standard_description: Recognize and explain the concepts of conditional probability and independence in everyday language and everyday situations. For example, compare the chance of having lung cancer if you are a smoker with the chance of being a smoker if you have lung cancer.
problem_activity: Task
Bernardo and Silvia play the following game. An integer between 0
and 999, inclusive, is selected and given to Bernardo. Whenever
Bernardo receives a number, he doubles it and passes the result to
Silvia. Whenever Silvia receives a number, she adds 50 to it and
passes the result to Bernardo. The winner is the last person who
produces a number less than 1000. What is the smallest initial number that results in a win for Bernardo?


aligns: no