Judul: Penerapan metode empirical best linear unbiased prodiction pada model small area estimation dalam pendugaan tingkat pengangguran di Kota Bogor
Abstrak: Pendugaan area kecil (small area estimation) mendapatkan perhatian statistisi dunia pada beberapa tahun belakangan ini. Pendugaan parameter secara langsung berdasarkan data survey untuk menduga statistik area kecil tidak dapat diandalkan karena memiliki keragaman yang besar akibat ukuran contoh yang kecil. Small area estimation merupakan salah satu solusi untuk memperbaiki ha1 tersebut, yaitu melakukan pendugaan dengan informasi-informasi tambahan yang bisa didapatkan dari area lain yang serupa, survey terdahulu yang dilakukan di area yang sama dan peubah lain yang berhubungan dengan peubah yang ingin diduga. Salah satu metode yang dikembangkan dalam small area estimation adalah EBLUP (Empirical Best Linear Unbiased Prediction). Perbandingan kebaikan antara pendugaan langsung dan pendugaan tidak Iangsung dapat dilihat dari RRMSE (Relalive Root Mean Squared Error) yang diperoleh. Pendugaan tidak langsung dengan metode EBLUP untuk kasus tingkat pengangguran di Kota Bogor memiliki RRMSE yang lebih kecil daripada RRMSE yang didapat dari pendugaan langsung. Dengan demikian secara empirik pada keragaman sampling error yang cenderung homogen, pendugaan tidak langsung dengan metode EBLUP memiliki akurasi dm presisi yang Iebih baik dibandingkan dengan pendugaan langsung.
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Judul: Penerapan metode Empirical Bayes pada Model Small Area Estimation dalam pendugaan pengeluaran per kapita di Kota Bogor
Abstrak: Saat ini kebutuhan small area statisctics yang akurat menjadi perhatian statistisi dunia. Pendugaan parameter secara langsung untuk area kecil, seperti pada level desa/kelurahan, menjadi tidak dapt diandalkan karena area tersebut mungkin direpresentasikan oleh objek survei yang jumlahnya sangat kecil atau bahkan tidak terwakili dalam survei.
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Judul: Systematics of Desmos (Annonaceae) in Malesia
Abstrak: Desmos is a woody climbing genus of Annonaceae which has been widely used as traditional medicine in several countries such as China, Indo-China, Thailand, and Peninsular Malaysia to treat dysentery, vertigo, fever, and postpartum. Phylogenetic studies on Desmos showed a close relationship between Desmos and Dasymaschalon. They share similar moniliform monocarpic fruits, but their flowers are different. It has been debated among Annonaceae researchers whether both genera should be treated as the same or distinct genus. Therefore, investigation on the taxonomic delimitation of Desmos species and Dasymaschalon will be necessary. Plastid genome (plastome) identification, leaf epidermal section of Desmos species and Dasymaschalon species, a taxonomic revision of Desmos in Malesia using morphological data, the spatial distribution of Desmos species in Malesia, and morphological and genetic variation in Desmos chinensis population using ISSR marker were used to investigate taxonomic delimitation of Desmos. Plastome study of Desmos chinensis and Dasymaschalon dasymaschalum was carried out to determine the origin, evolution, phylogenomics, and identify marker candidates for Desmos and Dasymaschalon or with other genera in Annonaceae. We discovered that the plastome of Desmos chinensis was circular with the size of 167,677 bp (smaller than Dasymaschalon dasymaschalum), consist of 111 genes, including 78 protein-coding genes, 29 transfer RNAs, and 4 ribosomal RNAs. The plastome showed a typical quadripartite structure, i.e., large single copy (LSC), small single copy (SSC), and two inverted repeats (IRs). The plastome of Dasymaschalon dasymaschalum was 191,488 bp in length, which also exhibited a typical quadripartite structure (LSC, SSC, and two IRs). Desmos chinensis and Dasymaschalon dasymaschalum showed different copies of accD, ndhD, ndhF, rps18, and ycf2. Protein coding genes of rpoB, rpoC1, rbcL, matK, rpl32, infA, and rpl36 were identified based on nucleotide diversity, sequence variability, and parsimony-informative sites. The genes are defined as molecular marker candidates of plastome for phylogenetic, barcoding, and population genetic research. We predicted that Desmos chinensis and Dasymaschalon dasymaschalum separated at ca. 64 million years ago during the Paleocene. Leaf anatomical feature study was carried to support the taxonomic delimitation of interspecific Desmos and intergeneric of Desmos and Dasymaschalon. Leaf anatomy in the paradermal section of 20 taxa (12 species of Desmos, eight species of Dasymaschalon) have been carried out. According to the leaf epidermal section, Desmos and Dasymaschalon are two distinct genera mainly distinguished based on the anticlinal wall undulation of epidermal cells and supported by variation of the crystal type and size. The anticlinal wall undulation of Desmos was almost straight to slightly wavy and never sinuous; meanwhile, Dasymaschalon varies from almost straight to deeply sinusoid. The crystals of Desmos consist of rhombohedral, druse type A, and druse type B crystals, whereas Dasymaschalon has prism, druse type A, druse type B, and druse type C crystals. The recent taxonomic revision using the morphological data was mainly based on the examination of about 1374 specimens from BO, L, WAN, ANDA, SING, SAN, K, P, HUH herbaria. The Desmos species in Malesia consists of eight species: D. acutus, D. chinensis, D. chryseus, D. dunalii, D. pedunculosus, D. subbiglandulosus, two new records: D. lawii and D. macrocarpus, and one
Keyword: Dasymaschalon, Desmoid clade, Magnoliid, plastid genome, phylogenomics analysis