options: Understand that the probability of a chance event is a number between 0 and 1 that expresses the likelihood of the event occurring. Larger numbers indicate greater likelihood. A probability near 0 indicates an unlikely event, a probability around 1/2 indicates an event that is neither unlikely nor likely, and a probability near 1 indicates a likely event.

Develop a probability model and use it to find probabilities of events. Compare probabilities from a model to observed frequencies; if the agreement is not good, explain possible sources of the discrepancy.

Approximate the probability of a chance event by collecting data on the chance process that produces it and observing its long-run relative frequency, and predict the approximate relative frequency given the probability. For example, when rolling a number cube 600 times, predict that a 3 or 6 would be rolled roughly 200 times, but probably not exactly 200 times.

Find probabilities of compound events using organized lists, tables, tree diagrams, and simulation.
problem_activity: Problem 1
A fair six-sided die is rolled twice. What is the theoretical probability that the first number that comes up is greater than or equal to the second number?
Problem 2
Angie, Bridget, Carlos, and Diego are seated at random around a square table, one person to a side. What is the theoretical probability that Angie and Carlos are seated opposite each other?
Problem 3
A standard deck of playing cards includes 52 cards, equally divided among 4 suits: hearts, diamonds, clubs, and spades.
You have two standard decks of cards. You draw a card from the first deck, record the suit, and then draw a card from the second deck and record the suit.
a.   What is the probability that you draw a heart and a diamond, in that order?
b.   What is the probability that you draw a heart and a diamond, in any order?


correct_option_index: 3