Few models had addressed the cumulative nature of risk factors where a combination of risk factors would confer a greater risk than either factor alone .
In patients at high risk of stroke , anticoagulation is cost effective , but not for those with a low risk of stroke .
The risk of stroke in atrial fibrillation ( AF ) needs to be assessed in each patient to determine the clinical and cost-effectiveness of thromboprophylaxis , with the aim of appropriate use of antithrombotic therapy .
To achieve this , stroke risk factors in AF population s need to be identified and stroke risk stratification models have been devised on the basis of these risk factors .
In this article , we firstly provide a systematic review of studies examining the attributable stroke risk of various clinical , demographic and echocardiographic patient characteristics in AF population s. Secondly , we performed a systematic review of published stroke risk stratification models , in terms of the results of the review of stroke risk factors and their ability to accurately discriminate between different levels of stroke risk .
Predictors of major vascular events in patients with a transient ischemic attack or minor ischemic stroke and with nonrheumatic atrial fibrillation. European Atrial Fibrillation Trial (EAFT) Study Group.
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE The risk of major vascular events after an initial episode of cerebral ischemia in patients with nonrheumatic atrial fibrillation ( NRAF ) varies from 2 % to 15 % in the first year and is approximately 5 % yearly thereafter . Few studies have reported on risk factors that can be used to identify high-risk subgroups within this patient population . METHODS We studied the predictive value of several easily obtainable clinical characteristics in a group of 375 placebo-treated patients with NRAF and a recent episode of transient or nondisabling cerebral ischemia who were entered in a multicenter clinical trial . The mean follow-up was 1.6 years . RESULTS By means of multivariate modeling , six independent variables were identified : history of previous thromboembolism , ischemic heart disease , enlarged cardiothoracic ratio on chest roentgenogram , systolic blood pressure greater than 160 mm Hg at study entry , NRAF for more than 1 year , and presence of an ischemic lesion on CT scan . These variables could also be used to stratify patients in low- , medium- , and high-risk subgroups for the other two arms of the trial , those treated with anticoagulation and aspirin .  Patients older than 75 years with three or more risk factors seemingly benefited less from both aspirin and anticoagulant treatment . CONCLUSIONS Easily obtainable patient characteristics are helpful in estimating the potential effect of adequate secondary prevention in patients with NRAF who recently suffered a transient ischemic attack or minor ischemic stroke
Few models had addressed the cumulative nature of risk factors where a combination of risk factors would confer a greater risk than either factor alone .
In patients at high risk of stroke , anticoagulation is cost effective , but not for those with a low risk of stroke .
The risk of stroke in atrial fibrillation ( AF ) needs to be assessed in each patient to determine the clinical and cost-effectiveness of thromboprophylaxis , with the aim of appropriate use of antithrombotic therapy .
To achieve this , stroke risk factors in AF population s need to be identified and stroke risk stratification models have been devised on the basis of these risk factors .
In this article , we firstly provide a systematic review of studies examining the attributable stroke risk of various clinical , demographic and echocardiographic patient characteristics in AF population s. Secondly , we performed a systematic review of published stroke risk stratification models , in terms of the results of the review of stroke risk factors and their ability to accurately discriminate between different levels of stroke risk .