Judul: Peranan Zat Ekstraktif Dalam Pembentukan Gaharu Pada Aquilaria crassna Pierre ex Lecomte dan Aquilaria microcarpa Baill
Abstrak: This research is aimed at investigating the anti fungal activity (AFA), the correlation of gaharu tree’s phenolics in relation with the susceptibility of the trees to Fusarium bulbigenum attack in the formation of agarwood, and to observe total phenolics content and tree’s chemicals of Aquilaria crassna and Aquilaria microcarpa pre-inoculation, the reology of tree’s chemical and microorganism change along inoculation time. There were variations of anti fungal activity among trees, and the highest is at tree no. 10 that AFA was in the middle class (39,77%), but entirely agarwood trees exhibited a low anti fungal activity at lab scale. Further fractionation and bioassay showed that the most active component are likely in the ethyl acetate fraction that exhibited strong anti fungal activity at 4% concentration. Trees as many as 20 of A. microcarpa at Carita and 10 of A. crassna at Darmaga were inoculated with isolate of F.bulbigenum in spiral pattern around the stem. Prior to inoculation, strips were taken from the stem for total phenolics content and chemicals analyzing. The result revealed that total phenolics content and infection area exhibited a negative correlation, which means the higher the phenolics content, the smaller the infection area. The preinoculation chemicals analysis showed that tree with smaller infection area had larger type of compounds and higher concentration of phenolics than tree with wider one. Some chemicals that at certain plants acted as defense system, according to some references, were found at higher concentration in the gaharu trees with smaller infection or they were not even traced in other tree. The reology analysis revealed that the largest types of compounds were noticed at three day’s old inoculation. Agarwood constituents and other aromatic compounds were detected since three days after inoculation which is indicated the agarwood formation was taken place. Meanwhile, the microbiology analysis showed there was no microbes change in the inoculation sites along 6 month inoculation time, but some small insects, such as ants and bugs, were found at the area.
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Judul: Aktivitas Antioksidan Ekstrak Kemedangan Pohon Penghasil Gaharu Hasil Inokulasi Jenis Aquilaria microcarpa dan Gyrinops verstegii
Abstrak: Agarwood is a non-timber forest product commodity which is traded because of its distinctive fragrance. Kemedangan from gaharu was assumed to have secondary metabolites that are potential as antioxidant. This study aimed to investigate the phytochemicals, toxicity and antioxidant activites of kemedangan from Aquilaria microcarpa and Gyrinops verstegii trees with and without inoculation by Fusarium fungi. Phytochemical assay of ethyl acetate and methanol extract revealed the presence of phenolics, flavonoids, triterpenoids, and alkaloids. The toxicity evaluation using brine shrimp lethality test showed that all extracts were potential as bioactive compounds with 50% lethal concentration value ≤1000 ppm. Antioxidant activities which were measured by using 2,2- diphenyl-1-picrylhidrazyl free-radical scavenging method showed that all extracts had antioxidant activities with 50% inhibition concentration value ≤200 ppm except A. microcarpa ethyl acetate extract from inoculated samples with IC50 of 411 ppm.
Keyword: agarwood, antioxidant, Aquilaria, Gyrinops, kemedangan

Judul: Proyeksi Penduduk Indonesia Menggunakan Model Deterministik dan Model Stokastik Kelahiran dan Kematian
Abstrak: Proyeksi penduduk adalah perhitungan jumlah orang yang diharapkan untuk hidup di masa mendatang dengan melihat jumlah penduduk saat ini. Proyeksi penduduk dibuat sebagai dasar untuk mengantisipasi hal-hal yang dapat mengubah proses dan kecenderungan penduduk saat ini. Di samping itu, proyeksi penduduk juga dapat digunakan untuk mengantisipasi kemungkinan perubahan tren yang diakibatkan oleh perubahan secara tiba-tiba dari faktor-faktor yang berkaitan erat dengan variasi demografi. Karya ilmiah ini menyajikan proyeksi penduduk Indonesia melalui dua pendekatan. Pendekatan pertama adalah dengan model deterministik, yaitu model pertumbuhan linear, geometrik, eksponensial, hiperbolik, dan logistik. Pendekatan kedua adalah dengan model stokastik kelahiran dan kematian, yaitu model kelahiran murni, model kelahiran dan kematian, tanpa dan dengan migrasi. Berdasarkan data sensus penduduk Indonesia tahun 2010 dibuat proyeksi penduduk Indonesia tahun 2015-2035. Dibandingkan dengan data proyeksi yang dilakukan oleh Badan Pusat Statistik, proyeksi dengan model stokastik kelahiran dan kematian dengan migrasi mampu memberikan hasil yang lebih baik daripada model yang lain.
Keyword: deterministic models, population projection, stochastic models of birth and death