CBN MPC Communique No. 34 - April 2004
Central bank: cbn | Type: statement | Date: 2004-04-30

PRESS RELEASE
COMMUNIQUE NO. 34 OF THE MONETARY POLICY
COMMITTEE IN APRIL 2004
The Central Bank of Nigeria here by publishes a summary of the
deliberations and decisions of its Monetary Policy Co mmittee in April 2004. The
Committee met once in the month and re viewed developments in the macro
economy and the financial market; and decided not to introduce any monetary
action.
The overall economic picture showed th at growth in monetary aggregates
slowed as the banking system’s credit to government contracted; the foreign
exchange market remained stable, with t he official gross external reserves
showing further improvement and the na ira exchange rate appreciating. The
level of the banks’ interest rates, howe ver, increased and t he average inflation
rate rose further.
A review of monetary developments showed that the broad money supply
2) fell by 2.0 per cent to N2, 023.4 billion at end-March 2004, in contrast to the
increase of 2.4 per cent recorded in the preceding month; and the 7.8 per cent
increase in March a year earlier. T he cumulative growth since the end of
December 2003 showed that M 2 grew by 1.93 per cent at end-March 2004,
significantly lower than the 16.0 per cent target for the entire fiscal 2004. The
slow growth in broad money was attributed to the decl ine in the banking system
credit (net) to the federal government. The banking system’s credit to the private
sector, on the other hand, rose by 13.7 per cent during the first quarter of 2004.
The narrow money (M1) also fell by 2.3 per cent in March 2004, compared
with declines of 2.4 and 3.2 per cent recorded in February and January 2004,
respectively. The cumulative growth si nce the end of December 2003 showed a
decline of 16.2 percent at end-March 2004, which cont rasted with the 13.4 per
cent programmed target for the fiscal ye ar. The main factor contracting the
growth in narrow money supply was the su bstantial fall in the banking system’s
net claims on the Federal Government.
In addition, the monetary operations of the CBN showed a net withdrawal
of liquidity from the banki ng system in March 2004. The treasury bills issue rate
declined; although available data indicated a general increase in the banks’
deposit and lending rates as well as a rise in the inter- bank call rate, owing to
the liquidity squeeze in the banking system.
The pressure on the foreign exchange market moderated further in March,
2004, as sales in the Dutch Auction System (DAS) segment of the market
declined to US $ 690.16 million from US $ 780.14 million in February 2004.
Consequently, the naira exchange rate appreciated to N 134.26 per US $1.00 in
March 2004 from N135.00 per US$1.00 in the preced ing month. The naira, also
appreciated in the Bureaux De Change (BDC), from N 142.95 to N 139.92 per
US$1.00 in the same period. The stock of official external reserves of the
country rose further from US$9.35 bi llion at end-February 2004 to US$9.68
billion at end-March 2004, which can finance more than 8.0 months of imports.
The twelve-month moving average inflati on rate rose further in February
2004. Available data from the Federal Offi ce of Statistics (FOS) showed that the
average inflation rate was 16.5 per cent in February 20 04 up from 15.0 per cent
in the preceding month. The annualised month-on-mon th inflation rate also
increased from 22.4 per cent in January 2004 to 24.8 per cent in February 2004.
The rise in the inflation rate was largely attributed to the increase in the prices of
clothing materials, house re nt, health services and it ems for personal care, as
well as the rise in prices of vegetables and fruits.
Encouraged by the continued moderat ion in the growth of broad money
supply, coupled with the reduction in th e pressure on the demand for foreign
exchange, the Committee observed that the prospects of containing inflation and
stabilising the interest rate were high, if the current level of fiscal prudence was
sustained. Against these assumptions, the Committee decided not to introduce
any monetary policy change. Meanwhile continued effort will be made to monitor
the impact of the recent withdrawal of liquidity from the banks under the new
settlement system with a view to fine-tuning the existing policies, if necessary.
Mr. James K. A. Olekah
Secretary
Monetary Policy Committee
Abuja
nd April, 2004