Several factors were found to be associated with disability at follow-up for at least two different pain symptoms .
However , owing to insufficient studies , no generic risk factors for sick leave were identified .
Conclusions Multiple site pain , high pain severity , older age , baseline disability and longer pain duration were identified as potential prognostic factors for disability across pain sites .
There was limited evidence that anxiety and depression were associated with disability in patients with subacute pain , indicating that these factors may not play as large a role as expected in developing disability due to a pain condition .
Objective This systematic review aims to identify generic prognostic factors for disability and sick leave in subacute pain patients .
Point-of-care prognosis for common musculoskeletal pain in older adults.
IMPORTANCE Many site-specific , multivariable risk models for predicting the outcome of musculoskeletal pain problems have been published . The overlapping content in these models suggests a common set of generic indicators suitable for use in primary care . OBJECTIVE To investigate whether a brief set of generic prognostic indicators can predict the outcome of musculoskeletal pain in older patients presenting to general practitioners . DESIGN , SETTING , AND PARTICIPANTS A prospect i ve observational cohort study conducted from September 1 , 2006 , through March 31 , 2007 , of consecutive patients 50 years or older presenting with noninflammatory musculoskeletal pain to 1 of the 5 participating general practice s in the United Kingdom . MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES During consultation , the treating physician assessed and recorded 5 brief generic items ( duration of present pain episode , current pain intensity , pain interference with daily activities , presence of multiple-site pain , and ultrashort depression screen ) and recorded their overall prognostic judgment . The primary outcome was patient-rated improvement , which was measured 6 months after consultation and cross-vali date d with repeated measures up to 3 years . RESULTS A total of 194 ( 48.1 % ) of 403 participants were classified as having an unfavorable outcome at 6 months . Inclusion of 3 generic prognostic indicators ( duration of present pain episode , pain interference with daily activities , and presence of multiple-site pain ) in the prognostic model improved on reliance on physicians ' prognostic judgment alone ( C statistic = 0.72 vs 0.62 ; net reclassification index = 0.136 ; proportion correctly classified = 69 % ) . The improvement in prognostic accuracy was attributable to correcting physicians ' tendency toward overoptimistic expectations of outcome . CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE Three easy-to-obtain pieces of information followed by systematic recording of the general practitioners ' prognostic judgment provide a simple generic assessment of prognosis at point of care in older persons presenting with musculoskeletal problems to primary care practice s in the United Kingdom . Such an assessment offers a common foundation for investigating the usefulness of prognostic stratification for guiding management in the consultation across a range of common painful conditions
Several factors were found to be associated with disability at follow-up for at least two different pain symptoms .
However , owing to insufficient studies , no generic risk factors for sick leave were identified .
Conclusions Multiple site pain , high pain severity , older age , baseline disability and longer pain duration were identified as potential prognostic factors for disability across pain sites .
There was limited evidence that anxiety and depression were associated with disability in patients with subacute pain , indicating that these factors may not play as large a role as expected in developing disability due to a pain condition .
Objective This systematic review aims to identify generic prognostic factors for disability and sick leave in subacute pain patients .