bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025 huggingface dataset:
Therapeutic Alliance in Technology-Based Interventions for the Treatment of Depression: Systematic Review
Authors: Wehmann Eileen , Köhnen Moritz , Härter Martin , Liebherz Sarah
Published: May 2020

Background

There is growing evidence that technology-based interventions (TBIs) are effective for the treatment of depression. As TBIs are gaining acceptance, a question arises whether good therapeutic alliance, considered a key aspect of psychotherapy, can be established without or with minimal face-to-face contact or rather changes if blended concepts are applied. While therapeutic alliance has been studied extensively in the context of face-to-face therapy, only few studies have reviewed evidence on alliance ratings in TBIs.

Objective

The purpose of this study was to examine therapeutic alliance in technology-based psychological interventions for the treatment of depression.

Methods

We searched Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), MEDLINE, PsycINFO, PSYNDEX, CINAHL, clinical trial registers, and sources of grey literature for randomized controlled trials on TBIs in the treatment of adults with unipolar depression. All publications were selected according to prespecified criteria. Data were extracted by two independent reviewers.

Results

A total of eight out of 98 studies (9.5%) included in the review on TBIs for depression considered therapeutic alliance as part of their evaluation. The available data covered eight different treatment conditions, including four stand-alone treatments (face-to-face psychotherapy, email, telephone, and internet program) and four combined treatments (face-to-face psychotherapy plus a smartphone app and an internet program combined with face-to-face psychotherapy, treatment as usual, or email/telephone). On average, patients rated the alliance positively across all groups. Importantly, no relevant group differences regarding therapeutic alliance sum scores were found in any of the studies. Five studies investigated the relationship between patients’ alliance ratings and treatment outcome, revealing mixed results.

Conclusions

Our results suggest that it is possible to establish a positive therapeutic alliance across a variety of different TBIs for depression, but this is based on a small number of studies. Future research needs to determine on what basis therapeutic alliance is formed in settings that do not allow for additional nonverbal cues, perhaps with adapted instruments to measure therapeutic alliance.

Trial Registration

PROSPERO International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews CRD42016050413; https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42016050413)

International Registered Report Identifier (IRRID)

RR2-10.1136/bmjopen-2018-028042
Modeling Early Gambling Behavior Using Indicators from Online Lottery Gambling Tracking Data: Longitudinal Analysis
Authors: Challet-Bouju Gaëlle , Hardouin Jean-Benoit , Thiabaud Elsa , Saillard Anaïs , Donnio Yann , Grall-Bronnec Marie , Perrot Bastien
Published: May 2020

Background

Individuals who gamble online may be at risk of gambling excessively, but internet gambling also provides a unique opportunity to monitor gambling behavior in real environments which may allow intervention for those who encounter difficulties.

Objective

The objective of this study was to model the early gambling trajectories of individuals who play online lottery.

Methods

Anonymized gambling‐related records of the initial 6 months of 1152 clients of the French national lottery who created their internet gambling accounts between September 2015 and February 2016 were analyzed using a two-step approach that combined growth mixture modeling and latent class analysis. The analysis was based upon behavior indicators of gambling activity (money wagered and number of gambling days) and indicators of gambling problems (breadth of involvement and chasing). Profiles were described based upon the probabilities of following the trajectories that were identified for the four indicators, and upon several covariates (age, gender, deposits, type of play, net losses, voluntary self-exclusion, and Playscan classification—a responsible gambling tool that provides each player with a risk assessment: green for low risk, orange for medium risk and red for high risk). Net losses, voluntary self-exclusion, and Playscan classification were used as external verification of problem gambling.

Results

We identified 5 distinct profiles of online lottery gambling. Classes 1 (56.8%), 2 (14.8%) and 3 (13.9%) were characterized by low to medium gambling activity and low values for markers of problem gambling. They displayed low net losses, did not use the voluntary self-exclusion measure, and were classified predominantly with green Playscan tags (range 90%-98%). Class 4 (9.7%) was characterized by medium to high gambling activity, played a higher breadth of game types (range 1-6), and had zero to few chasing episodes. They had high net losses but were classified with green (66%) or orange (25%) Playscan tags and did not use the voluntary self-exclusion measure. Class 5 (4.8%) was characterized by medium to very high gambling activity, played a higher breadth of game types (range 1-17), and had a high number of chasing episodes (range 0-5). They experienced the highest net losses, the highest proportion of orange (32%) and red (39%) tags within the Playscan classification system and represented the only class in which voluntary self-exclusion was present.

Conclusions

Classes 1, 2, 3 may be considered to represent recreational gambling. Class 4 had higher gambling activity and higher breadth of involvement and may be representative of players at risk for future gambling problems. Class 5 stood out in terms of much higher gambling activity and breadth of involvement, and the presence of chasing behavior. Individuals in classes 4 and 5 may benefit from early preventive measures.
MODEL BERBASIS SIR DALAM PREDIKSI AWAL PENYEBARAN COVID-19 DI DAERAH ISTIMEWA YOGYAKARTA (DIY)
Authors: Adi-Kusumo Fajar , Susyanto Nanang , Endrayanto Irwan , Meliala Andreasta
Published: May 2020

Pandemi COVID-19 yang muncul pertama kali pada akhir tahun 2019 saat ini telah menyebar ke seluruh dunia dan mempengaruhi segala sendi kehidupan manusia. Di Indonesia, kasus ini mulai berkembang sejak akhir bulan Februari 2020 dan hingga saat ini masih terus terjadi peningkatan infeksi baru. Beberapa model dan prediksi kasus COVID-19 di Indonesia telah dilakukan oleh para peneliti, namun hasilnya belum sepenuhnya akurat. Hal ini kemungkinan disebabkan adanya pola yang berbeda-beda di setiap daerah, sehingga prediksi yang dilakukan di tingkat nasional perlu mengakomodir perbedaan pola tersebut. Pada artikel ini, akan diperkenalkan model matematika untuk melakukan prediksi awal kasus COVID-19 di wilayah Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta. Pemodelan dilakukan berbasis model SIR yang parameter-parameternya diestimasi berdasarkan data. Dengan menggunakan model tersebut, akan dikaji dua skenario yang bersifat optimistik dan pesimistik.
Analisis Kebijakan Penguatan Pendidikan Karakter Bela Negara Di SMK Sore Tulungagung
Authors: Khusnaini Khusnaini , Budiono Budiono
Published: May 2020

Abstract: The Strengthening of National Defense Character Education Policy that has been implemented at the Vocational High School Sore Tulungagung in 2014/2015 is a new character education development policy. The policy must be analyzed to give other schools a clear picture of the effectiveness of character education. Therefore the researcher intends, to find out the implementation suitability and evaluate the effectiveness of the policy of strengthening the character education of the National Defense Vocational High School Sore Tulungagung. Through qualitative research methods, by triangulating research data, researchers analyze data by studying theory through the reduction of interview results. The results obtained, the planning of strengthening the character education of National Defense is not good, because of the lack of reference laws that are used, indicators of achievement of the basic values of the character of defending the country. In the implementation of the policy declared quite good, seen activities that teach nationality insight to students, but there needs to be supervision from the implementation team. Finally, the evaluation stage of the policy is still not good, because the evaluation of character education is in the form of violations in general, not on indicators of the basic values of Defending the State.Keywords: Policy, Character Education, National Defense Abstrak: Kebijakan Penguatan Pendidikan Karakter Bela Negarayang telah dilaksanakan di SMK Sore Tulungagung tahun 2014/2015 merupakan kebijakan pengembangan pendidikan karakter baru. Kebijakan tersebut harus dianalisis agar memberi gambaran jelas kepada sekolah lain efektifitas pendidikan karakter tersebut. Maka dari itu penelitian ini bermaksuduntuk mengetahui implementasi dan mengevaluasi efektifitas kebijakan penguatan pendidikan karakter Bela Negaradi SMK Sore Tulungagung. Melalui metode penelitian kualitatif, dengan triangulasi data-data penelitian, peneliti menganalisis data dengan kajian teori melalui reduksi hasil wawancara. Hasil penelitian yang didapatkan, perencanaan penguatan pendidikan karakter Bela Negarakurang baik, sebab minimnya acuan perundangan yang dipakai, indikator ketercapaian nilai-nilai dasar karakter bela negara. Pada implementasi kebijakan dinyatakan cukup baik, terlihat adanya kegiatan-kegiatan yang mengajarkan wawasan kebangsaan pada peserta didik, namun perlu adanya pengawasan dari tim pelaksana. Terakhir, tahap evaluasi kebijakan masih kurang baik, sebab evaluasi pendidikan karakter ini berupa pelanggaran secara umum, bukan pada indikator nilai-nilai dasar Bela Negara.Kata kunci: Kebijakan, Pendidikan Karakter, Bela Negara
Studi Kebijakan Pengikutsertaan Orang Tua Terhadap Peningkatan Mutu Pendidikan Di SDN Songgokerto 3 Kota Batu
Authors: Ardiyansyah Maulidin , Juanda Ahmad
Published: May 2020

Abstract: Improving the quality of education is not only the responsibility of the government and schools. In this modern era in improving the quality of education is also the responsibility of parents. This study aims to determine 1) the form of parent participation in Elementary School Songgokerto 3 in Batu City in improving the quality of education, 2) the school's strategy in developing parent participation in Elementary School Songgokerto 3 in Batu City in improving the quality of education. This research uses a qualitative approach. This research is a qualitative study, with the type of descriptive qualitative research. The results showed that: 1) The strategy applied was to always participate in every activity carried out by the community in the school environment or parents to establish friendship and the formation of good communication with the community and parents. 2). The form of participation from parents in elementary school Songgokerto 3 Batu is in the form of thoughts such as providing input in program activities at school, skills such as providing training to students on how to make chips, personnel such as in repairing infrastructure for teaching and learning support processes such as repairing chairs or desks, money, and things.Keywords: Policy, Parental Participation, Quality of Education Abstrak: Meningkatkan kualitas pendidikan tidak hanya menjadi tanggung jawab oleh pemerintah dan sekolah. Pada era modern sekarang ini dalam meningkatkan mutu pendidikan juga menjadi tanggung jawab orang tua. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui 1) bentuk partisipasi orang tua di Sekolah Dasar Negeri Songgokerto 3 Kota Batu dalam meningkatkan mutu pendidikan, 2) strategi sekolah dalam menumbuh kembangkan partisipasi orang tua di Sekolah Dasar Negeri Songgokerto 3 Kota Batu dalam meningkatkan mutu pendidikan. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kualitatif. Penelitian ini merupakan penelitian yang bersifat kualitatif, dengan jenis penelitian kualitatif deskripstif. Hasil penelitian menunjukan bahwa: 1) Strategi yang diterapkan adalah dengan selalu ikut dalam setiap kegiatan yang diadakan oleh masyarakat di lingkungan sekolah atau orang tua dengan tujuan untuk menjalin silaturahmi dan terbentuknya komunikasi yang baik dengan masyarakat dan orangtua. 2). Bentuk partisipasi dari orang tua di SDN Songgokerto 3 Kota Batu berupa pemikiran seperti memberikan masukan-masukan dalam program kegiatan di sekolah, keterampilan seperti memberikan pelatihan pada siswa bagaimana cara membuat keripik, tenaga seperti dalam memperbaiki sarana prasarana pendukung proses belajar mengajar seperti memperbaiki kursi ataupun meja, uang, dan benda.Kata kunci: Kebijakan, Keikutsertaan Orang Tua, Mutu Pendidikan
Pembentukan Karakter Siswa Melalui Pembelajaran Tahfizh Qur’an Tematik (TQT) Di SD Aisyiyah Kota Malang
Authors: Imansar Diaken Noor , Anshory Ichsan
Published: May 2020

Abstract: The purpose of this study was to determine (1) the implementation of Thematic Qur'anic learning in SD Aisyiyah Malang, (2) the character of students who emerged through this program. This research is a qualitative descriptive study. The subjects of this study were the vice-principal and the Tahfiz teacher. Data collection techniques using interviews, observation, and documentation. The results showed that the implementation of thematic tahfizh Qur'an learning at SD Aisyiyah Malang consisted of four stages, namely the verse selection stage, the film screening stage, the memorization stage, and the evaluation stage. Through the thematic tahfizh Qur'an program implemented in SD Aisyiyah Malang, four characters appear in children, namely the value of religious characters, including the value of pious faith and tolerance; the value of character integrity, shown in honesty, example, politeness, love for truth; independent character values, including hard work, discipline, courage, and learners; and the character values of cooperation, including cooperation, solidarity, and mutual assistance.Keywords: Character Building, Learning, Thematic Qur'anic TahfizhAbstrak: Tujuan penelitian ini untuk mengetahi (1) implementasi pembelajaran tahfizh Qur’an Tematik di SD Aisyiyah Kota Malang, (2) karakter siswa yang muncul melalui program ini. Penelitian ini merupakan penelitian deskriptif kualitatif. Subjek penelitian ini adalah wakil kepala sekolah dan guru tahfizh. Teknik pengumpulan data menggunakan wawancara, observasi, dan dokumentasi. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa implementasi pembelajaran tahfizh Qur’an tematik di SD Aisyiyah Kota Malang terdiri dari empat tahap yaitu tahap pemilihan ayat, tahap pemutaran film, tahap menghafal, dan tahap evaluasi. Melalui program tahfizh Qur’an tematik yang dilaksanakan di SD Aisyiyah Kota Malang, tampak empat karakter yang muncul pada anak, yaitu nilai karakter religius, termasuk di dalamnya nilai beriman bertaqwa, dan toleransi; nilai karakter integritas, tampak pada kejujuran, keteladanan, kesantunan, cinta pada kebenaran; nilai karakter mandiri, termasuk pada kerja keras, disiplin, berani, dan pembelajar; dan nilai karakter gotong royong, termasuk di dalamnya kerja sama, solidaritas, dan saling menolong.Kata Kunci: Pembentukan Karakter, Pembelajaran, Tahfizh Qur’an
Model Pengelolaan Badan Layanan Umum Daerah Berbasis Teaching Factory Menuju Kemandirian Finansial Sekolah
Authors: Setyo Agus , Mursidi Mursidi
Published: May 2020

Abstract: The purpose of this study is to illustrate the implementation of a teaching service program based on regional public services in 5 vocational high schools in Surabaya. The research methodology used is descriptive qualitative data collection techniques of observation, interviews, and documentation as well as data analysis models of Miles, Huberman, and Saldana; data coding, data presentation, and conclusion drawing. The results of the study explained that the 5 vocational high schools in Surabaya had a teaching factory program that collaborated with the industrial world and produced goods and services that met industry standards. This school has marketed goods and services according to industry standards from the results of student practice so that this school can carry out regional business service agencies from the province of East Java. Proceeds from sales of products and services that have been marketed to the community will be able to increase school income so that the proceeds from the sale can be used to improve the quality and welfare of the school. Local public service agencies based on teaching factories with products produced by students can create school financial independence, without having to always expect help from the government.Keyword: Regional Public Service Board, Teaching Factory, School Financial IndependenceAbstrak : Tujuan penelitian ini untuk menggambarkan pelaksanaan program badan layanan umum daerah berbasis teaching factory di sekolah menengah kejuruan negeri 5 kota Surabaya. Metodelogi penelitian yang digunakan adalah deskriptif kualitatif dengan teknik pengumpulan data pengamatan, wawancara, dan dokumentasi serta analisis data model Miles, Huberman dan Saldana; kodensasi data, penyajian data dan penarikan kesimpulan. Hasil penelitian menjelaskan bahwa sekolah menengah kejuruan negeri 5 kota Surabaya memiliki program teaching factory yang kerjasama dengan dunia industry serta menghasilkan barang dan jasa yang sesuai standar industry. Sekolah ini sudah memasarkan barang dan jasa sesuai standar industry dari hasil praktik siswa sehingga sekolah ini dapat melaksanakan badan layanan usaha daerah dari propinsi Jawa Timur. Hasil penjualan produk dan jasa yang telah dipasarkan ke masyarakat akan dapat menambah pendapatan sekolah, sehingga dari hasil penjualan dapat digunakan untuk meningkatkan mutu dan kesejahteraan sekolah. Badan layanan umum daerah berbasis teaching factory dengan produk yang dihasilkan oleh siswa dapat membuat kemandirian finansial sekolah, tanpa harus selalu mengharapkan bantuan dari pemerintah.Kata Kunci: Badan Layanan Umum Daerah, Teaching Factory, Kemandirian Finansial Sekolah
Aksjologiczne konteksty resocjalizacji osadzonych w aspekcie założeń personalizmu chrześcijańskiego
Authors: Pierzchała Kazimierz
Published: May 2020

Personalizm to nadanie czemuś charakteru osobistego, osobowość człowieka, wychowanie osoby, aksjologia to wartości, a resocjalizacja to przemiana (zmiana) osobowości jednostki (osoby) ukierunkowanej na stronę wolności, samodzielnego podejmowania decyzji i pełnienie ról społecznych, mającej możliwość autonomicznego i wolnego decydowania. Celem artykułu jest rozwinięcie (interpretacja, kontynuacja) ostatniego akapitu mojej − będącej studium naukowym − publikacji, uwzględniającej osiągnięcia współczesnej pedagogiki, psychologii penitencjarnej i nauczania Magisterium Kościoła, pt.: Destygmatyzacja przestępców w świetle Magisterium Kościoła oraz poglądów na resocjalizację. W ramach swoich rozważań pedagogiczno-resocjalizacyjnych, w zgodzie z wymową Magisterium Kościoła, sformułowałem koncepcję (współbrzmiącą z szeroko pojmowanym nurtem humanistyczno-egzystencjalnym, m.in. z psychologią humanistyczną i pozytywną, a także z wychowaniem aksjologicznym ukierunkowanym na osobowościowy potencjał człowieka), którą nazwałem personalistyczną aksjologią resocjalizacji. Metodologią zastosowaną przy pisaniu przedmiotowej publikacji stało się przeprowadzenie krytycznej analizy literatury, w tym własnego dorobku naukowego i innych dokumentów, w tym dostępnych zasobów internetowych.
Court Probation in Poland. Potential and Limitations
Authors: Konopczyński Marek
Published: May 2020

The article deals with the personal and social potential of court probation in Poland. It shows how probation officers can apply methods of creative social rehabilitation in their professional work, by supporting the development of cognitive and creative structures of their wards by means of implemented strategies and methodological recommendations based on the assumptions of the heuristic concept.
Institutional cooperation as a factor determining the effectiveness of probation officers
Authors: Heine Marek
Published: May 2020

The author points out that widespread critical evaluations of social rehabilitation carried out under probation result mainly from the adoption of inadequate evaluation criteria for this process. The author makes an attempt to analyse the typical meanings of the notion of social rehabilitation effectiveness, and critically examines common limitation of the meaning of this term in order to achieve a specific, usually difficult to measure, result. The author suggests that the evaluation of the effectiveness of social rehabilitation process should focus on the analysis of the degree of utilization of the opportunities that occur during its implementation.The measure of the social rehabilitation process effectiveness should be the degree of optimization of diagnostic, guardianship, counselling, educational and therapeutic activities undertaken by probation officers, and not only the result obtained from the application thereof. In his deliberations, the author devotes particular attention to the analysis of factors determining the necessity of court probation service’s cooperation with state, local government and socialinstitutions in the process of carrying out professional tasks.
Probation officer suspended in executive proceedings
Authors: Janus-Dębska Anna , Skręt Rafał
Published: May 2020

As a result of legislative changes, from January 1, 2010, cases in which probation teams of the judicial service executing decisions in criminal matters are referred to cases in which enforcement proceedings have been suspended pursuant to art. 15 § 2 of the Executive Penal Code. Despite the lapse of 10 years from the introduction of the obligation for probation officers to perform control activities in such cases, doubts are still raised as to the role and tasks of probation officers resting in the course of executive proceedings that have been suspended and have not been performed for some time. In the course of such suspended proceedings, does the professional probation officers still retain all the qualities associated with his status as an executive authority? The purpose of this study is to present the role of a probation officer as a authority of executive proceedings in a situation where, despite legality and enforceability, the judgment will not be enforced and will not be pending for reasons of a temporary nature and to present de lege ferenda conclusions regarding the regulation of the rights of probation officers in the discussed areas.
Para o mestre com carinho
Authors: Lajolo Marisa
Published: May 2020

O artigo analisa as concepções de literatura e suas implicações humanas e sociais, conforme Antonio Candido desenvolve inicialmente no ensaio “A literatura e a formação do homem” (1972), aprofundando-as no conhecido “O direito à literatura” (1988). Também enfoca o livro Na sala de aula: caderno de análise literária (1985), explicitando, na prática docente do autor, modos de democratizar a leitura e a discussão da literatura.
O nacional e o global em Antonio Candido: uma leitura de "Formação da literatura brasileira" e "Literatura e subdesenvolvimento"
Authors: Lotufo Marcelo
Published: May 2020

Este ensaio avalia como Antonio Candido pensa, em dois momentos distintos de sua obra, a saber, em Formação da Literatura Brasileira (1959) e "Literatura e Subdesenvolvimento" (1969), a inserção da literatura brasileira dentro de um sistema internacional de trocas literárias. Aberto para os debates sobre economia e política, Candido reformula em "Literatura e Subdesenvolvimento" o modelo de Formação para incorporar os debates sobre desenvolvimento e dependência feitos a partir dos anos 1960, buscando maior autonomia para a literatura nacional dentro de um sistema internacional de trocas literárias, sem deixar de ser crítico ao atraso socioeconômico do Brasil. Espera-se com isso também analisar como o lugar de enunciação do modelo de Candido, quando comparado ao de Pascale Casanova, uma das maiores referências para os estudos em Literatura Mundo, demonstra uma maior preocupação com a autonomia da literatura Latino-Americana.
Oswald de Andrade e a antropofagia na crítica formativa de Antonio Candido
Authors: Pivetta de Oliveira Rejane
Published: May 2020

Neste artigo, analisamos os ensaios de Antonio Candido sobre obra de Oswald de Andrade, especialmente “Estouro e libertação”, de 1944, e “Digressão sentimental sobre Oswald de Andrade”, de 1970, buscando elucidar os pressupostos da crítica formativa e os contrastes que estabelece com o discurso da antropofagia.
SEMPREVIVA E MULAS COMO REPRESENTAÇÃO DE UM ESPAÇO TRANSCULTURAL E TRANSNACIONAL
Authors: Arf Lucilene Machado Garcia
Published: May 2020

A leitura do texto literário aponta para a necessidade de um olhar crítico e profundo sobre as fronteiras, uma vez que a mobilidade cultural revela a construção de um espaço transcultural e transnacional diferenciado. Com este estudo, buscamos um olhar mais atento à produção literocultural da fronteira oeste de Mato Grosso do Sul, enfatizando a necessidade de abarcar os conceitos de transculturalidade e transnacionalidade para compreender a narratividade da existência humana, bem como vislumbrar novas perspectivas interpretativas. Utilizamos como objeto de investigação as obras Mulas, de Luiz Taques e Sempreviva de Antonio Callado e para referenciar esse trabalho, buscamos o pensamento de Homi Bhabha como o principal aporte teórico para reflexões a respeito dos princípios da formação identitária, comportamentos, impasses e avanços na fronteira. Usamos ainda Ítalo Calvino, entre outros, para falar de literatura e sociedade e a necessidade desta no constructo da memória.
Effects of reward distribution strategies and perseverance profiles on agent-based coalitions dynamics
Authors: Ludescher Luís Gustavo , Sichman Jaime Simão
Published: May 2020

In a conventional political system, leaders decide how to distribute benefits to the population and coalitions can emerge when other individuals support the candidates. This work intends to analyze how different leader strategies and individual profiles affect the way coalitions are formed and rewards are shared. Using agent-based simulation, we simulated a model in which individuals of three different perseverance profiles (patient, intermediate and impatient) eventually decide to be part of coalitions by supporting certain leaders when aiming to maximize their own earnings. Leaders can follow one of three different strategies to share rewards: altruistic, intermediate and egoistic. The results show that egoistic leaders stimulate the competition for rewards and the formation of coalitions, causing greater inequalities, while impatient individuals also promote more instability and lead to a higher concentration of rewards.
Mosaik and PADE: Multiagents and Co-simulation for smart grids modeling
Authors: Melo Lucas Silveira , Saraiva Filipe , Leão Ruth , Sampaio Raimundo Furtado , Barroso Giovanni Cordeiro
Published: May 2020

This paper describes the integration process between two tools in order to perform co-simulation for representation and analysis of dynamic environments in the context of smart grids. The integrated tools are Mosaik, a software to co-simulation management, and PADE, a software to multi-agent systems development. As a study case for demonstrate the integration, a scenary was utilized composed of a low voltage electricity distribution grid with 37 load bus, 20 photo-voltaic distributed generations, randomly connected to load bus, as well as, 20 PADE agents associated to distributed generation, modeling the behavior of electricity storage systems. The simulation results show the integration happening and demonstrate how useful is to model the dynamics of distributed electric resources with multi-agent systems.
Reactive multi-agent system applied to self-healing in Smart Grids
Authors: Campos Italo Ramon da Costa , Saraiva Filipe
Published: May 2020

This paper presents a decentralized algorithm for application in the smart grids self-healing problem, at the distribution level. The algorithm implementation is made using a reactive multi-agent system, which models the electrical grid in terms of autonomous agents which perform the algorithm operations in a distributed and parallel way. To validate this algorithm, two distribution network test models are used: a 15 bus model and a 33 bus model — standardized by IEEE. The results are obtained by means of computational simulation and shown in this paper, to each one of the network models. The results show that the proposed approach is able to recover all the nodes of the grid, within the simulation conditions. Moreover, it is seen that the multi-agent system directs the work load exactly to the failure point, preventing the involvement of the entire grid to the self-healing process.
Similar Yet Different: the Structure of Social Networks of Characters in Seinfeld, Friends, How I met Your Mother, and The Big Bang Theory
Authors: Bazzan Ana Lúcia Cetertich
Published: May 2020

Networktheoryhasbeenusedtoanalyzestructuresofnarrativesinworksoffiction.Indeed,previous works have shed light on issues related to role detection, for instance. However, few comparative works exist that deal with TV shows. Since these shows are very popular, there are several Internet forums that suggest how similar some of them are, mostly by comparing roles or importance of core characters. Is this popular intuition backed by an objective, numerical analysis using tools from network theory? The goal of this paper is to compare four situation comedies (Seinfeld, Friends, How I Met Your Mother, and The Big Bang Theory) that share a lot in common since their characters are friends living in similar, urban, environments, struggling with their daily lives, careers, and so on. Using tools for analyzing social networks, these shows were compared, showing that their structures and the roles of the core characters are fundamentally different. The only measure that proved to be similar among the four shows is entropy of their graphs, especially when computed over the degree distribution.
INTERAÇÃO ENTRE AS POLÍTICAS FISCAL E MONETÁRIA: UMA ANÁLISE SOBRE O REGIME DE DOMINÂNCIA VIGENTE NA ECONOMIA BRASILEIRA
Authors: Nobrega Wellington Charles Lacerda , Maia Sinézio Fernandes , Besarria Cássio Da Nóbrega
Published: May 2020

Este artigo tem o propósito de investigar o regime de dominância (monetáriaou fiscal) vigente na economia brasileira no período de 2003 a 2015. Para isso, empregase o modelo de vetores autorregressivos (VAR) como primeiro exercício. Os resultadosobtidos nessa etapa sugerem a existência de uma relação de dominância monetária.Entretanto, verifica-se uma mudança estrutural na relação entre as variáveis no ano de2011. Por meio de regressões múltiplas da equação da dívida com inclusão de variáveisdummies, verifica-se que a oferta monetária passa a apresentar relação negativa coma dívida, sugerindo que a expansão da base monetária foi utilizada para estabilizar ascontas públicas. Esse resultado sugere que há indícios de um regime de dominânciafiscal para o período recente, o que é corroborado pelo método VAR com mudançamarkoviana (MS-VAR), pelo qual é possível identificar a existência de dois regimes bemdefinidos no período analisado.
UMA ANÁLISE DA DESIGUALDADE DO CRÉDITO ENTRE OS MUNICÍPIOS DO ESTADO DO RIO DE JANEIRO - 2000-2009
Authors: Thomazi Luciana Da Cruz , De Paula Luiz Fernando
Published: May 2020

O objetivo deste artigo é analisar a distribuição regional do crédito no Estado do Rio de Janeiro, em particular o comportamento de agências e a distribuição do movimento financeiro bancário, e suas relações com a dinâmica de desenvolvimento econômico no Estado do Rio de Janeiro. Para tanto, foram construídos indicadores a partir de dados relativos à atividade econômica e do balanço consolidado das agências bancárias dos 92 municípios fluminenses para o período de 2000 a 2009. Através da análise destes indicadores conclui-se que a despeito da forte concentração econômica e de crédito na região metropolitana do Estado do Rio de Janeiro, as cidades do interior vem apresentando um dinamismo diferenciado evidenciando certa tendência à desconcentração do crédito, acompanhando a tendência de desconcentração econômica, reforçando a relação entre desenvolvimento econômico e financeiro e a concepção de que o movimento financeiro se concentra no entorno de cidades de forte dinamismo econômico.
DIFERENCIAL DE RENDA DO MIGRANTE DE RETORNO NORDESTINO POR SETOR DE TRABALHO
Authors: Lima Cicero Francisco de , Araujo Jair Andrade , Costa Edward Martins
Published: May 2020

Este trabalho tem como objetivo analisar o efeito discriminação derendimentos do trabalho por sexo, cor e situação de domicílio entre os migrantes deretorno nordestino. A análise considera quatro setores de atividade na região Nordeste:setor formal privado, informal privado, público e autônomo informal. Para se realizara análise do diferencial de rendimentos, utiliza-se o método não paramétrico deÑopo (2008). Como resultado, o modelo aponta discriminação de rendimentos porsexo em relação às mulheres em todos os setores, exceto no setor público. Ademais,os resultados referentes aos retornados por situação de domicílios são similares aopareamento por sexo. Em relação à decomposição de rendimento por cor, o efeitodiscriminação apresenta-se negativo no mercado de trabalho agregado e no setorinformal privado.
O PARADOXAL REGIME DE CRESCIMENTO BRASILEIRO NO PERÍODO PRÉ PLANO REAL
Authors: Netto Arthur Brackmann
Published: May 2020

É frequente o debate entre economistas ortodoxos e heterodoxos quanto à efetividade das políticas neoliberais implementadas após plano real. Entretanto, o regime de crescimento da economia é, quando muito, apenas suposta, não passando por validação empírica. Deste modo, busca-se com uso do referencial kaleckiano testar empiricamente o regime de crescimento da economia brasileira antes da implantação do plano real, com o objetivo de dar embasamento ao debate. Foi encontrado, de acordo com o modelo apresentado por Bhaduri e Marglin (1990), uma estrutura doméstica profit-led e uma estrutura total wage-led, resultados peculiares quando contrastados com a literatura, porém condizentes com fatos históricos e teoria.
Patient and Provider Characteristics Associated With Sodium–Glucose Cotransporter 2 Inhibitor Prescription in Patients With Diabetes and Proteinuric Chronic Kidney Disease
Authors: McCoy Ian E. , Han Jialin , Montez-Rath Maria E. , Chertow Glenn M. , Rhee Jinnie J.
Published: May 2020

Despite
accumulating evidence of cardiorenal benefits from sodium–glucose cotransporter
2 (SGLT2) inhibitors, prescription of agents in this drug class may be limited
by concerns regarding adverse effects and interdisciplinary care coordination. To
investigate these potential barriers, we performed a cross-sectional study of
SGLT2 inhibitor prescriptions in 2017 in 3,779 adults with type 2 diabetes and
proteinuric chronic kidney disease from a nationwide database. Only 173 (5%) of
these patients received an SGLT2 inhibitor in 2017. Younger age, renin-angiotensin-aldosterone
system inhibitor prescription, and higher estimated glomerular filtration rate
were associated with SGLT2 inhibitor prescription. Primary care providers were
responsible for the majority of the prescriptions. Continued efforts should be
made to track and improve SGLT2 inhibitor use in indicated populations.
The influence of baseline diastolic blood pressure on the effects of intensive blood pressure lowering on cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause mortality in type 2 diabetes mellitus
Authors: Ilkun Olesya L. , Greene Tom , Cheung Alfred K. , Whelton Paul K. , Wei Guo , Boucher Robert E. , Ambrosius Walter , Chertow Glenn M. , Beddhu Srinivasan
Published: May 2020

Objective: To examine whether low
baseline diastolic blood pressure (DBP) modifies the effects of intensive
systolic blood pressure (SBP) lowering on cardiovascular outcomes in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

Research Design and Methods: The Action to
Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes Blood Pressure trial (ACCORD BP),a 2X2
factorial randomized controlled trial, examined effects of SBP (<120 vs.
<140 mmHg) and glycemic (HbA1C < 6% vs. 7.0–7.9% (<42 vs 53-63
mmol/mol)) control on cardiovascular events in T2DM (N=4731). We
examined whether effects of SBP control on cardiovascular composite was modified
by baseline DBP and glycemic control.

Results: Intensive SBP lowering decreased the risk of the
cardiovascular composite (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.59 to 0.98) in the standard
glycemic arm but not in the intensive glycemic arm (HR=1.06, 95% CI 0.81 to
1.40). Spline regression models relating the effects of the intervention on the
cardiovascular composite across the range of baseline DBP did not show evidence
of effect modification by low baseline DBP for the cardiovascular composite in
the standard or intensive glycemic arms.
The relation between the effect of the intensive SBP intervention and
baseline DBP was similar between glycemic arms for the cardiovascular composite
(3-way interaction p-value = 0.83).

Conclusions:
in
persons with T2DM, intensive SBP lowering decreased the risk of cardiovascular
composite endpoint irrespective of baseline DBP in the setting of standard
glycemic control. Hence, low baseline DBP should not be an impediment to intensive
SBP lowering in T2DM patients treated with guidelines recommended standard
glycemic control.
Cardiovascular risk reduction with liraglutide: an exploratory mediation analysis of the LEADER trial
Authors: Buse John B , Bain Stephen C , Mann Johannes FE , Nauck Michael A , Nissen Steven E , Pocock Stuart , Poulter Neil R , Pratley Richard E , Linder Martin , Fries Tea Monk , Ørsted David D , Zinman Bernard , Investigators LEADER Trial
Published: May 2020

Objective

The LEADER trial (NCT01179048) demonstrated a reduced
risk of cardiovascular (CV) events for patients with type 2 diabetes who
received the glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist liraglutide versus
placebo. The mechanisms behind this CV benefit remain unclear. We aimed to identify potential
mediators for the CV benefit observed with liraglutide in the LEADER trial.
Research Design and Methods

We
performed exploratory analyses to identify potential mediators of the effect of
liraglutide on major adverse CV events (MACE: composite of CV death, non-fatal
myocardial infarction or non-fatal stroke) from the following candidates: HbA1c,
body weight, urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR), confirmed hypoglycemia,
sulfonylurea use, insulin use, systolic blood pressure and LDL-cholesterol.
These candidates were selected as CV risk factors on which liraglutide had an
effect in LEADER such that a reduction in CV risk might result. We used two
methods based on a Cox proportional hazards model, and the new Vansteelandt
method designed to utilize all available information from the mediator and to
control for confounding factors.
Results

Analyses using the Cox methods and Vansteelandt method
indicated potential mediation by HbA1c (up to 41% and 83% mediation,
respectively) and UACR (up to 29% and 33% mediation, respectively) on the
effect of liraglutide on MACE. Mediation effects were small for other
candidates.
Conclusions

These analyses identify HbA1c
and, to a lesser extent, UACR as potential mediators of the CV effects of
liraglutide. Whether either is a marker of an unmeasured factor or a true
mediator remains a key question that invites further investigation.
Lamé curve approximation for the assessment of the 3D temperature distribution in keyhole mode welding processes
Authors: Artinov Antoni , Karkhin Victor , Bakir Nasim , Meng Xiangmeng , Bachmann Marcel , Gumenyuk Andrey , Rethmeier Michael
Published: May 2020

A novel approach for the reconstruction of an equivalent volumetric heat source from a known weld pool shape is proposed. It is based on previously obtained weld pool geometries from a steady-state thermo-fluid dynamics simulation. Hereby, the weld pool dimensions are obtained under consideration of the most crucial physical phenomena, such as phase transformations, thermo-capillary convection, natural convection, and temperature-dependent material properties. The algorithm provides a time and calibration efficient way for the reproduction of the weld pool shape by local Lamé curves. By adjusting their parameters, the identification of the finite elements located within the weld pool is enabled. The heat input due to the equivalent heat source is assured by replacing the detected nodes' temperature by the melting temperature. The model offers variable parameters making it flexible and adaptable for a wide range of workpiece thicknesses and materials and allows for the investigation of transient thermal effects, e.g., the cooling stage of the workpiece. The calculation times remain acceptably short especially when compared to a fully coupled process simulation. The computational results are in good agreement with performed complete-penetration laser beam welding experiments.
The Medieval Cultural and Political Origins of the Industrial Revolution
Authors: Romeiro Ademar Ribeiro
Published: May 2020

This article argues that cultural and political legacies from the Middle Ages were crucial for the sustained economic growth that led to the Industrial Revolution. The medieval social/political orders had an exceptional openness to innovations (technological, organizational and institutional) when compared to other contemporary civilizations. Such openness was caused by the competition between them, as well as by the existence of multiple organizations independent from the State. The emergence of national states changed the medieval scenario but a legacy of some of its important cultural/institutional features remained and played a decisive role in the forthcoming Industrial Revolution: the Rule of Law, individualism, representative assemblies, the respect for labor and professions (notably the merchants) and the embryo of a culture of economic growth. Also, the legacy of a process of accumulation of capital, which was translated into a superior level of labor productivity when compared to those prevailing in any other civilization until that moment.
How transport costs depend on infrastructure?
Authors: Do Ahn Hyung , Lee Hong Shik
Published: May 2020

The real costs of trade, the transport and other costs of doing business internationally, are very important determinants of a country's ability to participate fully in the world economy. Remoteness and poor transport and communications infrastructure isolate countries, inhibiting their participation in global production networks. This paper investigates the dependence of transport costs on geography and infrastructure It shows that infrastructure is quantitatively important in determining transport costs, and improvements in infrastructure can dramatically increase trade flows. It also finds that the low level of Northeast Asian countries' trade flows is largely due to poor infrastructure. Competition among countries in East Asia to maintain or become a logistic hub in the region is severe. This is reflected in the competition to build or expand airports and seaports in the region. Competing countries need to find ways of cooperating to achieve an efficient resource allocation in the region as a whole.
Freight Logistics: A New Area for Cooperation Between Korea and Australia?
Authors: Rimmer Peter J.
Published: May 2020

The governments of Australia and the Republic of Korea recognize the importance of freight logistics in improving national competitive advantage. As they are seeking to capitalize on the economy-wide benefits to be derived from a world-class freight logistics industry, there is a need to keep abreast of their respective freight logistics policy initiatives as the basis for exploring prospects for mutual cooperation within the broader Asian-Pacific context. Attention here is focused on evaluating the Australian Government 's Freight Transport Logistics Industry Action Agenda to reflect on its relevance to the Korean Government ' s aspirations to become the Business Hub of Northeast Asia as envisioned in the Presidential Committee's Road Map for Promoting Northeast Asian Logistics Hub.
Port Development and the Environment: External Costs from Dredge Disposal and Air Pollution
Authors: Grigalunas Thomas , Trandafrr Simona , Luo Meifeng , Opaluch James , Kwon Suk-Jae
Published: May 2020

This paper analyzes two external costs often associated with port development, cost to fisheries from marine dredge disposal and damages from air pollution, using estimates of development and operation for a proposed (but since cancelled) container port as a case study. For dredge disposal, a bio-economic model was used to assess short- and long-term and indirect (joodweb) damages to fisheries from marine disposal of clean sediments. In the case of air pollution, estimates of annual activity levels and emission coefficients are used to estimate incremental annual emissions of three key pollutants (NOx, HC and CO) for trucks, trains, yard vehicles, and vessels. These estimates allow for phasing in of strict new air pollution regulations. For both external costs, sensitivity analyses are used to reflect uncertainty. Estimates of shadow values in year 2002 dollars amount from $0.094 per cubic yard to $0.169 per cubic yard of clean dredged material for the selected disposal site and from $0.0584 per mile (jor current control standards) to $ 0. 0023 per mile (after phasing in of new regulations) for air pollution from heavy trucks.
Trade Structure and Trade Potential in East Asia
Authors: Nam Sang-yirl
Published: May 2020

World trade has been increasing rapidly and much faster than world output. This study analyzes the trade structures of major dynamic East Asian countries as well as regional subgroups such as ASEAN members and Northeast Asian countries. Emphasis will be on the complementarities that would enhance integration among them through international trade. In addition, potential trade levels for each combination of East Asian countries are estimated by applying the gravity model of trade to the trade flows of21 APEC members, as a reference group. It is estimated to have significant potentiality by regional subgroup, ASEAN or Northeast Asia, and not between the two regional subgroups. However, the potential integration between East Asian countries in different regional subgroups is more significant by considering complementarities in trade compared with the results from the basic gravity model. To enhance economic cooperation between East Asian countries, expanding relationships such as inter-industry trade in natural resources trade and industrial goods between the regional subgroups needs to occur. They should also utilize complementary relationships from intra-industry trade in industrial goods such as electric and electronic equipment, related parts and accessories. And they should focus on the implementation of trade facilitation measures based on global standards.
Intermodal Logistics Policies: Where Do We Stand Internationally?
Authors: Hom Burkhard E.
Published: May 2020

This paper defines the emerging intermodal issues, identifies alternative solutions and develops strategies to achieve them. It reviews intermodal logistics policies in the EU, NAFTA and Asia, focusing on the United States and Japan in NAFTA and Asia respectively, because they have been the prominent motors of international trade in their regions. From an Asian standpoint, it is a pity that it is not yet possible to report on a common intermodal strategy.