Judul: Model Sistem Pengambilan Keputusan Kelompok Untuk Analisis Desain Organisasi
Abstrak: Krisis ekonomi sejak pertengahan 1997 menunjukkan bahwa banyak usaha skala besar mengalami kegagalan. Perusahaan yang hanya bergerak pada satu bidang usaha akan mengalami kesulitan untuk mengantisipasi perubahan yang akan terjadi. Sebaliknya perusahaan multi-usaha akan dapat menghadapi segala perubahan yang bersifat menguntungkan maupun merugikan
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Judul: A design model of crisis management simulation in an agroindustry enterprise.
Abstrak: In the industry, crisis is often defined as a sudden big trouble threatening the achievement of the organization’s central goals- profits, growth and survival, or endangers its reputation. This research aims to develop a crisis management model for agroindustry using an integrated expert system or knowledge based system, economics analysis and fuzzy logic. The model, CrismanSoft (crises management software), detects impacts and probabilities of internal crises, provides early warnings and recommendations to solve the crises. This research is limited to the core crises within the agroindustry companies which related to the exploitation to change risks into profits. Core crises include the crisis caused by labor strikes, permits revocation, and shortages of raw materials, which happen because of technological failures, confrontation or conflicts, malevolence or terror, managerial failures and other threats to the company. The scope of this research is internal crises in an agroindustry caused by raw material and product, technological, social or financial failures.
Keyword: Crisis management, Decision Support System, Early warning, Expert system, Fuzzy, Metoda peramalan, Gaussian, Polinomial, Eksponensial, Fourier, Artificial intelligence, Metoda penilain kelayakan usaha

Judul: Biology and ecology of the buffalo fly, haematobia exigua de meijere (diptera:muscidae)
Abstrak: The life history of the buffalo fly was observed at room temperature of 27°-29.5°C and at a relative humidity of 48-68 percent. The eggs hatched after 17-22 hours, with an average of 18 hours. First instar larvae measured 1.25 + 0.16 mm long and 0.27 + 0.037 mm wide. reach the second larval stage. It took 6-12 hours to the second instar larvae measured 2.676 +0.187 mm long and 0.353 +0.028 mm wide. The second instar took about 12-24 hours to reach the third larval stage. The third instar measured 6.833 + 0.189 mm long and 0.919 + 0.051 mm wide. It took about 2-3 days for the third instar to become pupae. Duration of the pupal stage was about 5-7 days before the adults emerged. Under laboratory condition, the buffalo fly completed its life cycle in 9.5 to 10.5 days, whereas under field condition it took 9-14 days with an average of 10.5 days. The growth ratio which was based on the measurements of the cephalo-pharyngeal skeleton of each instar was 1.797. The preoviposition period was 8-12 days and mating usually occurred on the 6th or 7th day. The longevity of the male was 29 days, whereas it was 32 days in the female. The range of egg production under laboratory condition was between 20-139 per female fly. The belly and hind legs of the carabao were the most preferred habitat either during cloudy and cool dry or shiny and warm day. When the weather was clear and the carabao was in the shade, the flies tended to be more distributed particularly on the shoulder, dewlap, back and horns. The carabaos had relatively fewer Musca sp. and Stomoxys calcitrans than cattle; never the less carabaos had a higher infestation of buffalo fly than cattle. Oviposition occured either during the day or night but the buffalo flies were more active during the night than in the day time. The effect of various lengths of exposure time of manure in relation to the oviposition was profound. observed, the maximum number of the buffalo flies was occurred when the dung was exposed for 30 minutes. With increasing time of exposure the number and variety of insects also increase. It was evident that Sepsidae and psychodidae were the most dominant insects emerging from the dung. The number of buffalo flies also increased with increasing
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