Analysis of the sensitivity to endocrine therapy (SET) assay in the PALLAS adjuvant trial of palbociclib in HR+/HER2- breast cancer (ABCSG-42/AFT-05/BIG-14-13).
Authors: Metzger Otto , Ballman Karla V. , Gnant Michael , Watson Mark , Chen Eveline , Tran Kevin , O'Brien Patrick , Hlauschek Dominik , Martin Miguel , Balko Justin M , Nowecki Zbigniew , Hahn Olwen Mary , Denkert Carsten , Curtis Christina , Liu Yuan , Dueck Amylou C. , Fesl Christian , Mayer Erica L. , DeMichele Angela , Symmans W. Fraser Fraser 
Published: May 2024

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Background: The phase 3 PALLAS trial compared 2 years of the CDK4/6 inhibitor palbociclib with endocrine therapy of provider choice, versus endocrine therapy alone, as adjuvant treatment for patients (pts) with Stage II-III hormone receptor-positive HER2-negative (HR+/HER2-) breast cancer. The SET2,3 index adjusts the measurement of SETER/PR index of endocrine receptor-related transcriptional activity with a baseline prognostic index (BPI) derived from tumor size (T), number of involved lymph nodes (N) and gene expression levels of ESR1, PGR, ERBB2 and AURKA (RNA4 subtype score). High SET2,3 (index ≥ 2.10) represents high endocrine sensitivity with favorable prognosis. Clinical outcome results from PALLAS were previously published, and the trial now has 5-year median follow-up. Methods: Participants in PALLAS provided a tumor tissue block prior to randomization. RNA was extracted from samples with sufficient tumor tissue and cellularity (>25mm2 with ≥20% cancer nuclei). SET2,3 index was measured from 300ng total RNA using the QuantiGene Plex platform (ThermoFisher, Waltham, MA) following the manufacturer’s protocol and using pre-defined quality control (QC) parameters and cut point. Results from primary tumor samples prior to systemic therapy were analyzed. Invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) was summarized with Kaplan-Meier plots using log-rank test. Cox models were adjusted for treatment arm assignment, with a treatment arm by SET index value interaction term to test for prediction of palbociclib benefit. The pre-defined level of significance was a two-sided 0.05. Results: There were 4075 pts from the total PALLAS population (N=5796) who provided a primary tumor sample that met pre-analytical requirements to perform the SET assay, from which 3388 (83%) results passed quality control, including 3093 from a sample obtained prior to receiving systemic therapy (1559 in palbociclib arm and 1534 in the control arm). SET2,3 index could not be calculated for 12 pts due to missing tumor or nodal information. There was no evidence of an interaction between treatment arm and SET indices (continuous) for iDFS: SET2,3 index interaction p=0.12 and SETER/PR index interaction p=0.92. Estimated 5-year iDFS was superior for those with high SET2,3: iDFS was 91.4% (95%CI 89.9–92.8) in 1719 (55.8%) pts with high SET2,3, versus 78.5% (95%CI 76.0–80.8) in 1362 (44.2%) pts with low SET2,3 (HR 0.38, 95%CI 0.31–0.47, p<0.0001). The SETER/PR index was also significantly associated with iDFS (HR 0.70 per 0.5 units, 95%CI 0.65–0.77, p<0.0001). Conclusions: There was no evidence that the SET2,3 or SETER/PR index of endocrine-related transcriptional activity predicts benefit from palbociclib treatment. SET2,3 index was strongly prognostic for pts with Stage II-III breast cancer, with excellent 5-year IDFS for pts classified as SET2,3 high. Clinical trial information: NCT02513394 .