Judul: Analisis Risiko Produksi Peternakan Ayam Broiler Di Kecamatan Ciampea, Kabupaten Bogor
Abstrak: Ciampea is one of the main areas centre broiler production in Bogor Regency. Fluctuation product in Ciampea indicates production risk. The risk analysis of broiler chicken production is investigated by using primary and secondary data. Data analysis method used is descriptive analysis by using qualitative data and quantitative. Then risk analysis by using quantitative data. Based on the observation in the research site, risk sources of broiler chicken are disease, climate, pest, and quality of DOC. Disease outbreaks is the risk sourcethat probably happens and the biggest effect that is 46% and at least Rp15 628 053. The risk mapping result shows that disease, climate and DOC can be solved with preventive strategy.
Keyword: preventive strategy, risk sources, Risk analysis production

Judul: Risiko Produksi Ayam Ras Pedaging Pada Peternakan di Kecamatan Pamijahan Kabupaten Bogor, Jawa Barat
Abstrak: Husbandry is one of the agricultural sector which has a potential to be developed. One of the many husbandry commodities grown in Indonesia, especially in West Java is broiler. Similarly with other agribusiness, broiler husbandry also has risk especially production risk which seen from the chicken mortality at each production period. This research objectives are to indentify production risk sources, to analyze the sources’s probability and impacts, and to determine alternative strategy due to reduce the risk probability and impacts. To reach the research objectives, this research use several method such as Z-score and Value at Risk (VaR). Production risk sources at broiler husbandry in Kecamatan Pamijahan are weather, pests and predators, disease, and environmental disorders. According to probability the source which has the biggest probability is pests and predators and the lowest probability is environmental disorders. The biggest impact caused by disease and the lowest impact caused by environmental disorders.
Keyword: risk mapping, broiler, Production Risk

Judul: Hamiltonian formulation for linear waves motion in two layers fluid
Abstrak: The surface wave could be considered as a wave that separates two fluids, namely water and air. Based on this assumption, it is introduced the interfacial wave, a wave between two layers of fluid with different density. The formulation of interfacial waves motion begins with deriving the base equation of irrotational ideal fluid. Furthermore, according to irrotational fluid assumption, the base equation can be stated in velocity potential. In this derivation, the fluids domain is assumed to be restricted by rigid lid boundary conditions, both at the upper and lower limit. Therefore, the interfacial waves motion can be explained in a hamiltonian formulation. In the hamiltonian formulation, total energy is defined as the sum of kinetic and potential energy. The hamiltonian system is obtained from reduction of kinetic energy by using the Dirichlet Neumann Operator. The resulted kinetic energy equation is nonlinear. Therefore, this form is linearized by first part of the Taylor expansion. This linearization gives a dispersion relation of linear wave. Based on this dispersion relation, the phase speed of the linear wave depends on the density ratio of the two layers fluid.
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