bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025_split huggingface dataset:
Can Expert Prediction Markets Forecast Climate-Related Risks?
Authors: Roulston Mark , Kaivanto Kim 
Published: August 2024

Abstract
Prediction markets use a betting-like mechanism to aggregate information from disparate sources to produce probability forecasts that represent the collective view of participants. They have similarities with financial markets but are designed specifically to discover information rather than transfer assets or risks. Contracts that pay out a fixed amount if a well-defined event occurs are traded in these markets and, under certain conditions, the price at which these event-contracts trade can be interpreted as a probability estimate that the event will occur. This article examines the performance of 24 prediction markets for climate-related variables that have been run over the past 5 years. The predicted variables included the monthly temperature and rainfall for the United Kingdom, an index of El Niño–Southern Oscillation, Atlantic hurricane activity, and U.K. wheat yield. The markets had horizons of 2–12 months. Invitations to participate in the markets were extended to individuals and teams with relevant expertise. Participants did not have to pay to take part but did receive cash rewards based on their performance. Trades were made through an automated market maker overcoming the problems of low activity that have affected previous prediction markets for specialized topics. The predictions of the markets were consistent with good reliability, given the resolving power afforded by the sample size. Whether this level of reliability would persist for longer, multiyear, horizons relevant to climate change cannot be known without running markets on such time scales, something that we strongly advocate.
Parameterization of Vertical Turbulent Transport in the Inner Core of Tropical Cyclones and Its Impact on Storm Intensification. Part I: Sensitivity to Turbulent Mixing Length
Authors: Katz Jeremy , Zhu Ping 
Published: August 2024

Abstract
In the inner core of a tropical cyclone, turbulence not only exists in the boundary layer (BL) but can also be generated above the BL by eyewall and rainband clouds. Thus, the treatment of vertical turbulent mixing must go beyond the conventional scope of the BL. The turbulence schemes formulated based on the turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) are attractive as they are applicable to both deep and shallow convection regimes in the tropical cyclone (TC) inner core provided that the TKE production and dissipation can be appropriately determined. However, TKE schemes are not self-closed. They must be closed by an empirically prescribed vertical profile of mixing length. This motivates this study to investigate the sensitivity of the simulated TC intensification to the sloping curvature and asymptotic length scale of mixing length, the two parameters that determine the vertical distribution of a prescribed mixing length. To tackle the problem, both idealized and real-case TC simulations are performed. The results show that the simulated TC intensification is sensitive to the sloping curvature of mixing length but only exhibits marginal sensitivity to the asymptotic length scale. The underlying reasons for such sensitivities are explored analytically based on the Mellor and Yamada level-2 turbulence model and the analyses of azimuthal-mean tangential wind budget. The results highlight the uncertainty and importance of mixing length in the numerical prediction of TCs and suggest that future research should focus on searching for physical constraints on mixing length, particularly in the low- to midtroposphere, using observations and large-eddy simulations.

Significance Statement
The parametric representation of subgrid-scale turbulent mixing is one of the major sources of uncertainty in numerical predictions of tropical cyclones (TCs). This study investigates how the numerical prediction of TC intensification is affected by the turbulent mixing length, a length scale that is required to close a turbulence scheme formulated based on the turbulent kinetic energy (TKE). The research highlights the uncertainty and importance of mixing length in numerical prediction of TCs and suggests that future research should focus on searching for physical constraints on the mixing length, particularly in the low- to midtroposphere, using observations and large-eddy simulations.
Revisiting the Role of Atmospheric Initial Signals in Predicting ENSO
Authors: Wu Jiye , Luo Jing-Jia , Doi Takeshi , Yamagata Toshio , Behera Swadhin K. 
Published: August 2024

Abstract
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) provides an important source of global seasonal–interannual predictability, while its prediction encounters bottlenecks. Besides the slow-varying air–sea feedbacks, high-frequency atmospheric signals (HFASs) act on ENSO evolution. This study revisits the role of atmospheric initial signals in ENSO prediction using an atmosphere–ocean coupled model. Two sets of sensitivity hindcasts are conducted. One utilizes a pure sea surface temperature (SST) nudging for initialization so that no observed atmospheric internal signal is assimilated. The other applies a combination of the SST nudging and spectral nudging of JRA-55 reanalysis, which not only assimilates the observed atmospheric states and hence realizes skillful predictions of HFAS at the initial stage but also improves the oceanic initial conditions (ICs), especially around the thermocline. Unexpectedly, the better atmosphere–ocean ICs neither improve ENSO prediction nor overcome the spring prediction barrier. Further analysis of Bjerknes stability index suggests that underestimated negative feedbacks and insufficient responses of ocean currents and thermocline slope to atmospheric internal winds may account for the failure. Nevertheless, assimilating the atmospheric information partly improves the prediction of El Niño onset, especially for two recent extreme cases (i.e., 1997/98 and 2015/16). This improvement is associated with better representations of initial westerly wind bursts (WWBs) that excite subsequent downwelling equatorial Kelvin waves. However, due to unpredictable WWBs and underestimated wind response to the SST warming owing to the cold tongue biases in boreal summer, the zonal advective feedbacks are underestimated and thus further development of El Niño cannot be well predicted. This study suggests the importance of initial atmospheric signals despite the limitation, prompting further efforts to improve model physics.
Prevalence of suicidal and self-harm ideation in fathers during the perinatal and early parenting period: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Authors: Fogarty Alison , McMahon Grace , Findley Helen , Hosking Casey , Schulz Madison , Seymour Monique , Leach Liana , Borschmann Rohan , Garfield Craig F , Giallo Rebecca 
Published: August 2024

Objective: Suicide is a leading cause of death in males aged 25–44 years, an age which often coincides with becoming a father. This review aims to synthesise the evidence of the prevalence of suicidal and self-harm ideation in fathers during the perinatal, postnatal and early parenting period. Methods: Five databases were searched (PsycINFO, Medline, Web of Science, PubMed and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews) to identify papers published between 1 January 2000 and 9 March 2023. A meta-analysis was conducted to estimate the prevalence of suicidality and self-harm ideation across the included studies. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses were conducted to explore potential sources of heterogeneity. Results: A total of 4215 articles were identified, with 14 studies included in the review. The combined pooled prevalence of suicidal and self-harm ideation was 4.2% (95% CI [2.6%, 6.2%]). Prevalence estimates were higher for self-harm ideation at 5.1% (95% CI [2.6%, 6.2%]) than for suicidality at 3% (95% CI [0.9%, 6.1%]). Conclusions: This review found that a considerable proportion of fathers experience suicidal and self-harm ideation during the early years of parenting. However, the paucity of rigorous prevalence studies indicates that further research in this area is needed urgently.
Evolution of bamboo derivative fiber-mollusk shell based calcite particulate hybrid reinforced epoxy bio-composites for sustainable applications
Authors: Oladele Oluwole I , Akinwekomi Akeem D , Akinseye Joseph G , Falana Samuel O , Oke Samuel R 
Published: August 2024

This study focused on the development of environmentally friendly epoxy-based biocomposites by incorporating bamboo fiber (BF) and calcite particles (CP) as reinforcements. A total of 125 specimens were fabricated with different weight percentages of BF and CP ranging from 0% to 15% to the epoxy. The biobased reinforcements were processed before incorporation, and the hand layup technique was used to fabricate the composites, which were then cured at ambient temperature. Evaluations of selected properties were carried out to ascertain the most probable areas of application, while the fracture surfaces were examined using SEM. The results indicated that the inclusion of these hybrid bio-reinforcements significantly enhanced the properties of the biocomposites compared to unreinforced samples. The optimal composition was identified as 12 wt% BF/CP, which demonstrated the highest ultimate tensile strength (32.84 MPa) and tensile modulus (1.9 GPa), attributed to the strong interfacial bonding between the epoxy matrix and the BF/CP reinforcements. Additionally, the flexural strength (55.38 MPa) and modulus (2.72 GPa) were improved due to the effective load transfer and stiffening effect of the calcite particles. The hardness (67 HS) and wear index (0.015 mg) were enhanced by the toughening mechanism provided by the bamboo fibers, while the density (1.195 g/cm³) remained within a desirable range for lightweight applications. Composites with 9 wt% BF/CP exhibited the highest impact strength (22.66 J/m2), likely due to the optimal balance of fiber-matrix interaction and energy absorption capacity. These findings indicate that the developed hybrid-reinforced biocomposite compositions hold great promise with the improved physical and mechanical properties as seen and can be utilized for various applications, including automotive, aerospace, and other engineering applications.
Comparing Relationships Between Pain Coping Levels and Pain, Functional Capacity, and Disability Among Patients with Fibromyalgia and Healthy Controls
Authors: Cihan Emine , Dilara Durmaz Elif , Arca Muhammed , Sahbaz Pirincci Cansu 
Published: August 2024

We compared the relationships between pain coping levels and pain, functional capacity, and disability among 48 patients with fibromyalgia and 48 healthy control participants. Specific characteristics of those diagnosed with fibromyalgia syndrome were documented. Participants were evaluated with the Visual Analog Scale (VAS), Pain Coping Scale (PCQ), Pain Disability Index (PDI), and Fibromyalgia Impact Questionnaire (FIQ). According to the 10 cm long VAS, fibromyalgia patients recorded pain intensity at 7 cm, significantly higher than in the control group ( p < .001). All sub-scores of the PDI score were higher among patients with fibromyalgia compared to controls ( p < .001). Scores on the PCQ score were higher for patients with fibromyalgia than controls on the sub-parameters of helplessness ( p < .001) and medical remedies ( p < .001). Functionality was lower among patients than controls ( p < .001). Pain coping and pain-related disability (in areas of recreation, social activity, sexual behavior, total score) were significantly related in patients with fibromyalgia. These findings underscore the importance of comprehensive pain management and customized interventions for fibromyalgia patients to address their elevated pain intensity, reduced functionality, increased pain-related disability, and variable coping mechanisms compared to healthy controls. Understanding these correlations between pain coping strategies, functional status, and disability levels can help optimize treatment approaches and improve the quality of life for individuals living with fibromyalgia.
Developing Pedagogical Content Knowledge for Teaching About African American Language in College Classrooms
Authors: Sedlacek Quentin C. , León Maricela , Grey Ian , McLarty Jordan , Neal Shanae , Neal Shanea 
Published: August 2024

Background: African American Language (AAL) refers to a rich, widely used, and extensively researched language variety. Despite its importance, AAL remains widely stigmatized in the United States due to anti-Black linguistic racism. Many colleges offer courses with AAL content, and these courses have the potential to help disrupt anti-Black linguistic racism by promoting understanding and respect for this language. Purpose: Simply increasing students’ knowledge about AAL is unlikely to disrupt anti-Black linguistic racism. College instructors must also attend to a wide range of challenges involved in teaching this content. Instructors’ knowledge of such challenges, as well as strategies for addressing them, constitutes a form of pedagogical content knowledge (PCK). This study contributes to the emerging scholarship on PCK for teaching and learning about AAL. Research Design: In this qualitative study, we analyze open-ended survey data from college instructors to identify challenges faced when teaching AAL content. We also add depth and nuance to discussion of these challenges by analyzing qualitative interview data and qualitative survey responses from college students enrolled in courses with AAL content. Finally, we outline pedagogical recommendations that could potentially address these challenges. Conclusions: We identify three major categories of pedagogical challenges that commonly arise when teaching AAL content: protecting Black or AAL-using students from harm; managing other students’ knowledge, ideologies, and/or resistance; and addressing instructor positionality. We present six research-based recommendations to help instructors address these challenges, and identify key directions for future research on the teaching and learning of AAL.
HERV-K np9 and HERV-R env: Two endogenous retrovirus products with potential Pathogenic roles in pediatric acute lymphoblastic leukemia
Authors: Gaber Noha , Abdelhafiz Ahmed Samir , Abdel-Azim Nivin , Shibl Azza , Fadel Lamiaa , Hassan Zeinab Korany , Ahmed Eman Hassan 
Published: August 2024

Objectives Human endogenous retroviruses (HERVs) are integral components of the human genome, and their reactivation has been implicated in the pathogenesis of some malignancies. External viral co-infections are suspected to play a role in HERV transactivation. This study aimed to investigate the expression of HERV-K np9 elements and HERV-R env gene in pediatric acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) patients. Additionally, we explored potential correlations between HERV expression and common viral infections prevalent in this group of patients. Methods Blood samples were collected from 43 pediatric ALL patients and 48 age- and sex-matched healthy controls. Quantitative real-time PCR (qRT-PCR) was used to assess the expression of HERV-K np9 and HERV-R env, along with herpes simplex virus (HSV), parvovirus B19, and polyomavirus BK. Results HERV-K np9 and HERV-R env showed significantly higher expression in the peripheral blood of ALL patients compared to healthy controls ( p < .001 and p = .003, respectively). HSV positivity was associated with significantly increased HERV-K np9 expression. No significant correlations were observed between other investigated viruses and HERV gene expression. Conclusion The overexpression of HERV-K np9 and HERV-R env in pediatric ALL patients suggest their potential role in leukemogenesis. Our findings also suggest a possible link between HSV infection and HERV reactivation in this population. Future investigations are needed to understand the precise roles of these genes and viral infections in the development of ALL.
Experimental investigations of pressure fluctuations in low-head francis turbine model
Authors: Jhankal Nitin Kumar , Kumar Arun 
Published: August 2024

The present study emphasizes the experimental investigations of pressure fluctuations characteristics of the steady flow behavior in a low-head Francis turbine model operating under various load conditions. The experimental study was conducted on a scaled model of the Francis turbine with a runner diameter of 0.31847 m with a head of 17.66 m and operated at a speed of 950 rpm. The pressure fluctuations ranged their operating points from 70% during part load, 100% at the best efficiency point, to 110% under overload conditions. Pressure field measurements were conducted using miniature-type pressure sensors. Eight sensors were strategically placed at various locations, ranging from the spiral casing inlet to the draft tube. The outcomes facilitated identifying the sources of pressure fluctuations. Substantial pressure oscillation occurs on the model runner, vaneless space, and draft tube cone. The rotating vortex rope was formulated during the part load operation. The results show that the fundamental frequency of pressure fluctuations was 0.375 times the rotational runner frequency and strong pressure fluctuations were observed during part load operation.
Hyped-up or meditate: A scoping review of mindfulness-based group interventions for adolescents with attention deficit hyperactivity disorder
Authors: Tan Lucy , Jones Maria 
Published: August 2024

The objective of this scoping review is to evaluate the effectiveness of mindfulness training in improving functioning in adolescents (aged 12–19 years) diagnosed with Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD). Previous research has demonstrated that psychological interventions improve functioning in a myriad of domains for individuals diagnosed with ADHD, such as attention training, interpersonal relationships, and social skills. Mindfulness-based interventions (MBI) are indicated as an intervention in attention training. It maybe argued that group based MBI programmes should begin early, for children and adolescents at a time that is critical in their development. Methods and reporting are in line with the PRISMA extension for scoping reviews, the protocol is preregistered in the (Open Science Framework register). The study outcomes included attention, impulsivity, and relationships of adolescents with ADHD. Findings demonstrated preliminary evidence for the use of group-based mindfulness interventions with adolescents continues to be nascent. Although studies reported positive results, the evidence of its effectiveness for adolescents with ADHD is inconclusive, due to limited studies available and the limitations of the study design. This scoping review provides a panorama of MBI for ADHD adolescents.
Carers and professionals’ views on using virtual reality in dementia care: A qualitative study
Authors: Ajeet Gokani Heema , Sommerlad Andrew , Jawharieh Hiba , Ang Chee Siang , Huntley Jonathan 
Published: August 2024

Background and Objectives Virtual reality (VR) interventions provide immersive, interactive computer-simulated virtual environments. There is interest in their use for people with dementia as they may provide stimulating experiences and improve dementia symptoms and quality of life. However, as more insight is needed about carers’ and clinical professionals’ perspectives to understand how VR may be implemented successfully, we elicited their views on the benefits of, and challenges to, using VR in dementia care. Methods We conducted five qualitative focus groups involving 25 healthcare professionals and informal carers with experience of dementia care. Participants received a demonstration of a VR headset and content and were then questioned following a topic guide asking for views on benefits of, and challenges to, using VR for dementia care. Findings The main findings addressed the benefits of, and concerns about, the impact and implications of VR on wellbeing, ethics, implementation, caregivers and services. Overall, participants had a positive attitude toward VR and made several suggestions for its future use to enable enjoyable and immersive experiences. Examples included suggestions to personalise VR content to accommodate heterogenous profiles and stages of dementia, co-developing protocols to address health risks and side effects and further investigating shared experiences of VR with caregivers. Conclusion Healthcare professionals and informal carers thought that VR had potential to enhance a holistic and personalised approach to dementia care. They suggested changes which could guide future implementation of VR interventions for dementia patients and their caregivers.
Preemptive treatment of type II endoleak for abdominal aortic aneurysm with renal fusion (horseshoe kidney)
Authors: Yu Yasong , Epstein Steven , Padberg Frank T. 
Published: August 2024

Objective To assess viability and safety of preemptive treatment of type II endoleak for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repairs. Methods A 69-year-old man with renal fusion (horseshoe kidney) was referred for treatment of a 5.5 cm AAA. His anatomy was suitable for endovascular repair. The risk for type II endoleak was increased because of multiple infrarenal arterial orifices originating within the aneurysm sac. These included an accessory renal artery that supplied the renal isthmus, a patent inferior mesenteric artery, and a pair of large lumbar arteries originating from a single orifice (8 mm) at L3 spinal level. The lumbar orifice was selectively cannulated and occluded with thrombogenic coils 1 week prior to his endovascular aneurysm repair. Results Aneurysm repair was uneventful with no signs of early or delayed endoleak and long-term follow-up of 5 years. Conclusions Preemptive coil embolization of perianeurysmal arteries may be considered as a safe and effective strategy for management of potential type II endoleak.
Comparative analysis of perioperative outcomes in endovascular abdominal aortic aneurysm repair: Fascia iliaca block versus general anesthesia, a retrospective study
Authors: Bokerd Surakiat , Suwanruangsri Veera , Chinchalongporn Wanchai , Chanchitsopon Virapat 
Published: August 2024

Objective This retrospective study aimed to compare rates of perioperative mortality and morbidity, especially pulmonary complication, between endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) performed under general anesthesia (GA) and under fascia iliaca block (FIB). Methods Patients diagnosed with infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) who were treated with EVAR were included. Retrospective review of electronic medical records was performed. Patient characteristics, operative details, and postoperative results including mortality and morbidity within 30 days were collected. Statistical analysis to compare postoperative outcomes between EVAR under FIB and EVAR under GA was performed. A univariate analysis was conducted to identify factors associated with increased 30-day mortality. Results This study included 119 patients, 75 in the FIB group and 44 in the GA group. Most patients were male, with 62 (82.5%) in the FIB group and 31 (70.2%) in the GA group, and most patients were hypertensive, with 57 (76%) in the FIB group and 36 (81.8%) in the GA group. Smoking and coronary artery disease (CAD) was more prevalent in the FIB group, p < .05. Thirty-day mortality was not significantly different between the FIB group and the GA group (1 (1.3%) vs 2 (4.5%), p = .554). Pulmonary complication was lower in the FIB group than in the GA group (1.3% vs 11.4%, p = .026). ICU stay was shorter in the FIB group than in the GA group (0.2 vs 4.5 days, p = .012). Univariate analysis showed that chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) was associated with higher 30-day mortality. Conclusions Endovascular aneurysm repair under FIB was feasible. Compared to GA, this approach resulted in lower postoperative pulmonary complications and shorter ICU stay.