title: ÐÐ¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð¾Ð½Ð»Ð°Ð¹Ð½ ÐºÑÑÑÐ¾Ð² Ñ Ð¸ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÐ·Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸ÐµÐ¼ ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð°ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¿Ð¾Ð´Ñ Ð¾Ð´Ð°
title: Ð²ÑÐ¿ÑÑÐºÐ½Ð°Ñ ÐºÐ²Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð¼Ð°Ð³Ð¸ÑÑÑÐ°
titleType: Subtitle
title: Modelling of online courses using a scenario approach
Creators: name: ÐÑÐ¸ÑÐ¾Ð², ÐÐ»ÑÑ
Publisher: name: Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³ÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐ½Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ ÑÐ½Ð¸Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑ ÐÐµÑÑÐ° ÐÐµÐ»Ð¸ÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾
Year: 2020
Subjects: Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¾Ð½Ð»Ð°Ð¹Ð½ ÐºÑÑÑÐ°
Ð¾Ð½Ð»Ð°Ð¹Ð½ ÐºÑÑÑ
ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð°ÑÐ½ÑÐ¹ Ð¿Ð¾Ð´Ñ Ð¾Ð´
ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð¿Ð¾Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÐ·Ð¾Ð²Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÐµÐ¹
online course modelling
online course
scenario approach
studentsâ behavior

description: ÐÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¾ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑÐ¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¾Ð½Ð»Ð°Ð¹Ð½ ÐºÑÑÑÐ¾Ð². ÐÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¾ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð°ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¿Ð¾Ð´ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð° Ð¿ÑÐ¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑÐ¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð¸ Ð¾Ð½Ð»Ð°Ð¹Ð½ ÐºÑÑÑÐ°. ÐÐ° Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð¸ Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð½ÑÑÐ¸ ÑÑÑÑÐºÑÑÑÑ Ð¾Ð½Ð»Ð°Ð¹Ð½ ÐºÑÑÑÐ°, Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÑÐµÑÑ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ð¶Ð´ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑÑÑÐ´ÐµÐ½ÑÐ¾Ð² Ð¿Ð¾ ÐºÑÑÑÑ Ð¸ÐºÐ¾Ð½ÑÐµÐ¿ÑÑÐ°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð°Ñ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð¾Ð½Ð»Ð°Ð¹Ð½ ÐºÑÑÑÐ°.ÐÐ¿ÑÐµÐ´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ñ Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð½ÑÐµ Ð¿Ð°ÑÐ°Ð¼ÐµÑÑÑ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÑÐµÑÑÐ¾Ð² Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ð¶Ð´ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð¾Ð½Ð»Ð°Ð¹Ð½ ÐºÑÑÑÐ°.ÐÐ° Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð¸ ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ñ Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð½ÑÑÑÑÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½ Ð½Ð°Ð±Ð¾Ñ Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð½ÑÑ Ð´Ð»Ñ Ð¾Ð±ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ¹ Ð¼Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¾Ð±ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ. Ð¡Ð¾Ð·Ð´Ð°Ð½Ñ Ð¸ Ð¾Ð±ÑÑÐµÐ½Ñ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ Ð´Ð»Ñ Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´ÑÐºÐ°Ð·Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐµÐ·ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¾Ð² Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ð¶Ð´ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÐºÑÑÑÐ°Ð½Ð° Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð¸ ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ñ Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð½ÑÑ, Ð¾ÑÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÑÐµÐ¼ÑÑ ÑÑÑÐ´ÐµÐ½ÑÐ°Ð¼Ð¸ Ð¿Ð¾ ÑÐ¾Ð´Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ð¶Ð´ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÐºÑÑÑÐ°.Ð ÐµÐ°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð° Ð¸Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð¾Ð½Ð»Ð°Ð¹Ð½ ÐºÑÑÑÐ°. ÐÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½Ð° Ð°Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð±Ð°ÑÐ¸Ñ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ Ð½Ð° Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð¸ Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð½ÑÑ, Ð¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð½ÑÑ Ñ Ð²ÑÐ±ÑÐ°Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ ÐºÑÑÑÐ°. ÐÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½Ð° ÑÐµÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÐºÑÐ¿ÐµÑÐ¸Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÑÐ¾Ð² Ð´Ð»Ñ Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑÑÑÐµÐºÑÐ° Ð¾Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð°ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¿Ð¾Ð´ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð° Ð² Ð²ÑÐ±ÑÐ°Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð¼ Ð¾Ð½Ð»Ð°Ð¹Ð½ ÐºÑÑÑÐµ. ÐÐ° Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ðµ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ñ ÑÐµÐºÐ¾Ð¼ÐµÐ½Ð´Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð¿Ð¾ Ð¸ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÐ·Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð´Ð¾ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐºÐµ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ Ð¸ Ð¸ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÐ·Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð°ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¿Ð¾Ð´ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð° Ð¿ÑÐ¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑÐ¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð¸.
description: The design and conduct of online courses were examined. The "scenarios approach" for designing an online course was analyzed. Course completion process was determined. The conceptual model of the system for conducting the online course based on data and structure was implemented. Main parameters of the processes of passing the course are determined. Data set for machine learning prediction models was generated. Models to predict the results of the course were created and trained. A simulation model of an online course has been implemented. The model was tested on data obtainedfrom the observed online course. A series of experiments was conducted to determine the results of the scenario approach in the course. Recommendations on the use of model and the scenario approach for the design of online courseswere determined.