title: ÐÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð½Ð°Ñ Ð±Ð¸Ð·Ð½ÐµÑ-Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°: ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ»Ñ ÑÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð¹ ÐºÐ¾Ð½ÑÑÐºÑÑÑÑ
title: Ð²ÑÐ¿ÑÑÐºÐ½Ð°Ñ ÐºÐ²Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð¼Ð°Ð³Ð¸ÑÑÑÐ°
titleType: Subtitle
title: Predictive business analytics: economic cycles
Creators: name: Ð ÑÐ»Ð¾Ð²Ð°, ÐÐ½Ð½Ð°
Publisher: name: Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³ÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐ½Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ ÑÐ½Ð¸Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑ ÐÐµÑÑÐ° ÐÐµÐ»Ð¸ÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾
Year: 2023
Subjects: ÑÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ°Ñ ÐºÐ¾Ð½ÑÑÐ½ÐºÑÑÑÐ°
ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ»Ð¸ÑÐ½Ð¾ÑÑÑ ÑÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ñ
Ð¾Ð±ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐºÐ° Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð½ÑÑ
Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ
Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ ÑÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð¹ ÐºÐ¾Ð½ÑÑÐ½ÐºÑÑÑÑ
economic condition
cycle of economic development
data processing
modeling
forecasting of economic condition

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description: The purpose of the research is to study the fundamentals of the theory of cyclical economic development, as well as methods for modeling and forecasting changes in data on average shipment prices from the plants of motor gasoline, diesel fuel and liquefied hydrocarbon gases of company Â«Gazprom NeftÂ» to make effective management decisions. The study was carried out on the basis company Â«Gazprom NeftÂ». The subject of the thesis modeling and forecasting the economic situation in the oil products market, based on the processing of data on average shipment prices from motor gasoline, diesel fuel and liquefied hydrocarbon gas plants. Research methods: the main general scientific methods of research were used, as well as special methods of mathematical statistics. The main results of the study: - studied and described the concept of cyclical economic development, as well as the role of analysis and forecasting of economic cycles in data for making managerial decisions; - describes the main stages and methods of data analysis and processing for modeling economic cycles; - collection and processing of initial data was carried out, as a result of which models of average prices for the shipment of petroleum products from refineries were built; - based on the models obtained, data changes in the future are predicted and predictive results are analyzed. Scope of results is the planning and adoption of effective management decisions in the field of the oil products market based on predictive models of changes in the prices of motor gasoline, diesel fuel and liquefied hydrocarbon gases. The scientific novelty of research is forecasting changes in average shipping prices from factories for motor gasoline, diesel fuel and liquefied hydrocarbon gases using business cycle models. Conclusions. The tasks of the thesis have been solved, the goal has been achieved, the scope of the results has been determined. Prospects and directions for further development of the study are grounded. The results obtained have signs of scientific novelty.