Star.
London, England, 1815-09-08 00:00:00

‘ .
March a pan of Frence.was seM to asSecisto then-'
selves for a -moment with his destinies. IL. owed
his success entirely,thitur.diideirdli which made hint
be regarded by some u witherucr, by others its an.
instrumeet ; and this instrument 'gate us much *ea.
,ter reasons for fear than,for hops.
There can. be no party.without a chief : Bonaparte
has only bed three months of a new existence, by
events which cannot
.again be renewed : all the re-
.nsains of the Bonipartasts are. thetefore; confounded
in the ra*ks of the Constitutienalistsand Republicans.
I collie. to the Factionso—lt is principally under
this polnt-of view that the situation of your Majesty
is attended with danger.
It is evident that there are two great factions in
the State a the one defends the principles of the Re-
volition, and the other aims at a counter-revolution.
The force of the two factions may be measured. In
the one there are the Nobles and the Clergy, the an.
cient possessors of national estates, the Emigrants,
the old Royalists, and all that remains of the old
Parliaments, enlighten.. 4 men, who sincerely, because
they have learned nothing for twenty-five years, can-
not comprehend how their old knowledge should be
deficient 4 a certain number also who cannot pardon
what they have abhorred, or who prefer their repose
to every thing, and have no hope' of regaining it, but
an the old regim.: ; Leidy, impassioned writers, and
individuals whom a spirit. of hatred Impels alivays to
violent measures, toestremities.
In the other party is almost the whole of France.
the Constitutionalists and the Republicans, the actual
Army and the People, all the discontented classtis,
and even a multitude of good Frenchmen, nut less
enlightened than attached to the King, but who are
convinced that every attempt of counterrevolution,
and even a simple tendency to the old regime, would
become the signal of an explosion similar to that of '
1789, and would have the same result.
It is no longer a quation of mere °Onion& One
of the two factions is in motion--hostilities com-
mence—La Vendee is organized—troops are raising
-in the Soutb, with colours which are nut even royal ;
and already bands have made, their appearance in
Lznifuedoc and Provence. They seek also to in-
fluence opinions. Even in the Capital, those who
are desirous of a counter-revolution, say so openly,
which is a manner of preparing the minds. At a
greater distance; the Iligh.floyn Royalist spteads his
doctrines, and does not dihsemble Ois projects.
The other faction, which looks on the exieution of
these projects as impossible, does not yet act. liut
will this inaction continue long t. and what WI hap.
pen if die combat Commences/
Under such grave circumstances, it becomes my
duty to express my unctisguiseiepinion to your Ma.
jesty. So long ai France shall be occupied by foreign
troops, Their presence may restrain to a certain point
the popular party—the Royal Authorities may also
by their vigilaiwe retard the danger; but the moment
would come when all the obstacles would be borne
down : a civiltwar, when the vane of the King is the
pretext, may last a little longer, but at length the
mass of the people.would be triumphant. .
- No person is more convinced tha.i your Majesty,'
that it is impossible to return to the old doctrines of
the Monarchy. All the elements of the old regime
have disappeared. There -was then no national es-
tates recognized—power was modified ty the man-'
ners—it was regulated, as it were, and restrained by
habits and usages. If there were no fixed laws, there
were maxims of government—there was au invio.
lable code of moderation, of mildness, of equity and
urbanity—no pat,sioh was let loose—every person
was formed for his situation, or supported it without
regret. A single remark may serve to show the dii.
ference between that time and ours. An impost,
more or less, then constituted the reputation of an
Intendant, the glory tif a Minister, .the eclat of a
reign. Will it be said that FranCe was only the
more happy I It will remain to be 'explained then
how the Revolution happened to be prepared in these
happy times—but to what purpose these discussions ?
The old regime cannot be re-established. The greatest
fault which governments can commit is not to distin.
guish between what is possible and what is not. To
be at war during a whole reign, is not reigning.
To conceal nothing on this subject from your Ma-
jesty, I will still add that no particular conspiracy
menaces you at the present moment. Our dangers
proceed only from our situation ; but we may con-
ceive ih thought a conspiracy, of which the success
would be infallible, and of which the designs could
neither be prevented nor foreseen. It would be that
of a Ministry or a party at Court, who froin the
grossest error, or the most blind devotion to the
Royal cause, should counsel or favour a plan of
counter-revolution. Every plan of this nature would
overturn the throne again with a Crash. and destroy,
perhaps, even our last hope of the 4rtatig of oar I
King:. . . .
A false remark has often been made on the subject
of the old regime, namely, that the French who have
supported the tyranny of Bonaparte; would support
much more easily the whole exteitt of the royal
power. They are here mistaken, in many respects,
because the .position of Bonaparte has • never Weee:+
known to foreigners; his tyranny was not our work''
but that of Europe; .it was the Sovereigns who Cen-
solidated his power by their treaties, their alliances,
andeven by their friendships; and even if we had
resisted him, the other nations would have ranged
themselves under his eagles, or humbled themselves
before him. Always more afraid of the interior than 1
foreign countries, he knew well that if he had ow.'
mies against the Kings, he had no power against the
public opinion. It was by foreign obedience that he
endeavoured to bend us under the yoke. He has
marched to more than one victory. to have an addi-
tional means of re-acting on France. A conqueror
Without, he was unquiet within—every public as.
sembly made him tremble. Lastly, there were al-
ways in the midst of his Court. end in his Councils,
men of courage, who, without disobeying the Mo.
narcb, at least braved the despot. . Supposing even
that his tyranny had been more patiently supported
than it was,
,can the same submission be now ex.
peeted ? He contrived to make us forget liberty, by
substituting try in Its stead. liVe had nothing to
dread under is reigp,. neither from the Clergy; nor,
the Nobles, nor the Emigrants, ;f he succeeded it,
dein ivit os of several of our rights, for that very
reason the public opinion it more strongly bent on
now defending them.• . Tour Majesty may judge pi
this front what his taller, place Within thelase Oftien 1
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