title: Ð Ð°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐºÐ° Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ð¸ÐºÐ¸ ÑÐ¿ÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑÑÐ¾Ð¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÑÑ ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð° Ð² Ð¸Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð²Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð¼ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑÐµ
title: Ð¼Ð°Ð³Ð¸ÑÑÐµÑÑÐºÐ°Ñ Ð´Ð¸ÑÑÐµÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ñ
titleType: Subtitle
Creators: name: ÐÐ°ÑÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð¸ÐºÐ¾Ð²Ð°, ÐÐ»ÑÐ³Ð°
Publisher: name: Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³ÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐ½Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ ÑÐ½Ð¸Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑ ÐÐµÑÑÐ° ÐÐµÐ»Ð¸ÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾
Year: 2016
Subjects: ÐÑÐ¸Ð½ÑÑÐ¸Ðµ ÑÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¹
Ð¡Ð¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ð½ÑÐ¹ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·
Ð­ÐºÑÐ¿ÐµÑÑÐ½ÑÐµ Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÐºÐ¸
Ð¸Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð²Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½ÑÐµ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑÑ
ÑÑÐ¾Ð¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐ½ÑÐµ Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÐºÐ¸
Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ
ÑÑÐ½ÐºÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾-ÑÑÐ¾Ð¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·
innovative projects
cost estimate
forecasting
value analysis

description: ÐÐ° Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð¸ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð° ÑÐ°Ð·Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ½ÑÑ Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ð¾Ð² Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÐºÐ¸ Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑÑÐ¾Ð¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾Ñ Ð² Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑÐ°Ñ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÑÐ¾ÐµÐ½Ð° Ð¼Ð°ÑÐµÐ¼Ð°ÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ°Ñ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ Ð²ÐµÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ½Ð¾ÑÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð½ÐµÐ¾Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ ÑÑÐ¾Ð¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑÐ° Ñ Ð²Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½Ð¸ÐµÐ¼ Ð² Ð½ÐµÐ³Ð¾ ÑÐ¾Ð»Ð¸ ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°. ÐÐ° Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð¸ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð° ÑÑÑÐµÑÑÐ²ÑÑÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ¸Ð¹ÑÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¸ Ð¼ÐµÐ¶Ð´ÑÐ½Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÑÐµÑÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½ÑÑ ÑÑÐ°Ð½Ð´Ð°ÑÑÐ¾Ð² ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ (Ð±Ð¸Ð·Ð½ÐµÑ) Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ° Ð±ÑÐ»Ð¸ Ð²ÑÐ´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ñ Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð½ÑÐµ Ð·Ð°Ð´Ð°ÑÐ¸ ÑÐ¿ÐµÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÑÐ° Ð½Ð° ÑÑÐ°Ð¿Ð°Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑÐ°. ÐÐ»Ñ Ð²ÑÐ´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð½ÑÑ Ð·Ð°Ð´Ð°Ñ Ð½Ð°Ð·Ð½Ð°ÑÐµÐ½Ñ ÐºÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÐºÐ¸, Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½Ð° Ð¸Ñ ÐºÐ»Ð°ÑÑÐ¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ñ Ð¿Ð¾ ÑÑÐµÐ¿ÐµÐ½Ð¸ Ð²Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð½Ð° Ð²ÐµÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ½Ð¾ÑÑÑ ÑÑÐ¿ÐµÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¹ ÑÐµÐ°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑÐ°. Ð ÑÐµÐ·ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÐµ Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐ°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ°Ð½Ð° Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ð¸ÐºÐ° Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑÑÐ¾Ð¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð° Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð½ÑÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð¾ ÑÐµÐ»ÐµÑÐ¾Ð¾Ð±ÑÐ°Ð·Ð½Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ Ð²ÐºÐ»ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð² Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑ ÑÐ¾Ð»Ð¸ ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°. ÐÐ¾Ð²Ð¸Ð·Ð½Ð° Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð½ÑÑ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¾Ð¶ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¹ Ð´Ð¸ÑÑÐµÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð¿Ð¾Ð´ÑÐ²ÐµÑÐ¶Ð´ÐµÐ½Ð° Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð¾Ð¼ Ð½Ð°ÑÑÐ½Ð¾-Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð¹ Ð»Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐ°ÑÑÑÑ Ð¸ ÑÑÐ°ÑÐµÐ¹. ÐÐ¾ Ð¼Ð°ÑÐµÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»Ð°Ð¼ Ð´Ð¸ÑÑÐµÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð¸Ð¼ÐµÐµÑÑÑ ÑÑÐ°ÑÑÑ Ð² Ð¿ÐµÑÐ°ÑÐ¸. ÐÐ»Ñ ÑÐ°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐºÐ¸ Ð´Ð¸ÑÑÐµÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð¸ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÐ·Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÑ ÑÐ¿ÐµÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð½ÑÐµ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³ÑÐ°Ð¼Ð¼Ð½ÑÐµ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð´ÑÐºÑÑ MS Excel 2010, MathCAD 14.
description: Based on the analysis of various methods of evaluation and forecasting of estimated uncertainty in cost effectiveness, a mathematical model of probable uncertainty in costs of the project with a system analyst is constructed. The main objectives of an expert at the project stages have been allocated based on the analysis of the existing Russian and international professional standards of the system (business) analyst. The evaluation criteria are appointed for the allocated tasks and classification by extent of influence on probability ofsuccessful implementation of the project. As a result of research the technique for forecasting of cost of the system analysis and making decision on expediency of the systems analyst is developed. Novelty of basic provisions of the thesis is confirmed analyses of scientific and methodical literature and articles. There is an article in the press on the material of the thesis. For design of the thesis MS Excel 2010 and MathCAD 14 software products were used.