title: Ð¡Ð¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ð½ÑÐ¹ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð· Ð±ÑÐ´ÑÑÐµÐ³Ð¾ ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ¸Ð¹ÑÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð¾ÑÐ°
title: System analysis of the Russian space future
Creators: name: ÐÐ°Ð»Ð¸Ð½ÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹, ÐÐµÐ¾ÑÐ³Ð¸Ð¹
name: Ð¡Ð¼Ð¾Ð»Ð¸Ð½, ÐÐ»Ð°Ð´Ð¸Ð¼Ð¸Ñ
name: "Ð¡Ð¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ð½ÑÐ¹ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð· Ð² Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑÐ¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð¸ Ð¸ ÑÐ¿ÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¸", Ð¼ÐµÐ¶Ð´ÑÐ½Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð½Ð°Ñ Ð½Ð°ÑÑÐ½Ð°Ñ Ð¸ ÑÑÐµÐ±Ð½Ð¾-Ð¿ÑÐ°ÐºÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ°Ñ ÐºÐ¾Ð½ÑÐµÑÐµÐ½ÑÐ¸Ñ (25; 2021; Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³)
Publisher: name: ÐÐÐÐÐ¢ÐÐ¥-ÐÐ ÐÐ¡Ð¡
Year: 2021
Subjects: ÐÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð¾Ð½Ð°Ð²ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°
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ÑÐµÐ¾ÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÐ°Ð¼Ð¾Ð¾ÑÐ³Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸
ÑÐ¿ÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¾ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ»ÑÑ
ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ñ Ð²Ð¾Ð¾ÑÑÐ¶ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¹
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description: Ð¡ 1972 Ð³. Ð¿Ð¾ Ð½Ð°ÑÑÐ¾ÑÑÐµÐµ Ð²ÑÐµÐ¼Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð¾Ð»Ð¶Ð°ÐµÑÑÑ âÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ°Ñ Ð¿Ð°ÑÐ·Ð°â - Ð¿Ð¸Ð»Ð¾ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼ÑÐµ Ð² Ð½ÐµÐ¹ ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ°Ð±Ð»Ð¸ Ð½Ðµ Ð¿Ð¾Ð´Ð½Ð¸Ð¼Ð°ÑÑÑÑ Ð²ÑÑÐµ Ð½Ð¸Ð·ÐºÐ¾Ð¹ Ð¾ÐºÐ¾Ð»Ð¾Ð·ÐµÐ¼Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð¾ÑÐ±Ð¸ÑÑ. ÐÐ¼ÐµÑÑÐµ Ñ ÑÐµÐ¼ ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð¾Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð½ÑÐ¸Ð¿Ð¸Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾ Ð¸Ð·Ð¼ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð» Ð¸Ð½ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ðµ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÑÑÑÐ°Ð½ÑÑÐ²Ð¾ ÑÐµÐ»Ð¾Ð²ÐµÑÐµÑÑÐ²Ð°. ÐÐ°ÑÑÑÐ°Ð±Ð½ÑÐµ Ð¿Ð»Ð°Ð½Ñ Ð¾ÑÐ²Ð¾ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð¾ÑÐ°, Ð²ÑÐ´Ð²Ð¸Ð³Ð°Ð²ÑÐ¸ÐµÑÑ Ñ 1960-Ñ Ð³Ð¾Ð´Ð¾Ð², 42 ÑÐ²ÐµÑÐ½ÑÑÑ. ÐÐ·Ð¼ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð»Ð¾ÑÑ Ð¼ÐµÑÑÐ¾ Ð Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð² ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸ÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð¾Ð¹ ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð¹ Ð¾ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ»Ð¸. Ð¡ÑÑÐ°Ð½Ð°, Ð¾ÑÐºÑÑÐ²ÑÐ°Ñ Ð¼Ð¸ÑÑ Ð´Ð¾ÑÐ¾Ð³Ñ Ð² ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð¾Ñ, ÑÐµÐ¹ÑÐ°Ñ Ð² Ð·Ð½Ð°ÑÐ¸ÑÐµÐ»ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð¼ÐµÑÐµ Ð²ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»Ð½ÑÐµÑ ÑÐ¾Ð»Ñ âÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¸Ð·Ð²Ð¾Ð·ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°â. Ð¦ÐµÐ»Ñ ÑÑÐ°ÑÑÐ¸ â ÑÐ°ÑÐºÑÑÑÑ Ð¿ÑÐ¸ÑÐ¸Ð½Ñ âÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð¹ Ð¿Ð°ÑÐ·Ñâ Ð¸ Ð½Ð°Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¸ÑÑ Ð¿ÑÑÐ¸, Ð´Ð²Ð¸Ð³Ð°ÑÑÑ Ð¿Ð¾ ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ¼ Ð¼Ð¾Ð¶Ð½Ð¾ Ð²ÑÐ²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ Ð¸Ð· ÐºÑÐ¸Ð·Ð¸ÑÐ° ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÑÑ Ð¾ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ»Ñ Ð Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸Ð¸. ÐÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÐ·ÑÐµÐ¼ÑÐµ Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ñ â ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼Ð½ÑÐ¹ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð·, Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ñ ÑÐµÐ¾ÑÐ¸Ð¸ ÑÐ¿ÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ, ÑÐµÐ¾ÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÐ°Ð¼Ð¾Ð¾ÑÐ³Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸, ÑÐµÐ¾ÑÐ¸Ñ Ð¸ÑÐºÑÑÑÑÐ²ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¸Ð½ÑÐµÐ»Ð»ÐµÐºÑÐ°, Ð¼ÐµÐ¶Ð´ÑÐ½Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð½ÑÐµ ÑÑÐ°Ð²Ð½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ, Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ñ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑÐ¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð±ÑÐ´ÑÑÐµÐ³Ð¾. ÐÐ²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ. ÐÐ±Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ñ ÑÐ»ÐµÐ´ÑÑÑÐ¸Ðµ ÑÐµÐ·ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÑ: 1. ÐÐ¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ñ ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ°Ñ Ð¾ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ»Ñ Ð½Ð°ÑÐ¾Ð´Ð¸ÑÑÑ Ð² ÑÐ¾ÑÐºÐµ Ð±Ð¸ÑÑÑÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¸, ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¾ÑÐ°Ñ Ð¼Ð¾Ð¶ÐµÑ Ð±ÑÑÑ Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð¹Ð´ÐµÐ½Ð° Ð¿Ð¾-ÑÐ°Ð·Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ñ â Ð»Ð¸Ð±Ð¾ Ð² Ð½Ð°Ð¿ÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¸ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐºÐ°Ð¿Ð¸ÑÐ°Ð»Ð¸Ð·Ð¼Ð°, ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ðµ Ð²ÑÐ´Ð²Ð¸Ð³Ð°ÑÑ ÑÑÐºÐ¾Ð²Ð¾Ð´Ð¸ÑÐµÐ»Ð¸ ÐÐ°Ð²Ð¾ÑÑÑÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ ÑÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ¼Ð°, Ð»Ð¸Ð±Ð¾ Ð² Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸Ð½Ð´ÑÑÑÑÐ¸Ð°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¼ Ð½Ð°Ð¿ÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¸. 2. ÐÐ¾Ð½ÑÐµÐ¿ÑÑÐ°Ð»ÑÐ½ÑÐµ Ð¸Ð·Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð¹ ÑÑÑÐ°ÑÐµÐ³Ð¸Ð¸ Ð¸ Ð¿ÑÐµÐ²ÑÐ°ÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð² Ð±Ð¾Ð»ÑÑÐ¾Ð¹ Ð¿ÑÐ¾ÐµÐºÑ XXI Ð²ÐµÐºÐ° Ð¼Ð¾Ð³ÑÑ Ð±ÑÑÑ ÑÐ²ÑÐ·Ð°Ð½Ñ Ñ ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð½ÑÐ¼ Ð¸ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÐ·Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸ÐµÐ¼ Ð² ÑÑÐ¾Ð¹ ÑÑÐµÑÐµ ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼ Ð¸ÑÐºÑÑÑÑÐ²ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¸Ð½ÑÐµÐ»Ð»ÐµÐºÑÐ°. 3. ÐÑÐµÐ¾Ð±ÑÐ°Ð·Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð¹ Ð¾ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ»Ð¸ Ð Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð´Ð¾Ð»Ð¶Ð½Ð¾ Ð±ÑÑÑ ÑÐ²ÑÐ·Ð°Ð½Ð¾ Ñ Ð¿ÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¾ÑÐ¾Ð¼ Ð°ÐºÑÐµÐ½ÑÐ° Ñ Ð·Ð°Ð¿ÑÑÐºÐ¾Ð² ÑÑÑÐ¾Ð¸ÑÐµÐ»ÑÑÑÐ²Ð° ÑÐ°ÐºÐµÑ Ð¸ ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð¾Ð´ÑÐ¾Ð¼Ð¾Ð² Ð½Ð° ÑÑÐµÑÑ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð¸ Ð¾Ð±ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐºÐ¸ ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð¹ Ð¸Ð½ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸. 4. Ð Ð²Ð¾ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾Ð¼ Ð¸ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÐ·Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ð¸ ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð¸ÑÑÐ¾Ð´Ð¸Ñ ÑÐµÐ²Ð¾Ð»ÑÑÐ¸Ñ, ÑÐ²ÑÐ·Ð°Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ Ñ Ð·Ð°Ð¿ÑÑÐºÐ¾Ð¼ Ð´ÐµÑÑÑÐºÐ¾Ð² ÑÑÑÑÑ ÑÐ¿ÑÑÐ½Ð¸ÐºÐ¾Ð² Ð½Ð° Ð½Ð¸Ð·ÐºÐ¸Ñ Ð¾ÑÐ±Ð¸ÑÐ°Ñ, Ð¾ÑÐºÑÑÐ²Ð°ÑÑÐ¸Ñ Ð¿ÐµÑÑÐ¿ÐµÐºÑÐ¸Ð²Ñ âÐ±ÐµÐ·Ð»ÑÐ´Ð½ÑÑ Ð²Ð¾Ð¹Ð½â. 5. ÐÐ°Ð¶Ð½ÐµÐ¹ÑÐµÐ¹ Ð½Ð°ÑÑÐ½Ð¾Ð¹ Ð¿ÐµÑÑÐ¿ÐµÐºÑÐ¸Ð²Ð¾Ð¹ ÑÑÐ°Ð½Ð¾Ð²Ð¸ÑÑÑ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÑÐ½Ð¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÑÑÐµÑÑÐ²ÑÑÑÐ¸Ñ ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¼Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ñ ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼ Ð¸ Ð¿ÐµÑÑÐ¿ÐµÐºÑÐ¸Ð²Ð½ÑÑ Ð°Ð¿Ð¿Ð°ÑÐ°ÑÐ¾Ð² Ð´Ð»Ñ Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð¿Ð»Ð°Ð½ÐµÑ Ð¸ Ð¸Ñ ÑÐ¿ÑÑÐ½Ð¸ÐºÐ¾Ð² Ð½Ð° Ð¾ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð²Ðµ ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐµÐ¼ Ð¸ÑÐºÑÑÑÑÐ²ÐµÐ½Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¸Ð½ÑÐµÐ»Ð»ÐµÐºÑÐ°, Ð¸ÑÐ¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÐ·ÑÑÑÐ¸Ñ Ð½ÐµÐ¹ÑÐ¾Ð½Ð½ÑÐµ ÑÐµÑÐ¸ ÑÐ»ÐµÐ´ÑÑÑÐµÐ³Ð¾ Ð¿Ð¾ÐºÐ¾Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ.
description: From 1972 to the present, the "space pause" continues - the piloted ships in it do not rise above the low earth orbit. At the same time, space has fundamentally changed the information space of mankind. Large-scale plans for space exploration put forward since the 1960s have been phased out. The place of Russia in the world space industry development has changed. The country that opened the way to space for the world is now playing a âspace taxiâ role to a large extent. The purpose of the article is to reveal the reasons for the "space pause" and outline the 43 paths along which the space industry in Russia can be brought out of the crisis. The methods used are systems analysis, management theory methods, self-organization theory, theory of artificial intelligence, international comparisons, methods of designing the future. The following results are substantiated: 1. The world space industry is at a bifurcation point, which can be traversed in different ways - either in the post-capitalism direction, which is being put forward by the leaders of the Davos Economic Forum, or in the post-industrial direction. 2. Conceptual changes in space strategy and the space transformation into a large project of the XXI century can be associated with the forced use of artificial intelligence systems in this area. 3. The Russian space industry transformation should be associated with a shift in emphasis from launching the construction of rockets and spaceports to the field of receiving and processing space information. 4. In space military use, a revolution is taking place associated with the tens of thousands of satellites launching in low orbits, opening up the prospects for "deserted wars". 5. The most important scientific perspective is the existing space systems and promising devices modernization based on artificial intelligence systems using nextgeneration neural networks for the planets and their satellites study.