Uric Acid as a Predictor of Immunoglobulin A Nephropathy Progression: A Cohort Study of 1965 Cases
Authors: Zhu Bin , Yu Dong-rong , Lv Ji-cheng , Lin Yi , Li Qiang , Yin Jia-zhen , Du Yuan-yuan , Tang Xuan-li , Mao Li-chan , Li Qiu-fen , Sun Yue , Liu Ling , Li Xian-fa , Fei Dan , Wei Xin-yi , Zhu Cai-feng , Cheng Xiao-xia , Chen Hong-yu , Wang Yong-jun 
Published: August 2018

<b><i>Background:</i></b> The role of serum uric acid (SUA) level in the progression of Immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) remains controversial. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> In a cohort of 1,965 cases with biopsy-proven IgAN, we examined the associations of SUA concentration with the primary outcome of a composite of all-cause mortality or kidney failure (defined as a reduction of estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] by 40% from baseline, requirements for dialysis and transplantation), or the outcome of kidney failure alone, assessed using Cox and logistic regression models, respectively, with adjustment for confounders. <b><i>Results:</i></b> At baseline, the mean age was 33.37 ± 11.07 years, eGFR was 101.30 ± 30.49 mL/min/1.73 m<sup>2</sup>, and mean uric acid level was 5.32 ± 1.76 mg/dL. During a median of 7-year follow-up, 317 cases reached the composite outcome of all-cause mortality (5 deaths) or kidney failure (36 cases of dialysis, 5 cases of renal transplantation, and 271 cases with reduction of eGFR by 40% from baseline). After adjustment for demographic and IgAN specific covariates and treatments, a higher quartile of uric acid was linearly associated with an increased risk of the primary outcome (highest versus lowest quartile, hazard ratio [HR] 2.39; 95% CI 1.52–3.75) and kidney failure (highest versus lowest quartile, HR 2.55; 95% CI 1.62–4.01) in the Cox proportional hazards regression models. In the continuous analysis, a 1 mg/dL greater uric acid level was associated with 16% increased risk of primary outcome (HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.07–1.25) and 17% increased risk of kidney failure (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.08–1.27), respectively, in the fully adjusted model. The multivariate ­logistic regression analyses for the sensitive analyses drew consistent results. In the subgroup analyses, significant interactions were detected that patients with mean arterial pressure (MAP) &#x3c; 90 mm Hg or mesangial hypercellularity had a higher association of SUA with the incidence of the primary outcome than those with MAP ≥90 mm Hg or those without mesangial hypercellularity respectively. Hyperuricemia was not significantly associated with the risk of developing the primary outcome in elder patients (≥32 years old), patients with eGFR &#x3c; 90 mL/min or with tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis. <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> SUA level may be positively associated with the progression of IgAN. It was noticeable that the association of hyperuricemia with IgAN progression was less significant in patients with elder age, lower eGFR, or tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis, which may be due to some more confounders in association with the IgA progression in these patients. Future prospective studies are warranted to confirm these findings and to investigate the underlying mechanisms.