bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025 huggingface dataset:
Simulating Current and Future River-Flows in the Karakoram and Himalayan Regions of Pakistan Using Snowmelt-Runoff Model and RCP Scenarios
Authors: Hayat Huma , Akbar Tahir Ali , Tahir Adnan Ahmad , Hassan Quazi K. , Dewan Ashraf , Irshad Muhammad
Published: April 2019

Upper Indus Basin (UIB) supplies more than 70% flow to the downstream agricultural areas during summer due to the melting of snow and glacial ice. The estimation of the stream flow under future climatic projections is a pre-requisite to manage water resources properly. This study focused on the simulation of snowmelt-runoff using Snowmelt-Runoff Model (SRM) under the current and future Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5) climate scenarios in the two main tributaries of the UIB namely the Astore and the Hunza River basins. Remote sensing data from Advanced Land Observation Satellite (ALOS) and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) along with in-situ hydro-climatic data was used as input to the SRM. Basin-wide and zone-wise approaches were used in the SRM. For the zone-wise approach, basin areas were sliced into five elevation zones and the mean temperature for the zones with no weather stations was estimated using a lapse rate value of −0.48 °C to −0.76 °C/100 m in both studied basins. Zonal snow cover was estimated for each zone by reclassifying the MODIS snow maps according to the zonal boundaries. SRM was calibrated over 2000–2001 and validated over the 2002–2004 data period. The results implied that the SRM simulated the river flow efficiently with Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient of 0.90 (0.86) and 0.86 (0.86) for the basin-wide (zone-wise) approach in the Astore and Hunza River Basins, respectively, over the entire simulation period. Mean annual discharge was projected to increase by 11–58% and 14–90% in the Astore and Hunza River Basins, respectively, under all the RCP mid- and late-21st-century scenarios. Mean summer discharge was projected to increase between 10–60% under all the RCP scenarios of mid- and late-21st century in the Astore and Hunza basins. This study suggests that the water resources of Pakistan should be managed properly to lessen the damage to human lives, agriculture, and economy posed by expected future floods as indicated by the climatic projections.
O SUJEITO DA PSICANÁLISE E SUA FACE TRÁGICA
Authors: De Araújo Almeida Rita De Cássia
Published: April 2019

A ciência moderna, na sua busca por um método que fosse capaz de conhecer o objeto sem as influências subjetivas do pesquisador, elide o sujeito. A psicanálise surge, então, para cuidar do sujeito, do componente trágico que lhe concerne e que a ciência rejeitou. Em lugar do “penso logo sou” cartesiano, que supõe uma unidade do ser, Freud propõe o “eu não é senhor da sua casa”, para dizer de um eu que não é todo explicado pela razão. Nessa perspectiva, o desejo não pode ser confundido com uma vontade racional e consciente, da qual o eu teria total controle. A ética da psicanálise é aquela que convoca o sujeito a prestar contas frente ao próprio desejo, que ele não comanda, mas do qual é sempre responsável. A psicanálise está disposta a não recuar do componente trágico que nos constitui, pois entende que recuar dessa dimensão trágica é produzir seres repetidos, como os objetos em série produzidos pela ciência. Por outro lado, a ciência, na tentativa de buscar um saber universal que silencie o mal-estar, escolhe recalcar o desejo.
Kecenderungan Perilaku Narsistik Pada Calon Legislatif
Authors: Manurung Ernida Marietha
Published: April 2019

This research intended to find out the narsistic tendency behavior on the legislative candidates, clinically and socially, during the campaign or doing the socialization. This research was used qualitative approach. This research used two respondents who nominated themselves as the legislative candidates in the Legislative Election in 9th of April 2009. The collecting data method used was indepth interview and observation. The result of this research showed that narsistic indication behavior of legislative candidates was a part of narsistic personality disorder. This narsistic behavior disorder could be seen from the over self-esteem and interpersonal trust in getting the society interests. This was seen from the ways of the two respondents in socializing their programs were always telling others about their performances, their dedications and their optimistic behavior to get society symphaty by giving social contribution and being active in some activities. Based on the efforts that had been done, they believed that their family, close friends and the society would choose them in the election in 9 th of April 2009.In the legislative election, one of the respondents won the legislative election. He thanked almighty God and all friends who had given their contributions and supports. It was quite different to The first respondent, who lost in the election. In order to face this stressfull situation, he applied coping stress strategy, namely emotion-focused coping and problem-focused coping
Comparing the best-estimate uniform hazard response spectra to the observed data from the Mw 7.3 earthquake on November 12, 2017 in the Kermanshah areas of western Iran
Authors: Amerian Nadereh , Shabani Elham , Nikrouz Ramin
Published: April 2019

In this study, synthetic catalogs based on the Monte Carlo simulations have been produced for probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA), in the Kermanshah region, West of Iran. Resultant seismic hazard zoning maps, hazard curves and three-dimensional deaggregation of seismic hazard are provided. In order to validate the estimated peak ground accelerations (PGAs), the deduced uniform hazard response spectra (UHRS) are compared with the recorded PGAs in some stations near to the large Mw 7.3 earthquake occurred in the western part of Iran near to Iraq border on 12 November 2017. Different ground motion prediction equations are tested and the results are compared.
Spatiotemporal variability of rainfall linked to ground water level under changing climate in northwestern region, Bangladesh
Authors: Zannat Fatematuz , Islam A.R.M. Towfiqul , Rahman M. Atiqur
Published: April 2019

Bangladesh is one of the most climatic hazard-prone countries in the world. Rainfall in Bangladesh is highly variable which depends on each season and location. This study aims to investigate spatiotemporal variability of rainfall linked to groundwater level under changing climate in the northwestern region, Bangladesh during the period of 1976-2016 using rainfall and groundwater level data. A number of statistical approaches such as Mann-Kendall (MK) test, linear regression model, Sen’s slope estimator and Spearman’s rho (SK) test, Coefficient of Variation (CV) were employed to reveal trends and variability of rainfall and groundwater level. Additionally, wavelet transform was applied to assess temporal variability of rainfall time series in the northwestern region, Bangladesh. The results show that the annual rainfall variability was the highest in the Ishwardi station (25.39%) and the lowest was found in Rajshahi (20.70%). The MK test results reveal that the trends of annual and seasonal rainfall decreased gradually, where the highest significant decreasing trend of annual rainfall was found in Rajshahi (-2.976 mm/year) and the lowest decreasing trend was found in Syedpur (-1.278 mm/year). Furthermore, monsoon and winter seasons represent the decreasing trends of rainfall for all the stations. The results of wavelet analysis demonstrate that the monthly rainfall variance of average rainfall in the northwestern region was low from the period of 2006 to 2014, indicating the dry years. The annual and seasonal rainfall trends in the northwestern region were decreased, particularly in the recent decade. The relationship between rainfall and groundwater level indicates that rainfall was decreased and the ground water level was also declining at the same time in the study region. Interestingly, it is observed that a significant high decreasing trend of annual rainfall is found in Rangpur but the annual groundwater level depth is less increased in Rangpur at the same time.
Розробка структури вимог до ремонтопридатності озброєння та військової техніки на основі системного аналізу процесу їхнього ремонту
Authors: Мельник Борис
Published: April 2019

Розглянуті питання обґрунтування структури й класифікації вимог до ремонтопридатності машин військового призначення, їхня класифікація, а також класифікація процесів ремонту на підставі їхнього системного аналізу для подальшого формування вимог до ремонтопридатності різних типів озброєння й військової техніки.
Easy, efficient and versatile one-pot synthesis of Janus-type-substituted fullerenols
Authors: Kunkel Marius , Polarz Sebastian
Published: April 2019

An efficient one-pot synthesis for Janus-type fullerenol derivatives and how to characterize them is reported. This synthesis provides access to asymmetrically substituted fullerenol with five substituents on one pole of the fullerene and polyhydroxylation moieties, mostly ether and hydroxy groups, on the rest of the fullerene core. As substituents a broad variety of primary amines can be used to obtain Janus-type amphiphilic fullerenols in good to excellent yield. These fullerenol amphiphiles can serve as suitable precursors for further reactions resulting in new applications for fullerenols.
Development and current state of urban labour markets in Russia
Authors: Antonov Evgeny V.
Published: April 2019

The purpose of the study is to identify key trends in the development of labour markets in the cities of Russia in the post-Soviet period and their current state. The parameters of sectoral employment of the population and the number of employees in urban districts of Russia in the period after 2010 are analyzed in detail. For the first time the state of the labour market of all cities of the country in a full range of organizations is investigated on the basis of data of the Federal Tax Service (FTS). The study confirms the existence of differences in the level of employment in cities of different size in different regions of the country, as well as the existence of an urban—rural and center—periphery (regional center — the rest of the region) gradient.
Settlement transformation and the problems of its adequate consideration in the spatial development strategy
Authors: Kuznetsova Olga V.
Published: April 2019

The article analyzes the discussion of the draft of the Spatial Development Strategy of Russia, related to the issues of transformation of the settlement system in the country. The results of sociological surveys, scientific research proving the advantages of the largest urban agglomerations as points of economic growth and places of residence of the population, are generalized. The author proves the inevitability of transformation of the settlement system as a result of the changes taking place in the economy and society. Correspondingly, she suggests improvements of the system of statistical accounting (increase of transparency of the territorial structure of expenditures of federal and regional budgets, formation of statistical accounting in the context of urban agglomerations) and federal spatial policy.
Modern personal subsidiary plots of villagers and townspeople: historical dynamics, functions, spatial differences
Authors: Nefedova Tatiana G. , Nikolaeva Ulyana G.
Published: April 2019

The article deals with the economic, geographical and sociological analysis of personal subsidiary plots of rural residents and citizens in modern post-reform Russia. The authors consider the specifics of individual household plots of rural residents, analyze the reasons for the rise of such establishments, and then decrease in their number. The features and distribution of homestead farms of urban dwellers, who own countryside homes (dacha), in connection with the processes of urbanization and partial de-urbanization are also investigated. An assessment of the contribution of personal subsidiary plots to the total volume of agricultural products is given.

The question of a formal or informal status of personal subsidiary plots, as well as their role in the social and economic life of rural and rural-urban dwellers, is raised. It is proved that an individual subsidiary plot in rural areas performs both a usual function of food production for own consumption (meeting up to 30-40% of the need for vegetables and fruits; at plots with poultry and small cattle — up to 60 – 70% of meat and dairy product needs), and plays a socio-communicative function of maintaining reciprocal family relations, and also solves recreational tasks. It is emphasized that the production, distribution, consumption and sales of products from the personal subsidiary plots are usually carried out within the framework of informal economic relations and that statistics are poorly capable of taking them into account.
A Multimodal and Pathological Analysis of a Renal Cell Carcinoma Metastasis to the Thyroid Gland 11 Years Post Nephrectomy
Authors: Geisbush Tom Rand , Dymon Zaneta , Gabriel Medhat Sam , Yedavalli Vivek
Published: April 2019

Thyroid lesions have a comprehensive differential diagnosis which include benign and malignant entities, such as metastases. However, metastases only account for a small percentage of thyroid lesions with renal cell carcinoma as the most common. Metastases to the thyroid pose a diagnostic dilemma as symptoms may not manifest for up to decades after removal of the renal cell carcinoma. Due to the nonspecific appearance on computed tomography and ultrasound, distinguishing metastases from primary thyroid malignancies is of the utmost importance for timely patient management. Our case demonstrates the importance of considering RCC metastases to the thyroid even years after nephrectomy to mitigate potential delays in diagnosis. We present the case of a 66-year-old male with a past medical history of renal cell carcinoma status post nephrectomy 11 years prior who demonstrated incidental thyroid abnormalities on positron emission tomography/computed tomography and ultrasound later confirmed as a metastasis of renal cell carcinoma.
The Artistic Patronage of the Confraternities of Schiavoni and Albanians in the Marche Region. The Promotion of the “National” Saints in Pesaro
Authors: Capriotti Giuseppe
Published: April 2019

Starting in the 15th century, groups of Schiavoni and Albanians moved from the East Adriatic coast to the Marche region for several reasons. In order to fight suspicion and prejudice, these “unwanted minorities” would frequently gather in confraternities (well documented from Pesaro to Ascoli Piceno) that fostered their members’ integration into the civic and religious life of the new country. The essay examines the artistic patronage of these confraternities, which promoted the cult of specific saints, using Pesaro as an example. Here, the confraternity of Schiavoni is documented from 1477, and its chapel was decorated with a surviving early 16thcentury fresco, which also features the patron saint of the Illyrians, St. Jerome. On the other hand, the only evidence of an Albanian collective identity in Pesaro is represented by a 15th-century fresco of St. Veneranda, preserved in the church of a village bearing the same name. St. Veneranda is a Balkan saint, highly venerated throughout the Marche by the Albanians.
The Archconfraternity of the Rosary in the Dominican Churches of Kraków. Piety and Patronage of the Arts
Authors: J. Czyżewski Krzysztof , Walczak Marek
Published: April 2019

The essay deals with the artistic milieu of the Archconfraternity of the Rosary at the Dominican Holy Trinity Church in Kraków. Dominicans were zealous promoters of the rosary, and numerous Rosary brotherhoods were established, typically affiliated with Dominican churches. Therefore, it seems almost certain that in Kraków, as early as the 15th century, the Dominican Order of Preachers encouraged the formation of such a confraternity. Indirect evidence of this is preserved in the Convent’s Archive in Kraków, in documents concerning the Dominican Confraternities of the Rosary, issued by Pope Innocent VIII in 1484 and by the General of the Order, Augustine Recuperati, in 1539. In any case, in 1600, the Kraków-based confraternity—at that time already existing “ab immemorabilis tempore”— was reformed by Fr. Abraham Bzowski, who elaborated and published an extensive book on this occasion: Rosary of the Virgin Mary, now reformed anew in Kraków at the Holy Trinity (Kraków 1600 and 1606). Already at that time, the confraternity was referred to as an archconfraternity. The fact that the archconfraternity was given one of the earliest and most important copies in the former Polish Republic of Our Lady of the Snows, a miracle-working image in the Roman basilica of S. Maria Maggiore that was considered a palladium of the Eternal City, was of great importance to its development and extraordinary influence. The essay discusses the Polish icon’s veneration, decoration, and the new architectural space it received in 1688.
Vecinos, patrimonio, instituciones y cuentapropistas en La Habana Vieja. Santo Ángel desde dentro
Authors: Ibarrola Arantxa
Published: April 2019

Este artículo nos lleva hasta Santo Ángel, pequeño barrio de la Habana Vieja expuesto en muy poco tiempo a nuevas formas de la economía mercantil. La investigación documenta las relaciones sociales existentes entre los vecinos de siempre —y su patrimonio privado—, las instituciones públicas, los nuevos vecinos, los nuevos emprendedores, los nuevos trabajadores y los turistas internacionales y analiza el proceso de transformación social y económica desde una comunidad estable, similar y basada en el principio de reciprocidad hasta otra provisional, compleja y diferenciada.
Más que pinturas de caballos en la Cueva de Ekain (Deba, Gipuzkoa): los grabados digitales paleolíticos en Europa Occidental
Authors: Ochoa Blanca , Vigiola-Toña Irene , García-Diez Marcos , Garrido-Pimentel Daniel
Published: April 2019

Los avances tecnológicos están permitiendo descubrimientos de cavidades con arte rupestre y de grafías en cuevas ya estudiadas. En este marco se produjo el descubrimiento de una nueva galería en la cueva de Ekain, un conducto de reducidas dimensiones denominado La Fontana. En ambas paredes se documentan caballos y trazos simples ejecutados en trazo digital sobre arcilla. Este descubrimiento motivó el reestudio de figuras ejecutadas con la misma técnica en la galería de Azkenzaldei, donde se localizó un nuevo conjunto de representaciones. En cuanto a la cronología, la imposibilidad de datar directamente las representaciones llevó a aplicar el análisis estilístico. La comparación con figuras de la misma cavidad apunta a que se tratan de grabados ejecutados en fases avanzadas del Magdaleniense.
Précarité, temporalités et conciliation travail-famille chez les musiciens baroques montréalais
Authors: Sauvage Laurent
Published: April 2019

S’est développé à Montréal, depuis la fin des années 1980, un « Monde de l’art » particulier articulé autour de l’interprétation de la musique dite ancienne (de la Renaissance au début du Romantisme) sur instruments historiques. Au fil du temps, la ville est devenue un centre important en Amérique du Nord pour ce style musical. Cet article a pour but d’explorer deux aspects liés à la carrière des artistes qui évoluent dans ce monde. Il interroge une double précarité : celle inhérente à la carrière artistique, celle imposée par la spécialisation du répertoire. Cette dernière limite-t-elle les possibilités d’embauche ? Nous examinons les stratégies élaborées pour contrer cette précarité et leurs conséquences sur les temporalités professionnelles et familiales de ces artistes.
Flamenco y emociones: nuevas técnicas de intervención socioeducativa con menores en riesgo de exclusion social
Authors: Guerrero Valverde Empar , Fuentes martínez Lydia Fuentes
Published: April 2019

Este trabajo tiene como finalidad fundamentar el uso de la danza, en especial del baile flamenco, como una herramienta útil para favorecer la identificación de las emociones en menores en riesgo de exclusión social, con la finalidad de contribuir al desarrollo personal y social de diez menores del Centro de Acogida La Salle-Amigó de Paterna (Valencia), de ellos, cuatro cumplían una medida judicial. Para ello, se diseñó, desarrolló y evaluó un proyecto de intervención cuya metodología se centraba en el uso de la danza flamenca. Este proyecto se implementó a lo largo de diez sesiones con una duración de dos horas, cada una. Para poder determinar la incidencia de dicha intervención, se han utilizado diferentes instrumentos de evaluación, a través de los cuáles se recogieron los datos que se presentan en este artículo y que demuestran que los menores mejoraron en la identificación de sus emociones, mejorando así su relación con el entorno.
El derecho al juego. ¿Un derecho olvidado o ignorado? El caso de España
Authors: Cabedo Mallol Vicente
Published: April 2019

El derecho al juego de niños, niñas y adolescentes está reconocido en el artículo 31 de la Convención de los Derechos del Niño (1989). Como todo Tratado, la Convención crea obligaciones para los Estados Parte, que deben garantizar los derechos que proclama y, entre ellos, el derecho al juego. 

El citado precepto 31 reconoce otros derechos, como son el derecho al descanso, al esparcimiento y a las actividades recreativas. El trabajo se centrará en el derecho al juego, al ser considerado un componente indispensable del desarrollo físico, social, cognitivo, emocional y espiritual de los menores. Derecho que ha sido durante mucho tiempo minusvalorado con respecto a otros derechos de la Convención.

En este trabajo, tras analizar la normativa internacional, las legislaciones de los Estados latinoamericanos y de España relativas a la infancia, demostraremos que se está produciendo un cambio de tendencia. El derecho al juego no es un derecho olvidado o ignorado.  
Simulation of the transport, vertical distribution, optical properties and radiative impact of smoke aerosols with the ALADIN regional climate model during the ORACLES-2016 and LASIC experiments
Authors: Mallet Marc , Nabat Pierre , Zuidema Paquita , Redemann Jens , Sayer Andrew Mark , Stengel Martin , Schmidt Sebastian , Cochrane Sabrina , Burton Sharon , Ferrare Richard , Meyer Kerry , Saide Pablo , Jethva Hiren , Torres Omar , Wood Robert , Saint Martin David , Roehrig Romain , Hsu Christina , Formenti Paola
Published: April 2019

Abstract. Estimates of the direct radiative effect (DRE) from absorbing smoke aerosols
over the southeast Atlantic Ocean (SAO) require simulation of the
microphysical and optical properties of stratocumulus clouds as well as of
the altitude and shortwave (SW) optical properties of biomass burning
aerosols (BBAs). In this study, we take advantage of the large number of
observations acquired during the ObseRvations of Aerosols above Clouds and their
intEractionS (ORACLES-2016) and Layered Atlantic Smoke
Interactions with Clouds (LASIC) projects during
September 2016 and compare them with datasets from the ALADIN-Climate
(Aire Limitée Adaptation dynamique Développement
InterNational) regional model. The model provides a good representation of the liquid water
path but the low cloud fraction is underestimated compared to satellite
data. The modeled total-column smoke aerosol optical depth (AOD) and above-cloud
AOD are consistent (∼0.7 over continental sources and
∼0.3 over the SAO at 550 nm) with the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for
Research and Applications version 2 (MERRA-2), Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI)
or Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data. The
simulations indicate smoke transport over the SAO occurs mainly between 2 and 4 km,
consistent with surface and aircraft lidar observations. The BBA single
scattering albedo is slightly overestimated compared to the Aerosol Robotic
Network (AERONET) and more significantly when compared to Ascension Island
surface observations. The difference could be due to the absence of internal
mixing treatment in the ALADIN-Climate model. The SSA overestimate leads to
an underestimation of the simulated SW radiative heating compared to ORACLES
data. ALADIN-Climate simulates a positive (monthly mean) SW DRE of about
+6 W m−2 over the SAO (20∘ S–10∘ N and
10∘ W–20∘ E) at the top of the atmosphere and in all-sky
conditions. Over the continent, the presence of BBA is shown to significantly
decrease the net surface SW flux, through direct and semi-direct effects,
which is compensated by a decrease (monthly mean) in sensible heat fluxes
(−25 W m−2) and surface land temperature (−1.5 ∘C) over
Angola, Zambia and the Democratic Republic of the Congo, notably. The surface
cooling and the lower tropospheric heating decrease the continental planetary
boundary layer height by about ∼200 m.
New particle formation from sulfuric acid and ammonia: nucleation and growth model based on thermodynamics derived from CLOUD measurements for a wide range of conditions
Authors: Kürten Andreas
Published: April 2019

Abstract. Understanding new particle formation and growth is important because of the
strong impact of these processes on climate and air quality. Measurements to
elucidate the main new particle formation mechanisms are essential; however,
these mechanisms have to be implemented in models to estimate their impact
on the regional and global scale. Parameterizations are computationally
cheap ways of implementing nucleation schemes in models, but they have their
limitations, as they do not necessarily include all relevant parameters.
Process models using sophisticated nucleation schemes can be useful for the
generation of look-up tables in large-scale models or for the analysis of
individual new particle formation events. In addition, some other important
properties can be derived from a process model that implicitly calculates
the evolution of the full aerosol size distribution, e.g., the particle
growth rates. Within this study, a model (SANTIAGO – Sulfuric acid Ammonia
NucleaTIon And GrOwth model) is constructed that simulates new particle
formation starting from the monomer of sulfuric acid up to a particle size
of several hundred nanometers. The smallest sulfuric acid clusters
containing one to four acid molecules and a varying amount of base (ammonia)
are allowed to evaporate in the model, whereas growth beyond the pentamer
(five sulfuric acid molecules) is assumed to be entirely collision-controlled. The
main goal of the present study is to derive appropriate thermodynamic data
needed to calculate the cluster evaporation rates as a function of
temperature. These data are derived numerically from CLOUD (Cosmics Leaving
OUtdoor Droplets) chamber new particle formation rates for neutral sulfuric
acid–water–ammonia nucleation at temperatures between 208 and 292 K. The
numeric methods include an optimization scheme to derive the best estimates
for the thermodynamic data (dH and dS) and a Monte Carlo method to derive
their probability density functions. The derived data are compared to
literature values. Using different data sets for dH and dS in SANTIAGO
detailed comparison between model results and measured CLOUD new particle
formation rates is discussed.
Taehwa Research Forest: a receptor site for severe domestic pollution events in Korea during 2016
Authors: Sullivan John T. , McGee Thomas J. , Stauffer Ryan M. , Thompson Anne M. , Weinheimer Andrew , Knote Christoph , Janz Scott , Wisthaler Armin , Long Russell , Szykman James , Park Jinsoo , Lee Youngjae , Kim Saewung , Jeong Daun , Sanchez Dianne , Twigg Laurence , Sumnicht Grant , Knepp Travis , Schroeder Jason R.
Published: April 2019

Abstract. During the May–June 2016 International
Cooperative Air Quality Field Study in Korea (KORUS-AQ), light synoptic
meteorological forcing facilitated Seoul metropolitan pollution outflow to
reach the remote Taehwa Research Forest (TRF) site and cause regulatory
exceedances of ozone on 24 days. Two of these severe pollution events are
thoroughly examined. The first, occurring on 17 May 2016, tracks
transboundary pollution transport exiting eastern China and the Yellow Sea,
traversing the Seoul Metropolitan Area (SMA), and then reaching TRF in the
afternoon hours with severely polluted conditions. This case study indicates
that although outflow from China and the Yellow Sea were elevated with
respect to chemically unperturbed conditions, the regulatory exceedance at
TRF was directly linked in time, space, and altitude to urban Seoul
emissions. The second case studied, which occurred on 9 June 2016, reveals that
increased levels of biogenic emissions, in combination with amplified urban
emissions, were associated with severe levels of pollution and a regulatory
exceedance at TRF. In summary, domestic emissions may be causing more
pollution than by transboundary pathways, which have been historically
believed to be the major source of air pollution in South Korea. The case
studies are assessed with multiple aircraft, model (photochemical and
meteorological) simulations, in situ chemical sampling, and extensive
ground-based profiling at TRF. These observations clearly identify TRF and
the surrounding rural communities as receptor sites for severe pollution
events associated with Seoul outflow, which will result in long-term
negative effects to both human health and agriculture in the affected areas.
Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6: a dataset of harmonized emissions trajectories through the end of the century
Authors: Gidden Matthew J. , Riahi Keywan , Smith Steven J. , Fujimori Shinichiro , Luderer Gunnar , Kriegler Elmar , van Vuuren Detlef P. , van den Berg Maarten , Feng Leyang , Klein David , Calvin Katherine , Doelman Jonathan C. , Frank Stefan , Fricko Oliver , Harmsen Mathijs , Hasegawa Tomoko , Havlik Petr , Hilaire Jérôme , Hoesly Rachel , Horing Jill , Popp Alexander , Stehfest Elke , Takahashi Kiyoshi
Published: April 2019

Abstract. We present a suite of nine scenarios of future emissions trajectories of
anthropogenic sources, a key deliverable of the ScenarioMIP experiment within
CMIP6. Integrated assessment model results for 14 different emissions species
and 13 emissions sectors are provided for each scenario with consistent
transitions from the historical data used in CMIP6 to future trajectories using
automated harmonization before being downscaled to provide higher emissions
source spatial detail. We find that the scenarios span a wide range of
end-of-century radiative forcing values, thus making this set of scenarios ideal
for exploring a variety of warming pathways. The set of scenarios is bounded on
the low end by a 1.9 W m−2 scenario, ideal for analyzing a world with
end-of-century temperatures well below 2 ∘C, and on the high end by a 8.5 W m−2
scenario, resulting in an increase in warming of nearly 5 ∘C over pre-industrial
levels. Between these two extremes, scenarios are provided such that differences
between forcing outcomes provide statistically significant regional temperature
outcomes to maximize their usefulness for downstream experiments within CMIP6.
A wide range of scenario data products are provided for the CMIP6 scientific
community including global, regional, and gridded emissions datasets.
A simple predictive model for the eddy propagation trajectory in the northern South China Sea
Authors: Li Jiaxun , Wang Guihua , Xue Huijie , Wang Huizan
Published: April 2019

Abstract. A novel predictive model was built for eddy propagation trajectory
using the multiple linear regression method. This simple model relates
various oceanic parameters to eddy propagation position changes in the
northern South China Sea (NSCS). These oceanic parameters mainly represent
the effects of β and mean flow advection on the eddy propagation. The
performance of the proposed model has been examined in the NSCS based on five
years of satellite altimeter data and demonstrates its significant
forecasting skills over a 4-week forecast window compared to the traditional
persistence method. It was also found that the model forecasting accuracy is
sensitive to eddy polarity and the forecast season.
Mil rosas roubadas
Authors: Medeiros Pedro Henrique Alves de , Nolasco Edgar Cézar
Published: April 2019

Este trabalho tem por objetivo delinear uma discussão crítica acerca do conceito de amizade política no romance Mil rosas roubadas (2014) do intelectual e escritor Silviano Santiago. Em síntese, buscaremos discutir as relações de Silviano e Zeca como amigos, amantes e homossexuais atravessados pela paisagem transcultural de Belo Horizonte. O ambiente metropolitano pode ser um lugar de aproximação, mas é, sobretudo, um espaço de distanciamento e solidão. Para respaldar epistemologicamente nossa discussão, nos apoiaremos nos postulados da crítica biográfica fronteiriça e nos estudos de Denilson Lopes acerca das teorizações paisagísticas e homoafetivas.
Crítica de la cultura y del alma trágica en la ensayística temprana de György Lukács
Authors: Garcia Chicote Francisco
Published: April 2019

El trabajo aborda un factor central en la conformación del campo intelectual alemán durante el período guillermino: el concepto de cultura, cuya formulación más compleja se halla en la obra de Georg Simmel. Se afirma que las tempranas conceptualizaciones de György Lukács acerca de la tragedia constituyen una crítica destructiva del concepto de cultura y marcan un antecedente significativo en el desarrollo del marxismo occidental.
Arte, crítica e sociedade em Georg Lukács e Theodor Adorno
Authors: Fogal Alex Alves
Published: April 2019

A proposta deste estudo é analisar as linhas gerais das teorias estéticas de Georg Lukács e Theodor Adorno. O objetivo é demonstrar que, apesar de se enquadrarem de modos bastante diversos na tradição da crítica marxista, suas perspectivas convergem em pontos fundamentais. Para isso, três pontos de discussão serão abordados: a questão da ontologia em suas teorias, suas concepções de obra de arte e a maneira segundo a qual compreendem a arte vanguardista.
Arte e política
Authors: Bastos Hermenegildo
Published: April 2019

Neste trabalho discuto a noção de “eficácia da obra” como aparece na Estética da maturidade de Lukács, a obra deve conter em si a possibilidade de orientar o receptor, e essa orientação consiste em um mapeamento da realidade social e na apresentação de um guia para a ação. Nada disso se faz como se fosse a defesa de uma tese, mas como a figuração de destinos humanos concretos. A questão que então se coloca é: se nada disso depende da mera intenção do criador nem do receptor, o que torna possível esse posicionamento?
Não é esse o ofício dos deuses? ” A sátira e o tamanho real dos grandes homens do exílio em Marx e Machado de Assis
Authors: Corrêa Ana Laura Dos Reis , Hess Elisabeth
Published: April 2019

Este artigo aborda a composição satírica de dois textos diferentes quanto ao gênero, ao espaço e ao tempo: Os grandes homens do exílio, texto político e paródico, escrito em Londres, no ano de 1852, por Marx, Engels, Ernst Dronke e Jenny von Westphalen, e “Conto alexandrino”, narrativa ficcional de Machado de Assis, publicada em 1883, no Rio de Janeiro. Sem desconsiderar essas diferenças entre os textos, a análise busca compreender a que necessidade responde essa escolha dos autores pela sátira, concretizada a partir da configuração de  personagens que, no exílio, assumem uma estatura que não corresponde ao seu tamanho real.
Impact of ICD-10-CM Transition on Mental Health Diagnoses Recording
Authors: Stewart Christine C. , Lu Christine Y. , Yoon Tae K. , Coleman Karen J. , Crawford Phillip M. , Lakoma Matthew D. , Simon Gregory E.
Published: April 2019

Objective: This study examines the impact of the transition from ICD-9-CM to
ICD-10-CM diagnosis coding on the recording of mental health disorders in electronic
health records (EHRs) and claims data in ten large health systems. We present rates of
these diagnoses across two years spanning the October 2015 transition.Methods: Mental
health diagnoses were identified from claims and EHR data at ten health care systems in
the Mental Health Research Network (MHRN). Corresponding ICD-9-CM and ICD-10-CM codes
were compiled and monthly rates of people receiving these diagnoses were calculated for
one year before and after the coding transition.Results: For seven of eight diagnostic
categories, monthly rates were comparable during the year before and the year after the
ICD-10-CM transition. In the remaining category, psychosis excluding schizophrenia
spectrum disorders, aggregate monthly rates of decreased markedly with the ICD-10-CM
transition, from 48 to 33 per 100,000. We propose that the change is due to features of
General Equivalence Mappings (GEMS) embedded in the EHR.Conclusions: For most mental
health conditions, the transition to ICD-10-CM appears to have had minimal impact. The
decrease seen for psychosis diagnoses in these health systems is likely due to changes
associated with EHR implementation of ICD-10-CM coding rather than an actual change in
disease prevalence. It is important to consider the impact of the ICD-10-CM transition
for all diagnostic criteria used in research studies, quality measurement, and financial
analysis during this interval.
Development or Despair? The Intentions and Realities of South-South Migration
Authors: Lee Sang E
Published: April 2019

The literature on the motivations and the impacts of remittances sent by international migrants to their families and communities strongly focus on their economic impacts and the flows of money from the global North to the South. The driving factors for remittance sending, closely embedded in motivations for migration, often overlook the conditions in which remittances are not sent, where households do not prosper, and community development does not happen. This ethnographic study uses the case of Nicaraguan migration to Costa Rica to examine the lives of the families of migrants in the context of rural to rural and South to South migration. The paper examines the intentions and realities of South-South migration through the lens of migrants and their families, and illuminates the other side of migration often invisible in the migrant’s home communities and the migration and development literature. The paper also shows the disparity in physical, economic, and emotional distance as it illustrates the unique structural challenges of South-South and especially rural to rural migrants. These structural barriers that create an unbridgeable distance between migrants and their families embody the chasm between the intentions and the realities of migration for individuals on both sides of the border.
O assunto “classificação” na literatura brasileira de Ciência da Informação: uma análise nos anais do ENANCIB (2003-2014)
Authors: Moreira Walter , Moraes Isabela Santana de
Published: April 2019

Introdução: A teoria da classificação tem sido utilizada como fundamento para a compreensão dos sistemas de organização do conhecimento. Desse modo, é importante analisar e compreender como os estudos sobre classificação se configuram na ciência da informação brasileira, analisando-se sua institucionalização. Objetivos: a) identificar os autores com a presença mais consolidada no ENANCIB; b) verificar as relações entre os autores citantes e seus referenciais teórico-bibliográficos; c) identificar os termos mais recorrentes e sua relação com conteúdos de outras áreas ou outros subcampos da ciência da informação. Metodologia: Analisaram-se os trabalhos publicados nos anais do ENANCIB pelo GT-2, no período 2003 a 2014 (n=350). Utilizou-se como estratégia de busca a verificação da ocorrência da expressão truncada “classif*” em títulos e palavras-chave. Desse modo, 42 artigos foram selecionados para a composição do corpus de análise, do qual extraiu-se a amostra composta por 21 trabalhos que foram publicados pelos cinco investigadores mais produtivos. Foram analisadas também as referências bibliográficas utilizadas por este grupo, construindo-se a rede de citação. Resultados: Verificou-se que há uma elite forte e atuante relativamente ao desenvolvimento da temática “classificação” no GT-2. Metade dos trabalhos identificados como relacionados a esta temática foi produzida pelos cinco autores componentes da elite. Observou-se, tanto na análise da base teórico-bibliográfica quanto na análise das palavras-chave utilizadas, que o estudo da teoria da classificação facetada desperta interesses, sendo Ranganathan o teórico mais citado pelos autores mais produtivos. Trata-se de um fenômeno que não se pode efetivamente chamar de tendência, considerando-se a longevidade desse tipo de interesse. Conclusões: Esse interesse “renovado” na classificação facetada, entretanto, está certamente associado às contribuições que tal abordagem pode oferecer ao tratamento da informação digital em consonância com outros instrumentos, como, e.g., as ontologias.
Proposal for improvement capes evaluation system in engineering III
Authors: Bortoluzzi Mirian Batista de Oliveira , Melo Fagner José Coutinho de , Muchanga Armando
Published: April 2019

This paper aims to discuss the criteria and weights used by the CAPES evaluation in the area of Engineering III of the Postgraduate Program evaluating the possibility of incorporating some criteria and/or methodological aspects of international evaluation systems. The Brazilian postgraduate system must be evaluated not only in terms of number of programs, students and notes, but also need to be considered distribution by area of knowledge and quality in research. So we sought to characterize the international rankings to differentiate from each other mainly by their methodological orientation. Thus the authors emphasize the difficulty of assigning appropriate weights to each indicator in order to meet the demand of users who consult the rankings with interests as diverse. Therefore the results of this paper contribute to the improvement of the evaluation methodology of CAPES, when considering the critical identified in the analysis, suggesting the inclusion of new indicators and criteria, as well as the redistribution of weights. It was also observed that the performance in research has been consideration in the analysis and classification of universities in major international university rankings.
Redução do tempo de setup por meio da técnica single minute exchange of die em empresa do setor de linha branca
Authors: Vilela Patrick Feitosa , ABREU Mônica Cavalcanti Sá de , Leopoldino Claúdio Bezerra
Published: April 2019

O artigo apresenta a redução do tempo de setup por meio da aplicação da técnica Single Minute Exchange of Die (SMED), em uma empresa do setor de linha branca. A pesquisa foi desenvolvida por meio de entrevistas aos funcionários e acesso aos dados de produção, extraídos do sistema informatizado a empresa. O estudo de caso avaliou as atividades do setup da prensa do setor de estamparia de uma linha de montagem de fogões. Os resultados da pesquisa mostram as fases de implantação da técnica SMED, com avaliação das atividades de setup interno e setup externo; a conversão de setup interno em externo, e a padronização das atividades de preparação, as quais foram executadas como setup externo. Os ganhos obtidos com a redução do tempo de setup comprovam o uso da técnica SMED na melhoria da eficiência e aumento da capacidade produtiva.
Desenvolvimento do conceito de uma plataforma de acesso a piscinas para pessoas com mobilidade reduzida
Authors: Moura Cassiano Rodrigues , Círico Elvis , Lafin Neilor Norival , Borges Thiago Lino , Da Silva Samuel Siqueira
Published: April 2019

Este trabalho aborda a metodologia de Desenvolvimento de Produto alinhada aos conceitos de ergonomia com o objetivo de desenvolver a concepção de uma plataforma de acessibilidade a piscinas para pessoas com mobilidade reduzida. A metodologia utilizada neste trabalho caracteriza-se por meio de pesquisa tecnológica, que busca a geração de novos produtos, esta inicia-se com definição da tarefa onde é apresentada uma declaração de escopo do projeto. Nesta etapa são levantadas as informações sobre as necessidades dos usuários através de uma pesquisa de mercado e uma análise de benchmark, posteriormente as informações são clarificadas através da matriz QFD. Na sequência é realizado o projeto conceitual onde a visão do mercado é transformada em um conceito tecnologicamente atrativo, nesta etapa é aplicada a matriz morfológica para levantar os princípios de solução atendendo as funções elementares do equipamento. Por fim é apresentado o projeto preliminar onde é criado o modelo conceitual do produto.
Abordagem de roteamento de veículos com procedimentos exatos e heurísticos sob uma óptica ambiental: um estudo de caso
Authors: Da Silva Ayla Lohanna , Ferreira Júlio César , Steiner Maria Teresinha Arns
Published: April 2019

Este artigo possui o objetivo de apresentar alternativas de roteirização otimizada de transporte coletivo privado para uma indústria química, do município de Curitiba-PR, Brasil. Para tanto, aplica-se o modelo matemático do Problema do Caixeiro Viajante (PCV), o modelo matemático das p-Medianas e as heurísticas dos Savings de Clarke & Wright, Iterated Local Search (ILS), Busca Tabu (BT) e Simulated Annealing (SA) de forma comparativa. Os modelos matemáticos aqui empregados se mostraram relevantes para a pesquisa, bem como o uso das técnicas heurísticas, com tempo computacional inferior a um segundo e boa proximidade do resultado ótimo. Foi possível otimizar em 83% da distância total percorrida e 79% das emissões de dióxido de carbono em relação a condição inicial. Como a metodologia é genérica, ela poderá ser aplicada as mais diversas situações.
O efeito mediador da resource based view (RBV) na relação entre gestão da cadeia de suprimentos e desempenho operacional
Authors: Vitorino Filho Valdir Antonio , Moori Roberto Giro
Published: April 2019

O objetivo desta pesquisa foi identificar a mediação da resource based view (RBV) na relação entre gestão da cadeia suprimentos (GCS) e desempenho operacional (DO), tendo como amostras, as empresas dos polos de tecnologia do Brasil. Para tal, realizou-se um estudo exploratório e descritivo composto de duas fases. A primeira, do tipo qualitativo foram coletados dados em uma amostra de 10 empresas e tratadas pela análise de conteúdo. A segunda, do tipo quantitativo, precedido de pré-teste, foram coletados dados junto a uma amostra de 125 empresas e tratadas pela estatística multivariada. O resultado mostrou que a RBV exerce função mediadora entre GCS e DO, pois os valores de coeficiente estrutural e valor t achados no modelo foram maiores na presença da RBV do que na relação direta entre GCS e DO.
Benefícios da otimização do estoque de peças de reposição em conjunto com as operações de manutenção
Authors: Campos Renan Stenico , Simon Alexandre Tadeu
Published: April 2019

Peças de reposição são componentes de estoque que satisfazem as necessidades de manutenção nos sistemas industriais. Essas peças são colocadas em uso quando existem falhas ou algum componente necessite ser substituído. O gerenciamento eficaz do estoque de peças de reposição diminui o tempo de inatividade dos equipamentos, reduz os custos associados aos estoques e/ou manutenção e melhora a segurança operacional. A otimização do estoque de peças de reposição em conjunto com as operações de manutenção traz reais benefícios para as empresas. A literatura apresenta dezoito modelos com esse enfoque, cada um com suas peculiaridades, não existindo, no entanto, uma análise conjunta dos mesmos que mostre as vantagens de um sobre o outro e as melhorias a serem abordadas no futuro. O objetivo deste trabalho é analisar estes modelos conjuntamente, destacar os benefícios atribuídos a cada um deles e apresentar as possíveis oportunidades para trabalhos futuros na área.