Trends In Oxygen Saturation In Healthy Term Infants In The First Few Days Of Life: The "TOST" Study
Condition: Normative Oxygen Saturation Data Will Help us in; Discharge Planning; Describing Guidelines for Pulse Oximetry Screening; Identification of High Risk Infants
Study type: Observational

Summary: 
      Oxygen is carried in the blood attached to hemoglobin molecules. Oxygen saturation is a
      measure of how much oxygen hemoglobin is carrying as a percentage of the maximum it could
      carry. Oxygen saturation can be measured non-invasively using pulse oximetry. On occasion,
      term infants are admitted to the intensive care nursery for monitoring and show variability
      in their oxygen saturation despite appearing well. As healthy newborns do not undergo routine
      monitoring of oxygen saturation, health care team do not know the degree to which variability
      in oxygen saturation are a normal phenomenon. With increasing interest in using pulse
      oximetry as a screening tool to identify "at risk" newborns, it is important to have a clear
      understanding of postnatal oxygen saturation trends and their variability in healthy babies.

      In our study, Investigators will measure oxygen saturation on healthy newborns repeatedly and
      for extended periods. This will allow us to describe both the variability in oxygen
      saturations and the pattern of changes observed in oxygen saturations over time in healthy
      newborns. To increase our confidence that babies included in our study were healthy at birth,
      they will be followed for 8 weeks to identify indicators of perinatal disease that was missed
      clinically. Any babies subsequently identified as having significant disease will be analyzed
      separately from the main cohort of healthy babies. Furthermore, the oxygen saturation
      readings will be obscured so as not to influence caregivers inappropriately. Lastly, pulse
      oximetry measurements will be performed after discharge from hospital (on day 3 to 4),
      potentially increasing the clinical utility of this study as it has repeatedly been stated in
      the literature that the sensitivity of pulse oximetry to detect important underlying disease
      increases significantly if performed several days after birth. This study will provide
      important and novel normative data.
    

Detailed description: 
      BACKGROUND:

      The newborn period is a time of transition from the intrauterine to the extra-uterine
      environment. Arterial fetal oxygen saturation before birth are approximately 65%. Within
      minutes of delivery, and with the onset of respiration, the newborn's oxygen saturation rises
      close to normal postnatal values.

      In practice, oxygen saturation are measured continuously using a trans-cutaneous probe
      connected to a pulse oximeter. The probe illuminates the local tissue and the true oxygen
      saturation is estimated by measuring the wavelengths of light that are not absorbed. This
      method of trans-cutaneous oxygen saturation measurement (SpO2) yields an accurate estimate of
      the true oxygen saturation comparable to measurements made via co-oximetry using whole blood
      (1,2).

      Description of problem: Healthy newborns do not undergo routine monitoring of oxygen
      saturation. Hence, health care team do not know if fluctuations in oxygen saturation are a
      normal phenomenon. It is important to have a clear understanding of postnatal oxygen
      saturation trends and their variability in healthy babies to help identify infants that
      warrant further investigation or intervention, both in the neonatal intensive care unit
      (NICU) and in the "normal" newborn nursery.

      Identifying "At-Risk" Newborns:

      Studies of oxygen saturation in apparently healthy babies describe a postnatal oxygen
      saturation of 95-98% in the first few days after birth (3-5). There is a further small
      increase in SpO2 of 2 to 3% over the next 72 hours following closure of the ductus
      arteriosus. In these studies, oxygen saturation below a threshold value prompted further
      investigation and/or treatment change. One study blinded the healthcare team to the oxygen
      saturation values in only a small subset of the recruited patients (6). These studies defined
      "normal" oxygen saturation based on whether significant pathology was discovered on further
      investigation. By setting a threshold SpO2 value for determining the need for further
      investigations or interventions and selectively targeting this group, investigators
      potentially introduced bias.

      It is often difficult to clinically identify babies in the early stages of potentially
      serious diseases such as infection or critical congenital heart disease. Such babies may
      appear well for several days after birth and therefore, are discharged home before a
      diagnosis can be made. In these cases, there is a serious risk of rapid deterioration out of
      hospital resulting in the baby returning to the emergency department with subsequent
      readmission to hospital. Oxygen saturation screening before discharge home following birth
      may help in identifying well-looking babies that have a serious underlying condition. For
      these reasons, many centers are adopting a policy of performing screening SpO2 measurements
      of all newborns. A recent systematic review of pulse oximetry screening for the detection of
      critical congenital heart disease with 229421 newborns showed a sensitivity 76•5%,
      specificity of 99•9% and false-positive rate of 0•14%(7). In this review there were 748 false
      positive results, six times more than true positive tests. More importantly, 33 babies with
      critical congenital heart disease were not identified. Positive predictive value for this
      test was low (13%) because of the low prevalence of the disease and very high false positive
      rate. The high false positive rate supports a need for high quality normative saturation data
      before implementing these tests in the community. There is uncertainty in how to interpret
      such information as current policies tend to set a single cutoff SpO2 value as a threshold
      for further investigations, such as an echo-cardiogram. This may be an overly-simplistic
      approach as it does not consider normal fluctuations in oxygen saturation that investigators
      anticipate to occur in healthy newborns. Having high quality SpO2 values from healthy term
      babies as a basis for comparison may lead to more accurate identification of "at-risk"
      newborns.

      Car Seat Testing:

      Many babies admitted to the NICU undergo 90 minutes of continuous SpO2 recording while they
      are positioned in their car seat prior to discharge home. The procedure, referred to a
      car-seat testing, is meant to identify babies who are not able to tolerate the flexed body
      position that results from sitting in a car seat. The 90-minute recording is presented as a
      frequency histogram of SpO2 values so the clinician can identify babies who spend an
      excessive proportion of time with oxygen saturations that are too low. The interpretation of
      car seat testing results is largely subjective. By comparing testing results to SpO2
      histograms from healthy babies, the clinician could more objectively identify babies that
      "pass" or "fail" a car-seat test.

      Oxygen Saturation Histogram Interpretation:

      Preterm infants at 37 weeks corrected gestation who require ongoing mechanical ventilation,
      continuous positive airway pressure or oxygen delivered via nasal prongs routinely have SpO2
      frequency histograms created to help in deciding when they are ready for extubation or
      transition off of continuous positive airway pressure. Currently there is no good-quality
      SpO2 normative data to help in defining criteria for assessing SpO2 histograms to determine
      if a baby is ready to transition off of respiratory support.

      METHODS

      STUDY DESIGN: Prospective, longitudinal, observational study.

      STUDY CENTER: This study will be conducted in the city of Calgary, Alberta (altitude 1054
      meters) in the postpartum wards of 3 geographically separate hospitals: Foothills Medical
      Center, Rocky View General Hospital and Peter-Lougheed Hospital. Calgary has approximately
      18,000 births per year.

      In oxygen saturation reference studies conducted at different altitudes, postnatal oxygen
      saturations at centers below 1500 meters were not significantly different to those measured
      at sea level. Therefore, investigators expect that our results will be applicable to all
      centers below 1500 meters in altitude.

      As part of this study, Investigators are also conducting a pilot study of the same design in
      Bogota, Columbia. Bogota is at an altitude of 2625 meters. The pilot study will examine if
      patterns of oxygen saturation in healthy babies are the same at a high altitude as they are
      in Calgary (altitude 1045 meters).

      SUBJECT IDENTIFICATION & ENROLLMENT:

      Investigators will review the electronic health records for babies admitted to the labor and
      delivery wards on a daily basis to identify potential subjects. The electronic health record
      displays the age of every patient. Newborns are identified by an age of 0 days. After staff
      caring for the mother confirm her willingness to speak with us regarding our study, a local
      co-investigator will approach the mother of potential subjects to request consent for study
      enrollment. For enrolled infants, the notice of birth will have a label attached alerting the
      Public Health Nurse that the baby is part of the study. For those parents who decline to
      participate in the study, Investigators will request permission to follow up these infants
      for 8 weeks to identify ER visits and hospital admissions. Comparing the data of these
      infants with data of the other infants in the study will help us to detect bias in our
      recruitment.

      DATA TO BE COLLECTED Gestational age, age (Hours/ days of life), gender, birth weight,
      multiples, mode of delivery, Group-B streptococci status, duration of rupture of membranes,
      presence of labor, chorioamnionitis, maternal medical history & obstetrical history, maternal
      smoking, gestational diabetes, pregnancy induced hypertension, antenatal ultrasound results,
      amniocentesis/chorionic villous sampling results, Apgar scores, resuscitation details, and
      cord blood gas results will be collected from the patient's electronic and paper health
      record. Oxygen saturation data will be collected as outlined below.

      OXYGEN SATURATION MEASUREMENTS:

      Once enrolled, newborn infants will have oxygen saturations measured for 90 minutes using a
      Masimo Radical 7 pulse oximeter. This pulse oximeter was chosen because of its resistance to
      movement artifact and good performance in states of low perfusion (14,15). The pulse oximeter
      will be set for normal sensitivity with 8 second averaging time and will save data points
      every 2 seconds. One pulse oximeter probe will be placed on the right wrist (pre-ductal) and
      the other probe will be placed on either foot (post ductal) to take continuous measurements
      for 10 minutes, starting from the point at which the perfusion index, a measure of tissue
      perfusion and signal quality, is acceptable (>1.0). This initial phase of recording will
      occur under the supervision of a co-investigator in the nursery examination room with the
      baby in a quiet state to ensure acquisition of accurate readings. Each infant's state of
      alertness will be classified according to the March of Dimes' "States of the Term Newborn"
      description (16).

      The baby will be returned to the mother with one pulse oximeter still attached to the right
      wrist for completion of the 90-minute recording period. During this 80 minute period,
      investigators will record only preductal saturation as it will be inconvenient for the mother
      to have two probes attached to the infant.

      Another 15 mins of simultaneous pre and post-ductal SpO2 measurements will be performed in
      the Public Health Nurse (PHN) clinic 2-3 days after discharge by a PHN trained in the use of
      pulse oximetry.

      NEONATAL STATE:

      Neonatal state is a group of characteristic behaviors and physiological changes that recur in
      a regular pattern (17). With each neonatal state there can be changes with heart rate, blood
      flow, electroencephalographic and saturation changes (18-20) . Identification of the neonatal
      state during oxygen saturation recording may help with the interpretation of the saturation
      trends with the context of each neonatal state, and therefore, it will be controlled for in
      the analysis. To categorize the infant's state, will use the "March of Dimes" states of the
      term newborn (Ref: March of dimes)(see appendix). Even though this method has not been
      validated by comparison with electro-physiological studies, it is simple and quick to
      perform, non-invasive and does not require sophisticated equipment.

      TIMING OF RECORDINGS:

      Oximetry recordings will be performed every 12-24 hours prior to discharge during regular
      working hours, with the first recording occurring between 6 and 24 hours after birth (21).
      Recordings will not be performed prior to 6 hours of age to allow normal transition to the
      extra-uterine environment to be completed. One further SpO2 recording will be performed by
      the PHN 2 to 3 days after discharge in the Public Health Clinic. Note that, in Calgary, all
      babies are routinely followed up by Public Health within a few days of discharge.

      BLINDING:

      Pulse oximeter readings will be obscured by fastening an opaque cover over the oximeter's
      display. The perfusion index, a measure of the strength of the signal, will be left visible
      so the investigator can ensure that a good quality signal is obtained. The beat to beat tone
      function will be turned off and the high/low SpO2 alarms will be silenced as they are
      indirect indicators of the oxygen saturation. In this manner, the investigators and staff
      will be blinded to the oxygen saturation readings.

      INTER OBSERVER AGREEMENT FOR ASSESSMENT OF NEONATAL STATE (MARCH OF DIMES):

      With multiple investigators in our study, it is important to define the neonatal state
      uniformly. With this simple method of assessment, investigators expect the inter-observer
      agreement will be high. To estimate the inter-observer variability, the first 10 infants at
      each site (Total 30 infants for 3 sites) who are recruited into the study will be observed
      simultaneously by 2 investigators. Each observations will happen during the first 10 minutes
      of recordings (in the normal newborn nursery) and will be recorded independently by the
      investigators on preprinted forms.

      Inter-observer variability will be determined using nominal kappa statistics with
      bootstrapped bias corrected 95% confidence intervals. Kappa values can be classified as
      follows: below zero=poor, zero to 0.20=slight, 0.21 to 0.4=fair, 0.41 to 0.6=moderate, 0.61
      to 0.8=substantial, 0.81 to 1=almost perfect. Since the main purpose of this assessment is
      not to validate the neonatal state assessment, but to understand the degree of variability
      among the observations, investigators chose a convenience sample of 30 infants.

      DATA MANAGEMENT:

      Data is automatically recorded and stored in the pulse oximeter in real time. Prior to each
      measurement, the co-investigator or Public Health Nurse, will record the date and time on the
      pulse oximeter at the onset of SpO2 measurements. This will facilitate linking each patient
      with their oximetry data when downloading the recorded information from the pulse oximeter.

      The pulse oximeter stores 3 distinct types of data for each time point: oxygen saturation,
      heart rate and a hexadecimal code which contains information regarding the quality of the
      recording. The data will be imported from the pulse oximeter to Microsoft Excel using a
      research laptop computer running a hyper terminal program. Each oximeter can accommodate all
      of the measurements without exceeding its storage capacity. However, oximeter downloads will
      occur shortly after collection to ensure the data is safely stored in a timely manner.

      Study data will be collected and managed using REDCap(Research Electronic Data Capture), an
      online research database.1 REDCap is a secure, web-based application designed to support data
      capture for research studies, providing: 1) an intuitive interface for validated data entry;
      2) audit trails for tracking data manipulation and export procedures; 3) automated export
      procedures for seamless data downloads to common statistical packages; and 4) procedures for
      importing data from external sources(22) . Identifying information will be kept in a study
      binder and will not be entered into the REDCap database.

      FOLLOW-UP OF BABIES:

      Babies will be followed until 8 weeks of age, by reviewing their electronic health record, to
      identify those who died, required readmission to hospital or visited the emergency room. For
      these babies, investigators will review the hospital charts and electronic health records to
      identify any important diagnoses that were made. Investigators will also review any
      echo-cardiograms which were performed during the follow up period. Babies subsequently found
      to have diagnosis of congenital heart disease, respiratory illness (congenital respiratory
      disorders/ malformations), blood dyscrasia or intrauterine/perinatally acquired infection
      (based on clinical features or microbiological evidence along with individual chart review)
      will not have their data included in the nomogram. Infants with any of the above conditions
      will be analyzed separately to determine if their oxygen saturations differed from those of
      healthy babies.

      SAMPLE SIZE:

      Assuming mean oxygen saturation measurement are within a 0.25% margin of error and based on
      published estimates of standard deviations for oxygen saturation measurements in this
      population, investigators considered a standard deviation of 3.35. This will also serve to
      estimate the average coefficient of variation within such margin of error. The actual sample
      size calculation is 14. However, given our primary objective of creating a nomogram with
      percentiles of oxygen saturations, it is necessary to enroll a larger number of babies.
      Assuming a 10 to 15% drop out rate and 1-2% rate of babies excluded after discharge due to
      diagnoses of heart disease, etc, investigators plan to enroll 625 babies to achieve a final
      sample size of 500 babies.

      ANALYSIS:

      Investigators will analyze the trends in post-ductal SpO2, SpO2 variability and differences
      between pre and post-ductal oxygen saturations for this initial phase. The "R project"
      statistical computing package will be used for analyses under the supervision of one of our
      co-investigators (A Nettel-Agguire, PhD statistician). Investigators will present descriptive
      statistics for population characteristics. Categorical variables will be presented as
      proportions and 95%CI, while numerical variables will be presented as mean (Standard
      Deviation) or median (IQR) as appropriate.

      For each baby, oxygen saturation means will be calculated along with SD (Standard Deviation)
      and the coefficient of variation (SD/mean) for each time period (day 0, day 1, day 2, etc).
      Sample means of these three parameters will be calculated with corresponding confidence
      intervals.

      Investigators will calculate oxygen saturation percentiles using LMS method
      (skewness-median-coefficient of variation method) based on the individual means separately
      for each day SpO2 measurements were made.

      Investigators expect the SpO2 to remain stable over time. For assessing this, at least
      graphically, Functional data analysis (FDA) on all the full individual profiles will be
      performed. FDA creates a curve profile (via statistical penalized fitting of splines) for the
      SpO2 data with respect to time for each individual. Hence a mean profile or mean curve can be
      derived from all the subjects with their corresponding 95% confidence bands. This will be
      done separately for Day 0 and day 1, day 2, etc.

      Logistic regression will be done to assess the covariates of oxygen saturations, variability
      of oxygen saturations, gestational age, birth weight and gender for the 8-week outcomes of
      death, serious illness or hospital readmission.

      NOVELTY OF STUDY:

      This study adds to this field in the following ways:

        1. To our knowledge, this is the first study to blind the healthcare team, co-investigators
           and parents to the pulse oximeter readings for all enrolled infants. Blinding to the
           pulse oximeter readings removes a potentially important source of bias.

        2. Previous studies have provided either a single oxygen saturation value at a single point
           in time or a single oxygen saturation value at multiple time points. Investigators will
           be measuring continuous oxygen saturations on multiple occasions. This has 2 main
           potential advantages:

             1. Investigators will be able to construct SpO2 histograms of the minimum, mean,
                standard deviation and coefficient of variation from the individual observed values

             2. Performing pulse oximetry on more than one occasion will allow us to identify and
                quantify changes in oxygen saturations over time

        3. This study is unique in its definition of "healthy" which will be decided by the
           infant's well-being at 8 weeks of age. This approach will allow investigators to
           identify infants who appeared well at birth but subsequently were identified as "not
           healthy".

        4. Community oxygen saturation recording by the PHN is a novel concept of screening at a
           different time point and at a time when critical congenital heart disease is more likely
           to be detected by pulse oximetry as the ductus arteriosus normally closes within 72
           hours of birth (23). A recent systematic review showed that the false positive rate
           decreases 10 times if SpO2 measurements are made after 24 hours of age(7).

        5. Measurement of both pre and post ductal SpO2 may increase the ability to detect illness
           that is not clinically apparent (24).

      ETHICS:

      An ethics application has been submitted to the Conjoint Health Research Ethics Board.
      Informed consent will be obtained prior to enrolling babies into the study. The use of pulse
      oximetry with newborns in the NICU is routine. It is a safe procedure with no known harmful
      effects. As the routine use of pulse oximetry is not currently standard of care in the
      postpartum and labor and delivery wards, blinding the staff to the pulse oximeter readings
      does not present ethical challenges. Furthermore, blinding the healthcare staff to the SpO2
      readings may prevent potentially inappropriately changes to an infant's management based on
      SpO2 readings.
    

Observational model: Other
Time perspective: Prospective
Sampling method: Non-Probability Sample
Study population: 
        Helathy Term infants in the post partum unit .
      
Keywords: Oxygen saturation.; Term infants.; Saturation trend.; Histogram.; Public health nurse.; congenital heart disease screening.