standard_description: Understand that the probability of a chance event is a number between 0 and 1 that expresses the likelihood of the event occurring. Larger numbers indicate greater likelihood. A probability near 0 indicates an unlikely event, a probability around 1/2 indicates an event that is neither unlikely nor likely, and a probability near 1 indicates a likely event.
problem_activity: Problem 1
Which tree diagram corresponds with which table? How do you know?
[IMG]
Problem 2
In a certain population, 30% of people get a particular disease. A test was developed to determine if any given person has the disease, but it isn’t perfect.
The test has a 90% chance of accurately predicting that someone has a disease, BUT it also has a 5% chance of predicting someone has this disease who doesn’t.
Below are two models you can use to visualize this situation.
[IMG]
Using the information from the problem, write in the number of people in a random sample of 2,000 who take the test for the disease and get results that are true positive, false positive, true negative, and false negative.


aligns: no