title: Ð¡Ð¾Ð²ÐµÑÑÐµÐ½ÑÑÐ²Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ð¸ÐºÐ¸ Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÐºÐ¸ ÑÑÐ¾Ð¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ ÑÐµÐ°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð¸Ð½Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾-ÑÑÑÐ¾Ð¸ÑÐµÐ»ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑÐ° Ñ ÑÑÐµÑÐ¾Ð¼ Ð´Ð¸Ð½Ð°Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ñ Ð¸Ð·Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¹ Ð¸Ð½ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½ÑÑ Ð¿Ð¾ÐºÐ°Ð·Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÐµÐ¹ Ð½Ð° ÑÐ°Ð·Ð½ÑÑ ÑÑÐ°Ð¿Ð°Ñ Ð¶Ð¸Ð·Ð½ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ»Ð° Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑÐ°
title: Ð²ÑÐ¿ÑÑÐºÐ½Ð°Ñ ÐºÐ²Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð¼Ð°Ð³Ð¸ÑÑÑÐ°
titleType: Subtitle
title: Improvement of the cost estimation methodology considering inflation dynamics at the stages of the project life cycle
Creators: name: ÐÐ°ÑÐµÐµÐ², ÐÐ°ÐºÑÐ¸Ð¼
Publisher: name: Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³ÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐ½Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ ÑÐ½Ð¸Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑ ÐÐµÑÑÐ° ÐÐµÐ»Ð¸ÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾
Year: 2024
Subjects: ÑÑÑÐµÐºÑÐ¸Ð²Ð½Ð¾ÑÑÑ ÑÐ¿ÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ
Ð¸Ð½Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾-ÑÑÑÐ¾Ð¸ÑÐµÐ»ÑÐ½ÑÐ¹ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑ
Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÐºÐ° ÑÑÐ¾Ð¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸
Ð¸Ð½ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ¸Ñ
Ð³Ð¾ÑÑÐ´Ð°ÑÑÑÐ²ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾Ðµ ÑÐµÐ³ÑÐ»Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ
ÑÑÐ¾Ð¸Ð¼Ð¾ÑÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð¸Ð½Ð¶Ð¸Ð½Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ð½Ð³
Ð±ÑÐ´Ð¶ÐµÑ
ÑÐ¼ÐµÑÐ½Ð°Ñ Ð´Ð¾ÐºÑÐ¼ÐµÐ½ÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ñ
Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð½ÑÐµ Ð¿Ð¾ÐºÐ°Ð·Ð°ÑÐµÐ»Ð¸
ÑÐµÐ·ÐµÑÐ²Ð½ÑÐµ ÑÑÐ¼Ð¼Ñ
ÑÐ¸Ð¿Ð¾Ð²ÑÐµ ÑÑÐ»Ð¾Ð²Ð¸Ñ ÐºÐ¾Ð½ÑÑÐ°ÐºÑÐ¾Ð²
Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ
Ð´Ð¸Ð½Ð°Ð¼Ð¸ÐºÐ° ÑÐµÐ½
Ð±ÑÐ´Ð¶ÐµÑÐ¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ
investment and construction project
cost estimation
inflation
government regulation
cost engineering
budget
estimating documentation
forecasting indicators
contingency sums
standard contract terms
forecasting
price dynamics
budgeting

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description: In the context of an unstable economic situation and constant changes in inflation indicators, the cost estimation of investment and construction projects (hereinafter referred to as ICP) becomes one of the key tasks for effective project management within cost engineering. The relevance of the topic is determined by the need to develop methods that take into account inflation dynamics at various stages of the project life cycle, allowing for more accurate cost forecasting and minimizing financial risks. The aim of this work is to improve the cost estimation methodology for ICP considering inflation changes. To achieve this goal, the following tasks were set: Analysis of existing methodologies for project cost estimation. Investigation of the impact of inflation on the cost of resources and expenses at different stages of the project life cycle. Development of an improved cost estimation methodology considering dynamic changes in inflation indicators. Application of the proposed methodology in practice and evaluation of its effectiveness. The work utilized methods of comparative analysis, economic modeling, and statistical data processing. An analysis of forecast indicators of inflation was conducted, and a new approach was formed that allows for forecasting the quantitative likelihood of changes in inflation indicators. The research determined that most traditional cost estimation methodologies do not account for the dynamics of changing forecast indicators of inflation, leading to distortions in the real cost of projects. The study showed that inflation significantly affects the cost of construction materials, labor, and other resources, which must be taken into account when estimating projects. The developed theoretical model includes the probability of changes in inflation indicators at each stage of calculating the maximum cost of project implementation. This allows for more accurate cost forecasting and improves financial planning. The proposed theoretical model was tested on a real ICP, confirming its effectiveness and practical significance. The developed theoretical model allows for more precise consideration of dynamic changes in inflation indicators, contributing to increased accuracy of estimates and reduced financial risks. The results of the research can be useful for both scientific studies and practical applications in project management, including in the public sector during budgeting.