options: Understand the conditional probability of A given B as P(A and B)/P(B), and interpret independence of A and B as saying that the conditional probability of A given B is the same as the probability of A, and the conditional probability of B given A is the same as the probability of B.

Describe events as subsets of a sample space (the set of outcomes) using characteristics (or categories) of the outcomes, or as unions, intersections, or complements of other events (“or,” “and,” “not”).

Recognize and explain the concepts of conditional probability and independence in everyday language and everyday situations. For example, compare the chance of having lung cancer if you are a smoker with the chance of being a smoker if you have lung cancer.

Construct and interpret two-way frequency tables of data when two categories are associated with each object being classified. Use the two-way table as a sample space to decide if events are independent and to approximate conditional probabilities. For example, collect data from a random sample of students in your school on their favorite subject among math, science, and English. Estimate the probability that a randomly selected student from your school will favor science given that the student is in tenth grade. Do the same for other subjects and compare the results.

Understand that two events A and B are independent if the probability of A and B occurring together is the product of their probabilities, and use this characterization to determine if they are independent.
problem_activity: Problem 1
At a particular diner, everyone drinks coffee. However, some people drink their coffee with sugar, some with cream, some with both, and some with neither.
Describe the coffee preferences of the 30 people in the diner in the Venn diagram below. Be sure to label the circles appropriately.
10 people just like cream in their coffee.
13 people like sugar in their coffee; 8 of these people also like cream.
7 people like neither cream nor sugar in their coffee.
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Problem 2
Below is a diagram that shows all of the members of the student council at a particular high school. Each member is represented by a labeled point. The students that are in circle “
$$J$$
” are juniors and the students in circle “
$$M$$
” are male.
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Find
$$P(J)$$
.
Find
$$P(M)$$
.
Find
$$P(J \space and \space M)$$
.
Find
$$P(J \space or \space M)$$
.
Why does
$$ P(J \space or \space M)≠P(J)+P(M)$$
? Design a formula to calculate
$$P(J \space or \space M)$$
using any of the probability found in (a) through (c).


correct_option_index: 1

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