Judul: Analisis Sumber Sumber Risiko Produksi Pembenihan Ikan Patin Siam pada Pasir Gaok Fish Farm di Kabupaten Bogor
Abstrak: Siam’s catfish is potential commodity which can develop in Indonesia. This commodity has been developed by Pasir Gaok Fish Farm (PGFF). PGFF faces the production risk as indicated by the production fluctuation and enhancement of catfish seed mortality. The purpose of this study are to identify the sources of production risk, analyze the probability, impact of risks, and alternative strategies. The data was analyzed with descriptive analysis, z-score analysis, and analysis of Value at Risk (VaR). The results showed that prodution risks of siam’s catfish in PGFF are cannibalism, diseases, water quality, and human error. Probability value of each highest risk source consist of cannibalism, diseases, water quality, and human error. The impact of the each highest production risk arerisk of disease, cannibalism, water quality, and human error. Based on the probability and impact of risk, prevention strategies needed to be implemented to solve the risk of cannibalism and disease with giving fresh natural food according to the needs of fish and right time.
Keyword: Bogor Agricultural University (IPB), z-score, value at risk, siam catfish, production risk, pasirgaok

Judul: Analisis Risiko Produksi Pembenihan Ikan Lele Sangkuriang Pada Saung Lele di Kampung Jumbo Sukaraja Kabupaten Bogor
Abstrak: Catfish was one of the consumption fish that has been cultured in Indonesia which has good prospect. The high number of catfish consumption demand, causing the request of catfish seed increasing. Bogor regency was the largest catfish-producing region in the province of West Java and has been designated to be regional aquaculture minapolitan region. Bussiness who work in the breeding of catfish om Bogor regency was Saung Catfish. Entrepreneur was faced with the SR fluctuation problem that indicate a risk of production. In identifying the sources of risk was used descriptive method. Quantitative methods used in counting probability using the Z-score and calculate the impact of using VaR. Sources of production risks contained in catfish hatchery business Sangkuriang at Saung Catfish were pests, disease, water quality, and cannibalism. The analysis result of the probability or the possibility risk arise, i.e. : 1) the pest by 35.6 percent, 2) disease of 29.1 percent, 3) water quality by 40.5 percent, and 4) cannibalism of 34.1 percent. The analysis results of the risk impact, i.e : 1) pest as much Rp. 793 146, 2) disease in amount of Rp. 734 049, 3) water quality of Rp. 1,075,684, and 4) cannibalism in amount of Rp. 956,926. Risk production management strategies for pest risk source, water quality, and cannibalism was by prevention. While the source of risk on disease was handled by manage the maintenance medium properly.
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Judul: Metrik Einstein (Anti-) Self-Dual Berdimensi Empat dengan Metode Cartan
Abstrak: Gravitational field equation can be formulated in differential forms (differential geometry), which describes gravity as a manifestation of the curvature of space-time. Curvature of space-time is characterized by a metric that satisfies the gravitational field equation. With differential forms it can be formulated the (anti-) self-dual Einstein equation, which is a modification of the Cartan structure in (anti-) self-dual basis. Calculation of (anti-) self-dual metric with (anti-) self-dual Einstein equation is simpler than the calculation using Christoffel symbols.
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