Christian Noyer: "The Brussels agreement is sound" - interview with
Le Télégramme
Interview with Mr Christian Noyer, Governor of the Bank of France and Chairman of the
Board of Directors of the Bank for International Settlements, in Le Télégramme, published on
15 December 2011.
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Does the Brussels agreement protect the euro area over the long term?
I believe it is a sound agreement. It includes rules of governance that had been missing up
until now. Of course, we had the Stability and Growth Pact, but it was of an inadequate legal
standard, and it was not complied with as it should have been. Setting up clear rules of
governance that are sound in substance and that will be integrated into the constitutions and
organic laws of Member States is a good solution that should provide us with lasting
protection.
What would be the consequences of France losing its triple-A rating?
I do not know what rating agencies will do. What I see is that these agencies have managed,
through their criticisms, to weaken the positive sentiment that prevailed on markets after the
Brussels summit. In addition, downgrading France's credit rating does not seem justified
when considering economic fundamentals. Otherwise agencies should start by downgrading
the United Kingdom which has larger deficits, the same level of debt, more inflation and a
lower growth rate than us as well as slumping credit.
What is the legitimacy of these rating agencies?
Agencies have become totally incomprehensible and irrational. They make threats, even
though Member States have taken strong and positive decisions. Rating agencies behave as
if nothing had happened. It may seem that agencies are no longer a useful guide for
investors.
Would you say that their judgments are based on political criteria?
Indeed, in the arguments they develop, there are more political arguments than economic
ones.
Credit agencies have downgraded the ratings of three large French banks. Are our
banks undercapitalised?
No, they are very well capitalised, in particular compared to their European and
US counterparts. The importance of this downgrade should not be overstated especially
since rating agencies have recently downgraded most large banks in developed countries.
There is no doubt that the capital buffers of our banks are largely adequate in relation to
levels in the global banking system. It is true that we are asking them to enhance their
soundness in order to meet the new regulatory requirements that have been agreed at the
European and global level. Banks are doing this through their own resources and needless to
say without State aid. That is why I have no concerns about the French banking system.
Should banks' customers, companies and individuals, fear a credit crunch?
No, and the figures bear it out. French banks' lending activities remain very robust: up 8% for
mortgage lending, up 5.6% for corporate lending and up 5.1% for lending to SMEs. It is
precisely their retail banking business that makes them sound and profitable.
Is France condemned to undergo a period of prolonged austerity?
France must be extremely rigorous in the management of its public finances. A balanced
budget must rapidly be restored, which presupposes in particular a structural reduction in
government spending. Like many other countries, we have been living above our means for
too many years. We need to stop accumulating debt. Growth will return if confidence does.
And to reinstate confidence, we must guarantee that our public finances will be consolidated.