The intervention can therefore be considered cost-saving and health-improving .
Neither parameter nor structural uncertainty had a significant impact on the conclusion that TEXT ME is cost-effective .
Conclusions The provision of TEXT ME is predicted to lead to better health outcomes and an overall saving in costs for the health system .
Objective To estimate the cost-effectiveness of Tobacco , Exercise and Diet Messages ( TEXT ME ) , a text message-based intervention that provides advice , motivation , information and support to improve health-related behaviours .
A cardiovascular disease policy model that predicts life expectancy taking into account socioeconomic deprivation
Objectives A policy model is a model that can evaluate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of interventions and inform policy decisions . In this study , we introduce a cardiovascular disease ( CVD ) policy model which can be used to model remaining life expectancy including a measure of socioeconomic deprivation as an independent risk factor for CVD . Design A state transition model was developed using the Scottish Heart Health Extended Cohort ( SHHEC ) linked to Scottish morbidity and death records . Individuals start in a CVD-free state and can transit to three CVD event states plus a non-CVD death state . Individuals who have a non-fatal first event are then followed up until death . Taking a competing risk approach , the cause-specific hazards of a first event are modelled using parametric survival analysis . Survival following a first non-fatal event is also modelled parametrically . We assessed discrimination , validation and calibration of our model . Results Our model achieved a good level of discrimination in each component ( c-statistics for men (women)—non-fatal coronary heart disease ( CHD ) : 0.70 ( 0.74 ) , non-fatal cerebrovascular disease ( CBVD ) : 0.73 ( 0.76 ) , fatal CVD : 0.77 ( 0.80 ) , fatal non-CVD : 0.74 ( 0.72 ) , survival after non-fatal CHD : 0.68 ( 0.67 ) and survival after non-fatal CBVD : 0.65 ( 0.66 ) ) . In general , our model predictions were comparable with observed event rates for a Scottish r and omised statin trial population which has an overlapping follow-up period with SHHEC . After applying a calibration factor , our predictions of life expectancy closely match those published in recent national life tables . Conclusions Our model can be used to estimate the impact of primary prevention interventions on life expectancy and can assess the impact of interventions on inequalities
The intervention can therefore be considered cost-saving and health-improving .
Neither parameter nor structural uncertainty had a significant impact on the conclusion that TEXT ME is cost-effective .
Conclusions The provision of TEXT ME is predicted to lead to better health outcomes and an overall saving in costs for the health system .
Objective To estimate the cost-effectiveness of Tobacco , Exercise and Diet Messages ( TEXT ME ) , a text message-based intervention that provides advice , motivation , information and support to improve health-related behaviours .