HIV testing by public health centers and municipalities, and new HIV cases during the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan
Authors: Ejima Keisuke , Koizumi Yoshiki , Yamamoto Nao , Rosenberg Molly , Ludema Christina , Bento Ana I. , Yoneoka Daisuke , Ichikawa Seiichi , Mizushima Daisuke , Iwami Shingo 
Published: October 2020

AbstractBackgroundDuring the COVID-19 outbreak, medical resources were primarily allocated to COVID-19, which might have reduced facility capacity for HIV testing. Further, people may have opted against HIV testing during this period to avoid COVID-19 exposure. We investigate the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on HIV testing and its consequences in Japan.MethodsWe analysed quarterly HIV/AIDS-related data from 2015 to the second quarter of 2020 using an anomaly detection approach. The data included the number of consultations that public health centers received, the number of HIV tests performed by public health centers or municipalities, and the number of newly reported HIV cases with and without AIDS diagnosis. As sensitivity analyses, we performed the same analysis for two subgroups: men who have sex with men (MSM) and non-Japanese.FindingsThe number of HIV tests (9,584 vs. 35,908 in the year-before period) and consultations (11,689 vs. 32,565) performed by public health centers significantly declined in the second quarter of 2020, while the proportion of HIV cases with AIDS diagnosis among all HIV cases (36·2% vs. 26·4%) significantly increased after removing the trend and seasonality effects. The number of HIV cases without AIDS diagnosis numerically decreased (166 vs. 217), although the reduction was not significant. We confirmed similar trend for the MSM and non-Japanese groups.InterpretationThe current HIV testing system including public health centers misses more HIV cases at the early phase of the infection during the pandemic. Given that the clear epidemiological picture of HIV incidence during the pandemic is still uncertain, continuously monitoring the situation as well as securing sufficient test resources using self-test is essential.FundingJapan Society for the Promotion of Science, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development.Research in contextEvidence before this studyBefore this study, we searched PubMed, Medline, and Google Scholar on Oct 12, 2020, for articles investigated the number of HIV test and HIV cases during the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan, using the search terms “novel coronavirus” or “SARS-CoV-2”, and “HIV” or “AIDS”, and “Japan”, with no time restrictions. We found no published work relevant to our study.Added value of this studyDuring the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan, the public health centers and municipalities temporarily suspended facility-based HIV testing to concentrate their limited resources to COVID-19 testing. We investigated the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the number of HIV tests in public health centers and municipalities, and on the number of HIV cases with and without AIDS diagnosis. We confirmed that the number of the test declined in the second quarter (April to June) of 2020, and the proportion of HIV with AIDS diagnosis among all HIV cases increased during the same period.Implications of all the available evidenceProviding sufficient HIV testing opportunities even during the pandemic, when facility-based testing is challenging, is necessary for better clinical and public health outcomes. Self-testing and home specimen collection (e.g. dried blood spot or oral fluid test) could be a key to fill the gap between the need for HIV testing and the constraints related to the COVID-19 outbreak.