bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025_split huggingface dataset:
Monthly North Atlantic Sea Level Pressure Reconstruction Back to 1750 CE Using Artificial Intelligence Optimization
Authors: Jaume-Santero Fernando , Barriopedro David , García-Herrera Ricardo , Luterbacher Jürg 
Published: February 2022

AbstractMain modes of atmospheric variability exert a significant influence on weather and climate at local and regional scales on all time scales. However, their past changes and variability over the instrumental record are not well constrained due to limited availability of observations, particularly over the oceans. Here we couple a reconstruction method with an evolutionary algorithm to yield a new 1° × 1° optimized reconstruction of monthly North Atlantic sea level pressure since 1750 from a network of meteorological land and ocean observations. Our biologically inspired optimization technique finds an optimal set of weights for the observing network that maximizes the reconstruction skill of sea level pressure fields over the North Atlantic Ocean, bringing significant improvements over poorly sampled oceanic regions, as compared to non-optimized reconstructions. It also reproduces realistic variations of regional climate patterns such as the winter North Atlantic Oscillation and the associated variability of the subtropical North Atlantic high and the subpolar low pressure system, including the unprecedented strengthening of the Azores high in the second half of the twentieth century. We find that differences in the winter North Atlantic Oscillation indices are partially explained by disparities in estimates of its Azores high center. Moreover, our reconstruction also shows that displacements of the summer Azores high center toward the northeast coincided with extremely warm events in western Europe including the anomalous summer of 1783. Overall, our results highlight the importance of improving the characterization of the Azores high for understanding the climate of the Euro-Atlantic sector and the added value of artificial intelligence in this avenue.
A New Norm for Seasonal Sea Ice Advance Predictability in the Chukchi Sea: Rising Influence of Ocean Heat Advection
Authors: Nakanowatari Takuya , Inoue Jun , Zhang Jinlun , Watanabe Eiji , Kuroda Hiroshi 
Published: February 2022

AbstractPredictability of seasonal sea ice advance in the Chukchi Sea has been investigated in the context of ocean heat transport from the Bering Strait; however, the underlying physical processes have yet to be fully clarified. Using the Pan-Arctic Ice–Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System (PIOMAS) reanalysis product (1979–2016), we examined seasonal predictability of sea ice advance in early winter (November–December) and its source using canonical correlation analysis. It was found that 2-month leading (September–October) surface heat flux and ocean heat advection is the major predictor for interannual variability of sea ice advance. Surface heat flux is related to the atmospheric cooling process, which has influenced sea ice area in the southeastern Chukchi Sea particularly in the 1980s and 1990s. Anomalous surface heat flux is induced by strong northeasterly winds related to the east Pacific/North Pacific teleconnection pattern. Ocean heat advection, which is related to fluctuation of volume transport in the Bering Strait, leads to decrease in the sea ice area in the northwestern Chukchi Sea. Diagnostic analysis revealed that interannual variability of the Bering Strait volume transport is governed by arrested topographic waves (ATWs) forced by southeasterly wind stress along the shelf of the East Siberian Sea. The contribution of ocean heat flux to sea ice advance has increased since the 2000s; therefore, it is suggested that the major factor influencing interannual variability of sea ice advance in early winter has shifted from atmospheric cooling to ocean heat advection processes.Significance StatementPredictability of sea ice advance in the marginal Arctic seas in early winter is a crucial issue regarding future projections of the midlatitude winter climate and marine ecosystem. This study examined seasonal predictability of sea ice advance in the Chukchi Sea in early winter using a statistical technique and historical model simulation data. We identified that atmospheric cooling and ocean heat transport are the two main predictors of sea ice advance, and that the impact of the latter has become amplified since the 2000s. Our new finding suggests that the precise information on wind-driven ocean currents and temperatures is crucial for the skillful prediction of interannual variability of sea ice advance under present and future climatic regimes.
Reduced Sea Ice Enhances Intensification of Winter Storms over the Arctic Ocean
Authors: Crawford Alex D. , Lukovich Jennifer V. , McCrystall Michelle R. , Stroeve Julienne C. , Barber David G. 
Published: February 2022

AbstractThe ideal environment for extratropical cyclone development includes strong vertical shear of horizontal wind and low static stability in the atmosphere. Arctic sea ice loss enhances the upward flux of energy to the lower atmosphere, reducing static stability. This suggests that Arctic sea ice loss may facilitate more intense storms over the Arctic Ocean. However, prior research into this possibility has yielded mixed results with uncertain cause and effect. This work has been limited either in scope (focusing on a few case studies) or resolution (focusing on seasonal averages). In this study, we extend this body of research by comparing the intensification rate and maximum intensity of individual cyclones to local sea ice anomalies. We find robust evidence that reduced sea ice in winter (December–March) strengthens Arctic cyclones by enhancing the surface turbulent heat fluxes and lessening static stability while also strengthening vertical shear of horizontal wind. We find weaker evidence for this connection in spring (April–June). In both seasons, lower sea ice concentration also enhances cyclone-associated precipitation. Although reduced sea ice also weakens static stability in September/October (when sea ice loss has been especially acute), this does not translate to stronger storms because of coincident weakening of wind shear. Sea ice anomalies also have little or no connection to cyclone-associated precipitation in these months. Therefore, future sea ice reductions (e.g., related to delayed autumn freeze-up) will likely enhance Arctic cyclone intensification in winter and spring, but this relationship is sensitive to simultaneous connections between sea ice and wind shear.Significance StatementSea ice is a barrier between the ocean and atmosphere, limiting the exchange of energy between them. As the amount of sea ice in the Arctic Ocean declines, the ocean can transfer more heat to the atmosphere above in fall and winter. It is theorized that this extra energy may help intensify storms that pass through the Arctic. We examine individual storms over the Arctic Ocean and what sea ice conditions they experience as they develop. We find that storms intensify more when sea ice is lower than normal in the winter season only. This relationship may contribute to stronger Arctic winter storms in the future, including heavier precipitation and stronger winds (which can enhance wave heights and coastal erosion).
How Winds and Ocean Currents Influence the Drift of Floating Objects
Authors: Wagner Till J. W. , Eisenman Ian , Ceroli Amanda M. , Constantinou Navid C. 
Published: February 2022

Abstract
Arctic icebergs, unconstrained sea ice floes, oil slicks, mangrove drifters, lost cargo containers, and other flotsam are known to move at 2%–4% of the prevailing wind velocity relative to the water, despite vast differences in the material properties, shapes, and sizes of objects. Here, we revisit the roles of density, aspect ratio, and skin and form drag in determining how an object is driven by winds and water currents. Idealized theoretical considerations show that although substantial differences exist for end members of the parameter space (either very thin or thick and very light or dense objects), most realistic cases of floating objects drift at approximately 3% of the free-stream wind velocity (measured outside an object’s surface boundary layer) relative to the water. This relationship, known as a long-standing rule of thumb for the drift of various types of floating objects, arises from the square root of the ratio of the density of air to that of water. We support our theoretical findings with flume experiments using floating objects with a range of densities and shapes.
Subsurface Mesoscale Eddies Observed in the Northeastern South China Sea: Dynamic Features and Water Mass Transport
Authors: Sun Zhongbin , Zhang Zhiwei , Qiu Bo , Zhou Chun , Zhao Wei , Tian Jiwei 
Published: February 2022

AbstractA train of subsurface mesoscale eddies (SMEs) consisting of two cyclones and two anticyclones was observed in the northeastern South China Sea (NESCS) in 2015 by a mooring array. In contrast to the widely reported surface-intensified eddies, the SMEs had weak surface signals but showed maximum velocity at ∼370 m with a magnitude of 17.2 cm s−1. The SMEs generally propagated westward with a speed of ∼4.3 cm s−1, which resulted in a distinct ∼120-day-period oscillations in the moored time series. Based on the concurrent velocity, temperature, and salinity from the mooring array, three-dimensional structures of the SMEs were constructed, which were then used to quantify water mass transports induced by them. The results revealed that all these SMEs were vertically tilted with an influence depth exceeding 1000 m. Water mass analysis suggested that the cyclonic and anticyclonic SMEs trapped the northwest Pacific water and the NESCS local water, respectively. The cyclones transported 1.00 ± 0.25 Sv (1 Sv ≡ 106m3s−1) North Pacific Intermediate Water westward into the NESCS during the 2-yr observation period, accounting for 61.7% of the observed volume transport through the Luzon Strait between 25.8 and 27.4σ0. Furthermore, it also showed that both the trapping and stirring effects of the SMEs induced an eastward heat transport across the Luzon Strait, but the role of the former was much more important than the latter. The present results suggested that the SMEs near the Luzon Strait may provide a novel route for the intermediate-layer water exchange between the NESCS and Pacific.
Dynamics of the Baroclinic Rossby Waves Regulating the Abyssal South China Sea
Authors: Xu Qinbo , Zhou Chun , Zhao Wei , Hu Qianwen , Xiao Xin , Zhang Dongqing , Yang Fan , Huang Xiaodong , Tian Jiwei 
Published: February 2022

AbstractIntraseasonal fluctuation with periods of ∼90 days in the South China Sea (SCS) basin is investigated based on an array of seven subsurface moorings. In the deep layer, the 90-day fluctuation is revealed to contribute significantly to the variability in the current, accounting for ∼69% of the subinertial variance. This fluctuation propagates westward along the mooring section with a phase speed of ∼4.6 cm s−1. In the upper layer, the fluctuation also propagates westward with a similar phase speed, but with opposite phase to that of the deep layer. These results suggest that the 90-day fluctuation regulating the abyssal SCS should be the first mode baroclinic Rossby wave. A set of experiments based on a two-layer dynamic model reveal that both the local wind stress curl and the flow originating from the North Pacific through the Luzon Strait contribute to drive the 90-day fluctuation in the deep SCS, while the latter plays the dominant role.
Diagnosis of Second-Order Turbulent Properties of the Surface Layer for Three-Dimensional Flow Based on the Mellor–Yamada Model
Authors: Eghdami Masih , Barros Ana P. , Jiménez Pedro A. , Juliano Timothy W. , Kosovic Branko 
Published: February 2022

Abstract
Accurate representation of heterogeneous surface layer processes is essential for numerical weather prediction (NWP) with sub-kilometer grid spacing. NWP models such as the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model generally use second-moment turbulent models for parameterizing the planetary boundary layer (PBL). The most common parameterizations follow Mellor–Yamada and account for the vertical turbulent mixing only; that is, standard PBL parameterizations are one-dimensional (1DPBL). The horizontal diffusion of momentum is parameterized based on Smagorinsky’s model for numerical stability. Although the combination of 1DPBL and 2D Smagorinsky parameterizations is successful at coarse grid resolutions (e.g., grid-size dx ∼ 12–2 km), it does not represent well the effect of horizontal turbulence as gridcell size decreases (<1 km). To reconcile the representation of vertical and horizontal turbulent mixing, a full three-dimensional PBL scheme (3DPBL) based on the Mellor–Yamada model was implemented in WRF. The 3DPBL uses the horizontal and vertical turbulent fluxes diagnosed from the flow gradients to handle the turbulent mixing. These gradients cannot be directly calculated near the surface. Therefore, the 3DPBL parameterization is coupled herein to a second-order diagnostic model of the three-dimensional turbulent fluxes in the surface layer. Several adjustments to the original Mellor–Yamada model, including a modified length scale, were introduced to capture flow anisotropy and dependence on stability conditions. The results are compared against data from the Wind Forecast Improvement Project 2 (WFIP2) for different weather regimes and using different grid resolutions to examine stability and scale dependency.
Assimilation of AMSU-A in All-Sky Conditions
Authors: Duncan David I. , Bormann Niels , Geer Alan J. , Weston Peter 
Published: February 2022

Abstract
Radiances from microwave temperature sounders have been assimilated operationally at ECMWF for two decades, but observations significantly affected by clouds and precipitation have been screened out. Extending successful assimilation beyond clear-sky scenes is a challenge that has taken several years of development to achieve. In this paper we describe the all-sky treatment of AMSU-A, which enables greater numbers of temperature sounding radiances to be used in meteorologically active parts of the troposphere. Successful all-sky assimilation required combining lessons learned from the clear-sky assimilation of AMSU-A with the approach initially developed for humidity-sensitive microwave radiances. This concerned particularly observation thinning, error modeling, and variational quality control. As a result of the move to all-sky assimilation, the forecast impact of AMSU-A now replicates and exceeds that of the previous clear-sky usage. This is shown via trials in comparison to the current ECMWF assimilation system, judged with respect to forecast scores and background fits to independent observations. Persistently cloudy regions and phenomena such as tropical cyclones are better sampled when assimilating AMSU-A in all-sky conditions, causing an increase of about 13% in used channel-5 radiances globally. These impacts are explored, with an emphasis on tropical cyclones in the 2019 season. Independent observations provide consistent evidence that representation of humidity is improved, for example, while extratropical Z500 forecasts are improved by about 0.5% out to at least day 2. On the strength of these results, assimilation of AMSU-A moved to all-sky conditions with the upgrade to IFS cycle 47R3 in October 2021.
Evaluation of Citation Inaccuracies in Surgical Literature by Journal Type, Study Design, and Level of Evidence: Towards Safeguarding the Peer-Review Process
Authors: Sauder Matthew , Newsome Kevin , Zagales Israel , Autrey Cody , Das Snigdha , Ang Darwin , Elkbuli Adel 
Published: February 2022

BackgroundAccurate citation practices are key to furthering knowledge in an efficient and valid manner. The aim of this study is to investigate the prevalence of citation inaccuracies in original research from the top-ranked surgical journals and to evaluate the impact level of evidence has on citation inaccuracy.MethodsA retrospective study evaluating the citation accuracy of the top 10 ranked surgical journals using the SJCR indicators. For each year between 2015 and 2020, the top 10 cited studies were selected, totaling 60 studies from each journal. From each individual study, 10 citations were randomly selected and evaluated for accuracy. Categories of inaccuracy included fact not found, study not found, contradictory conclusion, citation of a citation, and inaccurate population.ResultsA total of 5973 citations were evaluated for accuracy. Of all the citations analyzed, 15.2% of them had an inaccuracy. There was no statistically significant difference in citations inaccuracy rates among the years studied ( P = .38) or study level of evidence ( P = .21). Annals of Surgery, Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery and Annals of Surgical Oncology had significantly more citation inaccuracies than other journals evaluated ( P < .05). JAMA Surgery, The Journal of Endovascular Therapy and The Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery had significantly fewer citation inaccuracies.ConclusionsAlthough 84.8% of citations from 2015-2020 were determined to be accurate, citation inaccuracies continue to be prevalent throughout highly-ranked surgical literature. There were no significant differences identified in citation inaccuracy rates between the years evaluated or based on study level of evidence.
HeartFull: Feasibility of an Integrated Program of Care for Patients with Advanced Stage of Heart Failure
Authors: Steinberg Leah , Isenberg Sarina R. , Mak Susanna , Meaney Christopher , Lokuge Bhadra , Arvanitis Jennifer , Goldman Russell , Wegier Pete , Husain Amna F. 
Published: February 2022

Introduction: Patients at an advanced stage of heart failure (AHF), specifically chronic severe symptomatic heart failure defined as New York Heart Association III/IV with hospitalization in the year prior, have high mortality, healthcare utilization, and low palliative care involvement. Objectives: The primary objectives were to determine the feasibility of recruiting patients and engaging cardiology and palliative healthcare providers in a program of integrated care for AHF (HeartFull); the proportion of patients who died in non-acute care settings. Secondary objectives were to describe patient-reported outcomes and pre-post comparison of healthcare utilization. Methods: Patients were recruited from an urban academic hospital with expert heart failure care and a 24/7 inpatient and home palliative service. Utilization, disposition, and surveys were collected monthly for up to 20 months. Results: Of 46 patients referred, 30 (65%) agreed to participate, 27 died during the study period, 19 (70%) died in non-acute care settings, while 8 (30%) died in hospital. We found no significant difference in pre- and post-intervention rates of hospitalization (RR .715; CI .360, 1.388; P = .3180), nor emergency visits (RR .678; CI .333, 1.338; P = .2590), but both trended downward. No significant changes were observed in patient-reported outcomes. Conclusion: In an urban academic hospital with palliative care, it was feasible to implement an integrated program for AHF. Patients died at home or in a palliative care unit at rates similar to palliative oncology patients and at higher rates than the general AHF population. HeartFull is now part of clinical practice.
Online survey to determine client perceptions of feline chronic lower airway disease management: response to therapy, side effects and challenges encountered
Authors: Paulin Mathieu V , Caney Sarah MA , Cosford Kevin L 
Published: February 2022

Objectives The first aim of this survey was to report client experiences associated with the administration of common medications, particularly glucocorticoids and bronchodilators, in managing cats with feline lower airway disease (FLAD). The second aim was to ascertain client perception of response to treatment and level of satisfaction. Methods This was a prospective cross-sectional study. An online survey was distributed worldwide to cat owners caring for cats with a chronic cough. Only cats reported to have FLAD were included. Results A total of 153 complete responses describing cats with FLAD were analyzed. Glucocorticoids and bronchodilators were the predominantly prescribed therapeutics for 140/153 (92%) and 80/153 (52%) of FLAD cats, respectively. Oral and inhalant administration routes were reported most commonly: glucocorticoids (64% oral and 75% inhalant) and bronchodilators (21% oral and 88% inhalant). A review of how air quality could be improved was conducted for 54% of cats. Almost half (43%) of owners reported adverse effects secondary to glucocorticoid administration, the most frequent being polyphagia (26%) and polydipsia (21%). Only 10% of owners reported bronchodilator-associated side effects, with restlessness (9%) being the most common. Difficulties giving glucocorticoid or bronchodilator tablets orally were reported for 33% and 71% of owners, respectively. Glucocorticoid or bronchodilator inhalant therapies were difficult to administer for 28% and 31% of owners, respectively. Frequency and severity of coughing were significantly lower after at least 2 months of treatment, with median numerical input on a slider scale (0–100) of 48 and 42 before, and 10 and 7 after treatment, respectively ( P <0.0001). Median numerical input of owner satisfaction was 83%. Conclusions and relevance Despite significant improvements in client-reported responses to treatment, challenges associated with the administration of medications and their adverse effects still exist. Promoting awareness of client experiences can facilitate appropriate follow-up, guidance and empathy to further optimize outcomes.
The health-related quality of life of children with multiple sclerosis is mediated by the health-related quality of life of their parents
Authors: O’Mahony Julia , Banwell Brenda , Laporte Audrey , Brown Adalsteinn , Bolongaita Lady , Bar-Or Amit , Yeh E Ann , Marrie Ruth Ann 
Published: February 2022

Background: We previously found that children with the chronic disease multiple sclerosis (MS) reported lower health-related quality of life (HRQoL) when compared to children who experienced the transient illness termed monophasic acquired demyelinating syndromes (monoADS). Parents of children with MS also reported lower HRQoL. Objectives: We evaluated whether parental HRQoL mediated the relationship between the diagnosis of MS and the HRQoL of affected children. To ascertain the effect of an MS diagnosis, we compared children with MS to those with monoADS. Methods: Children were enrolled in a prospective multi-site Canadian study. Random effects models evaluated whether parental HRQoL mediated the relationship between the diagnosis of MS and the HRQoL of affected children, adjusting for child and family characteristics. Results: 207 parent-child dyads (65 MS; 142 monoADS) completed HRQoL questionnaires. When we modeled the child’s HRQoL adjusting for covariates, but not the parent’s HRQoL, the diagnosis of MS associated with lower HRQoL of the child ( p = 0.004). When we added parental HRQOL to the model, the association between the diagnosis of MS and the child’s HRQoL diminished ( p = 0.13). Conclusions: Parental HRQoL mediated the relationship between the diagnosis of MS and the HRQoL of affected children, emphasizing the importance of family-centered care.