title: Ð Ð°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐºÐ° ÑÐµÐºÐ¾Ð¼ÐµÐ½Ð´Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾ ÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÑÑÐµÐ½ÑÑÐ²Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ñ Ð¾ÑÐ³Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ ÑÐ°ÑÐ¿ÑÐµÐ´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð² (Ð½Ð° Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼ÐµÑÐµ Ð¢ÐÐ Â«ÐÐµÐ³Ð° Ð¤Ð»Ð¾ÑÐ°Â»)
title: Ð²ÑÐ¿ÑÑÐºÐ½Ð°Ñ ÐºÐ²Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð±Ð°ÐºÐ°Ð»Ð°Ð²ÑÐ°
titleType: Subtitle
title: Development of recommendations for improving the system of organizing the distribution of goods (using the example of Â«Mega FloraÂ» LLP)
Creators: name: ÐÑÑÐ°Ð½Ð³Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÐµÐ², ÐÑÑÑÑÐ°Ð½
Publisher: name: Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³ÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐ½Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ ÑÐ½Ð¸Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑ ÐÐµÑÑÐ° ÐÐµÐ»Ð¸ÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾
Year: 2022
Subjects: Ð¿Ð»Ð°Ð½Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ°Ð²Ð¾Ðº
Ð¼Ð°ÑÐµÐ¼Ð°ÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ðµ Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ
ABC-Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·
Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ Ð¥Ð¾Ð»ÑÑÐ°-Ð£Ð¸Ð½ÑÐµÑÑÐ°
Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ ARIMA
supply planning
mathematical forecasting methods
ABC analysis
Holt-Winters model
ARIMA model

description: Ð¢ÐµÐ¼Ð° Ð²ÑÐ¿ÑÑÐºÐ½Ð¾Ð¹ ÐºÐ²Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÑ: Â«Ð Ð°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐºÐ° ÑÐµÐºÐ¾Ð¼ÐµÐ½Ð´Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾ ÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÑÑÐµÐ½ÑÑÐ²Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ñ Ð¾ÑÐ³Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ ÑÐ°ÑÐ¿ÑÐµÐ´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð² (Ð½Ð° Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼ÐµÑÐµ Ð¢ÐÐ Â«ÐÐµÐ³Ð° Ð¤Ð»Ð¾ÑÐ°Â»)Â». Ð¦ÐµÐ»ÑÑ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÑ ÑÐ²Ð»ÑÐ»Ð¾ÑÑ Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ ÐºÐ¾Ð¼Ð¿Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð¸ Ð¢ÐÐ Â«ÐÐµÐ³Ð° Ð¤Ð»Ð¾ÑÐ°Â», Ð² ÑÐ°ÑÑÐ½Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ð¾Ð² Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð¸ Ð¿Ð»Ð°Ð½Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ°Ð²Ð¾Ðº Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð°Ð¶ ÑÐ²ÐµÑÐ¾Ð². Ð Ð°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð²ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»Ð½ÐµÐ½Ð° Ð½Ð° Ð¼Ð°ÑÐµÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»Ð°Ñ ÐºÐ¾Ð¼Ð¿Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð¸ Ð¢ÐÐ Â«ÐÐµÐ³Ð° Ð¤Ð»Ð¾ÑÐ°Â». ÐÑÐµÐ´Ð¼ÐµÑ ÐÐÐ  Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð¸ Ð¿Ð»Ð°Ð½Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ°Ð²Ð¾Ðº Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð°Ð¶ ÑÐ²ÐµÑÐ¾Ð². ÐÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ñ: ABC-Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·, Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ Ð¥Ð¾Ð»ÑÑÐ°-Ð£Ð¸Ð½ÑÐµÑÑÐ°, Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ ARIMA. ÐÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð½ÑÐµ ÑÐµÐ·ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÑ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÑ:-Â Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð° Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð±Ð»ÐµÐ¼Ð° Ð¾ÑÐ³Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸;-Â ÑÐ°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ°Ð½Ñ Ð¿ÑÑÐ¸ ÑÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð²ÑÑÐ²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð±Ð»ÐµÐ¼Ñ;-Â Ð²ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»Ð½ÐµÐ½Ñ ÑÐ°ÑÑÐµÑÑ Ð² ÑÐ°Ð¼ÐºÐ°Ñ ÑÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð±Ð»ÐµÐ¼Ñ;-Â Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´Ð»Ð¾Ð¶ÐµÐ½Ñ Ð¼ÐµÑÑ Ð¿Ð¾ Ð²Ð½ÐµÐ´ÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð² ÐºÐ¾Ð¼Ð¿Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð¸Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð²Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½ÑÑ Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ð¾Ð² Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ. ÐÐ±Ð»Ð°ÑÑÑ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐµÐ·ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¾Ð² ÐÐÐ  - Ð¼Ð°Ð»ÑÐ¹, ÑÑÐµÐ´Ð½Ð¸Ð¹ Ð¸ ÐºÑÑÐ¿Ð½ÑÐ¹ Ð±Ð¸Ð·Ð½ÐµÑ, Ð¿ÑÐ¸ ÑÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¸ Ð·Ð°Ð´Ð°Ñ Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ°Ð²Ð¾Ðº, ÑÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¾Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð»Ð¾Ð³Ð¸ÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ñ ÑÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð¸ Ð¿Ð»Ð°Ð½Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ°Ð²Ð¾Ðº Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð°Ð¶ Ð² Ð»ÑÐ±Ð¾Ð¹ ÑÑÐµÑÐµ. ÐÑÐ²Ð¾Ð´Ñ. ÐÑÐ»Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½Ñ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ½ÑÐµ Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ñ Ð¸ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ, Ð²ÑÐ±ÑÐ°Ð½Ñ Ð½Ð°Ð¸Ð±Ð¾Ð»ÐµÐµ Ð¿Ð¾Ð´ÑÐ¾Ð´ÑÑÐ¸Ðµ Ð´Ð»Ñ ÐºÐ¾Ð¼Ð¿Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð¸ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸., Ð½Ð° Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ðµ Ð²ÑÐ±ÑÐ°Ð½Ð½ÑÑ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ¹ Ð±ÑÐ» Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð· Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð°Ð¶, Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÐµÐ½Ñ ÑÐ¾ÑÐ½Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð½Ð¾Ð·Ð° Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ¹. Ð ÑÐ°ÐºÐ¶Ðµ, Ð±ÑÐ» Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð¸Ð·Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½ ÑÐ°ÑÑÐµÑ ÑÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ñ Ð¿Ð¾ÐºÐ°Ð·Ð°ÑÐµÐ»ÐµÐ¹ ÑÑÑÐµÐºÑÐ¸Ð²Ð½Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ Ð²Ð½ÐµÐ´ÑÑÐµÐ¼ÑÑ Ð¼ÐµÑ.
description: The title of the bachelor graduate qualification work: "Development of recommendations for improving the system of organizing the distribution of goods (on the example of Mega Flora LLP)". The aim of the graduate qualification work: the study of Mega Flora LLP, in particular methods of forecasting and planning the supply and sale of flowers. The work has been carried out on the materials of Â«Mega FloraÂ» LLPThe subject of the graduate qualification work methods of forecasting and planning the supply and sale of flowers. Research methods used: ABC analysis, Holt-Winters model, ARIMA model. The main results of the graduate qualification work:-the problem of the organization is posed;-Â ways of solving the identified problem have been developed;- calculations have been performed within the framework of solving the problem;- proposed measures to introduce innovative forecasting methods into the company. The areas of the graduate qualification work results application are small, medium and large businesses, when solving problems of supply optimization, economic justification of logistics solutions for forecasting and planning supplies and sales in any field. Conclusions of the graduate qualification work. Various forecasting methods and models were given, the most suitable models for the company were selected., based on the selected models, a sales forecast was carried out, the accuracy of the forecast models was evaluated. And also, the calculation of economic indicators of the effectiveness of the implemented measures was carried out.