Judul: Export Flow and Competitiveness  of Processed Coconut Oil in East Asia and North America
Abstrak: Minyak kelapa olahan adalah salah satu komoditas sektor industri pengolahan nonmigas dan termasuk komoditas lemak dan minyak hewan/nabati. Kawasan tujuan utama Indonesia adalah Asia Timur dan Amerika Utara. Cina dan Amerika Serikat (AS) adalah negara tujuan utama yang tidak memproduksi minyak kelapa olahan, tetapi menjadi eksportir di negara lain. Hal ini mengindikasikan produk yang diekspor kedua negara adalah hasil impor dari negara lain, seperti Indonesia. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis aliran ekspor dan daya saing minyak kelapa olahan Indonesia di Asia Timur dan Amerika Utara dengan metode analisis deskriptif, RCA, AR, EPD, dan X-Model. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan, minyak kelapa olahan Indonesia yang diekspor ke kedua kawasan diperdagangkan kembali oleh negara importir. Hasil RCA menunjukkan Indonesia berdaya saing komparatif di setiap negara tujuan. Hasil AR menunjukkan Indonesia mampu merebut pasar di setiap negara tujuan. Hasil EPD menunjukkan Indonesia berada di posisi retreat di Korea Selatan dan rising star di Cina juga AS. Hasil X-Model menunjukkan Indonesia memiliki potensi pasar kurang potensial di Korea Selatan dan potensi pasar optimis di Cina juga AS., Processed coconut oil is one of the commodities in the non-oil and gas processing industry sector and included in the fat and animal/vegetable oil commodity. The main destination areas for Indonesia’s are East Asia and North America. China and the United States (US) are the main export destination countries that do not produce processed coconut oil, yet become exporters in other countries. This indicates that the product exported by both countries is imported from other countries, such as Indonesia. This research aims to analyze the export flow and competitiveness of Indonesian processed coconut oil in East Asia and North America using descriptive analysis methods, RCA, AR, EPD, and X-Model. The research results show that Indonesian processed coconut oil exported to both areas is being traded again. The RCA result shows that Indonesian processed coconut oil is comparatively competitive in each destination country. The AR result shows that Indonesia can seize the export market for processed coconut oil in each destination country. The EPD result shows that Indonesia is in a retreat position in South Korea and in a rising star position in China and US. The X-Model result shows that Indonesia has less potential market in South Korea and optimistic potential market in China and the US.
Keyword: X-Model, RCA, Descriptive Analysis, AR, EPD

Judul: Competitiveness And Factors Affecting Indonesian Processed Coconut Oil Exports To Main Destination Countries
Abstrak: Indonesia merupakan negara produsen terbesar untuk komoditas kelapa. Minyak kelapa olahan merupakan salah salah satu komoditas turunan kelapa yang memiliki nilai tambah ekonomi dan potensial dalam memberikan kontribusi terhadap perekonomian Indonesia. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis posisi daya saing dan dinamika ekspor minyak kelapa olahan Indonesia dan Filipina di sepuluh negara tujuan utama dan pasar Internasional. Periode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini yaitu tahun 2010 sampai 2019 dengan menggunakan analisis RCA (Revealed Comparative Advantage) dan EPD (Export Product Dynamic) untuk menganalisis daya saing komparatif dan posisi pangsa pasar ekspor ke negara tujuan, serta analisis ekonometrik data panel untuk menganalisis faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi ekspor minyak kelapa olahan Indonesia. Hasil analisis menunjukkan nilai RCA Indonesia dan Filipina memiliki daya saing komparatif yang kuat, sementara pangsa pasar Indonesia di pasar internasional sebagian besar berada pada posisi falling star dan Filipina berada pada posisi rising star. Hasil analisis data panel menunjukkan bahwa kelima variabel independen yang digunakan berpengaruh signifikan terhadap ekspor minyak kelapa olahan Indonesia., Indonesia is the largest producer country for coconut commodities. Processed coconut oil is one of the coconut derivative commodities that has economic added value and potential in contributing to the Indonesian economy. This study aims to analyze the competitiveness and dynamics of Indonesian and Philippine processed coconut oil exports in ten major destination countries and international markets. The period used in this study was from 2010 to 2019 using RCA (Revealed Comparative Advantage) and EPD (Export Product Dynamic) analysis to analyze comparative competitiveness and export market share position to the destination country, as well as econometric analysis of panel data to analyze factors affecting Indonesia's processed coconut oil exports. The analysis showed the RCA values of Indonesian and Philippines had strong comparative competitiveness, while Indonesian market share in the international market was mostly in the position of falling stars and Philippines was in a rising star position. The results of the panel data analysis showed that the five independent variables used had a significant effect on the export of Indonesian processed coconut oil.
Keyword: Minyak Kelapa Olahan, Volume Ekspor, RCA, EPD, Data Panel, Processed Coconut Oil, Export Volume, RCA, EPD, Panel Data

Judul: Approximation of the Median of Poisson Distribution Using the Relation of Poisson-Gamma Distribution
Abstrak: A major drawback of median is that median cannot usually be defined in closed form, even in the cases where their distribution functions are known. This study gives an approximation of the closed form for the median of the Poisson distribution by using the relation of Poisson-Gamma distribution. The approximation uses elementary techniques based on the monotonicity of certain sequences involving tail probabilities of the Poisson distribution and the Central Limit Theorem. Furthermore, a closed form expression for the mean absolute deviation 􀜧|􀜰􀰒 􀵆 􀜯􀝁􀝀􁈺􀜰􀰒􁈻| is also studied. The median is relevant because of the fact that it minimizes the mean absolute deviation of a Poisson random variable (􀜰􀰒􁈻 by considering median as central tendency.
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