A systematic evaluation of the available evidence suggests similarities as well as important differences in the risk factors for incidence of AF as compared with other cardiovascular diseases , which has implication s for the primary prevention strategies for atrial fibrillation
Established primary prevention strategies of cardiovascular diseases are based on underst and ing of risk factors , but whether the same risk factors are associated with  atrial fibrillation ( AF )  remains unclear .
A clinical risk score for atrial fibrillation in a biracial prospective cohort (from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities [ARIC] study).
A risk score for atrial fibrillation ( AF ) has been developed by the Framingham Heart Study ; however , the applicability of this risk score , derived using data from white patients , to predict new-onset AF in nonwhites is uncertain . Therefore , we developed a 10-year risk score for new-onset AF  from risk factors commonly measured in clinical practice using 14,546 subjects from the Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities ( ARIC ) study , a prospect i ve community-based cohort of blacks and whites in the United States . During 10 years of follow-up , 515 incident AF events occurred . The following variables were included in the AF risk  score  : age , race , height , smoking status , systolic blood pressure , hypertension medication use , precordial murmur , left ventricular hypertrophy , left atrial enlargement , diabetes , coronary heart disease , and heart failure . The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve ( AUC ) of a Cox regression model that included the previous variables was 0.78 , suggesting moderately good discrimination . The point-based score developed from the coefficients in the Cox model had an AUC of 0.76 . This clinical risk score for AF in the Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities cohort compared favorably with the Framingham Heart Study 's AF ( AUC 0.68 ) , coronary heart disease ( CHD ) ( AUC 0.63 ) , and hard CHD ( AUC 0.59 ) risk scores and the Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities CHD risk score ( AUC 0.58 ) . In conclusion , we have developed a risk score for AF and have shown that the different pathophysiologies of AF and CHD limit the usefulness of a CHD risk score in identifying subjects at greater risk of AF
A systematic evaluation of the available evidence suggests similarities as well as important differences in the risk factors for incidence of AF as compared with other cardiovascular diseases , which has implication s for the primary prevention strategies for atrial fibrillation
Established primary prevention strategies of cardiovascular diseases are based on underst and ing of risk factors , but whether the same risk factors are associated with  atrial fibrillation ( AF )  remains unclear .