Judul: Analisis Strategi Bisnis Obat-Obatan Tradisional Studi Kasus di PT. Indofarma (Persero), Jakarta
Abstrak: PT. Indofarma (persero) adalah badan usaha milik negara yang bergerak di bidang farmasi. Perusahaan ini memproduksi obat-obatan modern dan peralatan kesehatan lainnya. Pada tahun 1996 PT. Indofarma (Persero) memproduksi obat-obatan tradisional dengan menggunakan teknologi modern.
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Judul: Development Strategy and Feasibility Study on the Pharmaceutical Industry in the face of local competition in PT Bouti Usabda Farma, Solo.
Abstrak: The pharmaceutical industry in Indonesia has undergone many developments, both in terms of management, the products or services. The pharmaceutical industry is a strategic industry, because it has helped bring about national defense purposes. Important factor which plays an important role in the pharmaceutical industry lies in the raw materials of drugs. Raw materials that exist during childbirth is just the usual drug products, but the times have been a lot of progress and a high need for medication. This encourages entrepreneurs engaged in the pharmaceutical industry has innovation and improvement in creating better drug product and delivered many entrepreneurs to engage in the pharmaceutical field, giving rise to competition today. Innovation arising by employers in the pharmaceutical field bore competition. It is also shared by one of the local small and medium industries (SMEs) in Solo, PT Bouti Usabda Farma who had undergone pharmaceutical business for 25 years so it has had plenty of experience and problems in running their business. This study aims to: (1) analyze the problems faced by Farma PT Bouti Usabda and solutions, (2) identify the factors that become barriers PT Bouti Usabda Farma in the face of competition, (3) find a way of developing strategy and business feasibility PT Bouti Usabda Farma. Collecting data in this study consisted of primary data obtained from observations in the form of qualitative and quantitative data using the method of direct interview with the owner of the company and questionnaires given to pharmacies who are the partners and their PT Bouti Usabda Farma its suppliers and employees of the company by using sampling methods. Secondary data were obtained from magazines, newspapers, journals and online media. In this study, the methods used are (1) a method Internal Factor Evaluation (IFE) and External Factor Evaluation (EFE) to identify the issues involved, both from within and outside the company PT Bouti Usabda Farma and solutions, (2) analysis of Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats (SWOT), Quantitative Strategic Planning Matrix (QSPM), payback period (PBP) and Break Event Point (BEP) to analyze financial data available for the development and feasibility of PT Bouti Usabda Farma. Based on internal and external data Farma PT Bouti Usabda, found that the main strength of the company is located in the capital that is strong enough and that becomes its weakness is the lack of power the Human Resource Department (HRD). Opportunities are held outstanding service to pharmacy suppliers and partners, as well as a threat to the company is the number of peers. Another thing PT Bouti Usabda Farma be in a position quadrant V hold and maintain, in a state where the company maintain and develop the business. Alternative strategies that can be used by the company is maximizing energy salesman who owned businesses or to expand the network of regional distributors and the feasibility of their business requires a period of four years to achieve payback.
Keyword: Bogor Agricultural University (IPB)

Judul: Disaggregation Processes in Climatology
Abstrak: Model disaggregasi merupakan teknik utama dalam pemodelan deret waktu hidrologi maupun klimatologi, yaitu suatu proses pemisahan dengan deret waktu yang dibangkitkan tergantung pada deret waktu yang tersedia. Teknik ini pertama-tama diperkenalkan oleh Valencia dan Schaake. Model dasar disaggregasiyang diperkenalkan oleh Valencia dan Schaake adalah sebagai berikut: y = A.x + w dan w = B.e, dengan y merupakan vektor berukuran nxl, x merupakan vektor berukuran mxl, A merupakan matriks koefisien berukuran nxm, w merupakan vektor berukuran nx l yang bebas terhadap x sedangkan B merupakan matriks koefisien berukuran nxn dan e merupakan vektor galat yang menyebar normal baku berukuran nxl. Dalam pendugaan parameter digunakan data historik x dan y untuk menduga nilai A dan B. Model ini digunakan untuk membangkitkan nilai y dengan menggunakan data historik x yang tersedia dan parameter A serta hitungan statistik w yang telah diketahui. Contoh untuk model disaggregasi adalah disaggregasi deret waktu bulanan suhu maksimum kedalam deret waktu mingguan suhu maksimum dengan data yang tersedia pada satu daerah. Data bulanan dan mingguan dari tahun 1959 sampai 1989 digunakan untuk pembentukan model sedangkan data tahun 1990 digunakan untuk peramalan dengan menggunakan parameter A dan hitung statistik w yang telah diperoleh. Dari perhitungan statistik dapat diketahui bahwa model yang terbentuk menggambarkan populasi yang sebenamya sehingga model dapat digunakan untuk pendugaan suhu maksimum mingguan pada daerah yang diamati tersebut.
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