Judul: Prediksi Perpindahan Penggunaan Merek Simcard dengan Pendekatan Rantai Markov
Abstrak: Offering cheaper starter pack of simcard and cheaper tariff in GSM prepaid card constitute some strategies of telecommunication provider in costumer’s designation. However, there is a significant consequence caused by these strategies, i.e. costumers prefer to use cheaper GSM cards regardless to other factors. This condition will make customers easy to switch between GSM cards. This switching problem should be taken into consideration, if the telecommunication companies do not want to loose their costumers due to more expensive rates compared to other telecommunication companies. The aims of this research are to describe the brand switching of simcards by using Markov chain model and to analyze the characteristic of consumers of prepaid GSM cards. Cellular card that controls market can be determined from the most mobile card, which has the greatest probability of use. Meanwhile, from the transition probability point of view, cellular card that controls market is the card that has the greatest transition probability to itself rather than to the others.
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Judul: Analisis Daya Tahan Pengguna Nomor Kartu Prabayar Telekomunikasi
Abstrak: Telecomunication prepaid customer has increased significanly compared to postpaid customers. The growth in prepaid is driven by a end-to-end simple ecosystem that is built by telecommunication operator, for example started pack can be bought anywhere anytime, retail outlet for voucher can be found everywhere. That simplicity has been creating another effect to customer in which they can easily switch sim card after the balance run out.That behavior driven by regulation in buying prepaid SIM that not optimum in which customer data can not be validated. The impact of rotational prepaid customer gives a high cost to telecommunication provider and the availability of number becomes limited. For customers, the impact of rotational SIM has made them vulnerable from spamming. Those impact can be minimized if regulator and telecommunication operator knows the factors that drives customer changing their SIM cards.This study is to define the factors which has driven customers in buying new SIM cards, by survival model of prepaid customers and to define the probability loyal customer based on significant characteristics. Data in this study is based on survey to 300 prepaid customers in DKI Jakarta. Survival Analysis is a statistical technique to define the pattern of survivals based on failure times and survival times. Data of survival times is measured from the time customer bought the SIM card until event in which customer stop using it. In his study, characteristic that are both significantly effect to drives rotational customer is age, voucher price and income. Based on the value of its hazard ratio, age 16 until 18 years, income 1.5 until 3 million voucher price under 10 thousand rupies category is an indicator that gives customer the greatest influence in determining the level of one’s impact of rotational prepaid customer.
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Judul: Karakteristik Anatomi Skelet Tubuh Buaya Senyulong (Tomistoma schlegelii)
Abstrak: Buaya senyulong (Tomistoma schlegelii) merupakan buaya besar yang rentan punah dan hanya dapat ditemukan di rawa dataran rendah, danau dan sungai di Sumatera bagian timur, Kalimantan dan Jawa Barat (Indonesia), Serawak, Semenanjung Malaysia (Malaysia) serta Brunei Darussalam. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah mempelajari karakteristik anatomi skelet tubuh buaya senyulong yang dikaitkan dengan fungsi dan perilakunya. Penelitian ini menggunakan satu set preparat skelet tubuh buaya senyulong. Parameter penelitian meliputi pengamatan bentuk bagian skelet yang khas, mengukur panjang dan lebar tulang, serta dibandingkan dengan skelet tubuh jenis buaya lain, biawak air (Varanus salvator) maupun literatur yang terkait dengan sistem skelet tubuh hewan. Karakteristik anatomi skelet tubuh buaya senyulong relatif mirip pada jenis buaya lain. Beberapa karakteristik yang ditemukan yaitu, proatlas pada os atlas, os axis hanya memiliki zygapophysis caudalis, bagian lateral dari ossa vertebrae cervicales yang dilengkapi dengan cervical ribs, memiliki jumlah costae sternalis yang banyak, rangkaian ossa gastralia pada abdomen, ossa vertebrae lumbales memiliki zygapophysis cranialis dengan sudut >90o dari sumbu tubuh. Selain itu, os vertebrae caudalis I memiliki caput cranial dan caudal, ossa vertebrae caudales memiliki processus transversus yang semakin memendek ke arah caudal. Di medioventral tulang ini ditemukan ossa chevron dengan hemal arch sampai menjelang akhir ossa vertebrae caudalis. Skelet tubuh buaya senyulong memiliki hubungan yang kokoh dan kompak untuk menunjang fleksibilitas tubuh untuk berjalan, berenang dan berburu mangsa
Keyword: anatomi, buaya senyulong, skelet tubuh