bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025_split huggingface dataset:
Wave and Jet Maintenance in Different Flow Regimes
Authors: Lachmy Orli , Harnik Nili 
Published: March 2016

Abstract
The wave spectrum and zonal-mean-flow maintenance in different flow regimes of the jet stream are studied using a two-layer modified quasigeostrophic (QG) model. As the wave energy is increased by varying the model parameters, the flow transitions from a subtropical jet regime to a merged jet regime and then to an eddy-driven jet regime. The subtropical jet is maintained at the Hadley cell edge by zonal-mean advection of momentum, while eddy heat flux and eddy momentum flux convergence (EMFC) are weak and concentrated far poleward. The merged jet is narrow and persistent and is maintained by EMFC from a narrow wave spectrum, dominated by zonal wavenumber 5. The eddy-driven jet is wide and fluctuating and is maintained by EMFC from a wide wave spectrum. The wave–mean flow feedback mechanisms that maintain each regime are explained qualitatively.
The regime transitions are related to transitions in the wave spectrum. An analysis of the wave energy spectrum budget and a comparison with a quasi-linear version of the model show that the balance maintaining the spectrum in the merged and subtropical jet regimes is mainly a quasi-linear balance, whereas in the eddy-driven jet regime nonlinear inverse energy cascade takes place. The amplitude and wavenumber of the dominant wave mode in the merged and subtropical jet regimes are determined by the constraint that this mode would produce the wave fluxes necessary for maintaining a mean flow that is close to neutrality. In contrast, the equilibrated mean flow in the eddy-driven jet regime is weakly unstable.
The Role of the Mean State in Meridional Mode Structure and Growth
Authors: Martinez-Villalobos Cristian , Vimont Daniel J. 
Published: March 2016

Abstract
This study uses a simple linear coupled model to investigate the role of the WES feedback and ITCZ mean states in meridional mode variability. Optimal structures that maximize transient growth are calculated for mean states characteristic of boreal spring and boreal fall in the tropical Atlantic. During boreal spring the leading optimal structure is a zonal mode that propagates westward and does not resemble the observed meridional mode. In contrast, the leading optimal structure during fall is a sea surface temperature (SST) monopole over the Northern Hemisphere (NH) that propagates equatorward and westward and that closely matches meridional mode variability during this season. It is found that the boreal fall optimal growth greatly exceeds growth of the corresponding optimal during boreal spring, despite the observed boreal spring peak in Atlantic meridional mode variance.
Sensitivity studies are used to explore the role of Northern or Southern Hemisphere initial conditions, ITCZ width, and ITCZ location in meridional mode growth and structure. It is found that growth is favored (i) for optimal structures that originate in the Northern Hemisphere, especially for boreal fall mean states; (ii) for symmetric mean states, equatorially symmetric structures maximize growth under narrow ITCZ configurations, and antisymmetric structures maximize growth under wider ITCZ configurations; and (iii) for antisymmetric mean states (and realistic ITCZ width), growth is maximized when the ITCZ is located off of the equator. The implications of these findings are discussed.
The Precipitation Response to an Idealized Subtropical Continent
Authors: Maroon Elizabeth A. , Frierson Dargan M. W. , Kang Sarah M. , Scheff Jacob 
Published: March 2016

Abstract
A subtropical continent is added to two aquaplanet atmospheric general circulation models (AGCMs) to better understand the influence of land on tropical circulation and precipitation. The first model, the gray-radiation moist (GRaM) AGCM, has simplified physics, while the second model, the GFDL Atmospheric Model version 2.1 (AM2.1), is a fully comprehensive AGCM. Both models have a continent that is 60° wide in longitude from 10° to 30°N, in an otherwise slab-ocean-covered world. The precipitation response varies with cloudy- and clear-sky feedbacks and depends on continental albedo. In GRaM simulations with a continent, precipitation in the Northern Hemisphere decreases mostly as a result of decreased evaporation. In AM2.1 simulations, precipitation also shifts southward via Hadley circulation changes due to increasing albedo, but the radiative impact of clouds and moisture creates a more complex response. Results are similar when a seasonal cycle of insolation is included in AM2.1 simulations. The impact of a large, bright subtropical continent is to shift precipitation to the opposite hemisphere. In these simulations, the hemisphere of greater tropical precipitation is better predicted by the hemisphere with greater atmospheric energy input, as has been shown in previous literature, rather than the hemisphere that has higher surface temperature.
Will a Warmer World Mean a Wetter or Drier Australian Monsoon?
Authors: Brown Josephine R. , Moise Aurel F. , Colman Robert , Zhang Huqiang 
Published: March 2016

Abstract
Multimodel mean projections of the Australian summer monsoon show little change in precipitation in a future warmer climate, even under the highest emission scenario. However, there is large uncertainty in this projection, with model projections ranging from around a 40% increase to a 40% decrease in summer monsoon precipitation. To understand the source of this model uncertainty, a set of 33 climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) is divided into groups based on their future precipitation projections (DRY, MID, and WET terciles). The DRY model mean has enhanced sea surface temperature (SST) warming across the equatorial Pacific, with maximum increases in precipitation in the western equatorial Pacific. The DRY model mean also has a large cold bias in present day SSTs in this region. The WET model mean has the largest warming in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, with precipitation increases over much of Australia. These results suggest lower confidence for projections of reduced monsoon precipitation because of the influence of model SST biases on the SST warming pattern and precipitation response. The precipitation changes for the DRY and WET models are also decomposed into dynamic and thermodynamic components. The component due to spatial shifts in the location of convergence and precipitation is responsible for most of the difference between DRY and WET models. As spatial shifts in precipitation are closely associated with patterns of SST change, reducing uncertainty in model SST warming patterns will be crucial to improved projections of Australian monsoon precipitation.
Coastal Clouds at the Eastern Margin of the Southeast Pacific: Climatology and Trends
Authors: Muñoz Ricardo C. , Quintana Juan , Falvey Mark J. , Rutllant José A. , Garreaud René 
Published: March 2016

Abstract
The climatology and recent trends of low-level coastal clouds at three sites along the northern Chilean coast (18.3°–23.4°S) are documented based upon up to 45 years of hourly observations of cloud type, coverage, and heights. Consistent with the subtropical location, cloud types are dominated by stratocumuli having greatest coverage (&gt;7 oktas) and smaller heights (600–750 m) during the nighttime of austral winter and spring. Meridionally, nighttime cloud fraction and cloud-base heights increase from south to north. Long-term trends in mean cloud cover are observed at all sites albeit with a seasonal modulation, with increasing (decreasing) coverage in the spring (fall). Consistent trend patterns are also observed in independent sunshine hour measurements at the same sites. Cloud heights show negative trends of about 100 m decade−1 (1995–2010), although the onset time of this tendency differs between sites. The positive cloud fraction trends during the cloudy season reported here disagree with previous studies, with discrepancies attributed to differences in datasets used or to methodological differences in data analysis. The cloud-base height tendency, together with a less rapid lowering of the subsidence inversion base height, suggests a deepening of the coastal cloud layer. While consistent with the tendency toward greater low-level cloud cover and the known cooling of the marine boundary layer in this region, these tendencies are at odds with a drying trend of the near-surface air documented here as well. Assessing whether this intriguing result is caused by physical factors or by limitations of the data demands more detailed observations, some of which are currently under way.
An Equatorial–Extratropical Dipole Structure of the Atlantic Niño
Authors: Nnamchi Hyacinth C. , Li Jianping , Kucharski Fred , Kang In-Sik , Keenlyside Noel S. , Chang Ping , Farneti Riccardo 
Published: March 2016

Abstract
Equatorial Atlantic variability is dominated by the Atlantic Niño peaking during the boreal summer. Studies have shown robust links of the Atlantic Niño to fluctuations of the St. Helena subtropical anticyclone and Benguela Niño events. Furthermore, the occurrence of opposite sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the eastern equatorial and southwestern extratropical South Atlantic Ocean (SAO), also peaking in boreal summer, has recently been identified and termed the SAO dipole (SAOD). However, the extent to which and how the Atlantic Niño and SAOD are related remain unclear. Here, an analysis of historical observations reveals the Atlantic Niño as a possible intrinsic equatorial arm of the SAOD. Specifically, the observed sporadic equatorial warming characteristic of the Atlantic Niño (~0.4 K) is consistently linked to southwestern cooling (~−0.4 K) of the Atlantic Ocean during the boreal summer. Heat budget calculations show that the SAOD is largely driven by the surface net heat flux anomalies while ocean dynamics may be of secondary importance. Perturbations of the St. Helena anticyclone appear to be the dominant mechanism triggering the surface heat flux anomalies. A weakening of the anticyclone will tend to weaken the prevailing northeasterlies and enhance evaporative cooling over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean. In the equatorial region, the southeast trade winds weaken, thereby suppressing evaporation and leading to net surface warming. Thus, it is hypothesized that the wind–evaporation–SST feedback may be responsible for the growth of the SAOD events linking southern extratropics and equatorial Atlantic variability via surface net heat flux anomalies.
Effects of Spatial Aggregation on the Accuracy of Statistically Downscaled Precipitation Predictions
Authors: Chardon Jérémy , Favre Anne-Catherine , Hingray Benoît 
Published: March 2016

Abstract
The effects of spatial aggregation on the skill of downscaled precipitation predictions obtained over an 8 × 8 km2 grid from circulation analogs for metropolitan France are explored. The Safran precipitation reanalysis and an analog approach are used to downscale the precipitation where the predictors are taken from the 40-yr ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-40). Prediction skill—characterized by the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS), its skill score, and its decomposition—is generally found to continuously increase with spatial aggregation. The increase is also greater when the spatial correlation of precipitation is lower. This effect is shown from an empirical experiment carried out with a fully uncorrelated dataset, generated from a space-shake experiment, where the precipitation time series of each grid cell is randomly assigned to another grid cell. The underlying mechanisms of this effect are further highlighted with synthetic predictions simulated using a stochastic spatiotemporal generator. It is shown 1) that the skill increase with spatial aggregation jointly results from the higher and lower values obtained for the resolution and uncertainty terms of the CRPS decomposition, respectively, and 2) that the lower spatial correlation of precipitation is beneficial for both terms. Results obtained for France suggest that the prediction skill indefinitely increases with aggregation. A last experiment is finally proposed to show that this is not expected to be always the case. A prediction skill optimum is, for instance, obtained when the mean areal precipitation is estimated over a region where local precipitations of different grid cells originate from different underlying meteorological processes.
The Total Energy Flux Leaving the Ocean’s Mixed Layer
Authors: Rimac Antonija , Storch Jin-Song von , Eden Carsten 
Published: March 2016

AbstractThe total energy flux leaving the ocean’s spatially and seasonally varying mixed layer is estimated using a global ⅝1/10° ocean general circulation model. From the total wind-power input of 3.33 TW into near-inertial waves (0.35 TW), subinertial fluctuations (0.87 TW), and the time-mean circulation (2.11 TW), 0.92 TW leave the mixed layer, with 0.04 TW (11.4%) due to near-inertial motions, 0.07 TW (8.04%) due to subinertial fluctuations, and 0.81 TW (38.4%) due to time-mean motions. Of the 0.81 TW from the time-mean motions, 0.5 TW result from the projection of the horizontal flux onto the sloped bottom of the mixed layer. This projection is negligible for the transient fluxes. The spatial structure of the vertical flux is determined principally by the wind stress curl. The mean and subinertial fluxes leaving the mixed layer are approximately 40%–50% smaller than the respective fluxes across the Ekman layer according to the method proposed by Stern. The fraction related to transient fluctuations tends to decrease with increasing depth of the mixed layer and with increasing strength of wind stress variability.
Wave-Breaking Turbulence in the Ocean Surface Layer
Authors: Thomson Jim , Schwendeman Michael S. , Zippel Seth F. , Moghimi Saeed , Gemmrich Johannes , Rogers W. Erick 
Published: March 2016

AbstractObservations of winds, waves, and turbulence at the ocean surface are compared with several analytic formulations and a numerical model for the input of turbulent kinetic energy by wave breaking and the subsequent dissipation. The observations are generally consistent with all of the formulations, although some differences are notable at winds greater than 15 m s−1. The depth dependence of the turbulent dissipation rate beneath the waves is fit to a decay scale, which is sensitive to the choice of vertical reference frame. In the surface-following reference frame, the strongest turbulence is isolated within a shallow region of depths much less than one significant wave height. In a fixed reference frame, the strong turbulence penetrates to depths that are at least half of the significant wave height. This occurs because the turbulence of individual breakers persists longer than the dominant period of the waves and thus the strong surface turbulence is carried from crest to trough with the wave orbital motion.
Wind Sea behind a Cold Front and Deep Ocean Acoustics
Authors: Farrell W. E. , Berger J. , Bidlot J.-R. , Dzieciuch M. , Munk W. , Stephen R. A. , Worcester P. F. 
Published: March 2016

AbstractA rapid and broadband (1 h, 1 < f < 400 Hz) increase in pressure and vertical velocity on the deep ocean floor was observed on seven instruments comprising a 20-km array in the northeastern subtropical Pacific. The authors associate the jump with the passage of a cold front and focus on the 4- and 400-Hz spectra. At every station, the time of the jump is consistent with the front coming from the northwest. The apparent rate of progress, 10–20 km h−1 (2.8–5.6 m s−1), agrees with meteorological observations. The acoustic radiation below the front is modeled as arising from a moving half-plane of uncorrelated acoustic dipoles. The half-plane is preceded by a 10-km transition zone, over which the radiator strength increases linearly from zero. With this model, the time derivative of the jump at a station yields a second and independent estimate of the front’s speed, 8.5 km h−1 (2.4 m s−1). For the 4-Hz spectra, the source physics is taken to be Longuet-Higgins radiation. Its strength depends on the quantity , where Fζ is the wave amplitude power spectrum and I the overlap integral. Thus, the 1-h time constant observed in the bottom data implies a similar time constant for the growth of the wave field quantity behind the front. The spectra at 400 Hz have a similar time constant, but the jump occurs 25 min later. The implications of this difference for the source physics are uncertain.
Quality Control Program for Real-Time Hourly Temperature Observation in Taiwan
Authors: Cheng Anne Ru , Lee Tim Hau , Ku Hsin I. , Chen Yi Wen 
Published: March 2016

AbstractThis paper introduces a quality control (QC) program for the real-time hourly land surface temperature observation developed by the Central Weather Bureau in Taiwan. There are three strategies involved. The first strategy is a range check scheme that inspects whether the observation falls inside the climatological limits of the station to screen out the obvious outliers. Limits are adjusted according to the station’s elevation. The second strategy is a spatial check scheme that scrutinizes whether the observation falls inside the derived confidence interval, according to the data from the reference stations and the correlations among the stations, to judge the reliability of the data. The scheme is specialized, as it employs the theorems of unbiased and minimum error estimators to determine the weights. The performance evaluation results show that the new method is in theory superior to the spatial regression test (You et al.). The third strategy is a temporal check scheme that examines whether the temperature difference of two successive observations exceeds the temperature variation threshold for judging the rationality of the data. Different thresholds are applied for the data observed in different times under different rainfall conditions. Procedurally, the observation must pass the range check first and then go through the spatial or the temporal check. The temporal check is applied only when the spatial check is unavailable. Post-examinations of the data from 2014 show that the QC program is able to filter out most of the significant errors.
Diurnal, Seasonal, and 11-yr Solar Cycle Variation Effects on the Virtual Ionosphere Reflection Height and Implications for the Met Office’s Lightning Detection System, ATDnet
Authors: Hudson T. S. , Horseman A. , Sugier J. 
Published: March 2016

AbstractThe virtual ionosphere reflection height variation is investigated temporally and spatially, with specific reference to the Met Office’s lightning detection network, the Arrival Time Difference Network (ATDnet). Data from this network, operating at 13.7 kHz, and a propagation model built by the Met Office based upon published theory were used to investigate this variation, specifically with regard to diurnal, seasonal, and 11-yr solar cycle variation. Variation over these temporal scales is chosen, since they correspond with variation in solar irradiance upon the earth’s atmosphere, something known to drive ionosphere height variation. The virtual ionosphere reflection height is found to vary diurnally from ~65 km for the period 1000–1600 UTC to ~80 km for the period 2200–0400 UTC, from 1 June to 31 August 2013 inclusive. A similar magnitude of variation is also observed seasonally, with the ionosphere height for daytime in August 2013 being ~64 km and for December 2013 being ~76 km. No significant variation is observed between the minimum and maximum of the last solar cycle, with a difference in ionosphere height of ~1 km at most. The potential impacts of these results upon a very low-frequency (VLF) lightning detection network such as ATDnet are discussed, with solutions such as subnetting and wave-mode dominance analysis examined.
Sensitivity of a Cumulus Parameterization Scheme to Precipitation Production Representation and Its Impact on a Heavy Rain Event over Korea
Authors: Han Ji-Young , Hong Song-You , Sunny Lim Kyo-Sun , Han Jongil 
Published: March 2016

Abstract
The sensitivity of a cumulus parameterization scheme (CPS) to a representation of precipitation production is examined. To do this, the parameter that determines the fraction of cloud condensate converted to precipitation in the simplified Arakawa–Schubert (SAS) convection scheme is modified following the results from a cloud-resolving simulation. While the original conversion parameter is assumed to be constant, the revised parameter includes a temperature dependency above the freezing level, which leads to less production of frozen precipitating condensate with height. The revised CPS has been evaluated for a heavy rainfall event over Korea as well as medium-range forecasts using the Global/Regional Integrated Model system (GRIMs). The inefficient conversion of cloud condensate to convective precipitation at colder temperatures generally leads to a decrease in precipitation, especially in the category of heavy rainfall. The resultant increase of detrained moisture induces moistening and cooling at the top of clouds. A statistical evaluation of the medium-range forecasts with the revised precipitation conversion parameter shows an overall improvement of the forecast skill in precipitation and large-scale fields, indicating importance of more realistic representation of microphysical processes in CPSs.
Analyzing the Grell–Freitas Convection Scheme from Hydrostatic to Nonhydrostatic Scales within a Global Model
Authors: Fowler Laura D. , Skamarock William C. , Grell Georg A. , Freitas Saulo R. , Duda Michael G. 
Published: March 2016

Abstract
The authors implemented the Grell–Freitas (GF) parameterization of convection in which the cloud-base mass flux varies quadratically as a function of the convective updraft fraction in the global nonhydrostatic Model for Prediction Across Scales (MPAS). They evaluated the performance of GF using quasi-uniform meshes and a variable-resolution mesh centered over South America, the resolution of which varied between hydrostatic (50 km) and nonhydrostatic (3 km) scales. Four-day forecasts using a 50-km and a 15-km quasi-uniform mesh, initialized with GFS data for 0000 UTC 10 January 2014, reveal that MPAS overestimates precipitation in the tropics relative to the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis data. Results of 4-day forecasts using the variable-resolution mesh reveal that over the refined region of the mesh, GF performs as a precipitating shallow convective scheme, whereas over the coarse region of the mesh, GF acts as a conventional deep convective scheme. As horizontal resolution increases and subgrid-scale motions become increasingly resolved, the contribution of convective and grid-scale precipitation to the total precipitation decreases and increases, respectively. Probability density distributions of precipitation highlight a smooth transition in the partitioning between convective and grid-scale precipitation, including at gray-zone scales across the transition region between the coarsest and finest regions of the global mesh. Variable-resolution meshes spanning between hydrostatic and nonhydrostatic scales are shown to be ideal tools to evaluate the horizontal scale dependence of parameterized convective and grid-scale moist processes.