In this paper we study the problem of predictability in partially observable discrete event systems, i.e., the question whether an observer can predict the occurrence of a fault. We extend the definition of predictability to consider the time interval where the fault will occur: the @math -predictability does not only specify that the fault will be predicted before it occurs, but also that the predictor will be able to predict that its occurrence will occur in @math to @math observations from now. We also provide a quadratic algorithm that decides predictability of the system.
@PARASPLIT While this is a minor issue, we provide an example and a comprehensive discussion that illustrate the complexity error from J ' @cite_8 . Consider the example of Figure a. This DES includes @math states and @math transitions. The single observable event is @math and the single unobservable event is @math (this example does not feature any faulty event). The twin plant then consists in @math states and @math transitions (details in Table ). The @math -reduction, presented on Figure b, contains one state fewer than the original DES but @math transitions. As a consequence, the number of states in the twin plant reduces down to @math but the number of transitions shoots up to @math (details in Table ).
@cite_8
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Consider a uniform random rooted tree on vertices labelled by @math , with edges directed towards the root. We imagine that each node of the tree has space for a single car to park. A number @math of cars arrive one by one, each at a node chosen independently and uniformly at random. If a car arrives at a space which is already occupied, it follows the unique path oriented towards the root until it encounters an empty space, in which case it parks there; if there is no empty space, it leaves the tree. Consider @math and let @math denote the event that all @math cars find spaces in the tree. Lackner and Panholzer proved (via analytic combinatorics methods) that there is a phase transition in this model. Then if @math , we have @math , whereas if @math we have @math . We give a probabilistic explanation for this phenomenon, and an alternative proof via the objective method. Along the way, we are led to consider the following variant of the problem: take the tree to be the family tree of a Galton-Watson branching process with Poisson(1) offspring distribution, and let an independent Poisson( @math ) number of cars arrive at each vertex. Let @math be the number of cars which visit the root of the tree. Then for @math , we have @math , whereas for @math , we have @math . This discontinuous phase transition turns out to be a generic phenomenon in settings with an arbitrary offspring distribution of mean at least 1 for the tree and arbitrary arrival distribution. Consider the problem of approximating the optimal policy of a Markov decision process (MDP) by sampling state transitions. In contrast to existing reinforcement learning methods that are based on successive approximations to the nonlinear Bellman equation, we propose a Primal-Dual @math Learning method in light of the linear duality between the value and policy. The @math learning method is model-free and makes primal-dual updates to the policy and value vectors as new data are revealed. For infinite-horizon undiscounted Markov decision process with finite state space @math and finite action space @math , the @math learning method finds an @math -optimal policy using the following number of sample transitions @math where @math is an upper bound of mixing times across all policies and @math is a parameter characterizing the range of stationary distributions across policies. The @math learning method also applies to the computational problem of MDP where the transition probabilities and rewards are explicitly given as the input. In the case where each state transition can be sampled in @math time, the @math learning method gives a sublinear-time algorithm for solving the averaged-reward MDP. We consider the problem of provably optimal exploration in reinforcement learning for finite horizon MDPs. We show that an optimistic modification to value iteration achieves a regret bound of @math where @math is the time horizon, @math the number of states, @math the number of actions and @math the number of time-steps. This result improves over the best previous known bound @math achieved by the UCRL2 algorithm of , 2010. The key significance of our new results is that when @math and @math , it leads to a regret of @math that matches the established lower bound of @math up to a logarithmic factor. Our analysis contains two key insights. We use careful application of concentration inequalities to the optimal value function as a whole, rather than to the transitions probabilities (to improve scaling in @math ), and we define Bernstein-based "exploration bonuses" that use the empirical variance of the estimated values at the next states (to improve scaling in @math ). We propose a novel transition-based algorithm that straightforwardly parses sentences from left to right by building @math attachments, with @math being the length of the input sentence. Similarly to the recent stack-pointer parser by (2018), we use the pointer network framework that, given a word, can directly point to a position from the sentence. However, our left-to-right approach is simpler than the original top-down stack-pointer parser (not requiring a stack) and reduces transition sequence length in half, from 2 @math -1 actions to @math . This results in a quadratic non-projective parser that runs twice as fast as the original while achieving the best accuracy to date on the English PTB dataset (96.04 UAS, 94.43 LAS) among fully-supervised single-model dependency parsers, and improves over the former top-down transition system in the majority of languages tested.