
0.50%
5.97%
0.50%
5.57%
0.47%
4.61%
1.83%
5.13%
Ozone
0.00%
0.00%
0.60%
5.96%
0.56%
4.93%
2.20%
5.49%
MF/
UF
4.41%
0.00%
4.23%
0.00%
3.97%
0.00%
0.37%
0.00%
GAC10
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.47%
0.37%
GAC10
&
UV
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.73%
0.73%
GAC20
1.53%
1.84%
1.47%
1.10%
1.47%
1.10%
0.00%
0.73%
GAC20
&
UV
0.76%
1.22%
0.73%
0.73%
0.73%
0.73%
0.00%
0.00%
Membranes
(
NF)
0.39%
2.45%
0.37%
1.47%
0.37%
1.47%
0.37%
1.47%
NonCompliance
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Totals:
43.23%
56.79%
43.23%
56.79%
43.23%
56.79%
43.23%
56.79%

(
2)
GAC20
Adjustments
Serving
<
100
Serving
101
­
1,000
Serving
1,001
­
10,000
Original
SWAT
output
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
NonConv
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
Conv/
Soft
31.23%
40.91%
30.61%
35.59%
30.61%
35.59%
29.30%
34.07%
CLO2
0.00%
0.00%
0.33%
1.98%
0.65%
3.95%
2.56%
4.40%
UV
0.50%
5.97%
0.50%
5.57%
0.47%
4.61%
1.83%
5.13%
Ozone
0.00%
0.00%
0.60%
5.96%
0.56%
4.93%
2.20%
5.49%
MF/
UF
4.41%
0.00%
4.23%
0.00%
3.97%
0.00%
0.37%
0.00%
GAC10
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.47%
0.37%
GAC10
&
UV
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.73%
0.73%
GAC20
1.38%
1.65%
1.32%
0.99%
1.47%
1.10%
0.00%
0.73%
GAC20
&
UV
0.69%
1.10%
0.66%
0.66%
0.73%
0.73%
0.00%
0.00%
Membranes
(
NF)
0.62%
2.76%
0.59%
1.65%
0.37%
1.47%
0.37%
1.47%
NonCompliance
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Totals:
43.23%
56.79%
43.23%
56.79%
43.23%
56.79%
43.23%
56.79%
Exhibit
A.
33
Small
Surface
Water
Adjustments
for
a
Stage
2
Option
(
Sample
Calculation)
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
69
July
2003
(
3)
CLM
Adjustments
Serving
<
100
Serving
101
­
1,000
Serving
1,001
­
10,000
Original
SWAT
output
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
NonConv
4.40%
3.30%
4.40%
3.96%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
Conv/
Soft
31.23%
30.68%
30.61%
32.03%
30.61%
35.59%
29.30%
34.07%
CLO2
0.00%
0.00%
0.33%
1.78%
0.65%
3.95%
2.56%
4.40%
UV
1.67%
4.48%
0.89%
5.01%
0.47%
4.61%
1.83%
5.13%
Ozone
0.00%
0.00%
1.14%
5.36%
0.56%
4.93%
2.20%
5.49%
MF/
UF
16.07%
0.00%
8.65%
0.00%
3.97%
0.00%
0.37%
0.00%
GAC10
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.47%
0.37%
GAC10
&
UV
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.73%
0.73%
GAC20
1.38%
1.24%
1.32%
0.89%
1.47%
1.10%
0.00%
0.73%
GAC20
&
UV
1.10%
0.82%
0.76%
0.59%
0.73%
0.73%
0.00%
0.00%
Membranes
(
NF)
1.58%
2.07%
0.82%
1.49%
0.37%
1.47%
0.37%
1.47%
NonCompliance
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Totals:
57.43%
42.59%
48.91%
51.11%
43.23%
56.79%
43.23%
56.79%

(
4)
Adjustment
for
Stage
1
Baseline
Stage
1
Baseline
Serving
<
100
Serving
101
­
1,000
Serving
1,000
­
10,000
SWAT
for
ICR
Systems
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
NonConv
5.13%
2.75%
5.49%
3.29%
5.49%
3.66%
5.49%
3.66%
Conv/
Soft
34.49%
31.09%
33.11%
29.79%
33.11%
33.11%
32.60%
32.60%
CLO2
0.00%
0.00%
0.54%
1.81%
1.08%
4.01%
2.56%
4.40%
UV
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Ozone
0.00%
0.00%
2.47%
9.41%
1.40%
8.68%
3.30%
9.52%
MF/
UF
16.50%
2.14%
8.74%
1.19%
4.35%
1.09%
1.47%
0.37%
GAC10
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.47%
0.73%
GAC10
&
Adv
Ox
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.37%
0.73%
GAC20
2.17%
1.61%
1.45%
0.89%
1.47%
1.10%
0.00%
0.37%
GAC20
&
Adv
Ox
0.00%
0.00%
0.33%
0.59%
0.37%
0.73%
0.00%
0.00%
Membranes
(
NF)
2.17%
1.97%
0.77%
0.50%
0.37%
0.37%
0.37%
0.37%
NonCompliance
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Totals:
60.46%
39.57%
52.55%
47.47%
47.27%
52.75%
47.27%
52.75%
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
70
July
2003
Check
if
NF
is
below
Stage
1
Serving
<
100
Serving
101
­
1,000
Serving
1,001
­
10,000
Original
SWAT
output
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
NonConv
4.40%
3.30%
4.40%
3.96%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
Conv/
Soft
31.23%
30.68%
30.61%
32.03%
30.61%
35.59%
29.30%
34.07%
CLO2
0.00%
0.00%
0.33%
1.78%
0.65%
3.95%
2.56%
4.40%
UV
1.67%
4.48%
0.89%
5.01%
0.47%
4.61%
1.83%
5.13%
Ozone
0.00%
0.00%
1.14%
5.36%
0.56%
4.93%
2.20%
5.49%
MF/
UF
16.07%
0.00%
8.65%
0.00%
3.97%
0.00%
0.37%
0.00%
GAC10
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.47%
0.37%
GAC10
&
UV
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.73%
0.73%
GAC20
1.38%
1.24%
1.32%
0.89%
1.47%
1.10%
0.00%
0.73%
GAC20
&
UV
0.51%
0.82%
0.76%
0.59%
0.73%
0.73%
0.00%
0.00%
Membranes
(
NF)
2.17%
2.07%
0.82%
1.49%
0.37%
1.47%
0.37%
1.47%
NonCompliance
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Totals:
57.43%
42.59%
48.91%
51.11%
43.23%
56.79%
43.23%
56.79%

Check
if
GAC20
&
UV
are
below
Stage
1
Serving
<
100
Serving
101
­
1,000
Serving
1,001
­
10,000
Original
SWAT
output
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
NonConv
4.40%
3.30%
4.40%
3.96%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
Conv/
Soft
31.23%
30.68%
30.61%
32.03%
30.61%
35.59%
29.30%
34.07%
CLO2
0.00%
0.00%
0.33%
1.78%
0.65%
3.95%
2.56%
4.40%
UV
1.67%
4.48%
0.89%
5.01%
0.47%
4.61%
1.83%
5.13%
Ozone
0.00%
0.00%
1.14%
5.36%
0.56%
4.93%
2.20%
5.49%
MF/
UF
16.07%
0.00%
8.65%
0.00%
3.97%
0.00%
0.37%
0.00%
GAC10
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.47%
0.37%
GAC10
&
UV
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.73%
0.73%
GAC20
1.38%
1.24%
1.32%
0.89%
1.47%
1.10%
0.00%
0.73%
GAC20
&
UV
0.51%
0.82%
0.76%
0.59%
0.73%
0.73%
0.00%
0.00%
Membranes
(
NF)
2.17%
2.07%
0.82%
1.49%
0.37%
1.47%
0.37%
1.47%
NonCompliance
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Totals:
57.43%
42.59%
48.91%
51.11%
43.23%
56.79%
43.23%
56.79%
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
71
July
2003
Check
if
GAC20
is
below
Stage
1
Serving
<
100
Serving
101
­
1,000
Serving
1,001
­
10,000
Original
SWAT
output
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
NonConv
4.40%
3.30%
4.40%
3.96%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
Conv/
Soft
31.23%
30.68%
30.61%
32.03%
30.61%
35.59%
29.30%
34.07%
CLO2
0.00%
0.00%
0.33%
1.78%
0.65%
3.95%
2.56%
4.40%
UV
1.67%
4.48%
0.89%
5.01%
0.47%
4.61%
1.83%
5.13%
Ozone
0.00%
0.00%
1.14%
5.36%
0.56%
4.93%
2.20%
5.49%
MF/
UF
15.28%
­
0.37%
8.52%
0.00%
3.97%
0.00%
0.37%
0.00%
GAC10
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.47%
0.37%
GAC10
&
UV
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.73%
0.73%
GAC20
2.17%
1.61%
1.45%
0.89%
1.47%
1.10%
0.00%
0.73%
GAC20
&
UV
0.51%
0.82%
0.76%
0.59%
0.73%
0.73%
0.00%
0.00%
Membranes
(
NF)
2.17%
2.07%
0.82%
1.49%
0.37%
1.47%
0.37%
1.47%
NonCompliance
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Totals:
57.43%
42.59%
48.91%
51.11%
43.23%
56.79%
43.23%
56.79%

Check
if
MF/
UF
is
below
Stage
1
Serving
<
100
Serving
101
­
1,000
Serving
1,001
­
10,000
Original
SWAT
output
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
NonConv
4.40%
3.30%
4.40%
3.96%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
Conv/
Soft
31.23%
30.68%
30.61%
32.03%
30.61%
35.59%
29.30%
34.07%
CLO2
0.00%
0.00%
0.33%
1.78%
0.65%
3.95%
2.56%
4.40%
UV
1.67%
4.48%
0.89%
5.01%
0.47%
4.61%
1.83%
5.13%
Ozone
­
1.22%
­
2.51%
0.92%
4.17%
0.18%
3.84%
2.20%
5.49%
MF/
UF
16.50%
2.14%
8.74%
1.19%
4.35%
1.09%
0.37%
0.00%
GAC10
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.47%
0.37%
GAC10
&
UV
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.73%
0.73%
GAC20
2.17%
1.61%
1.45%
0.89%
1.47%
1.10%
0.00%
0.73%
GAC20
&
UV
0.51%
0.82%
0.76%
0.59%
0.73%
0.73%
0.00%
0.00%
Membranes
(
NF)
2.17%
2.07%
0.82%
1.49%
0.37%
1.47%
0.37%
1.47%
NonCompliance
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Totals:
57.43%
42.59%
48.91%
51.11%
43.23%
56.79%
43.23%
56.79%
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
72
July
2003
Check
if
Ozone
is
below
Stage
1
Serving
<
100
Serving
101
­
1,000
Serving
1,001
­
10,000
Original
SWAT
output
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
NonConv
4.40%
3.30%
4.40%
3.96%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
Conv/
Soft
31.23%
30.68%
30.61%
32.03%
30.61%
35.59%
29.30%
34.07%
CLO2
0.00%
0.00%
0.33%
1.78%
0.65%
3.95%
2.56%
4.40%
UV
0.45%
1.97%
­
0.66%
­
0.23%
­
0.75%
­
0.23%
1.83%
5.13%
Ozone
0.00%
0.00%
2.47%
9.41%
1.40%
8.68%
2.20%
5.49%
MF/
UF
16.50%
2.14%
8.74%
1.19%
4.35%
1.09%
0.37%
0.00%
GAC10
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.47%
0.37%
GAC10
&
UV
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.73%
0.73%
GAC20
2.17%
1.61%
1.45%
0.89%
1.47%
1.10%
0.00%
0.73%
GAC20
&
UV
0.51%
0.82%
0.76%
0.59%
0.73%
0.73%
0.00%
0.00%
Membranes
(
NF)
2.17%
2.07%
0.82%
1.49%
0.37%
1.47%
0.37%
1.47%
NonCompliance
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Totals:
57.43%
42.59%
48.91%
51.11%
43.23%
56.79%
43.23%
56.79%

Check
if
UV
is
below
Stage
1
Serving
<
100
Serving
101
­
1,000
Serving
1,001
­
10,000
Original
SWAT
output
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
NonConv
4.40%
3.30%
4.40%
3.96%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
4.40%
Conv/
Soft
31.23%
30.68%
30.61%
32.03%
30.61%
35.59%
29.30%
34.07%
CLO2
0.00%
0.00%
­
0.34%
1.55%
­
0.10%
3.73%
2.56%
4.40%
UV
0.45%
1.97%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.83%
5.13%
Ozone
0.00%
0.00%
2.47%
9.41%
1.40%
8.68%
2.20%
5.49%
MF/
UF
16.50%
2.14%
8.74%
1.19%
4.35%
1.09%
0.37%
0.00%
GAC10
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.47%
0.37%
GAC10
&
UV
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.73%
0.73%
GAC20
2.17%
1.61%
1.45%
0.89%
1.47%
1.10%
0.00%
0.73%
GAC20
&
UV
0.51%
0.82%
0.76%
0.59%
0.73%
0.73%
0.00%
0.00%
Membranes
(
NF)
2.17%
2.07%
0.82%
1.49%
0.37%
1.47%
0.37%
1.47%
NonCompliance
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Totals:
57.43%
42.59%
48.91%
51.11%
43.23%
56.79%
43.23%
56.79%
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
73
July
2003
Check
if
ClO2
is
below
Stage
1
(
Final
Adjusted
Forecast
Bottomline)
Serving
<
100
Serving
101
­
1,000
Serving
1,001
­
10,000
Original
SWAT
output
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
CL2
CLM
NonConv
4.40%
3.30%
4.29%
3.93%
4.25%
4.37%
4.40%
4.40%
Conv/
Soft
31.23%
30.68%
29.84%
31.80%
29.58%
35.34%
29.30%
34.07%
CLO2
0.00%
0.00%
0.54%
1.81%
1.08%
4.01%
2.56%
4.40%
UV
0.45%
1.97%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.83%
5.13%
Ozone
0.00%
0.00%
2.47%
9.41%
1.40%
8.68%
2.20%
5.49%
MF/
UF
16.50%
2.14%
8.74%
1.19%
4.35%
1.09%
0.37%
0.00%
GAC10
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.47%
0.37%
GAC10
&
UV
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.73%
0.73%
GAC20
2.17%
1.61%
1.45%
0.89%
1.47%
1.10%
0.00%
0.73%
GAC20
&
UV
0.51%
0.82%
0.76%
0.59%
0.73%
0.73%
0.00%
0.00%
Membranes
(
NF)
2.17%
2.07%
0.82%
1.49%
0.37%
1.47%
0.37%
1.47%
NonCompliance
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Totals:
57.43%
42.59%
48.91%
51.11%
43.23%
56.79%
43.23%
56.79%
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
74
July
2003
Rule
Option
Description
of
Rule
Option
CL2
Convert
CLM
Non
Conv
Conv_
Soft
CLO2
UV
Ozone
MF_
UF
GAC
10
GAC10
AdvOx
GAC
20
GAC20
AdvOx
Membranes
Stage
1
Baseline
Original
Stage
1
Baseline,
80/
60
RAA,
Crypto
R+
I
=
0,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
OFF
39.56%
7.88%
69.18%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
15.04%
0.00%
0.00%
3.78%
0.00%
4.14%

Preferred
Alternative
80/
60
LRAA,
Crypto
R+
I
=
0,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
42.59%
7.70%
65.70%
0.00%
3.05%
0.00%
15.04%
0.00%
0.00%
3.78%
0.61%
4.14%

Alternative
1
80/
60
LRAA,
Crypto
R+
I
=
0,
BRO3
=
5,
UV
=
ON
42.59%
7.70%
65.51%
0.00%
2.42%
0.00%
15.04%
0.00%
0.00%
3.78%
1.33%
4.24%

Alternative
2
80/
60
SH,
Crypto
R+
I
=
0,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
50.54%
5.06%
51.04%
0.00%
2.51%
0.00%
18.26%
0.00%
0.00%
11.71%
6.52%
4.90%

Alternative
3
40/
30
RAA,
Crypto
R+
I
=
0,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
51.11%
1.92%
42.90%
0.00%
3.62%
0.00%
18.94%
0.00%
0.00%
18.08%
7.89%
5.85%

IDSE
(­
5)
75/
55
LRAA,
Crypto
R+
I
=
0,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
43.92%
8.62%
64.54%
0.00%
2.69%
0.00%
15.04%
0.00%
0.00%
3.78%
1.19%
4.14%

IDSE
(­
10)
70/
50
LRAA,
Crypto
R+
I
=
0,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
44.11%
7.94%
64.99%
0.00%
1.76%
0.00%
15.28%
0.00%
0.00%
4.31%
1.59%
4.14%
Exhibit
A.
34a
Small
Surface
Water
Technology
Selection
Results
(
Serving
Populations
<
100)
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
75
July
2003
Rule
Option
Description
of
Rule
Option
CL2
Convert
CLM
Non
Conv
Conv_
Soft
CLO2
UV
Ozone
MF_
UF
GAC
10
GAC10
AdvOx
GAC
20
GAC20
AdvOx
Membranes
Stage
1
Baseline
Original
Stage
1
Baseline,
80/
60
RAA,
Crypto
R+
I
=
0,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
OFF
47.48%
8.42%
66.50%
2.35%
0.00%
11.88%
6.32%
0.00%
0.00%
2.35%
0.92%
1.27%

Preferred
Alternative
80/
60
LRAA,
Crypto
R+
I
=
0,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
51.11%
8.26%
65.52%
2.35%
0.42%
11.88%
6.33%
0.00%
0.00%
2.34%
1.63%
1.30%

Alternative
1
80/
60
LRAA,
Crypto
R+
I
=
0,
BRO3
=
5,
UV
=
ON
51.11%
8.22%
65.24%
2.35%
0.00%
11.88%
6.33%
0.00%
0.00%
2.34%
1.35%
2.31%

Alternative
2
80/
60
SH,
Crypto
R+
I
=
0,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
60.65%
5.67%
49.52%
2.35%
0.00%
11.88%
10.57%
0.00%
0.00%
10.42%
6.00%
3.59%

Alternative
3
40/
30
RAA,
Crypto
R+
I
=
0,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
61.33%
3.05%
41.77%
3.22%
0.00%
11.88%
11.54%
0.00%
0.00%
16.93%
7.03%
4.60%

IDSE
(­
5)
75/
55
LRAA,
Crypto
R+
I
=
0,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
52.70%
9.09%
63.39%
2.49%
1.24%
11.88%
6.33%
0.00%
0.00%
2.34%
1.88%
1.37%

IDSE
(­
10)
70/
50
LRAA,
Crypto
R+
I
=
0,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
52.93%
8.22%
62.72%
2.37%
0.88%
11.88%
7.33%
0.00%
0.00%
3.14%
2.03%
1.43%
Exhibit
A.
34b
Small
Surface
Water
Technology
Selection
Results
(
Serving
Populations
101­
1,000)
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
A­
76
July
2003
Rule
Option
Description
of
Rule
Option
CL2
Convert
CLM
Non
Conv
Conv_
Soft
CLO2
UV
Ozone
MF_
UF
GAC
10
GAC10
AdvOx
GAC
20
GAC20
AdvOx
Membranes
Stage
1
Baseline
Original
Stage
1
Baseline,
80/
60
RAA,
Crypto
R+
I
=
0,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
OFF
52.75%
8.79%
69.81%
5.09%
0.00%
10.08%
1.84%
0.00%
0.00%
2.57%
1.10%
0.74%

Preferred
Alternative
80/
60
LRAA,
Crypto
R+
I
=
0,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
56.79%
8.65%
68.74%
5.09%
0.48%
10.08%
1.84%
0.00%
0.00%
2.57%
1.83%
0.74%

Alternative
1
80/
60
LRAA,
Crypto
R+
I
=
0,
BRO3
=
5,
UV
=
ON
56.79%
8.62%
68.52%
5.09%
0.00%
10.08%
1.84%
0.00%
0.00%
2.57%
1.46%
1.84%

Alternative
2
80/
60
SH,
Crypto
R+
I
=
0,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
67.39%
6.21%
53.01%
5.48%
0.00%
10.08%
5.82%
0.00%
0.00%
11.35%
6.59%
1.47%

Alternative
3
40/
30
RAA,
Crypto
R+
I
=
0,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
68.14%
3.31%
45.08%
7.24%
0.00%
10.08%
6.46%
0.00%
0.00%
18.68%
7.70%
1.47%

IDSE
(­
5)
75/
55
LRAA,
Crypto
R+
I
=
0,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
58.56%
9.51%
66.44%
5.41%
1.22%
10.08%
1.84%
0.00%
0.00%
2.57%
2.20%
0.74%

IDSE
(­
10)
70/
50
LRAA,
Crypto
R+
I
=
0,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
58.81%
8.74%
66.64%
5.14%
0.96%
10.08%
1.84%
0.00%
0.00%
3.66%
2.20%
0.74%
Exhibit
A.
34c
Small
Surface
Water
Technology
Selection
Results
(
Serving
Populations
1,001­
10,000)
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
1
July
2003
Appendix
B
Ground
Water
Plant
Compliance
Forecasts
B.
1
Introduction
This
appendix
documents
the
derivation
of
the
compliance
forecasts
for
ground
water
plants
used
in
the
Economic
Analysis
(
EA)
for
the
Stage
2
Disinfectants
and
Disinfection
Byproducts
Rule
(
DBPR).
The
compliance
forecast
for
the
large
ground
water
plants
was
generated
using
the
Information
Collection
Rule
(
ICR)
Ground
Water
Delphi
process,
which
convened
a
group
of
ground
water
system
experts.
Medium
plants
were
evaluated
similarly
to
large
plants.
Compliance
forecasts
for
small
plants
were
developed
under
the
small
ground
water
system
expert
review
process.
The
following
sections
provide
the
methodology
for
developing
compliance
forecasts
for
all
ground
water
plants.

B.
2
Compliance
Forecast
for
Large
and
Medium
Ground
Water
Plants
Unlike
the
compliance
forecast
for
surface
water
plants
generated
by
the
Surface
Water
Analytical
Tool
(
SWAT),
the
forecast
for
ground
water
plants
in
large
and
medium
systems
(
those
serving
over
10,000
people)
was
developed
in
two
distinct
steps
described
below
(
and
summarized
in
Exhibit
B.
1).

°
Estimate
percent
non­
compliers:
First,
the
ICR
Ground
Water
Delphi
Group
used
ICR
data
to
evaluate
each
plant
for
compliance
under
various
regulatory
alternatives.
Because
a
majority
of
the
large
plants
predicted
to
be
out
of
compliance
were
located
in
Florida,
the
Environmental
Protection
Agency
(
EPA)
applied
a
"
Florida/
Non­
Florida"
stratification
to
the
results.

°
Apply
treatment
selection
forecasts
to
the
non­
compliers:
A
group
of
ground
water
system
experts
 
a
Delphi
group
 
predicted
technology
selection
for
each
non­
compliant
large
ground
water
plant.
These
plant­
level
analyses
were
aggregated
into
national­
level
compliance
treatment
forecasts,
which
were
then
applied
to
the
percent
noncomplying
for
the
medium
and
large
systems.

Section
B.
2.2
explains
the
rationale
for
using
ICR
Delphi
results
for
medium
ground
water
systems.

At
the
time
of
the
Delphi
process,
EPA
was
still
evaluating
a
vast
number
of
regulatory
alternatives
and
had
not
reached
agreement
from
the
Federal
Advisory
Committees
Act
(
FACA)
on
the
Preferred
Regulatory
Alternative.
Therefore,
the
Delphi
group
analyzed
four
"
bounding"
alternatives
to
address
the
variety
in
both
MCL
levels
(
80
µ
g/
L
for
total
trihalomethanes
(
TTHM),
60
µ
g/
L
for
haloacetic
acids
(
HAA5),
and
40
µ
g/
L
for
TTHM,
30
µ
g/
L
for
HAA5),
and
measurement
methods
(
running
annual
average
[
RAA],
single
highest
[
SH]
values,
and
locational
running
annual
average
[
LRAA])
being
considered.
The
original
bounding
alternatives
considered
by
the
Delphi
group
are:
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
2
July
2003
°
80/
60
µ
g/
L
RAA
(
The
Stage
1
DBPR)

°
80/
60
µ
g/
L
SH
(
Regulatory
Alternative
2)

°
40/
30
µ
g/
L
RAA
(
Regulatory
Alternative
3)

°
40/
30
µ
g/
L
SH
(
Bounding
Alternative
4,
not
considered
in
this
EA)
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
3
July
2003
Determine
baseline
number
of
disinfecting
FL
ground
water
plants.

Determine
ICR
FL
percent
noncomplying
Determine
ICR
Non­
FL
percent
non­
complying.

Apply
percent
non­
complying
to
the
baseline
Non­
FL
plants
in
each
of
the
four
large
population
size
categories,
to
get
the
respective
number
of
noncompliers
Apply
percent
non­
complying
to
the
baseline
FL
plants
in
each
of
the
four
large
population
size
categories,
to
get
the
respective
number
of
noncompliers

Combine
the
FL
and
Non­
FL
non­
compliers
from
above
appropriately
to
get
the
national
percent
non­
compliers
for
the
medium
(
i.
e.,
10K­
100K)
and
large
(
i.
e.,
>
100K)
systems.

Apply
the
"
Delphi"
Treatment
Selection
percentages
to
the
national
percent
non­
compliers
for
the
medium
and
large
systems.
Large
GW
characteristics:
ICR
data
Baseline
data
for
large
GW
plants:
Baseline
Handbook
Large
GW
"
Delphi"
results
for
treatment
selection
Determine
baseline
number
of
disinfecting
Non­
FL
ground
water
plants.

Final
Compliance
Forecast
Exhibit
B.
1
Compliance
Forecast
for
Medium
and
Large
Ground
Water
Plants
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
4
July
2003
Two
additional
regulatory
alternatives
were
identified
after
the
original
Delphi
group
analysis:

°
80/
60
µ
g/
L
LRAA
(
The
Preferred
Regulatory
Alternative)

°
80/
60
µ
g/
L
LRAA
with
reduced
Bromate
maximum
contaminant
level
(
MCL)
of
5
µ
g/
L
(
Regulatory
Alternative
1)

Lastly,
two
sensitivity
analyses
were
performed
by
EPA
to
quantify
potential
effects
of
the
Initial
Distribution
System
Evaluation
(
IDSE)(
the
IDSE
may
result
in
the
identification
of
higher
distribution
system
disinfection
byproducts
(
DBP)
concentrations
observed
during
the
ICR).
To
simulate
the
increase
in
percent
adding
treatment,
compliance
forecasts
were
developed
for
the
LRAA
regulatory
alternatives
at
5
µ
g/
L
(
IDSE
No.
1)
and
10
µ
g/
L
(
IDSE
No.
2)
below
the
TTHM
and
HAA5
MCLs
of
80
and
60
µ
g/
L.

Sections
B.
2.2
and
B.
2.3
provide
the
detailed
process
for
estimating
the
percent
of
non­
complying
plants
for
each
of
the
6
alternatives
described
above
and
predicting
the
technologies
they
may
select
to
meet
compliance.

B.
2.1
Rationale
for
Using
ICR
Delphi
Results
for
Medium
Ground
Water
Systems
For
more
details
on
medium
ground
water
systems,
refer
to
Chapter
3
of
Stage
2
Occurrence
Assessment
for
Disinfectants
and
Disinfection
Byproducts
(
USEPA,
2003l).
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
5
July
2003
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%

0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Plant­
Mean
TOC
(
mg
C/
L)
Cumulative
Percent
Medium
Ground
Water
Systems
(
N=
51)

Large
Ground
Water
Systems
(
N=
38)

0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%

No
trmt.

Pre­
storage/
Sed
Aeration/
Air
stripping
Rapid
Mix
Floc/
Coag
Sed
Filt
Percentage
of
Systems
Medium
systems
10­
100K
(
N=
364)

Large
systems
>
100K
(
N=
110)
Exhibit
B.
2
Annual
Average
Raw
Water
TOC
for
Medium
and
Large
Ground
Water
Systems
Source:
WATER:\
STATS
(
AWWA
2000).

Exhibit
B.
3
Treatment
Summary
for
Medium
and
Large
Ground
Water
Systems
(
Chlorinating
and
Non­
Chlorinating)

Source:
WATER:\
STATS
(
AWWA
2000).
1
A
total
of
130
large
ground
water
plants
were
evaluated
using
the
last
12
months
of
ICR
data.
Based
on
data
in
the
ICR
applicability
database,
there
is
a
higher
total
number
of
ground
water
plants
in
large
systems
(
see
Chapter
4
for
the
baseline
number
of
large
plants
used
in
this
analysis).
Some
of
the
plants
within
a
system
may
be
medium
or
small
plants
(
serving
fewer
than
100,000
people),
which
is
why
they
were
not
included
in
the
ICR.
The
EA
used
the
total
plant
estimate
from
the
ICR
applicability
database
for
costing.
This
accounts
for
medium
and
small
plants
in
large
systems
by
adjusting
the
flow
per
plant.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
6
July
2003
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%

0
20
40
60
80
100
120
TTHM
(
m
g/
L)
Cumulative
Percentile
of
Systems
Medium
Ground
Water
Systems
(
N=
169)

Large
Ground
Water
Systems
(
N=
68)
Exhibit
B.
4
Annual
Average
Finished
Water
TTHM
for
Medium
and
Large
Ground
Water
Systems
Source:
WATER:\
STATS
(
AWWA
2000).

B.
2.3
Estimating
Percent
Non­
complying
Total
Percent
Non­
complying
from
ICR
Data
ICR
data
(
USEPA
2000h)
were
evaluated
to
estimate
the
number
of
plants
that
would
currently
exceed
MCL
requirements
of
the
Stage
1
DBPR
and
each
of
the
Stage
2
DBPR
regulatory
alternatives.
1
Plants
were
initially
classified
as
non­
complying
if
ICR
data
showed
that
they
exceeded
the
MCLs,
taking
into
account
a
20
percent
safety
factor.
For
example,
the
Preferred
Alternative
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
is
80
µ
g/
L
measured
as
an
LRAA
for
TTHM
and
60
µ
g/
L
measured
as
an
LRAA
for
HAA5.
Compliance,
therefore,
is
evaluated
for
64
µ
g/
L
for
TTHM
and
48
µ
g/
L
for
HAA5,
both
measured
as
LRAAs.

EPA
also
evaluated
plant
and
system
characteristics
and
determined
that,
in
some
cases,
distributed
water
from
ground
water
plants
was
being
blended
with
water
from
surface
water
plants
in
the
distribution
system.
This
may
have
resulted
in
higher
TTHM
and
HAA5
concentrations
than
would
normally
be
associated
with
an
individual
ground
water
plant.
If
these
plants
were
included
in
the
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
7
July
2003
ICR
RAA
LRAA
SH
WTPID
TTHM
HAA5
TTHM
HAA5
TTHM
HAA5
281
58.0
10.6
64.6
11.7
75.4
16.0
287
59.8
39.2
66.3
42.9
75.7
46.5
compliance
forecast
assessment,
the
percent
of
non­
complying
ground
water
plants
may
be
overstated.
Therefore,
ground
water
plants
that
had
a
surface
water
plant
with
the
same
public
water
system
ID
number
were
removed
from
the
set
of
non­
compliers
for
all
regulatory
alternatives
(
i.
e.,
the
surface
water
plant
would
most
likely
make
modifications
rather
than
the
ground
water
plant).

For
regulatory
alternatives
based
on
LRAA
and
RAA
calculations,
EPA
further
reviewed
ICR
data
to
evaluate
the
variance
in
individual
distribution
system
measurements.
Influent
water
quality
does
not
typically
fluctuate
in
ground
water
systems
as
much
as
it
can
in
surface
water
systems.
Distribution
system
TTHM
and
HAA5
concentrations
may
not
vary
much,
and,
thus,
some
ground
water
systems
may
be
able
to
continuously
meet
an
LRAA
and
RAA
standard
above
the
20
percent
safety
factor
(
i.
e.,
ground
water
systems
may
not
need
as
large
a
safety
factor).
EPA
evaluated
all
systems
predicted
to
be
above
the
LRAA
and
RAA
limits
with
the
20
percent
safety
factor
against
the
single
highest
(
SH)
value
reported
in
the
ICR.
If
the
annual
average
concentration
(
measured
as
either
LRAA
or
RAA)
and
the
SH
value
were
below
the
true
regulatory
limit
(
without
the
safety
factor),
EPA
assumed
that
it
was
unlikely
that
the
ground
water
plant
would
add
treatment
to
comply
with
the
rule.
These
plants
were
removed
from
the
set
of
non­
complying
plants.
Exhibit
B.
5
shows
an
example
of
two
plants
(
ICR
plants
281
and
287)
that
were
initially
considered
non­
compliers
(
based
on
20
percent
safety
factor),
but
were
removed
based
on
their
SH
values
Exhibit
B.
5
Evaluation
of
RAA,
LRAA
and
SH
(
µ
g/
L)

Source:
ICR
Aux
1
(
USEPA
2000h),
12
months
of
data.

Florida/
Non­
Florida
Stratification
EPA
evaluated
the
regional
characteristics
of
those
plants
exceeding
MCLs
for
each
alternative.
Large
ground
water
plants
in
Florida
comprise
the
majority
of
large
ground
water
plants
predicted
to
be
out
of
compliance
with
all
regulatory
scenarios
because
of
the
typically
high
influent
total
organic
carbon
(
TOC)
concentrations
in
Florida
compared
to
other
areas
in
the
United
States.
(
see
Chapter
4
for
a
discussion
of
regional
impacts).
To
avoid
inappropriately
extrapolating
national
estimates
of
noncompliance
from
the
heavily
Florida­
weighted
results,
EPA
evaluated
Florida
and
Non­
Florida
plants
separately
and
then
aggregated
the
results
together
to
produce
national
estimates.
Below
is
a
step­
bystep
explanation
of
how
the
percent
of
non­
compliers
was
calculated
using
the
Florida/
Non­
Florida
stratification.

Step
1:
Determine
the
baseline
number
of
Florida
and
Non­
Florida
ground
water
plants
Exhibit
B.
6
shows
baseline
data,
presented
separately
for
Florida
and
Non­
Florida
plants.
The
total
number
of
Florida
ground
water
systems
was
derived
from
the
Baseline
Handbook.
EPA
assumes
that
all
Florida
ground
water
systems
disinfect
(
USEPA
1996a).
Also,
surface
water
systems
in
Florida
with
the
majority
of
their
flow
from
ground
water
were
moved
to
the
Florida
primarily
ground
water
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
8
July
2003
source
category
(
see
Chapter
3
for
an
explanation
of
how
EPA
altered
system
inventories
so
that
they
are
classified
by
primary
water
source).
Systems
were
converted
to
plants
using
plant
per
system
ratios
presented
in
Chapter
3,
with
the
exception
of
the
systems
serving
100,000
to
1
million
people.
The
ICR
Applicability
database
was
used
to
determine
the
relative
plants
per
system
ratio
for
Florida/
Non­
Florida
systems.
The
analysis
showed
that
Florida
systems
had
a
lower
plant
per
system
ratio
than
Non­
Florida
systems.
The
national
plant
per
system
number
was
weighted
to
reflect
this
difference.

Step
2
:
Estimate
the
percent
of
non­
complying
plants
in
Florida
The
percent
of
non­
complying
plants
in
Florida
was
based
on
an
evaluation
of
ICR
ground
water
plant
data
for
non­
surface
water
influenced
plants
(
as
previously
noted,
ground
water
distribution
systems
were
determined
to
be
potentially
under
the
influence
of
surface
water
if
systems
included
a
surface
water
plant).
The
percent
not
complying
is
applied
to
the
baseline
of
both
large
and
medium
plants.

Step
3:
Estimate
the
percent
of
non­
complying
plants
outside
of
Florida
The
percent
of
non­
complying,
Non­
Florida
plants
was
based
on
an
evaluation
of
ICR
ground
water
plant
data
for
non­
surface
water
influenced
plants.
The
same
methodology
was
used,
as
described
in
Step
2,
to
obtain
the
percent
non­
compliers
for
Non­
Florida
plants.
This
percentage
was
applied
to
both
medium
and
large
plants.

Step
4:
Estimate
the
total
national
percent
of
non­
complying
plants
For
each
medium
and
large
size
category,
the
total
number
of
non­
complying
plants
was
estimated
by
multiplying
the
percentages
in
Steps
2
and
3
by
the
baseline
numbers
from
Exhibit
B.
6
of
Florida
and
Non­
Florida
plants,
respectively.
The
number
of
non­
complying
Florida
and
Non­
Florida
plants
were
then
summed
and
divided
by
the
total
number
of
plants
(
Florida
plus
Non­
Florida).
By
using
this
method,
EPA
was
able
to
estimate
a
more
accurate
national
percentage
of
plants
out
of
compliance
with
the
Stage
2
DBPR.

Exhibits
B.
7
through
B.
13
present
a
summary
of
the
Florida/
Non­
Florida
stratification
described
above
for
the
Stage
1
DBPR,
Stage
2
DBPR
Preferred
Alternative,
Regulatory
Alternatives
2
and
3,
the
Bounding
Alternative
4,
and
the
two
IDSE
sensitivity
alternatives.
Results
are
presented
for
both
large
and
medium
ground
water
systems.
Regulatory
Alternative
1
(
80/
60
µ
g/
L
LRAA
with
reduced
Bromate
MCL
of
5
µ
g/
L)
is
not
presented
separately
because
results
are
equivalent
to
the
Preferred
Alternative
(
Exhibit
B.
8)
since
the
Delphi
Group
assumed
that
no
ground
water
plants
would
use
ozone
with
an
MCL
of
5
ppb.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
9
July
2003
Florida
Non­
Florida
No.
of
Disinfecting
GW
Systems
No.
of
SW/
GWUDI
Systems
No
of
Disinfecting
Systems,
Primarily
GW
Plants
Per
System
No.
of
Plants
No.
of
Disinfecting
Systems,
Primarily
GW
Plants
Per
System
No.
of
Plants
A
B
C
D
E
=
C*
D
F
G
H
=
F*
G
£
100
503
1
503
1.0
513
7,116
1.0
7,259
101­
500
641
7
642
1.3
847
11,271
1.3
14,878
501­
1,000
194
4
194
1.5
291
3,895
1.5
5,842
1,001­
3,300
271
12
272
1.6
435
4,660
1.6
7,456
3,301­
10,000
128
15
130
2.1
267
2,285
2.1
4,708
10,001­
50,000
149
14
150
4.0
602
1,191
4.0
4,766
50,001­
100,000
41
2
41
4.9
202
109
4.9
537
100,001­
1
Million
19
7
20
4.5
91
76
10.3
784
>
1
Million
1
0
1
9.1
9
1
9.1
9
Total
1,947
62
1,953
1.7
3,256
30,606
1.5
46,238
System
Size
(
population
served)

Florida
and
Non­
Florida
Ground
Water
Baseline
for
NTNCWSs
Florida
Non­
Florida
No.
of
Disinfecting
GW
Systems
No.
of
SW/
GWUDI
Systems
No
of
Disinfecting
Systems,
Primarily
GW
Plants
Per
System
No.
of
Plants
No.
of
Disinfecting
Systems,
Primarily
GW
Plants
Per
System
No.
of
Plants
A
B
C
D
E
=
C*
D
F
G
H
=
F*
G
£
100
708
0
708
1.0
708
2,954
1.0
2,954
101­
500
253
0
253
1.0
253
2,371
1.0
2,371
501­
1,000
80
0
80
1.0
80
637
1.0
637
1,001­
3,300
35
0
35
1.0
35
232
1.0
232
3,301­
10,000
5
0
5
1.0
5
22
1.0
22
10,001­
50,000
2
0
2
1.0
2
2
1.0
2
50,001­
100,000
0
0
0
1.0
0
0
1.0
0
100,001­
1
Million
0
0
0
1.0
0
1
1.0
1
>
1
Million
0
0
0
1.0
0
0
1.0
0
Total
1,083
0
1,083
1.0
1,083
6,220
1.0
6,220
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
due
to
independent
rounding.
Sources:

(
D
&
G)
Plants
per
system
for
Florida
were
assumed
to
be
equal
to
plants
per
system
found
in
Exhibit
3.4,
Column
L,
except
for
systems
serving
>
100,000.
For
large
systems,
ICR
data
was
evaluated
to
determine
if
the
number
of
GW
plants/
system
was
lower
in
Florida
because
they
have
so
many
large
ground
water
plants.
The
relationship
of
plants/
system
from
ICR
data
was
maintained
for
the
national
analysis
(
in
other
words,
the
ratio
of
plants
per
system
of
Florida
systems
to
non­
Florida
systems
was
used
to
adjust
the
entry
point
estimates.

(
F)
The
number
of
disinfecting,
primarily
GW
systems
is
from
the
Exhibit
3.4,
minus
the
number
of
disinfecting
ground
water
systems
in
Florida
from
Column
A.
(
A
&
B)
3rd
Edition
of
Baseline
Handbook,
Tables
A4.1.1
(
CWS)
and
A4.1.2(
NTNCWS).
100
percent
of
ground
water
systems
in
Florida
disinfect
("
Ground
Water
Disinfection
and
Protective
Practices
in
the
United
States"
USEPA,
1996)
System
Size
(
population
served)

(
C)
Florida
surface
water
systems
are
moved
to
the
Florida
GW
system
category
if
>
50%
of
their
flow
comes
from
GW.
The
percentages
from
Exhibit
3.4,
Column
F
were
used
to
approximate
percentages
for
Florida.
Exhibit
B.
6a
Baseline
for
Florida
and
Non­
Florida
Plants,
CWSs
Exhibit
B.
6b
Baseline
for
Florida
and
Non­
Florida
Plants,
NTNCWSs
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
10
July
2003
Florida
System
Size
(
population
served)
No.
of
Plants
No.
of
ICR
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
1
%
of
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
1
A
B
C
=
B/
33
10,001­
50,000
602
8
24%
50,001­
100,000
202
8
24%
100,001­
1,000,000
91
8
24%
>
1,000,000
9
8
24%

Non­
Florida
System
Size
(
population
served)
No.
of
Plants
No.
of
ICR
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
1
%
of
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
1
D
E
F
=
E/
97
10,001­
50,000
4766
0
0%
50,001­
100,000
537
0
0%
100,001­
1,000,000
784
0
0%
>
1,000,000
9
0
0%

National
System
Size
(
population
served)
No.
of
All
Plants
No.
of
ICR
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
1
%
of
All
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
1
Total
%
not
complying
G=
A+
D
H
=
B+
E
I=((
A*
C)+(
D*
F))/
G
J
=
SumProduct(
G*
I)/
Sum
G
10,001­
50,000
5,367
8
3%
50,001­
100,000
738
8
7%
100,001­
1,000,000
875
8
3%
>
1,000,000
18
8
12%
3.2%

2.7%
Exhibit
B.
7
Percent
of
Non­
compliers
for
the
Stage
1
DBPR
(
80/
60
RAA)

Note:
Totals
may
not
add
due
to
independent
rounding.
Sources:
A
&
D
from
Exhibit
B.
6.
B,
C,
E,
&
F
are
based
on
evaluation
of
ICR
data
for
ground
water
plants
without
surface
water
influence.
Note
that
a
total
of
33
ICR
Florida
plants
and
97
ICR
non­
Florida
plants
were
evaluated.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
11
July
2003
Florida
System
Size
(
population
served)
No.
of
Plants
No.
of
ICR
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
%
of
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
A
B
C
=
B/
33
10,001­
50,000
602
11
33%
50,001­
100,000
202
11
33%
100,001­
1,000,000
91
11
33%
>
1,000,000
9
11
33%

Non­
Florida
System
Size
(
population
served)
No.
of
Plants
No.
of
ICR
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
%
of
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
D
E
F
=
E/
97
10,001­
50,000
4766
1
1%
50,001­
100,000
537
1
1%
100,001­
1,000,000
784
1
1%
>
1,000,000
9
1
1%

National
System
Size
(
population
served)
No.
of
All
Plants
No.
of
ICR
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
%
of
All
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
Total
%
not
complying
G=
A+
D
H
=
B+
E
I=((
A*
C)+(
D*
F))/
G
J
=
SumProduct(
G*
I)/
Sum
G
10,001­
50,000
5,367
12
5%
50,001­
100,000
738
12
10%
100,001­
1,000,000
875
12
4%
>
1,000,000
18
12
17%
5.3%

4.6%
Exhibit
B.
8
Percent
of
Non­
compliers
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Preferred
Regulatory
Alternative
(
80/
60
LRAA)

Note:
Totals
may
not
add
due
to
independent
rounding.
Sources:
A
&
D
from
Exhibit
B.
6.
B,
C,
E,
&
F
are
based
on
evaluation
of
ICR
data
for
ground
water
plants
without
surface
water
influence.
Note
that
a
total
of
33
ICR
Florida
plants
and
97
ICR
non­
Florida
plants
were
evaluated.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
12
July
2003
Florida
System
Size
(
population
served)
No.
of
Plants
No.
of
ICR
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
%
of
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
A
B
C
=
B/
33
10,001­
50,000
602
19
58%
50,001­
100,000
202
19
58%
100,001­
1,000,000
91
19
58%
>
1,000,000
9
19
58%

Non­
Florida
System
Size
(
population
served)
No.
of
Plants
No.
of
ICR
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
%
of
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
D
E
F
=
E/
97
10,001­
50,000
4766
3
3%
50,001­
100,000
537
3
3%
100,001­
1,000,000
784
3
3%
>
1,000,000
9
3
3%

National
System
Size
(
population
served)
No.
of
All
Plants
No.
of
ICR
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
%
of
All
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
Total
%
not
complying
G=
A+
D
H
=
B+
E
I=((
A*
C)+(
D*
F))/
G
J
=
SumProduct(
G*
I)/
Sum
G
10,001­
50,000
5,367
22
9%
50,001­
100,000
738
22
18%
100,001­
1,000,000
875
22
9%
>
1,000,000
18
22
30%
10.3%

9.2%
Exhibit
B.
9
Percent
of
Non­
compliers
for
Regulatory
Alternative
2
(
80/
60
SH)

Note:
Totals
may
not
add
due
to
independent
rounding.
Sources:
A
&
D
from
Exhibit
B.
6.
B,
C,
E,
&
F
are
based
on
evaluation
of
ICR
data
for
ground
water
plants
without
surface
water
influence.
Note
that
a
total
of
33
ICR
Florida
plants
and
97
ICR
non­
Florida
plants
were
evaluated.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
13
July
2003
Florida
System
Size
(
population
served)
No.
of
Plants
No.
of
ICR
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
%
of
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
A
B
C
=
B/
33
10,001­
50,000
602
18
55%
50,001­
100,000
202
18
55%
100,001­
1,000,000
91
18
55%
>
1,000,000
9
18
55%

Non­
Florida
System
Size
(
population
served)
No.
of
Plants
No.
of
ICR
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
%
of
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
D
E
F
=
E/
97
10,001­
50,000
4766
1
1%
50,001­
100,000
537
1
1%
100,001­
1,000,000
784
1
1%
>
1,000,000
9
1
1%

National
System
Size
(
population
served)
No.
of
All
Plants
No.
of
ICR
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
%
of
All
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
Total
%
not
complying
G=
A+
D
H
=
B+
E
I=((
A*
C)+(
D*
F))/
G
J
=
SumProduct(
G*
I)/
Sum
G
10,001­
50,000
5,367
19
7%
50,001­
100,000
738
19
16%
100,001­
1,000,000
875
19
7%
>
1,000,000
18
19
28%
8.1%

7.0%
Exhibit
B.
10
Percent
of
Non­
compliers
for
Regulatory
Alternative
3
(
40/
30
RAA)

Note:
Totals
may
not
add
due
to
independent
rounding.
Sources:
A
&
D
from
Exhibit
B.
6.
B,
C,
E,
&
F
are
based
on
evaluation
of
ICR
data
for
ground
water
plants
without
surface
water
influence.
Note
that
a
total
of
33
ICR
Florida
plants
and
97
ICR
non­
Florida
plants
were
evaluated.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
14
July
2003
Florida
System
Size
(
population
served)
No.
of
Plants
No.
of
ICR
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
%
of
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
A
B
C
=
B/
33
10,001­
50,000
602
27
82%
50,001­
100,000
202
27
82%
100,001­
1,000,000
91
27
82%
>
1,000,000
9
27
82%

Non­
Florida
System
Size
(
population
served)
No.
of
Plants
No.
of
ICR
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
%
of
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
D
E
F
=
E/
97
10,001­
50,000
4766
8
8%
50,001­
100,000
537
8
8%
100,001­
1,000,000
784
8
8%
>
1,000,000
9
8
8%

National
System
Size
(
population
served)
No.
of
All
Plants
No.
of
ICR
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
%
of
All
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
Total
%
not
complying
G=
A+
D
H
=
B+
E
I=((
A*
C)+(
D*
F))/
G
J
=
SumProduct(
G*
I)/
Sum
G
10,001­
50,000
5,367
35
16%
50,001­
100,000
738
35
28%
100,001­
1,000,000
875
35
16%
>
1,000,000
18
35
45%
17.9%

16.5%
Exhibit
B.
11
Percent
of
Non­
compliers
for
Bounding
Alternative
4
(
40/
30
SH)

Note:
Totals
may
not
add
due
to
independent
rounding.
Sources:
A
&
D
from
Exhibit
B.
6.
B,
C,
E,
&
F
are
based
on
evaluation
of
ICR
data
for
ground
water
plants
without
surface
water
influence.
Note
that
a
total
of
33
ICR
Florida
plants
and
97
ICR
non­
Florida
plants
were
evaluated.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
15
July
2003
Florida
System
Size
(
population
served)
No.
of
Plants
No.
of
ICR
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
%
of
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
A
B
C
=
B/
33
10,001­
50,000
602
14
42%
50,001­
100,000
202
14
42%
100,001­
1,000,000
91
14
42%
>
1,000,000
9
14
42%

Non­
Florida
System
Size
(
population
served)
No.
of
Plants
No.
of
ICR
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
%
of
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
D
E
F
=
E/
97
10,001­
50,000
4766
1
1%
50,001­
100,000
537
1
1%
100,001­
1,000,000
784
1
1%
>
1,000,000
9
1
1%

National
System
Size
(
population
served)
No.
of
All
Plants
No.
of
ICR
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
%
of
All
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
Total
%
not
complying
G=
A+
D
H
=
B+
E
I=((
A*
C)+(
D*
F))/
G
J
=
SumProduct(
G*
I)/
Sum
G
10,001­
50,000
5,367
15
6%
50,001­
100,000
738
15
12%
100,001­
1,000,000
875
15
5%
>
1,000,000
18
15
22%
6.5%

5.7%
Exhibit
B.
12
Percent
of
Non­
compliers
for
IDSE
No.
1
(­
5)
(
75/
55
LRAA)

Note:
Totals
may
not
add
due
to
independent
rounding.
Sources:
A
&
D
from
Exhibit
B.
6.
B,
C,
E,
&
F
are
based
on
evaluation
of
ICR
data
for
ground
water
plants
without
surface
water
influence.
Note
that
a
total
of
33
ICR
Florida
plants
and
97
ICR
non­
Florida
plants
were
evaluated.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
16
July
2003
Florida
System
Size
(
population
served)
No.
of
Plants
No.
of
ICR
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
%
of
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
A
B
C
=
B/
33
10,001­
50,000
602
15
45%
50,001­
100,000
202
15
45%
100,001­
1,000,000
91
15
45%
>
1,000,000
9
15
45%

Non­
Florida
System
Size
(
population
served)
No.
of
Plants
No.
of
ICR
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
%
of
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
D
E
F
=
E/
97
10,001­
50,000
4766
1
1%
50,001­
100,000
537
1
1%
100,001­
1,000,000
784
1
1%
>
1,000,000
9
1
1%

National
System
Size
(
population
served)
No.
of
All
Plants
No.
of
ICR
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
%
of
All
Plants
Not
Complying
with
Stage
2
Total
%
not
complying
G=
A+
D
H
=
B+
E
I=((
A*
C)+(
D*
F))/
G
J
=
SumProduct(
G*
I)/
Sum
G
10,001­
50,000
5,367
16
6%
50,001­
100,000
738
16
13%
100,001­
1,000,000
875
16
6%
>
1,000,000
18
16
23%
6.9%

6.0%
Exhibit
B.
13
Percent
of
Non­
compliers
for
IDSE
No.
2
(­
10)
(
70/
50
LRAA)

Note:
Totals
may
not
add
due
to
independent
rounding.
Sources:
A
&
D
from
Exhibit
B.
6.
B,
C,
E,
&
F
are
based
on
evaluation
of
ICR
data
for
ground
water
plants
without
surface
water
influence.
Note
that
a
total
of
33
ICR
Florida
plants
and
97
ICR
non­
Florida
plants
were
evaluated.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
17
July
2003
B.
2.4
Technology
Selection
Original
"
Bounding"
Alternatives
The
Delphi
group
used
a
multi­
step
process
to
develop
the
compliance
forecasts
for
those
large
ground
water
plants
out
of
compliance
with
the
four
original
regulatory
alternatives.

Drawing
from
data
collected
under
the
ICR,
Delphi
group
participants
were
given
details
(
such
as
plant
type,
residual
disinfectant,
and
water
quality)
about
the
ground
water
plants
unable
to
meet
the
MCLs
of
each
alternative.
Delphi
participants
selected
a
treatment
technology
from
a
list
of
16
technologies
and
a
residual
disinfectant
(
chlorine
or
chloramines)
for
each
plant
and
rated
their
confidence
in
their
technology
selections.
Each
Delphi
participant
focused
on
different
information
to
select
the
technology
required
by
each
plant.
Some
participants
gave
greater
importance
to
water
quality
aspects,
while
others
emphasized
design
issues.
In
general,
the
Delphi
participants
used
one
of
three
approaches,
each
with
its
own
set
of
rules:

°
Assess
the
use
of
chloramines
 
If
the
use
of
chloramines
is
not
feasible,
then
look
for
another
technology
that
better
addresses
ground
water­
specific
needs,
such
as
multiple
small
entry
points.
Evaluate
whether
these
entry
points
would
be
best
served
by
technologies
such
as
nanofiltration
(
NF)
and
Granular
Activated
Carbon
(
GAC)
rather
than
an
advanced
oxidant
(
ozone).

°
Always
maintain
a
consistent
residual
in
the
distribution
system
 
If
other
plants
in
the
system
use
chlorine
as
a
residual,
the
plant
cannot
select
chloramines
as
its
technology.
In
addition,
chloramines
cannot
be
selected
when
TOC
is
above
a
certain
level.
Microfiltration/
ultrafiltration
(
MF/
UF)
cannot
be
selected
as
a
technology
because
ground
water
plants
are
not
subject
to
the
high
removal
or
inactivation
requirements
of
surface
water
plants.
Other
technologies
are
selected
as
needed.

°
Assess
how
far
the
plant
is
from
compliance
with
the
MCLs.
Determine
whether
the
plant
already
uses
chloramines.
If
chloramines
are
not
used,
and
up
to
a
20
to
30
percent
reduction
of
DBPs
results
in
compliance,
select
chloramines
as
the
final
technology.
If
chloramines
cannot
be
used
based
on
specific
water
quality
conditions,
eliminate
technologies
that
are
not
feasible
and
select
the
least
expensive
technology
that
meets
the
compliance
criteria.

After
assembling
the
completed
technology
selection
results
from
each
Delphi
participant,
quality
control
and
quality
assurance
steps
were
performed
to
ensure
a
consistent
and
usable
data
entry
format.
A
Microsoft
Access
 
database
was
used
to
consolidate
the
participants'
responses.
The
results
were
then
weighted,
with
higher
confidence
responses
receiving
an
additional
weighting
of
25
percent.

The
Delphi
process
concluded
that
ground
water
systems
that
could
not
comply
with
the
standards
of
the
Regulatory
Alternative
would
choose
primarily
from
four
advanced
treatment
technologies:

°
Conventional
treatment
(
with
chloramines)

°
Advanced
disinfectants
(
ozone)
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
18
July
2003
°
GAC
with
an
empty
bed
contact
time
of
20
minutes
(
GAC20)

°
NF
The
use
of
chloramines
with
each
technology
also
was
assessed.
The
results
of
these
evaluations
were
compiled
and
used
as
the
basis
for
the
technology
selection
forecasts.
The
Delphi
results
from
the
bounding
alternatives
were
also
used
to
develop
technology
selections
for
the
additional
regulatory
alternatives
(
discussed
later
in
this
appendix).

Exhibit
B.
14
presents
the
proportion
of
technologies
predicted
to
be
selected
by
the
Delphi
Group
for
the
four
bounding
alternatives.

Additional
Regulatory
Alternatives
Following
the
initial
Delphi
process,
the
Microbial­
Disinfectants
and
Disinfection
Byproducts
Advisory
Committee
(
M­
DBP
Advisory
Committee)
asked
the
Delphi
group
to
consider
regulatory
alternatives
in
addition
to
the
original
"
bounding"
alternatives.
These
new
alternatives
considered
a
bromate
MCL,
as
well
as
TTHM
and
HAA5
MCLs.
Two
of
these
new
alternatives
were
considered
in
this
EA
(
the
Preferred
Regulatory
Alternative
and
Alternative
1).

Because
these
alternatives
were
identified
late
in
the
process,
the
Delphi
group
decided
not
to
repeat
the
full
evaluation
to
develop
new
technology
selections
(
a
time
consuming
process),
but
instead
evaluated
the
new
alternatives
based
on
technology
selections
for
the
original
four
alternatives.
Originally,
a
straight
interpolation
between
the
80/
60
RAA
(
the
Stage
1
DBPR)
and
the
40/
30
RAA
(
Regulatory
Alternative
3)
was
used
to
estimate
the
technology
selection
for
the
80/
60
LRAA
alternative.
EPA
later
estimated
that,
because
water
quality
in
ground
water
plants
does
not
generally
fluctuate
as
much
as
it
does
in
surface
water
plants
and
they
monitor
at
only
one
point
for
Stage
1,
technologies
identified
for
the
80/
60
RAA
would
most
likely
be
appropriate
for
maintaining
an
80/
60
LRAA.
Therefore,
technology
selection
for
the
subset
of
plants
not
complying
with
the
80/
60
RAA
was
maintained
for
the
80/
60
LRAA
alternative.
Technology
selection
for
all
other
plants
(
i.
e.,
those
complying
with
80/
60
RAA
but
not
80/
60
LRAA)
was
interpolated
between
the
80/
60
RAA
and
the
40/
30
RAA
regulatory
alternatives.
The
same
technology
selection
for
the
80/
60
LRAA
was
used
for
the
two
IDSE
sensitivity
analyses.

Final
Results
The
percent
of
non­
complying
plants
(
Exhibits
B.
7
through
B.
13)
is
multiplied
by
the
proportion
of
plants
predicted
to
select
various
technologies
to
produce
the
final
technology
selection
results
for
each
regulatory
alternative
and
sensitivity
analyses
(
Bounding
Alternative
4
is
not
included).
Exhibit
B.
15a
presents
results
for
large
ground
water
plants,
and
B.
15b
presents
results
for
medium
ground
water
plants.

Note
that
for
Regulatory
Alternative
1
and
one
of
the
IDSE
sensitivity
runs,
the
compliance
forecast
was
adjusted
so
that
the
compliance
forecast
delta
from
Stage
1
to
Stage
2
did
not
show
any
systems
removing
technologies
(
negative
forecasts).
This
is
consistent
with
the
methodology
used
for
surface
water
system
compliance
forecasts.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
19
July
2003
Converting
to
CLM
only
Advanced
Disinfectants
Advanced
Disinfectants
+
CLM
GAC20
GAC20
+
CLM
NF
NF
+
CLM
Total
a
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
=
sum(
a:
g)
Bounding
Alternative
1:
RAA
80/
60
(
Stage
1)
59.3%
2.5%
24.8%
0.0%
1.3%
4.0%
8.2%
100.00%

Bounding
Alternative
2:
RAA
40/
30
(
Regulatory
Alternative
3)
69.5%
2.6%
7.9%
0.0%
8.5%
0.9%
10.6%
100.00%

Bounding
Alternative
3:
SH
80/
60
(
Regulatory
Alternative
2)
77.5%
2.1%
7.4%
0.0%
4.5%
0.7%
7.8%
100.00%
Bounding
Alternative
4:
SH
40/
30
63.5%
4.1%
9.5%
1.0%
8.5%
1.9%
11.6%
100.00%

Alternative
5:
LRAA
80/
60
(
Preferred
Regulatory
Alternative)
62.7%
2.5%
19.2%
0.0%
3.7%
3.0%
9.0%
100.0%

Alternative
6:
LRAA
80/
60,
reduced
Bromate
MCL
of
5
ug/
L
(
Regulatory
Alternative
1)
62.7%
0.0%
0.0%
1.0%
11.5%
4.5%
20.3%
100.0%
1.
Original
Delphi
Group
Results
Scenario
2.
Extrapolation
for
Preferred
Alternative
and
Regulatory
Alternative
1
Exhibit
B.
14
Proportion
of
Technologies
Selected
by
Non­
compliant
Large
Ground
Water
Plants
as
Predicted
by
the
Delphi
Group
Notes:
Totals
may
not
add
due
to
rounding.
The
proportion
of
technologies
selected
for
the
two
IDSE
sensitivity
analysis
are
equivalent
to
the
proportion
of
technologies
selected
for
the
Preferred
Regulatory
Alternative
(
Alternative
5).
The
original
Delphi
Group
Results
were
adjusted
slightly
form
the
original
numbers
reported
during
the
TWG,
to
make
the
total
equal
to
100
percent.
Sources:
ICR
Ground
Water
Delphi
Group
Results
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
20
July
2003
Exhibit
B.
15a
Final
Technology
Selection
Results
for
Large
Ground
Water
Plants
Stage
2
Regulatory
Alternatives
Regulatory
Alternative
1
80
µ
g/
L
TTHM
LRAA
60
µ
g/
L
HAA5
LRAA
Bromate
MCL
of
5
µ
g/
L
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
21
July
2003
Exhibit
B.
15b
Final
Technology
Selection
Results
for
Medium
Ground
Water
Plants
Stage
2
Regulatory
Alternatives
Regulatory
Alternative
1
80
µ
g/
L
TTHM
LRAA
60
µ
g/
L
HAA5
LRAA
Bromate
MCL
of
5
µ
g/
L
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
22
July
2003
B.
3
Small
Ground
Water
Compliance
Forecast
Because
of
significant
differences
in
water
quality,
geography,
and
technology
use,
EPA
did
not
directly
use
the
predictions
generated
for
the
large
plants
for
small
ground
water
plants
(
see
Stage
2
Occurrence
Assessment
for
Disinfectants
and
Disinfection
Byproducts
(
USEPA,
2003l)
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
23
July
2003
Large
GW
characteristics:
ICR:
FL
and
Non­
FL
Small
GW
characteristics:
GWSS:
FL
and
Non­
FL
Stratify
ICR
FL
Non­
Compliers
1.
Obtain
ICR
Stage
1
and
2
FL
non­
compliers
after
adjusting
for
1979
TTHM
Rule.
2.
Assign
them
into
the
four
TOC/
Soft.
categories.
3.
Calculate
percent
ICR
FL
Stage
1
and
2
noncompliers
into
those
four
categories.
Stratify
ICR
Non­
FL
Non­
Compliers
1.
Obtain
ICR
Stage
1
and
2
Non­
FL
non­
compliers
after
adjusting
for
1979
TTHM
Rule.
2.
Assign
them
into
the
four
TOC/
Soft.
categories.
3.
Calculate
percent
ICR
Non­
FL
Stage
1
and
2
non­
compliers
into
those
four
categories.

Determine
FL
Stage
1
and
2
Non­
Compliers
for
Small
Systems
Apply
the
respective
FL
non­
complier
percents
from
above
to
the
total
no.
of
small
FL
plants
in
each
TOC/
Soft.
category,
for
all
three
small
population
size
categories.
Determine
Non­
FL
Stage
1
and
2
Non­
Compliers
for
Small
Systems
Apply
the
respective
Non­
FL
non­
complier
percents
from
above
to
the
total
no.
of
small
Non­
FL
plants
in
each
TOC/
Soft.
category,
for
all
three
small
population
size
categories.

Determine
Stage
1
and
2
National
Percent
Non­
Compliers
for
Small
Systems
Combine
the
FL
and
Non­
FL
non­
compliers
for
all
three
small
population
size
categories
to
obtain
the
percent
national
non­
compliers.

Stage
1
Treatment
Selection
1.
Adjust
Stage
1
large
GW
"
Delphi"
treatment
selections
for
ozone
usage.
2.
Apply
these
to
the
Stage
1
percent
noncompliers
in
each
population
size
category.
3.
Apply
chloramine
usage
adjustments
to
the
results
from
2.
Stage
2
Treatment
Selection
1.
Adjust
Stage
2
large
GW
"
Delphi"
treatment
selections
for
ozone
usage.
2.
Adjust
for
Stage
1
"
negatives".
3.
Adjust
for
UV
usage.
4.
Re­
adjust
for
Stage
1
"
negatives".
5.
Apply
these
to
the
Stage
2
percent
noncompliers
in
each
population
size
category.
6.
Apply
chloramine
usage
adjustments
to
the
results
from
5.

Final
Compliance
Forecast
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
24
July
2003
°
Obtain
the
number
of
ICR
non
compliers
for
Stage
1
and
2
from
Exhibit
B.
7
through
B.
13.
°
Determine
the
number
of
ICR
plants
that
are
in
compliance
with
Stage
1
and
2,
but
use
chloramines
(
with
a
Florida/
Non­
Florida
stratification).

:

°
Classify
all
ICR
GW
plants
in
one
of
the
four
TOC/
Softening
categories
(
).
°
Classify
all
ICR
GW
Stage
1
and
Stage
2
non­
compliers
in
one
of
the
four
TOC/
Softening
categories
(
).
°
Calculate
the
percentage
of
ICR
GW
plants
in
each
category
that
are
Stage
1
and
Stage
2
noncompliers

°
For
each
of
the
three
population
size
categories,
obtain
the
total
number
of
ground
water
plants
from
Exhibit
3.4,
Column
Q.
°
Stratify
the
plants
in
the
four
TOC/
Softening
categories
using
data
from
the
Ground
Water
Supply
Survey
(
GWSS)
(
USEPA
1983)
.
°
Apply
the
ICR
percent
non­
complying
from
Step
2
to
the
Exhibit
3.4/
GWSS
numbers
above
to
estimate
the
number
of
non­
compliers
in
the
small
ground
water
universe.
°
For
all
three
population
size
categories,
aggregate
the
total
number
of
non­
compliers
(
i.
e.,
Florida
+
Non­
Florida)
for
each
of
the
four
TOC/
Softening
categories,
from
above.
°
Calculate
the
percent
national
non­
compliers.

Exhibit
B.
17
also
shows
the
breakout
of
non­
compliers
for
all
three
population
categories
combined.
The
difference
between
the
national
percentage
of
Stage
2
non­
compliers
and
Stage
1
noncompliers
(
i.
e.,
"
delta")
is
approximately
2.74%
(
i.
e.,
6.88%
for
Stage
2
minus
4.14%
for
Stage
1).

Exhibit
B.
18
illustrates
the
individual
effect
of
the
three
adjustments
(
discussed
in
section
B.
3.1.1)
on
the
estimate
of
the
small
ground
water
non­
compliers.
Specifically,
it
shows
the
effect
of
each
sequential
adjustment
on
the
"
delta".
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
25
July
2003
Step
1:
Obtain
the
number
of
large
ICR
GW
non­
compliers
and
chloramine
compliers
Florida
Non­
Florida
F
l
o
r
i
d
a
Non­
Florida
ICR
Non­
compliers
8
0
11
1
ICR
Chloramine
compliers
9
2
9
2
Total
Non­
compliers
1
7
2
20
3
Source:
ICR
non­
compliers
from
Exhibits
B.
7
and
B.
8.
ICR
chloramine
compliers
derived
from
the
ICR
database.

Step
2:
Stratify
large
plants
by
TOC
level
and
softening/
non­
softening.
Obtain
%
non­
complying
for
large
ICR
GW
systems,
for
each
plant
category.

Florida
Non­
Florida
F
l
o
r
i
d
a
Non­
Florida
Florida
Non­
Florida
Florida
Non­
Florida
F
l
o
r
i
d
a
Non­
Florida
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
=
C/
A
H
=
D/
B
I
=
E/
A
J
=
F/
B
S
o
f
t
w
/
T
O
C
<
=
1
m
g
/
L
1
0
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Soft
w/
TOC
>
1
mg/
L
1
3
4
12
1
12
1
92.3%
25.0%
92.3%
25.0%
N
o
n
S
o
f
t
w
/
T
O
C
<
=
1
m
g
/
L
4
7
8
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
N
o
n
S
o
f
t
w
/
T
O
C
>
1
m
g
/
L
1
5
1
5
5
1
8
2
33.3%
6.7%
53.3%
13.3%
T
o
t
a
l
3
3
9
7
17
2
20
3
51.5%
2.1%
60.6%
3.1%
G
r
a
n
d
T
o
t
a
l
Source:
Stratification
into
Plant
Characteristic
categories
was
based
on
ICR
data.
For
TOC,
the
average
influent
TOC
concentration
for
the
last
12
months
of
ICR
data
was
used.

Step
3:
Calculate
the
number
and
percent
of
non­
compliers
for
the
three
small
system
size
categories.

Florida
Non­
Florida
F
l
o
r
i
d
a
Non­
Florida
Florida
Non­
Florida
K
L
M=
G*
K
N=
H*
L
O=
I*
K
P=
J*
L
S
o
f
t
w
/
T
O
C
<
=
1
m
g
/
L
0
0
0
0
0
0
Soft
w/
TOC
>
1
mg/
L
3
0
2
3
1
28
5
8
28
58
N
o
n
S
o
f
t
w
/
T
O
C
<
=
1
m
g
/
L
2
8
3
4
,
1
7
3
0
0
0
0
N
o
n
S
o
f
t
w
/
T
O
C
>
1
m
g
/
L
3
9
4
1
,
5
1
5
1
3
1
1
0
1
2
1
0
202
T
o
t
a
l
7
0
8
5
,
9
1
9
1
6
0
1
5
9
2
3
8
260
Total
(
Florida+
Non­
Florida)

S
o
f
t
w
/
T
O
C
<
=
1
m
g
/
L
0
0
0
0
0
0
Soft
w/
TOC
>
1
mg/
L
1
3
5
8
0
12
1
4
5
12
145
N
o
n
S
o
f
t
w
/
T
O
C
<
=
1
m
g
/
L
1
2
8
7
,
9
8
2
0
0
0
0
N
o
n
S
o
f
t
w
/
T
O
C
>
1
m
g
/
L
1
9
1
5
,
9
5
0
64
3
9
7
1
0
2
793
T
o
t
a
l
3
3
3
14,512
76
5
4
2
1
1
4
938
Total
(
Florida+
Non­
Florida)

S
o
f
t
w
/
T
O
C
<
=
1
m
g
/
L
0
0
0
0
0
0
Soft
w/
TOC
>
1
mg/
L
2
2
6
8
2
6
7
2
67
N
o
n
S
o
f
t
w
/
T
O
C
<
=
1
m
g
/
L
1
7
4
,
0
2
8
0
0
0
0
N
o
n
S
o
f
t
w
/
T
O
C
>
1
m
g
/
L
2
2
2
,
2
3
3
7
1
4
9
12
298
T
o
t
a
l
4
1
6
,
5
2
9
9
2
1
6
14
365
Total
(
Florida+
Non­
Florida)

Grand
Total
(
Florida+
Non­
Florida)

Source:
Total
number
of
ground
water
plants
from
Exhibit
3.4,
column
Q.
The
breakout
of
those
into
the
four
TOC/
softening
categories
is
based
on
the
breakout
of
the
GWSS
1983
data.
6
,
6
2
7
3
1
8
(
4
.
8
%
)
498
(
7.5%)

14,845
6
1
8
(
4
.
2
%
)
1,053
(
7.1%)
1
3
0
19
2
3
N
u
m
b
e
r
o
f
S
t
a
g
e
1
N
o
n
­
compliers
Number
of
Stage
2
Preferred
Option
Non­
compliers
Non­
complier
Analysis
with
Florida
Non­
Florida
Breakout
Number
of
GW
Plants
Stage
1
Non­
compliers
(%)
Stage
2
Preferred
Option
Noncompliers
(%)
Number
of
Non­
compliers
14.6%
17.7%
Stage
2
Preferred
Option
Noncompliers
(
No.)
Stage
1
Non­
compliers
(
No.
of
plants)
Stage
2
Preferred
Option
Non­
compliers
(
No.
of
plants)

Number
of
ICR
GW
Plants
Stage
1
Non­
compliers
(
No.)

6
,
5
7
0
2
2
5
(
3
.
4
%
)
378
(
5.8%)

28,042
1,161
(
4.14%)
1,929
(
6.88%)
Percent
Non­
compliers
Systems
Serving
=
1
0
0
p
e
r
s
o
n
s
Systems
Serving
101­
1,000
persons
Systems
Serving
1,001­
10,000
persons
Plant
Characteristics
Plant
Characteristics
Exhibit
B.
17
Steps
for
Estimating
Percent
National
Non­
compliers
for
Small
Ground
Water
Systems
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
26
July
2003
262
1113
859
1532
1161
638
1489
1301
2170
1929
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
FL
FL
+
CLM
FL
+
CLM
+
Soft
FL
+
CLM
+
TOC
FL
+
CLM
+
TOC/
Soft
Stage
1
Stage
2
Delta
No.
of
plants
Adjustments
376
(
1.34%)
376
(
1.34%)
442
(
1.58%)
638
(
2.27%)
768
(
2.74%)
Exhibit
B.
18
Effect
of
the
Adjustment
Steps
on
the
"
delta"

B.
3.2
Treatment
Forecasts
for
Non­
complying
Systems
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
27
July
2003
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
28
July
2003
B.
3.3
Results
Exhibits
B.
19
and
B.
20
illustrate
the
adjustments
discussed
in
section
B.
3.2.
for
the
Stage
1
(
i.
e.,
80/
60
RAA,
Bromate
10)
and
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Preferred
Alternative
(
i.
e.,
80/
60
LRAA,
Bromate
10)
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
July
2003
B­
29
respectively.
In
addition
to
conducting
the
above
analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Preferred
Alternative,
similar
analyses
were
performed
for
all
regulatory
alternatives
considered
during
the
development
of
the
Stage
2
DBPR.
Results
are
summarized
in
Chapter
6
and
Appendix
C
for
all
regulatory
alternatives.
Exhibit
B.
21
summarizes
the
technology
selection
results
for
small
ground
water
systems,
for
all
Stage
2
DBPR
regulatory
alternatives
and
sensitivity
option.
Adjustments
%
Disinfecting
non­
compliers
Converting
to
CLM
only
CONV
Ozone
GAC
MEM
Converting
to
CLM
only
Ozone
Ozone+
C
LM
GAC
GAC+
CL
M
MEM
MEM+
CL
M
Comments
1.
Large
GW
treatment
selection
for
noncompliers
(
Delphi)
3.42%
59.30%
27.30%
1.30%
12.30%
From
large
GW
delphi.

2.
Treatment
selection
for
noncompliers
after
applying
ozone
adjustments
to
1
3.42%
59.30%
27.30%
1.30%
12.30%
No
adjustments
to
ozone
usage
in
this
category.

3.
Treatment
selection
from
2
applied
to
the
percent
noncompliers
3.42%
2.03%
0.93%
0.04%
0.42%
All
plants
predicted
to
be
CONV
have
to
switch
to
CLM
to
be
compliant.
Example
calculation
(
Ozone):
27.3%
of
3.42%
=
0.93%.

4.
Final
treatment
selection
showing
chloramine
use
breakout
within
each
technology
3.42%
2.03%
0.23%
0.70%
0.00%
0.04%
0.04%
0.38%
(
1)
Start
with
results
from
3.
(
2)
Convert
to
CLM:
No
change.
(
3)
Ozone:
75%
to
Ozone+
CLM,
25%
to
Ozone.
(
4)
GAC:
All
go
to
GAC+
CLM.
(
5)
MEM:
90%
to
MEM+
CLM,
10%
remains
in
MEM.

1.
Large
GW
treatment
selection
for
noncompliers
(
Delphi)
4.18%
59.30%
27.30%
1.30%
12.30%
From
large
GW
delphi.

2.
Treatment
selection
for
noncompliers
after
applying
ozone
adjustments
to
1
4.18%
59.30%
13.65%
14.95%
12.30%
50%
reduction
in
ozone,
balance
goes
to
GAC.

3.
Treatment
selection
from
2
applied
to
the
percent
noncompliers
4.18%
2.47%
0.57%
0.62%
0.51%
All
plants
predicted
to
be
CONV
have
to
switch
to
CLM
to
be
compliant.
Example
calculation
(
Ozone):
13.65%
of
4.18%
=
0.57%.

4.
Final
treatment
selection
showing
chloramine
use
breakout
within
each
technology
4.18%
2.47%
0.14%
0.43%
0.00%
0.56%
0.11%
0.46%
(
1)
Start
with
results
from
3.
(
2)
Convert
to
CLM:
No
change.
(
2)
Ozone:
75%
to
Ozone+
CLM,
25%
to
Ozone.
(
3)
GAC:
All
go
to
GAC+
CLM.
(
4)
MEM:
90%
to
MEM+
CLM,
10%
remain
in
MEM.
(
5)
Final
CLM
adjustment:
10%
of
GAC+
CLM
to
MEM.

1.
Large
GW
treatment
selection
for
noncompliers
(
Delphi)
4.82%
59.30%
27.30%
1.30%
12.30%
From
large
GW
delphi.

2.
Treatment
selection
for
noncompliers
after
applying
ozone
adjustments
to
1
4.82%
59.30%
0.00%
28.60%
12.30%
100%
reduction
in
ozone,
balance
goes
to
GAC.

3.
Treatment
selection
from
2
applied
to
the
percent
noncompliers
4.82%
2.85%
0.00%
1.37%
0.59%
All
plants
predicted
to
be
CONV
have
to
switch
to
CLM
to
be
compliant.
Example
calculation
(
GAC):
28.60%
of
4.82%
=
1.37%.

4.
Final
treatment
selection
showing
chloramine
use
breakout
within
each
technology
4.82%
2.85%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.03%
0.40%
0.53%
(
1)
Start
with
results
from
3.
(
2)
Convert
to
CLM:
No
change.
(
3)
Ozone:
0%.
(
4)
GAC:
All
go
to
GAC+
CLM.
(
5)
MEM:
90%
to
MEM+
CLM,
10%
remain
in
MEM.
(
6)
Final
CLM
adjustment:
25%
of
GAC+
CLM
to
MEM.
Sum
=
1.97%
Sum
=
1.39%

Sum
=
1.40%

Sum
=
1.70%

Sum
=
1.70%
101­
1,000
category
<=
100
category
Adjustments
Final
Exhibit
B.
19
Stage
1
(
80/
60
RAA,
Bromate
10)
Treatment
Selection
Forecasts
Sum
=
1.96%
1,001­
10,000
category
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
30
July
2003
Adjustments
%
Disinfecting
noncompliers
Converting
to
CLM
only
CONV
UV
Ozone
GAC
MEM
Converting
to
CLM
only
UV
UV+
CLM
Ozone
Ozone+
CLM
GAC
GAC+
C
LM
MEM
MEM+
CL
M
Comments
1.
Large
GW
treatment
selection
for
noncompliers
(
Delphi)
5.75%
62.70%
21.70%
3.70%
12.00%
From
large
GW
delphi.
2.
Treatment
selection
for
noncompliers
after
applying
ozone
adjustments
to
1
5.75%
62.70%
21.70%
3.70%
12.00%
No
adjustments
to
ozone
usage
in
this
category.
3.
Treatment
selection
after
adjusting
2
for
"
negatives"
5.75%
62.70%
21.70%
3.70%
12.00%
To
ensure
that
treatment
selection
for
a
technology
is
not
below
the
Stage
1
selection.

4.
Treatment
selection
after
UV
adjustments
to
3
5.75%
62.70%
22.40%
8.70%
1.50%
4.80%
Assumes
that
60%
of
(
Ozone+
GAC+
MEM)
switch
to
UV,
the
balance
40%
is
distrbuted
among
Ozone,
GAC,
and
MEM
in
their
existing
proportions.
5.
Treatment
selection
after
adjusting
4
for
"
negatives"
5.75%
56.20%
22.40%
16.20%
1.50%
7.30%
To
ensure
that
treatment
selection
for
a
technology
is
not
below
the
Stage
1
selection.

6.
Treatment
selection
from
5
applied
to
noncompliers
5.75%
3.03%
1.29%
0.93%
0.09%
0.42%
All
plants
predicted
to
be
CONV
have
to
switch
to
CLM
to
be
compliant.
Example
calculation
(
UV):
22.4%
of
5.75%
=
1.29%.

7.
Final
treatment
selection
showing
chloramine
use
breakout
within
each
technology
5.75%
3.03%
0.00%
1.29%
0.23%
0.70%
0.00%
0.09%
0.04%
0.38%
Start
with
results
from
6.
Convert
to
CLM:
No
change.
UV:
All
go
to
UV+
CLM.
Ozone:
75%
of
original
to
Ozone+
CLM,
25%
to
Ozone.
GAC:
All
go
to
GAC+
CLM.
MEM:
90%
to
MEM+
CLM,
10%
remains
in
MEM.

1.
Large
GW
treatment
selection
for
noncompliers
(
Delphi)
7.11%
62.70%
21.70%
3.70%
12.00%
From
large
GW
delphi.
2.
Treatment
selection
for
noncompliers
after
applying
ozone
adjustments
to
1
7.11%
62.70%
10.90%
14.60%
12.00%
50%
reduction
in
ozone,
balance
goes
to
GAC.
3.
Treatment
selection
after
adjusting
2
for
"
negatives"
7.11%
62.70%
10.90%
14.60%
12.00%
To
ensure
that
treatment
selection
for
a
technology
is
not
below
the
Stage
1
selection.

4.
Treatment
selection
after
UV
adjustments
to
3
7.11%
62.70%
22.40%
4.30%
5.80%
4.80%
Assumes
that
60%
of
(
Ozone+
GAC+
MEM)
switch
to
UV,
the
balance
40%
is
distrbuted
among
Ozone,
GAC,
and
MEM
in
their
existing
proportions.
5.
Treatment
selection
after
adjusting
4
for
"
negatives"
7.11%
53.60%
22.40%
8.00%
8.80%
7.20%
To
ensure
that
treatment
selection
for
a
technology
is
not
below
the
Stage
1
selection.

6.
Treatment
selection
from
5
applied
to
noncompliers
7.11%
3.81%
1.59%
0.57%
0.62%
0.51%
All
plants
predicted
to
be
CONV
have
to
switch
to
CLM
to
be
compliant.
Example
calculation
(
Ozone):
8.00%
of
7.11%
=
0.57%.

7.
Final
treatment
selection
showing
chloramine
use
breakout
within
each
technology
7.11%
3.81%
0.00%
1.43%
0.14%
0.43%
0.16%
0.56%
0.11%
0.46%
Start
with
results
from
6.
Convert
to
CLM:
No
change.
UV:
90%
of
original
UV
to
UV+
CLM,
0%
to
UV.
Ozone:
75%
of
original
to
Ozone+
CLM,
25%
to
Ozone.
GAC:
All
original
GAC
go
to
GAC+
CLM,
balance
10%
of
original
UV
to
GAC.
MEM:
90%
to
MEM+
CLM,
10%
remains
in
MEM.
Final
CLM
adjustment:
10%
of
GAC+
CLM
to
MEM.
Exhibit
B.
20a
Stage
2
Preferred
Alternative
(
80/
60
LRAA,
Bromate
10)
Treatment
Selection
Forecasts
Sum
=
2.73%
Sum
=
2.73%

Sum
=
3.30%
Sum
=
3.29%
1,001­
10,000
category
101­
1,000
category
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
31
July
2003
Adjustments
%
Disinfecting
noncompliers
Converting
to
CLM
only
CONV
UV
Ozone
GAC
MEM
Converting
to
CLM
only
UV
UV+
CLM
Ozone
Ozone+
CLM
GAC
GAC+
CL
M
MEM
MEM+
C
LM
Comments
1.
Large
GW
treatment
selection
for
noncompliers
(
Delphi)
7.53%
62.70%
21.70%
3.70%
12.00%
From
large
GW
delphi.

2.
Treatment
selection
for
noncompliers
after
applying
ozone
adjustments
to
1
7.53%
62.70%
0.00%
25.40%
12.00%
100%
reduction
in
ozone,
balance
goes
to
GAC.

3.
Treatment
selection
after
adjusting
2
for
"
negatives"
7.53%
62.70%
0.00%
25.40%
12.00%
To
ensure
that
treatment
selection
for
a
technology
is
not
below
the
Stage
1
selection.

4.
Treatment
selection
after
UV
adjustments
to
3
7.53%
62.70%
22.40%
0.00%
10.20%
4.80%
Assumes
that
60%
of
(
Ozone+
GAC+
MEM)
switch
to
UV,
the
balance
40%
is
distrbuted
among
Ozone,
GAC,
and
MEM
in
their
existing
proportions.

5.
Treatment
selection
after
adjusting
4
for
"
negatives"
7.53%
51.50%
22.40%
0.00%
18.30%
7.90%
To
ensure
that
treatment
selection
for
a
technology
is
not
below
the
Stage
1
selection.

6.
Treatment
selection
from
5
applied
to
noncompliers
7.53%
3.88%
1.69%
0.00%
1.37%
0.59%
All
plants
predicted
to
be
CONV
have
to
switch
to
CLM
to
be
compliant.
Example
calculation
(
GAC):
18.3%
of
7.53%
=
1.37%.

7.
Final
treatment
selection
showing
chloramine
use
breakout
within
each
technology
7.53%
3.88%
0.00%
1.27%
0.00%
0.00%
0.42%
1.03%
0.40%
0.53%
Start
with
results
from
6.
Convert
to
CLM:
No
change.
UV:
75%
of
original
UV
to
UV+
CLM,
0%
to
UV.
Ozone:
0%.
GAC:
All
original
GAC
to
GAC+
CLM,
balance
25%
of
original
UV
to
GAC.
MEM:
90%
to
MEM+
CLM,
10%
remains
in
MEM.
Final
CLM
adjustment:
25%
of
GAC+
CLM
to
MEM.
Exhibit
B.
20b
Stage
2
Preferred
Alternative
(
80/
60
LRAA,
Bromate
10)
Treatment
Selection
Forecasts
Continued
Sum
=
3.65%
Sum
=
3.65%
<=
100
category
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
32
July
2003
Exhibit
B.
21
Small
Ground
Water
Technology
Selection
Results
Summary
Regulatory
Option
Converting
to
CLM
only
UV
UV
+
CLM
Ozone
Ozone
+
CLM
GAC20
GAC20
+
CLM
NF
NF
+
CLM
Total
%
Changing
Tech.

Stage
1
Baseline,
80/
60
RAA,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
OFF
2.03%
0.00%
0.00%
0.23%
0.70%
0.00%
0.04%
0.04%
0.38%
3.42%

Stage
2
preferred,
80/
60
LRAA,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
3.03%
0.00%
1.29%
0.23%
0.70%
0.00%
0.09%
0.04%
0.38%
5.75%
Stage
2
Alternative
1,
80/
60
LRAA,
BRO3
=
5,
UV
=
ON
2.11%
0.00%
1.85%
0.23%
0.70%
0.00%
0.29%
0.06%
0.51%
5.75%

Stage
2
Alternative
2,
80/
60
SH,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
4.79%
0.00%
1.14%
0.23%
0.70%
0.00%
0.13%
0.04%
0.38%
7.41%
Stage
2
Alternative
3,
40/
30
RAA,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
3.01%
0.00%
1.26%
0.23%
0.70%
0.00%
0.20%
0.04%
0.38%
5.81%

IDSE
1,
75/
55
LRAA,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
3.06%
0.00%
1.30%
0.23%
0.70%
0.00%
0.09%
0.04%
0.38%
5.80%
IDSE
2,
70/
50
LRAA,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
3.08%
0.00%
1.31%
0.23%
0.70%
0.00%
0.09%
0.04%
0.38%
5.83%

Stage
1
Baseline,
80/
60
RAA,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
OFF
2.47%
0.00%
0.00%
0.14%
0.43%
0.00%
0.56%
0.11%
0.46%
4.18%

Stage
2
preferred,
80/
60
LRAA,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
3.81%
0.00%
1.43%
0.14%
0.43%
0.16%
0.56%
0.11%
0.46%
7.11%

Stage
2
Alternative
1,
80/
60
LRAA,
BRO3
=
5,
UV
=
ON
3.28%
0.00%
1.74%
0.14%
0.43%
0.19%
0.56%
0.13%
0.63%
7.11%

Stage
2
Alternative
2,
80/
60
SH,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
5.84%
0.00%
1.15%
0.14%
0.43%
0.13%
0.56%
0.11%
0.46%
8.82%

Stage
2
Alternative
3,
40/
30
RAA,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
4.20%
0.00%
1.31%
0.14%
0.43%
0.15%
0.56%
0.11%
0.46%
7.36%

IDSE
1,
75/
55
LRAA,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
3.95%
0.00%
1.47%
0.14%
0.43%
0.16%
0.56%
0.11%
0.46%
7.29%
IDSE
2,
70/
50
LRAA,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
4.02%
0.00%
1.49%
0.14%
0.43%
0.17%
0.56%
0.11%
0.46%
7.37%

Stage
1
Baseline,
80/
60
RAA,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
OFF
2.85%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.03%
0.40%
0.53%
4.82%

Stage
2
preferred,
80/
60
LRAA,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
3.88%
0.00%
1.27%
0.00%
0.00%
0.42%
1.03%
0.40%
0.53%
7.53%

Stage
2
Alternative
1,
80/
60
LRAA,
BRO3
=
5,
UV
=
ON
3.47%
0.00%
1.46%
0.00%
0.00%
0.49%
1.03%
0.42%
0.67%
7.53%

Stage
2
Alternative
2,
80/
60
SH,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
7.31%
0.00%
1.09%
0.00%
0.00%
0.36%
1.03%
0.40%
0.53%
10.72%

Stage
2
Alternative
3,
40/
30
RAA,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
5.15%
0.00%
1.20%
0.00%
0.00%
0.40%
1.03%
0.40%
0.53%
8.71%
IDSE
1,
75/
55
LRAA,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
4.50%
0.00%
1.40%
0.00%
0.00%
0.47%
1.03%
0.40%
0.53%
8.33%
IDSE
2,
70/
50
LRAA,
BRO3
=
10,
UV
=
ON
4.81%
0.00%
1.47%
0.00%
0.00%
0.49%
1.03%
0.40%
0.53%
8.73%
<=
100
category
101­
1,000
category
1,001­
10,000
category
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
B­
33
July
2003
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
1
July
2003
Appendix
C
Supplemental
Compliance
Forecasts
This
appendix
presents
the
Stage
1
and
Stage
2
Disinfectants
and
Disinfection
Byproducts
Rule
(
DBPR)
compliance
forecast
results
for
both
surface
water
and
ground
water
systems.
There
are
three
basic
types
of
compliance
forecasts
presented:

°
Technology
Selection
 
The
technology
selection
tables
represent
the
number
and
percent
of
systems
that
have
to
add
a
treatment
technology
to
comply
with
the
rule.
These
results
include
only
the
number
of
systems
that
exceed
rule
maximum
contaminant
levels
(
MCLs
and
must
add
treatment
technology
to
comply
with
the
rule.
Those
plants
that
are
already
using
a
technology
prior
to
the
rule
and
do
not
have
to
add
an
additional
technology
to
comply
are
not
included
in
this
table.
The
technology
selection
numbers
are
based
on
the
pre­
Stage
1
technology
baseline.

°
Technology
Selection
Deltas
 
The
technology
selection
delta
tables
represent
the
incremental
number
of
plants
that
must
add
a
treatment
technology
to
meet
Stage
2
DBPR
regulatory
alternatives
after
predicted
changes
to
meet
the
Stage
1
DBPR.
These
tables
are
calculated
by
subtracting
the
Stage
1
DBPR
technology
selection
tables
from
the
Stage
2
DBPR
technology
selection
tables.
These
tables
are
used
for
costing.

°
Technologies
in
Place
 
The
technologies
in
place
tables
show
the
number
and
percent
of
systems
that
are
using
a
technology,
once
systems
are
in
compliance
with
the
rule.
This
includes
the
systems
predicted
to
add
a
treatment
technology
to
comply
with
the
rule,
and
those
systems
that
were
already
using
the
technology
before
rule
promulgation.

This
Appendix
presents
the
technology
selection
tables
for
the
Stage
1
DBPR
and
the
Stage
2
DBPR,
and
the
technology
selection,
technology
selection
deltas,
and
technologies
in
place
tables
for
the
other
regulatory
alternatives
and
the
sensitivity
analyses.
Compliance
forecasts
are
organized
as
follows
(
see
next
page).

Note:
Some
compliance
forecasts
are
presented
in
the
main
body
of
the
Economic
Analysis
(
i.
e.,
Exhibits
3.15a,
3.15b,
3.16a,
3.16b,
3.17a,
3.17b,
3.18a,
3.18b,
6.14a,
6.14b,
6.15a,
6.15b,
6.16a,
6.16b,
6.17a,
6.17b),
and
are
thus
not
repeated
in
this
Appendix.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
2
July
2003
Rule
Option
Compliance
Forecast
Type
Source
System
Type
Exhibit
Number
Page
Number
Surface
Water
CWS
Chapter
3,
Exhibit
3.15a
NTNCWS
Chapter
3,
Exhibit
3.15b
Ground
Water
CWS
Chapter
3,
Exhibit
3.16a
NTNCWS
Chapter
3,
Exhibit
3.16b
Surface
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
1a
C­
4
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
1b
C­
4
Ground
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
2a
C­
5
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
2b
C­
5
Surface
Water
CWS
Chapter
3,
Exhibit
3.17a
NTNCWS
Chapter
3,
Exhibit
3.17b
Ground
Water
CWS
Chapter
3,
Exhibit
3.18a
NTNCWS
Chapter
3,
Exhibit
3.18b
Surface
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
3a
C­
6
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
3b
C­
6
Ground
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
4a
C­
7
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
4b
C­
7
Surface
Water
CWS
Chapter
6,
Exhibit
6.14a
NTNCWS
Chapter
6,
Exhibit
6.14b
Ground
Water
CWS
Chapter
6,
Exhibit
6.16a
NTNCWS
Chapter
6,
Exhibit
6.16b
Surface
Water
CWS
Chapter
6,
Exhibit
6.15a
NTNCWS
Chapter
6,
Exhibit
6.15b
Ground
Water
CWS
Chapter
6,
Exhibit
6.17a
NTNCWS
Chapter
6,
Exhibit
6.17b
Surface
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
5a
C­
8
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
5b
C­
8
Ground
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
6a
C­
9
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
6b
C­
9
Surface
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
7a
C­
10
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
7b
C­
10
Ground
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
8a
C­
11
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
8b
C­
11
Surface
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
9a
C­
12
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
9b
C­
12
Ground
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
10a
C­
13
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
10b
C­
13
Surface
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
11a
C­
14
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
11b
C­
14
Ground
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
12a
C­
15
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
12b
C­
15
Surface
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
13a
C­
16
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
13b
C­
16
Ground
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
14a
C­
17
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
14b
C­
17
Surface
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
15a
C­
18
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
15b
C­
18
Ground
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
16a
C­
19
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
16b
C­
19
Technologies
in
place
Pre­
Stage
1
Delta
Technologies
in
place
Technologies
in
place
Selection
Stage
2
Alternative
2
Technologies
in
place
Selection
Pre­
Stage
2
(
Post­
Stage
1)

Technologies
in
place
Selection
Delta
Stage
2
Preferred
Alternative
Stage
2
Alternative
1
Delta
Selection
Matrix
of
Appendix
C
Contents
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
3
July
2003
Rule
Option
Compliance
Forecast
Type
Source
System
Type
Exhibit
Number
Page
Number
Surface
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
17a
C­
20
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
17b
C­
20
Ground
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
18a
C­
21
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
18b
C­
21
Surface
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
19a
C­
22
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
19b
C­
22
Ground
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
20a
C­
23
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
20b
C­
23
Surface
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
21a
C­
24
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
21b
C­
24
Ground
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
22a
C­
25
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
22b
C­
25
Surface
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
23a
C­
26
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
23b
C­
26
Ground
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
24a
C­
27
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
24b
C­
27
Surface
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
25a
C­
28
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
25b
C­
28
Ground
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
26a
C­
29
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
26b
C­
29
Surface
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
27a
C­
30
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
27b
C­
30
Ground
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
28a
C­
31
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
28b
C­
31
Surface
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
29a
C­
32
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
29b
C­
32
Ground
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
30a
C­
33
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
30b
C­
33
Surface
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
31a
C­
34
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
31b
C­
34
Ground
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
32a
C­
35
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
32b
C­
35
Surface
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
33a
C­
36
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
33b
C­
36
Ground
Water
CWS
Exhibit
C.
34a
C­
37
NTNCWS
Exhibit
C.
34b
C­
37
Stage
2
IDSE
Sensitivity
Number
2
Delta
Delta
Delta
Stage
2
Alternative
3
Stage
2
IDSE
Sensitivity
Number
1
Technologies
in
place
Selection
Technologies
in
place
Selection
Selection
Technologies
in
place
Matrix
of
Appendix
C
Contents
(
Continued)
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
4
July
2003
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectant
s
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
30.5%
143
15.0%
71
3.8%
18
0.0%
0
4.1%
19
39.6%
186
53.4%
101­
500
35.6%
284
2.3%
19
11.9%
95
6.3%
50
2.3%
19
0.9%
7
1.3%
10
47.5%
379
60.7%
501­
1,000
35.6%
180
2.3%
12
11.9%
60
6.3%
32
2.3%
12
0.9%
5
1.3%
6
47.5%
240
60.7%
1,001
­
3,300
41.5%
457
5.1%
56
10.1%
111
1.8%
20
2.6%
28
1.1%
12
0.7%
8
52.8%
582
62.9%
3,301­
10,000
41.5%
503
5.1%
62
10.1%
122
1.8%
22
2.6%
31
1.1%
13
0.7%
9
52.8%
640
62.9%
10,001­
50,000
10.9%
140
5.1%
66
11.0%
141
1.8%
24
1.8%
24
1.1%
14
0.4%
5
0.0%
0
0.4%
5
13.9%
179
32.5%
50,001­
100,000
10.9%
59
5.1%
28
11.0%
59
1.8%
10
1.8%
10
1.1%
6
0.4%
2
0.0%
0
0.4%
2
13.9%
75
32.5%
100,001­
1
Million
10.9%
62
5.1%
29
11.0%
63
1.8%
10
1.8%
10
1.1%
6
0.4%
2
0.0%
0
0.4%
2
13.9%
80
32.5%
>
1
Million
10.9%
8
5.1%
4
11.0%
8
1.8%
1
1.8%
1
1.1%
1
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
13.9%
10
32.5%
Total
%,
Plants
28.0%
1,837
4.2%
275
10.1%
660
3.7%
241
0.7%
45
0.4%
27
1.8%
117
0.6%
38
0.9%
62
36.1%
2,370
50.3%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
A,
A.
34a
for
systems
serving
up
to
100
people,
A.
34b
for
systems
serving
101
to
1,000
people,
A.
34c
for
systems
serving
1,001
to
10,000
people,
and
Exhibit
A.
22c
for
systems
serving
>
10,000
people.
Membranes
Total
Converting
to
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Total
Adding
Technology
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
30.5%
91
15.0%
45
3.8%
11
0.0%
0
4.1%
12
39.6%
118
53.4%
101­
500
35.6%
107
2.3%
7
11.9%
36
6.3%
19
2.3%
7
0.9%
3
1.3%
4
47.5%
143
60.7%
501­
1,000
35.6%
38
2.3%
3
11.9%
13
6.3%
7
2.3%
3
0.9%
1
1.3%
1
47.5%
51
60.7%
1,001
­
3,300
41.5%
30
5.1%
4
10.1%
7
1.8%
1
2.6%
2
1.1%
1
0.7%
1
52.8%
38
62.9%
3,301­
10,000
41.5%
10
5.1%
1
10.1%
2
1.8%
0
2.6%
1
1.1%
0
0.7%
0
52.8%
12
62.9%
10,001­
50,000
10.9%
1
5.1%
0
11.0%
1
1.8%
0
1.8%
0
1.1%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
13.9%
1
32.5%
50,001­
100,000
10.9%
0
5.1%
0
11.0%
0
1.8%
0
1.8%
0
1.1%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
13.9%
0
32.5%
100,001­
1
Million
10.9%
0
5.1%
0
11.0%
0
1.8%
0
1.8%
0
1.1%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
13.9%
0
32.5%
>
1
Million
10.9%
0
5.1%
0
11.0%
0
1.8%
0
1.8%
0
1.1%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
13.9%
0
32.5%
Total
%,
Plants
34.1%
277
1.8%
15
7.3%
59
8.9%
73
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.9%
23
0.6%
5
2.2%
18
44.7%
364
57.9%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
A,
A.
34a
for
systems
serving
up
to
100
people,
A.
34b
for
systems
serving
101
to
1,000
people,
A.
34c
for
systems
serving
1,001
to
10,000
people,
and
Exhibit
A.
22c
for
systems
serving
>
10,000
people.
Membranes
Total
Converting
to
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Total
Adding
Technology
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Exhibit
C.
1a
Stage
1
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
CWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Exhibit
C.
1b
Stage
1
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
NTNCWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
5
July
2003
C­
5
July
2003
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Conv.
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Tech.
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A
+
C
+
E
+
G
+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
2.9%
104
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.0%
38
0.4%
15
0.5%
19
4.4%
162
4.8%
101­
500
2.5%
65
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
4
0.4%
11
0.0%
0
0.6%
15
0.1%
3
0.5%
12
3.9%
103
4.2%
501­
1,000
2.5%
18
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
1
0.4%
3
0.0%
0
0.6%
4
0.1%
1
0.5%
3
3.9%
28
4.2%
1,001
­
3,300
2.0%
5
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
1
0.7%
2
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
1
3.1%
8
3.4%
3,301­
10,000
2.0%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
3.1%
1
3.4%
10,001­
50,000
1.9%
0
0.1%
0
0.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.3%
0
3.0%
0
3.2%
50,001­
100,000
1.9%
0
0.1%
0
0.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.3%
0
3.0%
0
3.2%
100,001­
1
Million
1.6%
0
0.1%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.2%
0
2.5%
0
2.7%
>
1
Million
1.6%
0
0.1%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.2%
0
2.5%
0
2.7%
Total
%,
Plants
2.6%
193
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
5
0.2%
16
0.0%
0
0.8%
57
0.3%
19
0.5%
36
4.1%
302
4.5%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
B,
Exhibit
B.
21
for
systems
serving
less
than
10,000
people,
Exhibit
B.
15b
for
systems
serving
10,001
to
100,000
people,
and
Exhibit
B.
15a
for
systems
serving
greater
than
100,000
people.
Membranes
CLM
Membranes
CL2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Conv.
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Tech.
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A
+
C
+
E
+
G
+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
2.9%
222
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.0%
80
0.4%
31
0.5%
41
4.4%
343
4.8%
101­
500
2.5%
389
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
22
0.4%
67
0.0%
0
0.6%
88
0.1%
18
0.5%
73
3.9%
617
4.2%
501­
1,000
2.5%
152
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
9
0.4%
26
0.0%
0
0.6%
34
0.1%
7
0.5%
28
3.9%
240
4.2%
1,001
­
3,300
2.0%
160
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
18
0.7%
55
0.0%
0
0.0%
4
0.0%
3
0.4%
30
3.1%
248
3.4%
3,301­
10,000
2.0%
101
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
12
0.7%
35
0.0%
0
0.0%
2
0.0%
2
0.4%
19
3.1%
157
3.4%
10,001­
50,000
1.9%
101
0.1%
4
0.8%
42
0.0%
0
0.0%
2
0.1%
7
0.3%
14
3.0%
160
3.2%
50,001­
100,000
1.9%
14
0.1%
1
0.8%
6
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
1
0.3%
2
3.0%
22
3.2%
100,001­
1
Million
1.6%
14
0.1%
1
0.7%
6
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
1
0.2%
2
2.5%
22
2.7%
>
1
Million
1.6%
0
0.1%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.2%
0
2.5%
0
2.7%
Total
%,
Plants
2.3%
1,152
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
66
0.5%
238
0.0%
0
0.4%
211
0.1%
70
0.4%
209
3.7%
1,810
3.9%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
B,
Exhibit
B.
21
for
all
systems
serving
less
than
10,000
people,
Exhibit
B.
15b
for
systems
serving
10,001
to
100,000
people,
and
Exhibit
15a
for
systems
serving
greater
than
100,000
people.
Membranes
CLM
Membranes
CL2
Exhibit
C.
2a
Stage
1
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
CWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Exhibit
C.
2b
Stage
1
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
NTNCWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
6
July
2003
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
31.3%
147
3.1%
14
15.0%
71
3.8%
18
0.6%
3
4.1%
19
42.6%
200
57.9%
101­
500
37.7%
301
2.4%
19
0.4%
3
11.9%
95
6.3%
51
2.3%
19
1.6%
13
1.3%
10
51.1%
408
64.0%
501­
1,000
37.7%
190
2.4%
12
0.4%
2
11.9%
60
6.3%
32
2.3%
12
1.6%
8
1.3%
7
51.1%
258
64.0%
1,001
­
3,300
43.9%
485
5.1%
56
0.5%
5
10.1%
111
1.8%
20
2.6%
28
1.8%
20
0.7%
8
56.8%
627
66.6%
3,301­
10,000
43.9%
533
5.1%
62
0.5%
6
10.1%
122
1.8%
22
2.6%
31
1.8%
22
0.7%
9
56.8%
689
66.6%
10,001­
50,000
14.5%
187
5.5%
71
0.7%
9
11.0%
141
1.8%
24
1.8%
24
1.8%
24
0.7%
9
0.0%
0
0.4%
5
19.0%
245
38.3%
50,001­
100,000
14.5%
78
5.5%
30
0.7%
4
11.0%
59
1.8%
10
1.8%
10
1.8%
10
0.7%
4
0.0%
0
0.4%
2
19.0%
102
38.3%
100,001­
1
Million
14.5%
83
5.5%
31
0.7%
4
11.0%
63
1.8%
10
1.8%
10
1.8%
10
0.7%
4
0.0%
0
0.4%
2
19.0%
109
38.3%
>
1
Million
14.5%
11
5.5%
4
0.7%
1
11.0%
8
1.8%
1
1.8%
1
1.8%
1
0.7%
1
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
19.0%
14
38.3%
Total
%,
Plants
30.7%
2,015
4.3%
284
0.7%
49
10.1%
660
3.7%
241
0.7%
45
0.7%
45
1.9%
126
1.0%
66
1.0%
63
40.4%
2,652
54.8%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
A,
A.
34a
for
systems
serving
up
to
100
people,
A.
34b
for
systems
serving
101
to
1,000
people,
A.
34c
for
systems
serving
1,001
to
10,000
people,
and
Exhibit
A.
22c
for
systems
serving
>
10,000
people.
Total
Adding
Technology
Membranes
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
31.3%
93
3.1%
9
15.0%
45
3.8%
11
0.6%
2
4.1%
12
42.6%
127
57.9%
101­
500
37.7%
114
2.4%
7
0.4%
1
11.9%
36
6.3%
19
2.3%
7
1.6%
5
1.3%
4
51.1%
154
64.0%
501­
1,000
37.7%
41
2.4%
3
0.4%
0
11.9%
13
6.3%
7
2.3%
3
1.6%
2
1.3%
1
51.1%
55
64.0%
1,001
­
3,300
43.9%
32
5.1%
4
0.5%
0
10.1%
7
1.8%
1
2.6%
2
1.8%
1
0.7%
1
56.8%
41
66.6%
3,301­
10,000
43.9%
10
5.1%
1
0.5%
0
10.1%
2
1.8%
0
2.6%
1
1.8%
0
0.7%
0
56.8%
13
66.6%
10,001­
50,000
14.5%
1
5.5%
0
0.7%
0
11.0%
1
1.8%
0
1.8%
0
1.8%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
19.0%
2
38.3%
50,001­
100,000
14.5%
0
5.5%
0
0.7%
0
11.0%
0
1.8%
0
1.8%
0
1.8%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
19.0%
0
38.3%
100,001­
1
Million
14.5%
0
5.5%
0
0.7%
0
11.0%
0
1.8%
0
1.8%
0
1.8%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
19.0%
0
38.3%
>
1
Million
14.5%
0
5.5%
0
0.7%
0
11.0%
0
1.8%
0
1.8%
0
1.8%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
19.0%
0
38.3%
Total
%,
Plants
35.8%
291
1.9%
15
1.4%
11
7.3%
59
8.9%
73
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.9%
23
1.3%
10
2.3%
18
48.2%
392
61.7%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
A,
A.
34a
for
systems
serving
up
to
100
people,
A.
34b
for
systems
serving
101
to
1,000
people,
A.
34c
for
systems
serving
1,001
to
10,000
people,
and
Exhibit
A.
22c
for
systems
serving
>
10,000
people.
Total
Adding
Technology
Membranes
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Exhibit
C.
3a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
CWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Preferred
Regulatory
Alternative
Exhibit
C.
3b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
NTNCWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Preferred
Regulatory
Alternative
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
7
July
2003
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Conv.
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Tech.
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A
+
C
+
E
+
G
+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
3.9%
301
0.0%
0
1.3%
98
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
33
1.0%
80
0.4%
31
0.5%
41
6.7%
521
7.5%
101­
500
3.8%
599
0.0%
0
1.4%
225
0.1%
22
0.4%
67
0.2%
25
0.6%
88
0.1%
18
0.5%
73
6.7%
1,052
7.1%
501­
1,000
3.8%
234
0.0%
0
1.4%
88
0.1%
9
0.4%
26
0.2%
10
0.6%
34
0.1%
7
0.5%
28
6.7%
410
7.1%
1,001
­
3,300
3.0%
239
0.0%
0
1.3%
102
0.2%
18
0.7%
55
0.0%
0
0.1%
7
0.0%
3
0.4%
30
5.5%
432
5.8%
3,301­
10,000
3.0%
151
0.0%
0
1.3%
64
0.2%
12
0.7%
35
0.0%
0
0.1%
4
0.0%
2
0.4%
19
5.5%
273
5.8%
10,001­
50,000
3.3%
178
0.1%
7
1.0%
54
0.0%
0
0.2%
10
0.2%
9
0.5%
26
5.0%
268
5.3%
50,001­
100,000
3.3%
24
0.1%
1
1.0%
7
0.0%
0
0.2%
1
0.2%
1
0.5%
4
5.0%
37
5.3%
100,001­
1
Million
2.9%
25
0.1%
1
0.9%
8
0.0%
0
0.2%
1
0.1%
1
0.4%
4
4.4%
38
4.6%
>
1
Million
2.9%
1
0.1%
0
0.9%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.4%
0
4.4%
1
4.6%
Total
%,
Plants
3.5%
1,751
0.0%
0
1.2%
578
0.1%
70
0.5%
253
0.1%
68
0.5%
227
0.1%
72
0.5%
224
6.1%
3,032
6.6%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
B,
Exhibit
B.
21
for
systems
serving
less
than
10,000
people,
Exhibit
B.
15b
for
systems
serving
10,001
to
100,000
people,
and
Exhibit
B.
15a
for
systems
serving
greater
than
100,000
people.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Conv.
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Tech.
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A
+
C
+
E
+
G
+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
3.9%
142
0.0%
0
1.3%
46
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
15
1.0%
38
0.4%
15
0.5%
19
6.7%
246
7.5%
101­
500
3.8%
100
0.0%
0
1.4%
38
0.1%
4
0.4%
11
0.2%
4
0.6%
15
0.1%
3
0.5%
12
6.7%
176
7.1%
501­
1,000
3.8%
27
0.0%
0
1.4%
10
0.1%
1
0.4%
3
0.2%
1
0.6%
4
0.1%
1
0.5%
3
6.7%
48
7.1%
1,001
­
3,300
3.0%
8
0.0%
0
1.3%
3
0.2%
1
0.7%
2
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
1
5.5%
15
5.8%
3,301­
10,000
3.0%
1
0.0%
0
1.3%
0
0.2%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
5.5%
1
5.8%
10,001­
50,000
3.3%
0
0.1%
0
1.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.2%
0
0.5%
0
5.0%
0
5.3%
50,001­
100,000
3.3%
0
0.1%
0
1.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.2%
0
0.5%
0
5.0%
0
5.3%
100,001­
1
Million
2.9%
0
0.1%
0
0.9%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.4%
0
4.4%
0
4.6%
>
1
Million
2.9%
0
0.1%
0
0.9%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.4%
0
4.4%
0
4.6%
Total
%,
Plants
3.8%
278
0.0%
0
1.3%
98
0.1%
5
0.2%
16
0.3%
21
0.8%
57
0.3%
19
0.5%
36
6.6%
486
7.3%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
B,
Exhibit
B.
21
for
systems
serving
less
than
10,000
people,
Exhibit
B.
15b
for
systems
serving
10,001
to
100,000
people,
and
Exhibit
B.
15a
for
systems
serving
greater
than
100,000
people.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
Exhibit
C.
4a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
CWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Preferred
Regulatory
Alternative
Exhibit
C.
4b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
NTNCWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Preferred
Regulatory
Alternative
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
8
July
2003
C­
8
July
2003
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
31.2%
147
2.4%
11
15.0%
71
3.8%
18
1.3%
6
4.2%
20
42.6%
200
58.0%
101­
500
37.5%
300
2.4%
19
0.0%
0
11.9%
95
6.3%
51
2.3%
19
1.3%
11
2.3%
18
51.1%
408
64.1%
501­
1,000
37.5%
190
2.4%
12
0.0%
0
11.9%
60
6.3%
32
2.3%
12
1.3%
7
2.3%
12
51.1%
258
64.1%
1,001
­
3,300
43.8%
483
5.1%
56
0.0%
0
10.1%
111
1.8%
20
2.6%
28
1.5%
16
1.8%
20
56.8%
627
66.7%
3,301­
10,000
43.8%
531
5.1%
62
0.0%
0
10.1%
122
1.8%
22
2.6%
31
1.5%
18
1.8%
22
56.8%
689
66.7%
10,001­
50,000
14.4%
186
5.5%
71
0.4%
5
11.0%
141
1.8%
24
1.8%
24
1.5%
19
0.7%
9
0.0%
0
1.5%
19
19.0%
245
38.6%
50,001­
100,000
14.4%
78
5.5%
30
0.4%
2
11.0%
59
1.8%
10
1.8%
10
1.5%
8
0.7%
4
0.0%
0
1.5%
8
19.0%
102
38.6%
100,001­
1
Million
14.4%
83
5.5%
31
0.4%
2
11.0%
63
1.8%
10
1.8%
10
1.5%
8
0.7%
4
0.0%
0
1.5%
8
19.0%
109
38.6%
>
1
Million
14.4%
11
5.5%
4
0.4%
0
11.0%
8
1.8%
1
1.8%
1
1.5%
1
0.7%
1
0.0%
0
1.5%
1
19.0%
14
38.6%
Total
%,
Plants
30.6%
2,007
4.3%
284
0.3%
20
10.1%
660
3.7%
241
0.7%
45
0.6%
36
1.9%
126
0.9%
58
2.0%
129
40.4%
2,652
55.0%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
A,
A.
34a
for
systems
serving
up
to
100
people,
A.
34b
for
systems
serving
101
to
1,000
people,
A.
34c
for
systems
serving
1,001
to
10,000
people,
and
Exhibit
A.
22c
for
systems
serving
>
10,000
people.
Total
Adding
Technology
Membranes
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
31.2%
93
2.4%
7
15.0%
45
3.8%
11
1.3%
4
4.2%
13
42.6%
127
58.0%
101­
500
37.5%
113
2.4%
7
0.0%
0
11.9%
36
6.3%
19
2.3%
7
1.3%
4
2.3%
7
51.1%
154
64.1%
501­
1,000
37.5%
41
2.4%
3
0.0%
0
11.9%
13
6.3%
7
2.3%
3
1.3%
1
2.3%
2
51.1%
55
64.1%
1,001
­
3,300
43.8%
32
5.1%
4
0.0%
0
10.1%
7
1.8%
1
2.6%
2
1.5%
1
1.8%
1
56.8%
41
66.7%
3,301­
10,000
43.8%
10
5.1%
1
0.0%
0
10.1%
2
1.8%
0
2.6%
1
1.5%
0
1.8%
0
56.8%
13
66.7%
10,001­
50,000
14.4%
1
5.5%
0
0.4%
0
11.0%
1
1.8%
0
1.8%
0
1.5%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
0
19.0%
2
38.6%
50,001­
100,000
14.4%
0
5.5%
0
0.4%
0
11.0%
0
1.8%
0
1.8%
0
1.5%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
0
19.0%
0
38.6%
100,001­
1
Million
14.4%
0
5.5%
0
0.4%
0
11.0%
0
1.8%
0
1.8%
0
1.5%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
0
19.0%
0
38.6%
>
1
Million
14.4%
0
5.5%
0
0.4%
0
11.0%
0
1.8%
0
1.8%
0
1.5%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
0
19.0%
0
38.6%
Total
%,
Plants
35.6%
290
1.9%
15
0.9%
7
7.3%
59
8.9%
73
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.9%
23
1.3%
11
3.0%
24
48.2%
392
61.8%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
A,
A.
34a
for
systems
serving
up
to
100
people,
A.
34b
for
systems
serving
101
to
1,000
people,
A.
34c
for
systems
serving
1,001
to
10,000
people,
and
Exhibit
A.
22c
for
systems
serving
>
10,000
people.
Total
Adding
Technology
Membranes
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Exhibit
C.
5a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
CWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Alternative
1
Exhibit
C.
5b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
NTNCWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Alternative
1
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
9
July
2003
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Conv.
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Tech.
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A
+
C
+
E
+
G
+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
3.5%
269
0.0%
0
1.5%
113
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
38
1.0%
80
0.4%
33
0.7%
52
6.6%
515
7.5%
101­
500
3.3%
515
0.0%
0
1.7%
274
0.1%
22
0.4%
67
0.2%
30
0.6%
88
0.1%
21
0.6%
100
6.6%
1,044
7.1%
501­
1,000
3.3%
201
0.0%
0
1.7%
107
0.1%
9
0.4%
26
0.2%
12
0.6%
34
0.1%
8
0.6%
39
6.6%
407
7.1%
1,001
­
3,300
2.1%
167
0.0%
0
1.8%
146
0.2%
18
0.7%
55
0.0%
0
0.3%
23
0.1%
4
0.5%
40
5.5%
431
5.8%
3,301­
10,000
2.1%
105
0.0%
0
1.8%
92
0.2%
12
0.7%
35
0.0%
0
0.3%
14
0.1%
3
0.5%
26
5.5%
272
5.8%
10,001­
50,000
2.4%
131
0.1%
4
0.8%
42
0.1%
3
0.6%
33
0.2%
13
1.1%
58
4.9%
264
5.3%
50,001­
100,000
2.4%
18
0.1%
1
0.8%
6
0.1%
0
0.6%
4
0.2%
2
1.1%
8
4.9%
36
5.3%
100,001­
1
Million
2.2%
19
0.1%
1
0.7%
6
0.0%
0
0.5%
5
0.2%
2
0.9%
8
4.3%
38
4.6%
>
1
Million
2.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
0
0.2%
0
0.9%
0
4.3%
1
4.6%
Total
%,
Plants
2.9%
1,425
0.0%
0
1.5%
732
0.1%
66
0.5%
238
0.2%
84
0.6%
282
0.2%
85
0.7%
331
6.1%
3,007
6.6%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
B,
Exhibit
B.
21
for
systems
serving
less
than
10,000
people,
Exhibit
B.
15b
for
systems
serving
10,001
to
100,000
people,
and
Exhibit
B.
15a
for
systems
serving
greater
than
100,000
people.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Conv.
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Tech.
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A
+
C
+
E
+
G
+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
3.5%
127
0.0%
0
1.5%
53
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
18
1.0%
38
0.4%
15
0.7%
25
6.6%
243
7.5%
101­
500
3.3%
86
0.0%
0
1.7%
46
0.1%
4
0.4%
11
0.2%
5
0.6%
15
0.1%
3
0.6%
17
6.6%
174
7.1%
501­
1,000
3.3%
23
0.0%
0
1.7%
12
0.1%
1
0.4%
3
0.2%
1
0.6%
4
0.1%
1
0.6%
5
6.6%
48
7.1%
1,001
­
3,300
2.1%
6
0.0%
0
1.8%
5
0.2%
1
0.7%
2
0.0%
0
0.3%
1
0.1%
0
0.5%
1
5.5%
15
5.8%
3,301­
10,000
2.1%
1
0.0%
0
1.8%
1
0.2%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.3%
0
0.1%
0
0.5%
0
5.5%
1
5.8%
10,001­
50,000
2.4%
0
0.1%
0
0.8%
0
0.1%
0
0.6%
0
0.2%
0
1.1%
0
4.9%
0
5.3%
50,001­
100,000
2.4%
0
0.1%
0
0.8%
0
0.1%
0
0.6%
0
0.2%
0
1.1%
0
4.9%
0
5.3%
100,001­
1
Million
2.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
0
0.2%
0
0.9%
0
4.3%
0
4.6%
>
1
Million
2.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
0
0.2%
0
0.9%
0
4.3%
0
4.6%
Total
%,
Plants
3.3%
243
0.0%
0
1.6%
117
0.1%
5
0.2%
16
0.3%
24
0.8%
57
0.3%
20
0.6%
47
6.6%
481
7.3%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
B,
Exhibit
B.
21
for
systems
serving
less
than
10,000
people,
Exhibit
B.
15b
for
systems
serving
10,001
to
100,000
people,
and
Exhibit
B.
15a
for
systems
serving
greater
than
100,000
people.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
Exhibit
C.
6a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
CWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Alternative
1
Exhibit
C.
6b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
NTNCWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Alternative
1
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
10
July
2003
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
0.7%
3
2.4%
11
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.3%
6
0.1%
0
3.0%
14
4.6%
21
101­
500
2.0%
16
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
3
1.0%
8
3.6%
29
3.4%
27
501­
1,000
2.0%
10
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
2
1.0%
5
3.6%
18
3.4%
17
1,001
­
3,300
2.3%
26
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
4
1.1%
12
4.0%
45
3.8%
42
3,301­
10,000
2.3%
28
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
4
1.1%
13
4.0%
49
3.8%
46
10,001­
50,000
3.5%
45
0.4%
5
0.4%
5
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
5
0.4%
5
0.0%
0
1.1%
14
5.1%
66
6.1%
78
50,001­
100,000
3.5%
19
0.4%
2
0.4%
2
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
2
0.4%
2
0.0%
0
1.1%
6
5.1%
28
6.1%
33
100,001­
1
Million
3.5%
20
0.4%
2
0.4%
2
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
2
0.4%
2
0.0%
0
1.1%
6
5.1%
29
6.1%
35
>
1
Million
3.5%
3
0.4%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
1.1%
1
5.1%
4
6.1%
4
Total
%,
Plants
2.6%
171
0.1%
9
0.3%
20
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
9
0.1%
9
0.3%
20
1.0%
67
4.3%
282
4.6%
305
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Technology
Selection
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
1
minus
the
Stage
1
Technology
Selection
from
Appendix
C,
Exhibit
C.
1a.
Total
Adding
Technology
Total
Converting
to
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Membranes
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
0.7%
2
2.4%
7
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.3%
4
0.1%
0
3.0%
9
4.6%
14
101­
500
2.0%
6
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
1
1.0%
3
3.6%
11
3.4%
10
501­
1,000
2.0%
2
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
1.0%
1
3.6%
4
3.4%
4
1,001
­
3,300
2.3%
2
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
1.1%
1
4.0%
3
3.8%
3
3,301­
10,000
2.3%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
1.1%
0
4.0%
1
3.8%
1
10,001­
50,000
3.5%
0
0.4%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
1.1%
0
5.1%
0
6.1%
1
50,001­
100,000
3.5%
0
0.4%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
1.1%
0
5.1%
0
6.1%
0
100,001­
1
Million
3.5%
0
0.4%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
1.1%
0
5.1%
0
6.1%
0
>
1
Million
3.5%
0
0.4%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
1.1%
0
5.1%
0
6.1%
0
Total
%,
Plants
1.6%
13
0.0%
0
0.9%
7
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.7%
6
0.7%
6
3.5%
28
3.9%
32
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Technology
Selection
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
1
minus
the
Stage
1
Technology
Selection
from
Appendix
C,
Exhibit
C.
1b.
Total
Adding
Technology
Total
Converting
to
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Membranes
Exhibit
C.
7a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
Deltas
for
CWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Alternative
1
Exhibit
C.
7b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
Deltas
for
NTNCWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Alternative
1
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
11
July
2003
CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Technology
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A+
C+
E+
G+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
0.6%
48
0.0%
0
1.5%
113
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
38
0.0%
0
0.0%
1
0.1%
11
2.2%
172
2.7%
211
101­
500
0.8%
126
0.0%
0
1.7%
274
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
30
0.0%
0
0.0%
3
0.2%
27
2.7%
427
2.9%
461
501­
1,000
0.8%
49
0.0%
0
1.7%
107
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
12
0.0%
0
0.0%
1
0.2%
11
2.7%
167
2.9%
180
1,001
­
3,300
0.1%
7
0.0%
0
1.8%
146
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
19
0.0%
1
0.1%
11
2.3%
183
2.3%
184
3,301­
10,000
0.1%
4
0.0%
0
1.8%
92
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
12
0.0%
1
0.1%
7
2.3%
115
2.3%
116
10,001­
50,000
0.6%
30
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
3
0.6%
31
0.1%
6
0.8%
43
1.9%
104
2.1%
112
50,001­
100,000
0.6%
4
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.6%
4
0.1%
1
0.8%
6
1.9%
14
2.1%
15
100,001­
1
Million
0.6%
5
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
4
0.1%
1
0.7%
6
1.8%
16
1.9%
17
>
1
Million
0.6%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
0
0.1%
0
0.7%
0
1.8%
0
1.9%
0
Total
%,
Plants
0.55%
273
0.00%
0
1.48%
732
0.00%
0
0.00%
0
0.17%
84
0.14%
71
0.03%
15
0.25%
122
2.4%
1,197
2.6%
1,296
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Technology
Selection
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
1
minus
the
Stage
1
Technology
Selection
from
Appendix
C,
Exhibit
C.
2a.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)

CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Technology
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A+
C+
E+
G+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
0.6%
23
0.0%
0
1.5%
53
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
18
0.0%
0
0.0%
1
0.1%
5
2.2%
81
2.7%
99
101­
500
0.8%
21
0.0%
0
1.7%
46
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
5
0.0%
0
0.0%
1
0.2%
5
2.7%
71
2.9%
77
501­
1,000
0.8%
6
0.0%
0
1.7%
12
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
1
2.7%
19
2.9%
21
1,001
­
3,300
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
1.8%
5
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
1
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
2.3%
6
2.3%
6
3,301­
10,000
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
1.8%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
2.3%
1
2.3%
1
10,001­
50,000
0.6%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.6%
0
0.1%
0
0.8%
0
1.9%
0
2.1%
0
50,001­
100,000
0.6%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.6%
0
0.1%
0
0.8%
0
1.9%
0
2.1%
0
100,001­
1
Million
0.6%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
0
0.1%
0
0.7%
0
1.8%
0
1.9%
0
>
1
Million
0.6%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
0
0.1%
0
0.7%
0
1.8%
0
1.9%
0
Total
%,
Plants
0.68%
50
0.00%
0
1.60%
117
0.00%
0
0.00%
0
0.33%
24
0.01%
1
0.02%
1
0.15%
11
2.5%
179
2.8%
204
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Technology
Selection
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
1
minus
the
Stage
1
Technology
Selection
from
Appendix
C,
Exhibit
C.
2b.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Exhibit
C.
8a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
Deltas
for
CWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Alternative
1
Exhibit
C.
8b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
Deltas
for
NTNCWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Alternative
1
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
12
July
2003
NO
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
1
WITH
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGY
(
with
CL2
or
CLM)

CL2
CLM
TOTAL
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
AD
GAC20
GAC20
+
AD
Membranes
TOTAL
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
=
SUM(
D:
L)
N
£
100
38.4%
180
31.2%
147
69.6%
327
2.4%
11
18.6%
88
3.8%
18
1.3%
6
4.2%
20
30.4%
143
42.6%
200
101­
500
32.3%
258
37.5%
300
69.8%
558
2.4%
19
0.0%
0
11.9%
95
9.9%
79
2.3%
19
1.3%
11
2.3%
18
30.2%
241
51.1%
408
501­
1,000
32.3%
163
37.5%
190
69.8%
353
2.4%
12
0.0%
0
11.9%
60
9.9%
50
2.3%
12
1.3%
7
2.3%
12
30.2%
152
51.1%
258
1,001
­
3,300
29.7%
328
43.8%
483
73.5%
811
5.1%
56
0.0%
0
10.1%
111
5.4%
60
2.6%
28
1.5%
16
1.8%
20
26.5%
292
56.8%
627
3,301­
10,000
29.7%
360
43.8%
531
73.5%
892
5.1%
62
0.0%
0
10.1%
122
5.4%
66
2.6%
31
1.5%
18
1.8%
22
26.5%
321
56.8%
689
10,001­
50,000
33.7%
434
38.5%
495
72.2%
929
7.0%
90
0.0%
0
12.8%
165
1.8%
24
2.2%
28
1.5%
19
0.7%
9
0.0%
0
1.8%
24
27.8%
358
56.8%
731
50,001­
100,000
33.7%
181
38.5%
207
72.2%
388
7.0%
37
0.0%
0
12.8%
69
1.8%
10
2.2%
12
1.5%
8
0.7%
4
0.0%
0
1.8%
10
27.8%
150
56.8%
305
100,001­
1
Million
33.7%
193
38.5%
220
72.2%
413
7.0%
40
0.0%
0
12.8%
73
1.8%
10
2.2%
13
1.5%
8
0.7%
4
0.0%
0
1.8%
10
27.8%
159
56.8%
325
>
1
Million
33.7%
25
38.5%
28
72.2%
53
7.0%
5
0.0%
0
12.8%
9
1.8%
1
2.2%
2
1.5%
1
0.7%
1
0.0%
0
1.8%
1
27.8%
20
56.8%
42
Total
%,
Plants
32.4%
2,122
39.6%
2,601
72.0%
4,723
4.9%
320
0.2%
11
10.7%
705
5.9%
388
0.8%
54
0.6%
36
1.9%
126
0.9%
58
2.1%
138
28.0%
1,837
54.6%
3,585
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
1
No
advanced
technologies
includes
conventional,
non­
conventional,
and
softening
plants.
Source:
Surface
water
systems
serving
10,000
people
or
less:
Add
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline
(
Exhibit
3.17)
to
the
Technology
Selection
Delta
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
1.
Surface
water
systems
serving
10,000
people
or
more:
Use
ending
technology
predictions
from
SWAT
(
FACA
Screen
Series3
v3.0
Database)
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
1.
TOTAL
USING
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)

NO
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
1
WITH
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGY
(
with
CL2
or
CLM)

CL2
CLM
TOTAL
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
AD
GAC20
GAC20
+
AD
Membranes
TOTAL
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
=
SUM(
D:
L)
N
£
100
38.4%
114
31.2%
93
69.6%
207
2.4%
7
18.6%
56
3.8%
11
1.3%
4
4.2%
13
30.4%
91
42.6%
127
101­
500
32.3%
97
37.5%
113
69.8%
210
2.4%
7
0.0%
0
11.9%
36
9.9%
30
2.3%
7
1.3%
4
2.3%
7
30.2%
91
51.1%
154
501­
1,000
32.3%
35
37.5%
41
69.8%
75
2.4%
3
0.0%
0
11.9%
13
9.9%
11
2.3%
3
1.3%
1
2.3%
2
30.2%
33
51.1%
55
1,001
­
3,300
29.7%
21
43.8%
32
73.5%
53
5.1%
4
0.0%
0
10.1%
7
5.4%
4
2.6%
2
1.5%
1
1.8%
1
26.5%
19
56.8%
41
3,301­
10,000
29.7%
7
43.8%
10
73.5%
17
5.1%
1
0.0%
0
10.1%
2
5.4%
1
2.6%
1
1.5%
0
1.8%
0
26.5%
6
56.8%
13
10,001­
50,000
33.7%
3
38.5%
3
72.2%
6
7.0%
1
0.0%
0
12.8%
1
1.8%
0
2.2%
0
1.5%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
1.8%
0
27.8%
3
56.8%
5
50,001­
100,000
33.7%
0
38.5%
0
72.2%
1
7.0%
0
0.0%
0
12.8%
0
1.8%
0
2.2%
0
1.5%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
1.8%
0
27.8%
0
56.8%
1
100,001­
1
Million
33.7%
0
38.5%
0
72.2%
1
7.0%
0
0.0%
0
12.8%
0
1.8%
0
2.2%
0
1.5%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
1.8%
0
27.8%
0
56.8%
1
>
1
Million
33.7%
0
38.5%
0
72.2%
0
7.0%
0
0.0%
0
12.8%
0
1.8%
0
2.2%
0
1.5%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
1.8%
0
27.8%
0
56.8%
0
Total
%,
Plants
34.3%
278
36.0%
292
70.2%
571
1.9%
15
0.9%
7
7.3%
60
12.5%
102
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.9%
23
1.3%
11
3.0%
24
29.8%
242
48.7%
396
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
1
No
advanced
technologies
includes
conventional,
non­
conventional,
and
softening
plants.
Source:
Surface
water
systems
serving
10,000
people
or
less:
Add
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline
(
Exhibit
3.17)
to
the
Technology
Selection
Delta
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
1.
Surface
water
systems
serving
10,000
people
or
more:
Use
ending
technology
predictions
from
SWAT
(
FACA
Screen
Series3
v3.0
Database)
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
1.
TOTAL
USING
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Exhibit
C.
9a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
CWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Alternative
1
Exhibit
C.
9b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
NTNCWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Alternative
1
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
13
July
2003
NO
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
1
WITH
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
CL2
CLM
TOTAL
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
TOTAL
A
B
C
=
A+
B
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
D:
K)
M
=
B+
E+
G+
I+
K
£
100
92.5%
7,186
3.5%
269
95.9%
7,456
0.0%
0
1.5%
113
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
38
1.0%
80
0.4%
33
0.7%
52
4.1%
316
6.6%
515
101­
500
92.9%
14,608
3.3%
515
96.2%
15,123
0.0%
0
1.7%
274
0.1%
22
0.4%
67
0.2%
30
0.6%
88
0.1%
21
0.6%
100
3.8%
602
6.6%
1,044
501­
1,000
92.9%
5,697
3.3%
201
5,898
0.0%
0
1.7%
107
0.1%
9
0.4%
26
0.2%
12
0.6%
34
0.1%
8
0.6%
39
3.8%
235
6.6%
407
1,001
­
3,300
94.2%
7,436
2.1%
167
96.4%
7,603
0.0%
0
1.8%
146
0.2%
18
0.7%
55
0.0%
0
0.3%
23
0.1%
4
0.5%
40
3.6%
287
5.5%
431
3,301­
10,000
94.2%
4,689
2.1%
105
4,794
0.0%
0
1.8%
92
0.2%
12
0.7%
35
0.0%
0
0.3%
14
0.1%
3
0.5%
26
3.6%
181
5.5%
272
10,001­
50,000
87.0%
4,671
7.8%
420
94.9%
5,091
0.8%
45
0.8%
42
0.1%
3
0.6%
33
1.8%
95
1.1%
58
5.1%
276
10.3%
553
50,001­
100,000
87.0%
643
7.8%
58
700
0.8%
6
0.8%
6
0.1%
0
0.6%
4
1.8%
13
1.1%
8
5.1%
38
10.3%
76
100,001­
1
Million
87.7%
767
7.6%
66
95.2%
833
0.8%
7
0.7%
6
0.0%
0
0.5%
5
1.7%
15
0.9%
8
4.8%
42
9.7%
85
>
1
Million
87.7%
16
7.6%
1
17
0.8%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
0
1.7%
0
0.9%
0
4.8%
1
9.7%
2
Total
%,
Plants
92.4%
45,713
3.6%
1,802
96.0%
47,516
0.0%
0
1.5%
732
0.2%
120
0.5%
238
0.2%
84
0.6%
282
0.4%
193
0.7%
331
4.0%
1,979
6.8%
3,384
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
1
No
advanced
technologies
includes
conventional,
non­
conventional,
and
softening
plants.
Source:
Add
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline
(
Exhibit
3.18)
to
the
Technology
Selection
Delta
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
1.
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
TOTAL
USING
CLM
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
NO
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
1
WITH
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
CL2
CLM
TOTAL
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
TOTAL
A
B
C
=
A+
B
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
D:
K)
M
=
B+
E+
G+
I+
K
£
100
92.5%
3,386
3.5%
127
95.9%
3,513
0.0%
0
1.5%
53
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
18
1.0%
38
0.4%
15
0.7%
25
4.1%
149
6.6%
243
101­
500
92.9%
2,438
3.3%
86
96.2%
2,524
0.0%
0
1.7%
46
0.1%
4
0.4%
11
0.2%
5
0.6%
15
0.1%
3
0.6%
17
3.8%
101
6.6%
174
501­
1,000
92.9%
666
3.3%
23
689
0.0%
0
1.7%
12
0.1%
1
0.4%
3
0.2%
1
0.6%
4
0.1%
1
0.6%
5
3.8%
27
6.6%
48
1,001
­
3,300
94.2%
251
2.1%
6
96.4%
257
0.0%
0
1.8%
5
0.2%
1
0.7%
2
0.0%
0
0.3%
1
0.1%
0
0.5%
1
3.6%
10
5.5%
15
3,301­
10,000
94.2%
26
2.1%
1
26
0.0%
0
1.8%
1
0.2%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.3%
0
0.1%
0
0.5%
0
3.6%
1
5.5%
1
10,001­
50,000
87.0%
4
7.8%
0
94.9%
4
0.8%
0
0.8%
0
0.1%
0
0.6%
0
1.8%
0
1.1%
0
5.1%
0
10.3%
0
50,001­
100,000
87.0%
0
7.8%
0
0
0.8%
0
0.8%
0
0.1%
0
0.6%
0
1.8%
0
1.1%
0
5.1%
0
10.3%
0
100,001­
1
Million
87.7%
1
7.6%
0
95.2%
1
0.8%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
0
1.7%
0
0.9%
0
4.8%
0
9.7%
0
>
1
Million
87.7%
0
7.6%
0
0
0.8%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
0
1.7%
0
0.9%
0
4.8%
0
9.7%
0
Total
%,
Plants
92.7%
6,772
3.3%
243
96.1%
7,015
0.0%
0
1.6%
117
0.1%
5
0.2%
16
0.3%
24
0.8%
57
0.3%
20
0.6%
47
3.9%
288
6.6%
481
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
1
No
advanced
technologies
includes
conventional,
non­
conventional,
and
softening
plants.
Source:
Add
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline
(
Exhibit
3.18)
to
the
Technology
Selection
Delta
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
1.
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
TOTAL
USING
CLM
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
Exhibit
C.
10a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
CWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Alternative
1
Exhibit
C.
10b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
NTNCWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Alternative
1
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
14
July
2003
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
28.4%
133
2.5%
12
18.3%
86
11.7%
55
6.5%
31
4.9%
23
50.5%
238
72.3%
101­
500
33.5%
267
2.4%
19
0.0%
0
11.9%
95
10.6%
84
10.4%
83
6.0%
48
3.6%
29
60.7%
484
78.3%
501­
1,000
33.5%
169
2.4%
12
0.0%
0
11.9%
60
10.6%
53
10.4%
53
6.0%
30
3.6%
18
60.7%
306
78.3%
1,001
­
3,300
39.9%
440
5.5%
60
0.0%
0
10.1%
111
5.8%
64
11.4%
125
6.6%
73
1.5%
16
67.4%
744
80.7%
3,301­
10,000
39.9%
484
5.5%
66
0.0%
0
10.1%
122
5.8%
71
11.4%
138
6.6%
80
1.5%
18
67.4%
817
80.7%
10,001­
50,000
15.8%
203
10.6%
137
2.9%
38
11.0%
141
1.8%
24
10.3%
132
6.2%
80
1.1%
14
0.4%
5
1.1%
14
28.9%
372
61.2%
50,001­
100,000
15.8%
85
10.6%
57
2.9%
16
11.0%
59
1.8%
10
10.3%
55
6.2%
33
1.1%
6
0.4%
2
1.1%
6
28.9%
156
61.2%
100,001­
1
Million
15.8%
90
10.6%
61
2.9%
17
11.0%
63
1.8%
10
10.3%
59
6.2%
36
1.1%
6
0.4%
2
1.1%
6
28.9%
166
61.2%
>
1
Million
15.8%
12
10.6%
8
2.9%
2
11.0%
8
1.8%
1
10.3%
8
6.2%
5
1.1%
1
0.4%
0
1.1%
1
28.9%
21
61.2%
Total
%,
Plants
28.7%
1,884
6.4%
420
1.3%
84
10.1%
660
6.2%
404
3.9%
253
2.3%
154
7.3%
481
4.1%
270
2.0%
131
50.4%
3,304
72.3%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
A,
A.
34a
for
systems
serving
up
to
100
people,
A.
34b
for
systems
serving
101
to
1,000
people,
A.
34c
for
systems
serving
1,001
to
10,000
people,
and
Exhibit
A.
22c
for
systems
serving
>
10,000
people.
Total
Adding
Technology
Membranes
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
28.4%
84
2.5%
7
18.3%
54
11.7%
35
6.5%
19
4.9%
15
50.5%
151
72.3%
101­
500
33.5%
101
2.4%
7
0.0%
0
11.9%
36
10.6%
32
10.4%
31
6.0%
18
3.6%
11
60.7%
183
78.3%
501­
1,000
33.5%
36
2.4%
3
0.0%
0
11.9%
13
10.6%
11
10.4%
11
6.0%
6
3.6%
4
60.7%
66
78.3%
1,001
­
3,300
39.9%
29
5.5%
4
0.0%
0
10.1%
7
5.8%
4
11.4%
8
6.6%
5
1.5%
1
67.4%
49
80.7%
3,301­
10,000
39.9%
9
5.5%
1
0.0%
0
10.1%
2
5.8%
1
11.4%
3
6.6%
2
1.5%
0
67.4%
15
80.7%
10,001­
50,000
15.8%
1
10.6%
1
2.9%
0
11.0%
1
1.8%
0
10.3%
1
6.2%
1
1.1%
0
0.4%
0
1.1%
0
28.9%
3
61.2%
50,001­
100,000
15.8%
0
10.6%
0
2.9%
0
11.0%
0
1.8%
0
10.3%
0
6.2%
0
1.1%
0
0.4%
0
1.1%
0
28.9%
0
61.2%
100,001­
1
Million
15.8%
0
10.6%
0
2.9%
0
11.0%
0
1.8%
0
10.3%
0
6.2%
0
1.1%
0
0.4%
0
1.1%
0
28.9%
0
61.2%
>
1
Million
15.8%
0
10.6%
0
2.9%
0
11.0%
0
1.8%
0
10.3%
0
6.2%
0
1.1%
0
0.4%
0
1.1%
0
28.9%
0
61.2%
Total
%,
Plants
32.1%
261
2.0%
16
1.0%
8
7.3%
59
12.7%
103
0.1%
1
0.1%
1
10.9%
88
6.2%
50
3.8%
31
57.3%
466
76.1%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
A,
A.
34a
for
systems
serving
up
to
100
people,
A.
34b
for
systems
serving
101
to
1,000
people,
A.
34c
for
systems
serving
1,001
to
10,000
people,
and
Exhibit
A.
22c
for
systems
serving
>
10,000
people.
Total
Adding
Technology
Membranes
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Exhibit
C.
11a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
CWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Alternative
2
Exhibit
C.
11b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
NTNCWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Alternative
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
15
July
2003
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Conv.
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Tech.
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A
+
C
+
E
+
G
+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
7.3%
568
0.0%
0
1.1%
84
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
28
1.0%
80
0.4%
31
0.5%
41
10.0%
774
10.7%
101­
500
5.8%
918
0.0%
0
1.2%
181
0.1%
22
0.4%
67
0.1%
20
0.6%
88
0.1%
18
0.5%
73
8.4%
1,327
8.8%
501­
1,000
5.8%
358
0.0%
0
1.2%
71
0.1%
9
0.4%
26
0.1%
8
0.6%
34
0.1%
7
0.5%
28
8.4%
517
8.8%
1,001
­
3,300
4.8%
378
0.0%
0
1.1%
90
0.2%
18
0.7%
55
0.0%
0
0.1%
11
0.0%
3
0.4%
30
7.1%
563
7.4%
3,301­
10,000
4.8%
238
0.0%
0
1.1%
57
0.2%
12
0.7%
35
0.0%
0
0.1%
7
0.0%
2
0.4%
19
7.1%
355
7.4%
10,001­
50,000
7.9%
422
0.2%
12
0.8%
42
0.0%
0
0.5%
25
0.1%
7
0.8%
43
9.9%
532
10.3%
50,001­
100,000
7.9%
58
0.2%
2
0.8%
6
0.0%
0
0.5%
3
0.1%
1
0.8%
6
9.9%
73
10.3%
100,001­
1
Million
7.1%
62
0.2%
2
0.7%
6
0.0%
0
0.4%
4
0.1%
1
0.7%
6
8.9%
78
9.2%
>
1
Million
7.1%
1
0.2%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
0.1%
0
0.7%
0
8.9%
2
9.2%
Total
%,
Plants
6.1%
3,002
0.0%
0
1.0%
483
0.2%
76
0.5%
238
0.1%
56
0.5%
252
0.1%
70
0.5%
246
8.5%
4,221
8.9%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
B,
Exhibit
B.
21
for
systems
serving
less
than
10,000
people,
Exhibit
B.
15b
for
systems
serving
10,001
to
100,000
people,
and
Exhibit
B.
15a
for
systems
serving
greater
than
100,000
people.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Conv.
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Tech.
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A
+
C
+
E
+
G
+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
7.3%
268
0.0%
0
1.1%
40
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
13
1.0%
38
0.4%
15
0.5%
19
10.0%
365
10.7%
101­
500
5.8%
153
0.0%
0
1.2%
30
0.1%
4
0.4%
11
0.1%
3
0.6%
15
0.1%
3
0.5%
12
8.4%
221
8.8%
501­
1,000
5.8%
42
0.0%
0
1.2%
8
0.1%
1
0.4%
3
0.1%
1
0.6%
4
0.1%
1
0.5%
3
8.4%
60
8.8%
1,001
­
3,300
4.8%
13
0.0%
0
1.1%
3
0.2%
1
0.7%
2
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
1
7.1%
19
7.4%
3,301­
10,000
4.8%
1
0.0%
0
1.1%
0
0.2%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
7.1%
2
7.4%
10,001­
50,000
7.9%
0
0.2%
0
0.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
0
0.1%
0
0.8%
0
9.9%
0
10.3%
50,001­
100,000
7.9%
0
0.2%
0
0.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
0
0.1%
0
0.8%
0
9.9%
0
10.3%
100,001­
1
Million
7.1%
0
0.2%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
0.1%
0
0.7%
0
8.9%
0
9.2%
>
1
Million
7.1%
0
0.2%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
0.1%
0
0.7%
0
8.9%
0
9.2%
Total
%,
Plants
6.5%
477
0.0%
0
1.1%
82
0.1%
5
0.2%
16
0.2%
18
0.8%
57
0.3%
19
0.5%
36
9.1%
668
9.7%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
B,
Exhibit
B.
21
for
systems
serving
less
than
10,000
people,
Exhibit
B.
15b
for
systems
serving
10,001
to
100,000
people,
and
Exhibit
B.
15a
for
systems
serving
greater
than
100,000
people.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
Exhibit
C.
12a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
CWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Alternative
2
Exhibit
C.
12b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
NTNCWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Alternative
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
16
July
2003
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
­
2.1%
­
10
2.5%
12
3.2%
15
7.9%
37
6.5%
31
0.8%
4
11.0%
52
18.8%
88
101­
500
­
2.1%
­
17
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
4.2%
34
8.1%
64
5.1%
41
2.3%
19
13.2%
105
17.6%
141
501­
1,000
­
2.1%
­
11
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
4.2%
21
8.1%
41
5.1%
26
2.3%
12
13.2%
67
17.6%
89
1,001
­
3,300
­
1.6%
­
17
0.4%
4
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
4.0%
44
8.8%
97
5.5%
61
0.7%
8
14.6%
162
17.8%
197
3,301­
10,000
­
1.6%
­
19
0.4%
5
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
4.0%
48
8.8%
106
5.5%
67
0.7%
9
14.6%
178
17.8%
216
10,001­
50,000
4.9%
63
5.5%
71
2.9%
38
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
8.4%
108
5.1%
66
0.7%
9
0.4%
5
0.7%
9
15.0%
193
28.7%
369
50,001­
100,000
4.9%
26
5.5%
30
2.9%
16
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
8.4%
45
5.1%
28
0.7%
4
0.4%
2
0.7%
4
15.0%
81
28.7%
154
100,001­
1
Million
4.9%
28
5.5%
31
2.9%
17
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
8.4%
48
5.1%
29
0.7%
4
0.4%
2
0.7%
4
15.0%
86
28.7%
164
>
1
Million
4.9%
4
5.5%
4
2.9%
2
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
8.4%
6
5.1%
4
0.7%
1
0.4%
0
0.7%
1
15.0%
11
28.7%
21
Total
%,
Plants
0.7%
47
2.2%
145
1.3%
84
0.0%
0
2.5%
163
3.2%
208
1.9%
127
5.5%
364
3.6%
233
1.0%
69
14.2%
933
21.9%
1,439
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Technology
Selection
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
2
minus
the
Stage
1
Technology
Selection
from
Appendix
C,
Exhibit
C.
1a.
Total
Adding
Technology
Total
Converting
to
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Membranes
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
­
2.1%
­
6
2.5%
7
3.2%
10
7.9%
24
6.5%
19
0.8%
2
11.0%
33
18.8%
56
101­
500
­
2.1%
­
6
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
4.2%
13
8.1%
24
5.1%
15
2.3%
7
13.2%
40
17.6%
53
501­
1,000
­
2.1%
­
2
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
4.2%
5
8.1%
9
5.1%
5
2.3%
3
13.2%
14
17.6%
19
1,001
­
3,300
­
1.6%
­
1
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
4.0%
3
8.8%
6
5.5%
4
0.7%
1
14.6%
11
17.8%
13
3,301­
10,000
­
1.6%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
4.0%
1
8.8%
2
5.5%
1
0.7%
0
14.6%
3
17.8%
4
10,001­
50,000
4.9%
0
5.5%
0
2.9%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
8.4%
1
5.1%
0
0.7%
0
0.4%
0
0.7%
0
15.0%
1
28.7%
3
50,001­
100,000
4.9%
0
5.5%
0
2.9%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
8.4%
0
5.1%
0
0.7%
0
0.4%
0
0.7%
0
15.0%
0
28.7%
0
100,001­
1
Million
4.9%
0
5.5%
0
2.9%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
8.4%
0
5.1%
0
0.7%
0
0.4%
0
0.7%
0
15.0%
0
28.7%
0
>
1
Million
4.9%
0
5.5%
0
2.9%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
8.4%
0
5.1%
0
0.7%
0
0.4%
0
0.7%
0
15.0%
0
28.7%
0
Total
%,
Plants
­
2.0%
­
16
0.1%
1
1.0%
8
0.0%
0
3.8%
31
0.1%
1
0.1%
1
8.0%
65
5.6%
45
1.5%
13
12.6%
102
18.2%
148
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Technology
Selection
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
2
minus
the
Stage
1
Technology
Selection
from
Appendix
C,
Exhibit
C.
1b.
Total
Adding
Technology
Total
Converting
to
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Membranes
Exhibit
C.
13a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
Deltas
for
CWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Alternative
2
Exhibit
C.
13b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
Deltas
for
NTNCWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Alternative
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
17
July
2003
CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Technology
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A+
C+
E+
G+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
4.5%
347
0.0%
0
1.1%
84
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
28
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
5.5%
431
5.9%
459
101­
500
3.4%
529
0.0%
0
1.2%
181
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
20
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
4.5%
710
4.6%
730
501­
1,000
3.4%
206
0.0%
0
1.2%
71
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
8
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
4.5%
277
4.6%
285
1,001
­
3,300
2.8%
218
0.0%
0
1.1%
90
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
7
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
4.0%
314
4.0%
314
3,301­
10,000
2.8%
137
0.0%
0
1.1%
57
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
4
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
4.0%
198
4.0%
198
10,001­
50,000
6.0%
321
0.1%
7
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
23
0.0%
0
0.5%
29
6.9%
372
7.1%
380
50,001­
100,000
6.0%
44
0.1%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
3
0.0%
0
0.5%
4
6.9%
51
7.1%
52
100,001­
1
Million
5.5%
48
0.1%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
3
0.0%
0
0.5%
4
6.3%
56
6.5%
57
>
1
Million
5.5%
1
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
0
6.3%
1
6.5%
1
Total
%,
Plants
3.74%
1,850
0.00%
0
0.98%
483
0.02%
9
0.00%
0
0.11%
56
0.08%
41
0.00%
0
0.08%
37
4.9%
2,411
5.0%
2,477
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Technology
Selection
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
2
minus
the
Stage
1
Technology
Selection
from
Appendix
C,
Exhibit
C.
2a.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)

CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Technology
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A+
C+
E+
G+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
4.5%
163
0.0%
0
1.1%
40
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
13
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
5.5%
203
5.9%
216
101­
500
3.4%
88
0.0%
0
1.2%
30
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
3
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
4.5%
119
4.6%
122
501­
1,000
3.4%
24
0.0%
0
1.2%
8
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
4.5%
32
4.6%
33
1,001
­
3,300
2.8%
7
0.0%
0
1.1%
3
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
4.0%
11
4.0%
11
3,301­
10,000
2.8%
1
0.0%
0
1.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
4.0%
1
4.0%
1
10,001­
50,000
6.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
0
6.9%
0
7.1%
0
50,001­
100,000
6.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
0
6.9%
0
7.1%
0
100,001­
1
Million
5.5%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
0
6.3%
0
6.5%
0
>
1
Million
5.5%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
0
6.3%
0
6.5%
0
Total
%,
Plants
3.89%
284
0.00%
0
1.12%
82
0.00%
0
0.00%
0
0.24%
18
0.00%
0
0.00%
0
0.00%
0
5.0%
366
5.3%
384
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Technology
Selection
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
2
minus
the
Stage
1
Technology
Selection
from
Appendix
C,
Exhibit
C.
2b.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Exhibit
C.
14a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
Deltas
for
CWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Alternative
2
Exhibit
C.
14b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
Deltas
for
NTNCWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Alternative
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
18
July
2003
NO
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
1
WITH
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGY
(
with
CL2
or
CLM)

CL2
CLM
TOTAL
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
AD
GAC20
GAC20
+
AD
Membranes
TOTAL
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
=
SUM(
D:
L)
N
£
100
24.1%
113
28.4%
133
52.5%
247
2.5%
12
21.9%
103
11.7%
55
6.5%
31
4.9%
23
47.5%
223
50.5%
238
101­
500
18.1%
145
33.5%
267
51.6%
412
2.4%
19
0.0%
0
11.9%
95
14.2%
113
10.4%
83
6.0%
48
3.6%
29
48.4%
387
60.7%
484
501­
1,000
18.1%
91
33.5%
169
51.6%
260
2.4%
12
0.0%
0
11.9%
60
14.2%
72
10.4%
53
6.0%
30
3.6%
18
48.4%
244
60.7%
306
1,001
­
3,300
15.7%
173
39.9%
440
55.6%
614
5.5%
60
0.0%
0
10.1%
111
9.4%
104
11.4%
125
6.6%
73
1.5%
16
44.4%
490
67.4%
744
3,301­
10,000
15.7%
190
39.9%
484
55.6%
674
5.5%
66
0.0%
0
10.1%
122
9.4%
114
11.4%
138
6.6%
80
1.5%
18
44.4%
538
67.4%
817
10,001­
50,000
17.6%
226
33.7%
434
51.3%
660
12.1%
156
2.6%
33
12.8%
165
1.8%
24
10.3%
132
6.2%
80
1.1%
14
0.4%
5
1.5%
19
48.7%
627
56.8%
731
50,001­
100,000
17.6%
95
33.7%
181
51.3%
276
12.1%
65
2.6%
14
12.8%
69
1.8%
10
10.3%
55
6.2%
33
1.1%
6
0.4%
2
1.5%
8
48.7%
262
56.8%
305
100,001­
1
Million
17.6%
101
33.7%
193
51.3%
294
12.1%
69
2.6%
15
12.8%
73
1.8%
10
10.3%
59
6.2%
36
1.1%
6
0.4%
2
1.5%
8
48.7%
279
56.8%
325
>
1
Million
17.6%
13
33.7%
25
51.3%
38
12.1%
9
2.6%
2
12.8%
9
1.8%
1
10.3%
8
6.2%
5
1.1%
1
0.4%
0
1.5%
1
48.7%
36
56.8%
42
Total
%,
Plants
17.5%
1,148
35.5%
2,326
53.0%
3,474
7.0%
456
1.1%
75
10.7%
705
8.4%
551
3.9%
253
2.3%
154
7.3%
481
4.1%
270
2.1%
140
47.0%
3,086
60.8%
3,992
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
1
No
advanced
technologies
includes
conventional,
non­
conventional,
and
softening
plants.
Source:
Surface
water
systems
serving
10,000
people
or
less:
Add
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline
(
Exhibit
3.17)
to
the
Technology
Selection
Delta
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
2.
Surface
water
systems
serving
10,000
people
or
more:
Use
ending
technology
predictions
from
SWAT
(
FACA
Screen
Series3
v3.0
Database)
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
2.
TOTAL
USING
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)

NO
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
1
WITH
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGY
(
with
CL2
or
CLM)

CL2
CLM
TOTAL
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
AD
GAC20
GAC20
+
AD
Membranes
TOTAL
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
=
SUM(
D:
L)
N
£
100
24.1%
72
28.4%
84
52.5%
156
2.5%
7
21.9%
65
11.7%
35
6.5%
19
4.9%
15
47.5%
142
50.5%
151
101­
500
18.1%
55
33.5%
101
51.6%
155
2.4%
7
0.0%
0
11.9%
36
14.2%
43
10.4%
31
6.0%
18
3.6%
11
48.4%
146
60.7%
183
501­
1,000
18.1%
20
33.5%
36
51.6%
56
2.4%
3
0.0%
0
11.9%
13
14.2%
15
10.4%
11
6.0%
6
3.6%
4
48.4%
52
60.7%
66
1,001
­
3,300
15.7%
11
39.9%
29
55.6%
40
5.5%
4
0.0%
0
10.1%
7
9.4%
7
11.4%
8
6.6%
5
1.5%
1
44.4%
32
67.4%
49
3,301­
10,000
15.7%
4
39.9%
9
55.6%
13
5.5%
1
0.0%
0
10.1%
2
9.4%
2
11.4%
3
6.6%
2
1.5%
0
44.4%
10
67.4%
15
10,001­
50,000
17.6%
2
33.7%
3
51.3%
5
12.1%
1
2.6%
0
12.8%
1
1.8%
0
10.3%
1
6.2%
1
1.1%
0
0.4%
0
1.5%
0
48.7%
4
56.8%
5
50,001­
100,000
17.6%
0
33.7%
0
51.3%
1
12.1%
0
2.6%
0
12.8%
0
1.8%
0
10.3%
0
6.2%
0
1.1%
0
0.4%
0
1.5%
0
48.7%
0
56.8%
1
100,001­
1
Million
17.6%
0
33.7%
0
51.3%
1
12.1%
0
2.6%
0
12.8%
0
1.8%
0
10.3%
0
6.2%
0
1.1%
0
0.4%
0
1.5%
0
48.7%
0
56.8%
1
>
1
Million
17.6%
0
33.7%
0
51.3%
0
12.1%
0
2.6%
0
12.8%
0
1.8%
0
10.3%
0
6.2%
0
1.1%
0
0.4%
0
1.5%
0
48.7%
0
56.8%
0
Total
%,
Plants
20.0%
163
32.4%
263
52.4%
426
2.0%
16
1.0%
8
7.3%
60
16.3%
132
0.1%
1
0.1%
1
10.9%
88
6.2%
50
3.8%
31
47.6%
387
57.7%
469
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
1
No
advanced
technologies
includes
conventional,
non­
conventional,
and
softening
plants.
Source:
Surface
water
systems
serving
10,000
people
or
less:
Add
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline
(
Exhibit
3.17)
to
the
Technology
Selection
Delta
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
2.
Surface
water
systems
serving
10,000
people
or
more:
Use
ending
technology
predictions
from
SWAT
(
FACA
Screen
Series3
v3.0
Database)
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
2.
TOTAL
USING
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Exhibit
C.
15a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
CWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Alternative
2
Exhibit
C.
15b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
NTNCWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Alternative
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
19
July
2003
NO
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
1
WITH
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
CL2
CLM
TOTAL
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
TOTAL
A
B
C
=
A+
B
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
D:
K)
M
=
B+
E+
G+
I+
K
£
100
89.3%
6,938
7.3%
568
96.6%
7,506
0.0%
0
1.1%
84
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
28
1.0%
80
0.4%
31
0.5%
41
3.4%
265
10.0%
774
101­
500
91.2%
14,338
5.8%
918
97.0%
15,255
0.0%
0
1.2%
181
0.1%
22
0.4%
67
0.1%
20
0.6%
88
0.1%
18
0.5%
73
3.0%
469
8.4%
1,327
501­
1,000
91.2%
5,592
5.8%
358
5,950
0.0%
0
1.2%
71
0.1%
9
0.4%
26
0.1%
8
0.6%
34
0.1%
7
0.5%
28
3.0%
183
8.4%
517
1,001
­
3,300
92.6%
7,306
4.8%
378
97.4%
7,683
0.0%
0
1.1%
90
0.2%
18
0.7%
55
0.0%
0
0.1%
11
0.0%
3
0.4%
30
2.6%
207
7.1%
563
3,301­
10,000
92.6%
4,607
4.8%
238
4,845
0.0%
0
1.1%
57
0.2%
12
0.7%
35
0.0%
0
0.1%
7
0.0%
2
0.4%
19
2.6%
131
7.1%
355
10,001­
50,000
82.0%
4,403
13.2%
711
95.3%
5,115
1.0%
53
0.8%
42
0.0%
0
0.5%
25
1.7%
89
0.8%
43
4.7%
253
15.3%
821
50,001­
100,000
82.0%
606
13.2%
98
704
1.0%
7
0.8%
6
0.0%
0
0.5%
3
1.7%
12
0.8%
6
4.7%
35
15.3%
113
100,001­
1
Million
83.1%
727
12.5%
109
95.6%
836
1.0%
8
0.7%
6
0.0%
0
0.4%
4
1.6%
14
0.7%
6
4.4%
39
14.3%
125
>
1
Million
83.1%
15
12.5%
2
17
1.0%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
1.6%
0
0.7%
0
4.4%
1
14.3%
3
Total
%,
Plants
90.0%
44,533
6.8%
3,379
96.8%
47,912
0.0%
0
1.0%
483
0.3%
130
0.5%
238
0.1%
56
0.5%
252
0.4%
178
0.5%
246
3.2%
1,582
9.3%
4,598
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
1
No
advanced
technologies
includes
conventional,
non­
conventional,
and
softening
plants.
Source:
Add
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline
(
Exhibit
3.18)
to
the
Technology
Selection
Delta
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
2.
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
TOTAL
USING
CLM
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
NO
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
1
WITH
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
CL2
CLM
TOTAL
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
TOTAL
A
B
C
=
A+
B
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
D:
K)
M
=
B+
E+
G+
I+
K
£
100
89.3%
3,270
7.3%
268
96.6%
3,537
0.0%
0
1.1%
40
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
13
1.0%
38
0.4%
15
0.5%
19
3.4%
125
10.0%
365
101­
500
91.2%
2,393
5.8%
153
97.0%
2,546
0.0%
0
1.2%
30
0.1%
4
0.4%
11
0.1%
3
0.6%
15
0.1%
3
0.5%
12
3.0%
78
8.4%
221
501­
1,000
91.2%
653
5.8%
42
695
0.0%
0
1.2%
8
0.1%
1
0.4%
3
0.1%
1
0.6%
4
0.1%
1
0.5%
3
3.0%
21
8.4%
60
1,001
­
3,300
92.6%
247
4.8%
13
97.4%
260
0.0%
0
1.1%
3
0.2%
1
0.7%
2
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
1
2.6%
7
7.1%
19
3,301­
10,000
92.6%
25
4.8%
1
27
0.0%
0
1.1%
0
0.2%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
2.6%
1
7.1%
2
10,001­
50,000
82.0%
4
13.2%
1
95.3%
4
1.0%
0
0.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
0
1.7%
0
0.8%
0
4.7%
0
15.3%
1
50,001­
100,000
82.0%
0
13.2%
0
0
1.0%
0
0.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
0
1.7%
0
0.8%
0
4.7%
0
15.3%
0
100,001­
1
Million
83.1%
1
12.5%
0
95.6%
1
1.0%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
1.6%
0
0.7%
0
4.4%
0
14.3%
0
>
1
Million
83.1%
0
12.5%
0
0
1.0%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
1.6%
0
0.7%
0
4.4%
0
14.3%
0
Total
%,
Plants
90.3%
6,593
6.5%
477
96.8%
7,070
0.0%
0
1.1%
82
0.1%
5
0.2%
16
0.2%
18
0.8%
57
0.3%
19
0.5%
36
3.2%
233
9.2%
668
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
1
No
advanced
technologies
includes
conventional,
non­
conventional,
and
softening
plants.
Source:
Add
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline
(
Exhibit
3.18)
to
the
Technology
Selection
Delta
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
2.
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
TOTAL
USING
CLM
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
Exhibit
C.
16a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
CWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Alternative
2
Exhibit
C.
16b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
NTNCWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Alternative
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
20
July
2003
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectant
s
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
22.9%
108
3.6%
17
18.9%
89
18.1%
85
7.9%
37
5.8%
27
51.1%
240
77.3%
101­
500
27.5%
219
3.2%
26
0.0%
0
11.9%
95
11.5%
92
16.9%
135
7.0%
56
4.6%
37
61.3%
490
82.7%
501­
1,000
27.5%
139
3.2%
16
0.0%
0
11.9%
60
11.5%
58
16.9%
85
7.0%
35
4.6%
23
61.3%
310
82.7%
1,001
­
3,300
33.0%
364
7.2%
80
0.0%
0
10.1%
111
6.5%
71
18.7%
206
7.7%
85
1.5%
16
68.1%
752
84.6%
3,301­
10,000
33.0%
400
7.2%
88
0.0%
0
10.1%
122
6.5%
78
18.7%
227
7.7%
93
1.5%
18
68.1%
826
84.6%
10,001­
50,000
12.5%
161
13.2%
170
3.3%
42
11.0%
141
2.9%
38
17.2%
222
7.3%
94
1.5%
19
0.4%
5
1.1%
14
29.7%
382
70.4%
50,001­
100,000
12.5%
67
13.2%
71
3.3%
18
11.0%
59
2.9%
16
17.2%
93
7.3%
39
1.5%
8
0.4%
2
1.1%
6
29.7%
160
70.4%
100,001­
1
Million
12.5%
72
13.2%
75
3.3%
19
11.0%
63
2.9%
17
17.2%
99
7.3%
42
1.5%
8
0.4%
2
1.1%
6
29.7%
170
70.4%
>
1
Million
12.5%
9
13.2%
10
3.3%
2
11.0%
8
2.9%
2
17.2%
13
7.3%
5
1.5%
1
0.4%
0
1.1%
1
29.7%
22
70.4%
Total
%,
Plants
23.5%
1,539
8.2%
535
1.5%
98
10.1%
660
7.0%
461
6.5%
425
2.8%
181
11.8%
774
4.8%
316
2.3%
149
51.1%
3,351
78.3%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
A,
A.
34a
for
systems
serving
up
to
100
people,
A.
34b
for
systems
serving
101
to
1,000
people,
A.
34c
for
systems
serving
1,001
to
10,000
people,
and
Exhibit
A.
22c
for
systems
serving
>
10,000
people.
Total
Adding
Technology
Membranes
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectant
s
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
22.9%
68
3.6%
11
18.9%
56
18.1%
54
7.9%
23
5.8%
17
51.1%
152
77.3%
101­
500
27.5%
83
3.2%
10
0.0%
0
11.9%
36
11.5%
35
16.9%
51
7.0%
21
4.6%
14
61.3%
185
82.7%
501­
1,000
27.5%
30
3.2%
3
0.0%
0
11.9%
13
11.5%
12
16.9%
18
7.0%
8
4.6%
5
61.3%
66
82.7%
1,001
­
3,300
33.0%
24
7.2%
5
0.0%
0
10.1%
7
6.5%
5
18.7%
13
7.7%
6
1.5%
1
68.1%
49
84.6%
3,301­
10,000
33.0%
8
7.2%
2
0.0%
0
10.1%
2
6.5%
1
18.7%
4
7.7%
2
1.5%
0
68.1%
16
84.6%
10,001­
50,000
12.5%
1
13.2%
1
3.3%
0
11.0%
1
2.9%
0
17.2%
2
7.3%
1
1.5%
0
0.4%
0
1.1%
0
29.7%
3
70.4%
50,001­
100,000
12.5%
0
13.2%
0
3.3%
0
11.0%
0
2.9%
0
17.2%
0
7.3%
0
1.5%
0
0.4%
0
1.1%
0
29.7%
0
70.4%
100,001­
1
Million
12.5%
0
13.2%
0
3.3%
0
11.0%
0
2.9%
0
17.2%
0
7.3%
0
1.5%
0
0.4%
0
1.1%
0
29.7%
0
70.4%
>
1
Million
12.5%
0
13.2%
0
3.3%
0
11.0%
0
2.9%
0
17.2%
0
7.3%
0
1.5%
0
0.4%
0
1.1%
0
29.7%
0
70.4%
Total
%,
Plants
26.2%
213
2.6%
22
1.4%
11
7.3%
59
13.5%
110
0.2%
2
0.1%
1
17.3%
141
7.3%
60
4.6%
38
57.9%
471
80.8%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
A,
A.
34a
for
systems
serving
up
to
100
people,
A.
34b
for
systems
serving
101
to
1,000
people,
A.
34c
for
systems
serving
1,001
to
10,000
people,
and
Exhibit
A.
22c
for
systems
serving
>
10,000
people.
Total
Adding
Technology
Membranes
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Exhibit
C.
17a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
CWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Alternative
3
Exhibit
C.
17b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
NTNCWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Alternative
3
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
21
July
2003
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Conv.
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Tech.
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A
+
C
+
E
+
G
+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
5.2%
400
0.0%
0
1.2%
93
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
31
1.0%
80
0.4%
31
0.5%
41
7.9%
615
8.7%
101­
500
4.2%
660
0.0%
0
1.3%
206
0.1%
22
0.4%
67
0.1%
23
0.6%
88
0.1%
18
0.5%
73
7.0%
1,094
7.4%
501­
1,000
4.2%
257
0.0%
0
1.3%
80
0.1%
9
0.4%
26
0.1%
9
0.6%
34
0.1%
7
0.5%
28
7.0%
427
7.4%
1,001
­
3,300
3.0%
237
0.0%
0
1.3%
99
0.2%
18
0.7%
55
0.0%
0
0.2%
16
0.0%
3
0.4%
30
5.5%
437
5.8%
3,301­
10,000
3.0%
150
0.0%
0
1.3%
63
0.2%
12
0.7%
35
0.0%
0
0.2%
10
0.0%
2
0.4%
19
5.5%
276
5.8%
10,001­
50,000
5.4%
290
0.2%
11
0.8%
42
0.0%
0
0.7%
37
0.1%
7
0.9%
46
7.7%
415
8.1%
50,001­
100,000
5.4%
40
0.2%
2
0.8%
6
0.0%
0
0.7%
5
0.1%
1
0.9%
6
7.7%
57
8.1%
100,001­
1
Million
4.7%
41
0.2%
2
0.7%
6
0.0%
0
0.6%
5
0.1%
1
0.7%
6
6.7%
59
7.0%
>
1
Million
4.7%
1
0.2%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.6%
0
0.1%
0
0.7%
0
6.7%
1
7.0%
Total
%,
Plants
4.2%
2,076
0.0%
0
1.1%
541
0.2%
76
0.5%
238
0.1%
63
0.6%
275
0.1%
70
0.5%
250
6.8%
3,380
7.3%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
B,
Exhibit
B.
21
for
systems
serving
less
than
10,000
people,
Exhibit
B.
15b
for
systems
serving
10,001
to
100,000
people,
and
Exhibit
B.
15a
for
systems
serving
greater
than
100,000
people.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Conv.
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Tech.
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A
+
C
+
E
+
G
+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
5.2%
189
0.0%
0
1.2%
44
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
15
1.0%
38
0.4%
15
0.5%
19
7.9%
290
8.7%
101­
500
4.2%
110
0.0%
0
1.3%
34
0.1%
4
0.4%
11
0.1%
4
0.6%
15
0.1%
3
0.5%
12
7.0%
183
7.4%
501­
1,000
4.2%
30
0.0%
0
1.3%
9
0.1%
1
0.4%
3
0.1%
1
0.6%
4
0.1%
1
0.5%
3
7.0%
50
7.4%
1,001
­
3,300
3.0%
8
0.0%
0
1.3%
3
0.2%
1
0.7%
2
0.0%
0
0.2%
1
0.0%
0
0.4%
1
5.5%
15
5.8%
3,301­
10,000
3.0%
1
0.0%
0
1.3%
0
0.2%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
5.5%
2
5.8%
10,001­
50,000
5.4%
0
0.2%
0
0.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.7%
0
0.1%
0
0.9%
0
7.7%
0
8.1%
50,001­
100,000
5.4%
0
0.2%
0
0.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.7%
0
0.1%
0
0.9%
0
7.7%
0
8.1%
100,001­
1
Million
4.7%
0
0.2%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.6%
0
0.1%
0
0.7%
0
6.7%
0
7.0%
>
1
Million
4.7%
0
0.2%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.6%
0
0.1%
0
0.7%
0
6.7%
0
7.0%
Total
%,
Plants
4.6%
338
0.0%
0
1.2%
91
0.1%
5
0.2%
16
0.3%
19
0.8%
57
0.3%
19
0.5%
36
7.4%
539
8.0%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
B,
Exhibit
B.
21
for
systems
serving
less
than
10,000
people,
Exhibit
B.
15b
for
systems
serving
10,001
to
100,000
people,
and
Exhibit
B.
15a
for
systems
serving
greater
than
100,000
people.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
Exhibit
C.
18a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
CWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Alternative
3
Exhibit
C.
18b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
NTNCWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Alternative
3
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
22
July
2003
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
­
7.6%
­
36
3.6%
17
3.9%
18
14.3%
67
7.9%
37
1.7%
8
11.5%
54
23.8%
112
101­
500
­
8.1%
­
65
0.9%
7
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
5.2%
42
14.6%
116
6.1%
49
3.3%
27
13.9%
111
22.0%
176
501­
1,000
­
8.1%
­
41
0.9%
4
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
5.2%
26
14.6%
74
6.1%
31
3.3%
17
13.9%
70
22.0%
111
1,001
­
3,300
­
8.5%
­
94
2.1%
24
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
4.6%
51
16.1%
178
6.6%
73
0.7%
8
15.4%
170
21.7%
240
3,301­
10,000
­
8.5%
­
103
2.1%
26
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
4.6%
56
16.1%
195
6.6%
80
0.7%
9
15.4%
187
21.7%
263
10,001­
50,000
1.6%
20
8.1%
104
3.3%
42
0.0%
0
1.1%
14
15.4%
198
6.2%
80
1.1%
14
0.4%
5
0.7%
9
15.8%
203
37.9%
487
50,001­
100,000
1.6%
9
8.1%
43
3.3%
18
0.0%
0
1.1%
6
15.4%
83
6.2%
33
1.1%
6
0.4%
2
0.7%
4
15.8%
85
37.9%
204
100,001­
1
Million
1.6%
9
8.1%
46
3.3%
19
0.0%
0
1.1%
6
15.4%
88
6.2%
36
1.1%
6
0.4%
2
0.7%
4
15.8%
90
37.9%
217
>
1
Million
1.6%
1
8.1%
6
3.3%
2
0.0%
0
1.1%
1
15.4%
11
6.2%
5
1.1%
1
0.4%
0
0.7%
1
15.8%
12
37.9%
28
Total
%,
Plants
­
4.5%
­
298
4.0%
260
1.5%
98
0.0%
0
3.4%
220
5.8%
380
2.3%
154
10.0%
658
4.2%
279
1.3%
86
14.9%
980
28.0%
1,837
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Technology
Selection
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
3
minus
the
Stage
1
Technology
Selection
from
Appendix
C,
Exhibit
C.
1a.
Total
Adding
Technology
Total
Converting
to
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Membranes
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
­
7.6%
­
23
3.6%
11
3.9%
12
14.3%
43
7.9%
23
1.7%
5
11.5%
34
23.8%
71
101­
500
­
8.1%
­
24
0.9%
3
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
5.2%
16
14.6%
44
6.1%
18
3.3%
10
13.9%
42
22.0%
66
501­
1,000
­
8.1%
­
9
0.9%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
5.2%
6
14.6%
16
6.1%
7
3.3%
4
13.9%
15
22.0%
24
1,001
­
3,300
­
8.5%
­
6
2.1%
2
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
4.6%
3
16.1%
12
6.6%
5
0.7%
1
15.4%
11
21.7%
16
3,301­
10,000
­
8.5%
­
2
2.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
4.6%
1
16.1%
4
6.6%
2
0.7%
0
15.4%
4
21.7%
5
10,001­
50,000
1.6%
0
8.1%
1
3.3%
0
0.0%
0
1.1%
0
15.4%
1
6.2%
1
1.1%
0
0.4%
0
0.7%
0
15.8%
1
37.9%
3
50,001­
100,000
1.6%
0
8.1%
0
3.3%
0
0.0%
0
1.1%
0
15.4%
0
6.2%
0
1.1%
0
0.4%
0
0.7%
0
15.8%
0
37.9%
0
100,001­
1
Million
1.6%
0
8.1%
0
3.3%
0
0.0%
0
1.1%
0
15.4%
0
6.2%
0
1.1%
0
0.4%
0
0.7%
0
15.8%
0
37.9%
0
>
1
Million
1.6%
0
8.1%
0
3.3%
0
0.0%
0
1.1%
0
15.4%
0
6.2%
0
1.1%
0
0.4%
0
0.7%
0
15.8%
0
37.9%
0
Total
%,
Plants
­
7.8%
­
64
0.8%
7
1.4%
11
0.0%
0
4.6%
37
0.2%
2
0.1%
1
14.5%
118
6.7%
55
2.4%
20
13.2%
107
22.9%
186
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Technology
Selection
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
3
minus
the
Stage
1
Technology
Selection
from
Appendix
C,
Exhibit
C.
1b.
Total
Adding
Technology
Total
Converting
to
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Membranes
Exhibit
C.
19a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
Deltas
for
CWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Alternative
3
Exhibit
C.
19b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
Deltas
for
NTNCWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Alternative
3
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
23
July
2003
CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Technology
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A+
C+
E+
G+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
2.3%
179
0.0%
0
1.2%
93
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
31
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
3.5%
272
3.9%
303
101­
500
1.7%
271
0.0%
0
1.3%
206
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
23
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
3.0%
477
3.2%
500
501­
1,000
1.7%
106
0.0%
0
1.3%
80
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
9
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
3.0%
186
3.2%
195
1,001
­
3,300
1.0%
77
0.0%
0
1.3%
99
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
12
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.4%
189
2.4%
189
3,301­
10,000
1.0%
49
0.0%
0
1.3%
63
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
8
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.4%
119
2.4%
119
10,001­
50,000
3.5%
188
0.1%
7
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.6%
35
0.0%
0
0.6%
32
4.7%
255
4.9%
262
50,001­
100,000
3.5%
26
0.1%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.6%
5
0.0%
0
0.6%
4
4.7%
35
4.9%
36
100,001­
1
Million
3.1%
27
0.1%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.6%
5
0.0%
0
0.5%
5
4.2%
37
4.3%
38
>
1
Million
3.1%
1
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.6%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
0
4.2%
1
4.3%
1
Total
%,
Plants
1.87%
924
0.00%
0
1.09%
541
0.02%
9
0.00%
0
0.13%
63
0.13%
64
0.00%
0
0.08%
41
3.2%
1,570
3.3%
1,642
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Technology
Selection
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
3
minus
the
Stage
1
Technology
Selection
from
Appendix
C,
Exhibit
C.
2a.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)

CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Technology
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A+
C+
E+
G+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
2.3%
84
0.0%
0
1.2%
44
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
15
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
3.5%
128
3.9%
143
101­
500
1.7%
45
0.0%
0
1.3%
34
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
4
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
3.0%
80
3.2%
83
501­
1,000
1.7%
12
0.0%
0
1.3%
9
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
3.0%
22
3.2%
23
1,001
­
3,300
1.0%
3
0.0%
0
1.3%
3
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.4%
6
2.4%
6
3,301­
10,000
1.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.3%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.4%
1
2.4%
1
10,001­
50,000
3.5%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.6%
0
0.0%
0
0.6%
0
4.7%
0
4.9%
0
50,001­
100,000
3.5%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.6%
0
0.0%
0
0.6%
0
4.7%
0
4.9%
0
100,001­
1
Million
3.1%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.6%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
0
4.2%
0
4.3%
0
>
1
Million
3.1%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.6%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
0
4.2%
0
4.3%
0
Total
%,
Plants
1.99%
145
0.00%
0
1.25%
91
0.00%
0
0.00%
0
0.27%
19
0.01%
0
0.00%
0
0.00%
0
3.2%
237
3.5%
256
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Technology
Selection
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
3
minus
the
Stage
1
Technology
Selection
from
Appendix
C,
Exhibit
C.
2b.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Exhibit
C.
20a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
Deltas
for
CWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Alternative
3
Exhibit
C.
20b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
Deltas
for
NTNCWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Alternative
3
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
24
July
2003
NO
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
1
WITH
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGY
(
with
CL2
or
CLM)

CL2
CLM
TOTAL
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
AD
GAC20
GAC20
+
AD
Membranes
TOTAL
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
=
SUM(
D:
L)
N
£
100
19.1%
90
22.9%
108
42.0%
198
3.6%
17
22.5%
106
18.1%
85
7.9%
37
5.8%
27
58.0%
272
51.1%
240
101­
500
13.7%
110
27.5%
219
41.2%
329
3.2%
26
0.0%
0
11.9%
95
15.1%
121
16.9%
135
7.0%
56
4.6%
37
58.8%
470
61.3%
490
501­
1,000
13.7%
69
27.5%
139
41.2%
208
3.2%
16
0.0%
0
11.9%
60
15.1%
76
16.9%
85
7.0%
35
4.6%
23
58.8%
297
61.3%
310
1,001
­
3,300
11.8%
130
33.0%
364
44.8%
494
7.2%
80
0.0%
0
10.1%
111
10.1%
111
18.7%
206
7.7%
85
1.5%
16
55.2%
609
68.1%
752
3,301­
10,000
11.8%
143
33.0%
400
44.8%
543
7.2%
88
0.0%
0
10.1%
122
10.1%
122
18.7%
227
7.7%
93
1.5%
18
55.2%
670
68.1%
826
10,001­
50,000
12.1%
156
27.5%
354
39.6%
509
14.3%
184
2.6%
33
12.8%
165
2.9%
38
17.2%
222
7.3%
94
1.5%
19
0.4%
5
1.5%
19
60.4%
778
56.8%
731
50,001­
100,000
12.1%
65
27.5%
148
39.6%
213
14.3%
77
2.6%
14
12.8%
69
2.9%
16
17.2%
93
7.3%
39
1.5%
8
0.4%
2
1.5%
8
60.4%
325
56.8%
305
100,001­
1
Million
12.1%
69
27.5%
157
39.6%
226
14.3%
82
2.6%
15
12.8%
73
2.9%
17
17.2%
99
7.3%
42
1.5%
8
0.4%
2
1.5%
8
60.4%
346
56.8%
325
>
1
Million
12.1%
9
27.5%
20
39.6%
29
14.3%
11
2.6%
2
12.8%
9
2.9%
2
17.2%
13
7.3%
5
1.5%
1
0.4%
0
1.5%
1
60.4%
44
56.8%
42
Total
%,
Plants
12.8%
841
29.1%
1,909
41.9%
2,749
8.6%
563
1.2%
80
10.7%
705
9.3%
608
6.5%
425
2.8%
181
11.8%
774
4.8%
316
2.4%
158
58.1%
3,811
61.3%
4,021
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
1
No
advanced
technologies
includes
conventional,
non­
conventional,
and
softening
plants.
Source:
Surface
water
systems
serving
10,000
people
or
less:
Add
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline
(
Exhibit
3.17)
to
the
Technology
Selection
Delta
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
3.
Surface
water
systems
serving
10,000
people
or
more:
Use
ending
technology
predictions
from
SWAT
(
FACA
Screen
Series3
v3.0
Database)
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
3.
TOTAL
USING
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)

NO
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
1
WITH
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGY
(
with
CL2
or
CLM)

CL2
CLM
TOTAL
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
AD
GAC20
GAC20
+
AD
Membranes
TOTAL
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
=
SUM(
D:
L)
N
£
100
19.1%
57
22.9%
68
42.0%
125
3.6%
11
22.5%
67
18.1%
54
7.9%
23
5.8%
17
58.0%
173
51.1%
152
101­
500
13.7%
41
27.5%
83
41.2%
124
3.2%
10
0.0%
0
11.9%
36
15.1%
46
16.9%
51
7.0%
21
4.6%
14
58.8%
177
61.3%
185
501­
1,000
13.7%
15
27.5%
30
41.2%
44
3.2%
3
0.0%
0
11.9%
13
15.1%
16
16.9%
18
7.0%
8
4.6%
5
58.8%
64
61.3%
66
1,001
­
3,300
11.8%
8
33.0%
24
44.8%
32
7.2%
5
0.0%
0
10.1%
7
10.1%
7
18.7%
13
7.7%
6
1.5%
1
55.2%
40
68.1%
49
3,301­
10,000
11.8%
3
33.0%
8
44.8%
10
7.2%
2
0.0%
0
10.1%
2
10.1%
2
18.7%
4
7.7%
2
1.5%
0
55.2%
13
68.1%
16
10,001­
50,000
12.1%
1
27.5%
2
39.6%
4
14.3%
1
2.6%
0
12.8%
1
2.9%
0
17.2%
2
7.3%
1
1.5%
0
0.4%
0
1.5%
0
60.4%
5
56.8%
5
50,001­
100,000
12.1%
0
27.5%
0
39.6%
0
14.3%
0
2.6%
0
12.8%
0
2.9%
0
17.2%
0
7.3%
0
1.5%
0
0.4%
0
1.5%
0
60.4%
1
56.8%
1
100,001­
1
Million
12.1%
0
27.5%
0
39.6%
0
14.3%
0
2.6%
0
12.8%
0
2.9%
0
17.2%
0
7.3%
0
1.5%
0
0.4%
0
1.5%
0
60.4%
1
56.8%
1
>
1
Million
12.1%
0
27.5%
0
39.6%
0
14.3%
0
2.6%
0
12.8%
0
2.9%
0
17.2%
0
7.3%
0
1.5%
0
0.4%
0
1.5%
0
60.4%
0
56.8%
0
Total
%,
Plants
15.5%
126
26.4%
215
41.9%
341
2.7%
22
1.4%
11
7.3%
60
17.1%
139
0.2%
2
0.1%
1
17.3%
141
7.3%
60
4.7%
38
58.1%
472
58.3%
474
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
1
No
advanced
technologies
includes
conventional,
non­
conventional,
and
softening
plants.
Source:
Surface
water
systems
serving
10,000
people
or
less:
Add
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline
(
Exhibit
3.17)
to
the
Technology
Selection
Delta
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
3.
TOTAL
USING
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Exhibit
C.
21a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
CWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Alternative
3
Exhibit
C.
21b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
NTNCWS
Surface
Water
Plants
Alternative
3
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
25
July
2003
NO
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
1
WITH
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
CL2
CLM
TOTAL
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
TOTAL
A
B
C
=
A+
B
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
D:
K)
M
=
B+
E+
G+
I+
K
£
100
91.3%
7,095
5.2%
400
96.4%
7,495
0.0%
0
1.2%
93
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
31
1.0%
80
0.4%
31
0.5%
41
3.6%
277
7.9%
615
101­
500
92.6%
14,568
4.2%
660
96.8%
15,228
0.0%
0
1.3%
206
0.1%
22
0.4%
67
0.1%
23
0.6%
88
0.1%
18
0.5%
73
3.2%
497
7.0%
1,094
501­
1,000
92.6%
5,682
4.2%
257
5,939
0.0%
0
1.3%
80
0.1%
9
0.4%
26
0.1%
9
0.6%
34
0.1%
7
0.5%
28
3.2%
194
7.0%
427
1,001
­
3,300
94.2%
7,432
3.0%
237
97.2%
7,669
0.0%
0
1.3%
99
0.2%
18
0.7%
55
0.0%
0
0.2%
16
0.0%
3
0.4%
30
2.8%
222
5.5%
437
3,301­
10,000
94.2%
4,686
3.0%
150
4,836
0.0%
0
1.3%
63
0.2%
12
0.7%
35
0.0%
0
0.2%
10
0.0%
2
0.4%
19
2.8%
140
5.5%
276
10,001­
50,000
84.2%
4,521
10.8%
579
95.0%
5,100
1.0%
53
0.8%
42
0.0%
0
0.7%
37
1.7%
89
0.9%
46
5.0%
267
13.1%
704
50,001­
100,000
84.2%
622
10.8%
80
702
1.0%
7
0.8%
6
0.0%
0
0.7%
5
1.7%
12
0.9%
6
5.0%
37
13.1%
97
100,001­
1
Million
85.3%
746
10.1%
88
95.4%
835
1.0%
8
0.7%
6
0.0%
0
0.6%
5
1.6%
14
0.7%
6
4.6%
40
12.1%
106
>
1
Million
85.3%
16
10.1%
2
17
1.0%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.6%
0
1.6%
0
0.7%
0
4.6%
1
12.1%
2
Total
%,
Plants
91.7%
45,367
5.0%
2,453
96.6%
47,820
0.0%
0
1.1%
541
0.3%
130
0.5%
238
0.1%
63
0.6%
275
0.4%
178
0.5%
250
3.4%
1,674
7.6%
3,757
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
1
No
advanced
technologies
includes
conventional,
non­
conventional,
and
softening
plants.
Source:
Add
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline
(
Exhibit
3.18)
to
the
Technology
Selection
Delta
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
3.
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
TOTAL
USING
CLM
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
NO
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
1
WITH
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
CL2
CLM
TOTAL
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
TOTAL
A
B
C
=
A+
B
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
D:
K)
M
=
B+
E+
G+
I+
K
£
100
91.3%
3,343
5.2%
189
96.4%
3,532
0.0%
0
1.2%
44
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
15
1.0%
38
0.4%
15
0.5%
19
3.6%
130
7.9%
290
101­
500
92.6%
2,431
4.2%
110
96.8%
2,541
0.0%
0
1.3%
34
0.1%
4
0.4%
11
0.1%
4
0.6%
15
0.1%
3
0.5%
12
3.2%
83
7.0%
183
501­
1,000
92.6%
664
4.2%
30
694
0.0%
0
1.3%
9
0.1%
1
0.4%
3
0.1%
1
0.6%
4
0.1%
1
0.5%
3
3.2%
23
7.0%
50
1,001
­
3,300
94.2%
251
3.0%
8
97.2%
259
0.0%
0
1.3%
3
0.2%
1
0.7%
2
0.0%
0
0.2%
1
0.0%
0
0.4%
1
2.8%
7
5.5%
15
3,301­
10,000
94.2%
26
3.0%
1
27
0.0%
0
1.3%
0
0.2%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
2.8%
1
5.5%
2
10,001­
50,000
84.2%
4
10.8%
0
95.0%
4
1.0%
0
0.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.7%
0
1.7%
0
0.9%
0
5.0%
0
13.1%
1
50,001­
100,000
84.2%
0
10.8%
0
0
1.0%
0
0.8%
0
0.0%
0
0.7%
0
1.7%
0
0.9%
0
5.0%
0
13.1%
0
100,001­
1
Million
85.3%
1
10.1%
0
95.4%
1
1.0%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.6%
0
1.6%
0
0.7%
0
4.6%
0
12.1%
0
>
1
Million
85.3%
0
10.1%
0
0
1.0%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.6%
0
1.6%
0
0.7%
0
4.6%
0
12.1%
0
Total
%,
Plants
92.0%
6,720
4.6%
338
96.7%
7,059
0.0%
0
1.2%
91
0.1%
5
0.2%
16
0.3%
19
0.8%
57
0.3%
19
0.5%
36
3.3%
245
7.4%
539
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
1
No
advanced
technologies
includes
conventional,
non­
conventional,
and
softening
plants.
Source:
Add
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline
(
Exhibit
3.18)
to
the
Technology
Selection
Delta
for
the
Stage
2
Alternative
3.
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
TOTAL
USING
CLM
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
Exhibit
C.
22a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
CWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Alternative
3
Exhibit
C.
22b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
NTNCWS
Ground
Water
Plants
Alternative
3
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
26
July
2003
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
32.1%
151
2.7%
13
15.0%
71
3.8%
18
1.2%
6
4.1%
19
43.9%
206
59.0%
101­
500
38.2%
305
2.5%
20
1.2%
10
11.9%
95
6.3%
51
2.3%
19
1.9%
15
1.4%
11
52.7%
421
65.7%
501­
1,000
38.2%
193
2.5%
13
1.2%
6
11.9%
60
6.3%
32
2.3%
12
1.9%
10
1.4%
7
52.7%
266
65.7%
1,001
­
3,300
44.5%
491
5.4%
60
1.2%
13
10.1%
111
1.8%
20
2.6%
28
2.2%
24
0.7%
8
58.6%
646
68.5%
3,301­
10,000
44.5%
539
5.4%
66
1.2%
15
10.1%
122
1.8%
22
2.6%
31
2.2%
27
0.7%
9
58.6%
710
68.5%
10,001­
50,000
14.5%
187
5.9%
75
4.0%
52
11.0%
141
1.8%
24
1.8%
24
2.6%
33
0.4%
5
0.0%
0
0.4%
5
20.2%
259
42.4%
50,001­
100,000
14.5%
78
5.9%
32
4.0%
22
11.0%
59
1.8%
10
1.8%
10
2.6%
14
0.4%
2
0.0%
0
0.4%
2
20.2%
108
42.4%
100,001­
1
Million
14.5%
83
5.9%
34
4.0%
23
11.0%
63
1.8%
10
1.8%
10
2.6%
15
0.4%
2
0.0%
0
0.4%
2
20.2%
115
42.4%
>
1
Million
14.5%
11
5.9%
4
4.0%
3
11.0%
8
1.8%
1
1.8%
1
2.6%
2
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
20.2%
15
42.4%
Total
%,
Plants
31.1%
2,038
4.6%
302
2.4%
157
10.1%
660
3.7%
241
0.7%
45
1.0%
63
1.8%
117
1.2%
81
1.0%
64
41.9%
2,748
57.4%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
A,
A.
34a
for
systems
serving
up
to
100
people,
A.
34b
for
systems
serving
101
to
1,000
people,
A.
34c
for
systems
serving
1,001
to
10,000
people,
and
Exhibit
A.
22c
for
systems
serving
>
10,000
people.
Total
Adding
Technology
Membranes
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
32.1%
96
2.7%
8
15.0%
45
3.8%
11
1.2%
4
4.1%
12
43.9%
131
59.0%
101­
500
38.2%
115
2.5%
7
1.2%
4
11.9%
36
6.3%
19
2.3%
7
1.9%
6
1.4%
4
52.7%
159
65.7%
501­
1,000
38.2%
41
2.5%
3
1.2%
1
11.9%
13
6.3%
7
2.3%
3
1.9%
2
1.4%
1
52.7%
57
65.7%
1,001
­
3,300
44.5%
32
5.4%
4
1.2%
1
10.1%
7
1.8%
1
2.6%
2
2.2%
2
0.7%
1
58.6%
42
68.5%
3,301­
10,000
44.5%
10
5.4%
1
1.2%
0
10.1%
2
1.8%
0
2.6%
1
2.2%
1
0.7%
0
58.6%
13
68.5%
10,001­
50,000
14.5%
1
5.9%
1
4.0%
0
11.0%
1
1.8%
0
1.8%
0
2.6%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
20.2%
2
42.4%
50,001­
100,000
14.5%
0
5.9%
0
4.0%
0
11.0%
0
1.8%
0
1.8%
0
2.6%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
20.2%
0
42.4%
100,001­
1
Million
14.5%
0
5.9%
0
4.0%
0
11.0%
0
1.8%
0
1.8%
0
2.6%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
20.2%
0
42.4%
>
1
Million
14.5%
0
5.9%
0
4.0%
0
11.0%
0
1.8%
0
1.8%
0
2.6%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
20.2%
0
42.4%
Total
%,
Plants
36.4%
296
2.0%
16
1.8%
15
7.3%
59
8.9%
73
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.9%
23
1.6%
13
2.3%
19
49.7%
404
63.3%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
A,
A.
34a
for
systems
serving
up
to
100
people,
A.
34b
for
systems
serving
101
to
1,000
people,
A.
34c
for
systems
serving
1,001
to
10,000
people,
and
Exhibit
A.
22c
for
systems
serving
>
10,000
people.
Total
Adding
Technology
Membranes
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Exhibit
C.
23a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
CWS
Surface
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
1
Exhibit
C.
23b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
NTNCWS
Surface
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
1
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
27
July
2003
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Conv.
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Tech.
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A
+
C
+
E
+
G
+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
4.5%
350
0.0%
0
1.4%
109
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
36
1.0%
80
0.4%
31
0.5%
41
7.5%
580
8.3%
101­
500
3.9%
621
0.0%
0
1.5%
231
0.1%
22
0.4%
67
0.2%
26
0.6%
88
0.1%
18
0.5%
73
6.9%
1,080
7.3%
501­
1,000
3.9%
242
0.0%
0
1.5%
90
0.1%
9
0.4%
26
0.2%
10
0.6%
34
0.1%
7
0.5%
28
6.9%
421
7.3%
1,001
­
3,300
3.1%
242
0.0%
0
1.3%
103
0.2%
18
0.7%
55
0.0%
0
0.1%
7
0.0%
3
0.4%
30
5.5%
436
5.8%
3,301­
10,000
3.1%
152
0.0%
0
1.3%
65
0.2%
12
0.7%
35
0.0%
0
0.1%
4
0.0%
2
0.4%
19
5.5%
275
5.8%
10,001­
50,000
4.1%
218
0.2%
9
1.2%
67
0.0%
0
0.2%
13
0.2%
10
0.6%
31
6.1%
328
6.5%
50,001­
100,000
4.1%
30
0.2%
1
1.2%
9
0.0%
0
0.2%
2
0.2%
1
0.6%
4
6.1%
45
6.5%
100,001­
1
Million
3.5%
31
0.1%
1
1.1%
9
0.0%
0
0.2%
2
0.2%
1
0.5%
4
5.3%
47
5.7%
>
1
Million
3.5%
1
0.1%
0
1.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.2%
0
0.5%
0
5.3%
1
5.7%
Total
%,
Plants
3.8%
1,886
0.0%
0
1.2%
598
0.1%
72
0.5%
269
0.1%
72
0.5%
230
0.2%
75
0.5%
231
6.5%
3,214
6.9%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
B,
Exhibit
B.
21
for
systems
serving
less
than
10,000
people,
Exhibit
B.
15b
for
systems
serving
10,001
to
100,000
people,
and
Exhibit
B.
15a
for
systems
serving
greater
than
100,000
people.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Conv.
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Tech.
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A
+
C
+
E
+
G
+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
4.5%
165
0.0%
0
1.4%
51
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
17
1.0%
38
0.4%
15
0.5%
19
7.5%
273
8.3%
101­
500
3.9%
104
0.0%
0
1.5%
39
0.1%
4
0.4%
11
0.2%
4
0.6%
15
0.1%
3
0.5%
12
6.9%
180
7.3%
501­
1,000
3.9%
28
0.0%
0
1.5%
11
0.1%
1
0.4%
3
0.2%
1
0.6%
4
0.1%
1
0.5%
3
6.9%
49
7.3%
1,001
­
3,300
3.1%
8
0.0%
0
1.3%
3
0.2%
1
0.7%
2
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
1
5.5%
15
5.8%
3,301­
10,000
3.1%
1
0.0%
0
1.3%
0
0.2%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
5.5%
2
5.8%
10,001­
50,000
4.1%
0
0.2%
0
1.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.2%
0
0.6%
0
6.1%
0
6.5%
50,001­
100,000
4.1%
0
0.2%
0
1.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.2%
0
0.6%
0
6.1%
0
6.5%
100,001­
1
Million
3.5%
0
0.1%
0
1.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.2%
0
0.5%
0
5.3%
0
5.7%
>
1
Million
3.5%
0
0.1%
0
1.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.2%
0
0.5%
0
5.3%
0
5.7%
Total
%,
Plants
4.2%
306
0.0%
0
1.4%
104
0.1%
5
0.2%
16
0.3%
23
0.8%
57
0.3%
19
0.5%
36
7.1%
519
7.8%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
B,
Exhibit
B.
21
for
systems
serving
less
than
10,000
people,
Exhibit
B.
15b
for
systems
serving
10,001
to
100,000
people,
and
Exhibit
B.
15a
for
systems
serving
greater
than
100,000
people.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
Exhibit
C.
24a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
CWS
Ground
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
1
Exhibit
C.
24b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
NTNCWS
Ground
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
1
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
28
July
2003
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
1.6%
8
2.7%
13
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.2%
6
0.0%
0
4.4%
20
5.5%
26
101­
500
2.6%
21
0.1%
1
1.2%
10
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.0%
8
0.1%
1
5.2%
42
5.1%
40
501­
1,000
2.6%
13
0.1%
1
1.2%
6
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.0%
5
0.1%
0
5.2%
26
5.1%
26
1,001
­
3,300
3.0%
33
0.3%
3
1.2%
13
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.1%
12
0.0%
0
5.8%
64
5.6%
62
3,301­
10,000
3.0%
37
0.3%
4
1.2%
15
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.1%
13
0.0%
0
5.8%
70
5.6%
68
10,001­
50,000
3.6%
47
0.7%
9
4.0%
52
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
19
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
6.2%
80
9.9%
127
50,001­
100,000
3.6%
20
0.7%
4
4.0%
22
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
8
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
6.2%
34
9.9%
53
100,001­
1
Million
3.6%
21
0.7%
4
4.0%
23
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
8
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
6.2%
36
9.9%
56
>
1
Million
3.6%
3
0.7%
1
4.0%
3
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
6.2%
5
9.9%
7
Total
%,
Plants
3.1%
201
0.4%
27
2.4%
157
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.6%
36
0.0%
0
0.7%
44
0.0%
1
5.7%
377
7.1%
466
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Technology
Selection
for
the
Stage
2
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
minus
the
Stage
1
Technology
Selection
from
Appendix
C,
Exhibit
C.
1a.
Total
Adding
Technology
Total
Converting
to
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Membranes
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
1.6%
5
2.7%
8
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.2%
4
0.0%
0
4.4%
13
5.5%
16
101­
500
2.6%
8
0.1%
0
1.2%
4
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.0%
3
0.1%
0
5.2%
16
5.1%
15
501­
1,000
2.6%
3
0.1%
0
1.2%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.0%
1
0.1%
0
5.2%
6
5.1%
5
1,001
­
3,300
3.0%
2
0.3%
0
1.2%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.1%
1
0.0%
0
5.8%
4
5.6%
4
3,301­
10,000
3.0%
1
0.3%
0
1.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.1%
0
0.0%
0
5.8%
1
5.6%
1
10,001­
50,000
3.6%
0
0.7%
0
4.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
6.2%
1
9.9%
1
50,001­
100,000
3.6%
0
0.7%
0
4.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
6.2%
0
9.9%
0
100,001­
1
Million
3.6%
0
0.7%
0
4.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
6.2%
0
9.9%
0
>
1
Million
3.6%
0
0.7%
0
4.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
6.2%
0
9.9%
0
Total
%,
Plants
2.3%
19
0.1%
1
1.8%
15
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.0%
9
0.0%
0
5.0%
41
5.4%
44
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Technology
Selection
for
the
Stage
2
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
minus
the
Stage
1
Technology
Selection
from
Appendix
C,
Exhibit
C.
1b.
Total
Adding
Technology
Total
Converting
to
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Membranes
Exhibit
C.
25a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
Deltas
for
CWS
Surface
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
1
Exhibit
C.
25b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
Deltas
for
NTNCWS
Surface
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
1
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
29
July
2003
CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Technology
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A+
C+
E+
G+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
1.6%
128
0.0%
0
1.4%
109
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
36
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
3.1%
237
3.5%
273
101­
500
1.5%
232
0.0%
0
1.5%
231
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
26
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.9%
463
3.1%
489
501­
1,000
1.5%
91
0.0%
0
1.5%
90
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
10
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.9%
181
3.1%
191
1,001
­
3,300
1.0%
82
0.0%
0
1.3%
103
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
3
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.4%
188
2.4%
188
3,301­
10,000
1.0%
52
0.0%
0
1.3%
65
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
2
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.4%
118
2.4%
118
10,001­
50,000
2.2%
116
0.1%
5
0.4%
24
0.0%
0
0.2%
11
0.1%
4
0.3%
17
3.1%
168
3.3%
176
50,001­
100,000
2.2%
16
0.1%
1
0.4%
3
0.0%
0
0.2%
1
0.1%
0
0.3%
2
3.1%
23
3.3%
24
100,001­
1
Million
1.9%
17
0.1%
1
0.4%
4
0.0%
0
0.2%
2
0.1%
1
0.3%
3
2.8%
25
2.9%
26
>
1
Million
1.9%
0
0.1%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.3%
0
2.8%
1
2.9%
1
Total
%,
Plants
1.48%
734
0.00%
0
1.21%
598
0.01%
6
0.06%
31
0.15%
72
0.04%
19
0.01%
5
0.04%
22
2.8%
1,404
3.0%
1,487
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Technology
Selection
for
the
Stage
2
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
minus
the
Stage
1
Technology
Selection
from
Appendix
C,
Exhibit
C.
2a.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)

CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Technology
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A+
C+
E+
G+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
1.6%
60
0.0%
0
1.4%
51
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
17
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
3.1%
112
3.5%
129
101­
500
1.5%
39
0.0%
0
1.5%
39
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
4
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.9%
77
3.1%
82
501­
1,000
1.5%
11
0.0%
0
1.5%
11
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.9%
21
3.1%
22
1,001
­
3,300
1.0%
3
0.0%
0
1.3%
3
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.4%
6
2.4%
6
3,301­
10,000
1.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.3%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.4%
1
2.4%
1
10,001­
50,000
2.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.3%
0
3.1%
0
3.3%
0
50,001­
100,000
2.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.3%
0
3.1%
0
3.3%
0
100,001­
1
Million
1.9%
0
0.1%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.3%
0
2.8%
0
2.9%
0
>
1
Million
1.9%
0
0.1%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.3%
0
2.8%
0
2.9%
0
Total
%,
Plants
1.55%
113
0.00%
0
1.43%
104
0.00%
0
0.00%
0
0.31%
23
0.00%
0
0.00%
0
0.00%
0
3.0%
217
3.3%
240
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Technology
Selection
for
the
Stage
2
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
minus
the
Stage
1
Technology
Selection
from
Appendix
C,
Exhibit
C.
2b.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Exhibit
C.
26a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
Deltas
for
CWS
Ground
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
1
Exhibit
C.
26b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
Deltas
for
NTNCWS
Ground
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
1
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
30
July
2003
NO
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
1
WITH
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGY
(
with
CL2
or
CLM)

CL2
CLM
TOTAL
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
AD
GAC20
GAC20
+
AD
Membranes
TOTAL
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
=
SUM(
D:
L)
N
£
100
37.4%
176
32.1%
151
69.6%
327
2.7%
13
18.6%
88
3.8%
18
1.2%
6
4.1%
19
30.4%
143
43.9%
206
101­
500
30.7%
245
38.2%
305
68.9%
550
2.5%
20
1.2%
10
11.9%
95
9.9%
79
2.3%
19
1.9%
15
1.4%
11
31.1%
249
52.7%
421
501­
1,000
30.7%
155
38.2%
193
68.9%
348
2.5%
13
1.2%
6
11.9%
60
9.9%
50
2.3%
12
1.9%
10
1.4%
7
31.1%
157
52.7%
266
1,001
­
3,300
27.9%
308
44.5%
491
72.3%
798
5.4%
60
1.2%
13
10.1%
111
5.4%
60
2.6%
28
2.2%
24
0.7%
8
27.7%
305
58.6%
646
3,301­
10,000
27.9%
338
44.5%
539
72.3%
877
5.4%
66
1.2%
15
10.1%
122
5.4%
66
2.6%
31
2.2%
27
0.7%
9
27.7%
335
58.6%
710
10,001­
50,000
27.9%
359
39.9%
513
67.8%
872
7.7%
99
4.0%
52
12.8%
165
1.8%
24
2.2%
28
2.6%
33
0.4%
5
0.0%
0
0.7%
9
32.2%
415
56.8%
731
50,001­
100,000
27.9%
150
39.9%
215
67.8%
364
7.7%
41
4.0%
22
12.8%
69
1.8%
10
2.2%
12
2.6%
14
0.4%
2
0.0%
0
0.7%
4
32.2%
173
56.8%
305
100,001­
1
Million
27.9%
160
39.9%
228
67.8%
388
7.7%
44
4.0%
23
12.8%
73
1.8%
10
2.2%
13
2.6%
15
0.4%
2
0.0%
0
0.7%
4
32.2%
185
56.8%
325
>
1
Million
27.9%
21
39.9%
29
67.8%
50
7.7%
6
4.0%
3
12.8%
9
1.8%
1
2.2%
2
2.6%
2
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.7%
1
32.2%
24
56.8%
42
Total
%,
Plants
29.1%
1,910
40.6%
2,665
69.7%
4,574
5.3%
348
2.4%
157
10.7%
705
5.9%
388
0.8%
54
1.0%
63
1.8%
117
1.2%
81
1.1%
73
30.3%
1,986
55.7%
3,653
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
1
No
advanced
technologies
includes
conventional,
non­
conventional,
and
softening
plants.
Source:
Surface
water
systems
serving
10,000
people
or
less:
Add
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline
(
Exhibit
3.17)
to
the
Technology
Selection
Delta
for
the
Stage
2
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1.
TOTAL
USING
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)

NO
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
1
WITH
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGY
(
with
CL2
or
CLM)

CL2
CLM
TOTAL
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
AD
GAC20
GAC20
+
AD
Membranes
TOTAL
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
=
SUM(
D:
L)
N
£
100
37.4%
112
32.1%
96
69.6%
207
2.7%
8
18.6%
56
3.8%
11
1.2%
4
4.1%
12
30.4%
91
43.9%
131
101­
500
30.7%
92
38.2%
115
68.9%
207
2.5%
7
1.2%
4
11.9%
36
9.9%
30
2.3%
7
1.9%
6
1.4%
4
31.1%
94
52.7%
159
501­
1,000
30.7%
33
38.2%
41
68.9%
74
2.5%
3
1.2%
1
11.9%
13
9.9%
11
2.3%
3
1.9%
2
1.4%
1
31.1%
34
52.7%
57
1,001
­
3,300
27.9%
20
44.5%
32
72.3%
52
5.4%
4
1.2%
1
10.1%
7
5.4%
4
2.6%
2
2.2%
2
0.7%
1
27.7%
20
58.6%
42
3,301­
10,000
27.9%
6
44.5%
10
72.3%
17
5.4%
1
1.2%
0
10.1%
2
5.4%
1
2.6%
1
2.2%
1
0.7%
0
27.7%
6
58.6%
13
10,001­
50,000
27.9%
3
39.9%
4
67.8%
6
7.7%
1
4.0%
0
12.8%
1
1.8%
0
2.2%
0
2.6%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.7%
0
32.2%
3
56.8%
5
50,001­
100,000
27.9%
0
39.9%
0
67.8%
1
7.7%
0
4.0%
0
12.8%
0
1.8%
0
2.2%
0
2.6%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.7%
0
32.2%
0
56.8%
1
100,001­
1
Million
27.9%
0
39.9%
0
67.8%
1
7.7%
0
4.0%
0
12.8%
0
1.8%
0
2.2%
0
2.6%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.7%
0
32.2%
0
56.8%
1
>
1
Million
27.9%
0
39.9%
0
67.8%
0
7.7%
0
4.0%
0
12.8%
0
1.8%
0
2.2%
0
2.6%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.7%
0
32.2%
0
56.8%
0
Total
%,
Plants
32.8%
267
36.7%
299
69.5%
565
2.0%
16
1.8%
15
7.3%
60
12.5%
102
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.9%
23
1.6%
13
2.3%
19
30.5%
248
50.2%
408
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
1
No
advanced
technologies
includes
conventional,
non­
conventional,
and
softening
plants.
Source:
Surface
water
systems
serving
10,000
people
or
less:
Add
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline
(
Exhibit
3.17)
to
the
Technology
Selection
Delta
for
the
Stage
2
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1.
TOTAL
USING
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Exhibit
C.
27a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
CWS
Surface
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
1
Exhibit
C.
27b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
NTNCWS
Surface
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
1
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
31
July
2003
NO
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
1
WITH
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
CL2
CLM
TOTAL
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
TOTAL
A
B
C
=
A+
B
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
D:
K)
M
=
B+
E+
G+
I+
K
£
100
91.7%
7,124
4.5%
350
96.2%
7,474
0.0%
0
1.4%
109
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
36
1.0%
80
0.4%
31
0.5%
41
3.8%
298
7.5%
580
101­
500
92.7%
14,579
3.9%
621
96.7%
15,200
0.0%
0
1.5%
231
0.1%
22
0.4%
67
0.2%
26
0.6%
88
0.1%
18
0.5%
73
3.3%
525
6.9%
1,080
501­
1,000
92.7%
5,686
3.9%
242
5,929
0.0%
0
1.5%
90
0.1%
9
0.4%
26
0.2%
10
0.6%
34
0.1%
7
0.5%
28
3.3%
205
6.9%
421
1,001
­
3,300
94.2%
7,433
3.1%
242
97.3%
7,674
0.0%
0
1.3%
103
0.2%
18
0.7%
55
0.0%
0
0.1%
7
0.0%
3
0.4%
30
2.7%
216
5.5%
436
3,301­
10,000
94.2%
4,687
3.1%
152
4,839
0.0%
0
1.3%
65
0.2%
12
0.7%
35
0.0%
0
0.1%
4
0.0%
2
0.4%
19
2.7%
136
5.5%
275
10,001­
50,000
85.8%
4,607
9.4%
507
95.3%
5,113
0.9%
50
1.2%
67
0.0%
0
0.2%
13
1.7%
93
0.6%
31
4.7%
254
11.5%
617
50,001­
100,000
85.8%
634
9.4%
70
703
0.9%
7
1.2%
9
0.0%
0
0.2%
2
1.7%
13
0.6%
4
4.7%
35
11.5%
85
100,001­
1
Million
86.7%
758
8.9%
78
95.6%
836
0.9%
8
1.1%
9
0.0%
0
0.2%
2
1.7%
15
0.5%
4
4.4%
39
10.7%
94
>
1
Million
86.7%
16
8.9%
2
17
0.9%
0
1.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
1.7%
0
0.5%
0
4.4%
1
10.7%
2
Total
%,
Plants
92.0%
45,523
4.6%
2,263
96.5%
47,786
0.0%
0
1.2%
598
0.3%
126
0.5%
269
0.1%
72
0.5%
230
0.4%
183
0.5%
231
3.5%
1,708
7.3%
3,591
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
1
No
advanced
technologies
includes
conventional,
non­
conventional,
and
softening
plants.
Source:
Add
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline
(
Exhibit
3.18)
to
the
Technology
Selection
Delta
for
the
Stage
2
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1.
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
TOTAL
USING
CLM
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
NO
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
1
WITH
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
CL2
CLM
TOTAL
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
TOTAL
A
B
C
=
A+
B
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
D:
K)
M
=
B+
E+
G+
I+
K
£
100
91.7%
3,357
4.5%
165
96.2%
3,522
0.0%
0
1.4%
51
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
17
1.0%
38
0.4%
15
0.5%
19
3.8%
140
7.5%
273
101­
500
92.7%
2,433
3.9%
104
96.7%
2,537
0.0%
0
1.5%
39
0.1%
4
0.4%
11
0.2%
4
0.6%
15
0.1%
3
0.5%
12
3.3%
88
6.9%
180
501­
1,000
92.7%
664
3.9%
28
693
0.0%
0
1.5%
11
0.1%
1
0.4%
3
0.2%
1
0.6%
4
0.1%
1
0.5%
3
3.3%
24
6.9%
49
1,001
­
3,300
94.2%
251
3.1%
8
97.3%
259
0.0%
0
1.3%
3
0.2%
1
0.7%
2
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
1
2.7%
7
5.5%
15
3,301­
10,000
94.2%
26
3.1%
1
27
0.0%
0
1.3%
0
0.2%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
2.7%
1
5.5%
2
10,001­
50,000
85.8%
4
9.4%
0
95.3%
4
0.9%
0
1.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
1.7%
0
0.6%
0
4.7%
0
11.5%
1
50,001­
100,000
85.8%
0
9.4%
0
0
0.9%
0
1.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
1.7%
0
0.6%
0
4.7%
0
11.5%
0
100,001­
1
Million
86.7%
1
8.9%
0
95.6%
1
0.9%
0
1.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
1.7%
0
0.5%
0
4.4%
0
10.7%
0
>
1
Million
86.7%
0
8.9%
0
0
0.9%
0
1.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
1.7%
0
0.5%
0
4.4%
0
10.7%
0
Total
%,
Plants
92.2%
6,737
4.2%
306
96.4%
7,043
0.0%
0
1.4%
104
0.1%
5
0.2%
16
0.3%
23
0.8%
57
0.3%
19
0.5%
36
3.6%
260
7.1%
520
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
1
No
advanced
technologies
includes
conventional,
non­
conventional,
and
softening
plants.
Source:
Add
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline
(
Exhibit
3.18)
to
the
Technology
Selection
Delta
for
the
Stage
2
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1.
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
TOTAL
USING
CLM
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
Exhibit
C.
28a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
CWS
Ground
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
1
Exhibit
C.
28b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
NTNCWS
Ground
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
1
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
32
July
2003
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
32.2%
151
1.8%
8
15.3%
72
4.3%
20
1.6%
7
4.1%
19
44.1%
207
59.2%
101­
500
37.6%
300
2.4%
19
0.9%
7
11.9%
95
7.3%
59
3.1%
25
2.0%
16
1.4%
11
52.9%
423
66.6%
501­
1,000
37.6%
190
2.4%
12
0.9%
4
11.9%
60
7.3%
37
3.1%
16
2.0%
10
1.4%
7
52.9%
267
66.6%
1,001
­
3,300
44.3%
489
5.1%
57
1.0%
11
10.1%
111
1.8%
20
3.7%
40
2.2%
24
0.7%
8
58.8%
649
68.9%
3,301­
10,000
44.3%
538
5.1%
62
1.0%
12
10.1%
122
1.8%
22
3.7%
44
2.2%
27
0.7%
9
58.8%
713
68.9%
10,001­
50,000
15.4%
198
6.6%
85
6.2%
80
11.0%
141
1.8%
24
3.3%
42
2.6%
33
0.4%
5
0.0%
0
0.4%
5
22.7%
292
47.6%
50,001­
100,000
15.4%
83
6.6%
35
6.2%
34
11.0%
59
1.8%
10
3.3%
18
2.6%
14
0.4%
2
0.0%
0
0.4%
2
22.7%
122
47.6%
100,001­
1
Million
15.4%
88
6.6%
38
6.2%
36
11.0%
63
1.8%
10
3.3%
19
2.6%
15
0.4%
2
0.0%
0
0.4%
2
22.7%
130
47.6%
>
1
Million
15.4%
11
6.6%
5
6.2%
5
11.0%
8
1.8%
1
3.3%
2
2.6%
2
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
22.7%
17
47.6%
Total
%,
Plants
31.2%
2,048
4.8%
313
3.0%
196
10.1%
660
3.9%
255
1.2%
82
1.0%
63
2.4%
155
1.3%
85
1.0%
64
43.0%
2,820
59.8%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
A,
A.
34a
for
systems
serving
up
to
100
people,
A.
34b
for
systems
serving
101
to
1,000
people,
A.
34c
for
systems
serving
1,001
to
10,000
people,
and
Exhibit
A.
22c
for
systems
serving
>
10,000
people.
Total
Adding
Technology
Membranes
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectant
s
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
32.2%
96
1.8%
5
15.3%
46
4.3%
13
1.6%
5
4.1%
12
44.1%
131
59.2%
101­
500
37.6%
113
2.4%
7
0.9%
3
11.9%
36
7.3%
22
3.1%
9
2.0%
6
1.4%
4
52.9%
159
66.6%
501­
1,000
37.6%
41
2.4%
3
0.9%
1
11.9%
13
7.3%
8
3.1%
3
2.0%
2
1.4%
2
52.9%
57
66.6%
1,001
­
3,300
44.3%
32
5.1%
4
1.0%
1
10.1%
7
1.8%
1
3.7%
3
2.2%
2
0.7%
1
58.8%
42
68.9%
3,301­
10,000
44.3%
10
5.1%
1
1.0%
0
10.1%
2
1.8%
0
3.7%
1
2.2%
1
0.7%
0
58.8%
14
68.9%
10,001­
50,000
15.4%
1
6.6%
1
6.2%
1
11.0%
1
1.8%
0
3.3%
0
2.6%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
22.7%
2
47.6%
50,001­
100,000
15.4%
0
6.6%
0
6.2%
0
11.0%
0
1.8%
0
3.3%
0
2.6%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
22.7%
0
47.6%
100,001­
1
Million
15.4%
0
6.6%
0
6.2%
0
11.0%
0
1.8%
0
3.3%
0
2.6%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
22.7%
0
47.6%
>
1
Million
15.4%
0
6.6%
0
6.2%
0
11.0%
0
1.8%
0
3.3%
0
2.6%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
22.7%
0
47.6%
Total
%,
Plants
36.1%
293
1.9%
15
1.3%
10
7.3%
59
9.5%
77
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
3.6%
29
1.9%
15
2.3%
19
50.0%
406
63.9%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
A,
A.
34a
for
systems
serving
up
to
100
people,
A.
34b
for
systems
serving
101
to
1,000
people,
A.
34c
for
systems
serving
1,001
to
10,000
people,
and
Exhibit
A.
22c
for
systems
serving
>
10,000
people.
Total
Adding
Technology
Membranes
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Exhibit
C.
29a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
CWS
Surface
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
2
Exhibit
C.
29b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
NTNCWS
Surface
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
33
July
2003
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Conv.
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Tech.
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A
+
C
+
E
+
G
+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
4.8%
374
0.0%
0
1.5%
114
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
38
1.0%
80
0.4%
31
0.5%
41
7.8%
609
8.7%
101­
500
4.0%
631
0.0%
0
1.5%
234
0.1%
22
0.4%
67
0.2%
26
0.6%
88
0.1%
18
0.5%
73
7.0%
1,093
7.4%
501­
1,000
4.0%
246
0.0%
0
1.5%
91
0.1%
9
0.4%
26
0.2%
10
0.6%
34
0.1%
7
0.5%
28
7.0%
426
7.4%
1,001
­
3,300
3.1%
243
0.0%
0
1.3%
103
0.2%
18
0.7%
55
0.0%
0
0.1%
7
0.0%
3
0.4%
30
5.6%
438
5.8%
3,301­
10,000
3.1%
153
0.0%
0
1.3%
65
0.2%
12
0.7%
35
0.0%
0
0.1%
4
0.0%
2
0.4%
19
5.6%
276
5.8%
10,001­
50,000
4.3%
231
0.2%
9
1.3%
71
0.0%
0
0.3%
14
0.2%
11
0.6%
33
6.5%
349
6.9%
50,001­
100,000
4.3%
32
0.2%
1
1.3%
10
0.0%
0
0.3%
2
0.2%
2
0.6%
5
6.5%
48
6.9%
100,001­
1
Million
3.8%
33
0.2%
1
1.1%
10
0.0%
0
0.2%
2
0.2%
2
0.5%
5
5.7%
50
6.0%
>
1
Million
3.8%
1
0.2%
0
1.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.2%
0
0.5%
0
5.7%
1
6.0%
Total
%,
Plants
3.9%
1,945
0.0%
0
1.2%
607
0.1%
73
0.6%
274
0.1%
74
0.5%
231
0.2%
76
0.5%
233
6.6%
3,291
7.1%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
B,
Exhibit
B.
21
for
systems
serving
less
than
10,000
people,
Exhibit
B.
15b
for
systems
serving
10,001
to
100,000
people,
and
Exhibit
B.
15a
for
systems
serving
greater
than
100,000
people.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Conv.
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Tech.
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A
+
C
+
E
+
G
+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
4.8%
176
0.0%
0
1.5%
54
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
18
1.0%
38
0.4%
15
0.5%
19
7.8%
287
8.7%
101­
500
4.0%
105
0.0%
0
1.5%
39
0.1%
4
0.4%
11
0.2%
4
0.6%
15
0.1%
3
0.5%
12
7.0%
182
7.4%
501­
1,000
4.0%
29
0.0%
0
1.5%
11
0.1%
1
0.4%
3
0.2%
1
0.6%
4
0.1%
1
0.5%
3
7.0%
50
7.4%
1,001
­
3,300
3.1%
8
0.0%
0
1.3%
3
0.2%
1
0.7%
2
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
1
5.6%
15
5.8%
3,301­
10,000
3.1%
1
0.0%
0
1.3%
0
0.2%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
5.6%
2
5.8%
10,001­
50,000
4.3%
0
0.2%
0
1.3%
0
0.0%
0
0.3%
0
0.2%
0
0.6%
0
6.5%
0
6.9%
50,001­
100,000
4.3%
0
0.2%
0
1.3%
0
0.0%
0
0.3%
0
0.2%
0
0.6%
0
6.5%
0
6.9%
100,001­
1
Million
3.8%
0
0.2%
0
1.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.2%
0
0.5%
0
5.7%
0
6.0%
>
1
Million
3.8%
0
0.2%
0
1.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.2%
0
0.5%
0
5.7%
0
6.0%
Total
%,
Plants
4.4%
320
0.0%
0
1.5%
107
0.1%
5
0.2%
16
0.3%
23
0.8%
57
0.3%
19
0.5%
36
7.3%
536
8.0%
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Percent
of
plants
from
Appendix
B,
Exhibit
B.
21
for
systems
serving
less
than
10,000
people,
Exhibit
B.
15b
for
systems
serving
10,001
to
100,000
people,
and
Exhibit
B.
15a
for
systems
serving
greater
than
100,000
people.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
Exhibit
C.
30a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
CWS
Ground
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
2
Exhibit
C.
30b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
for
NTNCWS
Ground
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
34
July
2003
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
1.7%
8
1.8%
8
0.2%
1
0.5%
2
1.6%
7
0.0%
0
4.5%
21
5.8%
27
101­
500
2.0%
16
0.0%
0
0.9%
7
0.0%
0
1.0%
8
0.8%
6
1.1%
9
0.2%
1
5.5%
44
5.9%
47
501­
1,000
2.0%
10
0.0%
0
0.9%
4
0.0%
0
1.0%
5
0.8%
4
1.1%
6
0.2%
1
5.5%
28
5.9%
30
1,001
­
3,300
2.9%
32
0.0%
1
1.0%
11
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.1%
12
1.1%
12
0.0%
0
6.1%
67
6.1%
67
3,301­
10,000
2.9%
35
0.0%
1
1.0%
12
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.1%
13
1.1%
13
0.0%
0
6.1%
73
6.1%
74
10,001­
50,000
4.5%
58
1.5%
19
6.2%
80
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
19
1.5%
19
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
8.8%
113
15.1%
194
50,001­
100,000
4.5%
24
1.5%
8
6.2%
34
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
8
1.5%
8
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
8.8%
47
15.1%
81
100,001­
1
Million
4.5%
26
1.5%
8
6.2%
36
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
8
1.5%
8
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
8.8%
50
15.1%
86
>
1
Million
4.5%
3
1.5%
1
6.2%
5
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
1
1.5%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
8.8%
6
15.1%
11
Total
%,
Plants
3.2%
211
0.6%
37
3.0%
196
0.0%
0
0.2%
14
0.6%
36
0.6%
36
0.6%
38
0.7%
47
0.0%
2
6.9%
450
9.4%
618
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Technology
Selection
for
the
Stage
2
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
minus
the
Stage
1
Technology
Selection
from
Appendix
C,
Exhibit
C.
1a.
Total
Adding
Technology
Total
Converting
to
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Membranes
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
GAC20
GAC20
+
Advanced
Disinfectants
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
A:
J)
£
100
1.7%
5
1.8%
5
0.2%
1
0.5%
2
1.6%
5
0.0%
0
4.5%
14
5.8%
17
101­
500
2.0%
6
0.0%
0
0.9%
3
0.0%
0
1.0%
3
0.8%
2
1.1%
3
0.2%
0
5.5%
16
5.9%
18
501­
1,000
2.0%
2
0.0%
0
0.9%
1
0.0%
0
1.0%
1
0.8%
1
1.1%
1
0.2%
0
5.5%
6
5.9%
6
1,001
­
3,300
2.9%
2
0.0%
0
1.0%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.1%
1
1.1%
1
0.0%
0
6.1%
4
6.1%
4
3,301­
10,000
2.9%
1
0.0%
0
1.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.1%
0
1.1%
0
0.0%
0
6.1%
1
6.1%
1
10,001­
50,000
4.5%
0
1.5%
0
6.2%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
0
1.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
8.8%
1
15.1%
1
50,001­
100,000
4.5%
0
1.5%
0
6.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
0
1.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
8.8%
0
15.1%
0
100,001­
1
Million
4.5%
0
1.5%
0
6.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
0
1.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
8.8%
0
15.1%
0
>
1
Million
4.5%
0
1.5%
0
6.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
1.5%
0
1.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
8.8%
0
15.1%
0
Total
%,
Plants
2.0%
16
0.0%
0
1.3%
10
0.0%
0
0.6%
5
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.7%
6
1.3%
10
0.1%
1
5.2%
43
6.0%
49
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Technology
Selection
for
the
Stage
2
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
minus
the
Stage
1
Technology
Selection
from
Appendix
C,
Exhibit
C.
1b.
Total
Adding
Technology
Total
Converting
to
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Converting
to
CLM
Only
Advanced
Technologies
Membranes
Exhibit
C.
31a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
Deltas
for
CWS
Surface
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
2
Exhibit
C.
31b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
Deltas
for
NTNCWS
Surface
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
35
July
2003
CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Technology
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A+
C+
E+
G+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
2.0%
152
0.0%
0
1.5%
114
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
38
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
3.4%
266
3.9%
304
101­
500
1.5%
243
0.0%
0
1.5%
234
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
26
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
3.0%
477
3.2%
503
501­
1,000
1.5%
95
0.0%
0
1.5%
91
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
10
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
3.0%
186
3.2%
196
1,001
­
3,300
1.1%
83
0.0%
0
1.3%
103
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
3
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.4%
190
2.4%
190
3,301­
10,000
1.1%
52
0.0%
0
1.3%
65
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
2
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.4%
120
2.4%
120
10,001­
50,000
2.4%
130
0.1%
5
0.5%
28
0.0%
0
0.2%
11
0.1%
4
0.4%
19
3.5%
189
3.7%
198
50,001­
100,000
2.4%
18
0.1%
1
0.5%
4
0.0%
0
0.2%
2
0.1%
1
0.4%
3
3.5%
26
3.7%
27
100,001­
1
Million
2.2%
19
0.1%
1
0.5%
4
0.0%
0
0.2%
2
0.1%
1
0.3%
3
3.1%
27
3.3%
29
>
1
Million
2.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.3%
0
3.1%
1
3.3%
1
Total
%,
Plants
1.60%
792
0.00%
0
1.23%
607
0.01%
7
0.07%
36
0.15%
74
0.04%
20
0.01%
5
0.05%
25
3.0%
1,481
3.2%
1,567
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Technology
Selection
for
the
Stage
2
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
minus
the
Stage
1
Technology
Selection
from
Appendix
C,
Exhibit
C.
2a.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)

CLM
Only
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
Total
Converting
to
CLM
Total
Adding
Technology
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
=
A+
C+
E+
G+
I
K
=
SUM(
A:
I)
£
100
2.0%
72
0.0%
0
1.5%
54
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
18
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
3.4%
126
3.9%
143
101­
500
1.5%
41
0.0%
0
1.5%
39
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
4
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
3.0%
80
3.2%
84
501­
1,000
1.5%
11
0.0%
0
1.5%
11
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
3.0%
22
3.2%
23
1,001
­
3,300
1.1%
3
0.0%
0
1.3%
3
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.4%
6
2.4%
6
3,301­
10,000
1.1%
0
0.0%
0
1.3%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
2.4%
1
2.4%
1
10,001­
50,000
2.4%
0
0.1%
0
0.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.4%
0
3.5%
0
3.7%
0
50,001­
100,000
2.4%
0
0.1%
0
0.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.4%
0
3.5%
0
3.7%
0
100,001­
1
Million
2.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.3%
0
3.1%
0
3.3%
0
>
1
Million
2.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.3%
0
3.1%
0
3.3%
0
Total
%,
Plants
1.73%
127
0.00%
0
1.47%
107
0.00%
0
0.00%
0
0.32%
23
0.00%
0
0.00%
0
0.00%
0
3.2%
234
3.5%
258
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
Technology
Selection
for
the
Stage
2
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
minus
the
Stage
1
Technology
Selection
from
Appendix
C,
Exhibit
C.
2b.
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Exhibit
C.
32a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
Deltas
for
CWS
Ground
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
2
Exhibit
C.
32b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technology
Selection
Deltas
for
NTNCWS
Ground
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
36
July
2003
NO
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
1
WITH
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGY
(
with
CL2
or
CLM)

CL2
CLM
TOTAL
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
AD
GAC20
GAC20
+
AD
Membranes
TOTAL
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
=
SUM(
D:
L)
N
£
100
37.2%
175
32.2%
151
69.3%
326
1.8%
8
18.9%
89
4.3%
20
1.6%
7
4.1%
19
30.7%
144
44.1%
207
101­
500
29.8%
238
37.6%
300
67.3%
538
2.4%
19
0.9%
7
11.9%
95
10.9%
87
3.1%
25
2.0%
16
1.4%
11
32.7%
261
52.9%
423
501­
1,000
29.8%
150
37.6%
190
67.3%
340
2.4%
12
0.9%
4
11.9%
60
10.9%
55
3.1%
16
2.0%
10
1.4%
7
32.7%
165
52.9%
267
1,001
­
3,300
27.5%
303
44.3%
489
71.8%
792
5.1%
57
1.0%
11
10.1%
111
5.4%
60
3.7%
40
2.2%
24
0.7%
8
28.2%
311
58.8%
649
3,301­
10,000
27.5%
333
44.3%
538
71.8%
870
5.1%
62
1.0%
12
10.1%
122
5.4%
66
3.7%
44
2.2%
27
0.7%
9
28.2%
342
58.8%
713
10,001­
50,000
22.6%
291
40.7%
524
63.4%
815
8.4%
108
6.2%
80
12.8%
165
1.8%
24
3.7%
47
2.6%
33
0.4%
5
0.0%
0
0.7%
9
36.6%
472
56.8%
731
50,001­
100,000
22.6%
122
40.7%
219
63.4%
341
8.4%
45
6.2%
34
12.8%
69
1.8%
10
3.7%
20
2.6%
14
0.4%
2
0.0%
0
0.7%
4
36.6%
197
56.8%
305
100,001­
1
Million
22.6%
130
40.7%
233
63.4%
363
8.4%
48
6.2%
36
12.8%
73
1.8%
10
3.7%
21
2.6%
15
0.4%
2
0.0%
0
0.7%
4
36.6%
210
56.8%
325
>
1
Million
22.6%
17
40.7%
30
63.4%
47
8.4%
6
6.2%
5
12.8%
9
1.8%
1
3.7%
3
2.6%
2
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.7%
1
36.6%
27
56.8%
42
Total
%,
Plants
26.8%
1,758
40.8%
2,674
67.6%
4,432
5.5%
358
3.0%
196
10.7%
705
6.1%
402
1.4%
91
1.0%
63
2.4%
155
1.3%
85
1.1%
73
32.4%
2,129
55.8%
3,662
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
1No
advanced
technologies
includes
conventional,
non­
conventional,
and
softening
plants.
Source:
Surface
water
systems
serving
10,000
people
or
less:
Add
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline
(
Exhibit
3.17)
to
the
Technology
Selection
Delta
for
the
Stage
2
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2.
TOTAL
USING
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)

NO
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
1
WITH
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGY
(
with
CL2
or
CLM)

CL2
CLM
TOTAL
Chlorine
Dioxide
UV
Ozone
MF/
UF
GAC10
GAC10
+
AD
GAC20
GAC20
+
AD
Membranes
TOTAL
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
=
SUM(
D:
L)
N
£
100
37.2%
111
32.2%
96
69.3%
207
1.8%
5
18.9%
56
4.3%
13
1.6%
5
4.1%
12
30.7%
91
44.1%
131
101­
500
29.8%
90
37.6%
113
67.3%
203
2.4%
7
0.9%
3
11.9%
36
10.9%
33
3.1%
9
2.0%
6
1.4%
4
32.7%
98
52.9%
159
501­
1,000
29.8%
32
37.6%
41
67.3%
73
2.4%
3
0.9%
1
11.9%
13
10.9%
12
3.1%
3
2.0%
2
1.4%
2
32.7%
35
52.9%
57
1,001
­
3,300
27.5%
20
44.3%
32
71.8%
52
5.1%
4
1.0%
1
10.1%
7
5.4%
4
3.7%
3
2.2%
2
0.7%
1
28.2%
20
58.8%
42
3,301­
10,000
27.5%
6
44.3%
10
71.8%
17
5.1%
1
1.0%
0
10.1%
2
5.4%
1
3.7%
1
2.2%
1
0.7%
0
28.2%
6
58.8%
14
10,001­
50,000
22.6%
2
40.7%
4
63.4%
6
8.4%
1
6.2%
1
12.8%
1
1.8%
0
3.7%
0
2.6%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.7%
0
36.6%
3
56.8%
5
50,001­
100,000
22.6%
0
40.7%
0
63.4%
1
8.4%
0
6.2%
0
12.8%
0
1.8%
0
3.7%
0
2.6%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.7%
0
36.6%
0
56.8%
1
100,001­
1
Million
22.6%
0
40.7%
0
63.4%
1
8.4%
0
6.2%
0
12.8%
0
1.8%
0
3.7%
0
2.6%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.7%
0
36.6%
0
56.8%
1
>
1
Million
22.6%
0
40.7%
0
63.4%
0
8.4%
0
6.2%
0
12.8%
0
1.8%
0
3.7%
0
2.6%
0
0.4%
0
0.0%
0
0.7%
0
36.6%
0
56.8%
0
Total
%,
Plants
32.1%
261
36.4%
296
68.5%
557
1.9%
15
1.3%
10
7.3%
60
13.1%
106
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
3.6%
29
1.9%
15
2.3%
19
31.5%
256
50.4%
410
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
1
No
advanced
technologies
includes
conventional,
non­
conventional,
and
softening
plants.
Source:
Surface
water
systems
serving
10,000
people
or
less:
Add
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline
(
Exhibit
3.17)
to
the
Technology
Selection
Delta
for
the
Stage
2
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2.
TOTAL
USING
CLM
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Exhibit
C.
33a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
CWS
Surface
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
2
Exhibit
C.
33b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
NTCWS
Surface
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
C­
37
July
2003
NO
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
1
WITH
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
CL2
CLM
TOTAL
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
TOTAL
A
B
C
=
A+
B
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
D:
K)
M
=
B+
E+
G+
I+
K
£
100
91.3%
7,093
4.8%
374
96.1%
7,467
0.0%
0
1.5%
114
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
38
1.0%
80
0.4%
31
0.5%
41
3.9%
305
7.8%
609
101­
500
92.6%
14,565
4.0%
631
96.6%
15,197
0.0%
0
1.5%
234
0.1%
22
0.4%
67
0.2%
26
0.6%
88
0.1%
18
0.5%
73
3.4%
528
7.0%
1,093
501­
1,000
92.6%
5,681
4.0%
246
5,927
0.0%
0
1.5%
91
0.1%
9
0.4%
26
0.2%
10
0.6%
34
0.1%
7
0.5%
28
3.4%
206
7.0%
426
1,001
­
3,300
94.2%
7,431
3.1%
243
97.3%
7,674
0.0%
0
1.3%
103
0.2%
18
0.7%
55
0.0%
0
0.1%
7
0.0%
3
0.4%
30
2.7%
217
5.6%
438
3,301­
10,000
94.2%
4,685
3.1%
153
4,839
0.0%
0
1.3%
65
0.2%
12
0.7%
35
0.0%
0
0.1%
4
0.0%
2
0.4%
19
2.7%
137
5.6%
276
10,001­
50,000
85.4%
4,585
9.7%
520
95.1%
5,105
0.9%
51
1.3%
71
0.0%
0
0.3%
14
1.7%
94
0.6%
33
4.9%
262
11.9%
638
50,001­
100,000
85.4%
631
9.7%
72
702
0.9%
7
1.3%
10
0.0%
0
0.3%
2
1.7%
13
0.6%
5
4.9%
36
11.9%
88
100,001­
1
Million
86.3%
755
9.1%
80
95.5%
835
0.9%
8
1.1%
10
0.0%
0
0.2%
2
1.7%
15
0.5%
5
4.5%
40
11.1%
97
>
1
Million
86.3%
16
9.1%
2
17
0.9%
0
1.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
1.7%
0
0.5%
0
4.5%
1
11.1%
2
Total
%,
Plants
91.8%
45,443
4.7%
2,321
96.5%
47,764
0.0%
0
1.2%
607
0.3%
127
0.6%
274
0.1%
74
0.5%
231
0.4%
183
0.5%
233
3.5%
1,730
7.4%
3,667
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
1
No
advanced
technologies
includes
conventional,
non­
conventional,
and
softening
plants.
Source:
Add
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline
(
Exhibit
3.18)
to
the
Technology
Selection
Delta
for
the
Stage
2
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2.
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
TOTAL
USING
CLM
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
NO
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
1
WITH
ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGIES
CL2
CLM
TOTAL
UV
CL2
UV
CLM
Ozone
CL2
Ozone
CLM
GAC20
CL2
GAC20
CLM
TOTAL
A
B
C
=
A+
B
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
=
SUM(
D:
K)
M
=
B+
E+
G+
I+
K
£
100
91.3%
3,342
4.8%
176
96.1%
3,519
0.0%
0
1.5%
54
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
18
1.0%
38
0.4%
15
0.5%
19
3.9%
144
7.8%
287
101­
500
92.6%
2,431
4.0%
105
96.6%
2,536
0.0%
0
1.5%
39
0.1%
4
0.4%
11
0.2%
4
0.6%
15
0.1%
3
0.5%
12
3.4%
88
7.0%
182
501­
1,000
92.6%
664
4.0%
29
693
0.0%
0
1.5%
11
0.1%
1
0.4%
3
0.2%
1
0.6%
4
0.1%
1
0.5%
3
3.4%
24
7.0%
50
1,001
­
3,300
94.2%
251
3.1%
8
97.3%
259
0.0%
0
1.3%
3
0.2%
1
0.7%
2
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
1
2.7%
7
5.6%
15
3,301­
10,000
94.2%
26
3.1%
1
27
0.0%
0
1.3%
0
0.2%
0
0.7%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
0
2.7%
1
5.6%
2
10,001­
50,000
85.4%
4
9.7%
0
95.1%
4
0.9%
0
1.3%
0
0.0%
0
0.3%
0
1.7%
0
0.6%
0
4.9%
0
11.9%
1
50,001­
100,000
85.4%
0
9.7%
0
0
0.9%
0
1.3%
0
0.0%
0
0.3%
0
1.7%
0
0.6%
0
4.9%
0
11.9%
0
100,001­
1
Million
86.3%
1
9.1%
0
95.5%
1
0.9%
0
1.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
1.7%
0
0.5%
0
4.5%
0
11.1%
0
>
1
Million
86.3%
0
9.1%
0
0
0.9%
0
1.1%
0
0.0%
0
0.2%
0
1.7%
0
0.5%
0
4.5%
0
11.1%
0
Total
%,
Plants
92.0%
6,719
4.4%
320
96.4%
7,039
0.0%
0
1.5%
107
0.1%
5
0.2%
16
0.3%
23
0.8%
57
0.3%
19
0.5%
36
3.6%
264
7.3%
536
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding
1
No
advanced
technologies
includes
conventional,
non­
conventional,
and
softening
plants.
Source:
Add
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline
(
Exhibit
3.18)
to
the
Technology
Selection
Delta
for
the
Stage
2
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2.
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
TOTAL
USING
CLM
Membranes
CL2
Membranes
CLM
Exhibit
C.
34a
Stage
2
DBPR
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
CWS
Ground
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
2
Exhibit
C.
34b
Stage
2
DBPR
Technologies­
in­
Place
for
NTNCWS
Ground
Water
Plants
IDSE
No.
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
D­
1
July
2003
Appendix
D
Rule
Activity
Schedule
This
appendix
presents
the
year­
by­
year
schedules
for
systems
for
the
following
rule
activities:
capital
and
Operations
and
Maintenance
(
O&
M)
treatment
costs
(
Exhibits
D.
1
and
D.
2),
implementation
(
Exhibit
D.
3),
Initial
Distribution
System
Evaluation
(
IDSE)
activities
(
Exhibit
D.
4),
annual
routine
monitoring
(
Exhibit
D.
5),
and
significant
excursion
evaluations
(
Exhibit
D.
6).
Schedules
for
State/
Primacy
Agency
activities
are
in
Exhibit
D.
7.
These
schedules
are
based
on
the
Stage
2
implementation
timeline
as
presented
in
the
Executive
Summary
(
Chapter
1).
When
systems
and
States
had
several
years
within
which
to
complete
a
rule
activity,
the
Environmental
Protection
Agency
(
EPA)
assumed
that
the
same
proportion
of
systems
would
perform
the
activity
in
each
year.
EPA
recognizes
that
more
systems
may
start
in
early
or
later
years,
but
believes
that
a
uniform
schedule
is
still
a
reasonable
approximation
nationally.

The
implementation
and
IDSE
schedules
for
small
surface
water
systems
are
adjusted
to
account
for
the
consecutive
systems
that
are
on
the
large
system
schedule.
Based
on
analysis
in
the
Model
System
Report
(
Appendix
A)
(
USEPA
2000c),
approximately
50
percent
of
small
Category
A
consecutive
systems
serving
fewer
than
10,000
people
purchase
from
a
large
system
serving
more
than
10,000
people.
All
Alternatives
Small
CWSs
Large
CWSs
Small
NTNCWSs
Large
NTNCWSs
Small
CWSs
Large
CWSs
Small
NTNCWSs
Large
NTNCWSs
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2005
11%
17%
11%
17%
11%
17%
11%
17%
2006
11%
17%
11%
17%
11%
17%
11%
17%
2007
11%
17%
11%
17%
11%
17%
11%
17%
2008
11%
17%
11%
17%
11%
17%
11%
17%
2009
11%
17%
11%
17%
11%
17%
11%
17%
2010
11%
17%
11%
17%
11%
17%
11%
17%
2011
11%
­
11%
­
11%
­
11%
­
2012
11%
­
11%
­
11%
­
11%
­
2013
11%
­
11%
­
11%
­
11%
­
2014
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2015
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2016
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2017
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2018
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2019
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2020
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2021
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2022
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2023
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2024
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2025
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2026
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2027
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

Source:
Derived
from
rule
implementation
schedule.
Exhibit
D.
1
Schedule
for
Capital
Costs
Year
Surface
Water
Systems
Ground
Water
Systems
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
July
2003
All
Alternatives
Small
CWSs
Large
CWSs
Small
NTNCWSs
Large
NTNCWSs
Small
CWSs
Large
CWSs
Small
NTNCWSs
Large
NTNCWSs
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2005
11%
17%
11%
17%
11%
17%
11%
17%
2006
22%
33%
22%
33%
22%
33%
22%
33%
2007
33%
50%
33%
50%
33%
50%
33%
50%
2008
44%
67%
44%
67%
44%
67%
44%
67%
2009
56%
83%
56%
83%
56%
83%
56%
83%
2010
67%
100%
67%
100%
67%
100%
67%
100%
2011
78%
100%
78%
100%
78%
100%
78%
100%
2012
89%
100%
89%
100%
89%
100%
89%
100%
2013
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2014
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2015
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2016
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2017
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2018
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2019
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2020
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2021
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2022
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2023
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2024
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2025
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2026
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2027
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%

Source:
Derived
from
rule
implementation
schedule.
Exhibit
D.
2
Schedule
for
O&
M
Costs
Year
Surface
Water
Systems
Ground
Water
Systems
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
July
2003
All
Alternatives
Small
CWSs
Large
CWSs
Small
NTNCWSs
Large
NTNCWSs
Small
CWSs
Large
CWSs
Small
NTNCWSs
Large
NTNCWSs
2003
38%
50%
14%
50%
­
50%
­
50%
2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2005
12%
­
36%
­
50%
­
50%
­
2006
38%
50%
14%
50%
­
50%
­
50%
2007
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2008
12%
­
36%
­
50%
­
50%
­
2009
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2010
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2011
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2012
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2013
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2014
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2015
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2016
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2017
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2018
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2019
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2020
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2021
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2022
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2023
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2024
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2025
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2026
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2027
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

Source:
Derived
from
rule
implementation
schedule.

The
schedule
for
small
surface
water
systems
has
been
adjusted
to
account
for
small
100%
purchasing
systems
that
purchase
water
from
a
large
system
and
are,
thus,
on
the
large
surface
water
system
schedule
for
implementation
and
IDSE
activities.
Based
on
analysis
of
SDWIS
data
in
Appendix
B
of
the
Model
Systems
Report
(
USEPA,
2000C),
EPA
estimates
that
50%
of
small
100%
purchasing
surface
water
systems
buy
from
large
systems.
The
percent
of
100%
purchasing
systems
in
the
small
surface
water
system
category
are
derived
from
the
Non­
treatment
Baseline
(
Stage
2
Non­
Treatment
Model.
xls).
Ground
Water
Systems
Exhibit
D.
3
Schedule
for
PWS
Implementation
Costs
Year
Surface
Water
Systems
The
schedule
for
all
systems
assumes
that
they
will
incur
half
of
implementation
costs
as
they
prepare
for
the
IDSE
and
the
other
half
as
they
prepare
for
compliance
with
the
Stage
2A
requirements.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
July
2003
All
Alternatives
Small
CWSs
Large
CWSs
Small
NTNCWSs
Large
NTNCWSs
Small
CWSs
Large
CWSs
Small
NTNCWSs
Large
NTNCWSs
2003
38%
50%
14%
50%
­
50%
­
50%
2004
38%
50%
14%
50%
­
50%
­
50%
2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2006
24%
­
73%
­
100%
­
100%
­
2007
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2008
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2009
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2010
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2011
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2012
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2013
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2014
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2015
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2016
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2017
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2018
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2019
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2020
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2021
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2022
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2023
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2024
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2025
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2026
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2027
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

Source:
Derived
from
rule
implementation
schedule.
Exhibit
D.
4
Schedule
for
PWS
IDSE
Costs
Year
Surface
Water
Systems
The
schedule
for
small
surface
water
systems
has
been
adjusted
to
account
for
small
100%
purchasing
systems
that
purchase
water
from
a
large
system
and
are,
thus,
on
the
large
surface
water
system
schedule
for
implementation
and
IDSE
activities.
Based
on
analysis
of
SDWIS
data
in
Appendix
B
of
the
Model
Systems
Report
(
USEPA,
2000C),
EPA
estimates
that
50%
of
small
100%
purchasing
surface
water
systems
buy
from
large
systems.
The
percent
of
100%
purchasing
systems
in
the
small
surface
water
system
category
are
derived
from
the
Non­
treatment
Baseline
(
Stage
2
Non­
Treatment
Model.
xls).
Ground
Water
Systems
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
July
2003
All
Alternatives
Small
CWSs
Large
CWSs
Small
NTNCWSs
Large
NTNCWSs
Small
CWSs
Large
CWSs
Small
NTNCWSs
Large
NTNCWSs
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2006
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2007
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2008
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2009
­
50%
­
50%
­
50%
­
50%
2010
50%
100%
50%
100%
50%
100%
50%
100%
2011
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2012
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2013
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2014
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2015
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2016
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2017
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2018
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2019
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2020
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2021
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2022
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2023
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2024
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2025
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2026
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2027
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%

Source:
Derived
from
rule
implementation
schedule.
Ground
Water
Systems
Exhibit
D.
5
Schedule
for
Annual
Routine
Monitoring
Costs
Year
Surface
Water
Systems
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
July
2003
All
Alternatives
Small
CWSs
Large
CWSs
Small
NTNCWSs
Large
NTNCWSs
Small
CWSs
Large
CWSs
Small
NTNCWSs
Large
NTNCWSs
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2006
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2007
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2008
­
50%
­
50%
­
50%
­
50%
2009
50%
100%
50%
100%
50%
100%
50%
100%
2010
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2011
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2012
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2013
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2014
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2015
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2016
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2017
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2018
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2019
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2020
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2021
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2022
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2023
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2024
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2025
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2026
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2027
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%

Source:
Derived
from
rule
implementation
schedule.
Ground
Water
Systems
Exhibit
D.
6
Schedule
for
Annual
PWS
Significant
Excursion
Evaluation
Costs
Year
Surface
Water
Systems
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
July
2003
All
Alternatives
Year
Implementation
Costs
IDSE
Costs
Compliance
Monitoring
Costs
2003
50%
10%
100%
2004
50%
14%
100%
2005
­
4%
100%
2006
­
73%
100%
2007
­
­
100%
2008
­
­
100%
2009
­
­
100%
2010
­
­
100%
2011
­
­
100%
2012
­
­
100%
2013
­
­
100%
2014
­
­
100%
2015
­
­
100%
2016
­
­
100%
2017
­
­
100%
2018
­
­
100%
2019
­
­
100%
2020
­
­
100%
2021
­
­
100%
2022
­
­
100%
2023
­
­
100%
2024
­
­
100%
2025
­
­
100%
2026
­
­
100%
2027
­
­
100%

Source:
Derived
from
rule
implementation
schedule.
Exhibit
D.
7
Schedule
for
State/
Primacy
Agency
Costs
State
implementation
will
occur
in
years
1
and
2
as
states
prepare
their
primacy
packages.

State
IDSE
activities
will
lag
6
months
behind
large
system
IDSE
progress
and
be
concurrent
with
IDSE
work
by
small
systems.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
July
2003
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
1
July
2003
Appendix
E
Annual
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
as
a
Result
of
the
Stage
2
DBPR
E.
1
Introduction
This
appendix
presents
the
assumptions
and
detailed
calculations
used
to
estimate
reductions
in
the
number
of
bladder
cancer
cases
as
a
result
of
the
Stage
2
Disinfectants
and
Disinfection
Byproducts
Rule
(
DBPR),
and
supports
the
discussion
related
to
average
exposure
reduction
in
Chapter
5.
The
remainder
of
this
Appendix
is
organized
as
follows:

°
Section
E.
2
explains
the
derivation
of
Population
Attributable
Risk
(
PAR)
of
bladder
cancer
to
DBPs
and
estimates
the
pre­
Stage
1
occurrence
of
bladder
cancer
cases
attributable
to
DBPs.

°
Section
E.
3
summarizes
the
observed
pre­
Stage
1
disinfection
byproduct
(
DBP)
occurrence
data
and
predicts
the
reduction
in
total
trihalomethane
(
TTHM)
and
haloacetic
acid
(
HAA5)
concentrations
from
pre­
Stage
1
to
pre­
Stage
2
and
for
pre­
Stage
2
to
post­
Stage
2
conditions
for
all
regulatory
alternatives.

°
Section
E.
4
presents
the
predicted
reduction
in
cases
as
a
result
of
the
Stage
1
DBPR,
the
estimated
cases
remaining
for
the
pre­
Stage
2
baseline,
and
the
steady­
state
estimated
number
of
bladder
cancer
cases
avoided
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
regulatory
alternatives.

°
Section
E.
5
shows
the
adjustment
to
the
steady­
state
number
of
cancer
cases
avoided
to
account
for
cessation
lag
and
rule
implementation
schedule.

°
Section
E.
6
presents
the
final
results
(
annual
bladder
cancer
cases
avoided,
adjusted
for
cessation
lag)
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Preferred
Regulatory
Alternative,
all
other
regulatory
alternatives,
and
sensitivity
analyses.

All
data
in
this
appendix
derive
from
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Benefits
Model
(
USEPA
2003i).

E.
2
Derivation
of
the
Fraction
of
Pre­
Stage
1
Cancer
Cases
Attributable
to
DBPs
The
quantified
benefits
of
the
Stage
2
DBPR
are
based
on
the
estimated
reduction
in
the
incidence
of
bladder
cancer
cases
among
people
in
the
United
States
population
who
use
chlorinated
drinking
water.

A
key
input
for
deriving
these
benefits
is
the
estimated
number
of
bladder
cancer
cases
that
can
be
attributed
to
using
chlorinated
drinking
water
in
the
absence
of
the
DBP
regulations.
These
estimates
are
derived
from
several
epidemiological
studies
that
were
conducted
in
the
1980s
and
1990s.
Because
those
studies
were
conducted
prior
to
the
implementation
of
the
Stage
1
DBPR,
they
reflect
pre­
Stage
1
DBPR
exposure
conditions.
Consequently,
the
derivation
of
the
benefits
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
requires
a
multi­
step
process
that
accounts
for
reductions
in
bladder
cancer
incidence
estimates
due
to
the
Stage
1
DBPR
and
furhter
reductions
due
to
Stage
2.
In
summary,
the
steps
are:
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
2
July
2003
°
Estimate
the
pre­
Stage
1
bladder
cancer
cases
attributable
to
DBPs
from
epidemiological
data.

°
Estimate
the
reduction
in
pre­
Stage
1
bladder
cancer
cases
expected
from
the
Stage
1
DBPR.

°
Determine
the
remaining
(
pre­
Stage
2)
bladder
cancer
cases
attributable
to
DBPs.

°
Estimate
the
reduction
in
those
remaining
pre­
Stage
2
bladder
cancer
cases
expected
from
the
Stage
2
DBPR.

This
section
of
Appendix
E
focuses
on
the
first
step
in
that
process:
The
derivation
of
the
fraction
of
pre­
Stage
1
bladder
cancer
cases
that
are
attributable
to
DBPs.
Section
E.
2.1
provides
a
general
discussion
of
how
epidemiological
studies
are
used
to
determine
the
cases
of
a
disease
that
can
be
attributed
to
a
specific
risk
factor.
Mock
data
based
on
bladder
cancer
attributable
to
DBPs
are
used
for
example
calculations
in
Section
E.
2.1.
Section
E.
2.2
provides
details
on
the
specific
epidemiological
data
that
EPA
has
used
to
estimate
the
pre­
Stage
1
incidence
of
bladder
cancer
cases
attributable
to
DBP.
Section
E.
2.2
also
addresses
uncertainties
and
limitations
associated
with
those
data.
Section
E.
2.3
presents
the
estimated
pre­
Stage
1
cancer
incidence
derived
from
the
available
epidemiological
data
including
the
distribution
of
them
among
various
types
of
public
water
supples.
As
discussed
there,
these
estimates
are
presented
as
the
low­
and
high­
end
values
of
the
range
of
attributable
cases
suggested
by
the
data.

E.
2.1
General
Description
of
Population
Attributable
Risk
(
PAR)
Calculations
The
risk
assessment
methodology
used
to
estimate
the
number
of
cancer
cases
that
are
attributable
to
DBPs
in
chlorinated
drinking
water
involves
the
estimation
of
a
PAR
value.
PAR,
which
is
also
referred
to
frequently
and
perhaps
more
appropriately
as
Population
Attributable
Fraction
(
PAF),
is
a
measure
of
the
fraction
of
a
disease
that
occurs
in
the
population
that
is
attributable
to
some
specified
risk
factor.
By
extension,
it
also
implies
the
fraction
of
that
disease
which
would
be
eliminated
from
the
population
if
that
specified
risk
factor
were
eliminated.

For
example,
it
is
currently
estimated
that
there
are
56,500
new
cases
of
bladder
cancer
annually
(
American
Cancer
Society
2002).
As
discussed
in
this
Economic
Analysis
(
EA),
available
epidemiological
data
indicate
an
association
between
bladder
cancer
and
exposure
to
chlorinated
(
disinfected)
drinking
water.
PAR
in
this
case
would
be
the
fraction
of
those
56,500
annual
new
cases
of
bladder
cancer
occurring
in
the
entire
U.
S.
population
that
could
be
attributed
to
exposure
to
disinfected
drinking
water
(
i.
e.,
the
risk
factor).

For
the
purposes
of
illustrating
the
derivation
of
PAR
values,
suppose
that
the
distribution
of
the
bladder
cancer
cases
in
the
population
were
known
with
respect
to
those
who
are
exposed
to
disinfected
water
and
those
who
are
not.
Exhibit
E.
1
below
provides
a
"
mock"
example
of
such
a
distribution.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
3
July
2003
Exhibit
E.
1
Mock
Data
for
Example
Derivation
of
PAR
Cases
Non­
Cases
Totals
Risk
Exposed
to
DBPs
51,632
(
Ce)
254,426,956
(
Ne)
254,478,588
(
Te)
2.03x
10­
4
(
Re
=
Ce
/
Te)

Not
exposed
to
DBPs
4,868
(
Cu)
26,938,450
(
Ne)
26,943,318
(
Tu)
1.81
x
10­
4
(
Ru
=
Cu
/
Tu)

Totals
56,500
(
Ct)
281,365,406
(
Nt)
281,421,906
(
Tt)
2.01
x
10­
4
(
Rt
=
Ct
/
Tt)

Probability
of
Exposure
0.904
(
Pe/
t
=
Te
/
Tt)
Relative
Risk
(
RR)

1.123
(
RR
=
Re
/
Ru)

Probability
of
DBP
Exposure
for
Cases
0.914
(
Pe/
c
=
Ce
/
Ct)
Probability
of
DBP
Exposure
for
Non­
Cases
0.904
(
Pe/
n
=
Ne
/
Nt)

Odds
of
Cases
Being
Exposed
10.61
(
OC
=
Ce
/
Cu)
Odds
of
Non­
Cases
Being
Exposed
9.44
(
ON
=
Ne
/
Nu)

Odds
Ratio
(
OR)

1.123
(
OR
=
OC
/
ON)

Several
measures
in
Exhibit
E.
1
suggest
that
exposure
to
DBPs
is
a
risk
factor
for
cases
of
bladder
cancer.
For
example,
as
shown
in
the
last
column,
the
bladder
cancer
risk
for
exposed
individuals
(
2.03
x
10­
4)
is
higher
than
that
for
unexposed
individuals
(
1.81
x
10­
4).
This
is
further
shown
by
the
Relative
Risk
(
RR)
measure
of
1.123
for
exposed
to
unexposed
individuals.
RR
is
an
important
measure
in
evaluating
epidemiological
data.

Another
important
measure
used
in
evaluating
epidemiological
data
is
the
Odds
Ratio
(
OR).
The
odds
of
an
event
occurring
are
simply
the
ratio
of
the
number
of
events
to
the
number
of
non­
events.
So,
in
the
example
used
here
the
odds
of
a
case
being
exposed
is
10.61
(
51,632
/
4,868)
whereas
the
odds
of
a
non­
case
being
exposed
is
9.44
(
254,426,956
/
26,938,450).
The
OR
for
exposed
to
non­
exposed
cases
is
1.123.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
4
July
2003
It
is
important
to
note
that
the
identical
value
of
1.123
for
both
the
OR
and
RR
in
this
example
does
not
imply
that
they
are
identical
measures.
As
will
be
discussed
further
below,
RR
is
the
desired
measure
for
calculating
PAR
from
sample
data;
however,
an
OR
is
often
more
readily
obtained
from
available
studies
and
can
under
appropriate
conditions
be
used
as
an
approximation
of
RR.

One
other
measure
of
a
relationship
between
exposure
and
increased
incidence
shown
in
Exhibit
E.
1
is
that
the
probability
of
having
been
exposed
for
someone
who
has
bladder
cancer
(
0.914)
is
higher
than
the
probability
of
having
been
exposed
for
someone
who
does
not
(
0.904).

There
are
alternative
ways
to
calculate
PAR
using
various
measures
of
risk.
The
most
direct
method
would
be
to
calculate
PAR
from
the
difference
between
the
risk
in
the
entire
population
(
R
t)
and
the
risk
in
the
unexposed
population
(
R
u)
divided
by
the
total
risk:

PAR
=
Rt
­
Ru
=
2.01x10­
4
­
1.81x10­
4
=
0.10
=
10%
(
Equation
E.
1)
Rt
2.01x10­
4
That
is,
this
example
would
imply
that
10%
of
the
56,500
bladder
cancer
cases
are
due
to
exposure
to
DBPs.

One
can
also
calculate
PAR
from
the
information
provided
by
the
RR
and
probability
of
exposure
in
the
overall
population:

PAR
=
Pe/
t
(
RR
­
1)
=
0.904
x
(
1.123
­
1)
=
0.1112
=
0.10
=
10%
(
Equation
E.
2)
[
Pe/
t
(
RR
­
1)]
+
1
[
0.904
x
(
1.123
­
1)]
+
1
1.1112
Equation
E.
2
is
essentially
a
transformation
of
Equation
E.
1.

A
third
method
for
calculating
from
this
data
is:

PAR
=
Pe/
c
[
RR
­
1
/
RR]
=
0.914
[
1.123
­
1
/
1.123]
=
0.914x
0.1095
=
0.10
=
10%
(
Equation
E.
3)

In
this
third
formulation
for
calculating
PAR,
the
value
obtained
from
the
quantity
(
RR­
1
/
RR)
is
a
direct
measure
of
the
attributable
fraction
within
the
exposed
group.
That
is,
in
this
example,
10.95%
of
the
cases
within
the
exposed
group
are
attributable
to
that
exposure,
or
0.1095
x
C
e.
The
corresponding
fraction
of
total
cases
due
to
exposure
is,
then,
(
0.1095
x
C
e)
/
C
t),
or
0.1095
x
(
C
e/
C
t)
which
is
0.914
x
0.1095
=
10%.

A
more
detailed
discussion
of
these
alternative
methods
of
calculating
PAR
is
provided
in
Rockhill
et
al.
(
1998),
who
also
provide
some
additional
information
regarding
limitations
on
the
use
of
these
approaches.
The
major
limitation
they
note
is
that
Equations
E.
1
and
E.
2
are
only
valid
as
shown
here
when
there
is
no
confounding,
whereas
Equation
E.
3
can
be
used
to
provide
internally
valid
estimates
when
confounding
exists
(
examples
of
possible
confounding
factors
include
age,
sex,
smoking
history,
occupation,
socioeconomic
status).
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
5
July
2003
Of
course,
having
information
such
as
that
presented
in
the
mock
data
above
for
the
entire
population
is
extremely
rare,
and
PAR
values
are
typically
estimated
from
representative
sample
data
provided
in
epidemiological
studies.
There
are
two
primary
types
of
epidemiological
studies
that
can
provide
data
for
estimating
PAR:
cohort
(
prospective)
studies
and
case­
control
(
retrospective)
studies.

Cohort
studies
can
most
directly
provide
the
data
needed
for
PAR
calculations.
In
these
studies,
sample
populations
are
selected
at
random
to
be
representative
of
exposure
to
the
risk
factor
of
interest.
That
is,
a
prospective
study
would
ideally
involve
the
selection
of
a
sample
population
that
is
representative
of
the
distribution
of
exposure
(
that
is,
reflecting
the
rows
in
Exhibit
E.
1)
without
any
prior
consideration
of
the
presence
or
absence
of
the
disease
in
the
sample.
A
major
problem
with
prospective
studies
is
that
when
the
disease
of
interest
is
relatively
rare,
a
very
large
sample
group
is
required
in
order
to
obtain
a
sufficient
number
of
cases
of
the
disease
for
subsequent
analysis.

For
example,
if
one
were
to
attempt
a
prospective
study
for
a
disease
having
risk
factors
similar
to
those
assumed
for
bladder
cancer
in
this
example
(
approximately
2
x
10­
4),
it
would
be
necessary
to
have
a
sample
population
of
at
least
1,000,000
people
(
and
likely
more
than
that)
to
ensure
observation
of
enough
cases
to
be
able
to
estimate
RRs
and
PAR
values.
Exhibit
E.
2,
provides
a
mock
display
of
such
a
prospective
study.
In
this
example,
the
researchers
would
target
a
sample
of
1,000,000
individuals
whose
exposure
would
be
reflective
of
the
more
than
281
million
in
the
overall
population
who
they
are
meant
represent.

Exhibit
E.
2
Mock
Data
for
a
Prospective
Study
Cases
Non­
Cases
Totals
Risk
Exposed
to
DBPs
184
904,076
904,240
2.03x
10­
4
Not
exposed
to
DBPs
17
95,723
95,40
1.81
x
10­
4
Totals
201
999,799
1,000,000
2.01
x
10­
4
Assuming
also
that
the
observed
incidence
of
cases
for
the
exposed
and
unexposed
groups
reflect
the
actual
risks
in
those
underlying
populations
(
as
shown
in
Exhibit
E.
1),
then
one
would
expect
a
total
of
only
201
cases
in
the
entire
1,000,000
sample
group
 
78
in
the
exposed
subset
and
a
mere
23
in
the
unexposed
subset.

If
one
were
actually
able
to
carry
out
such
a
study,
then
PAR
could
be
calculated
using
these
data
and
the
methods
described
previously.
However,
it
should
be
obvious
from
the
sample
size
requirements
alone
that
prospective
studies
for
diseases
with
such
a
low
frequency
of
occurrence
are
highly
impractical,
and
indeed
they
are
rarely
conducted.

The
alternative
study
approach
 
and
that
which
has
been
used
in
the
epidemiological
studies
included
in
this
EA
 
is
to
use
retrospective
case­
control
studies.
These
have
the
advantage
of
a
more
practical
sample
size.
Their
potential
disadvantage,
however,
is
that
one
cannot
calculate
RR
values
for
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
6
July
2003
PAR
calculations
directly
from
a
case­
control
study.
However,
it
is
possible
to
calculate
an
OR
from
a
case­
control
study
which,
under
appropriate
conditions,
can
be
used
as
an
estimate
of
RR
for
PAR
calculations.

In
a
typical
case­
control
epidemiological
study,
a
researcher
would
identify
a
group
of
cases,
ideally
selected
in
a
manner
that
is
unbiased
with
respect
to
the
underlying
exposure
factor
of
interest.
Similarly,
a
set
of
controls
(
non­
cases)
would
be
selected
in
a
manner
that
is
also
unbiased
with
respect
to
the
underlying
exposure
factor
of
interest.
Exhibit
E.
3
presents
a
set
of
mock
data
for
such
a
casecontrol
study.
For
this
example,
it
is
assumed
that
the
study
identifies
201
cases
and
that
these
are
found
(
ideally)
to
be
distributed
as
expected
(
based
on
our
overall
mock
data
set)
with
respect
to
exposure.
The
researcher
also
selects
a
set
of
controls
not
having
the
disease
(
1,000
assumed
here),
also
distributed
ideally
in
a
manner
that
is
representative
of
exposure
for
non­
cases.

Exhibit
E.
3
Mock
Data
for
a
Case­
Control
Study
Cases
Non­
Cases
(
Controls)
Totals
Risk
Exposed
to
DBPs
184
904
1,088
Risk
within
exposure
subgroups
and
for
the
entire
sample
group
cannot
be
calculated.
Not
exposed
to
DBPs
17
96
113
Totals
201
1,000
1,201
Probability
of
DBP
Exposure
for
Cases
(
Pd)

0.915
(
184
/
201)
Probability
of
DBP
Exposure
for
Non­
Cases
0.904
(
904
/
1,000)

Odds
of
Cases
Being
Exposed
10.82
(
184
/
17)
Odds
of
Non­
Cases
Being
Exposed
9.42
(
904
/
96)

OR
1.149
(
10.82
/
9.42)

In
a
case­
control
study
such
as
this,
"
Risk"
(
and
therefore
Relative
Risk)
would
be
meaningless
and
entirely
an
artifact
of
the
number
of
cases
and
controls
selected.
Therefore,
it
is
not
possible
to
use
Equation
1
to
calculate
PAR
values
from
a
case­
control
study.
However,
it
is
possible
to
calculate
the
Odds
Ratio
(
that
is,
the
ratio
of
the
odds
of
a
case
being
exposed
to
the
odds
of
a
non­
case
being
exposed
as
shown
in
these
examples)
from
a
case­
control
study.
When
the
case­
control
study
is
designed
and
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
7
July
2003
÷
÷
ø
ö
ç
ç
è
æ
-
=
-
+
-
=
å
å
å
=
=
=
i
i
k
i
i
c
e
k
i
i
i
t
e
k
i
i
i
t
e
RR
RR
p
PAR
RR
p
RR
p
PAR
1
)
1
)(
(
1
)
1
)(
(

0
)
(
/
0
)
(
/
0
)
(
/
executed
in
a
manner
that
meets
three
main
conditions,
the
OR
can
be
used
as
an
estimate
for
RR,
allowing
PAR
to
be
calculated
from
the
alternative
formulations:

°
The
disease
being
considered
occurs
at
a
low
frequency
in
the
studied
population.

°
The
cases
have
been
selected
in
a
manner
that
is
representative
with
regard
to
the
history
of
exposure
of
all
people
with
the
disease
in
the
population
from
which
they
are
drawn.

°
The
controls
have
been
selected
in
a
manner
that
is
representative
with
regard
to
the
history
of
exposure
of
all
people
without
the
disease
in
the
population
from
which
they
are
drawn.

If
these
conditions
are
met,
then
the
OR
will
be
a
reasonable
estimate
of
the
RR
and
can
be
used
in
place
of
RR
in
Equations
2
or
3
for
calculating
PAR.

It
is
important
to
note,
however,
that
the
use
of
Equation
2
is
limited
to
circumstances
where
there
is
no
confounding
and
ORs
calculated
directly
as
shown
here
are
used
(
see
Rockhill
et
al.
1998).
Usually,
however,
this
is
not
the
case
and
it
is
necessary
in
a
case­
control
study
to
adjust
for
confounding
factors.
This
is
often
done
by
computing
ORs
that
take
into
account
the
interactions
of
multiple
(
potential)
risk
factors
by
the
use
of
logistic
regression
techniques.
In
such
cases,
Equation
3
is
the
appropriate
equation
to
use
to
calculate
PAR.
Using
the
case
control
study
example
here,
that
calculation
would
be:

PAR
=
Pd
[
OR
­
1
/
OR]
=
0.915
x
[
1.149
­
1
/
1.149]
=
0.915
x
0.1297
=
0.119
=
11.9%

In
the
foregoing
examples
of
PAR
calculations,
the
population
is
stratified
into
two
exposure
groups
only:
those
with
and
those
without
exposure.
More
often,
multiple
exposure
groups
are
used
to
reflect
potential
relationships
between
exposure
levels
and
risk.
For
PAR
calculations
involving
multiple
exposure
groups,
the
PAR
equations
shown
above
as
Equations
E.
2
and
E.
3
can
be
modified
as
follows:

The
first
of
these
multiple­
exposure­
group
forms
of
the
PAR
calculations
corresponds
to
Equation
E.
2
and
the
second
to
Equation
E.
3.
They
both
indicate
that
there
are
"
k"
exposure
categories,
including
an
unexposed
referent
group
for
which
the
RR
=
1
(
or
OR
=
1
if
ORs
are
being
used
in
place
of
RR).
These
equations
are
also
addressed
more
fully
in
Rockhill
et
al.
(
1998).
As
indicated
in
the
next
section,
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
8
July
2003
the
second
of
these
equations
for
multiple
exposure
categories
was
used
to
compute
PARs
from
the
epidemiological
data
for
bladder
cancer
associated
with
exposure
to
chlorinated
drinking
water.

It
is
also
useful
to
note
that
calculation
of
the
ORs
from
epidemiological
data
where
there
are
multiple
exposure
categories
and
where
there
is
a
need
to
adjust
for
confounding
factors
(
e.
g.,
age,
sex,
smoking,
occupation,
socioeconomic
status,
etc.)
generally
is
performed
using
logistic
regression
methods
rather
than
the
simple
method
shown
above.
As
noted
in
the
following
section,
logistic
regression
methods
were
used
to
compute
the
ORs
for
the
specific
studies
used
to
estimate
PARs
for
pre­
Stage
1
bladder
cancer
incidence
used
in
this
EA.

E.
2.2
Estimated
PAR
Values
for
Pre­
Stage
1
Bladder
Cancer
Due
to
DBP
Exposure
Exhibit
E.
4
summarizes
the
key
data
from
the
five
studies
(
note
that
Cantor
et
al.
1985
and
Cantor
et
al.
1987
use
the
same
epidemiological
data)
used
to
calculate
PAR
values
for
pre­
Stage
1
bladder
cancer
incidence.
These
studies
are
discussed
more
fully
in
Chapter
5
of
the
EA.
The
ORs
and
their
95%
confidence
intervals
for
each
exposure
group
were
calculated
by
the
researchers
performing
these
studies.

EPA
calculated
PAR
values
from
the
data
shown
in
Exhibit
E.
4
using
the
multiple­
exposuregroup
form
of
Equation
E.
3
as
described
in
Section
E.
2.1,
above.
These
calculations
and
the
resulting
PAR
values
are
shown
in
Exhibit
E.
5.
The
PAR
estimates
shown
in
Exhibit
E.
5
reflect
the
point
estimates
of
the
ORs
for
each
exposure
group
in
each
study.
As
shown
in
Exhibit
E.
4,
the
researchers
for
those
studies
also
presented
95%
confidence
intervals
for
those
ORs,
reflecting
uncertainty
in
the
values.

EPA
has
calculated
corresponding
95%
confidence
intervals
on
the
PAR
point
estimates
shown
in
Exhibit
E.
5
using
a
Monte
Carlo
simulation
analysis.
The
confidence
intervals
on
the
ORs
reported
by
the
researchers
were
used
to
parameterize
each
OR
as
a
normal
distribution.
For
each
study,
10,000
iterations
were
run;
the
OR
for
each
exposure
group
was
selected
from
its
respective
uncertainty
distribution
assuming
independence
among
the
groups
(
and
among
the
studies).
PAR
values
were
calculated
(
using
the
computation
as
shown
in
Exhibit
E.
4)
for
each
of
the
10,000
iterations
and
accumulated.

Using
the
10,000
PAR
estimates
for
each
study,
lower
and
upper
confidence
bounds
were
derived.
The
upper
95%
confidence
limit
is
taken
from
the
97.5
percentile
values.
The
lower
limit
is
taken
from
the
2.5
percentile
values
of
the
10,000
values,
unless
those
values
are
below
zero,
in
which
case
the
lower
confidence
interval
is
assumed
to
be
0%
because
it
is
biologically
implausible
that
the
true
PAR
value
should
be
less
than
0%.
The
confidence
intervals
obtained
from
the
Monte
Carlo
simulation
are
summarized
in
Exhibit
E.
6.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
9
July
2003
Exhibit
E.
4
Summary
of
Data
from
the
Five
Epidemiological
Studies
Relevant
to
PAR
Calculations
Study
Location
Sex
Years
of
Exposure
#
of
Cases
#
of
Controls
OR
1
(
95%
C.
I.)
Pc/
e(
i)
2
Cantor
et
al.
1985
10
Geographic
areas
Both
0
1­
19
20­
39
40­
59
>
59
231
141
324
437
111
Total:
1,244
570
285
650
849
196
Total:
2,550
1.0
1.1
(
0.8­
1.4)
1.0
(
0.8­
1.3)
1.0
(
0.8­
1.3)
1.1
(
0.8­
1.5)
0.186
0.113
0.260
0.351
0.089
Cantor
et
al.
1987
10
Geographic
areas
Both
0
1­
19
20­
39
40­
59
>
59
153
107
236
310
74
Total:
880
345
173
379
430
91
Total:
1,418
1.0
1.2
(
0.9­
1.7)
1.1
(
0.8­
1.6)
1.3
(
0.9­
1.9)
1.4
(
0.9­
2.3)
0.174
0.122
0.268
0.352
0.084
Cantor
et
al.
1998
Iowa
Both
0
0­
19
20­
39
40­
59
>
59
689
257
87
61
29
Total:
1,123
1275
428
139
101
40
Total:
1,983
1.0
1.0
(
0.8­
1.2)
1.1
(
0.8­
1.4)
1.2
(
0.8­
1.7)
1.5
(
0.9­
2.6)
0.614
0.229
0.077
0.054
0.026
Freedman
et
al.
1997
Washington
County,
Maryland
Both
0
1­
10
11­
20
21­
30
31­
40
>
40
79
91
56
38
16
13
Total:
293
722
701
432
266
107
78
Total:
2,306
1.0
1.0
(
0.6­
1.5)
1.0
(
0.6­
1.6)
1.1
(
0.6­
1.8)
1.1
(
0.6­
2.2)
1.4
(
0.7­
2.9)
0.270
0.311
0.191
0.130
0.055
0.044
King
and
Marret
1996
Ontario,
Canada
Both
0­
9
10­
19
20­
34
>
35
157
55
169
315
Total:
696
413
154
433
545
Total:
1,545
1.0
1.0
(
0.7­
1.5)
1.2
(
0.9­
1.5)
1.4
(
1.1­
1.8)
0.226
0.079
0.243
0.453
McGeehin
et
al.
1993
Colorado
Both
0
1­
10
11­
20
21­
30
>
30
104
37
38
32
116
Total:
327
102
46
3
29
3
25
3
50
3
Total:
252
1.0
0.7
(
0.4­
1.2)
1.1
(
0.6­
2.0)
1.3
(
0.7­
2.5)
2.1
(
1.4­
3.2)
0.318
0.113
0.116
0.098
0.355
Notes:
1
Odds
Ratios
and
95
percent
confidence
intervals
as
reported
in
the
studies.

2
Probability
of
a
case
being
in
the
indicated
years
of
each
ith
exposure
group.

3
Actual
number
of
controls
for
McGeehin
et
al.
were
not
available,
proportions
were
used.
Source:
Quantification
of
Bladder
Cancer
Risk
from
Exposure
to
Chlorinated
Surface
Water
(
USEPA
1998h).
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
10
July
2003
Exhibit
E.
5
Summary
of
PAR
Calculations
from
OR
Data
for
Five
Epidemiological
Studies
Study
Years
of
Exposure
OR
Pe/
c(
i)
Pe/
c(
i)
x[(
OR­
1)/
OR]
PAR
Cantor
et
al.,
1985
0
<
19
20­
39
40­
59
>
59
1.0
1.1
1.0
1.0
1.1
0.186
0.113
0.260
0.351
0.089
0.000
0.010
0.000
0.000
0.008
Sum
=
0.018
2%

Cantor
et
al.,
1987
0
<
19
20­
39
40­
59
>
59
1.0
1.2
1.1
1.3
1.4
0.174
0.122
0.268
0.352
0.084
0.000
0.020
0.024
0.081
0.024
Sum
=
0.149
15%

Cantor
et
al.,
1998
0
<
19
20­
39
40­
59
>
59
1.0
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.5
0.614
0.229
0.077
0.054
0.026
0.000
0.000
0.007
0.009
0.009
Sum
=
0.025
3%

Freedman
et
al.,
1997
0
1­
10
11­
20
21­
30
31­
40
>
40
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.1
1.1
1.4
0.270
0.311
0.191
0.130
0.055
0.044
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.012
0.005
0.013
Sum
=
0.029
3%

King
and
Marret,
1996
0­
9
10­
19
20­
34
>
35
1.0
1.0
1.2
1.4
0.226
0.079
0.243
0.453
0.000
0.000
0.040
0.129
Sum
=
0.169
17%

McGeehin
et
al.,
1993
0
1­
10
11­
20
21­
30
>
30
1.0
0.7
1.1
1.3
2.1
0.318
0.113
0.116
0.098
0.355
0.000
­
0.048
0.011
0.023
0.186
Sum
=
0.170
17%
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
11
July
2003
Exhibit
E.
6
Summary
of
PAR
Values
with
Confidence
Intervals
Obtained
from
Monte
Carlo
Simulation
Study
PAR
Values
Obtained
from
Simulation
Point
Estimates
from
Studies
Lower
95%
CI
Mean
Upper
95%
CI
Cantor
et
al.,
1985
0%
3%
15%
2%

Cantor
et
al.,
1987
0%
17%
31%
15%

Cantor
et
al.,
1998
0%
2%
8%
3%

Freedman
et
al.,
1997
0%
1%
22%
3%

King
and
Marret,
1996
1%
17%
28%
17%

McGeehin
et
al.,
1993
0%
17%
33%
17%

In
addition
to
the
uncertainty
in
the
PAR
values
calculated
for
each
of
the
individual
studies
as
reflected
by
the
confidence
intervals,
it
is
important
to
consider
the
uncertainty
associated
with
the
use
of
those
studies
 
each
of
which
was
based
upon
a
specific
subset
of
the
entire
US
population
 
to
represent
the
PAR
value
for
the
US
population
as
a
whole.

One
important
consideration
in
this
regard
is
the
extent
to
which
exposure
in
the
study
population
groups
is
comparable
to
exposure
in
the
overall
US
population.
Exhibit
E.
7
provides
an
overall
summary
of
the
percent
of
cases
and
controls
in
each
study
who
were
in
the
DBP
exposure
groups
(
across
all
exposure
durations).
As
shown
in
this
exhibit,
the
exposure
groups
typically
range
from
65
 
80%
of
the
study
populations,
with
one
instance
(
Cantor
1998)
where
only
about
35
 
40%
of
the
study
population
were
exposed
to
DBPs.
It
is
currently
estimated
that
approximately
90%
of
the
US
population
consumes
water
from
public
water
supplies
that
are
disinfecting,
and
the
vast
majority
of
these
systems
use
chlorination.
As
a
result,
it
can
be
argued
that
the
PAR
values
obtained
from
these
five
epidemiological
studies
under­
represent
exposure
in
the
United
States,
and
that
the
actual
PAR
values
are
higher
than
suggested
by
the
values
calculated
and
used
in
this
EA.

Lastly,
it
is
important
to
recognize
that,
notwithstanding
the
associations
indicated
by
these
studies,
causality
has
not
yet
been
established
between
bladder
cancer
and
exposure
to
chlorinated
water.
Therefore,
the
attributable
risk
from
chlorinated
water
may
be
zero.
1
The
2
and
17
percent
PAR
values
used
in
the
bladder
cancer
risk
and
benefits
analyses
reflect
the
range
of
best
estimates
derived
from
the
relevant
epidemiological
data
(
See
Exhibit
E.
6).
EPA
recognizes
that
the
lower
bound
may
be
as
low
as
zero
since
causality
has
not
yet
been
established
between
exposure
to
chlorinated
water
and
bladder
cancer.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
12
July
2003
Exhibit
E.
7
Summary
of
Study
Group
DBP
Exposure
for
Five
Epidemiological
Studies
Study
Total
Cases
Cases
in
Exposed
Group
%
of
Cases
in
Exposed
Group
Odds
of
Case
Being
in
Exposed
Group
%
of
Controls
in
Exposed
Group
(
a)
(
b)
(
b/
a)
%
(
b)
/
(
a­
b)

Cantor
et
al.,
1985
1,244
1,013
81.4%
4.4
80%

Cantor
et
al.,
1987
880
727
82.6
4.8
76%

Cantor
et
al.,
1998
1,123
434
38.6%
0.6
35%

Freedman
et
al.,
1997
293
214
73.0%
2.7
70%

King
and
Marret,
1996
696
539
77.4%
3.4
75%

McGeehin
et
al.,
1993
327
223
68.2%
2.1
65%

E.
2.3
Total
Cases
Attributable
to
DBPs
The
American
Cancer
Society
(
2002)
estimates
that
56,500
new
bladder
cancer
cases
occur
annually.
As
explained
in
the
previous
section,
EPA
estimates
that
2
to
17
percent1
of
these
new
cases
are
attributable
to
DBP
exposure.
Exhibit
E.
8
summarizes
this
information.

Exhibit
E.
8
Pre­
Stage
1
Estimate
of
Bladder
Cancer
Occurrence
All
Bladder
Cancer
Cases
(
A)
PAR
of
Bladder
Cancer
Cases
Attributable
to
DBPs
(
B)
Number
of
Bladder
Cancer
Cases
Attributable
to
DBPs
(
C)

56,500
2%
1,100
17%
9,600
Sources:
(
A)
American
Cancer
Society
(
2002
Estimate),
http://
www.
cancer.
org/
downloads/
STT/
CancerFacts&
Figures2002TM.
pdf
(
B)
Exhibit
E.
6,
lowest
and
highest
mean
values
from
five
studies
(
note
that
two
of
the
studies,
Cantor
et
al.,
1985
and
Cantor
et
al.
1987
use
the
same
epidemiological
data).
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
13
July
2003
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Total
Population
Served
Average
HAA5
Value,
Pre­
Stage
1
Pop
*
HAA5
%
of
Total
(
SW
+
GW
Total
Pop)*
HAA5
#
of
Cases
Attributable
to
DBPs
(
2%
PAR
Estimate)
#
of
Cases
Attributable
to
DBPs
(
17%
PAR
Estimate)

A
B
C
=
A
*
B
D
=
C
/
(
Total
of
D
for
GW+
SW)
E
=
D
*
1100
F
=
D
*
9600
Surface
Water
£
100
27,926
82.80
2,312,389
0.02%
0.26
2.30
101­
500
203,198
82.80
16,825,648
0.17%
1.91
16.71
501­
1,000
353,113
82.80
29,239,182
0.30%
3.33
29.04
1,001­
3,300
2,030,699
82.80
168,150,049
1.74%
19.13
166.99
3,301­
10,000
5,582,704
82.80
462,270,438
4.78%
52.60
459.08
10,001­
50,000
23,150,175
48.70
1,127,492,142
11.66%
128.30
1,119.70
50,001­
100,000
15,465,965
48.70
753,245,010
7.79%
85.71
748.04
100,001­
1
Million
60,889,377
48.70
2,965,519,400
30.68%
337.45
2,945.04
>
1
Million
52,982,483
48.70
2,580,426,822
26.69%
293.63
2,562.60
SW
Total
160,685,640
8,105,481,080
83.85%
922.34
8,049.50
Ground
Water
£
100
461,906
16.53
7,634,701
0.08%
0.87
7.58
101­
500
2,979,778
16.53
49,251,875
0.51%
5.60
48.91
501­
1,000
3,011,931
16.53
49,783,325
0.51%
5.66
49.44
1,001­
3,300
9,212,765
16.53
152,275,081
1.58%
17.33
151.22
3,301­
10,000
13,747,596
16.53
227,229,976
2.35%
25.86
225.66
10,001­
50,000
27,837,062
16.70
464,871,365
4.81%
52.90
461.66
50,001­
100,000
10,149,661
16.70
169,496,572
1.75%
19.29
168.33
100,001­
1
Million
23,488,663
16.70
392,254,288
4.06%
44.64
389.55
>
1
Million
2,903,587
16.70
48,489,113
0.50%
5.52
48.15
GW
Total
93,792,948
1,561,286,296
16.15%
177.66
1,550.50
Grand
Total
254,478,588
9,666,767,376
100.00%
1100.00
9,600.00
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
(
A)
The
population
served
(
CWS
only)
is
taken
from
the
Stage
2
Population
Baseline
in
Chapter
3
(
B)
The
Average
DBP
value
is
derived
from
Exhibit
E.
8a
for
surface
water
systems
and
E.
8b
for
ground
water
systems
(
E
&
F)
Lowest
and
highest
mean
PAR
estimates
from
Exhibit
E.
6
(
C)
Number
of
cases
attributable
to
DBPs
is
rounded
to
the
nearest
hundred
because
the
American
Cancer
Society
data
is
only
reported
to
the
nearest
hundred
No
specific
information
is
available
regarding
the
possible
distribution
of
cancer
cases
among
people
served
by
water
systems
of
different
sizes
and
sources.
As
a
starting
point,
EPA
allocated
cancer
cases
attributable
to
DBPs
to
systems
of
different
sizes
and
sources
based
on
relative
population
served.
In
addition,
EPA
assumed
that
systems
with
comparable
populations
but
higher
pre­
Stage
1
DBP
concentrations
would
have
a
larger
share
of
cases
than
systems
with
lower
levels.
Therefore,
rather
than
simply
multiplying
the
number
of
cancer
cases
attributable
to
DBPs
by
the
proportion
of
the
population
served
by
a
given
system
size
and
source
category,
EPA
weighted
the
proportion
by
DBP
occurrence
levels.

To
distribute
the
cases,
the
population
served
by
a
given
size
and
source
category
was
first
multiplied
by
the
mean
DBP
occurrence
level
for
that
category
(
derivation
of
mean
pre­
Stage
1
DBPR
occurrence
is
presented
in
section
E.
3).
This
number
was
then
divided
by
the
sum
of
all
"
population
×
DBP"
for
each
source
and
size
category
to
get
a
percentage
that
is
weighted
for
DBP
occurrence.
Finally,
this
weighted
percentage
was
multiplied
by
the
total
number
of
cancer
cases
attributable
to
DBPS.
Exhibits
E.
9a
and
E.
9b
show
these
calculations
and
provide
estimates
of
the
pre­
Stage
1
cancer
cases
occurring
annually
that
are
attributable
to
DBPs
for
TTHM
and
HAA5
as
indicators,
respectively.

Exhibit
E.
9a
Annual
Bladder
Cancer
Cases
Attributable
to
DBPs,
Pre­
Stage
1
Conditions,
TTHM
as
an
Indicator
2
Because
the
compliance
deadline
for
the
Stage
1
DBPR
occurred
recently
(
January
2002)
for
large
and
medium
surface
water
systems
and
will
not
occur
until
January
2004
for
small
surface
water
systems
and
all
ground
water
systems,
the
EPA
predicted
treatment
and
DBP
occurrence
conditions
resulting
from
the
Stage
1
DBPR.
These
predictions
are
independent
of
those
made
for
the
Regulatory
Impact
Analysis
for
the
Stage
1
Disinfectants/
Disinfection
Byproducts
Rule
(
USEPA
1998a)
because
new
data
and
a
new
model,
the
Surface
Water
Analytical
Tool
(
SWAT)
(
USEPA
2000a),
are
now
available
to
make
better
estimates.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
14
July
2003
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Total
Population
Served
Average
HAA5
Value,
Pre­
Stage
1
Pop
*
HAA5
%
of
Total
(
SW
+
GW
Total
Pop)*
HAA5
#
of
Cases
Attributable
to
DBPs
(
2%
PAR
Estimate)
#
of
Cases
Attributable
to
DBPs
(
17%
PAR
Estimate)

A
B
C
=
A
*
B
D
=
C
/
(
Total
of
D
for
GW+
SW)
E
=
D
*
1100
F
=
D
*
9600
Surface
Water
Systems
£
1
0
0
27,926
45.32
1,265,602
0.02%
0.21
1.84
101­
500
203,198
45.32
9,208,909
0.14%
1.53
13.37
501­
1,000
353,113
45.32
16,003,008
0.24%
2.66
23.23
1,001­
3,300
2,030,699
45.32
92,030,842
1.39%
15.31
133.59
3,301­
10,000
5,582,704
45.32
253,006,989
3.83%
42.08
367.26
10,001­
50,000
23,150,175
35.48
821,434,714
12.42%
136.63
1,192.39
50,001­
100,000
15,465,965
35.48
548,776,862
8.30%
91.28
796.60
100,001­
1
Million
60,889,377
35.48
2,160,529,984
32.67%
359.36
3,136.22
>
1
Million
52,982,483
35.48
1,879,970,679
28.43%
312.69
2,728.96
SW
Total
160,685,640
5,782,227,589
87.43%
961.75
8,393.47
Ground
Water
Systems
£
1
0
0
461,906
8.80
4,064,443
0.06%
0.68
5.90
101­
500
2,979,778
8.80
26,219,942
0.40%
4.36
38.06
501­
1,000
3,011,931
8.80
26,502,867
0.40%
4.41
38.47
1,001­
3,300
9,212,765
8.80
81,065,821
1.23%
13.48
117.67
3,301­
10,000
13,747,596
8.80
120,969,134
1.83%
20.12
175.60
10,001­
50,000
27,837,062
8.89
247,480,932
3.74%
41.16
359.24
50,001­
100,000
10,149,661
8.89
90,233,929
1.36%
15.01
130.98
100,001­
1
Million
23,488,663
8.89
208,822,191
3.16%
34.73
303.13
>
1
Million
2,903,587
8.89
25,813,874
0.39%
4.29
37.47
GW
Total
93,792,948
831,173,132
12.57%
138.25
1,206.53
Grand
Total
254,478,588
6,613,400,721
100.00%
1100.00
9,600.00
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
due
to
independent
rounding
Source:
(
A)
The
population
served
(
CWS
only)
is
taken
from
the
Stage
2
Population
Baseline
in
Chapter
3
(
B)
The
Average
DBP
value
is
derived
from
Exhibit
E.
8a
for
surface
water
systems
and
E.
8b
for
ground
water
systems
(
E
&
F)
Lowest
and
highest
mean
PAR
estimates
from
Exhibit
E.
6
Exhibit
E.
9b
Annual
Bladder
Cancer
Cases
Attributable
to
DBPs,
Pre­
Stage
1
Conditions,
HAA5
as
an
Indicator
E.
3
Observed
Pre­
Stage
1
and
Predicted
Pre­
Stage
2
and
Post
Stage
2
DBP
Occurrence
Exhibit
E.
11a
at
the
end
of
this
subsection
summarizes
the
reduction
in
average
TTHM
and
HAA5
concentrations
for
large
and
small
surface
water
systems
from
pre­
Stage
1
to
pre­
Stage
22,
and
from
pre­
Stage
2
to
post­
Stage
2
conditions,
for
all
regulatory
alternatives
and
sensitivity
analyses.
Exhibit
E.
11b
shows
the
same
data
for
large
and
small
ground
water
systems.
Notes
below
the
tables
provide
data
sources
for
each
input.
The
methodologies
for
estimating
mean
pre­
Stage
1
DBP
occurrence
and
predicting
occurrence
for
pre­
Stage
2
and
post­
Stage
2
are
outlined
below.
Note
that
all
average
TTHM
and
HAA5
occurrence
data
represent
the
means
of
either
observed
or
predicted
plant­
mean
data.

Pre­
Stage
1
DBP
Occurrence
3Specifically,
the
predicted
mean
of
plant­
means
at
the
DS
Average
location
in
SWAT
was
the
parameter
used
to
estimate
predict
average
DBP
occurrence.
See
Appendix
A
for
more
information
on
SWAT
predicted
results.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
15
July
2003
For
large
surface
water
systems,
EPA
considered
using
observed
ICR
data
for
characterizing
pre­
Stage
1
occurrence.
EPA
decided,
however,
to
use
SWAT­
predicted
results
instead
of
observed
ICR
data
to
allow
for
a
more
precise
analysis
of
Stage
1
reduction
rates,
since
these
are
obtained
by
comparing
SWAT­
predicted
pre­
Stage
2
occurrence
data
to
pre­
Stage
1
occurrence
data3.
These
estimated
rates
of
Stage
1
DBP
reduction
for
large
surface
water
systems
are
key
in
this
analysis
because
they
are
used
as
a
basis
for
estimating
Stage
1
reductions
in
all
other
system
classes
(
small
surface
water
and
all
ground
water).

For
small
surface
water
systems,
National
Rural
Water
Association
(
NRWA)
survey
data
are
used
to
estimate
mean
pre­
Stage
1
occurrence
(
USEPA
2001c).
In
the
distribution
system,
NRWA
samples
were
collected
at
two
locations
 
the
location
with
the
maximum
residence
time
and
one
location
with
an
average
residence
time.
To
make
the
NRWA
plant­
mean
data
comparable
to
ICR
data
(
and
thus
to
SWAT­
predicted
results),
the
NRWA
average
residence
time
data
were
weighted
three
times
more
heavily
than
the
maximum
residence
time
samples
to
produce
the
mean
pre­
Stage
1
occurrence.

For
large
ground
water
systems,
mean
pre­
Stage
1
TTHM
and
HAA5
concentrations
are
derived
from
ICR
data.
Only
those
plants
that
had
data
for
at
least
3
of
the
last
4
quarters
of
the
ICR
and
for
at
least
3
of
4
distribution
system
locations
for
each
of
those
quarters
were
included
in
the
analysis.

For
small
ground
water
systems,
pre­
Stage
1
TTHM
concentrations
are
based
on
analyses
of
data
submitted
directly
from
seven
States
in
1998
and/
or
1999
(
see
the
Stage
2
DBPR
occurrence
document
[
USEPA,
2003l]
for
description
of
State
data
analysis).
For
HAA5,
no
occurrence
data
are
available
for
small
ground
water
systems,
so
the
mean
of
HAA5
plant­
means
is
estimated
by
multiplying
the
mean
HAA5
value
for
large
ground
water
systems
by
the
ratio
of
TTHM
levels
in
small
ground
water
plants
to
TTHM
in
large
ground
water
plants.

Reduction
in
DBP
occurrence
from
Pre­
Stage
1
to
Pre­
Stage
2
and
from
Pre­
Stage
2
to
Post­
Stage
2
All
estimates
of
DBP
reductions
from
both
Stage
1
compliance
(
pre­
Stage
1
to
pre­
Stage
2)
and
the
Stage
2
compliance
(
pre­
Stage
2
to
post­
Stage
2)
are
based
on
SWAT
model
results
for
large
surface
water
systems.
For
example,
to
estimate
the
Stage
1
reduction,
the
difference
between
SWAT­
predicted
pre­
Stage
2
and
pre­
Stage
1
occurrence
levels
is
divided
by
pre­
Stage
1
occurrence
to
obtain
a
percentage
change.
Analogous
SWAT­
modeled
reductions
for
other
system
classes
(
small
surface
water
and
all
ground
water)
are
not
available.
Instead,
these
are
based
on
the
large
surface
water
results
in
combination
with
some
additional
assumptions,
as
discussed
below.

For
small
surface
water
systems,
the
EPA
assumes
that
pre­
Stage
2
and
post­
Stage
2
DBP
occurrence
levels
will
be
similar
to
those
in
large
surface
water
systems.
Reductions
are
then
estimated
as
the
difference
between
the
large
surface
water
occurrence
estimates
(
levels
for
both
pre­
Stage
2
and
post­
Stage
2)
and
the
NRWA
estimates
that
provide
the
pre­
Stage
1
baseline
for
small
surface
water
systems.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
16
July
2003
32.5%
4.1%
3.1%
Preferred
alternative
5.8%
2.7%
2.1%
Alternative
1
6.1%
2.7%
2.1%
Alternative
2
28.7%
4.7%
7.0%
Alternative
3
37.9%
3.1%
4.8%
IDSE
Sensitivity
No.
1
9.9%
2.8%
3.2%
IDSE
Sensitivity
No.
2
15.1%
2.9%
3.6%
Pre­
Stage
2
to
Post­
Stage
2
Compliance
Forecast
(
Type,
Stage
2
Regulatory
Alternative)
SWTL
GWTS
GWTL
Pre­
Stage
1
to
Pre­
Stage
2
For
ground
water
systems,
EPA
assumes
that
the
overall
percent
reduction
in
DBP
concentrations
is
related
to
the
percent
of
plants
changing
technology.
These
estimated
percentages
(
based
on
the
technology
selection
forecasts
for
ground
and
surface
water
systems
in
Chapter
3,
Chapter
6,
and
Appendix
C)
are
used
in
combination
with
the
large
surface
water
system
DBP
reduction
rates
to
generate
reduction
estimates
for
ground
water
systems.
More
specifically,
the
percent
reduction
in
DBP
concentrations
as
predicted
by
SWAT
for
large
surface
water
systems
(
SW
L)
is
multiplied
by
the
ratio
of
small
(
or
large)
ground
water
plants
changing
technology
(
GCT
s
or
GCT
L)
to
large
surface
water
plants
changing
technology
(
SCT
L),
or
GW
L
=
SW
L
*
(
GCT
L/
SCT
L)

GW
S
=
SW
L
*
(
GCT
S/
SCT
L)

where,

GW
L
and
GW
S
=
estimated
percent
DBP
reduction
for
large
and
small
ground
water
systems,
respectively.

SW
L
=
large
surface
water
system
percent
DBP
reduction
predicted
by
SWAT.

GCT
L
and
GCT
S
=
the
percent
of
plants
changing
technology
for
large
and
small
ground
water
plants
(
weighted
average
across
large
or
small
system
size
categories),
respectively.

SCT
L
=
the
percent
of
plants
changing
techology
for
large
surface
water
plants
predicted
by
SWAT.

Exhibit
E.
10
summarizes
the
total
percent
of
plants
changing
technology
from
pre­
Stage
1
to
pre­
Stage
2
and
from
pre­
Stage
1
to
post­
Stage
1,
for
all
regulatory
alternatives
for
large
and
small
surface
and
ground
water
systems.
Exhibits
E.
11a
and
b
show
results
for
surface
and
ground
water
systems,
respectively.

Exhibit
E.
10
Inputs
for
DBP
Reduction
Calculations:
Percent
of
Plants
Changing
Technology
Notes:
SW
L
=
percent
of
large
surface
water
plants
changing
technology
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
17
July
2003
Small
Systems
Serving
<
10,000
Large
Systems
Serving
>
10,000
Run
Number
Pre
Stage
1
DBP
Level
(
ug/
L)
Pre­
Stage
2
DBP
Level
(
ug/
L)
Percent
DBP
Reduction
from
Pre­
Stage
1
to
Pre­
Stage
2
Post­
Stage
2
DBP
Level
(
ug/
L)
Percent
DBP
Reduction
from
Pre­
Stage
2
to
Post­
Stage
2
Pre
Stage
1
DBP
Level
(
ug/
L)
Pre­
Stage
2
DBP
Level
(
ug/
L)
Percent
DBP
Reduction
from
Pre­
Stage
1
to
Pre­
Stage
2
Post­
Stage
2
DBP
Level
(
ug/
L)
Percent
DBP
Reduction
from
Pre­
Stage
2
to
Post­
Stage
2
A
B
=
G
C
=
(
A
­
B)
/
A
D
=
I
E
=
(
B
­
D)
/
B
F
G
H
=
(
F
­
G)
/
F
I
J
=
(
G
­
I)
/
G
Preferred
Alternative
82.80
35.47
57.2%
33.79
4.7%
48.70
35.47
27.2%
33.79
4.7%
Alternative
1
82.80
35.47
57.2%
33.72
4.9%
48.70
35.47
27.2%
33.72
4.9%
Alternative
2
82.80
35.47
57.2%
24.15
31.9%
48.70
35.47
27.2%
24.15
31.9%
Alternative
3
82.80
35.47
57.2%
21.62
39.1%
48.70
35.47
27.2%
21.62
39.1%
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
82.80
35.47
57.2%
33.79
4.7%
48.70
35.47
27.2%
33.79
4.7%
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
82.80
35.47
57.2%
31.99
9.8%
48.70
35.47
27.2%
31.99
9.8%
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
82.80
35.47
57.2%
29.92
15.6%
48.70
35.47
27.2%
29.92
15.6%

Preferred
Alternative
45.32
25.00
44.8%
23.82
4.7%
35.48
25.00
29.5%
23.82
4.7%
Alternative
1
45.32
25.00
44.8%
23.71
5.2%
35.48
25.00
29.5%
23.71
5.2%
Alternative
2
45.32
25.00
44.8%
16.60
33.6%
35.48
25.00
29.5%
16.60
33.6%
Alternative
3
45.32
25.00
44.8%
14.06
43.7%
35.48
25.00
29.5%
14.06
43.7%
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
45.32
25.00
44.8%
23.82
4.7%
35.48
25.00
29.5%
23.82
4.7%
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
45.32
25.00
44.8%
22.58
9.7%
35.48
25.00
29.5%
22.58
9.7%
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
45.32
25.00
44.8%
21.17
15.3%
35.48
25.00
29.5%
21.17
15.3%

Sources:
(
A)
Derived
from
the
NRWA
plant
means
(
weighted).
xls
file;
Mean
of
plant­
means
where
the
plant­
means
are
averages
of
winter
and
summer
average
and
maximum
residence
time
sample
(
average
residence
time
samples
are
given
weights
equal
to
3
times
those
of
maximum
residence
time
samples).

(
F)
Mean
of
plant­
mean
TTHM
and
HAA5
values
for
the
Pre­
Stage
1
come
from
the
DBP
Summary
Statistics.
xls
file,
'
Pre
Stage
1,
Plant
Mean'
worksheet.
(
B)
Pre­
Stage
2
DBP
levels
for
small
surface
water
systems
are
assumed
to
be
the
same
as
SWAT­
predicted
results
for
large
surface
water
systems
(
value
is
equal
to
Column
G).
HAA5
TTHM
(
G)
Mean
of
plant­
mean
TTHM
and
HAA5
values
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
come
from
the
DBP
Summary
Statistics.
xls
file,
'
Pre
Stage
2,
Plant
Mean'
worksheet.
(
I)
These
numbers
are
taken
from
the
results
of
the
DBP
Summary
Statistics.
xls
file,
'
Post
Stage
2
­
Preferred
Opt
PM,'
'
Post
Stage
2
­
Alternative
1
PM
'
Post
Stage
2
­
Alternative
2
PM,'
and
'
Post
Stage
2
­
Alternative
3
PM'
worksheets
for
Run
2,
3,
4,
5,
respectively.
Runs
6
&
7
use
the
DBP
values
from
Run
2.
The
DBP
Summary
Statistics.
xls
file,
'
Post
Stage
2
­
IDSE
1,
PM'
and
'
Post
Stage
2
­
IDSE
2,
PM'
were
used
for
Runs
8
and
9,
respectively.
(
D)
Post­
Stage
2
DBP
levels
for
small
surface
water
systems
are
assumed
to
be
the
same
as
SWAT­
predicted
results
for
large
surface
water
systems
(
value
is
equal
to
Column
I).
GWT
S
=
percent
of
small
ground
water
plants
changing
technology
GWT
L
=
percent
of
large
ground
water
plants
changing
technology
Source:
Technology
selection
deltas.
For
the
preferred
regulatory
alternative,
see
Exhibits
6.14
and
6.16.
For
all
other
regulatory
alternatives,
see
results
in
Appendix
C.
Results
reflect
weighted
average
of
three
small
system
size
categories
(
0
­
100,
101
­
1,000,
and
1,000
­
10,000)
and
two
large
system
size
categories
(
10,000
­
100,000,
>
100,000).

Exhibit
E.
11a
Predicted
Changes
in
DBP
Concentration
from
Pre­
Stage
1
to
Pre­
Stage
2,
and
from
Pre­
Stage
2
to
Post­
Stage
2,
Surface
Water
Systems
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
18
July
2003
Exhibit
E.
11b
Input
Values
­
Predicted
DBP
Reduction
from
Pre­
Stage
1
to
Pre­
Stage
2
and
from
Pre­
Stage
2
to
Post­
Stage
2
for
all
Regulatory
Alternatives,
Small
Systems
Serving
<
10,000
Large
Systems
Serving
>
10,000
Run
Number
Pre
Stage
1
DBP
Level
(
ug/
L)
Pre­
Stage
2
DBP
Level
(
ug/
L)
Percent
DBP
Reduction
from
Pre­
Stage
1
to
Pre­
Stage
2
Post­
Stage
2
DBP
Level
(
ug/
L)
Percent
DBP
Reduction
from
Pre­
Stage
2
to
Post­
Stage
2
Pre
Stage
1
DBP
Level
(
ug/
L)
Pre­
Stage
2
DBP
Level
(
ug/
L)
Percent
DBP
Reduction
from
Pre­
Stage
1
to
Pre­
Stage
2
Post­
Stage
2
DBP
Level
(
ug/
L)
Percent
DBP
Reduction
from
Pre­
Stage
2
to
Post­
Stage
2
K
L
=
K
­
K
*
M
M
N
=
L
­
L
*
O
O
P
Q
=
P
­
P
*
R
R
S
=
Q
­
Q
*
T
T
Preferred
Alternative
16.53
15.97
3.4%
15.61
2.2%
16.70
16.26
2.6%
15.99
1.7%
Alternative
1
16.53
15.97
3.4%
15.62
2.2%
16.70
16.26
2.6%
15.99
1.7%
Alternative
2
16.53
15.97
3.4%
15.14
5.2%
16.70
16.26
2.6%
15.00
7.8%
Alternative
3
16.53
15.97
3.4%
15.46
3.2%
16.70
16.26
2.6%
15.46
5.0%
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
16.53
15.97
3.4%
15.61
2.2%
16.70
16.26
2.6%
15.99
1.7%
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
16.53
15.97
3.4%
15.52
2.8%
16.70
16.26
2.6%
15.74
3.2%
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
16.53
15.97
3.4%
15.49
3.0%
16.70
16.26
2.6%
15.65
3.8%

Preferred
Alternative
8.80
8.47
3.7%
8.29
2.2%
8.89
8.64
2.8%
8.49
1.7%
Alternative
1
8.80
8.47
3.7%
8.28
2.3%
8.89
8.64
2.8%
8.49
1.8%
Alternative
2
8.80
8.47
3.7%
8.01
5.5%
8.89
8.64
2.8%
7.93
8.2%
Alternative
3
8.80
8.47
3.7%
8.17
3.6%
8.89
8.64
2.8%
8.16
5.6%
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
8.80
8.47
3.7%
8.29
2.2%
8.89
8.64
2.8%
8.49
1.7%
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
8.80
8.47
3.7%
8.24
2.8%
8.89
8.64
2.8%
8.36
3.2%
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
8.80
8.47
3.7%
8.23
2.9%
8.89
8.64
2.8%
8.32
3.7%
Notes:

Sources:
TTHM
HAA5
The
Pre­
Stage
1
mean
HAA5
concentration
for
small
systems
is
calculated
based
on
the
ratio
of
TTHM
concentration
for
systems
serving
>
10K
to
systems
serving
<
10K
(
P)
Pre­
Stage
1
DBP
levels
come
from
analysis
of
the
ICR
Aux
1
database
found
in
the
Stage
2
Occurrence
Document
(
USEPA,
2003l).
(
R)
The
DBP
reduction
for
large
ground
water
plants
is
calculated
by
multiplying
the
percent
reduction
in
large
surface
water
plants
by
the
ratio
of
large
ground
water
plants
changing
technology
to
large
surface
water
plants
changing
technology
for
Stage
1
(
see
"
plants
changing"
sheet).
(
T)
The
DBP
reduction
for
large
ground
water
plants
is
calculated
by
multiplying
the
percent
reduction
in
large
surface
water
plants
by
the
ratio
of
large
ground
water
plants
changing
technology
to
large
surface
water
plants
changing
technology
for
the
Stage
2
alternative
(
see
"
plants
changing"
(
K)
Pre­
Stage
1
TTHM
levels
come
from
an
analysis
of
the
Seven
States
Data
found
in
the
Stage
2
Occurrence
Document
(
USEPA,
2003l).
Pre­
Stage
1
HAA5
levels
are
derived
by
multiplying
the
large
ground
water
HAA5
value
by
the
ratio
of
small
ground
water
TTHM
to
large
ground
water
TTHM.
(
M)
The
DBP
reduction
for
small
ground
water
plants
is
calculated
by
multiplying
the
percent
reduction
in
large
surface
water
plants
by
the
ratio
of
small
ground
water
plants
changing
technology
to
large
surface
water
plants
changing
technology
for
Stage
1
(
see
"
plants
changing"
sheet).
(
O)
The
DBP
reduction
for
small
ground
water
plants
is
calculated
by
multiplying
the
percent
reduction
in
large
surface
water
plants
by
the
ratio
of
small
ground
water
plants
changing
technology
to
large
surface
water
plants
changing
technology
for
the
Stage
2
alternative
(
see
"
plants
changing"
sheet).
Exhibit
E.
11b
Predicted
Changes
in
DBP
Concentration
from
Pre­
Stage
1
to
Pre­
Stage
2,
and
from
Pre­
Stage
2
to
Post­
Stage
2,
Ground
Water
Systems
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
19
July
2003
2%
PAR
17
%
PAR
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Pre­
Stage
1
Cancer
Cases
%
Reduction
of
Average
TTHM
for
Stage
1
Cases
Remaining
for
Pre­
Stage
2
Pre­
Stage
1
Cancer
Cases
%
Reduction
of
Average
TTHM
for
Stage
1
Cases
Remaining
for
Pre­
Stage
2
A
B
C
=
A
*
(
1
­
B)
A
B
C
=
A
*
(
1
­
B)

£
1
0
0
0.26
57.2%
0.11
2.30
57.2%
0.98
101­
500
1.91
57.2%
0.82
16.71
57.2%
7.16
501­
1,000
3.33
57.2%
1.43
29.04
57.2%
12.44
1,001­
3,300
19.13
57.2%
8.20
166.99
57.2%
71.53
3,301­
10,000
52.60
57.2%
22.53
459.08
57.2%
196.66
10,001­
50,000
128.30
27.2%
93.44
1,119.70
27.2%
815.50
50,001­
100,000
85.71
27.2%
62.43
748.04
27.2%
544.81
100,001­
1
Million
337.45
27.2%
245.77
2,945.04
27.2%
2,144.92
>
1
Million
293.63
27.2%
213.86
2,562.60
27.2%
1,866.38
SW
Total
922.34
648.59
8,049.50
5,660.38
£
1
0
0
0.87
3.4%
0.84
7.58
3.4%
7.32
101­
500
5.60
3.4%
5.41
48.91
3.4%
47.25
501­
1,000
5.66
3.4%
5.47
49.44
3.4%
47.76
1,001­
3,300
17.33
3.4%
16.74
151.22
3.4%
146.09
3,301­
10,000
25.86
3.4%
24.98
225.66
3.4%
218.00
10,001­
50,000
52.90
2.6%
51.52
461.66
2.6%
449.59
50,001­
100,000
19.29
2.6%
18.78
168.33
2.6%
163.93
100,001­
1
Million
44.64
2.6%
43.47
389.55
2.6%
379.36
>
1
Million
5.52
2.6%
5.37
48.15
2.6%
46.90
GW
Total
177.66
172.59
1,550.50
1,506.20
Grand
Total
1,100.00
821.17
9,600.00
7,166.58
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
due
to
independent
rounding.
Source:
(
A)
The
numbers
of
Pre­
Stage
1
cancer
cases
are
taken
from
Exhibit
E.
9.
(
B)
The
percent
DBP
reduction
from
Pre­
Stage
1
to
Pre­
Stage
2
is
taken
from
Exhibit
E.
11.
Surface
Water
Systems
Ground
Water
Systems
E.
4
Predicted
Steady­
State
Reductions
in
Bladder
Cancer
Cases
for
Pre­
Stage
2
and
Post­
Stage
2
Conditions
(
Does
not
Account
Cessation
Lag)

E.
4.1
Pre­
Stage
2
Bladder
Cancer
Case
Occurrence
To
estimate
the
pre­
Stage
2
cancer
cases
attributable
to
DBP
exposure,
the
percent
reduction
in
DBP
occurrence
from
pre­
Stage
1
to
pre­
Stage
2
(
Exhibit
E.
11)
is
multiplied
by
the
pre­
Stage
1
bladder
cancer
cases
attributable
to
DBPs
(
Exhibit
E.
9).
Exhibits
E.
12a
and
E.
12b
show
the
resulting
bladder
cancer
cases
remaining
for
the
pre­
Stage
2
DBPR
baseline
for
TTHM
and
HAA5
as
indicators,
respectively.

Exhibit
E.
12a
Annual
Bladder
Cancer
Cases
Remaining
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline,
TTHM
as
an
Indicator
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
20
July
2003
2%
PAR
17
%
PAR
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Pre­
Stage
1
Cancer
Cases
%
Reduction
of
Average
TTHM
for
Stage
1
Cases
Remaining
for
Pre­
Stage
2
Pre­
Stage
1
Cancer
Cases
%
Reduction
of
Average
TTHM
for
Stage
1
Cases
Remaining
for
Pre­
Stage
2
A
B
C
=
A
*
(
1
­
B)
A
B
C
=
A
*
(
1
­
B)

£
1
0
0
0.21
44.8%
0.12
1.84
44.8%
1.01
101­
500
1.53
44.8%
0.85
13.37
44.8%
7.37
501­
1,000
2.66
44.8%
1.47
23.23
44.8%
12.82
1,001­
3,300
15.31
44.8%
8.44
133.59
44.8%
73.70
3,301­
10,000
42.08
44.8%
23.22
367.26
44.8%
202.62
10,001­
50,000
136.63
29.5%
96.27
1,192.39
29.5%
840.21
50,001­
100,000
91.28
29.5%
64.32
796.60
29.5%
561.32
100,001­
1
Million
359.36
29.5%
253.22
3,136.22
29.5%
2,209.90
>
1
Million
312.69
29.5%
220.34
2,728.96
29.5%
1,922.93
SW
Total
961.75
668.24
8,393.47
5,831.88
£
1
0
0
0.68
3.7%
0.65
5.90
3.7%
5.68
101­
500
4.36
3.7%
4.20
38.06
3.7%
36.66
501­
1,000
4.41
3.7%
4.25
38.47
3.7%
37.05
1,001­
3,300
13.48
3.7%
12.99
117.67
3.7%
113.33
3,301­
10,000
20.12
3.7%
19.38
175.60
3.7%
169.12
10,001­
50,000
41.16
2.8%
39.99
359.24
2.8%
349.04
50,001­
100,000
15.01
2.8%
14.58
130.98
2.8%
127.26
100,001­
1
Million
34.73
2.8%
33.75
303.13
2.8%
294.51
>
1
Million
4.29
2.8%
4.17
37.47
2.8%
36.41
GW
Total
138.25
133.95
1,206.53
1,169.05
Grand
Total
1,100.00
802.19
9,600.00
7,000.93
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
due
to
independent
rounding.
Source:
(
A)
The
numbers
of
Pre­
Stage
1
cancer
cases
are
taken
from
Exhibit
E.
9.
(
B)
The
percent
DBP
reduction
from
Pre­
Stage
1
to
Pre­
Stage
2
is
taken
from
Exhibit
E.
11.
Surface
Water
Systems
Ground
Water
Systems
Exhibit
E.
12b
Annual
Bladder
Cancer
Cases
Remaining
for
the
Pre­
Stage
2
Baseline,
HAA5
as
an
Indicator
E.
4.2
Post­
Stage
2
Bladder
Cancer
Case
Occurrence
Similar
to
the
methodology
for
estimating
the
pre­
Stage
2
baseline
cancer
cases
attributable
to
DBPs,
the
post­
Stage
2
cancer
cases
attributable
to
DBPs
are
based
on
the
percent
reduction
in
DBP
occurrence.
Exhibit
E.
13
presents
the
pre­
Stage
2,
post­
Stage
2,
and
steady­
state
cases
avoided
for
the
Preferred
Regulatory
Alternative.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
21
July
2003
2
%
PAR
17%
PAR
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Pre­
Stage
2
Cases
Remaining
%
Reduction
of
Average
TTHM
to
Stage
2
Cases
Remaining
at
Stage
2
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
Pre­
Stage
2
Cases
Remaining
%
Reduction
of
Average
TTHM
to
Stage
2
Cases
Remaining
at
Stage
2
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
A
B
C
=
A
*
(
1
­
B)
D
=
A
*
B
A
B
C
=
A
*
(
1
­
B)
D
=
A
*
B
£
1
0
0
0.11
4.7%
0.11
0.01
0.98
4.7%
0.94
0.05
101­
500
0.82
4.7%
0.78
0.04
7.16
4.7%
6.82
0.34
501­
1,000
1.43
4.7%
1.36
0.07
12.44
4.7%
11.85
0.59
1,001­
3,300
8.20
4.7%
7.81
0.39
71.53
4.7%
68.15
3.38
3,301­
10,000
22.53
4.7%
21.47
1.07
196.66
4.7%
187.36
9.29
10,001­
50,000
93.44
4.7%
89.03
4.42
815.50
4.7%
776.96
38.54
50,001­
100,000
62.43
4.7%
59.48
2.95
544.81
4.7%
519.06
25.75
100,001­
1
Million
245.77
4.7%
234.16
11.62
2144.92
4.7%
2,043.54
101.38
>
1
Million
213.86
4.7%
203.75
10.11
1866.38
4.7%
1,778.17
88.21
SW
Total
648.59
617.93
30.65
5660.38
5,392.85
267.53
£
1
0
0
0.84
2.2%
0.82
0.02
7.32
2.2%
7.16
0.16
101­
500
5.41
2.2%
5.29
0.12
47.25
2.2%
46.21
1.04
501­
1,000
5.47
2.2%
5.35
0.12
47.76
2.2%
46.71
1.05
1,001­
3,300
16.74
2.2%
16.37
0.37
146.09
2.2%
142.86
3.22
3,301­
10,000
24.98
2.2%
24.43
0.55
218.00
2.2%
213.18
4.81
10,001­
50,000
51.52
1.7%
50.65
0.87
449.59
1.7%
442.01
7.59
50,001­
100,000
18.78
1.7%
18.47
0.32
163.93
1.7%
161.16
2.77
100,001­
1
Million
43.47
1.7%
42.74
0.73
379.36
1.7%
372.96
6.40
>
1
Million
5.37
1.7%
5.28
0.09
46.90
1.7%
46.10
0.79
GW
Total
172.59
169.39
3.19
1,506.20
1,478.35
27.85
Grand
Total
821.17
787.33
33.84
7,166.58
6,871.21
295.37
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
due
to
independent
rounding.
Source:
(
A)
The
numbers
of
Pre­
Stage
2
cancer
cases
are
derived
from
Exhibit
E.
12.
(
B)
The
percent
DBP
reduction
from
Pre­
Stage
2
to
Post­
Stage
2
derived
from
Exhibit
E.
11.
Surface
Water
Systems
Ground
Water
Systems
Exhibit
E.
13a
Annual
Bladder
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
(
Steady­
State)
for
the
Stage
2
Preferred
Regulatory
Alternative,
TTHM
as
an
Indicator
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
22
July
2003
2
%
PAR
17
%
PAR
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Pre­
Stage
2
Cases
Remaining
%
Reduction
of
Average
HAA5
to
Stage
2
Cases
Remaining
at
Stage
2
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
Pre­
Stage
2
Cases
Remaining
%
Reduction
of
Average
HAA5
to
Stage
2
Cases
Remaining
at
Stage
2
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
A
B
C
=
A
*
(
1
­
B)
D
=
A
*
B
A
B
C
=
A
*
(
1
­
B)
D
=
A
*
B
£
1
0
0
0.12
4.7%
0.11
0.01
1.01
4.7%
0.97
0.05
101­
500
0.85
4.7%
0.81
0.04
7.37
4.7%
7.03
0.35
501­
1,000
1.47
4.7%
1.40
0.07
12.82
4.7%
12.21
0.60
1,001­
3,300
8.44
4.7%
8.05
0.40
73.70
4.7%
70.23
3.47
3,301­
10,000
23.22
4.7%
22.12
1.09
202.62
4.7%
193.07
9.54
10,001­
50,000
96.27
4.7%
91.74
4.53
840.21
4.7%
800.63
39.58
50,001­
100,000
64.32
4.7%
61.29
3.03
561.32
4.7%
534.88
26.44
100,001­
1
Million
253.22
4.7%
241.29
11.93
2209.90
4.7%
2,105.81
104.10
>
1
Million
220.34
4.7%
209.96
10.38
1922.93
4.7%
1,832.35
90.58
GW
Total
668.24
636.76
31.48
5831.88
5,557.17
274.71
£
1
0
0
0.65
2.2%
0.64
0.01
5.68
2.2%
5.56
0.13
101­
500
4.20
2.2%
4.11
0.09
36.66
2.2%
35.85
0.81
501­
1,000
4.25
2.2%
4.15
0.09
37.05
2.2%
36.24
0.82
1,001­
3,300
12.99
2.2%
12.70
0.29
113.33
2.2%
110.84
2.49
3,301­
10,000
19.38
2.2%
18.95
0.43
169.12
2.2%
165.39
3.72
10,001­
50,000
39.99
1.7%
39.32
0.67
349.04
1.7%
343.16
5.87
50,001­
100,000
14.58
1.7%
14.34
0.25
127.26
1.7%
125.12
2.14
100,001­
1
Million
33.75
1.7%
33.18
0.57
294.51
1.7%
289.56
4.95
>
1
Million
4.17
1.7%
4.10
0.07
36.41
1.7%
35.79
0.61
SW
Total
133.95
131.49
2.47
1,169.05
1,147.51
21.54
Grand
Total
802.19
768.24
33.95
7,000.93
6,704.68
296.25
Note:
Detail
may
not
add
due
to
independent
rounding.
Source:
(
A)
The
numbers
of
Pre­
Stage
2
cancer
cases
are
derived
from
Exhibit
E.
12.
(
B)
The
percent
DBP
reduction
from
Pre­
Stage
2
to
Post­
Stage
2
derived
from
Exhibit
E.
11.
Surface
Water
Systems
Ground
Water
Systems
Exhibit
E.
13b
Annual
Bladder
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
(
Steady­
State)
for
the
Stage
2
Preferred
Regulatory
Alternative,
HAA5
as
an
Indicator
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
23
July
2003
Year
w(
t)
1­
w(
t)
1
1.000
0.000
2
0.586
0.414
3
0.429
0.571
4
0.344
0.656
5
0.290
0.710
6
0.252
0.748
7
0.223
0.777
8
0.202
0.798
9
0.184
0.816
10
0.170
0.830
11
0.158
0.842
12
0.148
0.852
13
0.139
0.861
14
0.131
0.869
15
0.124
0.876
16
0.118
0.882
17
0.113
0.887
18
0.108
0.892
19
0.104
0.896
20
0.100
0.900
21
0.096
0.904
22
0.093
0.907
23
0.089
0.911
24
0.087
0.913
25
0.084
0.916
Notes:

Source:
Years
(
t)
represent
time
since
installation
of
capital
equipment
to
reduce
DBP
exposure.

w(
t)
=
t
^
(­
0.77);
the
weighting
factor
for
Pre­
Stage
2
cases
at
a
time
(
t)
after
implementation
of
the
Stage
2
DBPR
(
see
discussion
in
Chapter
5).
E.
5
Adjustments
for
Cessation
Lag
and
Rule
Implementation
Schedule
Chapter
5
provides
a
detailed
description
of
the
adjustment
to
the
steady­
state
results
(
described
in
E.
4)
to
account
for
delays
in
DBP
reduction
due
to
cessation
lag
and
rule
implementation
schedule.
The
purpose
of
this
section
is
to
provide
the
background
data
necessary
to
produce
the
final
annual
cancer
cases
avoided.

Exhibit
E.
14
shows
the
weighting
factors
for
cessation
lag,
based
on
the
smoking
cessation
lag
model.
Exhibit
E.
15
presents
the
benefits
accrual
forecast
based
on
installation
of
treatment
technologies
to
meet
Stage
2
maximum
contaminant
levels
(
MCLs).
Finally,
Exhibit
E.
16
presents
the
combined
weighting
factor
that
accounts
for
both
cessation
lag
and
implementation
schedule.

Exhibit
E.
14
Cessation
Lag
Weighting
Factors
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
24
July
2003
Small
Surface
Water
(<
10,000)
Large
Surface
Water
(>
10,000)
Small
Ground
Water
(<
10,000)
Large
Ground
Water
(>
10,000)
2003
­
­
­
­
2004
­
­
­
­
2005
11%
17%
11%
17%
2006
22%
33%
22%
33%
2007
33%
50%
33%
50%
2008
44%
67%
44%
67%
2009
56%
83%
56%
83%
2010
67%
100%
67%
100%
2011
78%
100%
78%
100%
2012
89%
100%
89%
100%
2013
100%
100%
100%
100%
2014
100%
100%
100%
100%
2015
100%
100%
100%
100%
2016
100%
100%
100%
100%
2017
100%
100%
100%
100%
2018
100%
100%
100%
100%
2019
100%
100%
100%
100%
2020
100%
100%
100%
100%
2021
100%
100%
100%
100%
2022
100%
100%
100%
100%
2023
100%
100%
100%
100%
2024
100%
100%
100%
100%
2025
100%
100%
100%
100%
2026
100%
100%
100%
100%
2027
100%
100%
100%
100%

Note:

Source:
Derived
from
rule
implementation
schedule
in
Appendix
D.
Percentages
represent
the
fraction
of
annual
benefits
estimated
to
accrue
in
each
year
for
a
given
system
type
and
size.
Year
System
Type
Exhibit
E.
15
Benefits
Accrual
Forecast
Based
on
Installation
of
Capital
Equipment
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
25
July
2003
w(
t)
1­
w(
t)
w(
t)
1­
w(
t)
w(
t)
1­
w(
t)
w(
t)
1­
w(
t)
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
2005
1.000
0.000
1.000
0.000
1.000
0.000
1.000
0.000
2006
0.954
0.046
0.931
0.069
0.954
0.046
0.931
0.069
2007
0.891
0.109
0.836
0.164
0.891
0.109
0.836
0.164
2008
0.818
0.182
0.727
0.273
0.818
0.182
0.727
0.273
2009
0.739
0.261
0.608
0.392
0.739
0.261
0.608
0.392
2010
0.656
0.344
0.483
0.517
0.656
0.344
0.483
0.517
2011
0.569
0.431
0.354
0.646
0.569
0.431
0.354
0.646
2012
0.481
0.519
0.290
0.710
0.481
0.519
0.290
0.710
2013
0.390
0.610
0.249
0.751
0.390
0.610
0.249
0.751
2014
0.298
0.702
0.220
0.780
0.298
0.702
0.220
0.780
2015
0.250
0.750
0.198
0.802
0.250
0.750
0.198
0.802
2016
0.219
0.781
0.181
0.819
0.219
0.781
0.181
0.819
2017
0.196
0.804
0.167
0.833
0.196
0.804
0.167
0.833
2018
0.178
0.822
0.155
0.845
0.178
0.822
0.155
0.845
2019
0.164
0.836
0.145
0.855
0.164
0.836
0.145
0.855
2020
0.153
0.847
0.136
0.864
0.153
0.847
0.136
0.864
2021
0.143
0.857
0.129
0.871
0.143
0.857
0.129
0.871
2022
0.134
0.866
0.122
0.878
0.134
0.866
0.122
0.878
2023
0.127
0.873
0.116
0.884
0.127
0.873
0.116
0.884
2024
0.120
0.880
0.111
0.889
0.120
0.880
0.111
0.889
2025
0.115
0.885
0.106
0.894
0.115
0.885
0.106
0.894
2026
0.110
0.890
0.102
0.898
0.110
0.890
0.102
0.898
2027
0.105
0.895
0.098
0.902
0.105
0.895
0.098
0.902
Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
E.
14
and
E.
15.
Small
Surface
Water
(
<
10,000)
Large
Surface
Water
(
>
10,000
)
Small
Ground
Water
(
<
10,000)
Large
Ground
Water
(
>
10,000)
System
Type
Year
Exhibit
E.
16
Combined
Weighting
Factors
for
Cessation
Lag
and
Implementation
Schedule
(
Weighting
Factors
Based
on
Rule
Implementation
Schedule)
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
E­
26
July
2003
E.
6
Final
Results
for
Annual
Bladder
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
as
a
Result
of
the
Stage
2
DBPR
This
section
presents
detailed
results
for
annual
cancer
cases
avoided
(
adjusted
for
cessation
lag
and
rule
implementation
schedule)
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Preferred
Regulatory
Alternative,
all
other
regulatory
alternatives,
and
all
sensitivity
analyses.
Results
for
TTHM
are
shown
for
each
alternative;
however,
detailed
results
for
HAA5
are
shown
only
for
the
Preferred
Regulatory
Alternative.
The
derivation
of
results
using
HAA5
occurrence
data
is
exactly
the
same
as
the
calculations
using
TTHM
occurrence
data.
The
percent
reductions
are
similar
(
see
Exhibits
E.
12a
and
b).
Section
E.
6.1
Projection
of
Cases
­
Preferred
Alternative
TTHM
as
Indicator
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Annual
Existing
Cancer
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
DBPR
Annual
Existing
Cancer
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
Annual
Reductions
in
Bladder
Cancer
Cases
Attributable
to
the
Stage
2
DBPR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
<
100
0.11
0.84
0.95
<
100
0.11
0.82
0.93
<
100
0.01
0.02
0.02
101­
500
0.82
5.41
6.23
101­
500
0.78
5.29
6.08
101­
500
0.04
0.12
0.16
501­
1,000
1.43
5.47
6.90
501­
1,000
1.36
5.35
6.71
501­
1,000
0.07
0.12
0.19
1,001­
3,300
8.20
16.74
24.94
1,001­
3,300
7.81
16.37
24.18
1,001­
3,300
0.39
0.37
0.76
3,301­
10,000
22.53
24.98
47.51
3,301­
10,000
21.47
24.43
45.90
3,301­
10,000
1.07
0.55
1.62
10,001­
50,000
93.44
51.52
144.96
10,001­
50,000
89.03
50.65
139.67
10,001­
50,000
4.42
0.87
5.29
50,001­
100,000
62.43
18.78
81.21
50,001­
100,000
59.48
18.47
77.94
50,001­
100,000
2.95
0.32
3.27
100,001­
1
Million
245.77
43.47
289.24
100,001­
1
Million
234.16
42.74
276.89
100,001­
1
Million
11.62
0.73
12.35
>
1
Million
213.86
5.37
219.23
>
1
Million
203.75
5.28
209.03
>
1
Million
10.11
0.09
10.20
Total
648.59
172.59
821.17
Total
617.93
169.39
787.33
Total
30.65
3.19
33.84
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
<
100
0.98
7.32
8.31
<
100
0.94
7.16
8.10
<
100
0.05
0.16
0.21
101­
500
7.16
47.25
54.41
101­
500
6.82
46.21
53.03
101­
500
0.34
1.04
1.38
501­
1,000
12.44
47.76
60.20
501­
1,000
11.85
46.71
58.56
501­
1,000
0.59
1.05
1.64
1,001­
3,300
71.53
146.09
217.62
1,001­
3,300
68.15
142.86
211.02
1,001­
3,300
3.38
3.22
6.61
3,301­
10,000
196.66
218.00
414.66
3,301­
10,000
187.36
213.18
400.55
3,301­
10,000
9.29
4.81
14.11
10,001­
50,000
815.50
449.59
1,265.09
10,001­
50,000
776.96
442.01
1,218.96
10,001­
50,000
38.54
7.59
46.13
50,001­
100,000
544.81
163.93
708.74
50,001­
100,000
519.06
161.16
680.22
50,001­
100,000
25.75
2.77
28.52
100,001­
1
Million
2,144.92
379.36
2,524.28
100,001­
1
Million
2,043.54
372.96
2,416.50
100,001­
1
Million
101.38
6.40
107.78
>
1
Million
1,866.38
46.90
1,913.28
>
1
Million
1,778.17
46.10
1,824.28
>
1
Million
88.21
0.79
89.00
Total
5,660.38
1,506.20
7,166.58
Total
5,392.85
1,478.35
6,871.21
Total
267.53
27.85
295.37
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
Exhibit
E.
17a
Expanded
Cancer
Case
Inputs
for
Benefits
Quantification
(
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative)

System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
Source:
Derived
from
figures
presented
in
Appendix
E.
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)

System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.08
0.23
0.30
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.21
0.59
0.80
0.18
0.52
0.70
2007
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.19
0.54
0.72
0.13
0.36
0.48
0.50
1.41
1.91
0.43
1.23
1.66
2008
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.31
0.89
1.21
0.21
0.60
0.81
0.83
2.35
3.18
0.72
2.05
2.76
2009
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.45
1.28
1.73
0.30
0.86
1.16
1.18
3.37
4.55
1.03
2.93
3.96
2010
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.59
1.69
2.28
0.40
1.13
1.52
1.56
4.44
6.00
1.36
3.86
5.22
2011
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.74
2.11
2.85
0.50
1.41
1.91
1.95
5.55
7.50
1.70
4.83
6.53
2012
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.82
2.32
3.14
0.54
1.55
2.10
2.14
6.10
8.25
1.87
5.31
7.18
2013
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.17
0.24
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.86
2.45
3.32
0.58
1.64
2.22
2.27
6.45
8.72
1.97
5.62
7.59
2014
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.19
0.55
0.75
0.90
2.55
3.44
0.60
1.70
2.30
2.36
6.70
9.06
2.05
5.83
7.88
2015
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.08
0.21
0.29
0.21
0.59
0.80
0.92
2.62
3.54
0.62
1.75
2.37
2.42
6.89
9.31
2.11
6.00
8.11
2016
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.22
0.62
0.83
0.94
2.68
3.62
0.63
1.79
2.42
2.47
7.04
9.52
2.15
6.13
8.28
2017
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.22
0.63
0.86
0.96
2.72
3.68
0.64
1.82
2.46
2.52
7.16
9.68
2.19
6.23
8.42
2018
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.23
0.65
0.87
0.97
2.76
3.73
0.65
1.85
2.49
2.55
7.26
9.82
2.22
6.32
8.54
2019
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.23
0.66
0.89
0.98
2.79
3.78
0.66
1.87
2.52
2.58
7.35
9.93
2.25
6.40
8.64
2020
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.06
0.09
0.24
0.33
0.23
0.67
0.90
0.99
2.82
3.81
0.66
1.89
2.55
2.61
7.42
10.03
2.27
6.46
8.73
2021
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.09
0.25
0.33
0.24
0.68
0.91
1.00
2.85
3.85
0.67
1.90
2.57
2.63
7.49
10.12
2.29
6.52
8.81
2022
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.24
0.68
0.92
1.01
2.87
3.88
0.67
1.92
2.59
2.65
7.55
10.20
2.31
6.57
8.87
2023
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.24
0.69
0.93
1.01
2.89
3.90
0.68
1.93
2.61
2.67
7.60
10.26
2.32
6.61
8.93
2024
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.24
0.69
0.94
1.02
2.91
3.93
0.68
1.94
2.62
2.68
7.64
10.33
2.34
6.65
8.98
2025
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.25
0.70
0.94
1.03
2.92
3.95
0.69
1.95
2.64
2.70
7.68
10.38
2.35
6.68
9.03
2026
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.09
0.26
0.34
0.25
0.70
0.95
1.03
2.93
3.97
0.69
1.96
2.65
2.71
7.72
10.43
2.36
6.72
9.08
2027
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.25
0.71
0.95
1.04
2.95
3.98
0.69
1.97
2.66
2.72
7.75
10.48
2.37
6.75
9.12
Total
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.25
0.71
0.96
1.43
4.07
5.50
3.93
####
15.11
####
####
####
####
####
####
####
#####
#####
####
#####
#####

Avg.
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.16
0.45
0.60
0.71
2.03
2.74
0.48
1.36
1.83
1.88
5.34
7.22
1.63
4.65
6.28
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
18.96
Exhibit
E.
17b
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
Surface
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
17a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.00
0.00
0.01
2007
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.00
0.01
0.01
2008
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.02
0.06
0.09
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.01
0.02
0.02
2009
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.07
0.21
0.29
0.01
0.03
0.04
2010
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.01
0.03
0.05
2011
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.15
0.42
0.56
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.02
0.04
0.06
2012
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.07
0.21
0.29
0.16
0.46
0.62
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.14
0.39
0.52
0.02
0.05
0.06
2013
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.02
0.05
0.07
2014
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.18
0.50
0.68
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.15
0.42
0.57
0.02
0.05
0.07
2015
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.11
0.31
0.41
0.18
0.52
0.70
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.02
0.05
0.07
2016
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.08
0.21
0.29
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.19
0.53
0.71
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.16
0.44
0.60
0.02
0.05
0.07
2017
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.10
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.12
0.33
0.44
0.19
0.54
0.72
0.07
0.20
0.26
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.02
0.06
0.08
2018
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.12
0.34
0.45
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.16
0.46
0.62
0.02
0.06
0.08
2019
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.19
0.55
0.74
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.16
0.46
0.63
0.02
0.06
0.08
2020
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.20
0.56
0.75
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.16
0.47
0.63
0.02
0.06
0.08
2021
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.07
0.20
0.28
0.17
0.47
0.64
0.02
0.06
0.08
2022
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.12
0.35
0.48
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.17
0.48
0.64
0.02
0.06
0.08
2023
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.13
0.36
0.48
0.20
0.57
0.77
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.02
0.06
0.08
2024
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.08
0.24
0.33
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.20
0.57
0.77
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.02
0.06
0.08
2025
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.09
0.24
0.33
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.20
0.58
0.78
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.17
0.49
0.66
0.02
0.06
0.08
2026
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.09
0.24
0.33
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.20
0.58
0.78
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.17
0.49
0.66
0.02
0.06
0.08
2027
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.09
0.24
0.33
0.13
0.37
0.49
0.20
0.58
0.78
0.07
0.21
0.29
0.17
0.49
0.66
0.02
0.06
0.08
Total
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.44
1.26
1.70
0.45
1.27
1.71
1.36
3.88
5.24
2.03
5.79
7.83
3.51
####
####
1.28
3.64
4.93
2.96
8.44
####
0.37
1.04
1.41
Avg.
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.05
0.16
0.21
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.14
0.40
0.54
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.01
0.04
0.06
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Exhibit
E.
17c
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
Ground
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2
];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
17a.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
1.92
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.09
0.27
0.36
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.22
0.63
0.85
0.18
0.52
0.70
2007
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.14
0.40
0.54
0.53
1.50
2.03
0.44
1.24
1.67
2008
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.08
0.22
0.29
0.38
1.07
1.45
0.23
0.66
0.89
0.88
2.50
3.38
0.72
2.06
2.79
2009
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.54
1.53
2.07
0.33
0.95
1.28
1.26
3.58
4.84
1.04
2.96
4.00
2010
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.14
0.41
0.56
0.71
2.02
2.73
0.44
1.25
1.69
1.66
4.72
6.38
1.37
3.90
5.27
2011
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.08
0.24
0.33
0.18
0.52
0.70
0.89
2.53
3.41
0.55
1.56
2.11
2.07
5.90
7.98
1.71
4.87
6.59
2012
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.22
0.62
0.84
0.98
2.78
3.75
0.60
1.72
2.32
2.28
6.49
8.77
1.88
5.36
7.24
2013
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.26
0.73
0.99
1.03
2.94
3.97
0.64
1.82
2.45
2.41
6.86
9.27
1.99
5.67
7.66
2014
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.14
0.39
0.53
0.30
0.84
1.14
1.07
3.05
4.12
0.66
1.89
2.55
2.50
7.13
9.63
2.07
5.89
7.95
2015
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.15
0.42
0.57
0.32
0.90
1.21
1.10
3.14
4.24
0.68
1.94
2.62
2.57
7.33
9.90
2.13
6.05
8.18
2016
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.33
0.93
1.26
1.13
3.20
4.33
0.70
1.98
2.68
2.63
7.49
10.12
2.17
6.18
8.35
2017
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.34
0.96
1.30
1.15
3.26
4.41
0.71
2.02
2.72
2.68
7.62
10.29
2.21
6.29
8.50
2018
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.16
0.46
0.62
0.35
0.98
1.33
1.16
3.31
4.47
0.72
2.04
2.76
2.71
7.72
10.44
2.24
6.38
8.62
2019
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.16
0.47
0.63
0.35
1.00
1.35
1.18
3.34
4.52
0.73
2.07
2.79
2.75
7.81
10.56
2.27
6.45
8.72
2020
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.17
0.47
0.64
0.36
1.01
1.37
1.19
3.38
4.57
0.73
2.09
2.82
2.77
7.89
10.67
2.29
6.52
8.81
2021
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.36
1.03
1.39
1.20
3.41
4.61
0.74
2.11
2.85
2.80
7.96
10.76
2.31
6.57
8.88
2022
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.17
0.48
0.66
0.36
1.04
1.40
1.21
3.43
4.64
0.75
2.12
2.87
2.82
8.02
10.84
2.33
6.62
8.95
2023
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.17
0.49
0.66
0.37
1.04
1.41
1.21
3.46
4.67
0.75
2.14
2.89
2.84
8.08
10.91
2.34
6.67
9.01
2024
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.17
0.49
0.67
0.37
1.05
1.42
1.22
3.48
4.70
0.76
2.15
2.90
2.85
8.12
10.98
2.36
6.71
9.07
2025
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.17
0.50
0.67
0.37
1.06
1.43
1.23
3.50
4.72
0.76
2.16
2.92
2.87
8.17
11.04
2.37
6.74
9.11
2026
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.18
0.50
0.67
0.37
1.07
1.44
1.23
3.51
4.75
0.76
2.17
2.93
2.88
8.21
11.09
2.38
6.78
9.16
2027
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.18
0.50
0.68
0.38
1.07
1.45
1.24
3.53
4.77
0.77
2.18
2.95
2.90
8.24
11.14
2.39
6.81
9.20
Total
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.58
1.66
2.25
0.69
1.98
2.67
2.79
7.95
10.74
5.96
16.98
22.94
21.35
60.77
82.12
13.20
37.56
50.76
49.88
141.97
191.85
41.19
117.24
158.43
Avg.
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.24
0.68
0.92
0.85
2.43
3.28
0.53
1.50
2.03
2.00
5.68
7.67
1.65
4.69
6.34
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.

Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
17a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
20.88
Exhibit
E.
17d
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
50,001­
100,000
All
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.11
0.16
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.69
1.97
2.66
0.46
1.31
1.77
1.82
5.17
6.99
1.58
4.50
6.08
2007
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.26
0.75
1.02
1.64
4.68
6.32
1.10
3.13
4.22
4.32
12.31
16.63
3.76
10.71
14.47
2008
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.16
0.46
0.62
0.44
1.25
1.69
2.74
7.80
10.54
1.83
5.21
7.04
7.21
20.51
27.72
6.27
17.85
24.12
2009
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.23
0.65
0.88
0.63
1.80
2.43
3.93
11.18
15.10
2.62
7.47
10.09
10.33
29.39
39.72
8.99
25.58
34.56
2010
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.30
0.86
1.16
0.83
2.37
3.20
5.18
14.73
19.91
3.46
9.84
13.30
13.61
38.75
52.36
11.85
33.72
45.56
2011
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.38
1.08
1.46
1.04
2.96
4.00
6.47
18.42
24.90
4.32
12.31
16.63
17.03
48.46
65.48
14.82
42.17
56.98
2012
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.46
1.30
1.76
1.26
3.57
4.83
7.12
20.25
27.37
4.75
13.53
18.28
18.72
53.27
71.99
16.29
46.35
62.64
2013
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.09
0.27
0.36
0.54
1.53
2.06
1.47
4.20
5.67
7.53
21.42
28.94
5.03
14.31
19.34
19.79
56.33
76.12
17.22
49.02
66.24
2014
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.11
0.31
0.41
0.62
1.76
2.37
1.70
4.83
6.53
7.82
22.24
30.06
5.22
14.86
20.08
20.56
58.51
79.07
17.89
50.91
68.80
2015
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.11
0.33
0.44
0.66
1.88
2.54
1.81
5.16
6.97
8.04
22.87
30.91
5.37
15.28
20.65
21.14
60.16
81.29
18.39
52.34
70.74
2016
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.20
0.26
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.69
1.95
2.64
1.89
5.37
7.26
8.21
23.37
31.58
5.48
15.61
21.09
21.59
61.46
83.05
18.79
53.48
72.27
2017
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.71
2.01
2.72
1.94
5.53
7.47
8.35
23.77
32.12
5.58
15.88
21.46
21.97
62.52
84.48
19.11
54.40
73.51
2018
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.13
0.36
0.48
0.72
2.06
2.78
1.99
5.65
7.64
8.47
24.10
32.57
5.66
16.10
21.76
22.28
63.40
85.68
19.38
55.17
74.55
2019
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.73
2.09
2.83
2.02
5.75
7.77
8.57
24.39
32.96
5.72
16.29
22.02
22.54
64.15
86.69
19.61
55.82
75.43
2020
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.21
0.29
0.13
0.37
0.50
0.74
2.12
2.86
2.05
5.83
7.88
8.66
24.63
33.29
5.78
16.46
22.24
22.77
64.79
87.56
19.81
56.38
76.19
2021
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.21
0.29
0.13
0.37
0.50
0.75
2.14
2.90
2.07
5.90
7.97
8.73
24.85
33.58
5.83
16.60
22.43
22.96
65.36
88.32
19.98
56.87
76.85
2022
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.22
0.29
0.13
0.38
0.51
0.76
2.17
2.93
2.09
5.95
8.05
8.80
25.04
33.83
5.88
16.73
22.60
23.14
65.85
88.99
20.13
57.30
77.43
2023
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.13
0.38
0.51
0.77
2.18
2.95
2.11
6.01
8.12
8.86
25.20
34.06
5.92
16.84
22.75
23.29
66.29
89.58
20.27
57.68
77.95
2024
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.13
0.38
0.52
0.77
2.20
2.97
2.13
6.05
8.18
8.91
25.35
34.26
5.95
16.94
22.89
23.43
66.68
90.11
20.39
58.02
78.41
2025
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.14
0.39
0.52
0.78
2.21
2.99
2.14
6.09
8.23
8.96
25.49
34.44
5.98
17.03
23.01
23.55
67.04
90.59
20.50
58.33
78.83
2026
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.14
0.39
0.52
0.78
2.23
3.01
2.15
6.12
8.28
9.00
25.61
34.61
6.01
17.11
23.12
23.67
67.36
91.03
20.59
58.61
79.21
2027
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.14
0.39
0.53
0.79
2.24
3.03
2.16
6.16
8.32
9.04
25.72
34.76
6.04
17.18
23.22
23.77
67.65
91.42
20.68
58.87
79.55
Total
0.17
0.49
0.66
1.25
3.55
4.80
2.17
6.17
8.34
12.47
35.51
47.98
34.30
97.61
131.90
155.68
443.09
598.77
104.00
296.01
400.02
409.47
1,165.40
1,574.87
356.29
1,014.07
1,370.36
Avg.
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.09
0.25
0.33
0.50
1.42
1.92
1.37
3.90
5.28
6.23
17.72
23.95
4.16
11.84
16.00
16.38
46.62
62.99
14.25
40.56
54.81
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.

Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
17a.
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
165.51
Exhibit
E.
17e
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
Surface
Water
Systems,
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.05
0.16
0.21
0.13
0.37
0.50
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.01
0.04
0.05
2007
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.13
0.37
0.50
0.31
0.89
1.20
0.11
0.32
0.44
0.26
0.75
1.01
0.03
0.09
0.13
2008
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.15
0.42
0.56
0.22
0.62
0.84
0.52
1.48
2.00
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.44
1.25
1.69
0.05
0.15
0.21
2009
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.07
0.20
0.26
0.21
0.60
0.81
0.31
0.89
1.20
0.75
2.13
2.88
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.63
1.80
2.43
0.08
0.22
0.30
2010
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.28
0.79
1.06
0.41
1.18
1.59
0.99
2.81
3.80
0.36
1.03
1.39
0.83
2.37
3.21
0.10
0.29
0.40
2011
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.11
0.32
0.44
0.35
0.99
1.33
0.52
1.47
1.99
1.24
3.52
4.76
0.45
1.28
1.74
1.04
2.97
4.02
0.13
0.37
0.50
2012
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.14
0.39
0.52
0.14
0.39
0.53
0.42
1.19
1.61
0.62
1.78
2.40
1.36
3.88
5.25
0.50
1.42
1.91
1.15
3.28
4.43
0.14
0.40
0.55
2013
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.16
0.46
0.62
0.49
1.40
1.89
0.73
2.09
2.82
1.45
4.11
5.56
0.53
1.50
2.03
1.22
3.47
4.69
0.15
0.43
0.58
2014
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.18
0.52
0.71
0.19
0.53
0.71
0.57
1.61
2.18
0.85
2.41
3.25
1.50
4.28
5.78
0.55
1.56
2.11
1.27
3.61
4.88
0.16
0.45
0.60
2015
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.20
0.56
0.75
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.61
1.73
2.33
0.91
2.58
3.48
1.55
4.41
5.95
0.56
1.61
2.17
1.31
3.72
5.02
0.16
0.46
0.62
2016
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.20
0.58
0.79
0.21
0.59
0.80
0.63
1.80
2.43
0.94
2.69
3.63
1.58
4.51
6.09
0.58
1.64
2.22
1.34
3.80
5.14
0.17
0.47
0.64
2017
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.21
0.60
0.81
0.21
0.61
0.82
0.65
1.86
2.51
0.97
2.77
3.74
1.61
4.59
6.20
0.59
1.67
2.26
1.36
3.87
5.23
0.17
0.48
0.65
2018
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.22
0.61
0.83
0.22
0.62
0.84
0.67
1.90
2.57
1.00
2.83
3.83
1.64
4.66
6.29
0.60
1.70
2.30
1.38
3.93
5.31
0.17
0.49
0.66
2019
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.22
0.63
0.84
0.22
0.63
0.85
0.68
1.93
2.61
1.01
2.88
3.90
1.66
4.72
6.37
0.60
1.72
2.32
1.40
3.98
5.38
0.17
0.49
0.66
2020
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.22
0.63
0.86
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.69
1.96
2.65
1.03
2.93
3.96
1.67
4.77
6.44
0.61
1.74
2.35
1.41
4.02
5.44
0.17
0.50
0.67
2021
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.23
0.65
0.88
0.70
1.99
2.68
1.04
2.96
4.01
1.69
4.81
6.50
0.62
1.75
2.37
1.43
4.06
5.49
0.18
0.50
0.68
2022
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.23
0.65
0.88
0.23
0.66
0.89
0.71
2.01
2.71
1.05
3.00
4.05
1.70
4.85
6.55
0.62
1.77
2.39
1.44
4.09
5.53
0.18
0.51
0.68
2023
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.23
0.66
0.89
0.23
0.66
0.89
0.71
2.03
2.74
1.06
3.02
4.08
1.72
4.89
6.60
0.63
1.78
2.41
1.45
4.12
5.57
0.18
0.51
0.69
2024
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.23
0.66
0.89
0.23
0.67
0.90
0.72
2.04
2.76
1.07
3.05
4.12
1.73
4.92
6.64
0.63
1.79
2.42
1.46
4.15
5.61
0.18
0.51
0.69
2025
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.23
0.66
0.90
0.24
0.67
0.91
0.72
2.06
2.78
1.08
3.07
4.15
1.74
4.94
6.68
0.63
1.80
2.44
1.47
4.17
5.64
0.18
0.52
0.70
2026
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.24
0.67
0.90
0.24
0.68
0.91
0.73
2.07
2.80
1.08
3.09
4.17
1.75
4.97
6.72
0.64
1.81
2.45
1.47
4.19
5.67
0.18
0.52
0.70
2027
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.24
0.67
0.91
0.24
0.68
0.92
0.73
2.08
2.81
1.09
3.10
4.19
1.75
4.99
6.75
0.64
1.82
2.46
1.48
4.21
5.69
0.18
0.52
0.70
Total
0.58
1.64
2.22
3.73
10.60
14.33
3.77
10.72
14.48
11.52
32.79
44.30
17.19
48.92
66.11
30.04
85.50
115.55
10.95
31.18
42.13
25.35
72.15
97.50
3.13
8.92
12.05
Avg.
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.15
0.42
0.57
0.15
0.43
0.58
0.46
1.31
1.77
0.69
1.96
2.64
1.20
3.42
4.62
0.44
1.25
1.69
1.01
2.89
3.90
0.13
0.36
0.48
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2
];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
16
and
E.
17a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
16.35
Exhibit
E.
17f
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
50,001­
100,000
Ground
Water
Systems,
High
(
17%)
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.83
2.35
3.18
0.51
1.45
1.97
1.93
5.50
7.43
1.60
4.54
6.13
2007
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.19
0.53
0.72
0.40
1.14
1.54
1.97
5.60
7.57
1.22
3.46
4.68
4.60
13.09
17.68
3.80
10.81
14.60
2008
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.31
0.89
1.20
0.67
1.90
2.57
3.28
9.33
12.61
2.03
5.77
7.80
7.66
21.81
29.47
6.33
18.01
24.34
2009
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.09
0.27
0.36
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.45
1.28
1.73
0.96
2.73
3.68
4.70
13.38
18.08
2.91
8.27
11.17
10.98
31.25
42.23
9.07
25.81
34.87
2010
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.12
0.35
0.48
0.15
0.42
0.57
0.59
1.68
2.27
1.26
3.59
4.86
6.20
17.63
23.83
3.83
10.90
14.73
14.47
41.20
55.67
11.95
34.02
45.97
2011
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.18
0.52
0.71
0.74
2.11
2.84
1.58
4.50
6.08
7.75
22.05
29.80
4.79
13.63
18.42
18.10
51.52
69.62
14.95
42.54
57.49
2012
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.19
0.53
0.72
0.22
0.63
0.85
0.89
2.54
3.43
1.90
5.42
7.33
8.52
24.24
32.76
5.26
14.98
20.25
19.90
56.63
76.53
16.43
46.77
63.20
2013
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.22
0.62
0.84
0.26
0.74
1.00
1.05
2.98
4.03
2.24
6.37
8.61
9.01
25.63
34.64
5.57
15.85
21.41
21.04
59.89
80.93
17.38
49.46
66.83
2014
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.25
0.72
0.97
0.30
0.85
1.15
1.21
3.43
4.64
2.58
7.33
9.91
9.35
26.62
35.98
5.78
16.46
22.24
21.86
62.20
84.06
18.05
51.37
69.42
2015
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.32
0.91
1.23
1.29
3.67
4.95
2.75
7.83
10.58
9.62
27.37
36.99
5.95
16.92
22.87
22.47
63.96
86.43
18.56
52.81
71.37
2016
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.28
0.80
1.08
0.33
0.95
1.28
1.34
3.82
5.16
2.87
8.15
11.02
9.83
27.97
37.79
6.07
17.29
23.36
22.96
65.34
88.30
18.96
53.96
72.91
2017
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.29
0.82
1.11
0.34
0.98
1.32
1.38
3.93
5.31
2.95
8.39
11.34
10.00
28.45
38.44
6.18
17.59
23.76
23.35
66.47
89.82
19.28
54.89
74.17
2018
0.04
0.13
0.17
0.30
0.84
1.13
0.35
1.00
1.35
1.41
4.02
5.43
3.01
8.58
11.59
10.14
28.85
38.99
6.27
17.83
24.10
23.68
67.40
91.09
19.56
55.66
75.22
2019
0.05
0.13
0.17
0.30
0.85
1.15
0.36
1.02
1.37
1.44
4.09
5.52
3.07
8.72
11.79
10.26
29.19
39.45
6.34
18.04
24.38
23.96
68.20
92.16
19.79
56.32
76.11
2020
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.30
0.87
1.17
0.36
1.03
1.39
1.46
4.14
5.60
3.11
8.85
11.95
10.36
29.48
39.84
6.40
18.23
24.63
24.20
68.89
93.09
19.99
56.89
76.87
2021
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.31
0.88
1.18
0.37
1.04
1.41
1.47
4.19
5.66
3.14
8.95
12.09
10.45
29.74
40.19
6.46
18.38
24.84
24.41
69.48
93.90
20.16
57.38
77.54
2022
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.31
0.88
1.20
0.37
1.05
1.42
1.49
4.23
5.72
3.18
9.04
12.21
10.53
29.97
40.49
6.51
18.52
25.03
24.60
70.01
94.61
20.31
57.81
78.13
2023
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.31
0.89
1.21
0.37
1.06
1.43
1.50
4.27
5.77
3.20
9.11
12.32
10.60
30.17
40.76
6.55
18.65
25.20
24.76
70.48
95.24
20.45
58.20
78.65
2024
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.32
0.90
1.22
0.38
1.07
1.44
1.51
4.30
5.81
3.23
9.18
12.41
10.66
30.34
41.01
6.59
18.76
25.35
24.91
70.90
95.80
20.57
58.54
79.11
2025
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.32
0.90
1.22
0.38
1.08
1.45
1.52
4.33
5.85
3.25
9.24
12.49
10.72
30.51
41.22
6.63
18.86
25.48
25.04
71.27
96.31
20.68
58.86
79.54
2026
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.32
0.91
1.23
0.38
1.08
1.46
1.53
4.35
5.88
3.27
9.30
12.56
10.77
30.65
41.42
6.66
18.95
25.61
25.16
71.61
96.78
20.78
59.14
79.92
2027
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.32
0.91
1.24
0.38
1.09
1.47
1.54
4.38
5.91
3.28
9.34
12.63
10.82
30.79
41.60
6.69
19.03
25.72
25.27
71.93
97.20
20.87
59.40
80.26
Total
0.77
2.19
2.95
5.10
14.51
19.60
6.06
17.25
23.31
24.37
69.37
93.75
52.05
148.15
200.20
186.33
530.33
716.66
115.18
327.82
443.00
435.33
1,239.02
1,674.35
359.49
1,023.17
1,382.66
Avg.
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.20
0.58
0.78
0.24
0.69
0.93
0.97
2.77
3.75
2.08
5.93
8.01
7.45
21.21
28.67
4.61
13.11
17.72
17.41
49.56
66.97
14.38
40.93
55.31
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Exhibit
E.
17g
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
All
Water
Systems,
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.

Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
17a.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
182.26
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
E.
6.2
Projection
of
Cases
­
Preferred
Alternative
HAA5
as
Indicator
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Annual
Existing
Cancer
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
DBPR
Annual
Existing
Cancer
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
Annual
Reductions
in
Bladder
Cancer
Cases
Attributable
to
the
Stage
2
DBPR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
<
100
0.12
0.65
0.77
<
100
0.11
0.64
0.75
<
100
0.01
0.01
0.02
101­
500
0.85
4.20
5.05
101­
500
0.81
4.11
4.91
101­
500
0.04
0.09
0.13
501­
1,000
1.47
4.25
5.71
501­
1,000
1.40
4.15
5.55
501­
1,000
0.07
0.09
0.16
1,001­
3,300
8.44
12.99
21.43
1,001­
3,300
8.05
12.70
20.75
1,001­
3,300
0.40
0.29
0.68
3,301­
10,000
23.22
19.38
42.59
3,301­
10,000
22.12
18.95
41.07
3,301­
10,000
1.09
0.43
1.52
10,001­
50,000
96.27
39.99
136.27
10,001­
50,000
91.74
39.32
131.06
10,001­
50,000
4.53
0.67
5.21
50,001­
100,000
64.32
14.58
78.90
50,001­
100,000
61.29
14.34
75.62
50,001­
100,000
3.03
0.25
3.28
100,001­
1
Million
253.22
33.75
286.96
100,001­
1
Million
241.29
33.18
274.47
100,001­
1
Million
11.93
0.57
12.50
>
1
Million
220.34
4.17
224.51
>
1
Million
209.96
4.10
214.06
>
1
Million
10.38
0.07
10.45
Total
668.24
133.95
802.19
Total
636.76
131.49
768.24
Total
31.48
2.47
33.95
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
<
100
1.01
5.68
6.70
<
100
0.97
5.56
6.52
<
100
0.05
0.13
0.17
101­
500
7.37
36.66
44.03
101­
500
7.03
35.85
42.88
101­
500
0.35
0.81
1.15
501­
1,000
12.82
37.05
49.87
501­
1,000
12.21
36.24
48.45
501­
1,000
0.60
0.82
1.42
1,001­
3,300
73.70
113.33
187.03
1,001­
3,300
70.23
110.84
181.07
1,001­
3,300
3.47
2.49
5.97
3,301­
10,000
202.62
169.12
371.73
3,301­
10,000
193.07
165.39
358.47
3,301­
10,000
9.54
3.72
13.27
10,001­
50,000
840.21
349.04
1,189.24
10,001­
50,000
800.63
343.16
1,143.79
10,001­
50,000
39.58
5.87
45.45
50,001­
100,000
561.32
127.26
688.58
50,001­
100,000
534.88
125.12
660.00
50,001­
100,000
26.44
2.14
28.58
100,001­
1
Million
2,209.90
294.51
2,504.42
100,001­
1
Million
2,105.81
289.56
2,395.36
100,001­
1
Million
104.10
4.95
109.05
>
1
Million
1,922.93
36.41
1,959.34
>
1
Million
1,832.35
35.79
1,868.15
>
1
Million
90.58
0.61
91.19
Total
5,831.88
1,169.05
7,000.93
Total
5,557.17
1,147.51
6,704.68
Total
274.71
21.54
296.25
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
Exhibit
E.
18a
Expanded
Cancer
Case
Inputs
for
Benefits
Quantification
(
HAA5
­
Preferred
Alternative)

System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
Source:
Derived
from
figures
presented
in
Appendix
E.
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)

System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.21
0.61
0.82
0.19
0.53
0.72
2007
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.19
0.55
0.74
0.13
0.37
0.50
0.51
1.45
1.96
0.44
1.26
1.70
2008
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.32
0.92
1.24
0.22
0.61
0.83
0.85
2.41
3.26
0.74
2.10
2.84
2009
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.07
0.21
0.29
0.46
1.31
1.78
0.31
0.88
1.19
1.22
3.46
4.67
1.06
3.01
4.07
2010
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.61
1.73
2.34
0.41
1.16
1.56
1.60
4.56
6.16
1.39
3.97
5.36
2011
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.13
0.17
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.76
2.17
2.93
0.51
1.45
1.96
2.00
5.70
7.70
1.74
4.96
6.70
2012
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.15
0.42
0.57
0.84
2.38
3.22
0.56
1.59
2.15
2.20
6.27
8.47
1.92
5.45
7.37
2013
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.17
0.49
0.67
0.89
2.52
3.41
0.59
1.68
2.28
2.33
6.63
8.96
2.03
5.77
7.79
2014
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.20
0.57
0.77
0.92
2.62
3.54
0.61
1.75
2.36
2.42
6.88
9.30
2.10
5.99
8.09
2015
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.21
0.61
0.82
0.95
2.69
3.64
0.63
1.80
2.43
2.49
7.08
9.56
2.16
6.16
8.32
2016
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.22
0.63
0.85
0.97
2.75
3.72
0.65
1.84
2.48
2.54
7.23
9.77
2.21
6.29
8.50
2017
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.23
0.65
0.88
0.98
2.80
3.78
0.66
1.87
2.52
2.58
7.36
9.94
2.25
6.40
8.65
2018
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.24
0.33
0.23
0.66
0.90
1.00
2.84
3.83
0.67
1.89
2.56
2.62
7.46
10.08
2.28
6.49
8.77
2019
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.09
0.25
0.33
0.24
0.68
0.91
1.01
2.87
3.88
0.67
1.92
2.59
2.65
7.55
10.20
2.31
6.57
8.88
2020
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.24
0.69
0.93
1.02
2.90
3.92
0.68
1.94
2.62
2.68
7.62
10.30
2.33
6.63
8.96
2021
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.24
0.69
0.94
1.03
2.92
3.95
0.69
1.95
2.64
2.70
7.69
10.39
2.35
6.69
9.04
2022
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.25
0.70
0.95
1.04
2.95
3.98
0.69
1.97
2.66
2.72
7.75
10.47
2.37
6.74
9.11
2023
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.25
0.71
0.95
1.04
2.97
4.01
0.70
1.98
2.68
2.74
7.80
10.54
2.38
6.79
9.17
2024
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.25
0.71
0.96
1.05
2.98
4.03
0.70
1.99
2.69
2.76
7.85
10.60
2.40
6.83
9.23
2025
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.25
0.72
0.97
1.05
3.00
4.05
0.70
2.00
2.71
2.77
7.89
10.66
2.41
6.86
9.27
2026
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.25
0.72
0.97
1.06
3.01
4.07
0.71
2.01
2.72
2.78
7.93
10.71
2.42
6.90
9.32
2027
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.09
0.26
0.36
0.25
0.72
0.98
1.06
3.03
4.09
0.71
2.02
2.73
2.80
7.96
10.76
2.43
6.93
9.36
Total
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.15
0.42
0.56
0.26
0.73
0.98
1.47
4.18
5.65
4.04
####
15.52
####
####
####
####
####
####
####
#####
#####
####
#####
#####

Avg.
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.16
0.46
0.62
0.73
2.09
2.82
0.49
1.39
1.88
1.93
5.48
7.41
1.68
4.77
6.45
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
HAA5
­
Preferred
Alternative
19.47
Exhibit
E.
18b
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
Surface
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
18a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.00
0.00
0.00
2007
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.00
0.01
0.01
2008
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.04
0.11
0.16
0.00
0.01
0.02
2009
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.06
0.07
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.07
0.20
0.26
0.02
0.07
0.10
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.01
0.02
0.03
2010
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.08
0.22
0.29
0.01
0.03
0.04
2011
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.01
0.03
0.05
2012
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.12
0.35
0.48
0.05
0.13
0.17
0.10
0.30
0.40
0.01
0.04
0.05
2013
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.06
0.01
0.04
0.06
0.05
0.13
0.17
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.13
0.37
0.51
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.01
0.04
0.05
2014
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.14
0.39
0.52
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.12
0.33
0.44
0.01
0.04
0.05
2015
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.06
0.16
0.21
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.14
0.40
0.54
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.01
0.04
0.06
2016
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.06
0.17
0.22
0.09
0.25
0.33
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.12
0.34
0.47
0.01
0.04
0.06
2017
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.15
0.41
0.56
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.02
0.04
0.06
2018
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.15
0.42
0.57
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.12
0.36
0.48
0.02
0.04
0.06
2019
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.09
0.26
0.36
0.15
0.43
0.58
0.05
0.16
0.21
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.02
0.04
0.06
2020
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.09
0.27
0.36
0.15
0.43
0.58
0.06
0.16
0.21
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.02
0.04
0.06
2021
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.15
0.43
0.59
0.06
0.16
0.21
0.13
0.37
0.49
0.02
0.05
0.06
2022
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.13
0.37
0.50
0.02
0.05
0.06
2023
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.10
0.28
0.37
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.13
0.37
0.50
0.02
0.05
0.06
2024
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.10
0.28
0.37
0.16
0.44
0.60
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.13
0.37
0.50
0.02
0.05
0.06
2025
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.16
0.44
0.60
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.13
0.38
0.51
0.02
0.05
0.06
2026
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.16
0.45
0.60
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.13
0.38
0.51
0.02
0.05
0.06
2027
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.13
0.38
0.51
0.02
0.05
0.06
Total
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.34
0.97
1.31
0.34
0.98
1.33
1.05
3.00
4.05
1.57
4.48
6.05
2.72
7.73
####
0.99
2.82
3.81
2.29
6.53
8.82
0.28
0.81
1.09
Avg.
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.01
0.03
0.04
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2
];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
18a.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
1.48
Exhibit
E.
18c
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
Ground
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
HAA5
­
Preferred
Alternative
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.09
0.27
0.36
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.22
0.64
0.86
0.19
0.53
0.72
2007
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.06
0.07
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.22
0.63
0.85
0.14
0.40
0.54
0.53
1.52
2.05
0.45
1.27
1.71
2008
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.37
1.05
1.42
0.23
0.66
0.90
0.89
2.53
3.42
0.74
2.11
2.86
2009
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.10
0.29
0.40
0.53
1.51
2.04
0.33
0.95
1.28
1.27
3.62
4.90
1.06
3.03
4.09
2010
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.01
0.04
0.06
0.06
0.17
0.24
0.14
0.39
0.52
0.70
1.99
2.69
0.44
1.25
1.69
1.68
4.78
6.45
1.40
3.99
5.40
2011
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.06
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.08
0.22
0.29
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.87
2.49
3.36
0.55
1.57
2.12
2.10
5.97
8.07
1.75
4.99
6.75
2012
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.21
0.58
0.79
0.96
2.74
3.70
0.60
1.72
2.33
2.31
6.57
8.87
1.93
5.49
7.42
2013
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.24
0.69
0.93
1.02
2.89
3.91
0.64
1.82
2.46
2.44
6.94
9.38
2.04
5.81
7.85
2014
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.12
0.36
0.48
0.28
0.79
1.07
1.06
3.01
4.06
0.66
1.89
2.55
2.53
7.21
9.75
2.12
6.03
8.15
2015
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.13
0.38
0.51
0.30
0.84
1.14
1.09
3.09
4.18
0.68
1.94
2.63
2.61
7.41
10.02
2.18
6.20
8.38
2016
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.14
0.40
0.53
0.31
0.88
1.19
1.11
3.16
4.27
0.70
1.99
2.68
2.66
7.58
10.24
2.23
6.33
8.56
2017
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.32
0.90
1.22
1.13
3.21
4.34
0.71
2.02
2.73
2.71
7.71
10.41
2.26
6.44
8.71
2018
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.15
0.42
0.56
0.32
0.92
1.25
1.14
3.26
4.40
0.72
2.05
2.77
2.75
7.81
10.56
2.30
6.53
8.83
2019
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.15
0.42
0.57
0.33
0.94
1.27
1.16
3.30
4.45
0.73
2.07
2.80
2.78
7.91
10.69
2.32
6.61
8.94
2020
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.15
0.43
0.58
0.33
0.95
1.29
1.17
3.33
4.50
0.74
2.09
2.83
2.81
7.99
10.79
2.35
6.68
9.03
2021
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.15
0.43
0.59
0.34
0.96
1.30
1.18
3.36
4.54
0.74
2.11
2.85
2.83
8.06
10.89
2.37
6.74
9.10
2022
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.34
0.97
1.32
1.19
3.38
4.57
0.75
2.13
2.87
2.85
8.12
10.97
2.38
6.79
9.17
2023
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.16
0.44
0.60
0.35
0.98
1.33
1.20
3.41
4.60
0.75
2.14
2.89
2.87
8.17
11.04
2.40
6.83
9.23
2024
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.16
0.44
0.60
0.35
0.99
1.34
1.20
3.43
4.63
0.76
2.15
2.91
2.89
8.22
11.11
2.41
6.87
9.29
2025
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.35
1.00
1.35
1.21
3.44
4.65
0.76
2.17
2.93
2.90
8.26
11.17
2.43
6.91
9.34
2026
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.35
1.00
1.35
1.22
3.46
4.68
0.76
2.18
2.94
2.92
8.30
11.22
2.44
6.94
9.38
2027
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.35
1.01
1.36
1.22
3.48
4.70
0.77
2.19
2.95
2.93
8.34
11.27
2.45
6.97
9.42
Total
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.49
1.39
1.88
0.60
1.71
2.31
2.52
7.18
9.70
5.61
15.96
21.57
21.03
59.87
80.90
13.23
37.65
50.88
50.47
143.65
194.12
42.21
120.12
162.33
Avg.
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.22
0.64
0.86
0.84
2.39
3.24
0.53
1.51
2.04
2.02
5.75
7.76
1.69
4.80
6.49
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.

Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
18a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
HAA5
­
Preferred
Alternative
20.96
Exhibit
E.
18d
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
50,001­
100,000
All
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.11
0.32
0.44
0.71
2.02
2.73
0.47
1.35
1.82
1.87
5.31
7.18
1.62
4.62
6.24
2007
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.27
0.77
1.04
1.69
4.81
6.49
1.13
3.21
4.34
4.44
12.64
17.08
3.86
11.00
14.86
2008
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.16
0.47
0.63
0.45
1.29
1.74
2.81
8.01
10.82
1.88
5.35
7.23
7.40
21.06
28.46
6.44
18.33
24.77
2009
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.24
0.67
0.91
0.65
1.84
2.49
4.03
11.48
15.51
2.69
7.67
10.36
10.60
30.18
40.79
9.23
26.26
35.49
2010
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.31
0.88
1.20
0.85
2.43
3.29
5.32
15.13
20.44
3.55
10.11
13.66
13.98
39.79
53.77
12.17
34.62
46.79
2011
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.39
1.11
1.50
1.07
3.04
4.11
6.65
18.92
25.57
4.44
12.64
17.08
17.48
49.76
67.24
15.21
43.30
58.51
2012
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.47
1.33
1.80
1.29
3.67
4.96
7.31
20.80
28.10
4.88
13.89
18.78
19.22
54.70
73.92
16.72
47.60
64.32
2013
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.16
0.21
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.55
1.57
2.12
1.51
4.31
5.82
7.73
21.99
29.72
5.16
14.69
19.86
20.32
57.85
78.17
17.68
50.33
68.02
2014
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.63
1.80
2.44
1.74
4.96
6.70
8.03
22.84
30.87
5.36
15.26
20.62
21.11
60.08
81.19
18.37
52.28
70.65
2015
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.68
1.93
2.60
1.86
5.30
7.16
8.25
23.49
31.74
5.51
15.69
21.20
21.70
61.77
83.48
18.89
53.75
72.64
2016
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.71
2.01
2.71
1.94
5.52
7.46
8.43
23.99
32.42
5.63
16.03
21.66
22.17
63.11
85.28
19.29
54.91
74.21
2017
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.73
2.07
2.79
1.99
5.68
7.67
8.58
24.41
32.98
5.73
16.31
22.03
22.56
64.20
86.75
19.63
55.86
75.49
2018
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.21
0.29
0.13
0.37
0.50
0.74
2.11
2.85
2.04
5.80
7.84
8.70
24.75
33.45
5.81
16.54
22.35
22.87
65.10
87.98
19.90
56.65
76.55
2019
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.21
0.29
0.13
0.37
0.50
0.75
2.15
2.90
2.07
5.90
7.98
8.80
25.04
33.84
5.88
16.73
22.61
23.14
65.87
89.02
20.14
57.32
77.46
2020
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.22
0.29
0.13
0.38
0.51
0.76
2.18
2.94
2.10
5.99
8.09
8.89
25.30
34.18
5.94
16.90
22.84
23.38
66.53
89.91
20.34
57.89
78.23
2021
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.13
0.38
0.52
0.77
2.20
2.98
2.13
6.05
8.18
8.96
25.52
34.48
5.99
17.05
23.04
23.58
67.11
90.69
20.52
58.40
78.91
2022
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.14
0.39
0.52
0.78
2.22
3.01
2.15
6.11
8.26
9.03
25.71
34.74
6.03
17.18
23.21
23.76
67.62
91.38
20.67
58.84
79.51
2023
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.14
0.39
0.53
0.79
2.24
3.03
2.17
6.17
8.33
9.09
25.88
34.97
6.07
17.29
23.36
23.92
68.07
91.99
20.81
59.23
80.04
2024
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.14
0.39
0.53
0.79
2.26
3.05
2.18
6.21
8.39
9.15
26.03
35.18
6.11
17.39
23.50
24.06
68.47
92.53
20.93
59.58
80.52
2025
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.14
0.40
0.53
0.80
2.27
3.07
2.20
6.25
8.45
9.20
26.17
35.37
6.14
17.49
23.63
24.19
68.84
93.02
21.05
59.90
80.94
2026
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.14
0.40
0.54
0.80
2.29
3.09
2.21
6.29
8.50
9.24
26.30
35.54
6.17
17.57
23.74
24.30
69.17
93.47
21.15
60.19
81.33
2027
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.14
0.40
0.54
0.81
2.30
3.11
2.22
6.32
8.54
9.28
26.41
35.69
6.20
17.65
23.85
24.41
69.47
93.88
21.24
60.45
81.69
Total
0.18
0.50
0.68
1.28
3.65
4.93
2.23
6.34
8.57
12.81
36.46
49.27
35.22
100.23
135.45
159.86
454.99
614.85
106.80
303.96
410.76
420.46
1,196.70
1,617.17
365.86
1,041.30
1,407.17
Avg.
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.51
1.46
1.97
1.41
4.01
5.42
6.39
18.20
24.59
4.27
12.16
16.43
16.82
47.87
64.69
14.63
41.65
56.29
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.

Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
18a.
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
169.95
Exhibit
E.
18e
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
Surface
Water
Systems,
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
HAA5
­
Preferred
Alternative
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.04
0.13
0.17
0.11
0.30
0.40
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.01
0.03
0.04
2007
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.11
0.30
0.41
0.25
0.71
0.96
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.21
0.60
0.81
0.03
0.07
0.10
2008
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.12
0.34
0.45
0.18
0.50
0.68
0.42
1.19
1.61
0.15
0.43
0.59
0.35
1.00
1.35
0.04
0.12
0.17
2009
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.16
0.21
0.06
0.16
0.21
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.25
0.72
0.97
0.60
1.70
2.30
0.22
0.62
0.84
0.50
1.44
1.94
0.06
0.18
0.24
2010
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.22
0.64
0.86
0.33
0.95
1.28
0.79
2.24
3.03
0.29
0.82
1.11
0.67
1.89
2.56
0.08
0.23
0.32
2011
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.28
0.79
1.07
0.42
1.19
1.60
0.99
2.81
3.79
0.36
1.02
1.38
0.83
2.37
3.20
0.10
0.29
0.40
2012
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.34
0.96
1.29
0.50
1.43
1.93
1.08
3.09
4.17
0.40
1.13
1.52
0.91
2.60
3.52
0.11
0.32
0.43
2013
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.13
0.37
0.50
0.40
1.13
1.52
0.59
1.68
2.27
1.15
3.26
4.41
0.42
1.19
1.61
0.97
2.75
3.72
0.12
0.34
0.46
2014
0.02
0.06
0.09
0.15
0.42
0.57
0.15
0.42
0.57
0.46
1.30
1.75
0.68
1.93
2.61
1.19
3.39
4.58
0.43
1.24
1.67
1.00
2.86
3.86
0.12
0.35
0.48
2015
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.16
0.45
0.60
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.49
1.38
1.87
0.73
2.06
2.79
1.22
3.48
4.71
0.45
1.27
1.72
1.03
2.94
3.97
0.13
0.36
0.49
2016
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.16
0.47
0.63
0.17
0.47
0.64
0.51
1.44
1.95
0.76
2.15
2.91
1.25
3.56
4.81
0.46
1.30
1.75
1.06
3.00
4.06
0.13
0.37
0.50
2017
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.17
0.48
0.66
0.52
1.48
2.00
0.78
2.21
2.99
1.27
3.62
4.89
0.46
1.32
1.78
1.07
3.06
4.13
0.13
0.38
0.51
2018
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.17
0.49
0.66
0.17
0.50
0.67
0.53
1.52
2.05
0.79
2.26
3.06
1.29
3.67
4.96
0.47
1.34
1.81
1.09
3.10
4.19
0.13
0.38
0.52
2019
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.18
0.50
0.67
0.18
0.50
0.68
0.54
1.54
2.08
0.81
2.30
3.11
1.31
3.72
5.02
0.48
1.35
1.83
1.10
3.14
4.24
0.14
0.39
0.52
2020
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.18
0.51
0.68
0.18
0.51
0.69
0.55
1.56
2.11
0.82
2.33
3.15
1.32
3.75
5.07
0.48
1.37
1.85
1.11
3.17
4.28
0.14
0.39
0.53
2021
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.18
0.51
0.69
0.18
0.52
0.70
0.56
1.58
2.14
0.83
2.36
3.19
1.33
3.79
5.12
0.48
1.38
1.87
1.12
3.19
4.32
0.14
0.39
0.53
2022
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.18
0.52
0.70
0.18
0.52
0.71
0.56
1.60
2.16
0.84
2.38
3.22
1.34
3.81
5.15
0.49
1.39
1.88
1.13
3.22
4.35
0.14
0.40
0.54
2023
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.18
0.52
0.70
0.19
0.53
0.71
0.57
1.61
2.18
0.84
2.40
3.25
1.35
3.84
5.19
0.49
1.40
1.89
1.14
3.24
4.38
0.14
0.40
0.54
2024
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.18
0.52
0.71
0.19
0.53
0.72
0.57
1.62
2.19
0.85
2.42
3.27
1.36
3.86
5.22
0.49
1.41
1.90
1.15
3.26
4.40
0.14
0.40
0.54
2025
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.19
0.53
0.71
0.19
0.53
0.72
0.57
1.63
2.21
0.86
2.44
3.29
1.36
3.88
5.25
0.50
1.42
1.91
1.15
3.28
4.43
0.14
0.41
0.55
2026
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.19
0.53
0.72
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.58
1.64
2.22
0.86
2.45
3.31
1.37
3.90
5.27
0.50
1.42
1.92
1.16
3.29
4.45
0.14
0.41
0.55
2027
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.19
0.53
0.72
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.58
1.65
2.23
0.87
2.46
3.33
1.38
3.92
5.30
0.50
1.43
1.93
1.16
3.31
4.47
0.14
0.41
0.55
Total
0.46
1.31
1.77
2.98
8.47
11.45
3.01
8.56
11.57
9.20
26.19
35.39
13.73
39.07
52.80
23.72
67.50
91.22
8.65
24.61
33.26
20.01
56.96
76.97
2.47
7.04
9.51
Avg.
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.37
1.05
1.42
0.55
1.56
2.11
0.95
2.70
3.65
0.35
0.98
1.33
0.80
2.28
3.08
0.10
0.28
0.38
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
HAA5
­
Preferred
Alternative
12.96
Exhibit
E.
18f
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
50,001­
100,000
Ground
Water
Systems,
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.

Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
18a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.81
2.32
3.13
0.51
1.46
1.97
1.95
5.56
7.52
1.63
4.65
6.29
2007
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.04
0.11
0.16
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.38
1.07
1.45
1.94
5.52
7.46
1.22
3.47
4.69
4.65
13.24
17.89
3.89
11.07
14.96
2008
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.16
0.21
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.28
0.80
1.09
0.63
1.79
2.42
3.23
9.20
12.43
2.03
5.78
7.81
7.75
22.06
29.82
6.48
18.45
24.93
2009
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.41
1.15
1.56
0.90
2.56
3.47
4.63
13.18
17.81
2.91
8.29
11.20
11.11
31.62
42.73
9.29
26.44
35.73
2010
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.10
0.29
0.40
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.53
1.52
2.05
1.19
3.38
4.57
6.10
17.37
23.48
3.84
10.93
14.76
14.65
41.68
56.33
12.25
34.86
47.11
2011
0.02
0.06
0.07
0.13
0.37
0.50
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.67
1.90
2.57
1.49
4.23
5.71
7.63
21.73
29.36
4.80
13.66
18.46
18.32
52.13
70.44
15.32
43.59
58.91
2012
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.16
0.44
0.60
0.19
0.55
0.74
0.81
2.29
3.10
1.79
5.10
6.89
8.39
23.88
32.27
5.28
15.02
20.30
20.13
57.30
77.44
16.84
47.92
64.75
2013
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.18
0.52
0.70
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.95
2.69
3.64
2.10
5.99
8.09
8.87
25.26
34.13
5.58
15.88
21.46
21.29
60.60
81.89
17.80
50.67
68.48
2014
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.21
0.60
0.81
0.26
0.74
1.00
1.09
3.10
4.19
2.42
6.89
9.32
9.22
26.23
35.45
5.80
16.50
22.29
22.11
62.94
85.05
18.49
52.63
71.12
2015
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.22
0.64
0.87
0.28
0.79
1.06
1.16
3.31
4.47
2.59
7.36
9.95
9.48
26.97
36.45
5.96
16.96
22.92
22.74
64.71
87.45
19.01
54.11
73.13
2016
0.04
0.10
0.13
0.23
0.67
0.90
0.29
0.82
1.11
1.21
3.45
4.66
2.69
7.67
10.36
9.68
27.55
37.23
6.09
17.33
23.42
23.23
66.11
89.34
19.42
55.28
74.71
2017
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.24
0.69
0.93
0.30
0.84
1.14
1.25
3.55
4.80
2.77
7.89
10.66
9.85
28.03
37.88
6.19
17.63
23.82
23.63
67.25
90.88
19.76
56.24
76.00
2018
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.25
0.70
0.95
0.30
0.86
1.17
1.27
3.63
4.90
2.83
8.06
10.90
9.99
28.42
38.41
6.28
17.88
24.16
23.96
68.20
92.16
20.04
57.03
77.07
2019
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.25
0.71
0.96
0.31
0.88
1.19
1.30
3.69
4.99
2.88
8.20
11.09
10.10
28.76
38.86
6.35
18.09
24.44
24.25
69.01
93.25
20.27
57.71
77.98
2020
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.25
0.72
0.98
0.31
0.89
1.20
1.31
3.74
5.05
2.92
8.32
11.24
10.21
29.05
39.26
6.42
18.27
24.69
24.49
69.70
94.19
20.48
58.29
78.76
2021
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.26
0.73
0.99
0.32
0.90
1.22
1.33
3.78
5.11
2.96
8.42
11.37
10.29
29.30
39.60
6.47
18.43
24.90
24.70
70.30
95.01
20.66
58.79
79.45
2022
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.26
0.74
1.00
0.32
0.91
1.23
1.34
3.82
5.16
2.99
8.50
11.48
10.37
29.52
39.90
6.52
18.57
25.09
24.89
70.84
95.73
20.81
59.24
80.05
2023
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.26
0.75
1.01
0.32
0.92
1.24
1.35
3.85
5.21
3.01
8.57
11.58
10.44
29.72
40.16
6.57
18.69
25.26
25.05
71.31
96.36
20.95
59.63
80.58
2024
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.26
0.75
1.01
0.32
0.92
1.25
1.36
3.88
5.25
3.03
8.63
11.67
10.50
29.90
40.40
6.61
18.80
25.41
25.20
71.73
96.94
21.08
59.99
81.06
2025
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.27
0.76
1.02
0.33
0.93
1.26
1.37
3.91
5.28
3.05
8.69
11.74
10.56
30.06
40.62
6.64
18.90
25.54
25.34
72.11
97.45
21.19
60.30
81.49
2026
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.27
0.76
1.03
0.33
0.93
1.26
1.38
3.93
5.31
3.07
8.74
11.81
10.61
30.20
40.81
6.67
18.99
25.66
25.46
72.46
97.92
21.29
60.59
81.88
2027
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.27
0.76
1.03
0.33
0.94
1.27
1.39
3.95
5.34
3.09
8.79
11.87
10.66
30.33
40.99
6.70
19.07
25.78
25.57
72.78
98.35
21.38
60.86
82.24
Total
0.64
1.81
2.45
4.26
12.12
16.38
5.24
14.90
20.14
22.01
62.64
84.65
48.95
139.31
188.25
183.58
522.49
706.07
115.45
328.58
444.02
440.48
1,253.66
1,694.14
368.34
1,048.35
1,416.68
Avg.
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.17
0.48
0.66
0.21
0.60
0.81
0.88
2.51
3.39
1.96
5.57
7.53
7.34
20.90
28.24
4.62
13.14
17.76
17.62
50.15
67.77
14.73
41.93
56.67
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Exhibit
E.
18g
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
All
Water
Systems,
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
HAA5
­
Preferred
Alternative
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.

Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
18a.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
182.91
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
E.
6.3
Projection
of
Cases
­
Stage
2
Alternative
1
TTHM
as
Indicator
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Annual
Existing
Cancer
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
DBPR
Annual
Existing
Cancer
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
Annual
Reductions
in
Bladder
Cancer
Cases
Attributable
to
the
Stage
2
DBPR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
<
100
0.11
0.84
0.95
<
100
0.11
0.82
0.93
<
100
0.01
0.02
0.02
101­
500
0.82
5.41
6.23
101­
500
0.78
5.30
6.08
101­
500
0.04
0.12
0.16
501­
1,000
1.43
5.47
6.90
501­
1,000
1.36
5.35
6.71
501­
1,000
0.07
0.12
0.19
1,001­
3,300
8.20
16.74
24.94
1,001­
3,300
7.79
16.37
24.16
1,001­
3,300
0.40
0.37
0.77
3,301­
10,000
22.53
24.98
47.51
3,301­
10,000
21.42
24.43
45.85
3,301­
10,000
1.11
0.55
1.66
10,001­
50,000
93.44
51.52
144.96
10,001­
50,000
88.84
50.65
139.49
10,001­
50,000
4.61
0.86
5.47
50,001­
100,000
62.43
18.78
81.21
50,001­
100,000
59.35
18.47
77.82
50,001­
100,000
3.08
0.31
3.39
100,001­
1
Million
245.77
43.47
289.24
100,001­
1
Million
233.65
42.74
276.40
100,001­
1
Million
12.12
0.73
12.85
>
1
Million
213.86
5.37
219.23
>
1
Million
203.31
5.28
208.60
>
1
Million
10.54
0.09
10.63
Total
648.59
172.59
821.17
Total
616.61
169.42
786.03
Total
31.98
3.17
35.14
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
<
100
0.98
7.32
8.31
<
100
0.94
7.16
8.10
<
100
0.05
0.16
0.21
101­
500
7.16
47.25
54.41
101­
500
6.81
46.22
53.02
101­
500
0.35
1.04
1.39
501­
1,000
12.44
47.76
60.20
501­
1,000
11.83
46.71
58.54
501­
1,000
0.61
1.05
1.66
1,001­
3,300
71.53
146.09
217.62
1,001­
3,300
68.01
142.89
210.89
1,001­
3,300
3.53
3.20
6.73
3,301­
10,000
196.66
218.00
414.66
3,301­
10,000
186.96
213.22
400.18
3,301­
10,000
9.70
4.78
14.47
10,001­
50,000
815.50
449.59
1,265.09
10,001­
50,000
775.29
442.06
1,217.36
10,001­
50,000
40.21
7.53
47.74
50,001­
100,000
544.81
163.93
708.74
50,001­
100,000
517.95
161.18
679.13
50,001­
100,000
26.86
2.75
29.61
100,001­
1
Million
2,144.92
379.36
2,524.28
100,001­
1
Million
2,039.17
373.01
2,412.18
100,001­
1
Million
105.75
6.35
112.10
>
1
Million
1,866.38
46.90
1,913.28
>
1
Million
1,774.37
46.11
1,820.48
>
1
Million
92.02
0.79
92.80
Total
5,660.38
1,506.20
7,166.58
Total
5,381.31
1,478.56
6,859.88
Total
279.07
27.64
306.70
Source:
Derived
from
figures
presented
in
Appendix
E.
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)

System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
Exhibit
E.
19a
Expanded
Cancer
Case
Inputs
for
Benefits
Quantification
(
TTHM
­
Alternative
1)

System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.06
0.16
0.21
0.22
0.62
0.84
0.19
0.54
0.73
2007
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.13
0.37
0.50
0.52
1.47
1.99
0.45
1.28
1.73
2008
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.33
0.93
1.26
0.22
0.62
0.84
0.86
2.45
3.31
0.75
2.13
2.88
2009
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.08
0.21
0.29
0.47
1.34
1.81
0.31
0.89
1.21
1.23
3.51
4.75
1.07
3.06
4.13
2010
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.62
1.76
2.38
0.41
1.18
1.59
1.63
4.63
6.26
1.42
4.03
5.45
2011
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.13
0.17
0.12
0.35
0.48
0.77
2.20
2.98
0.52
1.47
1.99
2.04
5.79
7.83
1.77
5.04
6.81
2012
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.16
0.21
0.15
0.43
0.58
0.85
2.42
3.27
0.57
1.62
2.19
2.24
6.37
8.60
1.95
5.54
7.49
2013
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.18
0.50
0.68
0.90
2.56
3.46
0.60
1.71
2.31
2.37
6.73
9.10
2.06
5.86
7.92
2014
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.20
0.58
0.78
0.93
2.66
3.59
0.62
1.78
2.40
2.46
6.99
9.45
2.14
6.09
8.22
2015
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.22
0.62
0.83
0.96
2.73
3.69
0.64
1.83
2.47
2.53
7.19
9.72
2.20
6.26
8.45
2016
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.98
2.79
3.77
0.66
1.87
2.52
2.58
7.35
9.93
2.25
6.39
8.64
2017
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.23
0.66
0.89
1.00
2.84
3.84
0.67
1.90
2.56
2.63
7.47
10.10
2.28
6.50
8.79
2018
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.09
0.25
0.33
0.24
0.68
0.91
1.01
2.88
3.89
0.68
1.92
2.60
2.66
7.58
10.24
2.32
6.59
8.91
2019
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.24
0.69
0.93
1.02
2.92
3.94
0.68
1.95
2.63
2.69
7.67
10.36
2.34
6.67
9.02
2020
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.24
0.70
0.94
1.03
2.94
3.98
0.69
1.97
2.66
2.72
7.74
10.47
2.37
6.74
9.11
2021
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.25
0.70
0.95
1.04
2.97
4.01
0.70
1.98
2.68
2.74
7.81
10.56
2.39
6.80
9.19
2022
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.25
0.71
0.96
1.05
2.99
4.04
0.70
2.00
2.70
2.77
7.87
10.64
2.41
6.85
9.26
2023
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.25
0.72
0.97
1.06
3.01
4.07
0.71
2.01
2.72
2.78
7.92
10.71
2.42
6.89
9.32
2024
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.09
0.26
0.36
0.25
0.72
0.98
1.06
3.03
4.10
0.71
2.02
2.74
2.80
7.97
10.77
2.44
6.94
9.37
2025
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.09
0.26
0.36
0.26
0.73
0.98
1.07
3.05
4.12
0.72
2.04
2.75
2.82
8.01
10.83
2.45
6.97
9.42
2026
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.09
0.27
0.36
0.26
0.73
0.99
1.08
3.06
4.14
0.72
2.05
2.76
2.83
8.05
10.88
2.46
7.01
9.47
2027
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.09
0.27
0.36
0.26
0.74
0.99
1.08
3.07
4.15
0.72
2.05
2.78
2.84
8.09
10.93
2.47
7.04
9.51
Total
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.15
0.42
0.57
0.26
0.74
1.00
1.49
4.24
5.73
4.10
####
15.77
####
####
####
####
####
####
####
#####
#####
####
#####
#####

Avg.
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.16
0.47
0.63
0.74
2.12
2.86
0.50
1.42
1.91
1.96
5.57
7.53
1.70
4.85
6.55
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
19a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
TTHM
­
Alternative
1
19.78
Exhibit
E.
19b
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
Surface
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.00
0.00
0.01
2007
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.00
0.01
0.01
2008
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.06
0.17
0.24
0.02
0.06
0.09
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.01
0.02
0.02
2009
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.02
0.07
0.10
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.07
0.21
0.29
0.01
0.03
0.04
2010
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.01
0.03
0.05
2011
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.06
0.17
0.24
0.14
0.41
0.56
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.02
0.04
0.06
2012
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.06
0.17
0.22
0.13
0.38
0.52
0.02
0.05
0.06
2013
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.06
0.17
0.22
0.09
0.25
0.33
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.06
0.17
0.24
0.14
0.40
0.55
0.02
0.05
0.07
2014
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.17
0.50
0.67
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.15
0.42
0.57
0.02
0.05
0.07
2015
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.11
0.30
0.41
0.18
0.51
0.69
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.15
0.43
0.58
0.02
0.05
0.07
2016
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.07
0.21
0.29
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.18
0.52
0.71
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.16
0.44
0.60
0.02
0.05
0.07
2017
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.10
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.08
0.22
0.29
0.11
0.33
0.44
0.19
0.53
0.72
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.02
0.06
0.08
2018
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.16
0.46
0.62
0.02
0.06
0.08
2019
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.19
0.55
0.74
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.16
0.46
0.62
0.02
0.06
0.08
2020
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.19
0.55
0.75
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.16
0.47
0.63
0.02
0.06
0.08
2021
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.20
0.56
0.75
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.16
0.47
0.63
0.02
0.06
0.08
2022
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.07
0.20
0.28
0.17
0.47
0.64
0.02
0.06
0.08
2023
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.12
0.35
0.48
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.17
0.48
0.64
0.02
0.06
0.08
2024
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.13
0.36
0.48
0.20
0.57
0.77
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.02
0.06
0.08
2025
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.13
0.36
0.48
0.20
0.57
0.77
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.02
0.06
0.08
2026
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.08
0.24
0.33
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.20
0.57
0.77
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.02
0.06
0.08
2027
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.09
0.24
0.33
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.20
0.58
0.78
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.17
0.49
0.66
0.02
0.06
0.08
Total
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.44
1.25
1.68
0.44
1.26
1.70
1.35
3.85
5.20
2.02
5.75
7.77
3.49
9.92
####
1.27
3.62
4.89
2.94
8.37
####
0.36
1.03
1.40
Avg.
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.14
0.40
0.54
0.05
0.14
0.20
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.01
0.04
0.06
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2
];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
19a.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
1.90
Exhibit
E.
19c
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
Ground
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
TTHM
­
Alternative
1
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.23
0.66
0.89
0.19
0.54
0.73
2007
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.23
0.66
0.90
0.14
0.41
0.56
0.55
1.56
2.11
0.45
1.29
1.74
2008
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.39
1.11
1.50
0.24
0.69
0.93
0.91
2.60
3.51
0.76
2.15
2.91
2009
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.56
1.59
2.14
0.35
0.98
1.33
1.31
3.72
5.03
1.08
3.08
4.17
2010
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.15
0.42
0.57
0.73
2.09
2.83
0.46
1.30
1.75
1.73
4.91
6.64
1.43
4.06
5.49
2011
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.09
0.25
0.33
0.19
0.53
0.71
0.92
2.61
3.53
0.57
1.62
2.19
2.16
6.14
8.30
1.79
5.08
6.87
2012
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.10
0.30
0.40
0.22
0.64
0.86
1.01
2.87
3.88
0.63
1.78
2.41
2.37
6.75
9.12
1.96
5.59
7.55
2013
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.26
0.75
1.01
1.07
3.04
4.11
0.66
1.89
2.55
2.51
7.14
9.65
2.08
5.91
7.98
2014
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.14
0.40
0.54
0.30
0.86
1.16
1.11
3.16
4.27
0.69
1.96
2.65
2.60
7.41
10.02
2.16
6.14
8.29
2015
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.15
0.43
0.58
0.32
0.92
1.24
1.14
3.25
4.39
0.71
2.01
2.72
2.68
7.62
10.30
2.22
6.31
8.53
2016
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.16
0.45
0.60
0.34
0.96
1.30
1.17
3.32
4.48
0.72
2.06
2.78
2.74
7.79
10.52
2.26
6.45
8.71
2017
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.16
0.46
0.62
0.35
0.99
1.33
1.19
3.37
4.56
0.74
2.09
2.83
2.78
7.92
10.70
2.30
6.56
8.86
2018
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.16
0.47
0.63
0.35
1.01
1.36
1.20
3.42
4.62
0.75
2.12
2.87
2.82
8.03
10.86
2.34
6.65
8.99
2019
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.17
0.48
0.64
0.36
1.03
1.39
1.22
3.46
4.68
0.75
2.15
2.90
2.86
8.13
10.98
2.36
6.73
9.09
2020
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.13
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.37
1.04
1.41
1.23
3.50
4.72
0.76
2.17
2.93
2.88
8.21
11.09
2.39
6.80
9.18
2021
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.17
0.49
0.66
0.37
1.05
1.42
1.24
3.53
4.77
0.77
2.19
2.96
2.91
8.28
11.19
2.41
6.86
9.26
2022
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.17
0.49
0.67
0.37
1.06
1.44
1.25
3.55
4.80
0.77
2.20
2.98
2.93
8.34
11.28
2.43
6.91
9.33
2023
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.17
0.50
0.67
0.38
1.07
1.45
1.26
3.58
4.83
0.78
2.22
3.00
2.95
8.40
11.35
2.44
6.95
9.40
2024
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.18
0.50
0.68
0.38
1.08
1.46
1.26
3.60
4.86
0.78
2.23
3.02
2.97
8.45
11.42
2.46
6.99
9.45
2025
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.18
0.50
0.68
0.38
1.09
1.47
1.27
3.62
4.89
0.79
2.24
3.03
2.98
8.49
11.48
2.47
7.03
9.50
2026
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.13
0.17
0.18
0.51
0.69
0.38
1.09
1.48
1.28
3.63
4.91
0.79
2.25
3.05
3.00
8.54
11.53
2.48
7.07
9.55
2027
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.04
0.13
0.17
0.18
0.51
0.69
0.39
1.10
1.48
1.28
3.65
4.93
0.80
2.26
3.06
3.01
8.57
11.58
2.49
7.10
9.59
Total
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.59
1.67
2.26
0.70
2.00
2.70
2.84
8.09
10.94
6.12
17.41
23.53
22.09
62.88
84.97
13.70
39.00
52.70
51.88
147.67
199.55
42.95
122.24
165.19
Avg.
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.11
0.32
0.44
0.24
0.70
0.94
0.88
2.52
3.40
0.55
1.56
2.11
2.08
5.91
7.98
1.72
4.89
6.61
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
TTHM
­
Alternative
1
21.69
Exhibit
E.
19d
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
50,001­
100,000
All
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.

Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
19a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.72
2.05
2.77
0.48
1.37
1.85
1.90
5.39
7.29
1.65
4.69
6.34
2007
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.28
0.78
1.06
1.72
4.88
6.60
1.15
3.26
4.41
4.51
12.84
17.35
3.93
11.17
15.10
2008
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.17
0.48
0.64
0.46
1.31
1.77
2.86
8.13
10.99
1.91
5.43
7.34
7.52
21.40
28.91
6.54
18.62
25.16
2009
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.24
0.68
0.92
0.66
1.87
2.53
4.10
11.66
15.75
2.74
7.79
10.52
10.77
30.66
41.43
9.37
26.68
36.05
2010
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.05
0.16
0.21
0.32
0.90
1.21
0.87
2.47
3.34
5.40
15.37
20.77
3.61
10.27
13.87
14.20
40.42
54.62
12.36
35.17
47.53
2011
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.07
0.20
0.26
0.39
1.12
1.52
1.09
3.09
4.18
6.75
19.22
25.97
4.51
12.84
17.35
17.76
50.55
68.31
15.45
43.99
59.44
2012
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.48
1.36
1.83
1.31
3.73
5.04
7.42
21.13
28.55
4.96
14.11
19.07
19.52
55.57
75.09
16.99
48.35
65.34
2013
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.10
0.28
0.37
0.56
1.59
2.15
1.54
4.38
5.91
7.85
22.34
30.19
5.24
14.93
20.17
20.65
58.76
79.41
17.97
51.13
69.10
2014
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.64
1.83
2.48
1.77
5.04
6.81
8.15
23.20
31.36
5.45
15.50
20.95
21.44
61.03
82.48
18.66
53.11
71.77
2015
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.20
0.26
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.69
1.96
2.64
1.89
5.38
7.27
8.38
23.86
32.24
5.60
15.94
21.54
22.05
62.75
84.80
19.18
54.60
73.79
2016
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.20
0.28
0.12
0.35
0.48
0.72
2.04
2.75
1.97
5.60
7.57
8.56
24.37
32.94
5.72
16.28
22.01
22.52
64.11
86.63
19.60
55.78
75.38
2017
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.74
2.10
2.84
2.03
5.77
7.79
8.71
24.79
33.51
5.82
16.56
22.38
22.91
65.21
88.13
19.94
56.75
76.68
2018
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.21
0.29
0.13
0.37
0.50
0.75
2.14
2.90
2.07
5.89
7.97
8.83
25.14
33.98
5.90
16.80
22.70
23.24
66.13
89.37
20.22
57.55
77.77
2019
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.22
0.29
0.13
0.38
0.51
0.77
2.18
2.95
2.11
6.00
8.10
8.94
25.44
34.38
5.97
17.00
22.97
23.51
66.92
90.43
20.46
58.23
78.68
2020
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.14
0.38
0.52
0.78
2.21
2.99
2.14
6.08
8.22
9.03
25.70
34.73
6.03
17.17
23.20
23.75
67.59
91.34
20.66
58.81
79.48
2021
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.14
0.39
0.53
0.79
2.24
3.02
2.16
6.15
8.31
9.11
25.92
35.03
6.08
17.32
23.40
23.95
68.17
92.13
20.84
59.32
80.16
2022
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.14
0.39
0.53
0.79
2.26
3.05
2.18
6.21
8.39
9.18
26.12
35.29
6.13
17.45
23.58
24.13
68.69
92.83
21.00
59.77
80.77
2023
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.14
0.40
0.54
0.80
2.28
3.08
2.20
6.26
8.47
9.24
26.29
35.53
6.17
17.56
23.74
24.30
69.15
93.45
21.14
60.17
81.31
2024
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.14
0.40
0.54
0.81
2.30
3.10
2.22
6.31
8.53
9.29
26.45
35.74
6.21
17.67
23.88
24.44
69.56
94.00
21.27
60.53
81.79
2025
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.14
0.40
0.54
0.81
2.31
3.12
2.23
6.35
8.58
9.34
26.59
35.93
6.24
17.76
24.00
24.57
69.93
94.50
21.38
60.85
82.23
2026
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.14
0.40
0.55
0.82
2.32
3.14
2.24
6.39
8.63
9.39
26.71
36.10
6.27
17.85
24.12
24.69
70.27
94.95
21.48
61.14
82.62
2027
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.82
2.34
3.16
2.26
6.42
8.68
9.43
26.83
36.26
6.30
17.93
24.22
24.80
70.57
95.37
21.58
61.41
82.98
Total
0.18
0.51
0.69
1.30
3.71
5.01
2.26
6.44
8.70
13.01
37.04
50.05
35.77
101.82
137.60
162.40
462.20
624.60
108.49
308.78
417.28
427.13
1,215.68
1,642.81
371.67
1,057.82
1,429.48
Avg.
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.52
1.48
2.00
1.43
4.07
5.50
6.50
18.49
24.98
4.34
12.35
16.69
17.09
48.63
65.71
14.87
42.31
57.18
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Exhibit
E.
19e
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
Surface
Water
Systems,
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
TTHM
­
Alternative
1
Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.

Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
19a.
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
172.65
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.13
0.38
0.52
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.11
0.32
0.44
0.01
0.04
0.05
2007
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.14
0.39
0.52
0.32
0.91
1.24
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.03
0.10
0.13
2008
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.15
0.43
0.58
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.54
1.52
2.06
0.20
0.56
0.75
0.45
1.29
1.74
0.06
0.16
0.21
2009
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.22
0.62
0.84
0.32
0.92
1.25
0.77
2.18
2.95
0.28
0.80
1.08
0.65
1.84
2.49
0.08
0.23
0.31
2010
0.01
0.04
0.06
0.09
0.26
0.36
0.09
0.27
0.36
0.29
0.82
1.10
0.43
1.22
1.64
1.01
2.88
3.89
0.37
1.05
1.42
0.85
2.43
3.28
0.11
0.30
0.41
2011
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.36
1.02
1.38
0.53
1.52
2.06
1.26
3.60
4.86
0.46
1.31
1.77
1.07
3.04
4.11
0.13
0.38
0.51
2012
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.14
0.40
0.54
0.14
0.40
0.54
0.43
1.23
1.66
0.64
1.84
2.48
1.39
3.96
5.35
0.51
1.44
1.95
1.17
3.34
4.51
0.15
0.41
0.56
2013
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.16
0.47
0.63
0.17
0.47
0.64
0.51
1.44
1.95
0.76
2.16
2.91
1.47
4.19
5.66
0.54
1.53
2.06
1.24
3.53
4.77
0.15
0.44
0.59
2014
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.58
1.66
2.25
0.87
2.48
3.35
1.53
4.35
5.87
0.56
1.58
2.14
1.29
3.67
4.96
0.16
0.45
0.61
2015
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.20
0.57
0.78
0.20
0.58
0.78
0.62
1.78
2.40
0.93
2.65
3.58
1.57
4.47
6.04
0.57
1.63
2.20
1.32
3.77
5.10
0.16
0.47
0.63
2016
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.21
0.60
0.81
0.21
0.60
0.82
0.65
1.85
2.50
0.97
2.76
3.73
1.60
4.57
6.17
0.58
1.66
2.25
1.35
3.85
5.21
0.17
0.48
0.64
2017
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.22
0.62
0.83
0.22
0.62
0.84
0.67
1.90
2.57
1.00
2.84
3.84
1.63
4.64
6.28
0.59
1.69
2.29
1.38
3.92
5.30
0.17
0.48
0.65
2018
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.22
0.63
0.85
0.22
0.64
0.86
0.68
1.95
2.63
1.02
2.90
3.92
1.65
4.71
6.36
0.60
1.72
2.32
1.40
3.97
5.37
0.17
0.49
0.66
2019
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.22
0.64
0.87
0.23
0.65
0.87
0.70
1.98
2.67
1.04
2.95
3.99
1.67
4.77
6.44
0.61
1.74
2.35
1.41
4.02
5.43
0.17
0.50
0.67
2020
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.23
0.65
0.88
0.23
0.66
0.89
0.71
2.01
2.71
1.05
2.99
4.05
1.69
4.81
6.50
0.62
1.76
2.37
1.43
4.06
5.49
0.18
0.50
0.68
2021
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.23
0.66
0.89
0.23
0.66
0.90
0.71
2.03
2.74
1.06
3.03
4.09
1.71
4.86
6.56
0.62
1.77
2.39
1.44
4.10
5.54
0.18
0.51
0.68
2022
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.23
0.66
0.90
0.24
0.67
0.91
0.72
2.05
2.77
1.07
3.06
4.13
1.72
4.89
6.61
0.63
1.78
2.41
1.45
4.13
5.58
0.18
0.51
0.69
2023
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.23
0.67
0.90
0.24
0.68
0.91
0.73
2.07
2.79
1.08
3.09
4.17
1.73
4.92
6.66
0.63
1.80
2.43
1.46
4.16
5.62
0.18
0.51
0.69
2024
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.24
0.67
0.91
0.24
0.68
0.92
0.73
2.08
2.81
1.09
3.11
4.20
1.74
4.95
6.69
0.63
1.81
2.44
1.47
4.18
5.65
0.18
0.52
0.70
2025
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.24
0.68
0.92
0.24
0.69
0.93
0.74
2.10
2.83
1.10
3.13
4.23
1.75
4.98
6.73
0.64
1.82
2.45
1.48
4.20
5.68
0.18
0.52
0.70
2026
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.24
0.68
0.92
0.24
0.69
0.93
0.74
2.11
2.85
1.11
3.15
4.25
1.76
5.00
6.76
0.64
1.82
2.47
1.48
4.22
5.71
0.18
0.52
0.71
2027
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.24
0.69
0.93
0.24
0.69
0.94
0.74
2.12
2.86
1.11
3.16
4.27
1.77
5.03
6.79
0.64
1.83
2.48
1.49
4.24
5.73
0.18
0.52
0.71
Total
0.59
1.69
2.28
3.82
####
####
3.86
####
####
####
####
####
####
####
####
####
####
#####
11.09
####
####
####
####
####
3.17
9.03
####

Avg.
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.15
0.43
0.59
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.47
1.34
1.82
0.70
2.01
2.71
1.22
3.46
4.68
0.44
1.26
1.71
1.03
2.92
3.95
0.13
0.36
0.49
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
TTHM
­
Alternative
1
16.62
Exhibit
E.
19f
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
50,001­
100,000
Ground
Water
Systems,
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
19a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.17
0.49
0.67
0.86
2.43
3.29
0.53
1.51
2.04
2.01
5.72
7.73
1.66
4.73
6.40
2007
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.19
0.54
0.74
0.41
1.17
1.58
2.04
5.80
7.83
1.26
3.59
4.86
4.78
13.61
18.39
3.96
11.27
15.23
2008
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.32
0.91
1.23
0.69
1.95
2.64
3.39
9.66
13.05
2.10
5.99
8.10
7.97
22.68
30.65
6.60
18.78
25.37
2009
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.09
0.27
0.36
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.46
1.30
1.76
0.98
2.80
3.78
4.86
13.84
18.70
3.02
8.58
11.60
11.42
32.50
43.92
9.45
26.91
36.36
2010
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.12
0.35
0.48
0.15
0.42
0.57
0.60
1.71
2.32
1.30
3.69
4.98
6.41
18.25
24.66
3.98
11.32
15.29
15.06
42.85
57.91
12.46
35.47
47.94
2011
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.16
0.44
0.60
0.19
0.53
0.71
0.75
2.14
2.90
1.62
4.61
6.23
8.02
22.82
30.84
4.97
14.15
19.12
18.83
53.59
72.41
15.59
44.36
59.95
2012
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.19
0.53
0.72
0.22
0.64
0.86
0.91
2.59
3.49
1.95
5.56
7.52
8.81
25.08
33.90
5.47
15.56
21.02
20.70
58.91
79.60
17.13
48.76
65.90
2013
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.22
0.63
0.85
0.26
0.75
1.01
1.07
3.04
4.10
2.30
6.53
8.83
9.32
26.53
35.85
5.78
16.45
22.23
21.89
62.29
84.18
18.12
51.57
69.69
2014
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.25
0.72
0.97
0.30
0.86
1.17
1.23
3.50
4.72
2.64
7.52
10.16
9.68
27.55
37.23
6.00
17.09
23.09
22.73
64.70
87.43
18.82
53.56
72.38
2015
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.32
0.92
1.24
1.31
3.73
5.04
2.82
8.03
10.85
9.95
28.33
38.28
6.17
17.57
23.74
23.37
66.52
89.90
19.35
55.07
74.42
2016
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.28
0.80
1.08
0.34
0.96
1.30
1.37
3.89
5.25
2.94
8.37
11.30
10.17
28.94
39.11
6.31
17.95
24.25
23.88
67.96
91.84
19.77
56.26
76.03
2017
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.29
0.83
1.12
0.35
0.99
1.33
1.41
4.00
5.41
3.02
8.61
11.63
10.34
29.44
39.78
6.41
18.26
24.67
24.29
69.13
93.42
20.11
57.23
77.34
2018
0.04
0.13
0.17
0.30
0.84
1.14
0.35
1.01
1.36
1.44
4.09
5.53
3.09
8.80
11.89
10.49
29.85
40.34
6.51
18.52
25.02
24.63
70.11
94.74
20.39
58.04
78.43
2019
0.05
0.13
0.17
0.30
0.86
1.16
0.36
1.03
1.39
1.46
4.16
5.62
3.14
8.95
12.09
10.61
30.21
40.82
6.58
18.73
25.32
24.92
70.94
95.86
20.63
58.72
79.36
2020
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.31
0.87
1.18
0.37
1.04
1.41
1.48
4.22
5.70
3.19
9.07
12.26
10.72
30.51
41.23
6.65
18.92
25.57
25.17
71.65
96.82
20.84
59.31
80.15
2021
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.31
0.88
1.19
0.37
1.05
1.42
1.50
4.27
5.77
3.23
9.18
12.41
10.81
30.78
41.59
6.71
19.09
25.79
25.39
72.27
97.66
21.02
59.83
80.85
2022
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.31
0.89
1.20
0.37
1.06
1.44
1.51
4.31
5.82
3.26
9.27
12.53
10.89
31.01
41.90
6.76
19.23
25.99
25.59
72.82
98.40
21.18
60.28
81.46
2023
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.32
0.90
1.21
0.38
1.07
1.45
1.53
4.35
5.87
3.29
9.35
12.63
10.97
31.22
42.18
6.80
19.36
26.16
25.76
73.31
99.06
21.32
60.68
82.01
2024
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.32
0.90
1.22
0.38
1.08
1.46
1.54
4.38
5.92
3.31
9.42
12.73
11.03
31.40
42.43
6.84
19.47
26.32
25.91
73.74
99.65
21.45
61.04
82.49
2025
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.32
0.91
1.23
0.38
1.09
1.47
1.55
4.41
5.96
3.33
9.48
12.81
11.09
31.57
42.66
6.88
19.58
26.46
26.05
74.13
100.18
21.56
61.37
82.93
2026
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.32
0.91
1.24
0.38
1.09
1.48
1.56
4.43
5.99
3.35
9.54
12.89
11.14
31.72
42.86
6.91
19.67
26.58
26.17
74.49
100.66
21.67
61.66
83.33
2027
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.32
0.92
1.24
0.39
1.10
1.49
1.57
4.46
6.02
3.37
9.59
12.95
11.19
31.86
43.05
6.94
19.76
26.70
26.29
74.81
101.10
21.76
61.93
83.69
Total
0.77
2.19
2.97
5.12
14.58
19.70
6.12
17.43
23.55
24.82
70.65
95.47
53.40
151.97
205.37
192.82
548.78
741.60
119.58
340.35
459.94
452.80
1,288.74
1,741.54
374.84
1,066.85
1,441.69
Avg.
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.20
0.58
0.79
0.24
0.70
0.94
0.99
2.83
3.82
2.14
6.08
8.21
7.71
21.95
29.66
4.78
13.61
18.40
18.11
51.55
69.66
14.99
42.67
57.67
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.

Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
19a.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
189.27
Exhibit
E.
19g
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
All
Water
Systems,
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
TTHM
­
Alternative
1
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
E.
6.4
Projection
of
Cases
­
Stage
2
Alternative
2
TTHM
as
Indicator
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Annual
Existing
Cancer
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
DBPR
Annual
Existing
Cancer
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
Annual
Reductions
in
Bladder
Cancer
Cases
Attributable
to
the
Stage
2
DBPR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
<
100
0.11
0.84
0.95
<
100
0.08
0.80
0.87
<
100
0.04
0.04
0.08
101­
500
0.82
5.41
6.23
101­
500
0.56
5.13
5.69
101­
500
0.26
0.28
0.54
501­
1,000
1.43
5.47
6.90
501­
1,000
0.97
5.19
6.16
501­
1,000
0.46
0.28
0.74
1,001­
3,300
8.20
16.74
24.94
1,001­
3,300
5.58
15.87
21.45
1,001­
3,300
2.62
0.87
3.49
3,301­
10,000
22.53
24.98
47.51
3,301­
10,000
15.34
23.68
39.02
3,301­
10,000
7.19
1.30
8.49
10,001­
50,000
93.44
51.52
144.96
10,001­
50,000
63.61
47.51
111.11
10,001­
50,000
29.83
4.01
33.84
50,001­
100,000
62.43
18.78
81.21
50,001­
100,000
42.49
17.32
59.82
50,001­
100,000
19.93
1.46
21.39
100,001­
1
Million
245.77
43.47
289.24
100,001­
1
Million
167.30
40.09
207.39
100,001­
1
Million
78.47
3.38
81.85
>
1
Million
213.86
5.37
219.23
>
1
Million
145.58
4.96
150.53
>
1
Million
68.28
0.42
68.70
Total
648.59
172.59
821.17
Total
441.50
160.53
602.03
Total
207.08
12.06
219.14
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
<
100
0.98
7.32
8.31
<
100
0.67
6.94
7.61
<
100
0.31
0.38
0.70
101­
500
7.16
47.25
54.41
101­
500
4.87
44.79
49.66
101­
500
2.29
2.46
4.74
501­
1,000
12.44
47.76
60.20
501­
1,000
8.47
45.28
53.74
501­
1,000
3.97
2.49
6.46
1,001­
3,300
71.53
146.09
217.62
1,001­
3,300
48.69
138.49
187.18
1,001­
3,300
22.84
7.60
30.44
3,301­
10,000
196.66
218.00
414.66
3,301­
10,000
133.87
206.65
340.52
3,301­
10,000
62.79
11.34
74.13
10,001­
50,000
815.50
449.59
1,265.09
10,001­
50,000
555.13
414.60
969.72
10,001­
50,000
260.37
35.00
295.37
50,001­
100,000
544.81
163.93
708.74
50,001­
100,000
370.86
151.17
522.03
50,001­
100,000
173.95
12.76
186.71
100,001­
1
Million
2,144.92
379.36
2,524.28
100,001­
1
Million
1,460.09
349.83
1,809.92
100,001­
1
Million
684.83
29.53
714.36
>
1
Million
1,866.38
46.90
1,913.28
>
1
Million
1,270.48
43.25
1,313.73
>
1
Million
595.90
3.65
599.55
Total
5,660.38
1,506.20
7,166.58
Total
3,853.13
1,400.99
5,254.12
Total
1,807.25
105.21
1,912.46
Source:
Derived
from
figures
presented
in
Appendix
E.
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)

System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
Exhibit
E.
20a
Expanded
Cancer
Case
Inputs
for
Benefits
Quantification
(
TTHM
­
Alternative
2)

System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.09
0.24
0.33
0.53
1.52
2.06
0.36
1.02
1.37
1.41
4.00
5.41
1.22
3.48
4.71
2007
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.07
0.21
0.29
0.20
0.58
0.79
1.27
3.62
4.89
0.85
2.42
3.27
3.35
9.53
12.87
2.91
8.29
11.20
2008
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.12
0.35
0.48
0.34
0.97
1.31
2.12
6.04
8.16
1.42
4.03
5.45
5.58
15.88
21.46
4.85
13.82
18.67
2009
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.18
0.51
0.68
0.49
1.39
1.88
3.04
8.65
11.69
2.03
5.78
7.81
7.99
22.75
30.75
6.96
19.80
26.75
2010
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.23
0.67
0.90
0.64
1.83
2.48
4.01
11.40
15.41
2.68
7.62
10.30
10.54
29.99
40.53
9.17
26.10
35.27
2011
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.29
0.83
1.13
0.81
2.29
3.10
5.01
14.26
19.27
3.35
9.53
12.88
13.18
37.51
50.69
11.47
32.64
44.11
2012
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.06
0.17
0.24
0.35
1.01
1.36
0.97
2.77
3.74
5.51
15.68
21.19
3.68
10.47
14.15
14.49
41.23
55.72
12.61
35.88
48.49
2013
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.42
1.18
1.60
1.14
3.25
4.39
5.82
16.58
22.40
3.89
11.08
14.97
15.32
43.60
58.92
13.33
37.94
51.27
2014
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.48
1.36
1.84
1.31
3.74
5.05
6.05
17.22
23.27
4.04
11.50
15.55
15.91
45.29
61.20
13.85
39.41
53.25
2015
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.51
1.45
1.96
1.40
3.99
5.39
6.22
17.70
23.92
4.16
11.83
15.98
16.36
46.56
62.92
14.24
40.52
54.75
2016
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.09
0.26
0.36
0.53
1.51
2.04
1.46
4.16
5.62
6.35
18.09
24.44
4.25
12.08
16.33
16.71
47.57
64.29
14.54
41.39
55.94
2017
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.16
0.21
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.55
1.56
2.10
1.50
4.28
5.78
6.46
18.40
24.86
4.32
12.29
16.61
17.00
48.39
65.39
14.79
42.11
56.90
2018
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.10
0.28
0.37
0.56
1.59
2.15
1.54
4.37
5.91
6.56
18.66
25.21
4.38
12.47
16.84
17.24
49.07
66.32
15.00
42.70
57.71
2019
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.57
1.62
2.19
1.56
4.45
6.01
6.63
18.88
25.51
4.43
12.61
17.04
17.45
49.65
67.10
15.18
43.21
58.39
2020
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.58
1.64
2.22
1.59
4.51
6.10
6.70
19.07
25.77
4.48
12.74
17.21
17.62
50.15
67.78
15.33
43.64
58.97
2021
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.17
0.22
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.58
1.66
2.24
1.60
4.56
6.17
6.76
19.23
25.99
4.51
12.85
17.36
17.77
50.59
68.36
15.47
44.02
59.49
2022
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.59
1.68
2.27
1.62
4.61
6.23
6.81
19.38
26.19
4.55
12.95
17.50
17.91
50.97
68.88
15.58
44.35
59.94
2023
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.10
0.29
0.40
0.59
1.69
2.28
1.63
4.65
6.28
6.85
19.51
26.36
4.58
13.03
17.61
18.03
51.31
69.34
15.69
44.65
60.34
2024
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.10
0.30
0.40
0.60
1.70
2.30
1.65
4.68
6.33
6.90
19.62
26.52
4.61
13.11
17.72
18.14
51.62
69.75
15.78
44.91
60.69
2025
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.10
0.30
0.40
0.60
1.71
2.32
1.66
4.71
6.37
6.93
19.73
26.66
4.63
13.18
17.81
18.23
51.89
70.12
15.86
45.15
61.02
2026
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.11
0.30
0.41
0.61
1.72
2.33
1.67
4.74
6.41
6.97
19.82
26.79
4.65
13.24
17.90
18.32
52.14
70.46
15.94
45.37
61.31
2027
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.11
0.30
0.41
0.61
1.73
2.34
1.67
4.77
6.44
7.00
19.91
26.91
4.67
13.30
17.97
18.40
52.37
70.77
16.01
45.57
61.58
Total
0.13
0.38
0.51
0.97
2.75
3.72
1.68
4.78
6.46
9.66
27.48
37.14
26.55
75.56
102.10
120.50
342.97
463.48
80.51
229.13
309.64
316.95
902.09
1,219.04
275.79
784.95
1,060.74
Avg.
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.39
1.10
1.49
1.06
3.02
4.08
4.82
13.72
18.54
3.22
9.17
12.39
12.68
36.08
48.76
11.03
31.40
42.43
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2
];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
20a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
TTHM
­
Alternative
2
128.11
Exhibit
E.
20b
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
Surface
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.07
0.20
0.28
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.01
0.02
0.03
2007
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.02
0.07
0.10
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.17
0.49
0.66
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.14
0.41
0.56
0.02
0.05
0.07
2008
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.29
0.81
1.10
0.10
0.30
0.40
0.24
0.68
0.93
0.03
0.08
0.11
2009
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.02
0.06
0.07
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.41
1.16
1.57
0.15
0.42
0.57
0.34
0.98
1.33
0.04
0.12
0.16
2010
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.54
1.53
2.07
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.45
1.29
1.75
0.06
0.16
0.22
2011
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.15
0.41
0.56
0.67
1.92
2.59
0.25
0.70
0.94
0.57
1.62
2.19
0.07
0.20
0.27
2012
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.18
0.50
0.67
0.74
2.11
2.85
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.62
1.78
2.40
0.08
0.22
0.30
2013
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.13
0.17
0.05
0.13
0.17
0.14
0.39
0.53
0.21
0.59
0.79
0.78
2.23
3.01
0.29
0.81
1.10
0.66
1.88
2.54
0.08
0.23
0.31
2014
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.24
0.68
0.91
0.81
2.31
3.13
0.30
0.84
1.14
0.69
1.95
2.64
0.08
0.24
0.33
2015
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.16
0.21
0.06
0.16
0.21
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.25
0.72
0.97
0.84
2.38
3.22
0.30
0.87
1.17
0.71
2.01
2.71
0.09
0.25
0.34
2016
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.18
0.50
0.68
0.26
0.75
1.02
0.85
2.43
3.29
0.31
0.89
1.20
0.72
2.05
2.77
0.09
0.25
0.34
2017
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.18
0.52
0.70
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.87
2.47
3.34
0.32
0.90
1.22
0.73
2.09
2.82
0.09
0.26
0.35
2018
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.19
0.53
0.72
0.28
0.79
1.07
0.88
2.51
3.39
0.32
0.91
1.24
0.74
2.12
2.86
0.09
0.26
0.35
2019
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.17
0.24
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.28
0.80
1.09
0.89
2.54
3.43
0.33
0.93
1.25
0.75
2.14
2.89
0.09
0.26
0.36
2020
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.19
0.55
0.74
0.29
0.81
1.10
0.90
2.56
3.46
0.33
0.93
1.26
0.76
2.16
2.92
0.09
0.27
0.36
2021
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.19
0.55
0.75
0.29
0.82
1.11
0.91
2.59
3.49
0.33
0.94
1.27
0.77
2.18
2.95
0.09
0.27
0.36
2022
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.20
0.56
0.75
0.29
0.83
1.13
0.92
2.60
3.52
0.33
0.95
1.28
0.77
2.20
2.97
0.10
0.27
0.37
2023
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.30
0.84
1.13
0.92
2.62
3.54
0.34
0.96
1.29
0.78
2.21
2.99
0.10
0.27
0.37
2024
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.20
0.57
0.77
0.30
0.85
1.14
0.93
2.64
3.56
0.34
0.96
1.30
0.78
2.23
3.01
0.10
0.28
0.37
2025
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.20
0.57
0.77
0.30
0.85
1.15
0.93
2.65
3.58
0.34
0.97
1.31
0.79
2.24
3.02
0.10
0.28
0.37
2026
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.20
0.57
0.78
0.30
0.86
1.16
0.94
2.66
3.60
0.34
0.97
1.31
0.79
2.25
3.04
0.10
0.28
0.38
2027
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.20
0.58
0.78
0.30
0.86
1.16
0.94
2.68
3.62
0.34
0.98
1.32
0.79
2.26
3.05
0.10
0.28
0.38
Total
0.16
0.46
0.62
1.04
2.96
4.00
1.05
2.99
4.04
3.21
9.15
####
4.80
####
18.44
####
####
####
5.91
####
22.71
####
####
####
1.69
4.81
6.50
Avg.
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.13
0.37
0.49
0.19
0.55
0.74
0.65
1.84
2.49
0.24
0.67
0.91
0.55
1.56
2.10
0.07
0.19
0.26
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
20a.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
7.34
Exhibit
E.
20c
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
Ground
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
TTHM
­
Alternative
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.61
1.73
2.33
0.38
1.09
1.47
1.47
4.18
5.64
1.23
3.50
4.74
2007
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.24
0.69
0.93
1.44
4.11
5.55
0.91
2.60
3.51
3.49
9.94
13.43
2.93
8.34
11.27
2008
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.04
0.10
0.13
0.17
0.47
0.64
0.40
1.15
1.55
2.41
6.85
9.25
1.52
4.33
5.85
5.82
16.56
22.38
4.88
13.90
18.78
2009
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.24
0.67
0.91
0.58
1.64
2.22
3.45
9.81
13.26
2.18
6.20
8.38
8.34
23.73
32.07
7.00
19.92
26.92
2010
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.31
0.89
1.20
0.76
2.16
2.93
4.55
12.94
17.48
2.87
8.18
11.05
10.99
31.29
42.28
9.23
26.26
35.49
2011
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.39
1.11
1.50
0.95
2.71
3.66
5.68
16.18
21.86
3.59
10.23
13.82
13.75
39.13
52.87
11.54
32.84
44.38
2012
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.47
1.34
1.81
1.15
3.26
4.41
6.25
17.78
24.03
3.95
11.24
15.19
15.11
43.01
58.12
12.68
36.10
48.78
2013
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.09
0.25
0.33
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.55
1.57
2.13
1.35
3.83
5.18
6.61
18.81
25.41
4.18
11.89
16.06
15.98
45.48
61.47
13.41
38.17
51.59
2014
0.01
0.04
0.06
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.14
0.38
0.52
0.64
1.81
2.45
1.55
4.41
5.96
6.86
19.53
26.40
4.34
12.35
16.69
16.60
47.24
63.84
13.93
39.65
53.58
2015
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.11
0.30
0.41
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.68
1.94
2.62
1.66
4.71
6.37
7.06
20.08
27.14
4.46
12.70
17.16
17.07
48.57
65.64
14.32
40.77
55.09
2016
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.15
0.43
0.58
0.71
2.02
2.72
1.73
4.91
6.64
7.21
20.52
27.73
4.56
12.97
17.53
17.44
49.62
67.06
14.63
41.65
56.28
2017
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.11
0.32
0.44
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.73
2.08
2.80
1.78
5.05
6.83
7.33
20.87
28.20
4.64
13.19
17.83
17.74
50.48
68.21
14.89
42.37
57.25
2018
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.75
2.12
2.87
1.81
5.16
6.98
7.44
21.17
28.60
4.70
13.38
18.08
17.99
51.19
69.18
15.10
42.96
58.06
2019
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.12
0.34
0.45
0.16
0.46
0.62
0.76
2.16
2.91
1.85
5.25
7.10
7.52
21.42
28.94
4.76
13.54
18.29
18.20
51.80
69.99
15.27
43.47
58.75
2020
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.16
0.46
0.63
0.77
2.19
2.96
1.87
5.33
7.20
7.60
21.63
29.23
4.80
13.67
18.48
18.38
52.32
70.70
15.43
43.91
59.34
2021
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.12
0.34
0.47
0.16
0.47
0.63
0.78
2.21
2.99
1.89
5.39
7.28
7.67
21.82
29.49
4.85
13.79
18.64
18.54
52.77
71.31
15.56
44.29
59.85
2022
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.17
0.47
0.64
0.79
2.23
3.02
1.91
5.44
7.35
7.72
21.98
29.71
4.88
13.90
18.78
18.68
53.17
71.85
15.68
44.62
60.30
2023
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.79
2.25
3.05
1.93
5.49
7.42
7.78
22.13
29.91
4.92
13.99
18.90
18.81
53.52
72.33
15.78
44.92
60.71
2024
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.12
0.35
0.48
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.80
2.27
3.07
1.94
5.53
7.47
7.82
22.26
30.08
4.94
14.07
19.02
18.92
53.84
72.76
15.88
45.19
61.07
2025
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.13
0.36
0.48
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.80
2.29
3.09
1.96
5.56
7.52
7.86
22.38
30.24
4.97
14.15
19.12
19.02
54.13
73.15
15.96
45.43
61.39
2026
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.13
0.36
0.48
0.17
0.49
0.66
0.81
2.30
3.11
1.97
5.60
7.56
7.90
22.49
30.39
4.99
14.22
19.21
19.11
54.39
73.50
16.04
45.65
61.69
2027
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.17
0.49
0.66
0.81
2.31
3.12
1.98
5.63
7.60
7.94
22.59
30.52
5.02
14.28
19.29
19.19
54.62
73.82
16.11
45.85
61.95
Total
0.29
0.84
1.13
2.01
5.71
7.71
2.73
7.77
10.50
12.87
36.63
49.50
31.34
89.20
120.55
136.70
389.08
525.78
86.41
245.94
332.35
330.62
940.99
1,271.61
277.48
789.75
1,067.24
Avg.
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.51
1.47
1.98
1.25
3.57
4.82
5.47
15.56
21.03
3.46
9.84
13.29
13.22
37.64
50.86
11.10
31.59
42.69
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
TTHM
­
Alternative
2
135.45
Exhibit
E.
20d
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
50,001­
100,000
All
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2
];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
20a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.75
2.14
2.89
4.67
13.28
17.95
3.12
8.87
11.99
12.27
34.93
47.21
10.68
30.40
41.08
2007
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.65
1.85
2.50
1.79
5.08
6.87
11.11
31.61
42.72
7.42
21.12
28.54
29.21
83.15
112.36
25.42
72.35
97.77
2008
0.01
0.04
0.06
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.19
0.54
0.72
1.08
3.08
4.16
2.98
8.47
11.45
18.51
52.68
71.19
12.37
35.20
47.56
48.68
138.56
187.25
42.36
120.57
162.93
2009
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.16
0.44
0.60
0.27
0.77
1.04
1.55
4.41
5.97
4.26
12.14
16.40
26.53
75.49
102.02
17.72
50.44
68.16
69.77
198.57
268.33
60.71
172.78
233.49
2010
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.20
0.58
0.79
0.36
1.01
1.37
2.04
5.82
7.87
5.62
16.00
21.62
34.97
99.53
134.49
23.36
66.49
89.85
91.97
261.77
353.75
80.03
227.78
307.81
2011
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.26
0.73
0.98
0.44
1.27
1.71
2.56
7.28
9.84
7.03
20.01
27.04
43.73
124.46
168.19
29.21
83.15
112.36
115.02
327.36
442.37
100.08
284.85
384.93
2012
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.31
0.88
1.19
0.54
1.53
2.06
3.08
8.78
11.86
8.48
24.13
32.61
48.07
136.82
184.89
32.11
91.40
123.52
126.44
359.85
486.29
110.02
313.13
423.14
2013
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.36
1.03
1.39
0.63
1.79
2.42
3.62
10.31
13.93
9.96
28.34
38.30
50.83
144.68
195.52
33.96
96.66
130.62
133.71
380.55
514.25
116.34
331.13
447.47
2014
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.42
1.19
1.60
0.73
2.06
2.79
4.17
11.87
16.04
11.46
32.63
44.09
52.80
150.27
203.07
35.27
100.39
135.67
138.87
395.25
534.12
120.84
343.92
464.76
2015
0.06
0.17
0.24
0.45
1.27
1.71
0.77
2.20
2.98
4.45
12.67
17.13
12.24
34.84
47.08
54.29
154.51
208.79
36.27
103.22
139.49
142.78
406.38
549.16
124.24
353.61
477.85
2016
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.46
1.32
1.79
0.81
2.30
3.10
4.64
13.20
17.84
12.75
36.30
49.05
55.46
157.85
213.31
37.05
105.45
142.51
145.87
415.17
561.04
126.93
361.26
488.19
2017
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.48
1.36
1.84
0.83
2.36
3.19
4.77
13.59
18.36
13.12
37.35
50.48
56.42
160.57
216.99
37.69
107.27
144.96
148.39
422.33
570.71
129.12
367.49
496.60
2018
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.49
1.39
1.88
0.85
2.41
3.26
4.88
13.89
18.76
13.41
38.17
51.58
57.21
162.84
220.05
38.22
108.79
147.01
150.48
428.29
578.77
130.94
372.67
503.61
2019
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.50
1.41
1.91
0.86
2.46
3.32
4.96
14.12
19.09
13.64
38.83
52.47
57.89
164.76
222.65
38.67
110.07
148.74
152.26
433.35
585.61
132.49
377.08
509.56
2020
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.50
1.43
1.94
0.88
2.49
3.37
5.03
14.32
19.35
13.83
39.37
53.21
58.47
166.42
224.89
39.06
111.18
150.24
153.79
437.70
591.49
133.82
380.87
514.68
2021
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.51
1.45
1.96
0.89
2.52
3.40
5.09
14.49
19.58
14.00
39.83
53.83
58.98
167.86
226.84
39.40
112.14
151.54
155.12
441.50
596.62
134.98
384.17
519.15
2022
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.51
1.46
1.98
0.89
2.54
3.44
5.14
14.63
19.77
14.13
40.23
54.36
59.42
169.13
228.55
39.70
112.99
152.69
156.30
444.84
601.14
136.00
387.08
523.08
2023
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.52
1.48
2.00
0.90
2.57
3.47
5.18
14.76
19.94
14.25
40.57
54.82
59.82
170.26
230.08
39.96
113.75
153.71
157.34
447.81
605.15
136.91
389.66
526.57
2024
0.07
0.20
0.28
0.52
1.49
2.01
0.91
2.58
3.49
5.22
14.87
20.09
14.36
40.87
55.23
60.18
171.27
231.45
40.20
114.42
154.62
158.27
450.47
608.75
137.72
391.98
529.70
2025
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.53
1.50
2.02
0.91
2.60
3.52
5.26
14.96
20.22
14.45
41.13
55.59
60.50
172.18
232.68
40.42
115.03
155.44
159.12
452.87
611.98
138.45
394.06
532.51
2026
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.53
1.51
2.03
0.92
2.62
3.54
5.29
15.05
20.34
14.54
41.37
55.91
60.79
173.01
233.79
40.61
115.58
156.19
159.88
455.04
614.92
139.12
395.95
535.07
2027
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.53
1.51
2.05
0.92
2.63
3.55
5.32
15.13
20.44
14.61
41.59
56.20
61.05
173.76
234.81
40.79
116.08
156.87
160.57
457.02
617.59
139.72
397.67
537.39
Total
1.16
3.30
4.46
8.43
24.00
32.43
14.65
41.71
56.36
84.27
239.85
324.13
231.68
659.39
891.07
1,051.68
2,993.23
4,044.91
702.59
1,999.69
2,702.29
2,766.11
7,872.77
10,638.88
2,406.91
6,850.44
9,257.35
Avg.
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.34
0.96
1.30
0.59
1.67
2.25
3.37
9.59
12.97
9.27
26.38
35.64
42.07
119.73
161.80
28.10
79.99
108.09
110.64
314.91
425.56
96.28
274.02
370.29
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Exhibit
E.
20e
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
Surface
Water
Systems,
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
TTHM
­
Alternative
2
Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.

Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
20a.
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
1,118.07
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.14
0.39
0.52
0.63
1.79
2.41
0.23
0.65
0.88
0.53
1.51
2.04
0.07
0.19
0.25
2007
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.22
0.62
0.83
0.32
0.92
1.24
1.49
4.25
5.74
0.54
1.55
2.09
1.26
3.59
4.85
0.16
0.44
0.60
2008
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.12
0.34
0.45
0.36
1.03
1.39
0.54
1.53
2.07
2.49
7.08
9.57
0.91
2.58
3.49
2.10
5.98
8.07
0.26
0.74
1.00
2009
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.17
0.48
0.64
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.52
1.47
1.99
0.77
2.19
2.96
3.57
10.15
13.71
1.30
3.70
5.00
3.01
8.56
11.57
0.37
1.06
1.43
2010
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.22
0.63
0.85
0.22
0.63
0.86
0.68
1.94
2.62
1.02
2.89
3.91
4.70
13.38
18.08
1.71
4.88
6.59
3.97
11.29
15.25
0.49
1.40
1.89
2011
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.28
0.78
1.06
0.28
0.79
1.07
0.85
2.42
3.27
1.27
3.61
4.88
5.88
16.73
22.61
2.14
6.10
8.24
4.96
14.12
19.08
0.61
1.75
2.36
2012
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.33
0.94
1.28
0.34
0.96
1.29
1.03
2.92
3.95
1.53
4.36
5.89
6.46
18.39
24.85
2.36
6.71
9.06
5.45
15.52
20.97
0.67
1.92
2.59
2013
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.39
1.11
1.50
0.39
1.12
1.52
1.21
3.43
4.64
1.80
5.12
6.92
6.83
19.45
26.28
2.49
7.09
9.58
5.77
16.41
22.18
0.71
2.03
2.74
2014
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.45
1.28
1.73
0.45
1.29
1.75
1.39
3.95
5.34
2.07
5.89
7.97
7.10
20.20
27.30
2.59
7.36
9.95
5.99
17.04
23.03
0.74
2.11
2.85
2015
0.07
0.21
0.29
0.48
1.36
1.84
0.48
1.38
1.86
1.48
4.22
5.70
2.21
6.29
8.51
7.30
20.77
28.06
2.66
7.57
10.23
6.16
17.52
23.68
0.76
2.17
2.93
2016
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.50
1.42
1.92
0.50
1.44
1.94
1.54
4.39
5.94
2.30
6.56
8.86
7.45
21.22
28.67
2.72
7.74
10.45
6.29
17.90
24.19
0.78
2.21
2.99
2017
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.51
1.46
1.98
0.52
1.48
2.00
1.59
4.52
6.11
2.37
6.75
9.12
7.58
21.58
29.17
2.76
7.87
10.63
6.40
18.21
24.61
0.79
2.25
3.04
2018
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.53
1.49
2.02
0.53
1.51
2.04
1.62
4.62
6.24
2.42
6.90
9.32
7.69
21.89
29.58
2.80
7.98
10.78
6.49
18.47
24.96
0.80
2.28
3.09
2019
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.53
1.52
2.05
0.54
1.54
2.08
1.65
4.70
6.35
2.46
7.01
9.48
7.78
22.15
29.93
2.84
8.07
10.91
6.57
18.69
25.25
0.81
2.31
3.12
2020
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.54
1.54
2.08
0.55
1.56
2.11
1.67
4.77
6.44
2.50
7.11
9.61
7.86
22.37
30.23
2.87
8.16
11.02
6.63
18.87
25.51
0.82
2.33
3.15
2021
0.08
0.24
0.33
0.55
1.56
2.11
0.55
1.58
2.13
1.69
4.82
6.52
2.53
7.20
9.72
7.93
22.56
30.49
2.89
8.23
11.12
6.69
19.04
25.73
0.83
2.35
3.18
2022
0.09
0.24
0.33
0.55
1.58
2.13
0.56
1.59
2.15
1.71
4.87
6.58
2.55
7.27
9.82
7.99
22.73
30.72
2.91
8.29
11.20
6.74
19.18
25.92
0.83
2.37
3.20
2023
0.09
0.25
0.33
0.56
1.59
2.15
0.56
1.61
2.17
1.73
4.91
6.64
2.57
7.33
9.90
8.04
22.89
30.93
2.93
8.34
11.28
6.78
19.31
26.10
0.84
2.39
3.23
2024
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.56
1.60
2.16
0.57
1.62
2.19
1.74
4.95
6.69
2.59
7.38
9.98
8.09
23.02
31.11
2.95
8.39
11.34
6.83
19.43
26.25
0.84
2.40
3.24
2025
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.57
1.61
2.18
0.57
1.63
2.20
1.75
4.98
6.73
2.61
7.43
10.04
8.13
23.14
31.28
2.96
8.44
11.40
6.86
19.53
26.39
0.85
2.41
3.26
2026
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.57
1.62
2.19
0.58
1.64
2.21
1.76
5.01
6.77
2.63
7.47
10.10
8.17
23.25
31.43
2.98
8.48
11.46
6.89
19.62
26.52
0.85
2.43
3.28
2027
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.57
1.63
2.20
0.58
1.65
2.22
1.77
5.03
6.80
2.64
7.51
10.15
8.21
23.36
31.56
2.99
8.52
11.51
6.92
19.71
26.63
0.86
2.44
3.29
Total
1.41
4.00
5.41
9.07
25.82
34.89
9.17
26.10
35.27
28.05
79.82
107.87
41.85
119.12
160.97
141.36
402.34
543.70
51.54
146.70
198.24
119.28
339.49
458.77
14.75
41.97
56.71
Avg.
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.36
1.03
1.40
0.37
1.04
1.41
1.12
3.19
4.31
1.67
4.76
6.44
5.65
16.09
21.75
2.06
5.87
7.93
4.77
13.58
18.35
0.59
1.68
2.27
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
TTHM
­
Alternative
2
64.07
Exhibit
E.
20f
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
50,001­
100,000
Ground
Water
Systems,
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2
];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
20a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.36
1.04
1.40
0.89
2.52
3.41
5.29
15.07
20.36
3.35
9.52
12.87
12.80
36.44
49.24
10.75
30.58
41.33
2007
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.13
0.38
0.52
0.18
0.52
0.71
0.87
2.46
3.33
2.11
6.00
8.11
12.60
35.86
48.46
7.96
22.67
30.63
30.47
86.73
117.21
25.58
72.79
98.37
2008
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.22
0.64
0.86
0.31
0.87
1.18
1.44
4.11
5.55
3.51
10.00
13.51
21.00
59.76
80.76
13.27
37.78
51.05
50.78
144.54
195.32
42.62
121.31
163.93
2009
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.32
0.92
1.24
0.44
1.25
1.69
2.07
5.88
7.95
5.03
14.33
19.36
30.09
85.64
115.73
19.02
54.14
73.16
72.77
207.13
279.90
61.08
173.84
234.92
2010
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.42
1.21
1.63
0.58
1.65
2.22
2.73
7.76
10.48
6.64
18.89
25.53
39.67
112.90
152.57
25.08
71.37
96.44
95.94
273.06
369.00
80.52
229.17
309.70
2011
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.53
1.51
2.04
0.72
2.06
2.78
3.41
9.70
13.11
8.30
23.62
31.92
49.61
141.19
190.80
31.36
89.25
120.61
119.98
341.47
461.45
100.69
286.59
387.29
2012
0.09
0.27
0.36
0.64
1.82
2.46
0.87
2.48
3.35
4.11
11.70
15.81
10.01
28.49
38.50
54.53
155.21
209.74
34.47
98.11
132.58
131.89
375.37
507.26
110.69
315.04
425.73
2013
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.75
2.14
2.89
1.02
2.91
3.94
4.83
13.74
18.57
11.76
33.46
45.22
57.67
164.13
221.80
36.45
103.75
140.20
139.47
396.96
536.43
117.06
333.16
450.21
2014
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.87
2.47
3.33
1.18
3.36
4.53
5.56
15.82
21.38
13.54
38.52
52.06
59.90
170.47
230.37
37.86
107.76
145.62
144.86
412.29
557.15
121.58
346.03
467.61
2015
0.14
0.39
0.52
0.92
2.63
3.56
1.26
3.58
4.84
5.93
16.89
22.83
14.45
41.14
55.59
61.58
175.27
236.86
38.93
110.79
149.72
148.94
423.90
572.84
125.00
355.77
480.78
2016
0.14
0.40
0.54
0.96
2.74
3.71
1.31
3.73
5.04
6.18
17.60
23.78
15.06
42.85
57.91
62.91
179.07
241.98
39.77
113.19
152.96
152.16
433.07
585.23
127.71
363.47
491.18
2017
0.15
0.41
0.56
0.99
2.82
3.81
1.35
3.84
5.19
6.36
18.11
24.47
15.50
44.10
59.60
64.00
182.15
246.15
40.45
115.14
155.60
154.78
440.54
595.32
129.91
369.74
499.64
2018
0.15
0.42
0.57
1.01
2.88
3.90
1.38
3.93
5.30
6.50
18.51
25.01
15.83
45.07
60.90
64.90
184.72
249.63
41.03
116.77
157.79
156.97
446.76
603.73
131.74
374.96
506.70
2019
0.15
0.43
0.58
1.03
2.93
3.96
1.40
3.99
5.40
6.61
18.83
25.44
16.11
45.84
61.95
65.67
186.91
252.58
41.51
118.15
159.66
158.82
452.04
610.86
133.30
379.39
512.68
2020
0.15
0.44
0.59
1.05
2.97
4.02
1.42
4.05
5.47
6.71
19.09
25.80
16.33
46.49
62.82
66.33
188.78
255.11
41.93
119.33
161.26
160.42
456.58
617.00
134.64
383.20
517.84
2021
0.15
0.44
0.60
1.06
3.01
4.07
1.44
4.10
5.53
6.78
19.31
26.10
16.52
47.03
63.55
66.90
190.42
257.33
42.29
120.37
162.66
161.81
460.54
622.35
135.81
386.52
522.33
2022
0.16
0.45
0.60
1.07
3.04
4.11
1.45
4.14
5.59
6.85
19.50
26.35
16.69
47.49
64.18
67.41
191.86
259.28
42.61
121.28
163.89
163.04
464.03
627.06
136.83
389.45
526.28
2023
0.16
0.45
0.61
1.08
3.06
4.14
1.47
4.17
5.64
6.91
19.67
26.58
16.83
47.90
64.72
67.86
193.14
261.01
42.90
122.09
164.99
164.12
467.12
631.25
137.75
392.05
529.80
2024
0.16
0.45
0.61
1.08
3.09
4.17
1.48
4.20
5.68
6.96
19.81
26.77
16.95
48.25
65.20
68.26
194.29
262.56
43.15
122.81
165.97
165.10
469.90
635.00
138.56
394.38
532.94
2025
0.16
0.46
0.62
1.09
3.11
4.20
1.49
4.23
5.72
7.01
19.94
26.95
17.06
48.57
65.63
68.63
195.32
263.95
43.38
123.47
166.85
165.98
472.40
638.37
139.30
396.47
535.78
2026
0.16
0.46
0.62
1.10
3.13
4.22
1.49
4.25
5.75
7.05
20.06
27.11
17.16
48.85
66.01
68.96
196.26
265.22
43.59
124.06
167.65
166.77
474.66
641.44
139.97
398.38
538.35
2027
0.16
0.46
0.62
1.10
3.14
4.25
1.50
4.28
5.78
7.08
20.16
27.25
17.25
49.10
66.35
69.26
197.12
266.37
43.78
124.60
168.38
167.50
476.73
644.23
140.58
400.11
540.69
Total
2.57
7.30
9.87
17.50
49.82
67.32
23.82
67.80
91.63
112.32
319.68
432.00
273.53
778.51
1,052.04
1,193.04
3,395.57
4,588.61
754.14
2,146.39
2,900.52
2,885.39
8,212.26
11,097.65
2,421.66
6,892.40
9,314.06
Avg.
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.70
1.99
2.69
0.95
2.71
3.67
4.49
12.79
17.28
10.94
31.14
42.08
47.72
135.82
183.54
30.17
85.86
116.02
115.42
328.49
443.91
96.87
275.70
372.56
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.

Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
20a.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
1,182.15
Exhibit
E.
20g
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
All
Water
Systems,
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
TTHM
­
Alternative
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
E.
6.5
Projection
of
Cases
­
Stage
2
Alternative
3
TTHM
as
Indicator
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Annual
Existing
Cancer
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
DBPR
Annual
Existing
Cancer
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
Annual
Reductions
in
Bladder
Cancer
Cases
Attributable
to
the
Stage
2
DBPR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
<
100
0.11
0.84
0.95
<
100
0.11
0.82
0.93
<
100
0.01
0.02
0.02
101­
500
0.82
5.41
6.23
101­
500
0.78
5.29
6.08
101­
500
0.04
0.12
0.16
501­
1,000
1.43
5.47
6.90
501­
1,000
1.36
5.35
6.71
501­
1,000
0.07
0.12
0.19
1,001­
3,300
8.20
16.74
24.94
1,001­
3,300
7.81
16.37
24.18
1,001­
3,300
0.39
0.37
0.76
3,301­
10,000
22.53
24.98
47.51
3,301­
10,000
21.47
24.43
45.90
3,301­
10,000
1.07
0.55
1.62
10,001­
50,000
93.44
51.52
144.96
10,001­
50,000
89.03
50.65
139.67
10,001­
50,000
4.42
0.87
5.29
50,001­
100,000
62.43
18.78
81.21
50,001­
100,000
59.48
18.47
77.94
50,001­
100,000
2.95
0.32
3.27
100,001­
1
Million
245.77
43.47
289.24
100,001­
1
Million
234.16
42.74
276.89
100,001­
1
Million
11.62
0.73
12.35
>
1
Million
213.86
5.37
219.23
>
1
Million
203.75
5.28
209.03
>
1
Million
10.11
0.09
10.20
Total
648.59
172.59
821.17
Total
617.93
169.39
787.33
Total
30.65
3.19
33.84
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
<
100
0.98
7.32
8.31
<
100
0.94
7.16
8.10
<
100
0.38
0.23
0.62
101­
500
7.16
47.25
54.41
101­
500
6.82
46.21
53.03
101­
500
2.80
1.50
4.29
501­
1,000
12.44
47.76
60.20
501­
1,000
11.85
46.71
58.56
501­
1,000
4.86
1.51
6.37
1,001­
3,300
71.53
146.09
217.62
1,001­
3,300
68.15
142.86
211.02
1,001­
3,300
27.94
4.63
32.57
3,301­
10,000
196.66
218.00
414.66
3,301­
10,000
187.36
213.18
400.55
3,301­
10,000
76.81
6.91
83.72
10,001­
50,000
815.50
449.59
1,265.09
10,001­
50,000
776.96
442.01
1,218.96
10,001­
50,000
318.51
22.31
340.82
50,001­
100,000
544.81
163.93
708.74
50,001­
100,000
519.06
161.16
680.22
50,001­
100,000
212.79
8.13
220.92
100,001­
1
Million
2,144.92
379.36
2,524.28
100,001­
1
Million
2,043.54
372.96
2,416.50
100,001­
1
Million
837.75
18.82
856.57
>
1
Million
1,866.38
46.90
1,913.28
>
1
Million
1,778.17
46.10
1,824.28
>
1
Million
728.96
2.33
731.29
Total
5,660.38
1,506.20
7,166.58
Total
5,392.85
1,478.35
6,871.21
Total
2,210.79
66.38
2,277.17
Source:
Derived
from
figures
presented
in
Appendix
E.
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)

System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
Exhibit
E.
21a
Expanded
Cancer
Case
Inputs
for
Benefits
Quantification
(
TTHM
­
Alternative
3)

System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.11
0.30
0.40
0.65
1.86
2.52
0.44
1.24
1.68
1.72
4.90
6.62
1.50
4.26
5.76
2007
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.25
0.71
0.96
1.56
4.43
5.99
1.04
2.96
4.00
4.09
11.65
15.75
3.56
10.14
13.70
2008
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.15
0.43
0.58
0.42
1.19
1.60
2.59
7.38
9.98
1.73
4.93
6.67
6.82
19.42
26.25
5.94
16.90
22.84
2009
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.22
0.62
0.84
0.60
1.70
2.30
3.72
10.58
14.30
2.48
7.07
9.55
9.78
27.83
37.61
8.51
24.22
32.73
2010
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.29
0.82
1.10
0.79
2.24
3.03
4.90
13.95
18.85
3.27
9.32
12.59
12.89
36.69
49.58
11.22
31.93
43.15
2011
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.36
1.02
1.38
0.99
2.80
3.79
6.13
17.45
23.58
4.09
11.65
15.75
16.12
45.89
62.01
14.03
39.93
53.96
2012
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.08
0.21
0.29
0.43
1.23
1.66
1.19
3.38
4.57
6.74
19.18
25.92
4.50
12.81
17.31
17.72
50.44
68.16
15.42
43.89
59.31
2013
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.14
0.20
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.51
1.45
1.95
1.40
3.97
5.37
7.13
20.28
27.41
4.76
13.55
18.31
18.74
53.34
72.08
16.31
46.41
62.72
2014
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.17
0.22
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.58
1.66
2.25
1.61
4.57
6.18
7.40
21.06
28.46
4.94
14.07
19.02
19.47
55.40
74.87
16.94
48.21
65.14
2015
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.62
1.78
2.40
1.72
4.88
6.60
7.61
21.66
29.27
5.08
14.47
19.55
20.01
56.96
76.98
17.41
49.56
66.98
2016
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.65
1.85
2.50
1.79
5.09
6.87
7.77
22.13
29.90
5.19
14.78
19.97
20.45
58.19
78.64
17.79
50.64
68.43
2017
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.67
1.90
2.57
1.84
5.24
7.08
7.91
22.51
30.41
5.28
15.04
20.32
20.80
59.20
80.00
18.10
51.51
69.61
2018
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.68
1.95
2.63
1.88
5.35
7.23
8.02
22.82
30.84
5.36
15.25
20.61
21.09
60.03
81.13
18.35
52.24
70.59
2019
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.12
0.34
0.47
0.70
1.98
2.68
1.91
5.44
7.36
8.11
23.09
31.21
5.42
15.43
20.85
21.34
60.74
82.08
18.57
52.85
71.42
2020
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.71
2.01
2.71
1.94
5.52
7.46
8.20
23.33
31.52
5.48
15.58
21.06
21.56
61.35
82.91
18.76
53.39
72.14
2021
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.12
0.35
0.48
0.71
2.03
2.74
1.96
5.58
7.54
8.27
23.53
31.80
5.52
15.72
21.24
21.74
61.88
83.63
18.92
53.85
72.77
2022
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.13
0.36
0.48
0.72
2.05
2.77
1.98
5.64
7.62
8.33
23.71
32.04
5.56
15.84
21.40
21.91
62.35
84.26
19.06
54.26
73.32
2023
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.73
2.07
2.80
2.00
5.69
7.68
8.38
23.86
32.25
5.60
15.94
21.55
22.05
62.77
84.82
19.19
54.62
73.81
2024
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.73
2.08
2.82
2.01
5.73
7.74
8.43
24.01
32.44
5.64
16.04
21.67
22.19
63.14
85.33
19.30
54.94
74.25
2025
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.74
2.10
2.83
2.03
5.77
7.79
8.48
24.13
32.61
5.66
16.12
21.79
22.30
63.48
85.78
19.41
55.23
74.64
2026
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.21
0.29
0.13
0.37
0.50
0.74
2.11
2.85
2.04
5.80
7.84
8.52
24.25
32.77
5.69
16.20
21.89
22.41
63.78
86.19
19.50
55.50
75.00
2027
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.21
0.29
0.13
0.37
0.50
0.75
2.12
2.87
2.05
5.83
7.88
8.56
24.36
32.91
5.72
16.27
21.99
22.51
64.06
86.57
19.58
55.74
75.33
Total
0.16
0.46
0.62
1.18
3.36
4.55
2.05
5.85
7.90
11.81
33.62
45.43
32.47
92.43
124.90
147.41
419.56
566.97
98.48
280.29
378.78
387.72
1,103.52
1,491.24
337.37
960.22
1,297.59
Avg.
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.47
1.34
1.82
1.30
3.70
5.00
5.90
16.78
22.68
3.94
11.21
15.15
15.51
44.14
59.65
13.49
38.41
51.90
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.

Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
21a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
TTHM
­
Alternative
3
156.72
Exhibit
E.
21b
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
Surface
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.00
0.01
0.02
2007
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.02
0.06
0.09
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.01
0.03
0.04
2008
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.18
0.52
0.70
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.02
0.05
0.07
2009
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.26
0.74
1.00
0.09
0.27
0.37
0.22
0.63
0.85
0.03
0.08
0.10
2010
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.34
0.98
1.32
0.13
0.36
0.48
0.29
0.82
1.11
0.04
0.10
0.14
2011
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.02
0.06
0.07
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.43
1.22
1.65
0.16
0.45
0.60
0.36
1.03
1.39
0.04
0.13
0.17
2012
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.07
0.20
0.28
0.11
0.30
0.41
0.47
1.34
1.82
0.17
0.49
0.66
0.40
1.13
1.53
0.05
0.14
0.19
2013
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.13
0.36
0.48
0.50
1.42
1.92
0.18
0.52
0.70
0.42
1.20
1.62
0.05
0.15
0.20
2014
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.10
0.28
0.37
0.14
0.41
0.56
0.52
1.48
1.99
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.44
1.24
1.68
0.05
0.15
0.21
2015
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.10
0.29
0.40
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.53
1.52
2.05
0.19
0.55
0.75
0.45
1.28
1.73
0.06
0.16
0.21
2016
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.11
0.31
0.41
0.16
0.46
0.62
0.54
1.55
2.09
0.20
0.57
0.76
0.46
1.31
1.77
0.06
0.16
0.22
2017
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.17
0.47
0.64
0.55
1.58
2.13
0.20
0.57
0.78
0.47
1.33
1.80
0.06
0.16
0.22
2018
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.11
0.32
0.44
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.56
1.60
2.16
0.20
0.58
0.79
0.47
1.35
1.82
0.06
0.17
0.23
2019
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.12
0.33
0.44
0.17
0.49
0.66
0.57
1.62
2.19
0.21
0.59
0.80
0.48
1.36
1.84
0.06
0.17
0.23
2020
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.17
0.50
0.67
0.57
1.63
2.21
0.21
0.60
0.80
0.48
1.38
1.86
0.06
0.17
0.23
2021
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.12
0.34
0.45
0.18
0.50
0.68
0.58
1.65
2.23
0.21
0.60
0.81
0.49
1.39
1.88
0.06
0.17
0.23
2022
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.18
0.51
0.69
0.58
1.66
2.24
0.21
0.61
0.82
0.49
1.40
1.89
0.06
0.17
0.23
2023
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.18
0.51
0.69
0.59
1.67
2.26
0.21
0.61
0.82
0.50
1.41
1.91
0.06
0.17
0.24
2024
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.18
0.52
0.70
0.59
1.68
2.27
0.22
0.61
0.83
0.50
1.42
1.92
0.06
0.18
0.24
2025
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.18
0.52
0.70
0.59
1.69
2.28
0.22
0.62
0.83
0.50
1.43
1.93
0.06
0.18
0.24
2026
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.18
0.52
0.71
0.60
1.70
2.30
0.22
0.62
0.84
0.50
1.43
1.94
0.06
0.18
0.24
2027
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.04
0.11
0.16
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.18
0.52
0.71
0.60
1.71
2.31
0.22
0.62
0.84
0.51
1.44
1.95
0.06
0.18
0.24
Total
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.63
1.80
2.44
0.64
1.82
2.46
1.96
5.57
7.53
2.92
8.32
####
####
####
####
3.76
####
####
8.71
####
####
1.08
3.07
4.14
Avg.
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.41
1.18
1.59
0.15
0.43
0.58
0.35
0.99
1.34
0.04
0.12
0.17
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
21a.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
4.64
Exhibit
E.
21c
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
Ground
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
TTHM
­
Alternative
3
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.13
0.17
0.11
0.33
0.44
0.70
1.99
2.69
0.45
1.29
1.74
1.76
5.01
6.77
1.50
4.27
5.78
2007
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.11
0.30
0.41
0.27
0.78
1.05
1.67
4.74
6.41
1.08
3.07
4.15
4.19
11.92
16.10
3.57
10.17
13.75
2008
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.18
0.50
0.68
0.45
1.29
1.75
2.78
7.90
10.68
1.80
5.12
6.92
6.98
19.86
26.84
5.96
16.95
22.91
2009
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.25
0.72
0.97
0.65
1.85
2.51
3.98
11.32
15.30
2.58
7.34
9.92
10.00
28.46
38.46
8.54
24.30
32.83
2010
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.13
0.17
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.33
0.95
1.29
0.86
2.44
3.30
5.24
14.93
20.17
3.40
9.68
13.08
13.18
37.52
50.70
11.25
32.03
43.28
2011
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.16
0.21
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.42
1.19
1.61
1.07
3.06
4.13
6.56
18.67
25.23
4.25
12.10
16.35
16.48
46.92
63.40
14.07
40.05
54.13
2012
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.50
1.43
1.94
1.30
3.69
4.98
7.21
20.52
27.73
4.67
13.30
17.98
18.12
51.57
69.69
15.47
44.03
59.50
2013
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.59
1.68
2.28
1.52
4.33
5.85
7.62
21.70
29.33
4.94
14.07
19.01
19.16
54.54
73.70
16.36
46.56
62.92
2014
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.13
0.38
0.51
0.68
1.94
2.62
1.75
4.99
6.74
7.92
22.54
30.46
5.13
14.61
19.74
19.90
56.65
76.55
16.99
48.36
65.35
2015
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.73
2.07
2.80
1.87
5.32
7.19
8.14
23.17
31.32
5.28
15.02
20.30
20.46
58.24
78.70
17.47
49.72
67.19
2016
0.01
0.04
0.06
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.15
0.42
0.57
0.76
2.16
2.92
1.95
5.55
7.49
8.32
23.68
31.99
5.39
15.35
20.74
20.91
59.50
80.41
17.85
50.80
68.65
2017
0.01
0.04
0.06
0.10
0.29
0.40
0.15
0.43
0.59
0.78
2.22
3.00
2.01
5.71
7.71
8.46
24.08
32.54
5.48
15.61
21.10
21.27
60.53
81.79
18.16
51.67
69.83
2018
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.11
0.30
0.40
0.16
0.44
0.60
0.80
2.27
3.07
2.05
5.83
7.88
8.58
24.42
33.00
5.56
15.83
21.39
21.57
61.38
82.95
18.41
52.40
70.82
2019
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.11
0.30
0.41
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.81
2.31
3.12
2.08
5.93
8.02
8.68
24.71
33.39
5.63
16.02
21.65
21.82
62.11
83.93
18.63
53.02
71.65
2020
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.16
0.46
0.62
0.82
2.34
3.16
2.11
6.02
8.13
8.77
24.96
33.73
5.68
16.18
21.86
22.04
62.73
84.77
18.82
53.56
72.37
2021
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.16
0.46
0.63
0.83
2.37
3.20
2.14
6.09
8.22
8.85
25.18
34.02
5.73
16.32
22.05
22.23
63.28
85.51
18.98
54.02
73.00
2022
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.16
0.47
0.63
0.84
2.39
3.23
2.16
6.15
8.30
8.91
25.37
34.28
5.78
16.44
22.22
22.40
63.75
86.15
19.12
54.43
73.55
2023
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.17
0.47
0.64
0.85
2.41
3.26
2.18
6.20
8.38
8.97
25.54
34.51
5.82
16.55
22.37
22.55
64.18
86.73
19.25
54.79
74.04
2024
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.17
0.48
0.64
0.85
2.43
3.28
2.19
6.24
8.44
9.03
25.69
34.71
5.85
16.65
22.50
22.68
64.56
87.24
19.37
55.12
74.48
2025
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.11
0.32
0.44
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.86
2.44
3.30
2.21
6.28
8.49
9.07
25.82
34.90
5.88
16.74
22.62
22.80
64.90
87.71
19.47
55.41
74.88
2026
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.11
0.32
0.44
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.86
2.46
3.32
2.22
6.32
8.54
9.12
25.95
35.07
5.91
16.82
22.73
22.91
65.22
88.13
19.56
55.68
75.24
2027
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.11
0.33
0.44
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.87
2.47
3.34
2.23
6.35
8.59
9.16
26.06
35.22
5.94
16.89
22.83
23.01
65.50
88.51
19.65
55.92
75.57
Total
0.26
0.74
1.00
1.82
5.17
6.98
2.69
7.67
10.36
13.77
39.19
52.96
35.40
100.74
136.14
157.74
448.94
606.68
102.25
291.01
393.25
396.43
1,128.31
1,524.75
338.45
963.28
1,301.73
Avg.
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.11
0.31
0.41
0.55
1.57
2.12
1.42
4.03
5.45
6.31
17.96
24.27
4.09
11.64
15.73
15.86
45.13
60.99
13.54
38.53
52.07
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
TTHM
­
Alternative
3
161.35
Exhibit
E.
21d
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
50,001­
100,000
All
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.

Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
21a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.06
0.17
0.22
0.33
0.95
1.28
0.92
2.61
3.53
5.71
16.25
21.96
3.81
10.85
14.67
15.01
42.73
57.75
13.06
37.18
50.25
2007
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.14
0.39
0.53
0.79
2.26
3.06
2.18
6.22
8.40
13.59
38.67
52.26
9.08
25.84
34.91
35.74
101.71
137.45
31.10
88.50
119.60
2008
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.13
0.38
0.51
0.23
0.66
0.89
1.32
3.77
5.09
3.64
10.36
14.00
22.64
64.45
87.09
15.13
43.05
58.18
59.56
169.50
229.06
51.82
147.49
199.31
2009
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.33
0.94
1.27
1.90
5.40
7.30
5.22
14.85
20.06
32.45
92.35
124.80
21.68
61.70
83.38
85.34
242.90
328.25
74.26
211.36
285.62
2010
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.25
0.71
0.96
0.43
1.24
1.67
2.50
7.12
9.62
6.88
19.57
26.45
42.78
121.75
164.53
28.58
81.34
109.92
112.51
320.22
432.73
97.90
278.64
376.54
2011
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.31
0.89
1.20
0.54
1.55
2.09
3.13
8.90
12.03
8.60
24.48
33.08
53.49
152.25
205.75
35.74
101.72
137.45
140.70
400.45
541.15
122.43
348.45
470.88
2012
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.38
1.07
1.45
0.66
1.87
2.52
3.77
10.74
14.51
10.37
29.52
39.89
58.80
167.37
226.17
39.29
111.81
151.10
154.67
440.21
594.87
134.58
383.04
517.63
2013
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.44
1.26
1.71
0.77
2.19
2.96
4.43
12.61
17.04
12.18
34.67
46.85
62.19
176.99
239.18
41.54
118.24
159.79
163.56
465.52
629.08
142.32
405.07
547.39
2014
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.51
1.45
1.96
0.89
2.52
3.41
5.10
14.52
19.62
14.02
39.91
53.94
64.59
183.83
248.42
43.15
122.81
165.96
169.88
483.50
653.38
147.82
420.72
568.54
2015
0.07
0.21
0.29
0.55
1.55
2.10
0.95
2.70
3.64
5.45
15.50
20.95
14.98
42.62
57.60
66.41
189.01
255.41
44.36
126.27
170.63
174.66
497.12
671.78
151.98
432.57
584.55
2016
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.57
1.62
2.18
0.99
2.81
3.80
5.67
16.15
21.82
15.60
44.40
60.00
67.84
193.09
260.94
45.32
129.00
174.33
178.44
507.87
686.32
155.27
441.92
597.19
2017
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.58
1.66
2.25
1.02
2.89
3.91
5.84
16.62
22.46
16.06
45.70
61.75
69.01
196.42
265.44
46.11
131.22
177.33
181.52
516.63
698.15
157.95
449.54
607.49
2018
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.60
1.70
2.30
1.04
2.95
3.99
5.97
16.99
22.95
16.41
46.70
63.10
69.99
199.20
269.18
46.76
133.08
179.83
184.08
523.92
708.01
160.18
455.89
616.07
2019
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.61
1.73
2.34
1.06
3.00
4.06
6.07
17.28
23.35
16.69
47.50
64.19
70.81
201.55
272.36
47.31
134.65
181.96
186.26
530.11
716.37
162.07
461.27
623.34
2020
0.08
0.24
0.33
0.62
1.75
2.37
1.07
3.05
4.12
6.16
17.52
23.68
16.92
48.17
65.09
71.53
203.57
275.10
47.78
136.00
183.79
188.13
535.44
723.57
163.70
465.91
629.61
2021
0.09
0.24
0.33
0.62
1.77
2.40
1.08
3.08
4.16
6.23
17.72
23.95
17.12
48.73
65.85
72.15
205.34
277.49
48.20
137.18
185.38
189.76
540.08
729.84
165.12
469.95
635.07
2022
0.09
0.25
0.33
0.63
1.79
2.42
1.09
3.11
4.21
6.29
17.90
24.19
17.29
49.21
66.50
72.69
206.89
279.59
48.56
138.22
186.78
191.20
544.17
735.37
166.37
473.51
639.88
2023
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.63
1.81
2.44
1.10
3.14
4.24
6.34
18.05
24.39
17.44
49.63
67.06
73.18
208.28
281.45
48.89
139.14
188.03
192.47
547.81
740.28
167.48
476.67
644.15
2024
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.64
1.82
2.46
1.11
3.16
4.27
6.39
18.18
24.57
17.57
49.99
67.56
73.61
209.51
283.13
49.18
139.97
189.15
193.62
551.06
744.67
168.47
479.50
647.97
2025
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.64
1.83
2.48
1.12
3.18
4.30
6.43
18.30
24.73
17.68
50.32
68.00
74.00
210.63
284.63
49.44
140.71
190.15
194.64
553.99
748.63
169.37
482.05
651.42
2026
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.65
1.84
2.49
1.12
3.20
4.33
6.47
18.41
24.88
17.78
50.61
68.39
74.36
211.64
286.00
49.68
141.39
191.07
195.58
556.65
752.22
170.18
484.36
654.54
2027
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.65
1.85
2.50
1.13
3.22
4.35
6.50
18.51
25.01
17.87
50.87
68.75
74.68
212.56
287.24
49.89
142.00
191.90
196.43
559.07
755.50
170.92
486.47
657.39
Total
1.42
4.03
5.45
10.32
29.36
39.68
17.93
51.02
68.95
103.09
293.41
396.50
283.41
806.63
1,090.04
1,286.51
3,661.59
4,948.10
859.48
2,446.20
3,305.68
3,383.75
9,630.69
13,014.44
2,944.35
8,380.08
11,324.43
Avg.
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.41
1.17
1.59
0.72
2.04
2.76
4.12
11.74
15.86
11.34
32.27
43.60
51.46
146.46
197.92
34.38
97.85
132.23
135.35
385.23
520.58
117.77
335.20
452.98
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Exhibit
E.
21e
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
Surface
Water
Systems,
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
TTHM
­
Alternative
3
Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.

Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
21a.
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
1,367.73
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.06
0.16
0.21
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.40
1.14
1.54
0.15
0.41
0.56
0.34
0.96
1.30
0.04
0.12
0.16
2007
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.13
0.37
0.51
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.95
2.71
3.66
0.35
0.99
1.33
0.80
2.29
3.09
0.10
0.28
0.38
2008
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.07
0.20
0.28
0.22
0.62
0.84
0.33
0.93
1.26
1.59
4.51
6.10
0.58
1.65
2.22
1.34
3.81
5.15
0.17
0.47
0.64
2009
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.10
0.29
0.40
0.31
0.90
1.21
0.47
1.34
1.81
2.27
6.47
8.74
0.83
2.36
3.19
1.92
5.46
7.38
0.24
0.67
0.91
2010
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.13
0.38
0.52
0.14
0.39
0.52
0.41
1.18
1.59
0.62
1.76
2.38
3.00
8.53
11.52
1.09
3.11
4.20
2.53
7.20
9.72
0.31
0.89
1.20
2011
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.52
1.48
1.99
0.77
2.20
2.98
3.75
10.66
14.41
1.37
3.89
5.25
3.16
9.00
12.16
0.39
1.11
1.50
2012
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.20
0.58
0.78
0.20
0.58
0.79
0.63
1.78
2.41
0.93
2.66
3.59
4.12
11.72
15.84
1.50
4.27
5.78
3.48
9.89
13.37
0.43
1.22
1.65
2013
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.24
0.68
0.91
0.24
0.68
0.92
0.73
2.09
2.83
1.10
3.12
4.22
4.36
12.40
16.75
1.59
4.52
6.11
3.68
10.46
14.14
0.45
1.29
1.75
2014
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.28
0.79
1.06
0.85
2.41
3.25
1.26
3.59
4.85
4.52
12.88
17.40
1.65
4.69
6.34
3.82
10.86
14.68
0.47
1.34
1.81
2015
0.05
0.13
0.17
0.29
0.83
1.12
0.30
0.84
1.14
0.90
2.57
3.47
1.35
3.83
5.18
4.65
13.24
17.89
1.70
4.83
6.52
3.92
11.17
15.09
0.49
1.38
1.87
2016
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.30
0.87
1.17
0.31
0.88
1.18
0.94
2.68
3.62
1.40
3.99
5.40
4.75
13.52
18.28
1.73
4.93
6.66
4.01
11.41
15.42
0.50
1.41
1.91
2017
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.31
0.89
1.20
0.32
0.90
1.22
0.97
2.76
3.72
1.44
4.11
5.56
4.83
13.76
18.59
1.76
5.02
6.78
4.08
11.61
15.69
0.50
1.43
1.94
2018
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.32
0.91
1.23
0.32
0.92
1.24
0.99
2.82
3.80
1.48
4.20
5.68
4.90
13.95
18.85
1.79
5.09
6.87
4.14
11.77
15.91
0.51
1.46
1.97
2019
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.33
0.93
1.25
0.33
0.94
1.27
1.01
2.86
3.87
1.50
4.27
5.78
4.96
14.12
19.08
1.81
5.15
6.96
4.19
11.91
16.10
0.52
1.47
1.99
2020
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.33
0.94
1.27
0.33
0.95
1.28
1.02
2.90
3.92
1.52
4.33
5.86
5.01
14.26
19.27
1.83
5.20
7.03
4.23
12.03
16.26
0.52
1.49
2.01
2021
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.33
0.95
1.28
0.34
0.96
1.30
1.03
2.94
3.97
1.54
4.38
5.92
5.05
14.38
19.44
1.84
5.24
7.09
4.26
12.14
16.40
0.53
1.50
2.03
2022
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.34
0.96
1.30
0.34
0.97
1.31
1.04
2.97
4.01
1.56
4.43
5.98
5.09
14.49
19.58
1.86
5.28
7.14
4.30
12.23
16.52
0.53
1.51
2.04
2023
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.34
0.97
1.31
0.34
0.98
1.32
1.05
2.99
4.04
1.57
4.47
6.03
5.13
14.59
19.71
1.87
5.32
7.19
4.32
12.31
16.63
0.53
1.52
2.06
2024
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.34
0.97
1.32
0.35
0.99
1.33
1.06
3.01
4.07
1.58
4.50
6.08
5.16
14.67
19.83
1.88
5.35
7.23
4.35
12.38
16.73
0.54
1.53
2.07
2025
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.34
0.98
1.33
0.35
0.99
1.34
1.07
3.03
4.10
1.59
4.53
6.12
5.18
14.75
19.94
1.89
5.38
7.27
4.37
12.45
16.82
0.54
1.54
2.08
2026
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.35
0.99
1.33
0.35
1.00
1.35
1.07
3.05
4.12
1.60
4.55
6.15
5.21
14.82
20.03
1.90
5.40
7.30
4.39
12.51
16.90
0.54
1.55
2.09
2027
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.35
0.99
1.34
0.35
1.00
1.36
1.08
3.07
4.15
1.61
4.58
6.19
5.23
14.89
20.12
1.91
5.43
7.34
4.41
12.56
16.98
0.55
1.55
2.10
Total
0.86
2.44
3.30
5.53
####
####
5.59
####
####
####
####
####
####
####
####
####
#####
#####
32.85
####
#####
####
216.40
292.43
9.40
26.75
####

Avg.
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.22
0.63
0.85
0.22
0.64
0.86
0.68
1.95
2.63
1.02
2.90
3.92
3.60
10.26
13.86
1.31
3.74
5.05
3.04
8.66
11.70
0.38
1.07
1.45
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
TTHM
­
Alternative
3
40.45
Exhibit
E.
21f
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
50,001­
100,000
Ground
Water
Systems,
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
21a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.83
2.35
3.18
0.51
1.45
1.97
1.93
5.50
7.43
1.60
4.54
6.13
2007
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.19
0.53
0.72
0.40
1.14
1.54
1.97
5.60
7.57
1.22
3.46
4.68
4.60
13.09
17.68
3.80
10.81
14.60
2008
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.31
0.89
1.20
0.67
1.90
2.57
3.28
9.33
12.61
2.03
5.77
7.80
7.66
21.81
29.47
6.33
18.01
24.34
2009
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.09
0.27
0.36
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.45
1.28
1.73
0.96
2.73
3.68
4.70
13.38
18.08
2.91
8.27
11.17
10.98
31.25
42.23
9.07
25.81
34.87
2010
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.12
0.35
0.48
0.15
0.42
0.57
0.59
1.68
2.27
1.26
3.59
4.86
6.20
17.63
23.83
3.83
10.90
14.73
14.47
41.20
55.67
11.95
34.02
45.97
2011
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.18
0.52
0.71
0.74
2.11
2.84
1.58
4.50
6.08
7.75
22.05
29.80
4.79
13.63
18.42
18.10
51.52
69.62
14.95
42.54
57.49
2012
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.19
0.53
0.72
0.22
0.63
0.85
0.89
2.54
3.43
1.90
5.42
7.33
8.52
24.24
32.76
5.26
14.98
20.25
19.90
56.63
76.53
16.43
46.77
63.20
2013
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.22
0.62
0.84
0.26
0.74
1.00
1.05
2.98
4.03
2.24
6.37
8.61
9.01
25.63
34.64
5.57
15.85
21.41
21.04
59.89
80.93
17.38
49.46
66.83
2014
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.25
0.72
0.97
0.30
0.85
1.15
1.21
3.43
4.64
2.58
7.33
9.91
9.35
26.62
35.98
5.78
16.46
22.24
21.86
62.20
84.06
18.05
51.37
69.42
2015
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.32
0.91
1.23
1.29
3.67
4.95
2.75
7.83
10.58
9.62
27.37
36.99
5.95
16.92
22.87
22.47
63.96
86.43
18.56
52.81
71.37
2016
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.28
0.80
1.08
0.33
0.95
1.28
1.34
3.82
5.16
2.87
8.15
11.02
9.83
27.97
37.79
6.07
17.29
23.36
22.96
65.34
88.30
18.96
53.96
72.91
2017
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.29
0.82
1.11
0.34
0.98
1.32
1.38
3.93
5.31
2.95
8.39
11.34
10.00
28.45
38.44
6.18
17.59
23.76
23.35
66.47
89.82
19.28
54.89
74.17
2018
0.04
0.13
0.17
0.30
0.84
1.13
0.35
1.00
1.35
1.41
4.02
5.43
3.01
8.58
11.59
10.14
28.85
38.99
6.27
17.83
24.10
23.68
67.40
91.09
19.56
55.66
75.22
2019
0.05
0.13
0.17
0.30
0.85
1.15
0.36
1.02
1.37
1.44
4.09
5.52
3.07
8.72
11.79
10.26
29.19
39.45
6.34
18.04
24.38
23.96
68.20
92.16
19.79
56.32
76.11
2020
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.30
0.87
1.17
0.36
1.03
1.39
1.46
4.14
5.60
3.11
8.85
11.95
10.36
29.48
39.84
6.40
18.23
24.63
24.20
68.89
93.09
19.99
56.89
76.87
2021
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.31
0.88
1.18
0.37
1.04
1.41
1.47
4.19
5.66
3.14
8.95
12.09
10.45
29.74
40.19
6.46
18.38
24.84
24.41
69.48
93.90
20.16
57.38
77.54
2022
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.31
0.88
1.20
0.37
1.05
1.42
1.49
4.23
5.72
3.18
9.04
12.21
10.53
29.97
40.49
6.51
18.52
25.03
24.60
70.01
94.61
20.31
57.81
78.13
2023
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.31
0.89
1.21
0.37
1.06
1.43
1.50
4.27
5.77
3.20
9.11
12.32
10.60
30.17
40.76
6.55
18.65
25.20
24.76
70.48
95.24
20.45
58.20
78.65
2024
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.32
0.90
1.22
0.38
1.07
1.44
1.51
4.30
5.81
3.23
9.18
12.41
10.66
30.34
41.01
6.59
18.76
25.35
24.91
70.90
95.80
20.57
58.54
79.11
2025
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.32
0.90
1.22
0.38
1.08
1.45
1.52
4.33
5.85
3.25
9.24
12.49
10.72
30.51
41.22
6.63
18.86
25.48
25.04
71.27
96.31
20.68
58.86
79.54
2026
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.32
0.91
1.23
0.38
1.08
1.46
1.53
4.35
5.88
3.27
9.30
12.56
10.77
30.65
41.42
6.66
18.95
25.61
25.16
71.61
96.78
20.78
59.14
79.92
2027
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.32
0.91
1.24
0.38
1.09
1.47
1.54
4.38
5.91
3.28
9.34
12.63
10.82
30.79
41.60
6.69
19.03
25.72
25.27
71.93
97.20
20.87
59.40
80.26
Total
0.77
2.19
2.95
5.10
14.51
19.60
6.06
17.25
23.31
24.37
69.37
93.75
52.05
148.15
200.20
186.33
530.33
716.66
115.18
327.82
443.00
435.33
1,239.02
1,674.35
359.49
1,023.17
1,382.66
Avg.
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.20
0.58
0.78
0.24
0.69
0.93
0.97
2.77
3.75
2.08
5.93
8.01
7.45
21.21
28.67
4.61
13.11
17.72
17.41
49.56
66.97
14.38
40.93
55.31
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.

Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
16
and
E.
17a.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
182.26
Exhibit
E.
21g
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
All
Water
Systems,
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
E.
6.6
Projection
of
Cases
­
Stage
2
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
TTHM
as
Indicator
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Annual
Existing
Cancer
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
DBPR
Annual
Existing
Cancer
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
Annual
Reductions
in
Bladder
Cancer
Cases
Attributable
to
the
Stage
2
DBPR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
<
100
0.11
0.84
0.95
<
100
0.11
0.82
0.93
<
100
0.01
0.02
0.02
101­
500
0.82
5.41
6.23
101­
500
0.78
5.29
6.08
101­
500
0.04
0.12
0.16
501­
1,000
1.43
5.47
6.90
501­
1,000
1.36
5.35
6.71
501­
1,000
0.07
0.12
0.19
1,001­
3,300
8.20
16.74
24.94
1,001­
3,300
7.81
16.37
24.18
1,001­
3,300
0.39
0.37
0.76
3,301­
10,000
22.53
24.98
47.51
3,301­
10,000
21.47
24.43
45.90
3,301­
10,000
1.07
0.55
1.62
10,001­
50,000
93.44
51.52
144.96
10,001­
50,000
89.03
50.65
139.67
10,001­
50,000
4.42
0.87
5.29
50,001­
100,000
62.43
18.78
81.21
50,001­
100,000
59.48
18.47
77.94
50,001­
100,000
2.95
0.32
3.27
100,001­
1
Million
245.77
43.47
289.24
100,001­
1
Million
234.16
42.74
276.89
100,001­
1
Million
11.62
0.73
12.35
>
1
Million
213.86
5.37
219.23
>
1
Million
203.75
5.28
209.03
>
1
Million
10.11
0.09
10.20
Total
648.59
172.59
821.17
Total
617.93
169.39
787.33
Total
30.65
3.19
33.84
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
<
100
0.98
7.32
8.31
<
100
0.94
7.16
8.10
<
100
0.05
0.16
0.21
101­
500
7.16
47.25
54.41
101­
500
6.82
46.21
53.03
101­
500
0.34
1.04
1.38
501­
1,000
12.44
47.76
60.20
501­
1,000
11.85
46.71
58.56
501­
1,000
0.59
1.05
1.64
1,001­
3,300
71.53
146.09
217.62
1,001­
3,300
68.15
142.86
211.02
1,001­
3,300
3.38
3.22
6.61
3,301­
10,000
196.66
218.00
414.66
3,301­
10,000
187.36
213.18
400.55
3,301­
10,000
9.29
4.81
14.11
10,001­
50,000
815.50
449.59
1,265.09
10,001­
50,000
776.96
442.01
1,218.96
10,001­
50,000
38.54
7.59
46.13
50,001­
100,000
544.81
163.93
708.74
50,001­
100,000
519.06
161.16
680.22
50,001­
100,000
25.75
2.77
28.52
100,001­
1
Million
2,144.92
379.36
2,524.28
100,001­
1
Million
2,043.54
372.96
2,416.50
100,001­
1
Million
101.38
6.40
107.78
>
1
Million
1,866.38
46.90
1,913.28
>
1
Million
1,778.17
46.10
1,824.28
>
1
Million
88.21
0.79
89.00
Total
5,660.38
1,506.20
7,166.58
Total
5,392.85
1,478.35
6,871.21
Total
267.53
27.85
295.37
Source:
Derived
from
figures
presented
in
Appendix
E.
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)

System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
Exhibit
E.
22a
Expanded
Cancer
Case
Inputs
for
Benefits
Quantification
(
TTHM
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis)

System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.19
0.54
0.74
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.50
1.43
1.94
0.44
1.25
1.68
2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.09
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.38
1.09
1.47
0.26
0.73
0.98
1.01
2.87
3.87
0.88
2.49
3.37
2007
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.09
0.26
0.36
0.57
1.63
2.21
0.38
1.09
1.48
1.51
4.30
5.81
1.31
3.74
5.05
2008
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.13
0.17
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.77
2.18
2.94
0.51
1.46
1.97
2.01
5.73
7.74
1.75
4.99
6.74
2009
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.96
2.72
3.68
0.64
1.82
2.46
2.52
7.16
9.68
2.19
6.23
8.42
2010
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.18
0.53
0.71
1.15
3.27
4.42
0.77
2.18
2.95
3.02
8.60
11.62
2.63
7.48
10.11
2011
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.22
0.61
0.83
1.15
3.27
4.42
0.77
2.18
2.95
3.02
8.60
11.62
2.63
7.48
10.11
2012
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.25
0.70
0.95
1.15
3.27
4.42
0.77
2.18
2.95
3.02
8.60
11.62
2.63
7.48
10.11
2013
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.28
0.79
1.07
1.15
3.27
4.42
0.77
2.18
2.95
3.02
8.60
11.62
2.63
7.48
10.11
2014
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.28
0.79
1.07
1.15
3.27
4.42
0.77
2.18
2.95
3.02
8.60
11.62
2.63
7.48
10.11
2015
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.28
0.79
1.07
1.15
3.27
4.42
0.77
2.18
2.95
3.02
8.60
11.62
2.63
7.48
10.11
2016
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.28
0.79
1.07
1.15
3.27
4.42
0.77
2.18
2.95
3.02
8.60
11.62
2.63
7.48
10.11
2017
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.28
0.79
1.07
1.15
3.27
4.42
0.77
2.18
2.95
3.02
8.60
11.62
2.63
7.48
10.11
2018
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.28
0.79
1.07
1.15
3.27
4.42
0.77
2.18
2.95
3.02
8.60
11.62
2.63
7.48
10.11
2019
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.28
0.79
1.07
1.15
3.27
4.42
0.77
2.18
2.95
3.02
8.60
11.62
2.63
7.48
10.11
2020
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.28
0.79
1.07
1.15
3.27
4.42
0.77
2.18
2.95
3.02
8.60
11.62
2.63
7.48
10.11
2021
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.28
0.79
1.07
1.15
3.27
4.42
0.77
2.18
2.95
3.02
8.60
11.62
2.63
7.48
10.11
2022
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.28
0.79
1.07
1.15
3.27
4.42
0.77
2.18
2.95
3.02
8.60
11.62
2.63
7.48
10.11
2023
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.28
0.79
1.07
1.15
3.27
4.42
0.77
2.18
2.95
3.02
8.60
11.62
2.63
7.48
10.11
2024
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.28
0.79
1.07
1.15
3.27
4.42
0.77
2.18
2.95
3.02
8.60
11.62
2.63
7.48
10.11
2025
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.28
0.79
1.07
1.15
3.27
4.42
0.77
2.18
2.95
3.02
8.60
11.62
2.63
7.48
10.11
2026
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.28
0.79
1.07
1.15
3.27
4.42
0.77
2.18
2.95
3.02
8.60
11.62
2.63
7.48
10.11
2027
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.28
0.79
1.07
1.15
3.27
4.42
0.77
2.18
2.95
3.02
8.60
11.62
2.63
7.48
10.11
Total
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.19
0.55
0.74
0.33
0.95
1.28
1.91
5.45
7.36
5.26
####
20.24
####
####
####
####
####
####
####
#####
#####
####
#####
#####

Avg.
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.08
0.22
0.29
0.21
0.60
0.81
0.94
2.68
3.62
0.63
1.79
2.42
2.48
7.05
9.53
2.15
6.13
8.29
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
22a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
TTHM
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
25.04
Exhibit
E.
22b
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
Surface
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.00
0.01
0.02
2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.08
0.21
0.29
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.01
0.02
0.03
2007
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.01
0.03
0.05
2008
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.15
0.43
0.58
0.05
0.16
0.21
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.02
0.04
0.06
2009
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.19
0.54
0.72
0.07
0.20
0.26
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.02
0.06
0.08
2010
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.02
0.07
0.09
2011
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.07
0.21
0.29
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.02
0.07
0.09
2012
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.09
0.24
0.33
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.02
0.07
0.09
2013
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.02
0.07
0.09
2014
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.02
0.07
0.09
2015
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.02
0.07
0.09
2016
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.02
0.07
0.09
2017
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.02
0.07
0.09
2018
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.02
0.07
0.09
2019
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.02
0.07
0.09
2020
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.02
0.07
0.09
2021
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.02
0.07
0.09
2022
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.02
0.07
0.09
2023
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.02
0.07
0.09
2024
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.02
0.07
0.09
2025
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.02
0.07
0.09
2026
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.02
0.07
0.09
2027
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.08
0.23
0.32
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.02
0.07
0.09
Total
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.59
1.68
2.27
0.60
1.70
2.30
1.83
5.20
7.02
2.72
7.75
####
4.63
####
####
1.69
4.81
6.50
3.91
####
####
0.48
1.38
1.86
Avg.
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.19
0.53
0.71
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.16
0.45
0.60
0.02
0.06
0.07
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
22a.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
2.55
Exhibit
E.
22c
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
Ground
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
TTHM
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.23
0.65
0.88
0.14
0.40
0.54
0.54
1.52
2.06
0.44
1.26
1.70
2006
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.09
0.27
0.36
0.46
1.30
1.76
0.28
0.81
1.09
1.07
3.05
4.12
0.88
2.52
3.40
2007
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.14
0.40
0.54
0.69
1.96
2.64
0.42
1.21
1.63
1.61
4.57
6.17
1.33
3.77
5.10
2008
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.19
0.53
0.72
0.92
2.61
3.52
0.57
1.61
2.18
2.14
6.09
8.23
1.77
5.03
6.80
2009
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.23
0.66
0.90
1.15
3.26
4.40
0.71
2.01
2.72
2.68
7.62
10.29
2.21
6.29
8.50
2010
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.13
0.37
0.50
0.28
0.80
1.08
1.37
3.91
5.29
0.85
2.42
3.27
3.21
9.14
12.35
2.65
7.55
10.20
2011
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.33
0.93
1.26
1.37
3.91
5.29
0.85
2.42
3.27
3.21
9.14
12.35
2.65
7.55
10.20
2012
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.17
0.50
0.67
0.37
1.06
1.44
1.37
3.91
5.29
0.85
2.42
3.27
3.21
9.14
12.35
2.65
7.55
10.20
2013
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.42
1.20
1.62
1.37
3.91
5.29
0.85
2.42
3.27
3.21
9.14
12.35
2.65
7.55
10.20
2014
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.42
1.20
1.62
1.37
3.91
5.29
0.85
2.42
3.27
3.21
9.14
12.35
2.65
7.55
10.20
2015
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.42
1.20
1.62
1.37
3.91
5.29
0.85
2.42
3.27
3.21
9.14
12.35
2.65
7.55
10.20
2016
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.42
1.20
1.62
1.37
3.91
5.29
0.85
2.42
3.27
3.21
9.14
12.35
2.65
7.55
10.20
2017
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.42
1.20
1.62
1.37
3.91
5.29
0.85
2.42
3.27
3.21
9.14
12.35
2.65
7.55
10.20
2018
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.42
1.20
1.62
1.37
3.91
5.29
0.85
2.42
3.27
3.21
9.14
12.35
2.65
7.55
10.20
2019
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.42
1.20
1.62
1.37
3.91
5.29
0.85
2.42
3.27
3.21
9.14
12.35
2.65
7.55
10.20
2020
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.42
1.20
1.62
1.37
3.91
5.29
0.85
2.42
3.27
3.21
9.14
12.35
2.65
7.55
10.20
2021
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.42
1.20
1.62
1.37
3.91
5.29
0.85
2.42
3.27
3.21
9.14
12.35
2.65
7.55
10.20
2022
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.42
1.20
1.62
1.37
3.91
5.29
0.85
2.42
3.27
3.21
9.14
12.35
2.65
7.55
10.20
2023
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.42
1.20
1.62
1.37
3.91
5.29
0.85
2.42
3.27
3.21
9.14
12.35
2.65
7.55
10.20
2024
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.42
1.20
1.62
1.37
3.91
5.29
0.85
2.42
3.27
3.21
9.14
12.35
2.65
7.55
10.20
2025
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.42
1.20
1.62
1.37
3.91
5.29
0.85
2.42
3.27
3.21
9.14
12.35
2.65
7.55
10.20
2026
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.42
1.20
1.62
1.37
3.91
5.29
0.85
2.42
3.27
3.21
9.14
12.35
2.65
7.55
10.20
2027
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.42
1.20
1.62
1.37
3.91
5.29
0.85
2.42
3.27
3.21
9.14
12.35
2.65
7.55
10.20
Total
0.12
0.34
0.45
0.78
2.23
3.01
0.93
2.65
3.58
3.74
10.64
14.38
7.99
22.73
30.71
28.17
80.19
108.36
17.42
49.57
66.98
65.82
187.34
253.17
54.36
154.71
209.06
Avg.
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.15
0.43
0.58
0.32
0.91
1.23
1.13
3.21
4.33
0.70
1.98
2.68
2.63
7.49
10.13
2.17
6.19
8.36
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
TTHM
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
27.59
Exhibit
E.
22d
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
50,001­
100,000
All
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.

Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
22a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.27
0.76
1.03
1.67
4.75
6.42
1.12
3.18
4.29
4.39
12.50
16.90
3.82
10.88
14.70
2006
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.20
0.56
0.75
0.54
1.53
2.07
3.34
9.51
12.85
2.23
6.35
8.58
8.79
25.01
33.79
7.64
21.76
29.40
2007
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.29
0.83
1.13
0.81
2.29
3.10
5.01
14.26
19.27
3.35
9.53
12.87
13.18
37.51
50.69
11.47
32.64
44.11
2008
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.39
1.11
1.50
1.07
3.06
4.13
6.68
19.01
25.70
4.46
12.70
17.17
17.57
50.01
67.58
15.29
43.52
58.81
2009
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.08
0.24
0.33
0.49
1.39
1.88
1.34
3.82
5.16
8.35
23.77
32.12
5.58
15.88
21.46
21.96
62.51
84.48
19.11
54.40
73.51
2010
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.59
1.67
2.25
1.61
4.59
6.20
10.02
28.52
38.54
6.69
19.05
25.75
26.36
75.02
101.38
22.93
65.28
88.21
2011
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.68
1.95
2.63
1.88
5.35
7.23
10.02
28.52
38.54
6.69
19.05
25.75
26.36
75.02
101.38
22.93
65.28
88.21
2012
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.14
0.39
0.52
0.78
2.22
3.01
2.15
6.11
8.26
10.02
28.52
38.54
6.69
19.05
25.75
26.36
75.02
101.38
22.93
65.28
88.21
2013
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.88
2.50
3.38
2.42
6.88
9.29
10.02
28.52
38.54
6.69
19.05
25.75
26.36
75.02
101.38
22.93
65.28
88.21
2014
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.88
2.50
3.38
2.42
6.88
9.29
10.02
28.52
38.54
6.69
19.05
25.75
26.36
75.02
101.38
22.93
65.28
88.21
2015
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.88
2.50
3.38
2.42
6.88
9.29
10.02
28.52
38.54
6.69
19.05
25.75
26.36
75.02
101.38
22.93
65.28
88.21
2016
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.88
2.50
3.38
2.42
6.88
9.29
10.02
28.52
38.54
6.69
19.05
25.75
26.36
75.02
101.38
22.93
65.28
88.21
2017
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.88
2.50
3.38
2.42
6.88
9.29
10.02
28.52
38.54
6.69
19.05
25.75
26.36
75.02
101.38
22.93
65.28
88.21
2018
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.88
2.50
3.38
2.42
6.88
9.29
10.02
28.52
38.54
6.69
19.05
25.75
26.36
75.02
101.38
22.93
65.28
88.21
2019
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.88
2.50
3.38
2.42
6.88
9.29
10.02
28.52
38.54
6.69
19.05
25.75
26.36
75.02
101.38
22.93
65.28
88.21
2020
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.88
2.50
3.38
2.42
6.88
9.29
10.02
28.52
38.54
6.69
19.05
25.75
26.36
75.02
101.38
22.93
65.28
88.21
2021
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.88
2.50
3.38
2.42
6.88
9.29
10.02
28.52
38.54
6.69
19.05
25.75
26.36
75.02
101.38
22.93
65.28
88.21
2022
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.88
2.50
3.38
2.42
6.88
9.29
10.02
28.52
38.54
6.69
19.05
25.75
26.36
75.02
101.38
22.93
65.28
88.21
2023
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.88
2.50
3.38
2.42
6.88
9.29
10.02
28.52
38.54
6.69
19.05
25.75
26.36
75.02
101.38
22.93
65.28
88.21
2024
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.88
2.50
3.38
2.42
6.88
9.29
10.02
28.52
38.54
6.69
19.05
25.75
26.36
75.02
101.38
22.93
65.28
88.21
2025
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.88
2.50
3.38
2.42
6.88
9.29
10.02
28.52
38.54
6.69
19.05
25.75
26.36
75.02
101.38
22.93
65.28
88.21
2026
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.88
2.50
3.38
2.42
6.88
9.29
10.02
28.52
38.54
6.69
19.05
25.75
26.36
75.02
101.38
22.93
65.28
88.21
2027
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.88
2.50
3.38
2.42
6.88
9.29
10.02
28.52
38.54
6.69
19.05
25.75
26.36
75.02
101.38
22.93
65.28
88.21
Total
0.23
0.65
0.88
1.67
4.76
6.43
2.90
8.27
11.17
16.70
47.54
64.24
45.92
130.68
176.60
205.43
584.70
790.13
137.24
390.62
527.86
540.33
1,537.86
2,078.19
470.16
1,338.16
1,808.32
Avg.
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.67
1.90
2.57
1.84
5.23
7.06
8.22
23.39
31.61
5.49
15.62
21.11
21.61
61.51
83.13
18.81
53.53
72.33
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Exhibit
E.
22e
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
Surface
Water
Systems,
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
TTHM
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.

Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
22a.
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
218.55
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.09
0.27
0.36
0.14
0.40
0.53
0.33
0.94
1.26
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.28
0.79
1.07
0.03
0.10
0.13
2006
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.19
0.53
0.72
0.28
0.79
1.07
0.66
1.87
2.53
0.24
0.68
0.92
0.55
1.58
2.13
0.07
0.20
0.26
2007
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.28
0.80
1.07
0.42
1.19
1.60
0.99
2.81
3.79
0.36
1.02
1.38
0.83
2.37
3.20
0.10
0.29
0.40
2008
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.37
1.06
1.43
0.56
1.58
2.14
1.32
3.74
5.06
0.48
1.37
1.84
1.11
3.16
4.27
0.14
0.39
0.53
2009
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.15
0.43
0.58
0.15
0.43
0.59
0.47
1.33
1.79
0.70
1.98
2.67
1.64
4.68
6.32
0.60
1.71
2.31
1.39
3.95
5.34
0.17
0.49
0.66
2010
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.18
0.51
0.70
0.18
0.52
0.70
0.56
1.59
2.15
0.83
2.37
3.21
1.97
5.62
7.59
0.72
2.05
2.77
1.66
4.74
6.40
0.21
0.59
0.79
2011
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.21
0.60
0.81
0.21
0.61
0.82
0.65
1.86
2.51
0.97
2.77
3.74
1.97
5.62
7.59
0.72
2.05
2.77
1.66
4.74
6.40
0.21
0.59
0.79
2012
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.24
0.69
0.93
0.24
0.69
0.94
0.75
2.12
2.87
1.11
3.17
4.28
1.97
5.62
7.59
0.72
2.05
2.77
1.66
4.74
6.40
0.21
0.59
0.79
2013
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.84
2.39
3.22
1.25
3.56
4.81
1.97
5.62
7.59
0.72
2.05
2.77
1.66
4.74
6.40
0.21
0.59
0.79
2014
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.84
2.39
3.22
1.25
3.56
4.81
1.97
5.62
7.59
0.72
2.05
2.77
1.66
4.74
6.40
0.21
0.59
0.79
2015
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.84
2.39
3.22
1.25
3.56
4.81
1.97
5.62
7.59
0.72
2.05
2.77
1.66
4.74
6.40
0.21
0.59
0.79
2016
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.84
2.39
3.22
1.25
3.56
4.81
1.97
5.62
7.59
0.72
2.05
2.77
1.66
4.74
6.40
0.21
0.59
0.79
2017
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.84
2.39
3.22
1.25
3.56
4.81
1.97
5.62
7.59
0.72
2.05
2.77
1.66
4.74
6.40
0.21
0.59
0.79
2018
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.84
2.39
3.22
1.25
3.56
4.81
1.97
5.62
7.59
0.72
2.05
2.77
1.66
4.74
6.40
0.21
0.59
0.79
2019
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.84
2.39
3.22
1.25
3.56
4.81
1.97
5.62
7.59
0.72
2.05
2.77
1.66
4.74
6.40
0.21
0.59
0.79
2020
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.84
2.39
3.22
1.25
3.56
4.81
1.97
5.62
7.59
0.72
2.05
2.77
1.66
4.74
6.40
0.21
0.59
0.79
2021
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.84
2.39
3.22
1.25
3.56
4.81
1.97
5.62
7.59
0.72
2.05
2.77
1.66
4.74
6.40
0.21
0.59
0.79
2022
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.84
2.39
3.22
1.25
3.56
4.81
1.97
5.62
7.59
0.72
2.05
2.77
1.66
4.74
6.40
0.21
0.59
0.79
2023
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.84
2.39
3.22
1.25
3.56
4.81
1.97
5.62
7.59
0.72
2.05
2.77
1.66
4.74
6.40
0.21
0.59
0.79
2024
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.84
2.39
3.22
1.25
3.56
4.81
1.97
5.62
7.59
0.72
2.05
2.77
1.66
4.74
6.40
0.21
0.59
0.79
2025
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.84
2.39
3.22
1.25
3.56
4.81
1.97
5.62
7.59
0.72
2.05
2.77
1.66
4.74
6.40
0.21
0.59
0.79
2026
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.84
2.39
3.22
1.25
3.56
4.81
1.97
5.62
7.59
0.72
2.05
2.77
1.66
4.74
6.40
0.21
0.59
0.79
2027
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.84
2.39
3.22
1.25
3.56
4.81
1.97
5.62
7.59
0.72
2.05
2.77
1.66
4.74
6.40
0.21
0.59
0.79
Total
0.80
2.27
3.07
5.15
####
####
5.21
14.82
####
####
####
####
####
####
####
####
115.13
#####
14.75
####
####
####
####
#####
4.22
####
####

Avg.
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.21
0.59
0.79
0.21
0.59
0.80
0.64
1.81
2.45
0.95
2.71
3.66
1.62
4.61
6.22
0.59
1.68
2.27
1.37
3.89
5.25
0.17
0.48
0.65
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
TTHM
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
22.22
Exhibit
E.
22f
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
50,001­
100,000
Ground
Water
Systems,
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
22a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.41
1.16
1.57
2.00
5.69
7.69
1.24
3.52
4.75
4.67
13.29
17.96
3.86
10.98
14.83
2006
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.09
0.27
0.36
0.38
1.09
1.47
0.82
2.32
3.13
4.00
11.38
15.38
2.47
7.03
9.51
9.34
26.59
35.93
7.71
21.95
29.67
2007
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.57
1.63
2.20
1.22
3.48
4.70
6.00
17.07
23.07
3.71
10.55
14.26
14.01
39.88
53.89
11.57
32.93
44.50
2008
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.76
2.17
2.94
1.63
4.64
6.27
8.00
22.76
30.75
4.94
14.07
19.01
18.68
53.17
71.85
15.43
43.91
59.33
2009
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.20
0.57
0.77
0.24
0.68
0.91
0.95
2.72
3.67
2.04
5.80
7.84
10.00
28.45
38.44
6.18
17.59
23.76
23.35
66.46
89.82
19.28
54.88
74.17
2010
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.24
0.68
0.92
0.28
0.81
1.09
1.15
3.26
4.40
2.45
6.96
9.40
11.99
34.14
46.13
7.41
21.10
28.52
28.02
79.76
107.78
23.14
65.86
89.00
2011
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.28
0.80
1.07
0.33
0.95
1.28
1.34
3.80
5.14
2.85
8.12
10.97
11.99
34.14
46.13
7.41
21.10
28.52
28.02
79.76
107.78
23.14
65.86
89.00
2012
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.32
0.91
1.23
0.38
1.08
1.46
1.53
4.35
5.87
3.26
9.28
12.54
11.99
34.14
46.13
7.41
21.10
28.52
28.02
79.76
107.78
23.14
65.86
89.00
2013
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.36
1.02
1.38
0.43
1.22
1.64
1.72
4.89
6.61
3.67
10.44
14.11
11.99
34.14
46.13
7.41
21.10
28.52
28.02
79.76
107.78
23.14
65.86
89.00
2014
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.36
1.02
1.38
0.43
1.22
1.64
1.72
4.89
6.61
3.67
10.44
14.11
11.99
34.14
46.13
7.41
21.10
28.52
28.02
79.76
107.78
23.14
65.86
89.00
2015
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.36
1.02
1.38
0.43
1.22
1.64
1.72
4.89
6.61
3.67
10.44
14.11
11.99
34.14
46.13
7.41
21.10
28.52
28.02
79.76
107.78
23.14
65.86
89.00
2016
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.36
1.02
1.38
0.43
1.22
1.64
1.72
4.89
6.61
3.67
10.44
14.11
11.99
34.14
46.13
7.41
21.10
28.52
28.02
79.76
107.78
23.14
65.86
89.00
2017
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.36
1.02
1.38
0.43
1.22
1.64
1.72
4.89
6.61
3.67
10.44
14.11
11.99
34.14
46.13
7.41
21.10
28.52
28.02
79.76
107.78
23.14
65.86
89.00
2018
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.36
1.02
1.38
0.43
1.22
1.64
1.72
4.89
6.61
3.67
10.44
14.11
11.99
34.14
46.13
7.41
21.10
28.52
28.02
79.76
107.78
23.14
65.86
89.00
2019
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.36
1.02
1.38
0.43
1.22
1.64
1.72
4.89
6.61
3.67
10.44
14.11
11.99
34.14
46.13
7.41
21.10
28.52
28.02
79.76
107.78
23.14
65.86
89.00
2020
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.36
1.02
1.38
0.43
1.22
1.64
1.72
4.89
6.61
3.67
10.44
14.11
11.99
34.14
46.13
7.41
21.10
28.52
28.02
79.76
107.78
23.14
65.86
89.00
2021
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.36
1.02
1.38
0.43
1.22
1.64
1.72
4.89
6.61
3.67
10.44
14.11
11.99
34.14
46.13
7.41
21.10
28.52
28.02
79.76
107.78
23.14
65.86
89.00
2022
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.36
1.02
1.38
0.43
1.22
1.64
1.72
4.89
6.61
3.67
10.44
14.11
11.99
34.14
46.13
7.41
21.10
28.52
28.02
79.76
107.78
23.14
65.86
89.00
2023
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.36
1.02
1.38
0.43
1.22
1.64
1.72
4.89
6.61
3.67
10.44
14.11
11.99
34.14
46.13
7.41
21.10
28.52
28.02
79.76
107.78
23.14
65.86
89.00
2024
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.36
1.02
1.38
0.43
1.22
1.64
1.72
4.89
6.61
3.67
10.44
14.11
11.99
34.14
46.13
7.41
21.10
28.52
28.02
79.76
107.78
23.14
65.86
89.00
2025
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.36
1.02
1.38
0.43
1.22
1.64
1.72
4.89
6.61
3.67
10.44
14.11
11.99
34.14
46.13
7.41
21.10
28.52
28.02
79.76
107.78
23.14
65.86
89.00
2026
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.36
1.02
1.38
0.43
1.22
1.64
1.72
4.89
6.61
3.67
10.44
14.11
11.99
34.14
46.13
7.41
21.10
28.52
28.02
79.76
107.78
23.14
65.86
89.00
2027
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.36
1.02
1.38
0.43
1.22
1.64
1.72
4.89
6.61
3.67
10.44
14.11
11.99
34.14
46.13
7.41
21.10
28.52
28.02
79.76
107.78
23.14
65.86
89.00
Total
1.03
2.93
3.96
6.82
19.42
26.25
8.11
23.09
31.20
32.63
92.88
125.51
69.69
198.34
268.03
245.88
699.82
945.70
151.99
432.59
584.59
574.46
1,635.00
2,209.46
474.38
1,350.17
1,824.55
Avg.
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.32
0.92
1.25
1.31
3.72
5.02
2.79
7.93
10.72
9.84
27.99
37.83
6.08
17.30
23.38
22.98
65.40
88.38
18.98
54.01
72.98
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.

Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
22a.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
240.77
Exhibit
E.
22g
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
All
Water
Systems,
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
TTHM
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
E.
6.7
Projection
of
Cases
­
Stage
2
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
TTHM
as
Indicator
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Annual
Existing
Cancer
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
DBPR
Annual
Existing
Cancer
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
Annual
Reductions
in
Bladder
Cancer
Cases
Attributable
to
the
Stage
2
DBPR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
<
100
0.11
0.84
0.95
<
100
0.10
0.82
0.92
<
100
0.01
0.02
0.03
101­
500
0.82
5.41
6.23
101­
500
0.74
5.26
6.00
101­
500
0.08
0.15
0.23
501­
1,000
1.43
5.47
6.90
501­
1,000
1.29
5.32
6.60
501­
1,000
0.14
0.15
0.29
1,001­
3,300
8.20
16.74
24.94
1,001­
3,300
7.39
16.27
23.66
1,001­
3,300
0.80
0.47
1.28
3,301­
10,000
22.53
24.98
47.51
3,301­
10,000
20.32
24.27
44.59
3,301­
10,000
2.21
0.71
2.92
10,001­
50,000
93.44
51.52
144.96
10,001­
50,000
84.27
49.85
134.12
10,001­
50,000
9.18
1.66
10.84
50,001­
100,000
62.43
18.78
81.21
50,001­
100,000
56.30
18.18
74.47
50,001­
100,000
6.13
0.61
6.74
100,001­
1
Million
245.77
43.47
289.24
100,001­
1
Million
221.64
42.06
263.70
100,001­
1
Million
24.13
1.40
25.54
>
1
Million
213.86
5.37
219.23
>
1
Million
192.86
5.20
198.06
>
1
Million
21.00
0.17
21.17
Total
648.59
172.59
821.17
Total
584.90
167.23
752.12
Total
63.69
5.36
69.05
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
<
100
0.98
7.32
8.31
<
100
0.89
7.12
8.00
<
100
0.10
0.21
0.30
101­
500
7.16
47.25
54.41
101­
500
6.46
45.92
52.37
101­
500
0.70
1.33
2.04
501­
1,000
12.44
47.76
60.20
501­
1,000
11.22
46.41
57.63
501­
1,000
1.22
1.35
2.57
1,001­
3,300
71.53
146.09
217.62
1,001­
3,300
64.51
141.96
206.47
1,001­
3,300
7.02
4.13
11.15
3,301­
10,000
196.66
218.00
414.66
3,301­
10,000
177.35
211.84
389.19
3,301­
10,000
19.31
6.16
25.47
10,001­
50,000
815.50
449.59
1,265.09
10,001­
50,000
735.42
435.07
1,170.49
10,001­
50,000
80.08
14.53
94.61
50,001­
100,000
544.81
163.93
708.74
50,001­
100,000
491.31
158.63
649.94
50,001­
100,000
53.50
5.30
58.79
100,001­
1
Million
2,144.92
379.36
2,524.28
100,001­
1
Million
1,934.30
367.10
2,301.41
100,001­
1
Million
210.61
12.26
222.87
>
1
Million
1,866.38
46.90
1,913.28
>
1
Million
1,683.12
45.38
1,728.50
>
1
Million
183.26
1.52
184.78
Total
5,660.38
1,506.20
7,166.58
Total
5,104.58
1,459.42
6,564.00
Total
555.80
46.78
602.58
Source:
Derived
from
figures
presented
in
Appendix
E.
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)

System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
Exhibit
E.
23a
Expanded
Cancer
Case
Inputs
for
Benefits
Quantification
(
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1)

System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.16
0.47
0.63
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.43
1.23
1.66
0.38
1.07
1.45
2007
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.39
1.11
1.51
0.26
0.74
1.01
1.03
2.93
3.96
0.90
2.55
3.45
2008
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.10
0.30
0.40
0.65
1.86
2.51
0.44
1.24
1.68
1.72
4.88
6.60
1.49
4.25
5.74
2009
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.16
0.21
0.15
0.43
0.58
0.93
2.66
3.60
0.62
1.78
2.40
2.46
7.00
9.46
2.14
6.09
8.23
2010
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.20
0.56
0.76
1.23
3.51
4.74
0.82
2.34
3.17
3.24
9.22
12.47
2.82
8.03
10.85
2011
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.25
0.71
0.95
1.54
4.39
5.93
1.03
2.93
3.96
4.05
11.54
15.59
3.53
10.04
13.56
2012
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.30
0.85
1.15
1.69
4.82
6.52
1.13
3.22
4.35
4.46
12.68
17.14
3.88
11.03
14.91
2013
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.02
0.06
0.09
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.35
1.00
1.35
1.79
5.10
6.89
1.20
3.41
4.60
4.71
13.41
18.12
4.10
11.67
15.77
2014
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.06
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.15
0.42
0.57
0.40
1.15
1.55
1.86
5.30
7.16
1.24
3.54
4.78
4.89
13.93
18.82
4.26
12.12
16.38
2015
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.16
0.45
0.60
0.43
1.23
1.66
1.91
5.44
7.36
1.28
3.64
4.92
5.03
14.32
19.35
4.38
12.46
16.84
2016
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.16
0.47
0.63
0.45
1.28
1.73
1.95
5.56
7.52
1.31
3.72
5.02
5.14
14.63
19.77
4.47
12.73
17.20
2017
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.46
1.32
1.78
1.99
5.66
7.65
1.33
3.78
5.11
5.23
14.88
20.11
4.55
12.95
17.50
2018
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.03
0.09
0.11
0.17
0.49
0.66
0.47
1.35
1.82
2.02
5.74
7.75
1.35
3.83
5.18
5.30
15.09
20.40
4.61
13.13
17.75
2019
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.17
0.50
0.67
0.48
1.37
1.85
2.04
5.81
7.85
1.36
3.88
5.24
5.37
15.27
20.64
4.67
13.29
17.96
2020
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.18
0.50
0.68
0.49
1.39
1.87
2.06
5.86
7.92
1.38
3.92
5.29
5.42
15.42
20.84
4.72
13.42
18.14
2021
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.18
0.51
0.69
0.49
1.40
1.90
2.08
5.92
7.99
1.39
3.95
5.34
5.47
15.56
21.02
4.76
13.54
18.29
2022
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.18
0.52
0.70
0.50
1.42
1.92
2.09
5.96
8.05
1.40
3.98
5.38
5.51
15.68
21.18
4.79
13.64
18.43
2023
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.18
0.52
0.70
0.50
1.43
1.93
2.11
6.00
8.11
1.41
4.01
5.42
5.54
15.78
21.33
4.82
13.73
18.56
2024
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.18
0.52
0.71
0.51
1.44
1.95
2.12
6.04
8.16
1.42
4.03
5.45
5.58
15.87
21.45
4.85
13.81
18.67
2025
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.19
0.53
0.71
0.51
1.45
1.96
2.13
6.07
8.20
1.42
4.05
5.48
5.61
15.96
21.57
4.88
13.89
18.77
2026
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.19
0.53
0.72
0.51
1.46
1.97
2.14
6.10
8.24
1.43
4.07
5.50
5.63
16.04
21.67
4.90
13.95
18.86
2027
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.19
0.53
0.72
0.51
1.47
1.98
2.15
6.12
8.27
1.44
4.09
5.53
5.66
16.10
21.76
4.92
14.01
18.94
Total
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.30
0.85
1.14
0.52
1.47
1.99
2.97
8.45
####
8.16
####
31.40
####
#####
142.54
####
####
####
####
#####
#####
####
#####
#####

Avg.
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.33
0.93
1.26
1.48
4.22
5.70
0.99
2.82
3.81
3.90
11.10
15.00
3.39
9.66
13.05
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
23a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
39.40
Exhibit
E.
23b
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
Surface
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.00
0.01
0.01
2007
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.01
0.02
0.03
2008
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.02
0.06
0.09
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.01
0.04
0.05
2009
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.02
0.05
0.07
2010
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.22
0.64
0.86
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.02
0.07
0.09
2011
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.28
0.80
1.08
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.24
0.67
0.91
0.03
0.08
0.11
2012
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.31
0.87
1.18
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.26
0.74
1.00
0.03
0.09
0.12
2013
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.08
0.21
0.29
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.33
0.93
1.25
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.03
0.10
0.13
2014
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.09
0.25
0.33
0.13
0.37
0.50
0.34
0.96
1.30
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.28
0.81
1.10
0.04
0.10
0.14
2015
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.14
0.39
0.53
0.35
0.99
1.34
0.13
0.36
0.49
0.29
0.83
1.13
0.04
0.10
0.14
2016
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.35
1.01
1.36
0.13
0.37
0.50
0.30
0.85
1.15
0.04
0.11
0.14
2017
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.15
0.42
0.57
0.36
1.03
1.39
0.13
0.37
0.51
0.30
0.87
1.17
0.04
0.11
0.14
2018
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.15
0.43
0.58
0.37
1.04
1.41
0.13
0.38
0.51
0.31
0.88
1.19
0.04
0.11
0.15
2019
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.10
0.29
0.40
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.37
1.05
1.42
0.13
0.38
0.52
0.31
0.89
1.20
0.04
0.11
0.15
2020
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.10
0.30
0.40
0.16
0.44
0.60
0.37
1.06
1.44
0.14
0.39
0.52
0.32
0.90
1.21
0.04
0.11
0.15
2021
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.11
0.30
0.41
0.16
0.45
0.60
0.38
1.07
1.45
0.14
0.39
0.53
0.32
0.91
1.22
0.04
0.11
0.15
2022
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.11
0.30
0.41
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.38
1.08
1.46
0.14
0.39
0.53
0.32
0.91
1.23
0.04
0.11
0.15
2023
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.04
0.10
0.13
0.11
0.31
0.41
0.16
0.46
0.62
0.38
1.09
1.47
0.14
0.40
0.54
0.32
0.92
1.24
0.04
0.11
0.15
2024
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.16
0.46
0.62
0.38
1.10
1.48
0.14
0.40
0.54
0.32
0.92
1.25
0.04
0.11
0.15
2025
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.16
0.46
0.62
0.39
1.10
1.49
0.14
0.40
0.54
0.33
0.93
1.26
0.04
0.11
0.16
2026
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.16
0.46
0.63
0.39
1.11
1.49
0.14
0.40
0.55
0.33
0.93
1.26
0.04
0.12
0.16
2027
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.16
0.47
0.63
0.39
1.11
1.50
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.33
0.94
1.27
0.04
0.12
0.16
Total
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.56
1.61
2.17
0.57
1.62
2.19
1.74
4.97
6.71
2.60
7.41
10.01
6.72
####
####
2.45
6.98
9.43
5.67
16.15
####
0.70
2.00
2.70
Avg.
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.09
0.02
0.06
0.09
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.10
0.30
0.40
0.27
0.77
1.03
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.23
0.65
0.87
0.03
0.08
0.11
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
23a.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
3.25
Exhibit
E.
23c
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
Ground
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.19
0.55
0.75
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.46
1.30
1.76
0.38
1.08
1.46
2007
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.46
1.32
1.78
0.29
0.82
1.11
1.09
3.10
4.19
0.90
2.57
3.47
2008
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.14
0.39
0.53
0.77
2.19
2.96
0.48
1.36
1.84
1.82
5.17
6.98
1.51
4.28
5.79
2009
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.09
0.25
0.33
0.20
0.56
0.76
1.10
3.14
4.25
0.69
1.95
2.64
2.60
7.40
10.01
2.16
6.14
8.30
2010
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.11
0.33
0.44
0.26
0.74
1.00
1.46
4.14
5.60
0.90
2.58
3.48
3.43
9.76
13.19
2.84
8.09
10.94
2011
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.33
0.93
1.26
1.82
5.18
7.00
1.13
3.22
4.35
4.29
12.21
16.50
3.56
10.12
13.68
2012
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.17
0.49
0.66
0.39
1.12
1.52
2.00
5.70
7.70
1.24
3.54
4.78
4.71
13.42
18.13
3.91
11.13
15.03
2013
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.20
0.58
0.78
0.46
1.32
1.78
2.12
6.02
8.14
1.32
3.74
5.06
4.99
14.19
19.18
4.13
11.77
15.90
2014
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.23
0.66
0.90
0.53
1.52
2.05
2.20
6.26
8.45
1.37
3.89
5.25
5.18
14.74
19.92
4.29
12.22
16.51
2015
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.25
0.71
0.96
0.57
1.62
2.19
2.26
6.43
8.69
1.40
4.00
5.40
5.32
15.15
20.48
4.41
12.56
16.98
2016
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.26
0.74
1.00
0.59
1.69
2.28
2.31
6.57
8.88
1.43
4.08
5.52
5.44
15.48
20.92
4.51
12.84
17.35
2017
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.27
0.76
1.03
0.61
1.74
2.35
2.35
6.69
9.03
1.46
4.15
5.61
5.53
15.75
21.28
4.59
13.06
17.64
2018
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.62
1.77
2.40
2.38
6.78
9.16
1.48
4.21
5.69
5.61
15.97
21.58
4.65
13.24
17.89
2019
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.14
0.20
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.28
0.79
1.07
0.63
1.80
2.44
2.41
6.86
9.27
1.50
4.26
5.76
5.68
16.16
21.84
4.71
13.40
18.10
2020
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.28
0.80
1.08
0.64
1.83
2.47
2.43
6.93
9.36
1.51
4.31
5.82
5.73
16.32
22.06
4.75
13.53
18.29
2021
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.28
0.81
1.10
0.65
1.85
2.50
2.46
6.99
9.44
1.53
4.34
5.87
5.78
16.46
22.25
4.80
13.65
18.45
2022
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.29
0.82
1.11
0.66
1.87
2.53
2.47
7.04
9.52
1.54
4.38
5.91
5.83
16.59
22.42
4.83
13.75
18.59
2023
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.29
0.83
1.12
0.66
1.89
2.55
2.49
7.09
9.58
1.55
4.41
5.95
5.87
16.70
22.57
4.86
13.84
18.71
2024
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.29
0.83
1.12
0.67
1.90
2.57
2.51
7.13
9.64
1.56
4.43
5.99
5.90
16.80
22.70
4.89
13.93
18.82
2025
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.29
0.84
1.13
0.67
1.91
2.58
2.52
7.17
9.69
1.57
4.45
6.02
5.93
16.89
22.82
4.92
14.00
18.92
2026
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.30
0.84
1.14
0.68
1.92
2.60
2.53
7.20
9.73
1.57
4.48
6.05
5.96
16.97
22.93
4.94
14.07
19.01
2027
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.15
0.21
0.07
0.20
0.26
0.30
0.85
1.14
0.68
1.93
2.61
2.54
7.23
9.78
1.58
4.50
6.08
5.99
17.04
23.03
4.96
14.13
19.09
Total
0.13
0.37
0.49
0.86
2.45
3.31
1.09
3.09
4.18
4.71
13.42
####
10.77
####
####
####
124.62
#####
####
####
104.66
#####
#####
#####
####
#####
#####

Avg.
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.43
1.23
1.66
1.75
4.98
6.74
1.09
3.10
4.19
4.13
11.74
15.87
3.42
9.74
13.16
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
42.65
Exhibit
E.
23d
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
50,001­
100,000
All
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
23a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.23
0.66
0.89
1.44
4.08
5.52
0.96
2.73
3.69
3.77
10.74
14.52
3.28
9.35
12.63
2007
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.20
0.57
0.77
0.55
1.56
2.11
3.42
9.72
13.14
2.28
6.50
8.78
8.98
25.57
34.56
7.82
22.25
30.07
2008
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.33
0.95
1.28
0.92
2.60
3.52
5.69
16.20
21.89
3.80
10.82
14.63
14.97
42.61
57.59
13.03
37.08
50.11
2009
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.48
1.36
1.83
1.31
3.73
5.04
8.16
23.22
31.38
5.45
15.51
20.96
21.46
61.07
82.52
18.67
53.14
71.81
2010
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.63
1.79
2.42
1.73
4.92
6.65
10.75
30.61
41.36
7.18
20.45
27.63
28.29
80.51
108.79
24.61
70.05
94.66
2011
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.14
0.39
0.53
0.79
2.24
3.02
2.16
6.15
8.32
13.45
38.28
51.73
8.98
25.57
34.56
35.37
100.68
136.05
30.78
87.60
118.38
2012
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.09
0.27
0.37
0.16
0.47
0.63
0.95
2.70
3.65
2.61
7.42
10.03
14.78
42.08
56.86
9.88
28.11
37.99
38.88
110.67
149.55
33.83
96.30
130.13
2013
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.19
0.55
0.75
1.11
3.17
4.28
3.06
8.72
11.78
15.63
44.50
60.13
10.44
29.73
40.17
41.12
117.03
158.15
35.78
101.84
137.62
2014
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.13
0.37
0.49
0.22
0.63
0.86
1.28
3.65
4.93
3.53
10.03
13.56
16.24
46.22
62.45
10.85
30.88
41.72
42.71
121.55
164.26
37.16
105.77
142.93
2015
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.14
0.39
0.53
0.24
0.68
0.92
1.37
3.90
5.27
3.76
10.72
14.48
16.70
47.52
64.21
11.15
31.74
42.90
43.91
124.98
168.89
38.21
108.75
146.96
2016
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.25
0.71
0.95
1.43
4.06
5.49
3.92
11.16
15.08
17.06
48.54
65.60
11.39
32.43
43.83
44.86
127.68
172.54
39.04
111.10
150.14
2017
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.15
0.42
0.57
0.26
0.73
0.98
1.47
4.18
5.65
4.04
11.49
15.52
17.35
49.38
66.73
11.59
32.99
44.58
45.63
129.88
175.52
39.71
113.02
152.73
2018
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.15
0.43
0.58
0.26
0.74
1.00
1.50
4.27
5.77
4.12
11.74
15.86
17.60
50.08
67.67
11.75
33.46
45.21
46.28
131.72
178.00
40.27
114.61
154.88
2019
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.15
0.43
0.59
0.27
0.76
1.02
1.53
4.34
5.87
4.20
11.94
16.14
17.80
50.67
68.47
11.89
33.85
45.75
46.83
133.27
180.10
40.74
115.97
156.71
2020
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.15
0.44
0.60
0.27
0.77
1.04
1.55
4.40
5.95
4.25
12.11
16.36
17.98
51.18
69.16
12.01
34.19
46.20
47.30
134.61
181.91
41.15
117.13
158.29
2021
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.16
0.45
0.60
0.27
0.77
1.05
1.57
4.46
6.02
4.30
12.25
16.55
18.14
51.62
69.76
12.12
34.49
46.61
47.71
135.78
183.49
41.51
118.15
159.66
2022
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.27
0.78
1.06
1.58
4.50
6.08
4.35
12.37
16.72
18.28
52.01
70.29
12.21
34.75
46.96
48.07
136.81
184.88
41.83
119.04
160.87
2023
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.28
0.79
1.07
1.59
4.54
6.13
4.38
12.48
16.86
18.40
52.36
70.76
12.29
34.98
47.27
48.39
137.72
186.11
42.10
119.84
161.94
2024
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.16
0.46
0.62
0.28
0.79
1.07
1.61
4.57
6.18
4.42
12.57
16.98
18.51
52.67
71.18
12.36
35.19
47.55
48.68
138.54
187.21
42.35
120.55
162.90
2025
0.02
0.06
0.09
0.16
0.46
0.62
0.28
0.80
1.08
1.62
4.60
6.22
4.44
12.65
17.10
18.60
52.95
71.56
12.43
35.38
47.81
48.93
139.28
188.21
42.58
121.19
163.77
2026
0.02
0.06
0.09
0.16
0.46
0.63
0.28
0.80
1.09
1.63
4.63
6.25
4.47
12.72
17.19
18.69
53.21
71.90
12.49
35.55
48.03
49.17
139.94
189.11
42.78
121.77
164.56
2027
0.02
0.06
0.09
0.16
0.47
0.63
0.28
0.81
1.09
1.63
4.65
6.29
4.49
12.79
17.28
18.78
53.44
72.21
12.54
35.70
48.24
49.38
140.55
189.94
42.97
122.30
165.27
Total
0.36
1.01
1.37
2.59
7.38
9.97
4.51
####
####
####
####
####
####
#####
#####
#####
#####
#######
#####
#####
#####
#####
#######
#######
#####
#######
#######

Avg.
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.10
0.30
0.40
0.18
0.51
0.69
1.04
2.95
3.99
2.85
8.11
10.96
12.94
36.82
49.76
8.64
24.60
33.24
34.03
96.85
130.88
29.61
84.27
113.88
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Exhibit
E.
23e
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
Surface
Water
Systems,
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
23a.
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
343.85
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.26
0.74
1.00
0.09
0.27
0.37
0.22
0.63
0.85
0.03
0.08
0.10
2007
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.18
0.50
0.67
0.62
1.76
2.38
0.23
0.64
0.87
0.52
1.49
2.01
0.06
0.18
0.25
2008
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.20
0.56
0.75
0.29
0.83
1.12
1.03
2.94
3.97
0.38
1.07
1.45
0.87
2.48
3.35
0.11
0.31
0.41
2009
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.28
0.80
1.08
0.42
1.19
1.61
1.48
4.21
5.69
0.54
1.54
2.08
1.25
3.55
4.80
0.15
0.44
0.59
2010
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.37
1.05
1.42
0.55
1.57
2.12
1.95
5.55
7.51
0.71
2.03
2.74
1.65
4.69
6.33
0.20
0.58
0.78
2011
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.15
0.43
0.57
0.15
0.43
0.58
0.46
1.32
1.78
0.69
1.96
2.65
2.44
6.95
9.39
0.89
2.53
3.42
2.06
5.86
7.92
0.25
0.72
0.98
2012
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.18
0.51
0.69
0.18
0.52
0.70
0.56
1.59
2.14
0.83
2.37
3.20
2.68
7.63
10.32
0.98
2.78
3.76
2.26
6.44
8.71
0.28
0.80
1.08
2013
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.21
0.60
0.81
0.21
0.61
0.82
0.65
1.86
2.52
0.98
2.78
3.76
2.84
8.07
10.91
1.03
2.94
3.98
2.39
6.81
9.21
0.30
0.84
1.14
2014
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.24
0.69
0.94
0.25
0.70
0.95
0.75
2.14
2.90
1.12
3.20
4.32
2.95
8.39
11.33
1.07
3.06
4.13
2.49
7.08
9.56
0.31
0.87
1.18
2015
0.04
0.11
0.16
0.26
0.74
1.00
0.26
0.75
1.01
0.80
2.29
3.09
1.20
3.42
4.62
3.03
8.62
11.65
1.10
3.14
4.25
2.56
7.28
9.83
0.32
0.90
1.22
2016
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.27
0.77
1.04
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.84
2.39
3.22
1.25
3.56
4.81
3.09
8.81
11.90
1.13
3.21
4.34
2.61
7.43
10.04
0.32
0.92
1.24
2017
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.28
0.79
1.07
0.28
0.80
1.08
0.86
2.46
3.32
1.29
3.66
4.95
3.15
8.96
12.11
1.15
3.27
4.41
2.66
7.56
10.22
0.33
0.93
1.26
2018
0.04
0.13
0.17
0.29
0.81
1.10
0.29
0.82
1.11
0.88
2.51
3.39
1.32
3.74
5.06
3.19
9.09
12.28
1.16
3.31
4.48
2.69
7.67
10.36
0.33
0.95
1.28
2019
0.04
0.13
0.17
0.29
0.83
1.12
0.29
0.83
1.13
0.90
2.55
3.45
1.34
3.81
5.15
3.23
9.19
12.42
1.18
3.35
4.53
2.73
7.76
10.48
0.34
0.96
1.30
2020
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.29
0.84
1.13
0.30
0.85
1.14
0.91
2.59
3.50
1.36
3.86
5.22
3.26
9.29
12.55
1.19
3.39
4.58
2.75
7.84
10.59
0.34
0.97
1.31
2021
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.30
0.85
1.14
0.30
0.86
1.16
0.92
2.62
3.54
1.37
3.91
5.28
3.29
9.37
12.66
1.20
3.42
4.62
2.78
7.90
10.68
0.34
0.98
1.32
2022
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.30
0.86
1.16
0.30
0.86
1.17
0.93
2.64
3.57
1.39
3.95
5.33
3.32
9.44
12.75
1.21
3.44
4.65
2.80
7.96
10.76
0.35
0.98
1.33
2023
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.30
0.86
1.17
0.31
0.87
1.18
0.94
2.67
3.60
1.40
3.98
5.38
3.34
9.50
12.84
1.22
3.46
4.68
2.82
8.02
10.83
0.35
0.99
1.34
2024
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.31
0.87
1.17
0.31
0.88
1.19
0.94
2.69
3.63
1.41
4.01
5.42
3.36
9.56
12.92
1.22
3.48
4.71
2.83
8.06
10.90
0.35
1.00
1.35
2025
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.31
0.87
1.18
0.31
0.88
1.19
0.95
2.70
3.65
1.42
4.03
5.45
3.38
9.61
12.98
1.23
3.50
4.73
2.85
8.11
10.96
0.35
1.00
1.35
2026
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.31
0.88
1.19
0.31
0.89
1.20
0.96
2.72
3.68
1.43
4.06
5.48
3.39
9.65
13.05
1.24
3.52
4.76
2.86
8.15
11.01
0.35
1.01
1.36
2027
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.31
0.88
1.19
0.31
0.89
1.21
0.96
2.73
3.69
1.43
4.08
5.51
3.41
9.70
13.10
1.24
3.54
4.78
2.87
8.18
11.06
0.36
1.01
1.37
Total
0.76
2.17
2.94
4.93
####
####
4.98
####
####
####
####
####
####
####
####
####
167.04
#####
21.40
####
####
####
140.94
#####
6.12
####
####

Avg.
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.20
0.57
0.77
0.61
1.73
2.34
0.91
2.59
3.50
2.35
6.68
9.03
0.86
2.44
3.29
1.98
5.64
7.62
0.24
0.70
0.94
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
28.36
Exhibit
E.
23f
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
50,001­
100,000
Ground
Water
Systems,
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
23a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.13
0.38
0.51
0.30
0.87
1.17
1.70
4.83
6.52
1.05
3.00
4.05
3.99
11.37
15.36
3.31
9.43
12.74
2007
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.32
0.90
1.22
0.72
2.06
2.79
4.04
11.49
15.52
2.51
7.14
9.65
9.51
27.06
36.57
7.88
22.43
30.32
2008
0.01
0.04
0.06
0.10
0.27
0.37
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.53
1.50
2.03
1.21
3.44
4.64
6.73
19.14
25.87
4.18
11.90
16.08
15.84
45.09
60.94
13.14
37.39
50.52
2009
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.14
0.39
0.53
0.17
0.50
0.67
0.76
2.16
2.91
1.73
4.92
6.65
9.64
27.43
37.07
5.99
17.05
23.04
22.71
64.62
87.33
18.82
53.58
72.40
2010
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.18
0.52
0.70
0.23
0.66
0.89
1.00
2.84
3.84
2.28
6.49
8.77
12.71
36.16
48.87
7.90
22.47
30.37
29.93
85.19
115.12
24.82
70.63
95.45
2011
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.23
0.65
0.88
0.29
0.82
1.11
1.25
3.55
4.80
2.85
8.12
10.97
15.89
45.22
61.11
9.87
28.10
37.98
37.43
106.54
143.97
31.03
88.33
119.36
2012
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.28
0.78
1.06
0.35
0.99
1.34
1.51
4.29
5.79
3.44
9.79
13.23
17.47
49.71
67.18
10.85
30.89
41.75
41.15
117.11
158.26
34.11
97.10
131.21
2013
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.32
0.92
1.24
0.41
1.16
1.57
1.77
5.03
6.80
4.04
11.50
15.54
18.47
52.57
71.04
11.48
32.67
44.15
43.51
123.85
167.36
36.08
102.68
138.75
2014
0.06
0.16
0.21
0.37
1.06
1.43
0.47
1.34
1.81
2.04
5.79
7.83
4.65
13.24
17.89
19.18
54.60
73.79
11.92
33.93
45.85
45.19
128.63
173.83
37.47
106.64
144.11
2015
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.40
1.13
1.53
0.50
1.43
1.93
2.17
6.19
8.36
4.97
14.13
19.10
19.72
56.14
75.86
12.26
34.89
47.15
46.47
132.25
178.72
38.53
109.65
148.17
2016
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.41
1.18
1.59
0.52
1.49
2.01
2.26
6.45
8.71
5.17
14.72
19.90
20.15
57.35
77.50
12.52
35.64
48.17
47.47
135.11
182.59
39.36
112.02
151.38
2017
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.43
1.21
1.64
0.54
1.53
2.07
2.33
6.63
8.96
5.32
15.15
20.48
20.50
58.34
78.84
12.74
36.26
49.00
48.29
137.44
185.73
40.04
113.95
153.99
2018
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.44
1.24
1.67
0.55
1.56
2.11
2.38
6.78
9.16
5.44
15.48
20.92
20.79
59.17
79.95
12.92
36.77
49.69
48.97
139.38
188.36
40.60
115.56
156.16
2019
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.44
1.26
1.70
0.56
1.59
2.15
2.42
6.90
9.32
5.53
15.75
21.28
21.03
59.86
80.90
13.07
37.20
50.28
49.55
141.03
190.58
41.08
116.93
158.01
2020
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.45
1.28
1.73
0.57
1.61
2.18
2.46
6.99
9.45
5.61
15.97
21.58
21.24
60.47
81.71
13.20
37.58
50.78
50.05
142.45
192.50
41.49
118.10
159.60
2021
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.45
1.29
1.75
0.57
1.63
2.20
2.49
7.07
9.56
5.68
16.16
21.83
21.43
60.99
82.42
13.32
37.90
51.22
50.48
143.68
194.17
41.85
119.12
160.98
2022
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.46
1.31
1.76
0.58
1.65
2.23
2.51
7.14
9.65
5.73
16.32
22.05
21.59
61.45
83.04
13.42
38.19
51.61
50.87
144.77
195.64
42.17
120.03
162.20
2023
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.46
1.32
1.78
0.58
1.66
2.24
2.53
7.20
9.74
5.78
16.46
22.24
21.74
61.86
83.60
13.51
38.45
51.95
51.21
145.74
196.94
42.45
120.83
163.28
2024
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.47
1.33
1.79
0.59
1.67
2.26
2.55
7.26
9.81
5.82
16.58
22.40
21.86
62.23
84.09
13.59
38.67
52.26
51.51
146.60
198.11
42.71
121.55
164.25
2025
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.47
1.33
1.80
0.59
1.68
2.28
2.57
7.31
9.87
5.86
16.69
22.55
21.98
62.56
84.54
13.66
38.88
52.54
51.78
147.38
199.17
42.93
122.19
165.12
2026
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.47
1.34
1.81
0.60
1.69
2.29
2.58
7.35
9.93
5.90
16.78
22.68
22.09
62.86
84.95
13.73
39.07
52.79
52.03
148.09
200.12
43.14
122.78
165.92
2027
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.47
1.35
1.82
0.60
1.70
2.30
2.60
7.39
9.98
5.93
16.87
22.80
22.18
63.13
85.32
13.79
39.24
53.02
52.26
148.73
200.99
43.33
123.31
166.64
Total
1.12
3.19
4.31
7.52
####
####
9.49
####
####
####
#####
#####
####
#####
#####
#####
#######
#######
#####
#####
#####
#####
#######
#######
#####
#######
#######

Avg.
0.04
0.13
0.17
0.30
0.86
1.16
0.38
1.08
1.46
1.65
4.68
6.33
3.76
10.70
14.46
15.28
43.50
58.79
9.50
27.04
36.53
36.01
102.49
138.49
29.85
84.97
114.82
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
23a.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
372.21
Exhibit
E.
23g
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
All
Water
Systems,
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
E.
6.8
Projection
of
Cases
­
Stage
2
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
TTHM
as
Indicator
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Annual
Existing
Cancer
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
DBPR
Annual
Existing
Cancer
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
Annual
Reductions
in
Bladder
Cancer
Cases
Attributable
to
the
Stage
2
DBPR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
<
100
0.11
0.84
0.95
<
100
0.10
0.81
0.91
<
100
0.02
0.03
0.04
101­
500
0.82
5.41
6.23
101­
500
0.69
5.25
5.94
101­
500
0.13
0.16
0.29
501­
1,000
1.43
5.47
6.90
501­
1,000
1.20
5.31
6.51
501­
1,000
0.22
0.16
0.39
1,001­
3,300
8.20
16.74
24.94
1,001­
3,300
6.91
16.24
23.15
1,001­
3,300
1.28
0.50
1.79
3,301­
10,000
22.53
24.98
47.51
3,301­
10,000
19.01
24.23
43.24
3,301­
10,000
3.53
0.75
4.28
10,001­
50,000
93.44
51.52
144.96
10,001­
50,000
78.82
49.58
128.40
10,001­
50,000
14.62
1.94
16.56
50,001­
100,000
62.43
18.78
81.21
50,001­
100,000
52.66
18.08
70.73
50,001­
100,000
9.77
0.71
10.48
100,001­
1
Million
245.77
43.47
289.24
100,001­
1
Million
207.32
41.83
249.15
100,001­
1
Million
38.46
1.64
40.09
>
1
Million
213.86
5.37
219.23
>
1
Million
180.39
5.17
185.57
>
1
Million
33.46
0.20
33.66
Total
648.59
172.59
821.17
Total
547.10
166.49
713.59
Total
101.48
6.09
107.58
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
<
100
0.98
7.32
8.31
<
100
0.83
7.10
7.93
<
100
0.15
0.22
0.37
101­
500
7.16
47.25
54.41
101­
500
6.04
45.83
51.87
101­
500
1.12
1.42
2.54
501­
1,000
12.44
47.76
60.20
501­
1,000
10.49
46.33
56.82
501­
1,000
1.95
1.43
3.38
1,001­
3,300
71.53
146.09
217.62
1,001­
3,300
60.34
141.70
202.04
1,001­
3,300
11.19
4.39
15.58
3,301­
10,000
196.66
218.00
414.66
3,301­
10,000
165.89
211.45
377.34
3,301­
10,000
30.77
6.54
37.32
10,001­
50,000
815.50
449.59
1,265.09
10,001­
50,000
687.90
432.66
1,120.56
10,001­
50,000
127.60
16.93
144.53
50,001­
100,000
544.81
163.93
708.74
50,001­
100,000
459.56
157.75
617.32
50,001­
100,000
85.25
6.17
91.42
100,001­
1
Million
2,144.92
379.36
2,524.28
100,001­
1
Million
1,809.30
365.08
2,174.38
100,001­
1
Million
335.62
14.29
349.90
>
1
Million
1,866.38
46.90
1,913.28
>
1
Million
1,574.35
45.13
1,619.48
>
1
Million
292.03
1.77
293.80
Total
5,660.38
1,506.20
7,166.58
Total
4,774.70
1,453.04
6,227.74
Total
885.68
53.16
938.84
Source:
Derived
from
figures
presented
in
Appendix
E.
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)

System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
Exhibit
E.
24a
Expanded
Cancer
Case
Inputs
for
Benefits
Quantification
(
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2)

System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.26
0.75
1.01
0.18
0.50
0.67
0.69
1.96
2.65
0.60
1.71
2.31
2007
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.62
1.78
2.40
0.42
1.19
1.60
1.64
4.67
6.31
1.43
4.06
5.49
2008
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.17
0.48
0.64
1.04
2.96
4.00
0.69
1.98
2.67
2.73
7.78
10.51
2.38
6.77
9.15
2009
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.24
0.68
0.92
1.49
4.24
5.73
1.00
2.83
3.83
3.92
11.15
15.07
3.41
9.70
13.11
2010
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.11
0.33
0.44
0.32
0.90
1.21
1.96
5.59
7.55
1.31
3.73
5.05
5.16
14.70
19.86
4.49
12.79
17.28
2011
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.06
0.02
0.07
0.10
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.39
1.12
1.52
2.46
6.99
9.44
1.64
4.67
6.31
6.46
18.38
24.84
5.62
16.00
21.62
2012
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.17
0.49
0.67
0.48
1.36
1.83
2.70
7.68
10.38
1.80
5.13
6.94
7.10
20.21
27.31
6.18
17.58
23.76
2013
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.20
0.58
0.78
0.56
1.59
2.15
2.85
8.12
10.98
1.91
5.43
7.33
7.51
21.37
28.88
6.53
18.59
25.13
2014
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.04
0.12
0.16
0.23
0.67
0.90
0.64
1.83
2.48
2.96
8.44
11.40
1.98
5.64
7.62
7.80
22.19
29.99
6.79
19.31
26.10
2015
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.25
0.71
0.96
0.69
1.96
2.64
3.05
8.68
11.72
2.04
5.80
7.83
8.02
22.82
30.84
6.98
19.86
26.83
2016
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.05
0.13
0.17
0.26
0.74
1.00
0.72
2.04
2.75
3.11
8.86
11.98
2.08
5.92
8.00
8.19
23.31
31.50
7.13
20.29
27.41
2017
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.08
0.10
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.27
0.76
1.03
0.74
2.10
2.83
3.17
9.02
12.18
2.12
6.02
8.14
8.33
23.72
32.05
7.25
20.64
27.89
2018
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.05
0.14
0.18
0.27
0.78
1.05
0.75
2.14
2.90
3.21
9.14
12.36
2.15
6.11
8.26
8.45
24.05
32.50
7.35
20.93
28.28
2019
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.28
0.79
1.07
0.77
2.18
2.95
3.25
9.25
12.50
2.17
6.18
8.35
8.55
24.33
32.88
7.44
21.17
28.61
2020
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.28
0.80
1.09
0.78
2.21
2.99
3.28
9.34
12.63
2.19
6.24
8.44
8.64
24.58
33.21
7.51
21.39
28.90
2021
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.29
0.81
1.10
0.79
2.24
3.02
3.31
9.43
12.74
2.21
6.30
8.51
8.71
24.79
33.50
7.58
21.57
29.15
2022
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.29
0.82
1.11
0.79
2.26
3.05
3.34
9.50
12.83
2.23
6.34
8.57
8.78
24.98
33.76
7.64
21.74
29.37
2023
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.29
0.83
1.12
0.80
2.28
3.08
3.36
9.56
12.92
2.24
6.39
8.63
8.84
25.15
33.98
7.69
21.88
29.57
2024
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.29
0.83
1.13
0.81
2.29
3.10
3.38
9.62
13.00
2.26
6.43
8.68
8.89
25.30
34.18
7.73
22.01
29.74
2025
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.30
0.84
1.14
0.81
2.31
3.12
3.40
9.67
13.07
2.27
6.46
8.73
8.94
25.43
34.37
7.77
22.13
29.90
2026
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.30
0.85
1.14
0.82
2.32
3.14
3.41
9.72
13.13
2.28
6.49
8.77
8.98
25.55
34.53
7.81
22.23
30.05
2027
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.11
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.30
0.85
1.15
0.82
2.34
3.16
3.43
9.76
13.19
2.29
6.52
8.81
9.02
25.66
34.68
7.85
22.33
30.18
Total
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.47
1.35
1.82
0.82
2.34
3.16
4.73
13.47
18.20
13.01
37.03
50.04
####
#####
#####
####
112.29
#####
155.33
#####
#####
#####
#####
#####

Avg.
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.19
0.54
0.73
0.52
1.48
2.00
2.36
6.72
9.09
1.58
4.49
6.07
6.21
17.68
23.90
5.41
15.39
20.79
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
24a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
62.78
Exhibit
E.
24b
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
Surface
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.00
0.01
0.01
2007
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.01
0.02
0.03
2008
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.14
0.39
0.53
0.05
0.14
0.19
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.01
0.04
0.06
2009
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.05
0.14
0.20
0.20
0.56
0.76
0.07
0.21
0.28
0.17
0.47
0.64
0.02
0.06
0.08
2010
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.06
0.01
0.04
0.06
0.04
0.13
0.17
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.26
0.74
1.00
0.09
0.27
0.37
0.22
0.63
0.85
0.03
0.08
0.10
2011
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.33
0.93
1.25
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.27
0.78
1.06
0.03
0.10
0.13
2012
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.02
0.06
0.09
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.36
1.02
1.38
0.13
0.37
0.50
0.30
0.86
1.16
0.04
0.11
0.14
2013
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.12
0.34
0.46
0.38
1.08
1.46
0.14
0.39
0.53
0.32
0.91
1.23
0.04
0.11
0.15
2014
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.14
0.39
0.53
0.39
1.12
1.51
0.14
0.41
0.55
0.33
0.94
1.28
0.04
0.12
0.16
2015
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.10
0.28
0.38
0.15
0.42
0.56
0.40
1.15
1.56
0.15
0.42
0.57
0.34
0.97
1.31
0.04
0.12
0.16
2016
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.15
0.43
0.59
0.41
1.18
1.59
0.15
0.43
0.58
0.35
0.99
1.34
0.04
0.12
0.17
2017
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.11
0.30
0.40
0.16
0.45
0.60
0.42
1.20
1.62
0.15
0.44
0.59
0.35
1.01
1.36
0.04
0.12
0.17
2018
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.04
0.10
0.13
0.11
0.31
0.41
0.16
0.46
0.62
0.43
1.21
1.64
0.16
0.44
0.60
0.36
1.02
1.38
0.04
0.13
0.17
2019
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.11
0.31
0.42
0.16
0.46
0.63
0.43
1.23
1.66
0.16
0.45
0.60
0.36
1.04
1.40
0.04
0.13
0.17
2020
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.17
0.47
0.64
0.44
1.24
1.68
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.37
1.05
1.41
0.05
0.13
0.17
2021
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.17
0.48
0.64
0.44
1.25
1.69
0.16
0.46
0.62
0.37
1.06
1.43
0.05
0.13
0.18
2022
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.11
0.32
0.44
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.44
1.26
1.70
0.16
0.46
0.62
0.37
1.06
1.44
0.05
0.13
0.18
2023
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.11
0.32
0.44
0.17
0.48
0.65
0.45
1.27
1.71
0.16
0.46
0.63
0.38
1.07
1.45
0.05
0.13
0.18
2024
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.11
0.33
0.44
0.17
0.49
0.66
0.45
1.28
1.72
0.16
0.47
0.63
0.38
1.08
1.46
0.05
0.13
0.18
2025
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.12
0.33
0.44
0.17
0.49
0.66
0.45
1.28
1.73
0.16
0.47
0.63
0.38
1.08
1.46
0.05
0.13
0.18
2026
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.14
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.17
0.49
0.67
0.45
1.29
1.74
0.17
0.47
0.64
0.38
1.09
1.47
0.05
0.13
0.18
2027
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.12
0.33
0.45
0.17
0.50
0.67
0.45
1.29
1.75
0.17
0.47
0.64
0.38
1.09
1.48
0.05
0.14
0.18
Total
0.09
0.26
0.36
0.60
1.71
2.31
0.61
1.73
2.33
1.85
5.28
7.13
2.77
7.88
####
7.84
####
####
2.86
8.13
####
6.61
18.82
####
0.82
2.33
3.14
Avg.
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.07
0.21
0.29
0.11
0.32
0.43
0.31
0.89
1.21
0.11
0.33
0.44
0.26
0.75
1.02
0.03
0.09
0.13
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
24a.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
3.70
Exhibit
E.
24c
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
Ground
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­
Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.30
0.84
1.14
0.19
0.53
0.72
0.72
2.05
2.76
0.60
1.72
2.32
2007
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.14
0.20
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.71
2.01
2.72
0.45
1.27
1.72
1.71
4.87
6.58
1.44
4.09
5.52
2008
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.08
0.24
0.33
0.20
0.58
0.78
1.18
3.35
4.53
0.74
2.12
2.86
2.85
8.11
10.96
2.39
6.81
9.20
2009
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.12
0.35
0.47
0.29
0.83
1.12
1.69
4.80
6.49
1.07
3.04
4.10
4.08
11.62
15.71
3.43
9.76
13.19
2010
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.16
0.45
0.61
0.38
1.09
1.47
2.22
6.33
8.55
1.41
4.00
5.41
5.38
15.33
20.71
4.52
12.87
17.39
2011
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.20
0.57
0.77
0.48
1.36
1.84
2.78
7.92
10.70
1.76
5.01
6.77
6.73
19.16
25.90
5.65
16.09
21.75
2012
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.24
0.69
0.93
0.58
1.64
2.22
3.06
8.70
11.76
1.93
5.50
7.44
7.40
21.07
28.47
6.22
17.69
23.90
2013
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.13
0.18
0.06
0.17
0.24
0.28
0.81
1.09
0.68
1.93
2.61
3.23
9.20
12.44
2.05
5.82
7.87
7.83
22.28
30.11
6.57
18.71
25.28
2014
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.07
0.20
0.27
0.33
0.93
1.25
0.78
2.22
3.00
3.36
9.56
12.92
2.12
6.05
8.17
8.13
23.14
31.27
6.83
19.43
26.26
2015
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.08
0.21
0.29
0.35
0.99
1.34
0.83
2.37
3.21
3.45
9.83
13.28
2.18
6.22
8.40
8.36
23.79
32.15
7.02
19.98
27.00
2016
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.08
0.22
0.30
0.36
1.03
1.39
0.87
2.47
3.34
3.53
10.04
13.57
2.23
6.35
8.58
8.54
24.31
32.85
7.17
20.41
27.58
2017
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.06
0.17
0.23
0.08
0.23
0.31
0.37
1.06
1.44
0.89
2.54
3.44
3.59
10.21
13.80
2.27
6.46
8.73
8.69
24.72
33.41
7.29
20.76
28.05
2018
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.38
1.09
1.47
0.91
2.60
3.51
3.64
10.36
14.00
2.30
6.55
8.85
8.81
25.07
33.88
7.40
21.05
28.45
2019
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.18
0.24
0.08
0.24
0.32
0.39
1.10
1.49
0.93
2.64
3.57
3.68
10.48
14.16
2.33
6.63
8.96
8.91
25.37
34.28
7.48
21.30
28.79
2020
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.09
0.24
0.33
0.39
1.12
1.51
0.94
2.68
3.62
3.72
10.58
14.30
2.35
6.70
9.05
9.00
25.63
34.63
7.56
21.52
29.08
2021
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.18
0.25
0.09
0.25
0.33
0.40
1.13
1.53
0.95
2.71
3.67
3.75
10.68
14.43
2.37
6.75
9.13
9.08
25.85
34.93
7.63
21.70
29.33
2022
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.40
1.14
1.55
0.96
2.74
3.70
3.78
10.76
14.54
2.39
6.80
9.20
9.15
26.04
35.19
7.68
21.87
29.55
2023
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.19
0.25
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.41
1.15
1.56
0.97
2.76
3.73
3.80
10.83
14.63
2.41
6.85
9.26
9.21
26.22
35.43
7.73
22.01
29.75
2024
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.41
1.16
1.57
0.98
2.78
3.76
3.83
10.89
14.72
2.42
6.89
9.31
9.27
26.37
35.64
7.78
22.14
29.92
2025
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.09
0.25
0.34
0.41
1.17
1.58
0.98
2.80
3.79
3.85
10.95
14.80
2.43
6.93
9.36
9.32
26.51
35.83
7.82
22.26
30.08
2026
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.09
0.26
0.34
0.41
1.18
1.59
0.99
2.82
3.81
3.87
11.00
14.87
2.45
6.96
9.41
9.36
26.64
36.00
7.86
22.37
30.23
2027
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.19
0.26
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.42
1.18
1.60
1.00
2.83
3.83
3.88
11.05
14.94
2.46
6.99
9.45
9.40
26.76
36.16
7.89
22.47
30.36
Total
0.16
0.45
0.61
1.07
3.05
4.13
1.43
4.07
5.50
6.59
18.75
####
####
####
####
####
190.38
#####
####
#####
#####
#####
#####
#####
#####
#####
#####

Avg.
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.12
0.17
0.06
0.16
0.22
0.26
0.75
1.01
0.63
1.80
2.43
2.68
7.62
10.29
1.69
4.82
6.51
6.48
18.44
24.91
5.44
15.48
20.92
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
66.48
Exhibit
E.
24d
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
101­
500
50,001­
100,000
All
Water
Systems,
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.
Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
24a.
10,001­
50,000
<
100
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
Fatal
Non­

Fatal
Total
2003
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2004
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2005
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

2006
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.13
0.38
0.51
0.37
1.05
1.41
2.29
6.51
8.80
1.53
4.35
5.88
6.01
17.12
23.13
5.23
14.90
20.13
2007
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.06
0.16
0.21
0.32
0.91
1.22
0.88
2.49
3.37
5.44
15.49
20.94
3.64
10.35
13.99
14.32
40.75
55.06
12.46
35.46
47.91
2008
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.15
0.20
0.09
0.26
0.35
0.53
1.51
2.04
1.46
4.15
5.61
9.07
25.82
34.89
6.06
17.25
23.31
23.86
67.91
91.77
20.76
59.09
79.85
2009
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.22
0.29
0.13
0.38
0.51
0.76
2.16
2.92
2.09
5.95
8.04
13.00
37.00
50.00
8.68
24.72
33.40
34.19
97.31
131.50
29.75
84.68
114.43
2010
0.01
0.04
0.05
0.10
0.29
0.39
0.17
0.50
0.67
1.00
2.85
3.85
2.76
7.84
10.60
17.14
48.77
65.91
11.45
32.59
44.03
45.07
128.29
173.36
39.22
111.63
150.85
2011
0.02
0.05
0.07
0.13
0.36
0.48
0.22
0.62
0.84
1.25
3.57
4.82
3.45
9.81
13.25
21.43
61.00
82.43
14.32
40.75
55.07
56.37
160.43
216.80
49.05
139.60
188.64
2012
0.02
0.06
0.08
0.15
0.43
0.58
0.26
0.75
1.01
1.51
4.30
5.81
4.16
11.83
15.98
23.56
67.05
90.61
15.74
44.79
60.53
61.96
176.36
238.32
53.92
153.45
207.37
2013
0.02
0.07
0.09
0.18
0.51
0.68
0.31
0.88
1.19
1.78
5.05
6.83
4.88
13.89
18.77
24.91
70.91
95.82
16.64
47.37
64.01
65.53
186.50
252.02
57.02
162.28
219.29
2014
0.03
0.08
0.11
0.20
0.58
0.79
0.36
1.01
1.37
2.04
5.82
7.86
5.62
15.99
21.61
25.88
73.65
99.52
17.29
49.20
66.49
68.06
193.70
261.76
59.22
168.55
227.77
2015
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.22
0.62
0.84
0.38
1.08
1.46
2.18
6.21
8.39
6.00
17.07
23.07
26.60
75.72
102.32
17.77
50.59
68.36
69.97
199.16
269.13
60.89
173.29
234.18
2016
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.23
0.65
0.87
0.40
1.13
1.52
2.27
6.47
8.74
6.25
17.79
24.04
27.18
77.36
104.54
18.16
51.68
69.84
71.49
203.46
274.95
62.20
177.04
239.25
2017
0.03
0.09
0.12
0.23
0.67
0.90
0.41
1.16
1.56
2.34
6.66
9.00
6.43
18.31
24.74
27.65
78.69
106.34
18.47
52.57
71.04
72.72
206.97
279.69
63.28
180.09
243.37
2018
0.03
0.09
0.13
0.24
0.68
0.92
0.42
1.18
1.60
2.39
6.80
9.20
6.57
18.71
25.28
28.04
79.80
107.84
18.73
53.31
72.04
73.75
209.89
283.64
64.17
182.64
246.81
2019
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.24
0.69
0.94
0.42
1.20
1.63
2.43
6.92
9.35
6.69
19.03
25.72
28.37
80.74
109.11
18.95
53.94
72.90
74.62
212.37
286.99
64.93
184.79
249.72
2020
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.25
0.70
0.95
0.43
1.22
1.65
2.47
7.02
9.48
6.78
19.30
26.08
28.65
81.56
110.21
19.14
54.49
73.63
75.37
214.51
289.87
65.58
186.65
252.23
2021
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.25
0.71
0.96
0.43
1.23
1.67
2.49
7.10
9.60
6.86
19.52
26.38
28.90
82.26
111.17
19.31
54.96
74.27
76.02
216.37
292.39
66.15
188.27
254.42
2022
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.25
0.72
0.97
0.44
1.25
1.68
2.52
7.17
9.69
6.93
19.71
26.64
29.12
82.89
112.01
19.46
55.37
74.83
76.60
218.01
294.60
66.65
189.70
256.35
2023
0.03
0.10
0.13
0.25
0.72
0.98
0.44
1.26
1.70
2.54
7.23
9.77
6.99
19.88
26.87
29.32
83.44
112.76
19.59
55.74
75.33
77.11
219.46
296.57
67.09
190.96
258.06
2024
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.26
0.73
0.99
0.45
1.27
1.71
2.56
7.29
9.84
7.04
20.03
27.07
29.49
83.93
113.43
19.70
56.07
75.78
77.57
220.76
298.33
67.49
192.10
259.59
2025
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.26
0.73
0.99
0.45
1.28
1.72
2.58
7.33
9.91
7.08
20.16
27.24
29.65
84.38
114.03
19.81
56.37
76.18
77.98
221.94
299.92
67.85
193.12
260.97
2026
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.26
0.74
1.00
0.45
1.28
1.73
2.59
7.38
9.97
7.12
20.28
27.40
29.79
84.79
114.58
19.90
56.64
76.54
78.35
223.00
301.35
68.18
194.04
262.22
2027
0.04
0.10
0.14
0.26
0.74
1.00
0.45
1.29
1.74
2.60
7.41
10.02
7.16
20.38
27.54
29.92
85.15
115.07
19.99
56.89
76.88
78.69
223.97
302.67
68.47
194.89
263.36
Total
0.57
1.62
2.18
4.13
11.76
15.89
7.18
20.44
27.62
41.30
117.55
158.84
113.54
323.15
436.69
515.40
1,466.90
1,982.30
344.32
979.99
1,324.32
1,355.59
3,858.23
5,213.82
1,179.56
3,357.21
4,536.77
Avg.
0.02
0.06
0.09
0.17
0.47
0.64
0.29
0.82
1.10
1.65
4.70
6.35
4.54
12.93
17.47
20.62
58.68
79.29
13.77
39.20
52.97
54.22
154.33
208.55
47.18
134.29
181.47
Avg.
­
All
Size
Categories
Note:

Source:
Exhibit
E.
24e
Yearly
Cancer
Cases
Avoided
by
System
Size
Surface
Water
Systems,
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Year
501­
1,000
1,001­
3,300
3,301­
10,000
10,001­
50,000
<
100
101­
500
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
Rnet
=
RPre­
Stage
2
­
[
w(
t)*
RPre­
Stage2
+
(
1­
w(
t))*
RPost­
Stage
2];
where
R=
number
of
cases,
and
w(
t)=
weighting
factor.

Values
derived
using
above
equation
and
input
values
from
Exhibits
E.
13
and
E.
24a.
Detail
may
not
add
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
50,001­
100,000
100,001­
1
Million
>
1
Million
547.94
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Annual
Existing
Cancer
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
DBPR
Annual
Existing
Cancer
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
Annual
Reductions
in
Bladder
Cancer
Cases
Attributable
to
the
Stage
2
DBPR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
2%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
<
100
0.11
0.84
0.95
<
100
0.10
0.81
0.91
<
100
0.02
0.03
0.04
101­
500
0.82
5.41
6.23
101­
500
0.69
5.25
5.94
101­
500
0.13
0.16
0.29
501­
1,000
1.43
5.47
6.90
501­
1,000
1.20
5.31
6.51
501­
1,000
0.22
0.16
0.39
1,001­
3,300
8.20
16.74
24.94
1,001­
3,300
6.91
16.24
23.15
1,001­
3,300
1.28
0.50
1.79
3,301­
10,000
22.53
24.98
47.51
3,301­
10,000
19.01
24.23
43.24
3,301­
10,000
3.53
0.75
4.28
10,001­
50,000
93.44
51.52
144.96
10,001­
50,000
78.82
49.58
128.40
10,001­
50,000
14.62
1.94
16.56
50,001­
100,000
62.43
18.78
81.21
50,001­
100,000
52.66
18.08
70.73
50,001­
100,000
9.77
0.71
10.48
100,001­
1
Million
245.77
43.47
289.24
100,001­
1
Million
207.32
41.83
249.15
100,001­
1
Million
38.46
1.64
40.09
>
1
Million
213.86
5.37
219.23
>
1
Million
180.39
5.17
185.57
>
1
Million
33.46
0.20
33.66
Total
648.59
172.59
821.17
Total
547.10
166.49
713.59
Total
101.48
6.09
107.58
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
Cancer
PAR
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
All
Sources
<
100
0.98
7.32
8.31
<
100
0.83
7.10
7.93
<
100
0.15
0.22
0.37
101­
500
7.16
47.25
54.41
101­
500
6.04
45.83
51.87
101­
500
1.12
1.42
2.54
501­
1,000
12.44
47.76
60.20
501­
1,000
10.49
46.33
56.82
501­
1,000
1.95
1.43
3.38
1,001­
3,300
71.53
146.09
217.62
1,001­
3,300
60.34
141.70
202.04
1,001­
3,300
11.19
4.39
15.58
3,301­
10,000
196.66
218.00
414.66
3,301­
10,000
165.89
211.45
377.34
3,301­
10,000
30.77
6.54
37.32
10,001­
50,000
815.50
449.59
1,265.09
10,001­
50,000
687.90
432.66
1,120.56
10,001­
50,000
127.60
16.93
144.53
50,001­
100,000
544.81
163.93
708.74
50,001­
100,000
459.56
157.75
617.32
50,001­
100,000
85.25
6.17
91.42
100,001­
1
Million
2,144.92
379.36
2,524.28
100,001­
1
Million
1,809.30
365.08
2,174.38
100,001­
1
Million
335.62
14.29
349.90
>
1
Million
1,866.38
46.90
1,913.28
>
1
Million
1,574.35
45.13
1,619.48
>
1
Million
292.03
1.77
293.80
Total
5,660.38
1,506.20
7,166.58
Total
4,774.70
1,453.04
6,227.74
Total
885.68
53.16
938.84
Source:
Derived
from
figures
presented
in
Appendix
E.
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Post
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)

System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Existing
Cases
­
Pre
Stage
2
Exhibit
E.
24a
Expanded
Cancer
Case
Inputs
for
Benefits
Quantification
(
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2)

System
Size
(
Population
Served)
Annual
Cases
Reduced
by
Stage
2
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Appendix
F
Valuation
of
Stage
2
DBPR
Benefits
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Applicable
Rule
Alternative(
s)
Applicable
DBP(
s)
Non­
fatal
Case
Valuation
Exhibit
Description
Applicable
Source
Water
Type(
s)
Applicable
System
Size
Exhibit
Number
All
Valuation
Inputs
All
All
F.
1a
All
CPI
Projections
All
All
F.
1b
All
Income
Elasticity
Inputs
All
All
F.
1c
All
Population,
GDP,
&
Income
Projections
All
All
F.
1d
All
Income
Elasticity
Factors
All
All
F.
1e
All
Valuation
Factors
All
All
F.
1f
<
100
F.
2a
101­
500
F.
2b
501­
1,000
F.
2c
1,001­
3,300
F.
2d
3,301­
10K
F.
2e
10,001­
50K
F.
2f
50,001­
100K
F.
2g
100,001­
1M
F.
2h
>
1
Million
F.
2i
All
F.
2j
<
100
F.
2k
101­
500
F.
2l
501­
1,000
F.
2m
1,001­
3,300
F.
2n
3,301­
10K
F.
2o
10,001­
50K
F.
2p
50,001­
100K
F.
2q
100,001­
1M
F.
2r
>
1
Million
F.
2s
All
F.
2t
All
All
F.
2u
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
2v
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
2w
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
2x
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
2y
<
100
F.
3a
101­
500
F.
3b
501­
1,000
F.
3c
1,001­
3,300
F.
3d
3,301­
10K
F.
3e
10,001­
50K
F.
3f
50,001­
100K
F.
3g
100,001­
1M
F.
3h
>
1
Million
F.
3i
All
F.
3j
<
100
F.
3k
101­
500
F.
3l
501­
1,000
F.
3m
1,001­
3,300
F.
3n
3,301­
10K
F.
3o
10,001­
50K
F.
3p
50,001­
100K
F.
3q
100,001­
1M
F.
3r
>
1
Million
F.
3s
All
F.
3t
All
All
F.
3u
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
3v
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
3w
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
3x
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
3y
Matrix
of
Appendix
F
Contents
All
Alternatives
TTHM
&
HAA5
Surface
Valuation
of
Cases
Avoided
Ground
Surface
Ground
Preferred
Alternative
TTHM
Valuation
of
Cases
Avoided
Non­
Fatal
Lymphoma
Chronic
Bronchitis
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Matrix
of
Appendix
F
Contents
(
cont.)

Applicable
Rule
Alternative(
s)
Applicable
DBP(
s)
Non­
fatal
Case
Valuation
Exhibit
Description
Applicable
Source
Water
Type(
s)
Applicable
System
Size
Exhibit
Number
Surface
All
F.
4a
Ground
All
F.
4b
All
All
F.
4c
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
4d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
4e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
4f
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
4g
Surface
All
F.
5a
Ground
All
F.
5b
All
All
F.
5c
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
5d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
5e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
5f
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
5g
Surface
All
F.
6a
Ground
All
F.
6b
All
All
F.
6c
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
6d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
6e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
6f
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
6g
Surface
All
F.
7a
Ground
All
F.
7b
All
All
F.
7c
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
7d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
7e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
7f
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
7g
Surface
All
F.
8a
Ground
All
F.
8b
All
All
F.
8c
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
8d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
8e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
8f
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
8g
Surface
All
F.
9a
Ground
All
F.
9b
All
All
F.
9c
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
9d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
9e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
9f
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
9g
Surface
All
F.
10a
Ground
All
F.
10b
All
All
F.
10c
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
10d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
10e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
10f
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
10g
Surface
All
F.
11a
Ground
All
F.
11b
All
All
F.
11c
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
11d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
11e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
11f
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
11g
Alternative
3
Valuation
of
Cases
Avoided
Valuation
of
Cases
Avoided
Valuation
of
Cases
Avoided
TTHM
Non­
Fatal
Lymphoma
Chronic
Bronchitis
Valuation
of
Cases
Avoided
Valuation
of
Cases
Avoided
Chronic
Bronchitis
Non­
Fatal
Lymphoma
Chronic
Bronchitis
Valuation
of
Cases
Avoided
Non­
Fatal
Lymphoma
Alternative
1
Alternative
2
Preferred
Alternative
TTHM
TTHM
Valuation
of
Cases
Avoided
Valuation
of
Cases
Avoided
HAA5
Non­
Fatal
Lymphoma
Chronic
Bronchitis
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Matrix
of
Appendix
F
Contents
(
cont.)

Applicable
Rule
Alternative(
s)
Applicable
DBP(
s)
Non­
fatal
Case
Valuation
Exhibit
Description
Applicable
Source
Water
Type(
s)
Applicable
System
Size
Exhibit
Number
Surface
All
F.
12a
Ground
All
F.
12b
All
All
F.
12c
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
12d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
12e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
12f
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
12g
Surface
All
F.
13a
Ground
All
F.
13b
All
All
F.
13c
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
13d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
13e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
13f
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
13g
Surface
All
F.
14a
Ground
All
F.
14b
All
All
F.
14c
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
14d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
14e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
14f
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
14g
Surface
All
F.
15a
Ground
All
F.
15b
All
All
F.
15c
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
15d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
15e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
15f
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
15g
Surface
All
F.
16a
Ground
All
F.
16b
All
All
F.
16c
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
16d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
16e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
16f
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
16g
Surface
All
F.
17a
Ground
All
F.
17b
All
All
F.
17c
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
17d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
Discount
Rate
All
All
F.
17e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
3%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
17f
Present
Value
of
Benefits
at
7%
by
System
Size
All
All
F.
17g
Valuation
of
Cases
Avoided
Valuation
of
Cases
Avoided
Valuation
of
Cases
Avoided
TTHM
Non­
Fatal
Lymphoma
Chronic
Bronchitis
Valuation
of
Cases
Avoided
Valuation
of
Cases
Avoided
Valuation
of
Cases
Avoided
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
Note:
To
minimize
the
size
of
this
appendix,
only
summary
spreadsheets
are
presented
to
outline
the
computational
approach
used
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
benefits
analysis.
More
detailed
spreadsheets
(
as
presented
for
the
preferred
alternative
­
TTHM)
are
available
from
EPA
for
all
alternatives
and
both
TTHM
and
HAA5
as
an
indicator.
TTHM
Non­
Fatal
Lymphoma
Chronic
Bronchitis
TTHM
Non­
Fatal
Lymphoma
Chronic
Bronchitis
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
F.
1
Input
Parameters
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Dist.
Type
Weibull
Parameters
Loc:
0
Scale:
5.32
Shape:
1.509588
Simulation
Mean
4.80
$
Million
(
1990$)

WTP:
Non­
Fatal
Cases
­
Non­
Fatal
Lymphoma
Percent
of
VSL
58.3%

Simulation
Mean
2.80
$
Million
(
1990$)

WTP:
Non­
Fatal
Cases
­
Chronic
Bronchitis
Dist.
Type
Lognormal
Parameters
Mean:
$
587,500
Median:
$
535,600
Std
Dev:
$
264,826
Max:
$
1,500,000
Simulation
Mean
0.58
$
Million
(
1998$)

Point
Estimate
93,927
$
(
1996$)
Morbidity
Increment
Source:
Cost
of
Illness
Handbook
(
USEPA,
1999a)
Source:
Percent
of
VSL
derived
as
ratio
of
median
risk
tradeoff
values
reported
in
Magat
et
al.
(
1996)

Source:
Stage
1
DBPR
RIA
(
USEPA,
1998a),
as
derived
from
Viscusi
et
al.
(
1991)
Exhibit
F.
1a
Description
of
Valuation
Parameters
Note:
Value
derived
as
a
forecast
based
on
the
VSL
distribution
above.

Note:
Distribution
correlated
to
the
VSL
distribution
in
the
Monte
Carlo
analysis.
VSL
Source:
Distribution
adapted
from
The
Benefits
and
Costs
of
the
Clean
Air
Act,
1970­
1990
(
USEPA,
1997b),
as
derived
from
Viscusi
et
al.
(
1991)

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
CPI
(
Annual
Average)
Percent
Change
Adjustment
Factor
(
1990
base)
Adjustment
Factor
(
1998
base)
CPI
(
Annual
Average)
Percent
Change
Adjustment
Factor
(
1996
base)
1990
130.7
­
1.00
0.80
162.8
­
0.71
1991
136.2
4.2%
1.04
0.84
177.0
8.7%
0.78
1992
140.3
3.0%
1.07
0.86
190.1
7.4%
0.83
1993
144.5
3.0%
1.11
0.89
201.4
5.9%
0.88
1994
148.2
2.6%
1.13
0.91
211.0
4.8%
0.92
1995
152.4
2.8%
1.17
0.93
220.5
4.5%
0.97
1996
156.9
3.0%
1.20
0.96
228.2
3.5%
1.00
1997
160.5
2.3%
1.23
0.98
234.6
2.8%
1.03
1998
163.0
1.6%
1.25
1.00
242.1
3.2%
1.06
1999
166.6
2.2%
1.27
1.02
250.6
3.5%
1.10
2000
172.2
3.4%
1.32
1.06
260.8
4.1%
1.14
2001
177.1
2.9%
1.36
1.09
272.8
4.6%
1.20
Notes:

Source:
CPI
­
Medical
Care
1990­
2001
CPI
values
from
Bureau
of
Labor
Statistics.
Year
Exhibit
F.
1b
CPI
Projections
CPI
­
All
Items
1990
base
factors
(
all
items)
used
to
update
VSL
and
non­
fatal
lymphoma
WTP
values.

1998
base
factors
(
all
items)
used
to
update
chronic
bronchitis
WTP
values
(
used
in
sensitivity
analysis
only).

1996
base
factors
(
medical
care)
used
to
update
morbidity
increment
values.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Central
Estimate
0.40
Low
End
0.08
High
End
1.00
Dist.
Type
Triangular
Distribution
Mean
0.49
Central
Estimate
0.45
Low
End
0.25
High
End
0.60
Dist.
Type
Triangular
Distribution
Mean
0.43
Exhibit
F.
1c
Description
of
Elasticity
Parameters
Source:
Kleckner
and
Neumann
(
2000)
Note:
Distributions
are
correlated
in
the
Monte
Carlo
analysis.
Income
Elasticity
­
Fatal
Cancer
Cases
Income
Elasticity
­
Non­
Fatal
Cancer
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Estimates/
Projections
(
Thousands)
Percent
Change
Projection
(
Billions
Chained
1996$)
Percent
Change
Projection
(
Thousands
1996$)
Percent
Change
1990
249,439
­
6,707.9
­
26,892
­
1991
252,127
1.1%
6,676.4
­
0.5%
26,480
­
1.5%
1992
254,995
1.1%
6,880.0
3.0%
26,981
1.9%
1993
257,746
1.1%
7,062.6
2.7%
27,401
1.6%
1994
260,289
1.0%
7,347.7
4.0%
28,229
3.0%
1995
262,765
1.0%
7,543.8
2.7%
28,709
1.7%
1996
265,190
0.9%
7,813.2
3.6%
29,463
2.6%
1997
267,744
1.0%
8,159.5
4.4%
30,475
3.4%
1998
270,299
1.0%
8,508.9
4.3%
31,480
3.3%
1999
272,820
0.9%
8,856.5
4.1%
32,463
3.1%
2000
275,306
0.9%
9,224.0
4.1%
33,505
3.2%
2001
277,803
0.9%
9,316.2
1.0%
33,535
0.1%
2002
280,306
0.9%
9,390.8
0.8%
33,502
­
0.1%
2003
282,798
0.9%
9,775.8
4.1%
34,568
3.2%
2004
285,266
0.9%
10,098.4
3.3%
35,400
2.4%
2005
287,716
0.9%
10,431.6
3.3%
36,257
2.4%
2006
290,153
0.8%
10,775.9
3.3%
37,139
2.4%
2007
292,583
0.8%
11,131.5
3.3%
38,046
2.4%
2008
295,009
0.8%
11,476.6
3.1%
38,902
2.3%
2009
297,436
0.8%
11,832.3
3.1%
39,781
2.3%
2010
299,862
0.8%
12,199.1
3.1%
40,683
2.3%
2011
302,300
0.8%
12,577.3
3.1%
41,605
2.3%
2012
304,764
0.8%
12,967.2
3.1%
42,548
2.3%
2013
307,250
0.8%
13,369.2
3.1%
43,512
2.3%
2014
309,753
0.8%
13,783.6
3.1%
44,499
2.3%
2015
312,268
0.8%
14,210.9
3.1%
45,509
2.3%
2016
314,793
0.8%
14,651.5
3.1%
46,543
2.3%
2017
317,325
0.8%
15,105.7
3.1%
47,603
2.3%
2018
319,860
0.8%
15,573.9
3.1%
48,690
2.3%
2019
322,395
0.8%
16,056.7
3.1%
49,805
2.3%
2020
324,927
0.8%
16,554.5
3.1%
50,948
2.3%
2021
327,468
0.8%
17,067.7
3.1%
52,120
2.3%
2022
330,028
0.8%
17,596.8
3.1%
53,319
2.3%
2023
332,607
0.8%
18,142.3
3.1%
54,546
2.3%
2024
335,202
0.8%
18,704.7
3.1%
55,801
2.3%
2025
337,815
0.8%
19,284.5
3.1%
57,086
2.3%
2026
340,441
0.8%
19,882.4
3.1%
58,402
2.3%
2027
343,078
0.8%
20,498.7
3.1%
59,749
2.3%

Source:
Exhibit
F.
1d
Population,
GDP,
and
Per
Capita
Income
Projections
1990­
2000
real
GDP
from
Bureau
of
Economic
Analysis,
all
other
years
calculated
based
on
percent
change
projections
from
Congressional
Budget
Office
(
January
23,
2002).
Projections
for
years
beyond
2012
based
on
percent
change
reported
for
2012
due
to
lack
of
other
data.

Income
(
Real
GDP
per
Capita)=
Real
GDP/
Population
Year
Population
projections
from
US
Census
Bureau
(
NP­
T1:
Middle
Series).
Population
Real
GDP
Income
(
Real
GDP
per
Capita)

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
2003
1.133
1.126
1.052
1.232
1.115
1.115
1.080
1.147
1.041
1.042
1.029
1.053
2004
1.146
1.139
1.057
1.257
1.126
1.127
1.088
1.162
1.052
1.053
1.037
1.066
2005
1.160
1.151
1.062
1.282
1.138
1.139
1.096
1.177
1.063
1.064
1.045
1.081
2006
1.174
1.164
1.067
1.308
1.149
1.150
1.104
1.193
1.074
1.075
1.052
1.095
2007
1.188
1.178
1.072
1.334
1.161
1.162
1.112
1.208
1.085
1.086
1.060
1.109
2008
1.201
1.190
1.076
1.359
1.172
1.173
1.120
1.223
1.096
1.097
1.067
1.123
2009
1.215
1.202
1.081
1.384
1.183
1.185
1.127
1.237
1.106
1.107
1.075
1.137
2010
1.228
1.215
1.086
1.410
1.195
1.196
1.135
1.252
1.117
1.118
1.082
1.150
2011
1.242
1.227
1.090
1.436
1.206
1.207
1.142
1.267
1.128
1.129
1.090
1.165
2012
1.256
1.240
1.095
1.463
1.217
1.219
1.150
1.282
1.139
1.140
1.097
1.179
2013
1.270
1.252
1.100
1.490
1.229
1.230
1.157
1.298
1.150
1.151
1.104
1.193
2014
1.284
1.265
1.104
1.518
1.240
1.242
1.165
1.313
1.161
1.162
1.112
1.208
2015
1.298
1.278
1.109
1.546
1.252
1.253
1.173
1.329
1.172
1.173
1.119
1.222
2016
1.312
1.291
1.114
1.574
1.263
1.265
1.180
1.344
1.183
1.184
1.127
1.237
2017
1.327
1.304
1.118
1.604
1.275
1.277
1.188
1.360
1.194
1.196
1.135
1.252
2018
1.342
1.317
1.123
1.633
1.287
1.288
1.196
1.376
1.206
1.207
1.142
1.267
2019
1.357
1.330
1.128
1.663
1.299
1.300
1.203
1.392
1.217
1.219
1.150
1.282
2020
1.372
1.344
1.133
1.694
1.311
1.312
1.211
1.408
1.229
1.230
1.158
1.298
2021
1.387
1.357
1.137
1.726
1.323
1.324
1.219
1.425
1.240
1.242
1.165
1.313
2022
1.402
1.371
1.142
1.757
1.335
1.336
1.227
1.441
1.252
1.254
1.173
1.329
2023
1.418
1.384
1.147
1.790
1.347
1.349
1.235
1.458
1.264
1.265
1.181
1.345
2024
1.433
1.398
1.151
1.823
1.359
1.361
1.242
1.475
1.276
1.277
1.189
1.361
2025
1.449
1.412
1.156
1.856
1.371
1.373
1.250
1.492
1.288
1.289
1.196
1.377
2026
1.465
1.425
1.161
1.890
1.384
1.385
1.258
1.509
1.300
1.301
1.204
1.393
2027
1.481
1.439
1.165
1.925
1.396
1.397
1.266
1.526
1.312
1.313
1.212
1.410
Median
Value
Source:
Derived
using
elasticity
distributions
and
per
capita
GDP
projections
from
preceeding
Exhibits
F.
1c
and
F.
1d.
Note:
Income
elasticity
factors
calculated
as
[(
eI1
­
eI2
­
I2
­
I1)
/
(
eI2
­
eI1
­
I2
­
I1)];
where
e=
income
elasticity
of
WTP
estimate,
and
I=
income.
Year
Factors
for
Fatal
Cancer
Cases
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
1e
Factors
for
Incorporation
of
Income
Elasticity
into
Yearly
Benefits
Estimates
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Factors
for
Non­
Fatal
Lymphoma
Cases
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Factors
for
Chronic
Bronchitis
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Morbidity
Increment
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
0.1
$
7.2
$
6.2
$
1.1
$
16.4
$
4.2
$
3.6
$
0.6
$
9.6
$
0.7
$
0.7
$
0.3
$
1.3
$

2004
0.1
$
7.2
$
6.3
$
1.1
$
16.6
$
4.2
$
3.7
$
0.7
$
9.7
$
0.7
$
0.7
$
0.3
$
1.4
$

2005
0.1
$
7.3
$
6.4
$
1.1
$
16.8
$
4.3
$
3.7
$
0.7
$
9.8
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.3
$
1.4
$

2006
0.1
$
7.4
$
6.4
$
1.1
$
17.0
$
4.3
$
3.8
$
0.7
$
9.9
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.3
$
1.4
$

2007
0.1
$
7.5
$
6.5
$
1.2
$
17.2
$
4.4
$
3.8
$
0.7
$
10.0
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.3
$
1.4
$

2008
0.1
$
7.6
$
6.6
$
1.2
$
17.4
$
4.4
$
3.8
$
0.7
$
10.1
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.4
$
1.4
$

2009
0.1
$
7.7
$
6.7
$
1.2
$
17.6
$
4.5
$
3.9
$
0.7
$
10.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.4
$
1.4
$

2010
0.1
$
7.8
$
6.7
$
1.2
$
17.8
$
4.5
$
3.9
$
0.7
$
10.4
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.4
$
1.4
$

2011
0.1
$
7.8
$
6.8
$
1.2
$
18.0
$
4.6
$
4.0
$
0.7
$
10.5
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.4
$
1.5
$

2012
0.1
$
7.9
$
6.9
$
1.2
$
18.2
$
4.6
$
4.0
$
0.7
$
10.6
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.4
$
1.5
$

2013
0.1
$
8.0
$
7.0
$
1.2
$
18.4
$
4.7
$
4.1
$
0.7
$
10.7
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.4
$
1.5
$

2014
0.1
$
8.1
$
7.1
$
1.3
$
18.6
$
4.7
$
4.1
$
0.7
$
10.8
$
0.8
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.5
$

2015
0.1
$
8.2
$
7.1
$
1.3
$
18.8
$
4.8
$
4.2
$
0.7
$
11.0
$
0.8
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.5
$

2016
0.1
$
8.3
$
7.2
$
1.3
$
19.0
$
4.8
$
4.2
$
0.7
$
11.1
$
0.8
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.5
$

2017
0.1
$
8.4
$
7.3
$
1.3
$
19.2
$
4.9
$
4.3
$
0.8
$
11.2
$
0.8
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.5
$

2018
0.1
$
8.5
$
7.4
$
1.3
$
19.4
$
4.9
$
4.3
$
0.8
$
11.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.6
$

2019
0.1
$
8.6
$
7.5
$
1.3
$
19.6
$
5.0
$
4.3
$
0.8
$
11.5
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.6
$

2020
0.1
$
8.7
$
7.5
$
1.3
$
19.9
$
5.1
$
4.4
$
0.8
$
11.6
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.6
$

2021
0.1
$
8.8
$
7.6
$
1.4
$
20.1
$
5.1
$
4.4
$
0.8
$
11.7
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.6
$

2022
0.1
$
8.9
$
7.7
$
1.4
$
20.3
$
5.2
$
4.5
$
0.8
$
11.8
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.6
$

2023
0.1
$
9.0
$
7.8
$
1.4
$
20.5
$
5.2
$
4.5
$
0.8
$
12.0
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.6
$

2024
0.1
$
9.1
$
7.9
$
1.4
$
20.8
$
5.3
$
4.6
$
0.8
$
12.1
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.7
$

2025
0.1
$
9.2
$
8.0
$
1.4
$
21.0
$
5.3
$
4.6
$
0.8
$
12.2
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.7
$

2026
0.1
$
9.3
$
8.0
$
1.4
$
21.2
$
5.4
$
4.7
$
0.8
$
12.4
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.7
$

2027
0.1
$
9.4
$
8.1
$
1.4
$
21.4
$
5.5
$
4.7
$
0.8
$
12.5
$
0.9
$
0.9
$
0.4
$
1.7
$

Notes:

Source:
Values
derived
based
on
valuation
distributions
and
inflation
(
CPI)
and
income
elasticity
factors
from
Exhibits
F.
1a,
F.
1b,
and
F.
1e.
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Exhibit
F.
1f
Value
of
VSL,
WTP,
and
Morbidity
Increment
by
Year
VSL
Fatal
Cancer
Cases
WTP
­
Chronic
Bronchitis
WTP
­
Non­
Fatal
Lymphoma
Year
Point
Estimate
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cancer
Cases
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
F.
2
Model
Outputs
­
Preferred
Alternative
TTHM
as
Indicator
Lymphoma
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$

2007
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$

2008
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$

2009
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$

2010
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$

2011
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$

2012
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$

2013
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$

2014
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$

2015
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$

2016
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$

2017
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$

2018
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$

2019
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$

2020
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$

2021
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$

2022
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$

2023
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$

2024
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$

2025
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$

2026
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$

2027
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$

Total
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.4
$
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.6
$
3.9
$
3.4
$
0.6
$
9.0
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17b,
and
E.
17e.
Exhibit
F.
2a
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
Surface
Water
Systems
Serving
<
100
People)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$

2007
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$

2008
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$

2009
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$

2010
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$

2011
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$

2012
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
1.0
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.2
$

2013
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$

2014
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.9
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$

2015
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.1
$
1.4
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.3
$

2016
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.2
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.5
$

2017
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$

2018
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.7
$

2019
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.4
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.8
$

2020
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.5
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.9
$

2021
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.5
$
1.8
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
4.0
$

2022
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.1
$

2023
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.2
$

2024
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.7
$
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.3
$

2025
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.7
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.4
$

2026
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.4
$

2027
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.5
$

Total
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.7
$
3.3
$
2.9
$
0.5
$
7.5
$
10.9
$
9.5
$
1.8
$
24.7
$
17.8
$
15.5
$
2.8
$
40.8
$
28.6
$
24.9
$
4.5
$
65.5
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17b,
and
E.
17e.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
2b
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
Surface
Water
Systems
Serving
101­
500
People)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$

2007
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$

2008
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$

2009
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.9
$

2010
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.5
$

2011
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
0.9
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
2.0
$
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.2
$

2012
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.4
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.8
$

2013
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.6
$

2014
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.0
$
1.4
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.3
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.3
$

2015
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
1.0
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.2
$
3.6
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.7
$

2016
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.8
$
2.6
$
2.3
$
0.4
$
6.0
$

2017
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.4
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.9
$
2.8
$
2.4
$
0.4
$
6.3
$

2018
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.5
$
1.8
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
4.0
$
2.8
$
2.5
$
0.5
$
6.5
$

2019
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.5
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.2
$
2.9
$
2.5
$
0.5
$
6.7
$

2020
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.3
$
3.0
$
2.6
$
0.5
$
6.9
$

2021
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.4
$
3.1
$
2.7
$
0.5
$
7.0
$

2022
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.7
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.5
$
3.1
$
2.7
$
0.5
$
7.2
$

2023
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.5
$
3.2
$
2.8
$
0.5
$
7.3
$

2024
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.6
$
3.3
$
2.8
$
0.5
$
7.4
$

2025
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.9
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.7
$
3.3
$
2.9
$
0.5
$
7.6
$

2026
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.9
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.8
$
3.4
$
2.9
$
0.5
$
7.7
$

2027
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.9
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.9
$
3.4
$
3.0
$
0.5
$
7.8
$

Total
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
4.9
$
3.5
$
3.1
$
0.5
$
8.1
$
5.7
$
5.0
$
0.9
$
13.0
$
18.9
$
16.4
$
3.1
$
42.9
$
30.9
$
26.9
$
4.8
$
70.8
$
49.8
$
43.3
$
7.9
$
113.7
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17b,
and
E.
17e.
(
Surface
Water
Systems
Serving
501­
1,000
People)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
2c
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$

2007
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.7
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.4
$

2008
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.6
$
3.3
$
2.8
$
0.5
$
7.4
$

2009
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.1
$
2.9
$
2.5
$
0.5
$
6.7
$
4.7
$
4.1
$
0.8
$
10.8
$

2010
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.4
$
3.9
$
3.4
$
0.6
$
8.9
$
6.3
$
5.5
$
1.0
$
14.4
$

2011
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.1
$
3.0
$
2.6
$
0.5
$
6.8
$
4.9
$
4.3
$
0.8
$
11.3
$
7.9
$
6.9
$
1.3
$
18.1
$

2012
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.5
$
3.7
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.4
$
6.0
$
5.2
$
0.9
$
13.8
$
9.7
$
8.4
$
1.5
$
22.1
$

2013
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.9
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
3.0
$
4.4
$
3.8
$
0.7
$
9.9
$
7.1
$
6.2
$
1.1
$
16.4
$
11.5
$
10.0
$
1.8
$
26.3
$

2014
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
1.0
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.2
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.5
$
5.1
$
4.4
$
0.8
$
11.5
$
8.3
$
7.2
$
1.3
$
19.0
$
13.4
$
11.6
$
2.1
$
30.6
$

2015
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.4
$
1.7
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.8
$
5.5
$
4.8
$
0.9
$
12.5
$
9.0
$
7.8
$
1.4
$
20.6
$
14.5
$
12.6
$
2.3
$
33.0
$

2016
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.5
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
4.0
$
5.8
$
5.0
$
1.0
$
13.1
$
9.5
$
8.2
$
1.5
$
21.7
$
15.2
$
13.2
$
2.4
$
34.8
$

2017
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.1
$
6.0
$
5.2
$
1.0
$
13.7
$
9.8
$
8.5
$
1.5
$
22.5
$
15.8
$
13.8
$
2.5
$
36.2
$

2018
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.7
$
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.3
$
6.2
$
5.4
$
1.0
$
14.1
$
10.2
$
8.8
$
1.6
$
23.3
$
16.4
$
14.2
$
2.6
$
37.4
$

2019
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.7
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.4
$
6.4
$
5.6
$
1.1
$
14.5
$
10.5
$
9.1
$
1.6
$
23.9
$
16.8
$
14.6
$
2.7
$
38.5
$

2020
0.7
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.5
$
6.5
$
5.7
$
1.1
$
14.9
$
10.7
$
9.3
$
1.7
$
24.6
$
17.3
$
15.0
$
2.7
$
39.4
$

2021
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.9
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.6
$
6.7
$
5.8
$
1.1
$
15.2
$
11.0
$
9.5
$
1.7
$
25.1
$
17.6
$
15.3
$
2.8
$
40.3
$

2022
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.9
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.7
$
6.8
$
5.9
$
1.1
$
15.5
$
11.2
$
9.7
$
1.7
$
25.6
$
18.0
$
15.7
$
2.9
$
41.2
$

2023
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
3.0
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.8
$
7.0
$
6.1
$
1.1
$
15.8
$
11.4
$
9.9
$
1.8
$
26.1
$
18.4
$
16.0
$
2.9
$
42.0
$

2024
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
2.1
$
1.9
$
0.3
$
4.9
$
7.1
$
6.2
$
1.2
$
16.1
$
11.6
$
10.1
$
1.8
$
26.6
$
18.7
$
16.3
$
3.0
$
42.8
$

2025
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.9
$
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.3
$
5.0
$
7.2
$
6.3
$
1.2
$
16.4
$
11.8
$
10.3
$
1.8
$
27.1
$
19.0
$
16.6
$
3.0
$
43.5
$

2026
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.9
$
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.2
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
5.1
$
7.3
$
6.4
$
1.2
$
16.7
$
12.0
$
10.5
$
1.9
$
27.6
$
19.4
$
16.8
$
3.1
$
44.2
$

2027
0.9
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.9
$
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.2
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.2
$
7.4
$
6.5
$
1.2
$
17.0
$
12.2
$
10.6
$
1.9
$
28.0
$
19.7
$
17.1
$
3.1
$
45.0
$

Total
12.4
$
10.8
$
2.1
$
28.3
$
20.4
$
17.7
$
3.2
$
46.7
$
32.8
$
28.5
$
5.2
$
75.0
$
108.5
$
94.5
$
17.9
$
246.8
$
177.8
$
154.5
$
27.5
$
407.3
$
286.3
$
249.0
$
45.5
$
654.1
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17b,
and
E.
17e.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
2d
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
Surface
Water
Systems
Serving
1,001­
3,300
People)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.9
$
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
5.0
$

2007
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.6
$
3.3
$
2.9
$
0.5
$
7.5
$
5.3
$
4.6
$
0.8
$
12.1
$

2008
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$
3.4
$
3.0
$
0.6
$
7.7
$
5.5
$
4.8
$
0.9
$
12.7
$
8.9
$
7.8
$
1.4
$
20.4
$

2009
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.1
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.4
$
4.9
$
4.3
$
0.8
$
11.2
$
8.0
$
7.0
$
1.2
$
18.4
$
13.0
$
11.3
$
2.1
$
29.6
$

2010
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.5
$
6.5
$
5.7
$
1.1
$
14.9
$
10.7
$
9.3
$
1.7
$
24.6
$
17.3
$
15.0
$
2.7
$
39.5
$

2011
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
1.6
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.6
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.7
$
8.3
$
7.2
$
1.4
$
18.8
$
13.6
$
11.8
$
2.1
$
31.1
$
21.8
$
19.0
$
3.5
$
49.9
$

2012
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.3
$
3.1
$
2.7
$
0.5
$
7.0
$
10.1
$
8.8
$
1.7
$
23.0
$
16.5
$
14.4
$
2.6
$
37.9
$
26.6
$
23.2
$
4.2
$
60.8
$

2013
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
2.2
$
2.0
$
0.3
$
5.2
$
3.6
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.3
$
12.0
$
10.4
$
2.0
$
27.3
$
19.6
$
17.1
$
3.0
$
45.0
$
31.6
$
27.5
$
5.0
$
72.2
$

2014
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
2.6
$
2.3
$
0.4
$
6.0
$
4.2
$
3.7
$
0.7
$
9.6
$
14.0
$
12.2
$
2.3
$
31.7
$
22.8
$
19.9
$
3.5
$
52.4
$
36.8
$
32.0
$
5.9
$
84.1
$

2015
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.9
$
2.8
$
2.5
$
0.4
$
6.5
$
4.6
$
4.0
$
0.7
$
10.4
$
15.1
$
13.1
$
2.5
$
34.3
$
24.7
$
21.4
$
3.8
$
56.5
$
39.7
$
34.6
$
6.3
$
90.8
$

2016
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.1
$
3.0
$
2.6
$
0.5
$
6.8
$
4.8
$
4.2
$
0.8
$
11.0
$
15.9
$
13.8
$
2.6
$
36.1
$
26.0
$
22.6
$
4.0
$
59.5
$
41.8
$
36.4
$
6.7
$
95.6
$

2017
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.3
$
3.1
$
2.7
$
0.5
$
7.1
$
5.0
$
4.3
$
0.8
$
11.4
$
16.5
$
14.4
$
2.7
$
37.5
$
27.0
$
23.5
$
4.2
$
61.9
$
43.5
$
37.9
$
6.9
$
99.5
$

2018
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.4
$
3.2
$
2.8
$
0.5
$
7.3
$
5.2
$
4.5
$
0.8
$
11.8
$
17.1
$
14.8
$
2.8
$
38.8
$
27.9
$
24.3
$
4.3
$
64.0
$
45.0
$
39.1
$
7.1
$
102.8
$

2019
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.6
$
3.3
$
2.9
$
0.5
$
7.5
$
5.3
$
4.6
$
0.8
$
12.1
$
17.5
$
15.3
$
2.9
$
39.9
$
28.7
$
25.0
$
4.4
$
65.8
$
46.3
$
40.2
$
7.3
$
105.7
$

2020
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.7
$
3.4
$
2.9
$
0.5
$
7.7
$
5.4
$
4.7
$
0.9
$
12.4
$
18.0
$
15.7
$
3.0
$
40.9
$
29.5
$
25.6
$
4.6
$
67.5
$
47.4
$
41.3
$
7.5
$
108.4
$

2021
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.8
$
3.5
$
3.0
$
0.5
$
7.9
$
5.6
$
4.8
$
0.9
$
12.7
$
18.4
$
16.0
$
3.0
$
41.8
$
30.1
$
26.2
$
4.7
$
69.0
$
48.5
$
42.2
$
7.7
$
110.9
$

2022
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
4.9
$
3.5
$
3.1
$
0.5
$
8.1
$
5.7
$
4.9
$
0.9
$
13.0
$
18.8
$
16.3
$
3.1
$
42.7
$
30.8
$
26.7
$
4.8
$
70.5
$
49.5
$
43.1
$
7.9
$
113.2
$

2023
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
5.0
$
3.6
$
3.1
$
0.6
$
8.2
$
5.8
$
5.0
$
0.9
$
13.2
$
19.1
$
16.7
$
3.2
$
43.5
$
31.4
$
27.3
$
4.9
$
71.9
$
50.5
$
43.9
$
8.0
$
115.4
$

2024
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
5.1
$
3.7
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.4
$
5.9
$
5.1
$
0.9
$
13.5
$
19.5
$
17.0
$
3.2
$
44.3
$
32.0
$
27.8
$
4.9
$
73.2
$
51.4
$
44.7
$
8.2
$
117.5
$

2025
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.2
$
3.7
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.5
$
6.0
$
5.2
$
1.0
$
13.7
$
19.8
$
17.3
$
3.3
$
45.1
$
32.5
$
28.3
$
5.0
$
74.5
$
52.3
$
45.5
$
8.3
$
119.6
$

2026
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.3
$
3.8
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.7
$
6.1
$
5.3
$
1.0
$
13.9
$
20.2
$
17.5
$
3.3
$
45.9
$
33.1
$
28.7
$
5.1
$
75.7
$
53.2
$
46.3
$
8.4
$
121.6
$

2027
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.3
$
3.8
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.8
$
6.2
$
5.4
$
1.0
$
14.2
$
20.5
$
17.8
$
3.4
$
46.6
$
33.6
$
29.2
$
5.2
$
77.0
$
54.1
$
47.0
$
8.6
$
123.6
$

Total
34.2
$
29.8
$
5.6
$
77.7
$
56.0
$
48.7
$
8.7
$
128.3
$
90.2
$
78.4
$
14.3
$
206.1
$
298.2
$
259.7
$
49.3
$
678.5
$
488.7
$
424.8
$
75.7
$
1,119.8
$
787.0
$
684.5
$
125.0
$
1,798.3
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17b,
and
E.
17e.
(
Surface
Water
Systems
Serving
3,301­
10,000
People)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
2e
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
1.0
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
5.2
$
4.5
$
0.9
$
11.8
$
8.5
$
7.4
$
1.3
$
19.5
$
13.7
$
11.9
$
2.2
$
31.3
$

2007
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.3
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.4
$
3.8
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.6
$
12.5
$
10.9
$
2.1
$
28.5
$
20.5
$
17.8
$
3.2
$
46.9
$
33.0
$
28.7
$
5.3
$
75.4
$

2008
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.5
$
4.0
$
3.4
$
0.6
$
9.1
$
6.4
$
5.5
$
1.0
$
14.6
$
21.1
$
18.4
$
3.5
$
48.0
$
34.5
$
30.0
$
5.3
$
79.1
$
55.6
$
48.4
$
8.9
$
127.1
$

2009
3.5
$
3.1
$
0.6
$
8.0
$
5.7
$
5.0
$
0.9
$
13.1
$
9.2
$
8.0
$
1.5
$
21.1
$
30.6
$
26.6
$
5.1
$
69.5
$
50.0
$
43.5
$
7.7
$
114.6
$
80.6
$
70.1
$
12.8
$
184.1
$

2010
4.7
$
4.1
$
0.8
$
10.6
$
7.6
$
6.6
$
1.2
$
17.5
$
12.3
$
10.7
$
2.0
$
28.1
$
40.7
$
35.5
$
6.8
$
92.6
$
66.7
$
58.0
$
10.3
$
152.8
$
107.4
$
93.4
$
17.1
$
245.4
$

2011
5.9
$
5.1
$
1.0
$
13.4
$
9.7
$
8.4
$
1.5
$
22.1
$
15.6
$
13.5
$
2.5
$
35.6
$
51.5
$
44.9
$
8.6
$
117.1
$
84.3
$
73.3
$
13.1
$
193.2
$
135.8
$
118.1
$
21.6
$
310.3
$

2012
6.6
$
5.7
$
1.1
$
14.9
$
10.7
$
9.3
$
1.7
$
24.6
$
17.3
$
15.0
$
2.8
$
39.5
$
57.2
$
49.9
$
9.5
$
130.2
$
93.7
$
81.5
$
14.5
$
214.7
$
151.0
$
131.3
$
24.0
$
344.9
$

2013
7.0
$
6.1
$
1.2
$
15.9
$
11.5
$
10.0
$
1.8
$
26.3
$
18.5
$
16.1
$
2.9
$
42.3
$
61.2
$
53.3
$
10.2
$
139.2
$
100.2
$
87.1
$
15.5
$
229.6
$
161.4
$
140.4
$
25.7
$
368.8
$

2014
7.4
$
6.4
$
1.2
$
16.7
$
12.1
$
10.5
$
1.9
$
27.6
$
19.4
$
16.9
$
3.1
$
44.4
$
64.3
$
56.0
$
10.7
$
146.1
$
105.2
$
91.5
$
16.3
$
241.1
$
169.5
$
147.4
$
27.0
$
387.3
$

2015
7.7
$
6.7
$
1.3
$
17.4
$
12.5
$
10.9
$
1.9
$
28.7
$
20.2
$
17.6
$
3.2
$
46.1
$
66.8
$
58.2
$
11.1
$
151.9
$
109.4
$
95.1
$
16.9
$
250.6
$
176.2
$
153.3
$
28.0
$
402.6
$

2016
7.9
$
6.9
$
1.3
$
18.0
$
12.9
$
11.3
$
2.0
$
29.7
$
20.9
$
18.1
$
3.3
$
47.6
$
69.0
$
60.1
$
11.4
$
156.9
$
113.0
$
98.2
$
17.5
$
258.9
$
182.0
$
158.3
$
28.9
$
415.8
$

2017
8.1
$
7.1
$
1.3
$
18.5
$
13.3
$
11.6
$
2.1
$
30.5
$
21.4
$
18.7
$
3.4
$
49.0
$
70.9
$
61.8
$
11.7
$
161.4
$
116.2
$
101.0
$
18.0
$
266.3
$
187.2
$
162.8
$
29.7
$
427.7
$

2018
8.3
$
7.3
$
1.4
$
19.0
$
13.7
$
11.9
$
2.1
$
31.3
$
22.0
$
19.1
$
3.5
$
50.2
$
72.7
$
63.3
$
12.0
$
165.5
$
119.2
$
103.6
$
18.5
$
273.0
$
191.9
$
166.9
$
30.5
$
438.5
$

2019
8.5
$
7.4
$
1.4
$
19.4
$
14.0
$
12.1
$
2.2
$
32.0
$
22.5
$
19.6
$
3.6
$
51.4
$
74.4
$
64.8
$
12.3
$
169.3
$
121.9
$
106.0
$
18.9
$
279.3
$
196.3
$
170.8
$
31.2
$
448.6
$

2020
8.7
$
7.6
$
1.4
$
19.8
$
14.3
$
12.4
$
2.2
$
32.7
$
23.0
$
20.0
$
3.6
$
52.5
$
76.0
$
66.2
$
12.5
$
172.9
$
124.5
$
108.2
$
19.3
$
285.3
$
200.5
$
174.4
$
31.8
$
458.1
$

2021
8.9
$
7.7
$
1.5
$
20.2
$
14.6
$
12.6
$
2.3
$
33.3
$
23.4
$
20.4
$
3.7
$
53.5
$
77.5
$
67.5
$
12.8
$
176.3
$
127.0
$
110.4
$
19.7
$
290.9
$
204.5
$
177.8
$
32.4
$
467.2
$

2022
9.0
$
7.9
$
1.5
$
20.6
$
14.8
$
12.9
$
2.3
$
34.0
$
23.9
$
20.8
$
3.8
$
54.5
$
78.9
$
68.7
$
13.0
$
179.6
$
129.4
$
112.4
$
20.0
$
296.4
$
208.3
$
181.1
$
33.0
$
476.0
$

2023
9.2
$
8.0
$
1.5
$
20.9
$
15.1
$
13.1
$
2.3
$
34.6
$
24.3
$
21.1
$
3.9
$
55.5
$
80.3
$
69.9
$
13.2
$
182.7
$
131.7
$
114.4
$
20.4
$
301.7
$
212.0
$
184.4
$
33.6
$
484.4
$

2024
9.4
$
8.1
$
1.5
$
21.3
$
15.3
$
13.3
$
2.4
$
35.2
$
24.7
$
21.5
$
3.9
$
56.4
$
81.7
$
71.1
$
13.5
$
185.8
$
133.9
$
116.4
$
20.7
$
306.8
$
215.5
$
187.5
$
34.2
$
492.6
$

2025
9.5
$
8.3
$
1.6
$
21.6
$
15.6
$
13.6
$
2.4
$
35.7
$
25.1
$
21.8
$
4.0
$
57.4
$
83.0
$
72.2
$
13.7
$
188.9
$
136.1
$
118.3
$
21.1
$
311.8
$
219.1
$
190.5
$
34.7
$
500.7
$

2026
9.7
$
8.4
$
1.6
$
22.0
$
15.8
$
13.8
$
2.5
$
36.3
$
25.5
$
22.2
$
4.0
$
58.3
$
84.3
$
73.4
$
13.9
$
191.8
$
138.2
$
120.1
$
21.4
$
316.7
$
222.5
$
193.5
$
35.3
$
508.6
$

2027
9.8
$
8.5
$
1.6
$
22.3
$
16.1
$
14.0
$
2.5
$
36.8
$
25.9
$
22.5
$
4.1
$
59.2
$
85.6
$
74.5
$
14.1
$
194.8
$
140.3
$
122.0
$
21.7
$
321.6
$
225.9
$
196.5
$
35.8
$
516.3
$

Total
154.1
$
134.2
$
25.5
$
350.7
$
252.6
$
219.6
$
39.1
$
578.7
$
406.7
$
353.8
$
64.6
$
929.4
$
1,345.3
$
1,171.5
$
222.4
$
3,060.7
$
2,204.5
$
1,916.1
$
341.3
$
5,050.9
$
3,549.8
$
3,087.6
$
563.7
$
8,111.5
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17b,
and
E.
17e.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
2f
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
Surface
Water
Systems
Serving
10,001­
50,000
People)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.4
$
3.5
$
3.0
$
0.6
$
7.9
$
5.7
$
4.9
$
0.9
$
13.0
$
9.2
$
8.0
$
1.5
$
20.9
$

2007
1.0
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.2
$
3.6
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.8
$
8.4
$
7.3
$
1.4
$
19.0
$
13.7
$
11.9
$
2.1
$
31.4
$
22.1
$
19.2
$
3.5
$
50.4
$

2008
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.7
$
2.6
$
2.3
$
0.4
$
6.1
$
4.3
$
3.7
$
0.7
$
9.7
$
14.1
$
12.3
$
2.3
$
32.0
$
23.1
$
20.0
$
3.6
$
52.8
$
37.2
$
32.3
$
5.9
$
84.9
$

2009
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.3
$
3.8
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.8
$
6.2
$
5.4
$
1.0
$
14.1
$
20.4
$
17.8
$
3.4
$
46.4
$
33.4
$
29.0
$
5.2
$
76.6
$
53.8
$
46.8
$
8.6
$
123.0
$

2010
3.1
$
2.7
$
0.5
$
7.1
$
5.1
$
4.4
$
0.8
$
11.7
$
8.2
$
7.2
$
1.3
$
18.8
$
27.2
$
23.7
$
4.5
$
61.9
$
44.5
$
38.7
$
6.9
$
102.1
$
71.8
$
62.4
$
11.4
$
163.9
$

2011
3.9
$
3.4
$
0.7
$
9.0
$
6.5
$
5.6
$
1.0
$
14.8
$
10.4
$
9.0
$
1.7
$
23.8
$
34.4
$
30.0
$
5.7
$
78.2
$
56.3
$
49.0
$
8.7
$
129.1
$
90.7
$
78.9
$
14.4
$
207.3
$

2012
4.4
$
3.8
$
0.7
$
10.0
$
7.2
$
6.2
$
1.1
$
16.4
$
11.6
$
10.1
$
1.8
$
26.4
$
38.2
$
33.3
$
6.4
$
87.0
$
62.6
$
54.4
$
9.7
$
143.4
$
100.9
$
87.7
$
16.0
$
230.4
$

2013
4.7
$
4.1
$
0.8
$
10.7
$
7.7
$
6.7
$
1.2
$
17.6
$
12.4
$
10.7
$
2.0
$
28.2
$
40.9
$
35.6
$
6.8
$
93.0
$
66.9
$
58.2
$
10.4
$
153.4
$
107.8
$
93.8
$
17.2
$
246.4
$

2014
4.9
$
4.3
$
0.8
$
11.2
$
8.1
$
7.0
$
1.2
$
18.5
$
13.0
$
11.3
$
2.1
$
29.6
$
42.9
$
37.4
$
7.1
$
97.6
$
70.3
$
61.1
$
10.9
$
161.1
$
113.2
$
98.5
$
18.0
$
258.7
$

2015
5.1
$
4.5
$
0.8
$
11.6
$
8.4
$
7.3
$
1.3
$
19.2
$
13.5
$
11.7
$
2.1
$
30.8
$
44.6
$
38.9
$
7.4
$
101.5
$
73.1
$
63.5
$
11.3
$
167.5
$
117.7
$
102.4
$
18.7
$
268.9
$

2016
5.3
$
4.6
$
0.9
$
12.0
$
8.7
$
7.5
$
1.3
$
19.8
$
13.9
$
12.1
$
2.2
$
31.8
$
46.1
$
40.1
$
7.6
$
104.8
$
75.5
$
65.6
$
11.7
$
173.0
$
121.6
$
105.8
$
19.3
$
277.8
$

2017
5.4
$
4.7
$
0.9
$
12.4
$
8.9
$
7.7
$
1.4
$
20.4
$
14.3
$
12.5
$
2.3
$
32.7
$
47.4
$
41.3
$
7.8
$
107.8
$
77.6
$
67.5
$
12.0
$
177.9
$
125.0
$
108.8
$
19.9
$
285.7
$

2018
5.6
$
4.8
$
0.9
$
12.7
$
9.1
$
7.9
$
1.4
$
20.9
$
14.7
$
12.8
$
2.3
$
33.6
$
48.6
$
42.3
$
8.0
$
110.5
$
79.6
$
69.2
$
12.3
$
182.4
$
128.2
$
111.5
$
20.4
$
293.0
$

2019
5.7
$
5.0
$
0.9
$
13.0
$
9.3
$
8.1
$
1.4
$
21.4
$
15.0
$
13.1
$
2.4
$
34.3
$
49.7
$
43.3
$
8.2
$
113.1
$
81.5
$
70.8
$
12.6
$
186.6
$
131.2
$
114.1
$
20.8
$
299.7
$

2020
5.8
$
5.1
$
1.0
$
13.2
$
9.5
$
8.3
$
1.5
$
21.8
$
15.3
$
13.3
$
2.4
$
35.1
$
50.8
$
44.2
$
8.4
$
115.5
$
83.2
$
72.3
$
12.9
$
190.6
$
133.9
$
116.5
$
21.3
$
306.1
$

2021
5.9
$
5.2
$
1.0
$
13.5
$
9.7
$
8.4
$
1.5
$
22.3
$
15.7
$
13.6
$
2.5
$
35.8
$
51.8
$
45.1
$
8.5
$
117.8
$
84.8
$
73.7
$
13.1
$
194.4
$
136.6
$
118.8
$
21.7
$
312.1
$

2022
6.0
$
5.3
$
1.0
$
13.7
$
9.9
$
8.6
$
1.5
$
22.7
$
15.9
$
13.9
$
2.5
$
36.4
$
52.7
$
45.9
$
8.7
$
120.0
$
86.4
$
75.1
$
13.4
$
198.0
$
139.1
$
121.0
$
22.1
$
318.0
$

2023
6.1
$
5.4
$
1.0
$
14.0
$
10.1
$
8.8
$
1.6
$
23.1
$
16.2
$
14.1
$
2.6
$
37.1
$
53.6
$
46.7
$
8.8
$
122.1
$
88.0
$
76.5
$
13.6
$
201.5
$
141.6
$
123.2
$
22.5
$
323.6
$

2024
6.3
$
5.4
$
1.0
$
14.2
$
10.2
$
8.9
$
1.6
$
23.5
$
16.5
$
14.4
$
2.6
$
37.7
$
54.5
$
47.5
$
9.0
$
124.2
$
89.5
$
77.8
$
13.9
$
205.0
$
144.0
$
125.2
$
22.8
$
329.1
$

2025
6.4
$
5.5
$
1.0
$
14.5
$
10.4
$
9.1
$
1.6
$
23.9
$
16.8
$
14.6
$
2.7
$
38.3
$
55.4
$
48.3
$
9.1
$
126.2
$
90.9
$
79.0
$
14.1
$
208.3
$
146.3
$
127.3
$
23.2
$
334.5
$

2026
6.5
$
5.6
$
1.1
$
14.7
$
10.6
$
9.2
$
1.6
$
24.2
$
17.0
$
14.8
$
2.7
$
38.9
$
56.3
$
49.0
$
9.3
$
128.2
$
92.4
$
80.3
$
14.3
$
211.6
$
148.7
$
129.3
$
23.6
$
339.8
$

2027
6.5
$
5.7
$
1.1
$
14.9
$
10.7
$
9.3
$
1.7
$
24.6
$
17.3
$
15.0
$
2.7
$
39.5
$
57.2
$
49.8
$
9.4
$
130.1
$
93.8
$
81.5
$
14.5
$
214.8
$
150.9
$
131.3
$
23.9
$
344.9
$

Total
103.0
$
89.7
$
17.0
$
234.3
$
168.8
$
146.7
$
26.1
$
386.6
$
271.7
$
236.4
$
43.2
$
620.9
$
898.7
$
782.6
$
148.6
$
2,044.7
$
1,472.8
$
1,280.1
$
228.0
$
3,374.3
$
2,371.5
$
2,062.7
$
376.6
$
5,419.1
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17b,
and
E.
17e.
Exhibit
F.
2g
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
Surface
Water
Systems
Serving
50,001­
100,000
People)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
2.6
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.9
$
4.1
$
3.6
$
0.7
$
9.4
$
13.7
$
11.9
$
2.3
$
31.1
$
22.4
$
19.4
$
3.5
$
51.2
$
36.0
$
31.4
$
5.7
$
82.3
$

2007
3.8
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.6
$
6.2
$
5.4
$
1.0
$
14.1
$
9.9
$
8.7
$
1.6
$
22.7
$
32.9
$
28.7
$
5.5
$
74.9
$
53.9
$
46.8
$
8.3
$
123.5
$
86.8
$
75.5
$
13.8
$
198.3
$

2008
6.4
$
5.5
$
1.1
$
14.5
$
10.4
$
9.0
$
1.6
$
23.8
$
16.8
$
14.6
$
2.7
$
38.3
$
55.5
$
48.3
$
9.2
$
126.1
$
90.8
$
78.9
$
14.1
$
208.0
$
146.3
$
127.2
$
23.3
$
334.2
$

2009
9.2
$
8.0
$
1.5
$
20.9
$
15.1
$
13.1
$
2.3
$
34.5
$
24.3
$
21.1
$
3.9
$
55.5
$
80.4
$
70.0
$
13.4
$
182.8
$
131.6
$
114.3
$
20.4
$
301.4
$
212.0
$
184.4
$
33.8
$
484.2
$

2010
12.3
$
10.7
$
2.0
$
27.9
$
20.1
$
17.5
$
3.1
$
46.0
$
32.4
$
28.2
$
5.2
$
74.0
$
107.2
$
93.3
$
17.8
$
243.6
$
175.4
$
152.4
$
27.2
$
401.8
$
282.5
$
245.8
$
45.0
$
645.4
$

2011
15.5
$
13.5
$
2.6
$
35.3
$
25.4
$
22.1
$
3.9
$
58.2
$
40.9
$
35.6
$
6.5
$
93.5
$
135.5
$
118.0
$
22.5
$
308.0
$
221.8
$
192.7
$
34.3
$
508.1
$
357.2
$
310.7
$
56.9
$
816.1
$

2012
17.3
$
15.0
$
2.9
$
39.2
$
28.2
$
24.5
$
4.4
$
64.7
$
45.5
$
39.6
$
7.2
$
103.9
$
150.6
$
131.1
$
25.0
$
342.4
$
246.5
$
214.2
$
38.2
$
564.8
$
397.1
$
345.4
$
63.2
$
907.1
$

2013
18.4
$
16.1
$
3.1
$
41.9
$
30.2
$
26.2
$
4.7
$
69.2
$
48.6
$
42.3
$
7.7
$
111.1
$
161.0
$
140.2
$
26.7
$
366.1
$
263.6
$
229.1
$
40.8
$
603.9
$
424.5
$
369.3
$
67.5
$
969.9
$

2014
19.4
$
16.9
$
3.2
$
44.0
$
31.7
$
27.6
$
4.9
$
72.7
$
51.1
$
44.4
$
8.1
$
116.7
$
169.0
$
147.2
$
28.0
$
384.4
$
276.8
$
240.6
$
42.9
$
634.2
$
445.8
$
387.8
$
70.9
$
1,018.5
$

2015
20.1
$
17.5
$
3.3
$
45.8
$
33.0
$
28.7
$
5.1
$
75.5
$
53.1
$
46.2
$
8.4
$
121.3
$
175.7
$
153.0
$
29.1
$
399.6
$
287.7
$
250.1
$
44.5
$
659.3
$
463.4
$
403.1
$
73.7
$
1,058.8
$

2016
20.8
$
18.1
$
3.4
$
47.3
$
34.1
$
29.6
$
5.3
$
78.0
$
54.8
$
47.7
$
8.7
$
125.3
$
181.4
$
158.0
$
30.1
$
412.7
$
297.2
$
258.3
$
46.0
$
681.0
$
478.7
$
416.4
$
76.1
$
1,093.7
$

2017
21.4
$
18.6
$
3.5
$
48.6
$
35.0
$
30.4
$
5.4
$
80.3
$
56.4
$
49.1
$
9.0
$
128.9
$
186.6
$
162.5
$
30.9
$
424.5
$
305.7
$
265.7
$
47.3
$
700.4
$
492.3
$
428.2
$
78.2
$
1,124.9
$

2018
21.9
$
19.1
$
3.6
$
49.9
$
35.9
$
31.2
$
5.6
$
82.3
$
57.8
$
50.3
$
9.2
$
132.2
$
191.3
$
166.6
$
31.6
$
435.2
$
313.5
$
272.5
$
48.5
$
718.2
$
504.8
$
439.0
$
80.2
$
1,153.4
$

2019
22.4
$
19.5
$
3.7
$
51.0
$
36.7
$
31.9
$
5.7
$
84.2
$
59.2
$
51.5
$
9.4
$
135.2
$
195.7
$
170.4
$
32.3
$
445.2
$
320.7
$
278.7
$
49.7
$
734.7
$
516.4
$
449.1
$
82.0
$
1,179.9
$

2020
22.9
$
19.9
$
3.8
$
52.1
$
37.5
$
32.6
$
5.8
$
86.0
$
60.4
$
52.6
$
9.6
$
138.1
$
199.8
$
174.0
$
33.0
$
454.6
$
327.5
$
284.7
$
50.7
$
750.3
$
527.3
$
458.7
$
83.7
$
1,205.0
$

2021
23.3
$
20.3
$
3.9
$
53.1
$
38.3
$
33.3
$
5.9
$
87.7
$
61.6
$
53.6
$
9.8
$
140.8
$
203.8
$
177.4
$
33.6
$
463.6
$
334.0
$
290.3
$
51.7
$
765.2
$
537.7
$
467.7
$
85.3
$
1,228.9
$

2022
23.8
$
20.7
$
3.9
$
54.1
$
39.0
$
33.9
$
6.0
$
89.3
$
62.8
$
54.6
$
10.0
$
143.4
$
207.5
$
180.7
$
34.2
$
472.3
$
340.2
$
295.7
$
52.7
$
779.6
$
547.8
$
476.4
$
86.9
$
1,251.8
$

2023
24.2
$
21.1
$
4.0
$
55.1
$
39.7
$
34.5
$
6.1
$
90.9
$
63.9
$
55.6
$
10.1
$
146.0
$
211.2
$
183.9
$
34.8
$
480.7
$
346.3
$
301.0
$
53.6
$
793.4
$
557.5
$
484.9
$
88.4
$
1,274.1
$

2024
24.6
$
21.4
$
4.1
$
56.0
$
40.4
$
35.1
$
6.2
$
92.5
$
65.0
$
56.5
$
10.3
$
148.5
$
214.8
$
187.0
$
35.4
$
488.8
$
352.2
$
306.1
$
54.5
$
806.9
$
566.9
$
493.1
$
89.9
$
1,295.7
$

2025
25.0
$
21.8
$
4.1
$
56.9
$
41.0
$
35.6
$
6.4
$
94.0
$
66.0
$
57.4
$
10.5
$
150.9
$
218.2
$
190.0
$
35.9
$
496.8
$
357.9
$
311.1
$
55.4
$
820.1
$
576.2
$
501.1
$
91.4
$
1,316.8
$

2026
25.4
$
22.1
$
4.2
$
57.8
$
41.7
$
36.2
$
6.5
$
95.5
$
67.1
$
58.3
$
10.6
$
153.3
$
221.7
$
193.0
$
36.5
$
504.6
$
363.6
$
316.0
$
56.3
$
833.0
$
585.2
$
509.0
$
92.8
$
1,337.6
$

2027
25.8
$
22.4
$
4.2
$
58.7
$
42.3
$
36.8
$
6.5
$
96.9
$
68.1
$
59.2
$
10.8
$
155.6
$
225.0
$
195.9
$
37.0
$
512.3
$
369.1
$
320.8
$
57.2
$
845.8
$
594.2
$
516.8
$
94.2
$
1,358.0
$

Total
405.4
$
353.1
$
67.0
$
922.4
$
664.4
$
577.5
$
102.9
$
1,522.2
$
1,069.8
$
930.5
$
169.9
$
2,444.6
$
3,538.4
$
3,081.2
$
585.0
$
8,050.1
$
5,798.3
$
5,039.7
$
897.7
$
13,284.7
$
9,336.7
$
8,120.9
$
1,482.7
$
21,334.8
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17b,
and
E.
17e.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
2h
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
Surface
Water
Systems
Serving
100,001­
1
Million
People)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.3
$
5.1
$
3.6
$
3.1
$
0.6
$
8.2
$
11.9
$
10.4
$
2.0
$
27.0
$
19.5
$
16.9
$
3.0
$
44.6
$
31.4
$
27.3
$
5.0
$
71.6
$

2007
3.3
$
2.9
$
0.5
$
7.5
$
5.4
$
4.7
$
0.8
$
12.3
$
8.7
$
7.5
$
1.4
$
19.8
$
28.7
$
25.0
$
4.8
$
65.1
$
46.9
$
40.8
$
7.3
$
107.4
$
75.6
$
65.7
$
12.0
$
172.6
$

2008
5.5
$
4.8
$
0.9
$
12.6
$
9.1
$
7.9
$
1.4
$
20.7
$
14.6
$
12.7
$
2.3
$
33.3
$
48.3
$
42.1
$
8.0
$
109.8
$
79.0
$
68.7
$
12.2
$
181.0
$
127.3
$
110.7
$
20.3
$
290.8
$

2009
8.0
$
7.0
$
1.3
$
18.2
$
13.1
$
11.4
$
2.0
$
30.1
$
21.1
$
18.4
$
3.4
$
48.3
$
70.0
$
60.9
$
11.6
$
159.0
$
114.5
$
99.5
$
17.7
$
262.3
$
184.4
$
160.4
$
29.4
$
421.3
$

2010
10.7
$
9.3
$
1.8
$
24.3
$
17.5
$
15.2
$
2.7
$
40.1
$
28.2
$
24.5
$
4.5
$
64.4
$
93.2
$
81.2
$
15.5
$
212.0
$
152.6
$
132.6
$
23.6
$
349.6
$
245.8
$
213.8
$
39.1
$
561.6
$

2011
13.5
$
11.8
$
2.2
$
30.7
$
22.1
$
19.2
$
3.4
$
50.7
$
35.6
$
31.0
$
5.7
$
81.4
$
117.9
$
102.7
$
19.6
$
268.0
$
193.0
$
167.7
$
29.9
$
442.1
$
310.9
$
270.4
$
49.5
$
710.2
$

2012
15.0
$
13.1
$
2.5
$
34.1
$
24.6
$
21.4
$
3.8
$
56.3
$
39.6
$
34.4
$
6.3
$
90.4
$
131.0
$
114.1
$
21.8
$
297.9
$
214.5
$
186.4
$
33.2
$
491.4
$
345.5
$
300.5
$
55.0
$
789.3
$

2013
16.0
$
14.0
$
2.7
$
36.5
$
26.3
$
22.8
$
4.1
$
60.2
$
42.3
$
36.8
$
6.7
$
96.7
$
140.1
$
122.0
$
23.2
$
318.5
$
229.3
$
199.3
$
35.5
$
525.5
$
369.4
$
321.3
$
58.8
$
844.0
$

2014
16.9
$
14.7
$
2.8
$
38.3
$
27.6
$
24.0
$
4.3
$
63.2
$
44.4
$
38.7
$
7.1
$
101.6
$
147.1
$
128.1
$
24.4
$
334.5
$
240.8
$
209.3
$
37.3
$
551.8
$
387.9
$
337.4
$
61.7
$
886.3
$

2015
17.5
$
15.3
$
2.9
$
39.8
$
28.7
$
24.9
$
4.4
$
65.7
$
46.2
$
40.2
$
7.3
$
105.6
$
152.9
$
133.1
$
25.3
$
347.7
$
250.4
$
217.6
$
38.8
$
573.6
$
403.2
$
350.7
$
64.1
$
921.3
$

2016
18.1
$
15.8
$
3.0
$
41.1
$
29.6
$
25.8
$
4.6
$
67.9
$
47.7
$
41.5
$
7.6
$
109.0
$
157.9
$
137.5
$
26.1
$
359.1
$
258.6
$
224.8
$
40.0
$
592.6
$
416.5
$
362.3
$
66.2
$
951.7
$

2017
18.6
$
16.2
$
3.1
$
42.3
$
30.5
$
26.5
$
4.7
$
69.8
$
49.1
$
42.7
$
7.8
$
112.2
$
162.4
$
141.4
$
26.9
$
369.3
$
266.0
$
231.2
$
41.2
$
609.5
$
428.4
$
372.6
$
68.1
$
978.8
$

2018
19.1
$
16.6
$
3.2
$
43.4
$
31.3
$
27.2
$
4.8
$
71.6
$
50.3
$
43.8
$
8.0
$
115.0
$
166.5
$
145.0
$
27.5
$
378.7
$
272.8
$
237.1
$
42.2
$
624.9
$
439.2
$
382.0
$
69.8
$
1,003.6
$

2019
19.5
$
17.0
$
3.2
$
44.4
$
32.0
$
27.8
$
5.0
$
73.3
$
51.5
$
44.8
$
8.2
$
117.6
$
170.3
$
148.3
$
28.1
$
387.4
$
279.0
$
242.5
$
43.2
$
639.3
$
449.3
$
390.8
$
71.3
$
1,026.7
$

2020
19.9
$
17.3
$
3.3
$
45.3
$
32.7
$
28.4
$
5.1
$
74.8
$
52.6
$
45.7
$
8.3
$
120.1
$
173.9
$
151.4
$
28.7
$
395.6
$
285.0
$
247.7
$
44.1
$
652.9
$
458.8
$
399.1
$
72.8
$
1,048.5
$

2021
20.3
$
17.7
$
3.4
$
46.2
$
33.3
$
28.9
$
5.2
$
76.3
$
53.6
$
46.6
$
8.5
$
122.5
$
177.3
$
154.4
$
29.3
$
403.4
$
290.6
$
252.6
$
45.0
$
665.9
$
467.9
$
407.0
$
74.3
$
1,069.3
$

2022
20.7
$
18.0
$
3.4
$
47.1
$
33.9
$
29.5
$
5.3
$
77.7
$
54.6
$
47.5
$
8.7
$
124.8
$
180.6
$
157.2
$
29.8
$
411.0
$
296.1
$
257.3
$
45.8
$
678.3
$
476.6
$
414.6
$
75.6
$
1,089.3
$

2023
21.1
$
18.3
$
3.5
$
47.9
$
34.5
$
30.0
$
5.3
$
79.1
$
55.6
$
48.3
$
8.8
$
127.0
$
183.8
$
160.0
$
30.3
$
418.2
$
301.3
$
261.9
$
46.7
$
690.4
$
485.1
$
421.9
$
77.0
$
1,108.6
$

2024
21.4
$
18.6
$
3.5
$
48.7
$
35.1
$
30.5
$
5.4
$
80.5
$
56.5
$
49.2
$
9.0
$
129.2
$
186.9
$
162.7
$
30.8
$
425.3
$
306.4
$
266.4
$
47.5
$
702.1
$
493.3
$
429.1
$
78.2
$
1,127.4
$

2025
21.8
$
18.9
$
3.6
$
49.5
$
35.7
$
31.0
$
5.5
$
81.8
$
57.4
$
50.0
$
9.1
$
131.3
$
189.9
$
165.3
$
31.3
$
432.3
$
311.5
$
270.7
$
48.2
$
713.6
$
501.4
$
436.0
$
79.5
$
1,145.8
$

2026
22.1
$
19.2
$
3.6
$
50.3
$
36.3
$
31.5
$
5.6
$
83.1
$
58.4
$
50.7
$
9.2
$
133.4
$
192.9
$
167.9
$
31.7
$
439.1
$
316.4
$
275.0
$
49.0
$
724.9
$
509.2
$
442.9
$
80.7
$
1,163.9
$

2027
22.4
$
19.5
$
3.7
$
51.1
$
36.8
$
32.0
$
5.7
$
84.3
$
59.2
$
51.5
$
9.4
$
135.4
$
195.8
$
170.5
$
32.2
$
445.7
$
321.2
$
279.2
$
49.7
$
735.9
$
517.0
$
449.6
$
81.9
$
1,181.7
$

Total
352.8
$
307.2
$
58.3
$
802.6
$
578.1
$
502.5
$
89.5
$
1,324.5
$
930.9
$
809.7
$
147.8
$
2,127.2
$
3,078.9
$
2,681.1
$
509.0
$
7,004.8
$
5,045.4
$
4,385.3
$
781.2
$
11,559.6
$
8,124.2
$
7,066.4
$
1,290.2
$
18,564.4
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17b,
and
E.
17e.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
2i
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
Surface
Water
Systems
Serving
>
1Million
People)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
4.1
$
3.5
$
0.7
$
9.2
$
6.6
$
5.8
$
1.0
$
15.2
$
10.7
$
9.3
$
1.7
$
24.5
$
35.5
$
30.9
$
5.9
$
80.6
$
58.0
$
50.4
$
9.0
$
132.9
$
93.5
$
81.3
$
14.9
$
213.6
$

2007
9.8
$
8.5
$
1.6
$
22.3
$
16.0
$
13.9
$
2.5
$
36.7
$
25.8
$
22.4
$
4.1
$
58.9
$
85.4
$
74.4
$
14.2
$
194.2
$
139.8
$
121.5
$
21.6
$
320.3
$
225.2
$
195.9
$
35.9
$
514.5
$

2008
16.5
$
14.4
$
2.7
$
37.5
$
27.0
$
23.5
$
4.2
$
61.8
$
43.5
$
37.8
$
6.9
$
99.3
$
144.0
$
125.4
$
24.0
$
327.2
$
235.5
$
204.7
$
36.5
$
539.6
$
379.5
$
330.1
$
60.4
$
866.9
$

2009
23.9
$
20.8
$
4.0
$
54.3
$
39.1
$
34.0
$
6.1
$
89.6
$
63.0
$
54.8
$
10.0
$
143.9
$
208.6
$
181.6
$
34.7
$
474.1
$
341.3
$
296.6
$
52.8
$
781.9
$
549.9
$
478.3
$
87.6
$
1,256.1
$

2010
31.9
$
27.7
$
5.3
$
72.4
$
52.1
$
45.3
$
8.1
$
119.4
$
84.0
$
73.0
$
13.4
$
191.8
$
278.0
$
242.1
$
46.2
$
632.0
$
455.0
$
395.4
$
70.4
$
1,042.3
$
732.9
$
637.5
$
116.7
$
1,674.3
$

2011
40.3
$
35.1
$
6.7
$
91.6
$
65.9
$
57.3
$
10.2
$
151.0
$
106.2
$
92.4
$
16.9
$
242.6
$
351.4
$
306.1
$
58.4
$
799.1
$
575.3
$
500.0
$
89.1
$
1,318.0
$
926.7
$
806.1
$
147.5
$
2,117.1
$

2012
44.9
$
39.1
$
7.5
$
102.1
$
73.5
$
63.9
$
11.4
$
168.4
$
118.4
$
103.0
$
18.8
$
270.5
$
391.9
$
341.3
$
65.1
$
891.1
$
641.6
$
557.6
$
99.3
$
1,469.9
$
1,033.5
$
898.9
$
164.4
$
2,361.1
$

2013
48.2
$
42.0
$
8.0
$
109.6
$
78.9
$
68.6
$
12.2
$
180.9
$
127.1
$
110.6
$
20.2
$
290.5
$
420.7
$
366.4
$
69.8
$
956.8
$
688.9
$
598.8
$
106.7
$
1,578.3
$
1,109.6
$
965.2
$
176.5
$
2,535.1
$

2014
50.8
$
44.3
$
8.4
$
115.6
$
83.3
$
72.4
$
12.9
$
190.8
$
134.1
$
116.7
$
21.3
$
306.4
$
443.8
$
386.5
$
73.6
$
1,009.2
$
726.7
$
631.7
$
112.5
$
1,665.0
$
1,170.5
$
1,018.1
$
186.1
$
2,674.3
$

2015
52.9
$
46.1
$
8.8
$
120.4
$
86.7
$
75.4
$
13.4
$
198.7
$
139.7
$
121.5
$
22.2
$
319.1
$
462.1
$
402.4
$
76.6
$
1,051.0
$
756.8
$
657.8
$
117.2
$
1,734.0
$
1,218.9
$
1,060.2
$
193.8
$
2,785.0
$

2016
54.7
$
47.7
$
9.1
$
124.5
$
89.7
$
77.9
$
13.9
$
205.4
$
144.4
$
125.6
$
22.9
$
329.9
$
477.7
$
416.0
$
79.1
$
1,086.6
$
782.5
$
680.1
$
121.2
$
1,792.8
$
1,260.2
$
1,096.2
$
200.3
$
2,879.4
$

2017
56.3
$
49.0
$
9.3
$
128.1
$
92.3
$
80.2
$
14.3
$
211.4
$
148.6
$
129.2
$
23.6
$
339.5
$
491.5
$
428.0
$
81.4
$
1,118.1
$
805.3
$
700.0
$
124.7
$
1,845.0
$
1,296.8
$
1,128.0
$
206.0
$
2,963.2
$

2018
57.8
$
50.3
$
9.6
$
131.4
$
94.6
$
82.3
$
14.7
$
216.9
$
152.4
$
132.6
$
24.2
$
348.3
$
504.1
$
439.0
$
83.4
$
1,146.9
$
826.0
$
718.0
$
127.9
$
1,892.5
$
1,330.1
$
1,157.0
$
211.3
$
3,039.4
$

2019
59.1
$
51.5
$
9.8
$
134.5
$
96.9
$
84.2
$
15.0
$
221.9
$
156.0
$
135.7
$
24.8
$
356.4
$
515.8
$
449.2
$
85.3
$
1,173.5
$
845.3
$
734.7
$
130.9
$
1,936.7
$
1,361.1
$
1,183.9
$
216.1
$
3,110.2
$

2020
60.4
$
52.6
$
10.0
$
137.3
$
98.9
$
86.0
$
15.3
$
226.7
$
159.3
$
138.6
$
25.3
$
364.0
$
526.8
$
458.7
$
87.0
$
1,198.6
$
863.4
$
750.5
$
133.7
$
1,978.2
$
1,390.2
$
1,209.2
$
220.7
$
3,176.9
$

2021
61.6
$
53.6
$
10.2
$
140.1
$
100.9
$
87.7
$
15.6
$
231.2
$
162.5
$
141.3
$
25.8
$
371.3
$
537.3
$
467.8
$
88.7
$
1,222.5
$
880.7
$
765.5
$
136.4
$
2,017.8
$
1,417.9
$
1,233.3
$
225.0
$
3,240.3
$

2022
62.7
$
54.6
$
10.3
$
142.7
$
102.8
$
89.4
$
15.9
$
235.6
$
165.5
$
144.0
$
26.3
$
378.3
$
547.3
$
476.6
$
90.3
$
1,245.5
$
897.3
$
779.9
$
138.9
$
2,055.8
$
1,444.6
$
1,256.5
$
229.2
$
3,301.3
$

2023
63.8
$
55.6
$
10.5
$
145.3
$
104.6
$
91.0
$
16.2
$
239.8
$
168.5
$
146.5
$
26.7
$
385.0
$
557.0
$
485.0
$
91.8
$
1,267.7
$
913.3
$
793.8
$
141.4
$
2,092.5
$
1,470.3
$
1,278.8
$
233.2
$
3,360.2
$

2024
64.9
$
56.5
$
10.7
$
147.7
$
106.4
$
92.5
$
16.5
$
243.9
$
171.3
$
149.0
$
27.2
$
391.6
$
566.4
$
493.2
$
93.3
$
1,289.2
$
928.9
$
807.4
$
143.8
$
2,128.2
$
1,495.3
$
1,300.6
$
237.1
$
3,417.5
$

2025
66.0
$
57.4
$
10.9
$
150.1
$
108.2
$
94.0
$
16.8
$
247.9
$
174.1
$
151.5
$
27.6
$
398.0
$
575.7
$
501.2
$
94.8
$
1,310.3
$
944.1
$
820.6
$
146.2
$
2,163.1
$
1,519.8
$
1,321.8
$
241.0
$
3,473.5
$

2026
67.0
$
58.3
$
11.0
$
152.5
$
109.9
$
95.5
$
17.0
$
251.8
$
176.9
$
153.8
$
28.0
$
404.3
$
584.7
$
509.1
$
96.2
$
1,331.0
$
959.1
$
833.6
$
148.5
$
2,197.4
$
1,543.8
$
1,342.7
$
244.7
$
3,528.4
$

2027
68.0
$
59.2
$
11.2
$
154.8
$
111.6
$
97.0
$
17.3
$
255.7
$
179.6
$
156.2
$
28.5
$
410.5
$
593.6
$
516.8
$
97.6
$
1,351.3
$
973.8
$
846.4
$
150.8
$
2,231.1
$
1,567.4
$
1,363.2
$
248.4
$
3,582.5
$

Total
1,065.5
$
927.9
$
176.2
$
2,424.2
$
1,746.1
$
1,517.7
$
270.3
$
4,000.5
$
2,811.6
$
2,445.5
$
446.5
$
6,424.7
$
9,299.2
$
8,097.7
$
1,537.4
$
21,156.6
$
15,238.6
$
13,245.0
$
2,359.4
$
34,913.8
$
24,537.8
$
21,342.7
$
3,896.8
$
56,070.4
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17b,
and
E.
17e.
(
All
Surface
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
2j
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$

2007
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$

2008
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$

2009
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$

2010
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$

2011
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$

2012
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$

2013
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$

2014
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$

2015
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$

2016
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.7
$

2017
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.7
$

2018
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$

2019
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$

2020
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.9
$

2021
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.9
$

2022
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
0.9
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
2.0
$

2023
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.0
$

2024
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.0
$

2025
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.1
$

2026
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.1
$

2027
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.1
$

Total
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
1.0
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.2
$
3.6
$
5.2
$
4.5
$
0.9
$
11.8
$
8.5
$
7.4
$
1.3
$
19.5
$
13.7
$
11.9
$
2.2
$
31.3
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17c,
and
E.
17f.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
2k
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
Ground
Water
Systems
Serving
<
100
People)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$

2007
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$

2008
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$

2009
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.1
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.3
$

2010
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.4
$

2011
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.1
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.5
$
2.5
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.6
$

2012
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.2
$
3.0
$
2.6
$
0.5
$
6.8
$

2013
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.3
$
5.0
$
3.5
$
3.1
$
0.6
$
8.1
$

2014
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
2.6
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.9
$
4.1
$
3.6
$
0.7
$
9.4
$

2015
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.8
$
2.8
$
2.4
$
0.4
$
6.3
$
4.5
$
3.9
$
0.7
$
10.2
$

2016
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.0
$
2.9
$
2.5
$
0.5
$
6.7
$
4.7
$
4.1
$
0.7
$
10.7
$

2017
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.2
$
3.0
$
2.6
$
0.5
$
7.0
$
4.9
$
4.3
$
0.8
$
11.2
$

2018
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.4
$
3.1
$
2.7
$
0.5
$
7.2
$
5.0
$
4.4
$
0.8
$
11.5
$

2019
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.5
$
3.2
$
2.8
$
0.5
$
7.4
$
5.2
$
4.5
$
0.8
$
11.9
$

2020
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.6
$
3.3
$
2.9
$
0.5
$
7.6
$
5.3
$
4.6
$
0.8
$
12.2
$

2021
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.7
$
3.4
$
2.9
$
0.5
$
7.7
$
5.4
$
4.7
$
0.9
$
12.4
$

2022
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.8
$
3.5
$
3.0
$
0.5
$
7.9
$
5.6
$
4.8
$
0.9
$
12.7
$

2023
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
2.1
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
4.9
$
3.5
$
3.1
$
0.5
$
8.1
$
5.7
$
4.9
$
0.9
$
13.0
$

2024
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
5.0
$
3.6
$
3.1
$
0.6
$
8.2
$
5.8
$
5.0
$
0.9
$
13.2
$

2025
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
5.1
$
3.6
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.4
$
5.9
$
5.1
$
0.9
$
13.4
$

2026
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.1
$
3.7
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.5
$
6.0
$
5.2
$
0.9
$
13.6
$

2027
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.2
$
3.8
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.6
$
6.1
$
5.3
$
1.0
$
13.9
$

Total
3.8
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.7
$
6.3
$
5.5
$
1.0
$
14.4
$
10.1
$
8.8
$
1.6
$
23.1
$
33.5
$
29.1
$
5.5
$
76.1
$
54.8
$
47.7
$
8.5
$
125.7
$
88.3
$
76.8
$
14.0
$
201.8
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17c,
and
E.
17f.
Exhibit
F.
2l
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
Ground
Water
Systems
Serving
101­
500
People)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$

2007
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$

2008
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$

2009
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.1
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.4
$

2010
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.5
$

2011
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.1
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.5
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.7
$

2012
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.3
$
3.0
$
2.6
$
0.5
$
6.9
$

2013
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.3
$
5.1
$
3.6
$
3.1
$
0.6
$
8.2
$

2014
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
2.6
$
2.3
$
0.4
$
5.9
$
4.2
$
3.6
$
0.7
$
9.5
$

2015
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.9
$
2.8
$
2.4
$
0.4
$
6.4
$
4.5
$
3.9
$
0.7
$
10.3
$

2016
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.1
$
2.9
$
2.6
$
0.5
$
6.8
$
4.7
$
4.1
$
0.8
$
10.8
$

2017
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.3
$
3.1
$
2.7
$
0.5
$
7.0
$
4.9
$
4.3
$
0.8
$
11.3
$

2018
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.4
$
3.2
$
2.8
$
0.5
$
7.3
$
5.1
$
4.4
$
0.8
$
11.7
$

2019
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.5
$
3.3
$
2.8
$
0.5
$
7.5
$
5.2
$
4.6
$
0.8
$
12.0
$

2020
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.6
$
3.3
$
2.9
$
0.5
$
7.7
$
5.4
$
4.7
$
0.9
$
12.3
$

2021
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.7
$
3.4
$
3.0
$
0.5
$
7.8
$
5.5
$
4.8
$
0.9
$
12.6
$

2022
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
2.1
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
4.8
$
3.5
$
3.0
$
0.5
$
8.0
$
5.6
$
4.9
$
0.9
$
12.8
$

2023
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
4.9
$
3.6
$
3.1
$
0.6
$
8.2
$
5.7
$
5.0
$
0.9
$
13.1
$

2024
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
5.0
$
3.6
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.3
$
5.8
$
5.1
$
0.9
$
13.3
$

2025
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
2.2
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.1
$
3.7
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.4
$
5.9
$
5.2
$
0.9
$
13.6
$

2026
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.2
$
3.7
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.6
$
6.0
$
5.2
$
1.0
$
13.8
$

2027
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.3
$
3.8
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.7
$
6.1
$
5.3
$
1.0
$
14.0
$

Total
3.9
$
3.4
$
0.6
$
8.8
$
6.4
$
5.5
$
1.0
$
14.6
$
10.2
$
8.9
$
1.6
$
23.4
$
33.8
$
29.5
$
5.6
$
77.0
$
55.4
$
48.2
$
8.6
$
127.0
$
89.3
$
77.6
$
14.2
$
204.0
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17c,
and
E.
17f.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
2m
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
Ground
Water
Systems
Serving
501­
1,000
People)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.7
$

2007
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.2
$

2008
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.7
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.4
$
3.1
$
2.7
$
0.5
$
7.1
$

2009
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.9
$
2.8
$
2.4
$
0.4
$
6.4
$
4.5
$
3.9
$
0.7
$
10.3
$

2010
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.2
$
3.7
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.5
$
6.0
$
5.2
$
1.0
$
13.7
$

2011
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.0
$
2.9
$
2.5
$
0.5
$
6.5
$
4.7
$
4.1
$
0.7
$
10.8
$
7.6
$
6.6
$
1.2
$
17.3
$

2012
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.4
$
3.5
$
3.1
$
0.6
$
8.0
$
5.7
$
5.0
$
0.9
$
13.1
$
9.2
$
8.0
$
1.5
$
21.1
$

2013
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.9
$
4.2
$
3.6
$
0.7
$
9.5
$
6.8
$
5.9
$
1.1
$
15.6
$
11.0
$
9.5
$
1.7
$
25.1
$

2014
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.1
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.3
$
4.8
$
4.2
$
0.8
$
11.0
$
7.9
$
6.9
$
1.2
$
18.2
$
12.8
$
11.1
$
2.0
$
29.2
$

2015
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
5.2
$
4.6
$
0.9
$
11.9
$
8.6
$
7.4
$
1.3
$
19.6
$
13.8
$
12.0
$
2.2
$
31.5
$

2016
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.4
$
1.7
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.8
$
5.5
$
4.8
$
0.9
$
12.5
$
9.0
$
7.8
$
1.4
$
20.7
$
14.5
$
12.6
$
2.3
$
33.2
$

2017
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.5
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
4.0
$
5.7
$
5.0
$
0.9
$
13.0
$
9.4
$
8.2
$
1.5
$
21.5
$
15.1
$
13.1
$
2.4
$
34.5
$

2018
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.5
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.1
$
5.9
$
5.2
$
1.0
$
13.5
$
9.7
$
8.4
$
1.5
$
22.2
$
15.6
$
13.6
$
2.5
$
35.7
$

2019
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.2
$
6.1
$
5.3
$
1.0
$
13.8
$
10.0
$
8.7
$
1.5
$
22.8
$
16.1
$
14.0
$
2.5
$
36.7
$

2020
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.7
$
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.3
$
6.2
$
5.4
$
1.0
$
14.2
$
10.2
$
8.9
$
1.6
$
23.4
$
16.5
$
14.3
$
2.6
$
37.6
$

2021
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.7
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.4
$
6.4
$
5.6
$
1.1
$
14.5
$
10.5
$
9.1
$
1.6
$
24.0
$
16.8
$
14.6
$
2.7
$
38.5
$

2022
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.5
$
6.5
$
5.7
$
1.1
$
14.8
$
10.7
$
9.3
$
1.7
$
24.5
$
17.2
$
14.9
$
2.7
$
39.3
$

2023
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.9
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.6
$
6.6
$
5.8
$
1.1
$
15.1
$
10.9
$
9.5
$
1.7
$
24.9
$
17.5
$
15.2
$
2.8
$
40.0
$

2024
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.9
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.7
$
6.8
$
5.9
$
1.1
$
15.4
$
11.1
$
9.6
$
1.7
$
25.4
$
17.8
$
15.5
$
2.8
$
40.8
$

2025
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
3.0
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.8
$
6.9
$
6.0
$
1.1
$
15.7
$
11.3
$
9.8
$
1.7
$
25.8
$
18.2
$
15.8
$
2.9
$
41.5
$

2026
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
3.0
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.8
$
7.0
$
6.1
$
1.2
$
15.9
$
11.5
$
10.0
$
1.8
$
26.3
$
18.5
$
16.1
$
2.9
$
42.2
$

2027
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.9
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
2.1
$
1.9
$
0.3
$
4.9
$
7.1
$
6.2
$
1.2
$
16.2
$
11.7
$
10.1
$
1.8
$
26.7
$
18.8
$
16.3
$
3.0
$
42.9
$

Total
11.9
$
10.3
$
2.0
$
27.0
$
19.4
$
16.9
$
3.0
$
44.5
$
31.3
$
27.2
$
5.0
$
71.5
$
103.5
$
90.1
$
17.1
$
235.4
$
169.6
$
147.4
$
26.3
$
388.5
$
273.1
$
237.5
$
43.4
$
624.0
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17c,
and
E.
17f.
Exhibit
F.
2n
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
Ground
Water
Systems
Serving
1,001­
3,300
People)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$

2007
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.4
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.9
$
2.7
$
2.4
$
0.4
$
6.3
$

2008
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
1.8
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
4.0
$
2.9
$
2.5
$
0.4
$
6.6
$
4.6
$
4.0
$
0.7
$
10.6
$

2009
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.8
$
4.2
$
3.6
$
0.6
$
9.5
$
6.7
$
5.8
$
1.1
$
15.3
$

2010
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$
3.4
$
3.0
$
0.6
$
7.7
$
5.6
$
4.8
$
0.9
$
12.7
$
8.9
$
7.8
$
1.4
$
20.4
$

2011
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
3.0
$
4.3
$
3.7
$
0.7
$
9.7
$
7.0
$
6.1
$
1.1
$
16.1
$
11.3
$
9.8
$
1.8
$
25.8
$

2012
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
5.2
$
4.6
$
0.9
$
11.9
$
8.6
$
7.4
$
1.3
$
19.6
$
13.8
$
12.0
$
2.2
$
31.5
$

2013
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.7
$
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.3
$
6.2
$
5.4
$
1.0
$
14.1
$
10.2
$
8.8
$
1.6
$
23.3
$
16.4
$
14.2
$
2.6
$
37.4
$

2014
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.9
$
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.3
$
5.0
$
7.2
$
6.3
$
1.2
$
16.4
$
11.8
$
10.3
$
1.8
$
27.1
$
19.1
$
16.6
$
3.0
$
43.5
$

2015
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.0
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.4
$
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.4
$
7.8
$
6.8
$
1.3
$
17.7
$
12.8
$
11.1
$
2.0
$
29.3
$
20.6
$
17.9
$
3.3
$
47.0
$

2016
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.1
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.5
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.7
$
8.2
$
7.2
$
1.4
$
18.7
$
13.5
$
11.7
$
2.1
$
30.8
$
21.7
$
18.8
$
3.4
$
49.5
$

2017
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.2
$
3.7
$
2.6
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.9
$
8.5
$
7.4
$
1.4
$
19.4
$
14.0
$
12.2
$
2.2
$
32.1
$
22.5
$
19.6
$
3.6
$
51.5
$

2018
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$
1.7
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.8
$
2.7
$
2.3
$
0.4
$
6.1
$
8.8
$
7.7
$
1.5
$
20.1
$
14.5
$
12.6
$
2.2
$
33.1
$
23.3
$
20.3
$
3.7
$
53.2
$

2019
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.4
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.9
$
2.7
$
2.4
$
0.4
$
6.3
$
9.1
$
7.9
$
1.5
$
20.7
$
14.9
$
12.9
$
2.3
$
34.1
$
24.0
$
20.8
$
3.8
$
54.7
$

2020
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.4
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
4.0
$
2.8
$
2.4
$
0.4
$
6.4
$
9.3
$
8.1
$
1.5
$
21.2
$
15.3
$
13.3
$
2.4
$
34.9
$
24.6
$
21.4
$
3.9
$
56.1
$

2021
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.5
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.1
$
2.9
$
2.5
$
0.5
$
6.6
$
9.5
$
8.3
$
1.6
$
21.7
$
15.6
$
13.6
$
2.4
$
35.7
$
25.1
$
21.8
$
4.0
$
57.4
$

2022
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.5
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.2
$
2.9
$
2.6
$
0.5
$
6.7
$
9.7
$
8.5
$
1.6
$
22.1
$
15.9
$
13.8
$
2.5
$
36.5
$
25.6
$
22.3
$
4.1
$
58.6
$

2023
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.3
$
3.0
$
2.6
$
0.5
$
6.8
$
9.9
$
8.6
$
1.6
$
22.5
$
16.2
$
14.1
$
2.5
$
37.2
$
26.1
$
22.7
$
4.1
$
59.8
$

2024
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.3
$
3.1
$
2.7
$
0.5
$
7.0
$
10.1
$
8.8
$
1.7
$
23.0
$
16.5
$
14.4
$
2.6
$
37.9
$
26.6
$
23.2
$
4.2
$
60.9
$

2025
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.7
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.4
$
3.1
$
2.7
$
0.5
$
7.1
$
10.3
$
8.9
$
1.7
$
23.4
$
16.8
$
14.6
$
2.6
$
38.6
$
27.1
$
23.6
$
4.3
$
61.9
$

2026
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.7
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.5
$
3.2
$
2.7
$
0.5
$
7.2
$
10.4
$
9.1
$
1.7
$
23.8
$
17.1
$
14.9
$
2.7
$
39.2
$
27.6
$
24.0
$
4.4
$
63.0
$

2027
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.6
$
3.2
$
2.8
$
0.5
$
7.3
$
10.6
$
9.2
$
1.7
$
24.1
$
17.4
$
15.1
$
2.7
$
39.8
$
28.0
$
24.3
$
4.4
$
64.0
$

Total
17.7
$
15.4
$
2.9
$
40.3
$
29.0
$
25.2
$
4.5
$
66.4
$
46.7
$
40.6
$
7.4
$
106.7
$
154.4
$
134.5
$
25.5
$
351.3
$
253.0
$
219.9
$
39.2
$
579.8
$
407.5
$
354.4
$
64.7
$
931.1
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17c,
and
E.
17f.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
2o
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
Ground
Water
Systems
Serving
3,301­
10,000
People)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.8
$
2.7
$
2.3
$
0.4
$
6.2
$

2007
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
2.5
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.6
$
4.0
$
3.5
$
0.6
$
9.2
$
6.5
$
5.7
$
1.0
$
14.8
$

2008
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.9
$
4.2
$
3.6
$
0.7
$
9.4
$
6.8
$
5.9
$
1.1
$
15.6
$
11.0
$
9.5
$
1.7
$
25.0
$

2009
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.2
$
6.0
$
5.2
$
1.0
$
13.7
$
9.8
$
8.6
$
1.5
$
22.6
$
15.9
$
13.8
$
2.5
$
36.2
$

2010
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.1
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.4
$
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.5
$
8.0
$
7.0
$
1.3
$
18.2
$
13.1
$
11.4
$
2.0
$
30.1
$
21.2
$
18.4
$
3.4
$
48.3
$

2011
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.4
$
3.1
$
2.7
$
0.5
$
7.0
$
10.1
$
8.8
$
1.7
$
23.1
$
16.6
$
14.4
$
2.6
$
38.0
$
26.7
$
23.3
$
4.3
$
61.1
$

2012
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.9
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.8
$
3.4
$
3.0
$
0.5
$
7.8
$
11.3
$
9.8
$
1.9
$
25.6
$
18.5
$
16.0
$
2.9
$
42.3
$
29.7
$
25.9
$
4.7
$
67.9
$

2013
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.2
$
3.6
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.3
$
12.1
$
10.5
$
2.0
$
27.4
$
19.7
$
17.1
$
3.1
$
45.2
$
31.8
$
27.6
$
5.1
$
72.6
$

2014
1.4
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.3
$
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.4
$
3.8
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.7
$
12.7
$
11.0
$
2.1
$
28.8
$
20.7
$
18.0
$
3.2
$
47.5
$
33.4
$
29.0
$
5.3
$
76.2
$

2015
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.4
$
2.5
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.7
$
4.0
$
3.5
$
0.6
$
9.1
$
13.2
$
11.5
$
2.2
$
29.9
$
21.5
$
18.7
$
3.3
$
49.4
$
34.7
$
30.2
$
5.5
$
79.3
$

2016
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.5
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.8
$
4.1
$
3.6
$
0.7
$
9.4
$
13.6
$
11.8
$
2.2
$
30.9
$
22.3
$
19.3
$
3.4
$
51.0
$
35.8
$
31.2
$
5.7
$
81.9
$

2017
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
2.6
$
2.3
$
0.4
$
6.0
$
4.2
$
3.7
$
0.7
$
9.6
$
14.0
$
12.2
$
2.3
$
31.8
$
22.9
$
19.9
$
3.5
$
52.4
$
36.9
$
32.1
$
5.9
$
84.2
$

2018
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.7
$
2.7
$
2.3
$
0.4
$
6.2
$
4.3
$
3.8
$
0.7
$
9.9
$
14.3
$
12.5
$
2.4
$
32.6
$
23.5
$
20.4
$
3.6
$
53.8
$
37.8
$
32.9
$
6.0
$
86.3
$

2019
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.8
$
2.8
$
2.4
$
0.4
$
6.3
$
4.4
$
3.9
$
0.7
$
10.1
$
14.6
$
12.8
$
2.4
$
33.3
$
24.0
$
20.9
$
3.7
$
55.0
$
38.7
$
33.6
$
6.1
$
88.3
$

2020
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.9
$
2.8
$
2.4
$
0.4
$
6.4
$
4.5
$
3.9
$
0.7
$
10.3
$
15.0
$
13.0
$
2.5
$
34.0
$
24.5
$
21.3
$
3.8
$
56.2
$
39.5
$
34.3
$
6.3
$
90.2
$

2021
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
4.0
$
2.9
$
2.5
$
0.4
$
6.6
$
4.6
$
4.0
$
0.7
$
10.5
$
15.3
$
13.3
$
2.5
$
34.7
$
25.0
$
21.7
$
3.9
$
57.3
$
40.3
$
35.0
$
6.4
$
92.0
$

2022
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.1
$
2.9
$
2.5
$
0.5
$
6.7
$
4.7
$
4.1
$
0.7
$
10.7
$
15.5
$
13.5
$
2.6
$
35.4
$
25.5
$
22.1
$
3.9
$
58.4
$
41.0
$
35.7
$
6.5
$
93.7
$

2023
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.1
$
3.0
$
2.6
$
0.5
$
6.8
$
4.8
$
4.2
$
0.8
$
10.9
$
15.8
$
13.8
$
2.6
$
36.0
$
25.9
$
22.5
$
4.0
$
59.4
$
41.7
$
36.3
$
6.6
$
95.4
$

2024
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.2
$
3.0
$
2.6
$
0.5
$
6.9
$
4.9
$
4.2
$
0.8
$
11.1
$
16.1
$
14.0
$
2.6
$
36.6
$
26.4
$
22.9
$
4.1
$
60.4
$
42.4
$
36.9
$
6.7
$
97.0
$

2025
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.3
$
3.1
$
2.7
$
0.5
$
7.0
$
4.9
$
4.3
$
0.8
$
11.3
$
16.3
$
14.2
$
2.7
$
37.2
$
26.8
$
23.3
$
4.1
$
61.4
$
43.1
$
37.5
$
6.8
$
98.6
$

2026
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.3
$
3.1
$
2.7
$
0.5
$
7.1
$
5.0
$
4.4
$
0.8
$
11.5
$
16.6
$
14.4
$
2.7
$
37.8
$
27.2
$
23.7
$
4.2
$
62.4
$
43.8
$
38.1
$
6.9
$
100.1
$

2027
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.4
$
3.2
$
2.8
$
0.5
$
7.3
$
5.1
$
4.4
$
0.8
$
11.6
$
16.8
$
14.7
$
2.8
$
38.3
$
27.6
$
24.0
$
4.3
$
63.3
$
44.5
$
38.7
$
7.0
$
101.7
$

Total
30.4
$
26.4
$
5.0
$
69.1
$
49.7
$
43.2
$
7.7
$
114.0
$
80.1
$
69.7
$
12.7
$
183.0
$
264.9
$
230.7
$
43.8
$
602.6
$
434.1
$
377.3
$
67.2
$
994.5
$
699.0
$
607.9
$
111.0
$
1,597.1
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17c,
and
E.
17f.
(
Ground
Water
Systems
Serving
10,001­
50,000
People)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
2p
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.2
$

2007
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.0
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.4
$
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.4
$

2008
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.4
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.7
$
4.0
$
3.5
$
0.6
$
9.1
$

2009
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
5.0
$
3.6
$
3.1
$
0.6
$
8.2
$
5.8
$
5.0
$
0.9
$
13.2
$

2010
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.0
$
2.9
$
2.5
$
0.5
$
6.6
$
4.8
$
4.2
$
0.7
$
11.0
$
7.7
$
6.7
$
1.2
$
17.6
$

2011
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
3.7
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.4
$
6.1
$
5.3
$
0.9
$
13.9
$
9.8
$
8.5
$
1.6
$
22.3
$

2012
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
4.1
$
3.6
$
0.7
$
9.3
$
6.7
$
5.8
$
1.0
$
15.4
$
10.8
$
9.4
$
1.7
$
24.8
$

2013
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.9
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.0
$
4.4
$
3.8
$
0.7
$
10.0
$
7.2
$
6.3
$
1.1
$
16.5
$
11.6
$
10.1
$
1.8
$
26.5
$

2014
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.0
$
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.2
$
4.6
$
4.0
$
0.8
$
10.5
$
7.6
$
6.6
$
1.2
$
17.3
$
12.2
$
10.6
$
1.9
$
27.8
$

2015
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.1
$
1.4
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.3
$
4.8
$
4.2
$
0.8
$
10.9
$
7.9
$
6.8
$
1.2
$
18.0
$
12.6
$
11.0
$
2.0
$
28.9
$

2016
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.1
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.4
$
5.0
$
4.3
$
0.8
$
11.3
$
8.1
$
7.1
$
1.3
$
18.6
$
13.1
$
11.4
$
2.1
$
29.9
$

2017
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
1.0
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.2
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.5
$
5.1
$
4.4
$
0.8
$
11.6
$
8.3
$
7.3
$
1.3
$
19.1
$
13.4
$
11.7
$
2.1
$
30.7
$

2018
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
5.2
$
4.5
$
0.9
$
11.9
$
8.6
$
7.4
$
1.3
$
19.6
$
13.8
$
12.0
$
2.2
$
31.5
$

2019
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.7
$
5.3
$
4.7
$
0.9
$
12.2
$
8.8
$
7.6
$
1.4
$
20.1
$
14.1
$
12.3
$
2.2
$
32.2
$

2020
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.8
$
5.5
$
4.7
$
0.9
$
12.4
$
8.9
$
7.8
$
1.4
$
20.5
$
14.4
$
12.5
$
2.3
$
32.9
$

2021
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.4
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.8
$
5.6
$
4.8
$
0.9
$
12.7
$
9.1
$
7.9
$
1.4
$
20.9
$
14.7
$
12.8
$
2.3
$
33.5
$

2022
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.4
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.9
$
5.7
$
4.9
$
0.9
$
12.9
$
9.3
$
8.1
$
1.4
$
21.3
$
15.0
$
13.0
$
2.4
$
34.2
$

2023
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.5
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
4.0
$
5.8
$
5.0
$
1.0
$
13.1
$
9.5
$
8.2
$
1.5
$
21.7
$
15.2
$
13.2
$
2.4
$
34.8
$

2024
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.5
$
1.8
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
4.1
$
5.9
$
5.1
$
1.0
$
13.3
$
9.6
$
8.4
$
1.5
$
22.0
$
15.5
$
13.5
$
2.5
$
35.4
$

2025
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.1
$
6.0
$
5.2
$
1.0
$
13.6
$
9.8
$
8.5
$
1.5
$
22.4
$
15.7
$
13.7
$
2.5
$
35.9
$

2026
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.2
$
6.1
$
5.3
$
1.0
$
13.8
$
9.9
$
8.6
$
1.5
$
22.7
$
16.0
$
13.9
$
2.5
$
36.5
$

2027
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.2
$
6.1
$
5.3
$
1.0
$
14.0
$
10.1
$
8.8
$
1.6
$
23.1
$
16.2
$
14.1
$
2.6
$
37.1
$

Total
11.1
$
9.6
$
1.8
$
25.2
$
18.1
$
15.8
$
2.8
$
41.5
$
29.2
$
25.4
$
4.6
$
66.7
$
96.6
$
84.1
$
16.0
$
219.7
$
158.3
$
137.6
$
24.5
$
362.6
$
254.8
$
221.7
$
40.5
$
582.3
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17c,
and
E.
17f.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
2q
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
Ground
Water
Systems
Serving
50,001­
100,000
People)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.0
$
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.2
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.2
$

2007
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.7
$
3.4
$
3.0
$
0.5
$
7.8
$
5.5
$
4.8
$
0.9
$
12.5
$

2008
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.4
$
3.5
$
3.1
$
0.6
$
8.0
$
5.7
$
5.0
$
0.9
$
13.1
$
9.2
$
8.0
$
1.5
$
21.1
$

2009
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
1.0
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.2
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.5
$
5.1
$
4.4
$
0.8
$
11.5
$
8.3
$
7.2
$
1.3
$
19.0
$
13.4
$
11.6
$
2.1
$
30.6
$

2010
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.9
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.7
$
6.8
$
5.9
$
1.1
$
15.4
$
11.1
$
9.6
$
1.7
$
25.4
$
17.8
$
15.5
$
2.8
$
40.8
$

2011
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.2
$
3.7
$
2.6
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.9
$
8.6
$
7.5
$
1.4
$
19.5
$
14.0
$
12.2
$
2.2
$
32.1
$
22.6
$
19.6
$
3.6
$
51.6
$

2012
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.5
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.1
$
2.9
$
2.5
$
0.5
$
6.6
$
9.5
$
8.3
$
1.6
$
21.6
$
15.6
$
13.5
$
2.4
$
35.7
$
25.1
$
21.8
$
4.0
$
57.3
$

2013
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.4
$
3.1
$
2.7
$
0.5
$
7.0
$
10.2
$
8.9
$
1.7
$
23.1
$
16.6
$
14.5
$
2.6
$
38.1
$
26.8
$
23.3
$
4.3
$
61.3
$

2014
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.6
$
3.2
$
2.8
$
0.5
$
7.4
$
10.7
$
9.3
$
1.8
$
24.3
$
17.5
$
15.2
$
2.7
$
40.1
$
28.2
$
24.5
$
4.5
$
64.3
$

2015
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.9
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.8
$
3.4
$
2.9
$
0.5
$
7.7
$
11.1
$
9.7
$
1.8
$
25.2
$
18.2
$
15.8
$
2.8
$
41.6
$
29.3
$
25.5
$
4.7
$
66.9
$

2016
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
3.0
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.3
$
4.9
$
3.5
$
3.0
$
0.6
$
7.9
$
11.5
$
10.0
$
1.9
$
26.1
$
18.8
$
16.3
$
2.9
$
43.0
$
30.2
$
26.3
$
4.8
$
69.1
$

2017
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.3
$
5.1
$
3.6
$
3.1
$
0.6
$
8.1
$
11.8
$
10.3
$
2.0
$
26.8
$
19.3
$
16.8
$
3.0
$
44.2
$
31.1
$
27.0
$
4.9
$
71.1
$

2018
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.2
$
3.7
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.3
$
12.1
$
10.5
$
2.0
$
27.5
$
19.8
$
17.2
$
3.1
$
45.4
$
31.9
$
27.7
$
5.1
$
72.9
$

2019
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.2
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.3
$
3.7
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.5
$
12.4
$
10.8
$
2.0
$
28.1
$
20.3
$
17.6
$
3.1
$
46.4
$
32.6
$
28.4
$
5.2
$
74.5
$

2020
1.4
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.3
$
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.4
$
3.8
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.7
$
12.6
$
11.0
$
2.1
$
28.7
$
20.7
$
18.0
$
3.2
$
47.4
$
33.3
$
29.0
$
5.3
$
76.1
$

2021
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.4
$
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.5
$
3.9
$
3.4
$
0.6
$
8.9
$
12.9
$
11.2
$
2.1
$
29.3
$
21.1
$
18.3
$
3.3
$
48.3
$
34.0
$
29.5
$
5.4
$
77.6
$

2022
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.4
$
2.5
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.6
$
4.0
$
3.4
$
0.6
$
9.1
$
13.1
$
11.4
$
2.2
$
29.8
$
21.5
$
18.7
$
3.3
$
49.2
$
34.6
$
30.1
$
5.5
$
79.1
$

2023
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.5
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.7
$
4.0
$
3.5
$
0.6
$
9.2
$
13.3
$
11.6
$
2.2
$
30.4
$
21.9
$
19.0
$
3.4
$
50.1
$
35.2
$
30.6
$
5.6
$
80.5
$

2024
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.5
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.8
$
4.1
$
3.6
$
0.7
$
9.4
$
13.6
$
11.8
$
2.2
$
30.9
$
22.2
$
19.3
$
3.4
$
51.0
$
35.8
$
31.1
$
5.7
$
81.8
$

2025
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
2.6
$
2.3
$
0.4
$
5.9
$
4.2
$
3.6
$
0.7
$
9.5
$
13.8
$
12.0
$
2.3
$
31.4
$
22.6
$
19.7
$
3.5
$
51.8
$
36.4
$
31.7
$
5.8
$
83.2
$

2026
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.7
$
2.6
$
2.3
$
0.4
$
6.0
$
4.2
$
3.7
$
0.7
$
9.7
$
14.0
$
12.2
$
2.3
$
31.9
$
23.0
$
20.0
$
3.6
$
52.6
$
37.0
$
32.2
$
5.9
$
84.5
$

2027
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.7
$
2.7
$
2.3
$
0.4
$
6.1
$
4.3
$
3.7
$
0.7
$
9.8
$
14.2
$
12.4
$
2.3
$
32.4
$
23.3
$
20.3
$
3.6
$
53.4
$
37.5
$
32.6
$
5.9
$
85.8
$

Total
25.6
$
22.3
$
4.2
$
58.3
$
42.0
$
36.5
$
6.5
$
96.2
$
67.6
$
58.8
$
10.7
$
154.4
$
223.5
$
194.6
$
37.0
$
508.5
$
366.3
$
318.3
$
56.7
$
839.2
$
589.8
$
513.0
$
93.7
$
1,347.7
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17c,
and
E.
17f.
Exhibit
F.
2r
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
Ground
Water
Systems
Serving
100,001­
1
Million
People)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$

2007
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$

2008
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$

2009
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.4
$
1.7
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.8
$

2010
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.9
$
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
5.0
$

2011
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.4
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
4.0
$
2.8
$
2.4
$
0.4
$
6.4
$

2012
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.7
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.4
$
3.1
$
2.7
$
0.5
$
7.1
$

2013
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.9
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.7
$
3.3
$
2.9
$
0.5
$
7.6
$

2014
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
3.0
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.3
$
5.0
$
3.5
$
3.0
$
0.6
$
8.0
$

2015
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
2.2
$
2.0
$
0.3
$
5.1
$
3.6
$
3.1
$
0.6
$
8.3
$

2016
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.2
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.3
$
3.7
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.5
$

2017
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.3
$
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.5
$
3.8
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.8
$

2018
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.4
$
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.6
$
3.9
$
3.4
$
0.6
$
9.0
$

2019
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.5
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.7
$
4.0
$
3.5
$
0.6
$
9.2
$

2020
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
2.6
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.9
$
4.1
$
3.6
$
0.7
$
9.4
$

2021
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
2.6
$
2.3
$
0.4
$
6.0
$
4.2
$
3.7
$
0.7
$
9.6
$

2022
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.7
$
2.7
$
2.3
$
0.4
$
6.1
$
4.3
$
3.7
$
0.7
$
9.8
$

2023
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.8
$
2.7
$
2.4
$
0.4
$
6.2
$
4.4
$
3.8
$
0.7
$
9.9
$

2024
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.8
$
2.7
$
2.4
$
0.4
$
6.3
$
4.4
$
3.9
$
0.7
$
10.1
$

2025
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.9
$
2.8
$
2.4
$
0.4
$
6.4
$
4.5
$
3.9
$
0.7
$
10.3
$

2026
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.9
$
2.8
$
2.5
$
0.4
$
6.5
$
4.6
$
4.0
$
0.7
$
10.4
$

2027
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
1.8
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
4.0
$
2.9
$
2.5
$
0.4
$
6.6
$
4.6
$
4.0
$
0.7
$
10.6
$

Total
3.2
$
2.8
$
0.5
$
7.2
$
5.2
$
4.5
$
0.8
$
11.9
$
8.4
$
7.3
$
1.3
$
19.1
$
27.6
$
24.1
$
4.6
$
62.9
$
45.3
$
39.4
$
7.0
$
103.7
$
72.9
$
63.4
$
11.6
$
166.6
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17c,
and
E.
17f.
Exhibit
F.
2s
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
Ground
Water
Systems
Serving
>
1
Million
People)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$
3.3
$
2.9
$
0.5
$
7.5
$
5.4
$
4.7
$
0.8
$
12.3
$
8.7
$
7.6
$
1.4
$
19.8
$

2007
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.1
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.4
$
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.5
$
7.9
$
6.9
$
1.3
$
18.0
$
13.0
$
11.3
$
2.0
$
29.7
$
20.9
$
18.2
$
3.3
$
47.8
$

2008
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.5
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.7
$
4.0
$
3.5
$
0.6
$
9.2
$
13.4
$
11.6
$
2.2
$
30.4
$
21.9
$
19.0
$
3.4
$
50.1
$
35.2
$
30.6
$
5.6
$
80.5
$

2009
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
5.0
$
3.6
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.3
$
5.8
$
5.1
$
0.9
$
13.4
$
19.4
$
16.9
$
3.2
$
44.0
$
31.7
$
27.5
$
4.9
$
72.6
$
51.1
$
44.4
$
8.1
$
116.6
$

2010
3.0
$
2.6
$
0.5
$
6.7
$
4.8
$
4.2
$
0.7
$
11.1
$
7.8
$
6.8
$
1.2
$
17.8
$
25.8
$
22.5
$
4.3
$
58.7
$
42.2
$
36.7
$
6.5
$
96.8
$
68.0
$
59.2
$
10.8
$
155.4
$

2011
3.7
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.5
$
6.1
$
5.3
$
0.9
$
14.0
$
9.9
$
8.6
$
1.6
$
22.5
$
32.6
$
28.4
$
5.4
$
74.2
$
53.4
$
46.4
$
8.3
$
122.4
$
86.0
$
74.8
$
13.7
$
196.6
$

2012
4.3
$
3.7
$
0.7
$
9.7
$
7.0
$
6.1
$
1.1
$
16.0
$
11.3
$
9.8
$
1.8
$
25.7
$
37.3
$
32.4
$
6.2
$
84.7
$
61.0
$
53.0
$
9.4
$
139.7
$
98.2
$
85.5
$
15.6
$
224.4
$

2013
4.7
$
4.1
$
0.8
$
10.7
$
7.7
$
6.7
$
1.2
$
17.7
$
12.4
$
10.8
$
2.0
$
28.4
$
41.1
$
35.8
$
6.8
$
93.6
$
67.4
$
58.6
$
10.4
$
154.4
$
108.5
$
94.4
$
17.3
$
247.9
$

2014
5.1
$
4.5
$
0.8
$
11.7
$
8.4
$
7.3
$
1.3
$
19.2
$
13.5
$
11.8
$
2.1
$
30.9
$
44.7
$
38.9
$
7.4
$
101.7
$
73.2
$
63.7
$
11.3
$
167.8
$
118.0
$
102.6
$
18.8
$
269.5
$

2015
5.4
$
4.7
$
0.9
$
12.3
$
8.8
$
7.7
$
1.4
$
20.3
$
14.2
$
12.4
$
2.3
$
32.5
$
47.1
$
41.0
$
7.8
$
107.1
$
77.1
$
67.1
$
11.9
$
176.8
$
124.2
$
108.1
$
19.8
$
283.9
$

2016
5.6
$
4.9
$
0.9
$
12.8
$
9.2
$
8.0
$
1.4
$
21.1
$
14.8
$
12.9
$
2.4
$
33.8
$
49.0
$
42.7
$
8.1
$
111.4
$
80.2
$
69.7
$
12.4
$
183.8
$
129.2
$
112.4
$
20.5
$
295.3
$

2017
5.8
$
5.0
$
1.0
$
13.2
$
9.5
$
8.3
$
1.5
$
21.8
$
15.3
$
13.3
$
2.4
$
34.9
$
50.6
$
44.1
$
8.4
$
115.1
$
82.9
$
72.0
$
12.8
$
189.9
$
133.5
$
116.1
$
21.2
$
305.0
$

2018
6.0
$
5.2
$
1.0
$
13.6
$
9.8
$
8.5
$
1.5
$
22.4
$
15.7
$
13.7
$
2.5
$
35.9
$
52.0
$
45.3
$
8.6
$
118.3
$
85.2
$
74.1
$
13.2
$
195.2
$
137.2
$
119.4
$
21.8
$
313.6
$

2019
6.1
$
5.3
$
1.0
$
13.9
$
10.0
$
8.7
$
1.5
$
22.9
$
16.1
$
14.0
$
2.6
$
36.8
$
53.3
$
46.4
$
8.8
$
121.3
$
87.4
$
75.9
$
13.5
$
200.1
$
140.7
$
122.3
$
22.3
$
321.4
$

2020
6.2
$
5.4
$
1.0
$
14.2
$
10.2
$
8.9
$
1.6
$
23.5
$
16.5
$
14.3
$
2.6
$
37.7
$
54.5
$
47.5
$
9.0
$
124.0
$
89.3
$
77.6
$
13.8
$
204.7
$
143.8
$
125.1
$
22.8
$
328.7
$

2021
6.4
$
5.6
$
1.1
$
14.5
$
10.5
$
9.1
$
1.6
$
23.9
$
16.8
$
14.6
$
2.7
$
38.5
$
55.6
$
48.4
$
9.2
$
126.6
$
91.2
$
79.3
$
14.1
$
209.0
$
146.8
$
127.7
$
23.3
$
335.6
$

2022
6.5
$
5.7
$
1.1
$
14.8
$
10.7
$
9.3
$
1.6
$
24.4
$
17.2
$
14.9
$
2.7
$
39.2
$
56.7
$
49.4
$
9.4
$
129.1
$
93.0
$
80.8
$
14.4
$
213.1
$
149.7
$
130.2
$
23.8
$
342.1
$

2023
6.6
$
5.8
$
1.1
$
15.1
$
10.9
$
9.4
$
1.7
$
24.9
$
17.5
$
15.2
$
2.8
$
39.9
$
57.8
$
50.3
$
9.5
$
131.5
$
94.7
$
82.3
$
14.7
$
217.0
$
152.5
$
132.6
$
24.2
$
348.4
$

2024
6.7
$
5.9
$
1.1
$
15.3
$
11.0
$
9.6
$
1.7
$
25.3
$
17.8
$
15.5
$
2.8
$
40.6
$
58.8
$
51.2
$
9.7
$
133.8
$
96.4
$
83.8
$
14.9
$
220.8
$
155.1
$
134.9
$
24.6
$
354.5
$

2025
6.8
$
6.0
$
1.1
$
15.6
$
11.2
$
9.8
$
1.7
$
25.7
$
18.1
$
15.7
$
2.9
$
41.3
$
59.7
$
52.0
$
9.8
$
136.0
$
98.0
$
85.2
$
15.2
$
224.5
$
157.7
$
137.2
$
25.0
$
360.5
$

2026
7.0
$
6.1
$
1.1
$
15.8
$
11.4
$
9.9
$
1.8
$
26.1
$
18.4
$
16.0
$
2.9
$
42.0
$
60.7
$
52.8
$
10.0
$
138.2
$
99.6
$
86.5
$
15.4
$
228.1
$
160.3
$
139.4
$
25.4
$
366.3
$

2027
7.1
$
6.1
$
1.2
$
16.1
$
11.6
$
10.1
$
1.8
$
26.5
$
18.7
$
16.2
$
3.0
$
42.6
$
61.6
$
53.7
$
10.1
$
140.3
$
101.1
$
87.9
$
15.7
$
231.7
$
162.8
$
141.6
$
25.8
$
372.0
$

Total
108.0
$
94.1
$
17.9
$
245.8
$
177.1
$
153.9
$
27.4
$
405.7
$
285.1
$
248.0
$
45.3
$
651.5
$
943.0
$
821.1
$
155.9
$
2,145.4
$
1,545.3
$
1,343.1
$
239.3
$
3,540.5
$
2,488.3
$
2,164.3
$
395.1
$
5,685.8
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17c,
and
E.
17f.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
2t
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
All
Ground
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
4.4
$
3.9
$
0.7
$
10.1
$
7.3
$
6.3
$
1.1
$
16.6
$
11.7
$
10.2
$
1.9
$
26.7
$
38.8
$
33.8
$
6.5
$
88.1
$
63.4
$
55.1
$
9.8
$
145.3
$
102.2
$
88.9
$
16.3
$
233.4
$

2007
10.7
$
9.3
$
1.8
$
24.3
$
17.5
$
15.2
$
2.7
$
40.1
$
28.2
$
24.5
$
4.5
$
64.4
$
93.4
$
81.3
$
15.6
$
212.2
$
152.8
$
132.8
$
23.6
$
350.0
$
246.1
$
214.1
$
39.2
$
562.2
$

2008
18.0
$
15.7
$
3.0
$
41.0
$
29.5
$
25.6
$
4.6
$
67.6
$
47.5
$
41.3
$
7.6
$
108.6
$
157.3
$
137.0
$
26.2
$
357.6
$
257.4
$
223.7
$
39.8
$
589.7
$
414.7
$
360.7
$
66.1
$
947.4
$

2009
26.1
$
22.7
$
4.3
$
59.4
$
42.7
$
37.1
$
6.6
$
97.9
$
68.9
$
59.9
$
11.0
$
157.3
$
227.9
$
198.5
$
37.9
$
518.1
$
373.0
$
324.2
$
57.7
$
854.5
$
600.9
$
522.7
$
95.7
$
1,372.7
$

2010
34.8
$
30.3
$
5.8
$
79.1
$
57.0
$
49.5
$
8.8
$
130.5
$
91.8
$
79.8
$
14.6
$
209.7
$
303.8
$
264.6
$
50.5
$
690.6
$
497.2
$
432.1
$
77.0
$
1,139.1
$
801.0
$
696.7
$
127.5
$
1,829.8
$

2011
44.0
$
38.3
$
7.3
$
100.1
$
72.0
$
62.6
$
11.2
$
165.0
$
116.0
$
100.9
$
18.5
$
265.1
$
384.1
$
334.5
$
63.8
$
873.3
$
628.7
$
546.4
$
97.3
$
1,440.4
$
1,012.8
$
880.9
$
161.2
$
2,313.7
$

2012
49.2
$
42.8
$
8.2
$
111.8
$
80.5
$
70.0
$
12.5
$
184.4
$
129.7
$
112.8
$
20.6
$
296.3
$
429.1
$
373.7
$
71.3
$
975.8
$
702.6
$
610.6
$
108.8
$
1,609.7
$
1,131.7
$
984.4
$
180.0
$
2,585.5
$

2013
52.9
$
46.1
$
8.8
$
120.4
$
86.7
$
75.3
$
13.4
$
198.5
$
139.6
$
121.4
$
22.2
$
318.9
$
461.9
$
402.2
$
76.7
$
1,050.3
$
756.3
$
657.3
$
117.1
$
1,732.7
$
1,218.1
$
1,059.6
$
193.7
$
2,783.0
$

2014
56.0
$
48.7
$
9.3
$
127.3
$
91.7
$
79.7
$
14.2
$
210.0
$
147.6
$
128.4
$
23.5
$
337.3
$
488.5
$
425.4
$
81.0
$
1,110.9
$
800.0
$
695.3
$
123.8
$
1,832.8
$
1,288.4
$
1,120.7
$
204.9
$
2,943.8
$

2015
58.3
$
50.8
$
9.7
$
132.7
$
95.6
$
83.1
$
14.8
$
218.9
$
153.9
$
133.9
$
24.5
$
351.6
$
509.2
$
443.4
$
84.4
$
1,158.1
$
834.0
$
724.9
$
129.1
$
1,910.7
$
1,343.2
$
1,168.3
$
213.5
$
3,068.9
$

2016
60.3
$
52.6
$
10.0
$
137.3
$
98.9
$
85.9
$
15.3
$
226.5
$
159.2
$
138.5
$
25.3
$
363.8
$
526.7
$
458.7
$
87.2
$
1,198.0
$
862.8
$
749.9
$
133.6
$
1,976.7
$
1,389.4
$
1,208.6
$
220.8
$
3,174.7
$

2017
62.1
$
54.1
$
10.3
$
141.3
$
101.8
$
88.5
$
15.8
$
233.2
$
163.9
$
142.6
$
26.0
$
374.5
$
542.1
$
472.1
$
89.7
$
1,233.2
$
888.2
$
772.0
$
137.5
$
2,034.9
$
1,430.3
$
1,244.1
$
227.2
$
3,268.1
$

2018
63.7
$
55.5
$
10.5
$
145.0
$
104.4
$
90.8
$
16.2
$
239.2
$
168.1
$
146.2
$
26.7
$
384.2
$
556.1
$
484.3
$
92.0
$
1,265.2
$
911.2
$
792.1
$
141.1
$
2,087.8
$
1,467.4
$
1,276.3
$
233.1
$
3,353.0
$

2019
65.2
$
56.8
$
10.8
$
148.4
$
106.9
$
92.9
$
16.5
$
244.8
$
172.1
$
149.7
$
27.3
$
393.2
$
569.1
$
495.6
$
94.1
$
1,294.8
$
932.6
$
810.6
$
144.4
$
2,136.8
$
1,501.7
$
1,306.2
$
238.5
$
3,431.6
$

2020
66.6
$
58.0
$
11.0
$
151.6
$
109.2
$
94.9
$
16.9
$
250.1
$
175.8
$
152.9
$
27.9
$
401.7
$
581.3
$
506.2
$
96.0
$
1,322.7
$
952.8
$
828.1
$
147.5
$
2,182.9
$
1,534.0
$
1,334.3
$
243.5
$
3,505.5
$

2021
67.9
$
59.2
$
11.2
$
154.6
$
111.4
$
96.8
$
17.2
$
255.1
$
179.3
$
156.0
$
28.5
$
409.7
$
592.9
$
516.3
$
97.9
$
1,349.2
$
971.9
$
844.8
$
150.5
$
2,226.8
$
1,564.8
$
1,361.0
$
248.3
$
3,575.9
$

2022
69.2
$
60.3
$
11.4
$
157.5
$
113.5
$
98.6
$
17.6
$
260.0
$
182.7
$
158.9
$
29.0
$
417.5
$
604.0
$
526.0
$
99.6
$
1,374.6
$
990.3
$
860.7
$
153.3
$
2,268.8
$
1,594.3
$
1,386.7
$
253.0
$
3,643.4
$

2023
70.4
$
61.3
$
11.6
$
160.3
$
115.5
$
100.4
$
17.9
$
264.6
$
185.9
$
161.7
$
29.5
$
424.9
$
614.8
$
535.3
$
101.3
$
1,399.1
$
1,008.0
$
876.1
$
156.1
$
2,309.5
$
1,622.8
$
1,411.4
$
257.4
$
3,708.6
$

2024
71.6
$
62.4
$
11.8
$
163.1
$
117.5
$
102.1
$
18.2
$
269.2
$
189.1
$
164.5
$
30.0
$
432.2
$
625.2
$
544.4
$
103.0
$
1,423.0
$
1,025.3
$
891.1
$
158.8
$
2,349.0
$
1,650.5
$
1,435.5
$
261.7
$
3,772.0
$

2025
72.8
$
63.4
$
12.0
$
165.7
$
119.4
$
103.8
$
18.5
$
273.6
$
192.2
$
167.2
$
30.5
$
439.3
$
635.4
$
553.2
$
104.6
$
1,446.3
$
1,042.1
$
905.8
$
161.4
$
2,387.6
$
1,677.5
$
1,459.0
$
266.0
$
3,833.9
$

2026
74.0
$
64.4
$
12.2
$
168.3
$
121.3
$
105.4
$
18.8
$
277.9
$
195.3
$
169.8
$
31.0
$
446.3
$
645.4
$
561.9
$
106.2
$
1,469.2
$
1,058.6
$
920.1
$
163.9
$
2,425.5
$
1,704.0
$
1,482.0
$
270.1
$
3,894.7
$

2027
75.1
$
65.4
$
12.3
$
170.9
$
123.2
$
107.1
$
19.1
$
282.2
$
198.2
$
172.4
$
31.4
$
453.1
$
655.2
$
570.5
$
107.7
$
1,491.7
$
1,074.9
$
934.3
$
166.5
$
2,462.8
$
1,730.2
$
1,504.7
$
274.2
$
3,954.5
$

Total
1,173.6
$
1,022.0
$
194.0
$
2,670.0
$
1,923.2
$
1,671.6
$
297.8
$
4,406.2
$
3,096.7
$
2,693.5
$
491.8
$
7,076.2
$
10,242.2
$
8,918.9
$
1,693.3
$
23,302.0
$
16,783.9
$
14,588.1
$
2,598.6
$
38,454.2
$
27,026.1
$
23,507.0
$
4,291.9
$
61,756.2
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
2j
and
F.
2t.
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
2u
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
4.1
$
3.5
$
0.7
$
9.2
$
6.6
$
5.8
$
1.0
$
15.2
$
10.7
$
9.3
$
1.7
$
24.5
$
35.5
$
30.9
$
5.9
$
80.6
$
58.0
$
50.4
$
9.0
$
133.0
$
93.5
$
81.3
$
14.9
$
213.6
$

2007
9.5
$
8.3
$
1.6
$
21.6
$
15.6
$
13.5
$
2.4
$
35.6
$
25.1
$
21.8
$
4.0
$
57.2
$
83.0
$
72.3
$
13.8
$
188.6
$
135.7
$
118.0
$
21.0
$
311.0
$
218.7
$
190.2
$
34.8
$
499.5
$

2008
15.5
$
13.5
$
2.6
$
35.3
$
25.4
$
22.1
$
3.9
$
58.3
$
41.0
$
35.7
$
6.5
$
93.6
$
135.7
$
118.2
$
22.6
$
308.5
$
222.0
$
193.0
$
34.4
$
508.7
$
357.8
$
311.2
$
57.0
$
817.2
$

2009
21.9
$
19.0
$
3.6
$
49.7
$
35.8
$
31.1
$
5.5
$
82.0
$
57.7
$
50.2
$
9.2
$
131.7
$
190.9
$
166.2
$
31.8
$
433.9
$
312.4
$
271.5
$
48.4
$
715.7
$
503.3
$
437.7
$
80.1
$
1,149.6
$

2010
28.3
$
24.6
$
4.7
$
64.3
$
46.3
$
40.3
$
7.2
$
106.1
$
74.6
$
64.9
$
11.9
$
170.5
$
247.0
$
215.1
$
41.1
$
561.6
$
404.3
$
351.4
$
62.6
$
926.2
$
651.3
$
566.5
$
103.7
$
1,487.8
$

2011
34.7
$
30.3
$
5.8
$
79.0
$
56.9
$
49.4
$
8.8
$
130.3
$
91.6
$
79.7
$
14.6
$
209.3
$
303.2
$
264.1
$
50.4
$
689.4
$
496.3
$
431.4
$
76.8
$
1,137.1
$
799.5
$
695.4
$
127.2
$
1,826.4
$

2012
37.7
$
32.8
$
6.3
$
85.7
$
61.7
$
53.6
$
9.6
$
141.4
$
99.4
$
86.4
$
15.8
$
227.1
$
328.9
$
286.4
$
54.6
$
747.9
$
538.5
$
468.0
$
83.4
$
1,233.7
$
867.4
$
754.5
$
138.0
$
1,981.6
$

2013
39.4
$
34.3
$
6.5
$
89.6
$
64.5
$
56.0
$
10.0
$
147.7
$
103.9
$
90.3
$
16.5
$
237.3
$
343.7
$
299.3
$
57.0
$
781.5
$
562.7
$
489.1
$
87.1
$
1,289.3
$
906.4
$
788.4
$
144.2
$
2,070.8
$

2014
40.4
$
35.2
$
6.7
$
92.0
$
66.2
$
57.6
$
10.3
$
151.7
$
106.7
$
92.8
$
17.0
$
243.7
$
352.9
$
307.3
$
58.5
$
802.6
$
577.9
$
502.3
$
89.5
$
1,324.1
$
930.8
$
809.6
$
148.0
$
2,126.6
$

2015
40.9
$
35.6
$
6.8
$
93.1
$
67.0
$
58.3
$
10.4
$
153.6
$
107.9
$
93.9
$
17.2
$
246.6
$
357.1
$
311.0
$
59.2
$
812.3
$
584.9
$
508.4
$
90.6
$
1,340.2
$
942.1
$
819.4
$
149.7
$
2,152.4
$

2016
41.1
$
35.8
$
6.8
$
93.5
$
67.3
$
58.5
$
10.4
$
154.2
$
108.4
$
94.3
$
17.2
$
247.7
$
358.6
$
312.3
$
59.4
$
815.8
$
587.5
$
510.6
$
91.0
$
1,346.0
$
946.1
$
823.0
$
150.4
$
2,161.8
$

2017
41.1
$
35.8
$
6.8
$
93.4
$
67.3
$
58.5
$
10.4
$
154.2
$
108.3
$
94.2
$
17.2
$
247.6
$
358.4
$
312.1
$
59.3
$
815.3
$
587.2
$
510.4
$
90.9
$
1,345.3
$
945.6
$
822.5
$
150.2
$
2,160.6
$

2018
40.9
$
35.6
$
6.8
$
93.0
$
67.0
$
58.3
$
10.4
$
153.5
$
107.9
$
93.9
$
17.1
$
246.6
$
357.0
$
310.8
$
59.0
$
812.1
$
584.9
$
508.4
$
90.6
$
1,340.1
$
941.8
$
819.2
$
149.6
$
2,152.1
$

2019
40.6
$
35.4
$
6.7
$
92.5
$
66.6
$
57.9
$
10.3
$
152.6
$
107.2
$
93.3
$
17.0
$
245.0
$
354.6
$
308.8
$
58.6
$
806.9
$
581.2
$
505.2
$
90.0
$
1,331.6
$
935.8
$
814.0
$
148.6
$
2,138.4
$

2020
40.3
$
35.1
$
6.7
$
91.7
$
66.0
$
57.4
$
10.2
$
151.3
$
106.3
$
92.5
$
16.9
$
243.0
$
351.7
$
306.3
$
58.1
$
800.2
$
576.4
$
501.0
$
89.3
$
1,320.7
$
928.1
$
807.3
$
147.3
$
2,120.9
$

2021
39.9
$
34.7
$
6.6
$
90.8
$
65.4
$
56.9
$
10.1
$
149.9
$
105.3
$
91.6
$
16.7
$
240.7
$
348.3
$
303.3
$
57.5
$
792.5
$
570.9
$
496.2
$
88.4
$
1,308.0
$
919.2
$
799.5
$
145.9
$
2,100.5
$

2022
39.5
$
34.4
$
6.5
$
89.8
$
64.7
$
56.2
$
10.0
$
148.3
$
104.2
$
90.6
$
16.5
$
238.1
$
344.5
$
299.9
$
56.8
$
783.9
$
564.7
$
490.9
$
87.4
$
1,293.9
$
909.2
$
790.8
$
144.3
$
2,077.8
$

2023
39.0
$
34.0
$
6.4
$
88.8
$
63.9
$
55.6
$
9.9
$
146.5
$
103.0
$
89.5
$
16.3
$
235.3
$
340.4
$
296.4
$
56.1
$
774.7
$
558.1
$
485.1
$
86.4
$
1,278.7
$
898.5
$
781.5
$
142.5
$
2,053.4
$

2024
38.5
$
33.5
$
6.3
$
87.6
$
63.1
$
54.9
$
9.8
$
144.7
$
101.7
$
88.4
$
16.1
$
232.3
$
336.1
$
292.6
$
55.4
$
764.9
$
551.1
$
479.0
$
85.3
$
1,262.7
$
887.2
$
771.6
$
140.7
$
2,027.6
$

2025
38.0
$
33.1
$
6.3
$
86.5
$
62.3
$
54.2
$
9.6
$
142.8
$
100.3
$
87.2
$
15.9
$
229.3
$
331.6
$
288.7
$
54.6
$
754.8
$
543.9
$
472.7
$
84.2
$
1,246.1
$
875.5
$
761.4
$
138.8
$
2,000.9
$

2026
37.5
$
32.6
$
6.2
$
85.3
$
61.5
$
53.4
$
9.5
$
140.8
$
98.9
$
86.0
$
15.7
$
226.1
$
327.0
$
284.7
$
53.8
$
744.4
$
536.4
$
466.2
$
83.1
$
1,229.0
$
863.4
$
750.9
$
136.9
$
1,973.4
$

2027
36.9
$
32.2
$
6.1
$
84.1
$
60.6
$
52.7
$
9.4
$
138.8
$
97.5
$
84.8
$
15.5
$
222.9
$
322.3
$
280.6
$
53.0
$
733.8
$
528.8
$
459.6
$
81.9
$
1,211.5
$
851.1
$
740.2
$
134.9
$
1,945.4
$

Total
745.7
$
649.4
$
123.4
$
1,696.5
$
1,221.9
$
1,062.0
$
189.2
$
2,799.5
$
1,967.7
$
1,711.4
$
312.5
$
4,496.1
$
6,508.3
$
5,667.5
$
1,076.6
$
14,806.1
$
10,663.9
$
9,268.8
$
1,651.1
$
24,432.4
$
17,172.2
$
14,936.3
$
2,727.7
$
39,238.5
$

Ann.
42.8
$
37.3
$
7.1
$
97.4
$
70.2
$
61.0
$
10.9
$
160.8
$
113.0
$
98.3
$
17.9
$
258.2
$
373.8
$
325.5
$
61.8
$
850.3
$
612.4
$
532.3
$
94.8
$
1,403.1
$
986.2
$
857.8
$
156.6
$
2,253.4
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
2u.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
2v
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
3.6
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.2
$
5.9
$
5.2
$
0.9
$
13.6
$
9.6
$
8.3
$
1.5
$
21.8
$
31.6
$
27.6
$
5.3
$
71.9
$
51.8
$
45.0
$
8.0
$
118.6
$
83.4
$
72.6
$
13.3
$
190.5
$

2007
8.2
$
7.1
$
1.4
$
18.6
$
13.4
$
11.6
$
2.1
$
30.6
$
21.5
$
18.7
$
3.4
$
49.1
$
71.2
$
62.0
$
11.9
$
161.9
$
116.5
$
101.3
$
18.0
$
267.0
$
187.8
$
163.3
$
29.9
$
428.9
$

2008
12.9
$
11.2
$
2.1
$
29.2
$
21.0
$
18.3
$
3.3
$
48.2
$
33.9
$
29.5
$
5.4
$
77.4
$
112.2
$
97.7
$
18.7
$
255.0
$
183.5
$
159.5
$
28.4
$
420.5
$
295.7
$
257.2
$
47.1
$
675.4
$

2009
17.4
$
15.2
$
2.9
$
39.6
$
28.5
$
24.8
$
4.4
$
65.2
$
45.9
$
39.9
$
7.3
$
104.8
$
151.9
$
132.3
$
25.3
$
345.3
$
248.5
$
216.0
$
38.5
$
569.4
$
400.4
$
348.3
$
63.8
$
914.7
$

2010
21.7
$
18.9
$
3.6
$
49.3
$
35.5
$
30.8
$
5.5
$
81.3
$
57.2
$
49.7
$
9.1
$
130.6
$
189.2
$
164.8
$
31.5
$
430.1
$
309.6
$
269.1
$
47.9
$
709.4
$
498.8
$
433.9
$
79.4
$
1,139.5
$

2011
25.6
$
22.3
$
4.3
$
58.2
$
41.9
$
36.4
$
6.5
$
96.1
$
67.5
$
58.7
$
10.7
$
154.3
$
223.5
$
194.7
$
37.2
$
508.2
$
365.9
$
318.0
$
56.6
$
838.3
$
589.4
$
512.7
$
93.8
$
1,346.6
$

2012
26.7
$
23.3
$
4.4
$
60.8
$
43.8
$
38.1
$
6.8
$
100.3
$
70.5
$
61.4
$
11.2
$
161.1
$
233.4
$
203.3
$
38.8
$
530.8
$
382.2
$
332.2
$
59.2
$
875.6
$
615.6
$
535.4
$
97.9
$
1,406.3
$

2013
26.9
$
23.4
$
4.5
$
61.2
$
44.1
$
38.3
$
6.8
$
100.9
$
71.0
$
61.7
$
11.3
$
162.1
$
234.8
$
204.5
$
39.0
$
533.9
$
384.5
$
334.1
$
59.5
$
880.8
$
619.2
$
538.6
$
98.5
$
1,414.8
$

2014
26.6
$
23.2
$
4.4
$
60.5
$
43.5
$
37.9
$
6.7
$
99.8
$
70.1
$
61.0
$
11.2
$
160.3
$
232.1
$
202.1
$
38.5
$
527.8
$
380.1
$
330.3
$
58.8
$
870.8
$
612.1
$
532.4
$
97.3
$
1,398.6
$

2015
25.9
$
22.6
$
4.3
$
58.9
$
42.4
$
36.9
$
6.6
$
97.2
$
68.3
$
59.4
$
10.9
$
156.1
$
226.1
$
196.9
$
37.5
$
514.2
$
370.3
$
321.9
$
57.3
$
848.4
$
596.4
$
518.7
$
94.8
$
1,362.6
$

2016
25.0
$
21.8
$
4.1
$
57.0
$
41.0
$
35.7
$
6.4
$
94.0
$
66.1
$
57.5
$
10.5
$
151.0
$
218.6
$
190.3
$
36.2
$
497.1
$
358.0
$
311.2
$
55.4
$
820.3
$
576.6
$
501.5
$
91.6
$
1,317.4
$

2017
24.1
$
21.0
$
4.0
$
54.8
$
39.5
$
34.3
$
6.1
$
90.4
$
63.6
$
55.3
$
10.1
$
145.2
$
210.2
$
183.1
$
34.8
$
478.3
$
344.4
$
299.4
$
53.3
$
789.2
$
554.7
$
482.5
$
88.1
$
1,267.4
$

2018
23.1
$
20.1
$
3.8
$
52.5
$
37.8
$
32.9
$
5.9
$
86.7
$
60.9
$
53.0
$
9.7
$
139.2
$
201.6
$
175.5
$
33.3
$
458.6
$
330.3
$
287.1
$
51.1
$
756.7
$
531.8
$
462.6
$
84.5
$
1,215.3
$

2019
22.1
$
19.2
$
3.7
$
50.3
$
36.2
$
31.5
$
5.6
$
82.9
$
58.3
$
50.7
$
9.3
$
133.2
$
192.8
$
167.9
$
31.9
$
438.6
$
315.9
$
274.6
$
48.9
$
723.8
$
508.7
$
442.5
$
80.8
$
1,162.4
$

2020
21.1
$
18.4
$
3.5
$
48.0
$
34.6
$
30.0
$
5.4
$
79.2
$
55.6
$
48.4
$
8.8
$
127.2
$
184.0
$
160.2
$
30.4
$
418.7
$
301.6
$
262.2
$
46.7
$
691.0
$
485.6
$
422.4
$
77.1
$
1,109.8
$

2021
20.1
$
17.5
$
3.3
$
45.7
$
32.9
$
28.6
$
5.1
$
75.5
$
53.0
$
46.1
$
8.4
$
121.2
$
175.4
$
152.7
$
29.0
$
399.2
$
287.5
$
249.9
$
44.5
$
658.8
$
463.0
$
402.7
$
73.5
$
1,058.0
$

2022
19.1
$
16.7
$
3.2
$
43.6
$
31.4
$
27.3
$
4.9
$
71.9
$
50.5
$
43.9
$
8.0
$
115.4
$
167.0
$
145.4
$
27.5
$
380.1
$
273.8
$
238.0
$
42.4
$
627.4
$
440.8
$
383.4
$
69.9
$
1,007.4
$

2023
18.2
$
15.9
$
3.0
$
41.4
$
29.8
$
25.9
$
4.6
$
68.4
$
48.1
$
41.8
$
7.6
$
109.8
$
158.9
$
138.3
$
26.2
$
361.6
$
260.5
$
226.4
$
40.3
$
596.8
$
419.4
$
364.7
$
66.5
$
958.4
$

2024
17.3
$
15.1
$
2.9
$
39.4
$
28.4
$
24.7
$
4.4
$
65.0
$
45.7
$
39.7
$
7.2
$
104.4
$
151.0
$
131.5
$
24.9
$
343.7
$
247.6
$
215.2
$
38.3
$
567.3
$
398.6
$
346.7
$
63.2
$
911.0
$

2025
16.4
$
14.3
$
2.7
$
37.4
$
27.0
$
23.4
$
4.2
$
61.8
$
43.4
$
37.7
$
6.9
$
99.2
$
143.4
$
124.9
$
23.6
$
326.4
$
235.2
$
204.4
$
36.4
$
538.9
$
378.6
$
329.3
$
60.0
$
865.4
$

2026
15.6
$
13.6
$
2.6
$
35.5
$
25.6
$
22.2
$
4.0
$
58.6
$
41.2
$
35.8
$
6.5
$
94.1
$
136.1
$
118.5
$
22.4
$
309.9
$
223.3
$
194.1
$
34.6
$
511.7
$
359.5
$
312.6
$
57.0
$
821.6
$

2027
14.8
$
12.9
$
2.4
$
33.7
$
24.3
$
21.1
$
3.8
$
55.6
$
39.1
$
34.0
$
6.2
$
89.3
$
129.2
$
112.5
$
21.2
$
294.1
$
211.9
$
184.2
$
32.8
$
485.5
$
341.1
$
296.7
$
54.1
$
779.6
$

Total
432.5
$
376.6
$
71.6
$
983.7
$
708.5
$
615.8
$
109.7
$
1,623.2
$
1,140.9
$
992.4
$
181.3
$
2,606.9
$
3,774.2
$
3,286.7
$
624.9
$
8,585.3
$
6,183.1
$
5,374.1
$
957.3
$
14,166.2
$
9,957.3
$
8,660.8
$
1,582.1
$
22,751.5
$

Ann.
37.1
$
32.3
$
6.1
$
84.4
$
60.8
$
52.8
$
9.4
$
139.3
$
97.9
$
85.2
$
15.6
$
223.7
$
323.9
$
282.0
$
53.6
$
736.7
$
530.6
$
461.2
$
82.1
$
1,215.6
$
854.4
$
743.2
$
135.8
$
1,952.3
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
2u.
Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Exhibit
F.
2w
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
(
All
Water
Systems)

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
1.7
$
1.1
$
4.0
$
3.3
$
10.7
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.4
$
3.1
$
15.0
$
9.3
$
35.1
$
29.0
$
93.5
$

2007
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.8
$
4.0
$
2.5
$
9.4
$
7.8
$
25.1
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.8
$
3.4
$
7.2
$
35.1
$
21.7
$
82.0
$
67.7
$
218.7
$

2008
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.3
$
6.6
$
4.1
$
15.4
$
12.7
$
41.0
$
0.2
$
1.1
$
1.4
$
5.5
$
11.7
$
57.4
$
35.5
$
134.2
$
110.8
$
357.8
$

2009
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
1.9
$
9.3
$
5.7
$
21.6
$
17.9
$
57.7
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
1.9
$
7.7
$
16.5
$
80.8
$
49.9
$
188.7
$
155.9
$
503.3
$

2010
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
12.0
$
7.4
$
28.0
$
23.1
$
74.6
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.5
$
10.0
$
21.3
$
104.5
$
64.6
$
244.2
$
201.7
$
651.3
$

2011
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.4
$
3.0
$
14.7
$
9.1
$
34.4
$
28.4
$
91.6
$
0.4
$
2.6
$
3.0
$
12.3
$
26.2
$
128.3
$
79.3
$
299.8
$
247.6
$
799.5
$

2012
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.7
$
3.5
$
15.9
$
9.8
$
37.1
$
30.6
$
99.4
$
0.5
$
3.0
$
3.6
$
14.5
$
31.0
$
138.5
$
85.6
$
323.5
$
267.2
$
867.4
$

2013
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
1.9
$
4.1
$
16.5
$
10.2
$
38.5
$
31.8
$
103.9
$
0.5
$
3.5
$
4.2
$
16.7
$
35.7
$
143.8
$
88.9
$
335.8
$
277.3
$
906.4
$

2014
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
2.2
$
4.6
$
16.8
$
10.4
$
39.2
$
32.4
$
106.7
$
0.6
$
4.0
$
4.7
$
18.9
$
40.4
$
146.6
$
90.6
$
342.4
$
282.8
$
930.8
$

2015
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
4.8
$
16.9
$
10.5
$
39.6
$
32.7
$
107.9
$
0.6
$
4.1
$
4.9
$
19.8
$
42.3
$
147.9
$
91.4
$
345.6
$
285.4
$
942.1
$

2016
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
5.0
$
17.0
$
10.5
$
39.7
$
32.8
$
108.4
$
0.6
$
4.2
$
5.0
$
20.3
$
43.2
$
148.3
$
91.7
$
346.5
$
286.2
$
946.1
$

2017
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
5.0
$
17.0
$
10.5
$
39.6
$
32.7
$
108.3
$
0.6
$
4.3
$
5.1
$
20.5
$
43.7
$
148.1
$
91.6
$
346.0
$
285.7
$
945.6
$

2018
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.4
$
5.0
$
16.9
$
10.4
$
39.5
$
32.6
$
107.9
$
0.6
$
4.3
$
5.1
$
20.5
$
43.8
$
147.4
$
91.1
$
344.4
$
284.4
$
941.8
$

2019
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
5.0
$
16.8
$
10.4
$
39.2
$
32.4
$
107.2
$
0.6
$
4.3
$
5.1
$
20.5
$
43.8
$
146.4
$
90.5
$
342.1
$
282.5
$
935.8
$

2020
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
5.0
$
16.6
$
10.3
$
38.9
$
32.1
$
106.3
$
0.6
$
4.3
$
5.1
$
20.4
$
43.6
$
145.2
$
89.7
$
339.2
$
280.1
$
928.1
$

2021
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
5.0
$
16.5
$
10.2
$
38.5
$
31.8
$
105.3
$
0.6
$
4.2
$
5.0
$
20.3
$
43.3
$
143.7
$
88.9
$
335.8
$
277.3
$
919.2
$

2022
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
4.9
$
16.3
$
10.1
$
38.1
$
31.4
$
104.2
$
0.6
$
4.2
$
5.0
$
20.1
$
42.9
$
142.2
$
87.9
$
332.1
$
274.3
$
909.2
$

2023
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
4.9
$
16.1
$
9.9
$
37.6
$
31.1
$
103.0
$
0.6
$
4.2
$
4.9
$
19.9
$
42.4
$
140.5
$
86.8
$
328.2
$
271.0
$
898.5
$

2024
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
4.8
$
15.9
$
9.8
$
37.1
$
30.7
$
101.7
$
0.6
$
4.1
$
4.9
$
19.6
$
42.0
$
138.7
$
85.7
$
324.0
$
267.6
$
887.2
$

2025
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.2
$
4.7
$
15.7
$
9.7
$
36.6
$
30.3
$
100.3
$
0.6
$
4.1
$
4.8
$
19.4
$
41.5
$
136.8
$
84.6
$
319.7
$
264.0
$
875.5
$

2026
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
2.2
$
4.7
$
15.5
$
9.6
$
36.1
$
29.8
$
98.9
$
0.6
$
4.0
$
4.8
$
19.2
$
40.9
$
134.9
$
83.4
$
315.3
$
260.3
$
863.4
$

2027
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
2.2
$
4.6
$
15.2
$
9.4
$
35.6
$
29.4
$
97.5
$
0.6
$
4.0
$
4.7
$
18.9
$
40.4
$
133.0
$
82.2
$
310.8
$
256.6
$
851.1
$

Total
1.3
$
8.4
$
10.0
$
40.1
$
85.5
$
309.7
$
191.5
$
723.7
$
597.6
$
1,967.7
$
11.0
$
73.1
$
86.9
$
349.6
$
746.6
$
2,703.2
$
1,671.0
$
6,315.5
$
5,215.3
$
17,172.2
$

Ann.
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
4.9
$
17.8
$
11.0
$
41.6
$
34.3
$
113.0
$
0.6
$
4.2
$
5.0
$
20.1
$
42.9
$
155.2
$
96.0
$
362.7
$
299.5
$
986.2
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
2j
and
F.
2t.
Exhibit
F.
2x
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
1.5
$
0.9
$
3.6
$
3.0
$
9.6
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
2.7
$
13.4
$
8.3
$
31.3
$
25.8
$
83.4
$

2007
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
3.5
$
2.1
$
8.1
$
6.7
$
21.5
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.7
$
2.9
$
6.1
$
30.1
$
18.6
$
70.4
$
58.2
$
187.8
$

2008
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.1
$
5.4
$
3.4
$
12.7
$
10.5
$
33.9
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.1
$
4.5
$
9.7
$
47.5
$
29.3
$
110.9
$
91.6
$
295.7
$

2009
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.5
$
7.4
$
4.6
$
17.2
$
14.2
$
45.9
$
0.2
$
1.3
$
1.5
$
6.1
$
13.1
$
64.3
$
39.7
$
150.2
$
124.0
$
400.4
$

2010
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
1.9
$
9.2
$
5.7
$
21.4
$
17.7
$
57.2
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
1.9
$
7.6
$
16.3
$
80.1
$
49.5
$
187.1
$
154.5
$
498.8
$

2011
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.0
$
2.2
$
10.8
$
6.7
$
25.3
$
20.9
$
67.5
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.2
$
9.0
$
19.3
$
94.6
$
58.5
$
221.1
$
182.5
$
589.4
$

2012
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.5
$
11.3
$
7.0
$
26.3
$
21.7
$
70.5
$
0.3
$
2.2
$
2.6
$
10.3
$
22.0
$
98.3
$
60.8
$
229.6
$
189.6
$
615.6
$

2013
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
2.8
$
11.3
$
7.0
$
26.3
$
21.7
$
71.0
$
0.4
$
2.4
$
2.8
$
11.4
$
24.4
$
98.2
$
60.7
$
229.4
$
189.5
$
619.2
$

2014
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.4
$
3.0
$
11.0
$
6.8
$
25.8
$
21.3
$
70.1
$
0.4
$
2.6
$
3.1
$
12.4
$
26.5
$
96.4
$
59.6
$
225.2
$
186.0
$
612.1
$

2015
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.4
$
3.1
$
10.7
$
6.6
$
25.1
$
20.7
$
68.3
$
0.4
$
2.6
$
3.1
$
12.5
$
26.8
$
93.6
$
57.9
$
218.8
$
180.7
$
596.4
$

2016
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.4
$
3.0
$
10.4
$
6.4
$
24.2
$
20.0
$
66.1
$
0.4
$
2.6
$
3.1
$
12.3
$
26.4
$
90.4
$
55.9
$
211.2
$
174.4
$
576.6
$

2017
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.4
$
2.9
$
10.0
$
6.2
$
23.3
$
19.2
$
63.6
$
0.4
$
2.5
$
3.0
$
12.0
$
25.6
$
86.9
$
53.7
$
203.0
$
167.6
$
554.7
$

2018
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
2.8
$
9.5
$
5.9
$
22.3
$
18.4
$
60.9
$
0.4
$
2.4
$
2.9
$
11.6
$
24.7
$
83.3
$
51.5
$
194.5
$
160.6
$
531.8
$

2019
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
2.7
$
9.1
$
5.6
$
21.3
$
17.6
$
58.3
$
0.4
$
2.3
$
2.8
$
11.1
$
23.8
$
79.6
$
49.2
$
186.0
$
153.6
$
508.7
$

2020
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.6
$
8.7
$
5.4
$
20.3
$
16.8
$
55.6
$
0.3
$
2.2
$
2.7
$
10.7
$
22.8
$
76.0
$
47.0
$
177.5
$
146.6
$
485.6
$

2021
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.5
$
8.3
$
5.1
$
19.4
$
16.0
$
53.0
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.5
$
10.2
$
21.8
$
72.4
$
44.8
$
169.2
$
139.7
$
463.0
$

2022
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
7.9
$
4.9
$
18.5
$
15.2
$
50.5
$
0.3
$
2.0
$
2.4
$
9.7
$
20.8
$
68.9
$
42.6
$
161.0
$
133.0
$
440.8
$

2023
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.3
$
7.5
$
4.6
$
17.6
$
14.5
$
48.1
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.3
$
9.3
$
19.8
$
65.6
$
40.5
$
153.2
$
126.5
$
419.4
$

2024
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.0
$
2.2
$
7.1
$
4.4
$
16.7
$
13.8
$
45.7
$
0.3
$
1.8
$
2.2
$
8.8
$
18.9
$
62.3
$
38.5
$
145.6
$
120.2
$
398.6
$

2025
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.1
$
6.8
$
4.2
$
15.8
$
13.1
$
43.4
$
0.3
$
1.8
$
2.1
$
8.4
$
17.9
$
59.2
$
36.6
$
138.3
$
114.2
$
378.6
$

2026
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.0
$
6.4
$
4.0
$
15.0
$
12.4
$
41.2
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.0
$
8.0
$
17.0
$
56.2
$
34.7
$
131.3
$
108.4
$
359.5
$

2027
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
1.9
$
6.1
$
3.8
$
14.3
$
11.8
$
39.1
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
1.9
$
7.6
$
16.2
$
53.3
$
33.0
$
124.5
$
102.8
$
341.1
$

Total
0.7
$
4.7
$
5.6
$
22.7
$
48.4
$
179.9
$
111.2
$
420.4
$
347.2
$
1,140.9
$
6.2
$
41.4
$
49.2
$
197.9
$
422.6
$
1,570.4
$
970.7
$
3,669.0
$
3,029.8
$
9,957.3
$

Ann.
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
1.9
$
4.2
$
15.4
$
9.5
$
36.1
$
29.8
$
97.9
$
0.5
$
3.6
$
4.2
$
17.0
$
36.3
$
134.8
$
83.3
$
314.8
$
260.0
$
854.4
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
2j
and
F.
2t.
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
2y
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
F.
3
Model
Outputs
­
Preferred
Alternative
TTHM
as
Indicator
Bronchitis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$

2007
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$

2008
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$

2009
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$

2010
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$

2011
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$

2012
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$

2013
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$

2014
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$

2015
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$

2016
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$

2017
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$

2018
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$

2019
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$

2020
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$

2021
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$

2022
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$

2023
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$

2024
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$

2025
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$

2026
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$

2027
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$

Total
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.4
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.4
$
4.2
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17b,
and
E.
17e.
(
Surface
Water
Systems
Serving
<
100
People)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
3a
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$

2007
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$

2008
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$

2009
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$

2010
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$

2011
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$

2012
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$

2013
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$

2014
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.4
$

2015
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.2
$
1.5
$

2016
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.6
$

2017
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.7
$

2018
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.7
$

2019
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.8
$

2020
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.8
$

2021
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
1.9
$

2022
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
1.9
$

2023
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
1.9
$

2024
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.0
$

2025
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.0
$

2026
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.0
$

2027
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.0
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.1
$

Total
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.4
$
3.5
$
10.9
$
9.5
$
1.8
$
24.7
$
3.1
$
2.8
$
1.4
$
5.6
$
13.9
$
12.3
$
3.2
$
30.3
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17b,
and
E.
17e.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
3b
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
Surface
Water
Systems
Serving
101­
500
People)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$

2007
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$

2008
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.6
$

2009
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.9
$

2010
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$

2011
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.2
$
1.5
$

2012
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.8
$

2013
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.1
$

2014
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.3
$
2.5
$

2015
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
1.0
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.3
$
2.7
$

2016
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.3
$
2.8
$

2017
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.3
$
2.9
$

2018
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.5
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.3
$
3.0
$

2019
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.5
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.4
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.1
$

2020
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.2
$

2021
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.2
$

2022
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.7
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.3
$

2023
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.5
$
1.4
$
0.4
$
3.4
$

2024
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.4
$
3.4
$

2025
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.9
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.4
$
3.5
$

2026
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.9
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.4
$
3.6
$

2027
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.9
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.4
$
3.6
$

Total
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
4.9
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.8
$
2.4
$
0.6
$
6.0
$
18.9
$
16.4
$
3.1
$
42.9
$
5.3
$
4.9
$
2.4
$
9.7
$
24.2
$
21.3
$
5.5
$
52.7
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17b,
and
E.
17e.
Exhibit
F.
3c
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
Surface
Water
Systems
Serving
501­
1,000
People)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$

2007
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.0
$

2008
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.4
$
3.5
$

2009
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.1
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.5
$
5.0
$

2010
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.4
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
3.1
$
2.7
$
0.7
$
6.7
$

2011
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
3.0
$
2.6
$
0.5
$
6.8
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.6
$
3.9
$
3.4
$
0.9
$
8.4
$

2012
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
3.7
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.4
$
1.0
$
1.0
$
0.5
$
1.9
$
4.7
$
4.2
$
1.1
$
10.3
$

2013
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
4.4
$
3.8
$
0.7
$
9.9
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
5.6
$
4.9
$
1.3
$
12.2
$

2014
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
5.1
$
4.4
$
0.8
$
11.5
$
1.4
$
1.3
$
0.7
$
2.6
$
6.5
$
5.7
$
1.5
$
14.2
$

2015
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.8
$
5.5
$
4.8
$
0.9
$
12.5
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.7
$
2.8
$
7.0
$
6.2
$
1.6
$
15.3
$

2016
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.8
$
5.8
$
5.0
$
1.0
$
13.1
$
1.6
$
1.5
$
0.7
$
3.0
$
7.4
$
6.5
$
1.7
$
16.1
$

2017
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
1.9
$
6.0
$
5.2
$
1.0
$
13.7
$
1.7
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.1
$
7.7
$
6.8
$
1.8
$
16.8
$

2018
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.0
$
6.2
$
5.4
$
1.0
$
14.1
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.2
$
8.0
$
7.0
$
1.8
$
17.3
$

2019
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.0
$
6.4
$
5.6
$
1.1
$
14.5
$
1.8
$
1.7
$
0.8
$
3.3
$
8.2
$
7.2
$
1.9
$
17.8
$

2020
0.7
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.0
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.1
$
6.5
$
5.7
$
1.1
$
14.9
$
1.8
$
1.7
$
0.8
$
3.4
$
8.4
$
7.4
$
1.9
$
18.3
$

2021
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.1
$
6.7
$
5.8
$
1.1
$
15.2
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.8
$
3.4
$
8.6
$
7.6
$
1.9
$
18.7
$

2022
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
6.8
$
5.9
$
1.1
$
15.5
$
1.9
$
1.8
$
0.9
$
3.5
$
8.7
$
7.7
$
2.0
$
19.1
$

2023
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
7.0
$
6.1
$
1.1
$
15.8
$
1.9
$
1.8
$
0.9
$
3.6
$
8.9
$
7.9
$
2.0
$
19.4
$

2024
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$
7.1
$
6.2
$
1.2
$
16.1
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.9
$
3.6
$
9.1
$
8.0
$
2.1
$
19.8
$

2025
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.9
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$
7.2
$
6.3
$
1.2
$
16.4
$
2.0
$
1.9
$
0.9
$
3.7
$
9.2
$
8.1
$
2.1
$
20.1
$

2026
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.9
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$
7.3
$
6.4
$
1.2
$
16.7
$
2.0
$
1.9
$
0.9
$
3.8
$
9.4
$
8.3
$
2.1
$
20.4
$

2027
0.9
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.9
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.4
$
7.4
$
6.5
$
1.2
$
17.0
$
2.1
$
1.9
$
0.9
$
3.8
$
9.5
$
8.4
$
2.2
$
20.8
$

Total
12.4
$
10.8
$
2.1
$
28.3
$
3.5
$
3.2
$
1.6
$
6.4
$
15.9
$
14.1
$
3.6
$
34.7
$
108.5
$
94.5
$
17.9
$
246.8
$
30.5
$
28.2
$
13.7
$
56.0
$
139.0
$
122.6
$
31.7
$
302.9
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17b,
and
E.
17e.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
3d
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
Surface
Water
Systems
Serving
1,001­
3,300
People)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.9
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$

2007
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.6
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.6
$
2.3
$
0.6
$
5.6
$

2008
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
3.4
$
3.0
$
0.6
$
7.7
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.4
$
1.8
$
4.4
$
3.8
$
1.0
$
9.5
$

2009
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
4.9
$
4.3
$
0.8
$
11.2
$
1.4
$
1.3
$
0.6
$
2.6
$
6.3
$
5.6
$
1.5
$
13.7
$

2010
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.1
$
6.5
$
5.7
$
1.1
$
14.9
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.8
$
3.4
$
8.4
$
7.4
$
1.9
$
18.3
$

2011
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.3
$
2.7
$
8.3
$
7.2
$
1.4
$
18.8
$
2.4
$
2.2
$
1.1
$
4.3
$
10.6
$
9.4
$
2.4
$
23.2
$

2012
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.2
$
10.1
$
8.8
$
1.7
$
23.0
$
2.9
$
2.7
$
1.3
$
5.3
$
13.0
$
11.4
$
3.0
$
28.2
$

2013
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.4
$
3.8
$
12.0
$
10.4
$
2.0
$
27.3
$
3.4
$
3.1
$
1.5
$
6.2
$
15.4
$
13.6
$
3.5
$
33.5
$

2014
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.5
$
4.5
$
14.0
$
12.2
$
2.3
$
31.7
$
4.0
$
3.7
$
1.8
$
7.3
$
17.9
$
15.8
$
4.1
$
39.0
$

2015
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.9
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.2
$
2.0
$
0.5
$
4.8
$
15.1
$
13.1
$
2.5
$
34.3
$
4.3
$
3.9
$
1.9
$
7.8
$
19.3
$
17.1
$
4.4
$
42.1
$

2016
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.1
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.3
$
2.1
$
0.5
$
5.1
$
15.9
$
13.8
$
2.6
$
36.1
$
4.5
$
4.1
$
2.0
$
8.2
$
20.4
$
18.0
$
4.6
$
44.3
$

2017
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.3
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.6
$
5.3
$
16.5
$
14.4
$
2.7
$
37.5
$
4.7
$
4.3
$
2.1
$
8.6
$
21.2
$
18.7
$
4.8
$
46.1
$

2018
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.4
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.6
$
5.5
$
17.1
$
14.8
$
2.8
$
38.8
$
4.8
$
4.4
$
2.2
$
8.8
$
21.9
$
19.3
$
5.0
$
47.6
$

2019
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.6
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
1.0
$
2.6
$
2.3
$
0.6
$
5.6
$
17.5
$
15.3
$
2.9
$
39.9
$
4.9
$
4.6
$
2.2
$
9.1
$
22.5
$
19.8
$
5.1
$
49.0
$

2020
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.7
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.6
$
2.3
$
0.6
$
5.7
$
18.0
$
15.7
$
3.0
$
40.9
$
5.1
$
4.7
$
2.3
$
9.3
$
23.0
$
20.3
$
5.2
$
50.2
$

2021
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.8
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.7
$
2.4
$
0.6
$
5.9
$
18.4
$
16.0
$
3.0
$
41.8
$
5.2
$
4.8
$
2.3
$
9.5
$
23.5
$
20.8
$
5.4
$
51.3
$

2022
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
4.9
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.8
$
2.4
$
0.6
$
6.0
$
18.8
$
16.3
$
3.1
$
42.7
$
5.3
$
4.8
$
2.4
$
9.7
$
24.0
$
21.2
$
5.5
$
52.4
$

2023
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
5.0
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.8
$
2.5
$
0.6
$
6.1
$
19.1
$
16.7
$
3.2
$
43.5
$
5.4
$
4.9
$
2.4
$
9.8
$
24.5
$
21.6
$
5.6
$
53.4
$

2024
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
5.1
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.9
$
2.5
$
0.6
$
6.2
$
19.5
$
17.0
$
3.2
$
44.3
$
5.4
$
5.0
$
2.4
$
10.0
$
24.9
$
22.0
$
5.7
$
54.4
$

2025
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.2
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.9
$
2.6
$
0.7
$
6.3
$
19.8
$
17.3
$
3.3
$
45.1
$
5.5
$
5.1
$
2.5
$
10.2
$
25.4
$
22.4
$
5.8
$
55.3
$

2026
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.3
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
3.0
$
2.6
$
0.7
$
6.4
$
20.2
$
17.5
$
3.3
$
45.9
$
5.6
$
5.2
$
2.5
$
10.3
$
25.8
$
22.7
$
5.8
$
56.2
$

2027
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.3
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
3.0
$
2.6
$
0.7
$
6.5
$
20.5
$
17.8
$
3.4
$
46.6
$
5.7
$
5.3
$
2.6
$
10.5
$
26.2
$
23.1
$
5.9
$
57.1
$

Total
34.2
$
29.8
$
5.6
$
77.7
$
9.6
$
8.9
$
4.3
$
17.7
$
43.8
$
38.6
$
10.0
$
95.4
$
298.2
$
259.7
$
49.3
$
678.5
$
84.0
$
77.4
$
37.8
$
154.1
$
382.2
$
337.1
$
87.1
$
832.6
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17b,
and
E.
17e.
Exhibit
F.
3e
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
Surface
Water
Systems
Serving
3,301­
10,000
People)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.7
$
5.2
$
4.5
$
0.9
$
11.8
$
1.5
$
1.4
$
0.7
$
2.7
$
6.7
$
5.9
$
1.5
$
14.6
$

2007
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.3
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.4
$
4.0
$
12.5
$
10.9
$
2.1
$
28.5
$
3.6
$
3.3
$
1.6
$
6.6
$
16.1
$
14.2
$
3.7
$
35.0
$

2008
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.5
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
3.1
$
2.7
$
0.7
$
6.8
$
21.1
$
18.4
$
3.5
$
48.0
$
6.1
$
5.6
$
2.7
$
11.1
$
27.1
$
23.9
$
6.2
$
59.0
$

2009
3.5
$
3.1
$
0.6
$
8.0
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.5
$
1.8
$
4.5
$
4.0
$
1.0
$
9.8
$
30.6
$
26.6
$
5.1
$
69.5
$
8.8
$
8.1
$
3.9
$
16.0
$
39.3
$
34.7
$
9.0
$
85.5
$

2010
4.7
$
4.1
$
0.8
$
10.6
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.6
$
2.4
$
6.0
$
5.3
$
1.4
$
13.1
$
40.7
$
35.5
$
6.8
$
92.6
$
11.6
$
10.7
$
5.3
$
21.3
$
52.4
$
46.2
$
12.0
$
113.9
$

2011
5.9
$
5.1
$
1.0
$
13.4
$
1.7
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.1
$
7.6
$
6.7
$
1.7
$
16.5
$
51.5
$
44.9
$
8.6
$
117.1
$
14.7
$
13.5
$
6.6
$
26.9
$
66.2
$
58.4
$
15.2
$
144.0
$

2012
6.6
$
5.7
$
1.1
$
14.9
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.8
$
3.4
$
8.4
$
7.4
$
1.9
$
18.3
$
57.2
$
49.9
$
9.5
$
130.2
$
16.3
$
15.0
$
7.3
$
29.9
$
73.6
$
64.9
$
16.9
$
160.1
$

2013
7.0
$
6.1
$
1.2
$
15.9
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.9
$
3.7
$
9.0
$
7.9
$
2.1
$
19.6
$
61.2
$
53.3
$
10.2
$
139.2
$
17.4
$
16.1
$
7.8
$
31.9
$
78.6
$
69.4
$
18.0
$
171.1
$

2014
7.4
$
6.4
$
1.2
$
16.7
$
2.1
$
1.9
$
0.9
$
3.8
$
9.5
$
8.3
$
2.2
$
20.6
$
64.3
$
56.0
$
10.7
$
146.1
$
18.3
$
16.8
$
8.2
$
33.4
$
82.5
$
72.8
$
18.9
$
179.6
$

2015
7.7
$
6.7
$
1.3
$
17.4
$
2.2
$
2.0
$
1.0
$
4.0
$
9.8
$
8.7
$
2.2
$
21.4
$
66.8
$
58.2
$
11.1
$
151.9
$
19.0
$
17.5
$
8.5
$
34.7
$
85.7
$
75.6
$
19.6
$
186.6
$

2016
7.9
$
6.9
$
1.3
$
18.0
$
2.2
$
2.1
$
1.0
$
4.1
$
10.1
$
8.9
$
2.3
$
22.1
$
69.0
$
60.1
$
11.4
$
156.9
$
19.5
$
18.0
$
8.8
$
35.8
$
88.5
$
78.1
$
20.2
$
192.7
$

2017
8.1
$
7.1
$
1.3
$
18.5
$
2.3
$
2.1
$
1.0
$
4.2
$
10.4
$
9.2
$
2.4
$
22.7
$
70.9
$
61.8
$
11.7
$
161.4
$
20.1
$
18.5
$
9.0
$
36.8
$
91.0
$
80.3
$
20.8
$
198.1
$

2018
8.3
$
7.3
$
1.4
$
19.0
$
2.4
$
2.2
$
1.1
$
4.3
$
10.7
$
9.4
$
2.4
$
23.3
$
72.7
$
63.3
$
12.0
$
165.5
$
20.5
$
18.9
$
9.2
$
37.6
$
93.3
$
82.3
$
21.3
$
203.1
$

2019
8.5
$
7.4
$
1.4
$
19.4
$
2.4
$
2.2
$
1.1
$
4.4
$
10.9
$
9.6
$
2.5
$
23.8
$
74.4
$
64.8
$
12.3
$
169.3
$
21.0
$
19.3
$
9.4
$
38.4
$
95.4
$
84.1
$
21.7
$
207.7
$

2020
8.7
$
7.6
$
1.4
$
19.8
$
2.4
$
2.3
$
1.1
$
4.5
$
11.2
$
9.8
$
2.5
$
24.3
$
76.0
$
66.2
$
12.5
$
172.9
$
21.4
$
19.7
$
9.6
$
39.2
$
97.3
$
85.9
$
22.2
$
212.1
$

2021
8.9
$
7.7
$
1.5
$
20.2
$
2.5
$
2.3
$
1.1
$
4.6
$
11.4
$
10.0
$
2.6
$
24.8
$
77.5
$
67.5
$
12.8
$
176.3
$
21.8
$
20.1
$
9.8
$
39.9
$
99.2
$
87.5
$
22.6
$
216.2
$

2022
9.0
$
7.9
$
1.5
$
20.6
$
2.5
$
2.3
$
1.1
$
4.7
$
11.6
$
10.2
$
2.6
$
25.2
$
78.9
$
68.7
$
13.0
$
179.6
$
22.1
$
20.4
$
10.0
$
40.6
$
101.0
$
89.1
$
23.0
$
220.2
$

2023
9.2
$
8.0
$
1.5
$
20.9
$
2.6
$
2.4
$
1.2
$
4.7
$
11.8
$
10.4
$
2.7
$
25.7
$
80.3
$
69.9
$
13.2
$
182.7
$
22.5
$
20.7
$
10.1
$
41.3
$
102.8
$
90.6
$
23.3
$
224.1
$

2024
9.4
$
8.1
$
1.5
$
21.3
$
2.6
$
2.4
$
1.2
$
4.8
$
12.0
$
10.6
$
2.7
$
26.1
$
81.7
$
71.1
$
13.5
$
185.8
$
22.8
$
21.0
$
10.3
$
41.9
$
104.5
$
92.1
$
23.7
$
227.8
$

2025
9.5
$
8.3
$
1.6
$
21.6
$
2.7
$
2.4
$
1.2
$
4.9
$
12.2
$
10.7
$
2.8
$
26.5
$
83.0
$
72.2
$
13.7
$
188.9
$
23.1
$
21.3
$
10.4
$
42.5
$
106.1
$
93.6
$
24.1
$
231.4
$

2026
9.7
$
8.4
$
1.6
$
22.0
$
2.7
$
2.5
$
1.2
$
4.9
$
12.3
$
10.9
$
2.8
$
26.9
$
84.3
$
73.4
$
13.9
$
191.8
$
23.5
$
21.6
$
10.6
$
43.1
$
107.7
$
95.0
$
24.4
$
235.0
$

2027
9.8
$
8.5
$
1.6
$
22.3
$
2.7
$
2.5
$
1.2
$
5.0
$
12.5
$
11.0
$
2.8
$
27.3
$
85.6
$
74.5
$
14.1
$
194.8
$
23.8
$
21.9
$
10.7
$
43.7
$
109.3
$
96.4
$
24.8
$
238.5
$

Total
154.1
$
134.2
$
25.5
$
350.7
$
43.4
$
40.1
$
19.6
$
79.7
$
197.6
$
174.3
$
45.0
$
430.4
$
1,345.3
$
1,171.5
$
222.4
$
3,060.7
$
379.2
$
349.6
$
170.7
$
695.5
$
1,724.5
$
1,521.1
$
393.1
$
3,756.2
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17b,
and
E.
17e.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
3f
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
Surface
Water
Systems
Serving
10,001­
50,000
People)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
3.5
$
3.0
$
0.6
$
7.9
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.5
$
1.8
$
4.5
$
3.9
$
1.0
$
9.7
$

2007
1.0
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.3
$
2.7
$
8.4
$
7.3
$
1.4
$
19.0
$
2.4
$
2.2
$
1.1
$
4.4
$
10.8
$
9.5
$
2.5
$
23.4
$

2008
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.5
$
4.5
$
14.1
$
12.3
$
2.3
$
32.0
$
4.0
$
3.7
$
1.8
$
7.4
$
18.1
$
16.0
$
4.2
$
39.4
$

2009
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.3
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
3.0
$
2.7
$
0.7
$
6.5
$
20.4
$
17.8
$
3.4
$
46.4
$
5.8
$
5.4
$
2.6
$
10.7
$
26.3
$
23.2
$
6.0
$
57.1
$

2010
3.1
$
2.7
$
0.5
$
7.1
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.6
$
4.0
$
3.5
$
0.9
$
8.7
$
27.2
$
23.7
$
4.5
$
61.9
$
7.8
$
7.2
$
3.5
$
14.2
$
35.0
$
30.9
$
8.0
$
76.1
$

2011
3.9
$
3.4
$
0.7
$
9.0
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.5
$
2.1
$
5.1
$
4.5
$
1.2
$
11.0
$
34.4
$
30.0
$
5.7
$
78.2
$
9.8
$
9.0
$
4.4
$
18.0
$
44.2
$
39.0
$
10.1
$
96.2
$

2012
4.4
$
3.8
$
0.7
$
10.0
$
1.2
$
1.2
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
5.6
$
5.0
$
1.3
$
12.3
$
38.2
$
33.3
$
6.4
$
87.0
$
10.9
$
10.0
$
4.9
$
20.0
$
49.1
$
43.4
$
11.3
$
106.9
$

2013
4.7
$
4.1
$
0.8
$
10.7
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.6
$
2.4
$
6.0
$
5.3
$
1.4
$
13.1
$
40.9
$
35.6
$
6.8
$
93.0
$
11.6
$
10.7
$
5.2
$
21.3
$
52.5
$
46.3
$
12.0
$
114.3
$

2014
4.9
$
4.3
$
0.8
$
11.2
$
1.4
$
1.3
$
0.6
$
2.6
$
6.3
$
5.6
$
1.4
$
13.7
$
42.9
$
37.4
$
7.1
$
97.6
$
12.2
$
11.2
$
5.5
$
22.3
$
55.1
$
48.6
$
12.6
$
120.0
$

2015
5.1
$
4.5
$
0.8
$
11.6
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.7
$
2.7
$
6.6
$
5.8
$
1.5
$
14.3
$
44.6
$
38.9
$
7.4
$
101.5
$
12.7
$
11.7
$
5.7
$
23.2
$
57.3
$
50.5
$
13.1
$
124.7
$

2016
5.3
$
4.6
$
0.9
$
12.0
$
1.5
$
1.4
$
0.7
$
2.7
$
6.8
$
6.0
$
1.5
$
14.8
$
46.1
$
40.1
$
7.6
$
104.8
$
13.1
$
12.0
$
5.9
$
23.9
$
59.1
$
52.2
$
13.5
$
128.7
$

2017
5.4
$
4.7
$
0.9
$
12.4
$
1.5
$
1.4
$
0.7
$
2.8
$
7.0
$
6.1
$
1.6
$
15.2
$
47.4
$
41.3
$
7.8
$
107.8
$
13.4
$
12.4
$
6.0
$
24.6
$
60.8
$
53.6
$
13.9
$
132.4
$

2018
5.6
$
4.8
$
0.9
$
12.7
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.7
$
2.9
$
7.1
$
6.3
$
1.6
$
15.5
$
48.6
$
42.3
$
8.0
$
110.5
$
13.7
$
12.7
$
6.2
$
25.1
$
62.3
$
55.0
$
14.2
$
135.7
$

2019
5.7
$
5.0
$
0.9
$
13.0
$
1.6
$
1.5
$
0.7
$
2.9
$
7.3
$
6.4
$
1.7
$
15.9
$
49.7
$
43.3
$
8.2
$
113.1
$
14.0
$
12.9
$
6.3
$
25.7
$
63.7
$
56.2
$
14.5
$
138.8
$

2020
5.8
$
5.1
$
1.0
$
13.2
$
1.6
$
1.5
$
0.7
$
3.0
$
7.5
$
6.6
$
1.7
$
16.2
$
50.8
$
44.2
$
8.4
$
115.5
$
14.3
$
13.2
$
6.4
$
26.2
$
65.0
$
57.4
$
14.8
$
141.7
$

2021
5.9
$
5.2
$
1.0
$
13.5
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.7
$
3.1
$
7.6
$
6.7
$
1.7
$
16.6
$
51.8
$
45.1
$
8.5
$
117.8
$
14.5
$
13.4
$
6.5
$
26.7
$
66.3
$
58.5
$
15.1
$
144.5
$

2022
6.0
$
5.3
$
1.0
$
13.7
$
1.7
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.1
$
7.7
$
6.8
$
1.8
$
16.9
$
52.7
$
45.9
$
8.7
$
120.0
$
14.8
$
13.6
$
6.6
$
27.2
$
67.5
$
59.5
$
15.3
$
147.1
$

2023
6.1
$
5.4
$
1.0
$
14.0
$
1.7
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.2
$
7.9
$
6.9
$
1.8
$
17.2
$
53.6
$
46.7
$
8.8
$
122.1
$
15.0
$
13.8
$
6.8
$
27.6
$
68.7
$
60.5
$
15.6
$
149.7
$

2024
6.3
$
5.4
$
1.0
$
14.2
$
1.7
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.2
$
8.0
$
7.1
$
1.8
$
17.4
$
54.5
$
47.5
$
9.0
$
124.2
$
15.2
$
14.1
$
6.8
$
28.0
$
69.8
$
61.5
$
15.8
$
152.2
$

2025
6.4
$
5.5
$
1.0
$
14.5
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.3
$
8.1
$
7.2
$
1.8
$
17.7
$
55.4
$
48.3
$
9.1
$
126.2
$
15.5
$
14.3
$
7.0
$
28.4
$
70.9
$
62.5
$
16.1
$
154.6
$

2026
6.5
$
5.6
$
1.1
$
14.7
$
1.8
$
1.7
$
0.8
$
3.3
$
8.2
$
7.3
$
1.9
$
18.0
$
56.3
$
49.0
$
9.3
$
128.2
$
15.7
$
14.5
$
7.1
$
28.8
$
72.0
$
63.5
$
16.3
$
157.0
$

2027
6.5
$
5.7
$
1.1
$
14.9
$
1.8
$
1.7
$
0.8
$
3.3
$
8.4
$
7.4
$
1.9
$
18.3
$
57.2
$
49.8
$
9.4
$
130.1
$
15.9
$
14.7
$
7.1
$
29.2
$
73.0
$
64.4
$
16.5
$
159.3
$

Total
103.0
$
89.7
$
17.0
$
234.3
$
29.0
$
26.8
$
13.1
$
53.2
$
132.0
$
116.4
$
30.1
$
287.5
$
898.7
$
782.6
$
148.6
$
2,044.7
$
253.3
$
233.5
$
114.0
$
464.7
$
1,152.1
$
1,016.2
$
262.6
$
2,509.4
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17b,
and
E.
17e.
(
Surface
Water
Systems
Serving
50,001­
100,000
People)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
3g
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.5
$
4.4
$
13.7
$
11.9
$
2.3
$
31.1
$
3.9
$
3.6
$
1.8
$
7.2
$
17.6
$
15.5
$
4.1
$
38.3
$

2007
3.8
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.6
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
4.9
$
4.3
$
1.1
$
10.6
$
32.9
$
28.7
$
5.5
$
74.9
$
9.5
$
8.7
$
4.3
$
17.3
$
42.4
$
37.4
$
9.8
$
92.2
$

2008
6.4
$
5.5
$
1.1
$
14.5
$
1.8
$
1.7
$
0.8
$
3.3
$
8.2
$
7.2
$
1.9
$
17.8
$
55.5
$
48.3
$
9.2
$
126.1
$
15.9
$
14.6
$
7.2
$
29.1
$
71.4
$
63.0
$
16.4
$
155.2
$

2009
9.2
$
8.0
$
1.5
$
20.9
$
2.6
$
2.4
$
1.2
$
4.8
$
11.9
$
10.5
$
2.7
$
25.8
$
80.4
$
70.0
$
13.4
$
182.8
$
23.0
$
21.2
$
10.4
$
42.1
$
103.4
$
91.2
$
23.8
$
224.8
$

2010
12.3
$
10.7
$
2.0
$
27.9
$
3.5
$
3.2
$
1.6
$
6.4
$
15.8
$
13.9
$
3.6
$
34.3
$
107.2
$
93.3
$
17.8
$
243.6
$
30.6
$
28.2
$
13.8
$
56.0
$
137.8
$
121.5
$
31.6
$
299.6
$

2011
15.5
$
13.5
$
2.6
$
35.3
$
4.4
$
4.1
$
2.0
$
8.1
$
20.0
$
17.6
$
4.6
$
43.4
$
135.5
$
118.0
$
22.5
$
308.0
$
38.7
$
35.6
$
17.4
$
70.8
$
174.2
$
153.6
$
40.0
$
378.8
$

2012
17.3
$
15.0
$
2.9
$
39.2
$
4.9
$
4.5
$
2.2
$
9.0
$
22.2
$
19.6
$
5.1
$
48.2
$
150.6
$
131.1
$
25.0
$
342.4
$
42.9
$
39.5
$
19.3
$
78.6
$
193.5
$
170.7
$
44.3
$
421.0
$

2013
18.4
$
16.1
$
3.1
$
41.9
$
5.2
$
4.8
$
2.4
$
9.6
$
23.7
$
20.9
$
5.4
$
51.6
$
161.0
$
140.2
$
26.7
$
366.1
$
45.8
$
42.2
$
20.6
$
83.9
$
206.8
$
182.4
$
47.4
$
449.9
$

2014
19.4
$
16.9
$
3.2
$
44.0
$
5.5
$
5.1
$
2.5
$
10.1
$
24.9
$
21.9
$
5.7
$
54.1
$
169.0
$
147.2
$
28.0
$
384.4
$
48.0
$
44.3
$
21.6
$
87.9
$
217.0
$
191.5
$
49.7
$
472.3
$

2015
20.1
$
17.5
$
3.3
$
45.8
$
5.7
$
5.3
$
2.6
$
10.5
$
25.8
$
22.8
$
5.9
$
56.2
$
175.7
$
153.0
$
29.1
$
399.6
$
49.8
$
46.0
$
22.4
$
91.3
$
225.5
$
199.0
$
51.6
$
490.9
$

2016
20.8
$
18.1
$
3.4
$
47.3
$
5.9
$
5.4
$
2.6
$
10.8
$
26.7
$
23.5
$
6.1
$
58.1
$
181.4
$
158.0
$
30.1
$
412.7
$
51.4
$
47.4
$
23.1
$
94.1
$
232.8
$
205.4
$
53.2
$
506.8
$

2017
21.4
$
18.6
$
3.5
$
48.6
$
6.0
$
5.6
$
2.7
$
11.1
$
27.4
$
24.2
$
6.3
$
59.7
$
186.6
$
162.5
$
30.9
$
424.5
$
52.8
$
48.7
$
23.7
$
96.7
$
239.4
$
211.2
$
54.6
$
521.1
$

2018
21.9
$
19.1
$
3.6
$
49.9
$
6.2
$
5.7
$
2.8
$
11.3
$
28.1
$
24.8
$
6.4
$
61.2
$
191.3
$
166.6
$
31.6
$
435.2
$
54.0
$
49.8
$
24.3
$
99.0
$
245.3
$
216.4
$
55.9
$
534.2
$

2019
22.4
$
19.5
$
3.7
$
51.0
$
6.3
$
5.8
$
2.8
$
11.6
$
28.7
$
25.4
$
6.5
$
62.6
$
195.7
$
170.4
$
32.3
$
445.2
$
55.2
$
50.9
$
24.8
$
101.1
$
250.8
$
221.3
$
57.1
$
546.3
$

2020
22.9
$
19.9
$
3.8
$
52.1
$
6.4
$
5.9
$
2.9
$
11.8
$
29.3
$
25.9
$
6.7
$
63.9
$
199.8
$
174.0
$
33.0
$
454.6
$
56.2
$
51.8
$
25.3
$
103.2
$
256.0
$
225.8
$
58.3
$
557.9
$

2021
23.3
$
20.3
$
3.9
$
53.1
$
6.6
$
6.0
$
2.9
$
12.0
$
29.9
$
26.4
$
6.8
$
65.2
$
203.8
$
177.4
$
33.6
$
463.6
$
57.2
$
52.7
$
25.7
$
105.1
$
261.0
$
230.2
$
59.4
$
568.7
$

2022
23.8
$
20.7
$
3.9
$
54.1
$
6.7
$
6.1
$
3.0
$
12.3
$
30.4
$
26.9
$
6.9
$
66.4
$
207.5
$
180.7
$
34.2
$
472.3
$
58.2
$
53.6
$
26.2
$
106.9
$
265.7
$
234.3
$
60.4
$
579.2
$

2023
24.2
$
21.1
$
4.0
$
55.1
$
6.8
$
6.2
$
3.0
$
12.5
$
31.0
$
27.3
$
7.0
$
67.5
$
211.2
$
183.9
$
34.8
$
480.7
$
59.1
$
54.5
$
26.6
$
108.7
$
270.3
$
238.4
$
61.4
$
589.3
$

2024
24.6
$
21.4
$
4.1
$
56.0
$
6.9
$
6.3
$
3.1
$
12.6
$
31.5
$
27.8
$
7.1
$
68.6
$
214.8
$
187.0
$
35.4
$
488.8
$
60.0
$
55.3
$
27.0
$
110.3
$
274.8
$
242.3
$
62.3
$
599.1
$

2025
25.0
$
21.8
$
4.1
$
56.9
$
7.0
$
6.4
$
3.1
$
12.8
$
32.0
$
28.2
$
7.3
$
69.7
$
218.2
$
190.0
$
35.9
$
496.8
$
60.9
$
56.1
$
27.4
$
111.9
$
279.1
$
246.1
$
63.3
$
608.6
$

2026
25.4
$
22.1
$
4.2
$
57.8
$
7.1
$
6.5
$
3.2
$
13.0
$
32.5
$
28.6
$
7.4
$
70.8
$
221.7
$
193.0
$
36.5
$
504.6
$
61.7
$
56.9
$
27.8
$
113.4
$
283.4
$
249.9
$
64.2
$
618.0
$

2027
25.8
$
22.4
$
4.2
$
58.7
$
7.2
$
6.6
$
3.2
$
13.2
$
32.9
$
29.1
$
7.5
$
71.9
$
225.0
$
195.9
$
37.0
$
512.3
$
62.5
$
57.7
$
28.1
$
115.0
$
287.5
$
253.6
$
65.1
$
627.2
$

Total
405.4
$
353.1
$
67.0
$
922.4
$
114.3
$
105.4
$
51.4
$
209.6
$
519.7
$
458.4
$
118.5
$
1,132.0
$
3,538.4
$
3,081.2
$
585.0
$
8,050.1
$
997.4
$
919.5
$
448.9
$
1,829.4
$
4,535.7
$
4,000.7
$
1,033.9
$
9,879.5
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17b,
and
E.
17e.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
3h
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
Surface
Water
Systems
Serving
100,001­
1
Million
People)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.8
$
1.5
$
0.4
$
3.8
$
11.9
$
10.4
$
2.0
$
27.0
$
3.4
$
3.1
$
1.5
$
6.3
$
15.3
$
13.5
$
3.5
$
33.3
$

2007
3.3
$
2.9
$
0.5
$
7.5
$
0.9
$
0.9
$
0.4
$
1.7
$
4.2
$
3.7
$
1.0
$
9.2
$
28.7
$
25.0
$
4.8
$
65.1
$
8.2
$
7.6
$
3.7
$
15.1
$
36.9
$
32.5
$
8.5
$
80.2
$

2008
5.5
$
4.8
$
0.9
$
12.6
$
1.6
$
1.5
$
0.7
$
2.9
$
7.1
$
6.3
$
1.6
$
15.5
$
48.3
$
42.1
$
8.0
$
109.8
$
13.8
$
12.7
$
6.2
$
25.3
$
62.1
$
54.8
$
14.3
$
135.1
$

2009
8.0
$
7.0
$
1.3
$
18.2
$
2.3
$
2.1
$
1.0
$
4.2
$
10.3
$
9.1
$
2.4
$
22.4
$
70.0
$
60.9
$
11.6
$
159.0
$
20.0
$
18.4
$
9.0
$
36.6
$
90.0
$
79.4
$
20.7
$
195.6
$

2010
10.7
$
9.3
$
1.8
$
24.3
$
3.1
$
2.8
$
1.4
$
5.6
$
13.7
$
12.1
$
3.2
$
29.9
$
93.2
$
81.2
$
15.5
$
212.0
$
26.7
$
24.6
$
12.0
$
48.7
$
119.9
$
105.8
$
27.5
$
260.7
$

2011
13.5
$
11.8
$
2.2
$
30.7
$
3.9
$
3.6
$
1.7
$
7.1
$
17.4
$
15.3
$
4.0
$
37.8
$
117.9
$
102.7
$
19.6
$
268.0
$
33.7
$
31.0
$
15.2
$
61.6
$
151.5
$
133.7
$
34.8
$
329.6
$

2012
15.0
$
13.1
$
2.5
$
34.1
$
4.3
$
3.9
$
1.9
$
7.8
$
19.3
$
17.0
$
4.4
$
42.0
$
131.0
$
114.1
$
21.8
$
297.9
$
37.3
$
34.4
$
16.8
$
68.4
$
168.4
$
148.5
$
38.6
$
366.3
$

2013
16.0
$
14.0
$
2.7
$
36.5
$
4.6
$
4.2
$
2.1
$
8.4
$
20.6
$
18.2
$
4.7
$
44.9
$
140.1
$
122.0
$
23.2
$
318.5
$
39.9
$
36.7
$
18.0
$
73.0
$
179.9
$
158.7
$
41.2
$
391.5
$

2014
16.9
$
14.7
$
2.8
$
38.3
$
4.8
$
4.4
$
2.2
$
8.8
$
21.6
$
19.1
$
5.0
$
47.1
$
147.1
$
128.1
$
24.4
$
334.5
$
41.8
$
38.5
$
18.8
$
76.5
$
188.9
$
166.6
$
43.2
$
411.0
$

2015
17.5
$
15.3
$
2.9
$
39.8
$
5.0
$
4.6
$
2.2
$
9.1
$
22.5
$
19.8
$
5.1
$
48.9
$
152.9
$
133.1
$
25.3
$
347.7
$
43.4
$
40.0
$
19.5
$
79.4
$
196.2
$
173.1
$
44.9
$
427.1
$

2016
18.1
$
15.8
$
3.0
$
41.1
$
5.1
$
4.7
$
2.3
$
9.4
$
23.2
$
20.5
$
5.3
$
50.5
$
157.9
$
137.5
$
26.1
$
359.1
$
44.7
$
41.2
$
20.1
$
81.9
$
202.6
$
178.7
$
46.3
$
441.0
$

2017
18.6
$
16.2
$
3.1
$
42.3
$
5.3
$
4.9
$
2.4
$
9.6
$
23.9
$
21.1
$
5.4
$
52.0
$
162.4
$
141.4
$
26.9
$
369.3
$
45.9
$
42.3
$
20.7
$
84.1
$
208.3
$
183.7
$
47.5
$
453.5
$

2018
19.1
$
16.6
$
3.2
$
43.4
$
5.4
$
5.0
$
2.4
$
9.9
$
24.5
$
21.6
$
5.6
$
53.3
$
166.5
$
145.0
$
27.5
$
378.7
$
47.0
$
43.4
$
21.1
$
86.1
$
213.5
$
188.3
$
48.7
$
464.8
$

2019
19.5
$
17.0
$
3.2
$
44.4
$
5.5
$
5.1
$
2.5
$
10.1
$
25.0
$
22.1
$
5.7
$
54.5
$
170.3
$
148.3
$
28.1
$
387.4
$
48.0
$
44.3
$
21.6
$
88.0
$
218.3
$
192.5
$
49.7
$
475.4
$

2020
19.9
$
17.3
$
3.3
$
45.3
$
5.6
$
5.2
$
2.5
$
10.3
$
25.5
$
22.5
$
5.8
$
55.6
$
173.9
$
151.4
$
28.7
$
395.6
$
48.9
$
45.1
$
22.0
$
89.8
$
222.8
$
196.5
$
50.7
$
485.4
$

2021
20.3
$
17.7
$
3.4
$
46.2
$
5.7
$
5.3
$
2.6
$
10.5
$
26.0
$
22.9
$
5.9
$
56.7
$
177.3
$
154.4
$
29.3
$
403.4
$
49.8
$
45.9
$
22.4
$
91.4
$
227.1
$
200.3
$
51.7
$
494.9
$

2022
20.7
$
18.0
$
3.4
$
47.1
$
5.8
$
5.3
$
2.6
$
10.7
$
26.5
$
23.4
$
6.0
$
57.7
$
180.6
$
157.2
$
29.8
$
411.0
$
50.6
$
46.7
$
22.8
$
93.0
$
231.2
$
203.9
$
52.6
$
504.0
$

2023
21.1
$
18.3
$
3.5
$
47.9
$
5.9
$
5.4
$
2.6
$
10.8
$
27.0
$
23.8
$
6.1
$
58.8
$
183.8
$
160.0
$
30.3
$
418.2
$
51.4
$
47.4
$
23.1
$
94.6
$
235.2
$
207.4
$
53.4
$
512.8
$

2024
21.4
$
18.6
$
3.5
$
48.7
$
6.0
$
5.5
$
2.7
$
11.0
$
27.4
$
24.2
$
6.2
$
59.7
$
186.9
$
162.7
$
30.8
$
425.3
$
52.2
$
48.1
$
23.5
$
96.0
$
239.1
$
210.8
$
54.3
$
521.3
$

2025
21.8
$
18.9
$
3.6
$
49.5
$
6.1
$
5.6
$
2.7
$
11.2
$
27.8
$
24.5
$
6.3
$
60.7
$
189.9
$
165.3
$
31.3
$
432.3
$
53.0
$
48.8
$
23.8
$
97.3
$
242.9
$
214.2
$
55.1
$
529.6
$

2026
22.1
$
19.2
$
3.6
$
50.3
$
6.2
$
5.7
$
2.8
$
11.3
$
28.3
$
24.9
$
6.4
$
61.6
$
192.9
$
167.9
$
31.7
$
439.1
$
53.7
$
49.5
$
24.2
$
98.7
$
246.6
$
217.4
$
55.9
$
537.7
$

2027
22.4
$
19.5
$
3.7
$
51.1
$
6.2
$
5.8
$
2.8
$
11.5
$
28.7
$
25.3
$
6.5
$
62.5
$
195.8
$
170.5
$
32.2
$
445.7
$
54.4
$
50.2
$
24.5
$
100.0
$
250.2
$
220.7
$
56.7
$
545.8
$

Total
352.8
$
307.2
$
58.3
$
802.6
$
99.4
$
91.7
$
44.8
$
182.4
$
452.2
$
398.9
$
103.1
$
985.0
$
3,078.9
$
2,681.1
$
509.0
$
7,004.8
$
867.9
$
800.1
$
390.6
$
1,591.9
$
3,946.7
$
3,481.2
$
899.6
$
8,596.6
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17b,
and
E.
17e.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
3i
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
Surface
Water
Systems
Serving
>
1Million
People)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
4.1
$
3.5
$
0.7
$
9.2
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.5
$
2.1
$
5.2
$
4.6
$
1.2
$
11.4
$
35.5
$
30.9
$
5.9
$
80.6
$
10.2
$
9.4
$
4.6
$
18.7
$
45.7
$
40.3
$
10.5
$
99.3
$

2007
9.8
$
8.5
$
1.6
$
22.3
$
2.8
$
2.6
$
1.3
$
5.1
$
12.6
$
11.1
$
2.9
$
27.4
$
85.4
$
74.4
$
14.2
$
194.2
$
24.5
$
22.6
$
11.1
$
44.9
$
110.0
$
97.0
$
25.3
$
239.1
$

2008
16.5
$
14.4
$
2.7
$
37.5
$
4.7
$
4.4
$
2.1
$
8.6
$
21.2
$
18.7
$
4.9
$
46.1
$
144.0
$
125.4
$
24.0
$
327.2
$
41.3
$
38.0
$
18.6
$
75.5
$
185.2
$
163.4
$
42.6
$
402.7
$

2009
23.9
$
20.8
$
4.0
$
54.3
$
6.8
$
6.3
$
3.1
$
12.5
$
30.7
$
27.1
$
7.1
$
66.8
$
208.6
$
181.6
$
34.7
$
474.1
$
59.7
$
55.0
$
26.9
$
109.1
$
268.3
$
236.6
$
61.6
$
583.2
$

2010
31.9
$
27.7
$
5.3
$
72.4
$
9.1
$
8.4
$
4.1
$
16.6
$
41.0
$
36.1
$
9.4
$
89.1
$
278.0
$
242.1
$
46.2
$
632.0
$
79.5
$
73.2
$
35.8
$
145.2
$
357.5
$
315.3
$
82.1
$
777.2
$

2011
40.3
$
35.1
$
6.7
$
91.6
$
11.5
$
10.6
$
5.2
$
21.0
$
51.8
$
45.7
$
11.9
$
112.6
$
351.4
$
306.1
$
58.4
$
799.1
$
100.3
$
92.4
$
45.2
$
183.6
$
451.8
$
398.5
$
103.7
$
982.7
$

2012
44.9
$
39.1
$
7.5
$
102.1
$
12.8
$
11.8
$
5.8
$
23.4
$
57.7
$
50.9
$
13.2
$
125.6
$
391.9
$
341.3
$
65.1
$
891.1
$
111.7
$
102.9
$
50.3
$
204.6
$
503.6
$
444.2
$
115.4
$
1,095.7
$

2013
48.2
$
42.0
$
8.0
$
109.6
$
13.7
$
12.6
$
6.2
$
25.1
$
61.9
$
54.6
$
14.2
$
134.7
$
420.7
$
366.4
$
69.8
$
956.8
$
119.7
$
110.4
$
53.9
$
219.2
$
540.5
$
476.8
$
123.8
$
1,176.0
$

2014
50.8
$
44.3
$
8.4
$
115.6
$
14.4
$
13.3
$
6.5
$
26.5
$
65.3
$
57.6
$
14.9
$
142.1
$
443.8
$
386.5
$
73.6
$
1,009.2
$
126.1
$
116.3
$
56.8
$
230.9
$
569.9
$
502.7
$
130.4
$
1,240.1
$

2015
52.9
$
46.1
$
8.8
$
120.4
$
15.0
$
13.9
$
6.8
$
27.5
$
68.0
$
60.0
$
15.5
$
147.9
$
462.1
$
402.4
$
76.6
$
1,051.0
$
131.1
$
120.9
$
59.0
$
240.1
$
593.2
$
523.3
$
135.6
$
1,291.1
$

2016
54.7
$
47.7
$
9.1
$
124.5
$
15.5
$
14.3
$
7.0
$
28.4
$
70.2
$
62.0
$
16.0
$
152.9
$
477.7
$
416.0
$
79.1
$
1,086.6
$
135.3
$
124.8
$
60.8
$
247.8
$
613.0
$
540.8
$
139.9
$
1,334.4
$

2017
56.3
$
49.0
$
9.3
$
128.1
$
15.9
$
14.7
$
7.2
$
29.2
$
72.2
$
63.7
$
16.5
$
157.3
$
491.5
$
428.0
$
81.4
$
1,118.1
$
139.0
$
128.2
$
62.5
$
254.7
$
630.5
$
556.2
$
143.9
$
1,372.8
$

2018
57.8
$
50.3
$
9.6
$
131.4
$
16.3
$
15.0
$
7.3
$
29.9
$
74.1
$
65.3
$
16.9
$
161.3
$
504.1
$
439.0
$
83.4
$
1,146.9
$
142.3
$
131.3
$
64.0
$
260.9
$
646.4
$
570.3
$
147.4
$
1,407.7
$

2019
59.1
$
51.5
$
9.8
$
134.5
$
16.7
$
15.4
$
7.5
$
30.5
$
75.8
$
66.8
$
17.3
$
165.0
$
515.8
$
449.2
$
85.3
$
1,173.5
$
145.4
$
134.1
$
65.4
$
266.5
$
661.2
$
583.2
$
150.6
$
1,440.1
$

2020
60.4
$
52.6
$
10.0
$
137.3
$
17.0
$
15.7
$
7.6
$
31.2
$
77.3
$
68.2
$
17.6
$
168.5
$
526.8
$
458.7
$
87.0
$
1,198.6
$
148.2
$
136.7
$
66.6
$
272.1
$
675.0
$
595.4
$
153.6
$
1,470.7
$

2021
61.6
$
53.6
$
10.2
$
140.1
$
17.3
$
15.9
$
7.8
$
31.7
$
78.9
$
69.5
$
17.9
$
171.8
$
537.3
$
467.8
$
88.7
$
1,222.5
$
150.9
$
139.1
$
67.9
$
277.1
$
688.2
$
606.9
$
156.6
$
1,499.6
$

2022
62.7
$
54.6
$
10.3
$
142.7
$
17.6
$
16.2
$
7.9
$
32.3
$
80.3
$
70.8
$
18.3
$
175.0
$
547.3
$
476.6
$
90.3
$
1,245.5
$
153.4
$
141.4
$
69.0
$
282.0
$
700.7
$
618.0
$
159.3
$
1,527.4
$

2023
63.8
$
55.6
$
10.5
$
145.3
$
17.9
$
16.5
$
8.0
$
32.8
$
81.7
$
72.0
$
18.6
$
178.1
$
557.0
$
485.0
$
91.8
$
1,267.7
$
155.9
$
143.7
$
70.1
$
286.6
$
712.9
$
628.7
$
161.9
$
1,554.3
$

2024
64.9
$
56.5
$
10.7
$
147.7
$
18.1
$
16.7
$
8.1
$
33.3
$
83.0
$
73.2
$
18.8
$
181.1
$
566.4
$
493.2
$
93.3
$
1,289.2
$
158.2
$
145.9
$
71.1
$
290.9
$
724.7
$
639.1
$
164.4
$
1,580.1
$

2025
66.0
$
57.4
$
10.9
$
150.1
$
18.4
$
17.0
$
8.3
$
33.8
$
84.4
$
74.4
$
19.1
$
183.9
$
575.7
$
501.2
$
94.8
$
1,310.3
$
160.5
$
148.0
$
72.3
$
295.1
$
736.2
$
649.2
$
167.0
$
1,605.4
$

2026
67.0
$
58.3
$
11.0
$
152.5
$
18.6
$
17.2
$
8.4
$
34.3
$
85.6
$
75.5
$
19.4
$
186.8
$
584.7
$
509.1
$
96.2
$
1,331.0
$
162.7
$
150.1
$
73.3
$
299.2
$
747.4
$
659.2
$
169.5
$
1,630.2
$

2027
68.0
$
59.2
$
11.2
$
154.8
$
18.9
$
17.4
$
8.5
$
34.7
$
86.9
$
76.7
$
19.7
$
189.6
$
593.6
$
516.8
$
97.6
$
1,351.3
$
164.9
$
152.2
$
74.2
$
303.3
$
758.5
$
669.0
$
171.8
$
1,654.6
$

Total
1,065.5
$
927.9
$
176.2
$
2,424.2
$
300.3
$
276.9
$
135.2
$
550.9
$
1,365.9
$
1,204.7
$
311.3
$
2,975.1
$
9,299.2
$
8,097.7
$
1,537.4
$
21,156.6
$
2,621.1
$
2,416.4
$
1,179.6
$
4,807.8
$
11,920.3
$
10,514.1
$
2,717.0
$
25,964.4
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17b,
and
E.
17e.
Exhibit
F.
3j
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
All
Surface
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$

2007
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$

2008
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$

2009
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$

2010
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$

2011
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$

2012
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$

2013
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.6
$

2014
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$

2015
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$

2016
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$

2017
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$

2018
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$

2019
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$

2020
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.9
$

2021
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.9
$

2022
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.9
$

2023
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.9
$

2024
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.9
$

2025
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$

2026
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$

2027
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$

Total
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.7
$
5.2
$
4.5
$
0.9
$
11.8
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.7
$
2.7
$
6.6
$
5.9
$
1.5
$
14.5
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17c,
and
E.
17f.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
3k
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
Ground
Water
Systems
Serving
<
100
People)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$

2007
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$

2008
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$

2009
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.2
$
1.5
$

2010
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.1
$

2011
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.3
$
2.6
$

2012
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.2
$

2013
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.4
$
3.8
$

2014
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.5
$
4.4
$

2015
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.8
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.5
$
4.7
$

2016
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.0
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.5
$
5.0
$

2017
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.2
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.5
$
5.2
$

2018
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.4
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.6
$
5.3
$

2019
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.5
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.6
$
5.5
$

2020
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.6
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
1.0
$
2.6
$
2.3
$
0.6
$
5.6
$

2021
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.7
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.6
$
2.3
$
0.6
$
5.8
$

2022
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.8
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.7
$
2.4
$
0.6
$
5.9
$

2023
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
2.1
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
4.9
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.7
$
2.4
$
0.6
$
6.0
$

2024
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
5.0
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.8
$
2.5
$
0.6
$
6.1
$

2025
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
5.1
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.8
$
2.5
$
0.6
$
6.2
$

2026
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.1
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.9
$
2.5
$
0.7
$
6.3
$

2027
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.2
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.9
$
2.6
$
0.7
$
6.4
$

Total
3.8
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.7
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
4.9
$
4.3
$
1.1
$
10.7
$
33.5
$
29.1
$
5.5
$
76.1
$
9.4
$
8.7
$
4.2
$
17.3
$
42.9
$
37.8
$
9.8
$
93.4
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17c,
and
E.
17f.
(
Ground
Water
Systems
Serving
101­
500
People)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
3l
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$

2007
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$

2008
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$

2009
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.2
$
1.6
$

2010
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.0
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.1
$

2011
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.3
$
2.6
$

2012
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.2
$

2013
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.4
$
3.8
$

2014
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.5
$
4.4
$

2015
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.9
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.5
$
4.8
$

2016
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.1
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.5
$
5.0
$

2017
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.3
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.5
$
5.2
$

2018
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.4
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.6
$
5.4
$

2019
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.5
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
1.0
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.6
$
5.6
$

2020
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.6
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.6
$
2.3
$
0.6
$
5.7
$

2021
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.7
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.7
$
2.4
$
0.6
$
5.8
$

2022
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
2.1
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
4.8
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.7
$
2.4
$
0.6
$
5.9
$

2023
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
4.9
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.8
$
2.4
$
0.6
$
6.1
$

2024
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
5.0
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.8
$
2.5
$
0.6
$
6.2
$

2025
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
2.2
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.1
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.9
$
2.5
$
0.7
$
6.3
$

2026
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.2
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.9
$
2.6
$
0.7
$
6.4
$

2027
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.3
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
3.0
$
2.6
$
0.7
$
6.5
$

Total
3.9
$
3.4
$
0.6
$
8.8
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
5.0
$
4.4
$
1.1
$
10.8
$
33.8
$
29.5
$
5.6
$
77.0
$
9.5
$
8.8
$
4.3
$
17.5
$
43.4
$
38.2
$
9.9
$
94.4
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17c,
and
E.
17f.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
3m
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
Ground
Water
Systems
Serving
501­
1,000
People)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$

2007
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.0
$

2008
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.7
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.3
$

2009
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.9
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.5
$
4.8
$

2010
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.2
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.9
$
2.6
$
0.7
$
6.4
$

2011
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
2.9
$
2.5
$
0.5
$
6.5
$
0.8
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.5
$
3.7
$
3.3
$
0.8
$
8.0
$

2012
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
3.5
$
3.1
$
0.6
$
8.0
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.4
$
1.8
$
4.5
$
4.0
$
1.0
$
9.8
$

2013
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
4.2
$
3.6
$
0.7
$
9.5
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.5
$
2.2
$
5.3
$
4.7
$
1.2
$
11.6
$

2014
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
4.8
$
4.2
$
0.8
$
11.0
$
1.4
$
1.3
$
0.6
$
2.5
$
6.2
$
5.5
$
1.4
$
13.5
$

2015
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.7
$
5.2
$
4.6
$
0.9
$
11.9
$
1.5
$
1.4
$
0.7
$
2.7
$
6.7
$
5.9
$
1.5
$
14.6
$

2016
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.8
$
5.5
$
4.8
$
0.9
$
12.5
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.7
$
2.9
$
7.1
$
6.2
$
1.6
$
15.4
$

2017
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.8
$
5.7
$
5.0
$
0.9
$
13.0
$
1.6
$
1.5
$
0.7
$
3.0
$
7.3
$
6.5
$
1.7
$
16.0
$

2018
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
1.9
$
5.9
$
5.2
$
1.0
$
13.5
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.8
$
3.1
$
7.6
$
6.7
$
1.7
$
16.5
$

2019
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
1.9
$
6.1
$
5.3
$
1.0
$
13.8
$
1.7
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.1
$
7.8
$
6.9
$
1.8
$
17.0
$

2020
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.0
$
6.2
$
5.4
$
1.0
$
14.2
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.2
$
8.0
$
7.0
$
1.8
$
17.4
$

2021
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.0
$
6.4
$
5.6
$
1.1
$
14.5
$
1.8
$
1.7
$
0.8
$
3.3
$
8.2
$
7.2
$
1.9
$
17.8
$

2022
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.0
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.1
$
6.5
$
5.7
$
1.1
$
14.8
$
1.8
$
1.7
$
0.8
$
3.4
$
8.3
$
7.4
$
1.9
$
18.2
$

2023
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.1
$
6.6
$
5.8
$
1.1
$
15.1
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.8
$
3.4
$
8.5
$
7.5
$
1.9
$
18.5
$

2024
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
6.8
$
5.9
$
1.1
$
15.4
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.8
$
3.5
$
8.6
$
7.6
$
2.0
$
18.9
$

2025
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
6.9
$
6.0
$
1.1
$
15.7
$
1.9
$
1.8
$
0.9
$
3.5
$
8.8
$
7.8
$
2.0
$
19.2
$

2026
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
7.0
$
6.1
$
1.2
$
15.9
$
1.9
$
1.8
$
0.9
$
3.6
$
8.9
$
7.9
$
2.0
$
19.5
$

2027
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.9
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$
7.1
$
6.2
$
1.2
$
16.2
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.9
$
3.6
$
9.1
$
8.0
$
2.1
$
19.8
$

Total
11.9
$
10.3
$
2.0
$
27.0
$
3.3
$
3.1
$
1.5
$
6.1
$
15.2
$
13.4
$
3.5
$
33.1
$
103.5
$
90.1
$
17.1
$
235.4
$
29.1
$
26.9
$
13.1
$
53.5
$
132.6
$
117.0
$
30.2
$
288.9
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17c,
and
E.
17f.
(
Ground
Water
Systems
Serving
1,001­
3,300
People)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
3n
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$

2007
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.3
$
2.9
$

2008
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.8
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
4.0
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.5
$
4.9
$

2009
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.8
$
0.7
$
0.7
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
3.3
$
2.9
$
0.8
$
7.1
$

2010
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
3.4
$
3.0
$
0.6
$
7.7
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.4
$
1.8
$
4.4
$
3.8
$
1.0
$
9.5
$

2011
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
4.3
$
3.7
$
0.7
$
9.7
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.6
$
2.2
$
5.5
$
4.9
$
1.3
$
12.0
$

2012
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.7
$
5.2
$
4.6
$
0.9
$
11.9
$
1.5
$
1.4
$
0.7
$
2.7
$
6.7
$
5.9
$
1.5
$
14.6
$

2013
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.0
$
6.2
$
5.4
$
1.0
$
14.1
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.2
$
8.0
$
7.0
$
1.8
$
17.3
$

2014
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.9
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$
7.2
$
6.3
$
1.2
$
16.4
$
2.1
$
1.9
$
0.9
$
3.8
$
9.3
$
8.2
$
2.1
$
20.2
$

2015
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.3
$
2.5
$
7.8
$
6.8
$
1.3
$
17.7
$
2.2
$
2.0
$
1.0
$
4.1
$
10.0
$
8.8
$
2.3
$
21.8
$

2016
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.3
$
2.6
$
8.2
$
7.2
$
1.4
$
18.7
$
2.3
$
2.1
$
1.0
$
4.3
$
10.5
$
9.3
$
2.4
$
22.9
$

2017
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.3
$
2.7
$
8.5
$
7.4
$
1.4
$
19.4
$
2.4
$
2.2
$
1.1
$
4.4
$
11.0
$
9.7
$
2.5
$
23.9
$

2018
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.3
$
2.8
$
8.8
$
7.7
$
1.5
$
20.1
$
2.5
$
2.3
$
1.1
$
4.6
$
11.3
$
10.0
$
2.6
$
24.7
$

2019
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.3
$
2.9
$
9.1
$
7.9
$
1.5
$
20.7
$
2.6
$
2.4
$
1.2
$
4.7
$
11.6
$
10.3
$
2.7
$
25.3
$

2020
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.3
$
3.0
$
9.3
$
8.1
$
1.5
$
21.2
$
2.6
$
2.4
$
1.2
$
4.8
$
11.9
$
10.5
$
2.7
$
26.0
$

2021
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.5
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.3
$
3.0
$
9.5
$
8.3
$
1.6
$
21.7
$
2.7
$
2.5
$
1.2
$
4.9
$
12.2
$
10.8
$
2.8
$
26.6
$

2022
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.5
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.4
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.1
$
9.7
$
8.5
$
1.6
$
22.1
$
2.7
$
2.5
$
1.2
$
5.0
$
12.4
$
11.0
$
2.8
$
27.1
$

2023
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.2
$
9.9
$
8.6
$
1.6
$
22.5
$
2.8
$
2.6
$
1.2
$
5.1
$
12.7
$
11.2
$
2.9
$
27.6
$

2024
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.2
$
10.1
$
8.8
$
1.7
$
23.0
$
2.8
$
2.6
$
1.3
$
5.2
$
12.9
$
11.4
$
2.9
$
28.1
$

2025
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.7
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.3
$
10.3
$
8.9
$
1.7
$
23.4
$
2.9
$
2.6
$
1.3
$
5.3
$
13.1
$
11.6
$
3.0
$
28.6
$

2026
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.7
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.3
$
10.4
$
9.1
$
1.7
$
23.8
$
2.9
$
2.7
$
1.3
$
5.3
$
13.3
$
11.8
$
3.0
$
29.1
$

2027
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.4
$
3.4
$
10.6
$
9.2
$
1.7
$
24.1
$
2.9
$
2.7
$
1.3
$
5.4
$
13.5
$
11.9
$
3.1
$
29.6
$

Total
17.7
$
15.4
$
2.9
$
40.3
$
5.0
$
4.6
$
2.2
$
9.1
$
22.7
$
20.0
$
5.2
$
49.4
$
154.4
$
134.5
$
25.5
$
351.3
$
43.5
$
40.1
$
19.6
$
79.8
$
197.9
$
174.5
$
45.1
$
431.1
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17c,
and
E.
17f.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
3o
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
Ground
Water
Systems
Serving
3,301­
10,000
People)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.3
$
2.9
$

2007
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
2.5
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.6
$
0.7
$
0.7
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
3.2
$
2.8
$
0.7
$
6.9
$

2008
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
4.2
$
3.6
$
0.7
$
9.4
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.5
$
2.2
$
5.3
$
4.7
$
1.2
$
11.6
$

2009
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
1.9
$
6.0
$
5.2
$
1.0
$
13.7
$
1.7
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.1
$
7.7
$
6.8
$
1.8
$
16.8
$

2010
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.3
$
2.6
$
8.0
$
7.0
$
1.3
$
18.2
$
2.3
$
2.1
$
1.0
$
4.2
$
10.3
$
9.1
$
2.4
$
22.4
$

2011
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.2
$
10.1
$
8.8
$
1.7
$
23.1
$
2.9
$
2.7
$
1.3
$
5.3
$
13.0
$
11.5
$
3.0
$
28.4
$

2012
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.9
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.4
$
3.6
$
11.3
$
9.8
$
1.9
$
25.6
$
3.2
$
3.0
$
1.4
$
5.9
$
14.5
$
12.8
$
3.3
$
31.5
$

2013
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.4
$
3.9
$
12.1
$
10.5
$
2.0
$
27.4
$
3.4
$
3.2
$
1.5
$
6.3
$
15.5
$
13.7
$
3.5
$
33.7
$

2014
1.4
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.3
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.4
$
4.1
$
12.7
$
11.0
$
2.1
$
28.8
$
3.6
$
3.3
$
1.6
$
6.6
$
16.2
$
14.3
$
3.7
$
35.4
$

2015
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.4
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.4
$
4.2
$
13.2
$
11.5
$
2.2
$
29.9
$
3.7
$
3.4
$
1.7
$
6.8
$
16.9
$
14.9
$
3.9
$
36.7
$

2016
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.5
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.5
$
4.3
$
13.6
$
11.8
$
2.2
$
30.9
$
3.8
$
3.5
$
1.7
$
7.0
$
17.4
$
15.4
$
4.0
$
37.9
$

2017
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.5
$
4.5
$
14.0
$
12.2
$
2.3
$
31.8
$
4.0
$
3.6
$
1.8
$
7.2
$
17.9
$
15.8
$
4.1
$
39.0
$

2018
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.1
$
1.9
$
0.5
$
4.6
$
14.3
$
12.5
$
2.4
$
32.6
$
4.0
$
3.7
$
1.8
$
7.4
$
18.4
$
16.2
$
4.2
$
40.0
$

2019
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.8
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.5
$
4.7
$
14.6
$
12.8
$
2.4
$
33.3
$
4.1
$
3.8
$
1.9
$
7.6
$
18.8
$
16.6
$
4.3
$
40.9
$

2020
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.9
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.5
$
4.8
$
15.0
$
13.0
$
2.5
$
34.0
$
4.2
$
3.9
$
1.9
$
7.7
$
19.2
$
16.9
$
4.4
$
41.8
$

2021
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
4.0
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.2
$
2.0
$
0.5
$
4.9
$
15.3
$
13.3
$
2.5
$
34.7
$
4.3
$
3.9
$
1.9
$
7.9
$
19.5
$
17.2
$
4.4
$
42.6
$

2022
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.1
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.5
$
5.0
$
15.5
$
13.5
$
2.6
$
35.4
$
4.4
$
4.0
$
2.0
$
8.0
$
19.9
$
17.5
$
4.5
$
43.4
$

2023
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.1
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.5
$
5.1
$
15.8
$
13.8
$
2.6
$
36.0
$
4.4
$
4.1
$
2.0
$
8.1
$
20.2
$
17.8
$
4.6
$
44.1
$

2024
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.2
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.5
$
5.1
$
16.1
$
14.0
$
2.6
$
36.6
$
4.5
$
4.1
$
2.0
$
8.3
$
20.6
$
18.1
$
4.7
$
44.8
$

2025
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.3
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.5
$
5.2
$
16.3
$
14.2
$
2.7
$
37.2
$
4.6
$
4.2
$
2.1
$
8.4
$
20.9
$
18.4
$
4.7
$
45.6
$

2026
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.3
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.6
$
5.3
$
16.6
$
14.4
$
2.7
$
37.8
$
4.6
$
4.3
$
2.1
$
8.5
$
21.2
$
18.7
$
4.8
$
46.3
$

2027
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.4
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.6
$
5.4
$
16.8
$
14.7
$
2.8
$
38.3
$
4.7
$
4.3
$
2.1
$
8.6
$
21.5
$
19.0
$
4.9
$
47.0
$

Total
30.4
$
26.4
$
5.0
$
69.1
$
8.6
$
7.9
$
3.9
$
15.7
$
38.9
$
34.3
$
8.9
$
84.7
$
264.9
$
230.7
$
43.8
$
602.6
$
74.7
$
68.8
$
33.6
$
137.0
$
339.5
$
299.5
$
77.4
$
739.6
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17c,
and
E.
17f.
Exhibit
F.
3p
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
Ground
Water
Systems
Serving
10,001­
50,000
People)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$

2007
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.3
$
2.5
$

2008
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.4
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.4
$
4.2
$

2009
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
5.0
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.8
$
2.5
$
0.6
$
6.1
$

2010
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
2.9
$
2.5
$
0.5
$
6.6
$
0.8
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.5
$
3.8
$
3.3
$
0.9
$
8.2
$

2011
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
3.7
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.4
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.5
$
1.9
$
4.8
$
4.2
$
1.1
$
10.3
$

2012
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
4.1
$
3.6
$
0.7
$
9.3
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.5
$
2.1
$
5.3
$
4.7
$
1.2
$
11.5
$

2013
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
4.4
$
3.8
$
0.7
$
10.0
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
5.6
$
5.0
$
1.3
$
12.3
$

2014
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.2
$
1.5
$
4.6
$
4.0
$
0.8
$
10.5
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.6
$
2.4
$
5.9
$
5.2
$
1.4
$
12.9
$

2015
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.2
$
1.5
$
4.8
$
4.2
$
0.8
$
10.9
$
1.4
$
1.3
$
0.6
$
2.5
$
6.2
$
5.4
$
1.4
$
13.4
$

2016
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
5.0
$
4.3
$
0.8
$
11.3
$
1.4
$
1.3
$
0.6
$
2.6
$
6.4
$
5.6
$
1.5
$
13.8
$

2017
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
5.1
$
4.4
$
0.8
$
11.6
$
1.4
$
1.3
$
0.6
$
2.6
$
6.5
$
5.8
$
1.5
$
14.2
$

2018
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.7
$
5.2
$
4.5
$
0.9
$
11.9
$
1.5
$
1.4
$
0.7
$
2.7
$
6.7
$
5.9
$
1.5
$
14.6
$

2019
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.7
$
5.3
$
4.7
$
0.9
$
12.2
$
1.5
$
1.4
$
0.7
$
2.8
$
6.8
$
6.0
$
1.6
$
14.9
$

2020
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.7
$
5.5
$
4.7
$
0.9
$
12.4
$
1.5
$
1.4
$
0.7
$
2.8
$
7.0
$
6.2
$
1.6
$
15.2
$

2021
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.8
$
5.6
$
4.8
$
0.9
$
12.7
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.7
$
2.9
$
7.1
$
6.3
$
1.6
$
15.5
$

2022
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.8
$
5.7
$
4.9
$
0.9
$
12.9
$
1.6
$
1.5
$
0.7
$
2.9
$
7.3
$
6.4
$
1.6
$
15.8
$

2023
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.8
$
5.8
$
5.0
$
1.0
$
13.1
$
1.6
$
1.5
$
0.7
$
3.0
$
7.4
$
6.5
$
1.7
$
16.1
$

2024
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
1.9
$
5.9
$
5.1
$
1.0
$
13.3
$
1.6
$
1.5
$
0.7
$
3.0
$
7.5
$
6.6
$
1.7
$
16.4
$

2025
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
1.9
$
6.0
$
5.2
$
1.0
$
13.6
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.7
$
3.1
$
7.6
$
6.7
$
1.7
$
16.6
$

2026
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
1.9
$
6.1
$
5.3
$
1.0
$
13.8
$
1.7
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.1
$
7.7
$
6.8
$
1.8
$
16.9
$

2027
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.0
$
6.1
$
5.3
$
1.0
$
14.0
$
1.7
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.1
$
7.8
$
6.9
$
1.8
$
17.1
$

Total
11.1
$
9.6
$
1.8
$
25.2
$
3.1
$
2.9
$
1.4
$
5.7
$
14.2
$
12.5
$
3.2
$
30.9
$
96.6
$
84.1
$
16.0
$
219.7
$
27.2
$
25.1
$
12.3
$
49.9
$
123.8
$
109.2
$
28.2
$
269.7
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17c,
and
E.
17f.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
3q
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
Ground
Water
Systems
Serving
50,001­
100,000
People)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.1
$
2.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.3
$
2.4
$

2007
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.3
$
4.7
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.7
$
2.4
$
0.6
$
5.8
$

2008
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
3.5
$
3.1
$
0.6
$
8.0
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.5
$
1.8
$
4.5
$
4.0
$
1.0
$
9.8
$

2009
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
5.1
$
4.4
$
0.8
$
11.5
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.7
$
2.7
$
6.5
$
5.8
$
1.5
$
14.2
$

2010
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
6.8
$
5.9
$
1.1
$
15.4
$
1.9
$
1.8
$
0.9
$
3.5
$
8.7
$
7.7
$
2.0
$
18.9
$

2011
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.3
$
2.7
$
8.6
$
7.5
$
1.4
$
19.5
$
2.4
$
2.3
$
1.1
$
4.5
$
11.0
$
9.7
$
2.5
$
23.9
$

2012
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.5
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.3
$
3.0
$
9.5
$
8.3
$
1.6
$
21.6
$
2.7
$
2.5
$
1.2
$
5.0
$
12.2
$
10.8
$
2.8
$
26.6
$

2013
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.3
$
10.2
$
8.9
$
1.7
$
23.1
$
2.9
$
2.7
$
1.3
$
5.3
$
13.1
$
11.5
$
3.0
$
28.4
$

2014
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.4
$
3.4
$
10.7
$
9.3
$
1.8
$
24.3
$
3.0
$
2.8
$
1.4
$
5.6
$
13.7
$
12.1
$
3.1
$
29.8
$

2015
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.9
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.4
$
3.6
$
11.1
$
9.7
$
1.8
$
25.2
$
3.1
$
2.9
$
1.4
$
5.8
$
14.2
$
12.6
$
3.3
$
31.0
$

2016
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
3.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.4
$
3.7
$
11.5
$
10.0
$
1.9
$
26.1
$
3.2
$
3.0
$
1.5
$
5.9
$
14.7
$
13.0
$
3.4
$
32.0
$

2017
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.4
$
3.8
$
11.8
$
10.3
$
2.0
$
26.8
$
3.3
$
3.1
$
1.5
$
6.1
$
15.1
$
13.3
$
3.5
$
32.9
$

2018
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.4
$
3.9
$
12.1
$
10.5
$
2.0
$
27.5
$
3.4
$
3.1
$
1.5
$
6.3
$
15.5
$
13.7
$
3.5
$
33.7
$

2019
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.2
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.4
$
4.0
$
12.4
$
10.8
$
2.0
$
28.1
$
3.5
$
3.2
$
1.6
$
6.4
$
15.8
$
14.0
$
3.6
$
34.5
$

2020
1.4
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.3
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.4
$
4.0
$
12.6
$
11.0
$
2.1
$
28.7
$
3.6
$
3.3
$
1.6
$
6.5
$
16.2
$
14.3
$
3.7
$
35.2
$

2021
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.4
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.4
$
4.1
$
12.9
$
11.2
$
2.1
$
29.3
$
3.6
$
3.3
$
1.6
$
6.6
$
16.5
$
14.5
$
3.8
$
35.9
$

2022
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.4
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.4
$
4.2
$
13.1
$
11.4
$
2.2
$
29.8
$
3.7
$
3.4
$
1.7
$
6.8
$
16.8
$
14.8
$
3.8
$
36.6
$

2023
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.5
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.4
$
4.3
$
13.3
$
11.6
$
2.2
$
30.4
$
3.7
$
3.4
$
1.7
$
6.9
$
17.1
$
15.1
$
3.9
$
37.2
$

2024
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.5
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.5
$
4.3
$
13.6
$
11.8
$
2.2
$
30.9
$
3.8
$
3.5
$
1.7
$
7.0
$
17.4
$
15.3
$
3.9
$
37.8
$

2025
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.5
$
4.4
$
13.8
$
12.0
$
2.3
$
31.4
$
3.8
$
3.5
$
1.7
$
7.1
$
17.6
$
15.5
$
4.0
$
38.4
$

2026
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.7
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.5
$
4.5
$
14.0
$
12.2
$
2.3
$
31.9
$
3.9
$
3.6
$
1.8
$
7.2
$
17.9
$
15.8
$
4.1
$
39.0
$

2027
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.5
$
4.5
$
14.2
$
12.4
$
2.3
$
32.4
$
3.9
$
3.6
$
1.8
$
7.3
$
18.2
$
16.0
$
4.1
$
39.6
$

Total
25.6
$
22.3
$
4.2
$
58.3
$
7.2
$
6.7
$
3.2
$
13.2
$
32.8
$
29.0
$
7.5
$
71.5
$
223.5
$
194.6
$
37.0
$
508.5
$
63.0
$
58.1
$
28.4
$
115.6
$
286.5
$
252.7
$
65.3
$
624.1
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17c,
and
E.
17f.
(
Ground
Water
Systems
Serving
100,001­
1
Million
People)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
3r
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$

2007
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$

2008
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.2
$

2009
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.8
$

2010
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.9
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$

2011
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.4
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.3
$
3.0
$

2012
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.7
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.3
$

2013
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.9
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.4
$
3.5
$

2014
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
1.3
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
3.0
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.4
$
3.7
$

2015
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.1
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.4
$
3.8
$

2016
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.2
$
3.2
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.4
$
4.0
$

2017
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.3
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.4
$
4.1
$

2018
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.4
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.4
$
4.2
$

2019
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.5
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.4
$
4.3
$

2020
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.5
$
4.4
$

2021
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.5
$
4.4
$

2022
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.1
$
1.8
$
0.5
$
4.5
$

2023
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.8
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.1
$
1.9
$
0.5
$
4.6
$

2024
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.8
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.1
$
1.9
$
0.5
$
4.7
$

2025
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.9
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.5
$
4.8
$

2026
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.9
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.2
$
2.0
$
0.5
$
4.8
$

2027
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.0
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.8
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
4.0
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.2
$
2.0
$
0.5
$
4.9
$

Total
3.2
$
2.8
$
0.5
$
7.2
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.6
$
4.1
$
3.6
$
0.9
$
8.8
$
27.6
$
24.1
$
4.6
$
62.9
$
7.8
$
7.2
$
3.5
$
14.3
$
35.4
$
31.2
$
8.1
$
77.1
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17c,
and
E.
17f.
(
Ground
Water
Systems
Serving
>
1
Million
People)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
3s
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
3.3
$
2.9
$
0.5
$
7.5
$
0.9
$
0.9
$
0.4
$
1.7
$
4.2
$
3.7
$
1.0
$
9.2
$

2007
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.3
$
2.5
$
7.9
$
6.9
$
1.3
$
18.0
$
2.3
$
2.1
$
1.0
$
4.2
$
10.2
$
9.0
$
2.4
$
22.2
$

2008
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.5
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.5
$
4.3
$
13.4
$
11.6
$
2.2
$
30.4
$
3.8
$
3.5
$
1.7
$
7.0
$
17.2
$
15.2
$
4.0
$
37.4
$

2009
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
5.0
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.9
$
2.5
$
0.7
$
6.2
$
19.4
$
16.9
$
3.2
$
44.0
$
5.5
$
5.1
$
2.5
$
10.1
$
24.9
$
22.0
$
5.7
$
54.2
$

2010
3.0
$
2.6
$
0.5
$
6.7
$
0.8
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.5
$
3.8
$
3.4
$
0.9
$
8.3
$
25.8
$
22.5
$
4.3
$
58.7
$
7.4
$
6.8
$
3.3
$
13.5
$
33.2
$
29.3
$
7.6
$
72.2
$

2011
3.7
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.5
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
4.8
$
4.2
$
1.1
$
10.5
$
32.6
$
28.4
$
5.4
$
74.2
$
9.3
$
8.6
$
4.2
$
17.0
$
41.9
$
37.0
$
9.6
$
91.2
$

2012
4.3
$
3.7
$
0.7
$
9.7
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.5
$
2.2
$
5.5
$
4.8
$
1.3
$
11.9
$
37.3
$
32.4
$
6.2
$
84.7
$
10.6
$
9.8
$
4.8
$
19.4
$
47.9
$
42.2
$
11.0
$
104.2
$

2013
4.7
$
4.1
$
0.8
$
10.7
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.6
$
2.5
$
6.1
$
5.3
$
1.4
$
13.2
$
41.1
$
35.8
$
6.8
$
93.6
$
11.7
$
10.8
$
5.3
$
21.4
$
52.9
$
46.6
$
12.1
$
115.0
$

2014
5.1
$
4.5
$
0.8
$
11.7
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.7
$
2.7
$
6.6
$
5.8
$
1.5
$
14.3
$
44.7
$
38.9
$
7.4
$
101.7
$
12.7
$
11.7
$
5.7
$
23.3
$
57.4
$
50.7
$
13.1
$
125.0
$

2015
5.4
$
4.7
$
0.9
$
12.3
$
1.5
$
1.4
$
0.7
$
2.8
$
6.9
$
6.1
$
1.6
$
15.1
$
47.1
$
41.0
$
7.8
$
107.1
$
13.4
$
12.3
$
6.0
$
24.5
$
60.5
$
53.3
$
13.8
$
131.6
$

2016
5.6
$
4.9
$
0.9
$
12.8
$
1.6
$
1.5
$
0.7
$
2.9
$
7.2
$
6.4
$
1.6
$
15.7
$
49.0
$
42.7
$
8.1
$
111.4
$
13.9
$
12.8
$
6.2
$
25.4
$
62.9
$
55.5
$
14.4
$
136.8
$

2017
5.8
$
5.0
$
1.0
$
13.2
$
1.6
$
1.5
$
0.7
$
3.0
$
7.4
$
6.6
$
1.7
$
16.2
$
50.6
$
44.1
$
8.4
$
115.1
$
14.3
$
13.2
$
6.4
$
26.2
$
64.9
$
57.2
$
14.8
$
141.3
$

2018
6.0
$
5.2
$
1.0
$
13.6
$
1.7
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.1
$
7.6
$
6.7
$
1.7
$
16.6
$
52.0
$
45.3
$
8.6
$
118.3
$
14.7
$
13.5
$
6.6
$
26.9
$
66.7
$
58.8
$
15.2
$
145.2
$

2019
6.1
$
5.3
$
1.0
$
13.9
$
1.7
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.2
$
7.8
$
6.9
$
1.8
$
17.1
$
53.3
$
46.4
$
8.8
$
121.3
$
15.0
$
13.9
$
6.8
$
27.5
$
68.3
$
60.3
$
15.6
$
148.8
$

2020
6.2
$
5.4
$
1.0
$
14.2
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.2
$
8.0
$
7.1
$
1.8
$
17.4
$
54.5
$
47.5
$
9.0
$
124.0
$
15.3
$
14.1
$
6.9
$
28.2
$
69.8
$
61.6
$
15.9
$
152.2
$

2021
6.4
$
5.6
$
1.1
$
14.5
$
1.8
$
1.7
$
0.8
$
3.3
$
8.2
$
7.2
$
1.9
$
17.8
$
55.6
$
48.4
$
9.2
$
126.6
$
15.6
$
14.4
$
7.0
$
28.7
$
71.3
$
62.9
$
16.2
$
155.3
$

2022
6.5
$
5.7
$
1.1
$
14.8
$
1.8
$
1.7
$
0.8
$
3.3
$
8.3
$
7.3
$
1.9
$
18.1
$
56.7
$
49.4
$
9.4
$
129.1
$
15.9
$
14.7
$
7.2
$
29.2
$
72.6
$
64.0
$
16.5
$
158.3
$

2023
6.6
$
5.8
$
1.1
$
15.1
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.8
$
3.4
$
8.5
$
7.5
$
1.9
$
18.5
$
57.8
$
50.3
$
9.5
$
131.5
$
16.2
$
14.9
$
7.3
$
29.7
$
73.9
$
65.2
$
16.8
$
161.2
$

2024
6.7
$
5.9
$
1.1
$
15.3
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.8
$
3.5
$
8.6
$
7.6
$
2.0
$
18.8
$
58.8
$
51.2
$
9.7
$
133.8
$
16.4
$
15.1
$
7.4
$
30.2
$
75.2
$
66.3
$
17.1
$
163.9
$

2025
6.8
$
6.0
$
1.1
$
15.6
$
1.9
$
1.8
$
0.9
$
3.5
$
8.8
$
7.7
$
2.0
$
19.1
$
59.7
$
52.0
$
9.8
$
136.0
$
16.7
$
15.4
$
7.5
$
30.6
$
76.4
$
67.4
$
17.3
$
166.6
$

2026
7.0
$
6.1
$
1.1
$
15.8
$
1.9
$
1.8
$
0.9
$
3.6
$
8.9
$
7.8
$
2.0
$
19.4
$
60.7
$
52.8
$
10.0
$
138.2
$
16.9
$
15.6
$
7.6
$
31.1
$
77.6
$
68.4
$
17.6
$
169.2
$

2027
7.1
$
6.1
$
1.2
$
16.1
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.9
$
3.6
$
9.0
$
8.0
$
2.0
$
19.7
$
61.6
$
53.7
$
10.1
$
140.3
$
17.1
$
15.8
$
7.7
$
31.5
$
78.8
$
69.5
$
17.8
$
171.8
$

Total
108.0
$
94.1
$
17.9
$
245.8
$
30.4
$
28.1
$
13.7
$
55.8
$
138.5
$
122.2
$
31.6
$
301.7
$
943.0
$
821.1
$
155.9
$
2,145.4
$
265.7
$
245.0
$
119.6
$
487.4
$
1,208.7
$
1,066.1
$
275.5
$
2,632.8
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
17c,
and
E.
17f.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
3t
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
All
Ground
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
4.4
$
3.9
$
0.7
$
10.1
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
5.7
$
5.0
$
1.3
$
12.4
$
38.8
$
33.8
$
6.5
$
88.1
$
11.2
$
10.3
$
5.0
$
20.4
$
49.9
$
44.0
$
11.5
$
108.5
$

2007
10.7
$
9.3
$
1.8
$
24.3
$
3.1
$
2.8
$
1.4
$
5.6
$
13.8
$
12.1
$
3.2
$
29.9
$
93.4
$
81.3
$
15.6
$
212.2
$
26.8
$
24.7
$
12.1
$
49.0
$
120.2
$
106.0
$
27.7
$
261.3
$

2008
18.0
$
15.7
$
3.0
$
41.0
$
5.2
$
4.8
$
2.3
$
9.4
$
23.2
$
20.5
$
5.3
$
50.4
$
157.3
$
137.0
$
26.2
$
357.6
$
45.1
$
41.5
$
20.4
$
82.5
$
202.4
$
178.5
$
46.6
$
440.1
$

2009
26.1
$
22.7
$
4.3
$
59.4
$
7.5
$
6.9
$
3.4
$
13.7
$
33.6
$
29.6
$
7.7
$
73.0
$
227.9
$
198.5
$
37.9
$
518.1
$
65.3
$
60.1
$
29.4
$
119.3
$
293.2
$
258.6
$
67.4
$
637.4
$

2010
34.8
$
30.3
$
5.8
$
79.1
$
10.0
$
9.2
$
4.5
$
18.2
$
44.8
$
39.5
$
10.3
$
97.3
$
303.8
$
264.6
$
50.5
$
690.6
$
86.9
$
80.0
$
39.2
$
158.7
$
390.6
$
344.6
$
89.7
$
849.4
$

2011
44.0
$
38.3
$
7.3
$
100.1
$
12.6
$
11.6
$
5.7
$
23.0
$
56.6
$
49.9
$
13.0
$
123.1
$
384.1
$
334.5
$
63.8
$
873.3
$
109.6
$
101.0
$
49.4
$
200.7
$
493.7
$
435.5
$
113.3
$
1,073.9
$

2012
49.2
$
42.8
$
8.2
$
111.8
$
14.0
$
12.9
$
6.3
$
25.7
$
63.2
$
55.7
$
14.5
$
137.5
$
429.1
$
373.7
$
71.3
$
975.8
$
122.3
$
112.7
$
55.1
$
224.1
$
551.5
$
486.5
$
126.4
$
1,199.9
$

2013
52.9
$
46.1
$
8.8
$
120.4
$
15.1
$
13.9
$
6.8
$
27.6
$
68.0
$
60.0
$
15.6
$
147.9
$
461.9
$
402.2
$
76.7
$
1,050.3
$
131.5
$
121.2
$
59.2
$
240.6
$
593.3
$
523.4
$
135.9
$
1,291.0
$

2014
56.0
$
48.7
$
9.3
$
127.3
$
15.9
$
14.7
$
7.2
$
29.1
$
71.9
$
63.4
$
16.5
$
156.4
$
488.5
$
425.4
$
81.0
$
1,110.9
$
138.8
$
128.0
$
62.6
$
254.1
$
627.3
$
553.4
$
143.6
$
1,365.1
$

2015
58.3
$
50.8
$
9.7
$
132.7
$
16.6
$
15.3
$
7.5
$
30.3
$
74.9
$
66.1
$
17.1
$
163.0
$
509.2
$
443.4
$
84.4
$
1,158.1
$
144.5
$
133.2
$
65.0
$
264.6
$
653.6
$
576.6
$
149.4
$
1,422.7
$

2016
60.3
$
52.6
$
10.0
$
137.3
$
17.1
$
15.8
$
7.7
$
31.3
$
77.4
$
68.3
$
17.7
$
168.6
$
526.7
$
458.7
$
87.2
$
1,198.0
$
149.2
$
137.6
$
67.1
$
273.2
$
675.9
$
596.2
$
154.3
$
1,471.2
$

2017
62.1
$
54.1
$
10.3
$
141.3
$
17.6
$
16.2
$
7.9
$
32.2
$
79.7
$
70.3
$
18.2
$
173.5
$
542.1
$
472.1
$
89.7
$
1,233.2
$
153.3
$
141.4
$
69.0
$
280.9
$
695.4
$
613.5
$
158.7
$
1,514.1
$

2018
63.7
$
55.5
$
10.5
$
145.0
$
18.0
$
16.6
$
8.1
$
33.0
$
81.7
$
72.1
$
18.6
$
177.9
$
556.1
$
484.3
$
92.0
$
1,265.2
$
157.0
$
144.8
$
70.6
$
287.8
$
713.1
$
629.1
$
162.6
$
1,553.0
$

2019
65.2
$
56.8
$
10.8
$
148.4
$
18.4
$
17.0
$
8.3
$
33.7
$
83.6
$
73.7
$
19.0
$
182.1
$
569.1
$
495.6
$
94.1
$
1,294.8
$
160.4
$
147.9
$
72.1
$
294.1
$
729.5
$
643.5
$
166.2
$
1,588.9
$

2020
66.6
$
58.0
$
11.0
$
151.6
$
18.7
$
17.3
$
8.4
$
34.4
$
85.3
$
75.3
$
19.4
$
186.0
$
581.3
$
506.2
$
96.0
$
1,322.7
$
163.6
$
150.8
$
73.5
$
300.3
$
744.8
$
657.0
$
169.5
$
1,622.9
$

2021
67.9
$
59.2
$
11.2
$
154.6
$
19.1
$
17.6
$
8.6
$
35.0
$
87.0
$
76.7
$
19.8
$
189.6
$
592.9
$
516.3
$
97.9
$
1,349.2
$
166.5
$
153.5
$
74.9
$
305.8
$
759.4
$
669.7
$
172.8
$
1,654.9
$

2022
69.2
$
60.3
$
11.4
$
157.5
$
19.4
$
17.9
$
8.7
$
35.7
$
88.6
$
78.1
$
20.1
$
193.2
$
604.0
$
526.0
$
99.6
$
1,374.6
$
169.3
$
156.1
$
76.2
$
311.2
$
773.4
$
682.0
$
175.8
$
1,685.7
$

2023
70.4
$
61.3
$
11.6
$
160.3
$
19.7
$
18.2
$
8.9
$
36.2
$
90.2
$
79.5
$
20.5
$
196.6
$
614.8
$
535.3
$
101.3
$
1,399.1
$
172.1
$
158.6
$
77.4
$
316.3
$
786.8
$
693.9
$
178.7
$
1,715.5
$

2024
71.6
$
62.4
$
11.8
$
163.1
$
20.0
$
18.5
$
9.0
$
36.8
$
91.7
$
80.8
$
20.8
$
199.8
$
625.2
$
544.4
$
103.0
$
1,423.0
$
174.7
$
161.1
$
78.5
$
321.1
$
799.9
$
705.4
$
181.5
$
1,744.1
$

2025
72.8
$
63.4
$
12.0
$
165.7
$
20.3
$
18.7
$
9.1
$
37.3
$
93.1
$
82.1
$
21.1
$
203.0
$
635.4
$
553.2
$
104.6
$
1,446.3
$
177.2
$
163.4
$
79.8
$
325.7
$
812.6
$
716.6
$
184.4
$
1,772.0
$

2026
74.0
$
64.4
$
12.2
$
168.3
$
20.6
$
19.0
$
9.3
$
37.8
$
94.5
$
83.4
$
21.4
$
206.2
$
645.4
$
561.9
$
106.2
$
1,469.2
$
179.6
$
165.7
$
80.9
$
330.2
$
825.0
$
727.6
$
187.1
$
1,799.4
$

2027
75.1
$
65.4
$
12.3
$
170.9
$
20.9
$
19.3
$
9.4
$
38.4
$
95.9
$
84.6
$
21.7
$
209.3
$
655.2
$
570.5
$
107.7
$
1,491.7
$
182.0
$
168.0
$
81.9
$
334.8
$
837.3
$
738.5
$
189.6
$
1,826.4
$

Total
1,173.6
$
1,022.0
$
194.0
$
2,670.0
$
330.8
$
304.9
$
148.9
$
606.7
$
1,504.4
$
1,326.9
$
342.9
$
3,276.8
$
10,242.2
$
8,918.9
$
1,693.3
$
23,302.0
$
2,886.8
$
2,661.4
$
1,299.2
$
5,295.2
$
13,129.0
$
11,580.2
$
2,992.5
$
28,597.2
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
3j
and
F.
3t.
Exhibit
F.
3u
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
4.1
$
3.5
$
0.7
$
9.2
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.5
$
2.1
$
5.2
$
4.6
$
1.2
$
11.4
$
35.5
$
30.9
$
5.9
$
80.6
$
10.2
$
9.4
$
4.6
$
18.7
$
45.7
$
40.3
$
10.5
$
99.3
$

2007
9.5
$
8.3
$
1.6
$
21.6
$
2.7
$
2.5
$
1.2
$
5.0
$
12.2
$
10.8
$
2.8
$
26.6
$
83.0
$
72.3
$
13.8
$
188.6
$
23.8
$
21.9
$
10.8
$
43.6
$
106.8
$
94.2
$
24.6
$
232.1
$

2008
15.5
$
13.5
$
2.6
$
35.3
$
4.5
$
4.1
$
2.0
$
8.2
$
20.0
$
17.6
$
4.6
$
43.5
$
135.7
$
118.2
$
22.6
$
308.5
$
38.9
$
35.8
$
17.6
$
71.1
$
174.6
$
154.0
$
40.2
$
379.6
$

2009
21.9
$
19.0
$
3.6
$
49.7
$
6.3
$
5.8
$
2.8
$
11.4
$
28.1
$
24.8
$
6.5
$
61.2
$
190.9
$
166.2
$
31.8
$
433.9
$
54.7
$
50.3
$
24.6
$
99.9
$
245.5
$
216.6
$
56.4
$
533.8
$

2010
28.3
$
24.6
$
4.7
$
64.3
$
8.1
$
7.5
$
3.6
$
14.8
$
36.4
$
32.1
$
8.4
$
79.1
$
247.0
$
215.1
$
41.1
$
561.6
$
70.6
$
65.1
$
31.8
$
129.0
$
317.6
$
280.2
$
72.9
$
690.6
$

2011
34.7
$
30.3
$
5.8
$
79.0
$
9.9
$
9.1
$
4.5
$
18.2
$
44.7
$
39.4
$
10.2
$
97.1
$
303.2
$
264.1
$
50.4
$
689.4
$
86.6
$
79.7
$
39.0
$
158.4
$
389.8
$
343.8
$
89.4
$
847.8
$

2012
37.7
$
32.8
$
6.3
$
85.7
$
10.7
$
9.9
$
4.8
$
19.7
$
48.4
$
42.7
$
11.1
$
105.4
$
328.9
$
286.4
$
54.6
$
747.9
$
93.8
$
86.4
$
42.2
$
171.7
$
422.7
$
372.8
$
96.8
$
919.6
$

2013
39.4
$
34.3
$
6.5
$
89.6
$
11.2
$
10.3
$
5.0
$
20.5
$
50.6
$
44.6
$
11.6
$
110.1
$
343.7
$
299.3
$
57.0
$
781.5
$
97.8
$
90.2
$
44.1
$
179.1
$
441.5
$
389.5
$
101.1
$
960.6
$

2014
40.4
$
35.2
$
6.7
$
92.0
$
11.5
$
10.6
$
5.2
$
21.0
$
51.9
$
45.8
$
11.9
$
113.0
$
352.9
$
307.3
$
58.5
$
802.6
$
100.3
$
92.4
$
45.2
$
183.6
$
453.2
$
399.8
$
103.7
$
986.2
$

2015
40.9
$
35.6
$
6.8
$
93.1
$
11.6
$
10.7
$
5.2
$
21.3
$
52.5
$
46.3
$
12.0
$
114.3
$
357.1
$
311.0
$
59.2
$
812.3
$
101.3
$
93.4
$
45.6
$
185.6
$
458.5
$
404.4
$
104.8
$
997.9
$

2016
41.1
$
35.8
$
6.8
$
93.5
$
11.6
$
10.7
$
5.2
$
21.3
$
52.7
$
46.5
$
12.0
$
114.8
$
358.6
$
312.3
$
59.4
$
815.8
$
101.6
$
93.7
$
45.7
$
186.0
$
460.2
$
406.0
$
105.1
$
1,001.8
$

2017
41.1
$
35.8
$
6.8
$
93.4
$
11.6
$
10.7
$
5.2
$
21.3
$
52.7
$
46.5
$
12.0
$
114.7
$
358.4
$
312.1
$
59.3
$
815.3
$
101.4
$
93.5
$
45.6
$
185.7
$
459.8
$
405.6
$
104.9
$
1,001.0
$

2018
40.9
$
35.6
$
6.8
$
93.0
$
11.5
$
10.7
$
5.2
$
21.2
$
52.4
$
46.3
$
12.0
$
114.2
$
357.0
$
310.8
$
59.0
$
812.1
$
100.8
$
93.0
$
45.3
$
184.7
$
457.7
$
403.8
$
104.4
$
996.8
$

2019
40.6
$
35.4
$
6.7
$
92.5
$
11.5
$
10.6
$
5.2
$
21.0
$
52.1
$
46.0
$
11.9
$
113.5
$
354.6
$
308.8
$
58.6
$
806.9
$
100.0
$
92.2
$
44.9
$
183.3
$
454.6
$
401.0
$
103.6
$
990.1
$

2020
40.3
$
35.1
$
6.7
$
91.7
$
11.3
$
10.5
$
5.1
$
20.8
$
51.6
$
45.5
$
11.8
$
112.5
$
351.7
$
306.3
$
58.1
$
800.2
$
99.0
$
91.2
$
44.5
$
181.7
$
450.6
$
397.5
$
102.6
$
981.9
$

2021
39.9
$
34.7
$
6.6
$
90.8
$
11.2
$
10.3
$
5.0
$
20.6
$
51.1
$
45.1
$
11.6
$
111.4
$
348.3
$
303.3
$
57.5
$
792.5
$
97.8
$
90.1
$
44.0
$
179.6
$
446.1
$
393.4
$
101.5
$
972.1
$

2022
39.5
$
34.4
$
6.5
$
89.8
$
11.1
$
10.2
$
5.0
$
20.3
$
50.5
$
44.6
$
11.5
$
110.2
$
344.5
$
299.9
$
56.8
$
783.9
$
96.6
$
89.0
$
43.4
$
177.5
$
441.0
$
388.9
$
100.3
$
961.4
$

2023
39.0
$
34.0
$
6.4
$
88.8
$
10.9
$
10.1
$
4.9
$
20.1
$
49.9
$
44.0
$
11.3
$
108.8
$
340.4
$
296.4
$
56.1
$
774.7
$
95.3
$
87.8
$
42.8
$
175.1
$
435.6
$
384.2
$
98.9
$
949.8
$

2024
38.5
$
33.5
$
6.3
$
87.6
$
10.8
$
9.9
$
4.8
$
19.8
$
49.3
$
43.5
$
11.2
$
107.4
$
336.1
$
292.6
$
55.4
$
764.9
$
93.9
$
86.6
$
42.2
$
172.6
$
430.0
$
379.2
$
97.6
$
937.5
$

2025
38.0
$
33.1
$
6.3
$
86.5
$
10.6
$
9.8
$
4.8
$
19.5
$
48.6
$
42.9
$
11.0
$
106.0
$
331.6
$
288.7
$
54.6
$
754.8
$
92.5
$
85.3
$
41.6
$
170.0
$
424.1
$
374.0
$
96.2
$
924.8
$

2026
37.5
$
32.6
$
6.2
$
85.3
$
10.4
$
9.6
$
4.7
$
19.2
$
47.9
$
42.2
$
10.9
$
104.5
$
327.0
$
284.7
$
53.8
$
744.4
$
91.0
$
84.0
$
41.0
$
167.3
$
418.0
$
368.7
$
94.8
$
911.7
$

2027
36.9
$
32.2
$
6.1
$
84.1
$
10.3
$
9.5
$
4.6
$
18.9
$
47.2
$
41.6
$
10.7
$
103.0
$
322.3
$
280.6
$
53.0
$
733.8
$
89.5
$
82.7
$
40.3
$
164.7
$
411.9
$
363.3
$
93.3
$
898.5
$

Total
745.7
$
649.4
$
123.4
$
1,696.5
$
210.5
$
194.1
$
94.7
$
386.0
$
956.3
$
843.5
$
218.1
$
2,082.5
$
6,508.3
$
5,667.5
$
1,076.6
$
14,806.1
$
1,837.2
$
1,693.6
$
826.9
$
3,368.8
$
8,345.5
$
7,361.1
$
1,903.5
$
18,174.9
$

Ann.
42.8
$
37.3
$
7.1
$
97.4
$
12.1
$
11.1
$
5.4
$
22.2
$
54.9
$
48.4
$
12.5
$
119.6
$
373.8
$
325.5
$
61.8
$
850.3
$
105.5
$
97.3
$
47.5
$
193.5
$
479.3
$
422.7
$
109.3
$
1,043.7
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
3u.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
3v
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
3.6
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.2
$
1.0
$
1.0
$
0.5
$
1.9
$
4.7
$
4.1
$
1.1
$
10.1
$
31.6
$
27.6
$
5.3
$
71.9
$
9.1
$
8.4
$
4.1
$
16.6
$
40.8
$
35.9
$
9.4
$
88.6
$

2007
8.2
$
7.1
$
1.4
$
18.6
$
2.3
$
2.2
$
1.1
$
4.3
$
10.5
$
9.3
$
2.4
$
22.8
$
71.2
$
62.0
$
11.9
$
161.9
$
20.5
$
18.8
$
9.2
$
37.4
$
91.7
$
80.9
$
21.1
$
199.3
$

2008
12.9
$
11.2
$
2.1
$
29.2
$
3.7
$
3.4
$
1.7
$
6.7
$
16.5
$
14.6
$
3.8
$
36.0
$
112.2
$
97.7
$
18.7
$
255.0
$
32.2
$
29.6
$
14.5
$
58.8
$
144.3
$
127.3
$
33.2
$
313.8
$

2009
17.4
$
15.2
$
2.9
$
39.6
$
5.0
$
4.6
$
2.2
$
9.1
$
22.4
$
19.7
$
5.1
$
48.7
$
151.9
$
132.3
$
25.3
$
345.3
$
43.5
$
40.0
$
19.6
$
79.5
$
195.4
$
172.3
$
44.9
$
424.7
$

2010
21.7
$
18.9
$
3.6
$
49.3
$
6.2
$
5.7
$
2.8
$
11.3
$
27.9
$
24.6
$
6.4
$
60.6
$
189.2
$
164.8
$
31.5
$
430.1
$
54.1
$
49.8
$
24.4
$
98.8
$
243.3
$
214.6
$
55.8
$
528.9
$

2011
25.6
$
22.3
$
4.3
$
58.2
$
7.3
$
6.7
$
3.3
$
13.4
$
32.9
$
29.0
$
7.6
$
71.6
$
223.5
$
194.7
$
37.2
$
508.2
$
63.8
$
58.8
$
28.8
$
116.8
$
287.4
$
253.5
$
65.9
$
625.0
$

2012
26.7
$
23.3
$
4.4
$
60.8
$
7.6
$
7.0
$
3.4
$
14.0
$
34.4
$
30.3
$
7.9
$
74.8
$
233.4
$
203.3
$
38.8
$
530.8
$
66.5
$
61.3
$
30.0
$
121.9
$
300.0
$
264.6
$
68.7
$
652.6
$

2013
26.9
$
23.4
$
4.5
$
61.2
$
7.7
$
7.1
$
3.4
$
14.0
$
34.6
$
30.5
$
7.9
$
75.2
$
234.8
$
204.5
$
39.0
$
533.9
$
66.8
$
61.6
$
30.1
$
122.3
$
301.6
$
266.1
$
69.1
$
656.3
$

2014
26.6
$
23.2
$
4.4
$
60.5
$
7.6
$
7.0
$
3.4
$
13.8
$
34.1
$
30.1
$
7.8
$
74.3
$
232.1
$
202.1
$
38.5
$
527.8
$
65.9
$
60.8
$
29.7
$
120.7
$
298.0
$
262.9
$
68.2
$
648.5
$

2015
25.9
$
22.6
$
4.3
$
58.9
$
7.3
$
6.8
$
3.3
$
13.5
$
33.3
$
29.3
$
7.6
$
72.4
$
226.1
$
196.9
$
37.5
$
514.2
$
64.1
$
59.1
$
28.9
$
117.5
$
290.2
$
256.0
$
66.3
$
631.7
$

2016
25.0
$
21.8
$
4.1
$
57.0
$
7.1
$
6.5
$
3.2
$
13.0
$
32.1
$
28.3
$
7.3
$
70.0
$
218.6
$
190.3
$
36.2
$
497.1
$
61.9
$
57.1
$
27.8
$
113.4
$
280.5
$
247.4
$
64.0
$
610.5
$

2017
24.1
$
21.0
$
4.0
$
54.8
$
6.8
$
6.3
$
3.1
$
12.5
$
30.9
$
27.3
$
7.1
$
67.3
$
210.2
$
183.1
$
34.8
$
478.3
$
59.5
$
54.8
$
26.7
$
108.9
$
269.7
$
237.9
$
61.5
$
587.2
$

2018
23.1
$
20.1
$
3.8
$
52.5
$
6.5
$
6.0
$
2.9
$
12.0
$
29.6
$
26.1
$
6.8
$
64.5
$
201.6
$
175.5
$
33.3
$
458.6
$
56.9
$
52.5
$
25.6
$
104.3
$
258.5
$
228.0
$
58.9
$
562.9
$

2019
22.1
$
19.2
$
3.7
$
50.3
$
6.2
$
5.7
$
2.8
$
11.4
$
28.3
$
25.0
$
6.5
$
61.7
$
192.8
$
167.9
$
31.9
$
438.6
$
54.3
$
50.1
$
24.4
$
99.6
$
247.1
$
218.0
$
56.3
$
538.2
$

2020
21.1
$
18.4
$
3.5
$
48.0
$
5.9
$
5.5
$
2.7
$
10.9
$
27.0
$
23.8
$
6.1
$
58.9
$
184.0
$
160.2
$
30.4
$
418.7
$
51.8
$
47.7
$
23.3
$
95.1
$
235.8
$
208.0
$
53.7
$
513.8
$

2021
20.1
$
17.5
$
3.3
$
45.7
$
5.6
$
5.2
$
2.5
$
10.4
$
25.7
$
22.7
$
5.9
$
56.1
$
175.4
$
152.7
$
29.0
$
399.2
$
49.3
$
45.4
$
22.2
$
90.5
$
224.7
$
198.2
$
51.1
$
489.6
$

2022
19.1
$
16.7
$
3.2
$
43.6
$
5.4
$
4.9
$
2.4
$
9.9
$
24.5
$
21.6
$
5.6
$
53.4
$
167.0
$
145.4
$
27.5
$
380.1
$
46.8
$
43.2
$
21.1
$
86.0
$
213.8
$
188.6
$
48.6
$
466.1
$

2023
18.2
$
15.9
$
3.0
$
41.4
$
5.1
$
4.7
$
2.3
$
9.4
$
23.3
$
20.5
$
5.3
$
50.8
$
158.9
$
138.3
$
26.2
$
361.6
$
44.5
$
41.0
$
20.0
$
81.7
$
203.3
$
179.3
$
46.2
$
443.3
$

2024
17.3
$
15.1
$
2.9
$
39.4
$
4.8
$
4.5
$
2.2
$
8.9
$
22.1
$
19.5
$
5.0
$
48.3
$
151.0
$
131.5
$
24.9
$
343.7
$
42.2
$
38.9
$
19.0
$
77.5
$
193.2
$
170.4
$
43.8
$
421.2
$

2025
16.4
$
14.3
$
2.7
$
37.4
$
4.6
$
4.2
$
2.1
$
8.4
$
21.0
$
18.5
$
4.8
$
45.8
$
143.4
$
124.9
$
23.6
$
326.4
$
40.0
$
36.9
$
18.0
$
73.5
$
183.4
$
161.7
$
41.6
$
400.0
$

2026
15.6
$
13.6
$
2.6
$
35.5
$
4.3
$
4.0
$
2.0
$
8.0
$
19.9
$
17.6
$
4.5
$
43.5
$
136.1
$
118.5
$
22.4
$
309.9
$
37.9
$
35.0
$
17.1
$
69.7
$
174.0
$
153.5
$
39.5
$
379.6
$

2027
14.8
$
12.9
$
2.4
$
33.7
$
4.1
$
3.8
$
1.8
$
7.6
$
18.9
$
16.7
$
4.3
$
41.3
$
129.2
$
112.5
$
21.2
$
294.1
$
35.9
$
33.1
$
16.1
$
66.0
$
165.1
$
145.6
$
37.4
$
360.1
$

Total
432.5
$
376.6
$
71.6
$
983.7
$
122.3
$
112.7
$
55.1
$
224.2
$
554.8
$
489.3
$
126.7
$
1,207.9
$
3,774.2
$
3,286.7
$
624.9
$
8,585.3
$
1,067.5
$
983.9
$
480.6
$
1,956.6
$
4,841.7
$
4,270.6
$
1,105.4
$
10,541.9
$

Ann.
37.1
$
32.3
$
6.1
$
84.4
$
10.5
$
9.7
$
4.7
$
19.2
$
47.6
$
42.0
$
10.9
$
103.7
$
323.9
$
282.0
$
53.6
$
736.7
$
91.6
$
84.4
$
41.2
$
167.9
$
415.5
$
366.5
$
94.9
$
904.6
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
3u.
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
3w
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
1.6
$
5.2
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.5
$
7.3
$
4.5
$
17.1
$
14.1
$
45.7
$

2007
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
2.0
$
1.2
$
4.6
$
3.8
$
12.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.6
$
3.5
$
17.1
$
10.6
$
40.1
$
33.1
$
106.8
$

2008
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
3.2
$
2.0
$
7.5
$
6.2
$
20.0
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.7
$
2.7
$
5.7
$
28.0
$
17.3
$
65.5
$
54.1
$
174.6
$

2009
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
4.5
$
2.8
$
10.6
$
8.7
$
28.1
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.9
$
3.8
$
8.0
$
39.4
$
24.4
$
92.1
$
76.0
$
245.5
$

2010
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.2
$
5.8
$
3.6
$
13.6
$
11.3
$
36.4
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
1.2
$
4.9
$
10.4
$
51.0
$
31.5
$
119.1
$
98.4
$
317.6
$

2011
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.5
$
7.2
$
4.4
$
16.7
$
13.8
$
44.7
$
0.2
$
1.2
$
1.5
$
6.0
$
12.8
$
62.6
$
38.7
$
146.2
$
120.7
$
389.8
$

2012
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.7
$
7.7
$
4.8
$
18.1
$
14.9
$
48.4
$
0.2
$
1.5
$
1.8
$
7.1
$
15.1
$
67.5
$
41.7
$
157.7
$
130.2
$
422.7
$

2013
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.0
$
8.0
$
5.0
$
18.7
$
15.5
$
50.6
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.0
$
8.1
$
17.4
$
70.0
$
43.3
$
163.6
$
135.1
$
441.5
$

2014
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.3
$
8.2
$
5.1
$
19.1
$
15.8
$
51.9
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.3
$
9.2
$
19.6
$
71.4
$
44.1
$
166.7
$
137.7
$
453.2
$

2015
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
8.2
$
5.1
$
19.3
$
15.9
$
52.5
$
0.3
$
2.0
$
2.4
$
9.6
$
20.6
$
72.0
$
44.5
$
168.2
$
138.9
$
458.5
$

2016
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
8.3
$
5.1
$
19.3
$
16.0
$
52.7
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.4
$
9.9
$
21.0
$
72.2
$
44.6
$
168.6
$
139.2
$
460.2
$

2017
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
8.3
$
5.1
$
19.3
$
15.9
$
52.7
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.5
$
9.9
$
21.2
$
72.0
$
44.5
$
168.2
$
138.9
$
459.8
$

2018
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
8.2
$
5.1
$
19.2
$
15.8
$
52.4
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.5
$
10.0
$
21.3
$
71.7
$
44.3
$
167.4
$
138.2
$
457.7
$

2019
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
8.2
$
5.0
$
19.0
$
15.7
$
52.1
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.5
$
10.0
$
21.3
$
71.1
$
44.0
$
166.2
$
137.2
$
454.6
$

2020
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
8.1
$
5.0
$
18.9
$
15.6
$
51.6
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.5
$
9.9
$
21.1
$
70.5
$
43.6
$
164.7
$
136.0
$
450.6
$

2021
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
8.0
$
4.9
$
18.7
$
15.4
$
51.1
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.4
$
9.8
$
21.0
$
69.8
$
43.1
$
163.0
$
134.6
$
446.1
$

2022
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
7.9
$
4.9
$
18.5
$
15.2
$
50.5
$
0.3
$
2.0
$
2.4
$
9.7
$
20.8
$
69.0
$
42.6
$
161.1
$
133.0
$
441.0
$

2023
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
7.8
$
4.8
$
18.2
$
15.1
$
49.9
$
0.3
$
2.0
$
2.4
$
9.6
$
20.6
$
68.1
$
42.1
$
159.1
$
131.4
$
435.6
$

2024
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.3
$
7.7
$
4.8
$
18.0
$
14.9
$
49.3
$
0.3
$
2.0
$
2.4
$
9.5
$
20.3
$
67.2
$
41.5
$
157.0
$
129.7
$
430.0
$

2025
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.3
$
7.6
$
4.7
$
17.7
$
14.7
$
48.6
$
0.3
$
2.0
$
2.3
$
9.4
$
20.1
$
66.3
$
41.0
$
154.9
$
127.9
$
424.1
$

2026
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.3
$
7.5
$
4.6
$
17.5
$
14.4
$
47.9
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.3
$
9.3
$
19.8
$
65.3
$
40.4
$
152.6
$
126.0
$
418.0
$

2027
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.0
$
2.2
$
7.4
$
4.6
$
17.2
$
14.2
$
47.2
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.3
$
9.1
$
19.5
$
64.4
$
39.8
$
150.4
$
124.2
$
411.9
$

Total
0.6
$
4.1
$
4.8
$
19.5
$
41.6
$
150.5
$
93.1
$
351.7
$
290.4
$
956.3
$
5.4
$
35.5
$
42.2
$
169.8
$
362.7
$
1,313.8
$
812.1
$
3,069.3
$
2,534.6
$
8,345.5
$

Ann.
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
8.6
$
5.3
$
20.2
$
16.7
$
54.9
$
0.3
$
2.0
$
2.4
$
9.8
$
20.8
$
75.4
$
46.6
$
176.3
$
145.6
$
479.3
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
3j
and
F.
3t.
Exhibit
F.
3x
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Preferred
Alternative
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
1.8
$
1.4
$
4.7
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.3
$
6.5
$
4.0
$
15.3
$
12.6
$
40.8
$

2007
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
1.0
$
3.9
$
3.3
$
10.5
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.4
$
3.0
$
14.7
$
9.1
$
34.4
$
28.4
$
91.7
$

2008
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.5
$
2.7
$
1.6
$
6.2
$
5.1
$
16.5
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
2.2
$
4.7
$
23.2
$
14.3
$
54.1
$
44.7
$
144.3
$

2009
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
3.6
$
2.2
$
8.4
$
6.9
$
22.4
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.7
$
3.0
$
6.4
$
31.4
$
19.4
$
73.3
$
60.5
$
195.4
$

2010
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
4.5
$
2.8
$
10.5
$
8.6
$
27.9
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.9
$
3.7
$
8.0
$
39.0
$
24.1
$
91.2
$
75.3
$
243.3
$

2011
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.1
$
5.3
$
3.3
$
12.3
$
10.2
$
32.9
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.1
$
4.4
$
9.4
$
46.1
$
28.5
$
107.8
$
89.0
$
287.4
$

2012
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.2
$
5.5
$
3.4
$
12.8
$
10.6
$
34.4
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
1.2
$
5.0
$
10.7
$
47.9
$
29.6
$
111.9
$
92.4
$
300.0
$

2013
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.4
$
5.5
$
3.4
$
12.8
$
10.6
$
34.6
$
0.2
$
1.2
$
1.4
$
5.6
$
11.9
$
47.8
$
29.6
$
111.8
$
92.3
$
301.6
$

2014
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.5
$
5.4
$
3.3
$
12.6
$
10.4
$
34.1
$
0.2
$
1.3
$
1.5
$
6.1
$
12.9
$
46.9
$
29.0
$
109.6
$
90.5
$
298.0
$

2015
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.5
$
5.2
$
3.2
$
12.2
$
10.1
$
33.3
$
0.2
$
1.3
$
1.5
$
6.1
$
13.0
$
45.6
$
28.2
$
106.5
$
87.9
$
290.2
$

2016
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.5
$
5.0
$
3.1
$
11.8
$
9.7
$
32.1
$
0.2
$
1.3
$
1.5
$
6.0
$
12.8
$
44.0
$
27.2
$
102.7
$
84.8
$
280.5
$

2017
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.4
$
4.8
$
3.0
$
11.3
$
9.3
$
30.9
$
0.2
$
1.2
$
1.5
$
5.8
$
12.5
$
42.2
$
26.1
$
98.7
$
81.5
$
269.7
$

2018
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.4
$
4.6
$
2.9
$
10.8
$
8.9
$
29.6
$
0.2
$
1.2
$
1.4
$
5.6
$
12.0
$
40.5
$
25.0
$
94.5
$
78.1
$
258.5
$

2019
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.3
$
4.4
$
2.7
$
10.4
$
8.5
$
28.3
$
0.2
$
1.1
$
1.3
$
5.4
$
11.6
$
38.7
$
23.9
$
90.3
$
74.6
$
247.1
$

2020
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.3
$
4.2
$
2.6
$
9.9
$
8.2
$
27.0
$
0.2
$
1.1
$
1.3
$
5.2
$
11.1
$
36.9
$
22.8
$
86.2
$
71.2
$
235.8
$

2021
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.2
$
4.0
$
2.5
$
9.4
$
7.8
$
25.7
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
1.2
$
5.0
$
10.6
$
35.1
$
21.7
$
82.1
$
67.8
$
224.7
$

2022
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.2
$
3.8
$
2.4
$
9.0
$
7.4
$
24.5
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
1.2
$
4.7
$
10.1
$
33.4
$
20.7
$
78.1
$
64.5
$
213.8
$

2023
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.1
$
3.6
$
2.3
$
8.5
$
7.0
$
23.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.1
$
4.5
$
9.6
$
31.8
$
19.6
$
74.3
$
61.3
$
203.3
$

2024
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.0
$
3.5
$
2.1
$
8.1
$
6.7
$
22.1
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.1
$
4.3
$
9.1
$
30.2
$
18.7
$
70.5
$
58.3
$
193.2
$

2025
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.0
$
3.3
$
2.0
$
7.7
$
6.3
$
21.0
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.0
$
4.1
$
8.7
$
28.7
$
17.7
$
67.0
$
55.3
$
183.4
$

2026
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
3.1
$
1.9
$
7.3
$
6.0
$
19.9
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.0
$
3.9
$
8.2
$
27.2
$
16.8
$
63.5
$
52.5
$
174.0
$

2027
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
3.0
$
1.8
$
6.9
$
5.7
$
18.9
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.9
$
3.7
$
7.8
$
25.8
$
15.9
$
60.3
$
49.8
$
165.1
$

Total
0.3
$
2.3
$
2.7
$
11.0
$
23.5
$
87.5
$
54.1
$
204.4
$
168.8
$
554.8
$
3.0
$
20.1
$
23.9
$
96.2
$
205.4
$
763.6
$
472.0
$
1,784.1
$
1,473.3
$
4,841.7
$

Ann.
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.0
$
7.5
$
4.6
$
17.5
$
14.5
$
47.6
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.1
$
8.3
$
17.6
$
65.5
$
40.5
$
153.1
$
126.4
$
415.5
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
3j
and
F.
3t.
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
3y
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
F.
4
Model
Outputs
­
Preferred
Alternative
HAA5
as
Indicator
Lymphoma
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
HAA5
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
4.2
$
3.6
$
0.7
$
9.5
$
6.8
$
5.9
$
1.1
$
15.6
$
11.0
$
9.6
$
1.8
$
25.1
$
36.4
$
31.7
$
6.1
$
82.8
$
59.6
$
51.8
$
9.2
$
136.5
$
96.0
$
83.5
$
15.3
$
219.3
$

2007
10.1
$
8.8
$
1.7
$
22.9
$
16.4
$
14.3
$
2.5
$
37.7
$
26.5
$
23.1
$
4.2
$
60.5
$
87.7
$
76.4
$
14.6
$
199.4
$
143.5
$
124.8
$
22.2
$
328.9
$
231.3
$
201.2
$
36.8
$
528.3
$

2008
16.9
$
14.8
$
2.8
$
38.5
$
27.7
$
24.1
$
4.3
$
63.5
$
44.7
$
38.8
$
7.1
$
102.0
$
147.8
$
128.7
$
24.6
$
336.0
$
241.9
$
210.2
$
37.4
$
554.1
$
389.7
$
339.0
$
62.1
$
890.2
$

2009
24.5
$
21.4
$
4.1
$
55.8
$
40.2
$
34.9
$
6.2
$
92.0
$
64.7
$
56.3
$
10.3
$
147.8
$
214.2
$
186.5
$
35.6
$
486.9
$
350.5
$
304.6
$
54.3
$
802.9
$
564.6
$
491.1
$
89.9
$
1,289.8
$

2010
32.7
$
28.5
$
5.4
$
74.4
$
53.5
$
46.5
$
8.3
$
122.6
$
86.2
$
75.0
$
13.7
$
197.0
$
285.4
$
248.6
$
47.5
$
648.9
$
467.2
$
406.0
$
72.3
$
1,070.3
$
752.6
$
654.6
$
119.8
$
1,719.3
$

2011
41.4
$
36.0
$
6.9
$
94.0
$
67.7
$
58.8
$
10.5
$
155.1
$
109.0
$
94.8
$
17.4
$
249.1
$
360.9
$
314.3
$
60.0
$
820.5
$
590.7
$
513.4
$
91.5
$
1,353.5
$
951.6
$
827.7
$
151.4
$
2,174.0
$

2012
46.1
$
40.2
$
7.7
$
104.8
$
75.5
$
65.6
$
11.7
$
173.0
$
121.6
$
105.8
$
19.3
$
277.8
$
402.4
$
350.5
$
66.8
$
915.0
$
658.8
$
572.6
$
102.0
$
1,509.4
$
1,061.2
$
923.1
$
168.8
$
2,424.5
$

2013
49.5
$
43.1
$
8.2
$
112.6
$
81.1
$
70.5
$
12.5
$
185.7
$
130.6
$
113.6
$
20.8
$
298.3
$
432.0
$
376.2
$
71.7
$
982.5
$
707.4
$
614.8
$
109.5
$
1,620.7
$
1,139.4
$
991.1
$
181.2
$
2,603.2
$

2014
52.2
$
45.5
$
8.7
$
118.7
$
85.5
$
74.3
$
13.2
$
195.9
$
137.7
$
119.8
$
21.9
$
314.7
$
455.7
$
396.8
$
75.6
$
1,036.3
$
746.3
$
648.6
$
115.5
$
1,709.7
$
1,201.9
$
1,045.5
$
191.1
$
2,746.1
$

2015
54.4
$
47.3
$
9.0
$
123.7
$
89.0
$
77.4
$
13.8
$
204.0
$
143.4
$
124.7
$
22.8
$
327.7
$
474.5
$
413.2
$
78.6
$
1,079.2
$
777.2
$
675.5
$
120.3
$
1,780.6
$
1,251.7
$
1,088.7
$
199.0
$
2,859.8
$

2016
56.2
$
48.9
$
9.3
$
127.8
$
92.1
$
80.0
$
14.3
$
210.9
$
148.3
$
129.0
$
23.6
$
338.8
$
490.5
$
427.2
$
81.2
$
1,115.8
$
803.5
$
698.4
$
124.4
$
1,841.0
$
1,294.1
$
1,125.6
$
205.6
$
2,956.8
$

2017
57.8
$
50.4
$
9.6
$
131.6
$
94.8
$
82.4
$
14.7
$
217.1
$
152.6
$
132.7
$
24.2
$
348.6
$
504.7
$
439.5
$
83.5
$
1,148.2
$
826.9
$
718.8
$
128.0
$
1,894.6
$
1,331.6
$
1,158.3
$
211.6
$
3,042.7
$

2018
59.3
$
51.7
$
9.8
$
134.9
$
97.2
$
84.5
$
15.0
$
222.7
$
156.5
$
136.1
$
24.9
$
357.6
$
517.7
$
450.8
$
85.6
$
1,177.7
$
848.2
$
737.3
$
131.3
$
1,943.4
$
1,365.9
$
1,188.1
$
216.9
$
3,121.0
$

2019
60.7
$
52.8
$
10.0
$
138.1
$
99.5
$
86.4
$
15.4
$
227.9
$
160.1
$
139.3
$
25.4
$
365.9
$
529.6
$
461.2
$
87.5
$
1,205.0
$
868.0
$
754.5
$
134.4
$
1,988.7
$
1,397.6
$
1,215.7
$
221.9
$
3,193.7
$

2020
62.0
$
54.0
$
10.2
$
141.0
$
101.6
$
88.3
$
15.7
$
232.8
$
163.6
$
142.3
$
26.0
$
373.8
$
540.9
$
471.1
$
89.3
$
1,230.8
$
886.6
$
770.6
$
137.3
$
2,031.4
$
1,427.5
$
1,241.7
$
226.6
$
3,262.2
$

2021
63.2
$
55.0
$
10.4
$
143.8
$
103.6
$
90.1
$
16.0
$
237.4
$
166.8
$
145.1
$
26.5
$
381.3
$
551.7
$
480.4
$
91.1
$
1,255.4
$
904.3
$
786.1
$
140.0
$
2,072.0
$
1,456.0
$
1,266.4
$
231.1
$
3,327.4
$

2022
64.4
$
56.1
$
10.6
$
146.5
$
105.6
$
91.8
$
16.3
$
241.9
$
170.0
$
147.8
$
27.0
$
388.4
$
562.0
$
489.4
$
92.7
$
1,278.9
$
921.4
$
800.8
$
142.7
$
2,111.0
$
1,483.4
$
1,290.2
$
235.4
$
3,389.9
$

2023
65.5
$
57.1
$
10.8
$
149.2
$
107.5
$
93.4
$
16.6
$
246.2
$
173.0
$
150.5
$
27.4
$
395.4
$
572.0
$
498.0
$
94.3
$
1,301.7
$
937.8
$
815.1
$
145.2
$
2,148.7
$
1,509.8
$
1,313.2
$
239.5
$
3,450.4
$

2024
66.6
$
58.0
$
11.0
$
151.7
$
109.3
$
95.0
$
16.9
$
250.4
$
175.9
$
153.0
$
27.9
$
402.1
$
581.7
$
506.4
$
95.8
$
1,323.9
$
953.8
$
829.1
$
147.7
$
2,185.4
$
1,535.5
$
1,335.5
$
243.5
$
3,509.3
$

2025
67.7
$
59.0
$
11.2
$
154.2
$
111.1
$
96.6
$
17.2
$
254.5
$
178.8
$
155.5
$
28.4
$
408.7
$
591.1
$
514.7
$
97.3
$
1,345.5
$
969.5
$
842.6
$
150.1
$
2,221.2
$
1,560.6
$
1,357.3
$
247.4
$
3,566.8
$

2026
68.8
$
59.9
$
11.3
$
156.6
$
112.8
$
98.1
$
17.5
$
258.5
$
181.6
$
158.0
$
28.8
$
415.2
$
600.4
$
522.7
$
98.8
$
1,366.7
$
984.8
$
856.0
$
152.5
$
2,256.4
$
1,585.2
$
1,378.7
$
251.3
$
3,623.2
$

2027
69.8
$
60.8
$
11.5
$
159.0
$
114.6
$
99.6
$
17.7
$
262.5
$
184.4
$
160.4
$
29.2
$
421.5
$
609.5
$
530.7
$
100.2
$
1,387.6
$
1,000.0
$
869.1
$
154.8
$
2,291.1
$
1,609.5
$
1,399.8
$
255.1
$
3,678.7
$

Total
1,094.2
$
952.8
$
180.9
$
2,489.3
$
1,793.0
$
1,558.4
$
277.6
$
4,108.0
$
2,887.1
$
2,511.2
$
458.5
$
6,597.3
$
9,549.0
$
8,315.2
$
1,578.7
$
21,724.9
$
15,647.9
$
13,600.7
$
2,422.8
$
35,851.5
$
25,196.9
$
21,916.0
$
4,001.5
$
57,576.4
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
18b,
and
E.
18e.
(
All
Surface
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
4a
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
HAA5
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.1
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.8
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.8
$
4.2
$
3.6
$
0.6
$
9.5
$
6.7
$
5.8
$
1.1
$
15.3
$

2007
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.6
$
1.9
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.2
$
6.1
$
5.3
$
1.0
$
13.9
$
10.0
$
8.7
$
1.6
$
23.0
$
16.2
$
14.1
$
2.6
$
36.9
$

2008
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.7
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.4
$
3.1
$
2.7
$
0.5
$
7.1
$
10.3
$
9.0
$
1.7
$
23.5
$
16.9
$
14.7
$
2.6
$
38.8
$
27.3
$
23.7
$
4.3
$
62.3
$

2009
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.9
$
2.8
$
2.4
$
0.4
$
6.4
$
4.5
$
3.9
$
0.7
$
10.3
$
15.0
$
13.0
$
2.5
$
34.1
$
24.5
$
21.3
$
3.8
$
56.2
$
39.5
$
34.4
$
6.3
$
90.2
$

2010
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.2
$
3.7
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.6
$
6.0
$
5.2
$
1.0
$
13.8
$
20.0
$
17.4
$
3.3
$
45.4
$
32.7
$
28.4
$
5.1
$
74.9
$
52.6
$
45.8
$
8.4
$
120.3
$

2011
2.9
$
2.5
$
0.5
$
6.6
$
4.7
$
4.1
$
0.7
$
10.8
$
7.6
$
6.6
$
1.2
$
17.4
$
25.2
$
22.0
$
4.2
$
57.4
$
41.3
$
35.9
$
6.4
$
94.7
$
66.6
$
57.9
$
10.6
$
152.1
$

2012
3.3
$
2.9
$
0.5
$
7.5
$
5.4
$
4.7
$
0.8
$
12.4
$
8.7
$
7.6
$
1.4
$
19.9
$
28.8
$
25.1
$
4.8
$
65.5
$
47.2
$
41.0
$
7.3
$
108.1
$
76.0
$
66.1
$
12.1
$
173.6
$

2013
3.6
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.3
$
6.0
$
5.2
$
0.9
$
13.7
$
9.6
$
8.4
$
1.5
$
22.0
$
31.8
$
27.7
$
5.3
$
72.4
$
52.1
$
45.3
$
8.1
$
119.4
$
84.0
$
73.0
$
13.4
$
191.8
$

2014
4.0
$
3.5
$
0.7
$
9.0
$
6.5
$
5.6
$
1.0
$
14.9
$
10.5
$
9.1
$
1.7
$
23.9
$
34.6
$
30.1
$
5.7
$
78.7
$
56.6
$
49.2
$
8.8
$
129.8
$
91.2
$
79.4
$
14.5
$
208.5
$

2015
4.2
$
3.6
$
0.7
$
9.5
$
6.8
$
5.9
$
1.1
$
15.7
$
11.0
$
9.6
$
1.8
$
25.2
$
36.4
$
31.7
$
6.0
$
82.9
$
59.7
$
51.9
$
9.2
$
136.7
$
96.1
$
83.6
$
15.3
$
219.6
$

2016
4.3
$
3.8
$
0.7
$
9.9
$
7.1
$
6.2
$
1.1
$
16.3
$
11.5
$
10.0
$
1.8
$
26.2
$
37.9
$
33.0
$
6.3
$
86.2
$
62.1
$
54.0
$
9.6
$
142.2
$
100.0
$
87.0
$
15.9
$
228.4
$

2017
4.5
$
3.9
$
0.7
$
10.2
$
7.3
$
6.4
$
1.1
$
16.8
$
11.8
$
10.3
$
1.9
$
27.0
$
39.1
$
34.1
$
6.5
$
89.0
$
64.1
$
55.7
$
9.9
$
146.9
$
103.2
$
89.8
$
16.4
$
235.9
$

2018
4.6
$
4.0
$
0.8
$
10.5
$
7.6
$
6.6
$
1.2
$
17.3
$
12.2
$
10.6
$
1.9
$
27.8
$
40.2
$
35.0
$
6.7
$
91.5
$
65.9
$
57.3
$
10.2
$
151.0
$
106.1
$
92.3
$
16.9
$
242.6
$

2019
4.7
$
4.1
$
0.8
$
10.7
$
7.7
$
6.7
$
1.2
$
17.7
$
12.5
$
10.8
$
2.0
$
28.5
$
41.2
$
35.9
$
6.8
$
93.8
$
67.6
$
58.7
$
10.5
$
154.8
$
108.8
$
94.6
$
17.3
$
248.6
$

2020
4.8
$
4.2
$
0.8
$
11.0
$
7.9
$
6.9
$
1.2
$
18.1
$
12.7
$
11.1
$
2.0
$
29.1
$
42.2
$
36.7
$
7.0
$
95.9
$
69.1
$
60.1
$
10.7
$
158.3
$
111.3
$
96.8
$
17.7
$
254.3
$

2021
4.9
$
4.3
$
0.8
$
11.2
$
8.1
$
7.0
$
1.3
$
18.5
$
13.0
$
11.3
$
2.1
$
29.7
$
43.0
$
37.5
$
7.1
$
97.9
$
70.6
$
61.3
$
10.9
$
161.6
$
113.6
$
98.8
$
18.0
$
259.6
$

2022
5.0
$
4.4
$
0.8
$
11.4
$
8.2
$
7.2
$
1.3
$
18.9
$
13.3
$
11.5
$
2.1
$
30.3
$
43.9
$
38.2
$
7.2
$
99.8
$
71.9
$
62.5
$
11.1
$
164.8
$
115.8
$
100.7
$
18.4
$
264.7
$

2023
5.1
$
4.5
$
0.8
$
11.7
$
8.4
$
7.3
$
1.3
$
19.2
$
13.5
$
11.8
$
2.1
$
30.9
$
44.7
$
38.9
$
7.4
$
101.7
$
73.3
$
63.7
$
11.3
$
167.8
$
117.9
$
102.6
$
18.7
$
269.5
$

2024
5.2
$
4.5
$
0.9
$
11.9
$
8.5
$
7.4
$
1.3
$
19.6
$
13.7
$
12.0
$
2.2
$
31.4
$
45.5
$
39.6
$
7.5
$
103.5
$
74.5
$
64.8
$
11.5
$
170.8
$
120.0
$
104.4
$
19.0
$
274.3
$

2025
5.3
$
4.6
$
0.9
$
12.1
$
8.7
$
7.5
$
1.3
$
19.9
$
14.0
$
12.2
$
2.2
$
32.0
$
46.2
$
40.2
$
7.6
$
105.2
$
75.8
$
65.9
$
11.7
$
173.7
$
122.0
$
106.1
$
19.3
$
278.8
$

2026
5.4
$
4.7
$
0.9
$
12.2
$
8.8
$
7.7
$
1.4
$
20.2
$
14.2
$
12.4
$
2.3
$
32.5
$
47.0
$
40.9
$
7.7
$
106.9
$
77.0
$
66.9
$
11.9
$
176.5
$
124.0
$
107.8
$
19.7
$
283.3
$

2027
5.5
$
4.8
$
0.9
$
12.4
$
9.0
$
7.8
$
1.4
$
20.5
$
14.4
$
12.5
$
2.3
$
33.0
$
47.7
$
41.5
$
7.8
$
108.5
$
78.2
$
68.0
$
12.1
$
179.2
$
125.9
$
109.5
$
20.0
$
287.8
$

Total
83.6
$
72.8
$
13.8
$
190.2
$
137.0
$
119.0
$
21.2
$
313.8
$
220.5
$
191.8
$
35.0
$
504.0
$
729.4
$
635.2
$
120.6
$
1,659.6
$
1,195.3
$
1,039.0
$
185.1
$
2,738.7
$
1,924.8
$
1,674.1
$
305.7
$
4,398.3
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
18c,
and
E.
18f.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
4b
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
All
Ground
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
HAA5
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
4.5
$
3.9
$
0.7
$
10.2
$
7.3
$
6.3
$
1.1
$
16.7
$
11.8
$
10.2
$
1.9
$
26.9
$
39.0
$
33.9
$
6.5
$
88.6
$
63.8
$
55.4
$
9.9
$
146.1
$
102.7
$
89.4
$
16.4
$
234.6
$

2007
10.8
$
9.4
$
1.8
$
24.4
$
17.6
$
15.3
$
2.7
$
40.3
$
28.4
$
24.7
$
4.5
$
64.8
$
93.9
$
81.8
$
15.7
$
213.4
$
153.6
$
133.5
$
23.8
$
351.9
$
247.5
$
215.2
$
39.4
$
565.2
$

2008
18.1
$
15.8
$
3.0
$
41.2
$
29.7
$
25.8
$
4.6
$
67.9
$
47.8
$
41.6
$
7.6
$
109.1
$
158.2
$
137.8
$
26.3
$
359.5
$
258.8
$
224.9
$
40.1
$
592.9
$
416.9
$
362.7
$
66.4
$
952.4
$

2009
26.3
$
22.9
$
4.4
$
59.7
$
43.0
$
37.3
$
6.7
$
98.4
$
69.2
$
60.2
$
11.0
$
158.1
$
229.1
$
199.6
$
38.1
$
520.9
$
375.0
$
325.9
$
58.0
$
859.1
$
604.1
$
525.5
$
96.2
$
1,380.0
$

2010
35.0
$
30.5
$
5.8
$
79.6
$
57.3
$
49.8
$
8.9
$
131.2
$
92.3
$
80.3
$
14.7
$
210.8
$
305.4
$
266.0
$
50.8
$
694.3
$
499.9
$
434.4
$
77.4
$
1,145.2
$
805.3
$
700.4
$
128.2
$
1,839.5
$

2011
44.2
$
38.5
$
7.4
$
100.6
$
72.4
$
62.9
$
11.2
$
165.9
$
116.7
$
101.5
$
18.6
$
266.5
$
386.1
$
336.3
$
64.2
$
877.9
$
632.1
$
549.4
$
97.9
$
1,448.1
$
1,018.2
$
885.6
$
162.0
$
2,326.0
$

2012
49.4
$
43.0
$
8.2
$
112.4
$
80.9
$
70.3
$
12.5
$
185.3
$
130.3
$
113.3
$
20.7
$
297.7
$
431.2
$
375.6
$
71.6
$
980.6
$
706.0
$
613.6
$
109.3
$
1,617.5
$
1,137.2
$
989.2
$
180.9
$
2,598.1
$

2013
53.1
$
46.3
$
8.8
$
120.9
$
87.0
$
75.6
$
13.5
$
199.4
$
140.2
$
121.9
$
22.3
$
320.3
$
463.9
$
404.0
$
77.0
$
1,054.8
$
759.5
$
660.1
$
117.6
$
1,740.1
$
1,223.4
$
1,064.1
$
194.6
$
2,795.0
$

2014
56.2
$
48.9
$
9.3
$
127.8
$
92.0
$
80.0
$
14.2
$
210.8
$
148.2
$
128.9
$
23.6
$
338.5
$
490.3
$
427.0
$
81.3
$
1,115.0
$
802.9
$
697.9
$
124.3
$
1,839.5
$
1,293.2
$
1,124.8
$
205.6
$
2,954.6
$

2015
58.5
$
51.0
$
9.7
$
133.2
$
95.9
$
83.3
$
14.8
$
219.7
$
154.4
$
134.3
$
24.5
$
352.8
$
510.9
$
444.9
$
84.7
$
1,162.1
$
836.8
$
727.4
$
129.6
$
1,917.3
$
1,347.8
$
1,172.3
$
214.2
$
3,079.4
$

2016
60.5
$
52.7
$
10.0
$
137.7
$
99.2
$
86.2
$
15.4
$
227.2
$
159.7
$
138.9
$
25.4
$
365.0
$
528.4
$
460.2
$
87.5
$
1,202.0
$
865.6
$
752.4
$
134.0
$
1,983.2
$
1,394.0
$
1,212.5
$
221.5
$
3,185.2
$

2017
62.3
$
54.3
$
10.3
$
141.8
$
102.1
$
88.7
$
15.8
$
233.9
$
164.4
$
143.0
$
26.1
$
375.7
$
543.9
$
473.6
$
90.0
$
1,237.2
$
891.0
$
774.5
$
138.0
$
2,041.5
$
1,434.9
$
1,248.1
$
228.0
$
3,278.7
$

2018
63.9
$
55.7
$
10.6
$
145.4
$
104.7
$
91.0
$
16.2
$
240.0
$
168.7
$
146.7
$
26.8
$
385.4
$
557.9
$
485.8
$
92.3
$
1,269.2
$
914.1
$
794.6
$
141.5
$
2,094.4
$
1,472.0
$
1,280.4
$
233.8
$
3,363.6
$

2019
65.4
$
57.0
$
10.8
$
148.8
$
107.2
$
93.2
$
16.6
$
245.6
$
172.6
$
150.1
$
27.4
$
394.4
$
570.9
$
497.1
$
94.4
$
1,298.8
$
935.6
$
813.2
$
144.9
$
2,143.5
$
1,506.4
$
1,310.3
$
239.2
$
3,442.3
$

2020
66.8
$
58.2
$
11.0
$
152.0
$
109.5
$
95.2
$
17.0
$
250.9
$
176.3
$
153.4
$
28.0
$
402.9
$
583.1
$
507.8
$
96.3
$
1,326.8
$
955.7
$
830.7
$
148.0
$
2,189.7
$
1,538.8
$
1,338.5
$
244.3
$
3,516.4
$

2021
68.1
$
59.3
$
11.2
$
155.1
$
111.7
$
97.1
$
17.3
$
255.9
$
179.9
$
156.4
$
28.5
$
411.0
$
594.7
$
517.9
$
98.2
$
1,353.3
$
974.9
$
847.4
$
150.9
$
2,233.6
$
1,569.6
$
1,365.2
$
249.1
$
3,586.9
$

2022
69.4
$
60.5
$
11.5
$
158.0
$
113.8
$
98.9
$
17.6
$
260.8
$
183.2
$
159.4
$
29.1
$
418.8
$
605.9
$
527.6
$
99.9
$
1,378.8
$
993.3
$
863.4
$
153.8
$
2,275.8
$
1,599.2
$
1,390.9
$
253.7
$
3,654.6
$

2023
70.7
$
61.5
$
11.6
$
160.8
$
115.9
$
100.7
$
17.9
$
265.4
$
186.5
$
162.2
$
29.6
$
426.2
$
616.6
$
536.9
$
101.7
$
1,403.4
$
1,011.1
$
878.8
$
156.6
$
2,316.6
$
1,627.7
$
1,415.7
$
258.2
$
3,720.0
$

2024
71.9
$
62.6
$
11.8
$
163.5
$
117.8
$
102.4
$
18.2
$
270.0
$
189.7
$
165.0
$
30.1
$
433.5
$
627.1
$
546.0
$
103.3
$
1,427.3
$
1,028.4
$
893.8
$
159.2
$
2,356.2
$
1,655.5
$
1,439.9
$
262.5
$
3,783.5
$

2025
73.0
$
63.6
$
12.0
$
166.2
$
119.8
$
104.1
$
18.5
$
274.4
$
192.8
$
167.7
$
30.6
$
440.6
$
637.3
$
554.9
$
104.9
$
1,450.7
$
1,045.3
$
908.5
$
161.9
$
2,394.9
$
1,682.6
$
1,463.4
$
266.8
$
3,845.6
$

2026
74.2
$
64.6
$
12.2
$
168.9
$
121.7
$
105.8
$
18.8
$
278.8
$
195.8
$
170.3
$
31.0
$
447.6
$
647.4
$
563.6
$
106.5
$
1,473.6
$
1,061.9
$
922.9
$
164.4
$
2,432.9
$
1,709.2
$
1,486.5
$
270.9
$
3,906.5
$

2027
75.3
$
65.6
$
12.4
$
171.4
$
123.5
$
107.4
$
19.1
$
283.1
$
198.8
$
172.9
$
31.5
$
454.5
$
657.2
$
572.2
$
108.1
$
1,496.2
$
1,078.2
$
937.1
$
167.0
$
2,470.3
$
1,735.4
$
1,509.3
$
275.0
$
3,966.5
$

Total
1,177.7
$
1,025.6
$
194.7
$
2,679.5
$
1,930.0
$
1,677.5
$
298.8
$
4,421.8
$
3,107.7
$
2,703.0
$
493.5
$
7,101.3
$
10,278.4
$
8,950.4
$
1,699.3
$
23,384.5
$
16,843.3
$
14,639.7
$
2,607.8
$
38,590.2
$
27,121.7
$
23,590.1
$
4,307.1
$
61,974.7
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
4a
and
F.
4b.
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
4c
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
HAA5
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
4.1
$
3.6
$
0.7
$
9.3
$
6.7
$
5.8
$
1.0
$
15.3
$
10.8
$
9.4
$
1.7
$
24.6
$
35.7
$
31.1
$
6.0
$
81.1
$
58.3
$
50.7
$
9.0
$
133.7
$
94.0
$
81.8
$
15.0
$
214.7
$

2007
9.6
$
8.3
$
1.6
$
21.7
$
15.6
$
13.6
$
2.4
$
35.8
$
25.2
$
21.9
$
4.0
$
57.5
$
83.4
$
72.6
$
13.9
$
189.6
$
136.5
$
118.6
$
21.1
$
312.6
$
219.9
$
191.2
$
35.0
$
502.2
$

2008
15.6
$
13.6
$
2.6
$
35.5
$
25.6
$
22.2
$
4.0
$
58.6
$
41.2
$
35.8
$
6.6
$
94.1
$
136.4
$
118.8
$
22.7
$
310.1
$
223.2
$
194.0
$
34.6
$
511.4
$
359.7
$
312.8
$
57.3
$
821.6
$

2009
22.0
$
19.2
$
3.7
$
50.0
$
36.0
$
31.3
$
5.6
$
82.4
$
58.0
$
50.4
$
9.2
$
132.4
$
191.9
$
167.1
$
31.9
$
436.3
$
314.0
$
272.9
$
48.6
$
719.5
$
505.9
$
440.1
$
80.6
$
1,155.7
$

2010
28.5
$
24.8
$
4.7
$
64.7
$
46.6
$
40.5
$
7.2
$
106.7
$
75.0
$
65.3
$
11.9
$
171.4
$
248.3
$
216.3
$
41.3
$
564.6
$
406.4
$
353.2
$
62.9
$
931.2
$
654.7
$
569.5
$
104.2
$
1,495.7
$

2011
34.9
$
30.4
$
5.8
$
79.4
$
57.2
$
49.7
$
8.9
$
131.0
$
92.1
$
80.1
$
14.7
$
210.4
$
304.8
$
265.5
$
50.7
$
693.0
$
499.0
$
433.7
$
77.2
$
1,143.2
$
803.8
$
699.1
$
127.9
$
1,836.2
$

2012
37.9
$
33.0
$
6.3
$
86.1
$
62.0
$
53.9
$
9.6
$
142.0
$
99.9
$
86.9
$
15.9
$
228.2
$
330.5
$
287.8
$
54.9
$
751.5
$
541.1
$
470.3
$
83.8
$
1,239.7
$
871.6
$
758.1
$
138.7
$
1,991.2
$

2013
39.5
$
34.4
$
6.6
$
89.9
$
64.8
$
56.3
$
10.0
$
148.4
$
104.3
$
90.7
$
16.6
$
238.3
$
345.2
$
300.6
$
57.3
$
784.9
$
565.2
$
491.2
$
87.5
$
1,294.8
$
910.3
$
791.8
$
144.8
$
2,079.7
$

2014
40.6
$
35.3
$
6.7
$
92.3
$
66.5
$
57.8
$
10.3
$
152.3
$
107.0
$
93.1
$
17.0
$
244.6
$
354.2
$
308.5
$
58.7
$
805.5
$
580.0
$
504.1
$
89.8
$
1,328.9
$
934.2
$
812.6
$
148.5
$
2,134.4
$

2015
41.1
$
35.8
$
6.8
$
93.4
$
67.3
$
58.5
$
10.4
$
154.1
$
108.3
$
94.2
$
17.2
$
247.5
$
358.4
$
312.1
$
59.4
$
815.1
$
586.9
$
510.2
$
90.9
$
1,344.8
$
945.3
$
822.2
$
150.3
$
2,159.8
$

2016
41.2
$
35.9
$
6.8
$
93.8
$
67.5
$
58.7
$
10.5
$
154.7
$
108.8
$
94.6
$
17.3
$
248.5
$
359.8
$
313.4
$
59.6
$
818.5
$
589.4
$
512.3
$
91.3
$
1,350.5
$
949.3
$
825.7
$
150.9
$
2,168.9
$

2017
41.2
$
35.9
$
6.8
$
93.7
$
67.5
$
58.7
$
10.5
$
154.6
$
108.7
$
94.5
$
17.3
$
248.4
$
359.6
$
313.1
$
59.5
$
817.9
$
589.1
$
512.0
$
91.2
$
1,349.6
$
948.6
$
825.1
$
150.7
$
2,167.6
$

2018
41.0
$
35.7
$
6.8
$
93.3
$
67.2
$
58.4
$
10.4
$
154.0
$
108.3
$
94.2
$
17.2
$
247.4
$
358.1
$
311.8
$
59.2
$
814.6
$
586.7
$
510.0
$
90.8
$
1,344.3
$
944.8
$
821.8
$
150.1
$
2,159.0
$

2019
40.8
$
35.5
$
6.7
$
92.7
$
66.8
$
58.1
$
10.3
$
153.1
$
107.6
$
93.6
$
17.1
$
245.8
$
355.8
$
309.8
$
58.8
$
809.4
$
583.0
$
506.8
$
90.3
$
1,335.7
$
938.8
$
816.5
$
149.1
$
2,145.1
$

2020
40.4
$
35.2
$
6.7
$
92.0
$
66.3
$
57.6
$
10.3
$
151.8
$
106.7
$
92.8
$
16.9
$
243.8
$
352.8
$
307.2
$
58.3
$
802.7
$
578.2
$
502.6
$
89.5
$
1,324.8
$
931.0
$
809.8
$
147.8
$
2,127.5
$

2021
40.0
$
34.9
$
6.6
$
91.1
$
65.6
$
57.0
$
10.2
$
150.3
$
105.6
$
91.9
$
16.8
$
241.4
$
349.3
$
304.2
$
57.7
$
794.9
$
572.6
$
497.7
$
88.7
$
1,312.0
$
922.0
$
801.9
$
146.3
$
2,107.0
$

2022
39.6
$
34.5
$
6.5
$
90.1
$
64.9
$
56.4
$
10.1
$
148.7
$
104.5
$
90.9
$
16.6
$
238.8
$
345.5
$
300.9
$
57.0
$
786.3
$
566.5
$
492.4
$
87.7
$
1,297.9
$
912.0
$
793.2
$
144.7
$
2,084.2
$

2023
39.1
$
34.1
$
6.4
$
89.0
$
64.1
$
55.8
$
9.9
$
147.0
$
103.3
$
89.8
$
16.4
$
236.0
$
341.4
$
297.3
$
56.3
$
777.0
$
559.8
$
486.6
$
86.7
$
1,282.6
$
901.2
$
783.9
$
143.0
$
2,059.7
$

2024
38.6
$
33.6
$
6.4
$
87.9
$
63.3
$
55.1
$
9.8
$
145.1
$
102.0
$
88.7
$
16.2
$
233.0
$
337.1
$
293.5
$
55.5
$
767.3
$
552.8
$
480.5
$
85.6
$
1,266.6
$
889.9
$
774.0
$
141.1
$
2,033.8
$

2025
38.1
$
33.2
$
6.3
$
86.8
$
62.5
$
54.3
$
9.7
$
143.2
$
100.6
$
87.5
$
16.0
$
230.0
$
332.6
$
289.6
$
54.8
$
757.1
$
545.5
$
474.1
$
84.5
$
1,249.9
$
878.1
$
763.8
$
139.2
$
2,007.0
$

2026
37.6
$
32.7
$
6.2
$
85.6
$
61.6
$
53.6
$
9.5
$
141.2
$
99.2
$
86.3
$
15.7
$
226.8
$
328.0
$
285.6
$
54.0
$
746.7
$
538.0
$
467.6
$
83.3
$
1,232.7
$
866.0
$
753.2
$
137.3
$
1,979.4
$

2027
37.0
$
32.3
$
6.1
$
84.3
$
60.8
$
52.8
$
9.4
$
139.2
$
97.8
$
85.1
$
15.5
$
223.6
$
323.3
$
281.5
$
53.2
$
736.0
$
530.4
$
461.0
$
82.1
$
1,215.2
$
853.7
$
742.5
$
135.3
$
1,951.2
$

Total
748.5
$
651.8
$
123.8
$
1,702.7
$
1,226.4
$
1,065.9
$
189.9
$
2,809.8
$
1,974.8
$
1,717.7
$
313.7
$
4,512.5
$
6,532.1
$
5,688.2
$
1,080.6
$
14,860.1
$
10,702.8
$
9,302.6
$
1,657.1
$
24,521.6
$
17,234.9
$
14,990.8
$
2,737.7
$
39,381.7
$

Ann.
43.0
$
37.4
$
7.1
$
97.8
$
70.4
$
61.2
$
10.9
$
161.4
$
113.4
$
98.6
$
18.0
$
259.1
$
375.1
$
326.7
$
62.1
$
853.4
$
614.6
$
534.2
$
95.2
$
1,408.2
$
989.8
$
860.9
$
157.2
$
2,261.6
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
4c.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
4d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
HAA5
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
3.6
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.3
$
6.0
$
5.2
$
0.9
$
13.7
$
9.6
$
8.4
$
1.5
$
21.9
$
31.8
$
27.7
$
5.3
$
72.3
$
52.0
$
45.2
$
8.1
$
119.2
$
83.9
$
72.9
$
13.4
$
191.5
$

2007
8.2
$
7.1
$
1.4
$
18.7
$
13.4
$
11.7
$
2.1
$
30.8
$
21.6
$
18.8
$
3.4
$
49.4
$
71.6
$
62.4
$
11.9
$
162.8
$
117.2
$
101.8
$
18.1
$
268.4
$
188.8
$
164.2
$
30.1
$
431.2
$

2008
12.9
$
11.3
$
2.2
$
29.4
$
21.1
$
18.4
$
3.3
$
48.4
$
34.1
$
29.6
$
5.4
$
77.8
$
112.8
$
98.2
$
18.8
$
256.3
$
184.5
$
160.4
$
28.6
$
422.7
$
297.3
$
258.6
$
47.3
$
679.1
$

2009
17.5
$
15.2
$
2.9
$
39.8
$
28.6
$
24.9
$
4.4
$
65.6
$
46.1
$
40.1
$
7.3
$
105.4
$
152.7
$
133.0
$
25.4
$
347.1
$
249.9
$
217.2
$
38.7
$
572.5
$
402.5
$
350.1
$
64.1
$
919.6
$

2010
21.8
$
19.0
$
3.6
$
49.5
$
35.7
$
31.0
$
5.5
$
81.7
$
57.5
$
50.0
$
9.1
$
131.3
$
190.2
$
165.6
$
31.6
$
432.4
$
311.3
$
270.5
$
48.2
$
713.2
$
501.5
$
436.2
$
79.8
$
1,145.6
$

2011
25.8
$
22.4
$
4.3
$
58.5
$
42.2
$
36.6
$
6.5
$
96.6
$
67.9
$
59.1
$
10.8
$
155.1
$
224.7
$
195.7
$
37.4
$
511.0
$
367.9
$
319.7
$
56.9
$
842.8
$
592.6
$
515.4
$
94.3
$
1,353.8
$

2012
26.9
$
23.4
$
4.5
$
61.1
$
44.0
$
38.2
$
6.8
$
100.8
$
70.9
$
61.7
$
11.3
$
161.9
$
234.6
$
204.3
$
39.0
$
533.4
$
384.0
$
333.8
$
59.5
$
879.8
$
618.6
$
538.1
$
98.4
$
1,413.2
$

2013
27.0
$
23.5
$
4.5
$
61.4
$
44.2
$
38.5
$
6.8
$
101.4
$
71.3
$
62.0
$
11.3
$
162.8
$
235.8
$
205.4
$
39.1
$
536.2
$
386.1
$
335.6
$
59.8
$
884.6
$
621.9
$
540.9
$
98.9
$
1,420.8
$

2014
26.7
$
23.2
$
4.4
$
60.7
$
43.7
$
38.0
$
6.8
$
100.1
$
70.4
$
61.2
$
11.2
$
160.8
$
232.9
$
202.9
$
38.6
$
529.7
$
381.5
$
331.5
$
59.1
$
874.0
$
614.4
$
534.4
$
97.7
$
1,403.7
$

2015
26.0
$
22.6
$
4.3
$
59.1
$
42.6
$
37.0
$
6.6
$
97.5
$
68.6
$
59.6
$
10.9
$
156.7
$
226.9
$
197.6
$
37.6
$
516.0
$
371.6
$
323.0
$
57.5
$
851.3
$
598.4
$
520.5
$
95.1
$
1,367.3
$

2016
25.1
$
21.9
$
4.2
$
57.2
$
41.2
$
35.8
$
6.4
$
94.3
$
66.3
$
57.7
$
10.5
$
151.4
$
219.3
$
191.0
$
36.3
$
498.8
$
359.2
$
312.2
$
55.6
$
823.0
$
578.5
$
503.2
$
91.9
$
1,321.7
$

2017
24.2
$
21.0
$
4.0
$
55.0
$
39.6
$
34.4
$
6.1
$
90.7
$
63.8
$
55.5
$
10.1
$
145.7
$
210.9
$
183.7
$
34.9
$
479.8
$
345.6
$
300.4
$
53.5
$
791.7
$
556.5
$
484.0
$
88.4
$
1,271.5
$

2018
23.2
$
20.2
$
3.8
$
52.7
$
38.0
$
33.0
$
5.9
$
87.0
$
61.1
$
53.2
$
9.7
$
139.7
$
202.2
$
176.1
$
33.4
$
460.0
$
331.3
$
288.0
$
51.3
$
759.1
$
533.5
$
464.1
$
84.7
$
1,219.1
$

2019
22.2
$
19.3
$
3.7
$
50.4
$
36.3
$
31.6
$
5.6
$
83.2
$
58.5
$
50.9
$
9.3
$
133.6
$
193.4
$
168.4
$
32.0
$
440.0
$
316.9
$
275.5
$
49.1
$
726.1
$
510.3
$
443.9
$
81.0
$
1,166.0
$

2020
21.2
$
18.4
$
3.5
$
48.1
$
34.7
$
30.1
$
5.4
$
79.4
$
55.8
$
48.6
$
8.9
$
127.6
$
184.6
$
160.7
$
30.5
$
420.0
$
302.6
$
263.0
$
46.8
$
693.2
$
487.1
$
423.7
$
77.3
$
1,113.2
$

2021
20.2
$
17.6
$
3.3
$
45.9
$
33.1
$
28.7
$
5.1
$
75.7
$
53.2
$
46.3
$
8.4
$
121.6
$
176.0
$
153.2
$
29.0
$
400.4
$
288.4
$
250.7
$
44.7
$
660.9
$
464.4
$
403.9
$
73.7
$
1,061.2
$

2022
19.2
$
16.7
$
3.2
$
43.7
$
31.5
$
27.4
$
4.9
$
72.1
$
50.7
$
44.1
$
8.0
$
115.8
$
167.5
$
145.9
$
27.6
$
381.2
$
274.7
$
238.7
$
42.5
$
629.3
$
442.2
$
384.6
$
70.2
$
1,010.5
$

2023
18.3
$
15.9
$
3.0
$
41.6
$
29.9
$
26.0
$
4.6
$
68.6
$
48.2
$
41.9
$
7.6
$
110.2
$
159.4
$
138.8
$
26.3
$
362.7
$
261.3
$
227.1
$
40.5
$
598.6
$
420.6
$
365.9
$
66.7
$
961.3
$

2024
17.4
$
15.1
$
2.9
$
39.5
$
28.5
$
24.7
$
4.4
$
65.2
$
45.8
$
39.8
$
7.3
$
104.7
$
151.5
$
131.9
$
25.0
$
344.7
$
248.4
$
215.9
$
38.5
$
569.1
$
399.8
$
347.7
$
63.4
$
913.8
$

2025
16.5
$
14.4
$
2.7
$
37.5
$
27.0
$
23.5
$
4.2
$
61.9
$
43.5
$
37.8
$
6.9
$
99.5
$
143.9
$
125.3
$
23.7
$
327.4
$
235.9
$
205.1
$
36.5
$
540.6
$
379.8
$
330.3
$
60.2
$
868.0
$

2026
15.6
$
13.6
$
2.6
$
35.6
$
25.7
$
22.3
$
4.0
$
58.8
$
41.3
$
35.9
$
6.5
$
94.4
$
136.6
$
118.9
$
22.5
$
310.9
$
224.0
$
194.7
$
34.7
$
513.2
$
360.6
$
313.6
$
57.2
$
824.1
$

2027
14.8
$
12.9
$
2.4
$
33.8
$
24.4
$
21.2
$
3.8
$
55.8
$
39.2
$
34.1
$
6.2
$
89.6
$
129.6
$
112.8
$
21.3
$
295.0
$
212.6
$
184.7
$
32.9
$
487.0
$
342.1
$
297.6
$
54.2
$
782.0
$

Total
434.1
$
378.0
$
71.9
$
987.5
$
711.2
$
618.1
$
110.1
$
1,629.4
$
1,145.3
$
996.2
$
182.0
$
2,616.9
$
3,788.6
$
3,299.2
$
627.2
$
8,618.1
$
6,206.6
$
5,394.6
$
960.9
$
14,220.2
$
9,995.2
$
8,693.8
$
1,588.2
$
22,838.2
$

Ann.
37.3
$
32.4
$
6.2
$
84.7
$
61.0
$
53.0
$
9.4
$
139.8
$
98.3
$
85.5
$
15.6
$
224.6
$
325.1
$
283.1
$
53.8
$
739.5
$
532.6
$
462.9
$
82.5
$
1,220.2
$
857.7
$
746.0
$
136.3
$
1,959.8
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
4c.
Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Exhibit
F.
4e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
(
All
Water
Systems)

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
HAA5
­
Preferred
Alternative
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
1.1
$
4.1
$
3.4
$
10.8
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
2.9
$
14.8
$
9.3
$
35.5
$
29.7
$
94.0
$

2007
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
4.0
$
2.5
$
9.5
$
8.0
$
25.2
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.7
$
3.0
$
6.7
$
34.6
$
21.7
$
83.0
$
69.4
$
219.9
$

2008
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.3
$
6.5
$
4.1
$
15.6
$
13.0
$
41.2
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
1.2
$
5.0
$
11.0
$
56.6
$
35.6
$
135.8
$
113.5
$
359.7
$

2009
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.8
$
9.1
$
5.7
$
21.9
$
18.3
$
58.0
$
0.2
$
1.3
$
1.7
$
7.0
$
15.5
$
79.6
$
50.0
$
191.0
$
159.7
$
505.9
$

2010
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.3
$
11.8
$
7.4
$
28.3
$
23.7
$
75.0
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.1
$
9.0
$
20.0
$
103.0
$
64.8
$
247.1
$
206.7
$
654.7
$

2011
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
2.8
$
14.5
$
9.1
$
34.8
$
29.1
$
92.1
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.6
$
11.1
$
24.6
$
126.4
$
79.5
$
303.4
$
253.7
$
803.8
$

2012
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.5
$
3.3
$
15.6
$
9.8
$
37.5
$
31.4
$
99.9
$
0.4
$
2.5
$
3.1
$
13.1
$
29.1
$
136.4
$
85.8
$
327.4
$
273.7
$
871.6
$

2013
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.7
$
3.8
$
16.2
$
10.2
$
38.9
$
32.6
$
104.3
$
0.4
$
2.9
$
3.6
$
15.1
$
33.6
$
141.6
$
89.1
$
339.8
$
284.2
$
910.3
$

2014
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
4.3
$
16.5
$
10.4
$
39.7
$
33.2
$
107.0
$
0.5
$
3.3
$
4.1
$
17.1
$
37.9
$
144.4
$
90.8
$
346.5
$
289.7
$
934.2
$

2015
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
4.6
$
16.7
$
10.5
$
40.1
$
33.5
$
108.3
$
0.5
$
3.5
$
4.3
$
17.9
$
39.8
$
145.7
$
91.6
$
349.7
$
292.4
$
945.3
$

2016
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.1
$
4.7
$
16.7
$
10.5
$
40.2
$
33.6
$
108.8
$
0.5
$
3.5
$
4.3
$
18.3
$
40.7
$
146.1
$
91.9
$
350.6
$
293.2
$
949.3
$

2017
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.1
$
4.7
$
16.7
$
10.5
$
40.1
$
33.5
$
108.7
$
0.5
$
3.6
$
4.4
$
18.5
$
41.1
$
145.9
$
91.8
$
350.1
$
292.8
$
948.6
$

2018
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.1
$
4.7
$
16.6
$
10.5
$
39.9
$
33.4
$
108.3
$
0.5
$
3.6
$
4.4
$
18.5
$
41.2
$
145.3
$
91.3
$
348.5
$
291.4
$
944.8
$

2019
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.1
$
4.7
$
16.5
$
10.4
$
39.7
$
33.2
$
107.6
$
0.5
$
3.6
$
4.4
$
18.5
$
41.1
$
144.3
$
90.7
$
346.1
$
289.5
$
938.8
$

2020
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.1
$
4.7
$
16.4
$
10.3
$
39.3
$
32.9
$
106.7
$
0.5
$
3.6
$
4.4
$
18.4
$
41.0
$
143.0
$
89.9
$
343.2
$
287.0
$
931.0
$

2021
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.1
$
4.7
$
16.2
$
10.2
$
38.9
$
32.6
$
105.6
$
0.5
$
3.5
$
4.4
$
18.3
$
40.7
$
141.6
$
89.1
$
339.8
$
284.1
$
922.0
$

2022
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.1
$
4.6
$
16.0
$
10.1
$
38.5
$
32.2
$
104.5
$
0.5
$
3.5
$
4.3
$
18.1
$
40.3
$
140.1
$
88.1
$
336.1
$
281.0
$
912.0
$

2023
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.1
$
4.6
$
15.9
$
10.0
$
38.0
$
31.8
$
103.3
$
0.5
$
3.5
$
4.3
$
17.9
$
39.9
$
138.4
$
87.0
$
332.0
$
277.7
$
901.2
$

2024
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
4.5
$
15.7
$
9.8
$
37.6
$
31.4
$
102.0
$
0.5
$
3.4
$
4.2
$
17.7
$
39.5
$
136.6
$
85.9
$
327.8
$
274.1
$
889.9
$

2025
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
4.5
$
15.4
$
9.7
$
37.1
$
31.0
$
100.6
$
0.5
$
3.4
$
4.2
$
17.5
$
39.0
$
134.8
$
84.8
$
323.5
$
270.5
$
878.1
$

2026
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
4.4
$
15.2
$
9.6
$
36.6
$
30.6
$
99.2
$
0.5
$
3.3
$
4.1
$
17.3
$
38.5
$
132.9
$
83.6
$
319.0
$
266.8
$
866.0
$

2027
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
4.3
$
15.0
$
9.4
$
36.0
$
30.1
$
97.8
$
0.5
$
3.3
$
4.1
$
17.1
$
38.0
$
131.0
$
82.4
$
314.4
$
262.9
$
853.7
$

Total
1.0
$
7.0
$
8.6
$
36.2
$
80.4
$
305.2
$
191.9
$
732.2
$
612.3
$
1,974.8
$
9.1
$
61.1
$
75.1
$
315.7
$
702.0
$
2,663.3
$
1,674.8
$
6,390.2
$
5,343.6
$
17,234.9
$

Ann.
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.1
$
4.6
$
17.5
$
11.0
$
42.0
$
35.2
$
113.4
$
0.5
$
3.5
$
4.3
$
18.1
$
40.3
$
152.9
$
96.2
$
367.0
$
306.9
$
989.8
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
4a
and
F.
4b.
Exhibit
F.
4f
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
HAA5
­
Preferred
Alternative
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
1.5
$
1.0
$
3.6
$
3.0
$
9.6
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.6
$
13.2
$
8.3
$
31.7
$
26.5
$
83.9
$

2007
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
3.4
$
2.1
$
8.2
$
6.8
$
21.6
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.6
$
5.8
$
29.7
$
18.7
$
71.3
$
59.6
$
188.8
$

2008
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.0
$
5.4
$
3.4
$
12.9
$
10.8
$
34.1
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.0
$
4.1
$
9.1
$
46.8
$
29.4
$
112.2
$
93.8
$
297.3
$

2009
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.4
$
7.3
$
4.6
$
17.4
$
14.6
$
46.1
$
0.2
$
1.1
$
1.3
$
5.5
$
12.3
$
63.3
$
39.8
$
151.9
$
127.1
$
402.5
$

2010
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.8
$
9.0
$
5.7
$
21.7
$
18.1
$
57.5
$
0.2
$
1.3
$
1.6
$
6.9
$
15.3
$
78.9
$
49.6
$
189.3
$
158.3
$
501.5
$

2011
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.1
$
10.7
$
6.7
$
25.6
$
21.4
$
67.9
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
1.9
$
8.2
$
18.1
$
93.2
$
58.6
$
223.7
$
187.0
$
592.6
$

2012
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
11.1
$
7.0
$
26.6
$
22.3
$
70.9
$
0.3
$
1.8
$
2.2
$
9.3
$
20.7
$
96.8
$
60.9
$
232.3
$
194.3
$
618.6
$

2013
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.6
$
11.1
$
7.0
$
26.6
$
22.2
$
71.3
$
0.3
$
2.0
$
2.5
$
10.3
$
22.9
$
96.8
$
60.8
$
232.2
$
194.1
$
621.9
$

2014
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
2.9
$
10.9
$
6.8
$
26.1
$
21.8
$
70.4
$
0.3
$
2.2
$
2.7
$
11.2
$
25.0
$
95.0
$
59.7
$
227.8
$
190.5
$
614.4
$

2015
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
2.9
$
10.6
$
6.6
$
25.4
$
21.2
$
68.6
$
0.3
$
2.2
$
2.7
$
11.3
$
25.2
$
92.3
$
58.0
$
221.3
$
185.1
$
598.4
$

2016
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
2.8
$
10.2
$
6.4
$
24.5
$
20.5
$
66.3
$
0.3
$
2.2
$
2.7
$
11.1
$
24.8
$
89.1
$
56.0
$
213.7
$
178.7
$
578.5
$

2017
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.8
$
9.8
$
6.2
$
23.5
$
19.7
$
63.8
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.6
$
10.8
$
24.1
$
85.6
$
53.8
$
205.4
$
171.7
$
556.5
$

2018
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.7
$
9.4
$
5.9
$
22.6
$
18.9
$
61.1
$
0.3
$
2.0
$
2.5
$
10.5
$
23.3
$
82.0
$
51.6
$
196.8
$
164.6
$
533.5
$

2019
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.6
$
9.0
$
5.7
$
21.6
$
18.0
$
58.5
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.4
$
10.1
$
22.4
$
78.4
$
49.3
$
188.2
$
157.3
$
510.3
$

2020
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.5
$
8.6
$
5.4
$
20.6
$
17.2
$
55.8
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.3
$
9.6
$
21.4
$
74.8
$
47.1
$
179.6
$
150.2
$
487.1
$

2021
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.3
$
8.2
$
5.1
$
19.6
$
16.4
$
53.2
$
0.3
$
1.8
$
2.2
$
9.2
$
20.5
$
71.3
$
44.9
$
171.1
$
143.1
$
464.4
$

2022
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.2
$
7.8
$
4.9
$
18.7
$
15.6
$
50.7
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.1
$
8.8
$
19.5
$
67.9
$
42.7
$
162.9
$
136.3
$
442.2
$

2023
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.1
$
7.4
$
4.7
$
17.8
$
14.8
$
48.2
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
2.0
$
8.4
$
18.6
$
64.6
$
40.6
$
155.0
$
129.6
$
420.6
$

2024
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.0
$
7.0
$
4.4
$
16.9
$
14.1
$
45.8
$
0.2
$
1.5
$
1.9
$
8.0
$
17.7
$
61.4
$
38.6
$
147.3
$
123.2
$
399.8
$

2025
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
1.9
$
6.7
$
4.2
$
16.0
$
13.4
$
43.5
$
0.2
$
1.5
$
1.8
$
7.6
$
16.9
$
58.3
$
36.7
$
139.9
$
117.0
$
379.8
$

2026
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.8
$
6.3
$
4.0
$
15.2
$
12.7
$
41.3
$
0.2
$
1.4
$
1.7
$
7.2
$
16.0
$
55.3
$
34.8
$
132.8
$
111.1
$
360.6
$

2027
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.7
$
6.0
$
3.8
$
14.4
$
12.1
$
39.2
$
0.2
$
1.3
$
1.6
$
6.8
$
15.2
$
52.5
$
33.0
$
126.0
$
105.4
$
342.1
$

Total
0.6
$
4.0
$
4.9
$
20.5
$
45.5
$
177.3
$
111.5
$
425.4
$
355.7
$
1,145.3
$
5.2
$
34.6
$
42.5
$
178.7
$
397.4
$
1,547.2
$
973.0
$
3,712.3
$
3,104.3
$
9,995.2
$

Ann.
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.8
$
3.9
$
15.2
$
9.6
$
36.5
$
30.5
$
98.3
$
0.4
$
3.0
$
3.6
$
15.3
$
34.1
$
132.8
$
83.5
$
318.6
$
266.4
$
857.7
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
4a
and
F.
4b.
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
4g
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
F.
5
Model
Outputs
­
Preferred
Alternative
HAA5
as
Indicator
Bronchitis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
HAA5
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
4.2
$
3.6
$
0.7
$
9.5
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.5
$
2.2
$
5.4
$
4.7
$
1.2
$
11.7
$
36.4
$
31.7
$
6.1
$
82.8
$
10.5
$
9.6
$
4.7
$
19.2
$
46.9
$
41.4
$
10.8
$
102.0
$

2007
10.1
$
8.8
$
1.7
$
22.9
$
2.9
$
2.7
$
1.3
$
5.3
$
12.9
$
11.4
$
3.0
$
28.1
$
87.7
$
76.4
$
14.6
$
199.4
$
25.2
$
23.2
$
11.4
$
46.1
$
112.9
$
99.6
$
26.0
$
245.5
$

2008
16.9
$
14.8
$
2.8
$
38.5
$
4.9
$
4.5
$
2.2
$
8.9
$
21.8
$
19.2
$
5.0
$
47.4
$
147.8
$
128.7
$
24.6
$
336.0
$
42.4
$
39.0
$
19.1
$
77.5
$
190.2
$
167.8
$
43.8
$
413.5
$

2009
24.5
$
21.4
$
4.1
$
55.8
$
7.0
$
6.5
$
3.2
$
12.8
$
31.6
$
27.8
$
7.3
$
68.6
$
214.2
$
186.5
$
35.6
$
486.9
$
61.3
$
56.5
$
27.6
$
112.1
$
275.5
$
243.0
$
63.3
$
598.9
$

2010
32.7
$
28.5
$
5.4
$
74.4
$
9.4
$
8.6
$
4.2
$
17.1
$
42.1
$
37.1
$
9.7
$
91.4
$
285.4
$
248.6
$
47.5
$
648.9
$
81.6
$
75.2
$
36.8
$
149.1
$
367.1
$
323.8
$
84.3
$
798.1
$

2011
41.4
$
36.0
$
6.9
$
94.0
$
11.8
$
10.9
$
5.3
$
21.6
$
53.2
$
46.9
$
12.2
$
115.6
$
360.9
$
314.3
$
60.0
$
820.5
$
103.0
$
94.9
$
46.5
$
188.5
$
463.9
$
409.2
$
106.4
$
1,009.1
$

2012
46.1
$
40.2
$
7.7
$
104.8
$
13.1
$
12.1
$
5.9
$
24.1
$
59.3
$
52.3
$
13.6
$
128.9
$
402.4
$
350.5
$
66.8
$
915.0
$
114.7
$
105.7
$
51.7
$
210.1
$
517.1
$
456.2
$
118.5
$
1,125.1
$

2013
49.5
$
43.1
$
8.2
$
112.6
$
14.1
$
13.0
$
6.3
$
25.8
$
63.6
$
56.1
$
14.6
$
138.4
$
432.0
$
376.2
$
71.7
$
982.5
$
123.0
$
113.3
$
55.4
$
225.1
$
555.0
$
489.6
$
127.1
$
1,207.5
$

2014
52.2
$
45.5
$
8.7
$
118.7
$
14.8
$
13.7
$
6.7
$
27.2
$
67.1
$
59.2
$
15.3
$
145.9
$
455.7
$
396.8
$
75.6
$
1,036.3
$
129.5
$
119.4
$
58.4
$
237.1
$
585.2
$
516.2
$
133.9
$
1,273.4
$

2015
54.4
$
47.3
$
9.0
$
123.7
$
15.4
$
14.2
$
6.9
$
28.3
$
69.8
$
61.6
$
16.0
$
151.9
$
474.5
$
413.2
$
78.6
$
1,079.2
$
134.6
$
124.1
$
60.6
$
246.6
$
609.1
$
537.3
$
139.2
$
1,325.8
$

2016
56.2
$
48.9
$
9.3
$
127.8
$
15.9
$
14.7
$
7.2
$
29.2
$
72.1
$
63.6
$
16.5
$
157.0
$
490.5
$
427.2
$
81.2
$
1,115.8
$
138.9
$
128.1
$
62.5
$
254.5
$
629.5
$
555.3
$
143.7
$
1,370.2
$

2017
57.8
$
50.4
$
9.6
$
131.6
$
16.4
$
15.1
$
7.4
$
30.0
$
74.2
$
65.4
$
16.9
$
161.5
$
504.7
$
439.5
$
83.5
$
1,148.2
$
142.7
$
131.6
$
64.2
$
261.5
$
647.5
$
571.2
$
147.8
$
1,409.7
$

2018
59.3
$
51.7
$
9.8
$
134.9
$
16.7
$
15.4
$
7.5
$
30.7
$
76.1
$
67.1
$
17.3
$
165.6
$
517.7
$
450.8
$
85.6
$
1,177.7
$
146.1
$
134.8
$
65.7
$
267.9
$
663.8
$
585.6
$
151.3
$
1,445.5
$

2019
60.7
$
52.8
$
10.0
$
138.1
$
17.1
$
15.8
$
7.7
$
31.4
$
77.8
$
68.6
$
17.7
$
169.4
$
529.6
$
461.2
$
87.5
$
1,205.0
$
149.3
$
137.7
$
67.1
$
273.7
$
678.9
$
598.9
$
154.7
$
1,478.8
$

2020
62.0
$
54.0
$
10.2
$
141.0
$
17.4
$
16.1
$
7.8
$
32.0
$
79.4
$
70.1
$
18.1
$
173.0
$
540.9
$
471.1
$
89.3
$
1,230.8
$
152.2
$
140.3
$
68.4
$
279.4
$
693.1
$
611.4
$
157.8
$
1,510.2
$

2021
63.2
$
55.0
$
10.4
$
143.8
$
17.8
$
16.4
$
8.0
$
32.6
$
81.0
$
71.4
$
18.4
$
176.4
$
551.7
$
480.4
$
91.1
$
1,255.4
$
155.0
$
142.8
$
69.7
$
284.5
$
706.6
$
623.2
$
160.8
$
1,539.9
$

2022
64.4
$
56.1
$
10.6
$
146.5
$
18.1
$
16.6
$
8.1
$
33.2
$
82.5
$
72.7
$
18.7
$
179.7
$
562.0
$
489.4
$
92.7
$
1,278.9
$
157.6
$
145.2
$
70.9
$
289.5
$
719.6
$
634.6
$
163.6
$
1,568.5
$

2023
65.5
$
57.1
$
10.8
$
149.2
$
18.3
$
16.9
$
8.2
$
33.7
$
83.9
$
74.0
$
19.1
$
182.9
$
572.0
$
498.0
$
94.3
$
1,301.7
$
160.1
$
147.6
$
72.0
$
294.3
$
732.0
$
645.6
$
166.3
$
1,596.0
$

2024
66.6
$
58.0
$
11.0
$
151.7
$
18.6
$
17.2
$
8.4
$
34.2
$
85.3
$
75.2
$
19.3
$
185.9
$
581.7
$
506.4
$
95.8
$
1,323.9
$
162.5
$
149.8
$
73.0
$
298.7
$
744.1
$
656.3
$
168.9
$
1,622.6
$

2025
67.7
$
59.0
$
11.2
$
154.2
$
18.9
$
17.4
$
8.5
$
34.7
$
86.6
$
76.4
$
19.7
$
188.9
$
591.1
$
514.7
$
97.3
$
1,345.5
$
164.8
$
152.0
$
74.2
$
303.0
$
756.0
$
666.6
$
171.5
$
1,648.5
$

2026
68.8
$
59.9
$
11.3
$
156.6
$
19.1
$
17.7
$
8.6
$
35.2
$
87.9
$
77.6
$
19.9
$
191.8
$
600.4
$
522.7
$
98.8
$
1,366.7
$
167.1
$
154.1
$
75.2
$
307.2
$
767.5
$
676.9
$
174.0
$
1,674.0
$

2027
69.8
$
60.8
$
11.5
$
159.0
$
19.4
$
17.9
$
8.7
$
35.7
$
89.2
$
78.7
$
20.2
$
194.7
$
609.5
$
530.7
$
100.2
$
1,387.6
$
169.3
$
156.3
$
76.2
$
311.4
$
778.9
$
687.0
$
176.4
$
1,699.1
$

Total
1,094.2
$
952.8
$
180.9
$
2,489.3
$
308.4
$
284.3
$
138.8
$
565.7
$
1,402.6
$
1,237.1
$
319.7
$
3,055.0
$
9,549.0
$
8,315.2
$
1,578.7
$
21,724.9
$
2,691.5
$
2,481.3
$
1,211.3
$
4,936.9
$
12,240.4
$
10,796.5
$
2,790.0
$
26,661.8
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
18b,
and
E.
18e.
Exhibit
F.
5a
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
All
Surface
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
HAA5
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.0
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.8
$
0.7
$
0.7
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
3.3
$
2.9
$
0.8
$
7.1
$

2007
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.6
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.0
$
6.1
$
5.3
$
1.0
$
13.9
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.2
$
7.9
$
7.0
$
1.8
$
17.2
$

2008
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.2
$
2.7
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.4
$
3.3
$
10.3
$
9.0
$
1.7
$
23.5
$
3.0
$
2.7
$
1.3
$
5.4
$
13.3
$
11.7
$
3.1
$
28.9
$

2009
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.9
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.5
$
4.8
$
15.0
$
13.0
$
2.5
$
34.1
$
4.3
$
3.9
$
1.9
$
7.8
$
19.3
$
17.0
$
4.4
$
41.9
$

2010
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.2
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.9
$
2.6
$
0.7
$
6.4
$
20.0
$
17.4
$
3.3
$
45.4
$
5.7
$
5.3
$
2.6
$
10.4
$
25.7
$
22.6
$
5.9
$
55.8
$

2011
2.9
$
2.5
$
0.5
$
6.6
$
0.8
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.5
$
3.7
$
3.3
$
0.9
$
8.1
$
25.2
$
22.0
$
4.2
$
57.4
$
7.2
$
6.6
$
3.2
$
13.2
$
32.4
$
28.6
$
7.4
$
70.6
$

2012
3.3
$
2.9
$
0.5
$
7.5
$
0.9
$
0.9
$
0.4
$
1.7
$
4.2
$
3.7
$
1.0
$
9.2
$
28.8
$
25.1
$
4.8
$
65.5
$
8.2
$
7.6
$
3.7
$
15.0
$
37.0
$
32.7
$
8.5
$
80.6
$

2013
3.6
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.3
$
1.0
$
1.0
$
0.5
$
1.9
$
4.7
$
4.1
$
1.1
$
10.2
$
31.8
$
27.7
$
5.3
$
72.4
$
9.1
$
8.3
$
4.1
$
16.6
$
40.9
$
36.1
$
9.4
$
89.0
$

2014
4.0
$
3.5
$
0.7
$
9.0
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.5
$
2.1
$
5.1
$
4.5
$
1.2
$
11.1
$
34.6
$
30.1
$
5.7
$
78.7
$
9.8
$
9.1
$
4.4
$
18.0
$
44.4
$
39.2
$
10.2
$
96.7
$

2015
4.2
$
3.6
$
0.7
$
9.5
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.5
$
2.2
$
5.4
$
4.7
$
1.2
$
11.7
$
36.4
$
31.7
$
6.0
$
82.9
$
10.3
$
9.5
$
4.7
$
18.9
$
46.8
$
41.3
$
10.7
$
101.8
$

2016
4.3
$
3.8
$
0.7
$
9.9
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
5.6
$
4.9
$
1.3
$
12.1
$
37.9
$
33.0
$
6.3
$
86.2
$
10.7
$
9.9
$
4.8
$
19.7
$
48.6
$
42.9
$
11.1
$
105.8
$

2017
4.5
$
3.9
$
0.7
$
10.2
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
5.8
$
5.1
$
1.3
$
12.5
$
39.1
$
34.1
$
6.5
$
89.0
$
11.1
$
10.2
$
5.0
$
20.3
$
50.2
$
44.3
$
11.5
$
109.3
$

2018
4.6
$
4.0
$
0.8
$
10.5
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.6
$
2.4
$
5.9
$
5.2
$
1.3
$
12.9
$
40.2
$
35.0
$
6.7
$
91.5
$
11.4
$
10.5
$
5.1
$
20.8
$
51.6
$
45.5
$
11.8
$
112.3
$

2019
4.7
$
4.1
$
0.8
$
10.7
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.6
$
2.4
$
6.1
$
5.3
$
1.4
$
13.2
$
41.2
$
35.9
$
6.8
$
93.8
$
11.6
$
10.7
$
5.2
$
21.3
$
52.9
$
46.6
$
12.0
$
115.1
$

2020
4.8
$
4.2
$
0.8
$
11.0
$
1.4
$
1.3
$
0.6
$
2.5
$
6.2
$
5.5
$
1.4
$
13.5
$
42.2
$
36.7
$
7.0
$
95.9
$
11.9
$
10.9
$
5.3
$
21.8
$
54.0
$
47.7
$
12.3
$
117.7
$

2021
4.9
$
4.3
$
0.8
$
11.2
$
1.4
$
1.3
$
0.6
$
2.5
$
6.3
$
5.6
$
1.4
$
13.8
$
43.0
$
37.5
$
7.1
$
97.9
$
12.1
$
11.1
$
5.4
$
22.2
$
55.1
$
48.6
$
12.5
$
120.1
$

2022
5.0
$
4.4
$
0.8
$
11.4
$
1.4
$
1.3
$
0.6
$
2.6
$
6.4
$
5.7
$
1.5
$
14.0
$
43.9
$
38.2
$
7.2
$
99.8
$
12.3
$
11.3
$
5.5
$
22.6
$
56.2
$
49.5
$
12.8
$
122.4
$

2023
5.1
$
4.5
$
0.8
$
11.7
$
1.4
$
1.3
$
0.6
$
2.6
$
6.6
$
5.8
$
1.5
$
14.3
$
44.7
$
38.9
$
7.4
$
101.7
$
12.5
$
11.5
$
5.6
$
23.0
$
57.2
$
50.4
$
13.0
$
124.7
$

2024
5.2
$
4.5
$
0.9
$
11.9
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.7
$
2.7
$
6.7
$
5.9
$
1.5
$
14.5
$
45.5
$
39.6
$
7.5
$
103.5
$
12.7
$
11.7
$
5.7
$
23.3
$
58.2
$
51.3
$
13.2
$
126.8
$

2025
5.3
$
4.6
$
0.9
$
12.1
$
1.5
$
1.4
$
0.7
$
2.7
$
6.8
$
6.0
$
1.5
$
14.8
$
46.2
$
40.2
$
7.6
$
105.2
$
12.9
$
11.9
$
5.8
$
23.7
$
59.1
$
52.1
$
13.4
$
128.9
$

2026
5.4
$
4.7
$
0.9
$
12.2
$
1.5
$
1.4
$
0.7
$
2.8
$
6.9
$
6.1
$
1.6
$
15.0
$
47.0
$
40.9
$
7.7
$
106.9
$
13.1
$
12.1
$
5.9
$
24.0
$
60.0
$
52.9
$
13.6
$
130.9
$

2027
5.5
$
4.8
$
0.9
$
12.4
$
1.5
$
1.4
$
0.7
$
2.8
$
7.0
$
6.2
$
1.6
$
15.2
$
47.7
$
41.5
$
7.8
$
108.5
$
13.2
$
12.2
$
6.0
$
24.4
$
60.9
$
53.7
$
13.8
$
132.9
$

Total
83.6
$
72.8
$
13.8
$
190.2
$
23.6
$
21.7
$
10.6
$
43.2
$
107.1
$
94.5
$
24.4
$
233.4
$
729.4
$
635.2
$
120.6
$
1,659.6
$
205.5
$
189.5
$
92.5
$
377.0
$
935.0
$
824.7
$
213.1
$
2,036.6
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
18c,
and
E.
18f.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
5b
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
All
Ground
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
HAA5
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
4.5
$
3.9
$
0.7
$
10.2
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
5.8
$
5.1
$
1.3
$
12.5
$
39.0
$
33.9
$
6.5
$
88.6
$
11.2
$
10.3
$
5.1
$
20.5
$
50.2
$
44.3
$
11.6
$
109.1
$

2007
10.8
$
9.4
$
1.8
$
24.4
$
3.1
$
2.8
$
1.4
$
5.6
$
13.8
$
12.2
$
3.2
$
30.1
$
93.9
$
81.8
$
15.7
$
213.4
$
27.0
$
24.8
$
12.2
$
49.3
$
120.8
$
106.6
$
27.8
$
262.7
$

2008
18.1
$
15.8
$
3.0
$
41.2
$
5.2
$
4.8
$
2.3
$
9.5
$
23.3
$
20.6
$
5.4
$
50.7
$
158.2
$
137.8
$
26.3
$
359.5
$
45.4
$
41.7
$
20.5
$
82.9
$
203.5
$
179.5
$
46.8
$
442.4
$

2009
26.3
$
22.9
$
4.4
$
59.7
$
7.5
$
6.9
$
3.4
$
13.7
$
33.8
$
29.8
$
7.8
$
73.4
$
229.1
$
199.6
$
38.1
$
520.9
$
65.6
$
60.4
$
29.6
$
119.9
$
294.8
$
260.0
$
67.7
$
640.8
$

2010
35.0
$
30.5
$
5.8
$
79.6
$
10.0
$
9.2
$
4.5
$
18.3
$
45.0
$
39.7
$
10.3
$
97.8
$
305.4
$
266.0
$
50.8
$
694.3
$
87.3
$
80.4
$
39.4
$
159.6
$
392.7
$
346.4
$
90.2
$
853.9
$

2011
44.2
$
38.5
$
7.4
$
100.6
$
12.6
$
11.6
$
5.7
$
23.1
$
56.9
$
50.2
$
13.0
$
123.7
$
386.1
$
336.3
$
64.2
$
877.9
$
110.2
$
101.5
$
49.7
$
201.7
$
496.4
$
437.8
$
113.9
$
1,079.7
$

2012
49.4
$
43.0
$
8.2
$
112.4
$
14.1
$
13.0
$
6.3
$
25.8
$
63.5
$
56.0
$
14.5
$
138.2
$
431.2
$
375.6
$
71.6
$
980.6
$
122.9
$
113.3
$
55.4
$
225.1
$
554.2
$
488.8
$
127.0
$
1,205.7
$

2013
53.1
$
46.3
$
8.8
$
120.9
$
15.1
$
13.9
$
6.8
$
27.7
$
68.3
$
60.2
$
15.6
$
148.6
$
463.9
$
404.0
$
77.0
$
1,054.8
$
132.0
$
121.7
$
59.5
$
241.7
$
595.9
$
525.6
$
136.5
$
1,296.5
$

2014
56.2
$
48.9
$
9.3
$
127.8
$
16.0
$
14.7
$
7.2
$
29.2
$
72.1
$
63.6
$
16.5
$
157.0
$
490.3
$
427.0
$
81.3
$
1,115.0
$
139.3
$
128.4
$
62.8
$
255.1
$
629.6
$
555.4
$
144.1
$
1,370.1
$

2015
58.5
$
51.0
$
9.7
$
133.2
$
16.6
$
15.3
$
7.5
$
30.4
$
75.2
$
66.3
$
17.2
$
163.6
$
510.9
$
444.9
$
84.7
$
1,162.1
$
145.0
$
133.7
$
65.3
$
265.5
$
655.9
$
578.6
$
149.9
$
1,427.6
$

2016
60.5
$
52.7
$
10.0
$
137.7
$
17.2
$
15.8
$
7.7
$
31.4
$
77.7
$
68.5
$
17.7
$
169.1
$
528.4
$
460.2
$
87.5
$
1,202.0
$
149.7
$
138.0
$
67.3
$
274.1
$
678.1
$
598.2
$
154.8
$
1,476.1
$

2017
62.3
$
54.3
$
10.3
$
141.8
$
17.6
$
16.3
$
7.9
$
32.3
$
79.9
$
70.5
$
18.2
$
174.0
$
543.9
$
473.6
$
90.0
$
1,237.2
$
153.8
$
141.8
$
69.2
$
281.8
$
697.7
$
615.5
$
159.2
$
1,518.9
$

2018
63.9
$
55.7
$
10.6
$
145.4
$
18.0
$
16.6
$
8.1
$
33.1
$
82.0
$
72.3
$
18.7
$
178.5
$
557.9
$
485.8
$
92.3
$
1,269.2
$
157.5
$
145.3
$
70.8
$
288.7
$
715.4
$
631.1
$
163.1
$
1,557.9
$

2019
65.4
$
57.0
$
10.8
$
148.8
$
18.4
$
17.0
$
8.3
$
33.8
$
83.8
$
74.0
$
19.1
$
182.6
$
570.9
$
497.1
$
94.4
$
1,298.8
$
160.9
$
148.4
$
72.4
$
295.0
$
731.8
$
645.5
$
166.7
$
1,593.9
$

2020
66.8
$
58.2
$
11.0
$
152.0
$
18.8
$
17.3
$
8.4
$
34.5
$
85.6
$
75.5
$
19.5
$
186.5
$
583.1
$
507.8
$
96.3
$
1,326.8
$
164.1
$
151.3
$
73.7
$
301.2
$
747.2
$
659.0
$
170.0
$
1,628.0
$

2021
68.1
$
59.3
$
11.2
$
155.1
$
19.1
$
17.6
$
8.6
$
35.1
$
87.3
$
77.0
$
19.9
$
190.2
$
594.7
$
517.9
$
98.2
$
1,353.3
$
167.0
$
153.9
$
75.1
$
306.7
$
761.8
$
671.8
$
173.3
$
1,660.0
$

2022
69.4
$
60.5
$
11.5
$
158.0
$
19.5
$
17.9
$
8.8
$
35.8
$
88.9
$
78.4
$
20.2
$
193.8
$
605.9
$
527.6
$
99.9
$
1,378.8
$
169.9
$
156.6
$
76.4
$
312.1
$
775.7
$
684.1
$
176.3
$
1,690.9
$

2023
70.7
$
61.5
$
11.6
$
160.8
$
19.8
$
18.2
$
8.9
$
36.4
$
90.4
$
79.8
$
20.5
$
197.2
$
616.6
$
536.9
$
101.7
$
1,403.4
$
172.6
$
159.1
$
77.6
$
317.3
$
789.2
$
696.0
$
179.2
$
1,720.7
$

2024
71.9
$
62.6
$
11.8
$
163.5
$
20.1
$
18.5
$
9.0
$
36.9
$
91.9
$
81.1
$
20.9
$
200.5
$
627.1
$
546.0
$
103.3
$
1,427.3
$
175.2
$
161.6
$
78.7
$
322.1
$
802.3
$
707.6
$
182.1
$
1,749.4
$

2025
73.0
$
63.6
$
12.0
$
166.2
$
20.4
$
18.8
$
9.2
$
37.4
$
93.4
$
82.4
$
21.2
$
203.7
$
637.3
$
554.9
$
104.9
$
1,450.7
$
177.7
$
163.9
$
80.0
$
326.7
$
815.1
$
718.8
$
184.9
$
1,777.4
$

2026
74.2
$
64.6
$
12.2
$
168.9
$
20.6
$
19.0
$
9.3
$
38.0
$
94.8
$
83.6
$
21.5
$
206.8
$
647.4
$
563.6
$
106.5
$
1,473.6
$
180.2
$
166.2
$
81.1
$
331.2
$
827.5
$
729.8
$
187.6
$
1,804.9
$

2027
75.3
$
65.6
$
12.4
$
171.4
$
20.9
$
19.3
$
9.4
$
38.5
$
96.2
$
84.9
$
21.8
$
209.9
$
657.2
$
572.2
$
108.1
$
1,496.2
$
182.6
$
168.5
$
82.1
$
335.8
$
839.8
$
740.7
$
190.2
$
1,832.0
$

Total
1,177.7
$
1,025.6
$
194.7
$
2,679.5
$
331.9
$
306.0
$
149.4
$
608.9
$
1,509.7
$
1,331.6
$
344.1
$
3,288.4
$
10,278.4
$
8,950.4
$
1,699.3
$
23,384.5
$
2,897.0
$
2,670.8
$
1,303.8
$
5,313.9
$
13,175.4
$
11,621.2
$
3,003.1
$
28,698.4
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
5a
and
F.
5b.
Exhibit
F.
5c
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
HAA5
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
4.1
$
3.6
$
0.7
$
9.3
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.5
$
2.1
$
5.3
$
4.6
$
1.2
$
11.4
$
35.7
$
31.1
$
6.0
$
81.1
$
10.3
$
9.4
$
4.6
$
18.8
$
45.9
$
40.5
$
10.6
$
99.8
$

2007
9.6
$
8.3
$
1.6
$
21.7
$
2.7
$
2.5
$
1.2
$
5.0
$
12.3
$
10.8
$
2.8
$
26.7
$
83.4
$
72.6
$
13.9
$
189.6
$
24.0
$
22.0
$
10.8
$
43.8
$
107.4
$
94.7
$
24.7
$
233.4
$

2008
15.6
$
13.6
$
2.6
$
35.5
$
4.5
$
4.1
$
2.0
$
8.2
$
20.1
$
17.7
$
4.6
$
43.7
$
136.4
$
118.8
$
22.7
$
310.1
$
39.1
$
36.0
$
17.7
$
71.5
$
175.6
$
154.8
$
40.4
$
381.6
$

2009
22.0
$
19.2
$
3.7
$
50.0
$
6.3
$
5.8
$
2.8
$
11.5
$
28.3
$
24.9
$
6.5
$
61.5
$
191.9
$
167.1
$
31.9
$
436.3
$
55.0
$
50.6
$
24.8
$
100.4
$
246.9
$
217.7
$
56.7
$
536.7
$

2010
28.5
$
24.8
$
4.7
$
64.7
$
8.1
$
7.5
$
3.7
$
14.9
$
36.6
$
32.3
$
8.4
$
79.6
$
248.3
$
216.3
$
41.3
$
564.6
$
71.0
$
65.4
$
32.0
$
129.7
$
319.3
$
281.7
$
73.3
$
694.3
$

2011
34.9
$
30.4
$
5.8
$
79.4
$
10.0
$
9.2
$
4.5
$
18.2
$
44.9
$
39.6
$
10.3
$
97.7
$
304.8
$
265.5
$
50.7
$
693.0
$
87.0
$
80.2
$
39.2
$
159.2
$
391.8
$
345.6
$
89.9
$
852.3
$

2012
37.9
$
33.0
$
6.3
$
86.1
$
10.8
$
9.9
$
4.9
$
19.8
$
48.7
$
42.9
$
11.2
$
105.9
$
330.5
$
287.8
$
54.9
$
751.5
$
94.2
$
86.8
$
42.4
$
172.6
$
424.7
$
374.6
$
97.3
$
924.1
$

2013
39.5
$
34.4
$
6.6
$
89.9
$
11.3
$
10.4
$
5.1
$
20.6
$
50.8
$
44.8
$
11.6
$
110.5
$
345.2
$
300.6
$
57.3
$
784.9
$
98.2
$
90.5
$
44.3
$
179.8
$
443.4
$
391.1
$
101.5
$
964.7
$

2014
40.6
$
35.3
$
6.7
$
92.3
$
11.5
$
10.6
$
5.2
$
21.1
$
52.1
$
46.0
$
11.9
$
113.4
$
354.2
$
308.5
$
58.7
$
805.5
$
100.6
$
92.8
$
45.4
$
184.3
$
454.8
$
401.2
$
104.1
$
989.8
$

2015
41.1
$
35.8
$
6.8
$
93.4
$
11.6
$
10.7
$
5.2
$
21.3
$
52.7
$
46.5
$
12.0
$
114.7
$
358.4
$
312.1
$
59.4
$
815.1
$
101.7
$
93.7
$
45.8
$
186.2
$
460.0
$
405.8
$
105.2
$
1,001.3
$

2016
41.2
$
35.9
$
6.8
$
93.8
$
11.7
$
10.8
$
5.3
$
21.4
$
52.9
$
46.7
$
12.1
$
115.2
$
359.8
$
313.4
$
59.6
$
818.5
$
101.9
$
94.0
$
45.8
$
186.7
$
461.7
$
407.3
$
105.4
$
1,005.1
$

2017
41.2
$
35.9
$
6.8
$
93.7
$
11.7
$
10.7
$
5.2
$
21.3
$
52.8
$
46.6
$
12.1
$
115.1
$
359.6
$
313.1
$
59.5
$
817.9
$
101.7
$
93.8
$
45.7
$
186.3
$
461.2
$
406.9
$
105.3
$
1,004.2
$

2018
41.0
$
35.7
$
6.8
$
93.3
$
11.6
$
10.7
$
5.2
$
21.2
$
52.6
$
46.4
$
12.0
$
114.6
$
358.1
$
311.8
$
59.2
$
814.6
$
101.1
$
93.3
$
45.5
$
185.3
$
459.2
$
405.1
$
104.7
$
999.9
$

2019
40.8
$
35.5
$
6.7
$
92.7
$
11.5
$
10.6
$
5.2
$
21.1
$
52.3
$
46.1
$
11.9
$
113.8
$
355.8
$
309.8
$
58.8
$
809.4
$
100.3
$
92.5
$
45.1
$
183.8
$
456.0
$
402.3
$
103.9
$
993.2
$

2020
40.4
$
35.2
$
6.7
$
92.0
$
11.4
$
10.5
$
5.1
$
20.9
$
51.8
$
45.7
$
11.8
$
112.9
$
352.8
$
307.2
$
58.3
$
802.7
$
99.3
$
91.5
$
44.6
$
182.2
$
452.0
$
398.7
$
102.9
$
984.9
$

2021
40.0
$
34.9
$
6.6
$
91.1
$
11.2
$
10.4
$
5.1
$
20.6
$
51.3
$
45.2
$
11.7
$
111.7
$
349.3
$
304.2
$
57.7
$
794.9
$
98.1
$
90.4
$
44.1
$
180.2
$
447.5
$
394.6
$
101.8
$
975.1
$

2022
39.6
$
34.5
$
6.5
$
90.1
$
11.1
$
10.2
$
5.0
$
20.4
$
50.7
$
44.7
$
11.5
$
110.5
$
345.5
$
300.9
$
57.0
$
786.3
$
96.9
$
89.3
$
43.6
$
178.0
$
442.4
$
390.1
$
100.6
$
964.3
$

2023
39.1
$
34.1
$
6.4
$
89.0
$
10.9
$
10.1
$
4.9
$
20.1
$
50.1
$
44.2
$
11.4
$
109.2
$
341.4
$
297.3
$
56.3
$
777.0
$
95.6
$
88.1
$
43.0
$
175.7
$
437.0
$
385.4
$
99.2
$
952.7
$

2024
38.6
$
33.6
$
6.4
$
87.9
$
10.8
$
10.0
$
4.9
$
19.8
$
49.4
$
43.6
$
11.2
$
107.8
$
337.1
$
293.5
$
55.5
$
767.3
$
94.2
$
86.8
$
42.3
$
173.1
$
431.3
$
380.4
$
97.9
$
940.4
$

2025
38.1
$
33.2
$
6.3
$
86.8
$
10.6
$
9.8
$
4.8
$
19.5
$
48.7
$
43.0
$
11.1
$
106.3
$
332.6
$
289.6
$
54.8
$
757.1
$
92.8
$
85.5
$
41.8
$
170.5
$
425.4
$
375.1
$
96.5
$
927.6
$

2026
37.6
$
32.7
$
6.2
$
85.6
$
10.5
$
9.6
$
4.7
$
19.2
$
48.0
$
42.4
$
10.9
$
104.8
$
328.0
$
285.6
$
54.0
$
746.7
$
91.3
$
84.2
$
41.1
$
167.8
$
419.3
$
369.8
$
95.1
$
914.5
$

2027
37.0
$
32.3
$
6.1
$
84.3
$
10.3
$
9.5
$
4.6
$
18.9
$
47.3
$
41.8
$
10.7
$
103.3
$
323.3
$
281.5
$
53.2
$
736.0
$
89.8
$
82.9
$
40.4
$
165.2
$
413.1
$
364.4
$
93.6
$
901.2
$

Total
748.5
$
651.8
$
123.8
$
1,702.7
$
211.3
$
194.8
$
95.1
$
387.4
$
959.7
$
846.5
$
218.9
$
2,090.1
$
6,532.1
$
5,688.2
$
1,080.6
$
14,860.1
$
1,843.9
$
1,699.8
$
829.9
$
3,381.1
$
8,376.0
$
7,388.0
$
1,910.5
$
18,241.2
$

Ann.
43.0
$
37.4
$
7.1
$
97.8
$
12.1
$
11.2
$
5.5
$
22.2
$
55.1
$
48.6
$
12.6
$
120.0
$
375.1
$
326.7
$
62.1
$
853.4
$
105.9
$
97.6
$
47.7
$
194.2
$
481.0
$
424.3
$
109.7
$
1,047.6
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
5c.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
5d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
HAA5
­
Preferred
Alternative
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
3.6
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.3
$
1.0
$
1.0
$
0.5
$
1.9
$
4.7
$
4.1
$
1.1
$
10.2
$
31.8
$
27.7
$
5.3
$
72.3
$
9.2
$
8.4
$
4.1
$
16.7
$
41.0
$
36.1
$
9.4
$
89.0
$

2007
8.2
$
7.1
$
1.4
$
18.7
$
2.4
$
2.2
$
1.1
$
4.3
$
10.6
$
9.3
$
2.4
$
23.0
$
71.6
$
62.4
$
11.9
$
162.8
$
20.6
$
18.9
$
9.3
$
37.6
$
92.2
$
81.3
$
21.2
$
200.4
$

2008
12.9
$
11.3
$
2.2
$
29.4
$
3.7
$
3.4
$
1.7
$
6.8
$
16.6
$
14.7
$
3.8
$
36.1
$
112.8
$
98.2
$
18.8
$
256.3
$
32.3
$
29.8
$
14.6
$
59.1
$
145.1
$
128.0
$
33.4
$
315.4
$

2009
17.5
$
15.2
$
2.9
$
39.8
$
5.0
$
4.6
$
2.3
$
9.2
$
22.5
$
19.8
$
5.2
$
48.9
$
152.7
$
133.0
$
25.4
$
347.1
$
43.7
$
40.3
$
19.7
$
79.9
$
196.4
$
173.2
$
45.1
$
427.0
$

2010
21.8
$
19.0
$
3.6
$
49.5
$
6.2
$
5.7
$
2.8
$
11.4
$
28.0
$
24.7
$
6.4
$
60.9
$
190.2
$
165.6
$
31.6
$
432.4
$
54.4
$
50.1
$
24.5
$
99.4
$
244.6
$
215.7
$
56.1
$
531.8
$

2011
25.8
$
22.4
$
4.3
$
58.5
$
7.4
$
6.8
$
3.3
$
13.5
$
33.1
$
29.2
$
7.6
$
72.0
$
224.7
$
195.7
$
37.4
$
511.0
$
64.2
$
59.1
$
28.9
$
117.4
$
288.9
$
254.8
$
66.3
$
628.4
$

2012
26.9
$
23.4
$
4.5
$
61.1
$
7.7
$
7.1
$
3.5
$
14.0
$
34.5
$
30.5
$
7.9
$
75.1
$
234.6
$
204.3
$
39.0
$
533.4
$
66.9
$
61.6
$
30.1
$
122.5
$
301.4
$
265.9
$
69.1
$
655.8
$

2013
27.0
$
23.5
$
4.5
$
61.4
$
7.7
$
7.1
$
3.5
$
14.1
$
34.7
$
30.6
$
7.9
$
75.5
$
235.8
$
205.4
$
39.1
$
536.2
$
67.1
$
61.9
$
30.2
$
122.9
$
302.9
$
267.2
$
69.4
$
659.1
$

2014
26.7
$
23.2
$
4.4
$
60.7
$
7.6
$
7.0
$
3.4
$
13.9
$
34.3
$
30.2
$
7.8
$
74.6
$
232.9
$
202.9
$
38.6
$
529.7
$
66.2
$
61.0
$
29.8
$
121.2
$
299.1
$
263.9
$
68.5
$
650.9
$

2015
26.0
$
22.6
$
4.3
$
59.1
$
7.4
$
6.8
$
3.3
$
13.5
$
33.4
$
29.4
$
7.6
$
72.6
$
226.9
$
197.6
$
37.6
$
516.0
$
64.4
$
59.3
$
29.0
$
117.9
$
291.2
$
256.9
$
66.6
$
633.9
$

2016
25.1
$
21.9
$
4.2
$
57.2
$
7.1
$
6.6
$
3.2
$
13.0
$
32.2
$
28.4
$
7.4
$
70.2
$
219.3
$
191.0
$
36.3
$
498.8
$
62.1
$
57.3
$
27.9
$
113.7
$
281.4
$
248.2
$
64.2
$
612.5
$

2017
24.2
$
21.0
$
4.0
$
55.0
$
6.8
$
6.3
$
3.1
$
12.5
$
31.0
$
27.3
$
7.1
$
67.5
$
210.9
$
183.7
$
34.9
$
479.8
$
59.6
$
55.0
$
26.8
$
109.3
$
270.6
$
238.7
$
61.7
$
589.1
$

2018
23.2
$
20.2
$
3.8
$
52.7
$
6.5
$
6.0
$
2.9
$
12.0
$
29.7
$
26.2
$
6.8
$
64.7
$
202.2
$
176.1
$
33.4
$
460.0
$
57.1
$
52.7
$
25.7
$
104.6
$
259.3
$
228.7
$
59.1
$
564.6
$

2019
22.2
$
19.3
$
3.7
$
50.4
$
6.2
$
5.8
$
2.8
$
11.5
$
28.4
$
25.1
$
6.5
$
61.9
$
193.4
$
168.4
$
32.0
$
440.0
$
54.5
$
50.3
$
24.5
$
99.9
$
247.9
$
218.7
$
56.5
$
539.9
$

2020
21.2
$
18.4
$
3.5
$
48.1
$
6.0
$
5.5
$
2.7
$
10.9
$
27.1
$
23.9
$
6.2
$
59.1
$
184.6
$
160.7
$
30.5
$
420.0
$
51.9
$
47.9
$
23.3
$
95.3
$
236.5
$
208.6
$
53.8
$
515.4
$

2021
20.2
$
17.6
$
3.3
$
45.9
$
5.7
$
5.2
$
2.5
$
10.4
$
25.8
$
22.8
$
5.9
$
56.3
$
176.0
$
153.2
$
29.0
$
400.4
$
49.4
$
45.5
$
22.2
$
90.7
$
225.4
$
198.8
$
51.3
$
491.1
$

2022
19.2
$
16.7
$
3.2
$
43.7
$
5.4
$
5.0
$
2.4
$
9.9
$
24.6
$
21.7
$
5.6
$
53.6
$
167.5
$
145.9
$
27.6
$
381.2
$
47.0
$
43.3
$
21.1
$
86.3
$
214.5
$
189.2
$
48.8
$
467.6
$

2023
18.3
$
15.9
$
3.0
$
41.6
$
5.1
$
4.7
$
2.3
$
9.4
$
23.4
$
20.6
$
5.3
$
51.0
$
159.4
$
138.8
$
26.3
$
362.7
$
44.6
$
41.1
$
20.1
$
82.0
$
204.0
$
179.9
$
46.3
$
444.7
$

2024
17.4
$
15.1
$
2.9
$
39.5
$
4.8
$
4.5
$
2.2
$
8.9
$
22.2
$
19.6
$
5.0
$
48.4
$
151.5
$
131.9
$
25.0
$
344.7
$
42.3
$
39.0
$
19.0
$
77.8
$
193.8
$
170.9
$
44.0
$
422.5
$

2025
16.5
$
14.4
$
2.7
$
37.5
$
4.6
$
4.2
$
2.1
$
8.4
$
21.1
$
18.6
$
4.8
$
46.0
$
143.9
$
125.3
$
23.7
$
327.4
$
40.1
$
37.0
$
18.1
$
73.7
$
184.0
$
162.2
$
41.7
$
401.2
$

2026
15.6
$
13.6
$
2.6
$
35.6
$
4.4
$
4.0
$
2.0
$
8.0
$
20.0
$
17.6
$
4.5
$
43.6
$
136.6
$
118.9
$
22.5
$
310.9
$
38.0
$
35.1
$
17.1
$
69.9
$
174.6
$
154.0
$
39.6
$
380.7
$

2027
14.8
$
12.9
$
2.4
$
33.8
$
4.1
$
3.8
$
1.9
$
7.6
$
19.0
$
16.7
$
4.3
$
41.4
$
129.6
$
112.8
$
21.3
$
295.0
$
36.0
$
33.2
$
16.2
$
66.2
$
165.6
$
146.0
$
37.5
$
361.2
$

Total
434.1
$
378.0
$
71.9
$
987.5
$
122.8
$
113.2
$
55.3
$
225.0
$
556.9
$
491.2
$
127.1
$
1,212.5
$
3,788.6
$
3,299.2
$
627.2
$
8,618.1
$
1,071.5
$
987.7
$
482.4
$
1,964.1
$
4,860.1
$
4,286.9
$
1,109.6
$
10,582.1
$

Ann.
37.3
$
32.4
$
6.2
$
84.7
$
10.5
$
9.7
$
4.7
$
19.3
$
47.8
$
42.2
$
10.9
$
104.0
$
325.1
$
283.1
$
53.8
$
739.5
$
91.9
$
84.8
$
41.4
$
168.5
$
417.1
$
367.9
$
95.2
$
908.1
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
5c.
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
5e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
HAA5
­
Preferred
Alternative
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
5.3
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.4
$
7.2
$
4.5
$
17.3
$
14.5
$
45.9
$

2007
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
1.9
$
1.2
$
4.6
$
3.9
$
12.3
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.5
$
3.3
$
16.9
$
10.6
$
40.5
$
33.9
$
107.4
$

2008
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.6
$
3.2
$
2.0
$
7.6
$
6.3
$
20.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.4
$
5.4
$
27.6
$
17.4
$
66.3
$
55.4
$
175.6
$

2009
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
4.4
$
2.8
$
10.7
$
8.9
$
28.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.8
$
3.4
$
7.6
$
38.8
$
24.4
$
93.2
$
77.9
$
246.9
$

2010
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.1
$
5.8
$
3.6
$
13.8
$
11.5
$
36.6
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.0
$
4.4
$
9.8
$
50.2
$
31.6
$
120.5
$
100.8
$
319.3
$

2011
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.4
$
7.1
$
4.4
$
16.9
$
14.2
$
44.9
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
1.3
$
5.4
$
12.0
$
61.6
$
38.8
$
147.9
$
123.7
$
391.8
$

2012
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.6
$
7.6
$
4.8
$
18.3
$
15.3
$
48.7
$
0.2
$
1.2
$
1.5
$
6.4
$
14.2
$
66.5
$
41.8
$
159.5
$
133.4
$
424.7
$

2013
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.9
$
7.9
$
5.0
$
19.0
$
15.9
$
50.8
$
0.2
$
1.4
$
1.7
$
7.4
$
16.4
$
69.0
$
43.4
$
165.5
$
138.4
$
443.4
$

2014
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.1
$
8.1
$
5.1
$
19.3
$
16.2
$
52.1
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
2.0
$
8.3
$
18.5
$
70.3
$
44.2
$
168.7
$
141.0
$
454.8
$

2015
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.2
$
8.1
$
5.1
$
19.5
$
16.3
$
52.7
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.1
$
8.7
$
19.4
$
70.9
$
44.6
$
170.2
$
142.3
$
460.0
$

2016
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.3
$
8.1
$
5.1
$
19.5
$
16.3
$
52.9
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.1
$
8.9
$
19.8
$
71.1
$
44.7
$
170.6
$
142.6
$
461.7
$

2017
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.3
$
8.1
$
5.1
$
19.5
$
16.3
$
52.8
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.1
$
9.0
$
20.0
$
70.9
$
44.6
$
170.2
$
142.4
$
461.2
$

2018
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.3
$
8.1
$
5.1
$
19.4
$
16.2
$
52.6
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.1
$
9.0
$
20.0
$
70.6
$
44.4
$
169.4
$
141.6
$
459.2
$

2019
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.3
$
8.0
$
5.0
$
19.3
$
16.1
$
52.3
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.1
$
9.0
$
20.0
$
70.1
$
44.1
$
168.1
$
140.6
$
456.0
$

2020
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.3
$
8.0
$
5.0
$
19.1
$
16.0
$
51.8
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.1
$
8.9
$
19.9
$
69.4
$
43.7
$
166.6
$
139.3
$
452.0
$

2021
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.3
$
7.9
$
5.0
$
18.9
$
15.8
$
51.3
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.1
$
8.9
$
19.7
$
68.7
$
43.2
$
164.9
$
137.9
$
447.5
$

2022
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.2
$
7.8
$
4.9
$
18.7
$
15.6
$
50.7
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.1
$
8.8
$
19.6
$
67.9
$
42.7
$
163.0
$
136.3
$
442.4
$

2023
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.2
$
7.7
$
4.8
$
18.4
$
15.4
$
50.1
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.1
$
8.7
$
19.3
$
67.1
$
42.2
$
161.0
$
134.6
$
437.0
$

2024
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.2
$
7.6
$
4.8
$
18.2
$
15.2
$
49.4
$
0.2
$
1.7
$
2.0
$
8.6
$
19.1
$
66.2
$
41.6
$
158.9
$
132.9
$
431.3
$

2025
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.2
$
7.5
$
4.7
$
18.0
$
15.0
$
48.7
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
2.0
$
8.5
$
18.9
$
65.3
$
41.1
$
156.7
$
131.0
$
425.4
$

2026
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.1
$
7.4
$
4.6
$
17.7
$
14.8
$
48.0
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
2.0
$
8.4
$
18.6
$
64.4
$
40.5
$
154.4
$
129.2
$
419.3
$

2027
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.1
$
7.3
$
4.6
$
17.4
$
14.6
$
47.3
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
2.0
$
8.3
$
18.4
$
63.4
$
39.9
$
152.2
$
127.2
$
413.1
$

Total
0.5
$
3.4
$
4.2
$
17.6
$
39.1
$
148.3
$
93.3
$
355.9
$
297.6
$
959.7
$
4.4
$
29.7
$
36.5
$
153.4
$
341.1
$
1,294.3
$
814.0
$
3,105.6
$
2,597.0
$
8,376.0
$

Ann.
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.2
$
8.5
$
5.4
$
20.4
$
17.1
$
55.1
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.1
$
8.8
$
19.6
$
74.3
$
46.7
$
178.3
$
149.1
$
481.0
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
5a
and
F.
5b.
Exhibit
F.
5f
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
HAA5
­
Preferred
Alternative
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.5
$
1.8
$
1.5
$
4.7
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.3
$
6.4
$
4.1
$
15.5
$
12.9
$
41.0
$

2007
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
1.0
$
4.0
$
3.3
$
10.6
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
2.8
$
14.5
$
9.1
$
34.8
$
29.1
$
92.2
$

2008
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.5
$
2.6
$
1.6
$
6.3
$
5.2
$
16.6
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
4.4
$
22.8
$
14.4
$
54.8
$
45.8
$
145.1
$

2009
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
3.5
$
2.2
$
8.5
$
7.1
$
22.5
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.7
$
6.0
$
30.9
$
19.4
$
74.1
$
62.0
$
196.4
$

2010
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
4.4
$
2.8
$
10.6
$
8.8
$
28.0
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.8
$
3.4
$
7.5
$
38.5
$
24.2
$
92.3
$
77.2
$
244.6
$

2011
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.0
$
5.2
$
3.3
$
12.5
$
10.4
$
33.1
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.9
$
4.0
$
8.8
$
45.4
$
28.6
$
109.0
$
91.2
$
288.9
$

2012
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.2
$
5.4
$
3.4
$
13.0
$
10.8
$
34.5
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.1
$
4.5
$
10.1
$
47.2
$
29.7
$
113.2
$
94.7
$
301.4
$

2013
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.3
$
5.4
$
3.4
$
13.0
$
10.8
$
34.7
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
1.2
$
5.0
$
11.2
$
47.1
$
29.6
$
113.1
$
94.6
$
302.9
$

2014
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.4
$
5.3
$
3.3
$
12.7
$
10.6
$
34.3
$
0.2
$
1.1
$
1.3
$
5.5
$
12.1
$
46.2
$
29.1
$
110.9
$
92.8
$
299.1
$

2015
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.4
$
5.1
$
3.2
$
12.3
$
10.3
$
33.4
$
0.2
$
1.1
$
1.3
$
5.5
$
12.3
$
44.9
$
28.2
$
107.7
$
90.1
$
291.2
$

2016
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.4
$
5.0
$
3.1
$
11.9
$
10.0
$
32.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
1.3
$
5.4
$
12.1
$
43.3
$
27.2
$
103.9
$
86.9
$
281.4
$

2017
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.3
$
4.8
$
3.0
$
11.4
$
9.6
$
31.0
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
1.3
$
5.3
$
11.7
$
41.6
$
26.2
$
99.9
$
83.5
$
270.6
$

2018
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.3
$
4.6
$
2.9
$
11.0
$
9.2
$
29.7
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
1.2
$
5.1
$
11.3
$
39.9
$
25.1
$
95.6
$
80.0
$
259.3
$

2019
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.2
$
4.4
$
2.7
$
10.5
$
8.8
$
28.4
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.2
$
4.9
$
10.9
$
38.1
$
24.0
$
91.4
$
76.4
$
247.9
$

2020
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.2
$
4.2
$
2.6
$
10.0
$
8.4
$
27.1
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.1
$
4.7
$
10.4
$
36.3
$
22.9
$
87.2
$
72.9
$
236.5
$

2021
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.1
$
4.0
$
2.5
$
9.5
$
8.0
$
25.8
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.1
$
4.5
$
9.9
$
34.6
$
21.8
$
83.1
$
69.5
$
225.4
$

2022
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.1
$
3.8
$
2.4
$
9.1
$
7.6
$
24.6
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.0
$
4.3
$
9.5
$
32.9
$
20.7
$
79.0
$
66.1
$
214.5
$

2023
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.0
$
3.6
$
2.3
$
8.6
$
7.2
$
23.4
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.0
$
4.1
$
9.0
$
31.3
$
19.7
$
75.1
$
62.8
$
204.0
$

2024
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.0
$
3.4
$
2.1
$
8.2
$
6.8
$
22.2
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.9
$
3.9
$
8.6
$
29.8
$
18.7
$
71.4
$
59.7
$
193.8
$

2025
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
3.2
$
2.0
$
7.8
$
6.5
$
21.1
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.9
$
3.7
$
8.2
$
28.2
$
17.8
$
67.8
$
56.7
$
184.0
$

2026
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
3.1
$
1.9
$
7.4
$
6.2
$
20.0
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.8
$
3.5
$
7.8
$
26.8
$
16.9
$
64.3
$
53.8
$
174.6
$

2027
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.8
$
2.9
$
1.8
$
7.0
$
5.8
$
19.0
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.8
$
3.3
$
7.4
$
25.4
$
16.0
$
61.0
$
51.0
$
165.6
$

Total
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.4
$
10.0
$
22.1
$
86.2
$
54.2
$
206.8
$
173.0
$
556.9
$
2.5
$
16.8
$
20.7
$
86.9
$
193.2
$
752.3
$
473.1
$
1,805.1
$
1,509.5
$
4,860.1
$

Ann.
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
1.9
$
7.4
$
4.7
$
17.7
$
14.8
$
47.8
$
0.2
$
1.4
$
1.8
$
7.5
$
16.6
$
64.6
$
40.6
$
154.9
$
129.5
$
417.1
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
5a
and
F.
5b.
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
5g
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
F.
6
Model
Outputs
­
Alternative
1
TTHM
as
Indicator
Lymphoma
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
1
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
4.2
$
3.7
$
0.7
$
9.6
$
6.9
$
6.0
$
1.1
$
15.9
$
11.2
$
9.7
$
1.8
$
25.5
$
37.0
$
32.2
$
6.2
$
84.1
$
60.5
$
52.6
$
9.4
$
138.7
$
97.5
$
84.8
$
15.5
$
222.8
$

2007
10.2
$
8.9
$
1.7
$
23.2
$
16.7
$
14.5
$
2.6
$
38.3
$
26.9
$
23.4
$
4.3
$
61.5
$
89.1
$
77.6
$
14.9
$
202.6
$
145.8
$
126.7
$
22.6
$
334.1
$
234.9
$
204.4
$
37.4
$
536.7
$

2008
17.2
$
15.0
$
2.9
$
39.1
$
28.2
$
24.5
$
4.4
$
64.5
$
45.4
$
39.5
$
7.2
$
103.6
$
150.2
$
130.8
$
25.0
$
341.3
$
245.7
$
213.5
$
38.0
$
562.9
$
395.9
$
344.3
$
63.1
$
904.3
$

2009
24.9
$
21.7
$
4.1
$
56.7
$
40.8
$
35.5
$
6.3
$
93.5
$
65.7
$
57.2
$
10.5
$
150.1
$
217.6
$
189.5
$
36.2
$
494.6
$
356.0
$
309.4
$
55.1
$
815.7
$
573.6
$
498.9
$
91.3
$
1,310.2
$

2010
33.2
$
28.9
$
5.5
$
75.5
$
54.4
$
47.3
$
8.4
$
124.6
$
87.6
$
76.2
$
13.9
$
200.1
$
290.0
$
252.5
$
48.2
$
659.2
$
474.6
$
412.5
$
73.5
$
1,087.3
$
764.6
$
665.0
$
121.7
$
1,746.6
$

2011
42.0
$
36.6
$
7.0
$
95.5
$
68.8
$
59.8
$
10.6
$
157.5
$
110.8
$
96.3
$
17.6
$
253.1
$
366.6
$
319.3
$
60.9
$
833.6
$
600.1
$
521.6
$
92.9
$
1,374.9
$
966.7
$
840.9
$
153.8
$
2,208.5
$

2012
46.8
$
40.8
$
7.8
$
106.5
$
76.7
$
66.7
$
11.9
$
175.7
$
123.5
$
107.4
$
19.7
$
282.2
$
408.8
$
356.0
$
67.9
$
929.6
$
669.3
$
581.7
$
103.6
$
1,533.4
$
1,078.1
$
937.7
$
171.5
$
2,462.9
$

2013
50.3
$
43.8
$
8.3
$
114.4
$
82.3
$
71.6
$
12.7
$
188.7
$
132.6
$
115.4
$
21.1
$
303.0
$
438.9
$
382.2
$
72.8
$
998.0
$
718.6
$
624.6
$
111.3
$
1,646.4
$
1,157.5
$
1,006.8
$
184.1
$
2,644.5
$

2014
53.0
$
46.2
$
8.8
$
120.6
$
86.9
$
75.5
$
13.4
$
199.0
$
139.9
$
121.7
$
22.2
$
319.6
$
462.9
$
403.1
$
76.8
$
1,052.8
$
758.1
$
658.9
$
117.4
$
1,736.9
$
1,221.0
$
1,062.0
$
194.1
$
2,789.6
$

2015
55.2
$
48.1
$
9.2
$
125.6
$
90.5
$
78.6
$
14.0
$
207.3
$
145.7
$
126.7
$
23.2
$
332.9
$
482.0
$
419.8
$
79.9
$
1,096.3
$
789.5
$
686.2
$
122.2
$
1,808.8
$
1,271.5
$
1,106.0
$
202.1
$
2,905.1
$

2016
57.1
$
49.7
$
9.5
$
129.9
$
93.5
$
81.3
$
14.5
$
214.3
$
150.6
$
131.0
$
23.9
$
344.2
$
498.3
$
433.9
$
82.5
$
1,133.5
$
816.3
$
709.5
$
126.4
$
1,870.2
$
1,314.6
$
1,143.4
$
208.9
$
3,003.6
$

2017
58.8
$
51.2
$
9.7
$
133.6
$
96.3
$
83.7
$
14.9
$
220.5
$
155.0
$
134.8
$
24.6
$
354.2
$
512.7
$
446.5
$
84.9
$
1,166.4
$
840.0
$
730.1
$
130.1
$
1,924.6
$
1,352.8
$
1,176.7
$
214.9
$
3,091.0
$

2018
60.3
$
52.5
$
10.0
$
137.1
$
98.7
$
85.8
$
15.3
$
226.2
$
159.0
$
138.3
$
25.3
$
363.3
$
525.9
$
457.9
$
87.0
$
1,196.3
$
861.7
$
749.0
$
133.4
$
1,974.2
$
1,387.5
$
1,206.9
$
220.4
$
3,170.5
$

2019
61.7
$
53.7
$
10.2
$
140.3
$
101.0
$
87.8
$
15.6
$
231.5
$
162.7
$
141.5
$
25.8
$
371.7
$
538.0
$
468.5
$
88.9
$
1,224.2
$
881.7
$
766.4
$
136.5
$
2,020.2
$
1,419.8
$
1,235.0
$
225.4
$
3,244.4
$

2020
63.0
$
54.8
$
10.4
$
143.3
$
103.2
$
89.7
$
16.0
$
236.5
$
166.2
$
144.5
$
26.4
$
379.7
$
549.5
$
478.5
$
90.8
$
1,250.4
$
900.7
$
782.9
$
139.5
$
2,063.6
$
1,450.2
$
1,261.4
$
230.2
$
3,313.9
$

2021
64.2
$
55.9
$
10.6
$
146.1
$
105.3
$
91.5
$
16.3
$
241.2
$
169.5
$
147.4
$
26.9
$
387.3
$
560.4
$
488.0
$
92.5
$
1,275.3
$
918.7
$
798.5
$
142.2
$
2,104.8
$
1,479.1
$
1,286.5
$
234.8
$
3,380.1
$

2022
65.4
$
57.0
$
10.8
$
148.9
$
107.2
$
93.2
$
16.6
$
245.7
$
172.7
$
150.2
$
27.4
$
394.6
$
570.9
$
497.1
$
94.2
$
1,299.2
$
936.0
$
813.5
$
144.9
$
2,144.5
$
1,506.9
$
1,310.7
$
239.1
$
3,443.7
$

2023
66.6
$
58.0
$
11.0
$
151.5
$
109.2
$
94.9
$
16.9
$
250.1
$
175.7
$
152.9
$
27.9
$
401.6
$
581.0
$
505.9
$
95.8
$
1,322.4
$
952.7
$
828.1
$
147.5
$
2,182.8
$
1,533.7
$
1,334.0
$
243.3
$
3,505.2
$

2024
67.7
$
59.0
$
11.2
$
154.1
$
111.0
$
96.5
$
17.2
$
254.4
$
178.7
$
155.5
$
28.3
$
408.5
$
590.9
$
514.5
$
97.3
$
1,344.9
$
969.0
$
842.2
$
150.0
$
2,220.1
$
1,559.8
$
1,356.7
$
247.4
$
3,564.9
$

2025
68.8
$
59.9
$
11.3
$
156.6
$
112.8
$
98.1
$
17.5
$
258.6
$
181.7
$
158.0
$
28.8
$
415.2
$
600.5
$
522.8
$
98.9
$
1,366.8
$
984.9
$
856.0
$
152.5
$
2,256.5
$
1,585.4
$
1,378.8
$
251.4
$
3,623.3
$

2026
69.9
$
60.8
$
11.5
$
159.1
$
114.6
$
99.6
$
17.8
$
262.6
$
184.5
$
160.5
$
29.2
$
421.7
$
609.9
$
531.0
$
100.4
$
1,388.4
$
1,000.5
$
869.5
$
154.9
$
2,292.2
$
1,610.4
$
1,400.6
$
255.3
$
3,680.6
$

2027
71.0
$
61.8
$
11.7
$
161.5
$
116.4
$
101.2
$
18.0
$
266.7
$
187.3
$
162.9
$
29.7
$
428.2
$
619.2
$
539.1
$
101.8
$
1,409.6
$
1,015.8
$
882.9
$
157.3
$
2,327.4
$
1,635.0
$
1,422.0
$
259.1
$
3,737.0
$

Total
1,111.5
$
967.9
$
183.8
$
2,528.8
$
1,821.4
$
1,583.1
$
282.0
$
4,173.1
$
2,932.9
$
2,551.0
$
465.8
$
6,701.9
$
9,700.4
$
8,447.1
$
1,603.7
$
22,069.4
$
15,896.1
$
13,816.4
$
2,461.2
$
36,420.1
$
25,596.5
$
22,263.5
$
4,064.9
$
58,489.5
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
19b,
and
E.
19e.
(
All
Surface
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
6a
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
1
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.6
$
0.5
$
0.1
$
1.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.3
$
3.3
$
2.8
$
0.5
$
7.4
$
5.3
$
4.6
$
0.8
$
12.2
$
8.6
$
7.5
$
1.4
$
19.7
$

2007
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.1
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.4
$
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.4
$
7.9
$
6.9
$
1.3
$
17.9
$
12.9
$
11.2
$
2.0
$
29.5
$
20.8
$
18.1
$
3.3
$
47.4
$

2008
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.5
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.7
$
4.0
$
3.5
$
0.6
$
9.2
$
13.3
$
11.6
$
2.2
$
30.1
$
21.7
$
18.9
$
3.4
$
49.7
$
35.0
$
30.4
$
5.6
$
79.9
$

2009
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
5.0
$
3.6
$
3.1
$
0.6
$
8.3
$
5.8
$
5.0
$
0.9
$
13.3
$
19.2
$
16.7
$
3.2
$
43.7
$
31.4
$
27.3
$
4.9
$
72.0
$
50.7
$
44.1
$
8.1
$
115.7
$

2010
2.9
$
2.6
$
0.5
$
6.7
$
4.8
$
4.2
$
0.7
$
11.0
$
7.7
$
6.7
$
1.2
$
17.7
$
25.6
$
22.3
$
4.3
$
58.2
$
41.9
$
36.4
$
6.5
$
96.0
$
67.5
$
58.7
$
10.7
$
154.3
$

2011
3.7
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.4
$
6.1
$
5.3
$
0.9
$
13.9
$
9.8
$
8.5
$
1.6
$
22.4
$
32.4
$
28.2
$
5.4
$
73.6
$
53.0
$
46.1
$
8.2
$
121.4
$
85.4
$
74.3
$
13.6
$
195.1
$

2012
4.2
$
3.7
$
0.7
$
9.6
$
6.9
$
6.0
$
1.1
$
15.9
$
11.2
$
9.7
$
1.8
$
25.5
$
37.0
$
32.2
$
6.1
$
84.1
$
60.5
$
52.6
$
9.4
$
138.7
$
97.5
$
84.8
$
15.5
$
222.7
$

2013
4.7
$
4.1
$
0.8
$
10.6
$
7.7
$
6.7
$
1.2
$
17.6
$
12.3
$
10.7
$
2.0
$
28.2
$
40.8
$
35.6
$
6.8
$
92.9
$
66.9
$
58.1
$
10.4
$
153.2
$
107.7
$
93.7
$
17.1
$
246.1
$

2014
5.1
$
4.4
$
0.8
$
11.6
$
8.3
$
7.2
$
1.3
$
19.1
$
13.4
$
11.7
$
2.1
$
30.6
$
44.4
$
38.6
$
7.4
$
100.9
$
72.7
$
63.2
$
11.3
$
166.5
$
117.1
$
101.8
$
18.6
$
267.4
$

2015
5.4
$
4.7
$
0.9
$
12.2
$
8.8
$
7.6
$
1.4
$
20.1
$
14.1
$
12.3
$
2.2
$
32.3
$
46.7
$
40.7
$
7.7
$
106.3
$
76.6
$
66.5
$
11.9
$
175.4
$
123.3
$
107.3
$
19.6
$
281.7
$

2016
5.6
$
4.9
$
0.9
$
12.7
$
9.1
$
7.9
$
1.4
$
20.9
$
14.7
$
12.8
$
2.3
$
33.6
$
48.6
$
42.3
$
8.1
$
110.6
$
79.6
$
69.2
$
12.3
$
182.5
$
128.2
$
111.6
$
20.4
$
293.0
$

2017
5.8
$
5.0
$
1.0
$
13.1
$
9.4
$
8.2
$
1.5
$
21.6
$
15.2
$
13.2
$
2.4
$
34.7
$
50.2
$
43.7
$
8.3
$
114.2
$
82.2
$
71.5
$
12.7
$
188.4
$
132.5
$
115.2
$
21.0
$
302.6
$

2018
5.9
$
5.2
$
1.0
$
13.5
$
9.7
$
8.4
$
1.5
$
22.2
$
15.6
$
13.6
$
2.5
$
35.7
$
51.6
$
44.9
$
8.5
$
117.4
$
84.6
$
73.5
$
13.1
$
193.8
$
136.2
$
118.5
$
21.6
$
311.2
$

2019
6.1
$
5.3
$
1.0
$
13.8
$
9.9
$
8.6
$
1.5
$
22.8
$
16.0
$
13.9
$
2.5
$
36.5
$
52.9
$
46.1
$
8.7
$
120.3
$
86.7
$
75.3
$
13.4
$
198.6
$
139.6
$
121.4
$
22.2
$
319.0
$

2020
6.2
$
5.4
$
1.0
$
14.1
$
10.2
$
8.8
$
1.6
$
23.3
$
16.4
$
14.2
$
2.6
$
37.4
$
54.1
$
47.1
$
8.9
$
123.1
$
88.7
$
77.1
$
13.7
$
203.1
$
142.7
$
124.2
$
22.7
$
326.2
$

2021
6.3
$
5.5
$
1.0
$
14.4
$
10.4
$
9.0
$
1.6
$
23.8
$
16.7
$
14.5
$
2.7
$
38.2
$
55.2
$
48.1
$
9.1
$
125.6
$
90.5
$
78.7
$
14.0
$
207.4
$
145.7
$
126.8
$
23.1
$
333.0
$

2022
6.4
$
5.6
$
1.1
$
14.7
$
10.6
$
9.2
$
1.6
$
24.2
$
17.0
$
14.8
$
2.7
$
38.9
$
56.3
$
49.0
$
9.3
$
128.1
$
92.3
$
80.2
$
14.3
$
211.4
$
148.6
$
129.2
$
23.6
$
339.5
$

2023
6.6
$
5.7
$
1.1
$
14.9
$
10.8
$
9.4
$
1.7
$
24.7
$
17.3
$
15.1
$
2.8
$
39.6
$
57.3
$
49.9
$
9.4
$
130.5
$
94.0
$
81.7
$
14.6
$
215.3
$
151.3
$
131.6
$
24.0
$
345.8
$

2024
6.7
$
5.8
$
1.1
$
15.2
$
11.0
$
9.5
$
1.7
$
25.1
$
17.6
$
15.3
$
2.8
$
40.3
$
58.3
$
50.8
$
9.6
$
132.7
$
95.6
$
83.1
$
14.8
$
219.1
$
154.0
$
133.9
$
24.4
$
351.8
$

2025
6.8
$
5.9
$
1.1
$
15.5
$
11.1
$
9.7
$
1.7
$
25.5
$
17.9
$
15.6
$
2.8
$
41.0
$
59.3
$
51.6
$
9.8
$
135.0
$
97.2
$
84.5
$
15.1
$
222.8
$
156.5
$
136.1
$
24.8
$
357.7
$

2026
6.9
$
6.0
$
1.1
$
15.7
$
11.3
$
9.8
$
1.8
$
25.9
$
18.2
$
15.9
$
2.9
$
41.7
$
60.2
$
52.4
$
9.9
$
137.1
$
98.8
$
85.9
$
15.3
$
226.4
$
159.1
$
138.3
$
25.2
$
363.5
$

2027
7.0
$
6.1
$
1.2
$
16.0
$
11.5
$
10.0
$
1.8
$
26.3
$
18.5
$
16.1
$
2.9
$
42.3
$
61.2
$
53.3
$
10.1
$
139.3
$
100.4
$
87.2
$
15.5
$
229.9
$
161.5
$
140.5
$
25.6
$
369.2
$

Total
107.2
$
93.4
$
17.7
$
244.0
$
175.7
$
152.7
$
27.2
$
402.6
$
282.9
$
246.1
$
44.9
$
646.6
$
935.8
$
814.9
$
154.7
$
2,129.1
$
1,533.5
$
1,332.9
$
237.4
$
3,513.5
$
2,469.3
$
2,147.8
$
392.1
$
5,642.6
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
19c,
and
E.
19f.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
6b
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
All
Ground
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
1
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
4.6
$
4.0
$
0.8
$
10.5
$
7.5
$
6.6
$
1.2
$
17.3
$
12.2
$
10.6
$
1.9
$
27.8
$
40.3
$
35.1
$
6.7
$
91.5
$
65.9
$
57.3
$
10.2
$
150.9
$
106.2
$
92.3
$
16.9
$
242.5
$

2007
11.1
$
9.7
$
1.9
$
25.3
$
18.2
$
15.8
$
2.8
$
41.7
$
29.3
$
25.5
$
4.7
$
66.9
$
97.0
$
84.5
$
16.2
$
220.5
$
158.7
$
137.9
$
24.6
$
363.6
$
255.7
$
222.4
$
40.7
$
584.1
$

2008
18.7
$
16.3
$
3.1
$
42.6
$
30.6
$
26.6
$
4.7
$
70.2
$
49.4
$
42.9
$
7.9
$
112.8
$
163.4
$
142.3
$
27.2
$
371.5
$
267.4
$
232.4
$
41.4
$
612.6
$
430.8
$
374.7
$
68.6
$
984.1
$

2009
27.1
$
23.6
$
4.5
$
61.7
$
44.4
$
38.6
$
6.9
$
101.7
$
71.5
$
62.2
$
11.4
$
163.4
$
236.8
$
206.2
$
39.4
$
538.3
$
387.5
$
336.8
$
60.0
$
887.7
$
624.2
$
543.0
$
99.4
$
1,426.0
$

2010
36.2
$
31.5
$
6.0
$
82.2
$
59.2
$
51.4
$
9.2
$
135.6
$
95.3
$
82.9
$
15.2
$
217.8
$
315.6
$
274.8
$
52.5
$
717.5
$
516.5
$
448.9
$
80.0
$
1,183.4
$
832.1
$
723.8
$
132.5
$
1,900.8
$

2011
45.7
$
39.8
$
7.6
$
103.9
$
74.8
$
65.0
$
11.6
$
171.5
$
120.6
$
104.9
$
19.2
$
275.4
$
399.0
$
347.5
$
66.3
$
907.2
$
653.1
$
567.7
$
101.1
$
1,496.4
$
1,052.1
$
915.1
$
167.4
$
2,403.5
$

2012
51.1
$
44.5
$
8.5
$
116.1
$
83.6
$
72.7
$
12.9
$
191.6
$
134.7
$
117.2
$
21.4
$
307.7
$
445.8
$
388.2
$
74.0
$
1,013.6
$
729.8
$
634.3
$
113.0
$
1,672.0
$
1,175.6
$
1,022.5
$
187.0
$
2,685.7
$

2013
55.0
$
47.9
$
9.1
$
125.0
$
90.0
$
78.2
$
13.9
$
206.2
$
145.0
$
126.1
$
23.1
$
331.2
$
479.7
$
417.8
$
79.6
$
1,090.9
$
785.5
$
682.7
$
121.6
$
1,799.6
$
1,265.2
$
1,100.5
$
201.2
$
2,890.5
$

2014
58.1
$
50.6
$
9.6
$
132.2
$
95.2
$
82.7
$
14.7
$
218.1
$
153.3
$
133.4
$
24.4
$
350.3
$
507.3
$
441.8
$
84.1
$
1,153.7
$
830.8
$
722.1
$
128.6
$
1,903.4
$
1,338.1
$
1,163.9
$
212.8
$
3,057.1
$

2015
60.6
$
52.8
$
10.0
$
137.8
$
99.2
$
86.3
$
15.4
$
227.4
$
159.8
$
139.0
$
25.4
$
365.2
$
528.8
$
460.5
$
87.6
$
1,202.6
$
866.0
$
752.7
$
134.1
$
1,984.2
$
1,394.8
$
1,213.2
$
221.7
$
3,186.9
$

2016
62.7
$
54.6
$
10.4
$
142.5
$
102.7
$
89.2
$
15.9
$
235.2
$
165.3
$
143.8
$
26.3
$
377.7
$
546.9
$
476.3
$
90.6
$
1,244.0
$
895.9
$
778.7
$
138.7
$
2,052.6
$
1,442.8
$
1,255.0
$
229.3
$
3,296.7
$

2017
64.5
$
56.2
$
10.7
$
146.7
$
105.7
$
91.9
$
16.4
$
242.1
$
170.2
$
148.0
$
27.0
$
388.9
$
562.9
$
490.2
$
93.2
$
1,280.6
$
922.3
$
801.6
$
142.8
$
2,113.1
$
1,485.2
$
1,291.9
$
236.0
$
3,393.6
$

2018
66.2
$
57.6
$
10.9
$
150.5
$
108.4
$
94.2
$
16.8
$
248.4
$
174.6
$
151.9
$
27.7
$
398.9
$
577.5
$
502.9
$
95.5
$
1,313.8
$
946.2
$
822.5
$
146.5
$
2,168.0
$
1,523.7
$
1,325.4
$
242.0
$
3,481.7
$

2019
67.7
$
59.0
$
11.2
$
154.1
$
111.0
$
96.5
$
17.2
$
254.2
$
178.7
$
155.4
$
28.4
$
408.3
$
590.9
$
514.6
$
97.7
$
1,344.5
$
968.4
$
841.8
$
149.9
$
2,218.8
$
1,559.4
$
1,356.4
$
247.6
$
3,563.3
$

2020
69.2
$
60.2
$
11.4
$
157.4
$
113.4
$
98.5
$
17.6
$
259.7
$
182.5
$
158.8
$
29.0
$
417.1
$
603.6
$
525.6
$
99.7
$
1,373.4
$
989.3
$
859.9
$
153.2
$
2,266.7
$
1,592.9
$
1,385.5
$
252.9
$
3,640.1
$

2021
70.5
$
61.4
$
11.6
$
160.5
$
115.6
$
100.5
$
17.9
$
264.9
$
186.2
$
161.9
$
29.5
$
425.5
$
615.7
$
536.1
$
101.6
$
1,400.9
$
1,009.2
$
877.2
$
156.3
$
2,312.2
$
1,624.9
$
1,413.3
$
257.9
$
3,713.2
$

2022
71.9
$
62.6
$
11.9
$
163.5
$
117.8
$
102.4
$
18.2
$
269.9
$
189.7
$
165.0
$
30.1
$
433.5
$
627.2
$
546.1
$
103.5
$
1,427.3
$
1,028.3
$
893.8
$
159.2
$
2,355.9
$
1,655.5
$
1,439.9
$
262.7
$
3,783.2
$

2023
73.1
$
63.7
$
12.1
$
166.5
$
119.9
$
104.2
$
18.6
$
274.8
$
193.1
$
167.9
$
30.6
$
441.3
$
638.4
$
555.8
$
105.2
$
1,452.8
$
1,046.7
$
909.8
$
162.1
$
2,398.1
$
1,685.0
$
1,465.6
$
267.3
$
3,850.9
$

2024
74.4
$
64.8
$
12.3
$
169.3
$
122.0
$
106.0
$
18.9
$
279.5
$
196.4
$
170.8
$
31.1
$
448.8
$
649.2
$
565.3
$
106.9
$
1,477.6
$
1,064.6
$
925.3
$
164.8
$
2,439.2
$
1,713.8
$
1,490.6
$
271.8
$
3,916.8
$

2025
75.6
$
65.8
$
12.4
$
172.1
$
124.0
$
107.8
$
19.2
$
284.1
$
199.6
$
173.6
$
31.6
$
456.2
$
659.8
$
574.5
$
108.6
$
1,501.8
$
1,082.1
$
940.5
$
167.6
$
2,479.3
$
1,741.9
$
1,515.0
$
276.2
$
3,981.1
$

2026
76.8
$
66.9
$
12.6
$
174.8
$
126.0
$
109.5
$
19.5
$
288.6
$
202.7
$
176.3
$
32.1
$
463.4
$
670.2
$
583.5
$
110.3
$
1,525.5
$
1,099.3
$
955.4
$
170.2
$
2,518.6
$
1,769.4
$
1,538.9
$
280.5
$
4,044.1
$

2027
78.0
$
67.9
$
12.8
$
177.5
$
127.9
$
111.2
$
19.8
$
293.0
$
205.9
$
179.0
$
32.6
$
470.5
$
680.4
$
592.4
$
111.9
$
1,548.9
$
1,116.2
$
970.1
$
172.8
$
2,557.3
$
1,796.6
$
1,562.5
$
284.7
$
4,106.2
$

Total
1,218.7
$
1,061.3
$
201.5
$
2,772.7
$
1,997.1
$
1,735.9
$
309.2
$
4,575.7
$
3,215.9
$
2,797.1
$
510.7
$
7,348.5
$
10,636.2
$
9,262.0
$
1,758.4
$
24,198.5
$
17,429.6
$
15,149.3
$
2,698.6
$
39,933.6
$
28,065.8
$
24,411.3
$
4,457.0
$
64,132.1
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
6a
and
F.
6b.
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
6c
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
1
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
4.2
$
3.7
$
0.7
$
9.6
$
6.9
$
6.0
$
1.1
$
15.8
$
11.1
$
9.7
$
1.8
$
25.4
$
36.9
$
32.1
$
6.1
$
83.8
$
60.3
$
52.4
$
9.3
$
138.1
$
97.1
$
84.5
$
15.5
$
221.9
$

2007
9.9
$
8.6
$
1.6
$
22.4
$
16.2
$
14.0
$
2.5
$
37.0
$
26.0
$
22.6
$
4.1
$
59.5
$
86.2
$
75.1
$
14.4
$
195.9
$
141.0
$
122.5
$
21.8
$
323.0
$
227.2
$
197.6
$
36.2
$
518.9
$

2008
16.2
$
14.1
$
2.7
$
36.7
$
26.4
$
23.0
$
4.1
$
60.6
$
42.6
$
37.0
$
6.8
$
97.3
$
141.0
$
122.8
$
23.5
$
320.5
$
230.7
$
200.5
$
35.7
$
528.5
$
371.6
$
323.3
$
59.2
$
848.9
$

2009
22.7
$
19.8
$
3.8
$
51.7
$
37.2
$
32.3
$
5.8
$
85.2
$
59.9
$
52.1
$
9.5
$
136.8
$
198.3
$
172.7
$
33.0
$
450.8
$
324.5
$
282.0
$
50.2
$
743.5
$
522.8
$
454.7
$
83.2
$
1,194.2
$

2010
29.4
$
25.6
$
4.9
$
66.8
$
48.1
$
41.8
$
7.4
$
110.2
$
77.5
$
67.4
$
12.3
$
177.1
$
256.6
$
223.5
$
42.7
$
583.4
$
420.0
$
365.0
$
65.0
$
962.2
$
676.6
$
588.5
$
107.7
$
1,545.5
$

2011
36.1
$
31.4
$
6.0
$
82.1
$
59.1
$
51.3
$
9.1
$
135.3
$
95.2
$
82.8
$
15.1
$
217.4
$
315.0
$
274.3
$
52.4
$
716.1
$
515.6
$
448.1
$
79.8
$
1,181.2
$
830.5
$
722.4
$
132.2
$
1,897.4
$

2012
39.1
$
34.1
$
6.5
$
89.0
$
64.1
$
55.7
$
9.9
$
146.8
$
103.2
$
89.8
$
16.4
$
235.9
$
341.6
$
297.5
$
56.7
$
776.9
$
559.3
$
486.1
$
86.6
$
1,281.5
$
901.0
$
783.7
$
143.3
$
2,058.3
$

2013
40.9
$
35.6
$
6.8
$
93.0
$
67.0
$
58.2
$
10.4
$
153.4
$
107.9
$
93.8
$
17.2
$
246.4
$
356.9
$
310.9
$
59.2
$
811.7
$
584.5
$
508.0
$
90.5
$
1,339.1
$
941.4
$
818.9
$
149.7
$
2,150.8
$

2014
42.0
$
36.6
$
7.0
$
95.5
$
68.8
$
59.8
$
10.6
$
157.6
$
110.8
$
96.3
$
17.6
$
253.1
$
366.5
$
319.2
$
60.8
$
833.5
$
600.2
$
521.6
$
92.9
$
1,375.0
$
966.6
$
840.8
$
153.7
$
2,208.5
$

2015
42.5
$
37.0
$
7.0
$
96.7
$
69.6
$
60.5
$
10.8
$
159.5
$
112.1
$
97.5
$
17.8
$
256.1
$
370.9
$
323.0
$
61.5
$
843.5
$
607.4
$
528.0
$
94.0
$
1,391.7
$
978.3
$
850.9
$
155.5
$
2,235.2
$

2016
42.7
$
37.2
$
7.1
$
97.1
$
69.9
$
60.8
$
10.8
$
160.2
$
112.6
$
97.9
$
17.9
$
257.2
$
372.4
$
324.3
$
61.7
$
847.1
$
610.1
$
530.3
$
94.5
$
1,397.7
$
982.5
$
854.6
$
156.1
$
2,244.9
$

2017
42.6
$
37.1
$
7.1
$
97.0
$
69.9
$
60.7
$
10.8
$
160.1
$
112.5
$
97.9
$
17.9
$
257.1
$
372.2
$
324.1
$
61.6
$
846.6
$
609.7
$
530.0
$
94.4
$
1,397.0
$
981.9
$
854.1
$
156.0
$
2,243.6
$

2018
42.5
$
37.0
$
7.0
$
96.6
$
69.6
$
60.5
$
10.8
$
159.4
$
112.1
$
97.5
$
17.8
$
256.1
$
370.7
$
322.8
$
61.3
$
843.3
$
607.4
$
527.9
$
94.0
$
1,391.5
$
978.0
$
850.7
$
155.3
$
2,234.8
$

2019
42.2
$
36.7
$
7.0
$
96.0
$
69.2
$
60.1
$
10.7
$
158.4
$
111.3
$
96.9
$
17.7
$
254.4
$
368.3
$
320.7
$
60.9
$
837.8
$
603.5
$
524.6
$
93.4
$
1,382.7
$
971.8
$
845.2
$
154.3
$
2,220.5
$

2020
41.8
$
36.4
$
6.9
$
95.2
$
68.6
$
59.6
$
10.6
$
157.1
$
110.4
$
96.1
$
17.5
$
252.3
$
365.2
$
318.0
$
60.3
$
830.9
$
598.6
$
520.3
$
92.7
$
1,371.4
$
963.8
$
838.3
$
153.0
$
2,202.3
$

2021
41.4
$
36.1
$
6.8
$
94.3
$
67.9
$
59.0
$
10.5
$
155.6
$
109.4
$
95.1
$
17.4
$
249.9
$
361.6
$
314.9
$
59.7
$
822.9
$
592.8
$
515.3
$
91.8
$
1,358.2
$
954.4
$
830.2
$
151.5
$
2,181.1
$

2022
41.0
$
35.7
$
6.8
$
93.3
$
67.2
$
58.4
$
10.4
$
153.9
$
108.2
$
94.1
$
17.2
$
247.2
$
357.7
$
311.5
$
59.0
$
814.0
$
586.4
$
509.7
$
90.8
$
1,343.5
$
944.1
$
821.1
$
149.8
$
2,157.5
$

2023
40.5
$
35.3
$
6.7
$
92.2
$
66.4
$
57.7
$
10.3
$
152.1
$
106.9
$
93.0
$
17.0
$
244.3
$
353.4
$
307.8
$
58.3
$
804.4
$
579.5
$
503.7
$
89.7
$
1,327.8
$
933.0
$
811.5
$
148.0
$
2,132.2
$

2024
40.0
$
34.8
$
6.6
$
91.0
$
65.6
$
57.0
$
10.2
$
150.2
$
105.6
$
91.8
$
16.7
$
241.3
$
349.0
$
303.9
$
57.5
$
794.3
$
572.3
$
497.4
$
88.6
$
1,311.2
$
921.3
$
801.3
$
146.1
$
2,105.5
$

2025
39.5
$
34.4
$
6.5
$
89.8
$
64.7
$
56.2
$
10.0
$
148.3
$
104.2
$
90.6
$
16.5
$
238.1
$
344.3
$
299.8
$
56.7
$
783.8
$
564.7
$
490.8
$
87.4
$
1,293.9
$
909.1
$
790.7
$
144.1
$
2,077.7
$

2026
38.9
$
33.9
$
6.4
$
88.6
$
63.8
$
55.5
$
9.9
$
146.2
$
102.7
$
89.3
$
16.3
$
234.8
$
339.6
$
295.6
$
55.9
$
773.0
$
557.0
$
484.1
$
86.2
$
1,276.2
$
896.6
$
779.8
$
142.1
$
2,049.1
$

2027
38.4
$
33.4
$
6.3
$
87.3
$
62.9
$
54.7
$
9.7
$
144.1
$
101.3
$
88.1
$
16.0
$
231.5
$
334.7
$
291.4
$
55.0
$
762.0
$
549.1
$
477.2
$
85.0
$
1,258.0
$
883.8
$
768.6
$
140.1
$
2,020.0
$

Total
774.5
$
674.4
$
128.1
$
1,761.8
$
1,268.9
$
1,102.9
$
196.5
$
2,907.3
$
2,043.4
$
1,777.3
$
324.6
$
4,669.1
$
6,758.9
$
5,885.7
$
1,118.1
$
15,376.0
$
11,074.4
$
9,625.5
$
1,714.6
$
25,372.9
$
17,833.3
$
15,511.2
$
2,832.7
$
40,748.9
$

Ann.
44.5
$
38.7
$
7.4
$
101.2
$
72.9
$
63.3
$
11.3
$
167.0
$
117.3
$
102.1
$
18.6
$
268.1
$
388.1
$
338.0
$
64.2
$
883.0
$
636.0
$
552.8
$
98.5
$
1,457.1
$
1,024.1
$
890.8
$
162.7
$
2,340.1
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
6c.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
6d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
1
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
3.8
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.6
$
6.2
$
5.4
$
1.0
$
14.1
$
9.9
$
8.6
$
1.6
$
22.7
$
32.9
$
28.6
$
5.5
$
74.7
$
53.8
$
46.7
$
8.3
$
123.2
$
86.7
$
75.4
$
13.8
$
197.9
$

2007
8.5
$
7.4
$
1.4
$
19.3
$
13.9
$
12.1
$
2.1
$
31.8
$
22.4
$
19.4
$
3.6
$
51.1
$
74.0
$
64.5
$
12.3
$
168.2
$
121.1
$
105.2
$
18.7
$
277.4
$
195.1
$
169.7
$
31.1
$
445.6
$

2008
13.4
$
11.6
$
2.2
$
30.3
$
21.8
$
19.0
$
3.4
$
50.1
$
35.2
$
30.6
$
5.6
$
80.4
$
116.5
$
101.5
$
19.4
$
264.9
$
190.7
$
165.7
$
29.5
$
436.8
$
307.2
$
267.2
$
48.9
$
701.7
$

2009
18.1
$
15.7
$
3.0
$
41.1
$
29.6
$
25.7
$
4.6
$
67.8
$
47.7
$
41.5
$
7.6
$
108.9
$
157.8
$
137.4
$
26.3
$
358.7
$
258.2
$
224.4
$
40.0
$
591.5
$
416.0
$
361.8
$
66.2
$
950.2
$

2010
22.5
$
19.6
$
3.7
$
51.2
$
36.9
$
32.0
$
5.7
$
84.4
$
59.4
$
51.6
$
9.5
$
135.6
$
196.5
$
171.2
$
32.7
$
446.8
$
321.7
$
279.6
$
49.8
$
736.9
$
518.2
$
450.7
$
82.5
$
1,183.7
$

2011
26.6
$
23.2
$
4.4
$
60.5
$
43.6
$
37.9
$
6.7
$
99.8
$
70.2
$
61.0
$
11.2
$
160.3
$
232.2
$
202.2
$
38.6
$
528.0
$
380.1
$
330.4
$
58.8
$
870.9
$
612.3
$
532.6
$
97.4
$
1,398.9
$

2012
27.8
$
24.2
$
4.6
$
63.2
$
45.5
$
39.5
$
7.0
$
104.2
$
73.3
$
63.7
$
11.7
$
167.4
$
242.5
$
211.2
$
40.3
$
551.3
$
397.0
$
345.0
$
61.5
$
909.5
$
639.4
$
556.2
$
101.7
$
1,460.8
$

2013
27.9
$
24.3
$
4.6
$
63.5
$
45.8
$
39.8
$
7.1
$
104.8
$
73.7
$
64.1
$
11.7
$
168.4
$
243.9
$
212.4
$
40.5
$
554.6
$
399.3
$
347.1
$
61.8
$
914.8
$
643.2
$
559.4
$
102.3
$
1,469.4
$

2014
27.6
$
24.0
$
4.6
$
62.8
$
45.2
$
39.3
$
7.0
$
103.6
$
72.8
$
63.4
$
11.6
$
166.4
$
241.0
$
209.9
$
40.0
$
548.1
$
394.7
$
343.1
$
61.1
$
904.3
$
635.7
$
552.9
$
101.1
$
1,452.4
$

2015
26.9
$
23.4
$
4.5
$
61.2
$
44.1
$
38.3
$
6.8
$
100.9
$
71.0
$
61.7
$
11.3
$
162.1
$
234.8
$
204.5
$
38.9
$
534.0
$
384.5
$
334.2
$
59.5
$
881.0
$
619.3
$
538.7
$
98.4
$
1,415.0
$

2016
26.0
$
22.6
$
4.3
$
59.2
$
42.6
$
37.0
$
6.6
$
97.6
$
68.6
$
59.7
$
10.9
$
156.8
$
227.0
$
197.6
$
37.6
$
516.2
$
371.8
$
323.1
$
57.6
$
851.8
$
598.7
$
520.8
$
95.1
$
1,368.0
$

2017
25.0
$
21.8
$
4.1
$
56.9
$
41.0
$
35.6
$
6.3
$
93.9
$
66.0
$
57.4
$
10.5
$
150.8
$
218.3
$
190.1
$
36.1
$
496.6
$
357.7
$
310.9
$
55.4
$
819.5
$
576.0
$
501.0
$
91.5
$
1,316.1
$

2018
24.0
$
20.9
$
4.0
$
54.6
$
39.3
$
34.2
$
6.1
$
90.0
$
63.3
$
55.0
$
10.1
$
144.6
$
209.3
$
182.3
$
34.6
$
476.2
$
343.0
$
298.1
$
53.1
$
785.8
$
552.3
$
480.4
$
87.7
$
1,261.9
$

2019
22.9
$
20.0
$
3.8
$
52.2
$
37.6
$
32.7
$
5.8
$
86.1
$
60.5
$
52.6
$
9.6
$
138.3
$
200.2
$
174.3
$
33.1
$
455.4
$
328.0
$
285.1
$
50.8
$
751.6
$
528.2
$
459.5
$
83.9
$
1,207.0
$

2020
21.9
$
19.1
$
3.6
$
49.8
$
35.9
$
31.2
$
5.6
$
82.2
$
57.8
$
50.3
$
9.2
$
132.0
$
191.1
$
166.4
$
31.6
$
434.8
$
313.2
$
272.2
$
48.5
$
717.6
$
504.3
$
438.6
$
80.1
$
1,152.4
$

2021
20.9
$
18.2
$
3.4
$
47.5
$
34.2
$
29.7
$
5.3
$
78.4
$
55.1
$
47.9
$
8.7
$
125.9
$
182.1
$
158.6
$
30.1
$
414.5
$
298.6
$
259.5
$
46.2
$
684.1
$
480.7
$
418.1
$
76.3
$
1,098.6
$

2022
19.9
$
17.3
$
3.3
$
45.2
$
32.6
$
28.3
$
5.0
$
74.6
$
52.5
$
45.6
$
8.3
$
119.9
$
173.4
$
151.0
$
28.6
$
394.7
$
284.3
$
247.1
$
44.0
$
651.4
$
457.8
$
398.1
$
72.6
$
1,046.1
$

2023
18.9
$
16.5
$
3.1
$
43.0
$
31.0
$
26.9
$
4.8
$
71.0
$
49.9
$
43.4
$
7.9
$
114.0
$
165.0
$
143.6
$
27.2
$
375.4
$
270.5
$
235.1
$
41.9
$
619.7
$
435.4
$
378.7
$
69.1
$
995.2
$

2024
18.0
$
15.6
$
3.0
$
40.9
$
29.5
$
25.6
$
4.6
$
67.5
$
47.4
$
41.2
$
7.5
$
108.4
$
156.8
$
136.5
$
25.8
$
356.9
$
257.1
$
223.5
$
39.8
$
589.1
$
413.9
$
360.0
$
65.6
$
946.0
$

2025
17.1
$
14.9
$
2.8
$
38.8
$
28.0
$
24.3
$
4.3
$
64.1
$
45.1
$
39.2
$
7.1
$
103.0
$
148.9
$
129.7
$
24.5
$
339.0
$
244.2
$
212.3
$
37.8
$
559.6
$
393.2
$
342.0
$
62.3
$
898.6
$

2026
16.2
$
14.1
$
2.7
$
36.9
$
26.6
$
23.1
$
4.1
$
60.9
$
42.8
$
37.2
$
6.8
$
97.8
$
141.4
$
123.1
$
23.3
$
321.8
$
231.9
$
201.5
$
35.9
$
531.3
$
373.3
$
324.6
$
59.2
$
853.1
$

2027
15.4
$
13.4
$
2.5
$
35.0
$
25.2
$
21.9
$
3.9
$
57.8
$
40.6
$
35.3
$
6.4
$
92.8
$
134.1
$
116.8
$
22.1
$
305.4
$
220.0
$
191.3
$
34.1
$
504.2
$
354.2
$
308.0
$
56.1
$
809.5
$

Total
449.1
$
391.1
$
74.4
$
1,021.6
$
735.8
$
639.5
$
113.9
$
1,685.7
$
1,184.9
$
1,030.6
$
188.3
$
2,707.4
$
3,919.6
$
3,413.3
$
648.9
$
8,916.1
$
6,421.3
$
5,581.2
$
994.2
$
14,711.9
$
10,340.9
$
8,994.5
$
1,643.1
$
23,628.0
$

Ann.
38.5
$
33.6
$
6.4
$
87.7
$
63.1
$
54.9
$
9.8
$
144.7
$
101.7
$
88.4
$
16.2
$
232.3
$
336.3
$
292.9
$
55.7
$
765.1
$
551.0
$
478.9
$
85.3
$
1,262.4
$
887.4
$
771.8
$
141.0
$
2,027.5
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
6c.
Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Exhibit
F.
6e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
(
All
Water
Systems)

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
1
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
1.8
$
1.1
$
4.2
$
3.5
$
11.1
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.5
$
3.1
$
15.5
$
9.6
$
36.5
$
30.2
$
97.1
$

2007
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.8
$
4.2
$
2.6
$
9.8
$
8.1
$
26.0
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.8
$
3.4
$
7.3
$
36.3
$
22.5
$
85.3
$
70.6
$
227.2
$

2008
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.4
$
6.8
$
4.2
$
16.0
$
13.2
$
42.6
$
0.2
$
1.2
$
1.4
$
5.6
$
12.0
$
59.4
$
36.9
$
139.5
$
115.5
$
371.6
$

2009
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
1.9
$
9.6
$
5.9
$
22.5
$
18.6
$
59.9
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
1.9
$
7.9
$
16.9
$
83.6
$
51.8
$
196.3
$
162.5
$
522.8
$

2010
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.5
$
12.4
$
7.7
$
29.1
$
24.1
$
77.5
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.5
$
10.2
$
21.9
$
108.2
$
67.1
$
254.0
$
210.3
$
676.6
$

2011
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.4
$
3.1
$
15.2
$
9.4
$
35.7
$
29.6
$
95.2
$
0.4
$
2.6
$
3.1
$
12.5
$
26.8
$
132.8
$
82.4
$
311.9
$
258.2
$
830.5
$

2012
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.7
$
3.6
$
16.4
$
10.2
$
38.6
$
31.9
$
103.2
$
0.5
$
3.0
$
3.6
$
14.8
$
31.8
$
143.3
$
88.9
$
336.5
$
278.6
$
901.0
$

2013
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
4.2
$
17.0
$
10.6
$
40.0
$
33.1
$
107.9
$
0.5
$
3.5
$
4.2
$
17.0
$
36.6
$
148.8
$
92.3
$
349.3
$
289.2
$
941.4
$

2014
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
2.2
$
4.7
$
17.4
$
10.8
$
40.8
$
33.8
$
110.8
$
0.6
$
4.0
$
4.7
$
19.2
$
41.4
$
151.7
$
94.1
$
356.1
$
294.8
$
966.6
$

2015
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
5.0
$
17.5
$
10.9
$
41.2
$
34.1
$
112.1
$
0.6
$
4.2
$
5.0
$
20.2
$
43.4
$
153.1
$
94.9
$
359.4
$
297.5
$
978.3
$

2016
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.4
$
5.1
$
17.6
$
10.9
$
41.3
$
34.2
$
112.6
$
0.6
$
4.3
$
5.1
$
20.6
$
44.4
$
153.5
$
95.2
$
360.4
$
298.4
$
982.5
$

2017
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.4
$
5.1
$
17.6
$
10.9
$
41.2
$
34.1
$
112.5
$
0.6
$
4.3
$
5.1
$
20.8
$
44.8
$
153.3
$
95.1
$
359.9
$
297.9
$
981.9
$

2018
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.4
$
5.2
$
17.5
$
10.8
$
41.1
$
34.0
$
112.1
$
0.6
$
4.3
$
5.2
$
20.9
$
45.0
$
152.6
$
94.6
$
358.3
$
296.6
$
978.0
$

2019
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.4
$
5.1
$
17.4
$
10.8
$
40.8
$
33.8
$
111.3
$
0.6
$
4.3
$
5.1
$
20.9
$
44.9
$
151.5
$
94.0
$
355.8
$
294.6
$
971.8
$

2020
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.4
$
5.1
$
17.2
$
10.7
$
40.4
$
33.5
$
110.4
$
0.6
$
4.3
$
5.1
$
20.8
$
44.7
$
150.2
$
93.2
$
352.8
$
292.1
$
963.8
$

2021
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.4
$
5.1
$
17.0
$
10.6
$
40.0
$
33.1
$
109.4
$
0.6
$
4.3
$
5.1
$
20.6
$
44.4
$
148.7
$
92.2
$
349.3
$
289.2
$
954.4
$

2022
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
5.0
$
16.9
$
10.5
$
39.6
$
32.8
$
108.2
$
0.6
$
4.2
$
5.0
$
20.4
$
44.0
$
147.1
$
91.2
$
345.5
$
286.0
$
944.1
$

2023
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
5.0
$
16.7
$
10.3
$
39.1
$
32.4
$
106.9
$
0.6
$
4.2
$
5.0
$
20.2
$
43.5
$
145.4
$
90.1
$
341.3
$
282.6
$
933.0
$

2024
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
4.9
$
16.4
$
10.2
$
38.6
$
32.0
$
105.6
$
0.6
$
4.1
$
4.9
$
20.0
$
43.0
$
143.5
$
89.0
$
337.0
$
279.0
$
921.3
$

2025
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
4.9
$
16.2
$
10.1
$
38.1
$
31.5
$
104.2
$
0.6
$
4.1
$
4.9
$
19.8
$
42.5
$
141.6
$
87.8
$
332.5
$
275.3
$
909.1
$

2026
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.2
$
4.8
$
16.0
$
9.9
$
37.6
$
31.1
$
102.7
$
0.6
$
4.0
$
4.8
$
19.5
$
42.0
$
139.6
$
86.6
$
327.9
$
271.5
$
896.6
$

2027
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
2.2
$
4.7
$
15.8
$
9.8
$
37.0
$
30.7
$
101.3
$
0.6
$
4.0
$
4.7
$
19.3
$
41.4
$
137.6
$
85.4
$
323.2
$
267.6
$
883.8
$

Total
1.3
$
8.4
$
10.1
$
40.8
$
87.8
$
320.5
$
198.8
$
752.7
$
623.1
$
2,043.4
$
11.1
$
73.5
$
87.8
$
356.0
$
765.8
$
2,797.3
$
1,734.9
$
6,569.0
$
5,438.0
$
17,833.3
$

Ann.
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
5.0
$
18.4
$
11.4
$
43.2
$
35.8
$
117.3
$
0.6
$
4.2
$
5.0
$
20.4
$
44.0
$
160.6
$
99.6
$
377.2
$
312.3
$
1,024.1
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
6a
and
F.
6b.
Exhibit
F.
6f
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
1
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
1.6
$
1.0
$
3.7
$
3.1
$
9.9
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
2.8
$
13.9
$
8.6
$
32.5
$
26.9
$
86.7
$

2007
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
3.6
$
2.2
$
8.4
$
6.9
$
22.4
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.7
$
2.9
$
6.3
$
31.2
$
19.3
$
73.2
$
60.6
$
195.1
$

2008
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.1
$
5.6
$
3.5
$
13.2
$
10.9
$
35.2
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
1.1
$
4.6
$
9.9
$
49.1
$
30.5
$
115.3
$
95.5
$
307.2
$

2009
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.5
$
7.6
$
4.7
$
17.9
$
14.8
$
47.7
$
0.2
$
1.3
$
1.5
$
6.2
$
13.4
$
66.5
$
41.2
$
156.2
$
129.3
$
416.0
$

2010
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
1.9
$
9.5
$
5.9
$
22.3
$
18.5
$
59.4
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
1.9
$
7.8
$
16.7
$
82.9
$
51.4
$
194.6
$
161.1
$
518.2
$

2011
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.3
$
11.2
$
7.0
$
26.3
$
21.8
$
70.2
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.3
$
9.2
$
19.8
$
97.9
$
60.7
$
229.9
$
190.3
$
612.3
$

2012
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.6
$
11.7
$
7.2
$
27.4
$
22.7
$
73.3
$
0.3
$
2.2
$
2.6
$
10.5
$
22.5
$
101.7
$
63.1
$
238.8
$
197.7
$
639.4
$

2013
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
2.9
$
11.6
$
7.2
$
27.3
$
22.6
$
73.7
$
0.4
$
2.4
$
2.9
$
11.6
$
25.0
$
101.6
$
63.0
$
238.7
$
197.6
$
643.2
$

2014
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.5
$
3.1
$
11.4
$
7.1
$
26.8
$
22.2
$
72.8
$
0.4
$
2.6
$
3.1
$
12.7
$
27.2
$
99.7
$
61.9
$
234.2
$
193.9
$
635.7
$

2015
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.5
$
3.1
$
11.1
$
6.9
$
26.1
$
21.6
$
71.0
$
0.4
$
2.6
$
3.1
$
12.8
$
27.5
$
96.9
$
60.1
$
227.5
$
188.4
$
619.3
$

2016
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.4
$
3.1
$
10.7
$
6.6
$
25.2
$
20.8
$
68.6
$
0.4
$
2.6
$
3.1
$
12.6
$
27.0
$
93.5
$
58.0
$
219.7
$
181.8
$
598.7
$

2017
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.4
$
3.0
$
10.3
$
6.4
$
24.2
$
20.0
$
66.0
$
0.4
$
2.5
$
3.0
$
12.2
$
26.3
$
89.9
$
55.8
$
211.1
$
174.8
$
576.0
$

2018
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.4
$
2.9
$
9.9
$
6.1
$
23.2
$
19.2
$
63.3
$
0.4
$
2.4
$
2.9
$
11.8
$
25.4
$
86.1
$
53.4
$
202.3
$
167.5
$
552.3
$

2019
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
2.8
$
9.4
$
5.9
$
22.2
$
18.3
$
60.5
$
0.4
$
2.3
$
2.8
$
11.3
$
24.4
$
82.4
$
51.1
$
193.4
$
160.1
$
528.2
$

2020
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.7
$
9.0
$
5.6
$
21.2
$
17.5
$
57.8
$
0.3
$
2.2
$
2.7
$
10.9
$
23.4
$
78.6
$
48.8
$
184.6
$
152.8
$
504.3
$

2021
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.6
$
8.6
$
5.3
$
20.2
$
16.7
$
55.1
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.6
$
10.4
$
22.3
$
74.9
$
46.5
$
175.9
$
145.6
$
480.7
$

2022
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
8.2
$
5.1
$
19.2
$
15.9
$
52.5
$
0.3
$
2.0
$
2.4
$
9.9
$
21.3
$
71.3
$
44.2
$
167.5
$
138.7
$
457.8
$

2023
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.3
$
7.8
$
4.8
$
18.3
$
15.1
$
49.9
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.3
$
9.4
$
20.3
$
67.8
$
42.1
$
159.3
$
131.9
$
435.4
$

2024
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.0
$
2.2
$
7.4
$
4.6
$
17.3
$
14.4
$
47.4
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.2
$
9.0
$
19.3
$
64.5
$
40.0
$
151.4
$
125.3
$
413.9
$

2025
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.1
$
7.0
$
4.4
$
16.5
$
13.6
$
45.1
$
0.3
$
1.8
$
2.1
$
8.5
$
18.4
$
61.2
$
38.0
$
143.8
$
119.1
$
393.2
$

2026
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.0
$
6.7
$
4.1
$
15.6
$
12.9
$
42.8
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.0
$
8.1
$
17.5
$
58.1
$
36.1
$
136.5
$
113.0
$
373.3
$

2027
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
1.9
$
6.3
$
3.9
$
14.8
$
12.3
$
40.6
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
1.9
$
7.7
$
16.6
$
55.2
$
34.2
$
129.5
$
107.2
$
354.2
$

Total
0.7
$
4.8
$
5.7
$
23.1
$
49.7
$
186.2
$
115.5
$
437.3
$
362.0
$
1,184.9
$
6.3
$
41.6
$
49.7
$
201.5
$
433.6
$
1,625.0
$
1,007.8
$
3,816.2
$
3,159.1
$
10,340.9
$

Ann.
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
4.3
$
16.0
$
9.9
$
37.5
$
31.1
$
101.7
$
0.5
$
3.6
$
4.3
$
17.3
$
37.2
$
139.4
$
86.5
$
327.5
$
271.1
$
887.4
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
6a
and
F.
6b.
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
6g
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
F.
7
Model
Outputs
­
Alternative
1
TTHM
as
Indicator
Bronchitis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
1
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
4.2
$
3.7
$
0.7
$
9.6
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.6
$
2.2
$
5.5
$
4.8
$
1.3
$
11.9
$
37.0
$
32.2
$
6.2
$
84.1
$
10.6
$
9.8
$
4.8
$
19.5
$
47.7
$
42.0
$
11.0
$
103.6
$

2007
10.2
$
8.9
$
1.7
$
23.2
$
2.9
$
2.7
$
1.3
$
5.4
$
13.1
$
11.6
$
3.0
$
28.6
$
89.1
$
77.6
$
14.9
$
202.6
$
25.6
$
23.5
$
11.6
$
46.8
$
114.7
$
101.2
$
26.4
$
249.4
$

2008
17.2
$
15.0
$
2.9
$
39.1
$
4.9
$
4.5
$
2.2
$
9.0
$
22.1
$
19.5
$
5.1
$
48.1
$
150.2
$
130.8
$
25.0
$
341.3
$
43.1
$
39.6
$
19.4
$
78.7
$
193.2
$
170.4
$
44.5
$
420.1
$

2009
24.9
$
21.7
$
4.1
$
56.7
$
7.1
$
6.6
$
3.2
$
13.0
$
32.1
$
28.3
$
7.4
$
69.7
$
217.6
$
189.5
$
36.2
$
494.6
$
62.3
$
57.4
$
28.1
$
113.8
$
279.9
$
246.8
$
64.3
$
608.4
$

2010
33.2
$
28.9
$
5.5
$
75.5
$
9.5
$
8.8
$
4.3
$
17.4
$
42.7
$
37.7
$
9.8
$
92.9
$
290.0
$
252.5
$
48.2
$
659.2
$
82.9
$
76.4
$
37.4
$
151.5
$
372.9
$
328.9
$
85.6
$
810.7
$

2011
42.0
$
36.6
$
7.0
$
95.5
$
12.0
$
11.0
$
5.4
$
21.9
$
54.0
$
47.6
$
12.4
$
117.5
$
366.6
$
319.3
$
60.9
$
833.6
$
104.7
$
96.4
$
47.2
$
191.5
$
471.3
$
415.7
$
108.1
$
1,025.1
$

2012
46.8
$
40.8
$
7.8
$
106.5
$
13.4
$
12.3
$
6.0
$
24.5
$
60.2
$
53.1
$
13.8
$
131.0
$
408.8
$
356.0
$
67.9
$
929.6
$
116.5
$
107.4
$
52.5
$
213.4
$
525.3
$
463.4
$
120.4
$
1,143.0
$

2013
50.3
$
43.8
$
8.3
$
114.4
$
14.3
$
13.2
$
6.4
$
26.2
$
64.6
$
57.0
$
14.8
$
140.6
$
438.9
$
382.2
$
72.8
$
998.0
$
124.9
$
115.1
$
56.3
$
228.7
$
563.8
$
497.3
$
129.1
$
1,226.7
$

2014
53.0
$
46.2
$
8.8
$
120.6
$
15.1
$
13.9
$
6.8
$
27.6
$
68.1
$
60.1
$
15.6
$
148.2
$
462.9
$
403.1
$
76.8
$
1,052.8
$
131.5
$
121.3
$
59.3
$
240.8
$
594.5
$
524.4
$
136.1
$
1,293.6
$

2015
55.2
$
48.1
$
9.2
$
125.6
$
15.7
$
14.4
$
7.1
$
28.7
$
70.9
$
62.5
$
16.2
$
154.3
$
482.0
$
419.8
$
79.9
$
1,096.3
$
136.8
$
126.1
$
61.6
$
250.5
$
618.8
$
545.9
$
141.4
$
1,346.8
$

2016
57.1
$
49.7
$
9.5
$
129.9
$
16.2
$
14.9
$
7.3
$
29.6
$
73.3
$
64.6
$
16.7
$
159.5
$
498.3
$
433.9
$
82.5
$
1,133.5
$
141.1
$
130.2
$
63.5
$
258.5
$
639.4
$
564.1
$
146.0
$
1,391.9
$

2017
58.8
$
51.2
$
9.7
$
133.6
$
16.6
$
15.3
$
7.5
$
30.4
$
75.4
$
66.5
$
17.2
$
164.1
$
512.7
$
446.5
$
84.9
$
1,166.4
$
145.0
$
133.7
$
65.2
$
265.6
$
657.7
$
580.2
$
150.1
$
1,432.0
$

2018
60.3
$
52.5
$
10.0
$
137.1
$
17.0
$
15.7
$
7.7
$
31.2
$
77.3
$
68.2
$
17.6
$
168.3
$
525.9
$
457.9
$
87.0
$
1,196.3
$
148.5
$
137.0
$
66.8
$
272.1
$
674.3
$
594.9
$
153.7
$
1,468.5
$

2019
61.7
$
53.7
$
10.2
$
140.3
$
17.4
$
16.0
$
7.8
$
31.9
$
79.0
$
69.7
$
18.0
$
172.1
$
538.0
$
468.5
$
88.9
$
1,224.2
$
151.6
$
139.9
$
68.2
$
278.0
$
689.7
$
608.4
$
157.1
$
1,502.2
$

2020
63.0
$
54.8
$
10.4
$
143.3
$
17.7
$
16.3
$
8.0
$
32.5
$
80.7
$
71.2
$
18.4
$
175.8
$
549.5
$
478.5
$
90.8
$
1,250.4
$
154.6
$
142.5
$
69.5
$
283.8
$
704.1
$
621.1
$
160.3
$
1,534.2
$

2021
64.2
$
55.9
$
10.6
$
146.1
$
18.0
$
16.6
$
8.1
$
33.1
$
82.3
$
72.5
$
18.7
$
179.2
$
560.4
$
488.0
$
92.5
$
1,275.3
$
157.4
$
145.1
$
70.8
$
289.0
$
717.8
$
633.1
$
163.3
$
1,564.3
$

2022
65.4
$
57.0
$
10.8
$
148.9
$
18.3
$
16.9
$
8.2
$
33.7
$
83.8
$
73.9
$
19.0
$
182.6
$
570.9
$
497.1
$
94.2
$
1,299.2
$
160.1
$
147.5
$
72.0
$
294.1
$
731.0
$
644.6
$
166.2
$
1,593.3
$

2023
66.6
$
58.0
$
11.0
$
151.5
$
18.6
$
17.2
$
8.4
$
34.3
$
85.2
$
75.1
$
19.4
$
185.8
$
581.0
$
505.9
$
95.8
$
1,322.4
$
162.6
$
149.9
$
73.1
$
299.0
$
743.6
$
655.8
$
168.9
$
1,621.3
$

2024
67.7
$
59.0
$
11.2
$
154.1
$
18.9
$
17.4
$
8.5
$
34.8
$
86.6
$
76.4
$
19.7
$
188.9
$
590.9
$
514.5
$
97.3
$
1,344.9
$
165.1
$
152.2
$
74.2
$
303.5
$
755.9
$
666.7
$
171.5
$
1,648.3
$

2025
68.8
$
59.9
$
11.3
$
156.6
$
19.2
$
17.7
$
8.6
$
35.3
$
88.0
$
77.6
$
20.0
$
191.9
$
600.5
$
522.8
$
98.9
$
1,366.8
$
167.4
$
154.4
$
75.4
$
307.8
$
767.9
$
677.2
$
174.2
$
1,674.6
$

2026
69.9
$
60.8
$
11.5
$
159.1
$
19.5
$
17.9
$
8.8
$
35.8
$
89.3
$
78.8
$
20.3
$
194.8
$
609.9
$
531.0
$
100.4
$
1,388.4
$
169.8
$
156.6
$
76.4
$
312.1
$
779.7
$
687.6
$
176.8
$
1,700.5
$

2027
71.0
$
61.8
$
11.7
$
161.5
$
19.7
$
18.2
$
8.9
$
36.2
$
90.7
$
80.0
$
20.5
$
197.8
$
619.2
$
539.1
$
101.8
$
1,409.6
$
172.0
$
158.8
$
77.4
$
316.4
$
791.2
$
697.9
$
179.2
$
1,726.0
$

Total
1,111.5
$
967.9
$
183.8
$
2,528.8
$
313.3
$
288.8
$
141.0
$
574.7
$
1,424.8
$
1,256.7
$
324.8
$
3,103.4
$
9,700.4
$
8,447.1
$
1,603.7
$
22,069.4
$
2,734.2
$
2,520.6
$
1,230.5
$
5,015.2
$
12,434.6
$
10,967.7
$
2,834.2
$
27,084.6
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
19b,
and
E.
19e.
Exhibit
F.
7a
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
All
Surface
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
1
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.4
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
3.3
$
2.8
$
0.5
$
7.4
$
0.9
$
0.9
$
0.4
$
1.7
$
4.2
$
3.7
$
1.0
$
9.1
$

2007
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.1
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.3
$
2.5
$
7.9
$
6.9
$
1.3
$
17.9
$
2.3
$
2.1
$
1.0
$
4.1
$
10.1
$
8.9
$
2.3
$
22.0
$

2008
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.5
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.4
$
4.3
$
13.3
$
11.6
$
2.2
$
30.1
$
3.8
$
3.5
$
1.7
$
7.0
$
17.1
$
15.1
$
3.9
$
37.1
$

2009
2.2
$
1.9
$
0.4
$
5.0
$
0.6
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.8
$
2.5
$
0.7
$
6.2
$
19.2
$
16.7
$
3.2
$
43.7
$
5.5
$
5.1
$
2.5
$
10.1
$
24.7
$
21.8
$
5.7
$
53.7
$

2010
2.9
$
2.6
$
0.5
$
6.7
$
0.8
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.5
$
3.8
$
3.3
$
0.9
$
8.2
$
25.6
$
22.3
$
4.3
$
58.2
$
7.3
$
6.7
$
3.3
$
13.4
$
32.9
$
29.1
$
7.6
$
71.6
$

2011
3.7
$
3.2
$
0.6
$
8.4
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.5
$
1.9
$
4.8
$
4.2
$
1.1
$
10.4
$
32.4
$
28.2
$
5.4
$
73.6
$
9.2
$
8.5
$
4.2
$
16.9
$
41.6
$
36.7
$
9.6
$
90.5
$

2012
4.2
$
3.7
$
0.7
$
9.6
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.5
$
2.2
$
5.4
$
4.8
$
1.2
$
11.8
$
37.0
$
32.2
$
6.1
$
84.1
$
10.5
$
9.7
$
4.7
$
19.3
$
47.5
$
41.9
$
10.9
$
103.4
$

2013
4.7
$
4.1
$
0.8
$
10.6
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.6
$
2.4
$
6.0
$
5.3
$
1.4
$
13.1
$
40.8
$
35.6
$
6.8
$
92.9
$
11.6
$
10.7
$
5.2
$
21.3
$
52.5
$
46.3
$
12.0
$
114.1
$

2014
5.1
$
4.4
$
0.8
$
11.6
$
1.4
$
1.3
$
0.7
$
2.6
$
6.5
$
5.8
$
1.5
$
14.2
$
44.4
$
38.6
$
7.4
$
100.9
$
12.6
$
11.6
$
5.7
$
23.1
$
57.0
$
50.3
$
13.0
$
124.0
$

2015
5.4
$
4.7
$
0.9
$
12.2
$
1.5
$
1.4
$
0.7
$
2.8
$
6.9
$
6.1
$
1.6
$
15.0
$
46.7
$
40.7
$
7.7
$
106.3
$
13.3
$
12.2
$
6.0
$
24.3
$
60.0
$
52.9
$
13.7
$
130.6
$

2016
5.6
$
4.9
$
0.9
$
12.7
$
1.6
$
1.5
$
0.7
$
2.9
$
7.1
$
6.3
$
1.6
$
15.6
$
48.6
$
42.3
$
8.1
$
110.6
$
13.8
$
12.7
$
6.2
$
25.2
$
62.4
$
55.0
$
14.2
$
135.8
$

2017
5.8
$
5.0
$
1.0
$
13.1
$
1.6
$
1.5
$
0.7
$
3.0
$
7.4
$
6.5
$
1.7
$
16.1
$
50.2
$
43.7
$
8.3
$
114.2
$
14.2
$
13.1
$
6.4
$
26.0
$
64.4
$
56.8
$
14.7
$
140.2
$

2018
5.9
$
5.2
$
1.0
$
13.5
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.8
$
3.1
$
7.6
$
6.7
$
1.7
$
16.5
$
51.6
$
44.9
$
8.5
$
117.4
$
14.6
$
13.4
$
6.6
$
26.7
$
66.2
$
58.4
$
15.1
$
144.1
$

2019
6.1
$
5.3
$
1.0
$
13.8
$
1.7
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.1
$
7.8
$
6.9
$
1.8
$
16.9
$
52.9
$
46.1
$
8.7
$
120.3
$
14.9
$
13.8
$
6.7
$
27.3
$
67.8
$
59.8
$
15.4
$
147.7
$

2020
6.2
$
5.4
$
1.0
$
14.1
$
1.7
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.2
$
7.9
$
7.0
$
1.8
$
17.3
$
54.1
$
47.1
$
8.9
$
123.1
$
15.2
$
14.0
$
6.8
$
27.9
$
69.3
$
61.1
$
15.8
$
151.0
$

2021
6.3
$
5.5
$
1.0
$
14.4
$
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.3
$
8.1
$
7.1
$
1.8
$
17.7
$
55.2
$
48.1
$
9.1
$
125.6
$
15.5
$
14.3
$
7.0
$
28.5
$
70.7
$
62.4
$
16.1
$
154.1
$

2022
6.4
$
5.6
$
1.1
$
14.7
$
1.8
$
1.7
$
0.8
$
3.3
$
8.3
$
7.3
$
1.9
$
18.0
$
56.3
$
49.0
$
9.3
$
128.1
$
15.8
$
14.5
$
7.1
$
29.0
$
72.1
$
63.6
$
16.4
$
157.1
$

2023
6.6
$
5.7
$
1.1
$
14.9
$
1.8
$
1.7
$
0.8
$
3.4
$
8.4
$
7.4
$
1.9
$
18.3
$
57.3
$
49.9
$
9.4
$
130.5
$
16.0
$
14.8
$
7.2
$
29.5
$
73.4
$
64.7
$
16.7
$
159.9
$

2024
6.7
$
5.8
$
1.1
$
15.2
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.8
$
3.4
$
8.5
$
7.5
$
1.9
$
18.6
$
58.3
$
50.8
$
9.6
$
132.7
$
16.3
$
15.0
$
7.3
$
30.0
$
74.6
$
65.8
$
16.9
$
162.7
$

2025
6.8
$
5.9
$
1.1
$
15.5
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.9
$
3.5
$
8.7
$
7.7
$
2.0
$
18.9
$
59.3
$
51.6
$
9.8
$
135.0
$
16.5
$
15.2
$
7.4
$
30.4
$
75.8
$
66.9
$
17.2
$
165.3
$

2026
6.9
$
6.0
$
1.1
$
15.7
$
1.9
$
1.8
$
0.9
$
3.5
$
8.8
$
7.8
$
2.0
$
19.2
$
60.2
$
52.4
$
9.9
$
137.1
$
16.8
$
15.5
$
7.5
$
30.8
$
77.0
$
67.9
$
17.5
$
168.0
$

2027
7.0
$
6.1
$
1.2
$
16.0
$
1.9
$
1.8
$
0.9
$
3.6
$
9.0
$
7.9
$
2.0
$
19.5
$
61.2
$
53.3
$
10.1
$
139.3
$
17.0
$
15.7
$
7.6
$
31.3
$
78.2
$
68.9
$
17.7
$
170.5
$

Total
107.2
$
93.4
$
17.7
$
244.0
$
30.2
$
27.9
$
13.6
$
55.4
$
137.4
$
121.2
$
31.3
$
299.4
$
935.8
$
814.9
$
154.7
$
2,129.1
$
263.7
$
243.1
$
118.7
$
483.7
$
1,199.5
$
1,058.0
$
273.4
$
2,612.8
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
19c,
and
E.
19f.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
7b
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
All
Ground
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
1
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
4.6
$
4.0
$
0.8
$
10.5
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.6
$
2.4
$
5.9
$
5.2
$
1.4
$
12.9
$
40.3
$
35.1
$
6.7
$
91.5
$
11.6
$
10.7
$
5.2
$
21.2
$
51.9
$
45.7
$
12.0
$
112.7
$

2007
11.1
$
9.7
$
1.9
$
25.3
$
3.2
$
2.9
$
1.4
$
5.8
$
14.3
$
12.6
$
3.3
$
31.1
$
97.0
$
84.5
$
16.2
$
220.5
$
27.9
$
25.6
$
12.6
$
50.9
$
124.9
$
110.1
$
28.7
$
271.4
$

2008
18.7
$
16.3
$
3.1
$
42.6
$
5.4
$
4.9
$
2.4
$
9.8
$
24.1
$
21.3
$
5.5
$
52.4
$
163.4
$
142.3
$
27.2
$
371.5
$
46.9
$
43.1
$
21.2
$
85.7
$
210.3
$
185.5
$
48.4
$
457.2
$

2009
27.1
$
23.6
$
4.5
$
61.7
$
7.8
$
7.2
$
3.5
$
14.2
$
34.9
$
30.8
$
8.0
$
75.9
$
236.8
$
206.2
$
39.4
$
538.3
$
67.8
$
62.4
$
30.6
$
123.9
$
304.6
$
268.6
$
70.0
$
662.1
$

2010
36.2
$
31.5
$
6.0
$
82.2
$
10.3
$
9.5
$
4.7
$
18.9
$
46.5
$
41.0
$
10.7
$
101.1
$
315.6
$
274.8
$
52.5
$
717.5
$
90.2
$
83.1
$
40.7
$
164.9
$
405.8
$
358.0
$
93.2
$
882.3
$

2011
45.7
$
39.8
$
7.6
$
103.9
$
13.1
$
12.0
$
5.9
$
23.9
$
58.8
$
51.8
$
13.5
$
127.8
$
399.0
$
347.5
$
66.3
$
907.2
$
113.9
$
104.9
$
51.4
$
208.5
$
512.9
$
452.4
$
117.7
$
1,115.6
$

2012
51.1
$
44.5
$
8.5
$
116.1
$
14.6
$
13.4
$
6.6
$
26.7
$
65.6
$
57.9
$
15.0
$
142.8
$
445.8
$
388.2
$
74.0
$
1,013.6
$
127.1
$
117.1
$
57.2
$
232.7
$
572.8
$
505.3
$
131.3
$
1,246.3
$

2013
55.0
$
47.9
$
9.1
$
125.0
$
15.6
$
14.4
$
7.0
$
28.6
$
70.6
$
62.3
$
16.2
$
153.6
$
479.7
$
417.8
$
79.6
$
1,090.9
$
136.5
$
125.8
$
61.5
$
249.9
$
616.2
$
543.6
$
141.1
$
1,340.8
$

2014
58.1
$
50.6
$
9.6
$
132.2
$
16.5
$
15.2
$
7.4
$
30.2
$
74.6
$
65.8
$
17.1
$
162.4
$
507.3
$
441.8
$
84.1
$
1,153.7
$
144.2
$
132.9
$
65.0
$
263.9
$
651.4
$
574.7
$
149.1
$
1,417.6
$

2015
60.6
$
52.8
$
10.0
$
137.8
$
17.2
$
15.8
$
7.7
$
31.5
$
77.8
$
68.6
$
17.8
$
169.3
$
528.8
$
460.5
$
87.6
$
1,202.6
$
150.0
$
138.3
$
67.5
$
274.8
$
678.8
$
598.8
$
155.2
$
1,477.4
$

2016
62.7
$
54.6
$
10.4
$
142.5
$
17.8
$
16.4
$
8.0
$
32.5
$
80.4
$
70.9
$
18.4
$
175.1
$
546.9
$
476.3
$
90.6
$
1,244.0
$
154.9
$
142.9
$
69.6
$
283.7
$
701.8
$
619.1
$
160.2
$
1,527.7
$

2017
64.5
$
56.2
$
10.7
$
146.7
$
18.2
$
16.8
$
8.2
$
33.4
$
82.7
$
73.0
$
18.9
$
180.2
$
562.9
$
490.2
$
93.2
$
1,280.6
$
159.2
$
146.8
$
71.6
$
291.6
$
722.1
$
637.1
$
164.8
$
1,572.2
$

2018
66.2
$
57.6
$
10.9
$
150.5
$
18.7
$
17.2
$
8.4
$
34.2
$
84.8
$
74.9
$
19.3
$
184.8
$
577.5
$
502.9
$
95.5
$
1,313.8
$
163.0
$
150.4
$
73.3
$
298.8
$
740.5
$
653.3
$
168.8
$
1,612.6
$

2019
67.7
$
59.0
$
11.2
$
154.1
$
19.1
$
17.6
$
8.6
$
35.0
$
86.8
$
76.6
$
19.8
$
189.0
$
590.9
$
514.6
$
97.7
$
1,344.5
$
166.6
$
153.6
$
74.9
$
305.4
$
757.5
$
668.2
$
172.6
$
1,649.9
$

2020
69.2
$
60.2
$
11.4
$
157.4
$
19.5
$
17.9
$
8.7
$
35.7
$
88.6
$
78.2
$
20.2
$
193.1
$
603.6
$
525.6
$
99.7
$
1,373.4
$
169.8
$
156.6
$
76.3
$
311.8
$
773.4
$
682.2
$
176.0
$
1,685.2
$

2021
70.5
$
61.4
$
11.6
$
160.5
$
19.8
$
18.3
$
8.9
$
36.4
$
90.4
$
79.7
$
20.6
$
196.9
$
615.7
$
536.1
$
101.6
$
1,400.9
$
172.9
$
159.3
$
77.8
$
317.5
$
788.6
$
695.4
$
179.4
$
1,718.4
$

2022
71.9
$
62.6
$
11.9
$
163.5
$
20.1
$
18.6
$
9.1
$
37.0
$
92.0
$
81.1
$
20.9
$
200.6
$
627.2
$
546.1
$
103.5
$
1,427.3
$
175.8
$
162.1
$
79.1
$
323.1
$
803.0
$
708.2
$
182.6
$
1,750.4
$

2023
73.1
$
63.7
$
12.1
$
166.5
$
20.5
$
18.9
$
9.2
$
37.6
$
93.6
$
82.6
$
21.3
$
204.1
$
638.4
$
555.8
$
105.2
$
1,452.8
$
178.7
$
164.7
$
80.3
$
328.5
$
817.0
$
720.5
$
185.6
$
1,781.3
$

2024
74.4
$
64.8
$
12.3
$
169.3
$
20.8
$
19.2
$
9.3
$
38.2
$
95.2
$
83.9
$
21.6
$
207.5
$
649.2
$
565.3
$
106.9
$
1,477.6
$
181.4
$
167.2
$
81.5
$
333.4
$
830.6
$
732.5
$
188.5
$
1,811.0
$

2025
75.6
$
65.8
$
12.4
$
172.1
$
21.1
$
19.4
$
9.5
$
38.7
$
96.7
$
85.3
$
21.9
$
210.8
$
659.8
$
574.5
$
108.6
$
1,501.8
$
184.0
$
169.6
$
82.8
$
338.2
$
843.8
$
744.1
$
191.4
$
1,840.0
$

2026
76.8
$
66.9
$
12.6
$
174.8
$
21.4
$
19.7
$
9.6
$
39.3
$
98.2
$
86.6
$
22.3
$
214.1
$
670.2
$
583.5
$
110.3
$
1,525.5
$
186.5
$
172.1
$
84.0
$
342.9
$
856.7
$
755.5
$
194.2
$
1,868.5
$

2027
78.0
$
67.9
$
12.8
$
177.5
$
21.7
$
20.0
$
9.7
$
39.8
$
99.6
$
87.9
$
22.6
$
217.3
$
680.4
$
592.4
$
111.9
$
1,548.9
$
189.0
$
174.5
$
85.0
$
347.6
$
869.4
$
766.8
$
196.9
$
1,896.5
$

Total
1,218.7
$
1,061.3
$
201.5
$
2,772.7
$
343.5
$
316.7
$
154.6
$
630.1
$
1,562.2
$
1,377.9
$
356.1
$
3,402.8
$
10,636.2
$
9,262.0
$
1,758.4
$
24,198.5
$
2,997.8
$
2,763.7
$
1,349.2
$
5,498.9
$
13,634.1
$
12,025.7
$
3,107.6
$
29,697.4
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
7a
and
F.
7b.
Exhibit
F.
7c
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
1
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
4.2
$
3.7
$
0.7
$
9.6
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.5
$
2.2
$
5.4
$
4.8
$
1.3
$
11.8
$
36.9
$
32.1
$
6.1
$
83.8
$
10.6
$
9.8
$
4.8
$
19.4
$
47.5
$
41.9
$
10.9
$
103.2
$

2007
9.9
$
8.6
$
1.6
$
22.4
$
2.8
$
2.6
$
1.3
$
5.2
$
12.7
$
11.2
$
2.9
$
27.6
$
86.2
$
75.1
$
14.4
$
195.9
$
24.8
$
22.8
$
11.2
$
45.3
$
110.9
$
97.8
$
25.5
$
241.2
$

2008
16.2
$
14.1
$
2.7
$
36.7
$
4.6
$
4.3
$
2.1
$
8.5
$
20.8
$
18.3
$
4.8
$
45.2
$
141.0
$
122.8
$
23.5
$
320.5
$
40.4
$
37.2
$
18.2
$
73.9
$
181.4
$
160.0
$
41.7
$
394.3
$

2009
22.7
$
19.8
$
3.8
$
51.7
$
6.5
$
6.0
$
2.9
$
11.9
$
29.2
$
25.8
$
6.7
$
63.5
$
198.3
$
172.7
$
33.0
$
450.8
$
56.8
$
52.3
$
25.6
$
103.8
$
255.1
$
225.0
$
58.6
$
554.5
$

2010
29.4
$
25.6
$
4.9
$
66.8
$
8.4
$
7.7
$
3.8
$
15.4
$
37.8
$
33.3
$
8.7
$
82.2
$
256.6
$
223.5
$
42.7
$
583.4
$
73.4
$
67.6
$
33.1
$
134.1
$
330.0
$
291.1
$
75.8
$
717.4
$

2011
36.1
$
31.4
$
6.0
$
82.1
$
10.3
$
9.5
$
4.6
$
18.9
$
46.4
$
40.9
$
10.6
$
100.9
$
315.0
$
274.3
$
52.4
$
716.1
$
89.9
$
82.8
$
40.5
$
164.6
$
404.9
$
357.1
$
92.9
$
880.7
$

2012
39.1
$
34.1
$
6.5
$
89.0
$
11.2
$
10.3
$
5.0
$
20.4
$
50.3
$
44.4
$
11.5
$
109.5
$
341.6
$
297.5
$
56.7
$
776.9
$
97.4
$
89.7
$
43.9
$
178.4
$
439.0
$
387.3
$
100.6
$
955.2
$

2013
40.9
$
35.6
$
6.8
$
93.0
$
11.6
$
10.7
$
5.2
$
21.3
$
52.5
$
46.3
$
12.0
$
114.3
$
356.9
$
310.9
$
59.2
$
811.7
$
101.6
$
93.6
$
45.8
$
186.0
$
458.5
$
404.5
$
105.0
$
997.7
$

2014
42.0
$
36.6
$
7.0
$
95.5
$
11.9
$
11.0
$
5.4
$
21.8
$
53.9
$
47.6
$
12.3
$
117.3
$
366.5
$
319.2
$
60.8
$
833.5
$
104.1
$
96.0
$
46.9
$
190.7
$
470.6
$
415.2
$
107.7
$
1,024.1
$

2015
42.5
$
37.0
$
7.0
$
96.7
$
12.1
$
11.1
$
5.4
$
22.1
$
54.6
$
48.1
$
12.5
$
118.7
$
370.9
$
323.0
$
61.5
$
843.5
$
105.2
$
97.0
$
47.4
$
192.7
$
476.1
$
420.0
$
108.8
$
1,036.2
$

2016
42.7
$
37.2
$
7.1
$
97.1
$
12.1
$
11.1
$
5.4
$
22.1
$
54.8
$
48.3
$
12.5
$
119.2
$
372.4
$
324.3
$
61.7
$
847.1
$
105.5
$
97.3
$
47.4
$
193.2
$
477.9
$
421.6
$
109.1
$
1,040.3
$

2017
42.6
$
37.1
$
7.1
$
97.0
$
12.1
$
11.1
$
5.4
$
22.1
$
54.7
$
48.3
$
12.5
$
119.1
$
372.2
$
324.1
$
61.6
$
846.6
$
105.2
$
97.1
$
47.3
$
192.8
$
477.4
$
421.2
$
108.9
$
1,039.4
$

2018
42.5
$
37.0
$
7.0
$
96.6
$
12.0
$
11.1
$
5.4
$
22.0
$
54.5
$
48.0
$
12.4
$
118.6
$
370.7
$
322.8
$
61.3
$
843.3
$
104.6
$
96.5
$
47.1
$
191.8
$
475.3
$
419.3
$
108.4
$
1,035.1
$

2019
42.2
$
36.7
$
7.0
$
96.0
$
11.9
$
11.0
$
5.3
$
21.8
$
54.1
$
47.7
$
12.3
$
117.8
$
368.3
$
320.7
$
60.9
$
837.8
$
103.8
$
95.7
$
46.7
$
190.3
$
472.0
$
416.4
$
107.5
$
1,028.2
$

2020
41.8
$
36.4
$
6.9
$
95.2
$
11.8
$
10.9
$
5.3
$
21.6
$
53.6
$
47.3
$
12.2
$
116.8
$
365.2
$
318.0
$
60.3
$
830.9
$
102.7
$
94.7
$
46.2
$
188.6
$
467.9
$
412.7
$
106.5
$
1,019.6
$

2021
41.4
$
36.1
$
6.8
$
94.3
$
11.6
$
10.7
$
5.2
$
21.4
$
53.1
$
46.8
$
12.1
$
115.7
$
361.6
$
314.9
$
59.7
$
822.9
$
101.6
$
93.6
$
45.7
$
186.5
$
463.2
$
408.5
$
105.4
$
1,009.4
$

2022
41.0
$
35.7
$
6.8
$
93.3
$
11.5
$
10.6
$
5.2
$
21.1
$
52.5
$
46.3
$
11.9
$
114.4
$
357.7
$
311.5
$
59.0
$
814.0
$
100.3
$
92.4
$
45.1
$
184.3
$
458.0
$
403.9
$
104.1
$
998.2
$

2023
40.5
$
35.3
$
6.7
$
92.2
$
11.3
$
10.4
$
5.1
$
20.8
$
51.8
$
45.7
$
11.8
$
113.0
$
353.4
$
307.8
$
58.3
$
804.4
$
98.9
$
91.2
$
44.5
$
181.9
$
452.4
$
398.9
$
102.7
$
986.3
$

2024
40.0
$
34.8
$
6.6
$
91.0
$
11.2
$
10.3
$
5.0
$
20.5
$
51.2
$
45.1
$
11.6
$
111.5
$
349.0
$
303.9
$
57.5
$
794.3
$
97.5
$
89.9
$
43.8
$
179.2
$
446.5
$
393.8
$
101.3
$
973.5
$

2025
39.5
$
34.4
$
6.5
$
89.8
$
11.0
$
10.1
$
5.0
$
20.2
$
50.5
$
44.5
$
11.4
$
110.0
$
344.3
$
299.8
$
56.7
$
783.8
$
96.0
$
88.5
$
43.2
$
176.5
$
440.4
$
388.3
$
99.9
$
960.3
$

2026
38.9
$
33.9
$
6.4
$
88.6
$
10.8
$
10.0
$
4.9
$
19.9
$
49.7
$
43.9
$
11.3
$
108.5
$
339.6
$
295.6
$
55.9
$
773.0
$
94.5
$
87.2
$
42.6
$
173.8
$
434.1
$
382.8
$
98.4
$
946.7
$

2027
38.4
$
33.4
$
6.3
$
87.3
$
10.7
$
9.8
$
4.8
$
19.6
$
49.0
$
43.2
$
11.1
$
106.9
$
334.7
$
291.4
$
55.0
$
762.0
$
93.0
$
85.8
$
41.8
$
171.0
$
427.7
$
377.2
$
96.9
$
933.0
$

Total
774.5
$
674.4
$
128.1
$
1,761.8
$
218.6
$
201.5
$
98.4
$
400.9
$
993.1
$
875.9
$
226.5
$
2,162.7
$
6,758.9
$
5,885.7
$
1,118.1
$
15,376.0
$
1,907.9
$
1,758.8
$
858.7
$
3,498.5
$
8,666.7
$
7,644.5
$
1,976.8
$
18,874.5
$

Ann.
44.5
$
38.7
$
7.4
$
101.2
$
12.6
$
11.6
$
5.7
$
23.0
$
57.0
$
50.3
$
13.0
$
124.2
$
388.1
$
338.0
$
64.2
$
883.0
$
109.6
$
101.0
$
49.3
$
200.9
$
497.7
$
439.0
$
113.5
$
1,083.9
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
7c.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
7d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
1
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
3.8
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.6
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
4.9
$
4.3
$
1.1
$
10.5
$
32.9
$
28.6
$
5.5
$
74.7
$
9.5
$
8.7
$
4.3
$
17.3
$
42.3
$
37.3
$
9.8
$
92.0
$

2007
8.5
$
7.4
$
1.4
$
19.3
$
2.4
$
2.2
$
1.1
$
4.5
$
10.9
$
9.6
$
2.5
$
23.7
$
74.0
$
64.5
$
12.3
$
168.2
$
21.3
$
19.5
$
9.6
$
38.9
$
95.3
$
84.0
$
21.9
$
207.1
$

2008
13.4
$
11.6
$
2.2
$
30.3
$
3.8
$
3.5
$
1.7
$
7.0
$
17.2
$
15.2
$
4.0
$
37.3
$
116.5
$
101.5
$
19.4
$
264.9
$
33.4
$
30.7
$
15.1
$
61.1
$
149.9
$
132.2
$
34.5
$
325.9
$

2009
18.1
$
15.7
$
3.0
$
41.1
$
5.2
$
4.8
$
2.3
$
9.5
$
23.3
$
20.5
$
5.3
$
50.6
$
157.8
$
137.4
$
26.3
$
358.7
$
45.2
$
41.6
$
20.4
$
82.6
$
203.0
$
179.0
$
46.6
$
441.2
$

2010
22.5
$
19.6
$
3.7
$
51.2
$
6.4
$
5.9
$
2.9
$
11.8
$
29.0
$
25.5
$
6.6
$
63.0
$
196.5
$
171.2
$
32.7
$
446.8
$
56.2
$
51.8
$
25.3
$
102.7
$
252.7
$
222.9
$
58.0
$
549.5
$

2011
26.6
$
23.2
$
4.4
$
60.5
$
7.6
$
7.0
$
3.4
$
13.9
$
34.2
$
30.2
$
7.8
$
74.4
$
232.2
$
202.2
$
38.6
$
528.0
$
66.3
$
61.1
$
29.9
$
121.3
$
298.5
$
263.3
$
68.5
$
649.3
$

2012
27.8
$
24.2
$
4.6
$
63.2
$
7.9
$
7.3
$
3.6
$
14.5
$
35.7
$
31.5
$
8.2
$
77.7
$
242.5
$
211.2
$
40.3
$
551.3
$
69.1
$
63.7
$
31.1
$
126.6
$
311.6
$
274.8
$
71.4
$
677.9
$

2013
27.9
$
24.3
$
4.6
$
63.5
$
8.0
$
7.3
$
3.6
$
14.6
$
35.9
$
31.7
$
8.2
$
78.1
$
243.9
$
212.4
$
40.5
$
554.6
$
69.4
$
64.0
$
31.3
$
127.1
$
313.3
$
276.3
$
71.7
$
681.6
$

2014
27.6
$
24.0
$
4.6
$
62.8
$
7.8
$
7.2
$
3.5
$
14.4
$
35.5
$
31.3
$
8.1
$
77.2
$
241.0
$
209.9
$
40.0
$
548.1
$
68.5
$
63.1
$
30.9
$
125.4
$
309.5
$
273.0
$
70.8
$
673.5
$

2015
26.9
$
23.4
$
4.5
$
61.2
$
7.6
$
7.0
$
3.4
$
14.0
$
34.5
$
30.5
$
7.9
$
75.2
$
234.8
$
204.5
$
38.9
$
534.0
$
66.6
$
61.4
$
30.0
$
122.0
$
301.4
$
265.9
$
68.9
$
656.0
$

2016
26.0
$
22.6
$
4.3
$
59.2
$
7.4
$
6.8
$
3.3
$
13.5
$
33.4
$
29.4
$
7.6
$
72.6
$
227.0
$
197.6
$
37.6
$
516.2
$
64.3
$
59.3
$
28.9
$
117.7
$
291.2
$
256.9
$
66.5
$
634.0
$

2017
25.0
$
21.8
$
4.1
$
56.9
$
7.1
$
6.5
$
3.2
$
13.0
$
32.1
$
28.3
$
7.3
$
69.9
$
218.3
$
190.1
$
36.1
$
496.6
$
61.7
$
56.9
$
27.8
$
113.1
$
280.1
$
247.1
$
63.9
$
609.7
$

2018
24.0
$
20.9
$
4.0
$
54.6
$
6.8
$
6.2
$
3.0
$
12.4
$
30.8
$
27.1
$
7.0
$
67.0
$
209.3
$
182.3
$
34.6
$
476.2
$
59.1
$
54.5
$
26.6
$
108.3
$
268.4
$
236.8
$
61.2
$
584.5
$

2019
22.9
$
20.0
$
3.8
$
52.2
$
6.5
$
6.0
$
2.9
$
11.9
$
29.4
$
25.9
$
6.7
$
64.0
$
200.2
$
174.3
$
33.1
$
455.4
$
56.4
$
52.0
$
25.4
$
103.4
$
256.6
$
226.4
$
58.5
$
558.9
$

2020
21.9
$
19.1
$
3.6
$
49.8
$
6.2
$
5.7
$
2.8
$
11.3
$
28.1
$
24.7
$
6.4
$
61.1
$
191.1
$
166.4
$
31.6
$
434.8
$
53.8
$
49.6
$
24.2
$
98.7
$
244.9
$
216.0
$
55.7
$
533.5
$

2021
20.9
$
18.2
$
3.4
$
47.5
$
5.9
$
5.4
$
2.6
$
10.8
$
26.7
$
23.6
$
6.1
$
58.3
$
182.1
$
158.6
$
30.1
$
414.5
$
51.2
$
47.1
$
23.0
$
93.9
$
233.3
$
205.8
$
53.1
$
508.4
$

2022
19.9
$
17.3
$
3.3
$
45.2
$
5.6
$
5.1
$
2.5
$
10.2
$
25.4
$
22.4
$
5.8
$
55.5
$
173.4
$
151.0
$
28.6
$
394.7
$
48.6
$
44.8
$
21.9
$
89.3
$
222.0
$
195.8
$
50.5
$
484.0
$

2023
18.9
$
16.5
$
3.1
$
43.0
$
5.3
$
4.9
$
2.4
$
9.7
$
24.2
$
21.3
$
5.5
$
52.7
$
165.0
$
143.6
$
27.2
$
375.4
$
46.2
$
42.6
$
20.8
$
84.9
$
211.1
$
186.2
$
48.0
$
460.3
$

2024
18.0
$
15.6
$
3.0
$
40.9
$
5.0
$
4.6
$
2.3
$
9.2
$
23.0
$
20.3
$
5.2
$
50.1
$
156.8
$
136.5
$
25.8
$
356.9
$
43.8
$
40.4
$
19.7
$
80.5
$
200.6
$
176.9
$
45.5
$
437.4
$

2025
17.1
$
14.9
$
2.8
$
38.8
$
4.8
$
4.4
$
2.1
$
8.7
$
21.8
$
19.2
$
5.0
$
47.6
$
148.9
$
129.7
$
24.5
$
339.0
$
41.5
$
38.3
$
18.7
$
76.3
$
190.4
$
167.9
$
43.2
$
415.3
$

2026
16.2
$
14.1
$
2.7
$
36.9
$
4.5
$
4.2
$
2.0
$
8.3
$
20.7
$
18.3
$
4.7
$
45.2
$
141.4
$
123.1
$
23.3
$
321.8
$
39.3
$
36.3
$
17.7
$
72.3
$
180.7
$
159.4
$
41.0
$
394.1
$

2027
15.4
$
13.4
$
2.5
$
35.0
$
4.3
$
3.9
$
1.9
$
7.9
$
19.6
$
17.3
$
4.4
$
42.8
$
134.1
$
116.8
$
22.1
$
305.4
$
37.3
$
34.4
$
16.8
$
68.5
$
171.4
$
151.2
$
38.8
$
373.9
$

Total
449.1
$
391.1
$
74.4
$
1,021.6
$
127.0
$
117.1
$
57.2
$
232.8
$
576.1
$
508.2
$
131.5
$
1,254.5
$
3,919.6
$
3,413.3
$
648.9
$
8,916.1
$
1,108.6
$
1,021.8
$
499.1
$
2,032.0
$
5,028.2
$
4,435.2
$
1,148.0
$
10,948.1
$

Ann.
38.5
$
33.6
$
6.4
$
87.7
$
10.9
$
10.0
$
4.9
$
20.0
$
49.4
$
43.6
$
11.3
$
107.6
$
336.3
$
292.9
$
55.7
$
765.1
$
95.1
$
87.7
$
42.8
$
174.4
$
431.5
$
380.6
$
98.5
$
939.5
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
7c.
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
7e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
1
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
5.4
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.5
$
7.6
$
4.7
$
17.8
$
14.8
$
47.5
$

2007
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
2.0
$
1.3
$
4.8
$
4.0
$
12.7
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.7
$
3.6
$
17.7
$
11.0
$
41.7
$
34.5
$
110.9
$

2008
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
3.3
$
2.1
$
7.8
$
6.5
$
20.8
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.7
$
2.7
$
5.9
$
29.0
$
18.0
$
68.1
$
56.4
$
181.4
$

2009
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
4.7
$
2.9
$
11.0
$
9.1
$
29.2
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.9
$
3.8
$
8.2
$
40.8
$
25.3
$
95.8
$
79.3
$
255.1
$

2010
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.2
$
6.0
$
3.7
$
14.2
$
11.8
$
37.8
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
1.2
$
5.0
$
10.7
$
52.8
$
32.7
$
123.9
$
102.6
$
330.0
$

2011
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.5
$
7.4
$
4.6
$
17.4
$
14.4
$
46.4
$
0.2
$
1.3
$
1.5
$
6.1
$
13.1
$
64.7
$
40.2
$
152.0
$
125.9
$
404.9
$

2012
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.8
$
8.0
$
5.0
$
18.8
$
15.6
$
50.3
$
0.2
$
1.5
$
1.8
$
7.2
$
15.5
$
69.8
$
43.3
$
164.0
$
135.7
$
439.0
$

2013
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.0
$
8.3
$
5.1
$
19.5
$
16.1
$
52.5
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.0
$
8.3
$
17.8
$
72.5
$
44.9
$
170.1
$
140.9
$
458.5
$

2014
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.3
$
8.5
$
5.2
$
19.9
$
16.4
$
53.9
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.3
$
9.4
$
20.2
$
73.8
$
45.8
$
173.4
$
143.5
$
470.6
$

2015
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
8.5
$
5.3
$
20.0
$
16.6
$
54.6
$
0.3
$
2.0
$
2.4
$
9.8
$
21.1
$
74.5
$
46.2
$
174.9
$
144.8
$
476.1
$

2016
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.5
$
8.6
$
5.3
$
20.1
$
16.6
$
54.8
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.5
$
10.0
$
21.6
$
74.7
$
46.3
$
175.3
$
145.1
$
477.9
$

2017
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.5
$
8.5
$
5.3
$
20.1
$
16.6
$
54.7
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.5
$
10.1
$
21.8
$
74.5
$
46.2
$
175.0
$
144.9
$
477.4
$

2018
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.5
$
8.5
$
5.3
$
20.0
$
16.5
$
54.5
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.5
$
10.2
$
21.8
$
74.1
$
46.0
$
174.1
$
144.1
$
475.3
$

2019
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.5
$
8.4
$
5.2
$
19.8
$
16.4
$
54.1
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.5
$
10.1
$
21.8
$
73.6
$
45.6
$
172.9
$
143.1
$
472.0
$

2020
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.5
$
8.4
$
5.2
$
19.6
$
16.2
$
53.6
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.5
$
10.1
$
21.7
$
72.9
$
45.2
$
171.3
$
141.8
$
467.9
$

2021
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.5
$
8.3
$
5.1
$
19.4
$
16.1
$
53.1
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.5
$
10.0
$
21.5
$
72.2
$
44.8
$
169.5
$
140.3
$
463.2
$

2022
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
8.2
$
5.1
$
19.2
$
15.9
$
52.5
$
0.3
$
2.0
$
2.4
$
9.9
$
21.3
$
71.4
$
44.3
$
167.6
$
138.7
$
458.0
$

2023
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
8.1
$
5.0
$
19.0
$
15.7
$
51.8
$
0.3
$
2.0
$
2.4
$
9.8
$
21.1
$
70.5
$
43.7
$
165.5
$
137.0
$
452.4
$

2024
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
8.0
$
4.9
$
18.7
$
15.5
$
51.2
$
0.3
$
2.0
$
2.4
$
9.7
$
20.9
$
69.5
$
43.1
$
163.3
$
135.2
$
446.5
$

2025
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
7.9
$
4.9
$
18.5
$
15.3
$
50.5
$
0.3
$
2.0
$
2.4
$
9.6
$
20.6
$
68.6
$
42.5
$
161.1
$
133.3
$
440.4
$

2026
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.3
$
7.7
$
4.8
$
18.2
$
15.1
$
49.7
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.3
$
9.4
$
20.3
$
67.6
$
41.9
$
158.8
$
131.4
$
434.1
$

2027
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.3
$
7.6
$
4.7
$
17.9
$
14.8
$
49.0
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.3
$
9.3
$
20.0
$
66.6
$
41.3
$
156.4
$
129.5
$
427.7
$

Total
0.6
$
4.1
$
4.9
$
19.8
$
42.6
$
155.8
$
96.6
$
365.8
$
302.8
$
993.1
$
5.4
$
35.7
$
42.7
$
173.0
$
372.1
$
1,359.5
$
843.1
$
3,192.5
$
2,642.8
$
8,666.7
$

Ann.
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
8.9
$
5.5
$
21.0
$
17.4
$
57.0
$
0.3
$
2.0
$
2.5
$
9.9
$
21.4
$
78.1
$
48.4
$
183.3
$
151.8
$
497.7
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
7a
and
F.
7b.
Exhibit
F.
7f
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
1
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
0.5
$
1.8
$
1.5
$
4.9
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.4
$
6.8
$
4.2
$
15.9
$
13.2
$
42.3
$

2007
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
1.7
$
1.1
$
4.1
$
3.4
$
10.9
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.4
$
3.1
$
15.2
$
9.4
$
35.8
$
29.6
$
95.3
$

2008
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.6
$
2.7
$
1.7
$
6.5
$
5.3
$
17.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
4.8
$
24.0
$
14.9
$
56.3
$
46.6
$
149.9
$

2009
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
3.7
$
2.3
$
8.7
$
7.2
$
23.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.8
$
3.0
$
6.6
$
32.5
$
20.1
$
76.2
$
63.1
$
203.0
$

2010
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
4.6
$
2.9
$
10.9
$
9.0
$
29.0
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.9
$
3.8
$
8.2
$
40.4
$
25.1
$
94.9
$
78.6
$
252.7
$

2011
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.1
$
5.5
$
3.4
$
12.8
$
10.6
$
34.2
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.1
$
4.5
$
9.6
$
47.7
$
29.6
$
112.1
$
92.8
$
298.5
$

2012
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.3
$
5.7
$
3.5
$
13.3
$
11.0
$
35.7
$
0.2
$
1.1
$
1.3
$
5.1
$
11.0
$
49.6
$
30.7
$
116.4
$
96.3
$
311.6
$

2013
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.4
$
5.7
$
3.5
$
13.3
$
11.0
$
35.9
$
0.2
$
1.2
$
1.4
$
5.7
$
12.2
$
49.5
$
30.7
$
116.2
$
96.2
$
313.3
$

2014
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.5
$
5.6
$
3.5
$
13.1
$
10.8
$
35.5
$
0.2
$
1.3
$
1.5
$
6.2
$
13.3
$
48.6
$
30.1
$
114.0
$
94.4
$
309.5
$

2015
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.5
$
5.4
$
3.4
$
12.7
$
10.5
$
34.5
$
0.2
$
1.3
$
1.5
$
6.2
$
13.4
$
47.2
$
29.2
$
110.7
$
91.7
$
301.4
$

2016
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.5
$
5.2
$
3.2
$
12.2
$
10.1
$
33.4
$
0.2
$
1.3
$
1.5
$
6.1
$
13.2
$
45.5
$
28.2
$
106.8
$
88.4
$
291.2
$

2017
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.5
$
5.0
$
3.1
$
11.8
$
9.7
$
32.1
$
0.2
$
1.2
$
1.5
$
5.9
$
12.8
$
43.7
$
27.1
$
102.7
$
85.0
$
280.1
$

2018
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.4
$
4.8
$
3.0
$
11.3
$
9.3
$
30.8
$
0.2
$
1.2
$
1.4
$
5.7
$
12.3
$
41.9
$
26.0
$
98.3
$
81.4
$
268.4
$

2019
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.4
$
4.6
$
2.8
$
10.8
$
8.9
$
29.4
$
0.2
$
1.1
$
1.4
$
5.5
$
11.9
$
40.0
$
24.8
$
94.0
$
77.8
$
256.6
$

2020
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.3
$
4.4
$
2.7
$
10.3
$
8.5
$
28.1
$
0.2
$
1.1
$
1.3
$
5.3
$
11.4
$
38.2
$
23.7
$
89.6
$
74.2
$
244.9
$

2021
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.2
$
4.2
$
2.6
$
9.8
$
8.1
$
26.7
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
1.2
$
5.0
$
10.8
$
36.4
$
22.6
$
85.4
$
70.7
$
233.3
$

2022
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.2
$
4.0
$
2.5
$
9.3
$
7.7
$
25.4
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
1.2
$
4.8
$
10.3
$
34.6
$
21.5
$
81.3
$
67.3
$
222.0
$

2023
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.1
$
3.8
$
2.3
$
8.9
$
7.3
$
24.2
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.1
$
4.6
$
9.9
$
32.9
$
20.4
$
77.2
$
63.9
$
211.1
$

2024
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.1
$
3.6
$
2.2
$
8.4
$
7.0
$
23.0
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.1
$
4.4
$
9.4
$
31.2
$
19.4
$
73.4
$
60.7
$
200.6
$

2025
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.0
$
3.4
$
2.1
$
8.0
$
6.6
$
21.8
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.0
$
4.1
$
8.9
$
29.7
$
18.4
$
69.7
$
57.7
$
190.4
$

2026
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.0
$
3.2
$
2.0
$
7.6
$
6.3
$
20.7
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.0
$
3.9
$
8.5
$
28.1
$
17.5
$
66.1
$
54.7
$
180.7
$

2027
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
3.1
$
1.9
$
7.2
$
5.9
$
19.6
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
0.9
$
3.7
$
8.0
$
26.7
$
16.6
$
62.7
$
51.9
$
171.4
$

Total
0.3
$
2.3
$
2.8
$
11.2
$
24.1
$
90.5
$
56.2
$
212.6
$
176.0
$
576.1
$
3.0
$
20.2
$
24.2
$
98.0
$
210.8
$
790.2
$
490.1
$
1,855.6
$
1,536.2
$
5,028.2
$

Ann.
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.1
$
7.8
$
4.8
$
18.2
$
15.1
$
49.4
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.1
$
8.4
$
18.1
$
67.8
$
42.1
$
159.2
$
131.8
$
431.5
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
7a
and
F.
7b.
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
7g
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
F.
8
Model
Outputs
­
Alternative
2
TTHM
as
Indicator
Lymphoma
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
2
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
27.5
$
23.9
$
4.6
$
62.4
$
44.9
$
39.0
$
7.0
$
102.9
$
72.4
$
63.0
$
11.5
$
165.3
$
239.7
$
208.7
$
40.0
$
544.7
$
392.0
$
340.7
$
60.7
$
898.1
$
631.7
$
549.4
$
100.7
$
1,442.8
$

2007
66.1
$
57.6
$
11.0
$
150.3
$
108.2
$
94.0
$
16.7
$
247.9
$
174.3
$
151.6
$
27.8
$
398.2
$
577.2
$
502.7
$
96.2
$
1,312.0
$
944.3
$
820.7
$
146.2
$
2,163.5
$
1,521.5
$
1,323.5
$
242.4
$
3,475.5
$

2008
111.4
$
97.1
$
18.6
$
253.3
$
182.3
$
158.5
$
28.2
$
417.7
$
293.8
$
255.5
$
46.8
$
671.0
$
972.5
$
847.0
$
162.0
$
2,210.6
$
1,591.2
$
1,382.9
$
246.3
$
3,645.5
$
2,563.7
$
2,229.9
$
408.3
$
5,856.1
$

2009
161.4
$
140.6
$
26.9
$
367.0
$
264.2
$
229.6
$
40.9
$
605.3
$
425.6
$
370.2
$
67.8
$
972.3
$
1,408.9
$
1,227.1
$
234.5
$
3,202.9
$
2,305.6
$
2,003.9
$
356.9
$
5,282.3
$
3,714.5
$
3,230.9
$
591.4
$
8,485.2
$

2010
215.2
$
187.4
$
35.8
$
489.2
$
352.2
$
306.1
$
54.5
$
806.8
$
567.3
$
493.5
$
90.3
$
1,296.0
$
1,877.8
$
1,635.5
$
312.4
$
4,269.2
$
3,073.4
$
2,671.2
$
475.8
$
7,041.5
$
4,951.2
$
4,306.7
$
788.1
$
11,310.7
$

2011
272.0
$
236.9
$
45.2
$
618.5
$
445.3
$
387.0
$
68.9
$
1,020.2
$
717.3
$
624.0
$
114.2
$
1,638.8
$
2,374.2
$
2,067.7
$
394.6
$
5,398.1
$
3,886.3
$
3,377.8
$
601.6
$
8,904.0
$
6,260.5
$
5,445.5
$
996.3
$
14,302.0
$

2012
303.3
$
264.2
$
50.4
$
689.8
$
496.6
$
431.6
$
76.9
$
1,137.8
$
800.0
$
695.8
$
127.3
$
1,827.6
$
2,647.4
$
2,305.6
$
439.7
$
6,019.8
$
4,334.2
$
3,767.1
$
671.0
$
9,930.1
$
6,981.6
$
6,072.7
$
1,110.7
$
15,949.9
$

2013
325.7
$
283.6
$
54.1
$
740.6
$
533.2
$
463.5
$
82.6
$
1,221.7
$
858.9
$
747.1
$
136.6
$
1,962.3
$
2,842.2
$
2,475.2
$
471.7
$
6,463.3
$
4,653.8
$
4,044.9
$
720.5
$
10,662.3
$
7,495.9
$
6,520.1
$
1,192.2
$
17,125.5
$

2014
343.5
$
299.1
$
57.0
$
781.2
$
562.5
$
488.9
$
87.1
$
1,288.8
$
906.0
$
788.1
$
144.1
$
2,070.0
$
2,997.8
$
2,610.7
$
497.2
$
6,817.8
$
4,909.4
$
4,267.1
$
760.1
$
11,247.9
$
7,907.2
$
6,877.8
$
1,257.3
$
18,065.8
$

2015
357.7
$
311.5
$
59.3
$
813.5
$
585.8
$
509.2
$
90.7
$
1,342.2
$
943.5
$
820.7
$
150.0
$
2,155.7
$
3,121.5
$
2,718.5
$
517.4
$
7,099.8
$
5,112.7
$
4,443.9
$
791.6
$
11,713.8
$
8,234.3
$
7,162.3
$
1,308.9
$
18,813.6
$

2016
369.8
$
322.0
$
61.2
$
841.1
$
605.7
$
526.5
$
93.8
$
1,387.8
$
975.5
$
848.5
$
155.0
$
2,228.8
$
3,227.0
$
2,810.3
$
534.5
$
7,340.3
$
5,286.2
$
4,594.7
$
818.4
$
12,111.4
$
8,513.2
$
7,405.0
$
1,352.9
$
19,451.6
$

2017
380.5
$
331.3
$
63.0
$
865.5
$
623.3
$
541.8
$
96.5
$
1,428.2
$
1,003.8
$
873.1
$
159.5
$
2,293.7
$
3,320.5
$
2,891.6
$
549.6
$
7,553.5
$
5,440.1
$
4,728.5
$
842.3
$
12,463.9
$
8,760.5
$
7,620.1
$
1,391.8
$
20,017.3
$

2018
390.2
$
339.8
$
64.5
$
887.7
$
639.4
$
555.8
$
99.0
$
1,464.9
$
1,029.6
$
895.6
$
163.5
$
2,352.7
$
3,405.5
$
2,965.6
$
563.2
$
7,747.5
$
5,580.1
$
4,850.3
$
864.0
$
12,784.9
$
8,985.7
$
7,815.9
$
1,427.2
$
20,532.4
$

2019
399.3
$
347.7
$
66.0
$
908.4
$
654.3
$
568.7
$
101.3
$
1,499.1
$
1,053.5
$
916.4
$
167.3
$
2,407.5
$
3,484.4
$
3,034.3
$
575.9
$
7,927.6
$
5,710.2
$
4,963.3
$
884.1
$
13,082.9
$
9,194.6
$
7,997.6
$
1,460.0
$
21,010.5
$

2020
407.8
$
355.1
$
67.4
$
927.8
$
668.3
$
580.9
$
103.5
$
1,531.3
$
1,076.1
$
936.0
$
170.8
$
2,459.1
$
3,558.7
$
3,098.9
$
587.8
$
8,097.3
$
5,832.7
$
5,069.8
$
903.1
$
13,363.7
$
9,391.4
$
8,168.7
$
1,490.9
$
21,460.9
$

2021
415.9
$
362.1
$
68.6
$
946.3
$
681.7
$
592.5
$
105.6
$
1,561.9
$
1,097.6
$
954.7
$
174.2
$
2,508.2
$
3,629.4
$
3,160.4
$
599.1
$
8,258.8
$
5,949.4
$
5,171.2
$
921.2
$
13,631.0
$
9,578.8
$
8,331.6
$
1,520.2
$
21,889.8
$

2022
423.6
$
368.9
$
69.9
$
964.1
$
694.5
$
603.7
$
107.5
$
1,591.3
$
1,118.2
$
972.6
$
177.4
$
2,555.4
$
3,697.2
$
3,219.4
$
609.9
$
8,413.8
$
6,061.4
$
5,268.5
$
938.5
$
13,887.7
$
9,758.7
$
8,487.9
$
1,548.4
$
22,301.4
$

2023
431.2
$
375.4
$
71.1
$
981.2
$
706.9
$
614.5
$
109.5
$
1,619.7
$
1,138.1
$
989.9
$
180.5
$
2,601.0
$
3,762.8
$
3,276.4
$
620.3
$
8,563.6
$
6,169.7
$
5,362.6
$
955.3
$
14,135.8
$
9,932.5
$
8,638.9
$
1,575.6
$
22,699.4
$

2024
438.5
$
381.8
$
72.2
$
997.9
$
719.0
$
624.9
$
111.3
$
1,647.4
$
1,157.5
$
1,006.7
$
183.6
$
2,645.3
$
3,826.5
$
3,331.8
$
630.4
$
8,709.3
$
6,275.0
$
5,454.1
$
971.6
$
14,377.1
$
10,101.6
$
8,785.8
$
1,602.0
$
23,086.5
$

2025
445.6
$
388.0
$
73.4
$
1,014.3
$
730.8
$
635.2
$
113.2
$
1,674.4
$
1,176.4
$
1,023.2
$
186.5
$
2,688.7
$
3,888.8
$
3,385.9
$
640.2
$
8,851.7
$
6,378.0
$
5,543.5
$
987.6
$
14,612.9
$
10,266.8
$
8,929.4
$
1,627.8
$
23,464.6
$

2026
452.6
$
394.0
$
74.5
$
1,030.3
$
742.4
$
645.2
$
115.0
$
1,700.9
$
1,195.0
$
1,039.3
$
189.4
$
2,731.2
$
3,949.9
$
3,439.0
$
649.9
$
8,991.4
$
6,479.0
$
5,631.2
$
1,003.2
$
14,844.3
$
10,428.8
$
9,070.2
$
1,653.1
$
23,835.7
$

2027
459.5
$
400.0
$
75.6
$
1,046.0
$
753.8
$
655.1
$
116.7
$
1,727.0
$
1,213.3
$
1,055.2
$
192.3
$
2,773.0
$
4,010.0
$
3,491.2
$
659.4
$
9,128.9
$
6,578.4
$
5,717.6
$
1,018.7
$
15,072.2
$
10,588.4
$
9,208.8
$
1,678.0
$
24,201.1
$

Total
7,198.1
$
6,268.1
$
1,190.0
$
16,376.5
$
11,795.6
$
10,252.4
$
1,826.3
$
27,025.2
$
18,993.7
$
16,520.5
$
3,016.3
$
43,401.7
$
62,819.9
$
54,703.4
$
10,385.7
$
142,921.7
$
102,943.1
$
89,475.3
$
15,938.6
$
235,856.7
$
165,763.1
$
144,178.7
$
26,324.4
$
378,778.4
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
20b,
and
E.
20e.
(
All
Surface
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
8a
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
2
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.4
$
2.5
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.6
$
4.0
$
3.4
$
0.6
$
9.0
$
13.1
$
11.4
$
2.2
$
29.8
$
21.4
$
18.6
$
3.3
$
49.1
$
34.5
$
30.0
$
5.5
$
78.9
$

2007
3.6
$
3.1
$
0.6
$
8.2
$
5.9
$
5.1
$
0.9
$
13.6
$
9.5
$
8.3
$
1.5
$
21.8
$
31.6
$
27.5
$
5.3
$
71.7
$
51.6
$
44.9
$
8.0
$
118.3
$
83.2
$
72.4
$
13.3
$
190.0
$

2008
6.1
$
5.3
$
1.0
$
13.8
$
10.0
$
8.7
$
1.5
$
22.8
$
16.1
$
14.0
$
2.6
$
36.7
$
53.2
$
46.3
$
8.9
$
120.8
$
87.0
$
75.6
$
13.5
$
199.3
$
140.2
$
121.9
$
22.3
$
320.1
$

2009
8.8
$
7.7
$
1.5
$
20.1
$
14.4
$
12.6
$
2.2
$
33.1
$
23.3
$
20.2
$
3.7
$
53.2
$
77.0
$
67.1
$
12.8
$
175.1
$
126.0
$
109.5
$
19.5
$
288.8
$
203.1
$
176.6
$
32.3
$
463.9
$

2010
11.8
$
10.2
$
2.0
$
26.7
$
19.3
$
16.7
$
3.0
$
44.1
$
31.0
$
27.0
$
4.9
$
70.9
$
102.7
$
89.4
$
17.1
$
233.4
$
168.0
$
146.0
$
26.0
$
384.9
$
270.7
$
235.4
$
43.1
$
618.3
$

2011
14.9
$
13.0
$
2.5
$
33.8
$
24.3
$
21.2
$
3.8
$
55.8
$
39.2
$
34.1
$
6.2
$
89.6
$
129.8
$
113.0
$
21.6
$
295.1
$
212.5
$
184.7
$
32.9
$
486.8
$
342.3
$
297.7
$
54.5
$
781.9
$

2012
16.8
$
14.6
$
2.8
$
38.2
$
27.5
$
23.9
$
4.3
$
63.0
$
44.3
$
38.5
$
7.0
$
101.2
$
146.6
$
127.7
$
24.3
$
333.3
$
240.0
$
208.6
$
37.2
$
549.8
$
386.5
$
336.2
$
61.5
$
883.1
$

2013
18.3
$
15.9
$
3.0
$
41.6
$
30.0
$
26.1
$
4.6
$
68.7
$
48.3
$
42.0
$
7.7
$
110.3
$
159.8
$
139.2
$
26.5
$
363.5
$
261.7
$
227.5
$
40.5
$
599.6
$
421.5
$
366.6
$
67.0
$
963.0
$

2014
19.6
$
17.1
$
3.3
$
44.7
$
32.2
$
28.0
$
5.0
$
73.7
$
51.8
$
45.1
$
8.2
$
118.3
$
171.4
$
149.3
$
28.4
$
389.8
$
280.7
$
243.9
$
43.5
$
643.0
$
452.0
$
393.2
$
71.9
$
1,032.8
$

2015
20.6
$
17.9
$
3.4
$
46.8
$
33.7
$
29.3
$
5.2
$
77.2
$
54.3
$
47.2
$
8.6
$
124.0
$
179.6
$
156.4
$
29.8
$
408.5
$
294.2
$
255.7
$
45.5
$
673.9
$
473.8
$
412.1
$
75.3
$
1,082.4
$

2016
21.3
$
18.6
$
3.5
$
48.6
$
35.0
$
30.4
$
5.4
$
80.1
$
56.3
$
49.0
$
8.9
$
128.7
$
186.3
$
162.2
$
30.9
$
423.7
$
305.2
$
265.2
$
47.2
$
699.2
$
491.4
$
427.5
$
78.1
$
1,122.9
$

2017
22.0
$
19.2
$
3.6
$
50.1
$
36.1
$
31.3
$
5.6
$
82.6
$
58.1
$
50.5
$
9.2
$
132.7
$
192.1
$
167.3
$
31.8
$
436.9
$
314.7
$
273.5
$
48.7
$
721.0
$
506.8
$
440.8
$
80.5
$
1,157.9
$

2018
22.6
$
19.7
$
3.7
$
51.4
$
37.0
$
32.2
$
5.7
$
84.9
$
59.6
$
51.9
$
9.5
$
136.3
$
197.3
$
171.8
$
32.6
$
448.8
$
323.2
$
280.9
$
50.0
$
740.5
$
520.5
$
452.7
$
82.7
$
1,189.3
$

2019
23.1
$
20.2
$
3.8
$
52.7
$
37.9
$
33.0
$
5.9
$
86.9
$
61.1
$
53.1
$
9.7
$
139.6
$
202.0
$
175.9
$
33.4
$
459.6
$
331.1
$
287.8
$
51.3
$
758.5
$
533.1
$
463.7
$
84.6
$
1,218.1
$

2020
23.7
$
20.6
$
3.9
$
53.8
$
38.8
$
33.7
$
6.0
$
88.8
$
62.4
$
54.3
$
9.9
$
142.7
$
206.5
$
179.8
$
34.1
$
469.8
$
338.4
$
294.1
$
52.4
$
775.3
$
544.9
$
473.9
$
86.5
$
1,245.1
$

2021
24.1
$
21.0
$
4.0
$
54.9
$
39.6
$
34.4
$
6.1
$
90.7
$
63.7
$
55.4
$
10.1
$
145.6
$
210.7
$
183.5
$
34.8
$
479.4
$
345.4
$
300.2
$
53.5
$
791.2
$
556.0
$
483.6
$
88.2
$
1,270.7
$

2022
24.6
$
21.4
$
4.1
$
56.0
$
40.3
$
35.1
$
6.2
$
92.4
$
64.9
$
56.5
$
10.3
$
148.4
$
214.7
$
187.0
$
35.4
$
488.6
$
352.0
$
305.9
$
54.5
$
806.5
$
566.7
$
492.9
$
89.9
$
1,295.1
$

2023
25.0
$
21.8
$
4.1
$
57.0
$
41.1
$
35.7
$
6.4
$
94.1
$
66.1
$
57.5
$
10.5
$
151.1
$
218.6
$
190.3
$
36.0
$
497.5
$
358.4
$
311.5
$
55.5
$
821.1
$
577.0
$
501.8
$
91.5
$
1,318.6
$

2024
25.5
$
22.2
$
4.2
$
58.0
$
41.8
$
36.3
$
6.5
$
95.7
$
67.3
$
58.5
$
10.7
$
153.7
$
222.3
$
193.6
$
36.6
$
506.1
$
364.6
$
316.9
$
56.5
$
835.4
$
587.0
$
510.5
$
93.1
$
1,341.4
$

2025
25.9
$
22.5
$
4.3
$
58.9
$
42.5
$
36.9
$
6.6
$
97.3
$
68.4
$
59.5
$
10.8
$
156.3
$
226.0
$
196.8
$
37.2
$
514.4
$
370.7
$
322.2
$
57.4
$
849.3
$
596.7
$
519.0
$
94.6
$
1,363.7
$

2026
26.3
$
22.9
$
4.3
$
59.9
$
43.2
$
37.5
$
6.7
$
98.9
$
69.5
$
60.4
$
11.0
$
158.8
$
229.6
$
199.9
$
37.8
$
522.7
$
376.6
$
327.3
$
58.3
$
862.9
$
606.2
$
527.2
$
96.1
$
1,385.5
$

2027
26.7
$
23.3
$
4.4
$
60.8
$
43.8
$
38.1
$
6.8
$
100.4
$
70.5
$
61.3
$
11.2
$
161.2
$
233.1
$
203.0
$
38.3
$
530.7
$
382.4
$
332.4
$
59.2
$
876.2
$
615.6
$
535.4
$
97.6
$
1,407.0
$

Total
412.9
$
359.6
$
68.3
$
939.5
$
676.7
$
588.2
$
104.8
$
1,550.4
$
1,089.6
$
947.7
$
173.0
$
2,489.9
$
3,603.8
$
3,138.2
$
595.8
$
8,199.1
$
5,905.7
$
5,133.0
$
914.4
$
13,530.7
$
9,509.5
$
8,271.2
$
1,510.1
$
21,729.8
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
20c,
and
E.
20f.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
8b
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
All
Ground
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
2
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
29.0
$
25.2
$
4.8
$
65.8
$
47.4
$
41.2
$
7.3
$
108.5
$
76.3
$
66.4
$
12.2
$
174.4
$
252.8
$
220.2
$
42.2
$
574.4
$
413.4
$
359.3
$
64.0
$
947.2
$
666.2
$
579.5
$
106.2
$
1,521.6
$

2007
69.8
$
60.8
$
11.6
$
158.5
$
114.1
$
99.2
$
17.7
$
261.5
$
183.9
$
159.9
$
29.3
$
420.0
$
608.8
$
530.2
$
101.5
$
1,383.7
$
995.9
$
865.6
$
154.2
$
2,281.7
$
1,604.7
$
1,395.8
$
255.7
$
3,665.4
$

2008
117.5
$
102.4
$
19.6
$
267.1
$
192.3
$
167.1
$
29.8
$
440.5
$
309.8
$
269.5
$
49.3
$
707.7
$
1,025.7
$
893.3
$
170.9
$
2,331.4
$
1,678.2
$
1,458.5
$
259.8
$
3,844.8
$
2,703.8
$
2,351.8
$
430.6
$
6,176.2
$

2009
170.3
$
148.3
$
28.3
$
387.1
$
278.6
$
242.2
$
43.1
$
638.4
$
448.9
$
390.5
$
71.5
$
1,025.4
$
1,485.9
$
1,294.2
$
247.4
$
3,378.0
$
2,431.6
$
2,113.4
$
376.4
$
5,571.1
$
3,917.6
$
3,407.6
$
623.8
$
8,949.1
$

2010
226.9
$
197.6
$
37.7
$
515.9
$
371.4
$
322.8
$
57.5
$
850.9
$
598.3
$
520.5
$
95.2
$
1,366.9
$
1,980.5
$
1,724.9
$
329.4
$
4,502.6
$
3,241.4
$
2,817.3
$
501.8
$
7,426.4
$
5,221.9
$
4,542.1
$
831.2
$
11,929.0
$

2011
286.9
$
249.9
$
47.7
$
652.3
$
469.7
$
408.2
$
72.7
$
1,076.0
$
756.6
$
658.1
$
120.4
$
1,728.4
$
2,504.0
$
2,180.7
$
416.2
$
5,693.2
$
4,098.8
$
3,562.4
$
634.5
$
9,390.7
$
6,602.7
$
5,743.2
$
1,050.7
$
15,083.9
$

2012
320.1
$
278.8
$
53.2
$
728.0
$
524.1
$
455.5
$
81.1
$
1,200.8
$
844.3
$
734.4
$
134.3
$
1,928.8
$
2,794.0
$
2,433.3
$
464.1
$
6,353.1
$
4,574.2
$
3,975.7
$
708.1
$
10,479.9
$
7,368.1
$
6,408.9
$
1,172.2
$
16,833.0
$

2013
344.0
$
299.6
$
57.1
$
782.2
$
563.2
$
489.5
$
87.2
$
1,290.4
$
907.2
$
789.1
$
144.3
$
2,072.6
$
3,002.0
$
2,614.4
$
498.2
$
6,826.7
$
4,915.5
$
4,272.3
$
761.0
$
11,261.9
$
7,917.4
$
6,886.7
$
1,259.2
$
18,088.6
$

2014
363.1
$
316.2
$
60.2
$
825.9
$
594.7
$
516.9
$
92.1
$
1,362.5
$
957.8
$
833.1
$
152.3
$
2,188.4
$
3,169.2
$
2,760.0
$
525.6
$
7,207.6
$
5,190.0
$
4,511.0
$
803.5
$
11,891.0
$
8,359.2
$
7,271.0
$
1,329.1
$
19,098.5
$

2015
378.3
$
329.4
$
62.7
$
860.3
$
619.5
$
538.5
$
95.9
$
1,419.4
$
997.8
$
867.9
$
158.6
$
2,279.8
$
3,301.1
$
2,874.9
$
547.1
$
7,508.3
$
5,406.9
$
4,699.5
$
837.1
$
12,387.8
$
8,708.0
$
7,574.4
$
1,384.2
$
19,896.1
$

2016
391.1
$
340.6
$
64.8
$
889.6
$
640.7
$
556.9
$
99.2
$
1,467.9
$
1,031.8
$
897.5
$
164.0
$
2,357.5
$
3,413.3
$
2,972.5
$
565.3
$
7,764.0
$
5,591.4
$
4,859.9
$
865.7
$
12,810.5
$
9,004.7
$
7,832.4
$
1,431.0
$
20,574.5
$

2017
402.5
$
350.5
$
66.6
$
915.6
$
659.4
$
573.1
$
102.1
$
1,510.8
$
1,061.9
$
923.6
$
168.7
$
2,426.3
$
3,512.5
$
3,058.9
$
581.3
$
7,990.4
$
5,754.7
$
5,002.0
$
891.0
$
13,184.9
$
9,267.3
$
8,060.9
$
1,472.3
$
21,175.3
$

2018
412.8
$
359.5
$
68.3
$
939.2
$
676.4
$
588.0
$
104.7
$
1,549.8
$
1,089.2
$
947.4
$
173.0
$
2,488.9
$
3,602.8
$
3,137.4
$
595.9
$
8,196.3
$
5,903.4
$
5,131.2
$
914.0
$
13,525.4
$
9,506.1
$
8,268.6
$
1,509.9
$
21,721.7
$

2019
422.4
$
367.8
$
69.8
$
961.0
$
692.2
$
601.7
$
107.2
$
1,586.0
$
1,114.6
$
969.5
$
177.0
$
2,547.0
$
3,686.4
$
3,210.2
$
609.3
$
8,387.2
$
6,041.3
$
5,251.1
$
935.4
$
13,841.4
$
9,727.7
$
8,461.3
$
1,544.7
$
22,228.6
$

2020
431.4
$
375.7
$
71.3
$
981.6
$
707.1
$
614.6
$
109.5
$
1,620.1
$
1,138.5
$
990.3
$
180.7
$
2,601.7
$
3,765.2
$
3,278.7
$
621.9
$
8,567.1
$
6,171.1
$
5,364.0
$
955.5
$
14,139.0
$
9,936.3
$
8,642.7
$
1,577.4
$
22,706.0
$

2021
440.0
$
383.1
$
72.6
$
1,001.3
$
721.3
$
626.9
$
111.7
$
1,652.6
$
1,161.3
$
1,010.1
$
184.3
$
2,653.8
$
3,840.1
$
3,343.8
$
633.8
$
8,738.2
$
6,294.8
$
5,471.4
$
974.7
$
14,422.3
$
10,134.8
$
8,815.2
$
1,608.5
$
23,160.4
$

2022
448.2
$
390.3
$
73.9
$
1,020.1
$
734.9
$
638.7
$
113.8
$
1,683.7
$
1,183.1
$
1,029.0
$
187.7
$
2,703.8
$
3,911.9
$
3,406.3
$
645.3
$
8,902.4
$
6,413.4
$
5,574.5
$
993.0
$
14,694.1
$
10,325.4
$
8,980.8
$
1,638.3
$
23,596.5
$

2023
456.2
$
397.2
$
75.2
$
1,038.2
$
748.0
$
650.2
$
115.8
$
1,713.8
$
1,204.2
$
1,047.4
$
191.0
$
2,752.1
$
3,981.4
$
3,466.7
$
656.3
$
9,061.1
$
6,528.1
$
5,674.1
$
1,010.8
$
14,956.9
$
10,509.5
$
9,140.8
$
1,667.1
$
24,018.0
$

2024
463.9
$
403.9
$
76.4
$
1,055.9
$
760.8
$
661.3
$
117.8
$
1,743.1
$
1,224.7
$
1,065.2
$
194.2
$
2,799.0
$
4,048.9
$
3,525.4
$
667.0
$
9,215.4
$
6,639.7
$
5,771.0
$
1,028.1
$
15,212.5
$
10,688.5
$
9,296.4
$
1,695.1
$
24,427.9
$

2025
471.5
$
410.5
$
77.6
$
1,073.2
$
773.3
$
672.1
$
119.7
$
1,771.7
$
1,244.8
$
1,082.6
$
197.4
$
2,844.9
$
4,114.8
$
3,582.7
$
677.4
$
9,366.1
$
6,748.6
$
5,865.6
$
1,045.0
$
15,462.2
$
10,863.4
$
9,448.3
$
1,722.4
$
24,828.3
$

2026
478.9
$
417.0
$
78.8
$
1,090.1
$
785.5
$
682.7
$
121.6
$
1,799.8
$
1,264.4
$
1,099.7
$
200.4
$
2,889.9
$
4,179.5
$
3,638.9
$
687.7
$
9,514.0
$
6,855.6
$
5,958.5
$
1,061.6
$
15,707.2
$
11,035.0
$
9,597.4
$
1,749.2
$
25,221.2
$

2027
486.2
$
423.3
$
79.9
$
1,106.8
$
797.6
$
693.2
$
123.5
$
1,827.4
$
1,283.8
$
1,116.5
$
203.5
$
2,934.3
$
4,243.1
$
3,694.2
$
697.7
$
9,659.6
$
6,960.8
$
6,050.0
$
1,077.9
$
15,948.5
$
11,204.0
$
9,744.2
$
1,775.6
$
25,608.1
$

Total
7,611.1
$
6,627.7
$
1,258.3
$
17,315.9
$
12,472.3
$
10,840.5
$
1,931.1
$
28,575.6
$
20,083.3
$
17,468.2
$
3,189.4
$
45,891.6
$
66,423.7
$
57,841.6
$
10,981.5
$
151,120.9
$
108,848.8
$
94,608.3
$
16,853.0
$
249,387.3
$
175,272.5
$
152,449.9
$
27,834.5
$
400,508.2
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
8a
and
F.
8b.
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
8c
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
2
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
26.5
$
23.1
$
4.4
$
60.2
$
43.4
$
37.7
$
6.7
$
99.3
$
69.9
$
60.8
$
11.1
$
159.6
$
231.3
$
201.5
$
38.6
$
525.7
$
378.3
$
328.8
$
58.6
$
866.8
$
609.7
$
530.3
$
97.2
$
1,392.5
$

2007
62.0
$
54.0
$
10.3
$
140.9
$
101.4
$
88.1
$
15.7
$
232.3
$
163.4
$
142.1
$
26.0
$
373.2
$
540.9
$
471.1
$
90.2
$
1,229.4
$
884.9
$
769.1
$
137.0
$
2,027.3
$
1,425.8
$
1,240.2
$
227.2
$
3,256.7
$

2008
101.4
$
88.3
$
16.9
$
230.4
$
165.9
$
144.2
$
25.7
$
380.0
$
267.2
$
232.5
$
42.6
$
610.5
$
884.7
$
770.6
$
147.4
$
2,011.1
$
1,447.6
$
1,258.1
$
224.1
$
3,316.6
$
2,332.3
$
2,028.7
$
371.5
$
5,327.7
$

2009
142.6
$
124.2
$
23.7
$
324.2
$
233.3
$
202.8
$
36.1
$
534.6
$
375.9
$
327.0
$
59.9
$
858.8
$
1,244.5
$
1,083.8
$
207.2
$
2,829.0
$
2,036.5
$
1,769.9
$
315.3
$
4,665.7
$
3,280.9
$
2,853.8
$
522.4
$
7,494.7
$

2010
184.5
$
160.7
$
30.7
$
419.5
$
302.0
$
262.5
$
46.8
$
691.9
$
486.5
$
423.2
$
77.4
$
1,111.4
$
1,610.3
$
1,402.5
$
267.9
$
3,661.0
$
2,635.6
$
2,290.7
$
408.0
$
6,038.4
$
4,245.9
$
3,693.2
$
675.9
$
9,699.4
$

2011
226.5
$
197.3
$
37.6
$
515.0
$
370.7
$
322.2
$
57.4
$
849.4
$
597.2
$
519.5
$
95.0
$
1,364.4
$
1,976.6
$
1,721.5
$
328.5
$
4,494.3
$
3,235.6
$
2,812.2
$
500.9
$
7,413.1
$
5,212.3
$
4,533.7
$
829.5
$
11,907.4
$

2012
245.4
$
213.7
$
40.8
$
557.9
$
401.7
$
349.1
$
62.2
$
920.3
$
647.1
$
562.8
$
102.9
$
1,478.3
$
2,141.3
$
1,864.9
$
355.7
$
4,869.1
$
3,505.7
$
3,047.0
$
542.7
$
8,032.0
$
5,647.1
$
4,911.9
$
898.4
$
12,901.1
$

2013
256.0
$
222.9
$
42.5
$
582.0
$
419.1
$
364.3
$
64.9
$
960.2
$
675.0
$
587.2
$
107.4
$
1,542.2
$
2,233.8
$
1,945.4
$
370.7
$
5,079.7
$
3,657.6
$
3,179.0
$
566.2
$
8,379.9
$
5,891.3
$
5,124.4
$
937.0
$
13,459.6
$

2014
262.3
$
228.5
$
43.5
$
596.6
$
429.6
$
373.4
$
66.5
$
984.3
$
692.0
$
601.9
$
110.0
$
1,580.9
$
2,289.5
$
1,993.9
$
379.7
$
5,206.9
$
3,749.4
$
3,258.9
$
580.5
$
8,590.3
$
6,038.9
$
5,252.7
$
960.2
$
13,797.2
$

2015
265.3
$
231.0
$
44.0
$
603.4
$
434.5
$
377.7
$
67.3
$
995.6
$
699.8
$
608.7
$
111.2
$
1,599.0
$
2,315.4
$
2,016.4
$
383.7
$
5,266.2
$
3,792.3
$
3,296.2
$
587.1
$
8,688.5
$
6,107.6
$
5,312.5
$
970.9
$
13,954.7
$

2016
266.3
$
231.9
$
44.1
$
605.8
$
436.3
$
379.2
$
67.5
$
999.5
$
702.6
$
611.1
$
111.7
$
1,605.3
$
2,324.3
$
2,024.1
$
384.9
$
5,286.9
$
3,807.4
$
3,309.4
$
589.5
$
8,723.3
$
6,131.7
$
5,333.5
$
974.4
$
14,010.3
$

2017
266.1
$
231.7
$
44.0
$
605.3
$
435.9
$
378.9
$
67.5
$
998.8
$
702.0
$
610.6
$
111.5
$
1,604.1
$
2,322.2
$
2,022.3
$
384.3
$
5,282.6
$
3,804.6
$
3,306.9
$
589.0
$
8,716.7
$
6,126.8
$
5,329.2
$
973.4
$
13,999.3
$

2018
265.0
$
230.7
$
43.8
$
602.8
$
434.2
$
377.4
$
67.2
$
994.7
$
699.1
$
608.1
$
111.0
$
1,597.6
$
2,312.5
$
2,013.8
$
382.5
$
5,260.9
$
3,789.1
$
3,293.5
$
586.7
$
8,681.5
$
6,101.6
$
5,307.3
$
969.1
$
13,942.3
$

2019
263.2
$
229.2
$
43.5
$
598.9
$
431.4
$
375.0
$
66.8
$
988.3
$
694.6
$
604.2
$
110.3
$
1,587.2
$
2,297.3
$
2,000.5
$
379.7
$
5,226.7
$
3,764.7
$
3,272.3
$
582.9
$
8,625.5
$
6,062.0
$
5,272.8
$
962.6
$
13,852.1
$

2020
261.0
$
227.3
$
43.1
$
593.9
$
427.8
$
371.9
$
66.2
$
980.2
$
688.8
$
599.2
$
109.4
$
1,574.1
$
2,278.0
$
1,983.7
$
376.3
$
5,183.2
$
3,733.6
$
3,245.3
$
578.1
$
8,554.3
$
6,011.6
$
5,229.0
$
954.3
$
13,737.5
$

2021
258.5
$
225.1
$
42.7
$
588.1
$
423.7
$
368.3
$
65.6
$
970.7
$
682.1
$
593.3
$
108.3
$
1,558.8
$
2,255.6
$
1,964.2
$
372.3
$
5,132.8
$
3,697.5
$
3,213.9
$
572.5
$
8,471.6
$
5,953.2
$
5,178.0
$
944.8
$
13,604.3
$

2022
255.6
$
222.6
$
42.2
$
581.7
$
419.1
$
364.3
$
64.9
$
960.2
$
674.7
$
586.9
$
107.1
$
1,541.9
$
2,230.9
$
1,942.6
$
368.0
$
5,076.9
$
3,657.5
$
3,179.0
$
566.3
$
8,379.9
$
5,888.4
$
5,121.6
$
934.3
$
13,456.8
$

2023
252.6
$
219.9
$
41.6
$
574.9
$
414.2
$
360.0
$
64.1
$
948.9
$
666.7
$
579.9
$
105.8
$
1,523.8
$
2,204.4
$
1,919.4
$
363.4
$
5,016.9
$
3,614.5
$
3,141.6
$
559.7
$
8,281.3
$
5,818.8
$
5,061.0
$
923.0
$
13,298.2
$

2024
249.4
$
217.1
$
41.1
$
567.6
$
409.0
$
355.5
$
63.3
$
937.0
$
658.4
$
572.6
$
104.4
$
1,504.6
$
2,176.5
$
1,895.1
$
358.6
$
4,953.7
$
3,569.1
$
3,102.2
$
552.7
$
8,177.5
$
5,745.6
$
4,997.2
$
911.2
$
13,131.2
$

2025
246.1
$
214.2
$
40.5
$
560.1
$
403.6
$
350.8
$
62.5
$
924.6
$
649.6
$
565.0
$
103.0
$
1,484.7
$
2,147.5
$
1,869.8
$
353.6
$
4,888.1
$
3,522.1
$
3,061.2
$
545.4
$
8,069.6
$
5,669.5
$
4,931.0
$
898.9
$
12,957.7
$

2026
242.7
$
211.3
$
39.9
$
552.4
$
398.0
$
345.9
$
61.6
$
911.9
$
640.7
$
557.2
$
101.6
$
1,464.3
$
2,117.7
$
1,843.8
$
348.4
$
4,820.7
$
3,473.7
$
3,019.1
$
537.9
$
7,958.7
$
5,591.4
$
4,862.9
$
886.3
$
12,779.4
$

2027
239.2
$
208.2
$
39.3
$
544.5
$
392.4
$
341.0
$
60.8
$
899.0
$
631.5
$
549.3
$
100.1
$
1,443.5
$
2,087.3
$
1,817.3
$
343.2
$
4,751.9
$
3,424.3
$
2,976.2
$
530.2
$
7,845.6
$
5,511.6
$
4,793.5
$
873.5
$
12,597.5
$

Total
4,838.0
$
4,213.0
$
800.3
$
11,006.1
$
7,927.0
$
6,890.0
$
1,227.3
$
18,161.9
$
12,765.0
$
11,102.9
$
2,027.7
$
29,168.1
$
42,222.5
$
36,767.8
$
6,984.7
$
96,053.6
$
69,181.5
$
60,130.6
$
10,711.2
$
158,504.0
$
111,404.0
$
96,898.4
$
17,695.9
$
254,557.6
$

Ann.
277.8
$
241.9
$
46.0
$
632.1
$
455.2
$
395.7
$
70.5
$
1,043.0
$
733.1
$
637.6
$
116.4
$
1,675.1
$
2,424.7
$
2,111.5
$
401.1
$
5,516.2
$
3,972.9
$
3,453.2
$
615.1
$
9,102.5
$
6,397.7
$
5,564.7
$
1,016.2
$
14,618.7
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
8c.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
8d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
2
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
23.6
$
20.6
$
3.9
$
53.7
$
38.7
$
33.6
$
6.0
$
88.6
$
62.3
$
54.2
$
9.9
$
142.3
$
206.3
$
179.7
$
34.4
$
468.9
$
337.5
$
293.3
$
52.2
$
773.2
$
543.8
$
473.0
$
86.7
$
1,242.1
$

2007
53.2
$
46.4
$
8.9
$
121.0
$
87.1
$
75.7
$
13.5
$
199.5
$
140.3
$
122.0
$
22.3
$
320.4
$
464.4
$
404.5
$
77.4
$
1,055.6
$
759.8
$
660.3
$
117.6
$
1,740.7
$
1,224.2
$
1,064.9
$
195.0
$
2,796.4
$

2008
83.8
$
73.0
$
14.0
$
190.5
$
137.1
$
119.2
$
21.2
$
314.1
$
220.9
$
192.1
$
35.2
$
504.6
$
731.3
$
636.9
$
121.8
$
1,662.3
$
1,196.5
$
1,039.9
$
185.2
$
2,741.3
$
1,927.8
$
1,676.8
$
307.0
$
4,403.6
$

2009
113.5
$
98.8
$
18.9
$
257.9
$
185.7
$
161.4
$
28.7
$
425.4
$
299.1
$
260.2
$
47.6
$
683.3
$
990.1
$
862.4
$
164.8
$
2,250.9
$
1,620.3
$
1,408.3
$
250.8
$
3,712.3
$
2,610.4
$
2,270.6
$
415.7
$
5,963.1
$

2010
141.3
$
123.1
$
23.5
$
321.3
$
231.3
$
201.0
$
35.8
$
529.9
$
372.6
$
324.1
$
59.3
$
851.2
$
1,233.4
$
1,074.2
$
205.2
$
2,804.0
$
2,018.6
$
1,754.4
$
312.5
$
4,624.8
$
3,252.0
$
2,828.6
$
517.6
$
7,428.8
$

2011
167.0
$
145.4
$
27.8
$
379.7
$
273.3
$
237.6
$
42.3
$
626.3
$
440.3
$
383.0
$
70.1
$
1,005.9
$
1,457.3
$
1,269.2
$
242.2
$
3,313.5
$
2,385.5
$
2,073.4
$
369.3
$
5,465.5
$
3,842.9
$
3,342.6
$
611.5
$
8,779.0
$

2012
174.1
$
151.7
$
28.9
$
396.0
$
285.1
$
247.8
$
44.1
$
653.2
$
459.2
$
399.4
$
73.1
$
1,049.1
$
1,519.7
$
1,323.5
$
252.4
$
3,455.7
$
2,488.0
$
2,162.5
$
385.2
$
5,700.4
$
4,007.8
$
3,486.0
$
637.6
$
9,156.0
$

2013
174.9
$
152.3
$
29.0
$
397.6
$
286.3
$
248.9
$
44.3
$
656.0
$
461.2
$
401.1
$
73.3
$
1,053.6
$
1,526.1
$
1,329.0
$
253.3
$
3,470.3
$
2,498.8
$
2,171.8
$
386.8
$
5,725.0
$
4,024.8
$
3,500.9
$
640.1
$
9,195.3
$

2014
172.5
$
150.2
$
28.6
$
392.4
$
282.5
$
245.6
$
43.7
$
647.3
$
455.1
$
395.8
$
72.4
$
1,039.7
$
1,505.7
$
1,311.3
$
249.7
$
3,424.3
$
2,465.7
$
2,143.2
$
381.7
$
5,649.3
$
3,971.4
$
3,454.4
$
631.5
$
9,073.6
$

2015
168.0
$
146.3
$
27.8
$
382.0
$
275.1
$
239.1
$
42.6
$
630.2
$
443.0
$
385.4
$
70.4
$
1,012.2
$
1,465.7
$
1,276.5
$
242.9
$
3,333.8
$
2,400.7
$
2,086.6
$
371.7
$
5,500.3
$
3,866.5
$
3,363.1
$
614.6
$
8,834.1
$

2016
162.3
$
141.3
$
26.9
$
369.2
$
265.9
$
231.1
$
41.2
$
609.1
$
428.2
$
372.4
$
68.0
$
978.3
$
1,416.4
$
1,233.5
$
234.6
$
3,221.8
$
2,320.2
$
2,016.7
$
359.2
$
5,315.9
$
3,736.6
$
3,250.2
$
593.8
$
8,537.7
$

2017
156.1
$
135.9
$
25.8
$
355.1
$
255.7
$
222.3
$
39.6
$
585.9
$
411.8
$
358.2
$
65.4
$
941.0
$
1,362.2
$
1,186.3
$
225.5
$
3,098.8
$
2,231.8
$
1,939.9
$
345.5
$
5,113.3
$
3,594.0
$
3,126.1
$
571.0
$
8,212.1
$

2018
149.6
$
130.3
$
24.7
$
340.4
$
245.2
$
213.1
$
38.0
$
561.7
$
394.8
$
343.4
$
62.7
$
902.1
$
1,305.8
$
1,137.1
$
216.0
$
2,970.7
$
2,139.7
$
1,859.8
$
331.3
$
4,902.2
$
3,445.5
$
2,996.9
$
547.2
$
7,872.9
$

2019
143.1
$
124.6
$
23.6
$
325.5
$
234.5
$
203.8
$
36.3
$
537.2
$
377.6
$
328.4
$
60.0
$
862.8
$
1,248.7
$
1,087.4
$
206.4
$
2,841.1
$
2,046.4
$
1,778.7
$
316.8
$
4,688.6
$
3,295.1
$
2,866.1
$
523.2
$
7,529.6
$

2020
136.6
$
118.9
$
22.6
$
310.8
$
223.9
$
194.6
$
34.7
$
512.9
$
360.4
$
313.5
$
57.2
$
823.6
$
1,192.0
$
1,038.0
$
196.9
$
2,712.1
$
1,953.6
$
1,698.1
$
302.5
$
4,476.0
$
3,145.6
$
2,736.0
$
499.4
$
7,188.2
$

2021
130.2
$
113.4
$
21.5
$
296.2
$
213.4
$
185.5
$
33.0
$
488.9
$
343.6
$
298.8
$
54.5
$
785.2
$
1,136.1
$
989.3
$
187.5
$
2,585.3
$
1,862.4
$
1,618.8
$
288.4
$
4,267.0
$
2,998.5
$
2,608.1
$
475.9
$
6,852.3
$

2022
123.9
$
107.9
$
20.4
$
282.1
$
203.2
$
176.6
$
31.5
$
465.6
$
327.1
$
284.5
$
51.9
$
747.6
$
1,081.7
$
941.9
$
178.4
$
2,461.6
$
1,773.4
$
1,541.4
$
274.6
$
4,063.0
$
2,855.0
$
2,483.3
$
453.0
$
6,524.6
$

2023
117.9
$
102.7
$
19.4
$
268.3
$
193.3
$
168.0
$
29.9
$
442.9
$
311.2
$
270.7
$
49.4
$
711.2
$
1,028.9
$
895.9
$
169.6
$
2,341.6
$
1,687.0
$
1,466.3
$
261.2
$
3,865.2
$
2,715.9
$
2,362.2
$
430.8
$
6,206.7
$

2024
112.0
$
97.6
$
18.5
$
255.0
$
183.7
$
159.7
$
28.5
$
421.0
$
295.8
$
257.3
$
46.9
$
676.0
$
977.9
$
851.4
$
161.1
$
2,225.6
$
1,603.6
$
1,393.8
$
248.3
$
3,674.0
$
2,581.4
$
2,245.2
$
409.4
$
5,899.7
$

2025
106.4
$
92.7
$
17.5
$
242.2
$
174.5
$
151.7
$
27.0
$
399.9
$
281.0
$
244.4
$
44.5
$
642.1
$
928.8
$
808.7
$
152.9
$
2,114.1
$
1,523.3
$
1,324.0
$
235.9
$
3,490.0
$
2,452.0
$
2,132.6
$
388.8
$
5,604.1
$

2026
101.0
$
88.0
$
16.6
$
230.0
$
165.7
$
144.0
$
25.7
$
379.7
$
266.7
$
232.0
$
42.3
$
609.6
$
881.6
$
767.6
$
145.1
$
2,007.0
$
1,446.2
$
1,256.9
$
223.9
$
3,313.4
$
2,327.8
$
2,024.5
$
369.0
$
5,320.3
$

2027
95.9
$
83.5
$
15.8
$
218.2
$
157.2
$
136.7
$
24.3
$
360.3
$
253.1
$
220.1
$
40.1
$
578.5
$
836.5
$
728.3
$
137.6
$
1,904.4
$
1,372.3
$
1,192.7
$
212.5
$
3,144.2
$
2,208.8
$
1,921.0
$
350.1
$
5,048.5
$

Total
2,806.9
$
2,444.3
$
464.7
$
6,384.9
$
4,598.4
$
3,996.8
$
711.9
$
10,535.4
$
7,405.3
$
6,441.1
$
1,176.7
$
16,920.4
$
24,496.6
$
21,332.4
$
4,055.7
$
55,723.2
$
40,131.2
$
34,880.8
$
6,213.3
$
91,945.6
$
64,627.8
$
56,213.2
$
10,269.0
$
147,668.8
$

Ann.
240.9
$
209.8
$
39.9
$
547.9
$
394.6
$
343.0
$
61.1
$
904.1
$
635.5
$
552.7
$
101.0
$
1,451.9
$
2,102.1
$
1,830.5
$
348.0
$
4,781.6
$
3,443.7
$
2,993.1
$
533.2
$
7,889.9
$
5,545.7
$
4,823.7
$
881.2
$
12,671.5
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
8c.
Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Exhibit
F.
8e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
(
All
Water
Systems)

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
2
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.8
$
11.0
$
7.0
$
26.6
$
22.4
$
69.9
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
1.4
$
6.6
$
16.1
$
96.1
$
60.8
$
232.4
$
195.1
$
609.7
$

2007
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.8
$
4.3
$
25.8
$
16.3
$
62.3
$
52.3
$
163.4
$
0.4
$
2.4
$
3.3
$
15.4
$
37.6
$
224.8
$
142.1
$
543.6
$
456.2
$
1,425.8
$

2008
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.9
$
7.0
$
42.1
$
26.6
$
101.9
$
85.5
$
267.2
$
0.6
$
3.9
$
5.4
$
25.3
$
61.5
$
367.7
$
232.4
$
889.3
$
746.3
$
2,332.3
$

2009
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.9
$
4.1
$
9.9
$
59.3
$
37.5
$
143.3
$
120.3
$
375.9
$
0.8
$
5.5
$
7.5
$
35.5
$
86.5
$
517.2
$
326.9
$
1,250.9
$
1,049.9
$
3,280.9
$

2010
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
5.3
$
12.8
$
76.7
$
48.5
$
185.5
$
155.7
$
486.5
$
1.1
$
7.2
$
9.8
$
46.0
$
112.0
$
669.3
$
423.1
$
1,618.8
$
1,358.7
$
4,245.9
$

2011
0.1
$
1.0
$
1.4
$
6.5
$
15.8
$
94.2
$
59.5
$
227.7
$
191.1
$
597.2
$
1.3
$
8.8
$
12.0
$
56.5
$
137.5
$
821.7
$
519.4
$
1,987.3
$
1,667.9
$
5,212.3
$

2012
0.2
$
1.2
$
1.6
$
7.7
$
18.6
$
101.6
$
64.2
$
245.7
$
206.2
$
647.1
$
1.5
$
10.4
$
14.2
$
66.8
$
162.8
$
886.7
$
560.5
$
2,144.4
$
1,799.8
$
5,647.1
$

2013
0.2
$
1.4
$
1.9
$
8.8
$
21.5
$
105.5
$
66.7
$
255.1
$
214.1
$
675.0
$
1.8
$
12.0
$
16.3
$
77.1
$
187.7
$
920.4
$
581.8
$
2,226.0
$
1,868.3
$
5,891.3
$

2014
0.2
$
1.6
$
2.1
$
10.0
$
24.3
$
107.5
$
68.0
$
260.0
$
218.3
$
692.0
$
2.0
$
13.6
$
18.5
$
87.1
$
212.1
$
938.4
$
593.2
$
2,269.5
$
1,904.7
$
6,038.9
$

2015
0.2
$
1.6
$
2.2
$
10.5
$
25.5
$
108.5
$
68.6
$
262.4
$
220.3
$
699.8
$
2.1
$
14.2
$
19.4
$
91.3
$
222.3
$
947.0
$
598.6
$
2,290.4
$
1,922.3
$
6,107.6
$

2016
0.2
$
1.7
$
2.3
$
10.7
$
26.0
$
108.8
$
68.8
$
263.2
$
220.9
$
702.6
$
2.1
$
14.5
$
19.8
$
93.3
$
227.3
$
949.7
$
600.3
$
2,296.9
$
1,927.7
$
6,131.7
$

2017
0.2
$
1.7
$
2.3
$
10.8
$
26.3
$
108.7
$
68.7
$
262.8
$
220.6
$
702.0
$
2.2
$
14.7
$
20.0
$
94.3
$
229.6
$
948.3
$
599.4
$
2,293.5
$
1,924.9
$
6,126.8
$

2018
0.2
$
1.7
$
2.3
$
10.8
$
26.4
$
108.2
$
68.4
$
261.6
$
219.6
$
699.1
$
2.2
$
14.7
$
20.1
$
94.6
$
230.3
$
944.0
$
596.7
$
2,283.0
$
1,916.1
$
6,101.6
$

2019
0.2
$
1.7
$
2.3
$
10.8
$
26.3
$
107.4
$
67.9
$
259.8
$
218.1
$
694.6
$
2.2
$
14.7
$
20.0
$
94.4
$
230.0
$
937.5
$
592.6
$
2,267.5
$
1,903.0
$
6,062.0
$

2020
0.2
$
1.7
$
2.3
$
10.8
$
26.2
$
106.5
$
67.3
$
257.6
$
216.2
$
688.8
$
2.1
$
14.6
$
19.9
$
94.0
$
228.9
$
929.5
$
587.6
$
2,248.1
$
1,886.8
$
6,011.6
$

2021
0.2
$
1.7
$
2.3
$
10.7
$
26.0
$
105.5
$
66.7
$
255.0
$
214.1
$
682.1
$
2.1
$
14.5
$
19.8
$
93.3
$
227.3
$
920.3
$
581.8
$
2,225.8
$
1,868.1
$
5,953.2
$

2022
0.2
$
1.7
$
2.2
$
10.6
$
25.8
$
104.3
$
65.9
$
252.2
$
211.7
$
674.7
$
2.1
$
14.4
$
19.6
$
92.5
$
225.3
$
910.2
$
575.4
$
2,201.3
$
1,847.5
$
5,888.4
$

2023
0.2
$
1.6
$
2.2
$
10.5
$
25.6
$
103.1
$
65.1
$
249.2
$
209.2
$
666.7
$
2.1
$
14.3
$
19.4
$
91.6
$
223.0
$
899.4
$
568.5
$
2,175.1
$
1,825.5
$
5,818.8
$

2024
0.2
$
1.6
$
2.2
$
10.4
$
25.3
$
101.7
$
64.3
$
246.1
$
206.5
$
658.4
$
2.1
$
14.1
$
19.2
$
90.5
$
220.5
$
888.0
$
561.3
$
2,147.5
$
1,802.4
$
5,745.6
$

2025
0.2
$
1.6
$
2.2
$
10.2
$
25.0
$
100.4
$
63.5
$
242.8
$
203.8
$
649.6
$
2.0
$
13.9
$
19.0
$
89.5
$
217.8
$
876.1
$
553.8
$
2,118.9
$
1,778.4
$
5,669.5
$

2026
0.2
$
1.6
$
2.1
$
10.1
$
24.6
$
99.0
$
62.6
$
239.4
$
201.0
$
640.7
$
2.0
$
13.8
$
18.7
$
88.3
$
215.0
$
864.0
$
546.1
$
2,089.6
$
1,753.8
$
5,591.4
$

2027
0.2
$
1.6
$
2.1
$
10.0
$
24.3
$
97.6
$
61.7
$
236.0
$
198.1
$
631.5
$
2.0
$
13.6
$
18.5
$
87.1
$
212.1
$
851.6
$
538.3
$
2,059.7
$
1,728.7
$
5,511.6
$

Total
4.2
$
28.8
$
39.2
$
184.6
$
449.5
$
1,983.2
$
1,253.6
$
4,796.4
$
4,025.6
$
12,765.0
$
36.8
$
251.1
$
341.7
$
1,610.9
$
3,923.1
$
17,308.0
$
10,940.6
$
41,859.7
$
35,132.1
$
#########

Ann.
0.2
$
1.7
$
2.2
$
10.6
$
25.8
$
113.9
$
72.0
$
275.4
$
231.2
$
733.1
$
2.1
$
14.4
$
19.6
$
92.5
$
225.3
$
994.0
$
628.3
$
2,403.9
$
2,017.6
$
6,397.7
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
8a
and
F.
8b.
Exhibit
F.
8f
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
2
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.6
$
9.8
$
6.2
$
23.8
$
19.9
$
62.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.2
$
5.9
$
14.3
$
85.7
$
54.2
$
207.3
$
174.0
$
543.8
$

2007
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.5
$
3.7
$
22.1
$
14.0
$
53.5
$
44.9
$
140.3
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.8
$
13.3
$
32.3
$
193.0
$
122.0
$
466.8
$
391.7
$
1,224.2
$

2008
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.4
$
5.8
$
34.8
$
22.0
$
84.2
$
70.7
$
220.9
$
0.5
$
3.3
$
4.4
$
20.9
$
50.8
$
303.9
$
192.1
$
735.0
$
616.9
$
1,927.8
$

2009
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
3.2
$
7.9
$
47.2
$
29.8
$
114.0
$
95.7
$
299.1
$
0.6
$
4.4
$
6.0
$
28.3
$
68.9
$
411.5
$
260.1
$
995.3
$
835.3
$
2,610.4
$

2010
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.9
$
4.0
$
9.8
$
58.7
$
37.1
$
142.1
$
119.2
$
372.6
$
0.8
$
5.5
$
7.5
$
35.2
$
85.8
$
512.7
$
324.1
$
1,239.9
$
1,040.6
$
3,252.0
$

2011
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.0
$
4.8
$
11.6
$
69.4
$
43.9
$
167.9
$
140.9
$
440.3
$
1.0
$
6.5
$
8.8
$
41.6
$
101.4
$
605.8
$
382.9
$
1,465.2
$
1,229.7
$
3,842.9
$

2012
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.2
$
5.4
$
13.2
$
72.1
$
45.6
$
174.4
$
146.4
$
459.2
$
1.1
$
7.4
$
10.1
$
47.4
$
115.5
$
629.3
$
397.8
$
1,521.9
$
1,277.3
$
4,007.8
$

2013
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.3
$
6.0
$
14.7
$
72.1
$
45.5
$
174.3
$
146.2
$
461.2
$
1.2
$
8.2
$
11.2
$
52.6
$
128.2
$
628.8
$
397.5
$
1,520.8
$
1,276.4
$
4,024.8
$

2014
0.1
$
1.0
$
1.4
$
6.6
$
16.0
$
70.7
$
44.7
$
171.0
$
143.5
$
455.1
$
1.3
$
8.9
$
12.1
$
57.3
$
139.5
$
617.1
$
390.1
$
1,492.5
$
1,252.6
$
3,971.4
$

2015
0.2
$
1.0
$
1.4
$
6.6
$
16.1
$
68.7
$
43.4
$
166.1
$
139.4
$
443.0
$
1.3
$
9.0
$
12.3
$
57.8
$
140.7
$
599.5
$
379.0
$
1,450.0
$
1,216.9
$
3,866.5
$

2016
0.1
$
1.0
$
1.4
$
6.5
$
15.9
$
66.3
$
41.9
$
160.4
$
134.6
$
428.2
$
1.3
$
8.9
$
12.1
$
56.9
$
138.5
$
578.7
$
365.8
$
1,399.7
$
1,174.7
$
3,736.6
$

2017
0.1
$
1.0
$
1.3
$
6.3
$
15.4
$
63.7
$
40.3
$
154.2
$
129.4
$
411.8
$
1.3
$
8.6
$
11.7
$
55.3
$
134.7
$
556.3
$
351.6
$
1,345.4
$
1,129.1
$
3,594.0
$

2018
0.1
$
1.0
$
1.3
$
6.1
$
14.9
$
61.1
$
38.6
$
147.7
$
124.0
$
394.8
$
1.2
$
8.3
$
11.3
$
53.4
$
130.0
$
533.0
$
336.9
$
1,289.2
$
1,082.0
$
3,445.5
$

2019
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.2
$
5.9
$
14.3
$
58.4
$
36.9
$
141.2
$
118.5
$
377.6
$
1.2
$
8.0
$
10.9
$
51.3
$
125.0
$
509.6
$
322.1
$
1,232.5
$
1,034.4
$
3,295.1
$

2020
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.2
$
5.6
$
13.7
$
55.7
$
35.2
$
134.8
$
113.1
$
360.4
$
1.1
$
7.7
$
10.4
$
49.2
$
119.8
$
486.4
$
307.4
$
1,176.3
$
987.3
$
3,145.6
$

2021
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
5.4
$
13.1
$
53.1
$
33.6
$
128.5
$
107.8
$
343.6
$
1.1
$
7.3
$
10.0
$
47.0
$
114.5
$
463.6
$
293.0
$
1,121.1
$
940.9
$
2,998.5
$

2022
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
5.1
$
12.5
$
50.6
$
32.0
$
122.3
$
102.6
$
327.1
$
1.0
$
7.0
$
9.5
$
44.9
$
109.2
$
441.3
$
279.0
$
1,067.3
$
895.8
$
2,855.0
$

2023
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.0
$
4.9
$
11.9
$
48.1
$
30.4
$
116.3
$
97.6
$
311.2
$
1.0
$
6.7
$
9.1
$
42.7
$
104.1
$
419.8
$
265.3
$
1,015.2
$
852.0
$
2,715.9
$

2024
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.0
$
4.7
$
11.4
$
45.7
$
28.9
$
110.6
$
92.8
$
295.8
$
0.9
$
6.3
$
8.6
$
40.7
$
99.1
$
398.9
$
252.2
$
964.9
$
809.8
$
2,581.4
$

2025
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.9
$
4.4
$
10.8
$
43.4
$
27.4
$
105.0
$
88.1
$
281.0
$
0.9
$
6.0
$
8.2
$
38.7
$
94.2
$
378.9
$
239.5
$
916.4
$
769.1
$
2,452.0
$

2026
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.9
$
4.2
$
10.3
$
41.2
$
26.1
$
99.7
$
83.7
$
266.7
$
0.8
$
5.7
$
7.8
$
36.8
$
89.5
$
359.7
$
227.4
$
869.9
$
730.1
$
2,327.8
$

2027
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.8
$
4.0
$
9.7
$
39.1
$
24.7
$
94.6
$
79.4
$
253.1
$
0.8
$
5.4
$
7.4
$
34.9
$
85.0
$
341.3
$
215.7
$
825.4
$
692.8
$
2,208.8
$

Total
2.4
$
16.3
$
22.2
$
104.5
$
254.5
$
1,152.1
$
728.3
$
2,786.4
$
2,338.6
$
7,405.3
$
20.8
$
142.1
$
193.4
$
912.0
$
2,221.0
$
10,054.9
$
6,355.8
$
24,318.0
$
20,409.7
$
64,627.8
$

Ann.
0.2
$
1.4
$
1.9
$
9.0
$
21.8
$
98.9
$
62.5
$
239.1
$
200.7
$
635.5
$
1.8
$
12.2
$
16.6
$
78.3
$
190.6
$
862.8
$
545.4
$
2,086.7
$
1,751.4
$
5,545.7
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
8a
and
F.
8b.
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
8g
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
F.
9
Model
Outputs
­
Alternative
2
TTHM
as
Indicator
Bronchitis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
2
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
27.5
$
23.9
$
4.6
$
62.4
$
7.9
$
7.3
$
3.6
$
14.4
$
35.4
$
31.2
$
8.2
$
76.9
$
239.7
$
208.7
$
40.0
$
544.7
$
68.9
$
63.4
$
31.2
$
126.0
$
308.6
$
272.2
$
71.2
$
670.7
$

2007
66.1
$
57.6
$
11.0
$
150.3
$
19.0
$
17.5
$
8.6
$
34.7
$
85.1
$
75.1
$
19.6
$
185.1
$
577.2
$
502.7
$
96.2
$
1,312.0
$
165.8
$
152.5
$
74.8
$
303.1
$
743.0
$
655.2
$
171.1
$
1,615.1
$

2008
111.4
$
97.1
$
18.6
$
253.3
$
32.0
$
29.4
$
14.4
$
58.4
$
143.4
$
126.5
$
33.0
$
311.7
$
972.5
$
847.0
$
162.0
$
2,210.6
$
278.9
$
256.6
$
125.9
$
509.7
$
1,251.4
$
1,103.6
$
287.9
$
2,720.3
$

2009
161.4
$
140.6
$
26.9
$
367.0
$
46.2
$
42.6
$
20.8
$
84.5
$
207.7
$
183.2
$
47.7
$
451.5
$
1,408.9
$
1,227.1
$
234.5
$
3,202.9
$
403.4
$
371.4
$
181.9
$
737.2
$
1,812.4
$
1,598.5
$
416.4
$
3,940.1
$

2010
215.2
$
187.4
$
35.8
$
489.2
$
61.5
$
56.7
$
27.7
$
112.4
$
276.7
$
244.1
$
63.5
$
601.6
$
1,877.8
$
1,635.5
$
312.4
$
4,269.2
$
536.9
$
494.6
$
242.0
$
981.1
$
2,414.7
$
2,130.0
$
554.4
$
5,250.3
$

2011
272.0
$
236.9
$
45.2
$
618.5
$
77.7
$
71.5
$
35.0
$
142.1
$
349.7
$
308.5
$
80.2
$
760.7
$
2,374.2
$
2,067.7
$
394.6
$
5,398.1
$
677.8
$
624.3
$
305.6
$
1,240.4
$
3,052.0
$
2,692.0
$
700.2
$
6,638.5
$

2012
303.3
$
264.2
$
50.4
$
689.8
$
86.5
$
79.7
$
38.9
$
158.4
$
389.8
$
343.9
$
89.3
$
848.1
$
2,647.4
$
2,305.6
$
439.7
$
6,019.8
$
754.6
$
695.3
$
339.8
$
1,382.2
$
3,402.0
$
3,000.9
$
779.5
$
7,402.0
$

2013
325.7
$
283.6
$
54.1
$
740.6
$
92.7
$
85.4
$
41.8
$
169.7
$
418.4
$
369.0
$
95.8
$
910.3
$
2,842.2
$
2,475.2
$
471.7
$
6,463.3
$
808.9
$
745.5
$
364.5
$
1,480.8
$
3,651.1
$
3,220.7
$
836.2
$
7,944.1
$

2014
343.5
$
299.1
$
57.0
$
781.2
$
97.6
$
90.0
$
44.0
$
178.7
$
441.1
$
389.1
$
101.0
$
959.9
$
2,997.8
$
2,610.7
$
497.2
$
6,817.8
$
851.9
$
785.3
$
383.9
$
1,559.7
$
3,849.7
$
3,396.1
$
881.1
$
8,377.5
$

2015
357.7
$
311.5
$
59.3
$
813.5
$
101.5
$
93.6
$
45.7
$
185.9
$
459.2
$
405.1
$
105.0
$
999.4
$
3,121.5
$
2,718.5
$
517.4
$
7,099.8
$
885.6
$
816.6
$
398.7
$
1,622.1
$
4,007.2
$
3,535.0
$
916.0
$
8,721.9
$

2016
369.8
$
322.0
$
61.2
$
841.1
$
104.7
$
96.6
$
47.1
$
191.8
$
474.5
$
418.6
$
108.3
$
1,032.9
$
3,227.0
$
2,810.3
$
534.5
$
7,340.3
$
914.1
$
842.9
$
411.0
$
1,674.0
$
4,141.1
$
3,653.2
$
945.4
$
9,014.3
$

2017
380.5
$
331.3
$
63.0
$
865.5
$
107.6
$
99.2
$
48.4
$
197.1
$
488.1
$
430.6
$
111.4
$
1,062.6
$
3,320.5
$
2,891.6
$
549.6
$
7,553.5
$
939.0
$
866.0
$
422.5
$
1,720.3
$
4,259.5
$
3,757.6
$
972.0
$
9,273.7
$

2018
390.2
$
339.8
$
64.5
$
887.7
$
110.2
$
101.6
$
49.5
$
201.9
$
500.4
$
441.4
$
114.1
$
1,089.7
$
3,405.5
$
2,965.6
$
563.2
$
7,747.5
$
961.4
$
886.9
$
432.4
$
1,762.3
$
4,366.9
$
3,852.5
$
995.6
$
9,509.8
$

2019
399.3
$
347.7
$
66.0
$
908.4
$
112.5
$
103.8
$
50.6
$
206.3
$
511.8
$
451.5
$
116.6
$
1,114.7
$
3,484.4
$
3,034.3
$
575.9
$
7,927.6
$
982.0
$
905.8
$
441.6
$
1,800.7
$
4,466.4
$
3,940.1
$
1,017.5
$
9,728.3
$

2020
407.8
$
355.1
$
67.4
$
927.8
$
114.7
$
105.8
$
51.6
$
210.6
$
522.5
$
460.9
$
118.9
$
1,138.4
$
3,558.7
$
3,098.9
$
587.8
$
8,097.3
$
1,001.3
$
923.1
$
450.0
$
1,838.2
$
4,559.9
$
4,022.1
$
1,037.8
$
9,935.5
$

2021
415.9
$
362.1
$
68.6
$
946.3
$
116.8
$
107.6
$
52.5
$
214.5
$
532.7
$
469.8
$
121.2
$
1,160.8
$
3,629.4
$
3,160.4
$
599.1
$
8,258.8
$
1,019.4
$
939.4
$
458.5
$
1,871.7
$
4,648.8
$
4,099.8
$
1,057.6
$
10,130.5
$

2022
423.6
$
368.9
$
69.9
$
964.1
$
118.8
$
109.5
$
53.4
$
218.2
$
542.4
$
478.4
$
123.3
$
1,182.3
$
3,697.2
$
3,219.4
$
609.9
$
8,413.8
$
1,036.6
$
955.3
$
466.3
$
1,904.7
$
4,733.8
$
4,174.7
$
1,076.1
$
10,318.5
$

2023
431.2
$
375.4
$
71.1
$
981.2
$
120.7
$
111.2
$
54.3
$
221.9
$
551.8
$
486.6
$
125.3
$
1,203.1
$
3,762.8
$
3,276.4
$
620.3
$
8,563.6
$
1,053.1
$
970.8
$
473.5
$
1,936.2
$
4,815.9
$
4,247.1
$
1,093.8
$
10,499.8
$

2024
438.5
$
381.8
$
72.2
$
997.9
$
122.5
$
113.0
$
55.1
$
225.2
$
560.9
$
494.7
$
127.3
$
1,223.1
$
3,826.5
$
3,331.8
$
630.4
$
8,709.3
$
1,069.0
$
985.8
$
480.5
$
1,965.2
$
4,895.5
$
4,317.5
$
1,110.9
$
10,674.5
$

2025
445.6
$
388.0
$
73.4
$
1,014.3
$
124.3
$
114.6
$
55.9
$
228.4
$
569.8
$
502.5
$
129.3
$
1,242.6
$
3,888.8
$
3,385.9
$
640.2
$
8,851.7
$
1,084.4
$
999.8
$
488.1
$
1,993.2
$
4,973.2
$
4,385.6
$
1,128.4
$
10,844.9
$

2026
452.6
$
394.0
$
74.5
$
1,030.3
$
126.0
$
116.2
$
56.7
$
231.6
$
578.6
$
510.2
$
131.2
$
1,261.8
$
3,949.9
$
3,439.0
$
649.9
$
8,991.4
$
1,099.4
$
1,014.1
$
495.0
$
2,021.1
$
5,049.3
$
4,453.1
$
1,144.9
$
11,012.5
$

2027
459.5
$
400.0
$
75.6
$
1,046.0
$
127.6
$
117.8
$
57.4
$
234.7
$
587.1
$
517.9
$
133.0
$
1,280.8
$
4,010.0
$
3,491.2
$
659.4
$
9,128.9
$
1,114.0
$
1,028.3
$
501.2
$
2,048.7
$
5,124.0
$
4,519.5
$
1,160.5
$
11,177.6
$

Total
7,198.1
$
6,268.1
$
1,190.0
$
16,376.5
$
2,028.9
$
1,870.4
$
913.1
$
3,721.5
$
9,227.0
$
8,138.5
$
2,103.1
$
20,097.9
$
62,819.9
$
54,703.4
$
10,385.7
$
142,921.7
$
17,706.4
$
16,323.7
$
7,968.7
$
32,478.4
$
80,526.3
$
71,027.1
$
18,354.4
$
175,400.1
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
20b,
and
E.
20e.
Exhibit
F.
9a
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
All
Surface
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
2
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.3
$
3.4
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.4
$
4.2
$
13.1
$
11.4
$
2.2
$
29.8
$
3.8
$
3.5
$
1.7
$
6.9
$
16.9
$
14.9
$
3.9
$
36.7
$

2007
3.6
$
3.1
$
0.6
$
8.2
$
1.0
$
1.0
$
0.5
$
1.9
$
4.7
$
4.1
$
1.1
$
10.1
$
31.6
$
27.5
$
5.3
$
71.7
$
9.1
$
8.3
$
4.1
$
16.6
$
40.6
$
35.8
$
9.4
$
88.3
$

2008
6.1
$
5.3
$
1.0
$
13.8
$
1.7
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.2
$
7.8
$
6.9
$
1.8
$
17.0
$
53.2
$
46.3
$
8.9
$
120.8
$
15.2
$
14.0
$
6.9
$
27.9
$
68.4
$
60.3
$
15.7
$
148.7
$

2009
8.8
$
7.7
$
1.5
$
20.1
$
2.5
$
2.3
$
1.1
$
4.6
$
11.4
$
10.0
$
2.6
$
24.7
$
77.0
$
67.1
$
12.8
$
175.1
$
22.1
$
20.3
$
9.9
$
40.3
$
99.1
$
87.4
$
22.8
$
215.4
$

2010
11.8
$
10.2
$
2.0
$
26.7
$
3.4
$
3.1
$
1.5
$
6.1
$
15.1
$
13.3
$
3.5
$
32.9
$
102.7
$
89.4
$
17.1
$
233.4
$
29.4
$
27.0
$
13.2
$
53.6
$
132.0
$
116.4
$
30.3
$
287.0
$

2011
14.9
$
13.0
$
2.5
$
33.8
$
4.2
$
3.9
$
1.9
$
7.8
$
19.1
$
16.9
$
4.4
$
41.6
$
129.8
$
113.0
$
21.6
$
295.1
$
37.1
$
34.1
$
16.7
$
67.8
$
166.8
$
147.2
$
38.3
$
362.9
$

2012
16.8
$
14.6
$
2.8
$
38.2
$
4.8
$
4.4
$
2.2
$
8.8
$
21.6
$
19.0
$
4.9
$
47.0
$
146.6
$
127.7
$
24.3
$
333.3
$
41.8
$
38.5
$
18.8
$
76.5
$
188.4
$
166.2
$
43.2
$
409.8
$

2013
18.3
$
15.9
$
3.0
$
41.6
$
5.2
$
4.8
$
2.3
$
9.5
$
23.5
$
20.8
$
5.4
$
51.2
$
159.8
$
139.2
$
26.5
$
363.5
$
45.5
$
41.9
$
20.5
$
83.3
$
205.3
$
181.1
$
47.0
$
446.7
$

2014
19.6
$
17.1
$
3.3
$
44.7
$
5.6
$
5.1
$
2.5
$
10.2
$
25.2
$
22.2
$
5.8
$
54.9
$
171.4
$
149.3
$
28.4
$
389.8
$
48.7
$
44.9
$
21.9
$
89.2
$
220.1
$
194.1
$
50.4
$
478.9
$

2015
20.6
$
17.9
$
3.4
$
46.8
$
5.8
$
5.4
$
2.6
$
10.7
$
26.4
$
23.3
$
6.0
$
57.5
$
179.6
$
156.4
$
29.8
$
408.5
$
51.0
$
47.0
$
22.9
$
93.3
$
230.5
$
203.4
$
52.7
$
501.8
$

2016
21.3
$
18.6
$
3.5
$
48.6
$
6.0
$
5.6
$
2.7
$
11.1
$
27.4
$
24.2
$
6.3
$
59.6
$
186.3
$
162.2
$
30.9
$
423.7
$
52.8
$
48.7
$
23.7
$
96.6
$
239.1
$
210.9
$
54.6
$
520.4
$

2017
22.0
$
19.2
$
3.6
$
50.1
$
6.2
$
5.7
$
2.8
$
11.4
$
28.2
$
24.9
$
6.4
$
61.5
$
192.1
$
167.3
$
31.8
$
436.9
$
54.3
$
50.1
$
24.4
$
99.5
$
246.4
$
217.4
$
56.2
$
536.4
$

2018
22.6
$
19.7
$
3.7
$
51.4
$
6.4
$
5.9
$
2.9
$
11.7
$
29.0
$
25.6
$
6.6
$
63.1
$
197.3
$
171.8
$
32.6
$
448.8
$
55.7
$
51.4
$
25.0
$
102.1
$
252.9
$
223.2
$
57.7
$
550.8
$

2019
23.1
$
20.2
$
3.8
$
52.7
$
6.5
$
6.0
$
2.9
$
12.0
$
29.7
$
26.2
$
6.8
$
64.6
$
202.0
$
175.9
$
33.4
$
459.6
$
56.9
$
52.5
$
25.6
$
104.4
$
259.0
$
228.4
$
59.0
$
564.0
$

2020
23.7
$
20.6
$
3.9
$
53.8
$
6.7
$
6.1
$
3.0
$
12.2
$
30.3
$
26.7
$
6.9
$
66.0
$
206.5
$
179.8
$
34.1
$
469.8
$
58.1
$
53.6
$
26.1
$
106.6
$
264.6
$
233.3
$
60.2
$
576.4
$

2021
24.1
$
21.0
$
4.0
$
54.9
$
6.8
$
6.2
$
3.0
$
12.4
$
30.9
$
27.3
$
7.0
$
67.4
$
210.7
$
183.5
$
34.8
$
479.4
$
59.2
$
54.5
$
26.6
$
108.6
$
269.9
$
238.0
$
61.4
$
588.1
$

2022
24.6
$
21.4
$
4.1
$
56.0
$
6.9
$
6.4
$
3.1
$
12.7
$
31.5
$
27.8
$
7.2
$
68.7
$
214.7
$
187.0
$
35.4
$
488.6
$
60.2
$
55.5
$
27.1
$
110.6
$
274.9
$
242.4
$
62.5
$
599.2
$

2023
25.0
$
21.8
$
4.1
$
57.0
$
7.0
$
6.5
$
3.2
$
12.9
$
32.1
$
28.3
$
7.3
$
69.9
$
218.6
$
190.3
$
36.0
$
497.5
$
61.2
$
56.4
$
27.5
$
112.5
$
279.8
$
246.7
$
63.5
$
609.9
$

2024
25.5
$
22.2
$
4.2
$
58.0
$
7.1
$
6.6
$
3.2
$
13.1
$
32.6
$
28.7
$
7.4
$
71.1
$
222.3
$
193.6
$
36.6
$
506.1
$
62.1
$
57.3
$
27.9
$
114.2
$
284.5
$
250.9
$
64.5
$
620.2
$

2025
25.9
$
22.5
$
4.3
$
58.9
$
7.2
$
6.7
$
3.3
$
13.3
$
33.1
$
29.2
$
7.5
$
72.2
$
226.0
$
196.8
$
37.2
$
514.4
$
63.0
$
58.1
$
28.4
$
115.8
$
289.0
$
254.9
$
65.6
$
630.3
$

2026
26.3
$
22.9
$
4.3
$
59.9
$
7.3
$
6.8
$
3.3
$
13.5
$
33.6
$
29.7
$
7.6
$
73.3
$
229.6
$
199.9
$
37.8
$
522.7
$
63.9
$
58.9
$
28.8
$
117.5
$
293.5
$
258.8
$
66.5
$
640.1
$

2027
26.7
$
23.3
$
4.4
$
60.8
$
7.4
$
6.8
$
3.3
$
13.6
$
34.1
$
30.1
$
7.7
$
74.5
$
233.1
$
203.0
$
38.3
$
530.7
$
64.8
$
59.8
$
29.1
$
119.1
$
297.9
$
262.7
$
67.5
$
649.8
$

Total
412.9
$
359.6
$
68.3
$
939.5
$
116.4
$
107.3
$
52.4
$
213.5
$
529.3
$
466.9
$
120.6
$
1,152.9
$
3,603.8
$
3,138.2
$
595.8
$
8,199.1
$
1,015.6
$
936.3
$
457.1
$
1,863.0
$
4,619.4
$
4,074.5
$
1,052.8
$
10,062.1
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
20c,
and
E.
20f.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
9b
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
All
Ground
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
2
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
29.0
$
25.2
$
4.8
$
65.8
$
8.3
$
7.7
$
3.8
$
15.2
$
37.3
$
32.9
$
8.6
$
81.1
$
252.8
$
220.2
$
42.2
$
574.4
$
72.7
$
66.9
$
32.9
$
132.9
$
325.5
$
287.1
$
75.1
$
707.4
$

2007
69.8
$
60.8
$
11.6
$
158.5
$
20.0
$
18.4
$
9.0
$
36.6
$
89.8
$
79.2
$
20.7
$
195.2
$
608.8
$
530.2
$
101.5
$
1,383.7
$
174.8
$
160.8
$
78.9
$
319.7
$
783.6
$
691.0
$
180.4
$
1,703.4
$

2008
117.5
$
102.4
$
19.6
$
267.1
$
33.7
$
31.0
$
15.2
$
61.6
$
151.2
$
133.4
$
34.8
$
328.7
$
1,025.7
$
893.3
$
170.9
$
2,331.4
$
294.1
$
270.6
$
132.7
$
537.6
$
1,319.8
$
1,163.9
$
303.6
$
2,869.0
$

2009
170.3
$
148.3
$
28.3
$
387.1
$
48.8
$
44.9
$
22.0
$
89.1
$
219.0
$
193.2
$
50.3
$
476.1
$
1,485.9
$
1,294.2
$
247.4
$
3,378.0
$
425.5
$
391.7
$
191.8
$
777.5
$
1,911.4
$
1,685.9
$
439.2
$
4,155.5
$

2010
226.9
$
197.6
$
37.7
$
515.9
$
64.9
$
59.8
$
29.2
$
118.6
$
291.8
$
257.4
$
67.0
$
634.5
$
1,980.5
$
1,724.9
$
329.4
$
4,502.6
$
566.3
$
521.6
$
255.2
$
1,034.7
$
2,546.8
$
2,246.4
$
584.7
$
5,537.3
$

2011
286.9
$
249.9
$
47.7
$
652.3
$
81.9
$
75.4
$
36.9
$
149.9
$
368.8
$
325.3
$
84.6
$
802.2
$
2,504.0
$
2,180.7
$
416.2
$
5,693.2
$
714.8
$
658.5
$
322.3
$
1,308.2
$
3,218.8
$
2,839.2
$
738.5
$
7,001.4
$

2012
320.1
$
278.8
$
53.2
$
728.0
$
91.3
$
84.1
$
41.1
$
167.1
$
411.4
$
362.9
$
94.3
$
895.1
$
2,794.0
$
2,433.3
$
464.1
$
6,353.1
$
796.4
$
733.8
$
358.7
$
1,458.7
$
3,590.4
$
3,167.1
$
822.7
$
7,811.8
$

2013
344.0
$
299.6
$
57.1
$
782.2
$
97.9
$
90.2
$
44.1
$
179.2
$
441.9
$
389.8
$
101.2
$
961.4
$
3,002.0
$
2,614.4
$
498.2
$
6,826.7
$
854.4
$
787.5
$
384.9
$
1,564.1
$
3,856.4
$
3,401.9
$
883.2
$
8,390.8
$

2014
363.1
$
316.2
$
60.2
$
825.9
$
103.2
$
95.1
$
46.5
$
188.9
$
466.3
$
411.4
$
106.7
$
1,014.8
$
3,169.2
$
2,760.0
$
525.6
$
7,207.6
$
900.6
$
830.2
$
405.9
$
1,648.8
$
4,069.8
$
3,590.2
$
931.5
$
8,856.4
$

2015
378.3
$
329.4
$
62.7
$
860.3
$
107.3
$
98.9
$
48.3
$
196.6
$
485.6
$
428.4
$
111.0
$
1,056.9
$
3,301.1
$
2,874.9
$
547.1
$
7,508.3
$
936.6
$
863.5
$
421.6
$
1,715.4
$
4,237.7
$
3,738.4
$
968.7
$
9,223.7
$

2016
391.1
$
340.6
$
64.8
$
889.6
$
110.8
$
102.2
$
49.8
$
202.9
$
501.9
$
442.8
$
114.6
$
1,092.5
$
3,413.3
$
2,972.5
$
565.3
$
7,764.0
$
966.8
$
891.6
$
434.7
$
1,770.6
$
4,380.1
$
3,864.1
$
1,000.0
$
9,534.6
$

2017
402.5
$
350.5
$
66.6
$
915.6
$
113.8
$
105.0
$
51.2
$
208.5
$
516.3
$
455.5
$
117.8
$
1,124.1
$
3,512.5
$
3,058.9
$
581.3
$
7,990.4
$
993.3
$
916.1
$
446.9
$
1,819.8
$
4,505.9
$
3,975.0
$
1,028.2
$
9,810.2
$

2018
412.8
$
359.5
$
68.3
$
939.2
$
116.5
$
107.5
$
52.4
$
213.6
$
529.4
$
467.0
$
120.7
$
1,152.8
$
3,602.8
$
3,137.4
$
595.9
$
8,196.3
$
1,017.1
$
938.3
$
457.4
$
1,864.4
$
4,619.9
$
4,075.7
$
1,053.3
$
10,060.6
$

2019
422.4
$
367.8
$
69.8
$
961.0
$
119.0
$
109.8
$
53.5
$
218.3
$
541.5
$
477.6
$
123.4
$
1,179.3
$
3,686.4
$
3,210.2
$
609.3
$
8,387.2
$
1,039.0
$
958.3
$
467.2
$
1,905.0
$
4,725.4
$
4,168.5
$
1,076.5
$
10,292.3
$

2020
431.4
$
375.7
$
71.3
$
981.6
$
121.4
$
111.9
$
54.6
$
222.8
$
552.8
$
487.6
$
125.8
$
1,204.5
$
3,765.2
$
3,278.7
$
621.9
$
8,567.1
$
1,059.3
$
976.7
$
476.1
$
1,944.8
$
4,824.5
$
4,255.4
$
1,098.0
$
10,511.9
$

2021
440.0
$
383.1
$
72.6
$
1,001.3
$
123.6
$
113.9
$
55.6
$
226.9
$
563.6
$
497.0
$
128.2
$
1,228.2
$
3,840.1
$
3,343.8
$
633.8
$
8,738.2
$
1,078.5
$
993.9
$
485.1
$
1,980.3
$
4,918.6
$
4,337.8
$
1,119.0
$
10,718.5
$

2022
448.2
$
390.3
$
73.9
$
1,020.1
$
125.7
$
115.8
$
56.5
$
230.9
$
573.9
$
506.1
$
130.5
$
1,251.0
$
3,911.9
$
3,406.3
$
645.3
$
8,902.4
$
1,096.8
$
1,010.8
$
493.3
$
2,015.3
$
5,008.7
$
4,417.1
$
1,138.6
$
10,917.7
$

2023
456.2
$
397.2
$
75.2
$
1,038.2
$
127.7
$
117.7
$
57.4
$
234.7
$
583.9
$
514.9
$
132.6
$
1,273.0
$
3,981.4
$
3,466.7
$
656.3
$
9,061.1
$
1,114.3
$
1,027.1
$
501.0
$
2,048.6
$
5,095.6
$
4,493.8
$
1,157.3
$
11,109.7
$

2024
463.9
$
403.9
$
76.4
$
1,055.9
$
129.6
$
119.5
$
58.3
$
238.3
$
593.5
$
523.5
$
134.7
$
1,294.2
$
4,048.9
$
3,525.4
$
667.0
$
9,215.4
$
1,131.1
$
1,043.0
$
508.4
$
2,079.4
$
5,180.0
$
4,568.4
$
1,175.4
$
11,294.8
$

2025
471.5
$
410.5
$
77.6
$
1,073.2
$
131.5
$
121.2
$
59.2
$
241.7
$
603.0
$
531.7
$
136.8
$
1,314.9
$
4,114.8
$
3,582.7
$
677.4
$
9,366.1
$
1,147.4
$
1,057.9
$
516.5
$
2,109.0
$
5,262.2
$
4,640.5
$
1,194.0
$
11,475.2
$

2026
478.9
$
417.0
$
78.8
$
1,090.1
$
133.3
$
123.0
$
60.0
$
245.0
$
612.2
$
539.9
$
138.8
$
1,335.2
$
4,179.5
$
3,638.9
$
687.7
$
9,514.0
$
1,163.3
$
1,073.0
$
523.7
$
2,138.6
$
5,342.8
$
4,711.9
$
1,211.4
$
11,652.6
$

2027
486.2
$
423.3
$
79.9
$
1,106.8
$
135.1
$
124.7
$
60.8
$
248.4
$
621.3
$
548.0
$
140.7
$
1,355.2
$
4,243.1
$
3,694.2
$
697.7
$
9,659.6
$
1,178.8
$
1,088.0
$
530.3
$
2,167.8
$
5,421.9
$
4,782.2
$
1,228.0
$
11,827.4
$

Total
7,611.1
$
6,627.7
$
1,258.3
$
17,315.9
$
2,145.2
$
1,977.7
$
965.5
$
3,934.9
$
9,756.3
$
8,605.4
$
2,223.7
$
21,250.9
$
66,423.7
$
57,841.6
$
10,981.5
$
151,120.9
$
18,722.0
$
17,260.0
$
8,425.8
$
34,341.3
$
85,145.7
$
75,101.6
$
19,407.3
$
185,462.2
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
9a
and
F.
9b.
Exhibit
F.
9c
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
2
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
26.5
$
23.1
$
4.4
$
60.2
$
7.6
$
7.0
$
3.4
$
13.9
$
34.1
$
30.1
$
7.9
$
74.2
$
231.3
$
201.5
$
38.6
$
525.7
$
66.5
$
61.2
$
30.1
$
121.7
$
297.8
$
262.7
$
68.7
$
647.3
$

2007
62.0
$
54.0
$
10.3
$
140.9
$
17.8
$
16.4
$
8.0
$
32.5
$
79.8
$
70.4
$
18.4
$
173.4
$
540.9
$
471.1
$
90.2
$
1,229.4
$
155.3
$
142.9
$
70.1
$
284.0
$
696.2
$
614.0
$
160.3
$
1,513.4
$

2008
101.4
$
88.3
$
16.9
$
230.4
$
29.1
$
26.7
$
13.1
$
53.1
$
130.4
$
115.0
$
30.0
$
283.6
$
884.7
$
770.6
$
147.4
$
2,011.1
$
253.7
$
233.4
$
114.5
$
463.7
$
1,138.5
$
1,004.0
$
261.9
$
2,474.8
$

2009
142.6
$
124.2
$
23.7
$
324.2
$
40.8
$
37.6
$
18.4
$
74.6
$
183.4
$
161.8
$
42.1
$
398.8
$
1,244.5
$
1,083.8
$
207.2
$
2,829.0
$
356.3
$
328.1
$
160.7
$
651.1
$
1,600.8
$
1,411.9
$
367.8
$
3,480.1
$

2010
184.5
$
160.7
$
30.7
$
419.5
$
52.8
$
48.6
$
23.8
$
96.4
$
237.3
$
209.3
$
54.5
$
515.9
$
1,610.3
$
1,402.5
$
267.9
$
3,661.0
$
460.4
$
424.1
$
207.5
$
841.3
$
2,070.7
$
1,826.6
$
475.4
$
4,502.4
$

2011
226.5
$
197.3
$
37.6
$
515.0
$
64.7
$
59.6
$
29.2
$
118.3
$
291.2
$
256.8
$
66.8
$
633.3
$
1,976.6
$
1,721.5
$
328.5
$
4,494.3
$
564.3
$
519.8
$
254.4
$
1,032.7
$
2,541.0
$
2,241.3
$
583.0
$
5,527.0
$

2012
245.4
$
213.7
$
40.8
$
557.9
$
69.9
$
64.4
$
31.5
$
128.1
$
315.3
$
278.1
$
72.2
$
686.0
$
2,141.3
$
1,864.9
$
355.7
$
4,869.1
$
610.4
$
562.4
$
274.9
$
1,118.0
$
2,751.7
$
2,427.3
$
630.5
$
5,987.1
$

2013
256.0
$
222.9
$
42.5
$
582.0
$
72.8
$
67.1
$
32.8
$
133.4
$
328.8
$
290.0
$
75.3
$
715.4
$
2,233.8
$
1,945.4
$
370.7
$
5,079.7
$
635.8
$
586.0
$
286.4
$
1,163.8
$
2,869.5
$
2,531.3
$
657.2
$
6,243.5
$

2014
262.3
$
228.5
$
43.5
$
596.6
$
74.5
$
68.7
$
33.6
$
136.5
$
336.9
$
297.2
$
77.1
$
733.1
$
2,289.5
$
1,993.9
$
379.7
$
5,206.9
$
650.6
$
599.8
$
293.2
$
1,191.2
$
2,940.1
$
2,593.6
$
672.9
$
6,398.1
$

2015
265.3
$
231.0
$
44.0
$
603.4
$
75.3
$
69.4
$
33.9
$
137.9
$
340.6
$
300.4
$
77.9
$
741.3
$
2,315.4
$
2,016.4
$
383.7
$
5,266.2
$
656.9
$
605.7
$
295.7
$
1,203.2
$
2,972.2
$
2,622.0
$
679.4
$
6,469.3
$

2016
266.3
$
231.9
$
44.1
$
605.8
$
75.4
$
69.6
$
33.9
$
138.2
$
341.8
$
301.5
$
78.0
$
743.9
$
2,324.3
$
2,024.1
$
384.9
$
5,286.9
$
658.4
$
607.1
$
296.0
$
1,205.7
$
2,982.7
$
2,631.3
$
680.9
$
6,492.6
$

2017
266.1
$
231.7
$
44.0
$
605.3
$
75.2
$
69.4
$
33.9
$
137.9
$
341.3
$
301.1
$
77.9
$
743.2
$
2,322.2
$
2,022.3
$
384.3
$
5,282.6
$
656.7
$
605.7
$
295.4
$
1,203.1
$
2,978.9
$
2,627.9
$
679.8
$
6,485.7
$

2018
265.0
$
230.7
$
43.8
$
602.8
$
74.8
$
69.0
$
33.6
$
137.1
$
339.8
$
299.8
$
77.5
$
739.9
$
2,312.5
$
2,013.8
$
382.5
$
5,260.9
$
652.9
$
602.2
$
293.6
$
1,196.7
$
2,965.3
$
2,616.0
$
676.1
$
6,457.5
$

2019
263.2
$
229.2
$
43.5
$
598.9
$
74.2
$
68.4
$
33.4
$
136.0
$
337.4
$
297.7
$
76.9
$
734.9
$
2,297.3
$
2,000.5
$
379.7
$
5,226.7
$
647.5
$
597.2
$
291.2
$
1,187.2
$
2,944.7
$
2,597.7
$
670.9
$
6,413.8
$

2020
261.0
$
227.3
$
43.1
$
593.9
$
73.4
$
67.7
$
33.0
$
134.8
$
334.5
$
295.0
$
76.1
$
728.7
$
2,278.0
$
1,983.7
$
376.3
$
5,183.2
$
640.9
$
590.9
$
288.1
$
1,176.7
$
2,918.9
$
2,574.6
$
664.3
$
6,359.9
$

2021
258.5
$
225.1
$
42.7
$
588.1
$
72.6
$
66.9
$
32.7
$
133.3
$
331.1
$
292.0
$
75.3
$
721.4
$
2,255.6
$
1,964.2
$
372.3
$
5,132.8
$
633.5
$
583.8
$
285.0
$
1,163.2
$
2,889.2
$
2,548.0
$
657.3
$
6,296.0
$

2022
255.6
$
222.6
$
42.2
$
581.7
$
71.7
$
66.1
$
32.2
$
131.7
$
327.3
$
288.6
$
74.4
$
713.4
$
2,230.9
$
1,942.6
$
368.0
$
5,076.9
$
625.5
$
576.4
$
281.3
$
1,149.3
$
2,856.4
$
2,519.0
$
649.3
$
6,226.2
$

2023
252.6
$
219.9
$
41.6
$
574.9
$
70.7
$
65.2
$
31.8
$
130.0
$
323.3
$
285.1
$
73.4
$
704.8
$
2,204.4
$
1,919.4
$
363.4
$
5,016.9
$
616.9
$
568.7
$
277.4
$
1,134.3
$
2,821.3
$
2,488.1
$
640.8
$
6,151.2
$

2024
249.4
$
217.1
$
41.1
$
567.6
$
69.7
$
64.2
$
31.3
$
128.1
$
319.1
$
281.4
$
72.4
$
695.7
$
2,176.5
$
1,895.1
$
358.6
$
4,953.7
$
608.0
$
560.7
$
273.3
$
1,117.8
$
2,784.5
$
2,455.7
$
631.8
$
6,071.5
$

2025
246.1
$
214.2
$
40.5
$
560.1
$
68.6
$
63.3
$
30.9
$
126.1
$
314.7
$
277.5
$
71.4
$
686.2
$
2,147.5
$
1,869.8
$
353.6
$
4,888.1
$
598.8
$
552.1
$
269.6
$
1,100.7
$
2,746.3
$
2,421.9
$
623.1
$
5,988.8
$

2026
242.7
$
211.3
$
39.9
$
552.4
$
67.5
$
62.3
$
30.4
$
124.2
$
310.2
$
273.6
$
70.3
$
676.5
$
2,117.7
$
1,843.8
$
348.4
$
4,820.7
$
589.4
$
543.7
$
265.4
$
1,083.6
$
2,707.1
$
2,387.5
$
613.8
$
5,904.3
$

2027
239.2
$
208.2
$
39.3
$
544.5
$
66.4
$
61.3
$
29.9
$
122.2
$
305.6
$
269.6
$
69.2
$
666.7
$
2,087.3
$
1,817.3
$
343.2
$
4,751.9
$
579.9
$
535.2
$
260.9
$
1,066.4
$
2,667.2
$
2,352.5
$
604.1
$
5,818.3
$

Total
4,838.0
$
4,213.0
$
800.3
$
11,006.1
$
1,365.7
$
1,258.9
$
614.7
$
2,504.2
$
6,203.7
$
5,471.9
$
1,415.0
$
13,510.4
$
42,222.5
$
36,767.8
$
6,984.7
$
96,053.6
$
11,918.7
$
10,987.1
$
5,364.6
$
21,855.2
$
54,141.2
$
47,755.0
$
12,349.3
$
117,908.9
$

Ann.
277.8
$
241.9
$
46.0
$
632.1
$
78.4
$
72.3
$
35.3
$
143.8
$
356.3
$
314.2
$
81.3
$
775.9
$
2,424.7
$
2,111.5
$
401.1
$
5,516.2
$
684.5
$
631.0
$
308.1
$
1,255.1
$
3,109.2
$
2,742.5
$
709.2
$
6,771.3
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
9c.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
9d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
2
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
23.6
$
20.6
$
3.9
$
53.7
$
6.8
$
6.3
$
3.1
$
12.4
$
30.4
$
26.8
$
7.0
$
66.2
$
206.3
$
179.7
$
34.4
$
468.9
$
59.3
$
54.6
$
26.8
$
108.5
$
265.7
$
234.3
$
61.3
$
577.4
$

2007
53.2
$
46.4
$
8.9
$
121.0
$
15.3
$
14.1
$
6.9
$
27.9
$
68.5
$
60.4
$
15.8
$
148.9
$
464.4
$
404.5
$
77.4
$
1,055.6
$
133.4
$
122.7
$
60.2
$
243.9
$
597.8
$
527.2
$
137.6
$
1,299.5
$

2008
83.8
$
73.0
$
14.0
$
190.5
$
24.0
$
22.1
$
10.8
$
43.9
$
107.8
$
95.1
$
24.8
$
234.4
$
731.3
$
636.9
$
121.8
$
1,662.3
$
209.7
$
193.0
$
94.6
$
383.3
$
941.0
$
829.9
$
216.5
$
2,045.5
$

2009
113.5
$
98.8
$
18.9
$
257.9
$
32.5
$
29.9
$
14.6
$
59.4
$
145.9
$
128.7
$
33.5
$
317.3
$
990.1
$
862.4
$
164.8
$
2,250.9
$
283.5
$
261.0
$
127.8
$
518.1
$
1,273.7
$
1,123.4
$
292.6
$
2,769.0
$

2010
141.3
$
123.1
$
23.5
$
321.3
$
40.4
$
37.2
$
18.2
$
73.8
$
181.7
$
160.3
$
41.7
$
395.1
$
1,233.4
$
1,074.2
$
205.2
$
2,804.0
$
352.6
$
324.8
$
159.0
$
644.4
$
1,586.0
$
1,399.0
$
364.1
$
3,448.4
$

2011
167.0
$
145.4
$
27.8
$
379.7
$
47.7
$
43.9
$
21.5
$
87.2
$
214.7
$
189.3
$
49.2
$
466.9
$
1,457.3
$
1,269.2
$
242.2
$
3,313.5
$
416.0
$
383.2
$
187.6
$
761.4
$
1,873.4
$
1,652.4
$
429.8
$
4,074.9
$

2012
174.1
$
151.7
$
28.9
$
396.0
$
49.6
$
45.7
$
22.4
$
90.9
$
223.8
$
197.4
$
51.3
$
486.9
$
1,519.7
$
1,323.5
$
252.4
$
3,455.7
$
433.2
$
399.1
$
195.1
$
793.4
$
1,952.9
$
1,722.7
$
447.5
$
4,249.1
$

2013
174.9
$
152.3
$
29.0
$
397.6
$
49.8
$
45.9
$
22.4
$
91.1
$
224.6
$
198.2
$
51.4
$
488.8
$
1,526.1
$
1,329.0
$
253.3
$
3,470.3
$
434.3
$
400.3
$
195.7
$
795.1
$
1,960.4
$
1,729.3
$
449.0
$
4,265.5
$

2014
172.5
$
150.2
$
28.6
$
392.4
$
49.0
$
45.2
$
22.1
$
89.8
$
221.5
$
195.4
$
50.7
$
482.1
$
1,505.7
$
1,311.3
$
249.7
$
3,424.3
$
427.9
$
394.4
$
192.8
$
783.4
$
1,933.5
$
1,705.7
$
442.6
$
4,207.6
$

2015
168.0
$
146.3
$
27.8
$
382.0
$
47.6
$
43.9
$
21.4
$
87.3
$
215.6
$
190.2
$
49.3
$
469.3
$
1,465.7
$
1,276.5
$
242.9
$
3,333.8
$
415.8
$
383.4
$
187.2
$
761.7
$
1,881.6
$
1,659.9
$
430.1
$
4,095.4
$

2016
162.3
$
141.3
$
26.9
$
369.2
$
46.0
$
42.4
$
20.7
$
84.2
$
208.3
$
183.7
$
47.5
$
453.4
$
1,416.4
$
1,233.5
$
234.6
$
3,221.8
$
401.2
$
370.0
$
180.4
$
734.7
$
1,817.6
$
1,603.5
$
415.0
$
3,956.5
$

2017
156.1
$
135.9
$
25.8
$
355.1
$
44.1
$
40.7
$
19.9
$
80.9
$
200.2
$
176.6
$
45.7
$
435.9
$
1,362.2
$
1,186.3
$
225.5
$
3,098.8
$
385.2
$
355.3
$
173.3
$
705.7
$
1,747.4
$
1,541.6
$
398.8
$
3,804.6
$

2018
149.6
$
130.3
$
24.7
$
340.4
$
42.2
$
39.0
$
19.0
$
77.4
$
191.9
$
169.3
$
43.7
$
417.8
$
1,305.8
$
1,137.1
$
216.0
$
2,970.7
$
368.7
$
340.1
$
165.8
$
675.7
$
1,674.5
$
1,477.2
$
381.8
$
3,646.4
$

2019
143.1
$
124.6
$
23.6
$
325.5
$
40.3
$
37.2
$
18.1
$
73.9
$
183.4
$
161.8
$
41.8
$
399.5
$
1,248.7
$
1,087.4
$
206.4
$
2,841.1
$
351.9
$
324.6
$
158.3
$
645.3
$
1,600.7
$
1,412.0
$
364.7
$
3,486.4
$

2020
136.6
$
118.9
$
22.6
$
310.8
$
38.4
$
35.4
$
17.3
$
70.5
$
175.0
$
154.4
$
39.8
$
381.3
$
1,192.0
$
1,038.0
$
196.9
$
2,712.1
$
335.4
$
309.2
$
150.7
$
615.7
$
1,527.3
$
1,347.2
$
347.6
$
3,327.8
$

2021
130.2
$
113.4
$
21.5
$
296.2
$
36.6
$
33.7
$
16.4
$
67.1
$
166.7
$
147.1
$
37.9
$
363.4
$
1,136.1
$
989.3
$
187.5
$
2,585.3
$
319.1
$
294.1
$
143.5
$
585.9
$
1,455.2
$
1,283.4
$
331.1
$
3,171.2
$

2022
123.9
$
107.9
$
20.4
$
282.1
$
34.7
$
32.0
$
15.6
$
63.9
$
158.7
$
139.9
$
36.1
$
345.9
$
1,081.7
$
941.9
$
178.4
$
2,461.6
$
303.3
$
279.5
$
136.4
$
557.2
$
1,385.0
$
1,221.4
$
314.8
$
3,018.8
$

2023
117.9
$
102.7
$
19.4
$
268.3
$
33.0
$
30.4
$
14.8
$
60.7
$
150.9
$
133.1
$
34.3
$
329.0
$
1,028.9
$
895.9
$
169.6
$
2,341.6
$
287.9
$
265.4
$
129.5
$
529.4
$
1,316.8
$
1,161.3
$
299.1
$
2,871.0
$

2024
112.0
$
97.6
$
18.5
$
255.0
$
31.3
$
28.9
$
14.1
$
57.5
$
143.3
$
126.4
$
32.5
$
312.6
$
977.9
$
851.4
$
161.1
$
2,225.6
$
273.2
$
251.9
$
122.8
$
502.2
$
1,251.0
$
1,103.3
$
283.9
$
2,727.8
$

2025
106.4
$
92.7
$
17.5
$
242.2
$
29.7
$
27.4
$
13.4
$
54.5
$
136.1
$
120.0
$
30.9
$
296.8
$
928.8
$
808.7
$
152.9
$
2,114.1
$
259.0
$
238.8
$
116.6
$
476.0
$
1,187.8
$
1,047.4
$
269.5
$
2,590.1
$

2026
101.0
$
88.0
$
16.6
$
230.0
$
28.1
$
25.9
$
12.7
$
51.7
$
129.1
$
113.9
$
29.3
$
281.7
$
881.6
$
767.6
$
145.1
$
2,007.0
$
245.4
$
226.4
$
110.5
$
451.1
$
1,127.0
$
994.0
$
255.5
$
2,458.1
$

2027
95.9
$
83.5
$
15.8
$
218.2
$
26.6
$
24.6
$
12.0
$
49.0
$
122.5
$
108.0
$
27.7
$
267.2
$
836.5
$
728.3
$
137.6
$
1,904.4
$
232.4
$
214.5
$
104.5
$
427.4
$
1,068.9
$
942.8
$
242.1
$
2,331.7
$

Total
2,806.9
$
2,444.3
$
464.7
$
6,384.9
$
793.9
$
731.8
$
357.4
$
1,455.2
$
3,600.8
$
3,176.1
$
822.1
$
7,840.1
$
24,496.6
$
21,332.4
$
4,055.7
$
55,723.2
$
6,928.5
$
6,386.3
$
3,119.1
$
12,699.6
$
31,425.2
$
27,718.7
$
7,174.8
$
68,422.7
$

Ann.
240.9
$
209.8
$
39.9
$
547.9
$
68.1
$
62.8
$
30.7
$
124.9
$
309.0
$
272.5
$
70.5
$
672.8
$
2,102.1
$
1,830.5
$
348.0
$
4,781.6
$
594.5
$
548.0
$
267.7
$
1,089.8
$
2,696.6
$
2,378.6
$
615.7
$
5,871.4
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
9c.
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
9e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
2
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
5.4
$
3.4
$
13.0
$
10.9
$
34.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
3.2
$
7.9
$
47.0
$
29.7
$
113.6
$
95.3
$
297.8
$

2007
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.1
$
12.6
$
7.9
$
30.4
$
25.5
$
79.8
$
0.2
$
1.2
$
1.6
$
7.5
$
18.4
$
109.8
$
69.4
$
265.5
$
222.8
$
696.2
$

2008
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.4
$
3.4
$
20.6
$
13.0
$
49.7
$
41.7
$
130.4
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.6
$
12.3
$
30.0
$
179.5
$
113.4
$
434.1
$
364.3
$
1,138.5
$

2009
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
2.0
$
4.8
$
28.9
$
18.3
$
69.9
$
58.7
$
183.4
$
0.4
$
2.7
$
3.7
$
17.3
$
42.2
$
252.4
$
159.5
$
610.3
$
512.2
$
1,600.8
$

2010
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.6
$
6.3
$
37.4
$
23.6
$
90.5
$
75.9
$
237.3
$
0.5
$
3.5
$
4.8
$
22.4
$
54.6
$
326.4
$
206.4
$
789.5
$
662.6
$
2,070.7
$

2011
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
3.2
$
7.7
$
45.9
$
29.0
$
111.0
$
93.2
$
291.2
$
0.6
$
4.3
$
5.8
$
27.5
$
67.0
$
400.6
$
253.2
$
968.8
$
813.1
$
2,541.0
$

2012
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.8
$
3.7
$
9.1
$
49.5
$
31.3
$
119.7
$
100.5
$
315.3
$
0.7
$
5.1
$
6.9
$
32.6
$
79.3
$
432.1
$
273.1
$
1,044.9
$
877.0
$
2,751.7
$

2013
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.9
$
4.3
$
10.5
$
51.4
$
32.5
$
124.2
$
104.3
$
328.8
$
0.9
$
5.8
$
8.0
$
37.5
$
91.4
$
448.3
$
283.4
$
1,084.2
$
910.0
$
2,869.5
$

2014
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.0
$
4.9
$
11.8
$
52.3
$
33.1
$
126.6
$
106.3
$
336.9
$
1.0
$
6.6
$
9.0
$
42.4
$
103.2
$
456.9
$
288.8
$
1,104.9
$
927.3
$
2,940.1
$

2015
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
5.1
$
12.4
$
52.8
$
33.4
$
127.7
$
107.2
$
340.6
$
1.0
$
6.9
$
9.4
$
44.4
$
108.2
$
460.9
$
291.3
$
1,114.6
$
935.5
$
2,972.2
$

2016
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
5.2
$
12.7
$
52.9
$
33.5
$
128.0
$
107.4
$
341.8
$
1.0
$
7.1
$
9.6
$
45.4
$
110.6
$
462.0
$
292.0
$
1,117.3
$
937.7
$
2,982.7
$

2017
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
5.3
$
12.8
$
52.8
$
33.4
$
127.8
$
107.2
$
341.3
$
1.0
$
7.1
$
9.7
$
45.8
$
111.6
$
461.1
$
291.4
$
1,115.1
$
935.9
$
2,978.9
$

2018
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
5.3
$
12.8
$
52.6
$
33.2
$
127.1
$
106.7
$
339.8
$
1.0
$
7.2
$
9.7
$
46.0
$
111.9
$
458.8
$
290.0
$
1,109.5
$
931.2
$
2,965.3
$

2019
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
5.3
$
12.8
$
52.2
$
33.0
$
126.2
$
105.9
$
337.4
$
1.0
$
7.1
$
9.7
$
45.9
$
111.7
$
455.4
$
287.9
$
1,101.5
$
924.4
$
2,944.7
$

2020
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
5.2
$
12.7
$
51.7
$
32.7
$
125.1
$
105.0
$
334.5
$
1.0
$
7.1
$
9.7
$
45.6
$
111.1
$
451.3
$
285.3
$
1,091.6
$
916.1
$
2,918.9
$

2021
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
5.2
$
12.6
$
51.2
$
32.4
$
123.8
$
103.9
$
331.1
$
1.0
$
7.1
$
9.6
$
45.3
$
110.3
$
446.7
$
282.3
$
1,080.2
$
906.6
$
2,889.2
$

2022
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
5.1
$
12.5
$
50.6
$
32.0
$
122.4
$
102.7
$
327.3
$
1.0
$
7.0
$
9.5
$
44.9
$
109.3
$
441.5
$
279.1
$
1,067.8
$
896.2
$
2,856.4
$

2023
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
5.1
$
12.4
$
50.0
$
31.6
$
120.8
$
101.4
$
323.3
$
1.0
$
6.9
$
9.4
$
44.4
$
108.1
$
436.1
$
275.6
$
1,054.6
$
885.1
$
2,821.3
$

2024
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
5.0
$
12.2
$
49.3
$
31.2
$
119.3
$
100.1
$
319.1
$
1.0
$
6.8
$
9.3
$
43.9
$
106.9
$
430.3
$
272.0
$
1,040.8
$
873.5
$
2,784.5
$

2025
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
5.0
$
12.1
$
48.6
$
30.7
$
117.6
$
98.7
$
314.7
$
1.0
$
6.8
$
9.2
$
43.3
$
105.5
$
424.4
$
268.3
$
1,026.4
$
861.5
$
2,746.3
$

2026
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.0
$
4.9
$
11.9
$
47.9
$
30.3
$
115.9
$
97.3
$
310.2
$
1.0
$
6.7
$
9.1
$
42.8
$
104.1
$
418.3
$
264.4
$
1,011.7
$
849.1
$
2,707.1
$

2027
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.0
$
4.8
$
11.8
$
47.2
$
29.9
$
114.2
$
95.9
$
305.6
$
1.0
$
6.6
$
8.9
$
42.2
$
102.7
$
412.1
$
260.5
$
996.7
$
836.6
$
2,667.2
$

Total
2.0
$
14.0
$
19.0
$
89.7
$
218.4
$
963.8
$
609.3
$
2,331.0
$
1,956.4
$
6,203.7
$
17.9
$
122.0
$
166.0
$
782.7
$
1,906.1
$
8,411.6
$
5,317.1
$
20,343.7
$
17,074.1
$
54,141.2
$

Ann.
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
5.2
$
12.5
$
55.4
$
35.0
$
133.9
$
112.4
$
356.3
$
1.0
$
7.0
$
9.5
$
44.9
$
109.5
$
483.1
$
305.4
$
1,168.3
$
980.5
$
3,109.2
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
9a
and
F.
9b.
Exhibit
F.
9f
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
2
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
4.8
$
3.0
$
11.6
$
9.7
$
30.4
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.9
$
7.0
$
41.9
$
26.5
$
101.3
$
85.0
$
265.7
$

2007
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.8
$
10.8
$
6.8
$
26.1
$
21.9
$
68.5
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
1.4
$
6.5
$
15.8
$
94.2
$
59.6
$
227.9
$
191.3
$
597.8
$

2008
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.2
$
2.8
$
17.0
$
10.7
$
41.1
$
34.5
$
107.8
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
2.2
$
10.2
$
24.8
$
148.3
$
93.8
$
358.8
$
301.1
$
941.0
$

2009
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.6
$
3.8
$
23.0
$
14.5
$
55.6
$
46.7
$
145.9
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.9
$
13.8
$
33.6
$
200.8
$
126.9
$
485.6
$
407.6
$
1,273.7
$

2010
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
2.0
$
4.8
$
28.6
$
18.1
$
69.3
$
58.2
$
181.7
$
0.4
$
2.7
$
3.6
$
17.2
$
41.8
$
250.0
$
158.0
$
604.7
$
507.5
$
1,586.0
$

2011
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.3
$
5.7
$
33.8
$
21.4
$
81.8
$
68.7
$
214.7
$
0.5
$
3.2
$
4.3
$
20.3
$
49.4
$
295.3
$
186.7
$
714.3
$
599.5
$
1,873.4
$

2012
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.6
$
6.4
$
35.1
$
22.2
$
85.0
$
71.3
$
223.8
$
0.5
$
3.6
$
4.9
$
23.1
$
56.3
$
306.6
$
193.8
$
741.6
$
622.4
$
1,952.9
$

2013
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.9
$
7.2
$
35.1
$
22.2
$
84.9
$
71.2
$
224.6
$
0.6
$
4.0
$
5.4
$
25.6
$
62.4
$
306.3
$
193.6
$
740.7
$
621.7
$
1,960.4
$

2014
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
3.2
$
7.8
$
34.4
$
21.8
$
83.3
$
69.9
$
221.5
$
0.6
$
4.3
$
5.9
$
27.9
$
67.9
$
300.4
$
189.9
$
726.6
$
609.9
$
1,933.5
$

2015
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
3.2
$
7.8
$
33.4
$
21.1
$
80.9
$
67.9
$
215.6
$
0.6
$
4.4
$
6.0
$
28.1
$
68.5
$
291.8
$
184.4
$
705.6
$
592.2
$
1,881.6
$

2016
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
3.2
$
7.7
$
32.3
$
20.4
$
78.0
$
65.5
$
208.3
$
0.6
$
4.3
$
5.9
$
27.7
$
67.4
$
281.5
$
178.0
$
680.9
$
571.4
$
1,817.6
$

2017
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
3.1
$
7.5
$
31.0
$
19.6
$
75.0
$
62.9
$
200.2
$
0.6
$
4.2
$
5.7
$
26.9
$
65.5
$
270.5
$
171.0
$
654.1
$
549.0
$
1,747.4
$

2018
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
3.0
$
7.2
$
29.7
$
18.8
$
71.8
$
60.3
$
191.9
$
0.6
$
4.0
$
5.5
$
26.0
$
63.2
$
259.1
$
163.8
$
626.5
$
525.8
$
1,674.5
$

2019
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.9
$
7.0
$
28.4
$
17.9
$
68.6
$
57.6
$
183.4
$
0.6
$
3.9
$
5.3
$
24.9
$
60.7
$
247.6
$
156.5
$
598.7
$
502.5
$
1,600.7
$

2020
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.7
$
6.7
$
27.1
$
17.1
$
65.4
$
54.9
$
175.0
$
0.5
$
3.7
$
5.1
$
23.9
$
58.2
$
236.2
$
149.3
$
571.2
$
479.4
$
1,527.3
$

2021
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.6
$
6.4
$
25.8
$
16.3
$
62.3
$
52.3
$
166.7
$
0.5
$
3.6
$
4.8
$
22.8
$
55.6
$
225.0
$
142.2
$
544.1
$
456.7
$
1,455.2
$

2022
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.5
$
6.1
$
24.5
$
15.5
$
59.3
$
49.8
$
158.7
$
0.5
$
3.4
$
4.6
$
21.8
$
53.0
$
214.1
$
135.3
$
517.8
$
434.5
$
1,385.0
$

2023
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.4
$
5.8
$
23.3
$
14.7
$
56.4
$
47.3
$
150.9
$
0.5
$
3.2
$
4.4
$
20.7
$
50.5
$
203.5
$
128.7
$
492.2
$
413.1
$
1,316.8
$

2024
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.3
$
5.5
$
22.2
$
14.0
$
53.6
$
45.0
$
143.3
$
0.5
$
3.1
$
4.2
$
19.7
$
48.0
$
193.3
$
122.2
$
467.6
$
392.4
$
1,251.0
$

2025
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.5
$
2.1
$
5.2
$
21.0
$
13.3
$
50.9
$
42.7
$
136.1
$
0.4
$
2.9
$
4.0
$
18.7
$
45.6
$
183.5
$
116.0
$
443.9
$
372.6
$
1,187.8
$

2026
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
2.0
$
5.0
$
20.0
$
12.6
$
48.3
$
40.5
$
129.1
$
0.4
$
2.8
$
3.8
$
17.8
$
43.3
$
174.2
$
110.1
$
421.2
$
353.5
$
1,127.0
$

2027
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.9
$
4.7
$
18.9
$
12.0
$
45.8
$
38.4
$
122.5
$
0.4
$
2.6
$
3.6
$
16.9
$
41.1
$
165.2
$
104.4
$
399.5
$
335.3
$
1,068.9
$

Total
1.2
$
7.9
$
10.8
$
50.8
$
123.7
$
560.2
$
354.1
$
1,354.9
$
1,137.2
$
3,600.8
$
10.1
$
69.1
$
94.0
$
443.3
$
1,079.6
$
4,889.3
$
3,090.6
$
11,824.8
$
9,924.3
$
31,425.2
$

Ann.
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.9
$
4.4
$
10.6
$
48.1
$
30.4
$
116.3
$
97.6
$
309.0
$
0.9
$
5.9
$
8.1
$
38.0
$
92.6
$
419.6
$
265.2
$
1,014.7
$
851.6
$
2,696.6
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
9a
and
F.
9b.
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
9g
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
F.
10
Model
Outputs
­
Alternative
3
TTHM
as
Indicator
Lymphoma
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
3
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
33.6
$
29.3
$
5.6
$
76.3
$
54.9
$
47.8
$
8.5
$
125.9
$
88.5
$
77.0
$
14.1
$
202.2
$
293.2
$
255.3
$
48.9
$
666.3
$
479.5
$
416.8
$
74.2
$
1,098.6
$
772.7
$
672.1
$
123.1
$
1,764.9
$

2007
80.9
$
70.5
$
13.5
$
183.9
$
132.4
$
115.0
$
20.5
$
303.3
$
213.3
$
185.5
$
34.0
$
487.1
$
706.1
$
615.0
$
117.7
$
1,604.9
$
1,155.2
$
1,004.0
$
178.8
$
2,646.6
$
1,861.3
$
1,619.0
$
296.5
$
4,251.5
$

2008
136.3
$
118.7
$
22.7
$
309.9
$
223.0
$
193.8
$
34.5
$
511.0
$
359.3
$
312.6
$
57.2
$
820.8
$
1,189.6
$
1,036.1
$
198.2
$
2,704.2
$
1,946.5
$
1,691.7
$
301.3
$
4,459.5
$
3,136.1
$
2,727.8
$
499.5
$
7,163.7
$

2009
197.5
$
172.0
$
32.9
$
448.9
$
323.2
$
280.9
$
50.0
$
740.4
$
520.7
$
452.9
$
82.9
$
1,189.4
$
1,723.5
$
1,501.1
$
286.9
$
3,918.0
$
2,820.4
$
2,451.3
$
436.6
$
6,461.8
$
4,543.9
$
3,952.4
$
723.5
$
10,379.8
$

2010
263.2
$
229.2
$
43.8
$
598.4
$
430.8
$
374.4
$
66.7
$
987.0
$
694.0
$
603.7
$
110.5
$
1,585.4
$
2,297.1
$
2,000.6
$
382.1
$
5,222.5
$
3,759.7
$
3,267.7
$
582.0
$
8,613.8
$
6,056.8
$
5,268.3
$
964.1
$
13,836.3
$

2011
332.8
$
289.8
$
55.3
$
756.6
$
544.7
$
473.5
$
84.3
$
1,248.1
$
877.5
$
763.3
$
139.6
$
2,004.7
$
2,904.3
$
2,529.4
$
482.7
$
6,603.4
$
4,754.1
$
4,132.0
$
736.0
$
10,892.1
$
7,658.4
$
6,661.4
$
1,218.7
$
17,495.6
$

2012
371.1
$
323.2
$
61.6
$
843.8
$
607.5
$
528.0
$
94.1
$
1,391.9
$
978.6
$
851.2
$
155.7
$
2,235.7
$
3,238.5
$
2,820.4
$
537.9
$
7,364.0
$
5,302.0
$
4,608.2
$
820.8
$
12,147.4
$
8,540.5
$
7,428.7
$
1,358.7
$
19,511.4
$

2013
398.4
$
346.9
$
66.1
$
905.9
$
652.3
$
567.0
$
101.0
$
1,494.5
$
1,050.7
$
913.9
$
167.1
$
2,400.5
$
3,476.8
$
3,027.9
$
577.0
$
7,906.4
$
5,692.9
$
4,948.1
$
881.4
$
13,043.1
$
9,169.7
$
7,975.9
$
1,458.4
$
20,949.5
$

2014
420.2
$
365.9
$
69.7
$
955.6
$
688.1
$
598.1
$
106.5
$
1,576.6
$
1,108.3
$
964.1
$
176.2
$
2,532.3
$
3,667.2
$
3,193.7
$
608.2
$
8,340.2
$
6,005.6
$
5,219.9
$
929.8
$
13,759.5
$
9,672.8
$
8,413.6
$
1,538.0
$
22,099.7
$

2015
437.5
$
381.0
$
72.5
$
995.2
$
716.6
$
622.9
$
111.0
$
1,641.9
$
1,154.2
$
1,003.9
$
183.5
$
2,637.1
$
3,818.6
$
3,325.5
$
632.9
$
8,685.1
$
6,254.3
$
5,436.1
$
968.3
$
14,329.4
$
10,072.9
$
8,761.6
$
1,601.2
$
23,014.6
$

2016
452.3
$
393.9
$
74.9
$
1,028.9
$
741.0
$
644.0
$
114.7
$
1,697.6
$
1,193.3
$
1,037.9
$
189.6
$
2,726.5
$
3,947.6
$
3,437.8
$
653.8
$
8,979.3
$
6,466.6
$
5,620.6
$
1,001.2
$
14,815.7
$
10,414.1
$
9,058.4
$
1,655.0
$
23,795.0
$

2017
465.4
$
405.3
$
77.0
$
1,058.8
$
762.5
$
662.8
$
118.1
$
1,747.0
$
1,228.0
$
1,068.1
$
195.1
$
2,805.8
$
4,061.9
$
3,537.3
$
672.3
$
9,240.1
$
6,654.8
$
5,784.3
$
1,030.3
$
15,247.0
$
10,716.7
$
9,321.6
$
1,702.6
$
24,487.0
$

2018
477.3
$
415.7
$
78.9
$
1,086.0
$
782.2
$
679.9
$
121.1
$
1,792.0
$
1,259.5
$
1,095.5
$
200.0
$
2,878.0
$
4,165.9
$
3,627.8
$
689.0
$
9,477.5
$
6,826.1
$
5,933.3
$
1,056.9
$
15,639.6
$
10,992.1
$
9,561.1
$
1,745.9
$
25,117.1
$

2019
488.4
$
425.3
$
80.7
$
1,111.2
$
800.4
$
695.7
$
123.9
$
1,833.8
$
1,288.8
$
1,121.0
$
204.6
$
2,945.0
$
4,262.4
$
3,711.8
$
704.5
$
9,697.8
$
6,985.2
$
6,071.6
$
1,081.5
$
16,004.2
$
11,247.7
$
9,783.4
$
1,786.0
$
25,702.0
$

2020
498.8
$
434.4
$
82.4
$
1,135.0
$
817.6
$
710.6
$
126.6
$
1,873.2
$
1,316.4
$
1,145.0
$
209.0
$
3,008.2
$
4,353.3
$
3,790.9
$
719.0
$
9,905.3
$
7,135.1
$
6,201.9
$
1,104.8
$
16,347.6
$
11,488.5
$
9,992.8
$
1,823.8
$
26,253.0
$

2021
508.7
$
443.0
$
84.0
$
1,157.6
$
833.9
$
724.8
$
129.1
$
1,910.6
$
1,342.7
$
1,167.8
$
213.1
$
3,068.3
$
4,439.8
$
3,866.1
$
732.8
$
10,102.9
$
7,277.9
$
6,325.9
$
1,126.9
$
16,674.7
$
11,717.7
$
10,192.0
$
1,859.7
$
26,777.6
$

2022
518.2
$
451.3
$
85.5
$
1,179.4
$
849.6
$
738.5
$
131.6
$
1,946.6
$
1,367.9
$
1,189.7
$
217.0
$
3,126.0
$
4,522.8
$
3,938.2
$
746.0
$
10,292.5
$
7,414.9
$
6,444.9
$
1,148.1
$
16,988.6
$
11,937.7
$
10,383.1
$
1,894.1
$
27,281.2
$

2023
527.4
$
459.2
$
86.9
$
1,200.4
$
864.8
$
751.7
$
133.9
$
1,981.4
$
1,392.2
$
1,210.9
$
220.8
$
3,181.7
$
4,603.0
$
4,007.9
$
758.8
$
10,475.8
$
7,547.4
$
6,560.0
$
1,168.6
$
17,292.2
$
12,150.3
$
10,567.9
$
1,927.4
$
27,768.0
$

2024
536.4
$
467.0
$
88.4
$
1,220.8
$
879.6
$
764.5
$
136.2
$
2,015.2
$
1,415.9
$
1,231.5
$
224.6
$
3,236.0
$
4,681.0
$
4,075.7
$
771.1
$
10,654.1
$
7,676.2
$
6,671.9
$
1,188.6
$
17,587.4
$
12,357.2
$
10,747.6
$
1,959.7
$
28,241.5
$

2025
545.1
$
474.6
$
89.7
$
1,240.7
$
894.0
$
777.0
$
138.4
$
2,048.3
$
1,439.1
$
1,251.6
$
228.2
$
3,289.0
$
4,757.1
$
4,141.9
$
783.2
$
10,828.2
$
7,802.1
$
6,781.3
$
1,208.1
$
17,875.9
$
12,559.2
$
10,923.2
$
1,991.3
$
28,704.1
$

2026
553.7
$
482.0
$
91.1
$
1,260.3
$
908.1
$
789.3
$
140.6
$
2,080.7
$
1,461.8
$
1,271.4
$
231.7
$
3,341.0
$
4,831.9
$
4,206.9
$
795.0
$
10,999.1
$
7,925.6
$
6,888.6
$
1,227.3
$
18,158.9
$
12,757.5
$
11,095.5
$
2,022.3
$
29,158.0
$

2027
562.1
$
489.4
$
92.4
$
1,279.6
$
922.1
$
801.4
$
142.8
$
2,112.7
$
1,484.2
$
1,290.8
$
235.2
$
3,392.2
$
4,905.4
$
4,270.8
$
806.6
$
11,167.3
$
8,047.3
$
6,994.3
$
1,246.1
$
18,437.7
$
12,952.7
$
11,265.1
$
2,052.7
$
29,605.0
$

Total
8,805.4
$
7,667.7
$
1,455.8
$
20,033.2
$
14,429.4
$
12,541.6
$
2,234.1
$
33,059.7
$
23,234.8
$
20,209.3
$
3,689.9
$
53,092.9
$
76,847.0
$
66,918.2
$
12,704.8
$
174,834.9
$
125,929.4
$
109,454.3
$
19,497.6
$
288,521.3
$
202,776.4
$
176,372.5
$
32,202.4
$
463,356.2
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
21b,
and
E.
21e.
(
All
Surface
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
10a
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
3
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.2
$
3.6
$
2.5
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.7
$
8.3
$
7.2
$
1.4
$
18.8
$
13.6
$
11.8
$
2.1
$
31.1
$
21.8
$
19.0
$
3.5
$
49.9
$

2007
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.2
$
3.7
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.6
$
6.0
$
5.2
$
1.0
$
13.8
$
20.0
$
17.4
$
3.3
$
45.4
$
32.7
$
28.4
$
5.1
$
74.8
$
52.6
$
45.8
$
8.4
$
120.2
$

2008
3.9
$
3.4
$
0.6
$
8.8
$
6.3
$
5.5
$
1.0
$
14.4
$
10.2
$
8.8
$
1.6
$
23.2
$
33.6
$
29.3
$
5.6
$
76.5
$
55.0
$
47.8
$
8.5
$
126.1
$
88.7
$
77.1
$
14.1
$
202.6
$

2009
5.6
$
4.9
$
0.9
$
12.7
$
9.1
$
7.9
$
1.4
$
20.9
$
14.7
$
12.8
$
2.3
$
33.6
$
48.7
$
42.4
$
8.1
$
110.8
$
79.8
$
69.3
$
12.3
$
182.7
$
128.5
$
111.8
$
20.5
$
293.5
$

2010
7.4
$
6.5
$
1.2
$
16.9
$
12.2
$
10.6
$
1.9
$
27.9
$
19.6
$
17.1
$
3.1
$
44.8
$
65.0
$
56.6
$
10.8
$
147.7
$
106.3
$
92.4
$
16.5
$
243.6
$
171.3
$
149.0
$
27.3
$
391.2
$

2011
9.4
$
8.2
$
1.6
$
21.4
$
15.4
$
13.4
$
2.4
$
35.3
$
24.8
$
21.6
$
3.9
$
56.7
$
82.1
$
71.5
$
13.6
$
186.7
$
134.4
$
116.8
$
20.8
$
308.0
$
216.6
$
188.4
$
34.5
$
494.7
$

2012
10.6
$
9.2
$
1.8
$
24.1
$
17.4
$
15.1
$
2.7
$
39.8
$
28.0
$
24.4
$
4.5
$
64.0
$
92.7
$
80.7
$
15.4
$
210.8
$
151.7
$
131.9
$
23.5
$
347.7
$
244.4
$
212.6
$
38.9
$
558.4
$

2013
11.6
$
10.1
$
1.9
$
26.3
$
18.9
$
16.5
$
2.9
$
43.4
$
30.5
$
26.5
$
4.9
$
69.7
$
101.0
$
88.0
$
16.8
$
229.7
$
165.4
$
143.7
$
25.6
$
378.9
$
266.4
$
231.7
$
42.4
$
608.5
$

2014
12.4
$
10.8
$
2.1
$
28.2
$
20.3
$
17.6
$
3.1
$
46.5
$
32.7
$
28.4
$
5.2
$
74.7
$
108.2
$
94.2
$
17.9
$
246.1
$
177.2
$
154.0
$
27.4
$
406.0
$
285.4
$
248.3
$
45.4
$
652.1
$

2015
13.0
$
11.3
$
2.2
$
29.5
$
21.3
$
18.5
$
3.3
$
48.7
$
34.3
$
29.8
$
5.4
$
78.3
$
113.4
$
98.7
$
18.8
$
257.9
$
185.7
$
161.4
$
28.7
$
425.4
$
299.1
$
260.1
$
47.5
$
683.3
$

2016
13.5
$
11.7
$
2.2
$
30.6
$
22.1
$
19.2
$
3.4
$
50.6
$
35.5
$
30.9
$
5.6
$
81.2
$
117.6
$
102.4
$
19.5
$
267.4
$
192.6
$
167.4
$
29.8
$
441.3
$
310.2
$
269.8
$
49.3
$
708.7
$

2017
13.9
$
12.1
$
2.3
$
31.6
$
22.8
$
19.8
$
3.5
$
52.1
$
36.6
$
31.9
$
5.8
$
83.7
$
121.2
$
105.6
$
20.1
$
275.7
$
198.6
$
172.6
$
30.7
$
455.0
$
319.8
$
278.2
$
50.8
$
730.8
$

2018
14.3
$
12.4
$
2.4
$
32.4
$
23.4
$
20.3
$
3.6
$
53.5
$
37.6
$
32.7
$
6.0
$
86.0
$
124.5
$
108.4
$
20.6
$
283.2
$
204.0
$
177.3
$
31.6
$
467.3
$
328.5
$
285.7
$
52.2
$
750.5
$

2019
14.6
$
12.7
$
2.4
$
33.2
$
23.9
$
20.8
$
3.7
$
54.8
$
38.5
$
33.5
$
6.1
$
88.1
$
127.5
$
111.0
$
21.1
$
290.0
$
208.9
$
181.6
$
32.3
$
478.7
$
336.4
$
292.6
$
53.4
$
768.7
$

2020
14.9
$
13.0
$
2.5
$
34.0
$
24.5
$
21.3
$
3.8
$
56.1
$
39.4
$
34.3
$
6.3
$
90.0
$
130.3
$
113.5
$
21.5
$
296.4
$
213.5
$
185.6
$
33.1
$
489.2
$
343.8
$
299.1
$
54.6
$
785.7
$

2021
15.2
$
13.3
$
2.5
$
34.7
$
25.0
$
21.7
$
3.9
$
57.2
$
40.2
$
35.0
$
6.4
$
91.9
$
132.9
$
115.8
$
21.9
$
302.5
$
217.9
$
189.4
$
33.7
$
499.3
$
350.9
$
305.2
$
55.7
$
801.8
$

2022
15.5
$
13.5
$
2.6
$
35.3
$
25.4
$
22.1
$
3.9
$
58.3
$
41.0
$
35.6
$
6.5
$
93.6
$
135.5
$
118.0
$
22.3
$
308.3
$
222.1
$
193.1
$
34.4
$
508.9
$
357.6
$
311.0
$
56.7
$
817.2
$

2023
15.8
$
13.8
$
2.6
$
36.0
$
25.9
$
22.5
$
4.0
$
59.4
$
41.7
$
36.3
$
6.6
$
95.3
$
137.9
$
120.1
$
22.7
$
313.9
$
226.1
$
196.6
$
35.0
$
518.1
$
364.1
$
316.7
$
57.8
$
832.0
$

2024
16.1
$
14.0
$
2.6
$
36.6
$
26.4
$
22.9
$
4.1
$
60.4
$
42.4
$
36.9
$
6.7
$
97.0
$
140.3
$
122.2
$
23.1
$
319.3
$
230.1
$
200.0
$
35.6
$
527.1
$
370.4
$
322.1
$
58.7
$
846.4
$

2025
16.3
$
14.2
$
2.7
$
37.2
$
26.8
$
23.3
$
4.1
$
61.4
$
43.1
$
37.5
$
6.8
$
98.6
$
142.6
$
124.2
$
23.5
$
324.6
$
233.9
$
203.3
$
36.2
$
535.9
$
376.5
$
327.4
$
59.7
$
860.5
$

2026
16.6
$
14.5
$
2.7
$
37.8
$
27.2
$
23.7
$
4.2
$
62.4
$
43.8
$
38.1
$
6.9
$
100.2
$
144.9
$
126.1
$
23.8
$
329.8
$
237.6
$
206.5
$
36.8
$
544.4
$
382.5
$
332.7
$
60.6
$
874.2
$

2027
16.9
$
14.7
$
2.8
$
38.4
$
27.7
$
24.0
$
4.3
$
63.4
$
44.5
$
38.7
$
7.1
$
101.7
$
147.1
$
128.1
$
24.2
$
334.9
$
241.3
$
209.7
$
37.4
$
552.9
$
388.4
$
337.8
$
61.6
$
887.7
$

Total
260.7
$
227.0
$
43.1
$
593.1
$
427.2
$
371.3
$
66.1
$
978.8
$
687.9
$
598.3
$
109.2
$
1,571.9
$
2,275.2
$
1,981.2
$
376.1
$
5,176.4
$
3,728.4
$
3,240.7
$
577.3
$
8,542.4
$
6,003.7
$
5,221.9
$
953.4
$
13,718.8
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
21c,
and
E.
21f.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
10b
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
All
Ground
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
3
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
34.5
$
30.1
$
5.8
$
78.5
$
56.5
$
49.1
$
8.7
$
129.4
$
91.0
$
79.2
$
14.5
$
207.9
$
301.5
$
262.6
$
50.3
$
685.1
$
493.1
$
428.5
$
76.3
$
1,129.7
$
794.6
$
691.1
$
126.6
$
1,814.8
$

2007
83.2
$
72.5
$
13.9
$
189.1
$
136.1
$
118.3
$
21.1
$
311.8
$
219.3
$
190.8
$
34.9
$
500.9
$
726.1
$
632.4
$
121.0
$
1,650.3
$
1,187.8
$
1,032.4
$
183.9
$
2,721.4
$
1,913.9
$
1,664.8
$
304.9
$
4,371.7
$

2008
140.2
$
122.1
$
23.4
$
318.6
$
229.3
$
199.3
$
35.5
$
525.4
$
369.5
$
321.4
$
58.9
$
844.0
$
1,223.3
$
1,065.4
$
203.8
$
2,780.6
$
2,001.5
$
1,739.6
$
309.8
$
4,585.6
$
3,224.8
$
2,805.0
$
513.6
$
7,366.2
$

2009
203.1
$
176.9
$
33.8
$
461.6
$
332.3
$
288.8
$
51.4
$
761.4
$
535.4
$
465.7
$
85.2
$
1,223.0
$
1,772.3
$
1,543.5
$
295.0
$
4,028.8
$
2,900.2
$
2,520.6
$
449.0
$
6,644.5
$
4,672.4
$
4,064.1
$
744.0
$
10,673.4
$

2010
270.7
$
235.7
$
45.0
$
615.3
$
443.0
$
385.0
$
68.6
$
1,014.9
$
713.6
$
620.7
$
113.6
$
1,630.2
$
2,362.1
$
2,057.2
$
392.9
$
5,370.2
$
3,866.0
$
3,360.1
$
598.5
$
8,857.3
$
6,228.1
$
5,417.3
$
991.4
$
14,227.5
$

2011
342.2
$
298.0
$
56.9
$
778.0
$
560.1
$
486.8
$
86.7
$
1,283.3
$
902.3
$
784.9
$
143.6
$
2,061.4
$
2,986.4
$
2,600.9
$
496.4
$
6,790.2
$
4,888.5
$
4,248.9
$
756.8
$
11,200.1
$
7,874.9
$
6,849.8
$
1,253.2
$
17,990.3
$

2012
381.7
$
332.4
$
63.4
$
867.9
$
624.9
$
543.1
$
96.7
$
1,431.7
$
1,006.6
$
875.6
$
160.1
$
2,299.7
$
3,331.2
$
2,901.1
$
553.3
$
7,574.7
$
5,453.7
$
4,740.1
$
844.3
$
12,495.1
$
8,784.9
$
7,641.3
$
1,397.6
$
20,069.8
$

2013
410.0
$
357.0
$
68.0
$
932.3
$
671.3
$
583.4
$
103.9
$
1,537.9
$
1,081.2
$
940.5
$
172.0
$
2,470.2
$
3,577.8
$
3,115.8
$
593.8
$
8,136.1
$
5,858.3
$
5,091.8
$
907.0
$
13,421.9
$
9,436.0
$
8,207.6
$
1,500.8
$
21,558.0
$

2014
432.6
$
376.7
$
71.7
$
983.8
$
708.4
$
615.8
$
109.7
$
1,623.1
$
1,141.0
$
992.5
$
181.4
$
2,607.0
$
3,775.4
$
3,287.9
$
626.2
$
8,586.3
$
6,182.8
$
5,373.9
$
957.2
$
14,165.5
$
9,958.2
$
8,661.8
$
1,583.4
$
22,751.8
$

2015
450.5
$
392.4
$
74.7
$
1,024.7
$
737.9
$
641.4
$
114.2
$
1,690.7
$
1,188.5
$
1,033.7
$
188.9
$
2,715.4
$
3,931.9
$
3,424.2
$
651.7
$
8,943.0
$
6,440.0
$
5,597.5
$
997.0
$
14,754.9
$
10,371.9
$
9,021.7
$
1,648.7
$
23,697.8
$

2016
465.8
$
405.6
$
77.1
$
1,059.5
$
763.0
$
663.2
$
118.1
$
1,748.2
$
1,228.8
$
1,068.9
$
195.3
$
2,807.7
$
4,065.2
$
3,540.2
$
673.3
$
9,246.7
$
6,659.2
$
5,788.0
$
1,031.0
$
15,257.0
$
10,724.3
$
9,328.2
$
1,704.3
$
24,503.7
$

2017
479.3
$
417.4
$
79.3
$
1,090.4
$
785.3
$
682.6
$
121.6
$
1,799.2
$
1,264.6
$
1,100.0
$
200.9
$
2,889.5
$
4,183.1
$
3,642.8
$
692.3
$
9,515.8
$
6,853.4
$
5,956.9
$
1,061.1
$
15,702.0
$
11,036.5
$
9,599.7
$
1,753.4
$
25,217.8
$

2018
491.6
$
428.1
$
81.3
$
1,118.4
$
805.5
$
700.2
$
124.7
$
1,845.6
$
1,297.1
$
1,128.3
$
206.0
$
2,964.0
$
4,290.4
$
3,736.2
$
709.6
$
9,760.7
$
7,030.1
$
6,110.6
$
1,088.5
$
16,107.0
$
11,320.5
$
9,846.8
$
1,798.1
$
25,867.6
$

2019
503.0
$
438.0
$
83.1
$
1,144.4
$
824.3
$
716.5
$
127.6
$
1,888.7
$
1,327.3
$
1,154.5
$
210.8
$
3,033.1
$
4,389.9
$
3,822.8
$
725.6
$
9,987.8
$
7,194.2
$
6,253.2
$
1,113.9
$
16,482.8
$
11,584.1
$
10,076.0
$
1,839.4
$
26,470.6
$

2020
513.7
$
447.4
$
84.9
$
1,169.0
$
842.0
$
731.9
$
130.4
$
1,929.2
$
1,355.8
$
1,179.3
$
215.2
$
3,098.2
$
4,483.6
$
3,904.3
$
740.6
$
10,201.8
$
7,348.7
$
6,387.5
$
1,137.8
$
16,836.9
$
11,832.3
$
10,291.8
$
1,878.4
$
27,038.7
$

2021
524.0
$
456.3
$
86.5
$
1,192.3
$
858.9
$
746.5
$
133.0
$
1,967.9
$
1,382.9
$
1,202.8
$
219.5
$
3,160.1
$
4,572.7
$
3,981.8
$
754.8
$
10,405.4
$
7,495.8
$
6,515.3
$
1,160.6
$
17,174.0
$
12,068.5
$
10,497.1
$
1,915.4
$
27,579.4
$

2022
533.8
$
464.8
$
88.0
$
1,214.7
$
875.1
$
760.6
$
135.5
$
2,004.9
$
1,408.8
$
1,225.4
$
223.5
$
3,219.6
$
4,658.3
$
4,056.2
$
768.4
$
10,600.8
$
7,637.0
$
6,638.0
$
1,182.5
$
17,497.5
$
12,295.3
$
10,694.2
$
1,950.9
$
28,098.3
$

2023
543.2
$
473.0
$
89.5
$
1,236.3
$
890.7
$
774.2
$
137.9
$
2,040.8
$
1,433.9
$
1,247.2
$
227.5
$
3,277.1
$
4,740.9
$
4,128.0
$
781.5
$
10,789.7
$
7,773.5
$
6,756.6
$
1,203.6
$
17,810.3
$
12,514.4
$
10,884.6
$
1,985.2
$
28,600.0
$

2024
552.4
$
481.0
$
91.0
$
1,257.4
$
905.9
$
787.4
$
140.3
$
2,075.6
$
1,458.4
$
1,268.4
$
231.3
$
3,333.0
$
4,821.3
$
4,197.9
$
794.3
$
10,973.4
$
7,906.3
$
6,871.9
$
1,224.2
$
18,114.5
$
12,727.5
$
11,069.8
$
2,018.5
$
29,087.9
$

2025
561.4
$
488.8
$
92.4
$
1,277.9
$
920.8
$
800.3
$
142.6
$
2,109.7
$
1,482.2
$
1,289.1
$
235.0
$
3,387.6
$
4,899.7
$
4,266.1
$
806.7
$
11,152.8
$
8,036.0
$
6,984.6
$
1,244.3
$
18,411.7
$
12,935.7
$
11,250.7
$
2,051.0
$
29,564.5
$

2026
570.2
$
496.5
$
93.8
$
1,298.1
$
935.4
$
813.0
$
144.8
$
2,143.1
$
1,505.6
$
1,309.5
$
238.7
$
3,441.2
$
4,976.7
$
4,333.0
$
818.8
$
11,328.8
$
8,163.3
$
7,095.1
$
1,264.1
$
18,703.4
$
13,140.0
$
11,428.1
$
2,082.9
$
30,032.2
$

2027
578.9
$
504.0
$
95.2
$
1,318.0
$
949.7
$
825.5
$
147.1
$
2,176.0
$
1,528.7
$
1,329.5
$
242.3
$
3,494.0
$
5,052.5
$
4,398.9
$
830.8
$
11,502.2
$
8,288.6
$
7,204.0
$
1,283.5
$
18,990.6
$
13,341.1
$
11,602.9
$
2,114.3
$
30,492.7
$

Total
9,066.1
$
7,894.7
$
1,498.9
$
20,626.3
$
14,856.6
$
12,913.0
$
2,300.2
$
34,038.5
$
23,922.7
$
20,807.7
$
3,799.1
$
54,664.8
$
79,122.3
$
68,899.4
$
13,080.9
$
180,011.3
$
129,657.8
$
112,695.0
$
20,074.9
$
297,063.7
$
208,780.1
$
181,594.4
$
33,155.8
$
477,075.0
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
10a
and
F.
10b.
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
10c
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
3
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
31.6
$
27.5
$
5.3
$
71.8
$
51.7
$
44.9
$
8.0
$
118.5
$
83.3
$
72.5
$
13.3
$
190.3
$
275.9
$
240.3
$
46.0
$
627.0
$
451.2
$
392.2
$
69.9
$
1,033.8
$
727.1
$
632.5
$
115.9
$
1,660.8
$

2007
73.9
$
64.4
$
12.3
$
168.0
$
120.9
$
105.1
$
18.7
$
277.1
$
194.8
$
169.5
$
31.0
$
445.1
$
645.1
$
561.9
$
107.5
$
1,466.3
$
1,055.4
$
917.2
$
163.4
$
2,417.9
$
1,700.5
$
1,479.1
$
270.9
$
3,884.2
$

2008
120.9
$
105.3
$
20.1
$
274.8
$
197.8
$
171.9
$
30.6
$
453.2
$
318.7
$
277.2
$
50.8
$
728.1
$
1,055.2
$
919.0
$
175.8
$
2,398.6
$
1,726.5
$
1,500.6
$
267.3
$
3,955.6
$
2,781.7
$
2,419.6
$
443.1
$
6,354.2
$

2009
170.1
$
148.1
$
28.3
$
386.6
$
278.3
$
241.9
$
43.1
$
637.6
$
448.4
$
390.0
$
71.4
$
1,024.2
$
1,484.2
$
1,292.7
$
247.1
$
3,374.1
$
2,428.8
$
2,111.0
$
376.0
$
5,564.7
$
3,913.1
$
3,403.7
$
623.1
$
8,938.8
$

2010
220.1
$
191.7
$
36.6
$
500.3
$
360.2
$
313.0
$
55.8
$
825.2
$
580.3
$
504.7
$
92.4
$
1,325.5
$
1,920.6
$
1,672.7
$
319.5
$
4,366.5
$
3,143.4
$
2,732.1
$
486.6
$
7,201.8
$
5,064.0
$
4,404.8
$
806.1
$
11,568.3
$

2011
270.1
$
235.3
$
44.9
$
614.2
$
442.2
$
384.3
$
68.5
$
1,013.1
$
712.3
$
619.6
$
113.4
$
1,627.3
$
2,357.5
$
2,053.2
$
391.8
$
5,360.2
$
3,859.1
$
3,354.1
$
597.4
$
8,841.5
$
6,216.6
$
5,407.3
$
989.3
$
14,201.7
$

2012
292.5
$
254.8
$
48.6
$
665.2
$
478.9
$
416.3
$
74.1
$
1,097.3
$
771.5
$
671.0
$
122.7
$
1,762.5
$
2,553.1
$
2,223.5
$
424.0
$
5,805.4
$
4,179.8
$
3,632.9
$
647.1
$
9,576.4
$
6,732.9
$
5,856.4
$
1,071.1
$
15,381.8
$

2013
305.0
$
265.7
$
50.6
$
693.7
$
499.5
$
434.1
$
77.3
$
1,144.4
$
804.5
$
699.8
$
128.0
$
1,838.1
$
2,662.2
$
2,318.5
$
441.8
$
6,054.0
$
4,359.1
$
3,788.8
$
674.9
$
9,987.2
$
7,021.3
$
6,107.2
$
1,116.7
$
16,041.2
$

2014
312.5
$
272.2
$
51.8
$
710.8
$
511.8
$
444.8
$
79.2
$
1,172.6
$
824.3
$
717.0
$
131.1
$
1,883.3
$
2,727.4
$
2,375.3
$
452.4
$
6,202.9
$
4,466.6
$
3,882.2
$
691.5
$
10,233.5
$
7,194.0
$
6,257.5
$
1,143.9
$
16,436.4
$

2015
316.0
$
275.2
$
52.4
$
718.7
$
517.6
$
449.9
$
80.1
$
1,185.8
$
833.6
$
725.0
$
132.5
$
1,904.5
$
2,757.8
$
2,401.7
$
457.1
$
6,272.4
$
4,516.9
$
3,926.0
$
699.3
$
10,348.8
$
7,274.7
$
6,327.6
$
1,156.4
$
16,621.2
$

2016
317.2
$
276.2
$
52.5
$
721.5
$
519.6
$
451.6
$
80.4
$
1,190.4
$
836.8
$
727.8
$
133.0
$
1,911.9
$
2,768.2
$
2,410.7
$
458.5
$
6,296.6
$
4,534.6
$
3,941.4
$
702.1
$
10,389.3
$
7,302.7
$
6,352.1
$
1,160.5
$
16,685.9
$

2017
316.9
$
276.0
$
52.4
$
720.9
$
519.2
$
451.3
$
80.4
$
1,189.5
$
836.0
$
727.2
$
132.8
$
1,910.3
$
2,765.5
$
2,408.4
$
457.7
$
6,291.1
$
4,530.9
$
3,938.2
$
701.5
$
10,380.9
$
7,296.4
$
6,346.6
$
1,159.2
$
16,671.9
$

2018
315.5
$
274.8
$
52.2
$
717.9
$
517.0
$
449.4
$
80.1
$
1,184.6
$
832.6
$
724.2
$
132.2
$
1,902.5
$
2,753.8
$
2,398.1
$
455.5
$
6,265.0
$
4,512.4
$
3,922.1
$
698.6
$
10,338.4
$
7,266.2
$
6,320.3
$
1,154.1
$
16,603.4
$

2019
313.5
$
273.0
$
51.8
$
713.2
$
513.7
$
446.5
$
79.5
$
1,176.9
$
827.2
$
719.5
$
131.3
$
1,890.1
$
2,735.6
$
2,382.3
$
452.1
$
6,224.1
$
4,483.2
$
3,896.8
$
694.1
$
10,271.5
$
7,218.8
$
6,279.1
$
1,146.3
$
16,495.6
$

2020
310.8
$
270.7
$
51.3
$
707.2
$
509.4
$
442.8
$
78.9
$
1,167.2
$
820.3
$
713.5
$
130.2
$
1,874.4
$
2,712.6
$
2,362.2
$
448.0
$
6,172.2
$
4,446.1
$
3,864.5
$
688.4
$
10,186.6
$
7,158.7
$
6,226.7
$
1,136.4
$
16,358.8
$

2021
307.8
$
268.0
$
50.8
$
700.3
$
504.5
$
438.5
$
78.1
$
1,155.9
$
812.3
$
706.5
$
128.9
$
1,856.2
$
2,686.0
$
2,338.9
$
443.4
$
6,112.1
$
4,403.0
$
3,827.1
$
681.7
$
10,087.9
$
7,089.0
$
6,166.0
$
1,125.1
$
16,200.0
$

2022
304.4
$
265.1
$
50.2
$
692.7
$
499.0
$
433.8
$
77.3
$
1,143.4
$
803.4
$
698.8
$
127.5
$
1,836.1
$
2,656.5
$
2,313.2
$
438.2
$
6,045.5
$
4,355.3
$
3,785.5
$
674.4
$
9,978.6
$
7,011.8
$
6,098.7
$
1,112.6
$
16,024.1
$

2023
300.8
$
261.9
$
49.6
$
684.5
$
493.2
$
428.6
$
76.4
$
1,129.9
$
793.9
$
690.5
$
125.9
$
1,814.4
$
2,624.9
$
2,285.6
$
432.7
$
5,974.0
$
4,304.0
$
3,740.9
$
666.4
$
9,861.1
$
6,928.9
$
6,026.5
$
1,099.1
$
15,835.1
$

2024
297.0
$
258.6
$
48.9
$
675.9
$
487.0
$
423.3
$
75.4
$
1,115.7
$
783.9
$
681.8
$
124.3
$
1,791.6
$
2,591.7
$
2,256.6
$
426.9
$
5,898.7
$
4,250.0
$
3,694.0
$
658.1
$
9,737.4
$
6,841.7
$
5,950.5
$
1,085.0
$
15,636.2
$

2025
293.0
$
255.1
$
48.2
$
666.9
$
480.6
$
417.7
$
74.4
$
1,101.0
$
773.6
$
672.8
$
122.6
$
1,768.0
$
2,557.1
$
2,226.4
$
421.0
$
5,820.6
$
4,193.9
$
3,645.2
$
649.4
$
9,608.9
$
6,751.1
$
5,871.6
$
1,070.4
$
15,429.5
$

2026
288.9
$
251.6
$
47.5
$
657.7
$
473.9
$
411.9
$
73.4
$
1,085.9
$
762.9
$
663.5
$
120.9
$
1,743.6
$
2,521.7
$
2,195.5
$
414.9
$
5,740.2
$
4,136.3
$
3,595.0
$
640.5
$
9,476.8
$
6,657.9
$
5,790.5
$
1,055.4
$
15,217.1
$

2027
284.8
$
248.0
$
46.8
$
648.3
$
467.2
$
406.1
$
72.3
$
1,070.4
$
752.0
$
654.0
$
119.2
$
1,718.8
$
2,485.5
$
2,163.9
$
408.7
$
5,658.3
$
4,077.4
$
3,543.9
$
631.4
$
9,342.1
$
6,562.9
$
5,707.8
$
1,040.1
$
15,000.4
$

Total
5,763.4
$
5,018.8
$
953.4
$
13,111.3
$
9,443.2
$
8,207.8
$
1,462.1
$
21,635.7
$
15,206.6
$
13,226.6
$
2,415.5
$
34,747.0
$
50,298.4
$
43,800.4
$
8,320.7
$
114,425.7
$
82,413.8
$
71,631.7
$
12,759.9
$
188,820.9
$
132,712.1
$
115,432.1
$
21,080.6
$
303,246.6
$

Ann.
331.0
$
288.2
$
54.8
$
753.0
$
542.3
$
471.4
$
84.0
$
1,242.5
$
873.3
$
759.6
$
138.7
$
1,995.4
$
2,888.5
$
2,515.4
$
477.8
$
6,571.2
$
4,732.8
$
4,113.7
$
732.8
$
10,843.6
$
7,621.4
$
6,629.0
$
1,210.6
$
17,414.8
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
10c.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
10d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
3
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
28.2
$
24.6
$
4.7
$
64.1
$
46.1
$
40.1
$
7.1
$
105.7
$
74.3
$
64.6
$
11.8
$
169.7
$
246.1
$
214.3
$
41.1
$
559.3
$
402.5
$
349.8
$
62.3
$
922.2
$
648.6
$
564.2
$
103.4
$
1,481.4
$

2007
63.5
$
55.3
$
10.6
$
144.3
$
103.8
$
90.2
$
16.1
$
237.9
$
167.3
$
145.5
$
26.7
$
382.2
$
553.9
$
482.5
$
92.3
$
1,259.0
$
906.2
$
787.6
$
140.3
$
2,076.1
$
1,460.1
$
1,270.0
$
232.6
$
3,335.2
$

2008
99.9
$
87.0
$
16.6
$
227.2
$
163.5
$
142.1
$
25.3
$
374.6
$
263.5
$
229.2
$
42.0
$
601.8
$
872.2
$
759.6
$
145.3
$
1,982.5
$
1,427.0
$
1,240.3
$
220.9
$
3,269.5
$
2,299.2
$
1,999.9
$
366.2
$
5,252.0
$

2009
135.3
$
117.9
$
22.5
$
307.6
$
221.4
$
192.5
$
34.3
$
507.3
$
356.7
$
310.3
$
56.8
$
814.9
$
1,180.9
$
1,028.5
$
196.6
$
2,684.6
$
1,932.5
$
1,679.6
$
299.2
$
4,427.5
$
3,113.4
$
2,708.1
$
495.7
$
7,112.1
$

2010
168.6
$
146.8
$
28.0
$
383.2
$
275.9
$
239.8
$
42.7
$
632.0
$
444.4
$
386.6
$
70.7
$
1,015.2
$
1,471.0
$
1,281.1
$
244.7
$
3,344.3
$
2,407.5
$
2,092.5
$
372.7
$
5,515.9
$
3,878.5
$
3,373.6
$
617.4
$
8,860.2
$

2011
199.2
$
173.5
$
33.1
$
452.8
$
326.0
$
283.3
$
50.5
$
746.9
$
525.2
$
456.8
$
83.6
$
1,199.7
$
1,738.1
$
1,513.8
$
288.9
$
3,951.9
$
2,845.2
$
2,472.9
$
440.5
$
6,518.6
$
4,583.3
$
3,986.6
$
729.4
$
10,470.5
$

2012
207.6
$
180.8
$
34.5
$
472.1
$
339.9
$
295.4
$
52.6
$
778.8
$
547.5
$
476.2
$
87.1
$
1,250.9
$
1,812.0
$
1,578.0
$
301.0
$
4,120.2
$
2,966.5
$
2,578.3
$
459.2
$
6,796.5
$
4,778.4
$
4,156.4
$
760.2
$
10,916.7
$

2013
208.4
$
181.5
$
34.6
$
473.9
$
341.2
$
296.6
$
52.8
$
781.8
$
549.6
$
478.1
$
87.4
$
1,255.7
$
1,818.8
$
1,583.9
$
301.9
$
4,136.0
$
2,978.0
$
2,588.4
$
461.0
$
6,823.0
$
4,796.8
$
4,172.3
$
762.9
$
10,959.0
$

2014
205.5
$
179.0
$
34.1
$
467.4
$
336.6
$
292.5
$
52.1
$
771.1
$
542.1
$
471.5
$
86.2
$
1,238.6
$
1,793.7
$
1,562.1
$
297.5
$
4,079.3
$
2,937.4
$
2,553.1
$
454.8
$
6,729.9
$
4,731.1
$
4,115.2
$
752.3
$
10,809.2
$

2015
200.0
$
174.2
$
33.2
$
455.0
$
327.6
$
284.8
$
50.7
$
750.7
$
527.7
$
459.0
$
83.9
$
1,205.7
$
1,745.8
$
1,520.4
$
289.3
$
3,970.8
$
2,859.4
$
2,485.4
$
442.7
$
6,551.3
$
4,605.3
$
4,005.7
$
732.0
$
10,522.1
$

2016
193.3
$
168.3
$
32.0
$
439.7
$
316.6
$
275.2
$
49.0
$
725.4
$
509.9
$
443.5
$
81.0
$
1,165.1
$
1,686.9
$
1,469.0
$
279.4
$
3,837.1
$
2,763.3
$
2,401.8
$
427.8
$
6,331.1
$
4,450.2
$
3,870.9
$
707.2
$
10,168.2
$

2017
185.9
$
161.9
$
30.8
$
422.9
$
304.5
$
264.7
$
47.2
$
697.8
$
490.4
$
426.6
$
77.9
$
1,120.6
$
1,622.3
$
1,412.8
$
268.5
$
3,690.4
$
2,657.9
$
2,310.2
$
411.5
$
6,089.5
$
4,280.1
$
3,722.9
$
680.0
$
9,779.9
$

2018
178.2
$
155.2
$
29.5
$
405.4
$
292.0
$
253.8
$
45.2
$
668.9
$
470.1
$
408.9
$
74.7
$
1,074.3
$
1,555.0
$
1,354.2
$
257.2
$
3,537.7
$
2,548.0
$
2,214.8
$
394.5
$
5,837.9
$
4,103.1
$
3,568.9
$
651.7
$
9,375.6
$

2019
170.4
$
148.4
$
28.2
$
387.7
$
279.2
$
242.7
$
43.2
$
639.8
$
449.6
$
391.1
$
71.4
$
1,027.4
$
1,487.0
$
1,294.9
$
245.8
$
3,383.2
$
2,436.9
$
2,118.2
$
377.3
$
5,583.3
$
3,923.9
$
3,413.1
$
623.1
$
8,966.5
$

2020
162.6
$
141.6
$
26.9
$
370.1
$
266.6
$
231.7
$
41.3
$
610.7
$
429.2
$
373.3
$
68.1
$
980.8
$
1,419.4
$
1,236.0
$
234.4
$
3,229.6
$
2,326.4
$
2,022.1
$
360.2
$
5,330.1
$
3,745.8
$
3,258.1
$
594.6
$
8,559.7
$

2021
155.0
$
135.0
$
25.6
$
352.8
$
254.1
$
220.9
$
39.3
$
582.2
$
409.1
$
355.9
$
64.9
$
935.0
$
1,352.9
$
1,178.1
$
223.3
$
3,078.6
$
2,217.7
$
1,927.6
$
343.4
$
5,081.2
$
3,570.6
$
3,105.7
$
566.7
$
8,159.7
$

2022
147.6
$
128.5
$
24.3
$
335.9
$
242.0
$
210.3
$
37.5
$
554.4
$
389.6
$
338.8
$
61.8
$
890.2
$
1,288.0
$
1,121.6
$
212.5
$
2,931.2
$
2,111.7
$
1,835.5
$
327.0
$
4,838.2
$
3,399.7
$
2,957.0
$
539.4
$
7,769.4
$

2023
140.4
$
122.2
$
23.1
$
319.5
$
230.2
$
200.1
$
35.6
$
527.4
$
370.6
$
322.3
$
58.8
$
846.9
$
1,225.1
$
1,066.8
$
202.0
$
2,788.3
$
2,008.8
$
1,746.0
$
311.0
$
4,602.5
$
3,234.0
$
2,812.8
$
513.0
$
7,390.8
$

2024
133.4
$
116.2
$
22.0
$
303.7
$
218.8
$
190.2
$
33.9
$
501.3
$
352.2
$
306.3
$
55.9
$
805.0
$
1,164.4
$
1,013.8
$
191.8
$
2,650.2
$
1,909.5
$
1,659.7
$
295.7
$
4,374.9
$
3,073.9
$
2,673.5
$
487.5
$
7,025.1
$

2025
126.7
$
110.3
$
20.9
$
288.4
$
207.8
$
180.6
$
32.2
$
476.2
$
334.6
$
291.0
$
53.0
$
764.6
$
1,105.9
$
962.9
$
182.1
$
2,517.3
$
1,813.8
$
1,576.5
$
280.9
$
4,155.8
$
2,919.8
$
2,539.4
$
462.9
$
6,673.1
$

2026
120.3
$
104.7
$
19.8
$
273.8
$
197.3
$
171.5
$
30.6
$
452.1
$
317.6
$
276.2
$
50.3
$
725.9
$
1,049.8
$
914.0
$
172.7
$
2,389.8
$
1,722.0
$
1,496.7
$
266.6
$
3,945.4
$
2,771.8
$
2,410.7
$
439.4
$
6,335.2
$

2027
114.1
$
99.4
$
18.8
$
259.8
$
187.2
$
162.7
$
29.0
$
429.0
$
301.4
$
262.1
$
47.8
$
688.8
$
996.1
$
867.2
$
163.8
$
2,267.6
$
1,634.1
$
1,420.2
$
253.0
$
3,743.9
$
2,630.2
$
2,287.5
$
416.8
$
6,011.5
$

Total
3,344.2
$
2,912.2
$
553.7
$
7,607.1
$
5,478.5
$
4,761.8
$
848.2
$
12,552.0
$
8,822.7
$
7,674.0
$
1,401.9
$
20,159.0
$
29,185.4
$
25,415.6
$
4,831.9
$
66,388.9
$
47,812.5
$
41,557.1
$
7,402.6
$
109,544.4
$
76,997.9
$
66,972.7
$
12,234.5
$
175,933.3
$

Ann.
287.0
$
249.9
$
47.5
$
652.8
$
470.1
$
408.6
$
72.8
$
1,077.1
$
757.1
$
658.5
$
120.3
$
1,729.9
$
2,504.4
$
2,180.9
$
414.6
$
5,696.9
$
4,102.8
$
3,566.0
$
635.2
$
9,400.1
$
6,607.2
$
5,747.0
$
1,049.8
$
15,096.9
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
10c.
Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Exhibit
F.
10e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
(
All
Water
Systems)

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
3
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.1
$
12.7
$
8.2
$
31.9
$
27.3
$
83.3
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.4
$
7.1
$
18.2
$
110.9
$
71.9
$
278.7
$
238.0
$
727.1
$

2007
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
1.9
$
4.9
$
29.7
$
19.3
$
74.7
$
63.8
$
194.8
$
0.3
$
2.2
$
3.2
$
16.5
$
42.5
$
259.4
$
168.1
$
651.8
$
556.5
$
1,700.5
$

2008
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
3.1
$
8.0
$
48.6
$
31.5
$
122.2
$
104.3
$
318.7
$
0.5
$
3.6
$
5.3
$
27.0
$
69.5
$
424.3
$
275.0
$
1,066.3
$
910.3
$
2,781.7
$

2009
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.9
$
4.4
$
11.2
$
68.4
$
44.3
$
171.9
$
146.7
$
448.4
$
0.7
$
5.0
$
7.4
$
38.0
$
97.7
$
596.8
$
386.9
$
1,499.9
$
1,280.5
$
3,913.1
$

2010
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.1
$
5.6
$
14.5
$
88.5
$
57.4
$
222.4
$
189.9
$
580.3
$
0.9
$
6.5
$
9.6
$
49.2
$
126.5
$
772.3
$
500.6
$
1,941.1
$
1,657.2
$
5,064.0
$

2011
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.4
$
6.9
$
17.8
$
108.6
$
70.4
$
273.0
$
233.1
$
712.3
$
1.1
$
8.0
$
11.8
$
60.4
$
155.3
$
948.1
$
614.6
$
2,382.9
$
2,034.4
$
6,216.6
$

2012
0.2
$
1.1
$
1.6
$
8.2
$
21.1
$
117.2
$
76.0
$
294.6
$
251.5
$
771.5
$
1.4
$
9.4
$
14.0
$
71.5
$
183.8
$
1,023.1
$
663.2
$
2,571.3
$
2,195.2
$
6,732.9
$

2013
0.2
$
1.2
$
1.8
$
9.4
$
24.3
$
121.7
$
78.9
$
305.8
$
261.1
$
804.5
$
1.6
$
10.9
$
16.1
$
82.4
$
211.9
$
1,062.0
$
688.4
$
2,669.2
$
2,278.8
$
7,021.3
$

2014
0.2
$
1.4
$
2.1
$
10.7
$
27.4
$
124.1
$
80.4
$
311.8
$
266.2
$
824.3
$
1.8
$
12.3
$
18.2
$
93.2
$
239.5
$
1,082.8
$
701.9
$
2,721.3
$
2,323.2
$
7,194.0
$

2015
0.2
$
1.5
$
2.2
$
11.2
$
28.8
$
125.2
$
81.2
$
314.7
$
268.7
$
833.6
$
1.8
$
12.9
$
19.1
$
97.7
$
251.0
$
1,092.8
$
708.3
$
2,746.4
$
2,344.7
$
7,274.7
$

2016
0.2
$
1.5
$
2.2
$
11.4
$
29.4
$
125.6
$
81.4
$
315.6
$
269.4
$
836.8
$
1.9
$
13.2
$
19.5
$
99.9
$
256.7
$
1,095.8
$
710.3
$
2,754.1
$
2,351.3
$
7,302.7
$

2017
0.2
$
1.5
$
2.3
$
11.6
$
29.7
$
125.4
$
81.3
$
315.1
$
269.0
$
836.0
$
1.9
$
13.3
$
19.7
$
100.9
$
259.3
$
1,094.2
$
709.3
$
2,750.0
$
2,347.8
$
7,296.4
$

2018
0.2
$
1.5
$
2.3
$
11.6
$
29.8
$
124.8
$
80.9
$
313.7
$
267.8
$
832.6
$
1.9
$
13.3
$
19.8
$
101.2
$
260.1
$
1,089.2
$
706.0
$
2,737.5
$
2,337.1
$
7,266.2
$

2019
0.2
$
1.5
$
2.3
$
11.6
$
29.8
$
124.0
$
80.3
$
311.5
$
266.0
$
827.2
$
1.9
$
13.3
$
19.8
$
101.0
$
259.7
$
1,081.8
$
701.2
$
2,718.8
$
2,321.2
$
7,218.8
$

2020
0.2
$
1.5
$
2.3
$
11.5
$
29.6
$
122.9
$
79.7
$
308.9
$
263.7
$
820.3
$
1.9
$
13.3
$
19.7
$
100.6
$
258.5
$
1,072.6
$
695.2
$
2,695.6
$
2,301.4
$
7,158.7
$

2021
0.2
$
1.5
$
2.2
$
11.4
$
29.4
$
121.7
$
78.9
$
305.8
$
261.1
$
812.3
$
1.9
$
13.2
$
19.5
$
99.9
$
256.7
$
1,061.9
$
688.4
$
2,669.0
$
2,278.6
$
7,089.0
$

2022
0.2
$
1.5
$
2.2
$
11.3
$
29.2
$
120.3
$
78.0
$
302.4
$
258.2
$
803.4
$
1.9
$
13.0
$
19.4
$
99.0
$
254.4
$
1,050.3
$
680.8
$
2,639.6
$
2,253.5
$
7,011.8
$

2023
0.2
$
1.5
$
2.2
$
11.2
$
28.9
$
118.9
$
77.1
$
298.8
$
255.1
$
793.9
$
1.9
$
12.9
$
19.2
$
98.0
$
251.9
$
1,037.7
$
672.7
$
2,608.1
$
2,226.6
$
6,928.9
$

2024
0.2
$
1.5
$
2.2
$
11.1
$
28.5
$
117.4
$
76.1
$
295.1
$
251.9
$
783.9
$
1.8
$
12.8
$
19.0
$
96.9
$
249.0
$
1,024.6
$
664.1
$
2,575.0
$
2,198.4
$
6,841.7
$

2025
0.2
$
1.4
$
2.1
$
11.0
$
28.2
$
115.8
$
75.1
$
291.1
$
248.5
$
773.6
$
1.8
$
12.6
$
18.7
$
95.7
$
246.0
$
1,010.9
$
655.3
$
2,540.8
$
2,169.2
$
6,751.1
$

2026
0.2
$
1.4
$
2.1
$
10.8
$
27.8
$
114.2
$
74.0
$
287.1
$
245.1
$
762.9
$
1.8
$
12.5
$
18.5
$
94.5
$
242.9
$
996.9
$
646.2
$
2,505.6
$
2,139.1
$
6,657.9
$

2027
0.2
$
1.4
$
2.1
$
10.7
$
27.5
$
112.6
$
73.0
$
283.0
$
241.6
$
752.0
$
1.8
$
12.3
$
18.2
$
93.2
$
239.6
$
982.7
$
637.0
$
2,469.7
$
2,108.5
$
6,562.9
$

Total
3.7
$
26.0
$
38.6
$
197.5
$
507.7
$
2,288.4
$
1,483.3
$
5,751.3
$
4,910.1
$
15,206.6
$
32.6
$
227.2
$
337.2
$
1,723.7
$
4,430.6
$
19,971.2
$
12,945.5
$
50,192.8
$
42,851.5
$
#########

Ann.
0.2
$
1.5
$
2.2
$
11.3
$
29.2
$
131.4
$
85.2
$
330.3
$
282.0
$
873.3
$
1.9
$
13.0
$
19.4
$
99.0
$
254.4
$
1,146.9
$
743.4
$
2,882.5
$
2,460.9
$
7,621.4
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
10a
and
F.
10b.
Exhibit
F.
10f
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
3
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.9
$
11.3
$
7.3
$
28.5
$
24.3
$
74.3
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.2
$
6.3
$
16.2
$
98.9
$
64.1
$
248.6
$
212.3
$
648.6
$

2007
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.6
$
4.2
$
25.5
$
16.5
$
64.1
$
54.8
$
167.3
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.8
$
14.2
$
36.5
$
222.7
$
144.4
$
559.7
$
477.8
$
1,460.1
$

2008
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.5
$
2.6
$
6.6
$
40.2
$
26.0
$
101.0
$
86.2
$
263.5
$
0.4
$
2.9
$
4.4
$
22.3
$
57.4
$
350.7
$
227.3
$
881.3
$
752.4
$
2,299.2
$

2009
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
3.5
$
8.9
$
54.4
$
35.3
$
136.7
$
116.7
$
356.7
$
0.6
$
4.0
$
5.9
$
30.3
$
77.8
$
474.8
$
307.8
$
1,193.4
$
1,018.9
$
3,113.4
$

2010
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.8
$
4.3
$
11.1
$
67.8
$
43.9
$
170.4
$
145.4
$
444.4
$
0.7
$
5.0
$
7.4
$
37.7
$
96.9
$
591.5
$
383.4
$
1,486.7
$
1,269.2
$
3,878.5
$

2011
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.0
$
5.1
$
13.1
$
80.1
$
51.9
$
201.3
$
171.9
$
525.2
$
0.8
$
5.9
$
8.7
$
44.5
$
114.5
$
699.0
$
453.1
$
1,756.8
$
1,499.9
$
4,583.3
$

2012
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
5.8
$
14.9
$
83.2
$
53.9
$
209.1
$
178.5
$
547.5
$
1.0
$
6.7
$
9.9
$
50.8
$
130.5
$
726.1
$
470.7
$
1,824.9
$
1,558.0
$
4,778.4
$

2013
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.3
$
6.5
$
16.6
$
83.1
$
53.9
$
208.9
$
178.4
$
549.6
$
1.1
$
7.4
$
11.0
$
56.3
$
144.8
$
725.6
$
470.3
$
1,823.5
$
1,556.8
$
4,796.8
$

2014
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.4
$
7.0
$
18.0
$
81.6
$
52.9
$
205.1
$
175.1
$
542.1
$
1.2
$
8.1
$
12.0
$
61.3
$
157.5
$
712.1
$
461.6
$
1,789.6
$
1,527.9
$
4,731.1
$

2015
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.4
$
7.1
$
18.2
$
79.3
$
51.4
$
199.2
$
170.1
$
527.7
$
1.2
$
8.1
$
12.1
$
61.8
$
158.9
$
691.8
$
448.4
$
1,738.6
$
1,484.3
$
4,605.3
$

2016
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.4
$
7.0
$
17.9
$
76.5
$
49.6
$
192.3
$
164.2
$
509.9
$
1.2
$
8.0
$
11.9
$
60.9
$
156.4
$
667.8
$
432.9
$
1,678.3
$
1,432.9
$
4,450.2
$

2017
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.3
$
6.8
$
17.4
$
73.5
$
47.7
$
184.8
$
157.8
$
490.4
$
1.1
$
7.8
$
11.6
$
59.2
$
152.1
$
641.9
$
416.1
$
1,613.2
$
1,377.2
$
4,280.1
$

2018
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.3
$
6.5
$
16.8
$
70.5
$
45.7
$
177.1
$
151.2
$
470.1
$
1.1
$
7.5
$
11.2
$
57.1
$
146.9
$
615.1
$
398.7
$
1,545.8
$
1,319.7
$
4,103.1
$

2019
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.2
$
6.3
$
16.2
$
67.4
$
43.7
$
169.3
$
144.6
$
449.6
$
1.0
$
7.2
$
10.7
$
54.9
$
141.2
$
588.0
$
381.2
$
1,477.9
$
1,261.7
$
3,923.9
$

2020
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.2
$
6.0
$
15.5
$
64.3
$
41.7
$
161.6
$
138.0
$
429.2
$
1.0
$
6.9
$
10.3
$
52.6
$
135.3
$
561.2
$
363.8
$
1,410.5
$
1,204.2
$
3,745.8
$

2021
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
5.8
$
14.8
$
61.3
$
39.7
$
154.0
$
131.5
$
409.1
$
1.0
$
6.6
$
9.8
$
50.3
$
129.3
$
534.9
$
346.7
$
1,344.3
$
1,147.7
$
3,570.6
$

2022
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.1
$
5.5
$
14.1
$
58.3
$
37.8
$
146.6
$
125.2
$
389.6
$
0.9
$
6.3
$
9.4
$
48.0
$
123.4
$
509.2
$
330.1
$
1,279.8
$
1,092.6
$
3,399.7
$

2023
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.0
$
5.2
$
13.5
$
55.5
$
36.0
$
139.5
$
119.1
$
370.6
$
0.9
$
6.0
$
8.9
$
45.7
$
117.6
$
484.3
$
314.0
$
1,217.3
$
1,039.2
$
3,234.0
$

2024
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.0
$
5.0
$
12.8
$
52.7
$
34.2
$
132.6
$
113.2
$
352.2
$
0.8
$
5.7
$
8.5
$
43.5
$
111.9
$
460.3
$
298.4
$
1,156.9
$
987.7
$
3,073.9
$

2025
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.9
$
4.7
$
12.2
$
50.1
$
32.5
$
125.9
$
107.5
$
334.6
$
0.8
$
5.5
$
8.1
$
41.4
$
106.4
$
437.2
$
283.4
$
1,098.9
$
938.1
$
2,919.8
$

2026
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.9
$
4.5
$
11.6
$
47.6
$
30.8
$
119.5
$
102.0
$
317.6
$
0.7
$
5.2
$
7.7
$
39.3
$
101.1
$
415.0
$
269.0
$
1,043.1
$
890.6
$
2,771.8
$

2027
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.8
$
4.3
$
11.0
$
45.1
$
29.3
$
113.4
$
96.8
$
301.4
$
0.7
$
4.9
$
7.3
$
37.4
$
96.0
$
393.8
$
255.3
$
989.8
$
845.0
$
2,630.2
$

Total
2.1
$
14.7
$
21.9
$
111.8
$
287.4
$
1,329.4
$
861.7
$
3,341.1
$
2,852.5
$
8,822.7
$
18.5
$
128.6
$
190.9
$
975.8
$
2,508.3
$
11,602.1
$
7,520.5
$
29,159.0
$
24,894.2
$
76,997.9
$

Ann.
0.2
$
1.3
$
1.9
$
9.6
$
24.7
$
114.1
$
73.9
$
286.7
$
244.8
$
757.1
$
1.6
$
11.0
$
16.4
$
83.7
$
215.2
$
995.6
$
645.3
$
2,502.2
$
2,136.2
$
6,607.2
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
10a
and
F.
10b.
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
10g
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
F.
11
Model
Outputs
­
Alternative
3
TTHM
as
Indicator
Bronchitis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
3
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
33.6
$
29.3
$
5.6
$
76.3
$
9.7
$
8.9
$
4.4
$
17.7
$
43.3
$
38.2
$
10.0
$
94.0
$
293.2
$
255.3
$
48.9
$
666.3
$
84.3
$
77.6
$
38.1
$
154.2
$
377.5
$
332.9
$
87.1
$
820.5
$

2007
80.9
$
70.5
$
13.5
$
183.9
$
23.2
$
21.4
$
10.5
$
42.5
$
104.1
$
91.8
$
24.0
$
226.4
$
706.1
$
615.0
$
117.7
$
1,604.9
$
202.8
$
186.5
$
91.5
$
370.8
$
908.9
$
801.5
$
209.3
$
1,975.7
$

2008
136.3
$
118.7
$
22.7
$
309.9
$
39.1
$
36.0
$
17.6
$
71.4
$
175.4
$
154.7
$
40.3
$
381.3
$
1,189.6
$
1,036.1
$
198.2
$
2,704.2
$
341.1
$
313.9
$
154.0
$
623.5
$
1,530.8
$
1,350.0
$
352.1
$
3,327.7
$

2009
197.5
$
172.0
$
32.9
$
448.9
$
56.5
$
52.1
$
25.5
$
103.3
$
254.0
$
224.1
$
58.4
$
552.3
$
1,723.5
$
1,501.1
$
286.9
$
3,918.0
$
493.5
$
454.3
$
222.5
$
901.8
$
2,217.0
$
1,955.4
$
509.4
$
4,819.9
$

2010
263.2
$
229.2
$
43.8
$
598.4
$
75.3
$
69.3
$
33.9
$
137.5
$
338.5
$
298.6
$
77.7
$
735.9
$
2,297.1
$
2,000.6
$
382.1
$
5,222.5
$
656.8
$
605.0
$
296.1
$
1,200.1
$
2,953.9
$
2,605.6
$
678.2
$
6,422.7
$

2011
332.8
$
289.8
$
55.3
$
756.6
$
95.0
$
87.5
$
42.8
$
173.9
$
427.8
$
377.3
$
98.1
$
930.5
$
2,904.3
$
2,529.4
$
482.7
$
6,603.4
$
829.1
$
763.7
$
373.8
$
1,517.3
$
3,733.4
$
3,293.1
$
856.6
$
8,120.8
$

2012
371.1
$
323.2
$
61.6
$
843.8
$
105.8
$
97.5
$
47.6
$
193.7
$
476.9
$
420.6
$
109.3
$
1,037.5
$
3,238.5
$
2,820.4
$
537.9
$
7,364.0
$
923.1
$
850.6
$
415.7
$
1,690.8
$
4,161.7
$
3,671.0
$
953.6
$
9,054.8
$

2013
398.4
$
346.9
$
66.1
$
905.9
$
113.4
$
104.5
$
51.1
$
207.6
$
511.8
$
451.4
$
117.2
$
1,113.5
$
3,476.8
$
3,027.9
$
577.0
$
7,906.4
$
989.5
$
912.0
$
445.8
$
1,811.5
$
4,466.3
$
3,939.9
$
1,022.9
$
9,717.9
$

2014
420.2
$
365.9
$
69.7
$
955.6
$
119.4
$
110.1
$
53.8
$
218.6
$
539.6
$
476.0
$
123.5
$
1,174.3
$
3,667.2
$
3,193.7
$
608.2
$
8,340.2
$
1,042.1
$
960.7
$
469.7
$
1,907.9
$
4,709.3
$
4,154.4
$
1,077.9
$
10,248.1
$

2015
437.5
$
381.0
$
72.5
$
995.2
$
124.1
$
114.5
$
55.9
$
227.4
$
561.7
$
495.5
$
128.4
$
1,222.5
$
3,818.6
$
3,325.5
$
632.9
$
8,685.1
$
1,083.4
$
998.9
$
487.7
$
1,984.3
$
4,901.9
$
4,324.4
$
1,120.5
$
10,669.4
$

2016
452.3
$
393.9
$
74.9
$
1,028.9
$
128.1
$
118.2
$
57.6
$
234.6
$
580.4
$
512.1
$
132.5
$
1,263.5
$
3,947.6
$
3,437.8
$
653.8
$
8,979.3
$
1,118.2
$
1,031.2
$
502.7
$
2,047.8
$
5,065.7
$
4,468.9
$
1,156.5
$
11,027.1
$

2017
465.4
$
405.3
$
77.0
$
1,058.8
$
131.6
$
121.4
$
59.2
$
241.1
$
597.0
$
526.7
$
136.2
$
1,299.9
$
4,061.9
$
3,537.3
$
672.3
$
9,240.1
$
1,148.7
$
1,059.4
$
516.8
$
2,104.4
$
5,210.6
$
4,596.7
$
1,189.0
$
11,344.5
$

2018
477.3
$
415.7
$
78.9
$
1,086.0
$
134.8
$
124.3
$
60.6
$
247.0
$
612.1
$
540.0
$
139.6
$
1,333.0
$
4,165.9
$
3,627.8
$
689.0
$
9,477.5
$
1,176.1
$
1,084.9
$
528.9
$
2,155.8
$
5,342.0
$
4,712.8
$
1,217.9
$
11,633.3
$

2019
488.4
$
425.3
$
80.7
$
1,111.2
$
137.7
$
127.0
$
61.9
$
252.4
$
626.1
$
552.3
$
142.6
$
1,363.6
$
4,262.4
$
3,711.8
$
704.5
$
9,697.8
$
1,201.3
$
1,108.0
$
540.2
$
2,202.7
$
5,463.8
$
4,819.8
$
1,244.7
$
11,900.5
$

2020
498.8
$
434.4
$
82.4
$
1,135.0
$
140.3
$
129.4
$
63.1
$
257.7
$
639.2
$
563.8
$
145.5
$
1,392.6
$
4,353.3
$
3,790.9
$
719.0
$
9,905.3
$
1,224.8
$
1,129.3
$
550.5
$
2,248.6
$
5,578.1
$
4,920.1
$
1,269.5
$
12,154.0
$

2021
508.7
$
443.0
$
84.0
$
1,157.6
$
142.9
$
131.7
$
64.3
$
262.4
$
651.6
$
574.7
$
148.2
$
1,420.0
$
4,439.8
$
3,866.1
$
732.8
$
10,102.9
$
1,247.0
$
1,149.1
$
560.9
$
2,289.6
$
5,686.8
$
5,015.2
$
1,293.7
$
12,392.5
$

2022
518.2
$
451.3
$
85.5
$
1,179.4
$
145.3
$
133.9
$
65.4
$
267.0
$
663.5
$
585.2
$
150.8
$
1,446.3
$
4,522.8
$
3,938.2
$
746.0
$
10,292.5
$
1,268.1
$
1,168.6
$
570.4
$
2,330.0
$
5,790.8
$
5,106.9
$
1,316.4
$
12,622.5
$

2023
527.4
$
459.2
$
86.9
$
1,200.4
$
147.6
$
136.1
$
66.4
$
271.4
$
675.0
$
595.3
$
153.3
$
1,471.7
$
4,603.0
$
4,007.9
$
758.8
$
10,475.8
$
1,288.2
$
1,187.5
$
579.2
$
2,368.5
$
5,891.2
$
5,195.5
$
1,338.0
$
12,844.3
$

2024
536.4
$
467.0
$
88.4
$
1,220.8
$
149.8
$
138.2
$
67.4
$
275.5
$
686.2
$
605.2
$
155.7
$
1,496.2
$
4,681.0
$
4,075.7
$
771.1
$
10,654.1
$
1,307.7
$
1,205.9
$
587.8
$
2,404.0
$
5,988.7
$
5,281.6
$
1,358.9
$
13,058.0
$

2025
545.1
$
474.6
$
89.7
$
1,240.7
$
152.0
$
140.1
$
68.4
$
279.4
$
697.1
$
614.7
$
158.2
$
1,520.1
$
4,757.1
$
4,141.9
$
783.2
$
10,828.2
$
1,326.5
$
1,223.0
$
597.1
$
2,438.3
$
6,083.7
$
5,364.9
$
1,380.3
$
13,266.5
$

2026
553.7
$
482.0
$
91.1
$
1,260.3
$
154.1
$
142.1
$
69.4
$
283.3
$
707.7
$
624.2
$
160.5
$
1,543.6
$
4,831.9
$
4,206.9
$
795.0
$
10,999.1
$
1,344.9
$
1,240.5
$
605.5
$
2,472.4
$
6,176.7
$
5,447.4
$
1,400.5
$
13,471.5
$

2027
562.1
$
489.4
$
92.4
$
1,279.6
$
156.2
$
144.1
$
70.2
$
287.2
$
718.2
$
633.5
$
162.7
$
1,566.7
$
4,905.4
$
4,270.8
$
806.6
$
11,167.3
$
1,362.8
$
1,257.9
$
613.1
$
2,506.1
$
6,268.2
$
5,528.7
$
1,419.7
$
13,673.4
$

Total
8,805.4
$
7,667.7
$
1,455.8
$
20,033.2
$
2,481.9
$
2,288.1
$
1,117.0
$
4,552.5
$
11,287.3
$
9,955.8
$
2,572.7
$
24,585.6
$
76,847.0
$
66,918.2
$
12,704.8
$
174,834.9
$
21,660.1
$
19,968.6
$
9,748.0
$
39,730.5
$
98,507.1
$
86,886.8
$
22,452.8
$
214,565.3
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
21b,
and
E.
21e.
Exhibit
F.
11a
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
All
Surface
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
3
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.2
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.3
$
2.7
$
8.3
$
7.2
$
1.4
$
18.8
$
2.4
$
2.2
$
1.1
$
4.4
$
10.7
$
9.4
$
2.5
$
23.2
$

2007
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.4
$
5.2
$
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.9
$
2.6
$
0.7
$
6.4
$
20.0
$
17.4
$
3.3
$
45.4
$
5.7
$
5.3
$
2.6
$
10.5
$
25.7
$
22.7
$
5.9
$
55.9
$

2008
3.9
$
3.4
$
0.6
$
8.8
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
5.0
$
4.4
$
1.1
$
10.8
$
33.6
$
29.3
$
5.6
$
76.5
$
9.6
$
8.9
$
4.4
$
17.6
$
43.3
$
38.2
$
10.0
$
94.1
$

2009
5.6
$
4.9
$
0.9
$
12.7
$
1.6
$
1.5
$
0.7
$
2.9
$
7.2
$
6.3
$
1.7
$
15.6
$
48.7
$
42.4
$
8.1
$
110.8
$
14.0
$
12.8
$
6.3
$
25.5
$
62.7
$
55.3
$
14.4
$
136.3
$

2010
7.4
$
6.5
$
1.2
$
16.9
$
2.1
$
2.0
$
1.0
$
3.9
$
9.6
$
8.4
$
2.2
$
20.8
$
65.0
$
56.6
$
10.8
$
147.7
$
18.6
$
17.1
$
8.4
$
33.9
$
83.5
$
73.7
$
19.2
$
181.6
$

2011
9.4
$
8.2
$
1.6
$
21.4
$
2.7
$
2.5
$
1.2
$
4.9
$
12.1
$
10.7
$
2.8
$
26.3
$
82.1
$
71.5
$
13.6
$
186.7
$
23.4
$
21.6
$
10.6
$
42.9
$
105.6
$
93.1
$
24.2
$
229.6
$

2012
10.6
$
9.2
$
1.8
$
24.1
$
3.0
$
2.8
$
1.4
$
5.5
$
13.6
$
12.0
$
3.1
$
29.7
$
92.7
$
80.7
$
15.4
$
210.8
$
26.4
$
24.3
$
11.9
$
48.4
$
119.1
$
105.1
$
27.3
$
259.2
$

2013
11.6
$
10.1
$
1.9
$
26.3
$
3.3
$
3.0
$
1.5
$
6.0
$
14.9
$
13.1
$
3.4
$
32.3
$
101.0
$
88.0
$
16.8
$
229.7
$
28.7
$
26.5
$
13.0
$
52.6
$
129.7
$
114.4
$
29.7
$
282.3
$

2014
12.4
$
10.8
$
2.1
$
28.2
$
3.5
$
3.2
$
1.6
$
6.5
$
15.9
$
14.0
$
3.6
$
34.7
$
108.2
$
94.2
$
17.9
$
246.1
$
30.8
$
28.3
$
13.9
$
56.3
$
139.0
$
122.6
$
31.8
$
302.4
$

2015
13.0
$
11.3
$
2.2
$
29.5
$
3.7
$
3.4
$
1.7
$
6.8
$
16.7
$
14.7
$
3.8
$
36.3
$
113.4
$
98.7
$
18.8
$
257.9
$
32.2
$
29.7
$
14.5
$
58.9
$
145.5
$
128.4
$
33.3
$
316.8
$

2016
13.5
$
11.7
$
2.2
$
30.6
$
3.8
$
3.5
$
1.7
$
7.0
$
17.3
$
15.3
$
3.9
$
37.6
$
117.6
$
102.4
$
19.5
$
267.4
$
33.3
$
30.7
$
15.0
$
61.0
$
150.9
$
133.1
$
34.4
$
328.4
$

2017
13.9
$
12.1
$
2.3
$
31.6
$
3.9
$
3.6
$
1.8
$
7.2
$
17.8
$
15.7
$
4.1
$
38.8
$
121.2
$
105.6
$
20.1
$
275.7
$
34.3
$
31.6
$
15.4
$
62.8
$
155.5
$
137.2
$
35.5
$
338.5
$

2018
14.3
$
12.4
$
2.4
$
32.4
$
4.0
$
3.7
$
1.8
$
7.4
$
18.3
$
16.1
$
4.2
$
39.8
$
124.5
$
108.4
$
20.6
$
283.2
$
35.1
$
32.4
$
15.8
$
64.4
$
159.6
$
140.8
$
36.4
$
347.6
$

2019
14.6
$
12.7
$
2.4
$
33.2
$
4.1
$
3.8
$
1.9
$
7.5
$
18.7
$
16.5
$
4.3
$
40.8
$
127.5
$
111.0
$
21.1
$
290.0
$
35.9
$
33.1
$
16.2
$
65.9
$
163.4
$
144.2
$
37.2
$
355.9
$

2020
14.9
$
13.0
$
2.5
$
34.0
$
4.2
$
3.9
$
1.9
$
7.7
$
19.1
$
16.9
$
4.4
$
41.7
$
130.3
$
113.5
$
21.5
$
296.4
$
36.7
$
33.8
$
16.5
$
67.3
$
166.9
$
147.2
$
38.0
$
363.7
$

2021
15.2
$
13.3
$
2.5
$
34.7
$
4.3
$
3.9
$
1.9
$
7.9
$
19.5
$
17.2
$
4.4
$
42.5
$
132.9
$
115.8
$
21.9
$
302.5
$
37.3
$
34.4
$
16.8
$
68.6
$
170.3
$
150.2
$
38.7
$
371.1
$

2022
15.5
$
13.5
$
2.6
$
35.3
$
4.4
$
4.0
$
2.0
$
8.0
$
19.9
$
17.5
$
4.5
$
43.3
$
135.5
$
118.0
$
22.3
$
308.3
$
38.0
$
35.0
$
17.1
$
69.8
$
173.5
$
153.0
$
39.4
$
378.1
$

2023
15.8
$
13.8
$
2.6
$
36.0
$
4.4
$
4.1
$
2.0
$
8.1
$
20.2
$
17.8
$
4.6
$
44.1
$
137.9
$
120.1
$
22.7
$
313.9
$
38.6
$
35.6
$
17.4
$
71.0
$
176.5
$
155.7
$
40.1
$
384.9
$

2024
16.1
$
14.0
$
2.6
$
36.6
$
4.5
$
4.1
$
2.0
$
8.3
$
20.6
$
18.1
$
4.7
$
44.8
$
140.3
$
122.2
$
23.1
$
319.3
$
39.2
$
36.1
$
17.6
$
72.0
$
179.5
$
158.3
$
40.7
$
391.4
$

2025
16.3
$
14.2
$
2.7
$
37.2
$
4.6
$
4.2
$
2.1
$
8.4
$
20.9
$
18.4
$
4.7
$
45.6
$
142.6
$
124.2
$
23.5
$
324.6
$
39.8
$
36.7
$
17.9
$
73.1
$
182.4
$
160.8
$
41.4
$
397.7
$

2026
16.6
$
14.5
$
2.7
$
37.8
$
4.6
$
4.3
$
2.1
$
8.5
$
21.2
$
18.7
$
4.8
$
46.3
$
144.9
$
126.1
$
23.8
$
329.8
$
40.3
$
37.2
$
18.2
$
74.1
$
185.2
$
163.3
$
42.0
$
403.9
$

2027
16.9
$
14.7
$
2.8
$
38.4
$
4.7
$
4.3
$
2.1
$
8.6
$
21.5
$
19.0
$
4.9
$
47.0
$
147.1
$
128.1
$
24.2
$
334.9
$
40.9
$
37.7
$
18.4
$
75.2
$
188.0
$
165.8
$
42.6
$
410.0
$

Total
260.7
$
227.0
$
43.1
$
593.1
$
73.5
$
67.7
$
33.1
$
134.8
$
334.2
$
294.8
$
76.2
$
727.9
$
2,275.2
$
1,981.2
$
376.1
$
5,176.4
$
641.2
$
591.1
$
288.6
$
1,176.2
$
2,916.4
$
2,572.4
$
664.7
$
6,352.5
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
21c,
and
E.
21f.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
11b
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
All
Ground
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
3
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
34.5
$
30.1
$
5.8
$
78.5
$
9.9
$
9.1
$
4.5
$
18.2
$
44.5
$
39.2
$
10.3
$
96.7
$
301.5
$
262.6
$
50.3
$
685.1
$
86.7
$
79.8
$
39.2
$
158.5
$
388.2
$
342.4
$
89.5
$
843.7
$

2007
83.2
$
72.5
$
13.9
$
189.1
$
23.9
$
22.0
$
10.8
$
43.7
$
107.1
$
94.4
$
24.7
$
232.8
$
726.1
$
632.4
$
121.0
$
1,650.3
$
208.5
$
191.8
$
94.1
$
381.3
$
934.6
$
824.2
$
215.2
$
2,031.6
$

2008
140.2
$
122.1
$
23.4
$
318.6
$
40.2
$
37.0
$
18.1
$
73.5
$
180.4
$
159.1
$
41.5
$
392.1
$
1,223.3
$
1,065.4
$
203.8
$
2,780.6
$
350.8
$
322.8
$
158.3
$
641.2
$
1,574.1
$
1,388.2
$
362.1
$
3,421.8
$

2009
203.1
$
176.9
$
33.8
$
461.6
$
58.1
$
53.5
$
26.2
$
106.3
$
261.2
$
230.4
$
60.0
$
567.9
$
1,772.3
$
1,543.5
$
295.0
$
4,028.8
$
507.5
$
467.2
$
228.8
$
927.3
$
2,279.7
$
2,010.7
$
523.8
$
4,956.1
$

2010
270.7
$
235.7
$
45.0
$
615.3
$
77.4
$
71.3
$
34.9
$
141.4
$
348.0
$
307.0
$
79.9
$
756.7
$
2,362.1
$
2,057.2
$
392.9
$
5,370.2
$
675.4
$
622.1
$
304.4
$
1,234.1
$
3,037.5
$
2,679.3
$
697.3
$
6,604.3
$

2011
342.2
$
298.0
$
56.9
$
778.0
$
97.7
$
90.0
$
44.0
$
178.8
$
439.9
$
388.0
$
100.9
$
956.8
$
2,986.4
$
2,600.9
$
496.4
$
6,790.2
$
852.6
$
785.3
$
384.4
$
1,560.2
$
3,839.0
$
3,386.2
$
880.8
$
8,350.4
$

2012
381.7
$
332.4
$
63.4
$
867.9
$
108.8
$
100.3
$
49.0
$
199.3
$
490.5
$
432.7
$
112.4
$
1,067.2
$
3,331.2
$
2,901.1
$
553.3
$
7,574.7
$
949.6
$
874.9
$
427.6
$
1,739.2
$
4,280.8
$
3,776.1
$
980.9
$
9,313.9
$

2013
410.0
$
357.0
$
68.0
$
932.3
$
116.7
$
107.5
$
52.6
$
213.6
$
526.6
$
464.6
$
120.6
$
1,145.9
$
3,577.8
$
3,115.8
$
593.8
$
8,136.1
$
1,018.3
$
938.5
$
458.8
$
1,864.1
$
4,596.0
$
4,054.4
$
1,052.6
$
10,000.2
$

2014
432.6
$
376.7
$
71.7
$
983.8
$
122.9
$
113.3
$
55.4
$
225.1
$
555.5
$
490.1
$
127.2
$
1,208.9
$
3,775.4
$
3,287.9
$
626.2
$
8,586.3
$
1,072.8
$
989.0
$
483.5
$
1,964.2
$
4,848.3
$
4,277.0
$
1,109.7
$
10,550.5
$

2015
450.5
$
392.4
$
74.7
$
1,024.7
$
127.8
$
117.9
$
57.5
$
234.1
$
578.4
$
510.2
$
132.2
$
1,258.8
$
3,931.9
$
3,424.2
$
651.7
$
8,943.0
$
1,115.5
$
1,028.6
$
502.1
$
2,043.2
$
5,047.5
$
4,452.7
$
1,153.8
$
10,986.2
$

2016
465.8
$
405.6
$
77.1
$
1,059.5
$
131.9
$
121.7
$
59.3
$
241.6
$
597.7
$
527.3
$
136.5
$
1,301.2
$
4,065.2
$
3,540.2
$
673.3
$
9,246.7
$
1,151.5
$
1,061.9
$
517.7
$
2,108.8
$
5,216.6
$
4,602.0
$
1,191.0
$
11,355.5
$

2017
479.3
$
417.4
$
79.3
$
1,090.4
$
135.5
$
125.0
$
61.0
$
248.3
$
614.9
$
542.4
$
140.3
$
1,338.7
$
4,183.1
$
3,642.8
$
692.3
$
9,515.8
$
1,182.9
$
1,091.0
$
532.2
$
2,167.2
$
5,366.1
$
4,733.8
$
1,224.5
$
11,683.0
$

2018
491.6
$
428.1
$
81.3
$
1,118.4
$
138.8
$
128.0
$
62.4
$
254.4
$
630.4
$
556.1
$
143.7
$
1,372.8
$
4,290.4
$
3,736.2
$
709.6
$
9,760.7
$
1,211.3
$
1,117.4
$
544.7
$
2,220.2
$
5,501.7
$
4,853.6
$
1,254.3
$
11,980.9
$

2019
503.0
$
438.0
$
83.1
$
1,144.4
$
141.8
$
130.8
$
63.8
$
259.9
$
644.8
$
568.8
$
146.9
$
1,404.4
$
4,389.9
$
3,822.8
$
725.6
$
9,987.8
$
1,237.3
$
1,141.2
$
556.4
$
2,268.6
$
5,627.2
$
4,964.0
$
1,282.0
$
12,256.4
$

2020
513.7
$
447.4
$
84.9
$
1,169.0
$
144.5
$
133.3
$
65.0
$
265.4
$
658.3
$
580.6
$
149.8
$
1,434.3
$
4,483.6
$
3,904.3
$
740.6
$
10,201.8
$
1,261.5
$
1,163.1
$
567.0
$
2,315.9
$
5,745.1
$
5,067.4
$
1,307.5
$
12,517.7
$

2021
524.0
$
456.3
$
86.5
$
1,192.3
$
147.2
$
135.6
$
66.2
$
270.2
$
671.1
$
591.9
$
152.7
$
1,462.5
$
4,572.7
$
3,981.8
$
754.8
$
10,405.4
$
1,284.3
$
1,183.5
$
577.7
$
2,358.2
$
5,857.1
$
5,165.4
$
1,332.5
$
12,763.6
$

2022
533.8
$
464.8
$
88.0
$
1,214.7
$
149.7
$
137.9
$
67.3
$
275.0
$
683.4
$
602.7
$
155.4
$
1,489.7
$
4,658.3
$
4,056.2
$
768.4
$
10,600.8
$
1,306.0
$
1,203.6
$
587.5
$
2,399.8
$
5,964.3
$
5,259.8
$
1,355.9
$
13,000.6
$

2023
543.2
$
473.0
$
89.5
$
1,236.3
$
152.0
$
140.1
$
68.4
$
279.5
$
695.3
$
613.2
$
157.9
$
1,515.8
$
4,740.9
$
4,128.0
$
781.5
$
10,789.7
$
1,326.8
$
1,223.1
$
596.6
$
2,439.5
$
6,067.7
$
5,351.1
$
1,378.1
$
13,229.2
$

2024
552.4
$
481.0
$
91.0
$
1,257.4
$
154.3
$
142.3
$
69.4
$
283.7
$
706.8
$
623.3
$
160.4
$
1,541.1
$
4,821.3
$
4,197.9
$
794.3
$
10,973.4
$
1,346.9
$
1,242.0
$
605.4
$
2,476.0
$
6,168.1
$
5,439.9
$
1,399.7
$
13,449.4
$

2025
561.4
$
488.8
$
92.4
$
1,277.9
$
156.6
$
144.3
$
70.5
$
287.8
$
718.0
$
633.2
$
162.9
$
1,565.7
$
4,899.7
$
4,266.1
$
806.7
$
11,152.8
$
1,366.3
$
1,259.7
$
615.0
$
2,511.3
$
6,266.0
$
5,525.7
$
1,421.7
$
13,664.1
$

2026
570.2
$
496.5
$
93.8
$
1,298.1
$
158.7
$
146.4
$
71.5
$
291.8
$
729.0
$
642.9
$
165.3
$
1,589.9
$
4,976.7
$
4,333.0
$
818.8
$
11,328.8
$
1,385.2
$
1,277.7
$
623.6
$
2,546.5
$
6,361.9
$
5,610.7
$
1,442.5
$
13,875.4
$

2027
578.9
$
504.0
$
95.2
$
1,318.0
$
160.8
$
148.5
$
72.4
$
295.8
$
739.8
$
652.5
$
167.5
$
1,613.7
$
5,052.5
$
4,398.9
$
830.8
$
11,502.2
$
1,403.6
$
1,295.6
$
631.4
$
2,581.3
$
6,456.1
$
5,694.4
$
1,462.2
$
14,083.5
$

Total
9,066.1
$
7,894.7
$
1,498.9
$
20,626.3
$
2,555.4
$
2,355.8
$
1,150.0
$
4,687.2
$
11,621.4
$
10,250.5
$
2,648.9
$
25,313.5
$
79,122.3
$
68,899.4
$
13,080.9
$
180,011.3
$
22,301.3
$
20,559.7
$
10,036.6
$
40,906.6
$
101,423.5
$
89,459.1
$
23,117.5
$
220,917.9
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
11a
and
F.
11b.
Exhibit
F.
11c
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
3
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
31.6
$
27.5
$
5.3
$
71.8
$
9.1
$
8.4
$
4.1
$
16.6
$
40.7
$
35.9
$
9.4
$
88.5
$
275.9
$
240.3
$
46.0
$
627.0
$
79.3
$
73.0
$
35.9
$
145.1
$
355.2
$
313.3
$
81.9
$
772.1
$

2007
73.9
$
64.4
$
12.3
$
168.0
$
21.2
$
19.5
$
9.6
$
38.8
$
95.1
$
83.9
$
21.9
$
206.8
$
645.1
$
561.9
$
107.5
$
1,466.3
$
185.3
$
170.4
$
83.6
$
338.7
$
830.4
$
732.3
$
191.2
$
1,805.0
$

2008
120.9
$
105.3
$
20.1
$
274.8
$
34.7
$
31.9
$
15.6
$
63.4
$
155.6
$
137.2
$
35.8
$
338.2
$
1,055.2
$
919.0
$
175.8
$
2,398.6
$
302.6
$
278.4
$
136.6
$
553.1
$
1,357.8
$
1,197.5
$
312.3
$
2,951.7
$

2009
170.1
$
148.1
$
28.3
$
386.6
$
48.7
$
44.8
$
22.0
$
89.0
$
218.8
$
193.0
$
50.3
$
475.6
$
1,484.2
$
1,292.7
$
247.1
$
3,374.1
$
425.0
$
391.3
$
191.6
$
776.6
$
1,909.2
$
1,683.9
$
438.7
$
4,150.7
$

2010
220.1
$
191.7
$
36.6
$
500.3
$
62.9
$
58.0
$
28.4
$
115.0
$
283.0
$
249.6
$
65.0
$
615.3
$
1,920.6
$
1,672.7
$
319.5
$
4,366.5
$
549.1
$
505.8
$
247.5
$
1,003.4
$
2,469.7
$
2,178.5
$
567.0
$
5,369.9
$

2011
270.1
$
235.3
$
44.9
$
614.2
$
77.1
$
71.0
$
34.8
$
141.1
$
347.2
$
306.3
$
79.7
$
755.3
$
2,357.5
$
2,053.2
$
391.8
$
5,360.2
$
673.0
$
619.9
$
303.4
$
1,231.7
$
3,030.5
$
2,673.1
$
695.3
$
6,591.9
$

2012
292.5
$
254.8
$
48.6
$
665.2
$
83.4
$
76.8
$
37.6
$
152.7
$
375.9
$
331.6
$
86.1
$
817.9
$
2,553.1
$
2,223.5
$
424.0
$
5,805.4
$
727.8
$
670.5
$
327.7
$
1,332.9
$
3,280.9
$
2,894.0
$
751.8
$
7,138.4
$

2013
305.0
$
265.7
$
50.6
$
693.7
$
86.8
$
80.0
$
39.1
$
158.9
$
391.9
$
345.7
$
89.7
$
852.6
$
2,662.2
$
2,318.5
$
441.8
$
6,054.0
$
757.7
$
698.3
$
341.4
$
1,387.1
$
3,419.9
$
3,016.8
$
783.2
$
7,441.1
$

2014
312.5
$
272.2
$
51.8
$
710.8
$
88.8
$
81.9
$
40.0
$
162.6
$
401.3
$
354.0
$
91.9
$
873.3
$
2,727.4
$
2,375.3
$
452.4
$
6,202.9
$
775.0
$
714.5
$
349.3
$
1,419.0
$
3,502.5
$
3,089.8
$
801.7
$
7,621.9
$

2015
316.0
$
275.2
$
52.4
$
718.7
$
89.7
$
82.7
$
40.4
$
164.2
$
405.6
$
357.9
$
92.7
$
882.9
$
2,757.8
$
2,401.7
$
457.1
$
6,272.4
$
782.4
$
721.4
$
352.2
$
1,433.1
$
3,540.2
$
3,123.1
$
809.3
$
7,705.5
$

2016
317.2
$
276.2
$
52.5
$
721.5
$
89.8
$
82.9
$
40.4
$
164.5
$
407.0
$
359.1
$
92.9
$
886.0
$
2,768.2
$
2,410.7
$
458.5
$
6,296.6
$
784.1
$
723.1
$
352.5
$
1,436.0
$
3,552.3
$
3,133.8
$
811.0
$
7,732.5
$

2017
316.9
$
276.0
$
52.4
$
720.9
$
89.6
$
82.6
$
40.3
$
164.2
$
406.5
$
358.6
$
92.8
$
885.0
$
2,765.5
$
2,408.4
$
457.7
$
6,291.1
$
782.1
$
721.3
$
351.8
$
1,432.8
$
3,547.6
$
3,129.6
$
809.6
$
7,723.9
$

2018
315.5
$
274.8
$
52.2
$
717.9
$
89.1
$
82.2
$
40.1
$
163.3
$
404.6
$
357.0
$
92.3
$
881.2
$
2,753.8
$
2,398.1
$
455.5
$
6,265.0
$
777.5
$
717.2
$
349.6
$
1,425.1
$
3,531.3
$
3,115.3
$
805.1
$
7,690.1
$

2019
313.5
$
273.0
$
51.8
$
713.2
$
88.3
$
81.5
$
39.7
$
162.0
$
401.8
$
354.5
$
91.5
$
875.2
$
2,735.6
$
2,382.3
$
452.1
$
6,224.1
$
771.0
$
711.1
$
346.7
$
1,413.7
$
3,506.7
$
3,093.4
$
798.9
$
7,637.8
$

2020
310.8
$
270.7
$
51.3
$
707.2
$
87.5
$
80.6
$
39.3
$
160.6
$
398.3
$
351.3
$
90.6
$
867.8
$
2,712.6
$
2,362.2
$
448.0
$
6,172.2
$
763.2
$
703.7
$
343.0
$
1,401.2
$
3,475.9
$
3,065.9
$
791.1
$
7,573.4
$

2021
307.8
$
268.0
$
50.8
$
700.3
$
86.4
$
79.7
$
38.9
$
158.7
$
394.2
$
347.7
$
89.7
$
859.1
$
2,686.0
$
2,338.9
$
443.4
$
6,112.1
$
754.4
$
695.2
$
339.3
$
1,385.2
$
3,440.4
$
3,034.1
$
782.7
$
7,497.2
$

2022
304.4
$
265.1
$
50.2
$
692.7
$
85.3
$
78.7
$
38.4
$
156.8
$
389.7
$
343.7
$
88.6
$
849.5
$
2,656.5
$
2,313.2
$
438.2
$
6,045.5
$
744.8
$
686.4
$
335.0
$
1,368.6
$
3,401.4
$
2,999.6
$
773.2
$
7,414.1
$

2023
300.8
$
261.9
$
49.6
$
684.5
$
84.2
$
77.6
$
37.8
$
154.8
$
384.9
$
339.5
$
87.4
$
839.3
$
2,624.9
$
2,285.6
$
432.7
$
5,974.0
$
734.6
$
677.2
$
330.3
$
1,350.7
$
3,359.6
$
2,962.8
$
763.0
$
7,324.7
$

2024
297.0
$
258.6
$
48.9
$
675.9
$
83.0
$
76.5
$
37.3
$
152.5
$
379.9
$
335.1
$
86.2
$
828.4
$
2,591.7
$
2,256.6
$
426.9
$
5,898.7
$
724.0
$
667.6
$
325.4
$
1,331.0
$
3,315.7
$
2,924.2
$
752.4
$
7,229.7
$

2025
293.0
$
255.1
$
48.2
$
666.9
$
81.7
$
75.3
$
36.8
$
150.2
$
374.7
$
330.4
$
85.0
$
817.1
$
2,557.1
$
2,226.4
$
421.0
$
5,820.6
$
713.1
$
657.4
$
321.0
$
1,310.7
$
3,270.2
$
2,883.8
$
742.0
$
7,131.2
$

2026
288.9
$
251.6
$
47.5
$
657.7
$
80.4
$
74.2
$
36.2
$
147.8
$
369.4
$
325.7
$
83.7
$
805.6
$
2,521.7
$
2,195.5
$
414.9
$
5,740.2
$
701.9
$
647.4
$
316.0
$
1,290.3
$
3,223.5
$
2,842.9
$
730.9
$
7,030.5
$

2027
284.8
$
248.0
$
46.8
$
648.3
$
79.1
$
73.0
$
35.6
$
145.5
$
363.9
$
321.0
$
82.4
$
793.8
$
2,485.5
$
2,163.9
$
408.7
$
5,658.3
$
690.5
$
637.3
$
310.6
$
1,269.8
$
3,176.0
$
2,801.3
$
719.3
$
6,928.1
$

Total
5,763.4
$
5,018.8
$
953.4
$
13,111.3
$
1,626.9
$
1,499.7
$
732.3
$
2,983.2
$
7,390.3
$
6,518.5
$
1,685.7
$
16,094.5
$
50,298.4
$
43,800.4
$
8,320.7
$
114,425.7
$
14,198.4
$
13,088.7
$
6,390.8
$
26,035.6
$
64,496.8
$
56,889.1
$
14,711.4
$
140,461.3
$

Ann.
331.0
$
288.2
$
54.8
$
753.0
$
93.4
$
86.1
$
42.1
$
171.3
$
424.4
$
374.3
$
96.8
$
924.3
$
2,888.5
$
2,515.4
$
477.8
$
6,571.2
$
815.4
$
751.7
$
367.0
$
1,495.2
$
3,703.9
$
3,267.0
$
844.8
$
8,066.4
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
11c.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
11d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
3
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
28.2
$
24.6
$
4.7
$
64.1
$
8.1
$
7.5
$
3.7
$
14.8
$
36.3
$
32.0
$
8.4
$
78.9
$
246.1
$
214.3
$
41.1
$
559.3
$
70.8
$
65.1
$
32.0
$
129.4
$
316.9
$
279.5
$
73.1
$
688.7
$

2007
63.5
$
55.3
$
10.6
$
144.3
$
18.2
$
16.8
$
8.2
$
33.3
$
81.7
$
72.0
$
18.8
$
177.6
$
553.9
$
482.5
$
92.3
$
1,259.0
$
159.1
$
146.3
$
71.8
$
290.9
$
713.0
$
628.8
$
164.2
$
1,549.9
$

2008
99.9
$
87.0
$
16.6
$
227.2
$
28.7
$
26.4
$
12.9
$
52.4
$
128.6
$
113.4
$
29.6
$
279.5
$
872.2
$
759.6
$
145.3
$
1,982.5
$
250.1
$
230.1
$
112.9
$
457.1
$
1,122.3
$
989.8
$
258.2
$
2,439.7
$

2009
135.3
$
117.9
$
22.5
$
307.6
$
38.7
$
35.7
$
17.5
$
70.8
$
174.1
$
153.5
$
40.0
$
378.4
$
1,180.9
$
1,028.5
$
196.6
$
2,684.6
$
338.2
$
311.3
$
152.5
$
617.9
$
1,519.1
$
1,339.8
$
349.0
$
3,302.5
$

2010
168.6
$
146.8
$
28.0
$
383.2
$
48.2
$
44.4
$
21.7
$
88.1
$
216.7
$
191.2
$
49.8
$
471.3
$
1,471.0
$
1,281.1
$
244.7
$
3,344.3
$
420.6
$
387.4
$
189.6
$
768.5
$
1,891.6
$
1,668.5
$
434.3
$
4,112.8
$

2011
199.2
$
173.5
$
33.1
$
452.8
$
56.9
$
52.4
$
25.6
$
104.1
$
256.0
$
225.8
$
58.7
$
556.9
$
1,738.1
$
1,513.8
$
288.9
$
3,951.9
$
496.2
$
457.1
$
223.7
$
908.1
$
2,234.3
$
1,970.8
$
512.6
$
4,860.0
$

2012
207.6
$
180.8
$
34.5
$
472.1
$
59.2
$
54.5
$
26.7
$
108.4
$
266.8
$
235.3
$
61.1
$
580.5
$
1,812.0
$
1,578.0
$
301.0
$
4,120.2
$
516.5
$
475.9
$
232.6
$
946.0
$
2,328.5
$
2,053.9
$
533.5
$
5,066.2
$

2013
208.4
$
181.5
$
34.6
$
473.9
$
59.3
$
54.7
$
26.7
$
108.6
$
267.7
$
236.2
$
61.3
$
582.5
$
1,818.8
$
1,583.9
$
301.9
$
4,136.0
$
517.6
$
477.1
$
233.2
$
947.6
$
2,336.4
$
2,061.0
$
535.1
$
5,083.6
$

2014
205.5
$
179.0
$
34.1
$
467.4
$
58.4
$
53.8
$
26.3
$
106.9
$
263.9
$
232.8
$
60.4
$
574.3
$
1,793.7
$
1,562.1
$
297.5
$
4,079.3
$
509.7
$
469.9
$
229.7
$
933.2
$
2,303.4
$
2,032.0
$
527.2
$
5,012.5
$

2015
200.0
$
174.2
$
33.2
$
455.0
$
56.8
$
52.3
$
25.5
$
104.0
$
256.8
$
226.5
$
58.7
$
558.9
$
1,745.8
$
1,520.4
$
289.3
$
3,970.8
$
495.3
$
456.7
$
223.0
$
907.2
$
2,241.1
$
1,977.1
$
512.3
$
4,878.0
$

2016
193.3
$
168.3
$
32.0
$
439.7
$
54.7
$
50.5
$
24.6
$
100.3
$
248.0
$
218.8
$
56.6
$
539.9
$
1,686.9
$
1,469.0
$
279.4
$
3,837.1
$
477.8
$
440.6
$
214.8
$
875.1
$
2,164.7
$
1,909.7
$
494.2
$
4,712.1
$

2017
185.9
$
161.9
$
30.8
$
422.9
$
52.6
$
48.5
$
23.6
$
96.3
$
238.5
$
210.4
$
54.4
$
519.2
$
1,622.3
$
1,412.8
$
268.5
$
3,690.4
$
458.8
$
423.1
$
206.4
$
840.5
$
2,081.0
$
1,835.9
$
474.9
$
4,530.9
$

2018
178.2
$
155.2
$
29.5
$
405.4
$
50.3
$
46.4
$
22.6
$
92.2
$
228.5
$
201.6
$
52.1
$
497.6
$
1,555.0
$
1,354.2
$
257.2
$
3,537.7
$
439.0
$
405.0
$
197.4
$
804.7
$
1,994.1
$
1,759.2
$
454.6
$
4,342.4
$

2019
170.4
$
148.4
$
28.2
$
387.7
$
48.0
$
44.3
$
21.6
$
88.1
$
218.4
$
192.7
$
49.8
$
475.7
$
1,487.0
$
1,294.9
$
245.8
$
3,383.2
$
419.1
$
386.6
$
188.5
$
768.5
$
1,906.1
$
1,681.5
$
434.2
$
4,151.7
$

2020
162.6
$
141.6
$
26.9
$
370.1
$
45.8
$
42.2
$
20.6
$
84.0
$
208.4
$
183.8
$
47.4
$
454.1
$
1,419.4
$
1,236.0
$
234.4
$
3,229.6
$
399.4
$
368.2
$
179.5
$
733.2
$
1,818.7
$
1,604.2
$
413.9
$
3,962.8
$

2021
155.0
$
135.0
$
25.6
$
352.8
$
43.5
$
40.1
$
19.6
$
79.9
$
198.6
$
175.1
$
45.2
$
432.7
$
1,352.9
$
1,178.1
$
223.3
$
3,078.6
$
380.0
$
350.2
$
170.9
$
697.7
$
1,732.9
$
1,528.3
$
394.2
$
3,776.3
$

2022
147.6
$
128.5
$
24.3
$
335.9
$
41.4
$
38.1
$
18.6
$
76.0
$
189.0
$
166.6
$
43.0
$
411.9
$
1,288.0
$
1,121.6
$
212.5
$
2,931.2
$
361.1
$
332.8
$
162.4
$
663.6
$
1,649.2
$
1,454.4
$
374.9
$
3,594.8
$

2023
140.4
$
122.2
$
23.1
$
319.5
$
39.3
$
36.2
$
17.7
$
72.2
$
179.7
$
158.4
$
40.8
$
391.7
$
1,225.1
$
1,066.8
$
202.0
$
2,788.3
$
342.9
$
316.1
$
154.2
$
630.4
$
1,568.0
$
1,382.8
$
356.1
$
3,418.7
$

2024
133.4
$
116.2
$
22.0
$
303.7
$
37.3
$
34.4
$
16.8
$
68.5
$
170.7
$
150.5
$
38.7
$
372.2
$
1,164.4
$
1,013.8
$
191.8
$
2,650.2
$
325.3
$
300.0
$
146.2
$
598.0
$
1,489.7
$
1,313.8
$
338.0
$
3,248.2
$

2025
126.7
$
110.3
$
20.9
$
288.4
$
35.3
$
32.6
$
15.9
$
65.0
$
162.1
$
142.9
$
36.8
$
353.4
$
1,105.9
$
962.9
$
182.1
$
2,517.3
$
308.4
$
284.3
$
138.8
$
566.8
$
1,414.3
$
1,247.2
$
320.9
$
3,084.2
$

2026
120.3
$
104.7
$
19.8
$
273.8
$
33.5
$
30.9
$
15.1
$
61.6
$
153.8
$
135.6
$
34.9
$
335.4
$
1,049.8
$
914.0
$
172.7
$
2,389.8
$
292.2
$
269.5
$
131.6
$
537.2
$
1,342.0
$
1,183.6
$
304.3
$
2,927.0
$

2027
114.1
$
99.4
$
18.8
$
259.8
$
31.7
$
29.3
$
14.3
$
58.3
$
145.8
$
128.6
$
33.0
$
318.1
$
996.1
$
867.2
$
163.8
$
2,267.6
$
276.7
$
255.4
$
124.5
$
508.9
$
1,272.8
$
1,122.6
$
288.3
$
2,776.5
$

Total
3,344.2
$
2,912.2
$
553.7
$
7,607.1
$
945.9
$
871.8
$
425.8
$
1,733.7
$
4,290.0
$
3,784.0
$
979.5
$
9,340.7
$
29,185.4
$
25,415.6
$
4,831.9
$
66,388.9
$
8,254.7
$
7,608.7
$
3,716.2
$
15,130.4
$
37,440.1
$
33,024.3
$
8,548.1
$
81,519.2
$

Ann.
287.0
$
249.9
$
47.5
$
652.8
$
81.2
$
74.8
$
36.5
$
148.8
$
368.1
$
324.7
$
84.0
$
801.5
$
2,504.4
$
2,180.9
$
414.6
$
5,696.9
$
708.3
$
652.9
$
318.9
$
1,298.3
$
3,212.8
$
2,833.8
$
733.5
$
6,995.2
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
11c.
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
11e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
3
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.0
$
6.2
$
4.0
$
15.6
$
13.3
$
40.7
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
3.5
$
8.9
$
54.2
$
35.1
$
136.2
$
116.2
$
355.2
$

2007
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.4
$
14.5
$
9.4
$
36.5
$
31.1
$
95.1
$
0.2
$
1.1
$
1.6
$
8.1
$
20.7
$
126.6
$
82.1
$
318.3
$
271.7
$
830.4
$

2008
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.5
$
3.9
$
23.7
$
15.4
$
59.6
$
50.9
$
155.6
$
0.2
$
1.7
$
2.6
$
13.2
$
33.9
$
207.1
$
134.2
$
520.5
$
444.3
$
1,357.8
$

2009
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
2.1
$
5.5
$
33.4
$
21.6
$
83.9
$
71.6
$
218.8
$
0.4
$
2.4
$
3.6
$
18.6
$
47.7
$
291.2
$
188.8
$
731.8
$
624.8
$
1,909.2
$

2010
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.7
$
7.1
$
43.2
$
28.0
$
108.5
$
92.6
$
283.0
$
0.5
$
3.2
$
4.7
$
24.0
$
61.7
$
376.7
$
244.2
$
946.7
$
808.2
$
2,469.7
$

2011
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.7
$
3.4
$
8.7
$
53.0
$
34.3
$
133.1
$
113.6
$
347.2
$
0.6
$
3.9
$
5.8
$
29.4
$
75.7
$
462.2
$
299.6
$
1,161.6
$
991.7
$
3,030.5
$

2012
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.8
$
4.0
$
10.3
$
57.1
$
37.0
$
143.6
$
122.6
$
375.9
$
0.7
$
4.6
$
6.8
$
34.8
$
89.6
$
498.5
$
323.2
$
1,253.0
$
1,069.7
$
3,280.9
$

2013
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.9
$
4.6
$
11.8
$
59.3
$
38.4
$
149.0
$
127.2
$
391.9
$
0.8
$
5.3
$
7.9
$
40.2
$
103.2
$
517.3
$
335.3
$
1,300.1
$
1,109.9
$
3,419.9
$

2014
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.0
$
5.2
$
13.4
$
60.4
$
39.2
$
151.8
$
129.6
$
401.3
$
0.9
$
6.0
$
8.9
$
45.4
$
116.6
$
527.2
$
341.7
$
1,324.9
$
1,131.1
$
3,502.5
$

2015
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.1
$
5.4
$
14.0
$
60.9
$
39.5
$
153.1
$
130.7
$
405.6
$
0.9
$
6.3
$
9.3
$
47.5
$
122.2
$
531.8
$
344.7
$
1,336.5
$
1,141.0
$
3,540.2
$

2016
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.1
$
5.6
$
14.3
$
61.1
$
39.6
$
153.5
$
131.1
$
407.0
$
0.9
$
6.4
$
9.5
$
48.6
$
124.9
$
533.0
$
345.5
$
1,339.7
$
1,143.7
$
3,552.3
$

2017
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.1
$
5.6
$
14.4
$
61.0
$
39.5
$
153.2
$
130.8
$
406.5
$
0.9
$
6.5
$
9.6
$
49.0
$
126.1
$
532.0
$
344.9
$
1,337.1
$
1,141.5
$
3,547.6
$

2018
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.1
$
5.6
$
14.5
$
60.7
$
39.3
$
152.4
$
130.1
$
404.6
$
0.9
$
6.5
$
9.6
$
49.2
$
126.4
$
529.4
$
343.1
$
1,330.4
$
1,135.8
$
3,531.3
$

2019
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.1
$
5.6
$
14.5
$
60.2
$
39.0
$
151.3
$
129.2
$
401.8
$
0.9
$
6.5
$
9.6
$
49.1
$
126.2
$
525.5
$
340.6
$
1,320.7
$
1,127.6
$
3,506.7
$

2020
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.1
$
5.6
$
14.4
$
59.7
$
38.7
$
150.0
$
128.0
$
398.3
$
0.9
$
6.4
$
9.6
$
48.8
$
125.5
$
520.8
$
337.6
$
1,308.9
$
1,117.4
$
3,475.9
$

2021
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.1
$
5.6
$
14.3
$
59.1
$
38.3
$
148.4
$
126.7
$
394.2
$
0.9
$
6.4
$
9.5
$
48.5
$
124.6
$
515.4
$
334.1
$
1,295.3
$
1,105.8
$
3,440.4
$

2022
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.1
$
5.5
$
14.1
$
58.4
$
37.8
$
146.7
$
125.3
$
389.7
$
0.9
$
6.3
$
9.4
$
48.0
$
123.4
$
509.5
$
330.2
$
1,280.4
$
1,093.1
$
3,401.4
$

2023
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.1
$
5.4
$
14.0
$
57.7
$
37.4
$
144.9
$
123.7
$
384.9
$
0.9
$
6.3
$
9.3
$
47.5
$
122.1
$
503.2
$
326.2
$
1,264.6
$
1,079.6
$
3,359.6
$

2024
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.1
$
5.4
$
13.8
$
56.9
$
36.9
$
143.0
$
122.1
$
379.9
$
0.9
$
6.2
$
9.2
$
47.0
$
120.7
$
496.5
$
321.9
$
1,247.9
$
1,065.4
$
3,315.7
$

2025
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.0
$
5.3
$
13.7
$
56.1
$
36.4
$
141.0
$
120.4
$
374.7
$
0.9
$
6.1
$
9.1
$
46.4
$
119.2
$
489.7
$
317.4
$
1,230.7
$
1,050.7
$
3,270.2
$

2026
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.0
$
5.2
$
13.5
$
55.3
$
35.9
$
139.0
$
118.7
$
369.4
$
0.9
$
6.0
$
8.9
$
45.7
$
117.6
$
482.7
$
312.9
$
1,213.1
$
1,035.7
$
3,223.5
$

2027
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.0
$
5.2
$
13.3
$
54.5
$
35.3
$
136.9
$
116.9
$
363.9
$
0.9
$
5.9
$
8.8
$
45.1
$
115.9
$
475.5
$
308.3
$
1,195.2
$
1,020.4
$
3,176.0
$

Total
1.8
$
12.6
$
18.8
$
96.0
$
246.7
$
1,112.1
$
720.9
$
2,795.1
$
2,386.3
$
7,390.3
$
15.8
$
110.4
$
163.8
$
837.5
$
2,152.6
$
9,705.9
$
6,291.5
$
24,393.5
$
20,825.7
$
64,496.8
$

Ann.
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.1
$
5.5
$
14.2
$
63.9
$
41.4
$
160.5
$
137.0
$
424.4
$
0.9
$
6.3
$
9.4
$
48.1
$
123.6
$
557.4
$
361.3
$
1,400.9
$
1,196.0
$
3,703.9
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
11a
and
F.
11b.
Exhibit
F.
11f
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Alternative
3
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
5.5
$
3.6
$
13.9
$
11.9
$
36.3
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
3.1
$
7.9
$
48.3
$
31.3
$
121.5
$
103.7
$
316.9
$

2007
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.0
$
12.5
$
8.1
$
31.3
$
26.7
$
81.7
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.4
$
6.9
$
17.8
$
108.7
$
70.5
$
273.3
$
233.3
$
713.0
$

2008
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.2
$
3.2
$
19.6
$
12.7
$
49.3
$
42.1
$
128.6
$
0.2
$
1.4
$
2.1
$
10.9
$
28.0
$
171.2
$
111.0
$
430.2
$
367.3
$
1,122.3
$

2009
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
4.3
$
26.5
$
17.2
$
66.7
$
57.0
$
174.1
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.9
$
14.8
$
37.9
$
231.7
$
150.2
$
582.3
$
497.1
$
1,519.1
$

2010
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
2.1
$
5.4
$
33.1
$
21.4
$
83.1
$
70.9
$
216.7
$
0.3
$
2.4
$
3.6
$
18.4
$
47.2
$
288.5
$
187.0
$
725.1
$
619.0
$
1,891.6
$

2011
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.5
$
2.5
$
6.4
$
39.0
$
25.3
$
98.1
$
83.8
$
256.0
$
0.4
$
2.9
$
4.2
$
21.7
$
55.8
$
340.8
$
220.9
$
856.4
$
731.2
$
2,234.3
$

2012
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.8
$
7.3
$
40.5
$
26.3
$
101.9
$
87.0
$
266.8
$
0.5
$
3.3
$
4.8
$
24.7
$
63.6
$
353.8
$
229.3
$
889.2
$
759.2
$
2,328.5
$

2013
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
3.1
$
8.1
$
40.5
$
26.2
$
101.8
$
86.9
$
267.7
$
0.5
$
3.6
$
5.4
$
27.4
$
70.5
$
353.4
$
229.1
$
888.2
$
758.3
$
2,336.4
$

2014
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
3.4
$
8.8
$
39.7
$
25.7
$
99.8
$
85.2
$
263.9
$
0.6
$
3.9
$
5.8
$
29.8
$
76.7
$
346.7
$
224.7
$
871.3
$
743.9
$
2,303.4
$

2015
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
3.4
$
8.9
$
38.6
$
25.0
$
96.9
$
82.8
$
256.8
$
0.6
$
4.0
$
5.9
$
30.1
$
77.3
$
336.7
$
218.2
$
846.1
$
722.3
$
2,241.1
$

2016
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.7
$
3.4
$
8.7
$
37.2
$
24.1
$
93.5
$
79.9
$
248.0
$
0.6
$
3.9
$
5.8
$
29.6
$
76.1
$
324.8
$
210.6
$
816.4
$
697.0
$
2,164.7
$

2017
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
3.3
$
8.5
$
35.8
$
23.2
$
89.9
$
76.7
$
238.5
$
0.5
$
3.8
$
5.6
$
28.8
$
74.0
$
312.1
$
202.3
$
784.3
$
669.6
$
2,081.0
$

2018
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
3.2
$
8.2
$
34.3
$
22.2
$
86.1
$
73.5
$
228.5
$
0.5
$
3.7
$
5.4
$
27.8
$
71.4
$
298.9
$
193.8
$
751.2
$
641.4
$
1,994.1
$

2019
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
3.1
$
7.9
$
32.7
$
21.2
$
82.3
$
70.2
$
218.4
$
0.5
$
3.5
$
5.2
$
26.7
$
68.6
$
285.6
$
185.2
$
717.9
$
612.9
$
1,906.1
$

2020
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.9
$
7.5
$
31.2
$
20.2
$
78.5
$
67.0
$
208.4
$
0.5
$
3.4
$
5.0
$
25.5
$
65.7
$
272.5
$
176.6
$
684.9
$
584.7
$
1,818.7
$

2021
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.8
$
7.2
$
29.7
$
19.3
$
74.8
$
63.8
$
198.6
$
0.5
$
3.2
$
4.8
$
24.4
$
62.7
$
259.6
$
168.3
$
652.4
$
557.0
$
1,732.9
$

2022
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.7
$
6.9
$
28.3
$
18.3
$
71.1
$
60.7
$
189.0
$
0.4
$
3.1
$
4.6
$
23.3
$
59.8
$
247.0
$
160.1
$
620.8
$
530.0
$
1,649.2
$

2023
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.5
$
2.5
$
6.5
$
26.9
$
17.4
$
67.6
$
57.7
$
179.7
$
0.4
$
2.9
$
4.3
$
22.2
$
57.0
$
234.8
$
152.2
$
590.2
$
503.9
$
1,568.0
$

2024
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.5
$
2.4
$
6.2
$
25.6
$
16.6
$
64.2
$
54.8
$
170.7
$
0.4
$
2.8
$
4.1
$
21.1
$
54.2
$
223.1
$
144.6
$
560.7
$
478.7
$
1,489.7
$

2025
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
2.3
$
5.9
$
24.3
$
15.7
$
61.0
$
52.1
$
162.1
$
0.4
$
2.6
$
3.9
$
20.1
$
51.5
$
211.8
$
137.3
$
532.3
$
454.4
$
1,414.3
$

2026
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
2.2
$
5.6
$
23.0
$
14.9
$
57.9
$
49.4
$
153.8
$
0.4
$
2.5
$
3.7
$
19.0
$
49.0
$
201.0
$
130.3
$
505.0
$
431.2
$
1,342.0
$

2027
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
2.1
$
5.3
$
21.8
$
14.2
$
54.9
$
46.9
$
145.8
$
0.3
$
2.4
$
3.5
$
18.1
$
46.5
$
190.6
$
123.5
$
479.0
$
408.9
$
1,272.8
$

Total
1.0
$
7.2
$
10.6
$
54.4
$
139.7
$
646.4
$
419.0
$
1,624.6
$
1,387.0
$
4,290.0
$
9.0
$
62.5
$
92.8
$
474.3
$
1,219.3
$
5,641.6
$
3,656.9
$
14,178.8
$
12,104.9
$
37,440.1
$

Ann.
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.9
$
4.7
$
12.0
$
55.5
$
36.0
$
139.4
$
119.0
$
368.1
$
0.8
$
5.4
$
8.0
$
40.7
$
104.6
$
484.1
$
313.8
$
1,216.7
$
1,038.7
$
3,212.8
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
11a
and
F.
11b.
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
11g
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
F.
12
Model
Outputs
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
TTHM
as
Indicator
Lymphoma
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
9.7
$
8.5
$
1.6
$
22.1
$
15.9
$
13.8
$
2.5
$
36.4
$
25.6
$
22.3
$
4.1
$
58.5
$
84.8
$
73.8
$
14.2
$
192.7
$
138.6
$
120.5
$
21.5
$
317.6
$
223.4
$
194.3
$
35.6
$
510.3
$

2006
19.7
$
17.1
$
3.3
$
44.7
$
32.2
$
27.9
$
5.0
$
73.7
$
51.8
$
45.1
$
8.3
$
118.3
$
171.6
$
149.4
$
28.6
$
389.9
$
280.6
$
243.9
$
43.4
$
642.9
$
452.2
$
393.3
$
72.1
$
1,032.8
$

2007
29.8
$
26.0
$
5.0
$
67.8
$
48.8
$
42.4
$
7.6
$
111.8
$
78.6
$
68.4
$
12.5
$
179.6
$
260.4
$
226.8
$
43.4
$
591.9
$
426.0
$
370.2
$
65.9
$
976.0
$
686.4
$
597.0
$
109.4
$
1,567.8
$

2008
40.2
$
35.0
$
6.7
$
91.4
$
65.8
$
57.2
$
10.2
$
150.8
$
106.0
$
92.2
$
16.9
$
242.2
$
351.0
$
305.7
$
58.5
$
797.9
$
574.3
$
499.1
$
88.9
$
1,315.8
$
925.3
$
804.8
$
147.4
$
2,113.6
$

2009
50.8
$
44.3
$
8.5
$
115.5
$
83.2
$
72.3
$
12.9
$
190.6
$
134.0
$
116.6
$
21.3
$
306.1
$
443.6
$
386.3
$
73.8
$
1,008.4
$
725.9
$
630.9
$
112.4
$
1,663.0
$
1,169.4
$
1,017.2
$
186.2
$
2,671.4
$

2010
61.7
$
53.7
$
10.3
$
140.2
$
100.9
$
87.7
$
15.6
$
231.2
$
162.6
$
141.4
$
25.9
$
371.4
$
538.1
$
468.7
$
89.5
$
1,223.5
$
880.8
$
765.5
$
136.4
$
2,017.9
$
1,418.9
$
1,234.2
$
225.9
$
3,241.4
$

2011
62.7
$
54.6
$
10.4
$
142.6
$
102.6
$
89.2
$
15.9
$
235.1
$
165.3
$
143.8
$
26.3
$
377.7
$
547.2
$
476.6
$
91.0
$
1,244.2
$
895.7
$
778.5
$
138.7
$
2,052.2
$
1,442.9
$
1,255.1
$
229.6
$
3,296.4
$

2012
63.8
$
55.5
$
10.6
$
145.0
$
104.4
$
90.7
$
16.2
$
239.1
$
168.1
$
146.2
$
26.7
$
384.1
$
556.4
$
484.6
$
92.4
$
1,265.2
$
910.9
$
791.7
$
141.0
$
2,087.0
$
1,467.3
$
1,276.3
$
233.4
$
3,352.1
$

2013
64.8
$
56.5
$
10.8
$
147.4
$
106.1
$
92.2
$
16.4
$
243.2
$
171.0
$
148.7
$
27.2
$
390.6
$
565.7
$
492.7
$
93.9
$
1,286.4
$
926.3
$
805.1
$
143.4
$
2,122.2
$
1,492.0
$
1,297.7
$
237.3
$
3,408.6
$

2014
65.5
$
57.1
$
10.9
$
149.0
$
107.3
$
93.3
$
16.6
$
245.9
$
172.8
$
150.3
$
27.5
$
394.9
$
571.9
$
498.0
$
94.8
$
1,300.6
$
936.6
$
814.0
$
145.0
$
2,145.7
$
1,508.4
$
1,312.1
$
239.8
$
3,446.4
$

2015
66.2
$
57.7
$
11.0
$
150.7
$
108.5
$
94.3
$
16.8
$
248.6
$
174.7
$
152.0
$
27.8
$
399.3
$
578.2
$
503.5
$
95.8
$
1,315.0
$
946.9
$
823.1
$
146.6
$
2,169.6
$
1,525.1
$
1,326.6
$
242.4
$
3,484.5
$

2016
67.0
$
58.3
$
11.1
$
152.3
$
109.7
$
95.4
$
17.0
$
251.4
$
176.7
$
153.7
$
28.1
$
403.7
$
584.5
$
509.0
$
96.8
$
1,329.5
$
957.4
$
832.2
$
148.2
$
2,193.6
$
1,541.9
$
1,341.2
$
245.0
$
3,523.1
$

2017
67.7
$
59.0
$
11.2
$
154.0
$
110.9
$
96.4
$
17.2
$
254.1
$
178.6
$
155.4
$
28.4
$
408.2
$
590.9
$
514.6
$
97.8
$
1,344.1
$
968.1
$
841.4
$
149.9
$
2,217.9
$
1,558.9
$
1,356.0
$
247.7
$
3,562.1
$

2018
68.4
$
59.6
$
11.3
$
155.7
$
112.2
$
97.5
$
17.4
$
257.0
$
180.6
$
157.1
$
28.7
$
412.7
$
597.3
$
520.2
$
98.8
$
1,359.0
$
978.8
$
850.8
$
151.5
$
2,242.5
$
1,576.1
$
1,370.9
$
250.3
$
3,601.5
$

2019
69.2
$
60.3
$
11.4
$
157.4
$
113.4
$
98.6
$
17.6
$
259.8
$
182.6
$
158.8
$
29.0
$
417.2
$
603.9
$
525.9
$
99.8
$
1,373.9
$
989.6
$
860.2
$
153.2
$
2,267.4
$
1,593.5
$
1,386.1
$
253.0
$
3,641.4
$

2020
70.0
$
60.9
$
11.6
$
159.2
$
114.7
$
99.7
$
17.8
$
262.7
$
184.6
$
160.6
$
29.3
$
421.9
$
610.5
$
531.6
$
100.8
$
1,389.1
$
1,000.6
$
869.7
$
154.9
$
2,292.6
$
1,611.1
$
1,401.4
$
255.8
$
3,681.7
$

2021
70.7
$
61.6
$
11.7
$
160.9
$
115.9
$
100.8
$
17.9
$
265.6
$
186.6
$
162.3
$
29.6
$
426.5
$
617.2
$
537.4
$
101.9
$
1,404.4
$
1,011.7
$
879.4
$
156.6
$
2,318.0
$
1,628.9
$
1,416.8
$
258.5
$
3,722.4
$

2022
71.5
$
62.3
$
11.8
$
162.7
$
117.2
$
101.9
$
18.1
$
268.5
$
188.7
$
164.1
$
29.9
$
431.2
$
623.9
$
543.3
$
102.9
$
1,419.9
$
1,022.9
$
889.1
$
158.4
$
2,343.6
$
1,646.8
$
1,432.4
$
261.3
$
3,763.5
$

2023
72.3
$
62.9
$
11.9
$
164.5
$
118.5
$
103.0
$
18.3
$
271.5
$
190.8
$
165.9
$
30.3
$
436.0
$
630.7
$
549.2
$
104.0
$
1,435.5
$
1,034.2
$
898.9
$
160.1
$
2,369.5
$
1,664.9
$
1,448.1
$
264.1
$
3,804.9
$

2024
73.1
$
63.6
$
12.0
$
166.3
$
119.8
$
104.1
$
18.6
$
274.5
$
192.9
$
167.7
$
30.6
$
440.8
$
637.6
$
555.1
$
105.0
$
1,451.2
$
1,045.6
$
908.8
$
161.9
$
2,395.5
$
1,683.1
$
1,463.9
$
266.9
$
3,846.7
$

2025
73.8
$
64.3
$
12.2
$
168.1
$
121.1
$
105.3
$
18.8
$
277.5
$
195.0
$
169.6
$
30.9
$
445.6
$
644.5
$
561.1
$
106.1
$
1,467.0
$
1,057.0
$
918.7
$
163.7
$
2,421.8
$
1,701.5
$
1,479.9
$
269.8
$
3,888.8
$

2026
74.6
$
65.0
$
12.3
$
169.9
$
122.4
$
106.4
$
19.0
$
280.5
$
197.1
$
171.4
$
31.2
$
450.5
$
651.5
$
567.2
$
107.2
$
1,482.9
$
1,068.6
$
928.8
$
165.5
$
2,448.3
$
1,720.0
$
1,495.9
$
272.6
$
3,931.2
$

2027
75.5
$
65.7
$
12.4
$
171.8
$
123.8
$
107.6
$
19.2
$
283.6
$
199.2
$
173.3
$
31.6
$
455.4
$
658.5
$
573.3
$
108.3
$
1,499.0
$
1,080.2
$
938.9
$
167.3
$
2,475.0
$
1,738.7
$
1,512.2
$
275.5
$
3,974.0
$

Total
1,388.7
$
1,209.3
$
229.8
$
3,159.2
$
2,275.3
$
1,977.6
$
352.3
$
5,213.0
$
3,664.0
$
3,186.9
$
582.1
$
8,372.2
$
12,119.7
$
10,554.0
$
2,005.3
$
27,570.9
$
19,857.3
$
17,259.3
$
3,074.4
$
45,495.6
$
31,977.0
$
27,813.3
$
5,079.8
$
73,066.5
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
22b,
and
E.
22e.
(
All
Surface
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
12a
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.0
$
1.5
$
1.3
$
0.2
$
3.4
$
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.4
$
5.4
$
7.9
$
6.9
$
1.3
$
17.9
$
12.9
$
11.2
$
2.0
$
29.5
$
20.7
$
18.0
$
3.3
$
47.4
$

2006
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.1
$
3.0
$
2.6
$
0.5
$
6.8
$
4.8
$
4.2
$
0.8
$
11.0
$
15.9
$
13.9
$
2.7
$
36.2
$
26.1
$
22.6
$
4.0
$
59.7
$
42.0
$
36.5
$
6.7
$
95.9
$

2007
2.8
$
2.4
$
0.5
$
6.3
$
4.5
$
3.9
$
0.7
$
10.4
$
7.3
$
6.4
$
1.2
$
16.7
$
24.2
$
21.1
$
4.0
$
54.9
$
39.6
$
34.4
$
6.1
$
90.6
$
63.7
$
55.4
$
10.2
$
145.6
$

2008
3.7
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.5
$
6.1
$
5.3
$
0.9
$
14.0
$
9.8
$
8.6
$
1.6
$
22.5
$
32.6
$
28.4
$
5.4
$
74.1
$
53.3
$
46.3
$
8.3
$
122.2
$
85.9
$
74.7
$
13.7
$
196.2
$

2009
4.7
$
4.1
$
0.8
$
10.7
$
7.7
$
6.7
$
1.2
$
17.7
$
12.4
$
10.8
$
2.0
$
28.4
$
41.2
$
35.9
$
6.9
$
93.6
$
67.4
$
58.6
$
10.4
$
154.4
$
108.6
$
94.4
$
17.3
$
248.0
$

2010
5.7
$
5.0
$
1.0
$
13.0
$
9.4
$
8.1
$
1.5
$
21.5
$
15.1
$
13.1
$
2.4
$
34.5
$
50.0
$
43.5
$
8.3
$
113.6
$
81.8
$
71.1
$
12.7
$
187.3
$
131.7
$
114.6
$
21.0
$
300.9
$

2011
6.1
$
5.3
$
1.0
$
13.8
$
9.9
$
8.6
$
1.5
$
22.7
$
16.0
$
13.9
$
2.5
$
36.5
$
52.9
$
46.1
$
8.8
$
120.2
$
86.6
$
75.2
$
13.4
$
198.3
$
139.4
$
121.3
$
22.2
$
318.5
$

2012
6.4
$
5.6
$
1.1
$
14.6
$
10.5
$
9.1
$
1.6
$
24.0
$
16.9
$
14.7
$
2.7
$
38.6
$
55.9
$
48.6
$
9.3
$
127.0
$
91.4
$
79.5
$
14.2
$
209.5
$
147.3
$
128.1
$
23.4
$
336.5
$

2013
6.7
$
5.9
$
1.1
$
15.3
$
11.0
$
9.6
$
1.7
$
25.3
$
17.8
$
15.5
$
2.8
$
40.7
$
58.9
$
51.3
$
9.8
$
133.9
$
96.4
$
83.8
$
14.9
$
220.9
$
155.3
$
135.1
$
24.7
$
354.8
$

2014
6.8
$
5.9
$
1.1
$
15.5
$
11.2
$
9.7
$
1.7
$
25.6
$
18.0
$
15.6
$
2.9
$
41.1
$
59.5
$
51.8
$
9.9
$
135.4
$
97.5
$
84.7
$
15.1
$
223.4
$
157.0
$
136.6
$
25.0
$
358.7
$

2015
6.9
$
6.0
$
1.1
$
15.7
$
11.3
$
9.8
$
1.7
$
25.9
$
18.2
$
15.8
$
2.9
$
41.6
$
60.2
$
52.4
$
10.0
$
136.9
$
98.6
$
85.7
$
15.3
$
225.8
$
158.8
$
138.1
$
25.2
$
362.7
$

2016
7.0
$
6.1
$
1.2
$
15.9
$
11.4
$
9.9
$
1.8
$
26.2
$
18.4
$
16.0
$
2.9
$
42.0
$
60.8
$
53.0
$
10.1
$
138.4
$
99.7
$
86.6
$
15.4
$
228.3
$
160.5
$
139.6
$
25.5
$
366.7
$

2017
7.0
$
6.1
$
1.2
$
16.0
$
11.5
$
10.0
$
1.8
$
26.5
$
18.6
$
16.2
$
3.0
$
42.5
$
61.5
$
53.6
$
10.2
$
139.9
$
100.8
$
87.6
$
15.6
$
230.9
$
162.3
$
141.1
$
25.8
$
370.8
$

2018
7.1
$
6.2
$
1.2
$
16.2
$
11.7
$
10.1
$
1.8
$
26.7
$
18.8
$
16.4
$
3.0
$
43.0
$
62.2
$
54.1
$
10.3
$
141.5
$
101.9
$
88.6
$
15.8
$
233.4
$
164.1
$
142.7
$
26.1
$
374.9
$

2019
7.2
$
6.3
$
1.2
$
16.4
$
11.8
$
10.3
$
1.8
$
27.0
$
19.0
$
16.5
$
3.0
$
43.4
$
62.9
$
54.7
$
10.4
$
143.0
$
103.0
$
89.5
$
15.9
$
236.0
$
165.9
$
144.3
$
26.3
$
379.0
$

2020
7.3
$
6.3
$
1.2
$
16.6
$
11.9
$
10.4
$
1.8
$
27.3
$
19.2
$
16.7
$
3.1
$
43.9
$
63.5
$
55.3
$
10.5
$
144.6
$
104.2
$
90.5
$
16.1
$
238.6
$
167.7
$
145.9
$
26.6
$
383.2
$

2021
7.4
$
6.4
$
1.2
$
16.8
$
12.1
$
10.5
$
1.9
$
27.6
$
19.4
$
16.9
$
3.1
$
44.4
$
64.2
$
55.9
$
10.6
$
146.2
$
105.3
$
91.5
$
16.3
$
241.3
$
169.6
$
147.5
$
26.9
$
387.5
$

2022
7.4
$
6.5
$
1.2
$
16.9
$
12.2
$
10.6
$
1.9
$
28.0
$
19.6
$
17.1
$
3.1
$
44.9
$
64.9
$
56.6
$
10.7
$
147.8
$
106.5
$
92.5
$
16.5
$
244.0
$
171.4
$
149.1
$
27.2
$
391.8
$

2023
7.5
$
6.6
$
1.2
$
17.1
$
12.3
$
10.7
$
1.9
$
28.3
$
19.9
$
17.3
$
3.2
$
45.4
$
65.7
$
57.2
$
10.8
$
149.4
$
107.7
$
93.6
$
16.7
$
246.6
$
173.3
$
150.7
$
27.5
$
396.1
$

2024
7.6
$
6.6
$
1.3
$
17.3
$
12.5
$
10.8
$
1.9
$
28.6
$
20.1
$
17.5
$
3.2
$
45.9
$
66.4
$
57.8
$
10.9
$
151.1
$
108.8
$
94.6
$
16.9
$
249.4
$
175.2
$
152.4
$
27.8
$
400.4
$

2025
7.7
$
6.7
$
1.3
$
17.5
$
12.6
$
11.0
$
2.0
$
28.9
$
20.3
$
17.7
$
3.2
$
46.4
$
67.1
$
58.4
$
11.0
$
152.7
$
110.0
$
95.6
$
17.0
$
252.1
$
177.1
$
154.0
$
28.1
$
404.8
$

2026
7.8
$
6.8
$
1.3
$
17.7
$
12.7
$
11.1
$
2.0
$
29.2
$
20.5
$
17.8
$
3.3
$
46.9
$
67.8
$
59.0
$
11.2
$
154.4
$
111.2
$
96.7
$
17.2
$
254.8
$
179.0
$
155.7
$
28.4
$
409.2
$

2027
7.9
$
6.8
$
1.3
$
17.9
$
12.9
$
11.2
$
2.0
$
29.5
$
20.7
$
18.0
$
3.3
$
47.4
$
68.5
$
59.7
$
11.3
$
156.0
$
112.4
$
97.7
$
17.4
$
257.6
$
181.0
$
157.4
$
28.7
$
413.7
$

Total
141.5
$
123.2
$
23.4
$
321.8
$
231.8
$
201.5
$
35.9
$
531.1
$
373.3
$
324.7
$
59.3
$
852.9
$
1,234.6
$
1,075.1
$
204.3
$
2,808.7
$
2,022.9
$
1,758.2
$
313.2
$
4,634.7
$
3,257.5
$
2,833.4
$
517.5
$
7,443.4
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
22c,
and
E.
22f.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
12b
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
All
Ground
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
10.6
$
9.2
$
1.8
$
24.1
$
17.4
$
15.1
$
2.7
$
39.8
$
28.0
$
24.3
$
4.5
$
63.9
$
92.6
$
80.7
$
15.5
$
210.5
$
151.5
$
131.7
$
23.5
$
347.1
$
244.2
$
212.4
$
38.9
$
557.7
$

2006
21.5
$
18.7
$
3.6
$
48.8
$
35.1
$
30.5
$
5.4
$
80.5
$
56.6
$
49.3
$
9.0
$
129.3
$
187.5
$
163.3
$
31.3
$
426.1
$
306.7
$
266.5
$
47.5
$
702.6
$
494.2
$
429.8
$
78.8
$
1,128.7
$

2007
32.6
$
28.4
$
5.4
$
74.1
$
53.3
$
46.4
$
8.3
$
122.2
$
86.0
$
74.8
$
13.7
$
196.3
$
284.6
$
247.9
$
47.4
$
646.8
$
465.5
$
404.6
$
72.1
$
1,066.6
$
750.1
$
652.5
$
119.5
$
1,713.4
$

2008
44.0
$
38.3
$
7.3
$
99.9
$
71.9
$
62.5
$
11.1
$
164.8
$
115.9
$
100.8
$
18.5
$
264.7
$
383.6
$
334.1
$
63.9
$
871.9
$
627.6
$
545.5
$
97.2
$
1,437.9
$
1,011.2
$
879.6
$
161.1
$
2,309.9
$

2009
55.5
$
48.4
$
9.2
$
126.3
$
90.9
$
79.0
$
14.1
$
208.2
$
146.4
$
127.4
$
23.3
$
334.5
$
484.8
$
422.2
$
80.7
$
1,102.0
$
793.3
$
689.4
$
122.8
$
1,817.4
$
1,278.0
$
1,111.6
$
203.5
$
2,919.4
$

2010
67.4
$
58.7
$
11.2
$
153.2
$
110.3
$
95.9
$
17.1
$
252.7
$
177.7
$
154.5
$
28.3
$
405.9
$
588.1
$
512.2
$
97.8
$
1,337.0
$
962.5
$
836.6
$
149.0
$
2,205.3
$
1,550.6
$
1,348.8
$
246.8
$
3,542.3
$

2011
68.8
$
59.9
$
11.4
$
156.3
$
112.6
$
97.8
$
17.4
$
257.9
$
181.3
$
157.7
$
28.9
$
414.2
$
600.1
$
522.6
$
99.7
$
1,364.4
$
982.3
$
853.8
$
152.1
$
2,250.5
$
1,582.4
$
1,376.4
$
251.8
$
3,614.9
$

2012
70.2
$
61.1
$
11.7
$
159.5
$
114.9
$
99.8
$
17.8
$
263.1
$
185.0
$
160.9
$
29.4
$
422.7
$
612.2
$
533.2
$
101.7
$
1,392.2
$
1,002.3
$
871.2
$
155.2
$
2,296.5
$
1,614.6
$
1,404.4
$
256.9
$
3,688.6
$

2013
71.6
$
62.3
$
11.9
$
162.7
$
117.2
$
101.9
$
18.1
$
268.5
$
188.7
$
164.2
$
30.0
$
431.2
$
624.6
$
543.9
$
103.7
$
1,420.3
$
1,022.7
$
888.9
$
158.3
$
2,343.1
$
1,647.3
$
1,432.8
$
262.0
$
3,763.4
$

2014
72.4
$
63.0
$
12.0
$
164.5
$
118.5
$
103.0
$
18.3
$
271.5
$
190.8
$
166.0
$
30.3
$
436.0
$
631.4
$
549.9
$
104.7
$
1,436.0
$
1,034.0
$
898.8
$
160.1
$
2,369.1
$
1,665.5
$
1,448.6
$
264.8
$
3,805.1
$

2015
73.1
$
63.7
$
12.1
$
166.4
$
119.8
$
104.1
$
18.5
$
274.5
$
192.9
$
167.8
$
30.7
$
440.8
$
638.3
$
555.9
$
105.8
$
1,451.9
$
1,045.5
$
908.7
$
161.9
$
2,395.4
$
1,683.8
$
1,464.6
$
267.7
$
3,847.2
$

2016
73.9
$
64.4
$
12.2
$
168.2
$
121.1
$
105.3
$
18.8
$
277.5
$
195.1
$
169.7
$
31.0
$
445.7
$
645.3
$
562.0
$
106.9
$
1,467.9
$
1,057.1
$
918.8
$
163.7
$
2,422.0
$
1,702.4
$
1,480.8
$
270.5
$
3,889.8
$

2017
74.8
$
65.1
$
12.4
$
170.0
$
122.5
$
106.4
$
19.0
$
280.6
$
197.2
$
171.5
$
31.3
$
450.6
$
652.4
$
568.1
$
108.0
$
1,484.0
$
1,068.8
$
929.0
$
165.5
$
2,448.8
$
1,721.2
$
1,497.1
$
273.5
$
3,932.9
$

2018
75.6
$
65.8
$
12.5
$
171.9
$
123.8
$
107.6
$
19.2
$
283.7
$
199.4
$
173.4
$
31.7
$
455.6
$
659.5
$
574.3
$
109.1
$
1,500.4
$
1,080.7
$
939.3
$
167.3
$
2,476.0
$
1,740.2
$
1,513.7
$
276.4
$
3,976.4
$

2019
76.4
$
66.5
$
12.6
$
173.8
$
125.2
$
108.8
$
19.4
$
286.9
$
201.6
$
175.4
$
32.0
$
460.7
$
666.7
$
580.6
$
110.2
$
1,517.0
$
1,092.7
$
949.7
$
169.2
$
2,503.4
$
1,759.4
$
1,530.4
$
279.4
$
4,020.4
$

2020
77.2
$
67.3
$
12.8
$
175.7
$
126.6
$
110.0
$
19.6
$
290.0
$
203.8
$
177.3
$
32.4
$
465.8
$
674.1
$
587.0
$
111.3
$
1,533.7
$
1,104.8
$
960.3
$
171.1
$
2,531.2
$
1,778.8
$
1,547.3
$
282.4
$
4,064.9
$

2021
78.1
$
68.0
$
12.9
$
177.7
$
128.0
$
111.3
$
19.8
$
293.3
$
206.1
$
179.2
$
32.7
$
470.9
$
681.4
$
593.4
$
112.5
$
1,550.6
$
1,117.0
$
970.9
$
173.0
$
2,559.3
$
1,798.5
$
1,564.3
$
285.4
$
4,109.9
$

2022
78.9
$
68.7
$
13.0
$
179.6
$
129.4
$
112.5
$
20.0
$
296.5
$
208.3
$
181.2
$
33.1
$
476.1
$
688.9
$
599.8
$
113.6
$
1,567.7
$
1,129.4
$
981.6
$
174.9
$
2,587.6
$
1,818.3
$
1,581.5
$
288.5
$
4,155.3
$

2023
79.8
$
69.5
$
13.2
$
181.6
$
130.8
$
113.7
$
20.3
$
299.8
$
210.6
$
183.2
$
33.4
$
481.4
$
696.4
$
606.4
$
114.8
$
1,584.9
$
1,141.8
$
992.5
$
176.8
$
2,616.1
$
1,838.2
$
1,598.8
$
291.6
$
4,201.0
$

2024
80.7
$
70.2
$
13.3
$
183.6
$
132.3
$
115.0
$
20.5
$
303.1
$
212.9
$
185.2
$
33.8
$
486.6
$
703.9
$
612.9
$
116.0
$
1,602.2
$
1,154.4
$
1,003.4
$
178.7
$
2,644.9
$
1,858.3
$
1,616.3
$
294.7
$
4,247.1
$

2025
81.5
$
71.0
$
13.4
$
185.6
$
133.7
$
116.2
$
20.7
$
306.4
$
215.3
$
187.2
$
34.1
$
492.0
$
711.6
$
619.5
$
117.2
$
1,619.7
$
1,167.0
$
1,014.3
$
180.7
$
2,673.9
$
1,878.6
$
1,633.9
$
297.9
$
4,293.6
$

2026
82.4
$
71.8
$
13.6
$
187.6
$
135.2
$
117.5
$
20.9
$
309.7
$
217.6
$
189.3
$
34.5
$
497.3
$
719.3
$
626.2
$
118.3
$
1,637.3
$
1,179.8
$
1,025.4
$
182.7
$
2,703.1
$
1,899.1
$
1,651.7
$
301.0
$
4,340.4
$

2027
83.3
$
72.5
$
13.7
$
189.6
$
136.7
$
118.8
$
21.2
$
313.1
$
220.0
$
191.3
$
34.9
$
502.8
$
727.0
$
633.0
$
119.5
$
1,655.1
$
1,192.7
$
1,036.6
$
184.7
$
2,732.6
$
1,919.7
$
1,669.6
$
304.2
$
4,387.7
$

Total
1,530.2
$
1,332.5
$
253.2
$
3,481.0
$
2,507.1
$
2,179.1
$
388.2
$
5,744.1
$
4,037.3
$
3,511.6
$
641.3
$
9,225.1
$
13,354.3
$
11,629.1
$
2,209.6
$
30,379.6
$
21,880.2
$
19,017.5
$
3,387.6
$
50,130.3
$
35,234.5
$
30,646.7
$
5,597.2
$
80,509.9
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
12a
and
F.
12b.
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
12c
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
10.0
$
8.7
$
1.7
$
22.7
$
16.4
$
14.2
$
2.5
$
37.5
$
26.4
$
22.9
$
4.2
$
60.2
$
87.3
$
76.1
$
14.6
$
198.5
$
142.8
$
124.1
$
22.1
$
327.2
$
230.1
$
200.2
$
36.7
$
525.7
$

2006
19.7
$
17.1
$
3.3
$
44.7
$
32.2
$
27.9
$
5.0
$
73.7
$
51.8
$
45.1
$
8.3
$
118.4
$
171.6
$
149.4
$
28.6
$
389.9
$
280.6
$
243.9
$
43.4
$
643.0
$
452.2
$
393.3
$
72.1
$
1,032.9
$

2007
29.0
$
25.2
$
4.8
$
65.8
$
47.4
$
41.2
$
7.3
$
108.6
$
76.4
$
66.4
$
12.2
$
174.4
$
252.8
$
220.2
$
42.2
$
574.7
$
413.6
$
359.5
$
64.0
$
947.6
$
666.5
$
579.7
$
106.2
$
1,522.3
$

2008
37.9
$
33.0
$
6.3
$
86.2
$
62.0
$
53.9
$
9.6
$
142.1
$
99.9
$
86.9
$
15.9
$
228.3
$
330.9
$
288.2
$
55.1
$
752.1
$
541.4
$
470.5
$
83.8
$
1,240.4
$
872.3
$
758.7
$
138.9
$
1,992.5
$

2009
46.5
$
40.5
$
7.7
$
105.7
$
76.1
$
66.2
$
11.8
$
174.4
$
122.6
$
106.7
$
19.5
$
280.2
$
406.0
$
353.6
$
67.6
$
922.9
$
664.3
$
577.4
$
102.8
$
1,522.1
$
1,070.3
$
931.0
$
170.4
$
2,445.0
$

2010
54.8
$
47.7
$
9.1
$
124.6
$
89.7
$
77.9
$
13.9
$
205.5
$
144.5
$
125.7
$
23.0
$
330.0
$
478.2
$
416.5
$
79.5
$
1,087.1
$
782.6
$
680.2
$
121.2
$
1,793.1
$
1,260.8
$
1,096.7
$
200.7
$
2,880.2
$

2011
54.3
$
47.3
$
9.0
$
123.4
$
88.9
$
77.2
$
13.8
$
203.6
$
143.1
$
124.5
$
22.8
$
327.0
$
473.7
$
412.6
$
78.7
$
1,077.1
$
775.4
$
674.0
$
120.0
$
1,776.6
$
1,249.1
$
1,086.5
$
198.8
$
2,853.6
$

2012
53.8
$
46.8
$
8.9
$
122.3
$
88.0
$
76.5
$
13.6
$
201.7
$
141.8
$
123.3
$
22.6
$
323.9
$
469.2
$
408.7
$
77.9
$
1,067.0
$
768.2
$
667.7
$
118.9
$
1,760.0
$
1,237.4
$
1,076.3
$
196.9
$
2,827.0
$

2013
53.3
$
46.4
$
8.8
$
121.1
$
87.2
$
75.8
$
13.5
$
199.8
$
140.4
$
122.2
$
22.3
$
320.9
$
464.7
$
404.7
$
77.1
$
1,056.9
$
761.0
$
661.4
$
117.8
$
1,743.5
$
1,225.7
$
1,066.2
$
194.9
$
2,800.3
$

2014
52.3
$
45.5
$
8.7
$
118.9
$
85.6
$
74.4
$
13.3
$
196.1
$
137.9
$
119.9
$
21.9
$
315.0
$
456.2
$
397.3
$
75.7
$
1,037.4
$
747.0
$
649.3
$
115.7
$
1,711.5
$
1,203.2
$
1,046.5
$
191.3
$
2,748.9
$

2015
51.3
$
44.7
$
8.5
$
116.7
$
84.0
$
73.0
$
13.0
$
192.5
$
135.3
$
117.7
$
21.5
$
309.2
$
447.7
$
389.9
$
74.2
$
1,018.3
$
733.3
$
637.4
$
113.5
$
1,680.1
$
1,181.0
$
1,027.3
$
187.7
$
2,698.4
$

2016
50.4
$
43.8
$
8.3
$
114.5
$
82.5
$
71.7
$
12.8
$
189.0
$
132.8
$
115.5
$
21.1
$
303.5
$
439.4
$
382.7
$
72.8
$
999.5
$
719.8
$
625.7
$
111.4
$
1,649.2
$
1,159.3
$
1,008.4
$
184.2
$
2,648.8
$

2017
49.4
$
43.0
$
8.2
$
112.4
$
81.0
$
70.4
$
12.5
$
185.5
$
130.4
$
113.4
$
20.7
$
297.9
$
431.3
$
375.6
$
71.4
$
981.1
$
706.6
$
614.2
$
109.4
$
1,619.0
$
1,137.9
$
989.8
$
180.8
$
2,600.1
$

2018
48.5
$
42.2
$
8.0
$
110.4
$
79.5
$
69.1
$
12.3
$
182.1
$
128.0
$
111.3
$
20.3
$
292.4
$
423.3
$
368.6
$
70.0
$
963.1
$
693.6
$
602.9
$
107.4
$
1,589.2
$
1,117.0
$
971.6
$
177.4
$
2,552.3
$

2019
47.6
$
41.5
$
7.9
$
108.3
$
78.0
$
67.8
$
12.1
$
178.8
$
125.6
$
109.3
$
19.9
$
287.1
$
415.5
$
361.8
$
68.7
$
945.3
$
680.9
$
591.9
$
105.4
$
1,560.1
$
1,096.4
$
953.7
$
174.1
$
2,505.4
$

2020
46.7
$
40.7
$
7.7
$
106.3
$
76.6
$
66.6
$
11.9
$
175.5
$
123.3
$
107.3
$
19.6
$
281.8
$
407.8
$
355.1
$
67.4
$
927.9
$
668.4
$
581.0
$
103.5
$
1,531.4
$
1,076.2
$
936.1
$
170.9
$
2,459.4
$

2021
45.9
$
39.9
$
7.6
$
104.4
$
75.2
$
65.3
$
11.6
$
172.3
$
121.0
$
105.3
$
19.2
$
276.6
$
400.3
$
348.5
$
66.1
$
910.8
$
656.1
$
570.3
$
101.6
$
1,503.3
$
1,056.4
$
918.9
$
167.7
$
2,414.1
$

2022
45.0
$
39.2
$
7.4
$
102.4
$
73.8
$
64.1
$
11.4
$
169.1
$
118.8
$
103.3
$
18.9
$
271.5
$
392.9
$
342.1
$
64.8
$
894.0
$
644.1
$
559.8
$
99.7
$
1,475.7
$
1,036.9
$
901.9
$
164.5
$
2,369.7
$

2023
44.2
$
38.5
$
7.3
$
100.5
$
72.4
$
63.0
$
11.2
$
166.0
$
116.6
$
101.4
$
18.5
$
266.5
$
385.6
$
335.7
$
63.6
$
877.5
$
632.2
$
549.5
$
97.9
$
1,448.5
$
1,017.8
$
885.2
$
161.4
$
2,326.0
$

2024
43.4
$
37.8
$
7.1
$
98.7
$
71.1
$
61.8
$
11.0
$
162.9
$
114.5
$
99.6
$
18.2
$
261.6
$
378.4
$
329.5
$
62.3
$
861.3
$
620.5
$
539.4
$
96.1
$
1,421.8
$
998.9
$
868.8
$
158.4
$
2,283.0
$

2025
42.6
$
37.0
$
7.0
$
96.9
$
69.8
$
60.7
$
10.8
$
159.9
$
112.3
$
97.7
$
17.8
$
256.8
$
371.4
$
323.3
$
61.1
$
845.3
$
609.1
$
529.4
$
94.3
$
1,395.5
$
980.4
$
852.7
$
155.5
$
2,240.8
$

2026
41.8
$
36.4
$
6.9
$
95.1
$
68.5
$
59.5
$
10.6
$
156.9
$
110.3
$
95.9
$
17.5
$
252.0
$
364.4
$
317.3
$
60.0
$
829.6
$
597.8
$
519.6
$
92.6
$
1,369.6
$
962.2
$
836.9
$
152.5
$
2,199.3
$

2027
41.0
$
35.7
$
6.7
$
93.3
$
67.2
$
58.4
$
10.4
$
154.0
$
108.2
$
94.1
$
17.1
$
247.3
$
357.6
$
311.4
$
58.8
$
814.2
$
586.7
$
509.9
$
90.9
$
1,344.3
$
944.4
$
821.3
$
149.7
$
2,158.4
$

Total
1,009.1
$
878.7
$
167.1
$
2,295.3
$
1,653.0
$
1,436.7
$
255.9
$
3,787.3
$
2,662.1
$
2,315.5
$
423.0
$
6,082.5
$
8,806.3
$
7,668.8
$
1,458.2
$
20,031.5
$
14,426.3
$
12,538.9
$
2,233.5
$
33,052.5
$
23,232.6
$
20,207.6
$
3,691.7
$
53,084.0
$

Ann.
57.9
$
50.5
$
9.6
$
131.8
$
94.9
$
82.5
$
14.7
$
217.5
$
152.9
$
133.0
$
24.3
$
349.3
$
505.7
$
440.4
$
83.7
$
1,150.4
$
828.5
$
720.1
$
128.3
$
1,898.1
$
1,334.2
$
1,160.5
$
212.0
$
3,048.5
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
12c.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
12d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
9.3
$
8.1
$
1.5
$
21.1
$
15.2
$
13.2
$
2.3
$
34.7
$
24.4
$
21.3
$
3.9
$
55.8
$
80.9
$
70.5
$
13.5
$
183.9
$
132.3
$
115.0
$
20.5
$
303.2
$
213.3
$
185.5
$
34.0
$
487.1
$

2006
17.5
$
15.3
$
2.9
$
39.9
$
28.7
$
24.9
$
4.4
$
65.7
$
46.2
$
40.2
$
7.4
$
105.6
$
153.0
$
133.3
$
25.5
$
347.8
$
250.3
$
217.6
$
38.8
$
573.5
$
403.4
$
350.9
$
64.3
$
921.3
$

2007
24.9
$
21.7
$
4.1
$
56.5
$
40.7
$
35.4
$
6.3
$
93.2
$
65.6
$
57.0
$
10.4
$
149.8
$
217.1
$
189.1
$
36.2
$
493.4
$
355.2
$
308.7
$
55.0
$
813.7
$
572.3
$
497.8
$
91.2
$
1,307.1
$

2008
31.3
$
27.3
$
5.2
$
71.2
$
51.3
$
44.6
$
7.9
$
117.5
$
82.6
$
71.9
$
13.2
$
188.7
$
273.5
$
238.2
$
45.6
$
621.7
$
447.5
$
388.9
$
69.3
$
1,025.2
$
721.0
$
627.1
$
114.8
$
1,646.9
$

2009
37.0
$
32.2
$
6.2
$
84.1
$
60.6
$
52.6
$
9.4
$
138.8
$
97.6
$
84.9
$
15.5
$
222.9
$
323.0
$
281.3
$
53.8
$
734.3
$
528.6
$
459.4
$
81.8
$
1,211.0
$
851.6
$
740.7
$
135.6
$
1,945.3
$

2010
42.0
$
36.5
$
7.0
$
95.4
$
68.7
$
59.7
$
10.6
$
157.4
$
110.6
$
96.2
$
17.6
$
252.8
$
366.2
$
319.0
$
60.9
$
832.6
$
599.4
$
521.0
$
92.8
$
1,373.3
$
965.7
$
839.9
$
153.7
$
2,206.0
$

2011
40.0
$
34.9
$
6.7
$
91.0
$
65.5
$
56.9
$
10.1
$
150.1
$
105.5
$
91.8
$
16.8
$
241.1
$
349.3
$
304.2
$
58.1
$
794.1
$
571.7
$
496.9
$
88.5
$
1,309.8
$
921.0
$
801.1
$
146.6
$
2,103.9
$

2012
38.2
$
33.2
$
6.3
$
86.8
$
62.5
$
54.3
$
9.7
$
143.1
$
100.6
$
87.5
$
16.0
$
229.9
$
333.0
$
290.0
$
55.3
$
757.2
$
545.2
$
473.9
$
84.4
$
1,249.1
$
878.2
$
763.9
$
139.7
$
2,006.4
$

2013
36.4
$
31.7
$
6.0
$
82.7
$
59.6
$
51.8
$
9.2
$
136.5
$
96.0
$
83.5
$
15.3
$
219.2
$
317.5
$
276.5
$
52.7
$
722.0
$
519.9
$
451.9
$
80.5
$
1,191.1
$
837.4
$
728.4
$
133.2
$
1,913.1
$

2014
34.4
$
29.9
$
5.7
$
78.2
$
56.3
$
48.9
$
8.7
$
129.0
$
90.7
$
78.9
$
14.4
$
207.1
$
300.0
$
261.2
$
49.8
$
682.2
$
491.3
$
427.0
$
76.1
$
1,125.5
$
791.2
$
688.2
$
125.8
$
1,807.8
$

2015
32.5
$
28.3
$
5.4
$
73.9
$
53.2
$
46.2
$
8.2
$
121.9
$
85.7
$
74.5
$
13.6
$
195.7
$
283.4
$
246.8
$
47.0
$
644.6
$
464.2
$
403.5
$
71.9
$
1,063.6
$
747.6
$
650.3
$
118.8
$
1,708.2
$

2016
30.7
$
26.7
$
5.1
$
69.8
$
50.3
$
43.7
$
7.8
$
115.2
$
80.9
$
70.4
$
12.9
$
185.0
$
267.8
$
233.2
$
44.4
$
609.1
$
438.7
$
381.3
$
67.9
$
1,005.0
$
706.4
$
614.5
$
112.3
$
1,614.1
$

2017
29.0
$
25.2
$
4.8
$
65.9
$
47.5
$
41.3
$
7.4
$
108.8
$
76.5
$
66.5
$
12.2
$
174.8
$
253.0
$
220.3
$
41.9
$
575.5
$
414.5
$
360.3
$
64.2
$
949.7
$
667.5
$
580.6
$
106.1
$
1,525.2
$

2018
27.4
$
23.9
$
4.5
$
62.3
$
44.9
$
39.0
$
6.9
$
102.8
$
72.3
$
62.9
$
11.5
$
165.1
$
239.0
$
208.2
$
39.5
$
543.8
$
391.7
$
340.5
$
60.6
$
897.4
$
630.7
$
548.6
$
100.2
$
1,441.2
$

2019
25.9
$
22.5
$
4.3
$
58.9
$
42.4
$
36.9
$
6.6
$
97.2
$
68.3
$
59.4
$
10.8
$
156.0
$
225.9
$
196.7
$
37.3
$
513.8
$
370.1
$
321.7
$
57.3
$
848.0
$
596.0
$
518.4
$
94.6
$
1,361.8
$

2020
24.5
$
21.3
$
4.0
$
55.6
$
40.1
$
34.8
$
6.2
$
91.8
$
64.5
$
56.1
$
10.2
$
147.5
$
213.4
$
185.8
$
35.2
$
485.5
$
349.7
$
304.0
$
54.2
$
801.3
$
563.1
$
489.8
$
89.4
$
1,286.9
$

2021
23.1
$
20.1
$
3.8
$
52.6
$
37.9
$
32.9
$
5.9
$
86.8
$
61.0
$
53.0
$
9.7
$
139.3
$
201.6
$
175.6
$
33.3
$
458.8
$
330.5
$
287.3
$
51.2
$
757.2
$
532.1
$
462.8
$
84.4
$
1,216.0
$

2022
21.8
$
19.0
$
3.6
$
49.7
$
35.8
$
31.1
$
5.5
$
82.0
$
57.6
$
50.1
$
9.1
$
131.7
$
190.5
$
165.9
$
31.4
$
433.5
$
312.3
$
271.4
$
48.4
$
715.5
$
502.8
$
437.3
$
79.8
$
1,149.0
$

2023
20.6
$
18.0
$
3.4
$
46.9
$
33.8
$
29.4
$
5.2
$
77.5
$
54.4
$
47.3
$
8.6
$
124.4
$
180.0
$
156.7
$
29.7
$
409.6
$
295.1
$
256.5
$
45.7
$
676.1
$
475.0
$
413.2
$
75.4
$
1,085.6
$

2024
19.5
$
17.0
$
3.2
$
44.3
$
31.9
$
27.8
$
4.9
$
73.2
$
51.4
$
44.7
$
8.2
$
117.5
$
170.0
$
148.0
$
28.0
$
387.0
$
278.8
$
242.3
$
43.2
$
638.8
$
448.8
$
390.4
$
71.2
$
1,025.7
$

2025
18.4
$
16.0
$
3.0
$
41.9
$
30.2
$
26.2
$
4.7
$
69.2
$
48.6
$
42.3
$
7.7
$
111.0
$
160.6
$
139.8
$
26.4
$
365.6
$
263.4
$
229.0
$
40.8
$
603.5
$
424.0
$
368.8
$
67.2
$
969.1
$

2026
17.4
$
15.1
$
2.9
$
39.6
$
28.5
$
24.8
$
4.4
$
65.3
$
45.9
$
39.9
$
7.3
$
104.9
$
151.7
$
132.1
$
25.0
$
345.4
$
248.9
$
216.3
$
38.5
$
570.2
$
400.6
$
348.4
$
63.5
$
915.6
$

2027
16.4
$
14.3
$
2.7
$
37.4
$
26.9
$
23.4
$
4.2
$
61.7
$
43.4
$
37.7
$
6.9
$
99.1
$
143.3
$
124.8
$
23.6
$
326.3
$
235.1
$
204.4
$
36.4
$
538.7
$
378.5
$
329.1
$
60.0
$
865.0
$

Total
618.0
$
538.2
$
102.4
$
1,405.7
$
1,012.3
$
879.8
$
156.7
$
2,319.2
$
1,630.3
$
1,418.0
$
259.2
$
3,724.9
$
5,393.8
$
4,697.2
$
894.0
$
12,267.9
$
8,834.4
$
7,678.5
$
1,367.7
$
20,240.6
$
14,228.2
$
12,375.7
$
2,261.7
$
32,508.5
$

Ann.
53.0
$
46.2
$
8.8
$
120.6
$
86.9
$
75.5
$
13.4
$
199.0
$
139.9
$
121.7
$
22.2
$
319.6
$
462.8
$
403.1
$
76.7
$
1,052.7
$
758.1
$
658.9
$
117.4
$
1,736.9
$
1,220.9
$
1,062.0
$
194.1
$
2,789.6
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
12c.
Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Exhibit
F.
12e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
(
All
Water
Systems)

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
4.2
$
2.6
$
9.9
$
8.2
$
26.4
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.9
$
3.5
$
7.5
$
36.9
$
22.8
$
86.3
$
71.3
$
230.1
$

2006
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.7
$
8.3
$
5.1
$
19.4
$
16.0
$
51.8
$
0.2
$
1.4
$
1.7
$
6.9
$
14.8
$
72.6
$
44.9
$
169.6
$
140.0
$
452.2
$

2007
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.5
$
12.3
$
7.6
$
28.6
$
23.6
$
76.4
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.5
$
10.2
$
21.8
$
107.0
$
66.1
$
249.9
$
206.4
$
666.5
$

2008
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.5
$
3.3
$
16.0
$
9.9
$
37.5
$
31.0
$
99.9
$
0.4
$
2.8
$
3.3
$
13.4
$
28.5
$
140.0
$
86.6
$
327.1
$
270.1
$
872.3
$

2009
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
1.9
$
4.0
$
19.7
$
12.2
$
46.0
$
38.0
$
122.6
$
0.5
$
3.4
$
4.1
$
16.4
$
35.0
$
171.8
$
106.2
$
401.4
$
331.5
$
1,070.3
$

2010
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.2
$
4.7
$
23.2
$
14.3
$
54.2
$
44.7
$
144.5
$
0.6
$
4.0
$
4.8
$
19.3
$
41.3
$
202.4
$
125.1
$
472.8
$
390.5
$
1,260.8
$

2011
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.5
$
5.4
$
22.8
$
14.1
$
53.2
$
43.9
$
143.1
$
0.7
$
4.6
$
5.5
$
22.1
$
47.3
$
198.7
$
122.8
$
464.2
$
383.3
$
1,249.1
$

2012
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.7
$
2.8
$
6.1
$
22.3
$
13.8
$
52.2
$
43.1
$
141.8
$
0.8
$
5.2
$
6.2
$
24.8
$
53.0
$
195.0
$
120.6
$
455.6
$
376.3
$
1,237.4
$

2013
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.8
$
3.1
$
6.7
$
21.9
$
13.6
$
51.2
$
42.3
$
140.4
$
0.9
$
5.7
$
6.8
$
27.4
$
58.5
$
191.4
$
118.3
$
447.3
$
369.3
$
1,225.7
$

2014
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.8
$
3.1
$
6.6
$
21.5
$
13.3
$
50.3
$
41.5
$
137.9
$
0.8
$
5.6
$
6.7
$
26.9
$
57.5
$
187.9
$
116.2
$
439.0
$
362.5
$
1,203.2
$

2015
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.8
$
3.0
$
6.5
$
21.1
$
13.1
$
49.4
$
40.8
$
135.3
$
0.8
$
5.5
$
6.6
$
26.4
$
56.4
$
184.5
$
114.0
$
430.9
$
355.9
$
1,181.0
$

2016
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.7
$
3.0
$
6.3
$
20.7
$
12.8
$
48.5
$
40.0
$
132.8
$
0.8
$
5.4
$
6.4
$
25.9
$
55.4
$
181.1
$
111.9
$
423.0
$
349.3
$
1,159.3
$

2017
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.7
$
2.9
$
6.2
$
20.4
$
12.6
$
47.6
$
39.3
$
130.4
$
0.8
$
5.3
$
6.3
$
25.4
$
54.3
$
177.7
$
109.9
$
415.2
$
342.9
$
1,137.9
$

2018
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.7
$
2.9
$
6.1
$
20.0
$
12.4
$
46.7
$
38.6
$
128.0
$
0.8
$
5.2
$
6.2
$
25.0
$
53.3
$
174.4
$
107.8
$
407.6
$
336.6
$
1,117.0
$

2019
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.7
$
2.8
$
6.0
$
19.6
$
12.1
$
45.8
$
37.9
$
125.6
$
0.8
$
5.1
$
6.1
$
24.5
$
52.4
$
171.2
$
105.9
$
400.1
$
330.4
$
1,096.4
$

2020
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.7
$
2.8
$
5.9
$
19.3
$
11.9
$
45.0
$
37.2
$
123.3
$
0.8
$
5.0
$
6.0
$
24.1
$
51.4
$
168.1
$
103.9
$
392.7
$
324.3
$
1,076.2
$

2021
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.7
$
2.7
$
5.8
$
18.9
$
11.7
$
44.2
$
36.5
$
121.0
$
0.7
$
4.9
$
5.9
$
23.6
$
50.5
$
165.0
$
102.0
$
385.5
$
318.3
$
1,056.4
$

2022
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.7
$
2.7
$
5.7
$
18.6
$
11.5
$
43.4
$
35.8
$
118.8
$
0.7
$
4.8
$
5.8
$
23.2
$
49.5
$
161.9
$
100.1
$
378.4
$
312.4
$
1,036.9
$

2023
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.6
$
5.6
$
18.2
$
11.3
$
42.6
$
35.1
$
116.6
$
0.7
$
4.8
$
5.7
$
22.8
$
48.6
$
159.0
$
98.3
$
371.4
$
306.7
$
1,017.8
$

2024
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.6
$
5.5
$
17.9
$
11.1
$
41.8
$
34.5
$
114.5
$
0.7
$
4.7
$
5.6
$
22.3
$
47.7
$
156.0
$
96.4
$
364.5
$
301.0
$
998.9
$

2025
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.5
$
5.4
$
17.5
$
10.8
$
41.0
$
33.9
$
112.3
$
0.7
$
4.6
$
5.5
$
21.9
$
46.8
$
153.1
$
94.7
$
357.7
$
295.4
$
980.4
$

2026
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.5
$
5.3
$
17.2
$
10.6
$
40.2
$
33.2
$
110.3
$
0.7
$
4.5
$
5.3
$
21.5
$
46.0
$
150.3
$
92.9
$
351.1
$
289.9
$
962.2
$

2027
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.4
$
5.2
$
16.9
$
10.4
$
39.5
$
32.6
$
108.2
$
0.7
$
4.4
$
5.3
$
21.1
$
45.1
$
147.5
$
91.2
$
344.6
$
284.6
$
944.4
$

Total
1.7
$
11.5
$
13.6
$
54.9
$
117.2
$
418.6
$
258.8
$
978.1
$
807.7
$
2,662.1
$
15.1
$
100.1
$
119.0
$
478.9
$
1,022.6
$
3,653.6
$
2,258.5
$
8,535.9
$
7,048.9
$
23,232.6
$

Ann.
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.8
$
3.2
$
6.7
$
24.0
$
14.9
$
56.2
$
46.4
$
152.9
$
0.9
$
5.8
$
6.8
$
27.5
$
58.7
$
209.8
$
129.7
$
490.2
$
404.8
$
1,334.2
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
12a
and
F.
12b.
Exhibit
F.
12f
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.8
$
3.9
$
2.4
$
9.2
$
7.6
$
24.4
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.8
$
3.3
$
7.0
$
34.2
$
21.2
$
80.0
$
66.0
$
213.3
$

2006
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.5
$
7.4
$
4.6
$
17.3
$
14.3
$
46.2
$
0.2
$
1.3
$
1.5
$
6.2
$
13.2
$
64.7
$
40.0
$
151.3
$
124.9
$
403.4
$

2007
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.1
$
10.5
$
6.5
$
24.6
$
20.3
$
65.6
$
0.3
$
1.8
$
2.2
$
8.8
$
18.7
$
91.9
$
56.8
$
214.6
$
177.2
$
572.3
$

2008
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
2.7
$
13.3
$
8.2
$
31.0
$
25.6
$
82.6
$
0.3
$
2.3
$
2.7
$
11.0
$
23.6
$
115.7
$
71.5
$
270.4
$
223.3
$
721.0
$

2009
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.5
$
3.2
$
15.7
$
9.7
$
36.6
$
30.2
$
97.6
$
0.4
$
2.7
$
3.2
$
13.0
$
27.9
$
136.7
$
84.5
$
319.4
$
263.7
$
851.6
$

2010
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
1.7
$
3.6
$
17.8
$
11.0
$
41.5
$
34.3
$
110.6
$
0.5
$
3.1
$
3.7
$
14.8
$
31.6
$
155.0
$
95.8
$
362.1
$
299.1
$
965.7
$

2011
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
1.9
$
4.0
$
16.8
$
10.4
$
39.2
$
32.4
$
105.5
$
0.5
$
3.4
$
4.1
$
16.3
$
34.8
$
146.5
$
90.5
$
342.2
$
282.6
$
921.0
$

2012
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
4.3
$
15.9
$
9.8
$
37.1
$
30.6
$
100.6
$
0.6
$
3.7
$
4.4
$
17.6
$
37.6
$
138.4
$
85.6
$
323.4
$
267.0
$
878.2
$

2013
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.1
$
4.6
$
15.0
$
9.3
$
35.0
$
28.9
$
96.0
$
0.6
$
3.9
$
4.7
$
18.7
$
40.0
$
130.8
$
80.8
$
305.6
$
252.3
$
837.4
$

2014
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
4.3
$
14.2
$
8.8
$
33.1
$
27.3
$
90.7
$
0.6
$
3.7
$
4.4
$
17.7
$
37.8
$
123.6
$
76.4
$
288.7
$
238.4
$
791.2
$

2015
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
1.9
$
4.1
$
13.4
$
8.3
$
31.3
$
25.8
$
85.7
$
0.5
$
3.5
$
4.2
$
16.7
$
35.7
$
116.8
$
72.2
$
272.8
$
225.3
$
747.6
$

2016
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
1.8
$
3.9
$
12.6
$
7.8
$
29.5
$
24.4
$
80.9
$
0.5
$
3.3
$
3.9
$
15.8
$
33.7
$
110.3
$
68.2
$
257.8
$
212.9
$
706.4
$

2017
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
1.7
$
3.7
$
11.9
$
7.4
$
27.9
$
23.0
$
76.5
$
0.5
$
3.1
$
3.7
$
14.9
$
31.9
$
104.3
$
64.4
$
243.6
$
201.1
$
667.5
$

2018
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.6
$
3.5
$
11.3
$
7.0
$
26.4
$
21.8
$
72.3
$
0.4
$
2.9
$
3.5
$
14.1
$
30.1
$
98.5
$
60.9
$
230.1
$
190.1
$
630.7
$

2019
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.5
$
3.3
$
10.7
$
6.6
$
24.9
$
20.6
$
68.3
$
0.4
$
2.8
$
3.3
$
13.3
$
28.5
$
93.1
$
57.5
$
217.5
$
179.6
$
596.0
$

2020
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.4
$
3.1
$
10.1
$
6.2
$
23.5
$
19.4
$
64.5
$
0.4
$
2.6
$
3.1
$
12.6
$
26.9
$
88.0
$
54.4
$
205.5
$
169.7
$
563.1
$

2021
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.4
$
2.9
$
9.5
$
5.9
$
22.2
$
18.4
$
61.0
$
0.4
$
2.5
$
3.0
$
11.9
$
25.4
$
83.1
$
51.4
$
194.2
$
160.3
$
532.1
$

2022
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
2.8
$
9.0
$
5.6
$
21.0
$
17.4
$
57.6
$
0.4
$
2.4
$
2.8
$
11.2
$
24.0
$
78.5
$
48.5
$
183.5
$
151.5
$
502.8
$

2023
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.6
$
8.5
$
5.3
$
19.9
$
16.4
$
54.4
$
0.3
$
2.2
$
2.6
$
10.6
$
22.7
$
74.2
$
45.9
$
173.3
$
143.1
$
475.0
$

2024
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.5
$
8.0
$
5.0
$
18.8
$
15.5
$
51.4
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.5
$
10.0
$
21.4
$
70.1
$
43.3
$
163.8
$
135.2
$
448.8
$

2025
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.3
$
7.6
$
4.7
$
17.7
$
14.6
$
48.6
$
0.3
$
2.0
$
2.4
$
9.5
$
20.3
$
66.2
$
40.9
$
154.7
$
127.8
$
424.0
$

2026
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.0
$
2.2
$
7.2
$
4.4
$
16.7
$
13.8
$
45.9
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.2
$
9.0
$
19.1
$
62.6
$
38.7
$
146.2
$
120.7
$
400.6
$

2027
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.1
$
6.8
$
4.2
$
15.8
$
13.1
$
43.4
$
0.3
$
1.8
$
2.1
$
8.5
$
18.1
$
59.1
$
36.5
$
138.1
$
114.0
$
378.5
$

Total
1.0
$
6.8
$
8.1
$
32.7
$
69.9
$
256.9
$
158.8
$
600.2
$
495.7
$
1,630.3
$
9.0
$
59.7
$
71.0
$
285.7
$
610.0
$
2,242.2
$
1,386.0
$
5,238.5
$
4,325.9
$
14,228.2
$

Ann.
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.7
$
2.8
$
6.0
$
22.0
$
13.6
$
51.5
$
42.5
$
139.9
$
0.8
$
5.1
$
6.1
$
24.5
$
52.3
$
192.4
$
118.9
$
449.5
$
371.2
$
1,220.9
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
12a
and
F.
12b.
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
12g
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
F.
13
Model
Outputs
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
TTHM
as
Indicator
Bronchitis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
9.7
$
8.5
$
1.6
$
22.1
$
2.8
$
2.6
$
1.3
$
5.1
$
12.5
$
11.0
$
2.9
$
27.2
$
84.8
$
73.8
$
14.2
$
192.7
$
24.4
$
22.5
$
11.1
$
44.7
$
109.2
$
96.3
$
25.2
$
237.3
$

2006
19.7
$
17.1
$
3.3
$
44.7
$
5.7
$
5.2
$
2.6
$
10.3
$
25.3
$
22.3
$
5.8
$
55.0
$
171.6
$
149.4
$
28.6
$
389.9
$
49.3
$
45.4
$
22.3
$
90.2
$
220.9
$
194.8
$
50.9
$
480.1
$

2007
29.8
$
26.0
$
5.0
$
67.8
$
8.6
$
7.9
$
3.9
$
15.7
$
38.4
$
33.9
$
8.8
$
83.5
$
260.4
$
226.8
$
43.4
$
591.9
$
74.8
$
68.8
$
33.8
$
136.7
$
335.2
$
295.6
$
77.2
$
728.6
$

2008
40.2
$
35.0
$
6.7
$
91.4
$
11.5
$
10.6
$
5.2
$
21.1
$
51.8
$
45.6
$
11.9
$
112.5
$
351.0
$
305.7
$
58.5
$
797.9
$
100.7
$
92.6
$
45.4
$
184.0
$
451.7
$
398.3
$
103.9
$
981.8
$

2009
50.8
$
44.3
$
8.5
$
115.5
$
14.6
$
13.4
$
6.6
$
26.6
$
65.4
$
57.7
$
15.0
$
142.1
$
443.6
$
386.3
$
73.8
$
1,008.4
$
127.0
$
116.9
$
57.3
$
232.1
$
570.6
$
503.3
$
131.1
$
1,240.5
$

2010
61.7
$
53.7
$
10.3
$
140.2
$
17.6
$
16.2
$
7.9
$
32.2
$
79.3
$
69.9
$
18.2
$
172.4
$
538.1
$
468.7
$
89.5
$
1,223.5
$
153.9
$
141.7
$
69.4
$
281.2
$
692.0
$
610.4
$
158.9
$
1,504.6
$

2011
62.7
$
54.6
$
10.4
$
142.6
$
17.9
$
16.5
$
8.1
$
32.8
$
80.6
$
71.1
$
18.5
$
175.3
$
547.2
$
476.6
$
91.0
$
1,244.2
$
156.2
$
143.9
$
70.4
$
285.9
$
703.4
$
620.5
$
161.4
$
1,530.0
$

2012
63.8
$
55.5
$
10.6
$
145.0
$
18.2
$
16.7
$
8.2
$
33.3
$
81.9
$
72.3
$
18.8
$
178.2
$
556.4
$
484.6
$
92.4
$
1,265.2
$
158.6
$
146.1
$
71.4
$
290.5
$
715.0
$
630.7
$
163.8
$
1,555.6
$

2013
64.8
$
56.5
$
10.8
$
147.4
$
18.4
$
17.0
$
8.3
$
33.8
$
83.3
$
73.5
$
19.1
$
181.2
$
565.7
$
492.7
$
93.9
$
1,286.4
$
161.0
$
148.4
$
72.5
$
294.7
$
726.7
$
641.0
$
166.4
$
1,581.2
$

2014
65.5
$
57.1
$
10.9
$
149.0
$
18.6
$
17.2
$
8.4
$
34.1
$
84.1
$
74.2
$
19.3
$
183.1
$
571.9
$
498.0
$
94.8
$
1,300.6
$
162.5
$
149.8
$
73.2
$
297.5
$
734.4
$
647.9
$
168.1
$
1,598.2
$

2015
66.2
$
57.7
$
11.0
$
150.7
$
18.8
$
17.3
$
8.5
$
34.4
$
85.0
$
75.0
$
19.4
$
185.1
$
578.2
$
503.5
$
95.8
$
1,315.0
$
164.0
$
151.2
$
73.8
$
300.4
$
742.2
$
654.7
$
169.7
$
1,615.4
$

2016
67.0
$
58.3
$
11.1
$
152.3
$
19.0
$
17.5
$
8.5
$
34.7
$
85.9
$
75.8
$
19.6
$
187.1
$
584.5
$
509.0
$
96.8
$
1,329.5
$
165.6
$
152.7
$
74.4
$
303.2
$
750.0
$
661.7
$
171.2
$
1,632.7
$

2017
67.7
$
59.0
$
11.2
$
154.0
$
19.1
$
17.7
$
8.6
$
35.1
$
86.9
$
76.6
$
19.8
$
189.1
$
590.9
$
514.6
$
97.8
$
1,344.1
$
167.1
$
154.1
$
75.2
$
306.1
$
758.0
$
668.7
$
173.0
$
1,650.3
$

2018
68.4
$
59.6
$
11.3
$
155.7
$
19.3
$
17.8
$
8.7
$
35.4
$
87.8
$
77.4
$
20.0
$
191.1
$
597.3
$
520.2
$
98.8
$
1,359.0
$
168.6
$
155.6
$
75.8
$
309.1
$
766.0
$
675.8
$
174.6
$
1,668.1
$

2019
69.2
$
60.3
$
11.4
$
157.4
$
19.5
$
18.0
$
8.8
$
35.8
$
88.7
$
78.2
$
20.2
$
193.2
$
603.9
$
525.9
$
99.8
$
1,373.9
$
170.2
$
157.0
$
76.5
$
312.1
$
774.1
$
682.9
$
176.3
$
1,686.0
$

2020
70.0
$
60.9
$
11.6
$
159.2
$
19.7
$
18.1
$
8.8
$
36.1
$
89.6
$
79.1
$
20.4
$
195.3
$
610.5
$
531.6
$
100.8
$
1,389.1
$
171.8
$
158.4
$
77.2
$
315.3
$
782.3
$
690.0
$
178.0
$
1,704.5
$

2021
70.7
$
61.6
$
11.7
$
160.9
$
19.9
$
18.3
$
8.9
$
36.5
$
90.6
$
79.9
$
20.6
$
197.4
$
617.2
$
537.4
$
101.9
$
1,404.4
$
173.3
$
159.7
$
78.0
$
318.3
$
790.5
$
697.2
$
179.8
$
1,722.7
$

2022
71.5
$
62.3
$
11.8
$
162.7
$
20.0
$
18.5
$
9.0
$
36.8
$
91.5
$
80.7
$
20.8
$
199.5
$
623.9
$
543.3
$
102.9
$
1,419.9
$
174.9
$
161.2
$
78.7
$
321.4
$
798.9
$
704.5
$
181.6
$
1,741.3
$

2023
72.3
$
62.9
$
11.9
$
164.5
$
20.2
$
18.6
$
9.1
$
37.2
$
92.5
$
81.6
$
21.0
$
201.7
$
630.7
$
549.2
$
104.0
$
1,435.5
$
176.5
$
162.7
$
79.4
$
324.5
$
807.2
$
711.9
$
183.3
$
1,760.0
$

2024
73.1
$
63.6
$
12.0
$
166.3
$
20.4
$
18.8
$
9.2
$
37.5
$
93.5
$
82.4
$
21.2
$
203.8
$
637.6
$
555.1
$
105.0
$
1,451.2
$
178.1
$
164.2
$
80.1
$
327.4
$
815.7
$
719.4
$
185.1
$
1,778.6
$

2025
73.8
$
64.3
$
12.2
$
168.1
$
20.6
$
19.0
$
9.3
$
37.9
$
94.4
$
83.3
$
21.4
$
205.9
$
644.5
$
561.1
$
106.1
$
1,467.0
$
179.7
$
165.7
$
80.9
$
330.3
$
824.2
$
726.8
$
187.0
$
1,797.3
$

2026
74.6
$
65.0
$
12.3
$
169.9
$
20.8
$
19.2
$
9.4
$
38.2
$
95.4
$
84.2
$
21.6
$
208.1
$
651.5
$
567.2
$
107.2
$
1,482.9
$
181.3
$
167.3
$
81.6
$
333.3
$
832.8
$
734.4
$
188.8
$
1,816.3
$

2027
75.5
$
65.7
$
12.4
$
171.8
$
21.0
$
19.3
$
9.4
$
38.5
$
96.4
$
85.0
$
21.8
$
210.3
$
658.5
$
573.3
$
108.3
$
1,499.0
$
182.9
$
168.8
$
82.3
$
336.4
$
841.4
$
742.1
$
190.6
$
1,835.5
$

Total
1,388.7
$
1,209.3
$
229.8
$
3,159.2
$
392.2
$
361.5
$
176.5
$
719.1
$
1,780.9
$
1,570.8
$
406.3
$
3,878.2
$
12,119.7
$
10,554.0
$
2,005.3
$
27,570.9
$
3,422.6
$
3,154.8
$
1,540.7
$
6,275.5
$
15,542.3
$
13,708.8
$
3,546.1
$
33,846.5
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
22b,
and
E.
22e.
Exhibit
F.
13a
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
All
Surface
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.2
$
2.0
$
0.3
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.2
$
1.0
$
0.3
$
2.5
$
7.9
$
6.9
$
1.3
$
17.9
$
2.3
$
2.1
$
1.0
$
4.1
$
10.1
$
8.9
$
2.3
$
22.0
$

2006
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.1
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.4
$
2.1
$
0.5
$
5.1
$
15.9
$
13.9
$
2.7
$
36.2
$
4.6
$
4.2
$
2.1
$
8.4
$
20.5
$
18.1
$
4.7
$
44.6
$

2007
2.8
$
2.4
$
0.5
$
6.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.4
$
1.5
$
3.6
$
3.1
$
0.8
$
7.8
$
24.2
$
21.1
$
4.0
$
54.9
$
6.9
$
6.4
$
3.1
$
12.7
$
31.1
$
27.4
$
7.2
$
67.6
$

2008
3.7
$
3.3
$
0.6
$
8.5
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
4.8
$
4.2
$
1.1
$
10.4
$
32.6
$
28.4
$
5.4
$
74.1
$
9.3
$
8.6
$
4.2
$
17.1
$
41.9
$
37.0
$
9.6
$
91.2
$

2009
4.7
$
4.1
$
0.8
$
10.7
$
1.4
$
1.2
$
0.6
$
2.5
$
6.1
$
5.4
$
1.4
$
13.2
$
41.2
$
35.9
$
6.9
$
93.6
$
11.8
$
10.9
$
5.3
$
21.5
$
53.0
$
46.7
$
12.2
$
115.2
$

2010
5.7
$
5.0
$
1.0
$
13.0
$
1.6
$
1.5
$
0.7
$
3.0
$
7.4
$
6.5
$
1.7
$
16.0
$
50.0
$
43.5
$
8.3
$
113.6
$
14.3
$
13.2
$
6.4
$
26.1
$
64.2
$
56.7
$
14.7
$
139.7
$

2011
6.1
$
5.3
$
1.0
$
13.8
$
1.7
$
1.6
$
0.8
$
3.2
$
7.8
$
6.9
$
1.8
$
16.9
$
52.9
$
46.1
$
8.8
$
120.2
$
15.1
$
13.9
$
6.8
$
27.6
$
68.0
$
60.0
$
15.6
$
147.9
$

2012
6.4
$
5.6
$
1.1
$
14.6
$
1.8
$
1.7
$
0.8
$
3.3
$
8.2
$
7.3
$
1.9
$
17.9
$
55.9
$
48.6
$
9.3
$
127.0
$
15.9
$
14.7
$
7.2
$
29.2
$
71.8
$
63.3
$
16.4
$
156.2
$

2013
6.7
$
5.9
$
1.1
$
15.3
$
1.9
$
1.8
$
0.9
$
3.5
$
8.7
$
7.6
$
2.0
$
18.9
$
58.9
$
51.3
$
9.8
$
133.9
$
16.8
$
15.4
$
7.6
$
30.7
$
75.6
$
66.7
$
17.3
$
164.6
$

2014
6.8
$
5.9
$
1.1
$
15.5
$
1.9
$
1.8
$
0.9
$
3.5
$
8.8
$
7.7
$
2.0
$
19.1
$
59.5
$
51.8
$
9.9
$
135.4
$
16.9
$
15.6
$
7.6
$
31.0
$
76.4
$
67.4
$
17.5
$
166.4
$

2015
6.9
$
6.0
$
1.1
$
15.7
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.9
$
3.6
$
8.9
$
7.8
$
2.0
$
19.3
$
60.2
$
52.4
$
10.0
$
136.9
$
17.1
$
15.7
$
7.7
$
31.3
$
77.3
$
68.2
$
17.7
$
168.2
$

2016
7.0
$
6.1
$
1.2
$
15.9
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.9
$
3.6
$
8.9
$
7.9
$
2.0
$
19.5
$
60.8
$
53.0
$
10.1
$
138.4
$
17.2
$
15.9
$
7.7
$
31.6
$
78.1
$
68.9
$
17.8
$
169.9
$

2017
7.0
$
6.1
$
1.2
$
16.0
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.9
$
3.7
$
9.0
$
8.0
$
2.1
$
19.7
$
61.5
$
53.6
$
10.2
$
139.9
$
17.4
$
16.0
$
7.8
$
31.9
$
78.9
$
69.6
$
18.0
$
171.8
$

2018
7.1
$
6.2
$
1.2
$
16.2
$
2.0
$
1.9
$
0.9
$
3.7
$
9.1
$
8.1
$
2.1
$
19.9
$
62.2
$
54.1
$
10.3
$
141.5
$
17.6
$
16.2
$
7.9
$
32.2
$
79.7
$
70.3
$
18.2
$
173.6
$

2019
7.2
$
6.3
$
1.2
$
16.4
$
2.0
$
1.9
$
0.9
$
3.7
$
9.2
$
8.1
$
2.1
$
20.1
$
62.9
$
54.7
$
10.4
$
143.0
$
17.7
$
16.3
$
8.0
$
32.5
$
80.6
$
71.1
$
18.4
$
175.5
$

2020
7.3
$
6.3
$
1.2
$
16.6
$
2.0
$
1.9
$
0.9
$
3.8
$
9.3
$
8.2
$
2.1
$
20.3
$
63.5
$
55.3
$
10.5
$
144.6
$
17.9
$
16.5
$
8.0
$
32.8
$
81.4
$
71.8
$
18.5
$
177.4
$

2021
7.4
$
6.4
$
1.2
$
16.8
$
2.1
$
1.9
$
0.9
$
3.8
$
9.4
$
8.3
$
2.1
$
20.5
$
64.2
$
55.9
$
10.6
$
146.2
$
18.0
$
16.6
$
8.1
$
33.1
$
82.3
$
72.6
$
18.7
$
179.3
$

2022
7.4
$
6.5
$
1.2
$
16.9
$
2.1
$
1.9
$
0.9
$
3.8
$
9.5
$
8.4
$
2.2
$
20.8
$
64.9
$
56.6
$
10.7
$
147.8
$
18.2
$
16.8
$
8.2
$
33.5
$
83.2
$
73.3
$
18.9
$
181.3
$

2023
7.5
$
6.6
$
1.2
$
17.1
$
2.1
$
1.9
$
0.9
$
3.9
$
9.6
$
8.5
$
2.2
$
21.0
$
65.7
$
57.2
$
10.8
$
149.4
$
18.4
$
16.9
$
8.3
$
33.8
$
84.0
$
74.1
$
19.1
$
183.2
$

2024
7.6
$
6.6
$
1.3
$
17.3
$
2.1
$
2.0
$
1.0
$
3.9
$
9.7
$
8.6
$
2.2
$
21.2
$
66.4
$
57.8
$
10.9
$
151.1
$
18.5
$
17.1
$
8.3
$
34.1
$
84.9
$
74.9
$
19.3
$
185.1
$

2025
7.7
$
6.7
$
1.3
$
17.5
$
2.1
$
2.0
$
1.0
$
3.9
$
9.8
$
8.7
$
2.2
$
21.4
$
67.1
$
58.4
$
11.0
$
152.7
$
18.7
$
17.2
$
8.4
$
34.4
$
85.8
$
75.7
$
19.5
$
187.1
$

2026
7.8
$
6.8
$
1.3
$
17.7
$
2.2
$
2.0
$
1.0
$
4.0
$
9.9
$
8.8
$
2.3
$
21.7
$
67.8
$
59.0
$
11.2
$
154.4
$
18.9
$
17.4
$
8.5
$
34.7
$
86.7
$
76.5
$
19.7
$
189.1
$

2027
7.9
$
6.8
$
1.3
$
17.9
$
2.2
$
2.0
$
1.0
$
4.0
$
10.0
$
8.9
$
2.3
$
21.9
$
68.5
$
59.7
$
11.3
$
156.0
$
19.0
$
17.6
$
8.6
$
35.0
$
87.6
$
77.3
$
19.8
$
191.1
$

Total
141.5
$
123.2
$
23.4
$
321.8
$
39.9
$
36.8
$
18.0
$
73.2
$
181.4
$
160.0
$
41.4
$
395.1
$
1,234.6
$
1,075.1
$
204.3
$
2,808.7
$
348.5
$
321.3
$
156.9
$
639.1
$
1,583.2
$
1,396.4
$
361.2
$
3,447.8
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
22c,
and
E.
22f.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
13b
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
All
Ground
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
10.6
$
9.2
$
1.8
$
24.1
$
3.1
$
2.8
$
1.4
$
5.6
$
13.7
$
12.1
$
3.2
$
29.7
$
92.6
$
80.7
$
15.5
$
210.5
$
26.7
$
24.6
$
12.1
$
48.8
$
119.3
$
105.3
$
27.5
$
259.3
$

2006
21.5
$
18.7
$
3.6
$
48.8
$
6.2
$
5.7
$
2.8
$
11.3
$
27.7
$
24.4
$
6.4
$
60.1
$
187.5
$
163.3
$
31.3
$
426.1
$
53.9
$
49.6
$
24.4
$
98.6
$
241.4
$
212.9
$
55.7
$
524.7
$

2007
32.6
$
28.4
$
5.4
$
74.1
$
9.4
$
8.6
$
4.2
$
17.1
$
42.0
$
37.0
$
9.7
$
91.2
$
284.6
$
247.9
$
47.4
$
646.8
$
81.7
$
75.2
$
36.9
$
149.4
$
366.3
$
323.0
$
84.3
$
796.2
$

2008
44.0
$
38.3
$
7.3
$
99.9
$
12.6
$
11.6
$
5.7
$
23.0
$
56.6
$
49.9
$
13.0
$
122.9
$
383.6
$
334.1
$
63.9
$
871.9
$
110.0
$
101.2
$
49.6
$
201.0
$
493.6
$
435.3
$
113.5
$
1,073.0
$

2009
55.5
$
48.4
$
9.2
$
126.3
$
15.9
$
14.6
$
7.2
$
29.1
$
71.4
$
63.0
$
16.4
$
155.3
$
484.8
$
422.2
$
80.7
$
1,102.0
$
138.8
$
127.8
$
62.6
$
253.6
$
623.6
$
550.0
$
143.3
$
1,355.6
$

2010
67.4
$
58.7
$
11.2
$
153.2
$
19.3
$
17.7
$
8.7
$
35.2
$
86.7
$
76.4
$
19.9
$
188.4
$
588.1
$
512.2
$
97.8
$
1,337.0
$
168.2
$
154.9
$
75.8
$
307.3
$
756.3
$
667.1
$
173.6
$
1,644.3
$

2011
68.8
$
59.9
$
11.4
$
156.3
$
19.6
$
18.1
$
8.9
$
35.9
$
88.4
$
78.0
$
20.3
$
192.3
$
600.1
$
522.6
$
99.7
$
1,364.4
$
171.3
$
157.8
$
77.2
$
313.5
$
771.4
$
680.4
$
177.0
$
1,677.9
$

2012
70.2
$
61.1
$
11.7
$
159.5
$
20.0
$
18.4
$
9.0
$
36.6
$
90.1
$
79.5
$
20.7
$
196.1
$
612.2
$
533.2
$
101.7
$
1,392.2
$
174.5
$
160.8
$
78.6
$
319.6
$
786.8
$
694.0
$
180.3
$
1,711.8
$

2013
71.6
$
62.3
$
11.9
$
162.7
$
20.4
$
18.8
$
9.2
$
37.3
$
91.9
$
81.1
$
21.1
$
200.0
$
624.6
$
543.9
$
103.7
$
1,420.3
$
177.8
$
163.8
$
80.1
$
325.4
$
802.3
$
707.8
$
183.8
$
1,745.7
$

2014
72.4
$
63.0
$
12.0
$
164.5
$
20.6
$
19.0
$
9.3
$
37.6
$
92.9
$
82.0
$
21.3
$
202.2
$
631.4
$
549.9
$
104.7
$
1,436.0
$
179.4
$
165.4
$
80.9
$
328.5
$
810.8
$
715.3
$
185.6
$
1,764.5
$

2015
73.1
$
63.7
$
12.1
$
166.4
$
20.8
$
19.1
$
9.3
$
38.0
$
93.9
$
82.8
$
21.5
$
204.4
$
638.3
$
555.9
$
105.8
$
1,451.9
$
181.1
$
167.0
$
81.5
$
331.7
$
819.4
$
722.9
$
187.3
$
1,783.6
$

2016
73.9
$
64.4
$
12.2
$
168.2
$
20.9
$
19.3
$
9.4
$
38.4
$
94.9
$
83.7
$
21.7
$
206.5
$
645.3
$
562.0
$
106.9
$
1,467.9
$
182.8
$
168.6
$
82.2
$
334.8
$
828.1
$
730.5
$
189.1
$
1,802.6
$

2017
74.8
$
65.1
$
12.4
$
170.0
$
21.1
$
19.5
$
9.5
$
38.7
$
95.9
$
84.6
$
21.9
$
208.8
$
652.4
$
568.1
$
108.0
$
1,484.0
$
184.5
$
170.1
$
83.0
$
338.0
$
836.9
$
738.3
$
191.0
$
1,822.0
$

2018
75.6
$
65.8
$
12.5
$
171.9
$
21.3
$
19.7
$
9.6
$
39.1
$
96.9
$
85.5
$
22.1
$
211.0
$
659.5
$
574.3
$
109.1
$
1,500.4
$
186.2
$
171.8
$
83.7
$
341.3
$
845.7
$
746.1
$
192.8
$
1,841.7
$

2019
76.4
$
66.5
$
12.6
$
173.8
$
21.5
$
19.9
$
9.7
$
39.5
$
97.9
$
86.4
$
22.3
$
213.3
$
666.7
$
580.6
$
110.2
$
1,517.0
$
187.9
$
173.3
$
84.5
$
344.6
$
854.7
$
753.9
$
194.7
$
1,861.5
$

2020
77.2
$
67.3
$
12.8
$
175.7
$
21.7
$
20.0
$
9.8
$
39.9
$
99.0
$
87.3
$
22.5
$
215.6
$
674.1
$
587.0
$
111.3
$
1,533.7
$
189.6
$
174.9
$
85.2
$
348.2
$
863.7
$
761.8
$
196.6
$
1,881.9
$

2021
78.1
$
68.0
$
12.9
$
177.7
$
21.9
$
20.2
$
9.9
$
40.3
$
100.0
$
88.2
$
22.8
$
217.9
$
681.4
$
593.4
$
112.5
$
1,550.6
$
191.4
$
176.4
$
86.1
$
351.4
$
872.8
$
769.8
$
198.6
$
1,902.0
$

2022
78.9
$
68.7
$
13.0
$
179.6
$
22.1
$
20.4
$
10.0
$
40.7
$
101.1
$
89.1
$
23.0
$
220.3
$
688.9
$
599.8
$
113.6
$
1,567.7
$
193.1
$
178.0
$
86.9
$
354.9
$
882.0
$
777.8
$
200.5
$
1,922.6
$

2023
79.8
$
69.5
$
13.2
$
181.6
$
22.3
$
20.6
$
10.0
$
41.1
$
102.1
$
90.1
$
23.2
$
222.7
$
696.4
$
606.4
$
114.8
$
1,584.9
$
194.9
$
179.7
$
87.6
$
358.3
$
891.3
$
786.0
$
202.4
$
1,943.2
$

2024
80.7
$
70.2
$
13.3
$
183.6
$
22.5
$
20.8
$
10.1
$
41.4
$
103.2
$
91.0
$
23.4
$
225.0
$
703.9
$
612.9
$
116.0
$
1,602.2
$
196.7
$
181.3
$
88.4
$
361.5
$
900.6
$
794.3
$
204.4
$
1,963.7
$

2025
81.5
$
71.0
$
13.4
$
185.6
$
22.7
$
21.0
$
10.2
$
41.8
$
104.3
$
92.0
$
23.7
$
227.4
$
711.6
$
619.5
$
117.2
$
1,619.7
$
198.4
$
182.9
$
89.3
$
364.7
$
910.0
$
802.5
$
206.5
$
1,984.4
$

2026
82.4
$
71.8
$
13.6
$
187.6
$
22.9
$
21.2
$
10.3
$
42.2
$
105.4
$
92.9
$
23.9
$
229.8
$
719.3
$
626.2
$
118.3
$
1,637.3
$
200.2
$
184.7
$
90.1
$
368.0
$
919.5
$
810.9
$
208.5
$
2,005.3
$

2027
83.3
$
72.5
$
13.7
$
189.6
$
23.1
$
21.4
$
10.4
$
42.6
$
106.4
$
93.9
$
24.1
$
232.2
$
727.0
$
633.0
$
119.5
$
1,655.1
$
202.0
$
186.4
$
90.9
$
371.4
$
929.0
$
819.4
$
210.4
$
2,026.5
$

Total
1,530.2
$
1,332.5
$
253.2
$
3,481.0
$
432.1
$
398.3
$
194.5
$
792.3
$
1,962.3
$
1,730.8
$
447.7
$
4,273.3
$
13,354.3
$
11,629.1
$
2,209.6
$
30,379.6
$
3,771.1
$
3,476.1
$
1,697.6
$
6,914.7
$
17,125.4
$
15,105.2
$
3,907.2
$
37,294.3
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
13a
and
F.
13b.
Exhibit
F.
13c
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
10.0
$
8.7
$
1.7
$
22.7
$
2.9
$
2.7
$
1.3
$
5.3
$
12.9
$
11.4
$
3.0
$
28.0
$
87.3
$
76.1
$
14.6
$
198.5
$
25.2
$
23.1
$
11.4
$
46.0
$
112.5
$
99.2
$
26.0
$
244.5
$

2006
19.7
$
17.1
$
3.3
$
44.7
$
5.7
$
5.2
$
2.6
$
10.3
$
25.3
$
22.3
$
5.8
$
55.0
$
171.6
$
149.4
$
28.6
$
389.9
$
49.3
$
45.4
$
22.3
$
90.2
$
220.9
$
194.9
$
50.9
$
480.2
$

2007
29.0
$
25.2
$
4.8
$
65.8
$
8.3
$
7.7
$
3.8
$
15.2
$
37.3
$
32.9
$
8.6
$
81.1
$
252.8
$
220.2
$
42.2
$
574.7
$
72.6
$
66.8
$
32.8
$
132.8
$
325.4
$
287.0
$
74.9
$
707.4
$

2008
37.9
$
33.0
$
6.3
$
86.2
$
10.9
$
10.0
$
4.9
$
19.9
$
48.8
$
43.0
$
11.2
$
106.1
$
330.9
$
288.2
$
55.1
$
752.1
$
94.9
$
87.3
$
42.8
$
173.4
$
425.8
$
375.5
$
97.9
$
925.6
$

2009
46.5
$
40.5
$
7.7
$
105.7
$
13.3
$
12.3
$
6.0
$
24.3
$
59.8
$
52.8
$
13.7
$
130.1
$
406.0
$
353.6
$
67.6
$
922.9
$
116.2
$
107.0
$
52.4
$
212.4
$
522.2
$
460.6
$
120.0
$
1,135.3
$

2010
54.8
$
47.7
$
9.1
$
124.6
$
15.7
$
14.4
$
7.1
$
28.6
$
70.5
$
62.1
$
16.2
$
153.2
$
478.2
$
416.5
$
79.5
$
1,087.1
$
136.7
$
125.9
$
61.6
$
249.8
$
614.9
$
542.4
$
141.2
$
1,337.0
$

2011
54.3
$
47.3
$
9.0
$
123.4
$
15.5
$
14.3
$
7.0
$
28.4
$
69.8
$
61.5
$
16.0
$
151.8
$
473.7
$
412.6
$
78.7
$
1,077.1
$
135.2
$
124.6
$
61.0
$
247.5
$
608.9
$
537.1
$
139.7
$
1,324.6
$

2012
53.8
$
46.8
$
8.9
$
122.3
$
15.3
$
14.1
$
6.9
$
28.1
$
69.1
$
60.9
$
15.8
$
150.3
$
469.2
$
408.7
$
77.9
$
1,067.0
$
133.8
$
123.2
$
60.2
$
245.0
$
603.0
$
531.9
$
138.2
$
1,311.9
$

2013
53.3
$
46.4
$
8.8
$
121.1
$
15.2
$
14.0
$
6.8
$
27.7
$
68.4
$
60.3
$
15.7
$
148.8
$
464.7
$
404.7
$
77.1
$
1,056.9
$
132.3
$
121.9
$
59.6
$
242.1
$
597.0
$
526.7
$
136.7
$
1,299.0
$

2014
52.3
$
45.5
$
8.7
$
118.9
$
14.9
$
13.7
$
6.7
$
27.2
$
67.1
$
59.2
$
15.4
$
146.1
$
456.2
$
397.3
$
75.7
$
1,037.4
$
129.6
$
119.5
$
58.4
$
237.3
$
585.8
$
516.7
$
134.1
$
1,274.7
$

2015
51.3
$
44.7
$
8.5
$
116.7
$
14.6
$
13.4
$
6.6
$
26.7
$
65.9
$
58.1
$
15.1
$
143.3
$
447.7
$
389.9
$
74.2
$
1,018.3
$
127.0
$
117.1
$
57.2
$
232.7
$
574.7
$
507.0
$
131.4
$
1,251.0
$

2016
50.4
$
43.8
$
8.3
$
114.5
$
14.3
$
13.2
$
6.4
$
26.1
$
64.6
$
57.0
$
14.8
$
140.7
$
439.4
$
382.7
$
72.8
$
999.5
$
124.5
$
114.8
$
56.0
$
228.0
$
563.9
$
497.5
$
128.7
$
1,227.5
$

2017
49.4
$
43.0
$
8.2
$
112.4
$
14.0
$
12.9
$
6.3
$
25.6
$
63.4
$
55.9
$
14.5
$
138.0
$
431.3
$
375.6
$
71.4
$
981.1
$
122.0
$
112.5
$
54.9
$
223.4
$
553.3
$
488.1
$
126.3
$
1,204.6
$

2018
48.5
$
42.2
$
8.0
$
110.4
$
13.7
$
12.6
$
6.2
$
25.1
$
62.2
$
54.9
$
14.2
$
135.5
$
423.3
$
368.6
$
70.0
$
963.1
$
119.5
$
110.2
$
53.7
$
219.1
$
542.8
$
478.9
$
123.8
$
1,182.1
$

2019
47.6
$
41.5
$
7.9
$
108.3
$
13.4
$
12.4
$
6.0
$
24.6
$
61.0
$
53.8
$
13.9
$
132.9
$
415.5
$
361.8
$
68.7
$
945.3
$
117.1
$
108.0
$
52.7
$
214.7
$
532.6
$
469.8
$
121.3
$
1,160.0
$

2020
46.7
$
40.7
$
7.7
$
106.3
$
13.1
$
12.1
$
5.9
$
24.1
$
59.9
$
52.8
$
13.6
$
130.5
$
407.8
$
355.1
$
67.4
$
927.9
$
114.7
$
105.8
$
51.6
$
210.7
$
522.6
$
460.9
$
118.9
$
1,138.6
$

2021
45.9
$
39.9
$
7.6
$
104.4
$
12.9
$
11.9
$
5.8
$
23.7
$
58.7
$
51.8
$
13.4
$
128.0
$
400.3
$
348.5
$
66.1
$
910.8
$
112.4
$
103.6
$
50.6
$
206.4
$
512.7
$
452.1
$
116.6
$
1,117.2
$

2022
45.0
$
39.2
$
7.4
$
102.4
$
12.6
$
11.6
$
5.7
$
23.2
$
57.6
$
50.8
$
13.1
$
125.6
$
392.9
$
342.1
$
64.8
$
894.0
$
110.1
$
101.5
$
49.5
$
202.4
$
503.0
$
443.6
$
114.3
$
1,096.4
$

2023
44.2
$
38.5
$
7.3
$
100.5
$
12.4
$
11.4
$
5.6
$
22.7
$
56.5
$
49.9
$
12.8
$
123.3
$
385.6
$
335.7
$
63.6
$
877.5
$
107.9
$
99.5
$
48.5
$
198.4
$
493.5
$
435.2
$
112.1
$
1,075.9
$

2024
43.4
$
37.8
$
7.1
$
98.7
$
12.1
$
11.2
$
5.4
$
22.3
$
55.5
$
48.9
$
12.6
$
121.0
$
378.4
$
329.5
$
62.3
$
861.3
$
105.7
$
97.5
$
47.5
$
194.3
$
484.1
$
427.0
$
109.9
$
1,055.6
$

2025
42.6
$
37.0
$
7.0
$
96.9
$
11.9
$
10.9
$
5.3
$
21.8
$
54.4
$
48.0
$
12.3
$
118.7
$
371.4
$
323.3
$
61.1
$
845.3
$
103.6
$
95.5
$
46.6
$
190.3
$
474.9
$
418.8
$
107.8
$
1,035.6
$

2026
41.8
$
36.4
$
6.9
$
95.1
$
11.6
$
10.7
$
5.2
$
21.4
$
53.4
$
47.1
$
12.1
$
116.4
$
364.4
$
317.3
$
60.0
$
829.6
$
101.4
$
93.6
$
45.7
$
186.5
$
465.9
$
410.9
$
105.6
$
1,016.1
$

2027
41.0
$
35.7
$
6.7
$
93.3
$
11.4
$
10.5
$
5.1
$
20.9
$
52.4
$
46.2
$
11.9
$
114.2
$
357.6
$
311.4
$
58.8
$
814.2
$
99.4
$
91.7
$
44.7
$
182.7
$
457.0
$
403.1
$
103.5
$
996.9
$

Total
1,009.1
$
878.7
$
167.1
$
2,295.3
$
285.5
$
263.1
$
128.5
$
523.2
$
1,294.5
$
1,141.8
$
295.6
$
2,818.5
$
8,806.3
$
7,668.8
$
1,458.2
$
20,031.5
$
2,491.2
$
2,296.1
$
1,121.7
$
4,566.2
$
11,297.5
$
9,964.8
$
2,579.8
$
24,597.7
$

Ann.
57.9
$
50.5
$
9.6
$
131.8
$
16.4
$
15.1
$
7.4
$
30.0
$
74.3
$
65.6
$
17.0
$
161.9
$
505.7
$
440.4
$
83.7
$
1,150.4
$
143.1
$
131.9
$
64.4
$
262.2
$
648.8
$
572.3
$
148.2
$
1,412.6
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
13c.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
13d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
9.3
$
8.1
$
1.5
$
21.1
$
2.7
$
2.5
$
1.2
$
4.9
$
11.9
$
10.5
$
2.8
$
26.0
$
80.9
$
70.5
$
13.5
$
183.9
$
23.3
$
21.5
$
10.5
$
42.6
$
104.2
$
91.9
$
24.1
$
226.5
$

2006
17.5
$
15.3
$
2.9
$
39.9
$
5.0
$
4.6
$
2.3
$
9.2
$
22.6
$
19.9
$
5.2
$
49.1
$
153.0
$
133.3
$
25.5
$
347.8
$
44.0
$
40.5
$
19.9
$
80.5
$
197.1
$
173.8
$
45.4
$
428.3
$

2007
24.9
$
21.7
$
4.1
$
56.5
$
7.1
$
6.6
$
3.2
$
13.1
$
32.0
$
28.2
$
7.4
$
69.6
$
217.1
$
189.1
$
36.2
$
493.4
$
62.3
$
57.3
$
28.1
$
114.0
$
279.4
$
246.4
$
64.3
$
607.4
$

2008
31.3
$
27.3
$
5.2
$
71.2
$
9.0
$
8.3
$
4.1
$
16.4
$
40.3
$
35.6
$
9.3
$
87.7
$
273.5
$
238.2
$
45.6
$
621.7
$
78.4
$
72.2
$
35.4
$
143.3
$
351.9
$
310.4
$
81.0
$
765.0
$

2009
37.0
$
32.2
$
6.2
$
84.1
$
10.6
$
9.8
$
4.8
$
19.4
$
47.6
$
42.0
$
10.9
$
103.5
$
323.0
$
281.3
$
53.8
$
734.3
$
92.5
$
85.2
$
41.7
$
169.0
$
415.5
$
366.5
$
95.5
$
903.3
$

2010
42.0
$
36.5
$
7.0
$
95.4
$
12.0
$
11.1
$
5.4
$
21.9
$
54.0
$
47.6
$
12.4
$
117.3
$
366.2
$
319.0
$
60.9
$
832.6
$
104.7
$
96.5
$
47.2
$
191.3
$
471.0
$
415.4
$
108.1
$
1,024.0
$

2011
40.0
$
34.9
$
6.7
$
91.0
$
11.4
$
10.5
$
5.2
$
20.9
$
51.4
$
45.4
$
11.8
$
111.9
$
349.3
$
304.2
$
58.1
$
794.1
$
99.7
$
91.8
$
45.0
$
182.5
$
449.0
$
396.0
$
103.0
$
976.6
$

2012
38.2
$
33.2
$
6.3
$
86.8
$
10.9
$
10.0
$
4.9
$
19.9
$
49.0
$
43.3
$
11.2
$
106.7
$
333.0
$
290.0
$
55.3
$
757.2
$
94.9
$
87.5
$
42.7
$
173.9
$
427.9
$
377.5
$
98.1
$
931.1
$

2013
36.4
$
31.7
$
6.0
$
82.7
$
10.4
$
9.5
$
4.7
$
19.0
$
46.7
$
41.2
$
10.7
$
101.7
$
317.5
$
276.5
$
52.7
$
722.0
$
90.4
$
83.3
$
40.7
$
165.4
$
407.9
$
359.8
$
93.4
$
887.5
$

2014
34.4
$
29.9
$
5.7
$
78.2
$
9.8
$
9.0
$
4.4
$
17.9
$
44.1
$
38.9
$
10.1
$
96.1
$
300.0
$
261.2
$
49.8
$
682.2
$
85.2
$
78.6
$
38.4
$
156.1
$
385.2
$
339.8
$
88.2
$
838.3
$

2015
32.5
$
28.3
$
5.4
$
73.9
$
9.2
$
8.5
$
4.1
$
16.9
$
41.7
$
36.8
$
9.5
$
90.7
$
283.4
$
246.8
$
47.0
$
644.6
$
80.4
$
74.1
$
36.2
$
147.3
$
363.8
$
321.0
$
83.2
$
791.9
$

2016
30.7
$
26.7
$
5.1
$
69.8
$
8.7
$
8.0
$
3.9
$
15.9
$
39.4
$
34.7
$
9.0
$
85.7
$
267.8
$
233.2
$
44.4
$
609.1
$
75.9
$
69.9
$
34.1
$
138.9
$
343.6
$
303.2
$
78.5
$
748.0
$

2017
29.0
$
25.2
$
4.8
$
65.9
$
8.2
$
7.6
$
3.7
$
15.0
$
37.2
$
32.8
$
8.5
$
81.0
$
253.0
$
220.3
$
41.9
$
575.5
$
71.5
$
66.0
$
32.2
$
131.1
$
324.6
$
286.3
$
74.1
$
706.6
$

2018
27.4
$
23.9
$
4.5
$
62.3
$
7.7
$
7.1
$
3.5
$
14.2
$
35.1
$
31.0
$
8.0
$
76.5
$
239.0
$
208.2
$
39.5
$
543.8
$
67.5
$
62.3
$
30.3
$
123.7
$
306.5
$
270.4
$
69.9
$
667.5
$

2019
25.9
$
22.5
$
4.3
$
58.9
$
7.3
$
6.7
$
3.3
$
13.4
$
33.2
$
29.3
$
7.6
$
72.3
$
225.9
$
196.7
$
37.3
$
513.8
$
63.7
$
58.7
$
28.6
$
116.7
$
289.5
$
255.4
$
66.0
$
630.6
$

2020
24.5
$
21.3
$
4.0
$
55.6
$
6.9
$
6.3
$
3.1
$
12.6
$
31.3
$
27.6
$
7.1
$
68.3
$
213.4
$
185.8
$
35.2
$
485.5
$
60.0
$
55.4
$
27.0
$
110.2
$
273.4
$
241.2
$
62.2
$
595.8
$

2021
23.1
$
20.1
$
3.8
$
52.6
$
6.5
$
6.0
$
2.9
$
11.9
$
29.6
$
26.1
$
6.7
$
64.5
$
201.6
$
175.6
$
33.3
$
458.8
$
56.6
$
52.2
$
25.5
$
104.0
$
258.2
$
227.7
$
58.7
$
562.7
$

2022
21.8
$
19.0
$
3.6
$
49.7
$
6.1
$
5.6
$
2.8
$
11.2
$
27.9
$
24.6
$
6.4
$
60.9
$
190.5
$
165.9
$
31.4
$
433.5
$
53.4
$
49.2
$
24.0
$
98.1
$
243.9
$
215.1
$
55.4
$
531.6
$

2023
20.6
$
18.0
$
3.4
$
46.9
$
5.8
$
5.3
$
2.6
$
10.6
$
26.4
$
23.3
$
6.0
$
57.5
$
180.0
$
156.7
$
29.7
$
409.6
$
50.4
$
46.4
$
22.6
$
92.6
$
230.3
$
203.1
$
52.3
$
502.2
$

2024
19.5
$
17.0
$
3.2
$
44.3
$
5.4
$
5.0
$
2.4
$
10.0
$
24.9
$
22.0
$
5.7
$
54.3
$
170.0
$
148.0
$
28.0
$
387.0
$
47.5
$
43.8
$
21.3
$
87.3
$
217.5
$
191.8
$
49.4
$
474.3
$

2025
18.4
$
16.0
$
3.0
$
41.9
$
5.1
$
4.7
$
2.3
$
9.4
$
23.5
$
20.8
$
5.3
$
51.3
$
160.6
$
139.8
$
26.4
$
365.6
$
44.8
$
41.3
$
20.2
$
82.3
$
205.4
$
181.1
$
46.6
$
447.9
$

2026
17.4
$
15.1
$
2.9
$
39.6
$
4.8
$
4.5
$
2.2
$
8.9
$
22.2
$
19.6
$
5.0
$
48.5
$
151.7
$
132.1
$
25.0
$
345.4
$
42.2
$
39.0
$
19.0
$
77.6
$
194.0
$
171.1
$
44.0
$
423.0
$

2027
16.4
$
14.3
$
2.7
$
37.4
$
4.6
$
4.2
$
2.1
$
8.4
$
21.0
$
18.5
$
4.8
$
45.8
$
143.3
$
124.8
$
23.6
$
326.3
$
39.8
$
36.8
$
17.9
$
73.2
$
183.1
$
161.5
$
41.5
$
399.5
$

Total
618.0
$
538.2
$
102.4
$
1,405.7
$
175.2
$
161.5
$
78.9
$
321.0
$
793.3
$
699.7
$
181.4
$
1,726.7
$
5,393.8
$
4,697.2
$
894.0
$
12,267.9
$
1,529.3
$
1,409.3
$
688.8
$
2,801.7
$
6,923.1
$
6,106.5
$
1,582.7
$
15,069.6
$

Ann.
53.0
$
46.2
$
8.8
$
120.6
$
15.0
$
13.9
$
6.8
$
27.5
$
68.1
$
60.0
$
15.6
$
148.2
$
462.8
$
403.1
$
76.7
$
1,052.7
$
131.2
$
120.9
$
59.1
$
240.4
$
594.1
$
524.0
$
135.8
$
1,293.1
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
13c.
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
13e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
2.1
$
1.3
$
4.8
$
4.0
$
12.9
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
1.7
$
3.7
$
18.1
$
11.2
$
42.2
$
34.8
$
112.5
$

2006
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.8
$
4.1
$
2.5
$
9.5
$
7.8
$
25.3
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.8
$
3.4
$
7.2
$
35.5
$
21.9
$
82.9
$
68.4
$
220.9
$

2007
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.2
$
6.0
$
3.7
$
14.0
$
11.5
$
37.3
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
1.2
$
5.0
$
10.7
$
52.2
$
32.3
$
122.1
$
100.8
$
325.4
$

2008
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.6
$
7.8
$
4.8
$
18.3
$
15.1
$
48.8
$
0.2
$
1.4
$
1.6
$
6.5
$
13.9
$
68.3
$
42.2
$
159.7
$
131.9
$
425.8
$

2009
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.0
$
9.6
$
5.9
$
22.4
$
18.5
$
59.8
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.0
$
8.0
$
17.1
$
83.8
$
51.8
$
195.8
$
161.7
$
522.2
$

2010
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.3
$
11.3
$
7.0
$
26.4
$
21.8
$
70.5
$
0.3
$
2.0
$
2.3
$
9.4
$
20.1
$
98.7
$
61.0
$
230.6
$
190.4
$
614.9
$

2011
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.6
$
11.1
$
6.9
$
25.9
$
21.4
$
69.8
$
0.3
$
2.3
$
2.7
$
10.8
$
23.0
$
96.9
$
59.9
$
226.3
$
186.9
$
608.9
$

2012
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.4
$
3.0
$
10.9
$
6.7
$
25.4
$
21.0
$
69.1
$
0.4
$
2.5
$
3.0
$
12.1
$
25.8
$
95.0
$
58.7
$
222.0
$
183.3
$
603.0
$

2013
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.5
$
3.3
$
10.7
$
6.6
$
25.0
$
20.6
$
68.4
$
0.4
$
2.8
$
3.3
$
13.4
$
28.5
$
93.2
$
57.6
$
217.8
$
179.9
$
597.0
$

2014
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.5
$
3.2
$
10.5
$
6.5
$
24.5
$
20.2
$
67.1
$
0.4
$
2.7
$
3.3
$
13.1
$
28.0
$
91.5
$
56.6
$
213.7
$
176.5
$
585.8
$

2015
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.5
$
3.1
$
10.3
$
6.4
$
24.0
$
19.8
$
65.9
$
0.4
$
2.7
$
3.2
$
12.9
$
27.4
$
89.8
$
55.5
$
209.7
$
173.2
$
574.7
$

2016
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.4
$
3.1
$
10.1
$
6.2
$
23.6
$
19.5
$
64.6
$
0.4
$
2.6
$
3.1
$
12.6
$
26.9
$
88.1
$
54.4
$
205.8
$
169.9
$
563.9
$

2017
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.4
$
3.0
$
9.9
$
6.1
$
23.1
$
19.1
$
63.4
$
0.4
$
2.6
$
3.1
$
12.4
$
26.4
$
86.4
$
53.4
$
201.9
$
166.7
$
553.3
$

2018
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.4
$
3.0
$
9.7
$
6.0
$
22.7
$
18.7
$
62.2
$
0.4
$
2.5
$
3.0
$
12.1
$
25.9
$
84.8
$
52.4
$
198.1
$
163.6
$
542.8
$

2019
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.4
$
2.9
$
9.5
$
5.9
$
22.3
$
18.4
$
61.0
$
0.4
$
2.5
$
3.0
$
11.9
$
25.4
$
83.2
$
51.4
$
194.3
$
160.5
$
532.6
$

2020
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
2.9
$
9.4
$
5.8
$
21.8
$
18.0
$
59.9
$
0.4
$
2.4
$
2.9
$
11.7
$
25.0
$
81.6
$
50.4
$
190.7
$
157.5
$
522.6
$

2021
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
2.8
$
9.2
$
5.7
$
21.4
$
17.7
$
58.7
$
0.4
$
2.4
$
2.9
$
11.5
$
24.5
$
80.1
$
49.5
$
187.1
$
154.5
$
512.7
$

2022
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
2.8
$
9.0
$
5.6
$
21.0
$
17.4
$
57.6
$
0.4
$
2.4
$
2.8
$
11.2
$
24.0
$
78.6
$
48.6
$
183.5
$
151.6
$
503.0
$

2023
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
2.7
$
8.8
$
5.5
$
20.6
$
17.0
$
56.5
$
0.3
$
2.3
$
2.7
$
11.0
$
23.6
$
77.1
$
47.6
$
180.1
$
148.7
$
493.5
$

2024
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.6
$
8.7
$
5.4
$
20.2
$
16.7
$
55.5
$
0.3
$
2.3
$
2.7
$
10.8
$
23.1
$
75.6
$
46.7
$
176.6
$
145.9
$
484.1
$

2025
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.6
$
8.5
$
5.3
$
19.9
$
16.4
$
54.4
$
0.3
$
2.2
$
2.6
$
10.6
$
22.7
$
74.2
$
45.9
$
173.3
$
143.1
$
474.9
$

2026
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.5
$
8.3
$
5.2
$
19.5
$
16.1
$
53.4
$
0.3
$
2.2
$
2.6
$
10.4
$
22.3
$
72.8
$
45.0
$
170.0
$
140.4
$
465.9
$

2027
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.5
$
8.2
$
5.1
$
19.1
$
15.8
$
52.4
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.5
$
10.2
$
21.8
$
71.4
$
44.1
$
166.8
$
137.7
$
457.0
$

Total
0.8
$
5.6
$
6.6
$
26.7
$
57.0
$
203.6
$
125.8
$
475.6
$
392.8
$
1,294.5
$
7.3
$
48.7
$
57.9
$
232.8
$
497.1
$
1,776.7
$
1,098.3
$
4,150.9
$
3,427.8
$
11,297.5
$

Ann.
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.5
$
3.3
$
11.7
$
7.2
$
27.3
$
22.6
$
74.3
$
0.4
$
2.8
$
3.3
$
13.4
$
28.5
$
102.0
$
63.1
$
238.4
$
196.8
$
648.8
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
13a
and
F.
13b.
Exhibit
F.
13f
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
Cessation
Lag
Sensitivity
Analysis
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
1.9
$
1.2
$
4.5
$
3.7
$
11.9
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.6
$
3.4
$
16.7
$
10.3
$
39.1
$
32.3
$
104.2
$

2006
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
3.6
$
2.2
$
8.5
$
7.0
$
22.6
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.8
$
3.0
$
6.4
$
31.6
$
19.6
$
73.9
$
61.0
$
197.1
$

2007
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.0
$
5.1
$
3.2
$
12.0
$
9.9
$
32.0
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.1
$
4.3
$
9.1
$
44.9
$
27.7
$
104.8
$
86.5
$
279.4
$

2008
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.3
$
6.5
$
4.0
$
15.1
$
12.5
$
40.3
$
0.2
$
1.1
$
1.3
$
5.4
$
11.5
$
56.5
$
34.9
$
132.0
$
109.0
$
351.9
$

2009
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.6
$
7.6
$
4.7
$
17.9
$
14.7
$
47.6
$
0.2
$
1.3
$
1.6
$
6.4
$
13.6
$
66.7
$
41.2
$
155.8
$
128.7
$
415.5
$

2010
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.8
$
8.7
$
5.4
$
20.2
$
16.7
$
54.0
$
0.2
$
1.5
$
1.8
$
7.2
$
15.4
$
75.6
$
46.7
$
176.6
$
145.9
$
471.0
$

2011
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
1.9
$
8.2
$
5.1
$
19.1
$
15.8
$
51.4
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.0
$
8.0
$
17.0
$
71.4
$
44.1
$
166.8
$
137.8
$
449.0
$

2012
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.1
$
7.7
$
4.8
$
18.1
$
14.9
$
49.0
$
0.3
$
1.8
$
2.1
$
8.6
$
18.3
$
67.4
$
41.7
$
157.6
$
130.1
$
427.9
$

2013
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.0
$
2.2
$
7.3
$
4.5
$
17.1
$
14.1
$
46.7
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.3
$
9.1
$
19.5
$
63.7
$
39.4
$
148.8
$
122.9
$
407.9
$

2014
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.1
$
6.9
$
4.3
$
16.1
$
13.3
$
44.1
$
0.3
$
1.8
$
2.1
$
8.6
$
18.4
$
60.2
$
37.2
$
140.6
$
116.1
$
385.2
$

2015
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.0
$
6.5
$
4.0
$
15.2
$
12.6
$
41.7
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.0
$
8.1
$
17.4
$
56.8
$
35.1
$
132.8
$
109.6
$
363.8
$

2016
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
1.9
$
6.1
$
3.8
$
14.4
$
11.9
$
39.4
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
1.9
$
7.7
$
16.4
$
53.7
$
33.2
$
125.4
$
103.5
$
343.6
$

2017
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.8
$
5.8
$
3.6
$
13.6
$
11.2
$
37.2
$
0.2
$
1.5
$
1.8
$
7.3
$
15.5
$
50.7
$
31.3
$
118.4
$
97.8
$
324.6
$

2018
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.7
$
5.5
$
3.4
$
12.8
$
10.6
$
35.1
$
0.2
$
1.4
$
1.7
$
6.9
$
14.6
$
47.9
$
29.6
$
111.8
$
92.4
$
306.5
$

2019
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.6
$
5.2
$
3.2
$
12.1
$
10.0
$
33.2
$
0.2
$
1.4
$
1.6
$
6.5
$
13.8
$
45.2
$
27.9
$
105.6
$
87.2
$
289.5
$

2020
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.5
$
4.9
$
3.0
$
11.4
$
9.4
$
31.3
$
0.2
$
1.3
$
1.5
$
6.1
$
13.1
$
42.7
$
26.4
$
99.8
$
82.4
$
273.4
$

2021
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.4
$
4.6
$
2.9
$
10.8
$
8.9
$
29.6
$
0.2
$
1.2
$
1.4
$
5.8
$
12.3
$
40.3
$
24.9
$
94.2
$
77.8
$
258.2
$

2022
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
1.3
$
4.4
$
2.7
$
10.2
$
8.4
$
27.9
$
0.2
$
1.1
$
1.4
$
5.5
$
11.6
$
38.1
$
23.5
$
89.0
$
73.5
$
243.9
$

2023
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.3
$
4.1
$
2.5
$
9.6
$
8.0
$
26.4
$
0.2
$
1.1
$
1.3
$
5.2
$
11.0
$
36.0
$
22.2
$
84.0
$
69.4
$
230.3
$

2024
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.2
$
3.9
$
2.4
$
9.1
$
7.5
$
24.9
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
1.2
$
4.9
$
10.4
$
34.0
$
21.0
$
79.4
$
65.5
$
217.5
$

2025
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.1
$
3.7
$
2.3
$
8.6
$
7.1
$
23.5
$
0.1
$
1.0
$
1.1
$
4.6
$
9.8
$
32.1
$
19.8
$
74.9
$
61.9
$
205.4
$

2026
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.1
$
3.5
$
2.1
$
8.1
$
6.7
$
22.2
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.1
$
4.3
$
9.3
$
30.3
$
18.7
$
70.8
$
58.4
$
194.0
$

2027
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.0
$
3.3
$
2.0
$
7.7
$
6.3
$
21.0
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.0
$
4.1
$
8.7
$
28.6
$
17.7
$
66.8
$
55.2
$
183.1
$

Total
0.5
$
3.3
$
4.0
$
15.9
$
34.0
$
125.0
$
77.3
$
292.1
$
241.2
$
793.3
$
4.4
$
29.1
$
34.5
$
138.9
$
296.7
$
1,091.0
$
674.4
$
2,549.0
$
2,104.9
$
6,923.1
$

Ann.
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.4
$
2.9
$
10.7
$
6.6
$
25.1
$
20.7
$
68.1
$
0.4
$
2.5
$
3.0
$
11.9
$
25.5
$
93.6
$
57.9
$
218.7
$
180.6
$
594.1
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
13a
and
F.
13b.
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
13g
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
F.
14
Model
Outputs
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
TTHM
as
Indicator
Lymphoma
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
8.4
$
7.4
$
1.4
$
19.2
$
13.8
$
12.0
$
2.1
$
31.6
$
22.3
$
19.4
$
3.5
$
50.8
$
73.7
$
64.2
$
12.3
$
167.5
$
120.6
$
104.8
$
18.7
$
276.2
$
194.3
$
169.0
$
31.0
$
443.7
$

2007
20.3
$
17.7
$
3.4
$
46.2
$
33.3
$
28.9
$
5.2
$
76.2
$
53.6
$
46.6
$
8.5
$
122.5
$
177.5
$
154.6
$
29.6
$
403.5
$
290.4
$
252.4
$
45.0
$
665.4
$
467.9
$
407.0
$
74.6
$
1,068.8
$

2008
34.3
$
29.8
$
5.7
$
77.9
$
56.1
$
48.7
$
8.7
$
128.5
$
90.3
$
78.6
$
14.4
$
206.4
$
299.1
$
260.5
$
49.8
$
679.8
$
489.4
$
425.3
$
75.8
$
1,121.1
$
788.4
$
685.8
$
125.6
$
1,801.0
$

2009
49.6
$
43.2
$
8.3
$
112.9
$
81.2
$
70.6
$
12.6
$
186.1
$
130.9
$
113.9
$
20.8
$
299.0
$
433.3
$
377.4
$
72.1
$
985.0
$
709.1
$
616.3
$
109.8
$
1,624.5
$
1,142.4
$
993.6
$
181.9
$
2,609.5
$

2010
66.2
$
57.6
$
11.0
$
150.4
$
108.3
$
94.1
$
16.8
$
248.1
$
174.5
$
151.8
$
27.8
$
398.6
$
577.5
$
503.0
$
96.1
$
1,313.0
$
945.2
$
821.5
$
146.3
$
2,165.5
$
1,522.7
$
1,324.5
$
242.4
$
3,478.5
$

2011
83.7
$
72.9
$
13.9
$
190.2
$
137.0
$
119.0
$
21.2
$
313.8
$
220.6
$
191.9
$
35.1
$
504.0
$
730.2
$
635.9
$
121.4
$
1,660.1
$
1,195.2
$
1,038.8
$
185.0
$
2,738.3
$
1,925.4
$
1,674.7
$
306.4
$
4,398.5
$

2012
93.3
$
81.2
$
15.5
$
212.1
$
152.7
$
132.7
$
23.6
$
349.9
$
246.0
$
214.0
$
39.1
$
562.1
$
814.2
$
709.1
$
135.2
$
1,851.3
$
1,332.9
$
1,158.5
$
206.4
$
3,053.9
$
2,147.1
$
1,867.6
$
341.6
$
4,905.3
$

2013
100.2
$
87.2
$
16.6
$
227.8
$
164.0
$
142.5
$
25.4
$
375.7
$
264.1
$
229.8
$
42.0
$
603.5
$
874.1
$
761.2
$
145.1
$
1,987.7
$
1,431.2
$
1,244.0
$
221.6
$
3,279.1
$
2,305.3
$
2,005.2
$
366.6
$
5,266.8
$

2014
105.6
$
92.0
$
17.5
$
240.3
$
173.0
$
150.4
$
26.8
$
396.4
$
278.6
$
242.4
$
44.3
$
636.6
$
922.0
$
802.9
$
152.9
$
2,096.8
$
1,509.8
$
1,312.3
$
233.7
$
3,459.2
$
2,431.8
$
2,115.2
$
386.7
$
5,556.0
$

2015
110.0
$
95.8
$
18.2
$
250.2
$
180.2
$
156.6
$
27.9
$
412.8
$
290.2
$
252.4
$
46.1
$
663.0
$
960.0
$
836.0
$
159.1
$
2,183.5
$
1,572.4
$
1,366.7
$
243.4
$
3,602.5
$
2,532.4
$
2,202.7
$
402.5
$
5,786.0
$

2016
113.7
$
99.0
$
18.8
$
258.7
$
186.3
$
161.9
$
28.8
$
426.8
$
300.0
$
260.9
$
47.7
$
685.5
$
992.4
$
864.3
$
164.4
$
2,257.4
$
1,625.7
$
1,413.1
$
251.7
$
3,724.7
$
2,618.2
$
2,277.3
$
416.1
$
5,982.2
$

2017
117.0
$
101.9
$
19.4
$
266.2
$
191.7
$
166.6
$
29.7
$
439.2
$
308.7
$
268.5
$
49.0
$
705.4
$
1,021.2
$
889.3
$
169.0
$
2,323.0
$
1,673.0
$
1,454.2
$
259.0
$
3,833.2
$
2,694.2
$
2,343.5
$
428.0
$
6,156.2
$

2018
120.0
$
104.5
$
19.8
$
273.0
$
196.6
$
170.9
$
30.4
$
450.5
$
316.6
$
275.4
$
50.3
$
723.5
$
1,047.3
$
912.1
$
173.2
$
2,382.7
$
1,716.1
$
1,491.7
$
265.7
$
3,931.9
$
2,763.5
$
2,403.7
$
438.9
$
6,314.5
$

2019
122.8
$
106.9
$
20.3
$
279.4
$
201.2
$
174.9
$
31.2
$
461.0
$
324.0
$
281.8
$
51.4
$
740.4
$
1,071.6
$
933.2
$
177.1
$
2,438.1
$
1,756.1
$
1,526.4
$
271.9
$
4,023.5
$
2,827.7
$
2,459.6
$
449.0
$
6,461.6
$

2020
125.4
$
109.2
$
20.7
$
285.3
$
205.5
$
178.7
$
31.8
$
470.9
$
330.9
$
287.9
$
52.5
$
756.3
$
1,094.4
$
953.0
$
180.8
$
2,490.2
$
1,793.8
$
1,559.2
$
277.7
$
4,109.9
$
2,888.2
$
2,512.2
$
458.5
$
6,600.1
$

2021
127.9
$
111.4
$
21.1
$
291.0
$
209.7
$
182.2
$
32.5
$
480.3
$
337.5
$
293.6
$
53.6
$
771.4
$
1,116.2
$
971.9
$
184.2
$
2,539.9
$
1,829.7
$
1,590.4
$
283.3
$
4,192.1
$
2,945.9
$
2,562.3
$
467.5
$
6,732.0
$

2022
130.3
$
113.4
$
21.5
$
296.5
$
213.6
$
185.7
$
33.1
$
489.4
$
343.9
$
299.1
$
54.6
$
785.9
$
1,137.0
$
990.1
$
187.6
$
2,587.6
$
1,864.1
$
1,620.3
$
288.6
$
4,271.0
$
3,001.2
$
2,610.4
$
476.2
$
6,858.6
$

2023
132.6
$
115.5
$
21.9
$
301.8
$
217.4
$
189.0
$
33.7
$
498.1
$
350.0
$
304.4
$
55.5
$
799.9
$
1,157.2
$
1,007.6
$
190.8
$
2,633.7
$
1,897.4
$
1,649.2
$
293.8
$
4,347.3
$
3,054.7
$
2,656.8
$
484.6
$
6,981.0
$

2024
134.8
$
117.4
$
22.2
$
306.9
$
221.1
$
192.2
$
34.2
$
506.6
$
356.0
$
309.6
$
56.5
$
813.5
$
1,176.8
$
1,024.7
$
193.9
$
2,678.5
$
1,929.8
$
1,677.4
$
298.8
$
4,421.6
$
3,106.6
$
2,702.0
$
492.7
$
7,100.0
$

2025
137.0
$
119.3
$
22.6
$
311.9
$
224.8
$
195.3
$
34.8
$
514.9
$
361.8
$
314.7
$
57.4
$
826.9
$
1,196.0
$
1,041.3
$
196.9
$
2,722.3
$
1,961.5
$
1,704.8
$
303.7
$
4,494.1
$
3,157.4
$
2,746.1
$
500.6
$
7,216.3
$

2026
139.2
$
121.2
$
22.9
$
316.8
$
228.3
$
198.4
$
35.4
$
523.1
$
367.5
$
319.6
$
58.3
$
839.9
$
1,214.8
$
1,057.6
$
199.9
$
2,765.2
$
1,992.5
$
1,731.8
$
308.5
$
4,565.2
$
3,207.3
$
2,789.4
$
508.4
$
7,330.5
$

2027
141.3
$
123.0
$
23.2
$
321.7
$
231.8
$
201.5
$
35.9
$
531.1
$
373.1
$
324.5
$
59.1
$
852.8
$
1,233.2
$
1,073.7
$
202.8
$
2,807.5
$
2,023.1
$
1,758.4
$
313.3
$
4,635.3
$
3,256.4
$
2,832.1
$
516.1
$
7,442.8
$

Total
2,213.7
$
1,927.7
$
366.0
$
5,036.4
$
3,627.6
$
3,153.0
$
561.7
$
8,311.4
$
5,841.3
$
5,080.7
$
927.6
$
13,347.8
$
19,319.7
$
16,823.5
$
3,194.0
$
43,954.3
$
31,659.2
$
27,517.3
$
4,901.8
$
72,535.6
$
50,978.9
$
44,340.8
$
8,095.8
$
116,489.8
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
24b,
and
E.
24e.
Exhibit
F.
14a
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
All
Surface
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
1.1
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.5
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.3
$
3.9
$
5.7
$
5.0
$
1.0
$
13.0
$
9.4
$
8.1
$
1.4
$
21.4
$
15.1
$
13.1
$
2.4
$
34.4
$

2007
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
2.6
$
2.2
$
0.4
$
5.9
$
4.2
$
3.6
$
0.7
$
9.5
$
13.8
$
12.0
$
2.3
$
31.3
$
22.5
$
19.6
$
3.5
$
51.6
$
36.3
$
31.6
$
5.8
$
82.9
$

2008
2.7
$
2.3
$
0.4
$
6.0
$
4.4
$
3.8
$
0.7
$
10.0
$
7.0
$
6.1
$
1.1
$
16.0
$
23.2
$
20.2
$
3.9
$
52.7
$
38.0
$
33.0
$
5.9
$
87.0
$
61.2
$
53.2
$
9.7
$
139.7
$

2009
3.9
$
3.4
$
0.6
$
8.8
$
6.3
$
5.5
$
1.0
$
14.4
$
10.2
$
8.8
$
1.6
$
23.2
$
33.6
$
29.3
$
5.6
$
76.4
$
55.0
$
47.8
$
8.5
$
126.0
$
88.6
$
77.1
$
14.1
$
202.5
$

2010
5.1
$
4.5
$
0.9
$
11.7
$
8.4
$
7.3
$
1.3
$
19.3
$
13.5
$
11.8
$
2.2
$
30.9
$
44.8
$
39.0
$
7.5
$
101.9
$
73.3
$
63.7
$
11.4
$
168.0
$
118.1
$
102.8
$
18.8
$
269.9
$

2011
6.5
$
5.7
$
1.1
$
14.8
$
10.6
$
9.2
$
1.6
$
24.3
$
17.1
$
14.9
$
2.7
$
39.1
$
56.6
$
49.3
$
9.4
$
128.8
$
92.7
$
80.6
$
14.4
$
212.5
$
149.4
$
129.9
$
23.8
$
341.3
$

2012
7.4
$
6.4
$
1.2
$
16.7
$
12.0
$
10.5
$
1.9
$
27.6
$
19.4
$
16.9
$
3.1
$
44.3
$
64.2
$
55.9
$
10.7
$
146.0
$
105.1
$
91.4
$
16.3
$
240.9
$
169.4
$
147.3
$
26.9
$
386.9
$

2013
8.1
$
7.0
$
1.3
$
18.3
$
13.2
$
11.5
$
2.0
$
30.2
$
21.3
$
18.5
$
3.4
$
48.6
$
70.4
$
61.3
$
11.7
$
160.0
$
115.2
$
100.1
$
17.8
$
263.9
$
185.6
$
161.4
$
29.5
$
423.9
$

2014
8.7
$
7.6
$
1.4
$
19.8
$
14.2
$
12.4
$
2.2
$
32.6
$
22.9
$
19.9
$
3.6
$
52.3
$
75.8
$
66.0
$
12.6
$
172.4
$
124.1
$
107.9
$
19.2
$
284.4
$
200.0
$
173.9
$
31.8
$
456.8
$

2015
9.1
$
7.9
$
1.5
$
20.7
$
14.9
$
13.0
$
2.3
$
34.2
$
24.1
$
20.9
$
3.8
$
55.0
$
79.6
$
69.3
$
13.2
$
181.0
$
130.4
$
113.3
$
20.2
$
298.7
$
209.9
$
182.6
$
33.4
$
479.7
$

2016
9.5
$
8.2
$
1.6
$
21.5
$
15.5
$
13.5
$
2.4
$
35.5
$
25.0
$
21.7
$
4.0
$
57.1
$
82.6
$
72.0
$
13.7
$
188.0
$
135.4
$
117.7
$
21.0
$
310.1
$
218.0
$
189.6
$
34.6
$
498.1
$

2017
9.8
$
8.5
$
1.6
$
22.2
$
16.0
$
13.9
$
2.5
$
36.7
$
25.8
$
22.4
$
4.1
$
58.9
$
85.2
$
74.2
$
14.1
$
193.9
$
139.7
$
121.4
$
21.6
$
320.0
$
224.9
$
195.6
$
35.7
$
513.9
$

2018
10.0
$
8.7
$
1.7
$
22.8
$
16.4
$
14.3
$
2.5
$
37.7
$
26.5
$
23.0
$
4.2
$
60.5
$
87.6
$
76.3
$
14.5
$
199.3
$
143.5
$
124.7
$
22.2
$
328.8
$
231.1
$
201.0
$
36.7
$
528.1
$

2019
10.3
$
9.0
$
1.7
$
23.4
$
16.8
$
14.6
$
2.6
$
38.6
$
27.1
$
23.6
$
4.3
$
62.0
$
89.7
$
78.1
$
14.8
$
204.1
$
147.0
$
127.8
$
22.8
$
336.9
$
236.8
$
205.9
$
37.6
$
541.0
$

2020
10.5
$
9.2
$
1.7
$
23.9
$
17.2
$
15.0
$
2.7
$
39.5
$
27.7
$
24.1
$
4.4
$
63.4
$
91.7
$
79.9
$
15.1
$
208.7
$
150.3
$
130.7
$
23.3
$
344.4
$
242.0
$
210.5
$
38.4
$
553.1
$

2021
10.7
$
9.3
$
1.8
$
24.4
$
17.6
$
15.3
$
2.7
$
40.3
$
28.3
$
24.6
$
4.5
$
64.7
$
93.6
$
81.5
$
15.4
$
213.0
$
153.4
$
133.4
$
23.8
$
351.5
$
247.0
$
214.9
$
39.2
$
564.5
$

2022
10.9
$
9.5
$
1.8
$
24.9
$
17.9
$
15.6
$
2.8
$
41.1
$
28.9
$
25.1
$
4.6
$
65.9
$
95.4
$
83.1
$
15.7
$
217.1
$
156.4
$
135.9
$
24.2
$
358.3
$
251.8
$
219.0
$
40.0
$
575.4
$

2023
11.1
$
9.7
$
1.8
$
25.3
$
18.2
$
15.9
$
2.8
$
41.8
$
29.4
$
25.6
$
4.7
$
67.1
$
97.1
$
84.6
$
16.0
$
221.1
$
159.3
$
138.4
$
24.7
$
364.9
$
256.4
$
223.0
$
40.7
$
586.0
$

2024
11.3
$
9.9
$
1.9
$
25.8
$
18.6
$
16.1
$
2.9
$
42.5
$
29.9
$
26.0
$
4.7
$
68.3
$
98.8
$
86.0
$
16.3
$
224.9
$
162.0
$
140.8
$
25.1
$
371.2
$
260.8
$
226.9
$
41.4
$
596.1
$

2025
11.5
$
10.0
$
1.9
$
26.2
$
18.9
$
16.4
$
2.9
$
43.2
$
30.4
$
26.4
$
4.8
$
69.4
$
100.4
$
87.5
$
16.5
$
228.6
$
164.7
$
143.2
$
25.5
$
377.4
$
265.2
$
230.6
$
42.0
$
606.1
$

2026
11.7
$
10.2
$
1.9
$
26.6
$
19.2
$
16.7
$
3.0
$
43.9
$
30.9
$
26.9
$
4.9
$
70.6
$
102.0
$
88.8
$
16.8
$
232.3
$
167.4
$
145.5
$
25.9
$
383.5
$
269.4
$
234.3
$
42.7
$
615.8
$

2027
11.9
$
10.3
$
2.0
$
27.0
$
19.5
$
16.9
$
3.0
$
44.6
$
31.4
$
27.3
$
5.0
$
71.7
$
103.6
$
90.2
$
17.0
$
235.9
$
170.0
$
147.7
$
26.3
$
389.5
$
273.6
$
238.0
$
43.4
$
625.4
$

Total
182.8
$
159.2
$
30.2
$
416.0
$
299.6
$
260.4
$
46.4
$
686.5
$
482.5
$
419.6
$
76.6
$
1,102.5
$
1,595.7
$
1,389.5
$
263.8
$
3,630.4
$
2,614.9
$
2,272.8
$
404.9
$
5,991.1
$
4,210.6
$
3,662.3
$
668.6
$
9,621.5
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
24c,
and
E.
24f.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
14b
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
All
Ground
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
9.1
$
7.9
$
1.5
$
20.7
$
14.9
$
12.9
$
2.3
$
34.1
$
24.0
$
20.9
$
3.8
$
54.8
$
79.4
$
69.2
$
13.3
$
180.5
$
129.9
$
112.9
$
20.1
$
297.6
$
209.3
$
182.1
$
33.4
$
478.1
$

2007
21.9
$
19.1
$
3.7
$
49.8
$
35.9
$
31.2
$
5.6
$
82.2
$
57.8
$
50.3
$
9.2
$
132.0
$
191.3
$
166.6
$
31.9
$
434.8
$
312.9
$
272.0
$
48.4
$
717.0
$
504.2
$
438.6
$
80.3
$
1,151.8
$

2008
36.9
$
32.2
$
6.2
$
83.9
$
60.4
$
52.5
$
9.4
$
138.4
$
97.4
$
84.7
$
15.5
$
222.4
$
322.3
$
280.7
$
53.7
$
732.6
$
527.3
$
458.3
$
81.6
$
1,208.1
$
849.6
$
739.0
$
135.3
$
1,940.7
$

2009
53.5
$
46.6
$
8.9
$
121.6
$
87.6
$
76.1
$
13.6
$
200.6
$
141.1
$
122.7
$
22.5
$
322.2
$
466.9
$
406.7
$
77.7
$
1,061.4
$
764.1
$
664.1
$
118.3
$
1,750.6
$
1,231.0
$
1,070.7
$
196.0
$
2,812.0
$

2010
71.3
$
62.1
$
11.9
$
162.1
$
116.7
$
101.4
$
18.1
$
267.4
$
188.0
$
163.5
$
29.9
$
429.5
$
622.3
$
542.0
$
103.5
$
1,414.8
$
1,018.5
$
885.2
$
157.7
$
2,333.6
$
1,640.8
$
1,427.2
$
261.2
$
3,748.4
$

2011
90.2
$
78.5
$
15.0
$
205.0
$
147.6
$
128.3
$
22.8
$
338.1
$
237.7
$
206.8
$
37.8
$
543.1
$
786.8
$
685.2
$
130.8
$
1,788.9
$
1,287.9
$
1,119.4
$
199.4
$
2,950.8
$
2,074.7
$
1,804.6
$
330.2
$
4,739.7
$

2012
100.6
$
87.7
$
16.7
$
228.9
$
164.8
$
143.2
$
25.5
$
377.5
$
265.4
$
230.9
$
42.2
$
606.4
$
878.4
$
765.0
$
145.9
$
1,997.4
$
1,438.1
$
1,249.9
$
222.6
$
3,294.8
$
2,316.5
$
2,014.9
$
368.5
$
5,292.2
$

2013
108.2
$
94.2
$
18.0
$
246.1
$
177.2
$
154.0
$
27.4
$
406.0
$
285.4
$
248.3
$
45.4
$
652.1
$
944.4
$
822.5
$
156.7
$
2,147.7
$
1,546.4
$
1,344.1
$
239.4
$
3,543.0
$
2,490.8
$
2,166.6
$
396.2
$
5,690.7
$

2014
114.3
$
99.6
$
19.0
$
260.0
$
187.2
$
162.7
$
29.0
$
429.0
$
301.6
$
262.3
$
47.9
$
689.0
$
997.8
$
868.9
$
165.5
$
2,269.2
$
1,634.0
$
1,420.2
$
253.0
$
3,743.6
$
2,631.7
$
2,289.1
$
418.5
$
6,012.8
$

2015
119.1
$
103.7
$
19.7
$
270.9
$
195.1
$
169.6
$
30.2
$
447.0
$
314.2
$
273.3
$
49.9
$
717.9
$
1,039.6
$
905.3
$
172.3
$
2,364.5
$
1,702.7
$
1,480.0
$
263.6
$
3,901.1
$
2,742.3
$
2,385.3
$
435.9
$
6,265.6
$

2016
123.2
$
107.3
$
20.4
$
280.2
$
201.8
$
175.4
$
31.2
$
462.3
$
325.0
$
282.7
$
51.6
$
742.5
$
1,075.1
$
936.2
$
178.1
$
2,445.4
$
1,761.1
$
1,530.7
$
272.7
$
4,034.9
$
2,836.2
$
2,466.9
$
450.7
$
6,480.3
$

2017
126.8
$
110.4
$
21.0
$
288.4
$
207.7
$
180.5
$
32.2
$
475.9
$
334.5
$
290.9
$
53.1
$
764.3
$
1,106.4
$
963.5
$
183.1
$
2,516.9
$
1,812.7
$
1,575.6
$
280.7
$
4,153.1
$
2,919.1
$
2,539.1
$
463.8
$
6,670.1
$

2018
130.0
$
113.2
$
21.5
$
295.8
$
213.1
$
185.2
$
33.0
$
488.2
$
343.1
$
298.5
$
54.5
$
784.0
$
1,134.9
$
988.3
$
187.7
$
2,581.9
$
1,859.6
$
1,616.4
$
287.9
$
4,260.7
$
2,994.5
$
2,604.7
$
475.6
$
6,842.6
$

2019
133.1
$
115.9
$
22.0
$
302.8
$
218.1
$
189.5
$
33.8
$
499.6
$
351.1
$
305.4
$
55.8
$
802.4
$
1,161.3
$
1,011.3
$
191.9
$
2,642.2
$
1,903.2
$
1,654.2
$
294.7
$
4,360.4
$
3,064.5
$
2,665.5
$
486.6
$
7,002.6
$

2020
135.9
$
118.4
$
22.4
$
309.3
$
222.8
$
193.6
$
34.5
$
510.4
$
358.7
$
312.0
$
56.9
$
819.6
$
1,186.2
$
1,032.9
$
195.9
$
2,698.9
$
1,944.1
$
1,689.8
$
301.0
$
4,454.3
$
3,130.3
$
2,722.7
$
496.9
$
7,153.2
$

2021
138.6
$
120.7
$
22.9
$
315.4
$
227.2
$
197.5
$
35.2
$
520.6
$
365.9
$
318.2
$
58.1
$
836.1
$
1,209.8
$
1,053.5
$
199.7
$
2,752.9
$
1,983.1
$
1,723.7
$
307.1
$
4,543.6
$
3,192.9
$
2,777.2
$
506.7
$
7,296.5
$

2022
141.2
$
123.0
$
23.3
$
321.4
$
231.5
$
201.2
$
35.8
$
530.4
$
372.7
$
324.2
$
59.1
$
851.8
$
1,232.4
$
1,073.2
$
203.3
$
2,804.7
$
2,020.5
$
1,756.2
$
312.9
$
4,629.4
$
3,253.0
$
2,829.4
$
516.1
$
7,434.0
$

2023
143.7
$
125.1
$
23.7
$
327.1
$
235.7
$
204.8
$
36.5
$
539.9
$
379.4
$
330.0
$
60.2
$
867.0
$
1,254.3
$
1,092.2
$
206.8
$
2,854.7
$
2,056.7
$
1,787.6
$
318.5
$
4,712.2
$
3,311.0
$
2,879.8
$
525.2
$
7,566.9
$

2024
146.2
$
127.3
$
24.1
$
332.7
$
239.7
$
208.3
$
37.1
$
549.2
$
385.9
$
335.6
$
61.2
$
881.9
$
1,275.6
$
1,110.7
$
210.1
$
2,903.4
$
2,091.9
$
1,818.2
$
323.9
$
4,792.8
$
3,367.5
$
2,928.9
$
534.1
$
7,696.2
$

2025
148.5
$
129.3
$
24.5
$
338.1
$
243.6
$
211.8
$
37.7
$
558.2
$
392.2
$
341.1
$
62.2
$
896.3
$
1,296.4
$
1,128.8
$
213.4
$
2,950.9
$
2,126.2
$
1,848.0
$
329.2
$
4,871.5
$
3,422.6
$
2,976.8
$
542.7
$
7,822.4
$

2026
150.9
$
131.4
$
24.8
$
343.5
$
247.5
$
215.1
$
38.3
$
567.0
$
398.4
$
346.5
$
63.1
$
910.5
$
1,316.8
$
1,146.5
$
216.7
$
2,997.5
$
2,159.9
$
1,877.3
$
334.5
$
4,948.7
$
3,476.7
$
3,023.8
$
551.1
$
7,946.3
$

2027
153.2
$
133.4
$
25.2
$
348.7
$
251.3
$
218.4
$
38.9
$
575.8
$
404.5
$
351.8
$
64.1
$
924.5
$
1,336.9
$
1,163.9
$
219.8
$
3,043.4
$
2,193.1
$
1,906.1
$
339.6
$
5,024.8
$
3,530.0
$
3,070.0
$
559.4
$
8,068.2
$

Total
2,396.6
$
2,086.9
$
396.2
$
5,452.4
$
3,927.2
$
3,413.4
$
608.1
$
8,997.8
$
6,323.8
$
5,500.4
$
1,004.3
$
14,450.3
$
20,915.4
$
18,213.0
$
3,457.8
$
47,584.7
$
34,274.1
$
29,790.1
$
5,306.6
$
78,526.6
$
55,189.5
$
48,003.1
$
8,764.5
$
126,111.3
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
14a
and
F.
14b.
Exhibit
F.
14c
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
8.3
$
7.3
$
1.4
$
18.9
$
13.6
$
11.8
$
2.1
$
31.2
$
22.0
$
19.1
$
3.5
$
50.1
$
72.7
$
63.3
$
12.1
$
165.2
$
118.9
$
103.3
$
18.4
$
272.4
$
191.6
$
166.6
$
30.5
$
437.6
$

2007
19.5
$
17.0
$
3.2
$
44.3
$
31.9
$
27.7
$
4.9
$
73.0
$
51.3
$
44.7
$
8.2
$
117.3
$
170.0
$
148.0
$
28.3
$
386.3
$
278.0
$
241.7
$
43.0
$
637.0
$
448.0
$
389.7
$
71.4
$
1,023.3
$

2008
31.9
$
27.7
$
5.3
$
72.4
$
52.1
$
45.3
$
8.1
$
119.4
$
84.0
$
73.0
$
13.4
$
191.8
$
278.0
$
242.1
$
46.3
$
631.9
$
454.9
$
395.3
$
70.4
$
1,042.1
$
732.9
$
637.5
$
116.7
$
1,674.1
$

2009
44.8
$
39.0
$
7.5
$
101.9
$
73.3
$
63.7
$
11.4
$
168.0
$
118.1
$
102.7
$
18.8
$
269.8
$
391.0
$
340.6
$
65.1
$
888.9
$
639.9
$
556.2
$
99.1
$
1,466.1
$
1,030.9
$
896.7
$
164.2
$
2,355.0
$

2010
58.0
$
50.5
$
9.6
$
131.8
$
94.9
$
82.5
$
14.7
$
217.4
$
152.9
$
133.0
$
24.3
$
349.2
$
506.0
$
440.7
$
84.2
$
1,150.4
$
828.2
$
719.8
$
128.2
$
1,897.4
$
1,334.2
$
1,160.5
$
212.4
$
3,047.8
$

2011
71.2
$
62.0
$
11.8
$
161.8
$
116.5
$
101.3
$
18.0
$
266.9
$
187.7
$
163.2
$
29.9
$
428.7
$
621.1
$
540.9
$
103.2
$
1,412.2
$
1,016.7
$
883.7
$
157.4
$
2,329.4
$
1,637.8
$
1,424.6
$
260.6
$
3,741.6
$

2012
77.1
$
67.2
$
12.8
$
175.4
$
126.3
$
109.8
$
19.6
$
289.3
$
203.4
$
176.9
$
32.4
$
464.8
$
673.2
$
586.3
$
111.8
$
1,530.8
$
1,102.2
$
958.0
$
170.6
$
2,525.2
$
1,775.4
$
1,544.3
$
282.4
$
4,056.0
$

2013
80.5
$
70.1
$
13.4
$
183.1
$
131.8
$
114.6
$
20.4
$
302.1
$
212.4
$
184.7
$
33.8
$
485.2
$
702.7
$
612.0
$
116.6
$
1,598.1
$
1,150.7
$
1,000.1
$
178.1
$
2,636.3
$
1,853.4
$
1,612.1
$
294.8
$
4,234.4
$

2014
82.6
$
71.9
$
13.7
$
187.8
$
135.3
$
117.6
$
20.9
$
309.9
$
217.8
$
189.5
$
34.6
$
497.7
$
720.8
$
627.7
$
119.5
$
1,639.3
$
1,180.4
$
1,026.0
$
182.8
$
2,704.5
$
1,901.2
$
1,653.7
$
302.3
$
4,343.8
$

2015
83.5
$
72.8
$
13.8
$
190.0
$
136.8
$
118.9
$
21.2
$
313.5
$
220.4
$
191.7
$
35.0
$
503.5
$
729.1
$
635.0
$
120.8
$
1,658.4
$
1,194.3
$
1,038.0
$
184.9
$
2,736.2
$
1,923.4
$
1,673.0
$
305.7
$
4,394.6
$

2016
83.9
$
73.1
$
13.9
$
190.8
$
137.4
$
119.4
$
21.3
$
314.8
$
221.3
$
192.5
$
35.2
$
505.6
$
732.1
$
637.5
$
121.2
$
1,665.2
$
1,199.2
$
1,042.3
$
185.7
$
2,747.6
$
1,931.3
$
1,679.9
$
306.9
$
4,412.7
$

2017
83.8
$
73.0
$
13.9
$
190.7
$
137.3
$
119.4
$
21.3
$
314.6
$
221.1
$
192.3
$
35.1
$
505.3
$
731.5
$
637.0
$
121.1
$
1,664.0
$
1,198.4
$
1,041.7
$
185.5
$
2,745.7
$
1,929.9
$
1,678.7
$
306.6
$
4,409.7
$

2018
83.5
$
72.7
$
13.8
$
189.9
$
136.8
$
118.9
$
21.2
$
313.4
$
220.2
$
191.6
$
35.0
$
503.3
$
728.5
$
634.4
$
120.5
$
1,657.2
$
1,193.6
$
1,037.5
$
184.8
$
2,734.8
$
1,922.1
$
1,671.9
$
305.3
$
4,392.0
$

2019
82.9
$
72.2
$
13.7
$
188.7
$
135.9
$
118.1
$
21.0
$
311.4
$
218.8
$
190.3
$
34.7
$
500.0
$
723.7
$
630.2
$
119.6
$
1,646.5
$
1,186.0
$
1,030.9
$
183.6
$
2,717.3
$
1,909.7
$
1,661.1
$
303.2
$
4,363.8
$

2020
82.2
$
71.6
$
13.6
$
187.1
$
134.8
$
117.1
$
20.9
$
308.8
$
217.0
$
188.8
$
34.4
$
495.9
$
717.6
$
624.9
$
118.5
$
1,632.9
$
1,176.2
$
1,022.4
$
182.1
$
2,694.9
$
1,893.9
$
1,647.3
$
300.7
$
4,327.8
$

2021
81.4
$
70.9
$
13.4
$
185.3
$
133.5
$
116.0
$
20.7
$
305.8
$
214.9
$
186.9
$
34.1
$
491.1
$
710.6
$
618.8
$
117.3
$
1,617.0
$
1,164.9
$
1,012.5
$
180.4
$
2,668.9
$
1,875.5
$
1,631.3
$
297.7
$
4,285.9
$

2022
80.5
$
70.1
$
13.3
$
183.3
$
132.0
$
114.8
$
20.4
$
302.5
$
212.6
$
184.9
$
33.7
$
485.8
$
702.8
$
612.0
$
115.9
$
1,599.5
$
1,152.3
$
1,001.6
$
178.4
$
2,640.1
$
1,855.1
$
1,613.6
$
294.4
$
4,239.5
$

2023
79.6
$
69.3
$
13.1
$
181.1
$
130.5
$
113.4
$
20.2
$
299.0
$
210.1
$
182.7
$
33.3
$
480.1
$
694.5
$
604.7
$
114.5
$
1,580.6
$
1,138.7
$
989.8
$
176.3
$
2,609.0
$
1,833.2
$
1,594.5
$
290.8
$
4,189.6
$

2024
78.6
$
68.4
$
12.9
$
178.8
$
128.8
$
112.0
$
20.0
$
295.2
$
207.4
$
180.4
$
32.9
$
474.0
$
685.7
$
597.1
$
113.0
$
1,560.7
$
1,124.5
$
977.4
$
174.1
$
2,576.4
$
1,810.2
$
1,574.4
$
287.1
$
4,137.1
$

2025
77.5
$
67.5
$
12.8
$
176.5
$
127.1
$
110.5
$
19.7
$
291.3
$
204.7
$
178.0
$
32.5
$
467.8
$
676.6
$
589.1
$
111.4
$
1,540.0
$
1,109.7
$
964.5
$
171.8
$
2,542.4
$
1,786.2
$
1,553.6
$
283.2
$
4,082.5
$

2026
76.5
$
66.6
$
12.6
$
174.0
$
125.4
$
109.0
$
19.4
$
287.3
$
201.9
$
175.6
$
32.0
$
461.3
$
667.2
$
580.9
$
109.8
$
1,518.8
$
1,094.4
$
951.2
$
169.5
$
2,507.5
$
1,761.6
$
1,532.1
$
279.2
$
4,026.3
$

2027
75.4
$
65.6
$
12.4
$
171.5
$
123.6
$
107.4
$
19.1
$
283.2
$
199.0
$
173.1
$
31.5
$
454.8
$
657.6
$
572.6
$
108.1
$
1,497.2
$
1,078.9
$
937.7
$
167.1
$
2,471.9
$
1,736.5
$
1,510.3
$
275.2
$
3,969.0
$

Total
1,523.2
$
1,326.4
$
252.0
$
3,465.1
$
2,495.7
$
2,169.2
$
386.4
$
5,718.0
$
4,018.9
$
3,495.6
$
638.4
$
9,183.2
$
13,293.2
$
11,575.9
$
2,199.0
$
30,241.2
$
21,780.9
$
18,931.3
$
3,372.3
$
49,902.9
$
35,074.1
$
30,507.2
$
5,571.3
$
80,144.1
$

Ann.
87.5
$
76.2
$
14.5
$
199.0
$
143.3
$
124.6
$
22.2
$
328.4
$
230.8
$
200.7
$
36.7
$
527.4
$
763.4
$
664.8
$
126.3
$
1,736.7
$
1,250.8
$
1,087.2
$
193.7
$
2,865.8
$
2,014.2
$
1,752.0
$
319.9
$
4,602.5
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
14c.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
14d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
7.4
$
6.5
$
1.2
$
16.9
$
12.2
$
10.6
$
1.9
$
27.8
$
19.6
$
17.0
$
3.1
$
44.7
$
64.8
$
56.5
$
10.8
$
147.3
$
106.0
$
92.2
$
16.4
$
243.0
$
170.9
$
148.6
$
27.2
$
390.3
$

2007
16.7
$
14.6
$
2.8
$
38.0
$
27.4
$
23.8
$
4.2
$
62.7
$
44.1
$
38.3
$
7.0
$
100.7
$
145.9
$
127.1
$
24.3
$
331.7
$
238.7
$
207.5
$
37.0
$
547.0
$
384.7
$
334.6
$
61.3
$
878.7
$

2008
26.3
$
22.9
$
4.4
$
59.8
$
43.1
$
37.4
$
6.7
$
98.7
$
69.4
$
60.4
$
11.1
$
158.5
$
229.8
$
200.1
$
38.3
$
522.3
$
376.0
$
326.8
$
58.2
$
861.4
$
605.8
$
526.9
$
96.5
$
1,383.7
$

2009
35.6
$
31.0
$
5.9
$
81.0
$
58.3
$
50.7
$
9.0
$
133.7
$
94.0
$
81.8
$
15.0
$
214.7
$
311.1
$
271.0
$
51.8
$
707.3
$
509.1
$
442.5
$
78.8
$
1,166.5
$
820.3
$
713.5
$
130.6
$
1,873.8
$

2010
44.4
$
38.7
$
7.4
$
101.0
$
72.7
$
63.2
$
11.3
$
166.5
$
117.1
$
101.8
$
18.6
$
267.5
$
387.5
$
337.5
$
64.5
$
881.1
$
634.3
$
551.3
$
98.2
$
1,453.2
$
1,021.8
$
888.8
$
162.7
$
2,334.3
$

2011
52.5
$
45.7
$
8.7
$
119.3
$
85.9
$
74.7
$
13.3
$
196.8
$
138.4
$
120.3
$
22.0
$
316.1
$
457.9
$
398.8
$
76.1
$
1,041.2
$
749.6
$
651.5
$
116.0
$
1,717.4
$
1,207.5
$
1,050.3
$
192.2
$
2,758.6
$

2012
54.7
$
47.7
$
9.1
$
124.5
$
89.6
$
77.9
$
13.9
$
205.4
$
144.4
$
125.6
$
23.0
$
329.8
$
477.8
$
416.1
$
79.4
$
1,086.4
$
782.2
$
679.9
$
121.1
$
1,792.2
$
1,260.0
$
1,096.0
$
200.5
$
2,878.6
$

2013
55.0
$
47.9
$
9.1
$
125.1
$
90.1
$
78.3
$
13.9
$
206.4
$
145.1
$
126.2
$
23.1
$
331.5
$
480.1
$
418.1
$
79.7
$
1,091.8
$
786.1
$
683.3
$
121.7
$
1,801.1
$
1,266.2
$
1,101.4
$
201.4
$
2,892.9
$

2014
54.3
$
47.3
$
9.0
$
123.5
$
88.9
$
77.3
$
13.8
$
203.8
$
143.3
$
124.6
$
22.8
$
327.3
$
474.0
$
412.8
$
78.6
$
1,078.1
$
776.3
$
674.7
$
120.2
$
1,778.6
$
1,250.3
$
1,087.5
$
198.8
$
2,856.6
$

2015
52.9
$
46.1
$
8.8
$
120.3
$
86.6
$
75.3
$
13.4
$
198.5
$
139.5
$
121.4
$
22.2
$
318.8
$
461.6
$
402.0
$
76.5
$
1,049.9
$
756.0
$
657.1
$
117.0
$
1,732.2
$
1,217.6
$
1,059.1
$
193.6
$
2,782.0
$

2016
51.1
$
44.5
$
8.5
$
116.3
$
83.7
$
72.8
$
13.0
$
191.9
$
134.9
$
117.3
$
21.4
$
308.1
$
446.1
$
388.5
$
73.9
$
1,014.8
$
730.8
$
635.2
$
113.1
$
1,674.3
$
1,176.9
$
1,023.7
$
187.0
$
2,689.1
$

2017
49.2
$
42.8
$
8.1
$
111.8
$
80.6
$
70.0
$
12.5
$
184.6
$
129.7
$
112.8
$
20.6
$
296.4
$
429.1
$
373.7
$
71.0
$
976.1
$
703.0
$
611.0
$
108.8
$
1,610.7
$
1,132.1
$
984.7
$
179.9
$
2,586.8
$

2018
47.1
$
41.0
$
7.8
$
107.2
$
77.2
$
67.1
$
12.0
$
176.9
$
124.4
$
108.2
$
19.8
$
284.2
$
411.3
$
358.2
$
68.0
$
935.8
$
674.0
$
585.9
$
104.4
$
1,544.3
$
1,085.4
$
944.1
$
172.4
$
2,480.1
$

2019
45.1
$
39.3
$
7.4
$
102.6
$
73.9
$
64.2
$
11.4
$
169.2
$
118.9
$
103.5
$
18.9
$
271.8
$
393.4
$
342.6
$
65.0
$
895.0
$
644.7
$
560.3
$
99.8
$
1,477.0
$
1,038.0
$
902.9
$
164.8
$
2,372.0
$

2020
43.0
$
37.5
$
7.1
$
97.9
$
70.5
$
61.3
$
10.9
$
161.6
$
113.5
$
98.8
$
18.0
$
259.5
$
375.5
$
327.0
$
62.0
$
854.4
$
615.5
$
535.0
$
95.3
$
1,410.1
$
991.0
$
862.0
$
157.3
$
2,264.5
$

2021
41.0
$
35.7
$
6.8
$
93.3
$
67.2
$
58.4
$
10.4
$
154.0
$
108.2
$
94.1
$
17.2
$
247.4
$
357.9
$
311.7
$
59.1
$
814.5
$
586.7
$
510.0
$
90.8
$
1,344.3
$
944.7
$
821.7
$
149.9
$
2,158.8
$

2022
39.0
$
34.0
$
6.4
$
88.9
$
64.0
$
55.6
$
9.9
$
146.7
$
103.1
$
89.6
$
16.4
$
235.5
$
340.8
$
296.7
$
56.2
$
775.5
$
558.7
$
485.6
$
86.5
$
1,280.1
$
899.5
$
782.3
$
142.7
$
2,055.6
$

2023
37.1
$
32.3
$
6.1
$
84.5
$
60.9
$
52.9
$
9.4
$
139.5
$
98.0
$
85.3
$
15.6
$
224.1
$
324.1
$
282.2
$
53.4
$
737.7
$
531.5
$
462.0
$
82.3
$
1,217.7
$
855.6
$
744.2
$
135.7
$
1,955.4
$

2024
35.3
$
30.7
$
5.8
$
80.3
$
57.9
$
50.3
$
9.0
$
132.6
$
93.2
$
81.1
$
14.8
$
213.0
$
308.1
$
268.2
$
50.8
$
701.2
$
505.2
$
439.1
$
78.2
$
1,157.5
$
813.3
$
707.4
$
129.0
$
1,858.7
$

2025
33.5
$
29.2
$
5.5
$
76.3
$
55.0
$
47.8
$
8.5
$
126.0
$
88.5
$
77.0
$
14.0
$
202.3
$
292.6
$
254.8
$
48.2
$
666.1
$
479.9
$
417.1
$
74.3
$
1,099.6
$
772.5
$
671.9
$
122.5
$
1,765.6
$

2026
31.8
$
27.7
$
5.2
$
72.5
$
52.2
$
45.4
$
8.1
$
119.6
$
84.0
$
73.1
$
13.3
$
192.1
$
277.8
$
241.8
$
45.7
$
632.3
$
455.6
$
396.0
$
70.6
$
1,043.9
$
733.4
$
637.9
$
116.3
$
1,676.2
$

2027
30.2
$
26.3
$
5.0
$
68.7
$
49.5
$
43.1
$
7.7
$
113.5
$
79.7
$
69.4
$
12.6
$
182.3
$
263.6
$
229.5
$
43.3
$
600.0
$
432.4
$
375.8
$
67.0
$
990.6
$
695.9
$
605.2
$
110.3
$
1,590.6
$

Total
883.6
$
769.4
$
146.3
$
2,009.8
$
1,447.5
$
1,258.1
$
224.1
$
3,316.3
$
2,331.0
$
2,027.5
$
370.4
$
5,326.2
$
7,711.0
$
6,715.0
$
1,276.6
$
17,540.4
$
12,632.4
$
10,979.7
$
1,955.8
$
28,942.4
$
20,343.4
$
17,694.7
$
3,232.4
$
46,482.9
$

Ann.
75.8
$
66.0
$
12.6
$
172.5
$
124.2
$
108.0
$
19.2
$
284.6
$
200.0
$
174.0
$
31.8
$
457.0
$
661.7
$
576.2
$
109.5
$
1,505.2
$
1,084.0
$
942.2
$
167.8
$
2,483.6
$
1,745.7
$
1,518.4
$
277.4
$
3,988.7
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
14c.
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
14e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.6
$
3.5
$
2.2
$
8.3
$
6.9
$
22.0
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.4
$
5.5
$
30.8
$
19.1
$
72.5
$
60.1
$
191.6
$

2007
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.5
$
8.2
$
5.1
$
19.4
$
16.1
$
51.3
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
1.3
$
5.7
$
12.9
$
72.0
$
44.7
$
169.6
$
140.6
$
448.0
$

2008
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
13.5
$
8.4
$
31.8
$
26.4
$
84.0
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.1
$
9.3
$
21.1
$
117.8
$
73.2
$
277.4
$
230.0
$
732.9
$

2009
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.5
$
3.4
$
19.0
$
11.8
$
44.7
$
37.1
$
118.1
$
0.4
$
2.4
$
3.0
$
13.0
$
29.7
$
165.7
$
103.0
$
390.3
$
323.6
$
1,030.9
$

2010
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
1.9
$
4.4
$
24.6
$
15.3
$
57.9
$
48.0
$
152.9
$
0.5
$
3.1
$
3.9
$
16.8
$
38.5
$
214.4
$
133.2
$
505.1
$
418.7
$
1,334.2
$

2011
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.4
$
5.4
$
30.2
$
18.7
$
71.0
$
58.9
$
187.7
$
0.6
$
3.8
$
4.8
$
20.7
$
47.2
$
263.2
$
163.6
$
620.0
$
514.0
$
1,637.8
$

2012
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.8
$
6.4
$
32.5
$
20.2
$
76.7
$
63.6
$
203.4
$
0.7
$
4.5
$
5.6
$
24.5
$
55.9
$
284.0
$
176.5
$
669.0
$
554.7
$
1,775.4
$

2013
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.7
$
3.2
$
7.4
$
33.8
$
21.0
$
79.6
$
66.0
$
212.4
$
0.8
$
5.2
$
6.5
$
28.2
$
64.5
$
294.8
$
183.2
$
694.5
$
575.8
$
1,853.4
$

2014
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.8
$
3.7
$
8.3
$
34.4
$
21.4
$
81.1
$
67.3
$
217.8
$
0.9
$
5.8
$
7.4
$
31.9
$
72.9
$
300.6
$
186.8
$
708.1
$
587.0
$
1,901.2
$

2015
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.9
$
3.8
$
8.7
$
34.8
$
21.6
$
81.9
$
67.9
$
220.4
$
0.9
$
6.1
$
7.7
$
33.4
$
76.4
$
303.3
$
188.5
$
714.6
$
592.5
$
1,923.4
$

2016
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.9
$
3.9
$
8.9
$
34.9
$
21.7
$
82.1
$
68.1
$
221.3
$
0.9
$
6.2
$
7.9
$
34.2
$
78.1
$
304.2
$
189.0
$
716.6
$
594.1
$
1,931.3
$

2017
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.9
$
4.0
$
9.0
$
34.8
$
21.6
$
82.0
$
68.0
$
221.1
$
0.9
$
6.3
$
8.0
$
34.5
$
78.9
$
303.7
$
188.8
$
715.5
$
593.2
$
1,929.9
$

2018
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.9
$
4.0
$
9.1
$
34.6
$
21.5
$
81.6
$
67.7
$
220.2
$
0.9
$
6.3
$
8.0
$
34.6
$
79.1
$
302.3
$
187.9
$
712.3
$
590.5
$
1,922.1
$

2019
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.9
$
4.0
$
9.1
$
34.4
$
21.4
$
81.1
$
67.2
$
218.8
$
0.9
$
6.3
$
8.0
$
34.6
$
79.0
$
300.3
$
186.6
$
707.4
$
586.5
$
1,909.7
$

2020
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.9
$
3.9
$
9.0
$
34.1
$
21.2
$
80.4
$
66.6
$
217.0
$
0.9
$
6.3
$
7.9
$
34.4
$
78.6
$
297.7
$
185.0
$
701.4
$
581.5
$
1,893.9
$

2021
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.9
$
3.9
$
8.9
$
33.8
$
21.0
$
79.6
$
66.0
$
214.9
$
0.9
$
6.2
$
7.9
$
34.2
$
78.1
$
294.8
$
183.2
$
694.4
$
575.7
$
1,875.5
$

2022
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.9
$
3.9
$
8.9
$
33.4
$
20.8
$
78.7
$
65.2
$
212.6
$
0.9
$
6.2
$
7.8
$
33.9
$
77.4
$
291.5
$
181.2
$
686.8
$
569.4
$
1,855.1
$

2023
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.9
$
3.8
$
8.8
$
33.0
$
20.5
$
77.8
$
64.5
$
210.1
$
0.9
$
6.1
$
7.7
$
33.5
$
76.6
$
288.1
$
179.0
$
678.6
$
562.6
$
1,833.2
$

2024
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.9
$
3.8
$
8.7
$
32.6
$
20.3
$
76.8
$
63.6
$
207.4
$
0.9
$
6.1
$
7.6
$
33.2
$
75.8
$
284.4
$
176.7
$
670.0
$
555.5
$
1,810.2
$

2025
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.9
$
3.8
$
8.6
$
32.2
$
20.0
$
75.7
$
62.8
$
204.7
$
0.9
$
6.0
$
7.6
$
32.8
$
74.8
$
280.6
$
174.4
$
661.1
$
548.1
$
1,786.2
$

2026
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.9
$
3.7
$
8.5
$
31.7
$
19.7
$
74.7
$
61.9
$
201.9
$
0.9
$
5.9
$
7.5
$
32.3
$
73.9
$
276.7
$
172.0
$
651.9
$
540.5
$
1,761.6
$

2027
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.8
$
3.7
$
8.4
$
31.3
$
19.4
$
73.6
$
61.0
$
199.0
$
0.9
$
5.8
$
7.4
$
31.9
$
72.9
$
272.8
$
169.5
$
642.6
$
532.8
$
1,736.5
$

Total
1.8
$
12.4
$
15.6
$
67.6
$
154.4
$
635.2
$
394.8
$
1,496.4
$
1,240.7
$
4,018.9
$
16.1
$
107.8
$
136.0
$
590.1
$
1,347.8
$
5,543.6
$
3,445.2
$
13,059.8
$
10,827.6
$
35,074.1
$

Ann.
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.9
$
3.9
$
8.9
$
36.5
$
22.7
$
85.9
$
71.2
$
230.8
$
0.9
$
6.2
$
7.8
$
33.9
$
77.4
$
318.4
$
197.8
$
750.0
$
621.8
$
2,014.2
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
16a
and
F.
16b.
Exhibit
F.
16f
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.6
$
3.1
$
2.0
$
7.4
$
6.1
$
19.6
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.2
$
4.9
$
27.5
$
17.1
$
64.7
$
53.6
$
170.9
$

2007
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.3
$
7.1
$
4.4
$
16.7
$
13.8
$
44.1
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.1
$
4.9
$
11.1
$
61.8
$
38.4
$
145.6
$
120.7
$
384.7
$

2008
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.0
$
11.2
$
6.9
$
26.3
$
21.8
$
69.4
$
0.2
$
1.4
$
1.8
$
7.6
$
17.5
$
97.3
$
60.5
$
229.3
$
190.1
$
605.8
$

2009
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.7
$
15.1
$
9.4
$
35.6
$
29.5
$
94.0
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.4
$
10.4
$
23.7
$
131.8
$
81.9
$
310.5
$
257.4
$
820.3
$

2010
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.5
$
3.4
$
18.8
$
11.7
$
44.3
$
36.7
$
117.1
$
0.4
$
2.4
$
3.0
$
12.9
$
29.5
$
164.2
$
102.0
$
386.8
$
320.7
$
1,021.8
$

2011
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.7
$
4.0
$
22.2
$
13.8
$
52.4
$
43.4
$
138.4
$
0.4
$
2.8
$
3.5
$
15.2
$
34.8
$
194.0
$
120.6
$
457.1
$
379.0
$
1,207.5
$

2012
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
4.5
$
23.1
$
14.4
$
54.4
$
45.1
$
144.4
$
0.5
$
3.2
$
4.0
$
17.4
$
39.7
$
201.6
$
125.3
$
474.8
$
393.7
$
1,260.0
$

2013
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.2
$
5.0
$
23.1
$
14.3
$
54.4
$
45.1
$
145.1
$
0.5
$
3.5
$
4.4
$
19.3
$
44.0
$
201.4
$
125.2
$
474.5
$
393.4
$
1,266.2
$

2014
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.4
$
5.5
$
22.6
$
14.1
$
53.4
$
44.2
$
143.3
$
0.6
$
3.8
$
4.8
$
21.0
$
47.9
$
197.7
$
122.8
$
465.6
$
386.1
$
1,250.3
$

2015
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.4
$
5.5
$
22.0
$
13.7
$
51.8
$
43.0
$
139.5
$
0.6
$
3.9
$
4.9
$
21.2
$
48.3
$
192.0
$
119.3
$
452.4
$
375.1
$
1,217.6
$

2016
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.4
$
5.5
$
21.2
$
13.2
$
50.0
$
41.5
$
134.9
$
0.6
$
3.8
$
4.8
$
20.8
$
47.6
$
185.4
$
115.2
$
436.7
$
362.1
$
1,176.9
$

2017
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.3
$
5.3
$
20.4
$
12.7
$
48.1
$
39.9
$
129.7
$
0.6
$
3.7
$
4.7
$
20.3
$
46.3
$
178.2
$
110.7
$
419.7
$
348.0
$
1,132.1
$

2018
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.2
$
5.1
$
19.6
$
12.2
$
46.1
$
38.2
$
124.4
$
0.5
$
3.6
$
4.5
$
19.6
$
44.7
$
170.7
$
106.1
$
402.2
$
333.5
$
1,085.4
$

2019
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.2
$
4.9
$
18.7
$
11.6
$
44.1
$
36.5
$
118.9
$
0.5
$
3.4
$
4.3
$
18.8
$
42.9
$
163.2
$
101.4
$
384.5
$
318.8
$
1,038.0
$

2020
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.1
$
4.7
$
17.9
$
11.1
$
42.1
$
34.9
$
113.5
$
0.5
$
3.3
$
4.2
$
18.0
$
41.1
$
155.8
$
96.8
$
367.0
$
304.3
$
991.0
$

2021
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
4.5
$
17.0
$
10.6
$
40.1
$
33.2
$
108.2
$
0.5
$
3.1
$
4.0
$
17.2
$
39.3
$
148.5
$
92.3
$
349.8
$
290.0
$
944.7
$

2022
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.9
$
4.3
$
16.2
$
10.1
$
38.2
$
31.6
$
103.1
$
0.4
$
3.0
$
3.8
$
16.4
$
37.5
$
141.4
$
87.8
$
333.0
$
276.1
$
899.5
$

2023
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.8
$
4.1
$
15.4
$
9.6
$
36.3
$
30.1
$
98.0
$
0.4
$
2.9
$
3.6
$
15.7
$
35.8
$
134.4
$
83.6
$
316.7
$
262.6
$
855.6
$

2024
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.7
$
3.9
$
14.6
$
9.1
$
34.5
$
28.6
$
93.2
$
0.4
$
2.7
$
3.4
$
14.9
$
34.0
$
127.8
$
79.4
$
301.0
$
249.6
$
813.3
$

2025
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.6
$
3.7
$
13.9
$
8.6
$
32.8
$
27.2
$
88.5
$
0.4
$
2.6
$
3.3
$
14.2
$
32.4
$
121.4
$
75.4
$
285.9
$
237.0
$
772.5
$

2026
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.5
$
3.5
$
13.2
$
8.2
$
31.1
$
25.8
$
84.0
$
0.4
$
2.5
$
3.1
$
13.5
$
30.8
$
115.2
$
71.6
$
271.4
$
225.0
$
733.4
$

2027
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.5
$
3.3
$
12.5
$
7.8
$
29.5
$
24.5
$
79.7
$
0.3
$
2.3
$
2.9
$
12.8
$
29.2
$
109.3
$
67.9
$
257.5
$
213.5
$
695.9
$

Total
1.0
$
7.0
$
8.8
$
38.3
$
87.4
$
369.0
$
229.3
$
869.3
$
720.7
$
2,331.0
$
9.1
$
61.1
$
77.0
$
334.1
$
763.1
$
3,220.5
$
2,001.4
$
7,587.0
$
6,290.2
$
20,343.4
$

Ann.
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.8
$
3.3
$
7.5
$
31.7
$
19.7
$
74.6
$
61.8
$
200.0
$
0.8
$
5.2
$
6.6
$
28.7
$
65.5
$
276.4
$
171.7
$
651.0
$
539.8
$
1,745.7
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
16a
and
F.
16b.
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
16g
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
F.
15
Model
Outputs
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
TTHM
as
Indicator
Bronchitis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
8.4
$
7.4
$
1.4
$
19.2
$
2.4
$
2.2
$
1.1
$
4.4
$
10.9
$
9.6
$
2.5
$
23.6
$
73.7
$
64.2
$
12.3
$
167.5
$
21.2
$
19.5
$
9.6
$
38.8
$
94.9
$
83.7
$
21.9
$
206.3
$

2007
20.3
$
17.7
$
3.4
$
46.2
$
5.8
$
5.4
$
2.6
$
10.7
$
26.2
$
23.1
$
6.0
$
56.9
$
177.5
$
154.6
$
29.6
$
403.5
$
51.0
$
46.9
$
23.0
$
93.2
$
228.5
$
201.5
$
52.6
$
496.7
$

2008
34.3
$
29.8
$
5.7
$
77.9
$
9.8
$
9.0
$
4.4
$
18.0
$
44.1
$
38.9
$
10.1
$
95.9
$
299.1
$
260.5
$
49.8
$
679.8
$
85.8
$
78.9
$
38.7
$
156.8
$
384.8
$
339.4
$
88.5
$
836.6
$

2009
49.6
$
43.2
$
8.3
$
112.9
$
14.2
$
13.1
$
6.4
$
26.0
$
63.9
$
56.3
$
14.7
$
138.8
$
433.3
$
377.4
$
72.1
$
985.0
$
124.1
$
114.2
$
55.9
$
226.7
$
557.4
$
491.6
$
128.1
$
1,211.7
$

2010
66.2
$
57.6
$
11.0
$
150.4
$
18.9
$
17.4
$
8.5
$
34.6
$
85.1
$
75.1
$
19.5
$
185.0
$
577.5
$
503.0
$
96.1
$
1,313.0
$
165.1
$
152.1
$
74.4
$
301.7
$
742.6
$
655.1
$
170.5
$
1,614.7
$

2011
83.7
$
72.9
$
13.9
$
190.2
$
23.9
$
22.0
$
10.8
$
43.7
$
107.5
$
94.9
$
24.7
$
233.9
$
730.2
$
635.9
$
121.4
$
1,660.1
$
208.4
$
192.0
$
94.0
$
381.5
$
938.6
$
827.9
$
215.3
$
2,041.6
$

2012
93.3
$
81.2
$
15.5
$
212.1
$
26.6
$
24.5
$
12.0
$
48.7
$
119.9
$
105.7
$
27.5
$
260.8
$
814.2
$
709.1
$
135.2
$
1,851.3
$
232.1
$
213.8
$
104.5
$
425.1
$
1,046.3
$
922.9
$
239.7
$
2,276.4
$

2013
100.2
$
87.2
$
16.6
$
227.8
$
28.5
$
26.3
$
12.8
$
52.2
$
128.7
$
113.5
$
29.5
$
279.9
$
874.1
$
761.2
$
145.1
$
1,987.7
$
248.8
$
229.3
$
112.1
$
455.4
$
1,122.8
$
990.5
$
257.2
$
2,443.1
$

2014
105.6
$
92.0
$
17.5
$
240.3
$
30.0
$
27.7
$
13.5
$
55.0
$
135.7
$
119.7
$
31.1
$
295.2
$
922.0
$
802.9
$
152.9
$
2,096.8
$
262.0
$
241.5
$
118.1
$
479.7
$
1,183.9
$
1,044.4
$
271.0
$
2,576.4
$

2015
110.0
$
95.8
$
18.2
$
250.2
$
31.2
$
28.8
$
14.0
$
57.2
$
141.2
$
124.6
$
32.3
$
307.4
$
960.0
$
836.0
$
159.1
$
2,183.5
$
272.4
$
251.1
$
122.6
$
498.9
$
1,232.4
$
1,087.2
$
281.7
$
2,682.3
$

2016
113.7
$
99.0
$
18.8
$
258.7
$
32.2
$
29.7
$
14.5
$
59.0
$
145.9
$
128.7
$
33.3
$
317.7
$
992.4
$
864.3
$
164.4
$
2,257.4
$
281.1
$
259.2
$
126.4
$
514.8
$
1,273.5
$
1,123.5
$
290.8
$
2,772.3
$

2017
117.0
$
101.9
$
19.4
$
266.2
$
33.1
$
30.5
$
14.9
$
60.6
$
150.1
$
132.4
$
34.3
$
326.8
$
1,021.2
$
889.3
$
169.0
$
2,323.0
$
288.8
$
266.3
$
129.9
$
529.1
$
1,310.0
$
1,155.6
$
298.9
$
2,852.1
$

2018
120.0
$
104.5
$
19.8
$
273.0
$
33.9
$
31.3
$
15.2
$
62.1
$
153.9
$
135.8
$
35.1
$
335.1
$
1,047.3
$
912.1
$
173.2
$
2,382.7
$
295.7
$
272.8
$
133.0
$
542.0
$
1,343.0
$
1,184.8
$
306.2
$
2,924.7
$

2019
122.8
$
106.9
$
20.3
$
279.4
$
34.6
$
31.9
$
15.6
$
63.5
$
157.4
$
138.8
$
35.9
$
342.8
$
1,071.6
$
933.2
$
177.1
$
2,438.1
$
302.0
$
278.6
$
135.8
$
553.8
$
1,373.6
$
1,211.7
$
312.9
$
2,991.8
$

2020
125.4
$
109.2
$
20.7
$
285.3
$
35.3
$
32.5
$
15.9
$
64.8
$
160.7
$
141.7
$
36.6
$
350.1
$
1,094.4
$
953.0
$
180.8
$
2,490.2
$
307.9
$
283.9
$
138.4
$
565.3
$
1,402.4
$
1,236.9
$
319.2
$
3,055.6
$

2021
127.9
$
111.4
$
21.1
$
291.0
$
35.9
$
33.1
$
16.2
$
66.0
$
163.8
$
144.5
$
37.3
$
357.0
$
1,116.2
$
971.9
$
184.2
$
2,539.9
$
313.5
$
288.9
$
141.0
$
575.6
$
1,429.7
$
1,260.8
$
325.3
$
3,115.5
$

2022
130.3
$
113.4
$
21.5
$
296.5
$
36.5
$
33.7
$
16.4
$
67.1
$
166.8
$
147.1
$
37.9
$
363.6
$
1,137.0
$
990.1
$
187.6
$
2,587.6
$
318.8
$
293.8
$
143.4
$
585.8
$
1,455.8
$
1,283.9
$
331.0
$
3,173.4
$

2023
132.6
$
115.5
$
21.9
$
301.8
$
37.1
$
34.2
$
16.7
$
68.2
$
169.7
$
149.7
$
38.5
$
370.0
$
1,157.2
$
1,007.6
$
190.8
$
2,633.7
$
323.9
$
298.5
$
145.6
$
595.5
$
1,481.1
$
1,306.2
$
336.4
$
3,229.1
$

2024
134.8
$
117.4
$
22.2
$
306.9
$
37.7
$
34.7
$
16.9
$
69.3
$
172.5
$
152.1
$
39.1
$
376.2
$
1,176.8
$
1,024.7
$
193.9
$
2,678.5
$
328.8
$
303.2
$
147.8
$
604.4
$
1,505.6
$
1,327.8
$
341.6
$
3,282.9
$

2025
137.0
$
119.3
$
22.6
$
311.9
$
38.2
$
35.2
$
17.2
$
70.2
$
175.3
$
154.5
$
39.8
$
382.2
$
1,196.0
$
1,041.3
$
196.9
$
2,722.3
$
333.5
$
307.5
$
150.1
$
613.0
$
1,529.5
$
1,348.8
$
347.0
$
3,335.2
$

2026
139.2
$
121.2
$
22.9
$
316.8
$
38.7
$
35.7
$
17.4
$
71.2
$
177.9
$
156.9
$
40.3
$
388.1
$
1,214.8
$
1,057.6
$
199.9
$
2,765.2
$
338.1
$
311.9
$
152.2
$
621.6
$
1,552.9
$
1,369.5
$
352.1
$
3,386.8
$

2027
141.3
$
123.0
$
23.2
$
321.7
$
39.3
$
36.2
$
17.7
$
72.2
$
180.6
$
159.3
$
40.9
$
393.9
$
1,233.2
$
1,073.7
$
202.8
$
2,807.5
$
342.6
$
316.2
$
154.1
$
630.1
$
1,575.9
$
1,389.9
$
356.9
$
3,437.6
$

Total
2,213.7
$
1,927.7
$
366.0
$
5,036.4
$
624.0
$
575.2
$
280.8
$
1,144.5
$
2,837.7
$
2,502.9
$
646.8
$
6,180.9
$
19,319.7
$
16,823.5
$
3,194.0
$
43,954.3
$
5,445.4
$
5,020.2
$
2,450.7
$
9,988.4
$
24,765.1
$
21,843.7
$
5,644.7
$
53,942.7
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
24b,
and
E.
24e.
(
All
Surface
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
15a
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.7
$
0.6
$
0.1
$
1.5
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.2
$
1.8
$
5.7
$
5.0
$
1.0
$
13.0
$
1.6
$
1.5
$
0.7
$
3.0
$
7.4
$
6.5
$
1.7
$
16.0
$

2007
1.6
$
1.4
$
0.3
$
3.6
$
0.5
$
0.4
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
2.0
$
1.8
$
0.5
$
4.4
$
13.8
$
12.0
$
2.3
$
31.3
$
4.0
$
3.6
$
1.8
$
7.2
$
17.7
$
15.6
$
4.1
$
38.5
$

2008
2.7
$
2.3
$
0.4
$
6.0
$
0.8
$
0.7
$
0.3
$
1.4
$
3.4
$
3.0
$
0.8
$
7.4
$
23.2
$
20.2
$
3.9
$
52.7
$
6.7
$
6.1
$
3.0
$
12.2
$
29.9
$
26.3
$
6.9
$
64.9
$

2009
3.9
$
3.4
$
0.6
$
8.8
$
1.1
$
1.0
$
0.5
$
2.0
$
5.0
$
4.4
$
1.1
$
10.8
$
33.6
$
29.3
$
5.6
$
76.4
$
9.6
$
8.9
$
4.3
$
17.6
$
43.2
$
38.1
$
9.9
$
94.0
$

2010
5.1
$
4.5
$
0.9
$
11.7
$
1.5
$
1.4
$
0.7
$
2.7
$
6.6
$
5.8
$
1.5
$
14.4
$
44.8
$
39.0
$
7.5
$
101.9
$
12.8
$
11.8
$
5.8
$
23.4
$
57.6
$
50.8
$
13.2
$
125.3
$

2011
6.5
$
5.7
$
1.1
$
14.8
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.8
$
3.4
$
8.3
$
7.4
$
1.9
$
18.1
$
56.6
$
49.3
$
9.4
$
128.8
$
16.2
$
14.9
$
7.3
$
29.6
$
72.8
$
64.2
$
16.7
$
158.4
$

2012
7.4
$
6.4
$
1.2
$
16.7
$
2.1
$
1.9
$
0.9
$
3.8
$
9.5
$
8.3
$
2.2
$
20.6
$
64.2
$
55.9
$
10.7
$
146.0
$
18.3
$
16.9
$
8.2
$
33.5
$
82.5
$
72.8
$
18.9
$
179.6
$

2013
8.1
$
7.0
$
1.3
$
18.3
$
2.3
$
2.1
$
1.0
$
4.2
$
10.4
$
9.1
$
2.4
$
22.5
$
70.4
$
61.3
$
11.7
$
160.0
$
20.0
$
18.5
$
9.0
$
36.7
$
90.4
$
79.7
$
20.7
$
196.6
$

2014
8.7
$
7.6
$
1.4
$
19.8
$
2.5
$
2.3
$
1.1
$
4.5
$
11.2
$
9.8
$
2.6
$
24.3
$
75.8
$
66.0
$
12.6
$
172.4
$
21.5
$
19.9
$
9.7
$
39.4
$
97.3
$
85.9
$
22.3
$
211.8
$

2015
9.1
$
7.9
$
1.5
$
20.7
$
2.6
$
2.4
$
1.2
$
4.7
$
11.7
$
10.3
$
2.7
$
25.5
$
79.6
$
69.3
$
13.2
$
181.0
$
22.6
$
20.8
$
10.2
$
41.4
$
102.2
$
90.1
$
23.4
$
222.4
$

2016
9.5
$
8.2
$
1.6
$
21.5
$
2.7
$
2.5
$
1.2
$
4.9
$
12.2
$
10.7
$
2.8
$
26.4
$
82.6
$
72.0
$
13.7
$
188.0
$
23.4
$
21.6
$
10.5
$
42.9
$
106.0
$
93.5
$
24.2
$
230.8
$

2017
9.8
$
8.5
$
1.6
$
22.2
$
2.8
$
2.5
$
1.2
$
5.1
$
12.5
$
11.1
$
2.9
$
27.3
$
85.2
$
74.2
$
14.1
$
193.9
$
24.1
$
22.2
$
10.8
$
44.2
$
109.4
$
96.5
$
25.0
$
238.1
$

2018
10.0
$
8.7
$
1.7
$
22.8
$
2.8
$
2.6
$
1.3
$
5.2
$
12.9
$
11.4
$
2.9
$
28.0
$
87.6
$
76.3
$
14.5
$
199.3
$
24.7
$
22.8
$
11.1
$
45.3
$
112.3
$
99.1
$
25.6
$
244.6
$

2019
10.3
$
9.0
$
1.7
$
23.4
$
2.9
$
2.7
$
1.3
$
5.3
$
13.2
$
11.6
$
3.0
$
28.7
$
89.7
$
78.1
$
14.8
$
204.1
$
25.3
$
23.3
$
11.4
$
46.4
$
115.0
$
101.5
$
26.2
$
250.5
$

2020
10.5
$
9.2
$
1.7
$
23.9
$
3.0
$
2.7
$
1.3
$
5.4
$
13.5
$
11.9
$
3.1
$
29.3
$
91.7
$
79.9
$
15.1
$
208.7
$
25.8
$
23.8
$
11.6
$
47.4
$
117.5
$
103.7
$
26.7
$
256.1
$

2021
10.7
$
9.3
$
1.8
$
24.4
$
3.0
$
2.8
$
1.4
$
5.5
$
13.7
$
12.1
$
3.1
$
29.9
$
93.6
$
81.5
$
15.4
$
213.0
$
26.3
$
24.2
$
11.8
$
48.3
$
119.9
$
105.7
$
27.3
$
261.3
$

2022
10.9
$
9.5
$
1.8
$
24.9
$
3.1
$
2.8
$
1.4
$
5.6
$
14.0
$
12.3
$
3.2
$
30.5
$
95.4
$
83.1
$
15.7
$
217.1
$
26.7
$
24.7
$
12.0
$
49.1
$
122.1
$
107.7
$
27.8
$
266.2
$

2023
11.1
$
9.7
$
1.8
$
25.3
$
3.1
$
2.9
$
1.4
$
5.7
$
14.2
$
12.6
$
3.2
$
31.1
$
97.1
$
84.6
$
16.0
$
221.1
$
27.2
$
25.1
$
12.2
$
50.0
$
124.3
$
109.6
$
28.2
$
271.0
$

2024
11.3
$
9.9
$
1.9
$
25.8
$
3.2
$
2.9
$
1.4
$
5.8
$
14.5
$
12.8
$
3.3
$
31.6
$
98.8
$
86.0
$
16.3
$
224.9
$
27.6
$
25.5
$
12.4
$
50.7
$
126.4
$
111.5
$
28.7
$
275.6
$

2025
11.5
$
10.0
$
1.9
$
26.2
$
3.2
$
3.0
$
1.4
$
5.9
$
14.7
$
13.0
$
3.3
$
32.1
$
100.4
$
87.5
$
16.5
$
228.6
$
28.0
$
25.8
$
12.6
$
51.5
$
128.5
$
113.3
$
29.1
$
280.1
$

2026
11.7
$
10.2
$
1.9
$
26.6
$
3.3
$
3.0
$
1.5
$
6.0
$
14.9
$
13.2
$
3.4
$
32.6
$
102.0
$
88.8
$
16.8
$
232.3
$
28.4
$
26.2
$
12.8
$
52.2
$
130.4
$
115.0
$
29.6
$
284.5
$

2027
11.9
$
10.3
$
2.0
$
27.0
$
3.3
$
3.0
$
1.5
$
6.1
$
15.2
$
13.4
$
3.4
$
33.1
$
103.6
$
90.2
$
17.0
$
235.9
$
28.8
$
26.6
$
12.9
$
52.9
$
132.4
$
116.8
$
30.0
$
288.8
$

Total
182.8
$
159.2
$
30.2
$
416.0
$
51.5
$
47.5
$
23.2
$
94.5
$
234.4
$
206.7
$
53.4
$
510.5
$
1,595.7
$
1,389.5
$
263.8
$
3,630.4
$
449.7
$
414.6
$
202.4
$
824.8
$
2,045.4
$
1,804.1
$
466.2
$
4,455.2
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
24c,
and
E.
24f.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
15b
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
All
Ground
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
9.1
$
7.9
$
1.5
$
20.7
$
2.6
$
2.4
$
1.2
$
4.8
$
11.7
$
10.3
$
2.7
$
25.5
$
79.4
$
69.2
$
13.3
$
180.5
$
22.8
$
21.0
$
10.3
$
41.8
$
102.3
$
90.2
$
23.6
$
222.3
$

2007
21.9
$
19.1
$
3.7
$
49.8
$
6.3
$
5.8
$
2.8
$
11.5
$
28.2
$
24.9
$
6.5
$
61.3
$
191.3
$
166.6
$
31.9
$
434.8
$
54.9
$
50.5
$
24.8
$
100.4
$
246.2
$
217.1
$
56.7
$
535.2
$

2008
36.9
$
32.2
$
6.2
$
83.9
$
10.6
$
9.7
$
4.8
$
19.4
$
47.5
$
41.9
$
10.9
$
103.3
$
322.3
$
280.7
$
53.7
$
732.6
$
92.4
$
85.0
$
41.7
$
168.9
$
414.7
$
365.7
$
95.4
$
901.5
$

2009
53.5
$
46.6
$
8.9
$
121.6
$
15.3
$
14.1
$
6.9
$
28.0
$
68.8
$
60.7
$
15.8
$
149.6
$
466.9
$
406.7
$
77.7
$
1,061.4
$
133.7
$
123.1
$
60.3
$
244.3
$
600.6
$
529.7
$
138.0
$
1,305.7
$

2010
71.3
$
62.1
$
11.9
$
162.1
$
20.4
$
18.8
$
9.2
$
37.3
$
91.7
$
80.9
$
21.1
$
199.4
$
622.3
$
542.0
$
103.5
$
1,414.8
$
177.9
$
163.9
$
80.2
$
325.1
$
800.2
$
705.9
$
183.7
$
1,740.0
$

2011
90.2
$
78.5
$
15.0
$
205.0
$
25.7
$
23.7
$
11.6
$
47.1
$
115.9
$
102.2
$
26.6
$
252.1
$
786.8
$
685.2
$
130.8
$
1,788.9
$
224.6
$
206.9
$
101.3
$
411.1
$
1,011.4
$
892.1
$
232.0
$
2,200.0
$

2012
100.6
$
87.7
$
16.7
$
228.9
$
28.7
$
26.4
$
12.9
$
52.5
$
129.3
$
114.1
$
29.6
$
281.4
$
878.4
$
765.0
$
145.9
$
1,997.4
$
250.4
$
230.7
$
112.8
$
458.6
$
1,128.8
$
995.7
$
258.7
$
2,456.0
$

2013
108.2
$
94.2
$
18.0
$
246.1
$
30.8
$
28.4
$
13.9
$
56.4
$
139.0
$
122.6
$
31.8
$
302.5
$
944.4
$
822.5
$
156.7
$
2,147.7
$
268.8
$
247.7
$
121.1
$
492.1
$
1,213.2
$
1,070.2
$
277.9
$
2,639.8
$

2014
114.3
$
99.6
$
19.0
$
260.0
$
32.5
$
29.9
$
14.6
$
59.5
$
146.8
$
129.5
$
33.6
$
319.5
$
997.8
$
868.9
$
165.5
$
2,269.2
$
283.5
$
261.4
$
127.8
$
519.1
$
1,281.3
$
1,130.3
$
293.3
$
2,788.3
$

2015
119.1
$
103.7
$
19.7
$
270.9
$
33.8
$
31.2
$
15.2
$
61.9
$
152.9
$
134.9
$
35.0
$
332.8
$
1,039.6
$
905.3
$
172.3
$
2,364.5
$
294.9
$
271.9
$
132.8
$
540.2
$
1,334.5
$
1,177.3
$
305.1
$
2,904.7
$

2016
123.2
$
107.3
$
20.4
$
280.2
$
34.9
$
32.2
$
15.7
$
63.9
$
158.1
$
139.5
$
36.1
$
344.1
$
1,075.1
$
936.2
$
178.1
$
2,445.4
$
304.5
$
280.8
$
136.9
$
557.7
$
1,379.6
$
1,217.1
$
315.0
$
3,003.1
$

2017
126.8
$
110.4
$
21.0
$
288.4
$
35.9
$
33.1
$
16.1
$
65.7
$
162.6
$
143.5
$
37.1
$
354.1
$
1,106.4
$
963.5
$
183.1
$
2,516.9
$
312.9
$
288.6
$
140.8
$
573.2
$
1,419.3
$
1,252.1
$
323.9
$
3,090.1
$

2018
130.0
$
113.2
$
21.5
$
295.8
$
36.7
$
33.9
$
16.5
$
67.3
$
166.8
$
147.1
$
38.0
$
363.1
$
1,134.9
$
988.3
$
187.7
$
2,581.9
$
320.4
$
295.6
$
144.1
$
587.3
$
1,455.3
$
1,283.9
$
331.8
$
3,169.2
$

2019
133.1
$
115.9
$
22.0
$
302.8
$
37.5
$
34.6
$
16.9
$
68.8
$
170.6
$
150.5
$
38.9
$
371.5
$
1,161.3
$
1,011.3
$
191.9
$
2,642.2
$
327.3
$
301.9
$
147.2
$
600.1
$
1,488.6
$
1,313.2
$
339.1
$
3,242.3
$

2020
135.9
$
118.4
$
22.4
$
309.3
$
38.2
$
35.3
$
17.2
$
70.2
$
174.2
$
153.6
$
39.6
$
379.5
$
1,186.2
$
1,032.9
$
195.9
$
2,698.9
$
333.7
$
307.7
$
150.0
$
612.7
$
1,519.9
$
1,340.6
$
345.9
$
3,311.6
$

2021
138.6
$
120.7
$
22.9
$
315.4
$
38.9
$
35.9
$
17.5
$
71.5
$
177.6
$
156.6
$
40.4
$
386.9
$
1,209.8
$
1,053.5
$
199.7
$
2,752.9
$
339.8
$
313.1
$
152.8
$
623.9
$
1,549.6
$
1,366.6
$
352.5
$
3,376.8
$

2022
141.2
$
123.0
$
23.3
$
321.4
$
39.6
$
36.5
$
17.8
$
72.8
$
180.8
$
159.5
$
41.1
$
394.1
$
1,232.4
$
1,073.2
$
203.3
$
2,804.7
$
345.5
$
318.5
$
155.4
$
634.9
$
1,578.0
$
1,391.6
$
358.7
$
3,439.6
$

2023
143.7
$
125.1
$
23.7
$
327.1
$
40.2
$
37.1
$
18.1
$
74.0
$
184.0
$
162.2
$
41.8
$
401.1
$
1,254.3
$
1,092.2
$
206.8
$
2,854.7
$
351.1
$
323.6
$
157.8
$
645.4
$
1,605.4
$
1,415.8
$
364.6
$
3,500.2
$

2024
146.2
$
127.3
$
24.1
$
332.7
$
40.8
$
37.7
$
18.4
$
75.1
$
187.0
$
164.9
$
42.4
$
407.7
$
1,275.6
$
1,110.7
$
210.1
$
2,903.4
$
356.4
$
328.6
$
160.2
$
655.1
$
1,632.0
$
1,439.3
$
370.3
$
3,558.5
$

2025
148.5
$
129.3
$
24.5
$
338.1
$
41.4
$
38.2
$
18.6
$
76.1
$
190.0
$
167.5
$
43.1
$
414.3
$
1,296.4
$
1,128.8
$
213.4
$
2,950.9
$
361.5
$
333.3
$
162.7
$
664.5
$
1,657.9
$
1,462.0
$
376.2
$
3,615.4
$

2026
150.9
$
131.4
$
24.8
$
343.5
$
42.0
$
38.7
$
18.9
$
77.2
$
192.9
$
170.1
$
43.7
$
420.7
$
1,316.8
$
1,146.5
$
216.7
$
2,997.5
$
366.5
$
338.1
$
165.0
$
673.8
$
1,683.3
$
1,484.5
$
381.7
$
3,671.3
$

2027
153.2
$
133.4
$
25.2
$
348.7
$
42.6
$
39.3
$
19.1
$
78.3
$
195.7
$
172.6
$
44.3
$
427.0
$
1,336.9
$
1,163.9
$
219.8
$
3,043.4
$
371.4
$
342.8
$
167.1
$
683.0
$
1,708.3
$
1,506.7
$
386.9
$
3,726.4
$

Total
2,396.6
$
2,086.9
$
396.2
$
5,452.4
$
675.5
$
622.7
$
304.0
$
1,239.0
$
3,072.0
$
2,709.6
$
700.2
$
6,691.4
$
20,915.4
$
18,213.0
$
3,457.8
$
47,584.7
$
5,895.1
$
5,434.8
$
2,653.1
$
10,813.3
$
26,810.5
$
23,647.8
$
6,110.9
$
58,397.9
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
15a
and
F.
15b.
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
15c
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
8.3
$
7.3
$
1.4
$
18.9
$
2.4
$
2.2
$
1.1
$
4.4
$
10.7
$
9.5
$
2.5
$
23.3
$
72.7
$
63.3
$
12.1
$
165.2
$
20.9
$
19.2
$
9.5
$
38.2
$
93.6
$
82.5
$
21.6
$
203.4
$

2007
19.5
$
17.0
$
3.2
$
44.3
$
5.6
$
5.1
$
2.5
$
10.2
$
25.1
$
22.1
$
5.8
$
54.5
$
170.0
$
148.0
$
28.3
$
386.3
$
48.8
$
44.9
$
22.0
$
89.2
$
218.8
$
192.9
$
50.4
$
475.6
$

2008
31.9
$
27.7
$
5.3
$
72.4
$
9.1
$
8.4
$
4.1
$
16.7
$
41.0
$
36.1
$
9.4
$
89.1
$
278.0
$
242.1
$
46.3
$
631.9
$
79.7
$
73.4
$
36.0
$
145.7
$
357.7
$
315.5
$
82.3
$
777.6
$

2009
44.8
$
39.0
$
7.5
$
101.9
$
12.8
$
11.8
$
5.8
$
23.4
$
57.6
$
50.8
$
13.2
$
125.3
$
391.0
$
340.6
$
65.1
$
888.9
$
112.0
$
103.1
$
50.5
$
204.6
$
503.0
$
443.7
$
115.6
$
1,093.5
$

2010
58.0
$
50.5
$
9.6
$
131.8
$
16.6
$
15.3
$
7.5
$
30.3
$
74.6
$
65.8
$
17.1
$
162.1
$
506.0
$
440.7
$
84.2
$
1,150.4
$
144.7
$
133.3
$
65.2
$
264.4
$
650.7
$
573.9
$
149.4
$
1,414.7
$

2011
71.2
$
62.0
$
11.8
$
161.8
$
20.3
$
18.7
$
9.2
$
37.2
$
91.5
$
80.7
$
21.0
$
199.0
$
621.1
$
540.9
$
103.2
$
1,412.2
$
177.3
$
163.3
$
79.9
$
324.5
$
798.4
$
704.3
$
183.2
$
1,736.7
$

2012
77.1
$
67.2
$
12.8
$
175.4
$
22.0
$
20.3
$
9.9
$
40.3
$
99.1
$
87.4
$
22.7
$
215.7
$
673.2
$
586.3
$
111.8
$
1,530.8
$
191.9
$
176.8
$
86.4
$
351.5
$
865.1
$
763.1
$
198.2
$
1,882.3
$

2013
80.5
$
70.1
$
13.4
$
183.1
$
22.9
$
21.1
$
10.3
$
42.0
$
103.4
$
91.2
$
23.7
$
225.1
$
702.7
$
612.0
$
116.6
$
1,598.1
$
200.0
$
184.3
$
90.1
$
366.1
$
902.8
$
796.4
$
206.7
$
1,964.2
$

2014
82.6
$
71.9
$
13.7
$
187.8
$
23.5
$
21.6
$
10.6
$
43.0
$
106.1
$
93.6
$
24.3
$
230.8
$
720.8
$
627.7
$
119.5
$
1,639.3
$
204.8
$
188.8
$
92.3
$
375.0
$
925.6
$
816.6
$
211.9
$
2,014.3
$

2015
83.5
$
72.8
$
13.8
$
190.0
$
23.7
$
21.9
$
10.7
$
43.4
$
107.3
$
94.6
$
24.5
$
233.4
$
729.1
$
635.0
$
120.8
$
1,658.4
$
206.9
$
190.7
$
93.1
$
378.9
$
936.0
$
825.7
$
214.0
$
2,037.3
$

2016
83.9
$
73.1
$
13.9
$
190.8
$
23.8
$
21.9
$
10.7
$
43.5
$
107.6
$
95.0
$
24.6
$
234.3
$
732.1
$
637.5
$
121.2
$
1,665.2
$
207.4
$
191.2
$
93.2
$
379.8
$
939.4
$
828.8
$
214.5
$
2,044.9
$

2017
83.8
$
73.0
$
13.9
$
190.7
$
23.7
$
21.9
$
10.7
$
43.4
$
107.5
$
94.9
$
24.5
$
234.1
$
731.5
$
637.0
$
121.1
$
1,664.0
$
206.9
$
190.8
$
93.1
$
379.0
$
938.3
$
827.8
$
214.1
$
2,042.9
$

2018
83.5
$
72.7
$
13.8
$
189.9
$
23.6
$
21.7
$
10.6
$
43.2
$
107.0
$
94.4
$
24.4
$
233.1
$
728.5
$
634.4
$
120.5
$
1,657.2
$
205.7
$
189.7
$
92.5
$
377.0
$
934.1
$
824.1
$
213.0
$
2,034.2
$

2019
82.9
$
72.2
$
13.7
$
188.7
$
23.4
$
21.6
$
10.5
$
42.9
$
106.3
$
93.8
$
24.2
$
231.5
$
723.7
$
630.2
$
119.6
$
1,646.5
$
204.0
$
188.1
$
91.7
$
374.0
$
927.7
$
818.3
$
211.3
$
2,020.5
$

2020
82.2
$
71.6
$
13.6
$
187.1
$
23.1
$
21.3
$
10.4
$
42.5
$
105.4
$
92.9
$
24.0
$
229.6
$
717.6
$
624.9
$
118.5
$
1,632.9
$
201.9
$
186.2
$
90.8
$
370.7
$
919.6
$
811.1
$
209.3
$
2,003.6
$

2021
81.4
$
70.9
$
13.4
$
185.3
$
22.9
$
21.1
$
10.3
$
42.0
$
104.3
$
92.0
$
23.7
$
227.3
$
710.6
$
618.8
$
117.3
$
1,617.0
$
199.6
$
183.9
$
89.8
$
366.5
$
910.2
$
802.7
$
207.1
$
1,983.5
$

2022
80.5
$
70.1
$
13.3
$
183.3
$
22.6
$
20.8
$
10.2
$
41.5
$
103.1
$
90.9
$
23.4
$
224.8
$
702.8
$
612.0
$
115.9
$
1,599.5
$
197.1
$
181.6
$
88.6
$
362.1
$
899.9
$
793.6
$
204.6
$
1,961.6
$

2023
79.6
$
69.3
$
13.1
$
181.1
$
22.3
$
20.5
$
10.0
$
40.9
$
101.8
$
89.8
$
23.1
$
222.1
$
694.5
$
604.7
$
114.5
$
1,580.6
$
194.4
$
179.2
$
87.4
$
357.4
$
888.9
$
783.9
$
201.9
$
1,938.0
$

2024
78.6
$
68.4
$
12.9
$
178.8
$
21.9
$
20.2
$
9.9
$
40.4
$
100.5
$
88.7
$
22.8
$
219.2
$
685.7
$
597.1
$
113.0
$
1,560.7
$
191.6
$
176.6
$
86.1
$
352.2
$
877.3
$
773.7
$
199.1
$
1,912.9
$

2025
77.5
$
67.5
$
12.8
$
176.5
$
21.6
$
19.9
$
9.7
$
39.7
$
99.1
$
87.4
$
22.5
$
216.2
$
676.6
$
589.1
$
111.4
$
1,540.0
$
188.7
$
173.9
$
84.9
$
346.8
$
865.3
$
763.0
$
196.3
$
1,886.8
$

2026
76.5
$
66.6
$
12.6
$
174.0
$
21.3
$
19.6
$
9.6
$
39.1
$
97.7
$
86.2
$
22.2
$
213.1
$
667.2
$
580.9
$
109.8
$
1,518.8
$
185.7
$
171.3
$
83.6
$
341.4
$
852.9
$
752.2
$
193.4
$
1,860.2
$

2027
75.4
$
65.6
$
12.4
$
171.5
$
20.9
$
19.3
$
9.4
$
38.5
$
96.3
$
84.9
$
21.8
$
210.0
$
657.6
$
572.6
$
108.1
$
1,497.2
$
182.7
$
168.6
$
82.2
$
336.0
$
840.3
$
741.2
$
190.3
$
1,833.1
$

Total
1,523.2
$
1,326.4
$
252.0
$
3,465.1
$
430.0
$
396.4
$
193.5
$
788.4
$
1,953.1
$
1,722.8
$
445.5
$
4,253.6
$
13,293.2
$
11,575.9
$
2,199.0
$
30,241.2
$
3,752.4
$
3,459.1
$
1,689.0
$
6,880.8
$
17,045.6
$
15,035.0
$
3,888.0
$
37,122.0
$

Ann.
87.5
$
76.2
$
14.5
$
199.0
$
24.7
$
22.8
$
11.1
$
45.3
$
112.2
$
98.9
$
25.6
$
244.3
$
763.4
$
664.8
$
126.3
$
1,736.7
$
215.5
$
198.7
$
97.0
$
395.1
$
978.9
$
863.4
$
223.3
$
2,131.8
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
15c.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
15d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
7.4
$
6.5
$
1.2
$
16.9
$
2.1
$
2.0
$
1.0
$
3.9
$
9.6
$
8.4
$
2.2
$
20.8
$
64.8
$
56.5
$
10.8
$
147.3
$
18.6
$
17.2
$
8.4
$
34.1
$
83.5
$
73.6
$
19.3
$
181.4
$

2007
16.7
$
14.6
$
2.8
$
38.0
$
4.8
$
4.4
$
2.2
$
8.8
$
21.5
$
19.0
$
5.0
$
46.8
$
145.9
$
127.1
$
24.3
$
331.7
$
41.9
$
38.5
$
18.9
$
76.6
$
187.8
$
165.7
$
43.2
$
408.3
$

2008
26.3
$
22.9
$
4.4
$
59.8
$
7.6
$
6.9
$
3.4
$
13.8
$
33.9
$
29.9
$
7.8
$
73.6
$
229.8
$
200.1
$
38.3
$
522.3
$
65.9
$
60.6
$
29.7
$
120.4
$
295.7
$
260.8
$
68.0
$
642.8
$

2009
35.6
$
31.0
$
5.9
$
81.0
$
10.2
$
9.4
$
4.6
$
18.7
$
45.9
$
40.4
$
10.5
$
99.7
$
311.1
$
271.0
$
51.8
$
707.3
$
89.1
$
82.0
$
40.2
$
162.8
$
400.2
$
353.0
$
92.0
$
870.1
$

2010
44.4
$
38.7
$
7.4
$
101.0
$
12.7
$
11.7
$
5.7
$
23.2
$
57.1
$
50.4
$
13.1
$
124.2
$
387.5
$
337.5
$
64.5
$
881.1
$
110.8
$
102.1
$
49.9
$
202.5
$
498.4
$
439.6
$
114.4
$
1,083.6
$

2011
52.5
$
45.7
$
8.7
$
119.3
$
15.0
$
13.8
$
6.8
$
27.4
$
67.5
$
59.5
$
15.5
$
146.7
$
457.9
$
398.8
$
76.1
$
1,041.2
$
130.7
$
120.4
$
58.9
$
239.2
$
588.7
$
519.2
$
135.1
$
1,280.4
$

2012
54.7
$
47.7
$
9.1
$
124.5
$
15.6
$
14.4
$
7.0
$
28.6
$
70.4
$
62.1
$
16.1
$
153.1
$
477.8
$
416.1
$
79.4
$
1,086.4
$
136.2
$
125.5
$
61.3
$
249.4
$
614.0
$
541.6
$
140.7
$
1,335.9
$

2013
55.0
$
47.9
$
9.1
$
125.1
$
15.7
$
14.4
$
7.1
$
28.7
$
70.7
$
62.3
$
16.2
$
153.8
$
480.1
$
418.1
$
79.7
$
1,091.8
$
136.6
$
125.9
$
61.6
$
250.1
$
616.7
$
544.1
$
141.2
$
1,341.9
$

2014
54.3
$
47.3
$
9.0
$
123.5
$
15.4
$
14.2
$
7.0
$
28.3
$
69.8
$
61.5
$
16.0
$
151.8
$
474.0
$
412.8
$
78.6
$
1,078.1
$
134.7
$
124.2
$
60.7
$
246.6
$
608.7
$
537.0
$
139.3
$
1,324.7
$

2015
52.9
$
46.1
$
8.8
$
120.3
$
15.0
$
13.8
$
6.8
$
27.5
$
67.9
$
59.9
$
15.5
$
147.8
$
461.6
$
402.0
$
76.5
$
1,049.9
$
131.0
$
120.7
$
59.0
$
239.9
$
592.5
$
522.7
$
135.5
$
1,289.7
$

2016
51.1
$
44.5
$
8.5
$
116.3
$
14.5
$
13.4
$
6.5
$
26.5
$
65.6
$
57.9
$
15.0
$
142.8
$
446.1
$
388.5
$
73.9
$
1,014.8
$
126.4
$
116.5
$
56.8
$
231.4
$
572.5
$
505.0
$
130.7
$
1,246.2
$

2017
49.2
$
42.8
$
8.1
$
111.8
$
13.9
$
12.8
$
6.3
$
25.5
$
63.1
$
55.6
$
14.4
$
137.3
$
429.1
$
373.7
$
71.0
$
976.1
$
121.3
$
111.9
$
54.6
$
222.3
$
550.4
$
485.6
$
125.6
$
1,198.4
$

2018
47.1
$
41.0
$
7.8
$
107.2
$
13.3
$
12.3
$
6.0
$
24.4
$
60.4
$
53.3
$
13.8
$
131.6
$
411.3
$
358.2
$
68.0
$
935.8
$
116.1
$
107.1
$
52.2
$
212.9
$
527.5
$
465.3
$
120.3
$
1,148.7
$

2019
45.1
$
39.3
$
7.4
$
102.6
$
12.7
$
11.7
$
5.7
$
23.3
$
57.8
$
51.0
$
13.2
$
125.8
$
393.4
$
342.6
$
65.0
$
895.0
$
110.9
$
102.3
$
49.9
$
203.3
$
504.2
$
444.8
$
114.9
$
1,098.3
$

2020
43.0
$
37.5
$
7.1
$
97.9
$
12.1
$
11.2
$
5.4
$
22.2
$
55.1
$
48.6
$
12.5
$
120.1
$
375.5
$
327.0
$
62.0
$
854.4
$
105.7
$
97.4
$
47.5
$
194.0
$
481.2
$
424.4
$
109.5
$
1,048.4
$

2021
41.0
$
35.7
$
6.8
$
93.3
$
11.5
$
10.6
$
5.2
$
21.2
$
52.5
$
46.3
$
12.0
$
114.5
$
357.9
$
311.7
$
59.1
$
814.5
$
100.5
$
92.6
$
45.2
$
184.6
$
458.5
$
404.3
$
104.3
$
999.1
$

2022
39.0
$
34.0
$
6.4
$
88.9
$
10.9
$
10.1
$
4.9
$
20.1
$
50.0
$
44.1
$
11.4
$
109.0
$
340.8
$
296.7
$
56.2
$
775.5
$
95.5
$
88.1
$
43.0
$
175.6
$
436.3
$
384.8
$
99.2
$
951.1
$

2023
37.1
$
32.3
$
6.1
$
84.5
$
10.4
$
9.6
$
4.7
$
19.1
$
47.5
$
41.9
$
10.8
$
103.6
$
324.1
$
282.2
$
53.4
$
737.7
$
90.7
$
83.6
$
40.8
$
166.8
$
414.9
$
365.9
$
94.2
$
904.5
$

2024
35.3
$
30.7
$
5.8
$
80.3
$
9.9
$
9.1
$
4.4
$
18.1
$
45.2
$
39.8
$
10.2
$
98.5
$
308.1
$
268.2
$
50.8
$
701.2
$
86.1
$
79.4
$
38.7
$
158.2
$
394.1
$
347.6
$
89.4
$
859.4
$

2025
33.5
$
29.2
$
5.5
$
76.3
$
9.3
$
8.6
$
4.2
$
17.2
$
42.9
$
37.8
$
9.7
$
93.5
$
292.6
$
254.8
$
48.2
$
666.1
$
81.6
$
75.2
$
36.7
$
150.0
$
374.2
$
330.0
$
84.9
$
816.0
$

2026
31.8
$
27.7
$
5.2
$
72.5
$
8.9
$
8.2
$
4.0
$
16.3
$
40.7
$
35.9
$
9.2
$
88.7
$
277.8
$
241.8
$
45.7
$
632.3
$
77.3
$
71.3
$
34.8
$
142.1
$
355.1
$
313.2
$
80.5
$
774.4
$

2027
30.2
$
26.3
$
5.0
$
68.7
$
8.4
$
7.7
$
3.8
$
15.4
$
38.6
$
34.0
$
8.7
$
84.2
$
263.6
$
229.5
$
43.3
$
600.0
$
73.2
$
67.6
$
32.9
$
134.7
$
336.8
$
297.0
$
76.3
$
734.6
$

Total
883.6
$
769.4
$
146.3
$
2,009.8
$
249.9
$
230.3
$
112.5
$
458.0
$
1,133.4
$
999.8
$
258.8
$
2,467.9
$
7,711.0
$
6,715.0
$
1,276.6
$
17,540.4
$
2,180.9
$
2,010.2
$
981.8
$
3,997.5
$
9,891.9
$
8,725.2
$
2,258.4
$
21,537.9
$

Ann.
75.8
$
66.0
$
12.6
$
172.5
$
21.4
$
19.8
$
9.7
$
39.3
$
97.3
$
85.8
$
22.2
$
211.8
$
661.7
$
576.2
$
109.5
$
1,505.2
$
187.1
$
172.5
$
84.3
$
343.0
$
848.8
$
748.7
$
193.8
$
1,848.2
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
15c.
Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Exhibit
F.
15e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
(
All
Water
Systems)

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
1.1
$
4.1
$
3.4
$
10.7
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.7
$
15.0
$
9.3
$
35.4
$
29.4
$
93.6
$

2007
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.7
$
4.0
$
2.5
$
9.5
$
7.9
$
25.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.8
$
6.3
$
35.2
$
21.8
$
82.8
$
68.7
$
218.8
$

2008
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
1.2
$
6.6
$
4.1
$
15.5
$
12.9
$
41.0
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.0
$
4.5
$
10.3
$
57.5
$
35.7
$
135.4
$
112.3
$
357.7
$

2009
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.7
$
9.3
$
5.8
$
21.8
$
18.1
$
57.6
$
0.2
$
1.2
$
1.5
$
6.4
$
14.5
$
80.8
$
50.2
$
190.4
$
157.9
$
503.0
$

2010
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.2
$
12.0
$
7.4
$
28.2
$
23.4
$
74.6
$
0.2
$
1.5
$
1.9
$
8.2
$
18.8
$
104.6
$
65.0
$
246.3
$
204.2
$
650.7
$

2011
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.6
$
14.7
$
9.1
$
34.6
$
28.7
$
91.5
$
0.3
$
1.8
$
2.3
$
10.1
$
23.0
$
128.3
$
79.7
$
302.3
$
250.6
$
798.4
$

2012
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.4
$
3.1
$
15.9
$
9.9
$
37.4
$
31.0
$
99.1
$
0.3
$
2.2
$
2.8
$
11.9
$
27.2
$
138.4
$
86.0
$
326.0
$
270.3
$
865.1
$

2013
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.6
$
3.6
$
16.5
$
10.2
$
38.8
$
32.1
$
103.4
$
0.4
$
2.5
$
3.2
$
13.7
$
31.4
$
143.6
$
89.2
$
338.3
$
280.5
$
902.8
$

2014
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.8
$
4.1
$
16.8
$
10.4
$
39.5
$
32.7
$
106.1
$
0.4
$
2.8
$
3.6
$
15.5
$
35.5
$
146.3
$
90.9
$
344.7
$
285.8
$
925.6
$

2015
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.9
$
4.3
$
16.9
$
10.5
$
39.8
$
33.0
$
107.3
$
0.4
$
3.0
$
3.8
$
16.3
$
37.2
$
147.6
$
91.7
$
347.8
$
288.3
$
936.0
$

2016
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.9
$
4.4
$
17.0
$
10.5
$
39.9
$
33.1
$
107.6
$
0.5
$
3.0
$
3.8
$
16.6
$
38.0
$
148.0
$
92.0
$
348.6
$
289.0
$
939.4
$

2017
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
1.9
$
4.4
$
16.9
$
10.5
$
39.9
$
33.1
$
107.5
$
0.5
$
3.1
$
3.9
$
16.8
$
38.4
$
147.7
$
91.8
$
347.9
$
288.4
$
938.3
$

2018
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
1.9
$
4.4
$
16.8
$
10.5
$
39.7
$
32.9
$
107.0
$
0.5
$
3.1
$
3.9
$
16.8
$
38.5
$
146.9
$
91.3
$
346.2
$
287.0
$
934.1
$

2019
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
1.9
$
4.4
$
16.7
$
10.4
$
39.4
$
32.6
$
106.3
$
0.5
$
3.1
$
3.9
$
16.8
$
38.4
$
145.9
$
90.7
$
343.6
$
284.9
$
927.7
$

2020
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.4
$
1.9
$
4.4
$
16.6
$
10.3
$
39.0
$
32.4
$
105.4
$
0.5
$
3.1
$
3.9
$
16.7
$
38.2
$
144.6
$
89.8
$
340.6
$
282.3
$
919.6
$

2021
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.9
$
4.3
$
16.4
$
10.2
$
38.6
$
32.0
$
104.3
$
0.5
$
3.0
$
3.8
$
16.6
$
37.9
$
143.1
$
88.9
$
337.0
$
279.4
$
910.2
$

2022
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.9
$
4.3
$
16.2
$
10.1
$
38.2
$
31.6
$
103.1
$
0.4
$
3.0
$
3.8
$
16.4
$
37.5
$
141.4
$
87.9
$
333.2
$
276.2
$
899.9
$

2023
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.9
$
4.3
$
16.0
$
9.9
$
37.7
$
31.3
$
101.8
$
0.4
$
3.0
$
3.7
$
16.3
$
37.2
$
139.7
$
86.8
$
329.0
$
272.8
$
888.9
$

2024
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.8
$
4.2
$
15.8
$
9.8
$
37.2
$
30.8
$
100.5
$
0.4
$
2.9
$
3.7
$
16.1
$
36.7
$
137.8
$
85.7
$
324.7
$
269.2
$
877.3
$

2025
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.8
$
4.2
$
15.6
$
9.7
$
36.7
$
30.4
$
99.1
$
0.4
$
2.9
$
3.7
$
15.9
$
36.3
$
135.9
$
84.5
$
320.2
$
265.5
$
865.3
$

2026
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.8
$
4.1
$
15.4
$
9.5
$
36.2
$
30.0
$
97.7
$
0.4
$
2.9
$
3.6
$
15.7
$
35.8
$
134.0
$
83.3
$
315.6
$
261.7
$
852.9
$

2027
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.8
$
4.0
$
15.1
$
9.4
$
35.6
$
29.5
$
96.3
$
0.4
$
2.8
$
3.6
$
15.4
$
35.3
$
132.0
$
82.0
$
311.0
$
257.8
$
840.3
$

Total
0.9
$
6.0
$
7.6
$
32.9
$
75.0
$
308.7
$
191.9
$
727.3
$
603.0
$
1,953.1
$
7.8
$
52.4
$
66.1
$
286.7
$
654.9
$
2,694.2
$
1,674.3
$
6,347.0
$
5,262.2
$
17,045.6
$

Ann.
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.9
$
4.3
$
17.7
$
11.0
$
41.8
$
34.6
$
112.2
$
0.4
$
3.0
$
3.8
$
16.5
$
37.6
$
154.7
$
96.2
$
364.5
$
302.2
$
978.9
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
17a
and
F.
17b.
Exhibit
F.
17f
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
1
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
1.5
$
1.0
$
3.6
$
3.0
$
9.6
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.1
$
2.4
$
13.4
$
8.3
$
31.6
$
26.2
$
83.5
$

2007
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.6
$
3.5
$
2.1
$
8.1
$
6.8
$
21.5
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.4
$
5.4
$
30.2
$
18.8
$
71.1
$
59.0
$
187.8
$

2008
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.0
$
5.4
$
3.4
$
12.8
$
10.6
$
33.9
$
0.1
$
0.7
$
0.9
$
3.7
$
8.5
$
47.5
$
29.5
$
111.9
$
92.8
$
295.7
$

2009
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.3
$
7.4
$
4.6
$
17.4
$
14.4
$
45.9
$
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.2
$
5.1
$
11.5
$
64.3
$
40.0
$
151.5
$
125.6
$
400.2
$

2010
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.6
$
9.2
$
5.7
$
21.6
$
17.9
$
57.1
$
0.2
$
1.1
$
1.5
$
6.3
$
14.4
$
80.1
$
49.8
$
188.7
$
156.4
$
498.4
$

2011
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
1.9
$
10.8
$
6.7
$
25.5
$
21.2
$
67.5
$
0.2
$
1.4
$
1.7
$
7.4
$
17.0
$
94.6
$
58.8
$
222.8
$
184.8
$
588.7
$

2012
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.2
$
11.3
$
7.0
$
26.5
$
22.0
$
70.4
$
0.2
$
1.5
$
2.0
$
8.5
$
19.3
$
98.2
$
61.0
$
231.4
$
191.8
$
614.0
$

2013
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.1
$
2.5
$
11.2
$
7.0
$
26.5
$
22.0
$
70.7
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.2
$
9.4
$
21.5
$
98.1
$
61.0
$
231.1
$
191.6
$
616.7
$

2014
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.7
$
11.0
$
6.9
$
26.0
$
21.5
$
69.8
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.4
$
10.2
$
23.3
$
96.2
$
59.8
$
226.7
$
188.0
$
608.7
$

2015
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.7
$
10.7
$
6.7
$
25.2
$
20.9
$
67.9
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.4
$
10.3
$
23.5
$
93.4
$
58.1
$
220.1
$
182.5
$
592.5
$

2016
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.7
$
10.3
$
6.4
$
24.3
$
20.2
$
65.6
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.3
$
10.1
$
23.1
$
90.2
$
56.0
$
212.4
$
176.1
$
572.5
$

2017
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.6
$
9.9
$
6.2
$
23.4
$
19.4
$
63.1
$
0.3
$
1.8
$
2.3
$
9.9
$
22.5
$
86.6
$
53.8
$
204.1
$
169.2
$
550.4
$

2018
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.1
$
2.5
$
9.5
$
5.9
$
22.4
$
18.6
$
60.4
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.2
$
9.5
$
21.7
$
83.0
$
51.6
$
195.5
$
162.1
$
527.5
$

2019
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.4
$
9.1
$
5.6
$
21.4
$
17.7
$
57.8
$
0.2
$
1.7
$
2.1
$
9.1
$
20.9
$
79.3
$
49.3
$
186.8
$
154.9
$
504.2
$

2020
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.3
$
8.7
$
5.4
$
20.4
$
16.9
$
55.1
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
2.0
$
8.7
$
20.0
$
75.6
$
47.0
$
178.2
$
147.7
$
481.2
$

2021
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.2
$
8.3
$
5.1
$
19.5
$
16.1
$
52.5
$
0.2
$
1.5
$
1.9
$
8.4
$
19.1
$
72.1
$
44.8
$
169.8
$
140.7
$
458.5
$

2022
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.1
$
7.9
$
4.9
$
18.5
$
15.3
$
50.0
$
0.2
$
1.5
$
1.8
$
8.0
$
18.2
$
68.6
$
42.6
$
161.5
$
133.9
$
436.3
$

2023
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.0
$
7.5
$
4.6
$
17.6
$
14.6
$
47.5
$
0.2
$
1.4
$
1.8
$
7.6
$
17.3
$
65.2
$
40.5
$
153.6
$
127.3
$
414.9
$

2024
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.9
$
7.1
$
4.4
$
16.7
$
13.9
$
45.2
$
0.2
$
1.3
$
1.7
$
7.2
$
16.5
$
61.9
$
38.5
$
145.9
$
121.0
$
394.1
$

2025
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.8
$
6.7
$
4.2
$
15.9
$
13.2
$
42.9
$
0.2
$
1.3
$
1.6
$
6.9
$
15.7
$
58.8
$
36.5
$
138.5
$
114.8
$
374.2
$

2026
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.7
$
6.4
$
4.0
$
15.1
$
12.5
$
40.7
$
0.2
$
1.2
$
1.5
$
6.5
$
14.9
$
55.8
$
34.7
$
131.4
$
108.9
$
355.1
$

2027
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.6
$
6.1
$
3.8
$
14.3
$
11.8
$
38.6
$
0.2
$
1.1
$
1.4
$
6.2
$
14.1
$
52.9
$
32.9
$
124.6
$
103.3
$
336.8
$

Total
0.5
$
3.4
$
4.3
$
18.6
$
42.5
$
179.4
$
111.5
$
422.7
$
350.5
$
1,133.4
$
4.4
$
29.7
$
37.4
$
162.4
$
370.9
$
1,566.0
$
973.2
$
3,689.2
$
3,058.6
$
9,891.9
$

Ann.
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.6
$
3.6
$
15.4
$
9.6
$
36.3
$
30.1
$
97.3
$
0.4
$
2.5
$
3.2
$
13.9
$
31.8
$
134.4
$
83.5
$
316.6
$
262.5
$
848.8
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
17a
and
F.
17b.
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
17g
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
F.
16
Model
Outputs
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
TTHM
as
Indicator
Lymphoma
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
13.5
$
11.7
$
2.2
$
30.6
$
22.0
$
19.1
$
3.4
$
50.4
$
35.5
$
30.9
$
5.7
$
81.0
$
117.5
$
102.3
$
19.6
$
266.9
$
192.1
$
167.0
$
29.7
$
440.1
$
309.6
$
269.3
$
49.3
$
707.1
$

2007
32.4
$
28.2
$
5.4
$
73.7
$
53.0
$
46.1
$
8.2
$
121.5
$
85.4
$
74.3
$
13.6
$
195.2
$
282.9
$
246.4
$
47.2
$
643.0
$
462.8
$
402.2
$
71.6
$
1,060.3
$
745.7
$
648.6
$
118.8
$
1,703.2
$

2008
54.6
$
47.6
$
9.1
$
124.1
$
89.4
$
77.7
$
13.8
$
204.7
$
144.0
$
125.2
$
22.9
$
328.8
$
476.6
$
415.1
$
79.4
$
1,083.3
$
779.8
$
677.7
$
120.7
$
1,786.6
$
1,256.4
$
1,092.8
$
200.1
$
2,869.9
$

2009
79.1
$
68.9
$
13.2
$
179.9
$
129.5
$
112.5
$
20.0
$
296.6
$
208.6
$
181.4
$
33.2
$
476.5
$
690.5
$
601.4
$
114.9
$
1,569.6
$
1,129.9
$
982.0
$
174.9
$
2,588.7
$
1,820.4
$
1,583.4
$
289.9
$
4,158.4
$

2010
105.4
$
91.8
$
17.5
$
239.7
$
172.6
$
150.0
$
26.7
$
395.4
$
278.0
$
241.8
$
44.3
$
635.1
$
920.3
$
801.5
$
153.1
$
2,092.2
$
1,506.2
$
1,309.1
$
233.2
$
3,450.8
$
2,426.5
$
2,110.6
$
386.2
$
5,543.1
$

2011
133.3
$
116.1
$
22.2
$
303.1
$
218.2
$
189.7
$
33.8
$
500.0
$
351.6
$
305.8
$
55.9
$
803.1
$
1,163.5
$
1,013.3
$
193.4
$
2,645.5
$
1,904.6
$
1,655.4
$
294.9
$
4,363.6
$
3,068.1
$
2,668.7
$
488.2
$
7,009.0
$

2012
148.7
$
129.5
$
24.7
$
338.0
$
243.4
$
211.5
$
37.7
$
557.6
$
392.0
$
341.0
$
62.4
$
895.7
$
1,297.4
$
1,129.9
$
215.5
$
2,950.1
$
2,124.1
$
1,846.1
$
328.8
$
4,866.5
$
3,421.5
$
2,976.1
$
544.3
$
7,816.6
$

2013
159.6
$
139.0
$
26.5
$
362.9
$
261.3
$
227.1
$
40.5
$
598.7
$
420.9
$
366.1
$
66.9
$
961.7
$
1,392.9
$
1,213.0
$
231.2
$
3,167.5
$
2,280.7
$
1,982.3
$
353.1
$
5,225.3
$
3,673.5
$
3,195.3
$
584.3
$
8,392.8
$

2014
168.3
$
146.6
$
27.9
$
382.8
$
275.7
$
239.6
$
42.7
$
631.6
$
444.0
$
386.2
$
70.6
$
1,014.5
$
1,469.2
$
1,279.5
$
243.7
$
3,341.2
$
2,405.9
$
2,091.2
$
372.5
$
5,512.3
$
3,875.1
$
3,370.6
$
616.1
$
8,853.5
$

2015
175.3
$
152.7
$
29.1
$
398.7
$
287.1
$
249.5
$
44.4
$
657.8
$
462.4
$
402.2
$
73.5
$
1,056.5
$
1,529.8
$
1,332.2
$
253.5
$
3,479.4
$
2,505.6
$
2,177.8
$
387.9
$
5,740.6
$
4,035.4
$
3,510.1
$
641.5
$
9,220.1
$

2016
181.2
$
157.8
$
30.0
$
412.2
$
296.8
$
258.0
$
46.0
$
680.1
$
478.1
$
415.8
$
76.0
$
1,092.3
$
1,581.5
$
1,377.2
$
261.9
$
3,597.3
$
2,590.6
$
2,251.7
$
401.1
$
5,935.5
$
4,172.1
$
3,629.0
$
663.0
$
9,532.7
$

2017
186.5
$
162.4
$
30.9
$
424.2
$
305.5
$
265.5
$
47.3
$
699.9
$
491.9
$
427.9
$
78.2
$
1,124.1
$
1,627.3
$
1,417.1
$
269.3
$
3,701.7
$
2,666.0
$
2,317.3
$
412.8
$
6,108.2
$
4,293.3
$
3,734.4
$
682.1
$
9,810.0
$

2018
191.2
$
166.5
$
31.6
$
435.1
$
313.3
$
272.4
$
48.5
$
717.9
$
504.6
$
438.9
$
80.1
$
1,153.0
$
1,668.9
$
1,453.4
$
276.0
$
3,796.8
$
2,734.7
$
2,377.0
$
423.4
$
6,265.5
$
4,403.6
$
3,830.4
$
699.4
$
10,062.4
$

2019
195.7
$
170.4
$
32.3
$
445.2
$
320.7
$
278.7
$
49.6
$
734.7
$
516.3
$
449.1
$
82.0
$
1,179.8
$
1,707.6
$
1,487.0
$
282.2
$
3,885.1
$
2,798.4
$
2,432.4
$
433.3
$
6,411.6
$
4,506.0
$
3,919.4
$
715.5
$
10,296.7
$

2020
199.8
$
174.0
$
33.0
$
454.7
$
327.5
$
284.7
$
50.7
$
750.4
$
527.4
$
458.7
$
83.7
$
1,205.1
$
1,744.0
$
1,518.7
$
288.1
$
3,968.3
$
2,858.5
$
2,484.6
$
442.6
$
6,549.2
$
4,602.5
$
4,003.3
$
730.6
$
10,517.4
$

2021
203.8
$
177.5
$
33.6
$
463.8
$
334.1
$
290.4
$
51.7
$
765.4
$
537.9
$
467.9
$
85.4
$
1,229.2
$
1,778.7
$
1,548.8
$
293.6
$
4,047.4
$
2,915.6
$
2,534.3
$
451.4
$
6,680.2
$
4,694.3
$
4,083.1
$
745.0
$
10,727.6
$

2022
207.6
$
180.8
$
34.2
$
472.5
$
340.4
$
295.8
$
52.7
$
779.8
$
548.0
$
476.6
$
86.9
$
1,252.3
$
1,811.9
$
1,577.7
$
298.9
$
4,123.4
$
2,970.5
$
2,582.0
$
460.0
$
6,806.0
$
4,782.5
$
4,159.7
$
758.8
$
10,929.3
$

2023
211.3
$
184.0
$
34.8
$
480.9
$
346.5
$
301.1
$
53.6
$
793.8
$
557.8
$
485.1
$
88.5
$
1,274.7
$
1,844.0
$
1,605.7
$
304.0
$
4,196.8
$
3,023.6
$
2,628.1
$
468.2
$
6,927.6
$
4,867.7
$
4,233.7
$
772.2
$
11,124.4
$

2024
214.9
$
187.1
$
35.4
$
489.1
$
352.4
$
306.3
$
54.6
$
807.3
$
567.2
$
493.4
$
90.0
$
1,296.4
$
1,875.3
$
1,632.8
$
308.9
$
4,268.2
$
3,075.2
$
2,672.9
$
476.2
$
7,045.8
$
4,950.5
$
4,305.7
$
785.1
$
11,314.0
$

2025
218.4
$
190.1
$
36.0
$
497.1
$
358.1
$
311.3
$
55.5
$
820.6
$
576.5
$
501.4
$
91.4
$
1,317.6
$
1,905.8
$
1,659.3
$
313.8
$
4,338.0
$
3,125.7
$
2,716.7
$
484.0
$
7,161.4
$
5,031.5
$
4,376.0
$
797.8
$
11,499.4
$

2026
221.8
$
193.1
$
36.5
$
504.9
$
363.8
$
316.2
$
56.3
$
833.6
$
585.6
$
509.3
$
92.8
$
1,338.5
$
1,935.7
$
1,685.3
$
318.5
$
4,406.4
$
3,175.2
$
2,759.7
$
491.7
$
7,274.8
$
5,110.9
$
4,445.0
$
810.2
$
11,681.2
$

2027
225.2
$
196.0
$
37.0
$
512.6
$
369.4
$
321.1
$
57.2
$
846.4
$
594.6
$
517.1
$
94.2
$
1,359.0
$
1,965.2
$
1,711.0
$
323.1
$
4,473.8
$
3,223.9
$
2,802.0
$
499.2
$
7,386.5
$
5,189.1
$
4,513.0
$
822.4
$
11,860.3
$

Total
3,527.6
$
3,071.8
$
583.2
$
8,025.7
$
5,780.7
$
5,024.4
$
895.0
$
13,244.3
$
9,308.3
$
8,096.2
$
1,478.2
$
21,270.0
$
30,786.3
$
26,808.6
$
5,089.8
$
70,042.1
$
50,449.6
$
43,849.4
$
7,811.1
$
115,586.9
$
81,236.0
$
70,658.1
$
12,900.9
$
185,629.0
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
24b,
and
E.
24e.
(
All
Surface
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
16a
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.7
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
1.2
$
1.1
$
0.2
$
2.8
$
2.0
$
1.7
$
0.3
$
4.5
$
6.5
$
5.7
$
1.1
$
14.9
$
10.7
$
9.3
$
1.7
$
24.5
$
17.2
$
15.0
$
2.7
$
39.4
$

2007
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.1
$
3.0
$
2.6
$
0.5
$
6.8
$
4.8
$
4.1
$
0.8
$
10.9
$
15.8
$
13.7
$
2.6
$
35.8
$
25.8
$
22.4
$
4.0
$
59.1
$
41.5
$
36.1
$
6.6
$
94.9
$

2008
3.0
$
2.6
$
0.5
$
6.9
$
5.0
$
4.3
$
0.8
$
11.4
$
8.0
$
7.0
$
1.3
$
18.3
$
26.5
$
23.1
$
4.4
$
60.3
$
43.4
$
37.7
$
6.7
$
99.5
$
70.0
$
60.9
$
11.1
$
159.8
$

2009
4.4
$
3.8
$
0.7
$
10.0
$
7.2
$
6.3
$
1.1
$
16.5
$
11.6
$
10.1
$
1.8
$
26.5
$
38.5
$
33.5
$
6.4
$
87.4
$
62.9
$
54.7
$
9.7
$
144.2
$
101.4
$
88.2
$
16.1
$
231.6
$

2010
5.9
$
5.1
$
1.0
$
13.4
$
9.6
$
8.4
$
1.5
$
22.0
$
15.5
$
13.5
$
2.5
$
35.4
$
51.3
$
44.6
$
8.5
$
116.5
$
83.9
$
72.9
$
13.0
$
192.2
$
135.1
$
117.6
$
21.5
$
308.7
$

2011
7.4
$
6.5
$
1.2
$
16.9
$
12.2
$
10.6
$
1.9
$
27.8
$
19.6
$
17.0
$
3.1
$
44.7
$
64.8
$
56.4
$
10.8
$
147.3
$
106.1
$
92.2
$
16.4
$
243.0
$
170.9
$
148.6
$
27.2
$
390.4
$

2012
8.4
$
7.3
$
1.4
$
19.1
$
13.8
$
12.0
$
2.1
$
31.5
$
22.2
$
19.3
$
3.5
$
50.6
$
73.4
$
63.9
$
12.2
$
166.8
$
120.1
$
104.4
$
18.6
$
275.2
$
193.5
$
168.3
$
30.8
$
442.0
$

2013
9.2
$
8.0
$
1.5
$
20.9
$
15.1
$
13.1
$
2.3
$
34.5
$
24.2
$
21.1
$
3.9
$
55.4
$
80.2
$
69.9
$
13.3
$
182.5
$
131.4
$
114.2
$
20.3
$
301.0
$
211.6
$
184.1
$
33.7
$
483.5
$

2014
9.9
$
8.6
$
1.6
$
22.5
$
16.2
$
14.1
$
2.5
$
37.1
$
26.1
$
22.7
$
4.1
$
59.6
$
86.3
$
75.2
$
14.3
$
196.3
$
141.3
$
122.8
$
21.9
$
323.8
$
227.6
$
198.0
$
36.2
$
520.1
$

2015
10.4
$
9.0
$
1.7
$
23.6
$
17.0
$
14.8
$
2.6
$
38.9
$
27.4
$
23.8
$
4.4
$
62.5
$
90.5
$
78.9
$
15.0
$
205.9
$
148.3
$
128.9
$
23.0
$
339.8
$
238.9
$
207.8
$
38.0
$
545.7
$

2016
10.8
$
9.4
$
1.8
$
24.5
$
17.6
$
15.3
$
2.7
$
40.4
$
28.4
$
24.7
$
4.5
$
64.9
$
94.0
$
81.8
$
15.6
$
213.8
$
154.0
$
133.8
$
23.8
$
352.7
$
247.9
$
215.7
$
39.4
$
566.5
$

2017
11.1
$
9.7
$
1.8
$
25.3
$
18.2
$
15.8
$
2.8
$
41.7
$
29.3
$
25.5
$
4.7
$
67.0
$
96.9
$
84.4
$
16.0
$
220.5
$
158.8
$
138.0
$
24.6
$
363.9
$
255.8
$
222.5
$
40.6
$
584.4
$

2018
11.4
$
9.9
$
1.9
$
26.0
$
18.7
$
16.3
$
2.9
$
42.8
$
30.1
$
26.2
$
4.8
$
68.8
$
99.6
$
86.7
$
16.5
$
226.5
$
163.2
$
141.8
$
25.3
$
373.8
$
262.7
$
228.5
$
41.7
$
600.4
$

2019
11.7
$
10.2
$
1.9
$
26.6
$
19.2
$
16.6
$
3.0
$
43.9
$
30.8
$
26.8
$
4.9
$
70.5
$
102.0
$
88.8
$
16.9
$
232.1
$
167.2
$
145.3
$
25.9
$
383.0
$
269.1
$
234.1
$
42.7
$
615.0
$

2020
11.9
$
10.4
$
2.0
$
27.2
$
19.6
$
17.0
$
3.0
$
44.9
$
31.5
$
27.4
$
5.0
$
72.0
$
104.3
$
90.8
$
17.2
$
237.2
$
170.9
$
148.5
$
26.5
$
391.5
$
275.1
$
239.3
$
43.7
$
628.7
$

2021
12.2
$
10.6
$
2.0
$
27.7
$
20.0
$
17.4
$
3.1
$
45.8
$
32.2
$
28.0
$
5.1
$
73.5
$
106.4
$
92.6
$
17.6
$
242.1
$
174.4
$
151.6
$
27.0
$
399.6
$
280.8
$
244.2
$
44.6
$
641.7
$

2022
12.4
$
10.8
$
2.0
$
28.3
$
20.4
$
17.7
$
3.2
$
46.7
$
32.8
$
28.5
$
5.2
$
74.9
$
108.4
$
94.4
$
17.9
$
246.8
$
177.8
$
154.5
$
27.5
$
407.3
$
286.2
$
248.9
$
45.4
$
654.1
$

2023
12.6
$
11.0
$
2.1
$
28.8
$
20.7
$
18.0
$
3.2
$
47.5
$
33.4
$
29.0
$
5.3
$
76.3
$
110.4
$
96.1
$
18.2
$
251.3
$
181.0
$
157.3
$
28.0
$
414.7
$
291.4
$
253.5
$
46.2
$
666.0
$

2024
12.9
$
11.2
$
2.1
$
29.3
$
21.1
$
18.3
$
3.3
$
48.3
$
34.0
$
29.5
$
5.4
$
77.6
$
112.3
$
97.8
$
18.5
$
255.6
$
184.2
$
160.1
$
28.5
$
422.0
$
296.5
$
257.9
$
47.0
$
677.6
$

2025
13.1
$
11.4
$
2.2
$
29.8
$
21.5
$
18.6
$
3.3
$
49.2
$
34.5
$
30.0
$
5.5
$
78.9
$
114.2
$
99.4
$
18.8
$
259.9
$
187.2
$
162.7
$
29.0
$
429.0
$
301.4
$
262.1
$
47.8
$
688.8
$

2026
13.3
$
11.6
$
2.2
$
30.3
$
21.8
$
18.9
$
3.4
$
49.9
$
35.1
$
30.5
$
5.6
$
80.2
$
116.0
$
101.0
$
19.1
$
264.0
$
190.2
$
165.3
$
29.5
$
435.9
$
306.2
$
266.3
$
48.5
$
699.9
$

2027
13.5
$
11.7
$
2.2
$
30.7
$
22.1
$
19.2
$
3.4
$
50.7
$
35.6
$
31.0
$
5.6
$
81.4
$
117.8
$
102.5
$
19.4
$
268.1
$
193.2
$
167.9
$
29.9
$
442.6
$
311.0
$
270.4
$
49.3
$
710.7
$

Total
208.1
$
181.2
$
34.4
$
473.4
$
341.0
$
296.4
$
52.8
$
781.3
$
549.1
$
477.6
$
87.2
$
1,254.7
$
1,816.0
$
1,581.4
$
300.2
$
4,131.6
$
2,975.9
$
2,586.6
$
460.8
$
6,818.3
$
4,791.9
$
4,168.0
$
761.0
$
10,949.9
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
24c,
and
E.
24f.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
16b
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
All
Ground
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
14.2
$
12.4
$
2.4
$
32.3
$
23.2
$
20.2
$
3.6
$
53.2
$
37.4
$
32.6
$
6.0
$
85.5
$
124.0
$
108.0
$
20.7
$
281.8
$
202.8
$
176.3
$
31.4
$
464.6
$
326.8
$
284.3
$
52.1
$
746.4
$

2007
34.2
$
29.8
$
5.7
$
77.8
$
56.0
$
48.7
$
8.7
$
128.3
$
90.2
$
78.5
$
14.4
$
206.0
$
298.6
$
260.1
$
49.8
$
678.8
$
488.6
$
424.6
$
75.6
$
1,119.3
$
787.2
$
684.7
$
125.4
$
1,798.1
$

2008
57.7
$
50.2
$
9.6
$
131.0
$
94.3
$
82.0
$
14.6
$
216.1
$
152.0
$
132.2
$
24.2
$
347.2
$
503.1
$
438.2
$
83.8
$
1,143.7
$
823.2
$
715.5
$
127.4
$
1,886.1
$
1,326.4
$
1,153.7
$
211.3
$
3,029.7
$

2009
83.5
$
72.7
$
13.9
$
189.9
$
136.7
$
118.8
$
21.2
$
313.1
$
220.2
$
191.5
$
35.1
$
503.0
$
728.9
$
634.9
$
121.3
$
1,657.1
$
1,192.8
$
1,036.7
$
184.7
$
2,732.9
$
1,921.8
$
1,671.6
$
306.0
$
4,390.0
$

2010
111.3
$
97.0
$
18.5
$
253.1
$
182.2
$
158.4
$
28.2
$
417.4
$
293.5
$
255.3
$
46.7
$
670.5
$
971.5
$
846.1
$
161.6
$
2,208.8
$
1,590.1
$
1,382.0
$
246.2
$
3,643.0
$
2,561.6
$
2,228.1
$
407.8
$
5,851.8
$

2011
140.7
$
122.6
$
23.4
$
320.0
$
230.4
$
200.2
$
35.7
$
527.8
$
371.1
$
322.8
$
59.1
$
847.9
$
1,228.3
$
1,069.8
$
204.2
$
2,792.8
$
2,010.7
$
1,747.6
$
311.3
$
4,606.6
$
3,239.0
$
2,817.3
$
515.4
$
7,399.4
$

2012
157.1
$
136.8
$
26.1
$
357.2
$
257.1
$
223.5
$
39.8
$
589.1
$
414.2
$
360.3
$
65.9
$
946.3
$
1,370.8
$
1,193.8
$
227.7
$
3,117.0
$
2,244.2
$
1,950.5
$
347.4
$
5,141.7
$
3,615.0
$
3,144.4
$
575.1
$
8,258.6
$

2013
168.8
$
147.0
$
28.0
$
383.8
$
276.4
$
240.2
$
42.8
$
633.2
$
445.2
$
387.2
$
70.8
$
1,017.1
$
1,473.1
$
1,282.9
$
244.5
$
3,349.9
$
2,412.1
$
2,096.5
$
373.4
$
5,526.3
$
3,885.2
$
3,379.4
$
617.9
$
8,876.2
$

2014
178.2
$
155.2
$
29.6
$
405.3
$
291.9
$
253.7
$
45.2
$
668.7
$
470.1
$
408.9
$
74.7
$
1,074.1
$
1,555.5
$
1,354.6
$
258.0
$
3,537.5
$
2,547.3
$
2,214.0
$
394.4
$
5,836.1
$
4,102.7
$
3,568.6
$
652.3
$
9,373.6
$

2015
185.7
$
161.7
$
30.8
$
422.3
$
304.1
$
264.3
$
47.1
$
696.7
$
489.8
$
426.0
$
77.9
$
1,119.0
$
1,620.3
$
1,411.1
$
268.5
$
3,685.4
$
2,653.9
$
2,306.7
$
410.9
$
6,080.4
$
4,274.2
$
3,717.8
$
679.4
$
9,765.8
$

2016
192.0
$
167.2
$
31.8
$
436.7
$
314.5
$
273.3
$
48.7
$
720.5
$
506.5
$
440.5
$
80.5
$
1,157.2
$
1,675.5
$
1,459.1
$
277.5
$
3,811.0
$
2,744.6
$
2,385.5
$
424.9
$
6,288.2
$
4,420.0
$
3,844.6
$
702.4
$
10,099.2
$

2017
197.6
$
172.0
$
32.7
$
449.4
$
323.7
$
281.3
$
50.1
$
741.6
$
521.2
$
453.4
$
82.8
$
1,191.0
$
1,724.2
$
1,501.5
$
285.4
$
3,922.3
$
2,824.8
$
2,455.3
$
437.4
$
6,472.1
$
4,549.0
$
3,956.8
$
722.7
$
10,394.3
$

2018
202.6
$
176.5
$
33.5
$
461.0
$
332.0
$
288.6
$
51.4
$
760.8
$
534.7
$
465.1
$
84.9
$
1,221.8
$
1,768.5
$
1,540.1
$
292.5
$
4,023.4
$
2,897.8
$
2,518.8
$
448.7
$
6,639.4
$
4,666.4
$
4,058.9
$
741.2
$
10,662.7
$

2019
207.4
$
180.6
$
34.3
$
471.8
$
339.8
$
295.4
$
52.6
$
778.5
$
547.2
$
475.9
$
86.9
$
1,250.3
$
1,809.6
$
1,575.8
$
299.1
$
4,117.2
$
2,965.6
$
2,577.7
$
459.2
$
6,794.5
$
4,775.2
$
4,153.5
$
758.3
$
10,911.7
$

2020
211.8
$
184.4
$
35.0
$
481.9
$
347.1
$
301.7
$
53.7
$
795.3
$
558.9
$
486.1
$
88.7
$
1,277.2
$
1,848.3
$
1,609.5
$
305.3
$
4,205.5
$
3,029.3
$
2,633.1
$
469.0
$
6,940.7
$
4,877.6
$
4,242.6
$
774.3
$
11,146.1
$

2021
216.0
$
188.1
$
35.7
$
491.5
$
354.1
$
307.8
$
54.8
$
811.2
$
570.1
$
495.8
$
90.5
$
1,302.7
$
1,885.1
$
1,641.5
$
311.1
$
4,289.5
$
3,090.1
$
2,685.9
$
478.4
$
7,079.8
$
4,975.1
$
4,327.3
$
789.6
$
11,369.3
$

2022
220.0
$
191.6
$
36.3
$
500.7
$
360.7
$
313.6
$
55.9
$
826.5
$
580.8
$
505.2
$
92.2
$
1,327.3
$
1,920.3
$
1,672.1
$
316.8
$
4,370.1
$
3,148.3
$
2,736.5
$
487.5
$
7,213.3
$
5,068.7
$
4,408.6
$
804.2
$
11,583.4
$

2023
223.9
$
195.0
$
36.9
$
509.7
$
367.2
$
319.2
$
56.9
$
841.3
$
591.1
$
514.2
$
93.8
$
1,351.0
$
1,954.4
$
1,701.8
$
322.2
$
4,448.1
$
3,204.6
$
2,785.4
$
496.2
$
7,342.3
$
5,159.1
$
4,487.2
$
818.4
$
11,790.4
$

2024
227.7
$
198.3
$
37.5
$
518.4
$
373.5
$
324.6
$
57.8
$
855.7
$
601.2
$
522.9
$
95.3
$
1,374.0
$
1,987.6
$
1,730.6
$
327.4
$
4,523.8
$
3,259.4
$
2,833.0
$
504.7
$
7,467.8
$
5,247.0
$
4,563.6
$
832.1
$
11,991.6
$

2025
231.5
$
201.5
$
38.1
$
526.8
$
379.6
$
329.9
$
58.8
$
869.7
$
611.1
$
531.5
$
96.9
$
1,396.6
$
2,020.0
$
1,758.7
$
332.6
$
4,597.8
$
3,312.9
$
2,879.4
$
513.0
$
7,590.4
$
5,332.9
$
4,638.2
$
845.5
$
12,188.2
$

2026
235.1
$
204.7
$
38.7
$
535.2
$
385.6
$
335.2
$
59.7
$
883.5
$
620.7
$
539.8
$
98.4
$
1,418.7
$
2,051.7
$
1,786.3
$
337.6
$
4,670.4
$
3,365.4
$
2,925.0
$
521.1
$
7,710.7
$
5,417.1
$
4,711.4
$
858.7
$
12,381.1
$

2027
238.7
$
207.8
$
39.2
$
543.3
$
391.5
$
340.3
$
60.6
$
897.1
$
630.2
$
548.1
$
99.9
$
1,440.4
$
2,083.0
$
1,813.5
$
342.5
$
4,741.9
$
3,417.1
$
2,969.9
$
529.1
$
7,829.1
$
5,500.1
$
4,783.4
$
871.6
$
12,571.0
$

Total
3,735.7
$
3,253.0
$
617.6
$
8,499.1
$
6,121.7
$
5,320.8
$
947.8
$
14,025.6
$
9,857.4
$
8,573.8
$
1,565.4
$
22,524.7
$
32,602.3
$
28,390.0
$
5,390.0
$
74,173.7
$
53,425.6
$
46,436.0
$
8,271.9
$
122,405.2
$
86,027.9
$
74,826.0
$
13,661.8
$
196,578.9
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
16a
and
F.
16b.
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
16c
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
13.0
$
11.3
$
2.2
$
29.5
$
21.3
$
18.5
$
3.3
$
48.7
$
34.3
$
29.8
$
5.5
$
78.3
$
113.5
$
98.8
$
18.9
$
257.9
$
185.6
$
161.3
$
28.7
$
425.2
$
299.1
$
260.1
$
47.7
$
683.1
$

2007
30.4
$
26.5
$
5.1
$
69.1
$
49.7
$
43.2
$
7.7
$
114.0
$
80.1
$
69.7
$
12.8
$
183.1
$
265.3
$
231.1
$
44.2
$
603.1
$
434.1
$
377.3
$
67.2
$
994.5
$
699.4
$
608.4
$
111.4
$
1,597.6
$

2008
49.7
$
43.3
$
8.3
$
113.0
$
81.4
$
70.7
$
12.6
$
186.4
$
131.1
$
114.0
$
20.9
$
299.5
$
434.0
$
378.0
$
72.3
$
986.5
$
710.1
$
617.2
$
109.9
$
1,626.9
$
1,144.1
$
995.2
$
182.2
$
2,613.5
$

2009
69.9
$
60.9
$
11.6
$
159.0
$
114.5
$
99.5
$
17.7
$
262.3
$
184.4
$
160.4
$
29.4
$
421.3
$
610.5
$
531.7
$
101.6
$
1,387.8
$
999.0
$
868.3
$
154.6
$
2,288.8
$
1,609.5
$
1,399.9
$
256.3
$
3,676.5
$

2010
90.5
$
78.8
$
15.1
$
205.8
$
148.1
$
128.8
$
22.9
$
339.4
$
238.7
$
207.6
$
38.0
$
545.2
$
789.9
$
688.0
$
131.4
$
1,795.9
$
1,292.9
$
1,123.7
$
200.2
$
2,962.1
$
2,082.8
$
1,811.7
$
331.5
$
4,758.1
$

2011
111.1
$
96.8
$
18.5
$
252.6
$
181.9
$
158.1
$
28.2
$
416.7
$
293.0
$
254.8
$
46.6
$
669.3
$
969.6
$
844.5
$
161.2
$
2,204.7
$
1,587.2
$
1,379.5
$
245.7
$
3,636.5
$
2,556.9
$
2,224.0
$
406.9
$
5,841.2
$

2012
120.4
$
104.8
$
20.0
$
273.7
$
197.1
$
171.3
$
30.5
$
451.5
$
317.5
$
276.1
$
50.5
$
725.3
$
1,050.6
$
915.0
$
174.5
$
2,388.9
$
1,720.0
$
1,494.9
$
266.3
$
3,940.7
$
2,770.6
$
2,409.9
$
440.8
$
6,329.6
$

2013
125.6
$
109.4
$
20.8
$
285.6
$
205.7
$
178.7
$
31.8
$
471.2
$
331.3
$
288.1
$
52.7
$
756.8
$
1,096.1
$
954.6
$
181.9
$
2,492.7
$
1,794.8
$
1,560.0
$
277.9
$
4,112.1
$
2,890.9
$
2,514.6
$
459.8
$
6,604.7
$

2014
128.8
$
112.1
$
21.4
$
292.8
$
210.9
$
183.3
$
32.6
$
483.1
$
339.6
$
295.4
$
54.0
$
775.9
$
1,123.7
$
978.6
$
186.4
$
2,555.6
$
1,840.2
$
1,599.5
$
284.9
$
4,216.1
$
2,963.9
$
2,578.1
$
471.3
$
6,771.7
$

2015
130.2
$
113.4
$
21.6
$
296.2
$
213.3
$
185.4
$
33.0
$
488.7
$
343.5
$
298.8
$
54.6
$
784.8
$
1,136.5
$
989.7
$
188.4
$
2,584.8
$
1,861.4
$
1,617.9
$
288.2
$
4,264.7
$
2,997.9
$
2,607.6
$
476.5
$
6,849.5
$

2016
130.7
$
113.8
$
21.7
$
297.4
$
214.1
$
186.1
$
33.2
$
490.6
$
344.9
$
300.0
$
54.8
$
788.0
$
1,140.9
$
993.6
$
189.0
$
2,595.1
$
1,868.9
$
1,624.4
$
289.4
$
4,281.9
$
3,009.8
$
2,618.0
$
478.3
$
6,877.1
$

2017
130.6
$
113.7
$
21.6
$
297.1
$
214.0
$
186.0
$
33.1
$
490.3
$
344.6
$
299.7
$
54.7
$
787.4
$
1,139.9
$
992.7
$
188.7
$
2,593.1
$
1,867.6
$
1,623.3
$
289.1
$
4,278.8
$
3,007.5
$
2,615.9
$
477.8
$
6,871.9
$

2018
130.1
$
113.3
$
21.5
$
295.9
$
213.1
$
185.2
$
33.0
$
488.3
$
343.2
$
298.5
$
54.5
$
784.2
$
1,135.1
$
988.5
$
187.7
$
2,582.5
$
1,860.0
$
1,616.7
$
288.0
$
4,261.5
$
2,995.2
$
2,605.2
$
475.7
$
6,844.0
$

2019
129.2
$
112.5
$
21.4
$
294.0
$
211.8
$
184.1
$
32.8
$
485.2
$
341.0
$
296.6
$
54.1
$
779.1
$
1,127.7
$
982.0
$
186.4
$
2,565.7
$
1,848.0
$
1,606.3
$
286.1
$
4,234.1
$
2,975.7
$
2,588.3
$
472.5
$
6,799.8
$

2020
128.1
$
111.6
$
21.2
$
291.5
$
210.0
$
182.5
$
32.5
$
481.2
$
338.1
$
294.1
$
53.7
$
772.7
$
1,118.2
$
973.8
$
184.7
$
2,544.4
$
1,832.8
$
1,593.1
$
283.8
$
4,199.2
$
2,951.0
$
2,566.8
$
468.5
$
6,743.6
$

2021
126.9
$
110.5
$
20.9
$
288.7
$
208.0
$
180.8
$
32.2
$
476.5
$
334.9
$
291.3
$
53.1
$
765.2
$
1,107.3
$
964.2
$
182.8
$
2,519.6
$
1,815.1
$
1,577.7
$
281.0
$
4,158.6
$
2,922.4
$
2,541.8
$
463.8
$
6,678.3
$

2022
125.5
$
109.3
$
20.7
$
285.6
$
205.7
$
178.8
$
31.9
$
471.4
$
331.2
$
288.1
$
52.6
$
756.9
$
1,095.1
$
953.6
$
180.6
$
2,492.2
$
1,795.4
$
1,560.6
$
278.0
$
4,113.6
$
2,890.6
$
2,514.2
$
458.6
$
6,605.9
$

2023
124.0
$
108.0
$
20.4
$
282.2
$
203.3
$
176.7
$
31.5
$
465.8
$
327.3
$
284.7
$
51.9
$
748.0
$
1,082.1
$
942.2
$
178.4
$
2,462.8
$
1,774.3
$
1,542.2
$
274.7
$
4,065.3
$
2,856.5
$
2,484.4
$
453.1
$
6,528.0
$

2024
122.4
$
106.6
$
20.2
$
278.6
$
200.8
$
174.5
$
31.1
$
460.0
$
323.2
$
281.1
$
51.3
$
738.6
$
1,068.4
$
930.3
$
176.0
$
2,431.8
$
1,752.1
$
1,522.9
$
271.3
$
4,014.3
$
2,820.5
$
2,453.1
$
447.3
$
6,446.1
$

2025
120.8
$
105.2
$
19.9
$
275.0
$
198.1
$
172.2
$
30.7
$
453.9
$
318.9
$
277.4
$
50.6
$
728.9
$
1,054.2
$
917.9
$
173.6
$
2,399.6
$
1,729.0
$
1,502.8
$
267.7
$
3,961.4
$
2,783.2
$
2,420.6
$
441.3
$
6,360.9
$

2026
119.1
$
103.7
$
19.6
$
271.2
$
195.4
$
169.8
$
30.3
$
447.7
$
314.5
$
273.5
$
49.9
$
718.8
$
1,039.6
$
905.1
$
171.0
$
2,366.5
$
1,705.2
$
1,482.1
$
264.0
$
3,906.9
$
2,744.8
$
2,387.2
$
435.1
$
6,273.4
$

2027
117.4
$
102.2
$
19.3
$
267.3
$
192.6
$
167.4
$
29.8
$
441.3
$
310.0
$
269.6
$
49.1
$
708.6
$
1,024.7
$
892.1
$
168.5
$
2,332.7
$
1,681.0
$
1,461.0
$
260.3
$
3,851.4
$
2,705.7
$
2,353.1
$
428.8
$
6,184.1
$

Total
2,374.5
$
2,067.8
$
392.8
$
5,401.9
$
3,890.6
$
3,381.6
$
602.4
$
8,914.0
$
6,265.2
$
5,449.4
$
995.2
$
14,315.9
$
20,723.1
$
18,045.9
$
3,428.1
$
47,143.7
$
33,954.7
$
29,512.5
$
5,257.1
$
77,794.8
$
54,677.8
$
47,558.4
$
8,685.3
$
124,938.5
$

Ann.
136.4
$
118.7
$
22.6
$
310.2
$
223.4
$
194.2
$
34.6
$
511.9
$
359.8
$
312.9
$
57.2
$
822.1
$
1,190.1
$
1,036.3
$
196.9
$
2,707.4
$
1,949.9
$
1,694.8
$
301.9
$
4,467.6
$
3,140.0
$
2,731.2
$
498.8
$
7,175.0
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
16c.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
16d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
11.6
$
10.1
$
1.9
$
26.4
$
19.0
$
16.5
$
2.9
$
43.5
$
30.6
$
26.6
$
4.9
$
69.8
$
101.2
$
88.2
$
16.9
$
230.0
$
165.6
$
143.9
$
25.6
$
379.3
$
266.8
$
232.0
$
42.5
$
609.3
$

2007
26.1
$
22.7
$
4.4
$
59.3
$
42.7
$
37.1
$
6.6
$
97.8
$
68.8
$
59.9
$
11.0
$
157.2
$
227.8
$
198.4
$
38.0
$
517.8
$
372.7
$
323.9
$
57.7
$
853.9
$
600.5
$
522.4
$
95.7
$
1,371.8
$

2008
41.1
$
35.8
$
6.8
$
93.4
$
67.3
$
58.5
$
10.4
$
154.1
$
108.4
$
94.3
$
17.3
$
247.5
$
358.7
$
312.4
$
59.8
$
815.4
$
586.9
$
510.1
$
90.9
$
1,344.7
$
945.7
$
822.6
$
150.6
$
2,160.2
$

2009
55.7
$
48.5
$
9.3
$
126.5
$
91.1
$
79.2
$
14.1
$
208.7
$
146.7
$
127.6
$
23.4
$
335.2
$
485.7
$
423.0
$
80.9
$
1,104.2
$
794.8
$
690.8
$
123.0
$
1,821.0
$
1,280.6
$
1,113.8
$
203.9
$
2,925.2
$

2010
69.3
$
60.4
$
11.5
$
157.6
$
113.5
$
98.6
$
17.6
$
260.0
$
182.8
$
159.0
$
29.1
$
417.6
$
605.0
$
526.9
$
100.6
$
1,375.5
$
990.2
$
860.6
$
153.3
$
2,268.7
$
1,595.2
$
1,387.6
$
253.9
$
3,644.2
$

2011
81.9
$
71.3
$
13.6
$
186.2
$
134.1
$
116.5
$
20.8
$
307.2
$
216.0
$
187.9
$
34.4
$
493.5
$
714.9
$
622.6
$
118.8
$
1,625.4
$
1,170.2
$
1,017.1
$
181.2
$
2,681.1
$
1,885.1
$
1,639.7
$
300.0
$
4,306.5
$

2012
85.4
$
74.4
$
14.2
$
194.3
$
139.9
$
121.6
$
21.7
$
320.5
$
225.3
$
196.0
$
35.8
$
514.7
$
745.6
$
649.4
$
123.8
$
1,695.4
$
1,220.7
$
1,061.0
$
189.0
$
2,796.7
$
1,966.3
$
1,710.3
$
312.8
$
4,492.2
$

2013
85.8
$
74.7
$
14.2
$
195.1
$
140.5
$
122.1
$
21.8
$
321.9
$
226.3
$
196.8
$
36.0
$
517.0
$
748.8
$
652.2
$
124.3
$
1,702.9
$
1,226.2
$
1,065.7
$
189.8
$
2,809.3
$
1,975.0
$
1,717.9
$
314.1
$
4,512.2
$

2014
84.7
$
73.7
$
14.0
$
192.6
$
138.7
$
120.5
$
21.5
$
317.7
$
223.3
$
194.3
$
35.5
$
510.3
$
739.0
$
643.6
$
122.6
$
1,680.6
$
1,210.2
$
1,051.9
$
187.4
$
2,772.7
$
1,949.2
$
1,695.4
$
309.9
$
4,453.3
$

2015
82.4
$
71.8
$
13.7
$
187.5
$
135.0
$
117.4
$
20.9
$
309.4
$
217.5
$
189.1
$
34.6
$
496.8
$
719.4
$
626.5
$
119.2
$
1,636.3
$
1,178.4
$
1,024.2
$
182.4
$
2,699.8
$
1,897.8
$
1,650.8
$
301.7
$
4,336.1
$

2016
79.7
$
69.4
$
13.2
$
181.2
$
130.5
$
113.4
$
20.2
$
299.0
$
210.2
$
182.8
$
33.4
$
480.2
$
695.3
$
605.5
$
115.1
$
1,581.4
$
1,138.9
$
989.9
$
176.3
$
2,609.4
$
1,834.2
$
1,595.4
$
291.5
$
4,190.8
$

2017
76.6
$
66.7
$
12.7
$
174.3
$
125.5
$
109.1
$
19.4
$
287.6
$
202.1
$
175.8
$
32.1
$
461.9
$
668.7
$
582.3
$
110.7
$
1,521.1
$
1,095.5
$
952.2
$
169.6
$
2,510.0
$
1,764.2
$
1,534.5
$
280.3
$
4,031.1
$

2018
73.4
$
64.0
$
12.1
$
167.1
$
120.3
$
104.6
$
18.6
$
275.7
$
193.8
$
168.6
$
30.8
$
442.8
$
641.0
$
558.2
$
106.0
$
1,458.3
$
1,050.3
$
912.9
$
162.6
$
2,406.4
$
1,691.3
$
1,471.1
$
268.6
$
3,864.7
$

2019
70.2
$
61.2
$
11.6
$
159.8
$
115.1
$
100.0
$
17.8
$
263.7
$
185.3
$
161.2
$
29.4
$
423.5
$
613.0
$
533.8
$
101.3
$
1,394.6
$
1,004.5
$
873.2
$
155.5
$
2,301.5
$
1,617.5
$
1,406.9
$
256.8
$
3,696.2
$

2020
67.0
$
58.4
$
11.1
$
152.6
$
109.9
$
95.5
$
17.0
$
251.8
$
176.9
$
153.9
$
28.1
$
404.3
$
585.1
$
509.5
$
96.6
$
1,331.3
$
959.0
$
833.6
$
148.5
$
2,197.2
$
1,544.1
$
1,343.1
$
245.1
$
3,528.6
$

2021
63.9
$
55.6
$
10.5
$
145.4
$
104.8
$
91.1
$
16.2
$
240.0
$
168.7
$
146.7
$
26.8
$
385.4
$
557.7
$
485.7
$
92.1
$
1,269.1
$
914.2
$
794.6
$
141.6
$
2,094.6
$
1,472.0
$
1,280.3
$
233.6
$
3,363.8
$

2022
60.8
$
53.0
$
10.0
$
138.5
$
99.7
$
86.7
$
15.4
$
228.5
$
160.6
$
139.7
$
25.5
$
367.0
$
531.0
$
462.4
$
87.6
$
1,208.4
$
870.5
$
756.7
$
134.8
$
1,994.5
$
1,401.5
$
1,219.0
$
222.4
$
3,202.9
$

2023
57.9
$
50.4
$
9.5
$
131.7
$
94.9
$
82.5
$
14.7
$
217.4
$
152.8
$
132.9
$
24.2
$
349.1
$
505.1
$
439.8
$
83.3
$
1,149.5
$
828.1
$
719.8
$
128.2
$
1,897.4
$
1,333.2
$
1,159.6
$
211.5
$
3,046.9
$

2024
55.0
$
47.9
$
9.1
$
125.2
$
90.2
$
78.4
$
14.0
$
206.7
$
145.2
$
126.3
$
23.0
$
331.8
$
480.0
$
418.0
$
79.1
$
1,092.6
$
787.2
$
684.2
$
121.9
$
1,803.6
$
1,267.2
$
1,102.2
$
201.0
$
2,896.1
$

2025
52.2
$
45.5
$
8.6
$
118.9
$
85.7
$
74.5
$
13.3
$
196.3
$
137.9
$
120.0
$
21.9
$
315.2
$
455.9
$
397.0
$
75.1
$
1,037.8
$
747.8
$
649.9
$
115.8
$
1,713.2
$
1,203.7
$
1,046.9
$
190.8
$
2,751.0
$

2026
49.6
$
43.2
$
8.2
$
112.9
$
81.3
$
70.7
$
12.6
$
186.4
$
130.9
$
113.9
$
20.8
$
299.3
$
432.8
$
376.8
$
71.2
$
985.2
$
709.9
$
617.0
$
109.9
$
1,626.5
$
1,142.7
$
993.8
$
181.1
$
2,611.8
$

2027
47.1
$
41.0
$
7.7
$
107.1
$
77.2
$
67.1
$
12.0
$
176.9
$
124.2
$
108.1
$
19.7
$
284.0
$
410.6
$
357.5
$
67.5
$
934.9
$
673.7
$
585.5
$
104.3
$
1,543.5
$
1,084.3
$
943.0
$
171.8
$
2,478.3
$

Total
1,377.6
$
1,199.6
$
228.1
$
3,133.6
$
2,256.8
$
1,961.5
$
349.4
$
5,170.6
$
3,634.4
$
3,161.2
$
577.5
$
8,304.2
$
12,022.5
$
10,469.6
$
1,990.4
$
27,347.9
$
19,695.7
$
17,118.9
$
3,049.4
$
45,125.2
$
31,718.2
$
27,588.4
$
5,039.8
$
72,473.2
$

Ann.
118.2
$
102.9
$
19.6
$
268.9
$
193.7
$
168.3
$
30.0
$
443.7
$
311.9
$
271.3
$
49.6
$
712.6
$
1,031.7
$
898.4
$
170.8
$
2,346.7
$
1,690.1
$
1,469.0
$
261.7
$
3,872.2
$
2,721.8
$
2,367.4
$
432.5
$
6,219.0
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
16c.
Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Exhibit
F.
16e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
(
All
Water
Systems)

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
5.4
$
3.4
$
13.0
$
11.0
$
34.3
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.7
$
3.4
$
8.1
$
47.0
$
29.7
$
113.9
$
95.6
$
299.1
$

2007
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.2
$
12.6
$
8.0
$
30.5
$
25.6
$
80.1
$
0.2
$
1.3
$
1.7
$
7.9
$
18.9
$
110.0
$
69.6
$
266.3
$
223.6
$
699.4
$

2008
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.5
$
3.5
$
20.6
$
13.0
$
49.9
$
41.9
$
131.1
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.8
$
12.9
$
31.0
$
179.9
$
113.8
$
435.6
$
365.7
$
1,144.1
$

2009
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.5
$
2.1
$
5.0
$
29.0
$
18.3
$
70.2
$
58.9
$
184.4
$
0.4
$
3.0
$
3.9
$
18.2
$
43.6
$
253.1
$
160.1
$
612.7
$
514.5
$
1,609.5
$

2010
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.7
$
6.5
$
37.5
$
23.7
$
90.9
$
76.3
$
238.7
$
0.6
$
3.8
$
5.1
$
23.5
$
56.4
$
327.5
$
207.2
$
792.9
$
665.8
$
2,082.8
$

2011
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
3.3
$
7.9
$
46.1
$
29.1
$
111.5
$
93.7
$
293.0
$
0.7
$
4.7
$
6.3
$
28.9
$
69.2
$
402.1
$
254.3
$
973.4
$
817.3
$
2,556.9
$

2012
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.9
$
3.9
$
9.4
$
49.7
$
31.4
$
120.4
$
101.1
$
317.5
$
0.8
$
5.6
$
7.4
$
34.2
$
81.9
$
433.9
$
274.4
$
1,050.4
$
882.0
$
2,770.6
$

2013
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.0
$
4.5
$
10.8
$
51.6
$
32.6
$
124.9
$
104.9
$
331.3
$
0.9
$
6.4
$
8.6
$
39.4
$
94.5
$
450.4
$
284.9
$
1,090.3
$
915.5
$
2,890.9
$

2014
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
5.1
$
12.2
$
52.6
$
33.3
$
127.4
$
107.0
$
339.6
$
1.1
$
7.3
$
9.7
$
44.6
$
106.7
$
459.2
$
290.4
$
1,111.6
$
933.4
$
2,963.9
$

2015
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.2
$
5.4
$
12.8
$
53.1
$
33.6
$
128.5
$
107.9
$
343.5
$
1.1
$
7.6
$
10.1
$
46.7
$
111.9
$
463.4
$
293.1
$
1,121.9
$
942.0
$
2,997.9
$

2016
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.2
$
5.5
$
13.1
$
53.2
$
33.7
$
128.9
$
108.2
$
344.9
$
1.1
$
7.8
$
10.4
$
47.8
$
114.4
$
464.7
$
293.9
$
1,125.0
$
944.7
$
3,009.8
$

2017
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.2
$
5.5
$
13.2
$
53.2
$
33.6
$
128.7
$
108.1
$
344.6
$
1.2
$
7.9
$
10.5
$
48.3
$
115.6
$
464.0
$
293.5
$
1,123.4
$
943.2
$
3,007.5
$

2018
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.2
$
5.5
$
13.3
$
52.9
$
33.5
$
128.1
$
107.6
$
343.2
$
1.2
$
7.9
$
10.5
$
48.4
$
115.9
$
461.9
$
292.2
$
1,118.2
$
939.0
$
2,995.2
$

2019
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.2
$
5.5
$
13.3
$
52.6
$
33.2
$
127.3
$
106.9
$
341.0
$
1.2
$
7.9
$
10.5
$
48.3
$
115.8
$
458.8
$
290.2
$
1,110.6
$
932.6
$
2,975.7
$

2020
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.2
$
5.5
$
13.2
$
52.1
$
33.0
$
126.2
$
105.9
$
338.1
$
1.2
$
7.8
$
10.4
$
48.1
$
115.2
$
454.8
$
287.7
$
1,101.1
$
924.6
$
2,951.0
$

2021
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.2
$
5.5
$
13.1
$
51.6
$
32.6
$
124.9
$
104.9
$
334.9
$
1.1
$
7.8
$
10.4
$
47.8
$
114.4
$
450.3
$
284.9
$
1,090.2
$
915.4
$
2,922.4
$

2022
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.2
$
5.4
$
13.0
$
51.0
$
32.3
$
123.5
$
103.7
$
331.2
$
1.1
$
7.7
$
10.3
$
47.3
$
113.4
$
445.4
$
281.7
$
1,078.2
$
905.4
$
2,890.6
$

2023
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.2
$
5.4
$
12.9
$
50.4
$
31.9
$
122.1
$
102.5
$
327.3
$
1.1
$
7.6
$
10.2
$
46.9
$
112.3
$
440.1
$
278.4
$
1,065.4
$
894.6
$
2,856.5
$

2024
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.2
$
5.3
$
12.7
$
49.8
$
31.5
$
120.5
$
101.2
$
323.2
$
1.1
$
7.6
$
10.1
$
46.3
$
111.0
$
434.5
$
274.8
$
1,051.9
$
883.2
$
2,820.5
$

2025
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.1
$
5.2
$
12.6
$
49.1
$
31.1
$
118.9
$
99.9
$
318.9
$
1.1
$
7.5
$
9.9
$
45.8
$
109.7
$
428.7
$
271.2
$
1,037.9
$
871.5
$
2,783.2
$

2026
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
5.2
$
12.4
$
48.4
$
30.6
$
117.3
$
98.5
$
314.5
$
1.1
$
7.4
$
9.8
$
45.2
$
108.2
$
422.8
$
267.4
$
1,023.5
$
859.4
$
2,744.8
$

2027
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
5.1
$
12.2
$
47.7
$
30.2
$
115.6
$
97.1
$
310.0
$
1.1
$
7.3
$
9.7
$
44.6
$
106.8
$
416.7
$
263.6
$
1,008.9
$
847.1
$
2,705.7
$

Total
2.3
$
15.4
$
20.5
$
94.5
$
226.3
$
970.4
$
613.8
$
2,349.3
$
1,972.7
$
6,265.2
$
19.8
$
134.3
$
178.9
$
824.5
$
1,974.8
$
8,469.2
$
5,357.0
$
20,503.4
$
17,215.9
$
54,677.8
$

Ann.
0.1
$
0.9
$
1.2
$
5.4
$
13.0
$
55.7
$
35.3
$
134.9
$
113.3
$
359.8
$
1.1
$
7.7
$
10.3
$
47.3
$
113.4
$
486.4
$
307.6
$
1,177.5
$
988.7
$
3,140.0
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
16a
and
F.
16b.
Exhibit
F.
16f
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.3
$
0.8
$
4.8
$
3.0
$
11.6
$
9.8
$
30.6
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
3.0
$
7.2
$
41.9
$
26.5
$
101.6
$
85.3
$
266.8
$

2007
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.9
$
10.8
$
6.8
$
26.2
$
22.0
$
68.8
$
0.2
$
1.1
$
1.5
$
6.8
$
16.3
$
94.4
$
59.7
$
228.6
$
192.0
$
600.5
$

2008
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.9
$
17.0
$
10.8
$
41.3
$
34.6
$
108.4
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.3
$
10.7
$
25.6
$
148.7
$
94.1
$
360.0
$
302.3
$
945.7
$

2009
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.7
$
4.0
$
23.1
$
14.6
$
55.9
$
46.9
$
146.7
$
0.3
$
2.4
$
3.1
$
14.5
$
34.7
$
201.4
$
127.4
$
487.5
$
409.3
$
1,280.6
$

2010
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
2.1
$
4.9
$
28.7
$
18.2
$
69.6
$
58.4
$
182.8
$
0.4
$
2.9
$
3.9
$
18.0
$
43.2
$
250.9
$
158.7
$
607.3
$
509.9
$
1,595.2
$

2011
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.4
$
5.8
$
34.0
$
21.5
$
82.2
$
69.0
$
216.0
$
0.5
$
3.5
$
4.6
$
21.3
$
51.0
$
296.4
$
187.5
$
717.7
$
602.6
$
1,885.1
$

2012
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.8
$
6.7
$
35.3
$
22.3
$
85.4
$
71.7
$
225.3
$
0.6
$
4.0
$
5.3
$
24.3
$
58.1
$
307.9
$
194.8
$
745.5
$
625.9
$
1,966.3
$

2013
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
3.1
$
7.4
$
35.3
$
22.3
$
85.4
$
71.7
$
226.3
$
0.6
$
4.4
$
5.8
$
26.9
$
64.5
$
307.7
$
194.6
$
744.9
$
625.5
$
1,975.0
$

2014
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
3.4
$
8.0
$
34.6
$
21.9
$
83.8
$
70.3
$
223.3
$
0.7
$
4.8
$
6.4
$
29.3
$
70.2
$
302.0
$
191.0
$
731.0
$
613.8
$
1,949.2
$

2015
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.7
$
3.4
$
8.1
$
33.6
$
21.3
$
81.4
$
68.3
$
217.5
$
0.7
$
4.8
$
6.4
$
29.6
$
70.8
$
293.4
$
185.6
$
710.2
$
596.3
$
1,897.8
$

2016
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
3.3
$
8.0
$
32.4
$
20.5
$
78.6
$
66.0
$
210.2
$
0.7
$
4.7
$
6.3
$
29.1
$
69.7
$
283.2
$
179.1
$
685.6
$
575.7
$
1,834.2
$

2017
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
3.2
$
7.8
$
31.2
$
19.7
$
75.5
$
63.4
$
202.1
$
0.7
$
4.6
$
6.1
$
28.3
$
67.8
$
272.2
$
172.2
$
659.0
$
553.3
$
1,764.2
$

2018
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
3.1
$
7.5
$
29.9
$
18.9
$
72.4
$
60.8
$
193.8
$
0.7
$
4.5
$
5.9
$
27.3
$
65.5
$
260.8
$
165.0
$
631.5
$
530.2
$
1,691.3
$

2019
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
3.0
$
7.2
$
28.6
$
18.1
$
69.2
$
58.1
$
185.3
$
0.6
$
4.3
$
5.7
$
26.3
$
62.9
$
249.4
$
157.7
$
603.7
$
506.9
$
1,617.5
$

2020
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.6
$
2.9
$
6.9
$
27.3
$
17.2
$
66.0
$
55.4
$
176.9
$
0.6
$
4.1
$
5.5
$
25.2
$
60.3
$
238.0
$
150.5
$
576.2
$
483.8
$
1,544.1
$

2021
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.8
$
6.6
$
26.0
$
16.4
$
62.9
$
52.8
$
168.7
$
0.6
$
3.9
$
5.2
$
24.1
$
57.6
$
226.8
$
143.5
$
549.1
$
461.1
$
1,472.0
$

2022
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.6
$
6.3
$
24.7
$
15.7
$
59.9
$
50.3
$
160.6
$
0.6
$
3.7
$
5.0
$
23.0
$
55.0
$
215.9
$
136.6
$
522.8
$
439.0
$
1,401.5
$

2023
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.5
$
6.0
$
23.5
$
14.9
$
57.0
$
47.8
$
152.8
$
0.5
$
3.6
$
4.7
$
21.9
$
52.4
$
205.4
$
129.9
$
497.3
$
417.5
$
1,333.2
$

2024
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.4
$
5.7
$
22.4
$
14.1
$
54.2
$
45.5
$
145.2
$
0.5
$
3.4
$
4.5
$
20.8
$
49.9
$
195.2
$
123.5
$
472.6
$
396.8
$
1,267.2
$

2025
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.3
$
5.4
$
21.2
$
13.4
$
51.4
$
43.2
$
137.9
$
0.5
$
3.2
$
4.3
$
19.8
$
47.4
$
185.4
$
117.3
$
448.9
$
376.9
$
1,203.7
$

2026
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.2
$
5.2
$
20.2
$
12.8
$
48.8
$
41.0
$
130.9
$
0.5
$
3.1
$
4.1
$
18.8
$
45.1
$
176.0
$
111.3
$
426.1
$
357.8
$
1,142.7
$

2027
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
2.0
$
4.9
$
19.1
$
12.1
$
46.3
$
38.9
$
124.2
$
0.4
$
2.9
$
3.9
$
17.9
$
42.8
$
167.0
$
105.6
$
404.3
$
339.5
$
1,084.3
$

Total
1.3
$
8.7
$
11.6
$
53.5
$
128.1
$
563.8
$
356.6
$
1,364.8
$
1,146.0
$
3,634.4
$
11.2
$
76.1
$
101.3
$
466.7
$
1,118.0
$
4,920.1
$
3,112.1
$
11,911.2
$
10,001.4
$
31,718.2
$

Ann.
0.1
$
0.7
$
1.0
$
4.6
$
11.0
$
48.4
$
30.6
$
117.1
$
98.3
$
311.9
$
1.0
$
6.5
$
8.7
$
40.1
$
95.9
$
422.2
$
267.0
$
1,022.1
$
858.2
$
2,721.8
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
16a
and
F.
16b.
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
16g
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Lymphoma
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
Section
F.
17
Model
Outputs
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
TTHM
as
Indicator
Bronchitis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
13.5
$
11.7
$
2.2
$
30.6
$
3.9
$
3.6
$
1.8
$
7.1
$
17.3
$
15.3
$
4.0
$
37.7
$
117.5
$
102.3
$
19.6
$
266.9
$
33.8
$
31.1
$
15.3
$
61.8
$
151.2
$
133.4
$
34.9
$
328.7
$

2007
32.4
$
28.2
$
5.4
$
73.7
$
9.3
$
8.6
$
4.2
$
17.0
$
41.7
$
36.8
$
9.6
$
90.7
$
282.9
$
246.4
$
47.2
$
643.0
$
81.2
$
74.7
$
36.7
$
148.5
$
364.1
$
321.1
$
83.8
$
791.5
$

2008
54.6
$
47.6
$
9.1
$
124.1
$
15.7
$
14.4
$
7.1
$
28.6
$
70.3
$
62.0
$
16.2
$
152.8
$
476.6
$
415.1
$
79.4
$
1,083.3
$
136.7
$
125.8
$
61.7
$
249.8
$
613.3
$
540.8
$
141.1
$
1,333.1
$

2009
79.1
$
68.9
$
13.2
$
179.9
$
22.7
$
20.9
$
10.2
$
41.4
$
101.8
$
89.8
$
23.4
$
221.3
$
690.5
$
601.4
$
114.9
$
1,569.6
$
197.7
$
182.0
$
89.1
$
361.3
$
888.2
$
783.4
$
204.1
$
1,930.9
$

2010
105.4
$
91.8
$
17.5
$
239.7
$
30.1
$
27.8
$
13.6
$
55.1
$
135.6
$
119.6
$
31.1
$
294.8
$
920.3
$
801.5
$
153.1
$
2,092.2
$
263.1
$
242.4
$
118.6
$
480.8
$
1,183.4
$
1,043.9
$
271.7
$
2,573.0
$

2011
133.3
$
116.1
$
22.2
$
303.1
$
38.1
$
35.1
$
17.2
$
69.7
$
171.4
$
151.2
$
39.3
$
372.8
$
1,163.5
$
1,013.3
$
193.4
$
2,645.5
$
332.2
$
306.0
$
149.8
$
607.9
$
1,495.7
$
1,319.3
$
343.2
$
3,253.3
$

2012
148.7
$
129.5
$
24.7
$
338.0
$
42.4
$
39.0
$
19.1
$
77.6
$
191.0
$
168.5
$
43.8
$
415.7
$
1,297.4
$
1,129.9
$
215.5
$
2,950.1
$
369.8
$
340.8
$
166.5
$
677.4
$
1,667.2
$
1,470.7
$
382.0
$
3,627.5
$

2013
159.6
$
139.0
$
26.5
$
362.9
$
45.4
$
41.9
$
20.5
$
83.2
$
205.0
$
180.9
$
47.0
$
446.1
$
1,392.9
$
1,213.0
$
231.2
$
3,167.5
$
396.4
$
365.4
$
178.6
$
725.7
$
1,789.3
$
1,578.4
$
409.8
$
3,893.2
$

2014
168.3
$
146.6
$
27.9
$
382.8
$
47.8
$
44.1
$
21.6
$
87.6
$
216.2
$
190.7
$
49.5
$
470.4
$
1,469.2
$
1,279.5
$
243.7
$
3,341.2
$
417.5
$
384.9
$
188.2
$
764.4
$
1,886.6
$
1,664.3
$
431.8
$
4,105.6
$

2015
175.3
$
152.7
$
29.1
$
398.7
$
49.7
$
45.9
$
22.4
$
91.1
$
225.0
$
198.5
$
51.4
$
489.8
$
1,529.8
$
1,332.2
$
253.5
$
3,479.4
$
434.0
$
400.2
$
195.4
$
794.9
$
1,963.8
$
1,732.4
$
448.9
$
4,274.4
$

2016
181.2
$
157.8
$
30.0
$
412.2
$
51.3
$
47.3
$
23.1
$
94.0
$
232.5
$
205.1
$
53.1
$
506.2
$
1,581.5
$
1,377.2
$
261.9
$
3,597.3
$
448.0
$
413.1
$
201.4
$
820.4
$
2,029.4
$
1,790.3
$
463.3
$
4,417.6
$

2017
186.5
$
162.4
$
30.9
$
424.2
$
52.7
$
48.6
$
23.7
$
96.6
$
239.2
$
211.0
$
54.6
$
520.8
$
1,627.3
$
1,417.1
$
269.3
$
3,701.7
$
460.2
$
424.4
$
207.0
$
843.1
$
2,087.4
$
1,841.5
$
476.4
$
4,544.8
$

2018
191.2
$
166.5
$
31.6
$
435.1
$
54.0
$
49.8
$
24.3
$
99.0
$
245.2
$
216.3
$
55.9
$
534.0
$
1,668.9
$
1,453.4
$
276.0
$
3,796.8
$
471.2
$
434.6
$
211.9
$
863.7
$
2,140.1
$
1,888.0
$
487.9
$
4,660.5
$

2019
195.7
$
170.4
$
32.3
$
445.2
$
55.1
$
50.9
$
24.8
$
101.1
$
250.8
$
221.3
$
57.1
$
546.3
$
1,707.6
$
1,487.0
$
282.2
$
3,885.1
$
481.3
$
443.9
$
216.4
$
882.5
$
2,188.9
$
1,930.9
$
498.7
$
4,767.6
$

2020
199.8
$
174.0
$
33.0
$
454.7
$
56.2
$
51.8
$
25.3
$
103.2
$
256.1
$
225.9
$
58.3
$
557.9
$
1,744.0
$
1,518.7
$
288.1
$
3,968.3
$
490.7
$
452.4
$
220.5
$
900.8
$
2,234.7
$
1,971.1
$
508.6
$
4,869.1
$

2021
203.8
$
177.5
$
33.6
$
463.8
$
57.2
$
52.8
$
25.7
$
105.1
$
261.0
$
230.2
$
59.4
$
568.9
$
1,778.7
$
1,548.8
$
293.6
$
4,047.4
$
499.6
$
460.4
$
224.7
$
917.3
$
2,278.2
$
2,009.2
$
518.3
$
4,964.7
$

2022
207.6
$
180.8
$
34.2
$
472.5
$
58.2
$
53.6
$
26.2
$
107.0
$
265.8
$
234.4
$
60.4
$
579.4
$
1,811.9
$
1,577.7
$
298.9
$
4,123.4
$
508.0
$
468.2
$
228.5
$
933.4
$
2,319.9
$
2,045.9
$
527.4
$
5,056.8
$

2023
211.3
$
184.0
$
34.8
$
480.9
$
59.1
$
54.5
$
26.6
$
108.7
$
270.4
$
238.5
$
61.4
$
589.6
$
1,844.0
$
1,605.7
$
304.0
$
4,196.8
$
516.1
$
475.7
$
232.1
$
948.9
$
2,360.1
$
2,081.4
$
536.0
$
5,145.7
$

2024
214.9
$
187.1
$
35.4
$
489.1
$
60.0
$
55.4
$
27.0
$
110.4
$
274.9
$
242.4
$
62.4
$
599.4
$
1,875.3
$
1,632.8
$
308.9
$
4,268.2
$
523.9
$
483.1
$
235.5
$
963.1
$
2,399.2
$
2,115.9
$
544.4
$
5,231.3
$

2025
218.4
$
190.1
$
36.0
$
497.1
$
60.9
$
56.1
$
27.4
$
111.9
$
279.3
$
246.3
$
63.4
$
609.0
$
1,905.8
$
1,659.3
$
313.8
$
4,338.0
$
531.4
$
490.0
$
239.2
$
976.8
$
2,437.2
$
2,149.3
$
553.0
$
5,314.8
$

2026
221.8
$
193.1
$
36.5
$
504.9
$
61.7
$
56.9
$
27.8
$
113.5
$
283.5
$
250.1
$
64.3
$
618.4
$
1,935.7
$
1,685.3
$
318.5
$
4,406.4
$
538.8
$
497.0
$
242.6
$
990.5
$
2,474.5
$
2,182.3
$
561.1
$
5,396.9
$

2027
225.2
$
196.0
$
37.0
$
512.6
$
62.6
$
57.7
$
28.1
$
115.0
$
287.7
$
253.8
$
65.2
$
627.7
$
1,965.2
$
1,711.0
$
323.1
$
4,473.8
$
546.0
$
503.9
$
245.6
$
1,004.0
$
2,511.2
$
2,214.9
$
568.7
$
5,477.8
$

Total
3,527.6
$
3,071.8
$
583.2
$
8,025.7
$
994.3
$
916.6
$
447.5
$
1,823.8
$
4,521.9
$
3,988.5
$
1,030.7
$
9,849.4
$
30,786.3
$
26,808.6
$
5,089.8
$
70,042.1
$
8,677.4
$
7,999.8
$
3,905.2
$
15,916.8
$
39,463.8
$
34,808.4
$
8,995.0
$
85,958.8
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
24b,
and
E.
24e.
Exhibit
F.
17a
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
All
Surface
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.7
$
0.7
$
0.1
$
1.7
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.0
$
0.9
$
0.2
$
2.1
$
6.5
$
5.7
$
1.1
$
14.9
$
1.9
$
1.7
$
0.9
$
3.4
$
8.4
$
7.4
$
1.9
$
18.3
$

2007
1.8
$
1.6
$
0.3
$
4.1
$
0.5
$
0.5
$
0.2
$
0.9
$
2.3
$
2.0
$
0.5
$
5.1
$
15.8
$
13.7
$
2.6
$
35.8
$
4.5
$
4.2
$
2.0
$
8.3
$
20.3
$
17.9
$
4.7
$
44.1
$

2008
3.0
$
2.6
$
0.5
$
6.9
$
0.9
$
0.8
$
0.4
$
1.6
$
3.9
$
3.5
$
0.9
$
8.5
$
26.5
$
23.1
$
4.4
$
60.3
$
7.6
$
7.0
$
3.4
$
13.9
$
34.2
$
30.1
$
7.9
$
74.3
$

2009
4.4
$
3.8
$
0.7
$
10.0
$
1.3
$
1.2
$
0.6
$
2.3
$
5.7
$
5.0
$
1.3
$
12.3
$
38.5
$
33.5
$
6.4
$
87.4
$
11.0
$
10.1
$
5.0
$
20.1
$
49.5
$
43.6
$
11.4
$
107.5
$

2010
5.9
$
5.1
$
1.0
$
13.4
$
1.7
$
1.5
$
0.8
$
3.1
$
7.6
$
6.7
$
1.7
$
16.4
$
51.3
$
44.6
$
8.5
$
116.5
$
14.7
$
13.5
$
6.6
$
26.8
$
65.9
$
58.1
$
15.1
$
143.3
$

2011
7.4
$
6.5
$
1.2
$
16.9
$
2.1
$
2.0
$
1.0
$
3.9
$
9.5
$
8.4
$
2.2
$
20.8
$
64.8
$
56.4
$
10.8
$
147.3
$
18.5
$
17.0
$
8.3
$
33.9
$
83.3
$
73.5
$
19.1
$
181.2
$

2012
8.4
$
7.3
$
1.4
$
19.1
$
2.4
$
2.2
$
1.1
$
4.4
$
10.8
$
9.5
$
2.5
$
23.5
$
73.4
$
63.9
$
12.2
$
166.8
$
20.9
$
19.3
$
9.4
$
38.3
$
94.3
$
83.2
$
21.6
$
205.1
$

2013
9.2
$
8.0
$
1.5
$
20.9
$
2.6
$
2.4
$
1.2
$
4.8
$
11.8
$
10.4
$
2.7
$
25.7
$
80.2
$
69.9
$
13.3
$
182.5
$
22.8
$
21.0
$
10.3
$
41.8
$
103.1
$
90.9
$
23.6
$
224.3
$

2014
9.9
$
8.6
$
1.6
$
22.5
$
2.8
$
2.6
$
1.3
$
5.1
$
12.7
$
11.2
$
2.9
$
27.6
$
86.3
$
75.2
$
14.3
$
196.3
$
24.5
$
22.6
$
11.1
$
44.9
$
110.8
$
97.8
$
25.4
$
241.2
$

2015
10.4
$
9.0
$
1.7
$
23.6
$
2.9
$
2.7
$
1.3
$
5.4
$
13.3
$
11.7
$
3.0
$
29.0
$
90.5
$
78.9
$
15.0
$
205.9
$
25.7
$
23.7
$
11.6
$
47.1
$
116.2
$
102.5
$
26.6
$
253.0
$

2016
10.8
$
9.4
$
1.8
$
24.5
$
3.1
$
2.8
$
1.4
$
5.6
$
13.8
$
12.2
$
3.2
$
30.1
$
94.0
$
81.8
$
15.6
$
213.8
$
26.6
$
24.5
$
12.0
$
48.8
$
120.6
$
106.4
$
27.5
$
262.5
$

2017
11.1
$
9.7
$
1.8
$
25.3
$
3.1
$
2.9
$
1.4
$
5.8
$
14.2
$
12.6
$
3.3
$
31.0
$
96.9
$
84.4
$
16.0
$
220.5
$
27.4
$
25.3
$
12.3
$
50.2
$
124.3
$
109.7
$
28.4
$
270.7
$

2018
11.4
$
9.9
$
1.9
$
26.0
$
3.2
$
3.0
$
1.4
$
5.9
$
14.6
$
12.9
$
3.3
$
31.9
$
99.6
$
86.7
$
16.5
$
226.5
$
28.1
$
25.9
$
12.6
$
51.5
$
127.7
$
112.6
$
29.1
$
278.1
$

2019
11.7
$
10.2
$
1.9
$
26.6
$
3.3
$
3.0
$
1.5
$
6.0
$
15.0
$
13.2
$
3.4
$
32.6
$
102.0
$
88.8
$
16.9
$
232.1
$
28.7
$
26.5
$
12.9
$
52.7
$
130.7
$
115.3
$
29.8
$
284.8
$

2020
11.9
$
10.4
$
2.0
$
27.2
$
3.4
$
3.1
$
1.5
$
6.2
$
15.3
$
13.5
$
3.5
$
33.4
$
104.3
$
90.8
$
17.2
$
237.2
$
29.3
$
27.0
$
13.2
$
53.9
$
133.6
$
117.8
$
30.4
$
291.1
$

2021
12.2
$
10.6
$
2.0
$
27.7
$
3.4
$
3.2
$
1.5
$
6.3
$
15.6
$
13.8
$
3.6
$
34.0
$
106.4
$
92.6
$
17.6
$
242.1
$
29.9
$
27.5
$
13.4
$
54.9
$
136.3
$
120.2
$
31.0
$
297.0
$

2022
12.4
$
10.8
$
2.0
$
28.3
$
3.5
$
3.2
$
1.6
$
6.4
$
15.9
$
14.0
$
3.6
$
34.7
$
108.4
$
94.4
$
17.9
$
246.8
$
30.4
$
28.0
$
13.7
$
55.9
$
138.8
$
122.4
$
31.6
$
302.6
$

2023
12.6
$
11.0
$
2.1
$
28.8
$
3.5
$
3.3
$
1.6
$
6.5
$
16.2
$
14.3
$
3.7
$
35.3
$
110.4
$
96.1
$
18.2
$
251.3
$
30.9
$
28.5
$
13.9
$
56.8
$
141.3
$
124.6
$
32.1
$
308.1
$

2024
12.9
$
11.2
$
2.1
$
29.3
$
3.6
$
3.3
$
1.6
$
6.6
$
16.5
$
14.5
$
3.7
$
35.9
$
112.3
$
97.8
$
18.5
$
255.6
$
31.4
$
28.9
$
14.1
$
57.7
$
143.7
$
126.7
$
32.6
$
313.3
$

2025
13.1
$
11.4
$
2.2
$
29.8
$
3.6
$
3.4
$
1.6
$
6.7
$
16.7
$
14.8
$
3.8
$
36.5
$
114.2
$
99.4
$
18.8
$
259.9
$
31.8
$
29.3
$
14.3
$
58.5
$
146.0
$
128.7
$
33.1
$
318.4
$

2026
13.3
$
11.6
$
2.2
$
30.3
$
3.7
$
3.4
$
1.7
$
6.8
$
17.0
$
15.0
$
3.9
$
37.1
$
116.0
$
101.0
$
19.1
$
264.0
$
32.3
$
29.8
$
14.5
$
59.3
$
148.3
$
130.8
$
33.6
$
323.4
$

2027
13.5
$
11.7
$
2.2
$
30.7
$
3.7
$
3.5
$
1.7
$
6.9
$
17.2
$
15.2
$
3.9
$
37.6
$
117.8
$
102.5
$
19.4
$
268.1
$
32.7
$
30.2
$
14.7
$
60.2
$
150.5
$
132.7
$
34.1
$
328.3
$

Total
208.1
$
181.2
$
34.4
$
473.4
$
58.6
$
54.1
$
26.4
$
107.6
$
266.7
$
235.3
$
60.8
$
581.0
$
1,816.0
$
1,581.4
$
300.2
$
4,131.6
$
511.8
$
471.8
$
230.3
$
938.7
$
2,327.8
$
2,053.2
$
530.5
$
5,070.4
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
1f,
E.
24c,
and
E.
24f.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
17b
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
(
All
Ground
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
14.2
$
12.4
$
2.4
$
32.3
$
4.1
$
3.8
$
1.8
$
7.5
$
18.3
$
16.1
$
4.2
$
39.8
$
124.0
$
108.0
$
20.7
$
281.8
$
35.7
$
32.8
$
16.1
$
65.2
$
159.7
$
140.8
$
36.8
$
347.0
$

2007
34.2
$
29.8
$
5.7
$
77.8
$
9.8
$
9.0
$
4.4
$
18.0
$
44.0
$
38.8
$
10.1
$
95.7
$
298.6
$
260.1
$
49.8
$
678.8
$
85.8
$
78.9
$
38.7
$
156.8
$
384.4
$
339.0
$
88.5
$
835.6
$

2008
57.7
$
50.2
$
9.6
$
131.0
$
16.5
$
15.2
$
7.5
$
30.2
$
74.2
$
65.4
$
17.1
$
161.3
$
503.1
$
438.2
$
83.8
$
1,143.7
$
144.3
$
132.8
$
65.1
$
263.7
$
647.4
$
571.0
$
148.9
$
1,407.4
$

2009
83.5
$
72.7
$
13.9
$
189.9
$
23.9
$
22.0
$
10.8
$
43.7
$
107.4
$
94.8
$
24.7
$
233.6
$
728.9
$
634.9
$
121.3
$
1,657.1
$
208.7
$
192.2
$
94.1
$
381.4
$
937.7
$
827.0
$
215.4
$
2,038.5
$

2010
111.3
$
97.0
$
18.5
$
253.1
$
31.8
$
29.3
$
14.3
$
58.2
$
143.2
$
126.3
$
32.9
$
311.2
$
971.5
$
846.1
$
161.6
$
2,208.8
$
277.8
$
255.9
$
125.2
$
507.6
$
1,249.3
$
1,102.0
$
286.8
$
2,716.3
$

2011
140.7
$
122.6
$
23.4
$
320.0
$
40.2
$
37.0
$
18.1
$
73.5
$
180.9
$
159.6
$
41.5
$
393.5
$
1,228.3
$
1,069.8
$
204.2
$
2,792.8
$
350.7
$
323.0
$
158.1
$
641.7
$
1,579.0
$
1,392.8
$
362.3
$
3,434.5
$

2012
157.1
$
136.8
$
26.1
$
357.2
$
44.8
$
41.3
$
20.2
$
82.0
$
201.8
$
178.0
$
46.2
$
439.2
$
1,370.8
$
1,193.8
$
227.7
$
3,117.0
$
390.7
$
360.0
$
176.0
$
715.7
$
1,761.5
$
1,553.8
$
403.6
$
3,832.6
$

2013
168.8
$
147.0
$
28.0
$
383.8
$
48.0
$
44.3
$
21.6
$
87.9
$
216.8
$
191.3
$
49.7
$
471.8
$
1,473.1
$
1,282.9
$
244.5
$
3,349.9
$
419.3
$
386.4
$
188.9
$
767.5
$
1,892.4
$
1,669.3
$
433.4
$
4,117.4
$

2014
178.2
$
155.2
$
29.6
$
405.3
$
50.6
$
46.7
$
22.8
$
92.7
$
228.9
$
201.9
$
52.4
$
498.1
$
1,555.5
$
1,354.6
$
258.0
$
3,537.5
$
442.0
$
407.5
$
199.2
$
809.3
$
1,997.5
$
1,762.1
$
457.2
$
4,346.8
$

2015
185.7
$
161.7
$
30.8
$
422.3
$
52.7
$
48.6
$
23.7
$
96.5
$
238.3
$
210.3
$
54.5
$
518.8
$
1,620.3
$
1,411.1
$
268.5
$
3,685.4
$
459.7
$
423.9
$
206.9
$
842.0
$
2,080.0
$
1,835.0
$
475.5
$
4,527.4
$

2016
192.0
$
167.2
$
31.8
$
436.7
$
54.4
$
50.1
$
24.4
$
99.6
$
246.4
$
217.3
$
56.2
$
536.3
$
1,675.5
$
1,459.1
$
277.5
$
3,811.0
$
474.6
$
437.7
$
213.4
$
869.1
$
2,150.0
$
1,896.7
$
490.9
$
4,680.2
$

2017
197.6
$
172.0
$
32.7
$
449.4
$
55.9
$
51.5
$
25.1
$
102.4
$
253.4
$
223.6
$
57.8
$
551.8
$
1,724.2
$
1,501.5
$
285.4
$
3,922.3
$
487.6
$
449.7
$
219.4
$
893.3
$
2,211.8
$
1,951.2
$
504.7
$
4,815.5
$

2018
202.6
$
176.5
$
33.5
$
461.0
$
57.2
$
52.8
$
25.7
$
104.9
$
259.9
$
229.2
$
59.2
$
565.9
$
1,768.5
$
1,540.1
$
292.5
$
4,023.4
$
499.3
$
460.6
$
224.5
$
915.2
$
2,267.8
$
2,000.7
$
517.0
$
4,938.6
$

2019
207.4
$
180.6
$
34.3
$
471.8
$
58.4
$
53.9
$
26.3
$
107.2
$
265.8
$
234.5
$
60.6
$
578.9
$
1,809.6
$
1,575.8
$
299.1
$
4,117.2
$
510.0
$
470.4
$
229.4
$
935.2
$
2,319.6
$
2,046.3
$
528.4
$
5,052.3
$

2020
211.8
$
184.4
$
35.0
$
481.9
$
59.6
$
54.9
$
26.8
$
109.4
$
271.4
$
239.4
$
61.8
$
591.3
$
1,848.3
$
1,609.5
$
305.3
$
4,205.5
$
520.0
$
479.4
$
233.7
$
954.7
$
2,368.3
$
2,088.9
$
539.0
$
5,160.2
$

2021
216.0
$
188.1
$
35.7
$
491.5
$
60.7
$
55.9
$
27.3
$
111.4
$
276.7
$
244.0
$
62.9
$
602.9
$
1,885.1
$
1,641.5
$
311.1
$
4,289.5
$
529.4
$
487.9
$
238.2
$
972.1
$
2,414.5
$
2,129.4
$
549.3
$
5,261.6
$

2022
220.0
$
191.6
$
36.3
$
500.7
$
61.7
$
56.9
$
27.7
$
113.4
$
281.7
$
248.5
$
64.0
$
614.1
$
1,920.3
$
1,672.1
$
316.8
$
4,370.1
$
538.4
$
496.2
$
242.2
$
989.3
$
2,458.8
$
2,168.3
$
558.9
$
5,359.4
$

2023
223.9
$
195.0
$
36.9
$
509.7
$
62.7
$
57.8
$
28.2
$
115.2
$
286.6
$
252.8
$
65.1
$
624.9
$
1,954.4
$
1,701.8
$
322.2
$
4,448.1
$
547.0
$
504.2
$
245.9
$
1,005.7
$
2,501.4
$
2,206.0
$
568.1
$
5,453.7
$

2024
227.7
$
198.3
$
37.5
$
518.4
$
63.6
$
58.7
$
28.6
$
117.0
$
291.4
$
257.0
$
66.1
$
635.3
$
1,987.6
$
1,730.6
$
327.4
$
4,523.8
$
555.3
$
512.0
$
249.6
$
1,020.8
$
2,542.8
$
2,242.6
$
577.0
$
5,544.6
$

2025
231.5
$
201.5
$
38.1
$
526.8
$
64.5
$
59.5
$
29.1
$
118.6
$
296.0
$
261.0
$
67.2
$
645.5
$
2,020.0
$
1,758.7
$
332.6
$
4,597.8
$
563.3
$
519.3
$
253.6
$
1,035.3
$
2,583.2
$
2,278.0
$
586.1
$
5,633.1
$

2026
235.1
$
204.7
$
38.7
$
535.2
$
65.4
$
60.4
$
29.5
$
120.3
$
300.5
$
265.0
$
68.1
$
655.4
$
2,051.7
$
1,786.3
$
337.6
$
4,670.4
$
571.1
$
526.8
$
257.1
$
1,049.8
$
2,622.8
$
2,313.1
$
594.7
$
5,720.3
$

2027
238.7
$
207.8
$
39.2
$
543.3
$
66.3
$
61.2
$
29.8
$
121.9
$
305.0
$
269.0
$
69.1
$
665.3
$
2,083.0
$
1,813.5
$
342.5
$
4,741.9
$
578.7
$
534.1
$
260.3
$
1,064.2
$
2,661.6
$
2,347.6
$
602.8
$
5,806.1
$

Total
3,735.7
$
3,253.0
$
617.6
$
8,499.1
$
1,052.9
$
970.7
$
473.9
$
1,931.4
$
4,788.6
$
4,223.7
$
1,091.5
$
10,430.4
$
32,602.3
$
28,390.0
$
5,390.0
$
74,173.7
$
9,189.2
$
8,471.6
$
4,135.6
$
16,855.5
$
41,791.5
$
36,861.6
$
9,525.5
$
91,029.2
$

Notes:
All
values
in
millions
of
year
2000
dollars.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
17a
and
F.
17b.
Exhibit
F.
17c
Projections
of
Yearly
Benefits,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
13.0
$
11.3
$
2.2
$
29.5
$
3.7
$
3.4
$
1.7
$
6.8
$
16.7
$
14.8
$
3.9
$
36.4
$
113.5
$
98.8
$
18.9
$
257.9
$
32.6
$
30.0
$
14.8
$
59.7
$
146.1
$
128.9
$
33.7
$
317.6
$

2007
30.4
$
26.5
$
5.1
$
69.1
$
8.7
$
8.0
$
3.9
$
16.0
$
39.1
$
34.5
$
9.0
$
85.1
$
265.3
$
231.1
$
44.2
$
603.1
$
76.2
$
70.1
$
34.4
$
139.3
$
341.5
$
301.2
$
78.6
$
742.4
$

2008
49.7
$
43.3
$
8.3
$
113.0
$
14.3
$
13.1
$
6.4
$
26.1
$
64.0
$
56.4
$
14.7
$
139.1
$
434.0
$
378.0
$
72.3
$
986.5
$
124.5
$
114.5
$
56.2
$
227.5
$
558.5
$
492.5
$
128.5
$
1,214.0
$

2009
69.9
$
60.9
$
11.6
$
159.0
$
20.0
$
18.4
$
9.0
$
36.6
$
90.0
$
79.4
$
20.7
$
195.6
$
610.5
$
531.7
$
101.6
$
1,387.8
$
174.8
$
160.9
$
78.8
$
319.4
$
785.3
$
692.6
$
180.4
$
1,707.2
$

2010
90.5
$
78.8
$
15.1
$
205.8
$
25.9
$
23.8
$
11.7
$
47.3
$
116.4
$
102.7
$
26.7
$
253.1
$
789.9
$
688.0
$
131.4
$
1,795.9
$
225.9
$
208.0
$
101.8
$
412.7
$
1,015.8
$
896.0
$
233.2
$
2,208.6
$

2011
111.1
$
96.8
$
18.5
$
252.6
$
31.7
$
29.2
$
14.3
$
58.0
$
142.8
$
126.0
$
32.8
$
310.7
$
969.6
$
844.5
$
161.2
$
2,204.7
$
276.8
$
255.0
$
124.8
$
506.6
$
1,246.5
$
1,099.5
$
286.0
$
2,711.3
$

2012
120.4
$
104.8
$
20.0
$
273.7
$
34.3
$
31.6
$
15.5
$
62.8
$
154.7
$
136.5
$
35.4
$
336.6
$
1,050.6
$
915.0
$
174.5
$
2,388.9
$
299.5
$
275.9
$
134.9
$
548.5
$
1,350.1
$
1,190.9
$
309.4
$
2,937.4
$

2013
125.6
$
109.4
$
20.8
$
285.6
$
35.7
$
32.9
$
16.1
$
65.4
$
161.3
$
142.3
$
37.0
$
351.1
$
1,096.1
$
954.6
$
181.9
$
2,492.7
$
312.0
$
287.5
$
140.6
$
571.1
$
1,408.1
$
1,242.1
$
322.5
$
3,063.8
$

2014
128.8
$
112.1
$
21.4
$
292.8
$
36.6
$
33.7
$
16.5
$
67.0
$
165.3
$
145.9
$
37.8
$
359.8
$
1,123.7
$
978.6
$
186.4
$
2,555.6
$
319.3
$
294.4
$
143.9
$
584.6
$
1,443.0
$
1,273.0
$
330.3
$
3,140.2
$

2015
130.2
$
113.4
$
21.6
$
296.2
$
36.9
$
34.1
$
16.6
$
67.7
$
167.2
$
147.5
$
38.2
$
363.8
$
1,136.5
$
989.7
$
188.4
$
2,584.8
$
322.4
$
297.3
$
145.1
$
590.6
$
1,458.9
$
1,287.0
$
333.5
$
3,175.4
$

2016
130.7
$
113.8
$
21.7
$
297.4
$
37.0
$
34.1
$
16.6
$
67.8
$
167.8
$
148.0
$
38.3
$
365.2
$
1,140.9
$
993.6
$
189.0
$
2,595.1
$
323.2
$
298.0
$
145.3
$
591.8
$
1,464.1
$
1,291.6
$
334.2
$
3,187.0
$

2017
130.6
$
113.7
$
21.6
$
297.1
$
36.9
$
34.1
$
16.6
$
67.7
$
167.6
$
147.8
$
38.2
$
364.8
$
1,139.9
$
992.7
$
188.7
$
2,593.1
$
322.4
$
297.3
$
145.0
$
590.6
$
1,462.3
$
1,290.0
$
333.7
$
3,183.6
$

2018
130.1
$
113.3
$
21.5
$
295.9
$
36.7
$
33.9
$
16.5
$
67.3
$
166.8
$
147.1
$
38.0
$
363.2
$
1,135.1
$
988.5
$
187.7
$
2,582.5
$
320.5
$
295.6
$
144.1
$
587.4
$
1,455.6
$
1,284.2
$
331.9
$
3,169.9
$

2019
129.2
$
112.5
$
21.4
$
294.0
$
36.4
$
33.6
$
16.4
$
66.8
$
165.6
$
146.1
$
37.7
$
360.8
$
1,127.7
$
982.0
$
186.4
$
2,565.7
$
317.8
$
293.1
$
142.9
$
582.8
$
1,445.5
$
1,275.2
$
329.3
$
3,148.4
$

2020
128.1
$
111.6
$
21.2
$
291.5
$
36.1
$
33.2
$
16.2
$
66.2
$
164.2
$
144.8
$
37.4
$
357.7
$
1,118.2
$
973.8
$
184.7
$
2,544.4
$
314.6
$
290.1
$
141.4
$
577.6
$
1,432.9
$
1,263.8
$
326.1
$
3,122.0
$

2021
126.9
$
110.5
$
20.9
$
288.7
$
35.6
$
32.8
$
16.0
$
65.4
$
162.5
$
143.3
$
37.0
$
354.1
$
1,107.3
$
964.2
$
182.8
$
2,519.6
$
311.0
$
286.6
$
139.9
$
571.0
$
1,418.3
$
1,250.8
$
322.7
$
3,090.7
$

2022
125.5
$
109.3
$
20.7
$
285.6
$
35.2
$
32.4
$
15.8
$
64.6
$
160.7
$
141.7
$
36.5
$
350.2
$
1,095.1
$
953.6
$
180.6
$
2,492.2
$
307.0
$
283.0
$
138.1
$
564.2
$
1,402.2
$
1,236.6
$
318.8
$
3,056.4
$

2023
124.0
$
108.0
$
20.4
$
282.2
$
34.7
$
32.0
$
15.6
$
63.8
$
158.7
$
140.0
$
36.0
$
346.0
$
1,082.1
$
942.2
$
178.4
$
2,462.8
$
302.9
$
279.2
$
136.2
$
556.8
$
1,385.0
$
1,221.4
$
314.6
$
3,019.6
$

2024
122.4
$
106.6
$
20.2
$
278.6
$
34.2
$
31.5
$
15.4
$
62.9
$
156.6
$
138.1
$
35.5
$
341.5
$
1,068.4
$
930.3
$
176.0
$
2,431.8
$
298.5
$
275.2
$
134.2
$
548.7
$
1,366.9
$
1,205.5
$
310.2
$
2,980.5
$

2025
120.8
$
105.2
$
19.9
$
275.0
$
33.7
$
31.1
$
15.2
$
61.9
$
154.5
$
136.2
$
35.0
$
336.9
$
1,054.2
$
917.9
$
173.6
$
2,399.6
$
294.0
$
271.0
$
132.3
$
540.3
$
1,348.2
$
1,188.9
$
305.9
$
2,939.9
$

2026
119.1
$
103.7
$
19.6
$
271.2
$
33.2
$
30.6
$
14.9
$
61.0
$
152.3
$
134.3
$
34.5
$
332.1
$
1,039.6
$
905.1
$
171.0
$
2,366.5
$
289.4
$
266.9
$
130.3
$
531.9
$
1,328.9
$
1,172.0
$
301.3
$
2,898.4
$

2027
117.4
$
102.2
$
19.3
$
267.3
$
32.6
$
30.1
$
14.7
$
60.0
$
150.0
$
132.3
$
34.0
$
327.3
$
1,024.7
$
892.1
$
168.5
$
2,332.7
$
284.7
$
262.8
$
128.1
$
523.5
$
1,309.3
$
1,154.9
$
296.6
$
2,856.2
$

Total
2,374.5
$
2,067.8
$
392.8
$
5,401.9
$
670.3
$
617.9
$
301.7
$
1,229.1
$
3,044.8
$
2,685.7
$
694.5
$
6,631.0
$
20,723.1
$
18,045.9
$
3,428.1
$
47,143.7
$
5,849.8
$
5,392.5
$
2,633.0
$
10,726.7
$
26,572.8
$
23,438.4
$
6,061.1
$
57,870.4
$

Ann.
136.4
$
118.7
$
22.6
$
310.2
$
38.5
$
35.5
$
17.3
$
70.6
$
174.9
$
154.2
$
39.9
$
380.8
$
1,190.1
$
1,036.3
$
196.9
$
2,707.4
$
335.9
$
309.7
$
151.2
$
616.0
$
1,526.0
$
1,346.0
$
348.1
$
3,323.4
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
17c.
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Median
Value
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
17d
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Year
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)
Lower
(
5th
%
tile)
Upper
(
95th
%
tile)

2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
11.6
$
10.1
$
1.9
$
26.4
$
3.3
$
3.1
$
1.5
$
6.1
$
14.9
$
13.2
$
3.4
$
32.5
$
101.2
$
88.2
$
16.9
$
230.0
$
29.1
$
26.8
$
13.2
$
53.2
$
130.3
$
114.9
$
30.1
$
283.3
$

2007
26.1
$
22.7
$
4.4
$
59.3
$
7.5
$
6.9
$
3.4
$
13.7
$
33.6
$
29.6
$
7.7
$
73.0
$
227.8
$
198.4
$
38.0
$
517.8
$
65.4
$
60.2
$
29.5
$
119.6
$
293.3
$
258.6
$
67.5
$
637.5
$

2008
41.1
$
35.8
$
6.8
$
93.4
$
11.8
$
10.8
$
5.3
$
21.5
$
52.9
$
46.6
$
12.2
$
115.0
$
358.7
$
312.4
$
59.8
$
815.4
$
102.9
$
94.7
$
46.4
$
188.0
$
461.6
$
407.1
$
106.2
$
1,003.4
$

2009
55.7
$
48.5
$
9.3
$
126.5
$
15.9
$
14.7
$
7.2
$
29.1
$
71.6
$
63.1
$
16.4
$
155.6
$
485.7
$
423.0
$
80.9
$
1,104.2
$
139.1
$
128.0
$
62.7
$
254.1
$
624.8
$
551.1
$
143.6
$
1,358.3
$

2010
69.3
$
60.4
$
11.5
$
157.6
$
19.8
$
18.3
$
8.9
$
36.2
$
89.1
$
78.6
$
20.5
$
193.8
$
605.0
$
526.9
$
100.6
$
1,375.5
$
173.0
$
159.3
$
78.0
$
316.1
$
778.0
$
686.3
$
178.6
$
1,691.6
$

2011
81.9
$
71.3
$
13.6
$
186.2
$
23.4
$
21.5
$
10.5
$
42.8
$
105.3
$
92.9
$
24.2
$
229.0
$
714.9
$
622.6
$
118.8
$
1,625.4
$
204.1
$
188.0
$
92.0
$
373.5
$
919.0
$
810.6
$
210.8
$
1,998.9
$

2012
85.4
$
74.4
$
14.2
$
194.3
$
24.4
$
22.4
$
11.0
$
44.6
$
109.8
$
96.8
$
25.2
$
238.9
$
745.6
$
649.4
$
123.8
$
1,695.4
$
212.5
$
195.8
$
95.7
$
389.3
$
958.1
$
845.2
$
219.6
$
2,084.7
$

2013
85.8
$
74.7
$
14.2
$
195.1
$
24.4
$
22.5
$
11.0
$
44.7
$
110.2
$
97.2
$
25.2
$
239.8
$
748.8
$
652.2
$
124.3
$
1,702.9
$
213.1
$
196.4
$
96.0
$
390.2
$
962.0
$
848.6
$
220.3
$
2,093.1
$

2014
84.7
$
73.7
$
14.0
$
192.6
$
24.1
$
22.2
$
10.8
$
44.1
$
108.7
$
95.9
$
24.9
$
236.6
$
739.0
$
643.6
$
122.6
$
1,680.6
$
210.0
$
193.6
$
94.6
$
384.5
$
949.0
$
837.2
$
217.2
$
2,065.1
$

2015
82.4
$
71.8
$
13.7
$
187.5
$
23.4
$
21.6
$
10.5
$
42.8
$
105.8
$
93.4
$
24.2
$
230.3
$
719.4
$
626.5
$
119.2
$
1,636.3
$
204.1
$
188.2
$
91.9
$
373.9
$
923.6
$
814.7
$
211.1
$
2,010.2
$

2016
79.7
$
69.4
$
13.2
$
181.2
$
22.6
$
20.8
$
10.1
$
41.3
$
102.2
$
90.2
$
23.3
$
222.5
$
695.3
$
605.5
$
115.1
$
1,581.4
$
196.9
$
181.6
$
88.5
$
360.7
$
892.2
$
787.1
$
203.7
$
1,942.1
$

2017
76.6
$
66.7
$
12.7
$
174.3
$
21.7
$
20.0
$
9.7
$
39.7
$
98.3
$
86.7
$
22.4
$
214.0
$
668.7
$
582.3
$
110.7
$
1,521.1
$
189.1
$
174.4
$
85.1
$
346.4
$
857.8
$
756.7
$
195.7
$
1,867.5
$

2018
73.4
$
64.0
$
12.1
$
167.1
$
20.7
$
19.1
$
9.3
$
38.0
$
94.2
$
83.1
$
21.5
$
205.1
$
641.0
$
558.2
$
106.0
$
1,458.3
$
181.0
$
166.9
$
81.4
$
331.7
$
822.0
$
725.1
$
187.4
$
1,790.0
$

2019
70.2
$
61.2
$
11.6
$
159.8
$
19.8
$
18.3
$
8.9
$
36.3
$
90.0
$
79.4
$
20.5
$
196.1
$
613.0
$
533.8
$
101.3
$
1,394.6
$
172.8
$
159.3
$
77.7
$
316.8
$
785.7
$
693.1
$
179.0
$
1,711.4
$

2020
67.0
$
58.4
$
11.1
$
152.6
$
18.9
$
17.4
$
8.5
$
34.6
$
85.9
$
75.8
$
19.6
$
187.2
$
585.1
$
509.5
$
96.6
$
1,331.3
$
164.6
$
151.8
$
74.0
$
302.2
$
749.7
$
661.3
$
170.6
$
1,633.6
$

2021
63.9
$
55.6
$
10.5
$
145.4
$
17.9
$
16.5
$
8.1
$
33.0
$
81.9
$
72.2
$
18.6
$
178.4
$
557.7
$
485.7
$
92.1
$
1,269.1
$
156.6
$
144.4
$
70.5
$
287.6
$
714.4
$
630.0
$
162.5
$
1,556.7
$

2022
60.8
$
53.0
$
10.0
$
138.5
$
17.1
$
15.7
$
7.7
$
31.3
$
77.9
$
68.7
$
17.7
$
169.8
$
531.0
$
462.4
$
87.6
$
1,208.4
$
148.9
$
137.2
$
67.0
$
273.5
$
679.9
$
599.6
$
154.6
$
1,481.9
$

2023
57.9
$
50.4
$
9.5
$
131.7
$
16.2
$
14.9
$
7.3
$
29.8
$
74.1
$
65.3
$
16.8
$
161.5
$
505.1
$
439.8
$
83.3
$
1,149.5
$
141.4
$
130.3
$
63.6
$
259.9
$
646.4
$
570.1
$
146.8
$
1,409.3
$

2024
55.0
$
47.9
$
9.1
$
125.2
$
15.4
$
14.2
$
6.9
$
28.2
$
70.4
$
62.1
$
16.0
$
153.4
$
480.0
$
418.0
$
79.1
$
1,092.6
$
134.1
$
123.7
$
60.3
$
246.5
$
614.1
$
541.6
$
139.4
$
1,339.1
$

2025
52.2
$
45.5
$
8.6
$
118.9
$
14.6
$
13.4
$
6.6
$
26.8
$
66.8
$
58.9
$
15.2
$
145.7
$
455.9
$
397.0
$
75.1
$
1,037.8
$
127.1
$
117.2
$
57.2
$
233.7
$
583.1
$
514.2
$
132.3
$
1,271.5
$

2026
49.6
$
43.2
$
8.2
$
112.9
$
13.8
$
12.7
$
6.2
$
25.4
$
63.4
$
55.9
$
14.4
$
138.3
$
432.8
$
376.8
$
71.2
$
985.2
$
120.5
$
111.1
$
54.2
$
221.5
$
553.3
$
487.9
$
125.4
$
1,206.7
$

2027
47.1
$
41.0
$
7.7
$
107.1
$
13.1
$
12.1
$
5.9
$
24.0
$
60.1
$
53.0
$
13.6
$
131.2
$
410.6
$
357.5
$
67.5
$
934.9
$
114.1
$
105.3
$
51.3
$
209.8
$
524.7
$
462.8
$
118.8
$
1,144.7
$

Total
1,377.6
$
1,199.6
$
228.1
$
3,133.6
$
389.6
$
359.1
$
175.4
$
714.2
$
1,767.2
$
1,558.8
$
403.5
$
3,847.8
$
12,022.5
$
10,469.6
$
1,990.4
$
27,347.9
$
3,400.4
$
3,134.3
$
1,530.8
$
6,232.7
$
15,422.9
$
13,603.8
$
3,521.2
$
33,580.6
$

Ann.
118.2
$
102.9
$
19.6
$
268.9
$
33.4
$
30.8
$
15.1
$
61.3
$
151.6
$
133.8
$
34.6
$
330.2
$
1,031.7
$
898.4
$
170.8
$
2,346.7
$
291.8
$
269.0
$
131.4
$
534.8
$
1,323.4
$
1,167.4
$
302.2
$
2,881.6
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibit
F.
17c.
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Median
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Exhibit
F.
17e
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.
Mean
Value
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Total
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
17%
Estimate
of
PAR
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Mean
Value
(
All
Water
Systems)

Total
Fatal
Cases
Fatal
Cases
Year
Mean
Value
Median
Value
90
Percent
Confidence
Bound
Non­
Fatal
Cases
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.5
$
2.6
$
1.7
$
6.4
$
5.4
$
16.7
$
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.7
$
4.0
$
23.0
$
14.5
$
55.6
$
46.7
$
146.1
$

2007
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
1.1
$
6.2
$
3.9
$
14.9
$
12.5
$
39.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
0.8
$
3.9
$
9.2
$
53.7
$
34.0
$
130.0
$
109.2
$
341.5
$

2008
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.7
$
1.7
$
10.1
$
6.4
$
24.4
$
20.5
$
64.0
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
1.4
$
6.3
$
15.1
$
87.8
$
55.5
$
212.6
$
178.5
$
558.5
$

2009
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.4
$
14.1
$
8.9
$
34.3
$
28.8
$
90.0
$
0.2
$
1.4
$
1.9
$
8.9
$
21.3
$
123.5
$
78.1
$
298.9
$
251.0
$
785.3
$

2010
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
3.2
$
18.3
$
11.6
$
44.3
$
37.2
$
116.4
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.5
$
11.5
$
27.5
$
159.7
$
101.0
$
386.7
$
324.7
$
1,015.8
$

2011
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.6
$
3.9
$
22.5
$
14.2
$
54.4
$
45.7
$
142.8
$
0.3
$
2.3
$
3.1
$
14.1
$
33.7
$
196.0
$
124.0
$
474.5
$
398.4
$
1,246.5
$

2012
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.9
$
4.6
$
24.2
$
15.3
$
58.6
$
49.2
$
154.7
$
0.4
$
2.7
$
3.6
$
16.7
$
39.9
$
211.4
$
133.7
$
511.8
$
429.8
$
1,350.1
$

2013
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.2
$
5.3
$
25.1
$
15.9
$
60.9
$
51.1
$
161.3
$
0.5
$
3.1
$
4.2
$
19.2
$
46.0
$
219.4
$
138.8
$
531.1
$
445.9
$
1,408.1
$

2014
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.5
$
6.0
$
25.6
$
16.2
$
62.0
$
52.1
$
165.3
$
0.5
$
3.5
$
4.7
$
21.7
$
52.0
$
223.6
$
141.4
$
541.2
$
454.4
$
1,443.0
$

2015
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.6
$
6.2
$
25.8
$
16.3
$
62.6
$
52.5
$
167.2
$
0.5
$
3.7
$
4.9
$
22.7
$
54.4
$
225.5
$
142.6
$
546.0
$
458.4
$
1,458.9
$

2016
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.7
$
6.4
$
25.9
$
16.4
$
62.7
$
52.7
$
167.8
$
0.6
$
3.8
$
5.0
$
23.2
$
55.6
$
226.1
$
143.0
$
547.3
$
459.5
$
1,464.1
$

2017
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.7
$
6.4
$
25.9
$
16.4
$
62.6
$
52.5
$
167.6
$
0.6
$
3.8
$
5.1
$
23.5
$
56.2
$
225.6
$
142.7
$
546.2
$
458.6
$
1,462.3
$

2018
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.7
$
6.5
$
25.7
$
16.3
$
62.3
$
52.3
$
166.8
$
0.6
$
3.8
$
5.1
$
23.5
$
56.3
$
224.5
$
142.0
$
543.5
$
456.3
$
1,455.6
$

2019
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.7
$
6.4
$
25.5
$
16.2
$
61.8
$
51.9
$
165.6
$
0.6
$
3.8
$
5.1
$
23.5
$
56.2
$
222.9
$
141.0
$
539.5
$
453.0
$
1,445.5
$

2020
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.7
$
6.4
$
25.3
$
16.0
$
61.3
$
51.4
$
164.2
$
0.6
$
3.8
$
5.1
$
23.4
$
55.9
$
220.8
$
139.7
$
534.7
$
448.9
$
1,432.9
$

2021
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.7
$
6.4
$
25.0
$
15.8
$
60.6
$
50.9
$
162.5
$
0.6
$
3.8
$
5.0
$
23.2
$
55.5
$
218.6
$
138.2
$
529.1
$
444.3
$
1,418.3
$

2022
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.6
$
6.3
$
24.8
$
15.7
$
59.9
$
50.3
$
160.7
$
0.6
$
3.7
$
5.0
$
23.0
$
55.0
$
216.1
$
136.7
$
523.0
$
439.2
$
1,402.2
$

2023
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.6
$
6.2
$
24.4
$
15.5
$
59.2
$
49.7
$
158.7
$
0.5
$
3.7
$
4.9
$
22.7
$
54.4
$
213.4
$
135.0
$
516.6
$
433.7
$
1,385.0
$

2024
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.6
$
6.2
$
24.1
$
15.3
$
58.4
$
49.0
$
156.6
$
0.5
$
3.7
$
4.9
$
22.5
$
53.8
$
210.6
$
133.2
$
509.8
$
428.0
$
1,366.9
$

2025
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.5
$
6.1
$
23.8
$
15.1
$
57.6
$
48.4
$
154.5
$
0.5
$
3.6
$
4.8
$
22.2
$
53.1
$
207.7
$
131.4
$
502.7
$
422.1
$
1,348.2
$

2026
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.5
$
6.0
$
23.5
$
14.8
$
56.8
$
47.7
$
152.3
$
0.5
$
3.6
$
4.7
$
21.9
$
52.4
$
204.7
$
129.5
$
495.5
$
416.1
$
1,328.9
$

2027
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.5
$
5.9
$
23.1
$
14.6
$
55.9
$
47.0
$
150.0
$
0.5
$
3.5
$
4.7
$
21.6
$
51.7
$
201.7
$
127.6
$
488.2
$
409.9
$
1,309.3
$

Total
1.1
$
7.5
$
10.0
$
45.9
$
109.9
$
471.6
$
298.3
$
1,141.8
$
958.7
$
3,044.8
$
9.6
$
65.3
$
86.9
$
400.6
$
959.5
$
4,116.0
$
2,603.5
$
9,964.6
$
8,366.9
$
26,572.8
$

Ann.
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.6
$
2.6
$
6.3
$
27.1
$
17.1
$
65.6
$
55.1
$
174.9
$
0.6
$
3.7
$
5.0
$
23.0
$
55.1
$
236.4
$
149.5
$
572.2
$
480.5
$
1,526.0
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
17a
and
F.
17b.
Exhibit
F.
17f
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
3%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
TTHM
­
IDSE
Sensitivity
Analysis
2
Year
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
<
100
101­
500
501­
1K
1,001­
3,3K
3,301­
10K
10,001­
50K
50,001­
100K
100,001­
1M
>
1M
Total
2003
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2004
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2005
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$
­
$

2006
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.4
$
2.3
$
1.5
$
5.7
$
4.8
$
14.9
$
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.5
$
3.5
$
20.5
$
13.0
$
49.6
$
41.7
$
130.3
$

2007
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.9
$
5.3
$
3.3
$
12.8
$
10.7
$
33.6
$
0.1
$
0.5
$
0.7
$
3.3
$
7.9
$
46.1
$
29.2
$
111.6
$
93.7
$
293.3
$

2008
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.1
$
0.6
$
1.4
$
8.3
$
5.3
$
20.1
$
16.9
$
52.9
$
0.1
$
0.8
$
1.1
$
5.2
$
12.5
$
72.6
$
45.9
$
175.7
$
147.6
$
461.6
$

2009
0.0
$
0.1
$
0.2
$
0.8
$
1.9
$
11.3
$
7.1
$
27.3
$
22.9
$
71.6
$
0.2
$
1.2
$
1.5
$
7.1
$
16.9
$
98.3
$
62.1
$
237.9
$
199.7
$
624.8
$

2010
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.4
$
14.0
$
8.9
$
33.9
$
28.5
$
89.1
$
0.2
$
1.4
$
1.9
$
8.8
$
21.1
$
122.3
$
77.4
$
296.2
$
248.7
$
778.0
$

2011
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.9
$
16.6
$
10.5
$
40.1
$
33.7
$
105.3
$
0.2
$
1.7
$
2.3
$
10.4
$
24.9
$
144.5
$
91.4
$
349.9
$
293.8
$
919.0
$

2012
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.4
$
3.2
$
17.2
$
10.9
$
41.6
$
34.9
$
109.8
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.6
$
11.8
$
28.3
$
150.0
$
94.9
$
363.2
$
305.0
$
958.1
$

2013
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.5
$
3.6
$
17.2
$
10.9
$
41.6
$
34.9
$
110.2
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.8
$
13.1
$
31.4
$
149.9
$
94.8
$
362.8
$
304.6
$
962.0
$

2014
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.6
$
3.9
$
16.8
$
10.7
$
40.8
$
34.2
$
108.7
$
0.3
$
2.3
$
3.1
$
14.3
$
34.2
$
147.0
$
93.0
$
355.9
$
298.8
$
949.0
$

2015
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.6
$
3.9
$
16.4
$
10.3
$
39.6
$
33.3
$
105.8
$
0.3
$
2.3
$
3.1
$
14.4
$
34.5
$
142.8
$
90.3
$
345.6
$
290.2
$
923.6
$

2016
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.4
$
1.6
$
3.9
$
15.8
$
10.0
$
38.2
$
32.1
$
102.2
$
0.3
$
2.3
$
3.1
$
14.2
$
33.9
$
137.8
$
87.1
$
333.5
$
280.0
$
892.2
$

2017
0.0
$
0.3
$
0.3
$
1.6
$
3.8
$
15.2
$
9.6
$
36.7
$
30.8
$
98.3
$
0.3
$
2.2
$
3.0
$
13.8
$
33.0
$
132.3
$
83.7
$
320.4
$
269.0
$
857.8
$

2018
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.5
$
3.6
$
14.5
$
9.2
$
35.2
$
29.5
$
94.2
$
0.3
$
2.2
$
2.9
$
13.3
$
31.8
$
126.8
$
80.2
$
306.9
$
257.7
$
822.0
$

2019
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.5
$
3.5
$
13.9
$
8.8
$
33.6
$
28.2
$
90.0
$
0.3
$
2.1
$
2.8
$
12.8
$
30.6
$
121.1
$
76.6
$
293.3
$
246.2
$
785.7
$

2020
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.4
$
3.4
$
13.2
$
8.4
$
32.1
$
26.9
$
85.9
$
0.3
$
2.0
$
2.7
$
12.2
$
29.3
$
115.6
$
73.1
$
279.8
$
234.9
$
749.7
$

2021
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
3.2
$
12.6
$
8.0
$
30.5
$
25.6
$
81.9
$
0.3
$
1.9
$
2.5
$
11.7
$
28.0
$
110.1
$
69.6
$
266.5
$
223.8
$
714.4
$

2022
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.3
$
3.1
$
12.0
$
7.6
$
29.1
$
24.4
$
77.9
$
0.3
$
1.8
$
2.4
$
11.1
$
26.7
$
104.8
$
66.3
$
253.6
$
212.9
$
679.9
$

2023
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.9
$
11.4
$
7.2
$
27.6
$
23.2
$
74.1
$
0.3
$
1.7
$
2.3
$
10.6
$
25.4
$
99.6
$
63.0
$
241.1
$
202.4
$
646.4
$

2024
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.3
$
1.2
$
2.8
$
10.8
$
6.9
$
26.2
$
22.0
$
70.4
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
2.2
$
10.1
$
24.2
$
94.6
$
59.8
$
229.0
$
192.3
$
614.1
$

2025
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.1
$
2.6
$
10.3
$
6.5
$
24.9
$
20.9
$
66.8
$
0.2
$
1.6
$
2.1
$
9.6
$
23.0
$
89.8
$
56.8
$
217.4
$
182.6
$
583.1
$

2026
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.5
$
9.8
$
6.2
$
23.6
$
19.8
$
63.4
$
0.2
$
1.5
$
2.0
$
9.1
$
21.8
$
85.2
$
53.9
$
206.3
$
173.2
$
553.3
$

2027
0.0
$
0.2
$
0.2
$
1.0
$
2.4
$
9.3
$
5.9
$
22.4
$
18.8
$
60.1
$
0.2
$
1.4
$
1.9
$
8.6
$
20.7
$
80.8
$
51.1
$
195.7
$
164.3
$
524.7
$

Total
0.6
$
4.2
$
5.6
$
26.0
$
62.3
$
274.1
$
173.4
$
663.7
$
557.2
$
1,767.2
$
5.4
$
37.0
$
49.2
$
226.9
$
543.5
$
2,392.4
$
1,513.3
$
5,791.9
$
4,863.3
$
15,422.9
$

Ann.
0.1
$
0.4
$
0.5
$
2.2
$
5.3
$
23.5
$
14.9
$
56.9
$
47.8
$
151.6
$
0.5
$
3.2
$
4.2
$
19.5
$
46.6
$
205.3
$
129.9
$
497.0
$
417.3
$
1,323.4
$

Notes:

Source:
Derived
from
Exhibits
F.
17a
and
F.
17b.
Present
values
in
millions
of
2000
dollars.
Estimates
are
discounted
to
2003.

Detail
may
not
add
exactly
to
totals
due
to
independent
rounding.
2%
Estimate
of
PAR
Exhibit
F.
17g
Mean
Present
Value
of
Benefits
Yearly
Projections,
WTP
for
Bronchitis
as
Basis
for
Non­
Fatal
Cases,
at
7%
Discount
Rate,
by
System
Size
(
All
Systems)

17%
Estimate
of
PAR
Ann.
=
value
of
total
annualized
at
discount
rate.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
July
2003
1
Note:
The
Savitz
et
al.
1995
study
had
a
response
rate
of
62
percent
for
miscarriage
cases
which
is
not
unexpected
due
to
the
highly
sensitive
nature
of
this
event.

Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
G­
1
July
2003
Appendix
G
Illustrative
Calculation
for
Quantifying
Reproductive/
Developmental
Benefits
of
the
Stage
2
DBPR
G.
1
Introduction
and
Purpose
The
purpose
of
this
Appendix
is
to
support
Section
5.9.1
by
providing
details
for
an
illustrative
calculation
that
quantifies
the
benefits
of
reduced
fetal
losses
(
miscarriage
and
stillbirth)
potentially
attributable
to
the
reduction
in
elevated
DBP
levels
from
the
Stage
2
DBPR.
Fetal
loss
was
chosen
from
among
the
reported
reproductive
and
developmental
health
endpoints
(
including
neural
tube
defects,
low
birth
weight,
cardiovascular
effects,
intrauterine
growth
retardation
and
cleft
palate,
etc.)
because
there
are
relatively
more
epidemiological
data
for
it
in
comparison
to
the
other
endpoints.
In
addition,
fetal
loss
occurs
at
a
high
incidence
rate
in
the
US;
of
the
approximately
six
million
pregnancies
experienced
in
the
US
each
year,
approximately
one
million
end
as
fetal
losses
(
Ventura
et
al.
2000a).
Consequently,
even
a
small
risk
attributable
to
DBPs
(
e.
g.,
0.1
percent)
may
result
in
a
large
number
of
fetal
losses
(
n=
1,000)
and,
thus,
increase
potential
benefits
from
avoided
cases
of
fetal
losses
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR.

Section
G.
2
describes
the
derivation
of
PAR
values
relating
fetal
losses
to
DBP
exposure.
Section
G.
3
presents
the
calculation
of
fetal
losses
avoided
as
a
result
of
the
Stage
2
DBPR.
Assumptions
and
uncertainties
in
these
calculations
are
summarized
in
Section
G.
4.

G.
2
Derivation
of
PARs
from
Three
Studies
Fetal
losses
potentially
attributable
to
DBPs
in
drinking
water
were
estimated
use
the
PAR
approach,
similar
to
the
approach
used
to
quantify
benefits
associated
with
reduced
incidence
of
bladder
cancer
cases
in
the
main
benefits
analysis.
PAR
is
a
measure
of
the
fraction
of
a
disease
that
occurs
in
the
population
that
is
attributable
to
some
specified
risk
factor.
By
extension,
it
also
implies
the
fraction
of
that
disease
that
would
be
eliminated
from
the
population
if
the
specified
risk
factor
was
eliminated.

To
derive
PAR,
EPA
evaluated
three
separate,
published
population­
based
human
epidemiology
studies:

°
Waller
et
al.
2001
°
King
et
al.
2000a
°
Savitz
et
al.
1995
Exhibit
G.
1
summarizes
the
key
characteristics
of
these
studies.
All
three
are
considered
high
quality
studies
as
they
conform
to
the
following
criteria:
1)
population­
based­
case­
control
or
cohort
study
that
ascertained
exposure
to
chlorinated
surface
water,
2)
high
quality,
well­
designed
study
that
had
sufficient
sample
sizes,
high
response
rates1,
and
adjusted
for
known
confounding
factors,
and
3)
exposure
assessment
using
information
from
water
treatment
data,
residential
histories,
and
THM
measurement
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
G­
2
July
2003
%
PAR
=
100%
*
Pc
*
(
RR­
1)
/
RR
%
PAR
=
100%
*
Pe*(
RR­
1)
/
[(
Pe*(
RR­
1))
+
1]
data.
These
are
the
same
criteria
used
to
select
the
bladder
cancer
studies
for
the
primary
benefits
analysis
for
both
Stage
1
and
Stage
2
DBPR.

Exhibit
G.
1
Summary
of
the
Fetal
Loss
Human
Epidemiology
Studies
Study
Type
of
Study
and
Population
Exposure
Assessment
Outcome
Potential
Confounders
Waller
et
al.
2001
Prospective
cohort
of
4,209
pregnant
women
in
prepaid
health
plan
in
CA
1989­
91
Averaged
all
distribution
TTHM
measurements
taken
within
the
subjects
first
trimester
or
average
measurements
taken
within
30
days
of
first
trimester.
Spontaneous
abortion
(
#
20
weeks
of
gestation)
Gestational
age
at
interview,
maternal
age,
cigarette
smoking,
history
of
pregnancy
loss,
maternal
race,
employment
during
pregnancy
King
et
al.
2000a
Population­
based
retrospective
cohort
of
47,275
births
in
Nova
Scotia,
Canada
1988­
1995
Linked
mother's
residence
at
time
of
delivery
to
the
levels
of
specific
TTHMs
monitored
in
the
PWS
and
averaged
predicted
values
of
byproduct
level
for
the
months
covering
the
pregnancy
Stillbirth
Smoking,
maternal
age
Savitz
et
al.
1995
Population­
based
case­
control
study
of
126
cases
and
122
controls
in
NC
1988­
91
Fourth
week
of
pregnancy
used
to
assign
the
reported
quarterly
average
TTHM
Spontaneous
abortion
Maternal
age,
race,
education,
marital
status,
poverty
level,
smoking,
alcohol
use,
nausea,
employment
The
PARs
were
derived
using
the
risk
estimates
(
Odds
Ratios
or
Relative
Risks)
from
the
three
studies.
To
determine
the
fraction
of
cases
within
the
exposed
population
that
would
be
attributable
to
a
specific
exposure
(
i.
e.,
PAR
value),
the
proportion
of
exposed
cases
can
be
derived
from
either
the
study
population
or
national
occurrence
information.
To
calculate
a
PAR
value
using
the
study­
exposed
fraction,
Formula
#
1
would
be
used.
Formula
#
2,
which
is
mathematically
equivalent
to
Formula
#
1,
would
be
used
when
adjusting
the
exposed
fraction
using
the
national
occurrence
data.

Formula
#
1
RR=
Relative
Risk
or
Odds
Ratio
Pc=
the
prevalence
of
exposure
in
the
cases
(
total
number
of
exposed
cases/
total
number
of
cases)

Formula
#
2
RR
=
Relative
Risk
or
Odds
Ratio
Pe
=
fraction
of
the
exposed
population
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
G­
3
July
2003
It
is
common
practice
to
use
the
study
population
derived
exposed
fraction
of
cases
to
calculate
the
PAR
estimate
(
Formula
#
1)
by
making
the
assumption
that
the
study
populations
is
representative
of
the
general
U.
S.
population.
However,
analysis
of
ICR
occurrence
data
show
that
study
populations
have
higher
DBP
exposures
than
the
general
U.
S.
population.
National
DBP
exposure
is
compared
to
study
population
exposure
in
Section
G.
2.1.
Section
G.
2.2
follows
with
detailed
derivation
of
PAR
using
Formula
#
2
(
adjusted
to
be
more
representative
of
national
exposure
levels).

G.
2.1
DBP
Exposure
for
Study
Populations
Compared
to
National
Data
Section
5.4.1
provides
a
basis
for
why
ICR
data
can
be
used
to
represent
national
exposure
to
DBPs.
Below
is
a
discussion
of
how
EPA
compared
ICR
data
to
the
exposure
characterizations
of
three
epidemiology
studies.
The
data
are
presented
in
a
different
manner
than
in
5.4.1.3
to
reflect
the
specific
methodologies
used
in
the
epidemiology
studies
to
characterize
exposure.

Summary
of
exposure
characterizations
from
epidemiological
studies
The
three
epidemiological
studies
used
in
this
analysis
differ
in
geographic
location,
health
endpoints,
study
type,
and
exposure
classification.
Major
features
of
the
studies
are
summarized
in
Exhibit
G.
1.
The
three
studies
assigned
pregnancies
to
multiple
exposure
categories,
but
the
categorizations
most
closely
related
to
the
Stage
2
DBP
MCL
are
those
closest
to
the
MCL
(
80
m
g/
L).
Exhibits
G.
2
and
G.
3
presents
the
study
data
that
are
used
to
assess
representativeness
of
national
exposure
in
this
appendix.

Exhibit
G.
2
DBP
Exposure
Data
for
Cohort
Studies
(
Waller
et
al.
2001
and
King
et
al.
2000a)

Study
Exposure
Cases
Non­
Cases
Total
Percent
of
Population
Waller
et
al.
2001,
Table
2
1st
Trimester
Mean
TTHM
>
80
74
578
652
15.5%
1
1st
Trimester
Mean
TTHM
<
80
322
3,238
3,560
84.5%

King
et
al.
2000a,
Table
3
Pregnancy
Mean
TTHM
>
75
m
g/
L
75
15,163
15,238
32.4%
2
Pregnancy
Mean
TTHM
<
75
m
g/
L
122
31,718
31,840
67.5%

Notes:
1.
As
derived
from
original
study
data:
(
488+
164)/(
488+
164+
488+
1139+
715+
654+
564)
=
652/(
652+
3650)
=
15.5%
2.
As
derived
from
original
study
data:
(
31+
44+
7350+
7813)/(
31+
44+
7350+
7813+
43+
79+
12987+
18730)=
15,258/(
15,258+
31,840)=
32.4%
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
G­
4
July
2003
Exhibit
G.
3
DBP
Exposure
Data
for
Case­
Control
Study
(
Savitz
et
al.
1995,
Table
2)

Exposure
Cases
Controls
Percent
of
Population
1
1st
Trimester
Mean
TTHM
>
81
m
g/
L
46
43
35.2%
2
1st
Trimester
Mean
TTHM
<
81
m
g/
L
80
79
64.8%

TOTAL
126
122
Notes
1.
For
case­
control
studies,
the
distribution
of
population
exposure
is
most
appropriately
represented
by
the
control
group
only.
2.
43/(
43+
79)
=
35.2%

Comparison
of
exposure
between
ICR
data
and
study
populations
EPA
derived
national
exposure
estimates
based
on
the
ICR
data
using
the
exposure
study
definitions
by
Waller
et
al.
2001,
Savitz
et
al.
1995,
and
King
et
al.
2000a.
For
the
Waller
study,
EPA
used
the
first
trimester
utility
wide
average,
rather
than
the
closest­
site
estimate,
as
only
this
definition
could
be
applied
to
the
ICR
data.
This
assumption
is
supported
by
the
Waller
et
al.
2001
comment
that
there
is
little
difference
between
the
exposure
estimates
derived
from
the
utility­
wide
average
versus
the
closest­
site
estimates.
In
analyzing
the
ICR
data
for
purpose
of
exposure
comparison
with
the
Waller
study,
EPA
considered
the
plants
having
data
from
at
least
3
distribution
system
locations
with
at
least
three
valid
results
for
both
TTHM
and
HAA5
during
the
final
year
of
the
ICR
survey,
i.
e.,
ICR
quarters
3,
4,
5,
and
6.
Among
these
plants,
77
out
of
1,130
plant­
quarters
(
6.8
percent)
had
distribution
system
averages
greater
than
80
m
g/
L,
and
therefore
are
categorized
as
high­
exposure
per
Waller.
The
Savitz
study
also
used
utility
wide
averages
in
a
given
quarter
as
the
basis
for
the
exposure
estimates.
Thus,
the
6.8
percent
exposure
estimate
from
the
ICR
data
for
Savitz
is
essentially
the
same
as
for
Waller
since
the
population
cutoffs
are
only
different
by
1
m
g/
L,
i.
e.,
80
vs
81
m
g/
L.

For
the
King
study,
exposure
was
estimated
by
averaging
predicted
TTHM
values
for
the
months
covering
the
duration
of
the
mother's
pregnancy
and
using
75
m
g/
L
as
the
exposure
concentration
for
comparisons.
To
relate
the
King
exposure
estimate
to
the
ICR
data,
EPA
calculated
locational
nine
month
running
averages
from
the
ICR
data;
i.
e.,
locational
averages
for
3
consecutive
quarters.
Each
ICR
plant
location
provided
three
or
four
nine­
month
averages,
taking
quarters
(
3,4,5),
(
3,4,6),
(
3,5,6),
or
(
4,5,6).
Of
the
4,917
location­
nine­
month
averages
from
the
ICR
data,
314
(
6.4%)
exceeded
75
m
g/
L,
and
therefore
are
categorized
as
high­
exposure
per
King.

Exhibit
G.
4
compares
DBP
exposures
for
the
studies
and
ICR
data
using
the
study
exposure
definitions.
The
fraction
of
cases
among
the
study
population
experiencing
TTHM
occurrences
over
80
µ
g/
L
(
current
TTHM
MCL)
is
15
percent
to
35
percent.
National
ICR
DBP
occurrence
data
indicate
that
approximately
6.8
percent
of
the
U.
S.
population
are
potentially
exposed
to
TTHM
levels
higher
than
the
current
MCL
of
80
µ
g/
L
during
any
of
the
four
quarters
during
the
last
12
months
of
the
ICR.
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
G­
5
July
2003
Exhibit
G.
4:
Comparison
of
DBP
Peak
Exposures:
Fractions
Exposed
in
Study
and
ICR
Populations
Data
Source
Waller
et
al.
(
1st
trimester
>
80)
Savitz
et
al.
(
1st
trimester
>
81)
King
et
al.
(
pregnancy
mean
>
75)
Study
Population
15%
35%
32%

ICR
Population
6.8%
6.8%
6.4%

Note:
The
King
et
al.
estimate
is
based
on
running
average
values
over
nine
months
whereas
the
Waller
et
al.
and
Savitz
et
al.
studies
are
based
on
averages
for
three
month
periods
(
quarters)
and
thus,
would
include
systems
that
exceeded
the
threshold
for
one
three
month
period
over
nine
months.

G.
2.2
PAR
Results
Using
OR
or
RR
and
Scaling
to
National
Exposure
PAR
estimates
were
derived
using
risk
estimates
and
odds
ratios
calculated
from
the
studies
(
summarized
in
Exhibit
G.
5).
Each
study
assigned
pregnancies
to
multiple
exposure
categories,
but
the
exposure
category
closest
to
the
Stage
2
DBP
TTHM
MCL
(
80
µ
g/
L)
was
used
to
recalculate
OR/
RR.
For
the
Waller
et
al.
2001
and
Savitz
et
al.
1995
studies,
persons
with
exposure
to
greater
than
or
equal
to
80
µ
g/
L
and
81
 
µ
g/
L,
respectively,
were
defined
as
"
exposed."
For
the
King
et
al.
study,
the
cut­
off
was
established
at
75
µ
g/
L.
In
addition,
to
make
the
results
from
the
Waller
et.
al.
2001
study
comparable
to
the
other
studies,
the
utility­
wide,
unweighted
average
TTHM
concentrations
were
used,
disregarding
the
number
of
glasses
of
water
consumed
per
day.
For
this
analysis,
crude
odds
ratios
were
used
because
it
was
not
possible
to
calculate
adjusted
odds
ratios
for
the
referent
unexposed
group
with
the
limited
information
provided
in
the
underlying
studies.
Hence,
not
all
confounding
variables
have
been
considered.

PAR
results
were
derived
using
Formula
#
2,
i.
e.,
adjusting
the
exposed
fraction
in
the
study
population
to
reflect
national
exposure
levels.
Note
that
the
lower
95
percent
confidence
bound,
which
are
calculated
to
be
less
than
zero
for
all
studies,
were
truncated
to
zero
to
reflect
biological
plausibility.

Exhibit
G.
5
RR's,
OR's
and
PAR
Estimates
for
Three
Epidemiological
Studies
Study
Calculated
RR
and
OR's
1
PAR
Estimates
2
Median
95%
Confidence
Interval
Median
95%
Confidence
Interval
3
Waller
et
al.
2001
RR
=
1.25
0.99
­
1.6
1.7
%
0
­
4%

Savitz
et
al.
1995
OR
=
1.06
0.6
­
1.8
0.4
%
0
­
4%

King
et
al.
2000a
RR
=
1.28
0.98
­
1.7
1.7
%
0
­
4%

Notes:
1.
Re­
calculated
by
EPA
for
exposure
levels
as
described
in
Section
2.2.1
using
crude
odds
ratios
reported
in
the
studies
2.
Based
on
Formula
#
2:
%
PAR
=
100%
*
(
Pe)*
(
RR­
1)
/
[(
RR­
1)*
Pe
+
1]
where
Pe
is
the
fraction
of
the
exposed
population
and
RR
is
Relative
Risks
or
Odds
Ratio
3.
Lower
confidence
bounds
were
truncated
to
zero
to
reflect
biological
plausibility
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
G­
6
July
2003
G.
3
Estimate
of
Annual
Fetal
Losses
Avoided
as
a
Result
of
the
Stage
2
DBPR
All
three
epidemiology
studies
covered
exposure
periods
that
occurred
between
1988
and
1995,
before
implementation
of
the
Stage
1
DBPR.
To
calculate
the
number
of
fetal
losses
avoided
as
a
consequence
of
the
Stage
2
DBPR,
TTHM
quarterly
distribution
system
data
collected
during
the
ICR
were
used
to
estimate
the
fraction
of
locations
with
peak
exposures
for
pre­
Stage
1,
pre­
Stage
2
(
post­
Stage
1),
and
post­
Stage
2
scenarios.
From
these
fractions,
the
percent
reduction
in
peak
exposures
attributed
to
the
Stage
2
DBPR
can
be
calculated
(
See
section
5.4.1
and
Exhibit
5.13
for
a
discussion
of
this
analysis).
Although
EPA
recognizes
that
the
developmental
and
reproductive
health
data
described
in
section
5.2
does
not
conclusively
identify
the
peak
level
of
concern,
a
peak
TTHM
concentration
of
80
:
g/
L
was
assumed
for
all
analyses,
since
this
was
closest
to
the
level
evaluated
in
the
studies.

EPA
made
several
assumptions
for
this
analysis.
For
example,
each
ICR
plant­
location
(
DSE,
AVG1,
AVG2,
and
DS
Maximum)
was
assumed
to
represent
an
equal
portion
of
the
population.
Also,
TTHM
occurrence
for
ICR
plants
evaluated
are
assumed
to
represent
national
occurrence.
Section
G.
4
provides
a
full
discussion
of
the
assumptions
and
uncertainties
for
the
derivation
of
fetal
losses
avoided
as
a
result
of
the
Stage
2
DBPR
EPA
estimates
that
approximately
1,100
to
4,700
fetal
losses
could
be
avoided
per
year
as
a
result
of
the
Stage
2
DBPR
based
on
PAR
values
of
0.4
and
1.7
percent,
respectively.
The
following
four
steps
show
the
derivation
of
fetal
losses
avoided
as
a
result
of
the
Stage
2
DBPR
for
a
PAR
value
of
1.7
percent.
The
same
steps
can
be
used
to
derive
the
results
for
the
PAR
value
of
0.4
percent.

Step
1:
Estimate
the
baseline
number
of
fetal
losses
(
pre­
Stage
1
conditions)
attributable
to
exposure
to
peak
DBPs
by
multiplying
the
PAR
value
by
the
total
number
of
fetal
losses
per
year
(
983,000
from
Ventura
et
al.
2000a).

1.7%
PAR
x
983,000
=
16,711
Exhibit
G.
6
shows
the
range
of
baseline
fetal
losses
attributable
to
DBPs
for
PAR
values
of
0
to
4
percent
(
95
confidence
bounds
based
on
the
three
studies).

Step
2:
Estimate
the
percent
of
population
exposed
to
peaks
for
Pre­
Stage
1,
Pre­
Stage
2
and
Post­
Stage
2
conditions
(
source:
derived
in
section
5.4.1.3).
Results
for
a
TTHM
study
level
of
80
:
g/
L
are
shown
in
Exhibit
G.
6.

Step
3:
Estimate
the
fetal
losses
remaining
for
Pre­
Stage
2
conditions.
First,
estimate
the
fetal
losses
avoided
by
the
Stage
1
DBPR
by
multiplying
the
Pre­
Stage
1
cases
by
the
percent
reduction
in
peak
DBP
exposure
as
a
result
of
the
Stage
1
DBPR
(
shown
in
Exhibit
G.
7)

16,911
x
([
17.5%
­
7.1%]/
17.5%)
=
10,050
Subtract
the
fetal
losses
avoided
as
a
result
of
the
Stage
1
DBPR
from
the
pre­
Stage
1
baseline
number
of
fetal
losses
attributable
to
DBPs
to
produce
the
fetal
losses
remaining
that
are
attributable
to
DBPs
for
Pre­
Stage
2
conditions
16,911
­
10,050
=
6,861
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
G­
7
July
2003
Step
4:
Calculate
the
fetal
losses
avoided
as
a
result
of
the
Stage
2
DBPR.
Similarly
to
Step
3,
multiply
the
fetal
losses
remaining
after
the
Stage
1
DBPR
by
the
percent
reduction
in
peak
DBP
exposure
as
a
result
of
the
Stage
1
DBPR
(
shown
in
Exhibit
G.
7)

6,861
x
([
7.1%
­
2.2%]/
7.1%]
=
4,735
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
G­
8
July
2003
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%

PAR
(%)
Fetal
Losses
Attributable
to
DBPs
Exhibit
G.
6
Exposure
to
Peaks
Based
on
ICR
Data,
TTHM
Study
Level
of
80
:
g/
L
Pre­
Stage
1
Pre­
Stage
2
(
Post­
Stage
1)
Post­
Stage
2
Locations
with
Peaks
/
Total
Locations
215
/
1230
73
/
1035
19
/
880
Prevalence
of
Exposure
(
Locations
with
Peaks
/
Locations)
17.5%
7.1%
2.2%

Source:
Exhibit
5.13
Exhibit
G.
7
Baseline
Annual
Fetal
Losses
Attributable
to
DBPs
Based
on
Different
PAR
Values
Economic
Analysis
for
the
Stage
2
DBPR
Proposal
G­
9
July
2003
G.
4
Summary
of
Assumptions
and
Uncertainties
There
are
a
number
of
uncertainties
and
assumptions
associated
with
calculating
PAR
and
deriving
the
estimate
of
Fetal
Losses
that
could
be
attributable
to
DBP
exposure.
The
assumptions
are
necessary,
however,
for
predicting
exposure
changes
given
the
limited
data
on
DBP
occurrence
in
small
systems
and
in
distribution
systems
in
general.
These
include:

°
DBPs
may
not
be
the
causative
agent
for
these
fetal
losses.

°
All
confounding
factors
may
not
have
been
considered
in
these
three
studies.

°
By
using
the
crude
odds
ratios
to
recalculate
the
risk
estimates,
the
PAR
estimates
may
not
have
captured
the
true
risk
estimate.

°
The
total
incidence
for
all
fetal
losses
(
n=
983,000)
was
used
to
represent
both
spontaneous
abortion
and
stillbirth
because
there
is
insufficient
data
to
distinguish
the
number
of
miscarriages
vs.
number
of
stillbirths
per
year.

These
assumptions
and
uncertainties
are
not
all
specific
to
this
analysis;
they
would
be
true
for
many
environmental
epidemiology
studies
and
population
attributable
risk
calculations.

There
are
other
uncertainties
and
assumptions
associated
with
calculating
the
reduction
in
fetal
losses
that
could
be
attributable
to
the
Stage
2
DBPR.
To
translate
DBP
occurrence
to
DBP
exposure,
two
assumptions
were
used.

°
Each
plant­
location
(
DSE,
AVG1,
AVG2,
and
DS
Maximum)
represents
an
equal
portion
(
25
percent)
of
the
total
population
served
by
the
plant.

°
Peak
DBP
occurrence
for
311
large
ICR
plants
evaluated
is
representative
of
the
peak
DBP
occurrence
for
all
plants
(
large
and
small).

Section
5.4.1.3
provides
an
assessment
of
the
validity
and
impact
of
these
assumptions.

Because
DBP
concentrations
are
highly
variable
in
distribution
systems,
it
is
possible
that
the
exposure
analysis
in
Section
5.4.1.3
does
not
capture
true
variability
in
exposure
to
peaks.
Uncertainties
with
interpretation
of
ICR
data
for
the
purposes
of
this
exposure
assessment
include:

°
The
extent
to
which
small
system
occurrence
is
represented
°
Year
to
year
variability
of
DBP
occurrence
data
that
might
be
affected
by
changes
in
source
water
quality
(
e.
g.,
drought
years
versus
non­
drought
years)

°
The
extent
to
which
each
ICR
sampling
point
represents
an
equal
fraction
of
the
population
served
°
The
extent
to
which
ICR
sampling
locations
represent
compliance
monitoring
locations
when
trying
to
estimate
reductions
in
exposure
resulting
from
compliance
with
Stage
1
and
Stage
2
DBPRs.