BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Reliable markers to monitor PPMS are still needed. We investigated whether conventional and DTI measures of thalamic damage are predictive of long-term disability accumulation in PPMS. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Brain conventional and DTI scans were obtained at baseline and after a mean follow-up of 15 months in 54 @entity1 with PPMS and 8 healthy controls. @entity1 were reassessed clinically after 5 years. At baseline and follow-up, measures of lesion load, @entity1010 , and NTV were obtained. @entity601 and FA histograms of the NAWM, the whole GM without the thalami, and the thalami were obtained. A multivariate analysis evaluated the predictors of long-term @entity16 . RESULTS: At follow-up, 35 @entity1 showed disability worsening. At baseline, compared with healthy controls, @entity1 with PPMS had lower NTV (P < .001) and thalamic FA (P = .002) and higher thalamic (P = .002) and whole GM without the thalami (P = .005) @entity601 . During follow-up, the change of thalamic FA was higher in PPMS versus healthy controls (P = .01). Baseline NTV and thalamic DTI quantities differed significantly between @entity1 with PPMS with and without thalamic lesions. Baseline thalamic quantities were significantly correlated with the extent of brain T2 lesions and the severity of NAWM damage. The multivariate model included average NAWM @entity601 (OR = 1.46, P = .005) and FA thalamic change (OR = 0.84, P = .02) as independent predictors of EDSS score deterioration (Nagelkerke R(2) = 0.55). CONCLUSIONS: Short-term accrual of thalamic damage and the severity of NAWM involvement predict the long-term accumulation of disability in PPMS.

XXXX predicts the evolution of primary-progressive multiple sclerosis at 5 years.

@entity1 :: ('9606', 'Species') :: ['Patients', 'patients'] @entity1010 :: ('MESH:C566985', 'Disease') :: ['brain atrophy'] @entity16 :: ('MESH:D009422', 'Disease') :: ['neurologic deterioration'] @entity601 :: ('MESH:D009436', 'Disease') :: ['MD']
@entity16 :: (MESH:D009422,Disease) :: ['Thalamic damage']
