CBN MPC Communique No. 41 - December 2004
Central bank: cbn | Type: statement | Date: 2004-12-31

PRESS RELEASE
CENTRAL BANK OF NIGERIA, COMMUNIQUE NO. 41 OF THE MONETARY POLICY
COMMITTEE, IN DECEMBER, 2004
The Monetary Policy Commit tee of the CBN held its 188 th meeting on December
14, 2004 and agreed to sustain the existing monetary policy measures.
2. Price developments since the last meet ing of the MPC indicated that both the 12-
month moving average and the year-on-year inflation rates moderated. The 12-month
moving average inflation rate de celerated from 19.1 per cent in August 2004 to 18.2 per
cent in September 2004. The year-on-year infl ation rate decelerated significantly to 9.1
per cent in September 2004 fr om 13.0 per cent in the pr eceding month, reflecting the
moderation in prices of all items less fa rm produce and energy. The exchange rate of
the naira remained relatively stable in the Dutch Auction System of the foreign exchange
market. Indeed, the nominal e xchange rate has appreciated in 2004 relative to 2003.
The gross official reserves increased further to US $16.13 billion in November 2004 from
US $14.67 billion and US $ 13.27 billion at the end of October and September 2004
respectively. The stock of external reserves at the end of November 2004 surpassed the
US$15.3 billion target for end-2004. Broad money stock (M2) increased by 13.1 per cent
during the first eleven months of 2004. This represented an annua lised growth rate of
14.3 per cent, which was less than the 16.0 per cent target for 2004. In addition, credit
(net) to government declined fu rther in the first eleven mont hs of 2004, while credit to
the private sector rose by 25. 9 per cent as compared with th e 22.0 per cent target for
2004.
3. The Committee remained pos itive about the out look for the rest of the year. It
expects the external reserves to rise furthe r owing to a projected increase in demand for
Nigeria’s crude oil exports. The Committee al so expects that with a continuation of
current fiscal operations, the money supply wo uld stay within its programmed target and
that the inflation rate would also mode rate further. Against this background the
Committee decided not to take any new policy action. The Committee, however, agreed
to monitor macroeconomic developments very closely, including the financing of the
fiscal deficits. The Committee also noted that one of the ch allenges of monetary
management in 2005 would be the financing of the deficits and the sharing of the excess
crude oil revenue. In order to sustain the gains of 2004; the monetary authority might
adopt a tighter policy stance in 2005, whic h might embrace the movement of public
sector deposits in an d out of banks. A Special MPC will be held in Januar y to consider
the Monetary Policy Framework for 2005.
James K. A. Olekah,
Secretary, Monetary Policy Committee,
Central Bank of Nigeria,
Abuja.
16h December, 2004