title: ÐÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¸ Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÐºÐ¸ ÑÐ¸ÑÐºÐ¾Ð² Ð² Ð¸Ð½Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾-ÑÑÑÐ¾Ð¸ÑÐµÐ»ÑÐ½ÑÑ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑÐ°Ñ
title: Ð²ÑÐ¿ÑÑÐºÐ½Ð°Ñ ÐºÐ²Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð¼Ð°Ð³Ð¸ÑÑÑÐ°
titleType: Subtitle
title: Forecasting and assessing risks in investment and construction projects
Creators: name: ÐÐ»Ñ-Ð¤Ð°ÑÐ°Ð´, Ð¥Ð°ÑÐ°Ð½Ð°Ð¸Ð½
Publisher: name: Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³ÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐ½Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ ÑÐ½Ð¸Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑ ÐÐµÑÑÐ° ÐÐµÐ»Ð¸ÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾
Year: 2019
Subjects: ÑÐ¿ÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ ÑÐ¸ÑÐºÐ°Ð¼Ð¸
Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ
Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÐºÐ¸ ÑÐ¸ÑÐºÐ¾Ð²

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description: This paper proposes a method for approximating probability density functions with a certain function of an additional term, which is defined for the first time. In identifying and classifying risks whose probability density distributions are continuous, any investment and construction project can be assessed by the broad domain of definition by this method, which will create a more complete picture of the possible risks.
The obtained method based on the approximation of the probability density function with the additional Lagrange term gives more accurate results than the approximated polynomial without taking the additional term into account. This method can be used as a means to manage risks as a possible model for determining future risks based on information about current failures in many processes of construction activities or to process experience and risks that have occurred in project counterparts. Each new developed risk management method and tool will be involved in creating cost-effective investment construction projects with a properly chosen strategy based on the results obtained.