bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025 huggingface dataset:
Cinsel İstismar Türü Olarak Ensest: Atlıkarınca Filmi Örneği
Authors: Bardakcı Şükrü , Özkan Bardakcı Mukadder , Kaya Çağatay Serkan
Published: August 2024

Ensest cinsel istismar türlerindendir. Genellikle çocuk yaşta başlayan ensest istismar ilerleyen yaşlarda da devam etmektedir. Ensestin çocuklar için yıkıcı tarafı aile olarak gördükleri kişiler tarafından gelmesidir. Aile birçok kişinin en güvende hissettiği kurumdur. Olumlu olumsuz iyi kötü tüm anıların yaşandığı zaman zaman sıkıntıların birlikte aşıldığı kurumdur. Böylesi önemli bir kurumda istismar edilen çocuk travma yaşamaktadır. Ensest ilişkiye baktığımızda diğer istismar türlerine göre daha az çalışmanın göze çarptığı görülmektedir. Ensest aile içerisinde gerçekleştiği için açığa çıkma olasılığı daha düşüktür. Bu sebeple ortaya çıkması zordur. Diğer bir sebebi ise istismarcılar çocuğu istismar ederken istismarın ne olduğunu anlamayacak yaştayken istismar etmektedir. Diğer yandan istismar edilen cinselliğin ne olduğunu bilse de istismarcı tarafından tehdit edilmektedir. Tehdit edilmese bile ailesinden biri olduğu için gün yüzüne çıkarmamaktadır. Tüm bu sebeplerle ensest ilişkiyle ilgili çalışmalar azdır. Bu çalışmada babası tarafından cinsel istismara uğrayan kızın hayatını ele alan Atlıkarınca filmi nitel araştırma yöntemlerinden biri olan doküman analizi yöntemi ile analiz edilmeye çalışılmıştır. Özellikle filmin istismar sahneleri tekrar tekrar izlenerek analiz edilmiştir. İstismar sahneleri alan yazın göz önünde bulundurularak analiz edilmiştir. Yine analiz sonucunda alan yazında yapılan çalışmalarla olan benzerliklere ve farklılıklara bakılmıştır.
IMPORTANCIA DE LA CRIMINOLOGÍA CLÍNICA COMO ÁREA DE ESTUDIO Y SU APLICACIÓN EN LA SOCIEDAD
Authors: Caballero Abdúl
Published: August 2024

El presente artículo científico tiene como objetivo mostrar la importancia de la criminología clínica como área de estudio en las universidades, así mismo aborda su tarea como un aliado para la prevención de la violencia en la sociedad. Se revisaron las publicaciones de los académicos más destacados del área en criminología en México y las diversas teorías científicas sobre el tema de estudios, con el objetivo de conocer las actitudes y aptitudes que debe de desarrollar un criminólogo para realizar la práctica clínica. El artículo muestra las dificultades que hay que superar por parte de los criminólogos para realizar una intervención clínica profesional y eficaz. El lector conocerá las herramientas necesarias para aplicar una entrevista clínica criminológica, su estudio, diagnóstico y recomendar un posible tratamiento a la persona que lo necesite. Por último, este artículo nos muestra una intervención para la prevención de la conducta violenta, brindando un espacio respetando los derechos y la integridad de las personas que por algún motivo cometieron un delito.
O esporte no Território de Identidade Sertão Produtivo da Bahia: um estudo da agenda das políticas públicas municipais
Authors: Santana Jaylma Rocha Ribeiro , Reis Nadson , Santos Mariângela Ribeiro dos , Athayde Pedro
Published: August 2024

O presente artigo adota como objeto de pesquisa a agenda das políticas públicas para o esporte na Bahia, com enfoque no Território de Identidade Sertão Produtivo, a partir de 2010. Tem como objetivo identificar e discutir a agenda governamental, programas, projetos e ações para o esporte dos executivos municipais do Sertão Produtivo. Como recurso metodológico utilizou-se a pesquisa teórica – revisão narrativa de literatura – e documental. Os resultados apontam que a agenda priorizou ações como: construção, manutenção e recuperação de Equipamentos Esportivos; promoção e apoio a eventos esportivos amadores; incentivo ao esporte de participação e inclusão social; incentivo ao esporte educacional/escolar; incentivo a novas práticas desportivas; e incentivo ao paradesporto. As duas primeiras foram frequentes nos instrumentos de planejamento governamental analisados e, por isso, são prioridade no Território de Identidade estudado. Afirma-se, ainda, que falta organização e definição na agenda governamental no tocante às políticas públicas de esporte no contexto investigado.
Sustainable Project Management in Denmark - Conceptualizations and Recommendations
Authors: Lundahl Eva , Harboe Peter G.
Published: August 2024

Project managers play a key role in the implementation of change pro-cesses, including the transition to sustainable business practices. De-spite the mandate to integrate sustainability into organizational practic-es in both public and private enterprises, many Danish project manag-ers either do not view sustainability as relevant to their practice, or do not possess the necessary knowledge to implement sustainability in their practice. Scandinavian studies with specific recommendations on how to apply sustainability goals to projects currently do not exist. On the other hand, a fair amount of English-language literature on the sub-ject has been published. To better understand if international research can be applied to Danish project management practice, we conducted a scoping review to answer two research questions: 1. How is sustain-able project management conceptualized in the literature? 2. What themes exist in the literature regarding sustainable project manage-ment practice? Based on the answers to these two questions, we de-veloped a set of recommendations for how Danish project-based or-ganizations can conceptualize and implement sustainable project management. Initially, we collected 188 articles and reports on the subject. The number of materials was then reduced after applying sev-eral quality criteria, and the remaining 84 articles were thematically an-alyzed. We identified five commonly used definitions of sustainable project management and can conclude that although the concept has evolved, we cannot discern a precise and usable definition. We there-fore propose a new definition of sustainable project management in this article. Based on the literature, we identified six organizational ar-eas where sustainable project management is meaningful. On this ba-sis, we present a series of recommendations on how project managers in Denmark and other countries can understand and tackle sustainabil-ity in a practice-oriented and meaningful way, both in relation to steer-ing groups, their own work as project managers, project management methods, and the establishment of measurable sustainability indicators in projects.
Outcomes and Consequences of Workplace Bullying Incidents: An Indigenous South African Perspective
Authors: Mabasa Fumani Donald , Maluka Harriet Rivalani
Published: August 2024

The purpose of the study was to determine the outcomes and consequences of workplace bullying incidences for the victim, bystander and organisation using South African indigenous perspective. Most studies on workplace bullying in South Africa were conducted using western approach with very limited use of indigenous understanding of the phenomenon. Semi-structured interviews were conducted amongst a combination of purposive sample and snowball sample of 21 indigenous employees. Therefore, a qualitative research approach was used. Findings of the study have identified three outcomes and consequences of workplace bullying through a qualitative research approach that contributed rich and insightful data. These three outcomes and consequences of workplace bullying are high turnover rate, compromised employee wellbeing and compromised performance. It is clear from this study’s findings that workplace bullying incidences may result in negative outcomes and consequences. In practice, these findings can serve as an eye-opener and help organisations and institutions to initiate and establish anti-bullying policies that take into account the unique nature of indigenous people. This study emphasises that anti-bullying policies can play a significant role in combating workplace bullying. It is therefore suggested that the government enacts a law that addresses bullying rather than dealing with it through the channels of other negative behaviour such as harassment, which can serve as a guideline for handling workplace bullying.
Implementation of Grasp (Guide Reading And Summary Procedure) Strategy in Descriptive Text on Students Reading Comprehension
Authors: Maizera Anisa , Roza Veni , Reflinda Reflinda , Melani Melyann
Published: August 2024

This research was conducted due to several problems that found by the researcher. This research was aimed to find out the implementation of GRASP (Gude Reading and Summary Procedure) in descriptive text on students reading comprehension at eleventh grade in SMAN 1 Baso. Based on preliminary research, there some problem in teaching reading comprehension that was students were difficult finding main idea, students were bored and lazy to read the text in English, students were difficult understanding the meanings. One of strategy in teaching reading comprehension that can be used is GRASP strategy. Indeed, the researcher wanted to find out how the teacher implemented this strategy in teaching reading. The design of the research was descriptive qualitative research. The data was collected by doing observation using observation checklist, and interview with English teacher at SMAN 1 Baso. The data analyze by using qualitative data analysis by Miles and Huberman. The researcher collected the data, reduced the data, presented the data, and made a conclusion. The researcher found out the teacher implemented the GRASP strategy perfectly and clearly. It is based on the first three classes all of the procedures of GRASP strategy are done perfectly and clearly.  Otherwise, in the last class there are three procedures that cannot be done. GRASP strategy can’t be used in all kind of the texts but descriptive text suitable for this strategy. This strategy worth it to use in teaching reading comprehension and based on observation in four classes, the teacher success to implemented the GRASP strategy in the classroom.
Picnic bekräftigt 700-Millionen-Ziel
Authors: Stockburger Manfred
Published: August 2024

Picnic kommt voran auf dem Weg in die schwarzen Zahlen. In den Niederlanden erzielte der Lieferdienst im Weihnachtsgeschäft 2023 ein positives Ebitda. Für Deutschland erwartet das Unternehmen schnellere Fortschritte.
Über den Dächern von Paris
Authors: Sieg Klaus
Published: August 2024

Auf einer Messehalle in der französischen Hauptstadt produziert eine der größten Stadtfarmen Europas tonnenweise Gemüse. Abnehmer sind Restaurants und Privatleute. Doch den Hauptumsatz macht der Betreiber mit Führungen und Events. Klaus Sieg
Gute Noten nur für Lidl
Authors: Konrad Jörg , Nusser Bernd
Published: August 2024

Nach der Auswertung von mehr als sechs Millionen Kassenbons stellt die Preisvergleichs-App Smhaggle in ihrer aktuellen Performance-Analyse dem bundesdeutschen Lebensmittelhandel erneut ein schlechtes Zeugnis aus. Mit einer Ausnahme.
Instrumentos de medição dos cuidados prestados à criança sadia: revisão integrativa
Authors: Oliveira Maria Clarissa Ferreira de , Pontes Cleide Maria , Frazão Iracema da Silva , Melo Elsa Maria de Oliveira Pinheiro de , Lima Ana Paula Esmeraldo , Leal Luciana Pedrosa
Published: August 2024

O cuidado expressa a humanidade do ser. O ato de cuidar e ser cuidado inicia-se ainda na infância e perpassa por toda a existência humana, sofrendo interferências culturais, econômicas, de crenças e valores que variam de acordo com o ambiente e com as redes sociais de apoio disponíveis. Durante muitos anos, as crianças foram tratadas como adultos em miniatura, não havia a especificidade dos cuidados por faixa etária, nem eram considerados os aspectos relacionados ao crescimento e desenvolvimento infantil. Na contemporaneidade, a infância é compreendida como um período singular de mudanças físicas e psicológicas, no qual se inicia o processo de construção da personalidade e condutas humanas. O crescimento e o desenvolvimento infantil, portanto, devem ser considerados e preservados por meio de cuidados específicos prestados pela sua rede social.
Comparison of Post–Operative Hydrothorax in Supra 12th Rib Versus Infra 12th Rib Access in Prone Mini Percutaneous Nephrolithotomy
Authors: Sajjad Khan  , Sohail Raziq  , Waqas Ahmed Ranjha  , Aamer Nadeem  , Mujhaid Ali Khoso  , Huma Asad
Published: August 2024

Objective: To determine the risk of post-operative hydrothorax in supra-12th rib versus infra-12th rib access in prone Mini Percutaneous Nephrolithotomy.
Study Design: Quasi-experimental study.
Place and Duration of Study: Armed Forces Institutes of Urology, Rawalpindi Pakistan from Jun to Dec 2022.
Methodology: In our study, 110 patients underwent assessment for indication of Percutaneous Nephrolithotomy, level of access, anatomy, site of puncture, incidence of hydrothorax, and requirement of closed-tube thoracostomy.
Results: Of the 110 patients who underwent prone Percutaneous Nephrolithotomy, 55(50%) patients underwent infra 12th rib tract approach (Group-1), and the rest, 55(50%) underwent supra 12th rib tract approach (Group-2) depending upon the location of stones, anatomy of pelvicalyceal system and stone burden. Overall, 10(9.09%) patients developed post- Percutaneous Nephrolithotomy Hydrothorax; out of these ten patients, 8(14.5%) patients were approached from the supra 12th rib tract and the remaining 2(3.6%) patients were approached from the infra 12th rib tract (p-value=0.047).
Conclusion: The study concludes that in prone Percutaneous Nephrolithotomy, infra-12th rib tract renal access is safer than supra-12th rib renal access regarding chest complications (Hydrothorax).
O ACORDO DE NÃO PERSECUÇÃO PENAL E A SUA EXTENSÃO AOS CRIMES DE CORRUPÇÃO
Authors: Júnior Omar Luiz Costa
Published: August 2024

This study has the general objective to make explicit about the Criminal Non-Prosecution Agreement, explaining the possibility of extending its scope to the crime of corruption for better satisfaction of the parties involved in the dispute. It is also intended to present the Criminal Non-Prosecution Agreement institute as an instrument at the service of criminal consensual justice, highlighting its origin and historical evolution, concept and application assumptions, legal nature, legal provision in Brazilian law and applicable principles; comparatively analyze the Criminal Non-Prosecution Agreement provided for in Brazilian legislation with other similar institutes existing in the legal system, with a view to tracing similarities, differences or models to be followed; study the Criminal Non-Prosecution Agreement institute, highlighting the requirements for its application, as well as the rules established for its exclusion, the legal conditions of the agreement, procedure, and requirements of existence, validity and effectiveness, specifically analyzing the possibility of using the maximum penalty in abstract, in perspective or in concrete as a parameter for the Criminal Non-Prosecution Agreement to the detriment of the minimum penalty in abstract, currently verified; analyze the feasibility of enlarging/expanding the Criminal Non-Prosecution Agreement for application to the crime of corruption in view of the principle of prohibition of poor protection of protected legal interests. Regarding the methodology, the procedures adopted in the investigation process allow classifying the research as exploratory, with the use of bibliographic and documentary survey techniques for data collection. To this end, scientific articles, dissertations, theses and books already published on the subject were used, as well as laws and other relevant documents, which brought information considered relevant to the understanding of the institute’s proposal. The method adopted during the preparation of the final text of this dissertation was the investigative-deductive, with critical analysis of the data, and a qualitative approach to the problem.
Generative Reproduction of Agapanthus orienalis (L.) Hoffmanns. II seed germination
Authors:   Universidad Popular Autónoma del Estado de Puebla, Borys, H Leszczyñska , Borys M. W. ,   Universidad Popular Autónoma del Estado de Puebla, Galván S J. L. ,   Universidad Popular Autónoma del Estado de Puebla
Published: August 2024

SLIMMARY A geed germination test Was done on Agapanthus oñentabs Agapanth seeds from fruits With yellow, humid walls or with dry, twisted, open walls had a high rate Of rapid germination (51-65% in 9-10 daysb Seeds extracfed from immature fruit5 with dark green walls and with apparently mature seeds (deep black, shiny) had delayed germination (46-53% in 15-16 days), The seeds at all stages of maturity. induding seeds stored for two months, had a germinatian rate of 91-96% Delay in germination, when the seeds were planted immediately aflet extraction, was the onty negattve effect of harvesting the fruits with green walls Seeds of green fruits, dried during three weeks. germinated at the same time and at the same rate as those ot mature fruits With twisted, dry, open Walh In condusion, it is to havest fruits at two stages maturity, as long as the seeds from green. succulent fruits have a deep blac* color
ANALISIS UJI KESELAMATAN LISTRIK DAN KALIBRASI INKUBATOR BAYI DI LABORATORIUM KELISTRIKAN BPFK MEDAN
Authors: Gohae Ramos , Ulina Sri , Primasyukra Mhd.Aldi
Published: August 2024

Electrical safety test or often referred to as Electrical safety test is a testing process to evaluate whether electrical or electronic devices are safe to use by users. The elements tested include: isolation stage, grounding stage, and leakage current stage. Meanwhile, baby incubator calibration is the process of readjusting the device to provide accurate results in measuring temperature, humidity and air pressure in a certain environment. The importance of electrical safety tests and calibration of baby incubators is to minimize the risk of accidents and errors in their use, especially in babies who are susceptible to changes in environmental conditions. Therefore, the electrical safety test process and calibration of the baby incubator must be carried out regularly and periodically.
PERBEDAAN ADVERSITY QUOTIENT ANTARA MAHASISWA PERANTAU DAN NON-PERANTAU PADA PROGRAM STUDI KEPERAWATAN FAKULTAS FARMASI DAN ILMU KESEHATAN UNIVERSITAS SARI MUTIARA INDONESIA
Authors: Ganumba Arisman , Sari Inggrit Puspita
Published: August 2024

Adversity Quotient merupakan suatu kecerdasan untuk dapat bertahan dalam menghadapi kesulitan dengan seberapa jauh bersikukuh melawan kesulitan serta kemampuan untuk memecahkannya. Adversity Quotient didefenisikan sebagai kecerdasan seseorang dalam menghadapi kesulitan-kesulitan, hambatan-hambatan ataupun tantangan dalam hidup. Adversity quotient juga meliputi kemampuan untuk memecahkan masalah secara efektif dan memotivasi diri sendiri dan orang lain untuk mengatasi kesulitan. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui apakah terdapat perbedaan Adversity Quotient antara mahasiswa perantau dan mahasiswa non perantau. Metode penelitian yang digunakan adalah metode kuantitatif dengan jenis komparatif. Responden dalam penelitian ini adalah mahasiswa program studi Keperawatan Fakultas Farmasi dan Ilmu Kesehatan Universitas Sari Mutiara berjumlah 60 mahasiswa di antaranya terdapat 30 mahasiswa perantau dan 30 mahasiswa non perantau. Hasil  analisis data mengunakan uji T-Test pada perhitungan lewat program SPSS 25 for windows pada taraf sig 5%, diperoleh hasil p(sig) = 0,000. Dengan hasil tersebut maka dapat ditarik kesimpulan bahwa perbedaan tingkat kecerdasan adversity antara mahasiswa perantau dan non perantau program studi keperawatan Fakultas Farmasi dan Ilmu Kesehatan Universitas Sari Mutiara.
HUBUNGAN PERILAKU PROSOSIAL DENGAN KECERDASAN EMOSIONAL PADA SISWA SMK NEGERI 3 MEDAN
Authors: Tania Tasha , Sari Inggrit Puspita
Published: August 2024

Perilaku prososial berarti membantu orang lain tanpa mengharapkan imbalan atau untuk kepentingan diri sendiri. Dilakukan tanpa paksaan, persahabatan, tolong menolong, kepedulian, dan kemurahan hati, ini dapat dicapai. Penelitian ini disebut sebagai "Hubungan Kecerdasan Emosional dengan Perilaku Prososial Siswa SMK Negeri 3 Medan." Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui apakah ada hubungan antara kecerdasan emosional dan perilaku prososial. Ada hanya 378 orang yang tinggal di sana. Metode pengambilan sampel acak digunakan. Studi ini dilakukan menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif. Pengumpulan data dilakukan dengan menggunakan angket dan model skala likert. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa kecerdasan emosional dan perilaku prososial memiliki kategorisasi korelasi yang tinggi, yang menunjukkan bahwa ada koefisien korelasi yang signifikan. Dengan kata lain, lebih banyak perilaku prososial dikaitkan dengan kecerdasan emosional yang lebih tinggi (rxy=0,927; p = 0,00 < 0,050). Hasil korelasi antara kedua variabel di SMK Negeri 3 Medan mencapai 0,000 (p <0,01), yang menunjukkan bahwa hubungan antara keduanya adalah signifikan.
Cybersecurity in precision agriculture: Protecting data integrity and privacy
Authors: Adebunmi Okechukwu Adewusi  , Njideka Rita Chiekezie  , Nsisong Louis Eyo-Udo
Published: August 2024

Precision agriculture, an innovative approach to farming that leverages data-driven technologies, has revolutionized the agricultural sector by enhancing productivity, resource efficiency, and sustainability. However, the increasing reliance on digital tools and connected devices has introduced significant cybersecurity challenges, particularly concerning data integrity and privacy. This paper explores the critical importance of cybersecurity in precision agriculture, focusing on protecting sensitive agricultural data from breaches, unauthorized access, and potential manipulation. As precision agriculture systems collect vast amounts of data through sensors, drones, and GPS-enabled devices, the risk of cyber threats has escalated. These threats can compromise the integrity of critical data, leading to inaccurate decision-making, financial losses, and disruption of agricultural operations. Moreover, the interconnected nature of precision agriculture systems makes them vulnerable to cyberattacks that could have widespread implications across the agricultural supply chain. This study examines the key cybersecurity challenges in precision agriculture, including the protection of data at rest and in transit, the safeguarding of privacy in data sharing among stakeholders, and the implementation of robust encryption and authentication mechanisms. It also highlights the importance of developing industry-specific cybersecurity standards and best practices tailored to the unique needs of the agricultural sector. Furthermore, the paper discusses the ethical considerations of data privacy in precision agriculture, emphasizing the need to balance technological advancement with the protection of farmers' and consumers' rights. The potential consequences of inadequate cybersecurity measures, such as the loss of trust in digital farming technologies and the erosion of competitive advantage, are also addressed. In conclusion, as precision agriculture continues to evolve, ensuring the integrity and privacy of agricultural data through effective cybersecurity measures is paramount. This will not only protect the agricultural sector from emerging cyber threats but also foster the sustainable growth and adoption of precision agriculture technologies.
Keywords: Cybersecurity, Precision Agriculture, Data Privacy, Data Integrity, Protecting.
Blockchain for cybersecurity in agriculture: A decentralized approach to data protection
Authors: Adebunmi Okechukwu Adewusi  , Njideka Rita Chiekezie  , Nsisong Louis Eyo-Udo
Published: August 2024

Blockchain technology offers a promising decentralized approach to enhancing cybersecurity in the agricultural sector, addressing the increasing threats to data integrity and confidentiality. As agriculture becomes increasingly digitized, with the adoption of Internet of Things (IoT) devices, smart farming, and data-driven decision-making, the sector faces significant cybersecurity challenges, including data breaches, tampering, and unauthorized access. Traditional centralized security models are often inadequate in managing these risks, given the complex and distributed nature of modern agricultural operations. Blockchain technology, characterized by its decentralized, immutable ledger, provides a robust solution to these cybersecurity challenges. By storing data across a distributed network of nodes, blockchain ensures that information is protected from unauthorized alterations and cyberattacks. Each transaction or data entry in a blockchain is encrypted and linked to the previous one, creating a secure chain that is difficult to tamper with. This makes blockchain an ideal tool for safeguarding sensitive agricultural data, such as supply chain information, crop yield records, and proprietary research data. Furthermore, blockchain enhances transparency and traceability in agricultural processes, enabling stakeholders to verify the authenticity and origin of products, thereby reducing the risk of fraud and ensuring compliance with food safety standards. Smart contracts, another feature of blockchain technology, can automate and enforce security protocols, ensuring that only authorized parties have access to specific data or can execute certain actions within the network. However, the adoption of blockchain in agriculture also presents challenges, including technical complexities, high implementation costs, and the need for widespread industry collaboration. Despite these hurdles, the potential benefits of blockchain for cybersecurity in agriculture are significant, offering a powerful tool to protect data, enhance trust, and support the sector's digital transformation. In conclusion, blockchain technology represents a promising decentralized approach to enhancing cybersecurity in agriculture. By providing robust data protection, improving transparency, and enabling secure transactions, blockchain can play a critical role in safeguarding the future of digital agriculture.
Keywords: Blockchain, Cybersecurity, Agriculture, Decentralized Approach, Data Protection.
Advancements in predictive modeling for insurance pricing: Enhancing risk assessment and customer segmentation
Authors: Ibrahim Adedeji Adeniran  , Christianah Pelumi Efunniyi  , Olajide Soji Osundare  , Angela Omozele Abhulimen
Published: August 2024

This review paper explores the significant advancements in predictive modeling for insurance pricing, emphasizing its role in enhancing risk assessment and customer segmentation. The paper begins with an overview of the evolution of predictive modeling in the insurance industry, tracing the shift from traditional methods to modern, data-driven approaches powered by machine learning, artificial intelligence (AI), and big data. It highlights how these advancements have improved the accuracy of risk assessment, enabling insurers to develop more precise pricing strategies. The paper also discusses the importance of customer segmentation and personalization in insurance pricing, showcasing how advanced analytics can lead to more tailored and fair premiums, thereby improving customer satisfaction and retention. Additionally, the review addresses the challenges of implementing these advanced predictive models, including technological integration, ethical concerns, and regulatory compliance. The paper concludes by identifying future trends and potential areas for further research, such as real-time data, explainable AI, and ethical AI practices, which are expected to shape the future of predictive modeling in the insurance industry.
Keywords:  Predictive Modeling, Insurance Pricing, Risk Assessment, Customer Segmentation, Machine Learning.
ANALISIS PERILAKU KONSUMEN TERHADAP PENGAMBILAN KEPUTUSAN PEMBELIAN MERK PRODUK
Authors: Ngabdul Mungiin  , Ibra Oktariantara  , Zidan Wahyu H
Published: August 2024

Dalam era persaingan yang semakin ketat, pemahaman mendalam tentang perilaku konsumen terhadap merek produk menjadi sangat penting bagi perusahaan untuk mempertahankan pangsa pasar. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengidentifikasi faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi perilaku konsumen, termasuk citra merek, kualitas produk, dan preferensi konsumen. Selain itu, penelitian ini juga mengeksplorasi perbedaan perilaku konsumen di berbagai industri dan konteks budaya. Dengan menggunakan metode meta-analisis, penelitian ini menggabungkan hasil dari berbagai studi independen untuk mendapatkan pemahaman yang lebih komprehensif tentang efek dari variabel-variabel tersebut. Hasil dari meta-analisis ini diharapkan dapat memberikan wawasan yang berharga bagi perusahaan dalam merumuskan strategi pemasaran yang efektif dan meningkatkan loyalitas konsumen terhadap merek produk.
Study of NO2 and HCHO vertical profile measurement based on Fast Synchronous MAX-DOAS
Authors: Xu Jiangman , Li Ang , Hu Zhaokun , Zhang Hairong , Qin Min
Published: August 2024

Abstract. This study investigates a multi-elevation Fast Synchronous Multi-Axis Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy (FS MAX-DOAS) observation system that can rapidly acquire trace gas profiles. It modifies the conventional MAX-DOAS method by sequentially scanning at elevation angles using motors. The new system incorporates a two-dimensional area array Charge Coupled Device (CCD) grating spectrometer, small field-of-view telescopes (<1°), a high-speed shutter switching module, and a multi-mode multi-core fiber to enable multi-channel spectroscopy and significantly enhance the time resolution of the collected spectra (one elevation cycle within two minutes). When selecting the spectrometer grating, the impact of spectral resolution on the detection of nitrigen dioxide (NO2) and formaldehyde (HCHO) by FS MAX-DOAS was simulated and analyzed. The optimal resolution range was determined to be 0.3–0.6 nm. The selection of the number of binning rows in the acquisition settings considers the signal-to-noise ratio of the pixels in each row to enhance the quality of the spectral data. Two-step acquisition is used for low-elevation angles within one cycle to overcome the influence of variations in light intensity. A comparative test was conducted on outfield NO2 and HCHO measurements using differential optical absorption spectroscopy. Compared with the differential slant column densities(dSCDs) at each elevation angle measured by the MAX-DOAS system, the Pearson correlation coefficient of NO2 reached 0.9, while for HCHO it ranged mostly between 0.76 and 0.85. The results of the slant column concentration inversion indicate that the root mean square (RMS) of the FS MAX-DOAS spectrum inversion can consistently be lower than that of MAX-DOAS over an extended period. The profile results show that the diurnal variation trend of the two systems was consistent, and because of the enhanced time resolution, the gas profile obtained by the former system can provide more detailed information. Compared with the near-ground NO2 concentration measured by the long-path DOAS system, the daily variation trend shows a characteristic of being high in the morning and starting to decrease at noon, and the correlation coefficient between FS MAX-DOAS and LP -DOAS is higher (R = 0.880). The FS MAX-DOAS system can quickly and simultaneously obtain the vertical distribution profiles of NO2 and HCHO with high accuracy, providing a basis for mobile MAX-DOAS to achieve gas profile inversion.
FLAME 1.0: a novel approach for modelling burned area in the Brazilian biomes using the Maximum Entropy concept
Authors: Barbosa Maria Lucia Ferreira , Kelley Douglas  I. , Burton Chantelle A. , Ferreira Igor J. M. , da Veiga Renata Moura , Bradley Anna , Molin Paulo Guilherme , Anderson Liana O.
Published: August 2024

Abstract. As fire seasons in Brazil lengthen and intensify, the need to enhance fire simulations and comprehend fire drivers becomes crucial. Yet determining what drivers burning in different Brazilian biomes is a major challenge, with the highly uncertain relationship between drivers and fire. Finding ways to acknowledge and quantify that uncertainty is critical in ascertaining the causes of Brazil’s changing fire regimes. We propose FLAME (Fire Landscape Analysis using Maximum Entropy), a new fire model that integrates Bayesian inference with the Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) concept, enabling probabilistic reasoning and uncertainty quantification. FLAME utilizes bioclimatic, land cover and human driving variables to model fires. We apply FLAME to Brazilian biomes, evaluating its performance against observed data for three categories of fires: all fires (ALL), fires reaching natural vegetation (NAT), and fires in non-natural vegetation (NON). We assessed burned area responses to variable groups. The model showed adequate performance for all biomes and fire categories. Maximum temperature and precipitation together are important factors influencing burned area in all biomes. The number of roads and amount of forest boundaries (edge densities), and forest, pasture and soil carbon showed higher uncertainties among the responses. The potential response of these variables displayed similar spatial likelihood of the observations given the model, between the ALL, NAT and NON categories. Overall, the uncertainties were larger for the NON-category, particularly for Pampas and Pantanal. Customizing variable selection and fire categories based on biome characteristics could contribute to a more biome-focused and contextually relevant analysis. Moreover, prioritizing regional-scale analysis is essential for decision-makers and fire management strategies. FLAME is easily adaptable to be used in various locations and periods, serving as a valuable tool for more informed and effective fire prevention measures.
Constraining Aerosol-Cloud Adjustments by Uniting Surface Observations with a Perturbed Parameter Ensemble
Authors: Mikkelsen August , McCoy Daniel T. , Eidhammer Trude , Gettelman Andrew , Song Ci , Gordon Hamish , McCoy Isabel L.
Published: August 2024

Abstract. Aerosol-cloud interactions (aci) are the largest source of uncertainty in inferring the magnitude of future warming consistent with the observational record. The effective radiative forcing due to aci (ERFaci) is dominated by liquid clouds and is composed of two terms: the change in cloud albedo due to redistributing liquid over a larger number of cloud droplets (Nd) and the change in cloud macrophysical properties due to changes in cloud microphysics. These terms are respectively referred to as the radiative forcing due to aci (RFaci) and aerosol-cloud adjustments. While the magnitude of RFaci is uncertain, its sign is confidently negative and results in a cooling in the historical record. In contrast, the adjustment of cloud liquid water path (LWP) to enhanced Nd and associated radiative forcing is uncertain in sign. Increased LWP in response to increased Nd is consistent with precipitation suppression while decreased LWP in response to increased Nd is consistent with enhanced evaporation from cloud top. Observational constraints of these processes are poor in part because of causal ambiguity in the relationship between Nd and LWP. To better understand this relationship, precipitation (P), Nd, and LWP surface observations from the Eastern North Atlantic (ENA) atmospheric observatory are combined with the output from a perturbed parameter ensemble (PPE) hosted in the Community Atmosphere Model version 6 (CAM6). This allows causal interpretation of observed covariability. Observations of precipitation and cloud from ENA constrain the range of possible LWP aerosol-cloud adjustments relative to the prior from the PPE by 15 %, resulting in a global value that is confidently positive (a historical cooling) ranging from 2.1 to 6.9 g/m2. It is found that observed covariability between Nd and LWP is dominated by coalescence scavenging and that this observed covariability is not strongly related to aerosol-cloud adjustments.
The role of land-atmosphere coupling in subseasonal surface air temperature prediction
Authors: Lim Yuna , Molod Andrea M. , Koster Randal D. , Santanello Joseph A.
Published: August 2024

Abstract. Land-atmosphere (L-A) coupling can play a crucial role for subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictability and prediction. When coupling is strong, L-A processes and feedback are expected to enhance the system’s memory, thereby increasing the predictability and prediction skill. This study evaluates subseasonal prediction of ambient surface air temperature under conditions of strong versus weak L-A coupling in forecasts produced with NASA’s state-of-the-art Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) S2S forecast system. By applying three L-A coupling metrics that collectively capture the connection between the soil and the free troposphere, we observe improved prediction skill for surface air temperature during weeks 3–4 of boreal summer forecasts across the Midwest and northern Great Plains, particularly when all three indices indicate strong L-A coupling at this lead time. The prediction skill indeed increases as more indices show strong coupling. The forecasts with strong L-A coupling in these regions tend to exhibit sustained warm and dry anomalies, signals that are well simulated in the model. Overall, this study highlights how better identifying and capturing relevant L-A coupling processes can potentially enhance prediction on S2S timescales.
Unleashing the Potential of Geostationary Satellite Observations in Air Quality Forecasting Through Artificial Intelligence Techniques
Authors: Zhang Chengxin , Niu Xinhan , Wu Hongyu , Ding Zhipeng , Chan Ka Lok , Kim Jhoon , Wagner Thomas , Liu Cheng
Published: August 2024

Abstract. Air quality forecasting plays a critical role in mitigating air pollution. However, current physics-based air pollution predictions encounter challenges in accuracy and spatiotemporal resolution due to limitations in the understanding of atmospheric physical mechanisms, observational constraints, and computational capacity. The world’s first geostationary satellite UV-Vis spectrometer, i.e., the Geostationary Environment Monitoring Spectrometer (GEMS), offers hourly measurements of atmospheric trace gas pollutants at high spatial resolution over East Asia. In this study, we successfully incorporate Geostationary satellite observations into a neural network model (GeoNet) to forecast full-coverage surface nitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentrations over eastern China at 4-hour intervals for the next 24 hours. GeoNet leverages spatiotemporal series of satellite NO2 observations to capture the intricate relationships among air quality, meteorology, and emissions in both temporal and spatial domains. Evaluation against ground-based measurements demonstrates that GeoNet accurately predicts diurnal variations and spatial distribution details of next-day NO2 pollution, yielding the coefficient of determination of 0.68 and root mean square of error of 12.31 μg/m3, significantly surpassing traditional air quality model forecasts. The model’s interpretability reveals that geostationary satellite observations notably improve NO2 forecast capability more than other input features, especially over polluted regions. Our findings demonstrate the significant potential of geostationary satellite observations in artificial intelligence-based air quality forecasting, with implications for early warning of air pollution events and human health exposure.
The Community Fire Behavior Model for coupled fire-atmosphere modeling: Implementation in the Unified Forecast System
Authors: Jimenez y Munoz Pedro Angel , Frediani Maria , Eghdami Masih , Rosen Daniel , Kavulich Michael , Juliano Timothy W.
Published: August 2024

Abstract. There is an increasing need for simulating the evolution of wildland fires. The realism of the simulation increases by accounting for feedbacks between the fire and the atmosphere. These coupled models combine a fire behavior model with a regional numerical weather prediction model and have been used for fire research during the last decades. This is the case, for instance, of the state-of-the-art Weather Research and Forecasting model with fire extensions (WRF-Fire). Typically, the coupling includes specific code for the particular models being coupled such as interpolation procedures to pass variables from the atmospheric grid to the fire grid, and vice versa. However, having a fire modeling framework that can be coupled to different atmospheric models is advantageous to foster collaborations and joint developments. With this aim, we have created, for the first time, a fire behavior model that can be connected to other atmospheric models without the need of developing specific low-level procedures for the particular atmospheric model being used. The fire behavior model, referred to as the Community Fire Behavior model (CFBM), closely follows WRF-Fire version 4.3.3 methods in its version 0.2.0, and makes use of the Earth System Modeling Framework library to communicate information between the fire and the atmosphere. The CFBM can be also run offline using an existing WRF simulation in what we refer to as the standalone model. Herein we describe the fire modeling framework and its implementation in the Unified Forecast System (UFS). Simulations of the Cameron Peak Fire performed with UFS and WRF-Fire are presented to verify our implementation. Results from both models, as well as with the standalone version, are consistent indicating a proper development of the CFBM and its coupling to the UFS-Atmosphere. These results, and the possibility of using the fire behavior model with other atmospheric models, provide an attractive collaborative framework to further improve the realism of the model in order to meet the growing demand for accurate wildland fire simulations.
Stability analysis and control method of a variable structure detection robot for underground rescue
Authors: Tian Hai-bo , Wang Ao , Lu Maolin , Zhang Meiting , Zhang Zenan , Zhang Wencai , Su Xin
Published: August 2024

Abstract. To meet the needs of drilling rescue, a variable structure detection robot for underground rescue was designed for the motion requirements of a small crawler robot in underground unstructured environments. The robot can improve the stability and anti-overturning ability of the system through its own configuration changes. The existing stability criteria are computationally complex and cannot meet the requirements of real-time control. Therefore, a stability criterion based on the contact force between the robot and the ground is proposed, and a robot adaptive stability control system was established based on back propagation (BP) neural network. The system can change the robot configuration in real time to ensure the overturning stability. The criterion is analyzed and compared with the existing stability methods, and the influence of the control system on the dynamic stability of the robot in three typical terrains is discussed. The robot simulation test model is established to simulate the robot's driving process on unstructured road and the process of adjusting the arm configuration on the slope. Finally, the stability control processes of the robot on a longitudinal slope and a transverse slope are experimentally analyzed. The analysis results show that the stability criterion is accurate and efficient, and the adaptive control system can improve the stability of the robot.
Workshop report: Afar Dallol Drilling – ONset of sedimentary processes in an active rift basin (ADD-ON)
Authors: Foubert Anneleen , Keir Derek , Atnafu Balemwal , Kidane Tesfaye ,   the ADD-ON Workshop Consortium
Published: August 2024

Abstract. Rifts and rifted margins form when continents break apart and shape the continent-to-ocean transition on much of our planet. The sedimentary basins that result from continental rifting host unique sedimentary archives of palaeo-environmental and palaeo-climatic change required to understand complex natural processes. Rifts and rifted margins are key sites for natural resources (e.g. geothermal and hydrogen potential, critical metal resources, and CO2 storage) and have an important societal relevance in the mitigation of geohazards such as earthquakes and volcanic activity. However, knowledge on the tectonic structure, sedimentary architecture, rapid palaeo-environmental change, fluid flow and hydrothermal circulation, deep subsurface biosphere, and their impacts on biogeochemical fluxes in rift basins remains poorly understood. Considering their large scientific potential and societal relevance, understanding the formation and architecture of rifts and rifted margins is now critical. The Afar rift is a world-class natural field lab where continental breakup can be directly observed. The northern part of Afar, the Danakil Depression, especially represents a unique snapshot in space and time when the continent ruptures and new seafloor and adjacent rifted margins form. However, deep subsurface records are missing in the basin. The ADD-ON project aims at deep drilling in the Danakil Depression to provide a unique sedimentary record in an active rift basin paced by global environmental fluctuations and their interplay with volcanic and tectonic events. To explore drilling targets and address scientific drilling objectives, an International Continental Scientific Drilling Program (ICDP) workshop was organized in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, in August 2023. In total, 64 participants from 10 countries and all career stages respecting diversity and inclusion joined the workshop. They represented a wide range of scientific disciplines including government agencies, industry, local universities, and communities to discuss the overall ADD-ON science plan during several workshop sessions. One target drilling site has been flagged, covering the unique Pleistocene full syn-rift sedimentary record in the Danakil Depression. This unique sedimentary archive will allow us to (1) unravel complex palaeo-environmental change in a rift basin, (2) understand incipient and intermittent dynamics through punctuated volcano-tectonic events in a rift transitioning from continental rifting towards seafloor spreading and adjacent rifted margin development, (3) test the origin and limits of life in the deep biosphere under poly-extreme conditions, (4) better understand fluid flow and fluid–sediment interaction in an active hydrothermal system, and (5) use the drilling site to develop a downhole Earth observatory to improve hazard-related monitoring capacity (earthquakes, gas/fluid flux, ground motion).