standard_description: Recognize and explain the concepts of conditional probability and independence in everyday language and everyday situations. For example, compare the chance of having lung cancer if you are a smoker with the chance of being a smoker if you have lung cancer.
problem_activity: Problem 1
At a particular diner, everyone drinks coffee. However, some people drink their coffee with sugar, some with cream, some with both, and some with neither.
Describe the coffee preferences of the 30 people in the diner in the Venn diagram below. Be sure to label the circles appropriately.
10 people just like cream in their coffee.
13 people like sugar in their coffee; 8 of these people also like cream.
7 people like neither cream nor sugar in their coffee.
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Problem 2
Below is a diagram that shows all of the members of the student council at a particular high school. Each member is represented by a labeled point. The students that are in circle “
$$J$$
” are juniors and the students in circle “
$$M$$
” are male.
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Find
$$P(J)$$
.
Find
$$P(M)$$
.
Find
$$P(J \space and \space M)$$
.
Find
$$P(J \space or \space M)$$
.
Why does
$$ P(J \space or \space M)≠P(J)+P(M)$$
? Design a formula to calculate
$$P(J \space or \space M)$$
using any of the probability found in (a) through (c).


aligns: no