TP53 Mutations in Myeloproliferative Neoplasms: Context-Dependent Evaluation of Prognostic Relevance
Authors: Tefferi Ayalew , Abdelmagid Maymona , Loscocco Giuseppe Gaetano , Begna Kebede , Al-Kali Aref , Foran James M. , Palmer Jeanne , Badar Talha , Patnaik Mrinal M. , Reichard Kaaren K. , He Rong , Mendoza Cinthya Zepeda , Shah Mithun V , Orazi Attilio , Arber Daniel A. , Pardanani Animesh D. , Vannucchi Alessandro M. , Hiwase Devendra , Gangat Naseema , Guglielmelli Paola 
Published: December 2024

Background
The prognostic relevance of TP53 mutations (TP53MT) in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) has been extensively studied and the information accessed for defining the new International Consensus Classification (ICC) category of “myeloid neoplasms with mutated TP53” (Blood 2022;140:1200). The latter designation requires ≥10% TP53 variant allele frequency (VAF) for AML and MDS/AML and in case of MDS, multi-hit TP53 or ≥10% VAF associated with complex karyotype (CK). We examined the prognostic relevance of TP53MT in myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN), specified by subtype and disease stage.
Methods
The current study was conducted under an institutional review board approved minimum risk protocol. Additional informative cases from the University of Florence, Italy and the South Australian Myeloid Neoplasm Registry were included. Diagnostic criteria and assignment of TP53 allelic state were according to the ICC. Next-generation sequencing (NGS) and cytogenetic studies were performed according to institutional standard protocols. Conventional statistical methods were employed. Survival analyses were censored for allogeneic stem cell transplantation (ASCT) and were calculated from the time of first detection of TP53MT.
Results
115 patients with MPN and documented pathogenic TP53MT were considered (median age 68.5 years). ICC-defined subtype designations, at time of TP53MT detection, were polycythemia vera (PV) or essential thrombocythemia (ET) (N=9), chronic phase myelofibrosis (MF-CP; N=63), accelerated phase MPN (MPN-AP; N=16), and blast phase MPN (MPN-BP; N=27). Driver mutation distribution was JAK2 64%, CALR 18%, MPL 8%, and triple-negative 10%. Karyotype was monosomal (MK) in 42%, CK 9%, and normal (NK) 35%. Frequent co-mutations were ASXL1 (28%), TET2 (14%), and SRSF2 (14%). TP53MT were classified as ICC-defined multihit in 67 (58%) cases; karyotype in the latter was MK (58%), CK (16%), non-MK/CK (13%), or NK (13%). TP53 VAF was ≥50% in 27 (24%) patients and &lt;10% in 25 (22%). TP53MT included one (N=96) or ≥2 (N=19). MPN subtype- and stage-specific distributions for multihit TP53MT were 91% for MPN-BP, 88% MPN-AP, 44% MF-CP, and 0% ET/PV.
In order to examine disease subtype- and stage-specific prognostic contribution of TP53MT, the study population was divided into 10 operational groups: 1) PV/ET non-multihit/non-MK/CK (N=8; VAF range 3-32%); 2) MF-CP non-multihit/non-MK/CK with TP53MT VAF &lt;10% (N=10); 3) MF-CP non-multihit VAF ≥10% and non-MK/CK (N=11); 4) PV/ET/MF-CP non-multihit with MK/CK (N=5); 5) MF-CP multihit/non-MK/CK (N=8); 6) MF-CP multihit and MK/CK (N=20); 7) MPN-BP/AP non-multihit/non-MK/CK (N=2); 8) MPN-BP/AP non-multihit with MK/CK (N=2); 9) MPN-BP/AP multihit/non-MK/CK (N=9); and 10) MPN-BP/AP multihit with MK/CK (N=30). The corresponding median survivals were “not reached”, 55, 42, 6, 18, 10, “not reached”, 4, 4, and 6 months (p&lt;0.01).
Survival was similar between groups 1, 2, and 3 (p&gt;0.2 for all comparisons) now referred to as “PV/ET/MF-CP non-multihit/non-MK/CK (N=39)”. Survival was similarly dismal for groups 8, 9, and 10 (p values &gt; 0.3 for all comparisons) now referred to as “MPN-BP/AP with or without multihit TP53MT or MK/CK (N=43)”. Survival was also similar between groups 4, 5, and 6 (p values &gt;3 for all comparisons) now referred to as “PV/ET/MF-CP with multihit TP53MT or MK/CK (N=33)”. The three consolidated groups were subsequently compared for survival that showed a significantly worse outcome for “MPN-BP/AP with or without multihit TP53MT or MK/CK” with median survival of 4 months, compared to 12 months for “PV/ET/MF-CP with multihit TP53MT or MK/CK” (HR 2.3; 95% CI; 1.3-3.9) and 55 months for “PV/ET/MF-CP non-multihit/non-MK/CK” (10.9; 95% CI 5.3-22.4); survival in the latter two groups was also significantly different, in favor of PV/ET/MF-CP non-multihit/non-MK/CK (HR 4.8; 95% CI 2.3-10.1).
Conclusions: The presence of multi-hit TP53MT or MK/CK, in MF-CP, and possibly in ET/PV, warrants their inclusion in the ICC category of “myeloid neoplasms with mutated TP53”. By contrast, non-multihit TP53MT in ET/PV/MF-CP, regardless of VAF and in the absence of MK/CK, does not appear to compromise short-term survival. The observations from the current study also suggest a prognostic hierarchy with blast percentage being the most unfavorable, followed by MK/CK and multihit TP53MT.