bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025_split huggingface dataset:
Forecasting Capacity of ARIMA Models; A Study on Croatian Industrial Production and its Sub-sectors
Authors: Tomić Daniel , Stjepanović Saša 
Published: June 2017

Abstract
As one of the most important indicator for monitoring the production in industry as well as for directing investment decisions, industrial production plays important role within growth perspectives. Not only does the composition and/or fluctuation of the goods produced indicate the course of economic activity but it also reflects the changes in cyclical development of the economy thereby providing opportunity to macro-manage with early signs of (short-term) turning-points and (long-term) trend variations. In this paper, we compare univariate autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models of the Croatian industrial production and its subsectors in order to evaluate their forecasting features within short and long-term data evolution. The aim of this study is not to forecast industrial production but to analyze the out-of-sample predictive performance of ARIMA models on aggregated and disaggregated level inside different forecasting horizons. Our results suggest that ARIMA models do perform very well over the whole rage of the prediction horizons. It is mainly because univariate models often improve the predictive ability of their single component over the short horizons. In that manner ARIMA modelling could be used at least as a benchmark for more complex forecasting methods in predicting the movements of industrial production in Croatia.
The Impact of Development Aid on the International Migrations in the African, Caribbean, and Pacifi c Group of States
Authors: Gregl Marko , Logožar Klavdij 
Published: June 2017

AbstractDevelopment aid, one of the most important mechanisms for the redistribution of global wealth, represents financial flows that have economic growth and social improvement as their main objective. It has also frequently been described as an instrument which is able to diminish international migrations and is used by several developed countries. Recently, much empirical evidence and several contributors have argued that connection and set out other grounds. This paper explores the interaction between development aid and migrations from developing to developed countries. We want to determine, if the amount of development aid has any impact on migrations from African, Caribbean, and the Pacific Group of States. Our results show that development aid does not have a direct effect on migrations and therefore, in terms of international migrations, is not effective. Moreover, we will argue that the donor side should use different policies and other mechanisms to manage migrations from those countries
Ökumenisches Lernen macht Globales Lernen konkretÖkumenische Partnerschaften als kirchliches Angebot an die Schule
Authors: Horstmann Kai 
Published: June 2017

Zusammenfassung:
Globales Lernen, Bildung für Nachhaltige Entwicklung, Ökumenisches Lernen: Im Vergleich der Konzeptionen wird die Besonderheit des Ökumenischen Lernens herausgestellt, auf die Komplexität des Globalen didaktisch nicht mit Reduktion und Abstraktion, sondern mit Konkretion zu reagieren.
Ökumenisches Lernen mit Schulpartnerschaften bietet eine ausgezeichnete Chance, die Globalität konkret zu erkunden und die universale menschliche Gemeinschaft exemplarisch zu erfahren. Schulpartnerschaften in Kooperation insbesondere mit kirchlichen Partnerschaften können die Wahrnehmung der Globalität auch in den Gemeinden fördern, in denen die globalen Herausforderungen aktuell kaum eine Rolle spielen.
Tschernobyl als Thema der Theologie und Religionspädagogik? Überlegungen anhand des Buches „Tschernobyl. Eine Chronik der Zukunft“ von Swetlana Alexijewitsch
Authors: Danilovich Yauheniya 
Published: June 2017

Zusammenfassung:
Das Thema Tschernobyl erfährt in der Öffentlichkeit nur punktuell Aufmerksamkeit. Anhand des Buches von Swetlana Alexijewitsch
Swetlana Alexandrowna Alexijewitsch ist eine weißrussische Schriftstellerin. 2015 hat sie den Literaturnobelpreis für ihr Werk erhalten.
„Tschernobyl. Eine Chronik der Zukunft“ wird die Frage untersucht, ob Tschernobyl ein Thema der Theologie und Religionspädagogik ist. Es wird aufgezeigt, inwiefern die Auseinandersetzung mit Tschernobyl sich gleich mit mehreren „klassischen“ Bereichen der religiösen Bildung überschneidet.
Sui testi romanzi medievali in grafia greca come fonte di informazione linguistica
Authors: Maggiore Marco 
Published: June 2017

Abstract
Medieval Romance texts in the Greek alphabet are generally considered a very reliable source of information about spoken vernacular varieties, mainly due to the intrinsic independence of their writers from the Latin graphic tradition. Nevertheless, as first observed by Alberto Varvaro and Anna Maria Compagna in 1983, these valuable documents, like any other kind of written evidence, are not immune from some degree of conventionality. This paper will focus on the problems raised by the codification of Romance languages in the Greek alphabet, which requires the study of multilingualism, language contact and coexistence of different (written and oral) cultural traditions. Exemplification will come from Italo-Romance texts produced in Sicily and Southern Italy before 1500, but also from texts of other Romance areas like the Gallo-Romance 13th Century Credo studied by Rocco Distilo (1990).
Le fragment de Salzbourg du Tristan en prose, avec des remarques sur la tradition manuscrite du roman
Authors: de Carné Damien 
Published: June 2017

Abstract
The manuscript fragment of the Prose Tristan that belongs to the Salzburg University Library is republished here with an extensive critical apparatus taking into account almost every accessible manuscript and every textual variant. This study, possible thanks to the brevity of the fragment, provides a clearer picture of the relationship between the Tristan manuscripts for this part of the romance, and examines how some witnesses that have barely been considered before in scholarship are linked. As for the text of the Salzburg manuscript itself, it occupies a rather unexpected position, since it proves difficult to classify as one version or another and may bear witness to a very early stage in the rewritings of this short episode.
The Italian sources of the Catalan translation of Ovid’s Metamorphoses by Francesc Alegre (15th c.)
Authors: Prades Gemma Pellissa 
Published: June 2017

Abstract
The singularity of Francesc Alegre’s translation of Ovid’s Metamorphoses into Catalan has been associated with its dependence on the Latin poem in contrast to the other versions of this text that circulated in print prior to 1500. This article argues that the Catalan translation is the work of a learned author who places himself in relation to the Italian tradition and draws on different sources to complete a work influenced by humanist ideas. Moreover, the evidence strongly supports the impact of Giovanni Bonsignori’s Ovidio Metamorphoseos Vulgare (c. 1375–1377) throughout the fifteen books of Alegre’s translation and in his allegorical interpretations in the second part of the work. I also contend that he may have known the Expositio and the Allegorie written by Giovanni del Virgilio (1322–1323).
A High-Density Genetic Linkage Map and QTL Fine Mapping for Body Weight in Crucian Carp (Carassius auratus) Using 2b-RAD Sequencing
Authors: Liu Haiyang , Fu Beide , Pang Meixia , Feng Xiu , Yu Xiaomu , Tong Jingou 
Published: June 2017

Abstract
A high-resolution genetic linkage map is essential for a wide range of genetics and genomics studies such as comparative genomics analysis and QTL fine mapping. Crucian carp (Carassius auratus) is widely distributed in Eurasia, and is an important aquaculture fish worldwide. In this study, a high-density genetic linkage map was constructed for crucian carp using 2b-RAD technology. The consensus map contains 8487 SNP markers, assigning to 50 linkage groups (LGs) and spanning 3762.88 cM, with an average marker interval of 0.44 cM and genome coverage of 98.8%. The female map had 4410 SNPs, and spanned 3500.42 cM (0.79 cM/marker), while the male map had 4625 SNPs and spanned 3346.33 cM (0.72 cM/marker). The average recombination ratio of female to male was 2.13:1, and significant male-biased recombination suppressions were observed in LG47 and LG49. Comparative genomics analysis revealed a clear 2:1 syntenic relationship between crucian carp LGs and chromosomes of zebrafish and grass carp, and a 1:1 correspondence, but extensive chromosomal rearrangement, between crucian carp and common carp, providing evidence that crucian carp has experienced a fourth round of whole genome duplication (4R-WGD). Eight chromosome-wide QTL for body weight at 2 months after hatch were detected on five LGs, explaining 10.1–13.2% of the phenotypic variations. Potential candidate growth-related genes, such as an EGF-like domain and TGF-β, were identified within the QTL intervals. This high-density genetic map and QTL analysis supplies a basis for genome evolutionary studies in cyprinid fishes, genome assembly, and QTL fine mapping for complex traits in crucian carp.
Constraints on eQTL Fine Mapping in the Presence of Multisite Local Regulation of Gene Expression
Authors: Zeng Biao , Lloyd-Jones Luke R , Holloway Alexander , Marigorta Urko M , Metspalu Andres , Montgomery Grant W , Esko Tonu , Brigham Kenneth L , Quyyumi Arshed A , Idaghdour Youssef , Yang Jian , Visscher Peter M , Powell Joseph E , Gibson Greg 
Published: June 2017

Abstract
Expression quantitative trait locus (eQTL) detection has emerged as an important tool for unraveling of the relationship between genetic risk factors and disease or clinical phenotypes. Most studies use single marker linear regression to discover primary signals, followed by sequential conditional modeling to detect secondary genetic variants affecting gene expression. However, this approach assumes that functional variants are sparsely distributed and that close linkage between them has little impact on estimation of their precise location and the magnitude of effects. We describe a series of simulation studies designed to evaluate the impact of linkage disequilibrium (LD) on the fine mapping of causal variants with typical eQTL effect sizes. In the presence of multisite regulation, even though between 80 and 90% of modeled eSNPs associate with normally distributed traits, up to 10% of all secondary signals could be statistical artifacts, and at least 5% but up to one-quarter of credible intervals of SNPs within r2 &gt; 0.8 of the peak may not even include a causal site. The Bayesian methods eCAVIAR and DAP (Deterministic Approximation of Posteriors) provide only modest improvement in resolution. Given the strong empirical evidence that gene expression is commonly regulated by more than one variant, we conclude that the fine mapping of causal variants needs to be adjusted for multisite influences, as conditional estimates can be highly biased by interference among linked sites, but ultimately experimental verification of individual effects is needed. Presumably similar conclusions apply not just to eQTL mapping, but to multisite influences on fine mapping of most types of quantitative trait.
Up-Frameshift Protein UPF1 Regulates Neurospora crassa Circadian and Diurnal Growth Rhythms
Authors: Wu Yilan , Zhang Yin , Sun Yunpeng , Yu Jiali , Wang Peiliang , Ma Huan , Chen Shijunyin , Ma Lizhen , Zhang Dongyang , He Qun , Guo Jinhu 
Published: June 2017

Abstract
Nonsense-mediated RNA decay (NMD) is a crucial post-transcriptional regulatory mechanism that recognizes and eliminates aberrantly processed transcripts, and mediates the expression of normal gene transcripts. In this study, we report that in the filamentous fungus Neurospora crassa, the NMD factors play a conserved role in regulating the surveillance of NMD targets including premature termination codon (PTC)-containing transcripts and normal transcripts. The circadian rhythms in all of the knockout strains of upf1-3 genes, which encode the Up-frameshift proteins, were aberrant. The upf1 knockout strain displays a shortened circadian period, which can be restored by constantly expressing exogenous Up-frameshift protein 1 (UPF1). UPF1 regulates the circadian clock by modulating the splicing of the core clock gene frequency (frq) through spliceosome and spliceosome-related arginine/serine-rich splicing factors, which partly account for the short periods in the upf1 knockout strain. We also demonstrated that the clock genes including White Collar (WC)-1, WC-2, and FRQ are involved in controlling the diurnal growth rhythm, and UPF1 may affect the growth rhythms by mediating the FRQ protein levels in the daytime. These findings suggest that the NMD factors play important roles in regulating the circadian clock and diurnal growth rhythms in Neurospora.
Restitutionary Road: Reflecting on Good Governance and the Role of the Land Claims Court
Authors: Pienaar JM 
Published: June 2017

Although 95% of all claims that had been submitted by 1998 have indeed been processed, a mere 49% of the land that was restored since 1994 housed successful enterprises by the end of 2010. Accordingly, sixteen years into the restitution process the statistics are rather disappointing. Restitution of land as a land reform mechanism is a unique temporal process that involves various role players. This contribution focuses on the role that the Land Claims Court has to play within the context of “good governance”. In this regard the legislative and policy frameworks within which restitution and the Land Claims Court operate, are first set out after which the unique characteristics of the restitution programme are highlighted. Although the main function of the Land Claims Court is to grapple with and adjudicate on legal issues, it also has a role to play in effecting good governance. This may be done by its involvement in the legal process leading up to the finalization of claims by issuing directives, acting as a review forum and by removing land from the restitution process under section 34 of the Restitution Act. However, a more pro-active role may be played by the Court by its involvement in deciding the exact form of restitution or restoration in a particular case. In this regard the Court can find that restitution has to be conditional and that certain requirements have to be met in order for the process to be effective and successful. With reference to Baphiring Community v Uys and Others (Case number LCC 64/1998) it is clear that a pro-active approach would require the Court to engage in difficult, often conflicting, issues and to embark on in-depth investigations and analyses where necessary.
Editorial
Authors: Venter Francois 
Published: June 2017

On 22 and 23 April 2010 the NWU (Potchefstroom Campus) Faculty of Law hosted a colloquium in collaboration with and sponsored by the Konrad-Adenauer Stiftung on the theme Good Governance in Land Tenure. In this issue we publish a selection of edited and reworked papers presented during the colloquium. A foreword to this joint issue of the Faculty and KAS by the Resident Representative of KAS in South Africa, Dr Werner Bohler, opens the discussion of a topic of global and local significance.
In Defence of Pashukanism
Authors: Koen R 
Published: June 2017

This essay presents an extended defence of the general theory of law formulated by the Bolshevik jurist, Evgeny Pashukanis, and published in his Law and Marxism: A General Theory in 1924. The general theory is a theory of the legal form. Although Pashukanis did not name his theory, it has become known as the commodity form theory of law because of its theorising the legal form as a homologue of the commodity form. However, despite having weighty Marxist and revolutionary Bolshevik credentials, the general theory has been subjected to sustained attack, especially from new left and neo-Marxist circles. This essay identifies and explicates six major objections to Pashukanism from its left critics. These are that the general theory is too abstract to comprehend the reality of legal relations; that it is infused with economic reductionism; that it derives the legal form wrongly from commodity exchange; that it classifies the legal form incorrectly as an attribute of capitalism only; that it lacks the generality required of a general theory of law; and that it is imbricated in the growth of anarchism and Stalinism.

Following a brief exegetical exercise, the bulk of the essay is devoted to demonstrating in detail that each of the six objections to the general theory is without merit, and that none makes any serious incursion into its integrity as a theory of the legal form. The central submission of the essay is that the Pashukanist general theory of law is rooted in the first principles of classical Marxism and hence may lay claim legitimately to being the Marxist theory of law.
Sexual Harassment in the Education Sector
Authors: Smit Denine , Du Plessis Voet 
Published: June 2017

Education should safely shape the minds and attitudes of young adults and children, especially with the in loco parentis principle in mind. Young adults who have experienced sexual harassment in the very environment that should have protected them as learners suffer greatly from social problems and from emotional and academic strain. Victims often become future harassers themselves. Sexual harassment should be eradicated from the education sector in toto to ensure a safe learning environment.

High incidences of harassment have been found among college students in America, while a very small percentage of such transgressions have been reported. Similar statistics in South African universities are not available, the problem is therefore managed in a void. The position in schools is more alarming. In South Africa it has been found that 30 per cent of girls are raped at school and that male learners and educators are the main culprits.

Not only is the magnitude of this problem gravely underestimated, but the effect of sexual harassment on learners has also not been managed properly. The authors argue that the focus is on avoiding legal responsibility and accountability, rather than on being proactive. The historic invisibility of sexual harassment in education can be attributed to the wrongful silencing thereof.
Editorial
Authors: Venter Francois 
Published: June 2017

The papers published in this special edition on law and education were written on the initiative of the South African Education Law Association (SAELA).
JP Rossouw of the Faculty of Education Sciences of the North-West University (Potchefstroom Campus) and current chairperson of SAELA and Wilna Keet (attorney of Pratt Luyt & De Lange, Polokwane) investigate the delictual liability of educator-coaches in their combined functions as coaches, organisers of sport events, referees and sport officials in the context of the security of learner participants.
Access to Education and Training: Pathway to Decent Work for Women
Authors: Moseneke Dikgang 
Published: June 2017

Madam Justice BC Mocumie, President of the South African Chapter: International Association of Women Judges, fellow judges and other distinguished guests; it is a remarkable privilege to be part of this annual general conference of the South African Chapter of the International Association of Women Judges. I would like to thank you for your kind invitation to me to share this occasion with everybody here present.
Editorial
Authors: Venter Francois 
Published: June 2017

On 13 August 2011 Deputy Chief Justice Dikgang Moseneke delivered the keynote address at the Annual General Conference of the South African Chapter of the International Association of Women Judges held on the Potchefstroom Campus of the North-West University. We are pleased to open this edition with this address in which he concluded: "We need judges who are needs driven and who are determined to vindicate rights of aggrieved litigants impartially and without fear or favour. That deep instinct of fairness which seems to abound in women would be a great asset to our judiciary."
Gestational diabetes mellitus with its maternal and foetal outcome: a clinical study
Authors: Makwana Mohan , Bhimwal Raj Kumar , Ram Chaina , Mathur S L. , Lal Kanwar , Mourya Harish 
Published: June 2017

Background: Prevalence of the diabetes among pregnant women is increasing, attributable to advance maternal age, multi foetal gestation, increased body mass index, strong family history, sedentary life style, change in the diet, continued immigration. Gestational diabetes has few symptoms, commonly diagnosed by screening during pregnancy.Methods: The present study was conducted at Department of Medicine and Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Dr. S.N. Medical College, Jodhpur. Rajasthan, India.Results: Out of 476 patients attending the antenatal outdoor at the Umaid Hospital, Jodhpur, Rajasthan, India. The prevalence of gestational diabetes in present study was 7.98%, Incidence of GDM found to increase with increasing age with maximum prevalence (10.71%) in more than 30 years age group, with increasing parity, low socioeconomic strata and in urban population. With maximum prevalence amongst higher parities (12.5%) in >G5 and higher). The incidence was higher with history of PIH (36.36%), family H/O DM (33.3%), GDM (12.12%), perinatal losses (15.15%), anomalous baby (9.09%), high BMI (67%). GDM complicate the normal course of pregnancy with increased incidence of PIH (36.4), Polyhydramnios (27.2%), infections like vaginal candidiasis (24.2%) and UTI (39.3%). The infant of diabetic mother had 12 (32.29%), 9 (26.47%), 11 (32.35%), 8 (23.53%) 5 (14.70%) and 3 (8.82%) of hypoglycemia, respiratory distress, macrosomia, congenital anomalies, birth injuries, polycythaemia, and hypocalcaemia respectively in diabetic mothers with suboptimal glycaemic control during pregnancy.Conclusions: GDM continues to be an important obstetrical condition with significant feto-maternal morbidity. Complications in infant of diabetic mother are more common with those mothers who had poor glycaemic control.
From the surface of painting to architecture space: Cloud image
Authors: Bilir Ayse 
Published: June 2017

In the act of acquiring knowledge, as it is in many other fields of life, the ability to use technology has taken the lead in the world of education as well. Engineering education is one of these areas. The increasing dependence of people on technology is alarming. In this study, it is examined that how students at the Faculty of Engineering evaluate their visual perception change and the point of view to the arts and arts education after they receive plastic arts education at a basic level. Written opinions were gathered from 150 students who took the elective course ‘Plastic Arts Education’ at the Faculty of Fine Arts at Hacettepe University. 14-week syllabus is used in this course including one theoretical hour and two practical hours each week. This syllabus covers two or three dimensional applied studies, the research and examination of art and its movements, artists, works of art, and exhibition and museum visits. Results show that students have chosen this course since they fed up with their theoretical courses, or the workload of courses, realize they have a bias towards art thinking that it merely and simply requires ability, and they are excited to recognize the difference between ‘look’ and ‘see’.
Keywords: plastic arts, art education, engineering students.