Abstract P5-05-02: Estrogen receptor 1 (ESR1) mutations in circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) from patients with ER+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer (mBC) treated with lasofoxifene plus abemaciclib in the ELAINE 2 study
Authors: Damodaran Senthil , Moore Halle , O’Sullivan Ciara C. , Plourde Paul V. , Riordan Gary , Sloane Hillary S. , Tripathy Debu , Carroll Dominic , Portman David J 
Published: March 2023

Abstract
Introduction: Use of long-term endocrine therapy (ET) for ER+ breast cancer often leads to acquired ESR1 mutations (mutESR1), causing endocrine resistance, tumor progression, and poor prognosis. An unmet clinical need exists for treating ER+ mBC patients with mutESR1, particularly after progression on CDK4/6 inhibitors (CDK4/6i). ELAINE 2 is an open-label, phase 2, multicenter trial evaluating safety and efficacy of lasofoxifene (LAS [selective estrogen receptor modulator]) plus abemaciclib (Abema [CDK4/6i], provided by Eli Lilly) in patients with ER+/HER2- and mutESR1 mBC who progressed after prior ET. Preliminary data with LAS plus Abema showed median progression-free survival of 55.7 wks, objective response rate of 50%, and 24-wk clinical benefit (CB) rate of 69%, with an acceptable safety and tolerability profile. Here, we report ESR1 ctDNA mutant allele frequency (MAF) and correlations of ESR1 MAF changes with CB.
Methods: ELAINE 2 patients with detectable ctDNA mutESR1 at baseline (BL) were analyzed. Oral LAS 5 mg/day and Abema 150 mg BID were taken until disease progression, death, unacceptable toxicity, or withdrawal from the study. ctDNA was assessed by the Sysmex-Inostics SafeSeq assay—which detects mutESR1 at low allele fractions—at BL, every 4 wks, and end of treatment. MAF changes from BL to wk 4 were characterized as decreased (decrease in ESR1 MAF or none detected [ND]), increased (increase in MAF), or equivocal (in polyclonal patients [&gt;1 mutESR1] with some MAF increasing and decreasing trends). Correlations of MAF change at 4 wks with CB at 24 wks were explored.
Results: 29 patients (median of 2 prior metastatic therapies: 97% CDK4/6i, 79% fulvestrant, 48% chemotherapy) had BL mutESR1 of Y537S (66%), D538G (45%), Y537N (28%), and other less frequently detected mutations; 14 (48.3%) patients were polyclonal. 26 of 29 patients had evaluable BL and wk-4 ctDNA results: 21 patients had decreased MAF (81% [54% with ND]), 3 (12%) had increased, and 2 (8%) had equivocal ESR1 MAF changes (Table). CB at 24 wks was seen in 17 patients with a decrease, 2 with an increase, and 1 with equivocal MAF change. A sensitivity of 89.5% and specificity of 20% were calculated for predicting CB based on direction of ESR1 MAF change. The positive predictive value (PPV) for CB with decreased MAF was 81% and the negative predictive value (NPV) for an increased MAF was 33%. Of the 14 (54%) patients with ND ESR1 MAF, 13 had CB resulting in 87% sensitivity, 50% specificity, 93% PPV, and 33% NPV.
Conclusion: In ELAINE 2, 81% of patients had decrease/cleared (ND) mutESR1 after 4 wks of LAS plus Abema, which correlated with clinical benefit. All mutESR1 detected appear targeted with this therapy. High sensitivity and favorable PPV were observed in patients with decreased MAF, and even more so in those with ND MAF; however, increased MAF was less specific and not as predictive of treatment failure. Our results indicate that ESR1 liquid biopsy evaluation may be an adequate non-invasive surrogate marker for monitoring patients on treatment. Further study in a larger population of women with endocrine-resistant mBC and acquired mutESR1 is warranted to explore this potential for monitoring treatment response or resistance to this novel LAS-Abema combination.
Table. Change from baseline to week 4 in ESR1 MAF and clinical benefit at 24 weeks. CI, confidence interval; MAF, mutant allele fraction; ND, none detected; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value. *Sensitivity and specificity analyses do not include equivocal results.
Citation Format: Senthil Damodaran, Halle Moore, Ciara C. O’Sullivan, Paul V. Plourde, Gary Riordan, Hillary S. Sloane, Debu Tripathy, Dominic Carroll, David J Portman. Estrogen receptor 1 (ESR1) mutations in circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) from patients with ER+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer (mBC) treated with lasofoxifene plus abemaciclib in the ELAINE 2 study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2022 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2022 Dec 6-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(5 Suppl):Abstract nr P5-05-02.