num_pages: 174
description: What does a medical test tell us about the chances of having a particular disease?How can we tell if a spoken phrase is 'four candles or 'fork handles?How do we a perceive a three-dimensional world from from the two-dimensional images on our retinas?The short answer is Bayes rule which transforms meaningless statistics and raw data into useful information. Discovered by an 18th century mathematician and preacher Bayes' rule is a cornerstone of modern probability theory. In this richly illustrated book intuitive visual representations of real-world examples are used to show how Bayes' rule is actually a form of common sense reasoning. The tutorial style of writing combined with a comprehensive glossary makes this an ideal primer for novices who wish to gain an intuitive understanding of Bayesian analysis. As an aid to understanding online computer code (in MatLab Python and R) reproduces key numerical results and diagrams. Stones book is renowned for its visually engaging style of presentation which stems from teaching Bayes rule to psychology students for over 10 years as a university lecturer.
language: English
title: Bayes' Rule: A Tutorial Introduction to Bayesian Analysis
publisher: Tutorial Introductions