bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025_split huggingface dataset:
Forecasting the Number of Respiratory Patients Hospitalized in ThiQar Hospital Using Grey Model
Authors: H. Al-Sharoot Mohammed , Nadia A. Ayed  
Published: January 2025

The accuracy of forecasting time series is quite a popular subject for researchers in the past and at present. However, the lack of ability of conventional analysis methods to forecast time series leads scientists and researchers to apply various forecasting models that have different mathematical backgrounds such as artificial neural networks, fuzzy predictors, evolutionary and genetic algorithms. In this paper, we will use different versions of Grey models such as GM(1,1), Expanded Grey model, the Modified Grey model using Fourier ,Grey Verhulst model, and the Discrete Grey Model. The monthly numbers of respiratory patients lying in the emergency lobby of Dhi Qar hospital were used to compare the accuracy of the models. We note that the best model among the five Grey models is the Grey model whose errors were corrected by adopting the Fourier series as it achieved the best value for the four comparison criteria.
Forecasting the Volatility of OPEC Oil Prices using Fractionally Integrated GARCH models
Authors: H. Al-Sharoot Mohammed , Hanan A. Hamza  
Published: January 2025

Some time series are characterized by their great volatility over time, especially time series related to the movement of the economy, and those related to the change in stock prices or the movement of financial transactions and stock markets, which are characterized by being non- stationary over time due to the change in the behavior of observations, making them suffer from the problem of Heteroscedasticity . The paper aims the use of predictive models that a time series can adapt to with large fluctuations and with long memory over time, a number of important models used to deal with FIGARCH time series when the error distribution follows the t-distribution were studied and reviewed, which were used For the first time by Researcher Engel in 1982 and developed by other researchers, the characteristics of these models were reviewed and applied for the purpose of forecasting daily oil prices according to the prices approved by OPEC for the period from 2004 to 2022, where the practical analysis of oil price data showed that the best prediction model is the ARMA(2,2)-FIGARCH(1,d,2) model in which the error follows the t-distribution, and the best predictor performance is out of sample .
Lasso Quintile Regression Model to Identify the Variables Influencing the Phenomenon of Divorce in Iraqi Population Commutes
Authors: H. Hadi Fadel , Asaad N. Hussein Mzedawee  , Iqbal A. Mehdy Al-Janaby  
Published: January 2025

Identifying the important variables in building regression models is considered one of the fundamental challenges in constructing a good model. Therefore, selecting potential independent variables that have a direct impact on the dependent variable provides us with accurate explanations of the capabilities of our study model. Additionally, the chosen model should be capable of generalizing the phenomenon under study. And with a high predictive capability. There are classic methods used in selecting optimal variables, but these methods have drawbacks, including the need for a significant amount of time and the lack of accuracy in results due to dealing with a large number of regression models. However, recently, a set of variable selection methods has been proposed that focus on estimating model characteristics and selecting variables simultaneously, within a very short period of time. One of these methods is the Lasso method. To obtain a regression model characterized by a set of features compared to the traditional regression model, ridge regression can be used. To achieve variable selection in the ridge regression model, the Lasso method can be integrated to obtain a Lasso quantile regression model. In estimating and selecting the factors associated with a phenomenon that threatens Iraqi population communities, namely the phenomenon of divorce. The phenomenon of divorce is the process of separation between spouses and the final termination of the legal marriage contract. Divorce is a common social phenomenon in many cultures and societies around the world, posing challenges to individuals, families, and society as a whole.The causes of divorce can be diverse and complex. These reasons may include marital incompatibility, ongoing family conflicts, communication difficulties, marital infidelity, domestic violence, cultural and religious differences, financial problems, lack of social support, and other factors. The phenomenon of divorce affects all parties involved in the marital relationship. It can have psychological and emotional effects on spouses and children, if they have any, including anxiety, depression, sadness, anger, and feelings of disappointment. Children may struggle to adapt to family changes and may experience division and feelings of guilt or rejection. In current paper. We identify the important variables that effecting on phenomenon of divorce by using one of important variable selection approach
Classification of Iraqi Children According to Nutritional Status Using Fuzzy Decision Tree
Authors: A. Hasan Hussein , Mohammad J. Mohammad  
Published: January 2025

The classification is one of the essential tools used in medical statistics to classify the nutritional status of children under five years. A good nutritional status is necessary for children's health and has a sicnificant role in the child's normal development. Likewise, poor nutritional status is considered a serious disease for this age group and needs attention from child health specialists. Doctors face great difficulty in determining the nutritional status due to the state of uncertainty in the incidence of this disease or the ambiguity in the variables and characteristics of that phenomenon. The fuzzy sets theory was applied to classify the nutritional status of children under the age of five years using fuzzy logic, where the fuzzy decision tree method was employed, and a tree was created for each age group (male, female) based on the linguistic variables (weight, height), and body mass index for the classification categories. In this study, the nutritional status of children was classified and the groups were identified more accurately to reduce the chances of misdiagnosis and provide them with more accurate appropriate treatment to improve the health level of children to build a more immune society with a good health level.
The study dealt with a sample of (16487) Iraqi children under 5 years of age, the number of males (8427) and the number of females (8060), divided according to age into 12 categories or groups. The results showed the age groups She was of normal weight in varying proportions.
Various Control Charts to Monitor the Quality of Resistant Cement Production in the Kabaisa Cement Factory for the Year 2023
Authors: M. Ali Hameed Lamyaa , Ethar H. Jawad  
Published: January 2025

Control charts are an effective tool for statistical control of production quality processes by drawing samples from the production randomly and at specific time periods. In this research, different control charts were used for the purpose of monitoring the quality of resistant cement production in the Kubaisa Cement Factory, which is located in Al - Anbar Governorate. The weights of bags of cement (resistant cement) (which are measured in kilograms) were monitored using a new packing device, and after monitoring production for a period of (50) days in the months of November and December for a sample size of (5) units per day. The data was recorded on a regular and continuous period, , and the quality of production was examined by applying deferent statistical control charts . these charts are the arithmetic mean chart, the range chart, the standard deviation chart, the moving average chart, the Geometric Moving Average(GMA) chart . and Individual-Moving Range chart .The charts were applied using the statistical program (Minitab), and the results showed that the most of the charts were in control, with some notes.
Utilizing the Error Correction Model to Investigate the Impact of Fluctuations in Bank Deposits on the Money Supply
Authors: A. Hussein Mayson , Munaf Y. Hmood  
Published: January 2025

This paper assesses the impact of changes and fluctuations in
bank deposits on the money supply in Iraq. Employing the research constructs an Error Correction Model (ECM) using monthly time series data from 2010 to 2015. The analysis begins with the Phillips-Perron unit root test to ascertain the stationarity of the time series and the Engle and Granger cointegration test to examine the existence of a long-term relationship. Nonparametric regression functions are estimated using two methods: Smoothing Spline and M-smoothing. The results indicate that the M-smoothing approach is the most effective, achieving the shortest adjustment period and the highest adjustment ratio for short-term disturbances, thereby facilitating a return to the long-term equilibrium.
Presidente do partido político e fraude às cotas de gênero: legitimidade e litisconsórcio eleitorais
Authors: Duarte Michelle Pimentel 
Published: January 2025

Partindo de um julgado específico do Tribunal Regional Eleitoral do Maranhão (TRE-MA), este artigo pretende analisar o papel do presidente ou da presidente de partido político como eventual parte nas ações por fraude à cota de gênero. O estudo apoia-se na crítica da evolução jurisprudencial do tratamento do litisconsórcio e ainda em breve revisão doutrinária correlata. Tanto a causa de pedir (o fenômeno das candidaturas fictícias) quanto o litisconsórcio não têm sido tratados com técnica adequada pelos tribunais brasileiros. Assim, a facultatividade do litisconsórcio em ações por fraude à cota de gênero, sem que mesmo se defina o que seria a fraude, qual o abuso e quem seria o abusador, deixa à margem do escrutínio as figuras centrais de gestão dos partidos políticos.
Profesionalisme Auditor Internal dalam Konflik Peran : Studi Kasus pada Satuan Pengawas Internal di Rumah Sakit Pemerintah
Authors: Wulandhani Nurul , Kurniasih Denok , Tobirin Tobirin 
Published: January 2025

Badan Layanan Umum Daerah mensyaratkan adanya pengawasan dengan Satuan Pengawas Internal. Adanya pengaruh konflik peran terhadap ketidakjelasan peran auditor internal di Rumah Sakit karena auditor internal sebagai fungsional dan sebagai anggota SPI. Penelitian sebelumnya lebih berfokus pada auditor di sektor swasta atau pada Kantor Akuntan Publik, sehingga penelitian ini bertujuan untuk memberikan bukti empiris yang berhubungan dengan konflik peran dalam ketidakjelasan peran auditor di semua level auditor terhadap profesionalisme. metode penelitian kualitatif dengan pendekatan deskriptif.. Pengumpulan data dilakukan melalui wawancara dengan auditor senior, auditor menengah, dan auditor junior, observasi langsung, dan dokumentasi. Dari hasil penelitian mengungkapkan adanya konflik peran yang dirasakan oleh anggota SPI yang juga bekerja sebagai pelaksana di fungsional lain. Namun, kesadaran dari anggota SPI tentang peran ganda mereka sebagai auditor dan fungsional memberikan gambaran bahwa konflik peran tidak berpengaruh pada profesionalisme. Program kerja audit yang disusun sebelum melakukan audit juga membantu menciptakan suasana audit yang sesuai dengan kemampuan SPI.
Pengaruh Perceived Risk dan E-WOM Terhadap Online Purchase Intention
Authors: Isnawati Sri , Riorini Sri Vandayuli 
Published: January 2025

Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis pengaruh antara Perceived Risk terhadap Online purchase Intention dan untuk menganalisis pengaruh antara E-WOM erhadap Online purchase Intention. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode kuantitatif dengan menggunakan analisis deskriptif dengan metode survei. Populasi dalam penelitian ini adalah konsumen yang pernah berbelanja online, dan sampel diambil dengan menggunakan Non-Probability Sampling dengan teknik Purpose Sampling. Penelitian ini memiliki keterbatasan dalam hal Waktu. Dimana waktu untuk melakukan penelitian dan mengumpulkan jawaban dari responden kurang dari seminggu. Saran untuk mengembangkan penelitian, Peneliti yang akan datang diharapkan dapat melakukan penelitian dalam jangka waktu yang cukup lama. Saran penelitian yang akan datang disarankan mengumpulkan jumlah responden yang banyak agar data yang didapat lebih akurat dan olahan data bisa menggambarkan permasalahan yang ada. Penyebar kuesioner tidak secara langsung, tidak tatap muka pada responden sehingga, besar kemungkinan responden tidak membaca secara jelas item pernyataan.
Mapping Floating Market Lok Baintan Dalam Mendukung Optimalisasi Penerapan Strategi Marketing Untuk Meningkatkan Pendapatan Pedagang Di Kabupaten Banjar Provinsi Kalimantan Selatan
Authors: Ul Huda Isra , Melania Melania , Lestari Tina , Amrullah Amrullah 
Published: January 2025

Pasar Terapung adalah sebutan untuk sarana jual beli yang terletak di atas perairan, misalnya sungai atau danau. Tujuan pada penelitian ini yaitu Untuk mengatahui jalur transportasi menuju pasar terapung, Untuk mengetahui kondisi SDM pelaku pasar terapung saat ini, Untuk mengetahui apa saja produk yang dijual di pasar terapung, Untuk mengetahui apa saja alat transportasi yang digunakan di pasar terapung, untuk mengetahui fasilitas apa saja yang ada dilokasi pasar terapung, Untuk mengetahui bagaimana sistem transaksi jual beli di pasar terapung, Untuk mengetahui Bagaimana safety prosedur pelaku dan wisatawan di pasar terapung. Jenis penelitian yang digunakan oleh peneliti adalah kualitatif deskriptif. Menurut Sugiyono (2016:9) metode penelitian kualitatif adalah metode penelitian yang digunakan untuk meneliti pada kondisi obyek yang alamiah dimana peneliti adalah sebagai instrumen kunci.Miles dan Hubermen (1984), mengemukakan bahwa aktivitas dalam analisis data kualitatif dilakukan secara interaktif dan berlangsung secara terus menerus sampai tuntas, sehingga datanya jenuh. Ukuran kejenuhan data ditandai dengan tidak diperolehnya lagi data atau informasi baru. Aktivitas dalam analisis meliputi reduksi data (data reduction), penyajian data (data display) serta Penarikan kesimpulan dan verifikasi (conclusion drawing/ verification). Dari Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa jalur transportasi ke pasar terapung bisa dilalului melalui jalur darat dan air, mayoritas pedagang pasar terapung pendidikannya SD, produk yang dijual dipasar terapung ada produk alami dan asongan, alat transportasi yang digunakan adalah kelotok, jukung dan sabora, fasilitas yang ada dipasar terapung sudah ada Musola, puskesmas, dermaga, wc dll, safety prosedur pedagang menyadari bahwa pentingnya keberadaan pelampung, dan alat transaksi ada tunai, qiris, dan untuk barter masih dilakukan tetapi sesame pedagang. Kesimpulan pada penelitian ini yaitu Pemerintah lebih memperhatikan lagi akses jalur darat menuju Pasar Terapung Lok Baintan karena ada beberapa akses jalan yang masih rusak, memberikan pelatihan kepada pelaku pasar terapung cara pelayanan prima, memberikan pelatihan bagaimana memasarkan produk, dan juga mmeberikan bantuan pelampung kepada pelaku pasar terapung agar wisatawan berani naik ke jukung pelaku pasar terapung dan ini dapat memberikan pendapatan tambahan bagi pelaku ekonomi pasar terapung.
Percepción de la calidad del servicio de la Universidad Autónoma de Chiriquí por los estudiantes del posgrado en diseño de aulas virtuales, 2022
Authors: Villarreal Yaneth , Santos Eliecer , Valdés Vanessa 
Published: January 2025

En esta investigación se analizó la percepción de la calidad del servicio de la Universidad Autónoma de Chiriquí por los estudiantes del Posgrado en Diseño de Aulas Virtuales en el periodo 2022. La investigación es cuantitativa porque permite utilizar la recolección y el análisis de datos, para contestar preguntas de investigación, el diseño es no experimental ya que se midió el comportamiento de la variable en base a su percepción, es de corte transversal porque se observaron los datos de estudio trabajados en un periodo determinado. El estudio trabajó con una sola variable denominada calidad del servicio y se realizó en Universidad Autónoma de Chiriquí. Se utilizó el escalamiento de tipo Likert con 15 preguntas dividida en tres dimensiones, siendo ellas, satisfacción del estudiante en la calidad del servicio, satisfacción en la valoración del estudiante, satisfacción del estudiante con el desempeño de sus profesores. Los resultados obtenidos, muestran la percepción de los estudiantes de manera positiva, indicando que los programas son beneficiosos con resultados positivos en cuanto a la preparación docente, gestión administrativa y progreso del estudiante.
Pengaruh Efikasi Diri dan Literasi Finansial terhadap Keputusan Investasi Karyawan UMKM
Authors: Dwi Maharani Rina 
Published: January 2025

Keywords: Self-Efficacy, Financial Literacy, Investment Decisions

Abstrak :
Penurunan nilai uang karena waktu menjadikan nilai uang masa depan lebih kecil daripada nilai uang masa sekarang, sehingga masyarakat diharuskan menentukan pilihan yang tepat untuk mengalokasikan pendapatannya. Masyarakat kerap kali tidak siap menghadapi ketimpangan ekonomi karena tidak mempersiapkan dana cadangan. Pentingnya investasi sebagai dana cadangan jangka panjang seringkali diabaikan. Beberapa faktor yang mempengaruhi keputusan investasi suatu individu adalah factor efikasi diri dan literasi finansial, yang kemudian diperkuat dengan behavioral finance theory. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui bagaimana pengaruh variabel efikasi diri dan literasi finansial terhadap variabel keputusan investasi. Metode yang digunakan adalah kuantitatif deskriptif dengan sumber data primer berupa penyebaran kuesioner dengan skala likert 1-4. Populasi sampel adalah karyawan UMKM dan pengambilan sampel menggunakan rumus cochran dengan teknik random sampling sehingga ukuran sampel diperoleh minimal 97 sampel. Data kemudian diolah menggunakan software IBM SPSS vs. 26. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa variabel Efikasi Diri (X1) dan variabel Literasi Finansial (X2) berpengaruh secara simultan terhadap variabel Keputusan Investasi (Y).
MEMPERKUAT EKSISTENSI PENDIDIKAN AGAMA ISLAM DALAM MENGHADAPI KEMAJUAN TEKNOLOGI ERA 4.0
Authors: Khasani Khiban , Fitri Wulandari  
Published: January 2025

Seiring dengan perkembangan zaman dunia pendidikan khususnya pendidikan islam memiliki tantangan dan hambatan maka pendidikan di tuntut untuk mampu memelihara eksistensinya di aman teknologi 4.0 dimana era ini membawa dampak yang luar biasa. Tidak hanya dampak pendidikan saja akan tetapi seluruh aspek kehidupan manusia. Pada era ini semakin sentralnya peran teknologi dalam kehidupan manusia maka pendidikan islam harus terus memaksimalkan sarana yang ada serta teknologi yang semakin maju. untuk itu tujuan daripada penelitian ini adalah untuk menjelaskan akan pentingnya eksistensi ilmu pendidikan islam sebagai salah satu aspek yang harus dimiliki seluruh siswa agar dapat menjadi siswa yang profesional dalam bidangnya serta mampu bermoral berakhlaq di zaman teknologi. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kepustakaan (Library Research) dan analisis deskriptif dalam penulisannya sehingga hasil dari penelitian ini berupa penjelasan dari data-data pustaka yang telah dikumpulkan. Hasil penelitian ini menjelaskan ada tiga langkah yang harus dilakukan pendidikan Islam di era 4.0 ini, yaitu disruptive mindset, self-driving, dan reshape or create.
PERAN TOKOH MASYARAKAT DALAM MEMBANTU MENJALANKAN PROGRAM KKN
Authors: Naser Muhammad Nikman , Ardi Hervin , Bella Arjeni , Mella Reza , Yolla Ardian Rini Syerliana , Mardanti Lenia 
Published: January 2025

Real Work Lecture Activities (KKN) is an educational approach that provides students with practical learning experiences in communities outside campus. This service aims to carry out the KKN program in Pasar Ngalam Village, Kec. District fish water. Seluma. The KKN program carried out by UIN Fatmawati Sukarno Bengkulu students lasts for one month, namely from 19 July to 3 August 2024. This service uses observation and interview methods to collect data from community leaders, teachers and students. As for the results of data analysis, it was found that KKN activities created programs by assisting activities in Pasar Ngalam Village, Kec. District fish water. All in terms of religion, education and culture. The activity program in terms of education includes holding lessons at the KKN post which is attended by children from Pasar Ngalam Village, Kec. District fish water. Seluma. The religious activity program carried out by KKN students is (1) creating an event commemorating the 1st of Muharram which is packaged through a coloring competition, short verse competition, fashion show, and the call to prayer which is attended by children from kindergarten to grade 6 elementary school, (2) establishing RISMA, (3) Teaching the Koran at the TPQ in the mosque in Pasar Ngalam village, sub-district. District fish water. Seluma, (4) Participating in Yasinan every Friday night with the village residents which is held at the mosque, (5) Cleaning the village mosque with RISMA. Meanwhile, the social activity program carried out by KKN students is holding gymnastics with village PKK women and participating in Posyandu activities at the Village Hall. Of all the activity programs carried out by KKN students, they are the result of discussions with community leaders, village officials, teachers and residents and have been approved by all parties. In implementing the KKN activity program, there is an important role for community leaders and all parties in the village in coordinating and guiding all activities, thereby producing a program that can build a better village. The results of the activity program that has been implemented show that KKN has had a positive impact on community development starting from active religious activities in mosques, increasing awareness of the importance of education, and increasing socialization with one another. Overall, this service highlights the potential of KKN programs in encouraging community development and realizing synergistic community relations.
Antibiogram Study and Resistance Mechanism of Salmonella typhi Isolated from Clinical Samples at District D.I. Khan
Authors: Shakeeb Ullah1*  , Iqra Mubarik2  , Anila Khan3  , Faiqa Ramzan4  , Muhammad Inam Ullah Malik5  , Sana Ullah6  
Published: January 2025

The global issue of antibiotic-resistant bacteria (ARB) is a pervasive concern. The objective of this study was to isolate and identify the bacteria salmonella typhi (s. typhi) in blood samples from individuals who were diagnosed with typhoid fever. This study analyses 150 blood samples from patients who have presented with typhoid fever. Located in D.I Khan, the DHQ hospital is a medical facility. Questionnaires were employed to gather demographic data and ascertain antibiotic usage. The process of isolating bacteria and conducting antibiotic susceptibility tests was carried out using established microbiological methods. Multidrug resistant (MDR) microorganisms were chosen based on their resistance to three or more types of antibiotics. A total of 25 samples, accounting for 16.5% (n = 25), were isolated and identified as Salmonella Typhi. The prevalence between 20% and 60% was seen in the paediatric age range (1-5 years). Females had a higher prevalence (60%) of Salmonella typhi compared to males. Amoxicillin was mostly used to treat fever in patients. A significant resistance to amoxicillin (16.6%) and tetracycline (14.6%) was discovered in E. coli. Among Salmonella Typhi, both amoxicillin and ampicillin showed a resistance rate of 14.6% and 8% respectively, while cefotaxime had a resistance rate of 22% and imipenem had a resistance rate of 13%. The prevalence of the examined bacteria is high among the indiviauls aged 1-5 years and some of them exhibit multidrug-resistant (MDR) traits. This situation requires immediate attention from public health authorities. Therefore, it is necessary to conduct extensive investigations to determine the molecular epidemiology of these bacteria for the purpose of public health surveillance.
Keywords: Antibiogram, Blood culture, Multidrug-Resistant (MDR), Salmonella Typhi