bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025_split huggingface dataset:
Quantifying cascading uncertainty in compound flood modeling with linked process-based and machine learning models
Authors: Muñoz David F. , Moftakhari Hamed , Moradkhani Hamid 
Published: June 2024

Abstract. Compound flood (CF) modeling enables the simulation of nonlinear water level dynamics in which concurrent or successive flood drivers synergize, producing larger impacts than those from individual drivers. However, CF modeling is subject to four main sources of uncertainty: (i) the initial condition, (ii) the forcing (or boundary) conditions, (iii) the model parameters, and (iv) the model structure. These sources of uncertainty, if not quantified and effectively reduced, cascade in series throughout the modeling chain and compromise the accuracy of CF hazard assessments. Here, we characterize cascading uncertainty using linked process-based and machine learning (PB–ML) models for a well-known CF event, namely, Hurricane Harvey in Galveston Bay, TX. For this, we run a set of hydrodynamic model scenarios to quantify isolated and cascading uncertainty in terms of maximum water level residuals; additionally, we track the evolution of residuals during the onset, peak, and dissipation of Hurricane Harvey. We then develop multiple linear regression (MLR) and PB–ML models to estimate the relative and cumulative contribution of the four sources of uncertainty to total uncertainty over time. Results from this study show that the proposed PB–ML model captures “hidden” nonlinear associations and interactions among the sources of uncertainty, thereby outperforming conventional MLR models. The model structure and forcing conditions are the main sources of uncertainty in CF modeling, and their corresponding model scenarios, or input features, contribute to 56 % of variance reduction in the estimation of maximum water level residuals. Following these results, we conclude that PB–ML models are a feasible alternative for quantifying cascading uncertainty in CF modeling.
ТУРУКТУУ ӨНҮГҮҮНҮН МАКСАТТАРЫН ИШКЕ АШЫРУУДА МАТЕМАТИКАЛЫК МАСЕЛЕЛЕРДИН ОРДУ
Authors: Турдубаева Кандалатхан 
Published: June 2024

Бул макалада туруктуу өнүгүү максаттарын ишке ашыруу боюнча 193 мамлекет мүчө болгон БУУ 2015-жылдын 25-сентябрында кабыл алган милдеттенмелер каралган. Туруктуу өнүгүү максаттары – бул эл аралык коомчулуктун алдында турган жакынкы 15 жылда теңсиздик менен жакырчылыкты жоюу, социалдык интеграцияга жетишүү, глобалдык климаттын өзгөрүшүн токтотуу жана дүйнөнү куруу, мында биздин урпактардын татыктуу жашоосу үчүн ресурстардын жетиштүүлүгү болгон 17 максатты жана 169 милдеттерди ишке ашырууда мектеп билим берүүсүндө математикалык маселелердин ролу каралды. Математикалык маселелер туруктуу өнүгүү максаттарын ишке ашырууда, б.а. ресурстарды пайдаланууну оптималдаштырууга, климаттын өзгөрүшүн болжолдоого жана жооп берүүгө, теңсиздикти азайтууга, билим берүүнү жана инновацияны өнүктүрүүгө кайдигер болбой салымын кошо ала турган окуучуларды калыптандырат.
On the Philosophical Incoherence of a Duty to Promote the Highest Good
Authors: Kahn Samuel 
Published: June 2024

AbstractAccording to Kantian moral religion, because there is a duty to promote the highest good, we are warranted in believing in God and immortality. However, this article shows that the duty to promote the highest good is incoherent, and that popular conceptualizations of the highest good cannot avoid this incoherence. After arguing, additionally, against attempts to ground Kantian moral religion on the highest good in some role other than the object of duty, it is shown that Kant seems to have been aware of the original problem, suggesting an explanation for why he abandoned the highest good around 1800.
Symbolic Regression for the Wall Effect on a Settling Sphere in a Circular Cylinder
Authors: Elghannay Husam A. , El Hasadi Yousef M. F. 
Published: June 2024

The main contribution of the current paper is to provide symbolic regression-based correlations for the wall correction factor of a sphere settling in a static fluid confined in an infinitely long circular cylinder. The first correlation will be valid for the entire spectrum of the flow regimes that range from the creeping flow regime up to the turbulent flow regime. While the second correlation is compact and only valid in the creeping flow regime, it accurately reassembles Haberman and Sayre's complicated analytical formula (David Taylor Model Basin Report No. 1143, Washington, D. C, US Navy Dept, 1958). A review of the available data and correlations is made to justify the selection of the data used in generating the correlation. This is followed by feeding a representative data to a symbolic regression software, selecting a dependency of the parameter of interest, running the software and selecting a correlation that has a relatively small length with good accuracy among the resulting suggested formulas. We used a small volume of training data from experiments to feed the symbolic regression machine-learning algorithm. The developed formula compared reasonably well with the available data and can extrapolate beyond its training data range. For the correlation limited for the creeping flow regime, the training data was obtained by solving a set of equations that constitute the Haberman and Sayre analytical formula. The obtained expression compared well when compared to the exact solution.
Normothermia to Decrease Surgical Site Infection Risk: Silver Bullet or Fool's Gold? A Retrospective Cohort Study
Authors: Liedl Henry J.C. , Lazenby Kevin A. , Arimoto Ryuji S. , Singh Armaan , Strelzow Jason A. 
Published: June 2024

Purpose:
Surgical site infection (SSI) is the leading cause of nosocomial infections among surgical patients in the United States. Currently, there is compelling evidence suggesting that temperature dysregulation in surgical patients may be a risk factor for the development of SSI. We examined the relationship between perioperative hypothermia (PH) and SSI in a population of surgical patients with diabetes mellitus (DM).

Methods:
This retrospective cohort review was conducted on patients with a history of DM undergoing orthopaedic surgery at our institution between May 1, 2018, and April 1, 2022. Inclusion criteria were age older than 15 years, a history of DM or recent hemoglobin A1c concentration of ≥6.5%, and operation of at least 60 minutes under general anesthesia. Perioperative hypothermia was defined as an intraoperative temperature ≤ 35.5°C. Continuous variables were compared using the t-test and Wilcoxon rank-sum test. Categorical variables were compared using the chi-squared test. We constructed a multivariable logistic regression model to estimate SSI risk while controlling for demographic variables.

Results:
A total of 236 patients were included in the final analysis. The overall incidence of SSI was 5.93%. 99 patients (42%) experienced PH. No difference was observed in the risk of SSI between the normothermic and hypothermic cohorts. Among the 99 patients who experienced PH, increasing HbA1c was associated with increasing risk of SSI (OR = 2.39, 95% CI = 1.12 to 5.32, P-value = 0.0222). The multivariable logistic regression model had good discriminatory ability (c-statistic 0.74, 95% CI: 0.61 to 0.89) and good predictive accuracy (sensitivity 64%, specificity 73%).

Discussion:
PH is not an independent risk factor of SSI. However, in the presence of elevated HbA1c, PH may more than double the risk of SSI. Perioperative hypothermia may be an additive risk factor in the setting of poor glycemic control and potentially in the setting of other known risk factors.
Using the Equatorial Talar Line as a Radiographic Predictor of Sanders Type 3 and 4 Calcaneus Fractures and Lateral Wall Blowout
Authors: Jankowski Jaclyn M. , Boe Eric , Combs Kristen C.R. , Thomas John C. , Keller David M. , Zapf Christian G. , Yingling John M. , Liporace Frank A. , Yoon Richard S. , Langford Joshua R. 
Published: June 2024

Objective:
To assess the equatorial talar line (ETL) as a sensitive radiographic parameter to predict Sanders type III and IV fractures and the presence of lateral wall blowout.

Methods:
Reliability of the ETL was assessed using the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) and receiver operating curve (ROC) to predict sensitivity. Using lateral ankle radiographs, raters determined whether the calcaneal tuberosity was “above” (predicting Sanders type I or II) or “below” (predicting Sanders type III or IV and lateral wall blowout).

Results:
In determining the “above” or “below” location of the ETL, the calculated ICC was 1.0 for each session. As a predictor of Sanders fracture classification type, the calculated ICC was 0.93 for the first session and 0.89 for the second session for an overall ICC of 0.91. As a predictor of Sanders fracture type, ROC analysis yielded an overall sensitivity of 0.82. As a predictor of lateral wall blowout, ROC analysis yielded an overall sensitivity of 0.81.

Conclusion:
The ETL is a reproducible radiographic parameter that can be reliably used to crudely predict between Sanders type I or II (ETL is “above”) and Sanders type III or IV (ETL is “below”) calcaneus fractures as well as the presence of lateral wall blowout.
INVESTMENTS IN THE ECONOMIC RECOVERY OF THE REPUBLIC OF CRIMEA FROM 2014 TO 2024
Authors: Вельм И.М. 
Published: June 2024

В статье представлен анализ инвестиционных вложений Республики Крым за период с 2014 по 2024 гг. с целью предложения рекомендаций по реализации инвестиционного потенциала региона. Получен вывод, что несмотря на наличие высокого потенциала региона, интерес со стороны частных инвесторов к Республике Крым остается относительно невысоким, а доля бюджетных средств в структуре источников финансирования остается высокой. Следовательно, для Республики Крым актуальны вопросы привлечения частных инвестиций. Для привлечения частного капитала и реализации экономического потенциала Крыма необходимо активное инвестирование в транспортную инфраструктуру и сектор жилищного строительства, что сократит транспортные издержки и повысит экономическую активность. Поддержка малого и среднего бизнеса в туристическом секторе и смежных отраслях через финансовые субсидии, льготное кредитование и образовательные программы будет способствовать росту занятости и развитию региона. Привлечение инвестиций в приоритетные отрасли, такие как пищевая промышленность, машиностроение и металлообработка, обеспечит диверсификацию экономики. Создание благоприятного инвестиционного климата с прозрачной правовой и налоговой средой, улучшением административных процедур и защитой прав инвесторов повысит доверие частных инвесторов и поддержит устойчивый экономический рост.
The article presents an analysis of investment investments of the Republic of Crimea for the period from 2014 to 2024 in order to offer recommendations on the implementation of the investment potential of the region. It was concluded that despite the high potential of the region, private investors' interest in the Republic of Crimea remains relatively low, and the share of budget funds in the structure of financing sources remains high. Therefore, the issues of attracting private investment are relevant for the Republic of Crimea. In order to attract private capital and realize the economic potential of Crimea, it is necessary to actively invest in transport infrastructure and the housing construction sector, which will reduce transport costs and increase economic activity. Support for small and medium-sized businesses in the tourism sector and related industries through financial subsidies, preferential loans and educational programs will contribute to employment growth and development of the region. Attracting investments in priority sectors such as the food industry, mechanical engineering and metalworking will ensure the diversification of the economy. Creating a favorable investment climate with a transparent legal and tax environment, improving administrative procedures and protecting investors' rights will increase the confidence of private investors and support sustainable economic growth.
ANALYSIS OF REGIONAL PRACTICES FOR THE IMPLEMENTATION OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS, TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE SECTORAL STRUCTURE
Authors: Дудина В.Ю. , Арташина И.А. , Федотова О.В. , Табекина О.А. 
Published: June 2024

Цель проведения исследования заключается в рассмотрении и систематизации проектов устойчивого развития, реализуемых в субъектах РФ, с учетом представленности структурных элементов концепции ESG. В статье отражены результаты исследования отраслевых и предметных параметров внедрения проектов ESG в региональном разрезе применительно к Приволжскому федеральному округу. Авторами работы на основе открытых источников информации, включающих результаты мониторинга реализации проектов ESG в РФ, проведена систематизация статистических и экспертно-аналитических данных по критериям целевой, содержательно-тематической и региональной направленности. Значимость работы заключается в обобщении регионального опыта реализации проектов устойчивого развития в динамике, включая изменение качественных и количественных характеристик. Представленный аналитический материал и полученные по итогу проведенного исследования выводы имеют практическую значимость для структурных подразделений региональных органов исполнительной власти, осуществляющих функции разработки и реализации проектов устойчивого развития; научных и образовательных организаций; социальных и бизнес-структур.
Abstract. The purpose of the study is to review and systematize sustainable development projects implemented in the subjects of the Russian Federation, taking into account the representation of the structural elements of the ESG concept. The article reflects the results of a study of the sectoral and subject parameters of the implementation of ESG projects in the regional context in relation to the Volga Federal District. The authors of the work based on open sources of information, including the results of monitoring the implementation of ESG projects in the Russian Federation, systematized statistical and expert-analytical data according to criteria of a target, content-thematic and regional orientation. The significance of the work lies in the generalization of regional experience in the implementation of sustainable development projects in dynamics, including changes in qualitative and quantitative characteristics. The presented analytical material and the conclusions obtained as a result of the conducted research are of practical importance for the structural divisions of regional executive authorities responsible for the development and implementation of sustainable development projects; scientific and educational organizations; social and business structures.
F. Peningkatan Hasil Belajar IPA Melalui Model Pembelajaran Kooperatif Tipe STAD (Student Team Achievement Division) Pada Siswa Kelas II SDN Sidomukti Bungah Gresik Tahun Pelajaran 2018/2019
Authors: Utari Juwita Permata Arya , Rohmania Iin Hardiyanti Sri 
Published: June 2024

Abstrac

This research is motivated by the problem of students' lack of motivation in participating in science learning because teachers still use conventional learning models. So that student learning outcomes tend to be low. This makes researchers want to apply the STAD type cooperative learning model (Student Team Achievement Division).
The research subjects were the second grade students of SDN Sidomukti Bungah Gresik which numbered 18 students. Theoretical studies that support this research include the notion of learning and learning outcomes, kinds of learning outcomes, factors that influence learning outcomes, understanding of natural sciences, characteristics of learning natural sciences, learning objectives of natural sciences, learning of natural sciences at school basic, characteristics of elementary school students, cooperative learning models, STAD models (Student Team Achievement Division), science materials for animal and plant growth. Based on the results of this study it can be concluded that through the cooperative learning model STAD type (Student Team Achievement Division) can improve student learning outcomes from 94% increase to 100%.

Keywords: Science Learning Outcomes, STAD Type Cooperative Learning Model (Student Team Achievement Division).
H. Pengembangan Modul Mata Kuliah Pembelajaran Terpadu Untuk Meningkatkan Perkuliahan Di Jurusan S-1 PGSD FIP UNESA
Authors: . Julianto , Gregorius Jandut , Darmawati Endang 
Published: June 2024

Abstract
S1 PGSD in the curriculum, integrated learning is one of the subjects that must be programmed S1 students PGSD (UNESA Handbook, 2011-2012). Through several revisions description of the curriculum, this course has not had a textbook that is adequate for students S1 PGSD, just book supplements of program D-2, and publications such as Fogarti that have not been able to provide examples of real students PGSD as well as the occurrence of disagreement between lecturers eye the lecture. For the purpose of this research proposal was made to develop an integrated learning course modules in accordance with their lessons in primary schools. The module includes (1) the introduction, (2) Learning Activities section, and (3) references. Introductory section contains (1) a general explanation of the module, (2) indicator of learning. Learning Activities section contains (1) a description of the content of learning, (2) summarize, (3) test, (4) the answer key, and (5) feedback. Contributions in the study subjects resulted in a module integrated learning at the Department PGSD Unesa FIP. This research is a development being done by developing an integrated learning course modules. This module adopts the model of development of research and development by Gravemeijer (1994, in Amin, 2006) which includes the steps of: 1) Analysis of the problem; 2) Design; 3) Realization; 4) Validation; and 5) Implementation. In this study only at the stage 3 only namely to produce a draft module integrated learning courses. Outcomes in this study is the MK Module Integrated Learning. So far, it can be concluded that the research module development conducted by researchers went according to planned time, so it can produce MK Module Integrated Learning accordance with the characteristics and needs of students in the field. Modules produced in this study, requires students to learn independently in understanding the concepts that exist in the MK-integrated learning, in addition to regular students attend lectures in the classroom.
Based on the expert validation results showed that the modules that have been developed feasible for use with some revisions suggested by the experts. For expert validation results gained an average of 4.13 for the material terms, in terms of construction 4.10, and 4.20 in terms of language. While student response to MK module Integrated Learning gained an average of 4.33 in material terms, in terms of construction of 4.35 and 4.64 in terms of language. As for suggestions obtained from the results of validation and student response associated with the writing (spacing, font, and font letters are used) and the summary contained in the module are simplified.
Keywords: Module, Integrated Learning, PGSD.
B PENGGUNAAN METODE DISKUSI DALAM MENINGKATKAN KEMAMPUAN BERTANYA PADA PEMBELAJARAN PENDIDIKAN KEWARGANEGARAAN KELAS VI SD ISLAM NURUL HIKMAH SUGIO LAMONGAN
Authors: Listyoningsih Elmi , Niawati Dwi 
Published: June 2024

Abstrac
Low active learners in the learning process in answering and asking questions, experiencing difficulties or less daring to ask questions, express their opinions, ideas and idea orally into a problem. The purpose of this research is to improve the ability to inquire on education learning Kwarganegaraan class VI students at SD Islam Nurul Hikmah Lebakadi, Sugio Sub-district, Lamongan. The subjects in this study consisted of 15 students at the Nurul Hikmah Islamic SCHOOL. This research is a class action research consisting of 2 cycles. Each cycle consists of planning, implementation, observation and reflection. The data analysis techniques in this study are quantitative and qualitative descriptive techniques. The results showed that there was an increase in the average student learning outcomes from cycle 1 to cycle 2 which amounted to 67.86% to 80.73%. This demonstrates that the method of discussion can increase the ability to ask the learning of citizenship class VI Elementary School Islamic Nurul Hikmah.

Keywords: Methods of discussion, ability to ask, citizenship education
Konflik Generasi Z Di Bidang Pendidikan Di Era Revolusi Industri 4.0 Tantangan dan Solusinya
Authors: Reza Fachrul , Tinggogoy Filo Leonardo 
Published: June 2024

Artikel ini sendiri mengulas tentang konflik generasi Z di bidang pendidikan bagi generasi Z. Penduduk Negara Indonesia saat ini didominasi oleh generasi millennial dan generasi Z/ GenZ. Generasi millennial saat ini rata-rata berposisi sebagai mahasiswa atau menjadi pegawai muda pada instansi pemerintah atau perusahaan-perusahaan swasta. Sedangkan generasi Z saat ini berumur antara 1 sampai dengan 20 tahun rata-rata masih anak-anak dan remaja yang masih berstatus sebagai balita, pelajar dan mahasiswa atau sedang menjalani masa-masa pendidikan. Dua generasi inilah yang akan memanggul amanah pembangunan masa depan Indonesia yang penuh dengan tantangan. Mereka perlu dipersiapkan menjadi generasi muda berkualitas yang harus dapat menjawab tantangan di masa Revolusi indusrti 4.0. melalui sistem pendidikan yang sesuai dengan tuntutan zaman. Kiranya tidak berlebihan jika dikatakan bahwa eksistensi suatu bangsa tergantung dari keberhasilan pembangunan sistem pendidikannya. Diperlukan sistem pendidikan yang dapat memfasilitasi pembelajar untuk merdeka belajar dengan memanfaatkan teknologi informasi. Dengan sistem pendidikan merdeka belajar memungkinkan pembelajar untuk menentukan pilihan focus dan strategi pencapaian keberhasilan belajarnya. Tersedianya akses informasi yang sangat luas tanpa batas sangat memungkinkan pembelajar berselancar di dunia maya untuk dapat memilah dan memilih ilmu pengetahuan dan teknologi yang dibutuhkan untuk pengembangan potensinya. Penguasaan penggunaaan alat dan media informasi menjadi sesuatu yang mutlak harus dimiliki oleh pembelajar sehingga merdeka belajar dapat terwujud tanpa harus terkukung oleh kurikulum yang kaku dan mengekang pembelajar namun itulah yang menjadikannya mudah untuk berkonflik terhadap diri sendiri dan orang lain di sekitarnya di karenakan tidak adanya filter dalam menggunakan teknologi saat ini
Noise Emission Assessment of a Utility-Scale Wind Power Plant: Case Study of a 90 MW Wind Power Plant in Mukdaharn Province, Northeastern Thailand
Authors: Kongprasit Sunisa , Chiwamongkhonkarn Somphol , Ali Fida , Makhampom Pongsak , Gagnon Yves , Waewsak Jompob 
Published: June 2024

The noise impact of wind power plants is one of the major reasons for social opposition to wind energy development. The complex noise model (ISO 9613) was employed to model the noise generated by 15 GW165-6.0 MW wind turbine generator units based on the manufacturer-defined acoustic profile. The wind resource at a hub height of the wind turbine generators (144 m agl) was first predicted based on computational fluid dynamics flow modeling. The model noise levels were mapped using ArcGIS and twenty-two receptors comprising houses, temples, and other places at varying distances within the project boundary. Likewise, to compare the noise levels of the wind turbine generators with different noise levels, the ambient noise was measured at selected four receptors. The results showed that the predicted noise was less than 70 dB(A) in the vicinity of the wind turbine generators, decreased down to 40-45 dB(A) within the project boundary, and was in the range of 35-40 dB(A) in the community area. The compared results showed that the ambient noise exceeds the noise levels from the wind turbine generators at all four receptor sites. Hence, wind power plants would not cause any additional noise pollution. Such studies are vital to providing awareness to the public based on proven scientific evidence to gain the public's trust and mitigate social opposition to wind power plants.