bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025_split huggingface dataset:
Surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 prevalence from repeated pooled testing: application to Swiss routine data
Authors: Riou Julien , Studer Erik , Fesser Anna , Schuster Tobias Magnus , Low Nicola , Egger Matthias , Hauser Anthony 
Published: August 2024

Abstract
Surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 through reported positive RT-PCR tests is biased due to non-random testing. Prevalence estimation in population-based samples corrects for this bias. Within this context, the pooled testing design offers many advantages, but several challenges remain with regards to the analysis of such data. We developed a Bayesian model aimed at estimating the prevalence of infection from repeated pooled testing data while (i) correcting for test sensitivity; (ii) propagating the uncertainty in test sensitivity; and (iii) including correlation over time and space. We validated the model in simulated scenarios, showing that the model is reliable when the sample size is at least 500, the pool size below 20, and the true prevalence below 5%. We applied the model to 1.49 million pooled tests collected in Switzerland in 2021–2022 in schools, care centres, and workplaces. We identified similar dynamics in all three settings, with prevalence peaking at 4–5% during winter 2022. We also identified differences across regions. Prevalence estimates in schools were correlated with reported cases, hospitalizations, and deaths (coefficient 0.84 to 0.90). We conclude that in many practical situations, the pooled test design is a reliable and affordable alternative for the surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 and other viruses.
At the Intersection of Home and Work: Domesticity, Labor, and the Contradictions of Modernity in Ecuador, 1890–1950
Authors: O'Connor Erin E. 
Published: August 2024

AbstractThis essay uses gender analysis to interrogate the modernization of labor organizations in Ecuador from 1890-1950, with a focus on why domestic servants were excluded in this process. Although labor organizers challenged other forms of paternalism in labor relations, they remained silent on domestic service even though it was the main source of female labor in Ecuador's growing cities. Using publications by labor organizations, laws, and social welfare records, this essay seeks to understand not what life was like for domestic servants, but to explore the contours and contradictions in the relationships between workers, labor organizers, and the state during a critical period of modernization and state formation in Ecuador. I argue that the absence of domestic servants from labor discourses defined and reinforced specific forms of masculine dignity as the core of the modern worker identity. This masculine worker identity made possible the inclusion of indigenous hacienda workers in the labor movement, but women could be incorporated only if they worked in public settings (mainly factories). Domestic servants belonged symbolically to the realm of traditional labor, and their ties to the home placed them beyond the paradigm of class exploitation.
South Atlantic Multi‐Site Calibration of Coral Oxygen Isotope Paleothermometer
Authors: Pereira N. S. , Chiessi C. M. , Crivellari S. , Kilbourne K. H. , Kikuchi R. K. P. , Ferreira B. P. , Macêdo R. J. A. , dos Santos M. C. M. , Pereira M. G. , Neves da Rocha L. S. , Sial A. N. 
Published: August 2024

AbstractCoral‐based stable oxygen isotopes (δ18O) have been used as a proxy for sea surface temperature (SST) since the 1970s, and δ18O–SST calibration studies have been fundamental to assure robust and faithful SST reconstructions. Paleoclimatic studies based on corals from the tropical western South Atlantic (TWSA) are scarce, and the available coral species need to be calibrated to improve climate and environmental reconstructions. Siderastrea stellata, a slow‐growing coral, is a potential species to be explored as a coral archive in the TWSA. We provide the first multi‐site δ18O–SST calibration for the coral S. stellata from three locations at the TWSA: Todos os Santos Bay, Tamandaré and the Rocas Atoll. Pseudo‐coral δ18O calculations derived from gridded SSS and SST show that the contributions of SSS and SST to coral δ18O are expected to be different at each site. Weighted least squares linear regressions performed between the δ18O and SST generated the following calibrations equations: δ18O = −0.18 (±0.02) × SST (°C) + 1.90 (±0.47) for Todos os Santos Bay; δ18O = −0.18 (±0.02) × SST (°C) + 1.54 (±0.67) for Tamandaré; and δ18O = −0.16 (±0.03) × SST (°C) + 1.24 (±0.71) for the Rocas Atoll. The δ18O‐SST sensitivity of S. stellata from the TWSA is similar to that of other slow‐growing species of the genus and consistent with the expected δ18O‐SST sensitivity of other species reported in the literature. These calibrations will allow future SST reconstructions based on δ18O records from sub‐fossil and fossil S. stellata, an abundant species in the TWSA.
Petrological Evidence for Prominent Melt‐Mush Reactions During Slow‐Spreading Oceanic Accretion
Authors: Boulanger Marine , Godard Marguerite , Ildefonse Benoit , Bakouche Malissa 
Published: August 2024

AbstractThe structure of the lithosphere and the associated magmatic systems found in different locations along slow‐spreading ridges can vary dramatically, from melt‐starved to magmatically robust segments. A growing number of studies suggest that the evolution of the magmatic crust being governed solely by fractional crystallization is too simplistic. Reactions between migrating melts and their surroundings play a key role during accretion, yet the full extent of their impact is still to be resolved. We present here the results of a petrological, microstructural, and in situ geochemical study of two drilled sequences from the Kane Megamullion and Atlantis Massif oceanic core complexes. We show that melt‐mush reactions generate locally strong textural and/or geochemical heterogeneity at the cm‐scale, but their impact can also be identified at the 100 m‐scale. We found evidence for assimilation at various degrees of primitive lithologies of potential mantle origin within the gabbroic sequence at both locations, in addition to typical melt‐mush reactions previously described in other slow‐spread magmatic systems. Observations and numerical modeling confirm the similarity of the reactions impacting both sequences. However, the regime of the reactions (ranges of assimilation to crystallization ratios) seems to vary between Kane Megamullion and Atlantis Massif, variations which likely result from differences in melt fractions present during melt‐mush reactions. We infer relying on our observations and previous studies that the regime of the reactions is most likely controlled by the melt flux during the formation of the two sections.
Why Is the Dust Activity in the Atacama Desert Low Despite its Aridity?
Authors: Pinto Rovina , Fiedler Stephanie 
Published: August 2024

AbstractThe Atacama Desert is amongst the driest places on Earth yet large dust outbreaks seem rare. We present the first quantitative assessment of dust events in the Atacama for 1950–2021 based on station observations. A total of 1920 dust days were recorded with less than 10% being classified as dust storms. We calculated the wind speeds at 5%, 25% and 50% of the dust‐event frequency distribution. The mean wind speed for the threshold of 5% is 10.9 ± 1.6 ms−1 which is twice as large as the values in the Taklamakan, Western Sahel, and Sudan, and consistent with the perceptually infrequent dust activity despite the exceptional aridity. We see no overall long‐term trend but increased dust activity for 1970–1978, 1984–1988 and 2013–2017. A combination of changes in the wind speed statistics and soil conditions, possibly including anthropogenic land‐use changes have led to the variability in dust activity.
Radar Sounding Reveals Common Evolutionary History Between the North Polar Layered Deposits and an Outlier Ice Deposit on Mars
Authors: McGlasson R. A. , Sori M. M. , Bramson A. M. , Lalich D. E. 
Published: August 2024

AbstractMars' polar ice deposits are thought to preserve a record of climate throughout their evolution. In addition to the large north polar layered deposits (NPLD) at Mars' north pole, smaller ice deposits are preserved in craters nearby. These outlying deposits were potentially formed by the same mechanisms that drive NPLD formation, or may represent more local mechanisms. Distinguishing between these possibilities would help elucidate the spatial homogeneity of Martian climate processes. Here, we analyzed SHARAD radar depth profiles from 34 locations across the NPLD and 5 locations within the Korolev crater ice deposit using Fourier transform analysis and dynamic time warping to quantitatively assess the similarity between the internal layered stratigraphy of the two deposits. We identify broad stratigraphic similarities between the Korolev deposit and the NPLD, suggesting they likely formed due to the same climate forcing mechanism, with local variability also observed across the NPLD.
Phase‐Resolved Swells Across Ocean Basins in SWOT Altimetry Data: Revealing Centimeter‐Scale Wave Heights Including Coastal Reflection
Authors: Ardhuin Fabrice , Molero Beatriz , Bohé Alejandro , Nouguier Frédéric , Collard Fabrice , Houghton Isabel , Hay Andrea , Legresy Benoit 
Published: August 2024

AbstractSevere storms produce ocean waves with periods of 18–26 s, corresponding to wavelengths 500–1,055 m. These waves radiate globally as swell, generating microseisms and affecting coastal areas. Despite their significance, long waves often elude detection by existing remote sensing systems when their height is below 0.2 m. The new Surface Water Ocean Topography (SWOT) satellite offers a breakthrough by resolving these waves in global sea level measurements. Here we show that SWOT can detect 25‐s waves with heights as low as 3 cm, and resolves period and direction better than in situ buoys. SWOT provides detailed maps of wave height, wavelength, and direction across ocean basins. These measurements unveil intricate spatial patterns, shedding light on wave generation in storms, currents that influence propagation, and refraction, diffraction and reflection in shallow regions. Notably, the magnitude of reflections exceeds previous expectations, illustrating SWOT's transformative impact.
Weak, Vertically Stronger Main Himalayan Thrust in the India‐Asia Collision
Authors: Li Shaoyang , Schulte‐Pelkum Vera , Barnhart William D. , Chen Ling , Karplus Marianne , Oncken Onno 
Published: August 2024

AbstractMegathrusts at convergent plate boundaries generate the largest and some of the most hazardous earthquakes on Earth. However, their physical properties, including those influencing fault slip accumulation and release and earthquake‐related surface displacements, are still poorly constrained at critical depths. Here, we combine seismic imaging and geodetic modeling to investigate the structure and mechanical behavior of the Main Himalayan Thrust fault (MHT) in the center of the 2015 Mw 7.8 Gorkha rupture in Nepal. Our results from two independent observations consistently suggest the presence of a channel associated with the MHT with high compliance (shear modulus as low as ∼4 GPa) and strain anisotropy (stiffer in the vertical orientation than in the horizontal), likely arising from a weak subducting layer with north‐dipping foliation. Such mechanical heterogeneity significantly influences the quantification of short‐term fault kinematics and associated earthquake potential, with implications on across‐scale dynamics of plate boundaries in Himalaya and elsewhere.
Statistics and Models of the Electron Plasma Density From the Van Allen Probes
Authors: Ripoll J.‐F. , Thaller S. A. , Hartley D. P. , Malaspina D. M. , Kurth W. S. , Cunningham G. S. , Pierrard V. , Wygant J. 
Published: August 2024

AbstractWe use the full NASA Van Allen Probes mission (2012–2019) to extract the electron plasma density from the Electric and Magnetic Field Instrument Suite and Integrated Science (EMFISIS) and Electric Field and Waves (EFW) instruments and discuss the evolution of the plasmasphere. We generate new statistics including mean and standard deviations of the plasma density with respect to L‐shell, magnetic local time (MLT), and various geomagnetic indices. These statistics are generated to be applied in radiation belt physics and space weather codes (with fits provided). The mean plasmasphere is circular around Earth with respect to MLT for Kp < 1. The mean 100 cm−3 level line is above L = 5 and mean 10 cm−3 level expands above the Van Allen Probes apogee for Kp < 1. The outer electron belt lies within the plasmasphere for 60% of all times. As activity increases (Kp > 2), a gradual MLT asymmetry forms with higher mean density in the afternoon sector due to plumes expanding outward. Conversely, the mean density decreases on the dawn and night sectors. The mean density is between ∼500 and ∼50 cm−3 between L ∼ 4 and L ∼ 6 during quiet and moderately active times (Kp < 3), representing ∼80% of all times. Statistics in regions of high density below L = 2 are underdefined for intense activity. The highest standard deviation of density represents a factor 2.5 to 3 times the mean above L = 5 and for active times. We find the percent difference between the EFW and EMFISIS densities is bounded by ±20% for quiet and moderate activity (Kp < 5) and goes up to ±100% for extreme activity.
Generation of Top‐Boundary Conditions for 3D Ionospheric Models Constrained by Auroral Imagery and Plasma Flow Data
Authors: van Irsel J. , Lynch K. A. , Mule A. , Zettergren M. D. 
Published: August 2024

AbstractData products relating to auroral arc systems are often sparse and distributed while ionospheric simulations generally require spatially continuous maps as boundary conditions at the topside ionosphere. Fortunately, all‐sky auroral imagery can provide information to fill in the gaps. This paper describes three methods for creating electrostatic plasma convection maps from multi‐spectral imagery combined with plasma flow data tracks from heterogeneous sources. These methods are tailored to discrete arc structures with coherent morphologies. The first method, “reconstruction,” builds the electric potential map (from which the flow field is derived) out of numerous arc‐like ridges that are then optimized against the plasma flow data. This method is designed for data from localized swarms of spacecraft distributed in both latitude and longitude. The second method, “replication,” uses a 1D across‐arc flow data track and replicates these data along a determined primary and secondary arc boundary while simultaneously scaling and rotating to keep the flow direction parallel to the arc and the flow shear localized at the arc boundaries. The third, “weighted replication,” performs a replication on two data tracks and calculates a weighted average between them, where the weighting is based on data track proximity. This paper shows the use of these boundary conditions in driving and assessing 3D auroral ionospheric, multi‐fluid simulations.
Obtaining Continental‐Scale, High‐Resolution 2‐D Ionospheric Flows and Application to Meso‐Scale Flow Science
Authors: Nishimura Y. , Lyons L. R. , Deng Y. , Sheng C. , Bristow W. A. , Donovan E. F. , Angelopoulos V. , Nishitani N. 
Published: August 2024

AbstractAn approach for creating continental‐scale, multi‐scale plasma convection maps in the nightside high‐latitude ionosphere using the spherical elementary current systems technique has been developed and evaluated. The capability to reconstruct meso‐scale flow channels improved dramatically, and the velocity errors were reduced by ∼30% compared to the spherical harmonic fitting method. Uncertainties of velocity vectors estimated by varying the model setup was also low. Convection maps for a substorm event revealed multiple flow channels in the polar cap, dominating the convection in the quiet time and early growth phase. The meso‐scale flows extended toward the nightside auroral oval and had continuous flow channels over >20° of latitude, and the flow channels dynamically merged and bifurcated. The substorm onset occurred along one of the flow channels, and the azimuthal extent of the enhanced flows coincided with the initial width of the auroral breakup. During the expansion phase, the meso‐scale flows repetitively crossed the oval poleward boundary, and some of them contributed to subauroral polarization streams enhancements. Increased flows extended duskward, along with the westward traveling surge. Then, flows near midnight weakened and evolved to the Harang flow shear. The meso‐scale flow channels had significant (∼10%–40% on average) contributions to the total plasma transport. The meso‐scale flows were highly variable on ∼10 min time scales and their individual maximum contributions reached upto 73%. These results demonstrate the capability of specifying realistic convection patterns, quantifying the contribution of meso‐scale transport, and evaluating the relationship between meso‐scale flows and localized auroral forms.
Investigating Boundary Layer Properties at Jupiter's Dawn Magnetopause
Authors: Montgomery Jake , Ebert R. W. , Allegrini F. , Fuselier S. A. , Bagenal F. , Bolton S. J. , Szalay J. , Wilson R. J. 
Published: August 2024

AbstractWe survey crossings of Jupiter's dawn magnetopause during the Juno prime mission to identify and characterize Jupiter's magnetopause boundary layer. Using plasma and magnetic field observations from Jovian Auroral Distributions Experiment and Juno Magnetic Field investigation, we identify 53 boundary layer events from the 62 magnetopause crossings studied here. We find that the boundary layer generally exhibits mixed properties of magnetosheath and magnetosphere electron distributions, including lower characteristic electron energies and denser ion populations than in the magnetosphere, but higher characteristic electron energies and less dense ion populations than in the magnetosheath. Boundary layer proton speeds are on average slower than both the magnetosheath and magnetosphere. Other proton parameters in the boundary layer have intermediate values between the magnetosheath and magnetosphere. Through ion composition analysis in regions adjacent to the magnetopause, we find evidence of solar wind and magnetospheric plasma in the boundary layer that suggests plasma is transported across the magnetopause in both directions. This mass and energy transport may be the result of solar wind interactions such as magnetic reconnection and Kelvin‐Helmholtz instabilities. However, many boundary layer events do not exhibit local signatures of these solar wind interactions and plasma may be transported by a non‐local process or diffusively transported.
Spatiotemporal Evolution of Slow Slip Events at the Offshore Hikurangi Subduction Zone in 2019 Using GNSS, InSAR, and Seafloor Geodetic Data
Authors: Woods K. , Wallace L. M. , Williams C. A. , Hamling I. J. , Webb S. C. , Ito Y. , Palmer N. , Hino R. , Suzuki S. , Savage M. K. , Warren‐Smith E. , Mochizuki K. 
Published: August 2024

AbstractDetecting crustal deformation during transient deformation events at offshore subduction zones remains challenging. The spatiotemporal evolution of slow slip events (SSEs) on the offshore Hikurangi subduction zone, New Zealand, during February–July 2019, is revealed through a time‐dependent inversion of onshore and offshore geodetic data that also accounts for spatially varying elastic crustal properties. Our model is constrained by seafloor pressure time series (as a proxy for vertical seafloor deformation), onshore continuous Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) data, and Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar displacements. Large GNSS displacements onshore and uplift of the seafloor (10–33 mm) require peak slip during the event of 150 to >200 mm at 6–12 km depth offshore Hawkes Bay and Gisborne, comparable to maximum slip observed during previous seafloor pressure deployments at north Hikurangi. The onshore and offshore data reveal a complex evolution of the SSE, over a period of months. Seafloor pressure data indicates the slow slip may have persisted longer near the trench than suggested by onshore GNSS stations in both the Gisborne and Hawkes Bay regions. Seafloor pressure data also reveal up‐dip migration of SSE slip beneath Hawke Bay occurred over a period of a few weeks. The SSE source region appears to coincide with locations of the March 1947 Mw 7.0–7.1 tsunami earthquake offshore Gisborne and estimated great earthquake rupture sources from paleoseismic investigations offshore Hawkes Bay, suggesting that the shallow megathrust at north and central Hikurangi is capable of both seismic and aseismic rupture.
Insights Into Internal Solitary Waves East of Dongsha Atoll From Integrating Geostationary Satellite and Mooring Observations
Authors: Cheng Yu‐Hsin , Chang Ming‐Huei , Yang Yiing Jang , Jan Sen , Ramp Steven R. , Davis Kristen A. , Reeder D. Benjamin 
Published: August 2024

AbstractUnderstanding of internal solitary wave (ISW) behavior has been limited due to sparse observations. We used high‐resolution Himawari‐8 satellite imagery and mooring observations to reveal the two‐dimensional (x–y) propagation process of ISWs in the South China Sea as they westward propagate onto the Dongsha plateau and encounter Dongsha Atoll. The 2D depiction of wave speed distribution, derived from detected wave crest positions every 10 min, shows the wave speeds range from 3 m s−1 to 1 m s−1 and have a tight correspondence to the local water depth. The correlation coefficient between the wave speeds and the Dubreil–Jacotin–Long (DJL) solutions is around 0.7, with a root mean squared value of 0.26 m s−1, and the representative available potential energy for this region is considered to be 130 MJ m−1. However, diffusions of wave speed in the ISW's lateral direction, particularly around abrupt topography, contribute to occurrences of outliers. Pairs of incident and reflected waves are well recognized east of Dongsha Atoll. The incident wave packet is known to be classified into a‐type and b‐type waves. The reflected waves associated with the b‐wave, identifiable as mode‐1 depression ISWs, are traced back to their generation site at depths of 100–200 m. In contrast, the reflected waves of the a‐wave remain elusive in shallower waters (<300 m), likely due to interference from their longer incident counterparts. The reflected wave, however, is slower and decelerates toward deeper water, deviating from the DJL prediction. These comprehensive observations can help refine models for improved accuracy.