Judul: Daya Saing dan Faktor-Faktor yang Memengaruhi Ekspor Furnitur Kayu Indonesia ke Negara Tujuan Utama
Abstrak: Komoditas furnitur kayu adalah salah satu komoditas yang potensial untuk dikembangkan di Indonesia. Penelitian ini ditujukan untuk menganalisis daya saing furnitur kayu Indonesia dengan kode HS 940360 ke negara tujuan utama yang terdiri dari sembilan negara tujuan dalam periode tahun 2012 hingga 2019. RCA, EPD, dan Model X serta regresi data panel digunakan sebagai metode analisis pada penelitian ini. Berdasarkan penelitian, diperoleh hasil bahwa furnitur kayu Indonesia memiliki daya saing komparatif yang kuat di seluruh negara tujuan ekspor. Hasil EPD menggambarkan posisi furnitur kayu Indonesia di sembilan negara tujuan utama yakni, rising star, falling star, dan retreat. Hasil estimasi regresi data panel menunjukkan bahwa variabel GDP negara tujuan, GDP Indonesia, harga ekspor, nilai tukar riil, dan nilai RCA berpengaruh signfikan terhadap ekspor furnitur kayu Indonesia ke sembilan negara tujuan. Sementara, variabel pertumbuhan populasi tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap ekspor furnitur kayu Indonesia di sembilan negara tujuan., The Indonesian wooden furniture commodity is a potential commodity to be developed. This research study is conducted to analyze the competitiveness of Indonesian wooden furniture with HS code 940360 in nine main destination countries from period of 2012 to 2019. RCA, EPD, X Model and panel data regression are used as the analytical methods. The results showed that Indonesian wooden furniture has strong comparative competitiveness in nine export destination countries. The EPD results show that Indonesia’s position in nine destination countries is varied, namely rising star, falling star and retreat. The panel data regression’s results indicate that the variables of destination country’s GDP, Indonesian GDP, export prices, real exchange rates, and RCA values affect the export of Indonesian wood furniture to the nine main export destination countries significantly. Meanwhile, the population growth variable has no significant effect on the export of Indonesian wooden furniture to the nine destination countries.
Keyword: EPD, panel data, RCA, wooden furniture, X Model

Judul: Analisis Daya Saing dan Faktor-Faktor yang Memengaruhi Ekspor Kayu Lapis Indonesia
Abstrak: Indonesia memiliki sumber daya alam yang melimpah dengan ketersediaan kayu hasil hutan dari lahan yang luas, sehingga sangat berpotensi untuk mengembangkan ekspor hasil hutan. Kayu lapis merupakan salah satu komoditas ekspor yang memiliki potensi untuk dikembangkan. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis daya saing dan faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi ekspor kayu lapis Indonesia ke 7 negara tujuan utama selama periode 2013-2020. Metode yang digunakan adalah RCA, EPD, X-Model serta regresi data panel. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa kayu lapis Indonesia memiliki daya saing yang kuat di 7 negara tujuan, dan memiliki potensi pengembangan pasar ekspor kayu lapis yang relatif optimis dan potensial. Hasil estimasi dari pendekatan regresi data panel menunjukkan GDP riil negara tujuan, nilai tukar, harga ekspor, jarak ekonomi, dan pertumbuhan populasi memiliki pengaruh yang signifikan terhadap ekspor kayu lapis Indonesia., Indonesia has abundant natural resources with the availability of wood from forest products from a large area, so it has the potential to develop forest product exports. Plywood is one of the export commodities that has the potential to be developed. This study aims to analyse the competitiveness and factors that influence Indonesia’s plywood exports to 7 main destination countries during the period 2013-2020. The methods used are RCA, EPD, X-Model and panel data regression. The results show that Indonesian plywood has strong competitiveness in 7 destination countries, and has the potential to develop a relatively optimistic and potential export market. The estimation results from the panel data regression approach show that the real GDP of the destination countries, exchange rate, export prices, economic distance, and population growth has a significant influence on Indonesia’s plywood exports.
Keyword: EPD, panel data, plywood, RCA, X-Model

Judul: Approximation of the Median of Poisson Distribution Using the Relation of Poisson-Gamma Distribution
Abstrak: A major drawback of median is that median cannot usually be defined in closed form, even in the cases where their distribution functions are known. This study gives an approximation of the closed form for the median of the Poisson distribution by using the relation of Poisson-Gamma distribution. The approximation uses elementary techniques based on the monotonicity of certain sequences involving tail probabilities of the Poisson distribution and the Central Limit Theorem. Furthermore, a closed form expression for the mean absolute deviation 􀜧|􀜰􀰒 􀵆 􀜯􀝁􀝀􁈺􀜰􀰒􁈻| is also studied. The median is relevant because of the fact that it minimizes the mean absolute deviation of a Poisson random variable (􀜰􀰒􁈻 by considering median as central tendency.
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