bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025_split huggingface dataset:
Small-volume, highly mobile pyroclastic flows formed by rapid sedimentation from pyroclastic surges at Soufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat: an important volcanic hazard
Authors: Druitt T. H. , Calder E. S. , Cole P. D. , Hoblitt R. P. , Loughlin S. C. , Norton G. E. , Ritchie L. J. , Sparks R. S. J. , Voight B. 
Published: August 2007

Abstract

Gravitational collapses of the lava dome at Soufrière Hills Volcano on 25 June and 26 December 1997 generated pyroclastic surges that spread out over broad sectors of the landscape and laid down thin, bipartite deposits. In each case, part of the settling material continued to move upon reaching the ground and drained into valleys as high-concentration granular flows of hot (120-410°C) ash and lapilli. These surge-derived pyroclastic flows travelled at no more than 10 m s
-1
but extended significantly beyond the limits of the parent surge clouds (by 3 km on 25 June and by 1 km on 26 December). The front of the 25 June flow terminated in a valley about 50 m below a small town that was occupied at the time. Despite their small deposit volumes (5-9 x 10
4
m
3
), the surge-derived pyroclastic flows travelled as far as many of the Soufrière Hills block-and-ash flows on slopes as low as a few degrees, reflecting a high degree of mobility. An analysis of the deposits from 26 December suggests that sediment accumulation rates of at least several millimetres per second were sufficient to generate pyroclastic flows by suspended-load fallout from pyroclastic surges on Montserrat. Surge-derived pyroclastic flows are an important, and hitherto underestimated, hazard around active lava domes. At Montserrat they formed by sedimentation over large catchment areas and drained into valleys different from those affected by the primary block-and-ash flows and pyroclastic surges, thereby impacting areas not anticipated to be vulnerable in prior hazards analyses. The deposits are finer-grained than those of other types of pyroclastic flow at Soufrière Hills Volcano; this may aid their recognition in ancient volcanic successions but, along with valley-bottom confinement, reduces the preservation potential.
Episodes of cyclic Vulcanian explosive activity with fountain collapse at Soufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat
Authors: Druitt T. H. , Young S. R. , Baptie B. , Bonadonna C. , Calder E. S. , Clarke A. B. , Cole P. D. , Harford C. L. , Herd R. A. , Luckett R. , Ryan G. , Voight B. 
Published: August 2007

Abstract

In 1997 Soufriére Hills Volcano on Montserrat produced 88 Vulcanian explosions: 13 between 4 and 12 August and 75 between 22 September and 21 October. Each episode was preceded by a large dome collapse that decompressed the conduit and led to the conditions for explosive fragmentation. The explosions, which occurred at intervals of 2.5 to 63 hours, with a mean of 10 hours, were transient events, with an initial high-intensity phase lasting a few tens of seconds and a lower-intensity, waning phase lasting 1 to 3 hours. In all but one explosion, fountain collapse during the first 10-20 seconds generated pyroclastic surges that swept out to 1-2 km before lofting, as well as high-concentration pumiceous pyroclastic flows that travelled up to 6 km down all major drainages around the dome. Buoyant plumes ascended 3-15 km into the atmosphere, where they spread out as umbrella clouds. Most umbrella clouds were blown to the north or NW by high-level (8-18 km) winds, whereas the lower, waning plumes were dispersed to the west or NW by low-level (<5 km) winds. Exit velocities measured from videos ranged from 40 to 140 ms-
1
and ballistic blocks were thrown as far as 1.7 km from the dome. Each explosion discharged on average 3 x 10
5
m
3
of magma, about one-third forming fallout and two-thirds forming pyroclastic flows and surges, and emptied the conduit to a depth of 0.5-2 km or more. Two overlapping components were distinguished in the explosion seismic signals: a low-frequency (c. 1 Hz) one due to the explosion itself, and a high-frequency (>2 Hz) one due to fountain collapse, ballistic impact and pyroclastic flow. In many explosions a delay between the explosion onset and start of the pyroclastic flow signal (typically 10-20 seconds) recorded the time necessary for ballistics and the collapsing fountain to hit the ground. The explosions in August were accompanied by cyclic patterns of seismicity and edifice deformation due to repeated pressurization of the upper conduit. The angular, tabular forms of many fallout pumices show that they preserve vesicularities and shapes acquired upon fragmentation, and suggest that the explosions were driven by brittle fragmentation of overpressured magmatic foam with at least 55 vol% bubbles present in the upper conduit prior to each event.
Computational modelling of the transient dynamics of the August 1997 Vulcanian explosions at Soufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat: influence of initial conduit conditions on near-vent pyroclastic dispersal
Authors: Clarke A. B. , Neri A. , Voight B. , Macedonio G. , Druitt T. H. 
Published: August 2007

Abstract

This paper presents numerical models of the Vulcanian explosions that occurred in 1997 at Soufrière Hills Volcano. Plume evolution and velocities were calculated for the well-documented and typical explosions of 6 and 7 August 1997, and these data and other observations were compared to transient, axisymmetric, multiphase flow simulations of coupled conduit evacuation and pyroclastic dispersal. Pre-explosion conduit conditions were estimated from Montserrat data, using a simple gas solubility law and assuming that conduit magma flow had stagnated with a constant overpressure prior to the explosions. Reference simulation input parameters include conduit diameter of 30 m, crater diameter of 300 m, meltwater content of 4.3±0.5°, grain sizes of 30, 2000 and 5000 µm, and conduit overpressure of l0MPa. The numerical simulations of the explosions resolved highly unsteady vent exit conditions such as velocity, pressure and mass flux, and the spatial and temporal dispersal of pyroclasts during the initial few minutes was investigated using one gas phase and two or three solid phases representing pyroclasts of different size. Our simulations produced transitional eruptive regime behaviour, dividing the erupted mass into a portion that generated a radial pyroclastic current fed by a collapsing column, and a convective portion that generated a buoyant plume. This behaviour generally mimicked the observed explosions. The movement of different particle sizes was tracked, with fine particles dominantly influencing the convective behaviour of the central plume and ash plume thermals generated above the pyroclastic currents. Simulated initial vent velocities ranged from 85 to 120ms
-1
, collapse heights ranged from 450 to 1370 m above the vent, initial pyroclastic current velocities ranged from 40 to 60 ms
-1
with surge runouts to 1.8 km, drawdown depths in the conduit were a few hundred metres, and simulated pyroclastic current deposit temperatures ranged between 135 and 430°C. Subsets of these results are in reasonable agreement with observed and measured parameters of the 1997 explosions. The best match was intermediate between our reference simulation, which assumed no loss of volatiles from the conduit during rise from the magma reservoir and which appeared too energetic, and another simulation in which much volatile leakage was assumed. The results suggest that volatile depletion in the conduit was an important factor in influencing the dynamic behaviour of the Vulcanian explosions on Montserrat.
Numerical modelling of tephra fallout associated with dome collapses and Vulcanian explosions: application to hazard assessment on Montserrat
Authors: Bonadonna C. , Macedonio G. , Sparks R. S. J. 
Published: August 2007

Abstract
Hazardous effects of tephra fallout on Montserrat include roof collapse, aviation threats, health hazards from respirable crystalline silica, crop pollution, road safety and lahar generation. An advection-diffusion model was developed to investigate tephra dispersal from dome collapses and Vulcanian explosions, which generated most of the fallout tephra during the 1995-1999 eruptive period of Soufrière Hills Volcano. Wind field, atmospheric diffusion, gravity settling, aggregation and elutriation processes are considered. Computed isomass maps compare well with field observations and require aggregation of fine ash for good agreement. Probability maps were also compiled. Individual probability maps (for individual dome collapses and Vulcanian explosions) are based on the statistics of wind profiles and show that fallout tephra generated by individual eruptive events on a Montserrat scale do not cause serious damage in any area on Montserrat. Cumulative probability maps (for a given scenario of activity) are generated by sampling statistical distributions of wind profiles and eruptive events over an extended period of time. They show that persistent tephra fallout can accumulate enough material to cause roof collapses and serious damage to vegetation in the SW part of the island, and minor damage to vegetation in the north, as also confirmed by field data.
Seismicity, gas emission and deformation from 18 July to 25 September 1995 during the initial phreatic phase of the eruption of Soufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat
Authors: Gardner C. A. , White R. A. 
Published: August 2007

Abstract
On 18 July 1995, after more than three years of irregularly increasing seismicity, phreatic explosions opened a new vent on Soufrière Hills Volcano, about 4 km east of the capital city of Plymouth, Montserrat. By early August 1995, the volcano was monitored by a nine-station seismic network, three telemetered electronic tiltmeters, and daily correlation spectroscopy (COSPEC) flights to measure S02 emission rates and to observe vent areas. Seismicity and S02 emission rates implicated magma intrusion as the cause of the seismic unrest. Strong evidence of magma ascent to shallow levels, however, did not appear until late September 1995, when increasing numbers of hybrid events heralded the formation of a small dome and spine. We infer from the data that intrusion of a small volume of magma occurred in July, but stalled on ascent. Degassing of the stalled magma formed a carapace that thickened with time. We suggest that either volatile build-up beneath the degassed carapace, or aseismic intrusion of fresh material, finally forced the stalled magma to the surface in late September 1995. A similar cycle of activity appears to have occurred during the second phreatic phase between late September and mid-November 1995.
Spaceborne radar measurements of the eruption of Soufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat
Authors: Wadge G. , Scheuchl B. , Stevens N. F. 
Published: August 2007

Abstract
Radar measurements from space are used to help monitor the evolution of a Peléean eruption on Soufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat, during 1996 to April 1999. Data from four radar systems are used: ERS-1, ERS-2, Radarsat and JERS-1. We demonstrate that ratio images of backscattered radar energy collected at different times provide useful qualitative summary maps of gross topographic change (e.g. infilling of valleys with deposits) and changes in backscattering properties with time. Radar phase data using the interferometry technique can also provide valuable change detection information. Phase coherence images for ERS-1 and ERS-2 pairs with only one day separation on 25 and 26 September 1997 and 8 and 9 April 1999 allow the areal extent of some pyroclastic flows deposits emplaced during those 24-hour periods to be mapped. Generally, the radar phase can only be retrieved from those parts of the volcano where the vegetation is destroyed by pyroclastic flow deposits and local slopes are not too steep. Quantitative information on the topography of the volcano can also be extracted from the phase data, though not routinely from the new lava dome that grew during 1995-1998. By comparing the radar-measured post-eruption topography with the pre-eruption topography the thickness of the pyroclastic flow deposits (up to 85 m in some valleys on the northeastern slopes) are mapped. Radar interferometry also supplies a means of measuring surface deformation between radar images.
Wind Run Changes: The Dominant Factor Affecting Pan Evaporation Trends in Australia
Authors: Rayner D. P. 
Published: August 2007

AbstractThe Class A pan evaporation rates at many Australian observing stations have reportedly decreased between 1970 and 2002. That pan evaporation rates have decreased at the same time that temperatures have increased has become known as the “pan evaporation paradox.”Pan evaporation is primarily dependant on relative humidity, solar radiation, and wind. In this paper, trends in observed pan evaporation in Australia during the period 1975–2004 were attributed to changes in other climate variables using a Penman-style pan evaporation model. Trends in daily average wind speed (termed wind run) were found to be an important cause of trends in pan evaporation. This result is a significant step toward resolving the pan evaporation paradox for Australia.Data inspection and interstation comparison revealed that some of the significant wind run trends were discontinuous or spatially uncorrelated. These analyses raised the possibility that some of the changes in observed wind run, and by implication some of the significant changes in pan evaporation, may represent changes in the local environment surrounding the observing stations.Daily pressure gradients and NCEP–NCAR reanalysis wind surfaces were analyzed in an attempt to identify any climatological wind run trends associated with large-scale changes in atmospheric circulations. Unfortunately, the trends from the two data sources were not consistent, and the challenge remains to conclusively identify the cause or causes of the changes in observed station wind run in Australia.
Modeled Impact of Anthropogenic Land Cover Change on Climate
Authors: Findell Kirsten L. , Shevliakova Elena , Milly P. C. D. , Stouffer Ronald J. 
Published: August 2007

Abstract
Equilibrium experiments with the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory’s climate model are used to investigate the impact of anthropogenic land cover change on climate. Regions of altered land cover include large portions of Europe, India, eastern China, and the eastern United States. Smaller areas of change are present in various tropical regions. This study focuses on the impacts of biophysical changes associated with the land cover change (albedo, root and stomatal properties, roughness length), which is almost exclusively a conversion from forest to grassland in the model; the effects of irrigation or other water management practices and the effects of atmospheric carbon dioxide changes associated with land cover conversion are not included in these experiments.
The model suggests that observed land cover changes have little or no impact on globally averaged climatic variables (e.g., 2-m air temperature is 0.008 K warmer in a simulation with 1990 land cover compared to a simulation with potential natural vegetation cover). Differences in the annual mean climatic fields analyzed did not exhibit global field significance. Within some of the regions of land cover change, however, there are relatively large changes of many surface climatic variables. These changes are highly significant locally in the annual mean and in most months of the year in eastern Europe and northern India. They can be explained mainly as direct and indirect consequences of model-prescribed increases in surface albedo, decreases in rooting depth, and changes of stomatal control that accompany deforestation.
The Sensitivity of the Radiation Budget in a Climate Simulation to Neglecting the Effect of Small Ice Particles
Authors: Boudala Faisal S. , Isaac George A. , McFarlane N. A. , Li J. 
Published: August 2007

Abstract
The sensitivity of the atmospheric radiation budget to ignoring small ice particles (D ≤ 100 μm) in parameterization of the mean effective size of ice particles was investigated by using the Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis (CCCma) third-generation general atmospheric circulation model (AGCM3). The results indicate that small ice particles play two crucial roles in the radiative transfer that influence the simulated climate. First, they inhibit the IR radiation from escaping to space and, second, they enhance the scattering of solar radiation. On average, these two effects tend to partially cancel each other out. However, based on AGCM simulations, the small ice crystals make clouds more opaque to IR radiation. Generally, 5-yr seasonally averaged GCM results suggest that the strongest anomalies in outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) are found in the Tropics, reaching 15 to 25 W m−2 in areas where cold high cirrus anvil clouds are prevalent. The global average change in net cloud radiative forcing was 2.4 W m−2 in June–August (JJA) and 1.7 W m−2 in December–February (DJF). The change in globally averaged 5-yr mean cloud forcing was close to 1.9 W m−2. When the small particles were included, the globally averaged 5-yr mean precipitation decreased by about 8%, but cloudiness increased only slightly (by 2%). The 5-yr averaged global mean surface (screen) temperature also increased slightly (about 0.2°C) when the small ice particles were included.
Decadal Climate Variability: Is There a Tidal Connection?
Authors: Ray Richard D. 
Published: August 2007

Abstract
A possible connection between oceanic tides and climate variability arises from modulations in tidally induced vertical mixing. The idea is reexamined here with emphasis on near-decadal time scales. Occasional extreme tides caused by unusually favorable alignments of the moon and sun are unlikely to influence decadal climate, since these tides are of short duration and, in fact, are barely larger than the typical spring tide near lunar perigee. The argument by Keeling and Whorf in favor of extreme tides is further handicapped by an insufficiently precise catalog of extreme tides. A more plausible connection between tides and near-decadal climate is through “harmonic beating” of nearby tidal spectral lines. The 18.6-yr modulation of diurnal tides is the most likely to be detectable. Possible evidence for this is reviewed. Some of the most promising candidates rely on temperature data in the vicinity of the North Pacific Ocean where diurnal tides are large, but definitive detection is hindered by the shortness of the time series. Paleoclimate temperature data deduced from tree rings are suggestive, but one of the best examples shows a phase reversal, which is evidence against a tidal connection.
Relationships between Climate Variability and Fluctuations in Daily Precipitation over the United States
Authors: Higgins R. W. , Silva V. B. S. , Shi W. , Larson J. 
Published: August 2007

Abstract
Fluctuations in the frequency of daily precipitation occurrence and in the intensity of daily precipitation over the United States during the period 1948–2004 are identified and linked to leading sources of interannual and interdecadal climate variability. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomena are implicated in interannual fluctuations while the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) and the Arctic Oscillation (AO) are linked to recent interdecadal fluctuations.
For the conterminous United States as a whole there have been increases in the annual frequency of occurrence of wet days and heavy precipitation days and in the mean daily and annual total precipitation over the past several decades, though these changes have not been uniform. The possibility of significant natural forcing of these interdecadal variations in precipitation is explored. It is shown that the PDO is associated with these fluctuations over the western and southern United States, while the AO is also associated with them but to a much lesser extent over the southeastern United States. Because the interdecadal fluctuations are linked to changes in the global-scale circulation and sea surface temperatures associated with the PDO, the results imply that a significant portion of the skill of climate models in anticipating fluctuations in daily precipitation statistics over the United States will arise from an ability to forecast the temporal and spatial variability of the interdecadal shifts in tropical precipitation and in the associated teleconnection patterns into the midlatitudes.
Asymmetric Responses of Tropical Precipitation during ENSO
Authors: Chou Chia , Lo Min-Hui 
Published: August 2007

Abstract
In response to the zonally symmetric El Niño–Southern Oscillation forcing, hemispherically asymmetric tropical precipitation anomalies associated with the Hadley circulation are found. In boreal spring after an El Niño peak phase, positive tropical precipitation anomalies occur in the Southern Hemisphere, while negative precipitation anomalies are found in the Northern Hemisphere. This zonal asymmetry is more apparent in the El Niño decaying phase than in the El Niño growing phase. The maximum amplitude of this zonal asymmetry lags one season behind the maximum SST anomalies over the tropical eastern Pacific. This lagged response of the asymmetry is mainly because of the tropical precipitation outside the tropical eastern Pacific, which is associated with the SST and tropospheric temperature anomalies outside the tropical eastern Pacific. A combination of the effect associated with the anomalous gross moist stability and the effect of the horizontal moist static energy (MSE) transport is responsible for the asymmetry. The above effects are associated with the seasonal migration of the Hadley circulation. Warm SST and tropospheric temperature anomalies increase the low-level moisture in the Tropics. In the effect associated with anomalous gross moist stability, the tropical precipitation over the ascending branch of the Hadley circulation is enhanced because of the decrease of effective moist stability, which is induced by the increase of low-level moisture. This enhancement associated with the Hadley circulation reduces the low-level moisture over the descending branch and creates a meridional moisture gradient. In the effect of the horizontal MSE transport, the tropical precipitation anomalies over margins of the ascending branch is reduced by dry advection from the descending branch, which is associated with mean Hadley circulation.