Judul: Estimation model of basin water yield of five main rivers in Aceh Province, Estimation model of basin water yield of five main rivers in Aceh province
Abstrak: The design of hydrologic model may vary depend on some influencing factors, such as size, slope, river network and land use of the watershed. All these factors will affect the water yield. This research will study the estimation model of water yield of five main rivers in Aceh. The objectives of this research are : (1) present the characteristic of watershed of five main rivers in Aceh (2) present the variation of water yield estimates of the different watersheds and what are the influences of the different factors, (3) present water yield analysis and simulate the effect of rehabilitation and land use conservation for water yield in five watershed in Aceh Province with three subsequent models: H2U (Hydrogramme Unitaire Universel) model, Integration models between NRCS (Natural Resources Conservation Service) and baseflow and Mock Model. H2U model interpreted the Unit Hydrograph as the travel time probability density function (pdf) to the watershed outlet. Each flow path is characterized by the probability that a water drop follows it, its length and the pdf of its travel time. NRCS-TR 55 uses the runoff curve number (CN) method to estimate runoff from storm rainfall. Determination of CN depends on the watershed’s soil and cover conditions, which the model represents as hydrologic soil group, cover type, treatment, and hydrologic condition. Mock Model aims at a preliminary assessment of the available water resources in three main forms: precipitation; surface water and ground water. H2U model is able to simulate flood discharge at watershed in Aceh Province with efficiency coeficient 92 % compared to discharge measured. Integration models between NRCS and baseflow, capable to simulate water yield in Aceh Province with Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coeficient 79.05 % compared to discharge measured. Mock model that used in this research capable to estimate of monthly discharge with efficiency coeficient 86.8 percentage, average yearly water yield in Aceh Province is 62.9 x 109 m3/year. Rehabilitation and land use conservation by reforestation at five watersheds in Aceh to result in stable water yield in a whole year and capable to lower runoff and increase baseflow.
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Judul: Modeling of Flood for Land Use Management (Case Study of Ciliwung Watershed)
Abstrak: Floods are one of the major disasters affecting many countries in the world year after year. It is an inevitable natural phenomenon occurring from time to time in all rivers and natural drainage systems. It causes damage to lives, natural resources and environment as well as the loss of economy and health. Floods represent complex problems because of its variety. Therefore, this variety cannot be studied or controlled only by one or two specific methods. The objectives of this research are to understand the process of flood events and its interaction with hydrometeorological components, to develop flood model for watershed management and to determine the effect of land use change to watershed discharge which indicates flood event. The research consists of four processes those are 1) Data Preparation, 2) Model Development, 3) Model Simulation and 4) Model Calibration and Validation. Data preparation was conducted for two kinds of data namely spatial data and tabular data. Model developed as numerical model of the hydrology of a river basin system. This model includes the response of watershed to precipitation, the actions of the river network as water flows through the river, the effect of land use changes, and the effect of engineering structures to the watershed. Model simulated by change land use as an input. Model calibrated by using water level data of field measurement in year 1996 and model validated by using water level data of field measurement in year 2000. The result of this reseach showed how the process based modeling is useful to model hidrological processes over the watershed. Precipitation is the main input for hidrology simulation and land use change gives the effect of water level in the watershed. The model which is built in this research can be used to evaluate runoff from different land use areas. For assessing the hydrological effects of land use changes on floods, three hypothetical scenarios, namely urbanization, deforestation and afforestation scenario, were considered made. It was found from the model simulation that the urbanization scenario has the higest negative impact on increasing water level. Deforestation has the second largest negative impact, while afforestation causes positive impact shown by decreasing water level. The result indicated that the urbanization produce the highest peak flow, followed by the deforestation and afforestation scenario. The simulated water level for the present land use is 84 cm, for the urbanization scenario 135 cm, deforestation scenario 92 cm, and afforestation scenario 59 cm. Accordingly, the urbanization scenario increases the peak discharge by 61%, the deforestation scenario increase 15%, and afforestation decrease by 19%.
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Judul: Psittacosis Sebagai Zoonosis Penting Yang Berasal Dari Burung
Abstrak: Psittacosis atau ornithosis adalah penyakit menular dari burung kepada manusia. Agens penyebab psittacosis termasuk ke dalam virus psittacosis-lymphogranuloma venereum group yang disebut Chlamydia psittaci. C. psittaci hanya dapat berkembang biak di dalam jaringan hidup tetapi peka terhadap antibiotik. Penyebaran penyakit ini sangat luas, terdapat hampir di seluruh dunia. Di Indonesia penyakit ini belum pernah di diagnosa, tetapi mengingat terdapat demikian banyaknya jenis burung maka diperkirakan psittacosis ini sudah ada. Kasus pada manusia pertamakali ditemukan oleh Ritter pada tahun 1879, di Eropa. Waktu itu dikenal sebagai pneumotyphus. Chlamydia psittaci tidak hanya sebagai penyebab infeksi pada burung, juga bisa menyebabkan infeksi pada mamalia diantaranya sapi, kerbau, kambing, domba, babi dan kucing. Pada kucing dikenal sebagai feline pneumonitis. Pada domba atau kambing mengakibatkan enzootic abortion. Pada burung, kalkun merupakan unggas paling rentan diikuti oleh burung psittacine dan burung lain di luar famili psittacidae. Virulensinyapun berbeda-beda. Yang berasal dari kalkun bervirulensi tinggi, sedangkan yang berasal dari burung merpati bisa bervirulensi tinggi bisa juga bervirulensi rendah. Penularan terjadi melalui kontak langsung maupun ti- dak langsung. Penularan melalui telur tidak terjadi. Umumnya penyakit ini memperlihatkan gejala klinis berupa deman, lesu, lemah, anorexia, kurus, diarrhea ber- warna kekuningan, discharge dari mata dan hidung, conjunc- tivitis. Gejala khas pada kalkun adalah istirahat dengan sternum sebagai dasarnya, karena adanya tekanan dari bagian perut yang sakit. Sedangkan pada manusia memperlihatkan adanya demam, kadang-kadang merasa dingin, lesu, sakit kepala yang hebat, sakit pada bagian belakang badan dan photophobia…dst
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