Judul: Strategi Pemasaran Ikan Hias pada Eksportir PT Harlequin Aquatics, Cibinong, Kabupaten Bogor, Jawa Barat
Abstrak: PT Harlequin Aquatics adalah salah satu perusahaan eksportir ikan hias di Kabupaten Bogor. Jumlah eksportir yang meningkat membuat persaingan menjadi ketat dan menuntut PT Harlequin Aquatics untuk memformulasikan dan memilih kebijakan strategi pemasaran yang tepat. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untukmenganalisis faktor lingkungan internal dan eksternal, memformulasikan alternatif strategi, dan menentukan prioritas strategi yang dapat diterapkan oleh PT Harlequin Aquatics. Penelitian ini menggunakan matriks IFE dan EFE untuk menganalisis lingkungan internal dan ekstenal. Formulasi alternatif strategi pemasaran dibuat menggunakan matriks IE dan SWOT. Prioritas strategi dipilih menggunakan metode matriks QSP. Berdasarkan hasil matriks IE, posisi bisnis PT Harlequin Aquatics berada di sel kelima yang berarti PT Harlequin Aquatics berada dalam kondisi internal dan eksternal yang sedang dengan strategi yang dapat digunakan yaitu menjaga dan mempertahankan. Berdasarkan matriks QSP diperoleh hasil prioritas strategi yang sebaiknya dipilih yaitumeningkatkan kualitas ikan hias dengan nilai STAS sebesar 9.2505.
Keyword: alternativestrategies, EFE and IFE matrixes, IE Matrix, SWOT Matrix, QSPM

Judul: Manajemen Risiko Ekspor Ikan Hiasneon Tetra Pada Ptharlequin Aquatics, Di Kabupaten Bogor, Jawa Barat.
Abstrak: Usaha ekspor ikan hias PT Harlequin Aquatics merupakan kegiatan usaha yang sangat berkembang, disamping itu PT Harlequin Aquatics sering menghadapi beberapa risiko yang berdampak merugikan untuk perusahaan. Berdasarkan permasalahan yang terdapat dilokasi penelitian maka tujuandari penelitian adalah mengidentifikasi sumber risiko dalam ekspor ikan hias neon tetra, menganalisis risiko yang dihadapi dalam ekspor ikan hias neon tetra dan menyusun strategi yang dilakukan untuk menganalisis risiko yang dihadapi di PT. Harlequin Aquatics.Sumber risiko kemudian dianalisis seberapa besar probabilitas dan dampaknya dengan metode analisis kualitatif dan analisis kuantitatif yaitu metode z-scoredan VaR.Berdasarkan hasil analisis probabilitas atau kemungkinan terjadinya risiko menggunakan metode Z-score,diperoleh nilai probabilitasdan dampak yaitu2,14persendanRp.110.770.504. Strategi preventifyang diusulkan adalah: pemilihan cargo, menerapkan SOP karyawan dan mengembangkan sumber daya manusia, bimbingan teknis dan pelatihan. Strategi Mitigasiyang diusulkan adalah: melakukan kerjasama denganpembeli dan cargo, meningkatkan tanggung jawab kerjadan keterampilan, mengganti sistem pembayaran dan mengganti sistem order.
Keyword: Metode Z-Score, Value at riskScore

Judul: Thermal Characteristics and Dynamics of Tropical Cyclone over Western North Pacific Ocean: A Case Study of Typhoon Songda (Chedeng) 2011
Abstrak: The frequent occasion of Tropical Cyclone (TC) over Western North Pacific (WNP) Ocean lies from 10˚N to 26˚N and 121˚E to 170˚E. Sources of TC development come from warm ocean temperature where latent heat is released during condensation processes and subsequently concentrated in the boundary layer. Relative humidity at 850-700 hPa is responsible to produce the most intense storm. Meanwhile, weak vertical wind shear between 850-200 hPa is one of the dynamical factors that lead to the development of TC. Pressure level of 850-200 hPa is chosen to minimize the thermodynamic effect in the lower troposphere. Typhoon Songda (Chedeng in the Philippines) or TSC lasted from May 18th to 30th, 2011 and strengthened into powerful Super Typhoon stage between May 24th and 27th. Long curving track and the exhibition of all sequences of TC life cycle, TSC is then considered as an ideal case of TC. The objective of the study with case of TSC is to investigate the role of thermal characteristics and dynamics on TC intensity. The research is carried out by using Advanced Research of Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF ARW model) version 3.3. Two domains are employed in the model. The first domain situate from 02˚N to 40˚N and 118˚E to 149˚E and cover spatial resolution () of 33.1 km. The second domain situate from 09˚N to 27˚N and 119˚E to 132˚E with of 11 km. Timestep of the model () is 120 seconds. The model is supported by the following physical parameterization, i.e., Yonsei University Scheme (YSU) in the boundary layer, Kain-Fritsch scheme (KF) in the cumulus, and WRF Single-Moment 3-class scheme in the microphysics. Initial meteorological condition prior to the formation of the cyclone is generated using WRF ARW standard-release model. Sensitivity of the model output is obtained from a selected single-parameter change scenarios, namely, 10 % to 20 % decrease and increase of wind shear initial data at 850-200 hPa, and by 10 % to 20 % decrease of relative humidity initial data at 850-700 hPa. The result showed that the negative correlations between wind shear and intensity are found in wind shear scenarios. Wind shears of 10 ms-1 which lead to strengthening of the wind intensity in the early period of Typhoon development are found in wind shear scenarios. The effect of wind shear changes on wind intensity is statistically significant in the 20 % wind shear scenarios. During mature stage, weak wind intensity occurred when wind shear increase as given in the WRF standard-release and the 20 % decreasing scenario. Different situation is found in the 20 % increasing scenario where wind shear tend to weak and lead to strong wind intensity at this stage. Meanwhile, the reduction of moisture supply at 850-700 hPa resulting from 20 % decreasing relative humidity play a major role in the weakening of wind intensity and reduces mechanical energy of the cycle process as much as 300 J kg-1.
Keyword: