For hip fracture , at a 15 % relative risk , the effect estimate lay between the futility boundary and the inferior boundary , meaning there is reliable evidence that vitamin D supplementation does not reduce hip fractures by this amount , but uncertainty remains as to whether it might increase hip fractures .
The effect estimate lay within the futility boundary at thresholds of 0·5 % for total hip , forearm , and total body bone mineral density , and 1·0 % for lumbar spine and femoral neck , providing reliable evidence that vitamin D does not alter these outcomes by these amounts .
INTERPRETATION Our findings suggest that vitamin D supplementation does not prevent fractures or falls , or have clinical ly meaningful effects on bone mineral density .
There were no differences between the effects of higher and lower doses of vitamin D. There is little justification to use vitamin D supplements to maintain or improve musculoskeletal health .
BACKGROUND The effects of vitamin D on fractures , falls , and bone mineral density are uncertain , particularly for high vitamin D doses .
We aim ed to determine the effect of vitamin D supplementation on fractures , falls , and bone density .
Vitamin D supplementation and the prevention of fractures and falls: results of a randomised trial in elderly people in residential accommodation.
OBJECTIVES To determine whether vitamin D supplementation reduces the risk of fracture or falls in elderly people in care home accommodation . DESIGN A r and omised controlled trial of cluster design . SETTING AND SUBJECTS 223 Residential units ( mainly identical 30-bedded units ) , within 118 homes for elderly people throughout Britain , with 3,717 participating residents ( 76 % women , average age 85 years ) . The units provided mainly or entirely residential care ( 35 % of residents ) , nursing care ( 42 % ) or care for elderly mentally infirm ( EMI ) residents ( 23 % ) . METHODS Participants were r and omly allocated by residential unit ( cluster design ) to a treated group offered ergocalciferol 2.5 mg every 3 months ( equivalent to a daily dose of 1,100 IU ) , or to a control group .  Fractures were reported by staff and confirmed in hospital , and routinely collected data on reported falls were obtained . RESULTS After median follow-up of 10 months ( interquartile range 7 - 14 months ) , 64 ( 3.6 % ) of 1,762 vitamin D-treated residents and 51 ( 2.6 % ) of 1,955 controls had one or more non-vertebral fractures , and 24 ( 1.3 % ) and 20 ( 1.0 % ) , respectively , had a hip fracture . The proportion reporting at least one fall was 44 % in vitamin D-treated and 43 % in control residents . The differences between the vitamin D and control groups were not statistically significant . The incidence of all non-vertebral fractures in the care homes ( 3.2 % per year ) and of hip fractures ( 1.1 % per year ) was low , similar to rates in elderly people in sheltered accommodation , and the pre-treatment serum 25-hydroxy vitamin D concentration was high [ median 47 nmol/l , measured in a 1 % ( n = 18 ) sample ] . CONCLUSIONS We found no evidence that vitamin D prevents fractures or falls in elderly people in care home accommodation
For hip fracture , at a 15 % relative risk , the effect estimate lay between the futility boundary and the inferior boundary , meaning there is reliable evidence that vitamin D supplementation does not reduce hip fractures by this amount , but uncertainty remains as to whether it might increase hip fractures .
The effect estimate lay within the futility boundary at thresholds of 0·5 % for total hip , forearm , and total body bone mineral density , and 1·0 % for lumbar spine and femoral neck , providing reliable evidence that vitamin D does not alter these outcomes by these amounts .
INTERPRETATION Our findings suggest that vitamin D supplementation does not prevent fractures or falls , or have clinical ly meaningful effects on bone mineral density .
There were no differences between the effects of higher and lower doses of vitamin D. There is little justification to use vitamin D supplements to maintain or improve musculoskeletal health .
BACKGROUND The effects of vitamin D on fractures , falls , and bone mineral density are uncertain , particularly for high vitamin D doses .
We aim ed to determine the effect of vitamin D supplementation on fractures , falls , and bone density .