Judul: Analisis Pengaruh Fluktuasi Exchange Rate terhadap Neraca Perdagangan di Kawasan ASEAN 5 Tahun 1998-2012
Abstrak: Trade flows can be affected by exchange rate policies in order to maintain the competitiveness of exports and press imports to reduce the trade deficit. The purposes of this research are to analyze the relationship of short-term and long-term effect of the exchange rate towards the balance of trade in ASEAN 5 in the ASEAN 5 region and identify the factors that determine the balance of trade in the ASEAN 5 region in the short-term and long-term. This research uses the analysis period from the first quarter of 1998 to the fourth quarter of 2012 and analyzed by Vector Error Correction Model ( VECM ) and using E-views 6 software. Results from this research indicate that the relationship exchange rate fluctuations on the trade balance in the ASEAN 5 countries, each variable has a one-way relationship on the trade balance in the ASEAN 5 countries . Based on the IRF and VD analysis in the short-term and long-term in the ASEAN 5 countries seen most dominant variable in explaining changes in the trade balance is the trade balance itself.
Keyword: VECM., Variance Decomposition, trade balance, Impulse Response Function, Exchange rate fluctuations

Judul: Analisis Faktor-faktor yang Memengaruhi Trade Balance Indonesia dengan ASEAN dan Tiga Mitra Dagang Utama
Abstrak: Trade balance is a variable which forms the national income. During 2008 crisis, trade balance contributes the highestvalue, which is 40 percent. But during periods 2003 until 2012, Indonesia’s trade balance with ASEAN and three main trade partners remains a decreasing trend line. This study aims to analyze the development of Indonesia’s trade balance and analyze factors influencing Indonesia’s trade balance with ASEAN and three main trade partners for period 2003 until 2012, the analysis method used in this study is panel data method, with an annual time series data from 2003 until 2012 and cross section data (Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia, Philiphina, Thailand, China, Jepang, dan Amerika). Variables used are GDP per capita of Indonesia, GDP per capita of trade partners, rill exchange rate, Indonesia’s money supply, and crisis as a dummy variable. The estimation shows that all variables significantly influence Indonesia’s trade balance and have an impact which is consistent with the studies hypothesis.
Keyword: exchange rate., panel data, trade balance

Judul: Penularan Kuman Salmonella ke Manusia Melalui Karkas Broiler yang Tercemar
Abstrak: Kuman salmonella yang secara primer hanya patogen terhadap manusia adalah Salmonella typhose, Salmonella paratyphi, Salmonella - schottmuelleri, dan Salmonella hirschfelldii. Sedangkan kuman salmonella yang lain yang secara primer menyerang hewan kadang-kadang mampu beradaptasi pada manusia, sehingga menimbulkan penyakit. Penularan sering terjadi melalui makanan tanpa terkecuali karkas broiler yang tercemar oleh kuman tersebut, sehingga Salmonellosis dimasukkan dalam Food Borne Disease. Penyakit yang ditimbulkan oleh Kuman salmonella diantaranya demam typhoid, gastroenteritis sampai dengan septikemia. Tetapi sering pula infeksi pada manusia tidak menimbulkan gejala klinis, sehingga penderita akan berperan sebagai carrier.
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