DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.14229646
title: Pan‐Arctic Coastal Settlements and Infrastructure Vulnerable to Coastal Erosion, Sea‐Level Rise, and Permafrost Thaw

description: The datasets are issued from the combination of records of the ESA EO4PAC and Permafrost_cci and HORIZON 2020 Nunataryuk projects. The EO4PAC project aimed to develop a new generation of geospatial products for the observation of permafrost and associated changes from space with a special focus on the coastal Arctic. Four components were considered in the creation of the datasets:

(1)   Landsat-7/8 for the detection of coastline changes over the 2000-2020 period (Tanguy et al., 2024).

(2)   Sentinel-1/2 for the detection and mapping of coastal infrastructures (Bartsch et al. 2024), updating Wang et al. (2021).

(3)   Permafrost_cci timeseries for retrieval of trends of ground temperature and active layer thickness for the 2000-2020 period (Obu et al. 2021a,b), evaluated based on Martin et al (2023) and CALM et al. (2024).

(4)   Sea level rise by 2100 (Garner et al. 2022).

The respective output provides a consistent mapping of settlements along arctic and permafrost-dominated coasts (2), and associated coastline and permafrost conditions changes during the last 20 years (1, 3). Combined together, an assessment of Arctic infrastructures at risk due to permafrost change (GT, ALT) and coastline erosion was possible, the latter with projections for the years 2030, 2050 and 2100.

References

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CALM, GTN-P, Wieczorek, M., Heim, B., Streletskiy, D., Bartsch, A., 2024, GTN-P CALM: 34 years of Active Layer Thickness (ALT) across latitudinal and elevational gradients in the Northern Hemisphere [dataset]. PANGAEA, https://doi.pangaea.de/10.1594/PANGAEA.972777

Garner, G. G., Hermans, T., Kopp, R. E., Slangen, A. B. A., Edwards, T. L., Levermann, A., et al. (2022). IPCC AR6 sea level projections [Dataset]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6382554

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Obu, J., Westermann, S., Barboux, C., Bartsch, A., Delaloye, R., Grosse, G., Heim, B., Hugelius, G., Irrgang, A., Kääb, A. M., Kroisleitner, C., Matthes, H., Nitze, I., Pellet, C., Seifert, F. M., Strozzi, T., Wegmüller, U., Wieczorek, M., and Wiesmann, A.: ESA Permafrost Climate Change Initiative (Permafrost_cci): Permafrost active layer thickness for the Northern Hemisphere, v3.0, CEDA,  2021. https://doi.org/10.5285/29C4AF5986BA4B9C8A3CFC33CA8D7C85

Obu, J., Westermann, S., Barboux, C., Bartsch, A., Delaloye, R., Grosse, G., Heim, B., Hugelius, G., Irrgang, A., Kääb, A. M., Kroisleitner, C., Matthes, H., Nitze, I., Pellet, C., Seifert, F. M., Strozzi, T., Wegmüller, U., Wieczorek, M., and Wiesmann, A.: ESA Permafrost Climate Change Initiative (Permafrost_cci): Permafrost active layer thickness for the Northern Hemisphere, v3.0, CEDA, 2021. https://doi.org/10.5285/29C4AF5986BA4B9C8A3CFC33CA8D7C85

Tanguy, R., Bartsch, A., Nitze, I.,  Irrgang, A., Petzold, P., Widhalm, B., von Baeckmann, C., Boike, J., Martin, J., Efimova, A., Vieira, G., Whalen, D., Heim, B., Wieszorek, M., Grosse, G.: Pan‐Arctic Assessment of Coastal Settlements and Infrastructure Vulnerable to Coastal Erosion, Sea‐Level Rise, and Permafrost Thaw, Earth’s Future, 10.1029/2024EF005013.

Wang, S., Ramage, J., Bartsch, A., & Efimova, A. (2021). Population in the Arctic Circumpolar Permafrost Region at settlement level (Version 2) [Data set]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4529610