Judul: Strategy for Small Dairy Farms Development in Cisarua, Bogor
Abstrak: Dairy farms in Indonesia have a good prospect to be developed because more than 70% of national consumers needs are fulfilled from imports. Bogor regency has opportunity to take part in dairy industries by improving dairy farms development in some regions, one of these is Cisarua. This theses describes the sustainable development strategy of small dairy farms in Cisarua. The research was conducted during December 2010 and March 2011 in Cisarua, Bogor, West Java. The informations were collected through indivial interviewed with 28 dairy farmer households and some key informans. The data were analized and presented descriptively. Results showed that the following are possibly happen in development of small dairy farms in Cisarua: (1) decreasing natural fodder carrying capacity which is currently in very critical condition with 0.78 Carrying Capacity Index, (2) increasing of organic pollution in Kali Citeko Bawah, current value of COD (194.2 mg/l) and BOD (86.2 mg/l) are already above the quality standards stated in Government Regulation of Republic of Indonesia Number 82, Year 2001 on air quality management and water pollution control, (3) waste from dairy farms can potentially trigger a social conflict, and (4) farmers do not have any bargaining power in milk selling-price as due to high dependence to Milk Processing Industry. Based on analysis of current conditions in dairy farms and expert opinion, there are several targets to be achieved in order to improve dairy farms development in Cisarua i.e. (1) increase farmers’ income; (2) create employment oppurtunities; (3) optimize natural resource potential; (4) increase local economic growth; (5) to raise public nutrition level; (6) to create zero waste dairy farms and; (7) make dairy cattle as an icon of Cisarua. Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) on experts’ choice showed that improvement in quality and quantity of milk/product (0.244), extension in capital access (0.208) and increase human resources quality (0.196) were the major strategies to achieve the targets of sustainable dairy farms in Cisarua, Bogor.
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Judul: Kajian Kelayakan dan Strategi Pengembangan Klaster Peternak Sapi Perah di Kecamatan Cisarua, Kabupaten Bogor
Abstrak: Dairy farmer in Sub District Cisarua is expected to be developed as cluster, an integrated dairy farmer from milk production aspects to processing and marketing (on an off farm). Milk processing can be executed by the processing industry or the dairy farmers themselves. This study aims to (1) identify and analyze the components of the cluster, (2) feasibility study of cluster related to increasing of value added of dairy products, and (3) determine the appropriate strategies of business development dairy farmers in Sub District Cisarua, District Bogor. Primary data collected through field surveys and interviews by questionnaires to dairy farmer and other respondent, to obtain supporting data with Non probability method as purposive sampling. Dairy farmers were divided into 3 (three) business scale, namely the ownership of adult cow < 6, 6-10 and > 10. Secondary data collected through literature, documents and related reports. Cluster dairy farmer in Sub District Cisarua formed from the main component of dairy farmers, Primary Cooperation (KUD) Giri Tani, and PT Cimory. Other components are influential in its development is the government, academia, and Dairy Processing Cooperation (KPS) Bogor. Business of dairy farmers in Sub District Cisarua is generally feasible. Average of Pay Back Period (PBP) at 18% interest rate range is 2 years 6 months. Average of Net Benefit/Cost (B/C) 97% of dairy farmers is 2.67. On 2008, 93% of farmers reached Break Event Point (BEP) and on 2009 all farmers reached. Net Present Value (NPV) : Discount Factor (DF) 14% of 97% farmers is positive. NPV;DF 18% of 90% farmer is positive. Average of IRR at NPV1; DF 14% and NPV2; DF Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of 18% is 25.15% for 97% of farmers, higher than interest rate in 2008-2009 (14-15%). Yoghurt processing unit was feasible to develop. The value added of fresh milk into yogurt products is Rp. 1,814,-/l. PBP is 11 months. Net B/C is 3.35. NPV (DF) 14% is positive Rp. 147,150,300. DF NPV of 18% is positive Rp. 95,059,288. IRR is 25.30%. The Development strategies of dairy farmers cluster in Sub District Cisarua are production aspect, market aspects, and information technology aspects.
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Judul: Graphology Analysis Based on Letter a and t Using Perceptron.
Abstrak: Graphology or handwriting analysis is a method of identifying, analyzing, evaluating, and understanding personality through the strokes and patterns revealed by handwriting. A person who can analyze handwriting is called a graphologist. A graphologists can be subjective in their assesments different graphologist can have different analysis of the same handwriting. Therefore, a computer technology may help to minimize the subjectivity. This research used perceptron to analyze personality based on handwriting. Perceptron is one method of neural network. This research analyze two letters to letter a and t image. Letter a are represented by 135 images, consisting of 81 images as training data and 54 images as testing data. There are 150 images used for t images, consisting of 90 images as training data and 60 images as testing data.There are 5 experiments consisting of 2 experiments for letter a and 3 experiments for letter t. The result is the character of each class letter a and t where each parameters there are 3 classes. The accuracy of letter t and letter a was 55% and 88.89% respectively.
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