title: ÐÑÐ¸Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ð¾Ð² Ð¼Ð°ÑÐµÐ¼Ð°ÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð¸ Ð±Ð°Ð½ÐºÑÐ¾ÑÑÑÐ²Ð° Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´Ð¿ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¼Ð°Ð»Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð±Ð¸Ð·Ð½ÐµÑÐ°
title: Ð²ÑÐ¿ÑÑÐºÐ½Ð°Ñ ÐºÐ²Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð±Ð°ÐºÐ°Ð»Ð°Ð²ÑÐ°
titleType: Subtitle
title: Methods of mathematical modeling in predicting bankruptcy of small businesses
Creators: name: Ð¤ÐµÐ´Ð¾ÑÐ¾Ð², ÐÐµÐ¾Ð½Ð¸Ð´
Publisher: name: Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³ÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐ½Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ ÑÐ½Ð¸Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑ ÐÐµÑÑÐ° ÐÐµÐ»Ð¸ÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾
Year: 2019
Subjects: Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·
Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð±Ð°Ð½ÐºÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ²Ð°
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Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸
bankruptcy
model
forecasting
financial reporting
small business

description: ÐÐ±ÑÐµÐºÑÐ°Ð¼Ð¸ Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐ²Ð»ÑÑÑÑÑ Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´Ð¿ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ¸Ñ Ð¼Ð°Ð»Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð±Ð¸Ð·Ð½ÐµÑÐ° Ð¾ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ»Ð¸ ÑÐµÐ»ÑÑÐºÐ¾Ðµ ÑÐ¾Ð·ÑÐ¹ÑÑÐ²Ð¾.
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description: The objects of research are small businesses in the agricultural sector.
The aim of WRC is to select an adequate bankruptcy forecasting model based on an analysis of the reporting of small businesses.
The characteristic of small business development in the Russian Federation is given, a comparative analysis of Russian and foreign models for predicting the probability of bankruptcy is carried out, the advantages and disadvantages of the models are described, the financial ratios of small businesses selected for the study are calculated.
The probability of bankruptcy of the analyzed enterprises is estimated, recommendations for the diagnosis of bankruptcy for small businesses in the agricultural industry are developed.
Implementation of the developed recommendations will allow us to identify signs of bankruptcy in advance and take measures to increase the financial stability and solvency of small businesses.