bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025 huggingface dataset:
Prognostic factors influencing prolonged ventilation after open mitral valve surgery
Authors: Supomo Supomo
Published: December 2019

Objective: To determine prognostic factors influencing prolonged ventilation after surgery in our hospital. Method: Seventy-five patients fulfilled inclusion criteria were included in this retrospective cross-sectional study. Prognostic factors analyzed were age, chronic pulmonary disease, heart failure (NYHA class function), left ventricular (LV) dysfunction (based on ejection fraction), recent myocardial infarction, pulmonary hypertension (PH), duration of cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB), ischemic time and aorta clamp time, which were analyzed in relation to prolonged ventilation after open mitral valve surgery. Results: Subjects were 75 patients aged between 19 and 62 years old (mean 39.76, SD 11.44) whom underwent open mitral valve repair or replacement surgery. Twenty-three patients (30.67%) had prolonged ventilation (≥24 hours) after surgery. Bivariate analysis showed there were no significant correlation between age, heart failure, PH and LV dysfunction. There are different with statistically significance between groups (p<0.05). Conclusions: In this study, almost one-third of patients had prolonged ventilation after surgery. Factors influencing this morbidity were the duration of ischemic time, aorta clamp time and CPB. Age, heart failure, LV dysfunction and PH were not statistically related to the prolonged ventilation event.
Potensi mikrosfer kombinasi fukoidan dan mirna-200c sebagai inovasi penatalaksanaan kanker payudara kemoresisten
Authors: Satyarsa Agung Bagus Sista , Suryantari Sang Ayu Arta , Gumilang Putu Gupta Arya , Supadmanaba I Gede Putu , Adiputra Putu Anda Tusta
Published: December 2019

Kanker payudara adalah penyakit tidak menular dan juga masalah kesehatan utama di dunia. Berdasarkan data WHO pada 2012, kejadian kanker payudara dilaporkan sebanyak 1,67 juta kasus. Salah satu penyebab morbiditas dan mortalitas tertinggi pada kanker payudara adalah kemoresisten. Tujuan: Untuk menggambarkan potensi kombinasi mikrosfer fukoidan dan miRNA-200c sebagai terapi untuk kanker payudara kemoresisten. Metode: Dilakukan telaah pada literatur tervalidasi seperti jurnal dan website. Kata kunci yang digunakan yaitu “Fucoidan” dan “Chemoresistant breast cancer and miRNA-200c” pada search engine www.pubmed.com dan scholar.google.com. Dari 77 jurnal yang ditelaah, 55 jurnal ditemukan sesuai dengan topik bahasan dan digunakan sebagai referensi karya ini. Hasil: Kombinasi mikrosfer ini akan membawa sel target spesifik dalam kemoresistensi kanker payudara. Fukoidan sebagai agen pro-apoptosis mempengaruhi banyak sel target (multi-target) untuk menginduksi apoptosis. Sementara itu, ekspresi miRNA-200c menginduksi Mesenchymal Epithelial Transition (MET) dengan menghambat ZEB1, ZEB2 dan TGF-β2 sebagai anti-metastasis pada chemoresistance kanker payudara. Simpulan: Kombinasi mikrosfer fukoidan dan miRNA-200c memiliki potensi yang menjanjikan sebagai pengobatan baru untuk kemoresistensi kanker payudara, karena sifat proapoptotik dan anti metastasis yang manjur. Namun, belum ada penelitian yang mengevaluasi kombinasi ini. Jadi studi lebih lanjut diperlukan untuk mengkonfirmasi potensi sebenarnya dari kombinasi mikrosfer fukoidan dan miRNA-200c.
ANALISIS MODEL ANTRIAN DAN SIMULASI PADA BANK BNI 46 CABANG - UNIVERSITAS KUNINGAN
Authors: . Daswa , Riyadi Mohamad
Published: December 2019

Abstrak�Studi untuk mempelajari perilaku elemen antrian (waktu tunggu nasabah, waktu pelayanan, waktu menganggur teller dan sebagainya) dalam suatu sistem dapat ditinjau dengan teori antrian. Elemen antrian, terutama waktu pelayanan saat transaksi, dapat dijadikan tinjauan dalam meningkatkan kepuasan nasabah. Kecenderungan kesibukan aktivitas pelayanan di bank adalah merata setiap harinya. Kondisi ini berbeda dengan Bank BNI 46 Cabang Universitas Kuningan yang mempunyai antrian yang sangat panjang pada waktu menjelang UAS. Model antrian bank tersebut dianalisis dengan mempertimbangkan distribusi pola kedatangan, distribusi pola pelayanan dan jumlah teller menggunakan �fit test. Hasil uji ini menunjukkan pola kedatangan berdistribusi Poisson dan pola pelayanan berdistribusi eksponensial. Dan karena jumlah teller adalah 1, maka mengikuti notasi Kendall, model antrian bank adalah M/M/1. Simulasi pelayanan transaksi pada bank dilakukan untuk melihat kecenderungan perilaku elemen antrian. Simulasi menunjukkan semakin besar tingkat pelayanan, semakin besar peluang waktu menganggur teller. Akan tetapi, semakin besar tingkat pelayanan, banyak nasabah dalam antrian dan dalam sistem antrian akan semakin sedikit. Demikian juga dengan waktu rata-rata nasabah dalam antrian dan dalam sistem antrian.Kata Kunci: Model Antrian, Perilaku Elemen Antrian, Simulasi.�Abstract�A research to study behavior of queue elements (customer waiting time, service time, idle time teller and so on) in a system can be reviewed with queuing theory. The queue element, especially the transaction time, can be used as a review to improve customer satisfaction. The tendency of busy activity in bank service is evenly distributed every day. This condition is different from BNI 46 Bank branch Kuningan University which has a very long queue at the time before final examination. The bank queue model is analyzed by considering the distribution of arrival pattern, service pattern distribution and number of teller using fit test. The results of this test show the pattern of arrival of Poisson distributed and exponential distribution service pattern. And since the number of tellers is 1, then following Kendall notation, the bank queue model is M / M / 1. Simulation of transaction service at bank is done to see tendency of queue element behavior. Simulations show the greater the level of service, the greater the chance of idle time teller will be. However, the greater the level of service, the more customers in the queue and in the queuing system will be less. Likewise, the average time the customer is in the queue and in the queuing system.�Keywords: Queue Model, Behavior of Element Queue, Simulation.
INOVASI PENGEMBANGAN SISTEM INFORMASI PENGELOLAAN PONDOK PESANTREN MANSYAUL MUBTADI�IN BERBASIS WEB
Authors: SUGIHARTO TITO
Published: December 2019

Permasalahan yang dibahas dalam penelitian ini adalah inovasi pengembangan� sistem informasi pengelolaan Pondok Pesantren Mansyaul Mubtadi�in berbasis web. Pada kondisi saat ini, sistem pengelolaan Pondok Pesantren Mansyaul Mubtadi�in masih bersifat tradisional dan manual. Dengan sistem pengelolaan yang masih bersifat tradisional dan manual memunculkan banyak permasalahan, yaitu: sistem rekap data santri masih menggunakan kertas, terjadi penumpukan dokumen dalam ruangan, sulitnya melakukan pencarian data santri, dan pelaporan data yang rumit serta tidak rapih.����������� Oleh karena itu, inovasi pengembangan sistem informasi pengelolaan Pondok Pesantren Mansyaul Mubtadi�in berbasis web menjadi hal yang sangat dibutuhkan. Dengan adanya sistem informasi tersebut diharapkan dapat mempermudah proses rekap data santri, proses pencarian data, proses dokumentasi data, dan proses pelaporan.����������� Desain penelitian ini berupa perancangan dan pembuatan sistem informasi pengelolaan Pondok Pesantren Mansyaul Mubtadi�in berbasis web. Subyek dari penelitian ini adalah pengelola dan pengurus Pondok Pesantren Mansyaul Mubtadi�in. Target penelitian yang ingin dicapai adalah adanya inovasi pengembangan sistem informasi dalam hal pengelolaan Pondok Pesantren Mansyaul Mubtadi�in yang menarik, mudah dipahami dan mudah untuk digunakan.����������� Metodologi yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah RUP (Rational Unified Process). Terdapat empat tahapan dalam penggunaan metodologi RUP ini, yaitu tahapan inception, ellaboration, contruction, dan transition. Model perancangan yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini menggunakan UML (Unified Modelling Language).Inovasi pengembangan sistem informasi Pondok Pesantren Mansyaul Mubtadi�in ini dapat memberikan solusi bagi permasalahan yang ada dengan melihat pada proses perancangan yang sudah dilakukan sebelumnya. Diharapkan dengan adanya aplikasi ini dapat membantu dalam pengelolaan Pondok Pesantren Mansyaul Mubtadi�in mulai dari proses pendataan santri, proses pencarian data, proses dokumentasi data, dan proses pelaporan
Rancang Bangun Sistem Informasi Pemerintahan Desa Untuk Peningkatan Pelayanan Berbasis Web dan Android
Authors: Nurhayati Yati , Fauziah Fauziah
Published: December 2019

AbstrakPenelitian ini dibangun untuk membantu pemerintahan desa untuk mengelola data yang terdapat di desa tersebut, dikarenakan selama ini pengelolaan data yang ada masih dilakukan secara semi-manual serta belum terintegrasi sehingga menyulitkan bagi pihak-pihak yang membutuhkan informasi tersebut. Pada penelitian ini, data yang diolah adalah data desa (sejarah, visi misi, struktur organisasi, alamat, foto kantor, peta desa), data sumber daya desa (data desa, data sumber daya alam, data asset desa), data RAB (rancangan anggaran belanja), data berita dan kegiatan desa. Serta masyarakat dapat mengirimkan permohonan pembuatan surat menggunakan android, yang nantinya oleh admin desa akan diproses dan hasilnya diupload ke sistem serta masyarakat sehingga kerentanan hilangnya surat dapat diminimalisir serta mengefisienkan waktu. Agar sistem yang dihasilkan optimal, maka sistem dirancang menggunakan UML (United Modeling Language) serta diimplementasikan ke dalam Bahasa pemrograman php, mysqli dan android. Hasil akhir dari penelitian ini berupa sebuah sistem yang dapat mengelola data di pemerintahan desa serta dapat membantu pemerintahan desa dalam meningkatkan pelayanan ke masyarakat.Kata Kunci : Desa, PHP MySQL, Android.�AbstractThis research was built to help the village government to manage the data contained in the village, because so far the existing data management is still done semi-manually and has not been integrated, making it difficult for those who need the information. In this study, the data processed are village data (history, vision and mission, organizational structure, addresses, office photos, village maps), village resource data (village data, natural resource data, village asset data), RAB data (design budget), data on news and village activities. And the community can send a request for making letters using android, which will be processed by the village admin and the results will be uploaded to the system and the community so that the vulnerability of the loss of letters can be minimized and make time efficient. So that the resulting system is optimal, the system is designed using UML (United Modeling Language) and implemented in the PHP, mysqli and android programming languages. The final results of this study are in the form of a system that can manage data in the village administration and can assist village governments in improving services to the community.�Keywords: Village, PHP MySQLi, Android.
A pólis em êxtase: Figurações de Dioniso na Antiguidade
Authors: Silva Rafael Guimarães Tavares da
Published: December 2019

Retomando o imaginário da antiguidade grega arcaica em torno do deus Dioniso, a partir de caracterizações contidas em poemas e cerâmicas desse período, pretendemos passar em revista algumas das transformações que as representações da divindade conheceram desde seus registros mais recuados até o período clássico. Valendo-nos de uma interface com a história e as várias transformações socioeconômicas e políticas desse mesmo lapso de tempo, acompanharemos de que forma Dioniso passou de um status menor, característico de divindades marginalizadas – tal como testemunhamos a partir dos poemas de Homero, por exemplo –, para adquirir a importância que o destaca como a divindade principal de um festival importantíssimo como as Grandes Dionísias em Atenas, no século V. Vamos atentar para as várias ambiguidades inerentes aos mitos do deus, buscando sugerir de que modo os fatos históricos aqui delineados podem ter sido refletidos desse modo nas figurações míticas que os povos helênicos desse período propuseram em suas obras artísticas.
TORRANO, Jaa. Mito e Imagens Míticas Editora Córrego: São Paulo, 2019, 154 p., ISBN: 978-85-7039-022-6.
Authors: Rachid Rodolfo
Published: December 2019

Resenha de TORRANO, Jaa. Mito e Imagens Míticas Editora Córrego: São Paulo, 2019, 154 p., ISBN: 978-85-7039-022-6.
Viral content on Facebook: a case study on the run-up to the Brazilian 2018 presidential elections
Authors: Canavilhas João , Bittencourt Maíra , De Andrade Marco
Published: December 2019

For this paper we collected and analyzed manipulated content intended to go viral on Facebook and thus influence public opinion during the pre-election period in Brazil. Posts from 10 Facebook pages were collected over the course of 2017 from Brazilian organizations known to have produced false or manipulated news; we selected a total of 50 of the most-shared posts from those pages. The results showed that the posts receiving the most shares have three characteristics in common: content format, language strategy and information source. Impact phrases, public figures commenting on political facts out of context, and the sensationalist approach were all resources identified in texts, videos and photographs; formats which are commonly used for propagation purposes.Neste trabalho coletamos e analisamos conteúdos manipulados com o objetivo de se tornarem virais no Facebook e, dessa forma, influenciarem a opinião pública durante o período pré-eleitoral no Brasil. Ao longo de 2017, foram recolhidos os posts de 10 páginas do Facebook de organizações brasileiras conotadas com a produção de notícias falsas ou manipuladas, tendo sido selecionadas 50 publicações que correspondem às mais partilhas em cada uma das páginas. Os resultados permitem verificar que os posts com mais compartilhamento têm algumas características comuns em três quesitos: formato de conteúdo, estratégia de linguagem e fonte de informação. Foram também identificados em textos, vídeos e fotografias, formatos habitualmente usados com esta finalidade de propagação, o recurso à frases de impacto, a utilização descontextualizada de figuras públicas comentando fatos políticos e a abordagem sensacionalista.En este documento recopilamos y analizamos contenido manipulado para volverse viral en Facebook y así influir en la opinión pública durante el período preelectoral en Brasil. A lo largo de 2017, se recogieron 10 publicaciones de páginas de Facebook de organizaciones brasileñas relacionadas con la producción de noticias falsas o manipuladas, y se seleccionaron 50 publicaciones que corresponden a la mayor cantidad de publicaciones compartidas en cada página. Los resultados permiten verificar que las publicaciones que comparten más tienen algunas características comunes en tres aspectos: formato de contenido, estrategia de lenguaje y fuente de información. También se identificó en textos, videos y fotografías, formatos comúnmente utilizados para este propósito de propagación, el uso de oraciones de impacto, el uso descontextualizado de figuras públicas que comentan hechos políticos y el enfoque sensacionalista.
Artificial intelligence in orthodontics
Authors: Faber Jorge , Faber Carolina , Faber Pedro
Published: December 2019

This article aims to discuss how AI with its powerful pattern finding and prediction algorithms are helping orthodontics. Much remains to be done to help patients and clinicians make better treatment decisions. AI is an excellent tool to help orthodontists to choose the best way to move teeth with aligners to preset positions. On the other hand, AI today completely ignores the existence of oral diseases, does not fully integrate facial analysis in its algorithms, and is unable to consider the impact of functional problems in treatments. AI do increase sensitivity and specificity in imaging diagnosis in several conditions, from syndrome diagnosis to caries detection. AI with its set of tools for problem-solving is starting to assist orthodontists with extra powerful applied resources to provide better standards of care.
Peripheral Seronegative Spondyloarthritis – Updates on Critical Criteria
Authors: Shah Amit , Paramesparan Kethesparan , Rennie Winston J.
Published: December 2019

In the past decade, new clinical and imaging criteria have vastly improved the diagnosis and outcome of patients with seronegative spondyloarthritis (SpA). It is estimated that up to 30% of patients with SpA may exhibit predominant (or only) peripheral manifestations of SpA. Lack of awareness can lead to a diagnostic delay of up to 8–9 years which can lead to significant patient morbidity. It is, therefore, essential to diagnose and treat SpA as early as possible. The aim of this pictorial review is to emphasize the important aspects of current peripheral SpA classification system and demonstrates the imaging findings related to peripheral SpA. Patients referred for imaging of peripheral joints can be from a wide referral source. Recognizing and reporting imaging features suggestive of peripheral SpA will allow appropriate and timely specialist referral with the aim of avoiding treatment delay.
Evaluation of Occult Femoral Neck Fractures – Computed Tomography or Magnetic Resonance Imaging?
Authors: Haris Moomal , Robinson Philip , Gupta Harun
Published: December 2019

Aim:

There is an increasing incidence of hip fracture with associated morbidity and mortality making accurate and timely diagnosis essential. The aim of this study was to compare computed tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to ascertain the optimum second-line investigation in cases where plain radiograph is not diagnostic.

Material and Methods:

Using the radiology information system, a total of 168 patients were identified with the suspected occult neck of femur fractures over 24 months who had undergone CT or MRI as second-line investigation. All relevant imaging was reviewed and diagnosis, any third-line or follow-up imaging was documented.

Results:

About 16% of patients undergoing CT as second-line test had proven originally occult femoral neck fractures on plain radiograph compared with 13% of those having MRI. About 13% of patients underwent MRI following CT and in 1/13 case MRI detected an occult fracture that had not been detected on CT. The remaining 11 patients were either negative or MRI proved CT suspicions of fracture when extra diagnostic certainty was requested by the surgeons. CT detected more non femoral pelvic fractures 47% versus 37%.

Conclusion:

CT and MRI are comparable at detecting occult femoral neck fractures. Given the increased availability, improved patient tolerance and speed of CT imaging, we advocate its use as the main second-line imaging modality. MRI remains a valuable problem-solving tool in a select few cases following review with a musculoskeletal radiologist.
Intra-articular Osteoid Osteoma of Hip – A Lesson Learnt From “Half-moon Sign” in Early Diagnosis
Authors: Karegowda Lakshmikanth H. , Raju Vinay , Kadavigere Rajagopal
Published: December 2019

We emphasize the importance of “half-moon sign” which was seen on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) done at an early stage of osteoid osteoma in a young patient with hip pain. The hip radiograph and computed tomogram (CT) obtained during his initial presentation were unremarkable. MRI showed a half-moon shaped marrow edema within the femoral neck which was misinterpreted as osteomyelitis. After a prolonged morbidity, the patient again underwent a CT study which picked the lesion as it was evident by that stage. The recent literature has shown the half-moon sign to be a highly specific sign for osteoid osteoma, a knowledge of which, if were known to us at the time of patient’s initial presentation would have significantly reduced his period of pain and disability. Confirming the patient is a not an athlete and does not have a recent history of physical overactivity is crucial, as the sign can also be seen due to stress reaction.
ASSESSMENT OF THE LEVEL OF DEVELOPMENT OF THE ECONOMY AND INDUSTRY USING THE CRITERION OF ECONOMIC LEVEL OF TECHNOLOGIES
Authors: Zhivotovskaia A. G.
Published: December 2019

The indicator of evaluation of economic and technological quality of micro-, mesoand macro-level economic systems – economic level of technologies (ELT) has been considered. It reflects the efficiency of the main factors of production: labor and capital. A higher value of ELT is associated with greater economic and technological efficiency of the system, so it can be used as an indicator of the quality of the system. By graphical and econometric analysis, the values and trends of changes in the economic level of technologies at the level of economy and industry for five countries have been estimated: the Great Britain, Germany, Russia, the USA, France. The ability of the economic level of technologies to predict internal crises in the country has been considered. It has been proposed to use the economic level of technologies as a tool for forecasting as well as for planning and management.
INFORMATION SUPPORT OF MANAGEMENT ACCOUNTING ACTIVITIES OF LOGISTICS ORGANIZATIONS
Authors: Knyazeva E. Yu. , Dyakonova O. S.
Published: December 2019

The article is devoted to topical issues of information support of management accounting of logistics organizations. It has been noted, that the basis of rational management of the logistics sector are information resources, which are formed by the movement, processing and structuring of data, necessary to improve the efficiency of the enterprise. Therefore, the collection and analysis of reliable information, that can influence management decisions, is a priority task to ensure economic processes in the enterprise. It has been proved, that the decision of problems of information support in activity of the logistic organization has to have complex character. The functional components of the information support of the logistics organization have been highlighted. Elements of information support of activity of the logistics organization have been listed. For the purpose of effective management, the study developed the basic principles of information management accounting activities of logistics organizations. The system of the main characteristics of the information component, through which the quality, reliability and completeness of the output flow of information is predetermined, has been adduced
Reversing Reactivity: Stereoselective Desulfurative β-O-Glycosylation of Anomeric Thiosugars with Carboxylic Acids Under Copper or Cobalt Catalysis
Authors: Messaoudi Samir , Bennai Nedjwa , Chabrier Amelie , Fatthalla Maha , Yen-Pon Expédite , Tran Christine , belkadi Mohamed , Alami Mouad , Grimaud Laurence
Published: December 2019

We have discovered a new mode of reactivity of 1-thiosugars in the presence of Cu(II) or Co(II) for a stereoselective O-glycosylation reaction. The process involves the use of a catalytic amount of Cu(acac)2 or Co(acac)2 and Ag2CO3 as an oxidant in α,α,α-trifluorotoluene (TFT). Moreover, this protocol turned out to have a broad scope, allowing to prepare a wide range of com-plex substituted O-glycoside esters in good to excellent yields with an exclusive β-selectivity. The late-stage modification of phar-maceuticals by this method was also demonstrated.
Dissecting The Salinity-Dependence Of Wettability In Oil/Brine/Calcite System Using Molecular Simulations
Authors: Alhosani Mohamed , Valiya Parambathu Arjun , Yrazu Fernando Miguel , Asthagiri Dilip , Chapman Walter
Published: December 2019

Low salinity water flooding has shown great promise due to its cost-effectiveness and low environmental impact for improving and sustaining oil production. It is believed that injecting water with ionic strength lower than that of the reservoir changes the reservoir from less to more water-wet and enhances oil recovery. This alteration phenomenon is not well understood, due to complex interactions between oil, water, and rock. Here we use molecular simulations to characterize the wettability of the 10.4-face of calcite in a calcite/brine/oil system, and address how wettability is altered by changing ionic strength and salt type (NaCl vs. CaCl2). Using the test area method we calculate the superficial tension of the fluids against the solid and the surface tension between the two fluid phases. As the salinity is decreased, the wetting of calcite by brine is progressively less favored, contrary to what might be expected based on low salinity flooding. However, as salinity is decreased, forming the oil-brine interface is more favored. On balance, it is the latter effect that leads to the enhanced wetting of calcite by brine in the oil-brine-calcite system, and it is suggested as an important element in the physics underlying low-salinity flooding.
SINTREN DARI SUDUT PANDANG SECONDARY ORALITY
Authors: Supriatin Yeni Mulyani
Published: December 2019

Penelitian ini bertujuan mengungkapkan sintren, sebuah tradisi lisan sebagai primary orality yang bertransformasi dalam bentuk secondary orality. Masalah yang dibahas adalah bagaimana sintren dalam bentuk secondary orality? Apakah benar-benar berubah atau ke luar dari bentuk asalnya? Teori yang digunakan dalam penganalisisan data adalah pendekatan modern dan sudut pandang secondary orality. Metode yang digunakan adalah metode modern dengan teknik perbandingan dan penyimakan. Hasil penelitian menggambarkan bahwa sintren dalam bentuk secondary orality lebih variatif, fungsional, dan lebih menarik, baik dari aspek bentuk maupun tampilannya. Simpulan penelitian ini adalah bahwa secondary orality merupakan satu bentuk penerobosan baru agar sintren sebagai tradisi lisan lebih bertahan, lebih diketahui generasi masa kini, dan lebih bisa menembus zamannya
Material Processes in English Clause of Life Insurance: A Systemic Functional Linguistic Approach
Authors: Septiana Ponia Mega , Sujatna Eva Tuckyta Sari , Amalia Rosaria Mita
Published: December 2019

The research is about the material processes that apply in English clause of Life Insurance. The data are taken from the brochure of Life Insurance in five different companies. They are analyzed based on the theories of systemic functional linguistics focusing on the material process. This research uses a descriptive qualitative method. The conclusions of the research are the lexical verbs describe the type of material processes in Life Insurance brochures there are offer, receive, protect, provide, customize, request, access, earn, allow, decrease, increase, lock, change, add, choose, take, pay, buy, build, work, help, and give. Then the role of the participant involved that are actor, goal, and recipient.
Do Forecasters Agree on a Taylor Rule?
Authors: Carlstrom Charles T. , Jacobson Margaret
Published: December 2019

Forecasters’ projections of interest rates vary a great deal. We use a Taylor rule to investigate two possible reasons why. Namely, do differences arise because forecasters have different projections for output growth or inflation, or do they arise because forecasters follow different guidelines to predict what the Federal Reserve will do with the federal funds rate? We find evidence for both explanations. Forecasters appear to use very different projections for inflation and output growth, but they also seem to use dramatically different Taylor rule coefficients.
Forecasting Unemployment in Real Time during the Great Recession: An Elusive Task
Authors: Tasci Murat , Treanor Caitlin
Published: December 2019

With the unemployment rate becoming a prominent factor in monetary policy decisions in recent years, forecasting the path of the rate in the near term has taken on a new urgency. How well do our current methods do in this task? We look at the performance of various publicly available forecasts, along with some econometric models, and evaluate their success at forecasting the unemployment rate in real time around the Great Recession. Unfortunately, the forecasting approaches we analyze performed very poorly until the beginning of the recovery. We discuss some possible reasons for this poor forecast performance.
Recession Probabilities
Authors: Ergungor O. Emre
Published: December 2019

Statistical models that estimate 12-month-ahead recession probabilities using the term spread have been around for many years. However, the reliability of the term spread as a predictor may have been affected by short-term interest rates being at zero. At the zero lower bound, long-term yields cannot go too far into negative territory due to the portfolio constraints of institutional investors. Therefore, the yield curve may not invert when it should or as much as it should despite the anticipated path of the economy. I enhance the simple model with two variables that should have predictive power for recessions.
PROGRAM OF LIGHT-FORMAT REGULATION ON THE BASIS OF CONTROLLED NETWORKS AND THE SATURATIONS’ FLOW: BASIC PRINCIPLES OF CALCULATION
Authors: Novikov A. N. , Eremin S. V. , Shevtsova A. G.
Published: December 2019

Introduction.The paper deals with traffic light regulation. This task is always relevant. Thus, even for an ordinary intersection, depending on the intensity of traffic flows, the control cycles should differ significantly. This paper discusses all kinds of systems, namely, two-phase, three-phase, four-phase and others. In addition to solving optimization problems of regulation the authors propose to use the device managed network, which allows setting the configuration of the transport network as the base graph of the managed network, and then based on the parameterization of the graph of the throughput ability of the network to solve the optimization problem of selecting the control traffic and pedestrian flow.

Methods and materials. For solving the problem of traffic management on the road network, the authors proposed to use the mechanisms of managed networks. As a result, the authors presented a technique based on the calculation of saturation flows, the main characteristic of the control technique, which was activated when there were no requests from the transport detectors to turn by the green signal.

Results.The authors constructed a generalized simulation model of control phases of regulation based on the usage of controlled networks, depending on the intensity of traffic flows and formed a method of selecting modes of traffic lights for different traffic situations.

Discussion and conclusions.The solution of the problem of traffic light regulation significantly affects the traffic management efficiency. The authors determine the main parameters based on the analysis of traffic light control methods. As a result of the calculation of the saturation flow and information about the intensity of traffic, the authors form the method of selecting the necessary modes of the phosphor object’s operation.

The authors have read and approved the final manuscript. Financial transparency: the authors have no financial interest in the presented materials or methods. There is no conflict of interest.
Understanding the Utilization of Qualitative Inquiry in Public Health Nutrition Research
Authors: Leepile Tebogo Thandie
Published: December 2019

Qualitative inquiry, often characterized by non-numerical data, remains an underutilized tool in various research spheres including public health nutrition. However, there is an existing shared common ground with quantitative research, in that qualitative research can be a useful complementary tool in explaining the underlying meanings of quantitative data by unpacking the complexities of human behaviour and its relation to disease. Moreover, the qualitative approach is often commended for humanizing research by creating a space for the voices and contributions of the participants. Despite such perceived benefits, the position and relevance of qualitative researchers, techniques, and findings in the body of knowledge continue to be questioned and undervalued. Divergent views on the validity and reliability of qualitative research persist.

 Consequently, the use of qualitative research methods and the publication of qualitative evidence remain limited in the natural sciences, including public health nutrition. This paper discusses qualitative research--its definition, research design, importance and relevance. Additionally, using specific examples, this paper will elucidate the possibilities and challenges of using qualitative techniques and marrying qualitative and quantitative methodologies in public health nutrition research.
Operationalizing local children nutrition surveillance system: The Philippines' Operation Timbang revisiited, the case of Abra de Ilog
Authors: Ramirez Ma. Anna Rita Marfil , Viajar Rowena V. , Azaña Glenda P.
Published: December 2019

Background: Malnutrition among Filipino children persists; underscoring the value of nutritional assessment procedures. In the Philippines, this is carried out at the local level in its annual Operation Timbang [weigh] (OPT or OPT Plus). Local government unit officials observed higher malnutrition prevalence rates in nutrition survey reports of the Department of Science and Technology’s Food and Nutrition Research Institute (DOST-FNRI) compared with its OPT. A revisit of the OPT provided evidence on the comparability of the two data sets and sources of variance analyzed.

Objectives: 1) describe municipal level assessment of OPT in 10 barangays of Abra de Ilog municipality; 2) identify facilitating and hindering factors in OPT; and 3) compare OPT results with DOST-FNRI local nutrition survey in Abra de Ilog and identify potential sources of variance therefrom. 

Methods: Primary data were collected using focus group discussions and key informant interviews. Height and weight data were collected using standard methods of anthropometry.

Results: The OPT/OPT Plus is the mass weighing of 0-71 months old children, including height measurements conducted during the first and fourth quarter of the year in Abra de Ilog. It was found that facilitating factors were availability of calibrated equipment, latest master list, local government support and budget. Lack of manpower, work overload, low honoraria, low work commitment, uncooperative mothers and high turnover of barangay [village] nutrition scholars hindered OPT implementation. The Abra de Ilog 2016 OPT Plus and the 4th quarter “OPT” reported lower malnutrition prevalence rates than the DOST-FNRI local survey.

Conclusions:  Significant differences in the two data sets could misguide program implementation. As an outcome of Sustainable Development Goal No. 2 of Zero Hunger, potential misclassification of nutritional status and misreporting of malnutrition prevalence rates have implications for the mapping of malnutrition, hence delivery of targeted nutrition intervention packages.
Hanau Public Utility Company: Introduction of a network information system Stadtwerke Hanau: Einführung eines Netzinformationssystems
Authors: I Rameil,
Published: December 2019

Hanau Public Utility Company: Introduction of a network information system Stadtwerke Hanau: Einführung eines Netzinformationssystems
Tinjauan Etik Layanan Konsultasi Daring dan Kunjungan Rumah Berbasis Aplikasi
Authors: Prawiroharjo Pukovisa , Sundoro Julitasari , Hartanto Jonathan , Hatta Ghina Faradisa , Sulaiman Ali
Published: December 2019

Teknologi digital telah merambah berbagai aspek kehidupan, salah satunya adalah jasa layanan kedokteran berbasis aplikasi di gawai baik berupa konsultasi kedokteran maupun fasilitasi kunjungan rumah oleh dokter. Berbagai keuntungan dan kenyamanan dirasakan oleh pasien yang menggunakan layanan ini. Namun, layanan ini memerlukan berbagai adaptasi terutama dalam pertimbangan etik dan regulasi. Perusahaan aplikasi sebagai pihak ketiga dan penyedia layanan, seyogyanya juga mengambil tanggungjawab sebagai “fasilitas layanan kesehatan daring” termasuk menjaga rekam medik, mengelola komplain hingga sengketa medik, serta memiliki tata kelola organisasi layaknya fasilitas layanan kesehatan pada umumnya. Dokter yang menjadi subyek layanan perlu mawas diri dari kekeliruan dalam memberikan simpulan dan konsultasi, terlebih dalam memberikan resep obat. Terutama jangan sampai penyakit yang berpotensi mengakibatkan kematian atau kecacatan tidak teridentifikasi. Pemberian saran dan motivasi kepada masyarakat yang menjadi klien pengguna layanan untuk melanjutkan upaya diagnosis dan penanganan lebih lanjut ke fasilitas layanan kesehatan harus senantiasa dilakukan. Izin praktek dokter perlu diregulasi khusus sehingga dokter yang menjadi subyek layanan terlindung dari aspek hukum administratif. Pemerintah bersama organisasi profesi perlu meregulasi proses-proses yang berkaitan dengan perwujudan hal-hal tersebut.
Celetukan Beracun: Pendiskreditan Dokter pada Second Opinion
Authors: Permana Muhammad Yadi , Harinda Fadlika , Yusri Azharul , Rozaliyani Anna
Published: December 2019

Tidak jarang pasien berpindah dokter dalam upaya mendapat informasi medis mengenai penyakit yang dideritanya. Informasi yang disampaikan secara kurang tepat oleh dokter lainnya dapat menimbulkan ketidakpercayaan pasien terhadap dokter yang dikunjungi sebelumnya. Di sisi lain, praktik kedokteran bersifat kompleks dan dalam menghadapi kasus berbagai pendekatan dapat dilakukan. Perbedaan antar literatur juga memperkaya khasanah pendekatan klinis. Dalam menghadapi kasus seperti ini, nilai kesejawatan harus dijunjung. Seorang dokter harus menjaga martabat dan keluhuran profesi dengan mengedepankan nilai kesejawatan. Apabila dokter merasa janggal terhadap pendekatan medis yang dilakukan oleh teman sejawatnya, tidak boleh langsung mengutarakan kepada pasien yang awam dan berisiko tinggi untuk salah menginterpretasi informasi tersebut. Dokter perlu berkomunikasi pribadi dengan teman sejawat yang bersangkutan untuk mengingatkan teman sejawatnya bila hal yang dilakukan berpotensi menimbulkan kerugian. Majelis Kehormatan Etik Kedokteran (MKEK) dapat berperan sebagai mediator dalam melakukan pembinaan profesi agar tidak terjadi pelanggaran etik terkait dengan perilaku kesejawatan.
Pensando una pedagogía de transfronteriza desde la ciudad de Foz de Iguazú, Brasil
Authors: Tallei Jorgelina Ivana
Published: December 2019

El siguiente trabajo se propone discutir el Programa de formación docente denominado: Pedagogía de Frontera, en la ciudad de Foz de Iguazú, propuesto desde la Universidad Federal de Integración Latinoamericana (UNILA). A su vez, reflexionamos sobre el espacio que los/as inmigrantes ocupan en las escuelas municipales de la ciudad. Para ello se presenta una descripción, breve, del territorio como punto fundamental para la identidad de las escuelas y datos importantes sobre la formación docente permanente realizada en Foz de Iguazú pensada desde y para las fronteras. Se discute el concepto de “entre lugar”, del autor Homi Bhabha, como propio de espacios transfronterizos y trasnacionales.
A educação como garantia de cidadania para os povos indígenas
Authors: Fauth Junior Sady Sidney
Published: December 2019

O presente estudo tem como finalidade apresentar uma análise sobre a implantação do Projeto 914BRZ1148 Fortalecimento da Capacidade Institucional Para o Tratamento da Diversidade, Inclusão e Sustentabilidade Socioambiental, como garantia de cidadania para os povos indígenas do Brasil, à luz do Estatuto da Cidadania do MERCOSUL. Trata-se de uma pesquisa exploratória por meio de um estudo de caso. O principal documento que serve de referência ao exercício da cidadania é a Declaração Universal dos Direitos Humanos, que foi criada pela ONU em 1948. Na perspectiva regional, com a criação do Plano Estratégico de Ação Social (PEAS), os países do MERCOSUL definiram eixos comuns de políticas sociais e comprometeram-se, conjuntamente, com os objetivos de erradicação da miséria, fome, pobreza e analfabetismo. As políticas públicas relativas à educação são numerosas nos países membros do MERCOSUL, e o Brasil não mediu esforços para aprimorar a política nacional de educação indígena baseada nas necessidades dos povos indígenas fortalecida com o processo participativo denominado Conferência Nacional de Educação Escolar Indígena, realizada entre os anos de 2016 e 2018. Essa Conferência demonstrou que por meio da participação democrática, o Estado brasileiro tem o apoio na formulação das políticas públicas para assegurar a todos o direito à educação
Gênero, Agenda 2030 e MERCOSUL
Authors: Mencato Stephany Dayana Pereira
Published: December 2019

O trabalho se propõe a refletir acerca de algumas das múltiplas problemáticas práticas que surgem ao processo de integração do Mercado Comum do Sul (MERCOSUL) quando pensado por uma perspectiva de gênero. A metodologia é a revisão bibliográfica especialmente de legislações internacionais, tratados de Direitos Humanos e da teoria feminista decolonial. O objetivo é compreender possíveis desafios apresentados ao MERCOSUL, os avanços e limites do bloco econômico quando este apresenta como fim uma integração profunda entre os países que o compõem. Os resultados esperados são a possibilidade de avanço teórico, cooperando com o desenvolvimento de caminhos possíveis para o fortalecimento do bloco.
Predicción de pérdidas de propagación para sistemas de Televisión Digital Terrestre
Authors: Delgado Cuadro Enrique Ismael , León Acurio Joffre Vicente , Bastidas Zambrano Luis Isaías , Solórzano Moreno Cristhian Augusto
Published: December 2019

Este trabajo es una revisión de los diferentes modelos de predicción de pérdidas de propagación para sistemas de televisión digital terrestre (TDT), tanto para transmisión de datos, audio y video. Dicha revisión es de suma importancia dentro del diseño y montaje de infraestructura de redes de Telecomunicaciones para su planificación y dimensionamiento (PyD), la cual es indispensable antes de construir una red y no caer en el subdimensionamiento ni sobredimensionamiento de equipos e infraestructura. Dentro de esta investigación se comparará los diferentes modelos de medición y se concluirá el de mejor rendimiento en base al RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) para la predicción de pérdidas de propagación en los sistemas antes mencionados.
Теоретико-педагогічні передумови розвитку фізичного виховання дітей та молоді на польських землях (друга половина ХІХ – початок ХХ ст.)
Authors: Pasichnуk Vоlоdуmуr
Published: December 2019

Стаття присвячена проблематиці розвитку теоретичної думки польських вчених, лікарів та суспільних діячів у галузі фізичного виховання дітей і молоді в другій половині ХІХ та початку ХХ ст. Проаналізовано основні концепції  фізичного виховання в системі дошкільної та шкільної освіти на польських землях в цей історичний період. В основному, увага польських  дослідників того часу зосереджувалася на впровадженні систематичних занять з фізичного виховання у всіх типах польських шкіл, застосування рухових ігор і забав у навчальному процесі, популяризації фізичної культури в закладах дошкільної освіти, залучення батьків у процес фізичного виховання дітей у родині, фаховій підготовці вчителів фізичної культури та ін. Мета дослідження. Визначити основні напрямки та тенденції розвитку теоретичної думки польських вчених, лікарів та суспільних діячів в другій половині ХІХ та початку ХХ ст. у галузі фізичного виховання дітей і молоді. Методи дослідження. Вивчення літературних джерел, документальних матеріалів, теоретичний аналіз і синтез отриманих даних. Результати дослідження. У другій половині ХІХ − початку ХХ ст. проблематика фізичного виховання стала інтегральним елементом програм педагогічних з’їздів польських вчителів на яких зверталась увага на надзвичайно  суттєву роль фізичного виховання в освіті молодого покоління, а також у покращенню стану здоров’я населення загалом. Польські вчені, педагоги лікарі приймали активну участь в ряді євро­пейських конгресів та форумів, що відбувалися на початку ХХ ст., на яких розглядалися проблеми фізичного виховання, здоров’я та гігієни дітей і молоді. Значну роль  у популяризації в польському суспільстві питань фізичного виховання дітей та молоді відіграв ІХ з’їзд польських лікарів і біологів, який відбувся у 1900 році в Кракові. Вперше під час проведення таких форумів було організовано спеціальну секцію з проблематики фізичного виховання дітей і молоді. Висновки.  Проведений аналіз літературних джерел та архівних документів дозволяє стверджувати, що незважаючи на чисельні труднощі у процесі організації фізичного виховання в дошкільній та шкільній освіті на польських землях у цей історичний період (слабка матеріальна база для проведення занять з фізичного виховання; відсутність підготовлених вчителів з цього предмету; консерватизм керівництва частини шкіл) теоретичний та практичний розвиток фізичного виховання підростаючих поколінь осягнув значного прогресу у порівнянні з попередніми десятиріччями.
Aerobic Physical Activity in Nature as Compensation for Type A Behavior
Authors: Zusková Klaudia , Górny Mirosław Paweł
Published: December 2019

The aim of this theoretical article is to point out on the bases of scientific findings the relationship between aerobic physical activity in nature as compensation for the type A behavior. Type A behavior as a risk factor for coronary heart disease (CHD) continues to be an important subject of study in today´s society. Physical activities in the nature, also called green exercise, are of significant relevance in the context of human health research, given our present lifestyle. They address mainly the aerobic regime of physical activities as a prevention of many diseases through improvements in cardiovascular system and skeletal muscles. The authors focused on the issues related to the types A and B of personality behavior developed by Mayer Friedman and Ray H. Rosenman. Aerobic exercise activities, as significant prevention of heart diseases, deal with the compensation of precisely the A type risk behavior. The authors clarify this premise on practical examples. Even with the passage of several decades this issue has not been sufficiently researched. Its application in real life is quite justifiable due to increasing environmental changes and sedentary lifestyle. This article points out how different findings need to be linked in practice as a part of the necessary interdisciplinary collaboration of experts in the areas of medicine, psychology and sports.
Проблема розвитку швидкісно-координаційних здібностей старших школярів
Authors: Shchyrba Vadim
Published: December 2019

Актуальність. Сьогоденний ландшафт фізичної культури на теренах нашої держави нажаль знаходиться в дуже крихкому стані. Сумні реалії проведення уроків фізичної культури, секційних занять, рухливих перерв, фізкультурних хвилинок та пауз доводять, що сучасному «поколінню Z» зовсім не цікаві «ретроспективні» та «запозичені» методи виховання у сучасній школі. Мета дослідження – проаналізувати стан проблеми роз­витку швидкісно-координаційних здібностей школярів 10−11 класів. Методи дослідження. Теоретичний ана­ліз та синтез, аналіз науково-методичної літератури, методи математичної статистики. Учасники дослідження. Дане дослідження проводилося на базі ліцею-інтернат № 23 з посиленою військово-спортивною підготовкою Шевченківського району міста Києва. При проведенні дослідження були задіяні 106 школярів 10−11 класів (n = 106). Діти та їхні батьки були інформовані про всі особливості дослідження і дали згоду на участь в експерименті. Результати дослідження. При аналізі отриманих показників швидкісно-координаційних здіб­ностей за допомогою тесту «Подвійна стріла» було виявлено наступні результати: середній результат складає 19,57 ± 1,25 с, найкращий середній результат дорівнює 17,0 с, а найгірший середній складає 23,69 с. Таким чином, наведені нижче дані свідчать про те, що у досліджуваних школярів 10−11 класів спостерігається ста­більність результатів в межах 18–21 с. Висновки. Запропоновано тест для оцінки розвитку швидкісно-коорди­наційних здібностей дітей. Аналіз дослідження автора дозволив з’ясувати, що розвиток швидкісно-координа­ційних здібностей є однією з не від’ємних складових процесу підготовки школярів та юних спортсменів. Але разом з тим залишається дотепер одним з найменш розроблених розділів підготовки у спорті. Впровадження в практику тесту «Подвійна стріла» для швидкісно-координаційної підготовки юних спортсменів та школярів сприятиме більш якісному засвоєнню та удосконаленню даних фізичних якостей.