DOI: 10.5285/ff28d78693f645aa820266d472a6e1b3
title: Chapter 9 of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Figure 9.29 (v20221114)

description: Data for Figure 9.29 from Chapter 9 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). Figure 9.29 shows timing of when global mean sea level (GMSL) thresholds of 0.5, 1.0, 1.5 and 2.0 m are exceeded, based on four different ice-sheet projection methods informing post-2100 projections. --------------------------------------------------- How to cite this dataset --------------------------------------------------- When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates: Fox-Kemper, B., H.T. Hewitt, C. Xiao, G. Aðalgeirsdóttir, S.S. Drijfhout, T.L. Edwards, N.R. Golledge, M. Hemer, R.E. Kopp, G. Krinner, A. Mix, D. Notz, S. Nowicki, I.S. Nurhati, L. Ruiz, J.-B. Sallée, A.B.A. Slangen, and Y. Yu, 2021: Ocean, Cryosphere and Sea Level Change. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 1211–1362, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.011. --------------------------------------------------- Figure subpanels --------------------------------------------------- The figure has two panels, with data provided for panels SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 separately. --------------------------------------------------- List of data provided --------------------------------------------------- This dataset contains: - Timing of GMSL threshold exceedance at 0.5m, 1.0m, 1.5m, 2.0m based on four ice-sheet projection methods informing post-2100 methods. Methods are labelled based on their treatment of ice sheets. - ‘No acceleration’ assumes constant rates of mass change after 2100. - ‘Assessed ice sheet’ models post-2100 ice-sheet losses using a parametric fit (Supplementary Material 9.SM.4) extending to 2300 based on a multi-model assessment of contributions under RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 at 2300. - Marine ice-cliff instability (MICI) combines the parametric fit (Supplementary Material 9.SM3.4) for Greenland with Antarctic projections based on DeConto et al. (2021). - Structured expert judgement (SEJ) employs ice-sheet projections from Bamber et al. (2019). Circles, thick bars and thin bars represent the 50th, 17th–83rd and 5th–95th percentiles of the exceedance timing for the indicated projection method. Further details on data sources and processing are available in the chapter data table (Table 9.SM.9). --------------------------------------------------- Data provided in relation to figure --------------------------------------------------- Data provided in relation to Figure 9.29 - Data file: Fig9-29_ssp126_data.nc - Data file: Fig9-29_ssp585_data.nc GMSL stands for Global Mean Sea Level. RCP stands for Representative Concentration Pathway. SSP126 is the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway which represents the lower boundary of radiative forcing and development scenarios, consistent with RCP2.6. SSP585 is the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway which represents the upper boundary of radiative forcing and development scenarios, consistent with RCP8.5. --------------------------------------------------- Notes on reproducing the figure from the provided data --------------------------------------------------- Projected exceedances were plotted using standard matplotlib software - code is available via the link in the documentation. The provided R code for generating this plot uses relative paths. Be sure to set your session's working directory to the location of the R code before running the code. --------------------------------------------------- Sources of additional information --------------------------------------------------- The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record: - Link to the figure on the IPCC AR6 website - Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 9) - Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 9, which contains details on the input data used in Table 9.SM.9 - Link to the data and code used to produce this figure and others in Chapter 9, archived on Zenodo. - Link to the output data for this figure, contained in a dedicated GitHub repository.