Risk of incident melanoma among individuals with low-count monoclonal B-cell lymphocytosis (MBL).
Authors: Vallejo Bryan Alexis , Ansari Ahmed , Parikh Sameer Ashok , Achenbach Sara J , Rabe Kari G. , Norman Aaron , Olson Janet E. , Cerhan James Robert , Kay Neil E. , Vachon Celine M. , Braggio Esteban , Hanson Curtis A , Baum Christian , Shanafelt Tait D. , Slager Susan L. 
Published: June 2023

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Background: Prior research has consistently shown that patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) have an ~2-fold increased risk of developing melanoma compared to controls. MBL is a common condition affecting 8-10 million adults over the age of 40 years in the United States and is a precursor to CLL. Little is known about the association between MBL and melanoma. Herein, we evaluated the risk of incident melanoma in a large cohort of individuals screened for MBL. Methods: Participants from the Mayo Clinic Biobank who had no prior history of hematologic malignancy, were 40 years or older, were residents of counties surrounding Mayo Clinic, and who provided blood samples between 7/2009 and 4/2022 were included in the study. Peripheral blood mononuclear cells were screened for MBL using highly sensitive eight-color flow cytometry. Individuals with MBL were classified as CLL-like MBL (CD5+, CD20dim) or atypical MBL (CD5+, CD20+) based on immunophenotypes, and also classified as low-count MBL (LCMBL) or high-count MBL (HCMBL) based on whether the percent clonal B-cell count was < 85% or ≥85%, respectively. Diagnosis of melanoma was ascertained using ICD codes and review of the electronic health records. All individuals were followed from date of sample upon which MBL screening was performed to the earliest of incident melanoma, loss to follow-up, withdrawal from the study, or September 30, 2022. We used Cox regression to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI), adjusting for age, sex, and history of melanoma in previous 5 years. Results: A total of 7,334 participants were screened for MBL, of which 1,151 (16%) individuals had MBL. Among those with MBL, 1,107 (96.2%) had CLL-like MBL and 1098 (95.4%) had LC MBL. The median age at entry into the MBL screening cohort was 67 years (range 40-101) and 37% were male; individuals with MBL were older (median age 72 vs 65 years) and male (49% vs 35%). After a median follow-up of 2.9 years (range 0-13.2), 121 of the 7,334 (1.6%) participants developed incident melanoma after the date of MBL screening. The 10-year cumulative incidence of melanoma among individuals with MBL was 7.8% (95% CI 4.5-13.5%) compared to 3.4% (2.7-4.4%) in those who screened negative for MBL. After adjusting for age, sex, and history of prior melanoma, we found a 1.81-fold increased risk of incident melanoma (95% CI 1.19-2.76) among individuals with MBL. The increased risk of melanoma persisted when the analysis was restricted to individuals with LCMBL (HR = 1.84; 95% CI 1.21-2.82). Conclusions: In the largest MBL screening cohort to date, we found that LCMBL, a common condition, was associated with an 84% elevated risk of melanoma, similar to the ~2-fold increased risk observed in patients with CLL. These data, together with our prior findings of a heightened risk of serious infections and lymphoid malignancies, suggest that individuals with LCMBL are at increased risk for adverse health outcomes.