few_shots: Example:
Problem/activity:
You’re mixing ingredients for cookies. The recipe says to combine 6 tablespoons, or ¾ stick, of butter with 1 cup of sugar. You accidentally mix in a whole stick of butter (8 tablespoons) with the cup of sugar. How can you fix this?


Standard options: 
A. Understand the concept of a ratio and use ratio language to describe a ratio relationship between two quantities. For example, “The ratio of wings to beaks in the bird house at the zoo was 2:1, because for every 2 wings there was 1 beak.” “For every vote candidate A received, candidate C received nearly three votes.”
B. Use ratio and rate reasoning to solve real-world and mathematical problems, e.g., by reasoning about tables of equivalent ratios, tape diagrams, double number line diagrams, or equations.
C. Understand the concept of a unit rate a/b associated with a ratio a:b with b ≠0, and use rate language in the context of a ratio relationship. For example, “This recipe has a ratio of 3 cups of flour to 4 cups of sugar, so there is 3/4 cup of flour for each cup of sugar.” “We paid $75 for 15 hamburgers, which is a rate of $5 per hamburger.” (Expectations for unit rates in this grade are limited to non-complex fractions.)


Your response:
{
  "explanation": "This problem solves a real-world problem involving mixing ingredients for cookies. A student doing this problem would need to reason about equivalent ratios of butter amounts to sugar amounts.",
  "answer": "B"
}

Now, assign the following problem or activity to one or more relevant standards it aligns with.
shot_info: fl_problem_000972

6
options: Understand that two events A and B are independent if the probability of A and B occurring together is the product of their probabilities, and use this characterization to determine if they are independent.

Recognize and explain the concepts of conditional probability and independence in everyday language and everyday situations. For example, compare the chance of having lung cancer if you are a smoker with the chance of being a smoker if you have lung cancer.

Describe events as subsets of a sample space (the set of outcomes) using characteristics (or categories) of the outcomes, or as unions, intersections, or complements of other events (“or,” “and,” “not”).

Construct and interpret two-way frequency tables of data when two categories are associated with each object being classified. Use the two-way table as a sample space to decide if events are independent and to approximate conditional probabilities. For example, collect data from a random sample of students in your school on their favorite subject among math, science, and English. Estimate the probability that a randomly selected student from your school will favor science given that the student is in tenth grade. Do the same for other subjects and compare the results.

Understand the conditional probability of A given B as P(A and B)/P(B), and interpret independence of A and B as saying that the conditional probability of A given B is the same as the probability of A, and the conditional probability of B given A is the same as the probability of B.
problem_activity: Task
In order to play a popular “spinning wheel” game at Fred's Fun Factory Arcade, a player is required to pay a small, fixed amount of 25 cents each time he/she wants to make the wheel spin. When the wheel stops, the player is awarded tickets based on where the wheel stops -- and these tickets are then redeemable for prizes at a redemption center within the arcade.
This particular game has no skill component; each spin of the wheel is a random event, and the results from each spin of the wheel are independent of the results of previous spins.
The wheel awards tickets with the following probabilities:
{"table": [{"_attributes": {"class": ["narrow"]}, "tbody": [{"tr": [{"td": [{"_value": "1 ticket"}, {"_value": "35%"}]}, {"td": [{"_value": "2 tickets"}, {"_value": "20%"}]}, {"td": [{"_value": "3 tickets"}, {"_value": "20%"}]}, {"td": [{"_value": "5 tickets"}, {"_value": "10%"}]}, {"td": [{"_value": "10 tickets"}, {"_value": "10%"}]}, {"td": [{"_value": "25 tickets"}, {"_value": "4%"}]}, {"td": [{"_value": "100 tickets"}, {"_value": "1%"}]}]}]}]}
A young girl is given 2 quarters so that she can play the game two times.  Let $X$ be the number of tickets she wins based on two spins. There are 26 possible values for $X$ that the young girl can obtain in this case, and those values are listed to the right.
Some values of $X$ are more common than others. For example, winning only 2 tickets in two spins is a somewhat common occurrence with probability 0.1225 as it means the player earns 1 ticket on the first spin and 1 ticket on the second spin. Similarly, winning 200 tickets in two spins is a somewhat rare occurrence with probability 0.0001 as it means the player earns 100 tickets on the first spin and 100 tickets on the second spin. A full list of the possible values of $X$ and the corresponding probabilities for almost every value of $X$ is shown at right.
Four probability values are deliberately hidden. Determine the 4 missing probability values in the distribution.  (Hint: since all values of $X$ are listed, and since the probabilities that are shown add up to 0.66, the 4 hidden probabilities you are computing should add up to very specific value.)
Which value of $X$ is most common?
The young girl considers it a "good day" with the game if she wins more than 100 tickets based on 2 spins.  What is the probability that she will have a "good day" based on that definition?
[IMG]


correct_option_index: 0

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