The Role of Machine Learning in the Detection of Cardiac Fibrosis in Electrocardiograms: Scoping Review (Preprint)
Authors: Handra Julia , James Hannah , Mbilinyi Ashery , Moller-Hansen Ashley , O'Riley Callum , Andrade Jason , Deyell Marc , Hague Cameron , Hawkins Nathaniel , Ho Kendall , Hu Ricky , Leipsic Jonathon , Tam Roger 
Published: December 2024

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular disease remains the leading cause of mortality worldwide. Cardiac fibrosis impacts the underlying pathophysiology of many cardiovascular diseases by altering structural integrity and impairing electrical conduction. Identifying cardiac fibrosis is essential for the prognosis and management of cardiovascular disease; however, current diagnostic methods face challenges due to invasiveness, cost, and inaccessibility. Electrocardiograms (ECGs) are widely available and cost-effective for monitoring cardiac electrical activity. While ECG-based methods for inferring fibrosis exist, they are not commonly used due to accuracy limitations and the need for cardiac expertise. However, the ECG shows promise as a target for machine learning (ML) applications in fibrosis detection.

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to synthesize and critically evaluate the current state of ECG-based ML approaches for cardiac fibrosis detection.

METHODS

We conducted a scoping review of research in ECG-based ML applications to identify cardiac fibrosis. Comprehensive searches were performed in PubMed, IEEE Xplore, Scopus, Web of Science, and DBLP databases, including publications up to October 2024. Studies were included if they applied ML techniques to detect cardiac fibrosis using ECG or vectorcardiogram data and provided sufficient methodological details and outcome metrics. Two reviewers independently assessed eligibility and extracted data on the ML models used, their performance metrics, study designs, and limitations.

RESULTS

We identified 11 studies evaluating ML approaches for detecting cardiac fibrosis using ECG data. These studies used various ML techniques, including classical (8/11, 73%), ensemble (3/11, 27%), and deep learning models (4/11, 36%). Support vector machines were the most used classical model (6/11, 55%), with the best-performing models of each study achieving accuracies of 77% to 93%. Among deep learning approaches, convolutional neural networks showed promising results, with one study reporting an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.89 when combined with clinical features. Notably, a large-scale convolutional neural network study (n=14,052) achieved an AUC of 0.84 for detecting cardiac fibrosis, outperforming cardiologists (AUC 0.63-0.66). However, many studies had limited sample sizes and lacked external validation, potentially impacting the generalizability of the findings. Variability in reporting methods may affect the reproducibility and applicability of these ML-based approaches.

CONCLUSIONS

ML-augmented ECG analysis shows promise for accessible and cost-effective detection of cardiac fibrosis. However, there are common limitations with respect to study design and insufficient external validation, raising concerns about the generalizability and clinical applicability of the findings. Inconsistencies in methodologies and incomplete reporting further impede cross-study comparisons. Future work may benefit from using prospective study designs, larger and more clinically and demographically diverse datasets, advanced ML models, and rigorous external validation. Addressing these challenges could pave the way for the clinical implementation of ML-based ECG detection of cardiac fibrosis to improve patient outcomes and health care resource allocation.