title: ÐÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ð¾Ð² Ð¸ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ¹ Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÐºÐ¸ Ð¶Ð¸Ð·Ð½ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ»Ð° Ð¸Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð²Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð´ÑÐºÑÐ°
title: Ð²ÑÐ¿ÑÑÐºÐ½Ð°Ñ ÐºÐ²Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð±Ð°ÐºÐ°Ð»Ð°Ð²ÑÐ°
titleType: Subtitle
title: Research of methods and models for assessing the life cycle of an innovative product
Creators: name: Ð¢ÑÑÐ¸Ð½Ð°, Ð¢Ð°ÑÑÑÐ½Ð°
Publisher: name: Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³ÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐ½Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ ÑÐ½Ð¸Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑ ÐÐµÑÑÐ° ÐÐµÐ»Ð¸ÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾
Year: 2024
Subjects: Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÑÐµÐ»Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð´ÑÐºÑÐ¾Ð²
Ð¸Ð½Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½ÑÐ¹ ÐºÐ°Ð¿Ð¸ÑÐ°Ð»
Ð¸Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ðµ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ
ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ð½Ð°Ñ Ð´Ð¸Ð½Ð°Ð¼Ð¸ÐºÐ°
Ð°Ð³ÐµÐ½ÑÐ½ÑÐ¹ Ð¿Ð¾Ð´Ñ Ð¾Ð´
AnyLogic
product portfolio
investment capital
simulation modeling
system dynamics
agent-based approach

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description: This work is devoted to modeling a portfolio of innovative products in order to predict the passage of their life cycle and related indicators of the innovative company. The tasks that were solved in the course of the research: 1) Relevance of life cycle assessment of an innovative product; 2) Analyzing the task of life cycle assessment of an innovative product; 3) Review of life cycle models of innovative product; 4) Development of an improved model for assessing the life cycle of an innovation product; 5) Testing and evaluating the adequacy of the improved model of innovation product life cycle assessment. The model, supplemented and improved in the framework of the work, has received a program realization in the form of a simulation model in AnyLogic environment. The main practical problem solved by the proposed research is the generally low predictability of the reaction of the product portfolio system to investment and financial decisions, as well as the need for a practical-applicable tool for predicting the systems reaction to them. The scientific problem is the need for a theoretical description of the product portfolio system at a higher level of adequacy than is present in modern works. The results of approbation experiments show that on a short forecast horizon the model gives realistic results with deviations not more than 5%. At the medium horizon the model gives deviations of 10-15%. Given the high level of abstraction of the description of the real system, this indicates a high accuracy of modeling after calibration.