bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025_split huggingface dataset:
The effect of input data resolution and complexity on the uncertainty of hydrological predictions in a humid vegetated watershed
Authors: Hoang Linh , Mukundan Rajith , Moore Karen E. B. , Owens Emmet M. , Steenhuis Tammo S. 
Published: November 2018

Abstract. Uncertainty in hydrological modeling is of significant concern due to its
effects on prediction and subsequent application in watershed management.
Similar to other distributed hydrological models, model uncertainty is an
issue in applying the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). Previous
research has shown how SWAT predictions are affected by uncertainty in
parameter estimation and input data resolution. Nevertheless, little
information is available on how parameter uncertainty and output uncertainty
are affected by input data of varying complexity. In this study,
SWAT-Hillslope (SWAT-HS), a modified version of SWAT capable of predicting
saturation-excess runoff, was applied to assess the effects of input data
with varying degrees of complexity on parameter uncertainty and output
uncertainty. Four digital elevation model (DEM) resolutions (1, 3, 10 and
30 m) were tested for their ability to predict streamflow and saturated
areas. In a second analysis, three soil maps and three land use maps were
used to build nine SWAT-HS setups from simple to complex (fewer to more soil
types/land use classes), which were then compared to study the effect of
input data complexity on model prediction/output uncertainty. The case study
was the Town Brook watershed in the upper reaches of the West Branch Delaware
River in the Catskill region, New York, USA. Results show that DEM resolution
did not impact parameter uncertainty or affect the simulation of streamflow
at the watershed outlet but significantly affected the spatial pattern of
saturated areas, with 10m being the most appropriate grid size to use for our
application. The comparison of nine model setups revealed that input data
complexity did not affect parameter uncertainty. Model setups using
intermediate soil/land use specifications were slightly better than the ones
using simple information, while the most complex setup did not show any
improvement from the intermediate ones. We conclude that improving input
resolution and complexity may not necessarily improve model performance or
reduce parameter and output uncertainty, but using multiple temporal and
spatial observations can aid in finding the appropriate parameter sets and in
reducing prediction/output uncertainty.
Interannual snow accumulation variability on glaciers derived from repeat, spatially extensive ground-penetrating radar surveys
Authors: McGrath Daniel , Sass Louis , O'Neel Shad , McNeil Chris , Candela Salvatore G. , Baker Emily H. , Marshall Hans-Peter 
Published: November 2018

Abstract. There is significant uncertainty regarding the spatiotemporal distribution of
seasonal snow on glaciers, despite being a fundamental component of glacier
mass balance. To address this knowledge gap, we collected repeat, spatially
extensive high-frequency ground-penetrating radar (GPR) observations on two
glaciers in Alaska during the spring of 5 consecutive years. GPR
measurements showed steep snow water equivalent (SWE) elevation gradients at
both sites; continental Gulkana Glacier's SWE gradient averaged 115 mm 100 m−1 and maritime Wolverine Glacier's gradient averaged
440 mm 100 m−1 (over > 1000 m). We extrapolated GPR point observations
across the glacier surface using terrain parameters derived from digital
elevation models as predictor variables in two statistical models (stepwise
multivariable linear regression and regression trees). Elevation and proxies
for wind redistribution had the greatest explanatory power, and exhibited
relatively time-constant coefficients over the study period. Both statistical
models yielded comparable estimates of glacier-wide average SWE (1 %
average difference at Gulkana, 4 % average difference at Wolverine),
although the spatial distributions produced by the models diverged in
unsampled regions of the glacier, particularly at Wolverine. In total, six
different methods for estimating the glacier-wide winter balance average
agreed within ±11 %. We assessed interannual variability in the
spatial pattern of snow accumulation predicted by the statistical models
using two quantitative metrics. Both glaciers exhibited a high degree of
temporal stability, with ∼85 % of the glacier area
experiencing less than 25 % normalized absolute variability over this
5-year interval. We found SWE at a sparse network (3 stakes per glacier)
of long-term glaciological stake sites to be highly correlated with the
GPR-derived glacier-wide average. We estimate that interannual variability in
the spatial pattern of winter SWE accumulation is only a small component
(4 %–10 % of glacier-wide average) of the total mass balance uncertainty
and thus, our findings support the concept that sparse stake networks
effectively measure interannual variability in winter balance on glaciers,
rather than some temporally varying spatial pattern of snow accumulation.
ENTRE O SENTIMENTO RELIGIOSO E O RACIONAL: EXPERIÊNCIA DE ESTÁGIO SOBRE O POVO HEBREU E INDEPENDÊNCIA DOS ESTADOS UNIDOS
Authors: Covalchuk Gabriel Irinei 
Published: November 2018

Este trabalho é resultado do estágio supervisionado, realizado em Bituruna-Paraná, na instituição de ensino, Colégio Estadual Santa Barbará, durante o ano letivo de 2017, nas séries do ensino fundamental e médio sob supervisão do professor Gerson Luís Lanzarini. Os temas selecionados para serem trabalhados em sala foram: Povo Hebreu (6º ano) e Independência dos Estados Unidos (2º ano). Busco mostrar através da experiência em sala e os resultados obtidos nas avaliações, como o professor deve tentar o máximo possível ser imparcial e levar a sala para uma época distante para entender melhor o contexto, sendo necessário deixar nula a sua perspectiva de contra ou a favor em determinados fatos para uma melhor aprendizagem do aluno e o desenvolvimento da ‘consciência histórica’. Também busco mostrar como as normas do NRE (Núcleo Regional de Educação), no caso a recuperação concomitante afeta no conteúdo em sala de aula; essa “ajuda” é para que o aluno venha compreender melhor a matéria ou apenas pelos índices?
Tropicalismo, nacionalismo e contracultura: as afinidades entre a canção e o teatro tropicalistas (1966-1969)
Authors: Milani Vinícius Tadeu 
Published: November 2018

O “movimento” Tropicalista constituiu-se e consolidou-se no período de 1966 e 1969, dialogando com as diversas esferas da produção cultural brasileira. As encenações das peças O Rei da vela (1933) e Roda Viva (1968), ao lado do álbum Tropicália ou Panis et Circensis (1968) e do compacto É proibido proibir (1968) representam diferentes respostas, na produção teatral e musical, de um processo que causou grande impacto na cultura brasileira, e especificamente entre as esquerdas, que cristalizavam uma produção artística com diferenciadas propostas nacionais-populares. As inovações, incorporações, rupturas, e a radicalização estética operada por Caetano Veloso e José Celso, são temas abertos à análise em torno do diálogo entre suas produções e das críticas às propostas nacionais- populares. Em nossa pesquisa, pretendemos analisar tanto os debates em torno dos álbuns e das peças, como as suas letras e encenações. Nosso objetivo é lançar luz sobre as afinidades existentes entre as obras dos artistas destacados, e como essas afinidades nos permitem problematizar a relação entre produção cultural e processo social de determinado período da história brasileira. Palavras-Chave: tropicalismo; nacionalismo; arte e sociedade; ditaduramilitar.
Predicting Discharge Disposition After Shoulder Arthroplasty in the United States
Authors: Sivasundaram Lakshmanan , Tanenbaum Joseph , Trivedi Nikunj , Kim Chang-Yeon , Bafus Blaine T. , Hoyen Harry A. , Gillespie Robert J. , Wera Glenn D. 
Published: November 2018

Introduction:
Postdischarge management for shoulder replacement continues to be performed on a case-by-case basis, with no uniform guidelines dictating management. The goal of this study was to develop a nomogram to preoperatively predict a patient's discharge disposition after elective shoulder arthroplasty.

Methods:
Patients who underwent elective shoulder arthroplasty between 2012 and 2015 were identified in the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify risk factors for discharge to a postacute care facility, and these results were used to create a predictive nomogram.

Results:
From 2012 to 2015, 8,363 procedures were identified. In our cohort, 962 patients (11.5%) were discharged to a postacute care facility, and 7,492 patients (88.5%) were discharged home. Preoperative functional status, followed by American Society of Anesthesiologists Class and age, had the strongest predictive value for discharge disposition after shoulder arthroplasty.

Discussion:
Discharge disposition can be predicted using a nomogram with commonly identified preoperative and intraoperative variables.

Level of Evidence:
Level III, retrospective cohort design, observational study
In de schaduw, uit de schaduw
Authors: Bethlehem Jelke , van Holsteyn Joop 
Published: November 2018

In the shade, out of the shade. Origin, nature and possibilities of shadow elections or exit polls
There is a lot of polling in the Netherlands, especially in the run-up to elections. The assessment of future voting behavior in the run-up to elections is inherently difficult, because many voters do not know in advance whether they will vote, let alone for which party. There is therefore constant debate about the quality of these surveys. However, there are also polls that are not held prior to elections, but on election day instead. They are called exit polls or shadow elections. The sample consists of voters who actually visited the polling station and cast their vote. In this article the authors emphasize the nature and useful and interesting role of exit polls. Exit polls are an important tool for making an accurate prognosis of the results shortly after the closing of the ballot boxes. Secondly, an exit poll can provide further insight into electoral gains and losses, and thus counteract unfounded speculation. After all, the data collected form an empirical source for a first analysis of the outcome and electoral behavior. All in all, the exit poll is a relatively easy-to-organize and attractive ingredient for a results evening. Confusing pre-election polls with exit polls probably does not do justice to the higher quality of exit polls in terms of prognosis. The article explains where exit polls differ from pre-election polls and what the most important choices are when setting up such a poll; it also shows that a well-designed exit poll is accurate and has adds value to a results evening. The authors give practical examples in their argument and discuss the exit poll that was organized in Leiden at the council elections of 21 March 2018.
De betekenis van participatieve toekomstverkenningen voor strategisch beleid: lessen uit de lokale praktijk
Authors: Rijkens-Klomp Nicole , Cörvers Ron 
Published: November 2018

The meaning of participatory explorations of the future for strategic policy: lessons from local practice
Exploration of the future is about systematically exploring future developments and the possible consequences for an organization or issue. The demand for future explorations at local policy level has increased in recent years. This article focuses on the relationship between participatory future exportations and local strategic policy processes. On the basis of four case studies, the meaning of participatory foresight studies for local policy processes was investigated. The research, which was carried out as action research, shows that future explorations in local strategic policy processes can be significant in different ways: they provide new knowledge, they promote learning in an integral and future-oriented manner and they encourage social learning processes that are independent of the content, which is valuable for group dynamics. In addition, future explorations can be useful in different phases of the policy cycle. Despite the fact that participatory explorations of the future can be meaningful in local strategic policy processes, there is still a bridge between the method of future exploration on the one hand and policy processes and organizations on the other. The research shows that a demand-driven approach starting from the needs of the participants in the policy process and responding to the culture, structure and working method of the organization is a promising approach. At the same time, the research shows that there are several factors that need to be considered in order to achieve a stronger interrelatedness of future exploration and policy. The policy practice and the exploratory practice seem to be gradually evolving towards each other. On the one hand, policy practice is becoming more rational, transparent and analytical in nature through the use of future explorations, at least in policy preparation. The explorations promote substantive discussions on policy agendas and policy intentions. On the other hand, they are becoming more policy oriented through more reasoning from the policy practice in terms of process design and knowledge needs of the policy process.
Het geheim van succesregio’s: welk beleid werkt?
Authors: Reussing Rik 
Published: November 2018

The secret of successful regions: which policy works? Van Poelje lecture 2018
Since 2018, the Department of Public Administration of the Faculty of Behavioural, Management and Social Sciences (BMS) of the University of Twente, in close cooperation with the municipality Zwolle, the Province of Overijssel and BMC advice, have been organizing the yearly Van Poelje lecture (named after administrative scientist and founder of Dutch Public Administration Gerrit van Poelje). The first lecture took place on 29 January 2018 in the ‘Grote Kerk’ in Zwolle. The subject of the lecture was the secret of successful regions: which policy works? Otto Raspe of the Dutch Planning Agency for the Environment delivered the keynote speech. Presentations from the administrative field were given by Henk Jan Meijer (mayor of the municipality Zwolle) and Staf Depla (alderman of the municipality Eindhoven) who respectively addressed the cooperation in the regions Zwolle and South-East Brabant. Bert van Delden responded from the point of view of the Home Office (he deputized for his minister, Kajsa Ollongren). After a short debate, the afternoon was closed by Marcel Boogers (senior advisor at BMC and professor at the University of Twente) with a scientific reflection on the subject of the lecture. The main message of the keynote speaker Otto Raspe was that an urban region is successful if it is able to use its agglomeration advantages. This is possible by seeking connections between clusters and the knowledge infrastructure, and between human capital and a pleasant living and social climate.
Kantelt de stad?
Authors: Nelissen Nico 
Published: November 2018

Does the city tilt? Everything changes, but … is not everything still the same?
It may seem obvious to say that society changes and that this is happening at an increasing speed. But not everyone fully realizes that society as a whole is undergoing fundamental changes and that this will lead to a complete transformation and structural change of society over a longer period of time. Some think that tomorrow is a multitude of today, others think that the present is not really a good compass for what tomorrow and especially the day after tomorrow will be. In this respect, municipalities are faced with the considerable task of making a ‘future-proof’ diagnosis of ‘municipal reality’ and of forming a picture of what that future will be, or should be. Municipalities differ considerably in the way in which they deal with these aspects administratively: from ‘government as usual’ on the one hand to ‘complete tilt’ on the other side of the continuum. Much municipal policy is a slightly adapted version of what they have been doing for a long time. The real initiatives to ‘fundamentally tilt’ systems have yet to reach many municipalities. In other words: everything changes, but… have things not remained the same? In this essay the author discusses these issues in the context of his hometown Maastricht (in the south of the Netherlands) as an example.
Mellom kunnskapsdiskurs og sosial diskurs: Ukeplaner som sjanger og vurderingspraksis
Authors: Rambø Gro-Renée , Tønnessen Elise Seip 
Published: November 2018

Denne artikkelen undersøker ukeplanen slik den brukes og forstås i kommunikasjonen mellom skole og hjem i barneskolen i Norge. Vi ser ukeplanen som en type funksjonell sakprosa som er svært utbredt, og analyserer hvordan sjangeren ukeplan er utformet, hvilke funksjoner den fyller, og hvordan den posisjonerer barn og foresatte i forhold til skolens vurderingsarbeid. Analysen omfatter 34 ukeplaner samlet inn fra 12 skoler med spredning i geografi og klassetrinn. Ukeplanene er utpreget multimodale tekster, og utformingen analyseres i form av meningsklynger som danner mønstre av obligatoriske og valgfrie elementer. Basert på kritisk diskursanalyse undersøkes ukeplanen som en sjanger som gjør elever og foresatte til medansvarlige i skolens læringsarbeid. Analysen viser to delvis konkurrerende diskurser, en som handler om skolens kunnskapssyn og en sosial diskurs som handler om fellesskap og tilhørighet. På bakgrunn av en drøfting av forholdet mellom disse to slik de fremkommer i ukeplanene, diskuterer vi hvilke ideologiske føringer som ligger til grunn, og her viser vi først og fremst til New Public Management som styringsideologi. In this article we examine the weekly schedule as an important part of the communication practice between school and home arena in Norwegian primary school. We consider the weekly schedule a widespread type of functional nonfictional text, and analyse how this genre is formed, what functions it fills, and how it positions children and parents when it comes to assessment in school. The analysis consists of a total of 34 weekly schedules collected from 12 schools that are dispersed in geography and grades. These weekly schedules are distinctly multimodal texts, and the design is analysed on basis of clusters of meaning that forms patterns of obligatory and optional items. Based on critical discourse analysis the weekly schedule is examined as a genre that makes pupils and parents jointly responsible for learning outcomes and learning strategies in school. The analysis shows that the weekly schedules reflect two partly competing discourses; a discourse about the school´s understanding of knowledge, and a social discourse about fellowship and belonging. On basis of how these two discourses appear in the weekly schedules, we discuss the ideological context that influence the genre, above all New Public Management as management ideology.
A polyextremophilic alcohol dehydrogenase from the Atlantis II Deep Red Sea brine pool
Authors: Akal Anastassja L. , Karan Ram , Hohl Adrian , Alam Intikhab , Vogler Malvina , Grötzinger Stefan W. , Eppinger Jörg , Rueping Magnus 
Published: November 2018

Enzymes originating from hostile environments offer exceptional stability under industrial conditions and are therefore highly in demand. Using single‐cell genome data, we identified the alcohol dehydrogenase (ADH) gene, adh/a1a, from the Atlantis II Deep Red Sea brine pool. ADH/A1a is highly active at elevated temperatures and high salt concentrations (optima at 70 °C and 4 mKCl) and withstands organic solvents. The polyextremophilic ADH/A1a exhibits a broad substrate scope including aliphatic and aromatic alcohols and is able to reduce cinnamyl‐methyl‐ketone and raspberry ketone in the reverse reaction, making it a possible candidate for the production of chiral compounds. Here, we report the affiliation of ADH/A1a to a rare enzyme family of microbial cinnamyl alcohol dehydrogenases and explain unique structural features for halo‐ and thermoadaptation.
Transparent and Flexible Thin‐Film Transistors with High Performance Prepared at Ultralow Temperatures by Atomic Layer Deposition
Authors: Chen Xue , Zhang Guozhen , Wan Jiaxian , Guo Tao , Li Lei , Yang Yanpeng , Wu Hao , Liu Chang 
Published: November 2018

AbstractHigh‐performance, transparent, and flexible thin‐film transistors (TFTs) with polycrystalline channels in a bottom‐gate structure are successfully fabricated at extremely low temperatures of 80, 90, and 100 °C by atomic layer deposition (ALD) in which ZnO and Al2O3 are used as channels and dielectric layers, respectively. The transistors are superior to silicon‐based TFTs in which high temperatures are necessarily involved in both preparation and postgrowth annealing. Among all devices, TFTs grown at 100 °C exhibit the best performance which can be attributed to the lowest grain boundary trap density. Additionally, the TFTs are successfully transferred to plastic substrates without any performance degradation, which shows a high mobility of 37.1 cm2V−1 s−1, a high on/off‐state current ratio of 107 at VDS = 0.1 V, a small subthreshold swing of 0.38 V dec−1, and a proper threshold voltage of 1.34 V as well as an excellent bias stability.
Assembling a Hybrid Pd Catalyst from a Chiral Anionic CoIII Complex and Ligand for Asymmetric C(sp3)–H Functionalization
Authors: Jiang Hua‐Jie , Zhong Xiu‐Mei , Yu Jie , Zhang Ying , Zhang Xinhao , Wu Yun‐Dong , Gong Liu‐Zhu 
Published: November 2018

AbstractAn unusual hybrid palladium catalyst containing an anionic chiral CoIII complex and a chiral phosphoramidite ligand shows a high capacity for catalyzing asymmetric thioamide‐directed C(sp3)−H arylation and delivers excellent yield and enantioselectivity (up to 99 % yield, 99 % ee). Significant synergy between the chiral ligand and the anion in terms of stereochemical control was observed. Mechanistic investigations have revealed both the nature of the C−H activation and the origin of the enantioselectivity.
Size‐Exclusion Borane‐Catalyzed Domino 1,3‐Allylic/Reductive Ireland–Claisen Rearrangements: Impact of the Electronic and Structural Parameters on the 1,3‐Allylic Shift Aptitude
Authors: Fegyverneki Dániel , Kolozsvári Natália , Molnár Dániel , Egyed Orsolya , Holczbauer Tamás , Soós Tibor 
Published: November 2018

AbstractThe reductive Ireland–Claisen rearrangement through borane‐mediated hydrosilylation is reported. The method employs a borane catalyst with a special structural design and affords access to synthetically relevant products with high diastereoselectivity. Depending on electronic and structural parameters, the reaction can be coupled with a 1,3‐allylic shift, thus the valence isomer of the Ireland–Claisen product is formed.
Maximization of heat transfer density rate from a single row of rhombic tubes cooled by forced convection based on constructal design
Authors: Mustafa Ahmed Waheed 
Published: November 2018

AbstractThe heat transfer density rate from a row of rhombic tubes cooled by forced convection is maximized based on constructal design. A row of parallel rhombic tubes are placed in a fixed volume, the horizontal axis of the tubes is kept constant while the vertical axis of the tubes and the spacing between the tubes are changed to facilitate the heat flow from the tubes to the coolant. The tubes are kept at constant temperature and the incoming free‐stream flow is induced by constant pressure drop. For steady, two‐dimensional, incompressible, and laminar forced convection, the governing equations are solved numerically by finite volume method with SIMPLE algorithm. The dimensionless pressure drop (Bejan number, Be) ranging from 10
3 to 10
5, the range of the vertical axis of the tube is 0.2 ≤
B ≤ 2, and the working fluid is air (
Pr = 0.71). The results show that the optimal spacing decreases and the maximum heat transfer density increases as the Bejan number increases for all vertical axes of the tube. Bejan number and the bluntness of the tube have a significant effect of the flow structure (separation and vortex formation) around the tubes at the optimal spacings.