AUTHORSHIP AND ORIGINALITY DECLARATION   DOCTORAL THESIS: AGRO-ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY OF THE COFFEE GROWING REGION OF MINAS GERAIS IN THE FACE OF CLIMATE CHANGE
Creators: name: SARA GONÇALVES BARBOSA
name: VAGNER BRAGA NUNES COELHO
Publisher: name: Zenodo
Year: 2025
Subjects: subject: ontology
subject: climate change
subject: coffee cultivation
subject: data modeling
subject: land use and cover modeling
subject: Environmental justice
subject: coffee-growing region
subject: Sustainable Development Goals
subject: Agricultural sustainability
subject: environmental modeling
subject: prospective scenarios
subject: climate vulnerability
subject: agricultural adaptation
subject: MapBiomas
subject: Remote sensing
subject: accuracy
subject: geoprocessing
subject: agroclimatic zoning
subject: agricultural sustainability
subject: agricultural systems modeling

description: This thesis in development, titled AGRO-ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY OF THE COFFEE GROWING REGION OF MINAS GERAIS IN THE FACE OF CLIMATE CHANGE, is the original work of Sara Gonçalves Barbosa, under the supervision of Prof. Dr. Vagner Braga Nunes Coelho and co-supervision of Prof. Dr. Getúlio Fonseca Domingues. No part of this content may be reproduced, adapted, or used without proper citation and reference to the author and supervisors, as stipulated by Brazilian copyright law (Law No. 9.610/98) and the principles of ethical scientific research.  

The research project for this thesis was submitted to Call No. 001/2021, the Selection Process of the Graduate Program in Analysis and Modeling of Environmental Systems, for admission in 2022. The call is available at the following link:  (https://csr.ufmg.br/ppgamsa/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/Edital-AMSA-2022-Versao-Final.pdf). (https://csr.ufmg.br/ppgamsa/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/Edital-AMSA-2022-Versao-Final.pdf).  

The document available at this link is included as supplementary material. The final results of the selection process can be found at: (https://csr.ufmg.br/ppgamsa/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Resultado-final-Doutorado.pdf)  (https://csr.ufmg.br/ppgamsa/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Resultado-final-Doutorado.pdf).  

The file available at this link is included as supplementary material.  

This doctoral research is being conducted at the Institute of Geosciences of the Federal University of Minas Gerais, Brazil.  

The project was submitted for qualification on December 19, 2024. The examination committee consisted of: Prof. Dr. Vagner Braga Nunes Coelho (Federal University of Minas Gerais), Prof. Dr. Úrsula Ruchkys de Azevedo (Federal University of Minas Gerais), Prof. Dr. Elpídio Inacio Fernandes Filho (Federal University of Viçosa), Prof. Dr. Raquel (IME - Military Institute of Engineering), and Prof. Dr. Getúlio Fonseca Domingues (Federal University of Minas Gerais).
description: THESIS ABSTRACT

Agricultural technicians, extension workers, farmers, and researchers are concerned about the impact of climate change on agriculture. Predictions of rising temperatures in certain areas, changes in rainfall patterns, extreme heat and cold waves, as well as frost, contribute to uncertainty regarding coffee productivity in two of the most important mesoregions for Brazilian coffee production. In this context, information on the classes and attributes related to coffee cultivation and climate change can support studies leading to solutions for the production chain at regional and national scales, which have global impacts. This study aims to provide essential information on the classes and attributes related to coffee cultivation and ongoing climate change in the coffee-growing region of Minas Gerais. This research will develop an index to analyze the socio-environmental vulnerability of municipalities within the coffee-growing region of Minas Gerais. For this study, thematic maps provided by the MapBiomas platform will be used. To analyze the impacts of climate change at a regional scale, it is necessary to adopt methods that ensure greater accuracy in the geographic data used as a basis. Given the climate change scenario, the continuity of coffee cultivation, as currently managed in these mesoregions, may become unviable in the next 50 years due to abrupt variations in suitable climatic conditions for cultivation. Finally, this study intends to present land use and cover modeling with scenario projections. This will support strategic planning for entities and families involved in coffee cultivation for the coming decades and ensure the sustainability of coffee production in the main producing regions of Minas Gerais.  

Keywords: ontology; climate change; coffee cultivation; data modeling; land use and cover modeling.