DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.28062833.v1
title: Exploring the influence of rider age and experience on motorcycle crash risk: Evidence from a case-control study

description: Motorcycling provides freedom and excitement, yet riders face a greater risk of crashes and injuries compared to other motorists. Understanding the factors contributing to motorcycle crash risk, especially rider age, experience, and training, is essential for developing effective safety measures. Using a unique and comprehensive matched case-control database of the Motorcycle Crash Causation Study, this study analyzes how the risk of crashing is influenced by riders’ age, experience, and training levels while controlling for other factors, such as alcohol use by the rider. The data consist of 350 cases (crash-involved riders) and 700 controls (similarly at-risk non-crash-involved riders). Based on a conditional logit analysis accounting for the matched case-control structure of the data, “risk curves” are created to understand the relationships between rider age and crash risk. Results suggest that younger riders have a heightened risk, which is reduced with increasing age. Each additional year of a rider’s age is associated with a 15.66% reduction in the odds of a crash, although a nonlinear specification is also examined. Each year of rider experience is associated with a 2.53% reduction in the odds of a crash, and recent participation in a training program is also associated with lower risk. Understanding the factors contributing to motorcycle crash risk, particularly rider age, experience, training, and alcohol impairment, is crucial for enhancing road safety measures.Using a unique and comprehensive matched case-control database of the Motorcycle Crash Causation Study (MCCS), this study analyzes the association between crash risk and rider age, experience, and training level while controlling for other factors.Conditional logit analysis is applied to account for the matched case-control design, creating “risk curves” that capture the nonlinear relationship between rider age and crash risk.Each additional year of rider age is associated with a 15.66% reduction in the odds of being involved in a crash. However, the relationship exhibits a U-shaped nonlinear pattern, highlighting a higher risk for both younger and older riders.Each additional year of rider experience is associated with a 2.53% reduction in the odds of a crash. Participation in recent motorcycle training programs and testing negative for alcohol consumption significantly lower crash risk, with sober riders having a 75.41% reduced likelihood of crash involvement. Understanding the factors contributing to motorcycle crash risk, particularly rider age, experience, training, and alcohol impairment, is crucial for enhancing road safety measures. Using a unique and comprehensive matched case-control database of the Motorcycle Crash Causation Study (MCCS), this study analyzes the association between crash risk and rider age, experience, and training level while controlling for other factors. Conditional logit analysis is applied to account for the matched case-control design, creating “risk curves” that capture the nonlinear relationship between rider age and crash risk. Each additional year of rider age is associated with a 15.66% reduction in the odds of being involved in a crash. However, the relationship exhibits a U-shaped nonlinear pattern, highlighting a higher risk for both younger and older riders. Each additional year of rider experience is associated with a 2.53% reduction in the odds of a crash. Participation in recent motorcycle training programs and testing negative for alcohol consumption significantly lower crash risk, with sober riders having a 75.41% reduced likelihood of crash involvement.