U.S. flag
      An official website of the United States government, Department of Justice.
        Here's how you know
      Here's how you know**Official websites use .gov**
            
            A **.gov** website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.
      **Secure .gov websites use HTTPS**
            
            A **lock** (
            A locked padlock
            ) or **https://** means you’ve safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites. Menu

      
        close

            
            
                                              About NIJ
        
                    
  
          About NIJ
      
    
          The NIJ Director
          How NIJ Is Organized
          Mission and Guiding Principles
          Research and Development Process
          Strategic Framework
          Assessments of NIJ
          Annual Reports & Reports to Congress
          Staff Directory
          Funding & Awards
        
                    
  
          Funding & Awards
      
    
          Current Funding
          Forthcoming Funding
          Expired Funding
          Awards: Listing of Funded Projects
          Guidance for Applicants and Awardees
          Fellowship & Student Programs
          Travel Scholarships
          NIJ Challenge Program
          Library & Multimedia
        
                    
  
          Library & Multimedia
      
    
          NIJ Journal
          Podcasts
          Publications Listing
          Multimedia Listing
          Rated Practices on CrimeSolutions
          Rated Programs on CrimeSolutions
          Software & Databases
          Datasets
          Patents
          Topics
        
                    
  
          Topics
      
    
          Article Listing
          Corrections
          Courts
          Crime Prevention
          Crimes
          Drugs and Crime
          Equipment and Technology
          Forensic Sciences
          Youth Justice
          Justice System Reform
          Law Enforcement
          Tribal Crime and Justice
          Victims of Crime
          Events
        
                    
  
          Events
      
    
          NIJ 2024 Research Conference
          Scheduled Events
          On-Demand Events
          Research Meetings & Workshops
          NIJ-Hosted Online Training

                            
                                About
          Contact Us
          Subscribe
          Topics A-Z
                  Share
FacebookXLinkedInRedditPinterestEmail Home
                            Library & Multimedia
 Re-Entry: Dynamic Risk Assessment
NCJ Number
              238075

Author(s)
          Robert D. Morgan Ph.D.;
                        Daryl G. Kroner Ph.D.;
                        Jeremy F. Mills Ph.D.
Date Published

January 2011
Length
              129 pages
Annotation
              In emphasizing reentry after incarceration as a dynamic process rather than an event (crime/no crime) this study is considered an initial step toward providing those who supervise parolees with tools to make an accurate assessment of a change in risk (dynamic risk factors) and hence a change in the likelihood of re-offending.
Abstract
              The study found that the inclusion of dynamic risk factors in assessment did not contribute to the predictive power of static variables. The study found that changes in offenders' dynamic functioning were not associated with changes in community outcomes. Thus, measuring change in offenders' functioning using rated measures did not increase researchers' ability to predict failure in reentry. On the other hand, offenders were able to self-report on personal perceptions of risk areas that were predictive of reentry failure. This suggests that offenders should provide input for the criminal risk assessment. In addition, the measures used were better at predicting criminal risk for White offenders, but they were less accurate in predicting criminal behavior for non-White offenders. This suggests that current measures of risk prediction may not be culturally sensitive. The study obtained data from 133 male offenders paroled from the Texas Department of Criminal Justice correctional facilities from June 11, 2008 - January 31, 2011. Study participants had a mean age of 34.9 years and were predominantly Black (33.8 percent) or White (19.5 percent); 45 percent were Hispanic. Study participants were primarily convicted of nonviolent offenses (85.3 percent), and 52 percent failed a prior sentence of community supervision. Participants were recruited to participate in a seven-wave data-collection procedure upon reentry to the community, with a monthly follow-up for a minimum of 6 months. Risk assessment measures were designed to determine criminal risk. 26 tables, 2 figures, and extensive references
      
  
          Additional Details
Grant Number(s)
        2007-IJ-CX-0027


  
  
        
  Agencies
        NIJ-Sponsored


  
  
        
  Publication Type
        Report (Study/Research)


  
  
        
  Award
        Re-entry: Dynamic Risk Assessment
    
  
  
Date Published: January 1, 2011
    
          Downloads
        
                      PDF

Side navigation
  

        

  
  
              NIJ Journal
    
      
            
            
            
      Podcasts
    
      
            
            
            
      Publications Listing
    
      
            
            
            
      Multimedia Listing
    
      
            
            
            
      Rated Practices on CrimeSolutions
    
      
            
            
            
      Rated Programs on CrimeSolutions
    
      
            
            
            
      Software & Databases
    
      
            
            
            
      Datasets
    
      
            
            
            
      PatentsRelated Topics
        
                Corrections
        Corrections policies
        NIJ Final Report
        Offender classification
        Parole casework



  
Similar Publications
        
                      The Treatment Group and Recidivism: A Multilevel Analysis of Prison-Based Substance Abuse Treatment
                  Structural Discrimination and Social Stigma Among Individuals Incarcerated for Sexual Offenses: Reentry Across the Rural-Urban Continuum
                  An Examination of the Influence of Exposure to Disciplinary Segregation on Recidivism
 Top

      National Institute of Justice

        
        
                        About NIJ
                    About NIJ
      
    
                  How NIJ Is Organized
      
    
                  NIJ Director
      
    
                  Research Disclaimer
      
    
                  Funding & Awards
                    Funding & Awards Home
      
    
                  Awards Listing
      
    
                  Current Funding
      
    
                  Guidance for Applicants and Awardees
      
    
                  Resources
                    Events
      
    
                  Podcasts
      
    
                  Publications
      
    
                  Topics
      
    
                  Multimedia
      
    
                  Reuse Policy
      
    
                  Contacts
                    Contact NIJ
      
    
                  Staff Directory
      
    
                  Submit a FOIA Request
      
    
                  File a Civil Rights ComplaintFacebook
          
                      X
          
                      YouTube
  

      810 7th St. NW, Washington, D.C. 20531
      
              Secondary Footer link menu
            Accessibility
              Plain Language
              Privacy Policy
              Legal Policies and Disclaimer
              No FEAR Act
              Freedom of Information Act
              USA.gov
              Justice.gov