#1377 Evaluation of state-wide health system implementation of renal supportive care shows substantial net benefits
Authors: Brady Lisa , Hutton Annie , Chapman Jeremy , Duck Gerard , Gastrell Tessa , Makris Angela , Mccarthy Dennis , Noel Michael , Hay Liz , Choi Peter 
Published: May 2024

Background and Aims

In 2016, the New South Wales (NSW) Health system implemented a service to make the principles and practice of palliative medicine comprehensively available to patients receiving chronic kidney disease (CKD) care across NSW. Summative evaluation of the economic value that this multi-disciplinary State-wide RSC service provided following implementation was prospectively planned in the domains of patient experience and economic value. This abstract reports the first cost-benefit analysis of a RSC service.

Method

De-identified patient-level data was extracted from the NSW Renal Supportive Care Register (a linked dataset comprising admitted patient, non-admitted patient, emergency department episodes and death registrations). Data was compared between 2015/16, prior to implementation of the State-wide RSC service; and 2018/19, following settled operation of the service. A cost-benefit analysis model was constructed to estimate the economic value of the RSC service between 2015/16 and 2018/19; and the projected value to 2029/30 under different scenarios. Multivariate Cox regressions were estimated to measure survival benefits, and a polynomial regression model was employed to estimate the impact of RSC on the share of patients receiving dialysis.

Results

Considering the actual impact of the NSW RSC service; in 2015/16, 5% (n = 443) of all ESKD patients, (defined as receiving dialysis &gt;3 months, non-dialysis conservative care or in receipt of a functioning transplant) received any RSC service. By 2018/19, 16% (n = 1460) of all ESKD patients had received RSC within NSW. The proportion of patients receiving RSC from a non-dialysis conservative care or dialysis context remained stable between 2015/16 and 2018/19 at 41% and 29% respectively.

Patients receiving RSC were estimated to have increased survival by 3-21 weeks, depending on patient characteristics, compared to the scenario of no RSC service.

Considering the projected value of ongoing RSC services; scenarios with different assumptions were modelled. Assuming that the proportion of patients receiving different ESKD modalities and the costs of care remained stable, the RSC service would deliver a net financial benefit to the commissioning health system (avoided costs of service minus RSC costs) of ${\$}$109 million Australian Dollars (AUD), with a return on investment of 212%, compared to the scenario of no RSC service. When the economic value for the whole NSW community from increased survival benefit was included, the projected value was ${\$}$275 million AUD, with return on investment of 535%.

The projected economic value of RSC was modelled under scenarios of increasing access to the service by ESKD patients (Figure). Increasing RSC access from the achieved 16% to 20% of ESKD patients was projected to deliver maximal economic value, with a 3% fall in ESKD patients receiving dialysis, increasing survival benefit (${\$}$221 million AUD) and economic value ${\$}$94 million AUD. As access to RSC expands further, modelling indicates that additional dialysis substitution becomes less likely but benefits still accrue from survival up to a maximum viable rollout of 50% of the ESKD population receiving RSC, when survival benefits plateau.

Conclusion

Economic evaluation of this implementation of the Statewide RSC service across NSW Health shows it has been associated with both a net economic benefit and survival benefits four years after implementation. It is projected to provide an economic value of ${\$}$275 million AUD over ten years, which would increase with greater participation of ESKD patients suitable for RSC.