Detection of cancer signal for over 50 AJCC cancer types with a multi-cancer early-detection test.
Authors: Yimer Habte Aragaw , Tang Wai Hong Wilson , Tummala Mohan K. , Shao Spencer , Chung Gina G. , Couch Fergus , Gao Jingjing , Venn Oliver , Kurtzman Kathryn , Swanton Charles , Clement Jessica M. 
Published: June 2021

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Background: The Circulating Cell-free Genome Atlas study (CCGA; NCT02889978) previously demonstrated that a blood-based multi-cancer early detection (MCED) test utilizing cell-free DNA (cfDNA) sequencing in combination with machine learning could detect cancer signals across multiple cancer types and predict cancer signal origin. Cancer classes were defined within the CCGA study for sensitivity reporting. Separately, cancer types defined by the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) criteria, which outline unique staging requirements and reflect a distinct combination of anatomic site, histology and other biologic features, were assigned to each cancer participant using the same source data for primary site of origin and histologic type. Here, we report CCGA ‘cancer class’ designation and AJCC ‘cancer type’ assignment within the third and final CCGA3 validation substudy to better characterize the diversity of tumors across which a cancer signal could be detected with the MCED test that is nearing clinical availability. Methods: CCGA is a prospective, multicenter, case-control, observational study with longitudinal follow-up (overall population N = 15,254). Plasma cfDNA from evaluable samples was analyzed using a targeted methylation bisulfite sequencing assay and a machine learning approach, and test performance, including sensitivity, was assessed. For sensitivity reporting, CCGA cancer classes were assigned to cancer participants using a combination of the type of primary cancer reported by the site and tumor characteristics abstracted from the site pathology reports by GRAIL pathologists. Each cancer participant also was separately assigned an AJCC cancer type based on the same source data using AJCC staging manual (8th edition) classifications. Results: A total of 4077 participants comprised the independent validation set with confirmed status (cancer: n = 2823; non-cancer: n = 1254 with non-cancer status confirmed at year-one follow-up). Sensitivity was reported for 24 cancer classes (sample sizes ranged from 10 to 524 participants), as well as an “other” cancer class (59 participants). According to AJCC classification, the MCED test was found to detect cancer signals across 50+ AJCC cancer types, including some types not present in the training set; some cancer types had limited representation. Conclusions: This MCED test that is nearing clinical availability and was evaluated in the third CCGA substudy detected cancer signals across 50+ AJCC cancer types. Reporting CCGA cancer classes and AJCC cancer types demonstrates the ability of the MCED test to detect cancer signals across a set of diverse cancer types representing a wide range of biologic characteristics, including cancer types that the classifier has not been trained on, and supports its use on a population-wide scale. Clinical trial information: NCT02889978.