Judul: Kelayakan Bisnis Restoran Fresh Milack Cafe and Resto di Kota Sukabumi
Abstrak: Fresh Milack Cafe and Resto merupakan bisnis restoran yang sudah berjalan 5 tahun di Kota Sukabumi. Analisis kelayakan ini dilakukan sebagai bahan pertimbangan dalam mengambil keputusan terhadap Fresh Milack Cafe and Resto untuk rencana memperluas area resto yaitu area makan. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian aspek non finansial, yakni aspek pasar, aspek manajemen dan hukum, aspek teknis layak untuk dijalankan. Pada aspek finansial Fresh Milack Cafe and Resto telah layak dijalankan dimana dengan mempunyai nilai NPV Rp 94.884.157 dan Nilai Net B/C 3,06 didapatkan hasil IRR sebesar 76 persen dengan waktu payback period 7 tahun 2 bulan. Sementara, dalam analisis switching value bahwa Fresh Milack Cafe and Resto lebih sensitif terhadap penurunan tingkat penjualan minuman 7,77 persen dibandingkan dengan peningkatan biaya variabel pembelian bahan baku susu dan minuman 20,28 persen.
Keyword: aspek finansial, kelayakan bisnis, fresh milack

Judul: Kelayakan Perencanaan Bisnis Bukit Air Resto Cabang Cilendek di Kota Bogor Provinsi Jawa Barat
Abstrak: Bukit Air Resto is an individual-own enterprise in therestaurant competition in Bogor city. Business Bukit Air Resto has been established since 2011 and located in Ciomas, Bogor. However, the location is less strategic and the market potential in 2014 initiates the enterprise to open the branch in the more strategic location, which is on Jalan Dr Sumeru Cilendek, Bogor. The purpose of this study is to analyse the feasibility of business Bukit Air Resto branch Cilendek both financially and nonfinancially. Based on the results of the nonfinancial feasibility analysis (market aspect, technical aspect, and aspect of management and legality) showed that Bukit Air Resto branch Cilendek was feasible to run. Bukit Air Resto branch Cilendek was also financially feasible(NPV = Rp 1 503 663 844, Net B/C = 1.8, IRR = 19 percent, dan Payback Period = 6months1year).Sensitivity analysis was performed and resulted in the business sensitivity to output decrease. The result of switching value analysis showed that the maximum increase of fresh chicken price was 50.29 percent and the chicken menu sales decrease was 17.1 percent.
Keyword: switching value, sensitivity, feasibility, Cilendek, Bukit Air Resto, Bogor Agricultural University (IPB)

Judul: Thermal Characteristics and Dynamics of Tropical Cyclone over Western North Pacific Ocean: A Case Study of Typhoon Songda (Chedeng) 2011
Abstrak: The frequent occasion of Tropical Cyclone (TC) over Western North Pacific (WNP) Ocean lies from 10˚N to 26˚N and 121˚E to 170˚E. Sources of TC development come from warm ocean temperature where latent heat is released during condensation processes and subsequently concentrated in the boundary layer. Relative humidity at 850-700 hPa is responsible to produce the most intense storm. Meanwhile, weak vertical wind shear between 850-200 hPa is one of the dynamical factors that lead to the development of TC. Pressure level of 850-200 hPa is chosen to minimize the thermodynamic effect in the lower troposphere. Typhoon Songda (Chedeng in the Philippines) or TSC lasted from May 18th to 30th, 2011 and strengthened into powerful Super Typhoon stage between May 24th and 27th. Long curving track and the exhibition of all sequences of TC life cycle, TSC is then considered as an ideal case of TC. The objective of the study with case of TSC is to investigate the role of thermal characteristics and dynamics on TC intensity. The research is carried out by using Advanced Research of Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF ARW model) version 3.3. Two domains are employed in the model. The first domain situate from 02˚N to 40˚N and 118˚E to 149˚E and cover spatial resolution () of 33.1 km. The second domain situate from 09˚N to 27˚N and 119˚E to 132˚E with of 11 km. Timestep of the model () is 120 seconds. The model is supported by the following physical parameterization, i.e., Yonsei University Scheme (YSU) in the boundary layer, Kain-Fritsch scheme (KF) in the cumulus, and WRF Single-Moment 3-class scheme in the microphysics. Initial meteorological condition prior to the formation of the cyclone is generated using WRF ARW standard-release model. Sensitivity of the model output is obtained from a selected single-parameter change scenarios, namely, 10 % to 20 % decrease and increase of wind shear initial data at 850-200 hPa, and by 10 % to 20 % decrease of relative humidity initial data at 850-700 hPa. The result showed that the negative correlations between wind shear and intensity are found in wind shear scenarios. Wind shears of 10 ms-1 which lead to strengthening of the wind intensity in the early period of Typhoon development are found in wind shear scenarios. The effect of wind shear changes on wind intensity is statistically significant in the 20 % wind shear scenarios. During mature stage, weak wind intensity occurred when wind shear increase as given in the WRF standard-release and the 20 % decreasing scenario. Different situation is found in the 20 % increasing scenario where wind shear tend to weak and lead to strong wind intensity at this stage. Meanwhile, the reduction of moisture supply at 850-700 hPa resulting from 20 % decreasing relative humidity play a major role in the weakening of wind intensity and reduces mechanical energy of the cycle process as much as 300 J kg-1.
Keyword: