title: Ð Ð°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐºÐ° ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ñ Ð¿Ð¾Ð´Ð´ÐµÑÐ¶ÐºÐ¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð½ÑÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÐ¿ÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ñ ÑÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÑÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð¹ Ð¾ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ»Ð¸
title: Ð²ÑÐ¿ÑÑÐºÐ½Ð°Ñ ÐºÐ²Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð±Ð°ÐºÐ°Ð»Ð°Ð²ÑÐ°
titleType: Subtitle
title: Development of decision support system for the development of the tourism in-dustry
Creators: name: ÐÐ¸ÑÐ¸Ð»Ð»Ð¾Ð², ÐÐ¼Ð¸ÑÑÐ¸Ð¹
Publisher: name: Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³ÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐ½Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ ÑÐ½Ð¸Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑ ÐÐµÑÑÐ° ÐÐµÐ»Ð¸ÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾
Year: 2022
Subjects: ÑÑÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ°Ñ Ð¾ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ»Ñ
Ð¸Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ðµ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ
Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð½ÑÑÐ¸Ðµ ÑÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¹
ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ð½Ð°Ñ Ð´Ð¸Ð½Ð°Ð¼Ð¸ÐºÐ°
ÑÑÑÐ°ÑÐµÐ³Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ðµ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ðµ
tourism industry
simulation modeling
decision making
system dynamics
strategic development

description: Ð¦ÐµÐ»ÑÑ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÑ ÑÐ²Ð»ÑÐµÑÑÑ Ð¿Ð¾Ð²ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ ÑÑÑÐµÐºÑÐ¸Ð²Ð½Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð½Ð¸Ð¼Ð°ÐµÐ¼ÑÑ ÑÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾ ÑÑÑÐ°ÑÐµÐ³Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð¼Ñ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÑÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð¹ Ð¾ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ»Ð¸. ÐÐ±ÑÐµÐºÑÐ¾Ð¼ ÑÐ°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐºÐ¸ ÑÐ²Ð»ÑÑÑÑÑ ÑÐµÐ³Ð¸Ð¾Ð½Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½ÑÐµ ÑÑÑÐ¸ÑÑÑÐºÐ¸Ðµ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐ¾ÐºÐ¸ Ð Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸Ð¹ÑÐºÐ¾Ð¹ Ð¤ÐµÐ´ÐµÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¸, Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð¼ â ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ð° Ð¿Ð¾Ð´Ð´ÐµÑÐ¶ÐºÐ¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð½ÑÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¹ Ð½Ð° Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ðµ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑÑÑÐ¸ÑÑÑÐºÐ¸Ñ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐ¾ÐºÐ¾Ð². Ð ÑÐµÐ·ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÐµ Ð²ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»Ð½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÑ Ð±ÑÐ»Ð° ÑÐ°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ°Ð½Ð° Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑÑÑÐ¸ÑÑÑÐºÐ¸Ñ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐ¾ÐºÐ¾Ð², Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½Ð° ÐµÐµ Ð²ÐµÑÐ¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ñ Ð¸ Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÐºÐ° ÑÐ¾ÑÐ½Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸, ÑÐ°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ°Ð½Ñ ÑÐµÐºÐ¾Ð¼ÐµÐ½Ð´Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð¿Ð¾ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð½ÑÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¹ Ð½Ð° Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ðµ ÑÐµÐ·ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¾Ð² ÑÐºÑÐ¿ÐµÑÐ¸Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÑÐ¾Ð², Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð¾Ð´Ð¸Ð¼ÑÑ Ñ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»ÑÑ. ÐÐ±Ð»Ð°ÑÑÑÑ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐµÐ·ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¾Ð² ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÑ ÑÐ²Ð»ÑÐµÑÑÑ Ð¿Ð¾Ð´Ð´ÐµÑÐ¶ÐºÐ° Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð½ÑÑÐ¸Ð¹ ÑÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÑÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð¹ Ð¾ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ»Ð¸ ÑÐ°ÐºÐ¸Ð¼Ð¸ ÑÐµÐ³ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ¾ÑÐ°Ð¼Ð¸, ÐºÐ°Ðº ÐÑÑÐ¾ÑÐ¸Ð°ÑÐ¸Ñ Ð¢ÑÑÐ¾Ð¿ÐµÑÐ°ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ð² Ð Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸Ð¸, Ð¤ÐµÐ´ÐµÑÐ°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾Ðµ Ð°Ð³ÐµÐ½ÑÑÑÐ²Ð¾ Ð¿Ð¾ ÑÑÑÐ¸Ð·Ð¼Ñ Ð¸ Ð´ÑÑÐ³Ð¸Ð¼Ð¸ Ð¾ÑÐ³Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð¼Ð¸ Ð²Ð»Ð°ÑÑÐ¸, Ð¾ÑÑÑÐµÑÑÐ²Ð»ÑÑÑÐ¸Ð¼Ð¸ ÑÐµÐ³ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ¾ÑÐ½ÑÐµ ÑÑÐ½ÐºÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð² Ð¾Ð±Ð»Ð°ÑÑÐ¸ ÑÑÑÐ¸Ð·Ð¼Ð°. Ð¢ÑÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ°Ñ Ð¾ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ»Ñ ÑÐ²Ð»ÑÐµÑÑÑ ÑÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸ Ð²Ð°Ð¶Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð¸ Ð±ÑÑÑÑÐ¾ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸Ð²Ð°ÑÑÐµÐ¹ÑÑ Ð²Ð¾ Ð²ÑÐµÐ¼ Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐµ, Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ Ð¼Ð¾Ð¶ÐµÑ Ð±ÑÑÑ Ð¸ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÐ·Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð° Ð´Ð»Ñ Ð¿Ð¾Ð´Ð´ÐµÑÐ¶ÐºÐ¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð½ÑÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾ ÐµÐµ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ñ. ÐÐ°Ð»ÑÐ½ÐµÐ¹ÑÐ°Ñ ÑÐ°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐºÐ° Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ Ð´Ð¾Ð»Ð¶Ð½Ð° Ð²ÐºÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÑ ÑÐ²ÐµÐ»Ð¸ÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ ÑÐ¾ÑÐ½Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÐºÐ¸ Ð¸ÑÑÐ¾Ð´Ð½ÑÑ Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð½ÑÑ, Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÐºÑ Ð¸ Ð²Ð½ÐµÐ´ÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ Ð´Ð¾Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð½Ð¸ÑÐµÐ»ÑÐ½ÑÑ Ð¿Ð¾ÐºÐ°Ð·Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÐµÐ¹, Ð²Ð»Ð¸ÑÑÑÐ¸Ñ Ð½Ð° Ð¸Ð½ÑÐµÐ½ÑÐ¸Ð²Ð½Ð¾ÑÑÑ ÑÑÑÐ¸ÑÑÑÐºÐ¸Ñ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐ¾ÐºÐ¾Ð² Ð¸ ÑÐ°ÑÑÐ¸ÑÑÑÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÐ¿ÐµÐºÑÑ Ð³Ð¸Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐµÐ·, Ð¸ ÑÑÑÐ°ÑÐµÐ³Ð¸Ð¹, ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐµ Ð¼Ð¾Ð³ÑÑ Ð±ÑÑÑ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÑÐµÐ½Ñ Ñ Ð¿Ð¾Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÑ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸.
description: The purpose of the work is to increase the efficiency of decisions made on the strategic development of the tourism industry. The object of development is the regional tourist flows of the Russian Federation; the subject is a decision support system based on a model for forecasting tourist flows.As a result of the work, a model for forecasting tourist flows was developed, its verification and accuracy assessment were carried out, recommendations were developed for decision-making based on the results of experiments conducted with the model.The scope of the results of the work is to support decision-making on the development of the tourism industry by such regulators as the Association of Tour Operators of Russia, the Federal Agency for Tourism and other authorities that carry out regulatory functions in the tourism sphere.The tourism industry is an economically important and rapidly developing world-wide, the model can be used to support decision-making on its development. Further development of the model should include an increase in the accuracy of the assessment of the initial data, the assessment and implementation of additional indicators that affect the intensity of tourist flows and expand the range of hypotheses and strategies that can be tested using the model.