bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025 huggingface dataset:
Better Change a Running System: Implementierung von Innovations- und Nachhaltigkeitsprozessen in Entwicklungsabteilungen Oliver Keller,
Authors: Keller Oliver , Stawenow Paul , Kapetan Marco
Published: September 2021

Im Design ist Empathie der Schlüssel zum Erfolg. Warum? Weil diese Denkweise sich als höchst effizient bei der Lösung von Problemen erwiesen hat. Empathie sorgt dafür, dass ein Produkt in erster Linie einen Wert für den Menschen hat. Nachhaltiger Wert für den Menschen ist der Garant für beständigen Erfolg. Innovative Unternehmen haben die Chance erkannt und haben ihre Entscheidungs- und Entwicklungsprozesse angepasst. Doch längst nicht alle Firmen haben diesen Wandel vollzogen oder können es tun. In unterschiedlichsten Branchen begleiten wir Unternehmen sowohl auf der Entscheiderebene als auch in den Entwicklungsabteilungen interdisziplinär. Dabei arbeiten wir mit unterschiedlichen Ansätzen und Prozessen, um Innovation möglich zu machen. In unserem Beitrag teilen wir unsere Erfahrungen zur gegenwärtigen Entwicklung in der Digitalisierung. Wir liefern wir spannende Insights zu Innovationen und zum Thema Nachhaltigkeit in mittelständigen Unternehmen bis zu den Global Playern
User Research im Zukunftsorientiertem Design-Thinking: Eine Ganzheitliche Methode für das Stakeholder-Management in der Service-Optimierung
Authors:   Hochschule für Bildende Künste Braunschweig, Institut für Designforschung, Mozuni Mehdi , Ohlhoff Maren ,   Hochschule für Bildende Künste Braunschweig, Institut für Designforschung, Glatzel Gerhard ,   Hochschule für Bildende Künste Braunschweig, Institut für Designforschung
Published: September 2021

User Research ist eine wichtige und in vielen Ansätzen die erste Phase eines iterativen Designprozesses. Aber wie kann eine valide User Research für eine in die weite Zukunft gerichtete Produktgestaltung durchgeführt werden? User Research erfordert die Einbindung zukünftiger NutzerInnen oder potentieller KundInnen. Diese können aber überwiegend keine plausible Auskunft über die eigenen Bedürfnisse der (fernen) Zukunft geben. Auch können sie ausgehend vom individuellen Ist-Zustand nicht zwischen realisierbaren und utopischen Produktkonzepten unterscheiden. In diesem Beitrag diskutieren wir die Herausforderungen von User Research speziell für mittel- und langfristige Zielsetzungen und stellen einen Lösungsansatz vor: Wir empfehlen daher den Designprozess mit einem Szenarioverfahren zu initiieren, welcher eine Trendanalyse und eine Expertenbefragung beinhaltet. Aufbauend auf den Ergebnissen aus der Szenarioarbeit werden die NutzerInnen in einer späteren Phase des Designprozesses zur Evaluierung von Nutzungsszenarien eingebunden. Anhand von zwei aktuellen transdisziplinären Projekten „Elektrifizierung von landwirtschaftlichen Betrieben“ und „Sustainable Energy-Efficient Aviation“, in denen der angenommene Status zukünftiger sozialer, wirtschaftlicher und politischer Trends die Perspektive und das Konsumverhalten fiktiver NutzerInnen kontinuierlich prägen wird, zeigen wir, wie wir Nutzerforschung in strategischen Designprozessen mit hoher Vorhersagegüte einsetzen.
Sonoist: An Innovative Peer Ultrasound Learning Initiative on Canadian Teaching Hospital Wards
Authors: Yan Laura , Niburski Kacper , Snell Linda
Published: September 2021

Background: Students usually learn point-of-care ultrasound (PoCUS) on standardized patients, thus lacking opportunities to correlate their ultrasound findings with clinical abnormalities. Sonoist is a student-led initiative aimed at improving ultrasound training with peer-teaching and real patients. We describe here a pilot project of Sonoist, its implementation and evaluation.

Methods: Sonoist was developed by Independent-Practitioner-certified medical students who teach their peers how to scan patients with abnormal clinical findings, then correlating their ultrasound findings with the physical examination. From May 2019 to February 2020, seven sessions were held, with a sessional average of 3 participants and 3 patients scanned. We collected survey data on ultrasound knowledge, participants’ perceived self-improvement, and general comments. Results were grouped by prior ultrasound training (novice n=8, experienced n=12) and year of study (1-4).

Results: 20/23 completed the survey. An increase in ultrasound skill was perceived by 100% of novices and 66.7% of experienced learners. Knowledge about clinical indications for PoCUS improved in 80% of novice and 81% of experienced students; sonographic knowledge improved in 69% of novices and 81.3% of experienced learners. All novices and 91.7% of experienced learners reported that learning ultrasound was useful for correlating with physical exam and clinical diagnosis. All novices and 83% of experienced students preferred peer-to-peer teaching.

Conclusion: Peer-to-peer PoCUS teaching improved medical students’ sonographic and clinical knowledge, and is perceived as useful by students. A combination of early clinical exposure and a less stressful environment from peer teaching may contribute to these results.
КОНТАКТ ІЗ ЧАСТКОВИМ ПРОКОВЗУВАННЯМ МІЖ ПРУЖНИМ ПІВПРОСТОРОМ І КРУГОВИМ ШТАМПОМ ПІД ДІЄЮ НОРМАЛЬНОГО І ДОТИЧНОГО НАВАНТАЖЕНЬ
Authors: Стреляєв Ю. М.
Published: September 2021

У статті представлено новий підхід до розв’язання квазістатичної просторової контактної задачі про фрикційну взаємодію жорсткого циліндричного штампа із плоскою основою та пружного півпростору, за умови послідовної дії на штамп монотонно зростаючих нормального та дотичного навантажень. Для врахування тертя ми використовували закон Кулона в класичній неспрощеній формі. Зони зчеплення і проковзування вважали заздалегідь невідомими і такими, що потрібно знайти. Процес навантажування моделювався скінченним числом станів рівноваги – кроків навантажування. Контактну задачу зведено до послідовного розв’язання однотипних систем нелінійних граничних інтегральних рівнянь на кожному кроці дискретного процесу навантажування. Отримані інтегральні рівняння характеризуються тим, що їхній вигляд не залежить від конфігурації зон зчеплення і проковзування. Для складання таких рівнянь необхідно лише вказати канонічну обмежену плоску область, яка містить у собі невідомі ділянки контакту на усіх етапах процесу навантажування тіл. Для отримання наближених розв’язків цих систем виконано їх дискретизацію. Побудовано збіжні ітераційні процеси для числового розв’язання отриманих в результаті цієї дискретизації систем нелінійних скалярних рівнянь. За допомогою числових розрахунків, виконаних при різних значеннях дотичного переміщення штампа, дослідили процес зміни розподілів діючих на його основу питомих контактних зусиль. Також досліджено відносні переміщення контактуючих поверхонь та еволюцію форм і розмірів зон зчеплення і проковзування при поступовому збільшенні дотичного навантажування. Встановили, що з появою дотичної сили зона зчеплення втрачає симетрію і зміщується до переднього, відносно напрямку руху, краю штампа. При збільшенні зовнішнього дотичного зусилля площа зони зчеплення зменшується і стає нульовою за умови початку повного проковзування штампа по поверхні півпростору. Найбільші значення питомих дотичних контактних зусиль та відносних переміщень контактуючих поверхонь досягаються біля заднього, відносно напрямку руху, краю штампа.
Message from the Editor-in-Chief of International Journal of Science Annals, Vol. 4, No. 1, 2021
Authors: Melnyk Yu. B.
Published: September 2021

Dear Readers and Authors, It is a great honor for us to publish the International Journal of Science Annals (IJSA) for the fourth year in a row. IJSA is an academic periodical peer-reviewed indexed Journal that provides a scientific platform for presenting and discussing new trends and issues in Social and Behavioral Sciences. IJSA mission: international cooperation of scientists conducting research in the field of integration of human sciences and health. IJSA Editorial Board includes the most authoritative scientists from 17 countries, 5 continents in the fields of Education, Psychology, Medicine. For 3.5 years of its existence, the IJSA is presented in more than 35 international scientometric databases, repositories and search engines, such as Crossref System, Google Scholar, OAJI (USA); ISSN, ROAD (France); COPE, EndNote, OpenDOAR, CORE, Jisc (UK); DOAJ, Scilit (Switzerland); Publons (New Zealand); ERIH PLUS, OpenAIRE (Norway); BASE, ResearchGate, ASI (Germany); MIAR (Spain); Index Copernicus International (Poland); DRJI (India); RSCI (Russia); OUCI, National Library of Ukraine (Ukraine), etc. It is a great honor and responsibility for the IJSA to become a full member of the Committee of Publication Ethics (COPE) (https://is.gd/COPE_IJSA) The IJSA is indexed in: ICI ICV 91.27; ICDS 3.5; CGIJ OAJI 0.251.
Psychological well-being of COVID positive patients during quarantine in a South Indian Private Hospital
Authors: Chakrabart S.
Published: September 2021

Background: The Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has led to unparallel hazards to mental health globally. Many countries around the world have introduced quarantine measures. Quarantine has changed not only the plans of most people, but also their way of life. The greatest impact of quarantine is experienced by COVID positive patients who are isolated in a hospital. The aim of the study: to explore psychological well-being of COVID positive patients during quarantine in a private hospital. Materials and Methods: In this study, 100 patients who were COVID positive were requested to fill the Quality of Life Questionnaire. A pre-validated questionnaire was used to assess the depression score amongst COVID positive patients. The analysis of the answers and respondent opinions was conducted using the Pearson method, which produced statistically relevant results. Results: The studied aspects of mental health patients: sleep, appetite, crying spells; happiness and hope for the future; ability to concentrate and focus and getting disturbed easily by trivia; support received from family and friends; overall outlook of life and ability to stay happy in solitude. As a result, qualitative indicators of the patients’ mental health during quarantine in a private hospital were obtained. Conclusions: The data obtained showed that patients managed to stay happy and eat well but they talked less, had disturbed sleep and did not look forward towards a hopeful future. Some were able to shake away the blues with family, friends on Online Media but some got depressed and got crying spells and thought that their life was a failure. The study concluded that patients on quarantine were often depressed. Many patients might benefit if psychological counselling and support are employed during quarantine measures.
A topical methodology research subject in the European area of higher education: ELF, EFL or ESP?
Authors: Maslov Y. V.
Published: September 2021

The European “ecosystem” of higher education seems to have been affected by the global pandemic in a number of ways. Some of these impacts may well be viewed as negative; some others, as giving a new impetus to the development of the entire educational system. It is evident, for instance, that the dire necessity to “go virtual” has created new avenues for the intensification of contacts between educators who previously were less motivated to do so (Magomedov et al. 2020, Melnyk et al., 2020). That clearly manifests the fact that the ongoing process of transformations taking place in national higher education systems across Europe has not slowed down at all, which has made some of the current cultural and educational challenges even more pressing. One such challenge is the necessity to effectively use ELF (English as a lingua franca). Researchers working in post-communist countries have made valuable contributions to linguistic studies, especially in the area of EFL studies, as these countries clearly belong to the so-called Expanding Circle. However, the social and cultural realities of today call for more focus not on EFL studies but on research in the field of ELF and ESP (English for Specific Purposes). It is explained by the fact that the ability to use ESP is now a highly desirable skill for the majority of professionals working in the post-communist part of Europe.
Infrastructural Investments and Economic Growth: Evidence from Pakistan
Authors: Ayub Muhammad , Rasheed Rabia , Ahmad Rashid , Bashir Furrukh
Published: September 2021

Purpose: The goal of this study is to make an attempt to find out the relationships between infrastructural investments and economic growth.

Design/Methodology/Approach: The study employs time series data over the years from 1972 to 2020. To observe the long-run and short-run impact of infrastructural investments on economic growth, an ARDL modeling approach to co- integration is used that is most suitable technique over some other techniques of integration after inspecting the stationary level of data via ADF test.

Findings: The findings of the study indicate that Investments on Railways, Roads, Gas Projects, Telecommunication, Water Projects and Power Projects appear as efficient factors for enhancing economic growth of Pakistan in the long run.

Implications/Originality/Value: It is suggested that government should increase the public and private investment for development of Railways, Roads, Telecommunication and Water projects in Pakistan.
Employee Green Behaviour as a Consequence of Green HRM Practices and Ethical Leadership: The Mediating Role of Green Self Efficacy
Authors: Adnan Muhammad
Published: September 2021

Purpose: According to latest researches, corporate people are becoming more aware of the significance of ecological issues. Since the HR department may play an essential role in being “Green”, GHRM (Green Human Resource Management) has emerged as a vital business strategy for firms. Researchers in Organizational Behavior and Sustainable Development have been concentrating on the role of corporate leaders in promoting Employee Green Behavior (EGB). This study investigates the impact of Green HRM practices and Ethical Leadership on Green Behavior of employees with the mediating role of Green Self-Efficacy.

Design/Methodology/Approach: Multilevel data was collected from 250 employees, working as HR managers and Heads of different industries working in Multan and Lahore regions of Pakistan. The study is using convenient sampling technique. Smart PLS-SEM was used for data analysis.

Findings: The results shows that Green HRM practices shows positive relationship with Employee Green Behavior and Self-efficacy while Ethical Leadership shows an insignificant relationship with Employee Green Behavior. Furthermore, Self-efficacy demonstrated significant inter-dependent behvior to describe above mentioned relationship.

Implications/Originality/Value: The present study can be helpful for HR managers and policy makers to get useful insight on how GHRM can contribute to get employee green behaviors. It strengthens the efficacy of organizational green HRM systems and provides theoretical based analytics to improve GHRM research.
Spectrum of genetic disorders and the impact on health care delivery: an introduction
Authors: El Hazmi v
Published: September 2021

Until recently, infectious diseases and malnutrition-related disorders constituted the major cause of ill health and mortality in the world population. However, advances in treatment of such disorders and increased understanding of the molecular basis of heredity have led to genetically transmitted conditions becoming a major cause of morbidity and mortality. Several disorders, including chromosomal [Down syndrome, Turner syndrome], single-gene [sickle-cell disease, thalassaemia, glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase deficiency, haemophilia, inborn errors of metabolism]and multifactorial disorders [coronary artery disease, arteriosclerosis, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, obesity]are common and becoming increasingly important. As there is no agreed-upon definitive cure with acceptable risk, these disorders are a significant burden on the health care delivery system. This is because the chronic nature of genetic diseases requires lifelong medical attention, expensive supportive and symptomatic therapy and specialist care. This review outlines the genetic disorders, their impact on health care delivery systems and the general framework required to prevent and control these disorders
Who uses the emergency room services?
Authors: Abdallat A. M. , Al Samadi I. , Abbadi M. D.
Published: September 2021

This study aimed to clarify whether patients attending an emergency room generally had non-urgent problems. A study was made of 2841 patients attending the emergency room of Prince Zaid Ben Al-Hussein military hospital [south Jordan]over a 1-month period using data from the registration book. Patients were classified into four classes of urgency [life-threatening, urgent, non-urgent, trivial]. The attendees were mainly children [26.4%]. The admission rate was 3.2% and non-urgent conditions accounted for 91% of cases. Much of the use of emergency services was found to be inappropriate, a situation which should be changed.
Cutaneous leishmaniasis in the Libyan Arab Jamahiriya: a study of the Yafran area
Authors: El Buni A. A. , Jabeal I. , Ben Darif A. T.
Published: September 2021

We studied 445 cases of cutaneous leishmaniasis in the Yafran area during the period February 1991 to December 1992. The highest incidence rates were recorded at the end of the transmission seasons in two peaks, one in November 1991 and the second in December 1992. The ratio of infected males to females was 1.85: 1.00. The highest rate of infection was found among people 11-20 years of age. This indicates that the disease is not new in the Yafran area.
Oral health practices and dental caries among Libyan pupils, Benghazi [1993-1994]
Authors: Al Sharbati M. M. , Meidan T. M. , Sudani O.
Published: September 2021

We investigated the oral health practices and prevalence of dental caries among Libyan pupils [6-12 years], by studying 389 boys and 373 girls selected randomly from 11 public primary schools in three different residential areas indicating different socioeconomic levels. In all, 321 [42.1%] pupils did not brush their teeth, with significant differences in the different areas. The prevalence of dental caries was 61.9%, with no significant sex difference. At 12 years, the decayed, missing and filled teeth index was 1.63, the average decay per child was 1.26 and the prevalence of dental caries was 50%, but the filling needs met was 0.01. Health education programmes to improve oral hygiene practices should be considered.
COVID-19 financing strategies for refugees and migrants in the Eastern Mediterranean Region
Authors: Habersky Elena , Damir Aya
Published: September 2021

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has had devastating consequences on health care systems worldwide. While the world was slowly moving towards achieving health for all, the pandemic destroyed progress made over the past 25 years and exposed the vulnerability of health care systems and health insurance schemes as well as their lack of resilience. Heath care systems failed to respond in a timely and efficient manner, lives have been, and continue to be, lost and vulnerable populations, especially refugees and migrants, are more at risk than ever as many are left out of country vaccination programmes. Aim: The Eastern Mediterranean region hosts 13 million internally displaced persons and 12 million refugees as of 2018. Thus, adopting inclusive health financing mechanisms is crucial to addressing the crisis and protecting indigenous and displaced populations. Methods: By looking at regional best practices and the response of the United Nations, we outline possible financing tools for including refugees and migrants in health insurance schemes for Covid 19 and introduce novel solutions for addressing gaps in funding. Results/conclusions: Among the suggested solutions are the inclusion of refugees and migrants in national health care systems, setting up community-based health insurance for migrant and refugee populations, as well as introducing a catastrophe bond financing scheme.
Patient preferences of how they wish to be addressed in a medical consultation – Study from Sri Lanka
Authors: Matthias Anne Thushara , Dharani Gam Aacharige Navoda , Somathilake Gayasha Kavindi , Gunatilake Saman B
Published: September 2021

Introduction: Multiple factors influence doctor-patient communication. A good consultation starts with an introduction of him or herself by the doctor to the patient. The next step is to address patients in a manner they prefer. There is a paucity of data about how best to address patients in an Asian country. This study investigates how patients prefer to be addressed by doctors. Methods: This is a cross-sectional study conducted from July 1st to August 31st, 2020 at a single Centre: Colombo South Teaching Hospital in Sri Lanka. Results: Of 1200 patients, 63.25% reported that doctors never introduced themselves and 97.91% of patients reported, doctors never inquired how to address them. 49.9% preferred to be addressed informally (as mother, father, sister) than by the name (first name, last name, title). The older female patients, married patients, patients of lower education, and lower monthly income preferred to be addressed informally. Conclusion: Most doctors did not introduce themselves to patients during medical consultations and did not inquire how patients wish to be addressed.
ANALYSIS OF RESPONSIBILITY CENTERS PERFORMANCE IN BUSINESSES BY SYSTEM DYNAMICS METHOD
Authors: AKSU İbrahim , TURSUN Mehmet
Published: September 2021

Today, the high dynamism of the business sector makes it difficult for managers to make decisions about the future of their businesses. Business managers need to keep their businesses and all units of them under control in all aspects in order to make effective decisions. In order to achieve this, responsibility centers and the data produced in these centers are used. Today, analyzing the data produced in the responsibility centers dynamically has become a necessity. System dynamics models that enable dynamic analysis of business data have been used successfully in recent years. System dynamics approach, which is also used in different business sectors, is a simulation method that can be used in solving dynamic problems and developing business strategies that traditional management accounting techniques have difficulty in responding. In this study, a model of a manufacturing enterprise has been created to measure the performance of responsibility centers within the enterprise. The data obtained from this model is evaluated with the help of the model and the future performance of the enterprise is tried to be predicted. Using this model, different scenarios were tried out and the results were compared, and it was revealed that the system dynamics could be used effectively in the evaluation of responsibility centers and business performance.
PENGGUNAAN MODEL MATEMATIK GAUSSIAN DISPERSION UNTUK PENDUGAAN PERUBAHAN KUALITAS UDARA DALAM ANALISIS DAMPAK LINGKUNGAN
Authors: Aviantara Dwindrabata Basuki , Suciati Fuzi
Published: September 2021

Dalam analisis dampak lingkungan (ANDAL) memperkirakan perubahan kualitas lingkungan dapat dilakukan dengan sejumlah pendekatan, salah satunya adalah melalui pemodelan matematik. Guna pendugaan perubahan kualitas udara yang disebabkan oleh sumber emisi tetap berupa cerobong maka dapat digunakan persamaan sebaran Gauss (Gaussian dispersion). Persamaan dispersi Gauss diterapkan dengan memperlakukan cerobong sebagai sumber emisi berupa titik. Parameter persamaan dispersi Gauss menimbang faktor laju emisi cemaran dari cerobong, keadaan cuaca serta ketinggian efektif dari cerobong. Dengan persamaan tersebut pendugaan besar paparan cemaran udara di suatu tempat sebagai fungsi dari jarak terhadap cerobong dapat dilakukan. Dengan teknik perhitungan matematik menggunakan persamaan dispersi Gauss maka dapat dilakukan evaluasi perubahan indeks mutu lingkungan (environmental quality index) sehingga analisis risiko lingkungan emisi cemaran udara terkait perubahan kualitas udara memunginkan untuk dilakukan.
Стратегические коммуникации: императив медиатизированного общества
Authors:   МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, факультет журналистики, Горохов Владимир Маркович , Кравченко Светлана Владимировна ,   МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, факультет журналистики, Простякова Вероника Алексеевна ,   МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, факультет журналистики
Published: September 2021

Авторы статьи рассматривают статус стратегических коммуникаций в медиатизированном обществе, специфику их формирования и развития, основные стадии организации. В ряду предметных сфер стратегических коммуникаций определяется место связей с общественностью, особое внимание уделяется специфике диалога с целевой аудиторией в условиях цифровизации коммуникационных отношений и принципам убеждающей коммуникации.
Каталанский язык как фактор национальной идентичности в региональной медиасистеме
Authors:   МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, факультет журналистики, Прутцков Григорий Владимирович
Published: September 2021

В статье рассматривается комплекс вопросов о взаимосвязи каталанского языка, национальной идентичности каталонцев и журналистики. Медиа Каталонии представляют собой крайне важный с точки зрения формирования национальной идентичности общественный институт, под эгидой которого объединяются носители и пропагандисты каталанского языка. Подробно рассматривая роль и значение языка в медиасистеме Каталонии, автор приходит к выводам о том, что медиасистема Каталонии является национально ориентированной, большая доля ее ресурсов направляется на конструирование концепта идентичности населения данного региона.
Психологическая модель личности журналиста: конфликт с реальностью
Authors:   МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, факультет журналистики, Смирнова Ольга Владимировна , Свитич Луиза Григорьевна ,   МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, факультет журналистики, Денисова Галина Валерьевна ,   МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, факультет психологии
Published: September 2021

В статье обсуждаются вопросы, связанные с конфликтными аспектами психологической структуры личности журналиста. Проанализированы результаты опроса 93 журналистов 26 региональных газет России, которые показали, что представления респондентов о базовой психологической модели личности журналиста расходятся с их оценкой своих психологических характеристик. Анализируются как константные, так и адаптивные, динамичные качества журналиста, которые связаны с трансформациями в медиасфере, ведущими к интенсификации труда, повышению стрессогенности, динамичности, оперативности, профессиональному универсализму.
Профессиональные статусы журналистов-международников в прессе России и США
Authors:   МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, факультет журналистики, Колесниченко Виктория Геннадьевна
Published: September 2021

В статье исследуются профессиональные статусы российских и американских журналистов-международников в 1995 и 2015 гг. Основной метод исследования – контент-анализ. Автор приходит к выводу, что статусы авторов американских газет подверглись бóльшим изменениям, чем статусы их российских коллег. В международной журналистике США самые востребованные специалисты в 1990 гг. – собкоры, в 2010 гг. – стрингеры. В российской прессе в эти годы большинство составляют собкоры.
Индустрия моды в цифровую эпоху: тренды и технологии
Authors:   Национальная палата моды (Россия), Шумский Александр Вячеславович
Published: September 2021

В статье структурированы основные элементы продвижения fashion-контента с учетом основных характеристик и тенденций развития индустрии моды. Исследование подтверждает исключительную значимость новых медиа для индустрии моды и приоритет продвижения моды в Интернете и социальных сетях. В этих условиях использование всего инструментария онлайн-продвижения становится императивом для отечественной индустрии моды в контексте эффективного повышения спроса на товары с маркировкой «Сделано в России».
FORECASTING ARRIVAL OF FOREIGN TOURISTS USING SEASONAL ARIMA BOX-JENKINS
Authors: Ilmayasinta Nur
Published: September 2021

Indonesia's economy is influenced by many factors, including the tourism sector. Through this tourism sector, it is possible for many foreign tourists to visit Indonesia. There are so many foreign tourists who come to Indonesia, forecasting is needed to find out the estimates of foreign tourists in the following months based on existing data. The method that used is the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) method. The foreign tourist’s coming to Indonesia through Soekarno Hatta Airport were taken from the center agency on statistics (BPS) Indonesia. Data on the number of foreign tourists who come to Indonesia through Soekarno Hatta Airport is data with a seasonal pattern. The data used is secondary data obtained from Soekarno Hatta Airport for the period January 2010 to June 2015. In this case it is used to predict the value of the data for the next 6 months using the best model is the . Forecasting results show the number of each month increases from the previous year. In July it showed the highest yield of 342536, which was 297878 in the previous year. Forecasting results show the number of each month increases from the previous year. In July, the highest yield was 342536, which was 297878 in the previous year.
ANALISIS MODEL PROYEKSI LADA SEBAGAI KAJIAN DIVERSIFIKASI SEKTOR PENDAPATAN MASYARAKAT DI PROVINSI KEPULAUAN BANGKA BELITUNG
Authors: Pririzki Sisilia Jesika , Maryam Ilam , Wati Pitra , Dalimunthe Desy Yuliana
Published: September 2021

Provinsi Kepulauan Bangka Belitung merupakan provinsi dengan pendapatan masyarakatnya bergantung pada sektor pertanian, yaitu lada. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk memperoleh nilai proyeksi produksi lada di Provinsi Kepulauan Bangka Belitung pada Tahun 2022 yang selama ini menjadi komoditas utama dari sisi sektor pendapatan masyarakat dan juga merupakan bagian dari proses diversifikasi agar masyarakat setempat tidak bergantung dari satu sektor pertanian saja dalam memenuhi kebutuhan sehari-hari. Metode exponential smoothing yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini terdiri dari beberapa model, yakni simple, holt, dan brown exponential smoothing. Dari ketiga model ini akan ditentukan model peramalan yang terbaik (fitting model) dengan menggunakan hasil Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) yang terkecil dari ketiga model tersebut. Berdasarkan proses fitting model yang dilakukan, model holt merupakan model terbaik dengan nilai MSE 7.425,298 dan juga memberikan hasil bahwa komoditas lada ini mengalami penurunan sebesar 17,56% pada tahun 2021 dan juga mengalami penurunan sebesar 21,30% pada tahun 2022.
APLIKASI PERSAMAAN DIFERENSIAL STOKASTIK PADA MASALAH KONTROL OPTIMUM BERKENDALA
Authors: Pasaribu Meliana , Helmi Helmi
Published: September 2021

Penyebaran virus Covid-19 adalah salah satu fenomena yang dapat dimodelkan. Pada penelitian ini dibahas tentang kontrol optimal pada model stokastik dari penyebaran virus Covid 19 yang terdiri atas tiga populasi yaitu rentan (Susceptible), Terinfeksi (Infected) dan pulih (Recovered). Adanya kondisi fisik yang berbeda tiap individu dan perubahan perilaku dari individu menjadi alasan penyusunan model stokastik ini. Pada penelitian ini model penyebaran virus Covid-19 diasumsikan dapat dikendalikan oleh pemerintah dengan pemberian kontrol vaksinasi dan isolasi dengan tujuan meminimalkan jumlah individu terinfeksi dan biaya vaksinasi. Model dikonstruksikan berdasarkan 2 kasus yaitu Model I adalah model dengan vaksinasi dan model II adalah model dengan isolasi. Kedua model tersebut akan dianalisis dengan menerapkan Prinsip Stokastik Maksimum. Prinsip ini dilakukan terhadap Hamiltonian dari persamaan optimal yang terbentuk untuk menentukan kontrol optimalnya.

 

Kata Kunci : Covid-19, Vaksinasi, Isolasi, Hamiltonian, Prinsip Stokastik Maksimum.
PEMODELAN HASIL PRODUKSI PADI DI PROVINSI SULAWESI TENGAH MENGGUNAKAN FIXED EFFECT MODEL (FEM)
Authors: Gamayanti Nurul Fiskia , Junaidi Junaidi
Published: September 2021

Padi merupakan komoditas pangan utama di Indonesia. Tingkat konsumsi padi mayarakat di Sulawesi Tengah sebesar 111,4 kg perkapita pertahun yang  lebih tinggi jika dibandingkan dengan masyarakat Sulawesi Selatan yaitu 106,9 kg perkapita pertahun. Diperlukan model yang dapat memprediksi hasil produksi padi di Sulawesi tengah untuk menjaga stok kebutuhan pangan masyarakat. Fixed effect Model dapat digunakan untuk melihat faktor apa saja yang dapat mempengaruhi hasil produksi padi di Sulawesi Tengah dengan menggunakan pendekatan data penelitian data panel. Fixed effect Model adalah cara mengestimasi data panel dengan menggunakan variabel dummy untuk memperoleh perbedaan intersep yang diinginkan. Dari hasil penelitian ini diperoleh bahwa faktor yang mempengaruhi hasil produksi padi di Sulawesi tengah adalah luas panen dengan setiap kenaikan luas panen sebesar 1 % akan meningkatkan hasil produksi padi sebesar 0,6764%.  Dari hasil analisis diperoleh nilai R2 sebesar 98.15%.
PREDIKSI JUMLAH PESERTA BPJS PENERIMA BANTUAN IURAN (PBI) APBN MENGGUNAKAN METODE FUZZY TIME SERIES CHENG
Authors: Bakri Rahmawati , Inayati Syarifah , Yuliana Yuliana , Hanafiah Anggi
Published: September 2021

BPJS merupakan salah satu badan Penjaminan Kesehatan yang ada di Indonesia. Jenis BPJS terdiri dari BPJS mandiri, BPJS PPU khusus untuk pekerja diperusahaan, dan BPJS PBI khusus masyarakat yang tidak mampu yang iurannya dibayarkan oleh pemerintah yang diditetapkan dalam APBN. Dari ketiga kategori tersebut jumlah kepesertaan BPJS PBI meningkat dari tahun ke tahunnya. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk memprediksi jumlah peserta BPJS PBI pada tahun 2019 hingga tahun 2021 dengan menggunakan metode Fuzzy Time series Cheng. Fuzzy Time Series Cheng mempunyai cara yang sedikit berbeda dalam penentuan interval, menggunakan Fuzzy Logical Relationship (FLR) dengan memasukkan semua hubungan dan memberikan bobot berdasarkan pada urutan dan perulangan FLR yang sama. Perhitungan akurasi prediksi pada model ini menggunakan MAPE. Hasil dari penelitian ini diperoleh kenaikan peserta BPJS PBI APBN pada tahun 2019 sampai dengan 2021 sebesar 52.071 peserta dengan hasil MAPE 0,97% dan ketepatan hasil prediksi diperoleh sebesar 99,03%.
TELAAH HERMENEUTIKA DALAM KITAB TA’WIL MUKHTALIF AL-HADITS KARANGAN IBN QUTAYBAH
Authors: Garwan Muhammad Sakti
Published: September 2021

This article examines the book Ta‟wil Mukhtalif al-Hadits, written by Ibn Qutaybah. This book is compiled in response to the political turmoil that occurred during his lifetime. Ibn Qutaybah also wanted to dispel the assumption that some groups who accused the scholars of hadith, had committed negligence, by narrating hadiths that are in conflict with each other that are not in line with the Qur‟an and the understanding of reason. This study uses the library method by making the book Ta‟wil Mukhtalif al-Hadits the primary source. In addition, the author uses the theory of hermeneutics as an analytical tool to categorize this book as a hermeneutic book of classical hadith. The results of the study stated that the book Ta‟wil Mukhtalif al-Hadits has its own characteristics in looking at the hadith that seem to be contradictory but in terms of meaning is not, and also he took excellent steps in completing a hadith of the Prophet Muhammad saw., in that method and step until the book Ta‟wil Mukhtalif al-Hadits is categorized as a hermeneutic book of classical hadith.

 

Tulisan ini menelaah kitab Ta‟wil Mukhtalif al-Hadits, yang dikarang oleh Ibn Qutaybah. Kitab ini disusun sebagai respons tentang pergolakan politik yang terjadi pada masa beliau hidup. Ibn Qutaybah juga ingin menepis anggapan sebagian golongan yang menuduh ulama hadis telah melakukan kecerobohan dengan meriwayatkan hadis yang saling berlawanan yang tidak sejalan dengan al-Qur‟an dan pemahaman akal. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode kepustakaan dengan menjadikan kitab Ta‟wil Mukhtalif al-Hadits sebagai sumber primer. Selain itu, penulis menggunakan teori hermeneutika sebagai alat analisis untuk mengategorikan kitab ini sebagai kitab hermeneutika hadis klasik. Hasil penelitian menyatakan bahwa kitab Ta‟wil Mukhtalif al-Hadits mempunyai karakteristik tersendiri dalam melihat hadis-hadis yang kelihatan saling kontra namun pada segi maknanya tidak, dan juga beliau mengambil langkah-langkah yang sangat baik dalam penyelesaian suatu hadis Nabi Muhammad saw., dalam metode dan langkah itulah hingga kitab Ta‟wil Mukhtalif al-Hadits ini dikategorikan sebagai kitab hermeneutika hadis klasik.
INTERPRETASI HADIS-HADIS TENTANG NIKAH MUT’AH (KAJIAN TEMATIK)
Authors: Fadhilah Sinta Rahmatil , Ristiana Umu Nisa , Aminah Siti
Published: September 2021

The understanding of a hadith that tends to be textual, without considering all the aspects that surround it, sometimes creates misinterpretations. One example of what became viral at the end of 2017 was nikah mut‘ah, which was made viral by the online site nikahsirri.com. The issue of nikah mut‘ah then became the spotlight of various parties. Nikah mut‘ah is a marriage that is limited by time. In understanding the hadith about nikah mut‘ah, the scholars have different opinions, some say that nikah mut‘ah is haram and some say that marriage is permissible. So in order to understand the hadith, a methodology is needed. This article is a literature research-based research using the thematic methodology in understanding the related traditions about nikah mut‘ah. So, in conclusion, the mut‘ah marriage that was allowed by the Prophet was during the period before the stability of Islamic law, that is, it was allowed at the beginning of Islam when traveling and in war. He made concessions for his friends who were fighting in Allah‘s way to get married within a certain time limit, for fear that they would fall into adultery. However, then mut‘ah marriage was forbidden.

 

Pemahaman tentang sebuah hadis yang cenderung tekstual, tanpa mempertimbangkan segala aspek yang melingkupinya, terkadang membuat salah pengartian. Salah satu contoh yang menjadi pembicaraan yang sedang viral di akhir tahun 2017 adalah nikah mut‘ah, yang diviralkan oleh situs online nikahsirri.com. Permasalahan tentang nikah mut‘ah kemudian menjadi sorotan dari berbagai pihak. Nikah mut‘ah adalah nikah yang dibatasi oleh waktu. Dalam memahami hadis tentang nikah mut‘ah para ulama berbeda pendapat, ada yang mengatakan nikah mut‘ah tersebut haram dan ada yang mengatakan bahwa nikah itu dibolehkan. Jadi untuk memahami hadis diperlukan sebuah metodologi, artikel ini merupakan penelitian berbasis penelitian pustaka dengan menggunakan metodologi tematik dalam memahami hadis-hadis terkait tentang nikah mut‘ah. Jadi, kesimpulannya nikah mut‘ah yang diperbolehkan oleh Rasulullah adalah ketika masa sebelum stabilnya syariat Islam, yaitu diperkenankannya pada awal Islam ketika dalam keadaan bepergian dan peperangan. Beliau memberi kelonggaran kepada sahabat-sahabatnya yang ikut berperang di jalan Allah untuk nikah dengan batas waktu tertentu, karena dikhawatirkan mereka akan jatuh ke dalam perzinahan. Akan tetapi kemudian nikah mut‘ah itu diharamkan.
Peningkatan Pengetahuan dan Kemampuan Kader Posyandu dalam Stimulasi I Ntervensi dan Deteksi Dini Tumbuh Kembang Anak di Kelurahan Hadimulyo Barat Kota Metro
Authors: Riyanto  , Herlina Herlina , Islamiyati Islamiyati
Published: September 2021

The golden period of growth and development of children occurs from the beginning of pregnancy until birth and children are 2 years or 1000 days. The impact of children not being stimulated can be growth disorders and delays. The problem of delays or deviations in child development is still a problem for children in Indonesia. The role of cadres needs to be increased to stimulate early detection and early intervention of developmental deviations. This activity aims to improve the knowledge and skills of cadres in early stimulation and intervention for growth and development, so as to be able to find early developmental deviations in toddlers. This activity uses a training method with education using modules and simulations using a developmental pre-screening questionnaire. The participants of the activity were the Melati Cadre and Kenanga Cadre totaling 14 people and 19 infants under five in the West Hadimulyo sub-district, Metro Central district, Metro city. Evaluation of activities was carried out by pre-test and post-test and assessment of the skills of cadres to stimulate development using developmental pre-screening questionnaires. The results of the activity obtained increased knowledge and skills of Integrated Service Post cadres to stimulate development with a developmental pre-screening questionnaire. The enthusiasm of the cadres in this activity and the support of partners, so that the activity can be smooth and successful. It is necessary to follow up the implementation of cadre skills directly during early stimulation activities and interventions for the growth and development of children of various ages
A Survey of the Architecture EU Studies in the Asia-Pacific: New Zealand’s comparative performance
Authors: Holland Martin
Published: September 2021

The following survey of the current state of European Union Studies in the Asia-Pacific is in two parts. First, a region-wide perspective is offered that explores the various Networks and Centres that can be found dealing with the EU. This analysis builds on the publication The Future of European Studies in Asia. 2 The second part provides a more focused comparative assessment of EU Studies in New Zealand and the development of the EU Centres Network since 2006.
The Lisbon Strategy and Its Implementation in Bulgaria as Applied to the Education Sector
Authors: Colson Philippine
Published: September 2021

2009 Monash University European and EU Centre Young Researchers Conference - ‘East and West Together: Twenty years after the fall of communism in Europe’As national economies become increasingly knowledge-based, the education sector is witnessing an evolution of its goals and methods. The European Commission’s Lisbon Strategy, initially vaguely aimed at making the European Union’s economy more dynamic and competitive when it was first laid out at the March 2000 Lisbon Summit, was redefined in Spring 2005 and now revolves around the concepts of growth and jobs. The Commission recommends investment in the knowledge economy by investing in R&D, innovation, and education and lifelong learning. As Bulgaria has the lowest GDP per capita of all the EU-27 MS, an examination of its current situation regarding the implementation of the Lisbon Strategy can serve as an example of the problems facing the poorer countries of the EU. Problems may not be as obvious or pressing in the richer Member States, but may be more so in the poorer Member States.
The ‘16+1’ Framework and China-EU Cooperation in the Western Balkans: A Region Building Perspective
Authors: Yan Shaohua
Published: September 2021

This paper adopts a region-building perspective to shed light on the nature of the 16+1 framework and elucidates what it means for EU-China cooperation in the Western Balkans. By comparing the 16+1 framework with the European approach to region-building in the Western Balkans, the paper argues that the Chinese and European approaches towards the Western Balkans are largely complementary rather than competitive as China’s engagement works to facilitate the EU’s agenda in the region. The ‘outside-in’ perspective brought about by China via the 16+1 framework could contribute to region- building in the Western Balkans and the EU and China could jointly move forward the next stage of European integration.
New opportunities in common security and defence policy: Joining PESCO
Authors: Leuprecht Christian , Hamilton Rhianna
Published: September 2021

Responding to concerns about burden-sharing and aiming to improve internal defence cooperation, act more quickly and harness resource synergies, the European Union (EU) initiated the Permanent Structured Cooperation (PESCO) in 2017. PESCO, however, is controversial. On the one hand, the United States (US) wants greater burden-sharing by European allies whilst concerned about greater European military autarky that would undermine US influence over NATO, Europe/EU and EU member states. Onthe other hand, at least one European NATO ally wants to leverage PESCO precisely as an instrument to shore up European “strategic autonomy”. This tension over competing European defence futures leaves participation by third countries in limbo. Arguably, third-country participation would hinder greater European defence autarky. The article makes the case for the mutual benefits of third-country participation, focusing on Canada. Canada has a major stake in the outcome. NATO is Canada’s most important multilateral institution and Europe is Canada’s second-most important strategic partner, after the US. Canada’s unequivocal strategic interests in Europe have long informed its expeditionary priorities -- from the two world wars, when Canada coming to Europe’s defence long before the USproved existential for both parties, to nowadays. Since the 1970s, Canada and Europe have worked consistently together bilaterally beyond NATO to advance regional stability and mutual security interests. Canada’s and Europe’s defence futures are thus interdependent. Excluding third countries from participating in PESCO would have detrimental consequences for Canadian, European and transatlantic defence interests. In contrast, with third country participation, PESCO will be instrumental to effective transatlantic and transeuropean defence integration.
The strategic narration of future identity during times of crises: evidence from the European Commission
Authors: Heinrichs Pauline
Published: September 2021

What kind of Europe the EU seeks to be, how it perceives itself and how it seeks to enact this Europe is a highly contentious issue and has powerful political stakes attached to its construction and realisation. This paper is specifically interested in how crises can constitute a compounded and expanded space for agency of political actors to forge identity narratives of the future. This paper draws on speeches by EC officials from 16 July 2019 to 7 July 2020, while coding along four analytical markers for crises as identified by Filip Ejdus (2020, p. 2, italics in original): “existence, finitude, relations and autobiography”. This article finds that while actors seek to create space for political agency by writing a moment of existential (external) crises to the EU’s project, they appear less equipped to use this moment politically. In this way, they co-construct a space potentially open to political creativity, but fail to fill this space with political creativity as to the future of the autobiographical narrative.
European Union- South Asia Development Co-operation with special reference to India
Authors: Amin Jayaraj
Published: September 2021

The scope of the EU’s development agenda has undergone significant changes over the years and now, interalia, includes political objectives and sectoral priorities. In South Asia – a region long overlooked by the EU due to its marginal presence in global trade, internal bickering and varying political preferences – the EU is now focussed on improving infrastructure and social sectors, in addition to its longstanding liberal contributions of assistance in response to natural disasters in the region. The wider implications of donor coordination and EU development strategy are subject to much scrutiny and debate in South Asia, as this aid is inextricably linked to political preferences. This article evaluates the nature of the EU’s development programme in South Asia. It also points to the contradictions that exist within the EU’s larger ideological preferences and actions in its development agenda in South Asia.