DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.4740260
title: AMPHIBIAN CONSERVATION IN AN URBAN PARK: A spatial approach to quantifying threats to Anura on the Cape peninsula

description: Species' threat assessments produce generalized threat impact scores, often by considering regional-scale representations of threats. Cities, on the other hand, produce municipal-scale, high resolution data that are proxies for threats; furthermore, cities in mega-diverse regions are home to a high number of threatened species. Prioritization of conservation action is biased for where more information is known (about the ecosystem), and where a positive outcome can be anticipated. Eight Cape peninsula amphibian species have a threatened conservation status. They are isolated on highlands or are restricted to remnant and suburban habitats, dependent on both urban and protected terrestrial and freshwater habitats found in the City of Cape Town and Table Mountain National Park. In Chapter Two, I used spatial data (shapefiles) to represent threats in a Geographic Information System to spatially define threats to eight amphibian species (five lowland, three upland). I used two approaches: weighted and un-weighted by a threat impact-score, to produce five indices of local threats. The Micro Frog (Microbatrachella capensis) is assessed as the most threatened peninsula frog species by three of the five indices considered. The results show that for lowland species, the threat-class of greatest extent is 'Residential and commercial development'. The three lowland species most exposed to this threat are M. capensis (100% exposed to potential development), Breviceps gibbosus (55.6% of its 8.5 km2 putative peninsula distribution), and Sclerophrys pantherina (38.4% of its 199.7 km2 distribution). The Compounded and the General Threat Index correlate to the (global) Redlist Index (P &lt; 0.05); but no correlation to the regional Red Listing, indicating congruency of threats and threat status. The Critically Endangered Table Mountain Ghost Frog (Heleophryne rosei) is torrent adapted, and found only on the Table Mountain massif. CapeNature monitors tadpoles, and SANParks monitors (selected) stream parameters. In Chapter Three, I analyse water-habitat monitoring data (controlled for altitude) to show where threats of habitat alteration, drought, or temperature extremes may affect the H. rosei metapopulation. Permanence of water-flow and water temperature are shown to be very highly significant predictors of tadpole presence (p = 0.0005, r = 0.78). The lower the water temperature, the more likely tadpoles are present. Streams with a mean summer temperature greater than 17.2°C (n=3) at 400 to 300 meters above sea level were found to have no tadpoles at this altitude. Permanence of water flow is significant, as tadpoles need more than one year to reach metamorphosis. Summer water temperatures over an average of 17.2°C should be a red-flag for management authorities responsible for bulk-water supply, threat mitigation efforts, and biodiversity conservation. Spatial indices of threat are useful to illustrate the relative exposure to threats at a local (city) scale. Threats to different lowland amphibians are similar (e.g. residential and commercial development), which varies from the mutual threats to different upland amphibians. Fundamental to stream species' conservation is water supply and demand management, while upland terrestrial species are most affected by veld age and invasive alien flora. Some threats are common for both areas (e.g. invasive alien species).
description: To produce a matrix or cumulative threats, highlighting hotspots of threat and an index of threats relative to threatened amphibians of the Cape peninsula