Similarity-based approaches represent a promising direction for time series analysis. However, many such methods rely on parameter tuning, and some have shortcomings if the time series are multivariate (MTS), due to dependencies between attributes, or the time series contain missing data. In this paper, we address these challenges within the powerful context of kernel methods by proposing the robust (TCK). The approach taken leverages the missing data handling properties of Gaussian mixture models (GMM) augmented with informative prior distributions. An ensemble learning approach is exploited to ensure robustness to parameters by combining the clustering results of many GMM to form the final kernel. We evaluate the TCK on synthetic and real data and compare to other state-of-the-art techniques. The experimental results demonstrate that the TCK is robust to parameter choices, provides competitive results for MTS without missing data and outstanding results for missing data.
Conversely, there exists a class of (probabilistic) kernels operating on the configurations of a given parametric model, where the idea is to leverage the way distributions capture similarity. For instance, the Fisher kernel assumes an underlying generative model to explain all observed data @cite_85 . The Fisher kernel maps each time series @math into a feature vector @math , which is the gradient of the log-likelihood of the generative model fit on the dataset. The kernel is defined as @math , where @math is the fisher information matrix. Another example is the probability product kernel @cite_10 , which is evaluated by means of the Bhattacharyya distance in the probability space. A further representative is the marginalized kernel @cite_64 , designed to deal with objects generated from latent variable models. Given two visible variables, @math and @math and two hidden variables, @math and @math , at first, a joint kernel @math is defined over the two combined variables @math and @math . Then, a marginalized kernel for visible data is derived from the expectation with respect to hidden variables: @math . The posterior distributions are in general unknown and are estimated by fitting a parametric model on the data.
@cite_85 @cite_10 @cite_64
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Motivation: Kernel methods such as support vector machines require a kernel function between objects to be defined a priori. Several works have been done to derive kernels from probability distributions, e.g., the Fisher kernel. However, a general methodology to design a kernel is not fully developed. Results: We propose a reasonable way of designing a kernel when objects are generated from latent variable models (e.g., HMM). First of all, a joint kernel is designed for complete data which include both visible and hidden variables. Then a marginalized kernel for visible data is obtained by taking the expectation with respect to hidden variables. We will show that the Fisher kernel is a special case of marginalized kernels, which gives another viewpoint to the Fisher kernel theory. Although our approach can be applied to any object, we particularly derive several marginalized kernels useful for biological sequences (e.g., DNA and proteins). The effectiveness of marginalized kernels is illustrated in the task of classifying bacterial gyrase subunit B (gyrB) amino acid sequences. We consider the problem of learning an unknown function @math on the @math -dimensional sphere with respect to the square loss, given i.i.d. samples @math where @math is a feature vector uniformly distributed on the sphere and @math . We study two popular classes of models that can be regarded as linearizations of two-layers neural networks around a random initialization: (RF) The random feature model of Rahimi-Recht; (NT) The neural tangent kernel model of Jacot-Gabriel-Hongler. Both these approaches can also be regarded as randomized approximations of kernel ridge regression (with respect to different kernels), and hence enjoy universal approximation properties when the number of neurons @math diverges, for a fixed dimension @math . We prove that, if both @math and @math are large, the behavior of these models is instead remarkably simpler. If @math , then RF performs no better than linear regression with respect to the raw features @math , and NT performs no better than linear regression with respect to degree-one and two monomials in the @math . More generally, if @math then RF fits at most a degree- @math polynomial in the raw features, and NT fits at most a degree- @math polynomial. We study the problem of distribution to real-value regression, where one aims to regress a mapping @math that takes in a distribution input covariate @math (for a non-parametric family of distributions @math ) and outputs a real-valued response @math . This setting was recently studied, and a "Kernel-Kernel" estimator was introduced and shown to have a polynomial rate of convergence. However, evaluating a new prediction with the Kernel-Kernel estimator scales as @math . This causes the difficult situation where a large amount of data may be necessary for a low estimation risk, but the computation cost of estimation becomes infeasible when the data-set is too large. To this end, we propose the Double-Basis estimator, which looks to alleviate this big data problem in two ways: first, the Double-Basis estimator is shown to have a computation complexity that is independent of the number of of instances @math when evaluating new predictions after training; secondly, the Double-Basis estimator is shown to have a fast rate of convergence for a general class of mappings @math . We introduce a general purpose algorithm for rapidly computing certain types of oscillatory integrals which frequently arise in problems connected to wave propagation, general hyperbolic equations, and curvilinear tomography. The problem is to numerically evaluate a so-called Fourier integral operator (FIO) of the form @math at points given on a Cartesian grid. Here, @math is a frequency variable, @math is the Fourier transform of the input @math , @math is an amplitude, and @math is a phase function, which is typically as large as @math ; hence the integral is highly oscillatory. Because a FIO is a dense matrix, a naive matrix vector product with an input given on a Cartesian grid of size @math by @math would require @math operations. This paper develops a new numerical algorithm which requires @math operations and as low as @math in storage space (the constants in front of these estimates are small). It operates by localizing the integral over polar wedges with small angular aperture in the frequency plane. On each wedge, the algorithm factorizes the kernel @math into two components: (1) a diffeomorphism which is handled by means of a nonuniform FFT and (2) a residual factor which is handled by numerical separation of the spatial and frequency variables. The key to the complexity and accuracy estimates is the fact that the separation rank of the residual kernel is provably independent of the problem size. Several numerical examples demonstrate the numerical accuracy and low computational complexity of the proposed methodology. We also discuss the potential of our ideas for various applications such as reflection seismology.