The Sun.
London, England, 1854-09-14 00:00:00

AUSTRIA.

VIENNA, Sept. 9.—Some time since you were
informed that the Austro-Russian party was parti-
cularly active, and there is some little reason to be-
lieve that its efforts have not been entirely in vain.
The Breslau Zeitung has a Berlin correspondent
who is particularly well informed on all matters
connected with that part of the policy of the Prus-
sian Government which consists in counteracting
the endeavours of Austria, to induce the German
States to make common cause with her in opposing
the ambitious projects of Russia. The writer in
question now states that Count Buol is likely to
lose
his portfolio, and it cannot be doubted
that the removal of such a patriotic Minister
would give extreme satisfaction to the Russian
Government and the " Junker " party in Prus-
sia. For reasons not positively known to the
public, but probably correctly stated in my
letter of
yesterday, it was resolved in Council
not to consider the refusal of Russia to give the
guarantees demanded a emus belli, but this is no
proof that his Majesty has lost confidence in his
Minister, or that his determination to insist on the
four conditions has been shaken. The Philo-
_
hssians are unable to keep their own counsel, and
this want of discretion enables me to give you
their version as well as of what has taken place as
of that which is now proposed. During the Em-
peror's sojourn in Isehl everything 'was done to
persuade him " to proceed with less energy" in the
Turco-Russian question, and even the names of the
personages who more particularly disapproved the
foreign
policy of the Cabinet might be men-
tioned. It is notorious that the Bohemian nobles
are at the head of the Austro-Russian party, and
we are therefore not surprised to learn that Count
Frederic Thun, the Austrian Minister at Berlin
(Count
Esterhazy only acts there ad 'interim), has
been
fixed on as Count Beers successor. After
reading
this, you may be inclined to suppose that
a Ministerial crisis is probable, but such is not the
Case. In my letter of the Ist it was said that the
policy of Austria had made itself, and that was not
an empty phrase. As long as the Russians were
in Wallachia, the great majority of the Austrian
manufacturers were living on their capital, but as
soon as the invaders turned their backs on Bu-
charest, commerce revived, and the export trade
was as brisk as ever. The ruinous consequences
Principalities
Austria of a hostile Russian occupation of the
Pincipalities are now so evident that no Minister
for Foreign Affairs' even if it were Count
eicquelmont himself, could ever again permit
't. The first and last of the four conditions
concern Austria even more nearly than they do
the Western Powers, and it has been resolved
here, cost what it will, that Russia shall never
again exercise an exclusive protectorate either in
the Danubian Principalities or over the Greek
Christians in Turkey. The correctness of this
view of things does not admit of dispute, and there-
fore there can be no question of a change of mea-
sures in Austria, even though there should be a
change of men. Well-informed diplomatists are of
opinion that there will be neither the one nor the
other, although they are well aware that every-
thing is being done to prejudice the Emperor
against Count Buol. One of the best-informed men
in this city affirms that there will be no campaign
of 1855, " as the Oriental question will be settled
during the winter." Such, an opinion from such a
source could not be withheld, but it is necessary to
state that it is in direct opposition to my own.
There will be a campaign in 1855, in which Aus-
tria will share, for it is repugnant to common sense
1,0 suppose that she can long maintain an armet,
neutrality which costs her 800,00011. a-day. Tl,e
number of horses at present employed in the army
is 82,000. It must be well understood that it is
not my intention to say Austria will wage war
against Russia to please England, France, and
Turkey ; she will do so simply because her interests
imperatively require it.