Abstract 219: TP53 loss: An overriding marker of disease progression in Multiple Myeloma
Authors: Issa Samar , Braggio Esteban , Molnar Soledad , Jimenez-Zepeda Victor Hugo , Van Wier Scott , Keats Jonathan J. , Kuehl Michael W. , Ahmann Gregory J. , Carpten John , Stewart Keith , Bergsagel Leif , Chng Wee Joo , Fonseca Rafael 
Published: June 2012

Abstract
Multiple Myeloma (MM) is an incurable plasma-cell disorder progressing from indolent monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) and smoldering myeloma (SMM) to relapse MM and finally plasma cell leukemia (PCL). Alterations affecting TP53 are among the principal genetic progression events associated with disease progression.
We analyzed results from gene expression profiling (GEP), array-based comparative genomic hybridization (aCGH), fluorescent in situ hybridization (FISH) and mutational data on the largest cohort published to date of 806 patients from all MM stages and 48 human myeloma cell lines (HMCLs).
The prevalence of monoallelic TP53 deletions by aCGH is 1.4%, 3.7%, 8.9% and 25%, in MGUS, SMM, newly diagnosed and relapsed MM respectively. It reaches 53% in HMCLs and 75% in secondary PCL. No biallelic TP53 deletion were observed in patients and only 8% in HMCLs. In relapsed MM, the prevalence of TP53 deletions increases from 12/75 patients (16%) at first, to 9/31 patients (29%) in second and 5/7 patients (71%) in third relapse or more. We studied by FISH the status of TP53 in 113 patients from early stages progressing to relapse. Overall 15/113 patients had TP53 deletion, we confirmed that 10/15 patients acquired TP53 deletion at late stages. Next, we investigated the mutational status of TP53 in 59 relapsed MM patients, 5/59 samples (8.5%) had TP53 mutations, 4/5 mutations were located in the DNA binding domain. Presence of TP53 deletion conferred poor overall survival in relapsed MM patients (4.2 vs. 37.8 months, p = 0.015).
A cohort of 239 patients had GEP-aCGH paired analysis we used a validated 70-gene model to stratify patients based on calculations obtained by GEP. The cohort was divided into quartiles and we observed the prevalence of TP53 in the low and high-risk groups. TP53 deletion was observed in 33/239 patients (14%) by aCGH, 2/33 (6%) had GEP values in the low-risk and 13/33 (39%) in the high-risk group. Next, we used a previously proposed cut-off value predicting TP53 deletion when GEP values are less than 733. We tried to validate this value as a surrogate for direct detection of TP53 deletion, and used the positive predictive value (PPV) of such level as a potential clinically useful marker. The fact that aCGH is the gold standard approach to define copy-number alterations, the proposed cut-off value failed to predict TP53 deletion as the PPV was low at 18% and the sensitivity of 69%.
Finally, we studied by aCGH the status of MDM2 and CDKN2A, two key regulators of TP53. MDM2 gain and CDKN2A loss were infrequent events in patients even in advanced disease. In 48 HMCLs, only one had MDM2 copy gain (2%) while 14 cell lines had CDKN2A loss (29%).
In MM, emergence of TP53 deletion/mutations in MM and its increase in aggressive stages of disease remain the overriding genetic factor for poor prognosis determination and a marker of progressive genetic events. Based on GEP, the 733 cut-off value did not accurately predict TP53 deletion.
Citation Format: {Authors}. {Abstract title} [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 102nd Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2011 Apr 2-6; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2011;71(8 Suppl):Abstract nr 219. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2011-219