Predictive value of neutrophil to apolipoprotein A1 ratio in patients with acute ischaemic stroke
Authors: Chen Chao , Li Shengqi , Sun Fangyue , Chen Yiqun , Qiu Haojie , Huang Jiaqi , Jin Yining , Huang Jiexi , Xu Jiahan , Jiang Zerui , Li Kun , Wang Yanchu , Lin Hai 
Published: March 2024

The neutrophil to apolipoprotein A1 ratio has emerged as a possible prognostic biomarker in different medical conditions. Nonetheless, the predictive potential of neutrophil to apolipoprotein A1 ratio in determining the 3-month prognosis of acute ischaemic stroke patients who undergo intravenous thrombolysis has yet to be fully acknowledged. In this study, 196 acute ischaemic stroke patients with recombinant tissue plasminogen activator and 133 healthy controls were included. Meanwhile, we incorporated a total of 386 non-thrombolytic acute ischaemic stroke patients. The acute ischaemic stroke patients with recombinant tissue plasminogen activator were divided into four groups based on quartiles of neutrophil to apolipoprotein A1 ratio. The association between neutrophil to apolipoprotein A1 ratio and the 3-month prognosis was evaluated through univariate and multivariate regression analyses. Additionally, subgroup analyses were conducted to investigate the predictive value of neutrophil to apolipoprotein A1 ratio in different patient populations. Adverse outcomes were defined as a modified Rankin Scale score of 3–6. The study findings revealed a significant association between elevated neutrophil to apolipoprotein A1 ratio levels and poor prognosis in acute ischaemic stroke patients. In the highest quartile of neutrophil to apolipoprotein A1 ratio levels (Q4), after controlling for age, gender, admission National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, blood urea nitrogen and stroke subtypes, the odds ratio for adverse outcomes at 3 months was 13.314 (95% confidence interval: 2.878–61.596, P = 0.001). An elevated neutrophil to apolipoprotein A1 ratio value was found to be associated with a poor prognosis in acute ischaemic stroke patients, regardless of whether they received recombinant tissue plasminogen activator treatment or not. The new model, which incorporating neutrophil to apolipoprotein A1 ratio into the conventional model, demonstrated a statistically significant improvement in discriminatory power and risk reclassification for 3-month poor outcomes in acute ischaemic stroke patients treated with recombinant tissue plasminogen activator. The new model exhibited a categorical net reclassification index (P = 0.035) of 12.9% and an integrated discrimination improvement (P = 0.013) of 5.2%. Subgroup analyses indicated that the predictive value of neutrophil to apolipoprotein A1 ratio differed across stroke subtypes. Neutrophil to apolipoprotein A1 ratio is a potential biomarker for predicting the prognosis of acute ischaemic stroke patients. The clinical implications of our findings are significant, as early identification and intervention in high-risk patients can improve their outcomes. However, further studies are required to validate our results and elucidate the underlying mechanisms of the association between neutrophil to apolipoprotein A1 ratio and poor prognosis in acute ischaemic stroke patients.