Use of liquid biomarker thymidine kinase activity (TKa) to predict outcome and progression in patients with metastatic breast cancer (MBC) in the GEICAM/2014-12 FLIPPER trial.
Authors: Albanell Joan , Williams Amy , Martínez Maria Teresa , Ritzen Hanna , Paris Lorena , O'Connor Miriam , De la Cruz Merino Luis , Santaballa Ana , Martinez-Jañez Noelia , Moreno Antón Fernando , Fernández Isaura , Alarcón Company Jesús , Guerra Juan Antonio , Ruiz-Borrego Manuel , Morris Patrick G. , Portela Marta , Herranz Jesús , Caballero Rosalia , Bergqvist Mattias , Rojo Todo Federico Gustavo 
Published: June 2024

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Background: There is a need for more precise blood-based tumor biomarkers in MBC. TKa is a liquid proliferation biomarker providing prognostic, predictive and monitoring information in MBC. TKa can be measured in blood using the DiviTum TKa assay. Here we report the results of TKa in a trial of endocrine therapy (ET) fulvestrant (F) + the CDK4/6 inhibitor (CDK4/6i) Palbociclib (Pa) vs. F + Placebo (Pl), the GEICAM FLIPPER trial (NCT02690480), a multicenter, double-blind, randomized (1:1) study. F+Pa showed 1-year PFS rates of 83.5% vs. 71.9% (p=0.064) and better median (m)PFS (31.8 vs. 22.0 months, p=0.001) than F+Pl in first line treatment of HR+/HER2- MBC patients. F+Pa also significantly improved ORR and CBR. ET+CDK4/6i are currently the cornerstone of treatment for HR+/HER2- MBC. However, 10-30% of these patients display primary resistance to treatment. Early identification of patient subsets with different risk of progression during treatment with CDK4/6i may help tailor clinical management and disease monitoring. Methods: Sequential plasma was collected from 187 patients (pts) at baseline (BL) and at 12, 24, 36, 48 weeks (w) on treatment, and at progression. 910 samples were analyzed for TKa with the FDA approved and CE labelled DiviTum TKa assay (Biovica, Sweden) using DuA (DiviTum unit of Activity) as measuring unit. The cutoff for categorizing in high vs low is 250 DuA. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate mPFS and mOS. Unadjusted and adjusted hazard ratio (HR) and odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated with the Cox proportional hazards regression model and with logistic regression respectively, considering relevant confounders. Results: Low BL TKa predicted better PFS (30.5 months mPFS in low vs 19.8 in high, HR 1.62; 95% CI 1.11-2.35, p=0.011) and OS (HR 1.81; 95% CI 1.15-2.85, p=0.0099). Higher TKa at BL and at 12w was detected in pts that progressed before 12 months. Conversely, low BL TKa, maintained throughout week 12-48, were associated with objective response (HR 2.58; 95% CI 1.38-4.81, p=0.0029) and OS (HR 5.74; 95%CI 2.06-16, p=0.0008). At progression, pts on F+Pa tended to have higher TKa levels than F+Pl (246 vs. 138 DuA), reflecting faster growing tumors, not achieving statistical significance (p=0.0585). TKa monitoring and dynamics from BL and on treatment timepoints (week 12-48) show that the group of pts with low TK at BL that remain low during treatment is enriched with non-progressors and pts that progress after 12 months (p=0.0108). High TKa at BL predicted shorter OS in the F+Pa arm (HR 4.39; 95% CI 2.15-8.99, p<0.0001). Conclusions: Measuring blood TKa levels can monitor and predict efficacy of F+/-Pa at BL and during therapy in MBC. TKa dynamics before and during therapy are associated with PFS and OS. Future studies will provide additional knowledge on the utility of TKa in MBC. Clinical trial information: NCT02690480 .