Judul: Peramalan Pasokan Tandan Buah Segar dan Penjualan Minyak Sawit Kasar Menggunakan Jaringan Syaraf Tiruan Propagasi Balik
Abstrak: Crude palm oil sales forecasting and palm oil fresh fruit bunch stock forecasting are common problems for palm agro industry company. The low rate of sales due to wrong prediction may influence company’s expansion plan. Moreover, crude palm oil stock is strongly dependent on palm oil fresh fruit bunch stock in each fields. The objective of this study is to create a model for sales forecasting of crude palm oil by using backpropagation Neural Network. This study uses secondary data which contains historical data of crude palm oil sales dependent on TBS stocks from 3 fields (inti, plasma, luar). The data is obtained from PT. Perkebunan Nusantara (PTPN) XIII term of January 2005 to December 2007. Factors that influence backpropagation neural network model are the number of neurons in the hidden layer and the learning rate. The conclusion obtained based on the result test is that the level of accuracy of the Backpropagation Neural Network in predicting the supply of Palm Fresh Fruit Bunch and Crude Palm Oil sales is more competitive than the accuracy of ARIMA time series data model for Palm Fresh Fruit Bunch and Crude Palm Oil sales with 750.45 for RMSE and 25.67 MAPE.
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Judul: Prediction of The Closing Price of Stock using Backpropagation Neural Network Method
Abstrak: Saham adalah tanda penyertaan modal seseorang atau badan usaha dalam suatu perusahaan atau perseroan terbatas. Sebelum melakukan investasi, para investor perlu mempelajari prospek harga saham di masa mendatang. Oleh karena itu, peramalan harga saham sangat diperlukan. Pada karya ilmiah ini, dilakukan prediksi harga saham menggunakan metode jaringan saraf tiruan perambatan balik. Metode ini memperhitungkan input, jumlah neuron, dan fungsi pembelajaran yang harus ditentukan. Berdasarkan penghitungan Mean Absolute Error (MAE) dan Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), jaringan yang paling optimal adalah jaringan yang menggunakan input harga pembukaan saham dan tingkat suku bunga dengan satu neuron dan fungsi pembelajaran traincgb. MAE yang diperoleh sebesar 237.7063 rupiah dan MAPE sebesar 2.934777%., Stocks are sign of a person’s or business entity’s capital participation in a company or limited liability company. Before making an investment, an investor needs to study the prospect of future stock price. Therefore, making a forecast of future stock is indispensable. In this paper, backpropagation neural network method is used to forecast stock closing price. This method takes into accounts the input variables, the number of neurons, and it requires a learning function which must be defined. Based on Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), the most optimal network is achieved by using stock opening price and interest rate as input variables with one neuron and traincgb learning function. The obtained MAE is IDR 237.7063 and MAPE is 2.934777% which is relatively small.
Keyword: stock closing price, backpropagation neural network, forecasting

Judul: Sintesis dan Pencirian Kompleks Fe(III)-Kuersetin
Abstrak: Quercetin belongs to flavonols which is able to chelate metal ions. Quercetin may chelate metal ions at 3’,4’-catechol, 3- or 5-hydroxycromone sites. In this study, quercetin was complexed with Fe(III). The complex with Fe(III) ions from FeCl3·6H2O was more stable than the complex derived from Fe(NO3)3·9H2O. The quercetin was yellow in color and showed maximum wavelengths (λ􀭫􀭟􀭶) at 250 and 370 nm. The Fe(III)-quercetin complex from Fe(NO3)3·9H2O was yellowish green with 􀟣􀭫􀭟􀭶 at 280 and 420 nm, whereas that from FeCl3·6H2O was dark green with 􀟣􀭫􀭟􀭶 at 280 and 430 nm. The 􀟣􀭫􀭟􀭶 shift indicated that the complex was formed at 3-hydroxychromone site. The Fe(III)- quercetin complex was formed with 1:1 metal-ligand mole ratio based on atomic absorption spectrophotometry analysis and the X-ray diffractogram showed that the crystallinity of the complex was 37%.
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