Abstract 2159: A pretreatment blood-based proteomic biomarker for enhanced decision-making in non-small cell lung cancer
Authors: Harel Michal , Christopoulos Petros , Lahav Coren , Sela Itamar , Dahan Nili , Reinmuth Niels , Koch Ina , Zer Alona , Moskovitz Mor , Levy-Barda Adva , Lotem Michal , Nechushtan Hovav , Katzenelson Rivka , Agbarya Abed , Abu-Amna Mahmoud , Gottfried Maya , Wolf Ido , Tepper Ella , Lou Yanyan , Leibowitz Raya , Dicker Adam P. , Gandara David , Carbone David P. 
Published: April 2023

Introduction: Treatment modality selection for metastatic NSCLC patients (immunotherapy alone vs. combination of immunotherapy with chemotherapy) relies mainly on determining the programmed cell death 1 (PD-L1) expression levels in the tumor. However, available assays are only moderately predictive. Here we set to develop PROphet®, a plasma proteomics-based predictive model for informing treatment decisions for NSCLC patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI)-based therapy.

Methods: Pre-ICI plasma samples were collected in 12 centers in a clinical trial (NCT04056247) from 367 advanced-stage NSCLC patients. Clinical benefit (CB) was assessed at 12 months based on the occurrence of progression-free survival (PFS) until this time point. Deep proteomic profiling of the plasma samples was performed using aptamer-based technology. A novel machine learning model was developed to determine the CB probability for each patient, and the performance was successfully evaluated on an independent validation set, followed by training and prediction over the entire cohort using cross-validation. The resulting PROphet® score (positive or negative) was determined by setting the median CB rate probability as a threshold. The patients were divided into four subgroups based on their PD-L1 expression level combined with their PROphet® score prediction, and the overall survival (OS) was examined for each subgroup.

Results: The PROphet® computational model was evaluated in a blinded manner on a subset of 85 patients and displayed strong predictive capability with area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) plot of 0.78 (p-value = 5.00e-05), outperforming a PD-L1-based predictive model (AUC = 0.62; p-value 2.76e-01). When combining PROphet® score with PD-L1 expression levels, four different outcome patterns were identified: (i) Patients with PD-L1 ≥50% and PROphet® negative score, who displayed significantly longer OS when treated with ICI-chemotherapy combination therapy compared to ICI monotherapy and may consider combination therapy. (ii) Patients with PD-L1 ≥50% and PROphet® positive score, who benefit similarly from either treatment modalities, and may consider monotherapy to avoid the potential toxicity of the combination therapy. (iii) Patients with PD-L1&lt;50% and PROphet® negative score, who do not benefit from either treatment modalities and may consider chemotherapy alone or treatment beyond standard of care. (iv) Patients with PD-L1&lt;50% and PROphet® positive score who benefit from combination therapy.

Conclusions: Altogether, the PROphet® model, when combined with PD-L1 test, stratifies the patients into four subgroups, providing additional resolution to the PD-L1 biomarker currently used to guide treatment selection. Furthermore, the model accurately predicts CB at 12 months based on proteomic analysis of a pre-treatment plasma sample.

Citation Format: Michal Harel, Petros Christopoulos, Coren Lahav, Itamar Sela, Nili Dahan, Niels Reinmuth, Ina Koch, Alona Zer, Mor Moskovitz, Adva Levy-Barda, Michal Lotem, Hovav Nechushtan, Rivka Katzenelson, Abed Agbarya, Mahmoud Abu-Amna, Maya Gottfried, Ido Wolf, Ella Tepper, Yanyan Lou, Raya Leibowitz, Adam P. Dicker, David Gandara, David P. Carbone. A pretreatment blood-based proteomic biomarker for enhanced decision-making in non-small cell lung cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2023; Part 1 (Regular and Invited Abstracts); 2023 Apr 14-19; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(7_Suppl):Abstract nr 2159.