bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025_split huggingface dataset:
Sabellarids: a hidden danger or an aid to subsea pipelines?
Authors: Braithwaite C.J.R. , Robinson R.J. , Jones G. 
Published: August 2006

Routine surveys of a subsea pipeline off the NE coast of Scotland in 2000 and 2002 revealed the presence of large numbers of encrusting mounds. These were perceived as a potential risk to the integrity of the pipeline and were subject to investigation.
The mounds are constructed by sabellarid worms. Individual worms trap sand from turbulent waters, cementing grains to form robust tubes and collectively forming structures up to 0.75 m in diameter, extending over kilometres of pipeline. Growth rates appear to be relatively rapid and the areas occupied increased significantly within the initial period of observation.
The mass and surface area of these structures could affect pipeline integrity in two ways: where the pipe is in span a dead load is applied as a direct consequence of the presence of the mounds. In addition, there is an increased lateral live-load as a result of the increase in surface area presented to currents. By contrast, overgrowth of the pipeline may ultimately offer additional protection. This account describes the nature of this novel addition to shallow water pipelines and assesses its likely impact. Observations in 2004 and 2005 indicated substantial reductions in the areas covered by sabellarid colonies and here at least whatever risk they may present has so far proved transitory.
Fluctuations in an Equilibrium Convective Ensemble. Part I: Theoretical Formulation
Authors: Craig George C. , Cohen Brenda G. 
Published: August 2006

Abstract
To provide a theoretical basis for stochastic parameterization of cumulus convection, the equilibrium fluctuations of a field of cumulus clouds under homogeneous large-scale forcing are derived statistically, using the Gibbs canonical ensemble from statistical mechanics. In the limit of noninteracting convective cells, the statistics of these convective fluctuations can be written in terms of the large-scale, externally constrained properties of the system. Using this framework, the probability density function of individual cloud mass fluxes is shown to be exponential. An analytical expression for the distribution function of total mass flux over a region of given size is also derived, and the variance of this distribution is found to be inversely related to the mean number of clouds in the ensemble. In a companion paper, these theoretical predictions are tested against cloud resolving model data.
Fluctuations in an Equilibrium Convective Ensemble. Part II: Numerical Experiments
Authors: Cohen Brenda G. , Craig George C. 
Published: August 2006

Abstract
The theoretical predictions derived in Part I of this study for the equilibrium fluctuations of an idealized ensemble of noninteracting, pointlike cumulus clouds are tested against three-dimensional cloud resolving model (CRM) simulations of radiative–convective equilibrium. Simulations with different radiative cooling rates are used to give a range of cloud densities, while imposed vertical wind shear of different strengths is used to produce different degrees of convective organization. The distribution of mass flux of individual clouds is found to be exponential in all simulations, in agreement with the theory. The distribution of total mass flux over a finite region also agrees well (to within around 10%) with the theoretical prediction for all simulations, but only after a correction to the modeled variance to take account of the finite size of clouds has been made. In the absence of imposed vertical wind shear, some spatial clustering of convective cells is observed at lower forcings (−2 and −4 K day−1) on a scale of 10–20 km, while at higher forcings (−8, −12, and −16 K day−1), there is a tendency toward spatial regularity on the same scale. These localized cloud interactions, however, appear to have little effect on the magnitude of the mass flux variability. Surprisingly, the convective organization obtained in the simulations with vertical wind shear has only a small effect on the mass flux statistics, even though it shows clearly in the location of the clouds.
Regimes in Simple Systems
Authors: Lorenz Edward N. 
Published: August 2006

Abstract
Dynamical systems possessing regimes are identified with those where the state space possesses two or more regions such that transitions of the state from either region to the other are rare. Systems with regimes are compared to those where transitions are impossible.
A simple one-dimensional system where a variable is defined at N equally spaced points about a latitude circle, once thought not to possess regimes, is found to exhibit them when the external forcing F slightly exceeds its critical value F* for the appearance of chaos. Regimes are detected by examining extended time series of quantities such as total energy. A chain of k* fairly regular waves develops if F &lt; F*, and F* is found to depend mainly upon the wavelength L* = N/k*, being greatest when L* is closest to a preferred length L0. A display of time series demonstrates how the existence and general properties of the regimes depend upon L*.
The barotropic vorticity equation, when applied to an elongated rectangular region, exhibits regimes much like those occurring with the one-dimensional system. A first-order piecewise-linear difference equation produces time series closely resembling some produced by the differential equations, and it permits explicit calculation of the expected duration time in either regime. Speculations as to the prevalence of regimes in dynamical systems in general, and to the applicability of the findings to atmospheric problems, are offered.
Role of the Low-Frequency Deformation Field on the Explosive Growth of Extratropical Cyclones at the Jet Exit. Part I: Barotropic Critical Region
Authors: Rivière G. , Joly A. 
Published: August 2006

Abstract
By using new theoretical results on perturbation growth in spatially and temporally complex quasigeostrophic flows, this paper investigates the role of the large-scale deformation field on extratropical cyclones and especially on their explosive growth in the jet-exit region. Theoretical ideas are tested by decomposing the atmospheric flow into a high- and a low-frequency part and by analyzing four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4DVAR) reanalysis data of the Fronts and Atlantic Storm-Track Experiment (FASTEX) during February 1997 as well as reanalysis data for the end of December 1999.
Regions where the low-frequency deformation magnitude is greater than the absolute value of the low-frequency vorticity are shown to correspond to regions where synoptic disturbances at the same level tend to be located. These regions in the upper troposphere are intrinsically related to the horizontal inhomogeneities of the low-frequency large-scale upper-tropospheric jet but cannot be detected by looking separately at the deformation or vorticity. Transitions from one such large-scale region to the next furthermore can be accompanied by a sudden change of the dilatation axes orientation: this combination defines a barotropic critical region (BtCR). Reasons why a BtCR is a specific place where barotropic development is likely to occur are exposed. Two very differently located BtCR regions in two apparently similar zonal-like weather regimes are shown to be the preferred regions where synoptic eddies tend to cross the jet from the south to the north.
BtCRs are also special regions where constructive association between barotropic and baroclinic processes is favored, indeed constrained to cooperate. This is illustrated through the detailed analysis of the last growth stage of Intensive Observation Period 17 (IOP17) of FASTEX. It happens precisely around a BtCR area located in the jet-exit region. Two processes explain this IOP17 development; one involves the barotropic generation rate resulting from the low crossing the BtCR and the other one is baroclinic interaction, which is strongly maintained far away from the baroclinicity maximum because of the new favorable baroclinic configuration resulting from the first process.
Role of the Low-Frequency Deformation Field on the Explosive Growth of Extratropical Cyclones at the Jet Exit. Part II: Baroclinic Critical Region
Authors: Rivière G. , Joly A. 
Published: August 2006

Abstract
Midlatitude cyclones tend to develop strongly in specific locations relative to the large-scale flow, such as jet-exit zones. Here, the approach developed in Part I that highlights the role of large-scale deformation in constraining the location of such events is continued. The atmospheric flow is decomposed into a high- and low-frequency part separating large and synoptic scales. A new low-frequency diagnostic has been introduced, called effective deformation Δm. It is defined as σ2m − ζ2m, where σm is the low-frequency deformation magnitude and ζm is the low-frequency vorticity.
While Part I focused on large-scale conditions inducing an intermediate phase of barotropic growth, the present paper concentrates on other configurations that rather prevent this phase from happening. This large-scale circulation is characterized by the presence of a strong zonal upper-level jet and a lower-level jet that are meridionally quite far from each other over the Atlantic but close to one another in the eastern Atlantic region. As high-frequency disturbances are trapped by the effective deformation of the low-frequency jets, the increasing closeness of the two jets associated with that of the two effective deformation fields computed in the lower and upper levels defines a region called the baroclinic critical region where upper high-frequency disturbances and surface cyclones may strongly interact baroclinically. The increased baroclinic energy collection resulting from this constrained configuration change is outlined. An analysis of the explosive growth of the Christmas wind storms of 1999 and of mid-December 2004 provides different realizations of this configuration and associated mechanism.
Collisions of Small Drops in a Turbulent Flow. Part III: Relative Droplet Fluxes and Swept Volumes
Authors: Pinsky M. B. , Khain A. P. , Grits B. , Shapiro M. 
Published: August 2006

Abstract
Swept volumes of cloud droplets with radii below 20 μm are calculated under conditions typical of atmospheric cloud turbulence characterized by enormous values of Reynolds numbers, high turbulent intermittency, and characteristic values of the dissipation rate. To perform the calculations, the motion equation for small droplets proposed by Maxey is generalized for Stokes numbers St &gt; 0.1, which allows one to simulate relative droplet motion even for very high turbulence intensities typical of deep cumulus clouds. Analytical considerations show that droplet motion is fully determined by turbulent shears and the Lagrangian accelerations.
A new statistical representation of a turbulent flow has been proposed based on the results of the scale analysis of turbulence characteristics and those related to the droplet motion. According to the method proposed, statistical properties of turbulent flow are represented by a set of noncorrelated samples of turbulent shears and Lagrangian accelerations. Each sample can be assigned to a certain point of the turbulent flow. Each such point can be surrounded by a small “elementary” volume with linear length scales of the Kolmogorov length scale, in which the Lagrangian acceleration and turbulent shears can be considered as uniform in space and invariable in time.
This present study (Part III) investigates the droplet collisions in a turbulent flow when hydrodynamic droplet interaction (HDI) is disregarded. Using a statistical model, long series of turbulent shears and accelerations were generated, reproducing probability distribution functions (PDF) at high Reynolds numbers, as they were obtained in recent laboratory and theoretical studies. Swept volumes of droplets are calculated for each sample of an acceleration–shear pair, and the PDF of swept volumes is calculated for turbulent parameters typical of cloud turbulence. The effect of turbulent flow intermittency manifests itself in two aspects: 1) an increase of swept volume variance with increasing Reynolds number, and 2) formation of the swept volume PDF that has a sharp maximum and an elongated tail.
In spite of the fact that the magnitude of the mean swept volume increases significantly with Reynolds number and the dissipation rate, this increase does not exceed ∼60% of pure gravity values even under turbulent conditions typical of strong cumulus clouds. A comparison with the classical results of Saffman and Turner is presented and discussed.
Observational Analysis of a Gust Front to Bore to Solitary Wave Transition within an Evolving Nocturnal Boundary Layer
Authors: Knupp Kevin 
Published: August 2006

Abstract
The evolution of a gust front to bore to solitary wave transition, and comprehensive information on the evolving nocturnal boundary layer (NBL) associated with this change, are described with analysis of radar and profiler measurements. The observations were obtained on 21 June 2002 in the Oklahoma panhandle during the International H2O Project. The evolution of this system, from a strong bore (initiated by a vigorous gust front) to a solitary wave, was observed over a 4-h period with Doppler radar and surface measurements. Detailed information on the mature bore structure was obtained by a cluster of profiling instruments including two boundary layer wind profilers, a lidar ceilometer, and a microwave profiling radiometer.
A strong bore was initiated by an extensive gust front that perturbed an incipient NBL whose development (prior to sunset) was enhanced by shading from the parent mesoscale convective system. At the time of bore formation, the NBL was about 300 m deep and exhibited a surface temperature about 4 K less than the afternoon maximum. Initially, the bore assumed kinematic properties similar to those of a gust front. As the NBL stabilized, the bore matured and exhibited undular formations over 30–60-km segments along the bore axis. A 30-km-wide cloud field accompanied the mature bore system within three hours of its formation. System-relative airflow within the cloud field was front-to-rear and exhibited a primary hydraulic jump updraft (4–5 m s−1 magnitude) within the bore core. The bore core exhibited a low, smooth cloud base, a cloud depth of 2.5 km, nearly adiabatic liquid water content, and pronounced turbulence. The maximum parcel displacements within the bore were about 2 km (sufficient for marginal convective initiation), and the net parcel displacement from before to after bore passage was 0.6–0.9 km.
On the Self-Maintenance of Midlatitude Jets
Authors: Robinson Walter A. 
Published: August 2006

Abstract
In this paper an atmospheric jet is considered self-maintaining if the overall effect of baroclinic eddies is to preserve or enhance its westerly shear with height. Observations suggest that the wintertime jets in Earth’s atmosphere are self-maintaining. This has implications for the intrinsic variability of these jets—the annular modes—and for how the extratropics respond to tropical warming.
The theory of quasigeostrophic eddy–zonal flow interactions is employed to determine how a jet can be self-maintaining. Whether or not a jet is self-maintaining is found to depend sensitively on the meridional distribution of the absorption of wave activity.
The eddy driving of the jet in a simple two-level model of the global circulation is examined. It is found that, with approximately wintertime settings of parameters (a radiative equilibrium equator–pole temperature contrast of 60 K), the midlatitude jets in this model are self-maintaining. The jet is not self-maintaining, however, when the radiative equilibrium equator-to-pole temperature contrast is reduced below a critical value (∼24 K temperature contrast). Eddy amplitudes are also greatly reduced, in this case. The transition to a self-maintaining jet, as the radiative equilibrium temperature contrast is increased, suggests a set of feedback mechanisms that involve the strength of the baroclinicity in the jet center and where baroclinic eddies are absorbed in the subtropics. A barotropic eastward force applied to the model Tropics causes a poleward shift in the latitudes of greatest eddy absorption and induces a transition from a non-self-maintaining to a self-maintaining jet.
Self-maintaining behavior ultimately disappears, as the equator–pole thermal contrast, and thus the eddies, are strengthened. The flow is then highly disturbed and no longer dominated by wavelike baroclinic eddies.
Large-Eddy Simulation of Stably Stratified Atmospheric Boundary Layer Turbulence: A Scale-Dependent Dynamic Modeling Approach
Authors: Basu Sukanta , Porté-Agel Fernando 
Published: August 2006

AbstractA new tuning-free subgrid-scale model, termed locally averaged scale-dependent dynamic (LASDD) model, is developed and implemented in large-eddy simulations (LES) of stable boundary layers. The new model dynamically computes the Smagorinsky coefficient and the subgrid-scale Prandtl number based on the local dynamics of the resolved velocity and temperature fields. Overall, the agreement between the statistics of the LES-generated turbulence and some well-established empirical formulations and theoretical predictions (e.g., the local scaling hypothesis) is remarkable. Moreover, the simulated statistics obtained with the LASDD model show relatively little resolution dependence for the range of grid sizes considered here. In essence, it is shown here that the new LASDD model is a robust subgrid-scale parameterization for reliable, tuning-free simulations of stable boundary layers, even with relatively coarse resolutions.
Predictability of Precipitation from Continental Radar Images. Part IV: Limits to Prediction
Authors: Germann Urs , Zawadzki Isztar , Turner Barry 
Published: August 2006

Abstract
Predictability of precipitation is examined from storm to synoptic scales through an experimental approach using continent-scale radar composite images. The lifetime of radar reflectivity patterns in Eulerian and Lagrangian coordinates is taken as a measure of predictability. The results are stratified according to scale, location, and time in order to determine how predictability depends on these parameters. Three companion papers give a detailed description of the methodology, and present results are obtained for 143 hours of North American warm season rainfall with emphasis on lifetime, scale dependence, optimum smoothing of forecast fields, and predictability in terms of probabilistic rainfall rates.
This paper discusses the sources of forecast uncertainty and extends the analysis to a total of 1424 hours of rainfall. In a Lagrangian persistence framework the predictability problem can be separated into a component associated with growth of precipitation and a component associated with changes in the storm motion field. The role of changes in the motion field turned out to be small but not negligible. A stratification of lifetime according to location reveals the regions with high predictability and significant nonstationary storm motion.
This work is of high practical significance for three reasons: First, Lagrangian persistence of radar patterns was proved to have skill for probabilistic precipitation nowcasting. The discussion of the sources of uncertainty provides a guideline for further improvements. Second, a scale- and location-dependent benchmark is obtained against which the progress of other precipitation forecasting techniques can be evaluated. And, third, the experimental approach to predictability presented in this paper is a valuable contribution to the fundamental question of predictability of precipitation.
Optical and Microphysical Properties of Upper Clouds Measured with the Raman Lidar and Hydrometeor Videosonde: A Case Study on 29 March 2004 over Tsukuba, Japan
Authors: Sakai Tetsu , Orikasa Narihiro , Nagai Tomohiro , Murakami Masataka , Kusunoki Kenichi , Mori Kazumasa , Hashimoto Akihiro , Matsumura Takatsugu , Shibata Takashi 
Published: August 2006

AbstractOptical and microphysical properties of the upper clouds at an altitude range of 5–11 km were measured over Tsukuba, Japan, on 29–30 March 2004 using a ground-based Raman lidar and a balloon-borne hydrometeor videosonde (HYVIS). The Raman lidar measured the vertical distributions of the particle extinction coefficient, backscattering coefficients, depolarization ratio, and extinction-to-backscatter ratio (lidar ratio) at 532 nm; further, it measured the water vapor mixing ratio. The HYVIS measured the vertical distributions of the particle size, shape, cross-sectional area, and number concentration of the cloud particles by taking microscopic images. The HYVIS measurement showed that the cloud particles were ice crystals whose shapes were columnar, bulletlike, platelike, and irregular, and 7–400 μm in size. The Raman lidar measurement showed that the depolarization ratio ranged from 0% to 35% and the lidar ranged from 0.3 to 30 sr for the clouds in ice-saturated air. The comparison between the measured data and theoretical calculations of the cloud optical properties suggests that the observed variations in the depolarization ratio and lidar ratio were primarily due to the variation in the proportion of the horizontally oriented ice crystals in the clouds. The optical thickness of the cloud obtained from the lidar was about 2 times lower than that calculated from the HYVIS data, and the maximum extinction coefficient was about 5 times lower than the HYVIS data. The most probable reason for the differences is the horizontal inhomogeneities of the cloud properties between the measurements sites for the two instruments.
On the Role of Clouds and Moisture in Tropical Waves: A Two-Dimensional Model Study
Authors: Zurovac-Jevtić Danče , Bony Sandrine , Emanuel Kerry 
Published: August 2006

Abstract
Observations show that convective perturbations of the tropical atmosphere are associated with substantial variations of clouds and water vapor. Recent studies suggest that these variations may play an active role in the large-scale organization of the tropical atmosphere. The present study investigates that possibility by using a two-dimensional, nonrotating model that includes a set of physical parameterizations carefully evaluated against tropical data. In the absence of cloud–radiation interactions, the model spontaneously generates fast upwind (eastward) moving planetary-scale oscillations through the wind-induced surface heat exchange mechanism. In the presence of cloud–radiative effects, the model generates slower upwind (eastward) propagating modes in addition to small-scale disturbances advected downwind (westward) by the mean flow. Enhanced cloud–radiative effects further slow down upwind propagating waves and make them more prominent in the spectrum. On the other hand, the model suggests that interactions between moisture and convection favor the prominence of moist Kelvin-like waves in tropical variability at the expense of small-scale advective disturbances. These numerical results, consistent with theoretical predictions, suggest that the interaction of water vapor and cloud variations with convection and radiation plays an active role in the large-scale organization of the tropical atmosphere.