title: ÐÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐ°ÐºÑÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ð², Ð²Ð»Ð¸ÑÑÑÐ¸Ñ Ð½Ð° Ð¾Ð±ÑÐµÐ¼ Ð³ÑÑÐ·Ð¾Ð¿ÐµÑÐµÐ²Ð¾Ð·Ð¾Ðº Ð¿Ð¾ Ð¡ÐµÐ²ÐµÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¼Ñ Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐºÐ¾Ð¼Ñ Ð¿ÑÑÐ¸
title: Ð²ÑÐ¿ÑÑÐºÐ½Ð°Ñ ÐºÐ²Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð¼Ð°Ð³Ð¸ÑÑÑÐ°
titleType: Subtitle
Creators: name: ÐÑÐ´ÑÑÐ²Ð¸Ñ, ÐÐ¼Ð¸ÑÑÐ¸Ð¹
Publisher: name: Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³ÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐ½Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ ÑÐ½Ð¸Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑ ÐÐµÑÑÐ° ÐÐµÐ»Ð¸ÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾
Year: 2020
Subjects: ÐÐ¾ÑÑÐºÐ¸Ðµ Ð¿ÐµÑÐµÐ²Ð¾Ð·ÐºÐ¸ Ð³ÑÑÐ·Ð¾Ð²ÑÐµ
Ð¡ÐµÐ²ÐµÑÐ½ÑÐ¹ Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐºÐ¾Ð¹ Ð¿ÑÑÑ
Ð¾Ð±ÑÐµÐ¼ Ð³ÑÑÐ·Ð¾Ð¿ÐµÑÐµÐ²Ð¾Ð·Ð¾Ðº Ð¿Ð¾ Ð¡ÐµÐ²ÐµÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¼Ñ Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐºÐ¾Ð¼Ñ Ð¿ÑÑÐ¸
ÑÐ½Ð´Ð¾Ð³ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð°Ñ Ð¿ÐµÑÐµÐ¼ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð°Ñ
ÑÐºÐ·Ð¾Ð³ÐµÐ½Ð½ÑÐµ Ð¿ÐµÑÐµÐ¼ÐµÐ½Ð½ÑÐµ
Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ Ð¼Ð½Ð¾Ð¶ÐµÑÑÐ²ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð»Ð¸Ð½ÐµÐ¹Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ ÑÐµÐ³ÑÐµÑÑÐ¸Ð¸

description: Ð¦ÐµÐ»ÑÑ Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐ²Ð»ÑÐµÑÑÑ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÑÐ¾ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸, ÑÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ²Ð°ÑÑÐµÐ¹ Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð½ÑÐµ ÑÐ°ÐºÑÐ¾ÑÑ, Ð²Ð»Ð¸ÑÑÑÐ¸Ðµ Ð½Ð° Ð¾Ð±ÑÐµÐ¼ Ð³ÑÑÐ·Ð¾Ð¿ÐµÑÐµÐ²Ð¾Ð·Ð¾Ðº Ð¿Ð¾ Ð¡ÐµÐ²ÐµÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¼Ñ Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐºÐ¾Ð¼Ñ Ð¿ÑÑÐ¸, Ð¸ ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼ÐµÑÐ½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð° ÑÑÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¿Ð¾ÐºÐ°Ð·Ð°ÑÐµÐ»Ñ Ð½Ð° Ð±Ð»Ð¸Ð¶Ð°Ð¹ÑÐ¸Ðµ Ð´Ð²Ð° Ð³Ð¾Ð´Ð°. ÐÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð½ÑÐµ Ð·Ð°Ð´Ð°ÑÐ¸ Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ: Ð¾ÑÐ±Ð¾Ñ Ð¸ Ð¾Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ ÑÐ°ÐºÑÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ð², ÑÑÐ°ÑÑÐ²ÑÑÑÐ¸Ñ Ð² Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð¸; Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÑÐ¾ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ Ð¼Ð½Ð¾Ð¶ÐµÑÑÐ²ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð»Ð¸Ð½ÐµÐ¹Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ ÑÐµÐ³ÑÐµÑÑÐ¸Ð¸, Ð¾Ð¿Ð¸ÑÑÐ²Ð°ÑÑÐµÐ¹ Ð·Ð°Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÑ Ð¾Ð±ÑÐµÐ¼Ð° Ð³ÑÑÐ·Ð¾Ð¿ÐµÑÐµÐ²Ð¾Ð·Ð¾Ðº Ð¿Ð¾ Ð¡ÐµÐ²ÐµÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¼Ñ Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐºÐ¾Ð¼Ñ Ð¿ÑÑÐ¸ Ð¾Ñ ÑÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÐ°ÐºÑÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ð²; ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð° Ð¾Ð±ÑÐµÐ¼Ð° Ð³ÑÑÐ·Ð¾Ð¿ÐµÑÐµÐ²Ð¾Ð·Ð¾Ðº Ð¿Ð¾ Ð¡ÐµÐ²ÐµÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¼Ñ Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐºÐ¾Ð¼Ñ Ð¿ÑÑÐ¸ Ð½Ð° 2020 Ð¸ 2021 Ð³Ð¾Ð´Ñ. ÐÐµÑÐ¾Ð´ Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ: Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÑÐ»Ð¸ÑÑ SWOT-Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·, ÐºÐ¾ÑÑÐµÐ»ÑÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½ÑÐ¹ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·, ÑÐµÐ³ÑÐµÑÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½ÑÐ¹ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·, Ð´Ð¸ÑÐ¿ÐµÑÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½ÑÐ¹ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·. ÐÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð½ÑÐµ ÑÐµÐ·ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÑ Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ: Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ñ Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð½ÑÐµ ÑÐ°ÐºÑÐ¾ÑÑ, Ð²Ð»Ð¸ÑÑÑÐ¸Ðµ Ð½Ð° Ð¾Ð±ÑÐµÐ¼ Ð³ÑÑÐ·Ð¾Ð¿ÐµÑÐµÐ²Ð¾Ð·Ð¾Ðº Ð¿Ð¾ ÑÐµÐ²ÐµÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¼Ñ Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐºÐ¾Ð¼Ñ Ð¿ÑÑÐ¸; Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÑÐ¾ÐµÐ½Ð° Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ Ð¼Ð½Ð¾Ð¶ÐµÑÑÐ²ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð»Ð¸Ð½ÐµÐ¹Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ ÑÐµÐ³ÑÐµÑÑÐ¸Ð¸; ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð· Ð¾Ð±ÑÐµÐ¼Ð° Ð³ÑÑÐ·Ð¾Ð¿ÐµÑÐµÐ²Ð¾Ð·Ð¾Ðº Ð¿Ð¾ Ð¡ÐµÐ²ÐµÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¼Ñ Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐºÐ¾Ð¼Ñ Ð¿ÑÑÐ¸ Ð½Ð° 2020 Ð¸ 2021 Ð³Ð¾Ð´Ñ. ÐÐ°ÑÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð½Ð¾Ð²Ð¸Ð·Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐ²Ð»ÑÐµÑÑÑ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð· Ð¾Ð±ÑÐµÐ¼Ð° Ð³ÑÑÐ·Ð¾Ð¿ÐµÑÐµÐ²Ð¾Ð·Ð¾Ðº Ð¿Ð¾ Ð¡ÐµÐ²ÐµÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¼Ñ Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐºÐ¾Ð¼Ñ Ð¿ÑÑÐ¸ Ð½Ð° 2020 Ð¸ 2021 Ð³Ð¾Ð´Ñ.
description: The aim of the study is building a model that takes into account the main factors that affect the volume of cargo traffic along the Northern Sea Route, and making an approximate forecast of this indicator for the next two years. Main research tasks: selection and justification of factors involved in the study; building of a multiple linear regression model describing the dependence of the volume of cargo traffic along the Northern Sea Route on these factors; forecasting of the volume of cargo traffic on the Northern Sea Route for 2020 and 2021. Research methods: SWOT analysis, correlation analysis, regression analysis, and variance analysis were used. The main results of the study: the main factors affecting the volume of cargo traffic along the Northern Sea Route were identified; a model of multiple linear regression was built; a forecast of the volume of cargo traffic on the Northern Sea Route for 2020 and 2021 was made. The scientific novelty of the study is the forecast of the volume of cargo traffic along the Northern Sea Route for 2020 and 2021.