bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025_split huggingface dataset:
GW170817: Swift UV detection of a blue kilonova, and improving the search in O3
Authors: Tohuvavohu Aaron , Kennea Jamie A. ,   the  gravitational wave follow-up group
Published: January 2019

AbstractSwift’s rapid slewing, flexible planning, and multi-wavelength instruments make it the most capable space-based follow-up engine for finding poorly localized sources. During O1 and O2 Swift successfully tiled hundreds of square-degrees of sky in the LVC localization regions, searching for, and identifying, possible X-ray and UV/O transients in the field. Swift made important contributions to the discovery and characterization of the kilonova AT 2017gfo, discovering the UV emission and providing the deepest X-ray upper limits in the first 24 hours after the trigger, strongly constraining the dynamics and geometry of the counterpart. Swift tiled 92% of the galaxy convolved error region down to average X-ray flux sensitivities of 10−12 erg cm−2 s−1, significantly increasing our confidence that AT 2017gfo is indeed the counterpart to GW 170817 and sGRB 170817. However, there remains significant room for improvement of Swift’s follow-up in preparation for O3. This will take the form of both revised observation strategy based on detailed analysis of the results from O2, and significant changes to Swift’s operational capabilities. These improvements are necessary both for maximizing the likelihood that Swift finds a counterpart, and minimizing the impact that follow-up activities have on other Swift science priorities. We outline areas of improvement to the observing strategy itself for optimal tiling of the LVC localization regions. We also discuss ongoing work on operational upgrades that will decrease latency in our response time, and minimize impact on pre-planned observations, while maintaining spacecraft health and safety.
Dating Clinopyroxene Phenocrysts in Submarine Basalts Using 40Ar/39Ar Geochronology
Authors: Konrad Kevin , Koppers Anthony A. P. , Balbas Andrea M. , Miggins Daniel P. , Heaton Daniel E. 
Published: January 2019

AbstractDating submarine basalts using 40Ar/39Ar geochronology is often hindered by a lack of potassium‐bearing phenocrystic phases and severe alteration in the groundmass. Clinopyroxene is a common phenocrystic phase in seafloor basalts and is highly resistive to low‐temperature alteration. Here we show that clinopyroxene phenocrysts separated from marine basalts are a viable phase for 40Ar/39Ar incremental heating age determinations. We provide results from a pilot study comprising 16 age experiments from nine clinopyroxene separates, five of which from samples with dated coeval phases. The clinopyroxene ages range from 11.5 to 112 Ma with relatively high uncertainties (ranging from 0.8% to 7.1%; median of 1.9%) compared to more traditional phases. The clinopyroxene age plateaus form at low to moderate temperature steps and are characterized by relatively elevated K/Ca of 0.002–0.4, suggesting that other K‐bearing phases hosted within the clinopyroxene are likely degassing to yield the 40Ar/39Ar age information. There are three possible origins for the K and corresponding 40Ar* including films of trapped melt/nanomineral inclusions along grain defects, secondary melt inclusion bands, or variations in degassing behaviors between lower and higher crystalline Ca pyroxene phases. Regardless of the source of the K, the age determinations are successful with 75% of the experiments producing long plateaus (>60% 39Ar released) with mean square of the weighted deviations ranging from 0.6 to 1.5 and probability of fit values >0.05. We conclude that clinopyroxene dating by the 40Ar/39Ar method has the potential to provide a wealth of information for previously undated, altered seafloor lithologies and continental equivalents.
Understanding the Dynamic Contribution to Future Changes in Tropical Precipitation From Low‐Level Convergence Lines
Authors: Weller Evan , Jakob Christian , Reeder Michael J. 
Published: January 2019

AbstractFuture precipitation changes include contributions from both thermodynamic and dynamic processes. Given that precipitation in the tropics is commonly associated with convergence lines, we construct a simple linear regression model relating the convergence line frequency and strength to precipitation at subdaily time scales, and use it to show that changes in the convergence lines are related to the dynamic change in the precipitation. Given GCM‐predicted convergence line changes, we predict precipitation changes using the regression model. The so‐predicted precipitation change is equivalent to the dynamic component of the precipitation change identified in earlier studies that used very different methods. The difference between the precipitation change in GCMs and that predicted from changes in convergence lines accounts for thermodynamic and other potentially important dynamic contributions. More accurate predictions of future precipitation therefore require the accurate simulations of the relatively short‐lived weather features responsible for convergence lines in the tropics in GCMs.
Soil Moisture Effects on Afternoon Precipitation Occurrence in Current Climate Models
Authors: Moon Heewon , Guillod Benoit P. , Gudmundsson Lukas , Seneviratne Sonia I. 
Published: January 2019

AbstractSoil moisture‐precipitation feedbacks in a large ensemble of global climate model simulations are evaluated. A set of three metrics are used to assess the sensitivity of afternoon rainfall occurrence to morning soil moisture in terms of their spatial, temporal, and heterogeneity characteristics. Positive (negative) spatial feedback indicates that the afternoon rainfall occurs more frequently over wetter (drier) land surface than its surroundings. Positive (negative) temporal feedback indicates preference over temporally wetter (drier) conditions, and positive (negative) heterogeneity feedback indicates preference over more spatially heterogeneous (homogeneous) soil moisture conditions. We confirm previous results highlighting a dominantly positive spatial feedback in the models as opposed to observations. On average, models tend to agree better with observations for temporal and heterogeneity feedback characteristics, although intermodel variability is largest for these metrics. The collective influence of the three feedbacks suggests that they may lead to more localized precipitation persistence in models than in observations.
Recent Acceleration of Arabian Sea Warming Induced by the Atlantic‐Western Pacific Trans‐basin Multidecadal Variability
Authors: Sun Cheng , Li Jianping , Kucharski Fred , Kang In‐Sik , Jin Fei‐Fei , Wang Kaicun , Wang Chunzai , Ding Ruiqiang , Xie Fei 
Published: January 2019

AbstractArabian Sea (AS) warming has been significantly accelerated since the 1990s, in particular in the spring season. Here we link the AS warming changes to the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO). A set of Atlantic pacemaker experiments with a slab mixed‐layer ocean model successfully reproduces the AS spring multidecadal variability and its connection with the AMO. An atmospheric teleconnection from the Atlantic to the AS in the preceding winter and associated thermodynamic air‐sea feedback is found to be important. The teleconnection can be reestablished by the atmospheric model when the AMO sea surface temperature (SST) and its trans‐basin footprint over the western Pacific are prescribed simultaneously. The western Pacific SST warming associated with the AMO positive phase induces a Gill‐type Rossby wave over the AS, showing anomalously low pressures and converging southerlies that weaken winter northerlies. Thus, the wind‐evaporation‐SST feedback results in and maintains the AS warm SST anomalies to the subsequent spring.
Weakening of Upward Mass but Intensification of Upward Energy Transport in a Warming Climate
Authors: Wu Yutian , Lu Jian , Pauluis Olivier 
Published: January 2019

AbstractHow the atmospheric overturning circulation is projected to change is important for understanding changes in mass and energy budget. This study analyzes the overturning circulation by sorting the upward mass transport in terms of the moist static energy (MSE) of air parcels in an ensemble of coupled climate models. It is found that, in response to greenhouse gas increases, the upward transport of MSE increases in order to balance the increase in radiative cooling of the mass transport. At the same time, the overall mass transport decreases. The increase in energy transport and decrease in mass transport can be explained by the fact that the MSE of rising air parcels increases more rapidly than that of subsiding air, thus allowing for a weaker overturning circulation to transport more energy.
Universal Relationship Between Viscous and Inertial Permeability of Geologic Porous Media
Authors: Zhou Jia‐Qing , Chen Yi‐Feng , Wang Lichun , Cardenas M. Bayani 
Published: January 2019

AbstractFluid flow through geologic porous media is represented by Darcy's law and its inertial and nonlinear extension, the Forchheimer equation. These relationships equate the product of the driving potential gradient and phenomenological coefficients representing momentum resistance and dissipation to flux. From decades of research, the coefficient of viscous permeability (kv) in Darcy's law is largely predictable, but this is not the case for the coefficient of inertial permeability (ki) in the Forchheimer equation. Synthesizing results from thousands of laboratory and field flow tests and pore‐scale flow model results, we show that ki can be predicted from kv via the equation ki = 1010kv3/2 across 12 and 20 orders of magnitude in kv and ki, respectively. Since it is related with ki, kv is thus sufficient for predicting flow across viscous to inertial regimes for most geologic porous media.
Numerical Simulation of the Landslide and Tsunami Due to the 1741 Oshima‐Oshima Eruption in Hokkaido, Japan
Authors: Ioki Kei , Tanioka Yuichiro , Yanagisawa Hideaki , Kawakami Gentaro 
Published: January 2019

AbstractSector collapse during the 1741 eruption of Oshima‐Oshima volcano (southwestern Hokkaido, Japan) generated a large tsunami in the Japan Sea. The tsunami caused severe damage along the Oshima (Hokkaido) and Tsugaru (Honshu) peninsulas. Tsunami deposits due to the 1741 event were identified along the Okushiri and Hiyama coast in Hokkaido. In this study, we numerically simulated the landslide and tsunami generated by the 1741 Oshima‐Oshima eruption using an improved two‐layer model to explain the depositional area of the landslide, the tsunami heights written in historical records, and the distributions of tsunami deposits. Areas of erosion and deposition by the 1741 landslide were estimated from the bathymetric data on the northern slope of Oshima‐Oshima volcano. In addition, previous topography before the sector collapse was restored. From the bathymetry difference before and after the landslide, the volume of collapsed material was estimated at 2.2 km3. Based on those data, the landslide and tsunami were numerically simulated by solving equations of an improved two‐layer model that incorporates Manning's formula in the bottom friction terms of the lower layer. An apparent friction angle of 2.5 and a Manning's roughness coefficient of 0.15 were selected to explain the area of deposition estimated from the bathymetry analysis and distributions of tsunami deposits. The thickness distribution of the computed landslide mass fits relatively well with the depositional area. Computed tsunami heights match those from historical records along the Hiyama coast. Computed tsunami inundation areas cover most of the distributions of tsunami deposits identified along the coasts.
Microseismicity on Patches of Higher Compression During Larger‐Scale Earthquake Nucleation in a Rate‐and‐State Fault Model
Authors: Schaal Natalie , Lapusta Nadia 
Published: January 2019

AbstractWhile many large earthquakes are preceded by observable foreshocks, the mechanism responsible for the occurrence of these smaller‐scale seismic events remains uncertain. One physical explanation of foreshocks with growing support is that they are produced by the interaction of slow slip with fault heterogeneity. Inspired by the suggestion from laboratory experiments that foreshocks occur on fault asperities (bumps), we explore rate‐and‐state fault models with patches of higher normal stress embedded in a larger seismogenic region by conducting 3‐D numerical simulations of their behavior over long‐term sequences of aseismic and seismic slips. The models do produce smaller‐scale seismicity during the aseismic nucleation of larger‐scale seismic events. These smaller‐scale events have reasonable stress drops, despite the highly elevated compression assigned to the source patches. We find that the two main factors contributing to the reasonable stress drops are the significant extent of the rupture into the region surrounding the patches and the aseismic stress release just prior to the seismic events. The smaller‐scale seismicity can only occur if a sufficient separation in nucleation scales between the foreshock‐like events and mainshocks is achieved. Our modeling provides insight into the conditions conducive for generating foreshocks on both natural and laboratory faults.
Exploring Aerosols Near Clouds With High‐Spatial‐Resolution Aircraft Remote Sensing During SEAC4RS
Authors: Spencer Robert S. , Levy Robert C. , Remer Lorraine A. , Mattoo Shana , Arnold George T. , Hlavka Dennis L. , Meyer Kerry G. , Marshak Alexander , Wilcox Eric M. , Platnick Steven E. 
Published: January 2019

AbstractSince aerosols are important to our climate system, we seek to observe the variability of aerosol properties within cloud systems. When applied to the satellite‐borne Moderate‐resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), the Dark Target retrieval algorithm provides global aerosol optical depth (AOD; at 0.55 μm) in cloud‐free scenes. Since MODIS' resolution (500‐m pixels, 3‐ or 10‐km product) is too coarse for studying near‐cloud aerosol, we ported the Dark Target algorithm to the high‐resolution (~50‐m pixels) enhanced‐MODIS Airborne Simulator (eMAS), which flew on the high‐altitude ER‐2 during the Studies of Emissions, Atmospheric Composition, Clouds, and Climate Coupling by Regional Surveys Airborne Science Campaign over the United States in 2013. We find that even with aggressive cloud screening, the ~0.5‐km eMAS retrievals show enhanced AOD, especially within 6 km of a detected cloud. To determine the cause of the enhanced AOD, we analyze additional eMAS products (cloud retrievals and degraded‐resolution AOD), coregistered Cloud Physics Lidar profiles, MODIS aerosol retrievals, and ground‐based Aerosol Robotic Network observations. We also define spatial metrics to indicate local cloud distributions near each retrieval and then separate into near‐cloud and far‐from‐cloud environments. The comparisons show that low cloud masking is robust, and unscreened thin cirrus would have only a small impact on retrieved AOD. Some of the enhancement is consistent with clear‐cloud transition zone microphysics such as aerosol swelling. However, 3‐D radiation interaction between clouds and the surrounding clear air appears to be the primary cause of the high AOD near clouds.
New Insights on the Impact of Ozone‐Depleting Substances on the Brewer‐Dobson Circulation
Authors: Abalos Marta , Polvani Lorenzo , Calvo Natalia , Kinnison Douglas , Ploeger Felix , Randel William , Solomon Susan 
Published: January 2019

AbstractIt has recently been recognized that, in addition to greenhouse gases, anthropogenic emissions of ozone‐depleting substances (ODS) can induce long‐term trends in the Brewer‐Dobson circulation (BDC). Several studies have shown that a substantial fraction of the residual circulation acceleration over the last decades of the twentieth century can be attributed to increasing ODS. Here the mechanisms of this influence are examined, comparing model runs to reanalysis data and evaluating separately the residual circulation and mixing contributions to the mean age of air trends. The effects of ozone depletion in the Antarctic lower stratosphere are found to dominate the ODS impact on the BDC, while the direct radiative impact of these substances is negligible over the period of study. We find qualitative agreement in austral summer BDC trends between model and reanalysis data and show that ODS are the main driver of both residual circulation and isentropic mixing trends over the last decades of the twentieth century. Moreover, aging by isentropic mixing is shown to play a key role on ODS‐driven age of air trends.
Dependence of Vertical Alignment of Cloud and Precipitation Properties on Their Effective Fall Speeds
Authors: Ovchinnikov Mikhail , Giangrande Scott , Larson Vincent E. , Protat Alain , Williams Christopher R. 
Published: January 2019

AbstractThe vertical structure of clouds unresolved in large‐scale weather prediction and climate models is controlled by an overlap assumption. When a binary representation (cloud or no cloud) of subgrid horizontal variability is replaced by a probability density function (PDF) treatment of cloud‐related variables, a cloud occurrence overlap needs to be replaced by a PDF overlap. The PDF overlap can be quantified by a correlation length scale, z0, indicating how rapidly rank correlation of distributions at two levels diminishes with increasing level separation. In this study, we show that z0 varies widely for different properties (e.g., number and mass mixing ratios) and different hydrometeor types (cloud liquid and ice, rain, snow, and graupel) and that corresponding fall speed, Vf, is the primary factor controlling the degree of their vertical alignment, with vertical shear of the horizontal wind playing a smaller role. Linear and power law parametric relationships between z0 and Vf are derived using cloud‐resolving simulations of convection under midlatitude continental and tropical oceanic conditions, as well as observations from vertically pointing dual‐frequency radar profilers near Darwin, Australia. The functional form of z0‐Vf relationship is further examined using simple conceptual models that link variability in horizontal and vertical directions and provide insights into the role of Vf and wind shear. Being based on a physical property (i.e., fall speed) of hydrometeors rather than artificially defined and model‐specific hydrometeor types, the proposed parameterization of vertical PDF overlap can be applied to a wide range of microphysics treatments in regional and global models.
The Dependence of Radius on Relative Humidity and Solute Mass at High Relative Humidities Up to and Including 100%
Authors: Lewis Ernie R. 
Published: January 2019

AbstractThis manuscript presents a rigorous examination of the equilibrium radius ratio of hygroscopic aerosol particles that are solution drops of ideal and actual inorganic solutes for a range of solute masses in the relative humidity range 99–100%. Analysis is presented first for ideal solutes over a range of solute masses for different hygroscopicities, providing a theoretical framework for the subsequent analysis of actual solutes. Dimensionless quantities are used to reduce the Köhler equation to one with no free parameters and an approximate solution is presented. Next analysis is presented for three common inorganic solutes of atmospheric importance: sodium chloride, ammonium sulfate, and sulfuric acid, with a range of solute masses considered for each substance. The extent to which nonideality is important for these solutes over the ranges of relative humidities and solute masses considered is examined. A simple but accurate single‐parameter expression is presented for the equilibrium radius ratio as a function of relative humidity that contains the dependences on solute mass and composition for these solutes. The accuracy of this expression is quantified and factors that limit this accuracy are discussed. The expression is accurate to within 5% over most of the range of mass‐equivalent dry radii from 10 to 250 nm and relative humidities from below 99 up to 100%, over which the equilibrium radius ratio varies by more than a factor of 5, and it remains finite at 100% relative humidity. Finally, measurements of hygroscopic growth of aerosol particles in this relative humidity range are discussed.
Dynamics of Flow at Concordant Gravel Bed River Confluences: Effects of Junction Angle and Momentum Flux Ratio
Authors: Sukhodolov Alexander N. , Sukhodolova Tatiana A. 
Published: January 2019

AbstractAlthough the dynamics of secondary flow at river confluences have received considerable attention, a lack of theoretical insight in exploratory field and experimental research has led to different conclusions about the mechanisms driving these dynamics. This study revisits the problem of secondary flow at confluences by examining responses of the flow to controllable variations in curvature of flow trajectories in a series of field‐based experiments. The experiments were performed in a physical model designed to eliminate the influence of bed morphology, while using a large width‐to‐depth ratio to enable proper identification of flow structures at different scales. The results show that no secondary flow is detectable in runs with parallel merging flows irrespective of the momentum ratio. In runs with converging channels the secondary flow is represented by large‐scale motions consisting either of a pair of counterrotating helixes or a single helix depending on the momentum ratio. Comparison of scaled measured and theoretically predicted vertical profiles of lateral velocity shows that the helical secondary flow is primarily driven by the curvature of flow trajectories. This study also indicates that small‐scale secondary motions that have the same sense of rotation as the large‐scale helixes may develop in the immediate margins of the mixing interface. Differing only slightly from the flow depth in size, they are manifested by local upwelling within the large‐scale secondary motions. Several reasons to believe that interactions of large‐scale motions with opposing sense of rotation drive these small‐scale secondary flow cells are discussed in the paper.
Stochastic Dynamics of Lagrangian Pore‐Scale Velocities in Three‐Dimensional Porous Media
Authors: Puyguiraud Alexandre , Gouze Philippe , Dentz Marco 
Published: January 2019

AbstractUpscaling dispersion, mixing, and reaction processes from the pore to the Darcy scale is directly related to the understanding of the dynamics of pore‐scale particle velocities, which are at the origin of hydrodynamic dispersion and non‐Fickian transport behaviors. With the aim of deriving a framework for the systematic upscaling of these processes from the pore to the Darcy scale, we present a detailed analysis of the evolution of Lagrangian and Eulerian statistics and their dependence on the injection condition. The study is based on velocity data obtained from computational fluid dynamics simulations of Stokes flow and advective particle tracking in the three‐dimensional pore structure obtained from high‐resolution X‐ray microtomography of a Berea sandstone sample. While isochronously sampled velocity series show intermittent behavior, equidistant series vary in a regular random pattern. Both statistics evolve toward stationary states, which are related to the Eulerian velocity statistics. The equidistantly sampled Lagrangian velocity distribution converges on only a few pore lengths. These findings indicate that the equidistant velocity series can be represented by an ergodic Markov process. A stochastic Markov model for the equidistant velocity magnitude captures the evolution of the Lagrangian velocity statistics. The model is parameterized by the Eulerian velocity distribution and a relaxation length scale, which can be related to hydraulic properties and the medium geometry. These findings lay the basis for a predictive stochastic approach to upscale solute dispersion in complex porous media from the pore to the Darcy scale.