Enhanced Field Sustainable Oil Production Rate Forecast Using Integrated Asset Operating Model for Production Efficiency Improvement
Authors: Rubio Erismar , Reddicharla Nagaraju , Sultan Ali Mayada Ali , AL Attar Mohamed Ali , Davila Rayner Samuel , Kumar Avnish 
Published: March 2023

Abstract
As hydrocarbon fields are maturing, field sustainable oil production rate (FSOPR) assurance is a challenge for operators to deliver the demands while adhering reservoir management guidelines after accounting for all well & facility downtimes and system inefficiencies. As part of digital transformation journey, ADNOC Onshore has embarked on an initiative to automate FSOPR forecast while eliminating inefficiencies in current process, standardization, leveraging robust data integration and analytics.
FSOPR forecast is probably the most complex task performed by oil companies as involved the orchestration of all support and technical departments from the field to the terminal. Effective FSOPR estimation is an integrated effort from reservoir/petroleum engineering, drilling/well services, operations, oil movement, planning, maintenance, engineering and reliability teams. The assurance process requires a structured and integrated approach of data gathering, review, and simulations to produce a reliable forecasts. Before, data/process integration and reporting was time-consuming representing a real challenge as it was managed through manual data-loading in spreadsheets & emails with low visibility to all stakeholders. Now FSOPR is estimated using up-to-date well/network models, including contribution from newly drilled & well reactivation plans, well-performance deterioration and production restoration from field activities. Similarly planned/unplanned losses from reservoir management (RM), field activities & facility maintenance jobs are optimized through the solution, offering integration with reliability models. The automated web-page solution leverages business process engine enabled by intelligent data integration from various workflow elements and allows all stakeholders to collaborate in one portal to have on single version of the truth. The data abstraction layer retrieves information and presented in the solution from legacy systems, production modelling workflows and SAP. The base plan & optimization cases are tracked by process health KPIs and approved using Business process management workflow.
FSOPR automation system has been successfully piloted in one ADNOC Onshore assets. This automation was an enabler for better planning and scheduling of maintenance and RM activities and also provides assurance of monthly oil quota achievement by highlighting early potential threats that can hinder the realization of the FSOPR plan, thus corrective action can be taken on time considering best RM practices. The whole process of data gathering, planning, activity scheduling, optimization and approval has been reduced by 60% along with a more rigorous and errorless process. The added value besides enhancing efficiency, it has minimized well downtime and production deferment avoidance of 1-2%. This automation paved the path for FSOPR assurance process standardization across company portfolio of assets.
The initiative is aligned with ADNOC digital transformation roadmap to leverage industry 4.0 technologies and digitalization of key upstream business processes in a consistent, integrated and uniform manner. This paper talks about transformation, FSOPR elements, low code solution & integration architecture, analytics, change adoption and benefits realization.