bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025 huggingface dataset:
Defining the usable bandwidth of weak-motion records: application to induced seismicity in the Groningen Gas Field, the Netherlands
Authors: Edwards Benjamin , Ntinalexis Michail
Published: May 2021

Seismic hazard and risk analyses are increasingly tapping into the previously underused resource of local weak-motion records. This is facilitating the development of local- or even application-specific models for the characterisation of earthquake ground motion. In turn, this offers the opportunity to derive non- or partially non-ergodic models and significantly reduce bias and uncertainty. However, weak-motion data, while carrying important information about local earthquake source, path and site effects, are susceptible to noise. We show that high-frequency noise has a record-, or region-specific, impact on pseudo-spectral acceleration (PSA). This impact depends on the shape of the records’ Fourier amplitude spectrum (FAS): PSA from moderately to highly damped ‘soil’ records (e.g. Groningen, the Netherlands) is much less susceptible to high-frequency noise than PSA from weakly damped ‘rock’ records (e.g. Eastern North America). We make use of simulated ground motion records to develop a parametric model for the lower usable period of PSA (Tmin). The model accounts for the impact of high-frequency noise on PSA, conditional on easily measured parameters characterising the shape of a record’s FAS. We then present a workflow, describing processing undertaken for records of induced seismicity from the Groningen gas field. The workflow includes the definition of maximum and minimum usable frequencies and periods of FAS and PSA, respectively. As part of the workflow, we present an approach that considers multiple estimates of Tmin. These include the parametric model and, additionally, record-specific hybrid simulations that artificially extend or modify time series’ FAS beyond the noise floor to assess subsequent impacts on PSA.
Embed2Detect: temporally clustered embedded words for event detection in social media
Authors: Hettiarachchi Hansi , Adedoyin-Olowe Mariam , Bhogal Jagdev , Gaber Mohamed Medhat
Published: May 2021

Social media is becoming a primary medium to discuss what is happening around the world. Therefore, the data generated by social media platforms contain rich information which describes the ongoing events. Further, the timeliness associated with these data is capable of facilitating immediate insights. However, considering the dynamic nature and high volume of data production in social media data streams, it is impractical to filter the events manually and therefore, automated event detection mechanisms are invaluable to the community. Apart from a few notable exceptions, most previous research on automated event detection have focused only on statistical and syntactical features in data and lacked the involvement of underlying semantics which are important for effective information retrieval from text since they represent the connections between words and their meanings. In this paper, we propose a novel method termedEmbed2Detectfor event detection in social media by combining the characteristics in word embeddings and hierarchical agglomerative clustering. The adoption of word embeddings givesEmbed2Detectthe capability to incorporate powerful semantical features into event detection and overcome a major limitation inherent in previous approaches. We experimented our method on two recent real social media data sets which represent the sports and political domain and also compared the results to several state-of-the-art methods. The obtained results show thatEmbed2Detectis capable of effective and efficient event detection and it outperforms the recent event detection methods. For the sports data set, Embed2Detect achieved 27% higher F-measure than the best-performed baseline and for the political data set, it was an increase of 29%.
Slipping–rolling transitions of a body with two contact points
Authors: Antali Mate , Stepan Gabor
Published: May 2021

In this paper, the general kinematics and dynamics of a rigid body is analysed, which is in contact with two rigid surfaces in the presence of dry friction. Due to the rolling or slipping state at each contact point, four kinematic scenarios occur. In the two-point rolling case, the contact forces are undetermined; consequently, the condition of the static friction forces cannot be checked from the Coulomb model to decide whether two-point rolling is possible. However, this issue can be resolved within the scope of rigid body dynamics by analysing the nonsmooth vector field of the system at the possible transitions between slipping and rolling. Based on the concept of limit directions of codimension-2 discontinuities, a method is presented to determine the conditions when the two-point rolling is realizable without slipping.
Citizen Assessment of Electoral Reforms: Do Evaluations of Fairness Blunt Self-Interest?
Authors: Biggers Daniel R. , Bowler Shaun
Published: May 2021

A large literature shows that citizens care about the procedural fairness of rules and institutions. This body of work suggests that citizen evaluations of institutional changes should be constrained by fairness considerations, even if they would personally benefit from the reforms. We test this expectation using two panel studies to examine whether citizens become more accepting of proposals rated as unfair (in wave one) after we experimentally manipulate (in wave two) whether the proposals aid their party’s electoral prospects. Using this approach, we are able to establish what citizens see to be fair or unfair separate from their evaluation of a given rule change. We find that supporters of both parties are consistently more favorable toward reforms their fellow partisans and, crucially, they themselves, claim reduce electoral fairness when framed as advancing their partisan interests. The results provide important insights into how citizens evaluate electoral processes, procedural fairness, and, hence, the acceptable limits of institutional change.
A Standardized Framework for Fluorescence-Guided Margin Assessment for Head and Neck Cancer Using a Tumor Acidosis Sensitive Optical Imaging Agent
Authors: Steinkamp Pieter Jan , Voskuil Floris Jan , van der Vegt Bert , Doff Jan Johannes , Schepman Kees-Pieter , de Visscher Sebastiaan Antonius Hendrik Johanne , Kelder Wendy , Jayalakshmi Yalia , Gao Jinming , Sumer Baran Devrim , van Dam Gooitzen Michell , Witjes Max Johannes Hendrikus
Published: May 2021

Purpose

Intra-operative management of the surgical margin in patients diagnosed with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) remains challenging as surgeons still have to rely on visual and tactile information. Fluorescence-guided surgery using tumor-specific imaging agents can assist in clinical decision-making. However, a standardized imaging methodology is lacking. In this study, we determined whether a standardized, specimen-driven, fluorescence imaging framework using ONM-100 could assist in clinical decision-making during surgery.

Procedures

Thirteen patients with histologically proven HNSCC were included in this clinical study and received ONM-100 24 ± 8 h before surgery. Fluorescence images of the excised surgical specimen and of the surgical cavity were analyzed. A fluorescent lesion with a tumor-to-background ratio (TBR) > 1.5 was considered fluorescence-positive and correlated to standard of care (SOC) histopathology.

Results

All six tumor-positive surgical margins were detected immediately after excision using fluorescence-guided intra-operative imaging. Postoperative analysis showed a median TBR (±IQR) of the fluorescent lesions on the resection margin of 3.36 ± 1.62. Three fluorescence-positive lesions in the surgical cavity were biopsied and showed occult carcinoma and severe dysplasia, and a false-positive fluorescence lesion.

Conclusion

Our specimen-driven fluorescence framework using a novel, pH-activatable, fluorescent imaging agent could assist in reliable and real-time adequate clinical decision-making showing that a fluorescent lesion on the surgical specimen with a TBR of 1.5 is correlated to a tumor-positive resection margin. The binary mechanism of ONM-100 allows for a sharp tumor delineation in all patients, giving the surgeon a clinical tool for real-time margin assessment, with a high sensitivity.
On Projectively Flat Finsler Warped Product Metrics of Constant Flag Curvature
Authors: Liu Huaifu , Mo Xiaohuan
Published: May 2021

In this paper, we study locally projectively flat Finsler metrics of constant flag curvature. We find equations that characterize these metrics by warped product. Using the obtained equations, we manufacture new locally projectively flat Finsler warped product metrics of vanishing flag curvature. These metrics contain the metric introduced by Berwald and the spherically symmetric metric given by Mo-Zhu.
Behavior change through wearables: the interplay between self-leadership and IT-based leadership
Authors: Lehrer Christiane , Eseryel U. Yeliz , Rieder Annamina , Jung Reinhard
Published: May 2021

Physical inactivity is a global public health problem that poses health risks to individuals and imposes financial burdens on already strained healthcare systems. Wearables that promote regular physical activity and a healthy diet bear great potential to meet these challenges and are increasingly integrated into the healthcare system. However, extant research shows ambivalent results regarding the effectiveness of wearables in improving users’ health behavior. Specifically important is understanding users’ systematic behavior change through wearables. Constructive digitalization of the healthcare system requires a deeper understanding of why some users change their behavior and others do not. Based on self-leadership theory and our analysis of narrative interviews with 50 long-term wearable users, we identify four wearable use patterns that bring about different behavioral outcomes: following, ignoring, combining, and self-leading. Our study contributes to self-leadership theory and research on individual health information systems and has practical implications for wearable and healthcare providers.
Testing of the Plastic Deformation of Metals
Authors: Clyne T. W. , Campbell J. E.
Published: May 2021

Discover a novel, self-contained approach to an important technical area, providing both theoretical background and practical details. Coverage includes mechanics and physical metallurgy, as well as study of both established and novel procedures such as indentation plastometry. Numerical simulation (FEM modelling) is explored thoroughly, and issues of scale are discussed in depth. Discusses procedures designed to explore plasticity under various conditions, and relates sample responses to deformation mechanisms, including microstructural effects. Features references throughout to industrial processing and component usage conditions, to a wide range of metallic alloys, and to effects of residual stresses, anisotropy and inhomogeneity within samples. A perfect tool for materials scientists, engineers and researchers involved in mechanical testing (of metals), and those involved in the development of novel materials and components.
Convalescence in the Nineteenth-Century Novel
Authors: Krienke Hosanna
Published: May 2021

Victorian Britain witnessed a resurgence of traditional convalescent caregiving. In the face of a hectic modern existence, nineteenth-century thinkers argued that all medical patients desperately required a lengthy, meandering period of recovery. Various reformers worked to extend the benefits of holistic recuperative care to seemingly unlikely groups: working-class hospital patients, insane asylum inmates, even low-ranking soldiers across the British Empire. Hosanna Krienke offers the first sustained scholarly assessment of nineteenth-century convalescent culture, revealing how interpersonal post-acute care was touted as a critical supplement to modern scientific medicine. As a method of caregiving intended to alleviate both physical and social ills, convalescence united patients of disparate social classes, disease categories, and degrees of impairment. Ultimately, this study demonstrates how novels from Bleak House to The Secret Garden draw on the unhurried timescale of convalescence as an ethical paradigm, training readers to value unfolding narratives apart from their ultimate resolutions.
Multiple Sclerosis Clinic Utilization is Associated with Fewer Emergency Department Visits
Authors: Roberts Jodie I. , Hahn Christopher , Metz Luanne M.
Published: May 2021

Objective:

Alberta is a Canadian province with a high prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS). In this ecological study, we examined group differences in health care utilization among persons with MS (pwMS) living within different regions of the province.

Methods:

pwMS were identified from provincial administrative databases spanning 2002–2011. Utilization of health care services was determined for a 2-year period (April 2010–March 2012). Residential postal codes placed patients into their provincial health care zones. As data were provided to the investigators in an aggregated form, tests of statistical significance and confounding were not performed.

Results:

In total, 11,721 pwMS were identified. During the 2-year observation period, 96.2% of pwMS accessed a family physician and 57.1% accessed a neurologist. Nearly all (99.0%) pwMS who received neurologist care in Calgary visited an MS clinic, in contrast to Edmonton where a larger proportion (34.8%) received solely community neurologist care. More pwMS living in Edmonton accessed the ED (41.1%) compared to Calgary (35.7%), and the rate of visits per pwMS was higher in Edmonton (1.07/pwMS) than in Calgary (0.81/pwMS). The frequency of inpatient admissions was similar.

Conclusions:

Over 2 years, most pwMS accessed primary care and over half saw a neurologist. Despite a similar frequency of inpatient admissions, the frequency of ED visits by pwMS was higher in Edmonton compared to Calgary, where more patients received MS clinic care. Although this exploratory study is subject to several limitations, our findings suggest that specialized MS clinics may reduce costly ED visits.
Hyperbolic tessellations and generators of for imaginary quadratic fields
Authors: Burns David , de Jeu Rob , Gangl Herbert , Rahm Alexander D. , Yasaki Dan
Published: May 2021

We develop methods for constructing explicit generators, modulo torsion, of the$K_3$-groups of imaginary quadratic number fields. These methods are based on either tessellations of hyperbolic$3$-space or on direct calculations in suitable pre-Bloch groups and lead to the very first proven examples of explicit generators, modulo torsion, of any infinite$K_3$-group of a number field. As part of this approach, we make several improvements to the theory of Bloch groups for$ K_3 $of any field, predict the precise power of$2$that should occur in the Lichtenbaum conjecture at$ -1 $and prove that this prediction is valid for all abelian number fields.
Targets with cone-shaped microstructures from various materials for enhanced high-intensity laser–matter interaction
Authors: Ebert Tina , Heber René , Abel Torsten , Bieker Johannes , Schaumann Gabriel , Roth Markus
Published: May 2021

Targets with microstructured front surfaces have shown great potential in improving high-intensity laser–matter interaction. We present cone-shaped microstructures made out of silicon and titanium created by ultrashort laser pulse processing with different characteristics. In addition, we illustrate a process chain based on moulding to recreate the laser-processed samples out of polydimethylsiloxane, polystyrol and copper. With all described methods, samples of large sizes can be manufactured, therefore allowing time-efficient, cost-reduced and reliable ways to fabricate large quantities of identical targets.
Between Novelty and Variability: Natufian Hunter-Gatherers (c. 15–11.7 kyr) Proto-Agrotechnology and the Question of Morphometric Variations of the Earliest Sickles
Authors: Rosenberg Danny , Chasan Rivka
Published: May 2021

How hunter-gatherers manipulated and utilised their natural surroundings is a widely studied topic among anthropologists and archaeologists alike. This focuses on the Natufian culture of the Late Epipalaeolithic period (c.15–11.7 kyr), the last Levantine hunter-gatherer population, and specifically on the earliest composite tools designed for harvesting. These tools are widely referred to as sickles. They consisted of a haft into which a groove was cut and flint inserts affixed. This revolutionised harvesting and established it on new grounds. While the plants manipulated by these tools are yet to be identified with certainty, it is evident that these implements were rapidly integrated and dispersed throughout the Natufian interaction sphere, suggesting that they provided a significant advantage, which probably constituted a critical step toward agriculture. At the same time, the Natufian haft assemblage demonstrates high morphometric variability. We review the available data concerning Natufian hafts and offer three possible models to explain the noted variability. We conclude that while these models are not mutually exclusive, this varied technological pattern is best understood as deriving from a protracted formative phase of technological development, progressing through incremental processes of trial and error.
Playing to the Gallery: Emotive Rhetoric in Parliaments
Authors: OSNABRÜGGE MORITZ , HOBOLT SARA B. , RODON TONI
Published: May 2021

Research has shown that emotions matter in politics, but we know less about when and why politicians use emotive rhetoric in the legislative arena. This article argues that emotive rhetoric is one of the tools politicians can use strategically to appeal to voters. Consequently, we expect that legislators are more likely to use emotive rhetoric in debates that have a large general audience. Our analysis covers two million parliamentary speeches held in the UK House of Commons and the Irish Parliament. We use a dictionary-based method to measure emotive rhetoric, combining the Affective Norms for English Words dictionary with word-embedding techniques to create a domain-specific dictionary. We show that emotive rhetoric is more pronounced in high-profile legislative debates, such as Prime Minister’s Questions. These findings contribute to the study of legislative speech and political representation by suggesting that emotive rhetoric is used by legislators to appeal directly to voters.
Dairy product consumption is associated with a lowering of linoleic acid within serum TAG in adolescent females with overweight or obesity: a secondary analysis
Authors: Chouinard-Watkins Raphaël , Calleja Melissa , Bazinet Richard P. , Josse Andrea R.
Published: May 2021

Dairy fat is rich in SFA such as palmitic acid (16:0) but low in linoleic acid (18:2n-6). The natural carbon 13 enrichment (δ13C) of 16:0 is higher in dairy fat than in most of the food supply. In adults, serum levels of pentadecanoic acid (15:0) and heptadecanoic acid (17:0) are recognised as biomarkers of dairy intake. In adolescents, no study has evaluated serum fatty acid levels or δ13C in response to chronic dairy consumption. The objectives of this study were to evaluate whether increased dairy product consumption can modulate (1) serum fatty acid levels and (2) 16:0 δ13C in adolescents with overweight/obesity who followed a 12-week weight management programme. This secondary analysis of a randomised control trial included two groups of adolescent females: recommended dairy (RDa; n 23) and low dairy (LDa; n 23). The RDa group was given 4 servings/d of dairy products while the LDa group maintained dairy intakes at ≤ 2 servings/d. Blood was sampled before and after the intervention. Lipids were extracted and separated, and fatty acids were quantified by GC. Isotope ratio MS was used to assess 16:0 δ13C. There were no group differences on serum changes of 15:0 or 17:0. Within TAG, 18:2n-6 was lowered by 7·4 % only in the RDa group (P = 0·040). The difference in delta 16:0 δ13C between the LDa and RDa groups did not reach statistical significance (P = 0·070). Reductions in serum 18:2n-6 by dairy consumption could have positive health implications, but more studies are needed to confirm this assertion.
Is diabetic neuropathy associated with vitamin D status? A meta-analysis
Authors: Yammine Kaissar , Abi Kharma Joelle , Kaypekian Theodore , Assi Chahine , Zeeni Nadine
Published: May 2021

Several studies have been conducted to investigate the relation between 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] level and diabetic neuropathy (DN). However, there is still no clear conclusion due to differences in study design and cut-off values used in the published work, in addition to the absence of a comprehensive meta-analysis (MA) on the topic. The present systematic review and MA therefore aims at clarifying the association between vitamin D level and peripheral DN in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Primary research studies that explored the association between 25(OH)D level and diabetic peripheral neuropathy in type 2 diabetes were located from Medline, EMBASE, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, CINHAL and Google Scholar. Twenty-six studies met the inclusion criteria with 6277 participants where 2218 were diabetic with DN, 2959 were diabetic without DN and 406 were healthy. Diabetic patients with DN showed significantly lower serum 25(OH)D compared with patients without DN (standardised mean difference (SMD) of −0·92 (95 % CI −1·18, −0·65, I2 = 93·3 %, P < 0·0001). The pooled OR value of vitamin D deficiency was higher in patients with DN, 1·84 (95 % CI 1·46, 2·33, P < 0·0001) and 2·87 (95 % CI 1·10, 7·52, P = 0·03) when using fixed-effects and random-effects models, respectively. Vitamin D deficiency has been found to be highly prevalent among diabetic patients with neuropathy. Since 25(OH)D has been implicated in glucose haemostasis and showed benefit in reducing neuropathy symptoms, its supplementation is warranted for this population of patients.
Fertility intentions among the working population of Dalian City born between 1980 and 1989
Authors: Qiu Hongyan , Zhang Qun , Zhang Jin , Wang Qingshan , Liu Lihong , Yang Jie , Hou Liyan
Published: May 2021

In October 2015, the Chinese Government announced that the one-child policy had finally been replaced by a universal two-child policy. China’s universal two-child policy is highly significant because, for the first time in 36 years, no one in an urban city is restricted to having just one child. This cross-sectional study was conducted to explore future fertility intentions and factors influencing individual reproductive behaviour (whether to have two children) in Dalian City. A total of 1370 respondents were interviewed. The respondents’ mean ideal number of children was only 1.73, and urban respondents’ sex preference was symmetrical. A total of 19.0% of the respondents were unmarried, 64.5% were married and had childbearing experience and only 6.3% of married respondents had two children. Among the 1370 participants, 30.4% stated that they would have a second child, while 69.6% refused to have a second child in the future. Binary logistic regression analysis (Model 1) showed that the following characteristics were associated with having only one child in the future: being female, being older, having a lower education level, being born in Dalian, having a lower family income and reporting one child as the ideal number of children. Model 2 (comprising only respondents with childbearing experience) showed that respondents who were female, had a lower family income and were unable to obtain additional financial support from parents were more likely to intend to stick at one child. In addition, respondents’ ideal number of children and childbearing experiences had a significant influence on future fertility intentions. These results suggest that fertility intentions and reproductive behaviours are still below those needed for replacement level fertility in Dalian City. China’s policymakers should pay more attention to these factors (socioeconomic characteristics, economic factors, desired number of children and childbearing experiences) and try to increase individual reproductive behaviour.
Feeding wheat dried distillers’ grains with solubles increases conjugated linoleic acid and unsaturated lipids in ovine milk without adversely affecting milk yield
Authors: Neofytou Marina C. , Michael Charoulla , Constantinou Constantina , Sparaggis Dionysis , Tzamaloukas Ouranios
Published: May 2021

The aim of this research communication was to examine the effect of dietary supplementation with wheat-based dried distillers’ grains with solubles (DDGS), a by-product of bioethanol production, on yield, composition, and fatty acid (FA) profile of ewe milk. Forty-five purebred mid-lactating Chios ewes (average milk yield 2.23 kg/d in 96 ± 5 d in lactation) were offered three iso-nitrogenous and iso-energetic diets (15 animals per diet) for a 10 d adaptation period followed by a 5-week recording and sampling period. The diets contained 0, 6, and 12% DDGS on DM basis for the DG0, DG6, and DG12 treatment, respectively, as a replacement of concentrate mix, whilst concentrate-to-forage ratio remained at 60:40 in all treatments. Individual milk yield, milk composition, and FA profile were recorded weekly and analyzed using a complete randomized design with repeated measurements. No significant differences were observed among groups concerning dry matter intake (overall mean of 2.59 kg/d), milk yield or 6% fat-corrected milk and milk protein percentage or protein yield. Milk fat percentage was decreased in the DG12 (4.76%) compared to DG0 (5.69%) without, however, significantly affecting the daily output of milk fat. The concentration of all major saturated FA between C4:0 to C16:0 was reduced, whereas long-chain (>16 carbons), mono-unsaturated and poly-unsaturated FAs were increased in the milk of DDGS groups. Among individual FA, increments of oleic acid and C18:1 trans-monoenes like C18:1 trans-10 and C18:1 trans-11 were demonstrated in DG12 group, whereas linoleic and conjugated linoleic acid (CLA cis-9, trans-11) were elevated in both DDGS groups compared to control. Changes in FA profile resulted in a decline in the atherogenic index of milk by 20% and 35% in DG6 and DG12 treatments, respectively, compared with control. In conclusion, feeding DDGS to dairy ewes increased the levels of unsaturated FA that are potentially beneficial for human health without adversely affecting milk, protein or fat yield.
Predictive validity of psychosis risk models when applied to adolescent psychiatric patients
Authors: Lindgren Maija , Kuvaja Heidi , Jokela Markus , Therman Sebastian
Published: May 2021

Background

Several multivariate algorithms have been developed for predicting psychosis, as attempts to obtain better prognosis prediction than with current clinical high-risk (CHR) criteria. The models have typically been based on samples from specialized clinics. We evaluated the generalizability of 19 prediction models to clinical practice in an unselected adolescent psychiatric sample.

Methods

In total, 153 adolescent psychiatric patients in the Helsinki Prodromal Study underwent an extensive baseline assessment including the SIPS interview and a neurocognitive battery, with 50 participants (33%) fulfilling CHR criteria. The adolescents were followed up for 7 years using comprehensive national registers. Assessed outcomes were (1) any psychotic disorder diagnosis (n = 18, 12%) and (2) first psychiatric hospitalization (n = 25, 16%) as an index of overall deterioration of functioning.

Results

Most models improved the overall prediction accuracy over standard CHR criteria (area under the curve estimates ranging between 0.51 and 0.82), although the accuracy was worse than that in the samples used to develop the models, also when applied only to the CHR subsample. The best models for transition to psychosis included the severity of positive symptoms, especially delusions, and negative symptoms. Exploratory models revealed baseline negative symptoms, low functioning, delusions, and sleep problems in combination to be the best predictor of psychiatric hospitalization in the upcoming years.

Conclusions

Including the severity levels of both positive and negative symptomatology proved beneficial in predicting psychosis. Despite these advances, the applicability of extended psychosis-risk models to general psychiatric practice appears limited.
Modifiable risk factors for inpatient violence in psychiatric hospital: prospective study and prediction model
Authors: Fazel Seena , Toynbee Mark , Ryland Howard , Vazquez-Montes Maria , Al-Taiar Hasanen , Wolf Achim , Aziz Omar , Khosla Vivek , Gulati Gautam , Fanshawe Thomas
Published: May 2021

Background

Violence perpetrated by psychiatric inpatients is associated with modifiable factors. Current structured approaches to assess inpatient violence risk lack predictive validity and linkage to interventions.

Methods

Adult psychiatric inpatients on forensic and general wards in three psychiatric hospitals were recruited and followed up prospectively for 6 months. Information on modifiable (dynamic) risk factors were collected every 1–4 weeks, and baseline background factors. Data were transferred to a web-based monitoring system (FOxWeb) to calculate a total dynamic risk score. Outcomes were extracted from an incident-reporting system recording aggression and interpersonal violence. The association between total dynamic score and violent incidents was assessed by multilevel logistic regression and compared with dynamic score excluded.

Results

We recruited 89 patients and conducted 624 separate assessments (median 5/patient). Mean age was 39 (s.d. 12.5) years with 20% (n = 18) female. Common diagnoses were schizophrenia-spectrum disorders (70%, n = 62) and personality disorders (20%, n = 18). There were 93 violent incidents. Factors contributing to violence risk were a total dynamic score of ⩾1 (OR 3.39, 95% CI 1.25–9.20), 10-year increase in age (OR 0.67, 0.47–0.96), and female sex (OR 2.78, 1.04–7.40). Non-significant associations with schizophrenia-spectrum disorder were found (OR 0.50, 0.20–1.21). In a fixed-effect model using all covariates, AUC was 0.77 (0.72–0.82) and 0.75 (0.70–0.80) when the dynamic score was excluded.

Conclusions

In predicting violence risk in individuals with psychiatric disorders, modifiable factors added little incremental value beyond static ones in a psychiatric inpatient setting. Future work should make a clear distinction between risk factors that assist in prediction and those linked to needs.
What constitutes successful covert action? Evaluating unacknowledged interventionism in foreign affairs
Authors: Cormac Rory , Walton Calder , Puyvelde Damien Van
Published: May 2021

Covert action has long been a controversial tool of international relations. However, there is remarkably little public understanding about whether it works and, more fundamentally, about what constitutes success in this shadowy arena of state activity. This article distills competing criteria of success and examines how covert actions become perceived as successes. We develop a conceptual model of covert action success as a social construct and illustrate it through the case of ‘the golden age of CIA operations’. The socially constructed nature of success has important implications not just for evaluating covert actions but also for using, and defending against, them.
Centers and Azumaya loci for finite W-algebras in positive characteristic
Authors: SHU BIN , ZENG YANG
Published: May 2021

In this paper, we study the center Z of the finite W-algebra
$${\mathcal{T}}({\mathfrak{g}},e)$$
associated with a semi-simple Lie algebra
$$\mathfrak{g}$$
over an algebraically closed field
$$\mathbb{k}$$
of characteristic p≫0, and an arbitrarily given nilpotent element
$$e \in{\mathfrak{g}} $$
We obtain an analogue of Veldkamp’s theorem on the center. For the maximal spectrum Specm(Z), we show that its Azumaya locus coincides with its smooth locus of smooth points. The former locus reflects irreducible representations of maximal dimension for
$${\mathcal{T}}({\mathfrak{g}},e)$$
.
Understanding the role of smoking and chronic excess alcohol consumption on reduced caloric intake and the development of sarcopenia
Authors: Prokopidis Konstantinos , Witard Oliver C.
Published: May 2021

This narrative review provides mechanistic insight into the biological link between smoking and/or chronic excess alcohol consumption, and increased risk of developing sarcopenia. Although the combination of excessive alcohol consumption and smoking is often associated with ectopic adipose deposition, this review is focused on the context of a reduced caloric intake (leading to energy deficit) that also may ensue due to either lifestyle habit. Smoking is a primary cause of periodontitis and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease that both induce swallowing difficulties, inhibit taste and mastication, and are associated with increased risk of muscle atrophy and mitochondrial dysfunction. Smoking may contribute to physical inactivity, energy deficit via reduced caloric intake, and increased systemic inflammation, all of which are factors known to suppress muscle protein synthesis rates. Moreover, chronic excess alcohol consumption may result in gut microbiota dysbiosis and autophagy-induced hyperammonemia, initiating the up-regulation of muscle protein breakdown and down-regulation of muscle protein synthesis via activation of myostatin, AMPK and REDD1, and deactivation of IGF-1. Future research is warranted to explore the link between oral healthcare management and personalised nutrition counselling in light of potential detrimental consequences of chronic smoking on musculoskeletal health outcomes in older adults. Experimental studies should investigate the impact of smoking and chronic excess alcohol consumption on the gut–brain axis, and explore biomarkers of smoking-induced oral disease progression. The implementation of behavioural change interventions and health policies regarding smoking and alcohol intake habits may mitigate the clinical and financial burden of sarcopenia on the healthcare system.
Along the fringes of Agency: neurodevelopmental account of the obsessive mind
Authors: Poletti Michele , Gebhardt Eva , Raballo Andrea
Published: May 2021

The experiential core of the obsessive mind rests on subtle, primary mental phenomena (such as obsessions and so called “sensory phenomena”) which precede and trigger behavioral compulsions. Converging evidence supports a possible pathophysiological role for altered corollary discharge (phenotypically expressed in sensorimotor symptoms and contributing to a reduced Sense of Agency [SoA]), in the neurodevelopment of obsessions and “sensory phenomena.” In phenomenological terms, “sensory phenomena” may represent the subjective experiential resonance of an individual history of persistent inaccurate sensory predictions, whereas accompanying manifestations, such as the obsessive need for order and symmetry, may represent a compensatory attempt to mitigate “sensory phenomena” (eg, by increasing the sensory predictability of the surrounding world). Since disturbances of both SoA and Sense of Ownership have been thematized as potential pathogenetic factors in the neurodevelopment of the psychotic mind, a dimensional account of altered sensorimotor prediction may partly explain the affinities (and high comorbidity) between obsessive–compulsive disorder and schizophrenia spectrum disorders.
Is quetiapine effective for obsessive and compulsive symptoms in patients with bipolar disorder? A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial
Authors: Sahraian Ali , Ghahremanpouri Bahareh , Mowla Arash
Published: May 2021

Background

The aim of this study is to examine the effects of quetiapine as an adjuvant treatment for obsessive–compulsive (OC) symptoms in patients with bipolar disorder (BD) type I.

Methods

In this 8-week double-blind placebo-controlled randomized clinical trial, 47 patients with BD in euthymic phase that had OC symptoms were randomly allocated to receive either quetiapine or placebo plus their routine medications (lithium + clonazepam). Yale–Brown Obsessive–Compulsive Scale (YBOCS) was used to assess the outcomes. Adverse effects were also recorded.

Results

Of 47 BD patients with OC symptoms that were randomly allocated in two groups of quetiapine (n = 24) and placebo group (n = 23), 40 patients (20 in quetiapine group and 20 in placebo group) completed the trial. Throughout the trial, the mean score of YBOCS in the quetiapine group dropped from 24.37 ± 1.51 to 15.26 ± 1.16 (P < .001) and in the placebo group decreased from 24.21 ± 1.33 to 23.94 ± 1.66 (P = 1.97). At the end of the study, 12 (60%) patients in the quetiapine group and 1 (5%) patient in the placebo group had more than 34% decline in YBOCS score (P < .001). No serious adverse effects were reported in two groups.

Conclusions

Our double-blind placebo-controlled clinical trial showed that quetiapine may be an effective adjuvant agent for reducing OC symptoms in BD patients.
Automated evaluation of the quality of ideas in compositions based on concept maps
Authors: Yang Li-Ping , Xin Tao , Luo Fang , Zhang Sheng , Tian Xue-Tao
Published: May 2021

Nowadays, automated essay evaluation (AEE) systems play an important role in evaluating essays and have been successfully used in large-scale writing assessments. However, existing AEE systems mostly focus on grammar or shallow content measurements rather than higher-order traits such as ideas. This paper proposes a new formulation of graph-based features for concept maps using word embeddings to evaluate the quality of ideas for Chinese compositions. The concept map derived from the student’s composition is composed of the concepts appearing in the essay and the co-occurrence relationship between the concepts. By utilizing real compositions written by eighth-grade students from a large-scale assessment, the scoring accuracy of the computer evaluation system (named AECC-I: Automated Evaluation for Chinese Compositions—Ideas) is higher than the baselines. The results indicate that the proposed method deepens the construct-relevant coverage of automatic ideas evaluation in compositions and that it can provide constructive feedback for students.
Edward William West and the Pahlavi codex MK
Authors: HINTZE ALMUT
Published: May 2021

This article discusses some manuscripts copied and described by E. W. West in his Notebooks held at the Royal Asiatic Society, with special reference to the texts contained in the Pahlavi codex MK.
‘To Possess the Power to Speak’
Authors: Alcoff Linda Martín
Published: May 2021

I argue here that first person speech on sexual violence remains an important dimension of the movement for social change in regard to sexual violence, and that the public speech of survivors faces at least three groups of obstacles: 1) the problem of epistemic injustice, that is, injustice in the sphere of knowledge 2) the problem of language and power, and 3) the problem of dominant discourses. I explain and develop these points and end with a final argument concerning the critical importance of speaking publicly on these areas of human experience.
James Croll and 1876: an exceptional year for a ‘singularly modest man’
Authors: EDWARDS Kevin J.
Published: May 2021

James Croll left school at the age of 13 years, yet while a janitor in Glasgow he published a landmark paper on astronomically-related climate change, claimed as ‘the most important discovery in paleoclimatology’, and which brought him to the attention of Charles Darwin, William Thomson and John Tyndall, amongst others. By 1867 he was persuaded to become Secretary and Accountant of the newly established Geological Survey of Scotland in Edinburgh, and a year after the appearance of his keynote volumeClimate and timein 1875, he was lauded with an honorary doctorate from Scotland's oldest university, Fellowship of the Royal Society of London and Honorary Membership of the New York Academy of Sciences. Using a range of archival and published sources, this paper explores aspects of his ‘journey’ and the background to the award of these major accolades. It also discusses why he never became a Fellow of his national academy, the Royal Society of Edinburgh. In the world of 19th-Century science, Croll was not unusual in being both an autodidact and of humble origins, nor was he lacking in support for his endeavours. It is possible that a combination of Croll's modesty and innovative genius fostered advancement, though this did not hinder a willingness to engage in vigorous argument.
Simulation of Aerosol Indirect Effects on Cloud Streets Over the Northwestern Pacific Ocean
Authors: Wu Chung‐Kai , Chen Jen‐Ping
Published: May 2021

We simulated aerosol effects on cloud streets formed during continental cold‐air outbreaks over the Northwestern Pacific using an aerosol‐sensitive cloud microphysical scheme coupled with the Weather Research and Forecast model. The micro‐ and macro‐scale responses were examined under a wide range of aerosol concentrations. The cloud streets generally remain in a transient state, indicating that the aerosol particles may significantly affect the cloud system's development. The simulation results revealed a clear Twomey effect, but they were contrary to some of the Albrecht effect, especially under relatively clean conditions. Such reversed Albrecht effects stem mainly from dynamic response to changes in atmospheric stability associated with drizzle evaporation in the sub‐cloud layer. The dynamic response works against thermal forcing from the large air‐sea temperature gradient in a cold‐air outbreak. As the aerosol increases, the drizzle mechanisms weaken, and the boundary layer becomes more convective, leading to stronger dry‐air entrainment from the free troposphere. In individual clouds, the effect of entrainment on cloud water content may be compensated by more substantial vertical vapor flux. These mechanisms lead to a reduction in the cloud amount. Furthermore, the reduced moisture flux from drizzle evaporation in the sub‐cloud layer, as well as the reduced sedimentation speed of the smaller cloud drops, tend to lessen cloud thickness. The overall reduction in cloud dimensions may offset the Twomey effect by up to 20% in cloud albedo.
Spatiotemporal Peatland Productivity and Climate Relationships Across the Western South American Altiplano
Authors: Anderson Talia G. , Christie Duncan A. , Chávez Roberto O. , Olea Matias , Anchukaitis Kevin J.
Published: May 2021

The South American Altiplano is one of the largest semiarid high‐altitude plateaus in the world. Within the Altiplano, peatlands known as “bofedales” are important components of regional hydrology and provide key water resources and ecosystem services to Andean communities. Warming temperatures, changes in hydroclimate, and shifting atmospheric circulation patterns all affect peatland dynamics and hydrology. It is therefore urgent to better understand the relationships between climate variability and the spatiotemporal variations in peatland productivity across the Altiplano. Here, we explore climate influences on peatland vegetation using 31 years of Landsat data. We focus specifically on the bofedal network in the western Altiplano, the driest sector of the plateau, and use the satellite‐derived Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) as an indicator of productivity. We develop temporally and spatially continuous NDVI products at multiple scales in order to evaluate relationships with climate variables over the past three decades. We demonstrate that cumulative precipitation and snow persistence over the prior 2 years are strongly associated with growing season productivity. A step change in peatland productivity between 2013–2015 drives an increasing trend in NDVI and is likely a response to consecutive years of anomalously high snow accumulation and rainfall. Early summer minimum temperatures emerge as a secondary influence on productivity. Understanding large‐scale productivity dynamics and characterizing the response of bofedales to climate variability over the last three decades provides a baseline to monitor the responses of Andean peatlands to climate change.
Slab Folding and Surface Deformation of the Iran Mobile Belt
Authors: Boutoux Alexandre , Briaud Arthur , Faccenna Claudio , Ballato Paolo , Rossetti Federico , Blanc Eric
Published: May 2021

Back‐arc regions are usually punctuated by pulses of tectonic deformation, lasting for few tens of millions of years. Yet, the origin of those short‐lived deformation episodes is disputed. Here, we compile structural, stratigraphic, geochemical, and geochronological data from Iran and we combine them with a kinematic reconstruction to show that the back‐arc region of the Central Neotethys subduction zone was affected by alternating pulses of extension and compression, linked to episodes of trench retreat and advance, respectively. To back‐up these observations and investigate the causes of such a trench behavior, we run 2D numerical models exploring (i) the dynamics of subduction into a viscously stratified mantle, and (ii) the deep slab deformation induced by mineral phase changes at the mantle transition zone. Our results indicate that episodes of trench retreat and trench advance, like those observed in the Central Neotethys domain, emerge spontaneously by slab folding, and penetration into the mantle transition zone. We propose a coupled mantle‐surface tectonic evolution model of the Central Neotethys slab that reconciles back‐arc deformation and short‐lived pulses of upper‐plate vertical motion in a unique, dynamically self‐consistent model of deep mantle subduction.
Crustal and Mantle Deformation Inherited From Obduction of the Semail Ophiolite (Oman) and Continental Collision (Zagros)
Authors: Pilia S. , Kaviani A. , Searle M. P. , Arroucau P. , Ali M. Y. , Watts A. B.
Published: May 2021

A common deviation from typical subduction models occurs when thrust sheets of oceanic crust and upper‐mantle rocks are emplaced over more buoyant continental lithosphere. The archetypal example of ophiolite obduction is the Semail ophiolite in the United Arab Emirates (UAE)‐Oman orogenic belt, formed and obducted onto the Arabian continental margin during the Late Cretaceous. The Strait of Hormuz syntaxis, the northern extent of the UAE‐Oman mountains, marks the transition from ocean‐continent convergence in the Gulf of Oman to continental collision along the Zagros Mountains. Based on new seismic data from a focused recording network, we infer continental crustal and mantle deformation in the northeastern corner of the Arabian plate (including the southern Zagros and the UAE‐Oman mountains), using observations from anisotropic tomography and shear‐wave splitting (SWS) measurements. We recover a change of ∼90° (from approximately WNW to nearly NS) in the axis of fast‐anisotropic orientations in the crust from the Zagros to the UAE‐Oman mountain belt, consistent with the dominant strike of the orogenic belts. We also find evidence in our SWS parameters for localized fossil deformation in the lithospheric mantle underlying the UAE‐Oman mountain range, possibly related to stress‐induced tectonism triggered by north‐east oriented underthrusting of the proto‐Arabian continental margin beneath the overriding Semail ophiolite. Shear‐wave‐splitting anisotropy orientations along two transects across the northern Musandam peninsula, averaging 15° anticlockwise from the north, provide the first geophysical verification of previous geological evidence that suggests a NE polarity of the Late Cretaceous Oman subduction zone system.