Judul: Analysis of Indonesian Cinnamon Export Competitiveness in the International Market Period 2017 - 2021
Abstrak: Berdasarkan TradeMap (2022), pada periode 2017 – 2021 Indonesia adalah negara pengekspor kayu manis terbesar ke-4 di dunia. Untuk mempertahankan dan meningkatkan kinerja ekspor kayu manis Indonesia perlu diketahui faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi nilai ekspor kayu manis. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis daya saing komparatif maupun kompetitif serta faktor-faktor apa saja yang mempengaruhi pertumbuhan ekspor kayu manis periode 2017 – 2021. Penelitian ini menggunakan tiga metode perhitungan yaitu Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Indeks Spesialisasi Perdagangan (ISP), dan Constant Market Share (CMS). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa ekspor kayu manis memiliki keunggulan komparatif yang kuat pada ketiga jenis kode HS. Selain itu, hasil perhitungan keunggulan kompetitif pada kode HS 090619 dan kode HS 090620 berada pada tahap kematangan. Sedangkan kode HS 090611 berada pada tahap pertumbuhan. Faktor yang memberikan pengaruh positif terhadap pertumbuhan ekspor kayu manis Indonesia yaitu pertumbuhan standar dan distribusi pasar sedangkan faktor daya saing dan komposisi komoditas bernilai negatif., Based on TradeMap (2022), in the period 2017 – 2021 Indonesia is the 4th largest cinnamon exporting country in the world. To maintain and improve the performance of Indonesian cinnamon exports, it is necessary to know the factors that affect the value of cinnamon exports. This study aims to analyze comparative and competitive competitiveness as well as what factors affect the growth of cinnamon exports for the period 2017 – 2021. This study uses three calculation methods, namely Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Trade Specialization Index (ISP), and Constant Market Shares (CMS). The results showed that the export of cinnamon has a strong comparative advantage in the three types of HS codes. In addition, the calculation results of competitive advantage on HS code 090619 and HS code 090620 are in the maturity stage. While the HS code 090611 is in the growth stage. Factors that have a positive influence on the growth of Indonesian cinnamon exports are standard growth and market distribution, while competitiveness and commodity composition are negative.
Keyword: Daya saing, Kayu manis

Judul: Analysis of Competitiveness and Factors Affecting Indonesian Cinnamon Powder Exports to  Main Destination Countries
Abstrak: Indonesia merupakan negara eksportir terbesar bubuk kayu manis (kode HS 090620) di dunia. Sejak 2012, nilai ekspor bubuk kayu manis Indonesia lebih tinggi dibandingkan dengan nilai ekspor kayu manis mentah. Namun nilai ekspor tersebut masih berfluktuatif dan cenderung menurun dibandingkan negara pesaing seperti Vietnam. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis daya saing, cakupan pemberlakuan NTM, dan faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi ekspor bubuk kayu manis Indonesia ke 9 negara tujuan utama periode 2011-2020. Metode analisis yang digunakan pada penelitian ini adalah metode RCA, EPS, X-Model, pendekatan inventory, dan regresi data panel. Metode RCA menunjukkan bahwa bubuk kayu manis Indonesia memiliki daya saing yang kuat di 9 negara tujuan. Metode EPD menunjukkan posisi pasar retreat, falling star, dan rising star. X-Model menunjukkan pengembangan pasar optimis ke Swedia, potensial ke Belanda, Vietnam, Kanada, dan Jerman, sedangkan kurang potensial ke Amerika Serikat, Jerman, Brazil, dan Australia. Hasil regresi data panel menunjukkan harga ekspor, nilai tukar, LPI Indonesia, GDP riil per kapita negara tujuan, dan CR SPS memiliki pengaruh signifikan positif. Sedangkan dummy pandemi Covid-19 dan CR TBT memiliki pengaruh signifikan negatif., Indonesia is the largest exporter of cinnamon powder (HS code 090620) in the world. However, the export value is still fluctuating and tends to decrease compared to competing countries such as Vietnam. This study aims to analyze the competitiveness, scope of application of the NTM, and the factors that influence the export of Indonesian cinnamon powder to 9 main destination countries for the period 2011-2020. The analytical methods used in this research are RCA, EPD, X Model, inventory approach, and panel data regression. The RCA method shows that Indonesian cinnamon powder has strong competitiveness in 9 destination countries. The EPD method shows the retreat, falling star, and rising star market positions. The X-Model shows an optimistic market development to Sweden, potential to the Netherlands, Vietnam, Canada, and Germany, while less potential to the United States, Germany, Brazil, and Australia. The results of panel data regression show that export prices, exchange rates, LPI Indonesia, real GDP per capita of destination countries, and CR SPS have a significant positive effect. Meanwhile, the Covid-19 pandemic dummy and CR TBT had a significant negative effect.
Keyword: bubuk kayu manis, LPI, NTMs, daya saing, EPD, data panel

Judul: Penyelesaian Masalah Rotasi Aliran Fluida Kental Von Karman Menggunakan Metode Homotopi
Abstrak: Von Karman equation is an equation that describes fluid viscous flow induced by infinite disk rotation. By assuming steady flow and laminar, viscous incompressible fluid flow is represented in Von Karman equation by an angular velocity and the vertical direction velocity as the independent variables. Von Karman equation is a nonlinear problem that is solved using the homotopy method. The use of homotopy method is done by defining an homotopy function that requires auxiliary parameters to control the convergent region of the solution. The solution is a recursive formula with given initial conditions. Using software based-functional shows that velocity components converge to a value.
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