Few models had addressed the cumulative nature of risk factors where a combination of risk factors would confer a greater risk than either factor alone .
In patients at high risk of stroke , anticoagulation is cost effective , but not for those with a low risk of stroke .
The risk of stroke in atrial fibrillation ( AF ) needs to be assessed in each patient to determine the clinical and cost-effectiveness of thromboprophylaxis , with the aim of appropriate use of antithrombotic therapy .
To achieve this , stroke risk factors in AF population s need to be identified and stroke risk stratification models have been devised on the basis of these risk factors .
In this article , we firstly provide a systematic review of studies examining the attributable stroke risk of various clinical , demographic and echocardiographic patient characteristics in AF population s. Secondly , we performed a systematic review of published stroke risk stratification models , in terms of the results of the review of stroke risk factors and their ability to accurately discriminate between different levels of stroke risk .
Echocardiographic predictors of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation: a prospective study of 1066 patients from 3 clinical trials.
BACKGROUND Clinical features that consistently predict ischemic stroke in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation have been identified , while echocardiographic risk factors are less well defined . OBJECTIVE To determine whether the results of transthoracic echocardiography add independent information to the clinical risk factors for stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation . METHODS Transthoracic echocardiographic findings and clinical features from 1066 patients with atrial fibrillation assigned to placebo or control in 3 r and omized trials ( Boston Area Anticoagulation Trial for Atrial Fibrillation , Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation I Study , and Veterans Affairs Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation Study ) were correlated with subsequent ischemic stroke by multivariate analysis . RESULTS The mean + SD age of patients was 67 + /- 10 years , 78 % were men , 55 % had a history of hypertension , 19 % had a history of diabetes , 7 % had a previous transient ischemic attack or stroke , and 27 % had a history of heart failure . During a mean follow-up of 1.6 years , 78 ischemic strokes occurred ( annual rate , 4.7 % ) . Moderate to severe left ventricular systolic dysfunction shown via 2-dimensional echocardiography was a strong independent predictor of stroke ( relative risk , 2.5 ; P<.001 ) in the 1010 patients in whom echocardiographic values for left ventricular function were available . Left atrial diameter by M-mode echocardiography did not predict stroke ( relative risk , 1.02/mm ; P = .10 ) . Of 163 patients categorized as low risk based on clinical features ( annual stroke rate , 0.8 % ; 95 % confidence interval , 0.2%-3.0 % ) , 10 had moderate to severe left ventricular dysfunction shown via 2-dimensional echocardiography and a 9.3 % per year risk of stroke ( 95 % confidence interval , 1.3%-66 % ) . Conversely , 728 of the 847 patients at high risk for stroke based on clinical criteria had normal or mildly abnormal left ventricular function ; their stroke rate was 4.4 % ( 95 % confidence interval , 3.4%-5.8 % ) . CONCLUSIONS Left ventricular systolic dysfunction shown via 2-dimensional transthoracic echocardiography independently predicts risk of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation . Echocardiography may prove most useful in a small group of patients who have a low risk of stroke according to clinical factors
Few models had addressed the cumulative nature of risk factors where a combination of risk factors would confer a greater risk than either factor alone .
In patients at high risk of stroke , anticoagulation is cost effective , but not for those with a low risk of stroke .
The risk of stroke in atrial fibrillation ( AF ) needs to be assessed in each patient to determine the clinical and cost-effectiveness of thromboprophylaxis , with the aim of appropriate use of antithrombotic therapy .
To achieve this , stroke risk factors in AF population s need to be identified and stroke risk stratification models have been devised on the basis of these risk factors .
In this article , we firstly provide a systematic review of studies examining the attributable stroke risk of various clinical , demographic and echocardiographic patient characteristics in AF population s. Secondly , we performed a systematic review of published stroke risk stratification models , in terms of the results of the review of stroke risk factors and their ability to accurately discriminate between different levels of stroke risk .