Life expectancy analysis from a multiple regression model
Authors: Castillo Tumaille Guillermo Isaac , Guerra Tejada Ana Maria , Loaiza Massuh Eva Maria de Lourdes 
Published: August 2021

The present study aims to establish the relationship between the indicators of life expectancy, education and income, which are part of the human development index. The methodology used was a descriptive and correlational statistical analysis, with a population of 2480 families from the location of Virgen de Fátima - Guayas - Ecuador which made possible the analysis of the quality of social and economical development within this sector. The results show that the education index is directly related to life expectancy, which proves that there would be significant changes in life quality if it were invested in educational programs.

Keywords: Multiple linear regression, life expectancy, education, per capita income.

References

[1]V. V. Karina Temporelli, «Relación entre esperanza de vida e ingreso. Un análisis para América Latina y el Caribe,» Lecturas de Economia, nº 75, pp. 61-85, 211.

[2]E. Gómez, T. Bolaños, J. Riascos, «La educación y el ingreso como determinantes de la esperanza de vida en Colombia - 2002-2012,» Tendencias, vol. XVII, nº 2, pp. 31-55, 2016.

[3]D. Strijker, G,.Bosworth, G. Bouter, «"Research methods in rural studies: Qualitative, quantitative and mixed methods",» Journal of Rural Studies, vol. 78, pp. 262-270, 2020.

[4]W. Luo, Y. Xie, «"Economic growth, income inequality and life expectancy in China",» Social Science & Medicine, vol. 256, p. 113046, Julio 2020.

[5]M. Escobar Bravo, D. Puga González, Monserrat Martín Baranera, «"Análisis de la esperanza de vida libre de discapacidad a lo largo de la biografía: de la madurez a la vejez",» Gaceta Sanitaria, vol. 26, nº 4, pp. 330-335, 2012.

[6]R. Kotschy, «"Health dynamics shape life-cycle incomes",» Journal of Health Economics, vol. 75, p. 102398, 2021.

[7]L. Díaz Serrano, «"The duration of compulsory education and the transition to secondary education: Panel data evidence from low-income countries",» International Journal of Educational Development, vol. 75, p. 102189, 2020.

[8]Programa de las Naciones Unidas para el Desarrollo (PNUD), «"Índices e indicadores de desarrollo humano",» Estados Unidos, 2018.

[9]P. Nolan, J. Sender, «"Death rates, life expentancy and China's economic reforms: A critique of A.K. Sen",» World Development, vol. 20, nº 9, pp. 1279-1303, 1992.

[10]J B.Soriano, D.Rojas, J. Alonso, J-M.Antó, P. Joan, E. Fernández, lA. L.Garcia, F. Benavides,, «"La carga de enfermedad en España: resultados del Estudio de la Carga Global de las Enfermedades 2016",» Medicina clinica, vol. 151, nº 5, pp. 171-190, 14 septiembre 2018.

[11]V. Kontis, J. E Bennett, C. D Mathers, G. Li, K. capataz, M. Ezzati, «"Future life expectancy in 35 industrialised countries: projections with a Bayesian model ensemble",» The Lancet, vol. 389, nº 10076, pp. 1323-1335, 2017.

[12]A. Novak, Z.Cepar, A. Tronco, «"El papel de los años esperados de escolaridad entre los determinantes de la esperanza de vida",» INDER SCIENCE ONLINE, vol. 20, nº 1, 23 mayo 2016.

[13]S. Rangel-Rigotti, S. Rodrigues & Guimarães-Rodrigues, «"A re-examination of the expected years of schooling: What can it tell us?",» econstor, nº 117, 2013.

[14]F. Noorbakhsh, A. Paloni, A. Youssef, «"Human Capital and FDI Inflows to Developing Countries: New Empirical Evidence",» World Development, vol. 29, nº 9, pp. 1593-1610, septiembre 2001.

[15]D. Filmer, H. Rogers, N. Angrist, S. Sabarwal, «"Learning-adjusted years of schooling (LAYS): Defining a new macro measure of education",» Economics of Education Review, vol. 77, p. 101971, 2020.

[16]B. Huat Ver, S. Gorard, «"Effective classroom instructions for primary literacy: A critical review of the causal evidence",» International Journal of Educational Research, vol. 102, p. 101577, 2020.

[17] A Smith «Naturaleza y causa de la riqueza de las naciones,» Fondo de Cultura Económica., 1776.

[18]G. Kaya Uyanıka, N. Güler, «"A Study on Multiple Linear Regression Analysis",» Procedia - Ciencias sociales y del comportamiento, vol. 106, pp. 234-240, 2013.

[19]L. Nathans, F. Oswald , K. Nimon, «Interpreting Multiple Linear Regression: A Guidebook of Variable,» Practical Assessment, Research, and Evaluation, vol. 17, nº 0, pp. 1-19, Abril 2012.

[20]M. Tranmer, J. Murphy, M. Elliot and M. Pampaka, «"Multiple Linear Regression (2nd Edition)",» enero 2020. [En línea]. Disponible: https://hummedia.manchester.ac.uk/institutes/cmist/a.

[21]Revista de Ciencias Sociales, «Universidad de Costa Rica,» vol. IV, nº 94, 2001.

[22]A. Mehdi Riazi, G. Hessameddin Ghanbar and B. Fazel c, «"The contexts, theoretical and methodological orientation of EAP research: Evidence from empirical articles published in the Journal of English for Academic Purposes",» Journal of English for Academic Purposes, vol. 48, p. 100925, 2020.

[23]GAD Virgen De Fatima, «"Plan De Desarrollo Y Ordenamiento Territorial",» virgen de Fatima - Ecuador, 2015.

[24]E. Montero Rojas, «Educación e ingreso como predictores de la esperanzade vida: evidencias de un análisis de regresión aplicadoa indicadores de desarrollo humano,» Ciencias Sociales, pp. 51-60, 2001.

[25]K. Bennett, M. Foreman, & Ezzati, «Esperanza de vida futura en 35 países industrializados: proyecciones con un conjunto de modelos bayesianos,» The Lancet, vol. 385, nº 10076, pp. 1323-1335, 2017.