options: Modeling: students learn to choose and use appropriate mathematics and statistics to analyze real-world empirical situations, improve decisions, and report on their conclusions and the reasoning behind them.

Measurement & Data: students learn to work with data and measure attributes such as time, money, length, area, and volume. They may learn to compare measurements to operations and convert between different units of measure.

Operations & Algebra: students learn to solve problems using algebraic thinking and operations such as addition, subtraction, multiplication, and division. They may learn to identify and explain arithmetic patterns, evaluate or manipulate numerical expressions, and reason with equations and inequalities.

Ratios & Proportional Relationships: students learn to recognize, describe, represent, and reason with ratios, rates, proportional relationships, and percent.

Geometry: students learn to classify geometric figures by their properties, and understand and compare the relationships between them. Students develop and use formulas to compute lengths, areas, and volumes, and they use transformations to generate new shapes and compare existing ones. Geometry can be studied with and without coordinates.

Number & Operations in Base Ten: students learn to work with the base-ten system and build place value understanding.

Number Systems and Quantity: students learn to understand the complex number system and reason quantitatively.

Number & Operations - Fractions: students learn to understand fractions as numbers and may work with them using addition, subtraction, multiplication, and division.

Counting & Cardinality: students learn to know number names and the count sequence, count to tell the number of objects, and compare numbers.

Functions: students learn to define, use, and evaluate functions to model relationships between quantities.

Statistics & Probability: students learn to analyze and produce data distributions, and build understanding of univariate and bivariate data. They learn to interpret data, make statistical inferences, justify conclusions, understand rules of probability, and use probability to make decisions.
problem_activity: Task
Members of the seventh grade math group have nominated a member of their group to be class president. Every student in seventh grade will cast a vote.  There are 2 candidates in the race and a candidate needs at least 50% of the votes to be elected. The math group wants to conduct a survey to assess their candidate’s prospects. There are almost 500 students in the seventh grade at their school. They do not have the resources to interview all seventh graders so they have decided to interview a sample of 40 seventh graders. They will obtain the seventh grade list of names from their school principal’s office and select the sample from this list. They plan to ask each student in the sample whether they plan to vote for their candidate or the other candidate.
How should the students select the sample of 40 to have the best chance of obtaining a representative sample? Describe clearly how they could use the random number table provided below to select the sample of 40 students. "Clearly" means that someone other than you could duplicate the sampling process by following your description.
[IMG]
Suppose that all 40 students selected from the list of seventh graders in the school respond to the survey, and the results showed that 18 students would vote for the math group’s candidate. In order to get elected, a candidate must receive at least 50% of the votes. Some members of the math group believe that on the basis of this sample outcome it is unreasonable to think that their candidate can win. Others in the group believe that it is possible that their candidate might win. Based on the initial survey results, should the math group students be discouraged, or is it reasonable to think their candidate might win?  Justify your response statistically.


correct_option_index: 10