bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025_split huggingface dataset:
Prediction Regions for Poisson and Over-Dispersed Poisson Regression Models with Applications in Forecasting the Number of Deaths during the COVID-19 Pandemic
Authors: Kim Taeho , Lieberman Benjamin , Luta George , Peña Edsel A. 
Published: November 2021

AbstractMotivated by the Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) pandemic, which is due to the SARS-CoV-2 virus, and the important problem of forecasting the number of daily deaths and the number of cumulative deaths, this paper examines the construction of prediction regions or intervals under the no-covariate or intercept-only Poisson model, the Poisson regression model, and a new over-dispersed Poisson regression model. These models are useful for settings with events of interest that are rare. For the no-covariate Poisson and the Poisson regression model, several prediction regions are developed and their performances are compared through simulation studies. The methods are applied to the problem of forecasting the number of daily deaths and the number of cumulative deaths in the United States (US) due to COVID-19. To examine their predictive accuracy in light of what actually happened, daily deaths data until May 15, 2020 were used to forecast cumulative deaths by June 1, 2020. It was observed that there is over-dispersion in the observed data relative to the Poisson regression model. A novel over-dispersed Poisson regression model is therefore proposed. This new model, which is distinct from the negative binomial regression (NBR) model, builds on frailty ideas in Survival Analysis and over-dispersion is quantified through an additional parameter. It has the flavor of a discrete measurement error model and with a viable physical interpretation in contrast to the NBR model. The Poisson regression model is a hidden model in this over-dispersed Poisson regression model, obtained as a limiting case when the over-dispersion parameter increases to infinity. A prediction region for the cumulative number of US deaths due to COVID-19 by October 1, 2020, given the data until September 1, 2020, is presented. Realized daily and cumulative deaths values from September 1st until September 25th are compared to the prediction region limits. Finally, the paper discusses limitations of the proposed procedures and mentions open research problems. It also pinpoints dangers and pitfalls when forecasting on a long horizon, especially during a pandemic where events, both foreseen and unforeseen, could impact point predictions and prediction regions.
ANALISIS KOMPETENSI PEDAGOGIK GURU IPS DALAM PENGEMBANGAN KETERAMPILAN SOSIAL ANAK BERKEBUTUHAN KHUSUS (STUDI KASUS SMP N 12 SEMARANG)
Authors: Muslichah Azizah Nur Aini , Nisa Aisyah Nur Sayidatun 
Published: November 2021

The teacher has an important role in the implementation of learning. Especially in masterring the characteristics of each students. Therefore teachers must be able to master pedagogical competencies to develop social skills especially in students with special needs in inclusive schools. The reseach method used is a qualitative method. The results showed that (1) Social studies teachers have implemented pedagogic science well so that they can develop social skills of students with special needs (2) Supporting factors for the development of social sskills of children with special needs is the availability of shadow teacher, school collaboration with parents, and facilities and infrastucture (3) Meanwhile, the inhibiting factor for the development of social skills stem from love self-confidence of students with special needs themselves.
Guru mempunyai peran penting dalam pelaksanaan pembelajaran terutama penguasaan terhadap karakteristik setiap peserta didik. Oleh karena itu guru harus dapat menguasai kompetensi pedagogik untuk mengembangkan keterampilan sosial terutama pada peserta didik berkebutuhan khusus di sekolah inklusi. Metode penelitian yang digunakan adalah metode kualitatif. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa (1) Guru IPS telah mengimplementasikan ilmu pedagogik dengan baik sehingga dapat mengembangkan keterampilan sosial dari peserta didik berkebutuhan khusus (2) Faktor pendorong pengembangan keterampilan sosial anak berkebutuhan khusus yaitu dengan ketersediaan guru pendamping khusus, kerjasama sekolah dengan orangtua serta sarana dan prasarana (3) Sedangkan, faktor penghambat pengembangan keterampilan sosial berasal dari rasa kepercayaan diri yang rendah dari peserta didik berkebutuhan khusus sendiri dan kurangnya pelatihan pembelajaran kelas inklusi untuk guru mata pelajaran.
DAMPAK PEMBANGUNAN PEMBANGKIT LISTRIK TENAGA UAP (PLTU) TANJUNG JATI B TERHADAP PERUBAHAN MATA PENCAHARIAN DAN TINGKAT PENDAPATAN (Desa Tubanan Kecamatan Kembang Kabupaten Jepara)
Authors: Nooraliza Ayuuk , Salam Rudi 
Published: November 2021

Tanjung Jati B Steam Power Plant (PLTU) is a power plant located in Tubanan Village, Kembang District, Jepara Regency. The existence of the PLTU construction causes various impacts on the surrounding community, such as changes in livelihoods and income levels. This article aims to 1) Describe the livelihoods of the people of Tubanan Village before and after the construction of PLTU Tanjung Jati B, 2) Describe the level of income of the people of Tubanan Village before and after the construction of PLTU Tanjung Jati B, (3) to describe the impacts caused by the existence of development of PLTU Tanjung Jati B. The results of this study found that 1) There were changes in livelihoods due to the construction of PLTU Tanjung Jati B such as housewives becoming parking guards, 2) Increased income of the people of Tubanan Village, 3) There were positive and negative impacts felt by the people of Tubanan Village.
Pembangkit Listrik Tenaga Uap (PLTU) Tanjung Jati B merupakan salah satu pembangkit listrik yang berada di Desa Tubanan Kecamatan Kembang Kabupaten Jepara. Adanya pembangunan PLTU menyebabkan berbagai dampak terhadap masyarakat sekitar seperti perubahan mata pencaharian dan tingkat pendapatan. Artikel ini bertujuan untuk 1) Mendeskripsikan mata pencaharian masyarakat Desa Tubanan sebelum dan sesudah adanya pembangunan PLTU Tanjung Jati B, 2) Mendeskripsikan tingkat pendapatan masyarakat Desa Tubanan sebelum dan sesudah adanya pembangunan PLTU Tanjung Jati B, (3) untuk mendeskripsikan dampak yang diakibatkan oleh adanya pembangunan PLTU Tanjung Jati B. Hasil penelitian ini menemukan bahwa 1) Adanya perubahan mata pencaharian akibat pembangunan PLTU Tanjung Jati B, 2) Peningkatan pendapatan masyarakat Desa Tubanan, 3) Adanya dampak positif dan dampak negatif yang dirasakan oleh masyarakat Desa Tubanan.
PENGARUH PEMANFAATAN SMARTPHONE DAN DISIPLIN BELAJAR TERHADAP HASIL BELAJAR IPS PESERTA DIDIK KELAS VIII SMP NEGERI 1 KALIBAGOR KABUPATEN BANYUMAS
Authors: . Meigawati , Nisa Aisyah Nur Sayidatun 
Published: November 2021

This research aims to determine the effect of smartphone usage and discipline of learning on social studies learning outcomes of class VIII students at SMP Negeri 1 Kalibagor, Banyumas Regency. This research is a research with a quantitative approach and is a type of correlational research. The population in this study were 224 students of class VIII SMP Negeri 1 Kalibagor and took a sample of 70 students from the total population through simple random sampling technique. The data collection technique was done using a questionnaire and documentation. The results of this research was a positive and significant influence simultaneously between the smartphones usage and discipline of learning on the social studies learning outcomes of class VIII students of SMP Negeri 1 Kalibagor based on the results of the F test with a value > (37.414> 3.13). The smartphones usage and discipline of learning simultaneously has an effect on social studies learning outcomes by 52.8% and the remaining 47.2% is influenced by other variables or factors.
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh pemanfaatan smartphone dan disiplin belajar terhadap hasil belajar IPS peserta didik kelas VIII di SMP Negeri 1 Kalibagor Kabupaten Banyumas. Penelitian ini termasuk dalam penelitian dengan pendekatan kuantitatif dan merupakan jenis penelitian korelasional. Populasi dalam penelitian ini adalah peserta didik kelas VIII SMP Negeri 1 Kalibagor yang berjumlah 224 dan mengambil sampel sebanyak 70 peserta didik dari total populasi melalui teknik simple random sampling. Teknik pengambilan data dilakukan menggunakan angket dan dokumentasi. Hasil dari penelitian ini adalah terdapat pengaruh positif dan signifikan antara pemanfaatan smartphone dan disiplin belajar terhadap hasil belajar IPS peserta didik kelas VIII SMP Negeri 1 Kalibagor berdasarkan hasil uji F dengan nilai > (37,414 > 3,13). Pemanfaatan smartphone dan disiplin belajar secara simultan atau bersama-sama memberikan pengaruh terhadap hasil belajar IPS sebesar 52,8% dan sisanya 47,2% dipengaruhi oleh variabel atau faktor lain.
PERAN DAN TANTANGAN PENDIDIKAN KEWARGANEGARAAN DALAM MENGEMBANGKAN KARAKTER SISWA DI ERA GLOBALISASI
Authors: Isa Salsha Fairuz Putri , Dewi Dinie Anggraeni 
Published: November 2021

Citizenship Education is education that contains issues regarding nationality, citizenship, and its relationship with the state and democracy. Education is one of the strategic places used to advance the life of a nation, especially in the current era of globalization. Globalization is characterized by interdependence and openness between countries. In the current era of globalization, humans are required to be able to have high competitiveness. Because, the more globalization develops, the more rapid information and technology in our lives today causes us as individuals to be able to develop our potential in ourselves, groups and society at large. So, there will be a big impact resulting from this. Citizenship Education in the current era of globalization provides convenience as well as challenges for us. Citizenship education must be improved again in its implementation, considering that currently globalization is happening so rapidly nowadays.
Pendidikan Kewarganegaraan adalah pendidikan yang memuat permasalahan mengenai kebangsaan, kewarganegaraan, dan hubungannya dengan negara serta demokrasi. Pendidikan adalah salah satu tempat yang strategis digunakan untuk memajukan kehidupan suatu bangsa terlebih di era globalisasi saat ini. Globalisasi ada ditandai dengan adanya saling bergantungnya dan adanya keterbukaan antara negara satu dengan negara lainnya. Di era globalisasi saat ini, manusia dituntut untuk dapat memiliki daya saing yang mumpuni. Karena, semakin berkembangnya globalisasi maka akan semakin derasnya informasi serta teknologi di kehidupan kita saat ini yang menyebabkan kita sebagai individu harus sudah dapat mengembangkan potensi dalam diri, kelompok, dan masyarakat luas. Sehingga, akan ada dampak besar yang ditimbulkan dari hal tersebut. Pendidikan Kewarganegaraan di era globalisasi saat ini memberikan kemudahan dan juga tantangan tersendiri bagi kita. Pendidikan Kewarganegaraan harus lebih ditingkatan kembali dalam pelaksanaannya mengingat saat ini globalisasi begitu cepat terjadi saat ini.
An Internet Quiz Game Intervention for Adolescent Alcohol Drinking: A Clustered RCT
Authors: Ho Frederick K. , Tung Keith T.S. , Wong Rosa S. , Chan Ko Ling , Wong Wilfred H.S. , Ho Sai Yin , Lam Tai Hing , Mirpuri Sheena , Van Voorhees Benjamin , Fu King Wa , Chow Chun Bong , Chua Gilbert , Tso Winnie , Jiang Fan , Rich Michael , Ip Patrick 
Published: November 2021

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES
Interventions on adolescent drinking have yielded mixed results. We assessed the effectiveness of an Internet quiz game intervention compared to conventional health education.

METHODS
In this cluster randomized controlled trial with parallel group design, we randomly allocated 30 participating schools to the Internet quiz game intervention or the conventional health education (comparison) group, with 1:1 ratio. Students of Hong Kong secondary schools (aged 12–15 years) were recruited. The intervention was a 4-week Web-based quiz game competition in which participating students answered 1000 alcohol-related multiple-choice quiz questions. The comparison group received a printed promotional leaflet and hyperlinks to alcohol-related information.

RESULTS
Of 30 eligible schools, 15 (4294 students) were randomly assigned to the Internet quiz game intervention group and 15 (3498 students) to the comparison group. Average age of participants was 13.30 years. No significant between-group differences were identified at baseline. Overall retention rate for students was 86.0%. At 1-month follow-up, fewer students in the intervention group reported drinking (9.8% vs 12.1%, risk ratio 0.79, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.68 to 0.92; P = .003), and those who drank reported drinking less alcohol (standardized difference β −0.06, 95% CI −0.11 to −0.01; P = .02). Between-group differences remained statistically significant at 3-month follow-up (10.4% vs 11.6%, risk ratio 0.86, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.999; P = .048; β −0.06, 95% CI −0.11 to −0.01; P = .02).

CONCLUSIONS
The Internet quiz game intervention reduced underage drinking by 21% at 1-month and 14% at 3-month follow-up compared with conventional health education.
ФУНДАТОРКА ДОСЛІДЖЕНЬ З ХІМІЇ НІТРОГЕНОВМІСНИХ ГЕТЕРОЦИКЛІЧНИХ СПОЛУК В ДНІПРОВСЬКОМУ УНІВЕРСИТЕТІ (до 100-річчя від дня народження проф. З. П. СОЛОМКО)
Authors: С. Коваленко Валерій , С. Феденко Володимир , Ф. Варгалюк Віктор , В. Стець Надія , Д. Коптєва Світлана 
Published: November 2021

Стаття присвячена 100-річчю від дня народження відомого хіміка-органіка, фахівця з вивчення гетероциклічних сполук, зокрема 1,5-бензодіазепінів, доктора хімічних наук, заслуженого професора Дніпровського університету Зінаїди Пилипівни Соломко (1921–2001).
Розглянуто основні віхи життєвого шляху вченої. Проаналізовано основні напрями наукових досліджень. До сфери наукових інтересів З. П. Соломко, в першу чергу, слід віднести вивчення хімічних властивостей та методів синтезу 1,5-бензодіазепінів та їх похідних, які виявили біологічну активність і можуть використовуватись у медичній практиці як транквілізатори, діуретики, сульфамідні препарати. За цим напрямом вона створила свою наукову школу. Також З. П. Соломко займалася вивченням хімії фосфор- і сульфурорганічних сполук, властивостей амінокислот, сульфонанілідів тощо. Вона є авторкою близько 250 наукових публікацій, 38 свідоцтв на винаходи, підручника для вищої школи «Органічна хімія і основи статичної біохімії».
В статті розкриваються також деякі риси особистості З. П. Соломко, наводяться спогади колег та учнів про неї, підходи до постановки експериментальних досліджень, стиль керівництва аспірантами, педагогічну та суспільно-громадську діяльність.
Під час написання статті використовувались матеріали з архіву Дніпровського національного університету імені Олеся Гончара (ДНУ), архіву-музею хімічного факультету, наукові публікації З. П. Соломко та її учнів.
Ключові слова: З. П. Соломко, гетероциклічні сполуки, 1,5-бензодіазепіни, біологічна активність.
Angelica sinensis polysaccharide promotes the proliferation and osteogenic differentiation of human dental pulp stem cells (hDPSCs) by activating the wnt/β-catenin pathway
Authors: Mao Tiantian , Peng Youjian , Peng Ruobing , Wei Xiaoying 
Published: November 2021

Human dental pulp stem cells (hDPSCs) are capable of forming mineralized nodules. The proliferation and osteogenic differentiation of hDPSCs are very important for alleviating tooth defects caused by related diseases. Angelica polysaccharide (ASP) is the main bioactive ingredient extracted from the angelica root. ASP has a variety of biological functions, including immune regulation, antitumor activity, and hematopoiesis. However, its possible effects on hDPSCs are still unclear. In this study, we aimed to investigate the role of ASP in periodontal diseases. We found that ASP promoted the proliferation of hDPSCs and osteogenic differentiation of hDPSCs. We further found that it promoted the expression of osteogenic-related genes, including ALP, RUNX2, Col1a1, and OCN. Mechanically, we found that ASP activated the Wnt/β-catenin pathway. In conclusion, our results suggested that ASP promoted the proliferation and osteogenic differentiation of hDPSCs via the Wnt/β-catenin pathway.
Synthesis and thermal behavior of nanoceramic material based on Bi<sub>13</sub>Fe<sub>5</sub>Ti<sub>6</sub>O<sub>39</sub>
Authors: Lomanova N. A. 
Published: November 2021

The process of formation by the chemical coprecipitation method of nanoceramic material based on layered perovskite-like complex oxide Bi13Fe5Ti6O39 with the structure of the Aurivillius phase has been described. The temperatures of the onset of formation, the onset of decomposition, and activation of sintering, as well as the coefficient of linear thermal extension of the material, have been determined. Technological parameters for the synthesis of the material with a high yield of the target product and the ability to vary the crystallite size in the range of 70‒85 nm have been determined.
Conhecimento e prática assistencial dos fisioterapeutas em unidades de terapia intensiva pediátrica sobre mobilização precoce: estudo transversal
Authors: Rabelo de Brito Emanoele , De Oliveira Pereira Tainá , Magalhães Novais Michelli Christina , De Britto Andrade Maria Carolina , Falcão dos Santos Albergaria Tatiane 
Published: November 2021

INTRODUÇÃO: A mobilização precoce (MP) pode ser definida como atividade física suficiente para promover melhoras fisiológicas e redução no seu período de internação; entretanto, a prática com crianças ainda é um desafio. OBJETIVO: Avaliar o conhecimento dos fisioterapeutas atuantes em unidades de terapia intensiva pediátrica (UTIP), bem como verificar a prática clínica quanto à MP em pacientes pediátricos críticos. MATERIAL E MÉTODOS: Estudo observacional, transversal e descritivo, através de um questionário on-line. As variáveis estudadas nesta pesquisa foram referentes a três domínios, perfil e conhecimento do profissional sobre as evidências científicas existentes acerca dos benefícios da MP e percepção do participante sobre a importância da MP nestes pacientes e as barreiras vivenciadas por eles. RESULTADOS: Foram consideradas 42 respostas na coleta de resultados, 92,9% do sexo feminino, 45,2% tinham mais de 10 anos de formação em fisioterapia, e 42,8% atuam de 5 a 10 anos em UTI pediátrica. Sobre a prática da mobilização precoce, 88,1% disseram acreditar que os estudos sugerem benefícios e 7,1% que não há evidência científica que suporte sua realização. Todos os profissionais relataram utilizar a MP em sua rotina assistencial. CONCLUSÃO: Pode-se observar que, nesta amostra, todos profissionais realizam a prática da MP em sua rotina assistencial e que a falta de conhecimento da equipe multidisciplinar é considerada como principal barreira para realização.
Uso de um jogo de tabuleiro na reabilitação dos membros superiores de idosos institucionalizados em Portugal: um estudo piloto quase-experimental
Authors: Rosa Marlene Neves , Gordo Sara , Pocinho Ricardo , Marinho Raquel 
Published: November 2021

INTRODUÇÃO: A utilização do jogo como estratégia de reabilitação tem revelado um especial impacto nas variáveis cognitivas no idoso, não sendo consensual o seu impacto em indicadores físicos. OBJETIVO: Medir o efeito do treino com um jogo de tabuleiro na melhoria da coordenação dos membros superiores e na força de preensão palmar em idosos institucionalizados. Foi também caracterizada a percepção dos idosos sobre o jogo como estratégia de reabilitação. MATERIAIS E MÉTODOS: Foi conduzido um estudo quase-experimental, longitudinal, incluindo 10 idosos institucionalizados sem alterações significativas na cognição (6CIT 0-7) e na mobilidade dos membros superiores. Este grupo foi inicialmente avaliado (T0) quanto à Força de preensão manual (FPM) e quanto à coordenação dos membros superiores (Bateria de testes EUROFIT), repetindo a avaliação após 2 semanas de terapias convencionais (T1), tendo sido novamente reavaliados 2 semanas após frequentarem as terapias convencionais mais 2 horas adicionais de um programa com um jogo de tabuleiro (T2). Foi ainda coletada a perceção dos idosos sobre a experiência com o jogo. Foi comparada a evolução entre T0-T1 e T1-T2 usando o teste de Wilcoxon. RESULTADOS: Apenas entre T1 e T2 ocorreram mudanças significativas na EUROFIT (p=0.005) e na FPM para ambos os membros (p=0.005; p= 0.007). Os idosos destacaram uma maior relevância do jogo no trabalho em equipe, no estímulo de raciocínio e de agilidade dos membros superiores. CONCLUSÃO: O jogo de tabuleiro é uma potencial ferramenta para completar a terapia convencional, sendo a experiência considerada muito positiva pelos idosos participantes (ClinicalTrials.gov IDIPL10062019).
Multidisciplinary team perceptions about the implementation and safety of early mobilization for newborns in post-operative care
Authors: Deitos Milena Velame , Lina Dias Andrade Amanda , Do Nascimento Andrade Aline 
Published: November 2021

BACKGROUND: Early mobilization can be a therapeutic intervention that can prevent long-term consequences from prolonged bed rest in post-operative newborns. OBJECTIVE: Describe the knowledge of the healthcare professionals in the Newborn Intensive Care Unit (NICU) about early mobilization and its safety for post-operative infants. METHODS: This research is an analytical descriptive cross-sectional study with mixed methods, performed by analyzing a questionnaire given to NICU health professionals. RESULTS: The sample was composed of 31 professionals, of which 64.5% affirm that they know what early mobilization means, most of whom defined the intervention in terms of motor activity, 83% believe it is beneficial, 77.4% consider early mobilization safe. However, 90% of the professionals showed concerns for possible adverse events, the most cited being device dislodgment and hemodynamic decompensation. The majority stated that early mobilization should be avoided when concerned about hemodynamic instability or the type of surgery. Approximately 71% affirm that they did not receive educational training for implementing early mobilization. CONCLUSION: This study showed the need for more training and education about early mobilization for professionals and the establishment of evidence-based institutional protocols.