Judul: Kajian Lingkungan Strategik Kebijakan Pembangunan Daerah (Studi Kasus Kebijakan Pembangunan Sektor Kehutanan Kabupaten Kutai Kartanegara Tahun 2001-2005)
Abstrak: Forest degradation has generated environmental disaster, such as floods, land slide, water crisis, and global warming. The rate of Indonesian deforestation from 1985 to 1997 is 1.6 million hectare per year. This rate increased to 2.84 million hectare per year from 1997 to 2000. This increasing deforestation rate was influenced by unmanaged forests, over cutting, and illegal logging. This study evaluated forestry sector using strategic environmental assessment in Kutai Kartanegara District between 2001 and 2005. The aim of study is to predict environmental degradation and its impact of harvesting policy in the Strategic Environmental Assessment of The Regional Development Policy of Kutai Kartanegara 2001-2005 . This evaluation produced positive and negative impacts. Positive impact was the increasing of regional income, while the negative impacts were as follows: decreasing of water, sedimentation, and biodiversity depletion. The disadvantage of economic value was higher than the advantage that received by the local government. Quantitative result shows that harvesting policy is not feasible. Consequently, it needs alternative strategies as follows: (i) ecosystem based forest management, (ii) empowerment of institutional building of production forests, and (iii) moratorium of logging.
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Judul: Kebijakan Pembangunan Daerah dan Potensi Aplikasi Kajian Lingkungan Hidup Strategis (Studi Kasus Kebijakan Kehutanan di Kabupaten Pelalawan)
Abstrak: Pelalawan Regency is a new regency in the Riau Province, and 994,299 ha or 76,94% of its jurisdiction consists of forest. The forest has been degraded quite seriously in the last few years, and one of the cause is attributed to the regional development policy adopted. As the result consideration of environmental aspect must be taken into account in policy formulation. In doing so, Strategic Environmental Analysis (SEA) becomes a potential tool as it contains a systematic and comprehensive mechanism in evaluating enviromental impacts potentially generated by policy, plan and program. The objectives of this research are as follow: (i) to understand the forest policy formulation process, (ii) to analyze the possibility of SEA application in the formulation process of forest policy sector in the Pelalawan Regency. Furthermore, the research is emphasized on regional development policy of the forest sector relating to licensing of forest resources utilization. In this context, 2 companies holding forest concession on planted forest were taken as case studies. Environmental aspect in law and regulation were identified using content analysis and stakeholder analysis techniques. From the result of content and stakeholders analysis can be disclosed that during the time the involvement socialize and environmental aspect not yet full considered in decision making process. It has been identified also problem relating to SEA application, in which reference regulating of regional development are insuffient and inconsistent. For example, discrepancies on space allocation were found among RTRWK (Regency Spatial Plan), RTRWP (Provincial Spatial Plan) and TGHK (Arrangement on Forest Area Use). Furthermore, inconsistency is also observed in the forest implementation among national, provincial and regency governments. Despite, the problem identified, SEA application is highly potential and necessary in the regional policy formulation in the Pelalawan Regency to decelarate environmental (i.e. forest) degradation.
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Judul: Approximation of the Median of Poisson Distribution Using the Relation of Poisson-Gamma Distribution
Abstrak: A major drawback of median is that median cannot usually be defined in closed form, even in the cases where their distribution functions are known. This study gives an approximation of the closed form for the median of the Poisson distribution by using the relation of Poisson-Gamma distribution. The approximation uses elementary techniques based on the monotonicity of certain sequences involving tail probabilities of the Poisson distribution and the Central Limit Theorem. Furthermore, a closed form expression for the mean absolute deviation 􀜧|􀜰􀰒 􀵆 􀜯􀝁􀝀􁈺􀜰􀰒􁈻| is also studied. The median is relevant because of the fact that it minimizes the mean absolute deviation of a Poisson random variable (􀜰􀰒􁈻 by considering median as central tendency.
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