bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025_split huggingface dataset:
PENGUJIAN NETRALITAS UANG DAN INFLASI JANGKA PANJANG DI INDONESIA
Authors: Arintoko Arintoko 
Published: January 2017

This paper investigates long-run neutrality of money and inflation in Indonesia, with due consideration to the order of integration, exogeneity, and cointegration of the money stock-real output and the money stock-price, using annual time-series data. The Fisher-Seater methodology is used to do the task in this research. The empirical results indicate that evidence rejected the long-run neutrality of money (both defined as M1 and M2) with respect to real GDP, showing that it is inconsistent with the classical and neoclassical economics. However, the positive link between the money and price in long run holds for money defined as M1 rather than M2, which consistent with these theories. In particular, besides the positive effect to long-run inflation, monetary expansions have long-run positive effect on real output in the Indonesian economy. JEL Classification: C32, E31, E51Keywords: long-run neutrality of money, inflation, unit root, exogeneity, cointegration
APAKAH PERKEMBANGAN FINANSIAL MEREDAM ATAU MEMPERBESAR DAMPAK SUATU KEJUTAN?
Authors: Permata Meily Ika , Ibrahim Ibrahim , Ari Hidayah Dhini 
Published: January 2017

This paper analyzes the role of financial development on economic output in Indonesia. Using vector autoregressive method, the results confirm the positive impact of financial development on output growth. The interaction between the financial development and the shock either in financial or real sector shows that the financial development has a positive role to dampen the negative impact of the shock on the output growth, while strengthen the positive one. Another variable on the model, which significantly affect the output growth are excess money, term of trade, and the price. Compare to these variables, the marginal effect of financial development on output is smaller. JEL Classification : E44, O16Keywords : Financial development, shock, output volatility, VAR
BANK CAPITAL INFLOWS, INSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND RISK: EVIDENCE FROM PUBLICLY - TRADED BANKS IN ASIA
Authors: Soedarmono Wahyoe 
Published: January 2017

This paper examines the relationship between bank capital inflows and financial stability. Using a sample of publicly-traded commercial banks in Asia over the 2002-2008 period, our empirical results show that higher banking inflows measured by the share of foreign liabilities in banking reduces systematic risk, but increases bank-specific risk and total risk. A deeper investigation further suggests that an increase in total risk and bank-specific risk is driven by strong institutional development. Specifically, higher foreign liabilities in banking exacerbate bank-specific risk and total risk in countries with greater economic freedom. Hence, the reinforcement of prudential regulations is necessary to overcome bank-specific risk and total risk, particularly when the countries move to a more liberal economic environment. JEL Classification : G21, G28, G38Keywords : Banking Globalization, Economic Freedom, Capital Market Measures of Risk
RELATIVE EFFECTIVENESS OF INDONESIAN POLICY CHOICES DURING FINANCIAL CRISIS
Authors: Silalahi Tumpak , Chawwa Tevy 
Published: January 2017

The objective of this paper is to review the impact of crisis and policy measures taken during the crisis, to evaluate the effectiveness of those measures and to analyze the exit strategy in Indonesia. The econometric model was used to evaluate the impact of monetary and fiscal policy to economic output using quarterly data from 1990 - 2010. The result shows that monetary and fiscal policies have significant impact to economic output. In the short run the changes in real GDP is significantly affected by changes in real monetary supply in the previous three quarter and real fiscal expenditures. The lesson learned from this research among other are that cooperation and coordination among the policy makers and the timely responses are very important in tackling the crisis; an effective conventional monetary policy in normal times may become less effective in a crisis thus unconventional monetary policy indeed necessary as timely policy response and the improvement for more timely disbursement of government expenditure is important to increase the effectiveness of this policy to stimulate economic output. Moreover, several Indonesian exit strategy and policies to face future challenges are very important to reach the ultimate objective of sustainable economic growth while maintaining macroeconomic stability. JEL Classification : E52, E62, E63Keywords: monetary policy, fiscal policy, financial sector policy, global financial crisis.
MARKET POWER OF INDONESIAN BANKING
Authors: Lubis Andi Fahmi 
Published: January 2017

This study aimed to estimate the degree of market power exercised by commercial banks in the credit market in Indonesia. The model used to answer this study’s objective was the Bresnahan-Lau oligopoly model that uses structural equations to estimate the degree of market power. This model uses a very different approach than Structure-Conduct-Performance (SCP) paradigm commonly used in market power studies. Without using actual cost data and accounting profit, the Bresnahan-Lau model was able to estimate directly the degree of market power from the structural equations. The main result of this study showed that the degree of market power exercised by commercial banks in the credit market is relatively low; in other words, the degree of competition in the credit market in Indonesia is quite high. Keywords: market power, oligopoly, Bresnahan-Lau, structure, performance, conduct, SCP.JEL Classification : L13, G21
TRANSMISSION CHANNEL AND EFFECTIVENESS OF DUAL MONETARY POLICY IN INDONESIA
Authors: Ascarya Ascarya 
Published: January 2017

This paper investigates the transmission mechanism of dual monetary system from conventional and Islamic policy rates to inflation and output. We apply Granger Causality and VAR methods on monthly data of Indonesian banking, during the period of January 2003 to December 2009. The result shows that conventional policy rate is transmitted to output and inflation, while Islamic policy rate are not. In addition, the shock of conventional interest rate, credit and interbank rate give a negative and permanent impacts on inflation and output, except for SBI (Certificate of Bank Indonesia) with positive impact to inflation though negatively affect the output. On the other hand, the shock of PLS, financing and Islamic interbank PLS, as well as SBIS (Central Bank Shariah Certificate) give positive and permanent impacts on inflation and output. Keywords: Monetary transmission mechanism, Interest rate pass through, Conventional Banking, Islamic BankingJEL Classification: E43, E52, G21, G28
ANALYSIS OF SECTORAL EFFICIENCY AND THE RESPONSE OF REGIONAL POLICY
Authors: Ikram M. Abdul Majid , Prasmuko Andry , Anugerah Donni Fajar , Kurniati Ina Nurmalia 
Published: January 2017

This paper analyzes the contributon of primary input; capital anda labor, on sectoral performance in Indonesia. The analysis cover sall sectors both in national and regional level, and also the dynamic of input efficiency across period. Using stochastic frontier production function approach, this paper found the aggregate share of capital is 0.20 and 0.34 for labor; conforming the dominance of labor. The highest three technical efficiency is Mining sector (88.65%), Manufacture (70.47%) and Financial (65.93%), while the lowest one is Electric, Gas and Water (25.38%). Keywords: efficiency, stochastic frontier, productivity, Indonesia.JEL Classification: D24, J24, O18
META-ANALYSIS OF MONEY DEMAND IN INDONESIA
Authors: Riyandi Galih 
Published: January 2017

Theory and empirical study about demand for money is the key feature in macroeconomics theory. The study about demand for money in Indonesia has been developing with various techniques. Its result in various analyses can be difficult in understanding behaviour of demand for money in Indonesia. This paper aims to find out the tendency of demand for money in Indonesia by analyzing long run and short run income elasticity and opportunity cost elasticity. We use fixed effects meta-analysis and unweighted average meta-analysis. The result shows that income elasticity and opportunity cost elasticity are consistent with theory of money demand. That result can be used as an empirical foundation to future study about demand for money in Indonesia. Keywords: demand for money, meta analysis, fixed effects.JEL Classification code: E41, E52
INTERMEDIATION CHARACTERISTICS AND FUNCTIONS OF BANKING IN INDONESIA
Authors: Siringoringo Renniwaty 
Published: January 2017

This paper analyzes the influence of ownership and specific characteristic of banks on the capital structure and the intermediation function of commercial banks in Indonesia. Using multivariate regression on bank level data of 2006-2009, the result shows the ownership structure, profitability, size, and management expense affect the bank capital structure, with a total effect of 50.14%. Towards the bank intermediation, with a total effect of 27.01%, the ownership structure, profitability, bank size, credit risk, expense management and capital structure influence the banks intermediation function. Keywords : Ownership structure, specific characteristic of bank, capital structure and bank intermediation functionJEL Classification: G21, G32
DOES THE LOCAL ECONOMIC GOVERNANCE IN INDONESIAPERFORM AN IMPROVEMENT?
Authors: Kuncoro Haryo 
Published: January 2017

Governance has gone through radical changes over the last twenty five years. Seemingly, it became one of the important strategies, processes, methods and mechanisms in governing countries to achieve economic development goals. The objective of this paper is to observe the local economic governance dynamics in the case of districts/municipalities in Indonesia. First, the dynamics behavior of local governance over time is analyzed by visual inspection of their non-parametric density distribution. More deeply, we use Markov chains to predict a pattern of change in local economic governance toward its steady state. Based on comparison between 2007 and 2011 data delivered by Commission of Regional Autonomy Implementation Watch, we conclude that there is a high level of persistence in the relative position of local governance index, consistent with a low degree of mobility in the index distribution implying the implementation of governance in the districts/municipalities in Indonesia is weak enough. This finding implies that the local economic governance is a key to achieve sustainable regional economic growth in line with fiscal decentralization and regional autonomy. Keywords : Local Economic Governance, Decentralization, Regional Economic Growth, Kernel Densities, Markov ChainsJEL Classification: H70, O43, O56
KARAKTERISTIK DAN FUNGSI INTERMEDIASI PERBANKAN DI INDONESIA
Authors: Siringoringo Renniwaty 
Published: January 2017

This paper analyzes the influence of ownership and specific characteristic of banks on the capital structure and the intermediation function of commercial banks in Indonesia. Using multivariate regression on bank level data of 2006-2009, the result shows the ownership structure, profitability, size, and management expense affect the bank capital structure, with a total effect of 50.14%. Towards the bank intermediation, with a total effect of 27.01%, the ownership structure, profitability, bank size, credit risk, expense management and capital structure influence the banks intermediation function.Keywords : Ownership structure, specific characteristic of bank, capital structure and bank intermediation functionJEL Classification: G21, G32
OPTIMAL CREDIT GROWTH
Authors: Utari G.A Diah , Arimurti Trinil , Kurnia Ina Nurmalia 
Published: January 2017

Banking credit has an important role in financing the national economy and as engine of economic growth. The high growth of credit is a commonly normal phenomenon as a positive consequence from the increase of financial deepening in economy. On the other hand, one must consider the implication of credit growth towards the financial stabilization and macro condition. Therefore, the policy authority should be able to identify the credit growth that is considered to be risky for the financial system and the macro stability. This research measures the credit growth without negative impact towards the economy and the banking condition. The testing uses Markov Switching (MS) Univariate approach and MS Vector Error Correction Model. The result with MS Univariate approach shows that the upper limit of the real credit growth in moderate regime is about 17.39 percent, while using the MS VECM approach is about 22.15 percent. Keywords: bank, credit, risk, markov switching error correction modelJEL classification: G21, E51, C23,C24
GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISES AND ECONOMIC GROWTH : EVIDENCE FROM EAST ASIAN ECONOMIES
Authors: Raz Arisyi F. , Indra Tamarind P. K. , Artikasih Dea K. , Citra Syalinda 
Published: January 2017

As economies become more integrated in the midst of globalization, financial crisis that occurs in one country can easily transmit to other countries, becoming global financial catastrophe in a short period of time. In such event, strong economic fundamentals are particularly important to defend a country from the contagious effect of the crisis. As evidence, due to the fragile economic fundamentals and lacking government credibility, East Asian economies were easily attacked by the crisis in 1997 once the sentiment deteriorated. Nevertheless, the region had learned its lessons in 1997 thereby proofing its resilience in facing the global financial crisis that struck in 2008 by improving its economic fundamentals as well as policymakers’ credibility. This paper starts with theories on economic growth and financial crisis. Further, it empirically examines to what extent the financial crises in 1997 and 2008 affect East Asian economies by using panel data econometrics. The evidence shows that, even though both crises have contributed adverse impacts on East Asian economies, the magnitude of the 2008 crisis was relatively less severe than that in 1997. Finally, this study also provides further discussions regarding how East Asian economies had successfully minimized the impact of the global crisis in 2008. Keywords: Global Financial Crises; East Asian Economies; Economic Growth;Financial Market; Random and Fixed EffectsJEL Classification: C330, E440, G010
THE DYNAMICS SPILLOVER OF TRADE BETWEEN INDONESIA AND ITS COUNTERPARTS IN TERMS OF AFTA 2015 : A MODIFIED GRAVITY EQUATION APPROACH
Authors: Suryanta Barli 
Published: January 2017

The forthcoming 2015, ASEAN is being confident to implement ASEAN Free Trade (AFTA). The existence of AFTA is to outstrip trade liberalization due to augment trade volume significantly and transaction easing as well among the members of AFTA, mainly by inducing lower tariffs some certain commodities up to 0%. This paper is conducted in order to examine on what prominent commodity of Indonesia compared to its counterparts namely Brunei, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand. These Indonesia counterparts are selected therefore they were the founding of ASEAN. Furthermore, this paper utilizes a modified Gravity Equation model. This model has an effort to estimate the significance of some parameters of variable from model equation. Thus, it can be detected that what are from these variables from a model equation being as a key determination factor to influence trading transactions. This paper also assesses the adjusted R-squared due to which Indonesia counterparts incur some vantage points as well as beneficial for Indonesia in terms of AFTA. The novelty contribution of this paper is to reveal the dynamics trade spillover between Indonesia some strategic sectors and its counterparts. By doing so, Indonesia is expected to be a dominant player in AFTA 2015 and taking some advantageous from AFTA into Indonesia account. Keywords: AFTA 2015, a modified gravity equation model, analysis of data panelJEL Classification: C33, C51, F15
Risk Taking Behavior of Indonesian Banks: Analysis on the Impact of Deposit Insurance Corporation Establishment
Authors: Ariefianto Moch Doddy , Soepomo Soenartomo 
Published: January 2017

This paper studies the risk taking behavior of Indonesian Banking Industry, especially before and after the establishment and the implementation of Deposit Insurance Corporation (IDIC). Using common set of explanatory variables; we test several empirical models to reveal the conduct of risk management by banks. In the spirit of BASEL II Accord, this paper take closer look at three types of risk behaviors namely credit risk, market or interest rate risk and operational risk, prior and post the establishment of IDIC. We tested the hypotheses using panel data set of banks operational in period of 2000-2009. The dataset consists of 121 banks with semiannual frequency (2420 observations). Our findings show that these variables explain well the three type bank risk exposures. The implementation of IDIC alters the bank behavior albeit in somewhat different way than initially hypothesized. The risk taking responses also varies across bank types. We found that State Owned Enterprise banks (SOE) behave differently relative to the rest types of the bank. Related to size, SOE banks behave more conservative after the implementation of IDIC. On the other hand its response on conditioned capital post the IDIC implementation is the opposite; they became more aggressive. We view the public pressure on this state banks has influenced the way they manage the risk. Keywords : Risk taking behavior, BASEL II, Deposit Insurance.JEL Classification: G11, G21, G32, C23
THE ROLE OF ASEAN EXCHANGE RATE UNIT (AERU) FOR ASEAN-5 MONETARY INTEGRATION: AN OPTIMUM CURRENCY AREA CRITERIA
Authors: Kusuma Dimas Bagus Wiranata , Ashif Syed Mohammed Abud , Harahap Ali Musa , Omarsyah Muhammad Alam 
Published: January 2017

The idea for regional monetary integration is grounded by the process of convergence theory within the member states. The paper analyses the possibility of monetary union in ASEAN-5 countries, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Singapore. In terms of volatility, by using nominal deviation indicator assessment, the ASEAN-5 currencies are suggested to peg their national currencies into Yuan since it empirically brings the lowest level of volatility, both during normal and crisis periods. Therefore, Yuan could be proposed as the anchor currency for ASEAN-5 countries. Moreover, valuing the AERU in terms of a weighed average of Yuan is important to determine which countries are considered to be an Optimum Currency Area (OCA). The results statistically suggest that all ASEAN-5 countries could be grouped as OCA according to exchange rate stability criterion. Keywords : Optimum Currency Area, AERU, ASEAN-5, Exchange Rate StabilityJEL Classification : D81, E52, F15, F36
The Effect of Central Bank Independence on Price Stability: The Case of Indonesia
Authors: Andriani Yessy , Gai Prof. Prasanna 
Published: January 2017

This paper investigates the relationship between central bank independence (CBI) and inflation in Indonesia during 1970-2006. Using partial adjustment Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Engel Granger Error Correction Model, the result shows that legal CBI index inversely affect the inflation, while the turnover of governor is not significant. This result emphasizes Bank Indonesia to strengthen its independency in order to achieve his inflation target. Keywords: Central bank independency, Inflation, Error Correction Model.JEL Classification : C32, E58
THE ISLAMIC CAPITAL MARKET VOLATILITY: A COMPARATIVE STUDY BETWEEN IN INDONESIA AND MALAYSIA
Authors: Antonio Muhammad Syafii , Hafidhoh Hafidhoh , Fauzi Hilman 
Published: January 2017

This study attempts to examine the short-term and long-term relationship among selected global and domestic macroeconomic variables from each country (Fed rate, crude oil price, Dow Jones Index, interest rate, exchange rate and inflation) for Indonesia and Malaysia Islamic capital market (Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) and FTSE Bursa Malaysia Hijrah Shariah Index (FHSI). The methodology used in this study is vector error correction model (VECM) for the monthly data starting from January 2006 to December 2010. The result shows that in the long-term, all selected macroeconomic variables except Dow Jones Index variable have significantly affect in both Islamic stock market FHSI and JII, while in the short-term there is no any selected macroeconomic variables that significantly affect FHSI and only inflation, exchange rate and crude oil price variables seem to significantly affect JII. Keywords : Islamic Stock Market, Jakarta Islamic Index, FTSE Hijrah Shariah Index, VAR/VECMJEL Classification: E52, E44
BANKING INDUSTRY COMPETITION IN INDONESIA
Authors: Widyastuti Ratna Sri , Armanto Boedi 
Published: January 2017

This paper analyzes the competition level of banking industry, prior and after the introduction of Indonesian Banking Architecture (API). Using panel data, the result shows the competition of banking decreased after the introduction of API, with large tendency to monopoly or collusive olligopoly. For the bank with niche market such as regional bank and mix bank, the introduction of API did not affect much, while the competition level for foreign bank is the lowest one. Non price variable would be the main determinant on banking competition in the future, including number of branches, wage and credit volume. Keywords: banking competition, market structure, Indonesian Banking Architecture (API).JEL Classification: C23, D40, E44, E58, G21, L11
MENGUKUR TIME INCONSISTENCY KEBIJAKAN MONETER DI INDONESIA
Authors: Rahmahdian Rini , Warjiyo Perry 
Published: January 2017

This study measured the time inconsistency of monetary policy in Indonesia using the asymmetric preference parameter in linear exponential loss function of the central bank. Asymmetric central bank preference becomes an important issue since many of the results on the time inconsistency problem under symmetric preferences may no longer hold under asymmetric preferences. Using two sub-samples, i.e. before and after the implementation of central bank independence act, the conditional mean and the conditional variance of the output gap were estimated and then proceed to estimate the reduced form of the model. The results showed the existence of an asymmetric preference parameter before the Bank Indonesia independence act, which indicated the presence of a time inconsistency problem of monetary policy. This finding implies Bank Indonesia put a negative weight instead of positive weight on the output gap prior to its independency. However, after the implementation of central bank independence, the monetary policy of Bank Indonesia has been consistent with symmetric policy preference over price stability and output. Keywords: Time inconsistency, discretionary, monetary policy, asymmetric central bank preference, output gap, inflation bias.JEL Classification : E52, E58