Document ID: EPA-R02-OAR-2006-0342-0005
Agency: epa
Document Type: Supporting & Related Material
Title: 
Posted Date: 2006-05-09T04:00Z

1
Appendix
B
History
of
New
Jersey's
Ozone
State
Implementation
Plan
This
appendix
provides
a
brief
history
of
the
previous
revisions
to
New
Jersey's
ozone
SIP.

Attainment
Demonstration
SIP
History
On
August
31,
1998,
New
Jersey
submitted
to
the
USEPA
a
SIP
revision
containing
a
demonstration
of
attainment
of
the
1­
hour
ozone
NAAQS
for
the
New
York
City/
Northern
New
Jersey/
Long
Island
and
Philadelphia/
Wilmington/
Trenton
nonattainment
areas.
1
This
original
attainment
demonstration
submittal
is
hereafter
referred
to
as
the
State's
Phase
II
Ozone
SIP.
The
Phase
II
Ozone
SIP
submittal
provided
for
an
attainment
demonstration
as
required
by
42
U.
S.
C.
§
7511a(
c)(
2)(
A),
§
182(
c)(
2)(
A)
of
the
Clean
Air
Act
and
addressed
the
USEPA's
subsequent
requirements
regarding
attainment
demonstration
for
the
1­
hour
NAAQS
for
ozone.
2,3
New
Jersey
used
a
"
weight
of
evidence"
to
determine
the
emission
reductions
needed
to
attain
the
ozone
standard.
A
weight
of
evidence
analysis
combines
results
from
advanced
photochemical
grid
models
and
the
most
recent
air
quality
data
to
improve
the
estimate
of
emission
reductions
needed
to
attain.
The
method
used
by
New
Jersey
predicts
future
ozone
concentrations
from
a
baseline
of
actual
historic
air
quality
data
and
the
ozone
improvement
predicted
by
the
photochemical
grid
model.
The
improvement
is
the
model­
predicted
base
year
concentration
divided
by
the
model­
predicted
future
attainment
year
concentration.
This
method
takes
advantage
of
the
fact
that
air
quality
models
may
be
more
accurate
at
calculating
relative
improvement
in
air
quality
as
opposed
to
predicting
an
absolute
concentration
at
a
particular
geographic
site.
4
In
addition
to
including
a
demonstration
of
attainment
of
the
1­
hour
NAAQS
for
ozone
for
the
New
York
City/
Northern
New
Jersey/
Long
Island
and
Philadelphia/
Wilmington/
Trenton
nonattainment
areas
and
a
list
of
the
control
measures
adopted
by
the
State
to
date,
the
Phase
II
Ozone
SIP
committed
the
State
to:

1)
Submit
post­
1999
Rate
of
Progress
Plans
and
any
adopted
regulations
needed
to
achieve
the
post­
1999
emission
reductions
by
December
31,
2000;
2)
Implement
the
New
Jersey
portion
of
the
USEPA
regional
NOx
cap
(
NOx
SIP
Call);
3)
Undertake
a
midcourse
review
and
submit
a
report
to
the
USEPA
by
December
31,
2002;
4)
Evaluate
additional
control
measures
which
are
not
currently
implemented
for
1
NJ
SIP
Revision,
Meeting
the
Requirements
of
the
Alternative
Ozone
Attainment
Demonstration
Policy­
Phase
II
Ozone
Submittal,
August
31,
1998.
2
USEPA,
Memorandum
from
Mary
D.
Nichols,
Assistant
Administrator
for
Air
and
Radiation
to
the
Regional
Administrators,
Region
I­
X.
This
Policy
is
commonly
referred
as
"
The
March
2nd
Policy,"
March
2,
1995.
3
USEPA,
Memorandum
from
Richard
D.
Wilson,
Acting
Assistant
Administrator
for
the
Office
of
Air
and
Radiation
to
the
Regional
Administrators,
Regions
I­
X,
"
Guidance
for
Implementing
the
1­
Hour
Ozone
and
Pre­
Existing
PM10
NAAQS,"
December
29,
1997.
4
USEPA,
Guidance
for
Improving
Weight
of
Evidence
Through
Identification
of
Additional
Emission
Reductions
Not
Modeled,
November,
1999.
2
potential
future
implementation;
and,
5)
Propose
such
reasonable
and
necessary
control
measures
needed
to
address
any
shortfall
identified
in
the
midcourse
review
which
are
necessary
for
attainment.

In
reviewing
the
attainment
demonstrations
submitted
by
New
Jersey,
as
well
as
other
states'
submittals
(
such
as
New
York,
Pennsylvania
and
Maryland),
the
USEPA
performed
its
own
analyses
(
also
using
the
weight
of
evidence
method
but
with
a
different
base
year
and
different
modeling
results)
and
determined
that
further
emission
reductions
were
necessary
to
insure
attainment
by
the
applicable
dates.
For
New
Jersey,
the
USEPA's
analyses
results
were
reasonably
similar
to
the
uncertainty
analysis
results
New
Jersey
presented
in
its
Phase
II
Ozone
SIP
to
quantify
the
uncertainties
incorporated
its
air
quality
projections.
Therefore,
considering
both
the
USEPA
and
the
prior
state
analyses,
the
State
revised
its
attainment
demonstration
to
include
a
commitment
to
a
process
designed
to
secure
New
Jersey's
fair
share
of
the
additional
emission
reductions
identified
by
the
USEPA.

On
September
12,
2001,
New
Jersey
submitted
a
SIP
revision
containing
an
update
to
meeting
the
requirements
of
the
alternative
ozone
attainment
demonstration
policy
(
Control
Measures
SIP).
5
Specifically,
this
SIP
revision
provided:

1)
An
enforceable
commitment
by
New
Jersey
to
adopt
sufficient
measures
to
address
its
fair
share
of
the
level
of
additional
emission
reductions
identified
by
the
USEPA,
and
to
revise
its
Attainment
Demonstration
accordingly
to
reflect
those
measures;
6
2)
A
revised
transportation
conformity
emission
budget
that
included
the
Tier
2
Motor
Vehicle
Standard/
Low
Sulfur
Gasoline
Program
benefits;
3)
An
enforceable
commitment
to
revise
the
New
Jersey
Ozone
Attainment
Demonstration
to
recalculate
the
transportation
conformity
emission
budgets
to
reflect
any
additional
measures
adopted
(
beyond
the
Tier
2
Motor
Vehicle
Standard/
Low
Sulfur
Program)
pertaining
to
motor
vehicles;
4)
An
enforceable
commitment
to
revise
the
New
Jersey
Ozone
Attainment
Demonstration
to
recalculate
the
transportation
conformity
emission
budgets,
within
one
year
after
the
MOBILE6
model
is
released
and
required
for
use
in
the
development
of
SIPs;
5)
A
list
of
possible
additional
control
measures
from
which
a
suite
of
measures
can
be
drawn
that
would
be
expected
to
meet
New
Jersey's
fair
share
of
the
USEPA
 
identified
emission
reduction
shortfall;
and,
6)
An
enforceable
commitment
to
perform
a
midcourse
review
by
December
of
2003
that
was
subsequently
changed
to
December
of
2004.

The
control
measure
SIP
included
the
following
additional
rules
that
implemented
control
measures:
NOx
rule,
consumer
products
rule,
portable
fuel
containers
rule,
architectural
and
industrial
maintenance
coatings
rule,
mobile
equipment
refinishing
rule,
and
solvent
cleaning
5
New
Jersey
Department
of
Environmental
Protection,
State
Implementation
Plan
(
SIP)
Revision
for
the
Attainment
and
Maintenance
of
the
One­
Hour
Ozone
National
Ambient
Air
Quality
Standard,
Update
to
Meeting
the
Requirements
of
the
Alternative
Ozone
Attainment
Demonstration
Policy­
Additional
Emission
Reduction
Commitment
and
Transportation
Conformity
Budgets,
April
26,
2000.
6
64
Fed.
Reg.
70380,
(
December
16,
1999).
3
operations
rule.
The
projected
emission
benefits
from
these
rules
just
covered
the
USEPA
identified
shortfall
for
the
Philadelphia/
Wilmington/
Trenton
nonattainment
area
and
more
than
covered
the
USEPA
identified
shortfall
for
the
New
York
City/
Northern
New
Jersey/
Long
Island
nonattainment
area.

Rate
of
Progress
SIP
History
The
State
submitted
its
original
1996
15­
percent
Rate
of
Progress
plans
to
the
USEPA
on
November
15,
1993.7
Subsequently,
on
December
31,
1996,
New
Jersey
submitted
to
the
USEPA,
as
part
of
its
Phase
I
Ozone
SIP
submittal,
a
revision
which
updated
its
1993
15­
percent
Rate
of
Progress
plans
and
included
its
1999
24­
percent
Rate
of
Progress
plans
to
the
USEPA.
8
The
USEPA
granted
conditional
interim
approval
to
New
Jersey's
Phase
I
Ozone
SIP
submittal
on
June
30,
1997.9
The
USEPA's
approval
of
New
Jersey's
Phase
I
Ozone
SIP
was
conditional
based
on
the
modeling
contained
in
the
15­
percent
and
24­
percent
Rate
of
Progress
Plans.
10
On
December
12,
1997,
the
USEPA
disapproved
the
15­
percent
Rate
of
Progress
Plans'
portion
of
New
Jersey's
Phase
I
Ozone
SIP
due
to
the
realization
that
the
benefits
claimed
in
these
plans
for
the
State's
enhanced
I/
M
program
would
not
be
obtained.
11
On
February
5,
1999,
the
State
submitted
revised
15­
percent
Rate
of
Progress
and
24­
percent
Rate
of
Progress
plans
that
no
longer
relied
on
the
benefits
anticipated
from
the
enhanced
I/
M
program.
These
revised
plans
were
approved
by
the
USEPA
on
April
23,
1999.12
On
December
13,
1999,
the
State
began
implementation
of
its
enhanced
I/
M
program.

On
March
31,
2001,
New
Jersey
submitted
a
SIP
revision
containing
the
actual
1996
inventory
and
Rate
of
Progress
plans
for
2002,
2005
and
2007.13
The
Rate
of
Progress
SIP
contained
the
remaining
Rate
of
Progress
plans
for
each
milestone
year
up
to
and
including
the
attainment
years
for
each
applicable
nonattainment
area.
Using
control
measures
consistent
with
those
in
the
State's
demonstration
of
attainment
of
the
1­
hour
ozone
standard,
it
was
shown
that
the
Rate
of
Progress
targets
were
achieved.
In
addition,
the
State
agreed
to
find
further
emission
reductions,
identified
by
the
USEPA,
and
is
currently
working
with
other
Ozone
Transport
7
New
Jersey
Department
of
Environmental
Protection
and
Energy,
State
Implementation
Plan
(
SIP)
Revision
for
the
Attainment
and
Maintenance
of
the
Ozone
National
Ambient
Air
Quality
Standards,
Meeting
the
Federal
Clean
Air
Act
Requirements,
November
15,
1993.
8
The
State
of
New
Jersey,
Department
of
Environmental
Protection,
State
Implementation
Plan
(
SIP)
Revision
for
the
Attainment
and
Maintenance
of
the
Ozone
National
Ambient
Air
Quality
Standards,
Meeting
the
Requirements
of
the
Alternative
Ozone
Attainment
Demonstration
Policy,
Phase
I
Ozone
SIP
submittal,
December
31,
1996.
9
62
Fed.
Reg.
35100
(
June
30,
1997).
10
In
a
letter
dated
May
29,
1997,
New
Jersey
committed
to
perform
the
modeling
necessary
to
estimate
the
emissions
reductions
that
would
result
from
the
enhanced
I/
M
program,
as
implemented,
within
12
months
from
the
effective
date
of
the
USEPA's
approval
action
(
that
is,
by
July
30,
1998).
11
Letter
dated
December
12,
1997
to
New
Jersey
Governor
Christine
Todd
Whitman
from
Regional
Administrator
Muszynski,
and
a
similar
but
more
detailed
letter
dated
December
12,
1997
to
Commissioner
Robert
C.
Shinn,
Jr.,
NJDEP
and
Commissioner
John
J.
Haley,
Jr.,
New
Jersey
Department
of
Transportation,
from
Deputy
Regional
Administrator
William
J.
Muszynski,
P.
E.,
USEPA,
Region
II.
This
action
was
later
formalized
by
the
USEPA
at
63
Fed.
Reg.
45399
(
August
26,
1998).
12
64
Fed.
Reg.
19913
(
April
23,
1999).
13
NJDEP,
State
Implementation
Plan
revision
for
the
Attainment
and
Maintenance
of
the
Ozone
National
Ambient
Air
Quality
Standard,
New
Jersey
1996
Actual
Emission
Inventory
and
Rate
of
Progress
(
ROP)
Plans
for
2002,
2005
and
2007,
March
31,
2001.
4
Region
states
in
this
regard.
Once
these
measures
are
adopted,
projected
controlled
emission
levels
would
decrease
further.
The
Rate
of
Progress
SIP
also
contained
revised
transportation
conformity
emission
budgets.

The
purpose
of
the
Rate
of
Progress
submittals
was
to
demonstrate
steady
incremental
progress
(
three
percent
of
the
1990
VOC
baseline
emission
level
averaged
over
each
consecutive
three
year
period
beginning
in
1991)
leading
towards
the
ultimate
goal
of
attainment.
The
purpose
of
the
attainment
demonstration,
however,
was
to
assess
the
overall
emission
reductions
necessary
to
actually
achieve
attainment,
which
could
be
greater
than
or
less
than
the
Rate
of
Progress
incremental
reductions.
If
the
attainment
demonstration
shows
that
a
state
needs
less
than
three
percent
over
each
consecutive
three
year
period
to
reach
attainment,
it
can
petition
the
USEPA
to
reduce
the
Rate
of
Progress
requirement
for
their
particular
state.
14
In
New
Jersey's
case,
however,
attaining
the
standard
requires
emission
reductions
that
exceed
Rate
of
Progress
requirements.
By
way
of
illustration,
the
control
measures
in
the
attainment
demonstration
were
incorporated
in
the
Rate
of
Progress
SIP,
and
the
resulting
controlled
emission
levels
indicate
that
the
inventories
for
New
Jersey
portion
of
the
New
York
City/
Northern
New
Jersey/
Long
Island
and
Philadelphia/
Wilmington/
Trenton
nonattainment
areas
are
well
below
the
targets
derived
from
the
three
percent
reduction
over
each
consecutive
three
year
period.
For
example,
for
the
New
York
City/
Northern
New
Jersey/
Long
Island
nonattainment
area
for
2007,
the
sum
of
the
New
Jersey
VOC
and
NOx
percentage
emission
reduction
was
83.5
percent
as
compared
to
a
48
percent
Rate
of
Progress
test
requirement.
Therefore,
for
New
Jersey,
the
emission
reductions
needed
to
attain
the
ozone
standard
significantly
exceed
the
three
percent
per
year
Rate
of
Progress
requirements.

2003
New
Jersey
Revised
Motor
Vehicle
Emission
Inventories
and
Transportation
Conformity
Emission
Budgets
Using
the
MOBILE6
Model
In
2003,
New
Jersey
submitted
a
SIP
revision
to
fulfill
its
commitment
to
revise
2005
and
2007
onroad
motor
vehicle
emission
budgets
for
the
Philadelphia/
Wilmington/
Trenton
nonattainment
area
and
New
York
City/
Northern
New
Jersey/
Long
Island
nonattainment
area
using
the
new
MOBILE6
model.
15
In
addition,
this
SIP
revision
showed
that
the
new
levels
of
onroad
motor
vehicle
emissions
calculated
using
MOBILE6
continue
to
support
predicted
achievement
of
rate
of
progress
requirements
and
projected
attainment
of
the
1­
hour
ozone
NAAQS
by
the
attainment
dates
for
each
nonattainment
area.
The
MOBILE6
generated
inventories
were
also
used
to
establish
transportation
conformity
emission
budgets
for
the
appropriate
Metropolitan
Planning
Organizations
(
MPOs)
in
New
Jersey.

The
USEPA
approved
the
revised
emission
inventories
and
transportation
conformity
emission
budgets
using
MOBILE6
on
May
5,
2003
at
68
FR
23662.

14
42
U.
S.
C.
§
7511a(
c)(
2)(
B)(
ii).
15
NJDEP,
SIP
Revision
for
the
Attainment
and
Maintenance
of
the
Ozone
NAAQS,
New
Jersey
Revised
Motor
Vehicle
Emission
Inventories
and
Transportation
Conformity
Budgets
Using
the
MOBILE6
Model,
April
4,
2003.
5
2004
New
Jersey
Revised
Motor
Vehicle
Transportation
Conformity
Emission
Budgets
Using
the
MOBILE6
Model
In
2004,
New
Jersey
submitted
a
request
to
the
USEPA
for
a
SIP
revision
to
establish
updated
transportation
conformity
emission
budgets
that
incorporated
new
data
and
the
use
of
the
new
USEPA
motor
vehicle
emissions
model
(
MOBILE6)
that
was
required
for
use
in
future
conformity
determinations
for
New
Jersey.
Transportation
conformity
emission
budgets
for
carbon
monoxide,
VOCs,
and
NOx
were
updated
to
reflect
the
most
recent
version
of
the
USEPA's
emission
factor
prediction
model
and
the
latest
vehicle
registration
data.
The
latest
vehicle
registration
data
were
used
to
establish
new
estimates
of
the
age
distribution
of
New
Jersey's
onroad
motor
vehicle
fleet.
This
SIP
revision
did
not
affect
any
of
the
planned
or
implemented
control
measures
for
carbon
monoxide,
VOCs,
and
NOx.
In
addition,
the
updated
budgets
did
not
indicate
a
need
for
any
additional
control
measures
for
New
Jersey
to
maintain
attainment
of
the
carbon
monoxide
NAAQS
or
reach
attainment
of
the
1­
hour
ozone
NAAQS.

The
USEPA
approved
New
Jersey's
SIP
revision
request
on
August
30,
2004
at
69
FR
52834­
52836.