Transmission of material in this release is embargoed until USDL-16-0329

8:30 a.m. (EST), Friday, February 19, 2016

Technical Information: (202) 691-6555 • cesinfo@bls.gov • www.bls.gov/ces

Media Contact: (202) 691-5902 • PressOffice@bls.gov

REAL EARNINGS – JANUARY 2016

All employees

Real average hourly earnings for all employees increased 0.4 percent from December to January, 

seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from a 

0.5-percent increase in average hourly earnings combined with no change in the Consumer Price Index 

for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U).

Real average weekly earnings increased 0.7 percent over the month due to the increase in real average 

hourly earnings combined with a 0.3-percent increase in the average workweek.

Chart 1: Over-the-month percentage change in real average hourly earnings for all employees, seasonally 

adjusted, January 2015 – January 2016

 Percent Change

Real average hourly earnings increased 1.1 percent, seasonally adjusted, from January 2015 to January 

2016. This increase in real average hourly earnings combined with no change in the average workweek 

resulted in a 1.2-percent increase in real average weekly earnings over this period.

1.2

-0.1

0.1 0.1

-0.1

-0.3

0.2

0.4

0.2

0.0 0.1 0.2

0.4

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

Jan '15 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan '16
Production and nonsupervisory employees

Real average hourly earnings for production and nonsupervisory employees increased 0.3 percent from

December to January, seasonally adjusted. This result stems from a 0.3-percent increase in average 

hourly earnings combined with no change in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and 

Clerical Workers (CPI-W).

Real average weekly earnings increased 0.3 percent over the month due to the increase in real average 

hourly earnings combined with no change in average weekly hours.

Chart 2: Over-the-month percentage change in real average hourly earnings for production and 

nonsupervisory employees, seasonally adjusted, January 2015 – January 2016

 Percent Change

From January 2015 to January 2016, real average hourly earnings increased 1.3 percent, seasonally 

adjusted. The increase in real average hourly earnings combined with no change in the average 

workweek resulted in a 1.3-percent increase in real average weekly earnings over this period.

______________

Real Earnings for February 2016 is scheduled to be released on Wednesday, March 16, 2016 at 

8:30 a.m. (EDT).

Revisions to Real Earnings Data

The seasonally adjusted constant dollar series presented in this release have been revised to reflect new seasonal 

adjustment factors calculated for the CPI-U and CPI-W. This revision affects real earnings for both all employees 

and production and nonsupervisory employees from January 2011 through December 2015.

The estimates of average weekly hours and average hourly and weekly earnings have been revised with the 

release of January data to reflect new employment benchmarks, and the updating of seasonal adjustment factors. 

Unadjusted data have been revised from April 2014 forward. In addition, seasonally adjusted hours and earnings 

series have been revised from January 2011 forward in accordance with the usual practice of revising 5 years of 

data. Data for some series prior to 2011, both seasonally adjusted and unadjusted, incorporate other revisions.

1.3

-0.1

0.0 0.1

-0.1 -0.1

0.1

0.3 0.2 0.2

-0.1

0.4 0.3

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

Jan '15 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan '16
Table A-1. Current and real (constant 1982-1984 dollars) earnings for all employees on private nonfarm

payrolls, seasonally adjusted

Jan.

2015

Nov.

2015

Dec.

2015p

Jan.

2016p

Real average hourly earnings1.......................................................... $10.54 $10.60 $10.62 $10.66

Real average weekly earnings1......................................................... $364.62 $365.85 $366.25 $368.95

Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers..................................... 234.954 238.302 238.041 238.107

Average hourly earnings................................................................. $24.76 $25.27 $25.27 $25.39

Average weekly hours.................................................................... 34.6 34.5 34.5 34.6

Average weekly earnings................................................................ $856.70 $871.82 $871.82 $878.49

OVER-THE-MONTH PERCENT CHANGE

Real average hourly earnings1

.......................................................... 1.2 0.1 0.2 0.4

Real average weekly earnings1......................................................... 1.3 0.1 0.1 0.7

Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers..................................... -0.6 0.1 -0.1 0.0

Average hourly earnings................................................................. 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.5

Average weekly hours.................................................................... 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3

Average weekly earnings................................................................ 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.8

OVER-THE-YEAR PERCENT CHANGE

Real average hourly earnings1.......................................................... 2.4 1.9 2.0 1.1

Real average weekly earnings1......................................................... 3.0 1.7 1.7 1.2

Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers..................................... -0.2 0.4 0.7 1.3

Average hourly earnings................................................................. 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.5

Average weekly hours.................................................................... 0.6 -0.3 -0.3 0.0

Average weekly earnings................................................................ 2.8 2.1 2.4 2.5

1 The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) is used to deflate the earnings series for all employees.

p Preliminary
Table A-2. Current and real (constant 1982-1984 dollars) earnings for production and nonsupervisory

employees on private nonfarm payrolls, seasonally adjusted1

Jan.

2015

Nov.

2015

Dec.

2015p

Jan.

2016p

Real average hourly earnings2.......................................................... $9.06 $9.11 $9.15 $9.18

Real average weekly earnings2......................................................... $306.13 $307.16 $309.20 $310.17

Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers........... 229.768 232.922 232.513 232.435

Average hourly earnings................................................................. $20.81 $21.23 $21.27 $21.33

Average weekly hours.................................................................... 33.8 33.7 33.8 33.8

Average weekly earnings................................................................ $703.38 $715.45 $718.93 $720.95

OVER-THE-MONTH PERCENT CHANGE

Real average hourly earnings2

.......................................................... 1.3 -0.1 0.4 0.3

Real average weekly earnings2......................................................... 1.3 -0.1 0.7 0.3

Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers........... -0.9 0.2 -0.2 0.0

Average hourly earnings................................................................. 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.3

Average weekly hours.................................................................... 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0

Average weekly earnings................................................................ 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.3

OVER-THE-YEAR PERCENT CHANGE

Real average hourly earnings2.......................................................... 3.0 2.2 2.3 1.3

Real average weekly earnings2......................................................... 3.9 2.0 2.3 1.3

Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers........... -0.9 0.0 0.3 1.2

Average hourly earnings................................................................. 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.5

Average weekly hours.................................................................... 0.9 -0.3 0.0 0.0

Average weekly earnings................................................................ 2.9 2.0 2.6 2.5

1 Data relate to production employees in mining and logging and manufacturing, construction employees in construction, and nonsupervisory

employees in the service-providing industries. These groups account for approximately four-fifths of the total employment on private nonfarm

payrolls.

2 The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) is used to deflate the earnings series for production and

nonsupervisory employees.

p Preliminary
Explanatory Note 

The earnings series presented in this release 

are derived from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ 

Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey, a 

monthly establishment survey of employment, payroll, 

and hours. The deflators used for constant-dollar 

earnings series presented in this release come from the 

Consumer Price Indexes Programs. The Consumer 

Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) is used 

to deflate the all employees series, while the Consumer 

Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical 

Workers (CPI-W) is used to deflate the production 

employees series. 

 Seasonally adjusted data are used for 

estimates of percent change from the same month a 

year ago for current and constant average hourly and 

weekly earnings. Special techniques are applied to the 

CES hours and earnings data in the seasonal 

adjustment process to mitigate the effect of certain 

calendar-related fluctuations. Thus, over-the-year 

changes of these hours and earnings are best measured 

using seasonally adjusted series. A discussion of the 

calendar-related fluctuations in the hours and earnings 

data and the special techniques to remove them is 

available in the February 2004 issue of Employment 

and Earnings or on the Internet under ‘Technical 

Notes’ (http://www.bls.gov/ces/). 

 Earnings series from the monthly 

establishment series are estimated arithmetic averages 

(means) of the hourly and weekly earnings of all jobs 

in the private nonfarm sector of the economy, as well 

as of all production and nonsupervisory jobs in the 

private nonfarm sector of the economy. Average 

hourly earnings estimates are derived by dividing the 

estimated industry payroll by the corresponding paid 

hours. Average weekly hours estimates are similarly 

derived by dividing estimated aggregate hours by the 

corresponding number of jobs. Average weekly 

earnings estimates are derived by multiplying the 

average hourly earnings and the average weekly hours 

estimates. This is equivalent to dividing the estimated 

payroll by the corresponding number of jobs The 

weekly and hourly earnings estimates for aggregate 

industries, such as the major industry sector and the 

total private sector averages printed in this release, are 

derived by summing the corresponding payroll, hours, 

and employment estimates of the component 

industries. As a result, each industry receives a 

"weight" in the published averages that corresponds to 

its current level of activity (employment or total 

hours). This further implies that fluctuations and 

varying trends in employment in high-wage versus 

low-wage industries as well as wage rate changes 

influence the earnings averages. 

 There are several characteristics of the series 

presented in this release that limit their suitability for 

some types of economic analyses. (1) The denominator 

for the all employee weekly earnings series is the 

number of private nonfarm jobs. Similarly, the 

denominator of the production employee weekly 

earnings series is the number of private nonfarm 

production and nonsupervisory employee jobs. This 

number includes full-time and part-time jobs as well as 

the jobs held by multiple jobholders in the private 

nonfarm sector. These factors tend to result in weekly 

earnings averages significantly lower than the 

corresponding numbers for full-time jobs. (2) Annual 

earnings averages can differ significantly from the 

result obtained by multiplying average weekly 

earnings times 52 weeks. The difference may be due 

to factors such as turnovers and layoffs. (3) The series 

are the average earnings of all employees or all 

production and nonsupervisory jobs, not the earnings 

average of "typical" jobs or jobs held by "typical" 

workers. Specifically, there are no adjustments for 

occupational, age, or schooling variations or for 

household type or location. Many studies have 

established the significance of these factors and that 

their impact varies over time. 

 Seasonally adjusted data are preferred by 

some users for analyzing general earnings trends in the 

economy since they eliminate the effect of changes 

that normally occur at the same time and in about the 

same magnitude each year and, therefore, reveal the 

underlying trends and cyclical movements. Changes in 

average earnings may be due to seasonal changes in 

the proportion of workers in high-wage and low-wage 

industries or occupations or to seasonal changes in the 

amount of overtime work, and so on. 

 For more information, see Thomas Gavett, 

"Measures of Change in Real Wages and Earnings," 

Monthly Labor Review, February 1972. 

 Information in this release will be made 

available to sensory impaired individuals upon request. 

Voice phone: 202-691-5200; TDD Message Referral 

Phone Number: 1-800-877-8339.