bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025 huggingface dataset:
Educação superior pública, ultraneoliberalismo e extrema direita no Brasil: traços do retrocesso em curso
Authors: Farage Eblin
Published: July 2022

O presente artigo buscou articular elementos diversos que compõem o cenário conjuntural de ascensão da extrema-direita no Brasil e o impulsionamento de uma sociabilidade violenta, os quais que impactam diferentes dimensões da vida cotidiana e têm na educação, básica e superior, uma forma de sua difusão. Considerando os dados que expressam a sociabilidade violenta contemporânea, assim como o processo de crescimento autoritário na educação, destaca as ações das escolas cívico-militares e as intervenções do governo nas universidades federais como um processo de consolidação ideológica que visa a manutenção do status quo e a generalização da cultura do medo e do autoritarismo, marcas da particularidade brasileira e resquícios do entulho autoritário da ditadura empresarial-militar brasileira, realidade que exige, do movimento organizado, reação e construção contra-hegemônica tendo o horizonte de novas relações sociais.
Neoliberalismo e educação brasileira: a dominância financeira no capitalismo contemporâneo
Authors: Silva Renalvo Cavalcante , Santos Neto Artur Bispo dos
Published: July 2022

O capital sofre desde a década de 1970 crises cada vez mais graves. Em grande parte, isso tem piorado após as medidas adotadas pelo neoliberalismo, o qual tem estimulado reformas estruturais que desmontam por completo o pouco que restava ainda do social-liberalismo. O Estado, para assegurar os lucros dos capitalistas, adota políticas de austeridade, retira direitos, promove privatizações, boicota sindicatos, utiliza-se dos fundos públicos para interesses rentistas etc. A educação pública perde investimentos enquanto os recursos da receita nacional são orientados para o setor privado e para o pagamento das obrigações estatais. Este estudo demonstra que o descaso com a educação não se dá por acaso, pois a precarização do ensino público tem produzido imensos conglomerados educacionais que expandem seus investimentos, inclusive para o mercado financeiro.
Corporações, redes de ensino e capital aberto na bolsa de valores: o avanço do setor privado na educação nos últimos anos
Authors: Almeida Moises Diniz de
Published: July 2022

Nas duas primeiras décadas do século XXI vimos avançar rapidamente a participação da iniciativa privada na educação. No Ensino Superior esse movimento já vinha ocorrendo desde o final do século passado e atualmente, a rede privada abocanha, segundo censo do INEP de 2020, 87,62% das IES de todo o país. Com o objetivo de apresentar dados sobre essa situação e mostrar que esse caminho consolidado no Ensino Superior, começa a ser experimentado no Ensino Básico, o presente artigo faz uma reflexão sobre as recentes mudanças na legislação educacional brasileira: PNE, Reforma do Ensino Médio e BNCC, apontando os indicadores estatísticos que comprovam o início de um ciclo de apropriação pelo setor privado, desse nível de educação. Se as IES privadas beneficiavam-se do repasse de recursos públicos destinados ao Ensino Superior, com as mudanças na Legislação, os recursos do FUNDEB também poderão ser apropriados pela sanha do setor. Para elaboração deste artigo, foram realizadas consultas em fontes primárias, tais como estatísticas do governo divulgadas pelos censos do INEP, caderno do CADE, entrevistas publicadas em órgãos de informação especializados e textos de pensadores que já fazem a reflexão sobre essa situação. É um artigo histórico-narrativo com acepções críticas sobre o triste cenário que começa a aparecer no cotidiano dos que lidam diretamente com a educação brasileira.
EXPLORING THE INFLUENCE OF WORK OVERLOAD AND JOB STRESS ON EMPLOYEES TURNOVER INTENTIONS
Authors: Hakro Tauqeer Hussain , Jhatial Ashique Ali , Chandio Jawed Ahmed
Published: July 2022

The aim of this study was to investigate the influence of work overload and job stress on employee turnover intentions. This study was explanatory and quantitative in nature based on deductive approach and positivist philosophy. Primary data acquired through close-ended questionnaire based on seven related choices indicating the level of agreement or disagreement from employees of private banks of Mirpurkhas region, which including managers and non-managers. The data acquired through convenience and snow-ball techniques of non-probability sampling. A sum of total 100 managers and non-managers participated in the questionnaire survey. Data analyzed and interpreted by SPSS and PLS-SEM. Response rate of the survey, Cronbach’s alpha and demographic details were found out by SPSS. However, model measurement and verification done through PLS-SEM. The empirical findings supported direct relationships, inter-relationship and mediating effect of job stress with work overload and employee turnover intentions in partular contex.
THE IMPACT OF PHYSICAL ACTIVITY IN DEVELOPMENT OF COGNITIVE AND NON-COGNITIVE SKILLS OF PHYSICAL EDUCATION STUDENTS
Authors: Manzoor Mehwish , Ansari Muhammad Akram , Soomro Javed Ali
Published: July 2022

This study aimed to find out the impact of physical activity in development of cognitive and non-cognitive skills of the physical education students. All male and female physical education students at northern Panjab were the population of current study. Thus, there is dire need to carry-out pragmatic research on theme of sports education and its relationship with cognitive and non-cognitive skills. The Likert scale was used for data collection which cover all aspect of sports and validity and reliability was done accordingly. The collected data was then put into SPSS to tabulate and arrange the data to attain the desired results. Findings of this study revealed that the score of participants and non-participants at both ends between male and female was different. Findings further revealed that the physical activity played a partial role between sports, cognitive and non-cognitive skills among youth of physical education. The physical activity was tested positive and significant in relationship with sports and cognitive skills. This study thus confirmed the significant connection between physical activity and sports in-between cognitive and non-cognitive skills.
The introduction of lean manufacturing in a selected South African organization
Authors:   , Moorthi Vougan
Published: July 2022

The aim of this research is to analyze the introduction of lean manufacturing in a selected South African organization viz. Smiths Manufacturing. The research, together with its conclusions, may identify problematic areas which, once addressed, will improve the implementation in other areas and identify the benefits, if any, of lean manufacturing. Three research objectives exist and two methods of research were used to solve the research questions. The first and second research objectives (i.e. to analyze the manner in which lean manufacturing was introduced in Smiths Manufacturing and its benefit on the company's competitive position and future existence) were analyzed qualitatively with the aid of personal interviews. The third research objective (i.e. to determine the financial benefit of lean manufacturing introduction on the respective assembly line) was analyzed quantitatively. This research revealed three pertinent findings: Firstly, Smiths Manufacturing has adhered to eight of Liker's 13 Step Implementation Procedure with two areas of non-conformance being identified and insufficient information present to comment on the remaining three steps. Secondly, improvements in the manufacturing process have enabled the company to be more price competitive. Areas of improvement were in labour, raw materials and finished goods. These improvements will assist in ensuring the company's future existence. Thirdly, there has been a substantial amount of savings by the introduction of lean manufacturing. This research has identified that communication involving lean manufacturing is vital to introducing a system into a company. This communication enables people at all levels to understand the roll out procedure and the corresponding actions of the company. In addition, the research revealed that the
Aligning private higher education with the needs of the local tourism industry
Authors:   , Ramouthar Shayna
Published: July 2022

There is a considerable gap between what is provided by tourism education providers and the needs expressed by the industry. Literature pertaining to private higher education institutions based in KwaZulu-Natal (KZN) curriculum provision is very limited. Therefore, this study sought to determine whether tourism qualifications offered at registered private higher education institutions in KZN are aligned with the needs of the local tourism industry. This study accordingly identified and investigated the gaps between the needs of the local tourism industry and the core tourism curriculum offered at private institutions. In addition, the study closely examined the curricula offered by analysing and comparing the similarities and differences between the tourism curriculums of each private institution. In order to provide solutions and recommendations for future curriculum development, stakeholder’s views on what a tourism curriculum offered at private higher education institutions should entail was evaluated. Respondents comprised of managers from selected sectors of the local tourism industry, tourism graduates, tourism curriculum designers and tourism academics of the selected private higher education institutions. To achieve the first and third objective, a mixed-methods approach was adapted. This empirical study utilised electronic surveys to obtain a sample of 164 participants. A document analysis entailing thematic analysis was also complied to address the second objective. The findings revealed that there are more similarities amongst the education providers’ formal curriculum content than differences. However, the tourism curricula on offer by all the sampled private higher education institutions were observed not to align with the needs of the local tourism industry. Therefore, this study identified numerous gaps between the needs of the local tourism industry and the provisions by private higher education institutions. The misalignment was found to be attributable to multiple factors for which recommendations are made.
Turismo accesible, el caso de haciendas chocolateras de Tabasco, México
Authors: Mazó Quevedo María Lyssette , Sosa Peña Rocío Guadalupe , De los Santos de Dios Raquel Olivia
Published: July 2022

El artículo versa sobre el turismo accesible para personas con discapacidad y para los adultos mayores. El objetivo fue evaluar las características y condiciones de accesibilidad en las instalaciones y en el servicio de dos haciendas agroturísticas localizadas en el municipio de Comalcalco, Tabasco; que están especializadas en el turismo alternativo mediante la oferta de recorridos en plantaciones de cacao y en la explicación del proceso de producción del chocolate. La metodología desarrollada tiene un enfoque mixto. La recopilación de datos requirió de la aplicación de dos instrumentos: una entrevista de corte cualitativa realizada a los responsables de los centros turísticos y una lista de verificación de indicadores de accesibilidad, con orientación cuantitativa. Como resultado, se observó que pese al reconocimiento de las necesidades que tienen los adultos mayores y las personas con discapacidad que visitan el municipio, la oferta turística incumple con la mayoría de las ocho características de accesibilidad evaluadas: entradas y rutas, áreas de servicios, señalización e información, personal y servicio, áreas sanitarias públicas, caminos, estacionamiento y, escaleras, rampas y ascensores. Además, se percibió cierto desinterés en mejorar las instalaciones y el servicio que ofrecen dichos prestadores turísticos, aunado a una recurrente inconformidad sobre la falta de financiamientos que les permitan invertir en las adecuaciones necesarias. Finalmente se presentan recomendaciones para la gestión del turismo accesible para personas adultas mayores y con discapacidad donde participen actores del gobierno estatal, municipal, la academia, la iniciativa privada y las cámaras y asociaciones para el desarrollo de un plan integral.
Informalidad laboral en la administracion del deporte en Chihuahua
Authors: Soto Valenzuela Ma. Concepción , Aceves Almeida Celina Almendra , Franco Gallegos Leticia Irene , Joya Ramírez Francisco , Barreras Villavelázquez Teresa de Jesús
Published: July 2022

En el presente artículo se planteó como objetivo analizar la percepción de universitarios sobre la informalidad laboral en la administración del deporte. La presente investigación pertenece a un estudio descriptivo transversal y comparativo; donde participaron 365 universitarios. El instrumento que se utilizó para comparar la percepción de la informalidad laboral en la administración del deporte fue una encuesta de opinión en modalidad digital con un Alfa de Cronbach de .881. Los resultados mostraron que 61.5% de los universitarios presentan un concepto idóneo de la informalidad laboral, un 38.5% opina haber participado en la informalidad laboral. El 95.4% de los universitarios considera que la informalidad laboral en la administración del deporte es una barrera para el desarrollo económico del deporte. Se encontraron diferencias significativas entre el rol dentro de la universidad, donde los administradores muestran significativamente mayor dominio sobre informalidad laboral en la administración del deporte [F(2,364)= 3.703, p<.030], que los demás participantes. Por lo que se concluye, que, a partir de las opiniones de los universitarios, se requiere un estudio con mayor profundidad con la participación de una población o muestra representativa en la informalidad laboral dentro de la administración del deporte; a razón del desconocimiento de la temática y la incursión inconsciente en esta. Por lo anterior, se propone que instancias o instituciones realicen investigaciones con impacto social en las entidades federativas con mayor índice de informalidad laboral en la administración del deporte.
Estrategias transdisciplinarias en un proceso de formación universitaria
Authors: Gutiérrez Chávez Perla Nohemi , Velducea Velducea Wilberth , Franco Díaz Pamela , Barreras Villavelázquez Teresa de Jesús , Soto Valenzuela Ma. Concepción
Published: July 2022

Debido a los constantes cambios que vivimos es de suma importancia que, en la disciplina educativa se vean reflejadas acciones innovadoras sobre todo en los saberes, competencias, metodologías y estrategias transdiciplinarias que aporten soluciones a situaciones complejas y mediante la aplicación de casos reales se logren esas aproximaciones en la práctica educativa, dejando en los estudiantes aprendizajes significativos y vivenciales. Se presenta una revisión sistemática cuyo objetivo consiste en analizar estrategias transdisciplinarias utilizadas en el nivel superior. En este artículo se analizaron 7 investigaciones que muestran estrategias, competencias y metodologías de enseñanza en una intervención universitaria. Para tal fin, se realizó una búsqueda de artículos publicados entre el año 2009 hasta el 2022, en las bases de datos de Redalyc, Scielo y Dialnet. Las palabras claves utilizadas fueron; estrategias, transdisciplinariedad y formación universitaria. Los resultados muestran que las estrategias aplicadas con enfoque transdisciplinar, apoyan a la metodología docente. Se exploraron las áreas de medicina, educación, pedagogía y administración. En conclusión, la revisión de los estudios permite precisar que estrategias existen, y analizarlas contribuyen al aprendizaje significativo de los estudiantes, a su motivación y al trabajo colaborativo.
Análisis de un sistema de Contabilidad de Costos y su incidencia en la rentabilidad de los negocios artesanales de la parroquia La Victoria, cantón Pujilí, provincia de Cotopaxi durante el período 2019 -2021
Authors: Cuadrado-Avilés Daniel , Masapanta-Alomoto Darwin , Cárdenas-Pérez Alisva
Published: July 2022

Esta investigación se realizó con el propósito de analizar la incidencia en la rentabilidad de los negocios artesanales que tiene la aplicación de un sistema informático de contabilidad de costos. Se la aplicó en la parroquia La Victoria, cantón Pujilí, provincia de Cotopaxi, Ecuador, durante los dos últimos años. La metodología fue de enfoque cuantitativo, bibliográfica, documental y de tipo experimental ya que implicó la creación del software contable para este sector con las pruebas respectivas de acierto - error hasta obtener una versión beta cero que se aplicó a los afiliados a la Asociación Interprofesional de Artesanos y Operarios “Unión Artesanal La Victoria”. La limitante inicial de esta investigación fue la carencia de una valoración del tiempo de trabajo en los diferentes procesos de producción de la teja que fue solventada mediante el prorrateo del tiempo total de trabajo para cada obrero. El principal hallazgo fue que la aplicación del sistema de gestión contable y financiera tuvo una relación directa con la rentabilidad de los negocios que difirió de la percepción que tenían los artesanos acerca de sus niveles de ingresos versus los costos reales, en muchos casos se encontró que algunos costos no estaban reconocidos en el proceso de producción. La aplicación del software contable permitió que cada artesano pueda calcular el costo unitario real de su producción de teja y a la vez obtener la información necesaria que podría respaldar el acceso al apalancamiento financiero bancario.
PRUŽANJE PODRŠKE DJECI NAKON GUBITKA BLISKE OSOBE
Authors: Isić-Imamović Almira
Published: July 2022

The objective of the paper is to indicate the ways of giving psychological support to children after they experience the loss of a close person, such as a parent, a grandparent, a brother, a sister, a friend, their friend’s parent, a teacher or some other adult person or a child they know. Children’s understanding of death is associated with their age and a level of cognitive development. Children’s reactions to the loss are numerous, from anxiety, vivid memories of the past loss, sleeping disorders, sadness and longing for the lost person, anger, quilt and self-reproach for the loss to physical disorders and learning difficulties. For children, as well as for adults, the mourning process might be very difficult and painful. However, if adults help them in an adequate way to accept the loss emotionally and cognitively, it will be less painful and without consequences for their subsequent development.
BOG KAO BITAK U ISLAMSKOJ FILOZOFIJI
Authors: DŽilo Hasan
Published: July 2022

Rethinking the Act of Being has been a central issue for Islamic philosophers. They have considered that the Act of Being is God, that it is another name for God. Supporting the metaphysics of the Act of Being, or the metaphysics of Essence, the Islamic philosophers have identified the Act of Being with reality or on the other hand Essence with reality. They have been talking about the truth above all truths, about Essence above all essence, about the Act of Being, emphasizing God’s absoluteness and transcendence in all respects. Al-Kindi started this discussion in Islamic philosophy, and it was later deepened in the studies by Al-Farabi, Ibn Sina, Ibn Rushd, Mulla Sandra Shirazi, whose metaphysics branched out depending on the approach to this thematic issue. However, the metaphysics of the Act of Being prevails, especially in the views presented by Ibn Sina, Ibn Rushd and Mulla Sandra Shirazi.
BOŠNJAČKA USMENOKNJIŽEVNA TRADICIJA U RAZVOJNIM TOKOVIMA JUŽNOSLAVENSKOG FOLKLORNOG ROMANTIZMA
Authors: Ramić Ibnel
Published: July 2022

The official penetration of some elements of Romanticism in Bosniak literature happened during the eighties of the 19th century, following the Austro- Hungarian occupation and the period of so-called deaf era in Bosniak literary creation. However, it would be wrong to conclude that the contribution of Bosniak tradition to the corpus of oral literature of South Slavic people might be analyzed only since the end of the 19th century. Actually, the Bosniak tradition has presented an indispensable part of the oral literary movements in the South Slavic area since it started being recorded, regardless of the fact that Bosniaks, as an Islamized Slavic ethnic group, were spiritually and culturally isolated from the Western European,basically Christian, cultural world during a few centuries of Ottoman rule over Bosnia. The current paper shows that it is not only thatBosniak oral literature, and with it Bosniak literature in general, existed in Ottoman period, but it also played an important role in the literary currents of the South Slavic folkloric Romanticism, thus making a contribution of Bosniak literature to the South Slavic inter-literary community significant.
THE IMPORTANCE OF LEARNING STYLES IN THE EFL CLASSROOM
Authors: Dubravac Vildana , Žunić-Rizvić Lejla
Published: July 2022

This paper deals with teaching management of different learning styles students use in the EFL classroom. It explores various types of learning styles and it provides directions that can help EFL teachers in better understanding of various learning preferences and in responding to different types of learners. Different types of learners are also treated in this paper. In addition to theoretical explanations for every type of learner mentioned, different methods and approaches are incorporated, together with suggestions for activities suitable for particular learners. The last part of the paper is a study of Bosnian teenagers’ learning styles and their implication in teaching. The aim of the study was to investigate major learning styles of Sarajevo teenagers and how they affect their learning. The results and analysis of the study are presented at the end of this paper.
PARTICIPAÇÃO SOCIAL NA GESTÃO PÚBLICA BRASILEIRA: DESAFIOS PARA A GOVERNANÇA NAS POLÍTICAS AMBIENTAIS
Authors: de Melo Soares Sales Marcela , Fragoso Selva Vanice Santiago
Published: July 2022

Para combinar eficiência e legitimação da vontade coletiva, as políticas públicas devem resultar de um processo decisório democrático, sendo a governança o sistema de articulação ideal. Assim, esta pesquisa é justificada pela necessidade de discutir a governança como estratégia para promover ações que conciliem desenvolvimento econômico e conservação ambiental. O objetivo é ampliar o debate sobre a contribuição dos mecanismos de governança para a implementação de políticas ambientais eficazes. A abordagem metodológica é exploratória e descritiva, com buscas nas plataformas Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES) e Scientific Eletronic Library Online (SciELO). Como resultados: há a necessidade de uma relação mais transparente entre Estado e sociedade; a participação popular nos conselhos ambientais brasileiros ainda é frágil; a estrutura de governança ambiental deve ser composta por diferentes atores visando implementar ações que integrem demandas econômicas, sociais e ecológicas; os desafios elencados evidenciam a importância da interdisciplinaridade e da articulação entre os setores, adotando medidas que enfoquem a prevenção, mitigação e compensação. Conclui-se que o sucesso das políticas públicas ambientais depende da qualidade da participação dos representantes da sociedade civil e do seu relacionamento com os atores públicos nas instâncias de governança para identificar as questões mais prementes de intervenção governamental, ensejando mudanças sociais positivas.
OS IMPACTOS SOCIOAMBIENTAIS DA CERTIFICAÇÃO 'SLOW FOOD' NA TERRA INDÍGENA ANDIRÁ-MARAU
Authors: de Souza Silva Hellem Camile , de Souza Barreto William , do Socorro Pinto Simões Dayna
Published: July 2022

A Amazônia possui incalculáveis riquezas naturais, as quais durante muito tempo foram exploradas de maneira desenfreada, resultando em grandes perdas que preocupam a sociedade. O território indígena Andirá-Marau sofreu grandes perdas com a exploração de suas plantas nativas. O objetivo geral desta pesquisa foi analisar os impactos socioambientais da utilização da certificação ambiental Slow food na gestão de base territorial do povo Sateré. A metodologia predominante neste estudo foram a pesquisa bibliográfica e a documental. Do ponto de vista de seus objetivos específicos, ela se caracteriza por ser descritiva. Os resultados apontam uma correlação entre os princípios da certificado Slow food e os princípios do Projeto Autônomo Integrado de Etnodesenvolvimento do povo Sateré-Mawé (PAIESM). Por fim, observou-se que a certificação Slow food indica a possibilidade de impactos positivos no território estudado.
Forecasting the cost of drought events in France by super learning
Authors: Ecoto Geoffrey , Chambaz Antoine
Published: July 2022

Abstract. Drought events are the second most expensive type of natural disaster within the legal framework of the French natural disasters compensation scheme. In recent years, droughts have been remarkable in their geographical scale and intensity. We develop a new methodology to forecast the cost of a drought event in France. The methodology hinges on super learning and takes into account the complex dependence structure induced in the data by the spatial and temporal nature of drought events.
Robust global detection of forced changes in mean and extreme precipitation despite observational disagreement on the magnitude of change
Authors: de Vries Iris Elisabeth , Sippel Sebastian , Pendergrass Angeline Greene , Knutti Reto
Published: July 2022

Abstract. Detection and attribution (D&A) of forced precipitation change is challenging due to internal variability and limited spatial and temporal coverage of observational records. These factors result in a low signal-to-noise ratio of potential regional and even global trends. Here, we use a statistical method – ridge regression – to create physically interpretable fingerprints for detection of forced changes in mean and extreme precipitation with a high signal-to-noise ratio. The fingerprints are constructed using CMIP6 multi-model output masked to match coverage of three gridded precipitation observational datasets – GHCNDEX, HadEX3, and GPCC –, and are then applied to these observational datasets to assess the degree of forced change detectable in the real-world climate. We show that the signature of forced change is detected in all three observational datasets for global metrics of mean and extreme precipitation. Forced changes are still detectable from changes in the spatial patterns of precipitation even if the global mean trend is removed from the data. This shows detection of forced change in mean and extreme precipitation beyond a global mean trend, and increases confidence in the detection method's power, as well as in climate models' ability to capture the relevant processes that contribute to large-scale patterns of change. We also find, however, that detectability depends on the observational dataset used. Not only coverage differences but also observational uncertainty contribute to dataset disagreement, exemplified by times of emergence of forced change from internal variability ranging from 1998 to 2004 among datasets. Furthermore, different choices for the period over which the forced trend is computed result in different levels of agreement between observations and model projections. These sensitivities may explain apparent contradictions in recent studies on whether models under- or overestimate the observed forced increase in mean and extreme precipitation. Lastly, the detection fingerprints are found to rely primarily on the signal in the extratropical Northern Hemisphere, which is at least partly due to observational coverage, but potentially also due to the presence of a more robust signal in the Northern Hemisphere in general.
Bimodality in Ensemble Forecasts of 2-Meter Temperature: Event Aggregation
Authors: Bertossa Cameron , Hitchcock Peter , DeGaetano Arthur , Plougonven Riwal
Published: July 2022

Abstract. A previous study has shown that a large portion of subseasonal-to-seasonal European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble forecasts for 2-meter temperature exhibit properties of bimodality, in some locations reaching occurrence rates of over 30 %. This study introduces novel methodology to help identify `bimodal events', meteorological events which trigger the development of widespread bimodality in forecasts. Understanding such events not only provides insight into the dynamics of the meteorological phenomena causing bimodal events, but also has drastic implications for the skill of forecasts affected. The methodology that is developed allows one to systematically characterize the spatial and temporal scales of the derived bimodal events, and thus uncover the flow states that lead to them. Three distinct regions that exhibit high occurrence rates of bimodality are studied: one in South America, one in the Southern Ocean and one in the North Atlantic. It is found that each region's bimodality appears to be triggered by large-scale atmospheric processes interacting with geographically specific processes: In South America bimodality is related to an atmospheric wave interacting with the Andes, in the Southern Ocean bimodality is related to an atmospheric wave interacting with sea ice, and in the North Atlantic bimodality is connected to an atmospheric wave deforming near the Gulf Stream. This common pattern of large-scale circulation anomalies interacting with local boundary conditions suggests that any deeper dynamical understanding of these events should incorporate such interactions.
uDALES 1.0: a large-eddy simulation model for urban environments
Authors: Suter Ivo , Grylls Tom , Sützl Birgit S. , Owens Sam O. , Wilson Chris E. , van Reeuwijk Maarten
Published: July 2022

Abstract. Urban environments are of increasing importance in climate and air quality research due to their central role in the population's health and well-being. Tools to model the local environmental conditions, urban morphology and interaction with the atmospheric boundary layer play an important role for sustainable urban planning and policy making.
uDALES is a high-resolution, building-resolving, large-eddy simulation code for urban microclimate and air quality.
uDALES solves a surface energy balance for each urban facet and models multi-reflection shortwave radiation, longwave radiation, heat storage and conductance, as well as turbulent latent and sensible heat fluxes. Vegetated surfaces and their effect on outdoor temperatures and energy demand can be studied. Furthermore, a scheme to simulate emissions and transport of passive and reactive gas species is present. The energy balance has been tested against idealised cases and the dispersion against wind tunnel experiments of the Dispersion of Air Pollution and its Penetration into the Local Environment (DAPPLE) field study, yielding satisfying results. uDALES can be used to study the effect of new buildings and other changes to the urban landscape on the local flow and microclimate and to gain fundamental insight into the effect of urban morphology on local climate, ventilation and dispersion. uDALES is available online under the GNU General Public License and remains under active maintenance and development.
Development and evaluation of the Aerosol Forecast Member in the National Center for Environment Prediction (NCEP)'s Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS-Aerosols v1)
Authors: Zhang Li , Montuoro Raffaele , McKeen Stuart A. , Baker Barry , Bhattacharjee Partha S. , Grell Georg A. , Henderson Judy , Pan Li , Frost Gregory J. , McQueen Jeff , Saylor Rick , Li Haiqin , Ahmadov Ravan , Wang Jun , Stajner Ivanka , Kondragunta Shobha , Zhang Xiaoyang , Li Fangjun
Published: July 2022

Abstract. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)'s National Weather Service (NWS) is on its way to deploying various operational prediction applications using the Unified Forecast System (https://ufscommunity.org/, last access: 18 June 2022), a community-based
coupled, comprehensive Earth modeling system. An aerosol model component
developed in collaboration between the Global Systems Laboratory, Chemical Science Laboratory, Air Resources Laboratory, and Environmental Modeling Center (GSL, CSL, ARL, EMC) was coupled online with the FV3 Global Forecast
System (FV3GFS) using the National Unified Operational Prediction Capability
(NUOPC)-based NOAA Environmental Modeling System (NEMS) software framework.
This aerosol prediction system replaced the NEMS GFS Aerosol Component
version 2 (NGACv2) system in the National Center for Environment Prediction
(NCEP) production suite in September 2020 as one of the ensemble members of
the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS), dubbed GEFS-Aerosols v1. The
aerosol component of atmospheric composition in the GEFS is based on the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem).
GEFS-Aerosols includes bulk modules from the Goddard Chemistry Aerosol
Radiation and Transport model (GOCART). Additionally, the biomass burning
plume rise module from High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR)-Smoke based on
WRF-Chem was implemented. The GOCART dust scheme was replaced by the FENGSHA dust scheme (developed by ARL). The Blended Global Biomass Burning Emissions
Product (GBBEPx version 3) provides biomass burning emission and fire radiative power (FRP) data. The global anthropogenic emission inventories are derived from the Community Emissions Data System (CEDS). All
sub-grid-scale transport and deposition are handled inside the atmospheric physics routines, which required consistent implementation of positive
definite tracer transport and wet scavenging in the physics
parameterizations used by the NCEP's operational FV3GFS. This paper describes the details of GEFS-Aerosols model development and evaluation of real-time and retrospective runs using
different observations from in situ measurement and satellite and aircraft data. GEFS-Aerosols predictions demonstrate substantial improvements for
both composition and variability of aerosol distributions over those from
the former operational NGACv2 system with the fundamental updates (e.g., dust and fire emission) in the atmospheric and chemical transport model.
Power-Law between the Apparent Drainage Density and the Pruning Area
Authors: Yang Soohyun , Choi Kwanghun , Paik Kyungrock
Published: July 2022

Abstract. Self-similar structures of river networks have been quantified as diverse scaling laws. Among them we investigated a power functional relationship between the pruning area Ap and the associated apparent drainage density ρa with an exponent η. We analytically derived the relationship between η and other scaling exponents known for fractal river networks. The derivation is supported by analysis of four real river networks. The relationship between η and non-integer fractal dimensions found for natural river networks is suggested. Synthesis of our findings through the lens of fractal dimensions provides an insight that the exponent η has fundamental roots in fractal dimension for the whole river network organization.
What drives landslide risk? Disaggregating risk analyses, an example from the Franz Josef Glacier and Fox Glacier valleys, New Zealand
Authors: de Vilder Saskia , Massey Chris , Lukovic Biljana , Taig Tony , Morgenstern Regine
Published: July 2022

Abstract. We present a quantitative risk analysis (QRA) case study from the Kā Roimata o Hine Hukatere / Franz Josef Glacier and Te Moeka o Tuawe / Fox Glacier valleys, on the west coast of the South Island, Aotearoa / New Zealand. The glacier valleys are important tourist destinations that are subject to landslide hazards. Both valleys contain actively retreating glaciers; experience high rainfall; and are proximal to the Alpine Fault, which is a major source of seismic hazard on the west coast. We considered the life safety risk from rockfalls, soil/rock avalanches, and flows that either are seismically triggered or occur aseismically. To determine the range in risk values and dominant contributing variables to the risk, we modelled nine different risk scenarios where we incrementally changed the variables used in the risk model to account for the underlying uncertainty. The scenarios represent our central estimate of the risk, e.g. neither optimistic nor conservative, through to our upper estimate of the risk. We include in these estimates the impact time-variable factors, such as a recently reactivated landslide, have had on locally increasing risk and the time-elapsed since the last major earthquake on the nearby Alpine Fault. We disaggregated our risk results to determine the dominant drivers in landslide risk, which highlighted the importance of considering dynamic time-variable risk scenarios and the changing contributions to risk from aseismic versus seismic landslides. A detailed understanding of the drivers of landslide risk in each valley is important to determine the most efficient and appropriate risk management decisions.
A probabilistic framework for quantifying the role of anthropogenic climate change in marine-terminating glacier retreats
Authors: Christian John Erich , Robel Alexander A. , Catania Ginny
Published: July 2022

Abstract. Many marine-terminating outlet glaciers have retreated rapidly in recent decades, but these changes have not been formally attributed to anthropogenic climate change. A key challenge for such an attribution assessment is that if glacier termini are sufficiently perturbed from bathymetric highs, ice-dynamic feedbacks can cause rapid retreat even without further climate forcing. In the presence of internal climate variability, attribution thus depends on understanding whether (or how frequently) these rapid retreats could be triggered by climatic noise alone. Our simulations with idealized glaciers show that in a noisy climate, rapid retreat is a stochastic phenomenon. We therefore propose a probabilistic approach to attribution and present a framework for analysis that uses ensembles of many simulations with independent realizations of random climate variability. Synthetic experiments show that century-scale climate trends substantially increase the likelihood of rapid glacier retreat. This effect depends on the timescales over which ice dynamics integrate forcing. For a population of synthetic glaciers with different topographies, we find that external trends increase the number of large retreats triggered within the population, offering a metric for regional attribution. Our analyses suggest that formal attribution studies are tractable and should be further pursued to clarify the human role in recent ice-sheet change. We emphasize that early-industrial-era constraints on glacier and climate state are likely to be crucial for such studies.
High-resolution offshore wind resource assessment at turbine hub height with Sentinel-1 synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data and machine learning
Authors: de Montera Louis , Berger Henrick , Husson Romain , Appelghem Pascal , Guerlou Laurent , Fragoso Mauricio
Published: July 2022

Abstract. This paper presents a method for estimating offshore extractable wind power at hub height using Sentinel-1 synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data and
machine learning. The method was tested in two areas off the Dutch coast, where measurements from Doppler wind lidars installed at the sea surface
were available and could be used as a reference. A first machine learning algorithm improved the accuracy of SAR sea surface wind speeds by using
geometrical characteristics of the sensor and metadata. This algorithm was trained with wind data measured by a large network of weather buoys at
4 m above sea level. After correction, the bias in SAR wind speed at 4 m versus buoys was 0.02 m s−1, with a standard
deviation of error of 0.74 m s−1. Corrected surface wind speeds were then extrapolated to hub height with a second machine learning
algorithm, which used meteorological parameters extracted from a high-resolution numerical model. This algorithm was trained with lidar vertical wind profiles and was able to extrapolate sea surface wind speeds at various altitudes up to 200 m. Once wind speeds at hub height were obtained, the Weibull parameters of their distribution were estimated, taking into account the satellites' irregular temporal sampling. Finally, we assumed the presence of a 10 MW turbine and obtained extractable wind power with a 1 km spatial resolution by multiplying the
Weibull distribution point by point by its power curve. Accuracy for extractable wind power versus lidars was ± 3 %. Wind power maps at hub height were presented and compared with the outputs of the numerical model. The maps based on SAR data had a much higher level of detail, especially regarding coastal wind gradient. We concluded that SAR data combined with machine learning can improve the estimation of extractable wind power at hub height and provide useful insights to optimize siting and risk management. The algorithms presented in this study are independent and can also be used in a more general context to correct SAR surface winds, extrapolate surface winds to higher altitudes, and produce instantaneous SAR wind fields at hub height.
Reactivación económica del sector productivo del Cañar, Ecuador: constructo teórico en escenario de COVID-19
Authors: Solis Muñoz Juan Bautista , Mantilla Crespo Xavier Augusto , Quevedo Vázquez Jorge Oswaldo , García Suárez Valeria Lizeth
Published: July 2022

El presente artículo responde a la necesidad de reactivación económica por la crisis derivada del escenario COVID-19. El propósito de la investigación es la elaboración de un constructo teórico mediante la aplicación del Análisis Factorial Confirmatorio que agrupe variables observables alrededor de dimensiones o factores. El estudio parte de la revisión de la literatura que aproxima la relación causal del fenómeno. La investigación es de tipo cuantitativo con niveles exploratorios, descriptivos y correlacionales. Se encuentra que los factores: asociatividad, turismo sostenible, ventaja competitiva, orientación al mercado, inclusión digital, innovación agrícola y transferencia del conocimiento guardan asociación con la reactivación económica. Se corrobora con el Análisis Factorial Confirmatorio que reduce de 117 a 47 ítems el instrumento de medición para el estudio de la reactivación económica en la provincia del Cañar, Ecuador con cargas factoriales superiores 0,6. Se concluye que es posible estudiar el fenómeno contando con un cuestionario validado sobre la asociación bivariada de las variables de investigación.
Régimen impositivo para microempresas y su impacto en la recaudación tributaria ecuatoriana
Authors: Hidalgo Achig Milton Fernando , Salguero Núñez Cristian Stalin , Sánchez Pallo Edison Rolando , Sandoval Cárdenas Marco Vinicio
Published: July 2022

El objetivo de la investigación es analizar la incidencia del régimen de microempresas en recaudación tributaria ecuatoriana, a través de un enfoque cuantitativo sobre las variables de impacto generado y la incidencia de los microempresarios, los resultados de la investigación reflejan en el año 2021 el Impuesto a la Renta incrementó un 13%, el IVA un 16%, el ICE se redujo en -0,26% referente al periodo anterior. La recaudación del IR microempresas presentó variaciones a lo largo del año, llegando a superar la meta hasta en 161% en enero y -64% en septiembre, el 96% de microempresarios afirma que la liquidez de los negocios disminuyó como producto del impuesto del 2% sobre las ventas. Se concluye que el Servicio de Rentas Internas (SRI) cumplió dos de los tres objetivos establecidos mediante los pilares del régimen impositivo de microempresas.
Actitudes proambientales en segmentos de consumidores mexicanos y colombianos
Authors: Flores-Rueda Isabel Cristina , Sánchez-Macías Armando , López-Celis Diana María , Peñalosa-Otero Mónica Eugenia
Published: July 2022

El cambio climático ha influido en la formación de nuevos segmentos del mercado constituidos por consumidores preocupados por el medio ambiente. El objetivo de esta investigación es caracterizar perfiles de consumidores a partir de sus actitudes proambientales. La investigación tiene un enfoque cuantitativo, de carácter exploratorio, recopila información de 775 consumidores mexicanos y colombianos para realizar una secuencia de análisis econométrico; factorial exploratorio y confirmatorio, clúster jerárquico y k-medias. Se identificaron siete segmentos de consumidores denominados como: cafés egoístas, verde intencionado, verde indiferente, verde desinformado, verde activo, verde contradictorio y verde intelectual. Se concluye que existe heterogeneidad entre los consumidores mexicanos y colombianos, que van desde los más accionarios -actitudes proambientales con componentes conductuales- hasta aquellos que exhiben niveles altos en actitudes contra ambientales, asimismo los perfiles de los consumidores diferenciados permitirán desarrollar estrategias para la segmentación de mercado centradas en actitudes favorables al ambiente, lo cual puede ser útil para posicionar y reposicionar productos.
Industria minera chilena: una aproximación a las paradojas de la sustentabilidad
Authors: Campos-Medina Fernando , Fuentes-Guarda Verónica , Fonseca Francisca
Published: July 2022

En este artículo sostenemos que la modernización de las instituciones ambientales ha contribuido a la intensificación-expansión de las industrias extractivas en lo que denominamos restructuración económico-territorial regional. Para explicar este fenómeno distinguimos dos nociones de sustentabilidad que suelen confundirse: i) sustentabilidad como un referente normativo, y ii) sustentabilidad como fenómeno empírico; esta última, materializada en medidas concretas y sus respectivas consecuencias. La metodología utilizada incluye una revisión bibliográfica y el análisis de bases de datos, con el propósito de examinar el crecimiento de la industria minera en Chile con base a dos características de la sustentabilidad -entendida como fenómeno empírico-, las cuales, en conjunto, aumentan la presión sobre ecosistemas y comunidades locales, a decir: i) expansionismo territorial y ii) distribución desigual de roles ambientales. Como rendimiento analítico de este trabajo, sostenemos que los conflictos socio-ecológicos pueden abordarse, de mejor manera, como el choque de orientaciones de acción opuestas que se encuentran en un mismo territorio.
Estrés, factores psicosociales y su impacto en la mujer trabajadora
Authors: Saldaña Orozco Claudia , Delfín-Ruiz Claudia , Cano Guzmán Rodrigo , Peña Valencia Erwin José
Published: July 2022

A partir del siglo XX supuso un avance en la auto realización de la mujer y a su independencia en el ámbito laboral. Sin embargo, aún se siguen encontrando obstáculos en su camino, llegando a suponer grandes cargas de estrés y presencia de factores psicosociales que la afectan mentalmente. El presente trabajo de carácter mixto, tiene como objetivo determinar la presencia del estrés y los factores psicosociales en la vida de mujeres trabajadoras del sector privado. La metodología consistió en el análisis de los resultados obtenidos luego de la aplicación de instrumentos tales como: el cuestionario de Estrés y la Norma Mexicana-035. Los resultados evidencian altos niveles de estrés y presencia de factores psicosociales como condiciones de trabajo y violencia en las colaboradoras. Se concluye que la brecha de desigualdad laboral sigue presente en las empresas privadas mexicanas a pesar de estar en pleno siglo XXI.