Judul: Simulasi Total Kerugian Asuransi Menggunakan Deductible Dan Limited Coverage
Abstrak: Polis asuransi adalah kontrak yang dibuat oleh perusahaan asuransi dengan peserta asuransi. Pada tugas akhir ini, perusahaan asuransi menerapkan kebijakan deductible dan limited coverage. Untuk mendesain polis, perusahaan asuransi harus memperkirakan total kerugian yang akan ditanggung oleh perusahaan tersebut. Pemodelan total kerugian dilakukan dengan cara menggabung sebaran frekuensi kerugian yang menyebar Poisson dan sebaran tingkat keparahannya yang menyebar Pareto. Dalam penelitian ini digunakan metode simulasi untuk memperkirakan total kerugian, menentukan premi, menghitung keuntungan yang diperoleh perusahaan asuransi, dan membandingkan hasil perkiraan total kerugian antara metode simulasi dengan hasil secara analitik. Menggunakan data yang dibangkitkan melalui software Mathematica 11.0, dapat disimpulkan bahwa metode simulasi adalah metode yang cukup baik untuk memperkirakan total kerugian perusahaan asuransi.
Keyword: sebaran gabungan Poisson-Pareto, simulasi, total kerugian

Judul: Aproksimasi Total Kerugian Motorcycle Insurance dengan Deductible Menggunakan Simulasi Monte Carlo
Abstrak: Polis asuransi adalah kontrak yang dibuat oleh perusahaan asuransi dengan peserta asuransi. Untuk merancang sebuah polis asuransi perusahaan harus memperkirakan total kerugian yang dialami oleh pemegang polis dan harus ditanggung oleh perusahaan asuransi dalam suatu periode waktu tertentu. Penelitian ini membahas total kerugian dari Motorcycle Insurance. Pemodelan total kerugian dilakukan dengan cara menggabungkan sebaran banyak klaim yang menyebar binomial negatif dan sebaran besar klaim yang menyebar beta-prime. Ketika dua sebaran tersebut digabungkan, akan terbentuk sebuah sebaran baru yang disebut sebaran compound. Dalam penelitian ini digunakan metode simulasi Monte Carlo untuk menentukan sebaran compound. Pada simulasi Monte Carlo ditentukan nilai harapan kerugian agregat tanpa deductible maupun dengan deductible, di mana nilai harapan ini digunakan untuk menentukan nilai Loss Elimination Ratio. Dari perhitungan dapat disimpulkan dengan meningkatnya deductible, Loss Elimination Ratio meningkat dan jumlah premi bersih menurun., An insurance policy is a contract made by an insurance company with an insurance participant. To design an insurance policy the company must estimate the aggregate loss suffered by the policyholder that must be borne by the insurance company within a certain period of time. This research explains the total loss of Motorcycle Insurance. The modeling of aggregate loss is created by compounding the distributions of loss frequency which has negative binomial distribution and distribution of loss severity which has beta-prime distribution. When these two distributions are combined, a new distribution is formed which is called a compound distribution. In this study, the Monte Carlo simulation method was used to determine the compound distribution. In the Monte Carlo simulation, the expected values of aggregate loss without deductible and with deductible are determined. This expected values are used to determine the value of the Loss Elimination Ratio. Based on the calculation, it can be concluded that the increase in deductibles, increase Loss Elimination Ratios, and decrease net premiums.
Keyword: asuransi, deductible, kerugian agregat, Loss Elimination Ratio, simulasi Monte Carlo, aggregate loss, deductible, insurance, Loss Elimination Ratio, Monte Carlo simulation

Judul: Biology and ecology of the buffalo fly, haematobia exigua de meijere (diptera:muscidae)
Abstrak: The life history of the buffalo fly was observed at room temperature of 27°-29.5°C and at a relative humidity of 48-68 percent. The eggs hatched after 17-22 hours, with an average of 18 hours. First instar larvae measured 1.25 + 0.16 mm long and 0.27 + 0.037 mm wide. reach the second larval stage. It took 6-12 hours to the second instar larvae measured 2.676 +0.187 mm long and 0.353 +0.028 mm wide. The second instar took about 12-24 hours to reach the third larval stage. The third instar measured 6.833 + 0.189 mm long and 0.919 + 0.051 mm wide. It took about 2-3 days for the third instar to become pupae. Duration of the pupal stage was about 5-7 days before the adults emerged. Under laboratory condition, the buffalo fly completed its life cycle in 9.5 to 10.5 days, whereas under field condition it took 9-14 days with an average of 10.5 days. The growth ratio which was based on the measurements of the cephalo-pharyngeal skeleton of each instar was 1.797. The preoviposition period was 8-12 days and mating usually occurred on the 6th or 7th day. The longevity of the male was 29 days, whereas it was 32 days in the female. The range of egg production under laboratory condition was between 20-139 per female fly. The belly and hind legs of the carabao were the most preferred habitat either during cloudy and cool dry or shiny and warm day. When the weather was clear and the carabao was in the shade, the flies tended to be more distributed particularly on the shoulder, dewlap, back and horns. The carabaos had relatively fewer Musca sp. and Stomoxys calcitrans than cattle; never the less carabaos had a higher infestation of buffalo fly than cattle. Oviposition occured either during the day or night but the buffalo flies were more active during the night than in the day time. The effect of various lengths of exposure time of manure in relation to the oviposition was profound. observed, the maximum number of the buffalo flies was occurred when the dung was exposed for 30 minutes. With increasing time of exposure the number and variety of insects also increase. It was evident that Sepsidae and psychodidae were the most dominant insects emerging from the dung. The number of buffalo flies also increased with increasing
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