SOCIAL SECURITY ADMINISTRATION BALTIMORE, MD 21235-0001

SOCIAL SECURITY

Office of the Chief Actuary

June 10, 2014

The Honorable Mark Begich

The Honorable Patty Murray

United States Senate

Washington, D.C. 20510

Dear Senators Begich and Murray:

I am writing in response to your request for estimates of the financial effects on Social Security 

of the “Retirement and Income Security Enhancements Act,” which you introduced today. This 

Bill (hereafter referred to as the proposal) includes four provisions with direct effects on the 

Social Security Trust Funds. We have enjoyed working closely with Charlene MacDonald and 

Diane Disanto of your staffs in developing this proposal to meet your goals. All estimates reflect 

our understanding of the intent of the provisions in this proposal as carefully described to us by 

Charlene and Diane.

The enclosed tables provide estimates of the effects of the four provisions on the cost, income, 

and combined trust fund reserves for the Old Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance (OASDI)

program. In addition, tables 1b and 1b.n provide estimates of the Federal budget implications of 

the four provisions. We base all estimates on the intermediate assumptions of the 2013 Trustees 

Report plus additional assumptions described below. 

The estimates and analysis provided here reflect the combined effort of many in the Office of the 

Chief Actuary, but most particularly Alice Wade, Christopher Chaplain, Daniel Nickerson, Kyle 

Burkhalter, Katie Sutton, Karen Glenn, and Eugene Yang.

The proposal includes the following four provisions with direct effects on the OASDI program:

Section 2a. Allow divorced aged spouses and divorced surviving spouses married 5 to 9 years to get 

benefits based on the former spouse’s account beginning in 2015. Benefits based on marriages 

lasting less than 10 years would be at reduced levels compared to benefits based on marriages of 10 

years or longer.

Section 2b. Establish an alternative benefit for surviving spouses. The alternative benefit would 

equal 75 percent of the sum of the survivor’s own worker benefit and the deceased worker’s PIA 

(including any actuarial reductions or delayed retirement credits (DRC)). If the deceased worker 

died before becoming entitled, use the age 62 actuarial reduction if deceased before age 62, or the 

applicable actuarial reduction/DRC for entitlement at the age of death if deceased after 62.

Section 3. Extend eligibility to attainment of age 23 for full-time students, including post-secondary,

who are children of disabled workers, deceased workers, or retired workers. Exempt student benefits 

from the family maximum for children age 19 or older who attain age 19 in January 2015 or earlier. 

This provision is effective for benefits paid in 2015 or later.
2

Sections 4 and 5. Apply a 4-percent OASDI payroll tax rate on earnings above $400,000 in 2015, 

and wage index the $400,000 threshold for taxing earnings in years after 2015. Credit the additional 

earnings for benefit purposes by: (a) calculating a “surplus” average indexed monthly earnings 

(“surplus AIME”) reflecting only earnings taxed each year between $400,000 and $500,000, with 

thresholds wage-indexed after 2015; (b) applying a 2 percent factor on this newly computed surplus 

AIME to develop a second component of the PIA; and (c) adding this second component to the 

current-law PIA.

The balance of this letter provides a summary of the effects of the four provisions on the 

actuarial status of the OASDI program, our understanding of the specifications and intent of each 

provision, and descriptions of our detailed financial estimates for trust fund operations, benefit 

levels, and implications for the federal budget.

Summary of Effects of the Proposal on OASDI Actuarial Status

Figure 1 below illustrates the estimated change in the combined Old-Age and Survivors 

Insurance (OASI) and Disability Insurance (DI) trust fund reserves, expressed as a percent of 

annual program cost, assuming enactment of the four provisions of this proposal.

Note: Trust Fund Ratio for a given year is the ratio of reserves in the combined OASI and DI Trust Funds at the 

beginning of the year to the cost of the program for the year. 
3

Under the proposal, the level of reserves for the theoretical combined OASI and DI Trust Funds

declines from 330 percent of annual program cost at the beginning of 2013 to depletion of the 

reserves early in 2034 rather than in 2033 under current law. Enactment of the four provisions of 

this proposal would reduce the current-law long-range OASDI actuarial deficit of 2.72 percent of 

taxable payroll by 0.10 percent of taxable payroll, resulting in an estimated OASDI actuarial 

deficit of 2.62 percent of payroll. 

Figure 2 illustrates annual projected levels of cost, expenditures, and non-interest income as a 

percent of the present-law taxable payroll. The projected level of cost reflects the full cost of 

scheduled benefits under both present law and the proposal. 

Beginning in 2015, OASDI program cost is higher under the proposal than under current law by 

a little more than 0.20 percent of payroll. Non-interest income under the proposal is also higher 

than under current law, with the difference in non-interest income remaining a little more than 

0.30 percent of payroll after 2014. Under the proposal, the annual cash-flow balance is negative 

throughout the long-range period, with annual deficits reduced from those estimated under 

current law by 0.05 percent of payroll for 2015, rising to 0.13 percent of payroll by 2065.

It is also useful to consider the projected cost, expenditures, and income for the OASDI program 

expressed as a percentage of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Figure 3 below illustrates these 

levels under both current law and the proposal. 
4

Specification for Provisions of the Proposal

Section 2a. Allow divorced aged spouses and divorced surviving spouses married 5 to 9 years to get 

benefits based on the former spouse’s account. 

Under current law, aged spouse and aged surviving spouse benefits are available based on the 

account of a former spouse only if the marriage that ended in divorce lasted 10 or more years. 

Aged spouse benefits are paid at half of the former spouse’s PIA, and aged surviving spouse 

benefits are paid at 100 percent of the former spouse’s PIA, both subject of reduction for age at 

initial entitlement before normal retirement age. Under this proposed provision, such benefits 

would be available based on marriages that lasted between 5 and 9 years, but at a reduced rate. 

The potential added spouse or surviving spouse benefit would be reduced from the level 

available for a 10-year marriage by multiplying by 0.5, 0.6, 0.7, 0.8, and 0.9 for marriages lasting 

5, 6, 7, 8, and 9 years, respectively. Benefits under this provision would be payable for all 

divorced spouses on the rolls at the beginning of 2015 and those becoming eligible in 2015 and 

later.

We estimate that this provision alone would increase (worsen) the long-range OASDI actuarial 

deficit by 0.02 percent of taxable payroll. The annual deficit for the 75th projection year (2087) 

would increase by 0.01 percent of payroll due to this provision.
5

Section 2b. Establish an alternative benefit for surviving spouses.

Under current law, surviving spouses aged 60 or older are eligible to receive the higher of their 

own worker benefit (as a retiree or a disabled worker) or the benefit amount their deceased 

spouse was eligible to receive, subject to potential reductions for age at benefit entitlement. This 

proposed provision is intended to allow surviving spouses to receive an alternative benefit when 

it is higher than the benefit available under current law.

The alternative benefit would be computed as 75 percent of the sum of (a) the worker benefit (as 

a retired worker or as a disabled worker) the survivor is eligible to receive, including any 

reductions for age or delayed retirement credits (DRC) and (b) the benefit the deceased spouse 

would be eligible to receive if still alive, reflecting any reduction for age at entitlement or DRC 

(or if not entitled at death, then the reduction for age or DRC available for entitlement at the date 

of death or the earliest time thereafter). However, the size of the alternative benefit so computed 

would be limited to the PIA (unreduced for early retirement or increased by DRC) for a 

theoretical retired worker becoming entitled to benefits at age 62 in the same year the deceased 

first became entitled to a benefit (or the year of death if not yet entitled), with earnings for each 

year equal to the SSA national average wage index (AWI). Benefits under this provision would 

be payable for all surviving spouses on the rolls at the beginning of 2015 and those becoming 

eligible in 2015 and later.

We estimate that this provision alone would increase (worsen) the long-range OASDI actuarial 

deficit by 0.11 percent of taxable payroll and would increase the annual deficit for the 75th

projection year (2087) by 0.12 percent of payroll.

Section 3. Extend benefits for full-time students up to age 23.

Under current law, benefits are available to children of retired, disabled, and deceased workers

who are full-time students up to attainment of age 18. This proposed provision would extend 

eligibility of full-time student benefits (including post-secondary students) up to attainment of 

age 23, starting in 2015. In addition, to assure that the additional student benefits are fully 

realized for those eligible at age 19 or older in January 2015, the family maximum benefit 

calculation would not include any student benefit payable at age 19 or older for students who 

attain age 19 in January 2015 or earlier.

We estimate that this provision alone would increase (worsen) the long-range OASDI actuarial 

deficit by 0.09 percent of taxable payroll and would increase the annual deficit for the 75th

projection year (2087) by 0.08 percent of payroll.

Sections 4 and 5. Apply a 4-percent payroll tax to earnings over $400,000.

Under current law, earnings covered by the OASDI program are subject to a payroll tax of 12.4 

percent up to a total annual amount called the “contribution and benefit base” or “taxable 

maximum” that equals $117,000 for 2014. Under this proposed provision (section 4 of the 

proposal), covered earnings (including both wages and self-employment earnings) in excess of 

$400,000 in 2015 would be subject to a 4-percent payroll tax. The $400,000 threshold would be 
6

indexed by the AWI after 2015. Employees would pay 2 percent on total annual wage and salary 

earnings above $400,000, and 4 percent on any further excess from self-employment earnings. 

Employers would pay 2 percent on any wages over the $400,000 threshold.

Under section 5 of the proposal, the current-law AIME, reflecting earnings only up to the current 

law taxable maximum for each year, would be renamed as the “basic AIME” and a new “surplus 

AIME” would be established. The surplus AIME would be computed in a similar manner to the

basic AIME but would reflect only any earnings subject to tax in excess of $400,000 in 2015 and 

below $500,000 in 2015, with both thresholds indexed to the change in the AWI thereafter. In 

computing the proposal PIA, 2 percent of the surplus AIME would be added to the current law 

PIA computed from the basic AIME.

We estimate that these two provisions together would reduce (improve) the long-range OASDI 

actuarial deficit by 0.32 percent of taxable payroll and would reduce the annual deficit for the 

75th projection year (2087) by 0.34 percent of payroll.

Detailed Financial Results for the Provisions of the Proposal 

Summary Results by Provision

Table A provides estimates of the effects on the OASDI long-range actuarial balance for each of 

the four provisions of the proposal separately and on a combined basis. The table also includes 

estimates of the effect of each provision on the annual balance (the difference between income 

rate and the cost rate, expressed as a percent of present-law taxable payroll) for the 75th

projection year, 2087. Interaction among individual provisions is reflected only in the total 

estimates for the combined provisions.

Detailed Tables Containing Annual and Summary Estimates

Trust Fund Operations

Table 1 provides projections of the financial operations of the OASDI program. The table 

shows the annual cost and income rates, annual balances, and trust fund ratios (reserves as 

percent of annual program cost) for OASDI, as well as the change from present law in these cost 

rates, income rates, and balances. Included at the bottom of this table are summarized rates for 

the 75-year (long-range) period.

The actuarial balance for the OASDI program over the 75-year projection period is improved by 

0.10 percent of taxable payroll, from an actuarial deficit of 2.72 percent of payroll under current 

law to an actuarial deficit of 2.62 percent of taxable payroll under the proposal.

Program Transfers and Trust Fund Reserves

Column 4 of Table 1a provides a projection of the level of trust fund reserves for the theoretical 

combined OASI and DI Trust Funds. These trust fund reserve amounts are expressed in present 
7

value dollars discounted to January 1, 2013, using the expected yield on trust fund reserves. The 

table indicates that the provisions include no new specified transfers of general revenue to the 

Trust Funds. For purpose of comparison, the OASDI trust fund reserves, expressed in present 

value dollars, are also shown for the current-law Social Security program both without and with 

the added proposal general fund transfers (zero in this case) in columns 6 and 7. 

Note that negative values in columns 4, 6, and 7 represent the “unfunded obligation” for the 

program through the year. The unfunded obligation is the present value of the shortfall of 

revenue needed to pay full scheduled benefits on a timely basis from the date of trust fund 

reserve depletion through the end of the indicated year. Gross Domestic Product (GDP),

expressed in present value dollars, is shown in column 5 (discounted using the expected trust 

fund reserve yield) for comparison with other values in the table.

Effect of the Social Security Provisions on the Federal Budget

Table 1b shows the projected effect, in present value discounted dollars, on the Federal budget 

(unified-budget and on-budget) cash flows and balances, assuming enactment of the four Social 

Security provisions of this proposal. Table 1b.n provides the estimated nominal dollar effect of 

enactment of the proposal on annual budget balances for years 2013 through 2023. All values in 

these tables represent the amount of change from the level projected under current law. 

Column 1 of Table 1b shows the amount of General Fund transfers to the trust funds under the 

proposal is zero. Column 2 shows the net changes in OASDI cash flow from all four provisions 

of the proposal. 

The net effect of the proposal on unified budget cash flow (column 3) is expected to be positive

for 2015 and all later years.

Column 4 of Table 1b indicates that the effect of implementing the four provisions is a reduction 

of the Federal debt held by the public, reaching about $385 billion in present value at the end of 

the 75-year projection period. Column 5 provides the projected effect of the proposal on the 

annual unified budget balances, including both the cash flow effect in column 3 and the 

additional interest on the accumulated debt in column 4. Columns 6 and 7 indicate that the 

provisions of this proposal would have no expected direct effects on the on-budget cash flow, or 

on the total Federal debt, in the future.

It is important to note that these estimates are based on the intermediate assumptions of the 2013

Trustees Report and thus are not consistent with estimates made by the Office of Management 

and Budget or the Congressional Budget Office based on their assumptions. In particular, all 

present values are discounted using trust fund yield and inflation assumptions under the 

intermediate assumptions of the 2013 Trustees Report.

Annual Trust Fund Operations as a Percent of GDP

Table 1c provides annual cost, annual expenditures (amount that would be payable), and annual 

tax income for the OASDI program expressed as a percentage of GDP under the expected-yield
8

assumption for equity investments. These values are shown for both present law and assuming 

enactment of the four Social Security provisions of the proposal. Showing the annual trust fund 

cash flows as a percent of GDP provides an additional perspective on these trust fund operations 

in relation to the total value of goods and services produced in the United States. The 

relationship between income and cost is similar when expressed as a percent of GDP to that 

when expressed as a percent of taxable payroll (Table 1). 

Effects on Trust Fund Reserves and Unfunded Obligations

Table 1d provides estimates of the changes in trust fund reserves expressed in present value 

dollars discounted to January 1, 2013 under the expected present-law trust fund bond yield. 

For the 75-year (long-range) period as a whole, the present-law unfunded obligation of $9.6

trillion is reduced to $9.2 trillion in present value under the proposal. This $0.4 trillion change 

results from: 

 A $1.2 trillion increase in revenue (column 2), primarily from additional payroll tax

under section 4, minus

 A $0.8 trillion increase in cost (column 3), primarily from the increases in benefits 

under sections 2, 3, and 5 of the proposal.

 

We hope these estimates are helpful. Please let me know if we may provide further assistance.

Sincerely,

Stephen C. Goss

Chief Actuary

Enclosures
Table A--Estimated Long-Range OASDI Financial Effects of the Basic Social 

Security Provisions of the “Retirement and Income Security Enhancements Act”

Introduced by Senators Begich and Murray

Provision

Estimated Change in

Long-Range OASDI 

Actuarial Balance 1

(as a percent of payroll)

Estimated Change 

in Annual Balance 

in 75th year 2

(as a percent of payroll)

Section 2a. Allow divorced aged spouses and divorced 

surviving spouses married 5 to 9 years to get benefits based on 

the former spouse’s account. Divorced aged and surviving 

spouses would receive 50% of the applicable current-law PIA 

percentage if married 5 years, 60% of the applicable PIA 

percentage if married 6 years,...90% of the applicable PIA 

percentage if married 9 years. This benefit would be available 

to divorced spouses on the rolls at the beginning of 2015 and 

those becoming eligible in 2015 or later................................................................ -002.............. -0.01

Section 2b. Establish an alternative benefit for surviving 

spouses. The alternative benefit would equal 75 percent of the 

sum of the survivor’s own worker benefit and the deceased 

worker’s PIA (including any actuarial reductions or delayed 

retirement credits (DRC)). If the deceased worker died before 

becoming entitled, use the age 62 actuarial reduction if 

deceased before age 62, or the applicable actuarial 

reduction/DRC for entitlement at the age of death if deceased 

after 62.

The alternative benefit would not exceed the PIA of a 

hypothetical earner who earns the SSA average wage index 

(AWI) every year, and who becomes eligible for retiredworker benefits in the same year in which the deceased worker 

became entitled to worker benefits or died (if before 

entitlement). The alternative benefit would be paid only if 

more than the current-law benefit. This benefit would be 

available to surviving spouses on the rolls at the beginning of 

2015 and those becoming eligible in 2015 or later. ................................................................ -0.11 ......... -0.12

Section 3. Extend eligibility to attainment of age 23 for fulltime students, including post-secondary, who are children of 

disabled workers, deceased workers, or retired workers. 

Exempt student benefits from the family maximum for 

children age 19 or older who attain age 19 in January 2015 or 

earlier. Effective for benefits paid in 2015 or later................................................................ -0.09 ....................... -0.08
Table A--Estimated Long-Range OASDI Financial Effects of the Basic Social 

Security Provisions of the “Retirement and Income Security Enhancements Act”

Introduced by Senators Begich and Murray

Provision

Estimated Change in

Long-Range OASDI 

Actuarial Balance 1

(as a percent of payroll)

Estimated Change 

in Annual Balance 

in 75th year 2

(as a percent of payroll)

Sections 4 and 5. Apply a 4-percent OASDI payroll tax rate 

on earnings above $400,000 in 2015, and wage index the 

$400,000 threshold for taxing earnings in years after 2015. 

Credit the additional earnings for benefit purposes by: (a) 

calculating a “surplus” average indexed monthly earnings 

(“surplus AIME”) reflecting only earnings taxed each year 

between $400,000 and $500,000, with thresholds wageindexed after 2015; (b) applying a 2 percent factor on this 

newly computed surplus AIME to develop a second 

component of the PIA; and (c) adding this second component 

to the current-law PIA ................................................................................................ 0.32 ................................0.34 ...

Total for all provisions, including interaction................................................................ 0.10 ..........0.13

1Under current law, the estimated long-range OASDI actuarial balance is -2.72 percent of taxable payroll.

2Under current law, the estimated 75th year annual balance is -4.77 percent of taxable payroll.

Notes: All estimates are based on the intermediate assumptions of the 2013 OASDI Trustees Report. 

 Estimates of individual provisions appear on a stand-alone basis relative to current law, unless otherwise stated.

Social Security Administration

Office of the Chief Actuary

June 10, 2014
Year Cost Rate

Income

Rate

Annual

Balance Cost Rate

Income

Rate

Annual

Balance

2013 13.95 12.69 -1.26 330 0.00 0.00 0.00

2014 14.04 12.83 -1.20 315 0.00 0.00 0.00

2015 14.23 13.17 -1.05 295 0.26 0.31 0.05

2016 14.16 13.22 -0.95 281 0.25 0.33 0.08

2017 14.13 13.24 -0.89 267 0.25 0.34 0.09

2018 14.16 13.27 -0.89 254 0.25 0.34 0.09

2019 14.30 13.29 -1.01 242 0.25 0.34 0.09

2020 14.49 13.30 -1.18 230 0.23 0.33 0.10

2021 14.67 13.33 -1.35 218 0.23 0.33 0.10

2022 14.94 13.36 -1.58 204 0.23 0.33 0.10

2023 15.20 13.37 -1.83 190 0.23 0.33 0.10

2024 15.46 13.39 -2.08 176 0.24 0.33 0.09

2025 15.71 13.40 -2.31 161 0.24 0.33 0.09

2026 15.95 13.42 -2.53 146 0.24 0.33 0.09

2027 16.17 13.43 -2.74 130 0.24 0.33 0.09

2028 16.38 13.44 -2.94 113 0.24 0.33 0.09

2029 16.57 13.45 -3.11 96 0.24 0.33 0.09

2030 16.73 13.46 -3.27 78 0.24 0.33 0.09

2031 16.87 13.47 -3.40 60 0.24 0.33 0.09

2032 16.99 13.48 -3.51 41 0.24 0.33 0.09

2033 17.09 13.49 -3.61 21 0.24 0.33 0.10

2034 17.17 13.49 -3.68 0 0.24 0.33 0.10

2035 17.22 13.50 -3.72 ---- 0.24 0.33 0.10

2036 17.25 13.50 -3.75 ---- 0.24 0.33 0.09

2037 17.26 13.50 -3.76 ---- 0.24 0.33 0.09

2038 17.26 13.51 -3.75 ---- 0.24 0.33 0.09

2039 17.23 13.51 -3.73 ---- 0.24 0.33 0.09

2040 17.20 13.51 -3.70 ---- 0.24 0.33 0.09

2041 17.17 13.51 -3.66 ---- 0.24 0.33 0.10

2042 17.13 13.50 -3.63 ---- 0.24 0.33 0.10

2043 17.10 13.50 -3.60 ---- 0.24 0.34 0.10

2044 17.08 13.50 -3.57 ---- 0.24 0.34 0.10

2045 17.06 13.50 -3.56 ---- 0.23 0.34 0.10

2046 17.05 13.50 -3.55 ---- 0.23 0.34 0.10

2047 17.04 13.51 -3.53 ---- 0.23 0.34 0.10

2048 17.02 13.51 -3.52 ---- 0.23 0.34 0.11

2049 17.01 13.51 -3.51 ---- 0.23 0.34 0.11

2050 17.01 13.51 -3.50 ---- 0.23 0.34 0.11

2051 17.02 13.51 -3.51 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.11

2052 17.03 13.51 -3.52 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.11

2053 17.06 13.51 -3.55 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.12

2054 17.09 13.51 -3.57 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.12

2055 17.13 13.52 -3.61 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.12

2056 17.17 13.52 -3.65 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.12

2057 17.22 13.52 -3.70 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.12

2058 17.27 13.53 -3.74 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.12

2059 17.31 13.53 -3.78 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.12

2060 17.36 13.53 -3.82 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.12

2061 17.40 13.54 -3.86 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.12

2062 17.44 13.54 -3.90 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.12

2063 17.48 13.54 -3.94 ---- 0.21 0.34 0.12

2064 17.53 13.55 -3.98 ---- 0.21 0.34 0.12

2065 17.57 13.55 -4.02 ---- 0.21 0.34 0.13

2066 17.62 13.55 -4.07 ---- 0.21 0.34 0.13

2067 17.66 13.55 -4.11 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.13

2068 17.71 13.56 -4.15 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.13

2069 17.76 13.56 -4.20 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.13

2070 17.80 13.56 -4.24 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.13

2071 17.84 13.57 -4.27 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.13

2072 17.87 13.57 -4.30 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.13

2073 17.90 13.57 -4.33 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.13

2074 17.92 13.57 -4.35 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.13

2075 17.94 13.57 -4.36 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.13

2076 17.95 13.57 -4.37 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.13

2077 17.95 13.57 -4.38 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.13

2078 17.96 13.58 -4.38 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.13

2079 17.96 13.58 -4.39 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.13

2080 17.97 13.58 -4.40 ---- 0.22 0.34 0.13

2081 17.99 13.58 -4.41 ---- 0.21 0.34 0.13

2082 18.02 13.58 -4.44 ---- 0.21 0.34 0.13

2083 18.05 13.58 -4.47 ---- 0.21 0.35 0.13

2084 18.09 13.58 -4.50 ---- 0.21 0.35 0.13

2085 18.13 13.59 -4.54 ---- 0.21 0.35 0.13

2086 18.18 13.59 -4.59 ---- 0.21 0.35 0.13

2087 18.23 13.59 -4.64 ---- 0.21 0.35 0.13

2088 18.28 13.60 -4.68 ---- 0.21 0.35 0.13

Cost Rate Income Rate

Actuarial 

Balance

Change in 

Cost rate

Change in 

Income Rate

Change in 

Actuarial

Balance

16.82% 14.20% -2.62% 2034 0.22% 0.33% 0.10%

1 Under present law the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2033

Year of reserve 

depletion1

Summarized Rates: OASDI

Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2013 Trustees Report

June 10, 2014

Summarized Rates: OASDI

2013 - 2087

Office of the Chief Actuary

Social Security Administration

Table 1 - OASDI Cost Rate, Income Rate, Annual Balance, and Trust Fund Ratio

Proposal

Expressed as a percentage of present-law

taxable payroll Trust Fund

Ratio

1-1-year

Expressed as a percentage of present-law

taxable payroll

Change from Present Law

Retirement and Income Security Enhancements Act Introduced by Senators Begich and Murray
Percentage

of Payroll

Annual

Amounts

Accumulated as of 

End of Year

Gross Domestic 

Product

Without General

Fund Transfers

With Plan General

Fund Transfers

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)

2013 0.0 0.0 0.0 2,659.4 16,046.1 2,659.4 2,659.4

2014 0.0 0.0 0.0 2,588.7 16,275.4 2,588.7 2,588.7

2015 0.0 0.0 0.0 2,525.3 16,669.9 2,522.2 2,522.2

2016 0.0 0.0 0.0 2,466.7 17,071.8 2,458.5 2,458.5

2017 0.0 0.0 0.0 2,410.2 17,420.5 2,396.2 2,396.2

2018 0.0 0.0 0.0 2,352.4 17,701.8 2,332.2 2,332.2

2019 0.0 0.0 0.0 2,285.4 17,889.6 2,259.1 2,259.1

2020 0.0 0.0 0.0 2,206.4 18,015.1 2,173.1 2,173.1

2021 0.0 0.0 0.0 2,115.8 18,108.0 2,075.6 2,075.6

2022 0.0 0.0 0.0 2,009.1 18,173.3 1,962.3 1,962.3

2023 0.0 0.0 0.0 1,885.5 18,206.5 1,832.1 1,832.1

2024 0.0 0.0 0.0 1,745.8 18,192.0 1,686.0 1,686.0

2025 0.0 0.0 0.0 1,591.1 18,121.5 1,524.9 1,524.9

2026 0.0 0.0 0.0 1,423.0 17,997.1 1,350.7 1,350.7

2027 0.0 0.0 0.0 1,243.2 17,816.9 1,164.9 1,164.9

2028 0.0 0.0 0.0 1,053.0 17,606.2 968.9 968.9

2029 0.0 0.0 0.0 854.1 17,392.3 764.1 764.1

2030 0.0 0.0 0.0 647.9 17,180.2 552.1 552.1

2031 0.0 0.0 0.0 436.4 16,973.8 334.7 334.7

2032 0.0 0.0 0.0 220.9 16,770.7 113.3 113.3

2033 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 16,571.4 -111.2 -111.2

2034 0.0 0.0 0.0 -218.0 16,381.7 -337.1 -337.1

2035 0.0 0.0 0.0 -438.1 16,199.7 -562.9 -562.9

2036 0.0 0.0 0.0 -657.1 16,022.7 -787.5 -787.5

2037 0.0 0.0 0.0 -874.2 15,848.7 -1,010.1 -1,010.1

2038 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1,088.4 15,678.8 -1,229.7 -1,229.7

2039 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1,298.7 15,515.9 -1,445.4 -1,445.4

2040 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1,504.9 15,351.7 -1,656.9 -1,656.9

2041 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1,706.8 15,190.2 -1,864.1 -1,864.1

2042 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1,904.4 15,029.9 -2,067.0 -2,067.0

2043 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2,098.0 14,870.1 -2,265.9 -2,265.9

2044 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2,288.0 14,710.0 -2,461.4 -2,461.4

2045 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2,475.0 14,551.1 -2,653.6 -2,653.6

2046 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2,659.0 14,392.9 -2,843.0 -2,843.0

2047 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2,840.0 14,234.3 -3,029.4 -3,029.4

2048 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3,017.9 14,075.0 -3,212.7 -3,212.7

2049 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3,193.1 13,914.0 -3,393.3 -3,393.3

2050 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3,365.8 13,753.5 -3,571.6 -3,571.6

2051 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3,536.5 13,593.1 -3,747.8 -3,747.8

2052 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3,705.7 13,432.0 -3,922.5 -3,922.5

2053 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3,873.8 13,271.4 -4,096.0 -4,096.0

2054 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4,040.9 13,112.1 -4,268.7 -4,268.7

2055 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4,207.6 12,953.8 -4,440.8 -4,440.8

2056 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4,373.9 12,796.8 -4,612.6 -4,612.6

2057 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4,539.8 12,641.6 -4,784.0 -4,784.0

2058 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4,705.5 12,487.9 -4,955.1 -4,955.1

2059 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4,870.7 12,336.1 -5,125.7 -5,125.7

2060 0.0 0.0 0.0 -5,035.5 12,186.2 -5,295.8 -5,295.8

2061 0.0 0.0 0.0 -5,199.8 12,038.8 -5,465.5 -5,465.5

2062 0.0 0.0 0.0 -5,363.6 11,894.1 -5,634.5 -5,634.5

2063 0.0 0.0 0.0 -5,526.9 11,751.2 -5,802.9 -5,802.9

2064 0.0 0.0 0.0 -5,689.6 11,610.4 -5,970.8 -5,970.8

2065 0.0 0.0 0.0 -5,851.7 11,471.5 -6,138.0 -6,138.0

2066 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6,013.5 11,334.7 -6,304.8 -6,304.8

2067 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6,174.8 11,200.2 -6,471.1 -6,471.1

2068 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6,335.6 11,067.7 -6,636.8 -6,636.8

2069 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6,496.0 10,937.2 -6,802.0 -6,802.0

2070 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6,655.8 10,808.6 -6,966.6 -6,966.6

2071 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6,815.0 10,681.8 -7,130.5 -7,130.5

2072 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6,973.1 10,556.8 -7,293.3 -7,293.3

2073 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7,130.2 10,433.3 -7,454.9 -7,454.9

2074 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7,285.9 10,311.0 -7,615.2 -7,615.2

2075 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7,440.1 10,190.2 -7,774.0 -7,774.0

2076 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7,592.6 10,070.3 -7,931.0 -7,931.0

2077 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7,743.4 9,951.4 -8,086.1 -8,086.1

2078 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7,892.3 9,833.1 -8,239.4 -8,239.4

2079 0.0 0.0 0.0 -8,039.5 9,715.8 -8,390.9 -8,390.9

2080 0.0 0.0 0.0 -8,185.1 9,599.4 -8,540.9 -8,540.9

2081 0.0 0.0 0.0 -8,329.3 9,484.1 -8,689.4 -8,689.4

2082 0.0 0.0 0.0 -8,472.4 9,369.5 -8,836.7 -8,836.7

2083 0.0 0.0 0.0 -8,614.6 9,255.6 -8,983.1 -8,983.1

2084 0.0 0.0 0.0 -8,756.0 9,142.2 -9,128.6 -9,128.6

2085 0.0 0.0 0.0 -8,896.9 9,029.5 -9,273.6 -9,273.6

2086 0.0 0.0 0.0 -9,037.2 8,917.7 -9,418.0 -9,418.0

2087 0.0 0.0 0.0 -9,177.1 8,806.6 -9,561.9 -9,561.9

2088 0.0 0.0 0.0 -9,316.7 8,696.5 -9,705.4 -9,705.4

Total 2013-2087 0.0

Based on the Intermediate Assumptions of the 2013 Trustees Report Office of the Chief Actuary

Ultimate Real Trust Fund Yield of 2.9% Social Security Administration

June 10, 2014

Net OASDI Trust Fund Assets at End of Year

1

 Theoretical Social Security is the current Social Security program with the assumption

 that the law is modified to permit borrowing from the General Fund of the Treasury.

Table 1a - General Fund Transfers, OASDI Trust Fund Assets, and Theoretical OASDI Assets

Calendar

Year

Proposal General Fund Transfers Present Value in Billions as of 1-1-2013

Retirement and Income Security Enhancements Act Introduced by Senators Begich and Murray

Proposal

Total OASDI

Trust Fund

Assets

 at End of Year

Theoretical Social Security1

with Borrowing Authority

Present Value in Billions as of 1-1- 2013
Year

Specified 

General Fund 

Transfers

Basic Changes

in OASDI

Cash Flow

Change

in Annual

Unified Budget

Cash Flow

Change in

Debt Held

by Public at

End of Year

Change

in Annual

Unified Budget

Balance

Change

in Total

Federal Debt

End Of Year

Change

in Annual

On Budget

Balance

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)

2013 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

2014 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

2015 0.0 3.1 3.1 -3.1 3.1 0.0 0.0

2016 0.0 5.1 5.1 -8.2 5.2 0.0 0.0

2017 0.0 5.8 5.8 -14.0 6.1 0.0 0.0

2018 0.0 6.2 6.2 -20.2 6.7 0.0 0.0

2019 0.0 6.1 6.1 -26.3 6.9 0.0 0.0

2020 0.0 7.0 7.0 -33.3 8.0 0.0 0.0

2021 0.0 6.9 6.9 -40.2 8.2 0.0 0.0

2022 0.0 6.7 6.7 -46.9 8.3 0.0 0.0

2023 0.0 6.6 6.6 -53.4 8.6 0.0 0.0

2024 0.0 6.4 6.4 -59.9 8.9 0.0 0.0

2025 0.0 6.3 6.3 -66.2 9.2 0.0 0.0

2026 0.0 6.1 6.1 -72.3 9.6 0.0 0.0

2027 0.0 6.0 6.0 -78.3 9.9 0.0 0.0

2028 0.0 5.9 5.9 -84.2 10.1 0.0 0.0

2029 0.0 5.8 5.8 -90.0 10.4 0.0 0.0

2030 0.0 5.8 5.8 -95.8 10.8 0.0 0.0

2031 0.0 5.9 5.9 -101.7 11.1 0.0 0.0

2032 0.0 5.9 5.9 -107.6 11.4 0.0 0.0

2033 0.0 5.8 5.8 -113.4 11.7 0.0 0.0

2034 0.0 5.8 5.8 -119.1 12.0 0.0 0.0

2035 0.0 5.7 5.7 -124.8 12.2 0.0 0.0

2036 0.0 5.6 5.6 -130.4 12.4 0.0 0.0

2037 0.0 5.5 5.5 -135.9 12.6 0.0 0.0

2038 0.0 5.4 5.4 -141.3 12.9 0.0 0.0

2039 0.0 5.4 5.4 -146.7 13.1 0.0 0.0

2040 0.0 5.3 5.3 -152.0 13.4 0.0 0.0

2041 0.0 5.3 5.3 -157.4 13.6 0.0 0.0

2042 0.0 5.3 5.3 -162.7 13.9 0.0 0.0

2043 0.0 5.3 5.3 -168.0 14.2 0.0 0.0

2044 0.0 5.3 5.3 -173.3 14.5 0.0 0.0

2045 0.0 5.3 5.3 -178.7 14.8 0.0 0.0

2046 0.0 5.3 5.3 -184.0 15.1 0.0 0.0

2047 0.0 5.4 5.4 -189.4 15.4 0.0 0.0

2048 0.0 5.4 5.4 -194.8 15.8 0.0 0.0

2049 0.0 5.5 5.5 -200.3 16.1 0.0 0.0

2050 0.0 5.5 5.5 -205.7 16.4 0.0 0.0

2051 0.0 5.5 5.5 -211.2 16.7 0.0 0.0

2052 0.0 5.5 5.5 -216.8 17.1 0.0 0.0

2053 0.0 5.5 5.5 -222.3 17.4 0.0 0.0

2054 0.0 5.5 5.5 -227.8 17.7 0.0 0.0

2055 0.0 5.5 5.5 -233.3 17.9 0.0 0.0

2056 0.0 5.5 5.5 -238.8 18.2 0.0 0.0

2057 0.0 5.5 5.5 -244.2 18.5 0.0 0.0

2058 0.0 5.4 5.4 -249.6 18.8 0.0 0.0

2059 0.0 5.4 5.4 -255.0 19.0 0.0 0.0

2060 0.0 5.3 5.3 -260.3 19.3 0.0 0.0

2061 0.0 5.3 5.3 -265.6 19.5 0.0 0.0

2062 0.0 5.2 5.2 -270.9 19.8 0.0 0.0

2063 0.0 5.2 5.2 -276.1 20.0 0.0 0.0

2064 0.0 5.1 5.1 -281.2 20.2 0.0 0.0

2065 0.0 5.1 5.1 -286.3 20.4 0.0 0.0

2066 0.0 5.0 5.0 -291.3 20.7 0.0 0.0

2067 0.0 5.0 5.0 -296.3 20.9 0.0 0.0

2068 0.0 4.9 4.9 -301.2 21.1 0.0 0.0

2069 0.0 4.8 4.8 -306.0 21.3 0.0 0.0

2070 0.0 4.8 4.8 -310.8 21.5 0.0 0.0

2071 0.0 4.7 4.7 -315.5 21.7 0.0 0.0

2072 0.0 4.7 4.7 -320.2 21.9 0.0 0.0

2073 0.0 4.6 4.6 -324.8 22.1 0.0 0.0

2074 0.0 4.6 4.6 -329.3 22.3 0.0 0.0

2075 0.0 4.5 4.5 -333.8 22.5 0.0 0.0

2076 0.0 4.5 4.5 -338.3 22.7 0.0 0.0

2077 0.0 4.4 4.4 -342.7 22.9 0.0 0.0

2078 0.0 4.4 4.4 -347.1 23.1 0.0 0.0

2079 0.0 4.3 4.3 -351.5 23.3 0.0 0.0

2080 0.0 4.3 4.3 -355.8 23.5 0.0 0.0

2081 0.0 4.3 4.3 -360.1 23.7 0.0 0.0

2082 0.0 4.2 4.2 -364.3 23.9 0.0 0.0

2083 0.0 4.2 4.2 -368.5 24.1 0.0 0.0

2084 0.0 4.1 4.1 -372.6 24.3 0.0 0.0

2085 0.0 4.1 4.1 -376.7 24.5 0.0 0.0

2086 0.0 4.0 4.0 -380.8 24.6 0.0 0.0

2087 0.0 4.0 4.0 -384.8 24.8 0.0 0.0

0.0 384.8 384.8

Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2013 Trustees Report. Office of the Chief Actuary

Ultimate Real Trust Fund Yield of 2.9% Social Security Administration

Table 1b - OASDI Changes & Implications for Federal Budget and Debt of Specified Plan Provision Effects on OASDI1 (Present Value Dollars)

June 10, 2014

Retirement and Income Security Enhancements Act Introduced by Senators Begich and Murray

Total 2013-87

1

 Effects of tax provisions on the On-Budget are not reflected in this table.

Billions of Present Value Dollars as of 1-1-2013
Year

Specified 

General Fund 

Transfers

Basic Changes

in OASDI

Cash Flow

Change

in Annual

Unified Budget

Cash Flow

Change in

Debt Held

by Public at

End of Year

Change

in Annual

Unified Budget

Balance

Change

in Total

Federal Debt

End of Year

Change

in Annual

On Budget

Balance

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)

2013 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

2014 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

2015 0.0 3.4 3.4 -3.5 3.5 0.0 0.0

2016 0.0 5.7 5.7 -9.5 6.0 0.0 0.0

2017 0.0 6.8 6.8 -16.8 7.3 0.0 0.0

2018 0.0 7.5 7.5 -25.2 8.4 0.0 0.0

2019 0.0 7.8 7.8 -34.2 9.0 0.0 0.0

2020 0.0 9.2 9.2 -45.2 10.9 0.0 0.0

2021 0.0 9.4 9.4 -56.9 11.7 0.0 0.0

2022 0.0 9.5 9.5 -69.2 12.4 0.0 0.0

2023 0.0 9.8 9.8 -82.6 13.4 0.0 0.0

Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2013 Trustees Report. Office of the Chief Actuary

Social Security Administration

June 10, 2014

1

 Effects of tax provisions on the On-Budget are not reflected in this table.

Billions of Nominal Dollars

Table 1b.n - OASDI Changes & Implications for Federal Budget and Debt of Specified Plan Provision Effects on OASDI1 (Nominal Dollars)

Retirement and Income Security Enhancements Act Introduced by Senators Begich and Murray
Cost

Expenditures

(Payable)

Non-Interest

Income Cost

Expenditures

(Payable)

Non-Interest

Income

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)

2013 5.06 5.06 4.60 5.06 5.06 4.60

2014 5.09 5.09 4.65 5.09 5.09 4.65

2015 5.07 5.07 4.67 5.17 5.17 4.79

2016 5.08 5.08 4.71 5.17 5.17 4.83

2017 5.11 5.11 4.75 5.20 5.20 4.88

2018 5.16 5.16 4.80 5.25 5.25 4.92

2019 5.23 5.23 4.82 5.33 5.33 4.95

2020 5.32 5.32 4.84 5.41 5.41 4.97

2021 5.40 5.40 4.86 5.49 5.49 4.98

2022 5.50 5.50 4.87 5.58 5.58 4.99

2023 5.58 5.58 4.87 5.67 5.67 4.99

2024 5.67 5.67 4.86 5.76 5.76 4.98

2025 5.75 5.75 4.86 5.84 5.84 4.98

2026 5.83 5.83 4.85 5.92 5.92 4.98

2027 5.90 5.90 4.85 5.99 5.99 4.97

2028 5.97 5.97 4.85 6.06 6.06 4.97

2029 6.03 6.03 4.85 6.12 6.12 4.97

2030 6.08 6.08 4.84 6.17 6.17 4.97

2031 6.13 6.13 4.84 6.22 6.22 4.96

2032 6.16 6.16 4.84 6.25 6.25 4.96

2033 6.20 5.50 4.84 6.28 6.28 4.96

2034 6.22 4.83 4.83 6.30 4.97 4.95

2035 6.23 4.83 4.83 6.32 4.95 4.95

2036 6.23 4.82 4.82 6.32 4.95 4.95

2037 6.23 4.82 4.82 6.32 4.94 4.94

2038 6.22 4.82 4.82 6.31 4.94 4.94

2039 6.21 4.81 4.81 6.29 4.93 4.93

2040 6.19 4.81 4.81 6.28 4.93 4.93

2041 6.17 4.80 4.80 6.26 4.92 4.92

2042 6.15 4.79 4.79 6.24 4.92 4.92

2043 6.13 4.79 4.79 6.22 4.91 4.91

2044 6.12 4.78 4.78 6.20 4.90 4.90

2045 6.10 4.78 4.78 6.19 4.90 4.90

2046 6.09 4.77 4.77 6.18 4.89 4.89

2047 6.08 4.76 4.76 6.16 4.88 4.88

2048 6.07 4.76 4.76 6.15 4.88 4.88

2049 6.05 4.75 4.75 6.14 4.87 4.87

2050 6.05 4.74 4.74 6.13 4.87 4.87

2051 6.04 4.74 4.74 6.12 4.86 4.86

2052 6.04 4.73 4.73 6.12 4.85 4.85

2053 6.04 4.73 4.73 6.12 4.85 4.85

2054 6.04 4.72 4.72 6.12 4.84 4.84

2055 6.05 4.72 4.72 6.13 4.84 4.84

2056 6.06 4.71 4.71 6.14 4.83 4.83

2057 6.07 4.70 4.70 6.14 4.83 4.83

2058 6.07 4.70 4.70 6.15 4.82 4.82

2059 6.08 4.69 4.69 6.16 4.81 4.81

2060 6.09 4.69 4.69 6.17 4.81 4.81

2061 6.10 4.68 4.68 6.17 4.80 4.80

2062 6.10 4.68 4.68 6.18 4.80 4.80

2063 6.11 4.67 4.67 6.19 4.79 4.79

2064 6.12 4.67 4.67 6.19 4.79 4.79

2065 6.12 4.66 4.66 6.20 4.78 4.78

2066 6.13 4.65 4.65 6.21 4.77 4.77

2067 6.14 4.65 4.65 6.21 4.77 4.77

2068 6.15 4.64 4.64 6.22 4.76 4.76

2069 6.15 4.64 4.64 6.23 4.76 4.76

2070 6.16 4.63 4.63 6.24 4.75 4.75

2071 6.17 4.63 4.63 6.24 4.75 4.75

2072 6.17 4.62 4.62 6.25 4.74 4.74

2073 6.17 4.62 4.62 6.25 4.74 4.74

2074 6.17 4.61 4.61 6.25 4.73 4.73

2075 6.17 4.61 4.61 6.24 4.73 4.73

2076 6.17 4.60 4.60 6.24 4.72 4.72

2077 6.16 4.60 4.60 6.24 4.72 4.72

2078 6.16 4.59 4.59 6.23 4.71 4.71

2079 6.15 4.59 4.59 6.23 4.71 4.71

2080 6.15 4.58 4.58 6.22 4.70 4.70

2081 6.15 4.58 4.58 6.22 4.70 4.70

2082 6.15 4.57 4.57 6.23 4.69 4.69

2083 6.16 4.57 4.57 6.23 4.69 4.69

2084 6.16 4.57 4.57 6.24 4.69 4.69

2085 6.17 4.56 4.56 6.25 4.68 4.68

2086 6.18 4.56 4.56 6.26 4.68 4.68

2087 6.20 4.56 4.56 6.27 4.68 4.68

Table 1c - Present Law and Proposal Cost, Expenditures, and Income: As Percent of Gross Domestic Product

June 10, 2014

Social Security Administration

Present Law OASDI Proposal OASDI

Calendar

Year

Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2013 Trustees Report. Office of the Chief Actuary

Retirement and Income Security Enhancements Act Introduced by Senators Begich and Murray
Retirement and Income Security Enhancements Act Introduced by Senators Begich and Murray

Year

Present Law OASDI

Trust Fund Assets /

Unfunded Obligation

Through End of Year

Changes 

in OASDI 

Income

Changes

in OASDI 

Cost

Basic

Changes

in OASDI

Cash Flow

Total Change

Through

End of Year

Proposal OASDI

Trust Fund Assets /

Unfunded Obligation

Through End of Year

(1) (2) (3) (4) = (2)-(3) (5) = cumulative sum(4) (6) = (1)+(5)

2013 2,659.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2,659.4

2014 2,588.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2,588.7

2015 2,522.2 18.8 15.7 3.1 3.1 2,525.3

2016 2,458.5 20.9 15.8 5.1 8.2 2,466.7

2017 2,396.2 21.7 15.9 5.8 14.0 2,410.2

2018 2,332.2 22.3 16.1 6.2 20.2 2,352.4

2019 2,259.1 22.5 16.3 6.1 26.3 2,285.4

2020 2,173.1 22.5 15.5 7.0 33.3 2,206.4

2021 2,075.6 22.5 15.6 6.9 40.2 2,115.8

2022 1,962.3 22.5 15.8 6.7 46.9 2,009.1

2023 1,832.1 22.5 15.9 6.6 53.4 1,885.5

2024 1,686.0 22.4 16.0 6.4 59.9 1,745.8

2025 1,524.9 22.3 16.0 6.3 66.2 1,591.1

2026 1,350.7 22.2 16.0 6.1 72.3 1,423.0

2027 1,164.9 21.9 16.0 6.0 78.3 1,243.2

2028 968.9 21.7 15.8 5.9 84.2 1,053.0

2029 764.1 21.4 15.6 5.8 90.0 854.1

2030 552.1 21.1 15.3 5.8 95.8 647.9

2031 334.7 20.8 15.0 5.9 101.7 436.4

2032 113.3 20.6 14.7 5.9 107.6 220.9

2033 -111.2 20.3 14.5 5.8 113.4 2.2

2034 -337.1 20.1 14.3 5.8 119.1 -218.0

2035 -562.9 19.8 14.2 5.7 124.8 -438.1

2036 -787.5 19.6 14.0 5.6 130.4 -657.1

2037 -1,010.1 19.4 13.9 5.5 135.9 -874.2

2038 -1,229.7 19.2 13.8 5.4 141.3 -1,088.4

2039 -1,445.4 19.0 13.6 5.4 146.7 -1,298.7

2040 -1,656.9 18.8 13.4 5.3 152.0 -1,504.9

2041 -1,864.1 18.6 13.2 5.3 157.4 -1,706.8

2042 -2,067.0 18.4 13.0 5.3 162.7 -1,904.4

2043 -2,265.9 18.1 12.8 5.3 168.0 -2,098.0

2044 -2,461.4 17.9 12.6 5.3 173.3 -2,288.0

2045 -2,653.6 17.7 12.4 5.3 178.7 -2,475.0

2046 -2,843.0 17.5 12.2 5.3 184.0 -2,659.0

2047 -3,029.4 17.3 11.9 5.4 189.4 -2,840.0

2048 -3,212.7 17.1 11.7 5.4 194.8 -3,017.9

2049 -3,393.3 16.9 11.4 5.5 200.3 -3,193.1

2050 -3,571.6 16.7 11.2 5.5 205.7 -3,365.8

2051 -3,747.8 16.5 11.0 5.5 211.2 -3,536.5

2052 -3,922.5 16.3 10.8 5.5 216.8 -3,705.7

2053 -4,096.0 16.1 10.5 5.5 222.3 -3,873.8

2054 -4,268.7 15.9 10.3 5.5 227.8 -4,040.9

2055 -4,440.8 15.7 10.2 5.5 233.3 -4,207.6

2056 -4,612.6 15.5 10.0 5.5 238.8 -4,373.9

2057 -4,784.0 15.3 9.8 5.5 244.2 -4,539.8

2058 -4,955.1 15.1 9.6 5.4 249.6 -4,705.5

2059 -5,125.7 14.9 9.5 5.4 255.0 -4,870.7

2060 -5,295.8 14.7 9.3 5.3 260.3 -5,035.5

2061 -5,465.5 14.5 9.2 5.3 265.6 -5,199.8

2062 -5,634.5 14.3 9.1 5.2 270.9 -5,363.6

2063 -5,802.9 14.1 8.9 5.2 276.1 -5,526.9

2064 -5,970.8 14.0 8.8 5.1 281.2 -5,689.6

2065 -6,138.0 13.8 8.7 5.1 286.3 -5,851.7

2066 -6,304.8 13.6 8.6 5.0 291.3 -6,013.5

2067 -6,471.1 13.4 8.5 5.0 296.3 -6,174.8

2068 -6,636.8 13.3 8.4 4.9 301.2 -6,335.6

2069 -6,802.0 13.1 8.3 4.8 306.0 -6,496.0

2070 -6,966.6 13.0 8.2 4.8 310.8 -6,655.8

2071 -7,130.5 12.8 8.1 4.7 315.5 -6,815.0

2072 -7,293.3 12.6 8.0 4.7 320.2 -6,973.1

2073 -7,454.9 12.5 7.9 4.6 324.8 -7,130.2

2074 -7,615.2 12.3 7.8 4.6 329.3 -7,285.9

2075 -7,774.0 12.2 7.7 4.5 333.8 -7,440.1

2076 -7,931.0 12.0 7.6 4.5 338.3 -7,592.6

2077 -8,086.1 11.9 7.5 4.4 342.7 -7,743.4

2078 -8,239.4 11.8 7.4 4.4 347.1 -7,892.3

2079 -8,390.9 11.6 7.3 4.3 351.5 -8,039.5

2080 -8,540.9 11.5 7.2 4.3 355.8 -8,185.1

2081 -8,689.4 11.3 7.1 4.3 360.1 -8,329.3

2082 -8,836.7 11.2 7.0 4.2 364.3 -8,472.4

2083 -8,983.1 11.0 6.9 4.2 368.5 -8,614.6

2084 -9,128.6 10.9 6.8 4.1 372.6 -8,756.0

2085 -9,273.6 10.8 6.7 4.1 376.7 -8,896.9

2086 -9,418.0 10.6 6.6 4.0 380.8 -9,037.2

2087 -9,561.9 10.5 6.5 4.0 384.8 -9,177.1

Total 2013-2087 1213.3 828.6 384.8

Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2013 Trustees Report. Office of the Chief Actuary

Social Security Administration

Ultimate Real Trust Fund Yield of 2.9%. June 10, 2014

(Billions of Dollars, Present Value on 1-1-2013)

Table 1d - Change in Long-Range Trust Fund Assets / Unfunded Obligation