TITLE: Cardiovascular outcomes during treatment with dabigatran: comprehensive analysis of individual subject data by treatment

  ABSTRACT.BACKGROUND:
Dabigatran 150 mg twice daily was shown to be superior to warfarin in preventing stroke in subjects with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (SPAF) in the RE-LY (Randomized Evaluation of Long-term anticoagulation therapY) trial. Numerically, more myocardial infarctions occurred in patients receiving dabigatran compared with well-controlled warfarin. This observation prompted a comprehensive analysis of cardiovascular outcomes, including myocardial infarction, in all completed Phase II and III trials of dabigatran etexilate.

ABSTRACT.METHODS:
The analysis included comparisons of dabigatran with warfarin, enoxaparin, and placebo. Data were analyzed for the occurrence of cardiovascular events from 14 comparative trials (n = 42,484) in five different indications. Individual study data were evaluated, as well as pooled subject-level data grouped by comparator.

ABSTRACT.RESULTS:
In the pooled analysis of individual patient data comparing dabigatran with warfarin (SPAF and venous thromboembolism treatment indications), myocardial infarction occurrence favored warfarin (odds ratio [OR] 1.30, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.96–1.76 for dabigatran 110 mg twice daily and OR 1.42, 95% CI 1.07–1.88 for dabigatran 150 mg twice daily). The clinically relevant composite endpoint of myocardial infarction, total stroke, and vascular death demonstrated numerically fewer events in dabigatran 150 mg patients (OR 0.87, 95% CI 0.77–1.00), but was similar for dabigatran 110 mg (OR 0.99, 95% CI 0.87–1.13). Dabigatran had similar myocardial infarction rates when compared with enoxaparin or placebo.

ABSTRACT.CONCLUSION:
These analyses suggest a more protective effect of well-controlled warfarin, but not enoxaparin, compared with dabigatran in preventing myocardial infarction in multiple clinical settings. Dabigatran showed an overall positive benefit-risk ratio for multiple clinically important cardiovascular composite endpoints in all evaluated clinical indications. In conclusion, these data suggest that myocardial infarction is not an adverse drug reaction associated with use of dabigatran.

BODY.INTRODUCTION:
Thrombotic cardiovascular disease remains a major public health challenge. Dabigatran etexilate (hereafter referred to as dabigatran) is a direct, reversible thrombin inhibitor that provides a potential alternative to long-established and newer oral and parenteral anticoagulants for the treatment and prevention of various thromboembolic diseases. In the RE-LY (Randomized Evaluation of Long-term anticoagulation therapY) atrial fibrillation study, dabigatran etexilate 150 mg twice daily was associated with significantly lower rates of the primary efficacy composite endpoint of stroke and systemic embolic events, compared with well-controlled warfarin, with similar rates of major bleeding events.1,2 In RE-LY, dabigatran 110 mg twice daily was noninferior to warfarin for prevention of stroke/systemic embolic events, with lower rates of major bleeding than warfarin.  The prespecified, treatment-blinded, and independent assessment of all efficacy endpoints in RE-LY identified that there were numerically more myocardial infarctions (MIs) in the dabigatran treatment groups than the group receiving warfarin (target international normalized ratio [INR] 2.0–3.0). Those differences did not reach statistical significance, and the overall annualized MI rates in RE-LY were <1% in all three treatment groups and comparable with those reported in numerous recent atrial fibrillation studies (0.55%–1.4%, Table 1).3–11  No imbalances were seen between dabigatran and well-controlled warfarin (mean time in therapeutic range [TTR] 64.4%, median TTR 67.3%) in the occurrence of the prespecified composite endpoint of MI, sudden/arrhythmic and pump failure deaths, or additional endpoints derived from adverse events of unstable angina, cardiac arrest resulting in death, and post-MI cardiac deaths.12 Further, RE-LY prespecified the composite endpoint of "net clinical benefit" (all strokes, systemic embolic events, MI, pulmonary embolism, major bleeding, and all-cause death), which favored both dabigatran doses versus warfarin.12 A recent pooled analysis of all four Phase III trials of dabigatran versus enoxaparin for the prevention of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients undergoing total hip or knee replacement surgery demonstrated no significant difference in the incidence of MI between dabigatran and enoxaparin.13 However, the finding of a numeric increase in MI frequency with dabigatran compared with well-controlled warfarin in RE-LY, coupled with a decrease in the occurrence of other cardiovascular outcome events and overall net clinical benefit, has prompted considerable debate in the medical literature.14–17  The discordance between rates of MI and other outcome events seen in RE-LY, the apparent lack of a consistent MI signal seen with other direct thrombin inhibitors,18,19 and the debate surrounding the publication of a meta-analysis of cardiovascular outcome events in a limited subset (seven) of dabigatran trials14,16 which did not use individual patient data, dictated that we produce definitive data to establish whether patients on dabigatran are at increased risk of cardiovascular events and MI in particular. We hypothesized that the risk of cardiovascular events in patients on dabigatran etexilate was not increased when compared with other anticoagulants.  We performed a comprehensive review of all cardiovascular outcome data obtained during the conduct of all Phase II and III dabigatran clinical studies (n = 14) covering five different clinical indications with a variety of comparators administered according to current clinical guidelines. Two trials did not have comparators and so were excluded from these analyses. Additionally, these analyses included all individual patient data within the Boehringer Ingelheim dabigatran database, and since database searches did not identify any published Phase II or III dabigatran studies other than those known to Boehringer Ingelheim, these comprise all known studies as of January 2012. We prespecified a meta-analytic approach pooling the patient-level data from the clinical trials grouped by treatment, to make comparative assessments of the frequency of MI, cardiovascular, and other vascular outcome events, both as individual events and as components of prespecified composite cardiovascular endpoints, due to the known large differences in the risk of cardiovascular outcomes in the different patient populations studied. For the pooled analyses, we focused on the doses of dabigatran and their respective comparators, as approved by numerous health authorities and recommended in multiple clinical and practice guidance documents.

BODY.MATERIALS AND METHODS.SUBJECTS AND STUDY SELECTION:
The analysis was performed by employees of the market authorization holder of dabigatran etexilate (Boehringer Ingelheim) which resulted in unrestricted access to all patient-level data. Studies included in the analysis were all available Phase II and Phase III trials conducted during the development of dabigatran etexilate that were completed through January 2012. An additional literature search in PubMed, Scopus, and the Web of Science in January 2012 for randomized controlled trials evaluating the safety and efficacy of dabigatran that reported on MI or acute coronary syndrome (ACS) as secondary outcomes, using the search terms "dabigatran" or "dabigatran etexilate" or "BIBR 1048" and "randomized clinical trial" or "randomized trial" or "randomized controlled trial", did not identify further studies. Finally, the analysis was performed on data from four Phase II (n = 4,478) and ten Phase III (n = 38,006) studies, all of which included exactly one of the following comparators: warfarin, enoxaparin, or placebo. A brief overview of these trials is given in Table 2.1,2,20–32 The studies were conducted between November 2002 and June 2011. Results from all but one of these studies were previously published1,2,20–26,30,32 or reported in abstract form;28,29,31 and one set of data remains unpublished.27 As stated earlier, data from two Phase II trials were excluded from these data analyses because they had no active or placebo comparator arm.33,34 The follow-up periods in these 14 studies were between 1 month and 5 years. A summary of the individual studies, including the number of subjects treated, treatment outcomes, and primary safety and/or efficacy endpoints, is provided in Table 3.  As expected, the trial populations differed in terms of demographic and baseline characteristics (eg, age and concomitant disease therapy), the prevalence of known coronary disease, active or placebo comparators, and trial durations (Supplementary Table 1). Dabigatran was administered once daily in seven trials and twice daily in ten trials, some of which also had once-daily arms, and some patients received both once-daily and twice-daily doses in one trial. All studies were conducted with the approval of local ethics committees and the relevant governmental health authorities, and followed the most stringent of the relevant guidelines for the protection of human subjects. Trial registration numbers are listed in Table 3.

BODY.MATERIALS AND METHODS.OUTCOMES AND DEFINITIONS:
For the current analyses, the outcomes of interest were MI (including silent MI), stroke, vascular and cardiovascular death, and three prespecified composite outcomes: MI and cardiovascular death; MI and nonfatal stroke; and MI, stroke, and vascular death.  The definitions of an MI event for RE-LY have been previously reported,12 and are more inclusive than those included in the Phase III protocols for the apixaban and rivaroxaban atrial fibrillation studies.10,11 The definitions of MI for the trials included in these analyses can be found in Supplementary Table 2.  For all pooled analyses, the best available individual subject data were used to evaluate cardiovascular events, including MI. For studies with independent adjudication of events, positively adjudicated outcome events were considered to be the best available data. If a study did not have a formal cardiovascular event adjudication, then all investigator-reported adverse events, ie, any of the cardiovascular outcome events included in these analyses, were considered outcome events, irrespective of the investigator or company assigned causal relatedness to study treatment. Adverse event selection was based on Medical Dictionary for Regulatory Authorities (MedDRA) preferred terms that were documented in the clinical trial database.

BODY.MATERIALS AND METHODS.STATISTICAL ANALYSES:
One of the 14 studies did not include a currently approved dose of dabigatran,20 and no cardiovascular outcome events were reported in three studies24,26,27 (Table 2). The pooled safety analyses included only subjects who had received at least one dose of study drug (because the focus was a safety analysis) and the observation period was from the date of randomization to the date of study termination, to be consistent with intention-to-treat principles. Pooling was based on individual patient data, but "study" was retained as a factor in the statistical models.  For the pooled analyses, a fixed-effects model based on the Mantel-Haenszel method was used for combining results from individual trials. Because this was planned as a safety analysis, we used the fixed-effects model, which we knew would result in smaller confidence intervals (CIs) than a random-effects model, and as such, between-group differences would be more likely to be considered statistically significant than if a "less conservative" approach using a random-effects model was utilized. However, a random-effects model was also employed and no substantial differences in the CIs compared with the fixed-effects model were noted (data not shown).  Odds ratios (ORs) (with a 0.5 continuity correction) and 95% CIs were calculated. A two-sided P-value of <0.05 was considered to be statistically significant. There was no correction for the multiplicity of comparisons. Heterogeneity was assessed using the Chi-square test. A P-value of <0.10 was chosen to denote heterogeneity. All analyses were performed using SAS version 9.2 software (SAS Institute Inc, Cary, NC, USA).

BODY.RESULTS:
As expected, the patient populations of the 14 identified trials differed in terms of demographic and baseline characteristics (eg, age and concomitant medication use), prevalence of known coronary disease, comparators (active or placebo), and trial duration. Dabigatran was administered once daily in seven trials and twice daily in ten trials, some of which also had once-daily arms, and some patients received both once-daily and twice-daily doses in one trial. These differences were addressed by analyzing the data from studies grouped by different comparators, which also simultaneously addressed the issue of different trial durations (eg, primary VTE prevention in the orthopedic setting for up to 34 days, stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation RE-LY for a mean of 2 years). Nevertheless, the outcome data were consistent when reviewed as results of individual studies or as pooled analyses of individual patient data from studies grouped by comparator.

BODY.RESULTS.COMPARISONS WITH WELL-CONTROLLED WARFARIN (TRIALS IN SUBJECTS WITH NONVALVULAR ATRIAL FIBRILLATION AND UNDERGOING ACUTE TREATMENT OR SECONDARY PREVENTION OF VTE).POOLED ANALYSES OF INDIVIDUAL SUBJECT DATA VERSUS WARFARIN:
Within the six clinical trials comparing dabigatran 150 mg twice daily versus warfarin, all had a target INR of 2.0–3.0 (Table 2).1,2,26–28,30,31 No cardiovascular events were reported in two studies, so the pooled analysis of individual data is derived from data from four trials.1,2,28,30,31 The occurrence of all stroke (OR 0.68; 95% CI 0.54–0.85) and nonfatal stroke (OR 0.65; 95% CI 0.49–0.86) favored dabigatran (Figure 1A).  There was a trend to less risk for vascular death in subjects receiving dabigatran 150 mg twice daily compared with warfarin (OR 0.86; 95% CI 0.73–1.01), occurrence of the composite endpoint of MI, nonfatal stroke, and cardiovascular death (OR 0.91; 95% CI 0.79–1.06), and the composite endpoint of MI, all stroke, and vascular death (OR 0.87; 95% CI 0.77–1.00). The OR for the composite outcome of MI and cardiovascular death, comparing dabigatran 150 mg twice daily versus warfarin, measured an OR of 1.06 (95% CI 0.89–1.26). For MI events alone, there was an elevated rate compared with warfarin, with an OR of 1.42 (95% CI 1.07–1.88, Figure 1A). There was no evidence of statistical heterogeneity. Analyses using different treatment intervals showed similar results.  The comparison of individual patient data for dabigatran 110 mg twice daily and warfarin (Figure 1B) included only one trial (RE-LY),1,2 because there were no reported cardiovascular events in the only other study that included this dose and warfarin.27 Therefore, these data were identical to those reported in Table 4 for the RE-LY trial results. For MI alone, the data favored warfarin (OR 1.30; 95% CI 0.96–1.76).

BODY.RESULTS.COMPARISONS WITH WELL-CONTROLLED WARFARIN (TRIALS IN SUBJECTS WITH NONVALVULAR ATRIAL FIBRILLATION AND UNDERGOING ACUTE TREATMENT OR SECONDARY PREVENTION OF VTE).SUBJECTS WITH NONVALVULAR ATRIAL FIBRILLATION: INDIVIDUAL TRIAL DATA VERSUS WELL-CONTROLLED WARFARIN:
Data are available from the RE-LY trial. As previously reported,1,12 annualized rates of stroke occurrence measured 1.44%, 1.01%, and 1.58% per year for dabigatran 110 mg twice daily, dabigatran 150 mg twice daily, and warfarin, respectively, while there was a small, statistically nonsignificant excess occurrence of MI in dabigatran-treated subjects (Table 4). The rates of MI in RE-LY measured 0.82%, 0.81%, and 0.64% per year for the dabigatran 110 mg twice daily, dabigatran 150 mg twice daily, and warfarin treatment groups, respectively; the differences did not reach statistical significance.1,12 The rates of fatal MI events were all similar and low (0.13%, 0.11%, and 0.10% per year for dabigatran 110 mg, dabigatran 150 mg, and warfarin groups, respectively). Of all the RE-LY subjects who sustained an MI, more than half had a history of coronary artery disease and about one third had a history of prior MI. A subgroup analysis showed that while MI occurred more frequently in subjects with a baseline history of coronary artery disease versus those without in all treatment groups (Table 4), the MI rates were similar in the dabigatran-treated and warfarin-treated subjects for total MI, as well as for subcategories of silent, clinical, and fatal MI. Additionally, when evaluating the effect of INR control in RE-LY, it was noted that those with a mean TTR ≤65% had about a 30% lower annualized MI rate than warfarin-treated individuals with worse INR control (TTR <65%, Table 5).  In a post hoc multivariate analysis, the only subgroup to show a statistically significant increase in MI rates with dabigatran versus warfarin was those patients with a baseline history of valvular heart disease (n = 3,955; 21.8% of RE-LY subjects had valvular heart disease without a prosthetic valve or that was not hemodynamically significant or likely to require valve surgery during the conduct of the trial). The identification of such subjects did not require quantification of valvular disease severity (eg, with ultrasound) but was based on investigator-reported medical history only. The MI rates in this group measured 1.06%, 1.08%, and 0.31% per year for dabigatran 110 mg twice daily, dabigatran 150 mg twice daily, and warfarin, respectively (Table 4). In subjects without valvular heart disease, the MI rates were 0.64%, 0.64%, and 0.63% per year for the three treatment groups, respectively (Table 4), showing no difference between those receiving dabigatran and warfarin. The MI rate in the warfarin group with a baseline history of valvular heart disease was low, with very few events having been diagnosed (n = 8), and the rate was about half the MI rate (0.31% per year) observed in warfarin-treated subjects with no baseline history of valvular heart disease (n = 58, with a rate of 0.63% per year), an observation that lacks clinical plausibility.  A further evaluation was performed looking at the timing of MI relative to administration or discontinuation of the study drug. This analysis showed that >30% of MI events in RE-LY occurred off study drug in all three treatment groups.12 However, there continued to be a numeric excess of first MI events in subjects randomized to dabigatran compared with warfarin more than 90 days after cessation of treatment, an observation that is not readily explainable (Table 6).  Adjudicated vascular death rates were 2.43%, 2.28%, and 2.69% per year for the dabigatran 110 mg, dabigatran 150 mg, and warfarin treatment groups, respectively (Table 4). The risk of vascular death for dabigatran 150 mg twice daily was significantly lower than for well-controlled warfarin (hazard ratio [HR] 0.85, 95% CI 0.72–0.99, P = 0.04). In addition, the protocol-prespecified composite endpoint of stroke, systemic embolic events, MI, pulmonary embolism, and vascular death for dabigatran 150 mg twice daily compared with warfarin had an HR of 0.84(95% CI 0.74–0.96, P = 0.009). There were no significant differences between the groups with regard to rates of cardiovascular death, or the composite endpoints of MI and cardiovascular death or MI and all-cause mortality. The protocol-prespecified composite endpoint of "net clinical benefit" (all strokes, systemic embolic events, MI, pulmonary embolism, major bleeding, and all-cause death) favored both dabigatran doses, with rates of 7.34% per year with dabigatran 110 mg twice daily, 7.11% per year with dabigatran 150 mg twice daily, and 7.91% per year with warfarin (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.84–1.01, P = 0.09 for dabigatran 110 mg and HR 0.9, 95% CI 0.82–0.99, P = 0.02 for dabigatran 150 mg twice daily).12

BODY.RESULTS.COMPARISONS WITH WELL-CONTROLLED WARFARIN (TRIALS IN SUBJECTS WITH NONVALVULAR ATRIAL FIBRILLATION AND UNDERGOING ACUTE TREATMENT OR SECONDARY PREVENTION OF VTE).SUBJECTS UNDERGOING ACUTE TREATMENT OR SECONDARY PREVENTION OF VTE: INDIVIDUAL TRIAL DATA VERSUS WELL-CONTROLLED WARFARIN:
Two acute VTE treatment studies (n = 5,060)30,31 of 6 months' duration compared dabigatran versus warfarin for the treatment of acute VTE, and within each study there was a low incidence of definite ACS events during the treatment period, but there were more events in those treated with dabigatran (0.3%) than in those treated with warfarin (0.1%). In a secondary prevention trial of up to 3 years' duration comparing dabigatran versus warfarin for the prevention of recurrent VTEs,28 nine MI events were reported in the 150 mg twice daily dabigatran group versus one event in the warfarin group (Table 7). There was a higher prevalence of baseline coronary risk factors, including hypertension, diabetes, and established coronary artery disease, in those treated with dabigatran than in those treated with warfarin in these studies.

BODY.RESULTS.COMPARISONS WITH ENOXAPARIN OR PLACEBO (IN SUBJECTS UNDERGOING PRIMARY AND SECONDARY PREVENTION OF VTE AND SUBJECTS WITH ACS).POOLED ANALYSES OF INDIVIDUAL SUBJECT DATA VERSUS ENOXAPARIN AND PLACEBO:
In four studies comparing dabigatran 220 mg once daily versus enoxaparin21–23,25 (Figure 2) and two studies comparing dabigatran 150 mg twice daily versus placebo29,32 (Figure 3A), point estimates for MI and composite endpoints that included MI were <1.0 and >1.0, respectively, although the CIs were wide. Similarly, conclusions regarding point estimates for cardiovascular and vascular death are limited by wide CIs due to the low number of events. Only one trial32 compared dabigatran 110 mg twice daily versus placebo (Figure 3B).

BODY.RESULTS.COMPARISONS WITH ENOXAPARIN OR PLACEBO (IN SUBJECTS UNDERGOING PRIMARY AND SECONDARY PREVENTION OF VTE AND SUBJECTS WITH ACS).SUBJECTS UNDERGOING PRIMARY PREVENTION OF VTE: INDIVIDUAL TRIAL DATA VERSUS ENOXAPARIN:
In three VTE primary prevention studies, ie, RE-MODEL (Thromboembolism Prevention After Knee Surgery), RE-NOVATE (Oral dabigatran versus enoxaparin for thromboprophylaxis after primary total hip arthroplasty), and RE-MOBILIZE (prevention of venous thromboembolism after total knee arthroplasty trial) in subjects undergoing elective total hip or knee joint replacement surgery (n = 8,135), rates of adjudicated definite/likely ACS events were low and similar with dabigatran (150 mg or 220 mg once daily groups combined) or enoxaparin (0.8% versus 0.7%, respectively, Table 7).13 Investigator-reported ACS event data are available for all four primary VTE prevention studies, including the RE-NOVATE II study which investigated the 220 mg dose of dabigatran without central adjudication of ACS events. In the pooling of the four trials, ACS events identified by investigators locally occurred in 0.16% of patients in the dabigatran 220 mg once daily group compared with 0.35% in the enoxaparin group.13

BODY.RESULTS.COMPARISONS WITH ENOXAPARIN OR PLACEBO (IN SUBJECTS UNDERGOING PRIMARY AND SECONDARY PREVENTION OF VTE AND SUBJECTS WITH ACS).SUBJECTS UNDERGOING SECONDARY PREVENTION OF VTE: INDIVIDUAL TRIAL DATA VERSUS PLACEBO:
In a secondary VTE prevention study comparing dabigatran versus placebo,29 only one MI was reported in each treatment group. All-cause mortality rates were similar with dabigatran and the comparator treatment, predominantly warfarin (Table 7).

BODY.RESULTS.COMPARISONS WITH ENOXAPARIN OR PLACEBO (IN SUBJECTS UNDERGOING PRIMARY AND SECONDARY PREVENTION OF VTE AND SUBJECTS WITH ACS).SUBJECTS WITH ACS: INDIVIDUAL TRIAL DATA VERSUS PLACEBO:
In the Phase II RE-DEEM (Randomized Dabigatran Etexilate Dose Finding Study In Patients With Acute Coronary Syndromes) dose-ranging ACS study,32 almost all subjects received dual antiplatelet therapy (>95% at 1 month) in addition to dabigatran (over the dose range 50–150 mg twice daily) or placebo (Supplementary Table 3). MIs occurred at a rate of 1.6% for placebo and 3.0%, 2.7%, 1.7%, and 2.3% for dabigatran doses of 50, 75, 110, and 150 mg twice daily, respectively. Two fatal MIs (0.5%) occurred in each of the placebo and dabigatran 50 mg twice daily and 75 mg twice daily groups. There were no fatal MIs in the dabigatran 110 mg twice daily and 150 mg twice daily groups. There were three strokes in the placebo group, one in the dabigatran 75 mg twice daily group, and none in the other dabigatran dosing groups. Cardiovascular and all-cause mortality rates were lowest in the 110 mg twice daily and 150 mg twice daily groups compared with the lower dose dabigatran and placebo groups (Supplementary Table 3).

BODY.DISCUSSION:
Findings from our review and analyses of all comparative Phase II and III clinical trials of dabigatran etexilate clearly indicate that the rate of MI with well-controlled warfarin (for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation and acute VTE treatment or secondary VTE prevention) is lower than with dabigatran 150 mg twice daily. This is consistent with the results from RE-LY, which contributed to the majority of the data in these analyses. When comparing MI rates for dabigatran-treated patients with those for patients treated with enoxaparin or placebo, no significant difference could be observed, supporting the conclusion that dabigatran is not causing MI but rather that dabigatran is less effective than well-controlled warfarin at preventing MI;15,35 also supporting the conclusion that warfarin is protective in preventing MI is the observation that warfarin-treated patients in RE-LY with better INR control (TTR ≥65%) had lower rates of MI than those with worse INR control (TTR <65%). Additionally, in all patient populations treated with dabigatran, the MI rates were low and any increase in the rates of MI compared with warfarin were counterbalanced by an improved overall clinical benefit due to a reduction in stroke, and/or lower rates of other cardiovascular outcome events and/or overall cardiovascular mortality in those receiving dabigatran.  The rationale for conducting this detailed review of individual and pooled study results was based on the observation of a nonsignificant increase in the number of MI events with dabigatran versus warfarin in RE-LY1 and a recently published meta-analysis that included only selected dabigatran clinical trial data.16 This MI imbalance, although small (1.5 excess events per 1,000 subjects per year), could not be explained by differences in baseline characteristics, including previous coronary artery disease or MI, diabetes, hypertension, or other baseline therapies. The meta-analysis by Uchino and Hernandez16 included trials with different patient types and comparators, did not utilize individual patient data, and did not include analyses according to differences in baseline characteristics and risk factors, which therefore resulted in significant limitations and raised questions about its reliability and validity. The overall MI rates in RE-LY in each treatment group were low (0.6%–0.8% per year) and similar to those observed in other recent trials3–11 in subjects with atrial fibrillation (0.55%–1.4%) receiving warfarin, antiplatelet agents, or other new oral anticoagulants; however, we still believed a thorough and as comprehensive as possible evaluation of MI rates and cardiovascular endpoint data was necessary. Due to unlimited access to the trial databases of Boehringer Ingelheim, we were able to complete this comprehensive and complete evaluation1,2,20–32 addressing the limitations of other recent meta-analyses and publications.  The results in different subject populations and with different comparators (warfarin, enoxaparin, and placebo), when reviewed as individual studies or as pooled analyses of individual patient data, were consistent. In individual studies of the treatment of stroke associated with atrial fibrillation and indications other than atrial fibrillation, all stroke (ischemic and hemorrhagic), all-cause, and cardiovascular mortality rates were similar or lower with dabigatran than with warfarin. There was a consistent imbalance in MI rates between dabigatran and warfarin for all evaluated populations, although the absolute risk differences were small. The finding in RE-LY that warfarin-treated patients with better INR control (TTR ≥65%) had approximately 30% lower annual MI rates than warfarin-treated subjects with poorer INR control (TTR <65%) supports the concept that better warfarin INR control is associated with better MI prevention. The different mechanisms of action of warfarin and dabigatran may have a role in the different profiles observed for these drugs. The lack of any negative effect on myocardial ischemic events in the studies comparing dabigatran versus enoxaparin or placebo in over 10,000 patients strongly supports the position that MI is not an adverse effect of dabigatran, but rather that well-controlled warfarin seems to have a greater beneficial effect in preventing MI than dabigatran. Of interest, enoxaparin remains a guideline-recommended therapy for the treatment of acute MI and we observed no differences in the occurrence of MI in patients exposed to dabigatran or enoxaparin. A network meta-analysis of dabigatran versus placebo and aspirin treatment indicated no difference in the risk of MI, which is also supportive of this hypothesis.36 Furthermore, in an evaluation of a factor Xa inhibitor (rivaroxaban) compared with a well-controlled warfarin comparison (TTR was 64% in the North American population), this trend toward a lower potency of the new oral anticoagulant regarding MI prevention was also seen (HR 1.15, 95% CI 0.74–1.80).37 Additionally, a similar trend was recently reported for edoxaban in the HOKUSAI-VTE study.38 Therefore, it is reasonable that our results reflect the beneficial effects of well-controlled warfarin (median TTR 67.3%) for the prevention of myocardial ischemia.35 Several studies have shown that warfarin has a protective effect against MI compared with nonwarfarin anticoagulants in patients with atrial fibrillation who are prescribed anticoagulation for stroke prevention.3,15,39 Other studies have shown that warfarin plus aspirin is useful for the management of patients with coronary artery disease, particularly in the secondary prevention setting.35,40,41  When looking at specific subgroups in the RE-LY trial, interestingly, the imbalance in MI events in the pooled analysis of studies versus warfarin was predominantly driven by the results of RE-LY. The very low MI rate in warfarin-treated RE-LY subjects with baseline valvular heart disease (0.3%) may have skewed the results. Indeed, the rate was half that observed in warfarin-treated subjects without a history of valvular heart disease (0.6%). A lower MI rate in subjects with valvular heart disease who are at high risk for morbidity and mortality does not seem medically plausible42 since the actual MI rate (0.3%) in this subgroup of warfarin subjects was lower than any reported MI rate in all major recent studies of subjects with atrial fibrillation (0.55%–1.4%);3–11 the presence of valvular heart disease is indicative of a greater degree of cardiovascular comorbidity rather than its absence. Additionally, the RE-LY study exclusion criteria did not prespecify quantitative measures to identify nonhemodynamically significant valvular heart disease, making it a subjective, investigator-dependent characterization. Importantly, it should also be noted that there was no difference in MI rates comparing dabigatran versus warfarin in over 14,000 (78%) of the RE-LY subjects without a baseline history of valvular heart disease.  Investigation of the timing of myocardial ischemic events in relation to treatment, important in the assessment of causality, showed that a portion of the observed excess MI rates with dabigatran in RE-LY was evident more than 3 months after discontinuation of the study drug. This suggests that this difference may be due to underlying imbalances between the treatment groups rather than the treatments themselves. In support of this, it is notable that >30% of the MI events in the dabigatran groups occurred off treatment, by which time most subjects were receiving oral anticoagulation with a nonstudy drug.12 Despite a shorter half-life of dabigatran compared with warfarin, there was no difference in the number of MI events within the first 30 days of stopping either treatment, indicating lack of any rebound effect. A recently published study investigating whether a rebound effect could be present in patients on dabigatran in RE-MOBILIZE, RE-MODEL, RE-NOVATE, and RE-NOVATE II detected no increased ACS signal with dabigatran etexilate compared with enoxaparin during or after treatment.13  There is no evidence in animal models that dabigatran causes vascular injury. Instead, studies show that dabigatran has antithrombotic and antiatherosclerotic properties and suggest that dabigatran treatment may limit atherosclerosis progression and preserve vessel lumen patency.43–46  The findings of the RE-LY trial need to be considered from both clinical and public health perspectives. While RE-LY indicated a modest, nonsignificant increase in MI compared with warfarin, this was more than counterbalanced by significant beneficial effects on stroke reduction (six fewer events per 1,000 subjects per year) and lower observed rates of cardiovascular mortality (five fewer events per 1,000 subjects per year) and total mortality, compared with warfarin.44 The RE-LY protocol prespecified a composite outcome endpoint of net clinical benefit (all strokes, systemic embolic events, MI, pulmonary embolism, major bleeding, and all-cause death), the occurrence of which favored both dabigatran doses.12 In RE-LY subjects with a prior history of coronary artery disease or previous MI, the relative risk of MI with dabigatran versus warfarin and the net clinical benefit of dabigatran over warfarin were similar compared with the group without a prior history of coronary artery disease at baseline.12 This means that the treatment effects of dabigatran on composite major clinical outcomes (eg, stroke/systemic embolic events, major bleeding, and MI) were consistent in patients at higher (ie, patients with previous MI or coronary artery disease) and lower risk of myocardial ischemic events.12 Additionally, warfarin-treated subjects in RE-LY with better INR control had lower MI rates than warfarin-treated subjects with poorer INR control.  In the recently published RELY-ABLE (Long Term Multi-center Extension of Dabigatran Treatment in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation Who Completed RE-LY Trial) safety follow-up of RE-LY, 2.3 years of additional treatment with dabigatran was evaluated (total mean follow-up time of 4.3 years). The annual rates of MI were low and similar between the groups, at 0.69% and 0.72% per year for 150 mg twice daily and 110 mg twice daily, respectively. These low event rates for MI, as well as for all other evaluated outcomes, were consistent with the rates seen in RE-LY even after a long duration of exposure to dabigatran treatment.47  As a class, direct thrombin inhibitors have previously been shown to be effective in the treatment of myocardial ischemia.48 The parenteral direct thrombin inhibitor, bivalirudin, was shown to be superior to heparin for the prevention of death or MI in subjects with ACS.49 Bivalirudin was also shown to be more effective than heparin in subjects with ST-segment elevation MI undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention.50 The first oral direct thrombin inhibitor, ximelagatran, was shown to be effective in reducing the occurrence of new ischemic events when given with aspirin in subjects who had sustained a recent MI.18 The rates for MI were similar comparing ximelagatran and warfarin for the prevention of stroke in subjects with atrial fibrillation.51  We note the limitations inherent in interpretation of this post hoc analysis of the efficacy and safety of dabigatran. First, the included studies were conducted in different study populations with different baseline characteristics (eg, age, concomitant diseases, and treatment) and, for warfarin, varying levels of control measured as TTR. Second, treatment duration and follow-up periods with dabigatran varied between the trials. Third, different processes were used to identify outcome events and adjudication. Finally, trials with a longer duration (eg, RE-LY) have had a higher impact on the results of this analysis. In contrast with a previous meta-analysis,16 we tried to minimize the impact of these variables by only pooling data using the same comparator (ie, warfarin, enoxaparin, or placebo). Thus, the results of the pooled analysis can be considered hypothesis-generating but not confirmatory.  Our findings greatly expand the analysis recently reported by Uchino and Hernandez,16 in which summary trial data from only seven dabigatran trials (n = 31,097 subjects) were pooled, and their analyses were conducted pooling all comparators, subject populations, indications, and dabigatran dosage, including some doses that are apparently not clinically effective. In comparison, the current analysis relies on individual subject data and a more robust statistical approach, based on pooling of trials with similar comparators and doses, as well as use of a multifactorial analysis adjusting for differing risk factors concerning various outcome measures.

BODY.CONCLUSION:
Based on the findings from our analyses and available clinical and preclinical investigations, we conclude that, although MI occurs more frequently in dabigatran-treated subjects than in warfarin-treated subjects, MI is not an adverse drug reaction resulting from administration of dabigatran. Further, dabigatran had an overall positive benefit-risk ratio when the composite endpoints of efficacy and safety are assessed in each of the clinical indications evaluated, including all comparisons with well-controlled warfarin.

BODY.SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES:
Table S1Patient characteristicsTrialAge, mean (SD)Males, %Concomitant disorders, % (n/N)
Prior CADPrior MIDiabetesHypertensionBISTRO II2065.9 (10.6)38.94.1 (80/1,949)1.4 (28/1,949)3.8 (74/1,949)38.0 (740/1,949)RE-MODEL2167.7 (8.9)34.011.9 (247/2,075)1.4 (29/2,076)11.2 (232/2,075)59.4 (1,232/2,075)RE-NOVATE2263.9 (10.8)43.68.9 (309/3,459)0.8 (27/3,463)7.1 (247/3,458)46.3 (1,601/3,460)RE-MOBILIZE2366.1 (9.5)42.311.2 (292/2,596)1.7 (45/2,596)15.8 (410/2,596)62.6 (1,625/2,596)Japanese TKR2471.6 (7.8)17.07.2 (37/512)0 (0/512)15.8 (81/512)59.6 (305/512)RE-NOVATE II2562.0 (11.4)48.26.4 (129/2,011)0.5 (11/2,013)8.4 (168/2,011)46.1 (927/2,012)PETRO2669.7 (8.2)81.961.0 (306/502)NA25.1 (126/502)70.9 (356/502)Japanese AF2768.4 (8.6)88.024.1 (40/166)6.0 (10/166)27.7 (46/166)69.9 (116/166)RE-LY1,271.5 (8.7)63.627.8 (5,010/18,040)16.6 (2,994/18,040)23.3 (4,204/18,040)78.8 (14,221/18,040)RE-MEDY2854.6 (15.2)61.07.2 (207/2,856)1.2 (34/2,856)9.0 (258/2,856)38.6 (1,102/2,856)RE-SONATE2955.8 (15.3)55.56.8 (91/1,343)2.0 (27/1,343)8.0 (107/1,343)38.8 (521/1,343)RE-COVER3054.7 (16.0)58.46.5 (166/2,539)1.4 (35/2,539)8.3 (211/2,539)35.9 (911/2,539)RE-COVER II3154.9 (16.2)60.67.7 (198/2,568)1.3 (33/2,568)9.8 (251/2,568)35.6 (913/2,568)RE-DEEM3261.8 (11.4)75.937.6 (699/1,860)29.7 (5,552/1,860)32.3 (600/1,886)67.8 (1,261/1,860)Note: Demographic data were collected for randomized or safety set, as available.Abbreviations: AF, atrial fibrillation; CAD, coronary artery disease; MI, myocardial infarction; NA, no available data; SD, standard deviation; TKR, total knee replacement; VTE, venous thromboembolism; BISTRO, Boehringer Ingelheim Study in Thrombosis; PETRO, Dabigatran with or without concomitant aspirin compared with warfarin alone in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation; RE-DEEM, RandomizEd Dabigatran Etexilate Dose Finding Study in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndromes Post Index Event With Additional Risk Factors for Cardiovascular Complications Also Receiving Aspirin and Clopidogrel: Multicentre, Prospective, Placebo controlled, Cohort Dose Escalation Study; RE-LY, Randomized Evaluation of Long-term anticoagulation therapY; RE-COVER, A Randomized Trial of Dabigatran Versus Warfarin in the Treatment of Acute Venous Thromboembolism; RE-MODEL, Regulation of coagulation in Orthopedic surgery to pRevent Deep venous thrombosis and pulmonary embolism; RE-NOVATE, Oral dabigatran versus enoxaparin for thromboprophylaxis after primary total hip arthroplasty; RE-MOBILIZE, prevention of venous thromboembolism after total knee arthroplasty trial; RE-MEDY, A Phase III, Randomised, Multicenter, Double-blind, Parallel-group, Active Controlled Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Oral Dabigatran Etexilate (150 mg Bid) Compared to Warfarin (INR 2.0–3.0) for the Secondary Prevention of Venous Thromboembolism; RE-SONATE, Twice-daily Oral Direct Thrombin Inhibitor Dabigatran Etexilate in the Long Term Prevention of Recurrent Symptomatic VTE.  Table S2Definition of MI/ACS eventsTrialDefinition of MI/ACS eventsBISTRO II20Events were selected as AEs according to sub-SMQ MI. Events were not adjudicatedRE-MODEL21Events were labeled as MI or reinfarction based on cardiac enzyme or ECG evidence in the blinded medical recordACS adjudication using MedDRA lower-level termsRE-NOVATE22Events were labeled as MI or reinfarction based on cardiac enzyme or ECG evidence in the blinded medical recordACS adjudication using MedDRA lower-level termsRE-MOBILIZE23Events were labeled as MI or reinfarction based on cardiac enzyme or ECG evidence in the blinded medical recordACS adjudication using MedDRA lower-level termsJapanese TKR24Events were selected as AEs according to sub-SMQ MIEvents were not adjudicatedRE-NOVATE II25Events were labeled as MI or reinfarction based on cardiac enzyme or ECG evidence in the blinded medical recordPETRO26Events were prespecified outcome events, but were not adjudicatedJapanese AF27Events were prespecified outcome events, but were not adjudicatedRE-LY1,2Events were adjudicated in a blinded mannerClinical MI was defined as the presence of at least two of the following three criteria:• Typical prolonged severe chest pain or related symptoms or signs (eg, ST changes or T-wave inversion in the ECG) suggestive of MI• Elevation of troponin or creatine kinase-MB to more than the upper level of normal, or if creatine kinase-MB was elevated at baseline, re-evaluation to >50% increase above the previous level• Development of significant Q waves in at least two adjacent ECG leadsRE-MEDY28Investigators identified possible ACS events that were then prospectively adjudicated by an independent committee.Adjudicated events were then categorized as definite, likely, unlikely, or not ACSRE-SONATE29Investigators identified possible ACS events that were then prospectively adjudicated by an independent committee.Adjudicated events were then categorized as definite, likely, unlikely, or not ACSRE-COVER30Investigators identified possible ACS events that were then prospectively adjudicated by an independent committee.Adjudicated events were then categorized as definite, likely, unlikely, or not ACSRE-COVER II31Investigators identified possible ACS events that were then prospectively adjudicated by an independent committee.Adjudicated events were then categorized as definite, likely, unlikely, or not ACSRE-DEEM32ACS events were prespecified as adverse events of special interest, and included MI, CV death, vascular death, and unstable anginaAbbreviations: ACS, acute coronary syndrome; AE, adverse event; AF, atrial fibrillation; CV, cardiovascular; ECG, echocardiogram; MedDRA, Medical Dictionary for Regulatory Authorities; MI, myocardial infarction; SMQ, standardized MedDRA query; TKR, total knee replacement; VTE, venous thromboembolism; BISTRO, Boehringer Ingelheim Study in Thrombosis; PETRO, Dabigatran with or without concomitant aspirin compared with warfarin alone in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation; RE-DEEM, RandomizEd Dabigatran Etexilate Dose Finding Study in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndromes Post Index Event With Additional Risk Factors for Cardiovascular Complications Also Receiving Aspirin and Clopidogrel: Multicentre, Prospective, Placebo Controlled, Cohort Dose Escalation Study; RE-LY, Randomized Evaluation of Long-term anticoagulation therapY; RE-COVER, A Randomized Trial of Dabigatran Versus Warfarin in the Treatment of Acute Venous Thromboembolism; RE-MODEL, Regulation of Coagulation in Orthopedic surgery to pRevent Deep venous thrombosis and pulmonary embolism; RE-NOVATE, Oral dabigatran versus enoxaparin for thromboprophylaxis after primary total hip arthroplasty; RE-MOBILIZE, prevention of venous thromboembolism after total knee arthroplasty trial; RE-MEDY, A Phase III, Randomised, Multicenter, Double-blind, Parallel-group, Active Controlled Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Oral Dabigatran Etexilate (150 mg Bid) Compared to Warfarin (INR 2.0–3.0) for the Secondary Prevention of Venous Thromboembolism; RE-SONATE, Twice-daily Oral Direct Thrombin inhibitor Dabigatran Etexilate in the Long Term Prevention of Recurrent Symptomatic VTE.  Table S3Clinical endpoints in RE-DEEM32 patientsPlacebo (n = 371)Dabigatran
50 mg bid (n = 369)75 mg bid (n = 368)110 mg bid (n = 406)150 mg bid (n = 348)All death, n (%)14 (3.8)8 (2.2)10 (2.7)7 (1.7)7 (2.0)CV death, n (%)9 (2.4)8 (2.2)9 (2.5)5 (1.2)4 (1.2)All MI, n (%)6 (1.6)11 (3.0)10 (2.7)7 (1.7)8 (2.3)Fatal MI, n (%)2 (0.5)2 (0.5)2 (0.5)0 (0.0)0 (0.0)Nonfatal MI, n (%)4 (1.1)9 (2.4)8 (2.2)7 (1.7)8 (2.3)Stroke, n (%)3 (0.8)0 (0.0)1 (0.3)0 (0.0)0 (0.0)Note: Part of this table is adapted from Oldgren J, Budaj A, Granger CB, et al. Dabigatran versus placebo in patients with acute coronary syndromes on dual antiplatelet therapy: a randomized, double-blind, phase II trial. Eur Heart J. 2011;32(22):2781–2789,32 by permission of Oxford University Press and the European Society of Cardiology. Copyright © 2011.Abbreviations: bid, twice daily; CV, cardiovascular; MI, myocardial infarction; RE-DEEM, RandomizEd Dabigatran Etexilate Dose Finding Study in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndromes Post Index Event With Additional Risk Factors for Cardiovascular Complications Also Receiving Aspirin and Clopidogrel: Multicentre, Prospective, Placebo Controlled, Cohort Dose Escalation Study.

Question: Compared to Warfarin what was the result of Dabigatran 150 mg BID on Risk of vascular death?
Evidence: The rates of MI in RE-LY measured 0.82%, 0.81%, and 0.64% per year for the dabigatran 110 mg twice daily, dabigatran 150 mg twice daily, and warfarin treatment groups, respectively; the differences did not reach statistical significance.
Answer: significantly decreased