Abstract 845: Population attributable fraction of cancer incidence due to infectious agents in 2020 in the Republic of Korea
Authors: Lee Kyung-Shin , Lee Hwa Jin , Choi Yoon-Jung , Ki Moran , Shin Aesun , Kim Jong-Hun , Park Sue-Kyung , Sung So-Seul , Moon Sung Ji , Seo Hong Gwan , Oh Jin-Kyoung , Im Jeong-Soo 
Published: March 2024

Purpose: Earlier in 2009, National Cancer Center Korea estimated population attributable fraction (PAF) of cancer incidence due to infectious agents as 24.5% in men and 15.4% in women. This study aimed to investigate the proportion of cancer incidence attributable to infectious agents in the Korean population as of 2020.

Materials and Methods: We organized the Consensus Committee to establish strategy and methodology of PAF estimation. Based on the consensus, infectious agents and cancer sites for PAF estimation were selected according to the IARC List of classification with sufficient evidence in human. As a result, infectious agents included hepatitis B and C virus (HBV and HCV), Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori), human papilloma virus (HPV), Clonorchis sinensis (C.sinensis), Epstein Barr virus, and human immunodeficiency virus, and cancer sites included hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), cholangiocarcinoma (CCC), gastric cancer, pancreatic cancer, cervical cancer, and non-Hodgkin lymphoma. The PAF was calculated by using Levin’s formula including exposure prevalence and relative risks (RRs). Exposure prevalence data were collected from literature review of studies in Korean population in 2005 or earlier, assuming at least 15 years of latent period from risk exposure to cancer development. We performed systematic review for cohort studies and case-control studies which investigated RRs or ORs of cancer due to infectious agents in Korean population. Pooled RRs were estimated by meta-analysis of RRs or ORs by using random-effects model.

Results: The fractions of all cancer incidence attributable to infectious agents were estimated to be 13.5% and 7.1% in men and women, respectively. The reduction in PAFs of cancer incidence due to infection in 2020 compared to 2009 is considered due to decrease in exposure prevalence. The major findings regarding infectious agents with large PAFs are as the following. We found that the fractions of HCC cases attributable to HBV infection were 47.7% and 38.4% for cancer incidence in men and women, respectively. The estimated PAFs of gastric cancer due to H. pylori were 40.4% in men and 38.2% in women. C. sinensis was related to 9.8% of CCC cases in men and 5.2% in women. A total of 77.7% of cervical cancer incidence was attributed to HPV infection.

Conclusion: Although the total PAF due to infection has decreased over the last decade, infection still contributes a substantial fraction to cancer incidence in Korea. These recent estimates of cancer burden due to infection are important for planning and evaluating the national cancer prevention programs.

Citation Format: Kyung-Shin Lee, Hwa Jin Lee, Yoon-Jung Choi, Moran Ki, Aesun Shin, Jong-Hun Kim, Sue-Kyung Park, So-Seul Sung, Sung Ji Moon, Hong Gwan Seo, Jin-Kyoung Oh, Jeong-Soo Im. Population attributable fraction of cancer incidence due to infectious agents in 2020 in the Republic of Korea [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2024; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2024 Apr 5-10; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(6_Suppl):Abstract nr 845.