title: Ð£Ð¿ÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ ÑÑÑÐ¾Ð¹ÑÐ¸Ð²ÑÐ¼ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐµÐ¼ Ð¼ÐµÐ³Ð°Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ° Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ð°Ð¼Ð¸ ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð´Ð¸Ð½Ð°Ð¼Ð¸ÐºÐ¸
title: Management of the sustainable development of a megalopolis by methods of system dynamics
Creators: name: ÐÑÑ, Ð¢Ð°ÑÑÑÐ½Ð°
name: Ð¡ÑÑÐ¸Ð½Ð°, ÐÐ»Ð»Ð°
name: "Ð¡Ð¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ð½ÑÐ¹ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð· Ð² Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑÐ¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð¸ Ð¸ ÑÐ¿ÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¸", Ð¼ÐµÐ¶Ð´ÑÐ½Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð½Ð°Ñ Ð½Ð°ÑÑÐ½Ð¾-Ð¿ÑÐ°ÐºÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ°Ñ ÐºÐ¾Ð½ÑÐµÑÐµÐ½ÑÐ¸Ñ (26; 2022; Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³)
Publisher: name: ÐÐÐÐÐ¢ÐÐ¥-ÐÐ ÐÐ¡Ð¡
Year: 2023
Subjects: ÐÐ°ÑÐµÐ¼Ð°ÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ðµ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ
Ð¼ÐµÐ³Ð°Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸Ñ
ÑÑÑÐ¾Ð¹ÑÐ¸Ð²Ð¾Ðµ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ðµ
ÑÐ¿ÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ
ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ð½Ð¾-Ð´Ð¸Ð½Ð°Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ°Ñ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ
megalopolis
sustainable development
management
system dynamic model

description: ÐÐ¾Ð½ÑÐµÐ¿ÑÐ¸Ñ Â«ÑÐ¼Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð³Ð¾ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð°Â» â Ð¾Ð´Ð½Ð° Ð¸Ð· Ð½Ð°Ð¸Ð±Ð¾Ð»ÐµÐµ Ð²Ð¾ÑÑÑÐµÐ±Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð½ÑÑ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ¹ ÑÐ¿ÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐ¾Ð²ÑÐµÐ¼ÐµÐ½Ð½ÑÐ¼ Ð¼ÐµÐ³Ð°Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð¼ ÐºÐ°Ðº ÑÐ»Ð¾Ð¶Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¸Ð¾-ÑÐµÑÐ½Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð¹ ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ð¾Ð¹. ÐÐ´Ð½Ð¸Ð¼ Ð¸Ð· ÐºÐ»ÑÑÐµÐ²ÑÑ ÑÐ»ÐµÐ¼ÐµÐ½ÑÐ¾Ð² Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ ÐºÐ¾Ð½ÑÐµÐ¿ÑÐ¸Ð¸ ÑÐ²Ð»ÑÐµÑÑÑ ÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾Ðµ ÑÐ¿ÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÑÐµÑÑÐ¾Ð¼ Ð¼Ð¸Ð³ÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¸. ÐÑÐµÐ´Ð»Ð¾Ð¶ÐµÐ½ Ð¿Ð¾Ð´ÑÐ¾Ð´ Ðº Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð¸Ð·Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐ¸ÑÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ½ÑÑ Ð³ÑÑÐ¿Ð¿ Ð½Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð¼ÐµÐ³Ð°Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ°, ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐµ Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´ÐµÐ»ÑÑÑÑÑ Ð² ÑÐ¾Ð¾ÑÐ²ÐµÑÑÑÐ²Ð¸Ð¸ Ñ ÑÐ°ÐºÐ¸Ð¼Ð¸ ÐºÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐ¸ÑÐ¼Ð¸ ÐºÐ°Ðº Ð²Ð¾Ð·ÑÐ°ÑÑ, Ð¿Ð¾Ð», Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð½Ð°Ð´Ð»ÐµÐ¶Ð½Ð¾ÑÑÑ Ðº ÑÐ°Ð·Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ½ÑÐ¼ Ð¼Ð¸Ð³ÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½ÑÐ¼ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐ¾ÐºÐ°Ð¼ (Ð°Ð½ÑÑÐ¾Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐ¾ÐºÐ°Ð¼). Ð¡ Ð¿ÑÐ°ÐºÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð¹ ÑÐ¾ÑÐºÐ¸ Ð·ÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð½Ð°Ð¸Ð±Ð¾Ð»ÐµÐµ Ð¿ÐµÑÑÐ¿ÐµÐºÑÐ¸Ð²Ð½ÑÐ¼ ÑÐ²Ð»ÑÐµÑÑÑ Ð¸ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÐ·Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¸Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½ÑÑ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ¹ Ð¼Ð¸Ð³ÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½ÑÑ Ð²Ð¾Ð·Ð´ÐµÐ¹ÑÑÐ²Ð¸Ð¹ Ð½Ð° ÑÑÑÐ¾Ð¹ÑÐ¸Ð²Ð¾Ðµ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ðµ Ð¼ÐµÐ³Ð°Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ°. Ð ÐµÐ°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð° Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ Ð² Ð¿Ð°ÐºÐµÑÐµ Ithink, Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´Ð½Ð°Ð·Ð½Ð°ÑÐµÐ½Ð° Ð´Ð»Ñ Ð¿Ð¾Ð´Ð´ÐµÑÐ¶ÐºÐ¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð½ÑÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¹ Ð¿ÑÐ¸ ÑÐ°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐºÐµ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³ÑÐ°Ð¼Ð¼ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ñ Ð¼ÐµÐ³Ð°Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ°. ÐÐ½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð· ÑÐ°Ð·Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ½ÑÑ ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð°ÑÐ¸ÐµÐ², Ð³ÐµÐ½ÐµÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼ÑÑ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»ÑÑ, Ð¿Ð¾Ð·Ð²Ð¾Ð»ÑÐµÑ Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð²Ð°ÑÑ Ð²Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¸Ð·Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾-ÑÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ñ Ð¿Ð¾ÐºÐ°Ð·Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÐµÐ¹ Ð½Ð° Ð´Ð¸Ð½Ð°Ð¼Ð¸ÐºÑ ÑÐ¸ÑÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ½ÑÑ Ð³ÑÑÐ¿Ð¿ Ð½Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð³Ð¾ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð°, ÑÑÐ¾ Ð¿Ð¾Ð·Ð²Ð¾Ð»Ð¸Ñ Ð¿Ð¾Ð²ÑÑÐ¸ÑÑ Ð´Ð¾ÑÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÑÐ½Ð¾ÑÑÑ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð½ÑÑ Ð¿Ð¾ÐºÐ°Ð·Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÐµÐ¹ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ñ Ð¼ÐµÐ³Ð°Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ°. ÐÐµÑÐ¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ñ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½Ð° Ð½Ð° ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ñ Ð´Ð°Ð½Ð½ÑÑ, ÑÐ°ÑÐ°ÐºÑÐµÑÐ¸Ð·ÑÑÑÐ¸Ñ Ð¼Ð¸Ð³ÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½ÑÐµ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐ¾ÐºÐ¸ Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³Ð°.
description: The concept of a âsmart cityâ is one of the most popular models for managing a modern metropolis as a complex socio-technical system. One of the key elements of this concept is the rational management of the migration process. An approach is proposed for predicting changes in the number of different population groups in a metropolis, which are determined in accordance with such criteria as age, gender, belonging to various migration flows (anthropological flows). From a practical point of view, the most promising is the use of simulation models of migration impacts on the sustainable development of a metropolis. A model has been implemented in the Ithink package, designed to support decision-making in the development of metropolitan development programs. An analysis of various scenarios generated by the model makes it possible to assess the impact of changes in socio-economic indicators on the dynamics of the number of various groups of the city's population, which will increase the reliability of forecast indicators for the development of a metropolis. Verification of the model was carried out on statistical data characterizing the migration flows of St. Petersburg.