The Sun.
London, England, 1859-05-05 00:00:00

Kinsale and Mallow—relate to the United King-
dom. And here it is, of course, that the returns
will tell more decisively in favour of the
Derbyites. It is simply preposterous, therefore,
to be blinking the fact that Minister 3 have even
now obtained a really marked advantage over their
antagonists as the result of the late disolution. A
elearmajority of fourteen—and the clear majority of
fourteen chiefly won in the boroughs—a majority of
fourteen, equivalent on a division to TWENTY-EIGHT,
is surely something considerable in the way of such
an advantage. But the Ministerial feast of gains
in this general election is very far from ended as yet.
" There are pippins and cheese to come." The
fourteen already grasped by the Government, giving
them this secure balance upon the division list of
exactly 28 on the Opposition, are but fourteen in
an aggregate of 523. That aggregate still shows
131 yet remaining to be apportioned to complete the
full complement Of the popular branch of the Legis-
lature. Before the actual assembling of the house,
when all the remaining returns shall have been
made, the result of the General Election may, of
course, be pretty accurately estimated. This, from
the mere nomenclature of parties, under the colours
of which the different members, old and new, will
have been returned to Parliament by their consti-
tuencies. But that result can only be conjectured
approximately. For no one can possibly tell, until
the first division, how the conflicting opinions enter-
tained by different parties, and sections of parties,
upon the side of the Opposition, will
cohere—how far they will cohere and how long.
All that, we repeat, will, after every one of the
retiring officers shall have done their duty, still
remain problematical. The enigma can only be
explained by the tellers—and that hardly even so
soon as the division upon the choice of a Speaker.
At the initiatory struggle for the choice of a
Speaker there will, of course, come a " tug of war"
—but scarcely the " tug of war." That—must be re-
served fora more momentous occasion. Particularly
seeing that, apart altogether from mere considera-
tion's of party the odds are already decidedly in
favour of the right hon. gentleman the member
for Cambridge University, late her MAJESTY'S
Secretary of State for the Home Depart-
ment. The contest for the chair will hardly
be between Mr. WALroLE and its present occu-
pant. The Right Hon. EVELYN DENNISON
has a tolerably fair prospect before him of gaining
a peerage more quickly even than Speaker ABER-
CROMBY. For the latter was twice elected to the
chair of the House of Commons—first of all in 1835,
in preference to Mr. M. SUTTON, his predecessor;
and, secondly, in 1837, without any opposition.
And it is hardly probable that the Speaker of the
last Parliament will receive a similar mark of una-
nimous confidence in the next, in which party feel-
will probably be more strongly developed than ever.
Die likelihood being, at this juncture, that while
Mr. EVELYN DENNISON is promoted to the Upper
House through a Barony—Mr. -WALPOLE will
appear as the Government .candidato for the
Speakership, and Mr. FITZROY as the candidate put
forward on the side of the Opposition. In every-
thing but persona] popularity in the house Mr.
FITZROY would be a formidable successor enough—
in everything, we repeat, but the most essential
quality of all in such a contest, that already speci-
fied—namely, personal popularity. Everything,
indeed, appears to indicate clearly enough that the
ex-Home Secretary will, before another month has
passed away, be another illu3tration of the " right
man in the right place," as Speaker of the Commons
House of Parliament.