title: Ð Ð°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐºÐ° Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ð° Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð¸Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð²Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»Ð° IT ÐºÐ¾Ð¼Ð¿Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð¸
title: Ð²ÑÐ¿ÑÑÐºÐ½Ð°Ñ ÐºÐ²Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð¼Ð°Ð³Ð¸ÑÑÑÐ°
titleType: Subtitle
title: Development of a method for forecasting the innovation potential of an IT company
Creators: name: ÐÐ°Ð½ÐºÑÐ°ÑÐ¾Ð², ÐÐµÐ¾ÑÐ³Ð¸Ð¹
Publisher: name: Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³ÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐ½Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ ÑÐ½Ð¸Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑ ÐÐµÑÑÐ° ÐÐµÐ»Ð¸ÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾
Year: 2024
Subjects: ÐÐ°ÑÐµÐ¼Ð°ÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ðµ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ
ÐÐ½ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½ÑÐµ ÑÐµÑ Ð½Ð¾Ð»Ð¾Ð³Ð¸Ð¸
Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¸Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð²Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»Ð°
Ð¿Ð»Ð°Ð½Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ ÑÐµÑÑÑÑÐ¾Ð²
ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ð½Ð°Ñ Ð´Ð¸Ð½Ð°Ð¼Ð¸ÐºÐ°
forecasting innovation potential
resource planning
system dynamics

description: Ð ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐµ Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´Ð»Ð°Ð³Ð°ÐµÑÑÑ Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð¸Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð²Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»Ð° Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´Ð¿ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ¸Ñ Ð² IT-Ð¾ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ»Ð¸. ÐÐµÑÐ¾Ð´ Ð¾ÑÐ»Ð¸ÑÐ°ÐµÑÑÑ ÑÑÐµÑÐ¾Ð¼ Ð´Ð¸Ð½Ð°Ð¼Ð¸ÐºÐ¸ Ð½ÐµÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¾ÑÑÑ ÑÐ°ÐºÑÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ð² Ð¸ Ð¸Ñ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð½ÑÐ¼ Ð½Ð°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ¾Ð¼, ÑÑÐ¾ Ð¿Ð¾Ð·Ð²Ð¾Ð»ÑÐµÑ Ð¾ÑÑÑÐµÑÑÐ²Ð¸ÑÑ Ð±Ð¾Ð»ÐµÐµ ÑÐ¾ÑÐ½ÑÐ¹ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·, ÑÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ²Ð°Ñ Ð¾ÑÐ¾Ð±ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ IT-Ð¾ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ»Ð¸. ÐÐ°Ð·Ð¾Ð²ÑÐ¹ Ð½Ð°Ð±Ð¾Ñ ÑÐ°ÐºÑÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ð² Ð´Ð»Ñ Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÐºÐ¸ Ð¸Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð²Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»Ð° Ð±ÑÐ» Ð´Ð¾Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð½ÐµÐ½ ÑÐ°ÐºÑÐ¾ÑÐ°Ð¼Ð¸ Ð¸Ð· IT-Ð¾ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ»Ð¸, ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐµ Ð±ÑÐ»Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐºÐ»Ð°ÑÑÐ¸ÑÐ¸ÑÐ¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ñ. ÐÐ° Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ðµ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð½Ð°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° ÑÐ°ÐºÑÐ¾-ÑÐ¾Ð² Ð±ÑÐ»Ð° Ð´Ð¾Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð½ÐµÐ½Ð° Ð¼Ð°ÑÐµÐ¼Ð°ÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ°Ñ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÐºÐ¸ Ð¸Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð²Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»Ð°. Ð Ð°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ°Ð½Ð°, Ð²ÐµÑÐ¸ÑÐ¸ÑÐ¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð° Ð¸ Ð°Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð±Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð° Ð¸Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ, ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¾ÑÐ°Ñ Ð¿Ð¾Ð·Ð²Ð¾Ð»ÑÐµÑ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÑÐ°ÑÑ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð· Ð¸Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð²Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»Ð° Ð¸ Ð¾ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ¶Ð¸Ð²Ð°ÑÑ, ÐºÐ°Ðº Ð¸Ð·Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ ÑÑÐ´Ð° ÑÐ°ÐºÑÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ð² Ð²Ð»Ð¸ÑÑÑ Ð½Ð° ÑÑÐ¾Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·, ÑÑÐ¾ Ð¿Ð¾Ð·Ð²Ð¾Ð»ÑÐµÑ Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾ Ð¿Ð»Ð°Ð½Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°ÑÑ ÑÐ°ÑÐ¿ÑÐµÐ´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ ÑÐµÑÑÑÑÐ¾Ð² Ð´Ð»Ñ Ð´Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸Ð¶ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð½Ð°Ð¸Ð²ÑÑÑÐµÐ³Ð¾ Ð¸Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð²Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»Ð° Ð² ÑÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ 5 Ð»ÐµÑ. Ð ÐµÐ·ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¾Ð¼ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÑ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ Ð´Ð»Ñ ÐºÐ¾Ð¼Ð¿Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð¸ ÑÐ²Ð»ÑÐµÑÑÑ Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾Ðµ ÑÐ°ÑÐ¿ÑÐµÐ´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ ÑÐµÑÑÑÑÐ¾Ð², ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ðµ Ð¿Ð¾Ð·Ð²Ð¾Ð»Ð¸Ñ Ð´Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ÑÑ Ð¸Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð²Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½ÑÐ¹ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÑÐ¸Ð°Ð» Ð½Ð° 9,5% Ð²ÑÑÐµ, ÑÐµÐ¼ Ð² ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ°Ð¸ Ñ ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ°Ð½ÐµÐ½Ð¸ÐµÐ¼ ÑÐµÐ³Ð¾Ð´Ð½ÑÑÐ½ÐµÐ¹ ÑÐµÐ½Ð´ÐµÐ½ÑÐ¸Ð¸.
description: The paper proposes a method for predicting the innovative potential of an en-terprise in the IT industry. The method is distinguished by taking into account the dynamics of some factors and their full set, which allows for a more accurate fore-cast, taking into account the characteristics of the IT industry. A set of factors influ-encing innovation potential was taken, supplemented with factors from the IT indus-try and classified. Based on the resulting set of factors, the mathematical model for assessing innovation potential was supplemented. A simulation model has been de-veloped, verified and tested, which allows us to obtain a forecast of innovative po-tential and track how changes in a number of factors affect this forecast, which al-lows us to optimally plan the allocation of resources to achieve the highest innova-tive potential within 5 years. The result of the model for the company is the optimal allocation of resources, which will allow it to achieve an innovative potential that is 9.5% higher than in cases where the current trend continues.