premise: Paul Harris, chairman of the Hong Kong Human Rights Monitor, said he felt "total skepticism."
  "The timing is obviously designed to influence thinking at the human rights commission. I'm extremly doubtful as to whether it will happen," he said. "I think this is just a statement designed to fool a few gullible people."
  Both Kilpatrick and Harris agreed, however, that if Jiang did carry out his promise, it would be good news for Hong Kong.
  It would oblige Beijing to follow the British tradition of reporting to the convention's committee every two years on the situation in the territory, they said.
   What does "happen" refer to?
hypothesis: follow the British tradition of reporting to the convention's committee