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                            Library & Multimedia
 Trajectories of Violent Offending and Risk Status in Adolescence and Early Adulthood
NCJ Number
              213339

Author(s)
          James Nash;
                        Jong Sung Kim
Date Published

March 2006
Length
              169 pages
Annotation
              Based on longitudinal data from Waves I to VII of the National Youth Survey, this study of violent offending in adolescence and early adulthood identified risk factors that influence offending and examined how offending and risk levels change during adolescence and into early adulthood.
Abstract
              Regarding violent offending, the study's best model identified five distinct trajectories among the 1,227 youth for whom data were available on violent offending at each wave. The five trajectories are low/stable (67.6 percent); adolescent onset (11.9 percent); young adult onset (11.8 percent); early onset/chronic (5.3 percent); and early onset/desister (3.4 percent). Offending in the early onset/chronic group persisted into early adulthood, and the young adult onset and desister groups did not correspond to offending patterns predicted by developmental criminological theory. In addition, violent offending persisted into young adulthood for the adolescent onset group, although the trajectory for this group began declining after age 18. Being male was the most consistent risk factor for membership in a trajectory group for which the probability of  classification as a violent offender was high relative to the largest and normative low/stable group. Risk linked to beliefs that legitimize aggression (BLA) and bonding with delinquent peers (BDP), measured at baseline, were predictive of membership in these trajectory groups as well. Other risk measures and other demographic measures were less consistently related to membership in offending trajectory groups. Regarding implications of these findings for preventing violence, BLA reduction strategies are a promising primary prevention strategy in interventions that target the general population of youth, especially children and young adolescents. Prevention efforts that dilute the influence of delinquent peers across the entire span of adolescence and into early adulthood are also needed. 24 figures, 23 tables, and 51 references
      
  
          Additional Details
Grant Number(s)
        2004-IJ-CX-0017


  
  
        
  Agencies
        NIJ-Sponsored


  
  
        
  Publication Type
        Report (Study/Research)


  
  
        
  Award
        Trajectories of Violent Offending and Risk Status Across Adolescence and Early Adulthood
    
  
  
Date Published: March 1, 2006
    
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Related Datasets
        
                      http://dx.doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR21021
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      PatentsRelated Topics
        
                Adolescent attitudes
        Adolescents at risk
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        Juvenile offenses
        Juvenile to adult criminal careers



  
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