The Sun.
London, England, 1831-07-23 00:00:00

bankrupt of the 54, we may say that 33 have been
elected out of 49. This is a vast majority, but it is
n)t equal to the majority of 71 out of 80. You
see, then, in proportion as the Deputies are les,
liberal, or rather, as thuy recede from the Extreme
Gauche, they have the best chance of succe•s.

And 3. What has become of the Centre Gauche
of 52 who loved legitimacy, but with the Charter;
and who loved the Charter, but with legitimacy ?
This also is a most impo.rtant point in our inquiry,
and the answer is equally satisfactory. Out of the
52, only 20 have been re-elected, and those 20 were
the most liberal out of the Centre Gauche. Can
anything be more conclusive than this ? Can
anything prove more satisfactory, that even the elec•
tors of France, who have amongst them all the
aristocracy of the country, and not a one-hundredth
part of the democracy, yet that the electors of
France have returned 71 out of 80 of the Extreme
Gauche-33 ont of 54. of the Gauche—and 20 our
of 52 of the Centre Gauche of the Chamber of
Charles X. _ _ .

I have thus shown you by farts—by facts which
have cost me hours of labour and research to collect
for you—that of the 425 Members who composed
the Chamber of Charles the Tenth, in 1830—and
which he dared to meet, and, therefore, dissolved
because it was too liberal, only seven belonging to
the Royalist party are now Members of the new
Chamber, whilst out of the liberal party we have 71
to 33, and 20, making 124—and which, added to
the seven, make 131 of those who were convoked
for August, 1830, but dismissed by the Royal Or-
dinances of Charles X., in the month of July last.
Let us now look to the composition of the New
Chamber, with reference to the Chamber of March
last, after the elections had taken place to fill up the
130 vacancies—and before the Law of Elections had
been presented to the Chamber. In consequence of
the refusal by four-fifths of the Extreme aoite to
swear allegiance to Louis Philip, and fidelity to the
new charts, between seventy and eighty elections of
new Members took place. Most of those were made
in the sense of the Gauche and Centre Gauche, and
a very few of the Centre Droit. A large portion of
these elections have been again confirmed ; and
thus, although only 131 of the Deputies, now,
elected, belonged to the Chamber of Charles X. in
July 1830, yet 206 of them belonged to M. Perier's
Chamber when he brought forvvaril the Electoral
Law. In this number of two hundred and six there
very probably, a Ministerial majority—but then
there are ten Deputies returned who belonged, some
years since, but not recently, to the Chamber of De-
puties, who are all Anti-Ministerial; 35 D puties
to be yet returned, in consequence of the double no-
mination of men of the Extreme Gauche, and four-
fifths of whom, when elected, will be Anti-Mini•-
terial ; and, finally 197 new Members, who never
before belonged to the Chamber of Deputies ! I
told you there would be at least 150, aad behold
197. We shall have some more new ones yet, in
order to fill up the places of those who have been
doubly, trebly, and quadruply returned. The amount
of 206 Members of the old Chamber of March, 1831,
and 10 ancient Deputies, and 35 to be yet returned,
and 197 new Members, make a total of 448 Mem-
hers, which, with one dead, and one irregular election
at Marseilles, present the full complement of 450.
You will perceive then in the clearest mariner
that the fate of France—of the Revolution—and of

liberty in Europe—depends on the rotes and con-
duct of the new Ministers ! If a majority of them
shall be for the Ministerial system, we shall have
peace at all hazards ; but if the contrary, we shall
have peace, but with liberty, and the Revolution will
march towards a wise and national termination.

It is necessary, however, to observe, that in former
times, viz., in July last, before the Revolution, some
of the Ministers of to-day then belonged to the Ex-
treme Gauche party, and acted with it. Thus C.:-
simir Perier arid Sebastiani belonged to the ninety-
four Deputies forming the Extreme Gauche, as well
as their present friends and supporters, Bignon,
Bertin de V.ux, Alexandre Pe-ier, and Schonen.
Whilst the opponents of the present Ministry—
Bavoux, Demarcay, De Tracy, Dupont, Lafayette,
Mauguin, Lamaique, &c., wrre then all a.sociated
with the former in supporting one honest frank sys-
tem of national opposition. M. Royer Coil who
now is Ministerial, if anything—then belonged to
the Centre Gauche—and Baron Louis, who is now
associated with De Rigny, D'Argour, and Soult in
the Ministry, then would 'nave thought it a sin to
avow himself a partisan of the Extreme Gauche.
M. Barthe was not then a member—but he belonged
to the latter party. It is then evident, to a mere
cursory observer, that those who are now, like Soult,
Baron Louis, De Rigny, and D'Argout, Min stern of
War, Finance, Marine, and Public Works, are con-
sistent to the principles they professed in July, 1830,
before the Revolution—but M. Perier, M. Sebas-

tiani, and M. Barthe, have forsaken their party as
well as NI. Nlontalivet, who fought in the events of
Paris against the soldiers of Charles the Tenth. The
opposition to the Nlinit.try is consistent with itself,
but the Casimir Perier portion of the Ministry is in-
consistent.

I cannot with propriety dose this examination of
facts and history without adverting to the elements
of the new Chamber. And, first, let me observe,
that of one-half we know nothing except by compa-
rison and r,flection ; because they are wholly new
men, and returned by new electors, or by a majority
of new ones. Still, second, it is quite clear that
,hey do not belong to the Extreme Droit, or to
even the Centre Droit ; because only seven out of
the 22.5 old ones have been re-elected, and because
the new Members are almost all pledged to vote
against an Hereditary Peerage. Well, then, it is
important, third, to know whether the new Mem-
bers will join the old Extreme Gauche Mt mbers,
who stil form a large portion of the Opposition, or
whether they will unite themselves to the Perier
portion of the old Chamber, and vote for the Minis-
terial system. Without, then, fourthly, pronouncing
any dtcided opinion upon all the subjects of import-
ance which may be brought under discussion, I may,
observe a:4; much, that it is quite clear the Here-
ditary Peerage .i.y:ttern will be overthrown—and it is
next to certain that ii,,e Mitlister will be compelled
to interfere on behalf of Poland!, VI all large and
populous places, where the electors rag numerous,
and where the people—the middling classes of in-
telligent citizens have voted, the Deputies returned
have been anti-Ministerialist ; but in small arron,
dissements, of which there are so many in Franco,
where the Extreme Droit and Centre Droit once
had power, but which are now under the influence
of the Extreme Gauche, proprietors and rentiers,
there the elections have been very oft; n
Take, however, the gross number of electors who
have voted in France, and divide those who have
voted for Ministerial from those who have elected

Opposition candidates, and most unquestionably
theta are two to one aga;nst the Ministers on the
calculation. That then a Deputy, when once elected,
is as much a Deputy if named by a fey hundred a;
by a vast many thousand elei*oreo And in the Cum-
ber has the same right to ‘ote and to bpeak.
On the whole, then, I conclude—ist, 'that the

Minister is in a minority in France ; 2d, In a
minority in the Electoral Colleges, if the gross num-
ber of electors be counted; and 3d, in a minority in
the actu Chamber of Deputies; if not upon the
whole of his foreign and domestic policy, at least
with respect to the Hereditary Peerage, and peace
at all hazards. Ido not think I can add another
word upon this subject ; and I shall therefore leave
it to your consideration and examination, especially
as the Chambers will meet next Saturday ; and
the questions of peace or war—liberty or the resto-
ration, will soon, very soon be brought before them.
We are w,a•Fhing with great interest and lively
anxiety the proceedings of the House of Commons
with reference to the Deform Bill. We rejoice at
the perseverance of the Ministers, and smile at the
factious obstinacy of their opponents. But as they
seem disposed to delay, perhaps they may be sadly
disappointed by a batch of " Coronation Peers"
just in time to secure a majority of the House of
Lords, or by a motion to piss the Biil thrc ugh the
Committee without further discussion, since an op.