Model of management system for EMERCOM of Russia units under special conditions
Authors: Мартемьянов С.И. 
Published: June 2023

Специальная военная операция, проводимая Российской Федерацией на Украине c 2022 года, заставляет пересмотреть некоторые положения системы управления подразделениями МЧС России в особых условиях. В данной статье рассматриваются с помощью системного анализа вопросы рационального планирования, резервирования, возможного введения новых подразделений для ликвидации пожаров в особых условиях. Для единообразия расчетов предлагается проведение кластеризации подразделений МЧС России и введение в зависимости от вероятности возникновения военного конфликта на данной территории разряда особого положения. Предлагается в зависимости от финансовых и материальных средств, на основе метода анализа иерархий рассчитывать дополнительные резервы, необходимые в особых условиях.

The special military operation conducted by the Russian Federation in the Ukraine since 2022 makes it necessary to revise some provisions of the management system of EMERCOM of Russia units in special conditions. The paper analyzes the construction of mathematical models of systems of various nature, which are important for the security and production potential of the country. With the help of the system analysis, the issues of rational planning, redundancy, and the possible introduction of new units for extinguishing fires in special conditions are analyzed When solving the problem of creating new organizational systems or improving existing structures, the ability to model the work of organizational systems and evaluate their effectiveness becomes especially important. Modeling the management of organizational systems includes issues of improving the management structure, the development of methods of preparation and decision-making and, as a result, the formation of goals and criteria used in the organization, while it is necessary to take into account social and psychological factors that play a very important role in organizational systems. Since in conditions of different political situations and potential threats (for example, in conditions of a special period due to an increase in the number of fires, losses of personnel and material resources) a larger amount of resources will be required compared to the usual mode of service, both the equipment and the number of staff of territorial bodies will be different. Therefore, it is necessary to calculate the additional need for resources. In order to choose the best variant of the composition of the territorial body during a special period, cluster analysis is used, which is achieved by making recommendations on the quality and quantity of funds in a special period for each cluster, as well as developing recommendations on the management system in a special period as a whole, on rational proportions of funds for all clusters. Experts compile a table of preference factors, perform their pairwise comparison using a matrix, after which the preferred option is selected by the hierarchy analysis method. Depending on financial and material resources, based on the hierarchy analysis method, it is possible to calculate additional reserves required in special conditions.