bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025_split huggingface dataset:
Predicting the Onset of Australian Winter Rainfall by Nonlinear Classification
Authors: Firth Laura , Hazelton Martin L. , Campbell Edward P. 
Published: March 2005

AbstractA method for predicting the timing of winter rains is presented, making no assumptions about the functional form of any relationships that may exist. Ideas built on classification and regression trees and machine learning are used to develop robust predictive rules. These methods are applied in a case study to predict the timing of winter rain in five farming towns in the southwest of Western Australia. The variables used to construct the model are mean monthly sea surface temperatures (SSTs) over a 72-cell grid in the Indian Ocean, Perth monthly mean sea level pressure (MSLP), and monthly values of the Southern Oscillation index (SOI). A predictive model is constructed from data over the period 1949–99. This model correctly classifies the onset of the winter rains approximately 80% of the time with SST variables proving to be the most important in deriving the predictions. Further analysis indicates a change point in the mid-1970s, a well-known phenomenon in the region. The prediction rates are significantly worse after 1975. Furthermore, the important region of the Indian Ocean, in terms of SSTs for prediction, moves from the Tropics down toward the Southern Ocean after this date.
Statistical Modeling of Extreme Rainfall in Southwest Western Australia
Authors: Li Y. , Cai W. , Campbell E. P. 
Published: March 2005

AbstractRainfall over southwest Western Australia (SWWA; 32°S southward and 118°E westward) has been decreasing over the past decades, putting further constraints on water resources in an already dry area. In this study, daily rainfall over five geographically dispersed and homogenized weather stations within SWWA are analyzed. A peak over threshold method from the extreme value theory is used to model daily rainfall above a given threshold. The Mann–Whitney–Pittitt (change point) test was applied to detect changes in annual, winter (May–October), and summer (November–April) maximum daily rainfall. Change points for winter extreme daily rainfall were found around 1965, based on different individual stations, with the extreme daily rainfall reduced since then. To demonstrate the degree of change in the winter extreme daily rainfall, at 1965 the data were stratified, and generalized Pareto distributions were fitted to the tails of the distributions for daily rainfall in the prechange period of 1930–65 (including 1965) and the postchange period of 1966–2001. The fitted tail distributions also allow the estimation of probabilities and return periods of the daily rainfall extreme. Results show that return periods for the winter extreme daily rainfall have increased after 1965, implying that winter daily rainfall extremes in SWWA are lower after 1965 than they were before. There has been vigorous debate as to what forces the drying trend, that is, whether it is part of multidecadal variability or whether it is driven by secular forcings, such as increasing atmospheric CO2 concentration. In this paper, statistical modeling is also used to identify possible associated changes in atmospheric circulation. It is found that there is a change point near 1965 in a dominant atmospheric circulation mode of the Antarctic Oscillation (AAO). The result offers qualified support for the argument that the AAO may contribute to the drying trend.
The Mass of the Atmosphere: A Constraint on Global Analyses
Authors: Trenberth Kevin E. , Smith Lesley 
Published: March 2005

Abstract
The total mass of the atmosphere varies mainly from changes in water vapor loading; the former is proportional to global mean surface pressure and the water vapor component is computed directly from specific humidity and precipitable water using the 40-yr European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Re-Analyses (ERA-40). Their difference, the mass of the dry atmosphere, is estimated to be constant for the equivalent surface pressure to within 0.01 hPa based on changes in atmospheric composition. Global reanalyses satisfy this constraint for monthly means for 1979–2001 with a standard deviation of 0.065 hPa. New estimates of the total mass of the atmosphere and its dry component, and their corresponding surface pressures, are larger than previous estimates owing to new topography of the earth’s surface that is 5.5 m lower for the global mean. Global mean total surface pressure is 985.50 hPa, 0.9 hPa higher than previous best estimates. The total mean mass of the atmosphere is 5.1480 × 1018 kg with an annual range due to water vapor of 1.2 or 1.5 × 1015 kg depending on whether surface pressure or water vapor data are used; this is somewhat smaller than the previous estimate. The mean mass of water vapor is estimated as 1.27 × 1016 kg and the dry air mass as 5.1352 ± 0.0003 × 1018 kg. The water vapor contribution varies with an annual cycle of 0.29-hPa, a maximum in July of 2.62 hPa, and a minimum in December of 2.33 hPa, although the total global surface pressure has a slightly smaller range. During the 1982/83 and 1997/98 El Niño events, water vapor amounts and thus total mass increased by about 0.1 hPa in surface pressure or 0.5 × 1015 kg for several months. Some evidence exists for slight decreases following the Mount Pinatubo eruption in 1991 and also for upward trends associated with increasing global mean temperatures, but uncertainties due to the changing observing system compromise the evidence.
The physical constraint of conservation of dry air mass is violated in the reanalyses with increasing magnitude prior to the assimilation of satellite data in both ERA-40 and the National Centers for Environmental Prediction–National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP–NCAR) reanalyses. The problem areas are shown to occur especially over the Southern Oceans. Substantial spurious changes are also found in surface pressures due to water vapor, especially in the Tropics and subtropics prior to 1979.
Analysis of Sampling Errors for Climate Monitoring Satellites
Authors: Kirk-Davidoff Daniel B. , Goody Richard M. , Anderson James G. 
Published: March 2005

Abstract
Sampling retrievals of high-accuracy first-moment statistics constitute a central concern for climate research. Considered here is the important case of brightness temperature retrievals from a selection of possible orbits. Three-hourly global satellite brightness temperature data are used to predict the sampling error of monthly to annual mean brightness temperature retrieved by one or more satellites in low earth orbits. A true polar orbit is found to offer substantial advantages over a sun-synchronous orbit in the retrieval of annual mean brightness temperature, since the rotation of the local time of observation through two full diurnal cycles greatly reduces the error due to imperfect sampling of diurnal variations. Thus, a single polar orbiting satellite can produce annual mean, zonal mean brightness temperatures with typical sampling errors of less than 0.1 K, while even three sun-synchronous orbiters have high-latitude errors of up to 0.4 K. The error in retrievals of the annual mean diurnal cycle of brightness temperature is also discussed. In this case, high accuracy (&lt;0.1 K) requires three cross-track scanning satellites in precessing orbits, or else a very large number (∼10) of nadir-viewing satellites in precessing orbits. The large sampling errors of sun-synchronous satellites are highly correlated from year to year, so that if equator-crossing times are held fixed, sampling errors in year-to-year differences of annual means are similar for sun-synchronous and precessing orbits.
Roles of Low- and High-Frequency Eddies in the Transitional Process of the Southern Hemisphere Annular Mode
Authors: Shiogama Hideo , Terao Toru , Kida Hideji , Iwashima Tatsuya 
Published: March 2005

Abstract
The effects of low- and high-frequency eddies (time scales longer and shorter than 10 days, respectively) on the transitional processes of the Southern Hemisphere “Annular Mode” are investigated, based on NCEP–NCAR daily reanalysis data for the period 1979–2001. Special attention is focused on the zonal symmetry/asymmetry and the temporal evolution of the eddy forcing.
For the poleward transitional process, the effects of low-frequency eddies precede those of high-frequency eddies in driving the jet transition. Quasi-stationary Rossby waves propagating along the polar jet with wavelengths of 7000 km play an important role. The waves, originally come from the Indian Ocean through the waveguide associated with the polar jet, dissipate equatorward over the eastern Pacific Ocean. This anomalous equatorward dissipation of wave activity induces an anomalous poleward momentum flux, which is responsible for changes in the polar jet over the Pacific Ocean during the beginning stage. Following the low-frequency eddy forcing, momentum forcing anomalies due to the high-frequency eddies rapidly appear. This forcing continues to drive the polar jet poleward over the whole of longitude, while the low-frequency eddies have completed their role of inducing the anomalous poleward momentum flux during the earlier stage.
For the equatorward transitional events, the roles of the low-frequency eddy forcing differ from that in the poleward ones. Anomalous equatorward momentum fluxes due to low-frequency eddies appear simultaneously with that due to high-frequency eddies. Quasi-stationary Rossby waves with wavelengths of 7000 km propagate southeastward through the waveguide over the Pacific Ocean. The convergence of their wave activity results in the deceleration of the westerlies over the higher latitudes of the Pacific Ocean. On the other hand, the high-frequency eddy forcing contributes to the equatorward jet drift longitudinally over the whole of the hemisphere.
Poles of market growth?
Authors: Schiller Dan 
Published: March 2005

Control over communications is a crucial concomitant of political-economic power. China’s emergence as an important force within the global capitalist system is thus giving rise to a substantially greater presence in the system of international communications. A series of initiatives, briefly inventoried here, aims to win a place for Chinese interests across the entire spectrum of media and telecommunications systems, spanning hardware, software and services. How should we interpret these in the context of China’s rise? Chinese initiatives in communications and information are best apprehended neither as a developing country’s attempt to redress glaring imbalances in the global communications system, though of course they contain traces of this, nor as a current threat to the global dominance of the United States, though over the long term this might change, much as the US challenged and ultimately unseated British control over international communications. Rather, they are seen here as contributing to the ongoing structural reconfiguration of the political economy of transnational capitalism. The likely outcome is greater, rather than lesser, instability.
Lung function, smoking and mortality in a 26-year follow-up of healthy middle-aged males
Authors: Stavem K. , Aaser E. , Sandvik L. , Bjørnholt J. V. , Erikssen G. , Thaulow E. , Erikssen J. 
Published: March 2005

Lung function has been associated with mortality after adjusting for other risk factors; however, few studies have adjusted for physical fitness and reported separate analyses according to smoking status.In 1972–1975, spirometry, clinical and physiological parameters were recorded in 1,623 apparently healthy males aged 40–59 yrs. After 26 yrs of follow-up, the current authors investigated the association between baseline lung function and mortality, adjusting for smoking, physical fitness and other potential factors.By 2000, 615 individuals (38%) had died, with 308 (50%) of these deaths from cardiovascular (CV) causes. Forced expiratory volume in one second was a predictor of all-cause mortality (risk ratio (RR) 1.10 per reduction of 10%) after adjusting for smoking, physical fitness, age, systolic blood pressure, body mass index and serum cholesterol. The corresponding multivariate RR was 1.07 for CV causes and 1.34 for respiratory death.In conclusion, in stratified analyses among current and former smokers, forced expiratory volume in one second % predicted was a strong independent predictor of all-cause mortality and respiratory death among current smokers. Forced expiratory volume in one second % predicted was not associated with mortality among never-smokers.
Adoptive transfer of T-helper cell type 1 clones attenuates an asthmatic phenotype in mice
Authors: Irifune K. , Yokoyama A. , Sakai K. , Watanabe A. , Katayama H. , Ohnishi H. , Hamada H. , Nakajima M. , Kohno N. , Higaki J. 
Published: March 2005

T-helper cell type 1 (Th1) cells have been postulated to have a significant role in protective immunity against allergic diseases. However, recent studies using polarised Th1 cells showed conflicting effects on both airway responsiveness and eosinophilic inflammation in a mouse asthma model. The current study explored the effects of adoptive transfer of established Th1 clones on a murine model of atopic asthma.Mice (BALB/c) were sensitised with ovalbumin (OVA) and challenged with aerosolised OVA (5%, 20 min) for 5 days. Just before starting the first challenge, Th1 clones (5×106·body−1) or PBS alone were injectedviathe tail vein. After assessment of airway responsiveness to methacholine, bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) was obtained. Histological examination, including morphometric analysis, measurement of cytokines in the BALF and Northern blotting of lung chemokines, was also performed.Adoptive transfer of Th1 clones showed a significantly increased total number of cells, whereas significantly decreased eosinophils were found in the BALF, when compared with mice with injection of vehicle alone or splenic mononuclear cells. Administration of Th1 clones significantly decreased the infiltration of eosinophils but increased mononuclear cells in the peribronchial area. Goblet cell hyperplasia and peribronchial fibrosis were also suppressed by Th1 clones. The transfer of Th1 cells significantly decreased airway responsiveness. Th1 injection significantly increased interferon gamma in the BALF, but significantly decreased interleukin (IL)-5 and IL-13. Eotaxin mRNA was predominantly expressed in the lungs of asthma model mice, whereas RANTES (regulated on activation, normal T-cell expressed and secreted) predominates in such mice with Th1 transfer.In conclusion, results suggest that the adoptive transfer of T-helper cell type 1 clones can suppress both lung eosinophilia and airway responsiveness, but increase noneosinophilic inflammation in a mouse model of asthma.
Resting energy expenditure in Duchenne patients using home mechanical ventilation
Authors: Gonzalez-Bermejo J. , Lofaso F. , Falaize L. , Lejaille M. , Raphaël J-C. , Similowski T. , Melchior J-C. 
Published: March 2005

Nutritional status is both important and difficult to assess in patients with Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD), particularly in those requiring mechanical ventilation (MV). The current authors evaluated body composition (bio-impedancemetry), resting energy expenditure (REE; indirect calorimetry) and energy intake in 20 adult patients with DMD using home MV (nocturnal: n = 13; continuous: n = 7) and 12 age-matched healthy controls.The patients were smaller in height than the controls and had a lower body weight. Most of the reduction in body mass index was accounted for by a reduction in fat free mass (FFM). REE (kJ) was significantly reduced in the patients (4559±853 kJ·24 h−1versus7407±1312 kJ·24 h−1), but the difference disappeared after correction for FFM.REE and FFM were correlated in both the controls and patients, but less strongly in the latter, the lower strength of the association being due to the patients using continuous MV (REE and FFM uncorrelated). The food intake of the patients was 1.2±0.4 greater than their REE.This study shows that patients with advanced forms of Duchenne muscular dystrophy have balanced energy intakes and resting energy expenditure.
Vascular endothelial growth factor in pleural effusions of different origin
Authors: Sack U. , Hoffmann M. , Zhao X. J. , Chan K. S. , Hui D. S. C. , Gosse H. , Engelmann L. , Schauer J. , Emmrich F. , Hoheisel G. 
Published: March 2005

This study aimed to determine the diagnostic relevance of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) in the pleural fluid and serum of patients with pleural effusions of different aetiology.VEGF was quantified in the pleural effusion fluid and serum of 96 patients with malignancies (58 lung cancers (CA) and 38 tumours with secondaries to the lung (TM)), 45 with congestive heart failure (CHF), 28 with tuberculosis (TB), 45 with acute infections (INF), and in the serum of 20 healthy controls.VEGF pleural effusion concentrations were significantly different in the main diagnostic groups. VEGF was higher in effusions of patients with malignancies (CA as well as TM) in comparison with INF, TB or CHF. In serum, however, high VEGF concentrations indicated CA, TM or INF, but not TB or CHF. Despite significant differences of VEGF levels in different patient groups, receiver-operating characteristic analysis revealed insufficient diagnostic value of VEGF for differential diagnosis of pleural effusions.In conclusion, vascular endothelial growth factor serum concentration is highly suggestive of the presence of lung disease in general, except for tuberculosis. In effusion fluid, the presence of vascular endothelial growth factor clearly indicates inflammatory or malignant origin. However, for diagnostic use, additional parameters besides vascular endothelial growth factor are mandatory.
Airway inflammation during stable and acutely exacerbated chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Authors: Fujimoto K. , Yasuo M. , Urushibata K. , Hanaoka M. , Koizumi T. , Kubo K. 
Published: March 2005

The aim of this study was to clarify the mechanism of increased airway inflammation during an acute exacerbation.A total of 68 chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients in a stable phase were enrolled and followed-up for 2–3 yrs. Inflammatory cells were analysed, and interleukin (IL)-8, neutrophil elastase, eotaxin, tryptase and RANTES (regulated on activation, normal T-cell expressed and secreted) were measured in sputum, both in a stable phase and during acute exacerbation.Out of 68 patients, 30 (unstable group) developed an acute exacerbation and expectorated adequate sputum during exacerbation. Thirty-two patients (stable group) did not develop any exacerbation for 2–3 yrs. The number of neutrophils, lymphocytes and eosinophils, and the levels of IL-8, eosinophil cationic protein (ECP), eotaxin and tryptase in sputum obtained from patients in both groups during the stable phase were significantly higher than those from healthy nonsmokers. There were no significant differences in cell analysis and biomarkers between the two groups, but patients in the unstable group showed more severe airflow limitation. In the unstable group, total cells, lymphocytes, neutrophils and eosinophils, and IL-8, neutrophil elastase, ECP and RANTES levels were significantly increased during an exacerbation from values in a stable phase.These findings suggest that exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease may associate with additional increases in airway inflammation mediated by neutrophils, lymphocytes, eosinophils, interleukin-8 and RANTES.
Phenotypic characterisation of alveolar macrophages and peripheral blood monocytes in COPD
Authors: Pons A. R. , Noguera A. , Blanquer D. , Sauleda J. , Pons J. , Agustí A. G. N. 
Published: March 2005

Alveolar macrophages (AM) participate actively in the inflammatory response that characterises chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The present study investigated potential changes in AM phenotypes in patients with COPD.Using flow cytometry, the surface expression of receptors implicated in phagocytosis (CD44, CD36, CD51, CD61, CD14), antigen-presenting capacity (human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-DR), costimulatory molecules (CD80, CD86, CD40) and complement receptor type 3 were assessed in AM from 18 patients with COPD, 14 smokers with normal lung function and nine nonsmokers.When compared to smokers with normal lung function and nonsmokers, the surface expression of HLA-DR and CD80 was lower in AM of patients with COPD. In addition, these patients had a higher percentage of AM with a low level surface expression of CD44. There did not appear to be any difference in the other receptors studied in AM between the three groups. The expression of all these receptors in peripheral blood monocytes also did not differ between groups.In conclusion, these observations suggest that the cell-mediated immune function of alveolar macrophages can be reduced in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and that this is a local rather than a systemic event.
QT interval dispersion in obstructive sleep apnoea syndrome patients without hypertension
Authors: Dursunoglu D. , Dursunoğlu N. , Evrengül H. , Özkurt S. , Kılıç M. , Fisekci F. , Kuru Ö. , Delen Ö. 
Published: March 2005

QT interval dispersion (QTd) reflects inhomogeneity of repolarisation. Delayed cardiac repolarisation leading to the prolongation of the QT interval is a well-characterised precursor of arrhythmias. Obstructive sleep apnoea syndrome (OSAS) can cause cardiovascular complications, such as arrhythmias, myocardial infarction, and systemic and pulmonary hypertension. The aim of this study was to assess QTdin OSAS patients without hypertension.A total of 49 subjects without hypertension, diabetes mellitus, any cardiac or pulmonary diseases, or any hormonal, hepatic, renal or electrolyte disorders were referred for evaluation of OSAS. An overnight polysomnography and a standard 12-lead ECG were performed in each subject. According to the apnoea–hypopnoea index (AHI), subjects were divided into control subjects (AHI <5, n = 20) and moderate–severe OSAS patients (AHI ≥15, n = 29). QTd(defined as the difference between the maximum and minimum QT interval) and QT-corrected interval dispersion (QTcd) were calculated using Bazzet's formula.In conclusion, the QTcdwas significantly higher in OSAS patients (56.1±9.3 ms) than in controls (36.3±4.5 ms). A strong positive correlation was shown between QTcdand AHI. In addition, a significantly positive correlation was shown between QTcdand the desaturation index (DI). The AHI and DI were significantly related to QTcdas an independent variable using stepwise regression analysis.The QT-corrected interval dispersion is increased in obstructive sleep apnoea syndrome patients without hypertension, and it may reflect obstructive sleep apnoea syndrome severity.