Patent AU-2021107086-A4 (AU)
Title: A user-centric and data-centric approach to 1) calculate hidden cases in postcode and/or area, 2) forecast load on health system including hospitals, 3) calculate safe distance to travel in postcode and/or area with reduced risk of infection and 4) calculate risk of infection based on estimate of person’s movements or trave distance and postcode using advanced data analytics of publicly available data to calculate relevant parameters for informed decisions using evidence based approach in individual, workplace, commercial community and public domain
Inventor: KUMAR NARESH
IPC: G06Q50/26
Filed: 2021-08-25
Granted: 2021-12-02
Abstract: Today's world is world of opportunities and with opportunity comes risk and responsibility.  
As member of community requires travel to certain distance for daily activities and health reasons, 
we are unwittingly exposed to 'vectors' such as virus, including coronavirus. Such infections trigger a 
reaction within immune system and shows up symptoms such as cold, cough, fever, and difficulty in 
breathing. Such diseases affect every human in every country, including Australia and their spread in 
world has put humanity at risk.  
Due to increasing number of infections, cases and resultant stress on administration, 
communities as well as health professionals, different analysis, detection, and identification 
techniques are introduced to predict the effect of such diseases and their effect in patients, health
systems, and communities. As each administration and detection teams gained understanding and 
expertise, they have improved on their methods, speed, and accuracy.  
Disease Expansion Vector Index (DEVI) quantitatively measures the hidden risk in form of 
hidden infections potential load forecast for health system including hospitals and individuals' 
distance of freedom i.e. distance an individual can travel with reasonably reduced risk of infection, 
percentage risk of person in travelling in postcode or postcodes. These parameters directly quantify 
the risk in terms of hidden infections in a postcode around a place of interest, risk of health system 
stretched beyond its capacity and health system and community and provides method to calculate 
various parameters to provide awareness and thus reducing the movement. This scale can be used 
by individual, workplaces, commercial, community and public domain to make informed and 
evidence-based decisions for desired and positive outcomes.  
The mobile app, in conjugation with web-application and data acquisition platform, implements 
following steps (as listed on next page). Same steps can be used in software system or simple tools 
(such as excel-sheet) supporting calculations.) 
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