DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.29827577.v1
title: Global burden of atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter and its attributable risk factors in adolescents and young adults, 1990–2021: insights from the global burden of disease study

description: The aim of this study is to evaluate the global burden trends of atrial fibrillation/flutter with attributable risk factors among adolescents and young adults from 1990 to 2021, particularly in the context of the increasing prevalence of cardiovascular diseases in younger populations. Disease burden data for atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter were sourced from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study. The primary metrics were incidence, disability-adjusted life years, and mortality. Population attributable fractions were used to calculate the percentage contribution of the major underlying risk factors to the disease burden. From 1990 to 2021, the global burden of atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter among the studied population increased by 57.26% in incidence, 71.32% in mortality, and 62.34% in disability-adjusted life years. The rate increases were 15.87%, 26.22%, and 19.61%, respectively. The burden of atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter in 2021 and its temporal trends varied significantly according to sex, sociodemographic index quintiles, and geographic location. In 2021, the burden was the highest in the middle-sociodemographic-index regions. Sex differences were found in all potential risk factors of atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter–related mortality and disability-adjusted life year rates. The top three potential risk factors in men were high systolic blood pressure, tobacco exposure, and high alcohol use, and in women, high systolic blood pressure, high body mass index, and tobacco exposure. An imbalance in disease burden across different regions exists. The rapidly increasing disease burden warrants attention, and prevention and treatment strategies should be adjusted to prevent further increase. In 2021, there were 89,255 new cases of atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter (AF/AFL), 290 deaths, and 40,963 DALYs among adolescents and young adults globally, representing increases of 57.26%, 71.32%, and 62.34%, respectively, since 1990. The age-standardised rates increased by 15.87%, 26.22%, and 19.61%, respectively.The AF/AFL burden and its temporal trend varied significantly by sex, SDI quintile, and geographic location.The top potential risk factors for AF/AFL among adolescents and young adults were: in men, high systolic blood pressure, tobacco exposure, and high alcohol use; in women, high systolic blood pressure, high body mass index, and tobacco exposure. In 2021, there were 89,255 new cases of atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter (AF/AFL), 290 deaths, and 40,963 DALYs among adolescents and young adults globally, representing increases of 57.26%, 71.32%, and 62.34%, respectively, since 1990. The age-standardised rates increased by 15.87%, 26.22%, and 19.61%, respectively. The AF/AFL burden and its temporal trend varied significantly by sex, SDI quintile, and geographic location. The top potential risk factors for AF/AFL among adolescents and young adults were: in men, high systolic blood pressure, tobacco exposure, and high alcohol use; in women, high systolic blood pressure, high body mass index, and tobacco exposure.