Mediating role of earnings management upon nexus among bank financial leverage and economic financial stability
Authors: Almasri Bisan Khalil , Sunoco David , Al-said Mohammad 
Published: December 2024

Purpose

This research aims to investigate the relationship between banks’ financial leverage and economic financial stability, and as a result, the research will discuss the role of earnings management (EM) in this relationship, since managers normally manipulate their financial reports when they show higher financial leverage. It is important to control the financial leverage in Jordanian banks based on the research results. The main objective is to mitigate the bank’s financial leverage risk as much as its relationship with financial stability. Results may be important for investors, managers, regulatory bodies and auditors in Jordan since they help strengthen financial stability in Jordan. Finally, the main objective of this study is to find a solution to maintain stable and real financial economy by finding the effect of higher financial leverage in Jordanian banks of managers’ cosmetic practices. This will be discussed through testing the role of EM of the relationship between firm’s financial leverage and financial stability.

Design/methodology/approach

In order for the researchers to analyze data, quantitative methods are processed statistically. Also, the researcher tests research conceptual framework according to the mediation model that was developed by Preacher and Hayes (2004). In Figure (1) of which panel A: determines a direct effect, while panel B: illustrates a mediating design. To construct the sample, the researcher used information extracted from Jordanian annual financial reports that is extracted from Amman Stock Exchange. The population of the study includes all Jordanian banks which are 26 banks, additionally, the period from 2008 to 2018 was used to illustrate data. The reason behind using this period is that to examine the variables relationships for and after 2008 financial crisis and its consequences. The researcher chose 2018 as the end period, that is because it is the year before COVID-19 period which covers 2019–2022, and this period is considered not normal. In comparison with past studies, the researcher used modified Jones Model to measure EM (Valášková et al., 2021; Nopiana and Salvi, 2022; Riahi, 2020; Quddoos et al., 2020; Cho et al., 2012), while financial stability and financial leverage was calculated using total debt/total equity (Nopiana and Salvi, 2022). Finally, financial stability is measured using the financial stability model for banking sector, but not for all economy that is because the banking sector represents 96% of the economy, also this study applied for banking sector. Missing values were replaced using the mean on SPSS. Finally, regression model and F-score, correlation have been examined in the research analysis.

Findings

Increased risk on enterprises has an impact on economic financial stability. And the interest rate result shows that Jordan’s central bank boosts interest rates during inflationary periods, increasing the risk to the economy’s financial stability. Furthermore, size has a minimal impact when compared to other variables, and greater business sizes signal more sophisticated transactions and higher leverage, reducing the economy’s financial soundness. Finally, ROA indicates increased bank performance, which contributes to the economy’s financial stability. While EM has a direct negative impact on financial stability, this conclusion is consistent with the researcher’s expectations. Because EM refers to the manipulation of financial report information, including information about financial leverage, manipulation also lowers investor confidence in bank share prices, affecting the stability of the economy’s financial system. It has little influence on the relationship between leverage and economic financial stability.

Practical implications

The implications of this research have been discussed through the research, for example, to maintain economic financial stability, auditors must take care through their role specially when there is higher financial leverage of Jordanian banks. Further, managers must pay attention before manipulating financial information if there is high financial leverage, because this will affect the economic financial stability. Lastly, the most important implication is that the maintenance of economic financial stability, and EM if not discovered for a period of time may show false signaling of economic financial stablity, and suddenly face financial crises.

Originality/value

Understanding the role of EM in the relationship between banks’ financial leverage the economic financial stability, may control many issues like the role of external auditor of reporting about the reliability of financial information (when there is high bank financial leverage, the auditor must exercise professional care and increase his sample to ensure that there are no cosmetic accounting), and when EM is in control, the economy will work smoothly and react normally to the effect of financial leverage of Jordanian banks. And the situation of 2008 crisis will not be repeated (because of the cosmetic practices by American firms for many years since 2008 with hidden cosmetic practices, suddenly, the 2008 crises happened). In conclusion, this discussion is original, since no literature theoretically discussed this issue before which (EM when financial leverage is high) may be applied in practice.