Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election
Most recent polling
Table:
State

Date

Hillary
Clinton

Donald
Trump

Gary
Johnson

Jill
Stein

Evan
McMullin

Margin of
error

Lead

Clinton
potential EVs

Trump
potential EVs

Tied
potential EVs

Result

Nationwide[a]

National polling

213

178

134

Alabama

September 27, 2016

32%

48%

2.0%

16

9

25.8

Alaska

October 21–26, 2016

47%

43%

7%

3%

4.9%

4

3

14.7

Arizona

November 4–6, 2016

45%

47%

5%

2%

4.9%

2

11

3.5

Arkansas

October 18–25, 2016

36%

59%

4.1%

23

6

26.9

California

November 4–6, 2016

58%

35%

3%

2%

4.9%

28

55

30.1

Colorado

November 3–4, 2016

48%

43%

4%

2%

1%

3.7%

5

9

4.9

Connecticut

September 2–5, 2016

50%

35%

9%

4%

3.0%

15

7

13.6

Delaware

September 16–28, 2016

51%

30%

7%

2%

4.1%

21

3

11.4

Florida

November 6, 2016

46%

50%

2%

1%

3.3%

4

29

1.2

Georgia

November 6, 2016

45%

52%

2%

2.8%

7

16

5.1

Idaho

October 23–24, 2016

29%

48%

6%

10%

4.0%

19

4

31.8

Illinois

October 27–30, 2016

53%

41%

2%

0%

4.3%

12

20

17.1

Indiana

November 1–3, 2016

37%

48%

9%

4.0%

11

11

18.9

Iowa

November 1–4, 2016

39%

46%

6%

1%

3.5%

7

6

9.4

Kansas

November 1–3, 2016

34%

58%

5.5%

24

6

20.6

Kentucky

October 25–30, 2016

37%

54%

1%

1%

1%

4.0%

17

8

29.8

Louisiana

October 19–21, 2016

35%

50%

5%

4.4%

15

8

19.6

Maine

October 28–30, 2016

46%

42%

12%

2%

3.5%

4

1

3

3

Maryland

September 27–30, 2016

63%

27%

4%

2%

4.0%

36

10

26.4

Massachusetts

October 23 – November 2, 2016

56%

26%

8%

3%

5.0%

30

11

27.2

Michigan

November 6, 2016

47%

49%

3%

1%

2.8%

2

16

0.2

Minnesota

October 22–26, 2016

49%

39%

5%

2%

1%

3.9%

10

10

1.5

Missouri

November 4–5, 2016

41%

47%

7%

2%

3.5%

6

10

18.6

Montana

October 10–12, 2016

36%

46%

11%

3.2%

10

3

20.4

Nebraska

September 25–27, 2016

29%

56%

7%

1%

3.6%

27

4

1

25

Nevada

November 4–6, 2016

46%

46%

5%

1%

4.9%

Tied

6

2.4

New Hampshire

November 3–6, 2016

49%

38%

6%

1%

3.7%

11

4

0.4

New Jersey

October 27 – November 2, 2016

51%

40%

3%

1%

3.8%

11

14

14.2

New Mexico

November 6, 2016

46%

44%

6%

1%

1.8%

2

5

8.2

New York

November 3–4, 2016

51%

34%

5%

2%

4.5%

17

29

22.5

North Carolina

November 4–6, 2016

44%

44%

3%

3.5%

Tied

15

3.6

North Dakota

September 12–17, 2016

32%

43%

8%

1%

4.9%

11

3

35.7

Ohio

October 27 – November 5, 2016

39%

46%

7%

3%

3.2%

7

18

8.1

Oklahoma

October 18–20, 2016

30%

60%

5%

4.3%

30

7

36.4

Oregon

October 24–29, 2016

41%

34%

4%

2%

4.4%

7

7

11

Pennsylvania

November 3–6, 2016

46%

40%

7%

2%

2.8%

6

20

0.7

Rhode Island

October 2–4, 2016

52%

32%

5%

5%

3.4%

20

4

18.5

South Carolina

October 30–31, 2016

36%

47%

3%

1%

4.4%

11

9

14.7

South Dakota

October 24–26, 2016

35%

49%

7%

4.0%

14

3

29.8

Tennessee

October 14–17, 2016

34%

44%

7%

2%

4.4%

10

11

26

Texas

October 31 – November 1, 2016

35%

49%

5%

4%

3.6%

14

38

9

Utah

November 3–5, 2016

30%

40%

4%

25%

2.7%

10

6

18.1

Vermont

October 24–26, 2016

52%

26%

5%

2%

3.0%

26

3

26.4

Virginia

November 1–6, 2016

48%

42%

3%

1%

2%

3.6%

6

13

5.3

Washington

November 4–6, 2016

55%

39%

4.9%

16

12

16.2

West Virginia

September 13–17, 2016

28%

60%

5.0%

32

5

42.2

Wisconsin

November 1–2, 2016

49%

41%

3%

1.9%

8

10

0.8

Wyoming

October 5–11, 2016

20%

58%

9%

2%

3.6%

38

3

46.3

No recent polling

13

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