Judul: Daya Saing Ekspor Komoditi Hortikultura Indonesia di Pasar ASEAN
Abstrak: Horticulture is one of agricultural sub sector of Indonesia which has quite good potential in international market, such as ASEAN. The objectives of this research are to analyze condition and the competitiveness position of Indonesian horticultural commodities in ASEAN’s market, also to formulate strategy which leads to increase the export competitiveness of Indonesian horticulture. The export competitiveness of Indonesian horticulture is analyzed using Revealed Comparative Advantages, Export Competitiveness Index, and Acceleration Ratio methods. The examined commodities in this research are cut flowers, mangoes, mangosteens, guavas, avocadoes, watermelons, potatoes, tomatoes, gingers, and curcumas. Considering the classification based on the analysis, we can coclude that commodities which have export competitiveness are mangoes, mangosteens, guavas, avocadoes, watermelons, potatoes, gingers, curcumas, and cut flowers, whereas tomatoes have less export competitiveness in ASEAN’s market
Keyword: horticulture., export competitiveness, ASEAN

Judul: Trade Competitiveness Diagnostic and Export Determinants of Indonesian Vegetable Commodities
Abstrak: Komoditas sayuran merupakan salah satu komoditas ekspor hortikultura Indonesia memilki tren positif selama lima tahun terakhir. Penelitian ini menganalisis daya saing dan determinan ekspor sayuran Indonesia menggunakan metode Trade Competitiveness Diagnostics (TCD) yang terdiri dari beberapa indikator, di antaranya: Revealed Comparative Symmetric Advantage (RSCA), Trade Balance Index (TBI), Intra Industry Trade Index (IIT), Trade Complementarity Index (TCI), dan Index of Export Market Penetration (IEMP). Determinan ekspor dianalisis menggunakan metode regresi data panel. Hasil analisis TCD menunjukkan sebagian besar sayuran Indonesia belum memilki keunggulan komparatif, indeks penetrasi lemah, dan perdagangan hanya bersifat satu arah. Namun sayuran Indonesia menunjukkan posisi sebagai net-exporter dan memiliki share yang bersifat complementary dengan negara tujuan. Determinan yang berpengaruh terhadap nilai ekspor komoditas sayuran Indonesia di negara tujuan utama adalah harga ekspor, RSCA, dan TBI., Vegetable commodity is one of Indonesia's horticultural export commodities which has a positive trend over the last five years. This study analyzes the competitiveness and determinants of Indonesian vegetable exports using the Trade Competitiveness Diagnostics (TCD) method which consists of several indicators, including: Revealed Comparative Symmetric Advantage (RSCA), Trade Balance Index (TBI), Intra Industry Trade Index (IIT), Trade Complementarity Index (TCI), and Index of Export Market Penetration (IEMP). Export determinants were analyzed using panel data regression method. The results of the TCD analysis show that most Indonesian vegetables do not yet have a comparative advantage, the penetration index is weak, and trade is only one-way. However, Indonesian vegetables show a position as a net-exporter and have a share that is complementary to the destination country. The determinants that affect the export value of Indonesian vegetable commodities in the main destination countries are export prices, RSCA, and TBI.
Keyword: Panel Data Analysis, Trade Competitiveness Diagnostic, Vegetable

Judul: Approximation of the Median of Poisson Distribution Using the Relation of Poisson-Gamma Distribution
Abstrak: A major drawback of median is that median cannot usually be defined in closed form, even in the cases where their distribution functions are known. This study gives an approximation of the closed form for the median of the Poisson distribution by using the relation of Poisson-Gamma distribution. The approximation uses elementary techniques based on the monotonicity of certain sequences involving tail probabilities of the Poisson distribution and the Central Limit Theorem. Furthermore, a closed form expression for the mean absolute deviation 􀜧|􀜰􀰒 􀵆 􀜯􀝁􀝀􁈺􀜰􀰒􁈻| is also studied. The median is relevant because of the fact that it minimizes the mean absolute deviation of a Poisson random variable (􀜰􀰒􁈻 by considering median as central tendency.
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