cometadata/datacite-titles-descriptions-related-identifiers huggingface dataset:
DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.14280622.v1
title: Population projection, climate change and economic effects: assessment based on agricultural economic blocks

description: Abstract The future population trajectory, as well as climate change, are aspects that generate uncertainties as to their probable effects on the economy, especially on agricultural production and food industry. This paper simulates the effects of population scenarios and one of climate change using the GTAP computable general equilibrium model. A version of GTAP 10 was created to identify Agriculture, Forestry and Food Industry activities, and eight regions, called Agricultural Economic Blocks, using multivariate analysis techniques. The dynamic simulations of the accumulated deviation between thebaseline and the policy scenarios up to 2050 in isolation indicated widespread negative effects of climate change on the GDP and economic activities of the blocs. The results of the population scenarios indicated that the blocks made up of richer countries and with more diversified economies would tend to win at the expense of the others in terms of GDP. On the other hand, they would generally encourage the blocks’ Agriculture, Forestry and Food Industry productions. Taken together, the negative effects of climate change would tend to outweigh the positive effects of population scenarios and more intensively on those which project less population growth.
DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.14280623.v1
title: The effect of education on the demographic dividend: an analysis of the Brazilian case

description: Resumo The demographic dividend has aroused interest among demographers and economists because it is seen as a window of oportunity for the economic development of countries that have experienced a demographic transition. There are reasons to question the sole virtuosity of the pure demographic dividend in economic growth. Crespo-Cuaresma et al. (2014) found that educational expansion has an important role in economic gains during the demographic dividend. To verify these results for the Brazilian case, we performed a decomposition exercise of economic support ratio (ESR), an alternative to demographic dependency ratio, to analyze the first demographic dividend. A simulation, applied for the period from 1970 to 2100 considering three scenarios of educational expansion, shows that educational expansion was and will be responsible for a big share of the economic gains of the Brazilian demographic dividend period, outperforming the change in age structure effect. In addition, an increase in a work-age population with post-secondary education appears to potentialize these results.
DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.11313119.v1
title: Invisible Structures of Segregation in the Metropolitan Region of Goiânia

description: Abstract This article aims to research the invisible structure of segregation of the Metropolitan Region of Goiânia (RMG), through the interrelations among processes of urban space production, urban planning principles, and population dynamics. These interrelations are fundamental to understanding the structure of socioeconomic inequalities in metropolitan areas. We analyzed the process of formation of segregation structure in the region, addressing the various urban plans developed for Goiânia. We provide a brief analysis of population indicators based on Demographic Census data from 1950 to 2010 and local indicators of spatial association in 2010 to characterize different dynamics in the region. We developed a critical analysis of these aspects, in order to identify and illustrate the main characteristics of the formation of this region in a summary diagram. We discussed how this overall spatial structure contributes to the reproduction of segregated social relations. Main results indicate that RMG does not have a simple centrality or a multi-centrality. There are a series of concentric rings with different types of centralities, which function in an integrated – but not inclusive – segregation system. We also identify research topics of social, demographic, and economic dynamics that would improve our understanding of spatial formation and urban planning in this region.
DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.14268344
title: The exercise of the right to health in older persons in Argentina and Colombia: an approach based on the analysis of mortality due to causes sensitive to health care in the XXI century

description: Abstract Since Argentina and Colombia recognize health as a fundamental right, and undertake, among other issues, to provide healthcare services to guarantee its exercise without discrimination, our aim is to inquire, comparatively, about the challenges these countries face in fulfilling this commitment for population aged 60 and older. Thus, mortality rates from causes considered sensitive to health care by country, sex and age are calculated and analysed for trienniums 2000-2002 and 2013-2015, based on information from the United Nations. Besides, specific proportions are calculated based on each country’s official surveys. Results show, in both countries and for all groups of causes considered, a higher mortality in men, increasing with age up to 74 years and with a tendency to decline, mainly in Colombia. A more detailed analysis by causes reveals a similar situation in the latter case, unlike Argentina where mortality from respiratory diseases increases. Regardless of these differences, the rates associated to period 2013-2015 reveal, in both countries, the need to increase efforts to continue their reduction (or reverse their increase), with a special focus on those who have fewer resources and on their value as citizens with the same rights as the rest of the population.
DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.14268344.v1
title: The exercise of the right to health in older persons in Argentina and Colombia: an approach based on the analysis of mortality due to causes sensitive to health care in the XXI century

description: Abstract Since Argentina and Colombia recognize health as a fundamental right, and undertake, among other issues, to provide healthcare services to guarantee its exercise without discrimination, our aim is to inquire, comparatively, about the challenges these countries face in fulfilling this commitment for population aged 60 and older. Thus, mortality rates from causes considered sensitive to health care by country, sex and age are calculated and analysed for trienniums 2000-2002 and 2013-2015, based on information from the United Nations. Besides, specific proportions are calculated based on each country’s official surveys. Results show, in both countries and for all groups of causes considered, a higher mortality in men, increasing with age up to 74 years and with a tendency to decline, mainly in Colombia. A more detailed analysis by causes reveals a similar situation in the latter case, unlike Argentina where mortality from respiratory diseases increases. Regardless of these differences, the rates associated to period 2013-2015 reveal, in both countries, the need to increase efforts to continue their reduction (or reverse their increase), with a special focus on those who have fewer resources and on their value as citizens with the same rights as the rest of the population.
DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.14280623
title: The effect of education on the demographic dividend: an analysis of the Brazilian case

description: Resumo The demographic dividend has aroused interest among demographers and economists because it is seen as a window of oportunity for the economic development of countries that have experienced a demographic transition. There are reasons to question the sole virtuosity of the pure demographic dividend in economic growth. Crespo-Cuaresma et al. (2014) found that educational expansion has an important role in economic gains during the demographic dividend. To verify these results for the Brazilian case, we performed a decomposition exercise of economic support ratio (ESR), an alternative to demographic dependency ratio, to analyze the first demographic dividend. A simulation, applied for the period from 1970 to 2100 considering three scenarios of educational expansion, shows that educational expansion was and will be responsible for a big share of the economic gains of the Brazilian demographic dividend period, outperforming the change in age structure effect. In addition, an increase in a work-age population with post-secondary education appears to potentialize these results.
DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.14280624
title: Impacts of the age structure on the economic performance of Brazilian regions between 1991 and 2010

description: Abstract This study aims to analyze how age structure affected the economic performance of Brazilian regions between the 1990s and 2010. For this research, information is mainly taken from that provided by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) through the 1991, 2000 and 2010 editions of the Demographic Census. The empirical strategy adopted consists of the estimation of a model of spatial autocorrelation by the two-stage least squares method. The results showed that both child and elderly dependency ratio have a negative impact on economic growth, with the effects being more pronounced in less developed regions. Still, it was found that, when significant, the effect of the elderly dependency ratio is more pronounced in relation to children.
DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.14280627
title: Estimation of population stock to demand education for youngsters and adults in the State of São Paulo in 1995 and 2015

description: Abstract The Guidelines and Bases for National Education Law establishes that it is the Federation's duty to annually register, not only school-age children and adolescents, but also youngsters and adults who have not completed basic education. The aim of this study is to measure the stock of youngsters and adults (15 to 64 years old) with incomplete basic education in the State of São Paulo and to estimate the demand for education should all of them return to school. The methodology is based on data from the 1995 and 2015 National Household Sample Survey and on the application of the Profluxo model. Results indicate that the main narrowing in the system occurs in the transition from one educational cycle to another. The demand persists, especially in the first years of each cycle of basic education, although in a lower volume in 2015, compared to 1995.
DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.14280630
title: The elderly in Brazil: demographic transition, profile, and socioeconomic condition

description: Resumo This paper presents a revision about the elderly population in Brazil, addressing aspects of the demographic transition as it relates to socio-economic conditions and some consequences and trends associated with policies affecting Brazil’s elderly. Since a demographic transition has been occurring as a result of the aging of the Brazilian population, we identify a majority profile of Brazilian elderly as White women who live in urban areas in couple-without-children households, and possessing on average an education of 6.1 years and a smaller than minimum wage. We show that the vast majority of the elderly in Brazil receive some form of government income transfer that have a positive effect on poverty reduction in the segment. Finally, we show that there will be some future natural consequences and trends affecting the profile of the aging population, and that adjustments will need to be made by the government in terms of health and social security spending in order to mitigate the increased demands in these areas as the country's demographic change.
DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.9871034
title: Factors associated with birthweight of Terena indigenous children living in the urban area of Campo Grande, Mato Grosso do Sul State, Brazil

description: Abstract: The study aimed to verify the association between birthweight of Terena children living in the urban area of Campo Grande, Mato Grosso do Sul State, Brazil, and demographic, socioeconomic, and health variables and to describe the prevalence of low birthweight. Data were collective through home visits with a form completed with the mothers and based on records from the prenatal and neonatal cards. The sample included all the Terena women who gave birth to liveborn children from June 1, 2017, to July 31, 2018, and living in the Água Bonita, Darcy Ribeiro, Marçal de Souza, and Tarsila do Amaral villages. Birthweight was the outcome, and demographic, socioeconomic, and health characteristics were the exposure variables. A total of 43 mothers participated with their children. Low birthweight prevalence was 2.3%. In the final model, children living in households with makeshift cesspools showed lower birthweight when compared to those living in households connected to the public sewage disposal system, and daughters of mothers who were obese prior to the pregnancy presented higher birthweight than those born to normal weight mothers, according to pregestational body mass index. The data seek to contribute to discussions on the health and nutrition of this important share of the indigenous population that lives in urban areas.
DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.14280624.v1
title: Impacts of the age structure on the economic performance of Brazilian regions between 1991 and 2010

description: Abstract This study aims to analyze how age structure affected the economic performance of Brazilian regions between the 1990s and 2010. For this research, information is mainly taken from that provided by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) through the 1991, 2000 and 2010 editions of the Demographic Census. The empirical strategy adopted consists of the estimation of a model of spatial autocorrelation by the two-stage least squares method. The results showed that both child and elderly dependency ratio have a negative impact on economic growth, with the effects being more pronounced in less developed regions. Still, it was found that, when significant, the effect of the elderly dependency ratio is more pronounced in relation to children.
DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.14280627.v1
title: Estimation of population stock to demand education for youngsters and adults in the State of São Paulo in 1995 and 2015

description: Abstract The Guidelines and Bases for National Education Law establishes that it is the Federation's duty to annually register, not only school-age children and adolescents, but also youngsters and adults who have not completed basic education. The aim of this study is to measure the stock of youngsters and adults (15 to 64 years old) with incomplete basic education in the State of São Paulo and to estimate the demand for education should all of them return to school. The methodology is based on data from the 1995 and 2015 National Household Sample Survey and on the application of the Profluxo model. Results indicate that the main narrowing in the system occurs in the transition from one educational cycle to another. The demand persists, especially in the first years of each cycle of basic education, although in a lower volume in 2015, compared to 1995.
DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.14280630.v1
title: The elderly in Brazil: demographic transition, profile, and socioeconomic condition

description: Resumo This paper presents a revision about the elderly population in Brazil, addressing aspects of the demographic transition as it relates to socio-economic conditions and some consequences and trends associated with policies affecting Brazil’s elderly. Since a demographic transition has been occurring as a result of the aging of the Brazilian population, we identify a majority profile of Brazilian elderly as White women who live in urban areas in couple-without-children households, and possessing on average an education of 6.1 years and a smaller than minimum wage. We show that the vast majority of the elderly in Brazil receive some form of government income transfer that have a positive effect on poverty reduction in the segment. Finally, we show that there will be some future natural consequences and trends affecting the profile of the aging population, and that adjustments will need to be made by the government in terms of health and social security spending in order to mitigate the increased demands in these areas as the country's demographic change.
DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.14280633
title: Commuting and regional integration in eastern Rio de Janeiro

description: Abstract Commuting is an important measure to assess cities’ integration processes and regional population dynamics. In 2015, IBGE identified an intensification of the movement of people between the municipalities in eastern Rio de Janeiro, from Arraial do Cabo to São João da Barra, considering them relevant aspects of Brazilian urbanization. However, little is known about the weight of commuting between these municipalities, the levels of connections between them and the interaction between these municipalities and Macaé, the main destination of commuters in the area. This work analyzes the extent of regional integration of the eastern Rio de Janeiro vector from the 2000 and 2010 census data. The commuting due to work and/or study observed in Macaé places the municipality in a prominent position among the selected municipalities. We affirm that Macaé is not just a moving city, but a municipality that potentially integrates the labor market of other municipalities in the region. This study may illuminate new discussions about the recent urbanization processes in the state of Rio de Janeiro, mainly because it is a region demographically integrated, but politically fragmented.
DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.9871034.v1
title: Factors associated with birthweight of Terena indigenous children living in the urban area of Campo Grande, Mato Grosso do Sul State, Brazil

description: Abstract: The study aimed to verify the association between birthweight of Terena children living in the urban area of Campo Grande, Mato Grosso do Sul State, Brazil, and demographic, socioeconomic, and health variables and to describe the prevalence of low birthweight. Data were collective through home visits with a form completed with the mothers and based on records from the prenatal and neonatal cards. The sample included all the Terena women who gave birth to liveborn children from June 1, 2017, to July 31, 2018, and living in the Água Bonita, Darcy Ribeiro, Marçal de Souza, and Tarsila do Amaral villages. Birthweight was the outcome, and demographic, socioeconomic, and health characteristics were the exposure variables. A total of 43 mothers participated with their children. Low birthweight prevalence was 2.3%. In the final model, children living in households with makeshift cesspools showed lower birthweight when compared to those living in households connected to the public sewage disposal system, and daughters of mothers who were obese prior to the pregnancy presented higher birthweight than those born to normal weight mothers, according to pregestational body mass index. The data seek to contribute to discussions on the health and nutrition of this important share of the indigenous population that lives in urban areas.
DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.14280633.v1
title: Commuting and regional integration in eastern Rio de Janeiro

description: Abstract Commuting is an important measure to assess cities’ integration processes and regional population dynamics. In 2015, IBGE identified an intensification of the movement of people between the municipalities in eastern Rio de Janeiro, from Arraial do Cabo to São João da Barra, considering them relevant aspects of Brazilian urbanization. However, little is known about the weight of commuting between these municipalities, the levels of connections between them and the interaction between these municipalities and Macaé, the main destination of commuters in the area. This work analyzes the extent of regional integration of the eastern Rio de Janeiro vector from the 2000 and 2010 census data. The commuting due to work and/or study observed in Macaé places the municipality in a prominent position among the selected municipalities. We affirm that Macaé is not just a moving city, but a municipality that potentially integrates the labor market of other municipalities in the region. This study may illuminate new discussions about the recent urbanization processes in the state of Rio de Janeiro, mainly because it is a region demographically integrated, but politically fragmented.
DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.14280640
title: Mental disorders in adolescents, youth, and adults in the RPS Birth Cohort Consortium (Ribeirão Preto, Pelotas and São Luís), Brazil

description: Abstract: Although depression and anxiety are known to result in disabilities and workplace and health system losses, population-based studies on this problem are rare in Brazil. The current study assessed the prevalence of mental disorders in adolescents, youth, and adults and the relationship to sociodemographic characteristics in five birth cohorts (RPS) in Ribeirão Preto (São Paulo State), Pelotas (Rio Grande do Sul State), and São Luís (Maranhão State), Brazil. Major depressive episode, suicide risk, social phobia, and generalized anxiety disorder were assessed with the Mini International Neuropsychiatric Interview. Bootstrap confidence intervals were estimated and prevalence rates were stratified by sex and socioeconomic status in the R program. The study included 12,350 participants from the cohorts. Current major depressive episode was more prevalent in adolescents in São Luís (15.8%; 95%CI: 14.8-16.8) and adults in Ribeirão Preto (12.9%; 95%CI: 12.0-13.9). The highest prevalence rates for suicide risk were in adults in Ribeirão Preto (13.7%; 95%CI: 12.7-14.7), and the highest rates for social phobia and generalized anxiety were in youth in Pelotas, with 7% (95%CI: 6.3-7.7) and 16.5% (95%CI: 15.4-17.5), respectively. The lowest prevalence rates of suicide risk were in youth in Pelotas (8.8%; 95%CI: 8.0-9.6), social phobia in youth in Ribeirão Preto (1.8%; 95%CI: 1.5-2.2), and generalized anxiety in adolescents in São Luís (3.5%; 95%CI: 3.0-4.0). Mental disorders in general were more prevalent in women and in individuals with lower socioeconomic status, independently of the city and age, emphasizing the need for more investment in mental health in Brazil, including gender and socioeconomic determinants.