Judul: Strategi Pengembangan Ekowisata di Jalur Tracking Negeri Suah Hingga Tongkoh.
Abstrak: Tracking path of Negeri Suah-Tongkoh has potential of ecotourism attractions. This region has long been used by nature lovers in North Sumatera for basic training. There are some activities that conducted in basic training such as tracking, rafting, tubing, camping, climbing, community service and conservation by doing tree planting along the entrance of Negeri Suah village. However, there is no development strategy in this region. The main objective of this research was to formulate strategies in developing ecotourism attraction in tracking path of Negeri Suah-Tongkoh. This study was conducted in tracking path of Negeri Suah-Tongkoh for two months from June 2011 to August 2011. This research used field observation and depth interview, including content analysis, analysis of the operational area of natural tourism objects and attractions, stakeholder analysis, and SWOT analysis. The research result showed that potential ecotourism attractions in tracking path of Negeri Suah-Tongkoh consists of: a. landscape attractions (Lau Jabi, Lau Malem, Ketaruman peak), b. plant attraction (Anoetochillus reinwardtii orchid, kantung semar, and the Coelogyne xyrekes orchids), and c. animal attraction(Cica Daun Sayap Biru (Chloropsis sp), Viper snake species, and Labi-labi (Trionyx sp)). The research result in stakeholder analysis showed that there are 11 stakeholder involved in ecotourism development in tracking path of Negeri Suah-Tongkoh consists of UPT. Tahura Bukit Barisan, the community of Negeri Suah (represented by the village head), Camat Sibolangit, tourism department of Deli Serdang district, tourism department of Tanah Karo district, as keyplayer, KPA Jerami, Forestry Department of USU as the subject, forest department of Deli Serdang district and forest department of Tanah Karo district as a context setter, and Mapala Parintal and Kompas as a crowd. The position of ecotourism development strategy in SWOT analysis situated in quadrant 1 that used SO strategy (strength opportunity). The strategy consists of a. ecological and education tourism development supported by the existence of the forest education of University of North Sumatra in Tahura Bukit Barisan, b. special interest tourism tour package that are supported by tourism department of Deli Serdang and Tanah Karo district as an effort to increase revenue from tourism sector, c. Negeri Suah village as part of special interest tourism tour package d. education and training that give to community of Negeri Suah regarding the management of ecotourism.
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Judul: Kajian Potensi dan Daya Dukung Ekowisata di Kawasan Cagar Alam Pulau Sempu Jawa Timur
Abstrak: Pulau Sempu Nature Reserve (PSNR) has become a popular destination for ecotourism in East Java. The ecotourism activities pose management issue related to the status of the area. According to its status as a nature reserve, the tourisme and other activities entering the site is forbidden except for education, research and development of science. Nevertheless, the visitor numbers increase by time and can’t be avoid. The pressure of this tourisme demand will affect the declining of quality and quantity of the PSNR biodiversity resource, soon will threaten its sustainability. Strategic plans need to deal with the problems, to optimize the value and function of the site. The reseach was conducted : (1) To identify and analyze potential objectives of natural tourist attraction in PSNR (2) To analyze its carrying capacity regarding the impacts of tourism activities (3) To formulate a strategic plan of PSNR according to its potency and status. The research was taken for 6 months on October 2012 until March 2013. Field observation and multistakeholder deep-interview was taken to gain data. Potency assessment analysis conducted to assess objectives of natural tourist attraction in PSNR. Carrying capacity analysis based on criteria and indicators of site situation which is ecotourism doesn’t affect physically to the site resources. The SWOT analyse was used to formulate the strategic management plan. The result from analysis of objects assessment of natural tourist attraction (ADO-ODTWA) showed that PSNR is very potential to be developed as ecotourism destination with 85,41% land attraction and 83,33% beach attraction. The main attraction is a uniqe phenomenon lagoon called Segara Anakan, biodiversity and its ecosystem. Those attractions have not supported by some facilities i.e accommodation, institution element, infrastructure, management and service, accessibility, and declining of environmental quality. The carrying capacity limited by factors i.e slope, type of soil against erosion sensitivity, landscape potency, climate, wildlife disturbance index. The recent visit assessed were below the standard carrying capacity especially in “blok rimba” management plan of PSNR. In the future the management authority (BBKSDA Jawa Timur) should notice and hold up management standard based on ecotourism. The SWOT analysis result as the strategic management plan based on ecotourism, 1) Management policy is to divide the “blok inti” and “blok rimba” to prevent the lost of biodiversity and its ecosystem function 2) To evaluate the recent status as basic proposal to change the recent status from of nature reserve to natural park 3) Fully improve coordination to Malang regency as local institution to improve management of PSNR 4) Develop ecotourism based on its potency 5) Develop management collaboration with all stakeholder especially the people of Sempu as local resident.
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Judul: Approximation of the Median of Poisson Distribution Using the Relation of Poisson-Gamma Distribution
Abstrak: A major drawback of median is that median cannot usually be defined in closed form, even in the cases where their distribution functions are known. This study gives an approximation of the closed form for the median of the Poisson distribution by using the relation of Poisson-Gamma distribution. The approximation uses elementary techniques based on the monotonicity of certain sequences involving tail probabilities of the Poisson distribution and the Central Limit Theorem. Furthermore, a closed form expression for the mean absolute deviation 􀜧|􀜰􀰒 􀵆 􀜯􀝁􀝀􁈺􀜰􀰒􁈻| is also studied. The median is relevant because of the fact that it minimizes the mean absolute deviation of a Poisson random variable (􀜰􀰒􁈻 by considering median as central tendency.
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