bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025 huggingface dataset:
CONTEMPORARY LINGUODIDACTICS: DEFINING GOALS AND OBJECTIVES OF FOREIGN LANGUAGE TEACHING
Authors: Tsvetkova T. K.
Published: June 2021

The author suggests her own interpretation of goals and objectives of foreign language teaching based on the author’s original conception of mastering a foreign language as a process of bilingual development. At present the practical goal of foreign language teaching is formulated by linguodidactics in terms of competences. The communicative competence is treated as a key concept integrating all other competences. It denotes a subject’s ability to carry out cross-cultural interaction and to use a foreign language as an instrument of such interaction. However, this interpretation of the goals of foreign language teaching does not demonstrate specificity of foreign language learning in comparison with other disciplines studied at school or university. While studying those subjects a student interprets them in terms of her own, monolingual, picture of the world. She does not have to develop notions, which are absent in the native culture. The foreign language is totally different: in order to master it, a student has to step outside the boundaries of her own picture of the world and master a number of new notions and concepts. In other words, a student must become bilingual and bicultural. Otherwise her understanding of the foreign language will remain limited by the conceptual system of the mother tongue, she will not be able to see the proper meanings of the other culture. Therefore the goals and objectives of foreign language teaching should be defined according to regularities of bilingual development. The final goal should not be described as a set of competencies, but as a form of bilingualism. In that case the final goal consists in the student’s achieving the stage of balanced mixed bilingualism which is optimal for professional activity with a foreign language. This involves development in a student of an additional complete mechanism of language command responsible for producing and perceiving speech in the foreign language. Intermediate goals and objectives should be defined by the task of forming each block of the mechanism of foreign language command.
"Spilling words of balm… soothing many"
Authors: Mikheyeva L. Y.
Published: June 2021

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Political Transformations viewed from a perspective of Political Systems and Political Cultures
Authors: Protopopova N. S.
Published: June 2021

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International Relations as an Object of Science in the XX Century
Authors: Akhtamzyan A. A.
Published: June 2021

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International Conference "Russian-Ukrainian Relations: Realities and Prospects"
Authors: Lesnaya G. M.
Published: June 2021

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PROSPECTS FOR THE SECOND WAVE OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL AND ECONOVIC CRISIS
Authors: Artyushkin V. F.
Published: June 2021

Procedure of an economic and political situation current through the situation at the world oil marketforecasting is offered in the article. The compact mathematical model of cycling market fluctuations is the basis of thetechnique. The model allows splitting changes in market conditions caused by the economic and political reasons.This makes it possible to present the dynamics of the situation as the sum of two components, which are economicallyand politically induced. The model provides a forecast of the market economic components. These componentsforecast are made on the basis of world energy, economic and political situation scenarios. Retrospective analysisof relationship of economic conditions and political processes and how market conditions affect the economic andpolitical situation in the world in the past helps scenarios development. The results of techniques using for time andcharacters of next world crisis are presented in the article.
TURKISH ALEVISM: RELIGIOUS IDENTIFICATION
Authors: Zhigulskaya D. V.
Published: June 2021

Alevis are forming a large religious community in Turkey. According to different estimations they compose 10 up to 20% of the country’s population. Their system of religious belief is called Alevism which is one of the heterodox Muslim sects. Formation of Alevism has completed in Anatolia in the XVI century. The philosophy, ritual and worship in Alevism extremely differ from those, which are attributed to dominant Islam of Turkey (Hanafi school of Sunni Islam).This article is dedicated to the question of religious identity of Alevism. Comparative method has been used in the article: it focuses on the problem of correlation between Alevism and Bektashism, which is considered to be another «popular Islam» of Anatolia;It should be mentioned that the terms of Alevism and Bektashism are often used as synonyms, which is incorrect. The question of possibility of ascribing Alevism to Shi’ism is also investigated in the article, as well as comparison of Alevism with Syrian Nusayri doctrine. It is well known that Nusayris of Syria are quite often called «Arab Alawites». This denomination causes misunderstanding between the wide range of readers. At the end of the article Alevism’s own place is finally being defined within the religious mosaic of Turkey.
NATURE-USE AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
Authors: Gorbanyov V. A.
Published: June 2021

The fundamental difference between a traditional economy and geoecological economy is discussed in the article. The deeper the economy is being introduced into the ecosystem, the stronger it will be pressure on it that is outside the ecosystem, the more destructive is this incompatibility. It is concluded that the geoecological sustainable economy requires that the laws of geoecology became the basis of economic policy. Rational nature-use is impossible without an understanding of the unity of society and nature, their historical development of mutual. Our challenge is to create a new economy, acting on geoecological laws, this task is quite feasible, but if we can make the market called the true price of goods and services, that is taking into account the ecosystem services. The article shows that humanity is now faced with two interrelated problems: First - this is a problem of rational use of geoecosystem services, including natural resources, and secondly - the problem of environmental protection of pollution and save geoecosystem services, that is there are two "sides of the coin" - geoecological and resource. The relationship of the concept of rational nature-use, developed by Soviet scientists in the mid-twentieth century, and the concept of sustainable development, suggested by Western scientists is studied. It is shown that sustainable development - this is more a slogan than a scientific concept, which is unlikely to be implemented at the local level. At the same time, the concept of rational nature-use is feasible in regions or individual countries. At the same time, it is concluded that there is no sense to abandon the idea of sustainable development, as it is in itself a very humane, has received wide international recognition, does not carry negative consequences, but you should always keep in mind that essentially - we are not talking about sustainable development but about rational nature-use in a given area of the globe. The examples of indicators of sustainable development are given in the article.
INTERNET COMMUNICATION: NEW CHALLENGES FOR THE YOUTH
Authors: Karpova D. N.
Published: June 2021

Many social scientists are deeply concerned with the problem of youth cyber dependency. It is primarily caused by people’s “submergence” into the newest technological gadgets and virtual reality. In sociological lexis one can even meet such a term like “youth go online”. The author proposes a definition for that term applied to describe people who use electronic smartphones most part of their day (in some cases even like a background all day long). However we can’t diminish all advantages associated with the Internet using. It is both quick access to any information and distance education, the possibility to transfer money in a second through the whole world and other. But here the author stresses upon another side of Internet using. The paper reveals some forms of social and psychological challenges and deviance behavior while active using of virtual mass communication tools. Moreover, the article observes the most fundamental research in the sphere of sociology of youth and mass communication conducted by famous Russian and International scientists. Their studies reveal that young internet users sometimes lose a strong connection with the real world which is caused by informational overloading or “computer hunger”. On the base of the empirical data made by the Sociological School of The Moscow State University of International Relations (MGIMO-University), there was made an attempt to clarify the youth understanding of such phenomenon like internet-responsibility for the content users post and what do students mean by the term “cybersecurity”? Besides above-mentioned personal security, special attention is paid to the problem of international cyber terrorism which can cause more damage not only to companies but the whole governments. In that connection the article discloses the functioning of international organizations like United Nations, European Union and Council of Europe aimed to the prevention of destructive forms of internet using and creation of global culture of cybersecurity.
A SHORT CRITICISM OF HEIDEGGER'S ONTOLOGICAL ANALYSIS OF THE TERM “BEING”
Authors: Bratina B.
Published: June 2021

The text scrutinizes Heidegger's attempt of ontological analysis of three linguistical roots of the term “being” (es-, bhu-, wes-) from The Freiburg lectures (1935). In author's opinion, Heidegger deliberately ignored the presence of the roots and their modifications in the Slavic languages. Notional and even ideological reasons of such «inattention» are pressumed, the reasons which determine linguistic conclusions of German philosopher (and not the other way around, as supposed when stated that linguistic bacame an absolutely independent scientific means of Heidegger's ontological «investigations»).At the same time, the author argues for an independent ontological and linguistic analysis of Slavic languages, to fill the philogophical «gapes», originated from ignoring the rich semantic content of those languages. The linguistic richness of Slavic radices is one of so far loosely developped means of knowing the important philosophical notions, including the notion «being». Turning the attention towards ethimological components of ontological and linguistical analysis is, of course, one of Heidegger's merits. But the different perspectives of that endevour, which show up in research of Slavic culture's material, radically change the practical concequences of those theses in the cultural and political plane. On the whole, they prevent the insight into aspirations of some contemporary political powers in marginalizing the Slavic cultures, ignoring their real position in global comunity, as well as the contributon of the Slavic cultures to the tresury of world cultures.The most important conclusion of the article is stressing of necessity to consider political conditionalities (residua) in philosophical positions, which the authors themselves are often unaware of. Calling to intellectual consciousness, Boris Bratina convincingly substantiates the methodological and research of content that follows from given positions.
THE ROLE OF RUSSIAN DIPLOMACY IN THE CONSTRUCTION OF "ELECTRONIC GOVERNMENT" IN RUSSIA
Authors: Sivovolov D. L.
Published: June 2021

The article reviews the current challenges to international efforts invested in solving information inequality. It dwells on issues of Russian role in these efforts and the protection of Russian intellectual property and information resources, development of "electronic government" in Russia, and the role of the Russian diplomacy in preventing the adverse effects of information revolution.Author believes that the Russian diplomacy faces today a new challenge – nurturing the international environment conducive to goals of socio-economic development and preserving national sovereignty under the conditions of transnational information flows. The author singles out three main approaches to Internet governance: the U.S., Russian and the EU. U.S. states the principle of state non-intervention in Internet. Russia takes the opposite position – state intervention on legal basis. The E.U. occupies the middle ground of “smart state intervention”, which is closer to the Russian position. There multiple variations of these three positions stemming from state information dictatorship to information neoliberalism. The author states three main strategic goals of the Russian diplomacy in information sphere: – partaking in shaping international information legislation which is prone to many problems today. – protecting IT sector of the Russian economy with TNCs enjoying almost monopoly on international IT market.
THE BATTLE OF KURSK: HOW THE WESTERN HISTORIANS APPRECIATE IT
Authors: Paderin A. A.
Published: June 2021

In the article the author analyses how the largest battle of the Great Patriotic War and the second World War, the Battle of Kursk, is shown in the west historiography: the intentions of the opposite sides, the degree of preparation to the coming battle, the correlation between number of people and military machines, the realization of decreed tasks, the peculiarities of strategy and moving fighting forces for the battle, the mistakes of German side which were the result of defeat. There are some arguments that the foundation for the forming ideas of western historians about the events on the Soviet German front in summer 1943 is in the workings of captured German generals and officers which were prepared by the task of military – historical service of US army. The workings played the important ideological and methodological role. Trying to excuse themselves these authors explained the defeat of Wehrmacht using some accidental factors which were not connected with their activity as military leaders. In particular there were some mistakes of the highest German political and military leadership, climatic and geographical peculiarities of the war in Russia. In the article the controversial battle Western historians, forms, methods and means of falsification of history and the role of the battle; exposure technique attempts to distort the essence of the events and the outcome of the battle.
INVESTMENT STRATEGIES OF INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS: SOVEREIGN WEALTH FUNDS VS ENDOWMENTS
Authors: Biryukov E. S.
Published: June 2021

The paper considers two main original approaches to investing the assets of institutional investors (the total amount of their assets in the world is about 100 trillion dollars) – the one of Norway's sovereign wealth fund Global and approach of Yale's endowment fund. Fund Global with assets of $ 716 billion dollars is the largest institutional investor in the world, its strategy is based on the assumption that markets are efficient and their long-term growth lies in the balance of investment in stocks , bonds, and , since more recent time - in real estate. Financiers of Yale in the 1990s revolutionized the approach to investment, firstly, by reducing the proportion of stocks and bonds in favor of private equity and real estate, and secondly , by shift from investments in the domestic market to foreign markets. Not all institutional investors are ready to follow these strategies because of the risk of negative returns in times of crises, but in the medium- and long-term, these approaches allow to beat inflation. For example, Yale's endowment has grown since 1985 to 2012 from 1.6 to 19 billion dollars, and high yield allows to transmit 1 billion dollars (!) to the budget of the university annually. Endowment funds are one of the key sources of revenues of leading American universities. Analysis of the investment policy of endowment funds and sovereign wealth funds shows that fundamental changes in the concept of investing began to occur since the late 1980s - early 1990s . Institutional investors of both these types ceased to focus on conservative instruments - bonds and deposits , and use other options: Global - stocks , Yale – private equity , hedge funds, real estate investments , etc. With the expand of the spectrum of instruments in which the funds are invested the income volatility increases either, and therefore the institutional investors should be both transparent and explain to the public the motives of investment strategy changes.
EVOLUTION OF STATE FAMILY POLICY IN RUSSIA FROM SOVIET TIMES TO THE PRESENT
Authors: Noskova A. V.
Published: June 2021

The paper describes some peculiarities in evolution of the State family politics and policies in Russia since the beginning of the XX century to present time. The aim of the paper is to shed light on the family state policy in Russia during the different periods of time. We define here the family state policy widely enough as the various state activity (ideological, legislative, economic, social) concerning institute of family. The analysis of the state measures concerning the family in different social and political contexts allowed us to allocate the five main stages and models of the family state policy in Russia. They are: the post-revolutionary model (1917-1926), the «Stalin» model (1927-1953), the "welfare" Soviet model (1954-1991), the yearly post- Soviet model (1991-2005), the modern model (since 2006). The paper is based on the some demographic and sociological surveys data and devoted to an analysis of the family changes in these various periods. On the one hand, the family policies were a reaction to new social requirements and demographic changes (decline of fertility, for example). On the other hand, the state activity concerning a family itself caused transitions in the family institute. We show how various measures of soviet and post-soviet family policies and public interventions in family life have influenced on the family relations.
ON THE ISSUE OF THE OFFSHORE AREAS
Authors: Aliyev E. B.
Published: June 2021

Research issue raised in this paper is the most pressing at the moment because of international campaign to prevent money-laundering and tax evasion. From the solution to the problems that will be discussed here may depend the degree of how strong the whole state (country) may become. At the moment there is a legal knowledge gap on this matter caused by the lack of basic scientific research. In the first part of the paper the focus will be made on the definition of the "offshore mechanism" concept which will help to stay objective in further judgments on the phenomenon. Moreover, the author will carefully analyze what reasons push many companies and individuals to use this financial mechanism. In the second part of the paper the author will discuss about the fundamental problems in application of the services from offshore financial centers. Particularly, the author will describe the main application fields of this mechanism and the methods for the tax planning. In addition to that the author will investigate the application of European VAT system, and the ways it can be associated with the application of offshore mechanism under European Union. A special attention will be given to analyzing abuses associated with the usage of the European VAT system. Since only by knowing all these problems in details it will be possible to prevent such mistakes in future.
«BRAIN DRAIN» FROM RUSSIA AS PROBLEM OF POLITICAL GOVERNANCE
Authors: Kazantsev A. A. , Borishpolets K. P.
Published: June 2021

When the status of the federal state at the international arena is in major defined by its scientific and technological potential, migration of the highly trained professional from or to Russia acquires a strategic status. The article is devoted to the consequences of the intellectual migration in Russia and proposals for optimization of the management policy at this direction. Authors regret that at this time in Russia the migration outflow of scientists and other specialists in quality and quantity figures substantially exceeds the inflow. This hinders plans on the modernization of the Russian economy and postpones refusal from extractive development model. Authors suggest expanding the governmental regulation of the intellectual migration in Russia by adopting special programs on the basis of the international experience. It shall be based on the principles of the differentiated and targeted approach to the intellectual migrants, effective monitoring, and effective feed-back relations when the decision are being implemented. The funding of the science also shall be increased both, by means of the target projects and exemptions to the science-driven business. The significance of these steps is high, particularly in the light of outflow of the Russian specialists abroad. If the positive tendencies will be supported by the active governmental policy and social-economic increase, in the mid-term perspective this may drive to turning point in the still negative situation with "brain drain" from Russia. It is worth to pay additional attention to the educational and scientific immigration to Russia as to an important offsetting factor if we do not want to lose this chance.
APPROACHES TO BUILDING COMPETENCE OF INTERCULTURAL INTERCOURSE OF FUTURE SPECIALISTS IN JAPANESE STUDIES
Authors: Derkach A. V.
Published: June 2021

The article presents the results of the psycho-pedogogical research in the field of technology of professional training of Japanese language specialists. The author analyses the theoretical approaches of the modern knowledge in the humanities to defining the concept of “intercourse” and analyses its correlation with the term “communication”. The author comes to the conclusion that it is important to work out a modern technology which would help to imorove the efficiency of building the competence of intercultural intercourse of future specialists. The technology is to include three interconnected stages of training students in an artificial, synthetic and authentic linguistic environment. The suggested technology of stage-based training of Japanese language specialists has a big potential and can be effectively used in the open educational environment of modern Russia. The author further argues that if we look at the process of intercourse through the prism of modern integration processes, we will see that the modern system of education in Russia needs more sophisticated educational technologies aimed at preparing university graduates for full-scale cross-cultural communication with representatives of various languages and cultures.
NEW TENDENCIES IN TEACHING FOREIGN LANGUAGES AT TERTIARY LEVEL
Authors: Solovova E. N.
Published: June 2021

The article focuses on the perspectives of FL methodology at tertiary level and the nearest objectives for the system of upgrading professional qualification for the staff members of language chairs. There are some objective problems that universities face in respect to FL teaching that secondary schools don’t. The main problem lies in the lack of transparent and clear-cut system of expectations for the level of language proficiency for graduate students. The number of credits for the FL course at some universities is reducing, while the expectations are growing. It is crucial to develop national curriculum in FL teaching for different universities and departments majoring in Humanities, Arts, Science, Engineering, etc., otherwise it will be difficult to develop realistic syllabi and the system of FL assessment and evaluation In the process of curriculum and syllabus design it seems important to rethink the correlation between possible patterns of language use that are relevant for different target groups: EGP, EAP, ESP. In terms of achieving international academic mobility it is important to design new curriculum according to ECTS, to raise the degree of learners’ autonomy. It means new forms and formats of teacher- student and student-student interaction should be implied for contact hours and the system of independent work on the course. The role of IT and the transparent system of assessment in this respect needs to be predetermined. It is equally important to develop a feasible system of re-training staff members so that they could meet new challenges well equipped.
INNOVATIVE APPROACHES TO THE TEACHING OF FOREIGN LANGUAGES AT LEVELS B2 - C1 (FROM THE EXPERIENCE OF THE TEXTBOOK)
Authors: Aleksandrovskaya E. B.
Published: June 2021

This paper considers innovative approaches to foreign language teaching in higher education, especially to the teaching of grammar, using the textbook Le français.ru B2-C1. A competence-based approach, the application of the principle of «student-centricity» and the concept of «tasks» help to optimize the learning process. Using the principle of «student-centricity» when introducing new grammar enhances cognitive motivation of students, makes them formulate themselves grammar rules, by analyzing wellchosen examples and answering teacher's questions. Another on important point in the presentation of a new grammar material is its correlation with their native language as well as their own search of the laws of this comparison. This could help them understand the examined phenomenon and it could help prevent possible interference errors. Using the concept of «tasks» and active exercises contribute to better acquisition of grammar and found it in the speech. That is why traditional grammar exercises should be accompanied with supplementary active exercises aimed to fulfill certain tasks. The competence approach, the use of information and communication technologies, the study of language material in the direction «from the value to the form» does not replace but enrich the traditional methods of teaching foreign languages.
THE ROLE OF THE UN SECURITY COUNCIL IN MAINTAINING PEACE
Authors: Shcherbak I. N.
Published: June 2021

The author devoted his research to the role of the UN Security Council at present time and the challenges to its existence as the linchpin of preservation of universal peace, security and stability at the time of transformation of the modern world under the impact of globalization. The research article sheds some light on the process of reforms of the UN Security Council and discussions on this issue in the UN , positions of the permanent members of the SC (“P-5”) and different scenarios of the expansion of the composition of the Security Council (permanent and non-permanent members).In contrast to some optimistic assumptions on the perspectives of the reform the author reinforces a pragmatic approach to the issue. Special emphasis is made on the importance of preserving the exclusive position of permanent members of the SC (“P-5”) as the guarantor of global stability and security. The reform process is closely entwined with another direction of the reform of the SC – strengthening its core functions and strategic role in prevention of international and regional crises. The conclusions and recommendations contain some ideas aimed at strengthening the reform process of the SC and its effectiveness. The SC should be more involved in planning and implementation of the UN peace- keeping operations. The functions of Military Staff Committee should be expanded and the process of consultations within the “P-5” Group should be reviewed with emphasis on taking political decisions on the basis of consensus.
STRATEGIES OF EQUAL STATUS INTERCULTURAL COMMUNICATION
Authors: Baryshnikov N. V.
Published: June 2021

This article is aimed at arguing a professional type of intercultural communication,at substantiating status equality as a paramount distinctive feature of professional interculturalcommunication and also at presenting some of the strategies associated with it.Thereupon, in the article:– the notion of professional intercultural communication is validated and its integral part – statusequality - is grounded,– original strategies of equal status intercultural communication are presented, some of which include:rabulistic strategies of communicative attack, eristic strategies of communicative self-defense,– hypothetical interaction patterns of certain strategies are described, including: compliment - wittyremark pattern, bluff - improvisation pattern, negative imperative - negative imperative transformationpattern,– the hypothesis is proved that for successful intercultural communication to take place, the partnersmust be equally aware of the communicative attack and self-defense strategies.Acquiring and mastering the communicative attack and self-defense strategies enables specialistsin international relations to participate in equal status intercultural communication the content of whichis characterized by high effectiveness.
Penentuan Waktu Panen untuk Produksi Benih Bermutu Tanaman Kacang Panjang (Vigna sinensis L.)
Authors: MAYUN IDA AYU , ASTININGSIH A.A. MADE , SEDANA I WAYAN , RAKA I GUSTI NGURAH
Published: June 2021

Determination of Harvest Time for Quality Seed Production of Long Bean Plants (Vigna sinensis L.). Seed maturity generally occurs at the same time as fruit maturity. When the fruit reaches its physiological level, it is the best time to get seeds with high quantity and best quality. Early harvest before physiological maturity many seeds have not been completely filled so that they will produce low quality seeds because many seeds are wrinkled. Meanwhile, when harvested after physiological maturity, the seeds experience weather conditions so that many seeds experience physical and physiological quality deterioration. The research aimed to get the right harvest time in the production of quality seeds of long bean plants. This study used a randomized block design with 6 treatments at harvest pods after blooming and 4 replications. The six treatments were harvest age 14, 17, 20, 23, 26, and 29 days after the flowers bloom. The results showed that the right time to harvest pods for the production of long bean seeds was 26 days after blooming, the color of the pods has changed from green to yellow,  the seeds have the highest dry weight (7,56 g),  the best germination capacity (100%), and maximum vigor (88,78%).
PERBANDINGAN METODE SEASONAL ARIMA DAN METODE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DALAM MERAMALKAN KUNJUNGAN WISATAWAN MANCANEGARA KE BALI
Authors: CAHYANTARI NI PUTU AYU DEWI , SUMARJAYA I WAYAN , WIDANA I NYOMAN
Published: June 2021

Tourism is one of the main sectors in increasing a country's economy. For this reason, an estimate of tourist visits to Bali is needed so that it can be used as a benchmark for development and development in the tourism sector. Forecasting the number of foreign tourists coming to Bali using the Seasonal ARIMA method produces an MSE value of 1,250,276,526. While the Winter's Exponential Smoothing method obtained 1,291,150,258. The results of the forecast for the number of foreign tourists coming to Bali in 2020 using the SARIMA method are 588,980, 653,740, 659,817 (January-March 2020).
PERHITUNGAN PORTOFOLIO OPTIMAL DENGAN METODE MEAN-SEMIVARIANCE DAN MEAN ABSOLUTE DEVIATION
Authors: SUYASA NI KADEK NITA SILVANA , DHARMAWAN KOMANG , SARI KARTIKA
Published: June 2021

Knowing and managing investment portfolio risk is the most important factor in growing and preserving capital. The purpose of this study is to determine the optimal portfolio using Mean-Semivariance and Mean Absolute Deviation methods. The Mean-Semivariance method is a method that uses semivariance-semicovariance as a measure of risk while the Mean Absolute Deviation method uses the absolute deviation between realized return and expected return as a measure of risk. This study uses stock index data of LQ45 period February 2017-July 2019. The results of this study are that the Mean Absolute Deviation method gives higher return and risk than the Mean-Semivariance method.
MEMODELKAN TINGKAT PENGANGGURAN DI KOTA DENPASAR DENGAN PENDUGAAN AREA KECIL EMPIRICAL BAYES
Authors: WICAKSONO REYNALDO PANJI , SUKARSA I KOMANG GDE , KENCANA I PUTU EKA NILA
Published: June 2021

Economic development are described by the unemployment rate. The higher unemployment rate, the weaker economic conditions. Nowadays more policies require information on small areas. The direct estimation does not provide accurate results in smaller areas. Thus the small area estimation becomes an alternative to estimate the parameters. The accuracy depends on the selection of the predictors. In 2019, the unemployment rate in Denpasar is 2,22%. The result shows that the unemployment rate in each district in Denpasar varies from 0,1% to 0,3%
PENERAPAN METODE BAYESIAN VECTOR AUTOREGRESSION DALAM PERAMALAN JUMLAH KUNJUNGAN WISATAWAN CINA KE BALI
Authors: PUTRI NATASYA WIDIA , SUMARJAYA I WAYAN , SRINADI I GUSTI AYU MADE
Published: June 2021

Bali is one of the regions in Indonesia which has a very rapid development in the tourism sector. This is indicated by the number of foreign tourist visits to Bali. Since 2017, China has shifted Australia's position as the country with the most number of foreign tourist visits to Bali. This study aims to forecast the number of Chinese tourist visits to Bali, Indonesia’s inflation rate, and the CNY to IDR exchange rate for the period June 2019-March 2020 as well as the dynamic relationship between the three variables. This study used the Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) method with the Normal-Wishart Prior and compared several lag orders to get the best forecasting results based on the MAPE forecasting criterion. Based on the MAPE forecasting criterion, this study shows the BVAR model with lag 4 produces a very accurate forecasting for the CNY to IDR exchange rate and a good forecasting of the number of Chinese tourist visits to Bali and Indonesia’s inflation rate. The forecast of the number of Chinese tourist visits to Bali, Indonesia’s inflation rate, and the CNY to IDR exchange rate show a stable figure. The impulse response function shows there were shocks in the beginning of the period before finally reaching a stable condition.
PEMODELAN KASUS DIARE DI PROVINSI BALI DENGAN METODE ANALISIS REGRESI SPASIAL
Authors: SULASIH I.G.A. DIAH , SUSILAWATI MADE , SUCIPTAWATI NI LUH PUTU
Published: June 2021

Diarrhea is a disease that occurs due to changes in the frequency of bowel movements and can cause death. In 2018, 115.889 cases of diarrhea were found in Bali Province. Information on the relationship between locations indicates the spatial effect in the model. Model estimation was done by using spatial regression analysis. This study aims to determine what factors influence diarrhea cases in Bali Province. The results show that the number of diarrhea cases in a district is influenced by the surrounding districts. This is reinforced in the Moran’s I test which shows spatial dependence. In the analysis of the Spatial Error Model (SEM), it was obtained that the value of  was 57,69% and the variables that significantly affected diarrhea cases in Bali Province were population density and sanitation facilities
MENGAPA GENERASI MUDA ENGGAN BEKERJA DI SEKTOR PERTANIAN? MODEL PERSAMAAN STRUKTURAL SEKTOR PERTANIAN DI KABUPATEN JEMBRANA
Authors: PUTRAYASA ADI , SUKARSA I KOMANG GDE , KENCANA I PUTU EKA NILA
Published: June 2021

Agriculture in Bali has profound importance, namely as a natural tourist attraction and is one of the sectors with the most workers absorb as well the largest contributor to regional income for Bali Province. Currently, the agriculture sector in Bali is experiencing the problem of decreasing the workforce due to the reluctance of future generations to continue farming inherited from their families. The purpose of this paper is to identify the factors causing the reluctance of future generations to continue family farming and to study the causality of these factors to the reluctance for continuing family farming. This study uses a variance-based structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM). Internal and external motivation to continue family farming as well the perception of agricultural works are the exogenous variables, and the reluctance to continue family farming is the endogenous variable on the model. The data in this study obtained from interviewing 115 respondents in the Jembrana Regency of Bali. The study’s result justifies that internal factors, external factors, and perceptions of agricultural work influenced the reluctance to continue family farming.
APLIKASI TEORI PERMAINAN DALAM PENENTUAN STRATEGI PEMASARAN PROGRAM STUDI TEKNIK INFORMATIKA DAN TEKNIK INDUSTRI
Authors: WIJAYATI DIYAH , SUPRIYADI EDI
Published: June 2021

Competition in the world of education especially the highest level of education, is getting tougher in obtaining student. So that, needed to analyze the study program’s marketing strategies in facing this competition. The aim of this research is making decision to determine the optimal strategy of the study program using game theory which is solved by the linear programming method. The data in this study obtained from the Informatics and Industrial Engineering study program at Sekolah Tinggi Teknologi Bandung. From application game theory, it is recommended that game with mixed strategy is an appropriate one. Result show that the optimal marketing strategy for Informatics Engineering study program is number of graduation strategy, tuition fee strategy, and number of lecturer strategy. While the optimal marketing strategy for Industrial Engineering study program is tuition fee strategy, popularity strategy, and number of graduation strategy.
Pemilihan Daging Kelapa Bermutu Berdasarkan Warna dan Tekstur untuk Produksi Wingko Berkualitas Menggunakan Metode Support Vector Machine (SVM) dan Fusi Informasi
Authors: Sumari Arwin Datumaya Wahyudi , Alfian Ahmad Alfian , Rahmad Cahya
Published: June 2021

Mutu daging kelapa adalah faktor utama yang menentukan kualitas produksi wingko baik yang berasal dari kelapa muda atau kelapa tua dari varietas genjah. Dalam upaya menjaga kualitas produksi wingko kelapa, diperlukan teknik dalam memilih daging kelapa yang bermutu tinggi secara konsisten dengan bantuan teknologi. Dalam penelitian ini telah dibangun sebuah sistem pencitraan digital berbasis Kecerdasan Artifisial untuk pemilihan daging kelapa bermutu. Pemilihan tersebut didasarkan pada warna dan tekstur dengan memanfaatkan Support Vector Machine (SVM) sebagai pengklasifikasi, dan fusi informasi. Pengolahan citra digital menggunakan kombinasi metode Hue, Saturation, Value (HSV) dan metode Gray-Level Co-Occurrence Matrix (GLCM) sebagai pengekstraksi fitur warna dan fitur energi. Kedua macam fiur tersebut difusikan menjadi fitur tunggal guna mempercepat klasifikasi oleh SVM sebagai landasan pemilihan daging kelapa. Dengan menggunakan sistem ini, pemilihan daging kelapa bermutu berhasil mencapai akurasi sebesar 50%. Dalam penelitian ini juga ditemukan bahwa ketidak tepatan pelabelan memberi dampak signifikan pada akurasi pemilihan daging kelapa.AbstractThe quality of coconut meat is a primary factor which determines the quality of wingko production whether that comes from young coconut or old one from Genjah variety. In the effort of maintaining the quality of coconut wingko production, a technique for selecting high quality of coconut meat in consistent way with the aid of technology is needed. In this research, an Artificial Intelligence-based digital imaging system for selecting quality coconut meat has been developed. The selection is based on color and texture by utilizing Support Vector Machine (SVM) as classifier and information fusion. The digital image processing uses the combination of Hue, Saturation, Value (HSV) and Gray-Level Co-Occurrence Matrix (GLCM) methods as color and energy feature extractors. Both features are fused to obtain single feature to accelerate SVM classification as the basis for selection the coconut meat. By using this system, the selection of quality coconut meat is successful to achieve the accuracy as much as 50%. In this research it was also found that incorrectly labeling gives significant impact to the accuracy of coconut meat selection.
Analisis Sentimen Ulasan Kedai Kopi Menggunakan Metode Naive Bayes dengan Seleksi Fitur Algoritme Genetika
Authors: Azhar Naziha , Adikara Putra Pandu , Adinugroho Sigit
Published: June 2021

Di era sekarang, kedai kopi tak hanya dikenal sebagai tempat berkumpul dan menyeruput kopi saja, tetapi kedai kopi telah menjadi tempat yang nyaman untuk belajar dan bekerja. Namun, tidak semua kedai kopi memiliki kualitas yang baik sesuai dengan apa yang diharapkan pelanggan. Ulasan tentang kedai kopi dapat membantu pemilik kedai kopi untuk mengetahui bagaimana respons mengenai produk dan pelayanannya. Ulasan tersebut perlu diklasifikasikan menjadi ulasan positif atau negatif sehingga membutuhkan analisis sentimen. Terdapat beberapa tahap pada penelitian ini yaitu pre-processing untuk pemrosesan ulasan, ekstraksi fitur menggunakan Bag of Words dan Lexicon Based Features, serta mengklasifikasikan ulasan menggunakan metode Naïve Bayes dengan Algoritme Genetika sebagai seleksi fitur. Data yang digunakan pada penelitian ini sebanyak 300 data dengan 210 data sebagai data latih dan 90 data sebagai data uji. Hasil evaluasi yang didapatkan dari klasifikasi Naïve Bayes dan seleksi fitur Algoritme Genetika yaitu accuracy sebesar 0,944, precision sebesar 0,945, recall sebesar 0,944, dan f-measure sebesar 0,945 dengan menggunakan parameter Algoritme Genetika terbaik yaitu banyak generasi = 50, banyak populasi = 18, crossover rate = 1, dan mutation rate = 0. AbstractIn this era, coffee shops are not only known as a place to gather and drink coffee, but also have become a comfortable place to study and work. However, not all coffee shops are in good quality according to what customers expect. Coffee shop reviews can help coffee shop owners to find out the response to their products and services. These reviews need to be classified as positive or negative reviews so that sentiment analysis is needed. There are several steps in this study, which are pre-processing to process reviews, feature extraction using Bag of Words and Lexicon Based Features, also classifying reviews using the Naïve Bayes method with Genetic Algorithm as a feature selection. The data used in this study were 300 data with 210 data as training data and 90 data as test data. Evaluation results obtained from the Naïve Bayes classification and Genetic Algorithm feature selection are 0.944 for accuracy, 0.945 for precision, 0.944 for recall, and 0.945 for f-measure using the best Genetic Algorithm parameters which are many generations = 50, many populations = 18, crossover rate = 1, and mutation rate = 0.
Nivel de desarrollo de las nociones de seriación y clasificación de los estudiantes, Amazonas, Perú
Authors: Segura Cotrina Irwen , García Trinidad Jimena , Farje Escobedo José Darwin
Published: June 2021

El presente trabajo tuvo como objetivo principal diagnosticar el nivel de desarrollo de las nociones de seriación y clasificación de los estudiantes del primer grado de la institución educativa 18121 de la localidad de Guadalupe, Amazonas, 2020; la investigación fue de tipo básica, de nivel descriptivo con diseño descriptivo simple; La muestra estuvo conformada por 20 estudiantes. El instrumento utilizado para la recolección de datos fue una ficha de observación de escala tipo Likert, con 10 ítems para cada noción, con los niveles de deficiente, regular y eficiente. Según los resultados, en la noción de seriación, el 10% se encuentra en el nivel deficiente, y el 40% está en el nivel regular; mientras que en la noción de clasificación, el 35% está en el nivel regular y el 60% alcanza el nivel eficiente; comparando el nivel de logro de ambas dimensiones. Se concluye que los alumnos presentan dificultades para resolver ejercicios de seriación y clasificación, utilizando material concreto, con una ligera ventaja en las actividades relacionadas a clasificar objetos; lo que es un indicador que los estudiantes aún no logran los aprendizajes esperados para el grado.
Nivel de conocimiento sobre prescripción antibiótica racional de los cirujanos dentistas, Chachapoyas, Perú, 2020
Authors: Medina Terrones Katya , Coronel Zubiate Franz Tito
Published: June 2021

El objetivo de la investigación fue determinar el nivel de conocimiento sobre prescripción antibiótica racional de los cirujanos dentistas en la ciudad de Chachapoyas en el año 2020. El presente estudio fue de enfoque cuantitativo. La muestra estuvo constituida por 30 cirujanos dentistas que cooperaron con la investigación. Para el registro de datos se aplicó la técnica: encuesta y como instrumento: cuestiona, los datos se analizaron con la estadística descriptiva de frecuencia. Los resultados evidencian que del 100% de los encuestados el 70% tuvo un conocimiento de nivel alto, el 16% bajo y el 13.3% alto. En la primera dimensión (PET) el 53% tuvo un conocimiento de nivel medio, el 36.7% bajo y el 10% alto. En la dimensión antibiótico de elección en pacientes alérgicos (AEPA) el 63.4% tuvieron un conocimiento de nivel bajo,23.3% medio y el 13.3% alto. En la dimensión profilaxis antibiótica (PA) el 60% tuvo un conocimiento de nivel medio23.3% bajo y 16.7% alto. En la dimensión sistemáticamente comprometidos (SC) el 70% tuvieron un conocimiento de nivel bajo, el 23.3% medio y el 6.7% alto. Concluyendo que los cirujanos dentistas de Chachapoyas están en un nivel de conocimiento medio sobre prescripción antibiótica racional.
Nivel de conocimiento sobre los cuidados del recién nacido, Chachapoyas, Perú, 2019
Authors: Vargas Labajos Vertila , Silva Díaz Yshoner Antonio
Published: June 2021

La presente investigación tuvo como objetivo determinar el nivel de conocimiento de las madres a cerca de cuidados del recién nacido, en el Hospital Regional Virgen de Fátima (HRVF) de la Ciudad de Chachapoyas, departamento de Amazonas, Perú en el año 2019.El estudio fue de enfoque cuantitativo. La población estuvo conformada por 108 madres de recién nacidos. La muestra fue probabilística, constituida por 84 madres, durante los meses de enero-junio. La recolección de datos fue a través de un cuestionario, con alfa de Cronbach de 0.83. Los resultados   muestran que, respecto al nivel de conocimiento del cuidado de las mamás hacia los recién nacidos, del 100% (84) madres, el 52.4% (44) adquieren un conocimiento alto; el 33.3% (28) conocimiento medio y un 14.3% (12) bajo. Se concluye que existe una alta proporción de progenitoras que poseen un conocimiento medio y alto a cerca de los cuidados del recién nacido.
Evaluación de los niveles sonoros generados por el parque automotor en el centro urbano, Chachapoyas, Perú
Authors: Ramos Chappa Atilio
Published: June 2021

El estudio tuvo como objetivo evaluar los niveles sonoros dentro del centro urbano de la ciudad, donde se identificó los puntos de monitoreo en las intersecciones de las calles. Se analizó los niveles de sonido encontrados y se elaboró un mapa de contaminación sonora, en el cual se identificaron 27 puntos y se midió el sonido con un sonómetro tipo II. Los resultados obtenidos fueron comparados con los Estándares de Calidad Ambiental (ECA) establecidos por el Ministerio del Ambiente. Se encontró que los puntos ubicados dentro de la zona de protección especial superan los parámetros, opuesto a los puntos de la zona comercial que no lo superan, sin embargo, en la zona residencial solo tres puntos (P2, P6 y P21) de 13 no superan los ECA, también se observó que el máximo nivel de presión sonora se encontró durante el medio día en el punto P4=69.4 dB. Estos resultados se plasmaron en un mapa de ruido para el centro urbano de la ciudad. Se concluyen que los altos niveles sonoros están determinados por el flujo vehicular, tubo de escape liberado y vehículos pesados.