Judul: Daya Saing Minyak Sawit Indonesia Dan Dampak Renewable Energy Directive (Red) Terhadap Ekspor Indonesia Di Pasar Uni Eropa
Abstrak: Minyak sawit merupakan komoditi ekspor unggulan Indonesia. Uni Eropa merupakan pengimpor minyak sawit Indonesia terbesar kedua setelah India. Pada tahun 2009 Uni Eropa mengeluarkan Renewable Energy Directive yang dapat berdampak kepada ekspor minyak sawit Indonesia. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis posisi daya saing minyak sawit Indonesia menggunakan metode Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) dan Export Product Dynamics (EPD) di pasar Uni Eropa serta menganalisis dampak kebijakan Renewable Energy Directive terhadap nilai ekspor minyak sawit Indonesia dengan menggunakan gravity model. Hasil analisis RCA menunjukkan bahwa minyak sawit Indonesia memiliki keunggulan komparatif (nilai RCA>1). Analisis EPD minyak sawit Indonesia pada lima negara anggota Uni Eropa berada pada posisi “Rising Star”. Hasil analisis gravity model menunjukkan GDP riil perkapita negara tujuan, populasi negara tujuan, harga ekspor minyak sawit, dan kebijakan Renewable Energy Directive signifikan memengaruhi nilai ekspor minyak sawit, sedangkan nilai tukar riil Indonesia dan jarak ekonomi tidak berpengaruh signifikan.
Keyword: minyak sawit, Renewable Energy Directive, RCA, EPD, gravity model

Judul: Analysis of Renewable Energy Directive Policy, Indirect Land Use Change, and Competitiveness of Indonesian CPO to European Union Market
Abstrak: Produk kelapa sawit dalam bentuk Crude Palm Oil (CPO) merupakan komoditas andalan ekspor Indonesia. Uni Eropa merupakan negara tujuan ekspor terbesar kedua CPO Indonesia yang mengeluarkan beberapa kebijakan terkait kelapa sawit, seperti kebijakan Renewable Energy Directive I, II, serta kebijakan Indirect Land Use Change yang dapat berpengaruh terhadap ekspor CPO Indonesia. Tujuan dari penelitian ini yaitu menganalisis daya saing serta kinerja ekspor CPO Indonesia setelah adanya kebijakan RED dan ILUC. Metode penelitian yang digunakan yaitu RCA, EPD, X-Model, dan regresi data panel. Hasil analisis RCA menunjukkan bahwa CPO Indonesia memiliki daya saing yang tinggi. Hasil analisis EPD menunjukkan bahwa CPO Indonesia berada pada posisi rising star dan retreat. Hasil analisis X-Model menunjukkan bahwa CPO Indonesia berada pada pengembangan pasar optimis dan kurang potensial. Hasil analisis regresi data panel menunjukkan bahwa variabel yang berpengaruh positif dan signifikan yaitu variabel nilai tukar riil. Variabel yang berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan yaitu GDP per kapita, dummy kebijakan RED, dan dummy kebijakan ILUC., Palm oil products in the form of Crude Palm Oil (CPO) are Indonesia's main export commodity. The European Union is the second largest export destination country for Indonesian CPO which has issued several policies related to palm oil, such as the Renewable Energy Directive I, II policies, and the Indirect Land Use Change policy which can affect Indonesian CPO exports. The aim of this research is to analyze the competitiveness and performance of Indonesian CPO exports after the RED and ILUC policies. The research methods used are RCA, EPD, X-Model, and panel data regression. The results of the RCA analysis show that Indonesian CPO has high competitiveness. The results of the EPD analysis show that Indonesian CPO is in a rising star and retreating position. The results of the X-Model analysis show that Indonesian CPO is in an optimistic and less potential market development. The results of the panel data regression analysis show that the variable that has a positive and significant effect is the real exchange rate variable. The variables that have a negative and significant influence are GDP per capita, the RED policy dummy, and the ILUC policy dummy.
Keyword: CPO, competitiveness, Indirect Land Use Change, Renewable Energy Directive, panel data regression

Judul: Approximation of the Median of Poisson Distribution Using the Relation of Poisson-Gamma Distribution
Abstrak: A major drawback of median is that median cannot usually be defined in closed form, even in the cases where their distribution functions are known. This study gives an approximation of the closed form for the median of the Poisson distribution by using the relation of Poisson-Gamma distribution. The approximation uses elementary techniques based on the monotonicity of certain sequences involving tail probabilities of the Poisson distribution and the Central Limit Theorem. Furthermore, a closed form expression for the mean absolute deviation 􀜧|􀜰􀰒 􀵆 􀜯􀝁􀝀􁈺􀜰􀰒􁈻| is also studied. The median is relevant because of the fact that it minimizes the mean absolute deviation of a Poisson random variable (􀜰􀰒􁈻 by considering median as central tendency.
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