Abstract P6-01-11: A UK prospective multicentre decision impact, decision conflict and economic evaluation of the use of Oncotype DX® to guide chemotherapy in 680 women with hormone receptor positive, HER2 negative breast cancer and 1 to 3 nodes involved
Authors: Holt Simon D. , Sai-Giridhar Priyadharshini , Verrill Mark , Pettit Laura , Rigg Anna , Hickish Tamas , Archer Caroline D. , Wadhawan Anshu , Dillon Marianne , Dent Jo , Nathan Mark R. , Barthelmes Ludger , rehman Shazza , Innis Paige , Khawaja Saira 
Published: March 2023

Introduction: For a test to be of value, it needs to demonstrate that it is changing clinical decisions, improving clinical confidence and of economic benefit.

This trial looked at the use of Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score ® (RS) assay against these criteria in 680 women with hormone receptor positive (HR+), HER2 negative early breast cancer with 1 to 3 lymph nodes positive (LN+) in the UK National Health Service (NHS) (5 teaching and 9 district general hospitals) between 2017 and 2022.

Methods: Patients with LN+ early breast cancer who were willing and fit to receive chemotherapy (CT) were consented to join the trial. At the initial oncologists’ appointment, physicians were asked to state their preference for or against CT and their level of confidence in their decision on a scale of 1 to 5. Following receipt of the RS result physicians were asked to make a final decision for or against CT and similarly record their level of confidence.

Descriptive analyses were used to characterize (1) patient and tumour characteristics, (2) change in treatment recommendations post-RS testing (by RS result and nodal status), and (3) change in physicians’ level of confidence post-RS testing (by RS result and nodal status). Average cost for chemotherapy and RS test price were used to estimate overall cost savings.

Results: A total of 680 patients were recruited. 16 patients were excluded (5 failed samples, 5 withdrew consent, 3 HER2 positives, 2 with advanced disease, and 1 specimen delayed in transit), leaving 664 assessable patients. The median age was 58 years and 77.1% of women were post-menopausal. Most patients had a RS of 0-17 (n=400, 60.2%); while 206 (31%) had a RS of 18-30 and 58 (8.7%) had a RS of 31-100. Using post-RxPONDER cutoffs, 566 (85.2%) had an RS of 0-25; 98 (14.8%) had an RS of 26-100.

Decision impact results: The decision impact results broken down by RS result and nodal status are detailed in Table 1. Of the 662 patients with complete decision impact data, in 359 (54.2%) the recommendation by the physician changed from CT+ hormone therapy (HT) to HT alone. In 286 (43.2%) cases the decision was unchanged and in 17 (2.6%) the recommendation changed from HT alone to CT+HT. Overall 342 (51.7%) cases were spared chemotherapy.

Decision conflict results: The change in the physicians’ level of confidence by RS result and nodal status are detailed in Table 2. Of the 660 cases with complete decision conflict data, physicians reported an increase in confidence in their recommendations after receiving the RS in 363 (55.0%), confidence was unchanged in 219 (33.2%) and decreased confidence in 78 (11.8%) cases.

Economic analysis: Using the estimates of Burdanov et al, the average costs of a course of chemotherapy in the UK is £6,000 to £7,000. An estimate of the overall cost saving of 342 courses is £2,064,00 to £2,408,000 and the overall cost of 664 RS assays at the list price of about £2580 (although an undisclosed discount applies to the NHS) is £1,713,120. This suggests that the use of RS assay represents a significant saving to the NHS.

Conclusion: The use of Oncotype DX assay in node positive early breast cancer leads to about half of women being spared chemotherapy, a significant improvement in clinical confidence for oncologists and an economic saving to the health care system.

Table 1 Pre- vs Post-Oncotype DX Treatment Recommendation by Physician According to Recurrence Score and Nodal Status

Table 2 Change in Physicians’ Level of Confidence Post-Oncotype DX Testing According to Recurrence Score and Nodal Status

Citation Format: Simon D. Holt, Priyadharshini Sai-Giridhar, Mark Verrill, Laura Pettit, Anna Rigg, Tamas Hickish, Caroline D. Archer, Anshu Wadhawan, Marianne Dillon, Jo Dent, Mark R. Nathan, Ludger Barthelmes, Shazza rehman, Paige Innis, Saira Khawaja. A UK prospective multicentre decision impact, decision conflict and economic evaluation of the use of Oncotype DX® to guide chemotherapy in 680 women with hormone receptor positive, HER2 negative breast cancer and 1 to 3 nodes involved [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2022 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2022 Dec 6-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(5 Suppl):Abstract nr P6-01-11.