DOI: 10.5285/8855e410adf547b4afd039a5b88487f4
title: Chapter 6 of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Figure 6.12 (v20220815)

description: Data for Figure 6.12 from Chapter 6 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). Figure 6.12 shows contribution to effective radiative forcing (ERF) and global mean surface air temperature (GSAT) change from component emissions between 1750 to 2019 based on CMIP6 models. --------------------------------------------------- How to cite this dataset --------------------------------------------------- When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates: Szopa, S., V. Naik, B. Adhikary, P. Artaxo, T. Berntsen, W.D. Collins, S. Fuzzi, L. Gallardo, A. Kiendler-Scharr, Z. Klimont, H. Liao, N. Unger, and P. Zanis, 2021: Short-Lived Climate Forcers. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 817–922, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.008. --------------------------------------------------- Figure subpanels --------------------------------------------------- The figure has 2 subpanels, with data provided for both panels. --------------------------------------------------- List of data provided --------------------------------------------------- This dataset contains: - Contribution to effective radiative forcing (ERF) (a) and global mean surface air temperature (GSAT) change (b) from component emissions between 1750 to 2019 based on CMIP6 models ERFs for the direct effect of well-mixed greenhouse gases (WMGHGs) are from the analytical formulae in section 7.3.2, H2O (strat) is from Table 7.8. ERFs for other components are multi-model means from Thornhill et al. (2021b) and are based on ESM simulations in which emissions of one species at a time are increased from 1850 to 2014 levels. The derived emissions-based ERFs are rescaled to match the concentration-based ERFs in Figure 7.6. Error bars are 5–95% and for the ERF account for uncertainty in radiative efficiencies and multi-model error in the means. ERFs due to aerosol–radiation (ERFari) and cloud effects are calculated from separate radiation calls for clear-sky and aerosol-free conditions (Ghan, 2013; Thornhill et al., 2021b). ‘Cloud’ includes cloud adjustments (semi-direct effect) and ERF from indirect aerosol-cloud to –0.22 W m–2 for ERFari and –0.84 W m–2 interactions (ERFaci). The aerosol components (SO2, organic carbon and black carbon) are scaled to sum to –0.22 W m–2 for ERFari and –0.84 W m–2 for ‘cloud’ (Section 7.3.3). For GSAT estimates, time series (1750–2019) for the ERFs have been estimated by scaling with concentrations for WMGHGs and with historical emissions for SLCFs. The time variation of ERFaci for aerosols is from Chapter 7. The global mean temperature response is calculated from the ERF time series using an impulse response function (Cross-Chapter Box 7.1) with a climate feedback parameter of –1.31 W m–2 °C–1. Contributions to ERF and GSAT change from contrails and light-absorbing particles on snow and ice are not represented, but their estimates can be seen on Figure 7.6 and 7.7, respectively. Further details on data sources and processing are available in the chapter data table (Table 6.SM.3) --------------------------------------------------- Data provided in relation to figure --------------------------------------------------- Data provided in relation to Figure 6.12: - Data file: fig_em_based_ERF_GSAT_period_1750-2019_values_ERF.csv - Data file: fig_em_based_ERF_GSAT_period_1750-2019_values_ERF_uncertainty.csv - Data file: fig_em_based_ERF_GSAT_period_1750-2019_values_dT.csv - Data file: fig_em_based_ERF_GSAT_period_1750-2019_values_dT_uncertainty.csv CMIP6 is the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. ERFari stands for Effective Radiative Forcing of aerosol-radiation interactions. ERFaci stands for Effective Radiative Forcing of aerosol-cloud interactions. --------------------------------------------------- Notes on reproducing the figure from the provided data --------------------------------------------------- Panels were plotted using Python and the code has been embedded in Jupyter notebooks for reproducibility - code is available in the GitHub repository linked in the documentation. --------------------------------------------------- Sources of additional information --------------------------------------------------- The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record: - Link to the figure on the IPCC AR6 website - Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 6) - Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 6, which contains details on the input data used in Table 6.SM.3 - Link to the GitHub repository containing the Jupyter notebooks used to run the code associated with this figure. - Link to the code for the figure, archived on Zenodo.