bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025_split huggingface dataset:
The democratic offset: Contestation, deliberation, and participation regarding military applications of AI
Authors: Thumfart Johannes 
Published: May 2023

AbstractAuthoritarian regimes’ unrestricted collection of citizens’ data might constitute an advantage regarding the development of some types of AI, and AI might facilitate authoritarian practices. This feedback loop challenges democracies. In a critical continuation of the Pentagon’s Third Offset Strategy, I investigate a possible Democratic Offset regarding military applications of AI focussed on contestation, deliberation, and participation. I apply Landemore’s Open Democracy, Hildebrandt’s Agonistic Machine Learning, and Sharp’s Civilian-Based Defence. Discussing value pluralism in AI ethics, I criticise parts of the literature for leaving the fundamental ethical incompatibility of democracies and authoritarian regimes unaddressed. I am focussing on the duty to disobey illegal orders derived from customary international humanitarian law (IHL) and the standard of ‘meaningful human control’, which is central to the partially outdated debate about lethal autonomous weapon systems (LAWS). I criticize the standard of ‘meaningful human control’ following two pathways: First, the ethical and legal principles of just war theory and IHL should be implemented in military applications of AI to submit human commands to more control, in the sense of technological disaffordances. Second, the debate should focus on the societal circumstances for personal responsibility and disobedience to be trained and exerted in deliberation and participation related to military applications of AI, in the sense of societal affordances. In a larger picture, this includes multi-level stakeholder involvement, robust documentation to facilitate auditing, civilian-based defence in decentralized smart cities, and open-source intelligence. This multi-layered approach fosters cognitive diversity, which might constitute a strategic advantage for democracies regarding AI.
Progress in the treatment of acute fatty liver of pregnancy and management of perioperative anesthesia review
Authors: Qin Xuewei , Chen Xuanling , Yao Lan , Wang Jing , Lin Li 
Published: May 2023

AbstractAcute fatty liver of pregnancy is a rare and critical disease in obstetrics, mainly characterized by liver failure, severe coagulopathy and other clinical manifestations, with rapid progression and high mortality. This article discusses the epidemic characteristics, pathogenesis, clinical manifestations, laboratory examination, clinical diagnosis and treatment of acute fatty liver during pregnancy. This paper summarizes the related contents of perioperative anesthesia in anesthesia methods, drug selection, coagulation regulation, organ protection and postpartum disease outcome.
Residential mobility and the value of water quality improvements in the Milwaukee Estuary Area of Concern
Authors: Donnelly Emma , Melstrom Richard T. 
Published: May 2023

AbstractThis paper presents research on the benefits of removing legacy pollutants in Great Lakes Areas of Concern (AOCs). AOCs are heavily polluted coastal locations identified as priorities for restoration under the Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement (GLWQA) between the United States and Canada. Legacy pollutants pose a human and environmental health risk that can limit opportunities for redevelopment, recreation, and wildlife habitats. The AOC program improves water quality through remediation and restoration projects, which may increase the desirability of living in proximity to AOCs. In this paper, we estimate the economic benefit of cleaning up part of the Milwaukee Estuary AOC with a two-part sorting model using panel data on neighborhood populations and moving decisions before and after a series of remediation actions. Our results provide evidence that residents value remediation, though estimates are sensitive to the definition of the cleanup area. The average annual benefit for a household living near the AOC just downstream of cleanup is $268, with a range of $28-$499 depending on their race and tenure group; the aggregate benefit is $350 million. Results indicate a large difference in benefits between renters and owners but statistically insignificant differences between race groups.
How reliable – and (net) beneficial – is the green in green infrastructure
Authors: Groffman Peter M. , Matsler A. Marissa , Grabowski Zbigniew J. 
Published: May 2023

AbstractThe idea of green infrastructure (GI) has generated great interest and creativity in addressing a range of challenging and expensive environmental problems, from coastal resilience to control of combined sewer overflows (CSOs). The appeal of GI stems from its cost savings compared to traditional “gray” infrastructure and the multiple benefits it provides, including biodiversity, aesthetics, and carbon sequestration. For example, a “green” approach to controlling CSOs in New York City saved $1.5 billion compared to a “gray” approach. Despite these advantages, GI still does not have detailed design and reliability specifications as compared to engineered gray infrastructure, potentially hindering its adoption. In this paper, we review some of the potential applications of GI in modern environmental science and discuss how reliability and associated (un)certainty in net benefits need to be addressed to realize the potential of this new approach.
Estimating the VaR-induced Euler allocation rule
Authors: Gribkova N.V. , Su J. , Zitikis R. 
Published: May 2023

AbstractThe prominence of the Euler allocation rule (EAR) is rooted in the fact that it is the only return on risk-adjusted capital (RORAC) compatible capital allocation rule. When the total regulatory capital is set using the value-at-risk (VaR), the EAR becomes – using a statistical term – the quantile-regression (QR) function. Although the cumulative QR function (i.e., an integral of the QR function) has received considerable attention in the literature, a fully developed statistical inference theory for the QR function itself has been elusive. In the present paper, we develop such a theory based on an empirical QR estimator, for which we establish consistency, asymptotic normality, and standard error estimation. This makes the herein developed results readily applicable in practice, thus facilitating decision making within the RORAC paradigm, conditional mean risk sharing, and current regulatory frameworks.
Probabilistic Prediction of Oceanographic Velocities with Multivariate Gaussian Natural Gradient Boosting
Authors: O’Malley Michael , Sykulski Adam M. , Lumpkin Rick , Schuler Alejandro 
Published: May 2023

Abstract
Many single-output regression problems require estimates of uncertainty along with the point predictions. For this purpose, there exists a class of regression algorithms that predict a conditional distribution rather than a point estimate. The off-the-shelf options are much more limited, however, when the prediction output is multivariate and a joint measure of uncertainty is required. In this paper, we predict a distribution around a multivariate random vector of dimension P, such that the joint uncertainty would quantify the probability of any vector in P-dimensional space. This is more expressive than providing separate uncertainties in each dimension. To enable joint probabilistic regression, we propose a natural gradient boosting approach based on nonparametrically modeling the conditional parameters of the multivariate predictive distribution, where we focus on the multivariate Gaussian distribution. Our method is robust, can be easily trained without extensive tuning, and performs competitively in comparison to existing approaches. The motivating application of our methodology is to predict two-dimensional oceanographic currents measured by freely floating Global Drifter Program drifters using remotely sensed data. We also demonstrate the method’s performance on simulated data. We find this method excels when strong correlation between output dimensions is present. As part of this work, we have added the model to the open source package at github.com/stanfordmlgroup/ngboost.
Doppelgänger Changes the Game
Authors: Janda Pavel 
Published: May 2023

Abstract
Thirders sometimes feel compelled to give the same answer – a credence of 1/3 – to the original and the duplicating Sleeping Beauty problem, which leads to some unwanted consequences. I will argue that they do not have to feel compelled to give the same answer, because the original and the duplicating version of the Sleeping Beauty problem are different types of decision problems. If one accepts that it is rationally permissible to give different answers to different types of decision problems, both versions do not require the same solution.
A large deviation theorem for a supercritical super-Brownian motion with absorption
Authors: Zhu Yaping 
Published: May 2023

AbstractWe consider a one-dimensional superprocess with a supercritical local branching mechanism
$\psi$
, where particles move as a Brownian motion with drift
$-\rho$
and are killed when they reach the origin. It is known that the process survives with positive probability if and only if
$\rho<\sqrt{2\alpha}$
, where
$\alpha=-\psi'(0)$
. When
$\rho<\sqrt{2 \alpha}$
, Kyprianou et al. [18] proved that
$\lim_{t\to \infty}R_t/t =\sqrt{2\alpha}-\rho$
almost surely on the survival set, where
$R_t$
is the rightmost position of the support at time t. Motivated by this work, we investigate its large deviation, in other words, the convergence rate of
$\mathbb{P}_{\delta_x} (R_t >\gamma t+\theta)$
as
$t \to \infty$
, where
$\gamma >\sqrt{2 \alpha} -\rho$
,
$\theta \ge 0$
. As a by-product, a related Yaglom-type conditional limit theorem is obtained. Analogous results for branching Brownian motion can be found in Harris et al. [13].
The Multidimensional Soft Power of Illiberal States: Russia in the Western Balkans
Authors: Cuppuleri Adriana , Veliu Ashiku Liridona 
Published: May 2023

AbstractThis article aims to make a threefold contribution to the study of soft power. First, considering that the potential of soft power of illiberal states is both underestimated and distorted, this study presents a two-dimensional conceptualization of Russia’s soft power, distinguishing between Russia’s posture toward the liberal international order, and sources of Russia’s foreign policy. Second, it analyzes whether Russian soft power in the Western Balkan countries remains ideologically relevant beyond its hitherto conceptualizations as either the result of its historic cultural ties with the region, or a reflection of Russian foreign policy strategies. Through an analysis of elite discourses and news media as exemplified in speeches, press releases, and interviews, this article locates, challenges, and develops on Russia’s soft power indicators in the Western Balkans. Finally, it contributes to surmounting the residing liberal democratic bias in the study of soft power of illiberal states, showing that not only can they be ideologically attractive but that their scope of influence differs according to the multi-layered nature of soft power.
On No-Miracles and the Base-Rate Fallacy
Authors: Dyck Keith 
Published: May 2023

AbstractHowson (2000) contends that the No-Miracles argument fails as an argument in support of scientific realism because it commits the base-rate fallacy. Psillos (2009) has defended the argument by appealing to cases that involve conditional probabilities but where base-rate information can properly be ignored. I show that Psillos’s defense of the No-Miracles argument is inadequate and that the prospects for a purely probabilistic formulation of the argument are dim. I end by considering whether interpreting the argument as an inference to the best explanation might better serve the scientific realist, concluding that such an approach would limit the realist’s ability to effectively counter the Pessimistic Induction.
Theorising policy advisory system management: approaches and practice
Authors: Marciano Reut , Craft Jonathan 
Published: May 2023

AbstractThis article develops the concept of policy advisory system (PAS) management in recognition of the need to better theorise and empirically study how governments approach the complex systems of advice around them. In our analysis, we go beyond the conceptualisation of degrees of government’s “control” over advisory sources. We use the dimensions of government agency and discretion and argue that PAS management falls into four forms: authoritative, dependent, laissez-faire, or absent. Using evidence from Australia, Canada, Britain, and New Zealand, we explore how governments operationalise these approaches through a range of choices and practices. The analysis points to the need to recognise that attempts to manage these systems occur both proactively and reactively with clear differences in the broad or narrow scope of management efforts.
Prevalence of respiratory pathogens and risk of developing pneumonia under non-pharmaceutical interventions in Suzhou, China
Authors: Shi Ting , Huang Linlin 
Published: May 2023

Abstract
This study aims to evaluate the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) on the prevalence of respiratory pathogens among hospitalised children with acute respiratory infections (ARIs) in Suzhou. Children with ARIs admitted to the Children’s Hospital of Soochow University between 1 September 2021 and 31 December 2022 and subjected to 13 respiratory pathogen multiplex PCR assays were included in the study. We retrospectively collected demographic details, results of respiratory pathogen panel tests, and discharge diagnostic information of the participants, and described the age and seasonal distribution of respiratory pathogens and risk factors for developing pneumonia. A total of 10,396 children <16 years of age, including 5,905 males and 4,491 females, were part of the study. The positive rates of the 11 respiratory pathogen assays were 23.3% (human rhinovirus (HRV)), 15.9% (human respiratory syncytial virus (HRSV)), 10.5% (human metapneumovirus (HMPV)), 10.3% (human parainfluenza virus (HPIV)), 8.6% (mycoplasma pneumoniae (MP)), 5.8% (Boca), 3.5% (influenza A (InfA)), 2.9% (influenza B (InfB)), 2.7% (human coronavirus (HCOV)), 2.0% (adenovirus (ADV)), and 0.5% (Ch), respectively. Bocavirus and HPIV detection peaked during the period from September to November (autumn), and MP and HMPV peaked in the months of November and December. The peak of InfA detection was found to be in summer (July and August), whereas the InfB peak was observed to be in winter (December, January, and February). HRSV and HRV predominated in the <3 years age group. HRV and HMPV were common in the 3–6 years group, whereas MP was predominant in the ≥6 years group. MP (odds ratio (OR): 70.068, 95%CI: 32.665–150.298, P < 0.01), HMPV (OR: 6.493, 95%CI: 4.802–8.780, P < 0.01), Boca (OR: 3.300, 95%CI: 2.186–4.980, P < 0.01), and HRSV (OR: 2.649, 95%CI: 2.089–3.358, P < 0.01) infections were more likely to develop into pneumonia than the other pathogens. With the use of NPIs, HRV was the most common pathogen in children with ARIs, and MP was more likely to progress to pneumonia than other pathogens.
Successful transition for adolescent survivors of CHD: the Cambridge cardiac transition pathway
Authors: Yap Norah Y.S. , Patil Parth , Phoenix Carole , Russell Katie Bradly , Lewis Clive , Yates Robert , Kelsall Wilf 
Published: May 2023

AbstractPurpose:National standards to ensure effective transition and smooth transfer of adolescents from paediatric to adult services are available but data on successful transition in CHD are limited. The aim of this study is to assess the effectiveness of our transition pathway.Methods:Adolescents with CHD, aged 15–19 years, who attended the joint cardiac transition clinic between 2009 and 2018 were identified from the Patient Administration Systems. Patient attendance at their first adult CHD service appointment at Royal Papworth Hospital was recorded.Results:179 adolescents were seen in the joint cardiac transition clinic in the 9-year study period. The median age of the patients when seen was 16 (range 15–19) years. 145 patients were initially planned for transfer to the Royal Papworth Hospital adult CHD service. Three patients were subsequently excluded and the success of the transfer of care in 142 patients were analysed. 112 (78%) attended their first follow-up in the adult CHD clinic as planned, 28 (20%) attended after reminders were sent out with 5/28 requiring multiple reminders, and only 2 (1.4%) failed to attend. Overall, transfer of care was achieved in 140 (98.6%) patients.Conclusion:A dedicated joint cardiac transition clinic involving multi-professional medical and nursing teams from paediatric and adult cardiology services appears to achieve high engagement rates with the adult services. This approach allows a ‘face’ to be put on a named clinician delivering the adult service and should be encouraged.
Association between pre-pregnancy weight status and dietary patterns during pregnancy: results from the Japan Environment and Children’s Study
Authors: Ishitsuka Kazue , Yamamoto-Hanada Kiwako , Mezawa Hidetoshi , Saito-Abe Mayako , Sasaki Hatoko , Nishizato Minaho , Sato Miori , Ohya Yukihiro ,   Japan Environment and Children’s Study Group
Published: May 2023

AbstractObjective:Pre-pregnancy weight status is related to offspring health and may influence dietary patterns during pregnancy. We aimed to evaluate the link between pre-pregnancy weight status and dietary patterns during pregnancy.Design:Dietary data were collected using a FFQ during middle or late pregnancy. Dietary patterns were identified using principal component analysis. Anthropometric data were extracted from medical charts. Multiple linear regression was used to assess associations between pre-pregnancy weight status (severely or moderately underweight, mildly underweight, normal weight, overweight and obese) and dietary patterns during pregnancy after adjusting for socio-demographic characteristics.Setting:Nationwide Japan.Participants:Pregnant Japanese women enrolled in the Japan Environment and Children’s Study, a prospective birth cohort study (n 90 765).Results:We identified three dietary patterns. Compared with women with pre-pregnancy normal weight, those with pre-pregnancy obesity were less likely to habitually consume ‘fruits and vegetables’ pattern (coefficient, –0·18; 95 % CI, –0·21, –0·14) and ‘confectionery’ pattern (coefficient, –0·18; 95 % CI, –0·21, –0·14) and more likely to consume ‘white rice and soy products’ pattern (coefficient, 0·08; 95 % CI, 0·04, 0·11), and those with severely or moderately pre-pregnancy underweight were more likely to consume ‘confectionery’ pattern (coefficient, 0·06; 95 % CI, 0·03, 0·09) during pregnancy, after adjusting for confounders.Conclusion:We found that moderately and severely pre-pregnancy underweight women and those with obesity had unhealthy dietary patterns compared to those with pre-pregnancy normal weight. Our findings suggest that prenatal dietary advice is important and should be based on the pre-pregnancy weight status.
The Technological Priestess: The Piano Recital, Photography, and Clara Schumann
Authors: Prince April L. 
Published: May 2023

Musicologists often consider Clara Schumann to be one of the most influential figures in the establishment of the solo piano recital – a musical experience that encouraged the dominance of the serious music aesthetic. Schumann's connection to this ideal is perhaps most evident in her enshrinement as the priestess, a nineteenth-century title that honoured the interpretive power of her virtuosic performances. While her commitment to canonical values cannot be questioned, Schumann's piano virtuosity was also undeniably popular, incredibly physical and acutely tied to the century's rapidly changing musical and visual technologies.Attention to the analytical and imaginative connections between these transformative technologies actively complicates the divine, dehumanized and mythological stature that has come to centre Schumann's historiography. Her mass-produced photographs, and especially her cartes-de-visite, could both compound her priestessness and stimulate unresolvable fissures within it. Aligned with recent scholarship that expands Schumann's virtuosity into the realms of the popular, photographs and other forms of mass media reveal the inherent flexibility of the priestess ideology and this mythology's (seemingly) easy inclusion of various ambiguous and sometimes contradictory ideals. In effect, photographs of Schumann could instigate a kind of exhilarating, cognitive dissonance in their viewers: seeing was not necessarily believing her as only priestess. Seeing could, in fact, mean imagining and reimagining Clara Schumann in all kinds of fantastical ways: ways that aligned her piano virtuosity with the commodified visual technology in an increasingly mechanized world, or ways that underscored her feminine sexuality and virtuosity as socially destabilizing or democratizing.
Associations between Social Support Dimensions and Resilience Factors and Pathways of Influence in Depression and Anxiety Rates in Young Adults
Authors: Mecha Patricia , Martin-Romero Nuria , Sanchez-Lopez Alvaro 
Published: May 2023

AbstractEmerging adulthood is an important developmental period, associated to mental health risk. Resilience research points to both social and personal protective factors against development of psychopathology, but there is paucity with their comprehensive study in young adults. This study provides and initial integrative approach to model multiple dimensions of perceived social support (i.e., from family, friends, significant others) and personal factor of trait resilience (i.e., coping and persistence during stress, tolerance to negative affect, positive appraisals, trust) and their hypothesized contributions to reducing depression and anxiety rates. The study was conducted with a sample of 500 Spanish emerging adults (18 to 29 years old). Regression analyses and multiple mediation models were performed to test our hypotheses. Results showed that social support from family was the dimension with the highest strength relating individual differences in resilience. Furthermore, analyses supported a differential mediating role of specific resilience factors (coping and persistence during stress, tolerance to negative affect, positive appraisals, trust) in partially accounting for the association between higher social support from family and lower depression and anxiety levels in young adults. These results may inform new programs of mental health during emerging adulthood via the promotion of different sources of social support and their related resilience pathways contributing to low emotional symptomatology at this stage of development.