title: Ð¡ÑÐ°Ð²Ð½Ð¸ÑÐµÐ»ÑÐ½ÑÐ¹ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð· ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ¸Ð¹ÑÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ ÑÑÐ½ÐºÐ° Ð°Ð²Ð¸Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ ÑÐ¾Ð¿Ð»Ð¸Ð²Ð°
title: Ð²ÑÐ¿ÑÑÐºÐ½Ð°Ñ ÐºÐ²Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð±Ð°ÐºÐ°Ð»Ð°Ð²ÑÐ°
titleType: Subtitle
title: Comparative analysis of the Russian aviation fuel market
Creators: name: ÐÐ°Ð·Ð°Ð½ÑÐµÐ²Ð°, ÐÐ½Ð°ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ñ
Publisher: name: Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³ÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐ½Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ ÑÐ½Ð¸Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑ ÐÐµÑÑÐ° ÐÐµÐ»Ð¸ÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾
Year: 2021
Subjects: Ð°Ð²Ð¸Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð¿Ð»Ð¸Ð²Ð¾
Ð°Ð²Ð¸Ð°ÐºÐµÑÐ¾ÑÐ¸Ð½
Ð°Ð²Ð¸Ð°Ð¿ÐµÑÐµÐ²Ð¾Ð·ÐºÐ¸
Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐµÐ±Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ
Ð½ÐµÑÑÐµÐ¿ÑÐ¾Ð´ÑÐºÑÑ
Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ
air fuel
aircraft
air transportation
consumption
petroleum products
modeling

description: ÐÐ°Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐ²ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð° Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐ°ÐºÑÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ð², ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐµ Ð¾ÐºÐ°Ð·ÑÐ²Ð°ÑÑ Ð²Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ½Ð¸Ðµ Ð½Ð° Ð¾Ð±ÑÐµÐ¼Ñ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐµÐ±Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð°Ð²Ð¸Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð¿Ð»Ð¸Ð²Ð° Ð² Ð Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸Ð¸, Ð¼ÐµÑÑ Ð¸Ñ Ð²Ð¾Ð·Ð´ÐµÐ¹ÑÑÐ²Ð¸Ñ Ð¸ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÑÐ¾ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð° Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐµÐ±Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð°Ð²Ð¸Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð¿Ð»Ð¸Ð²Ð° Ð½Ð° 2021 Ð¸ 2022 Ð³Ð³. ÐÐ°Ð´Ð°ÑÐ¸, ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐµ ÑÐµÑÐ°Ð»Ð¸ÑÑ Ð² ÑÐ¾Ð´Ðµ Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ: 1. Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¾Ð±Ð·Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð»Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐ°ÑÑÑÑ Ð¿Ð¾ ÑÐµÐ¼Ð°ÑÐ¸ÐºÐµ Ð¾ÑÐ³Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð°Ð²Ð¸Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð¿Ð»Ð¸Ð²Ð¾Ð¾Ð±ÐµÑÐ¿ÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð¸ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð° ÑÑÐ½ÐºÐ° Ð°Ð²Ð¸Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð¿Ð»Ð¸Ð²Ð°; 2. Ð¾Ð±Ð¾Ð±ÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ ÑÐµÐ·ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¾Ð², Ð¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð½ÑÑ Ð´ÑÑÐ³Ð¸Ð¼Ð¸ Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÑÐ¼Ð¸, Ð¸ Ð²ÑÑÐ²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ Ð·Ð°ÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼ÐµÑÐ½Ð¾ÑÑÐµÐ¹ Ð½Ð° ÑÑÐ½ÐºÐµ Ð°Ð²Ð¸Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð¿Ð»Ð¸Ð²Ð°; 3. Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð° Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¸ ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ¸Ð¹ÑÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ ÑÑÐ½ÐºÐ¾Ð² Ð°Ð²Ð¸Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ ÑÐ¾Ð¿Ð»Ð¸Ð²Ð°; 4. Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð° Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¸ ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ¸Ð¹ÑÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ ÑÑÐ½ÐºÐ° Ð°Ð²Ð¸Ð°Ð¿ÐµÑÐµÐ²Ð¾Ð·Ð¾Ðº; 5. Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÑÐ¾ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ ÑÐµÐ³ÑÐµÑÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸, Ð¾Ð¿Ð¸ÑÑÐ²Ð°ÑÑÐµÐ¹ Ð·Ð°Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÑ Ð¾Ð±ÑÐµÐ¼Ð° Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐµÐ±Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð°Ð²Ð¸Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð¿Ð»Ð¸Ð²Ð° Ð¾Ñ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ½ÑÑ ÑÐ°ÐºÑÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ð², Ð² Ð¿ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ»Ð°Ð´Ð½Ð¾Ð¼ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³ÑÐ°Ð¼Ð¼Ð½Ð¾Ð¼ Ð¾Ð±ÐµÑÐ¿ÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¸ Â«gretlÂ». Ð Ð°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð±ÑÐ»Ð° Ð²ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»Ð½ÐµÐ½Ð° Ð½Ð° Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ðµ ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ñ Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð½ÑÑ ICAO, IATA Ð¸ Ð¤ÐµÐ´ÐµÑÐ°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð°Ð³ÐµÐ½ÑÑÑÐ²Ð° Ð²Ð¾Ð·Ð´ÑÑÐ½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ ÑÑÐ°Ð½ÑÐ¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ° (Ð Ð¾ÑÐ°Ð²Ð¸Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸), ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐµ Ð¸ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÐ·Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÑ Ð´Ð»Ñ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð° Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¸ ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ¸Ð¹ÑÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ ÑÑÐ½ÐºÐ¾Ð² Ð°Ð²Ð¸Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ ÑÐ¾Ð¿Ð»Ð¸Ð²Ð°. ÐÑÐ»Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ñ Ð´Ð¸Ð½Ð°Ð¼Ð¸ÐºÐ¸ Ð¾Ð±ÑÐµÐ¼Ð° Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐµÐ±Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð°Ð²Ð¸Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð¿Ð»Ð¸Ð²Ð°, Ð¿Ð°ÑÑÐ°Ð¶Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐ¾ÐºÐ° Ð¸ Ð³ÑÑÐ·Ð¾Ð¾Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ¾ÑÐ°, ÐºÐ¾Ð»ÐµÐ±Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð±Ð¸ÑÐ¶ÐµÐ²ÑÑ Ð¸ ÑÐ¾Ð·Ð½Ð¸ÑÐ½ÑÑ ÑÐµÐ½ Ð½Ð° Ð°Ð²Ð¸Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð¿Ð»Ð¸Ð²Ð¾ Ð¸ Ð½ÐµÑÑÑ. ÐÐ° ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ñ Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð½ÑÑ Ð Ð¾ÑÐ°Ð²Ð¸Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð·Ð° 2007-2020 Ð³Ð³. Ð±ÑÐ»Ð° Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÑÐ¾ÐµÐ½Ð° ÑÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ°Ñ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ, Ð¾ÑÑÐ°Ð¶Ð°ÑÑÐ°Ñ Ð·Ð°Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÑ Ð¾Ð±ÑÐµÐ¼Ð° Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐµÐ±Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð°Ð²Ð¸Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð¿Ð»Ð¸Ð²Ð° Ð¾Ñ Ð¿Ð°ÑÑÐ°Ð¶Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐ¾ÐºÐ°, Ð³ÑÑÐ·Ð¾Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐ¾ÐºÐ°, ÑÐ¾Ð·Ð½Ð¸ÑÐ½ÑÑ ÑÑÐµÐ´Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐµÐ½ Ð½Ð° Ð°Ð²Ð¸Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð¿Ð»Ð¸Ð²Ð¾ Ð² Ð°ÑÑÐ¾Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ°Ñ Ð Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð¸ ÐÐÐ. ÐÐ¾Ð»ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð½Ð°Ñ Ð¼Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ÑÐ°ÐºÑÐ¾ÑÐ½Ð°Ñ ÑÐµÐ³ÑÐµÑÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ Ð±ÑÐ»Ð° Ð¸ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÐ·Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð° Ð´Ð»Ñ ÑÐ°ÑÑÐµÑÐ° Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð½ÑÑ Ð·Ð½Ð°ÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐµÐ±Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð°Ð²Ð¸Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð¿Ð»Ð¸Ð²Ð° Ð½Ð° ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ¸Ð¹ÑÐºÐ¾Ð¼ ÑÑÐ½ÐºÐµ Ð² 2021 Ð¸ 2022 Ð³Ð³. ÐÐ° Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ðµ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð½ÑÑ ÑÐµÐ·ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¾Ð² Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð±ÑÐ»Ð¸ Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ñ Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð½ÑÐµ Ð½Ð°Ð¿ÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ñ Ð°Ð²Ð¸Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð¿Ð»Ð¸Ð²Ð¾Ð¾Ð±ÐµÑÐ¿ÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÐºÐ°Ðº ÑÐ¾ ÑÑÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ð½Ñ Ð°Ð²Ð¸Ð°ÐºÐ¾Ð¼Ð¿Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð¹, ÑÐ°Ðº Ð¸ ÑÐ¾ ÑÑÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ð½Ñ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ°Ð²ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ¾Ð² Ð°Ð²Ð¸Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð¿Ð»Ð¸Ð²Ð°.
description: The given work is devoted to identifying the factors that affect the consumption of aviation fuel in Russia, measures of their impact and making a forecast of the consumption of aviation fuel for 2021 and 2022. The research set the following goals: 1. literature review on the organization of aviation fuel supply and analysis of the aviation fuel market; 2. generalization of the results made by other researchers and identification of dependences in the aviation fuel market; 3. analysis of the global and Russian aviation fuel markets; 4. analysis of the world and Russian air transportation market; 5. construction of a regression model describing the dependence of the volume of aviation fuel consumption on various factors in the software "gretl". The work was carried out on the basis of statistical data from ICAO, IATA and the Federal Air Transport Agency (Rosaviation), which were used to analyze the world and Russian aviation fuel markets. The dynamics of the volume of aviation fuel consumption, passenger traffic and cargo turnover, fluctuations in exchange and retail prices for aviation fuel and oil were analyzed. On the statistical data of the Federal Air Transport Agency for 2007-2020, an econometric model was built that reflects the dependence of the volume of aviation fuel consumption on passenger traffic, cargo traffic, average retail prices for aviation fuel at Russian airports and GDP. The obtained multivariate regression model was used to calculate the forecast values of jet fuel consumption in the Russian market in 2021 and 2022. On the basis of the obtained results of the study, the main directions of the development of aviation fuel supply were determined both from the side of airlines and from the side of aviation fuel suppliers.