DOI: 10.5061/dryad.kwh70rzfb
title: Data from: Sectorial pathways to achieve net-zero and 1.5°C targets for Eu-27: Energy and emissions data to inform science-based decarbonization targets

description: This data paper provides an overview of an accompanying dataset of energy
 and emission pathways for the EU-27 member countries and the EU-27 as a
 region, with details provided on an individual country and overall
 regional basis. This data paper is aligned with previous research the
 authors undertook for Group of Twenty (G20) member states, which contains
 country-based decarbonisation pathways that align with a global carbon
 budget between 400 GtCO2 and 500 GtCO2, to limit the mean global
 temperature rise to 1.5°C, with an over 50% likelihood [1]. The regional
 share of the EU-27 is defined as 32 GtCO2. The detailed
 country-specific data sets contain annual CO2 emissions, Scope 1, 2, and 3
 emissions, industry- and country-specific energy intensities, as well as
 energy consumption and production values up to 2050 in 5-year increments.
 The data was calculated with the 1.5 °C sectoral pathways of the One Earth
 Climate Model (OECM) —an integrated energy assessment model developed by
 the University of Technology Sydney (UTS) - to support science-based
 decarbonization target setting for industries, financial institutions, and
 government organizations.
description: # Sectorial pathways to achieve net-zero and 1.5°C targets for Eu-27:
 Energy and emissions data to inform science-based decarbonization targets
 [https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.kwh70rzfb](https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.kwh70rzfb) ## Description of the data and file structure The data consists of the following six zipped data folders, each containing 28 separate files for each of the countries/regions assessed. 1. Folder “Appendix” contains the summary results of the 1.5°C scenarios for all 27 EU countries and the EU-27 as a whole: primary energy demand (PJ/a), final energy demand (PJ/a), energy-related CO2 emissions (million tonnes/a), transport – final energy (PJ/a), heat supply and air conditioning (PJ/a), electricity generation (TWh/a) and installed electricity generation capacity (GW). 2. Key industry data (S_Country): This zip folder comprises 28 country or region-specific XLSX worksheets. Within each worksheet, industrial data is presented for each individual country or the EU-27 region. Relevant industry data such as production metrics, greenhouse gas intensities, and specific process-related energy values are summarized within these files, organized according to the GICS sector classes. Represented units are unique for each sector. 3. Industry emission data (T_Country): This zip file contains 28 country or region-specific XLSX files containing the industrial emissions organized in a list of annual emission values (Mt CO2/a). 4. Emissions by scope category (Scope_Country): Within this folder, there are 28 country or region-specific XLSX worksheets. This worksheet contains industrial emissions split by the scope categories - scope 1, 2, 3, or total. Emission data is organized in two alternative data representation formats: the OECM format (Scope 1 defined as the heat and energy-use related emissions) and the production-centric format (Scope 1 includes the emission burden of other non-energy emissions, thereby placing the burden on the producer). Both formats are presented as only the carbon dioxide values (CO2) and in the total representative greenhouse gas values (CO2 equivalent). 5. Key Industry data (S_Country, CSV format). Within these zip files, there are 28 country or region CSV files. The data provided here is the sector data as described under point #2, with an alternative database layout, saved in the CSV file format. This format aims to significantly improve data parsing. 6. Emissions by scope category (S_country, CSV format): Within these zip files, there are 28 country or region CSV files. The data in this folder is the Scope emissions data, as described under point #4. The database has an alternative layout, saved in a CSV file format, to improve data parsing. ### **Description of data parameters** Within the compiled data, the following parameters are input to the 1.5 °C scenarios: 1. Sector key production data and market projection: This includes the current magnitude of the sector. For example, tonnes of cement produced annually, transport kilometres, or economic sector magnitude expressed in Gross Domestic Product (GDP as expressed in US$2015). Moreover, sector development is captured in trajectories of the individual sectors up to 2050. 2. Sector-specific energy intensity - material basis: This includes the energy required for the production of a key quantity or other output. For example, in the transport sector, this is expressed as energy per passenger kilometre (MJ/pkm) and in industrial sectors, the required energy can be expressed per quantity of material output (MJ/ton cement, MJ/ ton steel). 3. Sector-specific energy intensity – financial basis: Similar to point 2, this includes the energy required for the production of a key quantity or other output. However, the energy is expressed here in a financial unit as MJ/US$ GDP. This calculation is, for example, used in the energy calculation of the forestry or agricultural sector. The following parameters comprise the output of the 1.5 °C country/region scenarios: 4. Carbon dioxide CO2 emission characteristics: This includes intensities for materials produced or for a quantity of service/product delivered. A material-specific intensity is expressed per ton of material produced. For example, tons of CO2 per ton of cement produced (t CO2/t cement). An alternative example is the service/ product-based transport CO2 expressed in g CO2/km. 5. Emissions split by Scope category (1, 2, 3 or Total): This dataset contains the emission values for each country or region, split by the Scope categories. This data is provided up to the year 2050, with an additional percentual change value which compares the data to the year 2019. 6. Summary of the 1.5 °C scenario: Summary of the energy demand, supply and energy-related CO2 emission data for each country and region. Energy demand or supply is split by energy type, technology and respective sectors for the years 2012 to 2050. The values start from the year 2012, followed by yearly values between 2015 and 2020, and finally, in the period between 2025 and 2050, values are given in 5-year steps. Each country or region file includes the total energy and energy-related carbon dioxide emission results. ### **Geographic resolution: country data provided** The dataset covers the following 28 countries and regions: * Region: European Union 27-member states: EU-27 * Countries: Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, The Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden ### **Sectorial resolution: industry sector data provided** The dataset has coverage of the following industry sectors: Agriculture & food processing, forestry & wood products, chemical industry, aluminium industry, construction and buildings, water utilities, textile & leather industry, steel industry, cement industry, transport sector (aviation: freight & passenger transport; shipping: freight & passenger transport; and road transport: freight & passenger transport). ### **Time resolution** The scenario data are provided for the years 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2025, 2030, 2035, 2040, 2045, and 2050. Additionally, the sector-specific data (in the ‘S_Country-name’ files) contains data for 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, which are based on industry information and the development requirements between 2020 and 2025. ### **Carbon intensity: Allocation to Scope 1, 2 and 3 emissions** The carbon intensity in the sector emission datasets refers to energy-related CO2 emissions and is allocated to the following Scope 1, 2, and 3 emission categories. 1. Energy: carbon intensity in t CO2/PJ – Scope 3 (Category 11) 2. Electricity: carbon intensity in gCO2/kWh – Scope 3 (Category 11) 3. Passenger transport: carbon intensity for aviation, shipping and road transport in gCO2/passenger kilometre - Scope 3; energy-related CO2 emissions (fuel- and energy-related activities (FERA)) 4. Freight transport: carbon intensity for aviation, shipping and road transport in g CO2/ton kilometre – Scope 3; energy-related CO2 emissions (FERA) 5. Chemical industry: carbon intensity in kgCO2/$GDP – Scope 3 (Category 11) –kgCO2/$GDP 6. Residential Buildings: carbon intensity in kg CO2/kWh for heating and electricity – Scope 3; energy-related CO2 emissions (FERA). Carbon intensity per square-metre in kgCO2/m2 refers to the energy used for climatisation and heating only – Scope 3; energy-related CO2 emissions; fuel- and energy-related activities (FERA) 7. Commercial Buildings: carbon intensity in kgCO2/kWh for heating and electricity – Scope 3; energy-related CO2 emissions (FERA). Carbon intensity per square-metre in kgCO2/m2 refers to the energy used for heating/climatisation only – Scope 3; energy-related CO2 emissions; fuel- and energy-related activities (FERA) 8. Steel industry: a. Carbon intensity for primary steel in t CO2/t Steel for electricity and in tCO2/t Steel for process heat – Scope 1 and 2; energy-related CO2 emissions; fuel- and energy-related activities (FERA). Carbon intensity per tonne of primary steel in tco2-equivalent/ t Steel refers to the overall GHG emissions to produce one tonne of primary steel, including non-energy process (GHG) emissions – Scope 3 (Category 11) b. Carbon intensity for secondary steel in tCO2/t Steel for electricity and in tCO2/t Steel for process heat – Scope 1 and 2; energy-related CO2 emissions; fuel- and energy-related activities (FERA). Carbon intensity per tonne of secondary steel in tco2-equivalent/t Steel refers to the overall GHG emissions to produce one tonne of secondary steel, including non-energy process (GHG) emissions – Scope 3 (Category 11). 9. Aluminium industry: a. Carbon intensity for primary aluminium in tCO2/t Aluminium for electricity and in tCO2/t Aluminium for process heat – Scope 1 and 2; energy-related CO2 emissions; fuel- and energy-related activities (FERA). Carbon intensity per tonne of primary aluminium in tco2-equivalent/t Aluminium refers to the overall GHG emissions to produce one tonne of primary aluminium, including non-energy process (GHG) emissions – Scope 3 (Category 11). b. Carbon intensity for secondary aluminium in tCO2/t Aluminium for electricity and in tCO2/t Aluminium for process heat – Scope 1 and 2; energy-related CO2 emissions; fuel- and energy-related activities (FERA). Carbon intensity per ton of secondary aluminium in tco2-equivalent/t Aluminium refers to the overall GHG emissions to produce one tonne of secondary aluminium, including non-energy process (GHG) emissions – Scope 3 (Category 11). 10. Cement industry: a. Carbon intensity for clinker production in tCO2/t Clinker for process heat and electricity – Scope 1 and 2; energy-related CO2 emissions; fuel- and energy-related activities (FERA). b. Carbon intensity for cement production in tCO2/t Cement for process heat and electricity – Scope 1 and 2; energy-related CO2 emissions; fuel- and energy-related activities (FERA). c. Carbon intensity per ton of cement in tCO2e/t Cement refers to the overall GHG emissions to produce one tonne of cement, including non-energy process (GHG) emissions – Scope 3 (Category 11). 11. Water utilities industry: Carbon intensity for water supply (agriculture, municipal and industry, including wastewater treatment and desalination – if applicable) in kgCO2/t m3 for process heat and electricity – Scope 1 and 2; energy-related CO2 emissions; fuel- and energy-related activities (FERA). 12. Agriculture, Food & Tobacco industry: a. Carbon intensity for agricultural and food products and tobacco supply in gCO2/kWh for process heat and fuels – Scope 1 and 2; energy-related CO2 emissions; fuel- and energy-related activities (FERA). b. Carbon intensity for agricultural and food products and tobacco supply in gCO2/kWh for electricity – Scope 1 and 2; energy-related CO2 emissions; fuel- and energy-related activities (FERA). 13. Forestry and wood industry: a. Carbon intensity for forestry and wood products in gCO2/kWh for process heat and fuels – Scope 1 and 2; energy-related CO2 emissions; fuel- and energy-related activities (FERA). b. Carbon intensity for forestry and wood products in gCO2/kWh for electricity – Scope 1 and 2; energy-related CO2 emissions; fuel- and energy-related activities (FERA). 14. Textile and leather industry: a. Carbon intensity for textile and leather products in gCO2/kWh for process heat and fuels – Scope 1 and 2; energy-related CO2 emissions; fuel- and energy-related activities (FERA). b. Carbon intensity for forestry and wood products in gCO2/kWh for electricity – Scope 1 and 2; energy-related CO2 emissions; fuel- and energy-related activities (FERA). The data uploaded is in connection with an article for Springer Nature Applied Science