Judul: Pengaruh Kinerja Keuangan terhadap Harga Saham Perusahaan Agribisnis Unggas.
Abstrak: Selain modal sendiri dan pinjaman dari perbankan, salah satu alternatif pembiayaan lain adalah pasar modal. Dalam menjaga eksistensi perusahaan agribisnis unggas dan keberlanjutan pembiayaannya, perusahaan dituntut menjaga kinerja keuangannya. Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis pengaruh, guncangan, dan kontribusi kinerja keuangan terhadap harga saham perusahaan agribisnis unggas. Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder dari empat perusahaan agribisnis unggas yaitu CPIN, JPFA, MAIN, dan SIPD. Analisis data menggunakan pendekatan Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan dalam jangka pendek seluruh harga saham perusahaan agribisnis unggas secara positif signifikan dipengaruhi oleh Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), CPIN dipengaruhi negatif oleh Net Profit Margin (NPM), dan SIPD dipengaruhi negatif oleh Current Ratio (CR). Pada jangka panjang seluruh perusahaan agribisnis unggas dipengaruhi positif signifikan oleh Earnings per Share (EPS) kecuali saham JPFA dan selebihnya SIPD dipengaruhi positif signifikan oleh DER dan NPM. Pada keseimbangan jangka panjang guncangan rasio keuangan direspon harga saham perusahan secara berbeda-beda, begitu juga persentase kontribusi yang mempengaruhinya.
Keyword: Laporan keuangan, harga saham, VECM

Judul: Analisis Pengaruh Kinerja Keuangan dan Variabel Makroekonomi terhadap Return Saham Perusahaan Agribisnis
Abstrak: Pasar modal merupakan sarana bagi pendanaan usaha dan sarana bagi masyarakat untuk berinvestasi pada instrumen keuangan seperti saham. Dalam pasar modal, investor akan mempertimbangkan kinerja perusahan dan variabel makroekonomi untuk membuat keputusan investasi. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh rasio keuangan yaitu, Current Ratio (CR), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), Total Assets Turn Over (TATO), Net Profit Margin (NPM) dan variabel makroekonomi yaitu, suku bunga SBI dan kurs terhadap saham AALI dan CPIN. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode kuantitatif yaitu dengan pendekatan VECM (Vector Error Correction Model). Berdasarkan hasil penelitian, dalam jangka pendek dan jangka panjang rasio keuangan sudah mempengaruhi perubahan return saham perusahaan agribisnis. Variabel Current Ratio (CR) berkontribusi besar terhadap return saham AALI. Kemudian Net Profit Margin (NPM) berkontribusi besar terhadap saham CPIN.
Keyword: rasio keuangan, variabel makroekonomi, return saham, VECM

Judul: Thermal Characteristics and Dynamics of Tropical Cyclone over Western North Pacific Ocean: A Case Study of Typhoon Songda (Chedeng) 2011
Abstrak: The frequent occasion of Tropical Cyclone (TC) over Western North Pacific (WNP) Ocean lies from 10˚N to 26˚N and 121˚E to 170˚E. Sources of TC development come from warm ocean temperature where latent heat is released during condensation processes and subsequently concentrated in the boundary layer. Relative humidity at 850-700 hPa is responsible to produce the most intense storm. Meanwhile, weak vertical wind shear between 850-200 hPa is one of the dynamical factors that lead to the development of TC. Pressure level of 850-200 hPa is chosen to minimize the thermodynamic effect in the lower troposphere. Typhoon Songda (Chedeng in the Philippines) or TSC lasted from May 18th to 30th, 2011 and strengthened into powerful Super Typhoon stage between May 24th and 27th. Long curving track and the exhibition of all sequences of TC life cycle, TSC is then considered as an ideal case of TC. The objective of the study with case of TSC is to investigate the role of thermal characteristics and dynamics on TC intensity. The research is carried out by using Advanced Research of Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF ARW model) version 3.3. Two domains are employed in the model. The first domain situate from 02˚N to 40˚N and 118˚E to 149˚E and cover spatial resolution () of 33.1 km. The second domain situate from 09˚N to 27˚N and 119˚E to 132˚E with of 11 km. Timestep of the model () is 120 seconds. The model is supported by the following physical parameterization, i.e., Yonsei University Scheme (YSU) in the boundary layer, Kain-Fritsch scheme (KF) in the cumulus, and WRF Single-Moment 3-class scheme in the microphysics. Initial meteorological condition prior to the formation of the cyclone is generated using WRF ARW standard-release model. Sensitivity of the model output is obtained from a selected single-parameter change scenarios, namely, 10 % to 20 % decrease and increase of wind shear initial data at 850-200 hPa, and by 10 % to 20 % decrease of relative humidity initial data at 850-700 hPa. The result showed that the negative correlations between wind shear and intensity are found in wind shear scenarios. Wind shears of 10 ms-1 which lead to strengthening of the wind intensity in the early period of Typhoon development are found in wind shear scenarios. The effect of wind shear changes on wind intensity is statistically significant in the 20 % wind shear scenarios. During mature stage, weak wind intensity occurred when wind shear increase as given in the WRF standard-release and the 20 % decreasing scenario. Different situation is found in the 20 % increasing scenario where wind shear tend to weak and lead to strong wind intensity at this stage. Meanwhile, the reduction of moisture supply at 850-700 hPa resulting from 20 % decreasing relative humidity play a major role in the weakening of wind intensity and reduces mechanical energy of the cycle process as much as 300 J kg-1.
Keyword: