Title: Challenges for Europe in the world, 2030 /
Authors: Petit, Pascal,; McKinley, Terry,; Eatwell, John,
Year: 2014
Subjects: World politics Forecasting; Globalization Forecasting.; Europe Foreign relations; Europe Economic conditions; Europe Foreign economic relations; Europe Politics and government; Europe Social conditions; Europe Forecasting.
Abstract: Challenges for Europe in the World, 2030 embodies critical thinking about the long-term implications for Europe of the clear shift of power from the West to the East and the South. Designed as a multi-faceted project, this book presents an integrated assessment covering a wide range of policy areas and alternative assumptions about trends in global and European governance. In order to reach this ambitious objective in a comprehensive and consistent way, several types of quantitative and qualitative approaches have been combined: a model of macro regions of the world economy, an institutional perspective, and lessons from foresight studies.With a strong focus on policy implications, the book is introduced by an executive summary which outlines the project assumptions, especially on the future of Europe in the context of the current economic crisis and of the emergence of a new balance of powers in the global economy. Subsequent chapters cover the regulation of finance, trade and technology developments, environmental sustainability, employment conditions and population wellbeing. The book concludes with an assessment of the extent to which these developments are likely to lead to significant political changes in Europe.In sum this book challenges public policy makers to re-assess their thinking in shaping Europe's future.
Contents: The AUGUR project -- Executive summary : Europe in the world, 2030 -- Global and European governance in a 2030 perspective / Jacques Mazier, Pascal Petit and Dominique Plihon -- Macro-model scenarios and implications for European policy / Francis Cripps -- Financial markets and international regulation / John Eatwell, Jean-Baptiste Gossé and Kern Alexander -- Technology, productivity and trade : Europe in the context of regionalisation and globalization / Michael Landesmann -- Energy, environment and sustainable globalization / Céline Guivarch, Julie Rozenberg, Christophe Cassen and Jean Charles Hourcade -- Development, demography and migrations / Terry McKinley, Giovanni Cozzi and Jo Michell -- Well-being in Europe and in the world / Andrea Naldini and Guglielmo Wolleb -- The political economy of change at a time of structural crisis / Andrew Gamble, William Brett and Jacek Tomkiewicz.