Impact of Rising Global Temperatures on Dengue Infection and Serotype Distribution: A Mini Review
Authors:   Fundación Valle del Lili, Universidad Icesi, Cali, Colombia, Pallares Escorcia Staling Guillermo , Gonzalez Claudia ,   Pontificia Universidad Católica Madre y Maestra, Santiago, Dominican Republic, Ali Alaa ,   The View Hospital, Doha, Qatar, Nanni Alfredo Gabriel ,   Neurology Unit, Department of Translational Biomedicine and Neurosciences (DiBraiN), University of Bari, Italy, Soares Pinto Ana Luiza ,   Universidade Federal de São Paulo - Campus São Paulo: São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil, Meireles de Moares Bruno ,   Barretos Cancer Hospital, Brazil, Arce Sanjur Carol , Borginho Caroline ,   Children Institute, Hospital of the University of São Paulo, Brazil, N. Pride Cristal ,   International Health Alliance, United States, Arevelo-Rios Einer C.E. ,   Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Perú, León Erwin ,   Universidad Francisco Marroquín, Guatemala, Marinho Plens Glauco ,   Divisao de Pneumologia, Instituto do Coracao, Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo, SP, Brazil, Hayashi Hiroshi ,   Tokyo Metropolitan Children’s Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan, Narvaez Paliza Jose Max ,   Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, United States, Garnier Justyna ,   SWPS University of Social Sciences and Humanities, Department of Psychology, Warsaw, Poland, Duerkson Crespo Karina Gisell ,   Universidad del Pacifico, Asunción, Paraguay, Miranda-Limachi Keila ,   Escuela Profesional de Enfermería, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Peruana Unión, Perú, Henrique Vilalva Kelvin ,   Instituto Dante Pazzanese de Cardiologia / Hospital Sirio Libanes / Instituto do Coracao, Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo, SP, Brazil, Paucar Cisneros L. Angie ,   Instituto Nacional Materno Perinatal, Lima, Perú, Lara Gadotti Luiza ,   Hospital São Luiz Campinas, São Paulo, Brazil, Pilon Capella Mariana ,   Instituto Brasileiro de Controle do Cancer (IBCC), Brazil, Al Balushi Mitha ,   Public Health Research Center, New York University-Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, Alfaro Patricio A. ,   Surgery Department, Universidad de Concepcion, Chile, Slindvain Freitas Pedro ,   College/University São Leopoldo Mandic, Campinas, Brazil, Hasib Roksana ,   PPD Clinical Research Laboratory, Zaventem, Belgium, Duarte Freitas Ruan Pablo ,   University Center Dom Pedro II Ayfa, Salvador- Bahia, Brazil, Marian Sibin ,   Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health ECPE, Boston, USA, Gomes Andreata Victoria ,   College/University São Leopoldo Mandic, Campinas, Brazil, Chatromyen Suppattana ,   Neurological Institute of Thailand, Department of Medical Services, Ministry of Public Health, Bangkok 10400, Thailand
Published: January 2025

Background: Dengue virus (DENV) infection is currently one of the most significant vector-borne viral diseases in terms of global morbidity and mortality. Climate change studies have demonstrated the association between dengue virus transmission and variations in ambient temperature. We performed a mini review to evaluate whether there are differences in the association between the increase in ambient temperature and the incidence of dengue among the different dengue serotypes.

Methods: For this systematic review we searched MEDLINE and PubMed databases for studies published within the last 15 years, from database inception to the exception of this review, focusing on the association between dengue incidence of serotypes and temperature variations globally. We excluded studies that involved reviews, modeling with only prospective data, prediction, or predictive models. The quality of the evidence was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS).

Findings: There is a significant association between temperature and DENV infection due to global warming. No specific dengue serotypes were identified as predominant in the reviewed studies. Aedes aegypti and Aedes Albopictus, the primary dengue vectors of DENV, have different behaviors in response to temperature changes.

Discussion: The findings of this review emphasize the strong relationship between temperature and dengue incidence. Expanding the geographical scope and including more prospective studies would enhance the understanding and generalizability of these findings.

Conclusion: This review showed a significant relationship between temperature increases (in the context of global warming) and dengue infection, leading to potential outbreaks. A more thorough analysis of serotypes is recommended for future studies.