Judul: Strategi Pengembangan Usahaternak Sapi Perah di Kecamatan Sukaresmi, Kabupaten Cianjur, Jawa Barat
Abstrak: The goals of this research were : 1) to identify internal and external environmental factors which can influences the progress of dairy cattle business, 2) to formulate alternative development strategy and to decide the priority development strategy of dairy cattle business in Sukaresmi, SubDistrict of Cianjur. This research was carried out from Desember 2008 to January 2009. This research used primary dan secondary data. The data was analysed with descriptive analysis and three stages formulating analysis (input stage, matching stage, and decision stage). The result of input stage analysis show that total IFE matrix score is 2,615 and total EFE matrix score is 3,164. This condition place dairy cattle business in Sukaresmi, SubDistrict of Cianjur on sel II (Grow and Build) at matrix InternalExternal (IE). While, SWOT analysis produce five alternatives development strategy, which then analyzed by matrix QSP to decide the priority of the development strategy. Based on matrix QSP, the priority development strategy of dairy cattle business in Sukaresmi, SubDistrict of Cianjur is increase the business scale, develope the product diversification in farmer level, increase capital resources, improve dairy cattle management, and strengthen the function of farmer group. Keyword: strategy, internal and external factors, qspm
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Judul: Strategy for Small Dairy Farms Development in Cisarua, Bogor
Abstrak: Dairy farms in Indonesia have a good prospect to be developed because more than 70% of national consumers needs are fulfilled from imports. Bogor regency has opportunity to take part in dairy industries by improving dairy farms development in some regions, one of these is Cisarua. This theses describes the sustainable development strategy of small dairy farms in Cisarua. The research was conducted during December 2010 and March 2011 in Cisarua, Bogor, West Java. The informations were collected through indivial interviewed with 28 dairy farmer households and some key informans. The data were analized and presented descriptively. Results showed that the following are possibly happen in development of small dairy farms in Cisarua: (1) decreasing natural fodder carrying capacity which is currently in very critical condition with 0.78 Carrying Capacity Index, (2) increasing of organic pollution in Kali Citeko Bawah, current value of COD (194.2 mg/l) and BOD (86.2 mg/l) are already above the quality standards stated in Government Regulation of Republic of Indonesia Number 82, Year 2001 on air quality management and water pollution control, (3) waste from dairy farms can potentially trigger a social conflict, and (4) farmers do not have any bargaining power in milk selling-price as due to high dependence to Milk Processing Industry. Based on analysis of current conditions in dairy farms and expert opinion, there are several targets to be achieved in order to improve dairy farms development in Cisarua i.e. (1) increase farmers’ income; (2) create employment oppurtunities; (3) optimize natural resource potential; (4) increase local economic growth; (5) to raise public nutrition level; (6) to create zero waste dairy farms and; (7) make dairy cattle as an icon of Cisarua. Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) on experts’ choice showed that improvement in quality and quantity of milk/product (0.244), extension in capital access (0.208) and increase human resources quality (0.196) were the major strategies to achieve the targets of sustainable dairy farms in Cisarua, Bogor.
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Judul: Approximation of the Median of Poisson Distribution Using the Relation of Poisson-Gamma Distribution
Abstrak: A major drawback of median is that median cannot usually be defined in closed form, even in the cases where their distribution functions are known. This study gives an approximation of the closed form for the median of the Poisson distribution by using the relation of Poisson-Gamma distribution. The approximation uses elementary techniques based on the monotonicity of certain sequences involving tail probabilities of the Poisson distribution and the Central Limit Theorem. Furthermore, a closed form expression for the mean absolute deviation 􀜧|􀜰􀰒 􀵆 􀜯􀝁􀝀􁈺􀜰􀰒􁈻| is also studied. The median is relevant because of the fact that it minimizes the mean absolute deviation of a Poisson random variable (􀜰􀰒􁈻 by considering median as central tendency.
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