Document ID: EPA-HQ-OW-2002-0049-0284
Agency: epa
Document Type: Supporting & Related Material
Title: 
Posted Date: 2003-03-19T05:00Z

Record
for
the
Section
316(
b)
Phase
II
Existing
Facilities
Notice
of
Data
Availability
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
A
B
C
D
E
F
Date
Modified:
2/
13/
03
By:
Abt
Associates
Inc.

Data
Sources:
EPA
Base
Case
2000,
316(
b)
Base
Case
for
Proposal,
and
316(
b)
Base
Case
for
NODA
(
all
EPA
electricity
demand
assumption)

Purpose:
Presents
change
between
EPA
Base
Case
2000,
316(
b)
Proposal
Base
Case,
and
316(
b)
NODA
Base
Case
1d
­
Base
case
with
EPA
electricity
demand
growth
assumptions
2d
­
Base
case
with
AEO
electricity
demand
growth
assumptions
.

March
10,
2003
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of
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File
Info
Record
for
the
Section
316(
b)
Phase
II
Existing
Facilities
Notice
of
Data
Availability
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
N
O
P
EPA
Base
Case
2000
PROPOSAL
­
Base
Case
(
EPA
Electricity
Demand
Assumption)
NODA
Base
Case
(
EPA
Electricity
Demand
Assumption)

2005
2010
2015
2020
2026
2008
2010
2013
2020
2026
2008
2010
2013
2020
2026
Variable
O&
M
7,022
7,289
7,606
7,842
8,134
7,231
7,321
7,528
7,842
8,120
7,213
7,303
7,502
7,824
8,100
Fixed
O&
M
21,740
21,355
21,608
21,726
22,134
21,703
21,486
21,779
21,551
21,964
21,784
21,577
21,863
21,634
22,041
Fuel
42,813
44,298
46,431
48,428
51,160
44,413
44,208
45,300
48,591
51,313
44,316
44,032
45,191
48,482
51,240
Capital
4,574
7,631
12,759
16,592
21,182
6,465
7,859
10,546
16,684
21,638
6,285
7,697
10,396
16,530
21,466
Total
76,149
80,572
88,404
94,588
102,610
79,813
80,874
85,153
94,667
103,035
79,598
80,609
84,952
94,471
102,848
Change
between
EPA
Base
Case
2000
and
316(
b)
Proposal
Change
between
316(
b)
Proposal
and
316(
b)
NODA
Variable
O&
M
0.4%
0.0%
Variable
O&
M
­
0.3%
­
0.2%

Fixed
O&
M
0.6%
­
0.8%
Fixed
O&
M
0.4%
0.4%

Fuel
­
0.2%
0.3%
Fuel
­
0.2%
­
0.2%

Capital
3.0%
0.6%
Capital
­
2.8%
­
0.9%

Total
0.4%
0.1%
Total
­
0.3%
­
0.2%

Change
between
EPA
Base
Case
2000
and
316(
b)
NODA
Variable
O&
M
0.2%
­
0.2%

Fixed
O&
M
1.0%
­
0.4%

Fuel
­
0.6%
0.1%

Capital
0.9%
­
0.4%

Total
0.0%
­
0.1%

.

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10,
2003
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Production
Costs
Record
for
the
Section
316(
b)
Phase
II
Existing
Facilities
Notice
of
Data
Availability
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
N
O
P
EPA
Base
Case
2000
PROPOSAL
­
Base
Case
(
EPA
Electricity
Demand
Assumption)
NODA
Base
Case
(
EPA
Electricity
Demand
Assumption)

2005
2010
2015
2020
2026
2008
2010
2013
2020
2026
2008
2010
2013
2020
2026
O/
G
Early
Retirement
1,234
1,557
1,557
1,557
1,557
1,963
1,963
1,963
1,963
1,963
705
705
705
705
705
Coal
Early
Retirement
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­
­

Nuke
Early
Retirement
2,248
4,776
1,140
1,140
­
2,680
4,347
2,011
1,140
­
2,680
4,295
2,011
1,140
­

Change
between
EPA
Base
Case
2000
and
316(
b)
Proposal
Change
between
316(
b)
Proposal
and
316(
b)
NODA
O/
G
Early
Retirement
406
406
O/
G
Early
Retirement
(
1,258)
(
1,258)

Coal
Early
Retirement
­
­
Coal
Early
Retirement
­
­

Nuke
Early
Retirement
(
429)
­
Nuke
Early
Retirement
(
52)
­

Change
between
EPA
Base
Case
2000
and
316(
b)
NODA
O/
G
Early
Retirement
(
852)
(
852)

Coal
Early
Retirement
­
­

Nuke
Early
Retirement
(
481)
­

.

March
10,
2003
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Early
Retirements
Record
for
the
Section
316(
b)
Phase
II
Existing
Facilities
Notice
of
Data
Availability
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
N
O
P
EPA
Base
Case
2000
PROPOSAL
­
Base
Case
(
EPA
Electricity
Demand
Assumption)
NODA
Base
Case
(
EPA
Electricity
Demand
Assumption)

Fuel
2005
2010
2015
2020
2026
2008
2010
2013
2020
2026
2008
2010
2013
2020
2026
Coal
21,128
21,524
21,844
22,132
22,325
21,477
21,492
21,712
22,158
22,325
21,484
21,506
21,715
22,170
22,331
Gas
6,035
7,437
8,884
10,233
11,901
6,967
7,389
8,203
10,313
11,990
6,919
7,325
8,155
10,259
11,949
%
Change
relative
to
EPA
Base
Case
2000
Change
between
316(
b)
Proposal
and
316(
b)
NODA
Coal
­
0.1%
0.1%
Coal
0.1%
0.1%

Gas
­
0.6%
0.8%
Gas
­
0.9%
­
0.5%

Change
between
EPA
Base
Case
2000
and
316(
b)
NODA
Coal
­
0.1%
0.2%

Gas
­
1.5%
0.3%

.

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10,
2003
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Fuel
Consumption