title: ÐÑÐ¸Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ Ð¼ÐµÑÐ¾Ð´Ð° Ð¸Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð´Ð»Ñ ÑÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð·Ð°Ð´Ð°ÑÐ¸ Ð¾ÑÐµÐ½ÐºÐ¸ Ð²ÐµÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ½Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ Ð°Ð²Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¹ Ð½Ð° Ð³Ð°Ð·Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð¾Ð´Ð°Ñ
title: Ð²ÑÐ¿ÑÑÐºÐ½Ð°Ñ ÐºÐ²Ð°Ð»Ð¸ÑÐ¸ÐºÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð¼Ð°Ð³Ð¸ÑÑÑÐ°
titleType: Subtitle
title: The use of simulation method to solve the problem of assessing the probability of accidents on gas pipelines
Creators: name: ÐÐ»Ð¸Ð±ÐµÐºÐ¾Ð², Ð¡Ð°Ð¸Ð´
Publisher: name: Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³ÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐ½Ð¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¸Ð¹ ÑÐ½Ð¸Ð²ÐµÑÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑ ÐÐµÑÑÐ° ÐÐµÐ»Ð¸ÐºÐ¾Ð³Ð¾
Year: 2020
Subjects: ÐÐ°ÑÐµÐ¼Ð°ÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ðµ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ
ÐÐ°Ð·Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð¾Ð´Ñ Ð¼Ð°Ð³Ð¸ÑÑÑÐ°Ð»ÑÐ½ÑÐµ
ÐÐ²Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸
Ð´ÐµÑÐµÐ²Ð¾ ÑÐ¾Ð±ÑÑÐ¸Ð¹
Ð´ÐµÑÐµÐ²Ð¾ Ð¾ÑÐºÐ°Ð·Ð¾Ð²
Ð¸Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð¾Ðµ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ
event tree
failure tree
simulation

description: ÐÐ°Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð¿Ð¾ÑÐ²ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð° Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐ¾Ð±ÑÑÐ¸Ð¹ Ð°Ð²Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¹Ð½ÑÑ ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¹ Ð½Ð° Ð¼Ð°Ð³Ð¸ÑÑÑÐ°Ð»ÑÐ½ÑÑ Ð³Ð°Ð·Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð¾Ð´Ð°Ñ Ð¸ ÑÐ°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐºÐ° ÑÐµÐºÐ¾Ð¼ÐµÐ½Ð´Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾ ÑÐ½Ð¸Ð¶ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑÐ¸ÑÐºÐ° Ð°Ð²Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¹. ÐÐ°Ð´Ð°ÑÐ¸, ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¾ÑÑÐµ ÑÐµÑÐ°Ð»Ð¸ÑÑ Ð² ÑÐ¾Ð´Ðµ Ð¸ÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ: â¢ ÐÑÑÐ»ÐµÐ´Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ Ð´ÐµÑÐµÐºÑÐ¾Ð² ÑÑÑÐ±Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð¾Ð´Ð½ÑÑ ÑÐ¾Ð¾ÑÑÐ¶ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ð¹ Ð¸ Ð°Ð½Ð°Ð»Ð¸Ð· Ð¿ÑÐ¸ÑÐ¸Ð½Ñ Ð¸Ñ Ð²Ð¾Ð·Ð½Ð¸ÐºÐ½Ð¾Ð²ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ. â¢ ÐÐ·ÑÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ ÑÐµÐ¾ÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð¸ Ð¿Ð¾ÑÑÑÐ¾ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÐÐ Ð¸ ÐÐ¡ Ð¼Ð°Ð³Ð¸ÑÑÑÐ°Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð³Ð°Ð·Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð¾Ð´Ð°. â¢ ÐÐ¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ð¸ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ðµ ÐÐ Ð¸ ÐÐ¡ Ð² Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð³ÑÐ°Ð¼Ð¼Ð½Ð¾Ð¼ ÐºÐ¾Ð¼Ð¿Ð»ÐµÐºÑÐµ AnyLogic. â¢ Ð Ð°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐºÐ° ÑÐµÐºÐ¾Ð¼ÐµÐ½Ð´Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¹ Ð¿Ð¾ Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´Ð¾ÑÐ²ÑÐ°ÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð¸ ÑÑÑÑÐ°Ð½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð´ÐµÑÐµÐºÑÐ¾Ð². Ð Ð°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ° Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½Ð° Ð½Ð° Ð¿ÑÐ¸Ð¼ÐµÑÐµ ÐÐÐ Â«ÐÐ°Ð·Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð¼ ÑÑÐ°Ð½ÑÐ³Ð°Ð· Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³Â» Ð´Ð¸Ð½Ð°Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐ½Ð¾ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð²Ð¸Ð²Ð°ÑÑÐµÐ³Ð¾ÑÑ Ð³Ð°Ð·Ð¾ÑÑÐ°Ð½ÑÐ¿Ð¾ÑÑÐ½Ð¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´Ð¿ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ¸Ñ, ÑÑÑÐ°ÑÐµÐ³Ð¸Ñ ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ð³Ð¾ Ð½Ð°Ð¿ÑÐ°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð° Ð½Ð° Ð¾Ð±ÐµÑÐ¿ÐµÑÐµÐ½Ð¸Ðµ ÑÐ½ÐµÑÐ³ÐµÑÐ¸ÑÐµÑÐºÐ¾Ð¹ ÑÑÐ°Ð±Ð¸Ð»ÑÐ½Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸ Ð¡ÐµÐ²ÐµÑÐ¾-ÐÐ°Ð¿Ð°Ð´Ð° Ð Ð¾ÑÑÐ¸Ð¸. Ð ÑÐµÐ·ÑÐ»ÑÑÐ°ÑÐµ Ð±ÑÐ»Ð¸ Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´ÐµÐ»ÐµÐ½Ñ Ð²ÐµÑÐ¾ÑÑÐ½Ð¾ÑÑÐ½ÑÐµ ÑÐ¾Ð±ÑÑÐ¸Ñ Ð°Ð²Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¹Ð½ÑÑ ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¹ Ð½Ð° Ð¼Ð°Ð³Ð¸ÑÑÑÐ°Ð»ÑÐ½ÑÑ Ð³Ð°Ð·Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð¾Ð´Ð°Ñ Ð½Ð° Ð±Ð°Ð·Ðµ Ð¿ÑÐµÐ´Ð¿ÑÐ¸ÑÑÐ¸Ñ ÐÐÐÂ« ÐÐ°Ð·Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð¼ ÑÑÐ°Ð½ÑÐ³Ð°Ð· Ð¡Ð°Ð½ÐºÑ-ÐÐµÑÐµÑÐ±ÑÑÐ³ Â». Ð¢Ð°ÐºÐ¶Ðµ, Ð±ÑÐ»Ð° ÑÐ°Ð·ÑÐ°Ð±Ð¾ÑÐ°Ð½Ð° Ð¸Ð¼Ð¸ÑÐ°ÑÐ¸Ð¾Ð½Ð½Ð°Ñ Ð¼Ð¾Ð´ÐµÐ»Ñ, Ð¿ÑÐ¸ Ð¿Ð¾Ð¼Ð¾ÑÐ¸ ÐºÐ¾ÑÐ¾ÑÐ¾Ð¹ ÑÐ°ÑÑÑÐ¸ÑÐ°Ð½ ÑÐ¸ÑÐº Ð°Ð²Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¹Ð½Ð¾Ð¹ ÑÐ°Ð·Ð³ÐµÑÐ¼ÐµÑÐ¸Ð·Ð°ÑÐ¸Ð¸ Ð³Ð°Ð·Ð¾Ð¿ÑÐ¾Ð²Ð¾Ð´Ð°.
description: This work is devoted to the study of emergency events on main gas pipelines and the development of recommendations for reducing the risk of accidents. The research set the following goals: â¢ Investigation of defects in pipeline structures and analysis of their causes. â¢ Study of the theory and construction of the DO and DS of the main gas pipeline. â¢ Simulation of DO and DS in the AnyLogic software package. â¢ Development of recommendations for the prevention and elimination of defects. This work is based on the example of Gazprom transgaz Saint Petersburg LLC, a dynamically developing gas transportation company whose strategy is aimed at ensuring the energy stability of the North-West of Russia. As a result, probabilistic events of accidents on main gas pipelines were determined on the basis of LLC Gazprom transgaz Saint Petersburg. Also, a simulation model was developed, which is used to calculate the risk of emergency depressurization of the gas pipeline.