Impact of society and national guidelines on patient selection for lung cancer surgery in the United Kingdom.
Authors: Pons Aina , De Sousa Paulo , Proli Chiara , Booth Sarah Ann , Palmares Abigail , Leung Maria , Alshammari Abdullah , Vlastos Dimitrios , Raubenheimer Hilgardt , Patel Anant , Devbhandari Mohan , Lim Eric Kian Saik 
Published: June 2021

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Background: In 2010 the British Thoracic Society (BTS) guidelines introduced clinical decision based on patient perception of risk to make surgery more permissive and revised recommendations for broader oncologic criteria such as surgery for N2 disease to improve surgical resection rates. In 2011 the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) guidelines were updated with similar recommendations, but notable disagreement on surgery for N2 disease. We sought to conduct one of the largest cross-sectional studies to ascertain the impact of national clinical guidelines (with conflicting recommendations) on clinician behaviour. Methods: We analysed data from the UK national registry (National Lung Cancer Audit) comprising all patients diagnosed with lung cancer between 2008 to 2013 within England and Wales. Categorical data was summarised as frequency (%) and continuous data was summarised as mean (SD). Linear and logistic regression analyses were used with each year as an independent categorical outcome to determine global and year specific changes in FEV1 and proportions with N2 undergoing surgery respectively. Results: From January 2008 to December 2013, data from 167,192 patients with primary lung cancers were submitted to the NLCA. In 2008, 23,293 new lung cancers were diagnosed in England and Wales increasing annually by 2013 to 29,224. The most common presentation was advanced disease stage IV (49.7%), IIIB (13.2%) and IIIA (12.0%) and early-stage disease was less frequent with presentations IA (7.0%), IB (6.7%), IIA (2.9%) and IIB (4.27%). Lung function tests were undertaken in a subset of 53,905 of all diagnosed patients from 2008 to 2013. The mean FEV1 (SD) increased annually from 67 (22)% in 2008 to 71 (24)% in 2013 (p < 0.001). Overall, 28% (n = 46,742) of the patients were preoperatively staged as N2 disease at diagnosis. The proportion of patients with N2 disease increased from 24 to 29% in this timeframe (P = 0.003). The proportion of patients undergoing surgery for lung cancer increased from 9.5% in 2008 to 20.5% in 2013 (p < 0.001). Mean FEV1 of surgical patients were higher at 79 (22)% than the population average of 69 (23)%, an accepted reflection of surgical selection. Over time, mean FEV1 of surgical patients increased from 76 (22)% in 2008 to 81 (22)% in 2013 (p < 0.001). Of the patients undergoing surgery, the proportion of patients across the 6-year interval were broadly consistent between 8 to 11% without any evidence of trend (P = 0.125). Conclusions: Within 3 years of new clinical guidelines, we did not observe any overall change in selection based on lower levels of lung function and when presented with conflicting recommendation no observable change in attitudes of clinicians on surgery for N2 disease. The observed increase in surgical resection rates is more likely due to (greater access to surgery by) increasing number of surgeons rather than any impact of guideline recommendations.