title: ÐÐµÑÑÐ¿ÐµÐºÑÐ¸Ð²Ñ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ñ Ð¡ÐµÐ²ÐµÑÐ½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¿ÑÑÐ¸ Ð² ÑÑÐ°Ð²Ð½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¸ Ñ Ð°Ð»ÑÑÐµÑÐ½Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð²Ð½ÑÐ¼Ð¸ Ð¼ÐµÐ¶Ð´ÑÐ½Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð½ÑÐ¼Ð¸ ÑÑÐ°Ð½ÑÐ¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ½ÑÐ¼Ð¸ ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¸Ð´Ð¾ÑÐ°Ð¼Ð¸
title: Ð²ÑÐ¿ÑÑÐºÐ½Ð°Ñ ÐºÐ²Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð¼Ð°Ð³Ð¸ÑÑÑÐ°
titleType: Subtitle
title: Development prospects of the nourtheast passage in comparsion with the alternative international transport corridors
Creators: name: Ð Ð°Ð·ÑÐ¼Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ð½Ð°, ÐÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ
Publisher: name: Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³ÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐ½Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ ÑÐ½Ð¸Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑ ÐÐµÑÑÐ° ÐÐµÐ»Ð¸ÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾
Year: 2018
Subjects: ÑÐµÐ²ÐµÑÐ½ÑÐ¹ Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐºÐ¾Ð¹ Ð¿ÑÑÑ
Ð¼ÐµÐ¶Ð´ÑÐ½Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð½ÑÐ¹ ÑÑÐ°Ð½ÑÐ¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ½ÑÐ¹ ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¸Ð´Ð¾Ñ
ADL-Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ
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description: Ð ÑÐ¾Ð²ÑÐµÐ¼ÐµÐ½Ð½ÑÑ ÑÑÐ»Ð¾Ð²Ð¸ÑÑ, Ð¾ÑÐ²Ð¾ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ Ð°ÑÐºÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÑÑÑÐ°Ð½ÑÑÐ²Ð° ÑÐ²Ð»ÑÐµÑÑÑ Ð´Ð»Ñ Ð½Ð°ÑÐµÐ¹ ÑÑÑÐ°Ð½Ñ ÑÑÑÐ°ÑÐµÐ³Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸ Ð²Ð°Ð¶Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð·Ð°Ð´Ð°ÑÐµÐ¹. Ð¢Ð°Ðº, Ð² ÑÐ°Ð¼ÐºÐ°Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð½ÑÑÐ¾Ð¹ 21.04.2014 Ð³. Ð³Ð¾ÑÑÐ´Ð°ÑÑÑÐ²ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³ÑÐ°Ð¼Ð¼Ñ Â«Ð¡Ð¾ÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾-ÑÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ðµ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ðµ ÐÑÐºÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð¹ Ð·Ð¾Ð½Ñ Ð Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸Ð¹ÑÐºÐ¾Ð¹ Ð¤ÐµÐ´ÐµÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð½Ð° Ð¿ÐµÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð´ Ð´Ð¾ 2020 Ð³Ð¾Ð´Ð°Â», Ð±ÑÐ»Ð¸ Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ñ Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð½ÑÐµ Ð½Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½ÑÐµ Ð¸Ð½ÑÐµÑÐµÑÑ Ð½Ð°ÑÐµÐ¹ ÑÑÑÐ°Ð½Ñ Ð² ÐÑÐºÑÐ¸ÐºÐµ, Ð¾Ð´Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð¸Ð· ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¾ÑÑÑ ÑÐ²Ð»ÑÐµÑÑÑ: ÐÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÐ·Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¡ÐµÐ²ÐµÑÐ½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¿ÑÑÐ¸ Ð² ÐºÐ°ÑÐµÑÑÐ²Ðµ Ð½Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¹ ÐµÐ´Ð¸Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ ÑÑÐ°Ð½ÑÐ¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¹ ÐºÐ¾Ð¼Ð¼ÑÐ½Ð¸ÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸Ð¹ÑÐºÐ¾Ð¹ Ð¤ÐµÐ´ÐµÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð¸ Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ ÑÑÐ°Ð½Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¸Ð´Ð¾ÑÐ°. Ð Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐµ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÐ´ÑÐ½ ÑÑÐ°Ð²Ð½Ð¸ÑÐµÐ»ÑÐ½ÑÐ¹ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð· Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð¿ÑÑÐºÐ½Ð¾Ð¹ ÑÐ¿Ð¾ÑÐ¾Ð±Ð½Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ ÑÑÐ°Ð½Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ½ÑÑ Ð¿ÐµÑÐµÐ²Ð¾Ð·Ð¾Ðº Ð¡ÐµÐ²ÐµÑÐ½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¿ÑÑÐ¸ Ñ Ð¢ÑÐ°Ð½ÑÑÐ¸Ð±Ð¸ÑÑÐºÐ¾Ð¹ Ð¼Ð°Ð³Ð¸ÑÑÑÐ°Ð»ÑÑ Ð¸ Ð¡ÑÑÑÐºÐ¸Ð¼ ÐºÐ°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¾Ð¼. ÐÐ»Ñ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð° Ð±ÑÐ»Ð° Ð¸ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÐ·Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð° ADL Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ. ÐÑÐ»Ð¸ Ð¿Ð¾Ð´Ð¾Ð±ÑÐ°Ð½Ñ ÑÐ½Ð´Ð¾Ð³ÐµÐ½Ð½ÑÐµ Ð¸ ÑÐºÐ·Ð¾Ð³ÐµÐ½Ð½ÑÐµ Ð¿ÐµÑÐµÐ¼ÐµÐ½Ð½ÑÐµ, ÑÐ²Ð»ÑÑÑÐ¸ÐµÑÑ Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð½ÑÐ¼Ð¸ Ð¿Ð¾ÐºÐ°Ð·Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÑÐ¼Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð¿ÑÑÐºÐ½Ð¾Ð¹ ÑÐ¿Ð¾ÑÐ¾Ð±Ð½Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ Ð¼ÐµÐ¶Ð´ÑÐ½Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð½ÑÑ ÑÑÐ°Ð½ÑÐ¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ½ÑÑ ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¸Ð´Ð¾ÑÐ¾Ð². ÐÐ¾ÑÑÑÐ¾ÐµÐ½Ñ Ð³ÑÐ°ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ¸ Ñ Ð»Ð¸Ð½Ð¸ÐµÐ¹ ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð´Ð°, Ð²ÐºÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÑÐ¸Ðµ ÑÐ°ÑÑÑÐ¸ÑÐ°Ð½Ð½ÑÐµ Ð¿ÑÐ¸ Ð¿Ð¾Ð¼Ð¾ÑÐ¸ ADL Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð½ÑÐµ Ð·Ð½Ð°ÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð½Ð° 2018-2019 Ð³Ð³.
description: Today, the development of the Arctic space is a strategically important task for our country. Thus, within the framework of the state program "Social and economic development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2020" adopted on 21.04.2014, the main national interests of our country in the Arctic were determined, one of which is the Use of the Northern sea route as a national unified transport communication of the Russian Federation and the world transit corridor.
This paper presents a comparative analysis of the capacity of transit traffic of the Northern sea route with the TRANS-Siberian railway and the Suez canal. 
ADL model was used for the analysis. Endogenous and exogenous variables, which are the main indicators of the capacity of international transport corridors, were selected.
The graphs with a trend line, including the predicted values for 2018-2019 calculated using the ADL model, are plotted.