Judul: Model Regresi Terboboti Geografis Bayes untuk Data Kemiskinan (Kasus 35 Desa atau Kelurahan di Kabupaten Jember)
Abstrak: Bayesian Geographically Weighted Regression (BGWR) is locally linear regression method to solve some difficulties that arise in Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) model, such as outliers or non-constant variance. The Bayesian approach solves the problems by producing estimates that are robust against aberrant observations. The aberrant observations are automatically detected and downweighted to mitigate their influence on the estimates. In this research, the weighting used for BGWR model is Gaussian and bi-square kernel function. The results showed that BGWR model is better than GWR model. According to mean square error (MSE) values and coefficient of determinant (R2), Gaussian kernel function is better than bi-square kernel function as BGWR weighting to analyze the data on average expenditure per capita of 35 villages in Jember Regency.
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Judul: Model Regresi Terboboti Geografis dengan Pembobot Kernel Normal dan Kernel Kuadrat Ganda untuk Data Kemiskinan (Kasus 35 Desa atau Kelurahan di Kabupaten Jember)
Abstrak: Detection of the rural poverty, usually using the average expenditure per capita with a global analysis and the results are applied to all villages. But poverty is very likely influenced by region (space) and neighborhood, so the data between observation difficult to take independent. Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) is an analysis to accommodate the spatial by involving geographical weighted, which is weighted geographically. Observations on the location of more weight with a smaller weight, according to Tobler's first law of geography which states that the location near the effect will be even greater. In this paper, the weighting used for the GWR model is Gaussian kernel function and bi-square kernel, with their each bandwidth values respectively. Optimal bandwidth can be obtained by minimizing the value of cross validation coefficient (CV). The results showed that the GWR model is more effective than the global regression. According to the mean square error (MSE) values, Gaussian kernel function is better than bi-square kernel as GWR weighting to analyze the data on average expenditure per capita of 35 villages in Jember Regency.
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Judul: Sintesis 1-Kloro-2-metoksi-6-propilnaftalena-1,3-dioksolana (1:1) sebagai Prekursor Asam (S)-(+)-(6-Metoksi-2-naftil)propanoat
Abstrak: Senyawa 1-kloro-2-metoksi-6-propilnaftalena-1,3-dioksolana (1:1) sebagai prekursor asam (S)-(+)-(6-metoksi-2-naftil)propanoat disintesis dari bahan awal 2-metoksinaftalena. Tahapan sintesis diawali dengan klorinasi menggunakan 2 jenis pereaksi klorinasi, yakni isosianurat terklorinasi dan NaOCl. Klorinasi dengan isosianurat terklorinasi berhasil menyintesis 1-kloro-2-metoksinaftalena sebagai produk monoklorinasi melalui pencirian dengan kromatograf gas-spektrometer massa (GC-MS). Nisbah konversi produk paling efisien diperoleh pada laju penambahan 2.5 mmol/jam. Sebaliknya, klorinasi dengan NaOCl menghasilkan produk triklorinasi. 1-Kloro-2-metoksinaftalena selanjutnya diasilasi dengan propanoil klorida, tetapi analisis dengan GC menunjukkan bahwa produk asilasi tidak terbentuk. Sistem bebas-air diperlukan untuk keberhasilan proses asilasi tersebut.
Keyword: isosianurat terklorinasi, NaOCl, nisbah konversi