Judul: Analisis Strategi Promosi Lapis Bogor Sangkuriang
Abstrak: Lapis Bogor Sangkuriang (LBS) adalah UMKM yang bergerak di bidang kuliner. Strategi promosi yang baik harus dilakukan oleh LBS untuk mengahadapi persaingan bisnis yang ketat. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah: mengidentifikasi dan menganalisis faktor internal dan eksternal yang berpengaruh pada penetapan strategi promosi LBS, menganalisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi penyusunan strategi promosi, dan menyusun analisis strategi yang paling tepat pada LBS untuk mencapai target yang diharapkan. Penelitian menggunakan data primer dan sekunder. Data primer menggunakan kuesioner kepada para pakar. Alat analisis yang digunakan, yaitu analisis Internal Factor Evaluation (IFE), External Factor Evaluation (EFE), matriks Interal External (IE), analisis Strength, Weakness, Opportunity, Threat (SWOT) dan Analythical Hierarchy Process (AHP). Hasil penelitian didapatkan 4 alternatif strategi, yaitu optimalisasi penjualan produk LBS, menambah outlet penjualan baru di daerah Bogor agar konsumen mudah mendapatkan produk LBS, mempertahankan dan mengembangkan pangsa pasar, dan meningkatkan intensitas promosi penjualan melalui media elektonik, khususnya website dan media sosial.
Keyword: Proses hierarki analitik (PHA), Strategi promosi, SWOT

Judul: Analisis Strategi Pengembangan Usaha “Lapis Bogor Sangkuriang” Kota Bogor Jawa Barat
Abstrak: “Lapis Bogor Sangkuriang” (“LBS”) is a company that produces layered cake and brownies as souvenirs typical of Bogor. This study aims to identify the internal and external factors, analyzing alternative strategy, and recommends priority strategies. Research using the IFE, EFE, IE, SWOT and QSPM. The results show that the company’s internal condition of the location,product certification, product quality, distribution channel, division of tasks, bookkeeping system, the communication between the owner and employees, servicing, payment systems, promotions, lands outlets, equipment, web site, as well as research and development. Research also shows the company’s external condition, which economic growth, spending population, increasing population, government support, tourist areas, development of technology, bargaining power of suppliers, inflation, amount of processed food manufacturers, industry entry barriers, development of other products, and strength of the buyer. Based on analysis using matrix IE,“LBS” are in a position to keep and maintain (fifth cell). Based on the SWOT analysis produced eight alternative strategies. Priority strategy based on the matrix QSP, “LBS” can use strategy to open new outlets in other areas in Bogor city.
Keyword: business development strategy, LBS”,

Judul: Thermal Characteristics and Dynamics of Tropical Cyclone over Western North Pacific Ocean: A Case Study of Typhoon Songda (Chedeng) 2011
Abstrak: The frequent occasion of Tropical Cyclone (TC) over Western North Pacific (WNP) Ocean lies from 10˚N to 26˚N and 121˚E to 170˚E. Sources of TC development come from warm ocean temperature where latent heat is released during condensation processes and subsequently concentrated in the boundary layer. Relative humidity at 850-700 hPa is responsible to produce the most intense storm. Meanwhile, weak vertical wind shear between 850-200 hPa is one of the dynamical factors that lead to the development of TC. Pressure level of 850-200 hPa is chosen to minimize the thermodynamic effect in the lower troposphere. Typhoon Songda (Chedeng in the Philippines) or TSC lasted from May 18th to 30th, 2011 and strengthened into powerful Super Typhoon stage between May 24th and 27th. Long curving track and the exhibition of all sequences of TC life cycle, TSC is then considered as an ideal case of TC. The objective of the study with case of TSC is to investigate the role of thermal characteristics and dynamics on TC intensity. The research is carried out by using Advanced Research of Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF ARW model) version 3.3. Two domains are employed in the model. The first domain situate from 02˚N to 40˚N and 118˚E to 149˚E and cover spatial resolution () of 33.1 km. The second domain situate from 09˚N to 27˚N and 119˚E to 132˚E with of 11 km. Timestep of the model () is 120 seconds. The model is supported by the following physical parameterization, i.e., Yonsei University Scheme (YSU) in the boundary layer, Kain-Fritsch scheme (KF) in the cumulus, and WRF Single-Moment 3-class scheme in the microphysics. Initial meteorological condition prior to the formation of the cyclone is generated using WRF ARW standard-release model. Sensitivity of the model output is obtained from a selected single-parameter change scenarios, namely, 10 % to 20 % decrease and increase of wind shear initial data at 850-200 hPa, and by 10 % to 20 % decrease of relative humidity initial data at 850-700 hPa. The result showed that the negative correlations between wind shear and intensity are found in wind shear scenarios. Wind shears of 10 ms-1 which lead to strengthening of the wind intensity in the early period of Typhoon development are found in wind shear scenarios. The effect of wind shear changes on wind intensity is statistically significant in the 20 % wind shear scenarios. During mature stage, weak wind intensity occurred when wind shear increase as given in the WRF standard-release and the 20 % decreasing scenario. Different situation is found in the 20 % increasing scenario where wind shear tend to weak and lead to strong wind intensity at this stage. Meanwhile, the reduction of moisture supply at 850-700 hPa resulting from 20 % decreasing relative humidity play a major role in the weakening of wind intensity and reduces mechanical energy of the cycle process as much as 300 J kg-1.
Keyword: