bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025_split huggingface dataset:
Pseudo-prospective testing of 5-year earthquake forecasts for California using inlabru
Authors: Bayliss Kirsty , Naylor Mark , Kamranzad Farnaz , Main Ian 
Published: October 2022

Abstract. Probabilistic earthquake forecasts estimate the likelihood of future earthquakes within a specified time-space-magnitude window and are important because they inform planning of hazard mitigation activities on different time scales. The spatial component of such forecasts, expressed as seismicity models, generally relies upon some combination of past event locations and underlying factors which might affect spatial intensity, such as strain rate, fault location and slip rate or past seismicity. For the first time, we extend previously reported spatial seismicity models, generated using the open source inlabru package, to time-independent earthquake forecasts using California as a case study. The inlabru approach allows the rapid evaluation of point process models which integrate different spatial datasets. We explore how well various candidate forecasts perform compared to observed activity over three contiguous 5-year time periods using the same training window for the input seismicity data. In each case we compare models constructed from both full and declustered earthquake catalogues. In doing this, we compare the use of synthetic catalogue forecasts to the more widely used grid-based approach of previous forecast testing experiments. The simulated catalogue approach uses the full model posteriors to create Bayesian earthquake forecasts, not just the mean. We show that simulated catalogue based forecasts perform better than the grid-based equivalents due to (a) their ability to capture more uncertainty in the model components and (b) the associated relaxation of the Poisson assumption in testing. We demonstrate that the inlabru models perform well overall over various time periods: The full catalogue models perform favourably in the first testing period (2006–2011) while the declustered catalogue models perform better in the 2011–2016 testing period, with both sets of models performing less well in the most recent (2016–2021) testing period. Together, these findings demonstrate a significant improvement in earthquake forecasting is possible although this has yet to be tested and proven in true prospective mode.
PERTANGGUNGJAWABAN HUKUM INFLUENCER YANG MELANGGAR TATA CARA PERIKLANAN DALAM MELAKUKAN ENDORSEMENT
Authors: Berliantha Berliantha , Shavira Anne , Fasya Ilma Ainun Nabila , Rhakasiwi Ghita 
Published: October 2022

Influencers are well-known individuals who have a large following on social media and are considered a strong influence on their followers. Because they have influence and a large number of followers, many business actors hire influencer endorsement services. This aims to expand market reach so that the products of business actors can be recognized by many people. However, there is no guarantee that the information submitted by Influencers in advertising a product is correct. The reviews given can be misleading, so that in reality consumers are always in a position of ignorance and are always at a loss. This study aims to determine the forms of violations in advertising procedures and legal liability for the behavior of influencers when making endorsements by comparing the laws and regulations related to the problems studied. Researchers want to know which laws and regulations are more relevant in giving the burden of responsibility to these influencers. This research uses normative legal research methods. The approach used in solving the problems in this research is the statutory approach and conceptual approach. The results of this study indicate that there are no special regulations governing influencers who do endorsements on social media. Although there are no specific regulations governing influencers, it is emphasized that influencers can follow the regulations regarding advertising when making endorsements.
Keywords: Influencer, endorsement, accountability
Pneumonia fúngica por Aspergillus spp. em cão - relato de caso
Authors: Junior Jorge Amanda , Campos Portella Isadora , Magri Ferraz Carolina , Salardani Senhorello Igor Luiz , Monteiro de Castro Conti Laura 
Published: October 2022

Pneumonia é uma das afecções de sistema respiratório mais comuns na rotina clínica de Medicina Veterinária, sendo caracterizada pelo processo inflamatório e/ou infeccioso do pulmão, atingindo brônquios, bronquíolos e alvéolos. Essa afecção pode ser causada por diversas etiologias, como bacteriana e fúngica, tendo as infecções fúngicas com menor incidência. O objetivo deste trabalho foi relatar um caso de pneumonia causada por fungo em cão, demonstrando os sinais clínicos, diagnóstico e tratamento do animal. Foi atendido em um Hospital Veterinário no município de Vila Velha, Espírito Santo, um canino, macho, Labrador, de 13 anos apresentando tosse persistente e dispneia expiratória, com histórico de tratamentos anteriores com antibióticos, corticóides e antitussígenos sem evolução positiva. O paciente foi submetido a realização de lavado broncoalveolar e amostras enviadas para análise citológica, cultura fúngica e bacteriana, tendo como diagnóstico a cultura fúngica positiva para Aspergillus. A partir do diagnóstico foi iniciado o tratamento com itraconazol 10mg/kg a cada 24 horas durante 30 dias. Foi realizado acompanhamento clínico e radiográfico no paciente, sendo observada melhora significativa imaginológica e clínica.
What Determines Audit Fees? A Machine Learning Analysis
Authors: Taylor Stephen 
Published: October 2022

We argue that diversity in audit fee models significantly complicates the task of justifying the inclusion of additional specific variables on both theoretical and empirical grounds. The absence of an accepted, robust baseline model also raises concerns about p-hacking. Using machine learning techniques, we narrow the set of fee determinants from a pool of more than 300 possible covariates to 12 variables that possess strong explanatory power for audit fees. Using this baseline model, we show that some prior results identifying “novel” additions to audit fee models are sensitive to the selection of the covariates typically characterized as controls. Our model offers researchers a simple-to-implement and authoritative fee model against which additional hypothesized determinants can be fairly assessed.Paper link [here:](https://web.tresorit.com/l/TU1NA#ukIF_F2GFUwrCLah76Uv4Q)
Strategi Peningkatan Motivasi Belajar di Masa Pandemi Covid-19 berdasarkan Pemetaan menurut Teori Motivasi McClelland pada Siswa Kelas V SD Labschool UNESA 2
Authors: Pratama Kurniawan Wahyu , Roesminingsih Maria Veronika , Suhanadji Suhanadji 
Published: October 2022

Tujuan Penelitian ini Ingin mengetahui pemetaan motivasi belajar siswa kelas V menurut Teori Motivasi McClelland di masa pandemi covid-19 di SD Labschool UNESA 2. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kualitatif dengan menerapkan model studi fenomenologi gagasan Alfred Schutz. Penelitian kualitatif ialah penelitian yang dilakukan berdasarkan paradigma, strategi, dan implementasi model secara kualitatif. Dalam penelitian kualitatif, instrumennya adalah orang (human instrument) yaitu peneliti itu sendiri. Penelitian ini mengambil data di SD Labschool UNESA 2 yang beralamatkan di Lidah Wetan, Kecamatan Lakarsantri, Surabaya. Teknik pengumpulan data menggunakan wawancara, observasi dan dokumentasi sekaligus dipilih peneliti untuk mengumpulkan data pada penelitian ini. Maka didapatkan hasil pemetaan motivasi belajar siswa kelas V berdasarkan Teori Motivasi McClelland, yang paling dominan adalah motivasi belajar berdasarkan kebutuhan akan afiliasi (MBKA) dengan 58% yaitu 19 siswa, kemudian motivasi belajar berdasarkan kebutuhan akan berprestasi (MBKB) dengan 36% yaitu 12 siswa dan yang paling sedikit adalah motivasi belajar berdasarkan kebutuhan akan kekuasan (MBKK) dengan 6% yaitu 2 siswaPemetaan motivasi belajar siswa kelas V berdasarkan Teori Motivasi gagasan David McClelland yang berisi 3 kebutuhan yaitu Need of Achievment, Need of Affiliation dan Need of Power dapat dijadikan bahan rujukan dan indikator untuk penelitian selanjutnya serta jika ada keinginan untuk memetakan motivasi siswa di jenjang kelas dan sekolah yang berbeda.
LALAT SEBAGAI VEKTOR MEKANIK PENYAKIT KECACINGAN NEMATODA USUS
Authors: Ratna Dita Febiola , Dalilah Dalilah , Susilawati Susilawati , Anwar Chairil , Dwi Prasasty Gita 
Published: October 2022

Lalat adalah serangga yang termasuk ke dalam ordo diptera. Lalat hidup di lingkungan sekitar manusia seperti pada area sekitar sampah, rumah potong hewan, pasar makanan, restoran, dan peternakan hewan. Nematoda usus dalam penularannya dapat ditularkan melalui tanah yang dikenal sebagai Soil Transmitted Helminths. Hampir 24% dari populasi dunia terinfeksi cacing ini. Cacing ini banyak ditemukan pada daerah dengan sanitasi yang buruk. Penelitian ini merupakan penelitian deskriptif observasional. Sampel berupa lalat yang ditangkap di Tempat Pengolahan Sampah 3R (Reuse, Reduce, Recycle) Kartini Palembang. Lalat diidentifikasi sesuai kunci taksonomi kemudian setiap sampel lalat dikelompokkan/pool sebanyak 10-12 ekor lalat di setiap poolnya dengan spesies yang sama. Pengolahan sampel dilakukan menggunakan metode sedimentasi dengan NaOH 0,1 N. Endapan sampel diamati secara mikroskopis di Laboratorium Bio Optik Fakultas kedokteran Universitas Sriwijaya Palembang. Pada penelitian ini berhasil diidentifikasi 631 sampel lalat yang berasal dari dua famili yaitu famili Muscidae dan famili Calliphoridae yang di kelompokkan menjadi 30 pool sampel Musca domestica, 20 pool sampel Chrysomya megacephala, dan 11 pool sampel Lucillia sp. Dari 61 sampel, terdapat 23 (37,7%) sampel positif terkontaminasi telur nematoda usus. Diantaranya terdiri dari Musca domestica 6,56% sampel, Chrysomya megacephala 21,31% sampel, dan Lucilia sp. 9,83% sampel. Terdapat total 39 telur ditemukan pada sampel lalat, yang terdiri dari 34 telur Ascaris lumbricoides dan 5 telur Trichuris trichiura. Terdapat kontaminasi telur nematoda usus STH pada lalat. Lalat memiliki peran sebagai pembawa patogen yang dapat menjadi ancaman bagi kesehatan. Diperlukan peningkatan kesadaran masyarakat terhadap sanitasi dan hygiene pada seluruh aspek kehidupan karena didalam agama Islam kebersihan adalah bagian dari keimanan.
HEALTH PROMOTION BASED ON ISLAMIC SPIRITUALITY: Unlocking the Healing Potential of People With Mental Disorders (ODGJ) UPT Liposos Through Community Health Empowerment
Authors: Ririanty Mury , Nafikadini Iken , Asrisyah Ode Taufan , Luthviatin Novia , Effendi Ronni 
Published: October 2022

UPT Liposos Jember menjadi tempat penampungan sementara, pelatihan keterampilan dan pembinaan Penyandang Masalah Kesejahteran Sosial, Potensi Sumber Kesejahteraan Sosial, khususnya PGOT (Pengemis, Gelandangan, dan Orang Terlantar). Selama ini pendekatan pengobatan yang dilakukan terhadap para klien ODGJ masih hanya pendekatan medis belum menyentuh spiritual atau terapi komplementer. Tujuan kegiatan ini adalah agar klien UPT Liposos memiliki peluang sehat secara fisik dan jiwanya secara bertahap. Kegiatan yang dilakukan adalah konseling kesehatan, bekam dan ruqyah, belajar dzikir pagi dan petang untuk menjaga kesehatan jiwa klien, praktik senam sehat, praktik mengasah motorik dengan cara menempel puzle kaligrafi, mengasah kepekaaan kesehatan lingkungan dengan kerja bakti membersihkan musholla, mengasah kepekaan sosial dengan berbagi makanan pada sesama yang dilakukan secara berkala. Hasil positif kegiatan ini beberapa klien mengalami peningkatan kesehatan secara fisik dan jiwanya tampak dari cara berkomunikasi dan produktivitas yang meningkat, selain itu ada penurunan kuantitas konsumsi rokok pada klien yang mengalami ketergantungan terhadap rokok, sebagian klien mulai menjaga kesucian dan beribadah di musholla serta dapat bersosialisasi lebih baik dengan lingkungan sekitarnya. Saran kedepan perlu melakukan lebih giat dalam advokasi hasil kegiatan terhadap pemerintah setempat agar ada penganggaran khusus berkaitan dengan terapi komplementer ini mengingat minimnya SDM serta diperlukannya dana operasional dalam berkegiatan serupa yang selama ini masih sifatnya bergantung pada donatur kegiatan sosial yang diinisiasi oleh EMPIRE dan riset baik secara kualitatif ataupun kuantitatif terhadap kegiatan yang juga telah diinisiasi oleh EMPIRE.
UJI EFEKTIVITAS DAYA TOLAK UAP EKSTRAK KULIT JERUK LEMON (CITRUS LIMON, SWINGLE) TERHADAP NYAMUK AEDES AEGYPTI (DIPTERA : CULICIDAE)
Authors: Nelma Nelma , Wahyuni Sri 
Published: October 2022

Citrus reticulata is a plant that is believed to be used as a repellent against mosquito bites. The plant contains several substances that repel mosquitoes. Although quite effective, this type of mosquito repellent is risky because it is presence of active substances in the form of chemical content. Almost all anti-mosquito lotions circulating in Indonesia contain active ingredient DEET (Diethyl toluamide) which is a toxic synthetic chemical when in a concentration of 10-15%. This research is quasi-experimental which aims to find out the ability of citrus reticulata peel extract vapor to repel Aedes aegypti mosquitoes. The research was conducted in the laboratory of Integrated Poltekkes Kemenkes Medan. Starting from May 2018 to October 2018. Research material in the form of orange peel (simplisia) obtained from the market of Fruit Brastagi Karo Regency. Simplisia soaked in organic solvents (alcohol 76%) for 3-5 days to get maserate, and filtered using a fine gauze sieve to get citrus reticulata filtrate. The application process to find out its repulsion, using Aedes mosquito test material. adult aegypti, which is carried out rearing for 5 weeks. From the results 2 times 100% (55.52%) and 75% (35.83%). Using electric mosquito repellent, a combination of both comparisons 1 and 2 adult mosquito displacement by 62%. That difference between comparison and test difference is quite small, which is 6.48% at concentration of filtrate 100%, while at a concentration of 75% difference is 26.17%. Test results based on percentage displacement can be said that a dilution of 100%, 75%, 50%.
Valor científico y práctico de la plataforma Europea FitBack para las educadoras y educadores deportivos.
Authors: Olvera Rojas Marcos , Gil Cosano Jose Juan , Ruiz Ruiz Jonatan , Morrison Shawnda A. , Kovač Marjeta , Leskošek Bojan , Jurak Gregor , Ortega Porcel Francisco Bartolomé 
Published: October 2022

Resumen
Antecedentes

La evaluación de la condición física en jóvenes es importante desde el punto de vista educativo, deportivo y de salud. El proyecto FitBack, financiado por la Comisión Europea, ha desarrollado una herramienta que permite interpretar los resultados de la evaluación de la condición física en niños/as y adolescentes de forma individualizada.

Objetivos

(1) Presentar la base científica y valores de referencia sobre la que se construye la plataforma FitBack (2) Presentar la utilidad práctica de plataforma a las educadoras y educadores físico deportivos.

Método

Se han recopilado datos de jóvenes europeos de 6 a 19 años para crear valores de referencia de condición física. Se ha utilizado la batería de test ALPHA que ha demostrado previamente ser fiable, válida y relacionada con la salud. Con la batería ALPHA se mide la capacidad cardiorrespiratoria, fuerza muscular y antropometría. Los percentiles se obtuvieron utilizando el método GAMLSS.

Resultados

Se han recopilado en torno a 8.000.000 de datos de 34 países (106 bases de datos) para desarrollar los percentiles específicos para sexo y edad. Se ha generado una plataforma multilingüe e interactiva que permite la creación automática de informes individuales sobre los niveles de condición física y propuestas de mejora.

Conclusión

Este estudio muestra la base científica, valores de referencia y funcionalidad de la plataforma FitBack, que se presenta como una herramienta que ofrece múltiples posibilidades a las educadoras y educadores físico deportivos para valorar los niveles de condición física de la población joven.
Hérnia diafragmática após acidente doméstico: relato de caso
Authors: Rossi Marina Brito Reis , Silva Kimberly Nayane Marques da , Barros Laís Galhardo , Bendo Lays Alves , Sousa Maria Clara Ferreira Fontoura , Brisotti João Luiz 
Published: October 2022

Introdução: As hérnias diafragmáticas afetam aproximadamente 0,05% da população geral, principalmente homens dos 30 aos 45 anos, de apresentação clínica extremamente variada (dispneia, ausculta respiratória reduzida no lado afetado e dor abdominal). Objetivo: Relatar o caso de uma paciente idosa que apresentou hérnia diafragmática após mecanismo de trauma leve, com manifestações atípicas e diagnóstico tardio. Além disso, demonstrar os desafios na confirmação diagnóstica desta patologia e alertar sobre a necessidade de uma investigação rápida e eficiente. Método: As informações foram obtidas através de revisão do prontuário, entrevista com a paciente, registro fotográfico dos exames complementares e revisão de literatura. Considerações finais: O caso relatado traz à luz a discussão de que hérnia diafragmática pós-traumática é uma condição de baixa prevalência, porém passível de complicações importantes, principalmente quando se trata de pacientes idosos. Mesmo frente a mecanismos de trauma pouco intensos e manifestações inespecíficas, deve-se incluir na investigação diagnóstica tal condição, tanto para diagnóstico precoce, quanto para prevenção de complicações e morbimortalidade. Além disso, é de grande valia orientar essa parcela da população acerca de acidentes domésticos e de traumas pouco intensos para a busca de assistência médica o mais precoce possível.
Creep Indentation Test and Lab-Based Simulation on Pierre II Shale
Authors: Xie Xiyang , Edvardsen Laura , Ringstad Cathrine , Cerasi Pierre 
Published: October 2022

ABSTRACT:
Can we find proper lab testing sources rather than coring samples? We rest our hope on drilling cuttings. The cutting sample might be too small to be tested in Laboratory, but the indentation test looks like a promising solution. In this study, the indentation tests are implemented on Pierre II shale and the corresponding numerical simulation is performed. In the indentation test, an alloyed indenter presses on the surface of a shale sample with the loading, holding, and unloading stage. Simulation with FLAC3D is then implemented to fit the lab results well. Then a series of parametric analyses show how the constitutive parameters affect the testing curve. From the simulation results, we have illustrated that an indentation test is an option on cutting samples. This study provides a workflow to analyze the mechanical behavior of small rock samples with the indentation test experimentally and numerically.

1. INTRODUCTION
In petroleum engineering, coring samples, as first-hand sources, are direct sources providing formation mechanical information. On the other hand, the cost and the time consumption restrict coring operation. Can we find other sources instead of coring samples? Drilling cuttings might be the answer. Cuttings are the formation rock as well but in small size. The cutting sample could be too small to be tested, for example, not suitable for the triaxial compressive test. The indentation test draws our attention since it requires a small indenter-rock-contacting surface, which means the testing samples can be small too. In this study, the indentation tests are implemented on Pierre II shale and the corresponding numerical simulation is performed.
In this study, an indenter (sphere-shaped, 1-mm-diameter) presses on the surface of a shale sample with a certain depth of indentation (the loading stage). Two scenarios can be chosen at the maximum depth: i. the indenter is retrieved back immediately (unloading stage), or ii. the indenter is fixed at the position for a duration (holding stage). The curve of force-depth is obtained from the unloading stage, which is used to explain the elastic behavior of the sample. The force-time curve is obtained from the holding stage, which is used to analyze the creep behavior (viscoelasticity) of the sample. The loading stage can be used to analyze the elastoplastic behavior.
A New Model for Risk Assessment of Fault Slip Induced by Hydraulic Fracturing of Shale Gas in the Sichuan Basin
Authors: Hui Zhang , Jun Li , Xiaojun Zhang 
Published: October 2022

ABSTRACT:
The current research generally believes that fault slip in the hydraulic fracturing process is the main cause of casing deformation. Therefore, accurate risk assessment of fault slip is an important way to prevent casing deformation. However, there are few studies on the prediction of fault slip probability caused by hydraulic fracturing. The existing calculation formulas are considered in relatively simply factors. Based on the Mohr-Coulomb criterion, this paper further considered the influence of local in-situ stress changes and seepage pathways, and established a new slip risk assessment model suitable for arbitrarily distributed faults. The model could predict the accurate probability of fault slip through deterministic parameters, and calculate the probability cumulative curve of fault slip through random sampling by the Monte Carlo method. The verification results of an example showed that the model had certain feasibility and accuracy.

1. INTRODUCTION
According to statistics, as of April 2021, there were more than 74 wells in the Weirong block of Sinopec, of which 32.4% had been deformed (24/74). As of December 2018, more than 377 shale gas wells were fractured in national shale gas demonstration bases such as Changning-Weiyuan, Zhaotong, and the casing deformation rate was 35.3% (133/377). We run multi-finger imaging caliper tool and lead mold to observe the casing deformation. The amount of deformation is relatively large, usually 1~3 cm, and the most serious one exceeds 5 cm. The lead impression is worn out on one side, which is in line with the characteristics of casing shear deformation.
At present, it is generally believed that the fault slip during hydraulic fracturing is the main cause of casing deformation, and a large number of studies have been carried out with the faults near the wellbore as the core. Chen et al. (2017) first argued that faults were the internal cause of casing deformation, and hydraulic fracturing was the external cause. To further verify this view, field tests, laboratory tests and finite element simulations have been carried out (Li, 2017; Liu, 2017; Jalali et al., 2016)., and it was confirmed that the shear deformation of casing downhole was closely related to fault slip. Theoretical research on fault slip has been adequate, but how to assess the risk of fault slip and prevent casing deformation in advance is the ultimate goal of all research. Regrettably, there are few studies in this area at present. And the existing software is only suitable for injection wells, which do not meet the calculation conditions of large displacement, high pump pressure and multi-stage fracturing of shale gas horizontal wells (Walsh et al., 2016).