standard_description: Decide if a specified model is consistent with results from a given data-generating process, e.g., using simulation. For example, a model says a spinning coin falls heads up with probability 0.5. Would a result of 5 tails in a row cause you to question the model?
problem_activity: Problem 1
Each scenario on the left corresponds with a calculation on the right. Connect the scenarios and calculations and identify which features are most useful in connecting the representations:
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Problem 2
Below is a spinner with four quadrants, each labeled 1–4. Each outcome is equally likely.
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Sam spins the spinner twice and doesn’t land on 4. What is the probability of this occurring?
Problem 3
Allison has put together a simple game. She put 6 cubes in a paper bag—3 yellow and 3 blue. Allison has determined that the rules are as follows:
Pull a cube from the bag and put it on the table.
Pull a second cube from the bag.
If the cubes are different colors, then Player A wins.
If the cubes are the same color, then Player B wins.
Is this game fair? How do you know?


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