bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025 huggingface dataset:
A Process-Based Model of Snow Drifting
Authors: Pomeroy J.W.
Published: February 2017

This physics-based two-phase flow model of the mass balance of drifting snow calculates the transport of snow through saltation and suspension, and recognizes the important role of in-transit sublimation on surface-erosion rates. Measurements of the vertical gradient of drifting snow-mass flux and wind speed in the surface-boundary layer indicate the total flux of saltating snow increases linearly with wind speed and is sensitive to the transport threshold. The total flux of suspended snow requires saltation to become established, and increases with the cube of both the total flux of saltating snow and the wind speed. The total suspended flux quickly becomes the dominant transport mode as wind speeds increase beyond threshold levels, and comprises more than 90% of the total flux for wind speeds greater than 15 ms−1. Sublimation rates estimated from wind speed, temperature, and humidity are sufficiently balanced by snow-surface erosion rates to ablate completely snow-packs with depths of the order 200 mm, a typical value for steppe and prairie environments.
Ice Loss in the Ablation Area of a Himalayan Glacier; Studies on Miar Glacier, Karakoram Mountains, Pakistan
Authors: Young G.J. , Schmok J.P.
Published: February 2017

One of the main aims of the Snow and Ice Hydrology Project, a joint Canada-Pakistan endeavour, is to estimate ice loss in the ablation areas of glaciers in order to predict with greater confidence stream flow in the headwaters of the Indus River. To this end, Miar Glacier, located in the central Karakoram Range, north of Gilgit, was intensively studied during the summers of 1986 and 1987.

Measurements of glacier mass balance by the monitoring of accumulation and ablation at stake locations is very difficult in the Himalyan environment. It is usually almost impossible to reach elevations above the equilibrium line without major effort, and always very difficult once there to make meaningful measurements; the ablation areas are often heavily crevassed and/or debris-covered, and this poses difficult sampling problems.

The method used in this study was to monitor annual surface movement on a cross-profile as near as possible to the equilibrium line. The measurements, obtained in conjunction with depth soundings made on the same profile, allow the annual ice flux through the cross-profile to be calculated. If an approximately steady-state glacier is assumed, it would be expected that this flux would be roughly equivalent to the rate of ice loss below the profile.

The movements of wooden stakes drilled into the glacier were monitored throughout each of the summers and, since two of the stakes survived the intervening winter, this allowed calculation of annual movement. Distances between the crests of ogives were also surveyed, providing an independent assessment of glacier movement. Depth measurements by radio-echo sounder were successfully made in the summer of 1987, showing maximum ice depths of 550 m. The annual ice flux through the transverse profile was estimated as 5.67 × 107 m3, which corresponds to a mean annual ice loss from the glacier surface below the profile of 8.10 m of ice.
Recent Warming in Central Greenland?
Authors: Alley Richard B. , Koci Bruce R.
Published: February 2017

Recent warming has occurred in near-surface firn in central Greenland, as shown by analysis of a 217 m temperature profile from the GISP2 site. However, this warming falls within the range of natural variability and provides no clear evidence of a greenhouse signal.
Lidar-Derived Particle Concentrations in Plumes from Arctic Leads
Authors: Andreas Edgar L. , Miles Martin W. , Barry Roger G. , Schnell Russell C.
Published: February 2017

With an airborne lidar, we have observed massive plumes of condensate particles rising from wintertime leads in the Arctic Ocean. Some of these plumes reached an altitude of 4 km; some extended over 200 km down-wind from their surface source. Here we invert the lidar equation and use lidar backscatter data to infer particle concentrations within two such plumes. Assuming that the plumes consist of supercooled water droplets of radius 5 μm, we estimate typical concentrations of 3–6 × 105 droplets m-3 just above the leads. Concentrations within the plumes can still be as high as 104 droplets m-3 at an altitude of 3 km and 200 km down-wind from some leads. Had we assumed that the plume particles are ice spheres of radius 40 μm, concentrations would be just 100 times less than these.
Parameterization of the Annual Surface Temperature and Mass Balance of Antarctica
Authors: Fortuin J.P.F. , Oerlemans J.
Published: February 2017

This study entails the parameterization, by means of a linear multiple-regression analysis, of the annual surface temperature and mass balance of Antarctica. The analysis was performed for the entire ice cap as well as for three separate regions: ice shelves (elevation less than 200 m), the interior (elevation above 1500 m), and the escarpment region in between. It was found that temperature can be parameterized very well in terms of elevation and latitude. The latitudinal gradient on the ice shelves can be explained by the super-adiabatic lapse rate along the surface and latitudinal temperature gradient in the interior, assuming adiabatic descent of air in the inversion layer from the interior region towards the coast and an axisymmetric spreading over the ice shelves. The surface mass balance can be parameterized reliably only in the interior, where it has a strong positive correlation with the saturation vapour pressure of the free atmosphere, and a significant correlation with the shape of the dome. The convex shape of the dome contributes to the mass balance by inducing subsidence of the relatively moist air of the free atmosphere into the inversion layer. This results in precipitation, as radiative cooling in the inversion exceeds adiabatic warming. An estimate is made of the annual horizontal and vertical advective velocities in the free atmosphere above the interior, based on regression results and a physical analysis of the precipitation processes in this region.

A temperature sensitivity analysis was performed for the current mass-balance distribution. For a 1 K. rise in surface temperature, the regression estimate of the increase in accumulation on the grounded ice sheet is equivalent to a rate of sea-level lowering of 0.2 mm a−1. This is about 30% less than estimates based on the current mass balance perturbated by the increase in saturation vapour pressure of the free atmosphere.
6000-Year Climate Records in an Ice Core from the Høghetta Ice Dome in Northern Spitsbergen
Authors: Fujii Y. , Kamiyama K. , Kawamura T. , Kameda T. , Izumi K. , Satow K. , Enomoto H. , Nakamura T. , Hagen J.O. , Gjessing Y. , Watanabe O.
Published: February 2017

In 1987 an ice core to the bedrock at a depth of 85.6 m was drilled at the top of Høghetta ice dome in northern Spitsbergen. Chronology of the ice core was examined by tritium and14C methods showing time gap at about 50 m depth. The age of three bottom ice samples was determined as 4150–5670 year B.P. by14C method done for frozen bacteria colonies and a frozen petal. This chronology and negative bottom temperature of −9.4°C suggest that glaciers in Spitsbergen shrank considerably during the hypsithermal. The pH of melt-water samples lower than 5.0 corresponds well to large northern hemispheric volcanic eruptions during the last 300 years. Increase of acidity from 30 m depth to the surface may reflect the spread of air pollution to the Arctic during the past 200 years. On the basis of ice-core analyses on electrical conductivity, pH, chemical composition and air bubble pattern, climate and environment in Spitsbergen during the last 6000 years are discussed.
Long-Term Glacier Mass-Balance Investigations in Svalbard, 1950–88
Authors: Hagen Jon Ove , Liestøl Olav
Published: February 2017

Mass-balance investigations on glaciers in Svalbard at high latitudes (78°N) show that the ice masses have been steadily decreasing during the period 1950–88. Detailed annual observations have been carried out on Brøggerbreen since 1966 and Lovénbreen since 1967. The mean specific net balances are −0.46 and −0.37 m year−1 water equivalent respectively. Only one year had positive net balance in this period. The cumulative mass lost in the period is then more than 10% of the volume in 1967. Zero net balance would be obtained if the summer temperature was lowered about 1°C or if the winter precipitation increased about 50%. There is a strong correlation between the net mass balance and the height of the equilibrium-line altitude (ELA). Because of the high amount of superimposed ice (10–30% of winter balance) stake readings are necessary to find the ELA. There is no sign of climatic warming through increased melting. The trend analysis of the data from the last 20 years shows stable conditions with a slight increase of the winter balance. The net balance is then slightly increasing and thus less negative than 20 years ago.
Little Ice Age (Neoglacial) Paleoenvironmental Conditions At Siple Station, Antarctica
Authors: Mosley-Thompson Ellen , Thompson Lonnie G. , Grootes Pieter M. , Gundestrup N.
Published: February 2017

The 550-year records of δ
18O and dust concentrations from Siple Station, Antarctica suggest warmer and less dusty atmospheric conditions from 1600 to 1830 A.D. which encompasses much of the northern hemisphere Little Ice Age (LIA). Dust and δ
18O data from South Pole Station indicate that the opposite conditions (e.g. cooler and more dusty) were prevalent there during the LIA. Meteorological data from 1945–85 show that the LIA temperature opposition between Amundsen-Scott and Siple, inferred from δ
18O, is consistent with the present spatial distribution of surface temperature. There is some observational evidence suggesting that under present conditions stronger zonal westerlies produce a temperature pattern similar to that of the LIA. These regional differences demonstrate that a suite of spatially distributed, high resolution ice-core records will be necessary to characterize the LIA in Antarctica
The Mass Balance Of Blue Glacier, Washington, U.S.A. 1956–1986
Authors: L. Armstrong Richard
Published: February 2017

Mass-balance data for Blue Glacier are presented for the 31-year period 1956–86. The glacier location is strongly maritime with annual precipitation of 3500 to 5000 mm, most of which falls as winter snow. The low elevation of the glacier results in large amounts of summer ablation and thus significant annual mass exchange. Blue Glacier has been in approximate equilibrium with recent climate during the past 30 years with a slightly positive mean annual net balance of 0.3 m and a terminus advance of 150 m. Comparison with other glaciers in western North America indicates that this pattern of mass increase in response to recent climate is not typical but may be specific to a maritime location.

Due to heavy amounts of winter snowfall, an accumulation area ratio of only 0.5 is sufficient to maintain a zero balance on Blue Glacier. A strong gradient of increasing snowfall with elevation contributes to a linear relationship between net balance and elevation throughout the total altitude range of the glacier. This relationship is consistent over the period of record and is not dependent on an overall net positive balance, as the pattern persists even during periods of strongly negative mass balance. A relationship between measured mass balance and equilibrium-line altitude provides a reasonable method to compute mass balance.
Annually-Averaged Polar Sea-Ice Extents During 1978–1987: Northern Extent Decrease and Southern Extent Oscillation
Authors: Gloersen Per , J. Campbell William
Published: February 2017

Recently reported observations of a nine-year decrease in global sea-ice extent, obtained from the Scanning Multichannel Microwave Radiometer onboard the Nimbus-7 satellite during 1978–87 and averaged with an annual running mean, have been separated into Arctic and Antarctic components. The annually-averaged global extent decrease was 2.5%. Here it is shown that the greater part of this decrease occurred in the Arctic where there was a decline of 3.5% with a goodness of fit of 0.54.

Superimposed on this decline was a small oscillation with a period of about four years and an amplitude of about 1%. A significantly smaller and statistically insignificant decrease of 1.2% with a goodness of fit of 0.03 is observed in the annually averaged Antarctic sea-ice extent. However, three large oscillations with amplitudes of about 4% and periods of about three years occurred in phase with three El Niño events.
Climatic Warming, Glaciers and Sea Level
Authors: Koerner R.M , Fisher D.A.
Published: February 2017

The modern concensus outside of the glaciological community is that “greenhouse” gases, released by human activity, will cause an unprecedented temperature rise over the next 100 years and thereby cause a socially-threatening rise of sea level. With respect to ice the concept is simple: warmer means less. The relationship between glaciers and climate is much more complex than this. Warmer also means more vapour transport and there is ample evidence from both theory and ice-core data that snow accumulation rates in both Greenland and Antarctica were lower during the last glacial period. The problem is whether the increased accumulation rates will be exceeded by increased melting of ice in the ablation areas. Antarctica could play a dominant role because of its size and very low temperatures. Only a small percent of Antarctica will increase its meltwater run-off into the ocean. Furthermore, its dynamic response time is so large that the calving rate will not change over a 200-year period. Most of the increased melt will be absorbed in the firn and the question is how much the snow accumulation rate will increase over the major part of the continent.

In the northern hemisphere one has to consider the way in which the warming will manifest itself seasonally. Most of the “forecasts” indicate that most of the warming will occur in the winter rather than the summer. In this case one has to consider the balance between greatly increased winter snowfall rates and only slightly increased summer melt rates. In this respect a review of the snow accumulation and ice melt rates from different glaciers and ice caps in the Canadian Arctic Islands is pertinent. Over the past 20 to 30 years we see no sign of a trend of either side of the balance equation (accumulation, melt). Is this the effect of high noise levels or is there simply no trend?

Finally, we review the ground-ice potential in terms of sea-level change. Ground ice may not form a large part of the world's ice reserves but it covers a large area. Both increased snowfall rates in winter, and summer warming will move to increase the thickness of the active layer. This will result in run-off to the oceans.

Global circulation models might be modified to determine a “best guess” of future sea-level change. To do this they must incorporate all of the parameters considered in this paper.
26-Year High Resolution Profile Of Major Anions In Snow From Coats Land, Antarctica
Authors: Mulvaney R. , Peel D.A. , Reid A.P.
Published: February 2017

In January 1987, an 7.8 m core, with an age at the bottom of 26 years, was collected from a site approximately 150 km inland from Halley Station (77°02.2′S, 22°32′W; altitude 1862 m a.s.l.); 10 m temperature ≈ −30°C; accumulation rate ≈ 14 g cm−2 a−1). The site lies some 140 km from the coast of the Weddell Sea and within the area bounded in winter by the polar vortex.

The core has been analysed at a frequency of ≈28 samples per accumulation year for sulphate, nitrate and chloride, and has been dated stratigraphically from the clear seasonal cycles in non sea salt sulphate (Mulvaney and Peel, 1988). With this resolution it is possible to examine the seasonal pattern of deposition of chemical species and their phase relationships.

Of particular interest is the possibility that ice cores may preserve evidence for disturbances in tropospheric chemistry, associated with the recent spring-time depletion of stratospheric ozone. It has been proposed that this is accompanied by a denitrification of the stratosphere during the winter months, implying enhanced levels of NOX in the late winter/spring troposphere and in precipitation. Our data reveal a strong seasonal signal in nitrate deposition, apparently peaking in spring. Similar behaviour has been reported by Wagenbach and others (1988) for nitrate in the atmospheric aerosol, in a 3-year sequence (1983–86) from Georg von Neumayer Station (70°S, 8°W). There does not appear to be any evidence in our data of an increase in spring-time nitrate deposition since the appearance of the Antarctic ozone hole in 1978.
Can Milankovitch Variations Initiate The Growth Of Ice Sheets In A Global Circulation Model?
Authors: Rind David
Published: February 2017

The GISS climate model is used to investigate whether the growth of ice sheets could have been initiated by solar insolation variations. Three different orbital configurations are used, corresponding to 116 000 yr B.P., 106 000 yr B.P., and a modified insolation field with greater reductions in summer insolation at high northern latitudes. The time periods chosen are those in which geophysical evidence implies that ice sheets were growing rapidly.

The results show that the model fails to maintain snow cover through the summer at locations of suspected initiation of the major ice sheets, despite the reduced summer insolation. When 10 m-thick ice was inserted in all locations where continental ice sheets existed during the last glacial maximum, the model failed to maintain it as well: the ice would melt away in less than five years. Only cooling the ocean to its full ice-age value allowed the model to keep any of the additional ice, and then only in a very restricted region in northern Baffin Island.

The experiments indicate there is a wide discrepancy between the model’s response to Milankovitch variations and the geophysical evidence of ice sheet initiation. As the model failed to grow or sustain low-elevation ice during the time of high latitude maximum solar radiation reduction (120 000–100 000 yr B.P.), it is unlikely it could have done so at any time within the last several hundred thousand years. Either the model is not nearly sensitive enough, or we do not understand the connection between Milankovitch variations and the growth of ice sheets.
Impurity Distributions In Ice Under Different Environmental Conditions
Authors: Wolff Eric , Mulvaney Robert
Published: February 2017

We have shown previously (Mulvaney and others, 1988; Wolff and others, 1988) that some of the impurities in ice are localised. For samples from Dolleman Island in the Antarctic Peninsula, sulphuric acid was found at very high concentrations at the triple junctions (where three grains meet). No such localisation was found for sea salt elements, which are the other major soluble impurity. We believe that the acid is sufficiently concentrated at ice-sheet temperatures to remain liquid, forming a network of sub-micron veins through the ice.

We used a scanning electron microscope (SEM) fitted with an X-ray microanalysis system and a cold stage that holds samples below −160°C. Located at the University of Lancaster, the instrument allows frozen samples to be investigated with elemental analysis carried out at a resolution of the order of 1 micron.

Further experiments have yielded similar results for other samples from the same ice core. However, we have not yet found a method of cutting and cooling the samples that gives quantitatively reproducible data, so that it is too early to say what proportion of the acid in the sample is at the triple junctions.

Nonetheless, we have now also seen S at several triple junctions in ice from Site G in central Greenland. The sample includes part of the material from the 1783 Laki volcanic eruption. We have still to look at samples from other sites, but are reassured that the positive result is not confined to one ice core.

This work, still at a formative stage, has posed some important questions:

(1) For us there is the technical question of how we obtain reproducible quantitative results.

(2) How widespread is the phenomenon, and how much of the acid is at triple junctions? This is the next phase of studies at Lancaster, and is likely to include a study of older ice, and of temperate ice.

(3) Why is the acid at triple junctions, and why is sea salt not found there? This must be due to processes in the atmosphere or snowpack, and is likely to be related to the eutectic temperatures of impurity/water mixtures. Thus the distribution may influenced by changes in climate or chemistry. For instance, Wisconsin-age ice in Greenland is neutral, any acid having reacted with alkali dusts. How did this affect the impurity distribution?

(4) If the distribution does change as a result of a changed environment, does this affect the physical properties of the ice itself? In particular, is the presence or absence of liquid at the junctions a contributory factor to the changes in rheology between Wisconsin and Holocene ice? We are far into the realms of speculation here, but this does have the potential to be an interesting long-timescale feedback to climatic and environmental changes.
The role of incoming waves in ice-edge dynamics
Authors: Squire Vernon A. , Colin Fox
Published: February 2017

The radiation stress at an ice edge due to incident sea and swell is reconsidered in the light of new theoretical results concerned with the calculation of the reflection and transmission coefficients at the edge of a thin elastic sheet. Both monochromatic seas and seas made up of a spectrum of periods are discussed, the latter invoking the Pierson-Moskowitz spectral model. It is found that the force per unit length due to radiation stress is comparable in magnitude with other driving mechanisms at the edge, i.e. with winds and currents.
Textural characteristics of sea ice and the major mechanisms of ice growth in the Weddell Sea
Authors: Lange M. A. , Eicken H.
Published: February 2017

We report on studies of sea-ice texture conducted during a number of expeditions into the Weddell Sea. Sea ice in the Antarctic is dominated by granular ice of frazil origin in floes of all ages, in contrast to ice in the Arctic, which consists predominantly of columnar ice of congelation origin. The large fraction of granular ice in first-year sea ice is a result of the dominant ice-formation process in the advancing ice edge, the pancake cycle. The dominance of granular over columnar ice in second- and/or multi-year ice is a result of the large degree of deformational activity in the Southern Ocean.
Measurement of Avalanche Speeds and Forces: Instrumentation and Preliminary Results of the Ryggfonn Project
Authors: Norem H. , Kvisterøy T. , Evensen B. D.
Published: February 2017

The Ryggfonn project is a Full scale experiment carried out to investigate the impact of avalanches on structures and the effects of a retaining dam in the avalanche path. The vertical drop of the avalanche path is 910 m and the volume of the avalanches is 20 - 100 000 m3.

The experimental set-up consists of: a 15 m high retaining dam in the runout zone, instrumented with strain gauges on a 6.5 m steel mast and a load cell on a 1.0 m mast, plus a 4.5 m high concrete structure instrumented with three 0.72 m2load cells, and three transmission line conductors strung across the avalanche path. The recorded analogue signals are digitized using Pulse-Code-Modulation (PCM) and recorded on a magnetic tape recorder.

Up to May 1984, speed data from five avalanches have been analysed, and impact pressures have been recorded from three of them. The maximum speeds vary between 38 m/s and 60 m/s. The maximum recorded impact pressure was 541 kPa, and averaged 220 kPa over a 15 second interval. A maximum pressure of 83 kPa was measured on a load cell buried under snow at the base of the concrete structure.
Static Dielectric Constant as a Textural Index of Snow
Authors: Denoth A.
Published: February 2017

The dielectric constants of alpine snow samples with different stages of metamorphism and with different liquid water saturations have been measured in the frequency range of 10Hz to 50MHz using a plate condenser and network-analyzer. The limiting static dielectric constant, €s’, has been derived from the measured frequency dependence of the complex permittivity of snow by a least-square-fit using the model of Cole-Cole. A strong dependence of e on porosity, liquid water content and on the shape of the snow grains was found. Calculations of shape factors from the measured static permittivity based on the model of Polder and van Santen are given, and are compared to shape factors derived from an analysis of photographs of the snow samples.
Transition in Preferred Orientation of Polycrystalline Ice from Repeated Recrystallization
Authors: Maohuan Huang , Ohtomo M. , Wakahama G.
Published: February 2017

A repeated compression and annealing experiment was conducted using polycrystalline ice samples. The sample was compressed in steps of 10% at a constant low deformation rate at 272 K., and annealed at the same temperature, thus allowing the sample to recrystallize. As a result, the ice gradually changed to a fabric pattern of the 4-maximum or 3-maximum type. The result indicates that repetitive recrystallization plays an important role in forming the preferred orientation of ice in glaciers.
Friction of melting ice
Authors: Jones Stephen J. , Kitagawa H. , Izumiyama K. , Shimoda H.
Published: February 2017

The friction of pure ice against various materials was studied at the melting point by pulling plates of the materials of known roughness under a melting ice sample, which was loaded from above, and by maintaining a surrounding air temperature of +2°C (±1°C). Speed was varied over a wide range from 0.05 to 400 mm s−1.

Results for an aluminium sheet of roughness Ra
= 0.84 μm, showed a maximum in friction coefficient of 0.04 at a speed of 16 mm s−1. Below this speed the friction coefficient dropped to 0.002 at 0.2 mm s −1 and results from different ice samples were very reproducible. Above 16 mm s−1, the friction coefficient initially dropped to about 0.002 at 100 mm s−1, and then increased again to 0.037 at 400 mm s−1. Results at speeds above 16 mm s−1 were much less reproducible than those at lower speeds. Results are given also for the friction of ice on Formica, acrylic, and copper plates.

The amount of meltwater produced during a test was measured by weighing an absorbent tissue before and after mopping-up the meltwater. The amount of meltwater was significantly more for aluminium than for Formica or acrylic, showing that the thermal conductivity of the slider was controlling the amount of meltwater. The amount was also a strong function of velocity.
The mechanical properties of saline ice under uniaxial compression
Authors: Kuehn Gary A. , Schulson Erland M.
Published: February 2017

Understanding the mechanical properties of saline ice is important for engineering design as well as for operations in polar regions. In order to gain understanding of the basic mechanisms of deformation and fracture, laboratory-grown columnar saline ice, representative of first-year sea ice, was tested in uniaxial compression under a variety of conditions of Strain rate (10−7to 10−1s−1), temper-aiure (−40°, −20°, −10° and −5°C) and orientation (loading vertically or horizontally: i.e. parallel or perpendicular to the growth direction). The range of strain rate spanned the ductile-to-brittle transition for every combination of temperature and specimen orientation. The results of over 250 tests are reported. Mechanical properties, failure mode and ice structure are analyzed with respect to the testing conditons. The results show that strength is dependent upon the ice structure, orientation, strain rate and temperature. During loading in the ductile regime the structure is altered (e.g. by recrystallization), whereas in the brittle regime the majority of the structural change is through cracking. The results are compared to results from the literature on both natural sea ice and laboratory-grown saline ice. Where possible, they are interpreted in terms of micromechanica] models.
Simulation of a destructive avalanche at Maseguchi, Japan
Authors: Mcclung D.M. , Kobayashi S. , Izumi K.
Published: February 2017

In 1986, a large avalanche destroyed 11 houses and killed 13 people at Maseguchi, Japan. Previous attempts to model the avalanche were based on the assumption that it was a powder avalanche consisting of snow particles suspended by air turbulence. In this paper, the avalanche is modelled as a dry flowing avalanche with a dense core of flowing material at the base. It is suggested that for a comprehensive explanation of the observed damage and the characteristics of the avalanche deposit, the assumption that the avalanche was a flowing avalanche is more appropriate. The comparison of model results from a flowing versus a powder avalanche is of general interest for avalanche zoning and design of structures in avalanche-threatened areas.
Development of a meteorological forecast for snow accumulation on transmission lines
Authors: Ito Tatsuhito , Yamaoka Masaru , Ohura Hisayuki , Taniguchi Takashi , Wakahama Gorow
Published: February 2017

In Hokkaido we have often experienced hazardous accidents, such as tower collapses and conductor breakage, caused by wet-snow accretion on transmission lines, and over many years have developed countermeasures for wet-snow accretion. Recently we have been developing a system to forecast areas where snow accretion may occur. We used the southern part of Hokkaido, divided into 5 km × 5 km meshes, as a forecast area; our predictions were hourly, 3–24 hours in advance. A method of predicting meteorological data which forms an important part of the system predicts three elements which influence wet-snow accretion: air temperature, precipitation, and wind direction and speed. We used an interpolation for predicting temperature and precipitation and a one-level, mesoscale model for diagnosing surface winds for wind direction and speed. By applying the method to many examples of wet-snow accretion, we checked the prediction of weather elements.
The dynamic friction characteristics of a rapidly sheared granular material applied to the motion of snow avalanches
Authors: Dent J.D.
Published: February 2017

A numerical simulation of simple two-dimensional shear of round uniform grains is used to investigate the dynamic friction characteristics of the layer of snow at the base of an avalanche. For steady, uniform flow on a uniform flat surface, the dynamic friction coefficient transmitted through the shear array is found as it varies with the shear speed and normal force applied to the top of the shear layer, and the properties of the particles in the shear layer.

For this simple model, the flow in the shear layer is found to be independent of the total number of layers in the shear flow. A slip plane is formed along which most of the shearing motion takes places, so that the shear is confined to just two layers of particles which slide over one another. In the absence of gravity this slip plane jumps up and down randomly within the shear layer, which is otherwise composed of agitated semi-dispersed particles.
Effect of extension rate on terminus position, Columbia Glacier, Alaska, U.S.A.
Authors: Venteris E.R. , Whillans I.M. , Veen C.J. Van der
Published: February 2017

The relations between seasonal changes in ice speed, longitudinal extension rate and terminus position are investigated for Columbia Glacier, Alaska, over the period 1977–87. The lower reach of the glacier is studied using repeat aerial photography, which extends from the terminus to the base of an icefall about 14 km up-glacier. There are regular seasonal cycles in speed and stretching rate. These cycles continue after the glacier retreats off the shoal at the end of the fjord (in about 1983), indicating that factors other than backstress, such as seasonal changes in subglacial water, control the speed of the glacier. Terminus position appears to be linked with thinning induced by longitudinal extension, as predicted by the calving model proposed by Van der Veen (1996).
Monitoring and prediction of shrinkage of a small glacier in the Nepal Himalaya
Authors: Kadota Tsutomu , Fujita Koji , Seko Katsumoto , Kayastha Rijan B. , Ageta Yutaka
Published: February 2017

In 1978, the first detailed glaciological studies were carried out on the small glacier AX010 in a glacier inventory of Dudh Kosi region, in the Nepal Himalaya. Its length, area and highest and lowest elevations in 1978 were 1.7 km, 0.57 km2, 5360 and 4950 m a.s.l., respectively. Two resurveys of its terminus position and/or surface elevations were carried out in 1989 and 1991. The glacier retreated by about 30 and 28 m during the periods 1978–89 and 1989–91, respectively.

In 1995, annual monitoring of this glacier by means of ground survey, stake method and topographical mapping began, in order to obtain its mass balance, surface flow velocity and extent, and link them with climatic conditions. The results obtained in 1995 are summarized as follows: (1) During the period 1991–95, the glacier retreated by 12 m. (2) Associated with the ice-thickness loss in the lower part of the glacier, the horizontal surface velocities along the center line in 1995 (June–October) showed a remarkable decrease on the glacier tongue, to about 50% of those in 1978.

Shrinkage of the glacier in the near future is predicted from a simple model calculation for the case that climatic conditions remain unchanged from 1995. The results show that the present shrinkage should continue and accelerate.
Spatial, temporal and kinematic characteristics of surges of Variegated Glacier, Alaska
Authors: Lawson Wendy
Published: February 2017

Analysis of five surges of Variegated Glacier, Alaska, indicates that they all terminated with their surge fronts in the terminal lobe of the glacier, and that different surges penetrated into the terminal lobe by different amounts. Of the five surges, the one that occurred in 1905–06 penetrated furthest into the terminal lobe. The 1964–65 surge affected a greater proportion of the glacier than either the 1947–48 or the 1982–83 surge, caused greater total ice displacements than the 1982–83 surge and appears to have resulted in larger total displacements down-glacier than the 1982–83 surge. Overall, the 1964–65 surge was a significantly larger event than either the 1947–48 or the 1982–83 surge.
Changes of the equilibrium-line altitude in the tropical Cordillera Blanca, Peru, 1930–50, and their spatial variations
Authors: Kaser Georg , Georges Christian
Published: February 2017

As on all Peruvian Cordilleras, the glaciers on the eastern slopes of the Cordillera Blanca extend to generally lower elevations than those on the western slopes. The mountain range of Santa Cruz–Pucahirca possesses the largest east–west extension within the Cordillera Blanca. A significant retreat of the glaciers between two quasi-stationary situations around 1930 and 1950 was reconstructed from air photographs. The derived ELAs as well as the ∆ELA1930–50 show spatial diversities. The pattern of the ELAs is caused by differences in both accumulation and effective global radiation. The change in ELAs1930–50 is partly due to a spatially uniform increase in air temperature. The remaining rise of the equilibrium line, which varies within different parts of the investigation area, has to be related to changes in precipitation and effective global radiation. Both correspond to changes in air humidity which is suggested to be an important factor for tropical glacier fluctuations. A model of superposed typical tropical circulation patterns of different scales and ELA–climate model-based approaches is presented.
Signals of 20th-century warming from the glaciers in the Central Italian Alps
Authors: Pelfini Manuela , Smiraglia Claudio
Published: February 2017

The Lombard Alps in the central sector of the Italian Alps are one of the most intensively glacierized regions on the southern side of the chain (about 113 km2 of ice cover). All of the glaciers have been retreating since the beginning of the 20th century, but the trend is not uniform. Since the 1950s there has been a drop in the percentage of retreating snouts and an increase in stationary and advancing snouts. After 1985 the glaciers in the Lombard Alps began a new recession phase that is still going on. This pattern is consistent with temperature variations in Lombardy in the 20th century. According to data from Sondrio station, four alternating warming and cooling phases ran be distinguished in 20th-century warming. The Lombard glaciers well recorded the last three phases, showing evident signs of the 1955–88 cold phase, with a response time of about 20 years, and may be considered good indicators of 20th-century temperature trends.
A flowline model for Nigardsbreen, Norway: projection of future glacier length based on dynamic calibration with the historic record
Authors: Oerlemans J.
Published: February 2017

Historic glacier-length variations are used to constrain a computer model for Nigardsbreen, Norway. A mass-balance history is derived that, when imposed on the flow model, gives an almost perfect match between observed and simulated glacier length since AD 1748. Being calibrated with past changes, the model predicts an 800 m advance of the glacier snout if mass-balance conditions remain as they were for the period 1962–93. Several greenhouse-warming scenarios are imposed to project the glacier’s behaviour into the next century. For a uniform heating rate of 0.02 K a–1, Nigardsbreen would advance slightly until AD 2020, but then a very rapid retreat would start: in AD 2100 glacier volume would be only 10% of the 1950 volume.
Stick–slip sliding behaviour at the base of a glacier
Authors: Fischer Urs H. , Clarke G. K. C.
Published: February 2017

Measurement of basal sliding is an important component in studying the mechanical and hydrological coupling between a glacier and its bed. During the 1992 summer field season we used a “drag spool” to measure sliding at the ice/bed interface of Trapridge Glacier, a small surge-type glacier in the St Elias Mountains, Yukon Territory, Canada. Measured diurnal variations in sliding appear to be correlated to subglacial water pressure fluctuations. In contrast to other observations where peak subglacial water pressure and glacier motion appear to coincide, our data imply that maximum sliding rates coincide with rises in water pressure. If the growth of water-filled cavities at the glacier bed is associated with these pressure increases, then our observations may correspond to numerical results by Iken (1981) which indicate that the largest sliding velocity occurs during cavity growth and not when the steady-state size of cavitation is attained. However, our data suggest the idea that a localized stick–slip relaxation process is at work. As the water pressure rises, a local strain build-up in the ice is released, resulting in a momentary increase in sliding rate; once the finite relaxation has occurred, further rises in water pressure do not produce additional enhancement of basal sliding, and the stick–slip cycle begins again by accumulation of elastic strain. We have developed a theoretical model for the sliding motion of ice over a surface having a basal drag that varies temporally in response to changes in subglacial water pressure. Our model results support the proposed stick–slip sliding process at the glacier base, whereby accumulated elastic strain in the ice is released as the rising water pressure decouples the ice from the bed.
Airborne bidirectional radiances of snow-covered surfaces in Montana, U.S.A.
Authors: Hall D.K. , Foster J.L. , Irons J.R. , Dabney P.W.
Published: February 2017

Bidirectional radiance measurements of various snow-covered surfaces have been acquired using the Advanced Solid-State Array Spectro-radiometer (ASAS) which was flown on the NASA C-130 aricraft over Glacier National Park, Montana on 14 March 1991. A frozen lake, a snow-covered meadow, a mixed coniferous/deciduous forest and a dense coniferous forest were studied. Knowledge of the bidirectional reflectance characteristics of various snow-covered surfaces is key to calculation of albedo from satellite sensors in the future. While the reflectance characteristics of pure snow targets have been measured from the ground, aircraft and satellites, very few bidirectional reflectance data exist for surface covers of mixed snow and vegetation. Analysis of the 14 March 1991 ASAS data show that the anisotropic reflectance of snow was strong over the snow-covered frozen lake but slightly dampened over the meadow because of the presence of low vegetation. Over the dense coniferous forest, strong backscatter was observed while higher radiances in both the forward and aftward sensor view zenith directions was measured over the mixed forest. Snow that was known to be beneath the coniferous forest canopy was not detected in our data.
Geostatistical evaluation of satellite radar altimetry for high-resolution mapping of Lambert Glacier, Antarctica
Authors: Herzfeld Ute C. , Lingle Craig S. , Lee Li-Her
Published: February 2017

The potential of satellite radar altimetry for high-resolution mapping of Antarctic ice streams is evaluated, using retracked and slope-corrected data from the Lambert Glacier and Amery Ice Shelf area, East Antarctica, acquired by Geosat during the Exact Repeat Mission (ERM), 1986–89. The map area includes lower Lambert Glacier north of 72.18°S, the southern Amery Ice Shelf, and the grounded inland ice sheet on both sides. The Geosat ERM altimetry is found to provide substantially more complete coverage than the 1978 Seasat altimetry, due to improved tracking. Variogram methods are used to estimate the noise levels in the data as a function of position throughout the map area. The spatial structure in the data is quantified by constructing experimental variograms using altimetry from the area of the grounding zone of Lambert Glacier, which is the area chiefly of interest in this topographically complex region. Kriging is employed to invert the along-track height measurements onto a fine-scale 3 km grid. The unsmoothed along-track Geosat ERM altimetry yields spatially continuous maps showing the main topographic features of lower Lambert Glacier, upper Amery Ice Shelf and the adjacent inland ice sheet. The probable position of the grounding line of Lambert Glacier is identified from a break in slope at the grounded ice/floating ice transition. The approximate standard error of the kriged map is inferred from the data noise levels.
Snow depths and grain-size relationships with relevance for passive microwave studies
Authors: Armstrong Richard L. , Chang Alfred , Rango Albert , Josberger Edward
Published: February 2017

The application of passive microwave radiometry to the remote sensing of snow properties is based on the ratio of emitted to scattered portions of the upwelling radiation. Increased scattering is indicative of increased snow amount, i.e. the number of snow grains present. However, scattering is also directly proportional to snow grain-size for a given snow amount. Current snow cover retrieval algorithms produce inaccurate results when snow grain-sizes are unusually large. Therefore, it is necessary to characterize snow grain-size on a regional scale (and perhaps local scale in extreme situations) in order to adjust passive microwave algorithms. Preliminary analysis indicates that: (1) algorithms are not as sensitive to the presence of large grain-sizes as the initial theory had indicated; (2) standard deviation of grain-size diameters throughout the total snow cover may often be less than 0.5 mm, thus average grain-size data may often serve to characterize the detailed stratigraphy of the total snow cover; (3) conditions in subfreezing snow which produce grain-sizes that greatly exceed a mean diameter value of 1–2 mm result from snow cover/climate relationships which can be modelled/monitored on a regional scale. A preliminary method is investigated for selecting snow retrieval algorithms according to prevailing regional-scale grain-size.
The EISMINT benchmarks for testing ice-sheet models
Authors: Huybrechts Philippe , Payne Tony ,   The EISMINT Intercomparison Group
Published: February 2017

We present a series of benchmark experiments designed for testing and comparing numerical ice-sheet models. Following the outcome of two EISMINT workshops organized to intercompare large-scale ice-sheet models currently in operation, model benchmark experiments ate described for ice sheets under fixed and moving margin conditions. These address both steady-state and time-dependent behaviour under schematic boundary conditions and with prescribed physics. A comparison was made of each model’s prediction of basic geophysical variables such as ice thickness, velocity and temperature. Consensus achieved in the model inter-comparison provides reference solutions against which the accuracy and consistency of ice-sheet modelling codes can be assessed.
A simplified multi-scale model for predicting climatic variations of the ice-sheet surface elevation in central Antarctica
Authors: Salamatin Andrey N. , Ritz Catherine
Published: February 2017

The equation describing the surface evolution of a large ice sheet is examined on the basis of a scale analysis applied to Antarctic conditions. Changes in the surface elevation are mainly driven by mass-balance fluctuations which approximately follow global atmospheric temperature variations. The essential spatial non-uniformity of the accumulation rate and the resultant difference between central and coastal regions in reaction time-scales are taken into account. The dynamic interaction of the time-lagging interior with the quasi-stationary margin is described. As a result, a simplified model is deduced to simulate the surface-elevation variations in the central parts of the Antarctic ice sheet caused by mass-balance perturbations corresponding to the main Milankovich cycles with the periods of 19–100 kyears. Special computational tests are performed to validate the model through intercomparison with the predictions obtained with a two-dimensional thermomechanical model. The sensitivity of the model to physical factors (represented by dimensionless tuning parameters) is discussed. Climatically controlled variations of the ice-sheet thickness in the vicinity of Vostok Station during the past 200 kyears are estimated.
An ice-shelf model test based on the Ross Ice Shelf, Antarctica
Authors: MacAyeal D. R. , Rommelaere V. , Huybrechts P. , Hulbe C. L. , Determann J. , Ritz C.
Published: February 2017

A standard numerical experiment featuring the Ross Ice Shelf, Antarctica, is presented as a test package for the development and intercomparison of ice-shelf models. The emphasis of this package is solution of stress-equilibrium equations for an ice-shelf velocity consistent with present observations. As a demonstration, we compare five independently developed ice-shelf models based on finite-difference and finite-element methods. Our results suggest that there is little difference between finite-element and finite-difference methods in capturing the basic, large-scale flow features of the ice shelf. We additionally show that the fit between model and observed velocity depends strongly on the ice-shelf temperature field, for which there is presently little observational control. The main differences between model results are due to the equations being solved, the boundary conditions at the ice from and the discretization method (finite element vs finite difference).