Rapid inference of antibiotic susceptibility phenotype of uropathogens using metagenomic sequencing with neighbor typing
Authors: Carroll Amanda C. , Mortimer Leanne , Ghosh Hiren , Reuter Sandra , Grundmann Hajo , Brinda Karel , Hanage William P. , Li Angel , Paterson Aimee , Purssell Andrew , Rooney Ashley , Yee Noelle R. , Coburn Bryan , Able-Thomas Shola , Antonio Martin , McGeer Allison , MacFadden Derek R. 
Published: November 2024

Timely diagnostic tools are needed to improve antibiotic treatment. Pairing metagenomic sequencing with genomic neighbor typing algorithms may support rapid clinically actionable results. We created resistance-associated sequence elements (RASE) databases for
Escherichia coli
and
Klebsiella spp
. and used them to predict antibiotic susceptibility in directly sequenced (Oxford Nanopore) urine specimens from critically ill patients. RASE analysis was performed on pathogen-specific reads from metagenomic sequencing. We evaluated the ability to predict (i) multi-locus sequence type (MLST) and (ii) susceptibility profiles. We used neighbor typing to predict MLST and susceptibility phenotype of
E. coli
(64/80) and
Klebsiella spp
. (16/80) from urine samples. When optimized by lineage score, MLST predictions were concordant for 73% of samples. Similarly, a RASE-susceptible prediction for a given isolate was associated with a specificity and a positive likelihood ratio (LR+) for susceptibility of 0.65 (95% CI, 0.54–0.76) and 2.26 (95% CI, 1.75–2.92), respectively, with an increase in the probability of susceptibility of 10%. A RASE-non-susceptible prediction was associated with a sensitivity and a negative likelihood ratio (LR-) for susceptibility of 0.79 (95% CI, 0.74–0.84) and 0.32 (95% CI, 0.24–0.43) respectively, with a decrease in the probability of susceptibility of 20%. Numerous antibiotic classes could reasonably be reconsidered empiric therapy by shifting empiric probabilities of susceptibility across relevant treatment thresholds. Moreover, these predictions can be available within 6 h. Metagenomic sequencing of urine specimens with neighbor typing provides rapid and informative predictions of lineage and antibiotic susceptibility with the potential to impact clinical decision-making.

IMPORTANCE

Urinary tract infections (UTIs) are a common diagnosis in hospitals and are often treated empirically with broad-spectrum antibiotics. These broad-spectrum agents can select for resistance in these bacteria and co-colonizing organisms. The use of narrow-spectrum agents is desirable as an antibiotic stewardship measure; however, it is counterbalanced by the need for adequate therapy. Identification of causative organisms and their antibiotic susceptibility can help direct treatment; however, conventional testing requires days to produce actionable results. Methods to quickly and accurately predict susceptibility phenotypes for pathogens causing UTI could thus improve both patient outcomes and antibiotic stewardship. Here, expanding on previous work showing accurate prediction for certain Gram-positive pathogens, we demonstrate how the use of RASE from metagenomic sequencing can provide informative and rapid phenotype prediction results for common Gram-negative pathogens in UTI, highlighting the future potential of this method to be used in clinical settings to guide empiric antibiotic selection.