title: ÐÐ·Ð°Ð¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÐ²ÑÐ·Ñ Ð½Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð¾Ð½Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð¸ ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾-ÑÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÑÑÐ°Ð½ ÐÐ ÐÐÐ¡
title: Ð²ÑÐ¿ÑÑÐºÐ½Ð°Ñ ÐºÐ²Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð±Ð°ÐºÐ°Ð»Ð°Ð²ÑÐ°
titleType: Subtitle
title: The relationship of the population and the socio-economic development of the BRICS countries
Creators: name: Ð¡ÑÑÐµÐºÐ°Ð»Ð¾Ð², ÐÑÑÐµÑÐ»Ð°Ð²
Publisher: name: Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³ÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐ½Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ ÑÐ½Ð¸Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑ ÐÐµÑÑÐ° ÐÐµÐ»Ð¸ÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾
Year: 2019
Subjects: Ð½Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð¾Ð½Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ
ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾-ÑÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ðµ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ðµ
Ð¿ÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ
ÑÑÑÐ°Ð½Ñ ÐÐ ÐÐÐ¡
ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð°ÑÐ½Ð¾ÑÑÑ
Ð²ÑÐµÐ¼ÐµÐ½Ð½ÑÐµ ÑÑÐ´Ñ
ADL-Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ
Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ
population
socio-economic development
overpopulation
BRICS countries
stationary
temporary series
ADL-model
prediction

description: ÐÐ±ÑÐµÐºÑÐ¾Ð¼ Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐ²Ð»ÑÐµÑÑÑ Ð½Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¸ ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾-ÑÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ðµ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ðµ ÑÑÑÐ°Ð½ ÐÐ ÐÐÐ¡.
Ð¦ÐµÐ»Ñ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÑ ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ¾Ð¸Ñ Ð² ÑÐ¾Ð¼, ÑÑÐ¾Ð±Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°ÑÑ Ð²Ð·Ð°Ð¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÐ²ÑÐ·Ñ Ð½Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð¾Ð½Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð¸ ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾-ÑÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÑÑÐ°Ð½ ÐÐ ÐÐÐ¡.
Ð ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐµ Ð±ÑÐ»Ð¸ ÑÐ°ÑÑÐ¼Ð¾ÑÑÐµÐ½Ñ ÑÐµÐ¾ÑÐµÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ðµ Ð°ÑÐ¿ÐµÐºÑÑ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð±Ð»ÐµÐ¼Ñ Ð½Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð¾Ð½Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ, Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð° Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð±Ð»ÐµÐ¼Ð° Ð² ÑÑÑÐ°Ð½Ð°Ñ ÐÐ ÐÐÐ¡. ÐÐ°ÑÐµÐ¼ Ð±ÑÐ»Ð¸ ÑÐ¾Ð±ÑÐ°Ð½Ñ Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð½ÑÐµ Ð·Ð° Ð¿ÐµÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð´ Ñ 1995 Ð¿Ð¾ 2016 Ð³Ð¾Ð´Ñ Ð¿Ð¾ Ð¿Ð¾ÐºÐ°Ð·Ð°ÑÐµÐ»Ñ Ð½Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð¸ Ð¿Ð¾ÐºÐ°Ð·Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÐµÐ¹ ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾-ÑÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÑÑÐ°Ð½ ÐÐ ÐÐÐ¡, Ð° ÑÐ°ÐºÐ¶Ðµ Ð¡Ð¨Ð Ð¸ ÐÐµÑÐ¼Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð¸, ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐµ ÑÐ°ÑÑÐ¼Ð°ÑÑÐ¸Ð²Ð°ÑÑÑÑ Ð´Ð»Ñ ÑÑÐ°Ð²Ð½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ. ÐÑÐµÐ¼ÐµÐ½Ð½ÑÐµ ÑÑÐ´Ñ Ð±ÑÐ»Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½Ñ Ðº ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð°ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¼Ñ Ð²Ð¸Ð´Ñ, Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÑÐµÐ½Ñ Ð½Ð° Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ðµ Ð²ÑÐµÐ¼ÐµÐ½Ð½ÑÑ Ð»Ð°Ð³Ð¾Ð². ÐÑÐ»Ð° ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð° Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ Ð¿Ð°ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¹ ÑÐµÐ³ÑÐµÑÑÐ¸Ð¸, Ð³Ð´Ðµ Ð½Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ Ð²ÑÑÑÑÐ¿Ð°Ð»Ð¾ ÑÐºÐ·Ð¾Ð³ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð¿ÐµÑÐµÐ¼ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾Ð¹. Ð ÑÐµÐ·ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÐµ Ð±ÑÐ»Ð¾ Ð²ÑÑÑÐ½ÐµÐ½Ð¾, ÑÑÐ¾ Ð½Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¾ÐºÐ°Ð·ÑÐ²Ð°ÐµÑ ÑÐ¸Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾Ðµ Ð²Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ½Ð¸Ðµ Ð½Ð° ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾-ÑÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ðµ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ðµ Ð² ÐÐ½Ð´Ð¸Ð¸ Ð¸ ÐÐ¸ÑÐ°Ðµ, Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ¾Ð¼Ñ ADL-Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ Ð±ÑÐ´ÐµÑ ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð° Ð´Ð»Ñ ÑÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÑÑÐ°Ð½.
Ð ÑÐµÐ·ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÐµ Ð±ÑÐ»Ð° ÑÐ¾Ð·Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð° ADL-Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ, Ð¿Ð¾ÐºÐ°Ð·ÑÐ²Ð°ÑÑÐ°Ñ Ð²Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ½Ð¸Ðµ ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð¾ÐºÑÐ¿Ð½Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾-ÑÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ñ ÑÐ°ÐºÑÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ð² Ð½Ð° Ð½Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ.
ÐÐ¾ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ Ð±ÑÐ» Ð²ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»Ð½ÐµÐ½ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð· Ð½Ð° 2017 â 2019 Ð³Ð¾Ð´Ñ.
description: The object of the study is the population and socio-economic development of the BRICS countries.
The purpose of the work is to analyze the relationship between population and the socio-economic development of the BRICS countries.
The paper reviewed the theoretical aspects of the population problem, analyzed this problem in the BRICS countries. Then there were collected data for the period from 1995 to 2016 in terms of population and socio-economic development indicators of the BRICS countries, as well as the USA and Germany, which are considered for comparison. Time series were given to stationary species, checked for the presence of time lags. A paired regression model was compiled, where the population was an exogenous variable. As a result, it was found that the population has a strong influence on the socio-economic development in India and China, so the ADL model will be compiled for these countries.
As a result, an ADL-model was created, showing the impact of a set of socio-economic factors on the population.
According to the model obtained, the forecast for 2017 â 2019 was fulfilled.