DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.8188074
title: Dataset: Predicting and validating the spread of an exotic clonal plant under the current and future climate

description: This repository contains the files associated with the following article:
Francisco A. Guerra-Coss, Ernesto I. Badano, Jesus Sandoval-Martínez, Joel Flores, Jorge A. Flores-Cano, Felipe Barragán-Torres, José L. Flores-Flores "Predicting future habitat invasibility for an exotic clonal plant in Mexico using climate niche models validated with field experiments", submitted to Journal of Plant Ecology. 
Supplementary material 01 - Climatic niche model data is a Microsoft Excel file with two spreadsheets. The first spreadsheet contains the presence-only data (latitude and longitude coordinates) used to calibrate the climate niche model of Kalanchoe delagoensis in Mexico, the near-to-present values of the 19 bioclimatic variables associated with these data, and the Spearman correlation coefficients used to select the variables included in the model (selected variables are indicated in green). The second spreadsheet contains the one-thousand random geographic coordinates projected on Mexico used to assess whether climate change will modify habitat invasibility for this plant species. For these geographic coordinates, the corresponding current and future invasibility values (occurrence probabilities) are provided on three time periods (2041-2060, 2061-2081 and 2081-2100) at four radiative forcing levels each (2.6, 4.5, 7.0 and 8.5 W/m2).
Supplementary material 02 - MaxEnt output summary is a WinRAR compressed file (*.rar) that contains the summary of the MaxEnt output that support the results of the climate niche model described in the article. For visualizing this information, download and decompress the file and, after that, open the file "Kalanchoe_delagoensis.html" in your web browser. 
Supplementary material 03 – Interactive maps contains interactive maps optimized for the latest desktop version of Google Earth which show the invasibility estimations performed with the climate niche model under the current and future climate. These maps are provided in different the folders. The folder "Current climate" shows the invasibility of habitats across Mexico for Kalanchoe delagoensis under the current climatic conditions. The following folders contain the invasibility predictions performed transferring the model to the climate change scenarios forecasted for three time periods (2041-2060, 2061-2081 and 2081-2100) at four radiative forcing levels each (2.6, 4.5, 7.0 and 8.5 W/m2). The maps corresponding to climate change scenarios also show the areas classified as climatically unsuitable in the multivariate environmental similarity surface analysis. Further, clicking on the name of each map displays a dialog box that contains the results of the regression analyses conducted to assess relationships between future and current invasibility values. Below this information, the corresponding regression figure is visualized, where the red line is the empirical relationship between variables estimated with the least-squares method, and the solid blue line is the theoretical relationship with intercept = 0 and slope = 1. 
Supplementary material 04 - Plantlet establishment experiment is a Microsoft Excel file with two spreadsheets that support the experimental results reported in the article. The first spreadsheet contains the microclimatic data (air temperature and rainfall) measured in controls under the current climate and plots in which climate change conditions were simulated (CCS plots) with open-top chambers and rainout shelters. These data are provided over 14-days periods. The second spreadsheet contains the survival data of Kalanchoe delagoensis plantlets in controls and CCS plots. In this spreadsheet, the word "established" indicates that the plantlet survived until the end of the field experiment (24/06/2020).
description: This work was supported by Fondo Sectorial de Investigación Ambiental SEMARNAT-CONACYT FSSEMARNAT01-C-2018-1-A3-S-80837