DOI: 10.7910/dvn/amd0g6
title: A data mining process for real-time epidemics forecast applicable to COVID-19

description: Notification_date: data em que a infecção por dengue foi notificada pelo médico.
Cumulative1W-: Sum of cases that occurred 1 week before notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day -1 to -7).
Cumulative2W-: Sum of cases that occurred 2 weeks before notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day -8 to -14).
Cumulative3W-: Sum of cases that occurred 3 weeks before notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day -15 to -22).
Cumulative4W-: Sum of cases that occurred 4 weeks before notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day -23 to -29).
Cumulative5W-: Sum of cases that occurred 5 weeks before notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day -30 to -36).
Cumulative6W-: Sum of cases that occurred 6 weeks before notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day -37 to -44).
Cumulative7W-: Sum of cases that occurred 7 weeks before notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day -45 to -51).
Cumulative8W-: Sum of cases that occurred 8 weeks before notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day -52 to -58).
Cumulative9W-: Sum of cases that occurred 9 weeks before notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day -59 to -65).
Cumulative10W-: Sum of cases that occurred 10 weeks before notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day -66 to -72).
Cumulative11W-: Sum of cases that occurred 11 weeks before notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day -73 to -79).
Cumulative12W-: Sum of cases that occurred 12 weeks before notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day -80 to -86).
Cumulative13W-: Sum of cases that occurred 13 weeks before notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day -87 to -93).
Cumulative14W-: Sum of cases that occurred 14 weeks before notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day -94 to -100).
Cumulative15W-: Sum of cases that occurred 15 weeks before notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day -101 to -107).
Dengue_infefctions_sma7: confirmed dengue infections (moving average in the last 7 days).
Dengue_cumulative: number of infections reported from 4/14/2007 to 3/10/2020.
Population_inhab: estimated population in inhabitants.
Population_density_inhabpkm2: demographic density in inhabitants per km2.
Precipitation_mm_sma7: average daily rain precipitation in mm (moving average in the last 7 days).
Daily_mean_temperaure_oC_sma7: average daily mean temperature in degrees Celsius (moving average in the last 7 days).
Daily_minimum_temperaure_oC_sma7: average daily minimum temperature in degrees Celsius (moving average in the last 7 days).
Relative_humidity_sma7: average daily relative humidity in % (moving average in the last 7 days).
Wind_speed_mps_7sma: average daily wind speed in m/s (moving average in the last 7 days).
Cumulative1W+_Target_1: Sum of cases that occurred in week 1 following the notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day +1 to +7).
Cumulative2W+_Target_2: Sum of cases that occurred in week 2 following the notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day +8 to +14).
Cumulative3W+_Target_3: Sum of cases that occurred in week 3 following the notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day +15 to +22).
Cumulative4W+_Target_4: Sum of cases that occurred in week 4 following the notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day +23 to +29).
Cumulative5W+_Target_5: Sum of cases that occurred in week 5 following the notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day +30 to +36).
Cumulative6W+_Target_6: Sum of cases that occurred in week 6 following the notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day +37 to +44).
Cumulative7W+_Target_7: Sum of cases that occurred in week 7 following the notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day +45 to +51).
Cumulative8W+_Target_8: Sum of cases that occurred in week 8 following the notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day +52 to +58).
Cumulative9W+_Target_9: Sum of cases that occurred in week 9 following the notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day +59 to +65).
Cumulative10W+_Target_10: Sum of cases that occurred in week 10 following the notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day +66 to +72).
Cumulative11W+_Target_11: Sum of cases that occurred in week 11 following the notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day +73 to +79).
Cumulative12W+_Target_12: Sum of cases that occurred in week 12 following the notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day +80 to +86).
Cumulative13W+_Target_13: Sum of cases that occurred in week 13 following the notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day +87 to +93).
Cumulative14W+_Target_14: Sum of cases that occurred in week 14 following the notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day +94 to +100).
Cumulative15W+_Target_15: Sum of cases that occurred in week 15 following the notification date (considering Notification_date being day zero, the sum of the number of cases from day +101 to 107).