bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025 huggingface dataset:
Predicting Turning Points of the Russian Economic Cycle Using Composite Leading Indicators
Authors: Smirnov S. V.
Published: August 2020

Thearticleprovidesa brief overview of the background of constructing composite leading indicators (CLI) for Russia; the paper defines key indicators which currently are calculated and published monthly; they can be put in practice to monitor the Russianeconomy. The underlying methodological approaches are analyzed, along with their advantages and disadvantages. The importance of accounting for a factor of regular or irregular updates and revisions of methods for calculating the CLI is emphasized. Due to them not only the current but also the “historical” dynamics of the indices occasionally change. The paper compares various CLI components and reveals both similarities and differences in the notion of the cyclical dynamics of individual components, reaching the point that the same indicators depending on the methodology are considered as leading, or as lagging. A set of “core” indicators included in the calculation of almost all Russian CLIs is determined; the author also noted those indicators that are widely used in other countries but not yet in Russia, for various reasons.

Specialattentionispaidtotheproblemsofdatingeconomiccycleturningpoints,inparticular,thosearisingfromdifferentnotionsofthevery concept of the economic cycle. Dating using formal statistical methods, ﬁrstly, is mostly determined by purely technical (and not substantive) nuances, and secondly, it often changes retroactively when revising historical time series. Analysis of global experience indicates that the way out of this impasse can be the detecting of cyclical turning points based on the decisions of the special expert council, whose sole tasks include dating cyclical peaks and troughs. The article describes methodological approaches that the Economic Cycle Dating Committee (Russian Dating Committee, RDC) under the Association of Russian Economic Think Tanks (ARETT), is supposed to follow.

The ﬁnal part of the article analyzes the ability of various Russian CLIs to timely warn when a new phase of the economic cycle is approaching, especially the impending recession. It is shown that expert opinions on the future dynamics of the Russian economy, contained in monthly press releases, are often more accurate than the conclusions that can be obtained based on the CLI trajectory using purely formal decision rules. On this basis, it is concluded that the existing Russian CLIs can be improved; this calls for clariﬁcation and ﬁnally ﬁxing the dating of cyclical turning points (peaks and troughs), as well as for conducting additional research to identify various economic and ﬁnancial indicators as the leading, synchronous or lagging indicators of the Russian economic cycle.
Foreign Trade in Goods and Services: Comparing the Data Sources
Authors: Gnidchenko A. A.
Published: August 2020

The paper focuses on the primary sources of information on Russia’s foreign trade. The objective of the study is to describe the main sources of data on foreign trade in goods and services, and compare them according to such criteria as time horizon, speciﬁcation by types of goods and services, the breakdown of data by country and region, and the data format.

The methodology tools rely on the possibility of applying databases for various user tasks (such as operative analysis, international comparisons, and studying the structure of foreign trade by types of goods and services and by partner countries).

The author shows that none of the databases meets all the criteria. To obtain a high-quality result, it is necessary to combine information from different sources. The paper demonstrates the problems of the incompleteness of the monthly data in the UN Comtrade database and uncertainty with the classiﬁer at the junction of 2016-2017 in the Federal Customs Service TSVT database. The author reveals the data gaps in the UN Comtrade database for Russia for some commodity groups. The article presents a comparison of Bank of Russia, OECD, WTO, and UN publications.

The conclusions are given in the form of recommendations on the use of the databases depending on the users’ requirements according to the speed of data publication, availability of data for international comparisons, and the need to reﬂect the structure of Russia’s foreign trade by type of goods and services.

The analysis reveals individual structural components of foreign trade turnover and preferences in the use of information bases. For trade in goods, the author recommends a simultaneous usage of the Federal Customs Service TSVT database and the UN Comtrade database; for trade in services the use of the Bank of Russia, OECD or WTO databases (depending on the user’s task).
How Hemodialysis Patients Perceive the SARS-CoV-2 Health Crisis: Lessons from Austria
Authors: Davidovic Tamara , Sprenger-Mähr Hannelore , Abbassi-Nik Armin , Zitt Emanuel , Lhotta Karl
Published: August 2020

Background

The ongoing SARS-CoV-2 pandemic forced many countries to implement strict and unprecedented precautions to stop the spread of the virus. On top of these measures, hemodialysis units have adopted their own rules to protect wards and patients from infection with SARS-CoV-2. Despite the rapidly growing knowledge on epidemiology, virology, and clinical disease, little is known about how these measures are perceived by patients themselves on hemodialysis.

Methods

The study was performed in the three hemodialysis units in Vorarlberg, Austria’s westernmost state. A questionnaire was developed consisting of 22 questions on patients’ perceptions of the COVID-19 crisis and their feelings about the general precautions and specific steps implemented on dialysis wards. All adult patients were asked to fill out the questionnaire anonymously.

Results

Of 202 patients on hemodialysis, 148 completed the questionnaire (66.9% men, mean age 68.3±13.3 years). The vast majority (83.1%) were worried by the COVID-19 crisis, but only 28.4% reported a negative effect on emotional well-being. Daily life was most affected by the general ban on visitors (58.6%) and home confinement (35.9%). Of the patients, 64.2% feared contracting COVID-19, 30.7% were afraid of financial consequences, and 14.6% were afraid of loneliness and isolation. The safety measures on dialysis wards were classified as adequate by 97.3% of the respondents. Of the patients, 78.2% felt safe during dialysis treatment. All dialysis-specific precautions (individual patient transport, health check, hand disinfection, wearing a face mask, and physical distancing) were rated important or very important by almost all patients. To date, none of the patients have acquired SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Conclusions

Although the SARS-CoV-2 crisis brought worry to and affected the lives of most patients on hemodialysis, its effect on their emotional well-being was moderate. Patients felt safe on dialysis wards, and acceptance of specific precautions was high.
Клініко-параклінічні особливості перебігу шигельозу у дітей, інфікованих цитомегаловірусом
Authors: Bukij S.N. , Olkhovskaya O.N.
Published: August 2020

Проведено аналіз клініко-параклінічних особливостей шигельозу у 72 дітей, хворих на шигельоз середньої тяжкості, в залежності від наявності або відсутності інфікування цих дітей цитомегаловірусом (ЦМВ). Встановлено, що шигельоз у дітей, інфікованих ЦМВ, перебігає переважно у формі ентероколіту, супроводжується більш високими цифрами температурної реакції тіла в дебюті хвороби, гіперемією задньої стінки ротоглотки, лімфоаденопатією, гепатомегалією, ознаками паренхіматозної реакції печінки. У цих дітей реєструють триваліші строки регресії клінічних симптомів – пролонгацію збереження лихоманки і порушення загального стану, диспепсичні явища, абдомінальний синдром, триваліше збереження ознак гепатомегалії, що призводить до збільшення строків перебування хворих у стаціонарі та є одним із факторів розвитку нозокоміальної інфекції.
Оцінка метаболізму нітрогену оксиду та синтезу ендотеліну-1 у жінок з невиношуванням вагітності на різних термінах
Authors: Korovay S.V. , Stetsenko S.A. , Bondareva A.V.
Published: August 2020

Досліджували особливості метаболізму NO та визначали рівень ендотеліну-1 в сироватці крові жінок з невиношуванням вагітності на різних термінах. Обстежено 227 вагітних жінок, які поступили до Харківського міського перинатального центру. Формування клінічних груп проводилось залежно від терміну вагітності у вигляді передчасних та своєчасних пологів. Результати дослідження свідчать, що у жінок з невиношуванням вагітності виникає ендотеліальна дисфункція зі зсувом регуляторних впливів у бік вазоконстрикторів. Виявлені зміни метаболізму нітрогену оксиду та синтезу ендотеліну-1 у вагітних жінок свідчать про порушення адаптаційно-компенсаторних механізмів та можливість сприяння розвитку передчасних пологів і погіршенню внутрішньоутробного стану плода.
Heidegger e a fundamentação ontológica do design: um paradigma que precede à ciência
Authors: Silva Sérgio Luciano da , Moraes Dijon De
Published: August 2020

O presente artigo é parte de uma investigação mais ampla acerca da natureza do design. Por essa razão, partimos de conclusões anteriores (SILVA; MORAES, 2019), onde sustentamos que o design, enquanto um campo com indeterminações, se mantém, na atualidade, a certa distância do conceito de ciência. No entanto, não entendemos esses componentes indeterminísticos nem esse distanciamento como problemas, pois eles ampliam as possibilidades de conexão deste campo com outras áreas do saber, algumas também com características não científicas, como a arte e a filosofia. O objetivo na etapa atual da pesquisa é encontrar elementos de natureza distinta da epistemológica, que possibilitem compreender os fundamentos do design em sua singularidade. Deste modo, no artigo atual, ao nos afastarmos temporária e intencionalmente da via da ciência, nossa escolha recai sobre a ontologia, por sua anterioridade de fundamentos em relação à diretiva epistemológica. Como interlocutor principal elegemos Martin Heidegger em seu ensaio A origem da obra de arte, apoiados na interpretação de Philippe Lacoue-Labarthe, e deslocamos os desdobramentos de suas reflexões ontológicas da arte para o design, com o subsídio das reflexões de Tomás Maldonado e Vilém Flusser.
FITNESS TRAINER AS A REPRESENTATIVE OF NEW PROFESSION IN RUSSIA
Authors: Bekarev A.M. , Sulina O.A.
Published: August 2020

The goal of research is to reveal the main aspects of fitness-industry in domestic research, as well as to analyze the popularity of the fitness coaching profession among young people. In a set of basic motives for visiting fitness clubs there is the desire to maintain good shape, weight loss. About 40% of men say that going to a fitness club gives them greater self-confidence, a sense of self-worth, and 38% of women point out the possibility of making friends and acquaintances as one of the reasons for visiting a fitness room. Therefore, apart from the function of maintaining body tone (wellness), fitness clubs also have a connecting social function. Domestic research into the fitness industry began to emerge relatively recently - at the turn of the last century. This is due to the fact that the first fitness clubs in Russia began to appear only in the 90s. The largest such club, which first opened in Russia in 1993 and met the world standards, was the fitness club World Class. That was the beginning of the development of the fitness industry in Russia and the CIS countries and the popularization of the profession of fitness coach. The present research is devoted to studying the formation of fitness services in Russia, as well as the reasons for the popularity of the profession of fitness coach in modern conditions. The empirical basis was a series of in-depth interviews with 18 fitness trainers (3 of them are owners, some of them combine coaching work), which were conducted in Nizhny Novgorod in the period from September 2016 to March 2017. The survey was conducted in the most popular chain fitness clubs of the city: "World Class", "Sparta", "JAM-Sport", "Elat", "FizKult", as well as FOC "Athletic".
Kepemimpinan Strategis Dan Perubahan Pada Perguruan Tinggi
Authors: Noer Elly
Published: August 2020

The world recently changed rapidly in all fields. Higher education is one of the sectors that cannot avoid these changing. An existed Higher education is able to survive at this time is a university that is always willing to make the strategy changing and culture of the organization. And it is also supported by the existence of a strategic leader in the organization. This study aims to know the impact of strategic leadership and organizational culture on changes in the organization of higher education in Surabaya, East Java. The research method used in this research is quantitative. This research population was 231 study programs with minimum accredited criteria B. The sampling technique used was purposive sampling,  so the sample of this research was 72 study programs. Data analysis method used is Partial Least Square. The results showed that the strategic leadership and organizational culture each had a positive and significant influence on the changing in the organization of higher education in Surabaya, East Java.
Alokasi Dana Desa (ADD), Jumlah Penduduk Miskin, Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) Dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi
Authors: Laga Yulius , Lobwaer Anthonia Karolina Rejo
Published: August 2020

This paper is a form of concept development, with the variable allocation of village funds (X1), the number of poor people (X2), Human Development Index (X3) and Economic Growth (Y) in East Nusa Tenggara Province in 21 districts. This study uses secondary data obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of NTT Province from 2015 to 2019. Descriptive Statistics and Panel Data Regression Analysis using E-Views 10 using the Fixed Effect Model (FEM). The results of hypothesis testing (t-test) shows the allocation of village funds, has a positive and significant effect on Economic Growth (p-value: 0,000 <0.05) and (t-count = 7.81> t-table = 1.66) . While the number of poor people and the Economic Human Development Index (HDI) have no influence on Economic Growth because the probability value is more than 5 percent (0.05). The magnitude of the effect of Adjust R-Square (R2) of 0.35 or 35 percent of economic growth variables can be explained by the variable Village Fund Allocation, Number of Poor Population, and Human Development Index. This reflects the economy grows to be done, and not only from the Village Fund Allocation but has investment space in the priority sectors of each district that is able to reduce poverty and boost the Human Development Index.
PENGARUH KELOMPOK REFERENSI, KELUARGA DAN KOMUNIKASI PEMASARAN TERHADAP KEPUTUSAN MAHASISWA DALAM MEMILIH PERGURUAN TINGGI UNIVERSITAS MUSAMUS MERAUKE
Authors: Kana Tarsisius
Published: August 2020

The research aimed to examine the impact of the reference, family and marketing communication groups to wardsthe students’ decision in choosing Musamus University Higher Education.This was a descriptive research by using 100 samples carried out in cluster. The research used the techniques of an observation, an interview, and a questionnaire in collecting data. The data were analysed by using the quantitative analysis through the multiple linear regression analysis with the SPSS version 20.0 program.The research result indicates that simultaneously the reference, family, marketing communication groups have the positive and significant impact towards the students’ decision in choosing Musamus University Higher Education. Partially, the reference group dominantly has the positive and significant impact on the students’ decision. The families have the positive and significant impact on the students’ decision. The marketing communication  does not have the positive and significant impact on the students’ decision.
ANALISIS KINERJA APARATUR PEMERINTAH MENGGUNAKAN PENDEKATAN BALANCED SCORECARD (Studi Kasus Pada Aparatur Pemerintah di Kampung Yanggandur)
Authors: Septarini Dina Fitri , Silambi Erni Dwita
Published: August 2020

Aparatur kampung merupakan bagian dari struktur pemerintahan yang paling bawah yang mengetahui secara pasti segala kondisi dan permasalahan yang ada di wilayahnya yang bertugas memberikan pelayanan kepada masyarakat. Oleh karena itu target pengukuran kinerja harus berorientasi kepada masyarakat. Pengukuran kinerja pada organisasi publik yang umum dilakukan hanya menitikberatkan pada sektor keuangan saja, sehingga cenderung mengabaikan kinerja non keuangan seperti kepuasan pelanggan (masyarakat), efektivitas dan SDM yang berkemampuan dan berkomitmen tinggi. Pengukuran kinerja dengan balance scorecard merupakan pengukuran kinerja yang komprehensif karena mengukur kinerja dari aspek keuangan dan non keuangan. Balance scorecard mencakup empat perspektif, yaitu perspektif keuangan, perspektif pelanggan, perspektif proses bisnis internal, serta perspektif pertumbuhan dan pembelajaran.Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara umum aparatur kampung Yanggandur sudah memahami dengan jelas visi dan tujuan yang hendak dicapai dalam pembangunan kampung. Hal ini ditunjukkan oleh persentase jawaban responden terhadap pertanyaan terkait dengan visi, misi, dan strategi organisasi, di mana lebih dari 75% responden cenderung menjawab setuju, yang berarti mereka memahami visi, misi, dan strategi organisasi. Perspektif keuangan mencapai score 19,2%, perspektif proses bisnis internal memiliki score 25,9%, perspektif pembelajaran dan pertumbuhan mencapai score 13,3%, dan perspektif masyarakat memiliki score 8,9%. Secara keseluruhan kinerja aparatur kampung Yanggandur apabila dianalisa menggunakan 4 perspektif dalam balanced scorecard memiliki score total sebesar 67,3% dan berada pada daerah kuning, yang berarti cukup bagus.
ANALISIS PENERAPAN SISTEM INFORMASI AKADEMIK ONLINE (SIMAKAD) PADA MAHASISWA JURUSAN AKUNTASI UNIVERSITAS MUSAMUS
Authors: ILYAS MOHAMAD ILHAM , IRIANTO OKTO
Published: August 2020

Sistem informasi akademik online (SIMAKAD) dirancang untuk memenuhi kebutuhan Akademik yang terkomputerisasi yang bertujuan meningkatkan kinerja, kualitas pelayanan, daya saing dan kualitas informasi yang dibutuhkan. Namun kenyataan yang ada bahwa saat ini masih  terdapat mahasiswa yang mengalami keterlambatan proses administasi di jurusan(kampus). Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui persepsi mahasiswa terhadap penggunaan Simakad dari sudut pandang penggunanya dengan menggunakan Model Penerimaan Teknologi (TAM) dan Teori Kognitif Sosial. Penelitian ini dilakukan pada mahasiswa semester tiga Jurusan Akuntansi Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Musamus (Unmus) Merauke. Pengumpulan data dilakukan melalui kuesioner. Sampel yang digunakan sebanyak 66 pemakai SIMAKAD. Data dianalisis dengan menggunankan perangkat lunak SPSS 21. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa (1) Persepsi kegunaan (perceived usefulness) berpengaruh positif dan signifikan  terhadap penggunaan SIMAKAD, (2) Persepsi kemudahan penggunaan (perceived ease of use) berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap penggunaan SIMAKAD, (3) Persepsi kemudahan penggunaan (perceived ease of use) berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap persepsi kegunaan (perceived usefulness), dan (4) Computer self-efficacy berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap penggunaan SIMAKAD.
PENGARUH KECERDASAN INTELEKTUAL TERHADAP KINERJA AKUNTAN PENDIDIK PADA JURUSAN AKUNTANSI FAKULTAS EKONOMI DAN BISNIS UNIVERSITAS HALU OLEO
Authors: Akib Mulyati , Asni Nur
Published: August 2020

This research aimed of presented to examine the effect of intellectual intellegence on the performance of educator accountant. Primary data in this research were obtained from the perseption off all lecturers and 76 generation students majoring 2013/2014 in Departement of Accountancy Economy faculty and Business Halu Oleo University. Preceptions in measured by responses to ques tionnaires that uses ordinal measurement with a 5 point Likert scale. The analytical tool used to test the hypotesis is simple linear regression analysis with the help software IBM Statistical Package for Social Sciencess (SPSS) Statistics Versi 22, with comparing the answers of respondents are students and lecturers.The results of this research indicate that intellectual intellegence significantly effect on the performance of educator accountant. The results of the coefficient of determination for intellectual intellegence in R2 = 0,664 dan 0,748. This number can be used to see the contribution of intellectual intellegence on the performance of educator accountant is 66,4% and 74,8%, while the remaining 33,6% and 25,2% was obtained from the contribution of other factors.
INTERAKSI KOMITMEN ORGANISASI TERHADAP FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI KUALITAS LAPORAN KEUANGAN PEMERINTAH DAERAH
Authors: Septarini Dina Fitri , Papilaya Frans
Published: August 2020

Audit BPK for the financial statements 2013 of Merauke district received a qualified opinion. This means that there are other things that should be repaired in the preparation of financial statements. Therefore, this study aimed to determine the effect of the competence of the Human Resources and internal control system to the quality of financial reports of local government, and the moderating influence of organizational commitment on the relationship between HR competencies and internal control system to the quality of financial statements of local government Merauke. This study uses a quantitative approach and the collection of primary data in this study using a survey by questionnaire to respondents selected as the sample. The population in this study is the employees of the finance department at regional work units (SKPD) of Local Government Merauke, totaling 29 SKPD. The sampling technique used is purposive sampling, ie sampling specific criteria. The data analysis technique used to test the effect of independent variables on the dependent variable regression analysis of interaction or Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) with SPSS 20. The results showed that the Human Resource Competency positive effect on the quality of local government financial statements, Systems the internal control does not affect the quality of local government financial statements, organizational commitment moderates the relationship between human resources competencies to the quality of local government financial statements, and organizational commitment does not moderate the relationship between the internal control system to the quality of local government financial reports.
STUDI PEMANFAATAN INFORMASI LAPORAN KEUANGAN PADA BADAN USAHA MILIK NEGARA (BUMN) DI KABUPATEN MERAUKE
Authors: ILHAM MOHAMAD , IRIANTO OKTO
Published: August 2020

Informasi laporan keuangan yang disajikan dalam satu periode akuntansi menjadi acuan dalam menjalankan fungsi perencanaan, pengendalian, dan pengambilan keputusan bagi suatu entitas. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh pengalaman, gender, dan faktor sosial terhadap pemanfaatan informasi laporan keuangan pada Badan Usaha Milik Negara (BUMN) di Kabupaten Merauke. Populasi dalam penelitian adalah pimpinan, pengawas, dan pemeriksa sebagai pengguna laporan keuangan dalam pengambilan keputusan ekonomi yang berjumlah 33 responden yang berasal dari 7 BUMN yang ada di Kabupaten Merauke. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data primer. Teknik pengumpulan data dalam penelitian ini yakni dengan menggunakan angket yaitu metode pengumpulan data dengan cara mengajukan daftar pernyataan/pertanyaan yang telah disusun dalam bentuk kuisioner kepada responden, sedangkan pengukuran data primer menggunakan skala Likert 1 sampai 5. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah regresi berganda dengan alat bantu software SPSS 20.0. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwal pengalaman, gender, dan faktor sosial berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pemanfaatan informasi laporan keuangan.
Network Organizational Structure (a Scientific and Practical Review)
Authors: Altukhov A. V. , Tishchenko S. A.
Published: August 2020

The presented study reviews practically relevant research papers in the field of network structures, modern network business models and platforms.

Aim. The study aims to elaborate and explain the concept of network structure and platform and to show the reasons for the progressiveness and potential of network organizational structure at the current stage of socio-economic and scientific development.

Tasks. The authors highlight the main scientific ideas about network structures in business, including significant studies in this area; provide and explain the main terms and definitions and examine the key characteristics of network business structures; characterize “platforms” as an important concept for modern business and show the relationship between platforms and network structures.

Methods. This study uses analysis of information and subsequent synthesis of new knowledge in the form of the authors’ conclusions and a wide range of relevant scientific publications of Russian and foreign authors, including original publications in English and French.

Results. The history of network structures is briefly provided. Definitions and characteristics of such concepts as “network structure” and “platform” in relation to business are provided and explained by the authors.
Developing a Strategy for the Digital Transformation of an Enterprise with Allowance for the Capabilities of Business Ecosystems
Authors: Gileva T. A. , Babkin A. V. , Gilev G. A.
Published: August 2020

The presented study analyzes the processes of creating ecosystems in the context of external challenges and increasing the level of competitive market environment and global digitalization of business to develop a strategy for the digital transformation of an enterprise.

Aim. The study aims to assess the practicability of creating ecosystems when developing a strategy for the digital transformation of traditional (“defensive”) enterprises and to provide recommendations for their utilization.

Tasks. The authors analyze the characteristics, features, and typology of business ecosystems; substantiate the need to analyze and use the capabilities of business ecosystems in the development of a strategy for corporate development in the digital environment; describe the essence, key aspects of development, and propose a modular structure for the strategy of the digital transformation of an enterprise; develop a conceptual framework for the strategic management of the digital transformation of an enterprise; formulate recommendations for selecting ecosystems that would enhance the enterprise’s competitiveness.

Methods. This study uses general scientific methods of cognition in various aspects to propose approaches and a conceptual model of the corporate digital transformation strategy with allowance for the capabilities of business ecosystems.

Results. The authors show that in the context of the developing digital economy, business ecosystems have become a new way to organize economic activity due to their high efficiency and rapid scaling. There are two major types of ecosystems: centralized (transaction) ecosystems in the form of digital platforms and adaptive (solution) ecosystems formed by the orchestrating company to create a new value proposition by joint efforts of partners from various industries through direct interaction with each other. The study identifies stages in the development of a digital transformation strategy based on enhancing the enterprise’s competitiveness through its participation in the ecosystem(s) and formulate recommendations for selecting ecosystems that would improve the efficiency of the enterprise.

Conclusions. Ecosystem development is a business trend that determines the competitiveness of enterprises and improves the efficiency of their operation in the digital environment. Therefore, under modern conditions, an enterprise should develop its digital transformation strategy based on the creation and/or use of business ecosystems.
USE OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS TO PREDICT TERRITORIAL ECONOMIC INDICATORS
Authors: Ugulava Gocha
Published: August 2020

Modern economic science is unthinkable without predicting and planning the prospects for economic life development. There are many different mathematical and statistical tools in the arsenal of scientists as well as practitioners and economists today in purpose of forecasting. To date, one of the most prominent effective tools for data analytics is artificial neural networks. Artificial Neural Network - is a mathematical mod- el created in the likeness of a human neural network, and its software and hardware implementation. We carried out modeling and forecasting of regional economic indicators using the artificial neural network of the three-layer perceptron architecture. The network architecture and neuron settings were automatically formatted through the programming language R and its package - Neuralnet. During the forecasting phase, the data vectors were presented as data frame in five input parameters (DFI, FAI, EMP, BT, CPI), according to the neural network forecast of the regional gross domestic product (RGDP_NN) was calculated. All data are from the Imereti region and are taken from official GeoStat sources. Forecasting was done at the same time scale (2006-2017) to enable us to compare the predicted values with the actual ones to verify the level of fore- cast accuracy. We also tested the results of the neural network in another way - compared to the predicted values using multiple linear regression on the same data. The accuracy of the predicted values calculated by the neural network was quite high, which was not declining but slightly ahead of the accuracy coefficients of the predicted values obtained through linear regression. Also, the predictive values calculated by the neural network with high adequacy and accuracy were compared with actual, existing ones.
Presented material shows that the use of artificial neural networks for the prediction of territorial economic indicators is reasonable and justified. Their role in analyzing and predicting indicators that are characterized by nonstationarity, dynamism, lack of a definite trend, periodicity, nonlinear structure is especially increased. It is therefore advisable to apply this method in regional economic studies, in predicting territorial development plans, strategies, targets and indicators.
TIME SERIES MODELS FOR FORECASTING EXCHANGE RATES
Authors: Lemonjava Givi
Published: August 2020

This paper investigates the behavior of daily exchange rate of the Georgian Currency LARI (GEL) exchange rate against the USDand EUR. To forecast exchange rates there are numerous models, which tend from very simple to very complicated models for analysis of GEL/USD and GEL/EUR time series variable. The objective of this paper is to com- pare the performance of individual time series models for predictingexchange rates. We will investigate the application of following time series analysis models: moving average, ex- ponential smoothing, double exponential smoothing adjust- ed for trend, time-series decomposition models, and ARIMA class models. The forecasting ability of these models is subsequently assessed using the symmetric loss functions which are the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), the Mean Absolute deviation (MAD), and the Mean Squared error /deviation (MSE/MSD). In some cases, predicting the direction of exchange rate change may be valuable and profitable. Hence, it is reasonable to look at the frequency of the correctpredicted direction of change by used models, for short - FCPCD.
An exchange rate represents the price of one currency in terms of another. It reflects the ratio at which one currency can be exchanged with another currency. Exchange rates forecasting is a very important and challenging subject of finance market, to determine optimal government policies as well as to make business decisions. This is important for all that firms which having their business spread over different countries or for that which raise funds in different currency. Business people mainly use exchange rates forecasting results in following types of decisions like choice currency for invoicing, pricing transactions, borrowing and landing currency choice, and management of open currency positions. The forex market is made up of banks, commercial companies, central banks, investment management firms, hedge funds, and retail forex brokers and investors. Forecasting the short- run fluctuations and direction of change of the currency ex- change rates is important for all these participates.
The main goal of this study is to forecast of future ex- change rate trends by using currency rates time-series, rep- resenting past trends, patterns and waves. The monetary policy of the National Bank of Georgia since 2009 have been followed the inflation targeting regime, where exchange rate regime is floating - change of exchange rate is free. The offi- cial exchange rate of the Georgian GEL against the USD is cal- culated each business day. The official exchange rate of GEL against USD is calculated as the average weighted exchange rate of the registered spot trades on the interbank market functioning within the Bloomberg trade platform. Then, the official exchange rate of GEL against other foreign currencies is determined according to the rate on international markets on the basis of cross-currency exchange rates.
A study to assess the knowledge regarding competency programme on cardio-pulmonary resuscitation of adult among the para medical students of selected paramedical college of, Hapur (U.P.)
Authors: Goyal Manish K.
Published: August 2020

BACKGROUND OFTHE STUDY: Once life begins instincts begin to work and also to preserve it. For life by itself strives to live and not to die,
and that is the normal natural process called life. Meanwhile there are many challenges too. But instincts again seek and find ways and means of
1
preserving that precious little life . Sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) is a leading cause of death among adults in the United States. Cardio pulmonary
resuscitation (CPR) dramatically increases the chance of survival for a victim suffering from sudden cardiac arrest.2
2. OBJECTIVES :I.To assess the knowledge of the subjects regarding cardio pulmonary resuscitation among the Para medical students. II.To find
out the association knowledge scores with their selected demographical variables of the subject among the Para medical students.
MATERIAL METHODS : The study was conducted on 50 paramedical students at Rama Paramedical College, Pilkhuwa, Hapur.Univariate
Descriptive research approach was adopted in this study. Non-experimental descriptive design, simple random sampling (table method) are used.
The instrument used for data collection was structured knowledge questionnaire.
RESULT: Study concludes that majority of paramedical students having 27(54%) poor knowledge, 23 (46%) average knowledge and none of the
adequate knowledge. There was association between socio-demographical data variable with knowledge age, name of the course was significant
and gender, last qualification, year of course, is any one health care provider, is any family member /relatives /friends suffered cardiac arrest ,
previous knowledge about CPR and source of knowledge about CPR was no significant.
CONCLUSION: Study conclude that Rama paramedical college paramedical students having poor and average knowledge regarding the CPR.
Video-Aware Measurement-Based Admission Control
Authors: qadir qahhar muhammad , Kist Alexander A.
Published: August 2020

Using instantaneous aggregate arrival rate as an admission control parameter will contribute to either bandwidth under-utilization or over-utilization. Being bursty in nature and variable in rate, video flows might encode any rate between a range of minimum and maximum values. At the time the decision is made, if the measured rate is at the minimum value, the bandwidth might be over-utilized due to accepting more sessions than the link can accommodate. In contrast, it might be under-utilized if the measured rate is at the maximum value due to rejecting more sessions than the link can accommodate. The burstiness can be taken into account by considering the past history of the traffic. This paper investigates the suitability of the average aggregate arrival rate instead of the instantaneous aggregate arrival rate for video admission decisions. It establishes a mathematical model to predict the relationship between the two rates. Simulation results confirm that the average aggregate arrival rate is a more efficient decision factor for a small number of flows. Although it has no additional advantage for moderate and large number of flows, it still can stabilize the admission decision by smoothing the burstiness of a set of the instantaneous rates (within the measurement period) over a period of time.
GRAMSCI E UMA TEORIA GERAL DO MARXISMO - I
Authors: D'Orsi Angelo
Published: August 2020

O jovem Gramsci imediatamente mostrou uma atitude de simpatia em relação ao marxismo e ao próprio Marx, mas não sem elementos críticos. Além disso, sua formação acadêmica, universitária e pessoal é marcada por uma grande abertura cultural. Ele rejeita qualquer posição de obediência dogmática a Marx, que ele não considera uma divindade para adorar, mas o iniciador de uma jornada crítica voltada para a libertação da humanidade. A dupla revolução na Rússia parece confirmar a análise e previsão de Gramsci: Uma revolução contra a letra de Marx, mas que interpreta seu espírito.
Recebido em 01 de outubro de 2019Aprovado em 28 de outubro de 2019Editado em 15 de dezembro de 2019
GRAMSCI EXCUBITOR (1916-1918)
Authors: Nosella Paolo
Published: August 2020

O texto é uma reflexão sobre as atividades pedagógico-didáticas de Gramsci nos anos de 1916-1918  Sobressaíam as atividades do jornalista político militante, mas, destacavam-se, também, nesse triênio, as de “professor”, excubitor, como ele próprio se definiu do verbo latino excubo, “fazer guarda, velar, vigiar”. Com esse termo, caracterizava seu método pedagógico na coordenação didática do Clube de Vida Moral, criado por ele. Circunstâncias, opções e encargos políticos impediram Gramsci de ser profissionalmente um professor. É fácil, todavia, perceber sua profunda vocação ou postura “professoral” que o acompanhou em todos os momentos da vida, influenciando as outras atividades, levando-o, sobretudo, a reformular o marxismo para filosofia da práxis.
Recebido em 03 de outubro de 2019Aprovado em 14 de novembro de 2019Editado em 15 de dezembro de 2019
EL CONCEPTO DE HEGEMONIA COMO FORMA HISTÓRICA DE LA UNIDAD ENTRE ECONOMÍA Y POLÍTICA. NOTAS PARA UNA RELECTURA DE LOS CUADERNOS DE LA CÁRCEL A PARTIR DEL Q. 22
Authors: Artese Agustin
Published: August 2020

El objetivo de este trabajo es presentar una lectura del concepto de hegemonía como forma histórica de la unidad entre economía y política, a partir del trabajo conceptual sobre los Cuadernos de la cárcel, produciendo una vinculación estrecha con las nociones de crisis y revolución pasiva en torno a las tendencias interpretativas que confluyen en el Q. 22. Seguiremos la hipótesis de que tal cuaderno supone una síntesis histórico-analítica y conceptual: condensa conclusiones sobre el carácter de la recomposición de la dominación tras la crisis de posguerra, presentando los mecanismos de su superación a través de una reorganización de la relación economía-política. Por otro lado, al mismo tiempo, tales desarrollos organizan el peso relativo y jerarquía de los conceptos clave de los Cuadernos.
Recebido em 03 de outubro de 2019Aprovado em 15 de novembro de 2019Editado em 15 de dezembro de 2019
A REVISTA BRASILEIRA DE FILOSOFIA COMO REVISTA TIPO
Authors: Gonçalves Rodrigo Jurucê Mattos
Published: August 2020

Neste artigo analisamos a Revista Brasileira de Filosofia, que era órgão oficial do Instituto Brasileiro de Filosofia, sediado na cidade de São Paulo e liderado pelo jurista paulista Miguel Reale. “Revista Tipo”, conceito desenvolvido por Antonio Gramsci nos Cadernos do Cárcere, é um importante instrumental teórico, com o qual problematizamos a dinâmica editorial deste que foi um significativo aparelho privado de hegemonia da intelectualidade autocrática de São Paulo, no período entre ditaduras (1945-1964). Analisamos ainda um aspecto fundamental deste aparelho conservador: o antimarxismo.

Recebido em 17 de outubro de 2019Aprovado em 15 de novembro de 2019Editado em 15 de dezembro de 2019
GRAMSCI COMO BASE PARA ESTUDAR A RELAÇÃO ENTRE TEORIA E PRÁTICA EM INTELECTUAIS
Authors: Santaella Gonçalves Rodrigo
Published: August 2020

A hipótese central do texto é que a produção teórica de Antonio Gramsci pode contribuir bastante, do ponto de vista metodológico, para pesquisas relacionadas à compreensão da relação entre teoria e prática em intelectuais. Partindo de uma sistematização da forma como Gramsci trata a unidade entre teoria e prática, demonstramos como o marxista sardo defende a identidade entre filosofia, história e política. Argumentamos que essa identidade pode ser utilizada como premissa para o estudo dos intelectuais, o que implica estudar suas ideias constantemente articuladas com o contexto histórico no qual está inserido, mas também com suas atividades propriamente políticas. As três coisas são, na verdade, uma só. Por fim, traçamos uma hipótese geral que relaciona contextos de crise e transição com condições mais favoráveis para a fusão entre teoria e prática nos intelectuais.

Recebido em 10 de outubro de 2019Aprovado em 15 de novembro de 2019Editado em 15 de dezembro de 2019
GRAMSCI EXCUBITOR (1916-1918)
Authors: Nosella Paolo
Published: August 2020

O texto é uma reflexão sobre as atividades pedagógico-didáticas de Gramsci nos anos de 1916-1918  Sobressaíam as atividades do jornalista político militante, mas, destacavam-se, também, nesse triênio, as de “professor”, excubitor, como ele próprio se definiu do verbo latino excubo, “fazer guarda, velar, vigiar”. Com esse termo, caracterizava seu método pedagógico na coordenação didática do Clube de Vida Moral, criado por ele. Circunstâncias, opções e encargos políticos impediram Gramsci de ser profissionalmente um professor. É fácil, todavia, perceber sua profunda vocação ou postura “professoral” que o acompanhou em todos os momentos da vida, influenciando as outras atividades, levando-o, sobretudo, a reformular o marxismo para filosofia da práxis.

Recebido em 03 de outubro de 2019Aprovado em 14 de novembro de 2019Editado em 15 de dezembro de 2019
UMA AVALIAÇÃO DAS LEITURAS FILOLÓGICAS DA OBRA DE GRAMSCI E SEUS POSSÍVEIS APORTES PARA AS ESTRATÉGIAS POLÍTICAS
Authors: Balsa Javier
Published: August 2020

Este artigo analisa os principais elementos da leitura filológica da obra de Antonio Gramsci e a seus possíveis aportes para pensar a estratégia política. Na primeira parte do artigo, são sintetizadas as três grandes inovações que essa leitura há gerado: a precisão da concepção gramsciana de objetividade e o abandono da metáfora estrutura-superestrutura; a aclaração da relação entre sociedade civil e sociedade política, e a conceptualização da hegemonia como relações de forças e como luta pela hegemonia, e a revalorização do papel da construção da subjetividade nessas disputas, e a ideia de que existem duas lógicas da hegemonia. E, na segunda parte, se colocam algumas hipóteses das consequências para a política dessas inovações.

Recebido em 16 de setembro de 2019Aprovado em 15 de outubro de 2019Editado em 15 de dezembro de 2019
Tecnologias não invasivas: conhecimento das mulheres para o protagonismo no trabalho de parto
Authors: Bernardo da Silva Maria Regina , Dias Armada e Silva Halene Cristina , Dos Santos Camila , Da Silva Monteiro Herica , Estevam Priscila , Xavier dos Santos Aline Ingrid
Published: August 2020

Objetivo: Verificar se as tecnologias não invasivas apresentadas as gestantes durante o pré-natal promovem o protagonismo no pré-parto e parto. Metodologia: Estudo de campo do tipo exploratório-descritivo com abordagem qualitativa, Parecer n.º 3.208.521. Resultados: Foram feitas 16 entrevistas com mulheres jovens, 68,75%referiram ser solteiras, com um filho (62,5%) e parto nos últimos 12 meses. Verificou-se que as mulheres vinculam tecnologias não invasivas ao conceito de parto humanizado; que a presença de um acompanhante se tornou demanda social e vai de encontro ao direito e protagonismo da mulher no momento do parto; que a incidência dos procedimentos invasivos diminuí­ram, porém continua a existir e causar a insatisfação das mulheres. As tecnologias alternativas reconhecidas foram a deambulação, a movimentação, o banho, a música e chamou atenção para o não reconhecimento da bola suí­ça, recomendado na rede Cegonha. Por fim, a satisfação das mulheres esta interligada a uma experiência mais tranquila e natural, enquanto a insatisfação a utilização de procedimentos invasivos, a falta de orientação e acompanhante. ainda persiste. Conclusão: Observou-se que o enfermeiro deverá focar mais em ações educativas voltadas ao reconhecimento das tecnologias não invasivas, durante o pré-natal, tornando as mulheres aptas a tornarem-se protagonistas do ato de gerar outro ser humano e de seu próprio corpo.
Vivência de mães com filhos diagnosticados com sí­ndrome de down
Authors: Lopes Benevides Carla Beatriz , Bellini Cardoso Luana Cristina , Fernandes Cardoso da Silva Rodrigues Thamires , Da Cruz Scardoelli Márcia Glaciela , Bossolani Charlo Patrí­cia , Trindade Radovanovic Cremilde Aparecida
Published: August 2020

Objetivo: compreender a vivência de mães de filhos com sí­ndrome de Down. Método: pesquisa descritiva e exploratória, qualitativa, desenvolvida com mães de crianças diagnosticadas com Sí­ndrome de Down acompanhadas pela Associação de Pais e Amigos dos Excepcionais. A coleta de dados se deu por meio de entrevistas por meio da técnica de história de vida oral. A análise de conteúdo subsidiou a análise dos dados. Resultados: participaram do estudo, seis mães de crianças com Sí­ndrome de Down. Da análise emergiram três categorias: Vivenciando o diagnóstico de Sí­ndrome de Down; as transformações no cotidiano e suas implicações; e, A assistência de saúde dispensadas as mães com crianças diagnosticadas com Sí­ndrome de Down. Conclusão: pode-se compreender as vivências de mães de crianças diagnosticadas com Sí­ndrome de Down. Identificou-se emoções e sentimentos experimentados no momento do diagnóstico, os quais perpassaram durante todo o desenvolvimento do filho e incidiram sobre o processo de maternagem.
Sí­ndrome de fournier: ações do enfermeiro, uma revisão literária
Authors: Da Silva Freitas Everton , De Sousa Duarte Franciédina , Da Silva Maia Araújo Kellen Maria , Brixner Janine , Alves Marques Éder
Published: August 2020

A Sí­ndrome de Fournier é um processo infeccioso severo que atinge os tecidos moles com avanço acelerado, possui etiologia polimicrobiana, com presença predominante de micro-organismos aeróbicos e anaeróbicos gram positivos e negativos. A finalidade deste trabalho é identificar por meio de revisão bibliográfica o conhecimento e atuação do enfermeiro sobre a sí­ndrome de founier para que a sistematização de enfermagem seja executada de uma forma eficaz, prestando um atendimento eficiente ao paciente. Foi realizada revisão literária entre os anos de 2009 a 2019. Foram enfatizados a aplicabilidade da sistematização da assistência de enfermagem no tratamento, diagnóstico, complicações de acordo com a atuação do enfermeiro. Verificou-se que o tratamento incluiu a antibioticoterapia de amplo espectro e a cobertura mais indicada e utilizada foi í  papaí­na. A oxigenoterapia hiperbárica foi aliada ao tratamento, porém questionada por alguns autores. Conclui- se que, de acordo com a revisão bibliográfica, não há dados publicados suficientes para realizar a análise.