Document ID: EPA-HQ-OW-2002-0049-0262
Agency: epa
Document Type: Supporting & Related Material
Title: 
Posted Date: 2003-03-19T05:00Z

Record
for
the
Section
316(
b)
Phase
II
Existing
Facilities
Notice
of
Data
Availability
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
A
B
C
D
Date
Modified:
2/
13/
03
By:
Abt
Associates
Inc.

Data
Sources:
NERC
level
IPM
outputs
for
capacity
prices
and
energy
prices
for
1d,
2d,
3d,
and
4d
Description:
Input
into
the
IPM
market
analysis
for
the
section
316(
b)
Phase
II
NODA
Key
to
IPM
runs:

1d
­
Base
case
with
EPA
electricity
demand
growth
assumptions
2d
­
Base
case
with
AEO
electricity
demand
growth
assumptions
3d
­
Preferred
option
with
EPA
electricity
demand
growth
assumptions
4d
­
Waterbody/
capacity­
based
option
with
AEO
electricity
demand
growth
assumptions
March
10,
2003
Page
1
of
9
dwcgi­
20798­
1049816323­
550968000.
xls
­
File
Info
Record
for
the
Section
316(
b)
Phase
II
Existing
Facilities
Notice
of
Data
Availability
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
Abt2_
1d_
PricesToAbt_
020503.
xls
CapacityPrice
Energy
Price
NERC
Region
2008
2010
2013
2020
2008
2010
ECAR
72.2
51.7
52.6
52.8
20.9
20.8
ERCOT
0.0
13.0
27.6
35.3
27.6
27.1
FRCC
58.1
34.8
35.8
41.3
27.8
27.1
MAAC
67.9
46.6
47.3
48.5
24.7
24.6
MAIN
72.6
50.0
51.7
52.4
20.9
20.9
MAPP
72.2
49.8
48.8
50.9
20.6
20.1
NPCC
63.5
39.8
43.1
44.6
27.2
27.5
SERC
63.5
44.4
45.5
46.1
23.5
22.7
SPP
56.9
37.7
41.5
45.6
23.2
22.4
WSCC
16.7
7.0
24.9
35.1
26.3
25.1
In
$
2002
Energy
Price
($/
MWh)
CapacityPrice
($/
kW­
yr)

2008
ECAR
ECAR2008
22.7
78.4
2008
ERCOT
ERCOT2008
30.0
­

2008
FRCC
FRCC2008
30.2
63.1
2008
MAAC
MAAC2008
26.8
73.7
2008
MAIN
MAIN2008
22.7
78.8
2008
MAPP
MAPP2008
22.4
78.3
2008
NPCC
NPCC2008
29.5
68.9
2008
SERC
SERC2008
25.5
68.9
2008
SPP
SPP2008
25.2
61.7
2008
WSCC
WSCC2008
28.6
18.2
2010
ECAR
ECAR2010
22.6
56.1
2010
ERCOT
ERCOT2010
29.4
14.1
2010
FRCC
FRCC2010
29.4
37.8
2010
MAAC
MAAC2010
26.7
50.6
2010
MAIN
MAIN2010
22.7
54.3
2010
MAPP
MAPP2010
21.9
54.0
2010
NPCC
NPCC2010
29.9
43.2
2010
SERC
SERC2010
24.6
48.2
2010
SPP
SPP2010
24.3
41.0
2010
WSCC
WSCC2010
27.2
7.6
March
10,
2003
Page
2
of
9
dwcgi­
20798­
1049816323­
550968000.
xls
­
1d
Record
for
the
Section
316(
b)
Phase
II
Existing
Facilities
Notice
of
Data
Availability
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
I
J
2013
2020
21.4
22.0
25.0
23.9
27.1
26.3
24.9
25.1
21.3
21.3
20.1
19.9
27.7
28.0
22.9
22.9
22.3
21.8
24.4
23.3
March
10,
2003
Page
3
of
9
dwcgi­
20798­
1049816323­
550968000.
xls
­
1d
Record
for
the
Section
316(
b)
Phase
II
Existing
Facilities
Notice
of
Data
Availability
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
Abt2_
2d_
PricesToAbt020503.
xls
CapacityPrice
Energy
Price
NERC
Region
2008
2010
2013
2020
2008
2010
ECAR
73.8
49.9
52.0
52.8
23.1
22.9
ERCOT
44.4
31.4
33.0
41.4
27.3
25.1
FRCC
59.7
34.5
39.1
42.5
28.3
27.8
MAAC
69.0
47.0
48.4
48.9
26.0
25.8
MAIN
72.2
49.9
52.1
52.9
22.3
22.1
MAPP
71.7
49.4
51.6
52.0
21.9
21.1
NPCC
65.0
44.8
46.0
48.6
28.7
28.2
SERC
64.2
43.7
45.4
46.0
24.4
23.8
SPP
61.7
42.0
45.4
48.5
23.9
23.0
WSCC
27.7
23.1
34.4
47.4
26.9
25.5
In
$
2002
Energy
Price
($/
MWh)
CapacityPrice
($/
kW­
yr)

2008
ECAR
ECAR2008
25.0
80.1
2008
ERCOT
ERCOT2008
29.6
48.2
2008
FRCC
FRCC2008
30.8
64.8
2008
MAAC
MAAC2008
28.2
74.9
2008
MAIN
MAIN2008
24.2
78.3
2008
MAPP
MAPP2008
23.7
77.8
2008
NPCC
NPCC2008
31.2
70.6
2008
SERC
SERC2008
26.5
69.7
2008
SPP
SPP2008
25.9
67.0
2008
WSCC
WSCC2008
29.2
30.0
2013
ECAR
ECAR2013
24.8
54.2
2013
ERCOT
ERCOT2013
27.0
35.8
2013
FRCC
FRCC2013
29.9
42.4
2013
MAAC
MAAC2013
28.0
52.5
2013
MAIN
MAIN2013
24.0
56.6
2013
MAPP
MAPP2013
22.5
56.0
2013
NPCC
NPCC2013
30.5
50.0
2013
SERC
SERC2013
25.6
49.3
2013
SPP
SPP2013
24.5
49.3
2013
WSCC
WSCC2013
26.3
37.4
March
10,
2003
Page
4
of
9
dwcgi­
20798­
1049816323­
550968000.
xls
­
2d
Record
for
the
Section
316(
b)
Phase
II
Existing
Facilities
Notice
of
Data
Availability
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
I
J
2013
2020
22.8
23.8
24.9
23.9
27.5
27.4
25.8
26.3
22.1
22.7
20.8
21.1
28.1
28.7
23.6
23.9
22.6
22.6
24.2
23.1
March
10,
2003
Page
5
of
9
dwcgi­
20798­
1049816323­
550968000.
xls
­
2d
Record
for
the
Section
316(
b)
Phase
II
Existing
Facilities
Notice
of
Data
Availability
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
Abt2_
3d_
PricesToAbt.
xls
CapacityPrice
Energy
Price
NERC
Region
2008
2010
2013
2020
2008
2010
ECAR
72.0
51.7
52.8
52.8
21.1
20.9
ERCOT
0.0
3.9
25.1
35.1
27.7
28.7
FRCC
57.7
33.9
33.8
38.6
28.0
27.2
MAAC
68.2
46.4
47.0
48.3
24.9
24.6
MAIN
72.0
50.4
51.9
52.6
21.1
20.8
MAPP
71.9
50.2
48.8
50.9
20.9
20.1
NPCC
55.9
39.9
41.5
44.2
27.7
27.8
SERC
63.2
44.5
45.5
46.1
23.6
22.7
SPP
56.4
38.0
41.4
45.6
23.3
22.4
WSCC
16.6
7.0
24.8
35.0
26.3
25.0
In
$
2002
Energy
Price
($/
MWh)
CapacityPrice
($/
kW­
yr)

2008
ECAR
ECAR2008
22.9
78.1
2008
ERCOT
ERCOT2008
30.1
­

2008
FRCC
FRCC2008
30.4
62.6
2008
MAAC
MAAC2008
27.1
74.0
2008
MAIN
MAIN2008
22.9
78.1
2008
MAPP
MAPP2008
22.7
78.0
2008
NPCC
NPCC2008
30.1
60.7
2008
SERC
SERC2008
25.6
68.6
2008
SPP
SPP2008
25.3
61.2
2008
WSCC
WSCC2008
28.6
18.1
2010
ECAR
ECAR2010
22.6
56.1
2010
ERCOT
ERCOT2010
31.2
4.3
2010
FRCC
FRCC2010
29.6
36.8
2010
MAAC
MAAC2010
26.7
50.4
2010
MAIN
MAIN2010
22.6
54.7
2010
MAPP
MAPP2010
21.8
54.5
2010
NPCC
NPCC2010
30.2
43.3
2010
SERC
SERC2010
24.6
48.3
2010
SPP
SPP2010
24.3
41.2
2010
WSCC
WSCC2010
27.2
7.6
March
10,
2003
Page
6
of
9
dwcgi­
20798­
1049816323­
550968000.
xls
­
3d
Record
for
the
Section
316(
b)
Phase
II
Existing
Facilities
Notice
of
Data
Availability
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
I
J
2013
2020
21.4
22.0
25.3
23.9
27.4
26.7
25.0
25.1
21.3
21.3
20.1
19.9
27.9
28.2
22.9
22.9
22.3
21.8
24.4
23.3
March
10,
2003
Page
7
of
9
dwcgi­
20798­
1049816323­
550968000.
xls
­
3d
Record
for
the
Section
316(
b)
Phase
II
Existing
Facilities
Notice
of
Data
Availability
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
Abt2_
4d_
PricesToAbt020603.
xls
CapacityPrice
Energy
Price
NERC
Region
2008
2010
2013
2020
2008
2010
2013
2020
ECAR
73.6
49.9
52.5
52.8
23.4
23.2
23.0
23.8
ERCOT
37.2
29.1
32.6
41.4
28.6
25.8
25.3
23.9
FRCC
58.4
33.1
36.6
42.9
28.6
28.4
28.6
27.4
MAAC
69.2
46.4
48.4
49.2
26.0
26.2
26.1
26.3
MAIN
71.7
50.3
52.2
52.9
22.6
22.4
22.5
22.7
MAPP
71.1
50.4
51.6
52.0
21.9
21.4
21.1
21.1
NPCC
64.8
42.0
46.1
48.6
28.7
28.9
28.4
28.8
SERC
64.0
43.7
45.3
46.0
24.5
24.1
24.0
23.9
SPP
62.8
41.5
45.4
48.5
23.8
23.4
23.0
22.7
WSCC
34.9
23.1
34.4
49.5
26.8
25.8
24.6
22.9
In
$
2002
Energy
Price
($/
MWh)
CapacityPrice
($/
kW­
yr)

2008
ECAR
ECAR2008
25.4
79.9
2008
ERCOT
ERCOT2008
31.1
40.4
2008
FRCC
FRCC2008
31.1
63.4
2008
MAAC
MAAC2008
28.2
75.1
2008
MAIN
MAIN2008
24.6
77.8
2008
MAPP
MAPP2008
23.8
77.2
2008
NPCC
NPCC2008
31.2
70.4
2008
SERC
SERC2008
26.6
69.4
2008
SPP
SPP2008
25.8
68.2
2008
WSCC
WSCC2008
29.1
37.9
2013
ECAR
ECAR2013
25.0
57.0
2013
ERCOT
ERCOT2013
27.4
35.3
2013
FRCC
FRCC2013
31.0
39.7
2013
MAAC
MAAC2013
28.3
52.6
2013
MAIN
MAIN2013
24.4
56.6
2013
MAPP
MAPP2013
22.9
56.0
2013
NPCC
NPCC2013
30.9
50.0
2013
SERC
SERC2013
26.0
49.2
2013
SPP
SPP2013
24.9
49.2
2013
WSCC
WSCC2013
26.7
37.3
March
10,
2003
Page
8
of
9
dwcgi­
20798­
1049816323­
550968000.
xls
­
4d
Record
for
the
Section
316(
b)
Phase
II
Existing
Facilities
Notice
of
Data
Availability
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
N
Electric
Power
PPI
obtained
from
the
BLS
website
http://
stats.
bls.
gov/
ppihome.
htm
series
ID
WPU0543
(
2/
3/
2003)

Annual
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Elect
PPI
1999
128.9
126.1
125.5
125.5
125.2
127.4
131.6
133.9
133.9
134.1
129.5
127.5
126.5
Elect
PPI
2000
131.5
126.8
126.7
126.7
126.8
128.6
133.6
136.2
137.4
137.8
134.1
130.9
132.7
Elect
PPI
2001
141.1
136.4
136.4
136.5
135.1
136.2
148.4
149.5
148.9
148.2
143.8
137.3
136.9
Elect
PPI
2002
139.9
136.3
135.4
135.7
135.4
137.9
143.6
144.9
145
145.7
139.6
140.1
139.6
P
:
Preliminary.

March
10,
2003
Page
9
of
9
dwcgi­
20798­
1049816323­
550968000.
xls
­
Rates