P1634Comparison of inflammation based prognostic scores in patients with stable heart failure with reduced ejection fraction
Authors: Arfsten H , Cho A , Prausmueller S , Spinka G , Novak J , Goliasch G , Bartko P E , Pavo N , Huelsmann M 
Published: October 2019

Abstract

Background
Elevated inflammatory markers and malnutrition are characteristic for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) correlating with disease severity and prognosis. Nutritional decline is closely linked to inflammation. Evidence emerges that heart failure can be triggered by inflammation directly, meaning that progression of HF is a function of individual inflammatory host response. We aimed to investigate and compare the impact of well-established inflammation based scores and inflammation-related nutritional scores on survival in HFrEF.

Methods
Stable HFrEF-patients undergoing routine ambulatory care between 2011 and 2017 have been identified from a prospective registry. Comorbidities and laboratory data at baseline were assessed. All-cause mortality was defined the primary endpoint. The modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS: 0/1/2 based on CRP and albumin), the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), the monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) as well as the Nutritional Risk Index (NRI = (1.519 × serum albumin, g/dL) + (41.7 × present weight (kg)/ideal body weight (kg)) and the Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI = albumin (g l–1) × total lymphocyte count × 109 l–1) were calculated. The association of the scores with HF severity and impact on overall survival were determined.

Results
Data of 443 patients receiving well titrated guideline directed HF therapy have been analyzed. Median age was 64 years (IQR 53–72), 73% were male. Median body mass index (BMI) was 26.6kg/m2 (IQR 23.8–30.2), median NT-proBNP was 2053pg/ml (IQR 842–4345) with most patients presenting in NYHA class II (178, 40%) and III (173, 39%). The mGPS was 0 for 352 (80%), 1 for 76 (17%) and 2 for 14 (3%) patients, respectively. All scores correlated with HF severity reflected by NT-proBNP [p<0.001 for mGPS, r=−0.48; p<0.001 for PNI] and NYHA class [p<0.001 for mGPS and PNI]. All scores were associated with all-cause mortality in univariate analysis. After adjustment for age, gender and kidney function only mGPS, PLR, NRI and PNI remained significantly associated with outcome. Out of these the ROC were highest for PNI and mGPS [0.674 and 0.652 respectively] and solely these scores remained significantly associated with mortality after including NT-proBNP in the multivariate model [adj.HR 1.87 (95% CI: 1.20–2.91), p=0.006 for mGPS; 0.62 (95% CI: 0.40–0.96), p=0.032 for PNI]. Kaplan Meier analysis confirmed the discriminatory power of mGPS and PNI (Figure 1).

Conclusions
Enhanced inflammation and malnutrition are more common in advanced heart failure. Among established inflammation and nutritional scores merely mGPS and PNI are associated with survival in HFrEF patients independently of NT-proBNP. This relationship emphasizes the significance of the individual proinflammatory response on prognosis.This easily available score may help clinicians to identify HFrEF patients with worse prognosis with urgent need for intensified therapy and/or alternate treatment options.