Comparable Rates of Severe Hypoglycemia in People with Type 2 Diabetes (T2DM) at High Risk of Hypoglycemia Switching to either Insulin Glargine 300 U/mL (Gla-300) or Insulin Degludec (IDeg)—The Lightning Real-World Predictive Modeling Study
Authors: MENEGHINI LUIGI , ROUSSEL RONAN , ZHOU FANG L. , BOSNYAK ZSOLT , WESTERBACKA JUKKA , BERRIA RACHELE , JIMENEZ JAVIER , ELIASSON BJORN , HRAMIAK IRENE , BAILEY TIMOTHY S. 
Published: June 2018

Hypoglycemic events during basal insulin (BI) treatment, recorded by physicians in U.S. electronic health records in real-life practice, were used to predict hypoglycemia rates in people with T2DM prescribed BI analogs. Based on large-scale real-world data (Optum Humedica), a predictive model (implementing machine learning and controlling for &gt;160 baseline demographic and clinical variables) was developed and validated for each drug-specific cohort (patients treated with a specific BI). Overall, models predicted similar severe hypoglycemia rates when switching from another BI to second-generation BI analogs Gla-300 or IDeg. This subanalysis focuses on severe hypoglycemia rates in clinically vulnerable subgroups of patients. Numerically, the highest rates were found in the subgroup with prior hypoglycemic events (Table). The models predicted no statistically significant differences in severe hypoglycemia rates between Gla-300 and IDeg in any of the at-risk subgroups (Table).
In summary, using real-world data, these predictive modeling results show similar rates of severe hypoglycemia when switching to either Gla-300 or IDeg, in subgroups of patients with T2DM at high risk of hypoglycemia.

Disclosure
L. Meneghini: Advisory Panel; Self; Novo Nordisk Inc., Sanofi US. Consultant; Self; Sanofi US, Novo Nordisk Inc.. Advisory Panel; Self; Intarcia Therapeutics, Inc.. Other Relationship; Self; American Diabetes Association. R. Roussel: Advisory Panel; Self; AbbVie Inc., Abbott, Eli Lilly and Company, Sanofi, Novo Nordisk A/S, AstraZeneca. Speaker's Bureau; Self; Servier. Consultant; Self; Bayer AG. Advisory Panel; Self; Merck Sharp & Dohme Corp.. Research Support; Self; Amgen Inc., Sanofi, Novo Nordisk A/S, Danone Research. Stock/Shareholder; Self; Iriade. Advisory Panel; Self; Physiogenex S.A.S. F.L. Zhou: Employee; Self; Sanofi. Stock/Shareholder; Self; Sanofi. Employee; Spouse/Partner; Lexicon Pharmaceuticals, Inc.. Stock/Shareholder; Spouse/Partner; Lexicon Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Z. Bosnyak: Employee; Self; Sanofi. Stock/Shareholder; Self; Sanofi. J. Westerbacka: Employee; Self; Sanofi. Stock/Shareholder; Self; Sanofi. R. Berria: Employee; Self; Sanofi. Stock/Shareholder; Self; Sanofi. J. Jimenez: Employee; Self; Sanofi. Stock/Shareholder; Self; Sanofi. B. Eliasson: Advisory Panel; Self; Amgen Inc.. Speaker's Bureau; Self; AstraZeneca. Advisory Panel; Self; Boehringer Ingelheim GmbH. Speaker's Bureau; Self; Eli Lilly and Company. Advisory Panel; Self; Merck Sharp & Dohme Corp.. Speaker's Bureau; Self; Novo Nordisk A/S. Consultant; Self; Sanofi. I. Hramiak: Advisory Panel; Self; AstraZeneca. Research Support; Self; AstraZeneca. Advisory Panel; Self; Eli Lilly and Company. Research Support; Self; Eli Lilly and Company. Advisory Panel; Self; GlaxoSmithKline plc.. Research Support; Self; GlaxoSmithKline plc.. Advisory Panel; Self; Roche Pharma, Insulet Corporation, Janssen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.. Research Support; Self; Janssen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.. Speaker's Bureau; Self; Janssen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.. Research Support; Self; Lexicon Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Medtronic. Advisory Panel; Self; Merck & Co., Inc.. Research Support; Self; Merck & Co., Inc.. Speaker's Bureau; Self; Merck & Co., Inc.. Advisory Panel; Self; Novo Nordisk Inc.. Research Support; Self; Novo Nordisk Inc.. Speaker's Bureau; Self; Novo Nordisk Inc.. Advisory Panel; Self; Sanofi. Research Support; Self; Sanofi. T.S. Bailey: Research Support; Self; Abbott. Consultant; Self; Abbott. Speaker's Bureau; Self; Abbott. Research Support; Self; Ambra BioScience, Ascensia Diabetes Care, Becton, Dickinson and Company. Consultant; Self; Becton, Dickinson and Company. Research Support; Self; Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Calibra Medical. Consultant; Self; Calibra Medical. Research Support; Self; Companion Medical, Dexcom, Inc., Glooko, Inc., GlySens Incorporated, Lexicon Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Eli Lilly and Company. Consultant; Self; Eli Lilly and Company. Speaker's Bureau; Self; Eli Lilly and Company. Research Support; Self; Medtronic MiniMed, Inc.. Consultant; Self; Medtronic MiniMed, Inc.. Speaker's Bureau; Self; Medtronic MiniMed, Inc.. Research Support; Self; Novo Nordisk Inc.. Consultant; Self; Novo Nordisk Inc.. Speaker's Bureau; Self; Novo Nordisk Inc.. Research Support; Self; Sanofi. Consultant; Self; Sanofi. Speaker's Bureau; Self; Sanofi. Research Support; Self; Senseonics. Consultant; Self; Intarcia Therapeutics, Inc.. Research Support; Self; Versartis, Inc., Xeris Pharmaceuticals, Inc., MannKind Corporation.