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Mining Publication: A Catastrophe-Theory Model for Simulating Behavioral Accidents
Keywords: Accidents Decision making Disasters Hazard prevention and control Numerical modeling
This page is archived for historical purposes and is no longer being maintained or updated. Contact NIOSH Mining if you need an accessible version.
Original creation date: November 1988
Authors: WE Souder
Information Circular - November 1988
Download PDF Document (1.92 MB)
NIOSHTIC2 Number: 10005986
Pittsburgh, PA: U.S. Department of the Interior, Bureau of Mines, IC 9178, 1986 Nov; :1-19
Behavioral accidents are a particular type of accident. They are caused by inappropriate individual behaviors and faulty reactions. Catastrophe theory is a means for mathematically modeling the dynamic processes that underlie behavioral accidents. Based on a comprehensive data base of mining accidents, a computerized catastrophe model has been developed by the Bureau of Mines. This model systematically links individual psychological, group behavioral, and mine environmental variables with other accident causing factors. It answers several longstanding questions about why some normally safe behaving persons may spontaneously engage in unsafe acts that have high risks of serious injury. Field tests with the model indicate that it has three important uses: It can be used as an effective training aid for increasing employee safety consciousness; it can be used as a management laboratory for testing decision alternatives and policies; and it can be used to help design the most effective work teams.
Image of publication A Catastrophe-Theory Model for Simulating Behavioral AccidentsInformation Circular - November 1988
Download PDF Document (1.92 MB)
NIOSHTIC2 Number: 10005986
Pittsburgh, PA: U.S. Department of the Interior, Bureau of Mines, IC 9178, 1986 Nov; :1-19
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Page last reviewed: September 21, 2012
Page last updated: September 21, 2012
Content source: National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health, Mining Program
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