Additional file 1 of Forecasting disability-adjusted life years for chronic diseases: reference and alternative scenarios of salt intake for 2017–2040 in Japan
Creators: name: Nomura, Shuhei
name: Yoneoka, Daisuke
name: Tanaka, Shiori
name: Ishizuka, Aya
name: Ueda, Peter
name: Nakamura, Keiji
name: Uneyama, Hisayuki
name: Hayashi, Naoki
name: Shibuya, Kenji
Publisher: name: figshare
Year: 2020
Subjects: subject: Medicine
subject: Biotechnology
subject: 69999 Biological Sciences not elsewhere classified
subject: FOS: Biological sciences
subject: FOS: Biological sciences
subject: Marine Biology
subject: Science Policy

description: Additional file 1: Supplementary Figure 1. Observed and predicted DALY rate (per 100,000 population) in the 20–49 age group for cardiovascular diseases for reference forecast and three alternative scenarios, 1990–2040: (A) men, (B) women, and (C) both sexes combined. 1: best scenario; 2: moderate scenario; 3: worse scenario. It is important to note that the y-axis scales are different for each panel in order to make the differences between scenarios easier to understand. Supplementary Figure 2. Observed and predicted DALY rate (per 100,000 population) in the 50–69 age group for cardiovascular diseases for reference forecast and three alternative scenarios, 1990–2040: (A) men, (B) women, and (C) both sexes combined. 1: best scenario; 2: moderate scenario; 3: worse scenario. It is important to note that the y-axis scales are different for each panel in order to make the differences between scenarios easier to understand. Supplementary Figure 3. Observed and predicted DALY rate (per 100,000 population) in the ≥70 age group for cardiovascular diseases for reference forecast and three alternative scenarios, 1990–2040: (A) men, (B) women, and (C) both sexes combined. 1: best scenario; 2: moderate scenario; 3: worse scenario. It is important to note that the y-axis scales are different for each panel in order to make the differences between scenarios easier to understand. Supplementary Figure 4. Observed and predicted DALY rate (per 100,000 population) for chronic kidney diseases in the 20–49 age group for reference forecast and three alternative scenarios, 1990–2040: (A) men, (B) women, and (C) both sexes combined. 1: best scenario; 2: moderate scenario; 3: worse scenario. It is important to note that the y-axis scales are different for each panel in order to make the differences between scenarios easier to understand. Supplementary Figure 5. Observed and predicted DALY rate (per 100,000 population) in the 50–69 age group for chronic kidney diseases for reference forecast and three alternative scenarios, 1990–2040: (A) men, (B) women, and (C) both sexes combined. 1: best scenario; 2: moderate scenario; 3: worse scenario. It is important to note that the y-axis scales are different for each panel in order to make the differences between scenarios easier to understand. Supplementary Figure 6. Observed and predicted DALY rate (per 100,000 population) in the ≥70 age group for chronic kidney diseases for reference forecast and three alternative scenarios, 1990–2040: (A) men, (B) women, and (C) both sexes combined. 1: best scenario; 2: moderate scenario; 3: worse scenario. It is important to note that the y-axis scales are different for each panel in order to make the differences between scenarios easier to understand. Supplementary Figure 7. Observed and predicted DALY rate (per 100,000 population) in the 20–49 age group for stomach cancer for reference forecast and three alternative scenarios, 1990–2040: (A) men, (B) women, and (C) both sexes combined. 1: best scenario; 2: moderate scenario; 3: worse scenario. It is important to note that the y-axis scales are different for each panel in order to make the differences between scenarios easier to understand. Supplementary Figure 8. Observed and predicted DALY rate (per 100,000 population) in the 50–69 age group for stomach cancer for reference forecast and three alternative scenarios, 1990–2040: (A) men, (B) women, and (C) both sexes combined. 1: best scenario; 2: moderate scenario; 3: worse scenario. It is important to note that the y-axis scales are different for each panel in order to make the differences between scenarios easier to understand. Supplementary Figure 9. Observed and predicted DALY rate (per 100,000 population) in the ≥70 age group for stomach cancer for reference forecast and three alternative scenarios, 1990–2040: (A) men, (B) women, and (C) both sexes combined. 1: best scenario; 2: moderate scenario; 3: worse scenario. It is important to note that the y-axis scales are different for each panel in order to make the differences between scenarios easier to understand. Supplementary Table 1. Predicted values of average salt intake (grams per day) for reference forecast and three alternative scenarios, by age groups for men (A), women (B), and both sexes combined (C); and for all ages by sex (D), 2017–2040. 1: best scenario; 2: moderate scenario; 3: worse scenario. Supplementary Table 1. Predicted values of covariates by age groups for men (A), women (B), and both sexes combined (C); and for all ages by sex (D), 2017–2040. SDI: socio-demographic index. Supplementary Table 2. Estimated sets of parameters in ARIMA (p, d, q) and Akaike Information Criteria (AIC). Supplementary Table 3. Projected DALY rates for cardiovascular diseases (1), chronic kidney diseases (2), and stomach cancer (3) by age groups for men (A), women (B), and both sexes combined (C); and for all ages by sex (D), 2017–2040. 1: best scenario; 2: moderate scenario; 3: worse scenario. Supplementary Table 4. Predicted DALY rates (95% prediction intervals) for cardiovascular diseases (1), chronic kidney diseases (2), and stomach cancer (3) by age groups for men (A), women (B), and both sexes combined (C); and for all ages by sex (D), 2017–2040.