Judul: Consumer Goods Stock Price Prediction Using the Modified Black-Scholes Equation
Abstrak: Besarnya volume perdagangan di pasar saham menyebabkan harga saham yang semakin fluktuatif menyebabkan meningkatnya resiko yang ada sehingga diperlukan analisa untuk menganalisis kemungkinan kenaikkan, penurunan, dan harga saham di waktu mendatang. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk memprediksi harga saham consumer goods menggunakan persamaan Black-Scholes yang diselesaikan dengan metode Runge-Kutta dan menganalisis pengaruh suku bunga terhadap hasil prediksi. Penelitian dilakukan dengan membuat model berdasarkan persamaan Black-Scholes termodifikasi dan diselesaikan menggunakan metode Runge-Kutta orde empat. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan model memiliki MAPE 4.99% yang diinterpretasikan sebagai sangat baik dengan nilai MDA 72%. dan hubungan suku bunga dengan harga saham yang berbanding terbalik., The large volume of trading in the stock market causes stock prices to fluctuate, increasing the risk involved, therefore analysis is needed to analyse the possibility of increases, decreases, and stock prices in the future. This research aims to predict the price of consumer goods stocks using the Black-Scholes equation solved by the Runge-Kutta method and analyse the effect of interest rates on the prediction results. The research was conducted by creating a model based on the modified Black-Scholes equation and solved using the fourth-order Runge-Kutta method. The results showed that the model has a MAPE of 4.99% which is interpreted as very good with a MDA of 72% and the relationship between interest rates and stock prices is inversely proportional.
Keyword: Black-Scholes equation, interest rate, stock price, Runge-Kutta method

Judul: Analysis Stock Price Using Black-Scholes Model and Runge-Kutta Orde 4.
Abstrak: Saham merupakan surat tanda kepemilikan suatu perusahaan. Analisis saham dan parameter yang digunakan penting untuk memberikan keuntungan yang besar dimasa yang akan datang. Black-Schole merupakan sebuah model untuk menganalisis opsi menggunakan Brownian motion. Opsi saham di Indonesia sudah tidak berlaku, oleh karena itu pada penelitian kali ini menggunakan Black Schole model dengan Runge Kutta Orde 4 untuk menganalisis harga saham PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia Tbk (BBRI) dengan error sebesar 2.27%, Bank Cabang Asia Tbk (BBCA) dengan error sebesar 2.00%, serta PT Bank Mandiri Tbk (BMRI) dengan error sebesar 2.44%. Nilai error ratarata yang kecil tersebut dapat membuktikan model ini dapat digunakan untuk menganalisis harga saham.
Keyword: Black-Scholes, Brownian, Stock

Judul: Etno-ornitologi Burung Kancilan Flores (Pachycephala nudigula nudigula Hartert 1897) pada Masyarakat Lio di Taman Nasional Kelimutu
Abstrak: Bare-throathed whistler is one of several wild birds in Kelimutu National Park (TNKL) that is believed to have correlation with Lio Community‟s belief. The estimation of Bare-throated whistler‟s population in Kelimutu National Park was about 186.41-1668.07 individual by the density about 0.0389-0.3481 ind/ha with the sex ratio 6.2:1 that spreaded on area with height of 1100 – 1600 masl. The characteristic of Bare-throated whistler‟s habitat is a natural forest with various canopy level, high plant species diversity and high density. The habitat characteristics related to the availability of food in the form of insects, cover, safety and a nesting site. Generally the most of Lio community knew the existence of Bare-throated whistler directly or from their parents‟ stories. The perceptions of Lio Community to the Bare-throated whistler‟s existence is generally support the conservation efforts. The perceptions construct the Lio Community‟s atitude that tend to be conservative to the existence of Bare-throated whistler. The attitude shown by their behavior that not cathing the Bare-throated whistler from the TNKL‟s area or the outside. The attitude have an important role to the existence of Bare-throated whistler in Kelimutu National Park‟s area.
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