title: ÐÐµÐ¹ÑÐ¾Ð½Ð½ÑÐµ ÑÐµÑÐ¸ Ð² Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð¸ Ð¸ Ð¾Ð±ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐºÐµ Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð½ÑÑ ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ¾Ð²ÑÑ Ð¾ÑÐ³Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¹
title: Ð²ÑÐ¿ÑÑÐºÐ½Ð°Ñ ÐºÐ²Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð¼Ð°Ð³Ð¸ÑÑÑÐ°
titleType: Subtitle
title: Neural networks in modelling and data processing of digital organisations
Creators: name: Ð Ð¾Ð²Ð±Ð¾, Ð®ÑÐ¸Ð¹
Publisher: name: Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³ÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐ½Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ ÑÐ½Ð¸Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑ ÐÐµÑÑÐ° ÐÐµÐ»Ð¸ÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾
Year: 2024
Subjects: Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ
Ð½ÐµÐ¹ÑÐ¾Ð½Ð½ÑÐµ ÑÐµÑÐ¸
Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ ÑÑÐ¾Ð¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ Ð²Ð°Ð»ÑÑ
forecasting
neural networks
currency value forecasting

description: Ð¦ÐµÐ»ÑÑ Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐ²Ð»ÑÐµÑÑÑ Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ Ð½ÐµÐ¹ÑÐ¾Ð½Ð½ÑÑ ÑÐµÑÐµÐ¹ Ð² ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ¾Ð²ÑÑ Ð¾ÑÐ³Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸ÑÑ Ð½Ð° Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼ÐµÑÐµ Ð·Ð°Ð´Ð°ÑÐ¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑÑÐ¾Ð¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ Ð²Ð°Ð»ÑÑ. ÐÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ Ð²ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»Ð½ÑÐ»Ð¾ÑÑ Ð½Ð° Ð±Ð°Ð·Ðµ Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð½ÑÑ Ð¾ ÑÑÐ¾Ð¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÑÑ Ð²Ð°Ð»ÑÑ Ñ Ð¾ÑÐ¸ÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ ÑÐ°Ð¹ÑÐ° Ð¦Ð Ð Ð¤. ÐÑÐµÐ´Ð¼ÐµÑ ÐÐÐ  â ÑÑÐ¾ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð½ÑÐµ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ Ð½Ð° Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ðµ Ð½ÐµÐ¹ÑÐ¾Ð½Ð½ÑÑ ÑÐµÑÐµÐ¹. ÐÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ñ Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ: Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð½ÑÐµ Ð¾Ð±ÑÐµÐ½Ð°ÑÑÐ½ÑÐµ Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ñ Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ, Ð° ÑÐ°ÐºÐ¶Ðµ ÑÐ¿ÐµÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½ÑÐµ Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ. ÐÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð½ÑÐµ ÑÐµÐ·ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÑ Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ: - Ð¸Ð·ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð° ÑÐ¾Ð»Ñ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð° Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð½ÑÑ Ð´Ð»Ñ ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ¾Ð²ÑÑ Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´Ð¿ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ¸Ð¹; - Ð¸Ð·ÑÑÐµÐ½Ñ Ð¸ Ð¾Ð¿Ð¸ÑÐ°Ð½Ñ ÐºÐ»Ð°ÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ðµ Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ; - Ð¸Ð·ÑÑÐµÐ½Ñ Ð¸ Ð¾Ð¿Ð¸ÑÐ°Ð½Ñ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð½Ð° Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ðµ Ð½ÐµÐ¹ÑÐ¾Ð½Ð½ÑÑ ÑÐµÑÐµÐ¹; - Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÐ´ÑÐ½ ÑÐ±Ð¾Ñ Ð¸ Ð²ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»Ð½ÐµÐ½Ð° Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð±ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐºÐ° Ð¸ÑÑÐ¾Ð´Ð½ÑÑ Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð½ÑÑ, Ð² ÑÐµÐ·ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÐµ ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ð¹ Ð±ÑÐ»Ð¸ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÑÐ¾ÐµÐ½Ñ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑÑÐ¾Ð¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ Ð²Ð°Ð»ÑÑ; - Ð½Ð° Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ðµ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð½ÑÑ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ¹, Ð±ÑÐ»Ð¸ ÑÐ¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ñ Ð¸Ð·Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑÑÐ¾Ð¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ Ð²Ð°Ð»ÑÑ Ð² Ð±ÑÐ´ÑÑÐµÐ¼; - Ð±ÑÐ» Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð· Ð¿Ð¾ÐºÐ°Ð·Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÐµÐ¹ ÑÑÑÐµÐºÑÐ¸Ð²Ð½Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð½ÑÑ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ¹ Ð¸ Ð²ÑÐ±ÑÐ°Ð½Ð° Ð»ÑÑÑÐ°Ñ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ. ÐÐ±Ð»Ð°ÑÑÑ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐµÐ·ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¾Ð² ÐÐÐ : Ð¿Ð»Ð°Ð½Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð½ÑÑÐ¸Ðµ ÑÑÑÐµÐºÑÐ¸Ð²Ð½ÑÑ ÑÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¹ Ð² Ð¾Ð±Ð»Ð°ÑÑÐ¸ ÑÐ¸Ð½Ð°Ð½ÑÐ¾Ð² Ð½Ð° Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ðµ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð½ÑÑ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ¹ Ð¸Ð·Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑÑÐ¾Ð¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐµÐ¹ Ð²Ð°Ð»ÑÑ. ÐÐ°ÑÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð½Ð¾Ð²Ð¸Ð·Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ ÑÐ²Ð»ÑÑÑÑÑ ÑÐ°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ°Ð½Ð½ÑÐµ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ Ð½Ð° Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ðµ Ð½ÐµÐ¹ÑÐ¾Ð½Ð½ÑÑ ÑÐµÑÐµÐ¹ Ð´Ð»Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑÑÐ¾Ð¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐµÐ¹ Ð²Ð°Ð»ÑÑ ÐÑÐ²Ð¾Ð´Ñ. ÐÐ°Ð´Ð°ÑÐ¸ ÐÐÐ  ÑÐµÑÐµÐ½Ñ, ÑÐµÐ»Ñ Ð´Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸Ð³Ð½ÑÑÐ°, Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð° Ð¾Ð±Ð»Ð°ÑÑÑ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐµÐ·ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¾Ð². ÐÐ±Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ñ Ð¿ÐµÑÑÐ¿ÐµÐºÑÐ¸Ð²Ñ Ð¸ Ð½Ð°Ð¿ÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð´Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½ÐµÐ¹ÑÐµÐ³Ð¾ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ñ Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ. ÐÐ¾Ð»ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð½ÑÐµ ÑÐµÐ·ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÑ Ð¾Ð±Ð»Ð°Ð´Ð°ÑÑ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð·Ð½Ð°ÐºÐ°Ð¼Ð¸ Ð½Ð°ÑÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð½Ð¾Ð²Ð¸Ð·Ð½Ñ. â
description: The purpose of the research is to investigate the applicability of neural networks in digital organisations using the currency value prediction task as an example. The research was carried out on the basis of the data on currency values from the official website of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation. The subject of the thesis are predictive models based on neural networks. Research methods: basic general scientific methods of research, as well as special methods of predictive modelling. The main results of the study: - explored the role of data analysis and forecasting for digital enterprises; - classical forecasting methods are studied and described; - neural network-based prediction models were studied and described; - collected and preprocessed raw data, which resulted in the construction of currency value forecasting models; - on the basis of the obtained models, changes in the value of currencies in the future were forecasted; - the efficiency indicators of the obtained models were analysed and the best model was selected. The field of application of results planning and making effective financial decisions based on forecast models of changes in currency values. The scientific novelty is developed models based on neural networks for forecasting currency values Conclusions. The objectives of the research are solved, the goal is achieved, the scope of application of the results is determined. Prospects and directions of further development of the research are substantiated. The obtained results have signs of scientific novelty.