title: ÐÐ¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÐ¸ÑÐºÐ¾Ð² Ð¸Ð¼Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ¾Ð·Ð°Ð¼ÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð² ÑÑÑÐ¾Ð¸ÑÐµÐ»ÑÐ½ÑÑ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑÐ°Ñ
title: Ð²ÑÐ¿ÑÑÐºÐ½Ð°Ñ ÐºÐ²Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð¼Ð°Ð³Ð¸ÑÑÑÐ°
titleType: Subtitle
title: Optimization of import substitution risks in construction projects
Creators: name: Ð¡Ð²Ð¸ÑÐµÐ²Ð°, ÐÐ»Ð¸Ð·Ð°Ð²ÐµÑÐ°
Publisher: name: Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³ÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐ½Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ ÑÐ½Ð¸Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑ ÐÐµÑÑÐ° ÐÐµÐ»Ð¸ÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾
Year: 2024
Subjects: Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ° Ð¸Ð¼Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ¾Ð·Ð°Ð¼ÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ
ÑÑÑÐ¾Ð¸ÑÐµÐ»ÑÐ½ÑÐµ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑÑ
Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ
Ð»Ð¸Ð½ÐµÐ¹Ð½Ð°Ñ Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ñ
ÑÐ¸ÑÐºÐ¸
Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ñ Ð¼Ð¸Ð½Ð¸Ð¼Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ ÑÐ¸ÑÐºÐ¾Ð²
import substitution policy
construction projects
optimization model
linear optimization
risks
risk minimization methods

description: Ð Ð°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐ²ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð° ÑÐ¾Ð·Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ Ð´Ð»Ñ ÑÐ°ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð·Ð½Ð°Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐ¸ÑÐºÐ¾Ð² Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑÐ° Ð¸ Ð¿Ð¾Ð¸ÑÐºÑ Ð½Ð°Ð¸Ð±Ð¾Ð»ÐµÐµ ÑÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸-ÑÑÑÐµÐºÑÐ¸Ð²Ð½ÑÑ Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ð¾Ð² Ð¼Ð¸Ð½Ð¸Ð¼Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ ÑÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÐ¸ÑÐºÐ¾Ð². ÐÐ°Ð´Ð°ÑÐ¸, ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐµ ÑÐµÑÐ°Ð»Ð¸ÑÑ Ð² Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐµ: 1. Ð¸Ð·ÑÑÐ¸ÑÑ Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð½ÑÐµ ÑÐµÐ¾ÑÐµÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ðµ Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ñ Ð¸Ð¼Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ¾Ð·Ð°Ð¼ÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ; 2. Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°ÑÑ Ð³Ð¾ÑÑÐ´Ð°ÑÑÑÐ²ÐµÐ½Ð½ÑÐµ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³ÑÐ°Ð¼Ð¼Ñ Ð¸ Ð¸Ð½Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð²Ñ Ð¿Ð¾ Ð¸Ð¼Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ¾Ð·Ð°Ð¼ÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð² ÑÑÑÐ¾Ð¸ÑÐµÐ»ÑÑÑÐ²Ðµ; 3. Ð¸Ð·ÑÑÐ¸ÑÑ Ð³Ð¾ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð½Ð¾ÑÑÑ Ð¾ÑÐµÑÐµÑÑÐ²ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð¼ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ Ðº Ð·Ð°Ð¼ÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð¸Ð¼Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¹ ÑÐµÑÐ½Ð¸ÐºÐ¸ Ð¸ Ð¼Ð°ÑÐµÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»Ð¾Ð²; 4. Ð¸Ð·ÑÑÐ¸ÑÑ ÑÑÐ½Ð¾Ðº ÑÑÑÐ¾Ð¸ÑÐµÐ»ÑÐ½ÑÑ Ð¼Ð°ÑÐµÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»Ð¾Ð²; 5. Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ Ð²Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð¸Ð¼Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ¾Ð·Ð°Ð¼ÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð½Ð° ÑÑÑÐ¾Ð¸ÑÐµÐ»ÑÐ½ÑÐµ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑÑ, Ð²ÐºÐ»ÑÑÐ°Ñ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð· ÑÐ¸ÑÐºÐ¾Ð² Ð¸ Ð²Ð¾Ð·Ð¼Ð¾Ð¶Ð½Ð¾ÑÑÐµÐ¹, ÑÐ²ÑÐ·Ð°Ð½Ð½ÑÑ Ñ Ð¸Ð¼Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ¾Ð·Ð°Ð¼ÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸ÐµÐ¼, Ð¸ Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÐºÑ ÑÑÑÐµÐºÑÐ¸Ð²Ð½Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ Ð¼ÐµÑ Ð¿Ð¾ Ð¿Ð¾Ð´Ð´ÐµÑÐ¶ÐºÐµ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð¸Ð·Ð²Ð¾Ð´ÑÑÐ²Ð° ÑÑÑÐ¾Ð¸ÑÐµÐ»ÑÐ½ÑÑ Ð¼Ð°ÑÐµÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»Ð¾Ð² Ð¸ Ð¾Ð±Ð¾ÑÑÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ 6. Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°ÑÑ ÑÑÑÐ¾Ð¸ÑÐµÐ»ÑÐ½ÑÐµ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑÑ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ½ÑÑ ÐºÐ°ÑÐµÐ³Ð¾ÑÐ¸Ð¹ ÐºÐ°Ð¿Ð¸ÑÐ°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ ÑÑÑÐ¾Ð¸ÑÐµÐ»ÑÑÑÐ²Ð°; 7. ÑÐ°ÑÑÐ¼Ð¾ÑÑÐµÑÑ Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð¿ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ¸Ñ, Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð¾Ð´Ð¸Ð¼ÑÐµ Ð¿ÑÐ°Ð²Ð¸ÑÐµÐ»ÑÑÑÐ²Ð¾Ð¼ Ð¿Ð¾ ÑÑÐ¸Ð¼ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð²ÑÐ¿ÑÑÐºÐ° Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð´ÑÐºÑÐ¾Ð²-Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¾Ð³Ð¾Ð²; 8. ÑÐ°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ°ÑÑ Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½ÑÑ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ Ð¸Ð¼Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ¾Ð·Ð°Ð¼ÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑÑÑÐ¾Ð¸ÑÐµÐ»ÑÐ½ÑÑ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑÐ¾Ð²; 9. ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ°Ð²Ð¸ÑÑ ÑÐµÐºÐ¾Ð¼ÐµÐ½Ð´Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð¿Ð¾ Ð¼Ð¸Ð½Ð¸Ð¼Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ ÑÐ¸ÑÐºÐ¾Ð² Ð¸Ð¼Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ¾Ð·Ð¼ÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑÑÑÐ¾Ð¸ÑÐµÐ»ÑÑÑÐ²Ð° Ð´ÐµÑÑÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ ÑÐ°Ð´Ð°. Ð ÑÐ¾Ð´Ðµ ÑÐ°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐºÐ¸ Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ Ð±ÑÐ»Ð¸ ÑÐ°ÑÑÐ¼Ð¾ÑÑÐµÐ½Ñ Ð¿ÑÑÑ ÐºÐ°ÑÐµÐ³Ð¾ÑÐ¸Ð¹ ÑÑÑÐ¾Ð¸ÑÐµÐ»ÑÑÑÐ²Ð°: Ð¾Ð±ÑÐµÑÑÐ²ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾Ðµ, ÑÐµÐ»ÑÑÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ð·ÑÐ¹ÑÑÐ²ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾Ðµ, Ð¶Ð¸Ð»Ð¾Ðµ, ÐºÐ¾Ð¼Ð¼ÐµÑÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ðµ Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð¼ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾Ðµ. Ð¡ Ð¿Ð¾Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÑ ÑÐºÑÐ¿ÐµÑÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÐºÐ¸ Ð±ÑÐ»Ð¸ Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ñ ÑÐ¸ÑÐºÐ¸ Ð¸Ð¼Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ¾Ð·Ð°Ð¼ÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð¸ Ð²ÐµÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ½Ð¾ÑÑÑ Ð¸Ñ Ð²Ð¾Ð·Ð½Ð¸ÐºÐ½Ð¾Ð²ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð´Ð»Ñ ÐºÐ°Ð¶Ð´Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ ÑÑÐ°Ð¿Ð° ÑÑÑÐ¾Ð¸ÑÐµÐ»ÑÑÑÐ²Ð°. ÐÐ»Ñ Ð¼Ð¸Ð½Ð¸Ð¼Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ ÑÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÐ¸ÑÐºÐ¾Ð² Ð±ÑÐ»Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´Ð»Ð¾Ð¶ÐµÐ½Ñ Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ñ, Ð° Ð¸Ñ ÑÑÑÐµÐºÑÐ¸Ð²Ð½Ð¾ÑÑÑ Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð²Ð°Ð»Ð°ÑÑ Ñ Ð¸ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÐ·Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸ÐµÐ¼ Ð¿Ð¾ÐºÐ°Ð·Ð°ÑÐµÐ»Ñ ÑÑÑÐµÐºÑÐ¸Ð²Ð½Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸. Ð Ð°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ°Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ Ð±ÑÐ»Ð° Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÐµÐ½Ð° Ðº ÐºÐ¾Ð½ÐºÑÐµÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¼Ñ Ð¾Ð±ÑÐµÐºÑÑ, Ð¾Ð±ÑÐµÑÑÐ²ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ñ Ð·Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ - Ð´ÐµÑÑÐºÐ¾Ð¼Ñ ÑÐ°Ð´Ñ. ÐÐ° Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ðµ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð½ÑÑ Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð½ÑÑ Ð±ÑÐ»Ð¸ ÑÐ°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ°Ð½Ñ ÑÐµÐºÐ¾Ð¼ÐµÐ½Ð´Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð¿Ð¾ Ð¼Ð¸Ð½Ð¸Ð¼Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ ÑÐ¸ÑÐºÐ¾Ð² Ð¸Ð¼Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ¾Ð·Ð°Ð¼ÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ.
description: The work is devoted to the creation of an optimization model for recognizing project risks and searching for the most cost-effective methods of minimizing these risks. The tasks that were solved in this work: 1. to study the basic theoretical foundations of import substitution; 2. analyze government programs and initiatives on import substitution in construction; 3. to study the readiness of the domestic industry to replace imported machinery and materials; 4. explore the construction materials market; 5. to conduct a study of the impact of import substitution on construction projects, including an analysis of the risks and opportunities associated with import substitution and an assessment of the effectiveness of measures to support the production of building materials and equipment 6. analyze construction projects of various categories of capital construction; 7. consider the measures taken by the government to stimulate the production of analog products; 8. to develop an optimization model for import substitution of construction projects; 9. make recommendations on minimizing the risks of import substitution of kindergarten construction. During the development of the optimization model, five categories of construction were considered: public, agricultural, residential, commercial and industrial. With the help of an expert assessment, the risks of import substitution and the likelihood of their occurrence for each stage of construction were determined. To minimize these risks, methods were proposed, and their effectiveness was evaluated using an efficiency indicator. The developed optimization model was applied to a specific facility, a public building - a kindergarten. Based on the data obtained, recommendations were developed to minimize the risks of import substitution.