Abstract P6-10-03: The contribution of common genetic variation to breast cancer risk among women receiving tamoxifen or raloxifene within the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project (NSABP) P-1 and P-2 trials
Authors: Vachon Celine M , Schaid Daniel J , Ingle James N , Goetz Matthew P , Wickerham Donald L , Kubo Michiaki , Carlson Erin E , Paik Soonmyung , Wolmark Norman , Nakamura Yusuke , Wang Liewei , Weinshilboum Richard M , Couch Fergus J 
Published: May 2015

Purpose: Tamoxifen and raloxifene, are primary prevention strategies for women at high risk of breast cancer (Visvanathan, 2013). Recent advances in genetic studies of breast cancer risk have identified common susceptibility loci that explain 14% of familial risk for breast cancer in the general population (Michailidou, 2013). However, it is not known if these loci are risk factors for breast cancer among high-risk women treated with SERMs for breast cancer prevention. We hypothesized that the large risk reduction associated with SERMs, coupled with the fact that several breast cancer loci correlate with family history, may limit the contribution of these common genetic loci to breast cancer in this high risk population. We present the first report to evaluate 75 established breast cancer susceptibility loci, in the context of a polygenic risk score (PRS), as a risk factor for breast cancer among high risk women taking raloxifene and tamoxifen for breast cancer prevention.

Methods: We conducted a matched case-control study of 594 cases (i.e., participants who developed breast cancer while on SERM therapy) and 1,171 matched controls selected from the 33,000 participants enrolled in the NSABP P-1 and P-2 breast cancer prevention trials. Genotypes of 75 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were available from a genome-wide association study conducted at the RIKEN Center for Genomic Medicine. We formed a quantitative PRS from reported per-SNP odds ratios (OR) for the 75 susceptibility loci. Conditional logistic regression was used to examine the PRS as a risk factor for breast cancer and to assess whether the PRS and breast cancer association differed by treatment type, family history, or other clinical characteristics. Analyses also examined associations of PRS with invasive vs. in situ cancer and ER-positive vs. ER-negative cancer.

Results: The PRS ranged from 3.98 to 7.74, and a one unit change in PRS was associated with a 42% increase in breast cancer (OR=1.42; 95% CI: 1.18-1.70; P = 0.0002). There was evidence of a stronger association of PRS with breast cancer among women with no first-degree family history (OR=1.62, 95% CI: 1.18-2.21) compared to those with a positive family history (OR=1.32, 95% CI: 1.06-1.66) (Pintx&lt;0.05). The PRS also appeared a stronger risk factor for ER-positive (OR=1.59, 95% CI: 1.25-2.02, P &lt; 0.0002) vs. ER-negative (OR=1.05, 95% CI: 0.68-1.62, P=0.84) breast cancer, although differences did not reach statistical significance (Pintx=0.10). PRS and breast cancer associations were similar across tamoxifen and raloxifene treatments, age at trial entry, 5-year predicted Gail model risk, hysterectomy status, BMI, presence of atypical hyperplasia and invasive vs. in situ cancer.

Conclusion: A polygenic risk score composed of 75 loci was a risk factor for ER-positive breast cancer, especially in the absence of a first-degree family history of breast cancer. Further, the PRS associations with breast cancer were similar for women taking tamoxifen or raloxifene for prevention. These data suggest that common genetic variation adds information on risk of ER-positive breast cancer in a high-risk population receiving SERMs.

Citation Format: Celine M Vachon, Daniel J Schaid, James N Ingle, Matthew P Goetz, Donald L Wickerham, Michiaki Kubo, Erin E Carlson, Soonmyung Paik, Norman Wolmark, Yusuke Nakamura, Liewei Wang, Richard M Weinshilboum, Fergus J Couch. The contribution of common genetic variation to breast cancer risk among women receiving tamoxifen or raloxifene within the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project (NSABP) P-1 and P-2 trials [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Thirty-Seventh Annual CTRC-AACR San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium: 2014 Dec 9-13; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2015;75(9 Suppl):Abstract nr P6-10-03.