Ukraine in AGMEMOD and future assumptions regarding policies, demographics, macro economics, production capacities
Creators: name: Bogonos, Mariia
name: Nazarkina, Roksolana
name: Nykolyuk, Olga
name: Pyvovar, Petro
name: Rozhkov, Oleksandr
name: Stolnikovych, Hryhorii
name: Topolnytskiy, Pavlo
Publisher: name: ACT4CAP27 Horizon Europe project GA Nr. 101134874
Year: 2024

description: This material was presented at the ACT4CAP27 WP6 Workshop on Modelling the Future of EU-Ukraine Relationship on 18 September 2024 organized by the Thünen Institute of Market Analysis (Germany), Wageningen Economic Research (Netherlands), and Polissia National University (Ukraine).

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ACT4CAP27 WP6 Workshop on Modelling the Future of EU-Ukraine Relationship │ 18 September 2024
















The ACT4CAP27 project hosted a hybrid workshop on modelling the future of EU-Ukraine relations on 18 September 2024 at the Warsaw University of Life Sciences (SGGW), Poland. Organized by the Thünen Institute of Market Analysis (Germany), Wageningen Economic Research (Netherlands), and Polissia National University (Ukraine), this workshop was a side event to the 189th EAAE Seminar, titled “EU Enlargement by (Post)-War Ukraine: Implications for the Agri-Food Markets.”

The workshop, held in the frame of ACT4CAP27’s WP6 activities (Tasks 6.1 and 6.2), focused on assessing EU agri-food policies post-2027 with a specific emphasis on the EU-Ukraine relationship. Over the course of three hours, more than 30 participants openly discussed the current and future state of this relationship and explored possible scenarios for modelling agricultural markets.

Stakeholders and experts shared their views on the future of EU-Ukraine relations, highlighting key topics for the agricultural sector. Valuable outcome of the discussions were the uncertainty regarding Ukraine’s future war development, population change, land area and demining. The event also facilitated rich exchanges and networking opportunities.

Martin Banse, Director of the Thünen Institute of Market Analysis, opened the event on behalf of the organizers.

Key Sessions & Discussions:



Current and Future EU-Ukraine Relationship



Roel Jongeneel (Wageningen Economic Research) delivered a presentation on “The Current Situation and Implications of Ukraine’s Accession to the EU.” This was followed by short statements from participants and an engaging discussion on “Ukraine’s Accession to the EU – Important Topics for Agricultural Markets”, moderated by Myrna van Leeuwen (Wageningen Economic Research).



Current Ukraine Baseline and Future Scenarios



Presentation were given by Olga Nykolyuk, Petro Pyvovar, and Oleksandr Rozhkov on “Ukraine in AGMEMOD and Future Assumptions Regarding Policies, Demographics, Macro-Economics, and Production Capacities.”

Another presentation by Petro Pyvovar and Olga Nykolyuk proposed future scenarios for Ukraine’s development and its relationship with the EU.

This session concluded with a discussion on “Modelling Aspects of Ukraine’s Future Developments and EU Accession”, moderated by Verena Laquai (Thünen Institute of Market Analysis).




The event was wrapped up by Roel Jongeneel, who thanked the participants for their valuable contributions.

We would like to thank the local organizing team of the EAAE seminar, in particular to Agata Malak-Rawlikowska and Mariusz Hamulczuk, for their assistance and technical support.

This workshop provided important insights into the future of EU-Ukraine relations, particularly in the context of agricultural markets, and will help shape future modelling scenarios in the ACT4CAP27 project.

Source: Thüenen Institute

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ACT4CAP27 Further information

ACT4CAP27 Project coordination: Wageningen Economic Research, The Hague, NLContact: act4cap27@wur.nl  | Website: https://act4cap27.eu/

Project duration: 1 March 2024 – 28 February 2029

Funding acknowledgement

ACT4CAP27 is funded by the European Union. Horizon Europe Grant Agreement No. 101134874. Views and opinions expressed are however those of the authors only and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union or the European Commission. Neither the European Union nor the granting authority can be held responsible for them.