Judul: Kelayakan Usaha Ikan Gurami di Kecamatan Ciseeng, Kabupaten Bogor
Abstrak: Usaha ikan gurami memiliki potensi untuk dijalankan karena memiliki harga jual yang tinggi. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganlisis kelayakan usaha ikan gurami secara non finansial dan finansial dan sensitivitas perubahan volume produksi, harga pakan pelet, harga benih ikan, harga cacing sutera dan gaji tenaga kerja tetap. Metode yang digunakan untuk menganalisis aspek non finansial adalah deskriptif, untuk aspek finansial menggunakan kriteria kelayakan investasi yaitu NPV, Net B/C, IRR dan PP dan pada analisis sensitivitas dengan metode switching value. Hasil analisis kelayakan usaha ikan gurami pada aspek non finansial adalah usaha dinyatakan layak untuk dijalankan. Pada analisis aspek finansial usaha ikan gurami pada skenario I pembenihan, skenario II pembesaran dan skenario III pembenihan dan pembesaran menunjukan usaha layak untuk dijalankan karena hasil kriteria kelayakan investasi sesuai dengan syarat kelayakan. Diantara tiga skenario, skenario yang paling layak dijalankan adalah skenario II pembesaran. Hasil analisis sensitivitas disimpulkan bahwa penurunan volume produksi paling sensitif dibandingkan perubahan komponen lain.
Keyword: usaha ikan gurami, kelayakan, kriteria kelayakan investasi, switching value

Judul: Analisis kelayakan finansial usaha pembenihan ikan gurame di P4S KOSES, Desa Cibeutenng Muara, Kecamatan Ciseeng, Kabupaten Bogor, Provinsi Jawa Barat
Abstrak: P4S KOPSES (Pusat Pelatihan Pertanian dan Pedesaan Swadaya - Kelomnpok Pemberdayaan Sosial Ekonomi Santri) mempakan salah satu pusat penghasil ikan gurame di Kecamatan Ciseeng, Kabupaten Bogor. P4S KOPSES juga menyelenggarakan kegiatan pelatihah atau magang, Klinik Konsultasi Agribisnis (KKA) khususnya budidaya ikan gurame dan kegiatan pembelajaran bagi mayarakat setempat yang putus sekolah dan kurang marnpu yaitu Pusat Kegiatan Belajar Masyarakat (PKBM). Dalam rangka pembangunan ekonomi daerah, sejak tahun 2002 Kecamatan Ciseeng mencanangkan program peningkatan produktivitas potensi ekonomi daerah dengan konsentrasi kepada pengembangan usaha ikan gurame. Salah satu program pengembangan usaha ikan gurame dilakukan di P4S KOPSES. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui kelayakan finansial usaha pembenihan ikan gurame dalam rangka pengembangan usaha yang akan dilakukan oleh P4S KOPSES. Perhitungan analisis kelayakan usaha dilihat dari aspek finansial dengan menggunakan alat ukur investasi yaitu NPV, Net BIC ,dan IRR. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa nilai NPV sebesar Rp 167.048.961,30, Net B/C sebesar 2,83 dan IRR sebesar 61,75 % atau dengan kata lain, NPV bernilai positif, Net B/C > 1 dan IRR > discount rate (16 %). Berdasarkan nilai tersebut dapat disimpulkan bahwa usaha pembenihan ikan gurame di P4S KOPSES layak untuk dijalankan dan dikembangkan.
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Judul: Thermal Characteristics and Dynamics of Tropical Cyclone over Western North Pacific Ocean: A Case Study of Typhoon Songda (Chedeng) 2011
Abstrak: The frequent occasion of Tropical Cyclone (TC) over Western North Pacific (WNP) Ocean lies from 10˚N to 26˚N and 121˚E to 170˚E. Sources of TC development come from warm ocean temperature where latent heat is released during condensation processes and subsequently concentrated in the boundary layer. Relative humidity at 850-700 hPa is responsible to produce the most intense storm. Meanwhile, weak vertical wind shear between 850-200 hPa is one of the dynamical factors that lead to the development of TC. Pressure level of 850-200 hPa is chosen to minimize the thermodynamic effect in the lower troposphere. Typhoon Songda (Chedeng in the Philippines) or TSC lasted from May 18th to 30th, 2011 and strengthened into powerful Super Typhoon stage between May 24th and 27th. Long curving track and the exhibition of all sequences of TC life cycle, TSC is then considered as an ideal case of TC. The objective of the study with case of TSC is to investigate the role of thermal characteristics and dynamics on TC intensity. The research is carried out by using Advanced Research of Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF ARW model) version 3.3. Two domains are employed in the model. The first domain situate from 02˚N to 40˚N and 118˚E to 149˚E and cover spatial resolution () of 33.1 km. The second domain situate from 09˚N to 27˚N and 119˚E to 132˚E with of 11 km. Timestep of the model () is 120 seconds. The model is supported by the following physical parameterization, i.e., Yonsei University Scheme (YSU) in the boundary layer, Kain-Fritsch scheme (KF) in the cumulus, and WRF Single-Moment 3-class scheme in the microphysics. Initial meteorological condition prior to the formation of the cyclone is generated using WRF ARW standard-release model. Sensitivity of the model output is obtained from a selected single-parameter change scenarios, namely, 10 % to 20 % decrease and increase of wind shear initial data at 850-200 hPa, and by 10 % to 20 % decrease of relative humidity initial data at 850-700 hPa. The result showed that the negative correlations between wind shear and intensity are found in wind shear scenarios. Wind shears of 10 ms-1 which lead to strengthening of the wind intensity in the early period of Typhoon development are found in wind shear scenarios. The effect of wind shear changes on wind intensity is statistically significant in the 20 % wind shear scenarios. During mature stage, weak wind intensity occurred when wind shear increase as given in the WRF standard-release and the 20 % decreasing scenario. Different situation is found in the 20 % increasing scenario where wind shear tend to weak and lead to strong wind intensity at this stage. Meanwhile, the reduction of moisture supply at 850-700 hPa resulting from 20 % decreasing relative humidity play a major role in the weakening of wind intensity and reduces mechanical energy of the cycle process as much as 300 J kg-1.
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