bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025_split huggingface dataset:
Projecting end-of-century climate extremes and their impacts on the hydrology of a representative California watershed
Authors: Maina Fadji Z. , Rhoades Alan , Siirila-Woodburn Erica R. , Dennedy-Frank Peter-James 
Published: July 2022

Abstract. In California, it is essential to understand the evolution of water
resources in response to a changing climate to sustain its economy and
agriculture and to build resilient communities. Although extreme conditions
have characterized the historical hydroclimate of California, climate change will likely intensify hydroclimatic extremes by the end of the century (EoC). However, few studies have investigated the impacts of EoC extremes on watershed hydrology. We use cutting-edge global climate and integrated hydrologic models to simulate EoC extremes and their effects on the water-energy balance. We assess the impacts of projected driest, median, and wettest water years under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 on the hydrodynamics of the Cosumnes River basin. Substantial changes to annual average temperature (>+2.5 ∘C) and precipitation (>+38 %) will characterize the EoC extreme water years compared to their historical counterparts. A shift in the dominant form of precipitation, mostly in the form of rain, is projected to fall earlier. These changes reduce snowpack by more than 90 %, increase peak surface water and groundwater storages up to 75 % and 23 %, respectively, and drive the timing of peak storage to occur earlier in the year. Because EoC temperatures and soil moisture are high, both potential and actual evapotranspiration (ET) increase. The latter, along with the lack of snowmelt in the warm EoC, causes surface water and groundwater storages to significantly decrease in summer, with groundwater showing the highest rates of decrease. These changes result in more ephemeral EoC streams with more focused flow and increased storage in the mainstem of the river network during the summer.
Characterizing natural variability in complex hydrological systems using passive microwave-based climate data records: a case study for the Okavango Delta
Authors: van der Schalie Robin , van der Vliet Mendy , Albergel Clément , Dorigo Wouter , Wolski Piotr , de Jeu Richard 
Published: July 2022

Abstract. The Okavango River system in southern Africa is known for its strong interannual variability of hydrological conditions. Here, we present how this is exposed in surface soil moisture, land surface temperature, and
vegetation optical depth as derived from the Land Parameter Retrieval Model,
using an inter-calibrated, long-term, multi-sensor passive microwave
satellite data record (1998–2020). We also investigate how these interannual variations relate to state-of-the-art climate reanalysis data from ERA5-Land. We analysed both the upstream river catchment and the Okavango delta, supported by independent data records of discharge measurements, precipitation, and vegetation dynamics observed by optical satellites. The seasonal vegetation optical depth anomalies have a strong correspondence with the MODIS leaf area index (correlation catchment: 0.74, delta: 0.88). Land surface temperature anomalies derived from passive microwave observations match best with those of ERA5-Land (catchment: 0.88, delta: 0.81) as compared to MODIS nighttime land surface temperature (LST) (catchment: 0.70, delta: 0.65). Although surface soil moisture anomalies from passive microwave observations and ERA5-Land correlate reasonably well (catchment: 0.72, delta: 0.69), an in-depth evaluation over the delta uncovered situations where passive microwave satellites record strong fluctuations, while ERA5-Land does not. This is further analysed using information on inundated area, river discharge, and precipitation. The passive microwave soil moisture signal demonstrates a response to both the inundated area and precipitation. ERA5-Land however, which, by default, does not account for any lateral influx from rivers, only shows a response to the precipitation information that is used as forcing. This also causes the reanalysis model to miss record low land surface temperature values as it underestimates the latent heat flux in certain years. These findings demonstrate the complexity of this hydrological system and suggest that future land surface model generations should also include lateral land surface exchange. Also, our study highlights the importance of maintaining and improving climate data records of soil moisture, vegetation, and land surface temperature from passive microwave observations and other observation systems.
Perbandingan Model Chen Dan Model Lee Pada Metode Fuzzy Time Series Untuk Prediksi Jumlah Ikan
Authors: Tamrin Hairul , Noh Junaidi 
Published: July 2022

Ikan merupakan salah satu sumber protein hewan yang banyak dikonsumsi masyarakat karena relatif mudah diperoleh dan harganya terjangkau. Jumlah ikan cendrung naik membutuhkan sistem yang dapat membantu untuk mengetahui prediksi jumlah ikan diwaktu yang akan datang. Sistem prediksi menggunakan fuzzy time series berguna untuk menangkap pola data telah lalu kemudian digunakan untuk menghasilkan informasi diwaktu yang akan datang. Dalam fuzzy time series terdapat berbagai model diantaranya model Chen dan Lee, untuk menggetahui model mana yang menghasilkan tingkat keakuratan yang tepat dengan menghitung tingkat error menggunakan AFER dan MSE. Dari hasil pengujian yang dilakukan dengan menggunakan data tahun 2012 dari tanggal 03 Januari-16 Maret 2012, diketahui bahwa prediksi data menggunakan fuzzy time series dengan penetuan interval berbasis rata-rata memiliki errer menggunakan model chen AFER 0,61% dan MSE 226,42 model lee rata-rata AFER 0,61% dan MSE 223,29 dan dapat dibuktikan metode fuzzy time series menggunakan model lee lebih menghasilkan tingkat error lebih rendah dibanding model chen.
PENERAPAN METODE ASSOCIATION RULE UNTUK STRATEGI PENJUALAN MENGGUNAKAN ALGORITMA APRIORI
Authors: Johan Ragil Andika , Himilda Rispani , Auliza Nadya 
Published: July 2022

Abstrak
Persaingan dalam bisnis khususnya dalam bisnis perdagangan semakin banyak. Agar dapat meningkatkan penjualan produk yang dijual, para pelaku harus mempunyai strategi. Salah satu cara yang bisa dilakukan adalah dengan memanfaatkan data transaksi penjualan. Data penjualan tersebut dapat diolah hingga didapatkan informasi yang berguna bagi peningkatan penjualan. Teknologi yang dapat digunakan dalam hal ini adalah data mining. Data mining adalah kegiatan pengolahan data untuk menemukan hubungan dalam suatu data yang berjumlah besar. Suatu metode yang dapat digunakan dalam data mining adalah association rule mining. Association rule mining adalah salah satu metode data mining yang dapat mengidentifikasi hubungan kesamaan antar item. Algoritma yang paling sering dipakai dalam metode ini salah satunya ialah algoritma apriori. Algoritma apriori digunakan untuk mencari kandidat aturan asosiasi. Aturan kombinasi produk berhasil ditemukan dengan penerapan metode assosiation rules menggunakan algoritma apriori dan telah diuji menggunakan tools tanagra. Semua rule yang dihasilkan pada penelitian ini memiliki nilai lift ratio lebih dari 1 sehingga dapat digunakan sebagai acuan dalam membuat strategi penjualan.
Kata Kunci : Penjualan, Data Mining, Association Rule, Algoritma Apriori

Abstract
Competition in business, especially in the trading business more and more. In order to increase sales of the products, businessman must have a strategy. A things we can do is to use sales transaction data. The sales data can be processed so we will get information of increasing sales. The technology that can be used in this case is data mining. Data mining, often also called knowledge discovery in database (KDD), is a data processing activity to find relationships in a large amount of data. A method that can be used in data mining is association rule mining. Association rule mining is one method of data mining that can identify the similarity relationships between items. One of the most frequently used algorithms in this method is the apriori algorithm. Apriori algorithm is used to find candidate association rules. The product combination rules have been found by applying the association rules method using apriori algorithm and have been tested using tanagra tools. All rules produced in this study have a lift ratio value of more than 1 so it can be used as a reference in making sales strategies.
Keywords: Sale, Rule Mining, Association Rule, Apriori Algorithm
Komparasi Metode Queue Burst Dan Token Bucket Untuk Peningkatan Layanan Internet Di Kantor Loka Monitor Spektrum Frekuensi Radio Ternate
Authors: Zulpadli Muhammad , Hamza Sahriar , Mandar Gamaria 
Published: July 2022

Sistem manajemen Bandwidth merupakan proses pengaturan Bandwidth yang tepat untuk masing-masing pengguna pada sistem jaringan internet yang mendukung kebutuhan aplikasi layanan internet. Teknologi informasi yang pesat saat ini sangat berpengaruh dengan kehidupan manusia. Perkembangan tersebut tidak lepas dari adanya ilmu pengetahuan dari manusia itu sendiri yang berkembang seiring berjalan-nya waktu. Teknologi sudah banyak memberikan kemudahan bagi manusia dalam melakukan berbagai macam aktifitas, seperti kegiatan sehari – hari, kegiatan dalam bisnis, berbagai macam yang dilakukan dalam menunjang kegiatan di kantor, kegiatan perkantoran dan masih banyak yang lainnya. Peran teknologi juga sangat berpengaruh pada dunia perkantoran yang mempermudah pekerjaan manusia khususnya untuk menyampaikan informasi Di Kantor Loka Monitor Spektrum Frekuensi Radio Ternate, sistem penyampaian dan penyimpanan database baik itu surat menyurat ataupun database lainnya di ambil melalui internet dan sangat memerlukan akses internet yang cepat dan optimal. Oleh karena itu perlu adanya manajemen penggunaan Bandwidth di Kantor Loka Monitor Spektrum Frekuensi Radio Ternate yang baik untuk mengoptimalkan kinerja pemakaian Bandwidth di tempat tersebut. Solusinya bisa menggunakan router MikroTik yang sudah sangat populer untuk melakukan tugas sebagai pengatur Bandwidth. System ini dibangun menggunakan Komparasi Metode Queue Burst Dan Token Bucket pada router MikroTik untuk kebutuhan pengguna serta emplementasi keseluruhan system.
PERANCANGAN APLIKASI PEMBELAJARAN MENGGUNAKAN TELEGRAM BOT BERBASIS WEBSITE PADA SEKOLAH MADRASAH ALIYAH MUHAMMADIYAH PABOS JAILOLO HALMAHERA BARAT
Authors: Pratama Reski , Hamza Sahriar , Gunawan Erwin 
Published: July 2022

Proses pembelajaran di sekolah masih bersifat manual, dengan kata lain bahwa proses belajar mengajar hanya dapat dilakukan dengan terjadinya pertemuan antara siswa dengan pengajar (guru) didalam kelas. Adapun pengajaran yang sedang trend di masa saat ini ialah aplikasi pembelajaran. Aplikasi pembelajaran dapat memudahkan para guru dalam mendistribusikan segala bahan materi mereka tanpa harus berada di dalam kelas dengan mengakses internet. Hal ini dapat memaksimalkan waktu belajar mengajar dikelas yang terbatas oleh waktu. Dalam perancangan aplikasi pembelajaran ini menggunakan metode UML serta pembuatan menggunakan PHP untuk buat halaman website, MySQL sebagai database serta menggunakan fitur Bot Telegram yang berfungsi sebagai media komunikasi dan layanan informasi. Hasil yang diperoleh aplikasi pembelajaran ini dapat di implementasikan guna membantu para pengajar dan siswa di sekolah MA Muhammadiyah Pabos jailolo Halmahera barat.
Chile's Digital Learning Strategy During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Authors: Quezada-Morales Romina 
Published: July 2022

The change from in-person to in-home schooling and the rapid digitalization of the system impacted the access to education and the quality of the outcomes during the pandemic, but the extent to which digital measures helped school administrators to face that impact is difficult to understand without hearing from them directly. To give those who had to adapt to digital learning some voice, this report discusses the experiences of one national education policy expert, one Learning Resources Coordinator in a public school in Northern Chile, and one Technology Coordinator in an elite private school in Santiago during the process of adapting to digital learning. The goal of these semi-structured interviews was to explore the different digital learning strategies among systems and regions at the school-home level, to then compare them with the national vision and the information that official documents and Aprendo en línea provide. The interviews took place from November, 2020, to February, 2021, right between the end of Chile’s 2020 school year and the beginning of the 2021 one.
The findings of the exploration indicate that school administrations, but also the type and position of schools within the education system, determined which digital strategy schools adopted and how successful it was. They further revealed the social disparities that prevailed by the lack of digital tools, but also new socio-educational challenges. In all, current Chilean officers stood out as the ones accountable for addressing the digital divide, which in this case can be understood as those who learned how to use digital tools (US National Telecommunications and Information Administration (NTIA), 1999), and those who are learning to create them.
Workshop Perkembangan dan Fungsi Otak Anak di Sekolah Dasar Labschool Muhammadiyah Tangerang Selatan
Authors: Nurbaiti Nurbaiti , Irsal Muhammad , Edy H Mahfud , Prananto Legia 
Published: July 2022

Kemampuan belajar anak-anak di sekolah mempengaruhi prestasi belajarnya. Guru berperan penting dalam proses belajar anak-anak. Ketidakmampuan guru memahami peran otak dan bagaimana fungsi bagian-bagian otak secara keseluruhan untuk mendukung proses belajar ini menjadi salah satu hambatan mengembangkan metode belajar yang optimal. Tujuan kegiatan workshop adalah untuk meningkatan pengetahuan dan keterampilan guru tentang perkembangan dan fungsi otak. Para guru mendapatkan materi, diskusi dan simulasi tentang anatomi dan fisiologi otak dalam proses belajar. Evaluasi kegiatan dalam bentuk pre dan post tes dan laporan hasil praktek metode belajar yang sesuai dengan ritme kerja otak anak (brain base learning). Hasil kegiatan ini menguatkan kemampuan guru dalam proses belajar dan mengajar yang memacu perkembangan otak, meningkatkan kemampuan belajar serta mencegah terjadinya perlambatan proses belajar anak di sekolah.
Penerapan Tanaman Ubi Jalar Ungu (Ipomea batatas L.) dalam Konsep sediaan Farmasi, Desa Sopu, Kabupaten Sigi Sulawesi Tengah
Authors: Anggi Viani 
Published: July 2022

Telah dilaksanakan kegiatan pengabdian masyarakat di Desa Sopu Kecamatan Palolo, Kabupaten Sigi Sulawesi Tengah dengan menggunakan objek tanaman ubi jalar ungu yang dalam konsep sediaan farmasi. Pada kegiatan Pengabdian masyarakat yang dilakukan ini bertujuan untuk menerapkan tanaman ubi jalar ungu kepada masyarakat di Desa Sopu tentang manfaat tanaman ubi jalar ungu yang dapat diaplikasi dalam konsep berbagai sediaan farmasi untuk peningkatan penghasilan sumber ekonomi masyarakat yang ada di desa Sopu. Metode yang digunakan pada kegiatan pengabdian ini yaitu metode penyuluhan dan demonstrasi tentang tanaman ubi jalar ungu dalam konsep berbagai sediaan farmasi. Adapun hasil yang diperoleh dari kegiatan pengabdian ini yaitu Masyarakat yang ada di Desa Sopu dapat memahami konsep penerapan tanaman ubi jalar ungu dalam berbagai konsep sediaan farmasi, dapat dilihat dengan evaluasi tingkat persentase pemahaman sebesar 88,88% yang dimana sebelumnya hanya 22,22%, selain itu masyarakat dapat mengaplikasikan tanaman ubi jalar ungu dalam bentuk simplisia seperti seduhan teh yang kaya akan kandungan antioksidan dari ekstrak kering tanaman ubi jalar ungu dan juga biskuit bayi yang dapat digunakan sebagai peningkatan pendapatan dari segi ekonomi masyarakat desa Sopu, Kecamatan Palolo Kabupaten Sigi Sulawesi tengah.
Pengembangan Video Animasi Pembelajaran PAI dalam Meningkatkan Pendidikan Karakter Anak di Sekolah Dasar Melalui Zepenter
Authors: Oktaviani Ana Maria , Mulyaningsih Iis Nuraida , Priatna Yuzzara Zahwa , Aeni Ani Nur 
Published: July 2022

Pendidikan Karakter adalah proses penerapan nilai-nilai moral dan agama kepada peserta didik melalui ilmu pengetahuan dan nilai-nilai tersebut diterapkan pada diri sendiri, keluarga, sahabat, pendidik,dan orang- orang disekitarnya,atau kepada Tuhan. Pertumbuhan sosial anak SD telah dilakukan sejak dini seperti menghormati orang tua dan beribadah. Namun kenyataannya pada hal pendidikan karakter masih banyak siswa sekolah dasar masih kurang menerapkan. Maka dari itu kami melakukan penelitian kepada kelas IV SD dengan mengambil materi Nilai-nilai dalam Pendidikan karakter. Tujuan dari Penelitian ini yaitu untuk mengetahui seberapa banyak anak yang menanamkan nilai karakter pada dirinya dan untuk menguji coba sebuah produk berupa video animasi yang ditunjukan kepada siswa sekolah dasar kelas IV. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah Design and Development. Berdasarkan hasil datanya, menunjukan bahwa dari 29 siswa yang mengisi angket tersebut terdapat 3 orang siswa atau kurang dari 10% tidak paham mengenai arti dari pendidikan nilai karakter, 7 orang siswa atau sekitar 6 % siswa merasa tidak ikhlas saat kehilangan sesuatu, 1 orang siswa atau kurang lebih dari 3 % siswa merasa belum mempunyai rasa tanggung jawab, perkerja keras, dan berkata jujur kepada orang tua. Selebihnya semua siswa mengisi atau menjawab “YA”. Berdasarkan dari data tersebut dapat disimpulkan bahwa rata-rata peserta didik dapat termotivasi dan tertarik dengan hasil produk yang telah dibuat dan semua peserta didik dikelas IV SDN Pakuwon II tersebut paham dan mengerti mengenai Nilai-nilai dalam Pendidikan karakter karena semua peserta didik tersebut telah menunjukan dan melaksakan sikap karakter yang terpuji.
INFRASTRUCTURAL SECURITY AND DEVELOPMENT OF TOURISM IN RURAL AREAS OF KAZAKHSTAN: CHALLENGES AND PROSPECTS
Authors: Tleuberdinova A. T. , Kulik K. V. , Kulik V. B. 
Published: July 2022

Purpose of the research – comparative analysis of the level of infrastructure provision in rural areas of Kazakhstan, which allows to determine the strategic directions of its development.Methodology – a systematic approach to studying the problems of infrastructure security; methods of statistical and economic analysis. The research is based on the fundamental provisions of the concepts and hypotheses presented in classical and modern studies of foreign and domestic scientists, based on the system-functional approach, as well as software developments of the Republic of Kazakhstan in the field of regional development. This study is based on the use of methods of systemic, comparative and cluster analysis, methods of classification and grouping, multivariate statistical analysis, which made it possible to carry out a comparative analysis of the provision of rural areas of Kazakhstan with infrastructure, to group regions, which made it possible to determine the strategic directions for the development of infrastructure in rural areas of the country. To process the initial statistical information, the "Classification Analysis" package of the "IBM SPSS Statistics" application was used.Originality / value of the research – lies in the fact that the comparative analysis of the level of provision of rural areas in the regions of Kazakhstan with basic infrastructure makes it possible to differentiate the regions of the country by the level of infrastructure provision and determine the priority directions of its development, which ultimately will provide them with tourist attractiveness. The findings of the study may be of interest in the development and implementation of programs for the socio-economic development of regions, the development of the tourism industry, as well as for the implementation of scientific research on the integrated development of rural settlements by government bodies.Findings – A comparative analysis of the infrastructural provision of rural areas of Kazakhstan made it possible to identify existing problems in ensuring transport accessibility of destinations, a low level of provision of utilities and social infrastructure, which determines the unattractiveness of rural areas as tourist destinations and low demand from potential tourists.
THE IMPACT OF GLOBAL RESTRICTIONS ON CHANGING TOURISM SPENDING STRUCTURES AND TRAVELER PREFERENCES
Authors: Ryspekov D. A. 
Published: July 2022

The purpose of the research is to study the impact of global restrictions on changes in the structure of tourism spending and travelers' preferences.Methodology. In order to achieve the purpose of the research, methods of statistical and comparative analysis were used. Also, the methodological basis of the research is the study of official information from open sources of government agencies and international organizations in the field of tourism, as well as scientific articles.Research originality / value. The article gives a brief assessment of the current state of domestic tourism in the world and Kazakhstan, as well as its role in the travel industry. In addition, the analysis of structural changes in income in the international and domestic segment as a result of the impact of the coronavirus pandemic, as well as existing restrictions on international travel, was carried out.Findings. The results of the analysis revealed the main reasons for the weak development of domestic tourism in the Republic of Kazakhstan and further trends. New mechanisms for stimulating domestic travel are proposed.
ANALYSIS OF PROGRAMS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SINGLEINDUSTRY TOWNS IN THE REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN
Authors: Assanova G. B. , Nurseitova G. B. 
Published: July 2022

The purpose of the research is the analysis of the results of the implementation of programs aimed at the development of single-industry towns in the Republic of Kazakhstan.Methodology – general scientific methods such as synthesis, analysis, comparison, generalization.Originality / value of the research. The analysis of regional development programs will allow determining the effectiveness of the measures taken for the development of the regions and, during the analysis, comprehensively assess the economic and social potential of the regions, as well as improve the system of upcoming measures.Findings. As a result of the study, the topical issues and target indicators in the development programs of single-industry towns of Tekeli, Shakhtinsk, Zhezkazgan for 2016-2020, the results of their achievement according to the plan were analyzed.
Representações de valoração do bioma Caatinga como processo de formação e indicação para conservação
Authors: Rodrigues Jocinaldo João , Euzebio Umberto , Moreira André Luiz da Costa 
Published: July 2022

O bioma Caatinga é rico em diversidade biológica e de grande importância não só para fauna e flora, como também para a humanidade. Neste trabalho, buscamos informações em revisão bibliográfica de pesquisas desenvolvidas entre 2000 e 2020, que trataram do tema Caatinga no ensino. Teve como objetivo averiguar se os trabalhos avaliados têm abordado categorias que promovam conscientização da população sobre a importância da Caatinga para sociedade. Para a pesquisa foram investigados identificados os veículos de divulgação com verificação quanto aos biológicos, culturais, socioeconômicos e de conservação sendo identificado o campo trabalhado em cada categoria. Como resultado, em cada categoria trabalhada, forma encontrados os tópicos mais abordados possibilitando identificar a importância atribuída pela área cientifica. Foi verificado preocupação com a conscientização discente sobre a magnitude desse ecossistema não apenas para a natureza, mas também para a sociedade.