bluuebunny/crossref_metadata_2025 huggingface dataset:
The Impact of Anthropogenic Forcing and Natural Processes on Past, Present, and Future Rainfall over Victoria, Australia
Authors: Rauniyar Surendra P. , Power Scott B.
Published: August 2020

Cool-season (April to October) rainfall dominates the annual average rainfall over Victoria, Australia, and is important for agriculture and replenishing reservoirs. Rainfall during the cool season has been unusually low since the beginning of the Millennium Drought in 1997 (~12% below the twentieth-century average). In this study, 24 CMIP5 climate models are used to estimate 1) the extent to which this drying is driven by external forcing and 2) future rainfall, taking both external forcing and internal natural climate variability into account. All models have preindustrial, historical, and twenty-first-century (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5) simulations. It is found that rainfall in the past two decades is below the preindustrial average in two-thirds or more of model simulations. However, the magnitude of the multimodel median externally forced drying is equivalent to only 20% of the observed drying (interquartile range of 40% to −4%), suggesting that the drying is dominated by internally generated rainfall variability. Underestimation of internal variability of rainfall by the models, however, increases the uncertainties in these estimates. According to models the anthropogenically forced drying becomes dominant from 2010 to 2029, when drying is evident in over 90% of the model simulations. For the 2018–37 period, it is found that there is only a ~12% chance that internal rainfall variability could completely offset the anthropogenically forced drying. By the late twenty-first century, the anthropogenically forced drying under RCP8.5 is so large that internal variability appears too small to be able to offset it. Confidence in the projections is lowered because models have difficulty in simulating the magnitude of the observed decline in rainfall.
The Boreal Winter El Niño Precipitation Response over North America: Insights into Why January Is More Difficult to Predict Than February
Authors: Lim Young-Kwon , Schubert Siegfried D. , Chang Yehui , Wang Hailan
Published: August 2020

This study examines the within-season monthly variation of the El Niño response over North America during December–March using the NASA/GEOS model. In agreement with previous studies, the skill of 1-month-lead GEOS coupled model forecasts of precipitation over North America is largest (smallest) for February (January), with similar results in uncoupled mode. A key finding is that the relatively poor January skill is the result of the model placing the main circulation anomaly over the northeast Pacific slightly to the west of the observed, resulting in precipitation anomalies that lie off the coast instead of over land as observed. In contrast, during February the observed circulation anomaly over the northeast Pacific shifts westward, lining up with the predicted anomaly, which is essentially unchanged from January, resulting in both the observed and predicted precipitation anomalies remaining off the coast. Furthermore, the largest precipitation anomalies occur along the southern tier of states associated with an eastward extended jet—something that the models capture reasonably well. Simulations with a stationary wave model indicate that the placement of January El Niño response to the west of the observed over the northeast Pacific is the result of biases in the January climatological stationary waves, rather than errors in the tropical Pacific El Niño heating anomalies in January. Furthermore, evidence is provided that the relatively poor simulation of the observed January climatology, characterized by a strengthened North Pacific jet and enhanced ridge over western North America, can be traced back to biases in the January climatology heating over the Tibet region and the tropical western Pacific.
Warming Patterns Affect El Niño Diversity in CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models
Authors: Freund Mandy B. , Brown Josephine R. , Henley Benjamin J. , Karoly David J. , Brown Jaclyn N.
Published: August 2020

Given the consequences and global significance of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events it is essential to understand the representation of El Niño diversity in climate models for the present day and the future. In recent decades, El Niño events have occurred more frequently in the central Pacific (CP). Eastern Pacific (EP) El Niño events have increased in intensity. However, the processes and future implications of these observed changes in El Niño are not well understood. Here, the frequency and intensity of El Niño events are assessed in models from phases 5 and 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5 and CMIP6), and results are compared to extended instrumental and multicentury paleoclimate records. Future changes of El Niño are stronger for CP events than for EP events and differ between models. Models with a projected La Niña–like mean-state warming pattern show a tendency toward more EP but fewer CP events compared to models with an El Niño–like warming pattern. Among the models with more El Niño–like warming, differences in future El Niño can be partially explained by Pacific decadal variability (PDV). During positive PDV phases, more El Niño events occur, so future frequency changes are mainly determined by projected changes during positive PDV phases. Similarly, the intensity of El Niño is strongest during positive PDV phases. Future changes to El Niño may thus depend on both mean-state warming and decadal-scale natural variability.
Freeze–Thaw Changes of Seasonally Frozen Ground on the Tibetan Plateau from 1960 to 2014
Authors: Luo Siqiong , Wang Jingyuan , Pomeroy John W. , Lyu Shihua
Published: August 2020

The freeze–thaw changes of seasonally frozen ground (SFG) are an important indicator of climate change. Based on observed daily freeze depth of SFG from meteorological stations on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) from 1960 to 2014, the spatial–temporal characteristics and trends in SFG were analyzed, and the relationships between them and climatic and geographical factors were explored. Freeze–thaw changes of SFG on a regional scale were assessed by multiple regression functions. Results showed multiyear mean maximum freeze depth, freeze–thaw duration, freeze start date, and thaw end date that demonstrate obvious distribution characteristics of climatic zones. A decreasing trend in maximum freeze depth and freeze–thaw duration occurred on the TP from 1960 to 2014. The freeze start date has been later, and the thaw end date has been significantly earlier. The freeze–thaw changes of SFG significantly affected by soil hydrothermal conditions on the TP could be assessed by elevation and latitude or by air temperature and precipitation, due to their high correlations. The regional average of maximum freeze depth and freeze–thaw duration caused by climatic and geographical factors were larger than those averaged using meteorological station data because most stations are located at lower altitudes. Maximum freeze depth and freeze–thaw duration have decreased sharply since 2000 on the entire TP. Warming and wetting conditions of the soil resulted in a significant decrease in maximum freeze depth and freeze–thaw duration in the most area of the TP, while drying soil results in a slight increase of them in the southeast of the TP.
Uncertainties in Ocean Latent Heat Flux Variations over Recent Decades in Satellite-Based Estimates and Reduced Observation Reanalyses
Authors: Robertson Franklin R. , Roberts Jason B. , Bosilovich Michael G. , Bentamy Abderrahim , Clayson Carol Anne , Fennig Karsten , Schröder Marc , Tomita Hiroyuki , Compo Gilbert P. , Gutenstein Marloes , Hersbach Hans , Kobayashi Chiaki , Ricciardulli Lucrezia , Sardeshmukh Prashant , Slivinski Laura C.
Published: August 2020

Four state-of-the-art satellite-based estimates of ocean surface latent heat fluxes (LHFs) extending over three decades are analyzed, focusing on the interannual variability and trends of near-global averages and regional patterns. Detailed intercomparisons are made with other datasets including 1) reduced observation reanalyses (RedObs) whose exclusion of satellite data renders them an important independent diagnostic tool; 2) a moisture budget residual LHF estimate using reanalysis moisture transport, atmospheric storage, and satellite precipitation; 3) the ECMWF Reanalysis 5 (ERA5); 4) Remote Sensing Systems (RSS) single-sensor passive microwave and scatterometer wind speed retrievals; and 5) several sea surface temperature (SST) datasets. Large disparities remain in near-global satellite LHF trends and their regional expression over the 1990–2010 period, during which time the interdecadal Pacific oscillation changed sign. The budget residual diagnostics support the smaller RedObs LHF trends. The satellites, ERA5, and RedObs are reasonably consistent in identifying contributions by the 10-m wind speed variations to the LHF trend patterns. However, contributions by the near-surface vertical humidity gradient from satellites and ERA5 trend upward in time with respect to the RedObs ensemble and show less agreement in trend patterns. Problems with wind speed retrievals from Special Sensor Microwave Imager/Sounder satellite sensors, excessive upward trends in trends in Optimal Interpolation Sea Surface Temperature (OISST AVHRR-Only) data used in most satellite LHF estimates, and uncertainties associated with poor satellite coverage before the mid-1990s are noted. Possibly erroneous trends are also identified in ERA5 LHF associated with the onset of scatterometer wind data assimilation in the early 1990s.
Observed Temperature Changes in the Troposphere and Stratosphere from 1979 to 2018
Authors: Steiner A. K. , Ladstädter F. , Randel W. J. , Maycock A. C. , Fu Q. , Claud C. , Gleisner H. , Haimberger L. , Ho S.-P. , Keckhut P. , Leblanc T. , Mears C. , Polvani L. M. , Santer B. D. , Schmidt T. , Sofieva V. , Wing R. , Zou C.-Z.
Published: August 2020

Temperature observations of the upper-air atmosphere are now available for more than 40 years from both ground- and satellite-based observing systems. Recent years have seen substantial improvements in reducing long-standing discrepancies among datasets through major reprocessing efforts. The advent of radio occultation (RO) observations in 2001 has led to further improvements in vertically resolved temperature measurements, enabling a detailed analysis of upper-troposphere/lower-stratosphere trends. This paper presents the current state of atmospheric temperature trends from the latest available observational records. We analyze observations from merged operational satellite measurements, radiosondes, lidars, and RO, spanning a vertical range from the lower troposphere to the upper stratosphere. The focus is on assessing climate trends and on identifying the degree of consistency among the observational systems. The results show a robust cooling of the stratosphere of about 1–3 K, and a robust warming of the troposphere of about 0.6–0.8 K over the last four decades (1979–2018). Consistent results are found between the satellite-based layer-average temperatures and vertically resolved radiosonde records. The overall latitude–altitude trend patterns are consistent between RO and radiosonde records. Significant warming of the troposphere is evident in the RO measurements available after 2001, with trends of 0.25–0.35 K per decade. Amplified warming in the tropical upper-troposphere compared to surface trends for 2002–18 is found based on RO and radiosonde records, in approximate agreement with moist adiabatic lapse rate theory. The consistency of trend results from the latest upper-air datasets will help to improve understanding of climate changes and their drivers.
Dramatic Weakening of the Tropical Easterly Jet Projected by CMIP6 Models
Authors: Huang Sihua , Wang Bin , Wen Zhiping
Published: August 2020

The upper-level tropical easterly jet (TEJ) is a crucial component of the summer monsoon system and tropical general circulation. The simulation and projection of the TEJ, however, have not been assessed. Here we evaluate models’ fidelity and assess the future change of the TEJ by utilizing 16 models that participated in phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). Most of the models can reproduce the TEJ reasonably well in terms of climatology, seasonal evolution, and interannual variability. Nevertheless, underestimation of the TEJ’s intensity and extent is identified, with the maximum bias occurring in the jet centers over the tropical Indian Ocean (IO) and the tropical eastern Pacific (EP). Under the shared socioeconomic pathway 5–8.5, the multimodel ensemble projects a remarkable reduction in the central TEJ intensity by about 18% over the IO and 77% over the EP toward the end of the twenty-first century. The mean intensity of TEJ will weaken by about 11%, and the extent will reduce by 6%, suggesting a significantly weakened upper-level monsoon circulation in the future climate. The projected El Niño–like warming pattern over the tropical Pacific may play a critical role in the future weakening of the TEJ via inducing suppressed rainfall over the tropical eastern IO and Central America. The model uncertainties in the projected TEJ changes may arise from the uncertainties in the models’ projected tropical EP warming. The sensitivity of future projections to model selection is also examined. Results show that the selection of models based on different physical considerations does not yield a significantly different projection.
Plant Physiology Increases the Magnitude and Spread of the Transient Climate Response to CO2 in CMIP6 Earth System Models
Authors: Zarakas Claire M. , Swann Abigail L. S. , Laguë Marysa M. , Armour Kyle C. , Randerson James T.
Published: August 2020

Increasing concentrations of CO2 in the atmosphere influence climate both through CO2’s role as a greenhouse gas and through its impact on plants. Plants respond to atmospheric CO2 concentrations in several ways that can alter surface energy and water fluxes and thus surface climate, including changes in stomatal conductance, water use, and canopy leaf area. These plant physiological responses are already embedded in most Earth system models, and a robust literature demonstrates that they can affect global-scale temperature. However, the physiological contribution to transient warming has yet to be assessed systematically in Earth system models. Here this gap is addressed using carbon cycle simulations from phases 5 and 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) to isolate the radiative and physiological contributions to the transient climate response (TCR), which is defined as the change in globally averaged near-surface air temperature during the 20-yr window centered on the time of CO2 doubling relative to preindustrial CO2 concentrations. In CMIP6 models, the physiological effect contributes 0.12°C (σ: 0.09°C; range: 0.02°–0.29°C) of warming to the TCR, corresponding to 6.1% of the full TCR (σ: 3.8%; range: 1.4%–13.9%). Moreover, variation in the physiological contribution to the TCR across models contributes disproportionately more to the intermodel spread of TCR estimates than it does to the mean. The largest contribution of plant physiology to CO2-forced warming—and the intermodel spread in warming—occurs over land, especially in forested regions.
Possible Influence of Tropical Indian Ocean Sea Surface Temperature on the Proportion of Rapidly Intensifying Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones during the Extended Boreal Summer
Authors: Gao Jun , Zhao Haikun , Klotzbach Philip J. , Wang Chao , Raga Graciela B. , Chen Shaohua
Published: August 2020

This study examines the possible impact of tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) on the proportion of rapidly intensifying tropical cyclones (PRITC) over the western North Pacific (WNP) during the extended boreal summer (July–November). There is a robust interannual association (r= 0.46) between TIO SSTAs and WNP PRITC during 1979–2018. Composite analyses between years with warm and cold TIO SSTAs confirm a significant impact of TIO SSTA on WNP PRITC, with PRITC over the WNP basin being 50% during years with warm TIO SSTAs and 37% during years with cold TIO SSTAs. Tropical cyclone heat potential appears to be one of the most important factors in modulating the interannual change of PRITC over the WNP with a secondary role from midlevel moisture changes. Interannual changes in these large-scale factors respond to SSTA differences characterized by a tropics-wide warming, implying a possible global warming amplification on WNP PRITC. The possible footprint of global warming amplification of the TIO is deduced from 1) a significant correlation between TIO SSTAs and global mean SST (GMSST) and a significant linear increasing trend of GMSST and TIO SSTAs, and 2) an accompanying small difference of PRITC (~8%) between years with detrended warm and cold TIO SSTAs compared to the difference of PRITC (~13%) between years with nondetrended warm and cold TIO SSTAs. Global warming may contribute to increased TCHP, which is favorable for rapid intensification, but increased vertical wind shear is unfavorable for TC genesis, thus amplifying WNP PRITC.
Future Changes and Controlling Factors of the Eight Regional Monsoons Projected by CMIP6 Models
Authors: Jin Chunhan , Wang Bin , Liu Jian
Published: August 2020

An accurate prediction of land monsoon precipitation (LMP) is critical for the sustainable future of the planet as it provides water resources for more than two-thirds of the global population. Here, we show that the ensemble mean of 24 CMIP6 (phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project) models projects that, under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2–4.5 (SSP2–4.5) scenario, summer LMP will very likely increase in South Asia (~4.1% °C−1), likely increase in East Asia (~4.6% °C−1) and northern Africa (~2.9% °C−1), and likely decrease in North America (~−2.3% °C−1). The annual mean LMP in three Southern Hemisphere monsoon regions will likely remain unchanged due to significantly decreased winter precipitation. Regional mean LMP changes are dominated by the change in upward moisture transport with moderate contribution from evaporation and can be approximated by the changes of the product of the midtropospheric ascent and 850-hPa specific humidity. Greenhouse gas (GHG)-induced thermodynamic effects increase moisture content and stabilize the atmosphere, tending to offset each other. The spatially uniform increase of humidity cannot explain markedly different regional LMP changes. Intermodel spread analysis demonstrates that the GHG-induced circulation changes (dynamic effects) are primarily responsible for the regional differences. The GHGs induce a warm land–cool ocean pattern that strengthens the Asian monsoon, and a warm North Atlantic and Sahara that enhances the northern African monsoon, as well as an equatorial central Pacific warming that weakens the North American monsoon. CMIP6 models generally capture realistic monsoon rainfall climatology, but commonly overproduce summer rainfall variability. The models’ biases in projected regional SST and land–sea thermal contrast likely contribute to the models’ uncertainties in the projected monsoon rainfall changes.
Recent Intensified Runoff Variability in the Hailar River Basin during the Past Two Centuries
Authors: Li Junxia , Bai Xueping , Jin Yuting , Song Fangbo , Chen Zhenju , Cai Lixin , Zou Fenghua , Jiang Mengzhu , Yun Ruixin , Lv Zhaoyang
Published: August 2020

Using tree-ring data of Pinus sylvestris var. mongolica from the Hulun Buir region in northeast China, 12 annual runoff series of the Hailar River spanning the past 202–216 years were established for the first time; these included 11 branches and one for the entire basin. These reconstructions, which could explain 29.4%–52.7% of the total variance for the measured runoffs during 1956–2006, performed well in statistical verification tests. In the whole basin’s reconstruction of 212 years, 34 extreme drought years (16.0%) and 41 extreme pluvial years (19.3%) were identified; 4 of the 10 most extreme years occurred after 1980. The consistent cycle and correlation revealed that the Hailar runoff had a teleconnection with the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The sharply increasing variance at the end of the reconstruction, accompanied by the increasing intensity of short cycles (4–8 years), indicated that runoff variability in the Hailar River basin has enhanced in the late twentieth century. This is verified by the drastic fluctuations in water level and area of rivers and lakes, and the frequent shift of natural land cover types in the Hulun Buir area in recent decades. The intensified runoff variability can be connected with the concurrently enhanced ENSO activity. Our study is the first to identify the intensification of recent runoff variability in the semiarid to arid region in northeast China from a long-term perspective. With projected enhancement of ENSO activity, the Hailar River basin will face the increased risk of extreme hydrological events.
Observations of Flow Separation and Mixing around the Northern Palau Island/Ridge
Authors: Wijesekera Hemantha W. , Wesson Joel C. , Wang David W. , Teague William J. , Hallock Z. R.
Published: August 2020

Turbulent mixing adjacent to the Velasco Reef and Kyushu–Palau Ridge, off northern Palau in the western equatorial Pacific Ocean, is examined using shipboard and moored observations. The study focuses on a 9-day-long, ship-based microstructure and velocity survey, conducted in November–December 2016. Several sections (9–15 km in length) of microstructure, hydrographic, and velocity fields were acquired over and around the reef, where water depths ranged from 50 to 3000 m. Microstructure profiles were collected while steaming slowly either toward or away from the reef, and underway current surveys were conducted along quasi-rectangular boxes with side lengths of 5–10 km. Near the reef, both tidal and subtidal motions were important, while subtidal motions were stronger away from the reef. Vertical shears of currents and mixing were stronger on the northern and eastern flanks of the reef than on the western flanks. High turbulent kinetic energy dissipation rates, 10−6–10−4W kg−1, and large values of eddy diffusivities, 10−4–10−2m2s−1, with strong turbulent heat fluxes, 100–500 W m−2, were found. Currents flowing along the eastern side separated at the northern tip of the reef and generated submesoscale cyclonic vorticity of about 2–4 times the planetary vorticity. The analysis suggests that a torque, imparted by the turbulent bottom stress, generated the cyclonic vorticity at the northern boundary. The northern reef is associated with high vertical transports resulting from both submesoscale flow convergences and energetic mixing. Even though the area around Palau represents a small footprint of the ocean, vertical velocities and mixing rates are several orders magnitude larger than in the open ocean.
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and the Cabbeling Effect
Authors: Schloesser Fabian
Published: August 2020

North Atlantic meridional density gradients have been identified as a main driver of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC). Due to the cabbeling effect, these density gradients are increasingly dominated by temperature gradients in a warming ocean, and a direct link exists between North Atlantic mean temperature and AMOC strength. This paper quantifies the impact of this mechanism in the Stommel and Gnanadesikan models. Owing to different feedback mechanisms being included, a 1°C warming of North Atlantic mean ocean temperature strengthens the AMOC by 3% in the Gnanadesikan model and 8% in the Stommel model. In the Gnanadesikan model that increase is equivalent to a 4% strengthening of Southern Hemisphere winds and can compensate for a 14% increase in the hydrological cycle. Furthermore, mean temperature strongly controls a freshwater forcing threshold for the strong AMOC state, suggesting that the cabbeling effect needs to be considered to explain past and future AMOC variability.
IR, the Critic, and the World: From Reifying the Discipline to Decolonising the University
Authors: Kamola Isaac
Published: August 2020

Why does IR scholarship seem so resistant to travel into other disciplinary spaces? To answer this question, I look at the tendency for scholars within our discipline to talk to the discipline, about the discipline, and for the discipline. We obsess over ‘IR’ and, in doing so, reify IR as a thing. I turn towards Edward Said’s arguments about the worldliness of texts, and how reification shapes how ideas travel. I then provide two illustrations of how scholars have reified IR as a thing: Robert Cox’s approach to critical theory and Amitav Acharya’s call for a ‘Global IR’. In both cases, contrary to expectation, the authors reify IR as a thing, portraying the discipline as distinct from the world. IR is treated as something with agency, ignoring how disciplinary knowledge is produced within worldly institutions. I conclude by looking at three strategies for studying worldly relations in ways that refuse to reify the discipline: showing disloyalty to the discipline, engaging the political economy of higher education, and seeking to decolonise the university. Rather than reifying IR, these strategies help us to engage our scholarly work in a way that prioritises worldly critical engagements within our disciplinary community, and the world.
Age Effect on Incidence, Physical, and Psychiatric Comorbidity for Sudden Cardiac Death in Schizophrenia: Effet de l’âge sur l’incidence, la comorbidité physique et psychiatrique de la mort cardiaque subite dans la schizophrénie
Authors: Chen Pao-Huan , Tsai Shang-Ying , Pan Chun-Hung , Chang Hu-Ming , Chen Yi-Lung , Su Sheng-Siang , Chen Chiao-Chicy , Kuo Chian-Jue
Published: August 2020

Objective:

The pathogenesis of sudden cardiac death may differ between younger and older adults in schizophrenia, but evidence remains scant. This study investigated the age effect on the incidence and risk of the physical and psychiatric comorbidity for sudden cardiac death.

Methods:

Using 2000 to 2016 data from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database and Department of Health Death Certification System, we identified a national cohort of 170,322 patients with schizophrenia, 1,836 of whom had a sudden cardiac death. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were estimated. Hazard ratios and population attributable fractions of distinctive comorbidities for sudden cardiac death were assessed.

Results:

The SMRs of sudden cardiac death were all >1.00 across each age group for both sexes, with the highest SMR in male patients aged <35 years (30.88, 95% CI: 26.18–36.18). The fractions of sudden cardiac death attributable to hypertension and congestive heart failure noticeably increased with age. By contrast, the fraction attributable to drug-induced mental disorder decreased with age. Additionally, chronic hepatic disease and sleep disorder increased the risk of sudden cardiac death in patients aged <35 years. Dementia and organic mental disorder elevated the risk in patients aged between 35–54 years. Ischemic heart disease raised the risk in patients aged ≥55 years.

Conclusions:

The risk is increased across the lifespan in schizophrenia, particularly for younger male patients. Furthermore, physical and psychiatric comorbidities have age-dependent risks. The findings suggest that prevention strategies targeted toward sudden cardiac death in patients with schizophrenia must consider the age effect.
A Comparison of Solo and Pair Programming in Terms of Flow Experience, Coding Quality, and Coding Achievement
Authors: Demir Ömer , Seferoglu Süleyman Sadi
Published: August 2020

Cooperative learning manifests itself as pair programming in coding education. There is a limited number of studies experimentally demonstrating that pair programming is effective in the educational context. Therefore, in this study, solo and pair programming were compared in terms of flow experience, coding quality, and coding achievement. The method used in this study is a pretest-posttest quasi-experimental design. The study group consists of 42 volunteer senior university students (28 males, 14 females). While solo programming was performed in the control group, pair programming was performed in the experimental group. It was concluded that the flow experience of the experimental group was higher than that of the control group in four weeks of the six-week implementation, whereas the coding quality of the experimental group was higher in three weeks. No difference was found in the other weeks in terms of both flow experience and coding quality. Although the coding achievement of both the control and experimental groups increased in the study, the experimental group did not exhibit better performance in terms of coding achievement. In conclusion, since it was revealed in this study that pair programming is effective, it is recommended to use pair programming more frequently in educational settings.
Examining the Relationships Between Childhood Exposure to Intimate Partner Violence, the Dark Tetrad of Personality, and Violence Perpetration in Adulthood
Authors: Plouffe Rachel A. , Wilson Claire A. , Saklofske Donald H.
Published: August 2020

Intimate partner violence (IPV) is a major international public health concern that poses significant mental and physical health risks for affected individuals. To improve prevention efforts, it is imperative that researchers and government bodies understand risk factors for IPV. One such risk factor concerns the extent to which violence is intergenerational, such that exposure to violence predisposes individuals to engage in violence toward intimate partners. The purpose of this research is to assess childhood exposure to violence as a risk factor for perpetration of IPV in adulthood, and to evaluate the Dark Tetrad personality traits as mediators in this relationship. We recruited 153 men and 246 women (age range = 18–73, Mage = 33.50, SDage = 10.26) through Amazon’s Mechanical Turk to complete a series of questionnaires and an open-ended IPV perpetration assessment. Results showed no relationship between IPV perpetration and childhood IPV exposure, indicating that mediation analyses were not possible. Possible explanations are discussed. Follow-up exploratory analyses demonstrated that gender moderated the relationships between childhood IPV exposure and levels of Factor 1 psychopathy and Machiavellianism. Specifically, men who were exposed to IPV in childhood were more likely to develop higher levels of Factor 1 psychopathy and Machiavellianism, whereas women were not. Overall, our findings highlight the importance of providing researchers and clinicians with a greater understanding of environmental events preceding maladaptive trait development. It is also important for researchers and clinicians to consider gender differences in pathways between exposure to IPV and subsequent development of dark personality traits. Theoretical and practical implications are discussed.
Aerodynamic performance of a small-scale tilt rotor: Numerical simulation and experiment in steady state
Authors: Yang Haitao , Xia Wei , Wang Kun , Hu Shuling
Published: August 2020

The present work studies the aerodynamic performance of a small-scale rotor in tilting transition states through wind tunnel tests and numerical simulations. Firstly, the test platform for the rotor aerodynamics is built up, and the Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) model of flow field around the rotors is established based on the multiple reference frame method. Secondly, the effects of flow velocity, tilt angle and advance ratio on the aerodynamic performance of the rotor are investigated using both the numerical simulation and the wind tunnel test. It is found that for the Model 8038 rotor with maximum effeciency of 0.567 at advance ratio of 0.43, the rotor thrust coefficient increases with the increase of the Reynolds number. At Reynolds number of 410 thousand to 820 thousand, the thrust coefficient increases slightly with the increase of the rotating speed. The results also show that the thrust coefficient decreases with the increase of the advance ratio. With high-speed airflow and relatively low-speed rotation, “windmill” phenomenon is found in the experiment. The tilting of the rotor from level flight to hovering increases the thrust coefficient. Highly dependency of the tilt angle on the thrust coefficients at given advance ratios is found in the wind tunnel tests.
Teleconnections between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and eastern China summer precipitation during the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age
Authors: Zhou Xuecheng , Lang Xianmei , Jiang Dabang
Published: August 2020

The teleconnection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and eastern China summer precipitation (ECSP) for the modern period has been emphasized in the past few decades. We test its stability during the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA) and Little Ice Age (LIA) based on the composite results of the median of six models under the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project Phase3 (PMIP3) framework. During the MCA, ECSP generally increases in positive AMO phases relative to negative phases, similar to the modern teleconnection, while during the LIA, the precipitation tends to reduce over eastern China, especially in the Yangtze River basin. Decomposing the precipitation change on the basis of a diagnostic moisture budget manifests that the different AMO-related precipitation changes stem from distinct effects of circulation-induced moisture convergence during the two periods. Compared with negative AMO phases, positive AMO phases during the MCA show an anomalous lower-level cyclone and upper-level anticyclone over eastern China that facilitate the upward motion anomaly and precipitation excess. During the LIA, a barotropic anticyclone centers in Northeast China and weakens the high-level westerlies over eastern China; this favors descending and upper-level divergence anomalies and leads to precipitation decreases. The distinct convergence changes are determined by differing propagation paths of the AMO-induced teleconnection wave train during the two periods.
Eye-selfie to resolve the enigmatic diagnosis of transient “eye spot”
Authors: Iacono Pierluigi , Saviano Sandro , Parravano Mariacristina , Varano Monica , Battaglia Parodi Maurizio
Published: August 2020

Purpose:

To describe two cases of Cobb’s tufts in apparently healthy subjects.

Methods:

Observational case series.

Results:

Two patients reporting sudden vision loss, with subsequent complete recovery, underwent a complete ophthalmological examination, including iris fluorescein angiography. Both patients took an “eye-selfie” using their smartphone to provide evidence of the iris bleeding. Iris fluorescein angiography confirmed the presence of iris neovascular tufts at the pupillary margin.

Conclusion:

Diagnosis of Cobb’s tufts can frequently be challenging. The two patients’ astute action in taking photographs of the eye enabled the condition to be promptly identified.
Towards machine learning for architectural fabrication in the age of industry 4.0
Authors: Ramsgaard Thomsen Mette , Nicholas Paul , Tamke Martin , Gatz Sebastian , Sinke Yuliya , Rossi Gabriella
Published: August 2020

Machine Learning (ML) is opening new perspectives for architectural fabrication, as it holds the potential for the profession to shortcut the currently tedious and costly setup of digital integrated design to fabrication workflows and make these more adaptable. To establish and alter these workflows rapidly becomes a main concern with the advent of Industry 4.0 in building industry. In this article we present two projects, which presents how ML can lead to radical changes in generation of fabrication data and linking these directly to design intent. We investigate two different moments of implementation: linking performance to the generation of fabrication data (KnitCone) and integrating the ability to adapt fabrication data in realtime as response to fabrication processes (Neural-Network Steered Robotic Fabrication). Together they examine how models can employ design information as training data and be trained to by step processes within the digital chain. We detail the advantages and limitations of each experiment, we reflect on core questions and perspectives of ML for architectural fabrication: the nature of data to be used, the capacity of these algorithms to encode complexity and generalize results, their task-specificness versus their adaptability and the tradeoffs of using them with respect to conventional explicit analytical modelling.
Protein Kinase D 1 Predicts Poor Treatment Response and Unfavorable Survival of Bortezomib-Based Treatment, and Its Knockdown Enhances Drug Sensitivity to Bortezomib in Multiple Myeloma
Authors: Li Xuesong , Yang Ying , Yi Xue
Published: August 2020

Objective:

The present study aimed to explore the correlation of protein kinase D 1 with prognosis in bortezomib-treated multiple myeloma patients and further investigate the effect of protein kinase D 1 knockdown on drug sensitivity to bortezomib in multiple myeloma cells.

Methods:

Totally, 104 de novo symptomatic multiple myeloma patients treated with bortezomib-based regimens and 30 healthy controls were recruited. Bone marrow mononuclear cells–derived plasma cells were collected from multiple myeloma patients before initial treatment and from healthy controls on the bone marrow donation, respectively, then protein kinase D 1 protein/messenger RNA expressions were detected by Western blot and reverse transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction, respectively. The effect of protein kinase D 1 knockdown on drug sensitivity to bortezomib was detected by transfecting protein kinase D 1 knockdown plasmid and control plasmid into RPMI8226 and U266 cells.

Results:

Protein kinase D 1 protein/messenger RNA expressions were both upregulated in multiple myeloma patients compared with healthy controls and presented good value in differentiating multiple myeloma patients from healthy controls. Furthermore, protein kinase D 1 protein/messenger RNA expressions were both associated with high International Staging System stage and t (4; 14). Furthermore, both complete response rate and overall response rate were reduced in protein kinase D 1 high patients compared with protein kinase D 1 low patients; similarly, progression-free survival and overall survival were both decreased in protein kinase D 1 high patients compared with protein kinase D 1 low patients. In addition, in RPMI8226 and U266 multiple myeloma cells, protein kinase D 1 knockdown increased drug sensitivity to bortezomib.

Conclusion:

Protein kinase D 1 has the potential to predict poor treatment response and unfavorable survival of bortezomib-based treatment in multiple myeloma patients, and its knockdown enhanced drug sensitivity to bortezomib in multiple myeloma cells.
How Shared Leadership in Entrepreneurial Teams Influences New Venture Performance: A Moderated Mediation Model
Authors: Chen Zhicheng , Chen Zhi , Yu Yunjiang , Huang Shenglan
Published: August 2020

While there is a burgeoning trend to recognize leadership as an important enabler of new venture development and growth, scant research has explored the performance mechanisms of shared leadership in the entrepreneurial context. Based on the information processing perspective, we propose a moderated mediation model to examine how shared leadership in entrepreneurial teams advance new venture performance by identifying team reflexivity as a pivotal mediator and team boundary spanning as a crucial contingency. The data set from a cross-industry sample of 94 entrepreneurial teams indicated that shared leadership exerts a positive indirect influence on new venture performance via team reflexivity; and team boundary spanning moderates such indirect influence. Finally, how our findings contribute to the entrepreneurship, leadership, team research, and managerial practice are discussed.
Can Diffuse Idiopathic Skeletal Hyperostosis Be Diagnosed by Plain Lumbar Spine X-Ray Findings Alone?
Authors: Misaki Hiroshi , Morino Tadao , Hino Masayuki , Murakami Yusuke , Imai Hiroshi , Miura Hiromasa
Published: August 2020

Study Design:

Retrospective case-control study

Objectives:

To determine whether diffuse idiopathic skeletal hyperostosis (DISH) can be diagnosed based on anterior longitudinal ligamental ossification in the lumbar spine using plain lumbar spine X-ray images.

Methods:

This study included 100 patients (59 men and 41 women; mean age, 64.8 ± 13.8 years; range, 27-89 years) who underwent computed tomography (CT) of the chest to the pelvis in our hospital and plain lumbar spine radiography within 6 months before and after CT scanning. DISH was diagnosed based on the thoracolumbar spine CT findings using Resnick’s diagnostic criteria. The patients were grouped according to DISH diagnosis into the DISH (+) and DISH (−) groups. On the frontal and lateral lumbar spine X-ray images, each spinal level from Th11/12 to L5/S was scored based on the Mata scoring system. The distribution of the Mata scores was compared between the 2 groups.

Results:

Forty (40%) patients were diagnosed with DISH based on the CT findings. A cutoff value ≥8 provided a sensitivity of 75% and specificity of 100% for diagnosing DISH, thus, indicating the validity of the cutoff value. In the DISH (−) group, no patient had ≥3 consecutive spinal levels with a Mata score ≥2, suggesting that DISH can be diagnosed on the basis of at least 3 consecutive spinal levels with a Mata score ≥2.

Conclusion:

On lumbar spine X-ray images of the T11/12 to L5/S levels, a Mata score ≥2 for at least 3 consecutive levels or a total score ≥8 strongly indicates the presence of DISH.
Diabetes Is Predictive of Postoperative Outcomes and Readmission Following Posterior Lumbar Fusion
Authors: Arrighi-Allisan Annie E. , Neifert Sean N. , Gal Jonathan S. , Zeldin Lawrence , Zimering Jeffrey H. , Gilligan Jeffrey T. , Deutsch Brian C. , Snyder Daniel J. , Nistal Dominic A. , Caridi John M.
Published: August 2020

Study Design:

Retrospective cohort study.

Objective:

The present study analyzes complication rates and episode-based costs for patients with and without diabetes mellitus (DM) following posterior lumbar fusion (PLF).

Methods:

PLF cases at a single institution from 2008 to 2016 were queried (n = 3226), and demographic and perioperative data were analyzed. Patients with and without the diagnosis of DM were compared using chi-square, Student’s t test, and multivariable regression modeling.

Results:

Patients with diabetes were older (63.10 vs 56.48 years, P < .001) and possessed a greater number of preoperative comorbidities (47.84% of patients had Elixhauser Comorbidity Index >0 vs 42.24%, P < .001) than did patients without diabetes. When controlling for preexisting differences, diabetes remained a significant risk factor for prolonged length of stay (OR = 1.59, 95% CI 1.26-2.01, P < .001), intensive care unit stay (OR = 1.52, 95% CI 1.07-2.17, P = .021), nonhome discharge (OR = 1.86, 95% CI 1.46-2.37, P < .001), 30-day readmission (OR = 2.15, 95% CI 1.28-3.60, P = .004), 90-day readmission (OR = 1.65, 95% CI 1.05-2.59, P = .031), 30-day emergency room visit (OR = 2.15, 95% CI 1.27-3.63, P = .004), and 90-day emergency room visit (OR = 2.27, 95% CI 1.41-3.65, P < .001). Cost modeling controlling for overall comorbidity burden demonstrated that diabetes was associated with a $1709 increase in PLF costs (CI $344-$3074, P = .014).

Conclusions:

The present findings indicate a correlation between diabetes and a multitude of postoperative adverse outcomes and increased costs, thus illustrating the substantial medical and financial burdens of diabetes for PLF patients. Future studies should explore preventive measures that may mitigate these downstream effects.
Management of thrombotic microangiopathy in pregnancy and postpartum: report from an international working group
Authors: Fakhouri Fadi , Scully Marie , Provôt François , Blasco Miquel , Coppo Paul , Noris Marina , Paizis Kathy , Kavanagh David , Pène Frédéric , Quezada Sol , Hertig Alexandre , Kissling Sébastien , O’Brien Patrick , Delmas Yahsou , Alberio Lorenzo , Winer Norbert , Veyradier Agnès , Cataland Spero , Frémeaux-Bacchi Véronique , Loirat Chantal , Remuzzi Giuseppe , Tsatsaris Vassilis
Published: August 2020

Pregnancy and postpartum are high-risk periods for different forms of thrombotic microangiopathy (TMA). However, the management of pregnancy-associated TMA remains ill defined. This report, by an international multidisciplinary working group of obstetricians, nephrologists, hematologists, intensivists, neonatologists, and complement biologists, summarizes the current knowledge of these potentially severe disorders and proposes a practical clinical approach to diagnose and manage an episode of pregnancy-associated TMA. This approach takes into account the timing of TMA in pregnancy or postpartum, coexisting symptoms, first-line laboratory workup, and probability-based assessment of possible causes of pregnancy-associated TMA. Its aims are: to rule thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura (TTP) in or out, with urgency, using ADAMTS13 activity testing; to consider alternative disorders with features of TMA (preeclampsia/eclampsia; hemolysis elevated liver enzymes low platelets syndrome; antiphospholipid syndrome); or, ultimately, to diagnose complement-mediated atypical hemolytic uremic syndrome (aHUS; a diagnosis of exclusion). Although they are rare, diagnosing TTP and aHUS associated with pregnancy, and postpartum, is paramount as both require urgent specific treatment.
Gut microbiota regulates neuropathic pain: potential mechanisms and therapeutic strategy
Authors: Lin Binbin , Wang Yuting , Zhang Piao , Yuan Yanyan , Zhang Ying , Chen Gang
Published: August 2020

Neuropathic pain (NP) is a sustained and nonreversible condition characterized by long-term devastating physical and psychological damage. Therefore, it is urgent to identify an effective treatment for NP. Unfortunately, the precise pathogenesis of NP has not been elucidated. Currently, the microbiota-gut-brain axis has drawn increasing attention, and the emerging role of gut microbiota is investigated in numerous diseases including NP. Gut microbiota is considered as a pivotal regulator in immune, neural, endocrine, and metabolic signaling pathways, which participates in forming a complex network to affect the development of NP directly or indirectly. In this review, we conclude the current understanding of preclinical and clinical findings regarding the role of gut microbiota in NP and provide a novel therapeutic method for pain relief by medication and dietary interventions.