ANALISIS PENGARUH PERUBAHAN VARIABEL MAKROEKONOMI TERHADAP RETURN SAHAM SYARIAH PT. TELEKOMUNIKASI INDONESIA, TBK. PERIODE 2011-2013
Authors: SUNAYAH SITI , IBRAHIM ZAINI 
Published: November 2018

Abstract. Analysis on Effect of Changes in Macroeconomic Variables Return against Sharia Stock at PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk. 2011-2013. Macroeconomic variables used in this study is the exchange rate, interest rates and inflation. These variables tried measurable macroeconomic impact on the level of sharia stock returns from PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk. during 2011-2013. The data of exchange rate, inflation, and interest rates obtained from the site of Bank Indonesia (BI), and the data of sharia stock returns PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia from the site of Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) as well as on the site of Bank Indonesia (BI). The instrument used in this research is multiple linear regression and software eviews 7. The results obtained that all independent variables have no effect on the dependent variable partially (alone), but simultaneously (together) three independent variables affect the dependent variable. With fault tolerance of 5% exchange rate, interest rates and inflation are able to explain changes in stock return of sharia PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk amounted to 8.6%. Every increase in the exchange rate of 1% would increase the amount of return PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk as much as 1.76%, whereas any increase in interest rates by 1% will increase the stock return of sharia PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk as much as 31.4%, then any increase in inflation of 1% would raise the stock return of sharia PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk as much as 0.086%. Thus, the independent variables are more dominant on stock returns PT. Telkom is in bank interest rates.Abstrak. Analisis Pengaruh Perubahan Variabel Makroekonomi Terhadap Return Saham Syariah PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk. Periode 2011-2013. Variabel makroekonomi yang dimaksud dalam penelitian ini meliputi nilai tukar rupiah, suku bunga dan inflasi. Ketiga variabel makroekonomi tersebut dicoba diukur pengaruhnya terhadap tingkat return saham syariah dari PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, tbk. selama periode 2011-2013. Data kurs, inflasi, dan suku bunga diperoleh dari situs Bank Indonesia (BI), dan data return saham syariah PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia diambil dari situs Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) serta dari situs Bank Indonesia (BI). Alat analisis yang digunakan yaitu regresi linier berganda dengan bantuan software eviews 7. Hasil yang diperoleh menyatakan semua variabel bebas tidak berpengaruh terhadap variabel terikat secara parsial (sendiri-sendiri), namun secara simultan (bersama-sama) ketiga variabel bebas berpengaruh terhadap variabel terikat. Dengan toleransi kesalahan sebesar 5% nilai tukar rupiah, suku bunga dan inflasi mampu menjelaskan perubahan return saham syariah PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk sebesar 8,6%. Setiap peningkatan nilai tukar rupiah sebesar 1% akan menaikan besarnya return PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk sebanyak 1,76%, sedangkan setiap peningkatan suku bunga sebesar 1% akan menaikan return saham syariah PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk sebanyak 31,4%, selanjutnya setiap peningkatan inflasi sebesar 1% akan menaikan return saham syariah PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk sebanyak 0,086%. Dengan demikian, variabel bebas yang lebih dominan terhadap return saham PT. Telkom adalah suku bunga perbankan.