Judul: Aplikasi Model Dinamika Populasi Lotka dengan Laju Kelahiran dan Kematian Tidak Konstan untuk Data Indonesia
Abstrak: Dinamika penduduk adalah proses perubahan yang terjadi secara terus menerus yang dipengaruhi oleh fertilitas (kelahiran), mortalitas (kematian) dan migrasi (perpindahan). Informasi tentang jumlah kelahiran sangat penting bagi pemerintah dalam merencanakan pembangunan berbagai fasilitas yang dibutuhkan khususnya pengembangan fasilitas kesehatan, pendidikan dan penyediaan makanan. Ada beberapa indikator dalam kelahiran antara lain CBR (Crude Birth Rate), ASFR (Age Specific Fertility Rate) dan TFR (Total Fertility Rate). CBR merupakan indikator kelahiran yang dalam perhitungannya hanya memerlukan keterangan tentang jumlah anak yang dilahirkan dan jumlah penduduk tanpa membedakan penduduk laki-laki dan penduduk perempuan yang masih kanakkanak. ASFR merupakan indikator kelahiran yang memperhitungkan perbedaan kelahiran menurut kelompok umur.
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Judul: Analysis of stable and quasi-stable population growth models
Abstrak: Model pertumbuhan penduduk merupakan hal yang penting dalam mengantisipasi persoalan ekonomi, social, dan politik dalam suatu bangsa yang diakibatkan oleh perubahan jumlah penduduk. Perubahan jumlah penduduk dapat dipengaruhi oleh faktor fertilitas, mortalitas , dan migrasi. Karya ilmiah ini bertujuan untuk memodelkan pertumbuhan penduduk stabil dan kuasi-stabil lalu mengaplikasikannya dalam penduduk Indonesia tahun 2000, 2005 dan 2010. Hasil proyeksi akan dibandingkan dengan data sensus lalu akan diperoleh nilai galatnya. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa model kuasi-stabil dengan adanya faktor perbaikan kematian lebih baik daripada model stabil. Berdasarkan model kuasi-stabil hasil proyeksi penduduk Indonesia tahun 2015 sebesar 255,236,560. Keywords : pertumbuhan penduduk, kuasi-stabil, fertilitas, mortalitas., Model of population growth is essential to anticipate problems in the economic, social and political in a nation that affected by the change of population. Changes in a population can be affected by factors of fertility, mortality, and migration. This paper aims to model stable and quasi-stable population growth and then applies these models to population of Indonesia for 2000, 2005 and 2010. The projection results is compared to the census data and then error value will be obtained. The results showed that the quasi-stable model with mortality improvement factor is better than the stable model. Based on the quasistable model, prediction of population of Indonesia in 2015 is 255,236,560. Keywords: population growth, quasi-stable, fertility, mortality
Keyword: pertumbuhan penduduk, kuasi-stabil, fertilitas, mortalitas

Judul: Phylogenetic analysis of subgenus Dieramalpinia (Alpinia carolinensis clade) - Zingiberaceae based on ITS sequences
Abstrak: The most recent infra-generic classification of Alpinia Roxb. by Smith divided the genus into two subgenera (Alpinia and Dieramalpinia) with 11 sections and 12 subsections. One of the sections of Alpinia subgenus Dieramalpinia is Myriocrater which contains about 16 species. The most recent phylogenetic study that included species from Alpinia subgenus Dieramalpinia was done by Kress et al. (2007). They sampled only eight species and found that these were nested within a clade referred to as the Alpinia carolinensis clade. This clade was well supported and may be separated as a genus if sampling more species confirms the result. The objectives of the present project are to compare ITS within one species; to test the monophyly of Alpinia section Myriocrater; to test whether adding more samples still supports the Alpinia carolinensis clade. The present study included thirty-nine samples representing nineteen taxa from Alpinia; seven samples are still unidentified at species level. Sequences of the Internal Transcribed Spacer were used in the analysis. The result showed that ITS sequence of Myriocrater’s species are more conserved than another group in Zingiberaceae. There are base variations within species level. The Alpinia section Myriocrater plus five species from other section is not monophyletic. The Alpinia carolinensis clade still includes three sections of Smith classification (Dieramalpinia, Myriocrater and Pycnanthus) from subgenus Dieramalpinia. Alpinia subgenus Dieramalpinia section Eubractea and one species of section Dieramalpinia are separated into another clade.
Keyword: Alpinia, Myriocrater, Dieramalpinia, Alpinia carolinensis clade