DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.13944581
title: Dataset for explainable AI-based spatiotemporal risk factor analysis in public health: A case study of South Korea

description: <Data description>



This data is for the purpose of explainable arficial intelligence (XAI)-based risk factor analysis for cardiovascular age-standardized mortality rate (CVD-ASMR) in South Korea from 2010 to 2019.

The input data consist of various environmental and socio-demographic factors (a total of 17 variables). Environmental factors include annual mean air pollutants (e.g., PM10, O3, CO, SO2, NO2), temperature, amout of precipitation, heatwave and coldwave days, and mean NDVI. Socio-demographic factors include distance from urban areas, sick beds per 1,000 people, doctors per 1,000 people, smoking rate, percentage of population aged 65 and above, elderly living alone rate, high school graduate or less rate, and number of disabled persons to represent the sociodemographic vulnerability.

The target variable, CVD-ASMR, is reported as I00–I99 of the International Classification of Diseases as the cause of death on the death certificate. However, due to  project funding privacy, we did not upload the target data. If you want to use the target data, please contact Prof. Jungho Im (ersgis@unist.ac.kr) and Eunjin Kang (jek0420@unist.ac.kr).

We uploaded two excel files for the proposed schemes (SGG_input_vars_CVD_P.csv) and the comparison scheme (SGG_input_vars_CVD_C.csv). The key difference between two files is whether environmental variables have been rescaled.

Manuscript is under review, and after publication, the research title will be posted.


 

 

<Summary of the research paper>



Previous XAI-based analyses struggled to capture the regional effects of environmental variables, which made it difficult to identify key spatio-temporal risk factors. In our XAI-based risk factor analysis, we proposed two assumptions. 




Regionally rescaled environmental variables need to consider unequal effects on environmental factors, likely due to socio-demographic disparities, adaptation capacity to weather conditions, and unequal exposure-response to air pollutants. 

District-level disease distribution highlights geographic disparity in socio-demographic vulnerability, whereas temporal variation in diseases by district underscores temporal environmental impacts.


 



Based on these two hypotheses, we rescaled the environmental variables and proposed the two complementary schemes (P1, P2). To normalize the environmental factors, we applied min-max normalization, which scales the data to a range between 0 and 1. Additionally, to emphasize the temporal residual in relation to regional average mortality, we calculated the district-specific residual based on the 10-year average.

To evaluate the effectiveness of our proposed complementary schemes, we compared their model performance and SHAP analysis results with a previously established purely data-driven XAI strategy (comparison scheme; C). This strategy utilized raw input data (risk factors and disease target) without any rescaling.




Proposed scheme (P1): Examine the association between district-level disease distribution and diverse risk factors to highlight those related to spatial disease variation.

Proposed scheme (P2): Investigate the association between temporal disease variations by district and various factors to highlight the impact of risk factors on temporal disease variations.


 

Table 1. Summary of target and input variables, used in a case study of spatio-temporal CVD-ASMR risk factor analysis from 2010–2019 in South Korea.






Name



Abbreviations



Units



Data sources





A target variable





Cardiovascular disease

Standardized mortality rate



CVD-ASMR



%



National health insurance service





Input variables





Annual mean PM10



PM10



㎍/m3



Ministry of environment





Annual mean O3



O3



ppm





Annual mean NO2



NO2



ppm





Annual mean CO



CO



ppm





Annual mean SO2



SO2



ppm





Annual mean temperature



Temp



°C



Korea meteorological administration





Annual amount of precipitation



precipitation



mm





Number of heatwave days



heatwave



day





Number of coldwave days



coldwave



day





Annual mean NDVI



NDVI



-



NASA, MODIS





Distance from urban areas



distance_urban



Decimal degree





Sick bed



sickbed



Beds per

1,000 people



Statistics Korea





Doctor



doctor



Doctors per 1,000 people





Smoking rate



smoke



%



National health insurance service





Percentage of population aged 65 and above



age65



%



Ministry of the Interior and Safety





Elderly living alone rate



solitary



%



Statistics Korea





High school graduate or less rate



under_hs



%





Number of disabled persons



disable



Number of persons with

disabilities per

100,000 people





 

Table 2. Summary of whether input and target variables were rescaled in the proposed and comparison schemes.






Name



P1



P2



C





CVD-SMR



x



o



x





PM10



o



o



x





O3



o



o



x





NO2



o



o



x





CO



o



o



x





SO2



o



o



x





Temp



o



o



x





precipitation



o



o



x





heatwave



o



o



x





coldwave



o



o



x





NDVI



o



o



x





distance_urban



x



x



x





sickbed



x



x



x





doctor



x



x



x





smoke



x



x



x





age65



x



x



x





solitary



x



x



x





under_hs



x



x



x





disable



x



x



x