Abstract P3-07-20: A validated test for neoadjuvant clinical response to endocrine therapy in breast cancer that estimates accurately recurrence-free and overall survival
Authors: Turnbull AK , Arthur LM , Webber V , Thomas J , Uddin S , Webb H , Dunbier A , Dowsett M , Renshaw L , Sims AH , Dixon JM 
Published: May 2016

Abstract
Background: Aromatase inhibitors (AIs) have an established role in the treatment of estrogen receptor alpha positive post-menopausal breast cancer. Recently we have developed and validated a microarray-derived 4-gene test (Edinburgh EndoResponse4) to predict response to AIs in the neoadjuvant setting. We have also demonstrated the translational potential of this test in predicting accurately clinical response when mRNA is measured for these genes by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) or the gene protein is measured by immunohistochemistry (IHC). There is a major clinical need for biomarkers to predict which patients are likely to recur on adjuvant endocrine therapy so alternative or additional treatments can be provided to reduce recurrence and improve outcome. The aim of this study was to determine if Endoresponse4 and IHC of these gene proteins could do this.
Methods: The original microarray assay used pre- and on-treatment (14-days) biopsies from 73 post-menopausal women with ER-rich breast cancer receiving 3 months of neoadjuvant letrozole prior to surgery with 10 years follow-up after adjuvant letrozole. Matched formalin-fixed paraffin embedded (FFPE) tissue sections from 42 of these patients were used for IHC and antibodies were optimised against 3 of the 4 proteins (where validated antibodies were available) using Envision technology. The ability of our test to estimate recurrence-free (RFS) and breast cancer specific overall survival (OS) using both PCR and IHC was then tested in a unique validation cohort of 140 post-menopausal women with ER-rich breast cancer treated with 2 weeks of neoadjuvant letrozole or anastrozole prior to surgery followed by adjuvant endocrine therapy and 10 years of follow up..
Results: Within our training cohort (n=73) using Kaplan-Meier analysis our 4-gene test predicted neoadjuvant clinical response and demonstrated a significant association with both RFS (P=0.029) and OS (P=0.009). This approach predicts outcomes within 2-weeks rather than 4-months of treatment required in other studies such as P024. Using IHC in the training cohort (n=42), two gene markers in combination (IL6ST at diagnosis and MCM4 after 2-weeks treatment) predicted both RFS (P=0.017) and OS (P=0.009) with great accuracy. The 140 patient group is being analysed and the findings are so far are consistent with the initial training cohort and indicate a significant association with outcomes.
Conclusion:
• A 4 gene model with clinical potential has been developed and validated to predict response to neoadjuvant aromatase inhibitors.
• This 4 gene model predicts for response and also predicts relapse free and overall survival.
• Proteins encoded by 2 of these 4 genes measured by IHC in an initial test set of 42 patients predict accurately both EFS and OS
• A validation cohort (n=140) with over 10-years of follow-up will be available at SABCS 2015 to determine if this 2 biomarker test can predict outcome on adjuvant endocrine therapy.
Citation Format: Turnbull AK, Arthur LM, Webber V, Thomas J, Uddin S, Webb H, Dunbier A, Dowsett M, Renshaw L, Sims AH, Dixon JM. A validated test for neoadjuvant clinical response to endocrine therapy in breast cancer that estimates accurately recurrence-free and overall survival. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Thirty-Eighth Annual CTRC-AACR San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium: 2015 Dec 8-12; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2016;76(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P3-07-20.