DOI: 10.3886/icpsr06792
title: Uniform Crime Reports: Monthly Weapon-Specific Crime and Arrest Time Series, 1975-1993 [National, State, and 12-City Data]
title: Archival Version

description: These data were prepared in conjunction with a project using Bureau of Labor Statistics data (not provided with this collection) and the Federal Bureau of Investigation's Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program data to examine the relationship between unemployment and violent crime. Three separate time-series data files were created as part of this project: a national time series (Part 1), a state time series (Part 2), and a time series of data for 12 selected cities: Baltimore, Buffalo, Chicago, Columbus, Detroit, Houston, Los Angeles, Newark, New York City, Paterson (New Jersey), and Philadelphia (Part 3). Each data file was constructed to include 82 monthly time series: 26 series containing the number of Part I (crime index) offenses known to police (excluding arson) by weapon used, 26 series of the number of offenses cleared by arrest or other exceptional means by weapon used in the offense, 26 series of the number of offenses cleared by arrest or other exceptional means for persons under 18 years of age by weapon used in the offense, a population estimate series, and three date indicator series. For the national and state data, agencies from the 50 states and Washington, DC, were included in the aggregated data file if they reported at least one month of information during the year. In addition, agencies that did not report their own data (and thus had no monthly observations on crime or arrests) were included to make the aggregated population estimate as close to Census estimates as possible. For the city time series, law enforcement agencies with jurisdiction over the 12 central cities were identified and the monthly data were extracted from each UCR annual file for each of the 12 agencies. The national time-series file contains 82 time series, the state file contains 4,083 time series, and the city file contains 963 time series, each with 228 monthly observations per time series. The unit of analysis is the month of observation. Monthly crime and clearance totals are provided for homicide, negligent manslaughter, total rape, forcible rape, attempted forcible rape, total robbery, firearm robbery, knife/cutting instrument robbery, other dangerous weapon robbery, strong-arm robbery, total assault, firearm assault, knife/cutting instrument assault, other dangerous weapon assault, simple nonaggravated assault, assaults with hands/fists/feet, total burglary, burglary with forcible entry, unlawful entry-no force, attempted forcible entry, larceny-theft, motor vehicle theft, auto theft, truck and bus theft, other vehicle theft, and grand total of all actual offenses.
description: These data were prepared in conjunction with a project using Bureau of Labor Statistics data (not provided with this collection) and the Federal Bureau of Investigation's Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program data to examine the relationship between unemployment and violent crime. Past research on the relationship between unemployment and crime using national, annual, United States time-series data had produced results that were contrary to theoretical expectations, particularly for violent crime rates. One hypothesized reason for the anomalous findings in these studies was that the data used in past investigations of the unemployment-crime relationship were aggregated across space, time, types of weapons used, and unemployment across race/sex/age groups in such a way that differences in the relationship across units that were aggregated canceled out to produce misleading results. This research project explored this hypothesis by disaggregating the analysis of unemployment and violent crime in four ways. First, monthly and quarterly averaged time-series data were used to allow direct examination of seasonal effects on crime rate trends, to test whether violent crime rates respond to increases in unemployment immediately or only after some time has elapsed, and to reveal any bias due to time aggregation. Second, weapon-specific data were used to show what, if any, differences exist in the relationship between violent crime and unemployment by type of weapon used. Of particular interest was the relationship of unemployment and the use of firearms in robbery and aggravated assault. If economic distress in the form of unemployment affects weapon-specific forms of violence differently, these variations may cancel each other out and produce null results when only total rates are examined. Third, to examine the possibility of a spatial aggregation bias, the present study prepared monthly weapon-specific violent crime data for the nation as a whole, for the 50 states and the District of Columbia, and for 12 selected cities. The national-level data served as the benchmark for assessing the impact of spatial aggregation. Fourth, unemployment data were disaggregated by race (white and non-white), sex (for males only), and age using the most crime-prone years of 16-19, 20-24, and 25-34. These unemployment data were selected to test the proposition that economic distress among younger Black men is most likely to produce increases in violent crime rates. Models were also estimated for white males in the same age group.
description: Three separate time-series data files were created as part of this project: a national time series, a state time series, and a time series of data for 12 selected cities: Baltimore, Buffalo, Chicago, Columbus, Detroit, Houston, Los Angeles, Newark, New York City, Paterson (New Jersey), and Philadelphia. Each time-series data file was constructed to include 82 monthly time series: 26 series containing the number of Part I (crime index) offenses known to police (excluding arson) by weapon used, 26 series of the number of offenses cleared by arrest or other exceptional means by weapon used in the offense, 26 series of the number of offenses cleared by arrest or other exceptional means for persons under 18 years of age by weapon used in the offense, a population estimate series, and three date indicator series. For the state file, the population estimate is equal to the sum of the three population estimates provided for each agency in the UCR annual data file aggregated by state. Creation of each time-series file began with aggregating the agency-level data in each UCR annual data file to the appropriate level using the SPSS AGGREGATE procedure. For the national and state data, agencies from the 50 states and Washington, DC, were included in the aggregated data file if they reported at least one month of information during the year. In addition, agencies that did not report their own data (and thus had no monthly observations on crime or arrests) were included to make the aggregated population estimate as close to Census estimates as possible. For the city time series, law enforcement agencies with jurisdiction over the 12 central cities were identified and the monthly data were extracted from each UCR annual file for each of the 12 agencies. The above procedures, performed for each time series file, produced files containing one record for the national file, 51 records for the state file, and 12 records for the city file, each with 937 observations per record comprised of the 12 monthly observations for each of the 78 weapon-specific crime and arrest variables, and an annual population estimate. The state file also included a numeric state identifier and the city file a numeric city identifier. To convert to time series, 12 population variables were created, each equal to the annual aggregated estimate from the UCR data, and then the data were written to ASCII files in the 12F12 format. For each file, the resulting data matrix had 12 columns containing the population variables with each row containing the 12 monthly observations of a weapon-specific crime or arrest variable. The matrix for the national, state, and city files had 79 rows, 4,080 rows, and 960 rows, respectively. Each data matrix was transposed, the SPSS date variables (year_, month_, and date_) were added to the new data matrix, and the file was saved as an SPSS save file. Once the monthly time series had been extracted from each of the 19 annual tapes, the 19 SPSS save files were sequentially concatenated using the SPSS MERGE FILES/ADD CASES procedure. The final national time-series file contains 82 time series, the state file contains 4,083 time series, and the city file contains 963 time series, each with 228 monthly observations per time series. The total number of aggravated assaults was calculated by subtracting the number of simple nonaggravated assaults from the total number of assaults. From the national file, the annual crime rates for the seven index offenses were computed using the aggregated UCR file and compared to the annual rates published each year in "Crime in the United States" by the Federal Bureau of Investigation. With the exception of robbery, the majority of the crime rates calculated with the aggregated data were lower than the published figures. However, less than 10 percent of the rates based on the aggregated UCR data differed from the annual FBI figures by more than 5 percent.
description: Monthly crime and clearance totals are provided for homicide, negligent manslaughter, total rape, forcible rape, attempted forcible rape, total robbery, firearm robbery, knife/cutting instrument robbery, other dangerous weapon robbery, strong-arm robbery, total assault, firearm assault, knife/cutting instrument assault, other dangerous weapon assault, simple nonaggravated assault, assaults with hands/fists/feet, total burglary, burglary with forcible entry, unlawful entry-no force, attempted forcible entry, larceny-theft, motor vehicle theft, auto theft, truck and bus theft, other vehicle theft, and grand total of all actual offenses.
description: ICPSR data undergo a confidentiality review and are altered when necessary to limit the risk of disclosure. ICPSR also routinely creates ready-to-go data files along with setups in the major statistical software formats as well as standard codebooks to accompany the data. In addition to these procedures, ICPSR performed the following processing steps for this data collection: Checked for undocumented or out-of-range codes..
description: Presence of Common Scales: None.
description: Response Rates: Not applicable.
description: Datasets: 
 
 DS0: Study-Level Files 
 DS1: National Data 
 DS2: State Data 
 DS3: City Data
description: Uniform Crime Reporting Program Data Series
description: (1) Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics used in the analyses for the final report are not provided as part of this collection. (2) The 1980 data were corrected by ICPSR and provided to the principal investigator, and the corrected data are included in this collection. (3) The 1993 data were added to the collection by the principal investigator after the initial phase of the project, and for this reason are not included in the Final Report. (4) The user guide and codebooks are provided as Portable Document Format (PDF) files. The PDF file format was developed by Adobe Systems Incorporated and can be accessed using PDF reader software, such as the Adobe Acrobat Reader. Information on how to obtain a copy of the Acrobat Reader is provided through the ICPSR Website on the Internet.
description: All crimes and arrests in the United States from 1975-1993.
description: The national and state data include crime and arrest information from all 50 states and the District of Columbia. The selection of cities was based on policy-relevant similarities and differences. Factors included: (1) an increase in the city's poverty rate during the 1970s, (2) a change in the concentration of African-Americans residing in the city limits, (3) differences in the political-economic experiences, (4) robbery and aggravated assault rates that were substantially above the national levels, and (5) differences in the states' handgun control policies.